1995-96 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

87 points · 46th Title

Last Title: 1994-95

Relegated

Falkirk

24 pts

Partick Thistle · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Celtic

14.61 points above expected

83 points · 68.39 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Falkirk

14.14 points below expected

24 points · 38.14 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rangers Champion	36	27	6	3	87	85	25	+60	76.43	+10.57
2	Celtic	36	24	11	1	83	74	25	+49	68.39	+14.61
3	Aberdeen	36	16	7	13	55	52	45	+7	55.91	-0.91
4	Heart of Midlothian	36	16	7	13	55	55	53	+2	47.40	+7.60
5	Hibernian	36	11	10	15	43	43	57	-14	48.92	-5.92
6	Raith Rovers	36	12	7	17	43	41	57	-16	45.75	-2.75
7	Kilmarnock	36	11	8	17	41	39	54	-15	40.13	+0.87
8	Motherwell	36	9	12	15	39	28	39	-11	42.24	-3.24
9	Partick Thistle Relegated	36	8	6	22	30	29	62	-33	36.73	-6.73
10	Falkirk Relegated	36	6	6	24	24	31	60	-29	38.14	-14.14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Celtic	83	68.39	+14.61
2	Rangers	87	76.43	+10.57
3	Heart of Midlothian	55	47.40	+7.60
4	Kilmarnock	41	40.13	+0.87
5	Aberdeen	55	55.91	-0.91

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Falkirk	24	38.14	-14.14
2	Partick Thistle	30	36.73	-6.73
3	Hibernian	43	48.92	-5.92
4	Motherwell	39	42.24	-3.24
5	Raith Rovers	43	45.75	-2.75

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	4	Feb 13 – Mar 16	1 in 101
2	Rangers	5	Sep 30 – Oct 21	1 in 32
3	Partick Thistle	2	Mar 16 – Mar 23	1 in 30
4	Falkirk	2	Oct 21 – Oct 28	1 in 12
5	Hibernian	3	Oct 21 – Nov 4	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Falkirk	8	Feb 24 – Apr 20	1 in 292
2	Kilmarnock	5	Aug 26 – Sep 30	1 in 38
3	Motherwell	4	Jan 6 – Jan 16	1 in 26
4	Partick Thistle	4	Dec 9 – Jan 9	1 in 17
5	Raith Rovers	3	Jan 23 – Feb 7	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	31	Oct 4 – May 4	1 in 1,188
2	Motherwell	7	Feb 13 – Apr 6	1 in 78
3	Rangers	19	Sep 30 – Jan 13	1 in 53
4	Kilmarnock	5	Jan 6 – Jan 23	1 in 20
5	Heart of Midlothian	6	Mar 30 – May 4	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	15	Oct 21 – Jan 20	1 in 365
2	Falkirk	11	Feb 10 – May 4	1 in 28
3	Raith Rovers	6	Oct 14 – Nov 11	1 in 19
4	Hibernian	8	Mar 3 – Apr 27	1 in 15
5	Partick Thistle	6	Sep 23 – Oct 21	1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Rangers	1849	87	+5	12	11.0	+1.0
Celtic	1864	83	+14	13	12.1	+0.9
Heart of Midlothian	1667	55	+56	11	7.4	+3.6
Aberdeen	1636	55	+1	8	8.1	-0.1
Raith Rovers	1527	43	+12	7	5.6	+1.4
Hibernian	1503	43	-23	5	6.4	-1.4
Kilmarnock	1526	41	+1	7	5.6	+1.4
Motherwell	1533	39	-11	4	5.7	-1.7
Partick Thistle	1427	30	-27	1	3.4	-2.4
Falkirk	1425	24	-28	1	4.4	-3.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	FAL	HOM	HIB	KIL	MOT	PT	RR	RAN
Aberdeen	—	0-0-4 4.29	3-1-0 7.16	2-1-1 6.17	2-1-1 6.01	3-1-0 6.80	2-0-2 7.10	2-1-1 7.85	2-1-1 6.99	0-1-3 3.47
Celtic	4-0-0 6.80	—	3-1-0 8.83	4-0-0 7.62	3-1-0 7.98	1-3-0 8.47	2-2-0 8.02	4-0-0 8.80	3-1-0 7.94	0-3-1 4.84
Falkirk	0-1-3 3.94	0-1-3 2.39	—	1-0-3 4.69	1-1-2 4.24	1-0-3 4.99	0-2-2 5.37	1-1-2 5.90	2-0-2 4.51	0-0-4 2.30
Heart of Midlothian	1-1-2 4.90	0-0-4 3.49	3-0-1 6.37	—	1-2-1 5.09	3-0-1 6.44	1-3-0 6.06	2-0-2 6.46	3-1-0 5.88	2-0-2 2.36
Hibernian	1-1-2 5.06	0-1-3 3.17	2-1-1 6.84	1-2-1 5.99	—	2-1-1 6.19	2-1-1 6.23	2-2-0 6.72	0-1-3 6.18	1-0-3 3.02
Kilmarnock	0-1-3 4.27	0-3-1 2.69	3-0-1 6.08	1-0-3 4.64	1-1-2 4.88	—	1-1-2 5.57	3-1-0 6.07	2-1-1 4.92	0-0-4 2.65
Motherwell	2-0-2 3.98	0-2-2 3.12	2-2-0 5.69	0-3-1 5.01	1-1-2 4.84	2-1-1 5.50	—	1-1-2 6.34	1-1-2 5.64	0-1-3 2.43
Partick Thistle	1-1-2 3.26	0-0-4 2.40	2-1-1 5.17	2-0-2 4.62	0-2-2 4.35	0-1-3 5.01	2-1-1 4.72	—	1-0-3 4.76	0-0-4 2.12
Raith Rovers	1-1-2 4.09	0-1-3 3.21	2-0-2 6.57	0-1-3 5.20	3-1-0 4.88	1-1-2 6.14	2-1-1 5.42	3-0-1 6.31	—	0-1-3 2.60
Rangers	3-1-0 7.65	1-3-0 6.23	4-0-0 8.92	2-0-2 8.82	3-0-1 8.12	4-0-0 8.50	3-1-0 8.75	4-0-0 9.11	3-1-0 8.57	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.95	+10.5
Allowed	0.78	-13.3
Differential	0.97	+6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	8.33%	7.22%	3.89%	3.06%	0.83%	30.00%
1	8.33%	12.78%	7.78%	2.50%	1.39%	0.28%	33.06%
2	7.22%	7.78%	2.22%	1.67%	1.67%	0.28%	20.83%
3	3.89%	2.50%	1.67%	0.56%	—	—	8.61%
4	3.06%	1.39%	1.67%	—	—	—	6.11%
5+	0.83%	0.28%	0.28%	—	—	—	1.39%
Total	30.00%	33.06%	20.83%	8.61%	6.11%	1.39%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.32	+0.00
SD	1.26	1.26	1.97
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	19.44%
1	8.33%	16.67%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
2	—	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	55.56%	19.44%	5.56%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.25	+0.19
SD	1.08	1.00	1.65
CV	0.75	0.80	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
2	5.56%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	—	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	50.00%	33.33%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.06	0.69	+1.36
SD	1.51	0.82	1.57
CV	0.73	1.18	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	19.44%	11.11%	—	8.33%	—	44.44%
1	2.78%	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	2.78%	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	27.78%	11.11%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	1.67	-0.81
SD	0.99	1.22	1.62
CV	1.15	0.73	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	—	8.33%	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	13.89%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	27.78%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	30.56%	22.22%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.47	+0.06
SD	1.13	1.36	2.07
CV	0.74	0.93	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	25.00%
1	5.56%	16.67%	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	41.67%
2	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	30.56%	30.56%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.58	-0.39
SD	0.98	1.44	1.99
CV	0.82	0.91	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	11.11%	13.89%	—	—	38.89%
1	8.33%	16.67%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	22.22%	36.11%	19.44%	13.89%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.50	-0.42
SD	1.23	1.23	1.90
CV	1.13	0.82	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	11.11%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	44.44%
1	13.89%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
2	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	30.56%	19.44%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.78	1.08	-0.31
SD	0.87	1.16	1.47
CV	1.11	1.07	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	44.44%
1	8.33%	13.89%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
2	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	19.44%	30.56%	22.22%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	1.72	-0.92
SD	1.01	1.34	1.87
CV	1.25	0.78	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	33.33%
1	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	30.56%
2	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	25.00%
3	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	25.00%	19.44%	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.58	-0.44
SD	1.02	1.50	1.96
CV	0.89	0.95	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
1	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
4	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	55.56%	25.00%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.36	0.69	+1.67
SD	1.61	0.92	1.94
CV	0.68	1.33	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1864	83	68.39	+14.61	99.0%	47	57	64	68	73	80	84
Rangers	1849	87	76.43	+10.57	96.0%	58	67	73	76	80	87	91
Heart of Midlothian	1667	55	47.40	+7.60	86.0%	30	37	43	47	51	57	67
Aberdeen	1636	55	55.91	-0.91	49.0%	37	42	51	56	61	68	75
Motherwell	1533	39	42.24	-3.24	35.0%	25	31	38	42	48	53	59
Raith Rovers	1527	43	45.75	-2.75	40.0%	21	30	41	46	52	59	64
Kilmarnock	1526	41	40.13	+0.87	54.0%	26	29	34	41	45	51	53
Hibernian	1503	43	48.92	-5.92	30.0%	29	34	43	50	54	62	68
Partick Thistle	1427	30	36.73	-6.73	20.0%	17	27	32	36	41	49	58
Falkirk	1425	24	38.14	-14.14	5.0%	18	24	34	38	43	52	57

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.22%

Slight Edge

45.00%22.22%32.78%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 42.68 Elo pts.

164 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.33 goals

Neutral

-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.6

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

76%

Rangers, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.11/gm

Tight Race

00.260.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.91 * Some Luck: 5.91 to 8.86 * Lucky: 8.86 to 11.81 * Wild Swing: 11.81 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.03 * Close: 1.03 to 1.54 * Off: 1.54 to 2.06 * Way Off: 2.06 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.45 * A Surprise: 1.45 to 2.32 * Several Surprises: 2.32 to 3.19 * Many Surprises: 3.19 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

8.26 points

Some Luck

07.3818

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.60

Pinpoint

01.293

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

99.00%

Celtic

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

5.00%

Falkirk

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

0 of 2

As Expected

01.42

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 157.20

2.59

Wide Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

70%

Clear Edge

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

93%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

58%

Frequent

0%55%100%

Blowouts

Expected

19%

Occasional

0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.56

Highly Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.36

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.36

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.66

Strong Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

As Expected

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

As Expected

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.89

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.34

Very Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.088

Well Within Noise

00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Rangers	76.00%	22.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	24.00%	60.00%	11.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	—	9.00%	43.00%	27.00%	8.00%	7.00%	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	4.00%	7.00%	20.00%	17.00%	24.00%	15.00%	7.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Hibernian	—	3.00%	20.00%	16.00%	18.00%	12.00%	11.00%	10.00%	4.00%	6.00%
Raith Rovers	—	2.00%	8.00%	14.00%	20.00%	18.00%	15.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%
Kilmarnock	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	10.00%	13.00%	15.00%	15.00%	19.00%	21.00%
Motherwell	—	—	2.00%	8.00%	17.00%	14.00%	19.00%	18.00%	13.00%	9.00%
Partick Thistle	—	—	—	3.00%	7.00%	4.00%	10.00%	20.00%	25.00%	31.00%
Falkirk	—	—	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	7.00%	14.00%	18.00%	26.00%	24.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Aberdeen	99.00%	1.00%	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	94.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Hibernian	90.00%	4.00%	6.00%
Raith Rovers	85.00%	8.00%	7.00%
Motherwell	78.00%	13.00%	9.00%
Kilmarnock	60.00%	19.00%	21.00%
Falkirk	50.00%	26.00%	24.00%
Partick Thistle	44.00%	25.00%	31.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1995-08-26	Aberdeen	L 2-3	69.5	1581	1615	39.46%	23.56%	36.98%	+0.05	-11.2	0
1995-08-26	@ Falkirk	W 3-2	69.5	1615	1581	36.98%	23.56%	39.46%	-0.05	+11.2	3
1995-08-26	Motherwell	D 1-1	69.4	1573	1595	41.15%	23.54%	35.31%	+0.13	-0.4	1
1995-08-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	69.4	1595	1573	35.31%	23.54%	41.15%	-0.13	+0.4	1
1995-08-26	Hibernian	D 1-1	69.5	1566	1604	38.92%	23.56%	37.52%	+0.03	-0.1	1
1995-08-26	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	69.5	1604	1566	37.52%	23.56%	38.92%	-0.03	+0.1	1
1995-08-26	Celtic	L 0-1	57.3	1569	1624	36.49%	23.56%	39.95%	-0.07	-11.8	0
1995-08-26	@ Raith Rovers	W 1-0	57.3	1624	1569	39.95%	23.56%	36.49%	+0.07	+11.8	3
1995-08-26	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	53.2	1665	1566	56.34%	22.57%	21.09%	+0.86	+7.5	3
1995-08-26	@ Rangers	L 0-1	53.2	1566	1665	21.09%	22.57%	56.34%	-0.86	-7.5	0
1995-09-09	Falkirk	W 4-1	55.0	1572	1569	44.61%	23.46%	31.93%	+0.28	+24.5	4
1995-09-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	55.0	1569	1572	31.93%	23.46%	44.61%	-0.28	-24.5	0
1995-09-09	Hibernian	L 0-3	52.0	1558	1604	37.74%	23.56%	38.70%	-0.02	-33.0	0
1995-09-09	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-0	52.0	1604	1558	38.70%	23.56%	37.74%	+0.02	+33.0	4
1995-09-09	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	69.3	1595	1566	48.03%	23.30%	28.66%	+0.44	-1.3	2
1995-09-09	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	69.3	1566	1595	28.66%	23.30%	48.03%	-0.44	+1.3	2
1995-09-09	Raith Rovers	W 4-0	47.3	1672	1557	58.05%	22.34%	19.61%	+0.96	+25.1	6
1995-09-09	@ Rangers	L 0-4	47.3	1557	1672	19.61%	22.34%	58.05%	-0.96	-25.1	0
1995-09-10	Celtic	L 2-3	71.8	1626	1636	42.87%	23.51%	33.62%	+0.20	-11.9	3
1995-09-10	@ Aberdeen	W 3-2	71.8	1636	1626	33.62%	23.51%	42.87%	-0.20	+11.9	6
1995-09-16	Motherwell	D 1-1	71.2	1647	1594	51.10%	23.10%	25.80%	+0.59	-1.7	7
1995-09-16	@ Celtic	D 1-1	71.2	1594	1647	25.80%	23.10%	51.10%	-0.59	+1.7	3
1995-09-16	Rangers	L 0-2	51.5	1545	1697	24.33%	22.96%	52.70%	-0.67	-16.0	0
1995-09-16	@ Falkirk	W 2-0	51.5	1697	1545	52.70%	22.96%	24.33%	+0.67	+16.0	9
1995-09-16	Aberdeen	D 1-1	71.3	1637	1614	47.32%	23.34%	29.34%	+0.40	-1.2	5
1995-09-16	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	71.3	1614	1637	29.34%	23.34%	47.32%	-0.40	+1.2	4
1995-09-16	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	53.5	1568	1597	40.13%	23.56%	36.31%	+0.08	+22.1	5
1995-09-16	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-2	53.5	1597	1568	36.31%	23.56%	40.13%	-0.08	-22.1	4
1995-09-16	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	48.6	1532	1525	45.13%	23.44%	31.43%	+0.30	+19.7	3
1995-09-16	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-2	48.6	1525	1532	31.43%	23.44%	45.13%	-0.30	-19.7	0
1995-09-23	Motherwell	D 0-0	63.4	1529	1596	34.84%	23.53%	41.62%	-0.15	+0.5	1
1995-09-23	@ Falkirk	D 0-0	63.4	1596	1529	41.62%	23.53%	34.84%	+0.15	-0.5	4
1995-09-23	Celtic	L 0-4	51.9	1575	1646	34.26%	23.52%	42.22%	-0.17	-40.0	4
1995-09-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	51.9	1646	1575	42.22%	23.52%	34.26%	+0.17	+40.0	10
1995-09-23	Aberdeen	L 1-2	59.1	1506	1615	29.25%	23.34%	47.41%	-0.41	-9.3	0
1995-09-23	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	59.1	1615	1506	47.41%	23.34%	29.25%	+0.41	+9.3	7
1995-09-23	Partick Thistle	W 3-1	59.4	1552	1590	38.91%	23.56%	37.52%	+0.03	+19.6	6
1995-09-23	@ Raith Rovers	L 1-3	59.4	1590	1552	37.52%	23.56%	38.91%	-0.03	-19.6	5
1995-09-23	Hibernian	L 0-1	64.7	1713	1636	53.89%	22.85%	23.26%	+0.73	-16.2	9
1995-09-23	@ Rangers	W 1-0	64.7	1636	1713	23.26%	22.85%	53.89%	-0.73	+16.2	8
1995-09-30	Raith Rovers	W 3-0	49.1	1624	1572	51.03%	23.10%	25.86%	+0.58	+24.4	10
1995-09-30	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	49.1	1572	1624	25.86%	23.10%	51.03%	-0.58	-24.4	6
1995-09-30	Rangers	L 0-2	58.8	1686	1697	42.68%	23.51%	33.81%	+0.19	-25.0	10
1995-09-30	@ Celtic	W 2-0	58.8	1697	1686	33.81%	23.51%	42.68%	-0.19	+25.0	12
1995-09-30	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	44.6	1595	1496	56.36%	22.57%	21.07%	+0.87	+20.5	7
1995-09-30	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	44.6	1496	1595	21.07%	22.57%	56.36%	-0.87	-20.5	0
1995-09-30	Falkirk	D 1-1	67.5	1570	1530	49.51%	23.21%	27.28%	+0.51	-1.5	6
1995-09-30	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	67.5	1530	1570	27.28%	23.21%	49.51%	-0.51	+1.5	2
1995-10-01	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	76.4	1652	1535	58.33%	22.30%	19.37%	+0.98	-2.0	9
1995-10-01	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	76.4	1535	1652	19.37%	22.30%	58.33%	-0.98	+2.0	5
1995-10-03	Motherwell	W 2-1	60.5	1722	1616	57.14%	22.47%	20.39%	+0.91	+6.8	15
1995-10-03	@ Rangers	L 1-2	60.5	1616	1722	20.39%	22.47%	57.14%	-0.91	-6.8	7
1995-10-04	Celtic	L 0-1	54.3	1531	1661	26.83%	23.18%	49.98%	-0.53	-9.2	2
1995-10-04	@ Falkirk	W 1-0	54.3	1661	1531	49.98%	23.18%	26.83%	+0.53	+9.2	13
1995-10-04	Aberdeen	L 1-2	60.8	1537	1649	28.95%	23.32%	47.73%	-0.42	-9.2	5
1995-10-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	60.8	1649	1537	47.73%	23.32%	28.95%	+0.42	+9.2	13
1995-10-04	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	65.8	1569	1476	55.68%	22.65%	21.67%	+0.83	-2.3	7
1995-10-04	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	65.8	1476	1569	21.67%	22.65%	55.68%	-0.83	+2.3	1
1995-10-04	Hibernian	W 3-0	55.5	1547	1650	30.03%	23.38%	46.59%	-0.37	+39.1	9
1995-10-04	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-3	55.5	1650	1547	46.59%	23.38%	30.03%	+0.37	-39.1	9
1995-10-07	Rangers	L 0-1	59.4	1658	1729	34.28%	23.52%	42.20%	-0.17	-11.2	13
1995-10-07	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	59.4	1729	1658	42.20%	23.52%	34.28%	+0.17	+11.2	18
1995-10-07	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	59.1	1670	1566	56.86%	22.50%	20.63%	+0.89	+6.9	16
1995-10-07	@ Celtic	L 1-2	59.1	1566	1670	20.63%	22.50%	56.86%	-0.89	-6.9	7
1995-10-07	Falkirk	W 2-1	57.1	1611	1522	55.30%	22.70%	22.00%	+0.81	+7.3	12
1995-10-07	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	57.1	1522	1611	22.00%	22.70%	55.30%	-0.81	-7.3	2
1995-10-07	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	55.2	1478	1528	37.25%	23.56%	39.19%	-0.04	+20.3	4
1995-10-07	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	55.2	1528	1478	39.19%	23.56%	37.25%	+0.04	-20.3	5
1995-10-07	Raith Rovers	L 0-2	57.5	1609	1586	47.22%	23.35%	29.44%	+0.40	-27.2	7
1995-10-07	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	57.5	1586	1609	29.44%	23.35%	47.22%	-0.40	+27.2	12
1995-10-14	Hibernian	D 2-2	78.2	1677	1619	51.69%	23.05%	25.26%	+0.62	-1.3	17
1995-10-14	@ Celtic	D 2-2	78.2	1619	1677	25.26%	23.05%	51.69%	-0.62	+1.3	13
1995-10-14	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	51.5	1515	1498	46.36%	23.39%	30.25%	+0.36	-26.8	2
1995-10-14	@ Falkirk	W 2-0	51.5	1498	1515	30.25%	23.39%	46.36%	-0.36	+26.8	7
1995-10-14	Raith Rovers	W 4-2	65.4	1507	1613	29.67%	23.36%	46.97%	-0.39	+21.0	8
1995-10-14	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-4	65.4	1613	1507	46.97%	23.36%	29.67%	+0.39	-21.0	12
1995-10-14	Aberdeen	W 2-1	65.5	1582	1647	35.04%	23.54%	41.42%	-0.14	+12.2	10
1995-10-14	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	65.5	1647	1582	41.42%	23.54%	35.04%	+0.14	-12.2	13
1995-10-14	Rangers	L 0-4	49.1	1559	1740	21.43%	22.62%	55.95%	-0.84	-27.1	7
1995-10-14	@ Partick Thistle	W 4-0	49.1	1740	1559	55.95%	22.62%	21.43%	+0.84	+27.1	21
1995-10-21	Partick Thistle	W 3-0	46.7	1635	1532	56.72%	22.52%	20.76%	+0.89	+20.2	16
1995-10-21	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	46.7	1532	1635	20.76%	22.52%	56.72%	-0.89	-20.2	7
1995-10-21	Motherwell	W 4-2	62.4	1620	1594	47.65%	23.32%	29.02%	+0.42	+14.3	16
1995-10-21	@ Hibernian	L 2-4	62.4	1594	1620	29.02%	23.32%	47.65%	-0.42	-14.3	10
1995-10-21	Celtic	D 0-0	65.5	1525	1676	24.53%	22.98%	52.49%	-0.66	+2.1	8
1995-10-21	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	65.5	1676	1525	52.49%	22.98%	24.53%	+0.66	-2.1	18
1995-10-21	Falkirk	L 0-1	59.8	1592	1488	56.98%	22.49%	20.53%	+0.90	-17.1	12
1995-10-21	@ Raith Rovers	W 1-0	59.8	1488	1592	20.53%	22.49%	56.98%	-0.90	+17.1	5
1995-10-21	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-1	50.8	1767	1528	69.04%	19.94%	11.02%	+1.72	+9.3	24
1995-10-21	@ Rangers	L 1-4	50.8	1528	1767	11.02%	19.94%	69.04%	-1.72	-9.3	8
1995-10-28	Aberdeen	W 2-0	54.5	1673	1655	46.69%	23.37%	29.94%	+0.37	+19.0	21
1995-10-28	@ Celtic	L 0-2	54.5	1655	1673	29.94%	23.37%	46.69%	-0.37	-19.0	16
1995-10-28	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	48.3	1505	1519	42.24%	23.52%	34.24%	+0.17	+21.1	8
1995-10-28	@ Falkirk	L 0-2	48.3	1519	1505	34.24%	23.52%	42.24%	-0.17	-21.1	8
1995-10-28	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	48.3	1634	1527	57.21%	22.46%	20.33%	+0.91	+13.6	19
1995-10-28	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	48.3	1527	1634	20.33%	22.46%	57.21%	-0.91	-13.6	8
1995-10-28	Motherwell	W 1-0	56.0	1512	1580	34.73%	23.53%	41.74%	-0.15	+13.0	10
1995-10-28	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-1	56.0	1580	1512	41.74%	23.53%	34.73%	+0.15	-13.0	10
1995-10-28	Rangers	D 2-2	79.0	1575	1776	19.54%	22.33%	58.14%	-0.97	+2.0	13
1995-10-28	@ Raith Rovers	D 2-2	79.0	1776	1575	58.14%	22.33%	19.54%	+0.97	-2.0	25
1995-11-04	Hibernian	L 1-2	66.8	1636	1648	42.55%	23.52%	33.93%	+0.19	-12.5	16
1995-11-04	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	66.8	1648	1636	33.93%	23.52%	42.55%	-0.19	+12.5	22
1995-11-04	Partick Thistle	W 3-0	46.9	1498	1525	40.43%	23.55%	36.02%	+0.09	+31.9	11
1995-11-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	46.9	1525	1498	36.02%	23.55%	40.43%	-0.09	-31.9	10
1995-11-04	Raith Rovers	W 5-1	54.3	1514	1577	35.25%	23.54%	41.21%	-0.13	+38.5	11
1995-11-04	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-5	54.3	1577	1514	41.21%	23.54%	35.25%	+0.13	-38.5	13
1995-11-04	Celtic	L 0-2	52.7	1566	1692	27.28%	23.21%	49.50%	-0.51	-17.6	10
1995-11-04	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	52.7	1692	1566	49.50%	23.21%	27.28%	+0.51	+17.6	24
1995-11-04	Falkirk	W 2-0	47.2	1774	1526	69.76%	19.72%	10.52%	+1.78	+7.2	28
1995-11-04	@ Rangers	L 0-2	47.2	1526	1774	10.52%	19.72%	69.76%	-1.78	-7.2	8
1995-11-07	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	61.9	1549	1530	46.75%	23.37%	29.88%	+0.38	-1.2	11
1995-11-07	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	61.9	1530	1549	29.88%	23.37%	46.75%	-0.38	+1.2	12
1995-11-08	Falkirk	W 3-1	54.0	1623	1519	56.98%	22.49%	20.53%	+0.90	+11.9	19
1995-11-08	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	54.0	1519	1623	20.53%	22.49%	56.98%	-0.90	-11.9	8
1995-11-08	Raith Rovers	D 0-0	67.0	1710	1539	63.49%	21.38%	15.13%	+1.31	-3.9	25
1995-11-08	@ Celtic	D 0-0	67.0	1539	1710	15.13%	21.38%	63.49%	-1.31	+3.8	14
1995-11-08	Rangers	L 0-2	50.3	1552	1782	17.14%	21.87%	60.99%	-1.14	-11.7	11
1995-11-08	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	50.3	1782	1552	60.99%	21.87%	17.14%	+1.14	+11.7	31
1995-11-11	Hibernian	W 2-0	58.4	1507	1660	24.17%	22.95%	52.88%	-0.68	+30.1	11
1995-11-11	@ Falkirk	L 0-2	58.4	1660	1507	52.88%	22.95%	24.17%	+0.68	-30.1	22
1995-11-11	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	58.8	1531	1541	42.90%	23.51%	33.59%	+0.20	+10.4	15
1995-11-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	58.8	1541	1531	33.59%	23.51%	42.90%	-0.20	-10.4	11
1995-11-11	Celtic	L 1-2	57.6	1493	1706	18.51%	22.15%	59.35%	-1.04	-6.3	10
1995-11-11	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-1	57.6	1706	1493	59.35%	22.15%	18.51%	+1.04	+6.3	28
1995-11-11	Motherwell	D 0-0	62.3	1543	1548	43.52%	23.49%	32.98%	+0.23	-0.8	15
1995-11-11	@ Raith Rovers	D 0-0	62.3	1548	1543	32.98%	23.49%	43.52%	-0.23	+0.8	12
1995-11-11	Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.7	1793	1635	62.31%	21.62%	16.07%	+1.23	-3.3	32
1995-11-11	@ Rangers	D 1-1	73.7	1635	1793	16.07%	21.62%	62.31%	-1.23	+3.3	20
1995-11-18	Partick Thistle	L 0-1	56.1	1537	1487	50.65%	23.13%	26.21%	+0.57	-15.3	11
1995-11-18	@ Falkirk	W 1-0	56.1	1487	1537	26.21%	23.13%	50.65%	-0.57	+15.3	13
1995-11-18	Motherwell	D 1-1	66.7	1530	1548	41.67%	23.53%	34.79%	+0.15	-0.4	12
1995-11-18	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	66.7	1548	1530	34.79%	23.53%	41.67%	-0.15	+0.4	13
1995-11-18	Aberdeen	W 1-0	59.7	1542	1639	30.87%	23.42%	45.71%	-0.33	+14.1	18
1995-11-18	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-1	59.7	1639	1542	45.71%	23.42%	30.87%	+0.33	-14.0	20
1995-11-19	Hibernian	W 2-1	65.2	1541	1630	31.87%	23.46%	44.67%	-0.28	+13.0	18
1995-11-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	65.2	1630	1541	44.67%	23.46%	31.87%	+0.28	-13.0	22
1995-11-19	Celtic	D 3-3	83.6	1790	1712	53.97%	22.84%	23.19%	+0.74	-1.3	33
1995-11-19	@ Rangers	D 3-3	83.6	1712	1790	23.19%	22.84%	53.97%	-0.74	+1.3	29
1995-11-22	Partick Thistle	W 3-0	45.0	1617	1502	58.06%	22.34%	19.60%	+0.96	+19.2	25
1995-11-22	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	45.0	1502	1617	19.60%	22.34%	58.06%	-0.96	-19.2	13
1995-11-25	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	55.1	1714	1554	62.42%	21.60%	15.98%	+1.23	+9.5	32
1995-11-25	@ Celtic	L 1-3	55.1	1554	1714	15.98%	21.60%	62.42%	-1.23	-9.5	18
1995-11-25	Rangers	L 1-4	56.9	1636	1789	24.32%	22.96%	52.72%	-0.67	-19.5	25
1995-11-25	@ Hibernian	W 4-1	56.9	1789	1636	52.72%	22.96%	24.32%	+0.67	+19.5	36
1995-11-25	Falkirk	D 1-1	66.5	1549	1521	47.84%	23.31%	28.84%	+0.43	-1.2	14
1995-11-25	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	66.5	1521	1549	28.84%	23.31%	47.84%	-0.43	+1.2	12
1995-11-25	Raith Rovers	L 0-2	48.8	1483	1556	33.99%	23.52%	42.49%	-0.18	-21.0	13
1995-11-25	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-0	48.8	1556	1483	42.49%	23.52%	33.99%	+0.18	+21.0	21
1995-12-02	Kilmarnock	W 4-2	57.8	1723	1530	65.44%	20.93%	13.63%	+1.44	+7.3	35
1995-12-02	@ Celtic	L 2-4	57.8	1530	1723	13.63%	20.93%	65.44%	-1.44	-7.3	12
1995-12-02	Raith Rovers	W 2-1	61.7	1523	1577	36.56%	23.56%	39.88%	-0.07	+11.9	15
1995-12-02	@ Falkirk	L 1-2	61.7	1577	1523	39.88%	23.56%	36.56%	+0.07	-11.9	21
1995-12-02	Rangers	L 0-2	49.5	1545	1808	14.65%	21.24%	64.11%	-1.35	-10.1	18
1995-12-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	49.5	1808	1545	64.11%	21.24%	14.65%	+1.35	+10.1	39
1995-12-02	Hibernian	L 0-2	53.0	1548	1617	34.48%	23.53%	41.99%	-0.16	-21.2	14
1995-12-02	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	53.0	1617	1548	41.99%	23.53%	34.48%	+0.16	+21.2	28
1995-12-02	Aberdeen	W 1-0	59.2	1462	1624	23.26%	22.85%	53.89%	-0.73	+16.2	16
1995-12-02	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-1	59.2	1624	1462	53.89%	22.85%	23.26%	+0.73	-16.2	20
1995-12-09	Motherwell	W 1-0	51.4	1608	1526	54.45%	22.79%	22.76%	+0.76	+8.0	23
1995-12-09	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	51.4	1526	1608	22.76%	22.79%	54.45%	-0.76	-8.0	14
1995-12-09	Celtic	L 0-4	53.1	1638	1730	31.43%	23.44%	45.13%	-0.30	-37.4	28
1995-12-09	@ Hibernian	W 4-0	53.1	1730	1638	45.13%	23.44%	31.43%	+0.30	+37.4	38
1995-12-09	Falkirk	W 4-0	47.1	1522	1535	42.54%	23.52%	33.95%	+0.19	+39.8	15
1995-12-09	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-4	47.1	1535	1522	33.95%	23.52%	42.54%	-0.19	-39.8	15
1995-12-09	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	67.5	1565	1535	48.20%	23.29%	28.51%	+0.45	-1.3	22
1995-12-09	@ Raith Rovers	D 1-1	67.5	1535	1565	28.51%	23.29%	48.20%	-0.45	+1.3	19
1995-12-09	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	48.4	1818	1478	75.75%	17.43%	6.83%	+2.34	+2.4	42
1995-12-09	@ Rangers	L 0-1	48.4	1478	1818	6.83%	17.43%	75.75%	-2.34	-2.4	16
1995-12-13	Kilmarnock	W 4-1	54.0	1616	1562	51.18%	23.09%	25.73%	+0.59	+20.5	26
1995-12-13	@ Aberdeen	L 1-4	54.0	1562	1616	25.73%	23.09%	51.18%	-0.59	-20.5	15
1995-12-16	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	68.5	1637	1536	56.53%	22.55%	20.92%	+0.88	-16.0	26
1995-12-16	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	68.5	1536	1637	20.92%	22.55%	56.53%	-0.88	+16.0	22
1995-12-16	Falkirk	W 1-0	49.2	1768	1495	71.50%	19.13%	9.37%	+1.93	+3.4	41
1995-12-16	@ Celtic	L 0-1	49.2	1495	1768	9.37%	19.13%	71.50%	-1.93	-3.4	15
1995-12-16	Raith Rovers	L 1-2	66.2	1601	1564	49.05%	23.24%	27.71%	+0.49	-14.1	28
1995-12-16	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	66.2	1564	1601	27.71%	23.24%	49.05%	-0.49	+14.1	25
1995-12-16	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	54.0	1542	1476	52.58%	22.97%	24.45%	+0.66	+8.0	18
1995-12-16	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	54.0	1476	1542	24.45%	22.97%	52.58%	-0.66	-8.0	16
1995-12-19	Rangers	D 0-0	68.5	1518	1821	12.20%	20.43%	67.36%	-1.59	+4.5	15
1995-12-19	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	68.5	1821	1518	67.36%	20.43%	12.20%	+1.59	-4.5	43
1995-12-26	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	45.7	1816	1550	71.05%	19.28%	9.66%	+1.89	+9.6	46
1995-12-26	@ Rangers	L 0-3	45.7	1550	1816	9.66%	19.28%	71.05%	-1.89	-9.6	18
1995-12-30	Hibernian	W 7-0	47.7	1826	1587	69.08%	19.93%	10.99%	+1.72	+24.3	49
1995-12-30	@ Rangers	L 0-7	47.7	1587	1826	10.99%	19.93%	69.08%	-1.72	-24.3	28
1996-01-01	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	59.4	1562	1552	45.57%	23.42%	31.01%	+0.32	+9.8	31
1996-01-01	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	59.4	1552	1562	31.01%	23.42%	45.57%	-0.32	-9.8	22
1996-01-03	Rangers	D 0-0	68.8	1771	1850	33.16%	23.50%	43.34%	-0.22	+0.7	42
1996-01-03	@ Celtic	D 0-0	68.8	1850	1771	43.34%	23.50%	33.16%	+0.22	-0.7	50
1996-01-06	Motherwell	W 1-0	50.2	1772	1523	69.80%	19.70%	10.50%	+1.78	+3.8	45
1996-01-06	@ Celtic	L 0-1	50.2	1523	1772	10.50%	19.70%	69.80%	-1.78	-3.8	15
1996-01-06	Rangers	L 0-4	44.9	1491	1850	9.38%	19.13%	71.48%	-1.93	-12.2	15
1996-01-06	@ Falkirk	W 4-0	44.9	1850	1491	71.48%	19.13%	9.38%	+1.93	+12.2	53
1996-01-06	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	50.7	1468	1542	33.78%	23.51%	42.71%	-0.19	-11.1	16
1996-01-06	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	50.7	1542	1468	42.71%	23.51%	33.78%	+0.19	+11.1	25
1996-01-06	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	68.1	1578	1540	49.16%	23.24%	27.60%	+0.49	-1.4	26
1996-01-06	@ Raith Rovers	D 1-1	68.1	1540	1578	27.60%	23.24%	49.16%	-0.49	+1.4	19
1996-01-08	Aberdeen	L 1-2	63.5	1572	1621	37.36%	23.56%	39.08%	-0.04	-11.3	31
1996-01-08	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	63.5	1621	1572	39.08%	23.56%	37.36%	+0.04	+11.3	29
1996-01-09	Falkirk	L 0-3	45.2	1457	1479	41.12%	23.54%	35.34%	+0.12	-35.3	16
1996-01-09	@ Partick Thistle	W 3-0	45.2	1479	1457	35.34%	23.54%	41.12%	-0.12	+35.3	18
1996-01-09	Celtic	L 1-3	57.5	1576	1776	19.69%	22.36%	57.96%	-0.96	-11.5	26
1996-01-09	@ Raith Rovers	W 3-1	57.5	1776	1576	57.96%	22.36%	19.69%	+0.96	+11.5	48
1996-01-10	Motherwell	W 4-0	45.8	1553	1519	48.73%	23.26%	28.01%	+0.47	+34.1	28
1996-01-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	45.8	1519	1553	28.01%	23.26%	48.73%	-0.47	-34.1	15
1996-01-13	Falkirk	W 2-1	56.7	1588	1514	53.44%	22.89%	23.67%	+0.71	+7.8	31
1996-01-13	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	56.7	1514	1588	23.67%	22.89%	53.44%	-0.71	-7.8	18
1996-01-13	Hibernian	W 3-2	65.5	1542	1561	41.54%	23.54%	34.93%	+0.14	+10.2	22
1996-01-13	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-3	65.5	1561	1542	34.93%	23.54%	41.54%	-0.14	-10.2	31
1996-01-13	Partick Thistle	L 0-2	49.3	1485	1422	52.30%	23.00%	24.70%	+0.65	-29.8	15
1996-01-13	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	49.3	1422	1485	24.70%	23.00%	52.30%	-0.65	+29.8	19
1996-01-13	Raith Rovers	W 4-0	45.1	1862	1565	73.08%	18.54%	8.38%	+2.07	+10.8	56
1996-01-13	@ Rangers	L 0-4	45.1	1565	1862	8.38%	18.54%	73.08%	-2.07	-10.8	26
1996-01-14	Celtic	L 1-2	62.3	1632	1787	24.01%	22.93%	53.06%	-0.69	-7.9	29
1996-01-14	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	62.3	1787	1632	53.06%	22.93%	24.01%	+0.69	+7.9	51
1996-01-16	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	49.6	1455	1552	30.89%	23.42%	45.69%	-0.33	-10.3	15
1996-01-16	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	49.6	1552	1455	45.69%	23.42%	30.89%	+0.33	+10.3	25
1996-01-16	Aberdeen	D 1-1	68.5	1507	1624	28.28%	23.28%	48.44%	-0.46	+1.3	19
1996-01-16	@ Falkirk	D 1-1	68.5	1624	1507	48.44%	23.28%	28.28%	+0.46	-1.3	30
1996-01-16	Hibernian	D 0-0	59.1	1451	1551	30.53%	23.40%	46.07%	-0.35	+1.1	20
1996-01-16	@ Partick Thistle	D 0-0	59.1	1551	1451	46.07%	23.40%	30.53%	+0.35	-1.1	32
1996-01-17	Celtic	L 1-2	60.6	1595	1795	19.64%	22.35%	58.01%	-0.96	-6.6	31
1996-01-17	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	60.6	1795	1595	58.01%	22.35%	19.64%	+0.96	+6.6	54
1996-01-20	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	46.8	1623	1452	63.43%	21.39%	15.18%	+1.30	+5.5	33
1996-01-20	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	46.8	1452	1623	15.18%	21.39%	63.43%	-1.30	-5.5	20
1996-01-20	Motherwell	D 0-0	59.1	1550	1445	56.96%	22.49%	20.55%	+0.90	-2.8	33
1996-01-20	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	59.1	1445	1550	20.55%	22.49%	56.96%	-0.90	+2.8	16
1996-01-20	Celtic	D 0-0	68.3	1562	1802	16.34%	21.69%	61.97%	-1.20	+3.6	26
1996-01-20	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	68.3	1802	1562	61.97%	21.69%	16.34%	+1.20	-3.6	55
1996-01-20	Falkirk	W 1-0	50.3	1554	1508	50.20%	23.17%	26.63%	+0.54	+9.1	29
1996-01-20	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-1	50.3	1508	1554	26.63%	23.17%	50.20%	-0.54	-9.1	19
1996-01-20	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	64.9	1873	1589	72.23%	18.86%	8.91%	+2.00	-57.9	56
1996-01-20	@ Rangers	W 3-0	64.9	1589	1873	8.91%	18.86%	72.23%	-2.00	+57.9	34
1996-01-23	Motherwell	L 0-1	53.3	1499	1448	50.82%	23.12%	26.06%	+0.57	-15.4	19
1996-01-23	@ Falkirk	W 1-0	53.3	1448	1499	26.06%	23.12%	50.82%	-0.57	+15.4	19
1996-01-23	Aberdeen	D 1-1	70.1	1566	1628	35.38%	23.54%	41.08%	-0.12	+0.4	27
1996-01-23	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	70.1	1628	1566	41.08%	23.54%	35.38%	+0.12	-0.4	34
1996-01-23	Partick Thistle	L 0-2	54.6	1563	1447	58.21%	22.32%	19.48%	+0.97	-32.8	29
1996-01-23	@ Raith Rovers	W 2-0	54.6	1447	1563	19.48%	22.32%	58.21%	-0.97	+32.8	23
1996-02-03	Hibernian	W 2-1	56.7	1798	1547	69.97%	19.65%	10.38%	+1.80	+3.6	58
1996-02-03	@ Celtic	L 1-2	56.7	1547	1798	10.38%	19.65%	69.97%	-1.80	-3.6	33
1996-02-03	Kilmarnock	W 4-2	62.1	1484	1566	32.71%	23.48%	43.80%	-0.24	+19.8	22
1996-02-03	@ Falkirk	L 2-4	62.1	1566	1484	43.80%	23.48%	32.71%	+0.24	-19.8	27
1996-02-03	Raith Rovers	W 2-0	48.4	1647	1530	58.18%	22.32%	19.50%	+0.97	+13.1	37
1996-02-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	48.4	1530	1647	19.50%	22.32%	58.18%	-0.97	-13.2	29
1996-02-03	Rangers	L 1-2	56.1	1480	1815	10.47%	19.69%	69.84%	-1.79	-3.6	23
1996-02-03	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-1	56.1	1815	1480	69.84%	19.69%	10.47%	+1.79	+3.6	59
1996-02-07	Raith Rovers	W 1-0	50.8	1628	1517	57.61%	22.40%	19.99%	+0.94	+7.1	37
1996-02-07	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	50.8	1517	1628	19.99%	22.40%	57.61%	-0.94	-7.1	29
1996-02-10	Celtic	D 0-0	68.0	1503	1802	12.43%	20.52%	67.05%	-1.56	+4.4	23
1996-02-10	@ Falkirk	D 0-0	68.0	1802	1503	67.05%	20.52%	12.43%	+1.56	-4.4	59
1996-02-10	Aberdeen	L 1-3	65.5	1660	1635	47.47%	23.33%	29.20%	+0.41	-23.7	37
1996-02-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	65.5	1635	1660	29.20%	23.33%	47.47%	-0.41	+23.7	40
1996-02-10	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	51.3	1476	1546	34.39%	23.53%	42.09%	-0.17	-11.2	23
1996-02-10	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	51.3	1546	1476	42.09%	23.53%	34.39%	+0.17	+11.2	30
1996-02-10	Hibernian	W 1-0	53.2	1510	1543	39.62%	23.56%	36.82%	+0.06	+11.8	32
1996-02-10	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-1	53.2	1543	1510	36.82%	23.56%	39.62%	-0.06	-11.8	33
1996-02-10	Motherwell	W 3-2	59.2	1818	1463	76.62%	17.03%	6.35%	+2.43	+2.0	62
1996-02-10	@ Rangers	L 2-3	59.2	1463	1818	6.35%	17.03%	76.62%	-2.43	-2.0	19
1996-02-13	Aberdeen	W 1-0	61.4	1461	1659	19.83%	22.38%	57.79%	-0.95	+17.3	22
1996-02-13	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	61.4	1659	1461	57.79%	22.38%	19.83%	+0.95	-17.3	40
1996-02-24	Partick Thistle	W 4-0	42.7	1797	1465	75.30%	17.63%	7.08%	+2.29	+9.0	62
1996-02-24	@ Celtic	L 0-4	42.7	1465	1797	7.08%	17.63%	75.30%	-2.29	-9.0	23
1996-02-24	Falkirk	W 2-1	56.3	1531	1508	47.33%	23.34%	29.32%	+0.40	+9.3	36
1996-02-24	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	56.3	1508	1531	29.32%	23.34%	47.33%	-0.40	-9.3	23
1996-02-24	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	53.3	1557	1636	33.21%	23.50%	43.29%	-0.22	-20.6	30
1996-02-24	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	53.3	1636	1557	43.29%	23.50%	33.21%	+0.22	+20.6	40
1996-02-24	Raith Rovers	W 1-0	51.7	1478	1522	38.08%	23.56%	38.36%	-0.01	+12.2	25
1996-02-24	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	51.7	1522	1478	38.36%	23.56%	38.08%	+0.01	-12.2	32
1996-02-25	Rangers	L 0-1	55.8	1642	1820	21.61%	22.64%	55.74%	-0.83	-7.6	40
1996-02-25	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	55.8	1820	1642	55.74%	22.64%	21.61%	+0.83	+7.6	65
1996-03-02	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	47.0	1634	1537	56.16%	22.59%	21.25%	+0.85	+20.6	43
1996-03-02	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	47.0	1537	1634	21.25%	22.59%	56.16%	-0.85	-20.6	30
1996-03-02	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	48.7	1806	1657	61.52%	21.77%	16.71%	+1.18	+21.6	65
1996-03-02	@ Celtic	L 0-4	48.7	1657	1806	16.71%	21.77%	61.52%	-1.18	-21.6	40
1996-03-02	Falkirk	W 1-0	49.7	1491	1498	43.13%	23.50%	33.36%	+0.21	+11.0	28
1996-03-02	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	49.7	1498	1491	33.36%	23.50%	43.13%	-0.21	-11.0	23
1996-03-02	Raith Rovers	L 0-3	45.0	1456	1510	36.61%	23.56%	39.83%	-0.07	-32.3	23
1996-03-02	@ Partick Thistle	W 3-0	45.0	1510	1456	39.83%	23.56%	36.61%	+0.07	+32.3	35
1996-03-03	Rangers	L 0-2	49.0	1541	1828	13.10%	20.76%	66.15%	-1.49	-9.0	36
1996-03-03	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	49.0	1828	1541	66.15%	20.76%	13.10%	+1.49	+9.0	68
1996-03-16	Partick Thistle	L 1-2	58.5	1487	1424	52.35%	22.99%	24.65%	+0.65	-14.9	23
1996-03-16	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	58.5	1424	1487	24.65%	22.99%	52.35%	-0.65	+14.9	26
1996-03-16	Hibernian	D 1-1	69.7	1635	1532	56.84%	22.51%	20.66%	+0.89	-2.5	41
1996-03-16	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	69.7	1532	1635	20.66%	22.51%	56.84%	-0.89	+2.5	37
1996-03-16	Motherwell	L 0-1	54.6	1516	1502	46.15%	23.40%	30.45%	+0.35	-14.2	30
1996-03-16	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	54.6	1502	1516	30.45%	23.40%	46.15%	-0.35	+14.2	31
1996-03-16	Aberdeen	D 2-2	76.3	1542	1655	28.90%	23.32%	47.79%	-0.43	+0.9	36
1996-03-16	@ Raith Rovers	D 2-2	76.3	1655	1542	47.79%	23.32%	28.90%	+0.43	-0.9	44
1996-03-17	Celtic	D 1-1	73.7	1837	1828	45.41%	23.43%	31.16%	+0.32	-0.9	69
1996-03-17	@ Rangers	D 1-1	73.7	1828	1837	31.16%	23.43%	45.41%	-0.32	+0.9	66
1996-03-23	Hibernian	W 2-1	57.6	1654	1534	58.53%	22.27%	19.20%	+0.99	+6.5	47
1996-03-23	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	57.6	1534	1654	19.20%	22.27%	58.53%	-0.99	-6.5	37
1996-03-23	Partick Thistle	L 2-5	64.5	1632	1439	65.48%	20.92%	13.60%	+1.45	-38.8	41
1996-03-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 5-2	64.5	1439	1632	13.60%	20.92%	65.48%	-1.45	+38.8	29
1996-03-23	Raith Rovers	W 2-0	50.2	1502	1543	38.45%	23.56%	37.99%	+0.01	+22.9	33
1996-03-23	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	50.2	1543	1502	37.99%	23.56%	38.45%	-0.01	-22.9	36
1996-03-23	Celtic	D 0-0	68.6	1516	1829	11.60%	20.19%	68.21%	-1.65	+4.6	32
1996-03-23	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	68.6	1829	1516	68.21%	20.19%	11.60%	+1.65	-4.6	67
1996-03-23	Falkirk	W 3-2	59.4	1836	1473	77.09%	16.81%	6.10%	+2.48	+1.9	72
1996-03-23	@ Rangers	L 2-3	59.4	1473	1836	6.10%	16.81%	77.09%	-2.48	-1.9	23
1996-03-30	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	47.7	1471	1594	27.61%	23.24%	49.15%	-0.49	-17.8	23
1996-03-30	@ Falkirk	W 2-0	47.7	1594	1471	49.15%	23.24%	27.61%	+0.49	+17.8	44
1996-03-30	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	65.8	1528	1525	44.57%	23.46%	31.97%	+0.28	-0.8	38
1996-03-30	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	65.8	1525	1528	31.97%	23.46%	44.57%	-0.28	+0.8	34
1996-03-30	Motherwell	L 0-2	48.5	1477	1520	38.17%	23.56%	38.27%	+0.00	-23.0	29
1996-03-30	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-0	48.5	1520	1477	38.27%	23.56%	38.17%	+0.00	+23.0	35
1996-03-30	Rangers	L 2-4	58.2	1520	1838	11.35%	20.09%	68.56%	-1.68	-6.1	36
1996-03-30	@ Raith Rovers	W 4-2	58.2	1838	1520	68.56%	20.09%	11.35%	+1.68	+6.1	75
1996-04-01	Aberdeen	W 5-0	48.8	1824	1660	62.88%	21.51%	15.62%	+1.26	+25.0	70
1996-04-01	@ Celtic	L 0-5	48.8	1660	1824	15.62%	21.51%	62.88%	-1.26	-25.0	47
1996-04-06	Raith Rovers	L 2-3	60.8	1453	1514	35.59%	23.55%	40.86%	-0.11	-10.3	23
1996-04-06	@ Falkirk	W 3-2	60.8	1514	1453	40.86%	23.55%	35.59%	+0.11	+10.3	39
1996-04-06	Hibernian	W 3-0	46.8	1543	1527	46.41%	23.39%	30.21%	+0.36	+27.7	38
1996-04-06	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	46.8	1527	1543	30.21%	23.39%	46.41%	-0.36	-27.7	38
1996-04-10	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	74.4	1849	1526	74.77%	17.85%	7.38%	+2.24	-4.9	71
1996-04-10	@ Celtic	D 1-1	74.4	1526	1849	7.38%	17.85%	74.77%	-2.24	+4.9	35
1996-04-10	Rangers	W 2-0	64.4	1611	1844	16.90%	21.82%	61.28%	-1.16	+34.4	47
1996-04-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	64.4	1844	1611	61.28%	21.82%	16.90%	+1.16	-34.4	75
1996-04-13	Motherwell	W 2-1	59.8	1635	1571	52.38%	22.99%	24.63%	+0.65	+8.1	50
1996-04-13	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	59.8	1571	1635	24.63%	22.99%	52.38%	-0.65	-8.1	38
1996-04-13	Falkirk	W 1-0	45.5	1531	1443	55.14%	22.71%	22.14%	+0.80	+7.8	38
1996-04-13	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	45.5	1443	1531	22.14%	22.71%	55.14%	-0.80	-7.8	23
1996-04-13	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	57.2	1524	1646	27.81%	23.25%	48.94%	-0.48	-15.5	39
1996-04-13	@ Raith Rovers	W 3-1	57.2	1646	1524	48.94%	23.25%	27.81%	+0.48	+15.5	50
1996-04-13	Partick Thistle	W 5-0	42.8	1810	1454	76.62%	17.03%	6.35%	+2.43	+9.9	78
1996-04-13	@ Rangers	L 0-5	42.8	1454	1810	6.35%	17.03%	76.62%	-2.43	-9.9	29
1996-04-14	Celtic	L 1-2	56.5	1499	1844	9.97%	19.44%	70.59%	-1.85	-3.4	38
1996-04-14	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	56.5	1844	1499	70.59%	19.44%	9.97%	+1.85	+3.4	74
1996-04-16	Aberdeen	D 1-1	67.4	1444	1643	19.75%	22.37%	57.88%	-0.95	+2.7	30
1996-04-16	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	67.4	1643	1444	57.88%	22.37%	19.75%	+0.95	-2.6	51
1996-04-20	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.0	1640	1661	41.32%	23.54%	35.14%	+0.13	-0.4	52
1996-04-20	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	72.0	1661	1640	35.14%	23.54%	41.32%	-0.13	+0.4	51
1996-04-20	Falkirk	W 4-0	41.7	1848	1435	79.70%	15.49%	4.81%	+2.78	+5.9	77
1996-04-20	@ Celtic	L 0-4	41.7	1435	1848	4.81%	15.49%	79.70%	-2.78	-5.9	23
1996-04-20	Raith Rovers	D 1-1	64.0	1496	1509	42.37%	23.52%	34.11%	+0.18	-0.5	39
1996-04-20	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	64.0	1509	1496	34.11%	23.52%	42.37%	-0.18	+0.5	40
1996-04-20	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	51.9	1538	1447	55.51%	22.67%	21.82%	+0.82	+7.3	41
1996-04-20	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	51.9	1447	1538	21.82%	22.67%	55.51%	-0.82	-7.3	30
1996-04-20	Rangers	L 1-3	56.1	1563	1819	15.12%	21.38%	63.50%	-1.31	-9.0	38
1996-04-20	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	56.1	1819	1563	63.50%	21.38%	15.12%	+1.31	+9.0	81
1996-04-27	Hibernian	D 1-1	61.1	1429	1495	34.90%	23.54%	41.56%	-0.14	+0.4	24
1996-04-27	@ Falkirk	D 1-1	61.1	1495	1429	41.56%	23.54%	34.90%	+0.14	-0.4	40
1996-04-27	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	52.1	1662	1546	58.17%	22.32%	19.50%	+0.97	+7.0	54
1996-04-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	52.1	1546	1662	19.50%	22.32%	58.17%	-0.97	-7.0	41
1996-04-27	Celtic	L 2-4	55.5	1440	1854	7.21%	17.73%	75.06%	-2.27	-3.8	30
1996-04-27	@ Partick Thistle	W 4-2	55.5	1854	1440	75.06%	17.73%	7.21%	+2.27	+3.8	80
1996-04-27	Motherwell	W 2-0	51.0	1510	1554	37.97%	23.56%	38.47%	-0.01	+23.1	43
1996-04-27	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-2	51.0	1554	1510	38.47%	23.56%	37.97%	+0.01	-23.1	38
1996-04-28	Aberdeen	W 3-1	56.1	1828	1640	65.01%	21.04%	13.95%	+1.41	+8.3	84
1996-04-28	@ Rangers	L 1-3	56.1	1640	1828	13.95%	21.04%	65.01%	-1.41	-8.3	52
1996-05-04	Falkirk	W 2-1	51.5	1632	1429	66.19%	20.75%	13.07%	+1.50	+4.5	55
1996-05-04	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	51.5	1429	1632	13.07%	20.75%	66.19%	-1.50	-4.5	24
1996-05-04	Raith Rovers	W 4-1	50.0	1858	1533	74.85%	17.82%	7.33%	+2.25	+6.0	83
1996-05-04	@ Celtic	L 1-4	50.0	1533	1858	7.33%	17.82%	74.85%	-2.25	-6.0	43
1996-05-04	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	45.0	1495	1436	51.72%	23.05%	25.23%	+0.62	+8.7	43
1996-05-04	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	45.0	1436	1495	25.23%	23.05%	51.72%	-0.62	-8.7	30
1996-05-04	Rangers	L 0-3	47.0	1539	1837	12.45%	20.53%	67.02%	-1.56	-12.5	41
1996-05-04	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-0	47.0	1837	1539	67.02%	20.53%	12.45%	+1.56	+12.5	87
1996-05-04	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	70.3	1531	1669	25.91%	23.11%	50.98%	-0.58	+1.7	39
1996-05-04	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	70.3	1669	1531	50.98%	23.11%	25.91%	+0.58	-1.7	55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1996-01-20	8.91%	Heart of Midlothian	1589	3	@ Rangers	1873	0
2	1996-03-23	13.60%	Partick Thistle	1439	5	@ Heart of Midlothian	1632	2
3	1996-04-10	16.90%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1611	2	Rangers	1844	0
4	1996-01-23	19.48%	Partick Thistle	1447	2	@ Raith Rovers	1563	0
5	1996-02-13	19.83%	@ Motherwell	1461	1	Aberdeen	1659	0
6	1995-10-21	20.53%	Falkirk	1488	1	@ Raith Rovers	1592	0
7	1995-12-16	20.92%	Heart of Midlothian	1536	2	@ Aberdeen	1637	1
8	1995-09-23	23.26%	Hibernian	1636	1	@ Rangers	1713	0
9	1995-12-02	23.26%	@ Partick Thistle	1462	1	Aberdeen	1624	0
10	1995-11-11	24.17%	@ Falkirk	1507	2	Hibernian	1660	0
11	1996-03-16	24.65%	Partick Thistle	1424	2	@ Falkirk	1487	1
12	1996-01-13	24.70%	Partick Thistle	1422	2	@ Motherwell	1485	0
13	1996-01-23	26.06%	Motherwell	1448	1	@ Falkirk	1499	0
14	1995-11-18	26.21%	Partick Thistle	1487	1	@ Falkirk	1537	0
15	1995-12-16	27.71%	Raith Rovers	1564	2	@ Hibernian	1601	1
16	1996-02-10	29.20%	Aberdeen	1635	3	@ Heart of Midlothian	1660	1
17	1995-10-07	29.44%	Raith Rovers	1586	2	@ Motherwell	1609	0
18	1995-10-14	29.67%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1507	4	Raith Rovers	1613	2
19	1995-10-04	30.03%	@ Raith Rovers	1547	3	Hibernian	1650	0
20	1995-10-14	30.25%	Kilmarnock	1498	2	@ Falkirk	1515	0
21	1996-03-16	30.45%	Motherwell	1502	1	@ Kilmarnock	1516	0
22	1995-11-18	30.87%	@ Raith Rovers	1542	1	Aberdeen	1639	0
23	1995-11-19	31.87%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1541	2	Hibernian	1630	1
24	1996-02-03	32.71%	@ Falkirk	1484	4	Kilmarnock	1566	2
25	1995-09-10	33.62%	Celtic	1636	3	@ Aberdeen	1626	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1996-01-20	57.88	Heart of Midlothian	3	1589	8.91%	@ Rangers	0	1873	72.23%	18.86%
2	1995-09-23	40.04	Celtic	4	1646	42.22%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1575	34.26%	23.52%
3	1995-12-09	39.75	@ Kilmarnock	4	1522	42.54%	Falkirk	0	1535	33.95%	23.52%
4	1995-10-04	39.12	@ Raith Rovers	3	1547	30.03%	Hibernian	0	1650	46.59%	23.38%
5	1996-03-23	38.79	Partick Thistle	5	1439	13.60%	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1632	65.48%	20.92%
6	1995-11-04	38.51	@ Kilmarnock	5	1514	35.25%	Raith Rovers	1	1577	41.21%	23.54%
7	1995-12-09	37.39	Celtic	4	1730	45.13%	@ Hibernian	0	1638	31.43%	23.44%
8	1996-01-09	35.31	Falkirk	3	1479	35.34%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1457	41.12%	23.54%
9	1996-04-10	34.40	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1611	16.90%	Rangers	0	1844	61.28%	21.82%
10	1996-01-10	34.06	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1553	48.73%	Motherwell	0	1519	28.01%	23.26%
11	1995-09-09	33.03	Hibernian	3	1604	38.70%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1558	37.74%	23.56%
12	1996-01-23	32.80	Partick Thistle	2	1447	19.48%	@ Raith Rovers	0	1563	58.21%	22.32%
13	1996-03-02	32.28	Raith Rovers	3	1510	39.83%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1456	36.61%	23.56%
14	1995-11-04	31.87	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1498	40.43%	Partick Thistle	0	1525	36.02%	23.55%
15	1995-11-11	30.07	@ Falkirk	2	1507	24.17%	Hibernian	0	1660	52.88%	22.95%
16	1996-01-13	29.77	Partick Thistle	2	1422	24.70%	@ Motherwell	0	1485	52.30%	23.00%
17	1996-04-06	27.73	@ Motherwell	3	1543	46.41%	Hibernian	0	1527	30.21%	23.39%
18	1995-10-07	27.24	Raith Rovers	2	1586	29.44%	@ Motherwell	0	1609	47.22%	23.35%
19	1995-10-14	27.13	Rangers	4	1740	55.95%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1559	21.43%	22.62%
20	1995-10-14	26.82	Kilmarnock	2	1498	30.25%	@ Falkirk	0	1515	46.36%	23.39%
21	1995-09-09	25.07	@ Rangers	4	1672	58.05%	Raith Rovers	0	1557	19.61%	22.34%
22	1995-09-30	25.05	Rangers	2	1697	33.81%	@ Celtic	0	1686	42.68%	23.51%
23	1996-04-01	25.03	@ Celtic	5	1824	62.88%	Aberdeen	0	1660	15.62%	21.51%
24	1995-09-09	24.45	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1572	44.61%	Falkirk	1	1569	31.93%	23.46%
25	1995-09-30	24.40	@ Aberdeen	3	1624	51.03%	Raith Rovers	0	1572	25.86%	23.10%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1995-11-19	83.6	@ Rangers	3	1790	53.97%	Celtic	3	1712	23.19%	22.84%
2	1995-10-28	79.0	@ Raith Rovers	2	1575	19.54%	Rangers	2	1776	58.14%	22.33%
3	1995-10-14	78.2	@ Celtic	2	1677	51.69%	Hibernian	2	1619	25.26%	23.05%
4	1995-10-01	76.4	@ Hibernian	2	1652	58.33%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1535	19.37%	22.30%
5	1996-03-16	76.3	@ Raith Rovers	2	1542	28.90%	Aberdeen	2	1655	47.79%	23.32%
6	1996-04-10	74.4	@ Celtic	1	1849	74.77%	Kilmarnock	1	1526	7.38%	17.85%
7	1995-11-11	73.7	@ Rangers	1	1793	62.31%	Aberdeen	1	1635	16.07%	21.62%
8	1996-03-17	73.7	@ Rangers	1	1837	45.41%	Celtic	1	1828	31.16%	23.43%
9	1996-04-20	72.0	@ Aberdeen	1	1640	41.32%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1661	35.14%	23.54%
10	1995-09-10	71.8	Celtic	3	1636	33.62%	@ Aberdeen	2	1626	42.87%	23.51%
11	1995-09-16	71.3	@ Hibernian	1	1637	47.32%	Aberdeen	1	1614	29.34%	23.34%
12	1995-09-16	71.2	@ Celtic	1	1647	51.10%	Motherwell	1	1594	25.80%	23.10%
13	1996-05-04	70.3	@ Motherwell	1	1531	25.91%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1669	50.98%	23.11%
14	1996-01-23	70.1	@ Kilmarnock	1	1566	35.38%	Aberdeen	1	1628	41.08%	23.54%
15	1996-03-16	69.7	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1635	56.84%	Hibernian	1	1532	20.66%	22.51%
16	1995-08-26	69.5	Aberdeen	3	1615	36.98%	@ Falkirk	2	1581	39.46%	23.56%
17	1995-08-26	69.5	@ Partick Thistle	1	1566	38.92%	Hibernian	1	1604	37.52%	23.56%
18	1995-08-26	69.4	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1573	41.15%	Motherwell	1	1595	35.31%	23.54%
19	1995-09-09	69.3	@ Motherwell	1	1595	48.03%	Partick Thistle	1	1566	28.66%	23.30%
20	1996-01-03	68.8	@ Celtic	0	1771	33.16%	Rangers	0	1850	43.34%	23.50%
21	1996-03-23	68.6	@ Motherwell	0	1516	11.60%	Celtic	0	1829	68.21%	20.19%
22	1995-12-16	68.5	Heart of Midlothian	2	1536	20.92%	@ Aberdeen	1	1637	56.53%	22.55%
23	1995-12-19	68.5	@ Motherwell	0	1518	12.20%	Rangers	0	1821	67.36%	20.43%
24	1996-01-16	68.5	@ Falkirk	1	1507	28.28%	Aberdeen	1	1624	48.44%	23.28%
25	1996-01-20	68.3	@ Kilmarnock	0	1562	16.34%	Celtic	0	1802	61.97%	21.69%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1996-04-20	41.7	@ Celtic	4	1848	79.70%	Falkirk	0	1435	4.81%	15.49%
2	1996-02-24	42.7	@ Celtic	4	1797	75.30%	Partick Thistle	0	1465	7.08%	17.63%
3	1996-04-13	42.8	@ Rangers	5	1810	76.62%	Partick Thistle	0	1454	6.35%	17.03%
4	1995-09-30	44.6	@ Motherwell	3	1595	56.36%	Kilmarnock	0	1496	21.07%	22.57%
5	1996-01-06	44.9	Rangers	4	1850	71.48%	@ Falkirk	0	1491	9.38%	19.13%
6	1995-11-22	45.0	@ Hibernian	3	1617	58.06%	Partick Thistle	0	1502	19.60%	22.34%
7	1996-03-02	45.0	Raith Rovers	3	1510	39.83%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1456	36.61%	23.56%
8	1996-05-04	45.0	@ Hibernian	1	1495	51.72%	Partick Thistle	0	1436	25.23%	23.05%
9	1996-01-13	45.1	@ Rangers	4	1862	73.08%	Raith Rovers	0	1565	8.38%	18.54%
10	1996-01-09	45.2	Falkirk	3	1479	35.34%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1457	41.12%	23.54%
11	1996-04-13	45.5	@ Kilmarnock	1	1531	55.14%	Falkirk	0	1443	22.14%	22.71%
12	1995-12-26	45.7	@ Rangers	3	1816	71.05%	Kilmarnock	0	1550	9.66%	19.28%
13	1996-01-10	45.8	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1553	48.73%	Motherwell	0	1519	28.01%	23.26%
14	1995-10-21	46.7	@ Aberdeen	3	1635	56.72%	Partick Thistle	0	1532	20.76%	22.52%
15	1996-01-20	46.8	@ Aberdeen	1	1623	63.43%	Partick Thistle	0	1452	15.18%	21.39%
16	1996-04-06	46.8	@ Motherwell	3	1543	46.41%	Hibernian	0	1527	30.21%	23.39%
17	1995-11-04	46.9	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1498	40.43%	Partick Thistle	0	1525	36.02%	23.55%
18	1996-03-02	47.0	@ Aberdeen	3	1634	56.16%	Kilmarnock	0	1537	21.25%	22.59%
19	1996-05-04	47.0	Rangers	3	1837	67.02%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1539	12.45%	20.53%
20	1995-12-09	47.1	@ Kilmarnock	4	1522	42.54%	Falkirk	0	1535	33.95%	23.52%
21	1995-11-04	47.2	@ Rangers	2	1774	69.76%	Falkirk	0	1526	10.52%	19.72%
22	1995-09-09	47.3	@ Rangers	4	1672	58.05%	Raith Rovers	0	1557	19.61%	22.34%
23	1995-12-30	47.7	@ Rangers	7	1826	69.08%	Hibernian	0	1587	10.99%	19.93%
24	1996-03-30	47.7	Heart of Midlothian	2	1594	49.15%	@ Falkirk	0	1471	27.61%	23.24%
25	1995-10-28	48.3	@ Falkirk	2	1505	42.24%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1519	34.24%	23.52%