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1994-95 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

69 points · 45th Title

Last Title: 1993-94

Relegated

Dundee United

36 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Falkirk

6.63 points above expected

48 points · 41.37 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aberdeen

13.45 points below expected

41 points · 54.45 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers Champion 36 20 9 7 69 60 35 +25 67.57 +1.43
2 Motherwell 36 14 12 10 54 50 50 0 49.17 +4.83
3 Hibernian 36 12 17 7 53 49 37 +12 49.59 +3.41
4 Celtic 36 11 18 7 51 39 33 +6 56.38 -5.38
5 Falkirk 36 12 12 12 48 48 47 +1 41.37 +6.63
6 Heart of Midlothian 36 12 7 17 43 44 51 -7 42.57 +0.43
7 Kilmarnock 36 11 10 15 43 40 48 -8 41.04 +1.96
8 Partick Thistle 36 10 13 13 43 40 50 -10 37.39 +5.61
9 Aberdeen 36 10 11 15 41 43 46 -3 54.45 -13.45
10 Dundee United Relegated 36 9 9 18 36 40 56 -16 42.34 -6.34

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Falkirk 48 41.37 +6.63
2 Partick Thistle 43 37.39 +5.61
3 Motherwell 54 49.17 +4.83
4 Hibernian 53 49.59 +3.41
5 Kilmarnock 43 41.04 +1.96

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aberdeen 41 54.45 -13.45
2 Dundee United 36 42.34 -6.34
3 Celtic 51 56.38 -5.38
4 Heart of Midlothian 43 42.57 +0.43
5 Rangers 69 67.57 +1.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Falkirk 5 Mar 25 – Apr 19 1 in 353
2 Motherwell 5 Oct 8 – Nov 5 1 in 225
3 Partick Thistle 3 Apr 4 – Apr 15 1 in 69
4 Heart of Midlothian 3 Oct 8 – Oct 22 1 in 46
5 Rangers 5 Nov 25 – Dec 31 1 in 38

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 4 Apr 1 – Apr 15 1 in 144
2 Celtic 3 Oct 15 – Oct 30 1 in 75
3 Aberdeen 3 Nov 19 – Dec 3 1 in 51
4 Rangers 2 Apr 30 – May 7 1 in 29
5 Falkirk 3 Jan 14 – Jan 21 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 15 Aug 20 – Dec 3 1 in 264
2 Falkirk 8 Feb 25 – Apr 19 1 in 80
3 Hibernian 11 Oct 1 – Dec 10 1 in 53
4 Celtic 12 Nov 5 – Jan 21 1 in 51
5 Partick Thistle 7 Mar 7 – Apr 15 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 11 Oct 1 – Dec 26 1 in 284
2 Aberdeen 9 Aug 20 – Oct 22 1 in 177
3 Falkirk 11 Nov 8 – Jan 21 1 in 38
4 Hibernian 7 Nov 5 – Dec 26 1 in 19
5 Dundee United 7 Mar 4 – Apr 15 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rangers 1703 69 -25 7 9.6 -2.6
Motherwell 1583 54 +4 9 6.4 +2.6
Hibernian 1599 53 +3 10 7.5 +2.5
Celtic 1631 51 +14 10 7.0 +3.0
Falkirk 1556 48 +10 7 6.4 +0.6
Heart of Midlothian 1542 43 +0 6 6.1 -0.1
Partick Thistle 1532 43 +4 6 5.4 +0.6
Kilmarnock 1530 43 -10 4 5.9 -1.9
Aberdeen 1616 41 +23 12 7.0 +5.0
Dundee United 1520 36 -8 3 6.0 -3.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU FAL HOM HIB KIL MOT PT RAN
Aberdeen —
1-2-1
5.12
2-1-1
6.65
1-2-1
6.66
3-0-1
6.55
0-3-1
5.93
0-0-4
6.91
1-0-3
5.84
1-2-1
7.17
1-1-2
4.07
Celtic
1-2-1
5.53
—
2-2-0
6.61
2-1-1
6.64
0-2-2
6.61
1-3-0
5.87
2-2-0
6.94
0-3-1
6.00
1-2-1
7.12
2-1-1
4.11
Dundee United
1-1-2
4.05
0-2-2
4.10
—
3-0-1
5.56
1-1-2
5.30
0-1-3
4.92
1-1-2
5.66
1-2-1
4.61
2-0-2
5.94
0-1-3
3.23
Falkirk
1-2-1
4.09
1-1-2
4.10
1-0-3
5.10
—
3-1-0
4.93
2-2-0
4.40
1-2-1
5.43
1-1-2
4.48
2-1-1
5.72
0-2-2
3.03
Heart of Midlothian
1-0-3
4.17
2-2-0
4.10
2-1-1
5.33
0-1-3
5.72
—
1-0-3
4.72
1-1-2
5.61
2-1-1
4.52
2-0-2
5.83
1-1-2
3.22
Hibernian
1-3-0
4.71
0-3-1
4.80
3-1-0
5.72
0-2-2
6.26
3-0-1
5.94
—
2-2-0
6.39
1-3-0
5.25
1-2-1
6.66
1-1-2
3.59
Kilmarnock
4-0-0
3.83
0-2-2
3.82
2-1-1
4.98
1-2-1
5.23
2-1-1
5.04
0-2-2
4.30
—
1-0-3
4.30
1-2-1
5.51
0-0-4
2.94
Motherwell
3-0-1
4.85
1-3-0
4.65
1-2-1
6.06
2-1-1
6.20
1-1-2
6.15
0-3-1
5.40
3-0-1
6.39
—
1-2-1
6.54
2-0-2
3.74
Partick Thistle
1-2-1
3.62
1-2-1
3.64
2-0-2
4.75
1-1-2
4.92
2-0-2
4.82
1-2-1
4.05
1-2-1
5.14
1-2-1
4.17
—
0-2-2
2.91
Rangers
2-1-1
6.67
1-1-2
6.60
3-1-0
7.63
2-2-0
7.87
2-1-1
7.63
2-1-1
7.19
4-0-0
7.99
2-0-2
7.04
2-2-0
8.03
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +12.2
Allowed 0.53 -8.8
Differential 0.89 +7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.44%6.11%8.89%2.78%0.28%0.28%27.78%
16.11%13.33%8.33%4.72%—0.28%32.78%
28.89%8.33%9.44%1.11%0.28%0.28%28.33%
32.78%4.72%1.11%0.56%—0.28%9.44%
40.28%—0.28%———0.56%
5+0.28%0.28%0.28%0.28%——1.11%
Total27.78%32.78%28.33%9.44%0.56%1.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.26 +0.00
SD 1.06 1.06 1.54
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%8.33%8.33%———33.33%
12.78%2.78%13.89%5.56%——25.00%
28.33%5.56%11.11%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
32.78%8.33%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%25.00%33.33%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.28 -0.08
SD 1.04 1.09 1.40
CV 0.87 0.85 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%5.56%———27.78%
15.56%27.78%—5.56%——38.89%
211.11%11.11%8.33%———30.56%
32.78%—————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%47.22%13.89%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 0.92 +0.17
SD 0.84 0.84 1.18
CV 0.78 0.92 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%38.89%
15.56%13.89%13.89%2.78%——36.11%
25.56%2.78%5.56%———13.89%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4———————
5+—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
Total16.67%33.33%36.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.56 -0.44
SD 1.39 1.13 1.98
CV 1.25 0.73 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%8.33%———25.00%
15.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
211.11%11.11%11.11%2.78%——36.11%
32.78%2.78%—2.78%—2.78%11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%33.33%25.00%11.11%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.31 +0.03
SD 0.99 1.17 1.36
CV 0.74 0.89 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
18.33%16.67%11.11%13.89%——50.00%
211.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%36.11%16.67%19.44%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.42 -0.19
SD 0.80 1.23 1.60
CV 0.65 0.87 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%2.78%11.11%———33.33%
15.56%11.11%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
22.78%11.11%16.67%———30.56%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total36.11%27.78%33.33%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.03 +0.33
SD 1.31 0.91 1.57
CV 0.96 0.89 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%13.89%5.56%——38.89%
15.56%5.56%11.11%———22.22%
28.33%8.33%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
3—5.56%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%27.78%36.11%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.33 -0.22
SD 1.06 0.99 1.42
CV 0.96 0.74 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%8.33%2.78%——19.44%
18.33%16.67%8.33%2.78%—2.78%38.89%
28.33%11.11%11.11%———30.56%
3—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total22.22%36.11%30.56%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.08 1.20 1.57
CV 0.78 0.87 —
Max 5 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%2.78%8.33%8.33%——33.33%
15.56%8.33%8.33%8.33%——30.56%
25.56%8.33%13.89%———27.78%
3—8.33%————8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%27.78%30.56%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.39 -0.28
SD 0.98 1.05 1.49
CV 0.88 0.76 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——8.33%2.78%——11.11%
18.33%19.44%8.33%———36.11%
216.67%5.56%5.56%———27.78%
311.11%8.33%5.56%———25.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.11%33.33%27.78%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.97 +0.69
SD 0.99 0.88 1.56
CV 0.59 0.90 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rangers 1703 69 67.57 +1.43 61.0% 53 56 63 67 71 78 85
Celtic 1631 51 56.38 -5.38 27.0% 35 42 51 58 63 67 70
Aberdeen 1616 41 54.45 -13.45 7.0% 39 40 49 55 60 66 72
Hibernian 1599 53 49.59 +3.41 69.0% 36 38 44 49 54 62 67
Motherwell 1583 54 49.17 +4.83 74.0% 31 37 44 49 55 62 70
Falkirk 1556 48 41.37 +6.63 86.0% 21 31 37 41 46 52 59
Heart of Midlothian 1542 43 42.57 +0.43 53.0% 23 32 37 43 48 53 59
Partick Thistle 1532 43 37.39 +5.61 82.0% 22 25 33 38 42 47 54
Kilmarnock 1530 43 41.04 +1.96 62.0% 21 28 35 42 46 53 59
Dundee United 1520 36 42.34 -6.34 19.0% 19 32 37 42 46 54 64

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.22%
Slight Edge
42.22%32.78%25.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 60.44 Elo pts.
252 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.43 goals
Neutral
-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.6
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
78%
Rangers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.42/gm
Runaway
00.230.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.78 * Some Luck: 5.78 to 8.68 * Lucky: 8.68 to 11.57 * Wild Swing: 11.57 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.24 * Close: 1.24 to 1.87 * Off: 1.87 to 2.49 * Way Off: 2.49 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.64 * A Surprise: 0.64 to 1.02 * Several Surprises: 1.02 to 1.41 * Many Surprises: 1.41 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.05 points
Some Luck
07.2318
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.20
Off
01.554
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
86.00%
Falkirk
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
7.00%
Aberdeen
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 1
A Surprise
00.61

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.10
Balanced
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 57.52
1.24
Coin-Flip Parity
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
61%
Even
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
74%
Even
50%75%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%67%100%
Blowouts
Expected
8%
Rare
0%10%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.31
Very Even
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.67
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.28
Weak Carryover
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.20
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.57
Overconfident
0.439811.001.56019
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.086
Well Within Noise
00.1290.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rangers78.00%15.00%5.00%2.00%——————
Motherwell2.00%7.00%19.00%16.00%22.00%12.00%5.00%12.00%3.00%2.00%
Hibernian2.00%13.00%14.00%21.00%12.00%16.00%10.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%
Celtic14.00%32.00%23.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%—1.00%
Falkirk——2.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%20.00%16.00%25.00%8.00%
Heart of Midlothian—1.00%6.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%22.00%8.00%16.00%14.00%
Kilmarnock—3.00%1.00%5.00%12.00%17.00%12.00%16.00%12.00%22.00%
Partick Thistle——1.00%4.00%5.00%9.00%6.00%19.00%20.00%36.00%
Aberdeen4.00%26.00%25.00%17.00%8.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%—
Dundee United—3.00%4.00%6.00%11.00%13.00%14.00%16.00%18.00%15.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Aberdeen 98.00% 2.00% —
Rangers 100% — —
Celtic 99.00% — 1.00%
Hibernian 94.00% 4.00% 2.00%
Motherwell 95.00% 3.00% 2.00%
Falkirk 67.00% 25.00% 8.00%
Heart of Midlothian 70.00% 16.00% 14.00%
Dundee United 67.00% 18.00% 15.00%
Kilmarnock 66.00% 12.00% 22.00%
Partick Thistle 44.00% 20.00% 36.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1994-08-13 Heart of Midlothian W 3-153.3 1659 1544 56.29% 27.97% 15.74%+0.70 +4.5 3
1994-08-13 @ Aberdeen L 1-353.3 1544 1659 15.74% 27.97% 56.29%-0.70 -4.5 0
1994-08-13 Celtic D 1-165.7 1527 1627 27.36% 34.35% 38.29%-0.16 +0.3 1
1994-08-13 @ Falkirk D 1-165.7 1627 1527 38.29% 34.35% 27.36%+0.16 -0.3 1
1994-08-13 Dundee United W 5-050.5 1557 1574 38.79% 34.28% 26.93%+0.17 +19.8 3
1994-08-13 @ Hibernian L 0-550.5 1574 1557 26.93% 34.28% 38.79%-0.17 -19.8 0
1994-08-13 Kilmarnock W 2-047.3 1528 1532 40.63% 33.96% 25.41%+0.22 +8.1 3
1994-08-13 @ Partick Thistle L 0-247.3 1532 1528 25.41% 33.96% 40.63%-0.22 -8.1 0
1994-08-13 Motherwell W 2-158.9 1683 1583 54.45% 28.93% 16.62%+0.64 +2.7 3
1994-08-13 @ Rangers L 1-258.9 1583 1683 16.62% 28.93% 54.45%-0.64 -2.7 0
1994-08-20 Falkirk D 2-275.4 1664 1527 58.96% 26.48% 14.56%+0.78 -1.0 4
1994-08-20 @ Aberdeen D 2-275.4 1527 1664 14.56% 26.48% 58.96%-0.78 +1.0 2
1994-08-20 Dundee United W 2-158.3 1626 1554 50.87% 30.64% 18.49%+0.53 +3.1 4
1994-08-20 @ Celtic L 1-258.3 1554 1626 18.49% 30.64% 50.87%-0.53 -3.1 0
1994-08-20 Kilmarnock D 0-059.7 1577 1524 48.34% 31.68% 19.97%+0.45 -0.9 4
1994-08-20 @ Hibernian D 0-059.7 1524 1577 19.97% 31.68% 48.34%-0.45 +0.9 1
1994-08-20 Heart of Midlothian D 1-165.3 1580 1540 46.71% 32.29% 21.01%+0.40 -0.8 1
1994-08-20 @ Motherwell D 1-165.3 1540 1580 21.01% 32.29% 46.71%-0.40 +0.8 1
1994-08-20 Rangers L 0-250.6 1536 1686 22.01% 32.78% 45.21%-0.36 -7.2 3
1994-08-20 @ Partick Thistle W 2-050.6 1686 1536 45.21% 32.78% 22.01%+0.36 +7.2 6
1994-08-27 Aberdeen W 2-166.5 1551 1663 25.99% 34.09% 39.92%-0.20 +5.5 3
1994-08-27 @ Dundee United L 1-266.5 1663 1551 39.92% 34.09% 25.99%+0.20 -5.5 4
1994-08-27 Partick Thistle W 2-157.4 1528 1529 41.08% 33.86% 25.06%+0.24 +4.0 5
1994-08-27 @ Falkirk L 1-257.4 1529 1528 25.06% 33.86% 41.08%-0.24 -4.0 3
1994-08-27 Hibernian L 0-156.6 1540 1576 36.24% 34.59% 29.17%+0.10 -5.5 1
1994-08-27 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-056.6 1576 1540 29.17% 34.59% 36.24%-0.10 +5.5 7
1994-08-27 Motherwell L 0-155.4 1525 1580 33.42% 34.74% 31.84%+0.02 -5.2 1
1994-08-27 @ Kilmarnock W 1-055.4 1580 1525 31.84% 34.74% 33.42%-0.02 +5.2 4
1994-08-27 Celtic L 0-260.0 1693 1630 49.78% 31.10% 19.11%+0.49 -13.0 6
1994-08-27 @ Rangers W 2-060.0 1630 1693 19.11% 31.10% 49.78%-0.49 +13.0 7
1994-09-10 Motherwell D 1-165.3 1557 1585 37.24% 34.49% 28.27%+0.13 -0.2 4
1994-09-10 @ Dundee United D 1-165.3 1585 1557 28.27% 34.49% 37.24%-0.13 +0.2 5
1994-09-10 Aberdeen D 2-273.9 1581 1657 30.44% 34.69% 34.87%-0.06 +0.1 8
1994-09-10 @ Hibernian D 2-273.9 1657 1581 34.87% 34.69% 30.44%+0.06 -0.1 5
1994-09-10 Falkirk D 1-162.4 1519 1532 39.45% 34.17% 26.38%+0.19 -0.4 2
1994-09-10 @ Kilmarnock D 1-162.4 1532 1519 26.38% 34.17% 39.45%-0.19 +0.4 6
1994-09-10 Celtic L 1-261.0 1525 1643 25.30% 33.93% 40.77%-0.23 -4.0 3
1994-09-10 @ Partick Thistle W 2-161.0 1643 1525 40.77% 33.93% 25.30%+0.23 +4.0 10
1994-09-11 Heart of Midlothian W 3-044.6 1680 1535 59.99% 25.88% 14.13%+0.82 +6.6 9
1994-09-11 @ Rangers L 0-344.6 1535 1680 14.13% 25.88% 59.99%-0.82 -6.6 1
1994-09-17 Partick Thistle D 1-168.7 1657 1521 58.92% 26.50% 14.58%+0.78 -1.4 6
1994-09-17 @ Aberdeen D 1-168.7 1521 1657 14.58% 26.50% 58.92%-0.78 +1.4 4
1994-09-17 Kilmarnock D 1-168.2 1647 1519 57.81% 27.13% 15.06%+0.75 -1.3 11
1994-09-17 @ Celtic D 1-168.2 1519 1647 15.06% 27.13% 57.81%-0.75 +1.3 3
1994-09-17 Rangers L 0-250.4 1532 1687 21.61% 32.59% 45.80%-0.37 -7.1 6
1994-09-17 @ Falkirk W 2-050.4 1687 1532 45.80% 32.59% 21.61%+0.37 +7.1 12
1994-09-17 Dundee United W 2-159.5 1528 1556 37.27% 34.48% 28.25%+0.13 +4.4 4
1994-09-17 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-259.5 1556 1528 28.25% 34.48% 37.27%-0.13 -4.4 4
1994-09-17 Hibernian D 1-166.2 1585 1581 41.70% 33.73% 24.57%+0.25 -0.5 6
1994-09-17 @ Motherwell D 1-166.2 1581 1585 24.57% 33.73% 41.70%-0.25 +0.5 9
1994-09-24 Rangers D 2-275.5 1656 1694 35.80% 34.63% 29.57%+0.09 -0.1 7
1994-09-24 @ Aberdeen D 2-275.5 1694 1656 29.57% 34.63% 35.80%-0.09 +0.1 13
1994-09-24 Hibernian W 2-049.3 1645 1582 49.73% 31.13% 19.15%+0.49 +6.4 14
1994-09-24 @ Celtic L 0-249.3 1582 1645 19.15% 31.13% 49.73%-0.49 -6.4 9
1994-09-24 Falkirk W 1-050.6 1552 1525 44.86% 32.89% 22.25%+0.35 +3.9 7
1994-09-24 @ Dundee United L 0-150.6 1525 1552 22.25% 32.89% 44.86%-0.35 -3.9 6
1994-09-24 Kilmarnock W 3-045.0 1533 1520 42.90% 33.44% 23.66%+0.29 +11.1 7
1994-09-24 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-345.0 1520 1533 23.66% 33.44% 42.90%-0.29 -11.2 3
1994-09-24 Motherwell D 2-270.6 1522 1585 32.32% 34.75% 32.93%-0.01 +0.0 5
1994-09-24 @ Partick Thistle D 2-270.6 1585 1522 32.93% 34.75% 32.32%+0.01 -0.0 7
1994-10-01 Heart of Midlothian W 2-158.6 1521 1544 38.02% 34.39% 27.59%+0.15 +4.3 9
1994-10-01 @ Falkirk L 1-258.6 1544 1521 27.59% 34.39% 38.02%-0.15 -4.3 7
1994-10-01 Partick Thistle W 3-044.9 1575 1522 48.41% 31.66% 19.93%+0.45 +9.6 12
1994-10-01 @ Hibernian L 0-344.9 1522 1575 19.93% 31.66% 48.41%-0.45 -9.6 5
1994-10-01 Aberdeen W 2-166.4 1509 1656 22.37% 32.94% 44.69%-0.34 +6.0 6
1994-10-01 @ Kilmarnock L 1-266.4 1656 1509 44.69% 32.94% 22.37%+0.34 -6.0 7
1994-10-01 Celtic D 1-167.5 1585 1652 31.68% 34.74% 33.58%-0.03 +0.0 8
1994-10-01 @ Motherwell D 1-167.5 1652 1585 33.58% 34.74% 31.68%+0.03 -0.1 15
1994-10-01 Dundee United W 2-046.9 1694 1556 59.14% 26.37% 14.49%+0.79 +4.7 16
1994-10-01 @ Rangers L 0-246.9 1556 1694 14.49% 26.37% 59.14%-0.79 -4.7 7
1994-10-08 Aberdeen D 0-063.5 1652 1650 41.45% 33.78% 24.76%+0.25 -0.5 16
1994-10-08 @ Celtic D 0-063.5 1650 1652 24.76% 33.78% 41.45%-0.25 +0.5 8
1994-10-08 Rangers W 2-167.8 1585 1699 25.75% 34.04% 40.22%-0.21 +5.6 15
1994-10-08 @ Hibernian L 1-267.8 1699 1585 40.22% 34.04% 25.75%+0.21 -5.6 16
1994-10-08 Dundee United L 0-251.0 1515 1551 36.13% 34.60% 29.27%+0.10 -10.4 6
1994-10-08 @ Kilmarnock W 2-051.0 1551 1515 29.27% 34.60% 36.13%-0.10 +10.3 10
1994-10-08 Falkirk W 5-357.8 1585 1526 49.13% 31.37% 19.50%+0.47 +4.7 11
1994-10-08 @ Motherwell L 3-557.8 1526 1585 19.50% 31.37% 49.13%-0.47 -4.7 9
1994-10-08 Heart of Midlothian L 0-154.7 1512 1540 37.37% 34.47% 28.16%+0.13 -5.6 5
1994-10-08 @ Partick Thistle W 1-054.7 1540 1512 28.16% 34.47% 37.37%-0.13 +5.6 10
1994-10-15 Motherwell L 1-365.1 1650 1589 49.39% 31.27% 19.34%+0.48 -11.2 8
1994-10-15 @ Aberdeen W 3-165.1 1589 1650 19.34% 31.27% 49.39%-0.48 +11.2 14
1994-10-15 Partick Thistle L 0-157.8 1562 1507 48.59% 31.59% 19.83%+0.46 -6.8 10
1994-10-15 @ Dundee United W 1-057.8 1507 1562 19.83% 31.59% 48.59%-0.46 +6.8 8
1994-10-15 Hibernian D 0-059.1 1521 1591 31.31% 34.73% 33.96%-0.04 +0.1 10
1994-10-15 @ Falkirk D 0-059.1 1591 1521 33.96% 34.73% 31.31%+0.04 -0.1 16
1994-10-15 Celtic W 1-059.5 1545 1651 26.68% 34.23% 39.08%-0.18 +5.8 13
1994-10-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-159.5 1651 1545 39.08% 34.23% 26.68%+0.18 -5.8 16
1994-10-15 Kilmarnock W 2-044.1 1693 1505 65.03% 22.79% 12.18%+0.99 +3.7 19
1994-10-15 @ Rangers L 0-244.1 1505 1693 12.18% 22.79% 65.03%-0.99 -3.7 6
1994-10-22 Falkirk L 0-258.3 1645 1521 57.42% 27.35% 15.23%+0.73 -14.4 16
1994-10-22 @ Celtic W 2-058.3 1521 1645 15.23% 27.35% 57.42%-0.73 +14.4 13
1994-10-22 Hibernian D 0-060.2 1555 1591 36.16% 34.60% 29.24%+0.10 -0.2 11
1994-10-22 @ Dundee United D 0-060.2 1591 1555 29.24% 34.60% 36.16%-0.10 +0.2 17
1994-10-22 Aberdeen W 2-054.8 1551 1639 28.88% 34.56% 36.56%-0.11 +10.4 16
1994-10-22 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-254.8 1639 1551 36.56% 34.56% 28.88%+0.11 -10.4 8
1994-10-22 Partick Thistle W 2-046.0 1501 1514 39.46% 34.17% 26.37%+0.19 +8.3 9
1994-10-22 @ Kilmarnock L 0-246.0 1514 1501 26.37% 34.17% 39.46%-0.19 -8.3 8
1994-10-22 Rangers W 2-167.4 1601 1697 27.79% 34.42% 37.78%-0.14 +5.3 17
1994-10-22 @ Motherwell L 1-267.4 1697 1601 37.78% 34.42% 27.79%+0.14 -5.3 19
1994-10-29 Dundee United W 3-046.5 1629 1555 51.09% 30.54% 18.37%+0.53 +8.9 11
1994-10-29 @ Aberdeen L 0-346.5 1555 1629 18.37% 30.54% 51.09%-0.53 -8.9 11
1994-10-29 Heart of Midlothian W 2-159.2 1591 1562 45.19% 32.79% 22.03%+0.36 +3.6 20
1994-10-29 @ Hibernian L 1-259.2 1562 1591 22.03% 32.79% 45.19%-0.36 -3.6 16
1994-10-29 Kilmarnock W 3-260.8 1606 1510 53.94% 29.19% 16.87%+0.62 +2.7 20
1994-10-29 @ Motherwell L 2-360.8 1510 1606 16.87% 29.19% 53.94%-0.62 -2.7 9
1994-10-29 Falkirk L 1-260.6 1505 1535 36.96% 34.52% 28.52%+0.12 -5.2 8
1994-10-29 @ Partick Thistle W 2-160.6 1535 1505 28.52% 34.52% 36.96%-0.12 +5.3 16
1994-10-30 Rangers L 1-362.3 1631 1692 32.56% 34.75% 32.69%+0.00 -8.4 16
1994-10-30 @ Celtic W 3-162.3 1692 1631 32.69% 34.75% 32.56%+0.00 +8.4 22
1994-11-05 Celtic D 2-272.4 1546 1622 30.34% 34.68% 34.97%-0.06 +0.1 12
1994-11-05 @ Dundee United D 2-272.4 1622 1546 34.97% 34.68% 30.34%+0.06 -0.1 17
1994-11-05 Aberdeen W 2-165.2 1541 1637 27.76% 34.42% 37.82%-0.14 +5.3 19
1994-11-05 @ Falkirk L 1-265.2 1637 1541 37.82% 34.42% 27.76%+0.14 -5.3 11
1994-11-05 Motherwell L 1-263.8 1558 1608 34.04% 34.73% 31.24%+0.04 -5.0 16
1994-11-05 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-163.8 1608 1558 31.24% 34.73% 34.04%-0.04 +5.0 23
1994-11-05 Hibernian D 0-058.8 1507 1594 28.94% 34.57% 36.50%-0.11 +0.2 10
1994-11-05 @ Kilmarnock D 0-058.8 1594 1507 36.50% 34.57% 28.94%+0.11 -0.2 21
1994-11-05 Partick Thistle W 3-042.3 1700 1500 66.36% 21.94% 11.70%+1.03 +5.1 25
1994-11-05 @ Rangers L 0-342.3 1500 1700 11.70% 21.94% 66.36%-1.03 -5.1 8
1994-11-08 Kilmarnock D 3-373.1 1546 1507 46.48% 32.36% 21.16%+0.39 -0.5 20
1994-11-08 @ Falkirk D 3-373.1 1507 1546 21.16% 32.36% 46.48%-0.39 +0.5 11
1994-11-08 Dundee United D 1-166.9 1613 1546 50.27% 30.90% 18.83%+0.51 -0.9 24
1994-11-08 @ Motherwell D 1-166.9 1546 1613 18.83% 30.90% 50.27%-0.51 +0.9 13
1994-11-09 Hibernian D 0-062.7 1632 1594 46.36% 32.40% 21.23%+0.39 -0.8 12
1994-11-09 @ Aberdeen D 0-062.7 1594 1632 21.23% 32.40% 46.36%-0.39 +0.8 22
1994-11-09 Partick Thistle D 0-061.6 1622 1495 57.82% 27.12% 15.05%+0.75 -1.5 18
1994-11-09 @ Celtic D 0-061.6 1495 1622 15.05% 27.12% 57.82%-0.75 +1.5 9
1994-11-09 Rangers D 1-168.5 1553 1705 21.82% 32.69% 45.48%-0.36 +0.7 17
1994-11-09 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-168.5 1705 1553 45.48% 32.69% 21.82%+0.36 -0.7 26
1994-11-19 Heart of Midlothian W 5-254.9 1547 1554 40.23% 34.03% 25.73%+0.21 +8.7 16
1994-11-19 @ Dundee United L 2-554.9 1554 1547 25.73% 34.03% 40.23%-0.21 -8.7 17
1994-11-19 Motherwell D 2-273.4 1595 1613 38.73% 34.29% 26.98%+0.17 -0.2 23
1994-11-19 @ Hibernian D 2-273.4 1613 1595 26.98% 34.29% 38.73%-0.17 +0.2 25
1994-11-19 Celtic D 0-059.8 1508 1621 25.80% 34.05% 40.15%-0.21 +0.4 12
1994-11-19 @ Kilmarnock D 0-059.8 1621 1508 40.15% 34.05% 25.80%+0.21 -0.4 19
1994-11-19 Aberdeen W 2-165.0 1496 1631 23.49% 33.38% 43.13%-0.30 +5.9 12
1994-11-19 @ Partick Thistle L 1-265.0 1631 1496 43.13% 33.38% 23.49%+0.30 -5.9 12
1994-11-19 Falkirk D 1-170.7 1705 1546 61.61% 24.91% 13.48%+0.87 -1.5 27
1994-11-19 @ Rangers D 1-170.7 1546 1705 13.48% 24.91% 61.61%-0.87 +1.5 21
1994-11-25 Aberdeen W 1-054.2 1703 1625 51.56% 30.33% 18.11%+0.55 +3.2 30
1994-11-25 @ Rangers L 0-154.2 1625 1703 18.11% 30.33% 51.56%-0.55 -3.2 12
1994-11-26 Dundee United L 1-359.6 1547 1555 40.02% 34.07% 25.91%+0.21 -9.6 21
1994-11-26 @ Falkirk W 3-159.6 1555 1547 25.91% 34.07% 40.02%-0.21 +9.6 19
1994-11-26 Heart of Midlothian W 3-154.9 1508 1545 36.00% 34.61% 29.39%+0.09 +7.8 15
1994-11-26 @ Kilmarnock L 1-354.9 1545 1508 29.39% 34.61% 36.00%-0.09 -7.8 17
1994-11-26 Partick Thistle W 3-151.1 1613 1502 55.73% 28.27% 16.00%+0.68 +4.6 28
1994-11-26 @ Motherwell L 1-351.1 1502 1613 16.00% 28.27% 55.73%-0.68 -4.6 12
1994-11-30 Celtic D 1-167.1 1595 1620 37.57% 34.45% 27.98%+0.14 -0.3 24
1994-11-30 @ Hibernian D 1-167.1 1620 1595 27.98% 34.45% 37.57%-0.14 +0.3 20
1994-12-03 Kilmarnock L 0-161.1 1622 1516 55.21% 28.54% 16.25%+0.66 -7.4 12
1994-12-03 @ Aberdeen W 1-061.1 1516 1622 16.25% 28.54% 55.21%-0.66 +7.4 18
1994-12-03 Motherwell D 2-274.2 1621 1617 41.66% 33.74% 24.60%+0.25 -0.4 21
1994-12-03 @ Celtic D 2-274.2 1617 1621 24.60% 33.74% 41.66%-0.25 +0.4 29
1994-12-03 Falkirk D 1-163.3 1537 1537 41.15% 33.85% 25.00%+0.24 -0.5 18
1994-12-03 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-163.3 1537 1537 25.00% 33.85% 41.15%-0.24 +0.5 22
1994-12-03 Hibernian D 2-270.2 1498 1594 27.76% 34.42% 37.82%-0.14 +0.2 13
1994-12-03 @ Partick Thistle D 2-270.2 1594 1498 37.82% 34.42% 27.76%+0.14 -0.2 25
1994-12-04 Rangers L 0-350.4 1565 1706 22.87% 33.15% 43.98%-0.32 -10.8 19
1994-12-04 @ Dundee United W 3-050.4 1706 1565 43.98% 33.15% 22.87%+0.32 +10.8 33
1994-12-10 Falkirk D 2-272.3 1594 1538 48.80% 31.50% 19.69%+0.46 -0.6 26
1994-12-10 @ Hibernian D 2-272.3 1538 1594 19.69% 31.50% 48.80%-0.46 +0.6 23
1994-12-10 Rangers L 1-259.5 1523 1717 18.44% 30.60% 50.96%-0.53 -3.1 18
1994-12-10 @ Kilmarnock W 2-159.5 1717 1523 50.96% 30.60% 18.44%+0.53 +3.1 36
1994-12-10 Aberdeen L 0-160.9 1618 1615 41.59% 33.75% 24.66%+0.25 -6.0 29
1994-12-10 @ Motherwell W 1-060.9 1615 1618 24.66% 33.75% 41.59%-0.25 +6.0 15
1994-12-26 Celtic D 0-062.6 1621 1620 41.25% 33.83% 24.92%+0.24 -0.5 16
1994-12-26 @ Aberdeen D 0-062.6 1620 1621 24.92% 33.83% 41.25%-0.24 +0.5 22
1994-12-26 Kilmarnock D 2-270.2 1554 1520 45.83% 32.58% 21.59%+0.37 -0.5 20
1994-12-26 @ Dundee United D 2-270.2 1520 1554 21.59% 32.58% 45.83%-0.37 +0.5 19
1994-12-26 Motherwell L 0-156.0 1538 1612 30.84% 34.71% 34.46%-0.05 -4.9 23
1994-12-26 @ Falkirk W 1-056.0 1612 1538 34.46% 34.71% 30.84%+0.05 +4.9 32
1994-12-26 Partick Thistle W 3-043.2 1537 1498 46.48% 32.36% 21.16%+0.39 +10.1 21
1994-12-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-343.2 1498 1537 21.16% 32.36% 46.48%-0.39 -10.1 13
1994-12-26 Hibernian W 2-048.3 1720 1594 57.70% 27.19% 15.11%+0.74 +4.9 39
1994-12-26 @ Rangers L 0-248.3 1594 1720 15.11% 27.19% 57.70%-0.74 -4.9 26
1994-12-31 Heart of Midlothian W 3-154.0 1620 1547 51.04% 30.56% 18.40%+0.53 +5.3 19
1994-12-31 @ Aberdeen L 1-354.0 1547 1620 18.40% 30.56% 51.04%-0.53 -5.3 21
1994-12-31 Falkirk W 2-046.7 1621 1534 52.81% 29.74% 17.45%+0.59 +5.8 25
1994-12-31 @ Celtic L 0-246.7 1534 1621 17.45% 29.74% 52.81%-0.59 -5.8 23
1994-12-31 Dundee United W 4-047.5 1589 1554 45.96% 32.54% 21.50%+0.38 +13.4 29
1994-12-31 @ Hibernian L 0-447.5 1554 1589 21.50% 32.54% 45.96%-0.38 -13.4 20
1994-12-31 Rangers L 1-360.5 1617 1725 26.36% 34.17% 39.46%-0.19 -7.2 32
1994-12-31 @ Motherwell W 3-160.5 1725 1617 39.46% 34.17% 26.36%+0.19 +7.2 42
1994-12-31 Kilmarnock D 2-267.2 1488 1521 36.55% 34.56% 28.89%+0.11 -0.2 14
1994-12-31 @ Partick Thistle D 2-267.2 1521 1488 28.89% 34.56% 36.55%-0.11 +0.1 20
1995-01-02 Aberdeen D 0-060.7 1540 1626 29.20% 34.59% 36.20%-0.10 +0.2 21
1995-01-02 @ Dundee United D 0-060.7 1626 1540 36.20% 34.59% 29.20%+0.10 -0.2 20
1995-01-04 Celtic D 1-170.9 1732 1627 55.11% 28.59% 16.30%+0.66 -1.2 43
1995-01-04 @ Rangers D 1-170.9 1627 1732 16.30% 28.59% 55.11%-0.66 +1.2 26
1995-01-07 Falkirk D 0-062.0 1625 1528 54.12% 29.10% 16.78%+0.63 -1.3 21
1995-01-07 @ Aberdeen D 0-062.0 1528 1625 16.78% 29.10% 54.12%-0.63 +1.3 24
1995-01-07 Dundee United D 1-167.4 1628 1540 52.81% 29.74% 17.45%+0.59 -1.1 27
1995-01-07 @ Celtic D 1-167.4 1540 1628 17.45% 29.74% 52.81%-0.59 +1.1 22
1995-01-07 Kilmarnock W 2-156.3 1602 1521 52.02% 30.11% 17.86%+0.56 +3.0 32
1995-01-07 @ Hibernian L 1-256.3 1521 1602 17.86% 30.11% 52.02%-0.56 -3.0 20
1995-01-07 Rangers D 1-169.3 1488 1731 15.31% 27.45% 57.23%-0.73 +1.3 15
1995-01-07 @ Partick Thistle D 1-169.3 1731 1488 57.23% 27.45% 15.31%+0.73 -1.3 44
1995-01-08 Heart of Midlothian L 1-267.1 1609 1541 50.30% 30.89% 18.82%+0.51 -6.5 32
1995-01-08 @ Motherwell W 2-167.1 1541 1609 18.82% 30.89% 50.30%-0.51 +6.5 24
1995-01-11 Heart of Midlothian D 1-167.5 1627 1548 51.71% 30.26% 18.03%+0.55 -1.0 28
1995-01-11 @ Celtic D 1-167.5 1548 1627 18.03% 30.26% 51.71%-0.55 +1.0 25
1995-01-13 Hibernian D 0-061.9 1603 1605 40.87% 33.91% 25.22%+0.23 -0.5 33
1995-01-13 @ Motherwell D 0-061.9 1605 1603 25.22% 33.91% 40.87%-0.23 +0.5 33
1995-01-14 Partick Thistle W 3-150.1 1624 1489 58.78% 26.58% 14.64%+0.78 +4.1 24
1995-01-14 @ Aberdeen L 1-350.1 1489 1624 14.64% 26.58% 58.78%-0.78 -4.1 15
1995-01-14 Kilmarnock W 2-155.9 1626 1518 55.40% 28.44% 16.16%+0.67 +2.7 31
1995-01-14 @ Celtic L 1-255.9 1518 1626 16.16% 28.44% 55.40%-0.67 -2.7 20
1995-01-14 Rangers L 2-364.8 1529 1730 17.95% 30.19% 51.86%-0.56 -2.8 24
1995-01-14 @ Falkirk W 3-264.8 1730 1529 51.86% 30.19% 17.95%+0.56 +2.8 47
1995-01-14 Dundee United W 2-047.9 1549 1542 42.23% 33.60% 24.17%+0.27 +7.8 28
1995-01-14 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-247.9 1542 1549 24.17% 33.60% 42.23%-0.27 -7.8 22
1995-01-17 Partick Thistle L 1-357.9 1526 1485 46.83% 32.24% 20.93%+0.40 -10.8 24
1995-01-17 @ Falkirk W 3-157.9 1485 1526 20.93% 32.24% 46.83%-0.40 +10.8 18
1995-01-17 Motherwell W 2-052.8 1515 1602 28.99% 34.57% 36.44%-0.11 +10.4 23
1995-01-17 @ Kilmarnock L 0-252.8 1602 1515 36.44% 34.57% 28.99%+0.11 -10.4 33
1995-01-18 Hibernian W 2-052.5 1557 1606 34.31% 34.72% 30.98%+0.05 +9.4 31
1995-01-18 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-252.5 1606 1557 30.98% 34.72% 34.31%-0.05 -9.3 33
1995-01-21 Motherwell W 6-154.3 1534 1592 32.95% 34.75% 32.30%+0.01 +18.6 25
1995-01-21 @ Dundee United L 1-654.3 1592 1534 32.30% 34.75% 32.95%-0.01 -18.6 33
1995-01-21 Aberdeen W 4-263.2 1596 1628 36.69% 34.55% 28.77%+0.11 +6.9 36
1995-01-21 @ Hibernian L 2-463.2 1628 1596 28.77% 34.55% 36.69%-0.11 -6.9 24
1995-01-21 Falkirk W 2-156.4 1526 1515 42.60% 33.51% 23.88%+0.28 +3.9 26
1995-01-21 @ Kilmarnock L 1-256.4 1515 1526 23.88% 33.51% 42.60%-0.28 -3.9 24
1995-01-21 Celtic D 0-059.9 1495 1628 23.69% 33.45% 42.86%-0.29 +0.6 19
1995-01-21 @ Partick Thistle D 0-059.9 1628 1495 42.86% 33.45% 23.69%+0.29 -0.6 32
1995-01-21 Heart of Midlothian W 1-050.6 1733 1566 62.49% 24.37% 13.14%+0.90 +2.2 50
1995-01-21 @ Rangers L 0-150.6 1566 1733 13.14% 24.37% 62.49%-0.90 -2.2 31
1995-02-04 Heart of Midlothian W 2-050.0 1512 1564 33.77% 34.74% 31.50%+0.03 +9.5 27
1995-02-04 @ Falkirk L 0-250.0 1564 1512 31.50% 34.74% 33.77%-0.03 -9.5 31
1995-02-04 Partick Thistle L 1-266.3 1603 1496 55.28% 28.50% 16.21%+0.66 -7.0 36
1995-02-04 @ Hibernian W 2-166.3 1496 1603 16.21% 28.50% 55.28%-0.66 +7.0 22
1995-02-04 Aberdeen W 3-160.4 1530 1621 28.38% 34.50% 37.12%-0.12 +9.1 29
1995-02-04 @ Kilmarnock L 1-360.4 1621 1530 37.12% 34.50% 28.38%+0.12 -9.1 24
1995-02-04 Celtic W 1-057.6 1573 1628 33.47% 34.74% 31.79%+0.02 +5.0 36
1995-02-04 @ Motherwell L 0-157.6 1628 1573 31.79% 34.74% 33.47%-0.02 -5.0 32
1995-02-04 Dundee United D 1-171.7 1735 1552 64.36% 23.21% 12.43%+0.96 -1.6 51
1995-02-04 @ Rangers D 1-171.7 1552 1735 12.43% 23.21% 64.36%-0.96 +1.6 26
1995-02-11 Hibernian D 2-274.1 1623 1596 44.85% 32.89% 22.26%+0.35 -0.5 33
1995-02-11 @ Celtic D 2-274.1 1596 1623 22.26% 32.89% 44.85%-0.35 +0.5 37
1995-02-11 Kilmarnock D 2-270.6 1555 1539 43.38% 33.31% 23.31%+0.30 -0.4 32
1995-02-11 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-270.6 1539 1555 23.31% 33.31% 43.38%-0.30 +0.4 30
1995-02-12 Rangers W 2-058.4 1612 1733 24.96% 33.84% 41.21%-0.24 +11.3 27
1995-02-12 @ Aberdeen L 0-258.4 1733 1612 41.21% 33.84% 24.96%+0.24 -11.3 51
1995-02-21 Falkirk W 1-050.3 1554 1521 45.69% 32.63% 21.68%+0.37 +3.8 29
1995-02-21 @ Dundee United L 0-150.3 1521 1554 21.68% 32.63% 45.69%-0.37 -3.8 27
1995-02-25 Motherwell L 0-257.5 1624 1578 47.33% 32.06% 20.61%+0.42 -12.5 27
1995-02-25 @ Aberdeen W 2-057.5 1578 1624 20.61% 32.06% 47.33%-0.42 +12.5 39
1995-02-25 Partick Thistle W 2-045.0 1558 1503 48.57% 31.59% 19.84%+0.46 +6.6 32
1995-02-25 @ Dundee United L 0-245.0 1503 1558 19.84% 31.59% 48.57%-0.46 -6.6 22
1995-02-25 Hibernian W 1-056.3 1517 1597 30.00% 34.66% 35.34%-0.08 +5.4 30
1995-02-25 @ Falkirk L 0-156.3 1597 1517 35.34% 34.66% 30.00%+0.08 -5.4 37
1995-02-25 Celtic D 1-166.2 1554 1622 31.52% 34.74% 33.74%-0.03 +0.1 33
1995-02-25 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-166.2 1622 1554 33.74% 34.74% 31.52%+0.03 -0.1 34
1995-02-25 Kilmarnock W 3-044.1 1722 1539 64.39% 23.19% 12.41%+0.97 +5.6 54
1995-02-25 @ Rangers L 0-344.1 1539 1722 12.41% 23.19% 64.39%-0.97 -5.6 30
1995-03-04 Rangers D 1-169.1 1591 1727 23.36% 33.33% 43.31%-0.30 +0.6 38
1995-03-04 @ Hibernian D 1-169.1 1727 1591 43.31% 33.33% 23.36%+0.30 -0.6 55
1995-03-04 Dundee United W 2-049.8 1534 1564 36.87% 34.53% 28.60%+0.12 +8.9 33
1995-03-04 @ Kilmarnock L 0-249.8 1564 1534 28.60% 34.53% 36.87%-0.12 -8.8 32
1995-03-05 Aberdeen W 2-051.6 1622 1611 42.73% 33.48% 23.79%+0.28 +7.7 37
1995-03-05 @ Celtic L 0-251.6 1611 1622 23.79% 33.48% 42.73%-0.28 -7.7 27
1995-03-07 Dundee United W 2-049.4 1496 1555 32.84% 34.75% 32.41%+0.01 +9.6 25
1995-03-07 @ Partick Thistle L 0-249.4 1555 1496 32.41% 34.75% 32.84%-0.01 -9.6 32
1995-03-07 Falkirk D 2-272.0 1591 1523 50.35% 30.86% 18.79%+0.51 -0.7 40
1995-03-07 @ Motherwell D 2-272.0 1523 1591 18.79% 30.86% 50.35%-0.51 +0.7 31
1995-03-11 Aberdeen D 2-270.8 1506 1603 27.71% 34.41% 37.88%-0.15 +0.2 26
1995-03-11 @ Partick Thistle D 2-270.8 1603 1506 37.88% 34.41% 27.71%+0.15 -0.2 28
1995-03-11 Falkirk D 2-278.0 1727 1523 66.75% 21.69% 11.56%+1.05 -1.3 56
1995-03-11 @ Rangers D 2-278.0 1523 1727 11.56% 21.69% 66.75%-1.05 +1.3 32
1995-03-14 Motherwell D 0-058.7 1506 1590 29.41% 34.61% 35.98%-0.09 +0.2 27
1995-03-14 @ Partick Thistle D 0-058.7 1590 1506 35.98% 34.61% 29.41%+0.09 -0.2 41
1995-03-18 Hibernian D 0-061.8 1603 1592 42.76% 33.47% 23.76%+0.29 -0.6 29
1995-03-18 @ Aberdeen D 0-061.8 1592 1603 23.76% 33.47% 42.76%-0.29 +0.6 39
1995-03-18 Rangers W 2-169.4 1554 1726 20.16% 31.80% 48.04%-0.44 +6.3 36
1995-03-18 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-269.4 1726 1554 48.04% 31.80% 20.16%+0.44 -6.3 56
1995-03-18 Dundee United W 2-158.2 1590 1546 47.18% 32.12% 20.70%+0.42 +3.4 44
1995-03-18 @ Motherwell L 1-258.2 1546 1590 20.70% 32.12% 47.18%-0.42 -3.4 32
1995-03-21 Heart of Midlothian D 1-164.2 1542 1561 38.66% 34.30% 27.04%+0.17 -0.3 33
1995-03-21 @ Dundee United D 1-164.2 1561 1542 27.04% 34.30% 38.66%-0.17 +0.3 37
1995-03-21 Celtic L 0-156.0 1542 1630 28.92% 34.56% 36.52%-0.11 -4.7 33
1995-03-21 @ Kilmarnock W 1-056.0 1630 1542 36.52% 34.56% 28.92%+0.11 +4.7 40
1995-03-22 Motherwell W 2-051.0 1592 1593 41.05% 33.87% 25.08%+0.24 +8.0 42
1995-03-22 @ Hibernian L 0-251.0 1593 1592 25.08% 33.87% 41.05%-0.24 -8.0 44
1995-03-25 Kilmarnock W 2-047.8 1525 1538 39.37% 34.19% 26.44%+0.19 +8.4 35
1995-03-25 @ Falkirk L 0-247.8 1538 1525 26.44% 34.19% 39.37%-0.19 -8.4 33
1995-04-01 Kilmarnock L 0-160.3 1603 1529 51.00% 30.58% 18.42%+0.53 -7.0 29
1995-04-01 @ Aberdeen W 1-060.3 1529 1603 18.42% 30.58% 51.00%-0.53 +7.0 36
1995-04-01 Motherwell D 1-168.0 1635 1585 47.87% 31.86% 20.26%+0.44 -0.8 41
1995-04-01 @ Celtic D 1-168.0 1585 1635 20.26% 31.86% 47.87%-0.44 +0.8 45
1995-04-01 Rangers L 0-250.2 1542 1719 19.70% 31.51% 48.80%-0.46 -6.5 33
1995-04-01 @ Dundee United W 2-050.2 1719 1542 48.80% 31.51% 19.70%+0.46 +6.5 59
1995-04-01 Falkirk L 0-158.0 1561 1533 45.01% 32.84% 22.15%+0.35 -6.4 37
1995-04-01 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-058.0 1533 1561 22.15% 32.84% 45.01%-0.35 +6.4 38
1995-04-01 Hibernian D 2-270.7 1507 1600 28.13% 34.47% 37.40%-0.13 +0.2 28
1995-04-01 @ Partick Thistle D 2-270.7 1600 1507 37.40% 34.47% 28.13%+0.13 -0.2 43
1995-04-04 Heart of Midlothian W 3-155.7 1507 1554 34.45% 34.71% 30.84%+0.05 +8.1 31
1995-04-04 @ Partick Thistle L 1-355.7 1554 1507 30.84% 34.71% 34.45%-0.05 -8.1 37
1995-04-08 Dundee United W 3-154.0 1539 1536 41.72% 33.72% 24.56%+0.25 +6.8 41
1995-04-08 @ Falkirk L 1-354.0 1536 1539 24.56% 33.72% 41.72%-0.25 -6.8 33
1995-04-08 Partick Thistle L 1-265.7 1586 1515 50.75% 30.69% 18.56%+0.52 -6.6 45
1995-04-08 @ Motherwell W 2-165.7 1515 1586 18.56% 30.69% 50.75%-0.52 +6.6 34
1995-04-08 Aberdeen W 3-263.8 1726 1596 58.16% 26.93% 14.91%+0.76 +2.3 62
1995-04-08 @ Rangers L 2-363.8 1596 1726 14.91% 26.93% 58.16%-0.76 -2.3 29
1995-04-12 Heart of Midlothian W 3-264.0 1536 1546 39.79% 34.12% 26.10%+0.20 +3.9 39
1995-04-12 @ Kilmarnock L 2-364.0 1546 1536 26.10% 34.12% 39.79%-0.20 -3.9 37
1995-04-15 Celtic W 2-053.6 1593 1634 35.46% 34.65% 29.89%+0.08 +9.1 32
1995-04-15 @ Aberdeen L 0-253.6 1634 1593 29.89% 34.65% 35.46%-0.08 -9.1 41
1995-04-15 Kilmarnock L 1-262.3 1529 1540 39.58% 34.15% 26.27%+0.19 -5.5 33
1995-04-15 @ Dundee United W 2-162.3 1540 1529 26.27% 34.15% 39.58%-0.19 +5.5 42
1995-04-15 Motherwell W 3-049.3 1546 1580 36.50% 34.57% 28.94%+0.11 +13.0 44
1995-04-15 @ Falkirk L 0-349.3 1580 1546 28.94% 34.57% 36.50%-0.11 -13.0 45
1995-04-15 Partick Thistle L 0-156.8 1542 1521 44.08% 33.12% 22.80%+0.32 -6.3 37
1995-04-15 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-056.8 1521 1542 22.80% 33.12% 44.08%-0.32 +6.3 37
1995-04-16 Hibernian W 3-154.8 1728 1600 57.87% 27.10% 15.03%+0.75 +4.2 65
1995-04-16 @ Rangers L 1-354.8 1600 1728 15.03% 27.10% 57.87%-0.75 -4.2 43
1995-04-18 Aberdeen W 2-162.4 1567 1602 36.16% 34.60% 29.24%+0.10 +4.5 48
1995-04-18 @ Motherwell L 1-262.4 1602 1567 29.24% 34.60% 36.16%-0.10 -4.5 32
1995-04-18 Dundee United L 1-358.3 1528 1523 41.82% 33.70% 24.48%+0.26 -9.9 37
1995-04-18 @ Partick Thistle W 3-158.3 1523 1528 24.48% 33.70% 41.82%-0.26 +9.9 36
1995-04-19 Heart of Midlothian L 0-161.4 1625 1536 52.97% 29.67% 17.36%+0.59 -7.2 41
1995-04-19 @ Celtic W 1-061.4 1536 1625 17.36% 29.67% 52.97%-0.59 +7.2 40
1995-04-19 Falkirk L 0-256.2 1596 1559 46.20% 32.46% 21.34%+0.39 -12.3 43
1995-04-19 @ Hibernian W 2-056.2 1559 1596 21.34% 32.46% 46.20%-0.39 +12.3 47
1995-04-21 Rangers L 0-154.0 1546 1732 18.97% 31.00% 50.03%-0.50 -3.4 42
1995-04-21 @ Kilmarnock W 1-054.0 1732 1546 50.03% 31.00% 18.97%+0.50 +3.3 68
1995-04-30 Hibernian L 0-156.0 1533 1584 34.05% 34.73% 31.23%+0.04 -5.3 36
1995-04-30 @ Dundee United W 1-056.0 1584 1533 31.23% 34.73% 34.05%-0.04 +5.3 46
1995-04-30 Celtic L 1-264.6 1571 1618 34.68% 34.70% 30.62%+0.06 -5.0 47
1995-04-30 @ Falkirk W 2-164.6 1618 1571 30.62% 34.70% 34.68%-0.06 +5.0 44
1995-04-30 Aberdeen L 1-263.0 1543 1598 33.47% 34.74% 31.79%+0.02 -4.9 40
1995-04-30 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-163.0 1598 1543 31.79% 34.74% 33.47%-0.02 +4.9 35
1995-04-30 Partick Thistle D 0-057.9 1542 1518 44.56% 32.98% 22.46%+0.34 -0.7 43
1995-04-30 @ Kilmarnock D 0-057.9 1518 1542 22.46% 32.98% 44.56%-0.34 +0.7 38
1995-04-30 Motherwell L 0-261.5 1736 1571 62.27% 24.51% 13.22%+0.89 -15.2 68
1995-04-30 @ Rangers W 2-061.5 1571 1736 13.22% 24.51% 62.27%-0.89 +15.2 51
1995-05-02 Partick Thistle L 1-363.7 1623 1518 54.92% 28.69% 16.39%+0.65 -12.1 44
1995-05-02 @ Celtic W 3-163.7 1518 1623 16.39% 28.69% 54.92%-0.65 +12.1 41
1995-05-06 Dundee United W 2-156.8 1603 1528 51.22% 30.48% 18.30%+0.54 +3.0 38
1995-05-06 @ Aberdeen L 1-256.8 1528 1603 18.30% 30.48% 51.22%-0.54 -3.0 36
1995-05-06 Heart of Midlothian W 3-153.8 1589 1538 48.03% 31.80% 20.17%+0.44 +5.8 49
1995-05-06 @ Hibernian L 1-353.8 1538 1589 20.17% 31.80% 48.03%-0.44 -5.8 40
1995-05-06 Kilmarnock W 2-047.6 1586 1542 47.25% 32.09% 20.66%+0.42 +6.8 54
1995-05-06 @ Motherwell L 0-247.6 1542 1586 20.66% 32.09% 47.25%-0.42 -6.8 43
1995-05-06 Falkirk D 0-058.7 1531 1566 36.14% 34.60% 29.26%+0.10 -0.2 42
1995-05-06 @ Partick Thistle D 0-058.7 1566 1531 29.26% 34.60% 36.14%-0.10 +0.2 48
1995-05-07 Rangers W 3-056.5 1611 1721 26.19% 34.13% 39.68%-0.20 +16.0 47
1995-05-07 @ Celtic L 0-356.5 1721 1611 39.68% 34.13% 26.19%+0.20 -16.0 68
1995-05-10 Celtic D 1-167.2 1595 1627 36.71% 34.54% 28.74%+0.11 -0.2 50
1995-05-10 @ Hibernian D 1-167.2 1627 1595 28.74% 34.54% 36.71%-0.11 +0.2 48
1995-05-13 Celtic L 0-154.8 1525 1627 27.13% 34.32% 38.55%-0.17 -4.5 36
1995-05-13 @ Dundee United W 1-054.8 1627 1525 38.55% 34.32% 27.13%+0.17 +4.5 51
1995-05-13 Aberdeen L 0-254.1 1567 1606 35.67% 34.64% 29.69%+0.08 -10.3 48
1995-05-13 @ Falkirk W 2-054.1 1606 1567 29.69% 34.64% 35.67%-0.08 +10.3 41
1995-05-13 Motherwell W 2-051.9 1533 1593 32.61% 34.75% 32.64%+0.00 +9.7 43
1995-05-13 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-251.9 1593 1533 32.64% 34.75% 32.61%+0.00 -9.7 54
1995-05-13 Hibernian L 1-262.4 1535 1594 32.74% 34.75% 32.51%+0.00 -4.8 43
1995-05-13 @ Kilmarnock W 2-162.4 1594 1535 32.51% 34.75% 32.74%+0.00 +4.8 53
1995-05-13 Partick Thistle D 1-170.7 1704 1530 63.39% 23.82% 12.79%+0.93 -1.6 69
1995-05-13 @ Rangers D 1-170.7 1530 1704 12.79% 23.82% 63.39%-0.93 +1.6 43

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1995-04-30 13.22% Motherwell 1571 2 @ Rangers 1736 0
2 1994-10-22 15.23% Falkirk 1521 2 @ Celtic 1645 0
3 1995-02-04 16.21% Partick Thistle 1496 2 @ Hibernian 1603 1
4 1994-12-03 16.25% Kilmarnock 1516 1 @ Aberdeen 1622 0
5 1995-05-02 16.39% Partick Thistle 1518 3 @ Celtic 1623 1
6 1995-04-19 17.36% Heart of Midlothian 1536 1 @ Celtic 1625 0
7 1995-04-01 18.42% Kilmarnock 1529 1 @ Aberdeen 1603 0
8 1995-04-08 18.56% Partick Thistle 1515 2 @ Motherwell 1586 1
9 1995-01-08 18.82% Heart of Midlothian 1541 2 @ Motherwell 1609 1
10 1994-08-27 19.11% Celtic 1630 2 @ Rangers 1693 0
11 1994-10-15 19.34% Motherwell 1589 3 @ Aberdeen 1650 1
12 1994-10-15 19.83% Partick Thistle 1507 1 @ Dundee United 1562 0
13 1995-03-18 20.16% @ Heart of Midlothian 1554 2 Rangers 1726 1
14 1995-02-25 20.61% Motherwell 1578 2 @ Aberdeen 1624 0
15 1995-01-17 20.93% Partick Thistle 1485 3 @ Falkirk 1526 1
16 1995-04-19 21.34% Falkirk 1559 2 @ Hibernian 1596 0
17 1995-04-01 22.15% Falkirk 1533 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1561 0
18 1994-10-01 22.37% @ Kilmarnock 1509 2 Aberdeen 1656 1
19 1995-04-15 22.80% Partick Thistle 1521 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1542 0
20 1994-11-19 23.49% @ Partick Thistle 1496 2 Aberdeen 1631 1
21 1995-04-18 24.48% Dundee United 1523 3 @ Partick Thistle 1528 1
22 1994-12-10 24.66% Aberdeen 1615 1 @ Motherwell 1618 0
23 1995-02-12 24.96% @ Aberdeen 1612 2 Rangers 1733 0
24 1994-10-08 25.75% @ Hibernian 1585 2 Rangers 1699 1
25 1994-11-26 25.91% Dundee United 1555 3 @ Falkirk 1547 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1994-08-13 19.83 @ Hibernian 5 1557 38.79% Dundee United 0 1574 26.93% 34.28%
2 1995-01-21 18.62 @ Dundee United 6 1534 32.95% Motherwell 1 1592 32.30% 34.75%
3 1995-05-07 16.04 @ Celtic 3 1611 26.19% Rangers 0 1721 39.68% 34.13%
4 1995-04-30 15.20 Motherwell 2 1571 13.22% @ Rangers 0 1736 62.27% 24.51%
5 1994-10-22 14.39 Falkirk 2 1521 15.23% @ Celtic 0 1645 57.42% 27.35%
6 1994-12-31 13.44 @ Hibernian 4 1589 45.96% Dundee United 0 1554 21.50% 32.54%
7 1994-08-27 13.00 Celtic 2 1630 19.11% @ Rangers 0 1693 49.78% 31.10%
8 1995-04-15 12.97 @ Falkirk 3 1546 36.50% Motherwell 0 1580 28.94% 34.57%
9 1995-02-25 12.54 Motherwell 2 1578 20.61% @ Aberdeen 0 1624 47.33% 32.06%
10 1995-04-19 12.32 Falkirk 2 1559 21.34% @ Hibernian 0 1596 46.20% 32.46%
11 1995-05-02 12.08 Partick Thistle 3 1518 16.39% @ Celtic 1 1623 54.92% 28.69%
12 1995-02-12 11.35 @ Aberdeen 2 1612 24.96% Rangers 0 1733 41.21% 33.84%
13 1994-10-15 11.20 Motherwell 3 1589 19.34% @ Aberdeen 1 1650 49.39% 31.27%
14 1994-09-24 11.15 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1533 42.90% Kilmarnock 0 1520 23.66% 33.44%
15 1994-12-04 10.84 Rangers 3 1706 43.98% @ Dundee United 0 1565 22.87% 33.15%
16 1995-01-17 10.77 Partick Thistle 3 1485 20.93% @ Falkirk 1 1526 46.83% 32.24%
17 1994-10-22 10.44 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1551 28.88% Aberdeen 0 1639 36.56% 34.56%
18 1995-01-17 10.42 @ Kilmarnock 2 1515 28.99% Motherwell 0 1602 36.44% 34.57%
19 1994-10-08 10.36 Dundee United 2 1551 29.27% @ Kilmarnock 0 1515 36.13% 34.60%
20 1995-05-13 10.27 Aberdeen 2 1606 29.69% @ Falkirk 0 1567 35.67% 34.64%
21 1994-12-26 10.15 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1537 46.48% Partick Thistle 0 1498 21.16% 32.36%
22 1995-04-18 9.93 Dundee United 3 1523 24.48% @ Partick Thistle 1 1528 41.82% 33.70%
23 1995-05-13 9.68 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1533 32.61% Motherwell 0 1593 32.64% 34.75%
24 1995-03-07 9.64 @ Partick Thistle 2 1496 32.84% Dundee United 0 1555 32.41% 34.75%
25 1994-11-26 9.62 Dundee United 3 1555 25.91% @ Falkirk 1 1547 40.02% 34.07%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1995-03-11 78.0 @ Rangers 2 1727 66.75% Falkirk 2 1523 11.56% 21.69%
2 1994-09-24 75.5 @ Aberdeen 2 1656 35.80% Rangers 2 1694 29.57% 34.63%
3 1994-08-20 75.4 @ Aberdeen 2 1664 58.96% Falkirk 2 1527 14.56% 26.48%
4 1994-12-03 74.2 @ Celtic 2 1621 41.66% Motherwell 2 1617 24.60% 33.74%
5 1995-02-11 74.1 @ Celtic 2 1623 44.85% Hibernian 2 1596 22.26% 32.89%
6 1994-09-10 73.9 @ Hibernian 2 1581 30.44% Aberdeen 2 1657 34.87% 34.69%
7 1994-11-19 73.4 @ Hibernian 2 1595 38.73% Motherwell 2 1613 26.98% 34.29%
8 1994-11-08 73.1 @ Falkirk 3 1546 46.48% Kilmarnock 3 1507 21.16% 32.36%
9 1994-11-05 72.4 @ Dundee United 2 1546 30.34% Celtic 2 1622 34.97% 34.68%
10 1994-12-10 72.3 @ Hibernian 2 1594 48.80% Falkirk 2 1538 19.69% 31.50%
11 1995-03-07 72.0 @ Motherwell 2 1591 50.35% Falkirk 2 1523 18.79% 30.86%
12 1995-02-04 71.7 @ Rangers 1 1735 64.36% Dundee United 1 1552 12.43% 23.21%
13 1995-01-04 70.9 @ Rangers 1 1732 55.11% Celtic 1 1627 16.30% 28.59%
14 1995-03-11 70.8 @ Partick Thistle 2 1506 27.71% Aberdeen 2 1603 37.88% 34.41%
15 1994-11-19 70.7 @ Rangers 1 1705 61.61% Falkirk 1 1546 13.48% 24.91%
16 1995-04-01 70.7 @ Partick Thistle 2 1507 28.13% Hibernian 2 1600 37.40% 34.47%
17 1995-05-13 70.7 @ Rangers 1 1704 63.39% Partick Thistle 1 1530 12.79% 23.82%
18 1994-09-24 70.6 @ Partick Thistle 2 1522 32.32% Motherwell 2 1585 32.93% 34.75%
19 1995-02-11 70.6 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1555 43.38% Kilmarnock 2 1539 23.31% 33.31%
20 1994-12-03 70.2 @ Partick Thistle 2 1498 27.76% Hibernian 2 1594 37.82% 34.42%
21 1994-12-26 70.2 @ Dundee United 2 1554 45.83% Kilmarnock 2 1520 21.59% 32.58%
22 1995-03-18 69.4 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1554 20.16% Rangers 1 1726 48.04% 31.80%
23 1995-01-07 69.3 @ Partick Thistle 1 1488 15.31% Rangers 1 1731 57.23% 27.45%
24 1995-03-04 69.1 @ Hibernian 1 1591 23.36% Rangers 1 1727 43.31% 33.33%
25 1994-09-17 68.7 @ Aberdeen 1 1657 58.92% Partick Thistle 1 1521 14.58% 26.50%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1994-11-05 42.3 @ Rangers 3 1700 66.36% Partick Thistle 0 1500 11.70% 21.94%
2 1994-12-26 43.2 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1537 46.48% Partick Thistle 0 1498 21.16% 32.36%
3 1994-10-15 44.1 @ Rangers 2 1693 65.03% Kilmarnock 0 1505 12.18% 22.79%
4 1995-02-25 44.1 @ Rangers 3 1722 64.39% Kilmarnock 0 1539 12.41% 23.19%
5 1994-09-11 44.6 @ Rangers 3 1680 59.99% Heart of Midlothian 0 1535 14.13% 25.88%
6 1994-10-01 44.9 @ Hibernian 3 1575 48.41% Partick Thistle 0 1522 19.93% 31.66%
7 1994-09-24 45.0 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1533 42.90% Kilmarnock 0 1520 23.66% 33.44%
8 1995-02-25 45.0 @ Dundee United 2 1558 48.57% Partick Thistle 0 1503 19.84% 31.59%
9 1994-10-22 46.0 @ Kilmarnock 2 1501 39.46% Partick Thistle 0 1514 26.37% 34.17%
10 1994-10-29 46.5 @ Aberdeen 3 1629 51.09% Dundee United 0 1555 18.37% 30.54%
11 1994-12-31 46.7 @ Celtic 2 1621 52.81% Falkirk 0 1534 17.45% 29.74%
12 1994-10-01 46.9 @ Rangers 2 1694 59.14% Dundee United 0 1556 14.49% 26.37%
13 1994-08-13 47.3 @ Partick Thistle 2 1528 40.63% Kilmarnock 0 1532 25.41% 33.96%
14 1994-12-31 47.5 @ Hibernian 4 1589 45.96% Dundee United 0 1554 21.50% 32.54%
15 1995-05-06 47.6 @ Motherwell 2 1586 47.25% Kilmarnock 0 1542 20.66% 32.09%
16 1995-03-25 47.8 @ Falkirk 2 1525 39.37% Kilmarnock 0 1538 26.44% 34.19%
17 1995-01-14 47.9 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1549 42.23% Dundee United 0 1542 24.17% 33.60%
18 1994-12-26 48.3 @ Rangers 2 1720 57.70% Hibernian 0 1594 15.11% 27.19%
19 1994-09-24 49.3 @ Celtic 2 1645 49.73% Hibernian 0 1582 19.15% 31.13%
20 1995-04-15 49.3 @ Falkirk 3 1546 36.50% Motherwell 0 1580 28.94% 34.57%
21 1995-03-07 49.4 @ Partick Thistle 2 1496 32.84% Dundee United 0 1555 32.41% 34.75%
22 1995-03-04 49.8 @ Kilmarnock 2 1534 36.87% Dundee United 0 1564 28.60% 34.53%
23 1995-02-04 50.0 @ Falkirk 2 1512 33.77% Heart of Midlothian 0 1564 31.50% 34.74%
24 1995-01-14 50.1 @ Aberdeen 3 1624 58.78% Partick Thistle 1 1489 14.64% 26.58%
25 1995-04-01 50.2 Rangers 2 1719 48.80% @ Dundee United 0 1542 19.70% 31.51%