2009-10 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

87 points · 53rd Title

Last Title: 2008-09

Relegated

Falkirk

31 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Celtic

6.64 points above expected

81 points · 74.36 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dundee United

2.98 points below expected

63 points · 65.98 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rangers	33	23	8	2	77	73	22	+51	69.35	+7.65
2	Celtic	33	20	6	7	66	62	35	+27	66.73	-0.73
3	Dundee United	33	16	11	6	59	51	39	+12	48.83	+10.17
4	Hibernian	33	14	8	11	50	47	43	+4	50.55	-0.55
5	Motherwell	33	12	12	9	48	39	38	+1	45.66	+2.34
6	Heart of Midlothian	33	12	8	13	44	32	39	-7	43.20	+0.80
7	St. Johnstone	33	11	8	14	41	50	54	-4	37.48	+3.52
8	Hamilton Academical	33	9	9	15	36	29	43	-14	33.32	+2.68
9	Aberdeen	33	8	10	15	34	31	46	-15	42.33	-8.33
10	Kilmarnock	33	7	8	18	29	26	44	-18	35.23	-6.23
11	St. Mirren	33	6	10	17	28	32	45	-13	35.05	-7.05
12	Falkirk	33	6	10	17	28	30	54	-24	34.21	-6.21

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rangers Champion	38	26	9	3	87	82	28	+54	87.38	-0.38
2	Celtic	38	25	6	7	81	75	39	+36	74.36	+6.64
3	Dundee United	38	17	12	9	63	55	47	+8	65.98	-2.98
4	Hibernian	38	15	9	14	54	58	55	+3	55.05	-1.05
5	Motherwell	38	13	14	11	53	52	54	-2	53.49	-0.49
6	Heart of Midlothian	38	13	9	16	48	35	46	-11	48.75	-0.75
7	Hamilton Academical	38	13	10	15	49	39	46	-7	48.26	+0.74
8	St. Johnstone	38	12	11	15	47	57	61	-4	44.47	+2.53
9	Aberdeen	38	10	11	17	41	36	52	-16	40.33	+0.67
10	St. Mirren	38	7	13	18	34	36	49	-13	35.60	-1.60
11	Kilmarnock	38	8	9	21	33	29	51	-22	34.14	-1.14
12	Falkirk Relegated	38	6	13	19	31	31	57	-26	33.85	-2.85

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Celtic	81	74.36	+6.64
2	St. Johnstone	47	44.47	+2.53
3	Hamilton Academical	49	48.26	+0.74
4	Aberdeen	41	40.33	+0.67
5	Rangers	87	87.38	-0.38

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dundee United	63	65.98	-2.98
2	Falkirk	31	33.85	-2.85
3	St. Mirren	34	35.60	-1.60
4	Kilmarnock	33	34.14	-1.14
5	Hibernian	54	55.05	-1.05

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	8	Mar 27 – May 9	1 in 230
2	Kilmarnock	3	Feb 2 – Feb 13	1 in 80
3	Hamilton Academical	4	Apr 10 – May 1	1 in 49
4	Dundee United	3	Oct 24 – Nov 22	1 in 37
5	Heart of Midlothian	3	Dec 20 – Dec 30	1 in 37

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hibernian	6	Mar 31 – May 1	1 in 214
2	Motherwell	5	Dec 5 – Dec 30	1 in 60
3	Kilmarnock	5	Feb 27 – Mar 27	1 in 21
4	Aberdeen	3	Dec 5 – Dec 19	1 in 19
5	Heart of Midlothian	3	Jan 27 – Feb 10	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	12	Jan 16 – Mar 13	1 in 79
2	Hibernian	12	Sep 19 – Dec 19	1 in 74
3	Heart of Midlothian	7	Dec 12 – Jan 23	1 in 71
4	Kilmarnock	6	Jan 26 – Feb 20	1 in 38
5	Dundee United	9	Sep 26 – Dec 12	1 in 37

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aberdeen	9	Jan 30 – Mar 20	1 in 44
2	Falkirk	11	Aug 15 – Nov 8	1 in 33
3	Motherwell	8	Nov 7 – Dec 30	1 in 25
4	St. Mirren	11	Jan 16 – Mar 13	1 in 19
5	Heart of Midlothian	6	Oct 3 – Nov 21	1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Rangers	1897	87	+2	10	10.2	-0.2
Celtic	1843	81	+51	15	8.7	+6.3
Dundee United	1687	63	-38	4	7.1	-3.1
Hibernian	1635	54	+6	4	4.9	-0.9
Motherwell	1649	53	-5	5	5.5	-0.5
Hamilton Academical	1634	49	+49	13	7.5	+5.5
Heart of Midlothian	1603	48	-15	4	4.7	-0.7
St. Johnstone	1631	47	-7	6	8.6	-2.6
Aberdeen	1544	41	-4	7	6.5	+0.5
St. Mirren	1558	34	-2	6	6.7	-0.7
Kilmarnock	1515	33	-23	4	5.7	-1.7
Falkirk	1514	31	-13	3	5.7	-2.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DU	FAL	HA	HOM	HIB	KIL	MOT	RAN	SJ	SM
Aberdeen	—	0-1-2 2.41	1-1-1 3.67	1-1-2 6.56	1-1-2 6.04	1-1-1 4.16	0-1-2 3.07	1-1-2 6.41	0-2-1 4.26	1-1-1 1.97	1-1-2 5.01	3-0-1 5.87
Celtic	2-1-0 5.80	—	2-1-1 7.30	1-2-0 6.71	3-0-0 6.66	3-0-1 8.32	3-0-1 7.46	2-0-1 6.66	3-1-0 7.94	1-1-2 4.59	3-0-0 6.42	2-0-1 6.58
Dundee United	1-1-1 4.47	1-1-2 3.63	—	3-0-0 5.36	1-1-1 5.58	2-2-0 6.33	2-1-1 5.62	1-2-0 5.30	2-1-1 5.83	0-1-3 3.30	2-1-0 5.03	2-1-0 5.20
Falkirk	2-1-1 4.30	0-2-1 1.65	0-0-3 2.81	—	1-2-1 4.97	0-1-2 3.11	0-0-3 2.99	1-2-1 5.20	1-1-1 2.74	0-0-3 1.64	0-2-2 4.22	1-2-1 5.19
Hamilton Academical	2-1-1 4.81	0-0-3 1.69	1-1-1 2.62	1-2-1 5.87	—	1-0-2 3.12	2-0-1 2.87	2-1-1 5.55	0-2-1 2.85	0-0-3 1.39	2-1-1 5.00	2-2-0 5.46
Heart of Midlothian	1-1-1 3.98	1-0-3 2.71	0-2-2 4.52	2-1-0 5.04	2-0-1 5.03	—	2-2-0 4.49	3-0-0 4.72	1-0-3 5.03	0-1-3 2.44	0-1-2 4.53	1-1-1 4.67
Hibernian	2-1-0 5.09	1-0-3 3.46	1-1-2 5.24	3-0-0 5.18	1-0-2 5.31	0-2-2 6.36	—	2-1-0 5.45	2-1-1 5.16	0-1-3 3.02	1-1-1 5.22	2-1-0 5.57
Kilmarnock	2-1-1 4.44	1-0-2 1.69	0-2-1 2.88	1-2-1 5.63	1-1-2 5.29	0-0-3 3.42	0-1-2 2.73	—	0-0-3 3.32	0-1-2 1.73	3-0-1 5.14	0-1-3 5.61
Motherwell	1-2-0 3.87	0-1-3 3.04	1-1-2 5.01	1-1-1 5.45	1-2-0 5.32	3-0-1 5.82	1-1-2 5.68	3-0-0 4.83	—	0-3-1 2.71	1-1-1 4.66	1-2-0 5.04
Rangers	1-1-1 6.34	2-1-1 6.26	3-1-0 7.65	3-0-0 6.74	3-0-0 7.04	3-1-0 8.67	3-1-0 7.97	2-1-0 6.62	1-3-0 8.33	—	2-0-1 6.65	3-0-0 7.10
St. Johnstone	2-1-1 5.85	0-0-3 1.88	0-1-2 3.12	2-2-0 6.64	1-1-2 5.84	2-1-0 3.60	1-1-1 2.94	1-0-3 5.71	1-1-1 3.47	1-0-2 1.69	—	1-3-0 5.88
St. Mirren	1-0-3 4.98	1-0-2 1.75	0-1-2 2.97	1-2-1 5.64	0-2-2 5.39	1-1-1 3.46	0-1-2 2.63	3-1-0 5.24	0-2-1 3.11	0-0-3 1.34	0-3-1 4.97	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.87	+9.6
Allowed	0.58	-15.5
Differential	0.95	+7.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.09%	10.09%	5.48%	3.73%	0.44%	—	29.82%
1	10.09%	10.96%	7.89%	3.73%	1.75%	0.88%	35.31%
2	5.48%	7.89%	3.51%	1.75%	0.22%	0.22%	19.08%
3	3.73%	3.73%	1.75%	1.75%	—	—	10.96%
4	0.44%	1.75%	0.22%	—	0.88%	—	3.29%
5+	—	0.88%	0.22%	—	—	0.44%	1.54%
Total	29.82%	35.31%	19.08%	10.96%	3.29%	1.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.28	+0.00
SD	1.22	1.22	1.65
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
1	15.79%	13.16%	5.26%	13.16%	—	—	47.37%
2	—	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
3	5.26%	—	—	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	28.95%	21.05%	18.42%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	1.37	-0.42
SD	0.96	1.17	1.46
CV	1.01	0.86	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	2.63%	—	10.53%
1	10.53%	7.89%	10.53%	—	—	—	28.95%
2	13.16%	13.16%	—	—	—	—	26.32%
3	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
4	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	36.84%	36.84%	18.42%	2.63%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.97	1.03	+0.95
SD	1.24	1.08	1.58
CV	0.63	1.05	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
1	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	23.68%
2	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	5.26%	—	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.84%	26.32%	26.32%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.24	+0.21
SD	1.31	1.42	1.74
CV	0.90	1.15	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.42%	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	42.11%
1	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	13.16%	5.26%	—	39.47%
2	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
3	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	31.58%	13.16%	23.68%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.82	1.50	-0.68
SD	0.87	1.27	1.34
CV	1.06	0.85	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	42.11%
1	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	2.63%	26.32%
2	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	34.21%	23.68%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.21	-0.18
SD	1.10	1.19	1.69
CV	1.07	0.98	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
1	15.79%	10.53%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	—	47.37%
2	2.63%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	31.58%	31.58%	5.26%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.21	-0.29
SD	0.78	1.02	1.27
CV	0.85	0.84	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
1	5.26%	15.79%	5.26%	—	5.26%	2.63%	34.21%
2	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	28.95%
3	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%	5.26%
Total	23.68%	47.37%	10.53%	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.45	+0.08
SD	1.33	1.48	1.81
CV	0.87	1.02	—
Max	6	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	21.05%	5.26%	10.53%	—	—	50.00%
1	7.89%	7.89%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
2	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
3	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	34.21%	21.05%	15.79%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.76	1.34	-0.58
SD	1.00	1.12	1.39
CV	1.31	0.84	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	28.95%
1	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	31.58%
2	5.26%	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	21.05%
3	5.26%	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	—	15.79%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%	2.63%
Total	42.11%	18.42%	13.16%	18.42%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.42	-0.05
SD	1.30	1.65	1.71
CV	0.95	1.16	—
Max	6	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
1	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	26.32%
2	7.89%	13.16%	—	—	—	—	21.05%
3	13.16%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
4	—	10.53%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	42.11%	50.00%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.16	0.74	+1.42
SD	1.60	0.86	1.72
CV	0.74	1.17	—
Max	7	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	—	7.89%	—	—	18.42%
1	7.89%	15.79%	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	36.84%
2	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	7.89%	—	2.63%	28.95%
3	—	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	13.16%	44.74%	18.42%	18.42%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.61	-0.11
SD	1.16	1.17	1.66
CV	0.77	0.73	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	13.16%	10.53%	—	—	—	34.21%
1	7.89%	18.42%	15.79%	5.26%	—	—	47.37%
2	—	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
3	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	39.47%	28.95%	10.53%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	1.29	-0.34
SD	0.96	0.93	1.24
CV	1.01	0.72	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rangers	1897	87	69.35	+17.65	90.0%	49	57	65	70	73	80	87
Celtic	1843	81	66.73	+14.27	50.0%	54	55	62	66	72	77	82
Dundee United	1687	63	48.83	+14.17	94.0%	33	36	43	49	54	60	66
Motherwell	1649	53	45.66	+7.34	66.0%	26	33	40	45	51	59	67
Hibernian	1635	54	50.55	+3.45	47.0%	31	38	46	51	55	63	68
Hamilton Academical	1634	49	33.32	+15.68	61.0%	12	21	28	33	38	46	52
St. Johnstone	1631	47	37.48	+9.52	77.0%	21	26	33	37	41	48	53
Heart of Midlothian	1603	48	43.20	+4.80	62.0%	27	34	39	43	47	55	59
St. Mirren	1558	34	35.05	-1.05	15.0%	18	23	31	35	39	44	50
Aberdeen	1544	41	42.33	-1.33	16.0%	24	30	38	42	48	53	58
Kilmarnock	1515	33	35.23	-2.23	18.0%	18	24	31	35	40	47	54
Falkirk	1514	31	34.21	-3.21	25.0%	20	23	28	34	39	48	53

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+10.09%

No Edge

41.23%27.63%31.14%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 35.17 Elo pts.

199 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.25 goals

Neutral

-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.0

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

61%

Rangers, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.16/gm

Comfortable

00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.69 * Some Luck: 5.69 to 8.54 * Lucky: 8.54 to 11.39 * Wild Swing: 11.39 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.3 * Close: 1.3 to 1.96 * Off: 1.96 to 2.61 * Way Off: 2.61 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.68 * A Surprise: 0.68 to 1.09 * Several Surprises: 1.09 to 1.5 * Many Surprises: 1.5 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.66 points

As Expected

07.1218

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.634

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

94.00%

Dundee United

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

15.00%

St. Mirren

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

0 of 1

As Expected

00.71

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Top-Heavy

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 111.76

2.23

Strong Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

66%

Slight Edge

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

89%

Even

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

67%

Very Frequent

0%64%100%

Blowouts

Expected

14%

Rare

0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.36

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.64

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.61

Some Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

16%

Solid Favorites

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.67

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.13

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.056

Well Within Noise

00.1190.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Rangers	61.00%	33.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	37.00%	55.00%	6.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee United	1.00%	3.00%	30.00%	22.00%	10.00%	12.00%	10.00%	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	—
Hibernian	—	5.00%	33.00%	25.00%	13.00%	12.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Motherwell	1.00%	2.00%	13.00%	16.00%	15.00%	19.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Heart of Midlothian	—	1.00%	6.00%	10.00%	17.00%	16.00%	19.00%	13.00%	9.00%	4.00%	5.00%	—
Hamilton Academical	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	8.00%	12.00%	8.00%	14.00%	19.00%	27.00%
St. Johnstone	—	—	—	4.00%	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	20.00%	16.00%	10.00%	17.00%	7.00%
Aberdeen	—	1.00%	4.00%	12.00%	20.00%	11.00%	17.00%	4.00%	13.00%	11.00%	4.00%	3.00%
St. Mirren	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	9.00%	12.00%	11.00%	15.00%	17.00%	18.00%	15.00%
Kilmarnock	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	15.00%	14.00%	15.00%	15.00%	20.00%
Falkirk	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	2.00%	4.00%	11.00%	12.00%	18.00%	16.00%	27.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Rangers	99.95%	0.05%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	0.05%	97.38%	2.57%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee United	—	2.57%	96.86%	0.57%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	—	—	0.47%	64.15%	31.62%	3.76%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	—	0.10%	32.33%	56.24%	11.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	—	2.95%	12.14%	84.91%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hamilton Academical	—	—	—	—	—	—	79.19%	18.67%	2.09%	0.05%	—	—
St. Johnstone	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.64%	64.22%	14.66%	2.20%	0.26%	0.02%
Aberdeen	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.14%	14.98%	61.44%	15.88%	4.86%	0.70%
St. Mirren	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.02%	1.25%	11.52%	40.43%	29.02%	17.76%
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.40%	5.54%	22.85%	35.35%	35.86%
Falkirk	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.48%	4.75%	18.59%	30.51%	45.66%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Celtic	100%	—
Dundee United	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	99.00%	1.00%
Hibernian	99.00%	1.00%
Motherwell	99.00%	1.00%
Aberdeen	96.00%	4.00%
St. Johnstone	93.00%	7.00%
St. Mirren	90.00%	10.00%
Kilmarnock	80.00%	20.00%
Hamilton Academical	76.00%	24.00%
Falkirk	68.00%	32.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Celtic	100%	—
Dundee United	100%	—
Hamilton Academical	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Hibernian	100%	—
Motherwell	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
St. Johnstone	99.98%	0.02%
Aberdeen	99.30%	0.70%
St. Mirren	82.24%	17.76%
Kilmarnock	64.14%	35.86%
Falkirk	54.34%	45.66%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2009-08-15	Celtic	L 1-3	58.6	1647	1789	22.37%	27.87%	49.76%	-0.54	-10.5	0
2009-08-15	@ Aberdeen	W 3-1	58.6	1789	1647	49.76%	27.87%	22.37%	+0.54	+10.5	3
2009-08-15	Falkirk	W 4-1	51.6	1788	1602	62.55%	23.73%	13.72%	+1.12	+9.2	3
2009-08-15	@ Rangers	L 1-4	51.6	1602	1788	13.72%	23.73%	62.55%	-1.12	-9.2	0
2009-08-15	Hamilton Academical	W 3-0	49.8	1605	1585	43.17%	28.91%	27.92%	+0.28	+21.1	3
2009-08-15	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-3	49.8	1585	1605	27.92%	28.91%	43.17%	-0.28	-21.1	0
2009-08-15	Motherwell	D 2-2	74.5	1578	1630	33.04%	29.28%	37.68%	-0.08	+0.2	1
2009-08-15	@ St. Johnstone	D 2-2	74.5	1630	1578	37.68%	29.28%	33.04%	+0.08	-0.2	1
2009-08-15	St. Mirren	W 2-1	59.9	1638	1571	49.14%	27.99%	22.87%	+0.51	+6.2	3
2009-08-15	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	59.9	1571	1638	22.87%	27.99%	49.14%	-0.51	-6.2	0
2009-08-17	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	55.1	1629	1647	37.83%	29.27%	32.90%	+0.09	+16.4	3
2009-08-17	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	55.1	1647	1629	32.90%	29.27%	37.83%	-0.09	-16.4	0
2009-08-22	Aberdeen	L 0-3	50.7	1564	1636	30.23%	29.13%	40.64%	-0.19	-22.4	0
2009-08-22	@ Hamilton Academical	W 3-0	50.7	1636	1564	40.64%	29.13%	30.23%	+0.19	+22.4	3
2009-08-22	Dundee United	D 0-0	64.2	1565	1645	29.22%	29.04%	41.74%	-0.23	+0.7	1
2009-08-22	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	64.2	1645	1565	41.74%	29.04%	29.22%	+0.23	-0.7	4
2009-08-22	Hibernian	L 1-3	60.1	1593	1644	33.08%	29.28%	37.64%	-0.08	-14.3	0
2009-08-22	@ Falkirk	W 3-1	60.1	1644	1593	37.64%	29.28%	33.08%	+0.08	+14.3	6
2009-08-22	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	59.5	1630	1627	40.77%	29.12%	30.11%	+0.19	+13.3	4
2009-08-22	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	59.5	1627	1630	30.11%	29.12%	40.77%	-0.19	-13.3	3
2009-08-22	St. Johnstone	W 5-2	53.0	1799	1579	65.90%	22.19%	11.91%	+1.29	+6.8	6
2009-08-22	@ Celtic	L 2-5	53.0	1579	1799	11.91%	22.19%	65.90%	-1.29	-6.8	1
2009-08-23	Rangers	L 1-2	61.5	1630	1798	20.06%	27.14%	52.80%	-0.67	-5.5	0
2009-08-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	61.5	1798	1630	52.80%	27.14%	20.06%	+0.67	+5.5	6
2009-08-29	Falkirk	W 2-1	60.2	1645	1578	49.06%	28.01%	22.93%	+0.51	+6.2	7
2009-08-29	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	60.2	1578	1645	22.93%	28.01%	49.06%	-0.51	-6.2	0
2009-08-29	Hamilton Academical	W 4-1	49.1	1803	1541	69.70%	20.25%	10.06%	+1.50	+6.5	9
2009-08-29	@ Rangers	L 1-4	49.1	1541	1803	10.06%	20.25%	69.70%	-1.50	-6.5	0
2009-08-29	Motherwell	D 0-0	65.8	1659	1643	42.44%	28.98%	28.58%	+0.25	-0.8	4
2009-08-29	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	65.8	1643	1659	28.58%	28.98%	42.44%	-0.25	+0.8	5
2009-08-29	St. Mirren	L 1-2	66.5	1613	1565	46.73%	28.43%	24.84%	+0.42	-10.7	3
2009-08-29	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	66.5	1565	1613	24.84%	28.43%	46.73%	-0.42	+10.7	4
2009-08-30	Celtic	L 0-1	56.8	1658	1806	21.81%	27.71%	50.48%	-0.57	-6.3	6
2009-08-30	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	56.8	1806	1658	50.48%	27.71%	21.81%	+0.57	+6.3	9
2009-08-30	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	74.2	1572	1625	32.85%	29.27%	37.88%	-0.09	+0.2	2
2009-08-30	@ St. Johnstone	D 2-2	74.2	1625	1572	37.88%	29.27%	32.85%	+0.09	-0.2	1
2009-09-12	Dundee United	D 1-1	73.1	1813	1651	60.00%	24.78%	15.22%	+0.99	-2.4	10
2009-09-12	@ Celtic	D 1-1	73.1	1651	1813	15.22%	24.78%	60.00%	-0.99	+2.4	8
2009-09-12	Rangers	D 0-0	67.6	1644	1810	20.20%	27.20%	52.60%	-0.66	+1.9	6
2009-09-12	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	67.6	1810	1644	52.60%	27.20%	20.20%	+0.66	-1.9	10
2009-09-12	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	67.4	1576	1572	40.88%	29.11%	30.01%	+0.20	-0.5	5
2009-09-12	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	67.4	1572	1576	30.01%	29.11%	40.88%	-0.20	+0.5	3
2009-09-13	Hibernian	W 2-0	57.2	1535	1652	24.94%	28.45%	46.61%	-0.41	+21.3	3
2009-09-13	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-2	57.2	1652	1535	46.61%	28.45%	24.94%	+0.41	-21.3	6
2009-09-14	Aberdeen	D 0-0	64.6	1572	1658	28.59%	28.98%	42.42%	-0.25	+0.8	1
2009-09-14	@ Falkirk	D 0-0	64.6	1658	1572	42.42%	28.98%	28.59%	+0.25	-0.8	5
2009-09-15	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	56.5	1625	1603	43.32%	28.89%	27.79%	+0.29	+7.7	4
2009-09-15	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	56.5	1603	1625	27.79%	28.89%	43.32%	-0.29	-7.7	3
2009-09-19	Falkirk	D 0-0	62.1	1556	1573	37.94%	29.27%	32.79%	+0.09	-0.3	4
2009-09-19	@ Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	62.1	1573	1556	32.79%	29.27%	37.94%	-0.09	+0.3	2
2009-09-19	Motherwell	L 0-1	61.7	1653	1646	41.35%	29.08%	29.58%	+0.21	-10.3	8
2009-09-19	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	61.7	1646	1653	29.58%	29.08%	41.35%	-0.21	+10.3	9
2009-09-19	Rangers	D 0-0	67.8	1595	1808	16.51%	25.55%	57.94%	-0.89	+2.5	4
2009-09-19	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	67.8	1808	1595	57.94%	25.55%	16.51%	+0.89	-2.5	11
2009-09-19	St. Johnstone	W 3-0	48.6	1631	1573	48.03%	28.21%	23.76%	+0.47	+18.5	9
2009-09-19	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	48.6	1573	1631	23.76%	28.21%	48.03%	-0.47	-18.5	3
2009-09-19	St. Mirren	W 1-0	54.3	1657	1576	50.95%	27.60%	21.45%	+0.59	+6.2	8
2009-09-19	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	54.3	1576	1657	21.45%	27.60%	50.95%	-0.59	-6.2	5
2009-09-20	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	58.9	1810	1632	61.67%	24.10%	14.23%	+1.07	+3.9	13
2009-09-20	@ Celtic	L 1-2	58.9	1632	1810	14.23%	24.10%	61.67%	-1.07	-3.9	4
2009-09-26	Aberdeen	D 0-0	68.1	1805	1663	57.88%	25.57%	16.55%	+0.89	-2.5	12
2009-09-26	@ Rangers	D 0-0	68.1	1663	1805	16.55%	25.57%	57.88%	-0.89	+2.5	9
2009-09-26	Celtic	L 0-2	49.2	1569	1814	14.43%	24.25%	61.31%	-1.06	-8.0	5
2009-09-26	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	49.2	1814	1569	61.31%	24.25%	14.43%	+1.06	+8.0	16
2009-09-26	Dundee United	L 2-3	66.4	1554	1643	28.19%	28.94%	42.87%	-0.27	-6.9	3
2009-09-26	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-2	66.4	1643	1554	42.87%	28.94%	28.19%	+0.27	+6.9	11
2009-09-26	Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	59.1	1628	1556	49.86%	27.85%	22.30%	+0.54	+6.0	7
2009-09-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	59.1	1556	1628	22.30%	27.85%	49.86%	-0.54	-6.0	4
2009-09-26	Hibernian	L 1-3	63.5	1656	1649	41.28%	29.08%	29.64%	+0.21	-16.8	9
2009-09-26	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	63.5	1649	1656	29.64%	29.08%	41.28%	-0.21	+16.8	12
2009-09-26	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	63.2	1573	1597	36.92%	29.30%	33.79%	+0.06	-0.2	3
2009-09-26	@ Falkirk	D 0-0	63.2	1597	1573	33.79%	29.30%	36.92%	-0.06	+0.2	5
2009-10-03	Aberdeen	D 1-1	69.9	1598	1666	30.81%	29.17%	40.02%	-0.17	+0.5	6
2009-10-03	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	69.9	1666	1598	40.02%	29.17%	30.81%	+0.17	-0.5	10
2009-10-03	Dundee United	D 1-1	70.7	1666	1650	42.52%	28.97%	28.51%	+0.26	-0.7	13
2009-10-03	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	70.7	1650	1666	28.51%	28.97%	42.52%	-0.26	+0.7	12
2009-10-03	Falkirk	W 1-0	54.4	1639	1573	49.06%	28.01%	22.93%	+0.51	+6.6	12
2009-10-03	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	54.4	1573	1639	22.93%	28.01%	49.06%	-0.51	-6.6	3
2009-10-03	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	65.3	1561	1634	30.18%	29.13%	40.69%	-0.19	+9.6	8
2009-10-03	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	65.3	1634	1561	40.69%	29.13%	30.18%	+0.19	-9.6	7
2009-10-03	St. Johnstone	L 0-2	53.1	1550	1547	40.67%	29.13%	30.20%	+0.19	-19.2	4
2009-10-03	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	53.1	1547	1550	30.20%	29.13%	40.67%	-0.19	+19.2	6
2009-10-04	Celtic	W 2-1	66.6	1803	1822	37.62%	29.28%	33.10%	+0.08	+8.2	15
2009-10-04	@ Rangers	L 1-2	66.6	1822	1803	33.10%	29.28%	37.62%	-0.08	-8.2	16
2009-10-17	Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	69.1	1651	1530	55.46%	26.38%	18.16%	+0.78	-2.0	13
2009-10-17	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	69.1	1530	1651	18.16%	26.38%	55.46%	-0.78	+2.0	5
2009-10-17	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	70.5	1665	1625	45.78%	28.58%	25.64%	+0.38	-1.0	11
2009-10-17	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	70.5	1625	1665	25.64%	28.58%	45.78%	-0.38	+1.0	8
2009-10-17	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	55.3	1665	1598	49.18%	27.99%	22.84%	+0.52	+6.5	16
2009-10-17	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	55.3	1598	1665	22.84%	27.99%	49.18%	-0.52	-6.5	6
2009-10-17	Motherwell	D 0-0	68.4	1814	1646	60.64%	24.53%	14.83%	+1.02	-2.8	17
2009-10-17	@ Celtic	D 0-0	68.4	1646	1814	14.83%	24.53%	60.64%	-1.02	+2.8	13
2009-10-17	Rangers	L 1-2	58.6	1566	1811	14.43%	24.25%	61.32%	-1.06	-4.0	6
2009-10-17	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	58.6	1811	1566	61.32%	24.25%	14.43%	+1.06	+4.0	18
2009-10-17	St. Mirren	L 1-3	59.7	1566	1571	39.70%	29.19%	31.11%	+0.15	-16.3	3
2009-10-17	@ Falkirk	W 3-1	59.7	1571	1566	31.11%	29.19%	39.70%	-0.15	+16.3	11
2009-10-24	Dundee United	L 0-2	58.3	1664	1649	42.47%	28.98%	28.55%	+0.26	-19.8	11
2009-10-24	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	58.3	1649	1664	28.55%	28.98%	42.47%	-0.26	+19.8	16
2009-10-24	Falkirk	D 0-0	63.8	1626	1550	50.22%	27.77%	22.01%	+0.56	-1.6	9
2009-10-24	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	63.8	1550	1626	22.01%	27.77%	50.22%	-0.56	+1.6	4
2009-10-24	Hibernian	D 1-1	73.0	1815	1672	58.02%	25.52%	16.46%	+0.90	-2.2	19
2009-10-24	@ Rangers	D 1-1	73.0	1672	1815	16.46%	25.52%	58.02%	-0.90	+2.2	17
2009-10-24	Motherwell	D 3-3	78.7	1587	1649	31.70%	29.22%	39.08%	-0.13	+0.2	12
2009-10-24	@ St. Mirren	D 3-3	78.7	1649	1587	39.08%	29.22%	31.70%	+0.13	-0.2	14
2009-10-24	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	60.0	1591	1562	44.29%	28.78%	26.93%	+0.32	+7.1	9
2009-10-24	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	60.0	1562	1591	26.93%	28.78%	44.29%	-0.32	-7.0	6
2009-10-25	Celtic	L 1-2	57.3	1532	1811	12.55%	22.76%	64.69%	-1.23	-3.4	5
2009-10-25	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	57.3	1811	1532	64.69%	22.76%	12.55%	+1.23	+3.4	20
2009-10-31	Aberdeen	W 2-0	53.7	1674	1644	44.33%	28.77%	26.90%	+0.33	+14.1	20
2009-10-31	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	53.7	1644	1674	26.90%	28.77%	44.33%	-0.33	-14.1	11
2009-10-31	Falkirk	W 3-1	55.8	1555	1552	40.78%	29.12%	30.10%	+0.19	+13.3	9
2009-10-31	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-3	55.8	1552	1555	30.10%	29.12%	40.78%	-0.19	-13.3	4
2009-10-31	Hamilton Academical	L 0-2	55.6	1587	1529	48.07%	28.20%	23.73%	+0.47	-21.8	12
2009-10-31	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	55.6	1529	1587	23.73%	28.20%	48.07%	-0.47	+21.8	8
2009-10-31	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	57.1	1648	1624	43.63%	28.86%	27.51%	+0.30	+7.6	17
2009-10-31	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	57.1	1624	1648	27.51%	28.86%	43.63%	-0.30	-7.6	9
2009-10-31	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	46.1	1814	1599	65.43%	22.41%	12.16%	+1.26	+9.6	23
2009-10-31	@ Celtic	L 0-3	46.1	1599	1814	12.16%	22.41%	65.43%	-1.26	-9.6	9
2009-11-07	Dundee United	L 0-2	53.6	1589	1668	29.37%	29.06%	41.57%	-0.22	-15.1	9
2009-11-07	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	53.6	1668	1589	41.57%	29.06%	29.37%	+0.22	+15.1	19
2009-11-07	Hibernian	D 0-0	65.8	1617	1688	30.37%	29.14%	40.49%	-0.18	+0.5	10
2009-11-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	65.8	1688	1617	40.49%	29.14%	30.37%	+0.18	-0.6	21
2009-11-07	Motherwell	D 2-2	74.6	1551	1656	26.28%	28.68%	45.04%	-0.35	+0.7	9
2009-11-07	@ Hamilton Academical	D 2-2	74.6	1656	1551	45.04%	28.68%	26.28%	+0.35	-0.7	18
2009-11-07	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	59.9	1630	1568	48.52%	28.12%	23.37%	+0.49	+6.3	14
2009-11-07	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	59.9	1568	1630	23.37%	28.12%	48.52%	-0.49	-6.3	9
2009-11-07	St. Mirren	W 2-1	56.5	1813	1566	68.36%	20.95%	10.69%	+1.42	+2.8	22
2009-11-07	@ Rangers	L 1-2	56.5	1566	1813	10.69%	20.95%	68.36%	-1.42	-2.8	12
2009-11-08	Celtic	D 3-3	82.4	1539	1824	12.19%	22.45%	65.36%	-1.26	+1.8	5
2009-11-08	@ Falkirk	D 3-3	82.4	1824	1539	65.36%	22.45%	12.19%	+1.26	-1.8	24
2009-11-21	Aberdeen	D 1-1	70.4	1655	1637	42.88%	28.94%	28.19%	+0.27	-0.7	19
2009-11-21	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	70.4	1637	1655	28.19%	28.94%	42.88%	-0.27	+0.7	15
2009-11-21	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	50.3	1540	1552	38.75%	29.24%	32.01%	+0.12	+16.1	8
2009-11-21	@ Falkirk	L 0-2	50.3	1552	1540	32.01%	29.24%	38.75%	-0.12	-16.1	9
2009-11-21	Hibernian	D 1-1	70.0	1563	1688	24.14%	28.29%	47.57%	-0.45	+1.2	13
2009-11-21	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	70.0	1688	1563	47.57%	28.29%	24.14%	+0.45	-1.2	22
2009-11-21	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	45.2	1816	1574	67.86%	21.21%	10.93%	+1.39	+8.5	25
2009-11-21	@ Rangers	L 0-3	45.2	1574	1816	10.93%	21.21%	67.86%	-1.39	-8.5	9
2009-11-21	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	66.8	1617	1562	47.63%	28.28%	24.09%	+0.45	-10.8	10
2009-11-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	66.8	1562	1617	24.09%	28.28%	47.63%	-0.45	+10.8	12
2009-11-22	Celtic	W 2-1	70.9	1684	1822	22.72%	27.96%	49.32%	-0.52	+11.1	22
2009-11-22	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	70.9	1822	1684	49.32%	27.96%	22.72%	+0.52	-11.2	24
2009-11-28	Dundee United	D 2-2	76.6	1655	1695	34.65%	29.31%	36.04%	-0.02	+0.0	20
2009-11-28	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	76.6	1695	1655	36.04%	29.31%	34.65%	+0.02	-0.1	23
2009-11-28	Falkirk	W 2-0	48.9	1686	1556	56.56%	26.02%	17.41%	+0.83	+9.6	25
2009-11-28	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	48.9	1556	1686	17.41%	26.02%	56.56%	-0.83	-9.6	8
2009-11-28	Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	66.4	1573	1535	45.39%	28.63%	25.98%	+0.37	-1.0	13
2009-11-28	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	66.4	1535	1573	25.98%	28.63%	45.39%	-0.37	+1.0	10
2009-11-28	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	62.9	1565	1606	34.53%	29.31%	36.16%	-0.03	-8.5	9
2009-11-28	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	62.9	1606	1565	36.16%	29.31%	34.53%	+0.03	+8.5	13
2009-11-28	Rangers	W 1-0	66.4	1637	1824	18.46%	26.51%	55.03%	-0.76	+12.9	18
2009-11-28	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	66.4	1824	1637	55.03%	26.51%	18.46%	+0.76	-12.9	25
2009-11-28	St. Mirren	W 3-1	52.6	1811	1564	68.35%	20.96%	10.69%	+1.42	+4.9	27
2009-11-28	@ Celtic	L 1-3	52.6	1564	1811	10.69%	20.96%	68.35%	-1.42	-4.9	13
2009-12-05	Aberdeen	W 3-0	47.9	1816	1650	60.40%	24.62%	14.98%	+1.01	+12.0	30
2009-12-05	@ Celtic	L 0-3	47.9	1650	1816	14.98%	24.62%	60.40%	-1.01	-12.0	18
2009-12-05	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	58.4	1572	1557	42.40%	28.98%	28.61%	+0.25	-10.5	13
2009-12-05	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	58.4	1557	1572	28.61%	28.98%	42.40%	-0.25	+10.5	12
2009-12-05	Motherwell	W 2-0	53.5	1696	1655	45.88%	28.56%	25.56%	+0.38	+13.5	28
2009-12-05	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	53.5	1655	1696	25.56%	28.56%	45.88%	-0.38	-13.5	20
2009-12-05	Rangers	L 1-3	54.0	1547	1811	13.30%	23.40%	63.30%	-1.15	-6.3	8
2009-12-05	@ Falkirk	W 3-1	54.0	1811	1547	63.30%	23.40%	13.30%	+1.15	+6.3	28
2009-12-05	St. Mirren	W 3-2	63.2	1695	1559	57.18%	25.81%	17.00%	+0.86	+4.5	26
2009-12-05	@ Dundee United	L 2-3	63.2	1559	1695	17.00%	25.81%	57.18%	-0.86	-4.5	13
2009-12-06	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	64.4	1536	1615	29.51%	29.07%	41.42%	-0.22	+9.7	13
2009-12-06	@ Hamilton Academical	L 1-2	64.4	1615	1536	41.42%	29.07%	29.51%	+0.22	-9.7	13
2009-12-12	Celtic	L 2-3	65.9	1641	1828	18.45%	26.50%	55.05%	-0.76	-4.8	20
2009-12-12	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	65.9	1828	1641	55.05%	26.50%	18.45%	+0.76	+4.8	33
2009-12-12	Dundee United	D 0-0	65.8	1605	1699	27.59%	28.87%	43.55%	-0.30	+0.9	14
2009-12-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	65.8	1699	1605	43.55%	28.87%	27.59%	+0.30	-0.9	27
2009-12-12	Falkirk	D 1-1	65.8	1555	1540	42.26%	29.00%	28.75%	+0.25	-0.7	14
2009-12-12	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	65.8	1540	1555	28.75%	29.00%	42.26%	-0.25	+0.7	9
2009-12-12	Hamilton Academical	L 1-2	68.0	1638	1546	52.22%	27.29%	20.49%	+0.64	-11.7	18
2009-12-12	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	68.0	1546	1638	20.49%	27.29%	52.22%	-0.64	+11.7	16
2009-12-12	Hibernian	D 1-1	70.5	1567	1710	22.38%	27.87%	49.75%	-0.54	+1.4	13
2009-12-12	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	70.5	1710	1567	49.75%	27.87%	22.38%	+0.54	-1.4	29
2009-12-12	St. Johnstone	W 3-0	44.7	1817	1562	69.15%	20.54%	10.31%	+1.47	+7.9	31
2009-12-12	@ Rangers	L 0-3	44.7	1562	1817	10.31%	20.54%	69.15%	-1.47	-7.9	13
2009-12-15	Rangers	L 0-3	51.8	1698	1825	23.89%	28.23%	47.88%	-0.46	-18.6	27
2009-12-15	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	51.8	1825	1698	47.88%	28.23%	23.89%	+0.46	+18.6	34
2009-12-19	Falkirk	L 1-2	63.9	1569	1541	44.08%	28.80%	27.11%	+0.32	-10.2	13
2009-12-19	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	63.9	1541	1569	27.11%	28.80%	44.08%	-0.32	+10.2	12
2009-12-19	Hibernian	L 0-2	54.6	1627	1708	29.11%	29.03%	41.85%	-0.23	-15.0	18
2009-12-19	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	54.6	1708	1627	41.85%	29.03%	29.11%	+0.23	+15.0	32
2009-12-19	Motherwell	W 6-1	49.7	1844	1636	64.64%	22.79%	12.57%	+1.22	+13.3	37
2009-12-19	@ Rangers	L 1-6	49.7	1636	1844	12.57%	22.79%	64.64%	-1.22	-13.3	20
2009-12-19	St. Mirren	W 1-0	54.3	1554	1554	40.29%	29.15%	30.56%	+0.18	+8.2	16
2009-12-19	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	54.3	1554	1554	30.56%	29.15%	40.29%	-0.18	-8.2	14
2009-12-20	Celtic	W 2-1	72.7	1606	1833	15.56%	25.00%	59.45%	-0.96	+13.0	17
2009-12-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	72.7	1833	1606	59.45%	25.00%	15.56%	+0.96	-13.0	33
2009-12-26	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	46.6	1820	1558	69.69%	20.25%	10.06%	+1.50	+5.3	36
2009-12-26	@ Celtic	L 0-2	46.6	1558	1820	10.06%	20.25%	69.69%	-1.50	-5.3	16
2009-12-26	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	56.2	1551	1619	30.88%	29.18%	39.94%	-0.16	-8.3	12
2009-12-26	@ Falkirk	W 1-0	56.2	1619	1551	39.94%	29.18%	30.88%	+0.16	+8.3	20
2009-12-26	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	65.6	1680	1559	55.56%	26.35%	18.10%	+0.79	-2.2	28
2009-12-26	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	65.6	1559	1680	18.10%	26.35%	55.56%	-0.79	+2.2	14
2009-12-26	St. Johnstone	L 1-3	63.2	1623	1562	48.42%	28.13%	23.45%	+0.48	-19.0	20
2009-12-26	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	63.2	1562	1623	23.45%	28.13%	48.42%	-0.48	+19.0	19
2009-12-27	Rangers	L 1-4	56.5	1723	1857	23.18%	28.07%	48.75%	-0.50	-15.3	32
2009-12-27	@ Hibernian	W 4-1	56.5	1857	1723	48.75%	28.07%	23.18%	+0.50	+15.3	40
2009-12-30	Dundee United	W 7-1	50.3	1873	1677	63.41%	23.35%	13.24%	+1.16	+16.6	43
2009-12-30	@ Rangers	L 1-7	50.3	1677	1873	13.24%	23.35%	63.41%	-1.16	-16.6	28
2009-12-30	Motherwell	W 1-0	56.5	1627	1604	43.49%	28.87%	27.64%	+0.29	+7.6	23
2009-12-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	56.5	1604	1627	27.64%	28.87%	43.49%	-0.29	-7.6	20
2010-01-02	Aberdeen	L 0-1	62.8	1661	1612	46.88%	28.41%	24.71%	+0.42	-11.4	28
2010-01-02	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	62.8	1612	1661	24.71%	28.41%	46.88%	-0.42	+11.3	21
2010-01-02	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	54.9	1546	1561	38.19%	29.26%	32.55%	+0.10	+8.6	17
2010-01-02	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	54.9	1561	1546	32.55%	29.26%	38.19%	-0.10	-8.6	14
2010-01-03	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.4	1708	1635	49.89%	27.84%	22.27%	+0.54	-1.4	33
2010-01-03	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	71.4	1635	1708	22.27%	27.84%	49.89%	-0.54	+1.4	24
2010-01-03	Rangers	D 1-1	72.3	1825	1889	31.35%	29.20%	39.44%	-0.15	+0.4	37
2010-01-03	@ Celtic	D 1-1	72.3	1889	1825	39.44%	29.20%	31.35%	+0.15	-0.4	44
2010-01-12	Aberdeen	W 1-0	59.1	1554	1623	30.74%	29.17%	40.09%	-0.17	+10.0	20
2010-01-12	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	59.1	1623	1554	40.09%	29.17%	30.74%	+0.17	-10.0	21
2010-01-13	Dundee United	L 0-1	55.7	1553	1649	27.25%	28.82%	43.93%	-0.31	-7.6	16
2010-01-13	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	55.7	1649	1553	43.93%	28.82%	27.25%	+0.31	+7.6	31
2010-01-16	Falkirk	D 1-1	74.2	1826	1543	71.48%	19.27%	9.24%	+1.60	-3.4	38
2010-01-16	@ Celtic	D 1-1	74.2	1543	1826	9.24%	19.27%	71.48%	-1.60	+3.4	13
2010-01-16	Hibernian	W 1-0	61.3	1657	1706	33.33%	29.29%	37.39%	-0.07	+9.5	34
2010-01-16	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	61.3	1706	1657	37.39%	29.29%	33.33%	+0.07	-9.6	33
2010-01-16	Motherwell	L 0-3	50.6	1552	1596	34.06%	29.30%	36.64%	-0.05	-24.5	14
2010-01-16	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-0	50.6	1596	1552	36.64%	29.30%	34.06%	+0.05	+24.5	23
2010-01-16	Rangers	L 0-1	50.6	1545	1889	9.59%	19.71%	70.70%	-1.55	-2.7	16
2010-01-16	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	50.6	1889	1545	70.70%	19.71%	9.59%	+1.55	+2.7	47
2010-01-16	St. Mirren	W 1-0	54.0	1636	1564	49.77%	27.86%	22.36%	+0.54	+6.4	27
2010-01-16	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	54.0	1564	1636	22.36%	27.86%	49.77%	-0.54	-6.4	20
2010-01-23	Hamilton Academical	W 5-1	49.4	1697	1542	59.23%	25.08%	15.69%	+0.95	+13.7	36
2010-01-23	@ Hibernian	L 1-5	49.4	1542	1697	15.69%	25.08%	59.23%	-0.95	-13.7	16
2010-01-23	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	74.5	1891	1643	68.50%	20.88%	10.62%	+1.43	-3.2	48
2010-01-23	@ Rangers	D 1-1	74.5	1643	1891	10.62%	20.88%	68.50%	-1.43	+3.2	28
2010-01-23	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	51.9	1613	1528	51.39%	27.50%	21.11%	+0.61	+6.1	24
2010-01-23	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	51.9	1528	1613	21.11%	27.50%	51.39%	-0.61	-6.1	14
2010-01-23	St. Mirren	W 2-0	49.9	1621	1558	48.65%	28.09%	23.26%	+0.49	+12.5	26
2010-01-23	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	49.9	1558	1621	23.26%	28.09%	48.65%	-0.49	-12.5	20
2010-01-24	Celtic	L 1-4	52.2	1581	1822	14.65%	24.40%	60.94%	-1.04	-9.9	19
2010-01-24	@ St. Johnstone	W 4-1	52.2	1822	1581	60.94%	24.40%	14.65%	+1.04	+9.9	41
2010-01-24	Dundee United	L 1-4	54.0	1546	1666	24.64%	28.39%	46.97%	-0.43	-16.1	13
2010-01-24	@ Falkirk	W 4-1	54.0	1666	1546	46.97%	28.39%	24.64%	+0.43	+16.1	37
2010-01-26	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	59.5	1529	1522	41.28%	29.08%	29.64%	+0.21	-0.6	17
2010-01-26	@ Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	59.5	1522	1529	29.64%	29.08%	41.28%	-0.21	+0.6	15
2010-01-27	Aberdeen	L 0-3	56.0	1646	1619	43.98%	28.82%	27.21%	+0.31	-29.5	28
2010-01-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	56.0	1619	1646	27.21%	28.82%	43.98%	-0.31	+29.5	27
2010-01-27	Hibernian	L 1-2	72.4	1832	1711	55.61%	26.33%	18.06%	+0.79	-12.3	41
2010-01-27	@ Celtic	W 2-1	72.4	1711	1832	18.06%	26.33%	55.61%	-0.79	+12.3	39
2010-01-27	Motherwell	D 0-0	63.2	1530	1633	26.53%	28.72%	44.75%	-0.34	+1.0	14
2010-01-27	@ Falkirk	D 0-0	63.2	1633	1530	44.75%	28.72%	26.53%	+0.34	-1.0	27
2010-01-27	Rangers	L 0-2	46.7	1545	1888	9.63%	19.75%	70.62%	-1.55	-5.0	20
2010-01-27	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	46.7	1888	1545	70.62%	19.75%	9.63%	+1.55	+5.0	51
2010-01-27	St. Johnstone	D 3-3	79.8	1683	1571	54.49%	26.67%	18.84%	+0.74	-1.2	38
2010-01-27	@ Dundee United	D 3-3	79.8	1571	1683	18.84%	26.67%	54.49%	-0.74	+1.2	20
2010-01-30	Celtic	L 0-1	51.4	1528	1820	11.88%	22.16%	65.96%	-1.29	-3.4	17
2010-01-30	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	51.4	1820	1528	65.96%	22.16%	11.88%	+1.29	+3.4	44
2010-01-30	Dundee United	D 4-4	80.1	1522	1681	20.79%	27.40%	51.82%	-0.62	+0.9	16
2010-01-30	@ Kilmarnock	D 4-4	80.1	1681	1522	51.82%	27.40%	20.79%	+0.62	-0.9	39
2010-01-30	Falkirk	W 3-0	42.4	1893	1531	77.81%	15.57%	6.62%	+2.00	+4.6	54
2010-01-30	@ Rangers	L 0-3	42.4	1531	1893	6.62%	15.57%	77.81%	-2.00	-4.6	14
2010-01-30	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	58.4	1572	1616	34.06%	29.30%	36.64%	-0.05	+9.4	23
2010-01-30	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	58.4	1616	1572	36.64%	29.30%	34.06%	+0.05	-9.4	28
2010-01-30	Motherwell	L 0-3	55.9	1649	1632	42.55%	28.97%	28.48%	+0.26	-28.8	27
2010-01-30	@ Aberdeen	W 3-0	55.9	1632	1649	28.48%	28.97%	42.55%	-0.26	+28.8	30
2010-01-30	St. Mirren	W 2-1	57.0	1723	1540	62.14%	23.90%	13.95%	+1.10	+3.8	42
2010-01-30	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	57.0	1540	1723	13.95%	23.90%	62.14%	-1.10	-3.8	20
2010-02-02	Celtic	W 1-0	67.7	1523	1823	11.49%	21.78%	66.74%	-1.33	+15.1	19
2010-02-02	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	67.7	1823	1523	66.74%	21.78%	11.49%	+1.33	-15.1	44
2010-02-02	Falkirk	L 0-1	61.4	1620	1527	52.33%	27.27%	20.41%	+0.65	-12.4	27
2010-02-02	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	61.4	1527	1620	20.41%	27.27%	52.33%	-0.65	+12.4	17
2010-02-06	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	51.4	1661	1525	57.30%	25.78%	16.93%	+0.86	+5.0	33
2010-02-06	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	51.4	1525	1661	16.93%	25.78%	57.30%	-0.86	-5.0	17
2010-02-10	Aberdeen	D 2-2	77.3	1727	1607	55.37%	26.41%	18.22%	+0.78	-1.5	43
2010-02-10	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	77.3	1607	1727	18.22%	26.41%	55.37%	-0.78	+1.5	28
2010-02-10	Hamilton Academical	L 0-2	60.4	1681	1520	59.91%	24.82%	15.27%	+0.99	-26.1	39
2010-02-10	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	60.4	1520	1681	15.27%	24.82%	59.91%	-0.99	+26.1	20
2010-02-10	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	48.6	1808	1607	63.99%	23.08%	12.92%	+1.19	+7.1	47
2010-02-10	@ Celtic	L 0-2	48.6	1607	1808	12.92%	23.08%	63.99%	-1.19	-7.1	28
2010-02-10	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	56.2	1539	1538	40.45%	29.14%	30.41%	+0.18	-10.1	17
2010-02-10	@ Falkirk	W 1-0	56.2	1538	1539	30.41%	29.14%	40.45%	-0.18	+10.1	22
2010-02-10	Rangers	D 1-1	73.4	1666	1898	15.24%	24.79%	59.97%	-0.99	+2.4	34
2010-02-10	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	73.4	1898	1666	59.97%	24.79%	15.24%	+0.99	-2.4	55
2010-02-10	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	66.5	1537	1582	33.94%	29.30%	36.76%	-0.05	+0.1	21
2010-02-10	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	66.5	1582	1537	36.76%	29.30%	33.94%	+0.05	-0.1	24
2010-02-13	Celtic	D 4-4	83.4	1609	1815	16.98%	25.80%	57.22%	-0.86	+1.2	29
2010-02-13	@ Aberdeen	D 4-4	83.4	1815	1609	57.22%	25.80%	16.98%	+0.86	-1.2	48
2010-02-13	Dundee United	L 1-2	60.3	1537	1654	24.89%	28.44%	46.67%	-0.42	-6.6	21
2010-02-13	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	60.3	1654	1537	46.67%	28.44%	24.89%	+0.42	+6.6	42
2010-02-13	Falkirk	W 3-2	62.6	1600	1529	49.64%	27.89%	22.47%	+0.53	+5.8	31
2010-02-13	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	62.6	1529	1600	22.47%	27.89%	49.64%	-0.53	-5.8	17
2010-02-13	Motherwell	D 0-0	64.5	1546	1669	24.34%	28.33%	47.32%	-0.44	+1.3	21
2010-02-13	@ Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	64.5	1669	1546	47.32%	28.33%	24.34%	+0.44	-1.3	35
2010-02-13	St. Johnstone	W 3-2	66.8	1548	1581	35.64%	29.31%	35.05%	+0.01	+8.2	25
2010-02-13	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-3	66.8	1581	1548	35.05%	29.31%	35.64%	-0.01	-8.2	24
2010-02-14	Hibernian	W 3-0	48.1	1895	1725	60.88%	24.43%	14.69%	+1.03	+11.8	58
2010-02-14	@ Rangers	L 0-3	48.1	1725	1895	14.69%	24.43%	60.88%	-1.03	-11.8	43
2010-02-17	Hibernian	W 5-1	61.2	1573	1713	22.58%	27.92%	49.50%	-0.53	+35.4	27
2010-02-17	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-5	61.2	1713	1573	49.50%	27.92%	22.58%	+0.53	-35.4	43
2010-02-20	Aberdeen	W 3-1	60.4	1523	1610	28.45%	28.97%	42.58%	-0.26	+17.2	20
2010-02-20	@ Falkirk	L 1-3	60.4	1610	1523	42.58%	28.97%	28.45%	+0.26	-17.2	29
2010-02-20	Dundee United	W 1-0	54.3	1814	1661	59.06%	25.14%	15.80%	+0.95	+4.6	51
2010-02-20	@ Celtic	L 0-1	54.3	1661	1814	15.80%	25.14%	59.06%	-0.95	-4.6	42
2010-02-20	Hibernian	W 1-0	59.5	1667	1678	38.80%	29.24%	31.96%	+0.12	+8.5	38
2010-02-20	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	59.5	1678	1667	31.96%	29.24%	38.80%	-0.12	-8.5	43
2010-02-20	St. Mirren	D 1-1	65.6	1556	1530	43.92%	28.82%	27.26%	+0.31	-0.8	26
2010-02-20	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	65.6	1530	1556	27.26%	28.82%	43.92%	-0.31	+0.8	22
2010-02-21	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	49.4	1606	1547	48.11%	28.19%	23.70%	+0.47	+12.7	34
2010-02-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	49.4	1547	1606	23.70%	28.19%	48.11%	-0.47	-12.7	21
2010-02-27	Falkirk	W 3-0	46.4	1656	1540	54.99%	26.52%	18.49%	+0.76	+14.8	45
2010-02-27	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	46.4	1540	1656	18.49%	26.52%	54.99%	-0.76	-14.8	20
2010-02-27	Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	60.0	1531	1534	39.84%	29.18%	30.98%	+0.16	-0.5	23
2010-02-27	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	60.0	1534	1531	30.98%	29.18%	39.84%	-0.16	+0.5	22
2010-02-27	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	58.9	1593	1618	36.72%	29.30%	33.98%	+0.05	-9.4	29
2010-02-27	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	58.9	1618	1593	33.98%	29.30%	36.72%	-0.05	+9.4	37
2010-02-27	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	52.9	1676	1556	55.46%	26.38%	18.16%	+0.78	+5.3	41
2010-02-27	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	52.9	1556	1676	18.16%	26.38%	55.46%	-0.78	-5.3	26
2010-02-27	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	70.5	1670	1609	48.39%	28.14%	23.47%	+0.48	-1.3	44
2010-02-27	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	70.5	1609	1670	23.47%	28.14%	48.39%	-0.48	+1.3	28
2010-02-28	Celtic	W 1-0	56.9	1907	1819	51.80%	27.40%	20.80%	+0.62	+6.0	61
2010-02-28	@ Rangers	L 0-1	56.9	1819	1907	20.80%	27.40%	51.80%	-0.62	-6.0	51
2010-03-06	Aberdeen	D 1-1	66.5	1535	1583	33.43%	29.29%	37.28%	-0.07	+0.2	23
2010-03-06	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	66.5	1583	1535	37.28%	29.29%	33.43%	+0.07	-0.2	30
2010-03-06	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	52.7	1668	1550	55.22%	26.45%	18.33%	+0.77	+5.4	47
2010-03-06	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	52.7	1550	1668	18.33%	26.45%	55.22%	-0.77	-5.4	26
2010-03-06	Motherwell	L 1-2	64.0	1610	1681	30.42%	29.14%	40.43%	-0.18	-7.8	28
2010-03-06	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	64.0	1681	1610	40.43%	29.14%	30.42%	+0.18	+7.8	44
2010-03-06	St. Mirren	W 3-1	49.8	1913	1530	79.31%	14.64%	6.05%	+2.10	+2.5	64
2010-03-06	@ Rangers	L 1-3	49.8	1530	1913	6.05%	14.64%	79.31%	-2.10	-2.5	23
2010-03-07	Celtic	L 0-2	47.5	1526	1813	12.12%	22.38%	65.50%	-1.27	-6.6	20
2010-03-07	@ Falkirk	W 2-0	47.5	1813	1526	65.50%	22.38%	12.12%	+1.27	+6.6	54
2010-03-07	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	56.8	1671	1628	46.15%	28.52%	25.33%	+0.40	+7.1	48
2010-03-07	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	56.8	1628	1671	25.33%	28.52%	46.15%	-0.40	-7.1	37
2010-03-09	Motherwell	D 0-0	64.9	1528	1689	20.63%	27.34%	52.03%	-0.63	+1.8	24
2010-03-09	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	64.9	1689	1528	52.03%	27.34%	20.63%	+0.63	-1.8	45
2010-03-09	Rangers	L 0-2	46.1	1545	1916	8.58%	18.42%	73.00%	-1.69	-4.4	26
2010-03-09	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	46.1	1916	1545	73.00%	18.42%	8.58%	+1.69	+4.4	67
2010-03-13	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	57.7	1687	1621	49.07%	28.01%	22.93%	+0.51	+10.7	48
2010-03-13	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	57.7	1621	1687	22.93%	28.01%	49.07%	-0.51	-10.7	37
2010-03-13	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	59.7	1519	1602	28.90%	29.01%	42.08%	-0.24	-7.5	20
2010-03-13	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	59.7	1602	1519	42.08%	29.01%	28.90%	+0.24	+7.5	31
2010-03-13	St. Mirren	W 1-0	52.6	1535	1530	41.04%	29.10%	29.86%	+0.20	+8.1	26
2010-03-13	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	52.6	1530	1535	29.86%	29.10%	41.04%	-0.20	-8.1	24
2010-03-16	Aberdeen	W 1-0	55.5	1610	1583	43.91%	28.82%	27.27%	+0.31	+7.6	34
2010-03-16	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	55.5	1583	1610	27.27%	28.82%	43.91%	-0.31	-7.6	30
2010-03-20	Dundee United	D 2-2	75.5	1576	1678	26.58%	28.73%	44.70%	-0.34	+0.7	31
2010-03-20	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	75.5	1678	1576	44.70%	28.73%	26.58%	+0.34	-0.7	49
2010-03-20	Falkirk	D 2-2	70.1	1543	1512	44.59%	28.74%	26.67%	+0.34	-0.7	27
2010-03-20	@ Hamilton Academical	D 2-2	70.1	1512	1543	26.67%	28.74%	44.59%	-0.34	+0.7	21
2010-03-20	Hibernian	W 2-1	66.6	1610	1674	31.40%	29.21%	39.39%	-0.14	+9.3	40
2010-03-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	66.6	1674	1610	39.39%	29.21%	31.40%	+0.14	-9.4	47
2010-03-20	St. Johnstone	W 3-0	46.6	1819	1617	64.08%	23.05%	12.88%	+1.19	+10.2	57
2010-03-20	@ Celtic	L 0-3	46.6	1617	1819	12.88%	23.05%	64.08%	-1.19	-10.2	34
2010-03-23	Falkirk	D 1-1	67.2	1607	1512	52.53%	27.22%	20.26%	+0.65	-1.7	35
2010-03-23	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	67.2	1512	1607	20.26%	27.22%	52.53%	-0.65	+1.7	22
2010-03-24	Celtic	W 4-0	61.7	1522	1829	11.13%	21.41%	67.46%	-1.37	+54.3	27
2010-03-24	@ St. Mirren	L 0-4	61.7	1829	1522	67.46%	21.41%	11.13%	+1.37	-54.3	57
2010-03-24	Hamilton Academical	L 1-2	61.9	1541	1542	40.07%	29.17%	30.76%	+0.17	-9.5	26
2010-03-24	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	61.9	1542	1541	30.76%	29.17%	40.07%	-0.17	+9.5	30
2010-03-27	Hibernian	L 1-3	54.9	1514	1664	21.59%	27.65%	50.76%	-0.58	-10.2	22
2010-03-27	@ Falkirk	W 3-1	54.9	1664	1514	50.76%	27.65%	21.59%	+0.58	+10.2	50
2010-03-27	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	52.0	1775	1531	68.06%	21.11%	10.83%	+1.41	+5.0	60
2010-03-27	@ Celtic	L 1-3	52.0	1531	1775	10.83%	21.11%	68.06%	-1.41	-5.0	26
2010-03-27	Motherwell	W 3-0	54.2	1678	1698	37.51%	29.28%	33.21%	+0.08	+24.0	52
2010-03-27	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	54.2	1698	1678	33.21%	29.28%	37.51%	-0.08	-24.0	48
2010-03-27	Rangers	L 1-4	51.0	1619	1920	11.45%	21.74%	66.81%	-1.34	-7.5	40
2010-03-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-1	51.0	1920	1619	66.81%	21.74%	11.45%	+1.34	+7.5	70
2010-03-27	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	58.0	1552	1605	32.78%	29.27%	37.95%	-0.09	+9.7	33
2010-03-27	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	58.0	1605	1552	37.95%	29.27%	32.78%	+0.09	-9.6	35
2010-03-27	St. Mirren	W 2-1	61.2	1576	1576	40.38%	29.15%	30.47%	+0.18	+7.8	34
2010-03-27	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	61.2	1576	1576	30.47%	29.15%	40.38%	-0.18	-7.8	27
2010-03-30	Rangers	W 4-1	68.0	1596	1928	10.07%	20.26%	69.67%	-1.49	+35.8	38
2010-03-30	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-4	68.0	1928	1596	69.67%	20.26%	10.07%	+1.49	-35.9	70
2010-03-31	Dundee United	L 2-4	66.5	1674	1702	36.49%	29.30%	34.20%	+0.04	-13.7	50
2010-03-31	@ Hibernian	W 4-2	66.5	1702	1674	34.20%	29.30%	36.49%	-0.04	+13.7	55
2010-04-03	Falkirk	L 0-1	63.9	1674	1504	60.85%	24.44%	14.71%	+1.03	-14.0	48
2010-04-03	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	63.9	1504	1674	14.71%	24.44%	60.85%	-1.03	+14.0	25
2010-04-03	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	49.3	1892	1562	75.41%	17.02%	7.57%	+1.84	+2.0	73
2010-04-03	@ Rangers	L 0-1	49.3	1562	1892	7.57%	17.02%	75.41%	-1.84	-2.0	33
2010-04-03	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	68.2	1568	1612	34.14%	29.30%	36.56%	-0.04	+0.1	28
2010-04-03	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	68.2	1612	1568	36.56%	29.30%	34.14%	+0.04	-0.1	41
2010-04-04	Aberdeen	W 2-0	52.9	1526	1584	32.15%	29.24%	38.60%	-0.12	+18.4	29
2010-04-04	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	52.9	1584	1526	38.60%	29.24%	32.15%	+0.12	-18.4	34
2010-04-04	Celtic	L 0-1	57.8	1661	1780	24.73%	28.41%	46.86%	-0.42	-7.0	50
2010-04-04	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	57.8	1780	1661	46.86%	28.41%	24.73%	+0.42	+7.0	63
2010-04-05	Dundee United	L 0-1	58.5	1631	1715	28.81%	29.00%	42.18%	-0.25	-7.9	38
2010-04-05	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	58.5	1715	1631	42.18%	29.00%	28.81%	+0.25	+7.9	58
2010-04-07	Aberdeen	W 3-1	51.1	1894	1566	75.23%	17.12%	7.64%	+1.83	+3.3	76
2010-04-07	@ Rangers	L 1-3	51.1	1566	1894	7.64%	17.12%	75.23%	-1.83	-3.3	34
2010-04-10	Hibernian	W 4-1	59.8	1560	1654	27.55%	28.86%	43.59%	-0.30	+24.7	36
2010-04-10	@ Hamilton Academical	L 1-4	59.8	1654	1560	43.59%	28.86%	27.55%	+0.30	-24.7	50
2010-04-10	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	53.0	1612	1545	49.17%	27.99%	22.84%	+0.52	+6.5	44
2010-04-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	53.0	1545	1612	22.84%	27.99%	49.17%	-0.52	-6.5	29
2010-04-10	St. Mirren	W 2-1	61.3	1518	1568	33.18%	29.28%	37.54%	-0.08	+9.0	28
2010-04-10	@ Falkirk	L 1-2	61.3	1568	1518	37.54%	29.28%	33.18%	+0.08	-9.0	28
2010-04-11	St. Johnstone	L 1-3	58.6	1562	1624	31.73%	29.22%	39.04%	-0.13	-13.9	34
2010-04-11	@ Aberdeen	W 3-1	58.6	1624	1562	39.04%	29.22%	31.73%	+0.13	+13.9	41
2010-04-13	Motherwell	W 2-1	60.6	1787	1660	56.28%	26.12%	17.61%	+0.82	+4.9	66
2010-04-13	@ Celtic	L 1-2	60.6	1660	1787	17.61%	26.12%	56.28%	-0.82	-4.9	48
2010-04-14	Rangers	D 0-0	68.1	1723	1897	19.51%	26.94%	53.55%	-0.70	+2.0	59
2010-04-14	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	68.1	1897	1723	53.55%	26.94%	19.51%	+0.70	-2.0	77

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2010-04-17	Falkirk	W 1-0	52.3	1549	1527	43.29%	28.89%	27.81%	+0.29	+7.7	3
2010-04-17	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	52.3	1527	1549	27.81%	28.89%	43.29%	-0.29	-7.7	0
2010-04-17	Hibernian	W 3-2	64.1	1792	1629	60.11%	24.74%	15.15%	+1.00	+4.0	3
2010-04-17	@ Celtic	L 2-3	64.1	1629	1792	15.15%	24.74%	60.11%	-1.00	-4.0	0
2010-04-17	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	46.9	1584	1538	46.52%	28.46%	25.01%	+0.41	+19.3	3
2010-04-17	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-3	46.9	1538	1584	25.01%	28.46%	46.52%	-0.41	-19.3	0
2010-04-17	St. Mirren	D 2-2	74.7	1637	1559	50.54%	27.70%	21.77%	+0.57	-1.1	1
2010-04-17	@ St. Johnstone	D 2-2	74.7	1559	1637	21.77%	27.70%	50.54%	-0.57	+1.1	1
2010-04-18	Dundee United	L 2-3	69.8	1655	1725	30.51%	29.15%	40.34%	-0.18	-7.4	0
2010-04-18	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	69.8	1725	1655	40.34%	29.15%	30.51%	+0.18	+7.4	3
2010-04-18	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	46.9	1895	1618	71.00%	19.54%	9.46%	+1.57	+4.9	3
2010-04-18	@ Rangers	L 0-2	46.9	1618	1895	9.46%	19.54%	71.00%	-1.57	-4.9	0
2010-04-24	Aberdeen	D 1-1	69.0	1636	1556	50.77%	27.64%	21.59%	+0.58	-1.5	2
2010-04-24	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	69.0	1556	1636	21.59%	27.64%	50.77%	-0.58	+1.5	4
2010-04-24	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	54.2	1519	1604	28.74%	29.00%	42.26%	-0.25	-7.9	0
2010-04-24	@ Falkirk	W 1-0	54.2	1604	1519	42.26%	29.00%	28.74%	+0.25	+7.9	6
2010-04-24	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	51.6	1560	1519	45.93%	28.55%	25.51%	+0.39	+7.2	4
2010-04-24	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	51.6	1519	1560	25.51%	28.55%	45.93%	-0.39	-7.2	0
2010-04-24	Motherwell	L 0-2	55.6	1613	1647	35.49%	29.31%	35.19%	+0.01	-17.3	0
2010-04-24	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	55.6	1647	1613	35.19%	29.31%	35.49%	-0.01	+17.3	3
2010-04-25	Celtic	L 0-2	56.5	1733	1796	31.46%	29.21%	39.33%	-0.14	-15.9	3
2010-04-25	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	56.5	1796	1733	39.33%	29.21%	31.46%	+0.14	+15.9	6
2010-04-25	Rangers	L 0-1	52.8	1625	1900	12.74%	22.93%	64.34%	-1.21	-3.7	0
2010-04-25	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	52.8	1900	1625	64.34%	22.93%	12.74%	+1.21	+3.7	6
2010-05-01	Hamilton Academical	L 1-3	58.5	1558	1611	32.75%	29.27%	37.99%	-0.09	-14.2	4
2010-05-01	@ Aberdeen	W 3-1	58.5	1611	1558	37.99%	29.27%	32.75%	+0.09	+14.2	9
2010-05-01	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	66.6	1621	1596	43.79%	28.84%	27.38%	+0.31	-10.1	0
2010-05-01	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	66.6	1596	1621	27.38%	28.84%	43.79%	-0.31	+10.1	3
2010-05-01	Motherwell	W 4-0	48.4	1812	1665	58.43%	25.37%	16.20%	+0.92	+17.0	9
2010-05-01	@ Celtic	L 0-4	48.4	1665	1812	16.20%	25.37%	58.43%	-0.92	-17.0	3
2010-05-01	Rangers	L 1-2	61.4	1717	1904	18.44%	26.50%	55.06%	-0.76	-5.1	3
2010-05-01	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	61.4	1904	1717	55.06%	26.50%	18.44%	+0.76	+5.1	9
2010-05-01	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	58.9	1511	1635	24.29%	28.32%	47.39%	-0.44	-6.5	0
2010-05-01	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	58.9	1635	1511	47.39%	28.32%	24.29%	+0.44	+6.5	5
2010-05-01	St. Mirren	D 1-1	65.2	1511	1568	32.39%	29.25%	38.35%	-0.11	+0.3	1
2010-05-01	@ Falkirk	D 1-1	65.2	1568	1511	38.35%	29.25%	32.39%	+0.11	-0.3	5
2010-05-04	Rangers	W 2-1	69.2	1829	1909	29.30%	29.05%	41.65%	-0.23	+9.8	12
2010-05-04	@ Celtic	L 1-2	69.2	1909	1829	41.65%	29.05%	29.30%	+0.23	-9.8	9
2010-05-05	Dundee United	D 0-0	66.1	1606	1712	26.24%	28.68%	45.08%	-0.35	+1.1	4
2010-05-05	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	66.1	1712	1606	45.08%	28.68%	26.24%	+0.35	-1.1	4
2010-05-05	Hibernian	D 6-6	81.5	1648	1611	45.25%	28.65%	26.10%	+0.36	-0.4	4
2010-05-05	@ Motherwell	D 6-6	81.5	1611	1648	26.10%	28.65%	45.25%	-0.36	+0.4	1
2010-05-05	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	62.2	1544	1505	45.53%	28.61%	25.86%	+0.37	-10.4	4
2010-05-05	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	62.2	1505	1544	25.86%	28.61%	45.53%	-0.37	+10.5	3
2010-05-05	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	63.1	1512	1641	23.62%	28.17%	48.21%	-0.48	+1.4	2
2010-05-05	@ Falkirk	D 0-0	63.1	1641	1512	48.21%	28.17%	23.62%	+0.48	-1.4	6
2010-05-05	St. Mirren	D 0-0	64.1	1626	1567	48.07%	28.20%	23.73%	+0.47	-1.4	10
2010-05-05	@ Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	64.1	1567	1626	23.73%	28.20%	48.07%	-0.47	+1.4	6
2010-05-08	Aberdeen	L 0-1	58.3	1569	1533	45.12%	28.67%	26.21%	+0.36	-11.0	6
2010-05-08	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	58.3	1533	1569	26.21%	28.67%	45.12%	-0.36	+11.0	7
2010-05-08	Falkirk	D 0-0	58.7	1515	1513	40.67%	29.13%	30.21%	+0.19	-0.6	4
2010-05-08	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	58.7	1513	1515	30.21%	29.13%	40.67%	-0.19	+0.6	3
2010-05-08	Hamilton Academical	L 2-3	72.0	1640	1624	42.47%	28.98%	28.55%	+0.26	-9.4	6
2010-05-08	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-2	72.0	1624	1640	28.55%	28.98%	42.47%	-0.26	+9.4	13
2010-05-09	Celtic	L 1-2	59.5	1607	1839	15.26%	24.81%	59.92%	-0.99	-4.2	4
2010-05-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	59.5	1839	1607	59.92%	24.81%	15.26%	+0.99	+4.2	15
2010-05-09	Hibernian	L 0-2	61.0	1711	1612	53.01%	27.09%	19.90%	+0.67	-23.6	4
2010-05-09	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	61.0	1612	1711	19.90%	27.09%	53.01%	-0.67	+23.6	4
2010-05-09	Motherwell	D 3-3	83.8	1899	1647	68.77%	20.74%	10.49%	+1.44	-2.0	10
2010-05-09	@ Rangers	D 3-3	83.8	1647	1899	10.49%	20.74%	68.77%	-1.44	+2.0	5

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2010-03-30	10.07%	@ St. Johnstone	1596	4	Rangers	1928	1
2	2010-03-24	11.13%	@ St. Mirren	1522	4	Celtic	1829	0
3	2010-02-02	11.49%	@ Kilmarnock	1523	1	Celtic	1823	0
4	2010-04-03	14.71%	Falkirk	1504	1	@ Motherwell	1674	0
5	2010-02-10	15.27%	Hamilton Academical	1520	2	@ Dundee United	1681	0
6	2009-12-20	15.56%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1606	2	Celtic	1833	1
7	2010-01-27	18.06%	Hibernian	1711	2	@ Celtic	1832	1
8	2009-11-28	18.46%	@ Aberdeen	1637	1	Rangers	1824	0
9	2010-05-09	19.90%	Hibernian	1612	2	@ Dundee United	1711	0
10	2010-02-02	20.41%	Falkirk	1527	1	@ Aberdeen	1620	0
11	2009-12-12	20.49%	Hamilton Academical	1546	2	@ Aberdeen	1638	1
12	2010-02-17	22.58%	@ St. Johnstone	1573	5	Hibernian	1713	1
13	2009-11-22	22.72%	@ Dundee United	1684	2	Celtic	1822	1
14	2009-12-26	23.45%	St. Johnstone	1562	3	@ Motherwell	1623	1
15	2009-10-31	23.73%	Hamilton Academical	1529	2	@ St. Mirren	1587	0
16	2009-11-21	24.09%	St. Johnstone	1562	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1617	1
17	2010-01-02	24.71%	Aberdeen	1612	1	@ Dundee United	1661	0
18	2009-08-29	24.84%	St. Mirren	1565	2	@ Kilmarnock	1613	1
19	2009-09-13	24.94%	@ Hamilton Academical	1535	2	Hibernian	1652	0
20	2010-05-05	25.86%	Kilmarnock	1505	2	@ Aberdeen	1544	1
21	2010-05-08	26.21%	Aberdeen	1533	1	@ St. Mirren	1569	0
22	2009-12-19	27.11%	Falkirk	1541	2	@ Kilmarnock	1569	1
23	2010-01-27	27.21%	Aberdeen	1619	3	@ Heart of Midlothian	1646	0
24	2010-05-01	27.38%	Heart of Midlothian	1596	2	@ Hibernian	1621	1
25	2010-04-10	27.55%	@ Hamilton Academical	1560	4	Hibernian	1654	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2010-03-24	54.29	@ St. Mirren	4	1522	11.13%	Celtic	0	1829	67.46%	21.41%
2	2010-03-30	35.85	@ St. Johnstone	4	1596	10.07%	Rangers	1	1928	69.67%	20.26%
3	2010-02-17	35.35	@ St. Johnstone	5	1573	22.58%	Hibernian	1	1713	49.50%	27.92%
4	2010-01-27	29.54	Aberdeen	3	1619	27.21%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1646	43.98%	28.82%
5	2010-01-30	28.80	Motherwell	3	1632	28.48%	@ Aberdeen	0	1649	42.55%	28.97%
6	2010-02-10	26.12	Hamilton Academical	2	1520	15.27%	@ Dundee United	0	1681	59.91%	24.82%
7	2010-04-10	24.74	@ Hamilton Academical	4	1560	27.55%	Hibernian	1	1654	43.59%	28.86%
8	2010-01-16	24.46	Motherwell	3	1596	36.64%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1552	34.06%	29.30%
9	2010-03-27	24.01	@ Dundee United	3	1678	37.51%	Motherwell	0	1698	33.21%	29.28%
10	2010-05-09	23.64	Hibernian	2	1612	19.90%	@ Dundee United	0	1711	53.01%	27.09%
11	2009-08-22	22.41	Aberdeen	3	1636	40.64%	@ Hamilton Academical	0	1564	30.23%	29.13%
12	2009-10-31	21.83	Hamilton Academical	2	1529	23.73%	@ St. Mirren	0	1587	48.07%	28.20%
13	2009-09-13	21.30	@ Hamilton Academical	2	1535	24.94%	Hibernian	0	1652	46.61%	28.45%
14	2009-08-15	21.09	@ Kilmarnock	3	1605	43.17%	Hamilton Academical	0	1585	27.92%	28.91%
15	2009-10-24	19.80	Dundee United	2	1649	28.55%	@ Aberdeen	0	1664	42.47%	28.98%
16	2010-04-17	19.33	@ Hamilton Academical	3	1584	46.52%	Kilmarnock	0	1538	25.01%	28.46%
17	2009-10-03	19.16	St. Johnstone	2	1547	30.20%	@ Hamilton Academical	0	1550	40.67%	29.13%
18	2009-12-26	19.01	St. Johnstone	3	1562	23.45%	@ Motherwell	1	1623	48.42%	28.13%
19	2009-12-15	18.61	Rangers	3	1825	47.88%	@ Dundee United	0	1698	23.89%	28.23%
20	2009-09-19	18.53	@ Hibernian	3	1631	48.03%	St. Johnstone	0	1573	23.76%	28.21%
21	2010-04-04	18.43	@ Kilmarnock	2	1526	32.15%	Aberdeen	0	1584	38.60%	29.24%
22	2010-04-24	17.34	Motherwell	2	1647	35.19%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1613	35.49%	29.31%
23	2010-02-20	17.18	@ Falkirk	3	1523	28.45%	Aberdeen	1	1610	42.58%	28.97%
24	2010-05-01	17.02	@ Celtic	4	1812	58.43%	Motherwell	0	1665	16.20%	25.37%
25	2009-09-26	16.78	Hibernian	3	1649	29.64%	@ Motherwell	1	1656	41.28%	29.08%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2010-05-09	83.8	@ Rangers	3	1899	68.77%	Motherwell	3	1647	10.49%	20.74%
2	2010-02-13	83.4	@ Aberdeen	4	1609	16.98%	Celtic	4	1815	57.22%	25.80%
3	2009-11-08	82.4	@ Falkirk	3	1539	12.19%	Celtic	3	1824	65.36%	22.45%
4	2010-05-05	81.5	@ Motherwell	6	1648	45.25%	Hibernian	6	1611	26.10%	28.65%
5	2010-01-30	80.1	@ Kilmarnock	4	1522	20.79%	Dundee United	4	1681	51.82%	27.40%
6	2010-01-27	79.8	@ Dundee United	3	1683	54.49%	St. Johnstone	3	1571	18.84%	26.67%
7	2009-10-24	78.7	@ St. Mirren	3	1587	31.70%	Motherwell	3	1649	39.08%	29.22%
8	2010-02-10	77.3	@ Hibernian	2	1727	55.37%	Aberdeen	2	1607	18.22%	26.41%
9	2009-11-28	76.6	@ Motherwell	2	1655	34.65%	Dundee United	2	1695	36.04%	29.31%
10	2010-03-20	75.5	@ Aberdeen	2	1576	26.58%	Dundee United	2	1678	44.70%	28.73%
11	2010-04-17	74.7	@ St. Johnstone	2	1637	50.54%	St. Mirren	2	1559	21.77%	27.70%
12	2009-11-07	74.6	@ Hamilton Academical	2	1551	26.28%	Motherwell	2	1656	45.04%	28.68%
13	2009-08-15	74.5	@ St. Johnstone	2	1578	33.04%	Motherwell	2	1630	37.68%	29.28%
14	2010-01-23	74.5	@ Rangers	1	1891	68.50%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1643	10.62%	20.88%
15	2009-08-30	74.2	@ St. Johnstone	2	1572	32.85%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1625	37.88%	29.27%
16	2010-01-16	74.2	@ Celtic	1	1826	71.48%	Falkirk	1	1543	9.24%	19.27%
17	2010-02-10	73.4	@ Motherwell	1	1666	15.24%	Rangers	1	1898	59.97%	24.79%
18	2009-09-12	73.1	@ Celtic	1	1813	60.00%	Dundee United	1	1651	15.22%	24.78%
19	2009-10-24	73.0	@ Rangers	1	1815	58.02%	Hibernian	1	1672	16.46%	25.52%
20	2009-12-20	72.7	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1606	15.56%	Celtic	1	1833	59.45%	25.00%
21	2010-01-27	72.4	Hibernian	2	1711	18.06%	@ Celtic	1	1832	55.61%	26.33%
22	2010-01-03	72.3	@ Celtic	1	1825	31.35%	Rangers	1	1889	39.44%	29.20%
23	2010-05-08	72.0	Hamilton Academical	3	1624	28.55%	@ St. Johnstone	2	1640	42.47%	28.98%
24	2010-01-03	71.4	@ Hibernian	1	1708	49.89%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1635	22.27%	27.84%
25	2009-11-22	70.9	@ Dundee United	2	1684	22.72%	Celtic	1	1822	49.32%	27.96%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2010-01-30	42.4	@ Rangers	3	1893	77.81%	Falkirk	0	1531	6.62%	15.57%
2	2009-12-12	44.7	@ Rangers	3	1817	69.15%	St. Johnstone	0	1562	10.31%	20.54%
3	2009-11-21	45.2	@ Rangers	3	1816	67.86%	Kilmarnock	0	1574	10.93%	21.21%
4	2009-10-31	46.1	@ Celtic	3	1814	65.43%	Kilmarnock	0	1599	12.16%	22.41%
5	2010-03-09	46.1	Rangers	2	1916	73.00%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1545	8.58%	18.42%
6	2010-02-27	46.4	@ Dundee United	3	1656	54.99%	Falkirk	0	1540	18.49%	26.52%
7	2009-12-26	46.6	@ Celtic	2	1820	69.69%	Hamilton Academical	0	1558	10.06%	20.25%
8	2010-03-20	46.6	@ Celtic	3	1819	64.08%	St. Johnstone	0	1617	12.88%	23.05%
9	2010-01-27	46.7	Rangers	2	1888	70.62%	@ St. Mirren	0	1545	9.63%	19.75%
10	2010-04-17	46.9	@ Hamilton Academical	3	1584	46.52%	Kilmarnock	0	1538	25.01%	28.46%
11	2010-04-18	46.9	@ Rangers	2	1895	71.00%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1618	9.46%	19.54%
12	2010-03-07	47.5	Celtic	2	1813	65.50%	@ Falkirk	0	1526	12.12%	22.38%
13	2009-12-05	47.9	@ Celtic	3	1816	60.40%	Aberdeen	0	1650	14.98%	24.62%
14	2010-02-14	48.1	@ Rangers	3	1895	60.88%	Hibernian	0	1725	14.69%	24.43%
15	2010-05-01	48.4	@ Celtic	4	1812	58.43%	Motherwell	0	1665	16.20%	25.37%
16	2009-09-19	48.6	@ Hibernian	3	1631	48.03%	St. Johnstone	0	1573	23.76%	28.21%
17	2010-02-10	48.6	@ Celtic	2	1808	63.99%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1607	12.92%	23.08%
18	2009-11-28	48.9	@ Hibernian	2	1686	56.56%	Falkirk	0	1556	17.41%	26.02%
19	2009-08-29	49.1	@ Rangers	4	1803	69.70%	Hamilton Academical	1	1541	10.06%	20.25%
20	2009-09-26	49.2	Celtic	2	1814	61.31%	@ St. Mirren	0	1569	14.43%	24.25%
21	2010-04-03	49.3	@ Rangers	1	1892	75.41%	Hamilton Academical	0	1562	7.57%	17.02%
22	2010-01-23	49.4	@ Hibernian	5	1697	59.23%	Hamilton Academical	1	1542	15.69%	25.08%
23	2010-02-21	49.4	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1606	48.11%	Hamilton Academical	0	1547	23.70%	28.19%
24	2009-12-19	49.7	@ Rangers	6	1844	64.64%	Motherwell	1	1636	12.57%	22.79%
25	2009-08-15	49.8	@ Kilmarnock	3	1605	43.17%	Hamilton Academical	0	1585	27.92%	28.91%