Home / Leagues / Scotland / Premier Division / 1990-91
‹ ›

1990-91 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

55 points · 41st Title

Last Title: 1989-90

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rangers

6.92 points above expected

55 points · 48.08 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

St. Mirren

6.69 points below expected

19 points · 25.69 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers Champion 36 24 7 5 55 62 23 +39 48.08 +6.92
2 Aberdeen 36 22 9 5 53 62 27 +35 46.12 +6.88
3 Celtic 36 17 7 12 41 52 38 +14 37.22 +3.78
4 Dundee United 36 17 7 12 41 41 29 +12 41.39 -0.39
5 Heart of Midlothian 36 14 7 15 35 48 55 -7 36.46 -1.46
6 Motherwell 36 12 9 15 33 51 50 +1 32.63 +0.37
7 St. Johnstone 36 11 9 16 31 41 54 -13 34.24 -3.24
8 Dunfermline Athletic 36 8 11 17 27 38 61 -23 29.70 -2.70
9 Hibernian 36 6 13 17 25 24 51 -27 28.47 -3.47
10 St. Mirren 36 5 9 22 19 28 59 -31 25.69 -6.69

Notes

  • No teams were relegated as the league expanded to 12 teams the following season.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rangers 55 48.08 +6.92
2 Aberdeen 53 46.12 +6.88
3 Celtic 41 37.22 +3.78
4 Motherwell 33 32.63 +0.37
5 Dundee United 41 41.39 -0.39

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Mirren 19 25.69 -6.69
2 Hibernian 25 28.47 -3.47
3 St. Johnstone 31 34.24 -3.24
4 Dunfermline Athletic 27 29.70 -2.70
5 Heart of Midlothian 35 36.46 -1.46

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 5 Mar 9 – Apr 16 1 in 383
2 Celtic 6 Feb 2 – Mar 24 1 in 179
3 Dunfermline Athletic 3 Dec 15 – Jan 2 1 in 158
4 Aberdeen 7 Mar 23 – May 4 1 in 50
5 Rangers 7 Dec 29 – Feb 16 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Mirren 5 Sep 22 – Oct 20 1 in 64
2 St. Johnstone 4 Mar 2 – Mar 23 1 in 44
3 Celtic 3 Dec 8 – Dec 22 1 in 25
4 Heart of Midlothian 3 Oct 13 – Oct 27 1 in 22
5 Dundee United 3 Apr 16 – Apr 24 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Johnstone 5 Sep 29 – Oct 27 1 in 37
2 Celtic 9 Jan 5 – Mar 24 1 in 35
3 Rangers 15 Nov 17 – Feb 26 1 in 19
4 Dunfermline Athletic 5 Oct 13 – Nov 17 1 in 19
5 Aberdeen 12 Feb 2 – May 4 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 16 Oct 27 – Feb 9 1 in 107
2 Motherwell 10 Sep 29 – Dec 1 1 in 67
3 St. Mirren 17 Dec 26 – May 5 1 in 39
4 Celtic 6 Dec 8 – Jan 5 1 in 27
5 St. Johnstone 8 Feb 13 – Mar 30 1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rangers 1843 55 -6 8 7.1 +0.9
Aberdeen 1866 53 +16 8 6.9 +1.1
Celtic 1766 41 +25 8 6.0 +2.0
Dundee United 1703 41 -37 2 5.4 -3.4
Heart of Midlothian 1674 35 -9 4 4.7 -0.7
Motherwell 1686 33 +57 6 3.8 +2.2
St. Johnstone 1558 31 -41 1 4.0 -3.0
Dunfermline Athletic 1527 27 -46 3 4.6 -1.6
Hibernian 1515 25 +27 5 3.8 +1.2
St. Mirren 1478 19 +2 3 2.9 +0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU DA HOM HIB MOT RAN SJ SM
Aberdeen —
3-0-1
6.87
2-1-1
6.31
2-2-0
7.77
3-0-1
7.26
3-1-0
8.09
2-2-0
7.59
1-2-1
4.99
2-1-1
7.66
4-0-0
8.39
Celtic
1-0-3
4.11
 —
1-1-2
4.87
2-1-1
6.90
2-1-1
5.66
3-1-0
6.83
1-1-2
6.35
1-1-2
3.52
2-1-1
6.34
4-0-0
7.40
Dundee United
1-1-2
4.67
2-1-1
6.10
 —
2-0-2
7.55
1-1-2
6.39
1-2-1
8.06
3-0-1
6.64
2-0-2
4.19
2-1-1
6.42
3-1-0
7.85
Dunfermline Athletic
0-2-2
3.26
1-1-2
4.10
2-0-2
3.44
 —
2-1-1
4.49
0-3-1
5.91
0-1-3
5.07
0-0-4
2.80
2-0-2
5.03
1-3-0
6.14
Heart of Midlothian
1-0-3
3.73
1-1-2
5.30
2-1-1
4.59
1-1-2
6.49
 —
3-1-0
6.68
3-1-0
5.68
0-0-4
3.51
2-0-2
5.83
1-2-1
7.16
Hibernian
0-1-3
2.95
0-1-3
4.15
1-2-1
2.96
1-3-0
5.07
0-1-3
4.31
 —
1-1-2
4.43
0-2-2
2.65
1-2-1
4.48
2-0-2
5.65
Motherwell
0-2-2
3.43
2-1-1
4.63
1-0-3
4.35
3-1-0
5.90
0-1-3
5.28
2-1-1
6.55
 —
1-0-3
3.16
2-1-1
4.97
1-2-1
6.43
Rangers
1-2-1
5.98
2-1-1
7.49
2-0-2
6.80
4-0-0
8.23
4-0-0
7.51
2-2-0
8.42
3-0-1
7.86
 —
2-2-0
7.82
4-0-0
8.95
St. Johnstone
1-1-2
3.36
1-1-2
4.64
1-1-2
4.57
2-0-2
5.95
2-0-2
5.14
1-2-1
6.50
1-1-2
6.02
0-2-2
3.20
 —
2-1-1
6.65
St. Mirren
0-0-4
2.66
0-0-4
3.62
0-1-3
3.16
0-3-1
4.84
1-2-1
3.83
2-0-2
5.32
1-2-1
4.55
0-0-4
2.14
1-1-2
4.34
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +8.2
Allowed 0.83 -7.5
Differential 0.97 +4.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%12.22%4.72%4.44%0.83%0.83%31.39%
112.22%12.22%6.11%2.22%2.22%0.28%35.28%
24.72%6.11%3.33%2.78%0.56%0.28%17.78%
34.44%2.22%2.78%0.56%0.28%—10.28%
40.83%2.22%0.56%0.28%——3.89%
5+0.83%0.28%0.28%———1.39%
Total31.39%35.28%17.78%10.28%3.89%1.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.24 +0.00
SD 1.19 1.19 1.75
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%2.78%——2.78%25.00%
113.89%11.11%————25.00%
28.33%8.33%2.78%———19.44%
311.11%—5.56%———16.67%
42.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total50.00%33.33%13.89%——2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.75 +0.97
SD 1.45 1.02 1.84
CV 0.84 1.37 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%——22.22%
113.89%13.89%11.11%2.78%——41.67%
28.33%2.78%—2.78%——13.89%
311.11%—5.56%———16.67%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total38.89%27.78%22.22%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.06 +0.39
SD 1.25 1.04 1.79
CV 0.87 0.99 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%19.44%————30.56%
119.44%8.33%11.11%———38.89%
22.78%11.11%—2.78%——16.67%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%44.44%13.89%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 0.81 +0.33
SD 1.02 0.79 1.20
CV 0.89 0.98 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%5.56%5.56%——30.56%
111.11%16.67%2.78%2.78%5.56%2.78%41.67%
22.78%2.78%5.56%5.56%—2.78%19.44%
3—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%36.11%16.67%16.67%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.69 -0.64
SD 0.92 1.41 1.51
CV 0.88 0.83 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%22.22%
18.33%16.67%11.11%5.56%2.78%—44.44%
25.56%8.33%—2.78%——16.67%
32.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total19.44%41.67%16.67%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.53 -0.19
SD 1.12 1.28 1.97
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%13.89%5.56%2.78%—50.00%
111.11%22.22%—2.78%5.56%—41.67%
2————2.78%—2.78%
32.78%—————2.78%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%36.11%13.89%11.11%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.42 -0.75
SD 0.89 1.32 1.50
CV 1.34 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%8.33%5.56%——27.78%
18.33%13.89%8.33%2.78%——33.33%
25.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
35.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total22.22%36.11%25.00%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.39 +0.03
SD 1.32 1.08 1.75
CV 0.93 0.78 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%—5.56%——19.44%
119.44%5.56%5.56%———30.56%
213.89%8.33%2.78%———25.00%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
45.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total58.33%25.00%11.11%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.64 +1.08
SD 1.37 0.90 1.73
CV 0.79 1.41 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%2.78%8.33%——38.89%
15.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%5.56%—25.00%
2—13.89%5.56%5.56%——25.00%
3——8.33%———8.33%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total22.22%33.33%22.22%16.67%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.50 -0.36
SD 1.20 1.18 1.62
CV 1.05 0.79 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%27.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%47.22%
111.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
2—2.78%11.11%5.56%——19.44%
3————2.78%—2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%38.89%22.22%11.11%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 1.64 -0.86
SD 0.87 1.29 1.36
CV 1.11 0.79 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Aberdeen 1866 53 46.12 +6.88 95.0% 33 39 44 46 49 53 56
Rangers 1843 55 48.08 +6.92 94.0% 32 39 45 48 51 56 60
Celtic 1766 41 37.22 +3.78 82.0% 26 30 33 37 40 46 51
Dundee United 1703 41 41.39 -0.39 49.0% 25 34 38 42 44 49 51
Motherwell 1686 33 32.63 +0.37 56.0% 16 23 29 33 37 41 45
Heart of Midlothian 1674 35 36.46 -1.46 41.0% 24 29 34 36 39 44 49
St. Johnstone 1558 31 34.24 -3.24 28.0% 24 27 31 34 37 42 47
Dunfermline Athletic 1527 27 29.70 -2.70 29.0% 20 21 27 29 33 36 39
Hibernian 1515 25 28.47 -3.47 26.0% 17 20 25 29 31 35 45
St. Mirren 1478 19 25.69 -6.69 14.0% 14 17 22 25 29 34 42

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.11%
Clear Edge
48.33%24.44%27.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge
195 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
074.47500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.38+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
51%
Rangers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.84 * Some Luck: 3.84 to 5.76 * Lucky: 5.76 to 7.69 * Wild Swing: 7.69 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.97 * Close: 0.97 to 1.46 * Off: 1.46 to 1.94 * Way Off: 1.94 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.32 points
Some Luck
04.8012
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.40
Pinpoint
01.222.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.00%
Aberdeen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
14.00%
St. Mirren
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 138.32
2.24
Strong Separation
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
78%
Wide Edge
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
90%
Even
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Occasional
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.82
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.86
Near-Lock
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.58
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.35
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rangers51.00%35.00%5.00%7.00%—2.00%————
Aberdeen34.00%38.00%24.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%———
Celtic5.00%3.00%12.00%23.00%24.00%16.00%8.00%9.00%——
Dundee United7.00%18.00%34.00%23.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
Heart of Midlothian1.00%4.00%14.00%19.00%19.00%22.00%12.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%
Motherwell——5.00%8.00%19.00%16.00%17.00%14.00%13.00%8.00%
St. Johnstone2.00%1.00%4.00%14.00%16.00%21.00%21.00%11.00%8.00%2.00%
Dunfermline Athletic——1.00%2.00%7.00%9.00%17.00%29.00%20.00%15.00%
Hibernian—1.00%—1.00%4.00%6.00%15.00%23.00%25.00%25.00%
St. Mirren——1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%7.00%8.00%31.00%48.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Dundee United 100%
Dunfermline Athletic 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 100%
Motherwell 100%
Rangers 100%
St. Johnstone 100%
St. Mirren 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1990-08-25 Hibernian W 2-049.7 1736 1636 61.13% 24.89% 13.98%+0.90 +9.2 2
1990-08-25 @ Aberdeen L 0-249.7 1636 1736 13.98% 24.89% 61.13%-0.90 -9.1 0
1990-08-25 St. Mirren D 1-171.9 1695 1604 60.31% 25.00% 14.69%+0.85 -2.9 1
1990-08-25 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-171.9 1604 1695 14.69% 25.00% 60.31%-0.85 +2.9 1
1990-08-25 Celtic W 2-053.3 1629 1669 46.66% 25.88% 27.46%+0.18 +16.0 2
1990-08-25 @ Motherwell L 0-253.3 1669 1629 27.46% 25.88% 46.66%-0.18 -16.0 0
1990-08-25 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-154.1 1757 1598 65.40% 24.13% 10.47%+1.20 +6.1 2
1990-08-25 @ Rangers L 1-354.1 1598 1757 10.47% 24.13% 65.40%-1.20 -6.1 0
1990-08-25 Dundee United L 1-364.4 1622 1672 45.45% 25.90% 28.64%+0.13 -20.5 0
1990-08-25 @ St. Johnstone W 3-164.4 1672 1622 28.64% 25.90% 45.45%-0.13 +20.5 2
1990-09-01 Aberdeen L 0-356.0 1653 1746 39.78% 25.91% 34.30%-0.09 -30.8 0
1990-09-01 @ Celtic W 3-056.0 1746 1653 34.30% 25.91% 39.78%+0.09 +30.9 4
1990-09-01 Motherwell W 1-054.4 1692 1645 56.34% 25.42% 18.24%+0.62 +6.1 4
1990-09-01 @ Dundee United L 0-154.4 1645 1692 18.24% 25.42% 56.34%-0.62 -6.1 2
1990-09-01 Heart of Midlothian W 2-055.4 1592 1692 38.75% 25.90% 35.35%-0.13 +19.4 2
1990-09-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-255.4 1692 1592 35.35% 25.90% 38.75%+0.13 -19.4 1
1990-09-01 Rangers D 0-067.6 1626 1763 33.58% 25.79% 40.63%-0.32 +0.4 1
1990-09-01 @ Hibernian D 0-067.6 1763 1626 40.63% 25.79% 33.58%+0.32 -0.4 3
1990-09-01 St. Johnstone D 2-276.0 1607 1601 52.05% 25.70% 22.25%+0.41 -1.3 2
1990-09-01 @ St. Mirren D 2-276.0 1601 1607 22.25% 25.70% 52.05%-0.41 +1.3 1
1990-09-08 Hibernian W 2-051.2 1622 1627 50.94% 25.75% 23.31%+0.36 +14.1 2
1990-09-08 @ Celtic L 0-251.2 1627 1622 23.31% 25.75% 50.94%-0.36 -14.1 1
1990-09-08 St. Mirren W 1-052.8 1698 1605 60.46% 24.98% 14.56%+0.86 +5.0 6
1990-09-08 @ Dundee United L 0-152.8 1605 1698 14.56% 24.98% 60.46%-0.86 -5.0 2
1990-09-08 Aberdeen D 1-172.6 1612 1776 29.88% 25.64% 44.48%-0.46 +0.8 3
1990-09-08 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-172.6 1776 1612 44.48% 25.64% 29.88%+0.46 -0.8 5
1990-09-08 Rangers L 1-364.1 1673 1763 40.10% 25.91% 33.99%-0.08 -18.5 1
1990-09-08 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-164.1 1763 1673 33.99% 25.91% 40.10%+0.08 +18.5 5
1990-09-08 St. Johnstone W 3-047.8 1639 1603 55.30% 25.50% 19.20%+0.57 +17.5 4
1990-09-08 @ Motherwell L 0-347.8 1603 1639 19.20% 25.50% 55.30%-0.57 -17.5 1
1990-09-15 Dundee United D 1-173.2 1776 1703 58.71% 25.19% 16.10%+0.76 -2.7 6
1990-09-15 @ Aberdeen D 1-173.2 1703 1776 16.10% 25.19% 58.71%-0.76 +2.7 7
1990-09-15 Heart of Midlothian L 0-356.5 1613 1654 46.54% 25.88% 27.58%+0.17 -35.1 1
1990-09-15 @ Hibernian W 3-056.5 1654 1613 27.58% 25.88% 46.54%-0.17 +35.1 3
1990-09-15 Celtic D 1-173.2 1781 1637 64.43% 24.34% 11.24%+1.13 -3.5 6
1990-09-15 @ Rangers D 1-173.2 1637 1781 11.24% 24.34% 64.43%-1.13 +3.5 3
1990-09-15 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-265.4 1585 1612 48.25% 25.85% 25.90%+0.24 +7.3 3
1990-09-15 @ St. Johnstone L 2-365.4 1612 1585 25.90% 25.85% 48.25%-0.24 -7.3 3
1990-09-15 Motherwell W 1-056.8 1600 1656 44.66% 25.91% 29.43%+0.09 +9.0 4
1990-09-15 @ St. Mirren L 0-156.8 1656 1600 29.43% 25.91% 44.66%-0.09 -9.0 4
1990-09-22 St. Mirren W 2-157.8 1773 1609 65.72% 24.06% 10.22%+1.22 +3.4 8
1990-09-22 @ Aberdeen L 1-257.8 1609 1773 10.22% 24.06% 65.72%-1.22 -3.4 4
1990-09-22 Heart of Midlothian W 3-052.0 1640 1689 45.55% 25.90% 28.55%+0.13 +24.0 5
1990-09-22 @ Celtic L 0-352.0 1689 1640 28.55% 25.90% 45.55%-0.13 -24.0 3
1990-09-22 Rangers W 2-165.3 1706 1778 42.59% 25.92% 31.49%+0.01 +8.9 9
1990-09-22 @ Dundee United L 1-265.3 1778 1706 31.49% 25.92% 42.59%-0.01 -8.9 6
1990-09-22 St. Johnstone W 1-053.5 1578 1592 49.75% 25.80% 24.45%+0.31 +7.8 3
1990-09-22 @ Hibernian L 0-153.5 1592 1578 24.45% 25.80% 49.75%-0.31 -7.8 3
1990-09-22 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-049.8 1647 1605 55.88% 25.46% 18.66%+0.60 +11.7 6
1990-09-22 @ Motherwell L 0-249.8 1605 1647 18.66% 25.46% 55.88%-0.60 -11.7 3
1990-09-29 Hibernian D 1-169.4 1593 1585 52.32% 25.69% 21.99%+0.42 -1.8 4
1990-09-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-169.4 1585 1593 21.99% 25.69% 52.32%-0.42 +1.8 4
1990-09-29 Dundee United W 1-058.0 1665 1715 45.47% 25.90% 28.63%+0.13 +8.8 5
1990-09-29 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-158.0 1715 1665 28.63% 25.90% 45.47%-0.13 -8.8 9
1990-09-29 Motherwell W 1-053.4 1769 1659 61.82% 24.79% 13.39%+0.95 +4.7 8
1990-09-29 @ Rangers L 0-153.4 1659 1769 13.39% 24.79% 61.82%-0.95 -4.7 6
1990-09-29 Aberdeen W 5-058.4 1585 1776 26.60% 25.45% 47.95%-0.60 +57.7 5
1990-09-29 @ St. Johnstone L 0-558.4 1776 1585 47.95% 25.45% 26.60%+0.60 -57.7 8
1990-09-29 Celtic L 2-372.3 1606 1664 44.40% 25.91% 29.69%+0.08 -11.0 4
1990-09-29 @ St. Mirren W 3-272.3 1664 1606 29.69% 25.91% 44.40%-0.08 +11.0 7
1990-10-06 Rangers D 0-068.1 1719 1773 44.82% 25.91% 29.27%+0.10 -1.0 9
1990-10-06 @ Aberdeen D 0-068.1 1773 1719 29.27% 25.91% 44.82%-0.10 +1.0 9
1990-10-06 St. Johnstone D 0-067.0 1675 1642 54.92% 25.53% 19.55%+0.55 -2.4 8
1990-10-06 @ Celtic D 0-067.0 1642 1675 19.55% 25.53% 54.92%-0.55 +2.4 6
1990-10-06 St. Mirren W 1-053.5 1587 1595 50.56% 25.77% 23.67%+0.34 +7.6 6
1990-10-06 @ Hibernian L 0-153.5 1595 1587 23.67% 25.77% 50.56%-0.34 -7.6 4
1990-10-06 Heart of Midlothian D 1-172.0 1655 1674 49.21% 25.82% 24.97%+0.28 -1.4 7
1990-10-06 @ Motherwell D 1-172.0 1674 1655 24.97% 25.82% 49.21%-0.28 +1.4 6
1990-10-10 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-046.6 1706 1592 62.20% 24.73% 13.07%+0.97 +12.5 11
1990-10-10 @ Dundee United L 0-346.6 1592 1706 13.07% 24.73% 62.20%-0.97 -12.5 4
1990-10-13 Hibernian W 1-052.2 1718 1595 62.91% 24.61% 12.48%+1.02 +4.4 13
1990-10-13 @ Dundee United L 0-152.2 1595 1718 12.48% 24.61% 62.91%-1.02 -4.4 6
1990-10-13 Celtic D 1-170.9 1579 1673 39.63% 25.91% 34.46%-0.10 -0.3 5
1990-10-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-170.9 1673 1579 34.46% 25.91% 39.63%+0.10 +0.3 9
1990-10-13 St. Johnstone L 2-376.0 1675 1645 54.70% 25.55% 19.75%+0.54 -13.2 6
1990-10-13 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-276.0 1645 1675 19.75% 25.55% 54.70%-0.54 +13.2 8
1990-10-13 Aberdeen D 0-067.4 1653 1718 43.55% 25.92% 30.53%+0.05 -0.8 8
1990-10-13 @ Motherwell D 0-067.4 1718 1653 30.53% 25.92% 43.55%-0.05 +0.8 10
1990-10-13 St. Mirren W 5-046.3 1774 1587 67.22% 23.70% 9.08%+1.34 +14.3 11
1990-10-13 @ Rangers L 0-546.3 1587 1774 9.08% 23.70% 67.22%-1.34 -14.3 4
1990-10-20 Heart of Midlothian W 3-048.9 1718 1662 57.24% 25.34% 17.42%+0.67 +16.1 12
1990-10-20 @ Aberdeen L 0-348.9 1662 1718 17.42% 25.34% 57.24%-0.67 -16.1 6
1990-10-20 Dundee United D 0-067.6 1673 1723 45.43% 25.90% 28.66%+0.13 -1.1 10
1990-10-20 @ Celtic D 0-067.6 1723 1673 28.66% 25.90% 45.43%-0.13 +1.1 14
1990-10-20 Motherwell W 1-056.8 1590 1652 43.91% 25.92% 30.18%+0.06 +9.2 8
1990-10-20 @ Hibernian L 0-156.8 1652 1590 30.18% 25.92% 43.91%-0.06 -9.2 8
1990-10-20 Rangers D 0-067.9 1658 1789 34.39% 25.81% 39.79%-0.29 +0.3 9
1990-10-20 @ St. Johnstone D 0-067.9 1789 1658 39.79% 25.81% 34.39%+0.29 -0.3 12
1990-10-20 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-160.9 1573 1579 50.79% 25.76% 23.45%+0.35 -13.8 4
1990-10-20 @ St. Mirren W 1-060.9 1579 1573 23.45% 25.76% 50.79%-0.35 +13.8 7
1990-10-27 St. Johnstone L 1-272.6 1724 1658 58.09% 25.26% 16.65%+0.72 -14.8 14
1990-10-27 @ Dundee United W 2-172.6 1658 1724 16.65% 25.26% 58.09%-0.72 +14.8 11
1990-10-27 Aberdeen D 1-172.0 1600 1735 33.81% 25.80% 40.39%-0.31 +0.4 9
1990-10-27 @ Hibernian D 1-172.0 1735 1600 40.39% 25.80% 33.81%+0.31 -0.4 13
1990-10-27 Heart of Midlothian W 2-162.9 1559 1646 40.56% 25.92% 33.52%-0.06 +9.3 6
1990-10-27 @ St. Mirren L 1-262.9 1646 1559 33.52% 25.92% 40.56%+0.06 -9.3 6
1990-11-03 Celtic W 3-049.0 1734 1672 57.80% 25.29% 16.91%+0.70 +15.7 15
1990-11-03 @ Aberdeen L 0-349.0 1672 1734 16.91% 25.29% 57.80%-0.70 -15.7 10
1990-11-03 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-170.6 1637 1593 56.05% 25.44% 18.51%+0.61 -2.3 7
1990-11-03 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-170.6 1593 1637 18.51% 25.44% 56.05%-0.61 +2.3 8
1990-11-03 Dundee United L 0-258.6 1643 1709 43.35% 25.92% 30.73%+0.04 -22.8 8
1990-11-03 @ Motherwell W 2-058.6 1709 1643 30.73% 25.92% 43.35%-0.04 +22.8 16
1990-11-03 Hibernian W 4-045.8 1788 1600 67.30% 23.68% 9.02%+1.35 +11.5 14
1990-11-03 @ Rangers L 0-445.8 1600 1788 9.02% 23.68% 67.30%-1.35 -11.5 9
1990-11-03 St. Mirren L 0-165.8 1673 1569 61.42% 24.85% 13.73%+0.92 -16.6 11
1990-11-03 @ St. Johnstone W 1-065.8 1569 1673 13.73% 24.85% 61.42%-0.92 +16.6 8
1990-11-06 Motherwell W 2-159.8 1656 1620 55.23% 25.51% 19.26%+0.57 +6.0 12
1990-11-06 @ Celtic L 1-259.8 1620 1656 19.26% 25.51% 55.23%-0.57 -6.0 8
1990-11-10 Motherwell D 3-379.5 1595 1614 49.20% 25.82% 24.98%+0.28 -0.9 9
1990-11-10 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 3-379.5 1614 1595 24.98% 25.82% 49.20%-0.28 +0.9 9
1990-11-10 Celtic W 1-056.4 1634 1662 48.19% 25.85% 25.96%+0.24 +8.2 9
1990-11-10 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-156.4 1662 1634 25.96% 25.85% 48.19%-0.24 -8.1 12
1990-11-10 Dundee United L 1-273.3 1800 1732 58.31% 25.24% 16.46%+0.73 -14.9 14
1990-11-10 @ Rangers W 2-173.3 1732 1800 16.46% 25.24% 58.31%-0.73 +14.8 18
1990-11-10 Hibernian D 1-171.0 1657 1588 58.32% 25.23% 16.45%+0.73 -2.6 12
1990-11-10 @ St. Johnstone D 1-171.0 1588 1657 16.45% 25.23% 58.32%-0.73 +2.6 10
1990-11-10 Aberdeen L 0-452.2 1585 1750 29.89% 25.64% 44.46%-0.46 -32.4 8
1990-11-10 @ St. Mirren W 4-052.2 1750 1585 44.46% 25.64% 29.89%+0.46 +32.4 17
1990-11-17 St. Johnstone D 0-068.2 1782 1654 63.26% 24.55% 12.19%+1.04 -3.7 18
1990-11-17 @ Aberdeen D 0-068.2 1654 1782 12.19% 24.55% 63.26%-1.04 +3.7 13
1990-11-17 St. Mirren W 4-150.3 1654 1553 61.15% 24.89% 13.96%+0.90 +11.2 14
1990-11-17 @ Celtic L 1-450.3 1553 1654 13.96% 24.89% 61.15%-0.90 -11.2 8
1990-11-17 Heart of Midlothian D 1-172.8 1747 1642 61.40% 24.85% 13.75%+0.92 -3.0 19
1990-11-17 @ Dundee United D 1-172.8 1642 1747 13.75% 24.85% 61.40%-0.92 +3.0 10
1990-11-17 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-169.6 1591 1594 51.10% 25.75% 23.16%+0.37 -1.7 11
1990-11-17 @ Hibernian D 1-169.6 1594 1591 23.16% 25.75% 51.10%-0.37 +1.7 10
1990-11-17 Rangers L 2-464.1 1615 1785 29.25% 25.61% 45.13%-0.49 -13.0 9
1990-11-17 @ Motherwell W 4-264.1 1785 1615 45.13% 25.61% 29.25%+0.49 +13.0 16
1990-11-20 Rangers L 0-157.0 1596 1798 25.38% 25.37% 49.25%-0.66 -8.0 10
1990-11-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-057.0 1798 1596 49.25% 25.37% 25.38%+0.66 +8.0 18
1990-11-24 Aberdeen L 2-375.1 1744 1779 47.33% 25.87% 26.80%+0.20 -11.6 19
1990-11-24 @ Dundee United W 3-275.1 1779 1744 26.80% 25.87% 47.33%-0.20 +11.6 20
1990-11-24 St. Johnstone L 1-266.5 1588 1658 42.85% 25.92% 31.23%+0.02 -11.3 10
1990-11-24 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-166.5 1658 1588 31.23% 25.92% 42.85%-0.02 +11.3 15
1990-11-24 Hibernian D 1-170.8 1645 1589 57.21% 25.34% 17.45%+0.67 -2.5 11
1990-11-24 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-170.8 1589 1645 17.45% 25.34% 57.21%-0.67 +2.5 12
1990-11-24 St. Mirren D 1-168.6 1602 1542 57.64% 25.30% 17.06%+0.69 -2.5 10
1990-11-24 @ Motherwell D 1-168.6 1542 1602 17.06% 25.30% 57.64%-0.69 +2.5 9
1990-11-25 Rangers L 1-265.7 1665 1806 33.02% 25.77% 41.21%-0.34 -9.2 14
1990-11-25 @ Celtic W 2-165.7 1806 1665 41.21% 25.77% 33.02%+0.34 +9.2 20
1990-12-01 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-261.7 1790 1576 68.80% 23.26% 7.95%+1.48 +2.5 22
1990-12-01 @ Aberdeen L 2-361.7 1576 1790 7.95% 23.26% 68.80%-1.48 -2.5 10
1990-12-01 Celtic L 0-355.4 1592 1656 43.61% 25.92% 30.47%+0.05 -33.2 12
1990-12-01 @ Hibernian W 3-055.4 1656 1592 30.47% 25.92% 43.61%-0.05 +33.2 16
1990-12-01 Heart of Midlothian W 4-046.5 1815 1643 66.28% 23.93% 9.78%+1.27 +12.5 22
1990-12-01 @ Rangers L 0-446.5 1643 1815 9.78% 23.93% 66.28%-1.27 -12.5 11
1990-12-01 Motherwell W 2-158.8 1669 1600 58.41% 25.22% 16.36%+0.74 +5.2 17
1990-12-01 @ St. Johnstone L 1-258.8 1600 1669 16.36% 25.22% 58.41%-0.74 -5.2 10
1990-12-01 Dundee United D 1-171.4 1544 1732 27.04% 25.48% 47.47%-0.58 +1.2 10
1990-12-01 @ St. Mirren D 1-171.4 1732 1544 47.47% 25.48% 27.04%+0.58 -1.2 20
1990-12-08 Celtic W 3-157.5 1731 1689 55.83% 25.46% 18.71%+0.60 +10.2 22
1990-12-08 @ Dundee United L 1-357.5 1689 1731 18.71% 25.46% 55.83%-0.60 -10.2 16
1990-12-08 Aberdeen W 1-062.9 1631 1793 30.21% 25.66% 44.13%-0.45 +12.2 13
1990-12-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-162.9 1793 1631 44.13% 25.66% 30.21%+0.45 -12.2 22
1990-12-08 St. Johnstone W 4-152.2 1828 1674 65.05% 24.21% 10.74%+1.17 +8.8 24
1990-12-08 @ Rangers L 1-452.2 1674 1828 10.74% 24.21% 65.05%-1.17 -8.8 17
1990-12-11 St. Mirren D 0-062.8 1574 1545 54.51% 25.56% 19.93%+0.53 -2.4 11
1990-12-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-062.8 1545 1574 19.93% 25.56% 54.51%-0.53 +2.4 11
1990-12-11 Hibernian W 4-150.8 1594 1559 55.23% 25.51% 19.26%+0.57 +14.8 12
1990-12-11 @ Motherwell L 1-450.8 1559 1594 19.26% 25.51% 55.23%-0.57 -14.8 12
1990-12-15 Motherwell D 1-173.1 1781 1609 66.23% 23.95% 9.83%+1.26 -3.7 23
1990-12-15 @ Aberdeen D 1-173.1 1609 1781 9.83% 23.95% 66.23%-1.26 +3.7 13
1990-12-15 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-271.9 1679 1572 61.64% 24.82% 13.54%+0.93 -15.7 16
1990-12-15 @ Celtic W 2-171.9 1572 1679 13.54% 24.82% 61.64%-0.93 +15.7 13
1990-12-15 Dundee United D 0-066.6 1544 1741 25.97% 25.41% 48.62%-0.63 +1.5 13
1990-12-15 @ Hibernian D 0-066.6 1741 1544 48.62% 25.41% 25.97%+0.63 -1.5 23
1990-12-15 Heart of Midlothian W 2-160.7 1665 1643 53.88% 25.60% 20.52%+0.50 +6.4 19
1990-12-15 @ St. Johnstone L 1-260.7 1643 1665 20.52% 25.60% 53.88%-0.50 -6.4 13
1990-12-15 Rangers L 0-348.6 1548 1837 17.00% 24.40% 58.60%-1.10 -15.5 11
1990-12-15 @ St. Mirren W 3-048.6 1837 1548 58.60% 24.40% 17.00%+1.10 +15.5 26
1990-12-22 Dundee United W 1-061.7 1587 1740 31.49% 25.71% 42.79%-0.40 +11.9 15
1990-12-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-161.7 1740 1587 42.79% 25.71% 31.49%+0.40 -11.9 23
1990-12-22 Motherwell W 3-264.7 1636 1613 53.98% 25.59% 20.43%+0.50 +6.0 15
1990-12-22 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-364.7 1613 1636 20.43% 25.59% 53.98%-0.50 -6.0 13
1990-12-22 Aberdeen D 2-279.4 1852 1777 58.94% 25.17% 15.89%+0.77 -2.0 27
1990-12-22 @ Rangers D 2-279.4 1777 1852 15.89% 25.17% 58.94%-0.77 +2.0 24
1990-12-22 Celtic W 3-266.4 1672 1663 52.36% 25.69% 21.95%+0.43 +6.4 21
1990-12-22 @ St. Johnstone L 2-366.4 1663 1672 21.95% 25.69% 52.36%-0.43 -6.4 16
1990-12-22 Hibernian W 1-050.6 1532 1545 49.93% 25.79% 24.28%+0.31 +7.7 13
1990-12-22 @ St. Mirren L 0-150.6 1545 1532 24.28% 25.79% 49.93%-0.31 -7.7 13
1990-12-26 St. Mirren W 1-050.0 1779 1540 70.19% 22.81% 7.00%+1.61 +2.5 26
1990-12-26 @ Aberdeen L 0-150.0 1540 1779 7.00% 22.81% 70.19%-1.61 -2.5 13
1990-12-29 Heart of Midlothian D 1-171.7 1657 1642 53.02% 25.65% 21.32%+0.46 -1.9 17
1990-12-29 @ Celtic D 1-171.7 1642 1657 21.32% 25.65% 53.02%-0.46 +1.9 16
1990-12-29 Rangers L 1-266.8 1728 1850 35.57% 25.84% 38.59%-0.25 -9.8 23
1990-12-29 @ Dundee United W 2-166.8 1850 1728 38.59% 25.84% 35.57%+0.25 +9.8 29
1990-12-29 St. Johnstone L 0-157.1 1538 1678 33.08% 25.77% 41.15%-0.34 -9.8 13
1990-12-29 @ Hibernian W 1-057.1 1678 1538 41.15% 25.77% 33.08%+0.34 +9.8 23
1991-01-02 Dundee United L 0-167.3 1781 1718 57.89% 25.28% 16.83%+0.71 -15.6 26
1991-01-02 @ Aberdeen W 1-067.3 1718 1781 16.83% 25.28% 57.89%-0.71 +15.6 25
1991-01-02 Heart of Midlothian L 1-456.5 1528 1644 36.38% 25.86% 37.76%-0.22 -24.3 13
1991-01-02 @ Hibernian W 4-156.5 1644 1528 37.76% 25.86% 36.38%+0.22 +24.3 18
1991-01-02 Celtic W 2-048.3 1860 1655 68.28% 23.41% 8.31%+1.44 +5.6 31
1991-01-02 @ Rangers L 0-248.3 1655 1860 8.31% 23.41% 68.28%-1.44 -5.6 17
1991-01-02 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-166.2 1688 1599 60.11% 25.03% 14.86%+0.84 -16.2 23
1991-01-02 @ St. Johnstone W 1-066.2 1599 1688 14.86% 25.03% 60.11%-0.84 +16.2 17
1991-01-02 Motherwell D 2-274.3 1537 1607 42.89% 25.92% 31.19%+0.03 -0.5 14
1991-01-02 @ St. Mirren D 2-274.3 1607 1537 31.19% 25.92% 42.89%-0.03 +0.5 14
1991-01-05 Hibernian D 1-169.2 1649 1504 64.51% 24.32% 11.17%+1.13 -3.5 18
1991-01-05 @ Celtic D 1-169.2 1504 1649 11.17% 24.32% 64.51%-1.13 +3.5 14
1991-01-05 St. Mirren W 3-260.9 1734 1537 67.80% 23.54% 8.65%+1.39 +2.8 27
1991-01-05 @ Dundee United L 2-360.9 1537 1734 8.65% 23.54% 67.80%-1.39 -2.8 14
1991-01-05 Aberdeen L 1-458.3 1615 1766 31.76% 25.72% 42.52%-0.39 -21.9 17
1991-01-05 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 4-158.3 1766 1615 42.52% 25.72% 31.76%+0.39 +21.9 28
1991-01-05 Rangers L 0-157.8 1669 1865 26.03% 25.41% 48.56%-0.63 -8.1 18
1991-01-05 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-057.8 1865 1669 48.56% 25.41% 26.03%+0.63 +8.1 33
1991-01-05 St. Johnstone D 2-277.2 1607 1672 43.59% 25.92% 30.49%+0.05 -0.6 15
1991-01-05 @ Motherwell D 2-277.2 1672 1607 30.49% 25.92% 43.59%-0.05 +0.6 24
1991-01-12 Hibernian W 2-045.5 1788 1507 72.29% 22.02% 5.69%+1.83 +3.8 30
1991-01-12 @ Aberdeen L 0-245.5 1507 1788 5.69% 22.02% 72.29%-1.83 -3.8 14
1991-01-12 St. Mirren W 2-046.5 1661 1534 63.11% 24.58% 12.31%+1.03 +8.2 20
1991-01-12 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-246.5 1534 1661 12.31% 24.58% 63.11%-1.03 -8.2 14
1991-01-12 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-046.9 1873 1594 72.26% 22.03% 5.71%+1.82 +3.8 35
1991-01-12 @ Rangers L 0-246.9 1594 1873 5.71% 22.03% 72.26%-1.82 -3.8 17
1991-01-19 Aberdeen W 1-062.3 1646 1791 32.39% 25.75% 41.86%-0.37 +11.7 20
1991-01-19 @ Celtic L 0-162.3 1791 1646 41.86% 25.75% 32.39%+0.37 -11.7 30
1991-01-19 Motherwell W 3-046.8 1736 1607 63.34% 24.54% 12.12%+1.05 +11.7 29
1991-01-19 @ Dundee United L 0-346.8 1607 1736 12.12% 24.54% 63.34%-1.05 -11.7 15
1991-01-19 Rangers L 0-248.4 1503 1877 11.25% 23.06% 65.69%-1.54 -7.3 14
1991-01-19 @ Hibernian W 2-048.4 1877 1503 65.69% 23.06% 11.25%+1.54 +7.3 37
1991-01-19 St. Johnstone L 0-156.5 1526 1672 32.30% 25.75% 41.95%-0.37 -9.6 14
1991-01-19 @ St. Mirren W 1-056.5 1672 1526 41.95% 25.75% 32.30%+0.37 +9.6 26
1991-01-30 Celtic D 1-170.9 1595 1658 43.83% 25.92% 30.26%+0.06 -0.8 16
1991-01-30 @ Motherwell D 1-170.9 1658 1595 30.26% 25.92% 43.83%-0.06 +0.8 21
1991-02-02 Heart of Midlothian W 5-048.4 1780 1669 61.94% 24.77% 13.29%+0.95 +20.4 32
1991-02-02 @ Aberdeen L 0-548.4 1669 1780 13.29% 24.77% 61.94%-0.95 -20.4 20
1991-02-02 Dundee United W 1-059.8 1658 1748 40.16% 25.91% 33.92%-0.08 +10.0 23
1991-02-02 @ Celtic L 0-159.8 1748 1658 33.92% 25.91% 40.16%+0.08 -10.0 29
1991-02-02 Motherwell D 1-166.8 1496 1594 38.93% 25.90% 35.17%-0.12 -0.2 15
1991-02-02 @ Hibernian D 1-166.8 1594 1496 35.17% 25.90% 38.93%+0.12 +0.2 17
1991-02-09 Hibernian D 0-066.5 1738 1496 70.36% 22.75% 6.89%+1.63 -4.7 30
1991-02-09 @ Dundee United D 0-066.5 1496 1738 6.89% 22.75% 70.36%-1.63 +4.7 16
1991-02-09 St. Mirren W 1-049.0 1885 1516 76.13% 20.19% 3.68%+2.28 +1.3 39
1991-02-09 @ Rangers L 0-149.0 1516 1885 3.68% 20.19% 76.13%-2.28 -1.3 14
1991-02-13 Aberdeen L 0-160.8 1682 1800 36.11% 25.86% 38.03%-0.23 -10.5 26
1991-02-13 @ St. Johnstone W 1-060.8 1800 1682 38.03% 25.86% 36.11%+0.23 +10.5 34
1991-02-16 Dundee United W 2-165.3 1648 1733 40.79% 25.92% 33.29%-0.05 +9.3 22
1991-02-16 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-265.3 1733 1648 33.29% 25.92% 40.79%+0.05 -9.3 30
1991-02-16 Motherwell W 2-046.8 1886 1595 72.79% 21.81% 5.40%+1.88 +3.6 41
1991-02-16 @ Rangers L 0-246.8 1595 1886 5.40% 21.81% 72.79%-1.88 -3.6 17
1991-02-19 Dundee United L 0-163.1 1671 1724 45.10% 25.91% 29.00%+0.11 -12.5 26
1991-02-19 @ St. Johnstone W 1-063.1 1724 1671 29.00% 25.91% 45.10%-0.11 +12.5 32
1991-02-19 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-273.1 1515 1590 42.21% 25.92% 31.87%+0.00 -0.4 15
1991-02-19 @ St. Mirren D 2-273.1 1590 1515 31.87% 25.92% 42.21%+0.00 +0.4 18
1991-02-23 Heart of Midlothian W 3-159.4 1590 1658 43.17% 25.92% 30.91%+0.04 +15.2 20
1991-02-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-359.4 1658 1590 30.91% 25.92% 43.17%-0.04 -15.2 22
1991-02-26 Rangers D 1-173.4 1659 1889 22.34% 25.10% 52.56%-0.80 +1.8 27
1991-02-26 @ St. Johnstone D 1-173.4 1889 1659 52.56% 25.10% 22.34%+0.80 -1.8 42
1991-02-27 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-054.1 1591 1605 49.80% 25.80% 24.41%+0.31 +7.8 19
1991-02-27 @ Motherwell L 0-154.1 1605 1591 24.41% 25.80% 49.80%-0.31 -7.8 20
1991-03-02 Rangers W 1-060.1 1811 1888 41.90% 25.92% 32.18%-0.01 +9.6 36
1991-03-02 @ Aberdeen L 0-160.1 1888 1811 32.18% 25.92% 41.90%+0.01 -9.6 42
1991-03-02 St. Johnstone W 3-050.0 1668 1661 52.29% 25.69% 22.02%+0.42 +19.6 25
1991-03-02 @ Celtic L 0-350.0 1661 1668 22.02% 25.69% 52.29%-0.42 -19.6 27
1991-03-02 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-052.1 1736 1598 64.02% 24.41% 11.57%+1.10 +4.1 34
1991-03-02 @ Dundee United L 0-152.1 1598 1736 11.57% 24.41% 64.02%-1.10 -4.1 20
1991-03-02 St. Mirren W 4-361.5 1500 1515 49.81% 25.80% 24.39%+0.31 +6.8 18
1991-03-02 @ Hibernian L 3-461.5 1515 1500 24.39% 25.80% 49.81%-0.31 -6.8 15
1991-03-02 Heart of Midlothian L 1-363.9 1599 1642 46.25% 25.89% 27.86%+0.16 -20.8 19
1991-03-02 @ Motherwell W 3-163.9 1642 1599 27.86% 25.89% 46.25%-0.16 +20.8 24
1991-03-05 Aberdeen L 0-252.1 1578 1820 21.16% 24.98% 53.86%-0.86 -12.9 19
1991-03-05 @ Motherwell W 2-052.1 1820 1578 53.86% 24.98% 21.16%+0.86 +12.9 38
1991-03-06 Celtic L 0-160.2 1593 1688 39.49% 25.91% 34.60%-0.10 -11.2 20
1991-03-06 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-060.2 1688 1593 34.60% 25.91% 39.49%+0.10 +11.2 27
1991-03-06 St. Johnstone W 2-160.6 1663 1641 53.82% 25.60% 20.58%+0.50 +6.4 26
1991-03-06 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-260.6 1641 1663 20.58% 25.60% 53.82%-0.50 -6.4 27
1991-03-09 Celtic L 0-251.3 1507 1699 26.58% 25.45% 47.97%-0.60 -15.6 18
1991-03-09 @ Hibernian W 2-051.3 1699 1507 47.97% 25.45% 26.58%+0.60 +15.6 29
1991-03-09 Heart of Midlothian W 2-157.8 1878 1669 68.50% 23.35% 8.16%+1.45 +2.8 44
1991-03-09 @ Rangers L 1-257.8 1669 1878 8.16% 23.35% 68.50%-1.45 -2.8 26
1991-03-09 Motherwell L 1-463.6 1635 1565 58.46% 25.22% 16.32%+0.74 -36.5 27
1991-03-09 @ St. Johnstone W 4-163.6 1565 1635 16.32% 25.22% 58.46%-0.74 +36.5 21
1991-03-09 Dundee United L 0-154.2 1508 1741 22.13% 25.08% 52.80%-0.81 -7.1 15
1991-03-09 @ St. Mirren W 1-054.2 1741 1508 52.80% 25.08% 22.13%+0.81 +7.1 36
1991-03-12 Celtic L 0-250.7 1501 1715 24.10% 25.26% 50.64%-0.72 -14.4 15
1991-03-12 @ St. Mirren W 2-050.7 1715 1501 50.64% 25.26% 24.10%+0.72 +14.4 31
1991-03-13 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-068.7 1833 1582 70.81% 22.59% 6.60%+1.67 -4.8 39
1991-03-13 @ Aberdeen D 0-068.7 1582 1833 6.60% 22.59% 70.81%-1.67 +4.8 21
1991-03-16 Hibernian D 1-166.7 1587 1492 60.68% 24.95% 14.37%+0.87 -2.9 22
1991-03-16 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-166.7 1492 1587 14.37% 24.95% 60.68%-0.87 +2.9 19
1991-03-23 Aberdeen L 1-268.6 1748 1828 41.38% 25.92% 32.70%-0.03 -11.0 36
1991-03-23 @ Dundee United W 2-168.6 1828 1748 32.70% 25.92% 41.38%+0.03 +11.0 41
1991-03-23 St. Johnstone W 3-264.6 1584 1598 49.82% 25.80% 24.38%+0.31 +6.9 24
1991-03-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 2-364.6 1598 1584 24.38% 25.80% 49.82%-0.31 -6.9 27
1991-03-23 Hibernian W 3-150.6 1667 1495 66.28% 23.93% 9.79%+1.27 +5.7 28
1991-03-23 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-350.6 1495 1667 9.79% 23.93% 66.28%-1.27 -5.7 19
1991-03-23 St. Mirren W 3-149.5 1602 1486 62.25% 24.72% 13.03%+0.97 +7.4 23
1991-03-23 @ Motherwell L 1-349.5 1486 1602 13.03% 24.72% 62.25%-0.97 -7.4 15
1991-03-24 Rangers W 3-057.5 1729 1881 31.58% 25.72% 42.70%-0.40 +32.6 33
1991-03-24 @ Celtic L 0-357.5 1881 1729 42.70% 25.72% 31.58%+0.40 -32.6 44
1991-03-30 Motherwell L 1-274.2 1762 1609 64.99% 24.22% 10.79%+1.17 -16.5 33
1991-03-30 @ Celtic W 2-174.2 1609 1762 10.79% 24.22% 64.99%-1.17 +16.5 25
1991-03-30 St. Johnstone D 0-067.4 1737 1591 64.48% 24.33% 11.20%+1.13 -3.9 37
1991-03-30 @ Dundee United D 0-067.4 1591 1737 11.20% 24.33% 64.48%-1.13 +3.9 28
1991-03-30 Rangers L 0-155.4 1591 1848 19.76% 24.81% 55.44%-0.94 -6.4 24
1991-03-30 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-055.4 1848 1591 55.44% 24.81% 19.76%+0.94 +6.5 46
1991-03-30 Aberdeen L 2-457.9 1489 1839 12.63% 23.47% 63.90%-1.42 -6.3 19
1991-03-30 @ Hibernian W 4-257.9 1839 1489 63.90% 23.47% 12.63%+1.42 +6.3 43
1991-03-30 Heart of Midlothian D 0-063.8 1479 1672 26.40% 25.44% 48.15%-0.61 +1.4 16
1991-03-30 @ St. Mirren D 0-063.8 1672 1479 48.15% 25.44% 26.40%+0.61 -1.4 29
1991-04-06 Celtic W 1-054.2 1846 1745 61.09% 24.90% 14.01%+0.90 +4.9 45
1991-04-06 @ Aberdeen L 0-154.2 1745 1846 14.01% 24.90% 61.09%-0.90 -4.9 33
1991-04-06 Dunfermline Athletic W 4-151.6 1671 1585 59.92% 25.05% 15.03%+0.83 +11.9 31
1991-04-06 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-451.6 1585 1671 15.03% 25.05% 59.92%-0.83 -11.9 24
1991-04-06 Hibernian D 0-068.8 1855 1483 76.28% 20.11% 3.61%+2.29 -5.5 47
1991-04-06 @ Rangers D 0-068.8 1483 1855 3.61% 20.11% 76.28%-2.29 +5.5 20
1991-04-09 St. Mirren W 2-152.7 1595 1480 62.23% 24.73% 13.04%+0.97 +4.3 30
1991-04-09 @ St. Johnstone L 1-252.7 1480 1595 13.04% 24.73% 62.23%-0.97 -4.3 16
1991-04-13 Celtic W 2-162.9 1733 1740 50.59% 25.77% 23.64%+0.34 +7.1 39
1991-04-13 @ Dundee United L 1-262.9 1740 1733 23.64% 25.77% 50.59%-0.34 -7.1 33
1991-04-13 St. Mirren D 2-271.5 1573 1476 60.77% 24.94% 14.29%+0.88 -2.2 25
1991-04-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-271.5 1476 1573 14.29% 24.94% 60.77%-0.88 +2.2 17
1991-04-13 Aberdeen L 1-458.3 1683 1850 29.54% 25.63% 44.83%-0.48 -20.7 31
1991-04-13 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-158.3 1850 1683 44.83% 25.63% 29.54%+0.48 +20.7 47
1991-04-13 Hibernian W 1-047.6 1625 1488 63.91% 24.43% 11.65%+1.09 +4.1 27
1991-04-13 @ Motherwell L 0-147.6 1488 1625 11.65% 24.43% 63.91%-1.09 -4.1 20
1991-04-13 St. Johnstone W 3-045.3 1849 1600 70.75% 22.61% 6.64%+1.67 +6.5 49
1991-04-13 @ Rangers L 0-345.3 1600 1849 6.64% 22.61% 70.75%-1.67 -6.5 30
1991-04-16 Dundee United W 1-060.4 1630 1740 37.25% 25.88% 36.87%-0.18 +10.6 29
1991-04-16 @ Motherwell L 0-160.4 1740 1630 36.87% 25.88% 37.25%+0.18 -10.6 39
1991-04-20 Motherwell W 3-045.9 1871 1640 69.76% 22.96% 7.29%+1.57 +7.1 49
1991-04-20 @ Aberdeen L 0-345.9 1640 1871 7.29% 22.96% 69.76%-1.57 -7.1 29
1991-04-20 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-149.0 1733 1570 65.66% 24.08% 10.27%+1.22 +10.9 35
1991-04-20 @ Celtic L 1-549.0 1570 1733 10.27% 24.08% 65.66%-1.22 -10.9 25
1991-04-20 Dundee United W 1-063.1 1484 1729 20.87% 24.94% 54.19%-0.88 +14.6 22
1991-04-20 @ Hibernian L 0-163.1 1729 1484 54.19% 24.94% 20.87%+0.88 -14.6 39
1991-04-20 Heart of Midlothian L 0-257.3 1593 1662 42.93% 25.92% 31.14%+0.03 -22.6 30
1991-04-20 @ St. Johnstone W 2-057.3 1662 1593 31.14% 25.92% 42.93%-0.03 +22.6 33
1991-04-20 Rangers L 0-151.5 1478 1856 11.07% 23.00% 65.92%-1.56 -3.8 17
1991-04-20 @ St. Mirren W 1-051.5 1856 1478 65.92% 23.00% 11.07%+1.56 +3.8 51
1991-04-24 Dundee United W 1-053.2 1859 1715 64.44% 24.33% 11.23%+1.13 +4.0 53
1991-04-24 @ Rangers L 0-153.2 1715 1859 11.23% 24.33% 64.44%-1.13 -4.0 39
1991-04-27 Motherwell L 2-561.1 1560 1633 42.36% 25.92% 31.71%+0.01 -23.7 25
1991-04-27 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 5-261.1 1633 1560 31.71% 25.92% 42.36%-0.01 +23.7 31
1991-04-27 Celtic L 0-163.0 1685 1744 44.25% 25.91% 29.84%+0.08 -12.3 33
1991-04-27 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-063.0 1744 1685 29.84% 25.91% 44.25%-0.08 +12.3 37
1991-04-27 Hibernian D 0-061.3 1570 1499 58.66% 25.20% 16.14%+0.75 -3.0 31
1991-04-27 @ St. Johnstone D 0-061.3 1499 1570 16.14% 25.20% 58.66%-0.75 +3.0 23
1991-04-27 Aberdeen L 0-151.1 1474 1878 9.73% 22.52% 67.75%-1.69 -3.3 17
1991-04-27 @ St. Mirren W 1-051.1 1878 1474 67.75% 22.52% 9.73%+1.69 +3.4 51
1991-05-04 St. Johnstone W 2-155.8 1882 1567 73.84% 21.34% 4.81%+2.00 +1.6 53
1991-05-04 @ Aberdeen L 1-255.8 1567 1882 4.81% 21.34% 73.84%-2.00 -1.6 31
1991-05-04 Heart of Midlothian W 2-160.9 1711 1673 55.48% 25.49% 19.03%+0.58 +6.0 41
1991-05-04 @ Dundee United L 1-260.9 1673 1711 19.03% 25.49% 55.48%-0.58 -6.0 33
1991-05-04 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-044.4 1502 1536 47.39% 25.87% 26.74%+0.21 +22.8 25
1991-05-04 @ Hibernian L 0-344.4 1536 1502 26.74% 25.87% 47.39%-0.21 -22.8 25
1991-05-04 Rangers W 3-059.3 1657 1863 24.90% 25.33% 49.77%-0.68 +37.0 33
1991-05-04 @ Motherwell L 0-359.3 1863 1657 49.77% 25.33% 24.90%+0.68 -37.0 53
1991-05-05 St. Mirren W 1-047.9 1756 1471 72.51% 21.93% 5.56%+1.85 +2.0 39
1991-05-05 @ Celtic L 0-147.9 1471 1756 5.56% 21.93% 72.51%-1.85 -2.0 17
1991-05-11 Dundee United W 1-062.2 1513 1717 25.24% 25.36% 49.40%-0.66 +13.4 27
1991-05-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-162.2 1717 1513 49.40% 25.36% 25.24%+0.66 -13.4 41
1991-05-11 Motherwell W 2-162.9 1667 1694 48.27% 25.85% 25.89%+0.24 +7.7 35
1991-05-11 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-262.9 1694 1667 25.89% 25.85% 48.27%-0.24 -7.7 33
1991-05-11 Aberdeen W 2-055.7 1826 1883 44.55% 25.91% 29.54%+0.09 +17.0 55
1991-05-11 @ Rangers L 0-255.7 1883 1826 29.54% 25.91% 44.55%-0.09 -17.0 53
1991-05-11 Celtic L 2-367.5 1566 1758 26.53% 25.45% 48.02%-0.61 -7.4 31
1991-05-11 @ St. Johnstone W 3-267.5 1758 1566 48.02% 25.45% 26.53%+0.61 +7.4 41
1991-05-11 Hibernian W 1-049.1 1469 1524 44.77% 25.91% 29.32%+0.10 +9.0 19
1991-05-11 @ St. Mirren L 0-149.1 1524 1469 29.32% 25.91% 44.77%-0.10 -9.0 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1991-03-30 10.79% Motherwell 1609 2 @ Celtic 1762 1
2 1990-12-15 13.54% Dunfermline Athletic 1572 2 @ Celtic 1679 1
3 1990-11-03 13.73% St. Mirren 1569 1 @ St. Johnstone 1673 0
4 1991-01-02 14.86% Dunfermline Athletic 1599 1 @ St. Johnstone 1688 0
5 1991-03-09 16.32% Motherwell 1565 4 @ St. Johnstone 1635 1
6 1990-11-10 16.46% Dundee United 1732 2 @ Rangers 1800 1
7 1990-10-27 16.65% St. Johnstone 1658 2 @ Dundee United 1724 1
8 1991-01-02 16.83% Dundee United 1718 1 @ Aberdeen 1781 0
9 1990-10-13 19.75% St. Johnstone 1645 3 @ Heart of Midlothian 1675 2
10 1991-04-20 20.87% @ Hibernian 1484 1 Dundee United 1729 0
11 1990-10-20 23.45% Dunfermline Athletic 1579 1 @ St. Mirren 1573 0
12 1991-05-04 24.90% @ Motherwell 1657 3 Rangers 1863 0
13 1991-05-11 25.24% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1513 1 Dundee United 1717 0
14 1990-09-29 26.60% @ St. Johnstone 1585 5 Aberdeen 1776 0
15 1990-11-24 26.80% Aberdeen 1779 3 @ Dundee United 1744 2
16 1990-09-15 27.58% Heart of Midlothian 1654 3 @ Hibernian 1613 0
17 1991-03-02 27.86% Heart of Midlothian 1642 3 @ Motherwell 1599 1
18 1990-08-25 28.64% Dundee United 1672 3 @ St. Johnstone 1622 1
19 1991-02-19 29.00% Dundee United 1724 1 @ St. Johnstone 1671 0
20 1990-09-29 29.69% Celtic 1664 3 @ St. Mirren 1606 2
21 1991-04-27 29.84% Celtic 1744 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1685 0
22 1990-12-08 30.21% @ Heart of Midlothian 1631 1 Aberdeen 1793 0
23 1990-12-01 30.47% Celtic 1656 3 @ Hibernian 1592 0
24 1990-11-03 30.73% Dundee United 1709 2 @ Motherwell 1643 0
25 1991-04-20 31.14% Heart of Midlothian 1662 2 @ St. Johnstone 1593 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-09-29 57.74 @ St. Johnstone 5 1585 26.60% Aberdeen 0 1776 47.95% 25.45%
2 1991-05-04 37.03 @ Motherwell 3 1657 24.90% Rangers 0 1863 49.77% 25.33%
3 1991-03-09 36.46 Motherwell 4 1565 16.32% @ St. Johnstone 1 1635 58.46% 25.22%
4 1990-09-15 35.07 Heart of Midlothian 3 1654 27.58% @ Hibernian 0 1613 46.54% 25.88%
5 1990-12-01 33.21 Celtic 3 1656 30.47% @ Hibernian 0 1592 43.61% 25.92%
6 1991-03-24 32.58 @ Celtic 3 1729 31.58% Rangers 0 1881 42.70% 25.72%
7 1990-11-10 32.40 Aberdeen 4 1750 44.46% @ St. Mirren 0 1585 29.89% 25.64%
8 1990-09-01 30.86 Aberdeen 3 1746 34.30% @ Celtic 0 1653 39.78% 25.91%
9 1991-01-02 24.31 Heart of Midlothian 4 1644 37.76% @ Hibernian 1 1528 36.38% 25.86%
10 1990-09-22 24.02 @ Celtic 3 1640 45.55% Heart of Midlothian 0 1689 28.55% 25.90%
11 1991-04-27 23.69 Motherwell 5 1633 31.71% @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1560 42.36% 25.92%
12 1991-05-04 22.84 @ Hibernian 3 1502 47.39% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1536 26.74% 25.87%
13 1990-11-03 22.75 Dundee United 2 1709 30.73% @ Motherwell 0 1643 43.35% 25.92%
14 1991-04-20 22.58 Heart of Midlothian 2 1662 31.14% @ St. Johnstone 0 1593 42.93% 25.92%
15 1991-01-05 21.92 Aberdeen 4 1766 42.52% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1615 31.76% 25.72%
16 1991-03-02 20.81 Heart of Midlothian 3 1642 27.86% @ Motherwell 1 1599 46.25% 25.89%
17 1991-04-13 20.72 Aberdeen 4 1850 44.83% @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1683 29.54% 25.63%
18 1990-08-25 20.50 Dundee United 3 1672 28.64% @ St. Johnstone 1 1622 45.45% 25.90%
19 1991-02-02 20.44 @ Aberdeen 5 1780 61.94% Heart of Midlothian 0 1669 13.29% 24.77%
20 1991-03-02 19.56 @ Celtic 3 1668 52.29% St. Johnstone 0 1661 22.02% 25.69%
21 1990-09-01 19.44 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1592 38.75% Heart of Midlothian 0 1692 35.35% 25.90%
22 1990-09-08 18.52 Rangers 3 1763 33.99% @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1673 40.10% 25.91%
23 1990-09-08 17.48 @ Motherwell 3 1639 55.30% St. Johnstone 0 1603 19.20% 25.50%
24 1991-05-11 16.97 @ Rangers 2 1826 44.55% Aberdeen 0 1883 29.54% 25.91%
25 1990-11-03 16.58 St. Mirren 1 1569 13.73% @ St. Johnstone 0 1673 61.42% 24.85%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-11-10 79.5 @ Dunfermline Athletic 3 1595 49.20% Motherwell 3 1614 24.98% 25.82%
2 1990-12-22 79.4 @ Rangers 2 1852 58.94% Aberdeen 2 1777 15.89% 25.17%
3 1991-01-05 77.2 @ Motherwell 2 1607 43.59% St. Johnstone 2 1672 30.49% 25.92%
4 1990-09-01 76.0 @ St. Mirren 2 1607 52.05% St. Johnstone 2 1601 22.25% 25.70%
5 1990-10-13 76.0 St. Johnstone 3 1645 19.75% @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1675 54.70% 25.55%
6 1990-11-24 75.1 Aberdeen 3 1779 26.80% @ Dundee United 2 1744 47.33% 25.87%
7 1991-01-02 74.3 @ St. Mirren 2 1537 42.89% Motherwell 2 1607 31.19% 25.92%
8 1991-03-30 74.2 Motherwell 2 1609 10.79% @ Celtic 1 1762 64.99% 24.22%
9 1991-02-26 73.4 @ St. Johnstone 1 1659 22.34% Rangers 1 1889 52.56% 25.10%
10 1990-11-10 73.3 Dundee United 2 1732 16.46% @ Rangers 1 1800 58.31% 25.24%
11 1990-09-15 73.2 @ Aberdeen 1 1776 58.71% Dundee United 1 1703 16.10% 25.19%
12 1990-09-15 73.2 @ Rangers 1 1781 64.43% Celtic 1 1637 11.24% 24.34%
13 1990-12-15 73.1 @ Aberdeen 1 1781 66.23% Motherwell 1 1609 9.83% 23.95%
14 1991-02-19 73.1 @ St. Mirren 2 1515 42.21% Dunfermline Athletic 2 1590 31.87% 25.92%
15 1990-11-17 72.8 @ Dundee United 1 1747 61.40% Heart of Midlothian 1 1642 13.75% 24.85%
16 1990-09-08 72.6 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1612 29.88% Aberdeen 1 1776 44.48% 25.64%
17 1990-10-27 72.6 St. Johnstone 2 1658 16.65% @ Dundee United 1 1724 58.09% 25.26%
18 1990-09-29 72.3 Celtic 3 1664 29.69% @ St. Mirren 2 1606 44.40% 25.91%
19 1990-10-06 72.0 @ Motherwell 1 1655 49.21% Heart of Midlothian 1 1674 24.97% 25.82%
20 1990-10-27 72.0 @ Hibernian 1 1600 33.81% Aberdeen 1 1735 40.39% 25.80%
21 1990-08-25 71.9 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1695 60.31% St. Mirren 1 1604 14.69% 25.00%
22 1990-12-15 71.9 Dunfermline Athletic 2 1572 13.54% @ Celtic 1 1679 61.64% 24.82%
23 1990-12-29 71.7 @ Celtic 1 1657 53.02% Heart of Midlothian 1 1642 21.32% 25.65%
24 1991-04-13 71.5 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1573 60.77% St. Mirren 2 1476 14.29% 24.94%
25 1990-12-01 71.4 @ St. Mirren 1 1544 27.04% Dundee United 1 1732 47.47% 25.48%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1991-05-04 44.4 @ Hibernian 3 1502 47.39% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1536 26.74% 25.87%
2 1991-04-13 45.3 @ Rangers 3 1849 70.75% St. Johnstone 0 1600 6.64% 22.61%
3 1991-01-12 45.5 @ Aberdeen 2 1788 72.29% Hibernian 0 1507 5.69% 22.02%
4 1990-11-03 45.8 @ Rangers 4 1788 67.30% Hibernian 0 1600 9.02% 23.68%
5 1991-04-20 45.9 @ Aberdeen 3 1871 69.76% Motherwell 0 1640 7.29% 22.96%
6 1990-10-13 46.3 @ Rangers 5 1774 67.22% St. Mirren 0 1587 9.08% 23.70%
7 1990-12-01 46.5 @ Rangers 4 1815 66.28% Heart of Midlothian 0 1643 9.78% 23.93%
8 1991-01-12 46.5 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1661 63.11% St. Mirren 0 1534 12.31% 24.58%
9 1990-10-10 46.6 @ Dundee United 3 1706 62.20% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1592 13.07% 24.73%
10 1991-01-19 46.8 @ Dundee United 3 1736 63.34% Motherwell 0 1607 12.12% 24.54%
11 1991-02-16 46.8 @ Rangers 2 1886 72.79% Motherwell 0 1595 5.40% 21.81%
12 1991-01-12 46.9 @ Rangers 2 1873 72.26% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1594 5.71% 22.03%
13 1991-04-13 47.6 @ Motherwell 1 1625 63.91% Hibernian 0 1488 11.65% 24.43%
14 1990-09-08 47.8 @ Motherwell 3 1639 55.30% St. Johnstone 0 1603 19.20% 25.50%
15 1991-05-05 47.9 @ Celtic 1 1756 72.51% St. Mirren 0 1471 5.56% 21.93%
16 1991-01-02 48.3 @ Rangers 2 1860 68.28% Celtic 0 1655 8.31% 23.41%
17 1991-01-19 48.4 Rangers 2 1877 65.69% @ Hibernian 0 1503 11.25% 23.06%
18 1991-02-02 48.4 @ Aberdeen 5 1780 61.94% Heart of Midlothian 0 1669 13.29% 24.77%
19 1990-12-15 48.6 Rangers 3 1837 58.60% @ St. Mirren 0 1548 17.00% 24.40%
20 1990-10-20 48.9 @ Aberdeen 3 1718 57.24% Heart of Midlothian 0 1662 17.42% 25.34%
21 1990-11-03 49.0 @ Aberdeen 3 1734 57.80% Celtic 0 1672 16.91% 25.29%
22 1991-02-09 49.0 @ Rangers 1 1885 76.13% St. Mirren 0 1516 3.68% 20.19%
23 1991-04-20 49.0 @ Celtic 5 1733 65.66% Dunfermline Athletic 1 1570 10.27% 24.08%
24 1991-05-11 49.1 @ St. Mirren 1 1469 44.77% Hibernian 0 1524 29.32% 25.91%
25 1991-03-23 49.5 @ Motherwell 3 1602 62.25% St. Mirren 1 1486 13.03% 24.72%