2004-05 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

93 points · 51st Title

Last Title: 2002-03

Relegated

Dundee

33 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Aberdeen

3.97 points above expected

61 points · 57.03 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Heart of Midlothian

4.09 points below expected

50 points · 54.09 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	27	2	4	83	77	28	+49	75.38	+7.62
2	Rangers	33	25	6	2	81	67	17	+50	72.05	+8.95
3	Hibernian	33	17	5	11	56	56	49	+7	46.34	+9.66
4	Aberdeen	33	15	7	11	52	38	33	+5	42.01	+9.99
5	Heart of Midlothian	33	13	9	11	48	39	33	+6	54.06	-6.06
6	Motherwell	33	12	7	14	43	41	41	0	43.06	-0.06
7	Inverness CT	33	11	9	13	42	39	42	-3	37.43	+4.57
8	Kilmarnock	33	11	3	19	36	39	53	-14	37.45	-1.45
9	Dundee	33	8	7	18	31	34	61	-27	37.23	-6.23
10	Dundee United	33	6	10	17	28	36	55	-19	34.82	-6.82
11	Dunfermline Athletic	33	6	9	18	27	28	54	-26	39.02	-12.02
12	Livingston	33	7	6	20	27	29	57	-28	35.04	-8.04

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rangers Champion	38	29	6	3	93	78	22	+56	93.55	-0.55
2	Celtic	38	30	2	6	92	85	35	+50	91.36	+0.64
3	Hibernian	38	18	7	13	61	64	57	+7	60.94	+0.06
4	Aberdeen	38	18	7	13	61	44	39	+5	57.03	+3.97
5	Heart of Midlothian	38	13	11	14	50	43	41	+2	54.09	-4.09
6	Motherwell	38	13	9	16	48	46	49	-3	48.00	-0.00
7	Kilmarnock	38	15	4	19	49	49	55	-6	48.94	+0.06
8	Inverness CT	38	11	11	16	44	41	47	-6	45.04	-1.04
9	Dundee United	38	8	12	18	36	41	59	-18	37.66	-1.66
10	Livingston	38	9	8	21	35	34	61	-27	34.40	+0.60
11	Dunfermline Athletic	38	8	10	20	34	34	60	-26	33.41	+0.59
12	Dundee Relegated	38	8	9	21	33	37	71	-34	33.23	-0.23

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Aberdeen	61	57.03	+3.97
2	Celtic	92	91.36	+0.64
3	Livingston	35	34.40	+0.60
4	Dunfermline Athletic	34	33.41	+0.59
5	Hibernian	61	60.94	+0.06

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Heart of Midlothian	50	54.09	-4.09
2	Dundee United	36	37.66	-1.66
3	Inverness CT	44	45.04	-1.04
4	Rangers	93	93.55	-0.55
5	Dundee	33	33.23	-0.23

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dundee United	2	Apr 12 – Apr 16	1 in 91
2	Motherwell	5	Nov 13 – Dec 11	1 in 79
3	Rangers	7	Jan 15 – Mar 2	1 in 24
4	Kilmarnock	3	Dec 27 – Jan 15	1 in 19
5	Aberdeen	4	Nov 13 – Dec 4	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Livingston	7	Jan 2 – Feb 19	1 in 67
2	Kilmarnock	5	Nov 20 – Dec 19	1 in 67
3	Motherwell	5	Oct 17 – Nov 6	1 in 44
4	Dundee United	5	Mar 2 – Apr 2	1 in 22
5	Inverness CT	5	Aug 22 – Sep 25	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rangers	27	Sep 12 – Apr 3	1 in 105
2	Inverness CT	6	Jan 22 – Mar 12	1 in 89
3	Aberdeen	6	Aug 7 – Sep 18	1 in 75
4	Dundee United	5	Apr 12 – May 7	1 in 49
5	Hibernian	6	Aug 28 – Oct 16	1 in 38

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Heart of Midlothian	7	Apr 13 – May 22	1 in 37
2	Dunfermline Athletic	10	Feb 19 – Apr 30	1 in 30
3	Aberdeen	8	Dec 11 – Feb 12	1 in 26
4	Motherwell	7	Dec 18 – Feb 15	1 in 24
5	Dundee United	9	Sep 11 – Nov 6	1 in 23

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Rangers	2035	93	+8	12	10.6	+1.4
Celtic	1997	92	-19	9	10.1	-1.1
Aberdeen	1766	61	+24	9	4.9	+4.1
Hibernian	1749	61	+12	5	5.3	-0.3
Heart of Midlothian	1768	50	-25	2	5.9	-3.9
Kilmarnock	1711	49	+58	13	7.2	+5.8
Motherwell	1741	48	+0	5	5.0	-0.0
Inverness CT	1705	44	-36	2	9.0	-7.0
Dundee United	1653	36	+9	8	6.9	+1.1
Livingston	1642	35	+12	8	6.6	+1.4
Dunfermline Athletic	1634	34	+4	7	6.2	+0.8
Dundee	1578	33	-46	2	5.7	-3.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DUN	DU	DA	HOM	HIB	IC	KIL	LIV	MOT	RAN
Aberdeen	—	1-0-3 2.00	0-2-1 5.29	2-1-0 4.49	2-0-1 4.12	1-1-2 4.23	2-0-2 5.39	2-1-0 4.46	3-0-0 4.45	3-0-0 4.92	2-1-1 5.55	0-1-3 2.58
Celtic	3-0-1 9.29	—	2-1-0 7.26	3-0-0 7.22	3-0-0 7.14	3-0-1 8.52	2-1-1 9.04	3-0-0 6.91	3-0-0 6.88	3-0-0 7.27	3-0-1 9.17	2-0-2 6.02
Dundee	1-2-0 3.07	0-1-2 1.26	—	2-1-1 5.49	1-0-3 5.38	0-1-2 2.92	0-1-2 3.39	1-1-2 4.66	2-0-2 5.10	0-2-2 5.49	1-0-2 4.03	0-0-3 1.51
Dundee United	0-1-2 3.85	0-0-3 1.29	1-1-2 5.62	—	0-2-2 5.23	1-1-1 2.63	0-0-3 3.03	2-2-0 5.22	1-1-2 5.28	2-2-0 5.69	0-0-3 3.31	1-2-0 1.22
Dunfermline Athletic	1-0-2 4.22	0-0-3 1.35	3-0-1 5.74	2-2-0 5.89	—	1-1-1 2.96	0-1-2 3.69	0-2-2 5.50	1-0-3 5.09	0-2-2 5.61	0-2-1 3.86	0-0-3 1.52
Heart of Midlothian	2-1-1 6.91	1-0-3 2.69	2-1-0 5.44	1-1-1 5.74	1-1-1 5.39	—	1-2-1 6.39	1-1-1 5.72	2-1-0 5.61	2-1-0 6.10	0-1-3 7.15	0-1-3 3.05
Hibernian	2-0-2 5.72	1-1-2 2.23	2-1-0 4.96	3-0-0 5.33	2-1-0 4.65	1-2-1 4.73	—	2-0-1 4.81	1-0-2 4.71	2-0-1 5.54	2-2-0 5.65	0-0-4 2.48
Inverness CT	0-1-2 3.88	0-0-3 1.55	2-1-1 6.47	0-2-2 5.90	2-2-0 5.61	1-1-1 2.64	1-0-2 3.53	—	1-1-2 5.98	2-0-2 5.74	2-1-0 3.57	0-2-1 1.44
Kilmarnock	0-0-3 3.89	0-0-3 1.58	2-0-2 6.01	2-1-1 5.83	3-0-1 6.02	0-1-2 2.76	2-0-1 3.63	2-1-1 5.14	—	2-0-2 6.25	2-1-0 3.34	0-0-3 1.46
Livingston	0-0-3 3.43	0-0-3 1.25	2-2-0 5.63	0-2-2 5.42	2-2-0 5.50	0-1-2 2.29	1-0-2 2.82	2-0-2 5.38	2-0-2 4.87	—	0-1-2 3.26	0-0-3 1.59
Motherwell	1-1-2 5.57	1-0-3 2.10	2-0-1 4.31	3-0-0 5.03	1-2-0 4.47	3-1-0 3.99	0-2-2 5.46	0-1-2 4.77	0-1-2 5.00	2-1-0 5.09	—	0-0-4 2.36
Rangers	3-1-0 8.64	2-0-2 5.10	3-0-0 6.98	0-2-1 7.31	3-0-0 6.96	3-1-0 8.14	4-0-0 8.75	1-2-0 7.04	3-0-0 7.03	3-0-0 6.88	4-0-0 8.89	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.90	+11.7
Allowed	0.73	-13.1
Differential	0.97	+7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.82%	8.77%	7.46%	4.82%	0.88%	0.66%	27.41%
1	8.77%	13.16%	8.55%	3.07%	1.97%	—	35.53%
2	7.46%	8.55%	2.63%	2.41%	0.66%	0.22%	21.93%
3	4.82%	3.07%	2.41%	—	—	—	10.31%
4	0.88%	1.97%	0.66%	—	0.44%	—	3.95%
5+	0.66%	—	0.22%	—	—	—	0.88%
Total	27.41%	35.53%	21.93%	10.31%	3.95%	0.88%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.31	+0.00
SD	1.15	1.15	1.79
CV	0.88	0.88	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	28.95%
1	15.79%	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	36.84%
2	10.53%	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	39.47%	34.21%	15.79%	7.89%	—	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	1.03	+0.13
SD	0.97	1.15	1.53
CV	0.84	1.12	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.89%	—	—	—	7.89%
1	10.53%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
2	15.79%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	36.84%
3	15.79%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	28.95%
4	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	47.37%	18.42%	28.95%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.24	0.92	+1.32
SD	1.22	1.00	1.73
CV	0.54	1.08	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	10.53%	5.26%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	36.84%
1	7.89%	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	39.47%
2	—	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	36.84%	21.05%	21.05%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.87	-0.89
SD	1.00	1.26	1.67
CV	1.03	0.67	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	23.68%
1	7.89%	28.95%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	47.37%
2	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	26.32%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	50.00%	15.79%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.55	-0.47
SD	0.78	1.20	1.37
CV	0.73	0.77	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	42.11%
1	5.26%	18.42%	15.79%	—	2.63%	—	42.11%
2	—	7.89%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	15.79%	39.47%	28.95%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	1.58	-0.68
SD	1.13	1.27	1.96
CV	1.27	0.80	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	5.26%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
1	10.53%	15.79%	13.16%	—	—	—	39.47%
2	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
3	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.21%	28.95%	31.58%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.13	1.08	+0.05
SD	1.04	0.94	1.54
CV	0.92	0.87	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.89%	—	10.53%	—	—	18.42%
1	5.26%	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	28.95%
2	5.26%	18.42%	7.89%	—	—	—	31.58%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	2.63%	—	13.16%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	44.74%	18.42%	15.79%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.50	+0.18
SD	1.25	1.11	1.89
CV	0.74	0.74	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	28.95%
1	5.26%	21.05%	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	44.74%
2	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	42.11%	21.05%	13.16%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.24	-0.16
SD	0.97	0.97	1.52
CV	0.90	0.78	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.79%	2.63%	10.53%	—	—	28.95%
1	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	34.21%
2	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	26.32%	34.21%	13.16%	21.05%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.45	-0.16
SD	1.21	1.25	1.92
CV	0.94	0.86	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	2.63%	23.68%	2.63%	5.26%	—	42.11%
1	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	36.84%
2	5.26%	—	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	10.53%
3	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	21.05%	31.58%	7.89%	13.16%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	1.61	-0.71
SD	0.98	1.33	1.84
CV	1.10	0.83	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	10.53%	—	—	—	28.95%
1	5.26%	13.16%	10.53%	—	5.26%	—	34.21%
2	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	26.32%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	34.21%	28.95%	5.26%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.29	-0.08
SD	1.04	1.09	1.50
CV	0.86	0.84	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
1	13.16%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	26.32%
2	15.79%	13.16%	—	—	—	—	28.95%
3	10.53%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	18.42%
4	2.63%	10.53%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	50.00%	42.11%	7.89%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.05	0.58	+1.47
SD	1.29	0.64	1.41
CV	0.63	1.11	—
Max	5	2	+5
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rangers	2035	93	72.05	+20.95	91.0%	56	59	67	73	76	82	86
Celtic	1997	92	75.38	+16.62	92.0%	59	64	71	75	80	86	92
Heart of Midlothian	1768	50	54.06	-4.06	19.0%	40	42	49	54	60	65	70
Aberdeen	1766	61	42.01	+18.99	94.0%	24	31	37	42	46	54	61
Hibernian	1749	61	46.34	+14.66	91.0%	32	36	42	46	50	58	64
Motherwell	1741	48	43.06	+4.94	54.0%	27	33	38	43	48	55	60
Kilmarnock	1711	49	37.45	+11.55	41.0%	21	26	33	38	41	48	56
Inverness CT	1705	44	37.43	+6.57	74.0%	15	26	31	37	43	49	61
Dundee United	1653	36	34.82	+1.18	19.0%	15	23	29	34	41	49	54
Livingston	1642	35	35.04	-0.04	13.0%	22	24	30	35	40	45	52
Dunfermline Athletic	1634	34	39.02	-5.02	3.0%	23	30	34	39	43	48	61
Dundee	1578	33	37.23	-4.23	24.0%	20	26	32	37	43	50	54

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+10.53%

No Edge

44.74%21.05%34.21%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 36.71 Elo pts.

198 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.37 goals

Neutral

-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.9

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

38%

Rangers, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.03/gm

Photo Finish

00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.61 * Some Luck: 5.61 to 8.42 * Lucky: 8.42 to 11.22 * Wild Swing: 11.22 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.4 * Close: 1.4 to 2.1 * Off: 2.1 to 2.8 * Way Off: 2.8 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.72 * A Surprise: 0.72 to 1.15 * Several Surprises: 1.15 to 1.58 * Many Surprises: 1.58 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.56 points

Some Luck

07.0118

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.67

01.754

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

94.00%

Aberdeen

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

3.00%

Dunfermline Athletic

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 1

A Surprise

00.71

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 139.86

2.50

Wide Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

66%

Slight Edge

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 94%

91%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Frequent

0%60%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Rare

0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.56

Highly Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.37

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.24

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.12

Weak Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Shaky Favorites

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.51

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.07

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.084

Well Within Noise

00.1120.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Rangers	38.00%	56.00%	6.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	62.00%	38.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	—	—	14.00%	20.00%	25.00%	18.00%	10.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	—	—
Aberdeen	—	—	6.00%	19.00%	14.00%	8.00%	15.00%	10.00%	12.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%
Heart of Midlothian	—	5.00%	56.00%	17.00%	7.00%	9.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	—	11.00%	14.00%	14.00%	13.00%	13.00%	13.00%	6.00%	9.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Kilmarnock	—	—	1.00%	7.00%	4.00%	7.00%	11.00%	12.00%	20.00%	11.00%	14.00%	13.00%
Inverness CT	—	1.00%	1.00%	7.00%	10.00%	9.00%	7.00%	12.00%	12.00%	13.00%	17.00%	11.00%
Dundee United	—	—	—	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	5.00%	8.00%	6.00%	16.00%	17.00%	26.00%
Livingston	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	14.00%	13.00%	13.00%	17.00%	21.00%
Dunfermline Athletic	—	—	3.00%	4.00%	8.00%	11.00%	15.00%	14.00%	9.00%	17.00%	14.00%	5.00%
Dundee	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	12.00%	10.00%	10.00%	19.00%	10.00%	9.00%	19.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Rangers	71.85%	28.15%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	28.15%	71.85%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	—	—	79.54%	18.47%	1.99%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	—	—	16.91%	59.29%	23.19%	0.61%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	3.52%	21.60%	67.01%	7.87%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	—	0.03%	0.64%	7.81%	91.52%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	—	—	—	80.98%	18.64%	0.38%	—	—	—
Inverness CT	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.72%	73.45%	6.94%	0.84%	0.05%	—
Dundee United	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.30%	6.26%	55.66%	22.87%	11.33%	3.58%
Livingston	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.90%	17.00%	32.50%	28.44%	21.16%
Dunfermline Athletic	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.37%	11.18%	23.68%	30.44%	34.33%
Dundee	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.38%	8.84%	20.11%	29.74%	40.93%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Celtic	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Hibernian	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
Motherwell	98.00%	2.00%
Aberdeen	97.00%	3.00%
Dunfermline Athletic	92.00%	8.00%
Inverness CT	91.00%	9.00%
Kilmarnock	89.00%	11.00%
Dundee	81.00%	19.00%
Livingston	80.00%	20.00%
Dundee United	72.00%	28.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—
Celtic	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Hibernian	100%	—
Inverness CT	100%	—
Kilmarnock	100%	—
Motherwell	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
Dundee United	96.42%	3.58%
Livingston	78.84%	21.16%
Dunfermline Athletic	65.67%	34.33%
Dundee	59.07%	40.93%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2004-08-07	Dundee United	D 1-1	74.0	1731	1706	47.67%	22.08%	30.25%	+0.31	-0.8	1
2004-08-07	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	74.0	1706	1731	30.25%	22.08%	47.67%	-0.31	+0.8	1
2004-08-07	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	58.6	1716	1806	31.87%	22.17%	45.96%	-0.27	-7.5	0
2004-08-07	@ Dundee	W 1-0	58.6	1806	1716	45.96%	22.17%	31.87%	+0.27	+7.5	3
2004-08-07	Inverness CT	W 3-0	52.1	1707	1690	46.58%	22.14%	31.28%	+0.27	+20.1	3
2004-08-07	@ Livingston	L 0-3	52.1	1690	1707	31.28%	22.14%	46.58%	-0.27	-20.1	0
2004-08-07	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	61.8	1697	1696	44.39%	22.23%	33.38%	+0.19	-9.7	0
2004-08-07	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	61.8	1696	1697	33.38%	22.23%	44.39%	-0.19	+9.7	3
2004-08-07	Rangers	D 0-0	70.0	1666	1896	17.35%	20.24%	62.40%	-0.98	+2.5	1
2004-08-07	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	70.0	1896	1666	62.40%	20.24%	17.35%	+0.98	-2.5	1
2004-08-08	Motherwell	W 2-0	47.4	1964	1703	71.69%	17.68%	10.63%	+1.50	+5.0	3
2004-08-08	@ Celtic	L 0-2	47.4	1703	1964	10.63%	17.68%	71.69%	-1.50	-5.0	0
2004-08-14	Aberdeen	D 0-0	69.7	1813	1668	61.59%	20.41%	18.01%	+0.92	-2.4	4
2004-08-14	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	69.7	1668	1813	18.01%	20.41%	61.59%	-0.92	+2.4	2
2004-08-14	Celtic	L 2-4	59.6	1706	1969	14.93%	19.52%	65.55%	-1.15	-5.5	3
2004-08-14	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-2	59.6	1969	1706	65.55%	19.52%	14.93%	+1.15	+5.5	6
2004-08-14	Hibernian	L 1-2	68.4	1698	1687	45.78%	22.18%	32.04%	+0.24	-9.4	0
2004-08-14	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	68.4	1687	1698	32.04%	22.18%	45.78%	-0.24	+9.4	3
2004-08-14	Livingston	W 4-0	47.7	1893	1728	63.63%	19.98%	16.39%	+1.02	+14.7	4
2004-08-14	@ Rangers	L 0-4	47.7	1728	1893	16.39%	19.98%	63.63%	-1.02	-14.7	3
2004-08-15	Dundee	L 1-2	68.1	1707	1709	43.92%	22.25%	33.84%	+0.17	-9.1	1
2004-08-15	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	68.1	1709	1707	33.84%	22.25%	43.92%	-0.17	+9.1	3
2004-08-15	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	57.4	1670	1730	35.79%	22.30%	41.91%	-0.12	+17.5	3
2004-08-15	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	57.4	1730	1670	41.91%	22.30%	35.79%	+0.12	-17.5	1
2004-08-21	Aberdeen	L 0-1	63.3	1713	1671	49.83%	21.94%	28.23%	+0.40	-10.7	1
2004-08-21	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	63.3	1671	1713	28.23%	21.94%	49.83%	-0.40	+10.7	5
2004-08-21	Dundee United	D 1-1	73.9	1713	1697	46.34%	22.15%	31.51%	+0.26	-0.7	4
2004-08-21	@ Livingston	D 1-1	73.9	1697	1713	31.51%	22.15%	46.34%	-0.26	+0.7	2
2004-08-21	Hibernian	W 4-1	52.0	1908	1697	67.76%	18.93%	13.31%	+1.26	+7.7	7
2004-08-21	@ Rangers	L 1-4	52.0	1697	1908	13.31%	18.93%	67.76%	-1.26	-7.7	3
2004-08-21	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	49.2	1811	1700	58.00%	21.03%	20.97%	+0.75	+14.2	7
2004-08-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	49.2	1700	1811	20.97%	21.03%	58.00%	-0.75	-14.2	3
2004-08-21	Motherwell	L 1-2	69.3	1718	1689	48.17%	22.05%	29.78%	+0.33	-9.8	3
2004-08-21	@ Dundee	W 2-1	69.3	1689	1718	29.78%	22.05%	48.17%	-0.33	+9.8	3
2004-08-22	Celtic	L 1-3	55.1	1688	1974	13.42%	18.97%	67.61%	-1.26	-5.5	3
2004-08-22	@ Inverness CT	W 3-1	55.1	1974	1688	67.61%	18.97%	13.42%	+1.26	+5.5	9
2004-08-28	Dundee	D 4-4	85.4	1689	1708	41.54%	22.30%	36.15%	+0.09	-0.1	4
2004-08-28	@ Hibernian	D 4-4	85.4	1708	1689	36.15%	22.30%	41.54%	-0.09	+0.1	4
2004-08-28	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	60.4	1699	1825	27.36%	21.86%	50.78%	-0.45	+20.5	6
2004-08-28	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	60.4	1825	1699	50.78%	21.86%	27.36%	+0.45	-20.5	7
2004-08-28	Inverness CT	W 2-1	64.1	1698	1682	46.43%	22.15%	31.43%	+0.27	+6.9	5
2004-08-28	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	64.1	1682	1698	31.43%	22.15%	46.43%	-0.27	-6.9	3
2004-08-28	Livingston	W 2-0	56.1	1682	1712	39.96%	22.32%	37.72%	+0.03	+16.1	8
2004-08-28	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	56.1	1712	1682	37.72%	22.32%	39.96%	-0.03	-16.1	4
2004-08-29	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	59.2	1686	1702	42.00%	22.29%	35.70%	+0.10	+8.2	6
2004-08-29	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	59.2	1702	1686	35.70%	22.29%	42.00%	-0.10	-8.2	1
2004-08-29	Rangers	W 1-0	57.0	1980	1916	52.59%	21.70%	25.71%	+0.51	+6.2	12
2004-08-29	@ Celtic	L 0-1	57.0	1916	1980	25.71%	21.70%	52.59%	-0.51	-6.2	7
2004-09-11	Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.8	1705	1698	45.28%	22.20%	32.52%	+0.22	-0.6	6
2004-09-11	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	73.8	1698	1705	32.52%	22.20%	45.28%	-0.22	+0.6	9
2004-09-11	Dundee	W 3-0	45.0	1986	1708	72.96%	17.22%	9.82%	+1.59	+6.7	15
2004-09-11	@ Celtic	L 0-3	45.0	1708	1986	9.82%	17.22%	72.96%	-1.59	-6.7	4
2004-09-11	Hibernian	L 1-2	67.3	1675	1689	42.38%	22.29%	35.33%	+0.12	-8.8	3
2004-09-11	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	67.3	1689	1675	35.33%	22.29%	42.38%	-0.12	+8.8	7
2004-09-11	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	58.0	1696	1694	44.53%	22.23%	33.25%	+0.20	-18.3	4
2004-09-11	@ Livingston	W 2-0	58.0	1694	1696	33.25%	22.23%	44.53%	-0.20	+18.4	9
2004-09-11	Motherwell	D 1-1	73.8	1694	1719	40.70%	22.31%	36.98%	+0.06	-0.2	2
2004-09-11	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	73.8	1719	1694	36.98%	22.31%	40.70%	-0.06	+0.2	7
2004-09-12	Rangers	D 0-0	69.7	1805	1910	29.91%	22.06%	48.04%	-0.35	+1.0	8
2004-09-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	69.7	1910	1805	48.04%	22.06%	29.91%	+0.35	-1.0	8
2004-09-18	Aberdeen	L 0-1	62.4	1712	1698	46.19%	22.16%	31.65%	+0.26	-10.0	9
2004-09-18	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	62.4	1698	1712	31.65%	22.16%	46.19%	-0.26	+10.0	12
2004-09-18	Dundee United	W 4-2	64.7	1719	1705	46.28%	22.15%	31.56%	+0.26	+10.8	10
2004-09-18	@ Motherwell	L 2-4	64.7	1705	1719	31.56%	22.15%	46.28%	-0.26	-10.8	6
2004-09-18	Livingston	D 0-0	68.7	1702	1678	47.50%	22.09%	30.41%	+0.31	-0.9	5
2004-09-18	@ Dundee	D 0-0	68.7	1678	1702	30.41%	22.09%	47.50%	-0.31	+0.9	5
2004-09-19	Celtic	D 2-2	82.2	1698	1993	12.90%	18.76%	68.33%	-1.31	+2.1	8
2004-09-19	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	82.2	1993	1698	68.33%	18.76%	12.90%	+1.31	-2.1	16
2004-09-19	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	63.6	1694	1805	29.08%	22.00%	48.92%	-0.38	+10.5	5
2004-09-19	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	63.6	1805	1694	48.92%	22.00%	29.08%	+0.38	-10.5	8
2004-09-19	Inverness CT	W 1-0	51.4	1909	1666	70.28%	18.16%	11.56%	+1.41	+2.9	11
2004-09-19	@ Rangers	L 0-1	51.4	1666	1909	11.56%	18.16%	70.28%	-1.41	-2.9	3
2004-09-25	Dundee United	W 5-2	60.2	1702	1694	45.44%	22.19%	32.37%	+0.23	+15.1	12
2004-09-25	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-5	60.2	1694	1702	32.37%	22.19%	45.44%	-0.23	-15.1	6
2004-09-25	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	44.9	1991	1704	73.58%	16.98%	9.43%	+1.63	+6.4	19
2004-09-25	@ Celtic	L 0-3	44.9	1704	1991	9.43%	16.98%	73.58%	-1.63	-6.4	5
2004-09-25	Hibernian	L 0-1	62.2	1708	1700	45.43%	22.19%	32.38%	+0.23	-9.9	12
2004-09-25	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	62.2	1700	1708	32.38%	22.19%	45.43%	-0.23	+9.9	11
2004-09-25	Inverness CT	W 1-0	54.1	1795	1664	60.21%	20.66%	19.13%	+0.85	+4.8	11
2004-09-25	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	54.1	1664	1795	19.13%	20.66%	60.21%	-0.85	-4.8	3
2004-09-25	Motherwell	L 2-3	71.5	1679	1730	36.95%	22.31%	40.73%	-0.08	-7.5	5
2004-09-25	@ Livingston	W 3-2	71.5	1730	1679	40.73%	22.31%	36.95%	+0.08	+7.5	13
2004-09-26	Rangers	L 0-2	50.7	1701	1911	18.93%	20.62%	60.45%	-0.88	-8.9	5
2004-09-26	@ Dundee	W 2-0	50.7	1911	1701	60.45%	20.62%	18.93%	+0.88	+8.9	14
2004-10-02	Dundee	D 1-1	73.7	1698	1692	45.13%	22.20%	32.67%	+0.22	-0.6	13
2004-10-02	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.7	1692	1698	32.67%	22.20%	45.13%	-0.22	+0.6	6
2004-10-02	Hibernian	D 1-1	73.8	1698	1710	42.64%	22.28%	35.08%	+0.13	-0.4	6
2004-10-02	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	73.8	1710	1698	35.08%	22.28%	42.64%	-0.13	+0.3	12
2004-10-03	Celtic	L 0-3	45.8	1679	1997	11.60%	18.18%	70.22%	-1.43	-8.0	6
2004-10-03	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	45.8	1997	1679	70.22%	18.18%	11.60%	+1.43	+7.9	22
2004-10-03	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	48.8	1920	1717	67.02%	19.14%	13.84%	+1.21	+6.6	17
2004-10-03	@ Rangers	L 0-2	48.8	1717	1920	13.84%	19.14%	67.02%	-1.21	-6.6	12
2004-10-03	Livingston	D 0-0	69.6	1800	1671	59.92%	20.72%	19.37%	+0.84	-2.2	12
2004-10-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	69.6	1671	1800	19.37%	20.72%	59.92%	-0.84	+2.2	6
2004-10-03	Motherwell	D 1-1	73.8	1659	1738	33.22%	22.23%	44.55%	-0.21	+0.5	4
2004-10-03	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	73.8	1738	1659	44.55%	22.23%	33.22%	+0.21	-0.5	14
2004-10-16	Aberdeen	L 1-3	62.6	1659	1698	38.83%	22.32%	38.85%	-0.01	-14.2	4
2004-10-16	@ Inverness CT	W 3-1	62.6	1698	1659	38.85%	22.32%	38.83%	+0.01	+14.2	16
2004-10-16	Dundee United	W 2-0	53.1	1710	1671	49.47%	21.96%	28.56%	+0.38	+12.8	15
2004-10-16	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	53.1	1671	1710	28.56%	21.96%	49.47%	-0.38	-12.8	6
2004-10-16	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	55.6	1673	1698	40.87%	22.31%	36.82%	+0.06	+15.8	9
2004-10-16	@ Livingston	L 0-2	55.6	1698	1673	36.82%	22.31%	40.87%	-0.06	-15.8	6
2004-10-16	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	46.8	2005	1797	67.41%	19.03%	13.56%	+1.24	+9.3	25
2004-10-16	@ Celtic	L 0-3	46.8	1797	2005	13.56%	19.03%	67.41%	-1.24	-9.3	12
2004-10-16	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	62.1	1693	1711	41.69%	22.30%	36.01%	+0.09	+13.4	9
2004-10-16	@ Dundee	L 1-3	62.1	1711	1693	36.01%	22.30%	41.69%	-0.09	-13.4	12
2004-10-17	Rangers	L 0-2	51.4	1737	1927	20.78%	20.99%	58.23%	-0.77	-9.7	14
2004-10-17	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	51.4	1927	1737	58.23%	20.99%	20.78%	+0.77	+9.7	20
2004-10-23	Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	68.9	1706	1682	47.52%	22.09%	30.40%	+0.31	-9.7	9
2004-10-23	@ Dundee	W 2-1	68.9	1682	1706	30.40%	22.09%	47.52%	-0.31	+9.7	9
2004-10-23	Inverness CT	D 2-2	79.9	1697	1645	51.16%	21.83%	27.01%	+0.45	-0.8	13
2004-10-23	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	79.9	1645	1697	27.01%	21.83%	51.16%	-0.45	+0.9	5
2004-10-23	Motherwell	W 2-1	65.8	1712	1728	42.10%	22.29%	35.61%	+0.11	+7.7	19
2004-10-23	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	65.8	1728	1712	35.61%	22.29%	42.10%	-0.11	-7.7	14
2004-10-24	Celtic	L 2-4	58.0	1689	2014	11.24%	18.00%	70.75%	-1.46	-4.1	9
2004-10-24	@ Livingston	W 4-2	58.0	2014	1689	70.75%	18.00%	11.24%	+1.46	+4.1	28
2004-10-24	Dundee United	D 1-1	76.0	1937	1658	73.05%	17.19%	9.77%	+1.60	-3.3	21
2004-10-24	@ Rangers	D 1-1	76.0	1658	1937	9.77%	17.19%	73.05%	-1.60	+3.2	7
2004-10-24	Hibernian	W 2-1	62.9	1788	1723	52.76%	21.68%	25.56%	+0.52	+5.8	15
2004-10-24	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	62.9	1723	1788	25.56%	21.68%	52.76%	-0.52	-5.8	15
2004-10-27	Aberdeen	L 2-3	81.8	2018	1720	74.45%	16.64%	8.91%	+1.70	-13.6	28
2004-10-27	@ Celtic	W 3-2	81.8	1720	2018	8.91%	16.64%	74.45%	-1.70	+13.6	22
2004-10-27	Dundee	W 2-1	66.5	1646	1696	37.14%	22.32%	40.55%	-0.07	+8.5	8
2004-10-27	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	66.5	1696	1646	40.55%	22.32%	37.14%	+0.07	-8.5	9
2004-10-27	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	74.2	1661	1794	26.60%	21.79%	51.60%	-0.49	+1.2	8
2004-10-27	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	74.2	1794	1661	51.60%	21.79%	26.60%	+0.49	-1.2	16
2004-10-27	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	62.8	1720	1697	47.39%	22.10%	30.51%	+0.30	-10.2	14
2004-10-27	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	62.8	1697	1720	30.51%	22.10%	47.39%	-0.30	+10.2	16
2004-10-27	Livingston	W 2-1	63.6	1717	1685	48.52%	22.03%	29.45%	+0.35	+6.6	18
2004-10-27	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	63.6	1685	1717	29.45%	22.03%	48.52%	-0.35	-6.6	9
2004-10-27	Rangers	L 1-2	59.9	1691	1933	16.44%	19.99%	63.57%	-1.04	-3.9	9
2004-10-27	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	59.9	1933	1691	63.57%	19.99%	16.44%	+1.04	+3.9	24
2004-10-30	Celtic	L 2-3	64.0	1710	2005	12.91%	18.76%	68.33%	-1.31	-2.9	14
2004-10-30	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	64.0	2005	1710	68.33%	18.76%	12.91%	+1.31	+2.9	31
2004-10-30	Dundee	W 3-0	49.3	1793	1688	57.37%	21.12%	21.51%	+0.72	+14.5	19
2004-10-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	49.3	1688	1793	21.51%	21.12%	57.37%	-0.72	-14.5	9
2004-10-30	Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	66.7	1662	1688	40.72%	22.31%	36.97%	+0.06	-8.5	8
2004-10-30	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	66.7	1688	1662	36.97%	22.31%	40.72%	-0.06	+8.5	12
2004-10-30	Hibernian	W 3-1	62.2	1707	1723	41.95%	22.30%	35.75%	+0.10	+13.3	19
2004-10-30	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	62.2	1723	1707	35.75%	22.30%	41.95%	-0.10	-13.3	18
2004-10-30	Livingston	W 2-0	55.3	1654	1678	40.90%	22.31%	36.79%	+0.06	+15.8	11
2004-10-30	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	55.3	1678	1654	36.79%	22.31%	40.90%	-0.06	-15.8	9
2004-10-31	Aberdeen	W 5-0	47.5	1937	1733	67.11%	19.11%	13.78%	+1.22	+15.3	27
2004-10-31	@ Rangers	L 0-5	47.5	1733	1937	13.78%	19.11%	67.11%	-1.22	-15.3	22
2004-11-06	Dundee United	W 1-0	57.1	1673	1654	46.89%	22.12%	30.99%	+0.28	+7.3	12
2004-11-06	@ Dundee	L 0-1	57.1	1654	1673	30.99%	22.12%	46.89%	-0.28	-7.3	8
2004-11-06	Inverness CT	D 1-1	73.6	1696	1670	47.75%	22.08%	30.17%	+0.32	-0.8	13
2004-11-06	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	73.6	1670	1696	30.17%	22.08%	47.75%	-0.32	+0.8	12
2004-11-06	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	56.9	2008	1720	73.66%	16.95%	9.39%	+1.64	+2.2	34
2004-11-06	@ Celtic	L 1-2	56.9	1720	2008	9.39%	16.95%	73.66%	-1.64	-2.2	19
2004-11-06	Motherwell	W 1-0	58.5	1710	1707	44.72%	22.22%	33.06%	+0.20	+7.7	21
2004-11-06	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	58.5	1707	1710	33.06%	22.22%	44.72%	-0.20	-7.7	14
2004-11-07	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	58.6	1718	1807	31.88%	22.17%	45.95%	-0.27	-7.5	22
2004-11-07	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	58.6	1807	1718	45.95%	22.17%	31.88%	+0.27	+7.5	22
2004-11-07	Rangers	L 1-4	51.9	1663	1953	13.22%	18.89%	67.89%	-1.28	-7.7	9
2004-11-07	@ Livingston	W 4-1	51.9	1953	1663	67.89%	18.89%	13.22%	+1.28	+7.7	30
2004-11-13	Dundee	W 3-0	51.9	1699	1680	46.77%	22.13%	31.10%	+0.28	+20.0	17
2004-11-13	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	51.9	1680	1699	31.10%	22.13%	46.77%	-0.28	-20.0	12
2004-11-13	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	64.3	1711	1695	46.34%	22.15%	31.51%	+0.26	+7.0	25
2004-11-13	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	64.3	1695	1711	31.51%	22.15%	46.34%	-0.26	-7.0	13
2004-11-13	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	74.4	1718	1815	30.93%	22.12%	46.95%	-0.30	+0.7	20
2004-11-13	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	74.4	1815	1718	46.95%	22.12%	30.93%	+0.30	-0.8	23
2004-11-13	Inverness CT	W 3-0	43.8	2010	1671	77.10%	15.52%	7.39%	+1.90	+4.9	37
2004-11-13	@ Celtic	L 0-3	43.8	1671	2010	7.39%	15.52%	77.10%	-1.90	-4.9	12
2004-11-13	Livingston	W 1-0	58.0	1646	1655	43.08%	22.27%	34.65%	+0.14	+8.0	11
2004-11-13	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	58.0	1655	1646	34.65%	22.27%	43.08%	-0.14	-8.0	9
2004-11-14	Rangers	L 0-1	53.6	1718	1960	16.40%	19.98%	63.62%	-1.04	-4.1	21
2004-11-14	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	53.6	1960	1718	63.62%	19.98%	16.40%	+1.04	+4.1	33
2004-11-20	Aberdeen	L 0-2	54.8	1647	1718	34.36%	22.26%	43.38%	-0.17	-14.9	9
2004-11-20	@ Livingston	W 2-0	54.8	1718	1647	43.38%	22.26%	34.36%	+0.17	+14.9	28
2004-11-20	Celtic	W 2-0	57.9	1964	2015	37.14%	22.32%	40.54%	-0.07	+17.0	36
2004-11-20	@ Rangers	L 0-2	57.9	2015	1964	40.54%	22.32%	37.14%	+0.07	-17.0	37
2004-11-20	Hibernian	L 1-4	59.1	1660	1714	36.74%	22.31%	40.95%	-0.08	-19.3	12
2004-11-20	@ Dundee	W 4-1	59.1	1714	1660	40.95%	22.31%	36.74%	+0.08	+19.3	24
2004-11-20	Kilmarnock	W 4-1	59.6	1688	1719	39.98%	22.32%	37.70%	+0.03	+19.7	16
2004-11-20	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-4	59.6	1719	1688	37.70%	22.32%	39.98%	-0.03	-19.7	20
2004-11-20	Motherwell	L 0-1	65.7	1814	1719	56.24%	21.28%	22.48%	+0.67	-11.9	23
2004-11-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	65.7	1719	1814	22.48%	21.28%	56.24%	-0.67	+11.9	20
2004-11-23	Dundee United	D 1-1	73.1	1666	1654	45.84%	22.17%	31.99%	+0.24	-0.6	13
2004-11-23	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	73.1	1654	1666	31.99%	22.17%	45.84%	-0.24	+0.6	12
2004-11-27	Dundee United	W 1-0	55.5	1732	1655	54.20%	21.53%	24.27%	+0.58	+5.9	31
2004-11-27	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	55.5	1655	1732	24.27%	21.53%	54.20%	-0.58	-5.9	12
2004-11-27	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	64.2	1731	1708	47.35%	22.10%	30.55%	+0.30	+6.8	23
2004-11-27	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	64.2	1708	1731	30.55%	22.10%	47.35%	-0.30	-6.8	16
2004-11-27	Inverness CT	W 2-1	62.2	1733	1665	53.01%	21.66%	25.33%	+0.53	+5.8	27
2004-11-27	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	62.2	1665	1733	25.33%	21.66%	53.01%	-0.53	-5.8	13
2004-11-27	Livingston	L 1-3	66.4	1699	1632	52.95%	21.66%	25.38%	+0.53	-18.4	20
2004-11-27	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	66.4	1632	1699	25.38%	21.66%	52.95%	-0.53	+18.4	12
2004-11-28	Celtic	D 2-2	82.6	1641	1998	9.73%	17.17%	73.11%	-1.62	+2.4	13
2004-11-28	@ Dundee	D 2-2	82.6	1998	1641	73.11%	17.17%	9.73%	+1.62	-2.4	38
2004-11-28	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-2	65.0	1981	1802	64.90%	19.68%	15.42%	+1.09	+3.5	39
2004-11-28	@ Rangers	L 2-3	65.0	1802	1981	15.42%	19.68%	64.90%	-1.09	-3.5	23
2004-12-04	Dundee	W 1-0	57.3	1651	1644	45.20%	22.20%	32.60%	+0.22	+7.6	15
2004-12-04	@ Livingston	L 0-1	57.3	1644	1651	32.60%	22.20%	45.20%	-0.22	-7.6	13
2004-12-04	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	49.6	1799	1701	56.52%	21.24%	22.24%	+0.68	+15.0	26
2004-12-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	49.6	1701	1799	22.24%	21.24%	56.52%	-0.68	-15.0	16
2004-12-04	Hibernian	W 2-1	57.6	1995	1739	71.39%	17.79%	10.83%	+1.48	+2.5	41
2004-12-04	@ Celtic	L 1-2	57.6	1739	1995	10.83%	17.79%	71.39%	-1.48	-2.5	27
2004-12-04	Kilmarnock	W 3-2	68.2	1738	1681	51.81%	21.77%	26.41%	+0.48	+5.7	34
2004-12-04	@ Aberdeen	L 2-3	68.2	1681	1738	26.41%	21.77%	51.81%	-0.48	-5.7	20
2004-12-04	Motherwell	L 0-1	58.0	1649	1738	31.98%	22.17%	45.85%	-0.26	-7.5	12
2004-12-04	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	58.0	1738	1649	45.85%	22.17%	31.98%	+0.26	+7.5	26
2004-12-05	Rangers	D 1-1	75.8	1660	1985	11.24%	18.00%	70.76%	-1.46	+3.0	14
2004-12-05	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	75.8	1985	1660	70.76%	18.00%	11.24%	+1.46	-3.1	40
2004-12-11	Aberdeen	W 2-1	65.6	1736	1744	43.16%	22.27%	34.57%	+0.15	+7.5	30
2004-12-11	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	65.6	1744	1736	34.57%	22.27%	43.16%	-0.15	-7.5	34
2004-12-11	Dundee	W 3-0	43.6	1982	1636	77.53%	15.32%	7.15%	+1.94	+4.7	43
2004-12-11	@ Rangers	L 0-3	43.6	1636	1982	7.15%	15.32%	77.53%	-1.94	-4.7	13
2004-12-11	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	74.4	1663	1814	24.62%	21.57%	53.80%	-0.58	+1.4	15
2004-12-11	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	74.4	1814	1663	53.80%	21.57%	24.62%	+0.58	-1.4	27
2004-12-11	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	53.5	1642	1675	39.58%	22.32%	38.10%	+0.02	+23.5	15
2004-12-11	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	53.5	1675	1642	38.10%	22.32%	39.58%	-0.02	-23.5	20
2004-12-11	Livingston	W 2-0	51.5	1745	1658	55.33%	21.40%	23.27%	+0.63	+10.8	29
2004-12-11	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	51.5	1658	1745	23.27%	21.40%	55.33%	-0.63	-10.8	15
2004-12-12	Celtic	L 0-2	48.0	1686	1998	11.97%	18.35%	69.68%	-1.39	-5.7	16
2004-12-12	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	48.0	1998	1686	69.68%	18.35%	11.97%	+1.39	+5.7	44
2004-12-18	Aberdeen	W 1-0	62.6	1631	1737	29.87%	22.06%	48.08%	-0.35	+10.4	16
2004-12-18	@ Dundee	L 0-1	62.6	1737	1631	48.08%	22.06%	29.87%	+0.35	-10.4	34
2004-12-18	Dundee United	W 1-0	49.5	2003	1665	77.06%	15.54%	7.41%	+1.90	+1.8	47
2004-12-18	@ Celtic	L 0-1	49.5	1665	2003	7.41%	15.54%	77.06%	-1.90	-1.8	15
2004-12-18	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	62.6	1744	1681	52.48%	21.71%	25.81%	+0.51	+5.9	33
2004-12-18	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	62.6	1681	1744	25.81%	21.71%	52.48%	-0.51	-5.9	16
2004-12-18	Inverness CT	L 1-2	71.4	1756	1664	55.88%	21.33%	22.79%	+0.65	-11.2	29
2004-12-18	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	71.4	1664	1756	22.79%	21.33%	55.88%	-0.65	+11.2	18
2004-12-19	Rangers	L 0-1	51.2	1651	1986	10.74%	17.74%	71.52%	-1.51	-2.7	20
2004-12-19	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	51.2	1986	1651	71.52%	17.74%	10.74%	+1.51	+2.7	46
2004-12-26	Celtic	L 0-2	51.4	1812	2005	20.48%	20.94%	58.58%	-0.79	-9.6	27
2004-12-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	51.4	2005	1812	58.58%	20.94%	20.48%	+0.79	+9.6	50
2004-12-27	Dundee	W 3-1	59.9	1649	1642	45.22%	22.20%	32.58%	+0.22	+12.4	23
2004-12-27	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	59.9	1642	1649	32.58%	22.20%	45.22%	-0.22	-12.4	16
2004-12-27	Hibernian	L 1-4	58.0	1663	1750	32.29%	22.19%	45.52%	-0.25	-17.4	15
2004-12-27	@ Dundee United	W 4-1	58.0	1750	1663	45.52%	22.19%	32.29%	+0.25	+17.4	36
2004-12-27	Inverness CT	D 0-0	68.9	1726	1675	50.97%	21.85%	27.19%	+0.44	-1.3	35
2004-12-27	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	68.9	1675	1726	27.19%	21.85%	50.97%	-0.44	+1.3	19
2004-12-27	Livingston	D 0-0	68.1	1675	1647	47.93%	22.06%	30.00%	+0.32	-0.9	17
2004-12-27	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	68.1	1647	1675	30.00%	22.06%	47.93%	-0.32	+1.0	16
2004-12-27	Motherwell	W 4-1	51.3	1989	1745	70.45%	18.10%	11.45%	+1.42	+6.6	49
2004-12-27	@ Rangers	L 1-4	51.3	1745	1989	11.45%	18.10%	70.45%	-1.42	-6.6	29
2005-01-01	Dundee	W 3-1	58.6	1674	1629	50.14%	21.91%	27.94%	+0.41	+10.9	20
2005-01-01	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-3	58.6	1629	1674	27.94%	21.91%	50.14%	-0.41	-10.9	16
2005-01-01	Rangers	D 1-1	76.0	1646	1996	10.04%	17.35%	72.61%	-1.58	+3.2	16
2005-01-01	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	76.0	1996	1646	72.61%	17.35%	10.04%	+1.58	-3.2	50
2005-01-02	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	74.4	1767	1803	39.23%	22.32%	38.45%	+0.01	-0.0	37
2005-01-02	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	74.4	1803	1767	38.45%	22.32%	39.23%	-0.01	+0.0	28
2005-01-02	Livingston	W 2-1	55.3	2015	1648	78.78%	14.74%	6.48%	+2.04	+1.5	53
2005-01-02	@ Celtic	L 1-2	55.3	1648	2015	6.48%	14.74%	78.78%	-2.04	-1.5	16
2005-01-03	Aberdeen	D 0-0	69.1	1738	1725	46.05%	22.16%	31.78%	+0.25	-0.8	30
2005-01-03	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	69.1	1725	1738	31.78%	22.16%	46.05%	-0.25	+0.7	36
2005-01-03	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	58.1	1677	1661	46.35%	22.15%	31.50%	+0.26	-19.0	19
2005-01-03	@ Inverness CT	W 2-0	58.1	1661	1677	31.50%	22.15%	46.35%	-0.26	+19.0	26
2005-01-15	Dundee United	W 3-2	65.2	1803	1649	62.44%	20.23%	17.33%	+0.96	+3.9	31
2005-01-15	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	65.2	1649	1803	17.33%	20.23%	62.44%	-0.96	-3.9	16
2005-01-15	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	44.4	1993	1685	75.08%	16.39%	8.53%	+1.74	+5.7	53
2005-01-15	@ Rangers	L 0-3	44.4	1685	1993	8.53%	16.39%	75.08%	-1.74	-5.7	20
2005-01-15	Hibernian	L 0-2	53.2	1647	1767	28.08%	21.93%	49.99%	-0.42	-12.6	16
2005-01-15	@ Livingston	W 2-0	53.2	1767	1647	49.99%	21.93%	28.08%	+0.42	+12.6	40
2005-01-15	Inverness CT	W 3-1	61.7	1618	1658	38.73%	22.32%	38.95%	-0.01	+14.3	19
2005-01-15	@ Dundee	L 1-3	61.7	1658	1618	38.95%	22.32%	38.73%	+0.01	-14.3	19
2005-01-15	Motherwell	W 2-0	57.4	1680	1737	36.17%	22.30%	41.53%	-0.10	+17.3	29
2005-01-15	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	57.4	1737	1680	41.53%	22.30%	36.17%	+0.10	-17.3	30
2005-01-16	Celtic	L 0-1	52.3	1726	2016	13.18%	18.88%	67.95%	-1.28	-3.3	36
2005-01-16	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	52.3	2016	1726	67.95%	18.88%	13.18%	+1.28	+3.3	56
2005-01-22	Dundee United	D 1-1	73.2	1679	1645	48.74%	22.01%	29.24%	+0.36	-0.9	21
2005-01-22	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	73.2	1645	1679	29.24%	22.01%	48.74%	-0.36	+0.9	17
2005-01-22	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	74.3	1633	1807	22.28%	21.25%	56.48%	-0.69	+1.7	20
2005-01-22	@ Dundee	D 1-1	74.3	1807	1633	56.48%	21.25%	22.28%	+0.69	-1.7	32
2005-01-22	Inverness CT	L 1-4	59.9	1634	1643	42.99%	22.27%	34.73%	+0.14	-21.8	16
2005-01-22	@ Livingston	W 4-1	59.9	1643	1634	34.73%	22.27%	42.99%	-0.14	+21.8	22
2005-01-22	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	50.1	1780	1697	54.75%	21.47%	23.78%	+0.60	+15.9	43
2005-01-22	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	50.1	1697	1780	23.78%	21.47%	54.75%	-0.60	-15.9	29
2005-01-22	Motherwell	W 2-0	46.6	2020	1720	74.51%	16.62%	8.87%	+1.70	+4.1	59
2005-01-22	@ Celtic	L 0-2	46.6	1720	2020	8.87%	16.62%	74.51%	-1.70	-4.1	30
2005-01-23	Rangers	L 1-2	59.0	1722	1998	14.09%	19.23%	66.68%	-1.21	-3.3	36
2005-01-23	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	59.0	1998	1722	66.68%	19.23%	14.09%	+1.21	+3.3	56
2005-01-25	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	60.7	1612	1805	20.52%	20.95%	58.54%	-0.79	-4.8	16
2005-01-25	@ Livingston	W 2-1	60.7	1805	1612	58.54%	20.95%	20.52%	+0.79	+4.8	35
2005-01-29	Aberdeen	W 1-0	55.7	1810	1719	55.75%	21.34%	22.91%	+0.64	+5.6	38
2005-01-29	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	55.7	1719	1810	22.91%	21.34%	55.75%	-0.64	-5.6	36
2005-01-29	Dundee	D 2-2	79.1	1646	1634	45.88%	22.17%	31.94%	+0.25	-0.5	18
2005-01-29	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	79.1	1634	1646	31.94%	22.17%	45.88%	-0.25	+0.5	21
2005-01-29	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	54.9	1665	1678	42.47%	22.29%	35.24%	+0.12	+15.2	25
2005-01-29	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	54.9	1678	1665	35.24%	22.29%	42.47%	-0.12	-15.2	21
2005-01-29	Livingston	W 3-0	42.7	2002	1608	80.36%	13.96%	5.69%	+2.18	+3.7	59
2005-01-29	@ Rangers	L 0-3	42.7	1608	2002	5.69%	13.96%	80.36%	-2.18	-3.7	16
2005-01-30	Celtic	L 0-1	51.1	1682	2024	10.40%	17.55%	72.05%	-1.55	-2.6	29
2005-01-30	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	51.1	2024	1682	72.05%	17.55%	10.40%	+1.55	+2.6	62
2005-02-12	Aberdeen	W 2-1	66.9	1663	1713	37.10%	22.32%	40.59%	-0.07	+8.5	24
2005-02-12	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	66.9	1713	1663	40.59%	22.32%	37.10%	+0.07	-8.5	36
2005-02-12	Dundee United	L 0-2	54.6	1604	1646	38.34%	22.32%	39.34%	-0.03	-16.3	16
2005-02-12	@ Livingston	W 2-0	54.6	1646	1604	39.34%	22.32%	38.34%	+0.03	+16.3	21
2005-02-12	Hibernian	W 3-0	46.7	2005	1795	67.61%	18.97%	13.41%	+1.25	+9.2	62
2005-02-12	@ Rangers	L 0-3	46.7	1795	2005	13.41%	18.97%	67.61%	-1.25	-9.2	43
2005-02-12	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	48.3	1815	1679	60.72%	20.57%	18.71%	+0.88	+12.8	41
2005-02-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	48.3	1679	1815	18.71%	20.57%	60.72%	-0.88	-12.8	29
2005-02-12	Motherwell	W 2-1	67.9	1635	1716	32.94%	22.21%	44.84%	-0.22	+9.2	24
2005-02-12	@ Dundee	L 1-2	67.9	1716	1635	44.84%	22.21%	32.94%	+0.22	-9.2	30
2005-02-15	Hibernian	D 1-1	74.3	1707	1786	33.16%	22.22%	44.62%	-0.22	+0.5	31
2005-02-15	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	74.3	1786	1707	44.62%	22.22%	33.16%	+0.22	-0.5	44
2005-02-19	Dundee	W 4-0	47.8	1786	1644	61.26%	20.47%	18.27%	+0.90	+16.3	47
2005-02-19	@ Hibernian	L 0-4	47.8	1644	1786	18.27%	20.47%	61.26%	-0.90	-16.3	24
2005-02-19	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	64.6	1666	1671	43.55%	22.26%	34.19%	+0.16	+7.4	32
2005-02-19	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	64.6	1671	1666	34.19%	22.26%	43.55%	-0.16	-7.4	24
2005-02-19	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	60.3	1707	1828	27.99%	21.92%	50.09%	-0.43	+20.3	34
2005-02-19	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	60.3	1828	1707	50.09%	21.92%	27.99%	+0.43	-20.3	41
2005-02-19	Inverness CT	D 1-1	73.3	1662	1680	41.71%	22.30%	35.99%	+0.09	-0.3	22
2005-02-19	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	73.3	1680	1662	35.99%	22.30%	41.71%	-0.09	+0.3	26
2005-02-19	Livingston	W 2-0	49.4	1705	1588	58.71%	20.92%	20.37%	+0.78	+9.5	39
2005-02-19	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	49.4	1588	1705	20.37%	20.92%	58.71%	-0.78	-9.5	16
2005-02-20	Rangers	L 0-2	59.4	2026	2014	45.86%	22.17%	31.97%	+0.25	-18.8	62
2005-02-20	@ Celtic	W 2-0	59.4	2014	2026	31.97%	22.17%	45.86%	-0.25	+18.8	65
2005-02-26	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	55.5	2033	1674	78.38%	14.93%	6.69%	+2.01	+1.5	68
2005-02-26	@ Rangers	L 1-2	55.5	1674	2033	6.69%	14.93%	78.38%	-2.01	-1.5	32
2005-03-02	Aberdeen	L 1-2	65.7	1662	1714	36.82%	22.31%	40.86%	-0.08	-7.9	22
2005-03-02	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	65.7	1714	1662	40.86%	22.31%	36.82%	+0.08	+7.9	42
2005-03-02	Dundee	W 3-0	43.0	2007	1628	79.55%	14.36%	6.09%	+2.11	+3.9	65
2005-03-02	@ Celtic	L 0-3	43.0	1628	2007	6.09%	14.36%	79.55%	-2.11	-4.0	24
2005-03-02	Hibernian	W 3-0	58.1	1681	1802	27.92%	21.91%	50.16%	-0.43	+29.5	29
2005-03-02	@ Inverness CT	L 0-3	58.1	1802	1681	50.16%	21.91%	27.92%	+0.43	-29.5	47
2005-03-02	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	63.5	1578	1672	31.28%	22.14%	46.58%	-0.29	+16.5	19
2005-03-02	@ Livingston	L 1-3	63.5	1672	1578	46.58%	22.14%	31.28%	+0.29	-16.5	32
2005-03-02	Motherwell	D 0-0	68.7	1664	1728	35.28%	22.29%	42.43%	-0.14	+0.4	25
2005-03-02	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	68.7	1728	1664	42.43%	22.29%	35.28%	+0.14	-0.4	35
2005-03-02	Rangers	L 1-2	60.4	1808	2035	17.59%	20.30%	62.11%	-0.96	-4.2	41
2005-03-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	60.4	2035	1808	62.11%	20.30%	17.59%	+0.96	+4.2	71
2005-03-05	Aberdeen	L 0-1	58.8	1656	1722	34.87%	22.28%	42.85%	-0.15	-8.0	32
2005-03-05	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	58.8	1722	1656	42.85%	22.28%	34.87%	+0.15	+8.0	45
2005-03-05	Dundee United	W 2-0	51.8	1727	1654	53.70%	21.59%	24.71%	+0.56	+11.3	38
2005-03-05	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	51.8	1654	1727	24.71%	21.59%	53.70%	-0.56	-11.3	22
2005-03-05	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	74.3	1664	1804	25.86%	21.72%	52.42%	-0.52	+1.3	26
2005-03-05	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	74.3	1804	1664	52.42%	21.72%	25.86%	+0.52	-1.3	42
2005-03-05	Inverness CT	D 1-1	76.6	2039	1710	76.46%	15.80%	7.74%	+1.85	-3.5	72
2005-03-05	@ Rangers	D 1-1	76.6	1710	2039	7.74%	15.80%	76.46%	-1.85	+3.5	30
2005-03-05	Livingston	L 0-1	60.6	1624	1595	48.17%	22.05%	29.78%	+0.33	-10.4	24
2005-03-05	@ Dundee	W 1-0	60.6	1595	1624	29.78%	22.05%	48.17%	-0.33	+10.4	22
2005-03-06	Celtic	L 1-3	56.5	1773	2011	16.67%	20.06%	63.27%	-1.02	-6.8	47
2005-03-06	@ Hibernian	W 3-1	56.5	2011	1773	63.27%	20.06%	16.67%	+1.02	+6.8	68
2005-03-12	Dundee United	W 3-0	51.5	1648	1643	44.93%	22.21%	32.85%	+0.21	+20.9	35
2005-03-12	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-3	51.5	1643	1648	32.85%	22.21%	44.93%	-0.21	-20.9	22
2005-03-12	Dunfermline Athletic	W 6-0	45.1	2018	1665	77.96%	15.12%	6.92%	+1.97	+8.7	71
2005-03-12	@ Celtic	L 0-6	45.1	1665	2018	6.92%	15.12%	77.96%	-1.97	-8.7	26
2005-03-12	Hibernian	W 3-0	54.8	1730	1766	39.27%	22.32%	38.41%	+0.01	+23.7	48
2005-03-12	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	54.8	1766	1730	38.41%	22.32%	39.27%	-0.01	-23.7	47
2005-03-12	Inverness CT	L 0-2	61.7	1802	1714	55.53%	21.37%	23.10%	+0.64	-22.2	42
2005-03-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	61.7	1714	1802	23.10%	21.37%	55.53%	-0.64	+22.2	33
2005-03-12	Motherwell	D 1-1	73.5	1605	1739	26.53%	21.79%	51.68%	-0.49	+1.2	23
2005-03-12	@ Livingston	D 1-1	73.5	1739	1605	51.68%	21.79%	26.53%	+0.49	-1.2	39
2005-03-13	Rangers	L 0-2	45.6	1613	2035	7.17%	15.34%	77.50%	-1.95	-3.3	24
2005-03-13	@ Dundee	W 2-0	45.6	2035	1613	77.50%	15.34%	7.17%	+1.95	+3.3	75
2005-03-16	Celtic	L 0-2	48.6	1736	2027	13.15%	18.86%	67.99%	-1.29	-6.2	33
2005-03-16	@ Inverness CT	W 2-0	48.6	2027	1736	67.99%	18.86%	13.15%	+1.29	+6.2	74
2005-03-19	Celtic	L 2-3	61.4	1622	2033	7.53%	15.64%	76.83%	-1.90	-1.6	22
2005-03-19	@ Dundee United	W 3-2	61.4	2033	1622	76.83%	15.64%	7.53%	+1.90	+1.6	77
2005-03-19	Dundee	D 1-1	74.0	1754	1610	61.49%	20.43%	18.09%	+0.91	-2.2	49
2005-03-19	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	74.0	1610	1754	18.09%	20.43%	61.49%	-0.91	+2.2	25
2005-03-19	Hibernian	L 1-4	57.9	1657	1742	32.40%	22.19%	45.41%	-0.25	-17.4	26
2005-03-19	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-1	57.9	1742	1657	45.41%	22.19%	32.40%	+0.25	+17.4	50
2005-03-19	Livingston	W 3-1	55.2	1780	1606	64.41%	19.80%	15.79%	+1.07	+6.5	45
2005-03-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	55.2	1606	1780	15.79%	19.80%	64.41%	-1.07	-6.5	23
2005-04-02	Aberdeen	L 0-1	61.3	1730	1752	41.15%	22.31%	36.54%	+0.07	-9.1	33
2005-04-02	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	61.3	1752	1730	36.54%	22.31%	41.15%	-0.07	+9.1	52
2005-04-02	Dundee United	W 3-2	65.2	1760	1620	61.04%	20.51%	18.45%	+0.89	+4.1	53
2005-04-02	@ Hibernian	L 2-3	65.2	1620	1760	18.45%	20.51%	61.04%	-0.89	-4.1	22
2005-04-02	Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	71.9	1600	1639	38.67%	22.32%	39.01%	-0.01	+0.0	24
2005-04-02	@ Livingston	D 1-1	71.9	1639	1600	39.01%	22.32%	38.67%	+0.01	-0.0	27
2005-04-02	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	65.6	2035	1787	70.74%	18.01%	11.25%	+1.44	-27.6	77
2005-04-02	@ Celtic	W 2-0	65.6	1787	2035	11.25%	18.01%	70.74%	-1.44	+27.6	48
2005-04-02	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	59.7	1612	1669	36.32%	22.31%	41.38%	-0.10	+9.2	28
2005-04-02	@ Dundee	L 0-1	59.7	1669	1612	41.38%	22.31%	36.32%	+0.10	-9.2	35
2005-04-03	Rangers	L 2-3	63.8	1737	2039	12.54%	18.61%	68.85%	-1.34	-2.8	39
2005-04-03	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	63.8	2039	1737	68.85%	18.61%	12.54%	+1.34	+2.8	78
2005-04-09	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	64.1	1621	1639	41.77%	22.30%	35.94%	+0.10	+7.7	31
2005-04-09	@ Dundee	L 1-2	64.1	1639	1621	35.94%	22.30%	41.77%	-0.10	-7.7	27
2005-04-09	Inverness CT	L 0-1	59.1	1659	1721	35.63%	22.29%	42.07%	-0.12	-8.1	35
2005-04-09	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	59.1	1721	1659	42.07%	22.29%	35.63%	+0.12	+8.2	36
2005-04-09	Motherwell	L 1-3	66.0	1761	1734	47.82%	22.07%	30.11%	+0.32	-16.9	52
2005-04-09	@ Aberdeen	W 3-1	66.0	1734	1761	30.11%	22.07%	47.82%	-0.32	+16.9	42
2005-04-12	Dundee United	L 0-1	71.2	2041	1616	82.03%	13.08%	4.89%	+2.34	-16.3	78
2005-04-12	@ Rangers	W 1-0	71.2	1616	2041	4.89%	13.08%	82.03%	-2.34	+16.3	25
2005-04-12	Motherwell	W 1-0	59.9	1729	1751	41.08%	22.31%	36.61%	+0.07	+8.3	39
2005-04-12	@ Inverness CT	L 0-1	59.9	1751	1729	36.61%	22.31%	41.08%	-0.07	-8.3	42
2005-04-13	Celtic	L 0-4	43.8	1600	2007	7.67%	15.75%	76.58%	-1.88	-6.7	24
2005-04-13	@ Livingston	W 4-0	43.8	2007	1600	76.58%	15.75%	7.67%	+1.88	+6.7	80
2005-04-13	Hibernian	L 1-2	70.7	1814	1764	50.93%	21.85%	27.22%	+0.44	-10.3	48
2005-04-13	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	70.7	1764	1814	27.22%	21.85%	50.93%	-0.44	+10.3	56
2005-04-16	Aberdeen	W 3-2	62.8	2014	1744	72.39%	17.43%	10.18%	+1.55	+2.3	83
2005-04-16	@ Celtic	L 2-3	62.8	1744	2014	10.18%	17.43%	72.39%	-1.55	-2.3	52
2005-04-16	Dundee	W 3-2	66.1	1737	1629	57.68%	21.08%	21.25%	+0.73	+4.7	42
2005-04-16	@ Inverness CT	L 2-3	66.1	1629	1737	21.25%	21.08%	57.68%	-0.73	-4.7	31
2005-04-16	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	71.6	1632	1804	22.49%	21.28%	56.23%	-0.68	+11.2	28
2005-04-16	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	71.6	1804	1632	56.23%	21.28%	22.49%	+0.68	-11.2	48
2005-04-16	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	74.0	1743	1651	55.88%	21.33%	22.79%	+0.65	-1.6	43
2005-04-16	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	74.0	1651	1743	22.79%	21.33%	55.88%	-0.65	+1.6	36
2005-04-16	Livingston	L 0-3	61.2	1774	1593	65.05%	19.65%	15.30%	+1.10	-37.2	56
2005-04-16	@ Hibernian	W 3-0	61.2	1593	1774	15.30%	19.65%	65.05%	-1.10	+37.2	27
2005-04-17	Rangers	L 0-1	49.9	1632	2025	8.19%	16.14%	75.68%	-1.81	-2.0	27
2005-04-17	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	49.9	2025	1632	75.68%	16.14%	8.19%	+1.81	+2.0	81

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2005-04-23	Aberdeen	L 0-1	62.2	1741	1742	44.20%	22.24%	33.57%	+0.18	-9.7	0
2005-04-23	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	62.2	1742	1741	33.57%	22.24%	44.20%	-0.18	+9.7	3
2005-04-23	Dundee	W 1-0	56.2	1653	1624	48.06%	22.06%	29.88%	+0.33	+7.1	3
2005-04-23	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	56.2	1624	1653	29.88%	22.06%	48.06%	-0.33	-7.1	0
2005-04-23	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	80.8	1737	1793	36.34%	22.31%	41.35%	-0.10	+0.2	1
2005-04-23	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	80.8	1793	1737	41.35%	22.31%	36.34%	+0.10	-0.2	1
2005-04-23	Inverness CT	D 0-0	68.6	1630	1742	29.03%	22.00%	48.97%	-0.38	+1.1	1
2005-04-23	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	68.6	1742	1630	48.97%	22.00%	29.03%	+0.38	-1.0	1
2005-04-23	Livingston	D 1-1	72.5	1644	1630	46.05%	22.16%	31.79%	+0.25	-0.7	1
2005-04-23	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	72.5	1630	1644	31.79%	22.16%	46.05%	-0.25	+0.7	1
2005-04-24	Celtic	L 1-2	69.5	2027	2016	45.76%	22.18%	32.06%	+0.24	-9.4	0
2005-04-24	@ Rangers	W 2-1	69.5	2016	2027	32.06%	22.18%	45.76%	-0.24	+9.4	3
2005-04-30	Dundee United	L 1-2	65.5	1617	1643	40.70%	22.31%	36.99%	+0.06	-8.5	0
2005-04-30	@ Dundee	W 2-1	65.5	1643	1617	36.99%	22.31%	40.70%	-0.06	+8.5	4
2005-04-30	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	53.3	1631	1631	44.30%	22.23%	33.47%	+0.19	+14.6	4
2005-04-30	@ Livingston	L 0-2	53.3	1631	1631	33.47%	22.23%	44.30%	-0.19	-14.6	1
2005-04-30	Hibernian	L 1-3	72.7	2025	1737	73.75%	16.92%	9.33%	+1.65	-24.7	3
2005-04-30	@ Celtic	W 3-1	72.7	1737	2025	9.33%	16.92%	73.75%	-1.65	+24.7	4
2005-04-30	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	71.0	1741	1660	54.60%	21.49%	23.92%	+0.59	-10.9	1
2005-04-30	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	71.0	1660	1741	23.92%	21.49%	54.60%	-0.59	+10.9	6
2005-04-30	Motherwell	D 0-0	69.5	1793	1732	52.20%	21.74%	26.07%	+0.49	-1.4	2
2005-04-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	69.5	1732	1793	26.07%	21.74%	52.20%	-0.49	+1.4	1
2005-05-01	Rangers	L 1-3	55.7	1752	2018	14.72%	19.45%	65.83%	-1.16	-6.0	3
2005-05-01	@ Aberdeen	W 3-1	55.7	2018	1752	65.83%	19.45%	14.72%	+1.16	+6.0	3
2005-05-07	Dundee	W 5-0	51.1	1616	1609	45.23%	22.20%	32.57%	+0.22	+33.4	4
2005-05-07	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-5	51.1	1609	1616	32.57%	22.20%	45.23%	-0.22	-33.4	0
2005-05-07	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	58.2	2024	1791	69.52%	18.40%	12.08%	+1.36	+2.9	6
2005-05-07	@ Rangers	L 1-2	58.2	1791	2024	12.08%	18.40%	69.52%	-1.36	-2.9	2
2005-05-07	Hibernian	D 2-2	80.7	1733	1762	40.27%	22.32%	37.41%	+0.04	-0.1	2
2005-05-07	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	80.7	1762	1733	37.41%	22.32%	40.27%	-0.04	+0.1	5
2005-05-07	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	73.1	1651	1671	41.54%	22.30%	36.15%	+0.09	-0.2	5
2005-05-07	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	73.1	1671	1651	36.15%	22.30%	41.54%	-0.09	+0.2	7
2005-05-07	Livingston	L 0-1	64.6	1730	1646	54.99%	21.44%	23.57%	+0.61	-11.7	1
2005-05-07	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	64.6	1646	1730	23.57%	21.44%	54.99%	-0.61	+11.7	7
2005-05-08	Aberdeen	W 2-0	47.6	2001	1745	71.30%	17.82%	10.88%	+1.48	+5.1	6
2005-05-08	@ Celtic	L 0-2	47.6	1745	2001	10.88%	17.82%	71.30%	-1.48	-5.1	3
2005-05-14	Aberdeen	L 1-2	69.4	1762	1740	47.14%	22.11%	30.75%	+0.29	-9.6	5
2005-05-14	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	69.4	1740	1762	30.75%	22.11%	47.14%	-0.29	+9.6	6
2005-05-14	Inverness CT	D 1-1	72.9	1575	1718	25.52%	21.68%	52.80%	-0.54	+1.3	1
2005-05-14	@ Dundee	D 1-1	72.9	1718	1575	52.80%	21.68%	25.52%	+0.54	-1.3	2
2005-05-14	Livingston	W 2-0	53.6	1671	1657	46.13%	22.16%	31.71%	+0.26	+14.0	10
2005-05-14	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	53.6	1657	1671	31.71%	22.16%	46.13%	-0.26	-14.0	7
2005-05-14	Motherwell	W 4-1	50.2	2027	1733	74.10%	16.78%	9.12%	+1.67	+5.2	9
2005-05-14	@ Rangers	L 1-4	50.2	1733	2027	9.12%	16.78%	74.10%	-1.67	-5.2	2
2005-05-15	Celtic	L 1-2	60.7	1788	2006	18.35%	20.49%	61.17%	-0.92	-4.3	2
2005-05-15	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	60.7	2006	1788	61.17%	20.49%	18.35%	+0.92	+4.3	9
2005-05-15	Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	60.9	1651	1649	44.48%	22.23%	33.29%	+0.19	-9.7	5
2005-05-15	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	60.9	1649	1651	33.29%	22.23%	44.48%	-0.19	+9.7	7
2005-05-21	Dundee	D 1-1	71.7	1643	1577	52.89%	21.67%	25.44%	+0.52	-1.3	8
2005-05-21	@ Livingston	D 1-1	71.7	1577	1643	25.44%	21.67%	52.89%	-0.52	+1.3	2
2005-05-21	Dundee United	L 0-1	64.2	1717	1641	53.95%	21.56%	24.49%	+0.57	-11.5	2
2005-05-21	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	64.2	1641	1717	24.49%	21.56%	53.95%	-0.57	+11.5	8
2005-05-21	Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-0	51.3	1685	1659	47.74%	22.08%	30.19%	+0.32	+25.5	13
2005-05-21	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-4	51.3	1659	1685	30.19%	22.08%	47.74%	-0.32	-25.5	7
2005-05-22	Celtic	W 2-1	74.9	1728	2010	13.68%	19.07%	67.25%	-1.24	+13.2	5
2005-05-22	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	74.9	2010	1728	67.25%	19.07%	13.68%	+1.24	-13.2	9
2005-05-22	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	56.8	1750	1784	39.47%	22.32%	38.21%	+0.01	+16.2	9
2005-05-22	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	56.8	1784	1750	38.21%	22.32%	39.47%	-0.01	-16.2	2
2005-05-22	Rangers	L 0-1	52.6	1752	2032	13.84%	19.13%	67.03%	-1.23	-3.5	5
2005-05-22	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	52.6	2032	1752	67.03%	19.13%	13.84%	+1.23	+3.5	12

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2005-04-12	4.89%	Dundee United	1616	1	@ Rangers	2041	0
2	2004-10-27	8.91%	Aberdeen	1720	3	@ Celtic	2018	2
3	2005-04-30	9.33%	Hibernian	1737	3	@ Celtic	2025	1
4	2005-04-02	11.25%	Heart of Midlothian	1787	2	@ Celtic	2035	0
5	2005-05-22	13.68%	@ Motherwell	1728	2	Celtic	2010	1
6	2005-04-16	15.30%	Livingston	1593	3	@ Hibernian	1774	0
7	2004-11-20	22.48%	Motherwell	1719	1	@ Heart of Midlothian	1814	0
8	2005-04-16	22.49%	@ Dundee United	1632	2	Heart of Midlothian	1804	1
9	2004-12-18	22.79%	Inverness CT	1664	2	@ Motherwell	1756	1
10	2005-03-12	23.10%	Inverness CT	1714	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1802	0
11	2005-05-07	23.57%	Livingston	1646	1	@ Inverness CT	1730	0
12	2005-04-30	23.92%	Kilmarnock	1660	2	@ Inverness CT	1741	1
13	2005-05-21	24.49%	Dundee United	1641	1	@ Inverness CT	1717	0
14	2004-11-27	25.38%	Livingston	1632	3	@ Kilmarnock	1699	1
15	2005-04-13	27.22%	Hibernian	1764	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1814	1
16	2004-08-28	27.36%	@ Motherwell	1699	2	Heart of Midlothian	1825	0
17	2005-03-02	27.92%	@ Inverness CT	1681	3	Hibernian	1802	0
18	2005-02-19	27.99%	@ Motherwell	1707	2	Heart of Midlothian	1828	0
19	2004-08-21	28.23%	Aberdeen	1671	1	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1713	0
20	2004-09-19	29.08%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1694	1	Heart of Midlothian	1805	0
21	2004-08-21	29.78%	Motherwell	1689	2	@ Dundee	1718	1
22	2005-03-05	29.78%	Livingston	1595	1	@ Dundee	1624	0
23	2004-12-18	29.87%	@ Dundee	1631	1	Aberdeen	1737	0
24	2005-04-09	30.11%	Motherwell	1734	3	@ Aberdeen	1761	1
25	2004-10-23	30.40%	Dunfermline Athletic	1682	2	@ Dundee	1706	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2005-04-16	37.23	Livingston	3	1593	15.30%	@ Hibernian	0	1774	65.05%	19.65%
2	2005-05-07	33.44	@ Dunfermline Athletic	5	1616	45.23%	Dundee	0	1609	32.57%	22.20%
3	2005-03-02	29.48	@ Inverness CT	3	1681	27.92%	Hibernian	0	1802	50.16%	21.91%
4	2005-04-02	27.59	Heart of Midlothian	2	1787	11.25%	@ Celtic	0	2035	70.74%	18.01%
5	2005-05-21	25.49	@ Kilmarnock	4	1685	47.74%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1659	30.19%	22.08%
6	2005-04-30	24.72	Hibernian	3	1737	9.33%	@ Celtic	1	2025	73.75%	16.92%
7	2005-03-12	23.67	@ Aberdeen	3	1730	39.27%	Hibernian	0	1766	38.41%	22.32%
8	2004-12-11	23.53	@ Dundee United	3	1642	39.58%	Kilmarnock	0	1675	38.10%	22.32%
9	2005-03-12	22.21	Inverness CT	2	1714	23.10%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1802	55.53%	21.37%
10	2005-01-22	21.84	Inverness CT	4	1643	34.73%	@ Livingston	1	1634	42.99%	22.27%
11	2005-03-12	20.91	@ Kilmarnock	3	1648	44.93%	Dundee United	0	1643	32.85%	22.21%
12	2004-08-28	20.51	@ Motherwell	2	1699	27.36%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1825	50.78%	21.86%
13	2005-02-19	20.27	@ Motherwell	2	1707	27.99%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1828	50.09%	21.92%
14	2004-08-07	20.09	@ Livingston	3	1707	46.58%	Inverness CT	0	1690	31.28%	22.14%
15	2004-11-13	20.00	@ Motherwell	3	1699	46.77%	Dundee	0	1680	31.10%	22.13%
16	2004-11-20	19.68	@ Dunfermline Athletic	4	1688	39.98%	Kilmarnock	1	1719	37.70%	22.32%
17	2004-11-20	19.28	Hibernian	4	1714	40.95%	@ Dundee	1	1660	36.74%	22.31%
18	2005-01-03	18.97	Kilmarnock	2	1661	31.50%	@ Inverness CT	0	1677	46.35%	22.15%
19	2005-02-20	18.81	Rangers	2	2014	31.97%	@ Celtic	0	2026	45.86%	22.17%
20	2004-11-27	18.44	Livingston	3	1632	25.38%	@ Kilmarnock	1	1699	52.95%	21.66%
21	2004-09-11	18.35	Kilmarnock	2	1694	33.25%	@ Livingston	0	1696	44.53%	22.23%
22	2004-08-15	17.47	@ Inverness CT	2	1670	35.79%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1730	41.91%	22.30%
23	2005-03-19	17.44	Hibernian	4	1742	45.41%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1	1657	32.40%	22.19%
24	2004-12-27	17.39	Hibernian	4	1750	45.52%	@ Dundee United	1	1663	32.29%	22.19%
25	2005-01-15	17.33	@ Kilmarnock	2	1680	36.17%	Motherwell	0	1737	41.53%	22.30%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2004-08-28	85.4	@ Hibernian	4	1689	41.54%	Dundee	4	1708	36.15%	22.30%
2	2004-11-28	82.6	@ Dundee	2	1641	9.73%	Celtic	2	1998	73.11%	17.17%
3	2004-09-19	82.2	@ Hibernian	2	1698	12.90%	Celtic	2	1993	68.33%	18.76%
4	2004-10-27	81.8	Aberdeen	3	1720	8.91%	@ Celtic	2	2018	74.45%	16.64%
5	2005-04-23	80.8	@ Hibernian	2	1737	36.34%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1793	41.35%	22.31%
6	2005-05-07	80.7	@ Motherwell	2	1733	40.27%	Hibernian	2	1762	37.41%	22.32%
7	2004-10-23	79.9	@ Kilmarnock	2	1697	51.16%	Inverness CT	2	1645	27.01%	21.83%
8	2005-01-29	79.1	@ Dundee United	2	1646	45.88%	Dundee	2	1634	31.94%	22.17%
9	2005-03-05	76.6	@ Rangers	1	2039	76.46%	Inverness CT	1	1710	7.74%	15.80%
10	2004-10-24	76.0	@ Rangers	1	1937	73.05%	Dundee United	1	1658	9.77%	17.19%
11	2005-01-01	76.0	@ Dundee United	1	1646	10.04%	Rangers	1	1996	72.61%	17.35%
12	2004-12-05	75.8	@ Inverness CT	1	1660	11.24%	Rangers	1	1985	70.76%	18.00%
13	2005-05-22	74.9	@ Motherwell	2	1728	13.68%	Celtic	1	2010	67.25%	19.07%
14	2004-11-13	74.4	@ Kilmarnock	1	1718	30.93%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1815	46.95%	22.12%
15	2004-12-11	74.4	@ Inverness CT	1	1663	24.62%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1814	53.80%	21.57%
16	2005-01-02	74.4	@ Hibernian	1	1767	39.23%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1803	38.45%	22.32%
17	2005-01-22	74.3	@ Dundee	1	1633	22.28%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1807	56.48%	21.25%
18	2005-02-15	74.3	@ Motherwell	1	1707	33.16%	Hibernian	1	1786	44.62%	22.22%
19	2005-03-05	74.3	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1	1664	25.86%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1804	52.42%	21.72%
20	2004-10-27	74.2	@ Dundee United	1	1661	26.60%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1794	51.60%	21.79%
21	2004-08-07	74.0	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1	1731	47.67%	Dundee United	1	1706	30.25%	22.08%
22	2005-03-19	74.0	@ Aberdeen	1	1754	61.49%	Dundee	1	1610	18.09%	20.43%
23	2005-04-16	74.0	@ Motherwell	1	1743	55.88%	Kilmarnock	1	1651	22.79%	21.33%
24	2004-08-21	73.9	@ Livingston	1	1713	46.34%	Dundee United	1	1697	31.51%	22.15%
25	2004-09-11	73.8	@ Dundee United	1	1705	45.28%	Aberdeen	1	1698	32.52%	22.20%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2005-01-29	42.7	@ Rangers	3	2002	80.36%	Livingston	0	1608	5.69%	13.96%
2	2005-03-02	43.0	@ Celtic	3	2007	79.55%	Dundee	0	1628	6.09%	14.36%
3	2004-12-11	43.6	@ Rangers	3	1982	77.53%	Dundee	0	1636	7.15%	15.32%
4	2004-11-13	43.8	@ Celtic	3	2010	77.10%	Inverness CT	0	1671	7.39%	15.52%
5	2005-04-13	43.8	Celtic	4	2007	76.58%	@ Livingston	0	1600	7.67%	15.75%
6	2005-01-15	44.4	@ Rangers	3	1993	75.08%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1685	8.53%	16.39%
7	2004-09-25	44.9	@ Celtic	3	1991	73.58%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1704	9.43%	16.98%
8	2004-09-11	45.0	@ Celtic	3	1986	72.96%	Dundee	0	1708	9.82%	17.22%
9	2005-03-12	45.1	@ Celtic	6	2018	77.96%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1665	6.92%	15.12%
10	2005-03-13	45.6	Rangers	2	2035	77.50%	@ Dundee	0	1613	7.17%	15.34%
11	2004-10-03	45.8	Celtic	3	1997	70.22%	@ Dundee United	0	1679	11.60%	18.18%
12	2005-01-22	46.6	@ Celtic	2	2020	74.51%	Motherwell	0	1720	8.87%	16.62%
13	2005-02-12	46.7	@ Rangers	3	2005	67.61%	Hibernian	0	1795	13.41%	18.97%
14	2004-10-16	46.8	@ Celtic	3	2005	67.41%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1797	13.56%	19.03%
15	2004-08-08	47.4	@ Celtic	2	1964	71.69%	Motherwell	0	1703	10.63%	17.68%
16	2004-10-31	47.5	@ Rangers	5	1937	67.11%	Aberdeen	0	1733	13.78%	19.11%
17	2005-05-08	47.6	@ Celtic	2	2001	71.30%	Aberdeen	0	1745	10.88%	17.82%
18	2004-08-14	47.7	@ Rangers	4	1893	63.63%	Livingston	0	1728	16.39%	19.98%
19	2005-02-19	47.8	@ Hibernian	4	1786	61.26%	Dundee	0	1644	18.27%	20.47%
20	2004-12-12	48.0	Celtic	2	1998	69.68%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1686	11.97%	18.35%
21	2005-02-12	48.3	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1815	60.72%	Kilmarnock	0	1679	18.71%	20.57%
22	2005-03-16	48.6	Celtic	2	2027	67.99%	@ Inverness CT	0	1736	13.15%	18.86%
23	2004-10-03	48.8	@ Rangers	2	1920	67.02%	Kilmarnock	0	1717	13.84%	19.14%
24	2004-08-21	49.2	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1811	58.00%	Kilmarnock	0	1700	20.97%	21.03%
25	2004-10-30	49.3	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1793	57.37%	Dundee	0	1688	21.51%	21.12%