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1998-99 Scottish Premier League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

77 points · 48th Title

Last Title: 1996-97

Relegated

Dunfermline Athletic

28 pts

Biggest Overachiever

St. Johnstone

7.96 points above expected

57 points · 49.04 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dundee United

10.52 points below expected

34 points · 44.52 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers Champion 36 23 8 5 77 78 31 +47 71.81 +5.19
2 Celtic 36 21 8 7 71 84 35 +49 69.95 +1.05
3 St. Johnstone 36 15 12 9 57 39 38 +1 49.04 +7.96
4 Kilmarnock 36 14 14 8 56 47 29 +18 50.62 +5.38
5 Dundee 36 13 7 16 46 36 56 -20 40.39 +5.61
6 Heart of Midlothian 36 11 9 16 42 44 50 -6 50.55 -8.55
7 Motherwell 36 10 11 15 41 35 54 -19 38.34 +2.66
8 Aberdeen 36 10 7 19 37 43 71 -28 39.22 -2.22
9 Dundee United 36 8 10 18 34 37 48 -11 44.52 -10.52
10 Dunfermline Athletic Relegated 36 4 16 16 28 28 59 -31 37.34 -9.34

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Johnstone 57 49.04 +7.96
2 Dundee 46 40.39 +5.61
3 Kilmarnock 56 50.62 +5.38
4 Rangers 77 71.81 +5.19
5 Motherwell 41 38.34 +2.66

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundee United 34 44.52 -10.52
2 Dunfermline Athletic 28 37.34 -9.34
3 Heart of Midlothian 42 50.55 -8.55
4 Aberdeen 37 39.22 -2.22
5 Celtic 71 69.95 +1.05

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee 4 Apr 24 – May 15 1 in 117
2 Aberdeen 3 Dec 12 – Dec 26 1 in 41
3 Celtic 6 Jan 31 – Mar 14 1 in 18
4 St. Johnstone 3 Feb 6 – Feb 27 1 in 17
5 Rangers 6 Jan 27 – Mar 13 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 5 Jan 30 – Mar 20 1 in 238
2 Rangers 2 Mar 20 – Apr 4 1 in 47
3 Aberdeen 4 Nov 14 – Dec 5 1 in 25
4 Dundee 3 Aug 1 – Aug 23 1 in 22
5 Motherwell 4 Sep 23 – Oct 17 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kilmarnock 9 Aug 30 – Oct 31 1 in 75
2 Dundee 6 Apr 10 – May 15 1 in 44
3 Heart of Midlothian 6 Apr 17 – May 23 1 in 27
4 Motherwell 5 Oct 28 – Nov 21 1 in 26
5 Dunfermline Athletic 6 Aug 15 – Sep 23 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 12 Dec 9 – Apr 3 1 in 237
2 Aberdeen 10 Aug 22 – Oct 31 1 in 41
3 Celtic 5 Aug 29 – Sep 26 1 in 40
4 Dunfermline Athletic 12 Nov 21 – Mar 6 1 in 25
5 Kilmarnock 5 Jan 30 – Mar 6 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rangers 1917 77 +25 11 10.1 +0.9
Celtic 1892 71 -21 9 10.2 -1.2
St. Johnstone 1727 57 +5 8 7.2 +0.8
Kilmarnock 1753 56 -16 3 7.7 -4.7
Dundee 1648 46 +31 12 5.9 +6.1
Heart of Midlothian 1705 42 +56 13 6.7 +6.3
Motherwell 1633 41 -16 7 5.2 +1.8
Aberdeen 1599 37 -13 3 4.6 -1.6
Dundee United 1649 34 -29 2 6.2 -4.2
Dunfermline Athletic 1566 28 -22 1 4.8 -3.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN DU DA HOM KIL MOT RAN SJ
Aberdeen —
1-0-3
2.75
2-1-1
5.39
0-0-4
4.98
3-1-0
5.79
2-0-2
4.23
1-0-3
4.10
0-4-0
5.52
0-1-3
2.63
1-0-3
4.61
Celtic
3-0-1
8.37
 —
3-1-0
8.40
3-1-0
8.04
3-1-0
8.49
2-1-1
7.74
1-2-1
7.42
4-0-0
8.39
1-2-1
5.13
1-0-3
7.72
Dundee
1-1-2
5.42
0-1-3
2.72
 —
2-1-1
4.80
2-0-2
5.74
4-0-0
4.24
1-2-1
3.85
3-0-1
5.06
0-1-3
2.42
0-1-3
4.40
Dundee United
4-0-0
5.84
0-1-3
3.01
1-1-2
6.03
 —
0-3-1
6.42
1-1-2
4.99
0-1-3
4.92
0-1-3
6.13
1-1-2
3.00
1-1-2
5.13
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1-3
5.02
0-1-3
2.64
2-0-2
5.09
1-3-0
4.42
 —
0-2-2
4.11
0-2-2
3.86
0-3-1
4.90
0-1-3
2.45
1-3-0
4.27
Heart of Midlothian
2-0-2
6.62
1-1-2
3.26
0-0-4
6.64
2-1-1
5.85
2-2-0
6.76
 —
1-1-2
5.16
2-0-2
6.23
1-1-2
3.60
0-3-1
5.42
Kilmarnock
3-0-1
6.80
1-2-1
3.53
1-2-1
7.06
3-1-0
5.90
2-2-0
7.04
2-1-1
5.66
 —
1-2-1
6.78
0-1-3
3.48
1-3-0
5.60
Motherwell
0-4-0
5.29
0-0-4
2.72
1-0-3
5.75
3-1-0
4.70
1-3-0
5.92
2-0-2
4.62
1-2-1
4.12
 —
1-0-3
2.53
1-1-2
4.58
Rangers
3-1-0
8.52
1-2-1
5.69
3-1-0
8.77
2-1-1
8.05
3-1-0
8.74
2-1-1
7.37
3-1-0
7.47
3-0-1
8.63
 —
3-0-1
7.76
St. Johnstone
3-0-1
6.22
3-0-1
3.26
3-1-0
6.45
2-1-1
5.69
0-3-1
6.59
1-3-0
5.42
0-3-1
5.22
2-1-1
6.27
1-0-3
3.23
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +7.5
Allowed 0.64 -9.4
Differential 0.88 +5.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.89%8.61%5.83%3.06%1.39%2.22%30.00%
18.61%14.44%8.06%2.22%0.56%1.67%35.56%
25.83%8.06%5.00%1.11%0.83%0.28%21.11%
33.06%2.22%1.11%———6.39%
41.39%0.56%0.83%———2.78%
5+2.22%1.67%0.28%———4.17%
Total30.00%35.56%21.11%6.39%2.78%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.31 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 2.07
CV 1.02 1.02 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%8.33%5.56%5.56%—27.78%
12.78%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%30.56%
28.33%11.11%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%36.11%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%36.11%22.22%11.11%13.89%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.97 -0.78
SD 0.92 1.42 1.81
CV 0.77 0.72 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
15.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
25.56%13.89%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+11.11%11.11%————22.22%
Total33.33%41.67%19.44%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.33 0.97 +1.36
SD 1.93 0.88 2.28
CV 0.83 0.90 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%30.56%
113.89%11.11%8.33%2.78%—5.56%41.67%
28.33%11.11%5.56%———25.00%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%36.11%22.22%5.56%2.78%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.56 -0.56
SD 0.83 1.59 1.98
CV 0.83 1.02 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%13.89%2.78%——36.11%
18.33%11.11%16.67%2.78%2.78%—41.67%
2——8.33%———8.33%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%27.78%38.89%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.33 -0.31
SD 1.08 1.01 1.64
CV 1.05 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%—8.33%36.11%
12.78%27.78%13.89%5.56%——50.00%
25.56%2.78%5.56%———13.89%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%36.11%25.00%11.11%—8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 1.64 -0.86
SD 0.68 1.46 1.78
CV 0.88 0.89 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%16.67%8.33%——44.44%
1—11.11%2.78%———13.89%
25.56%11.11%2.78%5.56%2.78%—27.78%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total22.22%36.11%25.00%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.39 -0.17
SD 1.38 1.08 1.84
CV 1.13 0.78 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%8.33%———2.78%33.33%
18.33%11.11%8.33%2.78%——30.56%
211.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
35.56%—————5.56%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total52.78%25.00%16.67%2.78%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 0.81 +0.50
SD 1.39 1.12 1.86
CV 1.06 1.39 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%30.56%
111.11%13.89%16.67%——5.56%47.22%
25.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%27.78%27.78%2.78%2.78%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.50 -0.53
SD 0.84 1.63 1.92
CV 0.87 1.09 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%————13.89%
111.11%11.11%2.78%2.78%—2.78%30.56%
22.78%13.89%2.78%———19.44%
38.33%5.56%2.78%———16.67%
45.56%—2.78%———8.33%
5+5.56%5.56%————11.11%
Total41.67%41.67%11.11%2.78%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.17 0.86 +1.31
SD 1.75 1.05 2.15
CV 0.81 1.21 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%——2.78%5.56%30.56%
122.22%22.22%—2.78%——47.22%
25.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total38.89%47.22%2.78%2.78%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.06 +0.03
SD 1.13 1.51 2.10
CV 1.04 1.43 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rangers 1917 77 71.81 +5.19 75.0% 53 60 67 72 77 82 87
Celtic 1892 71 69.95 +1.05 54.0% 49 55 64 71 75 83 89
Kilmarnock 1753 56 50.62 +5.38 80.0% 35 40 45 50 55 64 67
St. Johnstone 1727 57 49.04 +7.96 84.0% 31 37 43 49 55 60 65
Heart of Midlothian 1705 42 50.55 -8.55 18.0% 35 37 45 51 56 63 69
Dundee United 1649 34 44.52 -10.52 11.0% 30 33 39 45 49 56 59
Dundee 1648 46 40.39 +5.61 82.0% 22 28 36 41 45 52 55
Motherwell 1633 41 38.34 +2.66 74.0% 19 28 33 38 42 50 58
Aberdeen 1599 37 39.22 -2.22 39.0% 24 29 35 39 43 49 57
Dunfermline Athletic 1566 28 37.34 -9.34 12.0% 23 26 33 37 42 48 58

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.67%
No Edge
41.67%28.33%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
148 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
040.72400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.15 goals
Neutral
-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
55%
Rangers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Comfortable
00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.75 * Some Luck: 5.75 to 8.62 * Lucky: 8.62 to 11.49 * Wild Swing: 11.49 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.1 * Close: 1.1 to 1.65 * Off: 1.65 to 2.2 * Way Off: 2.2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.67 * A Surprise: 0.67 to 1.07 * Several Surprises: 1.07 to 1.47 * Many Surprises: 1.47 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.59 points
Some Luck
07.1818
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Close
01.383
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
84.00%
St. Johnstone
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
11.00%
Dundee United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 1
As Expected
00.71

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 117.89
2.07
Moderate Separation
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Even
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Occasional
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Very Even
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.87
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.62
Some Carryover
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.61
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.95
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.098
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rangers55.00%40.00%4.00%—1.00%—————
Celtic44.00%48.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—————
St. Johnstone—4.00%23.00%20.00%18.00%11.00%12.00%7.00%1.00%4.00%
Kilmarnock1.00%3.00%28.00%21.00%20.00%16.00%4.00%6.00%1.00%—
Dundee——1.00%8.00%13.00%11.00%17.00%19.00%13.00%18.00%
Heart of Midlothian—4.00%26.00%23.00%15.00%14.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%—
Motherwell——3.00%5.00%2.00%12.00%11.00%17.00%36.00%14.00%
Aberdeen——3.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%22.00%23.00%17.00%22.00%
Dundee United—1.00%5.00%15.00%24.00%17.00%15.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%
Dunfermline Athletic——2.00%2.00%3.00%13.00%10.00%17.00%20.00%33.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Celtic 100% —
Heart of Midlothian 100% —
Kilmarnock 100% —
Rangers 100% —
St. Johnstone 96.00% 4.00%
Dundee United 91.00% 9.00%
Motherwell 86.00% 14.00%
Dundee 82.00% 18.00%
Aberdeen 78.00% 22.00%
Dunfermline Athletic 67.00% 33.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1998-08-01 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-048.9 1825 1645 63.75% 21.73% 14.52%+1.49 +11.8 3
1998-08-01 @ Celtic L 0-548.9 1645 1825 14.52% 21.73% 63.75%-1.49 -11.8 0
1998-08-01 Aberdeen L 0-259.4 1654 1670 38.62% 29.90% 31.47%+0.17 -12.3 0
1998-08-01 @ Dundee W 2-059.4 1670 1654 31.47% 29.90% 38.62%-0.17 +12.3 3
1998-08-01 Dundee United W 2-058.2 1670 1699 36.71% 30.01% 33.28%+0.08 +11.1 3
1998-08-01 @ Kilmarnock L 0-258.2 1699 1670 33.28% 30.01% 36.71%-0.08 -11.1 0
1998-08-01 St. Johnstone W 1-060.8 1658 1693 35.72% 30.04% 34.24%+0.03 +6.0 3
1998-08-01 @ Motherwell L 0-160.8 1693 1658 34.24% 30.04% 35.72%-0.03 -6.0 0
1998-08-02 Rangers W 2-168.7 1754 1820 31.48% 29.90% 38.62%-0.17 +6.2 3
1998-08-02 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-268.7 1820 1754 38.62% 29.90% 31.48%+0.17 -6.2 0
1998-08-15 Dundee W 2-056.3 1634 1642 39.61% 29.82% 30.57%+0.22 +10.4 3
1998-08-15 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-256.3 1642 1634 30.57% 29.82% 39.61%-0.22 -10.4 0
1998-08-15 Motherwell W 2-159.8 1814 1664 60.31% 23.49% 16.20%+1.29 +2.9 3
1998-08-15 @ Rangers L 1-259.8 1664 1814 16.20% 23.49% 60.31%-1.29 -2.9 3
1998-08-15 Kilmarnock D 0-065.3 1687 1681 41.59% 29.59% 28.82%+0.31 -0.5 1
1998-08-15 @ St. Johnstone D 0-065.3 1681 1687 28.82% 29.59% 41.59%-0.31 +0.5 4
1998-08-16 Celtic W 3-276.4 1682 1837 21.80% 27.45% 50.75%-0.77 +7.2 6
1998-08-16 @ Aberdeen L 2-376.4 1837 1682 50.75% 27.45% 21.80%+0.77 -7.2 3
1998-08-16 Heart of Midlothian D 0-065.7 1688 1760 30.74% 29.84% 39.43%-0.21 +0.3 1
1998-08-16 @ Dundee United D 0-065.7 1760 1688 39.43% 29.84% 30.74%+0.21 -0.3 4
1998-08-22 Dundee United W 2-160.2 1830 1688 59.27% 23.99% 16.74%+1.23 +3.0 6
1998-08-22 @ Celtic L 1-260.2 1688 1830 16.74% 23.99% 59.27%-1.23 -3.0 1
1998-08-22 Aberdeen W 2-054.6 1759 1689 50.35% 27.58% 22.07%+0.75 +7.9 7
1998-08-22 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-254.6 1689 1759 22.07% 27.58% 50.35%-0.75 -7.9 6
1998-08-22 Rangers L 1-361.2 1682 1816 23.67% 28.25% 48.07%-0.63 -7.3 4
1998-08-22 @ Kilmarnock W 3-161.2 1816 1682 48.07% 28.25% 23.67%+0.63 +7.3 6
1998-08-22 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-064.7 1661 1644 43.10% 29.36% 27.54%+0.39 -0.6 4
1998-08-22 @ Motherwell D 0-064.7 1644 1661 27.54% 29.36% 43.10%-0.39 +0.6 4
1998-08-23 St. Johnstone L 0-160.0 1632 1687 32.97% 30.00% 37.04%-0.10 -5.8 0
1998-08-23 @ Dundee W 1-060.0 1687 1632 37.04% 30.00% 32.97%+0.10 +5.8 4
1998-08-29 Celtic D 1-172.0 1626 1833 17.79% 24.89% 57.33%-1.12 +1.4 1
1998-08-29 @ Dundee D 1-172.0 1833 1626 57.33% 24.89% 17.79%+1.12 -1.4 7
1998-08-29 Aberdeen D 1-169.4 1645 1681 35.58% 30.04% 34.38%+0.03 -0.0 5
1998-08-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-169.4 1681 1645 34.38% 30.04% 35.58%-0.03 +0.0 7
1998-08-29 St. Johnstone W 4-050.6 1824 1693 58.05% 24.56% 17.39%+1.16 +11.8 9
1998-08-29 @ Rangers L 0-450.6 1693 1824 17.39% 24.56% 58.05%-1.16 -11.8 4
1998-08-30 Heart of Midlothian W 3-059.7 1675 1767 28.15% 29.47% 42.37%-0.35 +19.2 7
1998-08-30 @ Kilmarnock L 0-359.7 1767 1675 42.37% 29.47% 28.15%+0.35 -19.1 7
1998-08-30 Dundee United W 1-060.3 1660 1685 37.22% 29.99% 32.79%+0.11 +5.8 7
1998-08-30 @ Motherwell L 0-160.3 1685 1660 32.79% 29.99% 37.22%-0.11 -5.8 1
1998-09-12 Motherwell D 1-169.8 1681 1666 42.92% 29.39% 27.69%+0.38 -0.5 8
1998-09-12 @ Aberdeen D 1-169.8 1666 1681 27.69% 29.39% 42.92%-0.38 +0.5 8
1998-09-12 Kilmarnock D 1-172.4 1831 1694 58.80% 24.21% 16.99%+1.20 -1.5 8
1998-09-12 @ Celtic D 1-172.4 1694 1831 16.99% 24.21% 58.80%-1.20 +1.5 8
1998-09-12 Rangers D 0-066.7 1679 1836 21.69% 27.39% 50.92%-0.78 +1.1 2
1998-09-12 @ Dundee United D 0-066.7 1836 1679 50.92% 27.39% 21.69%+0.78 -1.1 10
1998-09-12 Dundee L 0-263.9 1748 1627 56.80% 25.12% 18.08%+1.09 -16.5 7
1998-09-12 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-063.9 1627 1748 18.08% 25.12% 56.80%-1.09 +16.5 4
1998-09-12 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-169.8 1681 1645 45.78% 28.83% 25.39%+0.52 -0.7 5
1998-09-12 @ St. Johnstone D 1-169.8 1645 1681 25.39% 28.83% 45.78%-0.52 +0.7 6
1998-09-19 Dundee United D 2-275.1 1644 1681 35.53% 30.04% 34.44%+0.03 -0.0 5
1998-09-19 @ Dundee D 2-275.1 1681 1644 34.44% 30.04% 35.53%-0.03 +0.0 3
1998-09-19 Kilmarnock D 0-065.1 1666 1695 36.70% 30.01% 33.29%+0.08 -0.1 9
1998-09-19 @ Motherwell D 0-065.1 1695 1666 33.29% 30.01% 36.70%-0.08 +0.1 9
1998-09-19 Aberdeen W 2-057.0 1680 1681 40.69% 29.70% 29.61%+0.27 +10.2 8
1998-09-19 @ St. Johnstone L 0-257.0 1681 1680 29.61% 29.70% 40.69%-0.27 -10.2 8
1998-09-20 Heart of Midlothian D 1-170.0 1645 1732 28.91% 29.60% 41.48%-0.31 +0.4 7
1998-09-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-170.0 1732 1645 41.48% 29.60% 28.91%+0.31 -0.4 8
1998-09-20 Celtic D 0-066.3 1834 1830 41.45% 29.61% 28.94%+0.31 -0.5 11
1998-09-20 @ Rangers D 0-066.3 1830 1834 28.94% 29.61% 41.45%-0.31 +0.5 9
1998-09-23 Rangers D 1-171.5 1671 1834 21.07% 27.07% 51.86%-0.83 +1.1 9
1998-09-23 @ Aberdeen D 1-171.5 1834 1671 51.86% 27.07% 21.07%+0.83 -1.1 12
1998-09-23 St. Johnstone L 0-167.4 1830 1690 59.11% 24.07% 16.83%+1.22 -9.0 9
1998-09-23 @ Celtic W 1-067.4 1690 1830 16.83% 24.07% 59.11%-1.22 +9.0 11
1998-09-23 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-169.8 1681 1646 45.61% 28.86% 25.52%+0.51 -0.7 4
1998-09-23 @ Dundee United D 1-169.8 1646 1681 25.52% 28.86% 45.61%-0.51 +0.7 8
1998-09-23 Motherwell W 3-053.0 1731 1666 49.65% 27.79% 22.55%+0.71 +11.8 11
1998-09-23 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-353.0 1666 1731 22.55% 27.79% 49.65%-0.71 -11.8 9
1998-09-23 Dundee W 2-162.6 1695 1644 47.89% 28.30% 23.81%+0.62 +4.2 12
1998-09-23 @ Kilmarnock L 1-262.6 1644 1695 23.81% 28.30% 47.89%-0.62 -4.2 5
1998-09-26 Heart of Midlothian D 1-171.6 1821 1743 51.36% 27.24% 21.40%+0.80 -1.0 10
1998-09-26 @ Celtic D 1-171.6 1743 1821 21.40% 27.24% 51.36%-0.80 +1.0 12
1998-09-26 Motherwell W 1-059.2 1639 1655 38.64% 29.90% 31.46%+0.17 +5.6 8
1998-09-26 @ Dundee L 0-159.2 1655 1639 31.46% 29.90% 38.64%-0.17 -5.6 9
1998-09-26 Rangers L 0-253.4 1646 1833 19.23% 25.96% 54.81%-0.99 -6.9 8
1998-09-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-053.4 1833 1646 54.81% 25.96% 19.23%+0.99 +6.9 15
1998-09-26 Dundee United L 1-366.8 1699 1680 43.47% 29.29% 27.23%+0.41 -11.6 11
1998-09-26 @ St. Johnstone W 3-166.8 1680 1699 27.23% 29.29% 43.47%-0.41 +11.6 7
1998-09-27 Kilmarnock L 0-161.7 1672 1700 36.81% 30.01% 33.18%+0.09 -6.3 9
1998-09-27 @ Aberdeen W 1-061.7 1700 1672 33.18% 30.01% 36.81%-0.09 +6.3 15
1998-10-03 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-065.6 1706 1639 49.84% 27.74% 22.42%+0.72 -1.1 16
1998-10-03 @ Kilmarnock D 0-065.6 1639 1706 22.42% 27.74% 49.84%-0.72 +1.0 9
1998-10-03 Celtic L 1-262.0 1649 1820 20.42% 26.71% 52.87%-0.88 -3.7 9
1998-10-03 @ Motherwell W 2-162.0 1820 1649 52.87% 26.71% 20.42%+0.88 +3.7 13
1998-10-04 Aberdeen W 1-058.2 1692 1665 44.43% 29.11% 26.45%+0.45 +4.9 10
1998-10-04 @ Dundee United L 0-158.2 1665 1692 26.45% 29.11% 44.43%-0.45 -4.9 9
1998-10-04 St. Johnstone D 1-170.9 1744 1688 48.54% 28.12% 23.34%+0.66 -0.8 13
1998-10-04 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-170.9 1688 1744 23.34% 28.12% 48.54%-0.66 +0.9 12
1998-10-04 Dundee W 1-052.7 1840 1645 65.49% 20.80% 13.71%+1.59 +2.5 18
1998-10-04 @ Rangers L 0-152.7 1645 1840 13.71% 20.80% 65.49%-1.59 -2.5 8
1998-10-17 Dundee D 2-275.1 1660 1643 43.28% 29.33% 27.39%+0.40 -0.4 10
1998-10-17 @ Aberdeen D 2-275.1 1643 1660 27.39% 29.33% 43.28%-0.40 +0.4 9
1998-10-17 Kilmarnock L 0-260.3 1696 1705 39.61% 29.82% 30.57%+0.22 -12.5 10
1998-10-17 @ Dundee United W 2-060.3 1705 1696 30.57% 29.82% 39.61%-0.22 +12.5 19
1998-10-17 Celtic D 2-277.3 1641 1824 19.48% 26.12% 54.40%-0.96 +0.9 10
1998-10-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-277.3 1824 1641 54.40% 26.12% 19.48%+0.96 -0.9 14
1998-10-17 Heart of Midlothian W 3-052.4 1842 1743 54.05% 26.26% 19.69%+0.95 +10.3 21
1998-10-17 @ Rangers L 0-352.4 1743 1842 19.69% 26.26% 54.05%-0.95 -10.3 13
1998-10-17 Motherwell W 5-053.0 1688 1645 46.74% 28.60% 24.66%+0.57 +20.5 15
1998-10-17 @ St. Johnstone L 0-553.0 1645 1688 24.66% 28.60% 46.74%-0.57 -20.5 9
1998-10-24 Aberdeen W 2-051.3 1823 1660 61.83% 22.73% 15.44%+1.38 +5.4 17
1998-10-24 @ Celtic L 0-251.3 1660 1823 15.44% 22.73% 61.83%-1.38 -5.4 10
1998-10-24 Dundee United L 0-164.8 1733 1684 47.53% 28.40% 24.07%+0.61 -7.6 13
1998-10-24 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-064.8 1684 1733 24.07% 28.40% 47.53%-0.61 +7.6 13
1998-10-24 St. Johnstone D 2-276.1 1717 1709 41.98% 29.53% 28.49%+0.33 -0.3 20
1998-10-24 @ Kilmarnock D 2-276.1 1709 1717 28.49% 29.53% 41.98%-0.33 +0.3 16
1998-10-28 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-058.4 1643 1641 40.99% 29.67% 29.34%+0.29 +5.3 12
1998-10-28 @ Dundee L 0-158.4 1641 1643 29.34% 29.67% 40.99%-0.29 -5.4 10
1998-10-28 Rangers W 1-067.3 1625 1853 16.42% 23.70% 59.88%-1.27 +9.1 12
1998-10-28 @ Motherwell L 0-167.3 1853 1625 59.88% 23.70% 16.42%+1.27 -9.1 21
1998-10-31 Heart of Midlothian W 1-062.7 1648 1725 30.07% 29.76% 40.17%-0.25 +6.7 15
1998-10-31 @ Dundee L 0-162.7 1725 1648 40.17% 29.76% 30.07%+0.25 -6.7 13
1998-10-31 St. Johnstone D 1-169.7 1636 1709 30.57% 29.82% 39.61%-0.22 +0.3 11
1998-10-31 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-169.7 1709 1636 39.61% 29.82% 30.57%+0.22 -0.3 17
1998-10-31 Celtic W 2-062.3 1717 1828 26.06% 29.01% 44.93%-0.48 +13.8 23
1998-10-31 @ Kilmarnock L 0-262.3 1828 1717 44.93% 29.01% 26.06%+0.48 -13.8 17
1998-10-31 Aberdeen D 2-274.7 1634 1655 37.85% 29.96% 32.20%+0.14 -0.1 13
1998-10-31 @ Motherwell D 2-274.7 1655 1634 32.20% 29.96% 37.85%-0.14 +0.1 11
1998-10-31 Dundee United W 2-159.9 1844 1692 60.54% 23.38% 16.08%+1.30 +2.9 24
1998-10-31 @ Rangers L 1-259.9 1692 1844 16.08% 23.38% 60.54%-1.30 -2.8 13
1998-11-07 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-163.4 1655 1636 43.34% 29.32% 27.34%+0.40 +4.8 14
1998-11-07 @ Aberdeen L 1-263.4 1636 1655 27.34% 29.32% 43.34%-0.40 -4.8 11
1998-11-07 Dundee W 6-152.1 1815 1655 61.44% 22.93% 15.63%+1.35 +10.7 20
1998-11-07 @ Celtic L 1-652.1 1655 1815 15.63% 22.93% 61.44%-1.35 -10.7 15
1998-11-07 Motherwell D 2-275.7 1689 1634 48.33% 28.18% 23.49%+0.65 -0.6 14
1998-11-07 @ Dundee United D 2-275.7 1634 1689 23.49% 28.18% 48.33%-0.65 +0.6 14
1998-11-07 Kilmarnock W 2-166.0 1719 1731 39.06% 29.87% 31.07%+0.19 +5.3 16
1998-11-07 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-266.0 1731 1719 31.07% 29.87% 39.06%-0.19 -5.3 23
1998-11-08 Rangers L 0-754.4 1709 1846 23.39% 28.14% 48.46%-0.65 -26.9 17
1998-11-08 @ St. Johnstone W 7-054.4 1846 1709 48.46% 28.14% 23.39%+0.65 +26.9 27
1998-11-14 Kilmarnock D 1-170.0 1644 1726 29.55% 29.70% 40.76%-0.27 +0.4 16
1998-11-14 @ Dundee D 1-170.0 1726 1644 40.76% 29.70% 29.55%+0.27 -0.4 24
1998-11-14 Heart of Midlothian W 3-273.5 1634 1724 28.54% 29.54% 41.92%-0.33 +6.2 17
1998-11-14 @ Motherwell L 2-373.5 1724 1634 41.92% 29.54% 28.54%+0.33 -6.2 16
1998-11-14 Aberdeen W 2-157.8 1873 1659 67.58% 19.64% 12.78%+1.72 +2.2 30
1998-11-14 @ Rangers L 1-257.8 1659 1873 12.78% 19.64% 67.58%-1.72 -2.2 14
1998-11-14 Celtic W 2-171.1 1682 1825 22.85% 27.93% 49.22%-0.69 +7.4 20
1998-11-14 @ St. Johnstone L 1-271.1 1825 1682 49.22% 27.93% 22.85%+0.69 -7.4 20
1998-11-15 Dundee United W 2-166.9 1632 1688 32.77% 29.99% 37.24%-0.11 +6.0 14
1998-11-15 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-266.9 1688 1632 37.24% 29.99% 32.77%+0.11 -6.0 14
1998-11-21 St. Johnstone L 0-161.3 1657 1689 36.22% 30.03% 33.76%+0.06 -6.2 14
1998-11-21 @ Aberdeen W 1-061.3 1689 1657 33.76% 30.03% 36.22%-0.06 +6.2 23
1998-11-21 Rangers W 5-162.2 1818 1875 32.62% 29.98% 37.40%-0.11 +19.0 23
1998-11-21 @ Celtic L 1-562.2 1875 1818 37.40% 29.98% 32.62%+0.11 -19.0 30
1998-11-21 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-161.6 1718 1638 51.62% 27.15% 21.23%+0.82 +3.8 19
1998-11-21 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-261.6 1638 1718 21.23% 27.15% 51.62%-0.82 -3.8 14
1998-11-21 Motherwell D 0-066.1 1725 1641 52.21% 26.95% 20.84%+0.85 -1.2 25
1998-11-21 @ Kilmarnock D 0-066.1 1641 1725 20.84% 26.95% 52.21%-0.85 +1.2 18
1998-11-22 Dundee L 0-163.7 1682 1645 45.96% 28.79% 25.25%+0.53 -7.4 14
1998-11-22 @ Dundee United W 1-063.7 1645 1682 25.25% 28.79% 45.96%-0.53 +7.4 19
1998-11-28 Dundee United L 0-357.5 1651 1675 37.44% 29.98% 32.58%+0.12 -17.5 14
1998-11-28 @ Aberdeen W 3-057.5 1675 1651 32.58% 29.98% 37.44%-0.12 +17.5 17
1998-11-28 Motherwell W 2-050.2 1837 1642 65.52% 20.78% 13.70%+1.59 +4.7 26
1998-11-28 @ Celtic L 0-250.2 1642 1837 13.70% 20.78% 65.52%-1.59 -4.7 18
1998-11-28 Kilmarnock L 0-355.0 1634 1724 28.46% 29.53% 42.01%-0.33 -14.3 14
1998-11-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-055.0 1724 1634 42.01% 29.53% 28.46%+0.33 +14.3 28
1998-12-05 St. Johnstone D 1-170.1 1692 1696 40.29% 29.75% 29.96%+0.25 -0.3 18
1998-12-05 @ Dundee United D 1-170.1 1696 1692 29.96% 29.75% 40.29%-0.25 +0.3 24
1998-12-05 Aberdeen W 4-050.8 1738 1634 54.76% 25.98% 19.26%+0.98 +13.2 31
1998-12-05 @ Kilmarnock L 0-450.8 1634 1738 19.26% 25.98% 54.76%-0.98 -13.2 14
1998-12-05 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-174.0 1856 1619 70.05% 18.22% 11.72%+1.88 -2.1 31
1998-12-05 @ Rangers D 1-174.0 1619 1856 11.72% 18.22% 70.05%-1.88 +2.1 15
1998-12-06 Celtic W 2-170.6 1721 1842 25.13% 28.75% 46.13%-0.54 +7.0 22
1998-12-06 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-270.6 1842 1721 46.13% 28.75% 25.13%+0.54 -7.0 26
1998-12-09 Heart of Midlothian D 1-170.2 1696 1729 36.16% 30.03% 33.82%+0.06 -0.1 25
1998-12-09 @ St. Johnstone D 1-170.2 1729 1696 33.82% 30.03% 36.16%-0.06 +0.1 23
1998-12-12 Heart of Midlothian W 2-061.1 1620 1729 26.40% 29.10% 44.50%-0.46 +13.7 17
1998-12-12 @ Aberdeen L 0-261.1 1729 1620 44.50% 29.10% 26.40%+0.46 -13.7 23
1998-12-12 Celtic D 1-171.3 1692 1835 22.90% 27.94% 49.16%-0.69 +0.9 19
1998-12-12 @ Dundee United D 1-171.3 1835 1692 49.16% 27.94% 22.90%+0.69 -0.9 27
1998-12-12 Motherwell D 1-168.6 1622 1637 38.59% 29.91% 31.50%+0.17 -0.2 16
1998-12-12 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-168.6 1637 1622 31.50% 29.91% 38.59%-0.17 +0.2 19
1998-12-12 Kilmarnock W 1-056.2 1854 1751 54.53% 26.07% 19.40%+0.97 +3.7 34
1998-12-12 @ Rangers L 0-156.2 1751 1854 19.40% 26.07% 54.53%-0.97 -3.7 31
1998-12-12 Dundee D 1-170.1 1696 1652 46.83% 28.58% 24.59%+0.57 -0.8 26
1998-12-12 @ St. Johnstone D 1-170.1 1652 1696 24.59% 28.58% 46.83%-0.57 +0.8 20
1998-12-16 Dundee W 2-164.8 1637 1653 38.58% 29.91% 31.51%+0.17 +5.3 22
1998-12-16 @ Motherwell L 1-264.8 1653 1637 31.51% 29.91% 38.58%-0.17 -5.3 20
1998-12-19 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-047.7 1834 1621 67.42% 19.73% 12.85%+1.71 +10.1 30
1998-12-19 @ Celtic L 0-547.7 1621 1834 12.85% 19.73% 67.42%-1.71 -10.1 16
1998-12-19 Aberdeen L 1-267.9 1648 1634 42.66% 29.43% 27.91%+0.37 -6.6 20
1998-12-19 @ Dundee W 2-167.9 1634 1648 27.91% 29.43% 42.66%-0.37 +6.6 20
1998-12-19 Rangers L 2-368.3 1715 1858 22.86% 27.93% 49.21%-0.69 -3.9 23
1998-12-19 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-268.3 1858 1715 49.21% 27.93% 22.86%+0.69 +3.9 37
1998-12-19 St. Johnstone L 1-265.9 1643 1695 33.31% 30.01% 36.68%-0.08 -5.5 22
1998-12-19 @ Motherwell W 2-165.9 1695 1643 36.68% 30.01% 33.31%+0.08 +5.5 29
1998-12-20 Dundee United W 2-055.2 1748 1693 48.33% 28.18% 23.49%+0.65 +8.4 34
1998-12-20 @ Kilmarnock L 0-255.2 1693 1748 23.49% 28.18% 48.33%-0.65 -8.4 19
1998-12-26 Aberdeen L 1-265.8 1611 1641 36.58% 30.01% 33.40%+0.08 -5.9 16
1998-12-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-165.8 1641 1611 33.40% 30.01% 36.58%-0.08 +5.9 23
1998-12-26 Heart of Midlothian W 1-058.1 1756 1711 47.00% 28.53% 24.46%+0.58 +4.6 37
1998-12-26 @ Kilmarnock L 0-158.1 1711 1756 24.46% 28.53% 47.00%-0.58 -4.6 23
1998-12-26 Dundee United W 2-058.6 1637 1684 34.05% 30.03% 35.92%-0.04 +11.7 25
1998-12-26 @ Motherwell L 0-258.6 1684 1637 35.92% 30.03% 34.05%+0.04 -11.7 19
1998-12-26 St. Johnstone W 1-054.0 1862 1701 61.63% 22.83% 15.54%+1.37 +2.9 40
1998-12-26 @ Rangers L 0-154.0 1701 1862 15.54% 22.83% 61.63%-1.37 -2.9 29
1998-12-27 Celtic L 0-351.3 1641 1844 18.06% 25.10% 56.84%-1.10 -9.4 20
1998-12-27 @ Dundee W 3-051.3 1844 1641 56.84% 25.10% 18.06%+1.10 +9.4 33
1998-12-29 Motherwell D 1-169.2 1647 1649 40.49% 29.73% 29.78%+0.26 -0.4 24
1998-12-29 @ Aberdeen D 1-169.2 1649 1647 29.78% 29.73% 40.49%-0.26 +0.3 26
1998-12-29 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-170.2 1698 1605 53.23% 26.58% 20.20%+0.90 -1.1 30
1998-12-29 @ St. Johnstone D 1-170.2 1605 1698 20.20% 26.58% 53.23%-0.90 +1.2 17
1998-12-30 Rangers L 1-261.4 1673 1865 18.81% 25.67% 55.52%-1.02 -3.4 19
1998-12-30 @ Dundee United W 2-161.4 1865 1673 55.52% 25.67% 18.81%+1.02 +3.4 43
1998-12-30 Dundee L 1-270.4 1706 1632 50.95% 27.38% 21.67%+0.78 -7.6 23
1998-12-30 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-170.4 1632 1706 21.67% 27.38% 50.95%-0.78 +7.6 23
1999-01-01 Kilmarnock L 1-264.0 1649 1761 26.02% 29.00% 44.98%-0.48 -4.6 26
1999-01-01 @ Motherwell W 2-164.0 1761 1649 44.98% 29.00% 26.02%+0.48 +4.6 40
1999-01-02 Dundee United L 1-364.3 1639 1669 36.50% 30.02% 33.49%+0.07 -10.2 23
1999-01-02 @ Dundee W 3-164.3 1669 1639 33.49% 30.02% 36.50%-0.07 +10.2 22
1999-01-02 Heart of Midlothian D 0-064.7 1606 1699 28.19% 29.48% 42.32%-0.35 +0.5 18
1999-01-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-064.7 1699 1606 42.32% 29.48% 28.19%+0.35 -0.5 24
1999-01-02 Aberdeen W 4-158.1 1697 1646 47.71% 28.35% 23.94%+0.62 +10.4 33
1999-01-02 @ St. Johnstone L 1-458.1 1646 1697 23.94% 28.35% 47.71%-0.62 -10.5 24
1999-01-03 Celtic D 2-276.8 1868 1853 42.88% 29.39% 27.72%+0.38 -0.4 44
1999-01-03 @ Rangers D 2-276.8 1853 1868 27.72% 29.39% 42.88%-0.38 +0.4 34
1999-01-27 Rangers L 0-449.6 1629 1868 15.75% 23.05% 61.20%-1.34 -10.5 23
1999-01-27 @ Dundee W 4-049.6 1868 1629 61.20% 23.05% 15.75%+1.34 +10.5 47
1999-01-30 Rangers L 2-461.0 1636 1878 15.55% 22.84% 61.61%-1.36 -4.2 24
1999-01-30 @ Aberdeen W 4-261.0 1878 1636 61.61% 22.84% 15.55%+1.36 +4.2 50
1999-01-30 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-169.7 1679 1607 50.64% 27.48% 21.87%+0.77 -1.0 23
1999-01-30 @ Dundee United D 1-169.7 1607 1679 21.87% 27.48% 50.64%-0.77 +1.0 19
1999-01-30 Motherwell L 0-261.9 1698 1645 48.17% 28.23% 23.61%+0.64 -14.5 24
1999-01-30 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-061.9 1645 1698 23.61% 28.23% 48.17%-0.64 +14.5 29
1999-01-30 Dundee D 0-067.2 1765 1618 59.95% 23.66% 16.38%+1.27 -1.7 41
1999-01-30 @ Kilmarnock D 0-067.2 1618 1765 16.38% 23.66% 59.95%-1.27 +1.7 24
1999-01-31 St. Johnstone W 5-050.3 1854 1707 59.88% 23.70% 16.42%+1.27 +13.6 37
1999-01-31 @ Celtic L 0-550.3 1707 1854 16.42% 23.70% 59.88%-1.27 -13.6 33
1999-02-06 Kilmarnock W 2-170.3 1632 1764 23.92% 28.35% 47.73%-0.62 +7.2 27
1999-02-06 @ Aberdeen L 1-270.3 1764 1632 47.73% 28.35% 23.92%+0.62 -7.2 41
1999-02-06 Heart of Midlothian W 3-049.3 1867 1684 64.20% 21.50% 14.31%+1.52 +7.2 40
1999-02-06 @ Celtic L 0-349.3 1684 1867 14.31% 21.50% 64.20%-1.52 -7.2 24
1999-02-06 Motherwell W 1-060.1 1620 1659 35.22% 30.04% 34.74%+0.01 +6.0 27
1999-02-06 @ Dundee L 0-160.1 1659 1620 34.74% 30.04% 35.22%-0.01 -6.0 29
1999-02-06 Dundee United W 1-058.8 1693 1678 42.88% 29.39% 27.73%+0.38 +5.1 36
1999-02-06 @ St. Johnstone L 0-158.8 1678 1693 27.73% 29.39% 42.88%-0.38 -5.1 23
1999-02-07 Rangers L 0-348.8 1608 1883 13.79% 20.90% 65.31%-1.58 -6.9 19
1999-02-07 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-048.8 1883 1608 65.31% 20.90% 13.79%+1.58 +6.9 53
1999-02-17 Kilmarnock W 1-055.7 1874 1756 56.42% 25.28% 18.29%+1.07 +3.5 43
1999-02-17 @ Celtic L 0-155.7 1756 1874 18.29% 25.28% 56.42%-1.07 -3.5 41
1999-02-20 Aberdeen W 3-053.5 1673 1639 45.57% 28.87% 25.56%+0.51 +13.1 26
1999-02-20 @ Dundee United L 0-353.5 1639 1673 25.56% 28.87% 45.57%-0.51 -13.1 27
1999-02-20 St. Johnstone L 0-259.6 1677 1699 37.66% 29.97% 32.37%+0.13 -12.1 24
1999-02-20 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-059.6 1699 1677 32.37% 29.97% 37.66%-0.13 +12.1 39
1999-02-20 Dundee W 6-148.8 1889 1626 72.76% 16.64% 10.60%+2.06 +6.6 56
1999-02-20 @ Rangers L 1-648.8 1626 1889 10.60% 16.64% 72.76%-2.06 -6.6 27
1999-02-21 Celtic L 1-752.3 1653 1878 16.61% 23.87% 59.52%-1.25 -13.5 29
1999-02-21 @ Motherwell W 7-152.3 1878 1653 59.52% 23.87% 16.61%+1.25 +13.5 46
1999-02-27 Dundee United W 2-158.2 1891 1686 66.61% 20.18% 13.21%+1.66 +2.2 49
1999-02-27 @ Celtic L 1-258.2 1686 1891 13.21% 20.18% 66.61%-1.66 -2.2 26
1999-02-27 St. Johnstone L 0-158.6 1620 1711 28.34% 29.51% 42.15%-0.34 -5.2 27
1999-02-27 @ Dundee W 1-058.6 1711 1620 42.15% 29.51% 28.34%+0.34 +5.2 42
1999-02-27 Aberdeen L 0-260.8 1664 1626 46.15% 28.74% 25.11%+0.54 -14.1 24
1999-02-27 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-060.8 1626 1664 25.11% 28.74% 46.15%-0.54 +14.1 30
1999-02-27 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-168.6 1639 1601 46.10% 28.75% 25.15%+0.54 -0.7 30
1999-02-27 @ Motherwell D 1-168.6 1601 1639 25.15% 28.75% 46.10%-0.54 +0.7 20
1999-02-28 Rangers L 0-553.6 1753 1896 22.86% 27.93% 49.22%-0.69 -19.2 41
1999-02-28 @ Kilmarnock W 5-053.6 1896 1753 49.22% 27.93% 22.86%+0.69 +19.2 59
1999-03-06 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-066.5 1734 1602 58.14% 24.52% 17.34%+1.17 -1.6 42
1999-03-06 @ Kilmarnock D 0-066.5 1602 1734 17.34% 24.52% 58.14%-1.17 +1.6 21
1999-03-13 Dundee W 2-055.4 1603 1614 39.24% 29.85% 30.91%+0.20 +10.5 24
1999-03-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-255.4 1614 1603 30.91% 29.85% 39.24%-0.20 -10.5 27
1999-03-13 Motherwell W 2-155.9 1915 1639 74.04% 15.87% 10.08%+2.14 +1.6 62
1999-03-13 @ Rangers L 1-255.9 1639 1915 10.08% 15.87% 74.04%-2.14 -1.6 30
1999-03-13 Kilmarnock L 0-162.7 1716 1732 38.49% 29.91% 31.60%+0.17 -6.5 42
1999-03-13 @ St. Johnstone W 1-062.7 1732 1716 31.60% 29.91% 38.49%-0.17 +6.5 45
1999-03-14 Celtic L 1-552.9 1640 1894 14.90% 22.16% 62.94%-1.44 -8.2 30
1999-03-14 @ Aberdeen W 5-152.9 1894 1640 62.94% 22.16% 14.90%+1.44 +8.2 52
1999-03-20 Heart of Midlothian W 2-057.6 1604 1650 34.14% 30.03% 35.83%-0.04 +11.7 30
1999-03-20 @ Dundee L 0-257.6 1650 1604 35.83% 30.03% 34.14%+0.04 -11.7 24
1999-03-20 St. Johnstone W 1-062.8 1614 1709 27.83% 29.41% 42.76%-0.37 +7.0 27
1999-03-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-162.8 1709 1614 42.76% 29.41% 27.83%+0.37 -7.0 42
1999-03-20 Aberdeen D 1-168.8 1637 1632 41.57% 29.59% 28.84%+0.31 -0.4 31
1999-03-20 @ Motherwell D 1-168.8 1632 1637 28.84% 29.59% 41.57%-0.31 +0.4 31
1999-03-20 Dundee United L 0-169.0 1917 1684 69.59% 18.49% 11.92%+1.85 -10.1 62
1999-03-20 @ Rangers W 1-069.0 1684 1917 11.92% 18.49% 69.59%-1.85 +10.1 29
1999-03-21 Celtic D 0-067.1 1739 1902 21.08% 27.08% 51.84%-0.83 +1.2 46
1999-03-21 @ Kilmarnock D 0-067.1 1902 1739 51.84% 27.08% 21.08%+0.83 -1.2 53
1999-04-03 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-160.8 1632 1621 42.34% 29.48% 28.18%+0.35 +8.5 34
1999-04-03 @ Aberdeen L 1-360.8 1621 1632 28.18% 29.48% 42.34%-0.35 -8.5 27
1999-04-03 Dundee W 5-045.7 1901 1615 74.89% 15.37% 9.74%+2.20 +7.1 56
1999-04-03 @ Celtic L 0-545.7 1615 1901 9.74% 15.37% 74.89%-2.20 -7.1 30
1999-04-03 Motherwell L 0-360.4 1694 1637 48.67% 28.09% 23.24%+0.66 -21.3 29
1999-04-03 @ Dundee United W 3-060.4 1637 1694 23.24% 28.09% 48.67%-0.66 +21.3 34
1999-04-03 Kilmarnock D 2-275.9 1639 1740 27.19% 29.28% 43.52%-0.41 +0.4 25
1999-04-03 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-275.9 1740 1639 43.52% 29.28% 27.19%+0.41 -0.4 47
1999-04-04 Rangers W 3-170.5 1702 1907 17.95% 25.02% 57.03%-1.11 +14.3 45
1999-04-04 @ St. Johnstone L 1-370.5 1907 1702 57.03% 25.02% 17.95%+1.11 -14.3 62
1999-04-06 Heart of Midlothian L 1-366.7 1673 1639 45.48% 28.89% 25.62%+0.50 -12.0 29
1999-04-06 @ Dundee United W 3-166.7 1639 1673 25.62% 28.89% 45.48%-0.50 +12.0 28
1999-04-10 Aberdeen W 4-262.6 1739 1640 54.04% 26.26% 19.69%+0.94 +5.5 50
1999-04-10 @ Kilmarnock L 2-462.6 1640 1739 19.69% 26.26% 54.04%-0.94 -5.5 34
1999-04-10 Dundee L 1-268.8 1658 1608 47.61% 28.38% 24.01%+0.61 -7.2 34
1999-04-10 @ Motherwell W 2-168.8 1608 1658 24.01% 28.38% 47.61%-0.61 +7.2 33
1999-04-14 Celtic L 2-460.6 1651 1908 14.75% 22.00% 63.25%-1.46 -4.0 28
1999-04-14 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-260.6 1908 1651 63.25% 22.00% 14.75%+1.46 +4.0 59
1999-04-14 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-050.1 1892 1612 74.39% 15.67% 9.94%+2.17 +1.7 65
1999-04-14 @ Rangers L 0-150.1 1612 1892 9.94% 15.67% 74.39%-2.17 -1.7 27
1999-04-17 Dundee United L 0-456.6 1635 1661 37.08% 30.00% 32.92%+0.10 -22.7 34
1999-04-17 @ Aberdeen W 4-056.6 1661 1635 32.92% 30.00% 37.08%-0.10 +22.7 32
1999-04-17 Motherwell W 1-050.8 1912 1651 72.52% 16.78% 10.70%+2.04 +1.8 62
1999-04-17 @ Celtic L 0-150.8 1651 1912 10.70% 16.78% 72.52%-2.04 -1.8 34
1999-04-17 Kilmarnock L 0-653.2 1611 1745 23.71% 28.27% 48.02%-0.63 -23.5 27
1999-04-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 6-053.2 1745 1611 48.02% 28.27% 23.71%+0.63 +23.5 53
1999-04-17 Heart of Midlothian D 0-065.8 1717 1647 50.23% 27.61% 22.15%+0.74 -1.1 46
1999-04-17 @ St. Johnstone D 0-065.8 1647 1717 22.15% 27.61% 50.23%-0.74 +1.1 29
1999-04-18 Rangers D 1-173.4 1616 1894 13.60% 20.66% 65.74%-1.61 +1.9 34
1999-04-18 @ Dundee D 1-173.4 1894 1616 65.74% 20.66% 13.60%+1.61 -1.9 66
1999-04-20 St. Johnstone L 0-161.7 1684 1716 36.25% 30.02% 33.72%+0.06 -6.2 32
1999-04-20 @ Dundee United W 1-061.7 1716 1684 33.72% 30.02% 36.25%-0.06 +6.2 49
1999-04-24 Kilmarnock W 2-170.7 1617 1768 22.14% 27.61% 50.25%-0.75 +7.5 37
1999-04-24 @ Dundee L 1-270.7 1768 1617 50.25% 27.61% 22.14%+0.75 -7.5 53
1999-04-24 Dundee United D 2-274.5 1587 1677 28.46% 29.53% 42.01%-0.33 +0.3 28
1999-04-24 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-274.5 1677 1587 42.01% 29.53% 28.46%+0.33 -0.3 33
1999-04-24 Heart of Midlothian L 0-457.6 1649 1648 40.88% 29.68% 29.44%+0.28 -24.4 34
1999-04-24 @ Motherwell W 4-057.6 1648 1649 29.44% 29.68% 40.88%-0.28 +24.4 32
1999-04-24 Celtic W 1-067.0 1722 1914 18.84% 25.69% 55.47%-1.02 +8.6 52
1999-04-24 @ St. Johnstone L 0-167.0 1914 1722 55.47% 25.69% 18.84%+1.02 -8.6 62
1999-04-25 Aberdeen W 3-153.4 1892 1612 74.38% 15.67% 9.94%+2.17 +2.7 69
1999-04-25 @ Rangers L 1-353.4 1612 1892 9.94% 15.67% 74.38%-2.17 -2.7 34
1999-05-01 St. Johnstone W 1-063.9 1610 1730 25.04% 28.72% 46.23%-0.54 +7.5 37
1999-05-01 @ Aberdeen L 0-163.9 1730 1610 46.23% 28.72% 25.04%+0.54 -7.5 52
1999-05-01 Dundee L 0-261.4 1677 1625 47.96% 28.28% 23.76%+0.63 -14.5 33
1999-05-01 @ Dundee United W 2-061.4 1625 1677 23.76% 28.28% 47.96%-0.63 +14.5 40
1999-05-01 Motherwell L 0-166.6 1761 1625 58.66% 24.28% 17.06%+1.20 -9.0 53
1999-05-01 @ Kilmarnock W 1-066.6 1625 1761 17.06% 24.28% 58.66%-1.20 +8.9 37
1999-05-02 Rangers L 0-360.3 1905 1895 42.20% 29.50% 28.29%+0.34 -19.1 62
1999-05-02 @ Celtic W 3-060.3 1895 1905 28.29% 29.50% 42.20%-0.34 +19.1 72
1999-05-03 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-052.2 1673 1588 52.27% 26.93% 20.81%+0.85 +7.5 35
1999-05-03 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-252.2 1588 1673 20.81% 26.93% 52.27%-0.85 -7.5 28
1999-05-08 Dundee L 1-266.1 1617 1639 37.61% 29.97% 32.42%+0.12 -6.0 37
1999-05-08 @ Aberdeen W 2-166.1 1639 1617 32.42% 29.97% 37.61%-0.12 +6.0 43
1999-05-08 Kilmarnock D 0-065.6 1663 1752 28.56% 29.55% 41.89%-0.33 +0.5 34
1999-05-08 @ Dundee United D 0-065.6 1752 1663 41.89% 29.55% 28.56%+0.33 -0.5 54
1999-05-08 Celtic L 1-257.2 1580 1886 12.29% 18.98% 68.73%-1.79 -2.0 28
1999-05-08 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-157.2 1886 1580 68.73% 18.98% 12.29%+1.79 +2.0 65
1999-05-08 Motherwell D 0-066.0 1723 1634 52.82% 26.73% 20.46%+0.88 -1.2 53
1999-05-08 @ St. Johnstone D 0-066.0 1634 1723 20.46% 26.73% 52.82%-0.88 +1.3 38
1999-05-09 Heart of Midlothian D 0-069.6 1914 1680 69.73% 18.41% 11.86%+1.86 -2.3 73
1999-05-09 @ Rangers D 0-069.6 1680 1914 11.86% 18.41% 69.73%-1.86 +2.3 36
1999-05-15 Aberdeen W 3-260.7 1888 1611 74.10% 15.84% 10.06%+2.15 +1.5 68
1999-05-15 @ Celtic L 2-360.7 1611 1888 10.06% 15.84% 74.10%-2.15 -1.5 37
1999-05-15 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-158.0 1645 1578 49.97% 27.70% 22.34%+0.73 +6.9 46
1999-05-15 @ Dundee L 1-358.0 1578 1645 22.34% 27.70% 49.97%-0.73 -6.9 28
1999-05-15 Dundee United W 4-159.4 1682 1663 43.48% 29.29% 27.23%+0.41 +11.7 39
1999-05-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-459.4 1663 1682 27.23% 29.29% 43.48%-0.41 -11.7 34
1999-05-15 St. Johnstone D 1-170.8 1752 1722 44.93% 29.01% 26.06%+0.48 -0.6 55
1999-05-15 @ Kilmarnock D 1-170.8 1722 1752 26.06% 29.01% 44.93%-0.48 +0.6 54
1999-05-15 Rangers L 1-552.1 1635 1912 13.68% 20.76% 65.55%-1.60 -7.4 38
1999-05-15 @ Motherwell W 5-152.1 1912 1635 65.55% 20.76% 13.68%+1.60 +7.4 76
1999-05-23 Heart of Midlothian L 2-562.1 1609 1694 29.12% 29.64% 41.24%-0.30 -10.7 37
1999-05-23 @ Aberdeen W 5-262.1 1694 1609 41.24% 29.64% 29.12%+0.30 +10.6 42
1999-05-23 Celtic L 1-259.7 1652 1890 15.81% 23.11% 61.09%-1.33 -2.8 34
1999-05-23 @ Dundee United W 2-159.7 1890 1652 61.09% 23.11% 15.81%+1.33 +2.8 71
1999-05-23 Motherwell L 1-263.6 1571 1627 32.79% 29.99% 37.22%-0.11 -5.5 28
1999-05-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-163.6 1627 1571 37.22% 29.99% 32.79%+0.11 +5.5 41
1999-05-23 Kilmarnock D 1-173.2 1919 1751 62.45% 22.41% 15.14%+1.41 -1.7 77
1999-05-23 @ Rangers D 1-173.2 1751 1919 15.14% 22.41% 62.45%-1.41 +1.7 56
1999-05-23 Dundee W 1-056.6 1722 1652 50.30% 27.59% 22.11%+0.75 +4.2 57
1999-05-23 @ St. Johnstone L 0-156.6 1652 1722 22.11% 27.59% 50.30%-0.75 -4.2 46

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1999-03-20 11.92% Dundee United 1684 1 @ Rangers 1917 0
2 1998-10-28 16.42% @ Motherwell 1625 1 Rangers 1853 0
3 1998-09-23 16.83% St. Johnstone 1690 1 @ Celtic 1830 0
4 1999-05-01 17.06% Motherwell 1625 1 @ Kilmarnock 1761 0
5 1999-04-04 17.95% @ St. Johnstone 1702 3 Rangers 1907 1
6 1998-09-12 18.08% Dundee 1627 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1748 0
7 1999-04-24 18.84% @ St. Johnstone 1722 1 Celtic 1914 0
8 1998-12-30 21.67% Dundee 1632 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1706 1
9 1998-08-16 21.80% @ Aberdeen 1682 3 Celtic 1837 2
10 1999-04-24 22.14% @ Dundee 1617 2 Kilmarnock 1768 1
11 1998-11-14 22.85% @ St. Johnstone 1682 2 Celtic 1825 1
12 1999-04-03 23.24% Motherwell 1637 3 @ Dundee United 1694 0
13 1999-01-30 23.61% Motherwell 1645 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1698 0
14 1999-05-01 23.76% Dundee 1625 2 @ Dundee United 1677 0
15 1999-02-06 23.92% @ Aberdeen 1632 2 Kilmarnock 1764 1
16 1999-04-10 24.01% Dundee 1608 2 @ Motherwell 1658 1
17 1998-10-24 24.07% Dundee United 1684 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1733 0
18 1999-05-01 25.04% @ Aberdeen 1610 1 St. Johnstone 1730 0
19 1999-02-27 25.11% Aberdeen 1626 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1664 0
20 1998-12-06 25.13% @ Heart of Midlothian 1721 2 Celtic 1842 1
21 1998-11-22 25.25% Dundee 1645 1 @ Dundee United 1682 0
22 1999-04-06 25.62% Heart of Midlothian 1639 3 @ Dundee United 1673 1
23 1998-10-31 26.06% @ Kilmarnock 1717 2 Celtic 1828 0
24 1998-12-12 26.40% @ Aberdeen 1620 2 Heart of Midlothian 1729 0
25 1998-09-26 27.23% Dundee United 1680 3 @ St. Johnstone 1699 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-11-08 26.88 Rangers 7 1846 48.46% @ St. Johnstone 0 1709 23.39% 28.14%
2 1999-04-24 24.36 Heart of Midlothian 4 1648 29.44% @ Motherwell 0 1649 40.88% 29.68%
3 1999-04-17 23.51 Kilmarnock 6 1745 48.02% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1611 23.71% 28.27%
4 1999-04-17 22.70 Dundee United 4 1661 32.92% @ Aberdeen 0 1635 37.08% 30.00%
5 1999-04-03 21.27 Motherwell 3 1637 23.24% @ Dundee United 0 1694 48.67% 28.09%
6 1998-10-17 20.49 @ St. Johnstone 5 1688 46.74% Motherwell 0 1645 24.66% 28.60%
7 1998-08-30 19.15 @ Kilmarnock 3 1675 28.15% Heart of Midlothian 0 1767 42.37% 29.47%
8 1999-02-28 19.15 Rangers 5 1896 49.22% @ Kilmarnock 0 1753 22.86% 27.93%
9 1999-05-02 19.10 Rangers 3 1895 28.29% @ Celtic 0 1905 42.20% 29.50%
10 1998-11-21 19.02 @ Celtic 5 1818 32.62% Rangers 1 1875 37.40% 29.98%
11 1998-11-28 17.49 Dundee United 3 1675 32.58% @ Aberdeen 0 1651 37.44% 29.98%
12 1998-09-12 16.47 Dundee 2 1627 18.08% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1748 56.80% 25.12%
13 1999-01-30 14.53 Motherwell 2 1645 23.61% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1698 48.17% 28.23%
14 1999-05-01 14.48 Dundee 2 1625 23.76% @ Dundee United 0 1677 47.96% 28.28%
15 1999-04-04 14.31 @ St. Johnstone 3 1702 17.95% Rangers 1 1907 57.03% 25.02%
16 1998-11-28 14.31 Kilmarnock 3 1724 42.01% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1634 28.46% 29.53%
17 1999-02-27 14.06 Aberdeen 2 1626 25.11% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1664 46.15% 28.74%
18 1998-10-31 13.78 @ Kilmarnock 2 1717 26.06% Celtic 0 1828 44.93% 29.01%
19 1998-12-12 13.68 @ Aberdeen 2 1620 26.40% Heart of Midlothian 0 1729 44.50% 29.10%
20 1999-01-31 13.63 @ Celtic 5 1854 59.88% St. Johnstone 0 1707 16.42% 23.70%
21 1999-02-21 13.54 Celtic 7 1878 59.52% @ Motherwell 1 1653 16.61% 23.87%
22 1998-12-05 13.16 @ Kilmarnock 4 1738 54.76% Aberdeen 0 1634 19.26% 25.98%
23 1999-02-20 13.12 @ Dundee United 3 1673 45.57% Aberdeen 0 1639 25.56% 28.87%
24 1998-10-17 12.55 Kilmarnock 2 1705 30.57% @ Dundee United 0 1696 39.61% 29.82%
25 1998-08-01 12.31 Aberdeen 2 1670 31.47% @ Dundee 0 1654 38.62% 29.90%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-10-17 77.3 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1641 19.48% Celtic 2 1824 54.40% 26.12%
2 1999-01-03 76.8 @ Rangers 2 1868 42.88% Celtic 2 1853 27.72% 29.39%
3 1998-08-16 76.4 @ Aberdeen 3 1682 21.80% Celtic 2 1837 50.75% 27.45%
4 1998-10-24 76.1 @ Kilmarnock 2 1717 41.98% St. Johnstone 2 1709 28.49% 29.53%
5 1999-04-03 75.9 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1639 27.19% Kilmarnock 2 1740 43.52% 29.28%
6 1998-11-07 75.7 @ Dundee United 2 1689 48.33% Motherwell 2 1634 23.49% 28.18%
7 1998-09-19 75.1 @ Dundee 2 1644 35.53% Dundee United 2 1681 34.44% 30.04%
8 1998-10-17 75.1 @ Aberdeen 2 1660 43.28% Dundee 2 1643 27.39% 29.33%
9 1998-10-31 74.7 @ Motherwell 2 1634 37.85% Aberdeen 2 1655 32.20% 29.96%
10 1999-04-24 74.5 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1587 28.46% Dundee United 2 1677 42.01% 29.53%
11 1998-12-05 74.0 @ Rangers 1 1856 70.05% Dunfermline Athletic 1 1619 11.72% 18.22%
12 1998-11-14 73.5 @ Motherwell 3 1634 28.54% Heart of Midlothian 2 1724 41.92% 29.54%
13 1999-04-18 73.4 @ Dundee 1 1616 13.60% Rangers 1 1894 65.74% 20.66%
14 1999-05-23 73.2 @ Rangers 1 1919 62.45% Kilmarnock 1 1751 15.14% 22.41%
15 1998-09-12 72.4 @ Celtic 1 1831 58.80% Kilmarnock 1 1694 16.99% 24.21%
16 1998-08-29 72.0 @ Dundee 1 1626 17.79% Celtic 1 1833 57.33% 24.89%
17 1998-09-26 71.6 @ Celtic 1 1821 51.36% Heart of Midlothian 1 1743 21.40% 27.24%
18 1998-09-23 71.5 @ Aberdeen 1 1671 21.07% Rangers 1 1834 51.86% 27.07%
19 1998-12-12 71.3 @ Dundee United 1 1692 22.90% Celtic 1 1835 49.16% 27.94%
20 1998-11-14 71.1 @ St. Johnstone 2 1682 22.85% Celtic 1 1825 49.22% 27.93%
21 1998-10-04 70.9 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1744 48.54% St. Johnstone 1 1688 23.34% 28.12%
22 1999-05-15 70.8 @ Kilmarnock 1 1752 44.93% St. Johnstone 1 1722 26.06% 29.01%
23 1999-04-24 70.7 @ Dundee 2 1617 22.14% Kilmarnock 1 1768 50.25% 27.61%
24 1998-12-06 70.6 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1721 25.13% Celtic 1 1842 46.13% 28.75%
25 1999-04-04 70.5 @ St. Johnstone 3 1702 17.95% Rangers 1 1907 57.03% 25.02%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-04-03 45.7 @ Celtic 5 1901 74.89% Dundee 0 1615 9.74% 15.37%
2 1998-12-19 47.7 @ Celtic 5 1834 67.42% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1621 12.85% 19.73%
3 1999-02-07 48.8 Rangers 3 1883 65.31% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1608 13.79% 20.90%
4 1999-02-20 48.8 @ Rangers 6 1889 72.76% Dundee 1 1626 10.60% 16.64%
5 1998-08-01 48.9 @ Celtic 5 1825 63.75% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1645 14.52% 21.73%
6 1999-02-06 49.3 @ Celtic 3 1867 64.20% Heart of Midlothian 0 1684 14.31% 21.50%
7 1999-01-27 49.6 Rangers 4 1868 61.20% @ Dundee 0 1629 15.75% 23.05%
8 1999-04-14 50.1 @ Rangers 1 1892 74.39% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1612 9.94% 15.67%
9 1998-11-28 50.2 @ Celtic 2 1837 65.52% Motherwell 0 1642 13.70% 20.78%
10 1999-01-31 50.3 @ Celtic 5 1854 59.88% St. Johnstone 0 1707 16.42% 23.70%
11 1998-08-29 50.6 @ Rangers 4 1824 58.05% St. Johnstone 0 1693 17.39% 24.56%
12 1998-12-05 50.8 @ Kilmarnock 4 1738 54.76% Aberdeen 0 1634 19.26% 25.98%
13 1999-04-17 50.8 @ Celtic 1 1912 72.52% Motherwell 0 1651 10.70% 16.78%
14 1998-10-24 51.3 @ Celtic 2 1823 61.83% Aberdeen 0 1660 15.44% 22.73%
15 1998-12-27 51.3 Celtic 3 1844 56.84% @ Dundee 0 1641 18.06% 25.10%
16 1998-11-07 52.1 @ Celtic 6 1815 61.44% Dundee 1 1655 15.63% 22.93%
17 1999-05-15 52.1 Rangers 5 1912 65.55% @ Motherwell 1 1635 13.68% 20.76%
18 1999-05-03 52.2 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1673 52.27% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1588 20.81% 26.93%
19 1999-02-21 52.3 Celtic 7 1878 59.52% @ Motherwell 1 1653 16.61% 23.87%
20 1998-10-17 52.4 @ Rangers 3 1842 54.05% Heart of Midlothian 0 1743 19.69% 26.26%
21 1998-10-04 52.7 @ Rangers 1 1840 65.49% Dundee 0 1645 13.71% 20.80%
22 1999-03-14 52.9 Celtic 5 1894 62.94% @ Aberdeen 1 1640 14.90% 22.16%
23 1998-09-23 53.0 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1731 49.65% Motherwell 0 1666 22.55% 27.79%
24 1998-10-17 53.0 @ St. Johnstone 5 1688 46.74% Motherwell 0 1645 24.66% 28.60%
25 1999-04-17 53.2 Kilmarnock 6 1745 48.02% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1611 23.71% 28.27%