2002-03 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

97 points · 50th Title

Last Title: 1999-00

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Hibernian

4.26 points above expected

51 points · 46.74 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Livingston

4.77 points below expected

35 points · 39.77 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rangers	33	28	3	2	87	86	23	+63	75.54	+11.46
2	Celtic	33	26	4	3	82	81	22	+59	77.44	+4.56
3	Heart of Midlothian	33	16	9	8	57	55	47	+8	49.01	+7.99
4	Kilmarnock	33	14	8	11	50	43	46	-3	40.52	+9.48
5	Dunfermline Athletic	33	13	5	15	44	48	56	-8	42.33	+1.67
6	Dundee	33	10	12	11	42	44	48	-4	39.63	+2.37
7	Hibernian	33	11	6	16	39	46	58	-12	43.93	-4.93
8	Aberdeen	33	9	10	14	37	32	48	-16	44.19	-7.19
9	Livingston	33	8	8	17	32	41	50	-9	42.87	-10.87
10	Partick Thistle	33	6	11	16	29	29	50	-21	27.96	+1.04
11	Dundee United	33	5	10	18	25	29	61	-32	34.65	-9.65
12	Motherwell	33	6	6	21	24	35	60	-25	35.28	-11.28

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rangers Champion	38	31	4	3	97	101	28	+73	97.83	-0.83
2	Celtic	38	31	4	3	97	98	26	+72	92.91	+4.09
3	Heart of Midlothian	38	18	9	11	63	57	51	+6	63.34	-0.34
4	Kilmarnock	38	16	9	13	57	47	56	-9	55.29	+1.71
5	Dunfermline Athletic	38	13	7	18	46	54	71	-17	47.87	-1.87
6	Dundee	38	10	14	14	44	50	60	-10	46.79	-2.79
7	Hibernian	38	15	6	17	51	56	64	-8	46.74	+4.26
8	Aberdeen	38	13	10	15	49	41	54	-13	45.20	+3.80
9	Livingston	38	9	8	21	35	48	62	-14	39.77	-4.77
10	Partick Thistle	38	8	11	19	35	37	58	-21	34.89	+0.11
11	Dundee United	38	7	11	20	32	35	68	-33	30.83	+1.17
12	Motherwell	38	7	7	24	28	45	71	-26	30.13	-2.13

Notes

Motherwell was supposed to be directly relegated; however, Falkirk was unable to be promoted as a result of not having a suitable field.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Hibernian	51	46.74	+4.26
2	Celtic	97	92.91	+4.09
3	Aberdeen	49	45.20	+3.80
4	Kilmarnock	57	55.29	+1.71
5	Dundee United	32	30.83	+1.17

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Livingston	35	39.77	-4.77
2	Dundee	44	46.79	-2.79
3	Motherwell	28	30.13	-2.13
4	Dunfermline Athletic	46	47.87	-1.87
5	Rangers	97	97.83	-0.83

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hibernian	5	Sep 21 – Oct 27	1 in 72
2	Rangers	8	Aug 10 – Sep 28	1 in 19
3	Dunfermline Athletic	3	Sep 11 – Sep 21	1 in 19
4	Aberdeen	3	Sep 22 – Oct 5	1 in 16
5	Dundee United	2	May 10 – May 17	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	8	Oct 5 – Dec 1	1 in 478
2	Livingston	6	Aug 25 – Sep 28	1 in 126
3	Hibernian	5	Jan 29 – Mar 2	1 in 56
4	Aberdeen	3	Aug 25 – Sep 11	1 in 40
5	Dundee United	5	Sep 14 – Oct 19	1 in 30

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dundee	9	Jan 28 – Apr 12	1 in 134
2	Kilmarnock	5	Dec 3 – Dec 26	1 in 49
3	Motherwell	4	Dec 4 – Dec 26	1 in 39
4	Rangers	21	Aug 3 – Dec 22	1 in 25
5	Heart of Midlothian	6	Mar 1 – Apr 26	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aberdeen	11	Oct 19 – Dec 21	1 in 313
2	Motherwell	11	Sep 15 – Dec 1	1 in 69
3	Livingston	9	Aug 10 – Oct 6	1 in 54
4	Hibernian	7	Jan 2 – Mar 9	1 in 24
5	Dundee United	10	Nov 23 – Jan 29	1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	2106	97	+25	15	12.2	+2.8
Rangers	2082	97	+9	10	11.0	-1.0
Heart of Midlothian	1808	63	-6	6	6.1	-0.1
Kilmarnock	1760	57	-1	7	5.3	+1.7
Hibernian	1707	51	+23	12	8.3	+3.7
Aberdeen	1720	49	+20	12	8.0	+4.0
Dunfermline Athletic	1669	46	-14	2	3.9	-1.9
Dundee	1714	44	-17	2	4.9	-2.9
Partick Thistle	1610	35	+8	6	5.8	+0.2
Livingston	1642	35	-41	3	7.8	-4.8
Dundee United	1602	32	+0	7	5.7	+1.3
Motherwell	1607	28	+8	4	5.0	-1.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DUN	DU	DA	HOM	HIB	KIL	LIV	MOT	PT	RAN
Aberdeen	—	0-1-2 1.58	1-2-0 4.34	2-1-1 6.80	2-0-1 4.39	0-2-1 3.86	1-0-3 5.34	0-1-2 4.15	3-1-0 5.60	3-1-0 6.16	1-0-3 7.65	0-1-2 1.47
Celtic	2-1-0 6.87	—	3-1-0 9.67	3-0-0 7.61	4-0-0 9.62	3-0-1 9.09	3-0-0 7.29	3-1-0 9.60	3-0-0 7.28	2-0-1 7.52	3-0-0 7.69	2-1-1 5.69
Dundee	0-2-1 3.97	0-1-3 1.68	—	1-2-0 4.67	1-1-2 5.50	1-1-2 4.59	2-0-1 4.07	1-1-2 5.97	1-2-0 4.31	1-2-0 4.59	2-1-0 5.15	0-1-3 1.90
Dundee United	1-1-2 4.29	0-0-3 0.96	0-2-1 3.64	—	1-0-2 3.37	0-0-3 2.58	0-2-2 4.23	1-1-1 3.60	1-0-3 4.38	2-2-0 5.08	1-3-0 5.68	0-0-3 1.06
Dunfermline Athletic	1-0-2 3.92	0-0-4 1.72	2-1-1 5.58	2-0-1 4.95	—	1-0-3 4.45	2-1-0 3.69	0-3-1 5.21	2-1-0 4.02	2-0-1 4.72	1-1-1 5.61	0-0-4 1.83
Heart of Midlothian	1-2-0 4.44	1-0-3 2.17	2-1-1 6.50	3-0-0 5.78	3-0-1 6.64	—	2-1-0 4.55	2-1-1 6.48	1-2-0 4.84	2-0-1 5.62	1-2-0 5.82	0-0-4 2.34
Hibernian	3-0-1 5.74	0-0-3 1.22	1-0-2 4.23	2-2-0 6.86	0-1-2 4.62	0-1-2 3.76	—	1-0-2 3.99	3-1-0 5.80	3-0-1 6.66	2-1-1 7.23	0-0-3 1.65
Kilmarnock	2-1-0 4.17	0-1-3 1.72	2-1-1 5.11	1-1-1 4.71	1-3-0 5.87	1-1-2 4.61	2-0-1 4.32	—	3-0-0 3.44	2-0-1 4.72	2-0-1 5.48	0-1-3 2.00
Livingston	0-1-3 5.48	0-0-3 1.23	0-2-1 4.00	3-0-1 6.72	0-1-2 4.29	0-2-1 3.47	0-1-3 5.27	0-0-3 4.87	—	3-0-1 6.35	3-1-0 7.17	0-0-3 1.41
Motherwell	0-1-3 4.92	1-0-2 1.05	0-2-1 3.72	0-2-2 5.99	1-0-2 3.59	1-0-2 2.72	1-0-3 4.45	1-0-2 3.59	1-0-3 4.74	—	0-2-2 6.49	1-0-2 1.05
Partick Thistle	3-0-1 3.47	0-0-3 0.90	0-1-2 3.17	0-3-1 5.41	1-1-1 2.72	0-2-1 2.52	1-1-2 3.88	1-0-2 2.85	0-1-3 3.93	2-2-0 4.60	—	0-0-3 0.88
Rangers	2-1-0 7.00	1-1-2 5.39	3-1-0 9.40	3-0-0 7.49	4-0-0 9.49	4-0-0 8.89	3-0-0 6.79	3-1-0 9.29	3-0-0 7.07	2-0-1 7.50	3-0-0 7.71	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.88	+10.0
Allowed	0.87	-14.5
Differential	0.94	+6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.51%	8.11%	5.70%	4.61%	1.75%	0.88%	24.56%
1	8.11%	11.40%	9.21%	2.41%	1.75%	1.10%	33.99%
2	5.70%	9.21%	5.70%	1.75%	0.88%	0.66%	23.90%
3	4.61%	2.41%	1.75%	0.88%	0.22%	—	9.87%
4	1.75%	1.75%	0.88%	0.22%	0.44%	—	5.04%
5+	0.88%	1.10%	0.66%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	24.56%	33.99%	23.90%	9.87%	5.04%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.47	+0.00
SD	1.31	1.31	2.02
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	36.84%
1	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
2	2.63%	15.79%	5.26%	—	—	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	42.11%	23.68%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.42	-0.34
SD	1.02	1.35	1.81
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	3	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	18.42%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	31.58%
2	18.42%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	21.05%
5+	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
Total	55.26%	26.32%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.58	0.68	+1.89
SD	1.59	0.90	1.80
CV	0.62	1.32	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	1	0	-1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	26.32%
1	2.63%	18.42%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
2	—	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	28.95%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	44.74%	23.68%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.58	-0.26
SD	1.07	1.22	1.50
CV	0.81	0.77	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	2.63%	10.53%	13.16%	—	2.63%	36.84%
1	2.63%	15.79%	13.16%	—	5.26%	—	36.84%
2	—	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	31.58%	28.95%	18.42%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.79	-0.87
SD	0.85	1.21	1.63
CV	0.92	0.68	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	10.53%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	31.58%
1	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	28.95%
2	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	15.79%
3	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	—	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	36.84%	23.68%	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.87	-0.45
SD	1.35	1.49	2.33
CV	0.95	0.80	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	18.42%
1	13.16%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	39.47%
2	5.26%	15.79%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	26.32%
3	7.89%	—	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	5.26%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	28.95%	42.11%	13.16%	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.34	+0.16
SD	1.20	1.44	1.91
CV	0.80	1.07	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
1	10.53%	10.53%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	44.74%
2	7.89%	13.16%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	34.21%
3	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	34.21%	21.05%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.68	-0.21
SD	0.89	1.49	1.71
CV	0.61	0.89	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.26%	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	26.32%
1	21.05%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	2.63%	39.47%
2	10.53%	5.26%	13.16%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	34.21%	21.05%	26.32%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.47	-0.24
SD	1.20	1.52	2.19
CV	0.97	1.03	—
Max	6	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	28.95%
1	5.26%	10.53%	26.32%	—	—	—	42.11%
2	—	—	5.26%	—	—	2.63%	7.89%
3	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	18.42%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	15.79%	26.32%	50.00%	—	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	1.63	-0.37
SD	1.22	1.20	1.70
CV	0.97	0.73	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.79%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	34.21%
1	2.63%	13.16%	13.16%	5.26%	—	2.63%	36.84%
2	—	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	5.26%	39.47%	28.95%	18.42%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.87	-0.68
SD	1.41	1.12	1.89
CV	1.19	0.60	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	15.79%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	39.47%
1	5.26%	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	—	36.84%
2	2.63%	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	—	13.16%
3	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	31.58%	21.05%	15.79%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.53	-0.55
SD	1.05	1.25	1.80
CV	1.08	0.82	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
1	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
2	18.42%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	34.21%
3	18.42%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
4	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
5+	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	50.00%	31.58%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.66	0.74	+1.92
SD	1.42	0.89	1.65
CV	0.53	1.21	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	2106	97	77.44	+19.56	77.0%	60	68	74	78	82	86	88
Rangers	2082	97	75.54	+21.46	99.0%	57	66	71	77	80	83	91
Heart of Midlothian	1808	63	49.01	+13.99	91.0%	30	37	45	49	54	60	67
Kilmarnock	1760	57	40.52	+16.48	90.0%	27	29	36	40	45	52	58
Aberdeen	1720	49	44.19	+4.81	17.0%	28	32	39	45	49	55	59
Dundee	1714	44	39.63	+4.37	68.0%	25	28	35	40	44	50	55
Hibernian	1707	51	43.93	+7.07	24.0%	30	34	40	44	48	53	65
Dunfermline Athletic	1669	46	42.33	+3.67	60.0%	27	31	38	42	48	53	58
Livingston	1642	35	42.87	-7.87	9.0%	26	28	37	43	49	55	61
Partick Thistle	1610	35	27.96	+7.04	60.0%	12	17	24	28	32	38	48
Motherwell	1607	28	35.28	-7.28	6.0%	20	23	32	36	39	47	52
Dundee United	1602	32	34.65	-2.65	9.0%	18	23	30	35	39	46	47

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.28%

Slight Edge

45.18%21.93%32.89%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 42.88 Elo pts.

175 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.36 goals

Neutral

-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.9

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

41%

Rangers, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.00/gm

Photo Finish

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.27 * Some Luck: 5.27 to 7.9 * Lucky: 7.9 to 10.53 * Wild Swing: 10.53 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.32 * Close: 1.32 to 1.97 * Off: 1.97 to 2.63 * Way Off: 2.63 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.79 points

Some Luck

06.5816

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.00

Off

01.644

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.00%

Rangers

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

6.00%

Motherwell

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 167.38

2.79

Wide Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

65%

Slight Edge

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 97%

95%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Frequent

0%54%100%

Blowouts

Expected

21%

Frequent

0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.53

Highly Predictable

00.562

Matchup Imbalance

0.40

Slight Separation

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.42

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.78

Strong Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Upset-Prone

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

16%

Solid Favorites

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.

Probability calibration

0.56

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.21

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.069

Well Within Noise

00.1070.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Rangers	41.00%	58.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	59.00%	41.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	1.00%	42.00%	18.00%	18.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	—	1.00%	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	9.00%	20.00%	13.00%	10.00%	12.00%	9.00%	3.00%
Dunfermline Athletic	—	—	8.00%	16.00%	15.00%	9.00%	14.00%	12.00%	11.00%	6.00%	8.00%	1.00%
Dundee	—	—	4.00%	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	16.00%	16.00%	12.00%	13.00%	8.00%	4.00%
Hibernian	—	—	10.00%	15.00%	13.00%	22.00%	14.00%	10.00%	9.00%	3.00%	4.00%	—
Aberdeen	—	—	12.00%	19.00%	14.00%	19.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%	5.00%	4.00%	—
Livingston	—	—	15.00%	10.00%	13.00%	15.00%	9.00%	14.00%	7.00%	10.00%	3.00%	4.00%
Partick Thistle	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	7.00%	7.00%	20.00%	59.00%
Dundee United	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%	20.00%	26.00%	14.00%
Motherwell	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	9.00%	19.00%	24.00%	17.00%	15.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Rangers	90.35%	9.65%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	9.65%	90.35%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	97.28%	2.72%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	2.72%	92.80%	4.36%	0.12%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dunfermline Athletic	—	—	—	3.04%	58.72%	38.24%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee	—	—	—	1.44%	36.92%	61.64%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	—	—	—	—	—	—	62.77%	31.86%	5.21%	0.16%	—	—
Aberdeen	—	—	—	—	—	—	34.60%	53.22%	11.51%	0.67%	—	—
Livingston	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.55%	13.53%	67.55%	14.09%	2.07%	0.21%
Partick Thistle	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.08%	1.35%	12.81%	59.30%	20.66%	5.80%
Dundee United	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.03%	1.75%	15.05%	44.04%	39.13%
Motherwell	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	1.17%	10.73%	33.23%	54.86%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Celtic	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
Aberdeen	99.00%	1.00%
Hibernian	99.00%	1.00%
Dunfermline Athletic	98.00%	2.00%
Kilmarnock	98.00%	2.00%
Dundee	97.00%	3.00%
Livingston	97.00%	3.00%
Motherwell	90.00%	10.00%
Dundee United	79.00%	21.00%
Partick Thistle	43.00%	57.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—
Celtic	100%	—
Dundee	100%	—
Dunfermline Athletic	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Hibernian	100%	—
Kilmarnock	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
Livingston	99.79%	0.21%
Partick Thistle	94.20%	5.80%
Dundee United	60.87%	39.13%
Motherwell	45.14%	54.86%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2002-08-03	Aberdeen	L 1-2	66.5	1732	1767	39.44%	23.26%	37.30%	+0.04	-8.4	0
2002-08-03	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	66.5	1767	1732	37.30%	23.26%	39.44%	-0.04	+8.4	3
2002-08-03	Dundee United	D 0-0	66.2	1584	1678	31.42%	23.09%	45.49%	-0.29	+0.7	1
2002-08-03	@ Partick Thistle	D 0-0	66.2	1678	1584	45.49%	23.09%	31.42%	+0.29	-0.7	1
2002-08-03	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	55.7	2002	1703	74.56%	16.80%	8.64%	+1.95	+2.0	3
2002-08-03	@ Celtic	L 1-2	55.7	1703	2002	8.64%	16.80%	74.56%	-1.95	-2.0	0
2002-08-03	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.4	1710	1747	39.15%	23.26%	37.59%	+0.03	-0.1	1
2002-08-03	@ Dundee	D 1-1	72.4	1747	1710	37.59%	23.26%	39.15%	-0.03	+0.1	1
2002-08-03	Motherwell	W 3-2	67.7	1745	1697	50.66%	22.71%	26.63%	+0.52	+5.8	3
2002-08-03	@ Livingston	L 2-3	67.7	1697	1745	26.63%	22.71%	50.66%	-0.52	-5.8	0
2002-08-03	Rangers	D 1-1	73.7	1706	1956	15.94%	20.56%	63.50%	-1.18	+2.4	1
2002-08-03	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	73.7	1956	1706	63.50%	20.56%	15.94%	+1.18	-2.4	1
2002-08-10	Celtic	L 0-4	48.8	1775	2004	17.52%	21.05%	61.43%	-1.06	-16.0	3
2002-08-10	@ Aberdeen	W 4-0	48.8	2004	1775	61.43%	21.05%	17.52%	+1.06	+16.0	6
2002-08-10	Dundee	W 3-0	46.4	1953	1709	70.44%	18.44%	11.12%	+1.64	+7.7	4
2002-08-10	@ Rangers	L 0-3	46.4	1709	1953	11.12%	18.44%	70.44%	-1.64	-7.7	1
2002-08-10	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	66.1	1677	1708	40.07%	23.25%	36.68%	+0.07	-8.5	1
2002-08-10	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	66.1	1708	1677	36.68%	23.25%	40.07%	-0.07	+8.5	4
2002-08-10	Livingston	W 2-1	66.3	1701	1751	37.42%	23.26%	39.32%	-0.04	+8.4	3
2002-08-10	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	66.3	1751	1701	39.32%	23.26%	37.42%	+0.04	-8.4	3
2002-08-10	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	71.3	1691	1585	57.57%	21.80%	20.62%	+0.85	-1.8	1
2002-08-10	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	71.3	1585	1691	20.62%	21.80%	57.57%	-0.85	+1.8	2
2002-08-11	Hibernian	W 5-1	56.6	1747	1723	47.59%	22.96%	29.45%	+0.38	+21.2	4
2002-08-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-5	56.6	1723	1747	29.45%	22.96%	47.59%	-0.38	-21.2	0
2002-08-17	Dundee	W 4-2	65.2	1710	1702	45.46%	23.09%	31.46%	+0.29	+10.9	6
2002-08-17	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 2-4	65.2	1702	1710	31.46%	23.09%	45.46%	-0.29	-10.9	1
2002-08-17	Dundee United	W 5-0	44.3	2020	1669	78.03%	15.19%	6.77%	+2.25	+7.2	9
2002-08-17	@ Celtic	L 0-5	44.3	1669	2020	6.77%	15.19%	78.03%	-2.25	-7.2	1
2002-08-17	Livingston	D 2-2	77.8	1587	1742	24.21%	22.41%	53.37%	-0.64	+1.1	3
2002-08-17	@ Partick Thistle	D 2-2	77.8	1742	1587	53.37%	22.41%	24.21%	+0.64	-1.1	4
2002-08-17	Motherwell	L 0-3	58.1	1717	1689	48.03%	22.93%	29.04%	+0.40	-28.8	4
2002-08-17	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-0	58.1	1689	1717	29.04%	22.93%	48.03%	-0.40	+28.8	4
2002-08-18	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.7	1759	1768	43.20%	23.18%	33.62%	+0.19	-0.4	4
2002-08-18	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	72.7	1768	1759	33.62%	23.18%	43.20%	-0.19	+0.4	5
2002-08-18	Rangers	L 2-4	60.2	1702	1961	15.31%	20.34%	64.35%	-1.23	-5.7	0
2002-08-18	@ Hibernian	W 4-2	60.2	1961	1702	64.35%	20.34%	15.31%	+1.23	+5.7	7
2002-08-24	Celtic	L 0-1	48.9	1588	2028	6.70%	15.12%	78.18%	-2.27	-1.6	3
2002-08-24	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	48.9	2028	1588	78.18%	15.12%	6.70%	+2.27	+1.6	12
2002-08-24	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	53.8	1769	1720	50.71%	22.71%	26.58%	+0.52	+12.3	8
2002-08-24	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	53.8	1720	1769	26.58%	22.71%	50.71%	-0.52	-12.3	6
2002-08-24	Hibernian	W 2-1	64.1	1691	1696	43.64%	23.17%	33.19%	+0.21	+7.4	4
2002-08-24	@ Dundee	L 1-2	64.1	1696	1691	33.19%	23.17%	43.64%	-0.21	-7.4	0
2002-08-25	Aberdeen	W 2-0	49.2	1967	1759	67.45%	19.45%	13.10%	+1.43	+6.3	10
2002-08-25	@ Rangers	L 0-2	49.2	1759	1967	13.10%	19.45%	67.45%	-1.43	-6.3	4
2002-08-25	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	64.0	1741	1688	51.35%	22.64%	26.01%	+0.55	-11.1	4
2002-08-25	@ Livingston	W 1-0	64.0	1688	1741	26.01%	22.64%	51.35%	-0.55	+11.1	7
2002-08-25	Motherwell	D 1-1	72.0	1661	1718	36.39%	23.25%	40.37%	-0.08	+0.2	2
2002-08-25	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	72.0	1718	1661	40.37%	23.25%	36.39%	+0.08	-0.2	5
2002-08-31	Dundee	D 0-0	67.3	1662	1698	39.26%	23.26%	37.48%	+0.04	-0.1	3
2002-08-31	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	67.3	1698	1662	37.48%	23.26%	39.26%	-0.04	+0.1	5
2002-08-31	Hibernian	L 0-2	60.0	1718	1689	48.27%	22.91%	28.81%	+0.41	-19.9	5
2002-08-31	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	60.0	1689	1718	28.81%	22.91%	48.27%	-0.41	+19.9	3
2002-08-31	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	72.8	1781	1699	54.79%	22.23%	22.98%	+0.71	-1.6	9
2002-08-31	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.8	1699	1781	22.98%	22.23%	54.79%	-0.71	+1.6	8
2002-09-01	Livingston	W 2-0	47.1	2029	1730	74.56%	16.80%	8.64%	+1.95	+4.0	15
2002-09-01	@ Celtic	L 0-2	47.1	1730	2029	8.64%	16.80%	74.56%	-1.95	-4.0	4
2002-09-01	Partick Thistle	L 0-1	66.4	1753	1586	63.73%	20.50%	15.77%	+1.20	-13.5	4
2002-09-01	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	66.4	1586	1753	15.77%	20.50%	63.73%	-1.20	+13.5	6
2002-09-01	Rangers	L 0-6	48.9	1708	1973	14.91%	20.20%	64.90%	-1.27	-20.0	6
2002-09-01	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 6-0	48.9	1973	1708	64.90%	20.20%	14.91%	+1.27	+20.0	13
2002-09-10	Celtic	W 2-1	74.9	1698	2033	10.85%	18.28%	70.87%	-1.67	+13.9	8
2002-09-10	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	74.9	2033	1698	70.87%	18.28%	10.85%	+1.67	-13.9	15
2002-09-11	Dundee United	L 1-2	70.2	1739	1661	54.31%	22.30%	23.40%	+0.69	-11.0	4
2002-09-11	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	70.2	1661	1739	23.40%	22.30%	54.31%	-0.69	+11.0	6
2002-09-11	Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-4	63.2	1709	1688	47.17%	22.99%	29.84%	+0.36	-23.9	3
2002-09-11	@ Hibernian	W 4-1	63.2	1688	1709	29.84%	22.99%	47.17%	-0.36	+23.9	9
2002-09-11	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	49.1	1993	1779	67.96%	19.29%	12.75%	+1.46	+6.1	16
2002-09-11	@ Rangers	L 0-2	49.1	1779	1993	12.75%	19.29%	67.96%	-1.46	-6.1	9
2002-09-11	Livingston	W 2-1	65.2	1698	1726	40.53%	23.25%	36.22%	+0.09	+7.9	8
2002-09-11	@ Dundee	L 1-2	65.2	1726	1698	36.22%	23.25%	40.53%	-0.09	-7.9	4
2002-09-11	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	53.6	1701	1600	56.97%	21.90%	21.13%	+0.82	+5.3	11
2002-09-11	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	53.6	1600	1701	21.13%	21.90%	56.97%	-0.82	-5.3	6
2002-09-14	Aberdeen	D 2-2	78.3	1706	1728	41.30%	23.23%	35.47%	+0.12	-0.2	12
2002-09-14	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	78.3	1728	1706	35.47%	23.23%	41.30%	-0.12	+0.2	5
2002-09-14	Dundee	D 1-1	71.3	1594	1706	29.16%	22.94%	47.90%	-0.39	+0.9	7
2002-09-14	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	71.3	1706	1594	47.90%	22.94%	29.16%	+0.39	-0.9	9
2002-09-14	Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	65.8	1672	1712	38.83%	23.26%	37.90%	+0.02	-8.3	6
2002-09-14	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	65.8	1712	1672	37.90%	23.26%	38.83%	-0.02	+8.3	12
2002-09-14	Hibernian	W 1-0	49.4	2019	1685	76.93%	15.73%	7.35%	+2.15	+1.8	18
2002-09-14	@ Celtic	L 0-1	49.4	1685	2019	7.35%	15.73%	76.93%	-2.15	-1.8	3
2002-09-14	Rangers	L 0-2	49.6	1718	1999	13.86%	19.78%	66.36%	-1.36	-6.7	4
2002-09-14	@ Livingston	W 2-0	49.6	1999	1718	66.36%	19.78%	13.86%	+1.36	+6.7	19
2002-09-15	Motherwell	W 4-2	63.5	1773	1712	52.32%	22.54%	25.14%	+0.59	+9.1	12
2002-09-15	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-4	63.5	1712	1773	25.14%	22.54%	52.32%	-0.59	-9.1	8
2002-09-21	Dundee United	W 2-0	51.2	1782	1664	58.84%	21.58%	19.59%	+0.92	+9.4	15
2002-09-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	51.2	1664	1782	19.59%	21.58%	58.84%	-0.92	-9.4	6
2002-09-21	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	56.1	1683	1706	41.27%	23.23%	35.50%	+0.12	+15.5	6
2002-09-21	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	56.1	1706	1683	35.50%	23.23%	41.27%	-0.12	-15.5	12
2002-09-21	Motherwell	W 1-0	57.7	1720	1703	46.75%	23.02%	30.24%	+0.34	+7.2	15
2002-09-21	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	57.7	1703	1720	30.24%	23.02%	46.75%	-0.34	-7.3	8
2002-09-21	Partick Thistle	W 3-0	43.0	2006	1595	81.47%	13.40%	5.13%	+2.59	+3.3	22
2002-09-21	@ Rangers	L 0-3	43.0	1595	2006	5.13%	13.40%	81.47%	-2.59	-3.3	7
2002-09-22	Aberdeen	L 1-2	67.1	1711	1728	42.05%	23.22%	34.74%	+0.15	-8.9	4
2002-09-22	@ Livingston	W 2-1	67.1	1728	1711	34.74%	23.22%	42.05%	-0.15	+8.9	8
2002-09-22	Celtic	L 0-1	51.7	1705	2021	11.84%	18.84%	69.32%	-1.56	-3.0	9
2002-09-22	@ Dundee	W 1-0	51.7	2021	1705	69.32%	18.84%	11.84%	+1.56	+3.0	21
2002-09-28	Dundee	D 1-1	72.1	1696	1702	43.50%	23.17%	33.33%	+0.21	-0.5	9
2002-09-28	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	72.1	1702	1696	33.33%	23.17%	43.50%	-0.21	+0.5	10
2002-09-28	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-1	61.3	1737	1728	45.70%	23.07%	31.23%	+0.30	+12.2	11
2002-09-28	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	61.3	1728	1737	31.23%	23.07%	45.70%	-0.30	-12.2	15
2002-09-28	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	78.5	1592	1792	19.94%	21.66%	58.40%	-0.90	+1.4	8
2002-09-28	@ Partick Thistle	D 2-2	78.5	1792	1592	58.40%	21.66%	19.94%	+0.90	-1.4	16
2002-09-28	Kilmarnock	W 5-0	44.6	2024	1690	76.90%	15.74%	7.36%	+2.15	+7.9	24
2002-09-28	@ Celtic	L 0-5	44.6	1690	2024	7.36%	15.74%	76.90%	-2.15	-7.9	12
2002-09-28	Livingston	W 1-0	58.5	1699	1703	43.87%	23.16%	32.97%	+0.22	+7.8	9
2002-09-28	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	58.5	1703	1699	32.97%	23.16%	43.87%	-0.22	-7.8	4
2002-09-28	Rangers	L 0-3	45.9	1655	2009	9.93%	17.72%	72.35%	-1.78	-6.8	6
2002-09-28	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	45.9	2009	1655	72.35%	17.72%	9.93%	+1.78	+6.8	25
2002-10-05	Aberdeen	L 1-2	65.5	1695	1749	36.76%	23.25%	39.99%	-0.06	-8.0	9
2002-10-05	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	65.5	1749	1695	39.99%	23.25%	36.76%	+0.06	+8.0	14
2002-10-05	Dundee United	W 2-1	61.3	1706	1648	52.00%	22.57%	25.42%	+0.58	+5.9	12
2002-10-05	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	61.3	1648	1706	25.42%	22.57%	52.00%	-0.58	-5.9	6
2002-10-05	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	63.0	1703	1682	47.15%	22.99%	29.86%	+0.36	+6.8	13
2002-10-05	@ Dundee	L 1-2	63.0	1682	1703	29.86%	22.99%	47.15%	-0.36	-6.8	12
2002-10-05	Partick Thistle	W 4-1	53.5	1716	1593	59.28%	21.49%	19.23%	+0.94	+11.3	18
2002-10-05	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-4	53.5	1593	1716	19.23%	21.49%	59.28%	-0.94	-11.3	8
2002-10-06	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.6	1695	1790	31.22%	23.07%	45.71%	-0.30	+0.7	5
2002-10-06	@ Livingston	D 1-1	72.6	1790	1695	45.71%	23.07%	31.22%	+0.30	-0.7	17
2002-10-06	Rangers	D 3-3	83.3	2032	2016	46.56%	23.03%	30.42%	+0.34	-0.5	25
2002-10-06	@ Celtic	D 3-3	83.3	2016	2032	30.42%	23.03%	46.56%	-0.34	+0.5	26
2002-10-19	Dundee	D 0-0	68.2	1757	1710	50.68%	22.71%	26.61%	+0.52	-1.3	15
2002-10-19	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	68.2	1710	1757	26.61%	22.71%	50.68%	-0.52	+1.3	14
2002-10-19	Dunfermline Athletic	D 2-2	78.1	1675	1727	37.16%	23.26%	39.58%	-0.05	+0.1	13
2002-10-19	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	78.1	1727	1675	39.58%	23.26%	37.16%	+0.05	-0.1	19
2002-10-19	Hibernian	L 0-3	50.6	1582	1712	26.98%	22.75%	50.28%	-0.50	-18.1	8
2002-10-19	@ Partick Thistle	W 3-0	50.6	1712	1582	50.28%	22.75%	26.98%	+0.50	+18.1	15
2002-10-19	Livingston	L 2-3	70.1	1642	1695	36.86%	23.25%	39.88%	-0.06	-7.6	6
2002-10-19	@ Dundee United	W 3-2	70.1	1695	1642	39.88%	23.25%	36.86%	+0.06	+7.6	8
2002-10-19	Motherwell	W 3-0	44.6	2016	1687	76.59%	15.88%	7.52%	+2.12	+5.0	29
2002-10-19	@ Rangers	L 0-3	44.6	1687	2016	7.52%	15.88%	76.59%	-2.12	-5.0	9
2002-10-20	Celtic	L 1-4	54.2	1790	2032	16.52%	20.75%	62.73%	-1.14	-9.8	17
2002-10-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-1	54.2	2032	1790	62.73%	20.75%	16.52%	+1.14	+9.8	28
2002-10-26	Dundee	L 1-2	70.4	1780	1711	53.27%	22.43%	24.31%	+0.64	-10.8	17
2002-10-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	70.4	1711	1780	24.31%	22.43%	53.27%	-0.64	+10.8	17
2002-10-26	Livingston	L 1-5	59.8	1682	1703	41.51%	23.23%	35.26%	+0.13	-27.8	9
2002-10-26	@ Motherwell	W 5-1	59.8	1703	1682	35.26%	23.23%	41.51%	-0.13	+27.8	11
2002-10-26	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	69.6	1634	1564	53.45%	22.41%	24.15%	+0.65	-1.4	7
2002-10-26	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	69.6	1564	1634	24.15%	22.41%	53.45%	-0.65	+1.4	9
2002-10-27	Celtic	L 1-4	52.3	1727	2041	11.91%	18.87%	69.23%	-1.55	-7.0	19
2002-10-27	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-1	52.3	2041	1727	69.23%	18.87%	11.91%	+1.55	+7.0	31
2002-10-27	Hibernian	L 0-1	63.3	1756	1730	47.83%	22.94%	29.22%	+0.39	-10.5	15
2002-10-27	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	63.3	1730	1756	29.22%	22.94%	47.83%	-0.39	+10.5	18
2002-10-27	Kilmarnock	W 6-1	47.2	2022	1676	77.67%	15.37%	6.96%	+2.22	+6.2	32
2002-10-27	@ Rangers	L 1-6	47.2	1676	2022	6.96%	15.37%	77.67%	-2.22	-6.2	13
2002-11-02	Dundee United	L 1-2	67.9	1669	1633	49.22%	22.84%	27.94%	+0.45	-10.1	13
2002-11-02	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	67.9	1633	1669	27.94%	22.84%	49.22%	-0.45	+10.1	10
2002-11-02	Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	72.5	1731	1720	45.90%	23.06%	31.03%	+0.31	-0.7	12
2002-11-02	@ Livingston	D 1-1	72.5	1720	1731	31.03%	23.06%	45.90%	-0.31	+0.7	20
2002-11-02	Motherwell	W 2-0	56.7	1565	1654	32.02%	23.12%	44.86%	-0.26	+18.7	12
2002-11-02	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-2	56.7	1654	1565	44.86%	23.12%	32.02%	+0.26	-18.7	9
2002-11-02	Rangers	L 0-3	47.1	1722	2028	12.37%	19.11%	68.52%	-1.50	-8.6	17
2002-11-02	@ Dundee	W 3-0	47.1	2028	1722	68.52%	19.11%	12.37%	+1.50	+8.6	35
2002-11-03	Aberdeen	W 7-0	46.5	2048	1746	74.80%	16.70%	8.50%	+1.97	+12.8	34
2002-11-03	@ Celtic	L 0-7	46.5	1746	2048	8.50%	16.70%	74.80%	-1.97	-12.8	15
2002-11-03	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	66.9	1741	1769	40.49%	23.25%	36.26%	+0.08	-8.6	18
2002-11-03	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	66.9	1769	1741	36.26%	23.25%	40.49%	-0.08	+8.6	20
2002-11-09	Aberdeen	D 0-0	68.3	1778	1733	50.28%	22.75%	26.98%	+0.50	-1.2	21
2002-11-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	68.3	1733	1778	26.98%	22.75%	50.28%	-0.50	+1.2	16
2002-11-09	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	59.9	1636	1659	41.13%	23.24%	35.63%	+0.11	-9.2	9
2002-11-09	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	59.9	1659	1636	35.63%	23.24%	41.13%	-0.11	+9.2	16
2002-11-09	Partick Thistle	W 3-0	47.5	1730	1584	61.73%	20.98%	17.29%	+1.08	+12.1	15
2002-11-09	@ Livingston	L 0-3	47.5	1584	1730	17.29%	20.98%	61.73%	-1.08	-12.1	12
2002-11-10	Celtic	L 0-2	46.4	1643	2061	7.42%	15.79%	76.79%	-2.14	-3.4	10
2002-11-10	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	46.4	2061	1643	76.79%	15.79%	7.42%	+2.14	+3.4	37
2002-11-10	Hibernian	W 2-1	55.7	2036	1732	74.90%	16.65%	8.45%	+1.98	+2.0	38
2002-11-10	@ Rangers	L 1-2	55.7	1732	2036	8.45%	16.65%	74.90%	-1.98	-2.0	18
2002-11-12	Dunfermline Athletic	L 2-3	72.8	1713	1720	43.38%	23.18%	33.45%	+0.20	-8.6	17
2002-11-12	@ Dundee	W 3-2	72.8	1720	1713	33.45%	23.18%	43.38%	-0.20	+8.6	23
2002-11-16	Dundee	W 2-1	63.1	1730	1704	47.87%	22.94%	29.18%	+0.39	+6.6	21
2002-11-16	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	63.1	1704	1730	29.18%	22.94%	47.87%	-0.39	-6.6	17
2002-11-16	Dundee United	L 1-2	65.5	1627	1640	42.58%	23.20%	34.22%	+0.17	-9.0	9
2002-11-16	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	65.5	1640	1627	34.22%	23.20%	42.58%	-0.17	+9.0	13
2002-11-16	Livingston	W 2-0	58.5	1669	1742	34.07%	23.20%	42.73%	-0.18	+18.0	19
2002-11-16	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	58.5	1742	1669	42.73%	23.20%	34.07%	+0.18	-18.0	15
2002-11-16	Rangers	D 2-2	80.2	1734	2038	12.48%	19.16%	68.36%	-1.49	+2.1	17
2002-11-16	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	80.2	2038	1734	68.36%	19.16%	12.48%	+1.49	-2.1	39
2002-11-17	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	63.8	1729	1776	37.74%	23.26%	39.00%	-0.03	+14.5	26
2002-11-17	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-3	63.8	1776	1729	39.00%	23.26%	37.74%	+0.03	-14.5	21
2002-11-17	Partick Thistle	W 4-0	41.5	2064	1572	85.50%	11.05%	3.46%	+3.06	+2.8	40
2002-11-17	@ Celtic	L 0-4	41.5	1572	2064	3.46%	11.05%	85.50%	-3.06	-2.7	12
2002-11-23	Aberdeen	W 2-1	69.4	1569	1736	23.04%	22.24%	54.72%	-0.71	+11.1	15
2002-11-23	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-2	69.4	1736	1569	54.72%	22.24%	23.04%	+0.71	-11.1	17
2002-11-23	Dundee United	W 3-2	66.9	1698	1649	50.83%	22.69%	26.48%	+0.52	+5.8	20
2002-11-23	@ Dundee	L 2-3	66.9	1649	1698	26.48%	22.69%	50.83%	-0.52	-5.8	13
2002-11-23	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	45.4	2036	1744	74.10%	17.00%	8.90%	+1.91	+6.1	42
2002-11-23	@ Rangers	L 0-3	45.4	1744	2036	8.90%	17.00%	74.10%	-1.91	-6.1	26
2002-11-23	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	59.0	1686	1762	33.85%	23.19%	42.96%	-0.19	-7.9	19
2002-11-23	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	59.0	1762	1686	42.96%	23.19%	33.85%	+0.19	+7.9	24
2002-11-23	Motherwell	W 3-1	56.6	1737	1618	58.97%	21.55%	19.48%	+0.93	+8.1	24
2002-11-23	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	56.6	1618	1737	19.48%	21.55%	58.97%	-0.93	-8.1	9
2002-11-24	Celtic	L 0-2	48.1	1724	2067	10.46%	18.05%	71.48%	-1.71	-5.0	15
2002-11-24	@ Livingston	W 2-0	48.1	2067	1724	71.48%	18.05%	10.46%	+1.71	+5.0	43
2002-11-30	Aberdeen	D 1-1	71.9	1643	1725	32.91%	23.16%	43.93%	-0.23	+0.5	14
2002-11-30	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	71.9	1725	1643	43.93%	23.16%	32.91%	+0.23	-0.5	18
2002-11-30	Dundee	D 1-1	72.3	1719	1704	46.52%	23.03%	30.45%	+0.33	-0.8	16
2002-11-30	@ Livingston	D 1-1	72.3	1704	1719	30.45%	23.03%	46.52%	-0.33	+0.8	21
2002-11-30	Hibernian	D 1-1	72.6	1737	1745	43.35%	23.18%	33.47%	+0.20	-0.5	27
2002-11-30	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	72.6	1745	1737	33.47%	23.18%	43.35%	-0.20	+0.5	25
2002-11-30	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	55.9	1580	1679	30.86%	23.05%	46.09%	-0.32	+27.8	18
2002-11-30	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-3	55.9	1679	1580	46.09%	23.05%	30.86%	+0.32	-27.8	19
2002-12-01	Motherwell	W 3-1	50.2	2072	1610	84.12%	11.88%	4.00%	+2.89	+1.5	46
2002-12-01	@ Celtic	L 1-3	50.2	1610	2072	4.00%	11.88%	84.12%	-2.89	-1.5	9
2002-12-01	Rangers	L 0-4	47.6	1770	2042	14.41%	20.00%	65.59%	-1.31	-13.2	24
2002-12-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	47.6	2042	1770	65.59%	20.00%	14.41%	+1.31	+13.2	45
2002-12-03	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	64.3	1725	1651	53.85%	22.36%	23.80%	+0.67	-11.6	18
2002-12-03	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	64.3	1651	1725	23.80%	22.36%	53.85%	-0.67	+11.6	22
2002-12-04	Celtic	L 0-1	51.4	1746	2074	11.19%	18.48%	70.33%	-1.63	-2.8	25
2002-12-04	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	51.4	2074	1746	70.33%	18.48%	11.19%	+1.63	+2.8	49
2002-12-04	Dundee United	W 4-1	55.2	1737	1643	56.14%	22.03%	21.83%	+0.78	+12.7	30
2002-12-04	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-4	55.2	1643	1737	21.83%	22.03%	56.14%	-0.78	-12.7	14
2002-12-04	Heart of Midlothian	W 6-1	61.9	1608	1757	24.97%	22.52%	52.52%	-0.60	+41.4	12
2002-12-04	@ Motherwell	L 1-6	61.9	1757	1608	52.52%	22.52%	24.97%	+0.60	-41.4	24
2002-12-04	Livingston	W 4-3	63.2	2055	1719	77.10%	15.65%	7.26%	+2.17	+1.5	48
2002-12-04	@ Rangers	L 3-4	63.2	1719	2055	7.26%	15.65%	77.10%	-2.17	-1.5	16
2002-12-04	Partick Thistle	W 4-1	54.4	1704	1608	56.43%	21.99%	21.58%	+0.79	+12.5	24
2002-12-04	@ Dundee	L 1-4	54.4	1608	1704	21.58%	21.99%	56.43%	-0.79	-12.5	18
2002-12-07	Celtic	W 3-2	71.1	2057	2077	41.68%	23.22%	35.09%	+0.13	+7.3	51
2002-12-07	@ Rangers	L 2-3	71.1	2077	2057	35.09%	23.22%	41.68%	-0.13	-7.3	49
2002-12-07	Dundee	W 2-0	57.4	1662	1717	36.72%	23.25%	40.02%	-0.07	+17.1	25
2002-12-07	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	57.4	1717	1662	40.02%	23.25%	36.72%	+0.07	-17.1	24
2002-12-07	Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-0	58.6	1596	1750	24.37%	22.44%	53.19%	-0.63	+41.0	21
2002-12-07	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-4	58.6	1750	1596	53.19%	22.44%	24.37%	+0.63	-41.0	30
2002-12-07	Hibernian	D 1-1	72.0	1631	1743	29.16%	22.94%	47.91%	-0.39	+0.9	15
2002-12-07	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	72.0	1743	1631	47.91%	22.94%	29.16%	+0.39	-0.9	26
2002-12-07	Livingston	W 2-1	64.2	1715	1717	44.15%	23.15%	32.70%	+0.23	+7.3	27
2002-12-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	64.2	1717	1715	32.70%	23.15%	44.15%	-0.23	-7.3	16
2002-12-07	Motherwell	D 1-1	72.1	1713	1649	52.62%	22.50%	24.87%	+0.61	-1.3	19
2002-12-07	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	72.1	1649	1713	24.87%	22.50%	52.62%	-0.61	+1.3	13
2002-12-14	Dundee United	W 3-0	42.8	2064	1632	82.63%	12.75%	4.62%	+2.71	+2.9	54
2002-12-14	@ Rangers	L 0-3	42.8	1632	2064	4.62%	12.75%	82.63%	-2.71	-2.9	15
2002-12-14	Hibernian	L 1-2	66.5	1710	1742	39.91%	23.25%	36.83%	+0.06	-8.5	16
2002-12-14	@ Livingston	W 2-1	66.5	1742	1710	36.83%	23.25%	39.91%	-0.06	+8.5	29
2002-12-14	Motherwell	D 1-1	71.9	1700	1651	50.81%	22.70%	26.49%	+0.52	-1.2	25
2002-12-14	@ Dundee	D 1-1	71.9	1651	1700	26.49%	22.70%	50.81%	-0.52	+1.2	14
2002-12-14	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	54.7	1722	1637	55.25%	22.17%	22.58%	+0.74	+5.6	30
2002-12-14	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	54.7	1637	1722	22.58%	22.17%	55.25%	-0.74	-5.6	21
2002-12-15	Aberdeen	W 3-0	53.7	1709	1712	43.97%	23.15%	32.88%	+0.23	+21.2	33
2002-12-15	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-3	53.7	1712	1709	32.88%	23.15%	43.97%	-0.23	-21.2	19
2002-12-15	Celtic	D 1-1	75.0	1679	2069	8.45%	16.65%	74.90%	-1.98	+3.4	26
2002-12-15	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	75.0	2069	1679	74.90%	16.65%	8.45%	+1.98	-3.4	50
2002-12-21	Dundee	W 2-0	45.8	2066	1699	78.98%	14.72%	6.30%	+2.34	+2.8	53
2002-12-21	@ Celtic	L 0-2	45.8	1699	2066	6.30%	14.72%	78.98%	-2.34	-2.8	25
2002-12-21	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	52.5	1629	1728	30.71%	23.04%	46.25%	-0.32	-20.1	15
2002-12-21	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	52.5	1728	1629	46.25%	23.04%	30.71%	+0.32	+20.1	33
2002-12-21	Hibernian	W 2-1	67.0	1683	1750	34.92%	23.22%	41.86%	-0.14	+8.8	29
2002-12-21	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	67.0	1750	1683	41.86%	23.22%	34.92%	+0.14	-8.8	29
2002-12-21	Livingston	D 0-0	67.6	1690	1701	42.93%	23.19%	33.88%	+0.18	-0.5	20
2002-12-21	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	67.6	1701	1690	33.88%	23.19%	42.93%	-0.18	+0.5	17
2002-12-22	Rangers	L 1-2	54.7	1631	2067	6.81%	15.23%	77.96%	-2.25	-1.6	21
2002-12-22	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-1	54.7	2067	1631	77.96%	15.23%	6.81%	+2.25	+1.6	57
2002-12-26	Aberdeen	L 1-2	67.6	1696	1690	45.17%	23.10%	31.73%	+0.28	-9.4	25
2002-12-26	@ Dundee	W 2-1	67.6	1690	1696	31.73%	23.10%	45.17%	-0.28	+9.4	23
2002-12-26	Dundee United	W 3-0	49.1	1702	1609	56.07%	22.04%	21.88%	+0.78	+15.0	20
2002-12-26	@ Livingston	L 0-3	49.1	1609	1702	21.88%	22.04%	56.07%	-0.78	-15.0	15
2002-12-26	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-2	56.8	2069	1748	76.01%	16.15%	7.83%	+2.07	+2.8	56
2002-12-26	@ Celtic	L 2-4	56.8	1748	2069	7.83%	16.15%	76.01%	-2.07	-2.8	33
2002-12-26	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	60.4	1730	1692	49.45%	22.82%	27.73%	+0.46	-20.3	33
2002-12-26	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	60.4	1692	1730	27.73%	22.82%	49.45%	-0.46	+20.3	32
2002-12-26	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	72.4	1741	1629	58.19%	21.70%	20.12%	+0.88	-1.9	30
2002-12-26	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	72.4	1629	1741	20.12%	21.70%	58.19%	-0.88	+1.9	22
2002-12-26	Rangers	W 1-0	70.2	1652	2069	7.46%	15.83%	76.71%	-2.13	+15.7	17
2002-12-26	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	70.2	2069	1652	76.71%	15.83%	7.46%	+2.13	-15.7	57
2002-12-29	Aberdeen	W 2-0	53.9	1740	1699	49.70%	22.80%	27.50%	+0.47	+12.6	33
2002-12-29	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	53.9	1699	1740	27.50%	22.80%	49.70%	-0.47	-12.6	23
2002-12-29	Dundee United	D 0-0	65.6	1631	1594	49.39%	22.82%	27.78%	+0.46	-1.2	23
2002-12-29	@ Partick Thistle	D 0-0	65.6	1594	1631	27.78%	22.82%	49.39%	-0.46	+1.2	16
2002-12-29	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	48.9	2071	1710	78.66%	14.88%	6.46%	+2.31	+1.6	59
2002-12-29	@ Celtic	L 0-1	48.9	1710	2071	6.46%	14.88%	78.66%	-2.31	-1.5	33
2002-12-29	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	65.2	1686	1745	36.07%	23.24%	40.68%	-0.09	-7.9	25
2002-12-29	@ Dundee	W 2-1	65.2	1745	1686	40.68%	23.24%	36.07%	+0.09	+7.9	36
2002-12-29	Motherwell	W 1-0	56.3	1717	1668	50.82%	22.69%	26.48%	+0.52	+6.5	23
2002-12-29	@ Livingston	L 0-1	56.3	1668	1717	26.48%	22.69%	50.82%	-0.52	-6.5	17
2002-12-29	Rangers	L 0-1	51.1	1712	2053	10.56%	18.11%	71.33%	-1.70	-2.7	32
2002-12-29	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	51.1	2053	1712	71.33%	18.11%	10.56%	+1.70	+2.7	60
2003-01-02	Celtic	D 1-1	74.9	1687	2073	8.59%	16.76%	74.65%	-1.96	+3.4	24
2003-01-02	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	74.9	2073	1687	74.65%	16.76%	8.59%	+1.96	-3.4	60
2003-01-02	Dundee	W 3-1	51.6	2056	1678	79.58%	14.41%	6.01%	+2.40	+2.3	63
2003-01-02	@ Rangers	L 1-3	51.6	1678	2056	6.01%	14.41%	79.58%	-2.40	-2.3	25
2003-01-02	Hibernian	D 4-4	84.5	1753	1752	44.54%	23.13%	32.33%	+0.25	-0.3	37
2003-01-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 4-4	84.5	1752	1753	32.33%	23.13%	44.54%	-0.25	+0.3	34
2003-01-02	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	77.3	1595	1709	28.83%	22.91%	48.26%	-0.41	+0.7	17
2003-01-02	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	77.3	1709	1595	48.26%	22.91%	28.83%	+0.41	-0.7	33
2003-01-02	Livingston	W 2-0	56.1	1708	1723	42.30%	23.21%	34.49%	+0.16	+15.2	36
2003-01-02	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-2	56.1	1723	1708	34.49%	23.21%	42.30%	-0.16	-15.2	23
2003-01-02	Partick Thistle	D 2-2	77.2	1661	1630	48.53%	22.89%	28.57%	+0.42	-0.7	18
2003-01-02	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	77.2	1630	1661	28.57%	22.89%	48.53%	-0.42	+0.7	24
2003-01-28	Dundee	L 0-1	63.6	1723	1676	50.58%	22.72%	26.70%	+0.51	-11.0	36
2003-01-28	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	63.6	1676	1723	26.70%	22.72%	50.58%	-0.51	+11.0	28
2003-01-28	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	59.5	1690	1753	35.56%	23.23%	41.20%	-0.11	-8.3	24
2003-01-28	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	59.5	1753	1690	41.20%	23.23%	35.56%	+0.11	+8.3	40
2003-01-28	Livingston	L 1-3	61.1	1631	1708	33.60%	23.18%	43.22%	-0.20	-12.9	24
2003-01-28	@ Partick Thistle	W 3-1	61.1	1708	1631	43.22%	23.18%	33.60%	+0.20	+12.9	26
2003-01-29	Dundee United	W 2-0	44.0	2070	1595	84.66%	11.56%	3.78%	+2.95	+1.6	63
2003-01-29	@ Celtic	L 0-2	44.0	1595	2070	3.78%	11.56%	84.66%	-2.95	-1.6	17
2003-01-29	Motherwell	W 1-0	56.2	1709	1660	50.72%	22.70%	26.58%	+0.52	+6.5	36
2003-01-29	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	56.2	1660	1709	26.58%	22.70%	50.72%	-0.52	-6.5	18
2003-01-29	Rangers	L 0-2	49.0	1753	2058	12.40%	19.12%	68.48%	-1.50	-6.0	34
2003-01-29	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	49.0	2058	1753	68.48%	19.12%	12.40%	+1.50	+6.0	66
2003-02-01	Aberdeen	W 2-1	54.2	2064	1682	79.86%	14.27%	5.88%	+2.43	+1.3	69
2003-02-01	@ Rangers	L 1-2	54.2	1682	2064	5.88%	14.27%	79.86%	-2.43	-1.3	24
2003-02-01	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	51.9	1761	1712	50.82%	22.70%	26.49%	+0.52	+17.8	43
2003-02-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	51.9	1712	1761	26.49%	22.70%	50.82%	-0.52	-17.8	36
2003-02-01	Kilmarnock	L 0-4	57.1	1721	1715	45.17%	23.10%	31.73%	+0.28	-35.7	26
2003-02-01	@ Livingston	W 4-0	57.1	1715	1721	31.73%	23.10%	45.17%	-0.28	+35.7	39
2003-02-01	Motherwell	W 2-1	64.7	1594	1654	35.92%	23.24%	40.84%	-0.10	+8.7	20
2003-02-01	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	64.7	1654	1594	40.84%	23.24%	35.92%	+0.10	-8.7	18
2003-02-02	Celtic	L 0-2	45.7	1618	2071	6.29%	14.71%	79.00%	-2.34	-2.8	24
2003-02-02	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-0	45.7	2071	1618	79.00%	14.71%	6.29%	+2.34	+2.8	66
2003-02-08	Hibernian	W 2-1	68.0	1645	1747	30.48%	23.03%	46.49%	-0.33	+9.6	21
2003-02-08	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	68.0	1747	1645	46.49%	23.03%	30.48%	+0.33	-9.6	34
2003-02-08	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	52.9	1779	1751	48.16%	22.92%	28.92%	+0.41	+19.2	46
2003-02-08	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	52.9	1751	1779	28.92%	22.92%	48.16%	-0.41	-19.1	39
2003-02-08	Partick Thistle	L 0-1	63.2	1681	1615	52.86%	22.48%	24.67%	+0.62	-11.4	24
2003-02-08	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	63.2	1615	1681	24.67%	22.48%	52.86%	-0.62	+11.4	27
2003-02-08	Rangers	L 1-3	53.4	1694	2065	9.21%	17.23%	73.56%	-1.87	-3.8	36
2003-02-08	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-1	53.4	2065	1694	73.56%	17.23%	9.21%	+1.87	+3.8	72
2003-02-09	Dundee	D 1-1	71.1	1602	1687	32.61%	23.14%	44.25%	-0.24	+0.5	21
2003-02-09	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	71.1	1687	1602	44.25%	23.14%	32.61%	+0.24	-0.5	29
2003-02-09	Livingston	W 2-1	54.0	2074	1685	80.25%	14.06%	5.69%	+2.46	+1.3	69
2003-02-09	@ Celtic	L 1-2	54.0	1685	2074	5.69%	14.06%	80.25%	-2.46	-1.3	26
2003-02-15	Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-3	66.7	1737	1691	50.47%	22.73%	26.80%	+0.51	-17.9	34
2003-02-15	@ Hibernian	W 3-1	66.7	1691	1737	26.80%	22.73%	50.47%	-0.51	+17.9	39
2003-02-15	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	50.8	2069	1798	72.52%	17.65%	9.83%	+1.79	+2.5	75
2003-02-15	@ Rangers	L 0-1	50.8	1798	2069	9.83%	17.65%	72.52%	-1.79	-2.5	46
2003-02-16	Dundee United	W 3-0	49.5	1669	1603	52.94%	22.47%	24.59%	+0.62	+16.7	27
2003-02-16	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	49.5	1603	1669	24.59%	22.47%	52.94%	-0.62	-16.7	21
2003-02-19	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	65.9	1655	1709	36.83%	23.25%	39.92%	-0.06	+8.5	24
2003-02-19	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	65.9	1709	1655	39.92%	23.25%	36.83%	+0.06	-8.5	39
2003-02-23	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	54.1	1732	1626	57.43%	21.83%	20.74%	+0.85	+5.2	42
2003-02-23	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	54.1	1626	1732	20.74%	21.83%	57.43%	-0.85	-5.2	27
2003-02-25	Hibernian	W 3-0	54.8	1687	1719	39.86%	23.25%	36.89%	+0.06	+23.3	32
2003-02-25	@ Dundee	L 0-3	54.8	1719	1687	36.89%	23.25%	39.86%	-0.06	-23.3	34
2003-03-01	Aberdeen	W 2-0	53.4	1737	1686	51.07%	22.67%	26.26%	+0.54	+12.2	45
2003-03-01	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	53.4	1686	1737	26.26%	22.67%	51.07%	-0.54	-12.2	27
2003-03-01	Dundee	L 1-3	60.6	1621	1710	32.10%	23.12%	44.78%	-0.26	-12.4	27
2003-03-01	@ Partick Thistle	W 3-1	60.6	1710	1621	44.78%	23.12%	32.10%	+0.26	+12.4	35
2003-03-01	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	56.9	1586	1700	28.93%	22.92%	48.14%	-0.40	+28.8	24
2003-03-01	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	56.9	1700	1586	48.14%	22.92%	28.93%	+0.40	-28.8	39
2003-03-01	Motherwell	W 2-1	59.5	1796	1663	60.32%	21.29%	18.39%	+1.00	+4.4	49
2003-03-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	59.5	1663	1796	18.39%	21.29%	60.32%	-1.00	-4.4	24
2003-03-02	Hibernian	W 3-2	59.6	2075	1696	79.71%	14.34%	5.95%	+2.41	+1.3	72
2003-03-02	@ Celtic	L 2-3	59.6	1696	2075	5.95%	14.34%	79.71%	-2.41	-1.3	34
2003-03-02	Rangers	L 1-2	55.7	1684	2072	8.53%	16.72%	74.75%	-1.97	-2.0	26
2003-03-02	@ Livingston	W 2-1	55.7	2072	1684	74.75%	16.72%	8.53%	+1.97	+2.0	78
2003-03-05	Livingston	D 0-0	67.8	1722	1682	49.72%	22.80%	27.48%	+0.47	-1.2	36
2003-03-05	@ Dundee	D 0-0	67.8	1682	1722	27.48%	22.80%	49.72%	-0.47	+1.2	27
2003-03-08	Aberdeen	L 0-1	60.7	1659	1674	42.36%	23.21%	34.44%	+0.16	-9.5	24
2003-03-08	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	60.7	1674	1659	34.44%	23.21%	42.36%	-0.16	+9.5	30
2003-03-08	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.7	1683	1800	28.55%	22.89%	48.56%	-0.42	+1.0	28
2003-03-08	@ Livingston	D 1-1	72.7	1800	1683	48.56%	22.89%	28.55%	+0.42	-0.9	50
2003-03-08	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	78.5	1721	1749	40.49%	23.25%	36.26%	+0.08	-0.1	37
2003-03-08	@ Dundee	D 2-2	78.5	1749	1721	36.26%	23.25%	40.49%	-0.08	+0.1	46
2003-03-08	Rangers	W 1-0	59.1	2077	2074	44.81%	23.12%	32.08%	+0.26	+7.6	75
2003-03-08	@ Celtic	L 0-1	59.1	2074	2077	32.08%	23.12%	44.81%	-0.26	-7.6	78
2003-03-09	Dundee United	D 1-1	71.6	1694	1615	54.50%	22.27%	23.23%	+0.70	-1.5	35
2003-03-09	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	71.6	1615	1694	23.23%	22.27%	54.50%	-0.70	+1.5	25
2003-03-09	Partick Thistle	D 0-0	66.6	1671	1609	52.48%	22.52%	25.00%	+0.60	-1.5	40
2003-03-09	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	66.6	1609	1671	25.00%	22.52%	52.48%	-0.60	+1.5	28
2003-03-15	Dundee	D 3-3	82.3	1683	1721	39.11%	23.26%	37.63%	+0.03	-0.0	31
2003-03-15	@ Aberdeen	D 3-3	82.3	1721	1683	37.63%	23.26%	39.11%	-0.03	+0.0	38
2003-03-15	Hibernian	L 0-1	57.5	1610	1693	32.87%	23.15%	43.98%	-0.23	-7.8	28
2003-03-15	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	57.5	1693	1610	43.98%	23.15%	32.87%	+0.23	+7.8	38
2003-03-15	Livingston	L 0-1	58.1	1617	1684	34.92%	23.22%	41.86%	-0.14	-8.1	25
2003-03-15	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	58.1	1684	1617	41.86%	23.22%	34.92%	+0.14	+8.1	31
2003-03-16	Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	72.5	1749	1670	54.50%	22.27%	23.23%	+0.70	-1.5	47
2003-03-16	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	72.5	1670	1749	23.23%	22.27%	54.50%	-0.70	+1.5	41
2003-03-19	Motherwell	W 2-0	44.9	2066	1650	81.77%	13.23%	5.00%	+2.62	+2.2	81
2003-03-19	@ Rangers	L 0-2	44.9	1650	2066	5.00%	13.23%	81.77%	-2.62	-2.2	24
2003-04-05	Aberdeen	L 1-2	67.7	1692	1683	45.62%	23.08%	31.30%	+0.30	-9.5	31
2003-04-05	@ Livingston	W 2-1	67.7	1683	1692	31.30%	23.08%	45.62%	-0.30	+9.5	34
2003-04-05	Dundee United	W 2-1	57.5	1799	1608	65.95%	19.90%	14.15%	+1.33	+3.4	53
2003-04-05	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	57.5	1608	1799	14.15%	19.90%	65.95%	-1.33	-3.4	25
2003-04-05	Hibernian	W 6-2	57.3	1748	1701	50.56%	22.72%	26.72%	+0.51	+16.5	50
2003-04-05	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-6	57.3	1701	1748	26.72%	22.72%	50.56%	-0.51	-16.5	38
2003-04-05	Motherwell	W 3-0	51.7	1671	1647	47.61%	22.96%	29.43%	+0.38	+19.4	44
2003-04-05	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-3	51.7	1647	1671	29.43%	22.96%	47.61%	-0.38	-19.4	24
2003-04-05	Partick Thistle	W 2-0	44.1	2068	1603	84.26%	11.80%	3.94%	+2.90	+1.7	84
2003-04-05	@ Rangers	L 0-2	44.1	1603	2068	3.94%	11.80%	84.26%	-2.90	-1.7	28
2003-04-06	Celtic	D 1-1	74.8	1721	2084	9.54%	17.45%	73.00%	-1.83	+3.3	39
2003-04-06	@ Dundee	D 1-1	74.8	2084	1721	73.00%	17.45%	9.54%	+1.83	-3.3	76
2003-04-12	Dundee	L 1-2	63.1	1628	1724	31.10%	23.07%	45.83%	-0.31	-7.0	24
2003-04-12	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	63.1	1724	1628	45.83%	23.07%	31.10%	+0.31	+7.0	42
2003-04-12	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	58.1	1693	1691	44.66%	23.13%	32.21%	+0.26	+7.6	37
2003-04-12	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	58.1	1691	1693	32.21%	23.13%	44.66%	-0.26	-7.6	44
2003-04-12	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.6	1601	1803	19.78%	21.62%	58.60%	-0.91	+1.9	29
2003-04-12	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	72.6	1803	1601	58.60%	21.62%	19.78%	+0.91	-1.9	54
2003-04-12	Livingston	D 2-2	77.9	1684	1683	44.60%	23.13%	32.28%	+0.25	-0.4	39
2003-04-12	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	77.9	1683	1684	32.28%	23.13%	44.60%	-0.25	+0.4	32
2003-04-13	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	46.8	2081	1764	75.76%	16.27%	7.97%	+2.05	+3.7	79
2003-04-13	@ Celtic	L 0-2	46.8	1764	2081	7.97%	16.27%	75.76%	-2.05	-3.7	50
2003-04-13	Rangers	L 1-4	49.1	1605	2070	5.96%	14.36%	79.68%	-2.41	-3.3	25
2003-04-13	@ Dundee United	W 4-1	49.1	2070	1605	79.68%	14.36%	5.96%	+2.41	+3.3	87
2003-04-19	Celtic	W 2-1	74.1	1801	2085	13.68%	19.70%	66.62%	-1.38	+13.2	57
2003-04-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	74.1	2085	1801	66.62%	19.70%	13.68%	+1.38	-13.2	79
2003-05-07	Celtic	L 0-4	42.9	1598	2085	5.37%	13.69%	80.94%	-2.53	-4.5	24
2003-05-07	@ Motherwell	W 4-0	42.9	2085	1598	80.94%	13.69%	5.37%	+2.53	+4.5	82

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2003-04-26	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	57.0	1683	1814	26.94%	22.74%	50.31%	-0.50	-6.6	0
2003-04-26	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	57.0	1814	1683	50.31%	22.74%	26.94%	+0.50	+6.6	3
2003-04-26	Hibernian	L 1-2	62.9	1602	1684	32.96%	23.16%	43.88%	-0.22	-7.3	0
2003-04-26	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	62.9	1684	1602	43.88%	23.16%	32.96%	+0.22	+7.3	3
2003-04-26	Livingston	W 1-0	57.5	1700	1683	46.71%	23.02%	30.27%	+0.34	+7.3	3
2003-04-26	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	57.5	1683	1700	30.27%	23.02%	46.71%	-0.34	-7.3	0
2003-04-26	Motherwell	W 3-0	52.0	1603	1621	41.89%	23.22%	34.89%	+0.14	+22.3	3
2003-04-26	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-3	52.0	1621	1603	34.89%	23.22%	41.89%	-0.14	-22.3	0
2003-04-27	Celtic	L 1-2	68.5	2073	2071	44.63%	23.13%	32.24%	+0.25	-9.3	0
2003-04-27	@ Rangers	W 2-1	68.5	2071	2073	32.24%	23.13%	44.63%	-0.25	+9.3	3
2003-04-27	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	61.1	1731	1761	40.31%	23.25%	36.44%	+0.08	-9.1	0
2003-04-27	@ Dundee	W 1-0	61.1	1761	1731	36.44%	23.25%	40.31%	-0.08	+9.1	3
2003-05-03	Aberdeen	W 3-1	62.0	1691	1708	42.12%	23.21%	34.67%	+0.15	+13.2	6
2003-05-03	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	62.0	1708	1691	34.67%	23.21%	42.12%	-0.15	-13.2	3
2003-05-03	Celtic	L 1-4	50.3	1677	2081	7.91%	16.21%	75.88%	-2.06	-4.5	0
2003-05-03	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-1	50.3	2081	1677	75.88%	16.21%	7.91%	+2.06	+4.5	6
2003-05-03	Dundee United	D 2-2	75.3	1599	1594	44.97%	23.11%	31.92%	+0.27	-0.5	1
2003-05-03	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	75.3	1594	1599	31.92%	23.11%	44.97%	-0.27	+0.5	1
2003-05-03	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	61.2	1770	1820	37.24%	23.26%	39.50%	-0.05	+8.9	6
2003-05-03	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	61.2	1820	1770	39.50%	23.26%	37.24%	+0.05	-9.0	3
2003-05-03	Partick Thistle	W 3-1	58.4	1676	1625	51.05%	22.67%	26.28%	+0.53	+10.5	3
2003-05-03	@ Livingston	L 1-3	58.4	1625	1676	26.28%	22.67%	51.05%	-0.53	-10.5	3
2003-05-04	Rangers	D 2-2	80.6	1722	2064	10.53%	18.09%	71.38%	-1.71	+2.3	1
2003-05-04	@ Dundee	D 2-2	80.6	2064	1722	71.38%	18.09%	10.53%	+1.71	-2.4	1
2003-05-10	Dundee United	L 1-2	69.4	1686	1595	55.90%	22.07%	22.03%	+0.77	-11.3	3
2003-05-10	@ Livingston	W 2-1	69.4	1595	1686	22.03%	22.07%	55.90%	-0.77	+11.3	4
2003-05-10	Dunfermline Athletic	D 2-2	78.3	1724	1672	51.25%	22.65%	26.10%	+0.54	-0.9	2
2003-05-10	@ Dundee	D 2-2	78.3	1672	1724	26.10%	22.65%	51.25%	-0.54	+0.9	1
2003-05-10	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	50.6	2090	1811	73.06%	17.43%	9.51%	+1.83	+2.4	9
2003-05-10	@ Celtic	L 0-1	50.6	1811	2090	9.51%	17.43%	73.06%	-1.83	-2.4	3
2003-05-10	Motherwell	W 1-0	53.2	1704	1594	58.02%	21.72%	20.25%	+0.88	+5.1	9
2003-05-10	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	53.2	1594	1704	20.25%	21.72%	58.02%	-0.88	-5.1	1
2003-05-10	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	60.0	1694	1615	54.55%	22.26%	23.19%	+0.70	+5.5	6
2003-05-10	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	60.0	1615	1694	23.19%	22.26%	54.55%	-0.70	-5.5	3
2003-05-11	Kilmarnock	W 4-0	45.3	2061	1779	73.40%	17.29%	9.31%	+1.86	+8.3	4
2003-05-11	@ Rangers	L 0-4	45.3	1779	2061	9.31%	17.29%	73.40%	-1.86	-8.3	6
2003-05-14	Dundee	W 6-2	49.4	2092	1724	79.05%	14.68%	6.27%	+2.35	+3.8	12
2003-05-14	@ Celtic	L 2-6	49.4	1724	2092	6.27%	14.68%	79.05%	-2.35	-3.8	2
2003-05-17	Aberdeen	L 2-3	67.2	1589	1700	29.25%	22.95%	47.81%	-0.39	-6.3	1
2003-05-17	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	67.2	1700	1589	47.81%	22.95%	29.25%	+0.39	+6.3	9
2003-05-17	Dundee United	L 0-1	59.6	1609	1606	44.79%	23.12%	32.09%	+0.26	-9.9	3
2003-05-17	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	59.6	1606	1609	32.09%	23.12%	44.79%	-0.26	+9.9	7
2003-05-17	Hibernian	L 1-2	66.0	1675	1709	39.60%	23.26%	37.14%	+0.05	-8.5	3
2003-05-17	@ Livingston	W 2-1	66.0	1709	1675	37.14%	23.26%	39.60%	-0.05	+8.5	12
2003-05-17	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	78.4	1673	1770	30.97%	23.06%	45.97%	-0.31	+0.5	2
2003-05-17	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 2-2	78.4	1770	1673	45.97%	23.06%	30.97%	+0.31	-0.5	7
2003-05-18	Rangers	L 0-2	50.2	1809	2070	15.19%	20.30%	64.51%	-1.24	-7.3	3
2003-05-18	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	50.2	2070	1809	64.51%	20.30%	15.19%	+1.24	+7.3	7
2003-05-24	Aberdeen	L 0-2	54.4	1616	1706	31.91%	23.11%	44.98%	-0.27	-14.3	7
2003-05-24	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	54.4	1706	1616	44.98%	23.11%	31.91%	+0.27	+14.3	12
2003-05-24	Livingston	W 6-2	60.7	1582	1667	32.64%	23.14%	44.21%	-0.24	+24.8	4
2003-05-24	@ Motherwell	L 2-6	60.7	1667	1582	44.21%	23.14%	32.64%	+0.24	-24.8	3
2003-05-24	Partick Thistle	L 2-3	76.0	1718	1599	58.90%	21.57%	19.54%	+0.92	-11.2	12
2003-05-24	@ Hibernian	W 3-2	76.0	1599	1718	19.54%	21.57%	58.90%	-0.92	+11.2	6
2003-05-25	Celtic	L 0-4	46.2	1770	2096	11.30%	18.54%	70.16%	-1.62	-10.3	7
2003-05-25	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-0	46.2	2096	1770	70.16%	18.54%	11.30%	+1.62	+10.3	15
2003-05-25	Dundee	W 1-0	55.7	1802	1720	54.80%	22.23%	22.97%	+0.71	+5.7	6
2003-05-25	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	55.7	1720	1802	22.97%	22.23%	54.80%	-0.71	-5.7	2
2003-05-25	Dunfermline Athletic	W 6-1	46.2	2077	1673	81.08%	13.61%	5.31%	+2.55	+4.5	10
2003-05-25	@ Rangers	L 1-6	46.2	1673	2077	5.31%	13.61%	81.08%	-2.55	-4.5	2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2002-12-26	7.46%	@ Motherwell	1652	1	Rangers	2069	0
2	2002-09-10	10.85%	@ Motherwell	1698	2	Celtic	2033	1
3	2003-04-19	13.68%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1801	2	Celtic	2085	1
4	2002-09-01	15.77%	Partick Thistle	1586	1	@ Aberdeen	1753	0
5	2003-05-24	19.54%	Partick Thistle	1599	3	@ Hibernian	1718	2
6	2003-05-10	22.03%	Dundee United	1595	2	@ Livingston	1686	1
7	2002-11-23	23.04%	@ Partick Thistle	1569	2	Aberdeen	1736	1
8	2002-09-11	23.40%	Dundee United	1661	2	@ Aberdeen	1739	1
9	2002-12-03	23.80%	Kilmarnock	1651	1	@ Aberdeen	1725	0
10	2002-10-26	24.31%	Dundee	1711	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1780	1
11	2002-12-07	24.37%	@ Partick Thistle	1596	4	Dunfermline Athletic	1750	0
12	2003-02-08	24.67%	Partick Thistle	1615	1	@ Aberdeen	1681	0
13	2002-12-04	24.97%	@ Motherwell	1608	6	Heart of Midlothian	1757	1
14	2002-08-25	26.01%	Kilmarnock	1688	1	@ Livingston	1741	0
15	2003-01-28	26.70%	Dundee	1676	1	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1723	0
16	2003-02-15	26.80%	Dunfermline Athletic	1691	3	@ Hibernian	1737	1
17	2002-12-26	27.73%	Kilmarnock	1692	2	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1730	0
18	2002-11-02	27.94%	Dundee United	1633	2	@ Kilmarnock	1669	1
19	2002-08-31	28.81%	Hibernian	1689	2	@ Motherwell	1718	0
20	2003-03-01	28.93%	@ Dundee United	1586	3	Dunfermline Athletic	1700	0
21	2002-08-17	29.04%	Motherwell	1689	3	@ Kilmarnock	1717	0
22	2002-10-27	29.22%	Hibernian	1730	1	@ Aberdeen	1756	0
23	2002-09-11	29.84%	Dunfermline Athletic	1688	4	@ Hibernian	1709	1
24	2003-02-08	30.48%	@ Motherwell	1645	2	Hibernian	1747	1
25	2002-11-30	30.86%	@ Partick Thistle	1580	3	Kilmarnock	1679	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2002-12-04	41.42	@ Motherwell	6	1608	24.97%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1757	52.52%	22.52%
2	2002-12-07	41.04	@ Partick Thistle	4	1596	24.37%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1750	53.19%	22.44%
3	2003-02-01	35.68	Kilmarnock	4	1715	31.73%	@ Livingston	0	1721	45.17%	23.10%
4	2003-03-01	28.81	@ Dundee United	3	1586	28.93%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1700	48.14%	22.92%
5	2002-08-17	28.76	Motherwell	3	1689	29.04%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1717	48.03%	22.93%
6	2002-11-30	27.78	@ Partick Thistle	3	1580	30.86%	Kilmarnock	0	1679	46.09%	23.05%
7	2002-10-26	27.77	Livingston	5	1703	35.26%	@ Motherwell	1	1682	41.51%	23.23%
8	2003-05-24	24.79	@ Motherwell	6	1582	32.64%	Livingston	2	1667	44.21%	23.14%
9	2002-09-11	23.88	Dunfermline Athletic	4	1688	29.84%	@ Hibernian	1	1709	47.17%	22.99%
10	2003-02-25	23.26	@ Dundee	3	1687	39.86%	Hibernian	0	1719	36.89%	23.25%
11	2003-04-26	22.28	@ Partick Thistle	3	1603	41.89%	Motherwell	0	1621	34.89%	23.22%
12	2002-12-15	21.25	@ Dunfermline Athletic	3	1709	43.97%	Aberdeen	0	1712	32.88%	23.15%
13	2002-08-11	21.16	@ Heart of Midlothian	5	1747	47.59%	Hibernian	1	1723	29.45%	22.96%
14	2002-12-26	20.29	Kilmarnock	2	1692	27.73%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1730	49.45%	22.82%
15	2002-12-21	20.11	Heart of Midlothian	3	1728	46.25%	@ Dundee United	0	1629	30.71%	23.04%
16	2002-09-01	19.99	Rangers	6	1973	64.90%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1708	14.91%	20.20%
17	2002-08-31	19.89	Hibernian	2	1689	28.81%	@ Motherwell	0	1718	48.27%	22.91%
18	2003-04-05	19.42	@ Dunfermline Athletic	3	1671	47.61%	Motherwell	0	1647	29.43%	22.96%
19	2003-02-08	19.15	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1779	48.16%	Kilmarnock	0	1751	28.92%	22.92%
20	2002-11-02	18.70	@ Partick Thistle	2	1565	32.02%	Motherwell	0	1654	44.86%	23.12%
21	2002-10-19	18.06	Hibernian	3	1712	50.28%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1582	26.98%	22.75%
22	2002-11-16	17.97	@ Kilmarnock	2	1669	34.07%	Livingston	0	1742	42.73%	23.20%
23	2003-02-15	17.89	Dunfermline Athletic	3	1691	26.80%	@ Hibernian	1	1737	50.47%	22.73%
24	2003-02-01	17.79	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1761	50.82%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1712	26.49%	22.70%
25	2002-12-07	17.06	@ Kilmarnock	2	1662	36.72%	Dundee	0	1717	40.02%	23.25%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-01-02	84.5	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1753	44.54%	Hibernian	4	1752	32.33%	23.13%
2	2002-10-06	83.3	@ Celtic	3	2032	46.56%	Rangers	3	2016	30.42%	23.03%
3	2003-03-15	82.3	@ Aberdeen	3	1683	39.11%	Dundee	3	1721	37.63%	23.26%
4	2003-05-04	80.6	@ Dundee	2	1722	10.53%	Rangers	2	2064	71.38%	18.09%
5	2002-11-16	80.2	@ Aberdeen	2	1734	12.48%	Rangers	2	2038	68.36%	19.16%
6	2002-09-28	78.5	@ Partick Thistle	2	1592	19.94%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1792	58.40%	21.66%
7	2003-03-08	78.5	@ Dundee	2	1721	40.49%	Kilmarnock	2	1749	36.26%	23.25%
8	2003-05-17	78.4	@ Dunfermline Athletic	2	1673	30.97%	Kilmarnock	2	1770	45.97%	23.06%
9	2002-09-14	78.3	@ Kilmarnock	2	1706	41.30%	Aberdeen	2	1728	35.47%	23.23%
10	2003-05-10	78.3	@ Dundee	2	1724	51.25%	Dunfermline Athletic	2	1672	26.10%	22.65%
11	2002-10-19	78.1	@ Kilmarnock	2	1675	37.16%	Dunfermline Athletic	2	1727	39.58%	23.26%
12	2003-04-12	77.9	@ Hibernian	2	1684	44.60%	Livingston	2	1683	32.28%	23.13%
13	2002-08-17	77.8	@ Partick Thistle	2	1587	24.21%	Livingston	2	1742	53.37%	22.41%
14	2003-01-02	77.3	@ Dundee United	2	1595	28.83%	Kilmarnock	2	1709	48.26%	22.91%
15	2003-01-02	77.2	@ Motherwell	2	1661	48.53%	Partick Thistle	2	1630	28.57%	22.89%
16	2003-05-24	76.0	Partick Thistle	3	1599	19.54%	@ Hibernian	2	1718	58.90%	21.57%
17	2003-05-03	75.3	@ Motherwell	2	1599	44.97%	Dundee United	2	1594	31.92%	23.11%
18	2002-12-15	75.0	@ Kilmarnock	1	1679	8.45%	Celtic	1	2069	74.90%	16.65%
19	2002-09-10	74.9	@ Motherwell	2	1698	10.85%	Celtic	1	2033	70.87%	18.28%
20	2003-01-02	74.9	@ Aberdeen	1	1687	8.59%	Celtic	1	2073	74.65%	16.76%
21	2003-04-06	74.8	@ Dundee	1	1721	9.54%	Celtic	1	2084	73.00%	17.45%
22	2003-04-19	74.1	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1801	13.68%	Celtic	1	2085	66.62%	19.70%
23	2002-08-03	73.7	@ Kilmarnock	1	1706	15.94%	Rangers	1	1956	63.50%	20.56%
24	2002-08-31	72.8	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1781	54.79%	Kilmarnock	1	1699	22.98%	22.23%
25	2002-11-12	72.8	Dunfermline Athletic	3	1720	33.45%	@ Dundee	2	1713	43.38%	23.18%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2002-11-17	41.5	@ Celtic	4	2064	85.50%	Partick Thistle	0	1572	3.46%	11.05%
2	2002-12-14	42.8	@ Rangers	3	2064	82.63%	Dundee United	0	1632	4.62%	12.75%
3	2003-05-07	42.9	Celtic	4	2085	80.94%	@ Motherwell	0	1598	5.37%	13.69%
4	2002-09-21	43.0	@ Rangers	3	2006	81.47%	Partick Thistle	0	1595	5.13%	13.40%
5	2003-01-29	44.0	@ Celtic	2	2070	84.66%	Dundee United	0	1595	3.78%	11.56%
6	2003-04-05	44.1	@ Rangers	2	2068	84.26%	Partick Thistle	0	1603	3.94%	11.80%
7	2002-08-17	44.3	@ Celtic	5	2020	78.03%	Dundee United	0	1669	6.77%	15.19%
8	2002-09-28	44.6	@ Celtic	5	2024	76.90%	Kilmarnock	0	1690	7.36%	15.74%
9	2002-10-19	44.6	@ Rangers	3	2016	76.59%	Motherwell	0	1687	7.52%	15.88%
10	2003-03-19	44.9	@ Rangers	2	2066	81.77%	Motherwell	0	1650	5.00%	13.23%
11	2003-05-11	45.3	@ Rangers	4	2061	73.40%	Kilmarnock	0	1779	9.31%	17.29%
12	2002-11-23	45.4	@ Rangers	3	2036	74.10%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1744	8.90%	17.00%
13	2003-02-02	45.7	Celtic	2	2071	79.00%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1618	6.29%	14.71%
14	2002-12-21	45.8	@ Celtic	2	2066	78.98%	Dundee	0	1699	6.30%	14.72%
15	2002-09-28	45.9	Rangers	3	2009	72.35%	@ Dundee United	0	1655	9.93%	17.72%
16	2003-05-25	46.2	Celtic	4	2096	70.16%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1770	11.30%	18.54%
17	2003-05-25	46.2	@ Rangers	6	2077	81.08%	Dunfermline Athletic	1	1673	5.31%	13.61%
18	2002-08-10	46.4	@ Rangers	3	1953	70.44%	Dundee	0	1709	11.12%	18.44%
19	2002-11-10	46.4	Celtic	2	2061	76.79%	@ Dundee United	0	1643	7.42%	15.79%
20	2002-11-03	46.5	@ Celtic	7	2048	74.80%	Aberdeen	0	1746	8.50%	16.70%
21	2003-04-13	46.8	@ Celtic	2	2081	75.76%	Kilmarnock	0	1764	7.97%	16.27%
22	2002-09-01	47.1	@ Celtic	2	2029	74.56%	Livingston	0	1730	8.64%	16.80%
23	2002-11-02	47.1	Rangers	3	2028	68.52%	@ Dundee	0	1722	12.37%	19.11%
24	2002-10-27	47.2	@ Rangers	6	2022	77.67%	Kilmarnock	1	1676	6.96%	15.37%
25	2002-11-09	47.5	@ Livingston	3	1730	61.73%	Partick Thistle	0	1584	17.29%	20.98%