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2007-08 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

89 points · 42nd Title

Last Title: 2006-07

Relegated

Gretna

13 pts

Biggest Overachiever

St. Mirren

2.18 points above expected

41 points · 38.82 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dundee United

3.72 points below expected

52 points · 55.72 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 33 25 4 4 79 78 27 +51 66.07 +12.93
2 Celtic 33 23 5 5 74 75 23 +52 65.51 +8.49
3 Motherwell 33 16 5 12 53 43 40 +3 42.00 +11.00
4 Dundee United 33 14 8 11 50 48 38 +10 43.24 +6.76
5 Hibernian 33 14 8 11 50 47 38 +9 47.44 +2.56
6 Aberdeen 33 12 8 13 44 43 53 -10 49.64 -5.64
7 Falkirk 33 11 9 13 42 40 44 -4 42.67 -0.67
8 Heart of Midlothian 33 11 9 13 42 42 48 -6 49.62 -7.62
9 Inverness CT 33 11 3 19 36 41 58 -17 40.62 -4.62
10 Kilmarnock 33 8 9 16 33 34 46 -12 41.89 -8.89
11 St. Mirren 33 8 9 16 33 22 51 -29 34.29 -1.29
12 Gretna* 33 4 5 24 7 29 76 -47 19.53 -12.53
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic Champion 38 28 5 5 89 84 26 +58 89.00 +0.00
2 Rangers 38 27 5 6 86 84 33 +51 84.08 +1.92
3 Motherwell 38 18 6 14 60 50 46 +4 58.18 +1.82
4 Aberdeen 38 15 8 15 53 50 58 -8 55.01 -2.01
5 Dundee United 38 14 10 14 52 53 47 +6 55.72 -3.72
6 Hibernian 38 14 10 14 52 49 45 +4 49.95 +2.05
7 Falkirk 38 13 10 15 49 45 49 -4 50.44 -1.44
8 Heart of Midlothian 38 13 9 16 48 47 55 -8 51.17 -3.17
9 Inverness CT 38 13 4 21 43 51 62 -11 42.82 +0.18
10 St. Mirren 38 10 11 17 41 26 54 -28 38.82 +2.18
11 Kilmarnock 38 10 10 18 40 39 52 -13 40.37 -0.37
12 Gretna* Relegated 38 5 8 25 13 32 83 -51 11.17 +1.83

* Point deductions: Gretna (-10 pts)

Notes

  • After being relegated on points, Gretna was further relegated to the Third Division due to financial difficulties. They disbanded shortly thereafter.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Mirren 41 38.82 +2.18
2 Hibernian 52 49.95 +2.05
3 Rangers 86 84.08 +1.92
4 Gretna 13 11.17 +1.83
5 Motherwell 60 58.18 +1.82

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundee United 52 55.72 -3.72
2 Heart of Midlothian 48 51.17 -3.17
3 Aberdeen 53 55.01 -2.01
4 Falkirk 49 50.44 -1.44
5 Kilmarnock 40 40.37 -0.37

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inverness CT 5 Nov 24 – Dec 22 1 in 457
2 Rangers 13 Dec 26 – Mar 29 1 in 298
3 Motherwell 5 Nov 10 – Dec 15 1 in 190
4 Celtic 9 Dec 26 – Mar 1 1 in 57
5 Falkirk 4 Dec 22 – Jan 2 1 in 46

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 6 Dec 8 – Jan 2 1 in 956
2 Inverness CT 7 Feb 20 – Mar 29 1 in 252
3 Aberdeen 5 Jan 19 – Feb 24 1 in 79
4 Gretna 6 Sep 29 – Nov 10 1 in 40
5 Kilmarnock 5 Nov 3 – Dec 8 1 in 36

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 9 Aug 6 – Oct 6 1 in 89
2 Dundee United 9 Jan 19 – Mar 22 1 in 82
3 Rangers 19 Nov 3 – Apr 6 1 in 41
4 Inverness CT 5 Nov 24 – Dec 22 1 in 28
5 Falkirk 6 Dec 15 – Jan 5 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 9 Nov 25 – Jan 5 1 in 289
2 Hibernian 10 Nov 24 – Feb 9 1 in 102
3 Inverness CT 10 Jan 20 – Mar 29 1 in 68
4 Aberdeen 8 Jan 5 – Mar 1 1 in 27
5 Kilmarnock 7 Nov 3 – Dec 22 1 in 26

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Celtic 2006 89 +19 15 10.4 +4.6
Rangers 1972 86 -8 10 10.9 -0.9
Motherwell 1771 60 +18 7 4.7 +2.3
Aberdeen 1770 53 +24 9 5.5 +3.5
Dundee United 1767 52 -14 2 5.4 -3.4
Hibernian 1765 52 -26 2 5.6 -3.6
Falkirk 1746 49 -6 7 8.5 -1.5
Heart of Midlothian 1754 48 -29 6 9.4 -3.4
Inverness CT 1700 43 +19 7 7.3 -0.3
St. Mirren 1645 41 +6 8 6.3 +1.7
Kilmarnock 1704 40 +1 7 6.7 +0.3
Gretna 1562 23 +4 6 3.6 +2.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU FAL GRE HOM HIB IC KIL MOT RAN SM
Aberdeen —
0-0-4
3.46
2-0-2
6.29
1-2-0
4.79
2-1-0
6.03
0-1-2
4.55
2-1-1
5.33
3-0-0
4.58
2-0-1
4.39
0-1-3
5.92
1-1-2
3.09
2-1-0
5.69
Celtic
4-0-0
7.75
—
3-1-0
8.40
3-0-0
5.62
3-0-0
7.07
2-1-0
5.88
2-1-1
8.03
2-0-1
6.66
2-1-0
6.18
3-0-1
8.54
2-0-2
5.70
2-1-0
6.57
Dundee United
2-0-2
4.83
0-1-3
2.83
—
1-1-1
4.53
1-0-2
5.38
2-0-1
3.44
0-4-0
5.68
1-1-1
4.01
2-0-1
3.83
2-1-1
5.72
1-1-2
2.99
2-1-0
5.31
Falkirk
0-2-1
3.57
0-0-3
2.76
1-1-1
3.81
—
2-1-1
7.29
2-1-1
4.93
0-2-1
4.01
3-0-1
6.04
1-2-1
6.02
2-1-0
4.25
0-0-3
2.13
2-0-2
6.55
Gretna
0-1-2
2.37
0-0-3
1.45
2-0-1
2.99
1-1-2
3.89
—
1-2-1
3.06
0-0-3
2.37
0-0-4
4.04
1-2-1
3.90
0-0-3
3.23
0-0-3
1.31
0-2-2
3.99
Heart of Midlothian
2-1-0
3.79
0-1-2
2.52
1-0-2
4.91
1-1-2
6.21
1-2-1
8.14
—
1-1-1
4.64
2-0-2
6.70
0-2-2
6.62
2-0-1
4.30
1-0-2
2.91
2-1-1
7.54
Hibernian
1-1-2
5.79
1-1-2
3.18
0-4-0
5.45
1-2-0
4.33
3-0-0
6.03
1-1-1
3.71
—
2-0-1
5.15
2-0-1
5.11
1-0-3
6.35
1-1-2
3.30
1-0-2
5.85
Inverness CT
0-0-3
3.76
1-0-2
1.81
1-1-1
4.34
1-0-3
5.08
4-0-0
7.13
2-0-2
4.44
1-0-2
3.21
—
2-1-1
5.40
0-0-3
3.93
0-0-3
2.79
1-2-1
6.32
Kilmarnock
1-0-2
3.95
0-1-2
2.24
1-0-2
4.52
1-2-1
5.10
1-2-1
7.27
2-2-0
4.52
1-0-2
3.25
1-1-2
5.73
—
1-0-2
3.87
0-0-3
2.49
1-2-1
6.49
Motherwell
3-1-0
5.21
1-0-3
2.70
1-1-2
5.41
0-1-2
4.10
3-0-0
5.13
1-0-2
4.05
3-0-1
4.78
3-0-0
4.42
2-0-1
4.47
—
0-2-2
2.84
1-1-1
4.45
Rangers
2-1-1
8.13
2-0-2
5.42
2-1-1
8.23
3-0-0
6.29
3-0-0
7.23
2-0-1
5.46
2-1-1
7.89
3-0-0
5.59
3-0-0
5.91
2-2-0
8.39
—
3-0-0
6.94
St. Mirren
0-1-2
2.68
0-1-2
1.89
0-1-2
3.06
2-0-2
4.58
2-2-0
7.16
1-1-2
3.64
2-0-1
2.54
1-2-1
4.81
1-2-1
4.64
1-1-1
3.90
0-0-3
1.55
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +10.5
Allowed 0.88 -13.2
Differential 0.96 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.02%9.21%6.14%5.04%1.75%0.44%29.61%
19.21%11.40%7.89%3.29%1.32%0.88%33.99%
26.14%7.89%1.32%1.32%1.54%0.22%18.42%
35.04%3.29%1.32%1.32%0.22%0.22%11.40%
41.75%1.32%1.54%0.22%——4.82%
5+0.44%0.88%0.22%0.22%——1.75%
Total29.61%33.99%18.42%11.40%4.82%1.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.34 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.27 1.91
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%—10.53%——21.05%
17.89%15.79%5.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%44.74%
27.89%13.16%————21.05%
32.63%2.63%—2.63%——7.89%
42.63%——2.63%——5.26%
5+———————
Total23.68%39.47%5.26%26.32%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.53 -0.21
SD 1.07 1.33 1.88
CV 0.81 0.87 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%—2.63%——13.16%
113.16%7.89%————21.05%
27.89%13.16%—5.26%——26.32%
315.79%2.63%2.63%———21.05%
42.63%5.26%————7.89%
5+5.26%5.26%————10.53%
Total50.00%39.47%2.63%7.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.21 0.68 +1.53
SD 1.49 0.87 1.81
CV 0.67 1.28 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%7.89%5.26%——28.95%
15.26%10.53%7.89%2.63%——26.32%
210.53%5.26%5.26%2.63%——23.68%
310.53%2.63%—2.63%—2.63%18.42%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total34.21%28.95%21.05%13.16%—2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.24 +0.16
SD 1.17 1.22 1.75
CV 0.84 0.98 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%7.89%10.53%—2.63%—36.84%
110.53%10.53%5.26%2.63%2.63%—31.58%
22.63%7.89%——5.26%2.63%18.42%
35.26%—————5.26%
45.26%—————5.26%
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total39.47%28.95%15.79%2.63%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.29 -0.11
SD 1.29 1.59 2.08
CV 1.09 1.23 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%10.53%15.79%7.89%—47.37%
12.63%10.53%13.16%2.63%—2.63%31.58%
22.63%2.63%——7.89%—13.16%
3——2.63%2.63%——5.26%
4——2.63%———2.63%
5+———————
Total13.16%18.42%28.95%21.05%15.79%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.84 2.18 -1.34
SD 1.03 1.41 1.71
CV 1.22 0.65 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%23.68%
113.16%18.42%13.16%5.26%2.63%—52.63%
25.26%——2.63%——7.89%
32.63%2.63%2.63%———7.89%
4—2.63%5.26%———7.89%
5+———————
Total26.32%31.58%23.68%10.53%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.45 -0.21
SD 1.15 1.29 1.82
CV 0.93 0.89 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%10.53%———23.68%
113.16%15.79%15.79%2.63%——47.37%
210.53%—2.63%———13.16%
3—2.63%2.63%2.63%——7.89%
4—2.63%5.26%———7.89%
5+———————
Total28.95%28.95%36.84%5.26%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.18 +0.11
SD 1.16 0.93 1.39
CV 0.90 0.78 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%15.79%5.26%10.53%—2.63%36.84%
15.26%5.26%13.16%2.63%2.63%—28.95%
22.63%5.26%2.63%———10.53%
35.26%2.63%5.26%—2.63%—15.79%
42.63%—2.63%———5.26%
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total18.42%31.58%28.95%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.63 -0.29
SD 1.48 1.24 2.13
CV 1.10 0.76 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%15.79%10.53%2.63%——42.11%
12.63%7.89%10.53%2.63%2.63%—26.32%
22.63%13.16%2.63%—2.63%—21.05%
3—5.26%—2.63%——7.89%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total18.42%44.74%23.68%7.89%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.37 -0.34
SD 1.10 1.05 1.42
CV 1.07 0.77 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%13.16%5.26%5.26%——26.32%
113.16%10.53%5.26%5.26%2.63%—36.84%
22.63%15.79%2.63%———21.05%
37.89%5.26%————13.16%
4———————
5+———2.63%——2.63%
Total26.32%44.74%13.16%13.16%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.21 +0.11
SD 1.16 1.07 1.67
CV 0.89 0.88 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%2.63%———7.89%
17.89%7.89%5.26%———21.05%
215.79%13.16%—2.63%2.63%—34.21%
310.53%10.53%—2.63%——23.68%
47.89%—2.63%———10.53%
5+——2.63%———2.63%
Total44.74%34.21%13.16%5.26%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.21 0.87 +1.34
SD 1.36 1.02 1.68
CV 0.61 1.17 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%13.16%7.89%5.26%7.89%—47.37%
115.79%15.79%—2.63%—5.26%39.47%
22.63%5.26%—2.63%——10.53%
3—2.63%————2.63%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.58%36.84%7.89%10.53%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 1.42 -0.74
SD 0.77 1.50 1.77
CV 1.13 1.06 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 2006 89 65.51 +23.49 90.0% 46 55 61 65 70 77 86
Rangers 1972 86 66.07 +19.93 98.0% 50 53 62 66 70 78 83
Motherwell 1771 60 42.00 +18.00 97.0% 25 31 38 41 46 53 63
Aberdeen 1770 53 49.64 +3.36 24.0% 30 39 45 50 54 61 65
Dundee United 1767 52 43.24 +8.76 82.0% 22 32 38 42 49 54 60
Hibernian 1765 52 47.44 +4.56 65.0% 32 34 43 48 52 58 62
Heart of Midlothian 1754 48 49.62 -1.62 14.0% 33 37 44 49 54 63 68
Falkirk 1746 49 42.67 +6.33 50.0% 29 31 37 42 49 55 59
Kilmarnock 1704 40 41.89 -1.89 16.0% 22 29 37 41 47 54 60
Inverness CT 1700 43 40.62 +2.38 31.0% 28 31 35 40 45 52 59
St. Mirren 1652 41 34.29 +6.71 48.0% 20 23 29 34 38 46 58
Gretna 1562 13 19.53 -6.53 1.0% 1 10 15 20 23 32 38

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.05%
Clear Edge
50.00%21.05%28.95%
Elo Value
Home Edge
159 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
074.25400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.45 goals
Neutral
-2+0.47+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
38%
Celtic, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Tight Race
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.72 * Some Luck: 5.72 to 8.58 * Lucky: 8.58 to 11.44 * Wild Swing: 11.44 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.3 * Close: 1.3 to 1.95 * Off: 1.95 to 2.6 * Way Off: 2.6 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.97 points
Some Luck
07.1518
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.624
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Rangers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Gretna
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected 0.1
0 of 1
As Expected
01

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 124.40
2.43
Wide Separation
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
62%
Even
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Clear Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Occasional
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Very Even
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.28
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.54
Weak Carryover
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Solid Favorites
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.98
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.19
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.085
Well Within Noise
00.1110.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Celtic38.00%50.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%———————
Rangers59.00%27.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%———————
Motherwell1.00%1.00%2.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%19.00%17.00%16.00%11.00%7.00%—
Aberdeen2.00%3.00%20.00%18.00%19.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%—
Dundee United—1.00%8.00%13.00%9.00%13.00%10.00%16.00%15.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%
Hibernian—5.00%14.00%20.00%17.00%17.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%
Falkirk—2.00%9.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%7.00%17.00%12.00%14.00%8.00%2.00%
Heart of Midlothian—8.00%26.00%10.00%14.00%18.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%—
Inverness CT—2.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%21.00%12.00%16.00%22.00%9.00%—
St. Mirren———2.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%14.00%20.00%45.00%3.00%
Kilmarnock—1.00%3.00%8.00%14.00%10.00%17.00%8.00%12.00%12.00%14.00%1.00%
Gretna———————1.00%1.00%—7.00%91.00%
Team123456789101112
Celtic88.20%11.80%——————————
Rangers11.80%88.20%——————————
Motherwell——61.72%26.82%10.80%0.66%——————
Aberdeen——17.04%34.48%39.27%9.21%——————
Dundee United——20.72%35.00%37.37%6.91%——————
Hibernian——0.52%3.70%12.56%83.22%——————
Falkirk——————47.43%47.63%4.53%0.40%0.01%—
Heart of Midlothian——————51.81%44.79%3.14%0.26%——
Inverness CT——————0.64%5.77%58.78%25.67%9.14%—
St. Mirren——————0.07%0.49%12.25%33.00%54.19%—
Kilmarnock——————0.05%1.32%21.30%40.67%36.66%—
Gretna———————————100.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Relegated
Aberdeen 100% —
Celtic 100% —
Heart of Midlothian 100% —
Inverness CT 100% —
Kilmarnock 100% —
Motherwell 100% —
Rangers 100% —
Dundee United 99.00% 1.00%
Falkirk 99.00% 1.00%
Hibernian 99.00% 1.00%
St. Mirren 97.00% 3.00%
Gretna 6.00% 94.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Relegated
Aberdeen 100% —
Celtic 100% —
Dundee United 100% —
Falkirk 100% —
Heart of Midlothian 100% —
Hibernian 100% —
Inverness CT 100% —
Kilmarnock 100% —
Motherwell 100% —
Rangers 100% —
St. Mirren 100% —
Gretna — 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-08-04 Aberdeen W 1-063.0 1691 1805 33.38% 22.21% 44.41%-0.25 +7.9 3
2007-08-04 @ Dundee United L 0-163.0 1805 1691 44.41% 22.21% 33.38%+0.25 -7.9 0
2007-08-04 Falkirk L 0-456.6 1701 1726 45.70% 22.15% 32.15%+0.31 -28.9 0
2007-08-04 @ Gretna W 4-056.6 1726 1701 32.15% 22.15% 45.70%-0.31 +28.9 3
2007-08-04 Motherwell L 0-163.8 1708 1713 48.42% 21.97% 29.61%+0.43 -8.5 0
2007-08-04 @ St. Mirren W 1-063.8 1713 1708 29.61% 21.97% 48.42%-0.43 +8.5 3
2007-08-04 Rangers L 0-354.5 1757 1862 34.59% 22.26% 43.15%-0.19 -17.7 0
2007-08-04 @ Inverness CT W 3-054.5 1862 1757 43.15% 22.26% 34.59%+0.19 +17.7 3
2007-08-05 Kilmarnock D 0-070.5 1867 1753 62.29% 19.89% 17.82%+1.18 -2.0 1
2007-08-05 @ Celtic D 0-070.5 1753 1867 17.82% 19.89% 62.29%-1.18 +2.0 1
2007-08-06 Hibernian L 0-166.2 1816 1764 55.54% 21.18% 23.29%+0.79 -9.5 0
2007-08-06 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-066.2 1764 1816 23.29% 21.18% 55.54%-0.79 +9.5 3
2007-08-11 Celtic L 1-459.5 1755 1865 33.93% 22.23% 43.84%-0.22 -14.7 3
2007-08-11 @ Falkirk W 4-159.5 1865 1755 43.84% 22.23% 33.93%+0.22 +14.7 4
2007-08-11 Gretna W 4-260.7 1774 1672 61.07% 20.17% 18.76%+1.10 +5.5 6
2007-08-11 @ Hibernian L 2-460.7 1672 1774 18.76% 20.17% 61.07%-1.10 -5.5 0
2007-08-11 Inverness CT W 2-164.4 1722 1739 46.73% 22.09% 31.18%+0.35 +5.6 6
2007-08-11 @ Motherwell L 1-264.4 1739 1722 31.18% 22.09% 46.73%-0.35 -5.6 0
2007-08-11 St. Mirren W 2-049.1 1880 1700 68.60% 18.13% 13.27%+1.59 +5.0 6
2007-08-11 @ Rangers L 0-249.1 1700 1880 13.27% 18.13% 68.60%-1.59 -5.0 0
2007-08-12 Heart of Midlothian D 1-174.4 1797 1806 47.82% 22.02% 30.17%+0.41 -0.7 1
2007-08-12 @ Aberdeen D 1-174.4 1806 1797 30.17% 22.02% 47.82%-0.41 +0.7 1
2007-08-13 Dundee United W 2-161.6 1755 1699 56.05% 21.10% 22.85%+0.82 +4.3 4
2007-08-13 @ Kilmarnock L 1-261.6 1699 1755 22.85% 21.10% 56.05%-0.82 -4.3 3
2007-08-18 Falkirk W 7-251.4 1885 1740 65.35% 19.11% 15.54%+1.37 +9.6 9
2007-08-18 @ Rangers L 2-751.4 1740 1885 15.54% 19.11% 65.35%-1.37 -9.6 3
2007-08-18 Gretna D 1-174.9 1807 1666 65.00% 19.20% 15.79%+1.35 -2.0 2
2007-08-18 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-174.9 1666 1807 15.79% 19.20% 65.00%-1.35 +2.0 1
2007-08-18 Hibernian D 0-069.4 1695 1779 37.38% 22.32% 40.30%-0.06 +0.1 4
2007-08-18 @ Dundee United D 0-069.4 1779 1695 40.30% 22.32% 37.38%+0.06 -0.1 7
2007-08-18 Inverness CT W 2-165.1 1695 1734 43.81% 22.23% 33.96%+0.22 +6.0 3
2007-08-18 @ St. Mirren L 1-265.1 1734 1695 33.96% 22.23% 43.81%-0.22 -6.0 0
2007-08-18 Kilmarnock L 1-268.6 1727 1759 44.77% 22.19% 33.03%+0.26 -7.5 6
2007-08-18 @ Motherwell W 2-168.6 1759 1727 33.03% 22.19% 44.77%-0.26 +7.5 7
2007-08-19 Celtic L 1-363.6 1796 1879 37.56% 22.32% 40.12%-0.06 -11.3 1
2007-08-19 @ Aberdeen W 3-163.6 1879 1796 40.12% 22.32% 37.56%+0.06 +11.3 7
2007-08-25 Aberdeen D 3-384.1 1779 1785 48.30% 21.98% 29.72%+0.43 -0.4 8
2007-08-25 @ Hibernian D 3-384.1 1785 1779 29.72% 21.98% 48.30%-0.43 +0.4 2
2007-08-25 Dundee United L 0-359.3 1728 1695 53.28% 21.48% 25.23%+0.67 -25.2 0
2007-08-25 @ Inverness CT W 3-059.3 1695 1728 25.23% 21.48% 53.28%-0.67 +25.2 7
2007-08-25 Heart of Midlothian W 5-049.6 1891 1805 59.34% 20.52% 20.14%+1.00 +17.8 10
2007-08-25 @ Celtic L 0-549.6 1805 1891 20.14% 20.52% 59.34%-1.00 -17.8 2
2007-08-25 Motherwell L 1-267.3 1668 1720 42.08% 22.29% 35.64%+0.14 -7.1 1
2007-08-25 @ Gretna W 2-167.3 1720 1668 35.64% 22.29% 42.08%-0.14 +7.1 9
2007-08-25 Rangers L 1-265.0 1767 1894 31.63% 22.12% 46.25%-0.33 -5.7 7
2007-08-25 @ Kilmarnock W 2-165.0 1894 1767 46.25% 22.12% 31.63%+0.33 +5.7 12
2007-08-25 St. Mirren L 0-165.0 1731 1701 52.88% 21.53% 25.59%+0.65 -9.2 3
2007-08-25 @ Falkirk W 1-065.0 1701 1731 25.59% 21.53% 52.88%-0.65 +9.2 6
2007-09-01 Aberdeen L 0-163.6 1761 1785 45.89% 22.14% 31.97%+0.32 -8.1 7
2007-09-01 @ Kilmarnock W 1-063.6 1785 1761 31.97% 22.14% 45.89%-0.32 +8.1 5
2007-09-01 Falkirk W 2-054.6 1720 1722 48.86% 21.94% 29.20%+0.46 +10.6 10
2007-09-01 @ Dundee United L 0-254.6 1722 1720 29.20% 21.94% 48.86%-0.46 -10.6 3
2007-09-01 Gretna W 4-044.7 1900 1661 73.45% 16.36% 10.19%+1.96 +7.2 15
2007-09-01 @ Rangers L 0-444.7 1661 1900 10.19% 16.36% 73.45%-1.96 -7.2 1
2007-09-01 Inverness CT W 1-055.5 1778 1703 58.27% 20.73% 21.01%+0.94 +4.2 11
2007-09-01 @ Hibernian L 0-155.5 1703 1778 21.01% 20.73% 58.27%-0.94 -4.2 0
2007-09-02 Celtic L 1-554.2 1710 1908 23.49% 21.21% 55.30%-0.78 -13.9 6
2007-09-02 @ St. Mirren W 5-154.2 1908 1710 55.30% 21.21% 23.49%+0.78 +13.9 13
2007-09-03 Heart of Midlothian L 0-258.5 1727 1787 40.84% 22.31% 36.85%+0.09 -13.9 9
2007-09-03 @ Motherwell W 2-058.5 1787 1727 36.85% 22.31% 40.84%-0.09 +13.9 5
2007-09-15 Hibernian D 1-174.1 1711 1783 39.20% 22.32% 38.48%+0.02 -0.0 4
2007-09-15 @ Falkirk D 1-174.1 1783 1711 38.48% 22.32% 39.20%-0.02 +0.0 12
2007-09-15 Inverness CT W 5-045.7 1922 1698 72.28% 16.82% 10.90%+1.87 +9.5 16
2007-09-15 @ Celtic L 0-545.7 1698 1922 10.90% 16.82% 72.28%-1.87 -9.5 0
2007-09-15 Kilmarnock L 1-265.4 1654 1753 35.34% 22.28% 42.38%-0.16 -6.2 1
2007-09-15 @ Gretna W 2-165.4 1753 1654 42.38% 22.28% 35.34%+0.16 +6.2 10
2007-09-15 Motherwell L 1-272.4 1793 1713 58.77% 20.63% 20.60%+0.97 -9.5 5
2007-09-15 @ Aberdeen W 2-172.4 1713 1793 20.60% 20.63% 58.77%-0.97 +9.5 12
2007-09-15 Rangers W 4-269.3 1801 1907 34.42% 22.25% 43.33%-0.20 +11.3 8
2007-09-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-469.3 1907 1801 43.33% 22.25% 34.42%+0.20 -11.3 15
2007-09-16 St. Mirren W 2-053.2 1730 1696 53.44% 21.47% 25.10%+0.68 +9.3 13
2007-09-16 @ Dundee United L 0-253.2 1696 1730 25.10% 21.47% 53.44%-0.68 -9.3 6
2007-09-22 Dundee United W 3-272.2 1648 1740 36.33% 22.30% 41.37%-0.11 +6.7 4
2007-09-22 @ Gretna L 2-372.2 1740 1648 41.37% 22.30% 36.33%+0.11 -6.7 13
2007-09-22 Heart of Midlothian W 2-169.0 1689 1812 32.11% 22.14% 45.75%-0.31 +7.6 3
2007-09-22 @ Inverness CT L 1-269.0 1812 1689 45.75% 22.14% 32.11%+0.31 -7.6 8
2007-09-22 Motherwell W 1-058.5 1711 1723 47.55% 22.03% 30.42%+0.39 +5.8 7
2007-09-22 @ Falkirk L 0-158.5 1723 1711 30.42% 22.03% 47.55%-0.39 -5.8 12
2007-09-22 St. Mirren D 0-069.7 1759 1687 57.92% 20.79% 21.29%+0.92 -1.6 11
2007-09-22 @ Kilmarnock D 0-069.7 1687 1759 21.29% 20.79% 57.92%-0.92 +1.6 7
2007-09-23 Aberdeen W 3-048.9 1896 1784 62.13% 19.93% 17.94%+1.17 +9.9 18
2007-09-23 @ Rangers L 0-348.9 1784 1896 17.94% 19.93% 62.13%-1.17 -9.9 5
2007-09-23 Celtic W 3-275.4 1783 1932 28.93% 21.91% 49.16%-0.47 +7.7 15
2007-09-23 @ Hibernian L 2-375.4 1932 1783 49.16% 21.91% 28.93%+0.47 -7.7 16
2007-09-29 Dundee United W 3-046.7 1924 1733 69.57% 17.80% 12.63%+1.66 +6.9 19
2007-09-29 @ Celtic L 0-346.7 1733 1924 12.63% 17.80% 69.57%-1.66 -6.9 13
2007-09-29 Falkirk W 4-264.9 1697 1717 46.40% 22.11% 31.49%+0.34 +8.8 6
2007-09-29 @ Inverness CT L 2-464.9 1717 1697 31.49% 22.11% 46.40%-0.34 -8.8 7
2007-09-29 Gretna W 2-050.3 1774 1655 62.91% 19.74% 17.35%+1.22 +6.6 8
2007-09-29 @ Aberdeen L 0-250.3 1655 1774 17.35% 19.74% 62.91%-1.22 -6.6 4
2007-09-29 Kilmarnock W 4-156.5 1790 1758 53.21% 21.49% 25.30%+0.67 +11.5 18
2007-09-29 @ Hibernian L 1-456.5 1758 1790 25.30% 21.49% 53.21%-0.67 -11.5 11
2007-09-29 Rangers D 1-174.6 1717 1906 24.47% 21.37% 54.16%-0.72 +1.2 13
2007-09-29 @ Motherwell D 1-174.6 1906 1717 54.16% 21.37% 24.47%+0.72 -1.2 19
2007-09-30 Heart of Midlothian L 1-361.9 1688 1805 33.02% 22.19% 44.79%-0.26 -10.2 7
2007-09-30 @ St. Mirren W 3-161.9 1805 1688 44.79% 22.19% 33.02%+0.26 +10.2 11
2007-10-06 Falkirk W 4-260.8 1815 1708 61.63% 20.04% 18.33%+1.14 +5.4 14
2007-10-06 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-460.8 1708 1815 18.33% 20.04% 61.63%-1.14 -5.4 7
2007-10-06 Hibernian L 0-167.8 1904 1802 61.17% 20.14% 18.68%+1.11 -10.4 19
2007-10-06 @ Rangers W 1-067.8 1802 1904 18.68% 20.14% 61.17%-1.11 +10.4 21
2007-10-06 Inverness CT D 2-280.0 1746 1705 54.23% 21.36% 24.41%+0.72 -0.9 12
2007-10-06 @ Kilmarnock D 2-280.0 1705 1746 24.41% 21.36% 54.23%-0.72 +0.9 7
2007-10-06 Motherwell W 1-057.7 1726 1718 50.16% 21.82% 28.02%+0.52 +5.4 16
2007-10-06 @ Dundee United L 0-157.7 1718 1726 28.02% 21.82% 50.16%-0.52 -5.4 13
2007-10-07 Celtic L 1-259.5 1648 1931 16.23% 19.36% 64.41%-1.31 -3.1 4
2007-10-07 @ Gretna W 2-159.5 1931 1648 64.41% 19.36% 16.23%+1.31 +3.1 22
2007-10-07 St. Mirren W 4-048.1 1781 1678 61.15% 20.15% 18.70%+1.11 +13.5 11
2007-10-07 @ Aberdeen L 0-448.1 1678 1781 18.70% 20.15% 61.15%-1.11 -13.5 7
2007-10-20 Celtic W 3-054.5 1894 1934 43.68% 22.24% 34.08%+0.21 +17.5 22
2007-10-20 @ Rangers L 0-354.5 1934 1894 34.08% 22.24% 43.68%-0.21 -17.5 22
2007-10-20 Dundee United L 1-369.5 1820 1732 59.69% 20.45% 19.86%+1.02 -16.6 14
2007-10-20 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-169.5 1732 1820 19.86% 20.45% 59.69%-1.02 +16.6 19
2007-10-20 Gretna W 1-056.2 1665 1645 51.63% 21.68% 26.69%+0.59 +5.2 10
2007-10-20 @ St. Mirren L 0-156.2 1645 1665 26.69% 21.68% 51.63%-0.59 -5.2 4
2007-10-20 Hibernian W 2-168.1 1712 1812 35.25% 22.28% 42.47%-0.16 +7.2 16
2007-10-20 @ Motherwell L 1-268.1 1812 1712 42.47% 22.28% 35.25%+0.16 -7.2 21
2007-10-20 Kilmarnock D 1-173.9 1703 1745 43.29% 22.25% 34.45%+0.20 -0.3 8
2007-10-20 @ Falkirk D 1-173.9 1745 1703 34.45% 22.25% 43.29%-0.20 +0.3 13
2007-10-21 Aberdeen L 1-266.4 1706 1794 36.90% 22.31% 40.79%-0.09 -6.4 7
2007-10-21 @ Inverness CT W 2-166.4 1794 1706 40.79% 22.31% 36.90%+0.09 +6.4 14
2007-10-27 Heart of Midlothian W 3-163.1 1746 1804 41.16% 22.30% 36.53%+0.10 +11.0 16
2007-10-27 @ Kilmarnock L 1-363.1 1804 1746 36.53% 22.30% 41.16%-0.10 -11.0 14
2007-10-27 Inverness CT L 0-454.6 1640 1700 40.86% 22.31% 36.84%+0.09 -26.4 4
2007-10-27 @ Gretna W 4-054.6 1700 1640 36.84% 22.31% 40.86%-0.09 +26.4 10
2007-10-27 Motherwell W 3-046.5 1917 1720 70.08% 17.63% 12.29%+1.70 +6.7 25
2007-10-27 @ Celtic L 0-346.5 1720 1917 12.29% 17.63% 70.08%-1.70 -6.7 16
2007-10-27 St. Mirren L 0-168.1 1805 1670 64.47% 19.35% 16.19%+1.31 -10.9 21
2007-10-27 @ Hibernian W 1-068.1 1670 1805 16.19% 19.35% 64.47%-1.31 +10.9 13
2007-10-28 Falkirk D 1-174.7 1800 1702 60.71% 20.24% 19.05%+1.08 -1.7 15
2007-10-28 @ Aberdeen D 1-174.7 1702 1800 19.05% 20.24% 60.71%-1.08 +1.7 9
2007-10-28 Rangers W 2-170.7 1748 1912 27.27% 21.74% 50.99%-0.56 +8.4 22
2007-10-28 @ Dundee United L 1-270.7 1912 1748 50.99% 21.74% 27.27%+0.56 -8.4 22
2007-11-03 Celtic L 1-263.5 1757 1923 26.90% 21.70% 51.40%-0.58 -4.9 16
2007-11-03 @ Kilmarnock W 2-163.5 1923 1757 51.40% 21.70% 26.90%+0.58 +4.9 28
2007-11-03 Dundee United W 2-053.4 1799 1757 54.37% 21.34% 24.29%+0.73 +9.0 18
2007-11-03 @ Aberdeen L 0-253.4 1757 1799 24.29% 21.34% 54.37%-0.73 -9.0 22
2007-11-03 Gretna W 2-050.3 1704 1613 59.90% 20.41% 19.69%+1.03 +7.5 12
2007-11-03 @ Falkirk L 0-250.3 1613 1704 19.69% 20.41% 59.90%-1.03 -7.5 4
2007-11-03 Inverness CT W 2-049.3 1903 1726 68.36% 18.20% 13.44%+1.58 +5.1 25
2007-11-03 @ Rangers L 0-249.3 1726 1903 13.44% 18.20% 68.36%-1.58 -5.1 10
2007-11-03 St. Mirren D 1-173.8 1713 1681 53.14% 21.50% 25.36%+0.67 -1.1 17
2007-11-03 @ Motherwell D 1-173.8 1681 1713 25.36% 21.50% 53.14%-0.67 +1.1 14
2007-11-04 Heart of Midlothian D 1-174.4 1794 1793 49.27% 21.90% 28.82%+0.47 -0.8 22
2007-11-04 @ Hibernian D 1-174.4 1793 1794 28.82% 21.90% 49.27%-0.47 +0.8 15
2007-11-10 Hibernian L 0-156.3 1606 1793 24.61% 21.39% 54.00%-0.71 -4.8 4
2007-11-10 @ Gretna W 1-056.3 1793 1606 54.00% 21.39% 24.61%+0.71 +4.8 25
2007-11-10 Kilmarnock W 2-055.0 1748 1752 48.53% 21.96% 29.51%+0.44 +10.7 25
2007-11-10 @ Dundee United L 0-255.0 1752 1748 29.51% 21.96% 48.53%-0.44 -10.7 16
2007-11-10 Motherwell L 0-358.5 1721 1712 50.28% 21.81% 27.91%+0.52 -24.0 10
2007-11-10 @ Inverness CT W 3-058.5 1712 1721 27.91% 21.81% 50.28%-0.52 +24.0 20
2007-11-11 Aberdeen W 4-158.4 1793 1808 47.18% 22.06% 30.76%+0.38 +13.6 18
2007-11-11 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-458.4 1808 1793 30.76% 22.06% 47.18%-0.38 -13.6 18
2007-11-24 Aberdeen W 3-048.3 1928 1794 64.35% 19.38% 16.27%+1.31 +9.0 31
2007-11-24 @ Celtic L 0-348.3 1794 1928 16.27% 19.38% 64.35%-1.31 -9.0 18
2007-11-24 Dundee United D 2-280.3 1798 1758 54.10% 21.38% 24.52%+0.72 -0.9 26
2007-11-24 @ Hibernian D 2-280.3 1758 1798 24.52% 21.38% 54.10%-0.72 +0.9 26
2007-11-24 Motherwell L 0-164.4 1741 1736 49.77% 21.86% 28.37%+0.50 -8.7 16
2007-11-24 @ Kilmarnock W 1-064.4 1736 1741 28.37% 21.86% 49.77%-0.50 +8.7 23
2007-11-24 Rangers L 1-359.1 1711 1908 23.65% 21.24% 55.11%-0.77 -7.7 12
2007-11-24 @ Falkirk W 3-159.1 1908 1711 55.11% 21.24% 23.65%+0.77 +7.7 28
2007-11-24 St. Mirren W 1-057.1 1697 1682 51.03% 21.74% 27.23%+0.56 +5.3 13
2007-11-24 @ Inverness CT L 0-157.1 1682 1697 27.23% 21.74% 51.03%-0.56 -5.3 14
2007-11-25 Heart of Midlothian D 1-174.0 1601 1807 22.73% 21.08% 56.20%-0.83 +1.3 5
2007-11-25 @ Gretna D 1-174.0 1807 1601 56.20% 21.08% 22.73%+0.83 -1.3 19
2007-12-01 Celtic D 1-174.5 1806 1937 31.08% 22.08% 46.83%-0.36 +0.6 20
2007-12-01 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-174.5 1937 1806 46.83% 22.08% 31.08%+0.36 -0.6 32
2007-12-01 Falkirk L 1-560.2 1677 1704 45.46% 22.16% 32.38%+0.30 -24.0 14
2007-12-01 @ St. Mirren W 5-160.2 1704 1677 32.38% 22.16% 45.46%-0.30 +24.0 15
2007-12-01 Gretna W 3-046.7 1744 1602 65.15% 19.16% 15.69%+1.36 +8.7 26
2007-12-01 @ Motherwell L 0-346.7 1602 1744 15.69% 19.16% 65.15%-1.36 -8.7 5
2007-12-01 Inverness CT L 0-166.0 1759 1702 56.10% 21.09% 22.81%+0.82 -9.6 26
2007-12-01 @ Dundee United W 1-066.0 1702 1759 22.81% 21.09% 56.10%-0.82 +9.6 16
2007-12-01 Kilmarnock W 2-049.1 1916 1732 68.93% 18.02% 13.05%+1.62 +4.9 31
2007-12-01 @ Rangers L 0-249.1 1732 1916 13.05% 18.02% 68.93%-1.62 -4.9 16
2007-12-02 Hibernian W 3-161.3 1785 1797 47.48% 22.04% 30.48%+0.39 +9.5 21
2007-12-02 @ Aberdeen L 1-361.3 1797 1785 30.48% 22.04% 47.48%-0.39 -9.5 26
2007-12-08 Dundee United W 3-053.3 1728 1750 46.18% 22.12% 31.70%+0.33 +16.5 18
2007-12-08 @ Falkirk L 0-353.3 1750 1728 31.70% 22.12% 46.18%-0.33 -16.5 26
2007-12-08 Hibernian W 2-057.9 1712 1788 38.61% 22.32% 39.07%-0.01 +13.4 19
2007-12-08 @ Inverness CT L 0-257.9 1788 1712 39.07% 22.32% 38.61%+0.01 -13.4 26
2007-12-08 Kilmarnock W 2-161.5 1795 1728 57.31% 20.89% 21.80%+0.89 +4.1 24
2007-12-08 @ Aberdeen L 1-261.5 1728 1795 21.80% 20.89% 57.31%-0.89 -4.1 16
2007-12-08 Motherwell L 1-271.8 1806 1753 55.68% 21.16% 23.17%+0.80 -9.0 20
2007-12-08 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-171.8 1753 1806 23.17% 21.16% 55.68%-0.80 +9.0 29
2007-12-08 St. Mirren D 1-176.5 1937 1653 76.77% 14.94% 8.29%+2.25 -2.8 33
2007-12-08 @ Celtic D 1-176.5 1653 1937 8.29% 14.94% 76.77%-2.25 +2.8 15
2007-12-11 Falkirk W 4-046.1 1934 1744 69.46% 17.84% 12.70%+1.65 +9.1 36
2007-12-11 @ Celtic L 0-446.1 1744 1934 12.70% 17.84% 69.46%-1.65 -9.1 18
2007-12-15 Aberdeen W 3-054.1 1762 1799 44.14% 22.22% 33.64%+0.24 +17.3 32
2007-12-15 @ Motherwell L 0-354.1 1799 1762 33.64% 22.22% 44.14%-0.24 -17.3 24
2007-12-15 Dundee United L 0-354.8 1655 1733 38.36% 22.32% 39.31%-0.02 -19.2 15
2007-12-15 @ St. Mirren W 3-054.8 1733 1655 39.31% 22.32% 38.36%+0.02 +19.2 29
2007-12-15 Falkirk D 1-174.4 1774 1735 54.03% 21.39% 24.58%+0.71 -1.2 27
2007-12-15 @ Hibernian D 1-174.4 1735 1774 24.58% 21.39% 54.03%-0.71 +1.2 19
2007-12-15 Gretna D 3-383.4 1723 1594 63.94% 19.49% 16.57%+1.28 -1.2 17
2007-12-15 @ Kilmarnock D 3-383.4 1594 1723 16.57% 19.49% 63.94%-1.28 +1.2 6
2007-12-15 Heart of Midlothian W 2-160.0 1921 1797 63.32% 19.64% 17.04%+1.24 +3.2 34
2007-12-15 @ Rangers L 1-260.0 1797 1921 17.04% 19.64% 63.32%-1.24 -3.2 20
2007-12-16 Celtic W 3-277.6 1725 1943 21.64% 20.86% 57.50%-0.90 +8.8 22
2007-12-16 @ Inverness CT L 2-377.6 1943 1725 57.50% 20.86% 21.64%+0.90 -8.8 36
2007-12-22 Falkirk L 0-360.0 1779 1736 54.49% 21.33% 24.18%+0.74 -25.7 32
2007-12-22 @ Motherwell W 3-060.0 1736 1779 24.18% 21.33% 54.49%-0.74 +25.7 22
2007-12-22 Gretna L 1-273.3 1752 1595 66.58% 18.75% 14.66%+1.45 -10.6 29
2007-12-22 @ Dundee United W 2-173.3 1595 1752 14.66% 18.75% 66.58%-1.45 +10.6 9
2007-12-22 Hibernian D 1-175.5 1934 1773 66.90% 18.66% 14.44%+1.47 -2.2 37
2007-12-22 @ Celtic D 1-175.5 1773 1934 14.44% 18.66% 66.90%-1.47 +2.2 28
2007-12-22 Inverness CT L 2-377.1 1794 1734 56.45% 21.04% 22.51%+0.84 -8.7 20
2007-12-22 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-277.1 1734 1794 22.51% 21.04% 56.45%-0.84 +8.7 25
2007-12-22 Kilmarnock D 0-068.7 1636 1722 37.17% 22.31% 40.51%-0.07 +0.1 16
2007-12-22 @ St. Mirren D 0-068.7 1722 1636 40.51% 22.31% 37.17%+0.07 -0.1 18
2007-12-23 Rangers D 1-174.5 1782 1924 29.72% 21.98% 48.30%-0.43 +0.7 25
2007-12-23 @ Aberdeen D 1-174.5 1924 1782 48.30% 21.98% 29.72%+0.43 -0.7 35
2007-12-26 Aberdeen D 1-173.7 1605 1782 25.75% 21.56% 52.70%-0.64 +1.1 10
2007-12-26 @ Gretna D 1-173.7 1782 1605 52.70% 21.56% 25.75%+0.64 -1.0 26
2007-12-26 Celtic L 0-253.5 1742 1932 24.33% 21.35% 54.33%-0.73 -9.1 29
2007-12-26 @ Dundee United W 2-053.5 1932 1742 54.33% 21.35% 24.33%+0.73 +9.1 40
2007-12-26 Hibernian W 2-166.0 1722 1775 41.81% 22.29% 35.89%+0.13 +6.3 21
2007-12-26 @ Kilmarnock L 1-266.0 1775 1722 35.89% 22.29% 41.81%-0.13 -6.3 28
2007-12-26 Inverness CT W 1-057.6 1762 1743 51.53% 21.69% 26.79%+0.59 +5.2 25
2007-12-26 @ Falkirk L 0-157.6 1743 1762 26.79% 21.69% 51.53%-0.59 -5.2 25
2007-12-26 Motherwell W 3-155.3 1923 1754 67.70% 18.41% 13.89%+1.53 +4.6 38
2007-12-26 @ Rangers L 1-355.3 1754 1923 13.89% 18.41% 67.70%-1.53 -4.6 32
2007-12-26 St. Mirren L 0-168.1 1785 1636 65.79% 18.98% 15.22%+1.40 -11.1 20
2007-12-26 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-068.1 1636 1785 15.22% 18.98% 65.79%-1.40 +11.1 19
2007-12-29 Aberdeen L 0-158.6 1647 1781 30.80% 22.06% 47.13%-0.37 -5.9 19
2007-12-29 @ St. Mirren W 1-058.6 1781 1647 47.13% 22.06% 30.80%+0.37 +5.9 29
2007-12-29 Dundee United W 5-365.5 1749 1733 51.21% 21.72% 27.07%+0.57 +7.3 35
2007-12-29 @ Motherwell L 3-565.5 1733 1749 27.07% 21.72% 51.21%-0.57 -7.3 29
2007-12-29 Gretna W 3-043.3 1941 1606 80.08% 13.36% 6.56%+2.56 +3.4 43
2007-12-29 @ Celtic L 0-343.3 1606 1941 6.56% 13.36% 80.08%-2.56 -3.4 10
2007-12-29 Heart of Midlothian W 2-164.3 1767 1774 48.15% 21.99% 29.86%+0.42 +5.4 28
2007-12-29 @ Falkirk L 1-264.3 1774 1767 29.86% 21.99% 48.15%-0.42 -5.4 20
2007-12-29 Kilmarnock W 3-160.1 1738 1728 50.29% 21.81% 27.90%+0.52 +8.8 28
2007-12-29 @ Inverness CT L 1-360.1 1728 1738 27.90% 21.81% 50.29%-0.52 -8.8 21
2007-12-29 Rangers L 1-263.8 1769 1928 27.79% 21.80% 50.42%-0.53 -5.1 28
2007-12-29 @ Hibernian W 2-163.8 1928 1769 50.42% 21.80% 27.79%+0.53 +5.1 41
2008-01-02 Falkirk L 0-162.2 1720 1773 41.85% 22.29% 35.86%+0.13 -7.5 21
2008-01-02 @ Kilmarnock W 1-062.2 1773 1720 35.86% 22.29% 41.85%-0.13 +7.5 31
2008-01-02 Heart of Midlothian W 4-159.4 1725 1769 43.19% 22.25% 34.55%+0.19 +14.9 32
2008-01-02 @ Dundee United L 1-459.4 1769 1725 34.55% 22.25% 43.19%-0.19 -14.9 20
2008-01-02 Inverness CT W 1-056.9 1787 1747 54.18% 21.37% 24.45%+0.72 +4.8 32
2008-01-02 @ Aberdeen L 0-156.9 1747 1787 24.45% 21.37% 54.18%-0.72 -4.8 28
2008-01-05 Aberdeen D 0-069.8 1780 1792 47.52% 22.04% 30.44%+0.39 -0.7 32
2008-01-05 @ Falkirk D 0-069.8 1792 1780 30.44% 22.04% 47.52%-0.39 +0.7 33
2008-01-05 Dundee United W 2-048.9 1933 1740 69.73% 17.75% 12.52%+1.67 +4.7 44
2008-01-05 @ Rangers L 0-248.9 1740 1933 12.52% 17.75% 69.73%-1.67 -4.7 32
2008-01-05 Gretna W 3-046.8 1742 1603 64.80% 19.26% 15.94%+1.34 +8.8 31
2008-01-05 @ Inverness CT L 0-346.8 1603 1742 15.94% 19.26% 64.80%-1.34 -8.8 10
2008-01-05 Hibernian W 2-168.5 1642 1764 32.24% 22.15% 45.61%-0.30 +7.6 22
2008-01-05 @ St. Mirren L 1-268.5 1764 1642 45.61% 22.15% 32.24%+0.30 -7.6 28
2008-01-05 Kilmarnock D 1-174.2 1754 1712 54.35% 21.35% 24.31%+0.73 -1.2 21
2008-01-05 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-174.2 1712 1754 24.31% 21.35% 54.35%-0.73 +1.2 22
2008-01-16 Rangers L 1-257.7 1594 1938 12.40% 17.68% 69.92%-1.69 -2.3 10
2008-01-16 @ Gretna W 2-157.7 1938 1594 69.92% 17.68% 12.40%+1.69 +2.3 47
2008-01-19 Aberdeen W 3-054.9 1736 1793 41.28% 22.30% 36.42%+0.11 +18.5 35
2008-01-19 @ Dundee United L 0-354.9 1793 1736 36.42% 22.30% 41.28%-0.11 -18.5 33
2008-01-19 Falkirk W 2-061.4 1592 1779 24.62% 21.39% 53.99%-0.71 +17.6 13
2008-01-19 @ Gretna L 0-261.4 1779 1592 53.99% 21.39% 24.62%+0.71 -17.6 32
2008-01-19 Hibernian W 1-058.5 1753 1756 48.60% 21.96% 29.44%+0.44 +5.7 24
2008-01-19 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-158.5 1756 1753 29.44% 21.96% 48.60%-0.44 -5.7 28
2008-01-19 Kilmarnock W 1-051.5 1944 1713 72.87% 16.59% 10.54%+1.92 +2.1 46
2008-01-19 @ Celtic L 0-151.5 1713 1944 10.54% 16.59% 72.87%-1.92 -2.1 22
2008-01-19 Motherwell W 3-164.6 1649 1756 34.24% 22.24% 43.52%-0.21 +12.7 25
2008-01-19 @ St. Mirren L 1-364.6 1756 1649 43.52% 22.24% 34.24%+0.21 -12.7 35
2008-01-20 Rangers L 0-157.1 1751 1940 24.40% 21.36% 54.24%-0.72 -4.8 31
2008-01-20 @ Inverness CT W 1-057.1 1940 1751 54.24% 21.36% 24.40%+0.72 +4.8 50
2008-01-26 Dundee United L 1-268.1 1711 1754 43.29% 22.25% 34.46%+0.20 -7.3 22
2008-01-26 @ Kilmarnock W 2-168.1 1754 1711 34.46% 22.25% 43.29%-0.20 +7.3 38
2008-01-26 Heart of Midlothian L 0-165.0 1774 1758 51.11% 21.73% 27.16%+0.56 -8.9 33
2008-01-26 @ Aberdeen W 1-065.0 1758 1774 27.16% 21.73% 51.11%-0.56 +8.9 27
2008-01-26 St. Mirren W 4-043.9 1945 1662 76.70% 14.97% 8.33%+2.24 +5.7 53
2008-01-26 @ Rangers L 0-443.9 1662 1945 8.33% 14.97% 76.70%-2.24 -5.8 25
2008-01-27 Celtic L 0-157.3 1762 1946 24.92% 21.44% 53.64%-0.69 -4.9 32
2008-01-27 @ Falkirk W 1-057.3 1946 1762 53.64% 21.44% 24.92%+0.69 +4.9 49
2008-02-09 Falkirk W 2-048.9 1951 1757 69.81% 17.72% 12.47%+1.68 +4.7 56
2008-02-09 @ Rangers L 0-248.9 1757 1951 12.47% 17.72% 69.81%-1.68 -4.7 32
2008-02-09 Gretna W 2-048.9 1767 1609 66.62% 18.74% 14.63%+1.46 +5.6 30
2008-02-09 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-248.9 1609 1767 14.63% 18.74% 66.62%-1.46 -5.6 13
2008-02-09 Hibernian D 1-174.3 1761 1751 50.43% 21.80% 27.77%+0.53 -0.9 39
2008-02-09 @ Dundee United D 1-174.3 1751 1761 27.77% 21.80% 50.43%-0.53 +0.9 29
2008-02-09 Inverness CT D 1-173.6 1656 1746 36.67% 22.31% 41.03%-0.10 +0.2 26
2008-02-09 @ St. Mirren D 1-173.6 1746 1656 41.03% 22.31% 36.67%+0.10 -0.2 32
2008-02-09 Kilmarnock W 1-056.6 1744 1704 54.11% 21.38% 24.51%+0.72 +4.8 38
2008-02-09 @ Motherwell L 0-156.6 1704 1744 24.51% 21.38% 54.11%-0.72 -4.8 22
2008-02-10 Celtic L 1-554.8 1765 1951 24.77% 21.42% 53.81%-0.70 -14.6 33
2008-02-10 @ Aberdeen W 5-154.8 1951 1765 53.81% 21.42% 24.77%+0.70 +14.6 52
2008-02-13 Gretna W 4-258.7 1752 1604 65.68% 19.02% 15.31%+1.39 +4.5 32
2008-02-13 @ Hibernian L 2-458.7 1604 1752 15.31% 19.02% 65.68%-1.39 -4.5 13
2008-02-16 Dundee United D 1-174.2 1746 1760 47.12% 22.06% 30.82%+0.37 -0.6 33
2008-02-16 @ Inverness CT D 1-174.2 1760 1746 30.82% 22.06% 47.12%-0.37 +0.6 40
2008-02-16 Heart of Midlothian W 3-046.7 1966 1773 69.75% 17.74% 12.51%+1.68 +6.9 55
2008-02-16 @ Celtic L 0-346.7 1773 1966 12.51% 17.74% 69.75%-1.68 -6.9 30
2008-02-16 Motherwell L 1-359.6 1599 1749 28.91% 21.91% 49.18%-0.47 -9.1 13
2008-02-16 @ Gretna W 3-159.6 1749 1599 49.18% 21.91% 28.91%+0.47 +9.1 41
2008-02-16 St. Mirren W 4-048.0 1752 1656 60.46% 20.30% 19.24%+1.07 +13.8 35
2008-02-16 @ Falkirk L 0-448.0 1656 1752 19.24% 20.30% 60.46%-1.07 -13.8 26
2008-02-17 Aberdeen W 3-160.4 1756 1751 49.78% 21.86% 28.36%+0.50 +9.0 35
2008-02-17 @ Hibernian L 1-360.4 1751 1756 28.36% 21.86% 49.78%-0.50 -9.0 33
2008-02-17 Rangers L 0-251.3 1699 1955 18.25% 20.02% 61.73%-1.14 -6.9 22
2008-02-17 @ Kilmarnock W 2-051.3 1955 1699 61.73% 20.02% 18.25%+1.14 +6.9 59
2008-02-20 Inverness CT W 3-160.1 1758 1745 50.74% 21.77% 27.49%+0.55 +8.7 44
2008-02-20 @ Motherwell L 1-360.1 1745 1758 27.49% 21.77% 50.74%-0.55 -8.7 33
2008-02-23 Falkirk D 0-069.7 1761 1766 48.42% 21.97% 29.61%+0.43 -0.8 41
2008-02-23 @ Dundee United D 0-069.7 1766 1761 29.61% 21.97% 48.42%-0.43 +0.8 36
2008-02-23 Heart of Midlothian L 0-164.4 1766 1766 49.14% 21.91% 28.95%+0.47 -8.6 44
2008-02-23 @ Motherwell W 1-064.4 1766 1766 28.95% 21.91% 49.14%-0.47 +8.6 33
2008-02-23 Inverness CT W 2-053.7 1765 1736 52.76% 21.55% 25.69%+0.65 +9.5 38
2008-02-23 @ Hibernian L 0-253.7 1736 1765 25.69% 21.55% 52.76%-0.65 -9.5 33
2008-02-24 Aberdeen W 3-162.3 1692 1742 42.32% 22.28% 35.40%+0.15 +10.8 25
2008-02-24 @ Kilmarnock L 1-362.3 1742 1692 35.40% 22.28% 42.32%-0.15 -10.8 33
2008-02-24 Celtic L 0-152.6 1642 1973 13.15% 18.07% 68.78%-1.61 -2.6 26
2008-02-24 @ St. Mirren W 1-052.6 1973 1642 68.78% 18.07% 13.15%+1.61 +2.6 58
2008-02-24 Gretna W 4-254.7 1962 1590 82.28% 12.22% 5.50%+2.80 +1.5 62
2008-02-24 @ Rangers L 2-454.7 1590 1962 5.50% 12.22% 82.28%-2.80 -1.5 13
2008-02-27 Hibernian L 0-260.7 1767 1775 48.06% 22.00% 29.94%+0.42 -15.9 36
2008-02-27 @ Falkirk W 2-060.7 1775 1767 29.94% 22.00% 48.06%-0.42 +15.9 41
2008-02-27 Inverness CT W 2-156.7 1975 1727 74.22% 16.05% 9.73%+2.03 +1.8 61
2008-02-27 @ Celtic L 1-256.7 1727 1975 9.73% 16.05% 74.22%-2.03 -1.8 33
2008-02-27 Kilmarnock W 4-267.7 1589 1703 33.35% 22.21% 44.45%-0.25 +11.5 16
2008-02-27 @ Gretna L 2-467.7 1703 1589 44.45% 22.21% 33.35%+0.25 -11.5 25
2008-02-27 Motherwell D 1-174.1 1731 1758 45.50% 22.16% 32.34%+0.30 -0.5 34
2008-02-27 @ Aberdeen D 1-174.1 1758 1731 32.34% 22.16% 45.50%-0.30 +0.5 45
2008-02-27 Rangers L 0-450.7 1775 1964 24.44% 21.37% 54.19%-0.72 -17.3 33
2008-02-27 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-050.7 1964 1775 54.19% 21.37% 24.44%+0.72 +17.2 65
2008-02-27 St. Mirren D 1-174.4 1760 1640 63.00% 19.72% 17.28%+1.22 -1.9 42
2008-02-27 @ Dundee United D 1-174.4 1640 1760 17.28% 19.72% 63.00%-1.22 +1.9 27
2008-03-01 Aberdeen W 3-153.4 1981 1731 74.35% 15.99% 9.66%+2.04 +3.1 68
2008-03-01 @ Rangers L 1-353.4 1731 1981 9.66% 15.99% 74.35%-2.04 -3.1 34
2008-03-01 Celtic L 0-253.7 1791 1977 24.70% 21.41% 53.89%-0.71 -9.2 41
2008-03-01 @ Hibernian W 2-053.7 1977 1791 53.89% 21.41% 24.70%+0.71 +9.2 64
2008-03-01 Heart of Midlothian L 0-357.2 1725 1757 44.72% 22.20% 33.08%+0.26 -21.7 33
2008-03-01 @ Inverness CT W 3-057.2 1757 1725 33.08% 22.20% 44.72%-0.26 +21.7 36
2008-03-01 Motherwell D 0-069.6 1751 1758 48.11% 21.99% 29.90%+0.42 -0.8 37
2008-03-01 @ Falkirk D 0-069.6 1758 1751 29.90% 21.99% 48.11%-0.42 +0.8 46
2008-03-01 St. Mirren W 1-055.4 1691 1642 55.25% 21.22% 23.53%+0.78 +4.7 28
2008-03-01 @ Kilmarnock L 0-155.4 1642 1691 23.53% 21.22% 55.25%-0.78 -4.7 27
2008-03-06 Dundee United L 0-351.3 1600 1758 27.88% 21.81% 50.31%-0.53 -14.8 16
2008-03-06 @ Gretna W 3-051.3 1758 1600 50.31% 21.81% 27.88%+0.53 +14.8 45
2008-03-12 Dundee United D 0-071.5 1986 1773 71.44% 17.14% 11.43%+1.80 -2.8 65
2008-03-12 @ Celtic D 0-071.5 1773 1986 11.43% 17.14% 71.44%-1.80 +2.8 46
2008-03-12 Motherwell W 1-057.6 1781 1759 51.92% 21.64% 26.44%+0.60 +5.2 44
2008-03-12 @ Hibernian L 0-157.6 1759 1781 26.44% 21.64% 51.92%-0.60 -5.2 46
2008-03-15 Falkirk L 0-162.3 1703 1750 42.70% 22.27% 35.03%+0.17 -7.6 33
2008-03-15 @ Inverness CT W 1-062.3 1750 1703 35.03% 22.27% 42.70%-0.17 +7.6 40
2008-03-15 Gretna W 3-046.4 1727 1586 65.12% 19.17% 15.71%+1.36 +8.7 37
2008-03-15 @ Aberdeen L 0-346.4 1586 1727 15.71% 19.17% 65.12%-1.36 -8.7 16
2008-03-15 Heart of Midlothian D 1-173.8 1637 1779 29.78% 21.98% 48.24%-0.43 +0.7 28
2008-03-15 @ St. Mirren D 1-173.8 1779 1637 48.24% 21.98% 29.78%+0.43 -0.7 37
2008-03-15 Kilmarnock W 2-051.5 1787 1696 59.89% 20.41% 19.69%+1.03 +7.5 47
2008-03-15 @ Hibernian L 0-251.5 1696 1787 19.69% 20.41% 59.89%-1.03 -7.5 28
2008-03-22 Falkirk D 0-069.8 1778 1758 51.71% 21.67% 26.62%+0.59 -1.1 38
2008-03-22 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-069.8 1758 1778 26.62% 21.67% 51.71%-0.59 +1.1 41
2008-03-22 Hibernian W 2-158.1 1984 1794 69.50% 17.83% 12.67%+1.66 +2.4 71
2008-03-22 @ Rangers L 1-258.1 1794 1984 12.67% 17.83% 69.50%-1.66 -2.4 47
2008-03-22 Inverness CT W 4-157.3 1688 1696 48.16% 21.99% 29.85%+0.42 +13.2 31
2008-03-22 @ Kilmarnock L 1-457.3 1696 1688 29.85% 21.99% 48.16%-0.42 -13.2 33
2008-03-22 Motherwell W 2-054.0 1776 1754 51.88% 21.65% 26.47%+0.60 +9.8 49
2008-03-22 @ Dundee United L 0-254.0 1754 1776 26.47% 21.65% 51.88%-0.60 -9.8 46
2008-03-22 St. Mirren D 1-174.0 1736 1638 60.73% 20.24% 19.03%+1.08 -1.7 38
2008-03-22 @ Aberdeen D 1-174.0 1638 1736 19.03% 20.24% 60.73%-1.08 +1.7 29
2008-03-23 Celtic L 0-344.9 1577 1984 9.32% 15.75% 74.93%-2.09 -5.0 16
2008-03-23 @ Gretna W 3-044.9 1984 1577 74.93% 15.75% 9.32%+2.09 +5.0 68
2008-03-29 Aberdeen L 3-475.3 1682 1734 41.98% 22.29% 35.73%+0.14 -6.6 33
2008-03-29 @ Inverness CT W 4-375.3 1734 1682 35.73% 22.29% 41.98%-0.14 +6.6 41
2008-03-29 Celtic W 1-058.8 1987 1989 48.81% 21.94% 29.25%+0.45 +5.6 74
2008-03-29 @ Rangers L 0-158.8 1989 1987 29.25% 21.94% 48.81%-0.45 -5.6 68
2008-03-29 Dundee United W 1-058.8 1777 1786 47.98% 22.00% 30.02%+0.41 +5.8 41
2008-03-29 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-158.8 1786 1777 30.02% 22.00% 47.98%-0.41 -5.8 49
2008-03-29 Gretna W 2-049.4 1639 1572 57.33% 20.89% 21.78%+0.89 +8.2 32
2008-03-29 @ St. Mirren L 0-249.4 1572 1639 21.78% 20.89% 57.33%-0.89 -8.2 16
2008-03-29 Hibernian W 1-060.3 1744 1792 42.66% 22.27% 35.07%+0.17 +6.5 49
2008-03-29 @ Motherwell L 0-160.3 1792 1744 35.07% 22.27% 42.66%-0.17 -6.5 47
2008-03-29 Kilmarnock D 0-069.7 1759 1702 56.15% 21.08% 22.77%+0.82 -1.5 42
2008-03-29 @ Falkirk D 0-069.7 1702 1759 22.77% 21.08% 56.15%-0.82 +1.5 32
2008-04-05 Heart of Midlothian D 0-069.5 1703 1783 38.03% 22.32% 39.64%-0.04 +0.1 33
2008-04-05 @ Kilmarnock D 0-069.5 1783 1703 39.64% 22.32% 38.03%+0.04 -0.1 42
2008-04-05 Inverness CT L 1-263.0 1564 1676 33.60% 22.22% 44.18%-0.24 -6.0 16
2008-04-05 @ Gretna W 2-163.0 1676 1564 44.18% 22.22% 33.60%+0.24 +6.0 36
2008-04-05 Motherwell L 0-170.2 1983 1751 72.95% 16.56% 10.49%+1.92 -12.1 68
2008-04-05 @ Celtic W 1-070.2 1751 1983 10.49% 16.56% 72.95%-1.92 +12.1 52
2008-04-05 St. Mirren W 2-049.8 1785 1648 64.69% 19.29% 16.02%+1.33 +6.1 50
2008-04-05 @ Hibernian L 0-249.8 1648 1785 16.02% 19.29% 64.69%-1.33 -6.1 32
2008-04-06 Rangers D 3-384.6 1780 1992 22.13% 20.96% 56.90%-0.87 +0.9 50
2008-04-06 @ Dundee United D 3-384.6 1992 1780 56.90% 20.96% 22.13%+0.87 -0.9 75
2008-04-07 Falkirk W 2-164.5 1741 1757 46.91% 22.08% 31.01%+0.36 +5.6 44
2008-04-07 @ Aberdeen L 1-264.5 1757 1741 31.01% 22.08% 46.91%-0.36 -5.6 42
2008-04-09 St. Mirren D 0-066.3 1558 1641 37.48% 22.32% 40.20%-0.06 +0.1 17
2008-04-09 @ Gretna D 0-066.3 1641 1558 40.20% 22.32% 37.48%+0.06 -0.1 33
2008-04-13 Celtic L 1-455.8 1763 1971 22.54% 21.04% 56.41%-0.84 -10.4 52
2008-04-13 @ Motherwell W 4-155.8 1971 1763 56.41% 21.04% 22.54%+0.84 +10.4 71
2008-04-16 Rangers W 2-164.7 1981 1991 47.75% 22.02% 30.23%+0.40 +5.5 74
2008-04-16 @ Celtic L 1-264.7 1991 1981 30.23% 22.02% 47.75%-0.40 -5.5 75
2008-05-17 Rangers D 1-175.0 1752 1985 20.17% 20.53% 59.29%-1.00 +1.6 53
2008-05-17 @ Motherwell D 1-175.0 1985 1752 59.29% 20.53% 20.17%+1.00 -1.6 76
2008-05-19 Rangers L 0-346.8 1652 1984 13.07% 18.03% 68.90%-1.61 -7.2 33
2008-05-19 @ St. Mirren W 3-046.8 1984 1652 68.90% 18.03% 13.07%+1.61 +7.2 79

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2008-04-19 Aberdeen W 1-051.3 1987 1747 73.56% 16.32% 10.12%+1.97 +2.0 3
2008-04-19 @ Celtic L 0-151.3 1747 1987 10.12% 16.32% 73.56%-1.97 -2.0 0
2008-04-19 Gretna D 0-069.6 1752 1558 69.83% 17.71% 12.45%+1.68 -2.7 1
2008-04-19 @ Falkirk D 0-069.6 1558 1752 12.45% 17.71% 69.83%-1.68 +2.7 1
2008-04-19 Kilmarnock W 3-052.7 1682 1703 46.21% 22.12% 31.67%+0.33 +16.5 3
2008-04-19 @ Inverness CT L 0-352.7 1703 1682 31.67% 22.12% 46.21%-0.33 -16.5 0
2008-04-19 St. Mirren W 3-263.9 1783 1641 65.09% 19.18% 15.73%+1.35 +2.8 3
2008-04-19 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-363.9 1641 1783 15.73% 19.18% 65.09%-1.35 -2.8 0
2008-04-20 Hibernian D 1-174.4 1781 1791 47.71% 22.02% 30.26%+0.40 -0.7 1
2008-04-20 @ Dundee United D 1-174.4 1791 1781 30.26% 22.02% 47.71%-0.40 +0.7 1
2008-04-26 Dundee United D 2-280.0 1753 1780 45.40% 22.16% 32.44%+0.29 -0.4 1
2008-04-26 @ Motherwell D 2-280.0 1780 1753 32.44% 22.16% 45.40%-0.29 +0.4 2
2008-04-26 Falkirk W 1-062.3 1639 1749 33.78% 22.23% 43.99%-0.23 +7.8 3
2008-04-26 @ St. Mirren L 0-162.3 1749 1639 43.99% 22.23% 33.78%+0.23 -7.8 1
2008-04-26 Gretna D 1-172.7 1687 1560 63.59% 19.57% 16.83%+1.26 -1.9 1
2008-04-26 @ Kilmarnock D 1-172.7 1560 1687 16.83% 19.57% 63.59%-1.26 +1.9 2
2008-04-26 Hibernian W 2-165.9 1745 1792 42.69% 22.27% 35.04%+0.17 +6.2 3
2008-04-26 @ Aberdeen L 1-265.9 1792 1745 35.04% 22.27% 42.69%-0.17 -6.2 1
2008-04-26 Inverness CT W 1-055.1 1786 1698 59.58% 20.48% 19.95%+1.02 +4.0 6
2008-04-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-155.1 1698 1786 19.95% 20.48% 59.58%-1.02 -4.0 3
2008-04-27 Rangers W 3-269.3 1989 1986 49.45% 21.89% 28.66%+0.48 +5.0 6
2008-04-27 @ Celtic L 2-369.3 1986 1989 28.66% 21.89% 49.45%-0.48 -4.9 0
2008-05-03 Celtic L 1-260.9 1752 1994 19.49% 20.36% 60.15%-1.05 -3.7 1
2008-05-03 @ Motherwell W 2-160.9 1994 1752 60.15% 20.36% 19.49%+1.05 +3.7 9
2008-05-03 Dundee United W 2-165.2 1751 1780 45.11% 22.18% 32.71%+0.28 +5.8 6
2008-05-03 @ Aberdeen L 1-265.2 1780 1751 32.71% 22.18% 45.11%-0.28 -5.8 2
2008-05-03 Gretna W 6-148.4 1694 1562 64.13% 19.44% 16.43%+1.29 +12.1 6
2008-05-03 @ Inverness CT L 1-648.4 1562 1694 16.43% 19.44% 64.13%-1.29 -12.1 2
2008-05-03 Kilmarnock W 1-058.8 1646 1685 43.90% 22.23% 33.88%+0.22 +6.4 6
2008-05-03 @ St. Mirren L 0-158.8 1685 1646 33.88% 22.23% 43.90%-0.22 -6.4 1
2008-05-04 Rangers D 0-070.2 1786 1981 23.82% 21.27% 54.92%-0.76 +1.4 2
2008-05-04 @ Hibernian D 0-070.2 1981 1786 54.92% 21.27% 23.82%+0.76 -1.4 1
2008-05-05 Heart of Midlothian W 2-165.9 1741 1790 42.51% 22.28% 35.22%+0.16 +6.2 4
2008-05-05 @ Falkirk L 1-265.9 1790 1741 35.22% 22.28% 42.51%-0.16 -6.2 6
2008-05-07 Motherwell W 1-051.5 1980 1748 72.86% 16.60% 10.55%+1.91 +2.1 4
2008-05-07 @ Rangers L 0-151.5 1748 1980 10.55% 16.60% 72.86%-1.91 -2.1 1
2008-05-10 Aberdeen W 2-164.3 1746 1757 47.73% 22.02% 30.25%+0.40 +5.5 4
2008-05-10 @ Motherwell L 1-264.3 1757 1746 30.25% 22.02% 47.73%-0.40 -5.5 6
2008-05-10 Dundee United W 3-154.4 1982 1775 70.92% 17.33% 11.75%+1.76 +3.8 7
2008-05-10 @ Rangers L 1-354.4 1775 1982 11.75% 17.33% 70.92%-1.76 -3.8 2
2008-05-10 Gretna D 0-067.0 1653 1550 61.15% 20.15% 18.70%+1.11 -1.9 7
2008-05-10 @ St. Mirren D 0-067.0 1550 1653 18.70% 20.15% 61.15%-1.11 +1.9 3
2008-05-10 Inverness CT W 2-162.1 1748 1706 54.27% 21.36% 24.37%+0.72 +4.5 7
2008-05-10 @ Falkirk L 1-262.1 1706 1748 24.37% 21.36% 54.27%-0.72 -4.5 6
2008-05-10 Kilmarnock L 0-263.8 1784 1679 61.44% 20.09% 18.48%+1.13 -19.7 6
2008-05-10 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-063.8 1679 1784 18.48% 20.09% 61.44%-1.13 +19.7 4
2008-05-11 Hibernian W 2-048.6 1997 1787 71.20% 17.23% 11.58%+1.78 +4.4 12
2008-05-11 @ Celtic L 0-248.6 1787 1997 11.58% 17.23% 71.20%-1.78 -4.3 2
2008-05-13 Heart of Midlothian W 1-065.1 1552 1764 22.18% 20.97% 56.85%-0.86 +9.8 6
2008-05-13 @ Gretna L 0-165.1 1764 1552 56.85% 20.97% 22.18%+0.86 -9.8 6
2008-05-17 Falkirk W 2-165.9 1698 1752 41.74% 22.29% 35.97%+0.13 +6.3 7
2008-05-17 @ Kilmarnock L 1-265.9 1752 1698 35.97% 22.29% 41.74%-0.13 -6.3 7
2008-05-17 St. Mirren D 0-069.0 1702 1651 55.41% 21.20% 23.40%+0.78 -1.4 7
2008-05-17 @ Inverness CT D 0-069.0 1651 1702 23.40% 21.20% 55.41%-0.78 +1.4 8
2008-05-22 Celtic L 0-155.7 1771 2002 20.42% 20.59% 58.99%-0.98 -4.1 2
2008-05-22 @ Dundee United W 1-055.7 2002 1771 58.99% 20.59% 20.42%+0.98 +4.1 15
2008-05-22 Motherwell L 0-261.9 1783 1753 52.80% 21.54% 25.66%+0.65 -17.2 2
2008-05-22 @ Hibernian W 2-061.9 1753 1783 25.66% 21.54% 52.80%-0.65 +17.2 7
2008-05-22 Rangers W 2-064.0 1751 1991 19.63% 20.40% 59.98%-1.04 +19.3 9
2008-05-22 @ Aberdeen L 0-264.0 1991 1751 59.98% 20.40% 19.63%+1.04 -19.3 7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2008-04-05 10.49% Motherwell 1751 1 @ Celtic 1983 0
2 2007-12-22 14.66% Gretna 1595 2 @ Dundee United 1752 1
3 2007-12-26 15.22% St. Mirren 1636 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1785 0
4 2007-10-27 16.19% St. Mirren 1670 1 @ Hibernian 1805 0
5 2008-05-10 18.48% Kilmarnock 1679 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1784 0
6 2007-10-06 18.68% Hibernian 1802 1 @ Rangers 1904 0
7 2008-05-22 19.63% @ Aberdeen 1751 2 Rangers 1991 0
8 2007-10-20 19.86% Dundee United 1732 3 @ Heart of Midlothian 1820 1
9 2007-09-15 20.60% Motherwell 1713 2 @ Aberdeen 1793 1
10 2007-12-16 21.64% @ Inverness CT 1725 3 Celtic 1943 2
11 2008-05-13 22.18% @ Gretna 1552 1 Heart of Midlothian 1764 0
12 2007-12-22 22.51% Inverness CT 1734 3 @ Heart of Midlothian 1794 2
13 2007-12-01 22.81% Inverness CT 1702 1 @ Dundee United 1759 0
14 2007-12-08 23.17% Motherwell 1753 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1806 1
15 2007-08-06 23.29% Hibernian 1764 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1816 0
16 2007-12-22 24.18% Falkirk 1736 3 @ Motherwell 1779 0
17 2008-01-19 24.62% @ Gretna 1592 2 Falkirk 1779 0
18 2007-08-25 25.23% Dundee United 1695 3 @ Inverness CT 1728 0
19 2007-08-25 25.59% St. Mirren 1701 1 @ Falkirk 1731 0
20 2008-05-22 25.66% Motherwell 1753 2 @ Hibernian 1783 0
21 2008-01-26 27.16% Heart of Midlothian 1758 1 @ Aberdeen 1774 0
22 2007-10-28 27.27% @ Dundee United 1748 2 Rangers 1912 1
23 2007-11-10 27.91% Motherwell 1712 3 @ Inverness CT 1721 0
24 2007-11-24 28.37% Motherwell 1736 1 @ Kilmarnock 1741 0
25 2007-09-23 28.93% @ Hibernian 1783 3 Celtic 1932 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-08-04 28.89 Falkirk 4 1726 32.15% @ Gretna 0 1701 45.70% 22.15%
2 2007-10-27 26.38 Inverness CT 4 1700 36.84% @ Gretna 0 1640 40.86% 22.31%
3 2007-12-22 25.72 Falkirk 3 1736 24.18% @ Motherwell 0 1779 54.49% 21.33%
4 2007-08-25 25.22 Dundee United 3 1695 25.23% @ Inverness CT 0 1728 53.28% 21.48%
5 2007-11-10 23.98 Motherwell 3 1712 27.91% @ Inverness CT 0 1721 50.28% 21.81%
6 2007-12-01 23.97 Falkirk 5 1704 32.38% @ St. Mirren 1 1677 45.46% 22.16%
7 2008-03-01 21.73 Heart of Midlothian 3 1757 33.08% @ Inverness CT 0 1725 44.72% 22.20%
8 2008-05-10 19.70 Kilmarnock 2 1679 18.48% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1784 61.44% 20.09%
9 2008-05-22 19.29 @ Aberdeen 2 1751 19.63% Rangers 0 1991 59.98% 20.40%
10 2007-12-15 19.22 Dundee United 3 1733 39.31% @ St. Mirren 0 1655 38.36% 22.32%
11 2008-01-19 18.45 @ Dundee United 3 1736 41.28% Aberdeen 0 1793 36.42% 22.30%
12 2007-08-25 17.81 @ Celtic 5 1891 59.34% Heart of Midlothian 0 1805 20.14% 20.52%
13 2007-08-04 17.71 Rangers 3 1862 43.15% @ Inverness CT 0 1757 34.59% 22.26%
14 2008-01-19 17.57 @ Gretna 2 1592 24.62% Falkirk 0 1779 53.99% 21.39%
15 2007-10-20 17.50 @ Rangers 3 1894 43.68% Celtic 0 1934 34.08% 22.24%
16 2007-12-15 17.32 @ Motherwell 3 1762 44.14% Aberdeen 0 1799 33.64% 22.22%
17 2008-02-27 17.26 Rangers 4 1964 54.19% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1775 24.44% 21.37%
18 2008-05-22 17.23 Motherwell 2 1753 25.66% @ Hibernian 0 1783 52.80% 21.54%
19 2007-10-20 16.63 Dundee United 3 1732 19.86% @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1820 59.69% 20.45%
20 2007-12-08 16.50 @ Falkirk 3 1728 46.18% Dundee United 0 1750 31.70% 22.12%
21 2008-04-19 16.49 @ Inverness CT 3 1682 46.21% Kilmarnock 0 1703 31.67% 22.12%
22 2008-02-27 15.88 Hibernian 2 1775 29.94% @ Falkirk 0 1767 48.06% 22.00%
23 2008-01-02 14.92 @ Dundee United 4 1725 43.19% Heart of Midlothian 1 1769 34.55% 22.25%
24 2008-03-06 14.82 Dundee United 3 1758 50.31% @ Gretna 0 1600 27.88% 21.81%
25 2007-08-11 14.71 Celtic 4 1865 43.84% @ Falkirk 1 1755 33.93% 22.23%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-04-06 84.6 @ Dundee United 3 1780 22.13% Rangers 3 1992 56.90% 20.96%
2 2007-08-25 84.1 @ Hibernian 3 1779 48.30% Aberdeen 3 1785 29.72% 21.98%
3 2007-12-15 83.4 @ Kilmarnock 3 1723 63.94% Gretna 3 1594 16.57% 19.49%
4 2007-11-24 80.3 @ Hibernian 2 1798 54.10% Dundee United 2 1758 24.52% 21.38%
5 2007-10-06 80.0 @ Kilmarnock 2 1746 54.23% Inverness CT 2 1705 24.41% 21.36%
6 2008-04-26 80.0 @ Motherwell 2 1753 45.40% Dundee United 2 1780 32.44% 22.16%
7 2007-12-16 77.6 @ Inverness CT 3 1725 21.64% Celtic 2 1943 57.50% 20.86%
8 2007-12-22 77.1 Inverness CT 3 1734 22.51% @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1794 56.45% 21.04%
9 2007-12-08 76.5 @ Celtic 1 1937 76.77% St. Mirren 1 1653 8.29% 14.94%
10 2007-12-22 75.5 @ Celtic 1 1934 66.90% Hibernian 1 1773 14.44% 18.66%
11 2007-09-23 75.4 @ Hibernian 3 1783 28.93% Celtic 2 1932 49.16% 21.91%
12 2008-03-29 75.3 Aberdeen 4 1734 35.73% @ Inverness CT 3 1682 41.98% 22.29%
13 2008-05-17 75.0 @ Motherwell 1 1752 20.17% Rangers 1 1985 59.29% 20.53%
14 2007-08-18 74.9 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1807 65.00% Gretna 1 1666 15.79% 19.20%
15 2007-10-28 74.7 @ Aberdeen 1 1800 60.71% Falkirk 1 1702 19.05% 20.24%
16 2007-09-29 74.6 @ Motherwell 1 1717 24.47% Rangers 1 1906 54.16% 21.37%
17 2007-12-01 74.5 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1806 31.08% Celtic 1 1937 46.83% 22.08%
18 2007-12-23 74.5 @ Aberdeen 1 1782 29.72% Rangers 1 1924 48.30% 21.98%
19 2007-08-12 74.4 @ Aberdeen 1 1797 47.82% Heart of Midlothian 1 1806 30.17% 22.02%
20 2007-11-04 74.4 @ Hibernian 1 1794 49.27% Heart of Midlothian 1 1793 28.82% 21.90%
21 2007-12-15 74.4 @ Hibernian 1 1774 54.03% Falkirk 1 1735 24.58% 21.39%
22 2008-02-27 74.4 @ Dundee United 1 1760 63.00% St. Mirren 1 1640 17.28% 19.72%
23 2008-04-20 74.4 @ Dundee United 1 1781 47.71% Hibernian 1 1791 30.26% 22.02%
24 2008-02-09 74.3 @ Dundee United 1 1761 50.43% Hibernian 1 1751 27.77% 21.80%
25 2008-01-05 74.2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1754 54.35% Kilmarnock 1 1712 24.31% 21.35%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-12-29 43.3 @ Celtic 3 1941 80.08% Gretna 0 1606 6.56% 13.36%
2 2008-01-26 43.9 @ Rangers 4 1945 76.70% St. Mirren 0 1662 8.33% 14.97%
3 2007-09-01 44.7 @ Rangers 4 1900 73.45% Gretna 0 1661 10.19% 16.36%
4 2008-03-23 44.9 Celtic 3 1984 74.93% @ Gretna 0 1577 9.32% 15.75%
5 2007-09-15 45.7 @ Celtic 5 1922 72.28% Inverness CT 0 1698 10.90% 16.82%
6 2007-12-11 46.1 @ Celtic 4 1934 69.46% Falkirk 0 1744 12.70% 17.84%
7 2008-03-15 46.4 @ Aberdeen 3 1727 65.12% Gretna 0 1586 15.71% 19.17%
8 2007-10-27 46.5 @ Celtic 3 1917 70.08% Motherwell 0 1720 12.29% 17.63%
9 2007-09-29 46.7 @ Celtic 3 1924 69.57% Dundee United 0 1733 12.63% 17.80%
10 2007-12-01 46.7 @ Motherwell 3 1744 65.15% Gretna 0 1602 15.69% 19.16%
11 2008-02-16 46.7 @ Celtic 3 1966 69.75% Heart of Midlothian 0 1773 12.51% 17.74%
12 2008-01-05 46.8 @ Inverness CT 3 1742 64.80% Gretna 0 1603 15.94% 19.26%
13 2008-05-19 46.8 Rangers 3 1984 68.90% @ St. Mirren 0 1652 13.07% 18.03%
14 2008-02-16 48.0 @ Falkirk 4 1752 60.46% St. Mirren 0 1656 19.24% 20.30%
15 2007-10-07 48.1 @ Aberdeen 4 1781 61.15% St. Mirren 0 1678 18.70% 20.15%
16 2007-11-24 48.3 @ Celtic 3 1928 64.35% Aberdeen 0 1794 16.27% 19.38%
17 2008-05-03 48.4 @ Inverness CT 6 1694 64.13% Gretna 1 1562 16.43% 19.44%
18 2008-05-11 48.6 @ Celtic 2 1997 71.20% Hibernian 0 1787 11.58% 17.23%
19 2007-09-23 48.9 @ Rangers 3 1896 62.13% Aberdeen 0 1784 17.94% 19.93%
20 2008-01-05 48.9 @ Rangers 2 1933 69.73% Dundee United 0 1740 12.52% 17.75%
21 2008-02-09 48.9 @ Rangers 2 1951 69.81% Falkirk 0 1757 12.47% 17.72%
22 2008-02-09 48.9 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1767 66.62% Gretna 0 1609 14.63% 18.74%
23 2007-08-11 49.1 @ Rangers 2 1880 68.60% St. Mirren 0 1700 13.27% 18.13%
24 2007-12-01 49.1 @ Rangers 2 1916 68.93% Kilmarnock 0 1732 13.05% 18.02%
25 2007-11-03 49.3 @ Rangers 2 1903 68.36% Inverness CT 0 1726 13.44% 18.20%