2010-11 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

93 points · 54th Title

Last Title: 2009-10

Relegated

Hamilton Academical

26 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Inverness CT

8.05 points above expected

53 points · 44.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Heart of Midlothian

4.19 points below expected

63 points · 67.19 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rangers	33	26	2	5	80	72	28	+44	68.93	+11.07
2	Celtic	33	25	4	4	79	72	21	+51	68.62	+10.38
3	Heart of Midlothian	33	18	7	8	61	47	31	+16	52.42	+8.58
4	Dundee United	33	14	10	9	52	44	41	+3	23.17	+28.83
5	Kilmarnock	33	13	8	12	47	47	41	+6	43.32	+3.68
6	Motherwell	33	13	5	15	44	36	43	-7	45.98	-1.98
7	Inverness CT	33	10	11	12	41	44	42	+2	48.26	-7.26
8	Hibernian	33	10	6	17	36	36	52	-16	39.99	-3.99
9	St. Johnstone	33	8	10	15	34	18	39	-21	37.73	-3.73
10	Aberdeen	33	9	4	20	31	34	54	-20	36.02	-5.02
11	St. Mirren	33	7	7	19	28	31	54	-23	31.81	-3.81
12	Hamilton Academical	33	3	10	20	19	20	55	-35	30.62	-11.62

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rangers Champion	38	30	3	5	93	88	29	+59	89.88	+3.12
2	Celtic	38	29	5	4	92	85	22	+63	89.10	+2.90
3	Heart of Midlothian	38	18	9	11	63	53	45	+8	67.19	-4.19
4	Dundee United	38	17	10	11	61	55	50	+5	53.16	+7.84
5	Kilmarnock	38	13	10	15	49	53	55	-2	48.92	+0.08
6	Motherwell	38	13	7	18	46	40	60	-20	45.57	+0.43
7	Inverness CT	38	14	11	13	53	52	44	+8	44.95	+8.05
8	St. Johnstone	38	11	11	16	44	23	43	-20	40.83	+3.17
9	Aberdeen	38	11	5	22	38	39	59	-20	38.12	-0.12
10	Hibernian	38	10	7	21	37	39	61	-22	35.81	+1.19
11	St. Mirren	38	8	9	21	33	33	57	-24	32.83	+0.17
12	Hamilton Academical Relegated	38	5	11	22	26	24	59	-35	24.09	+1.91

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Inverness CT	53	44.95	+8.05
2	Dundee United	61	53.16	+7.84
3	St. Johnstone	44	40.83	+3.17
4	Rangers	93	89.88	+3.12
5	Celtic	92	89.10	+2.90

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Heart of Midlothian	63	67.19	-4.19
2	Aberdeen	38	38.12	-0.12
3	Kilmarnock	49	48.92	+0.08
4	St. Mirren	33	32.83	+0.17
5	Motherwell	46	45.57	+0.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dundee United	6	Mar 1 – Apr 2	1 in 222
2	Heart of Midlothian	6	Nov 7 – Dec 14	1 in 203
3	Hibernian	5	Feb 2 – Mar 1	1 in 124
4	Rangers	9	Aug 14 – Oct 24	1 in 85
5	Celtic	8	Aug 14 – Oct 17	1 in 56

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aberdeen	7	Oct 30 – Dec 11	1 in 99
2	Inverness CT	3	Dec 26 – Jan 2	1 in 65
3	St. Mirren	4	Sep 11 – Oct 2	1 in 23
4	St. Johnstone	4	Oct 30 – Nov 13	1 in 20
5	Hamilton Academical	4	Nov 6 – Nov 20	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Heart of Midlothian	11	Nov 7 – Jan 22	1 in 106
2	Dundee United	8	Nov 13 – Jan 30	1 in 43
3	Hibernian	7	Feb 2 – Apr 3	1 in 37
4	Inverness CT	6	Nov 9 – Dec 18	1 in 23
5	Celtic	14	Nov 14 – Feb 20	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Inverness CT	11	Nov 27 – Feb 12	1 in 546
2	Hamilton Academical	22	Nov 6 – Apr 10	1 in 320
3	Motherwell	8	Nov 13 – Jan 15	1 in 65
4	Heart of Midlothian	8	Apr 3 – May 15	1 in 59
5	Hibernian	10	Nov 20 – Jan 30	1 in 40

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Rangers	1890	93	+47	13	10.1	+2.9
Celtic	1891	92	+21	12	11.2	+0.8
Heart of Midlothian	1621	63	-34	2	5.8	-3.8
Dundee United	1679	61	+23	9	6.5	+2.5
Inverness CT	1628	53	+25	12	8.0	+4.0
Kilmarnock	1571	49	-25	2	4.8	-2.8
Motherwell	1535	46	-45	2	4.3	-2.3
St. Johnstone	1522	44	+16	10	6.7	+3.3
Aberdeen	1515	38	-5	7	7.3	-0.3
Hibernian	1497	37	-52	1	7.7	-6.7
St. Mirren	1462	33	-3	5	5.7	-0.7
Hamilton Academical	1437	26	+11	7	5.1	+1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DU	HA	HOM	HIB	IC	KIL	MOT	RAN	SJ	SM
Aberdeen	—	0-0-3 1.49	0-1-2 3.31	3-1-0 6.06	0-1-2 2.93	3-0-1 4.89	2-0-2 4.08	1-0-2 3.70	0-1-2 3.59	0-0-3 1.64	1-1-2 5.74	1-0-3 6.34
Celtic	3-0-0 6.97	—	3-1-0 8.35	2-1-0 7.13	3-0-1 8.09	3-0-0 6.66	1-1-1 5.99	3-1-0 8.66	3-0-1 8.65	2-1-1 5.50	3-0-0 6.66	3-0-0 6.82
Dundee United	2-1-0 5.01	0-1-3 2.83	—	2-1-0 5.73	2-1-1 5.23	2-1-0 4.96	2-0-1 4.73	2-2-0 6.05	2-0-2 6.13	1-0-3 3.05	2-1-0 5.16	0-2-1 5.39
Hamilton Academical	0-1-3 5.05	0-1-2 1.36	0-1-2 2.63	—	0-0-3 2.86	2-1-1 4.00	1-1-2 3.44	0-2-1 3.50	1-1-1 2.65	0-0-3 1.42	0-1-3 4.42	1-2-1 5.18
Heart of Midlothian	2-1-0 5.42	1-0-3 3.07	1-1-2 5.86	3-0-0 5.49	—	2-1-0 5.17	1-2-0 4.34	1-1-2 6.93	1-2-1 6.35	1-0-3 3.26	2-1-0 5.08	3-0-0 5.87
Hibernian	1-0-3 6.21	0-0-3 1.76	0-1-2 3.37	1-1-2 7.11	0-1-2 3.16	—	1-1-2 4.47	2-0-1 3.79	2-0-1 3.46	1-0-2 1.84	0-2-2 6.20	2-1-1 6.48
Inverness CT	2-0-2 7.03	1-1-1 2.39	1-0-2 3.60	2-1-1 7.69	0-2-1 3.98	2-1-1 6.63	—	1-1-1 4.61	1-1-1 4.19	0-2-1 2.23	2-1-1 6.65	2-1-1 7.52
Kilmarnock	2-0-1 4.63	0-1-3 2.54	0-2-2 5.05	1-2-0 4.83	2-1-1 4.18	1-0-2 4.54	1-1-1 3.72	—	2-1-1 5.59	0-0-4 2.42	1-2-0 4.72	3-0-0 5.01
Motherwell	2-1-0 4.73	1-0-3 2.57	2-0-2 4.97	1-1-1 5.70	1-2-1 4.75	1-0-2 4.87	1-1-1 4.13	1-1-2 5.50	—	0-0-4 2.77	2-0-1 4.86	1-1-1 5.68
Rangers	3-0-0 6.80	1-1-2 5.59	3-0-1 8.11	3-0-0 7.05	3-0-1 7.90	2-0-1 6.58	1-2-0 6.14	4-0-0 8.80	4-0-0 8.41	—	3-0-0 6.69	3-0-0 7.23
St. Johnstone	2-1-1 5.35	0-0-3 1.77	0-1-2 3.17	3-1-0 6.68	0-1-2 3.26	2-2-0 4.90	1-1-2 4.45	0-2-1 3.61	1-0-2 3.47	0-0-3 1.73	—	2-2-0 6.21
St. Mirren	3-0-1 4.76	0-0-3 1.63	1-2-0 2.95	1-2-1 5.91	0-0-3 2.49	1-1-2 4.62	1-1-2 3.62	0-0-3 3.32	1-1-1 2.66	0-0-3 1.26	0-2-2 4.88	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.90	+9.8
Allowed	0.82	-15.3
Differential	0.96	+6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.70%	9.21%	7.89%	3.29%	3.07%	1.10%	30.26%
1	9.21%	12.28%	8.55%	3.07%	0.66%	0.22%	33.99%
2	7.89%	8.55%	2.63%	1.54%	0.66%	—	21.27%
3	3.29%	3.07%	1.54%	0.88%	—	—	8.77%
4	3.07%	0.66%	0.66%	—	—	—	4.39%
5+	1.10%	0.22%	—	—	—	—	1.32%
Total	30.26%	33.99%	21.27%	8.77%	4.39%	1.32%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.28	+0.00
SD	1.23	1.23	1.98
CV	0.96	0.96	—
Max	9	9	+9
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	18.42%	10.53%	2.63%	—	5.26%	42.11%
1	10.53%	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
2	5.26%	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	—	13.16%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	26.32%	31.58%	23.68%	13.16%	—	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.55	-0.53
SD	1.26	1.70	2.35
CV	1.23	1.10	—
Max	5	9	+5
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
1	18.42%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
2	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
3	15.79%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	23.68%
4	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	60.53%	26.32%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.24	0.58	+1.66
SD	1.63	0.86	2.04
CV	0.73	1.48	—
Max	9	3	+9
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	7.89%	—	13.16%
1	10.53%	21.05%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	50.00%
2	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	34.21%	23.68%	2.63%	10.53%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.32	+0.13
SD	1.03	1.23	1.88
CV	0.71	0.94	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	15.79%	10.53%	2.63%	7.89%	—	44.74%
1	10.53%	15.79%	13.16%	7.89%	—	—	47.37%
2	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	34.21%	28.95%	10.53%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.63	1.55	-0.92
SD	0.63	1.16	1.36
CV	1.00	0.74	—
Max	2	4	+1
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	28.95%
1	10.53%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	26.32%
2	15.79%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	39.47%	23.68%	21.05%	10.53%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.18	+0.21
SD	1.24	1.23	2.07
CV	0.89	1.04	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	10.53%	13.16%	7.89%	—	—	34.21%
1	5.26%	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
2	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	26.32%
3	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	31.58%	34.21%	13.16%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.61	-0.58
SD	0.91	1.08	1.50
CV	0.89	0.67	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	15.79%	7.89%	—	—	—	26.32%
1	2.63%	21.05%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
2	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
4	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	50.00%	21.05%	7.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.16	+0.21
SD	1.17	0.86	1.53
CV	0.86	0.74	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	2.63%	13.16%
1	5.26%	18.42%	21.05%	—	—	2.63%	47.37%
2	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	26.32%
3	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	31.58%	28.95%	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.45	-0.05
SD	0.89	1.35	1.87
CV	0.64	0.93	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	39.47%
1	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	26.32%
2	10.53%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
3	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	39.47%	7.89%	10.53%	10.53%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.58	-0.53
SD	1.06	1.59	2.14
CV	1.01	1.01	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	13.16%
1	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	18.42%
2	10.53%	15.79%	—	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
3	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	18.42%
5+	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	47.37%	36.84%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.32	0.76	+1.55
SD	1.56	0.91	2.04
CV	0.67	1.20	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.42%	10.53%	15.79%	7.89%	5.26%	—	57.89%
1	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	23.68%
2	7.89%	10.53%	—	—	—	—	18.42%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.84%	31.58%	18.42%	7.89%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.61	1.13	-0.53
SD	0.79	1.17	1.62
CV	1.30	1.03	—
Max	2	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	15.79%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	42.11%
1	7.89%	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	36.84%
2	—	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	36.84%	31.58%	13.16%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.87	1.50	-0.63
SD	0.93	1.01	1.28
CV	1.08	0.67	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1891	92	68.62	+23.38	97.0%	54	58	64	68	73	79	81
Rangers	1890	93	68.93	+24.07	94.0%	55	58	63	68	73	81	87
Dundee United	1679	61	23.17	+37.83	65.0%	3	7	16	24	29	35	46
Inverness CT	1628	53	48.26	+4.74	15.0%	32	37	45	48	52	58	63
Heart of Midlothian	1621	63	52.42	+10.58	87.0%	26	40	47	53	57	66	74
Kilmarnock	1571	49	43.32	+5.68	70.0%	24	31	36	43	48	55	57
Motherwell	1535	46	45.98	+0.02	43.0%	25	33	40	47	52	58	68
St. Johnstone	1522	44	37.73	+6.27	32.0%	25	28	33	37	42	48	61
Aberdeen	1515	38	36.02	+1.98	23.0%	16	25	32	36	42	47	51
Hibernian	1497	37	39.99	-2.99	31.0%	23	27	36	39	44	52	60
St. Mirren	1462	33	31.81	+1.19	31.0%	19	21	28	32	36	41	51
Hamilton Academical	1437	26	30.62	-4.62	6.0%	11	19	27	31	35	41	46

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+3.95%

No Edge

41.23%21.49%37.28%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 13.72 Elo pts.

159 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.20 goals

Neutral

-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.2

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

47%

Rangers, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.03/gm

Photo Finish

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.73 * Some Luck: 5.73 to 8.6 * Lucky: 8.6 to 11.46 * Wild Swing: 11.46 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.04 * Close: 1.04 to 1.56 * Off: 1.56 to 2.08 * Way Off: 2.08 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.56 * A Surprise: 0.56 to 0.9 * Several Surprises: 0.9 to 1.23 * Many Surprises: 1.23 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.03 points

Some Luck

07.1618

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.50

01.303

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

97.00%

Celtic

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

6.00%

Hamilton Academical

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 1

Several Surprises

00.61

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 135.77

2.58

Wide Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

69%

Clear Edge

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 94%

93%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

60%

Frequent

0%55%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Rare

0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.56

Highly Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.36

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.07

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.57

Some Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.18

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.19

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.083

Well Within Noise

00.1110.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Rangers	47.00%	45.00%	8.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	48.00%	42.00%	9.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	4.00%	9.00%	36.00%	21.00%	15.00%	7.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Dundee United	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	11.00%	23.00%	53.00%
Kilmarnock	—	—	12.00%	15.00%	20.00%	16.00%	10.00%	10.00%	6.00%	8.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Motherwell	1.00%	2.00%	12.00%	20.00%	20.00%	17.00%	13.00%	4.00%	7.00%	4.00%	—	—
Inverness CT	—	1.00%	18.00%	27.00%	22.00%	14.00%	8.00%	6.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
St. Johnstone	—	1.00%	1.00%	6.00%	6.00%	10.00%	16.00%	22.00%	17.00%	10.00%	10.00%	1.00%
Aberdeen	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	12.00%	15.00%	14.00%	19.00%	15.00%	9.00%	7.00%
Hibernian	—	—	3.00%	8.00%	10.00%	18.00%	15.00%	21.00%	14.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%
St. Mirren	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	10.00%	9.00%	16.00%	21.00%	29.00%	12.00%
Hamilton Academical	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	4.00%	8.00%	16.00%	25.00%	24.00%	20.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Rangers	60.67%	39.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	39.33%	60.67%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	99.96%	0.04%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee United	—	—	0.04%	82.37%	15.81%	1.78%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	15.05%	65.00%	19.95%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	—	—	2.54%	19.19%	78.27%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Inverness CT	—	—	—	—	—	—	78.36%	16.81%	4.06%	0.72%	0.05%	—
St. Johnstone	—	—	—	—	—	—	16.05%	51.68%	23.03%	8.18%	1.06%	—
Aberdeen	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.65%	21.98%	41.72%	24.70%	6.92%	0.03%
Hibernian	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.85%	7.57%	24.08%	45.48%	21.77%	0.25%
St. Mirren	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.09%	1.96%	7.10%	20.70%	67.73%	2.42%
Hamilton Academical	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.22%	2.47%	97.30%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Celtic	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Inverness CT	100%	—
Motherwell	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
Hibernian	98.00%	2.00%
Kilmarnock	98.00%	2.00%
St. Johnstone	97.00%	3.00%
Aberdeen	93.00%	7.00%
Hamilton Academical	79.00%	21.00%
St. Mirren	79.00%	21.00%
Dundee United	56.00%	44.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Celtic	100%	—
Dundee United	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Inverness CT	100%	—
Kilmarnock	100%	—
Motherwell	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
St. Johnstone	100%	—
Aberdeen	99.97%	0.03%
Hibernian	99.75%	0.25%
St. Mirren	97.58%	2.42%
Hamilton Academical	2.70%	97.30%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2010-08-14	Celtic	L 0-1	55.4	1606	1721	25.64%	22.18%	52.18%	-0.64	-6.5	0
2010-08-14	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	55.4	1721	1606	52.18%	22.18%	25.64%	+0.64	+6.5	3
2010-08-14	Dundee United	D 1-1	69.6	1544	1623	29.90%	22.54%	47.56%	-0.41	+0.9	1
2010-08-14	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	69.6	1623	1544	47.56%	22.54%	29.90%	+0.41	-0.9	1
2010-08-14	Hamilton Academical	W 4-0	52.9	1534	1590	32.84%	22.69%	44.47%	-0.26	+36.6	3
2010-08-14	@ Aberdeen	L 0-4	52.9	1590	1534	44.47%	22.69%	32.84%	+0.26	-36.6	0
2010-08-14	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	56.5	1763	1516	68.32%	19.09%	12.59%	+1.63	+3.2	3
2010-08-14	@ Rangers	L 1-2	56.5	1516	1763	12.59%	19.09%	68.32%	-1.63	-3.2	0
2010-08-14	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	69.3	1571	1589	37.99%	22.80%	39.21%	-0.03	+0.1	1
2010-08-14	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	69.3	1589	1571	39.21%	22.80%	37.99%	+0.03	-0.1	1
2010-08-15	Hibernian	L 2-3	70.1	1600	1591	41.76%	22.77%	35.48%	+0.14	-8.7	0
2010-08-15	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	70.1	1591	1600	35.48%	22.77%	41.76%	-0.14	+8.7	3
2010-08-21	Aberdeen	L 0-1	57.8	1588	1571	43.03%	22.74%	34.24%	+0.20	-10.0	1
2010-08-21	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	57.8	1571	1588	34.24%	22.74%	43.03%	-0.20	+10.0	6
2010-08-21	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	51.0	1553	1571	38.06%	22.80%	39.14%	-0.02	-32.4	0
2010-08-21	@ Hamilton Academical	W 4-0	51.0	1571	1553	39.14%	22.80%	38.06%	+0.02	+32.4	4
2010-08-22	Inverness CT	L 0-4	55.1	1622	1600	43.72%	22.72%	33.56%	+0.23	-36.1	1
2010-08-22	@ Dundee United	W 4-0	55.1	1600	1622	33.56%	22.72%	43.72%	-0.23	+36.1	3
2010-08-22	Motherwell	L 0-1	52.2	1513	1591	29.98%	22.55%	47.47%	-0.40	-7.5	0
2010-08-22	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	52.2	1591	1513	47.47%	22.55%	29.98%	+0.40	+7.5	3
2010-08-22	Rangers	L 0-3	49.9	1600	1766	20.51%	21.43%	58.06%	-0.96	-14.7	3
2010-08-22	@ Hibernian	W 3-0	49.9	1766	1600	58.06%	21.43%	20.51%	+0.96	+14.7	6
2010-08-22	St. Mirren	W 4-0	47.3	1728	1545	62.56%	20.59%	16.85%	+1.23	+16.0	6
2010-08-22	@ Celtic	L 0-4	47.3	1545	1728	16.85%	20.59%	62.56%	-1.23	-16.0	1
2010-08-28	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	61.1	1636	1521	55.43%	21.81%	22.76%	+0.81	-12.4	3
2010-08-28	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	61.1	1521	1636	22.76%	21.81%	55.43%	-0.81	+12.4	3
2010-08-28	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	57.7	1581	1506	50.64%	22.32%	27.04%	+0.56	-11.4	6
2010-08-28	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	57.7	1506	1581	27.04%	22.32%	50.64%	-0.56	+11.4	3
2010-08-28	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	58.6	1781	1578	64.45%	20.15%	15.39%	+1.36	+3.9	9
2010-08-28	@ Rangers	L 1-2	58.6	1578	1781	15.39%	20.15%	64.45%	-1.36	-3.9	1
2010-08-29	Celtic	L 0-1	54.5	1599	1744	22.50%	21.77%	55.73%	-0.82	-5.8	3
2010-08-29	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	54.5	1744	1599	55.73%	21.77%	22.50%	+0.82	+5.8	9
2010-08-29	Dundee United	D 1-1	70.1	1603	1586	42.95%	22.74%	34.31%	+0.19	-0.4	5
2010-08-29	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	70.1	1586	1603	34.31%	22.74%	42.95%	-0.19	+0.4	2
2010-08-29	Hibernian	W 1-0	56.9	1529	1585	32.77%	22.69%	44.55%	-0.27	+10.2	4
2010-08-29	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	56.9	1585	1529	44.55%	22.69%	32.77%	+0.27	-10.2	3
2010-09-11	Aberdeen	W 3-1	59.0	1586	1569	42.94%	22.74%	34.32%	+0.19	+13.6	5
2010-09-11	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	59.0	1569	1586	34.32%	22.74%	42.94%	-0.19	-13.6	6
2010-09-11	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	49.5	1749	1603	58.96%	21.28%	19.76%	+1.01	+14.2	12
2010-09-11	@ Celtic	L 0-3	49.5	1603	1749	19.76%	21.28%	58.96%	-1.01	-14.2	5
2010-09-11	Inverness CT	D 1-1	70.3	1575	1623	33.81%	22.72%	43.46%	-0.22	+0.5	4
2010-09-11	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	70.3	1623	1575	43.46%	22.72%	33.81%	+0.22	-0.5	4
2010-09-11	Motherwell	L 0-2	53.8	1575	1593	37.97%	22.80%	39.24%	-0.03	-17.0	1
2010-09-11	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	53.8	1593	1575	39.24%	22.80%	37.97%	+0.03	+17.0	6
2010-09-11	Rangers	L 1-2	57.6	1533	1785	13.94%	19.65%	66.41%	-1.49	-3.5	3
2010-09-11	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	57.6	1785	1533	66.41%	19.65%	13.94%	+1.49	+3.5	12
2010-09-11	St. Mirren	W 2-1	60.1	1517	1540	37.37%	22.79%	39.83%	-0.05	+8.8	6
2010-09-11	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	60.1	1540	1517	39.83%	22.79%	37.37%	+0.05	-8.8	4
2010-09-18	Aberdeen	D 1-1	69.6	1610	1556	47.94%	22.52%	29.54%	+0.43	-0.9	7
2010-09-18	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	69.6	1556	1610	29.54%	22.52%	47.94%	-0.43	+0.9	7
2010-09-18	Dundee United	W 4-0	48.4	1788	1600	63.12%	20.46%	16.41%	+1.27	+15.6	15
2010-09-18	@ Rangers	L 0-4	48.4	1600	1788	16.41%	20.46%	63.12%	-1.27	-15.6	5
2010-09-18	Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	67.8	1576	1530	46.88%	22.58%	30.54%	+0.37	-0.8	5
2010-09-18	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	67.8	1530	1576	30.54%	22.58%	46.88%	-0.37	+0.8	4
2010-09-18	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	63.6	1623	1588	45.35%	22.65%	32.00%	+0.30	-17.0	4
2010-09-18	@ Inverness CT	W 3-1	63.6	1588	1623	32.00%	22.65%	45.35%	-0.30	+17.0	8
2010-09-18	St. Mirren	W 2-1	59.1	1558	1531	44.31%	22.70%	33.00%	+0.25	+7.6	4
2010-09-18	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	59.1	1531	1558	33.00%	22.70%	44.31%	-0.25	-7.6	4
2010-09-19	Celtic	L 1-2	57.6	1526	1764	14.85%	19.97%	65.18%	-1.41	-3.7	6
2010-09-19	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	57.6	1764	1526	65.18%	19.97%	14.85%	+1.41	+3.7	15
2010-09-25	Hibernian	W 2-1	58.7	1767	1575	63.55%	20.37%	16.08%	+1.30	+4.0	18
2010-09-25	@ Celtic	L 1-2	58.7	1575	1767	16.08%	20.37%	63.55%	-1.30	-4.0	5
2010-09-25	Inverness CT	L 1-2	59.3	1523	1606	29.39%	22.51%	48.10%	-0.43	-6.9	4
2010-09-25	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	59.3	1606	1523	48.10%	22.51%	29.39%	+0.43	+6.9	7
2010-09-25	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	72.5	1530	1522	41.70%	22.77%	35.53%	+0.14	-0.2	5
2010-09-25	@ Hamilton Academical	D 2-2	72.5	1522	1530	35.53%	22.77%	41.70%	-0.14	+0.2	7
2010-09-25	Motherwell	L 0-2	55.5	1605	1609	40.05%	22.79%	37.15%	+0.06	-17.7	8
2010-09-25	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	55.5	1609	1605	37.15%	22.79%	40.05%	-0.06	+17.7	10
2010-09-25	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	54.8	1584	1565	43.25%	22.73%	34.02%	+0.21	+8.3	8
2010-09-25	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	54.8	1565	1584	34.02%	22.73%	43.25%	-0.21	-8.3	4
2010-09-26	Rangers	L 2-3	63.5	1557	1804	14.23%	19.75%	66.02%	-1.46	-3.4	7
2010-09-26	@ Aberdeen	W 3-2	63.5	1804	1557	66.02%	19.75%	14.23%	+1.46	+3.4	18
2010-10-02	Aberdeen	W 2-0	50.9	1613	1553	48.65%	22.47%	28.88%	+0.46	+13.7	10
2010-10-02	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	50.9	1553	1613	28.88%	22.47%	48.65%	-0.46	-13.7	7
2010-10-02	Dundee United	L 1-2	59.4	1523	1593	30.96%	22.60%	46.44%	-0.35	-7.2	7
2010-10-02	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	59.4	1593	1523	46.44%	22.60%	30.96%	+0.35	+7.2	11
2010-10-02	Hamilton Academical	W 3-1	54.3	1771	1530	67.89%	19.22%	12.89%	+1.60	+5.6	21
2010-10-02	@ Celtic	L 1-3	54.3	1530	1771	12.89%	19.22%	67.89%	-1.60	-5.6	5
2010-10-02	Hibernian	W 2-0	52.9	1557	1571	38.59%	22.80%	38.61%	+0.00	+17.2	7
2010-10-02	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	52.9	1571	1557	38.61%	22.80%	38.59%	+0.00	-17.2	5
2010-10-02	Rangers	L 1-2	59.2	1588	1807	16.12%	20.38%	63.50%	-1.29	-4.0	8
2010-10-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	59.2	1807	1588	63.50%	20.38%	16.12%	+1.29	+4.0	21
2010-10-02	St. Mirren	W 3-1	55.0	1627	1516	54.92%	21.87%	23.21%	+0.78	+9.8	13
2010-10-02	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	55.0	1516	1627	23.21%	21.87%	54.92%	-0.78	-9.8	4
2010-10-16	Hamilton Academical	D 2-2	71.7	1506	1525	37.96%	22.80%	39.25%	-0.03	+0.0	5
2010-10-16	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	71.7	1525	1506	39.25%	22.80%	37.96%	+0.03	-0.0	6
2010-10-16	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	54.1	1540	1584	34.39%	22.74%	42.87%	-0.19	-8.4	7
2010-10-16	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	54.1	1584	1540	42.87%	22.74%	34.39%	+0.19	+8.4	11
2010-10-16	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	58.0	1554	1515	45.84%	22.63%	31.53%	+0.33	+7.3	8
2010-10-16	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	58.0	1515	1554	31.53%	22.63%	45.84%	-0.33	-7.3	7
2010-10-16	Motherwell	W 4-1	54.7	1811	1636	61.82%	20.75%	17.44%	+1.18	+10.7	24
2010-10-16	@ Rangers	L 1-4	54.7	1636	1811	17.44%	20.75%	61.82%	-1.18	-10.7	13
2010-10-16	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	70.4	1626	1574	47.71%	22.53%	29.76%	+0.41	-0.9	11
2010-10-16	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	70.4	1574	1626	29.76%	22.53%	47.71%	-0.41	+0.9	8
2010-10-17	Celtic	L 1-2	60.3	1600	1777	19.51%	21.23%	59.26%	-1.03	-4.8	11
2010-10-17	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	60.3	1777	1600	59.26%	21.23%	19.51%	+1.03	+4.8	24
2010-10-23	Dundee United	W 2-1	62.6	1626	1595	44.84%	22.68%	32.49%	+0.28	+7.5	16
2010-10-23	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	62.6	1595	1626	32.49%	22.68%	44.84%	-0.28	-7.5	11
2010-10-23	Hibernian	W 4-2	62.7	1531	1561	36.36%	22.78%	40.86%	-0.10	+14.0	10
2010-10-23	@ Aberdeen	L 2-4	62.7	1561	1531	40.86%	22.78%	36.36%	+0.10	-14.0	8
2010-10-23	Inverness CT	L 1-2	58.1	1508	1626	25.36%	22.15%	52.50%	-0.65	-6.1	7
2010-10-23	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	58.1	1626	1508	52.50%	22.15%	25.36%	+0.65	+6.1	14
2010-10-23	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	59.7	1525	1575	33.50%	22.71%	43.79%	-0.23	-7.7	6
2010-10-23	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	59.7	1575	1525	43.79%	22.71%	33.50%	+0.23	+7.7	11
2010-10-23	St. Mirren	W 3-0	46.5	1592	1506	51.93%	22.20%	25.86%	+0.62	+18.1	14
2010-10-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	46.5	1506	1592	25.86%	22.20%	51.93%	-0.62	-18.1	5
2010-10-24	Rangers	L 1-3	63.7	1782	1822	34.92%	22.75%	42.32%	-0.16	-13.8	24
2010-10-24	@ Celtic	W 3-1	63.7	1822	1782	42.32%	22.75%	34.92%	+0.16	+13.8	27
2010-10-30	Aberdeen	W 2-1	60.7	1488	1545	32.65%	22.68%	44.67%	-0.27	+9.7	8
2010-10-30	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	60.7	1545	1488	44.67%	22.68%	32.65%	+0.27	-9.7	10
2010-10-30	Celtic	L 0-3	49.2	1583	1768	18.81%	21.08%	60.11%	-1.08	-13.6	11
2010-10-30	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-0	49.2	1768	1583	60.11%	21.08%	18.81%	+1.08	+13.6	27
2010-10-30	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	61.0	1633	1517	55.61%	21.79%	22.61%	+0.82	-12.4	16
2010-10-30	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	61.0	1517	1633	22.61%	21.79%	55.61%	-0.82	+12.4	9
2010-10-30	Hibernian	W 1-0	53.5	1588	1547	46.18%	22.62%	31.20%	+0.34	+7.7	14
2010-10-30	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	53.5	1547	1588	31.20%	22.62%	46.18%	-0.34	-7.7	8
2010-10-30	Inverness CT	D 1-1	74.2	1836	1632	64.62%	20.11%	15.27%	+1.37	-2.6	28
2010-10-30	@ Rangers	D 1-1	74.2	1632	1836	15.27%	20.11%	64.62%	-1.37	+2.6	15
2010-10-31	Kilmarnock	L 0-3	55.5	1610	1502	54.64%	21.91%	23.45%	+0.76	-33.5	14
2010-10-31	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	55.5	1502	1610	23.45%	21.91%	54.64%	-0.76	+33.5	10
2010-11-06	Aberdeen	W 9-0	47.7	1782	1536	68.30%	19.10%	12.60%	+1.63	+25.8	30
2010-11-06	@ Celtic	L 0-9	47.7	1536	1782	12.60%	19.10%	68.30%	-1.63	-25.8	10
2010-11-06	Dundee United	L 0-1	53.3	1529	1595	31.48%	22.63%	45.89%	-0.33	-7.8	9
2010-11-06	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	53.3	1595	1529	45.89%	22.63%	31.48%	+0.33	+7.8	17
2010-11-06	Kilmarnock	L 0-3	52.7	1569	1535	45.26%	22.66%	32.08%	+0.30	-28.4	11
2010-11-06	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-0	52.7	1535	1569	32.08%	22.66%	45.26%	-0.30	+28.4	13
2010-11-06	Motherwell	L 1-2	66.2	1634	1621	42.45%	22.75%	34.80%	+0.17	-9.3	15
2010-11-06	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	66.2	1621	1634	34.80%	22.75%	42.45%	-0.17	+9.3	19
2010-11-07	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	51.5	1539	1576	35.28%	22.76%	41.96%	-0.15	-16.1	8
2010-11-07	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	51.5	1576	1539	41.96%	22.76%	35.28%	+0.15	+16.1	17
2010-11-07	Rangers	L 1-3	53.1	1498	1833	9.50%	17.47%	73.03%	-2.02	-4.1	8
2010-11-07	@ St. Mirren	W 3-1	53.1	1833	1498	73.03%	17.47%	9.50%	+2.02	+4.1	31
2010-11-09	Inverness CT	L 1-2	58.2	1510	1625	25.61%	22.17%	52.22%	-0.64	-6.2	10
2010-11-09	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	58.2	1625	1510	52.22%	22.17%	25.61%	+0.64	+6.2	18
2010-11-10	Celtic	W 2-0	64.1	1593	1807	16.46%	20.48%	63.06%	-1.26	+26.2	20
2010-11-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	64.1	1807	1593	63.06%	20.48%	16.46%	+1.26	-26.2	30
2010-11-10	Hamilton Academical	W 3-0	47.7	1564	1522	46.40%	22.60%	30.99%	+0.35	+21.0	16
2010-11-10	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-3	47.7	1522	1564	30.99%	22.60%	46.40%	-0.35	-21.0	9
2010-11-10	Hibernian	L 0-3	64.5	1837	1523	73.49%	17.29%	9.22%	+2.06	-43.5	31
2010-11-10	@ Rangers	W 3-0	64.5	1523	1837	9.22%	17.29%	73.49%	-2.06	+43.5	11
2010-11-10	St. Johnstone	W 4-0	48.3	1630	1541	52.42%	22.15%	25.42%	+0.65	+23.3	22
2010-11-10	@ Motherwell	L 0-4	48.3	1541	1630	25.42%	22.15%	52.42%	-0.65	-23.3	11
2010-11-10	St. Mirren	L 1-2	65.7	1603	1494	54.76%	21.89%	23.35%	+0.77	-11.5	17
2010-11-10	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	65.7	1494	1603	23.35%	21.89%	54.76%	-0.77	+11.5	11
2010-11-13	Aberdeen	W 2-0	46.5	1793	1504	71.75%	17.95%	10.30%	+1.91	+5.1	34
2010-11-13	@ Rangers	L 0-2	46.5	1504	1793	10.30%	17.95%	71.75%	-1.91	-5.1	10
2010-11-13	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	49.6	1517	1619	27.17%	22.33%	50.50%	-0.55	-13.0	11
2010-11-13	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	49.6	1619	1517	50.50%	22.33%	27.17%	+0.55	+13.0	23
2010-11-13	Inverness CT	L 1-3	54.9	1500	1631	23.95%	21.98%	54.07%	-0.73	-10.1	9
2010-11-13	@ Hamilton Academical	W 3-1	54.9	1631	1500	54.07%	21.98%	23.95%	+0.73	+10.1	21
2010-11-13	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	69.8	1592	1585	41.50%	22.77%	35.73%	+0.13	-0.3	18
2010-11-13	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	69.8	1585	1592	35.73%	22.77%	41.50%	-0.13	+0.3	17
2010-11-13	Motherwell	W 2-1	67.3	1567	1653	28.88%	22.47%	48.65%	-0.46	+10.4	14
2010-11-13	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	67.3	1653	1567	48.65%	22.47%	28.88%	+0.46	-10.4	22
2010-11-14	Celtic	L 0-1	50.0	1506	1781	12.48%	19.05%	68.48%	-1.64	-3.3	11
2010-11-14	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	50.0	1781	1506	68.48%	19.05%	12.48%	+1.64	+3.3	33
2010-11-20	Dundee United	D 1-1	73.6	1784	1591	63.62%	20.35%	16.03%	+1.30	-2.5	34
2010-11-20	@ Celtic	D 1-1	73.6	1591	1784	16.03%	20.35%	63.62%	-1.30	+2.5	19
2010-11-20	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	46.8	1632	1490	58.38%	21.38%	20.24%	+0.97	+10.0	26
2010-11-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	46.8	1490	1632	20.24%	21.38%	58.38%	-0.97	-10.0	9
2010-11-20	Hibernian	W 4-2	62.2	1641	1577	49.27%	22.43%	28.30%	+0.49	+10.4	24
2010-11-20	@ Inverness CT	L 2-4	62.2	1577	1641	28.30%	22.43%	49.27%	-0.49	-10.4	14
2010-11-20	Motherwell	D 1-1	69.2	1502	1643	22.91%	21.83%	55.26%	-0.80	+1.7	12
2010-11-20	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	69.2	1643	1502	55.26%	21.83%	22.91%	+0.80	-1.7	23
2010-11-20	Rangers	L 2-3	64.6	1585	1799	16.56%	20.51%	62.93%	-1.25	-3.9	17
2010-11-20	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-2	64.6	1799	1585	62.93%	20.51%	16.56%	+1.25	+3.9	37
2010-11-20	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	51.5	1499	1504	39.71%	22.79%	37.50%	+0.05	-9.3	10
2010-11-20	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	51.5	1504	1499	37.50%	22.79%	39.71%	-0.05	+9.3	14
2010-11-27	Aberdeen	W 2-0	46.8	1581	1489	52.74%	22.12%	25.13%	+0.66	+12.1	20
2010-11-27	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	46.8	1489	1581	25.13%	22.12%	52.74%	-0.66	-12.2	10
2010-11-27	Inverness CT	D 2-2	80.2	1782	1652	57.18%	21.57%	21.26%	+0.90	-1.4	35
2010-11-27	@ Celtic	D 2-2	80.2	1652	1782	21.26%	21.57%	57.18%	-0.90	+1.4	25
2010-11-27	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	61.7	1567	1514	47.78%	22.53%	29.69%	+0.42	-1.0	15
2010-11-27	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	61.7	1514	1567	29.69%	22.53%	47.78%	-0.42	+1.0	15
2010-11-27	St. Mirren	D 0-0	58.1	1480	1504	37.21%	22.79%	40.00%	-0.06	+0.1	10
2010-11-27	@ Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	58.1	1504	1480	40.00%	22.79%	37.21%	+0.06	-0.2	13
2010-12-11	Aberdeen	W 5-0	44.7	1642	1477	60.83%	20.94%	18.23%	+1.12	+21.2	29
2010-12-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-5	44.7	1477	1642	18.23%	20.94%	60.83%	-1.12	-21.2	10
2010-12-11	Rangers	D 1-1	73.7	1653	1803	22.05%	21.70%	56.25%	-0.85	+1.8	26
2010-12-11	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	73.7	1803	1653	56.25%	21.70%	22.05%	+0.85	-1.8	38
2010-12-11	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	58.5	1504	1515	38.98%	22.80%	38.23%	+0.02	-8.7	13
2010-12-11	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	58.5	1515	1504	38.23%	22.80%	38.98%	-0.02	+8.7	18
2010-12-14	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	65.5	1641	1663	37.47%	22.79%	39.74%	-0.05	-8.4	23
2010-12-14	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	65.5	1663	1641	39.74%	22.79%	37.47%	+0.05	+8.4	32
2010-12-18	Hibernian	W 2-1	61.2	1593	1566	44.44%	22.69%	32.87%	+0.26	+7.6	23
2010-12-18	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	61.2	1566	1593	32.87%	22.69%	44.44%	-0.26	-7.6	15
2010-12-18	Inverness CT	D 1-1	72.4	1671	1655	42.91%	22.74%	34.35%	+0.19	-0.4	33
2010-12-18	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.4	1655	1671	34.35%	22.74%	42.91%	-0.19	+0.4	27
2010-12-21	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	73.5	1781	1601	62.31%	20.64%	17.05%	+1.21	-2.4	36
2010-12-21	@ Celtic	D 1-1	73.5	1601	1781	17.05%	20.64%	62.31%	-1.21	+2.4	24
2010-12-26	Aberdeen	L 1-2	62.5	1558	1456	53.96%	21.99%	24.05%	+0.73	-11.4	15
2010-12-26	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	62.5	1456	1558	24.05%	21.99%	53.96%	-0.73	+11.4	13
2010-12-26	Rangers	L 1-4	55.7	1633	1801	20.33%	21.40%	58.27%	-0.97	-12.3	23
2010-12-26	@ Motherwell	W 4-1	55.7	1801	1633	58.27%	21.40%	20.33%	+0.97	+12.3	41
2010-12-26	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	47.4	1778	1524	69.01%	18.88%	12.11%	+1.69	+6.1	39
2010-12-26	@ Celtic	L 0-2	47.4	1524	1778	12.11%	18.88%	69.01%	-1.69	-6.1	18
2010-12-26	St. Mirren	L 1-2	68.7	1655	1495	60.35%	21.03%	18.61%	+1.09	-12.6	27
2010-12-26	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	68.7	1495	1655	18.61%	21.03%	60.35%	-1.09	+12.6	16
2010-12-29	Aberdeen	L 0-1	50.3	1481	1467	42.45%	22.75%	34.80%	+0.17	-9.8	10
2010-12-29	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	50.3	1467	1481	34.80%	22.75%	42.45%	-0.17	+9.8	16
2010-12-29	Dundee United	D 2-2	75.4	1547	1594	33.94%	22.73%	43.33%	-0.21	+0.3	16
2010-12-29	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	75.4	1594	1547	43.33%	22.73%	33.94%	+0.21	-0.3	20
2010-12-29	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	48.5	1508	1671	20.73%	21.47%	57.79%	-0.94	-10.2	16
2010-12-29	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	48.5	1671	1508	57.79%	21.47%	20.73%	+0.94	+10.2	36
2010-12-29	Kilmarnock	L 1-3	64.4	1643	1603	45.99%	22.63%	31.39%	+0.33	-17.2	27
2010-12-29	@ Inverness CT	W 3-1	64.4	1603	1643	31.39%	22.63%	45.99%	-0.33	+17.2	27
2010-12-29	Motherwell	W 1-0	53.5	1784	1621	60.71%	20.97%	18.32%	+1.11	+4.8	42
2010-12-29	@ Celtic	L 0-1	53.5	1621	1784	18.32%	20.97%	60.71%	-1.11	-4.8	23
2011-01-01	Dundee United	D 1-1	66.7	1477	1593	25.47%	22.16%	52.37%	-0.64	+1.4	17
2011-01-01	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	66.7	1593	1477	52.37%	22.16%	25.47%	+0.64	-1.4	21
2011-01-01	Hibernian	W 1-0	52.3	1681	1547	57.62%	21.50%	20.88%	+0.93	+5.5	39
2011-01-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	52.3	1547	1681	20.88%	21.50%	57.62%	-0.93	-5.5	16
2011-01-01	Motherwell	D 0-0	62.1	1471	1616	22.48%	21.77%	55.75%	-0.83	+1.9	11
2011-01-01	@ Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	62.1	1616	1471	55.75%	21.77%	22.48%	+0.83	-1.9	24
2011-01-02	Celtic	L 0-2	59.8	1813	1789	43.92%	22.71%	33.37%	+0.24	-19.1	41
2011-01-02	@ Rangers	W 2-0	59.8	1789	1813	33.37%	22.71%	43.92%	-0.24	+19.1	45
2011-01-02	Inverness CT	W 1-0	59.6	1517	1625	26.42%	22.26%	51.32%	-0.59	+11.6	21
2011-01-02	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	59.6	1625	1517	51.32%	22.26%	26.42%	+0.59	-11.6	27
2011-01-03	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	48.2	1497	1621	24.75%	22.08%	53.18%	-0.69	-12.0	16
2011-01-03	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	48.2	1621	1497	53.18%	22.08%	24.75%	+0.69	+12.0	30
2011-01-12	Celtic	D 1-1	73.4	1473	1808	9.47%	17.44%	73.09%	-2.02	+3.4	12
2011-01-12	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	73.4	1808	1473	73.09%	17.44%	9.47%	+2.02	-3.4	46
2011-01-12	Motherwell	W 2-0	55.3	1592	1614	37.44%	22.79%	39.77%	-0.05	+17.6	24
2011-01-12	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	55.3	1614	1592	39.77%	22.79%	37.44%	+0.05	-17.6	24
2011-01-15	Celtic	L 0-3	46.9	1541	1805	13.20%	19.36%	67.44%	-1.57	-9.6	16
2011-01-15	@ Hibernian	W 3-0	46.9	1805	1541	67.44%	19.36%	13.20%	+1.57	+9.6	49
2011-01-15	Hamilton Academical	W 4-0	43.9	1794	1476	73.78%	17.17%	9.05%	+2.08	+8.4	44
2011-01-15	@ Rangers	L 0-4	43.9	1476	1794	9.05%	17.17%	73.78%	-2.08	-8.4	12
2011-01-15	Inverness CT	D 0-0	65.3	1596	1614	38.05%	22.80%	39.15%	-0.02	+0.1	25
2011-01-15	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	65.3	1614	1596	39.15%	22.80%	38.05%	+0.02	-0.1	28
2011-01-15	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	69.6	1633	1529	54.11%	21.97%	23.92%	+0.74	-1.5	31
2011-01-15	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	69.6	1529	1633	23.92%	21.97%	54.11%	-0.74	+1.5	22
2011-01-15	St. Mirren	W 2-0	46.8	1478	1485	39.56%	22.79%	37.65%	+0.04	+16.9	20
2011-01-15	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	46.8	1485	1478	37.65%	22.79%	39.56%	-0.04	-16.9	16
2011-01-18	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	64.2	1631	1687	32.80%	22.69%	44.52%	-0.26	-7.6	31
2011-01-18	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	64.2	1687	1631	44.52%	22.69%	32.80%	+0.26	+7.6	42
2011-01-18	Inverness CT	W 1-0	52.9	1802	1614	63.19%	20.45%	16.36%	+1.27	+4.3	47
2011-01-18	@ Rangers	L 0-1	52.9	1614	1802	16.36%	20.45%	63.19%	-1.27	-4.3	28
2011-01-22	Aberdeen	W 1-0	48.7	1814	1495	73.86%	17.14%	9.00%	+2.09	+2.4	52
2011-01-22	@ Celtic	L 0-1	48.7	1495	1814	9.00%	17.14%	73.86%	-2.09	-2.3	20
2011-01-22	Dundee United	D 1-1	71.0	1623	1610	42.49%	22.75%	34.76%	+0.17	-0.4	32
2011-01-22	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	71.0	1610	1623	34.76%	22.75%	42.49%	-0.17	+0.4	25
2011-01-22	Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	67.2	1609	1468	58.43%	21.37%	20.20%	+0.98	-2.0	29
2011-01-22	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	67.2	1468	1609	20.20%	21.37%	58.43%	-0.98	+2.0	13
2011-01-22	Hibernian	W 2-0	49.7	1596	1532	49.30%	22.42%	28.27%	+0.49	+13.4	28
2011-01-22	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	49.7	1532	1596	28.27%	22.42%	49.30%	-0.49	-13.4	16
2011-01-22	Rangers	W 1-0	64.4	1694	1807	25.91%	22.21%	51.88%	-0.62	+11.7	45
2011-01-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	64.4	1807	1694	51.88%	22.21%	25.91%	+0.62	-11.7	47
2011-01-22	St. Mirren	D 0-0	58.8	1531	1469	48.99%	22.45%	28.56%	+0.48	-1.1	23
2011-01-22	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	58.8	1469	1531	28.56%	22.45%	48.99%	-0.48	+1.1	17
2011-01-26	Aberdeen	L 0-2	56.8	1607	1493	55.39%	21.81%	22.80%	+0.81	-23.3	29
2011-01-26	@ Inverness CT	W 2-0	56.8	1493	1607	22.80%	21.81%	55.39%	-0.81	+23.3	23
2011-01-26	Dundee United	D 1-1	67.2	1470	1610	22.95%	21.84%	55.21%	-0.80	+1.6	18
2011-01-26	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	67.2	1610	1470	55.21%	21.84%	22.95%	+0.80	-1.6	26
2011-01-26	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	51.5	1817	1706	54.95%	21.87%	23.18%	+0.78	+21.5	55
2011-01-26	@ Celtic	L 0-4	51.5	1706	1817	23.18%	21.87%	54.95%	-0.78	-21.5	45
2011-01-26	Motherwell	W 1-0	58.6	1529	1610	29.67%	22.53%	47.80%	-0.42	+10.9	26
2011-01-26	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	58.6	1610	1529	47.80%	22.53%	29.67%	+0.42	-10.9	28
2011-01-26	Rangers	L 0-2	47.7	1518	1795	12.42%	19.02%	68.57%	-1.65	-6.2	16
2011-01-26	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	47.7	1795	1518	68.57%	19.02%	12.42%	+1.65	+6.2	50
2011-01-29	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	67.7	1470	1623	21.67%	21.64%	56.70%	-0.88	+1.8	14
2011-01-29	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	67.7	1623	1470	56.70%	21.64%	21.67%	+0.88	-1.8	33
2011-01-29	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	51.9	1685	1540	58.69%	21.33%	19.98%	+0.99	+5.2	48
2011-01-29	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	51.9	1540	1685	19.98%	21.33%	58.69%	-0.99	-5.2	26
2011-01-30	Hibernian	W 3-0	46.8	1608	1512	53.24%	22.07%	24.69%	+0.69	+17.4	29
2011-01-30	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	46.8	1512	1608	24.69%	22.07%	53.24%	-0.69	-17.4	16
2011-02-01	Celtic	L 0-3	45.6	1516	1838	10.08%	17.82%	72.10%	-1.94	-7.3	23
2011-02-01	@ Aberdeen	W 3-0	45.6	1838	1516	72.10%	17.82%	10.08%	+1.94	+7.3	58
2011-02-01	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	45.5	1535	1471	49.20%	22.43%	28.37%	+0.49	+13.5	29
2011-02-01	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	45.5	1471	1535	28.37%	22.43%	49.20%	-0.49	-13.5	14
2011-02-02	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	55.7	1801	1690	55.05%	21.86%	23.10%	+0.79	+6.0	53
2011-02-02	@ Rangers	L 0-1	55.7	1690	1801	23.10%	21.86%	55.05%	-0.79	-6.0	48
2011-02-02	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	57.5	1599	1621	37.37%	22.79%	39.84%	-0.05	-8.9	28
2011-02-02	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	57.5	1621	1599	39.84%	22.79%	37.37%	+0.05	+8.9	36
2011-02-02	St. Mirren	W 2-0	45.6	1495	1471	43.85%	22.71%	33.43%	+0.23	+15.4	19
2011-02-02	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	45.6	1471	1495	33.43%	22.71%	43.85%	-0.23	-15.4	18
2011-02-12	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	45.6	1458	1684	15.65%	20.24%	64.11%	-1.33	-7.9	14
2011-02-12	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	45.6	1684	1458	64.11%	20.24%	15.65%	+1.33	+7.9	51
2011-02-12	Inverness CT	D 3-3	75.9	1456	1584	24.21%	22.01%	53.78%	-0.72	+0.9	19
2011-02-12	@ St. Mirren	D 3-3	75.9	1584	1456	53.78%	22.01%	24.21%	+0.72	-0.9	30
2011-02-12	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	66.5	1510	1630	25.09%	22.12%	52.79%	-0.67	+11.2	22
2011-02-12	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	66.5	1630	1510	52.79%	22.12%	25.09%	+0.67	-11.2	36
2011-02-12	Motherwell	W 6-0	48.5	1807	1590	65.84%	19.80%	14.36%	+1.45	+20.0	56
2011-02-12	@ Rangers	L 0-6	48.5	1590	1807	14.36%	19.80%	65.84%	-1.45	-20.0	28
2011-02-13	Celtic	L 1-3	57.0	1626	1845	16.10%	20.37%	63.53%	-1.29	-7.0	29
2011-02-13	@ Dundee United	W 3-1	57.0	1845	1626	63.53%	20.37%	16.10%	+1.29	+7.0	61
2011-02-15	Motherwell	L 1-2	58.5	1509	1570	32.13%	22.66%	45.21%	-0.30	-7.5	23
2011-02-15	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	58.5	1570	1509	45.21%	22.66%	32.13%	+0.30	+7.4	31
2011-02-19	Dundee United	W 2-1	62.3	1692	1619	50.37%	22.34%	27.29%	+0.54	+6.5	54
2011-02-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	62.3	1619	1692	27.29%	22.34%	50.37%	-0.54	-6.5	29
2011-02-19	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	46.7	1577	1450	56.84%	21.62%	21.54%	+0.89	+5.6	34
2011-02-19	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	46.7	1450	1577	21.54%	21.62%	56.84%	-0.89	-5.6	14
2011-02-19	Kilmarnock	W 5-0	55.4	1502	1619	25.36%	22.15%	52.49%	-0.65	+52.0	26
2011-02-19	@ Aberdeen	L 0-5	55.4	1619	1502	52.49%	22.15%	25.36%	+0.65	-52.0	36
2011-02-19	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	51.0	1583	1549	45.37%	22.65%	31.97%	+0.30	+14.9	33
2011-02-19	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	51.0	1549	1583	31.97%	22.65%	45.37%	-0.30	-14.9	29
2011-02-20	Hibernian	L 0-1	48.2	1457	1521	31.65%	22.64%	45.71%	-0.32	-7.8	19
2011-02-20	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	48.2	1521	1457	45.71%	22.64%	31.65%	+0.32	+7.8	25
2011-02-20	Rangers	W 3-0	55.2	1852	1827	44.07%	22.70%	33.22%	+0.24	+22.2	64
2011-02-20	@ Celtic	L 0-3	55.2	1827	1852	33.22%	22.70%	44.07%	-0.24	-22.2	56
2011-02-22	Dundee United	D 0-0	63.8	1534	1612	29.88%	22.54%	47.58%	-0.41	+1.0	30
2011-02-22	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	63.8	1612	1534	47.58%	22.54%	29.88%	+0.41	-1.0	30
2011-02-22	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	46.2	1554	1444	54.77%	21.89%	23.34%	+0.77	+6.0	29
2011-02-22	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	46.2	1444	1554	23.34%	21.89%	54.77%	-0.77	-6.0	14
2011-02-23	St. Mirren	L 0-1	57.6	1583	1449	57.58%	21.51%	20.92%	+0.93	-12.8	34
2011-02-23	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	57.6	1449	1583	20.92%	21.51%	57.58%	-0.93	+12.8	22
2011-02-26	Dundee United	D 1-1	66.3	1438	1611	19.87%	21.31%	58.82%	-1.00	+2.0	15
2011-02-26	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	66.3	1611	1438	58.82%	21.31%	19.87%	+1.00	-2.0	31
2011-02-26	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	66.5	1560	1698	23.13%	21.86%	55.01%	-0.78	+1.8	30
2011-02-26	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	66.5	1698	1560	55.01%	21.86%	23.13%	+0.78	-1.8	55
2011-02-26	Inverness CT	W 2-0	55.1	1529	1598	31.11%	22.61%	46.28%	-0.35	+20.0	28
2011-02-26	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	55.1	1598	1529	46.28%	22.61%	31.11%	+0.35	-20.0	33
2011-02-26	St. Mirren	W 2-0	44.8	1567	1462	54.30%	21.95%	23.75%	+0.75	+11.6	39
2011-02-26	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	44.8	1462	1567	23.75%	21.95%	54.30%	-0.75	-11.6	22
2011-02-27	Celtic	W 2-0	66.0	1570	1875	10.93%	18.29%	70.78%	-1.83	+29.0	37
2011-02-27	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	66.0	1875	1570	70.78%	18.29%	10.93%	+1.83	-29.0	64
2011-02-27	St. Johnstone	W 4-0	45.9	1805	1535	70.27%	18.47%	11.26%	+1.78	+10.7	59
2011-02-27	@ Rangers	L 0-4	45.9	1535	1805	11.26%	18.47%	70.27%	-1.78	-10.7	30
2011-03-01	Dundee United	L 0-2	53.7	1578	1609	36.13%	22.78%	41.10%	-0.11	-16.4	33
2011-03-01	@ Inverness CT	W 2-0	53.7	1609	1578	41.10%	22.78%	36.13%	+0.11	+16.4	34
2011-03-01	Hibernian	L 1-2	53.4	1440	1549	26.32%	22.25%	51.43%	-0.60	-6.3	15
2011-03-01	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	53.4	1549	1440	51.43%	22.25%	26.32%	+0.60	+6.3	31
2011-03-02	Aberdeen	D 0-0	61.8	1524	1561	35.26%	22.76%	41.97%	-0.15	+0.4	31
2011-03-02	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	61.8	1561	1524	41.97%	22.76%	35.26%	+0.15	-0.4	31
2011-03-05	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	43.9	1846	1434	79.67%	14.49%	5.84%	+2.67	+2.7	67
2011-03-05	@ Celtic	L 0-2	43.9	1434	1846	5.84%	14.49%	79.67%	-2.67	-2.8	15
2011-03-05	Hibernian	D 1-1	66.9	1524	1555	36.13%	22.78%	41.09%	-0.11	+0.2	32
2011-03-05	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	66.9	1555	1524	41.09%	22.78%	36.13%	+0.11	-0.2	32
2011-03-05	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	61.0	1696	1579	55.77%	21.76%	22.46%	+0.83	-23.5	55
2011-03-05	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	61.0	1579	1696	22.46%	21.76%	55.77%	-0.83	+23.5	42
2011-03-05	Motherwell	W 3-0	53.4	1562	1599	35.25%	22.76%	41.99%	-0.15	+26.8	36
2011-03-05	@ Inverness CT	L 0-3	53.4	1599	1562	41.99%	22.76%	35.25%	+0.15	-26.8	37
2011-03-06	Rangers	L 0-1	47.7	1450	1816	8.24%	16.60%	75.15%	-2.21	-2.1	22
2011-03-06	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	47.7	1816	1450	75.15%	16.60%	8.24%	+2.21	+2.1	62
2011-03-07	Aberdeen	W 3-1	57.8	1626	1561	49.32%	22.42%	28.25%	+0.49	+11.6	37
2011-03-07	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	57.8	1561	1626	28.25%	22.42%	49.32%	-0.49	-11.6	31
2011-03-10	Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	52.3	1637	1431	64.80%	20.07%	15.13%	+1.38	+3.8	40
2011-03-10	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	52.3	1431	1637	15.13%	20.07%	64.80%	-1.38	-3.8	15
2011-03-13	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	58.7	1818	1602	65.70%	19.84%	14.46%	+1.44	+3.6	65
2011-03-13	@ Rangers	L 1-2	58.7	1602	1818	14.46%	19.84%	65.70%	-1.44	-3.6	42
2011-03-16	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	57.5	1641	1673	36.04%	22.78%	41.18%	-0.11	+18.1	43
2011-03-16	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	57.5	1673	1641	41.18%	22.78%	36.04%	+0.11	-18.1	55
2011-03-19	Inverness CT	W 1-0	54.9	1659	1588	50.11%	22.36%	27.53%	+0.53	+7.0	46
2011-03-19	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	54.9	1588	1659	27.53%	22.36%	50.11%	-0.53	-7.0	36
2011-03-19	Motherwell	W 3-1	59.0	1598	1572	44.18%	22.70%	33.12%	+0.25	+13.2	45
2011-03-19	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	59.0	1572	1598	33.12%	22.70%	44.18%	-0.25	-13.2	37
2011-03-19	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	57.0	1428	1525	27.67%	22.38%	49.95%	-0.52	+1.2	16
2011-03-19	@ Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	57.0	1525	1428	49.95%	22.38%	27.67%	+0.52	-1.2	33
2011-03-19	St. Mirren	W 3-2	58.8	1655	1448	64.87%	20.05%	15.08%	+1.38	+3.6	58
2011-03-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	58.8	1448	1655	15.08%	20.05%	64.87%	-1.38	-3.6	22
2011-04-02	Aberdeen	W 2-1	60.5	1559	1549	41.95%	22.76%	35.29%	+0.15	+8.0	40
2011-04-02	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	60.5	1549	1559	35.29%	22.76%	41.95%	-0.15	-8.0	31
2011-04-02	Dundee United	L 2-3	78.4	1822	1666	59.86%	21.12%	19.02%	+1.06	-11.9	65
2011-04-02	@ Rangers	W 3-2	78.4	1666	1822	19.02%	21.12%	59.86%	-1.06	+11.9	49
2011-04-02	Hamilton Academical	W 3-1	49.3	1445	1429	42.78%	22.74%	34.48%	+0.19	+13.7	25
2011-04-02	@ St. Mirren	L 1-3	49.3	1429	1445	34.48%	22.74%	42.78%	-0.19	-13.7	16
2011-04-02	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	63.5	1523	1612	28.70%	22.46%	48.84%	-0.47	+1.1	34
2011-04-02	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	63.5	1612	1523	48.84%	22.46%	28.70%	+0.47	-1.1	46
2011-04-03	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	77.3	1555	1658	26.97%	22.31%	50.72%	-0.56	+0.9	33
2011-04-03	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	77.3	1658	1555	50.72%	22.31%	26.97%	+0.56	-0.9	59
2011-04-05	Rangers	L 0-2	47.7	1524	1810	11.94%	18.80%	69.26%	-1.70	-6.0	34
2011-04-05	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	47.7	1810	1524	69.26%	18.80%	11.94%	+1.70	+6.0	68
2011-04-06	Aberdeen	W 3-2	65.8	1458	1541	29.32%	22.50%	48.17%	-0.44	+9.8	28
2011-04-06	@ St. Mirren	L 2-3	65.8	1541	1458	48.17%	22.50%	29.32%	+0.44	-9.8	31
2011-04-06	Dundee United	W 2-1	68.7	1567	1678	26.10%	22.23%	51.68%	-0.61	+11.0	43
2011-04-06	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	68.7	1678	1567	51.68%	22.23%	26.10%	+0.61	-11.0	49
2011-04-06	Hibernian	W 3-1	54.1	1848	1556	71.93%	17.88%	10.19%	+1.92	+4.4	70
2011-04-06	@ Celtic	L 1-3	54.1	1556	1848	10.19%	17.88%	71.93%	-1.92	-4.4	33
2011-04-09	Hibernian	L 0-1	53.8	1532	1552	37.68%	22.79%	39.53%	-0.04	-9.0	31
2011-04-09	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	53.8	1552	1532	39.53%	22.79%	37.68%	+0.04	+9.0	36
2011-04-09	Inverness CT	D 1-1	70.2	1610	1581	44.60%	22.68%	32.71%	+0.27	-0.6	47
2011-04-09	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	70.2	1581	1610	32.71%	22.68%	44.60%	-0.27	+0.6	37
2011-04-09	Motherwell	D 0-0	65.9	1657	1578	51.17%	22.27%	26.56%	+0.58	-1.4	60
2011-04-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	65.9	1578	1657	26.56%	22.27%	51.17%	-0.58	+1.4	44
2011-04-09	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	48.3	1667	1518	59.15%	21.25%	19.60%	+1.02	+9.7	52
2011-04-09	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	48.3	1518	1667	19.60%	21.25%	59.15%	-1.02	-9.7	34
2011-04-09	St. Mirren	W 1-0	47.6	1853	1468	78.12%	15.26%	6.62%	+2.50	+1.7	73
2011-04-09	@ Celtic	L 0-1	47.6	1468	1853	6.62%	15.26%	78.12%	-2.50	-1.7	28
2011-04-10	Rangers	L 0-1	46.4	1415	1816	7.00%	15.60%	77.40%	-2.43	-1.8	16
2011-04-10	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	46.4	1816	1415	77.40%	15.60%	7.00%	+2.43	+1.8	71
2011-04-12	Celtic	L 0-1	49.3	1509	1854	9.03%	17.16%	73.81%	-2.09	-2.3	34
2011-04-12	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	49.3	1854	1509	73.81%	17.16%	9.03%	+2.09	+2.4	76
2011-04-13	Rangers	L 0-1	50.2	1523	1817	11.43%	18.55%	70.02%	-1.77	-3.0	31
2011-04-13	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	50.2	1817	1523	70.02%	18.55%	11.43%	+1.77	+3.0	74
2011-04-16	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.2	1582	1656	30.46%	22.57%	46.97%	-0.38	+0.8	38
2011-04-16	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	71.2	1656	1582	46.97%	22.57%	30.46%	+0.38	-0.8	61
2011-04-16	St. Mirren	W 2-1	54.3	1820	1466	76.21%	16.15%	7.65%	+2.31	+1.8	77
2011-04-16	@ Rangers	L 1-2	54.3	1466	1820	7.65%	16.15%	76.21%	-2.31	-1.9	28
2011-04-17	Hamilton Academical	L 1-2	62.3	1561	1413	59.02%	21.27%	19.71%	+1.01	-12.4	36
2011-04-17	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	62.3	1413	1561	19.71%	21.27%	59.02%	-1.01	+12.4	19
2011-04-19	Rangers	L 0-4	51.2	1677	1822	22.44%	21.76%	55.79%	-0.83	-20.9	52
2011-04-19	@ Dundee United	W 4-0	51.2	1822	1677	55.79%	21.76%	22.44%	+0.83	+20.9	80
2011-04-20	Celtic	L 0-4	48.0	1610	1857	14.23%	19.75%	66.02%	-1.46	-13.6	47
2011-04-20	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-0	48.0	1857	1610	66.02%	19.75%	14.23%	+1.46	+13.5	79
2011-05-04	Celtic	W 3-2	80.5	1592	1880	11.84%	18.75%	69.41%	-1.72	+13.5	41
2011-05-04	@ Inverness CT	L 2-3	80.5	1880	1592	69.41%	18.75%	11.84%	+1.72	-13.5	79

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2011-04-23	Kilmarnock	W 4-2	63.0	1656	1596	48.67%	22.47%	28.86%	+0.46	+10.6	3
2011-04-23	@ Dundee United	L 2-4	63.0	1596	1656	28.86%	22.47%	48.67%	-0.46	-10.6	0
2011-04-23	Motherwell	D 3-3	81.4	1655	1580	50.72%	22.31%	26.97%	+0.56	-0.7	1
2011-04-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 3-3	81.4	1580	1655	26.97%	22.31%	50.72%	-0.56	+0.7	1
2011-04-24	Celtic	D 0-0	68.6	1843	1870	36.68%	22.79%	40.53%	-0.08	+0.2	1
2011-04-24	@ Rangers	D 0-0	68.6	1870	1843	40.53%	22.79%	36.68%	+0.08	-0.2	1
2011-04-24	St. Mirren	D 1-1	64.6	1548	1464	51.75%	22.22%	26.03%	+0.61	-1.3	1
2011-04-24	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	64.6	1464	1548	26.03%	22.22%	51.75%	-0.61	+1.3	1
2011-04-25	Aberdeen	D 1-1	62.1	1426	1520	28.04%	22.41%	49.56%	-0.50	+1.1	1
2011-04-25	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	62.1	1520	1426	49.56%	22.41%	28.04%	+0.50	-1.1	1
2011-04-25	Inverness CT	L 0-3	47.6	1506	1583	30.15%	22.56%	47.30%	-0.39	-20.6	0
2011-04-25	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-0	47.6	1583	1506	47.30%	22.56%	30.15%	+0.39	+20.6	3
2011-04-30	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	77.8	1586	1655	31.12%	22.61%	46.27%	-0.35	+0.6	1
2011-04-30	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	77.8	1655	1586	46.27%	22.61%	31.12%	+0.35	-0.5	2
2011-04-30	Inverness CT	W 1-0	58.2	1519	1603	29.11%	22.49%	48.40%	-0.45	+11.0	4
2011-04-30	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	58.2	1603	1519	48.40%	22.49%	29.11%	+0.45	-11.0	3
2011-04-30	Rangers	L 0-5	47.8	1580	1843	13.22%	19.36%	67.42%	-1.57	-15.5	1
2011-04-30	@ Motherwell	W 5-0	47.8	1843	1580	67.42%	19.36%	13.22%	+1.57	+15.5	4
2011-04-30	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	61.9	1547	1486	48.89%	22.45%	28.65%	+0.47	-10.4	1
2011-04-30	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	61.9	1486	1547	28.65%	22.45%	48.89%	-0.47	+10.5	3
2011-05-01	Dundee United	W 4-1	54.2	1870	1667	64.59%	20.12%	15.29%	+1.37	+9.4	4
2011-05-01	@ Celtic	L 1-4	54.2	1667	1870	15.29%	20.12%	64.59%	-1.37	-9.4	3
2011-05-02	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	49.4	1466	1427	45.96%	22.63%	31.41%	+0.33	-10.5	1
2011-05-02	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	49.4	1427	1466	31.41%	22.63%	45.96%	-0.33	+10.5	4
2011-05-07	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	48.6	1859	1654	64.71%	20.09%	15.20%	+1.37	+14.5	7
2011-05-07	@ Rangers	L 0-4	48.6	1654	1859	15.20%	20.09%	64.71%	-1.37	-14.5	2
2011-05-07	Hibernian	W 1-0	53.5	1437	1537	27.40%	22.35%	50.25%	-0.54	+11.4	7
2011-05-07	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	53.5	1537	1437	50.25%	22.35%	27.40%	+0.54	-11.4	1
2011-05-07	Motherwell	W 4-0	49.4	1657	1565	52.77%	22.12%	25.11%	+0.67	+23.0	6
2011-05-07	@ Dundee United	L 0-4	49.4	1565	1657	25.11%	22.12%	52.77%	-0.67	-23.0	1
2011-05-07	St. Johnstone	L 0-2	51.3	1530	1496	45.18%	22.66%	32.16%	+0.30	-19.6	4
2011-05-07	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	51.3	1496	1530	32.16%	22.66%	45.18%	-0.30	+19.6	6
2011-05-07	St. Mirren	W 1-0	47.1	1606	1455	59.38%	21.21%	19.41%	+1.03	+5.1	6
2011-05-07	@ Inverness CT	L 0-1	47.1	1455	1606	19.41%	21.21%	59.38%	-1.03	-5.1	1
2011-05-08	Celtic	L 0-2	48.7	1586	1866	12.25%	18.94%	68.81%	-1.67	-6.1	1
2011-05-08	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	48.7	1866	1586	68.81%	18.94%	12.25%	+1.67	+6.1	7
2011-05-10	Dundee United	W 2-0	50.6	1873	1680	63.62%	20.35%	16.03%	+1.30	+8.0	10
2011-05-10	@ Rangers	L 0-2	50.6	1680	1873	16.03%	20.35%	63.62%	-1.30	-8.0	6
2011-05-10	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	46.5	1516	1449	49.65%	22.40%	27.95%	+0.51	+7.1	9
2011-05-10	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	46.5	1449	1516	27.95%	22.40%	49.65%	-0.51	-7.1	7
2011-05-10	St. Mirren	L 0-1	52.5	1510	1450	48.71%	22.47%	28.83%	+0.46	-11.0	4
2011-05-10	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	52.5	1450	1510	28.83%	22.47%	48.71%	-0.46	+11.0	4
2011-05-11	Celtic	L 0-3	48.7	1640	1872	15.18%	20.08%	64.74%	-1.37	-11.1	2
2011-05-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	48.7	1872	1640	64.74%	20.08%	15.18%	+1.37	+11.1	10
2011-05-11	Hibernian	W 2-0	49.1	1611	1525	51.98%	22.20%	25.82%	+0.63	+12.4	9
2011-05-11	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	49.1	1525	1611	25.82%	22.20%	51.98%	-0.63	-12.4	1
2011-05-11	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	68.3	1542	1580	35.13%	22.76%	42.11%	-0.15	+0.3	2
2011-05-11	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	68.3	1580	1542	42.11%	22.76%	35.13%	+0.15	-0.3	2
2011-05-14	Aberdeen	L 1-3	56.6	1513	1499	42.53%	22.75%	34.72%	+0.17	-16.1	1
2011-05-14	@ Hibernian	W 3-1	56.6	1499	1513	34.72%	22.75%	42.53%	-0.17	+16.1	7
2011-05-14	Inverness CT	L 1-2	53.7	1442	1624	19.09%	21.14%	59.77%	-1.06	-4.7	7
2011-05-14	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	53.7	1624	1442	59.77%	21.14%	19.09%	+1.06	+4.8	12
2011-05-14	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	58.1	1461	1523	32.03%	22.66%	45.32%	-0.30	+0.7	5
2011-05-14	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	58.1	1523	1461	45.32%	22.66%	32.03%	+0.30	-0.7	10
2011-05-15	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	63.4	1672	1628	46.58%	22.60%	30.82%	+0.36	+7.2	9
2011-05-15	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	63.4	1628	1672	30.82%	22.60%	46.58%	-0.36	-7.2	2
2011-05-15	Motherwell	W 4-0	45.0	1883	1542	75.36%	16.52%	8.13%	+2.23	+7.5	13
2011-05-15	@ Celtic	L 0-4	45.0	1542	1883	8.13%	16.52%	75.36%	-2.23	-7.5	2
2011-05-15	Rangers	L 1-5	50.3	1580	1881	11.08%	18.37%	70.55%	-1.81	-8.7	2
2011-05-15	@ Kilmarnock	W 5-1	50.3	1881	1580	70.55%	18.37%	11.08%	+1.81	+8.7	13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2010-11-10	9.22%	Hibernian	1523	3	@ Rangers	1837	0
2	2011-02-27	10.93%	@ Motherwell	1570	2	Celtic	1875	0
3	2011-05-04	11.84%	@ Inverness CT	1592	3	Celtic	1880	2
4	2010-11-10	16.46%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1593	2	Celtic	1807	0
5	2010-12-26	18.61%	St. Mirren	1495	2	@ Inverness CT	1655	1
6	2011-04-02	19.02%	Dundee United	1666	3	@ Rangers	1822	2
7	2011-04-17	19.71%	Hamilton Academical	1413	2	@ Hibernian	1561	1
8	2011-02-23	20.92%	St. Mirren	1449	1	@ Motherwell	1583	0
9	2011-03-05	22.46%	Kilmarnock	1579	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1696	0
10	2010-10-30	22.61%	Hamilton Academical	1517	1	@ Motherwell	1633	0
11	2010-08-28	22.76%	Hamilton Academical	1521	1	@ Inverness CT	1636	0
12	2011-01-26	22.80%	Aberdeen	1493	2	@ Inverness CT	1607	0
13	2010-11-10	23.35%	St. Mirren	1494	2	@ Dundee United	1603	1
14	2010-10-31	23.45%	Kilmarnock	1502	3	@ Heart of Midlothian	1610	0
15	2010-12-26	24.05%	Aberdeen	1456	2	@ Hibernian	1558	1
16	2011-02-12	25.09%	@ Hibernian	1510	2	Kilmarnock	1630	1
17	2011-02-19	25.36%	@ Aberdeen	1502	5	Kilmarnock	1619	0
18	2011-01-22	25.91%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1694	1	Rangers	1807	0
19	2011-04-06	26.10%	@ Motherwell	1567	2	Dundee United	1678	1
20	2011-01-02	26.42%	@ St. Johnstone	1517	1	Inverness CT	1625	0
21	2010-08-28	27.04%	Kilmarnock	1506	1	@ Aberdeen	1581	0
22	2011-05-07	27.40%	@ Hamilton Academical	1437	1	Hibernian	1537	0
23	2011-04-30	28.65%	St. Johnstone	1486	2	@ Hibernian	1547	1
24	2011-05-10	28.83%	St. Mirren	1450	1	@ Aberdeen	1510	0
25	2010-11-13	28.88%	@ Hibernian	1567	2	Motherwell	1653	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-02-19	52.01	@ Aberdeen	5	1502	25.36%	Kilmarnock	0	1619	52.49%	22.15%
2	2010-11-10	43.48	Hibernian	3	1523	9.22%	@ Rangers	0	1837	73.49%	17.29%
3	2010-08-14	36.63	@ Aberdeen	4	1534	32.84%	Hamilton Academical	0	1590	44.47%	22.69%
4	2010-08-22	36.11	Inverness CT	4	1600	33.56%	@ Dundee United	0	1622	43.72%	22.72%
5	2010-10-31	33.47	Kilmarnock	3	1502	23.45%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1610	54.64%	21.91%
6	2010-08-21	32.35	Heart of Midlothian	4	1571	39.14%	@ Hamilton Academical	0	1553	38.06%	22.80%
7	2011-02-27	29.04	@ Motherwell	2	1570	10.93%	Celtic	0	1875	70.78%	18.29%
8	2010-11-06	28.44	Kilmarnock	3	1535	32.08%	@ St. Johnstone	0	1569	45.26%	22.66%
9	2011-03-05	26.75	@ Inverness CT	3	1562	35.25%	Motherwell	0	1599	41.99%	22.76%
10	2010-11-10	26.23	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1593	16.46%	Celtic	0	1807	63.06%	20.48%
11	2010-11-06	25.82	@ Celtic	9	1782	68.30%	Aberdeen	0	1536	12.60%	19.10%
12	2011-03-05	23.47	Kilmarnock	2	1579	22.46%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1696	55.77%	21.76%
13	2011-01-26	23.33	Aberdeen	2	1493	22.80%	@ Inverness CT	0	1607	55.39%	21.81%
14	2010-11-10	23.28	@ Motherwell	4	1630	52.42%	St. Johnstone	0	1541	25.42%	22.15%
15	2011-05-07	23.03	@ Dundee United	4	1657	52.77%	Motherwell	0	1565	25.11%	22.12%
16	2011-02-20	22.25	@ Celtic	3	1852	44.07%	Rangers	0	1827	33.22%	22.70%
17	2011-01-26	21.47	@ Celtic	4	1817	54.95%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1706	23.18%	21.87%
18	2010-12-11	21.25	@ Heart of Midlothian	5	1642	60.83%	Aberdeen	0	1477	18.23%	20.94%
19	2010-11-10	21.04	@ Kilmarnock	3	1564	46.40%	Hamilton Academical	0	1522	30.99%	22.60%
20	2011-04-19	20.87	Rangers	4	1822	55.79%	@ Dundee United	0	1677	22.44%	21.76%
21	2011-04-25	20.57	Inverness CT	3	1583	47.30%	@ St. Johnstone	0	1506	30.15%	22.56%
22	2011-02-12	20.03	@ Rangers	6	1807	65.84%	Motherwell	0	1590	14.36%	19.80%
23	2011-02-26	19.95	@ Hibernian	2	1529	31.11%	Inverness CT	0	1598	46.28%	22.61%
24	2011-05-07	19.56	St. Johnstone	2	1496	32.16%	@ Aberdeen	0	1530	45.18%	22.66%
25	2011-01-02	19.10	Celtic	2	1789	33.37%	@ Rangers	0	1813	43.92%	22.71%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-04-23	81.4	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1655	50.72%	Motherwell	3	1580	26.97%	22.31%
2	2011-05-04	80.5	@ Inverness CT	3	1592	11.84%	Celtic	2	1880	69.41%	18.75%
3	2010-11-27	80.2	@ Celtic	2	1782	57.18%	Inverness CT	2	1652	21.26%	21.57%
4	2011-04-02	78.4	Dundee United	3	1666	19.02%	@ Rangers	2	1822	59.86%	21.12%
5	2011-04-30	77.8	@ Kilmarnock	2	1586	31.12%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1655	46.27%	22.61%
6	2011-04-03	77.3	@ Hibernian	2	1555	26.97%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1658	50.72%	22.31%
7	2011-02-12	75.9	@ St. Mirren	3	1456	24.21%	Inverness CT	3	1584	53.78%	22.01%
8	2010-12-29	75.4	@ Hibernian	2	1547	33.94%	Dundee United	2	1594	43.33%	22.73%
9	2010-10-30	74.2	@ Rangers	1	1836	64.62%	Inverness CT	1	1632	15.27%	20.11%
10	2010-12-11	73.7	@ Inverness CT	1	1653	22.05%	Rangers	1	1803	56.25%	21.70%
11	2010-11-20	73.6	@ Celtic	1	1784	63.62%	Dundee United	1	1591	16.03%	20.35%
12	2010-12-21	73.5	@ Celtic	1	1781	62.31%	Kilmarnock	1	1601	17.05%	20.64%
13	2011-01-12	73.4	@ Hamilton Academical	1	1473	9.47%	Celtic	1	1808	73.09%	17.44%
14	2010-09-25	72.5	@ Hamilton Academical	2	1530	41.70%	Kilmarnock	2	1522	35.53%	22.77%
15	2010-12-18	72.4	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1671	42.91%	Inverness CT	1	1655	34.35%	22.74%
16	2010-10-16	71.7	@ St. Mirren	2	1506	37.96%	Hamilton Academical	2	1525	39.25%	22.80%
17	2011-04-16	71.2	@ Inverness CT	1	1582	30.46%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1656	46.97%	22.57%
18	2011-01-22	71.0	@ Kilmarnock	1	1623	42.49%	Dundee United	1	1610	34.76%	22.75%
19	2010-10-16	70.4	@ Inverness CT	1	1626	47.71%	St. Johnstone	1	1574	29.76%	22.53%
20	2010-09-11	70.3	@ Hibernian	1	1575	33.81%	Inverness CT	1	1623	43.46%	22.72%
21	2011-04-09	70.2	@ Kilmarnock	1	1610	44.60%	Inverness CT	1	1581	32.71%	22.68%
22	2010-08-15	70.1	Hibernian	3	1591	35.48%	@ Motherwell	2	1600	41.76%	22.77%
23	2010-08-29	70.1	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1603	42.95%	Dundee United	1	1586	34.31%	22.74%
24	2010-11-13	69.8	@ Dundee United	1	1592	41.50%	Kilmarnock	1	1585	35.73%	22.77%
25	2010-08-14	69.6	@ St. Mirren	1	1544	29.90%	Dundee United	1	1623	47.56%	22.54%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-01-15	43.9	@ Rangers	4	1794	73.78%	Hamilton Academical	0	1476	9.05%	17.17%
2	2011-03-05	43.9	@ Celtic	2	1846	79.67%	Hamilton Academical	0	1434	5.84%	14.49%
3	2010-12-11	44.7	@ Heart of Midlothian	5	1642	60.83%	Aberdeen	0	1477	18.23%	20.94%
4	2011-02-26	44.8	@ Kilmarnock	2	1567	54.30%	St. Mirren	0	1462	23.75%	21.95%
5	2011-05-15	45.0	@ Celtic	4	1883	75.36%	Motherwell	0	1542	8.13%	16.52%
6	2011-02-01	45.5	@ St. Johnstone	2	1535	49.20%	Hamilton Academical	0	1471	28.37%	22.43%
7	2011-02-01	45.6	Celtic	3	1838	72.10%	@ Aberdeen	0	1516	10.08%	17.82%
8	2011-02-02	45.6	@ Hibernian	2	1495	43.85%	St. Mirren	0	1471	33.43%	22.71%
9	2011-02-12	45.6	Heart of Midlothian	2	1684	64.11%	@ Hamilton Academical	0	1458	15.65%	20.24%
10	2011-02-27	45.9	@ Rangers	4	1805	70.27%	St. Johnstone	0	1535	11.26%	18.47%
11	2011-02-22	46.2	@ Aberdeen	1	1554	54.77%	Hamilton Academical	0	1444	23.34%	21.89%
12	2011-04-10	46.4	Rangers	1	1816	77.40%	@ Hamilton Academical	0	1415	7.00%	15.60%
13	2010-10-23	46.5	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1592	51.93%	St. Mirren	0	1506	25.86%	22.20%
14	2010-11-13	46.5	@ Rangers	2	1793	71.75%	Aberdeen	0	1504	10.30%	17.95%
15	2011-05-10	46.5	@ St. Johnstone	1	1516	49.65%	Hamilton Academical	0	1449	27.95%	22.40%
16	2011-02-19	46.7	@ Motherwell	1	1577	56.84%	Hamilton Academical	0	1450	21.54%	21.62%
17	2010-11-20	46.8	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1632	58.38%	Hamilton Academical	0	1490	20.24%	21.38%
18	2010-11-27	46.8	@ Kilmarnock	2	1581	52.74%	Aberdeen	0	1489	25.13%	22.12%
19	2011-01-15	46.8	@ Aberdeen	2	1478	39.56%	St. Mirren	0	1485	37.65%	22.79%
20	2011-01-30	46.8	@ Dundee United	3	1608	53.24%	Hibernian	0	1512	24.69%	22.07%
21	2011-01-15	46.9	Celtic	3	1805	67.44%	@ Hibernian	0	1541	13.20%	19.36%
22	2011-05-07	47.1	@ Inverness CT	1	1606	59.38%	St. Mirren	0	1455	19.41%	21.21%
23	2010-08-22	47.3	@ Celtic	4	1728	62.56%	St. Mirren	0	1545	16.85%	20.59%
24	2010-12-26	47.4	@ Celtic	2	1778	69.01%	St. Johnstone	0	1524	12.11%	18.88%
25	2011-04-09	47.6	@ Celtic	1	1853	78.12%	St. Mirren	0	1468	6.62%	15.26%