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1989-90 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

51 points · 40th Title

Last Title: 1988-89

Relegated

Dundee

24 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Rangers

5.84 points above expected

51 points · 45.16 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celtic

7.79 points below expected

34 points · 41.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers Champion 36 20 11 5 51 48 19 +29 45.16 +5.84
2 Aberdeen 36 17 10 9 44 56 33 +23 45.05 -1.05
3 Heart of Midlothian 36 16 12 8 44 54 35 +19 38.20 +5.80
4 Dundee United 36 11 13 12 35 36 39 -3 38.10 -3.10
5 Celtic 36 10 14 12 34 37 37 0 41.79 -7.79
6 Motherwell 36 11 12 13 34 43 47 -4 33.05 +0.95
7 Hibernian 36 12 10 14 34 34 41 -7 34.05 -0.05
8 Dunfermline Athletic 36 11 8 17 30 37 50 -13 28.55 +1.45
9 St. Mirren 36 10 10 16 30 28 48 -20 27.26 +2.74
10 Dundee Relegated 36 5 14 17 24 41 65 -24 28.79 -4.79

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rangers 51 45.16 +5.84
2 Heart of Midlothian 44 38.20 +5.80
3 St. Mirren 30 27.26 +2.74
4 Dunfermline Athletic 30 28.55 +1.45
5 Motherwell 34 33.05 +0.95

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 34 41.79 -7.79
2 Dundee 24 28.79 -4.79
3 Dundee United 35 38.10 -3.10
4 Aberdeen 44 45.05 -1.05
5 Hibernian 34 34.05 -0.05

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 4 Feb 17 – Mar 24 1 in 305
2 Dunfermline Athletic 4 Oct 4 – Oct 28 1 in 296
3 St. Mirren 3 Jan 10 – Jan 27 1 in 78
4 Heart of Midlothian 4 Jan 1 – Jan 27 1 in 37
5 Rangers 5 Oct 14 – Nov 18 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 3 Jan 13 – Feb 3 1 in 88
2 Dundee 4 Sep 30 – Oct 21 1 in 53
3 Dunfermline Athletic 5 Jan 3 – Jan 27 1 in 53
4 Celtic 3 Oct 28 – Nov 18 1 in 48
5 Rangers 2 Aug 12 – Aug 19 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dunfermline Athletic 8 Sep 23 – Nov 8 1 in 100
2 Heart of Midlothian 10 Feb 17 – May 5 1 in 52
3 St. Mirren 5 Mar 17 – Apr 14 1 in 34
4 Dundee 5 Mar 3 – Apr 4 1 in 32
5 Rangers 15 Nov 25 – Mar 17 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 8 Mar 10 – May 2 1 in 77
2 Rangers 5 Feb 10 – Mar 24 1 in 51
3 Dundee 13 Aug 26 – Nov 25 1 in 34
4 Motherwell 9 Oct 28 – Dec 30 1 in 13
5 Aberdeen 4 Jan 27 – Feb 17 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rangers 1820 51 +10 8 6.0 +2.0
Aberdeen 1788 44 +10 7 6.0 +1.0
Heart of Midlothian 1726 44 +8 7 5.5 +1.5
Dundee United 1690 35 -5 4 5.1 -1.1
Motherwell 1624 34 -4 5 4.9 +0.1
Hibernian 1635 34 -3 4 4.8 -0.8
Celtic 1686 34 -39 2 5.9 -3.9
Dunfermline Athletic 1577 30 +12 5 3.7 +1.3
St. Mirren 1588 30 +20 5 4.0 +1.0
Dundee 1567 24 -7 3 4.0 -1.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN DU DA HOM HIB MOT RAN SM
Aberdeen —
1-2-1
6.13
2-2-0
7.80
2-1-1
6.42
4-0-0
7.70
0-2-2
6.34
2-0-2
7.04
2-2-0
7.30
1-1-2
5.27
3-0-1
7.85
Celtic
1-2-1
4.55
—
2-2-0
7.38
1-1-2
5.91
1-1-2
7.46
2-2-0
6.08
2-1-1
6.49
0-3-1
6.69
0-1-3
4.90
1-1-2
7.49
Dundee
0-2-2
3.01
0-2-2
3.39
—
2-2-0
3.85
1-0-3
5.33
0-2-2
3.98
1-2-1
4.47
1-0-3
4.73
0-2-2
2.84
0-2-2
5.35
Dundee United
1-1-2
4.29
2-1-1
4.77
0-2-2
6.88
—
3-1-0
6.67
1-2-1
5.22
2-1-1
6.09
1-2-1
6.23
0-1-3
4.08
1-2-1
6.94
Dunfermline Athletic
0-0-4
3.11
2-1-1
3.31
3-0-1
5.35
0-1-3
4.05
—
2-0-2
3.80
0-3-1
4.62
1-2-1
4.83
0-1-3
2.88
3-0-1
5.23
Heart of Midlothian
2-2-0
4.36
0-2-2
4.60
2-2-0
6.76
1-2-1
5.45
2-0-2
6.94
—
3-1-0
5.95
4-0-0
6.06
0-2-2
4.17
2-1-1
6.80
Hibernian
2-0-2
3.71
1-1-2
4.22
1-2-1
6.22
1-1-2
4.60
1-3-0
6.07
0-1-3
4.72
—
2-0-2
5.39
2-1-1
3.57
2-1-1
6.22
Motherwell
0-2-2
3.45
1-3-0
4.04
3-0-1
5.96
1-2-1
4.47
1-2-1
5.85
0-0-4
4.63
2-0-2
5.29
—
1-1-2
3.35
2-2-0
6.06
Rangers
2-1-1
5.40
3-1-0
5.79
2-2-0
8.00
3-1-0
6.62
3-1-0
7.96
2-2-0
6.54
1-1-2
7.18
2-1-1
7.44
—
2-1-1
7.95
St. Mirren
1-0-3
2.98
2-1-1
3.29
2-2-0
5.33
1-2-1
3.79
1-0-3
5.44
1-1-2
3.94
1-1-2
4.47
0-2-2
4.62
1-1-2
2.88
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.49 +6.3
Allowed 0.88 -6.2
Differential 0.96 +4.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%10.56%6.94%3.61%0.28%0.56%33.06%
110.56%15.56%5.56%3.06%0.56%0.28%35.56%
26.94%5.56%4.44%1.67%0.28%0.28%19.17%
33.61%3.06%1.67%0.56%0.28%0.28%9.44%
40.28%0.56%0.28%0.28%——1.39%
5+0.56%0.28%0.28%0.28%——1.39%
Total33.06%35.56%19.17%9.44%1.39%1.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.15 +0.00
SD 1.12 1.12 1.58
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
113.89%16.67%2.78%2.78%——36.11%
211.11%2.78%5.56%2.78%——22.22%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+2.78%—2.78%———5.56%
Total38.89%36.11%19.44%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 0.92 +0.64
SD 1.38 0.91 1.64
CV 0.89 0.99 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%8.33%5.56%——41.67%
15.56%25.00%—2.78%——33.33%
22.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
35.56%8.33%————13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%55.56%11.11%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.03 +0.00
SD 1.16 0.84 1.57
CV 1.13 0.82 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%2.78%5.56%——30.56%
12.78%13.89%11.11%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
22.78%5.56%8.33%5.56%—2.78%25.00%
3———2.78%—2.78%5.56%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%27.78%22.22%22.22%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.81 -0.67
SD 1.02 1.45 1.29
CV 0.89 0.80 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
116.67%22.22%5.56%2.78%——47.22%
28.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%——22.22%
3————2.78%—2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.11%36.11%13.89%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.08 -0.08
SD 0.79 1.11 1.18
CV 0.79 1.02 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%8.33%5.56%—2.78%38.89%
15.56%13.89%8.33%—2.78%—30.56%
28.33%11.11%2.78%—2.78%—25.00%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total19.44%47.22%19.44%5.56%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.39 -0.36
SD 1.11 1.20 1.78
CV 1.08 0.87 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%5.56%———19.44%
111.11%16.67%11.11%2.78%——41.67%
28.33%5.56%5.56%———19.44%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total38.89%30.56%25.00%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.97 +0.53
SD 1.30 0.94 1.48
CV 0.87 0.97 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%16.67%5.56%8.33%——44.44%
18.33%11.11%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
28.33%5.56%2.78%———16.67%
3—2.78%8.33%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%36.11%22.22%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.14 -0.19
SD 1.04 0.99 1.41
CV 1.10 0.87 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%8.33%8.33%——30.56%
18.33%19.44%5.56%5.56%——38.89%
22.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total25.00%36.11%22.22%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.31 -0.11
SD 1.17 1.04 1.72
CV 0.98 0.79 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%2.78%———25.00%
119.44%13.89%————33.33%
211.11%8.33%5.56%———25.00%
313.89%2.78%————16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total55.56%36.11%8.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.53 +0.81
SD 1.04 0.65 1.31
CV 0.78 1.24 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%8.33%16.67%—2.78%2.78%50.00%
113.89%2.78%5.56%5.56%—2.78%30.56%
25.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
32.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total41.67%13.89%27.78%8.33%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 1.33 -0.56
SD 0.96 1.45 1.75
CV 1.23 1.09 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rangers 1820 51 45.16 +5.84 94.0% 34 37 43 45 48 52 53
Aberdeen 1788 44 45.05 -1.05 46.0% 35 37 42 45 49 52 57
Heart of Midlothian 1726 44 38.20 +5.80 94.0% 27 32 35 38 41 45 53
Dundee United 1690 35 38.10 -3.10 32.0% 27 31 35 38 41 46 50
Celtic 1686 34 41.79 -7.79 6.0% 30 34 39 42 44 49 54
Hibernian 1635 34 34.05 -0.05 48.0% 22 27 31 35 37 41 43
Motherwell 1624 34 33.05 +0.95 60.0% 24 26 30 33 36 40 43
St. Mirren 1588 30 27.26 +2.74 71.0% 15 19 24 27 31 35 41
Dunfermline Athletic 1577 30 28.55 +1.45 65.0% 18 20 25 28 32 37 39
Dundee 1567 24 28.79 -4.79 19.0% 19 22 25 29 32 37 40

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.33%
Slight Edge
43.33%31.67%25.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
212 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
064.42600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.33 goals
Neutral
-2+0.30+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
Rangers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Comfortable
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.66 * Some Luck: 3.66 to 5.49 * Lucky: 5.49 to 7.32 * Wild Swing: 7.32 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.03 * Close: 1.03 to 1.54 * Off: 1.54 to 2.05 * Way Off: 2.05 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.62 * A Surprise: 0.62 to 0.99 * Several Surprises: 0.99 to 1.36 * Many Surprises: 1.36 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.15 points
Some Luck
04.5711
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.283
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
94.00%
Rangers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
6.00%
Celtic
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 1
Several Surprises
00.61

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 87.76
1.62
Coin-Flip Parity
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
81%
Even
50%84%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%66%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.84
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.86
Near-Lock
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Upset-Prone
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.13
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.80
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.099
Well Within Noise
00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rangers46.00%25.00%17.00%9.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
Aberdeen37.00%32.00%15.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%———
Heart of Midlothian3.00%7.00%21.00%17.00%18.00%20.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%—
Dundee United3.00%9.00%12.00%24.00%18.00%20.00%11.00%3.00%——
Celtic10.00%24.00%26.00%22.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%——
Motherwell1.00%1.00%5.00%7.00%15.00%16.00%21.00%13.00%18.00%3.00%
Hibernian—2.00%3.00%9.00%21.00%17.00%22.00%15.00%8.00%3.00%
Dunfermline Athletic———3.00%6.00%8.00%14.00%21.00%20.00%28.00%
St. Mirren———1.00%1.00%5.00%10.00%22.00%23.00%38.00%
Dundee——1.00%—7.00%5.00%10.00%20.00%29.00%28.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aberdeen 100% —
Celtic 100% —
Dundee United 100% —
Heart of Midlothian 100% —
Rangers 100% —
Hibernian 97.00% 3.00%
Motherwell 97.00% 3.00%
Dundee 72.00% 28.00%
Dunfermline Athletic 72.00% 28.00%
St. Mirren 62.00% 38.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1989-08-12 Hibernian W 1-053.9 1767 1647 58.01% 30.13% 11.87%+0.87 +2.4 2
1989-08-12 @ Aberdeen L 0-153.9 1647 1767 11.87% 30.13% 58.01%-0.87 -2.4 0
1989-08-12 Motherwell D 1-170.4 1705 1622 54.52% 31.33% 14.14%+0.69 -1.3 1
1989-08-12 @ Dundee United D 1-170.4 1622 1705 14.14% 31.33% 54.52%-0.69 +1.3 1
1989-08-12 Dundee W 2-161.8 1578 1611 41.76% 33.47% 24.76%+0.15 +4.2 2
1989-08-12 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-261.8 1611 1578 24.76% 33.47% 41.76%-0.15 -4.2 0
1989-08-12 Celtic L 1-364.5 1669 1739 36.86% 33.58% 29.57%-0.03 -9.4 0
1989-08-12 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-164.5 1739 1669 29.57% 33.58% 36.86%+0.03 +9.5 2
1989-08-12 St. Mirren L 0-168.2 1769 1594 62.68% 28.03% 9.29%+1.13 -8.9 0
1989-08-12 @ Rangers W 1-068.2 1594 1769 9.29% 28.03% 62.68%-1.13 +8.9 2
1989-08-19 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-052.1 1749 1582 61.98% 28.38% 9.64%+1.09 +1.9 4
1989-08-19 @ Celtic L 0-152.1 1582 1749 9.64% 28.38% 61.98%-1.09 -2.0 2
1989-08-19 Dundee United W 4-373.3 1607 1703 33.30% 33.47% 33.23%-0.15 +4.7 2
1989-08-19 @ Dundee L 3-473.3 1703 1607 33.23% 33.47% 33.30%+0.15 -4.7 1
1989-08-19 Rangers W 2-058.3 1644 1760 30.68% 33.30% 36.02%-0.24 +10.7 2
1989-08-19 @ Hibernian L 0-258.3 1760 1644 36.02% 33.30% 30.68%+0.24 -10.7 0
1989-08-19 Aberdeen D 0-065.3 1623 1769 26.87% 32.87% 40.26%-0.38 +0.4 2
1989-08-19 @ Motherwell D 0-065.3 1769 1623 40.26% 32.87% 26.87%+0.38 -0.4 3
1989-08-19 Heart of Midlothian L 1-267.5 1603 1659 38.74% 33.57% 27.68%+0.04 -5.7 2
1989-08-19 @ St. Mirren W 2-167.5 1659 1603 27.68% 33.57% 38.74%-0.04 +5.7 2
1989-08-26 Dundee W 1-052.7 1769 1612 61.21% 28.75% 10.04%+1.04 +2.0 5
1989-08-26 @ Aberdeen L 0-152.7 1612 1769 10.04% 28.75% 61.21%-1.04 -2.0 2
1989-08-26 Rangers D 1-171.0 1751 1749 45.95% 33.11% 20.94%+0.31 -0.8 5
1989-08-26 @ Celtic D 1-171.0 1749 1751 20.94% 33.11% 45.95%-0.31 +0.8 1
1989-08-26 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-158.7 1699 1580 57.85% 30.19% 11.96%+0.86 +2.3 3
1989-08-26 @ Dundee United L 1-258.7 1580 1699 11.96% 30.19% 57.85%-0.86 -2.3 2
1989-08-26 Hibernian W 1-056.5 1665 1655 46.91% 32.99% 20.10%+0.35 +3.8 4
1989-08-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-156.5 1655 1665 20.10% 32.99% 46.91%-0.35 -3.8 2
1989-08-26 St. Mirren W 3-156.4 1624 1597 48.81% 32.69% 18.50%+0.43 +5.8 4
1989-08-26 @ Motherwell L 1-356.4 1597 1624 18.50% 32.69% 48.81%-0.43 -5.8 2
1989-09-09 Heart of Midlothian D 2-275.0 1610 1669 38.40% 33.58% 28.02%+0.03 -0.2 3
1989-09-09 @ Dundee D 2-275.0 1669 1610 28.02% 33.58% 38.40%-0.03 +0.2 5
1989-09-09 Motherwell D 1-167.9 1578 1630 39.36% 33.56% 27.07%+0.06 -0.4 3
1989-09-09 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-167.9 1630 1578 27.07% 33.56% 39.36%-0.06 +0.4 5
1989-09-09 Dundee United W 2-055.2 1651 1701 39.64% 33.56% 26.81%+0.07 +8.8 4
1989-09-09 @ Hibernian L 0-255.2 1701 1651 26.81% 33.56% 39.64%-0.07 -8.8 3
1989-09-09 Aberdeen W 1-058.8 1750 1771 43.27% 33.38% 23.36%+0.21 +4.2 3
1989-09-09 @ Rangers L 0-158.8 1771 1750 23.36% 33.38% 43.27%-0.21 -4.2 5
1989-09-09 Celtic W 1-063.2 1591 1750 25.36% 32.63% 42.01%-0.44 +6.3 4
1989-09-09 @ St. Mirren L 0-163.2 1750 1591 42.01% 32.63% 25.36%+0.44 -6.3 5
1989-09-16 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-157.7 1767 1578 63.81% 27.45% 8.74%+1.20 +1.6 7
1989-09-16 @ Aberdeen L 1-257.7 1578 1767 8.74% 27.45% 63.81%-1.20 -1.6 3
1989-09-16 Celtic D 2-276.5 1692 1744 39.41% 33.56% 27.03%+0.06 -0.3 4
1989-09-16 @ Dundee United D 2-276.5 1744 1692 27.03% 33.56% 39.41%-0.06 +0.3 6
1989-09-16 St. Mirren W 3-156.0 1660 1598 52.55% 31.89% 15.57%+0.60 +5.0 6
1989-09-16 @ Hibernian L 1-356.0 1598 1660 15.57% 31.89% 52.55%-0.60 -5.0 4
1989-09-16 Heart of Midlothian L 1-364.7 1630 1669 41.04% 33.51% 25.45%+0.12 -10.2 5
1989-09-16 @ Motherwell W 3-164.7 1669 1630 25.45% 33.51% 41.04%-0.12 +10.2 7
1989-09-16 Dundee D 2-277.3 1754 1609 60.16% 29.23% 10.61%+0.99 -1.2 4
1989-09-16 @ Rangers D 2-277.3 1609 1754 10.61% 29.23% 60.16%-0.99 +1.2 4
1989-09-23 Motherwell D 1-171.2 1744 1620 58.35% 29.99% 11.66%+0.89 -1.6 7
1989-09-23 @ Celtic D 1-171.2 1620 1744 11.66% 29.99% 58.35%-0.89 +1.6 6
1989-09-23 Hibernian D 0-063.8 1611 1665 39.01% 33.57% 27.42%+0.05 -0.4 5
1989-09-23 @ Dundee D 0-063.8 1665 1611 27.42% 33.57% 39.01%-0.05 +0.4 7
1989-09-23 Rangers D 1-170.2 1576 1753 23.36% 32.24% 44.40%-0.53 +0.6 4
1989-09-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-170.2 1753 1576 44.40% 32.24% 23.36%+0.53 -0.6 5
1989-09-23 Dundee United D 1-170.3 1679 1692 44.27% 33.29% 22.44%+0.24 -0.7 8
1989-09-23 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-170.3 1692 1679 22.44% 33.29% 44.27%-0.24 +0.7 5
1989-09-23 Aberdeen L 0-253.9 1593 1768 23.49% 32.27% 44.24%-0.52 -7.9 4
1989-09-23 @ St. Mirren W 2-053.9 1768 1593 44.24% 32.27% 23.49%+0.52 +7.9 9
1989-09-30 Celtic D 1-171.3 1776 1742 49.58% 32.55% 17.88%+0.46 -1.0 10
1989-09-30 @ Aberdeen D 1-171.3 1742 1776 17.88% 32.55% 49.58%-0.46 +1.0 8
1989-09-30 St. Mirren D 0-064.8 1692 1585 56.90% 30.54% 12.56%+0.81 -1.6 6
1989-09-30 @ Dundee United D 0-064.8 1585 1692 12.56% 30.54% 56.90%-0.81 +1.7 5
1989-09-30 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-275.1 1665 1577 55.13% 31.14% 13.72%+0.72 -1.0 8
1989-09-30 @ Hibernian D 2-275.1 1577 1665 13.72% 31.14% 55.13%-0.72 +1.0 5
1989-09-30 Dundee W 3-049.6 1621 1610 47.06% 32.97% 19.98%+0.36 +10.3 8
1989-09-30 @ Motherwell L 0-349.6 1610 1621 19.98% 32.97% 47.06%-0.36 -10.3 5
1989-09-30 Heart of Midlothian W 1-055.3 1752 1678 53.68% 31.58% 14.74%+0.65 +2.9 7
1989-09-30 @ Rangers L 0-155.3 1678 1752 14.74% 31.58% 53.68%-0.65 -2.9 8
1989-10-03 Rangers W 1-062.3 1632 1755 29.64% 33.20% 37.16%-0.28 +5.8 10
1989-10-03 @ Motherwell L 0-162.3 1755 1632 37.16% 33.20% 29.64%+0.28 -5.8 7
1989-10-04 Hibernian W 3-157.1 1743 1664 54.17% 31.44% 14.39%+0.68 +4.7 10
1989-10-04 @ Celtic L 1-357.1 1664 1743 14.39% 31.44% 54.17%-0.68 -4.7 8
1989-10-04 Aberdeen W 2-057.4 1691 1775 34.99% 33.54% 31.47%-0.09 +9.8 8
1989-10-04 @ Dundee United L 0-257.4 1775 1691 31.47% 33.54% 34.99%+0.09 -9.8 10
1989-10-04 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-271.7 1675 1578 55.98% 30.86% 13.15%+0.77 -7.7 8
1989-10-04 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-171.7 1578 1675 13.15% 30.86% 55.98%-0.77 +7.7 7
1989-10-04 Dundee W 3-265.8 1586 1600 44.16% 33.30% 22.54%+0.24 +3.7 7
1989-10-04 @ St. Mirren L 2-365.8 1600 1586 22.54% 33.30% 44.16%-0.24 -3.7 5
1989-10-14 Heart of Midlothian L 1-369.6 1765 1668 55.94% 30.88% 13.18%+0.76 -13.3 10
1989-10-14 @ Aberdeen W 3-169.6 1668 1765 13.18% 30.88% 55.94%-0.76 +13.3 10
1989-10-14 Celtic L 1-360.6 1596 1748 26.16% 32.76% 41.07%-0.41 -7.4 5
1989-10-14 @ Dundee W 3-160.6 1748 1596 41.07% 32.76% 26.16%+0.41 +7.4 12
1989-10-14 St. Mirren W 5-152.4 1585 1590 45.22% 33.20% 21.59%+0.28 +11.9 9
1989-10-14 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-552.4 1590 1585 21.59% 33.20% 45.22%-0.28 -11.9 7
1989-10-14 Motherwell W 3-266.6 1660 1637 48.30% 32.78% 18.92%+0.41 +3.2 10
1989-10-14 @ Hibernian L 2-366.6 1637 1660 18.92% 32.78% 48.30%-0.41 -3.2 10
1989-10-14 Dundee United W 2-162.3 1749 1701 51.15% 32.22% 16.63%+0.53 +3.1 9
1989-10-14 @ Rangers L 1-262.3 1701 1749 16.63% 32.22% 51.15%-0.53 -3.1 8
1989-10-21 Heart of Midlothian W 2-161.4 1755 1681 53.72% 31.57% 14.71%+0.65 +2.8 14
1989-10-21 @ Celtic L 1-261.4 1681 1755 14.71% 31.57% 53.72%-0.65 -2.8 10
1989-10-21 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-267.7 1589 1597 44.79% 33.24% 21.97%+0.26 -6.3 5
1989-10-21 @ Dundee W 2-167.7 1597 1589 21.97% 33.24% 44.79%-0.26 +6.3 11
1989-10-21 Dundee United W 3-270.1 1634 1698 37.84% 33.58% 28.58%+0.01 +4.4 12
1989-10-21 @ Motherwell L 2-370.1 1698 1634 28.58% 33.58% 37.84%-0.01 -4.4 8
1989-10-25 Aberdeen L 0-356.2 1663 1752 34.32% 33.51% 32.17%-0.12 -15.1 10
1989-10-25 @ Hibernian W 3-056.2 1752 1663 32.17% 33.51% 34.32%+0.12 +15.1 12
1989-10-25 Rangers L 0-253.7 1578 1752 23.63% 32.30% 44.07%-0.52 -7.9 7
1989-10-25 @ St. Mirren W 2-053.7 1752 1578 44.07% 32.30% 23.63%+0.52 +7.9 11
1989-10-28 Motherwell W 1-053.7 1767 1639 58.75% 29.83% 11.42%+0.91 +2.3 14
1989-10-28 @ Aberdeen L 0-153.7 1639 1767 11.42% 29.83% 58.75%-0.91 -2.3 12
1989-10-28 Dundee D 0-064.8 1693 1582 57.16% 30.45% 12.39%+0.83 -1.7 9
1989-10-28 @ Dundee United D 0-064.8 1582 1693 12.39% 30.45% 57.16%-0.83 +1.7 6
1989-10-28 Celtic W 2-059.5 1603 1758 25.83% 32.71% 41.46%-0.43 +11.8 13
1989-10-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-259.5 1758 1603 41.46% 32.71% 25.83%+0.43 -11.8 14
1989-10-28 St. Mirren W 4-047.1 1678 1570 56.93% 30.53% 12.54%+0.81 +9.1 12
1989-10-28 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-447.1 1570 1678 12.54% 30.53% 56.93%-0.81 -9.1 7
1989-10-28 Hibernian W 3-048.6 1760 1648 57.32% 30.39% 12.29%+0.83 +6.8 13
1989-10-28 @ Rangers L 0-348.6 1648 1760 12.29% 30.39% 57.32%-0.83 -6.8 10
1989-11-04 Aberdeen D 1-170.5 1584 1769 22.49% 32.04% 45.48%-0.57 +0.7 7
1989-11-04 @ Dundee D 1-170.5 1769 1584 45.48% 32.04% 22.49%+0.57 -0.7 15
1989-11-04 Dundee United D 1-169.5 1615 1692 36.10% 33.57% 30.34%-0.06 -0.2 14
1989-11-04 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-169.5 1692 1615 30.34% 33.57% 36.10%+0.06 +0.2 10
1989-11-04 Heart of Midlothian D 1-169.8 1641 1687 40.07% 33.55% 26.39%+0.09 -0.4 11
1989-11-04 @ Hibernian D 1-169.8 1687 1641 26.39% 33.55% 40.07%-0.09 +0.4 13
1989-11-04 Celtic W 1-057.3 1767 1746 48.16% 32.80% 19.04%+0.40 +3.6 15
1989-11-04 @ Rangers L 0-157.3 1746 1767 19.04% 32.80% 48.16%-0.40 -3.6 14
1989-11-04 Motherwell D 2-273.5 1561 1636 36.23% 33.57% 30.20%-0.05 -0.1 8
1989-11-04 @ St. Mirren D 2-273.5 1636 1561 30.20% 33.57% 36.23%+0.05 +0.1 13
1989-11-08 Hibernian W 1-055.3 1692 1641 51.39% 32.17% 16.44%+0.54 +3.2 12
1989-11-08 @ Dundee United L 0-155.3 1641 1692 16.44% 32.17% 51.39%-0.54 -3.2 11
1989-11-08 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-169.0 1636 1615 48.19% 32.79% 19.01%+0.40 -0.9 14
1989-11-08 @ Motherwell D 1-169.0 1615 1636 19.01% 32.79% 48.19%-0.40 +0.9 15
1989-11-11 Dundee W 6-355.1 1688 1585 56.45% 30.70% 12.84%+0.79 +4.8 15
1989-11-11 @ Heart of Midlothian L 3-655.1 1585 1688 12.84% 30.70% 56.45%-0.79 -4.8 7
1989-11-18 Dundee United L 0-166.5 1743 1695 51.04% 32.25% 16.71%+0.53 -7.5 14
1989-11-18 @ Celtic W 1-066.5 1695 1743 16.71% 32.25% 51.04%-0.53 +7.5 14
1989-11-18 Rangers L 0-253.3 1580 1771 21.94% 31.90% 46.16%-0.60 -7.5 7
1989-11-18 @ Dundee W 2-053.3 1771 1580 46.16% 31.90% 21.94%+0.60 +7.5 17
1989-11-18 Aberdeen L 0-353.3 1616 1769 26.05% 32.75% 41.20%-0.42 -12.4 15
1989-11-18 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-053.3 1769 1616 41.20% 32.75% 26.05%+0.42 +12.4 17
1989-11-18 Motherwell W 3-049.6 1693 1636 52.01% 32.02% 15.97%+0.57 +8.6 17
1989-11-18 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-349.6 1636 1693 15.97% 32.02% 52.01%-0.57 -8.6 14
1989-11-18 Hibernian D 0-062.4 1561 1637 36.06% 33.57% 30.38%-0.06 -0.2 9
1989-11-18 @ St. Mirren D 0-062.4 1637 1561 30.38% 33.57% 36.06%+0.06 +0.2 12
1989-11-22 Rangers W 1-058.1 1781 1778 46.11% 33.09% 20.80%+0.32 +3.9 19
1989-11-22 @ Aberdeen L 0-158.1 1778 1781 20.80% 33.09% 46.11%-0.32 -3.9 17
1989-11-22 St. Mirren D 1-171.0 1735 1561 62.63% 28.06% 9.31%+1.13 -1.8 15
1989-11-22 @ Celtic D 1-171.0 1561 1735 9.31% 28.06% 62.63%-1.13 +1.8 10
1989-11-25 St. Mirren W 5-046.4 1785 1563 66.43% 25.99% 7.58%+1.35 +6.5 21
1989-11-25 @ Aberdeen L 0-546.4 1563 1785 7.58% 25.99% 66.43%-1.35 -6.5 10
1989-11-25 Heart of Midlothian W 2-163.6 1702 1701 45.92% 33.12% 20.97%+0.31 +3.7 16
1989-11-25 @ Dundee United L 1-263.6 1701 1702 20.97% 33.12% 45.92%-0.31 -3.7 17
1989-11-25 Dundee W 3-263.7 1638 1573 52.81% 31.82% 15.37%+0.61 +2.7 14
1989-11-25 @ Hibernian L 2-363.7 1573 1638 15.37% 31.82% 52.81%-0.61 -2.7 7
1989-11-25 Celtic D 0-064.9 1627 1733 31.91% 33.39% 34.70%-0.20 +0.1 15
1989-11-25 @ Motherwell D 0-064.9 1733 1627 34.70% 33.39% 31.91%+0.20 -0.1 16
1989-11-25 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-046.9 1774 1604 62.33% 28.21% 9.46%+1.11 +5.2 19
1989-11-25 @ Rangers L 0-346.9 1604 1774 9.46% 28.21% 62.33%-1.11 -5.2 15
1989-12-02 Aberdeen W 1-060.3 1733 1792 38.50% 33.58% 27.93%+0.03 +4.8 18
1989-12-02 @ Celtic L 0-160.3 1792 1733 27.93% 33.58% 38.50%-0.03 -4.8 21
1989-12-02 Motherwell W 2-162.9 1570 1627 38.65% 33.58% 27.77%+0.03 +4.5 9
1989-12-02 @ Dundee L 1-262.9 1627 1570 27.77% 33.58% 38.65%-0.03 -4.5 15
1989-12-02 Hibernian D 0-063.2 1598 1640 40.65% 33.53% 25.83%+0.11 -0.5 16
1989-12-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-063.2 1640 1598 25.83% 33.53% 40.65%-0.11 +0.5 15
1989-12-02 Rangers L 1-268.4 1698 1780 35.29% 33.55% 31.16%-0.08 -5.3 17
1989-12-02 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-168.4 1780 1698 31.16% 33.55% 35.29%+0.08 +5.3 21
1989-12-09 Dundee United W 2-051.7 1787 1706 54.34% 31.39% 14.27%+0.68 +5.4 23
1989-12-09 @ Aberdeen L 0-251.7 1706 1787 14.27% 31.39% 54.34%-0.68 -5.4 16
1989-12-09 St. Mirren D 3-375.3 1574 1556 47.86% 32.85% 19.29%+0.39 -0.5 10
1989-12-09 @ Dundee D 3-375.3 1556 1574 19.29% 32.85% 47.86%-0.39 +0.5 11
1989-12-09 Heart of Midlothian L 0-256.5 1598 1692 33.60% 33.48% 32.92%-0.14 -10.2 16
1989-12-09 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-056.5 1692 1598 32.92% 33.48% 33.60%+0.14 +10.2 19
1989-12-09 Celtic L 0-355.6 1641 1738 33.19% 33.46% 33.35%-0.15 -14.7 15
1989-12-09 @ Hibernian W 3-055.6 1738 1641 33.35% 33.46% 33.19%+0.15 +14.7 20
1989-12-09 Motherwell W 3-047.3 1785 1622 61.65% 28.54% 9.81%+1.07 +5.4 23
1989-12-09 @ Rangers L 0-347.3 1622 1785 9.81% 28.54% 61.65%-1.07 -5.4 15
1989-12-13 Dundee United W 1-061.5 1557 1701 27.06% 32.90% 40.04%-0.38 +6.1 13
1989-12-13 @ St. Mirren L 0-161.5 1701 1557 40.04% 32.90% 27.06%+0.38 -6.1 16
1989-12-16 Dundee W 4-151.0 1753 1574 63.00% 27.87% 9.13%+1.15 +4.2 22
1989-12-16 @ Celtic L 1-451.0 1574 1753 9.13% 27.87% 63.00%-1.15 -4.2 10
1989-12-16 Rangers D 1-170.9 1695 1790 33.40% 33.47% 33.13%-0.15 -0.0 17
1989-12-16 @ Dundee United D 1-170.9 1790 1695 33.13% 33.47% 33.40%+0.15 +0.0 24
1989-12-20 Aberdeen D 1-170.9 1702 1792 34.24% 33.51% 32.25%-0.12 -0.1 20
1989-12-20 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-170.9 1792 1702 32.25% 33.51% 34.24%+0.12 +0.1 24
1989-12-23 Motherwell D 1-170.2 1695 1617 54.05% 31.48% 14.48%+0.67 -1.3 18
1989-12-23 @ Dundee United D 1-170.2 1617 1695 14.48% 31.48% 54.05%-0.67 +1.3 16
1989-12-23 St. Mirren W 1-050.8 1790 1563 66.82% 25.76% 7.42%+1.38 +1.5 26
1989-12-23 @ Rangers L 0-150.8 1563 1790 7.42% 25.76% 66.82%-1.38 -1.5 13
1989-12-26 Hibernian L 1-274.5 1792 1626 61.95% 28.39% 9.65%+1.09 -8.3 24
1989-12-26 @ Aberdeen W 2-174.5 1626 1792 9.65% 28.39% 61.95%-1.09 +8.3 17
1989-12-26 Dundee W 1-053.1 1588 1570 47.86% 32.85% 19.30%+0.39 +3.7 18
1989-12-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-153.1 1570 1588 19.30% 32.85% 47.86%-0.39 -3.7 10
1989-12-26 Celtic D 0-065.5 1702 1757 39.00% 33.57% 27.43%+0.05 -0.4 21
1989-12-26 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-065.5 1757 1702 27.43% 33.57% 39.00%-0.05 +0.4 23
1989-12-30 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-264.2 1757 1591 61.94% 28.40% 9.66%+1.09 -16.6 23
1989-12-30 @ Celtic W 2-064.2 1591 1757 9.66% 28.40% 61.94%-1.09 +16.6 20
1989-12-30 Dundee United D 1-169.0 1566 1693 29.13% 33.15% 37.72%-0.30 +0.2 11
1989-12-30 @ Dundee D 1-169.0 1693 1566 37.72% 33.15% 29.13%+0.30 -0.2 19
1989-12-30 Rangers D 0-065.6 1634 1792 25.51% 32.66% 41.84%-0.44 +0.5 18
1989-12-30 @ Hibernian D 0-065.6 1792 1634 41.84% 32.66% 25.51%+0.44 -0.5 27
1989-12-30 Aberdeen D 2-276.6 1618 1784 24.59% 32.49% 42.92%-0.48 +0.4 17
1989-12-30 @ Motherwell D 2-276.6 1784 1618 42.92% 32.49% 24.59%+0.48 -0.4 25
1989-12-30 Heart of Midlothian W 2-057.8 1561 1702 27.47% 32.95% 39.58%-0.36 +11.5 15
1989-12-30 @ St. Mirren L 0-257.8 1702 1561 39.58% 32.95% 27.47%+0.36 -11.5 21
1990-01-01 Hibernian W 2-051.3 1691 1635 51.86% 32.06% 16.08%+0.57 +6.0 23
1990-01-01 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-251.3 1635 1691 16.08% 32.06% 51.86%-0.57 -6.0 18
1990-01-02 Dundee W 5-252.4 1783 1566 66.03% 26.22% 7.74%+1.33 +3.0 27
1990-01-02 @ Aberdeen L 2-552.4 1566 1783 7.74% 26.22% 66.03%-1.33 -3.0 11
1990-01-02 Rangers L 0-163.8 1741 1791 39.52% 33.56% 26.92%+0.07 -6.1 23
1990-01-02 @ Celtic W 1-063.8 1791 1741 26.92% 33.56% 39.52%-0.07 +6.1 29
1990-01-02 St. Mirren W 2-049.3 1619 1573 50.86% 32.29% 16.85%+0.52 +6.2 19
1990-01-02 @ Motherwell L 0-249.3 1573 1619 16.85% 32.29% 50.86%-0.52 -6.2 15
1990-01-03 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-053.9 1693 1608 54.76% 31.26% 13.98%+0.70 +2.8 21
1990-01-03 @ Dundee United L 0-153.9 1608 1693 13.98% 31.26% 54.76%-0.70 -2.8 20
1990-01-06 Heart of Midlothian L 0-158.1 1563 1697 28.37% 33.07% 38.57%-0.33 -4.8 11
1990-01-06 @ Dundee W 1-058.1 1697 1563 38.57% 33.07% 28.37%+0.33 +4.8 25
1990-01-06 Motherwell L 0-557.8 1605 1625 43.42% 33.36% 23.21%+0.21 -28.9 20
1990-01-06 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 5-057.8 1625 1605 23.21% 33.36% 43.42%-0.21 +28.9 21
1990-01-06 Dundee United D 0-064.5 1629 1696 37.35% 33.58% 29.07%-0.01 -0.3 19
1990-01-06 @ Hibernian D 0-064.5 1696 1629 29.07% 33.58% 37.35%+0.01 +0.3 22
1990-01-06 Aberdeen W 2-054.1 1797 1786 47.02% 32.97% 20.01%+0.35 +7.1 31
1990-01-06 @ Rangers L 0-254.1 1786 1797 20.01% 32.97% 47.02%-0.35 -7.1 27
1990-01-06 Celtic L 0-253.6 1566 1735 24.31% 32.44% 43.26%-0.49 -8.1 15
1990-01-06 @ St. Mirren W 2-053.6 1735 1566 43.26% 32.44% 24.31%+0.49 +8.1 25
1990-01-09 Hibernian L 0-260.7 1654 1629 48.63% 32.72% 18.65%+0.42 -13.6 21
1990-01-09 @ Motherwell W 2-060.7 1629 1654 18.65% 32.72% 48.63%-0.42 +13.6 21
1990-01-10 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-050.0 1558 1576 43.64% 33.35% 23.02%+0.22 +7.9 17
1990-01-10 @ St. Mirren L 0-250.0 1576 1558 23.02% 33.35% 43.64%-0.22 -7.9 20
1990-01-13 Dunfermline Athletic W 4-150.5 1779 1568 65.54% 26.50% 7.96%+1.30 +3.6 29
1990-01-13 @ Aberdeen L 1-450.5 1568 1779 7.96% 26.50% 65.54%-1.30 -3.6 20
1990-01-13 Celtic W 2-055.7 1696 1743 40.04% 33.55% 26.41%+0.08 +8.7 24
1990-01-13 @ Dundee United L 0-255.7 1743 1696 26.41% 33.55% 40.04%-0.08 -8.7 25
1990-01-13 St. Mirren L 0-164.4 1642 1566 53.89% 31.52% 14.59%+0.66 -7.9 21
1990-01-13 @ Hibernian W 1-064.4 1566 1642 14.59% 31.52% 53.89%-0.66 +7.9 19
1990-01-13 Heart of Midlothian L 0-356.8 1640 1701 38.13% 33.58% 28.29%+0.02 -16.3 21
1990-01-13 @ Motherwell W 3-056.8 1701 1640 28.29% 33.58% 38.13%-0.02 +16.3 27
1990-01-13 Dundee W 3-045.0 1804 1558 68.21% 24.92% 6.86%+1.46 +3.6 33
1990-01-13 @ Rangers L 0-345.0 1558 1804 6.86% 24.92% 68.21%-1.46 -3.6 11
1990-01-27 Motherwell L 0-167.2 1734 1624 57.09% 30.47% 12.44%+0.82 -8.3 25
1990-01-27 @ Celtic W 1-067.2 1624 1734 12.44% 30.47% 57.09%-0.82 +8.3 23
1990-01-27 Hibernian W 2-053.9 1555 1634 35.61% 33.56% 30.84%-0.07 +9.7 13
1990-01-27 @ Dundee L 0-253.9 1634 1555 30.84% 33.56% 35.61%+0.07 -9.7 21
1990-01-27 Rangers L 0-155.3 1565 1808 17.32% 30.32% 52.36%-0.84 -3.2 20
1990-01-27 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-055.3 1808 1565 52.36% 30.32% 17.32%+0.84 +3.2 35
1990-01-27 Dundee United W 3-268.0 1718 1705 47.25% 32.94% 19.81%+0.36 +3.3 29
1990-01-27 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-368.0 1705 1718 19.81% 32.94% 47.25%-0.36 -3.3 24
1990-01-27 Aberdeen W 1-064.8 1574 1783 20.22% 31.41% 48.38%-0.68 +7.1 21
1990-01-27 @ St. Mirren L 0-164.8 1783 1574 48.38% 31.41% 20.22%+0.68 -7.1 29
1990-02-03 Heart of Midlothian D 2-277.2 1776 1721 51.79% 32.07% 16.14%+0.56 -0.9 30
1990-02-03 @ Aberdeen D 2-277.2 1721 1776 16.14% 32.07% 51.79%-0.56 +0.8 30
1990-02-03 Celtic D 0-064.4 1564 1726 25.05% 32.58% 42.38%-0.46 +0.6 14
1990-02-03 @ Dundee D 0-064.4 1726 1564 42.38% 32.58% 25.05%+0.46 -0.6 26
1990-02-03 St. Mirren W 1-054.1 1562 1581 43.42% 33.36% 23.21%+0.21 +4.2 22
1990-02-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-154.1 1581 1562 23.21% 33.36% 43.42%-0.21 -4.2 21
1990-02-03 Motherwell L 1-269.2 1625 1632 44.88% 33.23% 21.89%+0.27 -6.4 21
1990-02-03 @ Hibernian W 2-169.2 1632 1625 21.89% 33.23% 44.88%-0.27 +6.4 25
1990-02-03 Dundee United W 3-156.8 1811 1701 57.08% 30.48% 12.45%+0.82 +4.1 37
1990-02-03 @ Rangers L 1-356.8 1701 1811 12.45% 30.48% 57.08%-0.82 -4.1 24
1990-02-10 Hibernian D 1-170.8 1725 1618 56.80% 30.58% 12.62%+0.81 -1.5 27
1990-02-10 @ Celtic D 1-170.8 1618 1725 12.62% 30.58% 56.80%-0.81 +1.5 22
1990-02-10 Aberdeen D 1-170.8 1697 1775 35.89% 33.56% 30.55%-0.06 -0.1 25
1990-02-10 @ Dundee United D 1-170.8 1775 1697 30.55% 33.56% 35.89%+0.06 +0.2 31
1990-02-10 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-263.3 1722 1566 61.12% 28.79% 10.09%+1.04 -16.5 30
1990-02-10 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-063.3 1566 1722 10.09% 28.79% 61.12%-1.04 +16.5 24
1990-02-10 Rangers D 1-171.1 1639 1815 23.38% 32.24% 44.38%-0.53 +0.6 26
1990-02-10 @ Motherwell D 1-171.1 1815 1639 44.38% 32.24% 23.38%+0.53 -0.6 38
1990-02-10 Dundee D 0-061.2 1577 1565 47.17% 32.95% 19.88%+0.36 -0.9 22
1990-02-10 @ St. Mirren D 0-061.2 1565 1577 19.88% 32.95% 47.17%-0.36 +0.9 15
1990-02-17 Celtic D 1-171.3 1775 1724 51.44% 32.16% 16.41%+0.55 -1.1 32
1990-02-17 @ Aberdeen D 1-171.3 1724 1775 16.41% 32.16% 51.44%-0.55 +1.1 28
1990-02-17 St. Mirren W 2-048.7 1697 1576 58.10% 30.09% 11.81%+0.88 +4.5 27
1990-02-17 @ Dundee United L 0-248.7 1576 1697 11.81% 30.09% 58.10%-0.88 -4.5 22
1990-02-17 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-159.7 1620 1582 49.97% 32.47% 17.55%+0.48 +3.2 24
1990-02-17 @ Hibernian L 1-259.7 1582 1620 17.55% 32.47% 49.97%-0.48 -3.2 24
1990-02-17 Dundee W 3-154.7 1639 1566 53.64% 31.59% 14.77%+0.65 +4.8 28
1990-02-17 @ Motherwell L 1-354.7 1566 1639 14.77% 31.59% 53.64%-0.65 -4.8 15
1990-02-17 Heart of Midlothian D 0-066.6 1815 1705 57.04% 30.49% 12.47%+0.82 -1.7 39
1990-02-17 @ Rangers D 0-066.6 1705 1815 12.47% 30.49% 57.04%-0.82 +1.7 31
1990-03-03 Dundee United W 3-051.4 1725 1702 48.39% 32.76% 18.85%+0.41 +9.9 30
1990-03-03 @ Celtic L 0-351.4 1702 1725 18.85% 32.76% 48.39%-0.41 -9.9 27
1990-03-03 Rangers D 2-277.1 1561 1813 16.65% 30.02% 53.34%-0.88 +0.9 16
1990-03-03 @ Dundee D 2-277.1 1813 1561 53.34% 30.02% 16.65%+0.88 -0.9 40
1990-03-03 Aberdeen L 2-462.3 1579 1774 21.52% 31.79% 46.70%-0.62 -5.7 24
1990-03-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 4-262.3 1774 1579 46.70% 31.79% 21.52%+0.62 +5.7 34
1990-03-03 Motherwell W 2-051.3 1707 1644 52.60% 31.87% 15.53%+0.60 +5.8 33
1990-03-03 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-251.3 1644 1707 15.53% 31.87% 52.60%-0.60 -5.8 28
1990-03-03 Hibernian L 0-160.3 1572 1623 39.40% 33.56% 27.04%+0.06 -6.1 22
1990-03-03 @ St. Mirren W 1-060.3 1623 1572 27.04% 33.56% 39.40%-0.06 +6.1 26
1990-03-10 Heart of Midlothian D 1-170.9 1735 1713 48.26% 32.78% 18.96%+0.41 -0.9 31
1990-03-10 @ Celtic D 1-170.9 1713 1735 18.96% 32.78% 48.26%-0.41 +0.9 34
1990-03-10 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-053.5 1562 1573 44.42% 33.28% 22.30%+0.25 +4.1 18
1990-03-10 @ Dundee L 0-153.5 1573 1562 22.30% 33.28% 44.42%-0.25 -4.1 24
1990-03-10 Aberdeen W 3-274.2 1629 1780 26.28% 32.78% 40.93%-0.41 +5.6 28
1990-03-10 @ Hibernian L 2-374.2 1780 1629 40.93% 32.78% 26.28%+0.41 -5.6 34
1990-03-10 Dundee United L 0-162.5 1638 1692 39.12% 33.57% 27.31%+0.05 -6.1 28
1990-03-10 @ Motherwell W 1-062.5 1692 1638 27.31% 33.57% 39.12%-0.05 +6.1 29
1990-03-17 Rangers D 0-066.0 1565 1812 17.05% 30.20% 52.75%-0.86 +1.3 23
1990-03-17 @ St. Mirren D 0-066.0 1812 1565 52.75% 30.20% 17.05%+0.86 -1.3 41
1990-03-24 Motherwell W 2-049.6 1774 1632 59.92% 29.33% 10.74%+0.97 +4.1 36
1990-03-24 @ Aberdeen L 0-249.6 1632 1774 10.74% 29.33% 59.92%-0.97 -4.1 28
1990-03-24 Dundee L 1-272.5 1698 1566 59.05% 29.70% 11.24%+0.93 -8.0 29
1990-03-24 @ Dundee United W 2-172.5 1566 1698 11.24% 29.70% 59.05%-0.93 +8.0 20
1990-03-24 Celtic D 0-064.5 1569 1734 24.70% 32.51% 42.78%-0.47 +0.6 25
1990-03-24 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-064.5 1734 1569 42.78% 32.51% 24.70%+0.47 -0.6 32
1990-03-24 St. Mirren D 0-065.2 1714 1567 60.35% 29.14% 10.51%+1.00 -1.9 35
1990-03-24 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-065.2 1567 1714 10.51% 29.14% 60.35%-1.00 +1.9 24
1990-03-24 Hibernian L 0-168.7 1811 1635 62.78% 27.98% 9.24%+1.13 -8.9 41
1990-03-24 @ Rangers W 1-068.7 1635 1811 9.24% 27.98% 62.78%-1.13 +8.9 30
1990-03-31 Aberdeen D 1-170.6 1574 1778 20.63% 31.53% 47.83%-0.66 +0.8 21
1990-03-31 @ Dundee D 1-170.6 1778 1574 47.83% 31.53% 20.63%+0.66 -0.8 37
1990-03-31 Dundee United L 0-158.7 1570 1690 30.08% 33.25% 36.67%-0.26 -5.0 25
1990-03-31 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-058.7 1690 1570 36.67% 33.25% 30.08%+0.26 +5.0 31
1990-03-31 Heart of Midlothian L 1-268.2 1644 1712 37.18% 33.58% 29.24%-0.02 -5.5 30
1990-03-31 @ Hibernian W 2-168.2 1712 1644 29.24% 33.58% 37.18%+0.02 +5.5 37
1990-03-31 Motherwell D 0-062.4 1569 1628 38.34% 33.58% 28.08%+0.02 -0.3 25
1990-03-31 @ St. Mirren D 0-062.4 1628 1569 28.08% 33.58% 38.34%-0.02 +0.3 29
1990-04-01 Celtic W 3-050.4 1802 1733 53.19% 31.72% 15.09%+0.63 +8.2 43
1990-04-01 @ Rangers L 0-350.4 1733 1802 15.09% 31.72% 53.19%-0.63 -8.2 32
1990-04-04 Dundee D 0-065.4 1717 1575 59.97% 29.31% 10.72%+0.98 -1.9 38
1990-04-04 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-065.4 1575 1717 10.72% 29.31% 59.97%-0.98 +1.9 22
1990-04-07 St. Mirren L 0-361.7 1725 1568 61.16% 28.77% 10.07%+1.04 -23.9 32
1990-04-07 @ Celtic W 3-061.7 1568 1725 10.07% 28.77% 61.16%-1.04 +23.9 27
1990-04-07 Hibernian W 1-055.1 1695 1638 51.98% 32.03% 15.99%+0.57 +3.1 33
1990-04-07 @ Dundee United L 0-155.1 1638 1695 15.99% 32.03% 51.98%-0.57 -3.2 30
1990-04-07 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-365.8 1628 1565 52.67% 31.85% 15.48%+0.60 -12.6 29
1990-04-07 @ Motherwell W 3-165.8 1565 1628 15.48% 31.85% 52.67%-0.60 +12.6 27
1990-04-08 Rangers D 0-065.9 1778 1810 41.80% 33.47% 24.73%+0.15 -0.6 38
1990-04-08 @ Aberdeen D 0-065.9 1810 1778 24.73% 33.47% 41.80%-0.15 +0.6 44
1990-04-14 St. Mirren L 1-267.0 1577 1592 43.92% 33.32% 22.75%+0.23 -6.2 22
1990-04-14 @ Dundee W 2-167.0 1592 1577 22.75% 33.32% 43.92%-0.23 +6.2 29
1990-04-14 Heart of Midlothian L 0-158.4 1577 1715 27.80% 33.00% 39.21%-0.35 -4.8 27
1990-04-14 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-058.4 1715 1577 39.21% 33.00% 27.80%+0.35 +4.8 40
1990-04-14 Motherwell W 2-158.2 1811 1616 64.28% 27.20% 8.52%+1.22 +1.6 46
1990-04-14 @ Rangers L 1-258.2 1616 1811 8.52% 27.20% 64.28%-1.22 -1.6 29
1990-04-17 Celtic W 1-059.5 1635 1701 37.48% 33.58% 28.94%-0.01 +4.9 32
1990-04-17 @ Hibernian L 0-159.5 1701 1635 28.94% 33.58% 37.48%+0.01 -4.9 32
1990-04-18 Dundee United W 1-055.4 1777 1698 54.17% 31.44% 14.39%+0.68 +2.9 40
1990-04-18 @ Aberdeen L 0-155.4 1698 1777 14.39% 31.44% 54.17%-0.68 -2.9 33
1990-04-21 Dundee D 1-170.1 1696 1570 58.50% 29.93% 11.57%+0.90 -1.6 33
1990-04-21 @ Celtic D 1-170.1 1570 1696 11.57% 29.93% 58.50%-0.90 +1.6 23
1990-04-21 Rangers L 0-160.9 1695 1812 30.46% 33.28% 36.26%-0.25 -5.1 33
1990-04-21 @ Dundee United W 1-060.9 1812 1695 36.26% 33.28% 30.46%+0.25 +5.1 48
1990-04-21 Aberdeen W 1-060.2 1720 1780 38.33% 33.58% 28.09%+0.02 +4.8 42
1990-04-21 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-160.2 1780 1720 28.09% 33.58% 38.33%-0.02 -4.8 40
1990-04-21 Hibernian W 1-056.8 1614 1640 42.69% 33.42% 23.89%+0.18 +4.3 31
1990-04-21 @ Motherwell L 0-156.8 1640 1614 23.89% 33.42% 42.69%-0.18 -4.3 32
1990-04-21 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-268.3 1598 1573 48.70% 32.71% 18.59%+0.43 -6.8 29
1990-04-21 @ St. Mirren W 2-168.3 1573 1598 18.59% 32.71% 48.70%-0.43 +6.8 29
1990-04-25 St. Mirren W 2-048.2 1775 1592 63.36% 27.69% 8.96%+1.17 +3.4 42
1990-04-25 @ Aberdeen L 0-248.2 1592 1775 8.96% 27.69% 63.36%-1.17 -3.4 29
1990-04-25 Heart of Midlothian D 1-170.5 1690 1725 41.53% 33.49% 24.98%+0.14 -0.5 34
1990-04-25 @ Dundee United D 1-170.5 1725 1690 24.98% 33.49% 41.53%-0.14 +0.5 43
1990-04-25 Dundee D 1-168.4 1636 1572 52.66% 31.86% 15.48%+0.60 -1.2 33
1990-04-25 @ Hibernian D 1-168.4 1572 1636 15.48% 31.86% 52.66%-0.60 +1.2 24
1990-04-25 Celtic D 1-169.6 1619 1694 36.13% 33.57% 30.30%-0.05 -0.2 32
1990-04-25 @ Motherwell D 1-169.6 1694 1619 30.30% 33.57% 36.13%+0.05 +0.2 34
1990-04-25 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-047.2 1817 1579 67.60% 25.30% 7.10%+1.43 +2.6 50
1990-04-25 @ Rangers L 0-247.2 1579 1817 7.10% 25.30% 67.60%-1.43 -2.6 29
1990-05-02 Aberdeen L 1-364.3 1695 1778 35.06% 33.54% 31.40%-0.09 -9.1 34
1990-05-02 @ Celtic W 3-164.3 1778 1695 31.40% 33.54% 35.06%+0.09 +9.1 44
1990-05-05 Motherwell L 1-266.5 1573 1618 40.22% 33.54% 26.24%+0.09 -5.8 24
1990-05-05 @ Dundee W 2-166.5 1618 1573 26.24% 33.54% 40.22%-0.09 +5.8 34
1990-05-05 Hibernian D 1-168.0 1577 1634 38.61% 33.58% 27.82%+0.03 -0.3 30
1990-05-05 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-168.0 1634 1577 27.82% 33.58% 38.61%-0.03 +0.3 34
1990-05-05 Rangers D 1-171.1 1726 1820 33.56% 33.48% 32.96%-0.14 -0.0 44
1990-05-05 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-171.1 1820 1726 32.96% 33.48% 33.56%+0.14 +0.0 51
1990-05-05 Dundee United D 0-063.9 1588 1690 32.61% 33.43% 33.96%-0.17 +0.0 30
1990-05-05 @ St. Mirren D 0-063.9 1690 1588 33.96% 33.43% 32.61%+0.17 -0.0 35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1990-03-24 9.24% Hibernian 1635 1 @ Rangers 1811 0
2 1989-08-12 9.29% St. Mirren 1594 1 @ Rangers 1769 0
3 1989-12-26 9.65% Hibernian 1626 2 @ Aberdeen 1792 1
4 1989-12-30 9.66% Dunfermline Athletic 1591 2 @ Celtic 1757 0
5 1990-04-07 10.07% St. Mirren 1568 3 @ Celtic 1725 0
6 1990-02-10 10.09% Dunfermline Athletic 1566 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1722 0
7 1990-03-24 11.24% Dundee 1566 2 @ Dundee United 1698 1
8 1990-01-27 12.44% Motherwell 1624 1 @ Celtic 1734 0
9 1989-10-04 13.15% Dunfermline Athletic 1578 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1675 1
10 1989-10-14 13.18% Heart of Midlothian 1668 3 @ Aberdeen 1765 1
11 1990-01-13 14.59% St. Mirren 1566 1 @ Hibernian 1642 0
12 1990-04-07 15.48% Dunfermline Athletic 1565 3 @ Motherwell 1628 1
13 1989-11-18 16.71% Dundee United 1695 1 @ Celtic 1743 0
14 1990-04-21 18.59% Dunfermline Athletic 1573 2 @ St. Mirren 1598 1
15 1990-01-09 18.65% Hibernian 1629 2 @ Motherwell 1654 0
16 1990-01-27 20.22% @ St. Mirren 1574 1 Aberdeen 1783 0
17 1990-02-03 21.89% Motherwell 1632 2 @ Hibernian 1625 1
18 1989-10-21 21.97% Dunfermline Athletic 1597 2 @ Dundee 1589 1
19 1990-04-14 22.75% St. Mirren 1592 2 @ Dundee 1577 1
20 1990-01-06 23.21% Motherwell 1625 5 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1605 0
21 1989-09-09 25.36% @ St. Mirren 1591 1 Celtic 1750 0
22 1989-09-16 25.45% Heart of Midlothian 1669 3 @ Motherwell 1630 1
23 1989-10-28 25.83% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1603 2 Celtic 1758 0
24 1990-05-05 26.24% Motherwell 1618 2 @ Dundee 1573 1
25 1990-03-10 26.28% @ Hibernian 1629 3 Aberdeen 1780 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-01-06 28.94 Motherwell 5 1625 23.21% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1605 43.42% 33.36%
2 1990-04-07 23.94 St. Mirren 3 1568 10.07% @ Celtic 0 1725 61.16% 28.77%
3 1989-12-30 16.65 Dunfermline Athletic 2 1591 9.66% @ Celtic 0 1757 61.94% 28.40%
4 1990-02-10 16.48 Dunfermline Athletic 2 1566 10.09% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1722 61.12% 28.79%
5 1990-01-13 16.27 Heart of Midlothian 3 1701 28.29% @ Motherwell 0 1640 38.13% 33.58%
6 1989-10-25 15.08 Aberdeen 3 1752 32.17% @ Hibernian 0 1663 34.32% 33.51%
7 1989-12-09 14.73 Celtic 3 1738 33.35% @ Hibernian 0 1641 33.19% 33.46%
8 1990-01-09 13.59 Hibernian 2 1629 18.65% @ Motherwell 0 1654 48.63% 32.72%
9 1989-10-14 13.27 Heart of Midlothian 3 1668 13.18% @ Aberdeen 1 1765 55.94% 30.88%
10 1990-04-07 12.60 Dunfermline Athletic 3 1565 15.48% @ Motherwell 1 1628 52.67% 31.85%
11 1989-11-18 12.40 Aberdeen 3 1769 41.20% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1616 26.05% 32.75%
12 1989-10-14 11.92 @ Dunfermline Athletic 5 1585 45.22% St. Mirren 1 1590 21.59% 33.20%
13 1989-10-28 11.85 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1603 25.83% Celtic 0 1758 41.46% 32.71%
14 1989-12-30 11.45 @ St. Mirren 2 1561 27.47% Heart of Midlothian 0 1702 39.58% 32.95%
15 1989-08-19 10.71 @ Hibernian 2 1644 30.68% Rangers 0 1760 36.02% 33.30%
16 1989-09-30 10.32 @ Motherwell 3 1621 47.06% Dundee 0 1610 19.98% 32.97%
17 1989-09-16 10.25 Heart of Midlothian 3 1669 25.45% @ Motherwell 1 1630 41.04% 33.51%
18 1989-12-09 10.23 Heart of Midlothian 2 1692 32.92% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1598 33.60% 33.48%
19 1990-03-03 9.86 @ Celtic 3 1725 48.39% Dundee United 0 1702 18.85% 32.76%
20 1989-10-04 9.80 @ Dundee United 2 1691 34.99% Aberdeen 0 1775 31.47% 33.54%
21 1990-01-27 9.67 @ Dundee 2 1555 35.61% Hibernian 0 1634 30.84% 33.56%
22 1989-08-12 9.45 Celtic 3 1739 29.57% @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1669 36.86% 33.58%
23 1990-05-02 9.13 Aberdeen 3 1778 31.40% @ Celtic 1 1695 35.06% 33.54%
24 1989-10-28 9.07 @ Heart of Midlothian 4 1678 56.93% St. Mirren 0 1570 12.54% 30.53%
25 1989-08-12 8.92 St. Mirren 1 1594 9.29% @ Rangers 0 1769 62.68% 28.03%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1989-09-16 77.3 @ Rangers 2 1754 60.16% Dundee 2 1609 10.61% 29.23%
2 1990-02-03 77.2 @ Aberdeen 2 1776 51.79% Heart of Midlothian 2 1721 16.14% 32.07%
3 1990-03-03 77.1 @ Dundee 2 1561 16.65% Rangers 2 1813 53.34% 30.02%
4 1989-12-30 76.6 @ Motherwell 2 1618 24.59% Aberdeen 2 1784 42.92% 32.49%
5 1989-09-16 76.5 @ Dundee United 2 1692 39.41% Celtic 2 1744 27.03% 33.56%
6 1989-12-09 75.3 @ Dundee 3 1574 47.86% St. Mirren 3 1556 19.29% 32.85%
7 1989-09-30 75.1 @ Hibernian 2 1665 55.13% Dunfermline Athletic 2 1577 13.72% 31.14%
8 1989-09-09 75.0 @ Dundee 2 1610 38.40% Heart of Midlothian 2 1669 28.02% 33.58%
9 1989-12-26 74.5 Hibernian 2 1626 9.65% @ Aberdeen 1 1792 61.95% 28.39%
10 1990-03-10 74.2 @ Hibernian 3 1629 26.28% Aberdeen 2 1780 40.93% 32.78%
11 1989-11-04 73.5 @ St. Mirren 2 1561 36.23% Motherwell 2 1636 30.20% 33.57%
12 1989-08-19 73.3 @ Dundee 4 1607 33.30% Dundee United 3 1703 33.23% 33.47%
13 1990-03-24 72.5 Dundee 2 1566 11.24% @ Dundee United 1 1698 59.05% 29.70%
14 1989-10-04 71.7 Dunfermline Athletic 2 1578 13.15% @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1675 55.98% 30.86%
15 1989-09-30 71.3 @ Aberdeen 1 1776 49.58% Celtic 1 1742 17.88% 32.55%
16 1990-02-17 71.3 @ Aberdeen 1 1775 51.44% Celtic 1 1724 16.41% 32.16%
17 1989-09-23 71.2 @ Celtic 1 1744 58.35% Motherwell 1 1620 11.66% 29.99%
18 1990-02-10 71.1 @ Motherwell 1 1639 23.38% Rangers 1 1815 44.38% 32.24%
19 1990-05-05 71.1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1726 33.56% Rangers 1 1820 32.96% 33.48%
20 1989-08-26 71.0 @ Celtic 1 1751 45.95% Rangers 1 1749 20.94% 33.11%
21 1989-11-22 71.0 @ Celtic 1 1735 62.63% St. Mirren 1 1561 9.31% 28.06%
22 1989-12-16 70.9 @ Dundee United 1 1695 33.40% Rangers 1 1790 33.13% 33.47%
23 1989-12-20 70.9 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1702 34.24% Aberdeen 1 1792 32.25% 33.51%
24 1990-03-10 70.9 @ Celtic 1 1735 48.26% Heart of Midlothian 1 1713 18.96% 32.78%
25 1990-02-10 70.8 @ Celtic 1 1725 56.80% Hibernian 1 1618 12.62% 30.58%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-01-13 45.0 @ Rangers 3 1804 68.21% Dundee 0 1558 6.86% 24.92%
2 1989-11-25 46.4 @ Aberdeen 5 1785 66.43% St. Mirren 0 1563 7.58% 25.99%
3 1989-11-25 46.9 @ Rangers 3 1774 62.33% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1604 9.46% 28.21%
4 1989-10-28 47.1 @ Heart of Midlothian 4 1678 56.93% St. Mirren 0 1570 12.54% 30.53%
5 1990-04-25 47.2 @ Rangers 2 1817 67.60% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1579 7.10% 25.30%
6 1989-12-09 47.3 @ Rangers 3 1785 61.65% Motherwell 0 1622 9.81% 28.54%
7 1990-04-25 48.2 @ Aberdeen 2 1775 63.36% St. Mirren 0 1592 8.96% 27.69%
8 1989-10-28 48.6 @ Rangers 3 1760 57.32% Hibernian 0 1648 12.29% 30.39%
9 1990-02-17 48.7 @ Dundee United 2 1697 58.10% St. Mirren 0 1576 11.81% 30.09%
10 1990-01-02 49.3 @ Motherwell 2 1619 50.86% St. Mirren 0 1573 16.85% 32.29%
11 1989-09-30 49.6 @ Motherwell 3 1621 47.06% Dundee 0 1610 19.98% 32.97%
12 1989-11-18 49.6 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1693 52.01% Motherwell 0 1636 15.97% 32.02%
13 1990-03-24 49.6 @ Aberdeen 2 1774 59.92% Motherwell 0 1632 10.74% 29.33%
14 1990-01-10 50.0 @ St. Mirren 2 1558 43.64% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1576 23.02% 33.35%
15 1990-04-01 50.4 @ Rangers 3 1802 53.19% Celtic 0 1733 15.09% 31.72%
16 1990-01-13 50.5 @ Aberdeen 4 1779 65.54% Dunfermline Athletic 1 1568 7.96% 26.50%
17 1989-12-23 50.8 @ Rangers 1 1790 66.82% St. Mirren 0 1563 7.42% 25.76%
18 1989-12-16 51.0 @ Celtic 4 1753 63.00% Dundee 1 1574 9.13% 27.87%
19 1990-01-01 51.3 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1691 51.86% Hibernian 0 1635 16.08% 32.06%
20 1990-03-03 51.3 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1707 52.60% Motherwell 0 1644 15.53% 31.87%
21 1990-03-03 51.4 @ Celtic 3 1725 48.39% Dundee United 0 1702 18.85% 32.76%
22 1989-12-09 51.7 @ Aberdeen 2 1787 54.34% Dundee United 0 1706 14.27% 31.39%
23 1989-08-19 52.1 @ Celtic 1 1749 61.98% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1582 9.64% 28.38%
24 1989-10-14 52.4 @ Dunfermline Athletic 5 1585 45.22% St. Mirren 1 1590 21.59% 33.20%
25 1990-01-02 52.4 @ Aberdeen 5 1783 66.03% Dundee 2 1566 7.74% 26.22%