2008-09 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

86 points · 52nd Title

Last Title: 2004-05

Relegated

Inverness CT

37 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Kilmarnock

2.98 points above expected

44 points · 41.02 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Falkirk

3.01 points below expected

38 points · 41.01 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	22	8	3	74	75	30	+45	70.11	+3.89
2	Rangers	33	22	7	4	73	68	26	+42	66.99	+6.01
3	Heart of Midlothian	33	15	9	9	54	37	34	+3	44.42	+9.58
4	Dundee United	33	12	13	8	49	43	40	+3	45.23	+3.77
5	Aberdeen	33	13	9	11	48	36	33	+3	45.22	+2.78
6	Hibernian	33	10	12	11	42	38	41	-3	44.67	-2.67
7	Motherwell	33	11	8	14	41	36	44	-8	43.00	-2.00
8	Kilmarnock	33	9	7	17	34	31	43	-12	38.94	-4.94
9	St. Mirren	33	8	10	15	34	28	44	-16	32.63	+1.37
10	Hamilton Academical	33	10	4	19	34	26	47	-21	37.66	-3.66
11	Inverness CT	33	9	5	19	32	32	52	-20	36.67	-4.67
12	Falkirk	33	6	10	17	28	32	48	-16	40.75	-12.75

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rangers Champion	38	26	8	4	86	77	28	+49	83.62	+2.38
2	Celtic	38	24	10	4	82	80	33	+47	82.95	-0.95
3	Heart of Midlothian	38	16	11	11	59	40	37	+3	59.54	-0.54
4	Aberdeen	38	14	11	13	53	41	40	+1	54.63	-1.63
5	Dundee United	38	13	14	11	53	47	50	-3	53.39	-0.39
6	Hibernian	38	11	14	13	47	42	46	-4	47.33	-0.33
7	Motherwell	38	13	9	16	48	46	51	-5	48.86	-0.86
8	Kilmarnock	38	12	8	18	44	38	48	-10	41.02	+2.98
9	Hamilton Academical	38	12	5	21	41	30	53	-23	40.68	+0.32
10	Falkirk	38	9	11	18	38	37	52	-15	41.01	-3.01
11	St. Mirren	38	9	10	19	37	33	52	-19	38.13	-1.13
12	Inverness CT Relegated	38	10	7	21	37	37	58	-21	34.20	+2.80

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Kilmarnock	44	41.02	+2.98
2	Inverness CT	37	34.20	+2.80
3	Rangers	86	83.62	+2.38
4	Hamilton Academical	41	40.68	+0.32
5	Hibernian	47	47.33	-0.33

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Falkirk	38	41.01	-3.01
2	Aberdeen	53	54.63	-1.63
3	St. Mirren	37	38.13	-1.13
4	Celtic	82	82.95	-0.95
5	Motherwell	48	48.86	-0.86

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Heart of Midlothian	5	Nov 8 – Nov 29	1 in 178
2	Celtic	12	Sep 13 – Nov 29	1 in 158
3	St. Mirren	4	Dec 6 – Dec 27	1 in 128
4	Hamilton Academical	4	Jan 3 – Jan 31	1 in 83
5	Dundee United	4	Sep 20 – Oct 25	1 in 35

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Inverness CT	8	Nov 29 – Jan 24	1 in 304
2	Motherwell	5	Nov 15 – Dec 20	1 in 218
3	Hamilton Academical	6	Sep 20 – Nov 1	1 in 106
4	Aberdeen	4	Sep 13 – Oct 4	1 in 60
5	Falkirk	4	Aug 9 – Aug 30	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	9	Dec 27 – Feb 28	1 in 83
2	Heart of Midlothian	7	Nov 8 – Dec 20	1 in 50
3	Dundee United	8	Sep 20 – Nov 12	1 in 40
4	St. Mirren	5	Dec 6 – Jan 3	1 in 16
5	Aberdeen	7	Feb 21 – Apr 11	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kilmarnock	12	Jan 3 – Apr 4	1 in 76
2	St. Mirren	12	Jan 3 – Apr 13	1 in 36
3	Falkirk	9	Nov 22 – Jan 24	1 in 30
4	Hamilton Academical	10	Sep 20 – Nov 22	1 in 23
5	Aberdeen	6	Jan 24 – Mar 3	1 in 22

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Rangers	1914	86	+16	13	9.9	+3.1
Celtic	1914	82	-2	8	9.8	-1.8
Heart of Midlothian	1708	59	+5	5	5.4	-0.4
Aberdeen	1707	53	-2	5	5.7	-0.7
Dundee United	1682	53	-16	4	5.3	-1.3
Motherwell	1683	48	+9	7	7.8	-0.8
Hibernian	1693	47	-1	5	5.4	-0.4
Kilmarnock	1647	44	+9	10	7.1	+2.9
Hamilton Academical	1617	41	-8	7	6.8	+0.2
Falkirk	1642	38	+3	10	7.0	+3.0
Inverness CT	1602	37	-4	5	6.1	-1.1
St. Mirren	1594	37	-9	3	6.2	-3.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DU	FAL	HA	HOM	HIB	IC	KIL	MOT	RAN	SM
Aberdeen	—	1-0-3 2.84	0-2-2 5.49	2-0-1 4.36	1-0-2 5.07	1-2-1 5.69	1-2-1 5.55	2-0-1 5.11	2-1-0 4.79	2-1-0 4.02	0-2-2 3.03	2-1-0 5.08
Celtic	3-0-1 8.33	—	1-3-0 8.30	3-0-0 6.58	3-0-0 6.87	1-3-0 8.45	2-1-1 8.42	2-1-0 6.70	3-0-0 6.49	2-1-0 6.09	1-1-2 5.69	3-0-0 7.07
Dundee United	2-2-0 5.42	0-3-1 2.86	—	2-1-0 4.50	1-1-1 4.75	1-1-2 5.56	2-1-1 5.52	2-1-0 5.05	0-1-2 4.90	0-1-2 4.26	0-2-2 2.96	3-0-0 5.37
Falkirk	1-0-2 3.83	0-0-3 1.86	0-1-2 3.70	—	2-1-1 5.83	1-1-1 3.81	0-2-1 3.68	2-1-1 5.86	1-2-1 5.29	2-1-1 5.04	0-0-3 2.16	0-2-2 6.51
Hamilton Academical	2-0-1 3.14	0-0-3 1.63	1-1-1 3.46	1-1-2 5.08	—	1-0-2 3.66	0-0-3 3.60	2-2-0 5.40	3-0-1 5.24	1-0-3 4.66	0-0-3 1.89	1-1-2 5.83
Heart of Midlothian	1-2-1 5.22	0-3-1 2.74	2-1-1 5.35	1-1-1 4.37	2-0-1 4.54	—	0-2-2 5.42	3-0-0 4.88	2-0-1 4.72	2-0-1 4.38	1-1-2 2.79	2-1-0 5.15
Hibernian	1-2-1 5.36	1-1-2 2.76	1-1-2 5.40	1-2-0 4.52	3-0-0 4.60	2-2-0 5.49	—	0-1-2 4.73	0-1-2 4.62	1-1-1 4.29	0-1-3 3.12	1-2-0 5.06
Inverness CT	1-0-2 3.12	0-1-2 1.76	0-1-2 3.17	1-1-2 5.05	0-2-2 5.52	0-0-3 3.33	2-1-0 3.47	—	3-0-1 5.15	0-1-3 4.61	1-0-2 1.63	2-0-2 5.92
Kilmarnock	0-1-2 3.42	0-0-3 1.94	2-1-0 3.31	1-2-1 5.62	1-0-3 5.67	1-0-2 3.48	2-1-0 3.57	1-0-3 5.77	—	3-1-0 4.80	0-0-3 1.91	1-2-1 6.20
Motherwell	0-1-2 4.16	0-1-2 2.26	2-1-0 3.94	1-1-2 5.87	3-0-1 6.27	1-0-2 3.80	1-1-1 3.90	3-1-0 6.32	0-1-3 6.12	—	0-1-2 2.13	2-1-1 6.59
Rangers	2-2-0 8.11	2-1-1 5.22	2-2-0 8.18	3-0-0 6.21	3-0-0 6.55	2-1-1 8.39	3-1-0 7.98	2-0-1 6.87	3-0-0 6.52	2-1-0 6.25	—	2-0-1 6.86
St. Mirren	0-1-2 3.14	0-0-3 1.47	0-0-3 2.87	2-2-0 4.44	2-1-1 5.09	0-1-2 3.09	0-2-1 3.16	2-0-2 5.01	1-2-1 4.73	1-1-2 4.37	1-0-2 1.64	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.89	+9.6
Allowed	0.86	-16.7
Differential	0.97	+6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.77%	10.53%	6.14%	2.41%	1.32%	0.44%	29.61%
1	10.53%	12.72%	9.87%	2.85%	0.44%	0.22%	36.62%
2	6.14%	9.87%	3.95%	1.75%	1.10%	—	22.81%
3	2.41%	2.85%	1.75%	0.44%	—	—	7.46%
4	1.32%	0.44%	1.10%	—	—	—	2.85%
5+	0.44%	0.22%	—	—	—	—	0.66%
Total	29.61%	36.62%	22.81%	7.46%	2.85%	0.66%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.20	1.20	+0.00
SD	1.11	1.11	1.63
CV	0.92	0.92	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	5.26%	10.53%	—	—	—	26.32%
1	18.42%	13.16%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	47.37%
2	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.84%	26.32%	31.58%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.05	+0.03
SD	0.91	0.96	1.26
CV	0.85	0.91	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
1	7.89%	10.53%	—	—	—	—	18.42%
2	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	28.95%
3	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	21.05%
4	7.89%	—	5.26%	—	—	—	13.16%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	44.74%	34.21%	15.79%	—	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.11	0.87	+1.24
SD	1.50	1.04	1.82
CV	0.71	1.20	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	26.32%
1	10.53%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	34.21%
2	7.89%	7.89%	13.16%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	26.32%	31.58%	10.53%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.32	-0.08
SD	0.97	1.09	1.53
CV	0.78	0.83	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	13.16%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	34.21%
1	10.53%	18.42%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	44.74%
2	—	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	15.79%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	42.11%	18.42%	15.79%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.37	-0.39
SD	1.00	1.08	1.55
CV	1.03	0.79	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	26.32%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	42.11%
1	13.16%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	39.47%
2	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	15.79%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	47.37%	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.79	1.39	-0.61
SD	0.81	1.46	1.81
CV	1.03	1.05	—
Max	3	7	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	36.84%
1	13.16%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	31.58%
2	2.63%	15.79%	2.63%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	42.11%	23.68%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	0.97	+0.08
SD	1.01	0.82	1.28
CV	0.96	0.84	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
1	10.53%	18.42%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	39.47%
2	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	26.32%
3	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	34.21%	21.05%	7.89%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.21	-0.11
SD	0.95	1.14	1.31
CV	0.86	0.94	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	21.05%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	36.84%
1	2.63%	13.16%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
2	5.26%	15.79%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	28.95%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	52.63%	18.42%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.53	-0.55
SD	0.88	1.11	1.55
CV	0.91	0.73	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	28.95%
1	10.53%	10.53%	18.42%	10.53%	—	—	50.00%
2	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	15.79%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	28.95%	23.68%	13.16%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.26	-0.26
SD	0.90	1.13	1.52
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	13.16%	—	—	—	28.95%
1	7.89%	13.16%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	36.84%
2	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	34.21%	31.58%	5.26%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.34	-0.13
SD	1.07	1.07	1.53
CV	0.88	0.80	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	15.79%
1	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	21.05%
2	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
4	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	44.74%	39.47%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.03	0.74	+1.29
SD	1.50	0.79	1.58
CV	0.74	1.08	—
Max	7	3	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	10.53%	10.53%	—	—	2.63%	34.21%
1	7.89%	13.16%	18.42%	5.26%	—	—	44.74%
2	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	31.58%	31.58%	7.89%	—	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.87	1.37	-0.50
SD	0.74	1.32	1.59
CV	0.85	0.97	—
Max	2	7	+2
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rangers	1914	86	66.99	+19.01	82.0%	52	57	63	67	71	76	81
Celtic	1914	82	70.11	+11.89	76.0%	46	59	66	70	74	79	84
Heart of Midlothian	1708	59	44.42	+14.58	91.0%	29	32	40	44	49	58	66
Aberdeen	1707	53	45.22	+7.78	71.0%	29	33	41	45	50	56	62
Hibernian	1693	47	44.67	+2.33	39.0%	26	34	41	44	49	56	61
Motherwell	1683	48	43.00	+5.00	43.0%	30	33	38	43	48	53	60
Dundee United	1682	53	45.23	+7.77	74.0%	28	34	39	44	50	58	66
Kilmarnock	1647	44	38.94	+5.06	23.0%	23	29	35	38	42	50	58
Falkirk	1642	38	40.75	-2.75	3.0%	27	30	35	42	46	53	59
Hamilton Academical	1617	41	37.66	+3.34	32.0%	22	25	32	38	43	48	56
Inverness CT	1602	37	36.67	+0.33	32.0%	20	27	31	36	41	50	55
St. Mirren	1594	37	32.63	+4.37	62.0%	15	22	28	32	37	44	46

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+10.09%

No Edge

42.11%25.88%32.02%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 35.17 Elo pts.

163 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.24 goals

Neutral

-2+0.22+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.8

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

34%

Rangers, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.11/gm

Tight Race

00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.47 * Some Luck: 5.47 to 8.21 * Lucky: 8.21 to 10.94 * Wild Swing: 10.94 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.54 * Close: 1.54 to 2.31 * Off: 2.31 to 3.08 * Way Off: 3.08 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.63 * A Surprise: 0.63 to 1.01 * Several Surprises: 1.01 to 1.39 * Many Surprises: 1.39 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.77 points

Some Luck

06.8417

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.17

Pinpoint

01.934

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

91.00%

Heart of Midlothian

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

3.00%

Falkirk

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 1

A Surprise

00.61

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Even

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 103.44

2.04

Moderate Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

60%

Even

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

86%

Even

50%89%100%

Close Games

Expected

70%

Very Frequent

0%64%100%

Blowouts

Expected

10%

Rare

0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.69

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.88

Near-Lock

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Upset-Prone

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.39

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.29

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.053

Well Within Noise

00.1140.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Rangers	34.00%	60.00%	6.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	66.00%	32.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	1.00%	14.00%	19.00%	11.00%	16.00%	6.00%	10.00%	10.00%	7.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Aberdeen	—	1.00%	21.00%	14.00%	18.00%	8.00%	12.00%	6.00%	10.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Dundee United	—	2.00%	20.00%	10.00%	17.00%	12.00%	9.00%	14.00%	5.00%	6.00%	2.00%	3.00%
Hibernian	—	1.00%	14.00%	16.00%	11.00%	18.00%	14.00%	12.00%	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	2.00%
Motherwell	—	1.00%	8.00%	14.00%	9.00%	11.00%	14.00%	15.00%	12.00%	9.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Kilmarnock	—	1.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	13.00%	16.00%	18.00%	11.00%	9.00%
Hamilton Academical	—	—	5.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	12.00%	6.00%	11.00%	11.00%	14.00%	20.00%
Falkirk	—	1.00%	4.00%	12.00%	12.00%	13.00%	8.00%	6.00%	10.00%	14.00%	13.00%	7.00%
St. Mirren	—	—	—	—	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	13.00%	11.00%	22.00%	37.00%
Inverness CT	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	14.00%	12.00%	12.00%	15.00%	18.00%	17.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Rangers	60.00%	40.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	40.00%	60.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	83.74%	14.28%	1.98%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	—	—	11.24%	53.34%	32.36%	3.06%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee United	—	—	5.00%	30.90%	57.85%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	—	—	0.02%	1.48%	7.81%	90.69%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	—	—	—	—	—	90.61%	7.50%	1.58%	0.30%	0.01%	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.16%	33.50%	27.38%	21.16%	11.92%	2.88%
Hamilton Academical	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.56%	25.25%	28.14%	25.03%	15.60%	3.42%
Falkirk	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.28%	25.84%	27.64%	25.20%	15.06%	2.98%
St. Mirren	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.38%	7.44%	13.18%	22.36%	41.60%	15.04%
Inverness CT	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.47%	2.08%	5.95%	15.81%	75.68%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Celtic	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
Aberdeen	99.00%	1.00%
Dundee United	99.00%	1.00%
Heart of Midlothian	99.00%	1.00%
Hibernian	97.00%	3.00%
Motherwell	97.00%	3.00%
Kilmarnock	95.00%	5.00%
Falkirk	87.00%	13.00%
Inverness CT	85.00%	15.00%
Hamilton Academical	79.00%	21.00%
St. Mirren	63.00%	37.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—
Celtic	100%	—
Dundee United	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Hibernian	100%	—
Motherwell	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
Kilmarnock	97.12%	2.88%
Falkirk	97.02%	2.98%
Hamilton Academical	96.58%	3.42%
St. Mirren	84.96%	15.04%
Inverness CT	24.32%	75.68%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2008-08-09	Hibernian	W 1-0	60.3	1649	1695	34.86%	27.42%	37.72%	-0.06	+5.1	3
2008-08-09	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	60.3	1695	1649	37.72%	27.42%	34.86%	+0.06	-5.0	0
2008-08-09	Inverness CT	L 0-2	59.5	1695	1646	48.11%	26.07%	25.82%	+0.52	-11.5	0
2008-08-09	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	59.5	1646	1695	25.82%	26.07%	48.11%	-0.52	+11.5	3
2008-08-09	Motherwell	W 3-2	70.3	1685	1696	39.76%	27.32%	32.92%	+0.15	+4.1	3
2008-08-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	70.3	1696	1685	32.92%	27.32%	39.76%	-0.15	-4.1	0
2008-08-09	Rangers	L 0-1	55.7	1679	1840	21.89%	24.51%	53.60%	-0.77	-3.2	0
2008-08-09	@ Falkirk	W 1-0	55.7	1840	1679	53.60%	24.51%	21.89%	+0.77	+3.2	3
2008-08-10	St. Mirren	W 1-0	49.5	1868	1605	73.46%	15.24%	11.30%	+1.83	+1.5	3
2008-08-10	@ Celtic	L 0-1	49.5	1605	1868	11.30%	15.24%	73.46%	-1.83	-1.5	0
2008-08-11	Dundee United	W 3-1	63.0	1648	1696	34.50%	27.41%	38.10%	-0.08	+8.3	3
2008-08-11	@ Hamilton Academical	L 1-3	63.0	1696	1648	38.10%	27.41%	34.50%	+0.08	-8.3	0
2008-08-16	Aberdeen	L 0-1	61.9	1692	1684	42.44%	27.07%	30.49%	+0.26	-5.5	0
2008-08-16	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	61.9	1684	1692	30.49%	27.07%	42.44%	-0.26	+5.5	3
2008-08-16	Falkirk	W 3-2	69.1	1690	1676	43.19%	26.97%	29.83%	+0.30	+3.8	3
2008-08-16	@ Hibernian	L 2-3	69.1	1676	1690	29.83%	26.97%	43.19%	-0.30	-3.8	0
2008-08-16	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	61.0	1658	1656	41.50%	27.17%	31.32%	+0.22	-5.4	3
2008-08-16	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	61.0	1656	1658	31.32%	27.17%	41.50%	-0.22	+5.4	6
2008-08-16	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	49.8	1843	1689	61.53%	21.35%	17.12%	+1.16	+4.7	6
2008-08-16	@ Rangers	L 0-2	49.8	1689	1843	17.12%	21.35%	61.53%	-1.16	-4.6	3
2008-08-16	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	65.1	1604	1654	34.08%	27.39%	38.53%	-0.10	+0.1	1
2008-08-16	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	65.1	1654	1604	38.53%	27.39%	34.08%	+0.10	-0.1	4
2008-08-17	Celtic	D 1-1	73.6	1688	1870	20.15%	23.54%	56.31%	-0.90	+1.0	1
2008-08-17	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	73.6	1870	1688	56.31%	23.54%	20.15%	+0.90	-1.0	4
2008-08-23	Dundee United	D 1-1	71.7	1686	1689	40.99%	27.22%	31.79%	+0.20	-0.2	1
2008-08-23	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	71.7	1689	1686	31.79%	27.22%	40.99%	-0.20	+0.2	2
2008-08-23	Falkirk	W 3-0	46.7	1869	1672	66.39%	19.01%	14.61%	+1.42	+5.6	7
2008-08-23	@ Celtic	L 0-3	46.7	1672	1869	14.61%	19.01%	66.39%	-1.42	-5.6	0
2008-08-23	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	58.3	1654	1662	40.25%	27.28%	32.47%	+0.17	+4.5	7
2008-08-23	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	58.3	1662	1654	32.47%	27.28%	40.25%	-0.17	-4.5	6
2008-08-23	Hibernian	D 1-1	71.4	1652	1693	35.45%	27.43%	37.12%	-0.04	+0.0	4
2008-08-23	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	71.4	1693	1652	37.12%	27.43%	35.45%	+0.04	-0.0	4
2008-08-23	Rangers	D 1-1	73.3	1689	1848	22.07%	24.60%	53.33%	-0.76	+0.9	4
2008-08-23	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.3	1848	1689	53.33%	24.60%	22.07%	+0.76	-0.9	7
2008-08-23	St. Mirren	W 2-1	60.5	1684	1604	52.34%	24.92%	22.74%	+0.71	+3.1	6
2008-08-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	60.5	1604	1684	22.74%	24.92%	52.34%	-0.71	-3.1	1
2008-08-30	Aberdeen	L 0-1	56.9	1601	1690	29.12%	26.85%	44.02%	-0.33	-4.1	1
2008-08-30	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	56.9	1690	1601	44.02%	26.85%	29.12%	+0.33	+4.1	7
2008-08-30	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	66.2	1657	1688	36.98%	27.43%	35.59%	+0.03	-4.7	6
2008-08-30	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	66.2	1688	1657	35.59%	27.43%	36.98%	-0.03	+4.7	9
2008-08-30	Inverness CT	L 1-2	67.7	1667	1652	43.34%	26.95%	29.71%	+0.30	-5.3	0
2008-08-30	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	67.7	1652	1667	29.71%	26.95%	43.34%	-0.30	+5.3	7
2008-08-30	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	58.9	1689	1659	45.51%	26.60%	27.88%	+0.40	-11.0	2
2008-08-30	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	58.9	1659	1689	27.88%	26.60%	45.51%	-0.40	+11.0	10
2008-08-30	Motherwell	L 0-1	61.9	1693	1686	42.32%	27.08%	30.59%	+0.26	-5.5	4
2008-08-30	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	61.9	1686	1693	30.59%	27.08%	42.32%	-0.26	+5.5	4
2008-08-31	Rangers	L 2-4	69.7	1874	1847	45.10%	26.68%	28.22%	+0.38	-8.4	7
2008-08-31	@ Celtic	W 4-2	69.7	1847	1874	28.22%	26.68%	45.10%	-0.38	+8.4	10
2008-09-13	Celtic	L 2-4	61.3	1692	1866	20.77%	23.91%	55.32%	-0.85	-4.4	4
2008-09-13	@ Motherwell	W 4-2	61.3	1866	1692	55.32%	23.91%	20.77%	+0.85	+4.5	10
2008-09-13	Dundee United	W 2-1	64.3	1688	1678	42.70%	27.04%	30.26%	+0.28	+4.0	7
2008-09-13	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	64.3	1678	1688	30.26%	27.04%	42.70%	-0.28	-4.0	2
2008-09-13	Hamilton Academical	L 1-2	68.9	1694	1653	47.13%	26.29%	26.59%	+0.47	-5.6	7
2008-09-13	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	68.9	1653	1694	26.59%	26.29%	47.13%	-0.47	+5.6	9
2008-09-13	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	65.9	1661	1692	36.91%	27.43%	35.66%	+0.03	+4.6	3
2008-09-13	@ Falkirk	L 1-2	65.9	1692	1661	35.66%	27.43%	36.91%	-0.03	-4.6	9
2008-09-13	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	58.3	1856	1670	65.21%	19.59%	15.19%	+1.36	+2.0	13
2008-09-13	@ Rangers	L 1-2	58.3	1670	1856	15.19%	19.59%	65.21%	-1.36	-2.0	10
2008-09-13	St. Mirren	L 1-2	68.3	1658	1596	49.76%	25.66%	24.58%	+0.59	-5.9	7
2008-09-13	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	68.3	1596	1658	24.58%	25.66%	49.76%	-0.59	+5.9	4
2008-09-20	Dundee United	L 0-1	62.0	1689	1674	43.41%	26.94%	29.65%	+0.31	-5.6	7
2008-09-20	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	62.0	1674	1689	29.65%	26.94%	43.41%	-0.31	+5.6	5
2008-09-20	Falkirk	D 1-1	70.5	1602	1666	32.35%	27.27%	40.37%	-0.18	+0.2	5
2008-09-20	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	70.5	1666	1602	40.37%	27.27%	32.35%	+0.18	-0.2	4
2008-09-20	Hibernian	L 0-1	60.0	1658	1692	36.51%	27.44%	36.05%	+0.01	-4.9	9
2008-09-20	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	60.0	1692	1658	36.05%	27.44%	36.51%	-0.01	+4.9	10
2008-09-20	Inverness CT	W 1-0	56.8	1688	1652	46.33%	26.45%	27.22%	+0.44	+3.9	12
2008-09-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	56.8	1652	1688	27.22%	26.45%	46.33%	-0.44	-3.9	7
2008-09-21	Celtic	L 1-3	56.7	1668	1870	18.62%	22.52%	58.85%	-1.03	-4.4	10
2008-09-21	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	56.7	1870	1668	58.85%	22.52%	18.62%	+1.03	+4.4	13
2008-09-21	Motherwell	W 2-1	58.9	1858	1687	63.45%	20.46%	16.10%	+1.26	+2.2	16
2008-09-21	@ Rangers	L 1-2	58.9	1687	1858	16.10%	20.46%	63.45%	-1.26	-2.2	4
2008-09-27	Aberdeen	W 3-2	63.2	1875	1683	65.86%	19.27%	14.87%	+1.39	+1.9	16
2008-09-27	@ Celtic	L 2-3	63.2	1683	1875	14.87%	19.27%	65.86%	-1.39	-1.9	7
2008-09-27	Hamilton Academical	W 4-1	57.4	1666	1653	43.08%	26.99%	29.93%	+0.29	+9.8	7
2008-09-27	@ Falkirk	L 1-4	57.4	1653	1666	29.93%	26.99%	43.08%	-0.29	-9.8	9
2008-09-27	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	53.9	1679	1692	39.58%	27.33%	33.09%	+0.14	+12.5	8
2008-09-27	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	53.9	1692	1679	33.09%	27.33%	39.58%	-0.14	-12.6	12
2008-09-27	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	61.2	1648	1663	39.11%	27.36%	33.53%	+0.12	+7.6	10
2008-09-27	@ Inverness CT	L 1-3	61.2	1663	1648	33.53%	27.36%	39.11%	-0.12	-7.6	10
2008-09-27	St. Mirren	W 2-1	60.4	1685	1603	52.57%	24.85%	22.59%	+0.72	+3.1	7
2008-09-27	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	60.4	1603	1685	22.59%	24.85%	52.57%	-0.72	-3.1	5
2008-09-28	Rangers	L 0-3	50.5	1697	1860	21.69%	24.41%	53.90%	-0.78	-8.7	10
2008-09-28	@ Hibernian	W 3-0	50.5	1860	1697	53.90%	24.41%	21.69%	+0.78	+8.7	19
2008-10-04	Hamilton Academical	W 4-0	45.5	1876	1644	70.39%	16.91%	12.70%	+1.65	+6.2	19
2008-10-04	@ Celtic	L 0-4	45.5	1644	1876	12.70%	16.91%	70.39%	-1.65	-6.2	9
2008-10-04	Hibernian	L 1-2	67.4	1681	1688	40.35%	27.28%	32.37%	+0.17	-5.0	7
2008-10-04	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	67.4	1688	1681	32.37%	27.28%	40.35%	-0.17	+5.0	13
2008-10-04	Inverness CT	W 2-1	63.0	1692	1655	46.42%	26.43%	27.15%	+0.44	+3.7	11
2008-10-04	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	63.0	1655	1692	27.15%	26.43%	46.42%	-0.44	-3.7	10
2008-10-04	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	68.2	1679	1656	44.58%	26.76%	28.65%	+0.36	-5.4	12
2008-10-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	68.2	1656	1679	28.65%	26.76%	44.58%	-0.36	+5.4	13
2008-10-05	Falkirk	W 3-2	69.1	1688	1676	43.07%	26.99%	29.94%	+0.29	+3.8	10
2008-10-05	@ Motherwell	L 2-3	69.1	1676	1688	29.94%	26.99%	43.07%	-0.29	-3.8	7
2008-10-05	Rangers	W 1-0	67.2	1599	1868	14.47%	18.86%	66.67%	-1.44	+7.8	8
2008-10-05	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	67.2	1868	1599	66.67%	18.86%	14.47%	+1.44	-7.8	19
2008-10-18	Aberdeen	L 0-1	61.1	1672	1676	40.68%	27.25%	32.07%	+0.19	-5.3	7
2008-10-18	@ Falkirk	W 1-0	61.1	1676	1672	32.07%	27.25%	40.68%	-0.19	+5.3	10
2008-10-18	Celtic	L 1-2	59.2	1652	1883	16.71%	21.00%	62.29%	-1.20	-2.3	10
2008-10-18	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	59.2	1883	1652	62.29%	21.00%	16.71%	+1.20	+2.3	22
2008-10-18	Motherwell	W 1-0	59.7	1661	1692	36.92%	27.43%	35.64%	+0.03	+4.8	16
2008-10-18	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	59.7	1692	1661	35.64%	27.43%	36.92%	-0.03	-4.9	10
2008-10-18	St. Mirren	L 1-2	67.2	1637	1607	45.53%	26.60%	27.87%	+0.40	-5.5	9
2008-10-18	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	67.2	1607	1637	27.87%	26.60%	45.53%	-0.40	+5.5	11
2008-10-19	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.7	1693	1674	44.03%	26.85%	29.12%	+0.33	-0.4	14
2008-10-19	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	71.7	1674	1693	29.12%	26.85%	44.03%	-0.33	+0.4	13
2008-10-25	Aberdeen	D 1-1	71.5	1674	1682	40.25%	27.28%	32.47%	+0.17	-0.2	14
2008-10-25	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.5	1682	1674	32.47%	27.28%	40.25%	-0.17	+0.2	11
2008-10-25	Falkirk	L 1-2	67.3	1666	1666	41.24%	27.20%	31.56%	+0.21	-5.1	16
2008-10-25	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	67.3	1666	1666	31.56%	27.20%	41.24%	-0.21	+5.1	10
2008-10-25	Hibernian	W 4-2	58.2	1885	1693	65.95%	19.23%	14.82%	+1.40	+3.0	25
2008-10-25	@ Celtic	L 2-4	58.2	1693	1885	14.82%	19.23%	65.95%	-1.40	-3.0	14
2008-10-25	Motherwell	L 1-2	65.8	1649	1687	35.94%	27.44%	36.63%	-0.01	-4.6	10
2008-10-25	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	65.8	1687	1649	36.63%	27.44%	35.94%	+0.01	+4.6	13
2008-10-25	Rangers	L 1-3	55.6	1632	1861	16.84%	21.12%	62.04%	-1.19	-4.0	9
2008-10-25	@ Hamilton Academical	W 3-1	55.6	1861	1632	62.04%	21.12%	16.84%	+1.19	+4.0	22
2008-10-25	St. Mirren	W 2-0	51.1	1696	1613	52.64%	24.82%	22.54%	+0.73	+6.2	14
2008-10-25	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	51.1	1613	1696	22.54%	24.82%	52.64%	-0.73	-6.2	11
2008-11-01	Dundee United	D 0-0	66.4	1672	1702	36.98%	27.43%	35.59%	+0.03	-0.0	11
2008-11-01	@ Falkirk	D 0-0	66.4	1702	1672	35.59%	27.43%	36.98%	-0.03	+0.0	15
2008-11-01	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	52.0	1692	1628	50.09%	25.57%	24.34%	+0.61	+6.7	16
2008-11-01	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	52.0	1628	1692	24.34%	25.57%	50.09%	-0.61	-6.7	9
2008-11-01	Hibernian	D 0-0	65.8	1606	1690	29.90%	26.98%	43.11%	-0.29	+0.4	12
2008-11-01	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	65.8	1690	1606	43.11%	26.98%	29.90%	+0.29	-0.4	15
2008-11-01	Inverness CT	W 5-0	46.7	1865	1645	68.98%	17.66%	13.35%	+1.56	+8.1	25
2008-11-01	@ Rangers	L 0-5	46.7	1645	1865	13.35%	17.66%	68.98%	-1.56	-8.1	10
2008-11-01	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	57.4	1682	1661	44.24%	26.82%	28.94%	+0.34	+4.1	14
2008-11-01	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	57.4	1661	1682	28.94%	26.82%	44.24%	-0.34	-4.1	16
2008-11-02	Celtic	L 0-2	50.3	1674	1888	17.81%	21.91%	60.27%	-1.10	-4.9	14
2008-11-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	50.3	1888	1674	60.27%	21.91%	17.81%	+1.10	+4.9	28
2008-11-04	Dundee United	D 3-3	84.2	1873	1702	63.49%	20.44%	16.08%	+1.26	-0.8	26
2008-11-04	@ Rangers	D 3-3	84.2	1702	1873	16.08%	20.44%	63.49%	-1.26	+0.8	16
2008-11-08	Aberdeen	W 2-1	64.1	1703	1686	43.69%	26.90%	29.41%	+0.32	+3.9	19
2008-11-08	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	64.1	1686	1703	29.41%	26.90%	43.69%	-0.32	-3.9	14
2008-11-08	Falkirk	D 1-1	70.8	1621	1672	34.15%	27.39%	38.46%	-0.09	+0.1	10
2008-11-08	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	70.8	1672	1621	38.46%	27.39%	34.15%	+0.09	-0.1	12
2008-11-08	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	57.8	1607	1669	32.56%	27.29%	40.15%	-0.17	-4.5	12
2008-11-08	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	57.8	1669	1607	40.15%	27.29%	32.56%	+0.17	+4.5	17
2008-11-08	Inverness CT	L 1-2	69.0	1689	1637	48.57%	25.96%	25.47%	+0.54	-5.8	15
2008-11-08	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	69.0	1637	1689	25.47%	25.96%	48.57%	-0.54	+5.8	13
2008-11-08	Motherwell	W 2-0	48.6	1893	1698	66.20%	19.10%	14.70%	+1.41	+3.9	31
2008-11-08	@ Celtic	L 0-2	48.6	1698	1893	14.70%	19.10%	66.20%	-1.41	-3.9	16
2008-11-09	Rangers	L 0-4	48.6	1657	1872	17.74%	21.86%	60.40%	-1.10	-9.2	16
2008-11-09	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-0	48.6	1872	1657	60.40%	21.86%	17.74%	+1.10	+9.2	29
2008-11-11	St. Mirren	W 2-0	50.9	1682	1602	52.20%	24.96%	22.84%	+0.70	+6.3	17
2008-11-11	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	50.9	1602	1682	22.84%	24.96%	52.20%	-0.70	-6.3	12
2008-11-12	Falkirk	D 1-1	71.0	1643	1671	37.18%	27.43%	35.39%	+0.04	-0.0	14
2008-11-12	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	71.0	1671	1643	35.39%	27.43%	37.18%	-0.04	+0.0	13
2008-11-12	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	55.6	1674	1621	48.55%	25.96%	25.49%	+0.54	+3.7	20
2008-11-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	55.6	1621	1674	25.49%	25.96%	48.55%	-0.54	-3.7	10
2008-11-12	Hibernian	W 2-0	54.3	1707	1683	44.58%	26.77%	28.65%	+0.36	+7.7	22
2008-11-12	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	54.3	1683	1707	28.65%	26.77%	44.58%	-0.36	-7.7	15
2008-11-12	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	45.0	1897	1648	72.07%	16.00%	11.93%	+1.74	+4.4	34
2008-11-12	@ Celtic	L 0-3	45.0	1648	1897	11.93%	16.00%	72.07%	-1.74	-4.4	16
2008-11-12	Rangers	D 0-0	68.6	1694	1881	19.79%	23.31%	56.90%	-0.93	+1.2	17
2008-11-12	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	68.6	1881	1694	56.90%	23.31%	19.79%	+0.93	-1.2	30
2008-11-15	Aberdeen	D 2-2	77.6	1676	1688	39.52%	27.34%	33.14%	+0.14	-0.1	16
2008-11-15	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	77.6	1688	1676	33.14%	27.34%	39.52%	-0.14	+0.1	18
2008-11-15	Dundee United	W 2-0	58.0	1643	1714	31.39%	27.18%	41.43%	-0.22	+10.2	19
2008-11-15	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	58.0	1714	1643	41.43%	27.18%	31.39%	+0.22	-10.2	22
2008-11-15	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	59.6	1642	1677	36.34%	27.44%	36.22%	+0.00	-4.9	14
2008-11-15	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	59.6	1677	1642	36.22%	27.44%	36.34%	+0.00	+4.9	23
2008-11-15	Motherwell	W 1-0	59.6	1671	1696	37.87%	27.41%	34.72%	+0.07	+4.8	16
2008-11-15	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	59.6	1696	1671	34.72%	27.41%	37.87%	-0.07	-4.8	17
2008-11-15	St. Mirren	W 2-1	55.1	1880	1596	75.50%	14.11%	10.40%	+1.96	+1.3	33
2008-11-15	@ Rangers	L 1-2	55.1	1596	1880	10.40%	14.11%	75.50%	-1.96	-1.3	12
2008-11-16	Celtic	L 1-2	57.4	1618	1901	13.70%	18.04%	68.26%	-1.52	-1.8	10
2008-11-16	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	57.4	1901	1618	68.26%	18.04%	13.70%	+1.52	+1.8	37
2008-11-22	Aberdeen	W 2-0	48.6	1881	1688	66.01%	19.20%	14.79%	+1.40	+3.9	36
2008-11-22	@ Rangers	L 0-2	48.6	1688	1881	14.79%	19.20%	66.01%	-1.40	-3.9	18
2008-11-22	Celtic	L 1-3	53.0	1595	1903	12.46%	16.64%	70.90%	-1.67	-2.8	12
2008-11-22	@ St. Mirren	W 3-1	53.0	1903	1595	70.90%	16.64%	12.46%	+1.67	+2.8	40
2008-11-22	Falkirk	W 2-1	64.4	1682	1676	42.15%	27.10%	30.75%	+0.25	+4.1	26
2008-11-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	64.4	1676	1682	30.75%	27.10%	42.15%	-0.25	-4.1	16
2008-11-22	Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	71.9	1704	1616	53.34%	24.60%	22.07%	+0.76	-0.9	23
2008-11-22	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	71.9	1616	1704	22.07%	24.60%	53.34%	-0.76	+0.9	11
2008-11-22	Hibernian	L 1-4	61.9	1691	1676	43.46%	26.94%	29.61%	+0.31	-13.0	17
2008-11-22	@ Motherwell	W 4-1	61.9	1676	1691	29.61%	26.94%	43.46%	-0.31	+13.0	19
2008-11-22	Inverness CT	L 1-2	67.4	1653	1638	43.54%	26.92%	29.53%	+0.31	-5.3	19
2008-11-22	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	67.4	1638	1653	29.53%	26.92%	43.54%	-0.31	+5.3	17
2008-11-29	Dundee United	L 0-2	52.6	1592	1703	26.67%	26.31%	47.03%	-0.47	-7.2	12
2008-11-29	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	52.6	1703	1592	47.03%	26.31%	26.67%	+0.47	+7.2	26
2008-11-29	Hibernian	D 1-1	71.5	1672	1689	38.97%	27.37%	33.66%	+0.12	-0.1	17
2008-11-29	@ Falkirk	D 1-1	71.5	1689	1672	33.66%	27.37%	38.97%	-0.12	+0.1	20
2008-11-29	Inverness CT	W 1-0	49.8	1906	1643	73.44%	15.25%	11.31%	+1.83	+1.5	43
2008-11-29	@ Celtic	L 0-1	49.8	1643	1906	11.31%	15.25%	73.44%	-1.83	-1.5	17
2008-11-29	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	58.7	1617	1648	36.82%	27.43%	35.75%	+0.02	+4.8	14
2008-11-29	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	58.7	1648	1617	35.75%	27.43%	36.82%	-0.02	-4.9	19
2008-11-29	Motherwell	W 2-0	54.7	1684	1678	42.24%	27.09%	30.67%	+0.26	+8.1	21
2008-11-29	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	54.7	1678	1684	30.67%	27.09%	42.24%	-0.26	-8.1	17
2008-11-29	Rangers	W 2-1	72.3	1686	1885	18.88%	22.70%	58.42%	-1.00	+6.7	29
2008-11-29	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	72.3	1885	1686	58.42%	22.70%	18.88%	+1.00	-6.6	36
2008-12-06	Dundee United	L 1-3	61.0	1641	1711	31.64%	27.21%	41.15%	-0.21	-7.2	17
2008-12-06	@ Inverness CT	W 3-1	61.0	1711	1641	41.15%	27.21%	31.64%	+0.21	+7.2	29
2008-12-06	Hamilton Academical	W 7-1	47.6	1878	1622	72.86%	15.57%	11.57%	+1.79	+6.6	39
2008-12-06	@ Rangers	L 1-7	47.6	1622	1878	11.57%	15.57%	72.86%	-1.79	-6.6	14
2008-12-06	St. Mirren	L 1-2	69.1	1672	1585	53.19%	24.64%	22.16%	+0.75	-6.2	17
2008-12-06	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	69.1	1585	1672	22.16%	24.64%	53.19%	-0.75	+6.2	15
2008-12-07	Celtic	W 2-0	63.2	1689	1907	17.52%	21.68%	60.80%	-1.12	+13.7	23
2008-12-07	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	63.2	1907	1689	60.80%	21.68%	17.52%	+1.12	-13.7	43
2008-12-13	Falkirk	W 2-1	63.5	1693	1666	45.07%	26.68%	28.25%	+0.38	+3.8	24
2008-12-13	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	63.5	1666	1693	28.25%	26.68%	45.07%	-0.38	-3.8	17
2008-12-13	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	51.0	1702	1615	53.22%	24.63%	22.14%	+0.75	+6.1	26
2008-12-13	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	51.0	1615	1702	22.14%	24.63%	53.22%	-0.75	-6.1	14
2008-12-13	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	75.1	1893	1693	66.87%	18.76%	14.37%	+1.45	-1.5	44
2008-12-13	@ Celtic	D 1-1	75.1	1693	1893	14.37%	18.76%	66.87%	-1.45	+1.5	30
2008-12-13	Inverness CT	W 2-0	55.0	1591	1634	35.14%	27.42%	37.44%	-0.05	+9.5	18
2008-12-13	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	55.0	1634	1591	37.44%	27.42%	35.14%	+0.05	-9.5	17
2008-12-13	Rangers	D 2-2	79.6	1718	1885	21.34%	24.22%	54.44%	-0.81	+0.7	30
2008-12-13	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	79.6	1885	1718	54.44%	24.22%	21.34%	+0.81	-0.7	40
2008-12-15	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	58.4	1670	1643	45.02%	26.69%	28.29%	+0.38	-10.9	17
2008-12-15	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	58.4	1643	1670	28.29%	26.69%	45.02%	-0.38	+10.9	22
2008-12-20	Aberdeen	L 0-3	52.9	1625	1696	31.32%	27.17%	41.51%	-0.22	-12.0	17
2008-12-20	@ Inverness CT	W 3-0	52.9	1696	1625	41.51%	27.17%	31.32%	+0.22	+12.0	27
2008-12-20	Dundee United	D 0-0	66.7	1694	1719	37.87%	27.41%	34.72%	+0.07	-0.1	31
2008-12-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	66.7	1719	1694	34.72%	27.41%	37.87%	-0.07	+0.1	31
2008-12-20	Hibernian	W 1-0	52.7	1884	1709	64.08%	20.15%	15.77%	+1.30	+2.2	43
2008-12-20	@ Rangers	L 0-1	52.7	1709	1884	15.77%	20.15%	64.08%	-1.30	-2.2	26
2008-12-20	Motherwell	W 2-0	56.0	1609	1659	34.19%	27.39%	38.42%	-0.09	+9.7	17
2008-12-20	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-2	56.0	1659	1609	38.42%	27.39%	34.19%	+0.09	-9.6	17
2008-12-20	St. Mirren	L 0-1	62.0	1654	1600	48.76%	25.91%	25.33%	+0.55	-6.1	22
2008-12-20	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	62.0	1600	1654	25.33%	25.91%	48.76%	-0.55	+6.1	21
2008-12-21	Celtic	L 0-3	48.0	1662	1892	16.77%	21.06%	62.17%	-1.19	-6.6	17
2008-12-21	@ Falkirk	W 3-0	48.0	1892	1662	62.17%	21.06%	16.77%	+1.19	+6.6	47
2008-12-27	Celtic	L 0-1	62.2	1887	1899	39.63%	27.33%	33.04%	+0.14	-5.2	43
2008-12-27	@ Rangers	W 1-0	62.2	1899	1887	33.04%	27.33%	39.63%	-0.14	+5.2	50
2008-12-27	Falkirk	W 1-0	56.0	1719	1655	50.02%	25.59%	24.39%	+0.60	+3.6	34
2008-12-27	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	56.0	1655	1719	24.39%	25.59%	50.02%	-0.60	-3.6	17
2008-12-27	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	57.1	1607	1618	39.62%	27.33%	33.05%	+0.14	+4.6	24
2008-12-27	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	57.1	1618	1607	33.05%	27.33%	39.62%	-0.14	-4.6	17
2008-12-27	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	58.2	1708	1694	43.30%	26.96%	29.74%	+0.30	+4.2	30
2008-12-27	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	58.2	1694	1708	29.74%	26.96%	43.30%	-0.30	-4.2	31
2008-12-27	Inverness CT	W 3-2	66.9	1649	1613	46.41%	26.43%	27.15%	+0.44	+3.5	20
2008-12-27	@ Motherwell	L 2-3	66.9	1613	1649	27.15%	26.43%	46.41%	-0.44	-3.5	17
2008-12-27	Kilmarnock	L 2-4	69.5	1706	1648	49.36%	25.76%	24.88%	+0.57	-9.0	26
2008-12-27	@ Hibernian	W 4-2	69.5	1648	1706	24.88%	25.76%	49.36%	-0.57	+9.0	25
2009-01-03	Aberdeen	W 2-0	58.6	1614	1713	28.06%	26.64%	45.30%	-0.39	+10.9	20
2009-01-03	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-2	58.6	1713	1614	45.30%	26.64%	28.06%	+0.39	-10.9	30
2009-01-03	Dundee United	D 2-2	80.9	1904	1722	64.73%	19.83%	15.43%	+1.33	-1.0	51
2009-01-03	@ Celtic	D 2-2	80.9	1722	1904	15.43%	19.83%	64.73%	-1.33	+1.0	35
2009-01-03	Hibernian	D 0-0	66.6	1690	1697	40.30%	27.28%	32.42%	+0.17	-0.2	32
2009-01-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	66.6	1697	1690	32.42%	27.28%	40.30%	-0.17	+0.2	27
2009-01-03	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	71.0	1652	1657	40.57%	27.26%	32.17%	+0.18	-0.2	18
2009-01-03	@ Falkirk	D 1-1	71.0	1657	1652	32.17%	27.26%	40.57%	-0.18	+0.2	26
2009-01-03	Motherwell	D 0-0	65.2	1611	1653	35.36%	27.43%	37.21%	-0.04	+0.1	25
2009-01-03	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	65.2	1653	1611	37.21%	27.43%	35.36%	+0.04	-0.0	21
2009-01-04	Rangers	L 0-3	46.4	1609	1881	14.29%	18.68%	67.03%	-1.45	-5.5	17
2009-01-04	@ Inverness CT	W 3-0	46.4	1881	1609	67.03%	18.68%	14.29%	+1.45	+5.5	46
2009-01-07	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	59.9	1653	1690	35.99%	27.44%	36.57%	-0.01	+4.9	24
2009-01-07	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	59.9	1690	1653	36.57%	27.44%	35.99%	+0.01	-4.9	32
2009-01-13	Aberdeen	L 1-2	65.7	1657	1702	34.96%	27.42%	37.61%	-0.06	-4.5	26
2009-01-13	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	65.7	1702	1657	37.61%	27.42%	34.96%	+0.06	+4.5	33
2009-01-17	Falkirk	W 3-1	53.2	1887	1652	70.63%	16.78%	12.58%	+1.66	+2.8	49
2009-01-17	@ Rangers	L 1-3	53.2	1652	1887	12.58%	16.78%	70.63%	-1.66	-2.8	18
2009-01-17	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	56.4	1653	1685	36.72%	27.44%	35.85%	+0.02	-9.3	26
2009-01-17	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	56.4	1685	1653	35.85%	27.44%	36.72%	-0.02	+9.3	35
2009-01-17	Inverness CT	W 1-0	55.8	1625	1604	44.27%	26.81%	28.91%	+0.35	+4.1	23
2009-01-17	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	55.8	1604	1625	28.91%	26.81%	44.27%	-0.35	-4.1	17
2009-01-17	St. Mirren	W 2-0	50.9	1697	1611	53.07%	24.69%	22.25%	+0.75	+6.1	30
2009-01-17	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	50.9	1611	1697	22.25%	24.69%	53.07%	-0.75	-6.1	25
2009-01-18	Celtic	W 4-2	72.3	1706	1903	19.05%	22.83%	58.12%	-0.99	+10.3	36
2009-01-18	@ Aberdeen	L 2-4	72.3	1903	1706	58.12%	22.83%	19.05%	+0.99	-10.3	51
2009-01-18	Motherwell	L 0-4	58.7	1723	1658	50.34%	25.50%	24.15%	+0.62	-22.5	35
2009-01-18	@ Dundee United	W 4-0	58.7	1658	1723	24.15%	25.50%	50.34%	-0.62	+22.5	27
2009-01-24	Falkirk	D 1-1	71.5	1680	1649	45.68%	26.57%	27.74%	+0.41	-0.5	28
2009-01-24	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	71.5	1649	1680	27.74%	26.57%	45.68%	-0.41	+0.5	19
2009-01-24	Hibernian	W 3-1	54.8	1892	1704	65.56%	19.42%	15.02%	+1.37	+3.5	54
2009-01-24	@ Celtic	L 1-3	54.8	1704	1892	15.02%	19.42%	65.56%	-1.37	-3.5	30
2009-01-24	Inverness CT	W 3-2	65.0	1694	1600	54.15%	24.32%	21.53%	+0.80	+2.8	38
2009-01-24	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	65.0	1600	1694	21.53%	24.32%	54.15%	-0.80	-2.8	17
2009-01-24	Rangers	D 0-0	68.4	1716	1890	20.85%	23.95%	55.20%	-0.85	+1.1	37
2009-01-24	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	68.4	1890	1716	55.20%	23.95%	20.85%	+0.85	-1.1	50
2009-01-24	St. Mirren	W 3-2	65.2	1701	1605	54.28%	24.28%	21.44%	+0.80	+2.8	38
2009-01-24	@ Dundee United	L 2-3	65.2	1605	1701	21.44%	24.28%	54.28%	-0.80	-2.8	25
2009-01-25	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	60.9	1643	1629	43.36%	26.95%	29.69%	+0.31	-5.6	26
2009-01-25	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	60.9	1629	1643	29.69%	26.95%	43.36%	-0.31	+5.6	26
2009-01-31	Aberdeen	W 1-0	61.4	1649	1718	31.77%	27.22%	41.01%	-0.20	+5.4	22
2009-01-31	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	61.4	1718	1649	41.01%	27.22%	31.77%	+0.20	-5.4	37
2009-01-31	Dundee United	W 2-0	48.9	1889	1704	65.14%	19.63%	15.23%	+1.35	+4.1	53
2009-01-31	@ Rangers	L 0-2	48.9	1704	1889	15.23%	19.63%	65.14%	-1.35	-4.1	38
2009-01-31	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	57.4	1634	1697	32.51%	27.29%	40.21%	-0.17	+10.0	29
2009-01-31	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-2	57.4	1697	1634	40.21%	27.29%	32.51%	+0.17	-10.0	38
2009-01-31	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	69.9	1602	1638	36.21%	27.44%	36.35%	+0.00	+0.0	26
2009-01-31	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	69.9	1638	1602	36.35%	27.44%	36.21%	+0.00	+0.0	27
2009-01-31	Motherwell	D 1-1	71.8	1700	1680	44.20%	26.83%	28.98%	+0.34	-0.4	31
2009-01-31	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	71.8	1680	1700	28.98%	26.83%	44.20%	-0.34	+0.4	29
2009-02-01	Celtic	D 0-0	70.2	1597	1896	12.90%	17.15%	69.95%	-1.62	+1.8	18
2009-02-01	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	70.2	1896	1597	69.95%	17.15%	12.90%	+1.62	-1.8	55
2009-02-14	Aberdeen	W 2-1	66.0	1687	1712	37.73%	27.42%	34.86%	+0.06	+4.5	41
2009-02-14	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	66.0	1712	1687	34.86%	27.42%	37.73%	-0.06	-4.5	37
2009-02-14	Falkirk	D 2-2	76.3	1602	1655	33.85%	27.38%	38.77%	-0.11	+0.1	27
2009-02-14	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	76.3	1655	1602	38.77%	27.38%	33.85%	+0.11	-0.1	23
2009-02-14	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	56.6	1680	1644	46.27%	26.46%	27.26%	+0.43	+3.9	32
2009-02-14	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	56.6	1644	1680	27.26%	26.46%	46.27%	-0.43	-3.9	29
2009-02-14	Hibernian	D 1-1	71.3	1638	1700	32.60%	27.30%	40.11%	-0.16	+0.2	28
2009-02-14	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	71.3	1700	1638	40.11%	27.30%	32.60%	+0.16	-0.2	32
2009-02-14	Inverness CT	D 1-1	71.8	1699	1599	54.94%	24.04%	21.01%	+0.83	-0.9	39
2009-02-14	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	71.8	1599	1699	21.01%	24.04%	54.94%	-0.83	+0.9	19
2009-02-15	Rangers	D 0-0	67.6	1894	1893	41.51%	27.17%	31.32%	+0.22	-0.3	56
2009-02-15	@ Celtic	D 0-0	67.6	1893	1894	31.32%	27.17%	41.51%	-0.22	+0.3	54
2009-02-21	Dundee United	D 2-2	78.0	1708	1698	42.61%	27.05%	30.34%	+0.27	-0.2	38
2009-02-21	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	78.0	1698	1708	30.34%	27.05%	42.61%	-0.27	+0.2	40
2009-02-21	Hamilton Academical	L 1-2	67.4	1655	1641	43.29%	26.96%	29.75%	+0.30	-5.3	23
2009-02-21	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	67.4	1641	1655	29.75%	26.96%	43.29%	-0.30	+5.3	32
2009-02-21	Hibernian	W 2-0	58.4	1600	1700	27.92%	26.61%	45.47%	-0.40	+11.0	22
2009-02-21	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	58.4	1700	1600	45.47%	26.61%	27.92%	+0.40	-11.0	32
2009-02-21	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	52.6	1893	1638	72.66%	15.68%	11.66%	+1.78	+2.5	57
2009-02-21	@ Rangers	L 1-3	52.6	1638	1893	11.66%	15.68%	72.66%	-1.78	-2.5	28
2009-02-21	St. Mirren	D 1-1	71.6	1692	1602	53.45%	24.56%	21.99%	+0.76	-0.9	42
2009-02-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.6	1602	1692	21.99%	24.56%	53.45%	-0.76	+0.9	28
2009-02-22	Celtic	D 1-1	74.1	1684	1894	18.10%	22.14%	59.76%	-1.07	+1.2	33
2009-02-22	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	74.1	1894	1684	59.76%	22.14%	18.10%	+1.07	-1.2	57
2009-02-28	Falkirk	D 0-0	66.4	1689	1649	46.78%	26.36%	26.86%	+0.46	-0.6	33
2009-02-28	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	66.4	1649	1689	26.86%	26.36%	46.78%	-0.46	+0.6	24
2009-02-28	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	62.0	1699	1691	42.44%	27.07%	30.49%	+0.27	-5.5	40
2009-02-28	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	62.0	1691	1699	30.49%	27.07%	42.44%	-0.27	+5.5	45
2009-02-28	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	66.8	1707	1636	51.19%	25.26%	23.55%	+0.66	-0.9	39
2009-02-28	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	66.8	1636	1707	23.55%	25.26%	51.19%	-0.66	+0.8	29
2009-02-28	Motherwell	L 1-2	63.7	1610	1685	30.95%	27.13%	41.92%	-0.24	-4.1	22
2009-02-28	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	63.7	1685	1610	41.92%	27.13%	30.95%	+0.24	+4.1	36
2009-02-28	Rangers	L 0-1	52.4	1646	1896	15.56%	19.96%	64.48%	-1.32	-2.2	32
2009-02-28	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	52.4	1896	1646	64.48%	19.96%	15.56%	+1.32	+2.2	60
2009-02-28	St. Mirren	W 7-0	45.9	1893	1603	76.02%	13.81%	10.17%	+1.99	+8.0	60
2009-02-28	@ Celtic	L 0-7	45.9	1603	1893	10.17%	13.81%	76.02%	-1.99	-8.0	28
2009-03-03	Aberdeen	D 1-1	71.2	1595	1707	26.66%	26.31%	47.03%	-0.47	+0.5	29
2009-03-03	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	71.2	1707	1595	47.03%	26.31%	26.66%	+0.47	-0.5	40
2009-03-03	Dundee United	L 0-1	59.5	1650	1693	35.12%	27.42%	37.45%	-0.05	-4.8	24
2009-03-03	@ Falkirk	W 1-0	59.5	1693	1650	37.45%	27.42%	35.12%	+0.05	+4.8	43
2009-03-04	Celtic	L 1-2	58.1	1636	1901	14.73%	19.14%	66.13%	-1.41	-1.9	29
2009-03-04	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	58.1	1901	1636	66.13%	19.14%	14.73%	+1.41	+2.0	63
2009-03-04	Hibernian	L 0-1	59.3	1644	1688	34.98%	27.42%	37.60%	-0.06	-4.8	32
2009-03-04	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	59.3	1688	1644	37.60%	27.42%	34.98%	+0.06	+4.8	36
2009-03-04	Inverness CT	L 0-1	68.7	1898	1606	76.20%	13.71%	10.09%	+2.00	-8.5	60
2009-03-04	@ Rangers	W 1-0	68.7	1606	1898	10.09%	13.71%	76.20%	-2.00	+8.5	25
2009-03-04	Motherwell	W 2-1	64.5	1696	1689	42.30%	27.08%	30.61%	+0.26	+4.1	48
2009-03-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	64.5	1689	1696	30.61%	27.08%	42.30%	-0.26	-4.1	36
2009-03-14	Dundee United	W 2-1	65.4	1685	1698	39.48%	27.34%	33.18%	+0.14	+4.3	39
2009-03-14	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	65.4	1698	1685	33.18%	27.34%	39.48%	-0.14	-4.3	43
2009-03-14	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	55.6	1706	1639	50.56%	25.44%	24.00%	+0.63	+3.5	43
2009-03-14	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	55.6	1639	1706	24.00%	25.44%	50.56%	-0.63	-3.5	32
2009-03-14	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	59.1	1693	1700	40.24%	27.29%	32.47%	+0.17	+4.5	39
2009-03-14	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	59.1	1700	1693	32.47%	27.29%	40.24%	-0.17	-4.5	48
2009-03-14	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	64.0	1615	1634	38.53%	27.39%	34.08%	+0.10	+4.4	28
2009-03-14	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	64.0	1634	1615	34.08%	27.39%	38.53%	-0.10	-4.4	29
2009-03-21	Aberdeen	D 0-0	66.7	1697	1710	39.56%	27.33%	33.11%	+0.14	-0.2	40
2009-03-21	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	66.7	1710	1697	33.11%	27.33%	39.56%	-0.14	+0.2	44
2009-03-21	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	81.1	1889	1696	66.08%	19.16%	14.76%	+1.40	-1.1	61
2009-03-21	@ Rangers	D 2-2	81.1	1696	1889	14.76%	19.16%	66.08%	-1.40	+1.1	49
2009-03-21	Inverness CT	W 4-0	51.2	1645	1619	44.93%	26.71%	28.36%	+0.37	+14.5	27
2009-03-21	@ Falkirk	L 0-4	51.2	1619	1645	28.36%	26.71%	44.93%	-0.37	-14.5	28
2009-03-21	Motherwell	D 0-0	65.9	1630	1689	32.91%	27.32%	39.77%	-0.15	+0.2	30
2009-03-21	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	65.9	1689	1630	39.77%	27.32%	32.91%	+0.15	-0.2	40
2009-03-21	St. Mirren	D 0-0	64.9	1635	1596	46.83%	26.35%	26.82%	+0.46	-0.6	33
2009-03-21	@ Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	64.9	1596	1635	26.82%	26.35%	46.83%	-0.46	+0.6	30
2009-03-22	Celtic	D 2-2	80.2	1694	1902	18.17%	22.19%	59.63%	-1.07	+0.9	44
2009-03-22	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	80.2	1902	1694	59.63%	22.19%	18.17%	+1.07	-0.9	64
2009-04-04	Aberdeen	D 1-1	71.8	1689	1710	38.39%	27.39%	34.22%	+0.09	-0.1	41
2009-04-04	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	71.8	1710	1689	34.22%	27.39%	38.39%	-0.09	+0.1	45
2009-04-04	Hamilton Academical	W 4-0	44.5	1902	1635	73.85%	15.02%	11.13%	+1.85	+5.2	67
2009-04-04	@ Celtic	L 0-4	44.5	1635	1902	11.13%	15.02%	73.85%	-1.85	-5.2	33
2009-04-04	Hibernian	D 2-2	77.9	1695	1697	40.95%	27.23%	31.82%	+0.20	-0.2	45
2009-04-04	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	77.9	1697	1695	31.82%	27.23%	40.95%	-0.20	+0.2	41
2009-04-04	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	58.0	1697	1630	50.49%	25.46%	24.05%	+0.62	+5.7	52
2009-04-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	58.0	1630	1697	24.05%	25.46%	50.49%	-0.62	-5.7	30
2009-04-04	St. Mirren	W 2-1	61.9	1605	1596	42.50%	27.06%	30.44%	+0.27	+4.0	31
2009-04-04	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	61.9	1596	1605	30.44%	27.06%	42.50%	-0.27	-4.0	30
2009-04-05	Rangers	L 0-1	53.2	1660	1888	16.86%	21.14%	62.00%	-1.19	-2.4	27
2009-04-05	@ Falkirk	W 1-0	53.2	1888	1660	62.00%	21.14%	16.86%	+1.19	+2.4	64
2009-04-08	Falkirk	W 4-0	45.1	1907	1657	72.12%	15.97%	11.90%	+1.75	+5.7	70
2009-04-08	@ Celtic	L 0-4	45.1	1657	1907	11.90%	15.97%	72.12%	-1.75	-5.7	27
2009-04-08	Rangers	L 1-2	56.8	1592	1891	12.95%	17.20%	69.86%	-1.61	-1.7	30
2009-04-08	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	56.8	1891	1592	69.86%	17.20%	12.95%	+1.61	+1.7	67
2009-04-11	Celtic	D 1-1	74.2	1703	1913	18.09%	22.13%	59.78%	-1.07	+1.2	53
2009-04-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	74.2	1913	1703	59.78%	22.13%	18.09%	+1.07	-1.2	71
2009-04-11	Dundee United	L 0-1	58.3	1629	1694	32.20%	27.26%	40.54%	-0.18	-4.5	33
2009-04-11	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	58.3	1694	1629	40.54%	27.26%	32.20%	+0.18	+4.5	48
2009-04-11	Falkirk	W 3-0	53.5	1624	1652	37.45%	27.42%	35.13%	+0.05	+13.1	33
2009-04-11	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-3	53.5	1652	1624	35.13%	27.42%	37.45%	-0.05	-13.1	27
2009-04-11	Inverness CT	W 1-0	54.0	1710	1609	54.96%	24.04%	21.00%	+0.84	+3.1	48
2009-04-11	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	54.0	1609	1710	21.00%	24.04%	54.96%	-0.84	-3.1	31
2009-04-11	Motherwell	W 3-1	54.3	1892	1689	67.16%	18.61%	14.23%	+1.46	+3.2	70
2009-04-11	@ Rangers	L 1-3	54.3	1689	1892	14.23%	18.61%	67.16%	-1.46	-3.2	41
2009-04-13	Hibernian	D 1-1	71.0	1591	1697	27.18%	26.44%	46.38%	-0.44	+0.5	31
2009-04-13	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	71.0	1697	1591	46.38%	26.44%	27.18%	+0.44	-0.5	42
2009-04-18	Aberdeen	W 2-0	48.5	1911	1713	66.64%	18.88%	14.48%	+1.43	+3.8	74
2009-04-18	@ Celtic	L 0-2	48.5	1713	1911	14.48%	18.88%	66.64%	-1.43	-3.8	48
2009-04-18	Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	69.8	1606	1625	38.57%	27.39%	34.04%	+0.10	-0.1	32
2009-04-18	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	69.8	1625	1606	34.04%	27.39%	38.57%	-0.10	+0.1	34
2009-04-18	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	66.2	1638	1704	32.14%	27.26%	40.61%	-0.19	+0.2	28
2009-04-18	@ Falkirk	D 0-0	66.2	1704	1638	40.61%	27.26%	32.14%	+0.19	-0.2	54
2009-04-18	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	66.6	1699	1638	49.77%	25.66%	24.57%	+0.59	-0.8	49
2009-04-18	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	66.6	1638	1699	24.57%	25.66%	49.77%	-0.59	+0.8	34
2009-04-18	St. Mirren	L 0-2	60.0	1686	1591	54.16%	24.32%	21.52%	+0.80	-12.6	41
2009-04-18	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	60.0	1591	1686	21.52%	24.32%	54.16%	-0.80	+12.5	34
2009-04-19	Rangers	L 2-3	65.5	1697	1895	18.89%	22.71%	58.40%	-1.00	-2.5	42
2009-04-19	@ Hibernian	W 3-2	65.5	1895	1697	58.40%	22.71%	18.89%	+1.00	+2.5	73

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2009-05-02	Celtic	L 1-3	56.7	1709	1915	18.36%	22.33%	59.30%	-1.05	-4.4	0
2009-05-02	@ Aberdeen	W 3-1	56.7	1915	1709	59.30%	22.33%	18.36%	+1.05	+4.4	3
2009-05-02	Dundee United	L 1-2	67.7	1694	1698	40.77%	27.24%	31.99%	+0.19	-5.0	0
2009-05-02	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	67.7	1698	1694	31.99%	27.24%	40.77%	-0.19	+5.1	3
2009-05-02	Inverness CT	L 1-2	65.3	1604	1606	41.03%	27.22%	31.75%	+0.20	-5.1	0
2009-05-02	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	65.3	1606	1604	31.75%	27.22%	41.03%	-0.20	+5.1	3
2009-05-02	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	64.0	1625	1638	39.43%	27.34%	33.23%	+0.13	+4.3	3
2009-05-02	@ Hamilton Academical	L 1-2	64.0	1638	1625	33.23%	27.34%	39.43%	-0.13	-4.3	0
2009-05-02	Motherwell	W 2-1	65.6	1639	1673	36.34%	27.44%	36.22%	+0.00	+4.6	3
2009-05-02	@ Falkirk	L 1-2	65.6	1673	1639	36.22%	27.44%	36.34%	+0.00	-4.6	0
2009-05-03	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	48.6	1898	1704	66.19%	19.11%	14.70%	+1.41	+3.9	3
2009-05-03	@ Rangers	L 0-2	48.6	1704	1898	14.70%	19.11%	66.19%	-1.41	-3.9	0
2009-05-07	Aberdeen	D 1-1	71.9	1703	1705	41.08%	27.21%	31.70%	+0.21	-0.2	4
2009-05-07	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	71.9	1705	1703	31.70%	27.21%	41.08%	-0.21	+0.2	1
2009-05-07	Hibernian	L 0-1	62.0	1700	1689	42.77%	27.03%	30.20%	+0.28	-5.5	0
2009-05-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	62.0	1689	1700	30.20%	27.03%	42.77%	-0.28	+5.5	3
2009-05-09	Celtic	W 1-0	60.5	1902	1920	38.78%	27.38%	33.84%	+0.11	+4.7	6
2009-05-09	@ Rangers	L 0-1	60.5	1920	1902	33.84%	27.38%	38.78%	-0.11	-4.7	3
2009-05-09	Falkirk	D 1-1	70.6	1634	1643	40.00%	27.30%	32.70%	+0.16	-0.2	1
2009-05-09	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	70.6	1643	1634	32.70%	27.30%	40.00%	-0.16	+0.2	4
2009-05-09	Motherwell	L 1-3	60.0	1599	1669	31.53%	27.19%	41.28%	-0.21	-7.2	0
2009-05-09	@ St. Mirren	W 3-1	60.0	1669	1599	41.28%	27.19%	31.53%	+0.21	+7.2	3
2009-05-10	Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	69.9	1611	1629	38.64%	27.38%	33.98%	+0.10	-0.1	4
2009-05-10	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	69.9	1629	1611	33.98%	27.38%	38.64%	-0.10	+0.1	4
2009-05-12	Dundee United	W 2-1	57.6	1915	1703	68.14%	18.10%	13.75%	+1.52	+1.8	6
2009-05-12	@ Celtic	L 1-2	57.6	1703	1915	13.75%	18.10%	68.14%	-1.52	-1.8	4
2009-05-12	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	66.8	1705	1694	42.85%	27.02%	30.13%	+0.28	-0.4	2
2009-05-12	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	66.8	1694	1705	30.13%	27.02%	42.85%	-0.28	+0.4	1
2009-05-13	Falkirk	L 0-1	59.9	1630	1643	39.34%	27.35%	33.31%	+0.13	-5.2	4
2009-05-13	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	59.9	1643	1630	33.31%	27.35%	39.34%	-0.13	+5.2	7
2009-05-13	Inverness CT	D 2-2	77.3	1676	1611	50.31%	25.51%	24.18%	+0.62	-0.5	4
2009-05-13	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	77.3	1611	1676	24.18%	25.51%	50.31%	-0.62	+0.5	5
2009-05-13	Rangers	D 1-1	74.2	1695	1906	17.98%	22.04%	59.98%	-1.08	+1.2	4
2009-05-13	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	74.2	1906	1695	59.98%	22.04%	17.98%	+1.08	-1.2	7
2009-05-13	St. Mirren	W 2-1	61.0	1634	1591	47.21%	26.27%	26.52%	+0.48	+3.6	4
2009-05-13	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	61.0	1591	1634	26.52%	26.27%	47.21%	-0.48	-3.6	0
2009-05-16	Aberdeen	W 2-1	58.0	1905	1705	66.89%	18.75%	14.36%	+1.45	+1.9	10
2009-05-16	@ Rangers	L 1-2	58.0	1705	1905	14.36%	18.75%	66.89%	-1.45	-1.9	2
2009-05-16	Dundee United	W 3-0	53.9	1694	1701	40.37%	27.28%	32.36%	+0.17	+12.3	4
2009-05-16	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	53.9	1701	1694	32.36%	27.28%	40.37%	-0.17	-12.3	4
2009-05-16	Inverness CT	W 1-0	55.9	1637	1611	45.00%	26.70%	28.31%	+0.38	+4.0	7
2009-05-16	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	55.9	1611	1637	28.31%	26.70%	45.00%	-0.38	-4.0	5
2009-05-16	Motherwell	L 0-3	53.5	1624	1675	34.05%	27.39%	38.56%	-0.10	-12.8	4
2009-05-16	@ Hamilton Academical	W 3-0	53.5	1675	1624	38.56%	27.39%	34.05%	+0.10	+12.8	7
2009-05-16	St. Mirren	L 0-2	58.4	1649	1588	49.70%	25.67%	24.62%	+0.59	-11.7	7
2009-05-16	@ Falkirk	W 2-0	58.4	1588	1649	24.62%	25.67%	49.70%	-0.59	+11.7	3
2009-05-17	Celtic	D 0-0	69.1	1696	1917	17.37%	21.56%	61.08%	-1.14	+1.4	5
2009-05-17	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	69.1	1917	1696	61.08%	21.56%	17.37%	+1.14	-1.4	7
2009-05-23	Falkirk	L 0-1	58.7	1607	1637	37.05%	27.43%	35.52%	+0.03	-5.0	5
2009-05-23	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	58.7	1637	1607	35.52%	27.43%	37.05%	-0.03	+5.0	10
2009-05-23	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	58.8	1600	1612	39.61%	27.33%	33.06%	+0.14	-5.2	3
2009-05-23	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	58.8	1612	1600	33.06%	27.33%	39.61%	-0.14	+5.2	7
2009-05-23	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	68.9	1688	1641	47.81%	26.14%	26.05%	+0.50	-5.7	7
2009-05-23	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	68.9	1641	1688	26.05%	26.14%	47.81%	-0.50	+5.7	10
2009-05-24	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	70.1	1915	1707	67.76%	18.30%	13.94%	+1.50	-1.7	8
2009-05-24	@ Celtic	D 0-0	70.1	1707	1915	13.94%	18.30%	67.76%	-1.50	+1.7	5
2009-05-24	Hibernian	W 2-1	64.7	1703	1697	42.07%	27.11%	30.82%	+0.25	+4.1	5
2009-05-24	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	64.7	1697	1703	30.82%	27.11%	42.07%	-0.25	-4.1	5
2009-05-24	Rangers	L 0-3	48.5	1689	1907	17.52%	21.68%	60.80%	-1.12	-6.9	4
2009-05-24	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	48.5	1907	1689	60.80%	21.68%	17.52%	+1.12	+6.9	13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2009-03-04	10.09%	Inverness CT	1606	1	@ Rangers	1898	0
2	2008-10-05	14.47%	@ St. Mirren	1599	1	Rangers	1868	0
3	2008-12-07	17.52%	@ Hibernian	1689	2	Celtic	1907	0
4	2008-11-29	18.88%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1686	2	Rangers	1885	1
5	2009-01-18	19.05%	@ Aberdeen	1706	4	Celtic	1903	2
6	2009-04-18	21.52%	St. Mirren	1591	2	@ Motherwell	1686	0
7	2008-12-06	22.16%	St. Mirren	1585	2	@ Falkirk	1672	1
8	2009-01-18	24.15%	Motherwell	1658	4	@ Dundee United	1723	0
9	2008-09-13	24.58%	St. Mirren	1596	2	@ Inverness CT	1658	1
10	2009-05-16	24.62%	St. Mirren	1588	2	@ Falkirk	1649	0
11	2008-12-27	24.88%	Kilmarnock	1648	4	@ Hibernian	1706	2
12	2008-12-20	25.33%	St. Mirren	1600	1	@ Kilmarnock	1654	0
13	2008-11-08	25.47%	Inverness CT	1637	2	@ Hibernian	1689	1
14	2008-08-09	25.82%	Inverness CT	1646	2	@ Aberdeen	1695	0
15	2009-05-23	26.05%	Kilmarnock	1641	2	@ Motherwell	1688	1
16	2008-09-13	26.59%	Hamilton Academical	1653	2	@ Aberdeen	1694	1
17	2008-10-18	27.87%	St. Mirren	1607	2	@ Hamilton Academical	1637	1
18	2008-08-30	27.88%	Kilmarnock	1659	2	@ Dundee United	1689	0
19	2009-02-21	27.92%	@ Inverness CT	1600	2	Hibernian	1700	0
20	2009-01-03	28.06%	@ Hamilton Academical	1614	2	Aberdeen	1713	0
21	2008-08-31	28.22%	Rangers	1847	4	@ Celtic	1874	2
22	2008-12-15	28.29%	Kilmarnock	1643	2	@ Motherwell	1670	0
23	2008-10-04	28.65%	Kilmarnock	1656	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1679	1
24	2008-11-22	29.53%	Inverness CT	1638	2	@ Kilmarnock	1653	1
25	2008-11-22	29.61%	Hibernian	1676	4	@ Motherwell	1691	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-01-18	22.51	Motherwell	4	1658	24.15%	@ Dundee United	0	1723	50.34%	25.50%
2	2009-03-21	14.50	@ Falkirk	4	1645	44.93%	Inverness CT	0	1619	28.36%	26.71%
3	2008-12-07	13.72	@ Hibernian	2	1689	17.52%	Celtic	0	1907	60.80%	21.68%
4	2009-04-11	13.12	@ Kilmarnock	3	1624	37.45%	Falkirk	0	1652	35.13%	27.42%
5	2008-11-22	12.96	Hibernian	4	1676	29.61%	@ Motherwell	1	1691	43.46%	26.94%
6	2009-05-16	12.82	Motherwell	3	1675	38.56%	@ Hamilton Academical	0	1624	34.05%	27.39%
7	2008-09-27	12.55	@ Dundee United	3	1679	39.58%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1692	33.09%	27.33%
8	2009-04-18	12.55	St. Mirren	2	1591	21.52%	@ Motherwell	0	1686	54.16%	24.32%
9	2009-05-16	12.34	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1694	40.37%	Dundee United	0	1701	32.36%	27.28%
10	2008-12-20	12.03	Aberdeen	3	1696	41.51%	@ Inverness CT	0	1625	31.32%	27.17%
11	2009-05-16	11.74	St. Mirren	2	1588	24.62%	@ Falkirk	0	1649	49.70%	25.67%
12	2008-08-09	11.45	Inverness CT	2	1646	25.82%	@ Aberdeen	0	1695	48.11%	26.07%
13	2008-08-30	10.97	Kilmarnock	2	1659	27.88%	@ Dundee United	0	1689	45.51%	26.60%
14	2009-02-21	10.96	@ Inverness CT	2	1600	27.92%	Hibernian	0	1700	45.47%	26.61%
15	2009-01-03	10.92	@ Hamilton Academical	2	1614	28.06%	Aberdeen	0	1713	45.30%	26.64%
16	2008-12-15	10.88	Kilmarnock	2	1643	28.29%	@ Motherwell	0	1670	45.02%	26.69%
17	2009-01-18	10.27	@ Aberdeen	4	1706	19.05%	Celtic	2	1903	58.12%	22.83%
18	2008-11-15	10.21	@ Kilmarnock	2	1643	31.39%	Dundee United	0	1714	41.43%	27.18%
19	2009-01-31	9.98	@ Hamilton Academical	2	1634	32.51%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1697	40.21%	27.29%
20	2008-09-27	9.79	@ Falkirk	4	1666	43.08%	Hamilton Academical	1	1653	29.93%	26.99%
21	2008-12-20	9.65	@ Hamilton Academical	2	1609	34.19%	Motherwell	0	1659	38.42%	27.39%
22	2008-12-13	9.47	@ St. Mirren	2	1591	35.14%	Inverness CT	0	1634	37.44%	27.42%
23	2009-01-17	9.33	Heart of Midlothian	2	1685	35.85%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1653	36.72%	27.44%
24	2008-11-09	9.19	Rangers	4	1872	60.40%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1657	17.74%	21.86%
25	2008-12-27	9.05	Kilmarnock	4	1648	24.88%	@ Hibernian	2	1706	49.36%	25.76%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2008-11-04	84.2	@ Rangers	3	1873	63.49%	Dundee United	3	1702	16.08%	20.44%
2	2009-03-21	81.1	@ Rangers	2	1889	66.08%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1696	14.76%	19.16%
3	2009-01-03	80.9	@ Celtic	2	1904	64.73%	Dundee United	2	1722	15.43%	19.83%
4	2009-03-22	80.2	@ Dundee United	2	1694	18.17%	Celtic	2	1902	59.63%	22.19%
5	2008-12-13	79.6	@ Dundee United	2	1718	21.34%	Rangers	2	1885	54.44%	24.22%
6	2009-02-21	78.0	@ Aberdeen	2	1708	42.61%	Dundee United	2	1698	30.34%	27.05%
7	2009-04-04	77.9	@ Dundee United	2	1695	40.95%	Hibernian	2	1697	31.82%	27.23%
8	2008-11-15	77.6	@ Hibernian	2	1676	39.52%	Aberdeen	2	1688	33.14%	27.34%
9	2009-05-13	77.3	@ Motherwell	2	1676	50.31%	Inverness CT	2	1611	24.18%	25.51%
10	2009-02-14	76.3	@ St. Mirren	2	1602	33.85%	Falkirk	2	1655	38.77%	27.38%
11	2008-12-13	75.1	@ Celtic	1	1893	66.87%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1693	14.37%	18.76%
12	2009-04-11	74.2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1703	18.09%	Celtic	1	1913	59.78%	22.13%
13	2009-05-13	74.2	@ Hibernian	1	1695	17.98%	Rangers	1	1906	59.98%	22.04%
14	2009-02-22	74.1	@ Motherwell	1	1684	18.10%	Celtic	1	1894	59.76%	22.14%
15	2008-08-17	73.6	@ Dundee United	1	1688	20.15%	Celtic	1	1870	56.31%	23.54%
16	2008-08-23	73.3	@ Aberdeen	1	1689	22.07%	Rangers	1	1848	53.33%	24.60%
17	2008-11-29	72.3	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1686	18.88%	Rangers	1	1885	58.42%	22.70%
18	2009-01-18	72.3	@ Aberdeen	4	1706	19.05%	Celtic	2	1903	58.12%	22.83%
19	2008-11-22	71.9	@ Dundee United	1	1704	53.34%	Hamilton Academical	1	1616	22.07%	24.60%
20	2009-05-07	71.9	@ Dundee United	1	1703	41.08%	Aberdeen	1	1705	31.70%	27.21%
21	2009-01-31	71.8	@ Hibernian	1	1700	44.20%	Motherwell	1	1680	28.98%	26.83%
22	2009-02-14	71.8	@ Dundee United	1	1699	54.94%	Inverness CT	1	1599	21.01%	24.04%
23	2009-04-04	71.8	@ Motherwell	1	1689	38.39%	Aberdeen	1	1710	34.22%	27.39%
24	2008-08-23	71.7	@ Motherwell	1	1686	40.99%	Dundee United	1	1689	31.79%	27.22%
25	2008-10-19	71.7	@ Hibernian	1	1693	44.03%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1674	29.12%	26.85%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-04-04	44.5	@ Celtic	4	1902	73.85%	Hamilton Academical	0	1635	11.13%	15.02%
2	2008-11-12	45.0	@ Celtic	3	1897	72.07%	Kilmarnock	0	1648	11.93%	16.00%
3	2009-04-08	45.1	@ Celtic	4	1907	72.12%	Falkirk	0	1657	11.90%	15.97%
4	2008-10-04	45.5	@ Celtic	4	1876	70.39%	Hamilton Academical	0	1644	12.70%	16.91%
5	2009-02-28	45.9	@ Celtic	7	1893	76.02%	St. Mirren	0	1603	10.17%	13.81%
6	2009-01-04	46.4	Rangers	3	1881	67.03%	@ Inverness CT	0	1609	14.29%	18.68%
7	2008-08-23	46.7	@ Celtic	3	1869	66.39%	Falkirk	0	1672	14.61%	19.01%
8	2008-11-01	46.7	@ Rangers	5	1865	68.98%	Inverness CT	0	1645	13.35%	17.66%
9	2008-12-06	47.6	@ Rangers	7	1878	72.86%	Hamilton Academical	1	1622	11.57%	15.57%
10	2008-12-21	48.0	Celtic	3	1892	62.17%	@ Falkirk	0	1662	16.77%	21.06%
11	2009-04-18	48.5	@ Celtic	2	1911	66.64%	Aberdeen	0	1713	14.48%	18.88%
12	2009-05-24	48.5	Rangers	3	1907	60.80%	@ Dundee United	0	1689	17.52%	21.68%
13	2008-11-08	48.6	@ Celtic	2	1893	66.20%	Motherwell	0	1698	14.70%	19.10%
14	2008-11-09	48.6	Rangers	4	1872	60.40%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1657	17.74%	21.86%
15	2008-11-22	48.6	@ Rangers	2	1881	66.01%	Aberdeen	0	1688	14.79%	19.20%
16	2009-05-03	48.6	@ Rangers	2	1898	66.19%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1704	14.70%	19.11%
17	2009-01-31	48.9	@ Rangers	2	1889	65.14%	Dundee United	0	1704	15.23%	19.63%
18	2008-08-10	49.5	@ Celtic	1	1868	73.46%	St. Mirren	0	1605	11.30%	15.24%
19	2008-08-16	49.8	@ Rangers	2	1843	61.53%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1689	17.12%	21.35%
20	2008-11-29	49.8	@ Celtic	1	1906	73.44%	Inverness CT	0	1643	11.31%	15.25%
21	2008-11-02	50.3	Celtic	2	1888	60.27%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1674	17.81%	21.91%
22	2008-09-28	50.5	Rangers	3	1860	53.90%	@ Hibernian	0	1697	21.69%	24.41%
23	2008-11-11	50.9	@ Aberdeen	2	1682	52.20%	St. Mirren	0	1602	22.84%	24.96%
24	2009-01-17	50.9	@ Hibernian	2	1697	53.07%	St. Mirren	0	1611	22.25%	24.69%
25	2008-12-13	51.0	@ Hibernian	2	1702	53.22%	Hamilton Academical	0	1615	22.14%	24.63%