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1997-98 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

74 points · 36th Title

Last Title: 1987-88

Relegated

Hibernian

30 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Kilmarnock

12.21 points above expected

50 points · 37.79 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dundee United

15.20 points below expected

37 points · 52.20 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic Champion 36 22 8 6 74 64 24 +40 71.13 +2.87
2 Rangers 36 21 9 6 72 76 38 +38 70.84 +1.16
3 Heart of Midlothian 36 19 10 7 67 70 46 +24 56.15 +10.85
4 Kilmarnock 36 13 11 12 50 40 52 -12 37.79 +12.21
5 St. Johnstone 36 13 9 14 48 38 42 -4 45.10 +2.90
6 Aberdeen 36 9 12 15 39 39 53 -14 38.00 +1.00
7 Dundee United 36 8 13 15 37 43 51 -8 52.20 -15.20
8 Dunfermline Athletic 36 8 13 15 37 43 68 -25 38.09 -1.09
9 Motherwell 36 9 7 20 34 46 64 -18 42.56 -8.56
10 Hibernian Relegated 36 6 12 18 30 38 59 -21 39.73 -9.73

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kilmarnock 50 37.79 +12.21
2 Heart of Midlothian 67 56.15 +10.85
3 St. Johnstone 48 45.10 +2.90
4 Celtic 74 71.13 +2.87
5 Rangers 72 70.84 +1.16

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundee United 37 52.20 -15.20
2 Hibernian 30 39.73 -9.73
3 Motherwell 34 42.56 -8.56
4 Dunfermline Athletic 37 38.09 -1.09
5 Aberdeen 39 38.00 +1.00

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 8 Aug 23 – Nov 1 1 in 129
2 Dundee United 5 Oct 18 – Nov 15 1 in 101
3 Heart of Midlothian 6 Oct 29 – Dec 6 1 in 32
4 Dunfermline Athletic 2 Aug 16 – Aug 23 1 in 26
5 Kilmarnock 3 Dec 20 – Jan 3 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 6 Oct 4 – Nov 8 1 in 557
2 Hibernian 7 Oct 4 – Nov 22 1 in 338
3 Dunfermline Athletic 5 Dec 20 – Jan 28 1 in 81
4 Celtic 2 Aug 3 – Aug 16 1 in 41
5 St. Johnstone 3 Feb 7 – Feb 25 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kilmarnock 8 Nov 29 – Jan 17 1 in 102
2 Heart of Midlothian 13 Dec 27 – Apr 8 1 in 90
3 Dunfermline Athletic 5 Apr 7 – May 3 1 in 34
4 St. Johnstone 6 Mar 28 – May 2 1 in 16
5 Motherwell 3 Nov 15 – Nov 29 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee United 10 Feb 21 – Apr 25 1 in 232
2 Hibernian 15 Sep 20 – Jan 1 1 in 175
3 Heart of Midlothian 6 Mar 28 – May 2 1 in 46
4 Motherwell 9 Sep 13 – Nov 8 1 in 35
5 Dunfermline Athletic 9 Nov 22 – Jan 28 1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Celtic 1824 74 -5 8 10.2 -2.2
Rangers 1821 72 +8 9 9.2 -0.2
Heart of Midlothian 1721 67 -16 5 8.9 -3.9
Kilmarnock 1596 50 +17 11 6.3 +4.7
St. Johnstone 1626 48 +11 8 6.0 +2.0
Aberdeen 1587 39 +10 8 5.0 +3.0
Dunfermline Athletic 1552 37 +8 6 4.8 +1.2
Dundee United 1630 37 -16 4 7.2 -3.2
Motherwell 1563 34 -22 1 6.3 -5.3
Hibernian 1543 30 +5 6 4.6 +1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU DA HOM HIB KIL MOT RAN SJ
Aberdeen —
0-0-4
2.57
1-2-1
4.10
1-2-1
5.46
0-1-3
3.75
2-2-0
5.43
0-2-2
5.50
3-0-1
5.11
1-2-1
2.44
1-1-2
4.88
Celtic
4-0-0
8.58
 —
3-1-0
7.44
2-1-1
8.71
2-2-0
6.77
2-1-1
8.78
3-1-0
8.69
2-1-1
8.37
1-1-2
5.18
3-0-1
8.03
Dundee United
1-2-1
6.77
0-1-3
3.50
 —
0-4-0
6.79
0-1-3
4.64
2-2-0
6.71
1-1-2
6.81
2-0-2
6.49
1-0-3
3.28
1-2-1
6.14
Dunfermline Athletic
1-2-1
5.34
1-1-2
2.46
0-4-0
4.09
 —
1-0-3
3.69
1-1-2
5.35
1-1-2
5.37
2-0-2
5.03
0-2-2
2.41
1-2-1
4.74
Heart of Midlothian
3-1-0
7.15
0-2-2
4.10
3-1-0
6.17
3-0-1
7.25
 —
2-1-1
7.34
2-2-0
7.49
3-1-0
7.21
0-1-3
4.03
3-1-0
6.83
Hibernian
0-2-2
5.37
1-1-2
2.42
0-2-2
4.16
2-1-1
5.46
1-1-2
3.62
 —
1-1-2
5.46
1-2-1
5.05
0-0-4
2.45
0-2-2
4.93
Kilmarnock
2-2-0
5.31
0-1-3
2.48
2-1-1
4.06
2-1-1
5.43
0-2-2
3.48
2-1-1
5.36
 —
3-1-0
4.97
1-1-2
2.49
1-1-2
4.74
Motherwell
1-0-3
5.68
1-1-2
2.75
2-0-2
4.35
2-0-2
5.78
0-1-3
3.73
1-2-1
5.75
0-1-3
5.83
 —
1-2-1
2.60
1-0-3
4.97
Rangers
1-2-1
8.74
2-1-1
5.61
3-0-1
7.69
2-2-0
8.78
3-1-0
6.85
4-0-0
8.74
2-1-1
8.69
1-2-1
8.54
 —
3-0-1
8.26
St. Johnstone
2-1-1
5.94
1-0-3
3.02
1-2-1
4.68
1-2-1
6.09
0-1-3
4.07
2-2-0
5.90
2-1-1
6.07
3-0-1
5.85
1-0-3
2.82
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.76 +9.9
Allowed 0.71 -10.7
Differential 0.92 +6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.61%6.11%1.94%1.39%0.83%24.44%
18.61%16.67%8.06%2.50%1.94%0.56%38.33%
26.11%8.06%5.00%1.67%0.28%0.83%21.94%
31.94%2.50%1.67%1.67%0.56%0.28%8.61%
41.39%1.94%0.28%0.56%——4.17%
5+0.83%0.56%0.83%0.28%——2.50%
Total24.44%38.33%21.94%8.61%4.17%2.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.38 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.78
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%8.33%——2.78%30.56%
18.33%13.89%5.56%8.33%5.56%—41.67%
25.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
35.56%——5.56%——11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%30.56%19.44%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.47 -0.39
SD 0.97 1.34 1.68
CV 0.89 0.91 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%5.56%———19.44%
18.33%13.89%5.56%———27.78%
219.44%11.11%————30.56%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
48.33%2.78%————11.11%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total47.22%38.89%13.89%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 0.67 +1.11
SD 1.44 0.72 1.74
CV 0.81 1.08 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%5.56%—2.78%—30.56%
12.78%19.44%13.89%—2.78%2.78%41.67%
2—8.33%5.56%———13.89%
3—5.56%—2.78%——8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total16.67%47.22%25.00%2.78%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.42 -0.22
SD 1.21 1.16 1.77
CV 1.02 0.82 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%13.89%2.78%—2.78%33.33%
1—13.89%2.78%5.56%—2.78%25.00%
22.78%13.89%8.33%2.78%—2.78%30.56%
3—2.78%2.78%5.56%——11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%36.11%27.78%16.67%—8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.89 -0.69
SD 1.04 1.49 1.79
CV 0.87 0.79 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
15.56%11.11%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
211.11%8.33%11.11%——2.78%33.33%
32.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
4—8.33%2.78%———11.11%
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total25.00%38.89%25.00%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 1.28 +0.67
SD 1.26 1.11 1.59
CV 0.65 0.87 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%16.67%5.56%5.56%—2.78%33.33%
15.56%25.00%11.11%2.78%——44.44%
2—5.56%5.56%——2.78%13.89%
3————2.78%—2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total11.11%47.22%25.00%8.33%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.64 -0.58
SD 1.15 1.31 1.68
CV 1.08 0.80 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%—5.56%8.33%—27.78%
116.67%19.44%2.78%2.78%2.78%—44.44%
2—13.89%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
32.78%————2.78%5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%41.67%5.56%11.11%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.44 -0.33
SD 0.98 1.44 1.79
CV 0.88 1.00 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
15.56%16.67%11.11%2.78%8.33%—44.44%
28.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
3—2.78%——2.78%—5.56%
4———————
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total13.89%38.89%19.44%11.11%16.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.78 -0.50
SD 1.16 1.31 1.72
CV 0.91 0.74 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%5.56%———13.89%
18.33%13.89%5.56%———27.78%
28.33%8.33%5.56%———22.22%
38.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
4—5.56%—2.78%——8.33%
5+2.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
Total30.56%38.89%25.00%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 1.06 +1.06
SD 1.62 0.89 1.82
CV 0.77 0.85 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%13.89%———22.22%
125.00%19.44%13.89%———58.33%
25.56%—2.78%5.56%——13.89%
3——2.78%———2.78%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total33.33%25.00%33.33%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.17 -0.11
SD 0.86 1.00 1.17
CV 0.81 0.86 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1824 74 71.13 +2.87 66.0% 49 56 66 71 76 83 89
Rangers 1821 72 70.84 +1.16 62.0% 58 59 66 70 75 84 90
Heart of Midlothian 1721 67 56.15 +10.85 93.0% 43 45 50 56 61 68 75
Dundee United 1630 37 52.20 -15.20 2.0% 35 39 47 52 57 65 72
St. Johnstone 1626 48 45.10 +2.90 64.0% 27 32 40 46 50 58 69
Kilmarnock 1596 50 37.79 +12.21 96.0% 22 26 33 37 42 49 64
Aberdeen 1587 39 38.00 +1.00 59.0% 20 25 33 37 43 50 59
Motherwell 1563 34 42.56 -8.56 12.0% 26 31 38 43 47 54 64
Dunfermline Athletic 1552 37 38.09 -1.09 47.0% 17 26 34 39 43 47 50
Hibernian 1543 30 39.73 -9.73 12.0% 20 28 35 39 46 48 61

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.56%
Slight Edge
43.33%28.89%27.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge
168 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
054.49500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.44 goals
Neutral
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
53%
Celtic, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Photo Finish
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.82 * Some Luck: 5.82 to 8.73 * Lucky: 8.73 to 11.63 * Wild Swing: 11.63 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.06 * Close: 1.06 to 1.58 * Off: 1.58 to 2.11 * Way Off: 2.11 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.74 * A Surprise: 0.74 to 1.18 * Several Surprises: 1.18 to 1.63 * Many Surprises: 1.63 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.27 points
Some Luck
07.2718
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.80
Off
01.323
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.00%
Kilmarnock
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.00%
Dundee United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 1
A Surprise
00.71

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 105.93
2.14
Strong Separation
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Even
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Very Even
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.31
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.58
Some Carryover
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.24
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.14
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.091
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Celtic53.00%36.00%9.00%2.00%——————
Rangers44.00%43.00%10.00%3.00%——————
Heart of Midlothian1.00%13.00%40.00%26.00%15.00%4.00%1.00%———
Kilmarnock——3.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%17.00%20.00%23.00%22.00%
St. Johnstone1.00%1.00%8.00%16.00%26.00%13.00%8.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%
Aberdeen—1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%18.00%11.00%17.00%18.00%26.00%
Dundee United1.00%6.00%25.00%34.00%9.00%11.00%8.00%6.00%——
Dunfermline Athletic————11.00%14.00%15.00%19.00%18.00%23.00%
Motherwell——1.00%12.00%15.00%17.00%21.00%14.00%15.00%5.00%
Hibernian——2.00%2.00%15.00%15.00%19.00%13.00%18.00%16.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Celtic 100% —
Dundee United 100% —
Heart of Midlothian 100% —
Rangers 100% —
Motherwell 95.00% 5.00%
St. Johnstone 92.00% 8.00%
Hibernian 84.00% 16.00%
Kilmarnock 78.00% 22.00%
Dunfermline Athletic 77.00% 23.00%
Aberdeen 74.00% 26.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1997-08-02 Kilmarnock D 0-062.4 1594 1582 44.32% 29.62% 26.05%+0.39 -0.5 1
1997-08-02 @ Aberdeen D 0-062.4 1582 1594 26.05% 29.62% 44.32%-0.39 +0.5 1
1997-08-02 Motherwell L 0-255.8 1586 1606 39.88% 30.35% 29.77%+0.20 -10.2 0
1997-08-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-055.8 1606 1586 29.77% 30.35% 39.88%-0.20 +10.2 3
1997-08-02 Dundee United D 1-168.6 1616 1666 35.67% 30.63% 33.70%+0.03 -0.0 1
1997-08-02 @ St. Johnstone D 1-168.6 1666 1616 33.70% 30.63% 35.67%-0.03 +0.0 1
1997-08-03 Celtic W 2-170.4 1585 1783 19.38% 26.56% 54.06%-0.85 +6.4 3
1997-08-03 @ Hibernian L 1-270.4 1783 1585 54.06% 26.56% 19.38%+0.85 -6.4 0
1997-08-04 Heart of Midlothian W 3-156.1 1781 1663 58.27% 24.67% 17.05%+1.03 +4.3 3
1997-08-04 @ Rangers L 1-356.1 1663 1781 17.05% 24.67% 58.27%-1.03 -4.3 0
1997-08-16 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-272.3 1777 1576 67.90% 19.51% 12.59%+1.52 -7.5 0
1997-08-16 @ Celtic W 2-172.3 1576 1777 12.59% 19.51% 67.90%-1.52 +7.5 3
1997-08-16 Aberdeen W 4-153.7 1658 1593 51.53% 27.54% 20.93%+0.71 +7.5 3
1997-08-16 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-453.7 1593 1658 20.93% 27.54% 51.53%-0.71 -7.5 1
1997-08-16 St. Johnstone L 0-160.8 1616 1616 42.74% 29.93% 27.33%+0.32 -5.7 3
1997-08-16 @ Motherwell W 1-060.8 1616 1616 27.33% 29.93% 42.74%-0.32 +5.7 4
1997-08-17 Hibernian D 1-169.3 1666 1591 52.83% 27.05% 20.12%+0.77 -0.9 2
1997-08-17 @ Dundee United D 1-169.3 1591 1666 20.12% 27.05% 52.83%-0.77 +0.9 4
1997-08-23 Motherwell L 1-361.4 1586 1611 39.25% 30.41% 30.34%+0.18 -8.7 1
1997-08-23 @ Aberdeen W 3-161.4 1611 1586 30.34% 30.41% 39.25%-0.18 +8.7 6
1997-08-23 Heart of Midlothian W 2-165.4 1583 1666 31.10% 30.49% 38.41%-0.17 +4.9 6
1997-08-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-265.4 1666 1583 38.41% 30.49% 31.10%+0.17 -5.0 3
1997-08-23 Kilmarnock W 4-049.0 1592 1583 44.01% 29.69% 26.30%+0.38 +14.2 7
1997-08-23 @ Hibernian L 0-449.0 1583 1592 26.30% 29.69% 44.01%-0.38 -14.2 1
1997-08-23 Dundee United W 5-152.2 1786 1666 58.45% 24.59% 16.96%+1.04 +7.7 6
1997-08-23 @ Rangers L 1-552.2 1666 1786 16.96% 24.59% 58.45%-1.04 -7.7 2
1997-08-23 Celtic L 0-253.4 1622 1769 23.76% 28.88% 47.36%-0.55 -6.9 4
1997-08-23 @ St. Johnstone W 2-053.4 1769 1622 47.36% 28.88% 23.76%+0.55 +6.9 3
1997-08-30 Dundee United D 1-167.9 1577 1658 31.39% 30.51% 38.10%-0.16 +0.2 2
1997-08-30 @ Aberdeen D 1-167.9 1658 1577 38.10% 30.51% 31.39%+0.16 -0.2 3
1997-08-30 St. Johnstone D 2-272.9 1588 1615 38.93% 30.44% 30.63%+0.16 -0.2 7
1997-08-30 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-272.9 1615 1588 30.63% 30.44% 38.93%-0.16 +0.2 5
1997-08-30 Heart of Midlothian L 0-159.3 1606 1661 34.98% 30.64% 34.38%+0.00 -4.9 7
1997-08-30 @ Hibernian W 1-059.3 1661 1606 34.38% 30.64% 34.98%+0.00 +4.9 6
1997-09-13 Kilmarnock L 1-268.6 1658 1569 54.57% 26.35% 19.09%+0.85 -6.4 3
1997-09-13 @ Dundee United W 2-168.6 1569 1658 19.09% 26.35% 54.57%-0.85 +6.4 4
1997-09-13 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-257.2 1601 1588 44.61% 29.56% 25.83%+0.40 +7.8 10
1997-09-13 @ Hibernian L 2-557.2 1588 1601 25.83% 29.56% 44.61%-0.40 -7.8 7
1997-09-13 Celtic L 2-366.9 1619 1776 22.85% 28.51% 48.64%-0.61 -3.1 6
1997-09-13 @ Motherwell W 3-266.9 1776 1619 48.64% 28.51% 22.85%+0.61 +3.1 6
1997-09-13 Aberdeen D 3-382.8 1793 1577 69.49% 18.58% 11.92%+1.61 -1.0 7
1997-09-13 @ Rangers D 3-382.8 1577 1793 11.92% 18.58% 69.49%-1.61 +1.0 3
1997-09-13 Heart of Midlothian L 1-265.1 1615 1666 35.58% 30.63% 33.79%+0.02 -4.7 5
1997-09-13 @ St. Johnstone W 2-165.1 1666 1615 33.79% 30.63% 35.58%-0.02 +4.7 9
1997-09-20 Aberdeen W 2-046.9 1779 1578 67.88% 19.52% 12.60%+1.52 +3.4 9
1997-09-20 @ Celtic L 0-246.9 1578 1779 12.60% 19.52% 67.88%-1.52 -3.4 3
1997-09-20 Dundee United W 2-162.1 1671 1651 45.42% 29.38% 25.20%+0.44 +3.6 12
1997-09-20 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-262.1 1651 1671 25.20% 29.38% 45.42%-0.44 -3.6 3
1997-09-20 Hibernian D 1-167.9 1616 1609 43.72% 29.75% 26.54%+0.37 -0.5 7
1997-09-20 @ Motherwell D 1-167.9 1609 1616 26.54% 29.75% 43.72%-0.37 +0.5 11
1997-09-20 Rangers L 0-252.1 1611 1792 20.70% 27.41% 51.89%-0.75 -6.0 5
1997-09-20 @ St. Johnstone W 2-052.1 1792 1611 51.89% 27.41% 20.70%+0.75 +6.0 10
1997-09-21 Kilmarnock D 1-166.3 1580 1575 43.42% 29.80% 26.77%+0.35 -0.4 8
1997-09-21 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-166.3 1575 1580 26.77% 29.80% 43.42%-0.35 +0.4 5
1997-09-24 Rangers L 0-348.4 1576 1798 17.67% 25.23% 57.10%-1.00 -7.4 5
1997-09-24 @ Kilmarnock W 3-048.4 1798 1576 57.10% 25.23% 17.67%+1.00 +7.4 13
1997-09-27 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-264.3 1575 1580 42.08% 30.04% 27.88%+0.30 -5.3 3
1997-09-27 @ Aberdeen W 2-164.3 1580 1575 27.88% 30.04% 42.08%-0.30 +5.3 11
1997-09-27 Celtic L 1-262.9 1648 1783 24.98% 29.31% 45.72%-0.48 -3.6 3
1997-09-27 @ Dundee United W 2-162.9 1783 1648 45.72% 29.31% 24.98%+0.48 +3.6 12
1997-09-27 St. Johnstone D 1-167.7 1610 1605 43.44% 29.80% 26.76%+0.35 -0.4 12
1997-09-27 @ Hibernian D 1-167.7 1605 1610 26.76% 29.80% 43.44%-0.35 +0.4 6
1997-09-27 Heart of Midlothian L 0-351.4 1568 1674 28.21% 30.11% 41.68%-0.31 -11.5 5
1997-09-27 @ Kilmarnock W 3-051.4 1674 1568 41.68% 30.11% 28.21%+0.31 +11.5 15
1997-09-27 Motherwell D 2-278.8 1806 1616 66.65% 20.23% 13.12%+1.45 -1.1 14
1997-09-27 @ Rangers D 2-278.8 1616 1806 13.12% 20.23% 66.65%-1.45 +1.2 8
1997-10-04 Kilmarnock W 4-043.8 1786 1557 70.94% 17.72% 11.33%+1.69 +5.6 15
1997-10-04 @ Celtic L 0-443.8 1557 1786 11.33% 17.72% 70.94%-1.69 -5.6 5
1997-10-04 Dundee United D 3-377.3 1585 1644 34.36% 30.64% 35.00%-0.03 +0.0 12
1997-10-04 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 3-377.3 1644 1585 35.00% 30.64% 34.36%+0.03 -0.0 4
1997-10-04 Rangers L 3-468.2 1609 1805 19.62% 26.72% 53.66%-0.84 -2.7 12
1997-10-04 @ Hibernian W 4-368.2 1805 1609 53.66% 26.72% 19.62%+0.84 +2.6 17
1997-10-04 Heart of Midlothian L 1-459.0 1617 1686 32.99% 30.61% 36.40%-0.08 -10.9 8
1997-10-04 @ Motherwell W 4-159.0 1686 1617 36.40% 30.61% 32.99%+0.08 +10.9 18
1997-10-04 Aberdeen W 1-053.4 1605 1570 47.60% 28.81% 23.59%+0.53 +3.6 9
1997-10-04 @ St. Johnstone L 0-153.4 1570 1605 23.59% 28.81% 47.60%-0.53 -3.6 3
1997-10-08 Motherwell W 2-162.2 1551 1606 34.95% 30.64% 34.41%+0.00 +4.6 8
1997-10-08 @ Kilmarnock L 1-262.2 1606 1551 34.41% 30.64% 34.95%+0.00 -4.6 8
1997-10-18 Hibernian W 2-053.2 1566 1607 37.01% 30.58% 32.41%+0.08 +8.8 6
1997-10-18 @ Aberdeen L 0-253.2 1607 1566 32.41% 30.58% 37.01%-0.08 -8.8 12
1997-10-18 Motherwell W 4-049.2 1644 1601 48.54% 28.53% 22.92%+0.58 +12.6 7
1997-10-18 @ Dundee United L 0-449.2 1601 1644 22.92% 28.53% 48.54%-0.58 -12.6 8
1997-10-18 Celtic L 1-264.9 1697 1792 29.50% 30.31% 40.19%-0.24 -4.1 18
1997-10-18 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-164.9 1792 1697 40.19% 30.31% 29.50%+0.24 +4.1 18
1997-10-18 St. Johnstone L 0-157.2 1556 1609 35.22% 30.64% 34.14%+0.01 -4.9 8
1997-10-18 @ Kilmarnock W 1-057.2 1609 1556 34.14% 30.64% 35.22%-0.01 +4.9 12
1997-10-18 Dunfermline Athletic W 7-046.7 1807 1585 70.16% 18.19% 11.65%+1.64 +9.9 20
1997-10-18 @ Rangers L 0-746.7 1585 1807 11.65% 18.19% 70.16%-1.64 -9.9 12
1997-10-25 St. Johnstone W 2-047.9 1796 1614 65.81% 20.71% 13.49%+1.41 +3.7 21
1997-10-25 @ Celtic L 0-247.9 1614 1796 13.49% 20.71% 65.81%-1.41 -3.7 12
1997-10-25 Rangers W 2-170.1 1657 1817 22.52% 28.36% 49.12%-0.63 +5.9 10
1997-10-25 @ Dundee United L 1-270.1 1817 1657 49.12% 28.36% 22.52%+0.63 -5.9 20
1997-10-25 Hibernian W 2-161.6 1551 1598 36.08% 30.62% 33.30%+0.04 +4.5 11
1997-10-25 @ Kilmarnock L 1-261.6 1598 1551 33.30% 30.62% 36.08%-0.04 -4.5 12
1997-10-25 Aberdeen L 1-265.2 1589 1575 44.69% 29.54% 25.77%+0.41 -5.5 8
1997-10-25 @ Motherwell W 2-165.2 1575 1589 25.77% 29.54% 44.69%-0.41 +5.5 9
1997-10-29 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-154.4 1692 1575 58.14% 24.74% 17.12%+1.02 +4.3 21
1997-10-29 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-354.4 1575 1692 17.12% 24.74% 58.14%-1.02 -4.3 12
1997-11-01 Heart of Midlothian L 1-456.6 1580 1697 27.00% 29.86% 43.14%-0.37 -9.3 9
1997-11-01 @ Aberdeen W 4-156.6 1697 1580 43.14% 29.86% 27.00%+0.37 +9.4 24
1997-11-01 Celtic L 0-250.0 1571 1800 17.25% 24.86% 57.89%-1.04 -5.0 12
1997-11-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-050.0 1800 1571 57.89% 24.86% 17.25%+1.04 +5.0 24
1997-11-01 Dundee United L 1-360.8 1593 1663 32.93% 30.61% 36.46%-0.09 -7.7 12
1997-11-01 @ Hibernian W 3-160.8 1663 1593 36.46% 30.61% 32.93%+0.09 +7.7 13
1997-11-01 Kilmarnock W 4-148.5 1811 1555 73.62% 16.12% 10.26%+1.84 +3.2 23
1997-11-01 @ Rangers L 1-448.5 1555 1811 10.26% 16.12% 73.62%-1.84 -3.2 11
1997-11-01 Motherwell W 4-367.5 1610 1583 46.40% 29.14% 24.46%+0.48 +3.3 15
1997-11-01 @ St. Johnstone L 3-467.5 1583 1610 24.46% 29.14% 46.40%-0.48 -3.3 8
1997-11-08 Hibernian W 2-049.0 1706 1586 58.51% 24.56% 16.93%+1.04 +4.9 27
1997-11-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-249.0 1586 1706 16.93% 24.56% 58.51%-1.04 -4.9 12
1997-11-08 Kilmarnock L 0-159.3 1580 1552 46.60% 29.08% 24.32%+0.49 -6.0 8
1997-11-08 @ Motherwell W 1-059.3 1552 1580 24.32% 29.08% 46.60%-0.49 +6.0 14
1997-11-08 Celtic W 1-058.5 1814 1805 44.07% 29.68% 26.25%+0.38 +4.0 26
1997-11-08 @ Rangers L 0-158.5 1805 1814 26.25% 29.68% 44.07%-0.38 -4.0 24
1997-11-08 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-257.7 1613 1566 49.19% 28.33% 22.48%+0.60 -11.9 15
1997-11-08 @ St. Johnstone W 2-057.7 1566 1613 22.48% 28.33% 49.19%-0.60 +11.9 15
1997-11-09 Aberdeen W 5-047.6 1670 1571 55.88% 25.78% 18.34%+0.91 +12.5 16
1997-11-09 @ Dundee United L 0-547.6 1571 1670 18.34% 25.78% 55.88%-0.91 -12.5 9
1997-11-15 Rangers D 1-171.9 1559 1818 15.39% 23.00% 61.61%-1.22 +1.3 10
1997-11-15 @ Aberdeen D 1-171.9 1818 1559 61.61% 23.00% 15.39%+1.22 -1.3 27
1997-11-15 Motherwell L 0-264.0 1801 1574 70.64% 17.90% 11.45%+1.67 -15.4 24
1997-11-15 @ Celtic W 2-064.0 1574 1801 11.45% 17.90% 70.64%-1.67 +15.4 11
1997-11-15 Hibernian W 2-160.1 1578 1581 42.31% 30.00% 27.68%+0.31 +3.9 18
1997-11-15 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-260.1 1581 1578 27.68% 30.00% 42.31%-0.31 -3.9 12
1997-11-15 St. Johnstone W 2-158.5 1711 1601 57.18% 25.19% 17.63%+0.97 +2.5 30
1997-11-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-258.5 1601 1711 17.63% 25.19% 57.18%-0.97 -2.5 15
1997-11-15 Dundee United L 1-358.1 1558 1683 26.10% 29.63% 44.27%-0.42 -6.4 14
1997-11-15 @ Kilmarnock W 3-158.1 1683 1558 44.27% 29.63% 26.10%+0.42 +6.4 19
1997-11-19 Rangers D 1-170.6 1785 1817 38.29% 30.50% 31.21%+0.14 -0.2 25
1997-11-19 @ Celtic D 1-170.6 1817 1785 31.21% 30.50% 38.29%-0.14 +0.2 28
1997-11-22 Dundee United W 4-049.3 1785 1689 55.49% 25.95% 18.56%+0.89 +10.2 28
1997-11-22 @ Celtic L 0-449.3 1689 1785 18.56% 25.95% 55.49%-0.89 -10.2 19
1997-11-22 Aberdeen D 1-166.0 1582 1560 45.74% 29.30% 24.96%+0.45 -0.6 19
1997-11-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-166.0 1560 1582 24.96% 29.30% 45.74%-0.45 +0.6 11
1997-11-22 Rangers D 1-171.6 1589 1817 17.34% 24.93% 57.73%-1.03 +1.1 12
1997-11-22 @ Motherwell D 1-171.6 1817 1589 57.73% 24.93% 17.34%+1.03 -1.2 29
1997-11-22 Hibernian W 1-054.0 1599 1577 45.76% 29.30% 24.95%+0.45 +3.8 18
1997-11-22 @ St. Johnstone L 0-154.0 1577 1599 24.95% 29.30% 45.76%-0.45 -3.8 12
1997-11-23 Kilmarnock W 5-358.4 1714 1552 63.45% 22.01% 14.53%+1.28 +3.0 33
1997-11-23 @ Heart of Midlothian L 3-558.4 1552 1714 14.53% 22.01% 63.45%-1.28 -3.0 14
1997-11-29 Motherwell D 1-166.3 1573 1591 40.29% 30.30% 29.41%+0.22 -0.3 13
1997-11-29 @ Hibernian D 1-166.3 1591 1573 29.41% 30.30% 40.29%-0.22 +0.3 13
1997-11-29 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-160.5 1549 1581 38.18% 30.51% 31.31%+0.13 +4.3 17
1997-11-29 @ Kilmarnock L 1-260.5 1581 1549 31.31% 30.51% 38.18%-0.13 -4.3 19
1997-11-29 St. Johnstone W 3-260.9 1816 1603 69.23% 18.74% 12.04%+1.59 +1.5 32
1997-11-29 @ Rangers L 2-360.9 1603 1816 12.04% 18.74% 69.23%-1.59 -1.5 18
1997-12-06 St. Johnstone D 1-166.2 1560 1601 37.00% 30.58% 32.42%+0.08 -0.1 12
1997-12-06 @ Aberdeen D 1-166.2 1601 1560 32.42% 30.58% 37.00%-0.08 +0.1 19
1997-12-06 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-065.2 1679 1577 56.24% 25.62% 18.14%+0.93 -1.2 20
1997-12-06 @ Dundee United D 0-065.2 1577 1679 18.14% 25.62% 56.24%-0.93 +1.2 20
1997-12-06 Motherwell W 2-049.0 1717 1591 59.14% 24.25% 16.61%+1.07 +4.8 36
1997-12-06 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-249.0 1591 1717 16.61% 24.25% 59.14%-1.07 -4.8 13
1997-12-06 Celtic D 0-066.9 1553 1795 16.40% 24.05% 59.54%-1.12 +1.4 18
1997-12-06 @ Kilmarnock D 0-066.9 1795 1553 59.54% 24.05% 16.40%+1.12 -1.4 29
1997-12-07 Hibernian W 1-049.2 1818 1573 72.50% 16.79% 10.71%+1.78 +1.5 35
1997-12-07 @ Rangers L 0-149.2 1573 1818 10.71% 16.79% 72.50%-1.78 -1.5 13
1997-12-09 Celtic L 0-249.7 1560 1794 16.95% 24.57% 58.48%-1.06 -4.9 12
1997-12-09 @ Aberdeen W 2-049.7 1794 1560 58.48% 24.57% 16.95%+1.06 +4.9 32
1997-12-09 Heart of Midlothian D 0-065.3 1678 1721 36.57% 30.60% 32.83%+0.06 -0.1 21
1997-12-09 @ Dundee United D 0-065.3 1721 1678 32.83% 30.60% 36.57%-0.06 +0.1 37
1997-12-13 Heart of Midlothian W 1-055.6 1799 1721 53.13% 26.93% 19.94%+0.78 +3.1 35
1997-12-13 @ Celtic L 0-155.6 1721 1799 19.94% 26.93% 53.13%-0.78 -3.1 37
1997-12-13 Rangers D 0-067.3 1578 1819 16.50% 24.14% 59.36%-1.11 +1.4 21
1997-12-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-067.3 1819 1578 59.36% 24.14% 16.50%+1.11 -1.4 36
1997-12-13 Aberdeen D 2-271.2 1571 1555 44.95% 29.49% 25.57%+0.42 -0.4 14
1997-12-13 @ Hibernian D 2-271.2 1555 1571 25.57% 29.49% 44.95%-0.42 +0.4 13
1997-12-13 Dundee United W 1-060.5 1586 1678 29.99% 30.37% 39.64%-0.22 +5.4 16
1997-12-13 @ Motherwell L 0-160.5 1678 1586 39.64% 30.37% 29.99%+0.22 -5.4 21
1997-12-13 Kilmarnock D 1-166.7 1601 1554 49.12% 28.36% 22.53%+0.60 -0.7 20
1997-12-13 @ St. Johnstone D 1-166.7 1554 1601 22.53% 28.36% 49.12%-0.60 +0.7 19
1997-12-20 Hibernian W 5-044.7 1802 1571 71.10% 17.63% 11.27%+1.69 +6.9 38
1997-12-20 @ Celtic L 0-544.7 1571 1802 11.27% 17.63% 71.10%-1.69 -6.9 14
1997-12-20 St. Johnstone W 2-159.4 1672 1600 52.39% 27.22% 20.39%+0.75 +3.0 24
1997-12-20 @ Dundee United L 1-259.4 1600 1672 20.39% 27.22% 52.39%-0.75 -3.0 20
1997-12-20 Rangers L 2-561.9 1718 1818 29.02% 30.24% 40.74%-0.27 -8.6 37
1997-12-20 @ Heart of Midlothian W 5-261.9 1818 1718 40.74% 30.24% 29.02%+0.27 +8.6 39
1997-12-20 Aberdeen W 1-053.1 1555 1556 42.64% 29.95% 27.41%+0.32 +4.1 22
1997-12-20 @ Kilmarnock L 0-153.1 1556 1555 27.41% 29.95% 42.64%-0.32 -4.1 13
1997-12-20 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-050.9 1591 1579 44.42% 29.60% 25.98%+0.40 +7.4 19
1997-12-20 @ Motherwell L 0-250.9 1579 1591 25.98% 29.60% 44.42%-0.40 -7.4 21
1997-12-27 Motherwell W 3-051.0 1552 1599 36.06% 30.62% 33.32%+0.04 +13.0 16
1997-12-27 @ Aberdeen L 0-351.0 1599 1552 33.32% 30.62% 36.06%-0.04 -13.0 19
1997-12-27 Heart of Midlothian L 1-358.3 1572 1710 24.70% 29.22% 46.08%-0.49 -6.1 21
1997-12-27 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-158.3 1710 1572 46.08% 29.22% 24.70%+0.49 +6.1 40
1997-12-27 Kilmarnock L 0-158.2 1564 1559 43.43% 29.80% 26.77%+0.35 -5.7 14
1997-12-27 @ Hibernian W 1-058.2 1559 1564 26.77% 29.80% 43.43%-0.35 +5.7 25
1997-12-27 Dundee United W 4-152.6 1826 1675 62.18% 22.70% 15.12%+1.22 +5.2 42
1997-12-27 @ Rangers L 1-452.6 1675 1826 15.12% 22.70% 62.18%-1.22 -5.2 24
1997-12-27 Celtic W 1-065.5 1597 1809 18.43% 25.85% 55.72%-0.93 +6.9 23
1997-12-27 @ St. Johnstone L 0-165.5 1809 1597 55.72% 25.85% 18.43%+0.93 -6.9 38
1998-01-01 Hibernian D 2-276.7 1716 1558 62.95% 22.29% 14.77%+1.26 -1.0 41
1998-01-01 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-276.7 1558 1716 14.77% 22.29% 62.95%-1.26 +1.0 15
1998-01-02 Rangers W 2-056.8 1802 1831 38.60% 30.47% 30.92%+0.15 +8.5 41
1998-01-02 @ Celtic L 0-256.8 1831 1802 30.92% 30.47% 38.60%-0.15 -8.5 42
1998-01-03 Dundee United W 1-060.5 1565 1670 28.30% 30.12% 41.58%-0.30 +5.6 19
1998-01-03 @ Aberdeen L 0-160.5 1670 1565 41.58% 30.12% 28.30%+0.30 -5.5 24
1998-01-03 St. Johnstone L 0-158.0 1566 1604 37.29% 30.57% 32.14%+0.09 -5.1 21
1998-01-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-058.0 1604 1566 32.14% 30.57% 37.29%-0.09 +5.1 26
1998-01-03 Motherwell W 4-154.9 1565 1586 39.80% 30.36% 29.85%+0.20 +10.1 28
1998-01-03 @ Kilmarnock L 1-454.9 1586 1565 29.85% 30.36% 39.80%-0.20 -10.1 19
1998-01-10 Kilmarnock D 1-169.2 1664 1575 54.64% 26.32% 19.05%+0.85 -1.0 25
1998-01-10 @ Dundee United D 1-169.2 1575 1664 19.05% 26.32% 54.64%-0.85 +1.0 29
1998-01-10 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-053.4 1559 1561 42.56% 29.96% 27.47%+0.32 +4.1 18
1998-01-10 @ Hibernian L 0-153.4 1561 1559 27.47% 29.96% 42.56%-0.32 -4.1 21
1998-01-10 Celtic D 1-171.6 1576 1811 16.89% 24.52% 58.60%-1.07 +1.2 20
1998-01-10 @ Motherwell D 1-171.6 1811 1576 58.60% 24.52% 16.89%+1.07 -1.2 42
1998-01-10 Aberdeen W 2-045.6 1823 1570 73.30% 16.31% 10.39%+1.82 +2.6 45
1998-01-10 @ Rangers L 0-245.6 1570 1823 10.39% 16.31% 73.30%-1.82 -2.7 19
1998-01-12 Heart of Midlothian L 2-368.4 1610 1715 28.29% 30.12% 41.59%-0.30 -3.8 26
1998-01-12 @ St. Johnstone W 3-268.4 1715 1610 41.59% 30.12% 28.29%+0.30 +3.8 44
1998-01-17 St. Johnstone L 0-157.8 1563 1606 36.76% 30.59% 32.64%+0.07 -5.1 18
1998-01-17 @ Hibernian W 1-057.8 1606 1563 32.64% 30.59% 36.76%-0.07 +5.1 29
1998-01-17 Heart of Midlothian D 2-275.0 1576 1719 24.22% 29.05% 46.73%-0.52 +0.5 30
1998-01-17 @ Kilmarnock D 2-275.0 1719 1576 46.73% 29.05% 24.22%+0.52 -0.5 45
1998-01-17 Motherwell W 1-049.2 1826 1577 72.90% 16.55% 10.55%+1.80 +1.4 48
1998-01-17 @ Rangers L 0-149.2 1577 1826 10.55% 16.55% 72.90%-1.80 -1.4 20
1998-01-27 Celtic L 1-262.7 1663 1809 23.89% 28.93% 47.18%-0.54 -3.4 25
1998-01-27 @ Dundee United W 2-162.7 1809 1663 47.18% 28.93% 23.89%+0.54 +3.4 45
1998-01-28 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-049.6 1568 1557 44.27% 29.63% 26.09%+0.39 +7.4 22
1998-01-28 @ Aberdeen L 0-249.6 1557 1568 26.09% 29.63% 44.27%-0.39 -7.4 21
1998-01-31 Kilmarnock W 3-265.2 1549 1576 38.89% 30.45% 30.66%+0.16 +4.0 24
1998-01-31 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 2-365.2 1576 1549 30.66% 30.45% 38.89%-0.16 -4.0 30
1998-01-31 Dundee United W 2-052.3 1718 1660 50.62% 27.86% 21.52%+0.67 +6.3 48
1998-01-31 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-252.3 1660 1718 21.52% 27.86% 50.62%-0.67 -6.3 25
1998-01-31 Hibernian W 6-253.2 1576 1558 45.11% 29.45% 25.44%+0.43 +9.8 23
1998-01-31 @ Motherwell L 2-653.2 1558 1576 25.44% 29.45% 45.11%-0.43 -9.8 18
1998-01-31 Rangers W 2-062.4 1611 1827 18.11% 25.59% 56.31%-0.96 +13.2 32
1998-01-31 @ St. Johnstone L 0-262.4 1827 1611 56.31% 25.59% 18.11%+0.96 -13.1 48
1998-02-02 Aberdeen W 3-151.7 1813 1575 71.79% 17.22% 10.99%+1.73 +2.5 48
1998-02-02 @ Celtic L 1-351.7 1575 1813 10.99% 17.22% 71.79%-1.73 -2.5 22
1998-02-07 Hibernian W 3-047.1 1573 1549 46.04% 29.23% 24.74%+0.47 +10.3 25
1998-02-07 @ Aberdeen L 0-347.1 1549 1573 24.74% 29.23% 46.04%-0.47 -10.3 18
1998-02-07 Motherwell W 1-053.5 1654 1585 51.95% 27.38% 20.67%+0.73 +3.2 28
1998-02-07 @ Dundee United L 0-153.5 1585 1654 20.67% 27.38% 51.95%-0.73 -3.2 23
1998-02-07 St. Johnstone W 1-057.6 1572 1624 35.44% 30.63% 33.93%+0.02 +4.8 33
1998-02-07 @ Kilmarnock L 0-157.6 1624 1572 33.93% 30.63% 35.44%-0.02 -4.8 32
1998-02-07 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-174.0 1814 1553 74.10% 15.82% 10.07%+1.87 -1.8 49
1998-02-07 @ Rangers D 1-174.0 1553 1814 10.07% 15.82% 74.10%-1.87 +1.8 25
1998-02-08 Celtic D 1-170.5 1724 1815 30.07% 30.38% 39.54%-0.22 +0.2 49
1998-02-08 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-170.5 1815 1724 39.54% 30.38% 30.07%+0.22 -0.2 49
1998-02-21 Kilmarnock W 4-043.9 1815 1577 71.78% 17.22% 11.00%+1.73 +5.4 52
1998-02-21 @ Celtic L 0-443.9 1577 1815 11.00% 17.22% 71.78%-1.73 -5.4 33
1998-02-21 Dundee United D 2-273.2 1555 1657 28.70% 30.19% 41.11%-0.28 +0.2 26
1998-02-21 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-273.2 1657 1555 41.11% 30.19% 28.70%+0.28 -0.2 29
1998-02-21 Rangers L 1-257.1 1538 1812 14.63% 22.12% 63.25%-1.30 -2.0 18
1998-02-21 @ Hibernian W 2-157.1 1812 1538 63.25% 22.12% 14.63%+1.30 +2.0 52
1998-02-21 Heart of Midlothian L 2-462.3 1582 1725 24.22% 29.05% 46.73%-0.52 -5.4 23
1998-02-21 @ Motherwell W 4-262.3 1725 1582 46.73% 29.05% 24.22%+0.52 +5.4 52
1998-02-21 Aberdeen L 0-161.3 1619 1583 47.71% 28.78% 23.51%+0.54 -6.2 32
1998-02-21 @ St. Johnstone W 1-061.3 1583 1619 23.51% 28.78% 47.71%-0.54 +6.1 28
1998-02-24 Hibernian D 1-168.8 1657 1536 58.50% 24.57% 16.94%+1.04 -1.2 30
1998-02-24 @ Dundee United D 1-168.8 1536 1657 16.94% 24.57% 58.50%-1.04 +1.2 19
1998-02-24 Rangers D 1-171.7 1572 1814 16.42% 24.07% 59.51%-1.11 +1.2 34
1998-02-24 @ Kilmarnock D 1-171.7 1814 1572 59.51% 24.07% 16.42%+1.11 -1.2 53
1998-02-25 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-146.9 1820 1555 74.54% 15.56% 9.90%+1.90 +3.9 55
1998-02-25 @ Celtic L 1-546.9 1555 1820 9.90% 15.56% 74.54%-1.90 -3.9 26
1998-02-25 Aberdeen W 3-154.3 1730 1589 61.00% 23.31% 15.69%+1.16 +3.9 55
1998-02-25 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-354.3 1589 1730 15.69% 23.31% 61.00%-1.16 -3.9 28
1998-02-25 St. Johnstone W 2-162.2 1577 1613 37.61% 30.55% 31.84%+0.11 +4.3 26
1998-02-25 @ Motherwell L 1-262.2 1613 1577 31.84% 30.55% 37.61%-0.11 -4.3 32
1998-02-28 Kilmarnock D 0-061.9 1585 1573 44.41% 29.60% 25.98%+0.40 -0.6 29
1998-02-28 @ Aberdeen D 0-061.9 1573 1585 25.98% 29.60% 44.41%-0.40 +0.6 35
1998-02-28 Celtic L 0-151.3 1537 1824 13.94% 21.29% 64.77%-1.38 -2.0 19
1998-02-28 @ Hibernian W 1-051.3 1824 1537 64.77% 21.29% 13.94%+1.38 +2.1 58
1998-02-28 Heart of Midlothian D 2-277.3 1813 1734 53.31% 26.86% 19.83%+0.79 -0.7 54
1998-02-28 @ Rangers D 2-277.3 1734 1813 19.83% 26.86% 53.31%-0.79 +0.7 56
1998-02-28 Dundee United D 1-168.4 1609 1655 36.12% 30.62% 33.26%+0.05 -0.1 33
1998-02-28 @ St. Johnstone D 1-168.4 1655 1609 33.26% 30.62% 36.12%-0.05 +0.1 31
1998-03-07 Motherwell W 2-160.4 1551 1581 38.55% 30.48% 30.97%+0.15 +4.2 29
1998-03-07 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-260.4 1581 1551 30.97% 30.48% 38.55%-0.15 -4.2 26
1998-03-14 Aberdeen D 3-375.2 1555 1585 38.64% 30.47% 30.89%+0.15 -0.1 30
1998-03-14 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 3-375.2 1585 1555 30.89% 30.47% 38.64%-0.15 +0.1 30
1998-03-14 Kilmarnock D 1-171.5 1735 1574 63.35% 22.07% 14.58%+1.28 -1.4 57
1998-03-14 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-171.5 1574 1735 14.58% 22.07% 63.35%-1.28 +1.4 36
1998-03-14 Rangers W 2-171.3 1577 1812 16.84% 24.48% 58.68%-1.07 +6.8 29
1998-03-14 @ Motherwell L 1-271.3 1812 1577 58.68% 24.48% 16.84%+1.07 -6.8 54
1998-03-14 Hibernian D 1-166.7 1609 1535 52.57% 27.15% 20.28%+0.76 -0.9 34
1998-03-14 @ St. Johnstone D 1-166.7 1535 1609 20.28% 27.15% 52.57%-0.76 +0.9 20
1998-03-15 Dundee United D 1-173.0 1826 1656 64.49% 21.44% 14.06%+1.34 -1.5 59
1998-03-15 @ Celtic D 1-173.0 1656 1826 14.06% 21.44% 64.49%-1.34 +1.5 32
1998-03-21 Celtic L 0-153.3 1585 1825 16.55% 24.19% 59.26%-1.10 -2.5 30
1998-03-21 @ Aberdeen W 1-053.3 1825 1585 59.26% 24.19% 16.55%+1.10 +2.5 62
1998-03-21 Heart of Midlothian L 0-159.7 1657 1733 31.97% 30.56% 37.48%-0.13 -4.6 32
1998-03-21 @ Dundee United W 1-059.7 1733 1657 37.48% 30.56% 31.97%+0.13 +4.6 60
1998-03-21 Motherwell W 1-055.4 1536 1584 36.05% 30.62% 33.33%+0.04 +4.7 23
1998-03-21 @ Hibernian L 0-155.4 1584 1536 33.33% 30.62% 36.05%-0.04 -4.7 29
1998-03-21 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-047.6 1575 1555 45.46% 29.37% 25.17%+0.44 +10.5 39
1998-03-21 @ Kilmarnock L 0-347.6 1555 1575 25.17% 29.37% 45.46%-0.44 -10.5 30
1998-03-21 St. Johnstone W 2-156.3 1805 1608 67.51% 19.74% 12.75%+1.50 +1.7 57
1998-03-21 @ Rangers L 1-256.3 1608 1805 12.75% 19.74% 67.51%-1.50 -1.7 34
1998-03-28 Heart of Midlothian D 0-067.3 1827 1738 54.67% 26.30% 19.03%+0.86 -1.1 63
1998-03-28 @ Celtic D 0-067.3 1738 1827 19.03% 26.30% 54.67%-0.86 +1.1 61
1998-03-28 Rangers L 2-362.6 1545 1807 15.25% 22.84% 61.90%-1.23 -2.1 30
1998-03-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-262.6 1807 1545 61.90% 22.84% 15.25%+1.23 +2.0 60
1998-03-28 Aberdeen D 1-165.1 1541 1582 36.92% 30.59% 32.49%+0.08 -0.1 24
1998-03-28 @ Hibernian D 1-165.1 1582 1541 32.49% 30.59% 36.92%-0.08 +0.1 31
1998-03-28 Dundee United W 1-059.3 1579 1652 32.33% 30.58% 37.09%-0.11 +5.1 32
1998-03-28 @ Motherwell L 0-159.3 1652 1579 37.09% 30.58% 32.33%+0.11 -5.1 32
1998-03-28 Kilmarnock W 1-054.4 1606 1586 45.57% 29.34% 25.09%+0.44 +3.8 37
1998-03-28 @ St. Johnstone L 0-154.4 1586 1606 25.09% 29.34% 45.57%-0.44 -3.8 39
1998-04-01 Hibernian W 3-042.9 1809 1541 74.83% 15.38% 9.78%+1.92 +3.6 63
1998-04-01 @ Rangers L 0-342.9 1541 1809 9.78% 15.38% 74.83%-1.92 -3.6 24
1998-04-04 St. Johnstone L 0-158.9 1582 1610 38.88% 30.45% 30.67%+0.16 -5.3 31
1998-04-04 @ Aberdeen W 1-058.9 1610 1582 30.67% 30.45% 38.88%-0.16 +5.3 40
1998-04-07 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-274.1 1647 1543 56.53% 25.49% 17.98%+0.94 -0.8 33
1998-04-07 @ Dundee United D 2-274.1 1543 1647 17.98% 25.49% 56.53%-0.94 +0.8 31
1998-04-08 Motherwell D 1-171.6 1739 1584 62.66% 22.44% 14.90%+1.24 -1.4 62
1998-04-08 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-171.6 1584 1739 14.90% 22.44% 62.66%-1.24 +1.4 33
1998-04-08 Celtic L 1-258.6 1582 1826 16.28% 23.93% 59.80%-1.13 -2.3 39
1998-04-08 @ Kilmarnock W 2-158.6 1826 1582 59.80% 23.93% 16.28%+1.13 +2.3 66
1998-04-11 Aberdeen D 0-064.1 1646 1577 52.08% 27.34% 20.59%+0.74 -1.0 34
1998-04-11 @ Dundee United D 0-064.1 1577 1646 20.59% 27.34% 52.08%-0.74 +1.0 32
1998-04-11 Heart of Midlothian W 2-169.4 1537 1738 19.25% 26.46% 54.29%-0.87 +6.4 27
1998-04-11 @ Hibernian L 1-269.4 1738 1537 54.29% 26.46% 19.25%+0.87 -6.4 62
1998-04-11 Kilmarnock D 1-166.5 1585 1579 43.56% 29.78% 26.66%+0.36 -0.5 34
1998-04-11 @ Motherwell D 1-166.5 1579 1585 26.66% 29.78% 43.56%-0.36 +0.5 40
1998-04-11 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-062.6 1615 1544 52.34% 27.24% 20.42%+0.75 -1.0 41
1998-04-11 @ St. Johnstone D 0-062.6 1544 1615 20.42% 27.24% 52.34%-0.75 +1.0 32
1998-04-12 Celtic W 2-056.3 1813 1829 40.51% 30.27% 29.22%+0.23 +8.1 66
1998-04-12 @ Rangers L 0-256.3 1829 1813 29.22% 30.27% 40.51%-0.23 -8.1 66
1998-04-18 Motherwell W 4-149.4 1821 1585 71.58% 17.35% 11.08%+1.72 +3.5 69
1998-04-18 @ Celtic L 1-449.4 1585 1821 11.08% 17.35% 71.58%-1.72 -3.5 34
1998-04-18 Hibernian D 1-164.2 1545 1544 42.87% 29.91% 27.23%+0.33 -0.4 33
1998-04-18 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-164.2 1544 1545 27.23% 29.91% 42.87%-0.33 +0.4 28
1998-04-18 St. Johnstone D 1-171.1 1731 1614 58.10% 24.76% 17.14%+1.02 -1.2 63
1998-04-18 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-171.1 1614 1731 17.14% 24.76% 58.10%-1.02 +1.2 42
1998-04-18 Dundee United W 1-058.8 1580 1645 33.43% 30.62% 35.95%-0.07 +5.0 43
1998-04-18 @ Kilmarnock L 0-158.8 1645 1580 35.95% 30.62% 33.43%+0.07 -5.0 34
1998-04-19 Rangers W 1-066.1 1578 1821 16.38% 24.03% 59.58%-1.12 +7.3 35
1998-04-19 @ Aberdeen L 0-166.1 1821 1578 59.58% 24.03% 16.38%+1.12 -7.3 66
1998-04-25 Hibernian D 0-069.9 1824 1544 75.94% 14.71% 9.35%+1.98 -2.1 70
1998-04-25 @ Celtic D 0-069.9 1544 1824 9.35% 14.71% 75.94%-1.98 +2.1 29
1998-04-25 St. Johnstone L 0-258.6 1640 1615 46.21% 29.18% 24.61%+0.47 -11.3 34
1998-04-25 @ Dundee United W 2-058.6 1615 1640 24.61% 29.18% 46.21%-0.47 +11.3 45
1998-04-25 Rangers L 0-354.8 1730 1814 31.00% 30.48% 38.52%-0.17 -12.3 63
1998-04-25 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-054.8 1814 1730 38.52% 30.48% 31.00%+0.17 +12.3 69
1998-04-25 Aberdeen W 2-160.2 1585 1585 42.68% 29.94% 27.38%+0.32 +3.9 46
1998-04-25 @ Kilmarnock L 1-260.2 1585 1585 27.38% 29.94% 42.68%-0.32 -3.9 35
1998-04-25 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-361.6 1581 1544 47.81% 28.75% 23.44%+0.54 -10.1 34
1998-04-25 @ Motherwell W 3-161.6 1544 1581 23.44% 28.75% 47.81%-0.54 +10.1 36
1998-05-02 Heart of Midlothian D 2-274.9 1581 1718 24.86% 29.27% 45.87%-0.49 +0.4 36
1998-05-02 @ Aberdeen D 2-274.9 1718 1581 45.87% 29.27% 24.86%+0.49 -0.4 64
1998-05-02 Dundee United L 1-261.7 1546 1629 31.10% 30.49% 38.41%-0.17 -4.3 29
1998-05-02 @ Hibernian W 2-161.7 1629 1546 38.41% 30.49% 31.10%+0.17 +4.3 37
1998-05-02 Kilmarnock L 0-167.8 1826 1589 71.74% 17.25% 11.01%+1.73 -8.2 69
1998-05-02 @ Rangers W 1-067.8 1589 1826 11.01% 17.25% 71.74%-1.73 +8.2 49
1998-05-02 Motherwell W 3-263.7 1627 1571 50.25% 27.99% 21.77%+0.65 +3.0 48
1998-05-02 @ St. Johnstone L 2-363.7 1571 1627 21.77% 27.99% 50.25%-0.65 -3.0 34
1998-05-03 Celtic D 1-172.1 1554 1822 14.95% 22.50% 62.54%-1.27 +1.4 37
1998-05-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-172.1 1822 1554 62.54% 22.50% 14.95%+1.27 -1.4 71
1998-05-09 St. Johnstone W 2-047.9 1821 1630 66.77% 20.16% 13.07%+1.46 +3.6 74
1998-05-09 @ Celtic L 0-247.9 1630 1821 13.07% 20.16% 66.77%-1.46 -3.6 48
1998-05-09 Rangers L 1-261.1 1633 1818 20.48% 27.27% 52.25%-0.77 -3.0 37
1998-05-09 @ Dundee United W 2-161.1 1818 1633 52.25% 27.27% 20.48%+0.77 +3.0 72
1998-05-09 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-047.3 1717 1556 63.42% 22.03% 14.55%+1.28 +4.1 67
1998-05-09 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-247.3 1556 1717 14.55% 22.03% 63.42%-1.28 -4.1 37
1998-05-09 Hibernian D 1-166.3 1597 1542 50.18% 28.01% 21.81%+0.65 -0.8 50
1998-05-09 @ Kilmarnock D 1-166.3 1542 1597 21.81% 28.01% 50.18%-0.65 +0.8 30
1998-05-09 Aberdeen L 1-263.8 1568 1582 40.84% 30.23% 28.94%+0.24 -5.2 34
1998-05-09 @ Motherwell W 2-163.8 1582 1568 28.94% 30.23% 40.84%-0.24 +5.2 39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1998-05-02 11.01% Kilmarnock 1589 1 @ Rangers 1826 0
2 1997-11-15 11.45% Motherwell 1574 2 @ Celtic 1801 0
3 1997-08-16 12.59% Dunfermline Athletic 1576 2 @ Celtic 1777 1
4 1998-04-19 16.38% @ Aberdeen 1578 1 Rangers 1821 0
5 1998-03-14 16.84% @ Motherwell 1577 2 Rangers 1812 1
6 1998-01-31 18.11% @ St. Johnstone 1611 2 Rangers 1827 0
7 1997-12-27 18.43% @ St. Johnstone 1597 1 Celtic 1809 0
8 1997-09-13 19.09% Kilmarnock 1569 2 @ Dundee United 1658 1
9 1998-04-11 19.25% @ Hibernian 1537 2 Heart of Midlothian 1738 1
10 1997-08-03 19.38% @ Hibernian 1585 2 Celtic 1783 1
11 1997-11-08 22.48% Dunfermline Athletic 1566 2 @ St. Johnstone 1613 0
12 1997-10-25 22.52% @ Dundee United 1657 2 Rangers 1817 1
13 1998-04-25 23.44% Dunfermline Athletic 1544 3 @ Motherwell 1581 1
14 1998-02-21 23.51% Aberdeen 1583 1 @ St. Johnstone 1619 0
15 1997-11-08 24.32% Kilmarnock 1552 1 @ Motherwell 1580 0
16 1998-04-25 24.61% St. Johnstone 1615 2 @ Dundee United 1640 0
17 1997-10-25 25.77% Aberdeen 1575 2 @ Motherwell 1589 1
18 1997-12-27 26.77% Kilmarnock 1559 1 @ Hibernian 1564 0
19 1997-08-16 27.33% St. Johnstone 1616 1 @ Motherwell 1616 0
20 1997-09-27 27.88% Dunfermline Athletic 1580 2 @ Aberdeen 1575 1
21 1998-01-03 28.30% @ Aberdeen 1565 1 Dundee United 1670 0
22 1998-05-09 28.94% Aberdeen 1582 2 @ Motherwell 1568 1
23 1997-08-02 29.77% Motherwell 1606 2 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1586 0
24 1997-12-13 29.99% @ Motherwell 1586 1 Dundee United 1678 0
25 1997-08-23 30.34% Motherwell 1611 3 @ Aberdeen 1586 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1997-11-15 15.40 Motherwell 2 1574 11.45% @ Celtic 0 1801 70.64% 17.90%
2 1997-08-23 14.19 @ Hibernian 4 1592 44.01% Kilmarnock 0 1583 26.30% 29.69%
3 1998-01-31 13.15 @ St. Johnstone 2 1611 18.11% Rangers 0 1827 56.31% 25.59%
4 1997-12-27 13.00 @ Aberdeen 3 1552 36.06% Motherwell 0 1599 33.32% 30.62%
5 1997-10-18 12.60 @ Dundee United 4 1644 48.54% Motherwell 0 1601 22.92% 28.53%
6 1997-11-09 12.46 @ Dundee United 5 1670 55.88% Aberdeen 0 1571 18.34% 25.78%
7 1998-04-25 12.34 Rangers 3 1814 38.52% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1730 31.00% 30.48%
8 1997-11-08 11.89 Dunfermline Athletic 2 1566 22.48% @ St. Johnstone 0 1613 49.19% 28.33%
9 1997-09-27 11.49 Heart of Midlothian 3 1674 41.68% @ Kilmarnock 0 1568 28.21% 30.11%
10 1998-04-25 11.34 St. Johnstone 2 1615 24.61% @ Dundee United 0 1640 46.21% 29.18%
11 1997-10-04 10.89 Heart of Midlothian 4 1686 36.40% @ Motherwell 1 1617 32.99% 30.61%
12 1998-03-21 10.47 @ Kilmarnock 3 1575 45.46% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1555 25.17% 29.37%
13 1998-02-07 10.32 @ Aberdeen 3 1573 46.04% Hibernian 0 1549 24.74% 29.23%
14 1997-11-22 10.24 @ Celtic 4 1785 55.49% Dundee United 0 1689 18.56% 25.95%
15 1997-08-02 10.16 Motherwell 2 1606 29.77% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1586 39.88% 30.35%
16 1998-01-03 10.11 @ Kilmarnock 4 1565 39.80% Motherwell 1 1586 29.85% 30.36%
17 1998-04-25 10.07 Dunfermline Athletic 3 1544 23.44% @ Motherwell 1 1581 47.81% 28.75%
18 1997-10-18 9.89 @ Rangers 7 1807 70.16% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1585 11.65% 18.19%
19 1998-01-31 9.76 @ Motherwell 6 1576 45.11% Hibernian 2 1558 25.44% 29.45%
20 1997-11-01 9.36 Heart of Midlothian 4 1697 43.14% @ Aberdeen 1 1580 27.00% 29.86%
21 1997-10-18 8.78 @ Aberdeen 2 1566 37.01% Hibernian 0 1607 32.41% 30.58%
22 1997-08-23 8.70 Motherwell 3 1611 30.34% @ Aberdeen 1 1586 39.25% 30.41%
23 1997-12-20 8.57 Rangers 5 1818 40.74% @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1718 29.02% 30.24%
24 1998-01-02 8.48 @ Celtic 2 1802 38.60% Rangers 0 1831 30.92% 30.47%
25 1998-05-02 8.25 Kilmarnock 1 1589 11.01% @ Rangers 0 1826 71.74% 17.25%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1997-09-13 82.8 @ Rangers 3 1793 69.49% Aberdeen 3 1577 11.92% 18.58%
2 1997-09-27 78.8 @ Rangers 2 1806 66.65% Motherwell 2 1616 13.12% 20.23%
3 1997-10-04 77.3 @ Dunfermline Athletic 3 1585 34.36% Dundee United 3 1644 35.00% 30.64%
4 1998-02-28 77.3 @ Rangers 2 1813 53.31% Heart of Midlothian 2 1734 19.83% 26.86%
5 1998-01-01 76.7 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1716 62.95% Hibernian 2 1558 14.77% 22.29%
6 1998-03-14 75.2 @ Dunfermline Athletic 3 1555 38.64% Aberdeen 3 1585 30.89% 30.47%
7 1998-01-17 75.0 @ Kilmarnock 2 1576 24.22% Heart of Midlothian 2 1719 46.73% 29.05%
8 1998-05-02 74.9 @ Aberdeen 2 1581 24.86% Heart of Midlothian 2 1718 45.87% 29.27%
9 1998-04-07 74.1 @ Dundee United 2 1647 56.53% Dunfermline Athletic 2 1543 17.98% 25.49%
10 1998-02-07 74.0 @ Rangers 1 1814 74.10% Dunfermline Athletic 1 1553 10.07% 15.82%
11 1998-02-21 73.2 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1555 28.70% Dundee United 2 1657 41.11% 30.19%
12 1998-03-15 73.0 @ Celtic 1 1826 64.49% Dundee United 1 1656 14.06% 21.44%
13 1997-08-30 72.9 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1588 38.93% St. Johnstone 2 1615 30.63% 30.44%
14 1997-08-16 72.3 Dunfermline Athletic 2 1576 12.59% @ Celtic 1 1777 67.90% 19.51%
15 1998-05-03 72.1 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1554 14.95% Celtic 1 1822 62.54% 22.50%
16 1997-11-15 71.9 @ Aberdeen 1 1559 15.39% Rangers 1 1818 61.61% 23.00%
17 1998-02-24 71.7 @ Kilmarnock 1 1572 16.42% Rangers 1 1814 59.51% 24.07%
18 1997-11-22 71.6 @ Motherwell 1 1589 17.34% Rangers 1 1817 57.73% 24.93%
19 1998-01-10 71.6 @ Motherwell 1 1576 16.89% Celtic 1 1811 58.60% 24.52%
20 1998-04-08 71.6 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1739 62.66% Motherwell 1 1584 14.90% 22.44%
21 1998-03-14 71.5 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1735 63.35% Kilmarnock 1 1574 14.58% 22.07%
22 1998-03-14 71.3 @ Motherwell 2 1577 16.84% Rangers 1 1812 58.68% 24.48%
23 1997-12-13 71.2 @ Hibernian 2 1571 44.95% Aberdeen 2 1555 25.57% 29.49%
24 1998-04-18 71.1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1731 58.10% St. Johnstone 1 1614 17.14% 24.76%
25 1997-11-19 70.6 @ Celtic 1 1785 38.29% Rangers 1 1817 31.21% 30.50%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-04-01 42.9 @ Rangers 3 1809 74.83% Hibernian 0 1541 9.78% 15.38%
2 1997-10-04 43.8 @ Celtic 4 1786 70.94% Kilmarnock 0 1557 11.33% 17.72%
3 1998-02-21 43.9 @ Celtic 4 1815 71.78% Kilmarnock 0 1577 11.00% 17.22%
4 1997-12-20 44.7 @ Celtic 5 1802 71.10% Hibernian 0 1571 11.27% 17.63%
5 1998-01-10 45.6 @ Rangers 2 1823 73.30% Aberdeen 0 1570 10.39% 16.31%
6 1997-10-18 46.7 @ Rangers 7 1807 70.16% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1585 11.65% 18.19%
7 1997-09-20 46.9 @ Celtic 2 1779 67.88% Aberdeen 0 1578 12.60% 19.52%
8 1998-02-25 46.9 @ Celtic 5 1820 74.54% Dunfermline Athletic 1 1555 9.90% 15.56%
9 1998-02-07 47.1 @ Aberdeen 3 1573 46.04% Hibernian 0 1549 24.74% 29.23%
10 1998-05-09 47.3 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1717 63.42% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1556 14.55% 22.03%
11 1997-11-09 47.6 @ Dundee United 5 1670 55.88% Aberdeen 0 1571 18.34% 25.78%
12 1998-03-21 47.6 @ Kilmarnock 3 1575 45.46% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1555 25.17% 29.37%
13 1997-10-25 47.9 @ Celtic 2 1796 65.81% St. Johnstone 0 1614 13.49% 20.71%
14 1998-05-09 47.9 @ Celtic 2 1821 66.77% St. Johnstone 0 1630 13.07% 20.16%
15 1997-09-24 48.4 Rangers 3 1798 57.10% @ Kilmarnock 0 1576 17.67% 25.23%
16 1997-11-01 48.5 @ Rangers 4 1811 73.62% Kilmarnock 1 1555 10.26% 16.12%
17 1997-08-23 49.0 @ Hibernian 4 1592 44.01% Kilmarnock 0 1583 26.30% 29.69%
18 1997-11-08 49.0 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1706 58.51% Hibernian 0 1586 16.93% 24.56%
19 1997-12-06 49.0 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1717 59.14% Motherwell 0 1591 16.61% 24.25%
20 1997-10-18 49.2 @ Dundee United 4 1644 48.54% Motherwell 0 1601 22.92% 28.53%
21 1997-12-07 49.2 @ Rangers 1 1818 72.50% Hibernian 0 1573 10.71% 16.79%
22 1998-01-17 49.2 @ Rangers 1 1826 72.90% Motherwell 0 1577 10.55% 16.55%
23 1997-11-22 49.3 @ Celtic 4 1785 55.49% Dundee United 0 1689 18.56% 25.95%
24 1998-04-18 49.4 @ Celtic 4 1821 71.58% Motherwell 1 1585 11.08% 17.35%
25 1998-01-28 49.6 @ Aberdeen 2 1568 44.27% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1557 26.09% 29.63%