1996-97 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

80 points · 47th Title

Last Title: 1995-96

Relegated

Raith Rovers

25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Dundee United

12.63 points above expected

60 points · 47.37 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Raith Rovers

10.44 points below expected

25 points · 35.44 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rangers Champion	36	25	5	6	80	85	33	+52	78.85	+1.15
2	Celtic	36	23	6	7	75	78	32	+46	75.19	-0.19
3	Dundee United	36	17	9	10	60	46	33	+13	47.37	+12.63
4	Heart of Midlothian	36	14	10	12	52	46	43	+3	53.79	-1.79
5	Dunfermline Athletic	36	12	9	15	45	52	65	-13	36.56	+8.44
6	Aberdeen	36	10	14	12	44	45	54	-9	51.59	-7.59
7	Kilmarnock	36	11	6	19	39	41	61	-20	38.94	+0.06
8	Motherwell	36	9	11	16	38	44	55	-11	41.85	-3.85
9	Hibernian	36	9	11	16	38	38	55	-17	39.65	-1.65
10	Raith Rovers Relegated	36	6	7	23	25	29	73	-44	35.44	-10.44

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dundee United	60	47.37	+12.63
2	Dunfermline Athletic	45	36.56	+8.44
3	Rangers	80	78.85	+1.15
4	Kilmarnock	39	38.94	+0.06
5	Celtic	75	75.19	-0.19

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Raith Rovers	25	35.44	-10.44
2	Aberdeen	44	51.59	-7.59
3	Motherwell	38	41.85	-3.85
4	Heart of Midlothian	52	53.79	-1.79
5	Hibernian	38	39.65	-1.65

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kilmarnock	4	Mar 11 – Apr 5	1 in 1,158
2	Dundee United	7	Dec 26 – Feb 1	1 in 882
3	Rangers	7	Aug 10 – Sep 28	1 in 29
4	Heart of Midlothian	4	Dec 26 – Jan 4	1 in 20
5	Hibernian	2	Sep 14 – Sep 21	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kilmarnock	5	Jan 21 – Mar 5	1 in 42
2	Dundee United	5	Aug 17 – Sep 21	1 in 35
3	Raith Rovers	5	Aug 10 – Sep 14	1 in 28
4	Celtic	2	Mar 11 – Mar 16	1 in 27
5	Motherwell	4	Dec 21 – Jan 4	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dundee United	13	Dec 26 – Mar 22	1 in 217
2	Kilmarnock	5	Mar 11 – Apr 19	1 in 63
3	Motherwell	5	Apr 5 – May 10	1 in 28
4	Raith Rovers	4	Nov 23 – Dec 11	1 in 17
5	Dunfermline Athletic	4	Aug 24 – Sep 14	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	4	Mar 11 – Apr 5	1 in 59
2	Heart of Midlothian	6	Nov 16 – Dec 21	1 in 29
3	Aberdeen	9	Feb 8 – Apr 20	1 in 28
4	Hibernian	10	Dec 26 – Mar 1	1 in 28
5	Motherwell	6	Dec 11 – Jan 4	1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Rangers	1822	80	-25	9	11.2	-2.2
Celtic	1821	75	+16	11	11.3	-0.3
Dundee United	1657	60	-30	4	6.8	-2.8
Heart of Midlothian	1651	52	-1	5	7.5	-2.5
Dunfermline Athletic	1538	45	+7	6	5.3	+0.7
Aberdeen	1548	44	+3	6	6.3	-0.3
Kilmarnock	1533	39	+0	6	5.9	+0.1
Motherwell	1564	38	+49	9	6.0	+3.0
Hibernian	1535	38	+14	6	5.7	+0.3
Raith Rovers	1403	25	-34	2	3.5	-1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DU	DA	HOM	HIB	KIL	MOT	RR	RAN
Aberdeen	—	0-1-3 3.02	0-2-2 6.04	2-0-2 7.20	2-2-0 4.85	1-1-2 7.00	2-1-1 6.78	0-4-0 6.63	3-1-0 7.48	0-2-2 2.60
Celtic	3-1-0 8.10	—	3-0-1 8.42	3-1-0 9.32	2-2-0 8.06	4-0-0 9.04	2-1-1 9.15	3-0-1 9.04	3-1-0 9.54	0-0-4 5.23
Dundee United	2-2-0 4.96	1-0-3 2.72	—	2-2-0 6.67	3-0-1 4.85	0-2-2 6.89	3-1-0 6.51	2-2-0 6.03	2-0-2 7.03	2-0-2 2.62
Dunfermline Athletic	2-0-2 3.83	0-1-3 1.96	0-2-2 4.34	—	1-1-2 3.72	1-2-1 5.13	2-1-1 5.02	2-2-0 4.83	4-0-0 5.81	0-0-4 1.84
Heart of Midlothian	0-2-2 6.14	0-2-2 3.03	1-0-3 6.14	2-1-1 7.31	—	3-1-0 6.85	2-0-2 7.28	3-1-0 6.76	2-2-0 7.85	1-1-2 2.73
Hibernian	2-1-1 4.03	0-0-4 2.20	2-2-0 4.13	1-2-1 5.85	0-1-3 4.17	—	0-1-3 5.55	1-2-1 5.26	2-2-0 6.35	1-0-3 1.86
Kilmarnock	1-1-2 4.24	1-1-2 2.10	0-1-3 4.48	1-1-2 5.97	2-0-2 3.75	3-1-0 5.42	—	1-0-3 5.31	1-0-3 6.20	1-1-2 1.88
Motherwell	0-4-0 4.38	1-0-3 2.19	0-2-2 4.96	0-2-2 6.16	0-1-3 4.24	1-2-1 5.71	3-0-1 5.67	—	3-0-1 6.18	1-0-3 2.18
Raith Rovers	0-1-3 3.58	0-1-3 1.78	2-0-2 4.03	0-0-4 5.16	0-2-2 3.24	0-2-2 4.64	3-0-1 4.79	1-0-3 4.82	—	0-1-3 1.74
Rangers	2-2-0 8.57	4-0-0 5.74	2-0-2 8.55	4-0-0 9.47	2-1-1 8.41	3-0-1 9.45	2-1-1 9.43	3-0-1 9.07	3-1-0 9.60	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.87	+9.3
Allowed	0.82	-10.9
Differential	0.98	+5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.11%	8.89%	5.83%	3.06%	1.94%	1.67%	27.50%
1	8.89%	11.11%	6.67%	3.89%	1.67%	0.56%	32.78%
2	5.83%	6.67%	6.67%	1.94%	1.11%	0.28%	22.50%
3	3.06%	3.89%	1.94%	0.56%	0.28%	—	9.72%
4	1.94%	1.67%	1.11%	0.28%	—	—	5.00%
5+	1.67%	0.56%	0.28%	—	—	—	2.50%
Total	27.50%	32.78%	22.50%	9.72%	5.00%	2.50%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.40	1.40	+0.00
SD	1.28	1.28	1.97
CV	0.91	0.91	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	38.89%
1	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
2	2.78%	5.56%	16.67%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	5.56%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	22.22%	27.78%	16.67%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.50	-0.25
SD	1.25	1.23	1.95
CV	1.00	0.82	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
2	8.33%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	30.56%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	38.89%	36.11%	22.22%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.17	0.89	+1.28
SD	1.63	0.85	2.02
CV	0.75	0.96	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
1	16.67%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	38.89%
2	11.11%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	44.44%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	0.92	+0.36
SD	1.06	0.91	1.38
CV	0.83	0.99	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	19.44%
1	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	30.56%
2	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	36.11%
3	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	36.11%	22.22%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.81	-0.36
SD	0.97	1.35	1.81
CV	0.67	0.75	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
1	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	30.56%
2	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	27.78%	30.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.19	+0.08
SD	1.23	1.12	1.70
CV	0.97	0.93	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	5.56%	2.78%	25.00%
1	8.33%	22.22%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	52.78%
2	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	36.11%	11.11%	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.53	-0.47
SD	0.86	1.48	1.78
CV	0.81	0.97	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	30.56%
1	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	30.56%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	27.78%	25.00%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.69	-0.56
SD	0.99	1.43	1.78
CV	0.87	0.84	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	5.56%	36.11%
1	2.78%	16.67%	—	8.33%	2.78%	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	19.44%	41.67%	19.44%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.53	-0.31
SD	1.35	1.32	2.08
CV	1.11	0.86	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	38.89%
1	8.33%	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	44.44%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	30.56%	30.56%	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	2.03	-1.22
SD	0.79	1.48	1.76
CV	0.98	0.73	—
Max	3	6	+1
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
1	16.67%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
2	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
4	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
5+	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	44.44%	25.00%	25.00%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.36	0.92	+1.44
SD	1.61	0.97	1.96
CV	0.68	1.06	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rangers	1822	80	78.85	+1.15	56.0%	56	67	74	79	84	89	94
Celtic	1821	75	75.19	-0.19	55.0%	54	60	70	74	82	87	91
Dundee United	1657	60	47.37	+12.63	100.0%	29	37	42	47	53	57	59
Heart of Midlothian	1651	52	53.79	-1.79	39.0%	37	40	48	55	60	64	67
Motherwell	1564	38	41.85	-3.85	32.0%	22	31	37	41	47	53	58
Aberdeen	1548	44	51.59	-7.59	18.0%	33	37	47	52	56	63	69
Dunfermline Athletic	1538	45	36.56	+8.44	94.0%	17	25	32	37	41	46	55
Hibernian	1535	38	39.65	-1.65	45.0%	26	27	34	40	45	50	58
Kilmarnock	1533	39	38.94	+0.06	57.0%	23	28	34	39	43	51	58
Raith Rovers	1403	25	35.44	-10.44	7.0%	17	24	31	35	40	47	50

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+14.44%

Slight Edge

45.00%24.44%30.56%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 50.54 Elo pts.

186 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.37 goals

Neutral

-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.8

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

66%

Rangers, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.14/gm

Tight Race

00.250.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.73 * Some Luck: 5.73 to 8.59 * Lucky: 8.59 to 11.45 * Wild Swing: 11.45 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.95 * Close: 0.95 to 1.43 * Off: 1.43 to 1.9 * Way Off: 1.9 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.69 * A Surprise: 0.69 to 1.1 * Several Surprises: 1.1 to 1.52 * Many Surprises: 1.52 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.47 points

Some Luck

07.1618

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.40

01.192.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

100.00%

Dundee United

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

7.00%

Raith Rovers

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

0 of 1

As Expected

00.71

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Top-Heavy

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 132.89

2.19

Strong Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

67%

Slight Edge

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

92%

Clear Edge

50%93%100%

Close Games

Expected

60%

Frequent

0%55%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Occasional

0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.42

Slight Separation

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.90

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.52

Weak Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Shaky Favorites

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.80

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.89

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.087

Well Within Noise

00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Rangers	66.00%	32.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	34.00%	61.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee United	—	—	13.00%	28.00%	18.00%	15.00%	16.00%	7.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Heart of Midlothian	—	5.00%	43.00%	18.00%	19.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
Dunfermline Athletic	—	—	—	2.00%	7.00%	11.00%	13.00%	21.00%	18.00%	28.00%
Aberdeen	—	2.00%	33.00%	23.00%	23.00%	8.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	1.00%	10.00%	6.00%	12.00%	18.00%	19.00%	20.00%	14.00%
Motherwell	—	—	5.00%	9.00%	14.00%	16.00%	21.00%	17.00%	10.00%	8.00%
Hibernian	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	9.00%	21.00%	10.00%	15.00%	22.00%	17.00%
Raith Rovers	—	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	11.00%	13.00%	14.00%	25.00%	31.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Aberdeen	98.00%	2.00%	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	98.00%	2.00%	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
Dundee United	97.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Motherwell	82.00%	10.00%	8.00%
Kilmarnock	66.00%	20.00%	14.00%
Hibernian	61.00%	22.00%	17.00%
Dunfermline Athletic	54.00%	18.00%	28.00%
Raith Rovers	44.00%	25.00%	31.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1996-08-10	Celtic	D 2-2	77.9	1628	1792	23.32%	24.63%	52.05%	-0.61	+0.9	1
1996-08-10	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	77.9	1792	1628	52.05%	24.63%	23.32%	+0.61	-0.9	1
1996-08-10	Motherwell	D 1-1	66.2	1548	1555	43.46%	25.70%	30.84%	+0.23	-0.5	1
1996-08-10	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	66.2	1555	1548	30.84%	25.70%	43.46%	-0.23	+0.5	1
1996-08-10	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	61.7	1534	1550	42.22%	25.78%	32.00%	+0.19	-8.1	0
1996-08-10	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	61.7	1550	1534	32.00%	25.78%	42.22%	-0.19	+8.1	3
1996-08-10	Raith Rovers	W 1-0	50.1	1781	1550	69.93%	18.91%	11.16%	+1.52	+2.5	3
1996-08-10	@ Rangers	L 0-1	50.1	1550	1781	11.16%	18.91%	69.93%	-1.52	-2.5	0
1996-08-17	Raith Rovers	W 4-1	50.2	1791	1547	71.07%	18.38%	10.55%	+1.59	+5.5	4
1996-08-17	@ Celtic	L 1-4	50.2	1547	1791	10.55%	18.38%	71.07%	-1.59	-5.5	0
1996-08-17	Hibernian	L 0-1	57.1	1548	1526	47.31%	25.34%	27.35%	+0.39	-9.4	1
1996-08-17	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	57.1	1526	1548	27.35%	25.34%	47.31%	-0.39	+9.4	3
1996-08-17	Rangers	L 2-5	53.4	1485	1783	13.16%	20.42%	66.42%	-1.33	-6.1	0
1996-08-17	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 5-2	53.4	1783	1485	66.42%	20.42%	13.16%	+1.33	+6.1	6
1996-08-17	Kilmarnock	W 3-2	63.3	1649	1558	55.81%	23.84%	20.35%	+0.76	+4.2	3
1996-08-17	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	63.3	1558	1649	20.35%	23.84%	55.81%	-0.76	-4.2	3
1996-08-17	Aberdeen	D 2-2	74.4	1556	1629	34.22%	25.88%	39.90%	-0.12	+0.2	2
1996-08-17	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	74.4	1629	1556	39.90%	25.88%	34.22%	+0.12	-0.2	2
1996-08-24	Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	58.8	1535	1479	51.72%	24.69%	23.59%	+0.58	-1.4	4
1996-08-24	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	58.8	1479	1535	23.59%	24.69%	51.72%	-0.58	+1.4	1
1996-08-24	Celtic	L 1-3	55.9	1554	1797	16.66%	22.42%	60.92%	-1.04	-6.3	3
1996-08-24	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	55.9	1797	1554	60.92%	22.42%	16.66%	+1.04	+6.3	7
1996-08-24	Motherwell	L 0-3	51.7	1542	1556	42.48%	25.76%	31.76%	+0.20	-23.5	0
1996-08-24	@ Raith Rovers	W 3-0	51.7	1556	1542	31.76%	25.76%	42.48%	-0.20	+23.5	5
1996-08-24	Dundee United	W 1-0	49.5	1789	1538	71.66%	18.10%	10.24%	+1.63	+2.3	9
1996-08-24	@ Rangers	L 0-1	49.5	1538	1789	10.24%	18.10%	71.66%	-1.63	-2.3	1
1996-08-25	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	52.9	1629	1653	41.04%	25.84%	33.13%	+0.14	+25.5	5
1996-08-25	@ Aberdeen	L 0-4	52.9	1653	1629	33.13%	25.84%	41.04%	-0.14	-25.5	3
1996-09-07	Hibernian	W 5-0	44.4	1803	1534	73.15%	17.37%	9.48%	+1.72	+9.2	10
1996-09-07	@ Celtic	L 0-5	44.4	1534	1803	9.48%	17.37%	73.15%	-1.72	-9.2	4
1996-09-07	Dundee United	W 1-0	51.3	1628	1536	55.94%	23.81%	20.25%	+0.77	+4.7	6
1996-09-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	51.3	1536	1628	20.25%	23.81%	55.94%	-0.77	-4.7	1
1996-09-07	Dunfermline Athletic	D 2-2	69.9	1548	1480	53.05%	24.44%	22.51%	+0.63	-1.0	4
1996-09-07	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	69.9	1480	1548	22.51%	24.44%	53.05%	-0.63	+1.0	2
1996-09-07	Rangers	L 0-1	54.2	1580	1792	19.01%	23.39%	57.60%	-0.87	-4.4	5
1996-09-07	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	54.2	1792	1580	57.60%	23.39%	19.01%	+0.87	+4.4	12
1996-09-07	Aberdeen	L 1-4	54.2	1518	1654	26.37%	25.20%	48.43%	-0.46	-13.7	0
1996-09-07	@ Raith Rovers	W 4-1	54.2	1654	1518	48.43%	25.20%	26.37%	+0.46	+13.7	8
1996-09-10	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	64.9	1481	1632	24.72%	24.92%	50.36%	-0.54	+9.3	5
1996-09-10	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	64.9	1632	1481	50.36%	24.92%	24.72%	+0.54	-9.3	6
1996-09-14	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	46.6	1668	1547	59.18%	22.95%	17.87%	+0.92	+11.4	11
1996-09-14	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	46.6	1547	1668	17.87%	22.95%	59.18%	-0.92	-11.4	4
1996-09-14	Celtic	L 1-2	57.4	1531	1812	14.14%	21.06%	64.81%	-1.24	-3.1	1
1996-09-14	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	57.4	1812	1531	64.81%	21.06%	14.14%	+1.24	+3.1	13
1996-09-14	Motherwell	D 1-1	64.9	1491	1575	32.67%	25.82%	41.51%	-0.18	+0.4	6
1996-09-14	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	64.9	1575	1491	41.51%	25.82%	32.67%	+0.18	-0.4	6
1996-09-14	Raith Rovers	W 1-0	49.5	1525	1504	47.15%	25.36%	27.49%	+0.38	+6.1	7
1996-09-14	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	49.5	1504	1525	27.49%	25.36%	47.15%	-0.38	-6.1	0
1996-09-14	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	47.5	1796	1623	64.54%	21.16%	14.30%	+1.20	+9.1	15
1996-09-14	@ Rangers	L 0-3	47.5	1623	1796	14.30%	21.16%	64.54%	-1.20	-9.1	6
1996-09-21	Hibernian	L 0-2	61.4	1679	1531	62.06%	22.04%	15.90%	+1.07	-22.2	11
1996-09-21	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	61.4	1531	1679	15.90%	22.04%	62.06%	-1.07	+22.2	10
1996-09-21	Dunfermline Athletic	W 5-1	46.3	1816	1491	77.40%	15.15%	7.45%	+2.02	+4.7	16
1996-09-21	@ Celtic	L 1-5	46.3	1491	1816	7.45%	15.15%	77.40%	-2.02	-4.7	6
1996-09-21	Motherwell	D 1-1	68.8	1614	1575	49.60%	25.04%	25.37%	+0.48	-1.0	7
1996-09-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	68.8	1575	1614	25.37%	25.04%	49.60%	-0.48	+1.0	7
1996-09-21	Rangers	L 1-4	52.5	1535	1805	14.85%	21.48%	63.68%	-1.18	-8.0	4
1996-09-21	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-1	52.5	1805	1535	63.68%	21.48%	14.85%	+1.18	+8.0	18
1996-09-21	Dundee United	W 3-2	62.4	1498	1528	40.32%	25.87%	33.82%	+0.11	+6.5	3
1996-09-21	@ Raith Rovers	L 2-3	62.4	1528	1498	33.82%	25.87%	40.32%	-0.11	-6.5	1
1996-09-28	Aberdeen	W 1-0	60.5	1522	1657	26.44%	25.21%	48.35%	-0.46	+9.5	4
1996-09-28	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	60.5	1657	1522	48.35%	25.21%	26.44%	+0.46	-9.5	11
1996-09-28	Raith Rovers	W 3-1	52.6	1486	1505	41.92%	25.80%	32.29%	+0.17	+11.4	9
1996-09-28	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-3	52.6	1505	1486	32.29%	25.80%	41.92%	-0.17	-11.4	3
1996-09-28	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	59.6	1553	1613	36.03%	25.92%	38.05%	-0.05	-12.4	10
1996-09-28	@ Hibernian	W 3-1	59.6	1613	1553	38.05%	25.92%	36.03%	+0.05	+12.4	10
1996-09-28	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	51.1	1576	1527	50.74%	24.86%	24.40%	+0.53	+5.5	10
1996-09-28	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	51.1	1527	1576	24.40%	24.86%	50.74%	-0.53	-5.5	4
1996-09-28	Celtic	W 2-0	56.4	1813	1820	43.46%	25.70%	30.84%	+0.23	+12.7	21
1996-09-28	@ Rangers	L 0-2	56.4	1820	1813	30.84%	25.70%	43.46%	-0.23	-12.7	16
1996-10-12	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	44.0	1647	1498	62.20%	22.00%	15.81%	+1.08	+10.1	14
1996-10-12	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	44.0	1498	1647	15.81%	22.00%	62.20%	-1.08	-10.1	9
1996-10-12	Motherwell	W 1-0	50.7	1808	1581	69.51%	19.10%	11.39%	+1.49	+2.6	19
1996-10-12	@ Celtic	L 0-1	50.7	1581	1808	11.39%	19.10%	69.51%	-1.49	-2.6	10
1996-10-12	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	59.9	1531	1522	45.70%	25.51%	28.79%	+0.32	-0.8	5
1996-10-12	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	59.9	1522	1531	28.79%	25.51%	45.70%	-0.32	+0.8	5
1996-10-12	Rangers	W 2-1	72.9	1541	1826	13.91%	20.91%	65.18%	-1.26	+11.5	13
1996-10-12	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	72.9	1826	1541	65.18%	20.91%	13.91%	+1.26	-11.6	21
1996-10-12	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	66.8	1493	1625	26.80%	25.26%	47.94%	-0.44	+0.9	4
1996-10-12	@ Raith Rovers	D 1-1	66.8	1625	1493	47.94%	25.26%	26.80%	+0.44	-0.9	11
1996-10-19	Dundee United	D 1-1	63.1	1488	1530	38.49%	25.91%	35.60%	+0.04	-0.1	10
1996-10-19	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	63.1	1530	1488	35.60%	25.91%	38.49%	-0.04	+0.1	6
1996-10-19	Raith Rovers	W 2-1	54.4	1523	1494	48.19%	25.23%	26.58%	+0.43	+5.6	8
1996-10-19	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	54.4	1494	1523	26.58%	25.23%	48.19%	-0.43	-5.6	4
1996-10-19	Hibernian	D 1-1	67.2	1579	1552	47.94%	25.26%	26.79%	+0.41	-0.9	11
1996-10-19	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	67.2	1552	1579	26.79%	25.26%	47.94%	-0.41	+0.9	14
1996-10-19	Aberdeen	D 2-2	79.0	1814	1657	62.94%	21.74%	15.32%	+1.12	-1.6	22
1996-10-19	@ Rangers	D 2-2	79.0	1657	1814	15.32%	21.74%	62.94%	-1.12	+1.6	15
1996-10-20	Celtic	D 2-2	78.2	1624	1810	21.30%	24.12%	54.58%	-0.73	+1.1	12
1996-10-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	78.2	1810	1624	54.58%	24.12%	21.30%	+0.73	-1.1	20
1996-10-26	Raith Rovers	W 1-0	48.3	1659	1489	64.29%	21.25%	14.46%	+1.19	+3.4	18
1996-10-26	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	48.3	1489	1659	14.46%	21.25%	64.29%	-1.19	-3.4	4
1996-10-26	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	58.5	1531	1626	31.27%	25.73%	43.00%	-0.24	+8.7	9
1996-10-26	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	58.5	1626	1531	43.00%	25.73%	31.27%	+0.24	-8.7	12
1996-10-26	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	57.2	1488	1528	38.78%	25.91%	35.31%	+0.05	+7.1	13
1996-10-26	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	57.2	1528	1488	35.31%	25.91%	38.78%	-0.05	-7.0	8
1996-10-26	Celtic	L 0-4	47.4	1553	1809	15.76%	21.97%	62.28%	-1.11	-13.1	14
1996-10-26	@ Hibernian	W 4-0	47.4	1809	1553	62.28%	21.97%	15.76%	+1.11	+13.1	23
1996-10-26	Motherwell	W 5-0	45.7	1813	1578	70.26%	18.76%	10.98%	+1.54	+10.9	25
1996-10-26	@ Rangers	L 0-5	45.7	1578	1813	10.98%	18.76%	70.26%	-1.54	-10.9	11
1996-11-01	Hibernian	W 4-2	59.3	1521	1540	41.85%	25.80%	32.35%	+0.17	+10.2	11
1996-11-01	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-4	59.3	1540	1521	32.35%	25.80%	41.85%	-0.17	-10.2	14
1996-11-02	Aberdeen	W 1-0	53.1	1822	1662	63.25%	21.63%	15.12%	+1.13	+3.5	26
1996-11-02	@ Celtic	L 0-1	53.1	1662	1822	15.12%	21.63%	63.25%	-1.13	-3.5	18
1996-11-02	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	45.7	1617	1495	59.33%	22.90%	17.77%	+0.93	+7.8	15
1996-11-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	45.7	1495	1617	17.77%	22.90%	59.33%	-0.93	-7.8	13
1996-11-02	Dundee United	L 1-3	61.3	1567	1539	48.11%	25.24%	26.65%	+0.42	-15.5	11
1996-11-02	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	61.3	1539	1567	26.65%	25.24%	48.11%	-0.42	+15.5	12
1996-11-02	Rangers	D 2-2	78.7	1485	1824	11.08%	18.85%	70.07%	-1.55	+2.0	5
1996-11-02	@ Raith Rovers	D 2-2	78.7	1824	1485	70.07%	18.85%	11.08%	+1.55	-2.0	26
1996-11-11	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	53.4	1551	1625	34.16%	25.88%	39.97%	-0.12	-13.7	11
1996-11-11	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	53.4	1625	1551	39.97%	25.88%	34.16%	+0.12	+13.7	18
1996-11-14	Rangers	L 0-1	63.6	1826	1822	45.00%	25.58%	29.42%	+0.29	-9.0	26
1996-11-14	@ Celtic	W 1-0	63.6	1822	1826	29.42%	25.58%	45.00%	-0.29	+9.0	29
1996-11-16	Dundee United	D 3-3	79.8	1659	1555	57.33%	23.46%	19.21%	+0.83	-1.0	19
1996-11-16	@ Aberdeen	D 3-3	79.8	1555	1659	19.21%	23.46%	57.33%	-0.83	+1.0	13
1996-11-16	Hibernian	D 0-0	64.2	1638	1530	57.83%	23.33%	18.84%	+0.86	-1.9	19
1996-11-16	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	64.2	1530	1638	18.84%	23.33%	57.83%	-0.86	+1.9	15
1996-11-16	Motherwell	L 2-4	62.9	1531	1538	43.59%	25.69%	30.72%	+0.24	-12.8	11
1996-11-16	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-2	62.9	1538	1531	30.72%	25.69%	43.59%	-0.24	+12.8	14
1996-11-16	Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	58.3	1487	1487	44.50%	25.62%	29.88%	+0.27	-8.4	5
1996-11-16	@ Raith Rovers	W 2-1	58.3	1487	1487	29.88%	25.62%	44.50%	-0.27	+8.4	16
1996-11-23	Raith Rovers	L 1-2	63.1	1556	1479	54.20%	24.20%	21.60%	+0.69	-9.9	13
1996-11-23	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	63.1	1479	1556	21.60%	24.20%	54.20%	-0.69	+9.9	8
1996-11-23	Aberdeen	L 0-1	54.6	1532	1658	27.49%	25.36%	47.15%	-0.41	-6.1	15
1996-11-23	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	54.6	1658	1532	47.15%	25.36%	27.49%	+0.41	+6.1	22
1996-11-30	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	79.2	1817	1636	65.25%	20.88%	13.86%	+1.24	-1.7	27
1996-11-30	@ Celtic	D 2-2	79.2	1636	1817	13.86%	20.88%	65.25%	-1.24	+1.8	20
1996-11-30	Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	64.3	1546	1495	51.02%	24.81%	24.17%	+0.55	-1.2	14
1996-11-30	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	64.3	1495	1546	24.17%	24.81%	51.02%	-0.55	+1.2	17
1996-11-30	Motherwell	W 2-0	50.1	1526	1550	41.02%	25.84%	33.14%	+0.14	+13.4	18
1996-11-30	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	50.1	1550	1526	33.14%	25.84%	41.02%	-0.14	-13.4	14
1996-11-30	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	50.8	1489	1519	40.32%	25.87%	33.82%	+0.11	+7.2	11
1996-11-30	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-1	50.8	1519	1489	33.82%	25.87%	40.32%	-0.11	-7.2	11
1996-12-01	Rangers	L 0-3	51.6	1664	1831	23.12%	24.58%	52.30%	-0.63	-14.5	22
1996-12-01	@ Aberdeen	W 3-0	51.6	1831	1664	52.30%	24.58%	23.12%	+0.63	+14.5	32
1996-12-07	Aberdeen	L 2-3	63.3	1496	1649	24.50%	24.88%	50.62%	-0.55	-5.0	17
1996-12-07	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-2	63.3	1649	1496	50.62%	24.88%	24.50%	+0.55	+5.0	25
1996-12-07	Raith Rovers	D 0-0	63.6	1638	1496	61.44%	22.25%	16.31%	+1.04	-2.3	21
1996-12-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	63.6	1496	1638	16.31%	22.25%	61.44%	-1.04	+2.3	12
1996-12-07	Dundee United	L 0-2	51.4	1511	1545	39.82%	25.88%	34.30%	+0.09	-15.4	11
1996-12-07	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	51.4	1545	1511	34.30%	25.88%	39.82%	-0.09	+15.4	17
1996-12-07	Celtic	W 2-1	72.6	1537	1815	14.34%	21.18%	64.49%	-1.23	+11.5	17
1996-12-07	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	72.6	1815	1537	64.49%	21.18%	14.34%	+1.23	-11.5	27
1996-12-07	Hibernian	W 4-3	62.4	1845	1539	76.03%	15.89%	8.08%	+1.92	+1.5	35
1996-12-07	@ Rangers	L 3-4	62.4	1539	1845	8.08%	15.89%	76.03%	-1.92	-1.5	18
1996-12-10	Rangers	W 1-0	67.5	1560	1847	13.83%	20.86%	65.31%	-1.27	+12.3	20
1996-12-10	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	67.5	1847	1560	65.31%	20.86%	13.83%	+1.27	-12.3	35
1996-12-11	Hibernian	W 2-1	57.9	1491	1538	37.99%	25.92%	36.09%	+0.02	+7.1	20
1996-12-11	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	57.9	1538	1491	36.09%	25.92%	37.99%	-0.02	-7.1	18
1996-12-11	Aberdeen	L 1-2	66.5	1636	1654	41.91%	25.80%	32.30%	+0.17	-8.0	21
1996-12-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	66.5	1654	1636	32.30%	25.80%	41.91%	-0.17	+8.0	28
1996-12-11	Raith Rovers	L 0-1	57.1	1548	1498	50.96%	24.82%	24.22%	+0.54	-10.0	17
1996-12-11	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	57.1	1498	1548	24.22%	24.82%	50.96%	-0.54	+10.0	15
1996-12-14	Motherwell	D 0-0	65.1	1662	1539	59.51%	22.85%	17.64%	+0.94	-2.1	29
1996-12-14	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	65.1	1539	1662	17.64%	22.85%	59.51%	-0.94	+2.1	18
1996-12-14	Dundee United	D 1-1	66.1	1530	1572	38.59%	25.91%	35.50%	+0.05	-0.1	19
1996-12-14	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	66.1	1572	1530	35.50%	25.91%	38.59%	-0.05	+0.1	21
1996-12-14	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	55.9	1496	1628	26.80%	25.26%	47.94%	-0.44	+17.9	14
1996-12-14	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	55.9	1628	1496	47.94%	25.26%	26.80%	+0.44	-17.9	21
1996-12-14	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-1	50.5	1834	1499	78.21%	14.70%	7.09%	+2.08	+2.4	38
1996-12-14	@ Rangers	L 1-3	50.5	1499	1834	7.09%	14.70%	78.21%	-2.08	-2.4	20
1996-12-17	Kilmarnock	W 4-2	55.0	1837	1514	77.29%	15.21%	7.50%	+2.01	+2.3	41
1996-12-17	@ Rangers	L 2-4	55.0	1514	1837	7.50%	15.21%	77.29%	-2.01	-2.3	14
1996-12-21	Dundee United	W 1-0	50.5	1804	1573	69.93%	18.91%	11.16%	+1.52	+2.5	30
1996-12-21	@ Celtic	L 0-1	50.5	1573	1804	11.16%	18.91%	69.93%	-1.52	-2.5	21
1996-12-21	Rangers	L 1-4	54.5	1610	1839	17.68%	22.87%	59.45%	-0.96	-9.5	21
1996-12-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-1	54.5	1839	1610	59.45%	22.87%	17.68%	+0.96	+9.5	44
1996-12-21	Aberdeen	W 3-0	55.9	1511	1660	24.95%	24.96%	50.09%	-0.53	+26.9	17
1996-12-21	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-3	55.9	1660	1511	50.09%	24.96%	24.95%	+0.53	-26.9	29
1996-12-21	Dunfermline Athletic	L 2-3	67.5	1541	1496	50.25%	24.94%	24.81%	+0.51	-8.8	18
1996-12-21	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	67.5	1496	1541	24.81%	24.94%	50.25%	-0.51	+8.8	23
1996-12-21	Hibernian	L 0-3	49.3	1508	1530	41.41%	25.82%	32.77%	+0.15	-23.1	15
1996-12-21	@ Raith Rovers	W 3-0	49.3	1530	1508	32.77%	25.82%	41.41%	-0.15	+23.1	22
1996-12-26	Celtic	L 1-2	61.6	1633	1806	22.53%	24.45%	53.03%	-0.66	-4.9	29
1996-12-26	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	61.6	1806	1633	53.03%	24.45%	22.53%	+0.66	+4.9	33
1996-12-26	Motherwell	W 2-0	48.4	1570	1532	49.46%	25.06%	25.49%	+0.48	+10.9	24
1996-12-26	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	48.4	1532	1570	25.49%	25.06%	49.46%	-0.48	-10.9	18
1996-12-26	Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	64.4	1505	1601	31.20%	25.73%	43.07%	-0.24	-6.1	23
1996-12-26	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-2	64.4	1601	1505	43.07%	25.73%	31.20%	+0.24	+6.1	24
1996-12-26	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	57.5	1553	1538	46.44%	25.44%	28.12%	+0.35	-9.2	22
1996-12-26	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	57.5	1538	1553	28.12%	25.44%	46.44%	-0.35	+9.2	20
1996-12-26	Raith Rovers	W 4-0	41.8	1849	1485	80.10%	13.63%	6.26%	+2.23	+4.6	47
1996-12-26	@ Rangers	L 0-4	41.8	1485	1849	6.26%	13.63%	80.10%	-2.23	-4.6	15
1996-12-28	Hibernian	D 1-1	68.7	1629	1544	55.08%	24.01%	20.91%	+0.73	-1.5	30
1996-12-28	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	68.7	1544	1629	20.91%	24.01%	55.08%	-0.73	+1.5	23
1996-12-28	Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-2	54.8	1811	1499	76.49%	15.64%	7.87%	+1.95	+2.5	36
1996-12-28	@ Celtic	L 2-4	54.8	1499	1811	7.87%	15.64%	76.49%	-1.95	-2.5	23
1996-12-28	Motherwell	W 4-1	50.9	1607	1521	55.23%	23.97%	20.79%	+0.73	+11.1	27
1996-12-28	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	50.9	1521	1607	20.79%	23.97%	55.23%	-0.73	-11.1	18
1996-12-28	Dundee United	L 0-1	51.8	1481	1581	30.61%	25.68%	43.71%	-0.27	-6.7	15
1996-12-28	@ Raith Rovers	W 1-0	51.8	1581	1481	43.71%	25.68%	30.61%	+0.27	+6.7	27
1997-01-01	Aberdeen	W 4-0	52.3	1588	1627	38.94%	25.90%	35.15%	+0.06	+26.6	30
1997-01-01	@ Dundee United	L 0-4	52.3	1627	1588	35.15%	25.90%	38.94%	-0.06	-26.6	30
1997-01-01	Raith Rovers	W 2-0	44.2	1496	1474	47.43%	25.33%	27.24%	+0.39	+11.5	26
1997-01-01	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-2	44.2	1474	1496	27.24%	25.33%	47.43%	-0.39	-11.5	15
1997-01-01	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	50.9	1546	1618	34.32%	25.88%	39.79%	-0.12	-26.1	23
1997-01-01	@ Hibernian	W 4-0	50.9	1618	1546	39.79%	25.88%	34.32%	+0.12	+26.2	30
1997-01-02	Celtic	W 3-1	60.5	1853	1813	49.66%	25.03%	25.32%	+0.49	+9.3	50
1997-01-02	@ Rangers	L 1-3	60.5	1813	1853	25.32%	25.03%	49.66%	-0.49	-9.4	36
1997-01-04	Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-2	57.4	1600	1508	56.02%	23.79%	20.19%	+0.77	-20.4	30
1997-01-04	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	57.4	1508	1600	20.19%	23.79%	56.02%	-0.77	+20.4	29
1997-01-04	Motherwell	W 5-0	43.5	1804	1510	75.14%	16.36%	8.50%	+1.86	+8.2	39
1997-01-04	@ Celtic	L 0-5	43.5	1510	1804	8.50%	16.36%	75.14%	-1.86	-8.1	18
1997-01-04	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	49.1	1614	1548	52.97%	24.46%	22.58%	+0.63	+9.8	33
1997-01-04	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	49.1	1548	1614	22.58%	24.46%	52.97%	-0.63	-9.8	20
1997-01-04	Rangers	L 1-2	56.0	1519	1863	10.86%	18.65%	70.49%	-1.58	-2.3	23
1997-01-04	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	56.0	1863	1519	70.49%	18.65%	10.86%	+1.58	+2.3	53
1997-01-04	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	55.8	1462	1644	21.69%	24.23%	54.08%	-0.71	-4.7	15
1997-01-04	@ Raith Rovers	W 2-1	55.8	1644	1462	54.08%	24.23%	21.69%	+0.71	+4.7	33
1997-01-08	Kilmarnock	W 6-0	45.1	1812	1538	73.57%	17.16%	9.27%	+1.75	+10.7	42
1997-01-08	@ Celtic	L 0-6	45.1	1538	1812	9.27%	17.16%	73.57%	-1.75	-10.7	20
1997-01-11	Dundee United	L 1-3	57.8	1528	1624	31.19%	25.73%	43.08%	-0.24	-11.1	29
1997-01-11	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-1	57.8	1624	1528	43.08%	25.73%	31.19%	+0.24	+11.1	36
1997-01-11	Celtic	L 1-2	61.7	1649	1823	22.37%	24.41%	53.22%	-0.67	-4.8	33
1997-01-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	61.7	1823	1649	53.22%	24.41%	22.37%	+0.67	+4.8	45
1997-01-11	Raith Rovers	L 0-1	55.3	1527	1458	53.32%	24.39%	22.30%	+0.65	-10.4	20
1997-01-11	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	55.3	1458	1527	22.30%	24.39%	53.32%	-0.65	+10.3	18
1997-01-11	Hibernian	W 2-1	56.3	1502	1517	42.32%	25.77%	31.91%	+0.19	+6.5	21
1997-01-11	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	56.3	1517	1502	31.91%	25.77%	42.32%	-0.19	-6.5	23
1997-01-12	Aberdeen	W 4-0	44.3	1865	1580	74.40%	16.74%	8.86%	+1.81	+6.9	56
1997-01-12	@ Rangers	L 0-4	44.3	1580	1865	8.86%	16.74%	74.40%	-1.81	-6.9	30
1997-01-14	Celtic	L 1-2	54.7	1468	1828	10.11%	17.98%	71.90%	-1.67	-2.1	18
1997-01-14	@ Raith Rovers	W 2-1	54.7	1828	1468	71.90%	17.98%	10.11%	+1.67	+2.1	48
1997-01-15	Rangers	D 1-1	73.7	1517	1872	10.32%	18.17%	71.51%	-1.64	+2.8	21
1997-01-15	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	73.7	1872	1517	71.51%	18.17%	10.32%	+1.64	-2.8	57
1997-01-18	Hibernian	W 4-1	48.5	1830	1511	77.02%	15.36%	7.62%	+1.99	+3.8	51
1997-01-18	@ Celtic	L 1-4	48.5	1511	1830	7.62%	15.36%	77.02%	-1.99	-3.8	23
1997-01-18	Dundee United	L 1-2	67.4	1644	1635	45.61%	25.52%	28.87%	+0.32	-8.6	33
1997-01-18	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	67.4	1635	1644	28.87%	25.52%	45.61%	-0.32	+8.6	39
1997-01-18	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	56.2	1520	1517	44.77%	25.60%	29.63%	+0.29	+6.2	24
1997-01-18	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	56.2	1517	1520	29.63%	25.60%	44.77%	-0.29	-6.2	29
1997-01-18	Rangers	L 1-3	52.8	1508	1869	10.06%	17.94%	72.00%	-1.67	-3.7	21
1997-01-18	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	52.8	1869	1508	72.00%	17.94%	10.06%	+1.67	+3.7	60
1997-01-18	Aberdeen	D 2-2	69.9	1466	1573	29.74%	25.61%	44.65%	-0.31	+0.5	19
1997-01-18	@ Raith Rovers	D 2-2	69.9	1573	1466	44.65%	25.61%	29.74%	+0.31	-0.5	31
1997-01-21	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	48.3	1505	1526	41.52%	25.82%	32.67%	+0.16	+13.3	24
1997-01-21	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	48.3	1526	1505	32.67%	25.82%	41.52%	-0.16	-13.3	24
1997-01-29	Celtic	L 0-2	47.6	1511	1834	11.85%	19.47%	68.68%	-1.47	-5.1	29
1997-01-29	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	47.6	1834	1511	68.68%	19.47%	11.85%	+1.47	+5.1	54
1997-02-01	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	55.7	1573	1512	52.19%	24.60%	23.20%	+0.60	+5.0	34
1997-02-01	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	55.7	1512	1573	23.20%	24.60%	52.19%	-0.60	-5.0	24
1997-02-01	Celtic	W 1-0	65.9	1644	1839	20.45%	23.87%	55.68%	-0.78	+10.8	42
1997-02-01	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	65.9	1839	1644	55.68%	23.87%	20.45%	+0.78	-10.7	54
1997-02-01	Motherwell	W 3-1	53.6	1506	1518	42.81%	25.74%	31.44%	+0.21	+11.2	32
1997-02-01	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-3	53.6	1518	1506	31.44%	25.74%	42.81%	-0.21	-11.1	24
1997-02-01	Raith Rovers	D 1-1	61.7	1507	1466	49.75%	25.01%	25.24%	+0.49	-1.0	24
1997-02-01	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	61.7	1466	1507	25.24%	25.01%	49.75%	-0.49	+1.0	20
1997-02-01	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	69.6	1873	1635	70.49%	18.65%	10.86%	+1.55	-3.1	61
1997-02-01	@ Rangers	D 0-0	69.6	1635	1873	10.86%	18.65%	70.49%	-1.55	+3.0	34
1997-02-06	Raith Rovers	W 2-0	43.6	1828	1467	79.92%	13.74%	6.34%	+2.22	+2.5	57
1997-02-06	@ Celtic	L 0-2	43.6	1467	1828	6.34%	13.74%	79.92%	-2.22	-2.5	20
1997-02-08	Hibernian	D 0-0	64.4	1654	1506	62.09%	22.03%	15.88%	+1.07	-2.3	43
1997-02-08	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	64.4	1506	1654	15.88%	22.03%	62.09%	-1.07	+2.3	25
1997-02-08	Rangers	L 0-3	45.3	1517	1870	10.43%	18.27%	71.30%	-1.63	-6.4	32
1997-02-08	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	45.3	1870	1517	71.30%	18.27%	10.43%	+1.63	+6.4	64
1997-02-08	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	46.5	1638	1507	60.24%	22.63%	17.13%	+0.98	+7.5	37
1997-02-08	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	46.5	1507	1638	17.13%	22.63%	60.24%	-0.98	-7.5	24
1997-02-08	Aberdeen	D 2-2	71.4	1507	1578	34.48%	25.89%	39.64%	-0.11	+0.1	25
1997-02-08	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	71.4	1578	1507	39.64%	25.89%	34.48%	+0.11	-0.2	35
1997-02-10	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	64.7	1577	1646	34.85%	25.90%	39.25%	-0.10	+0.2	36
1997-02-10	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	64.7	1646	1577	39.25%	25.90%	34.85%	+0.10	-0.2	38
1997-02-18	Motherwell	L 1-5	49.7	1465	1507	38.61%	25.91%	35.48%	+0.05	-23.8	20
1997-02-18	@ Raith Rovers	W 5-1	49.7	1507	1465	35.48%	25.91%	38.61%	-0.05	+23.8	28
1997-02-22	Aberdeen	W 3-0	50.4	1511	1578	35.03%	25.90%	39.07%	-0.09	+22.1	35
1997-02-22	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-3	50.4	1578	1511	39.07%	25.90%	35.03%	+0.09	-22.1	36
1997-02-22	Raith Rovers	W 3-2	56.4	1646	1441	67.53%	19.96%	12.50%	+1.37	+2.6	41
1997-02-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	56.4	1441	1646	12.50%	19.96%	67.53%	-1.37	-2.6	20
1997-02-22	Dundee United	L 2-3	63.5	1500	1652	24.61%	24.90%	50.50%	-0.55	-5.0	24
1997-02-22	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-2	63.5	1652	1500	50.50%	24.90%	24.61%	+0.55	+5.0	46
1997-02-22	Celtic	L 0-1	51.4	1531	1830	13.06%	20.35%	66.59%	-1.34	-3.0	28
1997-02-22	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	51.4	1830	1531	66.59%	20.35%	13.06%	+1.34	+3.0	60
1997-02-23	Hibernian	W 3-1	50.4	1876	1508	80.40%	13.46%	6.14%	+2.25	+2.1	67
1997-02-23	@ Rangers	L 1-3	50.4	1508	1876	6.14%	13.46%	80.40%	-2.25	-2.1	25
1997-03-01	Rangers	D 2-2	79.5	1556	1878	11.86%	19.47%	68.67%	-1.47	+1.9	37
1997-03-01	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	79.5	1878	1556	68.67%	19.47%	11.86%	+1.47	-1.9	68
1997-03-01	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	49.3	1833	1648	65.74%	20.69%	13.56%	+1.27	+5.9	63
1997-03-01	@ Celtic	L 0-2	49.3	1648	1833	13.56%	20.69%	65.74%	-1.27	-5.9	41
1997-03-01	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	56.5	1657	1533	59.55%	22.84%	17.61%	+0.94	+3.9	49
1997-03-01	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	56.5	1533	1657	17.61%	22.84%	59.55%	-0.94	-3.9	35
1997-03-01	Motherwell	D 1-1	63.7	1506	1528	41.48%	25.82%	32.70%	+0.16	-0.4	26
1997-03-01	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	63.7	1528	1506	32.70%	25.82%	41.48%	-0.16	+0.4	29
1997-03-05	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	54.8	1439	1495	36.53%	25.92%	37.55%	-0.03	+7.4	23
1997-03-05	@ Raith Rovers	L 1-2	54.8	1495	1439	37.55%	25.92%	36.53%	+0.03	-7.4	24
1997-03-08	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	51.5	1506	1529	41.26%	25.83%	32.92%	+0.15	+7.1	29
1997-03-08	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	51.5	1529	1506	32.92%	25.83%	41.26%	-0.15	-7.1	35
1997-03-11	Celtic	W 2-0	64.9	1488	1839	10.46%	18.30%	71.24%	-1.62	+24.8	27
1997-03-11	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	64.9	1839	1488	71.24%	18.30%	10.46%	+1.62	-24.8	63
1997-03-12	Dundee United	L 0-2	65.7	1876	1661	68.52%	19.54%	11.94%	+1.43	-24.1	68
1997-03-12	@ Rangers	W 2-0	65.7	1661	1876	11.94%	19.54%	68.52%	-1.43	+24.0	52
1997-03-15	Dundee United	D 1-1	69.8	1558	1685	27.33%	25.34%	47.33%	-0.41	+0.8	38
1997-03-15	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	69.8	1685	1558	47.33%	25.34%	27.33%	+0.41	-0.8	53
1997-03-15	Hibernian	W 1-0	49.8	1642	1513	60.09%	22.67%	17.23%	+0.97	+4.0	44
1997-03-15	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	49.8	1513	1642	17.23%	22.67%	60.09%	-0.97	-4.0	29
1997-03-15	Motherwell	W 1-0	51.4	1512	1528	42.30%	25.77%	31.93%	+0.19	+6.9	30
1997-03-15	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	51.4	1528	1512	31.93%	25.77%	42.30%	-0.19	-6.9	29
1997-03-15	Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	49.3	1446	1522	33.82%	25.87%	40.32%	-0.14	-7.2	23
1997-03-15	@ Raith Rovers	W 1-0	49.3	1522	1446	40.32%	25.87%	33.82%	+0.14	+7.2	38
1997-03-16	Rangers	L 0-1	62.0	1815	1852	39.23%	25.90%	34.87%	+0.07	-8.1	63
1997-03-16	@ Celtic	W 1-0	62.0	1852	1815	34.87%	25.90%	39.23%	-0.07	+8.1	71
1997-03-22	Raith Rovers	W 2-1	51.2	1684	1439	71.17%	18.34%	10.50%	+1.59	+2.2	56
1997-03-22	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	51.2	1439	1684	10.50%	18.34%	71.17%	-1.59	-2.2	23
1997-03-22	Celtic	D 2-2	78.3	1529	1807	14.36%	21.19%	64.44%	-1.22	+1.7	39
1997-03-22	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 2-2	78.3	1807	1529	64.44%	21.19%	14.36%	+1.22	-1.7	64
1997-03-22	Aberdeen	W 3-1	56.8	1509	1558	37.50%	25.92%	36.58%	+0.01	+12.5	32
1997-03-22	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	56.8	1558	1509	36.58%	25.92%	37.50%	-0.01	-12.5	38
1997-03-22	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	54.0	1521	1646	27.58%	25.37%	47.05%	-0.40	-6.2	29
1997-03-22	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	54.0	1646	1521	47.05%	25.37%	27.58%	+0.40	+6.2	47
1997-03-22	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	75.1	1860	1519	78.57%	14.50%	6.92%	+2.11	-13.2	71
1997-03-22	@ Rangers	W 2-1	75.1	1519	1860	6.92%	14.50%	78.57%	-2.11	+13.2	33
1997-04-05	Motherwell	D 0-0	60.3	1546	1515	48.53%	25.19%	26.28%	+0.44	-1.1	39
1997-04-05	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	60.3	1515	1546	26.28%	25.19%	48.53%	-0.44	+1.1	30
1997-04-05	Dundee United	W 2-0	59.1	1521	1686	23.28%	24.62%	52.09%	-0.62	+19.2	35
1997-04-05	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	59.1	1686	1521	52.09%	24.62%	23.28%	+0.62	-19.1	56
1997-04-05	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	60.1	1532	1652	28.20%	25.45%	46.35%	-0.37	+9.2	36
1997-04-05	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	60.1	1652	1532	46.35%	25.45%	28.20%	+0.37	-9.2	47
1997-04-05	Celtic	D 1-1	72.1	1437	1805	9.74%	17.63%	72.62%	-1.71	+2.9	24
1997-04-05	@ Raith Rovers	D 1-1	72.1	1805	1437	72.62%	17.63%	9.74%	+1.71	-2.9	65
1997-04-05	Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-0	43.2	1847	1531	76.80%	15.48%	7.72%	+1.98	+5.9	74
1997-04-05	@ Rangers	L 0-4	43.2	1531	1847	7.72%	15.48%	76.80%	-1.98	-5.9	39
1997-04-12	Hibernian	D 1-1	64.9	1525	1540	42.29%	25.78%	31.94%	+0.19	-0.4	40
1997-04-12	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	64.9	1540	1525	31.94%	25.78%	42.29%	-0.19	+0.4	36
1997-04-12	Aberdeen	D 0-0	64.6	1643	1545	56.68%	23.63%	19.69%	+0.80	-1.8	48
1997-04-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	64.6	1545	1643	19.69%	23.63%	56.68%	-0.80	+1.8	40
1997-04-12	Raith Rovers	W 5-0	39.9	1516	1439	54.16%	24.21%	21.63%	+0.68	+22.0	33
1997-04-12	@ Motherwell	L 0-5	39.9	1439	1516	21.63%	24.21%	54.16%	-0.68	-22.0	24
1997-04-15	Rangers	L 0-6	42.8	1417	1853	7.27%	14.94%	77.79%	-2.07	-8.1	24
1997-04-15	@ Raith Rovers	W 6-0	42.8	1853	1417	77.79%	14.94%	7.27%	+2.07	+8.1	77
1997-04-19	Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	68.8	1641	1524	58.76%	23.07%	18.18%	+0.90	-1.8	49
1997-04-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	68.8	1524	1641	18.18%	23.07%	58.76%	-0.90	+1.8	41
1997-04-19	Hibernian	D 1-1	65.5	1542	1541	44.54%	25.62%	29.84%	+0.28	-0.6	37
1997-04-19	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	65.5	1541	1542	29.84%	25.62%	44.54%	-0.28	+0.6	37
1997-04-19	Dundee United	D 1-1	69.1	1538	1667	27.11%	25.31%	47.58%	-0.42	+0.9	34
1997-04-19	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	69.1	1667	1538	47.58%	25.31%	27.11%	+0.42	-0.9	57
1997-04-20	Aberdeen	W 3-0	44.8	1802	1547	72.01%	17.93%	10.06%	+1.65	+6.2	68
1997-04-20	@ Celtic	L 0-3	44.8	1547	1802	10.06%	17.93%	72.01%	-1.65	-6.2	40
1997-05-03	Raith Rovers	W 2-0	39.6	1540	1409	60.28%	22.62%	17.10%	+0.98	+7.5	43
1997-05-03	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	39.6	1409	1540	17.10%	22.62%	60.28%	-0.98	-7.5	24
1997-05-03	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	56.4	1666	1640	47.99%	25.26%	26.76%	+0.42	+6.0	60
1997-05-03	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	56.4	1640	1666	26.76%	25.26%	47.99%	-0.42	-6.0	49
1997-05-03	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	55.3	1526	1541	42.40%	25.77%	31.83%	+0.19	+11.3	44
1997-05-03	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-3	55.3	1541	1526	31.83%	25.77%	42.40%	-0.19	-11.3	37
1997-05-04	Celtic	L 1-3	55.2	1542	1808	15.05%	21.59%	63.36%	-1.16	-5.7	37
1997-05-04	@ Hibernian	W 3-1	55.2	1808	1542	63.36%	21.59%	15.05%	+1.16	+5.7	71
1997-05-05	Motherwell	L 0-2	66.4	1861	1539	77.23%	15.24%	7.53%	+2.01	-26.2	77
1997-05-05	@ Rangers	W 2-0	66.4	1539	1861	7.53%	15.24%	77.23%	-2.01	+26.2	37
1997-05-07	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	69.2	1814	1530	74.34%	16.77%	8.89%	+1.80	-3.3	72
1997-05-07	@ Celtic	D 0-0	69.2	1530	1814	8.89%	16.77%	74.34%	-1.80	+3.4	38
1997-05-07	Rangers	L 0-1	56.6	1672	1835	23.54%	24.68%	51.79%	-0.60	-5.4	60
1997-05-07	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	56.6	1835	1672	51.79%	24.68%	23.54%	+0.60	+5.4	80
1997-05-10	Dundee United	W 3-0	48.7	1810	1667	61.59%	22.20%	16.21%	+1.05	+10.3	75
1997-05-10	@ Celtic	L 0-3	48.7	1667	1810	16.21%	22.20%	61.59%	-1.05	-10.4	60
1997-05-10	Rangers	W 3-1	69.1	1634	1840	19.47%	23.55%	56.98%	-0.84	+17.9	52
1997-05-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	69.1	1840	1634	56.98%	23.55%	19.47%	+0.84	-17.9	80
1997-05-10	Aberdeen	D 1-1	65.4	1533	1548	42.40%	25.77%	31.83%	+0.19	-0.4	39
1997-05-10	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	65.4	1548	1533	31.83%	25.77%	42.40%	-0.19	+0.4	44
1997-05-10	Dunfermline Athletic	D 2-2	72.2	1565	1537	48.08%	25.24%	26.67%	+0.42	-0.7	38
1997-05-10	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	72.2	1537	1565	26.67%	25.24%	48.08%	-0.42	+0.7	45
1997-05-10	Hibernian	D 1-1	60.3	1402	1536	26.58%	25.23%	48.19%	-0.45	+0.9	25
1997-05-10	@ Raith Rovers	D 1-1	60.3	1536	1402	48.19%	25.23%	26.58%	+0.45	-0.9	38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1997-03-22	6.92%	Kilmarnock	1519	2	@ Rangers	1860	1
2	1997-05-05	7.53%	Motherwell	1539	2	@ Rangers	1861	0
3	1997-03-11	10.46%	@ Kilmarnock	1488	2	Celtic	1839	0
4	1997-03-12	11.94%	Dundee United	1661	2	@ Rangers	1876	0
5	1996-12-10	13.83%	@ Dundee United	1560	1	Rangers	1847	0
6	1996-10-12	13.91%	@ Hibernian	1541	2	Rangers	1826	1
7	1996-12-07	14.34%	@ Motherwell	1537	2	Celtic	1815	1
8	1996-09-21	15.90%	Hibernian	1531	2	@ Aberdeen	1679	0
9	1997-05-10	19.47%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1634	3	Rangers	1840	1
10	1997-01-04	20.19%	Dunfermline Athletic	1508	2	@ Aberdeen	1600	0
11	1997-02-01	20.45%	@ Dundee United	1644	1	Celtic	1839	0
12	1996-11-23	21.60%	Raith Rovers	1479	2	@ Dundee United	1556	1
13	1997-01-11	22.30%	Raith Rovers	1458	1	@ Kilmarnock	1527	0
14	1997-04-05	23.28%	@ Hibernian	1521	2	Dundee United	1686	0
15	1996-12-11	24.22%	Raith Rovers	1498	1	@ Motherwell	1548	0
16	1996-09-10	24.72%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1481	2	Heart of Midlothian	1632	1
17	1996-12-21	24.81%	Dunfermline Athletic	1496	3	@ Motherwell	1541	2
18	1996-12-21	24.95%	@ Kilmarnock	1511	3	Aberdeen	1660	0
19	1996-09-28	26.44%	@ Dundee United	1522	1	Aberdeen	1657	0
20	1996-11-02	26.65%	Dundee United	1539	3	@ Motherwell	1567	1
21	1996-12-14	26.80%	@ Kilmarnock	1496	2	Heart of Midlothian	1628	0
22	1996-08-17	27.35%	Hibernian	1526	1	@ Dundee United	1548	0
23	1996-12-26	28.12%	Kilmarnock	1538	1	@ Hibernian	1553	0
24	1997-04-05	28.20%	@ Kilmarnock	1532	1	Heart of Midlothian	1652	0
25	1997-01-18	28.87%	Dundee United	1635	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1644	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1996-12-21	26.91	@ Kilmarnock	3	1511	24.95%	Aberdeen	0	1660	50.09%	24.96%
2	1997-01-01	26.63	@ Dundee United	4	1588	38.94%	Aberdeen	0	1627	35.15%	25.90%
3	1997-05-05	26.17	Motherwell	2	1539	7.53%	@ Rangers	0	1861	77.23%	15.24%
4	1997-01-01	26.16	Heart of Midlothian	4	1618	39.79%	@ Hibernian	0	1546	34.32%	25.88%
5	1996-08-25	25.45	@ Aberdeen	4	1629	41.04%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1653	33.13%	25.84%
6	1997-03-11	24.76	@ Kilmarnock	2	1488	10.46%	Celtic	0	1839	71.24%	18.30%
7	1997-03-12	24.05	Dundee United	2	1661	11.94%	@ Rangers	0	1876	68.52%	19.54%
8	1997-02-18	23.81	Motherwell	5	1507	35.48%	@ Raith Rovers	1	1465	38.61%	25.91%
9	1996-08-24	23.54	Motherwell	3	1556	31.76%	@ Raith Rovers	0	1542	42.48%	25.76%
10	1996-12-21	23.07	Hibernian	3	1530	32.77%	@ Raith Rovers	0	1508	41.41%	25.82%
11	1996-09-21	22.21	Hibernian	2	1531	15.90%	@ Aberdeen	0	1679	62.06%	22.04%
12	1997-02-22	22.07	@ Dunfermline Athletic	3	1511	35.03%	Aberdeen	0	1578	39.07%	25.90%
13	1997-04-12	21.98	@ Motherwell	5	1516	54.16%	Raith Rovers	0	1439	21.63%	24.21%
14	1997-01-04	20.37	Dunfermline Athletic	2	1508	20.19%	@ Aberdeen	0	1600	56.02%	23.79%
15	1997-04-05	19.15	@ Hibernian	2	1521	23.28%	Dundee United	0	1686	52.09%	24.62%
16	1997-05-10	17.89	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1634	19.47%	Rangers	1	1840	56.98%	23.55%
17	1996-12-14	17.87	@ Kilmarnock	2	1496	26.80%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1628	47.94%	25.26%
18	1996-11-02	15.52	Dundee United	3	1539	26.65%	@ Motherwell	1	1567	48.11%	25.24%
19	1996-12-07	15.41	Dundee United	2	1545	34.30%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1511	39.82%	25.88%
20	1996-12-01	14.49	Rangers	3	1831	52.30%	@ Aberdeen	0	1664	23.12%	24.58%
21	1996-11-11	13.74	Heart of Midlothian	2	1625	39.97%	@ Motherwell	0	1551	34.16%	25.88%
22	1996-09-07	13.69	Aberdeen	4	1654	48.43%	@ Raith Rovers	1	1518	26.37%	25.20%
23	1996-11-30	13.42	@ Hibernian	2	1526	41.02%	Motherwell	0	1550	33.14%	25.84%
24	1997-01-21	13.28	@ Motherwell	2	1505	41.52%	Kilmarnock	0	1526	32.67%	25.82%
25	1997-03-22	13.22	Kilmarnock	2	1519	6.92%	@ Rangers	1	1860	78.57%	14.50%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1996-11-16	79.8	@ Aberdeen	3	1659	57.33%	Dundee United	3	1555	19.21%	23.46%
2	1997-03-01	79.5	@ Aberdeen	2	1556	11.86%	Rangers	2	1878	68.67%	19.47%
3	1996-11-30	79.2	@ Celtic	2	1817	65.25%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1636	13.86%	20.88%
4	1996-10-19	79.0	@ Rangers	2	1814	62.94%	Aberdeen	2	1657	15.32%	21.74%
5	1996-11-02	78.7	@ Raith Rovers	2	1485	11.08%	Rangers	2	1824	70.07%	18.85%
6	1997-03-22	78.3	@ Dunfermline Athletic	2	1529	14.36%	Celtic	2	1807	64.44%	21.19%
7	1996-10-20	78.2	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1624	21.30%	Celtic	2	1810	54.58%	24.12%
8	1996-08-10	77.9	@ Aberdeen	2	1628	23.32%	Celtic	2	1792	52.05%	24.63%
9	1997-03-22	75.1	Kilmarnock	2	1519	6.92%	@ Rangers	1	1860	78.57%	14.50%
10	1996-08-17	74.4	@ Motherwell	2	1556	34.22%	Aberdeen	2	1629	39.90%	25.88%
11	1997-01-15	73.7	@ Kilmarnock	1	1517	10.32%	Rangers	1	1872	71.51%	18.17%
12	1996-10-12	72.9	@ Hibernian	2	1541	13.91%	Rangers	1	1826	65.18%	20.91%
13	1996-12-07	72.6	@ Motherwell	2	1537	14.34%	Celtic	1	1815	64.49%	21.18%
14	1997-05-10	72.2	@ Motherwell	2	1565	48.08%	Dunfermline Athletic	2	1537	26.67%	25.24%
15	1997-04-05	72.1	@ Raith Rovers	1	1437	9.74%	Celtic	1	1805	72.62%	17.63%
16	1997-02-08	71.4	@ Motherwell	2	1507	34.48%	Aberdeen	2	1578	39.64%	25.89%
17	1996-09-07	69.9	@ Kilmarnock	2	1548	53.05%	Dunfermline Athletic	2	1480	22.51%	24.44%
18	1997-01-18	69.9	@ Raith Rovers	2	1466	29.74%	Aberdeen	2	1573	44.65%	25.61%
19	1997-03-15	69.8	@ Aberdeen	1	1558	27.33%	Dundee United	1	1685	47.33%	25.34%
20	1997-02-01	69.6	@ Rangers	0	1873	70.49%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1635	10.86%	18.65%
21	1997-05-07	69.2	@ Celtic	0	1814	74.34%	Kilmarnock	0	1530	8.89%	16.77%
22	1997-04-19	69.1	@ Motherwell	1	1538	27.11%	Dundee United	1	1667	47.58%	25.31%
23	1997-05-10	69.1	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1634	19.47%	Rangers	1	1840	56.98%	23.55%
24	1996-09-21	68.8	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1614	49.60%	Motherwell	1	1575	25.37%	25.04%
25	1997-04-19	68.8	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1641	58.76%	Dunfermline Athletic	1	1524	18.18%	23.07%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1997-05-03	39.6	@ Aberdeen	2	1540	60.28%	Raith Rovers	0	1409	17.10%	22.62%
2	1997-04-12	39.9	@ Motherwell	5	1516	54.16%	Raith Rovers	0	1439	21.63%	24.21%
3	1996-12-26	41.8	@ Rangers	4	1849	80.10%	Raith Rovers	0	1485	6.26%	13.63%
4	1997-04-15	42.8	Rangers	6	1853	77.79%	@ Raith Rovers	0	1417	7.27%	14.94%
5	1997-04-05	43.2	@ Rangers	4	1847	76.80%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1531	7.72%	15.48%
6	1997-01-04	43.5	@ Celtic	5	1804	75.14%	Motherwell	0	1510	8.50%	16.36%
7	1997-02-06	43.6	@ Celtic	2	1828	79.92%	Raith Rovers	0	1467	6.34%	13.74%
8	1996-10-12	44.0	@ Aberdeen	3	1647	62.20%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1498	15.81%	22.00%
9	1997-01-01	44.2	@ Dunfermline Athletic	2	1496	47.43%	Raith Rovers	0	1474	27.24%	25.33%
10	1997-01-12	44.3	@ Rangers	4	1865	74.40%	Aberdeen	0	1580	8.86%	16.74%
11	1996-09-07	44.4	@ Celtic	5	1803	73.15%	Hibernian	0	1534	9.48%	17.37%
12	1997-04-20	44.8	@ Celtic	3	1802	72.01%	Aberdeen	0	1547	10.06%	17.93%
13	1997-01-08	45.1	@ Celtic	6	1812	73.57%	Kilmarnock	0	1538	9.27%	17.16%
14	1997-02-08	45.3	Rangers	3	1870	71.30%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1517	10.43%	18.27%
15	1996-10-26	45.7	@ Rangers	5	1813	70.26%	Motherwell	0	1578	10.98%	18.76%
16	1996-11-02	45.7	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1617	59.33%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1495	17.77%	22.90%
17	1996-09-21	46.3	@ Celtic	5	1816	77.40%	Dunfermline Athletic	1	1491	7.45%	15.15%
18	1997-02-08	46.5	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1638	60.24%	Kilmarnock	0	1507	17.13%	22.63%
19	1996-09-14	46.6	@ Aberdeen	3	1668	59.18%	Kilmarnock	0	1547	17.87%	22.95%
20	1996-10-26	47.4	Celtic	4	1809	62.28%	@ Hibernian	0	1553	15.76%	21.97%
21	1996-09-14	47.5	@ Rangers	3	1796	64.54%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1623	14.30%	21.16%
22	1997-01-29	47.6	Celtic	2	1834	68.68%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1511	11.85%	19.47%
23	1996-10-26	48.3	@ Aberdeen	1	1659	64.29%	Raith Rovers	0	1489	14.46%	21.25%
24	1997-01-21	48.3	@ Motherwell	2	1505	41.52%	Kilmarnock	0	1526	32.67%	25.82%
25	1996-12-26	48.4	@ Dundee United	2	1570	49.46%	Motherwell	0	1532	25.49%	25.06%