2006-07 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

84 points · 41st Title

Last Title: 2005-06

Relegated

Dunfermline Athletic

32 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Kilmarnock

4.27 points above expected

55 points · 50.73 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Motherwell

5.45 points below expected

38 points · 43.45 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	24	6	3	78	59	25	+34	69.27	+8.73
2	Rangers	33	19	8	6	65	54	25	+29	64.85	+0.15
3	Aberdeen	33	17	6	10	57	46	33	+13	51.80	+5.20
4	Heart of Midlothian	33	15	9	9	54	40	30	+10	58.47	-4.47
5	Kilmarnock	33	13	7	13	46	43	49	-6	44.34	+1.66
6	Hibernian	33	12	8	13	44	49	37	+12	45.79	-1.79
7	Falkirk	33	12	4	17	40	40	42	-2	33.65	+6.35
8	Dundee United	33	10	10	13	40	39	53	-14	30.26	+9.74
9	Inverness CT	33	8	12	13	36	36	45	-9	47.46	-11.46
10	Motherwell	33	10	6	17	36	35	49	-14	38.32	-2.32
11	St. Mirren	33	5	12	16	27	24	47	-23	37.28	-10.28
12	Dunfermline Athletic	33	5	8	20	23	19	49	-30	29.78	-6.78

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	38	26	6	6	84	65	34	+31	87.56	-3.56
2	Rangers	38	21	9	8	72	61	32	+29	73.88	-1.88
3	Aberdeen	38	19	8	11	65	55	38	+17	63.36	+1.64
4	Heart of Midlothian	38	17	10	11	61	47	35	+12	60.89	+0.11
5	Kilmarnock	38	16	7	15	55	47	54	-7	50.73	+4.27
6	Hibernian	38	13	10	15	49	56	46	+10	49.17	-0.17
7	Falkirk	38	15	5	18	50	49	47	+2	47.13	+2.87
8	Inverness CT	38	11	13	14	46	42	48	-6	48.64	-2.64
9	Dundee United	38	10	12	16	42	40	59	-19	42.57	-0.57
10	Motherwell	38	10	8	20	38	41	61	-20	43.45	-5.45
11	St. Mirren	38	8	12	18	36	31	51	-20	33.42	+2.58
12	Dunfermline Athletic Relegated	38	8	8	22	32	26	55	-29	28.12	+3.88

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Kilmarnock	55	50.73	+4.27
2	Dunfermline Athletic	32	28.12	+3.88
3	Falkirk	50	47.13	+2.87
4	St. Mirren	36	33.42	+2.58
5	Aberdeen	65	63.36	+1.64

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Motherwell	38	43.45	-5.45
2	Celtic	84	87.56	-3.56
3	Inverness CT	46	48.64	-2.64
4	Rangers	72	73.88	-1.88
5	Dundee United	42	42.57	-0.57

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	11	Aug 26 – Nov 18	1 in 188
2	Dunfermline Athletic	4	Apr 7 – May 7	1 in 165
3	Kilmarnock	3	May 5 – May 20	1 in 88
4	Rangers	5	Feb 11 – Mar 17	1 in 36
5	Dundee United	2	Nov 5 – Nov 11	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Falkirk	6	Jan 20 – Mar 10	1 in 59
2	Inverness CT	3	Dec 2 – Dec 16	1 in 57
3	Celtic	2	Mar 11 – Mar 18	1 in 29
4	Heart of Midlothian	2	Mar 10 – Mar 17	1 in 22
5	Motherwell	4	Jul 30 – Aug 19	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	27	Aug 12 – Mar 3	1 in 217
2	Rangers	15	Dec 30 – May 5	1 in 48
3	Dundee United	4	Aug 5 – Aug 26	1 in 33
4	Inverness CT	8	Sep 9 – Nov 6	1 in 25
5	Dunfermline Athletic	4	Apr 7 – May 7	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Heart of Midlothian	8	Oct 15 – Dec 2	1 in 367
2	Inverness CT	9	Oct 28 – Dec 23	1 in 142
3	St. Mirren	12	Dec 30 – Apr 8	1 in 56
4	Dunfermline Athletic	15	Nov 25 – Mar 10	1 in 31
5	Hibernian	7	Apr 1 – May 12	1 in 29

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	1898	84	-19	6	9.3	-3.3
Rangers	1879	72	-7	7	9.1	-2.1
Aberdeen	1788	65	+15	8	6.6	+1.4
Heart of Midlothian	1806	61	+7	7	6.9	+0.1
Kilmarnock	1704	55	+7	9	4.5	+4.5
Falkirk	1651	50	+12	10	7.2	+2.8
Hibernian	1716	49	-4	5	5.3	-0.3
Inverness CT	1707	46	+7	10	8.4	+1.6
Dundee United	1597	42	-20	2	6.7	-4.7
Motherwell	1631	38	-22	2	7.1	-5.1
St. Mirren	1624	36	+14	9	6.5	+2.5
Dunfermline Athletic	1563	32	+8	9	5.5	+3.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DU	DA	FAL	HOM	HIB	IC	KIL	MOT	RAN	SM
Aberdeen	—	0-0-4 3.58	1-0-2 6.24	3-0-0 6.33	3-0-0 5.62	2-1-1 4.80	1-3-0 6.27	0-3-0 4.67	3-0-1 6.69	3-0-0 5.12	1-0-3 4.08	2-1-0 5.24
Celtic	4-0-0 7.54	—	1-2-0 7.12	3-0-0 7.45	2-0-1 6.92	2-0-2 6.91	2-1-1 8.24	2-1-0 5.93	4-0-0 8.41	2-1-0 6.80	1-1-2 6.16	3-0-0 6.77
Dundee United	2-0-1 2.18	0-2-1 1.46	—	0-2-2 5.83	0-0-4 5.02	1-0-2 1.80	0-1-2 2.82	1-2-1 3.64	1-1-1 2.69	1-3-0 4.85	1-1-1 1.53	3-0-1 4.68
Dunfermline Athletic	0-0-3 2.11	0-0-3 1.20	2-2-0 5.17	—	0-0-4 4.72	0-1-2 1.95	1-0-2 2.69	1-1-2 3.23	1-1-1 2.88	1-0-3 4.20	0-1-2 1.68	2-2-0 4.42
Falkirk	0-0-3 2.71	1-0-2 1.62	4-0-0 5.99	4-0-0 6.31	—	0-2-1 2.12	2-0-1 2.85	2-1-1 4.15	0-0-3 3.56	0-1-3 5.10	1-0-2 1.77	1-1-2 5.76
Heart of Midlothian	1-1-2 6.22	2-0-2 4.16	2-0-1 6.70	2-1-0 6.51	1-2-0 6.30	—	3-1-0 6.96	2-1-0 5.34	1-1-2 7.32	3-0-0 5.75	0-1-3 4.46	0-2-1 6.19
Hibernian	0-3-1 4.75	1-1-2 2.97	2-1-0 5.51	2-0-1 5.65	1-0-2 5.46	0-1-3 4.10	—	1-1-1 3.78	1-1-2 5.80	3-0-0 4.87	1-1-2 3.66	1-1-1 4.90
Inverness CT	0-3-0 3.60	0-1-2 2.44	1-2-1 7.48	2-1-1 7.94	1-1-2 6.91	0-1-2 2.97	1-1-1 4.48	—	0-1-2 4.19	2-0-2 6.46	2-1-0 2.40	2-1-1 6.71
Kilmarnock	1-0-3 4.35	0-0-4 2.82	1-1-1 5.65	1-1-1 5.44	3-0-0 4.71	2-1-1 3.77	2-1-1 5.21	2-1-0 4.06	—	1-0-2 4.55	1-1-2 3.18	2-1-0 4.57
Motherwell	0-0-3 3.16	0-1-2 1.71	0-3-1 6.17	3-0-1 6.85	3-1-0 5.91	0-0-3 2.59	0-0-3 3.41	2-0-2 4.57	2-0-1 3.71	—	0-1-2 2.38	0-2-2 5.81
Rangers	3-0-1 6.99	2-1-1 4.86	1-1-1 7.03	2-1-0 6.84	2-0-1 6.73	3-1-0 6.59	2-1-1 7.44	0-1-2 5.98	2-1-1 8.00	2-1-0 6.00	—	2-1-0 6.38
St. Mirren	0-1-2 3.06	0-0-3 1.74	1-0-3 6.36	0-2-2 6.63	2-1-1 5.26	1-2-0 2.22	1-1-1 3.38	1-1-2 4.34	0-1-2 3.69	2-2-0 5.20	0-1-2 2.06	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.81	+12.1
Allowed	0.73	-13.4
Differential	0.89	+7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.46%	11.40%	6.80%	2.41%	0.88%	0.44%	29.39%
1	11.40%	11.84%	8.77%	2.63%	1.32%	1.32%	37.28%
2	6.80%	8.77%	3.51%	1.54%	0.44%	—	21.05%
3	2.41%	2.63%	1.54%	0.88%	0.22%	—	7.68%
4	0.88%	1.32%	0.44%	0.22%	—	—	2.85%
5+	0.44%	1.32%	—	—	—	—	1.75%
Total	29.39%	37.28%	21.05%	7.68%	2.85%	1.75%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.23	+0.00
SD	1.15	1.15	1.69
CV	0.94	0.94	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
1	7.89%	15.79%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	36.84%
2	15.79%	13.16%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	34.21%
3	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.21%	44.74%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.00	+0.45
SD	0.92	1.01	1.54
CV	0.64	1.01	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
1	18.42%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	36.84%
2	7.89%	28.95%	5.26%	—	—	—	42.11%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	28.95%	55.26%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.71	0.89	+0.82
SD	1.06	0.73	1.31
CV	0.62	0.81	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.79%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	39.47%
1	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	36.84%
2	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
3	—	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	31.58%	23.68%	5.26%	5.26%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.55	-0.50
SD	1.18	1.48	1.93
CV	1.13	0.96	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	18.42%	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	—	55.26%
1	7.89%	7.89%	13.16%	—	—	2.63%	31.58%
2	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	36.84%	26.32%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.68	1.45	-0.76
SD	0.99	1.18	1.58
CV	1.45	0.81	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	13.16%	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	28.95%
1	15.79%	7.89%	15.79%	—	—	—	39.47%
2	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	15.79%
3	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	28.95%	34.21%	26.32%	5.26%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.24	+0.05
SD	1.29	1.10	1.79
CV	1.00	0.89	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	31.58%
1	18.42%	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	—	36.84%
2	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	15.79%
3	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.84%	39.47%	21.05%	—	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	0.92	+0.32
SD	1.22	0.91	1.54
CV	0.98	0.99	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	15.79%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
1	—	5.26%	10.53%	—	—	—	15.79%
2	13.16%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	34.21%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	26.32%	36.84%	26.32%	10.53%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.21	+0.26
SD	1.47	0.96	1.86
CV	0.99	0.80	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
1	10.53%	23.68%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	50.00%
2	2.63%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
3	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	44.74%	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.26	-0.16
SD	0.98	1.16	1.39
CV	0.89	0.91	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	23.68%
1	18.42%	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	44.74%
2	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
3	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	31.58%	23.68%	23.68%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.42	-0.18
SD	1.10	1.31	1.75
CV	0.89	0.92	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	15.79%	—	—	—	34.21%
1	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	39.47%
2	5.26%	7.89%	—	5.26%	—	—	18.42%
3	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	23.68%	28.95%	26.32%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.61	-0.53
SD	1.15	1.41	1.81
CV	1.06	0.88	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	15.79%
1	15.79%	13.16%	7.89%	—	—	—	36.84%
2	10.53%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	26.32%
3	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	42.11%	34.21%	21.05%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	0.84	+0.76
SD	1.17	0.86	1.57
CV	0.73	1.02	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	15.79%	13.16%	—	—	—	39.47%
1	7.89%	18.42%	5.26%	5.26%	—	5.26%	42.11%
2	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	36.84%	23.68%	7.89%	—	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.82	1.34	-0.53
SD	0.80	1.26	1.43
CV	0.98	0.94	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1898	84	69.27	+14.73	92.0%	52	56	65	70	73	79	85
Rangers	1879	72	64.85	+7.15	49.0%	44	51	61	66	69	78	83
Heart of Midlothian	1806	61	58.47	+2.53	29.0%	40	48	54	58	63	70	75
Aberdeen	1788	65	51.80	+13.20	85.0%	36	41	47	52	56	62	72
Hibernian	1716	49	45.79	+3.21	40.0%	27	34	42	45	50	57	62
Inverness CT	1707	46	47.46	-1.46	8.0%	30	36	41	47	53	59	68
Kilmarnock	1704	55	44.34	+10.66	61.0%	27	32	39	44	50	55	61
Falkirk	1651	50	33.65	+16.35	83.0%	14	24	29	34	37	45	50
Motherwell	1631	38	38.32	-0.32	38.0%	17	26	33	39	43	49	54
St. Mirren	1624	36	37.28	-1.28	8.0%	22	24	32	37	42	48	57
Dundee United	1597	42	30.26	+11.74	92.0%	14	18	25	30	34	43	48
Dunfermline Athletic	1563	32	29.78	+2.22	16.0%	15	19	26	30	33	39	44

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+11.40%

No Edge

43.86%23.68%32.46%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 39.79 Elo pts.

234 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.24 goals

Neutral

-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.9

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

67%

Celtic, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.32/gm

Runaway

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.56 * Some Luck: 5.56 to 8.35 * Lucky: 8.35 to 11.13 * Wild Swing: 11.13 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.02 * Close: 1.02 to 1.54 * Off: 1.54 to 2.05 * Way Off: 2.05 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.64 * A Surprise: 0.64 to 1.02 * Several Surprises: 1.02 to 1.41 * Many Surprises: 1.41 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.77 points

Some Luck

06.9617

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

01.283

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

92.00%

Celtic

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

8.00%

Inverness CT

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

0 of 1

As Expected

00.61

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Even

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 111.47

1.91

Moderate Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

70%

Clear Edge

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

89%

Even

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

68%

Very Frequent

0%62%100%

Blowouts

Expected

13%

Rare

0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.36

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.93

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.84

Near-Lock

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Very Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Very Shaky

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.31

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.97

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.058

Well Within Noise

00.1130.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	67.00%	23.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	25.00%	48.00%	19.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	1.00%	5.00%	16.00%	29.00%	17.00%	15.00%	8.00%	6.00%	3.00%	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	7.00%	18.00%	40.00%	22.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	2.00%	9.00%	21.00%	14.00%	16.00%	17.00%	12.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Hibernian	—	2.00%	6.00%	13.00%	10.00%	26.00%	20.00%	14.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Falkirk	—	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	6.00%	4.00%	8.00%	21.00%	21.00%	21.00%	13.00%
Inverness CT	—	4.00%	9.00%	15.00%	19.00%	16.00%	12.00%	11.00%	8.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—
Dundee United	—	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	16.00%	18.00%	42.00%
Motherwell	—	—	—	5.00%	5.00%	12.00%	17.00%	16.00%	14.00%	20.00%	5.00%	6.00%
St. Mirren	—	—	2.00%	—	8.00%	4.00%	15.00%	16.00%	17.00%	19.00%	11.00%	8.00%
Dunfermline Athletic	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	11.00%	13.00%	38.00%	29.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	99.97%	0.03%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	0.03%	98.97%	0.98%	0.02%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	—	0.89%	72.72%	26.24%	0.15%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	0.11%	26.28%	72.40%	1.20%	0.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	0.02%	1.00%	65.20%	33.78%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	—	—	—	0.34%	33.45%	66.21%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Falkirk	—	—	—	—	—	—	36.60%	39.90%	17.80%	5.68%	0.02%	—
Inverness CT	—	—	—	—	—	—	54.65%	32.17%	10.47%	2.70%	0.01%	—
Dundee United	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.42%	12.30%	34.84%	47.93%	1.51%	—
Motherwell	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.33%	15.63%	36.65%	41.53%	0.85%	0.01%
St. Mirren	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.24%	2.12%	86.68%	10.96%
Dunfermline Athletic	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.04%	10.93%	89.03%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—
Celtic	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
Hibernian	99.00%	1.00%
Inverness CT	99.00%	1.00%
Kilmarnock	98.00%	2.00%
Motherwell	95.00%	5.00%
Falkirk	90.00%	10.00%
St. Mirren	90.00%	10.00%
Dundee United	65.00%	35.00%
Dunfermline Athletic	64.00%	36.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—
Celtic	100%	—
Dundee United	100%	—
Falkirk	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Hibernian	100%	—
Inverness CT	100%	—
Kilmarnock	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
Motherwell	99.99%	0.01%
St. Mirren	89.04%	10.96%
Dunfermline Athletic	10.97%	89.03%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2006-07-29	Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.1	1691	1752	34.76%	25.06%	40.18%	-0.09	+0.1	1
2006-07-29	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	73.1	1752	1691	40.18%	25.06%	34.76%	+0.09	-0.1	1
2006-07-29	Falkirk	L 1-2	64.4	1587	1612	39.77%	25.08%	35.15%	+0.06	-4.2	0
2006-07-29	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	64.4	1612	1587	35.15%	25.08%	39.77%	-0.06	+4.2	3
2006-07-29	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	59.5	1603	1820	18.73%	20.37%	60.90%	-0.76	-2.1	0
2006-07-29	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	59.5	1820	1603	60.90%	20.37%	18.73%	+0.76	+2.1	3
2006-07-29	Kilmarnock	W 4-1	52.3	1875	1704	65.24%	18.55%	16.21%	+0.90	+4.5	3
2006-07-29	@ Celtic	L 1-4	52.3	1704	1875	16.21%	18.55%	65.24%	-0.90	-4.5	0
2006-07-29	St. Mirren	L 1-2	70.6	1734	1657	53.77%	22.80%	23.44%	+0.50	-5.3	0
2006-07-29	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	70.6	1657	1734	23.44%	22.80%	53.77%	-0.50	+5.3	3
2006-07-30	Rangers	L 1-2	61.6	1677	1851	22.15%	22.25%	55.61%	-0.57	-2.5	0
2006-07-30	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	61.6	1851	1677	55.61%	22.25%	22.15%	+0.57	+2.5	3
2006-08-05	Dundee United	D 2-2	82.5	1854	1582	75.64%	13.47%	10.89%	+1.33	-1.2	4
2006-08-05	@ Rangers	D 2-2	82.5	1582	1854	10.89%	13.47%	75.64%	-1.33	+1.2	1
2006-08-05	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	55.6	1616	1601	45.52%	24.56%	29.93%	+0.24	+3.6	6
2006-08-05	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	55.6	1601	1616	29.93%	24.56%	45.52%	-0.24	-3.6	0
2006-08-05	Hibernian	W 2-1	64.3	1699	1691	44.49%	24.69%	30.82%	+0.20	+3.4	3
2006-08-05	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	64.3	1691	1699	30.82%	24.69%	44.49%	-0.20	-3.4	1
2006-08-05	Inverness CT	D 1-1	73.4	1752	1729	46.54%	24.40%	29.05%	+0.27	-0.4	2
2006-08-05	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.4	1729	1752	29.05%	24.40%	46.54%	-0.27	+0.4	1
2006-08-05	Motherwell	W 2-0	55.0	1663	1675	41.67%	24.97%	33.36%	+0.12	+7.3	6
2006-08-05	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	55.0	1675	1663	33.36%	24.97%	41.67%	-0.12	-7.3	0
2006-08-06	Celtic	W 2-1	68.0	1822	1879	35.20%	25.08%	39.72%	-0.08	+4.2	6
2006-08-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	68.0	1879	1822	39.72%	25.08%	35.20%	+0.08	-4.2	3
2006-08-12	Aberdeen	L 0-2	55.1	1667	1751	31.71%	24.81%	43.48%	-0.19	-7.0	0
2006-08-12	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	55.1	1751	1667	43.48%	24.81%	31.71%	+0.19	+7.0	5
2006-08-12	Dundee United	D 0-0	67.7	1703	1584	59.11%	21.05%	19.84%	+0.68	-1.1	4
2006-08-12	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	67.7	1584	1703	19.84%	21.05%	59.11%	-0.68	+1.1	2
2006-08-12	Falkirk	D 0-0	70.4	1826	1620	69.13%	16.75%	14.12%	+1.05	-1.5	7
2006-08-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	70.4	1620	1826	14.12%	16.75%	69.13%	-1.05	+1.5	7
2006-08-12	Hibernian	D 0-0	68.1	1729	1688	49.08%	23.94%	26.97%	+0.35	-0.6	2
2006-08-12	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	68.1	1688	1729	26.97%	23.94%	49.08%	-0.35	+0.6	2
2006-08-12	St. Mirren	W 2-0	48.0	1875	1670	68.98%	16.82%	14.20%	+1.05	+3.1	6
2006-08-12	@ Celtic	L 0-2	48.0	1670	1875	14.20%	16.82%	68.98%	-1.05	-3.1	6
2006-08-13	Rangers	D 1-1	75.1	1597	1853	16.12%	18.48%	65.41%	-0.92	+1.2	1
2006-08-13	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	75.1	1853	1597	65.41%	18.48%	16.12%	+0.92	-1.2	5
2006-08-19	Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.1	1667	1758	30.79%	24.69%	44.53%	-0.22	+0.3	7
2006-08-19	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	73.1	1758	1667	44.53%	24.69%	30.79%	+0.22	-0.3	6
2006-08-19	Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	64.6	1585	1598	41.43%	24.99%	33.58%	+0.11	-0.2	3
2006-08-19	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	64.6	1598	1585	33.58%	24.99%	41.43%	-0.11	+0.2	2
2006-08-19	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	54.7	1852	1825	47.11%	24.31%	28.58%	+0.29	+6.5	8
2006-08-19	@ Rangers	L 0-2	54.7	1825	1852	28.58%	24.31%	47.11%	-0.29	-6.5	7
2006-08-19	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	64.1	1621	1702	32.14%	24.85%	43.01%	-0.17	-3.6	7
2006-08-19	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	64.1	1702	1621	43.01%	24.85%	32.14%	+0.17	+3.6	7
2006-08-19	Motherwell	W 3-1	59.5	1688	1660	47.27%	24.28%	28.45%	+0.29	+5.6	5
2006-08-19	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	59.5	1660	1688	28.45%	24.28%	47.27%	-0.29	-5.6	0
2006-08-20	Celtic	D 1-1	74.1	1729	1878	24.41%	23.16%	52.43%	-0.47	+0.7	3
2006-08-20	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	74.1	1878	1729	52.43%	23.16%	24.41%	+0.47	-0.7	7
2006-08-26	Dundee United	L 1-3	65.5	1667	1584	54.55%	22.57%	22.88%	+0.52	-9.3	7
2006-08-26	@ St. Mirren	W 3-1	65.5	1584	1667	22.88%	22.57%	54.55%	-0.52	+9.3	6
2006-08-26	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	52.1	1758	1599	63.91%	19.13%	16.96%	+0.85	+2.0	9
2006-08-26	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	52.1	1599	1758	16.96%	19.13%	63.91%	-0.85	-2.0	2
2006-08-26	Hibernian	W 2-1	58.4	1878	1694	66.64%	17.92%	15.44%	+0.95	+1.7	10
2006-08-26	@ Celtic	L 1-2	58.4	1694	1878	15.44%	17.92%	66.64%	-0.95	-1.7	5
2006-08-26	Inverness CT	W 4-1	55.2	1818	1729	55.32%	22.34%	22.34%	+0.55	+6.3	10
2006-08-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	55.2	1729	1818	22.34%	22.34%	55.32%	-0.55	-6.3	3
2006-08-26	Motherwell	L 0-1	59.2	1618	1655	38.07%	25.12%	36.81%	+0.01	-4.3	7
2006-08-26	@ Falkirk	W 1-0	59.2	1655	1618	36.81%	25.12%	38.07%	-0.01	+4.3	3
2006-08-27	Rangers	D 2-2	80.1	1705	1858	24.10%	23.05%	52.85%	-0.48	+0.5	8
2006-08-27	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	80.1	1858	1705	52.85%	23.05%	24.10%	+0.48	-0.5	9
2006-09-09	Celtic	L 0-1	57.9	1760	1879	27.54%	24.08%	48.38%	-0.34	-3.3	9
2006-09-09	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	57.9	1879	1760	48.38%	24.08%	27.54%	+0.34	+3.3	13
2006-09-09	Falkirk	W 4-0	44.6	1857	1613	73.02%	14.82%	12.16%	+1.21	+4.9	12
2006-09-09	@ Rangers	L 0-4	44.6	1613	1857	12.16%	14.82%	73.02%	-1.21	-4.9	7
2006-09-09	Inverness CT	L 1-4	58.9	1659	1723	34.31%	25.03%	40.66%	-0.10	-9.2	3
2006-09-09	@ Motherwell	W 4-1	58.9	1723	1659	40.66%	25.03%	34.31%	+0.10	+9.2	6
2006-09-09	Kilmarnock	W 3-2	73.1	1596	1706	28.66%	24.33%	47.01%	-0.30	+4.5	5
2006-09-09	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 2-3	73.1	1706	1596	47.01%	24.33%	28.66%	+0.30	-4.5	8
2006-09-09	St. Mirren	L 0-1	67.1	1824	1658	64.71%	18.78%	16.50%	+0.88	-6.5	10
2006-09-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	67.1	1658	1824	16.50%	18.78%	64.71%	-0.88	+6.5	10
2006-09-10	Hibernian	L 0-3	51.4	1594	1692	29.92%	24.56%	45.52%	-0.25	-9.8	6
2006-09-10	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	51.4	1692	1594	45.52%	24.56%	29.92%	+0.25	+9.8	8
2006-09-16	Aberdeen	L 0-2	52.1	1608	1757	24.52%	23.20%	52.27%	-0.46	-5.6	7
2006-09-16	@ Falkirk	W 2-0	52.1	1757	1608	52.27%	23.20%	24.52%	+0.46	+5.6	12
2006-09-16	Dundee United	D 0-0	68.5	1732	1584	62.59%	19.69%	17.72%	+0.80	-1.2	7
2006-09-16	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	68.5	1584	1732	17.72%	19.69%	62.59%	-0.80	+1.2	7
2006-09-16	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	49.0	1883	1601	76.58%	12.98%	10.45%	+1.37	+1.2	16
2006-09-16	@ Celtic	L 0-1	49.0	1601	1883	10.45%	12.98%	76.58%	-1.37	-1.1	5
2006-09-16	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	60.3	1664	1701	38.13%	25.12%	36.75%	+0.01	-4.3	10
2006-09-16	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	60.3	1701	1664	36.75%	25.12%	38.13%	-0.01	+4.3	11
2006-09-17	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	55.5	1650	1818	22.68%	22.49%	54.83%	-0.55	-2.8	3
2006-09-17	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	55.5	1818	1650	54.83%	22.49%	22.68%	+0.55	+2.8	13
2006-09-17	Rangers	W 2-1	71.3	1702	1862	23.38%	22.78%	53.84%	-0.52	+5.3	11
2006-09-17	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	71.3	1862	1702	53.84%	22.78%	23.38%	+0.52	-5.3	12
2006-09-23	Falkirk	L 0-1	64.5	1707	1603	57.31%	21.69%	21.00%	+0.62	-5.9	11
2006-09-23	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	64.5	1603	1707	21.00%	21.69%	57.31%	-0.62	+5.9	10
2006-09-23	Inverness CT	D 1-1	73.0	1706	1731	39.74%	25.08%	35.18%	+0.06	-0.1	12
2006-09-23	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	73.0	1731	1706	35.18%	25.08%	39.74%	-0.06	+0.1	8
2006-09-23	Motherwell	D 1-1	70.8	1585	1647	34.60%	25.05%	40.35%	-0.09	+0.1	8
2006-09-23	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	70.8	1647	1585	40.35%	25.05%	34.60%	+0.09	-0.1	4
2006-09-23	Rangers	W 2-0	54.8	1884	1857	47.08%	24.32%	28.61%	+0.28	+6.5	19
2006-09-23	@ Celtic	L 0-2	54.8	1857	1884	28.61%	24.32%	47.08%	-0.28	-6.5	12
2006-09-23	St. Mirren	W 2-1	65.7	1600	1660	34.81%	25.06%	40.13%	-0.09	+4.2	8
2006-09-23	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	65.7	1660	1600	40.13%	25.06%	34.81%	+0.09	-4.2	10
2006-09-24	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	62.8	1762	1821	35.08%	25.07%	39.85%	-0.08	-6.6	12
2006-09-24	@ Aberdeen	W 3-1	62.8	1821	1762	39.85%	25.07%	35.08%	+0.08	+6.6	16
2006-09-30	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	53.0	1731	1604	60.07%	20.69%	19.24%	+0.71	+2.3	11
2006-09-30	@ Inverness CT	L 0-1	53.0	1604	1731	19.24%	20.69%	60.07%	-0.71	-2.3	8
2006-09-30	Hibernian	W 1-0	60.2	1656	1701	36.88%	25.12%	38.00%	-0.02	+4.3	13
2006-09-30	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	60.2	1701	1656	38.00%	25.12%	36.88%	+0.02	-4.3	11
2006-09-30	Kilmarnock	W 5-0	56.0	1647	1705	35.06%	25.07%	39.87%	-0.08	+19.7	7
2006-09-30	@ Motherwell	L 0-5	56.0	1705	1647	39.87%	25.07%	35.06%	+0.08	-19.7	12
2006-10-01	Aberdeen	W 1-0	55.5	1851	1756	56.09%	22.09%	21.82%	+0.58	+2.7	15
2006-10-01	@ Rangers	L 0-1	55.5	1756	1851	21.82%	22.09%	56.09%	-0.58	-2.7	12
2006-10-01	Celtic	L 0-1	51.6	1609	1890	14.57%	17.15%	68.28%	-1.03	-1.7	10
2006-10-01	@ Falkirk	W 1-0	51.6	1890	1609	68.28%	17.15%	14.57%	+1.03	+1.7	22
2006-10-01	Dundee United	W 4-0	44.4	1827	1585	72.79%	14.94%	12.28%	+1.20	+5.0	19
2006-10-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	44.4	1585	1827	12.28%	14.94%	72.79%	-1.20	-5.0	8
2006-10-14	Aberdeen	W 1-0	61.7	1686	1753	33.86%	25.00%	41.13%	-0.12	+4.6	15
2006-10-14	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	61.7	1753	1686	41.13%	25.00%	33.86%	+0.12	-4.6	12
2006-10-14	Celtic	L 1-4	50.2	1580	1892	12.95%	15.62%	71.43%	-1.16	-3.4	8
2006-10-14	@ Dundee United	W 4-1	50.2	1892	1580	71.43%	15.62%	12.95%	+1.16	+3.4	25
2006-10-14	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	60.6	1667	1602	52.22%	23.22%	24.57%	+0.45	+2.8	10
2006-10-14	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	60.6	1602	1667	24.57%	23.22%	52.22%	-0.45	-2.8	8
2006-10-14	Inverness CT	L 0-1	66.4	1853	1733	59.20%	21.02%	19.78%	+0.68	-6.1	15
2006-10-14	@ Rangers	W 1-0	66.4	1733	1853	19.78%	21.02%	59.20%	-0.68	+6.1	14
2006-10-14	St. Mirren	D 1-1	71.4	1607	1660	35.77%	25.10%	39.13%	-0.06	+0.1	11
2006-10-14	@ Falkirk	D 1-1	71.4	1660	1607	39.13%	25.10%	35.77%	+0.06	-0.1	14
2006-10-15	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	79.8	1697	1832	25.85%	23.63%	50.52%	-0.41	+0.4	12
2006-10-15	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	79.8	1832	1697	50.52%	23.63%	25.85%	+0.41	-0.4	20
2006-10-21	Dundee United	W 3-1	53.8	1748	1577	65.28%	18.53%	16.18%	+0.90	+3.1	15
2006-10-21	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	53.8	1577	1748	16.18%	18.53%	65.28%	-0.90	-3.2	8
2006-10-21	Falkirk	W 3-2	64.0	1740	1607	60.73%	20.44%	18.83%	+0.74	+2.0	17
2006-10-21	@ Inverness CT	L 2-3	64.0	1607	1740	18.83%	20.44%	60.73%	-0.74	-2.0	11
2006-10-21	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	63.1	1832	1690	61.80%	20.01%	18.18%	+0.77	-11.9	20
2006-10-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	63.1	1690	1832	18.18%	20.01%	61.80%	-0.77	+11.9	18
2006-10-21	Motherwell	W 2-1	57.0	1895	1669	71.17%	15.75%	13.08%	+1.14	+1.4	28
2006-10-21	@ Celtic	L 1-2	57.0	1669	1895	13.08%	15.75%	71.17%	-1.14	-1.4	10
2006-10-22	Rangers	L 2-3	66.0	1660	1847	21.05%	21.72%	57.23%	-0.63	-2.3	14
2006-10-22	@ St. Mirren	W 3-2	66.0	1847	1660	57.23%	21.72%	21.05%	+0.63	+2.3	18
2006-10-23	Hibernian	L 0-4	51.5	1599	1698	29.91%	24.55%	45.54%	-0.25	-12.7	8
2006-10-23	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-0	51.5	1698	1599	45.54%	24.55%	29.91%	+0.25	+12.7	15
2006-10-28	Dundee United	W 5-1	52.2	1605	1574	47.69%	24.21%	28.10%	+0.30	+10.0	14
2006-10-28	@ Falkirk	L 1-5	52.2	1574	1605	28.10%	24.21%	47.69%	-0.30	-10.1	8
2006-10-28	Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	75.8	1820	1586	71.97%	15.35%	12.68%	+1.17	-1.5	21
2006-10-28	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	75.8	1586	1820	12.68%	15.35%	71.97%	-1.17	+1.5	9
2006-10-28	Inverness CT	D 1-1	72.9	1658	1742	31.74%	24.81%	43.45%	-0.19	+0.3	15
2006-10-28	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	72.9	1742	1658	43.45%	24.81%	31.74%	+0.19	-0.3	18
2006-10-28	Motherwell	D 1-1	75.5	1849	1668	66.40%	18.03%	15.57%	+0.95	-1.2	19
2006-10-28	@ Rangers	D 1-1	75.5	1668	1849	15.57%	18.03%	66.40%	-0.95	+1.2	11
2006-10-29	Celtic	L 1-2	61.0	1702	1897	20.44%	21.39%	58.17%	-0.66	-2.4	18
2006-10-29	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	61.0	1897	1702	58.17%	21.39%	20.44%	+0.66	+2.3	31
2006-10-30	Hibernian	W 2-1	63.3	1752	1710	49.08%	23.94%	26.98%	+0.35	+3.1	18
2006-10-30	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	63.3	1710	1752	26.98%	23.94%	49.08%	-0.35	-3.1	15
2006-11-04	Falkirk	L 0-3	52.9	1588	1615	39.47%	25.09%	35.45%	+0.05	-12.1	9
2006-11-04	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	52.9	1615	1588	35.45%	25.09%	39.47%	-0.05	+12.1	17
2006-11-04	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	62.3	1899	1818	54.27%	22.65%	23.08%	+0.51	+2.7	34
2006-11-04	@ Celtic	L 1-2	62.3	1818	1899	23.08%	22.65%	54.27%	-0.51	-2.7	21
2006-11-04	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	79.0	1707	1700	44.39%	24.70%	30.91%	+0.20	-0.2	16
2006-11-04	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	79.0	1700	1707	30.91%	24.70%	44.39%	-0.20	+0.2	19
2006-11-04	St. Mirren	D 0-0	67.2	1669	1658	44.92%	24.64%	30.44%	+0.22	-0.4	12
2006-11-04	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	67.2	1658	1669	30.44%	24.64%	44.92%	-0.22	+0.4	16
2006-11-05	Rangers	W 2-1	73.4	1564	1848	14.41%	17.01%	68.59%	-1.05	+6.4	11
2006-11-05	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	73.4	1848	1564	68.59%	17.01%	14.41%	+1.05	-6.4	19
2006-11-06	Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.3	1741	1755	41.46%	24.98%	33.55%	+0.11	-0.2	19
2006-11-06	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	73.3	1755	1741	33.55%	24.98%	41.46%	-0.11	+0.2	19
2006-11-11	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	45.6	1842	1576	75.15%	13.72%	11.13%	+1.31	+2.3	22
2006-11-11	@ Rangers	L 0-2	45.6	1576	1842	11.13%	13.72%	75.15%	-1.31	-2.3	9
2006-11-11	Inverness CT	W 2-0	56.8	1707	1741	38.50%	25.11%	36.39%	+0.02	+7.8	19
2006-11-11	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	56.8	1741	1707	36.39%	25.11%	38.50%	-0.02	-7.8	19
2006-11-11	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	62.3	1570	1700	26.40%	23.79%	49.82%	-0.38	+5.3	14
2006-11-11	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	62.3	1700	1570	49.82%	23.79%	26.40%	+0.38	-5.3	19
2006-11-11	Motherwell	W 2-1	61.3	1755	1669	54.96%	22.45%	22.59%	+0.54	+2.6	22
2006-11-11	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	61.3	1669	1755	22.59%	22.45%	54.96%	-0.54	-2.6	12
2006-11-12	Celtic	L 1-3	55.5	1658	1902	16.91%	19.10%	63.99%	-0.87	-3.3	16
2006-11-12	@ St. Mirren	W 3-1	55.5	1902	1658	63.99%	19.10%	16.91%	+0.87	+3.3	37
2006-11-13	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	74.1	1627	1816	20.91%	21.65%	57.44%	-0.64	+0.9	18
2006-11-13	@ Falkirk	D 1-1	74.1	1816	1627	57.44%	21.65%	20.91%	+0.64	-0.9	22
2006-11-18	Dundee United	W 2-1	60.8	1573	1576	43.04%	24.85%	32.11%	+0.16	+3.5	12
2006-11-18	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	60.8	1576	1573	32.11%	24.85%	43.04%	-0.16	-3.5	14
2006-11-18	Falkirk	W 2-1	61.3	1695	1628	52.46%	23.15%	24.38%	+0.46	+2.8	22
2006-11-18	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	61.3	1628	1695	24.38%	23.15%	52.46%	-0.46	-2.8	18
2006-11-18	Hibernian	L 1-6	57.4	1666	1715	36.44%	25.11%	38.44%	-0.04	-15.2	12
2006-11-18	@ Motherwell	W 6-1	57.4	1715	1666	38.44%	25.11%	36.44%	+0.04	+15.2	22
2006-11-18	Inverness CT	W 3-0	47.4	1905	1733	65.32%	18.52%	16.17%	+0.90	+5.3	40
2006-11-18	@ Celtic	L 0-3	47.4	1733	1905	16.17%	18.52%	65.32%	-0.90	-5.3	19
2006-11-18	St. Mirren	W 2-0	51.0	1757	1655	57.02%	21.79%	21.19%	+0.61	+4.9	25
2006-11-18	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	51.0	1655	1757	21.19%	21.79%	57.02%	-0.61	-4.9	16
2006-11-19	Rangers	L 0-1	61.7	1815	1844	39.21%	25.10%	35.69%	+0.05	-4.4	22
2006-11-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	61.7	1844	1815	35.69%	25.10%	39.21%	-0.05	+4.4	25
2006-11-25	Aberdeen	L 0-3	48.6	1577	1762	21.17%	21.78%	57.06%	-0.62	-7.1	12
2006-11-25	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	48.6	1762	1577	57.06%	21.78%	21.17%	+0.62	+7.1	28
2006-11-25	Falkirk	W 4-2	62.2	1651	1625	46.96%	24.34%	28.70%	+0.28	+5.0	15
2006-11-25	@ Motherwell	L 2-4	62.2	1625	1651	28.70%	24.34%	46.96%	-0.28	-5.0	18
2006-11-25	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	68.3	1728	1811	31.88%	24.83%	43.29%	-0.18	+0.3	20
2006-11-25	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	68.3	1811	1728	43.29%	24.83%	31.88%	+0.18	-0.3	23
2006-11-26	Celtic	D 2-2	80.5	1730	1910	21.61%	22.00%	56.39%	-0.60	+0.6	23
2006-11-26	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	80.5	1910	1730	56.39%	22.00%	21.61%	+0.60	-0.6	41
2006-11-26	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	48.0	1849	1698	62.92%	19.55%	17.53%	+0.82	+5.8	28
2006-11-26	@ Rangers	L 0-3	48.0	1698	1849	17.53%	19.55%	62.92%	-0.82	-5.8	22
2006-11-26	St. Mirren	W 1-0	59.6	1572	1650	32.42%	24.88%	42.70%	-0.16	+4.7	17
2006-11-26	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	59.6	1650	1572	42.70%	24.88%	32.42%	+0.16	-4.7	16
2006-12-02	Aberdeen	W 1-0	53.9	1910	1769	61.66%	20.07%	18.27%	+0.77	+2.2	44
2006-12-02	@ Celtic	L 0-1	53.9	1769	1910	18.27%	20.07%	61.66%	-0.77	-2.2	28
2006-12-02	Dundee United	W 2-1	57.8	1731	1577	63.27%	19.40%	17.32%	+0.83	+2.0	26
2006-12-02	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	57.8	1577	1731	17.32%	19.40%	63.27%	-0.83	-2.0	17
2006-12-02	Dunfermline Athletic	W 5-1	50.3	1692	1570	59.47%	20.92%	19.61%	+0.69	+7.1	25
2006-12-02	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-5	50.3	1570	1692	19.61%	20.92%	59.47%	-0.69	-7.1	12
2006-12-02	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	79.9	1646	1810	22.99%	22.62%	54.39%	-0.53	+0.6	17
2006-12-02	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	79.9	1810	1646	54.39%	22.62%	22.99%	+0.53	-0.5	24
2006-12-02	Motherwell	L 0-1	64.3	1728	1656	53.17%	22.96%	23.86%	+0.48	-5.6	20
2006-12-02	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	64.3	1656	1728	23.86%	22.96%	53.17%	-0.48	+5.6	18
2006-12-03	Rangers	W 1-0	66.7	1620	1854	17.52%	19.55%	62.93%	-0.83	+6.4	21
2006-12-03	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	66.7	1854	1620	62.93%	19.55%	17.52%	+0.83	-6.4	28
2006-12-09	Falkirk	W 2-1	59.1	1767	1627	61.70%	20.05%	18.25%	+0.77	+2.1	31
2006-12-09	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	59.1	1627	1767	18.25%	20.05%	61.70%	-0.77	-2.1	21
2006-12-09	Hibernian	W 3-0	49.3	1848	1733	58.64%	21.22%	20.14%	+0.66	+6.7	31
2006-12-09	@ Rangers	L 0-3	49.3	1733	1848	20.14%	21.22%	58.64%	-0.66	-6.7	26
2006-12-09	Inverness CT	W 3-1	65.7	1575	1723	24.56%	23.22%	52.23%	-0.46	+9.0	20
2006-12-09	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	65.7	1723	1575	52.23%	23.22%	24.56%	+0.46	-9.0	20
2006-12-09	Motherwell	W 4-1	52.8	1810	1662	62.57%	19.70%	17.73%	+0.80	+4.9	27
2006-12-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	52.8	1662	1810	17.73%	19.70%	62.57%	-0.80	-4.9	18
2006-12-09	St. Mirren	D 1-1	72.8	1699	1646	50.61%	23.61%	25.78%	+0.40	-0.6	26
2006-12-09	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	72.8	1646	1699	25.78%	23.61%	50.61%	-0.40	+0.6	18
2006-12-10	Celtic	L 1-2	55.5	1563	1912	11.12%	13.72%	75.16%	-1.32	-1.2	12
2006-12-10	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	55.5	1912	1563	75.16%	13.72%	11.12%	+1.32	+1.2	47
2006-12-16	Aberdeen	L 0-1	64.3	1815	1769	49.62%	23.83%	26.55%	+0.36	-5.3	27
2006-12-16	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	64.3	1769	1815	26.55%	23.83%	49.62%	-0.36	+5.3	34
2006-12-16	Dundee United	L 2-3	73.7	1657	1584	53.29%	22.93%	23.78%	+0.48	-5.0	18
2006-12-16	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	73.7	1584	1657	23.78%	22.93%	53.29%	-0.48	+5.0	23
2006-12-16	Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	65.9	1647	1561	54.87%	22.47%	22.65%	+0.53	-0.9	19
2006-12-16	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	65.9	1561	1647	22.65%	22.47%	54.87%	-0.53	+0.9	13
2006-12-16	Hibernian	W 2-1	68.4	1625	1726	29.58%	24.50%	45.92%	-0.26	+4.7	24
2006-12-16	@ Falkirk	L 1-2	68.4	1726	1625	45.92%	24.50%	29.58%	+0.26	-4.7	26
2006-12-16	Kilmarnock	L 3-4	76.0	1714	1698	45.51%	24.56%	29.93%	+0.24	-4.3	20
2006-12-16	@ Inverness CT	W 4-3	76.0	1698	1714	29.93%	24.56%	45.51%	-0.24	+4.3	29
2006-12-17	Celtic	D 1-1	73.7	1855	1913	35.06%	25.07%	39.87%	-0.08	+0.1	32
2006-12-17	@ Rangers	D 1-1	73.7	1913	1855	39.87%	25.07%	35.06%	+0.08	-0.1	48
2006-12-23	Falkirk	W 1-0	49.2	1913	1629	76.77%	12.87%	10.35%	+1.38	+1.1	51
2006-12-23	@ Celtic	L 0-1	49.2	1629	1913	10.35%	12.87%	76.77%	-1.38	-1.1	24
2006-12-23	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	53.2	1589	1809	18.46%	20.20%	61.34%	-0.77	-2.2	23
2006-12-23	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	53.2	1809	1589	61.34%	20.20%	18.46%	+0.77	+2.2	30
2006-12-23	Inverness CT	D 0-0	66.9	1562	1709	24.64%	23.25%	52.11%	-0.46	+0.7	14
2006-12-23	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	66.9	1709	1562	52.11%	23.25%	24.64%	+0.46	-0.7	21
2006-12-23	Motherwell	L 1-2	69.5	1703	1652	50.36%	23.67%	25.97%	+0.39	-5.1	29
2006-12-23	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	69.5	1652	1703	25.97%	23.67%	50.36%	-0.39	+5.0	21
2006-12-23	Rangers	L 1-2	65.6	1775	1855	32.19%	24.86%	42.95%	-0.17	-3.6	34
2006-12-23	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	65.6	1855	1775	42.95%	24.86%	32.19%	+0.17	+3.6	35
2006-12-23	St. Mirren	W 5-1	53.4	1721	1646	53.58%	22.85%	23.57%	+0.49	+8.6	29
2006-12-23	@ Hibernian	L 1-5	53.4	1646	1721	23.57%	22.85%	53.58%	-0.49	-8.6	19
2006-12-26	Dundee United	D 2-2	83.6	1914	1586	80.53%	10.87%	8.60%	+1.57	-1.3	52
2006-12-26	@ Celtic	D 2-2	83.6	1586	1914	8.60%	10.87%	80.53%	-1.57	+1.3	24
2006-12-26	Falkirk	W 1-0	56.7	1637	1628	44.66%	24.67%	30.67%	+0.21	+3.6	22
2006-12-26	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	56.7	1628	1637	30.67%	24.67%	44.66%	-0.21	-3.6	24
2006-12-26	Hibernian	W 3-2	66.9	1812	1730	54.42%	22.61%	22.97%	+0.52	+2.5	33
2006-12-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	66.9	1730	1812	22.97%	22.61%	54.42%	-0.52	-2.5	29
2006-12-26	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	58.4	1771	1698	53.34%	22.92%	23.74%	+0.48	+4.7	37
2006-12-26	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	58.4	1698	1771	23.74%	22.92%	53.34%	-0.48	-4.7	29
2006-12-26	Motherwell	L 0-2	52.3	1563	1657	30.49%	24.64%	44.87%	-0.23	-6.8	14
2006-12-26	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	52.3	1657	1563	44.87%	24.64%	30.49%	+0.23	+6.8	24
2006-12-27	Rangers	W 2-1	71.0	1709	1858	24.40%	23.16%	52.44%	-0.47	+5.2	24
2006-12-27	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	71.0	1858	1709	52.44%	23.16%	24.40%	+0.47	-5.2	35
2006-12-30	Aberdeen	W 3-1	67.5	1588	1776	20.97%	21.67%	57.36%	-0.63	+9.7	27
2006-12-30	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	67.5	1776	1588	57.36%	21.67%	20.97%	+0.63	-9.7	37
2006-12-30	Celtic	D 1-1	75.4	1664	1913	16.52%	18.80%	64.68%	-0.89	+1.2	25
2006-12-30	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	75.4	1913	1664	64.68%	18.80%	16.52%	+0.89	-1.2	53
2006-12-30	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	47.3	1727	1556	65.24%	18.55%	16.21%	+0.90	+3.6	32
2006-12-30	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	47.3	1556	1727	16.21%	18.55%	65.24%	-0.90	-3.6	14
2006-12-30	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	68.5	1693	1814	27.32%	24.03%	48.65%	-0.35	+0.6	30
2006-12-30	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	68.5	1814	1693	48.65%	24.03%	27.32%	+0.35	-0.5	34
2006-12-30	Inverness CT	W 3-1	64.2	1624	1714	31.02%	24.72%	44.26%	-0.21	+7.9	27
2006-12-30	@ Falkirk	L 1-3	64.2	1714	1624	44.26%	24.72%	31.02%	+0.21	-7.9	24
2006-12-30	St. Mirren	D 1-1	75.9	1853	1641	69.73%	16.46%	13.81%	+1.08	-1.4	36
2006-12-30	@ Rangers	D 1-1	75.9	1641	1853	13.81%	16.46%	69.73%	-1.08	+1.4	23
2007-01-01	Falkirk	L 1-5	56.7	1597	1632	38.39%	25.11%	36.49%	+0.02	-12.9	27
2007-01-01	@ Dundee United	W 5-1	56.7	1632	1597	36.49%	25.11%	38.39%	-0.02	+12.9	30
2007-01-01	St. Mirren	W 2-1	61.6	1706	1642	52.05%	23.26%	24.69%	+0.44	+2.8	27
2007-01-01	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	61.6	1642	1706	24.69%	23.26%	52.05%	-0.44	-2.8	23
2007-01-02	Aberdeen	D 0-0	68.1	1731	1766	38.35%	25.12%	36.53%	+0.02	-0.1	33
2007-01-02	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	68.1	1766	1731	36.53%	25.12%	38.35%	-0.02	+0.0	38
2007-01-02	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	51.5	1553	1814	15.78%	18.20%	66.01%	-0.95	-1.9	14
2007-01-02	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	51.5	1814	1553	66.01%	18.20%	15.78%	+0.95	+1.9	37
2007-01-02	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	47.7	1912	1693	70.37%	16.14%	13.48%	+1.10	+2.9	56
2007-01-02	@ Celtic	L 0-2	47.7	1693	1912	13.48%	16.14%	70.37%	-1.10	-2.9	30
2007-01-02	Rangers	L 0-1	55.0	1665	1852	21.06%	21.72%	57.22%	-0.63	-2.6	25
2007-01-02	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	55.0	1852	1665	57.22%	21.72%	21.06%	+0.63	+2.6	39
2007-01-13	Dundee United	W 5-0	44.5	1854	1585	75.48%	13.55%	10.97%	+1.32	+5.4	42
2007-01-13	@ Rangers	L 0-5	44.5	1585	1854	10.97%	13.55%	75.48%	-1.32	-5.4	27
2007-01-13	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	52.0	1645	1551	56.05%	22.11%	21.84%	+0.57	+2.7	33
2007-01-13	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	52.0	1551	1645	21.84%	22.11%	56.05%	-0.57	-2.7	14
2007-01-13	Inverness CT	D 1-1	73.7	1766	1709	51.21%	23.47%	25.32%	+0.41	-0.6	39
2007-01-13	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.7	1709	1766	25.32%	23.47%	51.21%	-0.41	+0.6	28
2007-01-14	Celtic	L 1-2	64.9	1815	1915	29.84%	24.54%	45.62%	-0.25	-3.4	37
2007-01-14	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	64.9	1915	1815	45.62%	24.54%	29.84%	+0.25	+3.4	59
2007-01-15	Hibernian	L 0-2	57.0	1690	1731	37.61%	25.12%	37.27%	+0.00	-8.0	30
2007-01-15	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	57.0	1731	1690	37.27%	25.12%	37.61%	+0.00	+8.1	36
2007-01-20	Dundee United	W 1-0	52.9	1682	1579	57.14%	21.75%	21.11%	+0.61	+2.6	33
2007-01-20	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	52.9	1579	1682	21.11%	21.75%	57.14%	-0.61	-2.6	27
2007-01-20	Falkirk	W 1-0	52.6	1812	1648	64.45%	18.90%	16.65%	+0.87	+2.0	40
2007-01-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	52.6	1648	1812	16.65%	18.90%	64.45%	-0.87	-2.0	33
2007-01-20	St. Mirren	W 5-1	47.5	1918	1640	76.29%	13.13%	10.58%	+1.36	+3.5	62
2007-01-20	@ Celtic	L 1-5	47.5	1640	1918	10.58%	13.13%	76.29%	-1.36	-3.5	23
2007-01-21	Hibernian	W 3-0	54.7	1709	1739	39.17%	25.10%	35.73%	+0.04	+11.2	31
2007-01-21	@ Inverness CT	L 0-3	54.7	1739	1709	35.73%	25.10%	39.17%	-0.04	-11.2	36
2007-01-21	Rangers	L 0-1	50.2	1548	1860	12.94%	15.61%	71.45%	-1.16	-1.5	14
2007-01-21	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	50.2	1860	1548	71.45%	15.61%	12.94%	+1.16	+1.5	45
2007-01-27	Aberdeen	L 0-2	53.1	1636	1765	26.44%	23.80%	49.76%	-0.38	-6.0	23
2007-01-27	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	53.1	1765	1636	49.76%	23.80%	26.44%	+0.38	+6.0	42
2007-01-27	Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	63.2	1577	1547	47.55%	24.23%	28.22%	+0.30	-0.5	28
2007-01-27	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	63.2	1547	1577	28.22%	24.23%	47.55%	-0.30	+0.5	15
2007-01-27	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	68.9	1861	1814	49.85%	23.78%	26.37%	+0.37	-0.6	46
2007-01-27	@ Rangers	D 0-0	68.9	1814	1861	26.37%	23.78%	49.85%	-0.37	+0.6	41
2007-01-27	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	56.3	1646	1685	37.79%	25.12%	37.09%	+0.00	-8.1	33
2007-01-27	@ Falkirk	W 2-0	56.3	1685	1646	37.09%	25.12%	37.79%	+0.00	+8.1	36
2007-01-27	Motherwell	W 2-0	52.3	1728	1662	52.29%	23.20%	24.51%	+0.45	+5.6	39
2007-01-27	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	52.3	1662	1728	24.51%	23.20%	52.29%	-0.45	-5.6	25
2007-01-28	Celtic	L 1-2	60.8	1721	1921	19.95%	21.12%	58.94%	-0.69	-2.3	31
2007-01-28	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	60.8	1921	1721	58.94%	21.12%	19.95%	+0.69	+2.3	65
2007-02-10	Dundee United	L 0-1	61.3	1630	1576	50.76%	23.58%	25.66%	+0.40	-5.4	23
2007-02-10	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	61.3	1576	1630	25.66%	23.58%	50.76%	-0.40	+5.4	31
2007-02-10	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	44.2	1772	1547	71.02%	15.82%	13.16%	+1.13	+4.1	45
2007-02-10	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	44.2	1547	1772	13.16%	15.82%	71.02%	-1.13	-4.1	15
2007-02-10	Hibernian	W 1-0	52.2	1924	1733	67.39%	17.57%	15.04%	+0.98	+1.8	68
2007-02-10	@ Celtic	L 0-1	52.2	1733	1924	15.04%	17.57%	67.39%	-0.98	-1.8	39
2007-02-10	Inverness CT	W 1-0	55.3	1815	1718	56.27%	22.04%	21.69%	+0.58	+2.6	44
2007-02-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	55.3	1718	1815	21.69%	22.04%	56.27%	-0.58	-2.6	31
2007-02-10	Motherwell	L 1-2	66.4	1638	1657	40.71%	25.03%	34.26%	+0.09	-4.3	33
2007-02-10	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	66.4	1657	1638	34.26%	25.03%	40.71%	-0.09	+4.3	28
2007-02-11	Rangers	L 1-3	58.3	1693	1860	22.74%	22.51%	54.75%	-0.55	-4.5	36
2007-02-11	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	58.3	1860	1693	54.75%	22.51%	22.74%	+0.55	+4.5	49
2007-02-17	Celtic	L 1-2	62.8	1776	1925	24.38%	23.15%	52.47%	-0.47	-2.8	45
2007-02-17	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	62.8	1925	1776	52.47%	23.15%	24.38%	+0.47	+2.8	71
2007-02-17	Inverness CT	W 1-0	60.7	1661	1716	35.56%	25.09%	39.35%	-0.06	+4.4	31
2007-02-17	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	60.7	1716	1661	39.35%	25.09%	35.56%	+0.06	-4.4	31
2007-02-17	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	71.3	1543	1689	24.78%	23.29%	51.92%	-0.45	+0.6	16
2007-02-17	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	71.3	1689	1543	51.92%	23.29%	24.78%	+0.45	-0.6	37
2007-02-17	St. Mirren	D 1-1	75.3	1817	1625	67.64%	17.45%	14.90%	+0.99	-1.3	45
2007-02-17	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	75.3	1625	1817	14.90%	17.45%	67.64%	-0.99	+1.3	24
2007-02-18	Falkirk	W 2-1	56.6	1865	1634	71.74%	15.47%	12.80%	+1.16	+1.4	52
2007-02-18	@ Rangers	L 1-2	56.6	1634	1865	12.80%	15.47%	71.74%	-1.16	-1.4	33
2007-02-18	Hibernian	D 0-0	67.4	1582	1732	24.36%	23.15%	52.49%	-0.47	+0.7	32
2007-02-18	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	67.4	1732	1582	52.49%	23.15%	24.36%	+0.47	-0.7	40
2007-02-20	Motherwell	D 0-0	66.6	1626	1665	37.75%	25.12%	37.13%	+0.00	-0.0	25
2007-02-20	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	66.6	1665	1626	37.13%	25.12%	37.75%	+0.00	+0.0	32
2007-03-03	Aberdeen	L 1-2	62.3	1632	1773	25.29%	23.46%	51.25%	-0.43	-2.9	33
2007-03-03	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	62.3	1773	1632	51.25%	23.46%	25.29%	+0.43	+2.9	48
2007-03-03	Dundee United	W 1-0	52.4	1711	1582	60.32%	20.60%	19.09%	+0.72	+2.3	34
2007-03-03	@ Inverness CT	L 0-1	52.4	1582	1711	19.09%	20.60%	60.32%	-0.72	-2.3	32
2007-03-03	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	52.6	1928	1544	84.76%	8.57%	6.67%	+1.81	+0.6	74
2007-03-03	@ Celtic	L 1-2	52.6	1544	1928	6.67%	8.57%	84.76%	-1.81	-0.6	16
2007-03-03	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	55.1	1626	1688	34.57%	25.05%	40.38%	-0.09	-7.5	25
2007-03-03	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	55.1	1688	1626	40.38%	25.05%	34.57%	+0.09	+7.5	40
2007-03-04	Rangers	L 0-2	53.6	1731	1866	25.79%	23.62%	50.59%	-0.41	-5.9	40
2007-03-04	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	53.6	1866	1731	50.59%	23.62%	25.79%	+0.41	+5.9	55
2007-03-05	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	52.7	1665	1816	24.29%	23.12%	52.58%	-0.47	-5.6	32
2007-03-05	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	52.7	1816	1665	52.58%	23.12%	24.29%	+0.47	+5.6	48
2007-03-10	Falkirk	W 2-0	50.8	1725	1629	56.17%	22.07%	21.76%	+0.58	+5.0	43
2007-03-10	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	50.8	1629	1725	21.76%	22.07%	56.17%	-0.58	-5.0	33
2007-03-10	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	61.3	1776	1822	36.82%	25.12%	38.06%	-0.03	+4.3	51
2007-03-10	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	61.3	1822	1776	38.06%	25.12%	36.82%	+0.03	-4.3	48
2007-03-10	Inverness CT	W 3-2	70.5	1695	1714	40.79%	25.03%	34.19%	+0.09	+3.5	43
2007-03-10	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-3	70.5	1714	1695	34.19%	25.03%	40.79%	-0.09	-3.5	34
2007-03-10	Motherwell	D 1-1	71.0	1580	1660	32.23%	24.86%	42.90%	-0.17	+0.2	33
2007-03-10	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	71.0	1660	1580	42.90%	24.86%	32.23%	+0.17	-0.2	33
2007-03-10	St. Mirren	D 0-0	64.1	1543	1618	32.79%	24.92%	42.29%	-0.15	+0.2	17
2007-03-10	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	64.1	1618	1543	42.29%	24.92%	32.79%	+0.15	-0.2	26
2007-03-11	Rangers	L 0-1	64.9	1929	1872	51.12%	23.49%	25.39%	+0.41	-5.4	74
2007-03-11	@ Celtic	W 1-0	64.9	1872	1929	25.39%	23.49%	51.12%	-0.41	+5.4	58
2007-03-13	Aberdeen	L 0-2	53.7	1659	1780	27.40%	24.05%	48.56%	-0.35	-6.2	33
2007-03-13	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	53.7	1780	1659	48.56%	24.05%	27.40%	+0.35	+6.2	54
2007-03-17	Aberdeen	W 3-0	50.3	1878	1786	55.66%	22.23%	22.11%	+0.56	+7.4	61
2007-03-17	@ Rangers	L 0-3	50.3	1786	1878	22.11%	22.23%	55.66%	-0.56	-7.4	54
2007-03-17	Dundee United	L 0-4	62.4	1817	1580	72.31%	15.18%	12.51%	+1.18	-25.3	48
2007-03-17	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	62.4	1580	1817	12.51%	15.18%	72.31%	-1.18	+25.3	36
2007-03-17	Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-3	67.5	1710	1543	64.77%	18.76%	16.47%	+0.88	-10.7	34
2007-03-17	@ Inverness CT	W 3-1	67.5	1543	1710	16.47%	18.76%	64.77%	-0.88	+10.7	20
2007-03-18	Celtic	W 1-0	68.1	1624	1923	13.60%	16.25%	70.15%	-1.11	+6.9	36
2007-03-18	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	68.1	1923	1624	70.15%	16.25%	13.60%	+1.11	-6.9	74
2007-03-31	Aberdeen	L 1-2	65.2	1699	1779	32.22%	24.86%	42.91%	-0.17	-3.6	43
2007-03-31	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	65.2	1779	1699	42.91%	24.86%	32.22%	+0.17	+3.6	57
2007-03-31	Celtic	D 1-1	76.2	1606	1917	12.97%	15.64%	71.39%	-1.16	+1.4	37
2007-03-31	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	76.2	1917	1606	71.39%	15.64%	12.97%	+1.16	-1.4	75
2007-03-31	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	48.5	1653	1554	56.67%	21.90%	21.43%	+0.60	+4.9	36
2007-03-31	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	48.5	1554	1653	21.43%	21.90%	56.67%	-0.60	-4.9	20
2007-03-31	Inverness CT	D 1-1	75.7	1885	1699	66.88%	17.81%	15.31%	+0.96	-1.3	62
2007-03-31	@ Rangers	D 1-1	75.7	1699	1885	15.31%	17.81%	66.88%	-0.96	+1.3	35
2007-03-31	St. Mirren	W 2-0	52.8	1631	1618	45.20%	24.60%	30.20%	+0.23	+6.8	39
2007-03-31	@ Falkirk	L 0-2	52.8	1618	1631	30.20%	24.60%	45.20%	-0.23	-6.8	26
2007-04-01	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	60.0	1730	1792	34.56%	25.05%	40.39%	-0.10	-4.0	43
2007-04-01	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	60.0	1792	1730	40.39%	25.05%	34.56%	+0.10	+4.0	51
2007-04-03	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	60.2	1658	1695	38.05%	25.12%	36.83%	+0.01	-4.3	36
2007-04-03	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	60.2	1695	1658	36.83%	25.12%	38.05%	-0.01	+4.3	46
2007-04-04	Hibernian	D 1-1	72.5	1611	1726	28.06%	24.20%	47.73%	-0.32	+0.5	27
2007-04-04	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	72.5	1726	1611	47.73%	24.20%	28.06%	+0.32	-0.4	44
2007-04-07	Dundee United	L 2-4	72.7	1782	1607	65.74%	18.33%	15.93%	+0.92	-9.7	57
2007-04-07	@ Aberdeen	W 4-2	72.7	1607	1782	15.93%	18.33%	65.74%	-0.92	+9.6	40
2007-04-07	Falkirk	D 1-1	72.8	1701	1638	51.92%	23.29%	24.78%	+0.44	-0.6	36
2007-04-07	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	72.8	1638	1701	24.78%	23.29%	51.92%	-0.44	+0.6	40
2007-04-07	Hibernian	W 1-0	63.7	1549	1725	21.93%	22.15%	55.92%	-0.58	+5.8	23
2007-04-07	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	63.7	1725	1549	55.92%	22.15%	21.93%	+0.58	-5.8	44
2007-04-07	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	55.2	1796	1700	56.26%	22.04%	21.70%	+0.58	+2.6	54
2007-04-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	55.2	1700	1796	21.70%	22.04%	56.26%	-0.58	-2.6	46
2007-04-07	Motherwell	W 1-0	49.9	1915	1654	74.68%	13.97%	11.35%	+1.29	+1.3	78
2007-04-07	@ Celtic	L 0-1	49.9	1654	1915	11.35%	13.97%	74.68%	-1.29	-1.3	36
2007-04-08	Rangers	L 0-1	51.9	1612	1884	15.12%	17.64%	67.24%	-0.99	-1.8	27
2007-04-08	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	51.9	1884	1612	67.24%	17.64%	15.12%	+0.99	+1.8	65

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2007-04-21	Dundee United	W 1-0	57.8	1555	1617	34.59%	25.05%	40.36%	-0.09	+4.5	3
2007-04-21	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	57.8	1617	1555	40.36%	25.05%	34.59%	+0.09	-4.5	0
2007-04-21	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	62.0	1886	1799	55.09%	22.41%	22.50%	+0.54	+2.6	3
2007-04-21	@ Rangers	L 1-2	62.0	1799	1886	22.50%	22.41%	55.09%	-0.54	-2.6	0
2007-04-21	Hibernian	D 2-2	79.7	1773	1720	50.67%	23.60%	25.73%	+0.40	-0.4	1
2007-04-21	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	79.7	1720	1773	25.73%	23.60%	50.67%	-0.40	+0.4	1
2007-04-21	Motherwell	W 2-0	52.7	1700	1653	49.89%	23.77%	26.33%	+0.37	+6.0	3
2007-04-21	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	52.7	1653	1700	26.33%	23.77%	49.89%	-0.37	-6.0	0
2007-04-22	Celtic	L 1-2	60.1	1697	1916	18.56%	20.26%	61.18%	-0.77	-2.1	0
2007-04-22	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	60.1	1916	1697	61.18%	20.26%	18.56%	+0.77	+2.1	3
2007-04-23	St. Mirren	L 0-2	57.8	1639	1610	47.34%	24.27%	28.39%	+0.29	-9.6	0
2007-04-23	@ Falkirk	W 2-0	57.8	1610	1639	28.39%	24.27%	47.34%	-0.29	+9.6	3
2007-04-28	Falkirk	D 3-3	81.2	1647	1629	45.82%	24.51%	29.67%	+0.25	-0.2	1
2007-04-28	@ Motherwell	D 3-3	81.2	1629	1647	29.67%	24.51%	45.82%	-0.25	+0.2	1
2007-04-28	Inverness CT	D 1-1	72.2	1612	1706	30.47%	24.64%	44.89%	-0.23	+0.3	1
2007-04-28	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	72.2	1706	1612	44.89%	24.64%	30.47%	+0.23	-0.3	4
2007-04-28	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	50.4	1772	1695	53.85%	22.77%	23.38%	+0.50	+7.8	4
2007-04-28	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	50.4	1695	1772	23.38%	22.77%	53.85%	-0.50	-7.8	0
2007-04-28	Rangers	D 3-3	83.9	1720	1888	22.67%	22.48%	54.85%	-0.55	+0.5	2
2007-04-28	@ Hibernian	D 3-3	83.9	1888	1720	54.85%	22.48%	22.67%	+0.55	-0.5	4
2007-04-29	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	69.1	1918	1796	59.52%	20.90%	19.58%	+0.69	-10.0	3
2007-04-29	@ Celtic	W 3-1	69.1	1796	1918	19.58%	20.90%	59.52%	-0.69	+10.0	3
2007-04-30	Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	60.9	1620	1559	51.63%	23.37%	25.00%	+0.43	-5.5	3
2007-04-30	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	60.9	1559	1620	25.00%	23.37%	51.63%	-0.43	+5.5	6
2007-05-05	Celtic	W 2-0	56.8	1888	1909	40.42%	25.05%	34.54%	+0.08	+7.5	7
2007-05-05	@ Rangers	L 0-2	56.8	1909	1888	34.54%	25.05%	40.42%	-0.08	-7.5	3
2007-05-05	Inverness CT	W 1-0	61.2	1629	1706	32.66%	24.91%	42.43%	-0.16	+4.7	4
2007-05-05	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	61.2	1706	1629	42.43%	24.91%	32.66%	+0.16	-4.7	4
2007-05-05	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	63.3	1721	1687	47.99%	24.15%	27.86%	+0.31	-5.2	2
2007-05-05	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	63.3	1687	1721	27.86%	24.15%	47.99%	-0.31	+5.1	3
2007-05-05	St. Mirren	L 0-2	56.3	1612	1614	43.11%	24.84%	32.04%	+0.16	-8.9	1
2007-05-05	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	56.3	1614	1612	32.04%	24.84%	43.11%	-0.16	+8.9	6
2007-05-06	Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.7	1806	1780	46.96%	24.33%	28.70%	+0.28	-0.4	4
2007-05-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	73.7	1780	1806	28.70%	24.33%	46.96%	-0.28	+0.4	5
2007-05-07	Motherwell	W 4-1	59.2	1565	1646	31.98%	24.84%	43.18%	-0.18	+10.9	9
2007-05-07	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-4	59.2	1646	1565	43.18%	24.84%	31.98%	+0.18	-11.0	1
2007-05-12	Aberdeen	W 2-1	60.7	1901	1781	59.26%	20.99%	19.74%	+0.68	+2.3	6
2007-05-12	@ Celtic	L 1-2	60.7	1781	1901	19.74%	20.99%	59.26%	-0.68	-2.3	5
2007-05-12	Dundee United	W 2-0	51.8	1634	1603	47.60%	24.23%	28.18%	+0.30	+6.4	7
2007-05-12	@ Falkirk	L 0-2	51.8	1603	1634	28.18%	24.23%	47.60%	-0.30	-6.4	1
2007-05-12	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	58.4	1701	1576	59.88%	20.76%	19.36%	+0.71	+2.2	7
2007-05-12	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	58.4	1576	1701	19.36%	20.76%	59.88%	-0.71	-2.2	9
2007-05-12	Hibernian	W 2-0	51.9	1806	1715	55.50%	22.28%	22.22%	+0.56	+5.1	7
2007-05-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	51.9	1715	1806	22.22%	22.28%	55.50%	-0.56	-5.1	2
2007-05-12	St. Mirren	L 2-3	72.0	1635	1623	45.09%	24.62%	30.29%	+0.22	-4.4	1
2007-05-12	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	72.0	1623	1635	30.29%	24.62%	45.09%	-0.22	+4.4	9
2007-05-13	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	68.0	1895	1692	68.76%	16.92%	14.32%	+1.04	-6.8	7
2007-05-13	@ Rangers	W 1-0	68.0	1692	1895	14.32%	16.92%	68.76%	-1.04	+6.8	6
2007-05-19	Falkirk	L 0-3	51.5	1573	1640	33.91%	25.01%	41.08%	-0.12	-10.8	9
2007-05-19	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	51.5	1640	1573	41.08%	25.01%	33.91%	+0.12	+10.8	10
2007-05-19	Inverness CT	L 0-1	58.3	1627	1703	32.75%	24.92%	42.33%	-0.15	-3.8	9
2007-05-19	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	58.3	1703	1627	42.33%	24.92%	32.75%	+0.15	+3.8	10
2007-05-19	Motherwell	D 0-0	65.5	1597	1631	38.53%	25.11%	36.36%	+0.02	-0.0	2
2007-05-19	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	65.5	1631	1597	36.36%	25.11%	38.53%	-0.02	+0.0	2
2007-05-20	Celtic	W 2-1	72.3	1710	1903	20.56%	21.46%	57.98%	-0.65	+5.7	5
2007-05-20	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	72.3	1903	1710	57.98%	21.46%	20.56%	+0.65	-5.7	6
2007-05-20	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	63.6	1699	1811	28.40%	24.27%	47.33%	-0.31	+5.1	9
2007-05-20	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	63.6	1811	1699	47.33%	24.27%	28.40%	+0.31	-5.1	7
2007-05-20	Rangers	W 2-0	60.3	1778	1888	28.56%	24.31%	47.13%	-0.30	+9.6	8
2007-05-20	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	60.3	1888	1778	47.13%	24.31%	28.56%	+0.30	-9.6	7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2007-03-17	12.51%	Dundee United	1580	4	@ Heart of Midlothian	1817	0
2	2007-03-18	13.60%	@ Falkirk	1624	1	Celtic	1923	0
3	2007-05-13	14.32%	Kilmarnock	1692	1	@ Rangers	1895	0
4	2006-11-05	14.41%	@ Dundee United	1564	2	Rangers	1848	1
5	2007-04-07	15.93%	Dundee United	1607	4	@ Aberdeen	1782	2
6	2007-03-17	16.47%	Dunfermline Athletic	1543	3	@ Inverness CT	1710	1
7	2006-09-09	16.50%	St. Mirren	1658	1	@ Heart of Midlothian	1824	0
8	2006-12-03	17.52%	@ Falkirk	1620	1	Rangers	1854	0
9	2006-10-21	18.18%	Kilmarnock	1690	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1832	0
10	2007-04-29	19.58%	Heart of Midlothian	1796	3	@ Celtic	1918	1
11	2006-10-14	19.78%	Inverness CT	1733	1	@ Rangers	1853	0
12	2007-05-20	20.56%	@ Hibernian	1710	2	Celtic	1903	1
13	2006-12-30	20.97%	@ Dundee United	1588	3	Aberdeen	1776	1
14	2006-09-23	21.00%	Falkirk	1603	1	@ Hibernian	1707	0
15	2007-04-07	21.93%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1549	1	Hibernian	1725	0
16	2006-08-26	22.88%	Dundee United	1584	3	@ St. Mirren	1667	1
17	2006-09-17	23.38%	@ Hibernian	1702	2	Rangers	1862	1
18	2006-07-29	23.44%	St. Mirren	1657	2	@ Inverness CT	1734	1
19	2006-12-16	23.78%	Dundee United	1584	3	@ Motherwell	1657	2
20	2006-12-02	23.86%	Motherwell	1656	1	@ Inverness CT	1728	0
21	2006-12-27	24.40%	@ Inverness CT	1709	2	Rangers	1858	1
22	2006-12-09	24.56%	@ Dundee United	1575	3	Inverness CT	1723	1
23	2007-04-30	25.00%	Dunfermline Athletic	1559	1	@ St. Mirren	1620	0
24	2007-03-11	25.39%	Rangers	1872	1	@ Celtic	1929	0
25	2007-02-10	25.66%	Dundee United	1576	1	@ St. Mirren	1630	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-03-17	25.32	Dundee United	4	1580	12.51%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1817	72.31%	15.18%
2	2006-09-30	19.66	@ Motherwell	5	1647	35.06%	Kilmarnock	0	1705	39.87%	25.07%
3	2006-11-18	15.21	Hibernian	6	1715	38.44%	@ Motherwell	1	1666	36.44%	25.11%
4	2007-01-01	12.92	Falkirk	5	1632	36.49%	@ Dundee United	1	1597	38.39%	25.11%
5	2006-10-23	12.73	Hibernian	4	1698	45.54%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1599	29.91%	24.55%
6	2006-11-04	12.12	Falkirk	3	1615	35.45%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1588	39.47%	25.09%
7	2006-10-21	11.88	Kilmarnock	2	1690	18.18%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1832	61.80%	20.01%
8	2007-01-21	11.24	@ Inverness CT	3	1709	39.17%	Hibernian	0	1739	35.73%	25.10%
9	2007-05-07	10.95	@ Dunfermline Athletic	4	1565	31.98%	Motherwell	1	1646	43.18%	24.84%
10	2007-05-19	10.79	Falkirk	3	1640	41.08%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1573	33.91%	25.01%
11	2007-03-17	10.67	Dunfermline Athletic	3	1543	16.47%	@ Inverness CT	1	1710	64.77%	18.76%
12	2006-10-28	10.06	@ Falkirk	5	1605	47.69%	Dundee United	1	1574	28.10%	24.21%
13	2007-04-29	9.99	Heart of Midlothian	3	1796	19.58%	@ Celtic	1	1918	59.52%	20.90%
14	2006-09-10	9.75	Hibernian	3	1692	45.52%	@ Dundee United	0	1594	29.92%	24.56%
15	2006-12-30	9.71	@ Dundee United	3	1588	20.97%	Aberdeen	1	1776	57.36%	21.67%
16	2007-04-07	9.65	Dundee United	4	1607	15.93%	@ Aberdeen	2	1782	65.74%	18.33%
17	2007-04-23	9.61	St. Mirren	2	1610	28.39%	@ Falkirk	0	1639	47.34%	24.27%
18	2007-05-20	9.58	@ Aberdeen	2	1778	28.56%	Rangers	0	1888	47.13%	24.31%
19	2006-08-26	9.33	Dundee United	3	1584	22.88%	@ St. Mirren	1	1667	54.55%	22.57%
20	2006-09-09	9.18	Inverness CT	4	1723	40.66%	@ Motherwell	1	1659	34.31%	25.03%
21	2006-12-09	9.00	@ Dundee United	3	1575	24.56%	Inverness CT	1	1723	52.23%	23.22%
22	2007-05-05	8.93	St. Mirren	2	1614	32.04%	@ Dundee United	0	1612	43.11%	24.84%
23	2006-12-23	8.56	@ Hibernian	5	1721	53.58%	St. Mirren	1	1646	23.57%	22.85%
24	2007-01-27	8.07	Kilmarnock	2	1685	37.09%	@ Falkirk	0	1646	37.79%	25.12%
25	2007-01-15	8.05	Hibernian	2	1731	37.27%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1690	37.61%	25.12%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-04-28	83.9	@ Hibernian	3	1720	22.67%	Rangers	3	1888	54.85%	22.48%
2	2006-12-26	83.6	@ Celtic	2	1914	80.53%	Dundee United	2	1586	8.60%	10.87%
3	2006-08-05	82.5	@ Rangers	2	1854	75.64%	Dundee United	2	1582	10.89%	13.47%
4	2007-04-28	81.2	@ Motherwell	3	1647	45.82%	Falkirk	3	1629	29.67%	24.51%
5	2006-11-26	80.5	@ Hibernian	2	1730	21.61%	Celtic	2	1910	56.39%	22.00%
6	2006-08-27	80.1	@ Kilmarnock	2	1705	24.10%	Rangers	2	1858	52.85%	23.05%
7	2006-12-02	79.9	@ St. Mirren	2	1646	22.99%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1810	54.39%	22.62%
8	2006-10-15	79.8	@ Hibernian	2	1697	25.85%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1832	50.52%	23.63%
9	2007-04-21	79.7	@ Aberdeen	2	1773	50.67%	Hibernian	2	1720	25.73%	23.60%
10	2006-11-04	79.0	@ Hibernian	2	1707	44.39%	Kilmarnock	2	1700	30.91%	24.70%
11	2007-03-31	76.2	@ Dundee United	1	1606	12.97%	Celtic	1	1917	71.39%	15.64%
12	2006-12-16	76.0	Kilmarnock	4	1698	29.93%	@ Inverness CT	3	1714	45.51%	24.56%
13	2006-12-30	75.9	@ Rangers	1	1853	69.73%	St. Mirren	1	1641	13.81%	16.46%
14	2006-10-28	75.8	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1820	71.97%	Dunfermline Athletic	1	1586	12.68%	15.35%
15	2007-03-31	75.7	@ Rangers	1	1885	66.88%	Inverness CT	1	1699	15.31%	17.81%
16	2006-10-28	75.5	@ Rangers	1	1849	66.40%	Motherwell	1	1668	15.57%	18.03%
17	2006-12-30	75.4	@ Motherwell	1	1664	16.52%	Celtic	1	1913	64.68%	18.80%
18	2007-02-17	75.3	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1817	67.64%	St. Mirren	1	1625	14.90%	17.45%
19	2006-08-13	75.1	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1	1597	16.12%	Rangers	1	1853	65.41%	18.48%
20	2006-08-20	74.1	@ Inverness CT	1	1729	24.41%	Celtic	1	1878	52.43%	23.16%
21	2006-11-13	74.1	@ Falkirk	1	1627	20.91%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1816	57.44%	21.65%
22	2006-12-16	73.7	Dundee United	3	1584	23.78%	@ Motherwell	2	1657	53.29%	22.93%
23	2006-12-17	73.7	@ Rangers	1	1855	35.06%	Celtic	1	1913	39.87%	25.07%
24	2007-01-13	73.7	@ Aberdeen	1	1766	51.21%	Inverness CT	1	1709	25.32%	23.47%
25	2007-05-06	73.7	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1806	46.96%	Aberdeen	1	1780	28.70%	24.33%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-02-10	44.2	@ Aberdeen	3	1772	71.02%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1547	13.16%	15.82%
2	2006-10-01	44.4	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1827	72.79%	Dundee United	0	1585	12.28%	14.94%
3	2007-01-13	44.5	@ Rangers	5	1854	75.48%	Dundee United	0	1585	10.97%	13.55%
4	2006-09-09	44.6	@ Rangers	4	1857	73.02%	Falkirk	0	1613	12.16%	14.82%
5	2006-11-11	45.6	@ Rangers	2	1842	75.15%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1576	11.13%	13.72%
6	2006-12-30	47.3	@ Hibernian	2	1727	65.24%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1556	16.21%	18.55%
7	2006-11-18	47.4	@ Celtic	3	1905	65.32%	Inverness CT	0	1733	16.17%	18.52%
8	2007-01-20	47.5	@ Celtic	5	1918	76.29%	St. Mirren	1	1640	10.58%	13.13%
9	2007-01-02	47.7	@ Celtic	2	1912	70.37%	Kilmarnock	0	1693	13.48%	16.14%
10	2006-08-12	48.0	@ Celtic	2	1875	68.98%	St. Mirren	0	1670	14.20%	16.82%
11	2006-11-26	48.0	@ Rangers	3	1849	62.92%	Kilmarnock	0	1698	17.53%	19.55%
12	2007-03-31	48.5	@ Motherwell	2	1653	56.67%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1554	21.43%	21.90%
13	2006-11-25	48.6	Aberdeen	3	1762	57.06%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1577	21.17%	21.78%
14	2006-09-16	49.0	@ Celtic	1	1883	76.58%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1601	10.45%	12.98%
15	2006-12-23	49.2	@ Celtic	1	1913	76.77%	Falkirk	0	1629	10.35%	12.87%
16	2006-12-09	49.3	@ Rangers	3	1848	58.64%	Hibernian	0	1733	20.14%	21.22%
17	2007-04-07	49.9	@ Celtic	1	1915	74.68%	Motherwell	0	1654	11.35%	13.97%
18	2006-10-14	50.2	Celtic	4	1892	71.43%	@ Dundee United	1	1580	12.95%	15.62%
19	2007-01-21	50.2	Rangers	1	1860	71.45%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1548	12.94%	15.61%
20	2006-12-02	50.3	@ Kilmarnock	5	1692	59.47%	Dunfermline Athletic	1	1570	19.61%	20.92%
21	2007-03-17	50.3	@ Rangers	3	1878	55.66%	Aberdeen	0	1786	22.11%	22.23%
22	2007-04-28	50.4	@ Aberdeen	3	1772	53.85%	Kilmarnock	0	1695	23.38%	22.77%
23	2007-03-10	50.8	@ Hibernian	2	1725	56.17%	Falkirk	0	1629	21.76%	22.07%
24	2006-11-18	51.0	@ Aberdeen	2	1757	57.02%	St. Mirren	0	1655	21.19%	21.79%
25	2006-09-10	51.4	Hibernian	3	1692	45.52%	@ Dundee United	0	1594	29.92%	24.56%