2005-06 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

91 points · 40th Title

Last Title: 2003-04

Relegated

Livingston

18 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Dunfermline Athletic

4.35 points above expected

33 points · 28.65 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dundee United

5.62 points below expected

33 points · 38.62 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	27	4	2	85	88	31	+57	70.83	+14.17
2	Heart of Midlothian	33	19	8	6	65	64	27	+37	58.44	+6.56
3	Rangers	33	18	8	7	62	59	34	+25	63.94	-1.94
4	Hibernian	33	16	4	13	52	56	45	+11	50.90	+1.10
5	Kilmarnock	33	14	9	10	51	59	56	+3	47.80	+3.20
6	Aberdeen	33	12	12	9	48	39	36	+3	48.04	-0.04
7	Motherwell	33	12	8	13	44	50	55	-5	43.37	+0.63
8	Inverness CT	33	10	13	10	43	45	38	+7	44.23	-1.23
9	Dundee United	33	7	11	15	32	39	58	-19	34.43	-2.43
10	Falkirk	33	6	7	20	25	31	61	-30	32.29	-7.29
11	Dunfermline Athletic	33	5	8	20	23	26	63	-37	27.94	-4.94
12	Livingston	33	3	6	24	15	20	72	-52	24.66	-9.66

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	38	28	7	3	91	93	37	+56	95.64	-4.64
2	Heart of Midlothian	38	22	8	8	74	71	31	+40	72.39	+1.61
3	Rangers	38	21	10	7	73	67	37	+30	70.37	+2.63
4	Hibernian	38	17	5	16	56	61	56	+5	56.88	-0.88
5	Kilmarnock	38	15	10	13	55	63	64	-1	55.71	-0.71
6	Aberdeen	38	13	15	10	54	46	40	+6	53.38	+0.62
7	Inverness CT	38	15	13	10	58	51	38	+13	53.68	+4.32
8	Motherwell	38	13	10	15	49	55	61	-6	52.12	-3.12
9	Dundee United	38	7	12	19	33	41	66	-25	38.62	-5.62
10	Falkirk	38	8	9	21	33	35	64	-29	31.01	+1.99
11	Dunfermline Athletic	38	8	9	21	33	33	68	-35	28.65	+4.35
12	Livingston Relegated	38	4	6	28	18	25	79	-54	19.19	-1.19

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dunfermline Athletic	33	28.65	+4.35
2	Inverness CT	58	53.68	+4.32
3	Rangers	73	70.37	+2.63
4	Falkirk	33	31.01	+1.99
5	Heart of Midlothian	74	72.39	+1.61

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dundee United	33	38.62	-5.62
2	Celtic	91	95.64	-4.64
3	Motherwell	49	52.12	-3.12
4	Livingston	18	19.19	-1.19
5	Hibernian	56	56.88	-0.88

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Heart of Midlothian	8	Jul 30 – Sep 24	1 in 399
2	Hibernian	5	Oct 15 – Nov 5	1 in 42
3	Aberdeen	3	Feb 8 – Feb 18	1 in 40
4	Dunfermline Athletic	3	Apr 22 – May 2	1 in 35
5	Livingston	2	Apr 8 – Apr 15	1 in 33

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Livingston	13	Dec 26 – Apr 1	1 in 391
2	Dundee United	6	Apr 2 – May 2	1 in 255
3	Falkirk	6	Dec 10 – Jan 21	1 in 136
4	Dunfermline Athletic	7	Oct 1 – Nov 19	1 in 117
5	Motherwell	3	Aug 13 – Aug 27	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Inverness CT	11	Oct 29 – Jan 21	1 in 618
2	Aberdeen	7	Dec 31 – Feb 18	1 in 41
3	Heart of Midlothian	12	Jul 30 – Oct 26	1 in 39
4	Dundee United	4	Jan 15 – Feb 7	1 in 27
5	Rangers	12	Feb 18 – May 7	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rangers	6	Oct 26 – Dec 3	1 in 183
2	Livingston	14	Jul 31 – Nov 5	1 in 23
3	Aberdeen	5	Dec 4 – Dec 31	1 in 19
4	Dundee United	8	Mar 25 – May 6	1 in 19
5	Celtic	3	Apr 16 – Apr 30	1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	1984	91	-42	6	10.5	-4.5
Heart of Midlothian	1879	74	+27	9	7.6	+1.4
Rangers	1933	73	+32	11	8.3	+2.7
Inverness CT	1756	58	+35	15	9.6	+5.4
Hibernian	1691	56	-37	4	4.7	-0.7
Kilmarnock	1711	55	-9	4	4.6	-0.6
Aberdeen	1782	54	+29	6	5.6	+0.4
Motherwell	1669	49	-23	5	9.2	-4.2
Dunfermline Athletic	1555	33	+26	10	5.8	+4.2
Falkirk	1566	33	+20	8	6.3	+1.7
Dundee United	1520	33	-56	1	6.1	-5.1
Livingston	1451	18	-2	3	4.3	-1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DU	DA	FAL	HOM	HIB	IC	KIL	LIV	MOT	RAN
Aberdeen	—	0-1-3 2.75	1-2-0 4.88	1-1-1 5.84	3-0-0 5.48	1-1-2 3.69	3-0-1 5.37	1-2-0 3.95	0-2-2 6.21	1-2-0 6.36	0-2-1 4.67	2-2-0 3.04
Celtic	3-1-0 8.33	—	2-1-0 6.91	2-0-1 7.20	3-0-0 7.00	2-1-1 7.46	3-1-0 8.26	2-1-0 6.71	4-0-0 8.79	3-0-0 7.56	2-1-0 6.25	2-1-1 6.59
Dundee United	0-2-1 3.34	0-1-2 1.49	—	1-1-2 6.22	2-0-2 5.97	0-1-2 2.36	1-0-2 2.32	0-2-2 3.97	0-2-1 3.01	2-0-2 7.12	1-2-1 3.89	0-1-2 1.79
Dunfermline Athletic	1-1-1 2.43	1-0-2 1.27	2-1-1 4.73	—	1-2-1 5.17	0-0-3 1.51	0-1-2 2.25	0-1-3 3.65	0-0-3 2.22	2-1-1 6.01	1-1-2 3.65	0-1-2 1.35
Falkirk	0-0-3 2.77	0-0-3 1.43	2-0-2 4.98	1-2-1 5.79	—	0-1-2 1.80	1-1-1 2.76	1-0-3 3.92	0-1-2 2.53	3-1-0 6.41	0-1-3 4.05	0-2-1 1.78
Heart of Midlothian	2-1-1 7.30	1-1-2 3.54	2-1-0 5.93	3-0-0 6.89	2-1-0 6.54	—	2-0-2 6.63	1-2-0 5.48	3-0-1 7.10	3-0-0 6.85	2-1-0 5.75	1-1-2 4.91
Hibernian	1-0-3 5.58	0-1-3 2.83	2-0-1 5.96	2-1-0 6.04	1-1-1 5.51	2-0-2 4.33	—	0-0-3 5.15	2-1-1 5.85	3-0-0 6.20	2-1-0 4.75	2-0-2 3.59
Inverness CT	0-2-1 4.25	0-1-2 1.66	2-2-0 7.02	3-1-0 7.35	3-0-1 7.09	0-2-1 2.77	3-0-0 3.08	—	0-3-0 4.02	2-1-1 8.34	2-0-2 5.83	0-1-2 2.29
Kilmarnock	2-2-0 4.74	0-0-4 2.35	1-2-0 5.22	3-0-0 6.07	2-1-0 5.74	1-0-3 3.90	1-1-2 5.10	0-3-0 4.19	—	3-0-0 6.10	2-1-0 4.32	0-0-4 3.46
Livingston	0-2-1 1.97	0-0-3 0.98	2-0-2 3.86	1-1-2 4.93	0-1-3 4.56	0-0-3 1.55	0-0-3 2.11	1-1-2 2.74	0-0-3 2.20	—	0-0-4 2.90	0-1-2 1.32
Motherwell	1-2-0 3.55	0-1-2 2.07	1-2-1 7.09	2-1-1 7.35	3-1-0 6.93	0-1-2 2.51	0-1-2 3.47	2-0-2 5.13	0-1-2 3.89	4-0-0 8.17	—	0-0-3 2.18
Rangers	0-2-2 8.00	1-1-2 4.39	2-1-0 6.56	2-1-0 7.08	1-2-0 6.56	2-1-1 6.04	2-0-2 7.43	2-1-0 6.00	4-0-0 7.55	2-1-0 7.12	3-0-0 6.11	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.92	+10.5
Allowed	0.76	-11.4
Differential	0.99	+6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.70%	8.99%	5.48%	4.17%	1.10%	1.10%	26.54%
1	8.99%	11.40%	7.46%	3.29%	1.75%	0.44%	33.33%
2	5.48%	7.46%	6.14%	2.19%	1.32%	—	22.59%
3	4.17%	3.29%	2.19%	1.32%	—	—	10.96%
4	1.10%	1.75%	1.32%	—	0.44%	0.22%	4.82%
5+	1.10%	0.44%	—	—	0.22%	—	1.75%
Total	26.54%	33.33%	22.59%	10.96%	4.82%	1.75%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.41	+0.00
SD	1.26	1.26	1.88
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	8	8	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.79%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
1	7.89%	13.16%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	28.95%
2	7.89%	7.89%	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	28.95%
3	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	39.47%	28.95%	21.05%	7.89%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.05	+0.16
SD	1.07	1.09	1.52
CV	0.88	1.03	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
1	10.53%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
2	10.53%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	—	26.32%
3	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
4	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	13.16%
5+	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	39.47%	36.84%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.45	0.97	+1.47
SD	1.61	1.05	1.87
CV	0.66	1.08	—
Max	8	4	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	10.53%	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	34.21%
1	2.63%	21.05%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	39.47%
2	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	15.79%
3	—	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%
Total	10.53%	42.11%	21.05%	15.79%	10.53%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.74	-0.66
SD	1.12	1.18	1.42
CV	1.04	0.68	—
Max	5	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	21.05%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	39.47%
1	10.53%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	42.11%
2	—	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
3	—	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	39.47%	21.05%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.87	1.79	-0.92
SD	0.91	1.63	1.76
CV	1.04	0.91	—
Max	3	8	+1
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	—	5.26%	28.95%
1	10.53%	13.16%	21.05%	7.89%	2.63%	—	55.26%
2	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
3	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	18.42%	36.84%	13.16%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.68	-0.76
SD	0.78	1.34	1.73
CV	0.85	0.79	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	18.42%
1	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	28.95%
2	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
3	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	42.11%	36.84%	18.42%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.87	0.82	+1.05
SD	1.44	0.83	1.77
CV	0.77	1.02	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	—	5.26%	—	23.68%
1	2.63%	5.26%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	23.68%
2	5.26%	18.42%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
3	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	18.42%	39.47%	26.32%	7.89%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.47	+0.13
SD	1.41	1.13	2.11
CV	0.88	0.77	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
1	13.16%	15.79%	10.53%	—	—	—	39.47%
2	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
3	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.84%	34.21%	21.05%	7.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.00	+0.34
SD	1.05	0.96	1.30
CV	0.78	0.96	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	21.05%
1	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	18.42%
2	2.63%	10.53%	15.79%	2.63%	7.89%	—	39.47%
3	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	26.32%	28.95%	10.53%	13.16%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.66	1.68	-0.03
SD	1.15	1.30	1.75
CV	0.69	0.77	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	15.79%	7.89%	15.79%	—	5.26%	50.00%
1	5.26%	7.89%	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	—	36.84%
2	—	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	10.53%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	28.95%	23.68%	26.32%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.66	2.08	-1.42
SD	0.78	1.46	1.72
CV	1.19	0.70	—
Max	3	7	+2
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	2.63%	21.05%
1	13.16%	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	39.47%
2	2.63%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	21.05%	34.21%	23.68%	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.61	-0.16
SD	1.22	1.37	1.82
CV	0.85	0.85	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	21.05%
1	13.16%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	26.32%
2	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
3	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
4	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	39.47%	34.21%	15.79%	10.53%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	0.97	+0.79
SD	1.36	1.00	1.71
CV	0.77	1.03	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1984	91	70.83	+20.17	100.0%	54	57	67	72	76	81	84
Rangers	1933	73	63.94	+9.06	37.0%	47	51	59	64	69	73	78
Heart of Midlothian	1879	74	58.44	+15.56	82.0%	38	46	54	59	64	70	72
Aberdeen	1782	54	48.04	+5.96	46.0%	29	35	44	49	53	58	72
Inverness CT	1756	58	44.23	+13.77	46.0%	27	33	40	44	48	58	59
Kilmarnock	1711	55	47.80	+7.20	69.0%	30	37	43	46	53	59	70
Hibernian	1691	56	50.90	+5.10	58.0%	32	38	45	51	56	62	72
Motherwell	1669	49	43.37	+5.63	53.0%	29	32	39	44	48	53	64
Falkirk	1566	33	32.29	+0.71	12.0%	14	22	28	32	37	42	45
Dunfermline Athletic	1555	33	27.94	+5.06	26.0%	13	18	23	27	33	38	42
Dundee United	1520	33	34.43	-1.43	37.0%	18	22	29	35	39	45	51
Livingston	1451	18	24.66	-6.66	7.0%	8	14	21	24	28	33	41

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+10.09%

No Edge

42.54%25.00%32.46%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 35.17 Elo pts.

177 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.29 goals

Neutral

-2+0.20+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.7

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

74%

Celtic, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.45/gm

Runaway

00.200.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.45 * Some Luck: 5.45 to 8.17 * Lucky: 8.17 to 10.89 * Wild Swing: 10.89 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.91 * Close: 0.91 to 1.37 * Off: 1.37 to 1.82 * Way Off: 1.82 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.04 points

Some Luck

06.8117

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.33

Pinpoint

01.142.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Celtic

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

7.00%

Livingston

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

0 of 1

As Expected

00.41

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 165.87

2.56

Wide Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

77%

Wide Edge

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

96%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

63%

Very Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Rare

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.55

Highly Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.43

Notable Separation

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.85

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.85

Near-Lock

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

18%

Chalky

0%21%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

15%

Solid Favorites

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.97

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.28

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.060

Well Within Noise

00.1110.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	74.00%	17.00%	7.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	6.00%	25.00%	32.00%	22.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Rangers	20.00%	45.00%	22.00%	8.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	—	7.00%	17.00%	30.00%	16.00%	11.00%	11.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—
Kilmarnock	—	3.00%	6.00%	13.00%	21.00%	30.00%	12.00%	7.00%	6.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Aberdeen	—	2.00%	8.00%	12.00%	26.00%	22.00%	14.00%	9.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Inverness CT	—	—	6.00%	7.00%	19.00%	10.00%	20.00%	24.00%	10.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Motherwell	—	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	7.00%	17.00%	26.00%	17.00%	17.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—
Dundee United	—	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	21.00%	30.00%	15.00%	16.00%	9.00%
Falkirk	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	11.00%	20.00%	35.00%	18.00%	9.00%
Dunfermline Athletic	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	9.00%	29.00%	28.00%	29.00%
Livingston	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	10.00%	32.00%	53.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	69.87%	30.12%	0.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	—	30.13%	69.74%	0.13%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	—	—	0.11%	56.58%	31.21%	12.10%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	0.03%	32.39%	44.35%	23.23%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	—	—	—	10.89%	24.44%	64.67%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Inverness CT	—	—	—	—	—	—	66.81%	33.15%	0.04%	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	—	—	—	—	—	33.18%	66.68%	0.14%	—	—	—
Dundee United	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.17%	94.47%	5.20%	0.15%	—
Falkirk	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.31%	67.61%	27.87%	0.21%
Dunfermline Athletic	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.04%	27.12%	70.65%	1.19%
Livingston	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.07%	1.33%	98.60%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—
Celtic	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Hibernian	100%	—
Inverness CT	100%	—
Kilmarnock	100%	—
Motherwell	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
Dundee United	93.00%	7.00%
Falkirk	90.00%	10.00%
Dunfermline Athletic	72.00%	28.00%
Livingston	45.00%	55.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—
Celtic	100%	—
Dundee United	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Hibernian	100%	—
Inverness CT	100%	—
Kilmarnock	100%	—
Motherwell	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
Falkirk	99.79%	0.21%
Dunfermline Athletic	98.81%	1.19%
Livingston	1.40%	98.60%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2005-07-30	Aberdeen	D 1-1	70.6	1640	1713	31.69%	26.39%	41.91%	-0.22	+0.6	1
2005-07-30	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	70.6	1713	1640	41.91%	26.39%	31.69%	+0.22	-0.6	1
2005-07-30	Celtic	D 4-4	83.7	1697	1862	21.34%	25.16%	53.50%	-0.73	+1.0	1
2005-07-30	@ Motherwell	D 4-4	83.7	1862	1697	53.50%	25.16%	21.34%	+0.73	-1.0	1
2005-07-30	Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	70.6	1702	1626	51.68%	25.46%	22.86%	+0.63	-1.7	1
2005-07-30	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	70.6	1626	1702	22.86%	25.46%	51.68%	-0.63	+1.7	1
2005-07-30	Heart of Midlothian	L 2-4	66.8	1676	1717	36.29%	26.51%	37.20%	-0.03	-15.1	0
2005-07-30	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-2	66.8	1717	1676	37.20%	26.51%	36.29%	+0.03	+15.1	3
2005-07-30	Inverness CT	L 0-2	57.6	1661	1673	40.24%	26.46%	33.31%	+0.13	-21.1	0
2005-07-30	@ Falkirk	W 2-0	57.6	1673	1661	33.31%	26.46%	40.24%	-0.13	+21.1	3
2005-07-31	Livingston	W 3-0	45.7	1899	1631	70.31%	19.97%	9.73%	+1.71	+8.4	3
2005-07-31	@ Rangers	L 0-3	45.7	1631	1899	9.73%	19.97%	70.31%	-1.71	-8.4	0
2005-08-06	Dundee United	W 2-0	48.7	1861	1640	66.44%	21.59%	11.97%	+1.45	+7.3	4
2005-08-06	@ Celtic	L 0-2	48.7	1640	1861	11.97%	21.59%	66.44%	-1.45	-7.3	1
2005-08-06	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	55.4	1699	1628	51.10%	25.55%	23.35%	+0.60	+7.3	4
2005-08-06	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	55.4	1628	1699	23.35%	25.55%	51.10%	-0.60	-7.3	1
2005-08-06	Falkirk	L 0-2	56.5	1622	1640	39.55%	26.48%	33.98%	+0.10	-20.8	0
2005-08-06	@ Livingston	W 2-0	56.5	1640	1622	33.98%	26.48%	39.55%	-0.10	+20.8	3
2005-08-06	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	68.9	1713	1661	48.72%	25.86%	25.42%	+0.49	-12.3	1
2005-08-06	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	68.9	1661	1713	25.42%	25.86%	48.72%	-0.49	+12.3	3
2005-08-06	Rangers	L 0-1	54.5	1694	1907	17.22%	24.04%	58.74%	-1.00	-5.6	3
2005-08-06	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	54.5	1907	1694	58.74%	24.04%	17.22%	+1.00	+5.6	6
2005-08-07	Hibernian	W 4-0	52.1	1732	1700	46.19%	26.11%	27.70%	+0.38	+30.1	6
2005-08-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	52.1	1700	1732	27.70%	26.11%	46.19%	-0.38	-30.1	1
2005-08-13	Falkirk	W 3-1	54.9	1869	1660	65.33%	22.01%	12.67%	+1.37	+6.7	7
2005-08-13	@ Celtic	L 1-3	54.9	1660	1869	12.67%	22.01%	65.33%	-1.37	-6.7	3
2005-08-13	Inverness CT	L 0-1	58.2	1620	1689	32.39%	26.42%	41.19%	-0.19	-9.5	1
2005-08-13	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	58.2	1689	1620	41.19%	26.42%	32.39%	+0.19	+9.5	6
2005-08-13	Livingston	W 3-0	49.6	1670	1602	50.78%	25.59%	23.62%	+0.58	+20.2	4
2005-08-13	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	49.6	1602	1670	23.62%	25.59%	50.78%	-0.58	-20.2	0
2005-08-13	Motherwell	W 4-1	60.0	1674	1706	37.42%	26.51%	36.07%	+0.02	+23.8	6
2005-08-13	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-4	60.0	1706	1674	36.07%	26.51%	37.42%	-0.02	-23.8	4
2005-08-14	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	51.4	1633	1762	25.06%	25.81%	49.14%	-0.53	-21.2	1
2005-08-14	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	51.4	1762	1633	49.14%	25.81%	25.06%	+0.53	+21.2	9
2005-08-14	Rangers	W 3-2	77.5	1701	1913	17.28%	24.06%	58.65%	-1.00	+13.7	4
2005-08-14	@ Aberdeen	L 2-3	77.5	1913	1701	58.65%	24.06%	17.28%	+1.00	-13.7	6
2005-08-20	Aberdeen	W 2-0	53.4	1783	1714	50.84%	25.59%	23.57%	+0.59	+13.9	12
2005-08-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	53.4	1714	1783	23.57%	25.59%	50.84%	-0.59	-13.9	4
2005-08-20	Celtic	W 3-1	61.2	1899	1875	45.14%	26.20%	28.66%	+0.33	+14.1	9
2005-08-20	@ Rangers	L 1-3	61.2	1875	1899	28.66%	26.20%	45.14%	-0.33	-14.1	7
2005-08-20	Dundee United	L 4-5	77.9	1682	1612	51.00%	25.56%	23.43%	+0.59	-11.7	4
2005-08-20	@ Motherwell	W 5-4	77.9	1612	1682	23.43%	25.56%	51.00%	-0.59	+11.7	4
2005-08-20	Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	68.1	1581	1611	37.82%	26.50%	35.68%	+0.03	-0.1	1
2005-08-20	@ Livingston	D 1-1	68.1	1611	1581	35.68%	26.50%	37.82%	-0.03	+0.1	2
2005-08-20	Hibernian	L 0-2	56.7	1654	1690	36.82%	26.51%	36.67%	-0.01	-19.7	3
2005-08-20	@ Falkirk	W 2-0	56.7	1690	1654	36.67%	26.51%	36.82%	+0.01	+19.7	7
2005-08-20	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	76.7	1698	1697	42.03%	26.39%	31.58%	+0.20	-0.4	7
2005-08-20	@ Inverness CT	D 2-2	76.7	1697	1698	31.58%	26.39%	42.03%	-0.20	+0.4	7
2005-08-27	Falkirk	W 3-0	50.5	1700	1634	50.55%	25.63%	23.83%	+0.57	+20.4	7
2005-08-27	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	50.5	1634	1700	23.83%	25.63%	50.55%	-0.57	-20.4	3
2005-08-27	Hibernian	L 0-3	63.1	1913	1710	64.89%	22.16%	12.94%	+1.35	-45.8	9
2005-08-27	@ Rangers	W 3-0	63.1	1710	1913	12.94%	22.16%	64.89%	-1.35	+45.8	10
2005-08-27	Livingston	W 3-0	48.1	1698	1581	56.33%	24.61%	19.06%	+0.86	+16.7	10
2005-08-27	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-3	48.1	1581	1698	19.06%	24.61%	56.33%	-0.86	-16.7	1
2005-08-27	Motherwell	W 2-1	59.9	1797	1670	57.39%	24.37%	18.24%	+0.91	+5.5	15
2005-08-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	59.9	1670	1797	18.24%	24.37%	57.39%	-0.91	-5.5	4
2005-08-28	Celtic	L 0-4	47.5	1611	1861	14.58%	22.99%	62.43%	-1.21	-16.9	2
2005-08-28	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-0	47.5	1861	1611	62.43%	22.99%	14.58%	+1.21	+16.9	10
2005-08-28	Inverness CT	D 1-1	70.3	1624	1698	31.63%	26.39%	41.98%	-0.22	+0.6	5
2005-08-28	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	70.3	1698	1624	41.98%	26.39%	31.63%	+0.22	-0.6	8
2005-09-10	Aberdeen	W 2-0	50.7	1878	1721	60.57%	23.55%	15.88%	+1.09	+9.7	13
2005-09-10	@ Celtic	L 0-2	50.7	1721	1878	15.88%	23.55%	60.57%	-1.09	-9.7	7
2005-09-10	Dundee United	W 2-1	59.2	1756	1624	57.91%	24.25%	17.84%	+0.94	+5.4	13
2005-09-10	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	59.2	1624	1756	17.84%	24.25%	57.91%	-0.94	-5.4	5
2005-09-10	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-2	64.1	1715	1594	56.76%	24.51%	18.72%	+0.88	+5.4	13
2005-09-10	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-3	64.1	1594	1715	18.72%	24.51%	56.76%	-0.88	-5.4	2
2005-09-10	Motherwell	L 1-2	68.2	1697	1665	46.26%	26.11%	27.63%	+0.38	-11.8	8
2005-09-10	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	68.2	1665	1697	27.63%	26.11%	46.26%	-0.38	+11.8	7
2005-09-10	Rangers	D 1-1	72.5	1614	1867	14.36%	22.89%	62.75%	-1.23	+3.0	4
2005-09-10	@ Falkirk	D 1-1	72.5	1867	1614	62.75%	22.89%	14.36%	+1.23	-3.0	10
2005-09-11	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	52.8	1565	1802	15.42%	23.36%	61.22%	-1.14	-11.5	1
2005-09-11	@ Livingston	W 4-1	52.8	1802	1565	61.22%	23.36%	15.42%	+1.14	+11.5	18
2005-09-17	Aberdeen	L 0-2	52.7	1589	1711	25.74%	25.90%	48.36%	-0.49	-14.9	2
2005-09-17	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	52.7	1711	1589	48.36%	25.90%	25.74%	+0.49	+15.0	10
2005-09-17	Falkirk	W 5-0	50.4	1677	1617	49.77%	25.73%	24.50%	+0.54	+33.6	10
2005-09-17	@ Motherwell	L 0-5	50.4	1617	1677	24.50%	25.73%	49.77%	-0.54	-33.6	4
2005-09-17	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	57.1	1685	1814	25.05%	25.81%	49.15%	-0.53	-7.8	8
2005-09-17	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	57.1	1814	1685	49.15%	25.81%	25.05%	+0.53	+7.8	21
2005-09-17	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	49.1	1864	1720	59.26%	23.91%	16.83%	+1.01	+14.9	13
2005-09-17	@ Rangers	L 0-3	49.1	1720	1864	16.83%	23.91%	59.26%	-1.01	-14.9	13
2005-09-17	Livingston	W 2-0	49.7	1619	1553	50.48%	25.64%	23.89%	+0.57	+14.0	8
2005-09-17	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	49.7	1553	1619	23.89%	25.64%	50.48%	-0.57	-14.0	1
2005-09-18	Celtic	L 0-1	57.5	1761	1888	25.24%	25.83%	48.93%	-0.52	-7.8	13
2005-09-18	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	57.5	1888	1761	48.93%	25.83%	25.24%	+0.52	+7.8	16
2005-09-24	Dundee United	W 2-1	64.1	1574	1633	33.62%	26.47%	39.91%	-0.14	+10.5	5
2005-09-24	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	64.1	1633	1574	39.91%	26.47%	33.62%	+0.14	-10.5	8
2005-09-24	Falkirk	D 1-1	70.5	1705	1583	56.91%	24.48%	18.61%	+0.89	-2.3	14
2005-09-24	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	70.5	1583	1705	18.61%	24.48%	56.91%	-0.89	+2.3	5
2005-09-24	Hibernian	L 1-3	62.9	1710	1753	35.86%	26.50%	37.63%	-0.04	-16.8	10
2005-09-24	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	62.9	1753	1710	37.63%	26.50%	35.86%	+0.04	+16.8	16
2005-09-24	Inverness CT	W 2-1	57.6	1896	1678	66.20%	21.68%	12.12%	+1.43	+3.7	19
2005-09-24	@ Celtic	L 1-2	57.6	1678	1896	12.12%	21.68%	66.20%	-1.43	-3.7	8
2005-09-24	Livingston	D 0-0	66.3	1726	1539	63.39%	22.68%	13.93%	+1.25	-3.4	11
2005-09-24	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	66.3	1539	1726	13.93%	22.68%	63.39%	-1.25	+3.4	2
2005-09-24	Rangers	W 1-0	62.1	1822	1879	33.82%	26.47%	39.71%	-0.13	+11.1	24
2005-09-24	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	62.1	1879	1822	39.71%	26.47%	33.82%	+0.13	-11.1	13
2005-10-01	Celtic	L 0-5	45.1	1542	1899	9.09%	19.42%	71.49%	-1.82	-12.6	2
2005-10-01	@ Livingston	W 5-0	45.1	1899	1542	71.49%	19.42%	9.09%	+1.82	+12.6	22
2005-10-01	Dunfermline Athletic	W 5-1	48.7	1868	1584	71.56%	19.39%	9.05%	+1.80	+8.5	16
2005-10-01	@ Rangers	L 1-5	48.7	1584	1868	9.05%	19.39%	71.56%	-1.80	-8.5	5
2005-10-01	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	66.0	1622	1703	30.79%	26.35%	42.86%	-0.26	+0.8	9
2005-10-01	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	66.0	1703	1622	42.86%	26.35%	30.79%	+0.26	-0.8	15
2005-10-01	Motherwell	D 2-2	76.9	1723	1693	45.85%	26.14%	28.00%	+0.36	-0.8	12
2005-10-01	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	76.9	1693	1723	28.00%	26.14%	45.85%	-0.36	+0.8	11
2005-10-02	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	77.8	1585	1833	14.78%	23.08%	62.14%	-1.20	+2.2	6
2005-10-02	@ Falkirk	D 2-2	77.8	1833	1585	62.14%	23.08%	14.78%	+1.20	-2.2	25
2005-10-02	Inverness CT	L 1-2	70.7	1770	1674	54.05%	25.06%	20.88%	+0.74	-13.5	16
2005-10-02	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	70.7	1674	1770	20.88%	25.06%	54.05%	-0.74	+13.5	11
2005-10-15	Aberdeen	D 1-1	71.0	1687	1722	37.09%	26.51%	36.40%	+0.00	-0.0	12
2005-10-15	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	71.0	1722	1687	36.40%	26.51%	37.09%	+0.00	+0.0	13
2005-10-15	Falkirk	L 0-1	57.8	1576	1588	40.29%	26.46%	33.26%	+0.13	-11.2	5
2005-10-15	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	57.8	1588	1576	33.26%	26.46%	40.29%	-0.13	+11.2	9
2005-10-15	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.2	1912	1831	52.35%	25.36%	22.29%	+0.66	-1.8	23
2005-10-15	@ Celtic	D 1-1	72.2	1831	1912	22.29%	25.36%	52.35%	-0.66	+1.8	26
2005-10-15	Kilmarnock	W 4-2	63.6	1756	1702	49.09%	25.81%	25.10%	+0.51	+11.3	19
2005-10-15	@ Hibernian	L 2-4	63.6	1702	1756	25.10%	25.81%	49.09%	-0.51	-11.3	15
2005-10-15	Livingston	W 1-0	50.8	1694	1530	61.24%	23.35%	15.40%	+1.13	+5.0	14
2005-10-15	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	50.8	1530	1694	15.40%	23.35%	61.24%	-1.13	-5.0	2
2005-10-16	Rangers	D 0-0	68.2	1623	1877	14.37%	22.89%	62.74%	-1.23	+3.3	10
2005-10-16	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	68.2	1877	1623	62.74%	22.89%	14.37%	+1.23	-3.3	17
2005-10-22	Dundee United	L 1-3	61.1	1599	1626	38.07%	26.50%	35.43%	+0.04	-17.5	9
2005-10-22	@ Falkirk	W 3-1	61.1	1626	1599	35.43%	26.50%	38.07%	-0.04	+17.5	13
2005-10-22	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	47.1	1832	1564	70.30%	19.97%	9.73%	+1.71	+5.8	29
2005-10-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	47.1	1564	1832	9.73%	19.97%	70.30%	-1.71	-5.8	5
2005-10-22	Hibernian	L 0-1	60.4	1722	1768	35.44%	26.50%	38.06%	-0.06	-10.2	13
2005-10-22	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	60.4	1768	1722	38.06%	26.50%	35.44%	+0.06	+10.2	22
2005-10-22	Inverness CT	D 1-1	68.9	1525	1687	21.58%	25.22%	53.20%	-0.72	+1.9	3
2005-10-22	@ Livingston	D 1-1	68.9	1687	1525	53.20%	25.22%	21.58%	+0.72	-1.9	13
2005-10-22	Motherwell	W 2-0	50.2	1873	1699	62.20%	23.06%	14.73%	+1.18	+9.0	20
2005-10-22	@ Rangers	L 0-2	50.2	1699	1873	14.73%	23.06%	62.20%	-1.18	-9.0	14
2005-10-23	Celtic	L 0-1	54.3	1691	1910	16.73%	23.87%	59.40%	-1.04	-5.4	15
2005-10-23	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	54.3	1910	1691	59.40%	23.87%	16.73%	+1.04	+5.4	26
2005-10-25	Dundee United	W 2-0	52.6	1712	1644	50.72%	25.60%	23.68%	+0.58	+13.9	16
2005-10-25	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	52.6	1644	1712	23.68%	25.60%	50.72%	-0.58	-13.9	13
2005-10-26	Falkirk	L 0-3	58.7	1685	1581	54.95%	24.89%	20.15%	+0.79	-39.6	13
2005-10-26	@ Inverness CT	W 3-0	58.7	1581	1685	20.15%	24.89%	54.95%	-0.79	+39.6	12
2005-10-26	Hibernian	L 1-2	58.4	1559	1778	16.75%	23.88%	59.38%	-1.04	-5.1	5
2005-10-26	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	58.4	1778	1559	59.38%	23.88%	16.75%	+1.04	+5.1	25
2005-10-26	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	53.9	1838	1685	60.11%	23.68%	16.21%	+1.06	+5.2	32
2005-10-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	53.9	1685	1838	16.21%	23.68%	60.11%	-1.06	-5.2	15
2005-10-26	Motherwell	W 5-0	47.0	1916	1690	66.83%	21.44%	11.74%	+1.47	+16.7	29
2005-10-26	@ Celtic	L 0-5	47.0	1690	1916	11.74%	21.44%	66.83%	-1.47	-16.7	14
2005-10-26	Rangers	D 2-2	78.8	1527	1882	9.14%	19.47%	71.40%	-1.81	+2.9	4
2005-10-26	@ Livingston	D 2-2	78.8	1882	1527	71.40%	19.47%	9.14%	+1.81	-2.9	21
2005-10-29	Aberdeen	W 4-2	67.4	1680	1726	35.51%	26.50%	37.99%	-0.06	+15.6	18
2005-10-29	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-4	67.4	1726	1680	37.99%	26.50%	35.51%	+0.06	-15.6	16
2005-10-29	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	58.9	1783	1843	33.46%	26.46%	40.08%	-0.14	+21.0	28
2005-10-29	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	58.9	1843	1783	40.08%	26.46%	33.46%	+0.14	-21.0	32
2005-10-29	Inverness CT	D 1-1	73.1	1880	1646	67.53%	21.16%	11.31%	+1.52	-3.5	22
2005-10-29	@ Rangers	D 1-1	73.1	1646	1880	11.31%	21.16%	67.53%	-1.52	+3.5	14
2005-10-29	Livingston	D 1-1	67.4	1621	1530	53.50%	25.16%	21.33%	+0.71	-1.9	13
2005-10-29	@ Falkirk	D 1-1	67.4	1530	1621	21.33%	25.16%	53.50%	-0.71	+1.9	5
2005-10-29	Motherwell	L 0-3	49.7	1554	1673	26.02%	25.93%	48.05%	-0.48	-21.9	5
2005-10-29	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	49.7	1673	1554	48.05%	25.93%	26.02%	+0.48	+21.9	17
2005-10-30	Celtic	L 2-4	58.5	1630	1932	11.58%	21.33%	67.09%	-1.51	-5.4	13
2005-10-30	@ Dundee United	W 4-2	58.5	1932	1630	67.09%	21.33%	11.58%	+1.51	+5.4	32
2005-11-05	Aberdeen	D 0-0	68.3	1876	1710	61.41%	23.30%	15.28%	+1.14	-3.2	23
2005-11-05	@ Rangers	D 0-0	68.3	1710	1876	15.28%	23.30%	61.41%	-1.14	+3.2	17
2005-11-05	Dundee United	W 3-0	47.2	1822	1625	64.39%	22.34%	13.27%	+1.32	+11.8	35
2005-11-05	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	47.2	1625	1822	13.27%	22.34%	64.39%	-1.32	-11.8	13
2005-11-05	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	56.7	1649	1532	56.44%	24.58%	18.98%	+0.86	+5.7	17
2005-11-05	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	56.7	1532	1649	18.98%	24.58%	56.44%	-0.86	-5.7	5
2005-11-05	Hibernian	L 1-2	56.8	1531	1804	13.21%	22.31%	64.49%	-1.34	-4.0	5
2005-11-05	@ Livingston	W 2-1	56.8	1804	1531	64.49%	22.31%	13.21%	+1.34	+4.0	31
2005-11-05	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	76.6	1695	1696	41.90%	26.39%	31.71%	+0.20	-0.4	18
2005-11-05	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	76.6	1696	1695	31.71%	26.39%	41.90%	-0.20	+0.4	19
2005-11-06	Celtic	L 0-3	46.3	1619	1938	10.76%	20.77%	68.46%	-1.60	-9.4	13
2005-11-06	@ Falkirk	W 3-0	46.3	1938	1619	68.46%	20.77%	10.76%	+1.60	+9.4	35
2005-11-19	Falkirk	L 2-3	78.1	1808	1610	64.46%	22.32%	13.22%	+1.32	-14.9	31
2005-11-19	@ Hibernian	W 3-2	78.1	1610	1808	13.22%	22.32%	64.46%	-1.32	+14.9	16
2005-11-19	Inverness CT	D 2-2	76.4	1696	1655	47.40%	26.00%	26.60%	+0.43	-0.9	20
2005-11-19	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	76.4	1655	1696	26.60%	26.00%	47.40%	-0.43	+0.9	18
2005-11-19	Livingston	L 0-1	54.8	1526	1527	41.73%	26.40%	31.87%	+0.19	-11.5	5
2005-11-19	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	54.8	1527	1526	31.87%	26.40%	41.73%	-0.19	+11.5	8
2005-11-19	Motherwell	D 1-1	70.2	1613	1695	30.57%	26.33%	43.09%	-0.27	+0.7	14
2005-11-19	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	70.2	1695	1613	43.09%	26.33%	30.57%	+0.27	-0.7	19
2005-11-19	Rangers	W 3-0	51.7	1947	1873	51.51%	25.49%	23.00%	+0.62	+19.8	38
2005-11-19	@ Celtic	L 0-3	51.7	1873	1947	23.00%	25.49%	51.51%	-0.62	-19.8	23
2005-11-20	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.8	1713	1834	25.89%	25.92%	48.19%	-0.48	+1.3	18
2005-11-20	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	71.8	1834	1713	48.19%	25.92%	25.89%	+0.48	-1.3	36
2005-11-26	Aberdeen	L 1-2	63.0	1624	1714	29.58%	26.27%	44.14%	-0.31	-8.4	16
2005-11-26	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	63.0	1714	1624	44.14%	26.27%	29.58%	+0.31	+8.4	21
2005-11-26	Dundee United	D 1-1	69.7	1656	1613	47.57%	25.98%	26.45%	+0.44	-1.2	19
2005-11-26	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	69.7	1613	1656	26.45%	25.98%	47.57%	-0.44	+1.2	15
2005-11-26	Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	70.5	1967	1514	82.41%	13.38%	4.22%	+2.75	-19.7	38
2005-11-26	@ Celtic	W 1-0	70.5	1514	1967	4.22%	13.38%	82.41%	-2.75	+19.7	8
2005-11-26	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.8	1694	1833	23.98%	25.65%	50.37%	-0.58	+1.5	20
2005-11-26	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	71.8	1833	1694	50.37%	25.65%	23.98%	+0.58	-1.5	37
2005-11-26	Kilmarnock	L 0-3	48.5	1539	1695	22.18%	25.34%	52.48%	-0.68	-19.2	8
2005-11-26	@ Livingston	W 3-0	48.5	1695	1539	52.48%	25.34%	22.18%	+0.68	+19.1	23
2005-11-27	Rangers	W 2-1	67.5	1793	1853	33.53%	26.46%	40.01%	-0.14	+10.5	34
2005-11-27	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	67.5	1853	1793	40.01%	26.46%	33.53%	+0.14	-10.5	23
2005-12-03	Falkirk	D 2-2	78.5	1843	1616	66.92%	21.40%	11.68%	+1.48	-2.6	24
2005-12-03	@ Rangers	D 2-2	78.5	1616	1843	11.68%	21.40%	66.92%	-1.48	+2.6	17
2005-12-03	Hibernian	W 1-0	65.8	1615	1804	19.17%	24.64%	56.20%	-0.87	+14.8	18
2005-12-03	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	65.8	1804	1615	56.20%	24.64%	19.17%	+0.87	-14.8	34
2005-12-03	Inverness CT	L 0-2	59.8	1696	1655	47.40%	26.00%	26.60%	+0.43	-24.0	20
2005-12-03	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	59.8	1655	1696	26.60%	26.00%	47.40%	-0.43	+24.0	22
2005-12-03	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	53.1	1534	1714	19.94%	24.84%	55.22%	-0.82	-6.4	8
2005-12-03	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	53.1	1714	1534	55.22%	24.84%	19.94%	+0.82	+6.4	26
2005-12-03	Livingston	W 2-1	54.3	1831	1520	73.58%	18.40%	8.02%	+1.96	+2.3	40
2005-12-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	54.3	1520	1831	8.02%	18.40%	73.58%	-1.96	-2.3	8
2005-12-04	Celtic	L 1-3	56.7	1723	1947	16.37%	23.74%	59.89%	-1.07	-8.7	21
2005-12-04	@ Aberdeen	W 3-1	56.7	1947	1723	59.89%	23.74%	16.37%	+1.07	+8.6	41
2005-12-10	Dundee United	W 1-0	59.3	1517	1629	26.93%	26.04%	47.03%	-0.43	+12.7	11
2005-12-10	@ Livingston	L 0-1	59.3	1629	1517	47.03%	26.04%	26.93%	+0.43	-12.7	18
2005-12-10	Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	65.9	1714	1528	63.34%	22.70%	13.97%	+1.25	-3.4	22
2005-12-10	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	65.9	1528	1714	13.97%	22.70%	63.34%	-1.25	+3.4	9
2005-12-10	Hibernian	W 3-2	64.4	1956	1789	61.48%	23.28%	15.24%	+1.14	+4.4	44
2005-12-10	@ Celtic	L 2-3	64.4	1789	1956	15.24%	23.28%	61.48%	-1.14	-4.4	34
2005-12-10	Inverness CT	D 0-0	68.0	1834	1679	60.32%	23.62%	16.06%	+1.07	-3.0	41
2005-12-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	68.0	1679	1834	16.06%	23.62%	60.32%	-1.07	+3.0	23
2005-12-10	Motherwell	L 0-1	58.6	1619	1672	34.45%	26.49%	39.06%	-0.10	-10.0	17
2005-12-10	@ Falkirk	W 1-0	58.6	1672	1619	39.06%	26.49%	34.45%	+0.10	+10.0	23
2005-12-11	Rangers	L 2-3	68.2	1721	1840	26.09%	25.94%	47.97%	-0.47	-7.2	26
2005-12-11	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-2	68.2	1840	1721	47.97%	25.94%	26.09%	+0.47	+7.2	27
2005-12-17	Aberdeen	D 0-0	65.3	1530	1711	19.91%	24.83%	55.25%	-0.82	+2.4	12
2005-12-17	@ Livingston	D 0-0	65.3	1711	1530	55.25%	24.83%	19.91%	+0.82	-2.4	23
2005-12-17	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	59.0	1847	1831	44.19%	26.27%	29.54%	+0.29	+8.8	30
2005-12-17	@ Rangers	L 0-1	59.0	1831	1847	29.54%	26.27%	44.19%	-0.29	-8.9	41
2005-12-17	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	62.2	1609	1714	27.76%	26.12%	46.12%	-0.39	-7.9	17
2005-12-17	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	62.2	1714	1609	46.12%	26.12%	27.76%	+0.39	+8.0	29
2005-12-17	Motherwell	W 2-1	60.7	1785	1682	54.82%	24.92%	20.26%	+0.78	+6.1	37
2005-12-17	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	60.7	1682	1785	20.26%	24.92%	54.82%	-0.78	-6.1	23
2005-12-18	Celtic	D 1-1	73.1	1682	1960	12.87%	22.12%	65.02%	-1.37	+3.2	24
2005-12-18	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	73.1	1960	1682	65.02%	22.12%	12.87%	+1.37	-3.2	45
2005-12-20	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	56.9	1617	1531	52.84%	25.28%	21.88%	+0.68	+6.5	21
2005-12-20	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	56.9	1531	1617	21.88%	25.28%	52.84%	-0.68	-6.5	9
2005-12-26	Aberdeen	W 3-1	62.6	1676	1708	37.34%	26.51%	36.15%	+0.01	+16.9	26
2005-12-26	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	62.6	1708	1676	36.15%	26.51%	37.34%	-0.01	-16.8	23
2005-12-26	Dundee United	W 2-1	60.0	1722	1623	54.29%	25.02%	20.69%	+0.75	+6.2	32
2005-12-26	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	60.0	1623	1722	20.69%	25.02%	54.29%	-0.75	-6.2	21
2005-12-26	Falkirk	W 5-0	46.5	1822	1601	66.44%	21.59%	11.97%	+1.45	+17.0	44
2005-12-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-5	46.5	1601	1822	11.97%	21.59%	66.44%	-1.45	-17.0	17
2005-12-26	Hibernian	W 2-0	60.3	1685	1791	27.66%	26.11%	46.23%	-0.40	+23.6	27
2005-12-26	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	60.3	1791	1685	46.23%	26.11%	27.66%	+0.40	-23.5	37
2005-12-26	Livingston	W 2-1	52.9	1957	1533	80.86%	14.34%	4.80%	+2.59	+1.3	48
2005-12-26	@ Celtic	L 1-2	52.9	1533	1957	4.80%	14.34%	80.86%	-2.59	-1.3	12
2005-12-26	Rangers	D 3-3	82.5	1525	1856	10.18%	20.33%	69.49%	-1.67	+2.3	10
2005-12-26	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 3-3	82.5	1856	1525	69.49%	20.33%	10.18%	+1.67	-2.3	31
2005-12-31	Dundee United	W 3-0	46.3	1854	1617	67.77%	21.06%	11.17%	+1.53	+9.8	34
2005-12-31	@ Rangers	L 0-3	46.3	1617	1854	11.17%	21.06%	67.77%	-1.53	-9.8	21
2005-12-31	Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	64.2	1584	1527	49.37%	25.78%	24.85%	+0.52	-12.4	17
2005-12-31	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	64.2	1527	1584	24.85%	25.78%	49.37%	-0.52	+12.4	13
2005-12-31	Inverness CT	D 0-0	66.6	1691	1709	39.56%	26.47%	33.96%	+0.10	-0.4	24
2005-12-31	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	66.6	1709	1691	33.96%	26.47%	39.56%	-0.10	+0.3	28
2005-12-31	Motherwell	L 1-2	58.6	1531	1692	21.70%	25.24%	53.06%	-0.71	-6.5	12
2005-12-31	@ Livingston	W 2-1	58.6	1692	1531	53.06%	25.24%	21.70%	+0.71	+6.5	29
2006-01-01	Celtic	L 2-3	68.4	1839	1958	26.06%	25.94%	48.00%	-0.48	-7.2	44
2006-01-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-2	68.4	1958	1839	48.00%	25.94%	26.06%	+0.48	+7.2	51
2006-01-02	Hibernian	D 2-2	77.1	1728	1767	36.37%	26.51%	37.12%	-0.02	+0.0	33
2006-01-02	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	77.1	1767	1728	37.12%	26.51%	36.37%	+0.02	-0.0	38
2006-01-14	Aberdeen	L 1-2	70.2	1767	1691	51.72%	25.46%	22.83%	+0.63	-12.9	38
2006-01-14	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	70.2	1691	1767	22.83%	25.46%	51.72%	-0.63	+12.9	27
2006-01-14	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	51.3	1539	1832	12.11%	21.67%	66.22%	-1.45	-9.0	13
2006-01-14	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-1	51.3	1832	1539	66.22%	21.67%	12.11%	+1.45	+9.0	47
2006-01-14	Kilmarnock	W 4-2	58.5	1965	1728	67.86%	21.02%	11.12%	+1.54	+5.2	54
2006-01-14	@ Celtic	L 2-4	58.5	1728	1965	11.12%	21.02%	67.86%	-1.54	-5.2	33
2006-01-14	Livingston	W 3-0	45.3	1709	1525	63.13%	22.77%	14.10%	+1.24	+12.5	31
2006-01-14	@ Inverness CT	L 0-3	45.3	1525	1709	14.10%	22.77%	63.13%	-1.24	-12.5	12
2006-01-15	Falkirk	W 2-1	59.5	1607	1571	46.75%	26.06%	27.19%	+0.40	+7.8	24
2006-01-15	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	59.5	1571	1607	27.19%	26.06%	46.75%	-0.40	-7.8	17
2006-01-15	Rangers	L 0-1	56.0	1699	1864	21.37%	25.17%	53.46%	-0.73	-6.8	29
2006-01-15	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	56.0	1864	1699	53.46%	25.17%	21.37%	+0.73	+6.8	37
2006-01-21	Aberdeen	D 1-1	70.3	1615	1704	29.71%	26.28%	44.01%	-0.30	+0.8	25
2006-01-21	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	70.3	1704	1615	44.01%	26.28%	29.71%	+0.30	-0.8	28
2006-01-21	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-1	52.7	1754	1530	66.68%	21.49%	11.82%	+1.46	+6.2	41
2006-01-21	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	52.7	1530	1754	11.82%	21.49%	66.68%	-1.46	-6.2	13
2006-01-21	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	64.2	1723	1841	26.22%	25.96%	47.82%	-0.47	+12.8	36
2006-01-21	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	64.2	1841	1723	47.82%	25.96%	26.22%	+0.47	-12.8	47
2006-01-21	Inverness CT	L 1-4	54.4	1563	1721	22.01%	25.30%	52.68%	-0.69	-16.0	17
2006-01-21	@ Falkirk	W 4-1	54.4	1721	1563	52.68%	25.30%	22.01%	+0.69	+16.0	34
2006-01-21	Livingston	W 4-1	48.3	1870	1512	76.79%	16.70%	6.51%	+2.22	+4.5	40
2006-01-21	@ Rangers	L 1-4	48.3	1512	1870	6.51%	16.70%	76.79%	-2.22	-4.5	12
2006-01-22	Celtic	L 1-3	55.2	1692	1971	12.87%	22.12%	65.02%	-1.37	-6.8	29
2006-01-22	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	55.2	1971	1692	65.02%	22.12%	12.87%	+1.37	+6.8	57
2006-01-28	Dundee United	D 3-3	84.5	1977	1616	77.02%	16.58%	6.40%	+2.24	-2.7	58
2006-01-28	@ Celtic	D 3-3	84.5	1616	1977	6.40%	16.58%	77.02%	-2.24	+2.7	26
2006-01-28	Falkirk	L 0-1	53.2	1508	1547	36.34%	26.51%	37.15%	-0.03	-10.4	12
2006-01-28	@ Livingston	W 1-0	53.2	1547	1508	37.15%	26.51%	36.34%	+0.03	+10.4	20
2006-01-28	Hibernian	W 4-1	56.9	1828	1760	50.68%	25.61%	23.71%	+0.58	+17.1	50
2006-01-28	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	56.9	1760	1828	23.71%	25.61%	50.68%	-0.58	-17.1	41
2006-01-28	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	76.9	1703	1735	37.43%	26.51%	36.07%	+0.02	-0.0	29
2006-01-28	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	76.9	1735	1703	36.07%	26.51%	37.43%	-0.02	+0.1	37
2006-01-28	Motherwell	D 1-1	68.8	1524	1685	21.70%	25.24%	53.06%	-0.71	+1.8	14
2006-01-28	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	68.8	1685	1524	53.06%	25.24%	21.70%	+0.71	-1.8	30
2006-01-29	Rangers	L 2-3	67.6	1737	1875	24.11%	25.67%	50.22%	-0.58	-6.7	34
2006-01-29	@ Inverness CT	W 3-2	67.6	1875	1737	50.22%	25.67%	24.11%	+0.58	+6.7	43
2006-02-07	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.2	1619	1845	16.23%	23.69%	60.08%	-1.08	+2.7	27
2006-02-07	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	72.2	1845	1619	60.08%	23.69%	16.23%	+1.08	-2.7	51
2006-02-08	Falkirk	W 2-1	53.2	1975	1558	80.43%	14.60%	4.97%	+2.55	+1.3	61
2006-02-08	@ Celtic	L 1-2	53.2	1558	1975	4.97%	14.60%	80.43%	-2.55	-1.3	20
2006-02-08	Inverness CT	D 2-2	75.7	1526	1731	17.88%	24.26%	57.87%	-0.96	+1.8	15
2006-02-08	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 2-2	75.7	1731	1526	57.87%	24.26%	17.88%	+0.96	-1.8	35
2006-02-08	Livingston	W 7-0	45.4	1743	1497	68.54%	20.74%	10.72%	+1.59	+20.8	44
2006-02-08	@ Hibernian	L 0-7	45.4	1497	1743	10.72%	20.74%	68.54%	-1.59	-20.8	12
2006-02-08	Motherwell	W 2-0	53.7	1735	1684	48.77%	25.85%	25.38%	+0.49	+14.8	40
2006-02-08	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	53.7	1684	1735	25.38%	25.85%	48.77%	-0.49	-14.8	30
2006-02-08	Rangers	W 2-0	62.9	1703	1882	20.11%	24.88%	55.01%	-0.81	+27.3	32
2006-02-08	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	62.9	1882	1703	55.01%	24.88%	20.11%	+0.81	-27.3	43
2006-02-11	Aberdeen	L 1-2	71.6	1842	1730	55.80%	24.72%	19.48%	+0.83	-13.8	51
2006-02-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	71.6	1730	1842	19.48%	24.72%	55.80%	-0.83	+13.8	35
2006-02-11	Dundee United	W 2-0	52.6	1669	1621	48.21%	25.91%	25.88%	+0.47	+15.0	33
2006-02-11	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	52.6	1621	1669	25.88%	25.91%	48.21%	-0.47	-15.0	27
2006-02-11	Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	50.9	1477	1528	34.71%	26.49%	38.80%	-0.09	-10.0	12
2006-02-11	@ Livingston	W 1-0	50.9	1528	1477	38.80%	26.49%	34.71%	+0.09	+10.0	18
2006-02-11	Hibernian	D 0-0	66.6	1556	1764	17.64%	24.18%	58.18%	-0.97	+2.8	21
2006-02-11	@ Falkirk	D 0-0	66.6	1764	1556	58.18%	24.18%	17.64%	+0.97	-2.8	45
2006-02-11	Kilmarnock	D 3-3	81.2	1729	1750	38.98%	26.49%	34.54%	+0.08	-0.2	36
2006-02-11	@ Inverness CT	D 3-3	81.2	1750	1729	34.54%	26.49%	38.98%	-0.08	+0.1	41
2006-02-12	Celtic	L 0-1	57.8	1854	1976	25.80%	25.91%	48.30%	-0.49	-7.9	43
2006-02-12	@ Rangers	W 1-0	57.8	1976	1854	48.30%	25.91%	25.80%	+0.49	+7.9	64
2006-02-18	Falkirk	W 1-0	51.5	1744	1559	63.22%	22.74%	14.04%	+1.24	+4.6	38
2006-02-18	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	51.5	1559	1744	14.04%	22.74%	63.22%	-1.24	-4.5	21
2006-02-18	Hibernian	W 2-0	53.1	1846	1761	52.77%	25.29%	21.94%	+0.68	+13.1	46
2006-02-18	@ Rangers	L 0-2	53.1	1761	1846	21.94%	25.29%	52.77%	-0.68	-13.1	45
2006-02-18	Inverness CT	L 2-4	62.9	1606	1729	25.73%	25.90%	48.38%	-0.49	-11.6	27
2006-02-18	@ Dundee United	W 4-2	62.9	1729	1606	48.38%	25.90%	25.73%	+0.49	+11.6	39
2006-02-18	Livingston	W 3-1	50.1	1750	1467	71.53%	19.40%	9.07%	+1.80	+4.7	44
2006-02-18	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	50.1	1467	1750	9.07%	19.40%	71.53%	-1.80	-4.6	12
2006-02-18	Motherwell	W 3-0	49.0	1828	1684	59.28%	23.90%	16.82%	+1.01	+14.9	54
2006-02-18	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	49.0	1684	1828	16.82%	23.90%	59.28%	-1.01	-14.9	33
2006-02-19	Celtic	L 1-8	46.2	1538	1984	6.10%	16.18%	77.72%	-2.32	-9.0	18
2006-02-19	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 8-1	46.2	1984	1538	77.72%	16.18%	6.10%	+2.32	+9.0	67
2006-02-25	Dundee United	D 1-1	66.3	1529	1595	32.71%	26.44%	40.86%	-0.17	+0.5	19
2006-02-25	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	66.3	1595	1529	40.86%	26.44%	32.71%	+0.17	-0.5	28
2006-03-04	Aberdeen	W 3-0	46.6	1993	1749	68.40%	20.80%	10.80%	+1.58	+9.5	70
2006-03-04	@ Celtic	L 0-3	46.6	1749	1993	10.80%	20.80%	68.40%	-1.58	-9.5	38
2006-03-04	Dundee United	W 3-1	55.3	1748	1594	60.23%	23.65%	16.13%	+1.07	+8.5	48
2006-03-04	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	55.3	1594	1748	16.13%	23.65%	60.23%	-1.07	-8.5	28
2006-03-04	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	50.2	1755	1529	66.85%	21.43%	11.72%	+1.47	+3.8	47
2006-03-04	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	50.2	1529	1755	11.72%	21.43%	66.85%	-1.47	-3.8	19
2006-03-04	Motherwell	L 0-1	64.5	1740	1669	51.18%	25.54%	23.29%	+0.60	-13.6	39
2006-03-04	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	64.5	1669	1740	23.29%	25.54%	51.18%	-0.60	+13.6	36
2006-03-04	Rangers	L 1-2	56.6	1555	1859	11.45%	21.25%	67.29%	-1.52	-3.5	21
2006-03-04	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	56.6	1859	1555	67.29%	21.25%	11.45%	+1.52	+3.5	49
2006-03-05	Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	59.1	1462	1843	8.15%	18.54%	73.30%	-1.95	-2.3	12
2006-03-05	@ Livingston	W 3-2	59.1	1843	1462	73.30%	18.54%	8.15%	+1.95	+2.3	57
2006-03-11	Aberdeen	W 1-0	64.8	1525	1739	17.16%	24.02%	58.82%	-1.01	+15.3	22
2006-03-11	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	64.8	1739	1525	58.82%	24.02%	17.16%	+1.01	-15.4	38
2006-03-11	Falkirk	W 3-1	54.5	1682	1551	57.90%	24.25%	17.85%	+0.94	+9.4	39
2006-03-11	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	54.5	1551	1682	17.85%	24.25%	57.90%	-0.94	-9.4	21
2006-03-11	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	67.5	1727	1846	26.15%	25.95%	47.91%	-0.47	+1.4	40
2006-03-11	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	67.5	1846	1727	47.91%	25.95%	26.15%	+0.47	-1.4	58
2006-03-11	Kilmarnock	W 4-0	50.1	1863	1759	54.95%	24.89%	20.16%	+0.79	+23.0	52
2006-03-11	@ Rangers	L 0-4	50.1	1759	1863	20.16%	24.89%	54.95%	-0.79	-23.0	47
2006-03-11	Livingston	W 3-1	49.3	1586	1460	57.35%	24.38%	18.27%	+0.91	+9.6	31
2006-03-11	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	49.3	1460	1586	18.27%	24.38%	57.35%	-0.91	-9.6	12
2006-03-12	Celtic	L 1-2	59.0	1757	2003	14.89%	23.13%	61.98%	-1.19	-4.6	48
2006-03-12	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	59.0	2003	1757	61.98%	23.13%	14.89%	+1.19	+4.5	73
2006-03-18	Falkirk	W 2-1	56.3	1736	1542	64.04%	22.46%	13.50%	+1.29	+4.1	50
2006-03-18	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	56.3	1542	1736	13.50%	22.46%	64.04%	-1.29	-4.1	21
2006-03-18	Hibernian	D 2-2	76.9	1692	1752	33.45%	26.46%	40.09%	-0.14	+0.3	40
2006-03-18	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	76.9	1752	1692	40.09%	26.46%	33.45%	+0.14	-0.3	49
2006-03-18	Livingston	W 3-0	41.7	1724	1450	70.78%	19.75%	9.47%	+1.75	+8.2	41
2006-03-18	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	41.7	1450	1724	9.47%	19.75%	70.78%	-1.75	-8.2	12
2006-03-19	Rangers	D 1-1	71.8	1844	1886	36.06%	26.51%	37.44%	-0.04	+0.1	59
2006-03-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.8	1886	1844	37.44%	26.51%	36.06%	+0.04	-0.1	53
2006-03-22	Inverness CT	W 2-1	56.3	2007	1728	71.16%	19.58%	9.26%	+1.77	+2.8	76
2006-03-22	@ Celtic	L 1-2	56.3	1728	2007	9.26%	19.58%	71.16%	-1.77	-2.8	40
2006-03-25	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	48.8	1886	1541	75.91%	17.18%	6.90%	+2.15	+2.1	56
2006-03-25	@ Rangers	L 0-1	48.8	1541	1886	6.90%	17.18%	75.91%	-2.15	-2.1	22
2006-03-25	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	56.4	1538	1844	11.36%	21.19%	67.45%	-1.53	-3.4	21
2006-03-25	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	56.4	1844	1538	67.45%	21.19%	11.36%	+1.53	+3.4	62
2006-03-25	Inverness CT	L 0-2	60.1	1752	1725	45.52%	26.17%	28.31%	+0.35	-23.3	49
2006-03-25	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	60.1	1725	1752	28.31%	26.17%	45.52%	-0.35	+23.3	43
2006-03-25	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	76.4	1595	1740	23.36%	25.55%	51.09%	-0.62	+1.2	32
2006-03-25	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	76.4	1740	1595	51.09%	25.55%	23.36%	+0.62	-1.2	51
2006-03-25	Motherwell	D 2-2	77.0	1732	1692	47.28%	26.01%	26.71%	+0.42	-0.9	42
2006-03-25	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	77.0	1692	1732	26.71%	26.01%	47.28%	-0.42	+0.9	41
2006-03-26	Celtic	L 0-2	43.1	1442	2010	3.46%	12.01%	84.53%	-3.01	-1.8	12
2006-03-26	@ Livingston	W 2-0	43.1	2010	1442	84.53%	12.01%	3.46%	+3.01	+1.8	79
2006-04-01	Aberdeen	L 0-1	63.0	1749	1731	44.29%	26.26%	29.45%	+0.30	-12.1	43
2006-04-01	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	63.0	1731	1749	29.45%	26.26%	44.29%	-0.30	+12.1	45
2006-04-01	Falkirk	D 1-1	64.6	1539	1534	42.57%	26.36%	31.07%	+0.22	-0.6	23
2006-04-01	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	64.6	1534	1539	31.07%	26.36%	42.57%	-0.22	+0.6	22
2006-04-01	Livingston	W 2-1	51.6	1693	1440	69.11%	20.50%	10.39%	+1.63	+3.1	44
2006-04-01	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	51.6	1440	1693	10.39%	20.50%	69.11%	-1.63	-3.1	12
2006-04-02	Rangers	L 1-4	52.0	1597	1888	12.16%	21.70%	66.14%	-1.45	-9.1	32
2006-04-02	@ Dundee United	W 4-1	52.0	1888	1597	66.14%	21.70%	12.16%	+1.45	+9.1	59
2006-04-05	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	53.9	2012	1848	61.20%	23.37%	15.43%	+1.12	+5.0	82
2006-04-05	@ Celtic	L 0-1	53.9	1848	2012	15.43%	23.37%	61.20%	-1.12	-5.0	62
2006-04-05	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	64.9	1729	1739	40.56%	26.45%	32.99%	+0.14	+9.1	52
2006-04-05	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	64.9	1739	1729	32.99%	26.45%	40.56%	-0.14	-9.1	51
2006-04-08	Dundee United	W 1-0	56.3	1535	1587	34.52%	26.49%	39.00%	-0.10	+10.9	25
2006-04-08	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	56.3	1587	1535	39.00%	26.49%	34.52%	+0.10	-10.9	32
2006-04-08	Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-0	43.7	1843	1538	73.08%	18.65%	8.27%	+1.92	+9.2	65
2006-04-08	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	43.7	1538	1843	8.27%	18.65%	73.08%	-1.92	-9.2	23
2006-04-08	Hibernian	W 1-0	59.0	1743	1738	42.71%	26.36%	30.94%	+0.23	+9.2	48
2006-04-08	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	59.0	1738	1743	30.94%	26.36%	42.71%	-0.23	-9.2	52
2006-04-08	Inverness CT	W 2-1	69.9	1437	1737	11.72%	21.42%	66.86%	-1.49	+16.1	15
2006-04-08	@ Livingston	L 1-2	69.9	1737	1437	66.86%	21.42%	11.72%	+1.49	-16.1	43
2006-04-08	Motherwell	W 1-0	52.7	1897	1696	64.66%	22.25%	13.10%	+1.33	+4.2	62
2006-04-08	@ Rangers	L 0-1	52.7	1696	1897	13.10%	22.25%	64.66%	-1.33	-4.2	44
2006-04-09	Celtic	L 1-4	52.6	1730	2017	12.39%	21.84%	65.77%	-1.42	-9.2	51
2006-04-09	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-1	52.6	2017	1730	65.77%	21.84%	12.39%	+1.42	+9.2	85

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2006-04-15	Aberdeen	D 1-1	72.6	1901	1753	59.67%	23.80%	16.53%	+1.04	-2.6	1
2006-04-15	@ Rangers	D 1-1	72.6	1753	1901	16.53%	23.80%	59.67%	-1.04	+2.6	1
2006-04-15	Dundee United	W 3-1	58.3	1453	1577	25.62%	25.88%	48.50%	-0.50	+21.2	3
2006-04-15	@ Livingston	L 1-3	58.3	1577	1453	48.50%	25.88%	25.62%	+0.50	-21.2	0
2006-04-15	Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	60.4	1546	1529	44.23%	26.27%	29.51%	+0.29	-0.9	1
2006-04-15	@ Falkirk	D 0-0	60.4	1529	1546	29.51%	26.27%	44.23%	-0.29	+0.9	1
2006-04-15	Inverness CT	L 0-1	60.8	1692	1720	37.94%	26.50%	35.56%	+0.04	-10.7	0
2006-04-15	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	60.8	1720	1692	35.56%	26.50%	37.94%	-0.04	+10.7	3
2006-04-15	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	51.5	1852	1720	57.92%	24.24%	17.84%	+0.94	+10.8	3
2006-04-15	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	51.5	1720	1852	17.84%	24.24%	57.92%	-0.94	-10.8	0
2006-04-16	Hibernian	D 1-1	74.1	2026	1729	72.54%	18.92%	8.54%	+1.88	-4.0	1
2006-04-16	@ Celtic	D 1-1	74.1	1729	2026	8.54%	18.92%	72.54%	-1.88	+4.0	1
2006-04-22	Dundee United	W 1-0	51.5	1731	1555	62.35%	23.02%	14.63%	+1.19	+4.7	6
2006-04-22	@ Inverness CT	L 0-1	51.5	1555	1731	14.63%	23.02%	62.35%	-1.19	-4.8	0
2006-04-22	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	70.0	1733	1863	24.90%	25.79%	49.32%	-0.54	+12.4	4
2006-04-22	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	70.0	1863	1733	49.32%	25.79%	24.90%	+0.54	-12.4	3
2006-04-22	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	67.2	1755	1710	47.99%	25.94%	26.07%	+0.46	-1.4	2
2006-04-22	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	67.2	1710	1755	26.07%	25.94%	47.99%	-0.46	+1.4	1
2006-04-22	Livingston	W 3-2	58.3	1530	1474	49.22%	25.80%	24.98%	+0.51	+6.9	4
2006-04-22	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 2-3	58.3	1474	1530	24.98%	25.80%	49.22%	-0.51	-6.9	3
2006-04-22	Motherwell	D 1-1	69.1	1545	1681	24.22%	25.69%	50.10%	-0.57	+1.5	2
2006-04-22	@ Falkirk	D 1-1	69.1	1681	1545	50.10%	25.69%	24.22%	+0.57	-1.5	1
2006-04-23	Rangers	D 0-0	68.2	2022	1899	57.05%	24.45%	18.50%	+0.89	-2.6	2
2006-04-23	@ Celtic	D 0-0	68.2	1899	2022	18.50%	24.45%	57.05%	-0.89	+2.6	2
2006-04-29	Dunfermline Athletic	L 2-3	74.5	1680	1537	59.10%	23.95%	16.95%	+1.01	-13.8	1
2006-04-29	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	74.5	1537	1680	16.95%	23.95%	59.10%	-1.01	+13.8	7
2006-04-29	Falkirk	L 0-2	53.3	1551	1546	42.52%	26.37%	31.11%	+0.22	-22.0	0
2006-04-29	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	53.3	1546	1551	31.11%	26.37%	42.52%	-0.22	+22.0	5
2006-04-29	Hibernian	W 4-0	53.3	1754	1745	43.13%	26.33%	30.53%	+0.25	+32.5	5
2006-04-29	@ Aberdeen	L 0-4	53.3	1745	1754	30.53%	26.33%	43.13%	-0.25	-32.5	4
2006-04-29	Inverness CT	L 0-1	49.5	1467	1736	13.45%	22.44%	64.11%	-1.32	-4.4	3
2006-04-29	@ Livingston	W 1-0	49.5	1736	1467	64.11%	22.44%	13.45%	+1.32	+4.4	9
2006-04-29	Rangers	L 1-3	57.7	1711	1901	19.08%	24.61%	56.31%	-0.87	-10.0	1
2006-04-29	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	57.7	1901	1711	56.31%	24.61%	19.08%	+0.87	+10.0	5
2006-04-30	Celtic	W 3-0	60.8	1850	2019	20.97%	25.08%	53.95%	-0.76	+39.0	6
2006-04-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	60.8	2019	1850	53.95%	25.08%	20.97%	+0.76	-39.0	2
2006-05-02	Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	54.8	1529	1551	38.87%	26.49%	34.64%	+0.07	-10.9	0
2006-05-02	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	54.8	1551	1529	34.64%	26.49%	38.87%	-0.07	+10.9	10
2006-05-02	Rangers	L 1-2	60.3	1713	1911	18.38%	24.41%	57.21%	-0.92	-5.6	4
2006-05-02	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	60.3	1911	1713	57.21%	24.41%	18.38%	+0.92	+5.6	8
2006-05-03	Aberdeen	W 1-0	55.8	1889	1786	54.82%	24.92%	20.26%	+0.78	+6.5	9
2006-05-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	55.8	1786	1889	20.26%	24.92%	54.82%	-0.78	-6.4	5
2006-05-03	Falkirk	W 2-0	48.7	1740	1568	61.97%	23.13%	14.89%	+1.17	+9.1	12
2006-05-03	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	48.7	1568	1740	14.89%	23.13%	61.97%	-1.17	-9.1	5
2006-05-03	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	47.7	1980	1701	71.19%	19.57%	9.25%	+1.77	+5.5	5
2006-05-03	@ Celtic	L 0-2	47.7	1701	1980	9.25%	19.57%	71.19%	-1.77	-5.5	1
2006-05-03	Motherwell	L 0-1	49.5	1463	1666	18.03%	24.31%	57.67%	-0.95	-5.8	3
2006-05-03	@ Livingston	W 1-0	49.5	1666	1463	57.67%	24.31%	18.03%	+0.95	+5.8	4
2006-05-06	Dundee United	D 1-1	68.9	1672	1518	60.23%	23.65%	16.13%	+1.07	-2.7	5
2006-05-06	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	68.9	1518	1672	16.13%	23.65%	60.23%	-1.07	+2.7	1
2006-05-06	Inverness CT	L 0-1	53.7	1561	1749	19.27%	24.67%	56.07%	-0.86	-6.2	10
2006-05-06	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	53.7	1749	1561	56.07%	24.67%	19.27%	+0.86	+6.2	15
2006-05-06	Livingston	W 1-0	46.5	1559	1457	54.72%	24.94%	20.34%	+0.77	+6.5	8
2006-05-06	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	46.5	1457	1559	20.34%	24.94%	54.72%	-0.77	-6.5	3
2006-05-07	Celtic	D 2-2	78.2	1780	1986	17.79%	24.23%	57.99%	-0.96	+1.8	6
2006-05-07	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	78.2	1986	1780	57.99%	24.23%	17.79%	+0.96	-1.8	6
2006-05-07	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	55.7	1917	1896	44.78%	26.23%	29.00%	+0.32	+16.4	11
2006-05-07	@ Rangers	L 0-2	55.7	1896	1917	29.00%	26.23%	44.78%	-0.32	-16.5	9
2006-05-07	Hibernian	W 3-1	61.8	1695	1707	40.34%	26.45%	33.21%	+0.13	+15.8	4
2006-05-07	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	61.8	1707	1695	33.21%	26.45%	40.34%	-0.13	-15.8	4

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2005-11-26	4.22%	Dunfermline Athletic	1514	1	@ Celtic	1967	0
2	2006-04-08	11.72%	@ Livingston	1437	2	Inverness CT	1737	1
3	2005-08-27	12.94%	Hibernian	1710	3	@ Rangers	1913	0
4	2005-11-19	13.22%	Falkirk	1610	3	@ Hibernian	1808	2
5	2006-04-29	16.95%	Dunfermline Athletic	1537	3	@ Motherwell	1680	2
6	2006-03-11	17.16%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1525	1	Aberdeen	1739	0
7	2005-08-14	17.28%	@ Aberdeen	1701	3	Rangers	1913	2
8	2005-12-03	19.17%	@ Dundee United	1615	1	Hibernian	1804	0
9	2006-02-11	19.48%	Aberdeen	1730	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1842	1
10	2006-02-08	20.11%	@ Aberdeen	1703	2	Rangers	1882	0
11	2005-10-26	20.15%	Falkirk	1581	3	@ Inverness CT	1685	0
12	2005-10-02	20.88%	Inverness CT	1674	2	@ Hibernian	1770	1
13	2006-04-30	20.97%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1850	3	Celtic	2019	0
14	2006-01-14	22.83%	Aberdeen	1691	2	@ Hibernian	1767	1
15	2006-03-04	23.29%	Motherwell	1669	1	@ Inverness CT	1740	0
16	2005-08-20	23.43%	Dundee United	1612	5	@ Motherwell	1682	4
17	2005-12-31	24.85%	Dunfermline Athletic	1527	2	@ Falkirk	1584	1
18	2006-04-22	24.90%	@ Hibernian	1733	2	Heart of Midlothian	1863	1
19	2005-08-06	25.42%	Kilmarnock	1661	2	@ Aberdeen	1713	1
20	2006-04-15	25.62%	@ Livingston	1453	3	Dundee United	1577	1
21	2006-01-21	26.22%	@ Kilmarnock	1723	1	Heart of Midlothian	1841	0
22	2005-12-03	26.60%	Inverness CT	1655	2	@ Motherwell	1696	0
23	2005-12-10	26.93%	@ Livingston	1517	1	Dundee United	1629	0
24	2005-09-10	27.63%	Motherwell	1665	2	@ Inverness CT	1697	1
25	2005-12-26	27.66%	@ Inverness CT	1685	2	Hibernian	1791	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2005-08-27	45.75	Hibernian	3	1710	12.94%	@ Rangers	0	1913	64.89%	22.16%
2	2005-10-26	39.62	Falkirk	3	1581	20.15%	@ Inverness CT	0	1685	54.95%	24.89%
3	2006-04-30	38.99	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1850	20.97%	Celtic	0	2019	53.95%	25.08%
4	2005-09-17	33.56	@ Motherwell	5	1677	49.77%	Falkirk	0	1617	24.50%	25.73%
5	2006-04-29	32.50	@ Aberdeen	4	1754	43.13%	Hibernian	0	1745	30.53%	26.33%
6	2005-08-07	30.10	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1732	46.19%	Hibernian	0	1700	27.70%	26.11%
7	2006-02-08	27.31	@ Aberdeen	2	1703	20.11%	Rangers	0	1882	55.01%	24.88%
8	2005-12-03	24.05	Inverness CT	2	1655	26.60%	@ Motherwell	0	1696	47.40%	26.00%
9	2005-08-13	23.80	@ Kilmarnock	4	1674	37.42%	Motherwell	1	1706	36.07%	26.51%
10	2005-12-26	23.56	@ Inverness CT	2	1685	27.66%	Hibernian	0	1791	46.23%	26.11%
11	2006-03-25	23.26	Inverness CT	2	1725	28.31%	@ Hibernian	0	1752	45.52%	26.17%
12	2006-03-11	23.00	@ Rangers	4	1863	54.95%	Kilmarnock	0	1759	20.16%	24.89%
13	2006-04-29	22.02	Falkirk	2	1546	31.11%	@ Dundee United	0	1551	42.52%	26.37%
14	2005-10-29	21.90	Motherwell	3	1673	48.05%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1554	26.02%	25.93%
15	2005-08-14	21.23	Heart of Midlothian	3	1762	49.14%	@ Dundee United	0	1633	25.06%	25.81%
16	2006-04-15	21.22	@ Livingston	3	1453	25.62%	Dundee United	1	1577	48.50%	25.88%
17	2005-07-30	21.09	Inverness CT	2	1673	33.31%	@ Falkirk	0	1661	40.24%	26.46%
18	2005-10-29	21.03	@ Hibernian	2	1783	33.46%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1843	40.08%	26.46%
19	2005-08-06	20.81	Falkirk	2	1640	33.98%	@ Livingston	0	1622	39.55%	26.48%
20	2006-02-08	20.79	@ Hibernian	7	1743	68.54%	Livingston	0	1497	10.72%	20.74%
21	2005-08-27	20.36	@ Aberdeen	3	1700	50.55%	Falkirk	0	1634	23.83%	25.63%
22	2005-08-13	20.21	@ Hibernian	3	1670	50.78%	Livingston	0	1602	23.62%	25.59%
23	2005-11-19	19.75	@ Celtic	3	1947	51.51%	Rangers	0	1873	23.00%	25.49%
24	2005-08-20	19.73	Hibernian	2	1690	36.67%	@ Falkirk	0	1654	36.82%	26.51%
25	2005-11-26	19.71	Dunfermline Athletic	1	1514	4.22%	@ Celtic	0	1967	82.41%	13.38%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-01-28	84.5	@ Celtic	3	1977	77.02%	Dundee United	3	1616	6.40%	16.58%
2	2005-07-30	83.7	@ Motherwell	4	1697	21.34%	Celtic	4	1862	53.50%	25.16%
3	2005-12-26	82.5	@ Dunfermline Athletic	3	1525	10.18%	Rangers	3	1856	69.49%	20.33%
4	2006-02-11	81.2	@ Inverness CT	3	1729	38.98%	Kilmarnock	3	1750	34.54%	26.49%
5	2005-10-26	78.8	@ Livingston	2	1527	9.14%	Rangers	2	1882	71.40%	19.47%
6	2005-12-03	78.5	@ Rangers	2	1843	66.92%	Falkirk	2	1616	11.68%	21.40%
7	2006-05-07	78.2	@ Aberdeen	2	1780	17.79%	Celtic	2	1986	57.99%	24.23%
8	2005-11-19	78.1	Falkirk	3	1610	13.22%	@ Hibernian	2	1808	64.46%	22.32%
9	2005-08-20	77.9	Dundee United	5	1612	23.43%	@ Motherwell	4	1682	51.00%	25.56%
10	2005-10-02	77.8	@ Falkirk	2	1585	14.78%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1833	62.14%	23.08%
11	2005-08-14	77.5	@ Aberdeen	3	1701	17.28%	Rangers	2	1913	58.65%	24.06%
12	2006-01-02	77.1	@ Kilmarnock	2	1728	36.37%	Hibernian	2	1767	37.12%	26.51%
13	2006-03-25	77.0	@ Aberdeen	2	1732	47.28%	Motherwell	2	1692	26.71%	26.01%
14	2005-10-01	76.9	@ Aberdeen	2	1723	45.85%	Motherwell	2	1693	28.00%	26.14%
15	2006-01-28	76.9	@ Aberdeen	2	1703	37.43%	Kilmarnock	2	1735	36.07%	26.51%
16	2006-03-18	76.9	@ Motherwell	2	1692	33.45%	Hibernian	2	1752	40.09%	26.46%
17	2005-08-20	76.7	@ Inverness CT	2	1698	42.03%	Kilmarnock	2	1697	31.58%	26.39%
18	2005-11-05	76.6	@ Motherwell	2	1695	41.90%	Kilmarnock	2	1696	31.71%	26.39%
19	2005-11-19	76.4	@ Kilmarnock	2	1696	47.40%	Inverness CT	2	1655	26.60%	26.00%
20	2006-03-25	76.4	@ Dundee United	2	1595	23.36%	Kilmarnock	2	1740	51.09%	25.55%
21	2006-02-08	75.7	@ Dunfermline Athletic	2	1526	17.88%	Inverness CT	2	1731	57.87%	24.26%
22	2006-04-29	74.5	Dunfermline Athletic	3	1537	16.95%	@ Motherwell	2	1680	59.10%	23.95%
23	2006-04-16	74.1	@ Celtic	1	2026	72.54%	Hibernian	1	1729	8.54%	18.92%
24	2005-10-29	73.1	@ Rangers	1	1880	67.53%	Inverness CT	1	1646	11.31%	21.16%
25	2005-12-18	73.1	@ Inverness CT	1	1682	12.87%	Celtic	1	1960	65.02%	22.12%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-03-18	41.7	@ Aberdeen	3	1724	70.78%	Livingston	0	1450	9.47%	19.75%
2	2006-03-26	43.1	Celtic	2	2010	84.53%	@ Livingston	0	1442	3.46%	12.01%
3	2006-04-08	43.7	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1843	73.08%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1538	8.27%	18.65%
4	2005-10-01	45.1	Celtic	5	1899	71.49%	@ Livingston	0	1542	9.09%	19.42%
5	2006-01-14	45.3	@ Inverness CT	3	1709	63.13%	Livingston	0	1525	14.10%	22.77%
6	2006-02-08	45.4	@ Hibernian	7	1743	68.54%	Livingston	0	1497	10.72%	20.74%
7	2005-07-31	45.7	@ Rangers	3	1899	70.31%	Livingston	0	1631	9.73%	19.97%
8	2006-02-19	46.2	Celtic	8	1984	77.72%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1	1538	6.10%	16.18%
9	2005-11-06	46.3	Celtic	3	1938	68.46%	@ Falkirk	0	1619	10.76%	20.77%
10	2005-12-31	46.3	@ Rangers	3	1854	67.77%	Dundee United	0	1617	11.17%	21.06%
11	2005-12-26	46.5	@ Heart of Midlothian	5	1822	66.44%	Falkirk	0	1601	11.97%	21.59%
12	2006-05-06	46.5	@ Falkirk	1	1559	54.72%	Livingston	0	1457	20.34%	24.94%
13	2006-03-04	46.6	@ Celtic	3	1993	68.40%	Aberdeen	0	1749	10.80%	20.80%
14	2005-10-26	47.0	@ Celtic	5	1916	66.83%	Motherwell	0	1690	11.74%	21.44%
15	2005-10-22	47.1	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1832	70.30%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1564	9.73%	19.97%
16	2005-11-05	47.2	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1822	64.39%	Dundee United	0	1625	13.27%	22.34%
17	2005-08-28	47.5	Celtic	4	1861	62.43%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1611	14.58%	22.99%
18	2006-05-03	47.7	@ Celtic	2	1980	71.19%	Kilmarnock	0	1701	9.25%	19.57%
19	2005-08-27	48.1	@ Kilmarnock	3	1698	56.33%	Livingston	0	1581	19.06%	24.61%
20	2006-01-21	48.3	@ Rangers	4	1870	76.79%	Livingston	1	1512	6.51%	16.70%
21	2005-11-26	48.5	Kilmarnock	3	1695	52.48%	@ Livingston	0	1539	22.18%	25.34%
22	2005-08-06	48.7	@ Celtic	2	1861	66.44%	Dundee United	0	1640	11.97%	21.59%
23	2005-10-01	48.7	@ Rangers	5	1868	71.56%	Dunfermline Athletic	1	1584	9.05%	19.39%
24	2006-05-03	48.7	@ Inverness CT	2	1740	61.97%	Falkirk	0	1568	14.89%	23.13%
25	2006-03-25	48.8	@ Rangers	1	1886	75.91%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1541	6.90%	17.18%