2003-04 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

98 points · 39th Title

Last Title: 2001-02

Relegated

Partick Thistle

26 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Heart of Midlothian

6.27 points above expected

68 points · 61.73 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aberdeen

5.49 points below expected

34 points · 39.49 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	29	3	1	90	99	20	+79	78.61	+11.39
2	Rangers	33	23	5	5	74	66	26	+40	73.24	+0.76
3	Heart of Midlothian	33	15	10	8	55	47	36	+11	54.41	+0.59
4	Dunfermline Athletic	33	12	11	10	47	35	43	-8	43.85	+3.15
5	Motherwell	33	12	9	12	45	39	37	+2	37.89	+7.11
6	Dundee United	33	11	9	13	42	39	51	-12	34.00	+8.00
7	Hibernian	33	9	11	13	38	37	52	-15	38.81	-0.81
8	Livingston	33	8	12	13	36	38	48	-10	41.27	-5.27
9	Dundee	33	8	10	15	34	41	55	-14	41.99	-7.99
10	Aberdeen	33	9	7	17	34	38	52	-14	38.15	-4.15
11	Kilmarnock	33	9	5	19	32	39	68	-29	40.37	-8.37
12	Partick Thistle	33	4	6	23	18	31	61	-30	27.72	-9.72

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	38	31	5	2	98	105	25	+80	101.67	-3.67
2	Rangers	38	25	6	7	81	76	33	+43	83.83	-2.83
3	Heart of Midlothian	38	19	11	8	68	56	40	+16	61.73	+6.27
4	Dunfermline Athletic	38	14	11	13	53	45	52	-7	51.74	+1.26
5	Dundee United	38	13	10	15	49	47	60	-13	49.18	-0.18
6	Motherwell	38	12	10	16	46	42	49	-7	46.78	-0.78
7	Dundee	38	12	10	16	46	48	57	-9	45.13	+0.87
8	Hibernian	38	11	11	16	44	41	60	-19	43.85	+0.15
9	Livingston	38	10	13	15	43	48	57	-9	41.48	+1.52
10	Kilmarnock	38	12	6	20	42	51	74	-23	40.30	+1.70
11	Aberdeen	38	9	7	22	34	39	63	-24	39.49	-5.49
12	Partick Thistle Relegated	38	6	8	24	26	39	67	-28	23.03	+2.97

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Heart of Midlothian	68	61.73	+6.27
2	Partick Thistle	26	23.03	+2.97
3	Kilmarnock	42	40.30	+1.70
4	Livingston	43	41.48	+1.52
5	Dunfermline Athletic	53	51.74	+1.26

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Aberdeen	34	39.49	-5.49
2	Celtic	98	101.67	-3.67
3	Rangers	81	83.83	-2.83
4	Motherwell	46	46.78	-0.78
5	Dundee United	49	49.18	-0.18

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	25	Aug 16 – Feb 29	1 in 2,560
2	Dunfermline Athletic	3	Dec 6 – Dec 21	1 in 96
3	Dundee United	3	Mar 20 – Mar 27	1 in 17
4	Partick Thistle	2	May 1 – May 5	1 in 17
5	Kilmarnock	3	Nov 22 – Dec 6	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Partick Thistle	10	Sep 13 – Nov 29	1 in 452
2	Kilmarnock	4	Dec 13 – Jan 3	1 in 66
3	Aberdeen	5	Oct 18 – Nov 22	1 in 43
4	Motherwell	4	Nov 29 – Dec 21	1 in 33
5	Heart of Midlothian	2	Nov 30 – Dec 6	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	7	Sep 27 – Nov 25	1 in 99
2	Heart of Midlothian	11	Jan 24 – Apr 7	1 in 82
3	Dunfermline Athletic	6	Nov 22 – Dec 21	1 in 37
4	Celtic	32	Aug 9 – Apr 18	1 in 36
5	Aberdeen	6	Nov 29 – Jan 3	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	3	Apr 21 – May 2	1 in 105
2	Dundee	10	Oct 26 – Jan 6	1 in 78
3	Partick Thistle	14	Aug 9 – Nov 29	1 in 48
4	Hibernian	8	Jan 31 – Mar 27	1 in 24
5	Kilmarnock	8	Dec 13 – Feb 11	1 in 23

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	2121	98	-13	8	11.7	-3.7
Rangers	2008	81	-8	7	9.7	-2.7
Heart of Midlothian	1872	68	+32	13	7.0	+6.0
Dunfermline Athletic	1754	53	+16	6	4.9	+1.1
Dundee United	1713	49	+6	7	4.3	+2.7
Dundee	1730	46	+30	12	7.4	+4.6
Motherwell	1708	46	-34	1	4.3	-3.3
Hibernian	1699	44	-26	6	7.5	-1.5
Livingston	1714	43	+4	7	7.5	-0.5
Kilmarnock	1697	42	+37	10	6.9	+3.1
Aberdeen	1646	34	-66	0	6.7	-6.7
Partick Thistle	1624	26	+21	8	5.3	+2.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DUN	DU	DA	HOM	HIB	KIL	LIV	MOT	PT	RAN
Aberdeen	—	1-0-2 0.94	0-2-2 5.03	1-0-2 4.61	1-1-1 3.84	0-0-3 2.66	2-1-1 5.09	2-0-2 5.02	0-1-3 5.48	0-0-3 4.33	2-1-1 6.87	0-1-2 1.46
Celtic	2-0-1 7.66	—	3-0-0 7.20	4-0-0 10.32	2-1-1 9.71	2-2-0 9.10	3-0-0 7.33	3-0-0 7.53	3-0-0 7.45	2-2-0 10.04	3-0-0 7.69	4-0-0 6.59
Dundee	2-2-0 5.97	0-0-3 1.32	—	1-2-0 4.53	0-0-3 4.51	0-1-2 2.82	0-3-1 5.56	1-1-2 5.70	3-1-0 6.01	1-0-2 4.51	4-0-0 7.14	0-0-3 1.43
Dundee United	2-0-1 3.65	0-0-4 1.18	0-2-1 3.74	—	2-1-1 4.53	1-0-3 3.23	0-2-1 3.57	2-1-0 3.77	2-1-0 3.33	2-0-2 5.28	1-2-0 4.53	1-1-2 1.77
Dunfermline Athletic	1-1-1 4.42	1-1-2 1.66	3-0-0 3.75	1-1-2 6.49	—	1-1-2 4.12	1-2-0 4.65	1-1-1 4.79	0-3-0 4.16	2-1-1 5.85	2-0-1 5.85	1-0-3 2.18
Heart of Midlothian	3-0-0 5.64	0-2-2 2.16	2-1-0 5.48	3-0-1 7.88	2-1-1 6.92	—	1-1-1 5.11	2-1-0 5.12	2-1-0 5.59	1-3-0 7.64	2-0-1 6.27	1-1-2 3.07
Hibernian	1-1-2 5.91	0-0-3 1.21	1-3-0 5.44	1-2-0 4.69	0-2-1 3.60	1-1-1 3.17	—	3-0-1 5.80	1-0-3 5.45	1-1-1 4.54	2-1-1 6.97	0-0-3 1.40
Kilmarnock	2-0-2 5.99	0-0-3 1.05	2-1-1 5.30	0-1-2 4.49	1-1-1 3.47	0-1-2 3.15	1-0-3 5.20	—	2-1-1 5.54	1-0-2 4.36	3-1-0 6.82	0-0-3 1.42
Livingston	3-1-0 5.54	0-0-3 1.11	0-1-3 5.00	0-1-2 4.93	0-3-0 4.09	0-1-2 2.71	3-0-1 5.56	1-1-2 5.46	—	2-1-0 4.57	1-2-1 6.89	0-2-1 1.57
Motherwell	3-0-0 3.92	0-2-2 1.40	2-0-1 3.74	2-0-2 5.73	1-1-2 5.16	0-3-1 3.44	1-1-1 3.73	2-0-1 3.90	0-1-2 3.69	—	1-1-1 5.14	0-1-3 1.91
Partick Thistle	1-1-2 4.17	0-0-3 0.93	0-0-4 3.91	0-2-1 3.74	1-0-2 2.47	1-0-2 2.10	1-1-2 4.07	0-1-3 4.21	1-2-1 4.15	1-1-1 3.14	—	0-0-3 0.91
Rangers	2-1-0 7.02	0-0-4 4.44	3-0-0 7.05	2-1-1 9.57	3-0-1 9.08	2-1-1 8.05	3-0-0 7.09	3-0-0 7.07	1-2-0 6.88	3-1-0 9.40	3-0-0 7.71	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.87	+9.8
Allowed	0.85	-13.2
Differential	0.95	+6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.82%	8.33%	7.02%	3.07%	1.75%	1.10%	26.10%
1	8.33%	12.72%	7.24%	3.51%	1.54%	0.88%	34.21%
2	7.02%	7.24%	5.26%	2.41%	0.66%	0.44%	23.03%
3	3.07%	3.51%	2.41%	0.88%	—	0.22%	10.09%
4	1.75%	1.54%	0.66%	—	—	—	3.95%
5+	1.10%	0.88%	0.44%	0.22%	—	—	2.63%
Total	26.10%	34.21%	23.03%	10.09%	3.95%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.40	1.40	+0.00
SD	1.24	1.24	1.90
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	13.16%	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	—	42.11%
1	2.63%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	26.32%
2	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	18.42%
3	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	36.84%	26.32%	18.42%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.66	-0.63
SD	1.08	1.10	1.79
CV	1.05	0.66	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
1	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	26.32%
2	5.26%	15.79%	2.63%	—	—	—	23.68%
3	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	13.16%	10.53%	—	—	—	—	23.68%
Total	44.74%	44.74%	10.53%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.76	0.66	+2.11
SD	1.65	0.67	1.87
CV	0.60	1.02	—
Max	6	2	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	10.53%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	21.05%
1	7.89%	15.79%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	36.84%
2	7.89%	13.16%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	36.84%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	39.47%	26.32%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	1.50	-0.24
SD	0.86	1.20	1.46
CV	0.68	0.80	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	—	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	23.68%
1	10.53%	10.53%	13.16%	7.89%	—	2.63%	44.74%
2	10.53%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	—	—	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	15.79%	34.21%	15.79%	—	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.58	-0.34
SD	1.02	1.35	1.77
CV	0.83	0.85	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	2.63%	2.63%	28.95%
1	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	7.89%	—	26.32%
2	10.53%	15.79%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	42.11%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.21%	31.58%	13.16%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.37	-0.18
SD	0.90	1.44	1.74
CV	0.76	1.05	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	2.63%	2.63%	18.42%
1	10.53%	18.42%	7.89%	—	—	—	36.84%
2	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	26.32%
3	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	15.79%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	44.74%	18.42%	—	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.05	+0.42
SD	1.06	1.09	1.64
CV	0.72	1.03	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	31.58%
1	13.16%	15.79%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	42.11%
2	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	2.63%	13.16%
3	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	31.58%	26.32%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.58	-0.50
SD	1.00	1.45	1.83
CV	0.92	0.92	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.26%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	28.95%
1	—	13.16%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	34.21%
2	5.26%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	2.63%	—	7.89%	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.89%	31.58%	34.21%	15.79%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.95	-0.61
SD	1.26	1.23	2.03
CV	0.94	0.63	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	23.68%
1	5.26%	18.42%	5.26%	5.26%	—	5.26%	39.47%
2	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	26.32%
3	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	31.58%	18.42%	10.53%	2.63%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	1.50	-0.24
SD	1.00	1.48	1.76
CV	0.80	0.99	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	21.05%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	39.47%
1	10.53%	15.79%	—	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
2	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
3	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
Total	26.32%	42.11%	10.53%	18.42%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.29	-0.18
SD	1.20	1.14	1.69
CV	1.09	0.88	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
1	5.26%	7.89%	18.42%	5.26%	5.26%	—	42.11%
2	2.63%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	18.42%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	13.16%	26.32%	39.47%	13.16%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.76	-0.74
SD	1.10	1.10	1.48
CV	1.07	0.62	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
1	13.16%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	26.32%
2	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
3	5.26%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
4	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	15.79%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	42.11%	34.21%	18.42%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	0.87	+1.13
SD	1.47	0.91	1.82
CV	0.74	1.04	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	2121	98	78.61	+19.39	100.0%	62	70	75	78	82	88	90
Rangers	2008	81	73.24	+7.76	61.0%	57	64	70	73	77	82	87
Heart of Midlothian	1872	68	54.41	+13.59	52.0%	40	43	50	55	60	65	70
Dunfermline Athletic	1754	53	43.85	+9.15	69.0%	28	32	39	44	48	54	57
Dundee	1730	46	41.99	+4.01	13.0%	25	31	37	41	47	54	60
Livingston	1714	43	41.27	+1.73	27.0%	28	30	36	41	46	53	59
Dundee United	1713	49	34.00	+15.00	85.0%	19	21	29	34	39	47	48
Motherwell	1708	46	37.89	+8.11	86.0%	24	27	33	38	42	49	58
Hibernian	1699	44	38.81	+5.19	50.0%	24	26	34	38	43	50	58
Kilmarnock	1697	42	40.37	+1.63	13.0%	25	30	35	40	45	52	58
Aberdeen	1646	34	38.15	-4.15	34.0%	19	28	33	37	43	48	55
Partick Thistle	1624	26	27.72	-1.72	10.0%	12	14	23	28	33	39	45

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+14.04%

Slight Edge

45.18%23.68%31.14%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 49.09 Elo pts.

197 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.42 goals

Neutral

-2+0.25+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.5

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

78%

Celtic, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.45/gm

Runaway

00.200.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.36 * Some Luck: 5.36 to 8.04 * Lucky: 8.04 to 10.72 * Wild Swing: 10.72 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.28 * Close: 1.28 to 1.91 * Off: 1.91 to 2.55 * Way Off: 2.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.63 points

Some Luck

06.7017

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.67

01.604

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Celtic

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

10.00%

Partick Thistle

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

0 of 1

As Expected

00.41

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 152.90

2.48

Wide Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

59%

Even

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

96%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

60%

Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Occasional

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.56

Highly Predictable

00.562

Matchup Imbalance

0.41

Slight Separation

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.03

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.47

Weak Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

As Expected

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.77

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.02

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.066

Well Within Noise

00.1090.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	78.00%	22.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	22.00%	78.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	74.00%	9.00%	9.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Dunfermline Athletic	—	—	5.00%	26.00%	16.00%	17.00%	13.00%	4.00%	11.00%	2.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Dundee United	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	10.00%	9.00%	11.00%	8.00%	12.00%	19.00%	22.00%
Motherwell	—	—	1.00%	7.00%	8.00%	13.00%	9.00%	16.00%	16.00%	11.00%	15.00%	4.00%
Dundee	—	—	6.00%	17.00%	13.00%	9.00%	15.00%	16.00%	9.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Hibernian	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	14.00%	11.00%	12.00%	10.00%	14.00%	16.00%	14.00%	2.00%
Livingston	—	—	5.00%	11.00%	12.00%	18.00%	17.00%	10.00%	9.00%	6.00%	9.00%	3.00%
Kilmarnock	—	—	4.00%	13.00%	12.00%	8.00%	14.00%	16.00%	8.00%	11.00%	11.00%	3.00%
Aberdeen	—	—	2.00%	9.00%	9.00%	9.00%	8.00%	11.00%	19.00%	22.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Partick Thistle	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	12.00%	17.00%	57.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	—	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	98.93%	1.07%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dunfermline Athletic	—	—	0.95%	69.56%	23.35%	6.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee United	—	—	0.12%	22.80%	53.83%	23.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	—	—	6.57%	22.82%	70.61%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee	—	—	—	—	—	—	51.25%	26.78%	13.74%	6.38%	1.85%	—
Hibernian	—	—	—	—	—	—	30.24%	33.16%	20.00%	11.42%	5.18%	—
Livingston	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.93%	20.20%	28.24%	24.43%	17.20%	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.43%	11.62%	21.44%	30.69%	30.82%	—
Aberdeen	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.15%	8.24%	16.58%	27.08%	44.95%	—
Partick Thistle	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	100.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Celtic	100%	—
Dunfermline Athletic	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
Livingston	99.00%	1.00%
Dundee	98.00%	2.00%
Motherwell	97.00%	3.00%
Aberdeen	96.00%	4.00%
Kilmarnock	96.00%	4.00%
Hibernian	95.00%	5.00%
Dundee United	80.00%	20.00%
Partick Thistle	39.00%	61.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—
Celtic	100%	—
Dundee	100%	—
Dundee United	100%	—
Dunfermline Athletic	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Hibernian	100%	—
Kilmarnock	100%	—
Livingston	100%	—
Motherwell	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
Partick Thistle	—	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2003-08-09	Aberdeen	W 2-0	53.4	1811	1748	52.43%	23.91%	23.67%	+0.57	+9.7	3
2003-08-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	53.4	1748	1811	23.67%	23.91%	52.43%	-0.57	-9.7	0
2003-08-09	Celtic	D 0-0	69.9	1712	2029	12.09%	19.10%	68.81%	-1.36	+2.8	1
2003-08-09	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	69.9	2029	1712	68.81%	19.10%	12.09%	+1.36	-2.8	1
2003-08-09	Dundee	L 0-3	54.6	1676	1746	34.46%	25.08%	40.46%	-0.11	-19.3	0
2003-08-09	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	54.6	1746	1676	40.46%	25.08%	34.46%	+0.11	+19.3	3
2003-08-09	Hibernian	L 1-2	65.0	1664	1740	33.67%	25.05%	41.28%	-0.14	-6.5	0
2003-08-09	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	65.0	1740	1664	41.28%	25.05%	33.67%	+0.14	+6.5	3
2003-08-09	Kilmarnock	W 4-0	46.1	2010	1777	70.15%	18.53%	11.33%	+1.44	+8.8	3
2003-08-09	@ Rangers	L 0-4	46.1	1777	2010	11.33%	18.53%	70.15%	-1.44	-8.8	0
2003-08-09	Livingston	D 1-1	71.7	1673	1700	40.64%	25.07%	34.29%	+0.11	-0.2	1
2003-08-09	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	71.7	1700	1673	34.29%	25.07%	40.64%	-0.11	+0.2	1
2003-08-16	Dundee United	W 5-0	43.5	2026	1657	80.42%	13.36%	6.23%	+2.13	+5.5	4
2003-08-16	@ Celtic	L 0-5	43.5	1657	2026	6.23%	13.36%	80.42%	-2.13	-5.5	0
2003-08-16	Motherwell	W 1-0	56.3	1700	1657	50.06%	24.28%	25.66%	+0.47	+5.5	4
2003-08-16	@ Livingston	L 0-1	56.3	1657	1700	25.66%	24.28%	50.06%	-0.47	-5.5	0
2003-08-16	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	60.8	1768	1673	56.24%	23.15%	20.61%	+0.73	+4.3	3
2003-08-16	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	60.8	1673	1768	20.61%	23.15%	56.24%	-0.73	-4.3	1
2003-08-16	Rangers	L 2-3	64.0	1739	2019	14.14%	20.42%	65.44%	-1.18	-2.8	0
2003-08-16	@ Aberdeen	W 3-2	64.0	2019	1739	65.44%	20.42%	14.14%	+1.18	+2.8	6
2003-08-17	Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-2	61.4	1765	1715	50.90%	24.16%	24.94%	+0.51	-18.1	3
2003-08-17	@ Dundee	W 2-0	61.4	1715	1765	24.94%	24.16%	50.90%	-0.51	+18.1	4
2003-08-17	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	62.1	1746	1821	33.89%	25.06%	41.06%	-0.13	+8.0	6
2003-08-17	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	62.1	1821	1746	41.06%	25.06%	33.89%	+0.13	-8.0	3
2003-08-23	Celtic	L 1-2	56.4	1669	2032	9.90%	17.33%	72.77%	-1.60	-2.0	1
2003-08-23	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-1	56.4	2032	1669	72.77%	17.33%	9.90%	+1.60	+2.0	7
2003-08-23	Dundee United	W 3-0	47.9	1813	1652	63.36%	21.16%	15.49%	+1.07	+9.4	6
2003-08-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	47.9	1652	1813	15.49%	21.16%	63.36%	-1.07	-9.4	0
2003-08-23	Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	68.6	1736	1733	44.69%	24.86%	30.46%	+0.26	-8.1	0
2003-08-23	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	68.6	1733	1736	30.46%	24.86%	44.69%	-0.26	+8.1	7
2003-08-23	Hibernian	W 5-2	53.5	2022	1754	73.00%	17.22%	9.78%	+1.61	+4.2	9
2003-08-23	@ Rangers	L 2-5	53.5	1754	2022	9.78%	17.22%	73.00%	-1.61	-4.2	6
2003-08-23	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	69.1	1651	1772	28.01%	24.61%	47.39%	-0.37	+8.5	3
2003-08-23	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	69.1	1772	1651	47.39%	24.61%	28.01%	+0.37	-8.5	3
2003-08-23	Livingston	W 2-1	62.8	1747	1706	49.82%	24.31%	25.87%	+0.46	+5.3	6
2003-08-23	@ Dundee	L 1-2	62.8	1706	1747	25.87%	24.31%	49.82%	-0.46	-5.2	4
2003-08-30	Aberdeen	D 1-1	72.5	1750	1728	47.31%	24.62%	28.07%	+0.36	-0.8	7
2003-08-30	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	72.5	1728	1750	28.07%	24.62%	47.31%	-0.36	+0.8	1
2003-08-30	Livingston	W 5-1	47.7	2034	1700	77.98%	14.70%	7.32%	+1.95	+4.5	10
2003-08-30	@ Celtic	L 1-5	47.7	1700	2034	7.32%	14.70%	77.98%	-1.95	-4.5	4
2003-08-30	Partick Thistle	D 2-2	77.4	1660	1667	43.35%	24.95%	31.70%	+0.21	-0.3	4
2003-08-30	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	77.4	1667	1660	31.70%	24.95%	43.35%	-0.21	+0.3	2
2003-08-31	Dundee	D 1-1	72.5	1764	1753	45.81%	24.76%	29.42%	+0.31	-0.7	4
2003-08-31	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	72.5	1753	1764	29.42%	24.76%	45.81%	-0.31	+0.7	7
2003-08-31	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	59.7	1741	1822	33.05%	25.02%	41.93%	-0.16	-6.8	7
2003-08-31	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	59.7	1822	1741	41.93%	25.02%	33.05%	+0.16	+6.8	9
2003-08-31	Rangers	L 1-3	53.0	1642	2026	9.04%	16.53%	74.44%	-1.70	-3.1	0
2003-08-31	@ Dundee United	W 3-1	53.0	2026	1642	74.44%	16.53%	9.04%	+1.70	+3.1	12
2003-09-13	Celtic	L 0-1	52.8	1753	2038	13.86%	20.26%	65.88%	-1.20	-3.1	7
2003-09-13	@ Dundee	W 1-0	52.8	2038	1753	65.88%	20.26%	13.86%	+1.20	+3.1	13
2003-09-13	Dundee United	D 0-0	67.0	1696	1639	51.74%	24.02%	24.24%	+0.54	-1.3	5
2003-09-13	@ Livingston	D 0-0	67.0	1639	1696	24.24%	24.02%	51.74%	-0.54	+1.3	1
2003-09-13	Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-0	44.6	2029	1734	75.13%	16.18%	8.69%	+1.75	+6.5	15
2003-09-13	@ Rangers	L 0-4	44.6	1734	2029	8.69%	16.18%	75.13%	-1.75	-6.5	7
2003-09-13	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	57.2	1763	1829	35.06%	25.09%	39.85%	-0.09	-13.4	4
2003-09-13	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	57.2	1829	1763	39.85%	25.09%	35.06%	+0.09	+13.4	12
2003-09-13	Motherwell	L 0-2	62.2	1749	1659	55.69%	23.27%	21.03%	+0.71	-19.5	7
2003-09-13	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	62.2	1659	1749	21.03%	23.27%	55.69%	-0.71	+19.5	7
2003-09-13	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	61.7	1728	1667	52.29%	23.93%	23.78%	+0.56	+4.9	4
2003-09-13	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	61.7	1667	1728	23.78%	23.93%	52.29%	-0.56	-4.9	2
2003-09-20	Aberdeen	W 2-0	54.9	1750	1733	46.59%	24.69%	28.72%	+0.34	+11.5	10
2003-09-20	@ Dundee	L 0-2	54.9	1733	1750	28.72%	24.69%	46.59%	-0.34	-11.5	4
2003-09-20	Dundee United	L 0-2	59.1	1662	1640	47.27%	24.62%	28.11%	+0.36	-17.0	2
2003-09-20	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-0	59.1	1640	1662	28.11%	24.62%	47.27%	-0.36	+17.0	4
2003-09-20	Hibernian	D 0-0	67.7	1728	1730	44.10%	24.90%	31.01%	+0.24	-0.6	8
2003-09-20	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	67.7	1730	1728	31.01%	24.90%	44.10%	-0.24	+0.6	8
2003-09-20	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	66.2	1695	1749	36.63%	25.12%	38.25%	-0.03	-7.0	5
2003-09-20	@ Livingston	W 2-1	66.2	1749	1695	38.25%	25.12%	36.63%	+0.03	+6.9	7
2003-09-20	Motherwell	W 3-0	43.4	2041	1679	79.97%	13.60%	6.42%	+2.09	+3.5	16
2003-09-20	@ Celtic	L 0-3	43.4	1679	2041	6.42%	13.60%	79.97%	-2.09	-3.5	7
2003-09-21	Rangers	L 0-4	50.3	1842	2036	20.57%	23.14%	56.29%	-0.73	-16.3	12
2003-09-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	50.3	2036	1842	56.29%	23.14%	20.57%	+0.73	+16.3	18
2003-09-27	Celtic	L 1-2	57.7	1730	2045	12.21%	19.18%	68.61%	-1.35	-2.5	8
2003-09-27	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	57.7	2045	1730	68.61%	19.18%	12.21%	+1.35	+2.5	19
2003-09-27	Dundee	W 3-1	53.0	2052	1762	74.79%	16.35%	8.86%	+1.73	+3.0	21
2003-09-27	@ Rangers	L 1-3	53.0	1762	2052	8.86%	16.35%	74.79%	-1.73	-3.0	10
2003-09-27	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.7	1675	1826	24.69%	24.11%	51.20%	-0.52	+1.1	8
2003-09-27	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	72.7	1826	1675	51.20%	24.11%	24.69%	+0.52	-1.1	13
2003-09-27	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	72.1	1657	1756	30.67%	24.87%	44.46%	-0.25	+0.5	5
2003-09-27	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	72.1	1756	1657	44.46%	24.87%	30.67%	+0.25	-0.6	8
2003-09-27	Livingston	L 0-3	58.6	1722	1688	48.86%	24.44%	26.70%	+0.42	-25.3	4
2003-09-27	@ Aberdeen	W 3-0	58.6	1688	1722	26.70%	24.44%	48.86%	-0.42	+25.3	8
2003-09-27	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	60.8	1727	1645	54.78%	23.47%	21.75%	+0.67	+4.5	11
2003-09-27	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	60.8	1645	1727	21.75%	23.47%	54.78%	-0.67	-4.5	2
2003-10-04	Aberdeen	L 1-3	67.6	1756	1697	52.02%	23.98%	24.00%	+0.55	-15.9	8
2003-10-04	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	67.6	1697	1756	24.00%	23.98%	52.02%	-0.55	+15.9	7
2003-10-04	Celtic	L 0-1	63.6	2055	2047	45.36%	24.80%	29.83%	+0.29	-8.7	21
2003-10-04	@ Rangers	W 1-0	63.6	2047	2055	29.83%	24.80%	45.36%	-0.29	+8.7	22
2003-10-04	Dundee	D 2-2	79.0	1825	1759	52.88%	23.83%	23.29%	+0.59	-0.9	14
2003-10-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	79.0	1759	1825	23.29%	23.83%	52.88%	-0.59	+0.9	11
2003-10-04	Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	67.6	1713	1732	41.73%	25.03%	33.24%	+0.15	-0.4	9
2003-10-04	@ Livingston	D 0-0	67.6	1732	1713	33.24%	25.03%	41.73%	-0.15	+0.4	12
2003-10-04	Hibernian	L 0-1	58.6	1641	1728	32.21%	24.98%	42.81%	-0.19	-6.7	2
2003-10-04	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	58.6	1728	1641	42.81%	24.98%	32.21%	+0.19	+6.7	11
2003-10-04	Motherwell	L 0-2	57.9	1658	1676	41.78%	25.03%	33.19%	+0.16	-15.4	5
2003-10-04	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	57.9	1676	1658	33.19%	25.03%	41.78%	-0.16	+15.4	11
2003-10-18	Dundee United	L 0-1	64.4	1713	1642	53.34%	23.75%	22.92%	+0.61	-10.0	7
2003-10-18	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	64.4	1642	1713	22.92%	23.75%	53.34%	-0.61	+10.0	8
2003-10-18	Heart of Midlothian	W 5-0	46.7	2056	1824	70.00%	18.59%	11.41%	+1.43	+10.9	25
2003-10-18	@ Celtic	L 0-5	46.7	1824	2056	11.41%	18.59%	70.00%	-1.43	-10.9	14
2003-10-18	Kilmarnock	L 2-3	73.6	1732	1740	43.29%	24.95%	31.76%	+0.21	-7.5	12
2003-10-18	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-2	73.6	1740	1732	31.76%	24.95%	43.29%	-0.21	+7.5	11
2003-10-18	Livingston	L 0-2	60.3	1734	1713	47.25%	24.62%	28.13%	+0.36	-17.0	11
2003-10-18	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	60.3	1713	1734	28.13%	24.62%	47.25%	-0.36	+17.0	12
2003-10-18	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	53.7	1760	1634	59.66%	22.29%	18.05%	+0.89	+4.0	14
2003-10-18	@ Dundee	L 0-1	53.7	1634	1760	18.05%	22.29%	59.66%	-0.89	-4.0	2
2003-10-19	Rangers	D 1-1	75.0	1692	2046	10.27%	17.66%	72.07%	-1.55	+2.7	12
2003-10-19	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	75.0	2046	1692	72.07%	17.66%	10.27%	+1.55	-2.7	22
2003-10-25	Aberdeen	W 4-0	43.1	2067	1703	80.09%	13.54%	6.37%	+2.10	+4.5	28
2003-10-25	@ Celtic	L 0-4	43.1	1703	2067	6.37%	13.54%	80.09%	-2.10	-4.5	7
2003-10-25	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	55.6	1630	1813	21.51%	23.40%	55.09%	-0.68	-10.9	2
2003-10-25	@ Partick Thistle	W 4-1	55.6	1813	1630	55.09%	23.40%	21.51%	+0.68	+10.9	17
2003-10-25	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	62.8	1718	1747	40.18%	25.09%	34.74%	+0.10	+11.5	14
2003-10-25	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	62.8	1747	1718	34.74%	25.09%	40.18%	-0.10	-11.6	11
2003-10-25	Rangers	D 0-0	69.9	1730	2044	12.24%	19.21%	68.55%	-1.35	+2.8	13
2003-10-25	@ Livingston	D 0-0	69.9	2044	1730	68.55%	19.21%	12.24%	+1.35	-2.8	23
2003-10-26	Dundee	D 1-1	72.1	1652	1764	29.18%	24.74%	46.08%	-0.32	+0.7	9
2003-10-26	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	72.1	1764	1652	46.08%	24.74%	29.18%	+0.32	-0.7	15
2003-11-01	Celtic	L 0-5	46.6	1736	2072	11.14%	18.39%	70.47%	-1.46	-10.6	11
2003-11-01	@ Kilmarnock	W 5-0	46.6	2072	1736	70.47%	18.39%	11.14%	+1.46	+10.6	31
2003-11-01	Dundee United	W 2-0	52.2	1725	1653	53.53%	23.71%	22.75%	+0.61	+9.4	15
2003-11-01	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-2	52.2	1653	1725	22.75%	23.71%	53.53%	-0.61	-9.4	9
2003-11-01	Hibernian	D 1-1	72.6	1763	1729	48.82%	24.44%	26.74%	+0.42	-0.9	16
2003-11-01	@ Dundee	D 1-1	72.6	1729	1763	26.74%	24.44%	48.82%	-0.42	+0.9	15
2003-11-01	Livingston	W 3-1	58.4	1824	1732	55.87%	23.23%	20.89%	+0.72	+7.5	20
2003-11-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	58.4	1732	1824	20.89%	23.23%	55.87%	-0.72	-7.5	13
2003-11-01	Motherwell	L 0-3	57.4	1698	1694	44.82%	24.84%	30.33%	+0.27	-23.6	7
2003-11-01	@ Aberdeen	W 3-0	57.4	1694	1698	30.33%	24.84%	44.82%	-0.27	+23.6	15
2003-11-01	Partick Thistle	W 3-1	50.2	2041	1619	83.60%	11.51%	4.89%	+2.39	+1.5	26
2003-11-01	@ Rangers	L 1-3	50.2	1619	2041	4.89%	11.51%	83.60%	-2.39	-1.5	2
2003-11-08	Dundee United	D 2-2	78.3	1730	1644	55.26%	23.37%	21.37%	+0.69	-1.1	16
2003-11-08	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	78.3	1644	1730	21.37%	23.37%	55.26%	-0.69	+1.1	10
2003-11-08	Dunfermline Athletic	W 5-0	44.0	2082	1734	78.99%	14.15%	6.86%	+2.02	+6.1	34
2003-11-08	@ Celtic	L 0-5	44.0	1734	2082	6.86%	14.15%	78.99%	-2.02	-6.1	15
2003-11-08	Motherwell	L 0-1	64.4	1762	1718	50.12%	24.27%	25.61%	+0.47	-9.5	16
2003-11-08	@ Dundee	W 1-0	64.4	1718	1762	25.61%	24.27%	50.12%	-0.47	+9.5	18
2003-11-08	Partick Thistle	W 2-0	50.7	1725	1618	57.67%	22.81%	19.52%	+0.80	+8.2	16
2003-11-08	@ Livingston	L 0-2	50.7	1618	1725	19.52%	22.81%	57.67%	-0.80	-8.2	2
2003-11-09	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	56.6	1674	1832	24.03%	23.98%	51.98%	-0.55	-5.2	7
2003-11-09	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	56.6	1832	1674	51.98%	23.98%	24.03%	+0.55	+5.2	23
2003-11-09	Rangers	L 2-3	63.0	1725	2042	12.07%	19.09%	68.84%	-1.36	-2.4	11
2003-11-09	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-2	63.0	2042	1725	68.84%	19.09%	12.07%	+1.36	+2.4	29
2003-11-22	Aberdeen	W 3-0	43.2	2045	1669	80.81%	13.13%	6.06%	+2.16	+3.3	32
2003-11-22	@ Rangers	L 0-3	43.2	1669	2045	6.06%	13.13%	80.81%	-2.16	-3.3	7
2003-11-22	Celtic	L 1-5	47.5	1645	2088	6.94%	14.25%	78.81%	-2.01	-4.2	10
2003-11-22	@ Dundee United	W 5-1	47.5	2088	1645	78.81%	14.25%	6.94%	+2.01	+4.2	37
2003-11-22	Dundee	W 2-0	56.6	1728	1753	40.95%	25.06%	33.99%	+0.13	+13.1	18
2003-11-22	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-2	56.6	1753	1728	33.99%	25.06%	40.95%	-0.13	-13.1	16
2003-11-22	Kilmarnock	L 2-4	64.0	1609	1723	28.90%	24.71%	46.39%	-0.33	-8.9	2
2003-11-22	@ Partick Thistle	W 4-2	64.0	1723	1609	46.39%	24.71%	28.90%	+0.33	+8.9	14
2003-11-22	Livingston	D 1-1	72.3	1727	1733	43.56%	24.93%	31.50%	+0.22	-0.5	19
2003-11-22	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	72.3	1733	1727	31.50%	24.93%	43.56%	-0.22	+0.5	17
2003-11-23	Hibernian	W 2-0	51.8	1837	1729	57.72%	22.80%	19.48%	+0.80	+8.1	26
2003-11-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	51.8	1729	1837	19.48%	22.80%	57.72%	-0.80	-8.1	16
2003-11-25	Dunfermline Athletic	D 2-2	78.4	1727	1741	42.37%	25.00%	32.63%	+0.18	-0.3	20
2003-11-25	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	78.4	1741	1727	32.63%	25.00%	42.37%	-0.18	+0.3	19
2003-11-29	Aberdeen	D 2-2	78.4	1742	1666	54.00%	23.62%	22.38%	+0.63	-1.0	20
2003-11-29	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 2-2	78.4	1666	1742	22.38%	23.62%	54.00%	-0.63	+1.0	8
2003-11-29	Dundee	D 1-1	72.3	1734	1739	43.53%	24.94%	31.53%	+0.22	-0.5	18
2003-11-29	@ Livingston	D 1-1	72.3	1739	1734	31.53%	24.94%	43.53%	-0.22	+0.5	17
2003-11-29	Motherwell	W 2-0	55.3	1732	1727	45.03%	24.83%	30.14%	+0.28	+11.9	17
2003-11-29	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	55.3	1727	1732	30.14%	24.83%	45.03%	-0.28	-11.9	20
2003-11-29	Partick Thistle	W 3-1	49.2	2092	1600	87.23%	9.28%	3.50%	+2.75	+1.0	40
2003-11-29	@ Celtic	L 1-3	49.2	1600	2092	3.50%	9.28%	87.23%	-2.75	-1.0	2
2003-11-30	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	72.0	1641	1845	19.62%	22.85%	57.53%	-0.79	+10.0	13
2003-11-30	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	72.0	1845	1641	57.53%	22.85%	19.62%	+0.79	-10.0	26
2003-11-30	Rangers	L 0-1	51.6	1721	2048	11.56%	18.71%	69.73%	-1.41	-2.5	16
2003-11-30	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	51.6	2048	1721	69.73%	18.71%	11.56%	+1.41	+2.5	35
2003-12-06	Celtic	L 0-2	47.6	1733	2093	10.01%	17.44%	72.55%	-1.58	-4.0	18
2003-12-06	@ Livingston	W 2-0	47.6	2093	1733	72.55%	17.44%	10.01%	+1.58	+4.0	43
2003-12-06	Dundee United	W 2-1	53.5	2050	1651	82.32%	12.26%	5.42%	+2.28	+1.0	38
2003-12-06	@ Rangers	L 1-2	53.5	1651	2050	5.42%	12.26%	82.32%	-2.28	-1.0	13
2003-12-06	Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	71.9	1835	1741	56.20%	23.16%	20.64%	+0.73	-9.8	26
2003-12-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	71.9	1741	1835	20.64%	23.16%	56.20%	-0.73	+9.8	23
2003-12-06	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	68.4	1740	1744	43.81%	24.92%	31.27%	+0.23	-8.0	17
2003-12-06	@ Dundee	W 2-1	68.4	1744	1740	31.27%	24.92%	43.81%	-0.23	+8.0	20
2003-12-07	Hibernian	W 3-1	63.3	1667	1718	37.12%	25.12%	37.76%	-0.01	+12.3	11
2003-12-07	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	63.3	1718	1667	37.76%	25.12%	37.12%	+0.01	-12.3	16
2003-12-07	Motherwell	W 1-0	62.2	1599	1715	28.68%	24.69%	46.64%	-0.34	+8.9	5
2003-12-07	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-1	62.2	1715	1599	46.64%	24.69%	28.68%	+0.34	-8.9	20
2003-12-13	Aberdeen	L 0-3	53.3	1608	1679	34.38%	25.07%	40.55%	-0.11	-19.2	5
2003-12-13	@ Partick Thistle	W 3-0	53.3	1679	1608	40.55%	25.07%	34.38%	+0.11	+19.2	14
2003-12-13	Dundee	W 3-2	59.6	2098	1732	80.17%	13.49%	6.34%	+2.11	+1.1	46
2003-12-13	@ Celtic	L 2-3	59.6	1732	2098	6.34%	13.49%	80.17%	-2.11	-1.1	17
2003-12-13	Hibernian	L 0-1	62.5	1706	1706	44.32%	24.88%	30.80%	+0.25	-8.5	20
2003-12-13	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	62.5	1706	1706	30.80%	24.88%	44.32%	-0.25	+8.5	19
2003-12-13	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	62.0	1825	1752	53.73%	23.67%	22.59%	+0.62	+4.7	29
2003-12-13	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	62.0	1752	1825	22.59%	23.67%	53.73%	-0.62	-4.7	20
2003-12-13	Livingston	W 2-0	58.3	1650	1729	33.23%	25.03%	41.74%	-0.15	+15.4	16
2003-12-13	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	58.3	1729	1650	41.74%	25.03%	33.23%	+0.15	-15.3	18
2003-12-14	Rangers	W 2-0	65.5	1750	2051	12.94%	19.68%	67.38%	-1.28	+22.9	26
2003-12-14	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-2	65.5	2051	1750	67.38%	19.68%	12.94%	+1.28	-22.9	38
2003-12-20	Dundee	D 2-2	78.1	1698	1731	39.83%	25.09%	35.07%	+0.09	-0.1	15
2003-12-20	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	78.1	1731	1698	35.07%	25.09%	39.83%	-0.09	+0.1	18
2003-12-20	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	58.2	2029	1830	67.00%	19.83%	13.17%	+1.26	+2.7	41
2003-12-20	@ Rangers	L 1-2	58.2	1830	2029	13.17%	19.83%	67.00%	-1.26	-2.7	29
2003-12-20	Livingston	L 0-3	58.9	1747	1714	48.76%	24.45%	26.79%	+0.42	-25.3	20
2003-12-20	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-0	58.9	1714	1747	26.79%	24.45%	48.76%	-0.42	+25.3	21
2003-12-21	Celtic	L 0-2	46.6	1697	2099	8.37%	15.85%	75.77%	-1.79	-3.3	20
2003-12-21	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	46.6	2099	1697	75.77%	15.85%	8.37%	+1.79	+3.3	49
2003-12-21	Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	66.2	1714	1773	36.06%	25.11%	38.82%	-0.05	-6.9	19
2003-12-21	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	66.2	1773	1714	38.82%	25.11%	36.06%	+0.05	+6.9	29
2003-12-23	Partick Thistle	D 0-0	66.1	1665	1589	54.03%	23.62%	22.35%	+0.64	-1.5	17
2003-12-23	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	66.1	1589	1665	22.35%	23.62%	54.03%	-0.64	+1.5	6
2003-12-27	Aberdeen	D 1-1	72.4	1739	1698	49.70%	24.33%	25.97%	+0.46	-1.0	22
2003-12-27	@ Livingston	D 1-1	72.4	1698	1739	25.97%	24.33%	49.70%	-0.46	+1.0	16
2003-12-27	Dundee United	L 0-2	61.1	1722	1663	51.90%	24.00%	24.10%	+0.55	-18.3	20
2003-12-27	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	61.1	1663	1722	24.10%	24.00%	51.90%	-0.55	+18.3	20
2003-12-27	Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-1	65.4	1591	1780	20.92%	23.24%	55.84%	-0.71	+23.9	9
2003-12-27	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-4	65.4	1780	1591	55.84%	23.24%	20.92%	+0.71	-23.9	29
2003-12-27	Hibernian	W 6-0	43.8	2102	1708	81.99%	12.46%	5.56%	+2.25	+5.7	52
2003-12-27	@ Celtic	L 0-6	43.8	1708	2102	5.56%	12.46%	81.99%	-2.25	-5.7	19
2003-12-27	Motherwell	D 0-0	68.7	1827	1694	60.46%	22.06%	17.48%	+0.93	-2.1	30
2003-12-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	68.7	1694	1827	17.48%	22.06%	60.46%	-0.93	+2.1	21
2003-12-28	Rangers	L 0-2	49.1	1731	2031	12.98%	19.71%	67.32%	-1.28	-5.4	18
2003-12-28	@ Dundee	W 2-0	49.1	2031	1731	67.32%	19.71%	12.98%	+1.28	+5.4	44
2004-01-03	Dundee United	W 3-1	60.5	1696	1682	46.25%	24.72%	29.02%	+0.32	+10.0	24
2004-01-03	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	60.5	1682	1696	29.02%	24.72%	46.25%	-0.32	-10.0	20
2004-01-03	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	61.4	1699	1703	43.77%	24.92%	31.31%	+0.23	+10.7	19
2004-01-03	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	61.4	1703	1699	31.31%	24.92%	43.77%	-0.23	-10.7	20
2004-01-03	Livingston	D 2-2	78.6	1756	1738	46.77%	24.67%	28.56%	+0.34	-0.6	30
2004-01-03	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 2-2	78.6	1738	1756	28.56%	24.67%	46.77%	-0.34	+0.5	23
2004-01-03	Partick Thistle	W 3-2	65.4	1702	1615	55.39%	23.34%	21.27%	+0.69	+4.2	22
2004-01-03	@ Hibernian	L 2-3	65.4	1615	1702	21.27%	23.34%	55.39%	-0.69	-4.2	9
2004-01-03	Rangers	W 3-0	51.5	2108	2037	53.44%	23.73%	22.83%	+0.61	+13.7	55
2004-01-03	@ Celtic	L 0-3	51.5	2037	2108	22.83%	23.73%	53.44%	-0.61	-13.7	44
2004-01-06	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	64.7	1726	1825	30.63%	24.87%	44.50%	-0.26	-6.0	18
2004-01-06	@ Dundee	W 2-1	64.7	1825	1726	44.50%	24.87%	30.63%	+0.26	+6.0	33
2004-01-17	Aberdeen	W 3-2	70.9	1672	1710	39.01%	25.11%	35.88%	+0.06	+6.5	23
2004-01-17	@ Dundee United	L 2-3	70.9	1710	1672	35.88%	25.11%	39.01%	-0.06	-6.5	19
2004-01-17	Dundee	L 1-2	63.0	1610	1719	29.42%	24.76%	45.82%	-0.31	-5.8	9
2004-01-17	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-1	63.0	1719	1610	45.82%	24.76%	29.42%	+0.31	+5.8	21
2004-01-17	Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	72.2	1693	1756	35.49%	25.10%	39.41%	-0.07	+0.2	21
2004-01-17	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	72.2	1756	1693	39.41%	25.10%	35.49%	+0.07	-0.1	31
2004-01-17	Hibernian	W 1-0	57.3	1739	1706	48.64%	24.47%	26.90%	+0.41	+5.8	26
2004-01-17	@ Livingston	L 0-1	57.3	1706	1739	26.90%	24.47%	48.64%	-0.41	-5.8	22
2004-01-17	Motherwell	W 1-0	49.5	2023	1706	76.79%	15.33%	7.88%	+1.86	+1.6	47
2004-01-17	@ Rangers	L 0-1	49.5	1706	2023	7.88%	15.33%	76.79%	-1.86	-1.6	24
2004-01-18	Celtic	L 0-1	52.7	1831	2121	13.55%	20.07%	66.38%	-1.23	-3.0	33
2004-01-18	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	52.7	2121	1831	66.38%	20.07%	13.55%	+1.23	+3.0	58
2004-01-24	Celtic	L 1-3	52.3	1703	2124	7.68%	15.11%	77.21%	-1.89	-2.6	19
2004-01-24	@ Aberdeen	W 3-1	52.3	2124	1703	77.21%	15.11%	7.68%	+1.89	+2.6	61
2004-01-24	Hibernian	L 0-2	58.9	1693	1700	43.31%	24.95%	31.74%	+0.21	-15.8	21
2004-01-24	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	58.9	1700	1693	31.74%	24.95%	43.31%	-0.21	+15.8	25
2004-01-24	Livingston	W 1-0	50.3	2025	1744	74.01%	16.74%	9.26%	+1.68	+2.0	50
2004-01-24	@ Rangers	L 0-1	50.3	1744	2025	9.26%	16.74%	74.01%	-1.68	-2.0	26
2004-01-24	Motherwell	W 1-0	56.7	1755	1704	50.99%	24.14%	24.86%	+0.51	+5.4	34
2004-01-24	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	56.7	1704	1755	24.86%	24.14%	50.99%	-0.51	-5.4	24
2004-01-24	Partick Thistle	W 2-0	47.9	1828	1604	69.25%	18.92%	11.84%	+1.39	+4.9	36
2004-01-24	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	47.9	1604	1828	11.84%	18.92%	69.25%	-1.39	-4.9	9
2004-01-25	Dundee United	W 2-1	62.3	1725	1678	50.50%	24.22%	25.28%	+0.49	+5.2	24
2004-01-25	@ Dundee	L 1-2	62.3	1678	1725	25.28%	24.22%	50.50%	-0.49	-5.2	23
2004-01-31	Dundee	D 1-1	72.2	1716	1730	42.36%	25.00%	32.64%	+0.18	-0.4	26
2004-01-31	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	72.2	1730	1716	32.64%	25.00%	42.36%	-0.18	+0.4	25
2004-01-31	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	62.2	1673	1761	32.13%	24.97%	42.90%	-0.20	+8.3	26
2004-01-31	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	62.2	1761	1673	42.90%	24.97%	32.13%	+0.20	-8.3	34
2004-01-31	Kilmarnock	W 5-1	45.6	2127	1677	85.13%	10.58%	4.28%	+2.54	+2.4	64
2004-01-31	@ Celtic	L 1-5	45.6	1677	2127	4.28%	10.58%	85.13%	-2.54	-2.4	21
2004-02-01	Rangers	L 0-1	49.1	1600	2027	7.48%	14.87%	77.65%	-1.92	-1.5	9
2004-02-01	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	49.1	2027	1600	77.65%	14.87%	7.48%	+1.92	+1.5	53
2004-02-10	Hibernian	D 0-0	67.2	1681	1716	39.55%	25.10%	35.35%	+0.08	-0.2	27
2004-02-10	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	67.2	1716	1681	35.35%	25.10%	39.55%	-0.08	+0.2	27
2004-02-11	Aberdeen	W 1-0	54.1	1833	1701	60.35%	22.09%	17.55%	+0.92	+3.9	39
2004-02-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	54.1	1701	1833	17.55%	22.09%	60.35%	-0.92	-3.9	19
2004-02-11	Celtic	L 1-4	50.7	1753	2129	9.33%	16.81%	73.87%	-1.67	-4.6	34
2004-02-11	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-1	50.7	2129	1753	73.87%	16.81%	9.33%	+1.67	+4.6	67
2004-02-11	Dundee	W 5-3	68.3	1699	1731	39.91%	25.09%	35.00%	+0.09	+9.8	27
2004-02-11	@ Motherwell	L 3-5	68.3	1731	1699	35.00%	25.09%	39.91%	-0.09	-9.8	25
2004-02-11	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	45.5	2028	1675	79.36%	13.95%	6.70%	+2.05	+2.5	56
2004-02-11	@ Rangers	L 0-2	45.5	1675	2028	6.70%	13.95%	79.36%	-2.05	-2.5	21
2004-02-11	Livingston	W 5-2	66.4	1598	1742	25.38%	24.23%	50.38%	-0.48	+19.0	12
2004-02-11	@ Partick Thistle	L 2-5	66.4	1742	1598	50.38%	24.23%	25.38%	+0.48	-19.0	26
2004-02-14	Dundee United	W 2-1	52.7	2134	1681	85.28%	10.49%	4.23%	+2.55	+0.7	70
2004-02-14	@ Celtic	L 1-2	52.7	1681	2134	4.23%	10.49%	85.28%	-2.55	-0.8	27
2004-02-14	Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	61.7	1721	1748	40.60%	25.07%	34.33%	+0.11	-8.0	25
2004-02-14	@ Dundee	W 1-0	61.7	1748	1721	34.33%	25.07%	40.60%	-0.11	+8.0	37
2004-02-14	Motherwell	W 3-1	60.8	1723	1709	46.28%	24.72%	29.00%	+0.32	+10.0	29
2004-02-14	@ Livingston	L 1-3	60.8	1709	1723	29.00%	24.72%	46.28%	-0.32	-10.0	27
2004-02-14	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	60.8	1672	1617	51.51%	24.06%	24.43%	+0.53	+5.0	24
2004-02-14	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	60.8	1617	1672	24.43%	24.06%	51.51%	-0.53	-5.0	12
2004-02-14	Rangers	D 1-1	74.8	1697	2031	11.24%	18.46%	70.30%	-1.45	+2.6	20
2004-02-14	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	74.8	2031	1697	70.30%	18.46%	11.24%	+1.45	-2.6	57
2004-02-15	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.7	1716	1837	28.03%	24.61%	47.36%	-0.36	+0.8	28
2004-02-15	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	72.7	1837	1716	47.36%	24.61%	28.03%	+0.36	-0.8	40
2004-02-21	Dundee United	W 3-1	56.2	1836	1681	62.79%	21.34%	15.87%	+1.04	+5.8	43
2004-02-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	56.2	1681	1836	15.87%	21.34%	62.79%	-1.04	-5.8	27
2004-02-21	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	57.9	1700	1756	36.40%	25.12%	38.48%	-0.04	+14.4	23
2004-02-21	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	57.9	1756	1700	38.48%	25.12%	36.40%	+0.04	-14.4	37
2004-02-21	Hibernian	W 3-0	44.5	2028	1717	76.38%	15.54%	8.08%	+1.83	+4.6	60
2004-02-21	@ Rangers	L 0-3	44.5	1717	2028	8.08%	15.54%	76.38%	-1.83	-4.6	28
2004-02-21	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	57.3	1699	1677	47.24%	24.62%	28.13%	+0.36	+6.0	30
2004-02-21	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	57.3	1677	1699	28.13%	24.62%	47.24%	-0.36	-6.0	24
2004-02-21	Livingston	W 1-0	59.4	1713	1733	41.53%	25.04%	33.43%	+0.15	+6.9	28
2004-02-21	@ Dundee	L 0-1	59.4	1733	1713	33.43%	25.04%	41.53%	-0.15	-6.9	29
2004-02-22	Celtic	L 1-4	47.6	1612	2135	4.83%	11.42%	83.75%	-2.41	-2.1	12
2004-02-22	@ Partick Thistle	W 4-1	47.6	2135	1612	83.75%	11.42%	4.83%	+2.41	+2.1	73
2004-02-24	Aberdeen	W 1-0	58.8	1705	1714	43.09%	24.96%	31.95%	+0.20	+6.6	33
2004-02-24	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	58.8	1714	1705	31.95%	24.96%	43.09%	-0.20	-6.6	23
2004-02-24	Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	69.4	1727	1842	28.69%	24.69%	46.62%	-0.34	-5.4	29
2004-02-24	@ Livingston	W 3-2	69.4	1842	1727	46.62%	24.69%	28.69%	+0.34	+5.4	46
2004-02-28	Aberdeen	L 0-1	62.7	1712	1707	44.99%	24.83%	30.18%	+0.27	-8.6	28
2004-02-28	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	62.7	1707	1712	30.18%	24.83%	44.99%	-0.27	+8.6	26
2004-02-28	Dundee	W 4-2	67.2	1671	1720	37.48%	25.12%	37.40%	+0.00	+10.9	27
2004-02-28	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-4	67.2	1720	1671	37.40%	25.12%	37.48%	+0.00	-10.9	28
2004-02-28	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	68.1	1742	1847	29.85%	24.80%	45.34%	-0.29	+0.7	38
2004-02-28	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	68.1	1847	1742	45.34%	24.80%	29.85%	+0.29	-0.7	47
2004-02-28	Partick Thistle	W 3-0	48.8	1712	1610	57.02%	22.97%	20.01%	+0.77	+12.1	36
2004-02-28	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	48.8	1610	1712	20.01%	22.97%	57.02%	-0.77	-12.1	12
2004-02-29	Livingston	W 5-1	46.2	2137	1721	83.25%	11.72%	5.03%	+2.36	+2.9	76
2004-02-29	@ Celtic	L 1-5	46.2	1721	2137	5.03%	11.72%	83.25%	-2.36	-2.9	29
2004-02-29	Rangers	W 2-0	66.3	1675	2033	10.13%	17.54%	72.34%	-1.57	+24.2	30
2004-02-29	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	66.3	2033	1675	72.34%	17.54%	10.13%	+1.57	-24.2	60
2004-03-07	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.9	1682	1846	23.30%	23.83%	52.87%	-0.59	+1.2	28
2004-03-07	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	72.9	1846	1682	52.87%	23.83%	23.30%	+0.59	-1.2	48
2004-03-09	Partick Thistle	D 0-0	67.3	1716	1598	58.87%	22.51%	18.63%	+0.85	-1.9	27
2004-03-09	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	67.3	1598	1716	18.63%	22.51%	58.87%	-0.85	+1.9	13
2004-03-13	Aberdeen	D 1-1	72.1	1709	1714	43.65%	24.93%	31.43%	+0.22	-0.5	29
2004-03-13	@ Dundee	D 1-1	72.1	1714	1709	31.43%	24.93%	43.65%	-0.22	+0.5	28
2004-03-13	Dundee United	D 1-1	71.0	1600	1699	30.66%	24.87%	44.47%	-0.25	+0.6	14
2004-03-13	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	71.0	1699	1600	44.47%	24.87%	30.66%	+0.25	-0.6	31
2004-03-13	Rangers	D 1-1	73.2	1845	2008	23.42%	23.86%	52.73%	-0.58	+1.2	49
2004-03-13	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	73.2	2008	1845	52.73%	23.86%	23.42%	+0.58	-1.2	61
2004-03-14	Motherwell	D 1-1	76.8	2140	1724	83.27%	11.71%	5.03%	+2.36	-3.4	77
2004-03-14	@ Celtic	D 1-1	76.8	1724	2140	5.03%	11.71%	83.27%	-2.36	+3.4	37
2004-03-17	Celtic	L 1-2	55.0	1709	2136	7.45%	14.85%	77.70%	-1.93	-1.4	29
2004-03-17	@ Dundee	W 2-1	55.0	2136	1709	77.70%	14.85%	7.45%	+1.93	+1.4	80
2004-03-20	Dundee	W 4-0	44.4	2007	1707	75.54%	15.97%	8.49%	+1.78	+6.3	64
2004-03-20	@ Rangers	L 0-4	44.4	1707	2007	8.49%	15.97%	75.54%	-1.78	-6.3	29
2004-03-20	Kilmarnock	W 4-1	57.9	1698	1683	46.36%	24.71%	28.93%	+0.33	+14.1	34
2004-03-20	@ Dundee United	L 1-4	57.9	1683	1698	28.93%	24.71%	46.36%	-0.33	-14.1	28
2004-03-20	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	52.7	1742	1600	61.40%	21.78%	16.82%	+0.97	+3.7	41
2004-03-20	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	52.7	1600	1742	16.82%	21.78%	61.40%	-0.97	-3.8	14
2004-03-21	Celtic	L 0-4	43.7	1704	2138	7.24%	14.60%	78.16%	-1.96	-5.3	28
2004-03-21	@ Hibernian	W 4-0	43.7	2138	1704	78.16%	14.60%	7.24%	+1.96	+5.3	83
2004-03-21	Livingston	L 1-2	68.2	1715	1718	43.83%	24.92%	31.25%	+0.23	-8.0	28
2004-03-21	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	68.2	1718	1715	31.25%	24.92%	43.83%	-0.23	+8.0	32
2004-03-23	Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-1	50.9	2014	1746	72.99%	17.23%	9.78%	+1.61	+4.8	67
2004-03-23	@ Rangers	L 1-4	50.9	1746	2014	9.78%	17.23%	72.99%	-1.61	-4.8	41
2004-03-24	Dundee United	L 2-3	74.2	1726	1712	46.17%	24.73%	29.09%	+0.32	-7.9	32
2004-03-24	@ Livingston	W 3-2	74.2	1712	1726	29.09%	24.73%	46.17%	-0.32	+7.9	37
2004-03-24	Motherwell	D 3-3	82.1	1698	1727	40.34%	25.08%	34.58%	+0.10	-0.1	29
2004-03-24	@ Hibernian	D 3-3	82.1	1727	1698	34.58%	25.08%	40.34%	-0.10	+0.1	38
2004-03-27	Aberdeen	W 3-1	62.6	1669	1707	39.12%	25.11%	35.77%	+0.06	+11.8	31
2004-03-27	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	62.6	1707	1669	35.77%	25.11%	39.12%	-0.06	-11.8	28
2004-03-27	Dundee	W 3-1	56.6	1846	1701	61.79%	21.66%	16.55%	+0.99	+6.0	52
2004-03-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	56.6	1701	1846	16.55%	21.66%	61.79%	-0.99	-6.0	29
2004-03-27	Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	67.6	1718	1741	41.17%	25.05%	33.78%	+0.13	-0.3	33
2004-03-27	@ Livingston	D 0-0	67.6	1741	1718	33.78%	25.05%	41.17%	-0.13	+0.3	42
2004-03-27	Hibernian	D 1-1	71.0	1597	1698	30.36%	24.85%	44.79%	-0.27	+0.6	15
2004-03-27	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	71.0	1698	1597	44.79%	24.85%	30.36%	+0.27	-0.6	30
2004-03-27	Motherwell	W 1-0	58.9	1720	1727	43.41%	24.94%	31.65%	+0.22	+6.6	40
2004-03-27	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	58.9	1727	1720	31.65%	24.94%	43.41%	-0.22	-6.6	38
2004-03-28	Celtic	L 1-2	64.0	2018	2143	27.59%	24.56%	47.85%	-0.38	-5.6	67
2004-03-28	@ Rangers	W 2-1	64.0	2143	2018	47.85%	24.56%	27.59%	+0.38	+5.5	86
2004-04-03	Dundee United	W 3-0	54.8	1695	1727	39.85%	25.09%	35.06%	+0.09	+19.5	31
2004-04-03	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	54.8	1727	1695	35.06%	25.09%	39.85%	-0.09	-19.5	40
2004-04-03	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	81.6	2148	1852	75.23%	16.13%	8.64%	+1.75	-2.2	87
2004-04-03	@ Celtic	D 2-2	81.6	1852	2148	8.64%	16.13%	75.23%	-1.75	+2.2	53
2004-04-03	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	61.9	1741	1681	52.17%	23.95%	23.88%	+0.56	+4.9	45
2004-04-03	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	61.9	1681	1741	23.88%	23.95%	52.17%	-0.56	-4.9	31
2004-04-03	Livingston	W 3-1	62.2	1698	1718	41.51%	25.04%	33.45%	+0.15	+11.2	33
2004-04-03	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	62.2	1718	1698	33.45%	25.04%	41.51%	-0.15	-11.2	33
2004-04-03	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	59.4	1695	1597	56.57%	23.08%	20.35%	+0.75	+4.2	32
2004-04-03	@ Dundee	L 1-2	59.4	1597	1695	20.35%	23.08%	56.57%	-0.75	-4.2	15
2004-04-04	Rangers	L 0-1	52.5	1721	2013	13.44%	20.00%	66.56%	-1.24	-3.0	38
2004-04-04	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	52.5	2013	1721	66.56%	20.00%	13.44%	+1.24	+3.0	70
2004-04-07	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.8	1718	1855	26.18%	24.36%	49.46%	-0.45	+1.0	39
2004-04-07	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	72.8	1855	1718	49.46%	24.36%	26.18%	+0.45	-1.0	54
2004-04-07	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	72.0	1707	1676	48.40%	24.49%	27.10%	+0.41	-0.9	34
2004-04-07	@ Livingston	D 1-1	72.0	1676	1707	27.10%	24.49%	48.40%	-0.41	+0.9	32
2004-04-10	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	67.3	1593	1854	15.38%	21.10%	63.51%	-1.08	+11.6	18
2004-04-10	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-1	67.3	1854	1593	63.51%	21.10%	15.38%	+1.08	-11.6	54
2004-04-10	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	51.9	1709	1677	48.55%	24.48%	26.97%	+0.41	+15.8	36
2004-04-10	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	51.9	1677	1709	26.97%	24.48%	48.55%	-0.41	-15.8	32
2004-04-11	Dundee	D 2-2	78.1	1707	1699	45.48%	24.79%	29.73%	+0.29	-0.5	41
2004-04-11	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	78.1	1699	1707	29.73%	24.79%	45.48%	-0.29	+0.5	33
2004-04-13	Hibernian	D 1-1	72.4	1746	1725	47.25%	24.62%	28.13%	+0.36	-0.8	46
2004-04-13	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	72.4	1725	1746	28.13%	24.62%	47.25%	-0.36	+0.8	37
2004-04-14	Rangers	D 1-1	74.5	1706	2016	12.45%	19.36%	68.19%	-1.33	+2.5	35
2004-04-14	@ Livingston	D 1-1	74.5	2016	1706	68.19%	19.36%	12.45%	+1.33	-2.5	71
2004-04-15	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	59.8	1719	1746	40.58%	25.07%	34.34%	+0.11	+7.0	42
2004-04-15	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	59.8	1746	1719	34.34%	25.07%	40.58%	-0.11	-7.0	46
2004-04-17	Dundee United	D 1-1	72.4	1739	1707	48.53%	24.48%	26.99%	+0.41	-0.9	47
2004-04-17	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	72.4	1707	1739	26.99%	24.48%	48.53%	-0.41	+0.9	42
2004-04-17	Hibernian	D 2-2	78.1	1699	1725	40.75%	25.07%	34.19%	+0.12	-0.2	34
2004-04-17	@ Dundee	D 2-2	78.1	1725	1699	34.19%	25.07%	40.75%	-0.12	+0.2	38
2004-04-17	Livingston	D 1-1	73.5	1842	1708	60.55%	22.04%	17.42%	+0.93	-1.9	55
2004-04-17	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	73.5	1708	1842	17.42%	22.04%	60.55%	-0.93	+1.9	36
2004-04-17	Partick Thistle	W 2-0	44.4	2013	1604	82.86%	11.95%	5.19%	+2.33	+1.9	74
2004-04-17	@ Rangers	L 0-2	44.4	1604	2013	5.19%	11.95%	82.86%	-2.33	-1.9	18
2004-04-18	Celtic	L 0-1	48.1	1661	2146	5.75%	12.72%	81.53%	-2.22	-1.1	32
2004-04-18	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	48.1	2146	1661	81.53%	12.72%	5.75%	+2.22	+1.1	90
2004-04-18	Motherwell	L 0-2	59.0	1714	1726	42.78%	24.98%	32.24%	+0.19	-15.7	31
2004-04-18	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	59.0	1726	1714	32.24%	24.98%	42.78%	-0.19	+15.7	45
2004-04-21	Aberdeen	L 1-2	77.0	2147	1699	85.08%	10.61%	4.30%	+2.53	-13.4	90
2004-04-21	@ Celtic	W 2-1	77.0	1699	2147	4.30%	10.61%	85.08%	-2.53	+13.4	34

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2004-04-24	Aberdeen	W 2-0	55.4	1710	1712	44.09%	24.90%	31.01%	+0.24	+12.2	3
2004-04-24	@ Livingston	L 0-2	55.4	1712	1710	31.01%	24.90%	44.09%	-0.24	-12.2	0
2004-04-24	Dundee	L 0-1	57.5	1603	1699	30.97%	24.90%	44.14%	-0.24	-6.5	0
2004-04-24	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	57.5	1699	1603	44.14%	24.90%	30.97%	+0.24	+6.5	3
2004-04-24	Hibernian	W 2-0	57.8	1660	1726	35.12%	25.10%	39.79%	-0.08	+14.8	3
2004-04-24	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	57.8	1726	1660	39.79%	25.10%	35.12%	+0.08	-14.8	0
2004-04-24	Motherwell	W 3-0	53.8	1738	1741	43.85%	24.91%	31.24%	+0.23	+17.8	3
2004-04-24	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-3	53.8	1741	1738	31.24%	24.91%	43.85%	-0.23	-17.8	0
2004-04-24	Rangers	D 3-3	84.5	1708	2015	12.59%	19.45%	67.95%	-1.31	+1.5	1
2004-04-24	@ Dundee United	D 3-3	84.5	2015	1708	67.95%	19.45%	12.59%	+1.31	-1.5	1
2004-04-25	Celtic	D 1-1	74.4	1840	2134	13.35%	19.95%	66.70%	-1.24	+2.3	1
2004-04-25	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	74.4	2134	1840	66.70%	19.95%	13.35%	+1.24	-2.4	1
2004-05-01	Aberdeen	W 2-0	58.4	1596	1700	30.10%	24.82%	45.08%	-0.28	+16.3	3
2004-05-01	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-2	58.4	1700	1596	45.08%	24.82%	30.10%	+0.28	-16.3	0
2004-05-01	Dundee	W 1-0	58.2	1711	1706	45.01%	24.83%	30.16%	+0.28	+6.3	3
2004-05-01	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	58.2	1706	1711	30.16%	24.83%	45.01%	-0.28	-6.3	3
2004-05-01	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	54.4	1709	1843	26.60%	24.42%	48.98%	-0.43	-10.8	1
2004-05-01	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	54.4	1843	1709	48.98%	24.42%	26.60%	+0.43	+10.8	4
2004-05-01	Livingston	W 4-2	67.2	1675	1722	37.66%	25.12%	37.22%	+0.01	+10.9	6
2004-05-01	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-4	67.2	1722	1675	37.22%	25.12%	37.66%	-0.01	-10.9	3
2004-05-01	Motherwell	W 4-0	44.7	2014	1723	74.79%	16.35%	8.86%	+1.73	+6.6	4
2004-05-01	@ Rangers	L 0-4	44.7	1723	2014	8.86%	16.35%	74.79%	-1.73	-6.7	0
2004-05-02	Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	76.5	2132	1756	80.85%	13.11%	6.04%	+2.16	-13.0	1
2004-05-02	@ Celtic	W 2-1	76.5	1756	2132	6.04%	13.11%	80.85%	-2.16	+13.0	6
2004-05-05	Partick Thistle	L 1-2	70.9	1717	1612	57.37%	22.89%	19.74%	+0.78	-10.0	3
2004-05-05	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	70.9	1612	1717	19.74%	22.89%	57.37%	-0.78	+10.0	6
2004-05-08	Dundee United	L 0-1	63.2	1717	1699	46.77%	24.67%	28.56%	+0.34	-8.9	0
2004-05-08	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	63.2	1699	1717	28.56%	24.67%	46.77%	-0.34	+8.9	4
2004-05-08	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	61.6	1853	1769	55.09%	23.40%	21.51%	+0.68	+4.5	7
2004-05-08	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	61.6	1769	1853	21.51%	23.40%	55.09%	-0.68	-4.5	6
2004-05-08	Hibernian	L 0-1	61.4	1683	1707	41.06%	25.06%	33.88%	+0.13	-8.0	0
2004-05-08	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	61.4	1707	1683	33.88%	25.06%	41.06%	-0.13	+8.0	6
2004-05-08	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	54.5	1699	1686	46.18%	24.73%	29.09%	+0.32	+11.6	6
2004-05-08	@ Dundee	L 0-2	54.5	1686	1699	29.09%	24.73%	46.18%	-0.32	-11.6	6
2004-05-08	Rangers	W 1-0	55.6	2119	2020	56.65%	23.06%	20.29%	+0.75	+4.5	4
2004-05-08	@ Celtic	L 0-1	55.6	2020	2119	20.29%	23.06%	56.65%	-0.75	-4.5	4
2004-05-09	Partick Thistle	D 2-2	77.9	1712	1622	55.59%	23.30%	21.12%	+0.70	-1.1	4
2004-05-09	@ Livingston	D 2-2	77.9	1622	1712	21.12%	23.30%	55.59%	-0.70	+1.1	7
2004-05-11	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-2	72.2	1708	1764	36.38%	25.12%	38.51%	-0.04	+6.8	7
2004-05-11	@ Dundee United	L 2-3	72.2	1764	1708	38.51%	25.12%	36.38%	+0.04	-6.8	6
2004-05-12	Aberdeen	W 4-0	52.6	1674	1675	44.16%	24.89%	30.95%	+0.24	+23.1	9
2004-05-12	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-4	52.6	1675	1674	30.95%	24.89%	44.16%	-0.24	-23.1	0
2004-05-12	Celtic	D 1-1	75.7	1708	2123	7.87%	15.32%	76.81%	-1.86	+3.0	1
2004-05-12	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	75.7	2123	1708	76.81%	15.32%	7.87%	+1.86	-3.0	5
2004-05-12	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	67.8	2016	1858	63.05%	21.26%	15.69%	+1.05	-11.5	4
2004-05-12	@ Rangers	W 1-0	67.8	1858	2016	15.69%	21.26%	63.05%	-1.05	+11.5	10
2004-05-12	Livingston	W 2-0	55.3	1711	1710	44.42%	24.88%	30.71%	+0.25	+12.1	9
2004-05-12	@ Dundee	L 0-2	55.3	1710	1711	30.71%	24.88%	44.42%	-0.25	-12.1	4
2004-05-15	Dundee	L 1-2	65.1	1652	1723	34.38%	25.07%	40.54%	-0.11	-6.6	0
2004-05-15	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	65.1	1723	1652	40.54%	25.07%	34.38%	+0.11	+6.6	12
2004-05-15	Hibernian	W 4-1	59.4	1698	1715	42.01%	25.02%	32.97%	+0.16	+15.7	7
2004-05-15	@ Livingston	L 1-4	59.4	1715	1698	32.97%	25.02%	42.01%	-0.16	-15.7	6
2004-05-15	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	77.3	1623	1697	33.99%	25.06%	40.95%	-0.13	+0.2	8
2004-05-15	@ Partick Thistle	D 2-2	77.3	1697	1623	40.95%	25.06%	33.99%	+0.13	-0.2	10
2004-05-16	Dundee United	W 2-1	53.5	2120	1714	82.67%	12.06%	5.27%	+2.31	+1.0	8
2004-05-16	@ Celtic	L 1-2	53.5	1714	2120	5.27%	12.06%	82.67%	-2.31	-1.0	7
2004-05-16	Motherwell	W 3-2	64.5	1869	1711	63.10%	21.24%	15.66%	+1.06	+3.1	13
2004-05-16	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	64.5	1711	1869	15.66%	21.24%	63.10%	-1.06	-3.1	1
2004-05-16	Rangers	L 2-3	65.0	1757	2004	16.32%	21.56%	62.13%	-1.01	-3.2	6
2004-05-16	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-2	65.0	2004	1757	62.13%	21.56%	16.32%	+1.01	+3.2	7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2004-04-21	4.30%	Aberdeen	1699	2	@ Celtic	2147	1
2	2004-05-02	6.04%	Dunfermline Athletic	1756	2	@ Celtic	2132	1
3	2004-02-29	10.13%	@ Dundee United	1675	2	Rangers	2033	0
4	2003-12-14	12.94%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1750	2	Rangers	2051	0
5	2004-04-10	15.38%	@ Partick Thistle	1593	1	Heart of Midlothian	1854	0
6	2004-05-12	15.69%	Heart of Midlothian	1858	1	@ Rangers	2016	0
7	2003-11-30	19.62%	@ Dundee United	1641	2	Heart of Midlothian	1845	1
8	2004-05-05	19.74%	Partick Thistle	1612	2	@ Hibernian	1717	1
9	2003-12-06	20.64%	Dunfermline Athletic	1741	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1835	1
10	2003-12-27	20.92%	@ Partick Thistle	1591	4	Dunfermline Athletic	1780	1
11	2003-09-13	21.03%	Motherwell	1659	2	@ Hibernian	1749	0
12	2003-10-18	22.92%	Dundee United	1642	1	@ Aberdeen	1713	0
13	2003-10-04	24.00%	Aberdeen	1697	3	@ Kilmarnock	1756	1
14	2003-12-27	24.10%	Dundee United	1663	2	@ Kilmarnock	1722	0
15	2003-08-17	24.94%	Dunfermline Athletic	1715	2	@ Dundee	1765	0
16	2004-02-11	25.38%	@ Partick Thistle	1598	5	Livingston	1742	2
17	2003-11-08	25.61%	Motherwell	1718	1	@ Dundee	1762	0
18	2003-09-27	26.70%	Livingston	1688	3	@ Aberdeen	1722	0
19	2003-12-20	26.79%	Livingston	1714	3	@ Kilmarnock	1747	0
20	2003-08-23	28.01%	@ Motherwell	1651	2	Kilmarnock	1772	1
21	2003-09-20	28.11%	Dundee United	1640	2	@ Partick Thistle	1662	0
22	2003-10-18	28.13%	Livingston	1713	2	@ Hibernian	1734	0
23	2004-05-08	28.56%	Dundee United	1699	1	@ Motherwell	1717	0
24	2003-12-07	28.68%	@ Partick Thistle	1599	1	Motherwell	1715	0
25	2004-03-24	29.09%	Dundee United	1712	3	@ Livingston	1726	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-09-27	25.34	Livingston	3	1688	26.70%	@ Aberdeen	0	1722	48.86%	24.44%
2	2003-12-20	25.29	Livingston	3	1714	26.79%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1747	48.76%	24.45%
3	2004-02-29	24.16	@ Dundee United	2	1675	10.13%	Rangers	0	2033	72.34%	17.54%
4	2003-12-27	23.93	@ Partick Thistle	4	1591	20.92%	Dunfermline Athletic	1	1780	55.84%	23.24%
5	2003-11-01	23.60	Motherwell	3	1694	30.33%	@ Aberdeen	0	1698	44.82%	24.84%
6	2004-05-12	23.13	@ Kilmarnock	4	1674	44.16%	Aberdeen	0	1675	30.95%	24.89%
7	2003-12-14	22.88	@ Dunfermline Athletic	2	1750	12.94%	Rangers	0	2051	67.38%	19.68%
8	2004-04-03	19.51	@ Aberdeen	3	1695	39.85%	Dundee United	0	1727	35.06%	25.09%
9	2003-09-13	19.49	Motherwell	2	1659	21.03%	@ Hibernian	0	1749	55.69%	23.27%
10	2003-08-09	19.27	Dundee	3	1746	40.46%	@ Motherwell	0	1676	34.46%	25.08%
11	2003-12-13	19.23	Aberdeen	3	1679	40.55%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1608	34.38%	25.07%
12	2004-02-11	18.98	@ Partick Thistle	5	1598	25.38%	Livingston	2	1742	50.38%	24.23%
13	2003-12-27	18.35	Dundee United	2	1663	24.10%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1722	51.90%	24.00%
14	2003-08-17	18.06	Dunfermline Athletic	2	1715	24.94%	@ Dundee	0	1765	50.90%	24.16%
15	2004-04-24	17.84	@ Dunfermline Athletic	3	1738	43.85%	Motherwell	0	1741	31.24%	24.91%
16	2003-09-20	16.97	Dundee United	2	1640	28.11%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1662	47.27%	24.62%
17	2003-10-18	16.97	Livingston	2	1713	28.13%	@ Hibernian	0	1734	47.25%	24.62%
18	2004-05-01	16.33	@ Partick Thistle	2	1596	30.10%	Aberdeen	0	1700	45.08%	24.82%
19	2003-09-21	16.27	Rangers	4	2036	56.29%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1842	20.57%	23.14%
20	2003-10-04	15.93	Aberdeen	3	1697	24.00%	@ Kilmarnock	1	1756	52.02%	23.98%
21	2004-04-10	15.82	@ Hibernian	3	1709	48.55%	Kilmarnock	0	1677	26.97%	24.48%
22	2004-01-24	15.80	Hibernian	2	1700	31.74%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1693	43.31%	24.95%
23	2004-05-15	15.70	@ Livingston	4	1698	42.01%	Hibernian	1	1715	32.97%	25.02%
24	2004-04-18	15.66	Motherwell	2	1726	32.24%	@ Aberdeen	0	1714	42.78%	24.98%
25	2003-10-04	15.36	Motherwell	2	1676	33.19%	@ Dundee United	0	1658	41.78%	25.03%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2004-04-24	84.5	@ Dundee United	3	1708	12.59%	Rangers	3	2015	67.95%	19.45%
2	2004-03-24	82.1	@ Hibernian	3	1698	40.34%	Motherwell	3	1727	34.58%	25.08%
3	2004-04-03	81.6	@ Celtic	2	2148	75.23%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1852	8.64%	16.13%
4	2003-10-04	79.0	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1825	52.88%	Dundee	2	1759	23.29%	23.83%
5	2004-01-03	78.6	@ Dunfermline Athletic	2	1756	46.77%	Livingston	2	1738	28.56%	24.67%
6	2003-11-25	78.4	@ Motherwell	2	1727	42.37%	Dunfermline Athletic	2	1741	32.63%	25.00%
7	2003-11-29	78.4	@ Dunfermline Athletic	2	1742	54.00%	Aberdeen	2	1666	22.38%	23.62%
8	2003-11-08	78.3	@ Hibernian	2	1730	55.26%	Dundee United	2	1644	21.37%	23.37%
9	2003-12-20	78.1	@ Aberdeen	2	1698	39.83%	Dundee	2	1731	35.07%	25.09%
10	2004-04-11	78.1	@ Dundee United	2	1707	45.48%	Dundee	2	1699	29.73%	24.79%
11	2004-04-17	78.1	@ Dundee	2	1699	40.75%	Hibernian	2	1725	34.19%	25.07%
12	2004-05-09	77.9	@ Livingston	2	1712	55.59%	Partick Thistle	2	1622	21.12%	23.30%
13	2003-08-30	77.4	@ Motherwell	2	1660	43.35%	Partick Thistle	2	1667	31.70%	24.95%
14	2004-05-15	77.3	@ Partick Thistle	2	1623	33.99%	Kilmarnock	2	1697	40.95%	25.06%
15	2004-04-21	77.0	Aberdeen	2	1699	4.30%	@ Celtic	1	2147	85.08%	10.61%
16	2004-03-14	76.8	@ Celtic	1	2140	83.27%	Motherwell	1	1724	5.03%	11.71%
17	2004-05-02	76.5	Dunfermline Athletic	2	1756	6.04%	@ Celtic	1	2132	80.85%	13.11%
18	2004-05-12	75.7	@ Motherwell	1	1708	7.87%	Celtic	1	2123	76.81%	15.32%
19	2003-10-19	75.0	@ Motherwell	1	1692	10.27%	Rangers	1	2046	72.07%	17.66%
20	2004-02-14	74.8	@ Aberdeen	1	1697	11.24%	Rangers	1	2031	70.30%	18.46%
21	2004-04-14	74.5	@ Livingston	1	1706	12.45%	Rangers	1	2016	68.19%	19.36%
22	2004-04-25	74.4	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1840	13.35%	Celtic	1	2134	66.70%	19.95%
23	2004-03-24	74.2	Dundee United	3	1712	29.09%	@ Livingston	2	1726	46.17%	24.73%
24	2003-10-18	73.6	Kilmarnock	3	1740	31.76%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	2	1732	43.29%	24.95%
25	2004-04-17	73.5	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1842	60.55%	Livingston	1	1708	17.42%	22.04%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-10-25	43.1	@ Celtic	4	2067	80.09%	Aberdeen	0	1703	6.37%	13.54%
2	2003-11-22	43.2	@ Rangers	3	2045	80.81%	Aberdeen	0	1669	6.06%	13.13%
3	2003-09-20	43.4	@ Celtic	3	2041	79.97%	Motherwell	0	1679	6.42%	13.60%
4	2003-08-16	43.5	@ Celtic	5	2026	80.42%	Dundee United	0	1657	6.23%	13.36%
5	2004-03-21	43.7	Celtic	4	2138	78.16%	@ Hibernian	0	1704	7.24%	14.60%
6	2003-12-27	43.8	@ Celtic	6	2102	81.99%	Hibernian	0	1708	5.56%	12.46%
7	2003-11-08	44.0	@ Celtic	5	2082	78.99%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1734	6.86%	14.15%
8	2004-03-20	44.4	@ Rangers	4	2007	75.54%	Dundee	0	1707	8.49%	15.97%
9	2004-04-17	44.4	@ Rangers	2	2013	82.86%	Partick Thistle	0	1604	5.19%	11.95%
10	2004-02-21	44.5	@ Rangers	3	2028	76.38%	Hibernian	0	1717	8.08%	15.54%
11	2003-09-13	44.6	@ Rangers	4	2029	75.13%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1734	8.69%	16.18%
12	2004-05-01	44.7	@ Rangers	4	2014	74.79%	Motherwell	0	1723	8.86%	16.35%
13	2004-02-11	45.5	@ Rangers	2	2028	79.36%	Kilmarnock	0	1675	6.70%	13.95%
14	2004-01-31	45.6	@ Celtic	5	2127	85.13%	Kilmarnock	1	1677	4.28%	10.58%
15	2003-08-09	46.1	@ Rangers	4	2010	70.15%	Kilmarnock	0	1777	11.33%	18.53%
16	2004-02-29	46.2	@ Celtic	5	2137	83.25%	Livingston	1	1721	5.03%	11.72%
17	2003-11-01	46.6	Celtic	5	2072	70.47%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1736	11.14%	18.39%
18	2003-12-21	46.6	Celtic	2	2099	75.77%	@ Motherwell	0	1697	8.37%	15.85%
19	2003-10-18	46.7	@ Celtic	5	2056	70.00%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1824	11.41%	18.59%
20	2003-11-22	47.5	Celtic	5	2088	78.81%	@ Dundee United	1	1645	6.94%	14.25%
21	2003-12-06	47.6	Celtic	2	2093	72.55%	@ Livingston	0	1733	10.01%	17.44%
22	2004-02-22	47.6	Celtic	4	2135	83.75%	@ Partick Thistle	1	1612	4.83%	11.42%
23	2003-08-30	47.7	@ Celtic	5	2034	77.98%	Livingston	1	1700	7.32%	14.70%
24	2003-08-23	47.9	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1813	63.36%	Dundee United	0	1652	15.49%	21.16%
25	2004-01-24	47.9	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1828	69.25%	Partick Thistle	0	1604	11.84%	18.92%