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1983-84 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Aberdeen

57 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1979-80

Relegated

Motherwell

15 pts

St. Johnstone · 23 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Heart of Midlothian

12.83 points above expected

36 points · 23.17 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Motherwell

9.01 points below expected

15 points · 24.01 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Aberdeen Champion 36 25 7 4 57 78 21 +57 54.79 +2.21
2 Celtic 36 21 8 7 50 80 41 +39 51.10 -1.10
3 Dundee United 36 18 11 7 47 67 39 +28 48.47 -1.47
4 Rangers 36 15 12 9 42 53 41 +12 40.66 +1.34
5 Heart of Midlothian 36 10 16 10 36 38 47 -9 23.17 +12.83
6 St. Mirren 36 9 14 13 32 55 59 -4 37.57 -5.57
7 Hibernian 36 12 7 17 31 45 55 -10 31.77 -0.77
8 Dundee 36 11 5 20 27 50 74 -24 29.57 -2.57
9 St. Johnstone Relegated 36 10 3 23 23 36 81 -45 18.89 +4.11
10 Motherwell Relegated 36 4 7 25 15 31 75 -44 24.01 -9.01

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Heart of Midlothian 36 23.17 +12.83
2 St. Johnstone 23 18.89 +4.11
3 Aberdeen 57 54.79 +2.21
4 Rangers 42 40.66 +1.34
5 Hibernian 31 31.77 -0.77

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Motherwell 15 24.01 -9.01
2 St. Mirren 32 37.57 -5.57
3 Dundee 27 29.57 -2.57
4 Dundee United 47 48.47 -1.47
5 Celtic 50 51.10 -1.10

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 5 Aug 20 – Sep 24 1 in 5,998
2 St. Johnstone 3 Dec 10 – Dec 27 1 in 439
3 St. Mirren 3 Nov 12 – Nov 22 1 in 43
4 Rangers 5 Nov 26 – Dec 27 1 in 26
5 Aberdeen 7 Oct 22 – Dec 3 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rangers 5 Oct 15 – Nov 12 1 in 242
2 Dundee 4 Dec 10 – Dec 31 1 in 70
3 Motherwell 6 Nov 12 – Dec 17 1 in 49
4 St. Johnstone 7 Aug 20 – Oct 8 1 in 47
5 St. Mirren 2 Sep 17 – Sep 24 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 7 Mar 17 – Apr 28 1 in 863
2 Rangers 15 Nov 19 – Mar 31 1 in 66
3 St. Mirren 7 Oct 29 – Dec 3 1 in 26
4 St. Johnstone 3 Dec 10 – Dec 27 1 in 18
5 Dundee United 11 Dec 3 – Apr 2 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Mirren 8 Aug 20 – Oct 22 1 in 91
2 Aberdeen 4 May 5 – May 12 1 in 66
3 Celtic 4 Oct 1 – Oct 22 1 in 26
4 Motherwell 14 Oct 29 – Feb 11 1 in 22
5 Hibernian 8 Dec 17 – Feb 25 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Aberdeen 2075 57 -17 5 7.7 -2.7
Celtic 1992 50 -8 6 7.4 -1.4
Dundee United 1929 47 -10 4 5.3 -1.3
Rangers 1879 42 +11 6 4.8 +1.2
Heart of Midlothian 1641 36 +8 5 4.1 +0.9
St. Mirren 1793 32 -5 4 3.9 +0.1
Hibernian 1736 31 +11 5 3.5 +1.5
Dundee 1674 27 +6 4 3.4 +0.6
St. Johnstone 1578 23 -3 3 3.1 -0.1
Motherwell 1565 15 -17 2 3.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN DU HOM HIB MOT RAN SJ SM
Aberdeen —
2-1-1
6.53
4-0-0
9.29
2-1-1
7.12
3-1-0
9.82
2-1-1
9.10
3-1-0
9.71
2-2-0
8.27
4-0-0
10.13
3-0-1
8.71
Celtic
1-1-2
4.42
—
3-0-1
8.96
0-2-2
6.34
2-2-0
9.54
4-0-0
8.46
3-1-0
9.34
3-0-1
7.53
3-1-0
9.88
2-1-1
8.13
Dundee
0-0-4
1.84
1-0-3
2.13
—
1-1-2
2.43
2-1-1
6.69
0-0-4
5.11
4-0-0
6.35
1-1-2
3.48
2-0-2
7.47
0-2-2
4.04
Dundee United
1-1-2
3.85
2-2-0
4.61
2-1-1
8.63
—
2-2-0
9.23
3-0-1
8.06
3-1-0
9.05
0-2-2
7.17
4-0-0
9.64
1-2-1
7.49
Heart of Midlothian
0-1-3
1.41
0-2-2
1.64
1-1-2
4.28
0-2-2
1.90
—
1-3-0
3.51
2-2-0
5.46
1-2-1
2.53
3-1-0
6.06
2-2-0
2.80
Hibernian
1-1-2
2.01
0-0-4
2.58
4-0-0
5.83
1-0-3
2.96
0-3-1
7.47
—
3-0-1
6.87
0-2-2
4.05
2-0-2
8.12
1-1-2
4.50
Motherwell
0-1-3
1.51
0-1-3
1.81
0-0-4
4.61
0-1-3
2.05
0-2-2
5.49
1-0-3
4.09
—
1-0-3
2.78
1-0-3
6.53
1-2-1
3.31
Rangers
0-2-2
2.76
1-0-3
3.45
2-1-1
7.50
2-2-0
3.81
1-2-1
8.51
2-2-0
6.91
3-0-1
8.25
—
4-0-0
8.90
0-3-1
6.39
St. Johnstone
0-0-4
1.17
0-1-3
1.36
2-0-2
3.51
0-0-4
1.56
0-1-3
4.89
2-0-2
2.89
3-0-1
4.43
0-0-4
2.19
—
3-1-0
2.37
St. Mirren
1-0-3
2.36
1-1-2
2.88
2-2-0
6.92
1-2-1
3.50
0-2-2
8.22
2-1-1
6.45
1-2-1
7.68
1-3-0
4.55
0-1-3
8.70
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +6.9
Allowed 0.89 -6.4
Differential 0.96 +3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.78%6.39%5.28%3.89%1.39%1.39%26.11%
16.39%11.11%7.50%4.44%1.39%0.56%31.39%
25.28%7.50%6.11%1.94%1.39%1.67%23.89%
33.89%4.44%1.94%——0.28%10.56%
41.39%1.39%1.39%———4.17%
5+1.39%0.56%1.67%0.28%——3.89%
Total26.11%31.39%23.89%10.56%4.17%3.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.48 +0.00
SD 1.34 1.34 2.00
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%————11.11%
111.11%8.33%5.56%———25.00%
219.44%5.56%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
38.33%8.33%————16.67%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+8.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
Total58.33%27.78%11.11%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.17 0.58 +1.58
SD 1.50 0.81 1.71
CV 0.69 1.38 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%————11.11%
18.33%13.89%2.78%5.56%——30.56%
25.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
311.11%2.78%2.78%———16.67%
42.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
5+—2.78%8.33%———11.11%
Total33.33%33.33%22.22%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.22 1.14 +1.08
SD 1.61 1.07 1.78
CV 0.72 0.94 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%—8.33%2.78%—25.00%
15.56%5.56%11.11%8.33%2.78%—33.33%
28.33%—5.56%——11.11%25.00%
3—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total16.67%25.00%25.00%16.67%5.56%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 2.06 -0.67
SD 1.15 1.60 1.97
CV 0.83 0.78 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%—2.78%—25.00%
12.78%8.33%2.78%——2.78%16.67%
28.33%13.89%11.11%———33.33%
32.78%8.33%————11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+5.56%—2.78%———8.33%
Total33.33%38.89%22.22%—2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.08 +0.78
SD 1.66 1.13 2.19
CV 0.89 1.04 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
18.33%22.22%—8.33%5.56%—44.44%
22.78%11.11%8.33%———22.22%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%41.67%16.67%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.31 -0.25
SD 0.86 1.14 1.34
CV 0.81 0.87 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%13.89%——2.78%33.33%
12.78%8.33%11.11%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
2—13.89%2.78%5.56%——22.22%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total16.67%38.89%30.56%8.33%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.53 -0.28
SD 1.16 1.21 1.80
CV 0.92 0.79 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%2.78%8.33%8.33%—33.33%
15.56%8.33%19.44%13.89%——47.22%
2—5.56%5.56%2.78%5.56%—19.44%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%22.22%27.78%25.00%13.89%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.08 -1.22
SD 0.72 1.23 1.40
CV 0.84 0.59 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%—2.78%8.33%——25.00%
18.33%11.11%8.33%2.78%——30.56%
28.33%8.33%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
38.33%2.78%————11.11%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total38.89%25.00%19.44%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.14 +0.33
SD 1.32 1.13 1.71
CV 0.90 0.99 —
Max 6 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%13.89%8.33%—8.33%44.44%
111.11%2.78%8.33%—5.56%—27.78%
2—5.56%2.78%——5.56%13.89%
3—5.56%2.78%——2.78%11.11%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total13.89%25.00%30.56%8.33%5.56%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.25 -1.25
SD 1.15 1.81 2.14
CV 1.15 0.80 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%—2.78%25.00%
1—22.22%5.56%2.78%——30.56%
2—5.56%11.11%2.78%5.56%—25.00%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
45.56%—2.78%———8.33%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total13.89%36.11%33.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.64 -0.11
SD 1.34 1.17 1.88
CV 0.88 0.72 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Aberdeen 2075 57 54.79 +2.21 77.0% 40 47 53 55 57 61 64
Celtic 1992 50 51.10 -1.10 51.0% 39 45 48 50 54 58 63
Dundee United 1929 47 48.47 -1.47 38.0% 36 40 46 49 52 55 58
Rangers 1879 42 40.66 +1.34 68.0% 29 33 37 41 43 49 52
St. Mirren 1793 32 37.57 -5.57 15.0% 27 30 34 38 40 47 50
Hibernian 1736 31 31.77 -0.77 53.0% 22 25 29 31 34 39 43
Dundee 1674 27 29.57 -2.57 31.0% 20 23 26 29 33 38 42
Heart of Midlothian 1641 36 23.17 +12.83 100.0% 15 17 20 23 26 30 35
St. Johnstone 1578 23 18.89 +4.11 90.0% 7 13 16 18 21 25 30
Motherwell 1565 15 24.01 -9.01 0.0% 16 17 20 24 27 31 35

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.78%
Slight Edge
43.89%25.00%31.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 44.64 Elo pts.
217 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.33 goals
Neutral
-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
72%
Aberdeen, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Comfortable
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.52 * Some Luck: 3.52 to 5.27 * Lucky: 5.27 to 7.03 * Wild Swing: 7.03 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.54 * Close: 0.54 to 0.81 * Off: 0.81 to 1.08 * Way Off: 1.08 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.61 * A Surprise: 0.61 to 0.98 * Several Surprises: 0.98 to 1.34 * Many Surprises: 1.34 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.58 points
Lucky
04.3911
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Off
00.681.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
100.00%
Heart of Midlothian
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Motherwell
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.62

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 177.31
2.51
Wide Separation
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
82%
Wide Edge
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
95%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Frequent
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.54
Lopsided
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.71
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.81
Near-Lock
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Upset-Prone
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Shaky Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.30
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.76
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.113
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Aberdeen72.00%22.00%5.00%1.00%——————
Celtic17.00%50.00%25.00%6.00%2.00%—————
Dundee United11.00%24.00%56.00%6.00%3.00%—————
Rangers—3.00%10.00%55.00%24.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%——
Heart of Midlothian—————3.00%16.00%33.00%27.00%21.00%
St. Mirren—1.00%4.00%27.00%45.00%16.00%5.00%2.00%——
Hibernian———2.00%13.00%47.00%24.00%11.00%3.00%—
Dundee———3.00%10.00%26.00%32.00%19.00%9.00%1.00%
St. Johnstone——————4.00%6.00%29.00%61.00%
Motherwell————3.00%2.00%18.00%28.00%32.00%17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aberdeen 100% —
Celtic 100% —
Dundee United 100% —
Rangers 100% —
St. Mirren 100% —
Hibernian 97.00% 3.00%
Dundee 90.00% 10.00%
Heart of Midlothian 52.00% 48.00%
Motherwell 51.00% 49.00%
St. Johnstone 10.00% 90.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1983-08-20 Dundee W 3-046.2 1999 1726 70.27% 22.16% 7.58%+1.46 +5.5 2
1983-08-20 @ Aberdeen L 0-346.2 1726 1999 7.58% 22.16% 70.27%-1.46 -5.5 0
1983-08-20 Motherwell W 4-046.0 1946 1698 68.71% 22.75% 8.54%+1.35 +8.1 2
1983-08-20 @ Dundee United L 0-446.0 1698 1946 8.54% 22.75% 68.71%-1.35 -8.1 0
1983-08-20 Celtic L 0-252.5 1746 1971 18.45% 24.98% 56.56%-0.83 -8.8 0
1983-08-20 @ Hibernian W 2-052.5 1971 1746 56.56% 24.98% 18.45%+0.83 +8.8 2
1983-08-20 St. Mirren D 1-172.2 1851 1802 51.62% 26.09% 22.29%+0.43 -1.3 1
1983-08-20 @ Rangers D 1-172.2 1802 1851 22.29% 26.09% 51.62%-0.43 +1.3 1
1983-08-20 Heart of Midlothian L 0-159.4 1570 1553 47.86% 26.33% 25.81%+0.28 -10.0 0
1983-08-20 @ St. Johnstone W 1-059.4 1553 1570 25.81% 26.33% 47.86%-0.28 +10.0 2
1983-09-03 St. Johnstone W 5-043.1 2005 1560 79.10% 17.58% 3.32%+2.26 +3.6 4
1983-09-03 @ Aberdeen L 0-543.1 1560 2005 3.32% 17.58% 79.10%-2.26 -3.6 0
1983-09-03 Rangers W 2-160.0 1980 1849 59.85% 25.07% 15.08%+0.81 +3.7 4
1983-09-03 @ Celtic L 1-260.0 1849 1980 15.08% 25.07% 59.85%-0.81 -3.7 1
1983-09-03 Dundee United L 1-455.1 1721 1954 17.77% 24.85% 57.39%-0.87 -10.4 0
1983-09-03 @ Dundee W 4-155.1 1954 1721 57.39% 24.85% 17.77%+0.87 +10.4 4
1983-09-03 Hibernian W 3-274.1 1563 1737 23.40% 25.72% 50.89%-0.59 +9.4 4
1983-09-03 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-374.1 1737 1563 50.89% 25.72% 23.40%+0.59 -9.4 0
1983-09-03 Motherwell D 1-172.1 1804 1690 58.34% 25.32% 16.33%+0.73 -2.0 2
1983-09-03 @ St. Mirren D 1-172.1 1690 1804 16.33% 25.32% 58.34%-0.73 +2.0 1
1983-09-10 St. Johnstone W 5-251.6 1983 1556 78.32% 18.07% 3.61%+2.18 +1.8 6
1983-09-10 @ Celtic L 2-551.6 1556 1983 3.61% 18.07% 78.32%-2.18 -1.8 0
1983-09-10 Hibernian W 5-046.6 1964 1728 67.99% 23.00% 9.01%+1.30 +10.6 6
1983-09-10 @ Dundee United L 0-546.6 1728 1964 9.01% 23.00% 67.99%-1.30 -10.6 0
1983-09-10 Rangers W 3-169.8 1573 1846 14.75% 24.13% 61.12%-1.05 +20.3 6
1983-09-10 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-369.8 1846 1573 61.12% 24.13% 14.75%+1.05 -20.2 1
1983-09-10 Aberdeen D 1-173.1 1692 2008 12.02% 23.23% 64.76%-1.25 +2.6 2
1983-09-10 @ Motherwell D 1-173.1 2008 1692 64.76% 23.23% 12.02%+1.25 -2.6 5
1983-09-10 Dundee D 0-067.8 1802 1710 56.19% 25.63% 18.19%+0.63 -2.0 3
1983-09-10 @ St. Mirren D 0-067.8 1710 1802 18.19% 25.63% 56.19%-0.63 +2.0 1
1983-09-17 Heart of Midlothian L 1-271.3 1712 1593 58.86% 25.24% 15.90%+0.76 -11.4 1
1983-09-17 @ Dundee W 2-171.3 1593 1712 15.90% 25.24% 58.86%-0.76 +11.4 8
1983-09-17 St. Mirren W 3-164.3 1717 1800 34.53% 26.44% 39.03%-0.18 +13.8 2
1983-09-17 @ Hibernian L 1-364.3 1800 1717 39.03% 26.44% 34.53%+0.18 -13.8 3
1983-09-17 Celtic L 0-348.5 1694 1985 13.56% 23.77% 62.67%-1.13 -9.6 2
1983-09-17 @ Motherwell W 3-048.5 1985 1694 62.67% 23.77% 13.56%+1.13 +9.6 8
1983-09-17 Aberdeen L 0-254.0 1825 2006 22.71% 25.64% 51.65%-0.63 -10.5 1
1983-09-17 @ Rangers W 2-054.0 2006 1825 51.65% 25.64% 22.71%+0.63 +10.5 7
1983-09-17 Dundee United L 1-256.0 1554 1975 7.32% 20.67% 72.01%-1.73 -1.8 0
1983-09-17 @ St. Johnstone W 2-156.0 1975 1554 72.01% 20.67% 7.32%+1.73 +1.8 8
1983-09-24 Dundee United L 1-271.0 2016 1977 50.59% 26.17% 23.25%+0.39 -9.9 7
1983-09-24 @ Aberdeen W 2-171.0 1977 2016 23.25% 26.17% 50.59%-0.39 +9.9 10
1983-09-24 Celtic L 2-653.8 1701 1995 13.36% 23.71% 62.93%-1.15 -8.7 1
1983-09-24 @ Dundee W 6-253.8 1995 1701 62.93% 23.71% 13.36%+1.15 +8.7 10
1983-09-24 Motherwell W 2-161.7 1731 1685 51.35% 26.11% 22.54%+0.42 +5.2 4
1983-09-24 @ Hibernian L 1-261.7 1685 1731 22.54% 26.11% 51.35%-0.42 -5.2 2
1983-09-24 St. Johnstone W 6-354.5 1815 1552 69.63% 22.41% 7.97%+1.42 +3.9 3
1983-09-24 @ Rangers L 3-654.5 1552 1815 7.97% 22.41% 69.63%-1.42 -3.9 0
1983-09-24 Heart of Midlothian L 0-168.3 1786 1604 64.06% 24.17% 11.77%+1.04 -13.1 3
1983-09-24 @ St. Mirren W 1-068.3 1604 1786 11.77% 24.17% 64.06%-1.04 +13.1 10
1983-10-01 St. Mirren D 1-173.1 2004 1773 67.58% 23.14% 9.28%+1.27 -2.9 11
1983-10-01 @ Celtic D 1-173.1 1773 2004 9.28% 23.14% 67.58%-1.27 +2.9 4
1983-10-01 Rangers L 0-265.8 1987 1819 62.99% 24.43% 12.58%+0.98 -24.3 10
1983-10-01 @ Dundee United W 2-065.8 1819 1987 12.58% 24.43% 62.99%-0.98 +24.2 5
1983-10-01 Aberdeen L 0-248.4 1617 2006 8.52% 21.50% 69.98%-1.59 -4.1 10
1983-10-01 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-048.4 2006 1617 69.98% 21.50% 8.52%+1.59 +4.1 9
1983-10-01 Dundee L 1-365.1 1680 1692 44.22% 26.46% 29.32%+0.15 -15.3 2
1983-10-01 @ Motherwell W 3-165.1 1692 1680 29.32% 26.46% 44.22%-0.15 +15.3 3
1983-10-01 Hibernian L 0-349.5 1549 1736 21.97% 25.54% 52.49%-0.66 -14.8 0
1983-10-01 @ St. Johnstone W 3-049.5 1736 1549 52.49% 25.54% 21.97%+0.66 +14.8 6
1983-10-08 St. Mirren W 5-046.7 2010 1776 67.83% 23.06% 9.11%+1.29 +10.7 11
1983-10-08 @ Aberdeen L 0-546.7 1776 2010 9.11% 23.06% 67.83%-1.29 -10.7 4
1983-10-08 Celtic W 2-165.7 1962 2001 40.79% 26.51% 32.71%+0.03 +7.0 12
1983-10-08 @ Dundee United L 1-265.7 2001 1962 32.71% 26.51% 40.79%-0.03 -7.0 11
1983-10-08 Motherwell D 0-065.8 1613 1664 38.99% 26.51% 34.50%-0.03 -0.2 11
1983-10-08 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-065.8 1664 1613 34.50% 26.51% 38.99%+0.03 +0.2 3
1983-10-08 Hibernian W 1-055.7 1843 1751 56.28% 25.62% 18.11%+0.63 +4.6 7
1983-10-08 @ Rangers L 0-155.7 1751 1843 18.11% 25.62% 56.28%-0.63 -4.6 6
1983-10-08 Dundee L 0-251.5 1534 1708 23.39% 25.71% 50.90%-0.60 -10.7 0
1983-10-08 @ St. Johnstone W 2-051.5 1708 1534 50.90% 25.71% 23.39%+0.60 +10.7 5
1983-10-15 Heart of Midlothian D 1-174.1 1994 1613 76.12% 19.35% 4.53%+1.96 -3.6 12
1983-10-15 @ Celtic D 1-174.1 1613 1994 4.53% 19.35% 76.12%-1.96 +3.6 12
1983-10-15 Rangers W 3-274.2 1718 1848 28.43% 26.16% 45.41%-0.39 +8.5 7
1983-10-15 @ Dundee L 2-374.2 1848 1718 45.41% 26.16% 28.43%+0.39 -8.5 7
1983-10-15 Aberdeen W 2-173.5 1746 2021 14.62% 24.09% 61.28%-1.06 +11.7 8
1983-10-15 @ Hibernian L 1-273.5 2021 1746 61.28% 24.09% 14.62%+1.06 -11.7 11
1983-10-15 St. Johnstone L 0-164.6 1665 1523 60.82% 24.89% 14.29%+0.86 -12.4 3
1983-10-15 @ Motherwell W 1-064.6 1523 1665 14.29% 24.89% 60.82%-0.86 +12.5 2
1983-10-22 Celtic W 3-160.6 2009 1990 48.22% 26.31% 25.47%+0.29 +10.0 13
1983-10-22 @ Aberdeen L 1-360.6 1990 2009 25.47% 26.31% 48.22%-0.29 -10.0 12
1983-10-22 Heart of Midlothian W 1-050.2 1969 1617 74.73% 20.10% 5.17%+1.83 +1.3 14
1983-10-22 @ Dundee United L 0-150.2 1617 1969 5.17% 20.10% 74.73%-1.83 -1.3 12
1983-10-22 Dundee W 2-162.5 1758 1727 49.65% 26.23% 24.12%+0.35 +5.5 10
1983-10-22 @ Hibernian L 1-262.5 1727 1758 24.12% 26.23% 49.65%-0.35 -5.5 7
1983-10-22 Motherwell L 1-274.0 1839 1652 64.47% 24.06% 11.46%+1.07 -12.4 7
1983-10-22 @ Rangers W 2-174.0 1652 1839 11.46% 24.06% 64.47%-1.07 +12.4 5
1983-10-22 St. Mirren W 3-275.7 1536 1765 18.09% 24.91% 57.00%-0.85 +10.4 4
1983-10-22 @ St. Johnstone L 2-375.7 1765 1536 57.00% 24.91% 18.09%+0.85 -10.4 4
1983-10-29 Hibernian W 5-150.8 1980 1763 66.61% 23.45% 9.94%+1.20 +7.9 14
1983-10-29 @ Celtic L 1-550.8 1763 1980 9.94% 23.45% 66.61%-1.20 -7.9 10
1983-10-29 Aberdeen L 1-356.0 1721 2019 13.10% 23.62% 63.28%-1.17 -5.5 7
1983-10-29 @ Dundee W 3-156.0 2019 1721 63.28% 23.62% 13.10%+1.17 +5.5 15
1983-10-29 St. Johnstone W 2-048.8 1615 1546 53.92% 25.89% 20.19%+0.53 +9.6 14
1983-10-29 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-248.8 1546 1615 20.19% 25.89% 53.92%-0.53 -9.6 4
1983-10-29 Dundee United D 2-278.4 1665 1971 12.60% 23.44% 63.96%-1.21 +1.9 6
1983-10-29 @ Motherwell D 2-278.4 1971 1665 63.96% 23.44% 12.60%+1.21 -1.9 15
1983-10-29 Rangers W 3-056.3 1755 1827 36.02% 26.47% 37.51%-0.13 +22.5 6
1983-10-29 @ St. Mirren L 0-356.3 1827 1755 37.51% 26.47% 36.02%+0.13 -22.5 7
1983-11-05 Dundee L 0-170.2 1969 1716 69.05% 22.63% 8.33%+1.37 -14.0 15
1983-11-05 @ Dundee United W 1-070.2 1716 1969 8.33% 22.63% 69.05%-1.37 +14.0 9
1983-11-05 Heart of Midlothian D 1-171.5 1756 1625 59.87% 25.07% 15.06%+0.81 -2.1 11
1983-11-05 @ Hibernian D 1-171.5 1625 1756 15.06% 25.07% 59.87%-0.81 +2.2 15
1983-11-05 St. Mirren D 0-067.4 1666 1777 30.79% 26.30% 42.91%-0.30 +0.6 7
1983-11-05 @ Motherwell D 0-067.4 1777 1666 42.91% 26.30% 30.79%+0.30 -0.6 7
1983-11-05 Celtic L 1-262.3 1804 1988 22.36% 25.59% 52.05%-0.64 -5.2 7
1983-11-05 @ Rangers W 2-162.3 1988 1804 52.05% 25.59% 22.36%+0.64 +5.2 16
1983-11-05 Aberdeen L 0-544.1 1536 2025 5.31% 18.85% 75.85%-2.05 -5.8 4
1983-11-05 @ St. Johnstone W 5-044.1 2025 1536 75.85% 18.85% 5.31%+2.05 +5.8 17
1983-11-12 Rangers W 3-047.1 2031 1799 67.63% 23.12% 9.25%+1.27 +6.7 19
1983-11-12 @ Aberdeen L 0-347.1 1799 2031 9.25% 23.12% 67.63%-1.27 -6.7 7
1983-11-12 Motherwell W 4-044.6 1993 1667 73.32% 20.81% 5.87%+1.71 +5.5 18
1983-11-12 @ Celtic L 0-444.6 1667 1993 5.87% 20.81% 73.32%-1.71 -5.5 7
1983-11-12 St. Johnstone W 7-044.6 1955 1531 78.18% 18.15% 3.67%+2.16 +5.5 17
1983-11-12 @ Dundee United L 0-744.6 1531 1955 3.67% 18.15% 78.18%-2.16 -5.5 4
1983-11-12 Hibernian W 2-163.0 1777 1753 48.70% 26.29% 25.01%+0.31 +5.7 9
1983-11-12 @ St. Mirren L 1-263.0 1753 1777 25.01% 26.29% 48.70%-0.31 -5.7 11
1983-11-13 Dundee L 1-361.2 1627 1730 31.85% 26.35% 41.81%-0.27 -11.9 15
1983-11-13 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-161.2 1730 1627 41.81% 26.35% 31.85%+0.27 +11.9 11
1983-11-19 Heart of Midlothian W 2-046.0 2037 1615 78.08% 18.21% 3.71%+2.15 +1.7 21
1983-11-19 @ Aberdeen L 0-246.0 1615 2037 3.71% 18.21% 78.08%-2.15 -1.7 15
1983-11-19 Motherwell W 2-052.1 1742 1662 55.03% 25.77% 19.20%+0.57 +9.2 13
1983-11-19 @ Dundee L 0-252.1 1662 1742 19.20% 25.77% 55.03%-0.57 -9.2 7
1983-11-19 St. Johnstone W 4-150.1 1748 1525 67.03% 23.32% 9.65%+1.23 +5.9 13
1983-11-19 @ Hibernian L 1-450.1 1525 1748 9.65% 23.32% 67.03%-1.23 -5.9 4
1983-11-19 Dundee United D 0-068.2 1792 1960 23.99% 25.78% 50.23%-0.57 +1.3 8
1983-11-19 @ Rangers D 0-068.2 1960 1792 50.23% 25.78% 23.99%+0.57 -1.3 18
1983-11-19 Celtic W 4-273.3 1782 1999 19.24% 25.13% 55.63%-0.79 +16.6 11
1983-11-19 @ St. Mirren L 2-473.3 1999 1782 55.63% 25.13% 19.24%+0.79 -16.6 18
1983-11-22 Dundee United W 4-059.2 1799 1959 24.85% 25.87% 49.28%-0.53 +36.6 13
1983-11-22 @ St. Mirren L 0-459.2 1959 1799 49.28% 25.87% 24.85%+0.53 -36.6 18
1983-11-26 Dundee W 1-052.5 1982 1751 67.61% 23.13% 9.26%+1.27 +2.5 20
1983-11-26 @ Celtic L 0-152.5 1751 1982 9.26% 23.13% 67.61%-1.27 -2.5 13
1983-11-26 Aberdeen L 0-256.5 1923 2039 30.05% 26.26% 43.69%-0.33 -13.1 18
1983-11-26 @ Dundee United W 2-056.5 2039 1923 43.69% 26.26% 30.05%+0.33 +13.1 23
1983-11-26 St. Mirren D 2-277.4 1613 1835 18.74% 25.04% 56.23%-0.82 +1.3 16
1983-11-26 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-277.4 1835 1613 56.23% 25.04% 18.74%+0.82 -1.3 14
1983-11-26 Hibernian L 1-264.6 1652 1754 32.03% 26.35% 41.62%-0.26 -6.9 7
1983-11-26 @ Motherwell W 2-164.6 1754 1652 41.62% 26.35% 32.03%+0.26 +6.9 15
1983-11-26 Rangers L 0-152.7 1519 1794 14.64% 24.10% 61.26%-1.06 -3.8 4
1983-11-26 @ St. Johnstone W 1-052.7 1794 1519 61.26% 24.10% 14.64%+1.06 +3.8 10
1983-12-03 Motherwell W 3-151.7 2052 1646 77.37% 18.64% 3.99%+2.08 +1.6 25
1983-12-03 @ Aberdeen L 1-351.7 1646 2052 3.99% 18.64% 77.37%-2.08 -1.6 7
1983-12-03 St. Mirren D 2-277.4 1748 1834 34.10% 26.43% 39.47%-0.19 +0.2 14
1983-12-03 @ Dundee D 2-277.4 1834 1748 39.47% 26.43% 34.10%+0.19 -0.2 15
1983-12-03 Dundee United L 0-255.1 1761 1909 26.12% 25.99% 47.89%-0.48 -11.7 15
1983-12-03 @ Hibernian W 2-055.1 1909 1761 47.89% 25.99% 26.12%+0.48 +11.7 20
1983-12-03 Heart of Midlothian W 3-047.3 1797 1615 64.15% 24.15% 11.70%+1.05 +8.5 12
1983-12-03 @ Rangers L 0-347.3 1615 1797 11.70% 24.15% 64.15%-1.05 -8.5 16
1983-12-03 Celtic L 0-344.5 1515 1984 5.82% 19.38% 74.80%-1.96 -4.0 4
1983-12-03 @ St. Johnstone W 3-044.5 1984 1515 74.80% 19.38% 5.82%+1.96 +4.0 22
1983-12-10 Aberdeen D 0-068.0 1988 2054 36.98% 26.49% 36.53%-0.10 -0.0 23
1983-12-10 @ Celtic D 0-068.0 2054 1988 36.53% 26.49% 36.98%+0.10 +0.0 26
1983-12-10 Hibernian L 0-358.6 1748 1749 45.79% 26.41% 27.80%+0.20 -26.4 14
1983-12-10 @ Dundee W 3-058.6 1749 1748 27.80% 26.41% 45.79%-0.20 +26.4 17
1983-12-10 Dundee United D 0-068.6 1606 1921 12.09% 23.25% 64.66%-1.25 +2.9 17
1983-12-10 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-068.6 1921 1606 64.66% 23.25% 12.09%+1.25 -2.9 21
1983-12-10 Rangers L 0-351.9 1644 1806 24.64% 25.85% 49.51%-0.54 -16.2 7
1983-12-10 @ Motherwell W 3-051.9 1806 1644 49.51% 25.85% 24.64%+0.54 +16.2 14
1983-12-10 St. Johnstone L 1-274.8 1834 1511 73.12% 20.90% 5.97%+1.69 -13.8 15
1983-12-10 @ St. Mirren W 2-174.8 1511 1834 5.97% 20.90% 73.12%-1.69 +13.8 6
1983-12-17 Hibernian W 2-156.7 2054 1775 70.61% 22.02% 7.37%+1.49 +1.8 28
1983-12-17 @ Aberdeen L 1-256.7 1775 2054 7.37% 22.02% 70.61%-1.49 -1.8 17
1983-12-17 Celtic L 1-354.0 1609 1988 8.91% 21.73% 69.35%-1.54 -3.8 17
1983-12-17 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-154.0 1988 1609 69.35% 21.73% 8.91%+1.54 +3.8 25
1983-12-17 Dundee W 2-160.5 1822 1722 57.05% 25.51% 17.44%+0.67 +4.2 16
1983-12-17 @ Rangers L 1-260.5 1722 1822 17.44% 25.51% 57.05%-0.67 -4.2 14
1983-12-17 Motherwell W 3-160.7 1525 1628 31.88% 26.35% 41.78%-0.27 +14.6 8
1983-12-17 @ St. Johnstone L 1-360.7 1628 1525 41.78% 26.35% 31.88%+0.27 -14.6 7
1983-12-24 Aberdeen L 0-350.1 1820 2056 17.60% 24.81% 57.59%-0.88 -12.2 15
1983-12-24 @ St. Mirren W 3-050.1 2056 1820 57.59% 24.81% 17.60%+0.88 +12.2 30
1983-12-26 Heart of Midlothian D 1-169.0 1613 1605 46.81% 26.38% 26.82%+0.24 -0.9 8
1983-12-26 @ Motherwell D 1-169.0 1605 1613 26.82% 26.38% 46.81%-0.24 +0.9 18
1983-12-27 Dundee United D 1-172.4 1992 1918 54.39% 25.84% 19.77%+0.55 -1.6 26
1983-12-27 @ Celtic D 1-172.4 1918 1992 19.77% 25.84% 54.39%-0.55 +1.6 22
1983-12-27 St. Johnstone L 0-166.7 1718 1540 63.79% 24.24% 11.97%+1.03 -13.0 14
1983-12-27 @ Dundee W 1-066.7 1540 1718 11.97% 24.24% 63.79%-1.03 +13.0 10
1983-12-27 Rangers L 0-258.9 1773 1826 38.71% 26.50% 34.78%-0.04 -15.9 17
1983-12-27 @ Hibernian W 2-058.9 1826 1773 34.78% 26.50% 38.71%+0.04 +15.9 18
1983-12-31 Dundee W 5-252.8 2068 1705 75.25% 19.83% 4.92%+1.88 +2.5 32
1983-12-31 @ Aberdeen L 2-552.8 1705 2068 4.92% 19.83% 75.25%-1.88 -2.5 14
1983-12-31 Motherwell W 2-155.9 1920 1612 72.30% 21.29% 6.41%+1.63 +1.6 24
1983-12-31 @ Dundee United L 1-255.9 1612 1920 6.41% 21.29% 72.30%-1.63 -1.6 8
1983-12-31 Celtic L 0-155.6 1757 1991 17.79% 24.86% 57.35%-0.87 -4.5 17
1983-12-31 @ Hibernian W 1-055.6 1991 1757 57.35% 24.86% 17.79%+0.87 +4.5 28
1983-12-31 St. Mirren D 1-172.1 1842 1808 50.02% 26.21% 23.77%+0.36 -1.2 19
1983-12-31 @ Rangers D 1-172.1 1808 1842 23.77% 26.21% 50.02%-0.36 +1.2 16
1983-12-31 Heart of Midlothian L 1-262.9 1553 1606 38.67% 26.50% 34.82%-0.04 -7.9 10
1983-12-31 @ St. Johnstone W 2-162.9 1606 1553 34.82% 26.50% 38.67%+0.04 +7.9 20
1984-01-02 Hibernian D 1-171.1 1614 1753 27.31% 26.08% 46.61%-0.43 +0.8 21
1984-01-02 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-171.1 1753 1614 46.61% 26.08% 27.31%+0.43 -0.9 18
1984-01-03 Motherwell W 2-157.5 1809 1611 65.33% 23.83% 10.84%+1.12 +2.7 18
1984-01-03 @ St. Mirren L 1-257.5 1611 1809 10.84% 23.83% 65.33%-1.12 -2.7 8
1984-01-07 Heart of Midlothian W 4-154.0 1702 1615 55.77% 25.68% 18.55%+0.61 +10.9 16
1984-01-07 @ Dundee L 1-454.0 1615 1702 18.55% 25.68% 55.77%-0.61 -10.9 21
1984-01-07 St. Mirren D 1-171.9 1752 1812 37.78% 26.50% 35.73%-0.07 -0.1 19
1984-01-07 @ Hibernian D 1-171.9 1812 1752 35.73% 26.50% 37.78%+0.07 +0.1 19
1984-01-07 Celtic D 2-278.9 1608 1995 8.59% 21.54% 69.88%-1.58 +2.3 9
1984-01-07 @ Motherwell D 2-278.9 1995 1608 69.88% 21.54% 8.59%+1.58 -2.3 29
1984-01-07 Aberdeen D 1-172.6 1841 2070 18.12% 24.92% 56.96%-0.85 +1.8 20
1984-01-07 @ Rangers D 1-172.6 2070 1841 56.96% 24.92% 18.12%+0.85 -1.8 33
1984-01-07 Dundee United L 1-256.6 1545 1922 9.02% 21.80% 69.18%-1.53 -2.2 10
1984-01-07 @ St. Johnstone W 2-156.6 1922 1545 69.18% 21.80% 9.02%+1.53 +2.2 26
1984-01-21 St. Johnstone W 2-047.0 1843 1543 71.88% 21.47% 6.64%+1.59 +3.3 22
1984-01-21 @ Rangers L 0-247.0 1543 1843 6.64% 21.47% 71.88%-1.59 -3.3 10
1984-02-04 Celtic W 1-056.5 2069 1993 54.59% 25.82% 19.59%+0.56 +4.9 35
1984-02-04 @ Aberdeen L 0-156.5 1993 2069 19.59% 25.82% 54.59%-0.56 -5.0 29
1984-02-04 Motherwell W 2-156.9 1846 1610 67.94% 23.02% 9.04%+1.29 +2.3 24
1984-02-04 @ Rangers L 1-256.9 1610 1846 9.04% 23.02% 67.94%-1.29 -2.3 9
1984-02-04 St. Johnstone D 1-172.1 1812 1539 70.25% 22.16% 7.59%+1.46 -3.1 20
1984-02-04 @ St. Mirren D 1-172.1 1539 1812 7.59% 22.16% 70.25%-1.46 +3.1 11
1984-02-11 St. Johnstone W 5-251.3 1988 1542 79.11% 17.57% 3.32%+2.26 +1.6 31
1984-02-11 @ Celtic L 2-551.3 1542 1988 3.32% 17.57% 79.11%-2.26 -1.6 11
1984-02-11 Hibernian W 2-050.5 1924 1752 63.29% 24.36% 12.35%+1.00 +6.2 28
1984-02-11 @ Dundee United L 0-250.5 1752 1924 12.35% 24.36% 63.29%-1.00 -6.2 19
1984-02-11 Rangers D 2-277.5 1604 1849 16.87% 24.66% 58.47%-0.92 +1.5 22
1984-02-11 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-277.5 1849 1604 58.47% 24.66% 16.87%+0.92 -1.5 25
1984-02-11 Aberdeen L 0-444.2 1608 2073 5.92% 19.47% 74.61%-1.94 -5.3 9
1984-02-11 @ Motherwell W 4-044.2 2073 1608 74.61% 19.47% 5.92%+1.94 +5.3 37
1984-02-11 Dundee W 4-049.4 1809 1713 56.60% 25.57% 17.82%+0.65 +16.3 22
1984-02-11 @ St. Mirren L 0-449.4 1713 1809 17.82% 25.57% 56.60%-0.65 -16.3 16
1984-02-14 St. Mirren W 2-050.7 1989 1825 62.71% 24.50% 12.80%+0.96 +6.4 33
1984-02-14 @ Celtic L 0-250.7 1825 1989 12.80% 24.50% 62.71%-0.96 -6.4 22
1984-02-18 Hibernian W 1-064.7 1541 1746 20.28% 25.30% 54.43%-0.74 +11.1 13
1984-02-18 @ St. Johnstone L 0-164.7 1746 1541 54.43% 25.30% 20.28%+0.74 -11.1 19
1984-02-25 Heart of Midlothian W 4-149.3 1996 1606 76.59% 19.09% 4.32%+2.01 +2.5 35
1984-02-25 @ Celtic L 1-449.3 1606 1996 4.32% 19.09% 76.59%-2.01 -2.5 22
1984-02-25 Rangers L 1-360.3 1697 1847 25.98% 25.97% 48.05%-0.49 -10.1 16
1984-02-25 @ Dundee W 3-160.3 1847 1697 48.05% 25.97% 25.98%+0.49 +10.1 27
1984-02-25 Aberdeen L 0-249.5 1735 2079 10.53% 22.59% 66.88%-1.38 -5.2 19
1984-02-25 @ Hibernian W 2-049.5 2079 1735 66.88% 22.59% 10.53%+1.38 +5.2 39
1984-02-25 St. Johnstone W 1-052.5 1603 1552 51.87% 26.07% 22.06%+0.44 +5.5 11
1984-02-25 @ Motherwell L 0-152.5 1552 1603 22.06% 26.07% 51.87%-0.44 -5.5 13
1984-02-25 Dundee United D 2-277.6 1819 1930 30.74% 26.29% 42.96%-0.31 +0.4 23
1984-02-25 @ St. Mirren D 2-277.6 1930 1819 42.96% 26.29% 30.74%+0.31 -0.4 29
1984-02-29 Dundee W 3-158.9 1730 1687 51.00% 26.14% 22.86%+0.40 +9.2 21
1984-02-29 @ Hibernian L 1-358.9 1687 1730 22.86% 26.14% 51.00%-0.40 -9.2 16
1984-03-03 St. Mirren W 2-048.6 2084 1819 69.77% 22.35% 7.88%+1.43 +3.9 41
1984-03-03 @ Aberdeen L 0-248.6 1819 2084 7.88% 22.35% 69.77%-1.43 -3.9 23
1984-03-03 Celtic W 3-164.1 1929 1998 36.49% 26.48% 37.03%-0.11 +13.3 31
1984-03-03 @ Dundee United L 1-364.1 1998 1929 37.03% 26.48% 36.49%+0.11 -13.3 35
1984-03-03 Motherwell W 2-161.0 1603 1608 45.20% 26.43% 28.37%+0.18 +6.3 24
1984-03-03 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-261.0 1608 1603 28.37% 26.43% 45.20%-0.18 -6.3 11
1984-03-03 Hibernian D 0-068.2 1857 1739 58.77% 25.26% 15.97%+0.75 -2.3 28
1984-03-03 @ Rangers D 0-068.2 1739 1857 15.97% 25.26% 58.77%-0.75 +2.3 22
1984-03-03 Dundee W 1-061.2 1547 1678 28.25% 26.15% 45.60%-0.40 +9.6 15
1984-03-03 @ St. Johnstone L 0-161.2 1678 1547 45.60% 26.15% 28.25%+0.40 -9.6 16
1984-03-06 Rangers L 1-452.6 1556 1855 13.06% 23.60% 63.34%-1.17 -7.8 15
1984-03-06 @ St. Johnstone W 4-152.6 1855 1556 63.34% 23.60% 13.06%+1.17 +7.8 30
1984-03-10 Motherwell L 1-272.2 1741 1602 60.62% 24.93% 14.45%+0.85 -11.7 22
1984-03-10 @ Hibernian W 2-172.2 1602 1741 14.45% 24.93% 60.62%-0.85 +11.7 13
1984-03-11 Heart of Midlothian W 3-152.6 1943 1609 73.71% 20.62% 5.67%+1.74 +2.4 33
1984-03-11 @ Dundee United L 1-352.6 1609 1943 5.67% 20.62% 73.71%-1.74 -2.4 24
1984-03-17 Heart of Midlothian D 1-172.2 1815 1607 66.03% 23.63% 10.34%+1.17 -2.8 24
1984-03-17 @ St. Mirren D 1-172.2 1607 1815 10.34% 23.63% 66.03%-1.17 +2.8 25
1984-03-18 St. Johnstone L 1-272.2 1729 1548 64.01% 24.18% 11.81%+1.04 -12.3 22
1984-03-18 @ Hibernian W 2-172.2 1548 1729 11.81% 24.18% 64.01%-1.04 +12.3 17
1984-03-20 Celtic W 3-279.3 1668 1985 11.97% 23.21% 64.82%-1.26 +11.7 18
1984-03-20 @ Dundee L 2-379.3 1985 1668 64.82% 23.21% 11.97%+1.26 -11.7 35
1984-03-21 Hibernian W 3-157.7 1812 1717 56.59% 25.58% 17.84%+0.65 +7.5 26
1984-03-21 @ St. Mirren L 1-357.7 1717 1812 17.84% 25.58% 56.59%-0.65 -7.5 22
1984-03-24 St. Mirren W 2-171.3 1610 1820 19.79% 25.22% 54.99%-0.76 +10.6 27
1984-03-24 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-271.3 1820 1610 54.99% 25.22% 19.79%+0.76 -10.6 26
1984-03-24 Hibernian L 2-369.1 1613 1710 32.72% 26.38% 40.90%-0.24 -6.6 13
1984-03-24 @ Motherwell W 3-269.1 1710 1613 40.90% 26.38% 32.72%+0.24 +6.6 24
1984-03-28 Dundee L 2-465.8 1607 1680 35.91% 26.47% 37.62%-0.13 -11.6 13
1984-03-28 @ Motherwell W 4-265.8 1680 1607 37.62% 26.47% 35.91%+0.13 +11.6 20
1984-03-30 St. Johnstone W 1-048.0 2088 1561 82.44% 15.33% 2.23%+2.64 +0.5 43
1984-03-30 @ Aberdeen L 0-148.0 1561 2088 2.23% 15.33% 82.44%-2.64 -0.5 17
1984-03-31 Aberdeen W 1-063.8 1973 2088 30.24% 26.27% 43.49%-0.32 +9.2 37
1984-03-31 @ Celtic L 0-163.8 2088 1973 43.49% 26.27% 30.24%+0.32 -9.2 43
1984-03-31 Hibernian L 1-267.8 1691 1716 42.60% 26.49% 30.92%+0.09 -8.6 20
1984-03-31 @ Dundee W 2-167.8 1716 1691 30.92% 26.49% 42.60%-0.09 +8.5 26
1984-03-31 Dundee United D 0-068.8 1620 1945 11.54% 23.03% 65.43%-1.29 +3.0 28
1984-03-31 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-068.8 1945 1620 65.43% 23.03% 11.54%+1.29 -2.9 34
1984-03-31 Rangers L 0-348.6 1595 1863 15.14% 24.23% 60.63%-1.03 -10.6 13
1984-03-31 @ Motherwell W 3-048.6 1863 1595 60.63% 24.23% 15.14%+1.03 +10.6 32
1984-03-31 St. Mirren W 4-273.0 1560 1809 16.50% 24.58% 58.92%-0.94 +17.5 19
1984-03-31 @ St. Johnstone L 2-473.0 1809 1560 58.92% 24.58% 16.50%+0.94 -17.5 26
1984-04-02 Rangers W 3-050.0 1983 1873 57.91% 25.39% 16.70%+0.71 +11.8 39
1984-04-02 @ Celtic L 0-350.0 1873 1983 16.70% 25.39% 57.91%-0.71 -11.8 32
1984-04-02 Dundee United L 2-557.3 1683 1942 15.72% 24.39% 59.89%-0.99 -8.0 20
1984-04-02 @ Dundee W 5-257.3 1942 1683 59.89% 24.39% 15.72%+0.99 +8.0 36
1984-04-02 Heart of Midlothian D 1-174.8 2079 1623 79.57% 17.28% 3.15%+2.31 -3.8 44
1984-04-02 @ Aberdeen D 1-174.8 1623 2079 3.15% 17.28% 79.57%-2.31 +3.8 29
1984-04-07 Motherwell W 2-153.5 2075 1585 81.02% 16.32% 2.66%+2.47 +0.6 46
1984-04-07 @ Aberdeen L 1-253.5 1585 2075 2.66% 16.32% 81.02%-2.47 -0.6 13
1984-04-07 St. Mirren L 2-561.7 1675 1792 29.98% 26.25% 43.76%-0.33 -13.9 20
1984-04-07 @ Dundee W 5-261.7 1792 1675 43.76% 26.25% 29.98%+0.33 +13.9 28
1984-04-07 Dundee United W 1-067.2 1725 1950 18.43% 24.98% 56.59%-0.83 +11.5 28
1984-04-07 @ Hibernian L 0-167.2 1950 1725 56.59% 24.98% 18.43%+0.83 -11.6 36
1984-04-07 Heart of Midlothian D 0-068.5 1862 1627 67.83% 23.06% 9.12%+1.29 -3.3 33
1984-04-07 @ Rangers D 0-068.5 1627 1862 9.12% 23.06% 67.83%-1.29 +3.3 30
1984-04-07 Celtic D 0-069.5 1578 1994 7.46% 20.78% 71.76%-1.72 +3.6 20
1984-04-07 @ St. Johnstone D 0-069.5 1994 1578 71.76% 20.78% 7.46%+1.72 -3.6 40
1984-04-10 Motherwell W 4-255.7 1991 1584 77.37% 18.64% 3.99%+2.08 +1.5 42
1984-04-10 @ Celtic L 2-455.7 1584 1991 3.99% 18.64% 77.37%-2.08 -1.5 13
1984-04-14 St. Johnstone W 3-044.5 1939 1581 74.97% 19.98% 5.05%+1.85 +3.5 38
1984-04-14 @ Dundee United L 0-344.5 1581 1939 5.05% 19.98% 74.97%-1.85 -3.5 20
1984-04-18 Dundee United W 5-152.8 2076 1942 60.14% 25.02% 14.84%+0.82 +11.6 48
1984-04-18 @ Aberdeen L 1-552.8 1942 2076 14.84% 25.02% 60.14%-0.82 -11.6 38
1984-04-18 Motherwell W 1-053.6 1661 1583 54.86% 25.79% 19.35%+0.57 +4.9 22
1984-04-18 @ Dundee L 0-153.6 1583 1661 19.35% 25.79% 54.86%-0.57 -4.9 13
1984-04-18 Celtic L 2-463.4 1806 1992 22.06% 25.55% 52.38%-0.65 -7.9 28
1984-04-18 @ St. Mirren W 4-263.4 1992 1806 52.38% 25.55% 22.06%+0.65 +7.9 44
1984-04-21 Dundee D 1-173.2 1931 1666 69.78% 22.35% 7.87%+1.43 -3.1 39
1984-04-21 @ Dundee United D 1-173.2 1666 1931 7.87% 22.35% 69.78%-1.43 +3.1 23
1984-04-21 Heart of Midlothian D 0-067.1 1736 1630 57.60% 25.44% 16.96%+0.69 -2.1 29
1984-04-21 @ Hibernian D 0-067.1 1630 1736 16.96% 25.44% 57.60%-0.69 +2.2 31
1984-04-21 St. Mirren W 1-066.0 1578 1798 18.90% 25.07% 56.03%-0.81 +11.5 15
1984-04-21 @ Motherwell L 0-166.0 1798 1578 56.03% 25.07% 18.90%+0.81 -11.5 28
1984-04-21 Celtic W 1-064.7 1858 2000 26.94% 26.05% 47.00%-0.45 +9.8 35
1984-04-21 @ Rangers L 0-164.7 2000 1858 47.00% 26.05% 26.94%+0.45 -9.8 44
1984-04-21 Aberdeen L 0-246.4 1578 2088 4.79% 18.26% 76.95%-2.15 -2.2 20
1984-04-21 @ St. Johnstone W 2-046.4 2088 1578 76.95% 18.26% 4.79%+2.15 +2.2 50
1984-04-24 Dundee W 3-045.3 1990 1669 73.06% 20.93% 6.01%+1.69 +4.3 46
1984-04-24 @ Celtic L 0-345.3 1669 1990 6.01% 20.93% 73.06%-1.69 -4.3 23
1984-04-28 Hibernian W 3-262.1 1995 1734 69.50% 22.45% 8.04%+1.41 +1.9 48
1984-04-28 @ Celtic L 2-362.1 1734 1995 8.04% 22.45% 69.50%-1.41 -1.9 29
1984-04-28 Aberdeen L 0-151.1 1665 2090 7.17% 20.55% 72.28%-1.75 -1.8 23
1984-04-28 @ Dundee W 1-051.1 2090 1665 72.28% 20.55% 7.17%+1.75 +1.8 52
1984-04-28 St. Johnstone D 2-274.3 1632 1575 52.59% 26.01% 21.40%+0.47 -1.1 32
1984-04-28 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-274.3 1575 1632 21.40% 26.01% 52.59%-0.47 +1.1 21
1984-04-28 Dundee United L 1-354.7 1589 1928 10.81% 22.72% 66.47%-1.36 -4.6 15
1984-04-28 @ Motherwell W 3-154.7 1928 1589 66.47% 22.72% 10.81%+1.36 +4.6 41
1984-04-28 Rangers D 1-172.1 1786 1868 34.68% 26.44% 38.88%-0.17 +0.2 29
1984-04-28 @ St. Mirren D 1-172.1 1868 1786 38.88% 26.44% 34.68%+0.17 -0.2 36
1984-04-30 St. Mirren W 2-051.1 1932 1786 61.17% 24.82% 14.01%+0.88 +6.9 43
1984-04-30 @ Dundee United L 0-251.1 1786 1932 14.01% 24.82% 61.17%-0.88 -6.9 29
1984-05-02 Aberdeen L 0-150.5 1631 2092 6.07% 19.62% 74.31%-1.92 -1.5 32
1984-05-02 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-050.5 2092 1631 74.31% 19.62% 6.07%+1.92 +1.5 54
1984-05-02 Dundee United D 2-277.6 1868 1939 36.15% 26.47% 37.37%-0.12 +0.0 37
1984-05-02 @ Rangers D 2-277.6 1939 1868 37.37% 26.47% 36.15%+0.12 -0.0 44
1984-05-05 Hibernian D 2-279.6 2093 1732 75.14% 19.89% 4.97%+1.87 -2.6 55
1984-05-05 @ Aberdeen D 2-279.6 1732 2093 4.97% 19.89% 75.14%-1.87 +2.6 30
1984-05-05 St. Mirren D 2-278.1 1939 1780 62.32% 24.58% 13.10%+0.94 -1.8 45
1984-05-05 @ Dundee United D 2-278.1 1780 1939 13.10% 24.58% 62.32%-0.94 +1.8 30
1984-05-05 Celtic D 1-173.3 1630 1996 9.46% 22.05% 68.49%-1.48 +2.9 33
1984-05-05 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-173.3 1996 1630 68.49% 22.05% 9.46%+1.48 -2.9 49
1984-05-05 Dundee D 2-278.1 1868 1663 65.80% 23.69% 10.50%+1.15 -2.0 38
1984-05-05 @ Rangers D 2-278.1 1663 1868 10.50% 23.69% 65.80%-1.15 +2.0 24
1984-05-05 Motherwell W 3-157.0 1577 1584 44.82% 26.44% 28.74%+0.17 +11.0 23
1984-05-05 @ St. Johnstone L 1-357.0 1584 1577 28.74% 26.44% 44.82%-0.17 -11.0 15
1984-05-07 Aberdeen D 0-068.2 1937 2090 25.63% 25.94% 48.42%-0.50 +1.1 46
1984-05-07 @ Dundee United D 0-068.2 2090 1937 48.42% 25.94% 25.63%+0.50 -1.1 56
1984-05-09 Rangers D 0-068.9 2089 1866 67.09% 23.30% 9.61%+1.24 -3.2 57
1984-05-09 @ Aberdeen D 0-068.9 1866 2089 9.61% 23.30% 67.09%-1.24 +3.2 39
1984-05-09 Dundee D 1-170.2 1633 1665 41.63% 26.50% 31.87%+0.06 -0.4 34
1984-05-09 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-170.2 1665 1633 31.87% 26.50% 41.63%-0.06 +0.4 25
1984-05-12 Dundee United D 1-172.3 1994 1938 52.39% 26.03% 21.58%+0.46 -1.4 50
1984-05-12 @ Celtic D 1-172.3 1938 1994 21.58% 26.03% 52.39%-0.46 +1.4 47
1984-05-12 St. Johnstone W 2-050.5 1665 1588 54.79% 25.79% 19.41%+0.56 +9.2 27
1984-05-12 @ Dundee L 0-250.5 1588 1665 19.41% 25.79% 54.79%-0.56 -9.2 23
1984-05-12 Rangers D 0-067.9 1735 1869 27.86% 26.12% 46.02%-0.41 +0.9 31
1984-05-12 @ Hibernian D 0-067.9 1869 1735 46.02% 26.12% 27.86%+0.41 -0.9 40
1984-05-12 Heart of Midlothian L 0-158.6 1573 1632 37.91% 26.50% 35.60%-0.07 -8.3 15
1984-05-12 @ Motherwell W 1-058.6 1632 1573 35.60% 26.50% 37.91%+0.07 +8.3 36
1984-05-12 Aberdeen W 3-279.2 1781 2086 12.69% 23.47% 63.84%-1.20 +11.6 32
1984-05-12 @ St. Mirren L 2-379.2 2086 1781 63.84% 23.47% 12.69%+1.20 -11.5 57
1984-05-14 Rangers L 1-271.9 1940 1868 54.16% 25.86% 19.97%+0.54 -10.5 47
1984-05-14 @ Dundee United W 2-171.9 1868 1940 19.97% 25.86% 54.16%-0.54 +10.5 42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1983-12-10 5.97% St. Johnstone 1511 2 @ St. Mirren 1834 1
2 1983-11-05 8.33% Dundee 1716 1 @ Dundee United 1969 0
3 1983-10-22 11.46% Motherwell 1652 2 @ Rangers 1839 1
4 1983-09-24 11.77% Heart of Midlothian 1604 1 @ St. Mirren 1786 0
5 1984-03-18 11.81% St. Johnstone 1548 2 @ Hibernian 1729 1
6 1983-12-27 11.97% St. Johnstone 1540 1 @ Dundee 1718 0
7 1984-03-20 11.97% @ Dundee 1668 3 Celtic 1985 2
8 1983-10-01 12.58% Rangers 1819 2 @ Dundee United 1987 0
9 1984-05-12 12.69% @ St. Mirren 1781 3 Aberdeen 2086 2
10 1983-10-15 14.29% St. Johnstone 1523 1 @ Motherwell 1665 0
11 1984-03-10 14.45% Motherwell 1602 2 @ Hibernian 1741 1
12 1983-10-15 14.62% @ Hibernian 1746 2 Aberdeen 2021 1
13 1983-09-10 14.75% @ Heart of Midlothian 1573 3 Rangers 1846 1
14 1983-09-17 15.90% Heart of Midlothian 1593 2 @ Dundee 1712 1
15 1984-03-31 16.50% @ St. Johnstone 1560 4 St. Mirren 1809 2
16 1983-10-22 18.09% @ St. Johnstone 1536 3 St. Mirren 1765 2
17 1984-04-07 18.43% @ Hibernian 1725 1 Dundee United 1950 0
18 1984-04-21 18.90% @ Motherwell 1578 1 St. Mirren 1798 0
19 1983-11-19 19.24% @ St. Mirren 1782 4 Celtic 1999 2
20 1984-03-24 19.79% @ Heart of Midlothian 1610 2 St. Mirren 1820 1
21 1984-05-14 19.97% Rangers 1868 2 @ Dundee United 1940 1
22 1984-02-18 20.28% @ St. Johnstone 1541 1 Hibernian 1746 0
23 1983-09-24 23.25% Dundee United 1977 2 @ Aberdeen 2016 1
24 1983-09-03 23.40% @ Heart of Midlothian 1563 3 Hibernian 1737 2
25 1983-11-22 24.85% @ St. Mirren 1799 4 Dundee United 1959 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1983-11-22 36.56 @ St. Mirren 4 1799 24.85% Dundee United 0 1959 49.28% 25.87%
2 1983-12-10 26.36 Hibernian 3 1749 27.80% @ Dundee 0 1748 45.79% 26.41%
3 1983-10-01 24.26 Rangers 2 1819 12.58% @ Dundee United 0 1987 62.99% 24.43%
4 1983-10-29 22.51 @ St. Mirren 3 1755 36.02% Rangers 0 1827 37.51% 26.47%
5 1983-09-10 20.26 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1573 14.75% Rangers 1 1846 61.12% 24.13%
6 1984-03-31 17.52 @ St. Johnstone 4 1560 16.50% St. Mirren 2 1809 58.92% 24.58%
7 1983-11-19 16.61 @ St. Mirren 4 1782 19.24% Celtic 2 1999 55.63% 25.13%
8 1984-02-11 16.32 @ St. Mirren 4 1809 56.60% Dundee 0 1713 17.82% 25.57%
9 1983-12-10 16.25 Rangers 3 1806 49.51% @ Motherwell 0 1644 24.64% 25.85%
10 1983-12-27 15.87 Rangers 2 1826 34.78% @ Hibernian 0 1773 38.71% 26.50%
11 1983-10-01 15.28 Dundee 3 1692 29.32% @ Motherwell 1 1680 44.22% 26.46%
12 1983-10-01 14.77 Hibernian 3 1736 52.49% @ St. Johnstone 0 1549 21.97% 25.54%
13 1983-12-17 14.57 @ St. Johnstone 3 1525 31.88% Motherwell 1 1628 41.78% 26.35%
14 1983-11-05 13.98 Dundee 1 1716 8.33% @ Dundee United 0 1969 69.05% 22.63%
15 1984-04-07 13.88 St. Mirren 5 1792 43.76% @ Dundee 2 1675 29.98% 26.25%
16 1983-09-17 13.82 @ Hibernian 3 1717 34.53% St. Mirren 1 1800 39.03% 26.44%
17 1983-12-10 13.80 St. Johnstone 2 1511 5.97% @ St. Mirren 1 1834 73.12% 20.90%
18 1984-03-03 13.30 @ Dundee United 3 1929 36.49% Celtic 1 1998 37.03% 26.48%
19 1983-11-26 13.10 Aberdeen 2 2039 43.69% @ Dundee United 0 1923 30.05% 26.26%
20 1983-09-24 13.07 Heart of Midlothian 1 1604 11.77% @ St. Mirren 0 1786 64.06% 24.17%
21 1983-12-27 13.02 St. Johnstone 1 1540 11.97% @ Dundee 0 1718 63.79% 24.24%
22 1983-10-15 12.45 St. Johnstone 1 1523 14.29% @ Motherwell 0 1665 60.82% 24.89%
23 1983-10-22 12.39 Motherwell 2 1652 11.46% @ Rangers 1 1839 64.47% 24.06%
24 1984-03-18 12.31 St. Johnstone 2 1548 11.81% @ Hibernian 1 1729 64.01% 24.18%
25 1983-12-24 12.19 Aberdeen 3 2056 57.59% @ St. Mirren 0 1820 17.60% 24.81%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1984-05-05 79.6 @ Aberdeen 2 2093 75.14% Hibernian 2 1732 4.97% 19.89%
2 1984-03-20 79.3 @ Dundee 3 1668 11.97% Celtic 2 1985 64.82% 23.21%
3 1984-05-12 79.2 @ St. Mirren 3 1781 12.69% Aberdeen 2 2086 63.84% 23.47%
4 1984-01-07 78.9 @ Motherwell 2 1608 8.59% Celtic 2 1995 69.88% 21.54%
5 1983-10-29 78.4 @ Motherwell 2 1665 12.60% Dundee United 2 1971 63.96% 23.44%
6 1984-05-05 78.1 @ Dundee United 2 1939 62.32% St. Mirren 2 1780 13.10% 24.58%
7 1984-05-05 78.1 @ Rangers 2 1868 65.80% Dundee 2 1663 10.50% 23.69%
8 1984-02-25 77.6 @ St. Mirren 2 1819 30.74% Dundee United 2 1930 42.96% 26.29%
9 1984-05-02 77.6 @ Rangers 2 1868 36.15% Dundee United 2 1939 37.37% 26.47%
10 1984-02-11 77.5 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1604 16.87% Rangers 2 1849 58.47% 24.66%
11 1983-11-26 77.4 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1613 18.74% St. Mirren 2 1835 56.23% 25.04%
12 1983-12-03 77.4 @ Dundee 2 1748 34.10% St. Mirren 2 1834 39.47% 26.43%
13 1983-10-22 75.7 @ St. Johnstone 3 1536 18.09% St. Mirren 2 1765 57.00% 24.91%
14 1983-12-10 74.8 St. Johnstone 2 1511 5.97% @ St. Mirren 1 1834 73.12% 20.90%
15 1984-04-02 74.8 @ Aberdeen 1 2079 79.57% Heart of Midlothian 1 1623 3.15% 17.28%
16 1984-04-28 74.3 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1632 52.59% St. Johnstone 2 1575 21.40% 26.01%
17 1983-10-15 74.2 @ Dundee 3 1718 28.43% Rangers 2 1848 45.41% 26.16%
18 1983-09-03 74.1 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1563 23.40% Hibernian 2 1737 50.89% 25.72%
19 1983-10-15 74.1 @ Celtic 1 1994 76.12% Heart of Midlothian 1 1613 4.53% 19.35%
20 1983-10-22 74.0 Motherwell 2 1652 11.46% @ Rangers 1 1839 64.47% 24.06%
21 1983-10-15 73.5 @ Hibernian 2 1746 14.62% Aberdeen 1 2021 61.28% 24.09%
22 1983-11-19 73.3 @ St. Mirren 4 1782 19.24% Celtic 2 1999 55.63% 25.13%
23 1984-05-05 73.3 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1630 9.46% Celtic 1 1996 68.49% 22.05%
24 1984-04-21 73.2 @ Dundee United 1 1931 69.78% Dundee 1 1666 7.87% 22.35%
25 1983-09-10 73.1 @ Motherwell 1 1692 12.02% Aberdeen 1 2008 64.76% 23.23%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1983-09-03 43.1 @ Aberdeen 5 2005 79.10% St. Johnstone 0 1560 3.32% 17.58%
2 1983-11-05 44.1 Aberdeen 5 2025 75.85% @ St. Johnstone 0 1536 5.31% 18.85%
3 1984-02-11 44.2 Aberdeen 4 2073 74.61% @ Motherwell 0 1608 5.92% 19.47%
4 1983-12-03 44.5 Celtic 3 1984 74.80% @ St. Johnstone 0 1515 5.82% 19.38%
5 1984-04-14 44.5 @ Dundee United 3 1939 74.97% St. Johnstone 0 1581 5.05% 19.98%
6 1983-11-12 44.6 @ Celtic 4 1993 73.32% Motherwell 0 1667 5.87% 20.81%
7 1983-11-12 44.6 @ Dundee United 7 1955 78.18% St. Johnstone 0 1531 3.67% 18.15%
8 1984-04-24 45.3 @ Celtic 3 1990 73.06% Dundee 0 1669 6.01% 20.93%
9 1983-08-20 46.0 @ Dundee United 4 1946 68.71% Motherwell 0 1698 8.54% 22.75%
10 1983-11-19 46.0 @ Aberdeen 2 2037 78.08% Heart of Midlothian 0 1615 3.71% 18.21%
11 1983-08-20 46.2 @ Aberdeen 3 1999 70.27% Dundee 0 1726 7.58% 22.16%
12 1984-04-21 46.4 Aberdeen 2 2088 76.95% @ St. Johnstone 0 1578 4.79% 18.26%
13 1983-09-10 46.6 @ Dundee United 5 1964 67.99% Hibernian 0 1728 9.01% 23.00%
14 1983-10-08 46.7 @ Aberdeen 5 2010 67.83% St. Mirren 0 1776 9.11% 23.06%
15 1984-01-21 47.0 @ Rangers 2 1843 71.88% St. Johnstone 0 1543 6.64% 21.47%
16 1983-11-12 47.1 @ Aberdeen 3 2031 67.63% Rangers 0 1799 9.25% 23.12%
17 1983-12-03 47.3 @ Rangers 3 1797 64.15% Heart of Midlothian 0 1615 11.70% 24.15%
18 1984-03-30 48.0 @ Aberdeen 1 2088 82.44% St. Johnstone 0 1561 2.23% 15.33%
19 1983-10-01 48.4 Aberdeen 2 2006 69.98% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1617 8.52% 21.50%
20 1983-09-17 48.5 Celtic 3 1985 62.67% @ Motherwell 0 1694 13.56% 23.77%
21 1984-03-03 48.6 @ Aberdeen 2 2084 69.77% St. Mirren 0 1819 7.88% 22.35%
22 1984-03-31 48.6 Rangers 3 1863 60.63% @ Motherwell 0 1595 15.14% 24.23%
23 1983-10-29 48.8 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1615 53.92% St. Johnstone 0 1546 20.19% 25.89%
24 1984-02-25 49.3 @ Celtic 4 1996 76.59% Heart of Midlothian 1 1606 4.32% 19.09%
25 1984-02-11 49.4 @ St. Mirren 4 1809 56.60% Dundee 0 1713 17.82% 25.57%