2011-12 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

93 points · 43rd Title

Last Title: 2007-08

Relegated

Dunfermline Athletic

25 pts

Rangers · administratively relegated

Biggest Overachiever

Kilmarnock

2.78 points above expected

47 points · 44.22 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

St. Johnstone

2.75 points below expected

50 points · 52.75 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	26	3	4	81	72	20	+52	71.74	+9.26
2	Rangers*	33	23	4	6	63	65	25	+40	61.27	+1.73
3	Motherwell	33	16	7	10	55	43	38	+5	43.32	+11.68
4	St. Johnstone	33	14	8	11	50	42	36	+6	41.31	+8.69
5	Dundee United	33	13	10	10	49	55	43	+12	51.82	-2.82
6	Heart of Midlothian	33	14	6	13	48	41	32	+9	49.44	-1.44
7	Kilmarnock	33	8	13	12	37	36	54	-18	39.96	-2.96
8	Aberdeen	33	8	12	13	36	32	38	-6	37.84	-1.84
9	St. Mirren	33	7	14	12	35	32	46	-14	32.50	+2.50
10	Inverness CT	33	8	8	17	32	36	54	-18	41.62	-9.62
11	Hibernian	33	6	9	18	27	34	62	-28	30.42	-3.42
12	Dunfermline Athletic	33	4	8	21	20	32	72	-40	35.80	-15.80

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	38	30	3	5	93	84	21	+63	91.35	+1.65
2	Rangers* Demoted	38	26	5	7	73	77	28	+49	72.46	+0.54
3	Motherwell	38	18	8	12	62	49	44	+5	59.91	+2.09
4	Dundee United	38	16	11	11	59	62	50	+12	56.64	+2.36
5	Heart of Midlothian	38	15	7	16	52	45	43	+2	54.38	-2.38
6	St. Johnstone	38	14	8	16	50	43	50	-7	52.75	-2.75
7	Kilmarnock	38	11	14	13	47	44	61	-17	44.22	+2.78
8	St. Mirren	38	9	16	13	43	39	51	-12	42.74	+0.26
9	Aberdeen	38	9	14	15	41	36	44	-8	42.78	-1.78
10	Inverness CT	38	10	9	19	39	42	60	-18	39.79	-0.79
11	Hibernian	38	8	9	21	33	40	67	-27	33.01	-0.01
12	Dunfermline Athletic Relegated	38	5	10	23	25	40	82	-42	25.56	-0.56

* Point deductions: Rangers (-10 pts)

Notes

Rangers were administratively relegated to the Third Division due to financial difficulties.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Kilmarnock	47	44.22	+2.78
2	Dundee United	59	56.64	+2.36
3	Motherwell	62	59.91	+2.09
4	Celtic	93	91.35	+1.65
5	Rangers	73	72.46	+0.54

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	St. Johnstone	50	52.75	-2.75
2	Heart of Midlothian	52	54.38	-2.38
3	Aberdeen	41	42.78	-1.78
4	Inverness CT	39	39.79	-0.79
5	Dunfermline Athletic	25	25.56	-0.56

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	17	Nov 6 – Feb 25	1 in 1,200
2	Dundee United	6	Feb 21 – Mar 31	1 in 99
3	Rangers	9	Jul 30 – Oct 1	1 in 75
4	Motherwell	3	Sep 24 – Oct 15	1 in 21
5	Kilmarnock	2	Nov 27 – Dec 3	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rangers	2	Dec 24 – Dec 28	1 in 25
2	St. Johnstone	5	Apr 21 – May 13	1 in 22
3	Dunfermline Athletic	5	Dec 3 – Jan 14	1 in 22
4	Kilmarnock	3	Sep 24 – Oct 1	1 in 15
5	Inverness CT	2	Jul 23 – Jul 30	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aberdeen	9	Dec 28 – Mar 3	1 in 386
2	Celtic	21	Oct 15 – Mar 3	1 in 23
3	St. Mirren	5	Jan 28 – Mar 3	1 in 21
4	Dundee United	9	Jan 21 – Mar 31	1 in 20
5	Rangers	15	Jul 23 – Nov 19	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	St. Mirren	11	Dec 28 – Mar 24	1 in 37
2	Dunfermline Athletic	12	Jan 24 – Apr 21	1 in 21
3	Aberdeen	7	Feb 11 – Mar 31	1 in 16
4	Dundee United	5	Aug 6 – Sep 10	1 in 14
5	Hibernian	9	Oct 29 – Jan 2	1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	1836	93	+23	12	10.6	+1.4
Rangers	1787	83	+18	10	9.5	+0.5
Motherwell	1558	62	+9	7	5.2	+1.8
Dundee United	1641	59	+12	10	6.5	+3.5
Heart of Midlothian	1557	52	-15	4	5.4	-1.4
St. Johnstone	1493	50	-48	0	4.4	-4.4
Kilmarnock	1465	47	+3	10	7.4	+2.6
St. Mirren	1458	43	+12	8	7.1	+0.9
Aberdeen	1469	41	-17	5	7.6	-2.6
Inverness CT	1487	39	-2	7	7.4	-0.4
Hibernian	1424	33	+8	6	6.0	+0.0
Dunfermline Athletic	1389	25	-4	5	5.7	-0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DU	DA	HOM	HIB	IC	KIL	MOT	RAN	SJ	SM
Aberdeen	—	0-1-2 1.65	3-0-0 2.80	2-1-1 6.05	0-1-2 3.09	1-2-1 6.33	2-0-2 5.10	0-3-1 5.04	0-0-3 3.49	0-1-2 1.52	1-2-0 3.89	0-3-1 5.90
Celtic	2-1-0 6.79	—	3-0-1 8.16	3-0-0 7.28	3-0-1 8.46	2-1-0 7.04	3-0-0 6.65	2-1-0 6.77	4-0-0 8.71	2-0-2 5.84	3-0-1 9.19	3-0-0 6.94
Dundee United	0-0-3 5.46	1-0-3 2.95	—	2-0-1 5.61	3-1-0 6.16	2-1-0 5.92	3-0-0 5.06	1-2-0 5.08	1-2-1 6.44	1-0-3 3.22	2-2-0 6.42	0-3-0 5.67
Dunfermline Athletic	1-1-2 4.91	0-0-3 1.27	1-0-2 2.69	—	0-0-3 2.80	1-1-2 5.78	0-4-0 4.66	1-1-2 4.57	0-0-3 3.36	0-0-3 1.48	1-0-2 3.57	0-3-1 5.39
Heart of Midlothian	2-1-0 5.14	1-0-3 2.70	0-1-3 4.79	3-0-0 5.47	—	3-0-0 5.66	1-1-1 4.77	0-2-1 4.81	1-0-3 5.90	1-1-2 2.81	1-0-3 6.19	2-1-0 5.48
Hibernian	1-2-1 4.63	0-1-2 1.46	0-1-2 2.39	2-1-1 5.17	0-0-3 2.62	—	2-1-1 4.22	1-1-2 4.61	0-1-2 2.89	0-0-3 1.26	1-0-2 3.17	1-1-2 5.15
Inverness CT	2-0-2 5.85	0-0-3 1.77	0-0-3 3.17	0-4-0 6.29	1-1-1 3.45	1-1-2 6.75	—	2-1-1 5.53	1-0-2 4.13	0-0-3 1.85	0-1-2 3.67	3-1-0 6.11
Kilmarnock	1-3-0 5.90	0-1-2 1.67	0-2-1 3.15	2-1-1 6.39	1-2-0 3.41	2-1-1 6.35	1-1-2 5.41	—	1-2-0 3.70	2-0-1 1.54	0-1-2 3.89	1-0-3 6.25
Motherwell	3-0-0 4.73	0-0-4 2.48	1-2-1 4.52	3-0-0 4.88	3-0-1 5.05	2-1-0 5.37	2-0-1 4.08	0-2-1 4.51	—	0-1-3 2.65	3-0-1 5.73	1-2-0 5.01
Rangers	2-1-0 6.95	2-0-2 5.10	3-0-1 7.86	3-0-0 7.00	2-1-1 8.32	3-0-0 7.28	3-0-0 6.56	1-0-2 6.93	3-1-0 8.51	—	3-1-0 8.85	1-1-1 7.17
St. Johnstone	0-2-1 4.32	1-0-3 2.10	0-2-2 4.54	2-0-1 4.65	3-0-1 4.76	2-0-1 5.06	2-1-0 4.54	2-1-0 4.32	1-0-3 5.21	0-1-3 2.37	—	1-1-1 4.73
St. Mirren	1-3-0 5.05	0-0-3 1.53	0-3-0 2.61	1-3-0 5.57	0-1-2 2.78	2-1-1 5.80	0-1-3 4.84	3-0-1 4.71	0-2-1 3.21	1-1-1 1.35	1-1-1 3.49	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.82	+10.6
Allowed	0.82	-10.1
Differential	0.94	+6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.96%	8.11%	7.46%	4.17%	1.97%	1.10%	33.77%
1	8.11%	9.21%	6.80%	2.63%	0.88%	0.66%	28.29%
2	7.46%	6.80%	2.19%	2.19%	0.66%	0.22%	19.52%
3	4.17%	2.63%	2.19%	2.19%	0.44%	0.22%	11.84%
4	1.97%	0.88%	0.66%	0.44%	0.44%	—	4.39%
5+	1.10%	0.66%	0.22%	0.22%	—	—	2.19%
Total	33.77%	28.29%	19.52%	11.84%	4.39%	2.19%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.32	+0.00
SD	1.30	1.30	1.91
CV	0.99	0.99	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.42%	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	44.74%
1	5.26%	10.53%	13.16%	—	—	—	28.95%
2	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	15.79%
3	—	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	36.84%	23.68%	10.53%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	1.16	-0.21
SD	1.09	0.97	1.44
CV	1.15	0.84	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
1	18.42%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	21.05%
2	21.05%	13.16%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	39.47%
3	7.89%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	5.26%	—	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
Total	65.79%	23.68%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.21	0.55	+1.66
SD	1.53	0.98	1.92
CV	0.69	1.77	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	2.63%	18.42%
1	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	10.53%	—	2.63%	36.84%
2	10.53%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	18.42%
4	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	34.21%	31.58%	13.16%	15.79%	—	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.63	1.32	+0.32
SD	1.28	1.38	1.99
CV	0.79	1.05	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	10.53%	—	34.21%
1	7.89%	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	—	42.11%
2	—	—	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	10.53%
3	5.26%	—	—	5.26%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	13.16%	23.68%	23.68%	21.05%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	2.16	-1.11
SD	1.06	1.41	1.77
CV	1.01	0.65	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	18.42%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	44.74%
1	—	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	13.16%
2	18.42%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	34.21%	36.84%	18.42%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.13	+0.05
SD	1.31	1.19	2.07
CV	1.11	1.05	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	15.79%	15.79%	—	2.63%	2.63%	47.37%
1	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	23.68%
2	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
3	—	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	18.42%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	28.95%	31.58%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.76	-0.71
SD	1.25	1.26	1.66
CV	1.19	0.72	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
1	10.53%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	36.84%
2	2.63%	10.53%	—	7.89%	—	—	21.05%
3	—	—	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
Total	21.05%	31.58%	21.05%	21.05%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.58	-0.47
SD	1.20	1.20	1.41
CV	1.09	0.76	—
Max	6	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	—	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	31.58%
1	10.53%	18.42%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	39.47%
2	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	15.79%
3	—	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	26.32%	21.05%	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	1.61	-0.45
SD	1.13	1.59	1.80
CV	0.97	0.99	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	39.47%
1	15.79%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	28.95%
2	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
3	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	18.42%
4	—	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	39.47%	23.68%	21.05%	13.16%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.16	+0.13
SD	1.43	1.17	1.92
CV	1.11	1.01	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
1	5.26%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	21.05%
2	15.79%	13.16%	—	—	—	—	28.95%
3	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
4	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	44.74%	39.47%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.03	0.74	+1.29
SD	1.38	0.79	1.75
CV	0.68	1.08	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.42%	7.89%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	44.74%
1	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	—	5.26%	15.79%
2	7.89%	7.89%	—	5.26%	—	—	21.05%
3	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	39.47%	21.05%	21.05%	10.53%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.13	1.32	-0.18
SD	1.19	1.44	1.92
CV	1.05	1.09	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	21.05%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	2.63%	39.47%
1	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
2	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	21.05%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.21%	26.32%	23.68%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.34	-0.32
SD	1.10	1.38	1.51
CV	1.07	1.03	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1836	93	71.74	+21.26	95.0%	55	61	68	72	76	81	83
Rangers	1787	73	61.27	+11.73	64.0%	42	49	56	60	67	72	78
Dundee United	1641	59	51.82	+7.18	40.0%	36	41	47	52	56	64	66
Motherwell	1558	62	43.32	+18.68	92.0%	26	33	38	42	47	56	64
Heart of Midlothian	1557	52	49.44	+2.56	49.0%	30	37	46	49	55	60	67
St. Johnstone	1493	50	41.31	+8.69	90.0%	26	29	35	41	46	55	62
Inverness CT	1487	39	41.62	-2.62	9.0%	22	28	37	42	45	55	62
Aberdeen	1469	41	37.84	+3.16	47.0%	25	28	33	38	42	49	59
Kilmarnock	1465	47	39.96	+7.04	33.0%	24	28	35	40	44	52	58
St. Mirren	1458	43	32.50	+10.50	65.0%	16	21	28	33	37	43	49
Hibernian	1424	33	30.42	+2.58	32.0%	14	20	26	30	35	41	51
Dunfermline Athletic	1389	25	35.80	-10.80	2.0%	14	24	31	36	41	47	52

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+3.95%

No Edge

39.47%25.00%35.53%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 13.72 Elo pts.

164 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.13 goals

Neutral

-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.4

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

84%

Celtic, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.53/gm

Runaway

00.270.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.57 * Some Luck: 5.57 to 8.36 * Lucky: 8.36 to 11.14 * Wild Swing: 11.14 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.24 * Close: 1.24 to 1.86 * Off: 1.86 to 2.48 * Way Off: 2.48 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.41 * A Surprise: 1.41 to 2.26 * Several Surprises: 2.26 to 3.1 * Many Surprises: 3.1 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.54 points

Some Luck

06.9617

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

01.554

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

95.00%

Celtic

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

2.00%

Dunfermline Athletic

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

2 of 2

A Surprise

01.42

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Top-Heavy

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 132.54

2.28

Strong Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

68%

Slight Edge

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 93%

92%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

60%

Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Occasional

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.35

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.14

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.60

Some Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Upset-Prone

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.84

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.09

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.053

Well Within Noise

00.1110.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	84.00%	14.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	15.00%	62.00%	17.00%	5.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	3.00%	8.00%	12.00%	15.00%	14.00%	13.00%	15.00%	12.00%	4.00%	1.00%	3.00%
Dundee United	—	15.00%	29.00%	27.00%	13.00%	8.00%	6.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	4.00%	32.00%	18.00%	20.00%	13.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	5.00%	—	—
St. Johnstone	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	10.00%	16.00%	12.00%	12.00%	11.00%	10.00%	14.00%	5.00%	5.00%
Kilmarnock	—	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	8.00%	16.00%	19.00%	15.00%	7.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%
St. Mirren	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	10.00%	3.00%	15.00%	17.00%	26.00%	22.00%
Aberdeen	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	10.00%	6.00%	11.00%	10.00%	21.00%	13.00%	16.00%	6.00%
Inverness CT	—	—	4.00%	8.00%	15.00%	14.00%	14.00%	16.00%	11.00%	9.00%	4.00%	5.00%
Hibernian	—	—	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	1.00%	7.00%	10.00%	17.00%	23.00%	38.00%
Dunfermline Athletic	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	9.00%	10.00%	19.00%	12.00%	12.00%	17.00%	15.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	—	99.84%	0.16%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	0.15%	72.92%	21.53%	5.10%	0.30%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee United	—	0.01%	18.67%	48.75%	23.56%	9.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	6.02%	20.66%	44.26%	29.06%	—	—	—	—	—	—
St. Johnstone	—	—	2.23%	9.06%	27.08%	61.63%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	—	—	—	47.37%	28.18%	17.17%	7.10%	0.18%	—
St. Mirren	—	—	—	—	—	—	24.48%	30.65%	27.99%	16.08%	0.80%	—
Aberdeen	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.44%	28.33%	30.52%	16.74%	0.97%	—
Inverness CT	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.69%	12.60%	23.16%	53.50%	6.04%	0.01%
Hibernian	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.02%	0.24%	1.16%	6.57%	87.75%	4.26%
Dunfermline Athletic	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	4.26%	95.73%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Celtic	100%	—
Dundee United	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
St. Johnstone	97.00%	3.00%
Inverness CT	96.00%	4.00%
Kilmarnock	96.00%	4.00%
Motherwell	96.00%	4.00%
Aberdeen	93.00%	7.00%
Dunfermline Athletic	81.00%	19.00%
St. Mirren	77.00%	23.00%
Hibernian	64.00%	36.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—
Celtic	100%	—
Dundee United	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Kilmarnock	100%	—
Motherwell	100%	—
Rangers	100%	—
St. Johnstone	100%	—
St. Mirren	100%	—
Inverness CT	99.99%	0.01%
Hibernian	95.74%	4.26%
Dunfermline Athletic	4.27%	95.73%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2011-07-23	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.1	1727	1549	61.41%	22.01%	16.59%	+1.16	-1.7	1
2011-07-23	@ Rangers	D 1-1	72.1	1549	1727	16.59%	22.01%	61.41%	-1.16	+1.7	1
2011-07-23	Inverness CT	W 3-0	50.1	1491	1558	29.85%	26.15%	44.00%	-0.32	+20.3	3
2011-07-23	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	50.1	1558	1491	44.00%	26.15%	29.85%	+0.32	-20.3	0
2011-07-23	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	56.9	1479	1482	38.47%	26.49%	35.04%	+0.06	-0.1	1
2011-07-23	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	56.9	1482	1479	35.04%	26.49%	38.47%	-0.06	+0.1	1
2011-07-24	Celtic	L 0-2	45.5	1467	1736	12.89%	19.30%	67.81%	-1.56	-4.6	0
2011-07-24	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	45.5	1736	1467	67.81%	19.30%	12.89%	+1.56	+4.6	3
2011-07-24	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	67.4	1599	1516	50.11%	25.25%	24.64%	+0.58	-0.9	1
2011-07-24	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	67.4	1516	1599	24.64%	25.25%	50.11%	-0.58	+0.9	1
2011-07-25	St. Mirren	D 0-0	57.2	1515	1444	48.61%	25.52%	25.87%	+0.51	-0.9	1
2011-07-25	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	57.2	1444	1515	25.87%	25.52%	48.61%	-0.51	+0.9	1
2011-07-30	Aberdeen	W 1-0	49.9	1445	1478	34.22%	26.46%	39.32%	-0.12	+6.8	4
2011-07-30	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	49.9	1478	1445	39.32%	26.46%	34.22%	+0.12	-6.8	1
2011-07-30	Hibernian	L 0-1	55.3	1538	1462	49.24%	25.41%	25.35%	+0.54	-8.1	0
2011-07-30	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	55.3	1462	1538	25.35%	25.41%	49.24%	-0.54	+8.1	3
2011-07-30	Motherwell	D 0-0	59.5	1517	1511	39.81%	26.44%	33.75%	+0.12	-0.2	2
2011-07-30	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	59.5	1511	1517	33.75%	26.44%	39.81%	-0.12	+0.2	4
2011-07-30	Rangers	L 0-2	46.4	1482	1725	14.37%	20.50%	65.14%	-1.40	-5.2	1
2011-07-30	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	46.4	1725	1482	65.14%	20.50%	14.37%	+1.40	+5.2	4
2011-07-31	Dundee United	L 0-1	55.6	1551	1598	32.42%	26.37%	41.21%	-0.20	-5.9	1
2011-07-31	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	55.6	1598	1551	41.21%	26.37%	32.42%	+0.20	+5.9	4
2011-08-06	Inverness CT	D 3-3	73.9	1514	1529	36.73%	26.51%	36.76%	-0.01	+0.0	2
2011-08-06	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 3-3	73.9	1529	1514	36.76%	26.51%	36.73%	+0.01	+0.0	1
2011-08-06	St. Mirren	D 1-1	66.1	1604	1452	58.53%	23.03%	18.44%	+1.01	-1.5	5
2011-08-06	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	66.1	1452	1604	18.44%	23.03%	58.53%	-1.01	+1.5	5
2011-08-07	Celtic	L 0-1	49.2	1472	1741	12.92%	19.32%	67.76%	-1.55	-2.4	1
2011-08-07	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	49.2	1741	1472	67.76%	19.32%	12.92%	+1.55	+2.4	6
2011-08-07	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	54.8	1512	1545	34.16%	26.46%	39.38%	-0.12	+6.8	7
2011-08-07	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	54.8	1545	1512	39.38%	26.46%	34.16%	+0.12	-6.8	1
2011-08-13	Aberdeen	W 3-0	43.0	1538	1469	48.43%	25.55%	26.02%	+0.50	+13.5	4
2011-08-13	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	43.0	1469	1538	26.02%	25.55%	48.43%	-0.50	-13.5	1
2011-08-13	Dundee United	W 5-1	52.0	1743	1602	57.32%	23.42%	19.27%	+0.94	+11.1	9
2011-08-13	@ Celtic	L 1-5	52.0	1602	1743	19.27%	23.42%	57.32%	-0.94	-11.1	5
2011-08-13	Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	50.6	1477	1514	33.70%	26.44%	39.86%	-0.14	-6.0	1
2011-08-13	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	50.6	1514	1477	39.86%	26.44%	33.70%	+0.14	+6.0	5
2011-08-13	Motherwell	L 0-1	48.8	1453	1518	30.09%	26.17%	43.73%	-0.31	-5.5	5
2011-08-13	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	48.8	1518	1453	43.73%	26.17%	30.09%	+0.31	+5.6	10
2011-08-13	Rangers	L 0-2	48.7	1529	1730	17.08%	22.30%	60.63%	-1.14	-6.2	1
2011-08-13	@ Inverness CT	W 2-0	48.7	1730	1529	60.63%	22.30%	17.08%	+1.14	+6.2	7
2011-08-14	Hibernian	W 4-1	48.0	1517	1470	45.47%	25.98%	28.55%	+0.37	+12.3	5
2011-08-14	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-4	48.0	1470	1517	28.55%	25.98%	45.47%	-0.37	-12.3	3
2011-08-20	Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	59.1	1591	1520	48.67%	25.51%	25.82%	+0.52	-8.0	5
2011-08-20	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	59.1	1520	1591	25.82%	25.51%	48.67%	-0.52	+8.0	8
2011-08-20	Inverness CT	W 2-1	58.7	1456	1523	29.78%	26.14%	44.08%	-0.33	+7.0	4
2011-08-20	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	58.7	1523	1456	44.08%	26.14%	29.78%	+0.33	-7.0	1
2011-08-20	St. Mirren	L 1-2	55.0	1458	1448	40.36%	26.42%	33.22%	+0.14	-6.5	3
2011-08-20	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	55.0	1448	1458	33.22%	26.42%	40.36%	-0.14	+6.5	8
2011-08-21	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	61.3	1529	1552	35.72%	26.50%	37.77%	-0.05	+0.1	6
2011-08-21	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	61.3	1552	1529	37.77%	26.50%	35.72%	+0.05	-0.1	5
2011-08-21	Rangers	L 0-3	46.2	1524	1737	16.27%	21.81%	61.92%	-1.21	-8.6	10
2011-08-21	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	46.2	1737	1524	61.92%	21.81%	16.27%	+1.21	+8.6	10
2011-08-21	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	66.6	1755	1471	72.03%	17.24%	10.73%	+1.81	-11.0	9
2011-08-21	@ Celtic	W 1-0	66.6	1471	1755	10.73%	17.24%	72.03%	-1.81	+11.0	4
2011-08-27	Dundee United	D 3-3	74.9	1482	1583	25.87%	25.52%	48.61%	-0.53	+0.5	5
2011-08-27	@ St. Johnstone	D 3-3	74.9	1583	1482	48.61%	25.52%	25.87%	+0.53	-0.5	6
2011-08-27	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	59.0	1516	1530	37.03%	26.51%	36.46%	+0.00	+6.1	4
2011-08-27	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	59.0	1530	1516	36.46%	26.51%	37.03%	+0.00	-6.1	6
2011-08-27	Motherwell	L 2-4	60.4	1528	1515	40.75%	26.40%	32.85%	+0.16	-10.2	8
2011-08-27	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-2	60.4	1515	1528	32.85%	26.40%	40.75%	-0.16	+10.2	13
2011-08-28	Aberdeen	W 2-0	44.4	1745	1463	71.91%	17.30%	10.79%	+1.80	+3.7	13
2011-08-28	@ Rangers	L 0-2	44.4	1463	1745	10.79%	17.30%	71.91%	-1.80	-3.7	4
2011-08-28	Celtic	L 0-2	44.8	1454	1744	11.91%	18.41%	69.68%	-1.68	-4.2	8
2011-08-28	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	44.8	1744	1454	69.68%	18.41%	11.91%	+1.68	+4.2	12
2011-08-28	Hibernian	W 2-0	43.8	1552	1451	52.42%	24.75%	22.83%	+0.69	+8.3	8
2011-08-28	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	43.8	1451	1552	22.83%	24.75%	52.42%	-0.69	-8.3	3
2011-09-10	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-2	62.9	1523	1518	39.73%	26.45%	33.82%	+0.12	+5.4	9
2011-09-10	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-3	62.9	1518	1523	33.82%	26.45%	39.73%	-0.12	-5.4	8
2011-09-10	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	66.0	1522	1560	33.59%	26.44%	39.97%	-0.15	+0.2	5
2011-09-10	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	66.0	1560	1522	39.97%	26.44%	33.59%	+0.15	-0.2	9
2011-09-10	Motherwell	W 4-0	44.7	1748	1525	66.13%	20.07%	13.81%	+1.44	+9.4	15
2011-09-10	@ Celtic	L 0-4	44.7	1525	1748	13.81%	20.07%	66.13%	-1.44	-9.4	13
2011-09-10	Rangers	L 0-1	54.4	1583	1749	19.70%	23.61%	56.69%	-0.93	-3.8	6
2011-09-10	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	54.4	1749	1583	56.69%	23.61%	19.70%	+0.93	+3.8	16
2011-09-10	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	55.9	1450	1482	34.40%	26.47%	39.13%	-0.11	+0.2	9
2011-09-10	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	55.9	1482	1450	39.13%	26.47%	34.40%	+0.11	-0.2	6
2011-09-11	Aberdeen	D 0-0	54.9	1443	1459	36.66%	26.51%	36.84%	-0.01	+0.0	4
2011-09-11	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	54.9	1459	1443	36.84%	26.51%	36.66%	+0.01	-0.0	5
2011-09-17	Hibernian	D 2-2	67.2	1512	1443	48.44%	25.55%	26.01%	+0.51	-0.6	9
2011-09-17	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 2-2	67.2	1443	1512	26.01%	25.55%	48.44%	-0.51	+0.6	5
2011-09-17	Inverness CT	W 3-1	54.6	1579	1522	46.72%	25.82%	27.47%	+0.43	+8.4	9
2011-09-17	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	54.6	1522	1579	27.47%	25.82%	46.72%	-0.43	-8.4	5
2011-09-17	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	68.2	1459	1529	29.48%	26.10%	44.41%	-0.34	+0.4	6
2011-09-17	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	68.2	1529	1459	44.41%	26.10%	29.48%	+0.34	-0.4	10
2011-09-17	St. Johnstone	L 0-3	48.2	1516	1482	43.70%	26.18%	30.12%	+0.29	-20.2	13
2011-09-17	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	48.2	1482	1516	30.12%	26.18%	43.70%	-0.29	+20.2	9
2011-09-17	St. Mirren	W 2-0	43.7	1560	1450	53.53%	24.48%	21.99%	+0.75	+8.0	12
2011-09-17	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	43.7	1450	1560	21.99%	24.48%	53.53%	-0.75	-8.0	9
2011-09-18	Celtic	W 4-2	66.8	1753	1757	38.32%	26.49%	35.19%	+0.06	+9.1	19
2011-09-18	@ Rangers	L 2-4	66.8	1757	1753	35.19%	26.49%	38.32%	-0.06	-9.1	15
2011-09-24	Aberdeen	W 1-0	48.1	1496	1459	44.04%	26.14%	29.82%	+0.31	+5.5	16
2011-09-24	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	48.1	1459	1496	29.82%	26.14%	44.04%	-0.31	-5.5	6
2011-09-24	Dundee United	D 3-3	74.1	1444	1587	21.69%	24.38%	53.93%	-0.79	+0.7	6
2011-09-24	@ Hibernian	D 3-3	74.1	1587	1444	53.93%	24.38%	21.69%	+0.79	-0.7	10
2011-09-24	Inverness CT	W 2-0	46.8	1748	1514	67.30%	19.54%	13.17%	+1.51	+4.7	18
2011-09-24	@ Celtic	L 0-2	46.8	1514	1748	13.17%	19.54%	67.30%	-1.51	-4.7	5
2011-09-24	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	47.9	1442	1529	27.56%	25.83%	46.60%	-0.44	+21.2	12
2011-09-24	@ St. Mirren	L 0-3	47.9	1529	1442	46.60%	25.83%	27.56%	+0.44	-21.2	10
2011-09-24	Rangers	L 0-4	44.8	1512	1762	13.97%	20.19%	65.84%	-1.44	-9.5	9
2011-09-24	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-0	44.8	1762	1512	65.84%	20.19%	13.97%	+1.44	+9.5	22
2011-09-25	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	53.0	1502	1568	30.00%	26.16%	43.84%	-0.32	+13.9	12
2011-09-25	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	53.0	1568	1502	43.84%	26.16%	30.00%	+0.32	-13.9	12
2011-09-27	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	46.1	1771	1507	70.22%	18.15%	11.63%	+1.69	+4.1	25
2011-09-27	@ Rangers	L 0-2	46.1	1507	1771	11.63%	18.15%	70.22%	-1.69	-4.1	10
2011-09-28	St. Johnstone	W 3-2	63.0	1444	1516	29.25%	26.08%	44.67%	-0.35	+6.7	9
2011-09-28	@ Hibernian	L 2-3	63.0	1516	1444	44.67%	26.08%	29.25%	+0.35	-6.7	12
2011-09-30	Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-0	45.5	1454	1502	32.19%	26.36%	41.45%	-0.21	+25.3	9
2011-09-30	@ Aberdeen	L 0-4	45.5	1502	1454	41.45%	26.36%	32.19%	+0.21	-25.3	9
2011-10-01	Hibernian	W 1-0	47.2	1775	1451	75.57%	15.37%	9.06%	+2.06	+1.6	28
2011-10-01	@ Rangers	L 0-1	47.2	1451	1775	9.06%	15.37%	75.57%	-2.06	-1.6	9
2011-10-01	Motherwell	L 1-3	60.8	1586	1501	50.47%	25.18%	24.36%	+0.60	-13.5	10
2011-10-01	@ Dundee United	W 3-1	60.8	1501	1586	24.36%	25.18%	50.47%	-0.60	+13.5	19
2011-10-01	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	58.2	1503	1510	38.04%	26.50%	35.46%	+0.05	-6.2	10
2011-10-01	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	58.2	1510	1503	35.46%	26.50%	38.04%	-0.05	+6.2	15
2011-10-01	St. Mirren	W 2-1	53.8	1509	1464	45.29%	26.00%	28.70%	+0.36	+5.0	8
2011-10-01	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	53.8	1464	1509	28.70%	26.00%	45.29%	-0.36	-5.0	12
2011-10-02	Celtic	W 2-0	62.4	1554	1753	17.24%	22.39%	60.37%	-1.13	+18.1	15
2011-10-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	62.4	1753	1554	60.37%	22.39%	17.24%	+1.13	-18.1	18
2011-10-15	Celtic	D 3-3	81.0	1497	1735	14.70%	20.74%	64.56%	-1.36	+1.2	11
2011-10-15	@ Kilmarnock	D 3-3	81.0	1735	1497	64.56%	20.74%	14.70%	+1.36	-1.2	19
2011-10-15	Dundee United	W 3-1	58.9	1479	1573	26.71%	25.69%	47.61%	-0.49	+12.9	12
2011-10-15	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	58.9	1573	1479	47.61%	25.69%	26.71%	+0.49	-12.9	10
2011-10-15	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	46.9	1477	1572	26.55%	25.66%	47.79%	-0.49	-9.4	9
2011-10-15	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	46.9	1572	1477	47.79%	25.66%	26.55%	+0.49	+9.4	18
2011-10-15	Inverness CT	W 2-0	48.8	1516	1514	39.13%	26.47%	34.40%	+0.09	+11.6	18
2011-10-15	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	48.8	1514	1516	34.40%	26.47%	39.13%	-0.09	-11.6	8
2011-10-15	Motherwell	L 0-1	48.5	1450	1515	30.03%	26.17%	43.80%	-0.31	-5.5	9
2011-10-15	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	48.5	1515	1450	43.80%	26.17%	30.03%	+0.31	+5.5	22
2011-10-15	St. Mirren	D 1-1	73.3	1777	1459	75.07%	15.64%	9.29%	+2.02	-2.5	29
2011-10-15	@ Rangers	D 1-1	73.3	1459	1777	9.29%	15.64%	75.07%	-2.02	+2.5	13
2011-10-22	Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	62.0	1503	1468	43.87%	26.16%	29.97%	+0.30	-0.5	9
2011-10-22	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	62.0	1468	1503	29.97%	26.16%	43.87%	-0.30	+0.5	10
2011-10-22	Hibernian	L 2-3	60.1	1461	1444	41.36%	26.36%	32.28%	+0.19	-6.3	13
2011-10-22	@ St. Mirren	W 3-2	60.1	1444	1461	32.28%	26.36%	41.36%	-0.19	+6.3	12
2011-10-22	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	59.1	1520	1498	42.09%	26.31%	31.60%	+0.22	-0.4	23
2011-10-22	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	59.1	1498	1520	31.60%	26.31%	42.09%	-0.22	+0.4	12
2011-10-22	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	61.6	1560	1527	43.52%	26.20%	30.29%	+0.28	-0.5	11
2011-10-22	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	61.6	1527	1560	30.29%	26.20%	43.52%	-0.28	+0.5	19
2011-10-23	Aberdeen	W 2-1	54.9	1733	1492	68.02%	19.20%	12.78%	+1.55	+2.3	22
2011-10-23	@ Celtic	L 1-2	54.9	1492	1733	12.78%	19.20%	68.02%	-1.55	-2.3	12
2011-10-23	Rangers	L 0-2	50.2	1581	1775	17.64%	22.61%	59.75%	-1.09	-6.4	18
2011-10-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	50.2	1775	1581	59.75%	22.61%	17.64%	+1.09	+6.4	32
2011-10-29	Dundee United	L 1-4	49.0	1468	1559	26.95%	25.73%	47.31%	-0.47	-11.7	10
2011-10-29	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-1	49.0	1559	1468	47.31%	25.73%	26.95%	+0.47	+11.7	14
2011-10-29	Hibernian	D 0-0	67.2	1736	1450	72.17%	17.16%	10.66%	+1.82	-2.6	23
2011-10-29	@ Celtic	D 0-0	67.2	1450	1736	10.66%	17.16%	72.17%	-1.82	+2.6	13
2011-10-29	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	58.1	1575	1499	49.38%	25.39%	25.24%	+0.55	-8.1	18
2011-10-29	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	58.1	1499	1575	25.24%	25.39%	49.38%	-0.55	+8.1	15
2011-10-29	Motherwell	L 2-3	63.0	1502	1520	36.40%	26.51%	37.09%	-0.02	-5.7	9
2011-10-29	@ Inverness CT	W 3-2	63.0	1520	1502	37.09%	26.51%	36.40%	+0.02	+5.7	26
2011-10-29	Rangers	L 1-2	55.1	1490	1781	11.81%	18.31%	69.88%	-1.69	-2.1	12
2011-10-29	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	55.1	1781	1490	69.88%	18.31%	11.81%	+1.69	+2.1	35
2011-10-29	St. Mirren	L 0-1	54.6	1528	1455	48.92%	25.47%	25.61%	+0.53	-8.1	19
2011-10-29	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	54.6	1455	1528	25.61%	25.47%	48.92%	-0.53	+8.1	16
2011-11-05	Dundee United	W 3-1	54.1	1783	1571	65.07%	20.53%	14.40%	+1.37	+4.5	38
2011-11-05	@ Rangers	L 1-3	54.1	1571	1783	14.40%	20.53%	65.07%	-1.37	-4.5	14
2011-11-05	Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	49.1	1453	1456	38.45%	26.49%	35.06%	+0.06	-6.7	13
2011-11-05	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	49.1	1456	1453	35.06%	26.49%	38.45%	-0.06	+6.7	13
2011-11-05	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	59.8	1463	1567	25.57%	25.46%	48.97%	-0.55	+0.9	17
2011-11-05	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	59.8	1567	1463	48.97%	25.46%	25.57%	+0.55	-0.9	19
2011-11-05	Inverness CT	L 3-6	55.9	1507	1497	40.37%	26.42%	33.21%	+0.14	-12.8	15
2011-11-05	@ Kilmarnock	W 6-3	55.9	1497	1507	33.21%	26.42%	40.37%	-0.14	+12.8	12
2011-11-06	Celtic	L 1-2	57.5	1526	1733	16.64%	22.04%	61.32%	-1.18	-3.0	26
2011-11-06	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	57.5	1733	1526	61.32%	22.04%	16.64%	+1.18	+3.0	26
2011-11-19	Celtic	L 0-2	47.6	1509	1736	15.37%	21.22%	63.41%	-1.30	-5.6	12
2011-11-19	@ Inverness CT	W 2-0	47.6	1736	1509	63.41%	21.22%	15.37%	+1.30	+5.6	29
2011-11-19	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	54.0	1464	1463	39.05%	26.47%	34.48%	+0.09	+5.8	20
2011-11-19	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	54.0	1463	1464	34.48%	26.47%	39.05%	-0.09	-5.8	13
2011-11-19	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	55.8	1567	1566	39.04%	26.47%	34.48%	+0.09	+6.2	17
2011-11-19	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	55.8	1566	1567	34.48%	26.47%	39.04%	-0.09	-6.2	19
2011-11-19	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	60.8	1446	1494	32.30%	26.37%	41.33%	-0.21	+0.3	14
2011-11-19	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	60.8	1494	1446	41.33%	26.37%	32.30%	+0.21	-0.3	16
2011-11-19	Motherwell	L 1-2	56.9	1488	1523	33.99%	26.46%	39.55%	-0.13	-5.8	12
2011-11-19	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	56.9	1523	1488	39.55%	26.46%	33.99%	+0.13	+5.8	29
2011-11-19	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	69.1	1788	1520	70.56%	17.98%	11.46%	+1.71	-2.5	39
2011-11-19	@ Rangers	D 0-0	69.1	1520	1788	11.46%	17.98%	70.56%	-1.71	+2.5	20
2011-11-23	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	53.1	1742	1457	72.09%	17.21%	10.70%	+1.81	+1.8	32
2011-11-23	@ Celtic	L 1-2	53.1	1457	1742	10.70%	17.21%	72.09%	-1.81	-1.8	13
2011-11-26	Aberdeen	D 3-3	70.0	1455	1482	35.14%	26.49%	38.37%	-0.08	+0.1	14
2011-11-26	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 3-3	70.0	1482	1455	38.37%	26.49%	35.14%	+0.08	-0.1	13
2011-11-26	Dundee United	D 0-0	62.0	1529	1573	32.73%	26.39%	40.88%	-0.19	+0.3	30
2011-11-26	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	62.0	1573	1529	40.88%	26.39%	32.73%	+0.19	-0.3	18
2011-11-26	Hibernian	W 3-1	49.0	1522	1447	49.27%	25.40%	25.32%	+0.54	+7.9	23
2011-11-26	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-3	49.0	1447	1522	25.32%	25.40%	49.27%	-0.54	-7.8	14
2011-11-26	Inverness CT	W 2-1	56.7	1560	1504	46.68%	25.82%	27.50%	+0.42	+4.9	22
2011-11-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	56.7	1504	1560	27.50%	25.82%	46.68%	-0.42	-4.9	12
2011-11-26	St. Mirren	W 5-0	42.7	1744	1470	71.13%	17.70%	11.18%	+1.75	+9.1	35
2011-11-26	@ Celtic	L 0-5	42.7	1470	1744	11.18%	17.70%	71.13%	-1.75	-9.1	20
2011-11-27	Rangers	W 1-0	67.2	1494	1785	11.79%	18.30%	69.92%	-1.69	+10.7	19
2011-11-27	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	67.2	1785	1494	69.92%	18.30%	11.79%	+1.69	-10.7	39
2011-12-03	Aberdeen	W 2-0	46.3	1504	1482	42.08%	26.32%	31.61%	+0.22	+10.9	22
2011-12-03	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	46.3	1482	1504	31.61%	26.32%	42.08%	-0.22	-10.9	13
2011-12-03	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	52.8	1774	1455	75.11%	15.62%	9.27%	+2.02	+1.6	42
2011-12-03	@ Rangers	L 1-2	52.8	1455	1774	9.27%	15.62%	75.11%	-2.02	-1.6	14
2011-12-03	Inverness CT	L 1-2	54.9	1461	1499	33.52%	26.43%	40.04%	-0.15	-5.7	20
2011-12-03	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	54.9	1499	1461	40.04%	26.43%	33.52%	+0.15	+5.7	15
2011-12-03	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	62.8	1565	1530	43.77%	26.17%	30.06%	+0.29	-7.0	22
2011-12-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	62.8	1530	1565	30.06%	26.17%	43.77%	-0.29	+7.0	26
2011-12-04	Celtic	L 0-1	53.9	1573	1753	18.62%	23.11%	58.26%	-1.01	-3.6	18
2011-12-04	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	53.9	1753	1573	58.26%	23.11%	18.62%	+1.01	+3.6	38
2011-12-10	Dundee United	L 2-3	62.8	1505	1569	30.17%	26.18%	43.65%	-0.31	-5.0	15
2011-12-10	@ Inverness CT	W 3-2	62.8	1569	1505	43.65%	26.18%	30.17%	+0.31	+5.0	21
2011-12-10	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	52.1	1756	1558	63.67%	21.12%	15.22%	+1.29	+2.9	41
2011-12-10	@ Celtic	L 0-1	52.1	1558	1756	15.22%	21.12%	63.67%	-1.29	-2.9	22
2011-12-10	Motherwell	L 0-3	49.6	1537	1529	40.12%	26.43%	33.45%	+0.13	-18.9	26
2011-12-10	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-0	49.6	1529	1537	33.45%	26.43%	40.12%	-0.13	+18.9	33
2011-12-10	Rangers	L 0-2	43.9	1439	1776	9.76%	16.19%	74.05%	-1.97	-3.3	14
2011-12-10	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	43.9	1776	1439	74.05%	16.19%	9.76%	+1.97	+3.3	45
2011-12-10	St. Mirren	D 2-2	65.9	1471	1455	41.23%	26.37%	32.39%	+0.18	-0.2	14
2011-12-10	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	65.9	1455	1471	32.39%	26.37%	41.23%	-0.18	+0.2	21
2011-12-13	Aberdeen	L 1-2	59.4	1518	1471	45.52%	25.98%	28.51%	+0.37	-7.2	26
2011-12-13	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	59.4	1471	1518	28.51%	25.98%	45.52%	-0.37	+7.2	17
2011-12-17	Dundee United	D 1-1	66.3	1515	1574	30.85%	26.25%	42.90%	-0.27	+0.4	23
2011-12-17	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	66.3	1574	1515	42.90%	26.25%	30.85%	+0.27	-0.4	22
2011-12-17	Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-0	41.4	1555	1454	52.47%	24.74%	22.79%	+0.70	+15.7	25
2011-12-17	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	41.4	1454	1555	22.79%	24.74%	52.47%	-0.70	-15.7	14
2011-12-17	Hibernian	W 1-0	46.3	1478	1435	44.88%	26.05%	29.06%	+0.34	+5.4	20
2011-12-17	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	46.3	1435	1478	29.06%	26.05%	44.88%	-0.34	-5.4	14
2011-12-17	Inverness CT	W 2-1	54.7	1779	1500	71.64%	17.43%	10.92%	+1.78	+1.9	48
2011-12-17	@ Rangers	L 1-2	54.7	1500	1779	10.92%	17.43%	71.64%	-1.78	-1.9	15
2011-12-17	St. Mirren	D 1-1	63.6	1548	1455	51.43%	24.97%	23.59%	+0.65	-1.0	34
2011-12-17	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	63.6	1455	1548	23.59%	24.97%	51.43%	-0.65	+1.0	22
2011-12-18	Celtic	L 0-2	47.4	1511	1759	14.08%	20.28%	65.64%	-1.43	-5.1	26
2011-12-18	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	47.4	1759	1511	65.64%	20.28%	14.08%	+1.43	+5.1	44
2011-12-24	Aberdeen	W 2-1	55.4	1498	1483	40.97%	26.39%	32.64%	+0.17	+5.6	18
2011-12-24	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	55.4	1483	1498	32.64%	26.39%	40.97%	-0.17	-5.6	20
2011-12-24	Hibernian	W 3-1	47.8	1574	1430	57.58%	23.33%	19.08%	+0.96	+6.0	25
2011-12-24	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	47.8	1430	1574	19.08%	23.33%	57.58%	-0.96	-6.0	14
2011-12-24	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	55.6	1764	1516	68.74%	18.86%	12.40%	+1.60	+2.2	47
2011-12-24	@ Celtic	L 1-2	55.6	1516	1764	12.40%	18.86%	68.74%	-1.60	-2.2	23
2011-12-24	Motherwell	W 2-0	50.9	1570	1547	42.28%	26.30%	31.42%	+0.23	+10.8	28
2011-12-24	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	50.9	1547	1570	31.42%	26.30%	42.28%	-0.23	-10.8	34
2011-12-24	Rangers	W 2-1	72.4	1456	1781	10.27%	16.75%	72.98%	-1.89	+10.4	25
2011-12-24	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	72.4	1781	1456	72.98%	16.75%	10.27%	+1.89	-10.4	48
2011-12-24	St. Johnstone	L 0-3	42.0	1438	1506	29.74%	26.14%	44.12%	-0.33	-15.0	14
2011-12-24	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	42.0	1506	1438	44.12%	26.14%	29.74%	+0.33	+15.0	29
2011-12-28	Dundee United	D 2-2	70.6	1467	1580	24.63%	25.24%	50.13%	-0.60	+0.7	26
2011-12-28	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	70.6	1580	1467	50.13%	25.24%	24.63%	+0.60	-0.7	26
2011-12-28	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	60.9	1478	1581	25.64%	25.47%	48.89%	-0.55	+0.9	21
2011-12-28	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	60.9	1581	1478	48.89%	25.47%	25.64%	+0.55	-0.9	29
2011-12-28	Inverness CT	D 1-1	60.5	1424	1503	28.34%	25.95%	45.71%	-0.40	+0.6	15
2011-12-28	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	60.5	1503	1424	45.71%	25.95%	28.34%	+0.40	-0.6	19
2011-12-28	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	48.7	1521	1513	40.03%	26.44%	33.53%	+0.13	+11.4	32
2011-12-28	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	48.7	1513	1521	33.53%	26.44%	40.03%	-0.13	-11.4	23
2011-12-28	Rangers	W 1-0	61.1	1766	1771	38.32%	26.49%	35.18%	+0.06	+6.3	50
2011-12-28	@ Celtic	L 0-1	61.1	1771	1766	35.18%	26.49%	38.32%	-0.06	-6.3	48
2012-01-02	Aberdeen	L 1-2	63.6	1579	1479	52.36%	24.77%	22.87%	+0.69	-8.0	26
2012-01-02	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	63.6	1479	1579	22.87%	24.77%	52.36%	-0.69	+8.0	24
2012-01-02	Celtic	L 0-3	41.0	1423	1773	9.27%	15.63%	75.10%	-2.04	-4.5	14
2012-01-02	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	41.0	1773	1423	75.10%	15.63%	9.27%	+2.04	+4.5	53
2012-01-02	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	48.5	1425	1580	20.60%	23.98%	55.42%	-0.86	-6.5	15
2012-01-02	@ Hibernian	W 3-1	48.5	1580	1425	55.42%	23.98%	20.60%	+0.86	+6.5	32
2012-01-02	Motherwell	W 3-0	45.3	1764	1536	66.76%	19.78%	13.46%	+1.47	+7.0	51
2012-01-02	@ Rangers	L 0-3	45.3	1536	1764	13.46%	19.78%	66.76%	-1.47	-7.0	34
2012-01-02	St. Mirren	W 2-1	54.1	1502	1467	43.80%	26.17%	30.03%	+0.29	+5.2	26
2012-01-02	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	54.1	1467	1502	30.03%	26.17%	43.80%	-0.29	-5.2	26
2012-01-14	Dundee United	W 2-1	57.7	1777	1571	64.49%	20.77%	14.74%	+1.34	+2.7	56
2012-01-14	@ Celtic	L 1-2	57.7	1571	1777	14.74%	20.77%	64.49%	-1.34	-2.7	26
2012-01-14	Hibernian	L 2-3	57.4	1419	1418	39.03%	26.47%	34.50%	+0.09	-6.0	14
2012-01-14	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-2	57.4	1418	1419	34.50%	26.47%	39.03%	-0.09	+6.0	18
2012-01-14	Inverness CT	L 0-1	54.8	1529	1503	42.61%	26.27%	31.11%	+0.24	-7.2	34
2012-01-14	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	54.8	1503	1529	31.11%	26.27%	42.61%	-0.24	+7.2	22
2012-01-14	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	58.2	1487	1507	36.03%	26.50%	37.46%	-0.04	+0.1	25
2012-01-14	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	58.2	1507	1487	37.46%	26.50%	36.03%	+0.04	-0.1	27
2012-01-14	Rangers	L 1-2	57.1	1532	1771	14.61%	20.68%	64.70%	-1.37	-2.6	32
2012-01-14	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	57.1	1771	1532	64.70%	20.68%	14.61%	+1.37	+2.6	54
2012-01-14	St. Mirren	W 5-2	49.9	1587	1462	55.39%	23.99%	20.62%	+0.84	+8.0	35
2012-01-14	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-5	49.9	1462	1587	20.62%	23.99%	55.39%	-0.84	-8.0	26
2012-01-21	Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.3	1774	1487	72.34%	17.08%	10.58%	+1.83	-2.3	55
2012-01-21	@ Rangers	D 1-1	73.3	1487	1774	10.58%	17.08%	72.34%	-1.83	+2.3	26
2012-01-21	Celtic	L 0-2	44.5	1454	1780	10.24%	16.71%	73.05%	-1.90	-3.5	26
2012-01-21	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	44.5	1780	1454	73.05%	16.71%	10.24%	+1.90	+3.5	59
2012-01-21	Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-3	47.3	1507	1413	51.67%	24.92%	23.41%	+0.66	-23.1	27
2012-01-21	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-0	47.3	1413	1507	23.41%	24.92%	51.67%	-0.66	+23.1	17
2012-01-21	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	58.4	1510	1595	27.71%	25.86%	46.44%	-0.43	+7.7	25
2012-01-21	@ Inverness CT	L 0-1	58.4	1595	1510	46.44%	25.86%	27.71%	+0.43	-7.7	35
2012-01-21	Motherwell	D 1-1	66.4	1568	1522	45.40%	25.99%	28.61%	+0.37	-0.6	27
2012-01-21	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	66.4	1522	1568	28.61%	25.99%	45.40%	-0.37	+0.6	35
2012-01-21	St. Johnstone	L 2-3	56.8	1424	1530	25.40%	25.42%	49.18%	-0.56	-4.3	18
2012-01-21	@ Hibernian	W 3-2	56.8	1530	1424	49.18%	25.42%	25.40%	+0.56	+4.3	35
2012-01-24	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-1	48.2	1522	1436	50.66%	25.14%	24.20%	+0.61	+7.5	38
2012-01-24	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	48.2	1436	1522	24.20%	25.14%	50.66%	-0.61	-7.5	17
2012-01-28	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	45.7	1489	1428	47.35%	25.73%	26.92%	+0.45	+5.1	29
2012-01-28	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	45.7	1428	1489	26.92%	25.73%	47.35%	-0.45	-5.1	17
2012-01-28	Hibernian	W 4-0	39.6	1772	1420	77.80%	14.15%	8.06%	+2.22	+5.0	58
2012-01-28	@ Rangers	L 0-4	39.6	1420	1772	8.06%	14.15%	77.80%	-2.22	-5.0	18
2012-01-28	St. Johnstone	W 3-2	64.1	1530	1534	38.33%	26.49%	35.18%	+0.06	+5.6	41
2012-01-28	@ Motherwell	L 2-3	64.1	1534	1530	35.18%	26.49%	38.33%	-0.06	-5.6	35
2012-01-28	St. Mirren	D 0-0	57.5	1518	1451	48.16%	25.60%	26.24%	+0.49	-0.9	26
2012-01-28	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	57.5	1451	1518	26.24%	25.60%	48.16%	-0.49	+0.9	27
2012-02-07	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	59.7	1423	1484	30.59%	26.23%	43.18%	-0.29	+0.4	18
2012-02-07	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	59.7	1484	1423	43.18%	26.23%	30.59%	+0.29	-0.4	28
2012-02-08	Celtic	L 0-4	47.6	1587	1783	17.42%	22.49%	60.09%	-1.11	-12.1	35
2012-02-08	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	47.6	1783	1587	60.09%	22.49%	17.42%	+1.11	+12.1	62
2012-02-11	Aberdeen	D 0-0	55.3	1415	1494	28.33%	25.95%	45.72%	-0.40	+0.7	19
2012-02-11	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	55.3	1494	1415	45.72%	25.95%	28.33%	+0.40	-0.7	30
2012-02-11	Dundee United	L 1-5	52.0	1528	1568	33.43%	26.43%	40.14%	-0.15	-17.9	35
2012-02-11	@ St. Johnstone	W 5-1	52.0	1568	1528	40.14%	26.43%	33.43%	+0.15	+17.9	30
2012-02-11	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	65.4	1484	1575	26.95%	25.73%	47.32%	-0.47	+0.7	29
2012-02-11	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	65.4	1575	1484	47.32%	25.73%	26.95%	+0.47	-0.7	36
2012-02-11	Inverness CT	W 1-0	49.7	1795	1517	71.55%	17.48%	10.97%	+1.78	+2.0	65
2012-02-11	@ Celtic	L 0-1	49.7	1517	1795	10.97%	17.48%	71.55%	-1.78	-2.0	26
2012-02-11	Motherwell	D 0-0	58.1	1451	1535	27.80%	25.87%	46.33%	-0.43	+0.7	28
2012-02-11	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	58.1	1535	1451	46.33%	25.87%	27.80%	+0.43	-0.7	42
2012-02-11	Rangers	L 1-4	45.9	1424	1777	9.13%	15.46%	75.41%	-2.06	-3.7	18
2012-02-11	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-1	45.9	1777	1424	75.41%	15.46%	9.13%	+2.06	+3.7	61
2012-02-18	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	51.1	1535	1574	33.36%	26.43%	40.21%	-0.16	+18.9	45
2012-02-18	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	51.1	1574	1535	40.21%	26.43%	33.36%	+0.16	-18.9	36
2012-02-18	Inverness CT	D 1-1	60.8	1420	1515	26.55%	25.66%	47.79%	-0.49	+0.8	19
2012-02-18	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	60.8	1515	1420	47.79%	25.66%	26.55%	+0.49	-0.8	27
2012-02-18	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	67.5	1780	1484	73.14%	16.67%	10.20%	+1.88	-11.1	61
2012-02-18	@ Rangers	W 1-0	67.5	1484	1780	10.20%	16.67%	73.14%	-1.88	+11.1	32
2012-02-18	St. Mirren	D 0-0	60.6	1586	1452	56.40%	23.70%	19.90%	+0.89	-1.5	31
2012-02-18	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	60.6	1452	1586	19.90%	23.70%	56.40%	-0.89	+1.5	29
2012-02-19	Celtic	L 0-5	40.7	1416	1797	8.08%	14.17%	77.74%	-2.24	-6.2	19
2012-02-19	@ Hibernian	W 5-0	40.7	1797	1416	77.74%	14.17%	8.08%	+2.24	+6.2	68
2012-02-19	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	58.5	1494	1511	36.52%	26.51%	36.97%	-0.02	+0.0	31
2012-02-19	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	58.5	1511	1494	36.97%	26.51%	36.52%	+0.02	-0.0	36
2012-02-21	Kilmarnock	W 4-0	44.4	1584	1495	50.93%	25.08%	23.99%	+0.62	+16.4	34
2012-02-21	@ Dundee United	L 0-4	44.4	1495	1584	23.99%	25.08%	50.93%	-0.62	-16.4	32
2012-02-22	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	42.2	1804	1421	80.15%	12.81%	7.04%	+2.41	+2.2	71
2012-02-22	@ Celtic	L 0-2	42.2	1421	1804	7.04%	12.81%	80.15%	-2.41	-2.2	19
2012-02-22	Hibernian	W 4-3	57.1	1554	1409	57.67%	23.31%	19.02%	+0.96	+3.2	48
2012-02-22	@ Motherwell	L 3-4	57.1	1409	1554	19.02%	23.31%	57.67%	-0.96	-3.2	19
2012-02-25	Aberdeen	D 1-1	61.1	1454	1494	33.31%	26.42%	40.27%	-0.16	+0.2	30
2012-02-25	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	61.1	1494	1454	40.27%	26.42%	33.31%	+0.16	-0.2	32
2012-02-25	Dundee United	L 0-2	52.4	1555	1600	32.64%	26.39%	40.98%	-0.19	-11.1	36
2012-02-25	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	52.4	1600	1555	40.98%	26.39%	32.64%	+0.19	+11.1	37
2012-02-25	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-1	46.9	1511	1418	51.37%	24.99%	23.64%	+0.64	+7.4	39
2012-02-25	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-3	46.9	1418	1511	23.64%	24.99%	51.37%	-0.64	-7.4	19
2012-02-25	Hibernian	L 1-3	53.2	1479	1406	48.90%	25.47%	25.63%	+0.53	-13.2	32
2012-02-25	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	53.2	1406	1479	25.63%	25.47%	48.90%	-0.53	+13.2	22
2012-02-25	Motherwell	W 1-0	51.1	1806	1557	68.77%	18.85%	12.38%	+1.60	+2.3	74
2012-02-25	@ Celtic	L 0-1	51.1	1557	1806	12.38%	18.85%	68.77%	-1.60	-2.3	48
2012-02-26	Rangers	L 1-4	50.1	1514	1769	13.68%	19.96%	66.36%	-1.47	-6.0	27
2012-02-26	@ Inverness CT	W 4-1	50.1	1769	1514	66.36%	19.96%	13.68%	+1.47	+6.0	64
2012-03-03	Celtic	D 1-1	73.9	1493	1808	10.72%	17.23%	72.05%	-1.83	+2.3	33
2012-03-03	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.9	1808	1493	72.05%	17.23%	10.72%	+1.83	-2.3	75
2012-03-03	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	72.7	1775	1544	67.02%	19.67%	13.32%	+1.49	-9.8	64
2012-03-03	@ Rangers	W 2-1	72.7	1544	1775	13.32%	19.67%	67.02%	-1.49	+9.8	39
2012-03-03	Motherwell	L 0-2	41.9	1411	1555	21.68%	24.38%	53.95%	-0.79	-7.9	19
2012-03-03	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	41.9	1555	1411	53.95%	24.38%	21.68%	+0.79	+7.9	51
2012-03-03	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	57.8	1466	1518	31.71%	26.32%	41.96%	-0.23	+0.4	33
2012-03-03	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	57.8	1518	1466	41.96%	26.32%	31.71%	+0.23	-0.4	40
2012-03-03	St. Mirren	D 0-0	54.0	1419	1454	34.05%	26.46%	39.50%	-0.13	+0.2	23
2012-03-03	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	54.0	1454	1419	39.50%	26.46%	34.05%	+0.13	-0.2	31
2012-03-05	Inverness CT	W 3-0	45.6	1612	1508	52.78%	24.67%	22.55%	+0.71	+11.9	40
2012-03-05	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	45.6	1508	1612	22.55%	24.67%	52.78%	-0.71	-11.9	27
2012-03-10	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	61.7	1496	1466	43.16%	26.23%	30.62%	+0.27	-0.4	28
2012-03-10	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	61.7	1466	1496	30.62%	26.23%	43.16%	-0.27	+0.4	34
2012-03-17	Aberdeen	W 1-0	50.7	1562	1496	48.09%	25.61%	26.30%	+0.49	+5.0	54
2012-03-17	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	50.7	1496	1562	26.30%	25.61%	48.09%	-0.49	-5.0	33
2012-03-17	Rangers	W 2-1	70.8	1623	1766	21.80%	24.42%	53.77%	-0.78	+8.2	43
2012-03-17	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	70.8	1766	1623	53.77%	24.42%	21.80%	+0.78	-8.2	64
2012-03-17	St. Johnstone	L 0-3	43.1	1454	1518	30.22%	26.19%	43.59%	-0.30	-15.2	31
2012-03-17	@ St. Mirren	W 3-0	43.1	1518	1454	43.59%	26.19%	30.22%	+0.30	+15.2	43
2012-03-18	Hibernian	W 2-0	41.5	1554	1420	56.54%	23.66%	19.81%	+0.90	+7.2	42
2012-03-18	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	41.5	1420	1554	19.81%	23.66%	56.54%	-0.90	-7.2	23
2012-03-24	Dundee United	L 0-2	42.3	1412	1632	15.84%	21.54%	62.63%	-1.25	-5.8	23
2012-03-24	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	42.3	1632	1412	62.63%	21.54%	15.84%	+1.25	+5.8	46
2012-03-24	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	61.3	1533	1561	34.88%	26.48%	38.64%	-0.09	+6.3	46
2012-03-24	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	61.3	1561	1533	38.64%	26.48%	34.88%	+0.09	-6.3	42
2012-03-24	Inverness CT	L 0-1	51.8	1491	1496	38.22%	26.49%	35.29%	+0.05	-6.6	33
2012-03-24	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	51.8	1496	1491	35.29%	26.49%	38.22%	-0.05	+6.7	31
2012-03-24	Motherwell	W 2-0	52.9	1467	1567	25.93%	25.53%	48.54%	-0.53	+15.1	37
2012-03-24	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	52.9	1567	1467	48.54%	25.53%	25.93%	+0.53	-15.1	54
2012-03-24	St. Mirren	D 1-1	57.7	1403	1438	33.94%	26.45%	39.61%	-0.13	+0.2	20
2012-03-24	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	57.7	1438	1403	39.61%	26.45%	33.94%	+0.13	-0.2	32
2012-03-25	Celtic	W 3-2	73.3	1757	1806	32.19%	26.36%	41.45%	-0.21	+6.3	67
2012-03-25	@ Rangers	L 2-3	73.3	1806	1757	41.45%	26.36%	32.19%	+0.21	-6.3	75
2012-03-28	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	52.5	1502	1539	33.77%	26.45%	39.79%	-0.14	-6.1	31
2012-03-28	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	52.5	1539	1502	39.79%	26.45%	33.77%	+0.14	+6.1	49
2012-03-31	Aberdeen	W 3-0	44.1	1555	1484	48.64%	25.52%	25.85%	+0.51	+13.4	45
2012-03-31	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	44.1	1484	1555	25.85%	25.52%	48.64%	-0.51	-13.4	33
2012-03-31	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-0	38.6	1637	1403	67.31%	19.53%	13.16%	+1.51	+6.8	49
2012-03-31	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	38.6	1403	1637	13.16%	19.53%	67.31%	-1.51	-6.8	20
2012-03-31	Kilmarnock	W 4-2	55.9	1438	1482	32.84%	26.40%	40.76%	-0.18	+10.2	35
2012-03-31	@ St. Mirren	L 2-4	55.9	1482	1438	40.76%	26.40%	32.84%	+0.18	-10.2	37
2012-03-31	Rangers	L 1-2	58.1	1552	1764	16.36%	21.87%	61.77%	-1.20	-3.0	54
2012-03-31	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	58.1	1764	1552	61.77%	21.87%	16.36%	+1.20	+3.0	70
2012-04-01	Hibernian	L 2-3	62.6	1496	1407	51.08%	25.05%	23.87%	+0.63	-7.5	31
2012-04-01	@ Inverness CT	W 3-2	62.6	1407	1496	23.87%	25.05%	51.08%	-0.63	+7.5	26
2012-04-01	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	47.2	1799	1545	69.28%	18.60%	12.11%	+1.63	+4.3	78
2012-04-01	@ Celtic	L 0-2	47.2	1545	1799	12.11%	18.60%	69.28%	-1.63	-4.3	49
2012-04-07	Celtic	L 0-6	43.8	1472	1804	9.97%	16.42%	73.61%	-1.94	-9.4	37
2012-04-07	@ Kilmarnock	W 6-0	43.8	1804	1472	73.61%	16.42%	9.97%	+1.94	+9.4	81
2012-04-07	Dundee United	W 3-1	63.3	1471	1644	19.14%	23.36%	57.51%	-0.97	+15.0	36
2012-04-07	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	63.3	1644	1471	57.51%	23.36%	19.14%	+0.97	-15.0	49
2012-04-07	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	49.9	1396	1568	19.26%	23.42%	57.32%	-0.96	-3.5	20
2012-04-07	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	49.9	1568	1396	57.32%	23.42%	19.26%	+0.96	+3.5	48
2012-04-07	Inverness CT	D 0-0	59.7	1541	1489	46.14%	25.90%	27.96%	+0.40	-0.7	50
2012-04-07	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	59.7	1489	1541	27.96%	25.90%	46.14%	-0.40	+0.7	32
2012-04-07	St. Mirren	W 3-1	49.1	1767	1448	75.05%	15.65%	9.30%	+2.02	+2.7	73
2012-04-07	@ Rangers	L 1-3	49.1	1448	1767	9.30%	15.65%	75.05%	-2.02	-2.7	35
2012-04-08	Motherwell	D 1-1	62.2	1414	1549	22.44%	24.63%	52.93%	-0.74	+1.1	27
2012-04-08	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	62.2	1549	1414	52.93%	24.63%	22.44%	+0.74	-1.1	55

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2012-04-21	Aberdeen	L 0-2	48.3	1490	1486	39.49%	26.46%	34.05%	+0.11	-12.9	0
2012-04-21	@ Inverness CT	W 2-0	48.3	1486	1490	34.05%	26.46%	39.49%	-0.11	+12.9	3
2012-04-21	Dundee United	L 0-2	50.9	1540	1629	27.23%	25.78%	46.99%	-0.46	-9.6	0
2012-04-21	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	50.9	1629	1540	46.99%	25.78%	27.23%	+0.46	+9.6	3
2012-04-21	Dunfermline Athletic	D 4-4	68.7	1446	1393	46.25%	25.88%	27.87%	+0.40	-0.3	1
2012-04-21	@ St. Mirren	D 4-4	68.7	1393	1446	27.87%	25.88%	46.25%	-0.40	+0.3	1
2012-04-21	Rangers	L 0-3	47.8	1572	1769	17.33%	22.44%	60.23%	-1.12	-9.2	0
2012-04-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	47.8	1769	1572	60.23%	22.44%	17.33%	+1.12	+9.2	3
2012-04-22	Celtic	L 0-3	45.8	1548	1813	13.15%	19.52%	67.33%	-1.53	-6.8	0
2012-04-22	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	45.8	1813	1548	67.33%	19.52%	13.15%	+1.53	+6.8	3
2012-04-22	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	46.3	1415	1462	32.37%	26.37%	41.26%	-0.20	-5.9	0
2012-04-22	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	46.3	1462	1415	41.26%	26.37%	32.37%	+0.20	+5.9	3
2012-04-28	Aberdeen	W 3-0	45.8	1393	1499	25.43%	25.43%	49.14%	-0.56	+22.2	4
2012-04-28	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-3	45.8	1499	1393	49.14%	25.43%	25.43%	+0.56	-22.2	3
2012-04-28	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	75.2	1639	1563	49.32%	25.40%	25.28%	+0.55	-0.6	4
2012-04-28	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	75.2	1563	1639	25.28%	25.40%	49.32%	-0.55	+0.6	1
2012-04-28	Inverness CT	W 4-3	62.5	1468	1477	37.69%	26.50%	35.81%	+0.03	+5.5	6
2012-04-28	@ Kilmarnock	L 3-4	62.5	1477	1468	35.81%	26.50%	37.69%	-0.03	-5.5	0
2012-04-28	St. Johnstone	W 5-1	51.0	1541	1531	40.47%	26.41%	33.11%	+0.15	+17.8	3
2012-04-28	@ Motherwell	L 1-5	51.0	1531	1541	33.11%	26.41%	40.47%	-0.15	-17.8	0
2012-04-29	Hibernian	W 1-0	44.8	1445	1409	43.99%	26.15%	29.86%	+0.30	+5.5	4
2012-04-29	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	44.8	1409	1445	29.86%	26.15%	43.99%	-0.30	-5.5	0
2012-04-29	Rangers	W 3-0	53.6	1820	1778	44.71%	26.07%	29.22%	+0.34	+14.8	6
2012-04-29	@ Celtic	L 0-3	53.6	1778	1820	29.22%	26.07%	44.71%	-0.34	-14.8	3
2012-05-01	Motherwell	L 0-1	57.0	1563	1559	39.53%	26.46%	34.02%	+0.11	-6.8	1
2012-05-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	57.0	1559	1563	34.02%	26.46%	39.53%	-0.11	+6.8	6
2012-05-02	Dundee United	W 5-0	49.8	1764	1638	55.47%	23.97%	20.56%	+0.85	+17.5	6
2012-05-02	@ Rangers	L 0-5	49.8	1638	1764	20.56%	23.97%	55.47%	-0.85	-17.5	4
2012-05-02	Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	54.6	1471	1416	46.65%	25.83%	27.52%	+0.42	-0.8	1
2012-05-02	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	54.6	1416	1471	27.52%	25.83%	46.65%	-0.42	+0.8	5
2012-05-02	Hibernian	L 1-2	56.5	1476	1404	48.88%	25.47%	25.64%	+0.53	-7.6	3
2012-05-02	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	56.5	1404	1476	25.64%	25.47%	48.88%	-0.53	+7.6	3
2012-05-02	St. Mirren	L 0-2	47.2	1474	1451	42.13%	26.31%	31.56%	+0.22	-13.5	6
2012-05-02	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	47.2	1451	1474	31.56%	26.31%	42.13%	-0.22	+13.5	7
2012-05-03	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	48.9	1835	1513	75.37%	15.48%	9.15%	+2.04	+1.6	9
2012-05-03	@ Celtic	L 0-1	48.9	1513	1835	9.15%	15.48%	75.37%	-2.04	-1.6	0
2012-05-05	Aberdeen	D 1-1	60.4	1460	1469	37.68%	26.50%	35.82%	+0.03	-0.1	7
2012-05-05	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	60.4	1469	1460	35.82%	26.50%	37.68%	-0.03	+0.1	4
2012-05-05	Inverness CT	L 0-1	49.9	1464	1471	38.07%	26.50%	35.43%	+0.05	-6.6	7
2012-05-05	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	49.9	1471	1464	35.43%	26.50%	38.07%	-0.05	+6.6	4
2012-05-05	Motherwell	D 0-0	68.8	1781	1566	65.41%	20.38%	14.21%	+1.39	-2.2	7
2012-05-05	@ Rangers	D 0-0	68.8	1566	1781	14.21%	20.38%	65.41%	-1.39	+2.2	7
2012-05-06	Celtic	W 1-0	67.5	1621	1836	16.08%	21.69%	62.24%	-1.23	+9.8	7
2012-05-06	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	67.5	1836	1621	62.24%	21.69%	16.08%	+1.23	-9.8	9
2012-05-06	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	48.3	1556	1511	45.26%	26.01%	28.73%	+0.36	+10.1	4
2012-05-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	48.3	1511	1556	28.73%	26.01%	45.26%	-0.36	-10.1	0
2012-05-07	Dunfermline Athletic	W 4-0	39.7	1411	1416	38.24%	26.49%	35.27%	+0.05	+22.4	6
2012-05-07	@ Hibernian	L 0-4	39.7	1416	1411	35.27%	26.49%	38.24%	-0.05	-22.4	5
2012-05-12	Hibernian	W 2-0	42.7	1477	1434	44.98%	26.04%	28.98%	+0.35	+10.1	7
2012-05-12	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	42.7	1434	1477	28.98%	26.04%	44.98%	-0.35	-10.1	6
2012-05-12	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	50.2	1394	1460	29.93%	26.16%	43.91%	-0.32	-5.2	5
2012-05-12	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	50.2	1460	1394	43.91%	26.16%	29.93%	+0.32	+5.2	10
2012-05-12	St. Mirren	D 0-0	55.7	1469	1458	40.52%	26.41%	33.07%	+0.15	-0.3	5
2012-05-12	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	55.7	1458	1469	33.07%	26.41%	40.52%	-0.15	+0.3	8
2012-05-13	Dundee United	L 0-2	52.7	1568	1630	30.42%	26.21%	43.38%	-0.30	-10.5	7
2012-05-13	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	52.7	1630	1568	43.38%	26.21%	30.42%	+0.30	+10.5	10
2012-05-13	Heart of Midlothian	W 5-0	45.4	1826	1567	69.82%	18.34%	11.84%	+1.66	+9.7	12
2012-05-13	@ Celtic	L 0-5	45.4	1567	1826	11.84%	18.34%	69.82%	-1.66	-9.7	4
2012-05-13	Rangers	L 0-4	44.1	1501	1779	12.46%	18.92%	68.62%	-1.61	-8.3	0
2012-05-13	@ St. Johnstone	W 4-0	44.1	1779	1501	68.62%	18.92%	12.46%	+1.61	+8.3	10

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2012-02-18	10.20%	Kilmarnock	1484	1	@ Rangers	1780	0
2	2011-12-24	10.27%	@ St. Mirren	1456	2	Rangers	1781	1
3	2011-08-21	10.73%	St. Johnstone	1471	1	@ Celtic	1755	0
4	2011-11-27	11.79%	@ Kilmarnock	1494	1	Rangers	1785	0
5	2012-03-03	13.32%	Heart of Midlothian	1544	2	@ Rangers	1775	1
6	2012-05-06	16.08%	@ Dundee United	1621	1	Celtic	1836	0
7	2011-10-02	17.24%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1554	2	Celtic	1753	0
8	2012-04-07	19.14%	@ Aberdeen	1471	3	Dundee United	1644	1
9	2012-03-17	21.80%	@ Dundee United	1623	2	Rangers	1766	1
10	2012-01-02	22.87%	Aberdeen	1479	2	@ Dundee United	1579	1
11	2012-01-21	23.41%	Dunfermline Athletic	1413	3	@ Kilmarnock	1507	0
12	2012-04-01	23.87%	Hibernian	1407	3	@ Inverness CT	1496	2
13	2011-10-01	24.36%	Motherwell	1501	3	@ Dundee United	1586	1
14	2011-10-29	25.24%	Kilmarnock	1499	1	@ Heart of Midlothian	1575	0
15	2011-07-30	25.35%	Hibernian	1462	1	@ Inverness CT	1538	0
16	2012-04-28	25.43%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1393	3	Aberdeen	1499	0
17	2011-10-29	25.61%	St. Mirren	1455	1	@ St. Johnstone	1528	0
18	2012-02-25	25.63%	Hibernian	1406	3	@ Kilmarnock	1479	1
19	2012-05-02	25.64%	Hibernian	1404	2	@ Aberdeen	1476	1
20	2011-08-20	25.82%	Dunfermline Athletic	1520	1	@ Dundee United	1591	0
21	2012-03-24	25.93%	@ Kilmarnock	1467	2	Motherwell	1567	0
22	2011-10-15	26.71%	@ Aberdeen	1479	3	Dundee United	1573	1
23	2011-09-24	27.56%	@ St. Mirren	1442	3	Kilmarnock	1529	0
24	2012-01-21	27.71%	@ Inverness CT	1510	1	Heart of Midlothian	1595	0
25	2011-12-13	28.51%	Aberdeen	1471	2	@ St. Johnstone	1518	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-09-30	25.30	@ Aberdeen	4	1454	32.19%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1502	41.45%	26.36%
2	2012-01-21	23.11	Dunfermline Athletic	3	1413	23.41%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1507	51.67%	24.92%
3	2012-05-07	22.43	@ Hibernian	4	1411	38.24%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1416	35.27%	26.49%
4	2012-04-28	22.18	@ Dunfermline Athletic	3	1393	25.43%	Aberdeen	0	1499	49.14%	25.43%
5	2011-09-24	21.25	@ St. Mirren	3	1442	27.56%	Kilmarnock	0	1529	46.60%	25.83%
6	2011-07-23	20.30	@ Motherwell	3	1491	29.85%	Inverness CT	0	1558	44.00%	26.15%
7	2011-09-17	20.19	St. Johnstone	3	1482	30.12%	@ Motherwell	0	1516	43.70%	26.18%
8	2012-02-18	18.93	@ Motherwell	3	1535	33.36%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1574	40.21%	26.43%
9	2011-12-10	18.90	Motherwell	3	1529	33.45%	@ St. Johnstone	0	1537	40.12%	26.43%
10	2011-10-02	18.08	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1554	17.24%	Celtic	0	1753	60.37%	22.39%
11	2012-02-11	17.94	Dundee United	5	1568	40.14%	@ St. Johnstone	1	1528	33.43%	26.43%
12	2012-04-28	17.81	@ Motherwell	5	1541	40.47%	St. Johnstone	1	1531	33.11%	26.41%
13	2012-05-02	17.54	@ Rangers	5	1764	55.47%	Dundee United	0	1638	20.56%	23.97%
14	2012-02-21	16.40	@ Dundee United	4	1584	50.93%	Kilmarnock	0	1495	23.99%	25.08%
15	2011-12-17	15.66	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1555	52.47%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1454	22.79%	24.74%
16	2012-03-17	15.24	St. Johnstone	3	1518	43.59%	@ St. Mirren	0	1454	30.22%	26.19%
17	2012-03-24	15.12	@ Kilmarnock	2	1467	25.93%	Motherwell	0	1567	48.54%	25.53%
18	2011-12-24	15.05	St. Johnstone	3	1506	44.12%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1438	29.74%	26.14%
19	2012-04-07	15.04	@ Aberdeen	3	1471	19.14%	Dundee United	1	1644	57.51%	23.36%
20	2012-04-29	14.83	@ Celtic	3	1820	44.71%	Rangers	0	1778	29.22%	26.07%
21	2011-09-25	13.93	@ St. Johnstone	2	1502	30.00%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1568	43.84%	26.16%
22	2011-10-01	13.51	Motherwell	3	1501	24.36%	@ Dundee United	1	1586	50.47%	25.18%
23	2012-05-02	13.51	St. Mirren	2	1451	31.56%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1474	42.13%	26.31%
24	2011-08-13	13.47	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1538	48.43%	Aberdeen	0	1469	26.02%	25.55%
25	2012-03-31	13.39	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1555	48.64%	Aberdeen	0	1484	25.85%	25.52%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-10-15	81.0	@ Kilmarnock	3	1497	14.70%	Celtic	3	1735	64.56%	20.74%
2	2012-04-28	75.2	@ Dundee United	2	1639	49.32%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1563	25.28%	25.40%
3	2011-08-27	74.9	@ St. Johnstone	3	1482	25.87%	Dundee United	3	1583	48.61%	25.52%
4	2011-09-24	74.1	@ Hibernian	3	1444	21.69%	Dundee United	3	1587	53.93%	24.38%
5	2011-08-06	73.9	@ Dunfermline Athletic	3	1514	36.73%	Inverness CT	3	1529	36.76%	26.51%
6	2012-03-03	73.9	@ Aberdeen	1	1493	10.72%	Celtic	1	1808	72.05%	17.23%
7	2011-10-15	73.3	@ Rangers	1	1777	75.07%	St. Mirren	1	1459	9.29%	15.64%
8	2012-01-21	73.3	@ Rangers	1	1774	72.34%	Aberdeen	1	1487	10.58%	17.08%
9	2012-03-25	73.3	@ Rangers	3	1757	32.19%	Celtic	2	1806	41.45%	26.36%
10	2012-03-03	72.7	Heart of Midlothian	2	1544	13.32%	@ Rangers	1	1775	67.02%	19.67%
11	2011-12-24	72.4	@ St. Mirren	2	1456	10.27%	Rangers	1	1781	72.98%	16.75%
12	2011-07-23	72.1	@ Rangers	1	1727	61.41%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1549	16.59%	22.01%
13	2012-03-17	70.8	@ Dundee United	2	1623	21.80%	Rangers	1	1766	53.77%	24.42%
14	2011-12-28	70.6	@ St. Mirren	2	1467	24.63%	Dundee United	2	1580	50.13%	25.24%
15	2011-11-26	70.0	@ Dunfermline Athletic	3	1455	35.14%	Aberdeen	3	1482	38.37%	26.49%
16	2011-11-19	69.1	@ Rangers	0	1788	70.56%	St. Johnstone	0	1520	11.46%	17.98%
17	2012-05-05	68.8	@ Rangers	0	1781	65.41%	Motherwell	0	1566	14.21%	20.38%
18	2012-04-21	68.7	@ St. Mirren	4	1446	46.25%	Dunfermline Athletic	4	1393	27.87%	25.88%
19	2011-09-17	68.2	@ Aberdeen	2	1459	29.48%	Kilmarnock	2	1529	44.41%	26.10%
20	2012-02-18	67.5	Kilmarnock	1	1484	10.20%	@ Rangers	0	1780	73.14%	16.67%
21	2012-05-06	67.5	@ Dundee United	1	1621	16.08%	Celtic	0	1836	62.24%	21.69%
22	2011-07-24	67.4	@ Dundee United	1	1599	50.11%	Kilmarnock	1	1516	24.64%	25.25%
23	2011-09-17	67.2	@ Dunfermline Athletic	2	1512	48.44%	Hibernian	2	1443	26.01%	25.55%
24	2011-10-29	67.2	@ Celtic	0	1736	72.17%	Hibernian	0	1450	10.66%	17.16%
25	2011-11-27	67.2	@ Kilmarnock	1	1494	11.79%	Rangers	0	1785	69.92%	18.30%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-03-31	38.6	@ Dundee United	3	1637	67.31%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1403	13.16%	19.53%
2	2012-01-28	39.6	@ Rangers	4	1772	77.80%	Hibernian	0	1420	8.06%	14.15%
3	2012-05-07	39.7	@ Hibernian	4	1411	38.24%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1416	35.27%	26.49%
4	2012-02-19	40.7	Celtic	5	1797	77.74%	@ Hibernian	0	1416	8.08%	14.17%
5	2012-01-02	41.0	Celtic	3	1773	75.10%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1423	9.27%	15.63%
6	2011-12-17	41.4	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1555	52.47%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1454	22.79%	24.74%
7	2012-03-18	41.5	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1554	56.54%	Hibernian	0	1420	19.81%	23.66%
8	2012-03-03	41.9	Motherwell	2	1555	53.95%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1411	21.68%	24.38%
9	2011-12-24	42.0	St. Johnstone	3	1506	44.12%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	0	1438	29.74%	26.14%
10	2012-02-22	42.2	@ Celtic	2	1804	80.15%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1421	7.04%	12.81%
11	2012-03-24	42.3	Dundee United	2	1632	62.63%	@ Hibernian	0	1412	15.84%	21.54%
12	2011-11-26	42.7	@ Celtic	5	1744	71.13%	St. Mirren	0	1470	11.18%	17.70%
13	2012-05-12	42.7	@ Inverness CT	2	1477	44.98%	Hibernian	0	1434	28.98%	26.04%
14	2011-08-13	43.0	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1538	48.43%	Aberdeen	0	1469	26.02%	25.55%
15	2012-03-17	43.1	St. Johnstone	3	1518	43.59%	@ St. Mirren	0	1454	30.22%	26.19%
16	2011-09-17	43.7	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1560	53.53%	St. Mirren	0	1450	21.99%	24.48%
17	2011-08-28	43.8	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1552	52.42%	Hibernian	0	1451	22.83%	24.75%
18	2012-04-07	43.8	Celtic	6	1804	73.61%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1472	9.97%	16.42%
19	2011-12-10	43.9	Rangers	2	1776	74.05%	@ Hibernian	0	1439	9.76%	16.19%
20	2012-03-31	44.1	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1555	48.64%	Aberdeen	0	1484	25.85%	25.52%
21	2012-05-13	44.1	Rangers	4	1779	68.62%	@ St. Johnstone	0	1501	12.46%	18.92%
22	2011-08-28	44.4	@ Rangers	2	1745	71.91%	Aberdeen	0	1463	10.79%	17.30%
23	2012-02-21	44.4	@ Dundee United	4	1584	50.93%	Kilmarnock	0	1495	23.99%	25.08%
24	2012-01-21	44.5	Celtic	2	1780	73.05%	@ St. Mirren	0	1454	10.24%	16.71%
25	2011-09-10	44.7	@ Celtic	4	1748	66.13%	Motherwell	0	1525	13.81%	20.07%