1999-00 Scottish Premier League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

90 points · 49th Title

Last Title: 1998-99

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rangers

14.29 points above expected

90 points · 75.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kilmarnock

13.08 points below expected

37 points · 50.08 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rangers Champion	36	28	6	2	90	96	26	+70	75.71	+14.29
2	Celtic	36	21	6	9	69	90	38	+52	74.41	-5.41
3	Heart of Midlothian	36	15	9	12	54	47	40	+7	50.97	+3.03
4	Motherwell	36	14	10	12	52	49	63	-14	42.76	+9.24
5	St. Johnstone	36	10	12	14	42	36	44	-8	49.71	-7.71
6	Hibernian	36	10	11	15	41	49	61	-12	37.22	+3.78
7	Dundee	36	12	5	19	41	45	64	-19	42.51	-1.51
8	Dundee United	36	11	6	19	39	34	57	-23	44.06	-5.06
9	Kilmarnock	36	8	13	15	37	38	52	-14	50.08	-13.08
10	Aberdeen	36	9	6	21	33	44	83	-39	32.49	+0.51

Notes

No teams were relegated as the league expanded to 12 teams the following season.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rangers	90	75.71	+14.29
2	Motherwell	52	42.76	+9.24
3	Hibernian	41	37.22	+3.78
4	Heart of Midlothian	54	50.97	+3.03
5	Aberdeen	33	32.49	+0.51

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Kilmarnock	37	50.08	-13.08
2	St. Johnstone	42	49.71	-7.71
3	Celtic	69	74.41	-5.41
4	Dundee United	39	44.06	-5.06
5	Dundee	41	42.51	-1.51

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	3	Oct 23 – Oct 30	1 in 74
2	Aberdeen	3	Feb 5 – Feb 26	1 in 47
3	Hibernian	3	Oct 23 – Nov 6	1 in 46
4	Rangers	8	Jul 31 – Oct 2	1 in 42
5	Celtic	6	Aug 21 – Oct 24	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aberdeen	7	Aug 1 – Sep 18	1 in 80
2	St. Johnstone	4	Oct 24 – Nov 6	1 in 65
3	Dundee United	5	Apr 29 – May 21	1 in 35
4	Heart of Midlothian	3	Dec 8 – Dec 22	1 in 31
5	Celtic	2	Mar 5 – Mar 8	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	8	Oct 23 – Dec 11	1 in 199
2	Rangers	22	Dec 11 – May 13	1 in 54
3	Hibernian	5	Oct 2 – Nov 6	1 in 24
4	Heart of Midlothian	6	Jan 22 – Mar 15	1 in 22
5	Aberdeen	4	Jan 26 – Feb 26	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kilmarnock	14	Sep 25 – Feb 12	1 in 902
2	Dundee United	12	Dec 18 – Apr 15	1 in 83
3	Celtic	4	Apr 8 – Apr 29	1 in 72
4	Heart of Midlothian	7	Oct 16 – Nov 27	1 in 37
5	St. Johnstone	7	Sep 25 – Nov 21	1 in 34

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Rangers	1953	90	-5	12	11.7	+0.3
Celtic	1880	69	+7	11	10.9	+0.1
Heart of Midlothian	1732	54	-1	7	7.3	-0.3
Motherwell	1662	52	+27	10	5.5	+4.5
St. Johnstone	1698	42	+5	8	6.7	+1.3
Dundee	1649	41	-3	6	6.6	-0.6
Hibernian	1614	41	-14	3	5.3	-2.3
Dundee United	1617	39	-28	0	5.2	-5.2
Kilmarnock	1678	37	-19	6	6.5	-0.5
Aberdeen	1610	33	+20	6	4.5	+1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DUN	DU	HOM	HIB	KIL	MOT	RAN	SJ
Aberdeen	—	0-0-4 2.23	2-0-2 4.57	1-1-2 4.09	1-0-3 3.61	1-1-2 4.98	1-1-2 3.73	2-1-1 4.41	0-1-3 1.83	1-1-2 3.72
Celtic	4-0-0 9.10	—	3-1-0 8.60	3-0-1 8.57	2-0-2 7.87	2-1-1 9.07	3-1-0 7.95	1-1-2 8.63	0-1-3 5.07	3-1-0 7.93
Dundee	2-0-2 6.47	0-1-3 2.64	—	1-0-3 5.38	1-1-2 4.51	2-0-2 6.16	1-2-1 4.57	3-0-1 5.29	1-0-3 2.28	1-1-2 4.61
Dundee United	2-1-1 6.97	1-0-3 2.67	3-0-1 5.64	—	1-0-3 4.65	1-1-2 6.35	0-3-1 4.76	1-1-2 5.63	0-0-4 2.27	2-0-2 4.92
Heart of Midlothian	3-0-1 7.49	2-0-2 3.27	2-1-1 6.53	3-0-1 6.39	—	1-1-2 7.15	1-3-0 5.75	1-2-1 6.44	0-0-4 2.88	2-2-0 5.70
Hibernian	2-1-1 6.05	1-1-2 2.24	2-0-2 4.86	2-1-1 4.68	2-1-1 3.93	—	1-1-2 4.13	0-3-1 4.73	0-1-3 2.06	0-2-2 4.30
Kilmarnock	2-1-1 7.36	0-1-3 3.20	1-2-1 6.46	1-3-0 6.26	0-3-1 5.27	2-1-1 6.93	—	1-0-3 6.27	0-1-3 3.00	1-1-2 5.58
Motherwell	1-1-2 6.63	2-1-1 2.62	1-0-3 5.73	2-1-1 5.39	1-2-1 4.59	1-3-0 6.30	3-0-1 4.76	—	1-0-3 2.35	2-2-0 4.74
Rangers	3-1-0 9.59	3-1-0 5.95	3-0-1 9.03	4-0-0 9.05	4-0-0 8.32	3-1-0 9.29	3-1-0 8.18	3-0-1 8.95	—	2-2-0 8.54
St. Johnstone	2-1-1 7.37	0-1-3 3.22	2-1-1 6.42	2-0-2 6.11	0-2-2 5.32	2-2-0 6.75	2-1-1 5.44	0-2-2 6.29	0-2-2 2.69	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.85	+7.4
Allowed	0.62	-8.5
Differential	0.92	+4.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.61%	6.67%	3.61%	2.50%	1.11%	28.06%
1	8.61%	10.00%	6.67%	2.22%	1.67%	1.67%	30.83%
2	6.67%	6.67%	7.22%	1.39%	0.56%	1.11%	23.61%
3	3.61%	2.22%	1.39%	0.56%	0.28%	—	8.06%
4	2.50%	1.67%	0.56%	0.28%	—	—	5.00%
5+	1.11%	1.67%	1.11%	—	—	0.56%	4.44%
Total	28.06%	30.83%	23.61%	8.06%	5.00%	4.44%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.47	+0.00
SD	1.41	1.41	2.13
CV	0.96	0.96	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	8.33%	11.11%	—	11.11%	41.67%
1	—	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	5.56%	27.78%
2	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%	5.56%
Total	5.56%	38.89%	22.22%	13.89%	—	19.44%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	2.31	-1.08
SD	1.51	1.77	2.59
CV	1.24	0.77	—
Max	6	7	+4
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
1	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	25.00%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	36.11%	38.89%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.50	1.06	+1.44
SD	1.92	1.12	2.45
CV	0.77	1.06	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	—	2.78%	33.33%
2	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	5.56%	27.78%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	2.78%	—	8.33%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	16.67%	27.78%	11.11%	5.56%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.78	-0.53
SD	1.05	1.77	2.10
CV	0.84	1.00	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	13.89%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	44.44%
1	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	38.89%	22.22%	13.89%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	1.58	-0.64
SD	1.01	1.18	1.69
CV	1.07	0.75	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	36.11%
2	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	25.00%	19.44%	8.33%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.11	+0.19
SD	1.17	1.21	1.89
CV	0.89	1.09	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	33.33%
1	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	2.78%	16.67%	—	—	2.78%	27.78%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	16.67%	27.78%	36.11%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.69	-0.33
SD	1.29	1.21	1.72
CV	0.95	0.72	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	16.67%	—	—	—	38.89%
1	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	27.78%
2	2.78%	2.78%	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	22.22%	41.67%	—	2.78%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.44	-0.39
SD	1.07	1.30	1.64
CV	1.01	0.90	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	—	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	16.67%
1	13.89%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	41.67%
2	13.89%	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	2.78%	36.11%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%	2.78%
Total	30.56%	22.22%	22.22%	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.75	-0.39
SD	0.99	1.76	1.92
CV	0.73	1.01	—
Max	5	6	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
1	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	47.22%	33.33%	19.44%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.67	0.72	+1.94
SD	1.76	0.78	1.79
CV	0.66	1.08	—
Max	7	2	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
1	8.33%	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	44.44%
2	5.56%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	44.44%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.22	-0.22
SD	0.86	1.15	1.38
CV	0.86	0.94	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rangers	1953	90	75.71	+14.29	100.0%	60	66	71	75	81	86	89
Celtic	1880	69	74.41	-5.41	24.0%	58	63	70	73	79	87	91
Heart of Midlothian	1732	54	50.97	+3.03	61.0%	31	36	45	51	57	62	69
St. Johnstone	1698	42	49.71	-7.71	20.0%	31	36	45	50	55	61	67
Kilmarnock	1678	37	50.08	-13.08	7.0%	34	36	44	49	57	65	69
Motherwell	1662	52	42.76	+9.24	90.0%	24	33	37	42	48	56	63
Dundee	1649	41	42.51	-1.51	51.0%	27	31	36	41	48	54	63
Dundee United	1617	39	44.06	-5.06	25.0%	27	31	39	44	49	55	63
Hibernian	1614	41	37.22	+3.78	74.0%	20	28	33	36	42	48	51
Aberdeen	1610	33	32.49	+0.51	53.0%	13	21	29	33	37	43	51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+7.78%

No Edge

42.22%23.33%34.44%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 27.08 Elo pts.

137 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.27 goals

Neutral

-2+0.20+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.0

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

56%

Rangers, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.58/gm

Runaway

00.210.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.87 * Some Luck: 5.87 to 8.81 * Lucky: 8.81 to 11.74 * Wild Swing: 11.74 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.03 * Close: 1.03 to 1.55 * Off: 1.55 to 2.06 * Way Off: 2.06 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.75 points

Some Luck

07.3418

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.40

01.293

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

100.00%

Rangers

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

7.00%

Kilmarnock

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Even

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 117.15

2.20

Strong Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

64%

Even

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

88%

Even

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

58%

Frequent

0%52%100%

Blowouts

Expected

23%

Frequent

0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.35

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.20

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.55

Weak Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Very Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Very Shaky

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.95

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.94

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.066

Well Within Noise

00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Rangers	56.00%	43.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	44.00%	54.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	31.00%	28.00%	10.00%	16.00%	5.00%	6.00%	4.00%	—
Motherwell	—	—	5.00%	13.00%	11.00%	10.00%	16.00%	24.00%	15.00%	6.00%
St. Johnstone	—	—	25.00%	21.00%	19.00%	16.00%	7.00%	8.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Hibernian	—	—	—	1.00%	11.00%	7.00%	17.00%	14.00%	24.00%	26.00%
Dundee	—	—	6.00%	8.00%	11.00%	20.00%	14.00%	18.00%	12.00%	11.00%
Dundee United	—	—	7.00%	8.00%	17.00%	16.00%	25.00%	9.00%	11.00%	7.00%
Kilmarnock	—	3.00%	22.00%	21.00%	17.00%	14.00%	11.00%	6.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Aberdeen	—	—	1.00%	—	4.00%	1.00%	5.00%	15.00%	26.00%	48.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level
Aberdeen	100%
Celtic	100%
Dundee	100%
Dundee United	100%
Heart of Midlothian	100%
Hibernian	100%
Kilmarnock	100%
Motherwell	100%
Rangers	100%
St. Johnstone	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1999-07-31	Dundee	W 2-1	64.2	1673	1668	42.21%	24.60%	33.19%	+0.23	+4.4	3
1999-07-31	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	64.2	1668	1673	33.19%	24.60%	42.21%	-0.23	-4.4	0
1999-07-31	Motherwell	D 2-2	75.6	1605	1659	33.79%	24.64%	41.56%	-0.20	+0.2	1
1999-07-31	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	75.6	1659	1605	41.56%	24.64%	33.79%	+0.20	-0.2	1
1999-07-31	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	61.3	1848	1740	55.75%	22.38%	21.87%	+0.98	+3.1	3
1999-07-31	@ Rangers	L 1-2	61.3	1740	1848	21.87%	22.38%	55.75%	-0.98	-3.1	0
1999-07-31	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	62.7	1721	1707	43.46%	24.51%	32.02%	+0.30	-13.3	0
1999-07-31	@ St. Johnstone	W 4-1	62.7	1707	1721	32.02%	24.51%	43.46%	-0.30	+13.3	3
1999-08-01	Celtic	L 0-5	49.0	1638	1835	18.91%	21.11%	59.98%	-1.24	-12.4	0
1999-08-01	@ Aberdeen	W 5-0	49.0	1835	1638	59.98%	21.11%	18.91%	+1.24	+12.4	3
1999-08-07	St. Johnstone	W 3-0	50.0	1848	1707	59.67%	21.21%	19.12%	+1.22	+7.8	6
1999-08-07	@ Celtic	L 0-3	50.0	1707	1848	19.12%	21.21%	59.67%	-1.22	-7.8	0
1999-08-07	Rangers	L 0-4	51.6	1720	1851	24.81%	23.30%	51.89%	-0.76	-13.1	3
1999-08-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	51.6	1851	1720	51.89%	23.30%	24.81%	+0.76	+13.1	6
1999-08-07	Aberdeen	W 2-0	52.3	1737	1626	56.24%	22.25%	21.51%	+1.01	+6.0	3
1999-08-07	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	52.3	1626	1737	21.51%	22.25%	56.24%	-1.01	-6.0	0
1999-08-07	Dundee United	D 2-2	76.5	1659	1677	38.90%	24.74%	36.36%	+0.06	-0.0	2
1999-08-07	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	76.5	1677	1659	36.36%	24.74%	38.90%	-0.06	+0.0	4
1999-08-08	Hibernian	L 3-4	75.7	1663	1605	49.52%	23.75%	26.73%	+0.62	-5.6	0
1999-08-08	@ Dundee	W 4-3	75.7	1605	1663	26.73%	23.75%	49.52%	-0.62	+5.6	4
1999-08-14	Dundee	L 0-2	56.4	1619	1658	36.04%	24.73%	39.23%	-0.08	-9.4	0
1999-08-14	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	56.4	1658	1619	39.23%	24.73%	36.04%	+0.08	+9.4	3
1999-08-14	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.3	1610	1707	28.57%	24.09%	47.34%	-0.51	+0.5	5
1999-08-14	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	71.3	1707	1610	47.34%	24.09%	28.57%	+0.51	-0.5	4
1999-08-15	Celtic	W 2-1	71.8	1677	1856	20.44%	21.82%	57.74%	-1.10	+6.9	7
1999-08-15	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	71.8	1856	1677	57.74%	21.82%	20.44%	+1.10	-6.9	6
1999-08-15	Motherwell	W 4-1	52.7	1864	1659	66.76%	18.54%	14.71%	+1.69	+5.0	9
1999-08-15	@ Rangers	L 1-4	52.7	1659	1864	14.71%	18.54%	66.76%	-1.69	-5.0	2
1999-08-15	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	59.1	1699	1743	35.27%	24.71%	40.02%	-0.12	+10.2	3
1999-08-15	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	59.1	1743	1699	40.02%	24.71%	35.27%	+0.12	-10.2	3
1999-08-21	Celtic	L 1-2	60.4	1667	1849	20.17%	21.70%	58.13%	-1.13	-2.8	3
1999-08-21	@ Dundee	W 2-1	60.4	1849	1667	58.13%	21.70%	20.17%	+1.13	+2.8	9
1999-08-21	Motherwell	L 0-1	64.9	1733	1654	52.16%	23.25%	24.59%	+0.77	-6.7	3
1999-08-21	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	64.9	1654	1733	24.59%	23.25%	52.16%	-0.77	+6.7	5
1999-08-21	Dundee United	W 4-1	53.4	1869	1684	64.62%	19.41%	15.96%	+1.54	+5.4	12
1999-08-21	@ Rangers	L 1-4	53.4	1684	1869	15.96%	19.41%	64.62%	-1.54	-5.4	7
1999-08-21	Hibernian	D 1-1	71.7	1710	1611	54.67%	22.66%	22.67%	+0.92	-0.9	4
1999-08-21	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	71.7	1611	1710	22.67%	22.66%	54.67%	-0.92	+0.9	6
1999-08-22	Aberdeen	W 3-0	50.2	1706	1610	54.34%	22.75%	22.92%	+0.90	+9.3	7
1999-08-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	50.2	1610	1706	22.92%	22.75%	54.34%	-0.90	-9.3	0
1999-08-28	Rangers	L 0-1	52.7	1612	1874	14.50%	18.38%	67.12%	-1.72	-2.1	6
1999-08-28	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	52.7	1874	1612	67.12%	18.38%	14.50%	+1.72	+2.1	15
1999-08-28	Dundee	L 0-2	58.5	1661	1664	40.98%	24.67%	34.35%	+0.17	-10.4	5
1999-08-28	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	58.5	1664	1661	34.35%	24.67%	40.98%	-0.17	+10.4	6
1999-08-29	St. Johnstone	L 0-3	51.8	1601	1709	27.25%	23.86%	48.89%	-0.59	-10.9	0
1999-08-29	@ Aberdeen	W 3-0	51.8	1709	1601	48.89%	23.86%	27.25%	+0.59	+10.9	7
1999-08-29	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	49.4	1852	1716	59.14%	21.39%	19.48%	+1.19	+10.4	12
1999-08-29	@ Celtic	L 0-4	49.4	1716	1852	19.48%	21.39%	59.14%	-1.19	-10.4	7
1999-08-29	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	67.7	1679	1726	34.75%	24.69%	40.56%	-0.15	+0.2	8
1999-08-29	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	67.7	1726	1679	40.56%	24.69%	34.75%	+0.15	-0.2	4
1999-09-11	Hibernian	W 3-1	58.3	1679	1610	50.91%	23.50%	25.59%	+0.70	+6.2	11
1999-09-11	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	58.3	1610	1679	25.59%	23.50%	50.91%	-0.70	-6.1	6
1999-09-11	Dundee	W 4-0	52.6	1705	1675	45.73%	24.29%	29.98%	+0.42	+15.4	10
1999-09-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	52.6	1675	1705	29.98%	24.29%	45.73%	-0.42	-15.5	6
1999-09-11	Aberdeen	W 3-0	45.3	1877	1590	74.63%	14.87%	10.50%	+2.29	+4.0	18
1999-09-11	@ Rangers	L 0-3	45.3	1590	1877	10.50%	14.87%	74.63%	-2.29	-4.0	0
1999-09-11	Motherwell	D 1-1	72.0	1720	1650	50.92%	23.50%	25.58%	+0.70	-0.7	8
1999-09-11	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	72.0	1650	1720	25.58%	23.50%	50.92%	-0.70	+0.7	6
1999-09-12	Celtic	L 0-1	57.3	1726	1862	24.32%	23.17%	52.50%	-0.79	-3.6	4
1999-09-12	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	57.3	1862	1726	52.50%	23.17%	24.32%	+0.79	+3.6	15
1999-09-18	Dundee United	L 1-2	61.6	1586	1685	28.25%	24.04%	47.72%	-0.53	-3.9	0
1999-09-18	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	61.6	1685	1586	47.72%	24.04%	28.25%	+0.53	+3.9	14
1999-09-19	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	64.5	1659	1719	33.13%	24.60%	42.27%	-0.24	-4.4	6
1999-09-19	@ Dundee	W 2-1	64.5	1719	1659	42.27%	24.60%	33.13%	+0.24	+4.4	11
1999-09-19	Kilmarnock	L 0-3	51.6	1603	1723	26.05%	23.61%	50.34%	-0.67	-10.5	6
1999-09-19	@ Hibernian	W 3-0	51.6	1723	1603	50.34%	23.61%	26.05%	+0.67	+10.5	7
1999-09-25	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	58.0	1689	1721	36.97%	24.75%	38.29%	-0.03	-9.6	14
1999-09-25	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	58.0	1721	1689	38.29%	24.75%	36.97%	+0.03	+9.6	13
1999-09-25	Celtic	L 0-2	49.3	1593	1866	13.93%	17.94%	68.13%	-1.79	-3.8	6
1999-09-25	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	49.3	1866	1593	68.13%	17.94%	13.93%	+1.79	+3.8	18
1999-09-25	Dundee	L 0-2	61.9	1733	1655	52.06%	23.27%	24.67%	+0.77	-12.6	7
1999-09-25	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	61.9	1655	1733	24.67%	23.27%	52.06%	-0.77	+12.6	9
1999-09-25	St. Johnstone	W 3-1	56.9	1881	1723	61.58%	20.56%	17.86%	+1.34	+4.3	21
1999-09-25	@ Rangers	L 1-3	56.9	1723	1881	17.86%	20.56%	61.58%	-1.34	-4.3	11
1999-10-02	Hibernian	D 2-2	73.7	1582	1589	40.47%	24.69%	34.84%	+0.14	-0.1	1
1999-10-02	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	73.7	1589	1582	34.84%	24.69%	40.47%	-0.14	+0.1	7
1999-10-02	Rangers	L 2-3	64.1	1667	1885	17.43%	20.32%	62.26%	-1.39	-2.3	9
1999-10-02	@ Dundee	W 3-2	64.1	1885	1667	62.26%	20.32%	17.43%	+1.39	+2.3	24
1999-10-16	Aberdeen	W 7-0	45.6	1869	1582	74.70%	14.83%	10.47%	+2.29	+8.8	21
1999-10-16	@ Celtic	L 0-7	45.6	1582	1869	10.47%	14.83%	74.70%	-2.29	-8.8	1
1999-10-16	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	72.2	1730	1719	43.07%	24.54%	32.38%	+0.28	-0.3	14
1999-10-16	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.2	1719	1730	32.38%	24.54%	43.07%	-0.28	+0.3	12
1999-10-16	Rangers	D 1-1	73.3	1720	1887	21.42%	22.22%	56.36%	-1.02	+1.0	8
1999-10-16	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	73.3	1887	1720	56.36%	22.22%	21.42%	+1.02	-1.0	25
1999-10-16	Hibernian	D 2-2	75.5	1651	1589	49.93%	23.68%	26.39%	+0.65	-0.5	7
1999-10-16	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	75.5	1589	1651	26.39%	23.68%	49.93%	-0.65	+0.5	8
1999-10-17	Dundee United	L 0-2	58.2	1665	1679	39.48%	24.73%	35.80%	+0.09	-10.1	9
1999-10-17	@ Dundee	W 2-0	58.2	1679	1665	35.80%	24.73%	39.48%	-0.09	+10.1	17
1999-10-20	Aberdeen	L 5-6	77.3	1651	1573	51.98%	23.28%	24.74%	+0.76	-5.7	7
1999-10-20	@ Motherwell	W 6-5	77.3	1573	1651	24.74%	23.28%	51.98%	-0.76	+5.7	4
1999-10-23	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	76.6	1579	1721	23.64%	22.98%	53.38%	-0.84	+0.6	5
1999-10-23	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	76.6	1721	1579	53.38%	22.98%	23.64%	+0.84	-0.6	9
1999-10-23	Motherwell	L 0-2	60.4	1689	1645	47.65%	24.05%	28.30%	+0.52	-11.7	17
1999-10-23	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	60.4	1645	1689	28.30%	24.05%	47.65%	-0.52	+11.7	10
1999-10-23	Dundee	W 5-2	63.6	1590	1655	32.40%	24.55%	43.05%	-0.28	+11.5	11
1999-10-23	@ Hibernian	L 2-5	63.6	1655	1590	43.05%	24.55%	32.40%	+0.28	-11.5	9
1999-10-24	Celtic	L 1-2	61.4	1719	1878	22.13%	22.48%	55.39%	-0.96	-3.1	12
1999-10-24	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	61.4	1878	1719	55.39%	22.48%	22.13%	+0.96	+3.1	24
1999-10-27	Motherwell	L 0-1	68.9	1881	1657	68.77%	17.66%	13.57%	+1.84	-8.4	24
1999-10-27	@ Celtic	W 1-0	68.9	1657	1881	13.57%	17.66%	68.77%	-1.84	+8.4	13
1999-10-27	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	77.4	1730	1721	42.78%	24.57%	32.65%	+0.26	-0.2	15
1999-10-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	77.4	1721	1730	32.65%	24.57%	42.78%	-0.26	+0.2	10
1999-10-27	Dundee United	L 0-1	63.6	1716	1678	46.82%	24.16%	29.02%	+0.48	-6.1	12
1999-10-27	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	63.6	1678	1716	29.02%	24.16%	46.82%	-0.48	+6.1	20
1999-10-30	Rangers	L 1-5	49.3	1579	1886	12.10%	16.40%	71.50%	-2.04	-5.1	5
1999-10-30	@ Aberdeen	W 5-1	49.3	1886	1579	71.50%	16.40%	12.10%	+2.04	+5.1	28
1999-10-30	Kilmarnock	W 5-1	52.9	1873	1721	60.98%	20.77%	18.25%	+1.30	+8.1	27
1999-10-30	@ Celtic	L 1-5	52.9	1721	1873	18.25%	20.77%	60.98%	-1.30	-8.1	10
1999-10-30	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	63.2	1644	1730	29.79%	24.27%	45.95%	-0.43	+6.0	12
1999-10-30	@ Dundee	L 0-1	63.2	1730	1644	45.95%	24.27%	29.79%	+0.43	-6.0	15
1999-10-30	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	61.6	1665	1710	35.09%	24.70%	40.21%	-0.13	+5.4	16
1999-10-30	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	61.6	1710	1665	40.21%	24.70%	35.09%	+0.13	-5.4	12
1999-10-31	Dundee United	W 3-2	72.0	1601	1684	30.22%	24.32%	45.46%	-0.40	+5.3	14
1999-10-31	@ Hibernian	L 2-3	72.0	1684	1601	45.46%	24.32%	30.22%	+0.40	-5.4	20
1999-11-06	Aberdeen	W 3-1	56.4	1678	1574	55.34%	22.49%	22.17%	+0.96	+5.4	23
1999-11-06	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	56.4	1574	1678	22.17%	22.49%	55.34%	-0.96	-5.4	5
1999-11-06	Motherwell	D 1-1	72.0	1724	1670	48.82%	23.87%	27.31%	+0.59	-0.6	16
1999-11-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.0	1670	1724	27.31%	23.87%	48.82%	-0.59	+0.6	17
1999-11-06	Hibernian	L 0-2	62.1	1713	1607	55.59%	22.43%	21.99%	+0.97	-13.3	10
1999-11-06	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	62.1	1607	1713	21.99%	22.43%	55.59%	-0.97	+13.3	17
1999-11-06	Dundee	L 0-1	63.9	1705	1650	49.04%	23.83%	27.13%	+0.60	-6.4	12
1999-11-06	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	63.9	1650	1705	27.13%	23.83%	49.04%	-0.60	+6.4	15
1999-11-07	Celtic	W 4-2	66.7	1891	1881	42.94%	24.55%	32.50%	+0.27	+6.7	31
1999-11-07	@ Rangers	L 2-4	66.7	1881	1891	32.50%	24.55%	42.94%	-0.27	-6.7	27
1999-11-20	Motherwell	L 0-1	60.9	1656	1671	39.36%	24.73%	35.92%	+0.09	-5.4	15
1999-11-20	@ Dundee	W 1-0	60.9	1671	1656	35.92%	24.73%	39.36%	-0.09	+5.3	20
1999-11-20	Celtic	L 1-2	61.7	1723	1874	22.84%	22.72%	54.44%	-0.90	-3.2	16
1999-11-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	61.7	1874	1723	54.44%	22.72%	22.84%	+0.90	+3.2	30
1999-11-20	Dundee United	D 1-1	71.8	1700	1684	43.69%	24.50%	31.81%	+0.31	-0.3	11
1999-11-20	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	71.8	1684	1700	31.81%	24.50%	43.69%	-0.31	+0.3	24
1999-11-20	Hibernian	W 2-0	47.8	1898	1620	73.86%	15.25%	10.89%	+2.23	+2.9	34
1999-11-20	@ Rangers	L 0-2	47.8	1620	1898	10.89%	15.25%	73.86%	-2.23	-2.9	17
1999-11-21	Aberdeen	D 1-1	71.3	1698	1569	58.37%	21.63%	20.00%	+1.14	-1.1	13
1999-11-21	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	71.3	1569	1698	20.00%	21.63%	58.37%	-1.14	+1.1	6
1999-11-23	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	66.7	1676	1720	35.30%	24.71%	39.99%	-0.12	+5.1	23
1999-11-23	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	66.7	1720	1676	39.99%	24.71%	35.30%	+0.12	-5.1	16
1999-11-24	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	58.0	1617	1697	30.53%	24.36%	45.11%	-0.39	-4.4	17
1999-11-24	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	58.0	1697	1617	45.11%	24.36%	30.53%	+0.39	+4.4	16
1999-11-27	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	60.5	1684	1702	39.03%	24.73%	36.24%	+0.07	+5.0	27
1999-11-27	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	60.5	1702	1684	36.24%	24.73%	39.03%	-0.07	-5.0	16
1999-11-27	Aberdeen	W 2-0	52.1	1613	1570	47.40%	24.08%	28.52%	+0.51	+7.8	20
1999-11-27	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	52.1	1570	1613	28.52%	24.08%	47.40%	-0.51	-7.8	6
1999-11-27	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	77.2	1699	1715	39.28%	24.73%	35.99%	+0.08	-0.1	12
1999-11-27	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	77.2	1715	1699	35.99%	24.73%	39.28%	-0.08	+0.1	17
1999-11-28	Celtic	W 3-2	77.1	1681	1877	19.01%	21.16%	59.82%	-1.23	+6.7	26
1999-11-28	@ Motherwell	L 2-3	77.1	1877	1681	59.82%	21.16%	19.01%	+1.23	-6.7	30
1999-11-28	Dundee	L 1-2	74.3	1901	1651	71.27%	16.51%	12.22%	+2.02	-8.1	34
1999-11-28	@ Rangers	W 2-1	74.3	1651	1901	12.22%	16.51%	71.27%	-2.02	+8.1	18
1999-12-04	Hibernian	W 4-0	45.5	1871	1620	71.27%	16.51%	12.22%	+2.02	+6.2	33
1999-12-04	@ Celtic	L 0-4	45.5	1620	1871	12.22%	16.51%	71.27%	-2.02	-6.2	20
1999-12-05	Dundee United	W 3-0	53.8	1715	1689	45.07%	24.37%	30.56%	+0.38	+12.0	20
1999-12-05	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	53.8	1689	1715	30.56%	24.37%	45.07%	-0.38	-12.0	27
1999-12-08	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	67.1	1562	1727	21.60%	22.29%	56.11%	-1.00	+11.6	9
1999-12-08	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	67.1	1727	1562	56.11%	22.29%	21.60%	+1.00	-11.6	20
1999-12-11	Celtic	L 0-6	46.0	1574	1877	12.28%	16.56%	71.16%	-2.01	-9.2	9
1999-12-11	@ Aberdeen	W 6-0	46.0	1877	1574	71.16%	16.56%	12.28%	+2.01	+9.2	36
1999-12-11	Motherwell	D 2-2	76.2	1614	1688	31.30%	24.45%	44.26%	-0.34	+0.3	21
1999-12-11	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	76.2	1688	1614	44.26%	24.45%	31.30%	+0.34	-0.3	27
1999-12-11	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	53.4	1893	1699	65.56%	19.03%	15.40%	+1.61	+2.3	37
1999-12-11	@ Rangers	L 0-1	53.4	1699	1893	15.40%	19.03%	65.56%	-1.61	-2.3	12
1999-12-12	Dundee	W 1-0	58.6	1677	1659	44.08%	24.46%	31.46%	+0.33	+4.5	30
1999-12-12	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	58.6	1659	1677	31.46%	24.46%	44.08%	-0.33	-4.5	18
1999-12-18	Dundee United	W 4-1	52.8	1886	1682	66.70%	18.56%	14.74%	+1.69	+5.0	39
1999-12-18	@ Celtic	L 1-4	52.8	1682	1886	14.74%	18.56%	66.70%	-1.69	-5.0	30
1999-12-18	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	67.1	1697	1696	41.55%	24.64%	33.80%	+0.20	-5.3	12
1999-12-18	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	67.1	1696	1697	33.80%	24.64%	41.55%	-0.20	+5.3	19
1999-12-18	Rangers	L 1-5	52.8	1688	1895	18.17%	20.73%	61.11%	-1.31	-8.1	27
1999-12-18	@ Motherwell	W 5-1	52.8	1895	1688	61.11%	20.73%	18.17%	+1.31	+8.1	40
1999-12-19	Hibernian	L 0-3	60.0	1715	1614	54.91%	22.60%	22.49%	+0.93	-19.1	20
1999-12-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	60.0	1614	1715	22.49%	22.60%	54.91%	-0.93	+19.1	24
1999-12-22	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	53.0	1903	1696	66.97%	18.45%	14.59%	+1.71	+2.1	43
1999-12-22	@ Rangers	L 0-1	53.0	1696	1903	14.59%	18.45%	66.97%	-1.71	-2.1	20
1999-12-27	Dundee United	W 3-1	64.8	1565	1677	26.80%	23.77%	49.43%	-0.62	+10.5	12
1999-12-27	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	64.8	1677	1565	49.43%	23.77%	26.80%	+0.62	-10.5	30
1999-12-27	Rangers	D 1-1	72.7	1891	1905	39.48%	24.72%	35.79%	+0.09	-0.1	40
1999-12-27	@ Celtic	D 1-1	72.7	1905	1891	35.79%	24.72%	39.48%	-0.09	+0.1	44
1999-12-27	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	71.5	1654	1702	34.76%	24.69%	40.55%	-0.15	+0.2	19
1999-12-27	@ Dundee	D 1-1	71.5	1702	1654	40.55%	24.69%	34.76%	+0.15	-0.2	20
1999-12-27	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	76.4	1634	1692	33.35%	24.62%	42.04%	-0.23	+0.2	25
1999-12-27	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	76.4	1692	1634	42.04%	24.62%	33.35%	+0.23	-0.2	13
2000-01-22	Hibernian	D 0-0	66.9	1666	1634	46.00%	24.26%	29.74%	+0.43	-0.5	31
2000-01-22	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	66.9	1634	1666	29.74%	24.26%	46.00%	-0.43	+0.5	26
2000-01-22	Dundee	W 2-0	54.9	1694	1654	46.98%	24.14%	28.88%	+0.49	+7.9	23
2000-01-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	54.9	1654	1694	28.88%	24.14%	46.98%	-0.49	-7.9	19
2000-01-22	Aberdeen	W 5-0	43.5	1905	1575	78.31%	12.97%	8.73%	+2.61	+5.2	47
2000-01-22	@ Rangers	L 0-5	43.5	1575	1905	8.73%	12.97%	78.31%	-2.61	-5.2	12
2000-01-22	Motherwell	D 1-1	71.8	1702	1680	44.54%	24.42%	31.05%	+0.36	-0.4	21
2000-01-22	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	71.8	1680	1702	31.05%	24.42%	44.54%	-0.36	+0.4	28
2000-01-23	Celtic	D 1-1	73.6	1691	1891	18.74%	21.03%	60.23%	-1.26	+1.2	14
2000-01-23	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	73.6	1891	1691	60.23%	21.03%	18.74%	+1.26	-1.2	41
2000-01-26	Motherwell	D 1-1	70.4	1570	1680	27.00%	23.81%	49.19%	-0.61	+0.6	13
2000-01-26	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	70.4	1680	1570	49.19%	23.81%	27.00%	+0.61	-0.6	29
2000-01-26	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	67.2	1646	1693	34.94%	24.70%	40.36%	-0.14	+0.2	20
2000-01-26	@ Dundee	D 0-0	67.2	1693	1646	40.36%	24.70%	34.94%	+0.14	-0.2	15
2000-02-02	Rangers	L 0-4	47.6	1666	1911	15.59%	19.16%	65.25%	-1.59	-8.2	31
2000-02-02	@ Dundee United	W 4-0	47.6	1911	1666	65.25%	19.16%	15.59%	+1.59	+8.2	50
2000-02-05	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	68.5	1570	1701	24.84%	23.31%	51.85%	-0.76	+6.3	16
2000-02-05	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	68.5	1701	1570	51.85%	23.31%	24.84%	+0.76	-6.3	21
2000-02-05	Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	78.2	1890	1702	64.95%	19.28%	15.76%	+1.57	-7.2	41
2000-02-05	@ Celtic	W 3-2	78.2	1702	1890	15.76%	19.28%	64.95%	-1.57	+7.2	26
2000-02-05	Dundee	L 0-3	57.8	1680	1647	46.07%	24.25%	29.68%	+0.44	-16.6	29
2000-02-05	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	57.8	1647	1680	29.68%	24.25%	46.07%	-0.44	+16.6	23
2000-02-06	Rangers	D 2-2	79.9	1634	1919	13.27%	17.41%	69.32%	-1.88	+1.2	27
2000-02-06	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	79.9	1919	1634	69.32%	17.41%	13.27%	+1.88	-1.2	51
2000-02-12	Celtic	L 0-3	49.2	1663	1883	17.29%	20.23%	62.48%	-1.40	-7.0	23
2000-02-12	@ Dundee	W 3-0	49.2	1883	1663	62.48%	20.23%	17.29%	+1.40	+7.0	44
2000-02-12	Motherwell	L 0-2	60.0	1693	1663	45.61%	24.31%	30.09%	+0.41	-11.3	15
2000-02-12	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	60.0	1663	1693	30.09%	24.31%	45.61%	-0.41	+11.3	32
2000-02-15	Rangers	D 1-1	74.0	1695	1917	17.06%	20.10%	62.83%	-1.43	+1.4	22
2000-02-15	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	74.0	1917	1695	62.83%	20.10%	17.06%	+1.43	-1.4	52
2000-02-22	Kilmarnock	L 0-4	55.7	1674	1681	40.51%	24.69%	34.80%	+0.15	-19.6	32
2000-02-22	@ Motherwell	W 4-0	55.7	1681	1674	34.80%	24.69%	40.51%	-0.15	+19.6	18
2000-02-22	Hibernian	W 1-0	56.8	1696	1636	49.79%	23.70%	26.50%	+0.64	+3.9	25
2000-02-22	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	56.8	1636	1696	26.50%	23.70%	49.79%	-0.64	-3.9	27
2000-02-23	Aberdeen	L 1-3	65.3	1656	1577	52.22%	23.23%	24.55%	+0.78	-10.9	23
2000-02-23	@ Dundee	W 3-1	65.3	1577	1656	24.55%	23.23%	52.22%	-0.78	+11.0	19
2000-02-26	Hibernian	W 4-0	53.6	1588	1632	35.25%	24.71%	40.04%	-0.12	+19.4	22
2000-02-26	@ Aberdeen	L 0-4	53.6	1632	1588	40.04%	24.71%	35.25%	+0.12	-19.4	27
2000-02-26	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	67.8	1709	1701	42.66%	24.57%	32.77%	+0.26	-0.3	27
2000-02-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	67.8	1701	1709	32.77%	24.57%	42.66%	-0.26	+0.3	19
2000-02-26	Dundee United	W 2-0	54.9	1700	1658	47.39%	24.08%	28.53%	+0.51	+7.8	28
2000-02-26	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	54.9	1658	1700	28.53%	24.08%	47.39%	-0.51	-7.8	31
2000-02-27	Rangers	L 1-7	49.4	1645	1916	14.02%	18.02%	67.96%	-1.78	-8.8	23
2000-02-27	@ Dundee	W 7-1	49.4	1916	1645	67.96%	18.02%	14.02%	+1.78	+8.8	55
2000-03-01	Dundee	W 6-2	51.5	1890	1636	71.55%	16.37%	12.07%	+2.04	+4.3	47
2000-03-01	@ Celtic	L 2-6	51.5	1636	1890	12.07%	16.37%	71.55%	-2.04	-4.4	23
2000-03-01	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	56.7	1655	1709	33.88%	24.65%	41.47%	-0.20	-9.0	32
2000-03-01	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	56.7	1709	1655	41.47%	24.65%	33.88%	+0.20	+9.0	30
2000-03-04	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	59.1	1650	1718	32.04%	24.52%	43.44%	-0.30	-4.6	31
2000-03-04	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	59.1	1718	1650	43.44%	24.52%	32.04%	+0.30	+4.6	33
2000-03-04	Dundee	D 2-2	76.9	1701	1632	50.88%	23.51%	25.62%	+0.70	-0.5	20
2000-03-04	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	76.9	1632	1701	25.62%	23.51%	50.88%	-0.70	+0.5	24
2000-03-04	Aberdeen	W 1-0	56.6	1646	1607	46.84%	24.16%	29.00%	+0.48	+4.2	35
2000-03-04	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	56.6	1607	1646	29.00%	24.16%	46.84%	-0.48	-4.2	22
2000-03-04	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	70.5	1925	1708	67.99%	18.01%	14.01%	+1.78	-1.8	56
2000-03-04	@ Rangers	D 0-0	70.5	1708	1925	14.01%	18.01%	67.99%	-1.78	+1.8	29
2000-03-05	Celtic	W 2-1	73.8	1612	1894	13.41%	17.53%	69.05%	-1.86	+7.9	30
2000-03-05	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	73.8	1894	1612	69.05%	17.53%	13.41%	+1.86	-7.9	47
2000-03-08	Rangers	L 0-1	61.5	1886	1923	36.21%	24.73%	39.06%	-0.07	-5.0	47
2000-03-08	@ Celtic	W 1-0	61.5	1923	1886	39.06%	24.73%	36.21%	+0.07	+5.0	59
2000-03-11	St. Johnstone	W 4-1	53.9	1881	1710	63.15%	19.99%	16.87%	+1.45	+5.8	50
2000-03-11	@ Celtic	L 1-4	53.9	1710	1881	16.87%	19.99%	63.15%	-1.45	-5.8	29
2000-03-15	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	61.6	1704	1722	38.89%	24.74%	36.37%	+0.06	-5.3	29
2000-03-15	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	61.6	1722	1704	36.37%	24.74%	38.89%	-0.06	+5.3	36
2000-03-15	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	76.7	1645	1701	33.70%	24.64%	41.67%	-0.21	+0.2	32
2000-03-15	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	76.7	1701	1645	41.67%	24.64%	33.70%	+0.21	-0.2	21
2000-03-18	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	66.1	1620	1728	27.32%	23.87%	48.80%	-0.59	+10.4	33
2000-03-18	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	66.1	1728	1620	48.80%	23.87%	27.32%	+0.59	-10.4	36
2000-03-18	Motherwell	W 6-2	51.0	1928	1650	73.87%	15.25%	10.89%	+2.23	+3.8	62
2000-03-18	@ Rangers	L 2-6	51.0	1650	1928	10.89%	15.25%	73.87%	-2.23	-3.9	35
2000-03-18	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	67.7	1699	1700	41.26%	24.66%	34.09%	+0.19	-0.2	30
2000-03-18	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	67.7	1700	1699	34.09%	24.66%	41.26%	-0.19	+0.2	22
2000-03-21	Dundee	L 1-2	65.6	1631	1633	41.20%	24.66%	34.14%	+0.18	-5.2	33
2000-03-21	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	65.6	1633	1631	34.14%	24.66%	41.20%	-0.18	+5.2	27
2000-03-22	Aberdeen	W 3-0	49.6	1717	1603	56.57%	22.16%	21.27%	+1.03	+8.7	39
2000-03-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	49.6	1603	1717	21.27%	22.16%	56.57%	-1.03	-8.7	22
2000-03-25	Aberdeen	D 1-1	70.2	1645	1594	48.52%	23.92%	27.57%	+0.57	-0.6	33
2000-03-25	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	70.2	1594	1645	27.57%	23.92%	48.52%	-0.57	+0.6	23
2000-03-25	Motherwell	D 0-0	67.9	1726	1646	52.27%	23.22%	24.50%	+0.78	-0.9	40
2000-03-25	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	67.9	1646	1726	24.50%	23.22%	52.27%	-0.78	+0.9	36
2000-03-25	Hibernian	W 1-0	56.2	1701	1625	51.69%	23.34%	24.97%	+0.75	+3.7	25
2000-03-25	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	56.2	1625	1701	24.97%	23.34%	51.69%	-0.75	-3.7	33
2000-03-25	Dundee	W 2-1	61.8	1698	1638	49.79%	23.71%	26.51%	+0.64	+3.7	33
2000-03-25	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	61.8	1638	1698	26.51%	23.71%	49.79%	-0.64	-3.7	27
2000-03-26	Celtic	W 4-0	53.0	1932	1887	47.73%	24.04%	28.24%	+0.53	+14.7	65
2000-03-26	@ Rangers	L 0-4	53.0	1887	1932	28.24%	24.04%	47.73%	-0.53	-14.7	50
2000-04-01	Rangers	D 1-1	75.5	1595	1947	10.03%	14.38%	75.59%	-2.37	+2.0	24
2000-04-01	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	75.5	1947	1595	75.59%	14.38%	10.03%	+2.37	-2.0	66
2000-04-01	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	67.5	1634	1725	29.23%	24.19%	46.58%	-0.47	+0.5	28
2000-04-01	@ Dundee	D 0-0	67.5	1725	1634	46.58%	24.19%	29.23%	+0.47	-0.5	41
2000-04-01	Dundee United	W 1-0	59.5	1622	1645	38.20%	24.75%	37.05%	+0.03	+5.1	36
2000-04-01	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	59.5	1645	1622	37.05%	24.75%	38.20%	-0.03	-5.1	33
2000-04-01	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	66.8	1647	1702	33.73%	24.64%	41.63%	-0.20	+5.3	39
2000-04-01	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	66.8	1702	1647	41.63%	24.64%	33.73%	+0.20	-5.3	33
2000-04-02	Kilmarnock	W 4-2	60.5	1872	1704	62.77%	20.13%	17.10%	+1.42	+3.7	53
2000-04-02	@ Celtic	L 2-4	60.5	1704	1872	17.10%	20.13%	62.77%	-1.42	-3.7	25
2000-04-04	Dundee United	W 3-0	45.1	1945	1640	76.23%	14.05%	9.72%	+2.42	+3.7	69
2000-04-04	@ Rangers	L 0-3	45.1	1640	1945	9.72%	14.05%	76.23%	-2.42	-3.6	33
2000-04-05	Motherwell	W 4-0	46.4	1876	1652	68.66%	17.71%	13.63%	+1.83	+7.1	56
2000-04-05	@ Celtic	L 0-4	46.4	1652	1876	13.63%	17.71%	68.66%	-1.83	-7.1	39
2000-04-08	Motherwell	W 4-1	58.9	1635	1645	40.01%	24.71%	35.28%	+0.12	+11.4	31
2000-04-08	@ Dundee	L 1-4	58.9	1645	1635	35.28%	24.71%	40.01%	-0.12	-11.4	39
2000-04-08	Celtic	W 1-0	66.4	1724	1883	22.17%	22.49%	55.34%	-0.96	+7.0	44
2000-04-08	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	66.4	1883	1724	55.34%	22.49%	22.17%	+0.96	-7.0	56
2000-04-08	Dundee United	W 1-0	56.7	1701	1636	50.31%	23.61%	26.08%	+0.67	+3.8	28
2000-04-08	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	56.7	1636	1701	26.08%	23.61%	50.31%	-0.67	-3.8	33
2000-04-12	Rangers	L 1-2	59.5	1732	1948	17.47%	20.34%	62.20%	-1.38	-2.5	44
2000-04-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	59.5	1948	1732	62.20%	20.34%	17.47%	+1.38	+2.4	72
2000-04-12	Aberdeen	W 1-0	54.7	1704	1597	55.75%	22.38%	21.87%	+0.98	+3.3	31
2000-04-12	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	54.7	1597	1704	21.87%	22.38%	55.75%	-0.98	-3.3	24
2000-04-15	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	60.9	1594	1729	24.35%	23.18%	52.48%	-0.79	-3.4	24
2000-04-15	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	60.9	1729	1594	52.48%	23.18%	24.35%	+0.79	+3.4	47
2000-04-15	Dundee	D 2-2	79.8	1876	1646	69.28%	17.43%	13.29%	+1.87	-1.2	57
2000-04-15	@ Celtic	D 2-2	79.8	1646	1876	13.29%	17.43%	69.28%	-1.87	+1.2	32
2000-04-15	Rangers	L 0-2	48.3	1632	1951	11.52%	15.86%	72.62%	-2.13	-3.1	33
2000-04-15	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	48.3	1951	1632	72.62%	15.86%	11.52%	+2.13	+3.1	75
2000-04-15	St. Johnstone	D 3-3	80.5	1627	1697	31.78%	24.49%	43.73%	-0.31	+0.2	37
2000-04-15	@ Hibernian	D 3-3	80.5	1697	1627	43.73%	24.49%	31.78%	+0.31	-0.2	34
2000-04-16	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	59.5	1634	1708	31.31%	24.45%	44.25%	-0.34	+11.0	42
2000-04-16	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	59.5	1708	1634	44.25%	24.45%	31.31%	+0.34	-11.1	31
2000-04-18	Dundee	L 0-1	57.8	1590	1647	33.45%	24.62%	41.92%	-0.22	-4.7	24
2000-04-18	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	57.8	1647	1590	41.92%	24.62%	33.45%	+0.22	+4.7	35
2000-04-19	Dundee United	L 1-3	63.8	1645	1629	43.71%	24.49%	31.80%	+0.31	-9.5	42
2000-04-19	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	63.8	1629	1645	31.80%	24.49%	43.71%	-0.31	+9.5	36
2000-04-22	Motherwell	W 2-1	64.7	1585	1635	34.42%	24.68%	40.90%	-0.17	+5.2	27
2000-04-22	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	64.7	1635	1585	40.90%	24.68%	34.42%	+0.17	-5.2	42
2000-04-22	Hibernian	D 1-1	74.7	1875	1627	71.02%	16.63%	12.35%	+2.00	-1.8	58
2000-04-22	@ Celtic	D 1-1	74.7	1627	1875	12.35%	16.63%	71.02%	-2.00	+1.8	38
2000-04-22	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	64.9	1652	1697	35.16%	24.71%	40.13%	-0.13	-4.6	35
2000-04-22	@ Dundee	W 2-1	64.9	1697	1652	40.13%	24.71%	35.16%	+0.13	+4.6	34
2000-04-22	Dundee United	L 1-2	70.2	1732	1639	54.06%	22.81%	23.13%	+0.88	-6.5	47
2000-04-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	70.2	1639	1732	23.13%	22.81%	54.06%	-0.88	+6.5	39
2000-04-23	Rangers	L 0-2	50.3	1697	1954	14.82%	18.62%	66.55%	-1.68	-4.1	34
2000-04-23	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	50.3	1954	1697	66.55%	18.62%	14.82%	+1.68	+4.1	78
2000-04-29	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	59.7	1645	1693	34.75%	24.69%	40.56%	-0.15	-4.9	39
2000-04-29	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	59.7	1693	1645	40.56%	24.69%	34.75%	+0.15	+4.9	37
2000-04-29	Aberdeen	W 1-0	56.0	1629	1591	46.78%	24.17%	29.06%	+0.48	+4.2	41
2000-04-29	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	56.0	1591	1629	29.06%	24.17%	46.78%	-0.48	-4.2	27
2000-04-29	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	61.3	1701	1726	37.96%	24.75%	37.29%	+0.02	-5.2	34
2000-04-29	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	61.3	1726	1701	37.29%	24.75%	37.96%	-0.02	+5.2	50
2000-04-29	Celtic	D 1-1	74.0	1630	1873	15.73%	19.26%	65.02%	-1.57	+1.5	43
2000-04-29	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	74.0	1873	1630	65.02%	19.26%	15.73%	+1.57	-1.5	59
2000-04-30	Dundee	W 3-0	45.0	1958	1647	76.69%	13.82%	9.50%	+2.46	+3.5	81
2000-04-30	@ Rangers	L 0-3	45.0	1647	1958	9.50%	13.82%	76.69%	-2.46	-3.5	35
2000-05-02	Celtic	L 0-1	53.7	1640	1871	16.47%	19.74%	63.78%	-1.49	-2.4	39
2000-05-02	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	53.7	1871	1640	63.78%	19.74%	16.47%	+1.49	+2.4	62
2000-05-02	Aberdeen	W 2-1	59.3	1697	1586	56.17%	22.27%	21.56%	+1.01	+3.0	40
2000-05-02	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	59.3	1586	1697	21.56%	22.27%	56.17%	-1.01	-3.0	27
2000-05-03	Hibernian	W 5-2	52.4	1962	1633	78.17%	13.04%	8.79%	+2.59	+2.4	84
2000-05-03	@ Rangers	L 2-5	52.4	1633	1962	8.79%	13.04%	78.17%	-2.59	-2.4	41
2000-05-06	Aberdeen	W 5-1	48.3	1874	1583	74.96%	14.70%	10.34%	+2.32	+4.3	65
2000-05-06	@ Celtic	L 1-5	48.3	1583	1874	10.34%	14.70%	74.96%	-2.32	-4.3	27
2000-05-06	Dundee United	W 3-0	53.4	1644	1638	42.36%	24.60%	33.05%	+0.24	+12.8	38
2000-05-06	@ Dundee	L 0-3	53.4	1638	1644	33.05%	24.60%	42.36%	-0.24	-12.8	39
2000-05-06	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	68.0	1731	1700	45.76%	24.29%	29.95%	+0.42	-0.5	51
2000-05-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	68.0	1700	1731	29.95%	24.29%	45.76%	-0.42	+0.5	41
2000-05-06	Hibernian	W 2-0	55.4	1632	1631	41.65%	24.64%	33.71%	+0.21	+9.0	46
2000-05-06	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	55.4	1631	1632	33.71%	24.64%	41.65%	-0.21	-9.0	41
2000-05-07	Rangers	L 0-2	49.9	1696	1964	14.19%	18.15%	67.65%	-1.76	-3.9	34
2000-05-07	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	49.9	1964	1696	67.65%	18.15%	14.19%	+1.76	+3.9	87
2000-05-13	Motherwell	L 1-2	65.1	1625	1641	39.26%	24.73%	36.01%	+0.08	-5.0	39
2000-05-13	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	65.1	1641	1625	36.01%	24.73%	39.26%	-0.08	+5.0	49
2000-05-13	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	52.2	1968	1731	70.00%	17.10%	12.90%	+1.93	+1.9	90
2000-05-13	@ Rangers	L 0-1	52.2	1731	1968	12.90%	17.10%	70.00%	-1.93	-1.9	51
2000-05-13	Celtic	D 0-0	69.2	1701	1878	20.54%	21.86%	57.60%	-1.09	+1.2	42
2000-05-13	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	69.2	1878	1701	57.60%	21.86%	20.54%	+1.09	-1.2	66
2000-05-14	Hibernian	W 1-0	57.2	1657	1622	46.36%	24.22%	29.42%	+0.45	+4.3	41
2000-05-14	@ Dundee	L 0-1	57.2	1622	1657	29.42%	24.22%	46.36%	-0.45	-4.2	41
2000-05-14	Kilmarnock	W 5-1	61.1	1579	1692	26.70%	23.75%	49.56%	-0.63	+19.2	30
2000-05-14	@ Aberdeen	L 1-5	61.1	1692	1579	49.56%	23.75%	26.70%	+0.63	-19.2	34
2000-05-21	Dundee United	W 2-0	48.3	1877	1620	71.91%	16.20%	11.89%	+2.07	+3.2	69
2000-05-21	@ Celtic	L 0-2	48.3	1620	1877	11.89%	16.20%	71.91%	-2.07	-3.2	39
2000-05-21	Aberdeen	L 0-2	60.0	1661	1598	50.06%	23.66%	26.28%	+0.65	-12.2	41
2000-05-21	@ Dundee	W 2-0	60.0	1598	1661	26.28%	23.66%	50.06%	-0.65	+12.2	33
2000-05-21	Hibernian	W 2-1	60.0	1729	1617	56.22%	22.26%	21.52%	+1.01	+3.0	54
2000-05-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	60.0	1617	1729	21.52%	22.26%	56.22%	-1.01	-3.0	41
2000-05-21	St. Johnstone	W 3-2	70.8	1673	1702	37.32%	24.75%	37.93%	-0.02	+4.7	37
2000-05-21	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-3	70.8	1702	1673	37.93%	24.75%	37.32%	+0.02	-4.7	42
2000-05-21	Rangers	W 2-0	66.8	1646	1970	11.27%	15.62%	73.10%	-2.16	+16.5	52
2000-05-21	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	66.8	1970	1646	73.10%	15.62%	11.27%	+2.16	-16.5	90

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2000-05-21	11.27%	@ Motherwell	1646	2	Rangers	1970	0
2	1999-11-28	12.22%	Dundee	1651	2	@ Rangers	1901	1
3	2000-03-05	13.41%	@ Hibernian	1612	2	Celtic	1894	1
4	1999-10-27	13.57%	Motherwell	1657	1	@ Celtic	1881	0
5	2000-02-05	15.76%	Heart of Midlothian	1702	3	@ Celtic	1890	2
6	1999-11-28	19.01%	@ Motherwell	1681	3	Celtic	1877	2
7	1999-08-15	20.44%	@ Dundee United	1677	2	Celtic	1856	1
8	1999-12-08	21.60%	@ Aberdeen	1562	3	Heart of Midlothian	1727	1
9	1999-11-06	21.99%	Hibernian	1607	2	@ Kilmarnock	1713	0
10	2000-04-08	22.17%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1724	1	Celtic	1883	0
11	1999-12-19	22.49%	Hibernian	1614	3	@ Heart of Midlothian	1715	0
12	2000-04-22	23.13%	Dundee United	1639	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1732	1
13	2000-02-23	24.55%	Aberdeen	1577	3	@ Dundee	1656	1
14	1999-08-21	24.59%	Motherwell	1654	1	@ Kilmarnock	1733	0
15	1999-09-25	24.67%	Dundee	1655	2	@ Kilmarnock	1733	0
16	1999-10-20	24.74%	Aberdeen	1573	6	@ Motherwell	1651	5
17	2000-02-05	24.84%	@ Aberdeen	1570	2	St. Johnstone	1701	1
18	2000-05-21	26.28%	Aberdeen	1598	2	@ Dundee	1661	0
19	2000-05-14	26.70%	@ Aberdeen	1579	5	Kilmarnock	1692	1
20	1999-08-08	26.73%	Hibernian	1605	4	@ Dundee	1663	3
21	1999-12-27	26.80%	@ Aberdeen	1565	3	Dundee United	1677	1
22	1999-11-06	27.13%	Dundee	1650	1	@ St. Johnstone	1705	0
23	2000-03-18	27.32%	@ Hibernian	1620	3	Heart of Midlothian	1728	1
24	1999-10-23	28.30%	Motherwell	1645	2	@ Dundee United	1689	0
25	1999-10-27	29.02%	Dundee United	1678	1	@ St. Johnstone	1716	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2000-02-22	19.57	Kilmarnock	4	1681	34.80%	@ Motherwell	0	1674	40.51%	24.69%
2	2000-02-26	19.39	@ Aberdeen	4	1588	35.25%	Hibernian	0	1632	40.04%	24.71%
3	2000-05-14	19.15	@ Aberdeen	5	1579	26.70%	Kilmarnock	1	1692	49.56%	23.75%
4	1999-12-19	19.14	Hibernian	3	1614	22.49%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1715	54.91%	22.60%
5	2000-02-05	16.58	Dundee	3	1647	29.68%	@ Motherwell	0	1680	46.07%	24.25%
6	2000-05-21	16.51	@ Motherwell	2	1646	11.27%	Rangers	0	1970	73.10%	15.62%
7	1999-09-11	15.46	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1705	45.73%	Dundee	0	1675	29.98%	24.29%
8	2000-03-26	14.70	@ Rangers	4	1932	47.73%	Celtic	0	1887	28.24%	24.04%
9	1999-07-31	13.34	Heart of Midlothian	4	1707	32.02%	@ St. Johnstone	1	1721	43.46%	24.51%
10	1999-11-06	13.32	Hibernian	2	1607	21.99%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1713	55.59%	22.43%
11	1999-08-07	13.12	Rangers	4	1851	51.89%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1720	24.81%	23.30%
12	2000-05-06	12.81	@ Dundee	3	1644	42.36%	Dundee United	0	1638	33.05%	24.60%
13	1999-09-25	12.61	Dundee	2	1655	24.67%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1733	52.06%	23.27%
14	1999-08-01	12.44	Celtic	5	1835	59.98%	@ Aberdeen	0	1638	18.91%	21.11%
15	2000-05-21	12.21	Aberdeen	2	1598	26.28%	@ Dundee	0	1661	50.06%	23.66%
16	1999-12-05	12.03	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1715	45.07%	Dundee United	0	1689	30.56%	24.37%
17	1999-10-23	11.73	Motherwell	2	1645	28.30%	@ Dundee United	0	1689	47.65%	24.05%
18	1999-12-08	11.62	@ Aberdeen	3	1562	21.60%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1727	56.11%	22.29%
19	1999-10-23	11.47	@ Hibernian	5	1590	32.40%	Dundee	2	1655	43.05%	24.55%
20	2000-04-08	11.36	@ Dundee	4	1635	40.01%	Motherwell	1	1645	35.28%	24.71%
21	2000-02-12	11.32	Motherwell	2	1663	30.09%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1693	45.61%	24.31%
22	2000-04-16	11.05	@ Motherwell	2	1634	31.31%	Kilmarnock	0	1708	44.25%	24.45%
23	2000-02-23	10.95	Aberdeen	3	1577	24.55%	@ Dundee	1	1656	52.22%	23.23%
24	1999-08-29	10.92	St. Johnstone	3	1709	48.89%	@ Aberdeen	0	1601	27.25%	23.86%
25	1999-09-19	10.50	Kilmarnock	3	1723	50.34%	@ Hibernian	0	1603	26.05%	23.61%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2000-04-15	80.5	@ Hibernian	3	1627	31.78%	St. Johnstone	3	1697	43.73%	24.49%
2	2000-02-06	79.9	@ Hibernian	2	1634	13.27%	Rangers	2	1919	69.32%	17.41%
3	2000-04-15	79.8	@ Celtic	2	1876	69.28%	Dundee	2	1646	13.29%	17.43%
4	2000-02-05	78.2	Heart of Midlothian	3	1702	15.76%	@ Celtic	2	1890	64.95%	19.28%
5	1999-10-27	77.4	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1730	42.78%	Kilmarnock	2	1721	32.65%	24.57%
6	1999-10-20	77.3	Aberdeen	6	1573	24.74%	@ Motherwell	5	1651	51.98%	23.28%
7	1999-11-27	77.2	@ Kilmarnock	2	1699	39.28%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1715	35.99%	24.73%
8	1999-11-28	77.1	@ Motherwell	3	1681	19.01%	Celtic	2	1877	59.82%	21.16%
9	2000-03-04	76.9	@ Kilmarnock	2	1701	50.88%	Dundee	2	1632	25.62%	23.51%
10	2000-03-15	76.7	@ Dundee United	2	1645	33.70%	Kilmarnock	2	1701	41.67%	24.64%
11	1999-10-23	76.6	@ Aberdeen	2	1579	23.64%	Kilmarnock	2	1721	53.38%	22.98%
12	1999-08-07	76.5	@ Motherwell	2	1659	38.90%	Dundee United	2	1677	36.36%	24.74%
13	1999-12-27	76.4	@ Hibernian	2	1634	33.35%	Kilmarnock	2	1692	42.04%	24.62%
14	1999-12-11	76.2	@ Hibernian	2	1614	31.30%	Motherwell	2	1688	44.26%	24.45%
15	1999-08-08	75.7	Hibernian	4	1605	26.73%	@ Dundee	3	1663	49.52%	23.75%
16	1999-07-31	75.6	@ Hibernian	2	1605	33.79%	Motherwell	2	1659	41.56%	24.64%
17	1999-10-16	75.5	@ Motherwell	2	1651	49.93%	Hibernian	2	1589	26.39%	23.68%
18	2000-04-01	75.5	@ Aberdeen	1	1595	10.03%	Rangers	1	1947	75.59%	14.38%
19	2000-04-22	74.7	@ Celtic	1	1875	71.02%	Hibernian	1	1627	12.35%	16.63%
20	1999-11-28	74.3	Dundee	2	1651	12.22%	@ Rangers	1	1901	71.27%	16.51%
21	2000-02-15	74.0	@ St. Johnstone	1	1695	17.06%	Rangers	1	1917	62.83%	20.10%
22	2000-04-29	74.0	@ Motherwell	1	1630	15.73%	Celtic	1	1873	65.02%	19.26%
23	2000-03-05	73.8	@ Hibernian	2	1612	13.41%	Celtic	1	1894	69.05%	17.53%
24	1999-10-02	73.7	@ Aberdeen	2	1582	40.47%	Hibernian	2	1589	34.84%	24.69%
25	2000-01-23	73.6	@ Kilmarnock	1	1691	18.74%	Celtic	1	1891	60.23%	21.03%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2000-01-22	43.5	@ Rangers	5	1905	78.31%	Aberdeen	0	1575	8.73%	12.97%
2	2000-04-30	45.0	@ Rangers	3	1958	76.69%	Dundee	0	1647	9.50%	13.82%
3	2000-04-04	45.1	@ Rangers	3	1945	76.23%	Dundee United	0	1640	9.72%	14.05%
4	1999-09-11	45.3	@ Rangers	3	1877	74.63%	Aberdeen	0	1590	10.50%	14.87%
5	1999-12-04	45.5	@ Celtic	4	1871	71.27%	Hibernian	0	1620	12.22%	16.51%
6	1999-10-16	45.6	@ Celtic	7	1869	74.70%	Aberdeen	0	1582	10.47%	14.83%
7	1999-12-11	46.0	Celtic	6	1877	71.16%	@ Aberdeen	0	1574	12.28%	16.56%
8	2000-04-05	46.4	@ Celtic	4	1876	68.66%	Motherwell	0	1652	13.63%	17.71%
9	2000-02-02	47.6	Rangers	4	1911	65.25%	@ Dundee United	0	1666	15.59%	19.16%
10	1999-11-20	47.8	@ Rangers	2	1898	73.86%	Hibernian	0	1620	10.89%	15.25%
11	2000-04-15	48.3	Rangers	2	1951	72.62%	@ Dundee United	0	1632	11.52%	15.86%
12	2000-05-06	48.3	@ Celtic	5	1874	74.96%	Aberdeen	1	1583	10.34%	14.70%
13	2000-05-21	48.3	@ Celtic	2	1877	71.91%	Dundee United	0	1620	11.89%	16.20%
14	1999-08-01	49.0	Celtic	5	1835	59.98%	@ Aberdeen	0	1638	18.91%	21.11%
15	2000-02-12	49.2	Celtic	3	1883	62.48%	@ Dundee	0	1663	17.29%	20.23%
16	1999-09-25	49.3	Celtic	2	1866	68.13%	@ Hibernian	0	1593	13.93%	17.94%
17	1999-10-30	49.3	Rangers	5	1886	71.50%	@ Aberdeen	1	1579	12.10%	16.40%
18	1999-08-29	49.4	@ Celtic	4	1852	59.14%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1716	19.48%	21.39%
19	2000-02-27	49.4	Rangers	7	1916	67.96%	@ Dundee	1	1645	14.02%	18.02%
20	2000-03-22	49.6	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1717	56.57%	Aberdeen	0	1603	21.27%	22.16%
21	2000-05-07	49.9	Rangers	2	1964	67.65%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1696	14.19%	18.15%
22	1999-08-07	50.0	@ Celtic	3	1848	59.67%	St. Johnstone	0	1707	19.12%	21.21%
23	1999-08-22	50.2	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1706	54.34%	Aberdeen	0	1610	22.92%	22.75%
24	2000-04-23	50.3	Rangers	2	1954	66.55%	@ St. Johnstone	0	1697	14.82%	18.62%
25	2000-03-18	51.0	@ Rangers	6	1928	73.87%	Motherwell	2	1650	10.89%	15.25%