2012-13 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

79 points · 44th Title

Last Title: 2011-12

Relegated

Dundee

30 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Ross County

2.48 points above expected

53 points · 50.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dundee United

3.50 points below expected

47 points · 50.50 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	21	6	6	69	78	30	+48	71.09	-2.09
2	Motherwell	33	15	9	9	54	56	43	+13	47.96	+6.04
3	Inverness CT	33	12	15	6	51	58	49	+9	44.45	+6.55
4	St. Johnstone	33	11	13	9	46	39	38	+1	41.09	+4.91
5	Ross County	33	11	12	10	45	42	43	-1	43.13	+1.87
6	Dundee United	33	10	14	9	44	48	52	-4	50.77	-6.77
7	Kilmarnock	33	10	12	11	42	47	43	+4	42.23	-0.23
8	Aberdeen	33	10	11	12	41	38	41	-3	40.61	+0.39
9	Hibernian	33	10	10	13	40	40	47	-7	39.38	+0.62
10	Heart of Midlothian	33	9	10	14	37	34	45	-11	46.43	-9.43
11	St. Mirren	33	8	12	13	36	40	51	-11	37.94	-1.94
12	Dundee	33	5	8	20	23	22	60	-38	28.21	-5.21

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	38	24	7	7	79	92	35	+57	79.44	-0.44
2	Motherwell	38	18	9	11	63	67	51	+16	60.64	+2.36
3	St. Johnstone	38	14	14	10	56	45	44	+1	56.31	-0.31
4	Inverness CT	38	13	15	10	54	64	60	+4	51.99	+2.01
5	Ross County	38	13	14	11	53	47	48	-1	50.52	+2.48
6	Dundee United	38	11	14	13	47	51	62	-11	50.50	-3.50
7	Hibernian	38	13	12	13	51	49	52	-3	48.59	+2.41
8	Aberdeen	38	11	15	12	48	41	43	-2	48.09	-0.09
9	Kilmarnock	38	11	12	15	45	52	53	-1	47.95	-2.95
10	Heart of Midlothian	38	11	11	16	44	40	49	-9	44.36	-0.36
11	St. Mirren	38	9	14	15	41	47	60	-13	42.56	-1.56
12	Dundee Relegated	38	7	9	22	30	28	66	-38	27.56	+2.44

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ross County	53	50.52	+2.48
2	Dundee	30	27.56	+2.44
3	Hibernian	51	48.59	+2.41
4	Motherwell	63	60.64	+2.36
5	Inverness CT	54	51.99	+2.01

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dundee United	47	50.50	-3.50
2	Kilmarnock	45	47.95	-2.95
3	St. Mirren	41	42.56	-1.56
4	Celtic	79	79.44	-0.44
5	Heart of Midlothian	44	44.36	-0.36

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	St. Johnstone	5	Sep 15 – Oct 20	1 in 472
2	Dundee	3	Apr 6 – Apr 27	1 in 159
3	Ross County	4	Feb 8 – Feb 26	1 in 54
4	Hibernian	3	Oct 26 – Nov 11	1 in 39
5	Inverness CT	3	Sep 29 – Oct 19	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Heart of Midlothian	5	Feb 9 – Mar 2	1 in 259
2	St. Mirren	6	Oct 6 – Nov 17	1 in 158
3	Kilmarnock	3	Apr 6 – Apr 27	1 in 79
4	Dundee	6	Sep 15 – Oct 27	1 in 79
5	Celtic	2	Feb 27 – Mar 9	1 in 44

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ross County	11	Dec 26 – Mar 9	1 in 134
2	Aberdeen	10	Aug 11 – Oct 27	1 in 65
3	St. Johnstone	7	Sep 1 – Oct 27	1 in 35
4	Motherwell	8	Feb 27 – Apr 28	1 in 31
5	Hibernian	6	Aug 12 – Sep 22	1 in 31

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dundee United	6	Aug 25 – Oct 20	1 in 40
2	St. Mirren	9	Mar 6 – May 11	1 in 22
3	Celtic	3	Oct 27 – Nov 11	1 in 19
4	Dundee	14	Nov 24 – Feb 27	1 in 17
5	Hibernian	8	Feb 24 – Apr 27	1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	1784	79	+8	10	10.3	-0.3
Motherwell	1601	63	+12	9	6.6	+2.4
St. Johnstone	1546	56	+15	10	5.6	+4.4
Inverness CT	1548	54	-14	3	5.8	-2.8
Ross County	1545	53	+4	8	5.7	+2.3
Hibernian	1504	51	+18	11	6.8	+4.2
Aberdeen	1511	48	+4	7	7.0	-0.0
Dundee United	1560	47	-24	3	6.4	-3.4
Kilmarnock	1516	45	-28	3	7.9	-4.9
Heart of Midlothian	1525	44	+5	7	7.3	-0.3
St. Mirren	1478	41	-6	5	6.3	-1.3
Dundee	1400	30	+7	7	4.8	+2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DUN	DU	HOM	HIB	IC	KIL	MOT	RC	SJ	SM
Aberdeen	—	0-0-3 1.82	3-1-0 6.99	0-2-1 3.17	1-2-1 5.20	2-2-0 5.56	0-1-2 3.72	2-1-1 5.01	0-2-1 3.41	0-1-2 3.94	2-0-1 3.78	1-3-0 5.77
Celtic	3-0-0 6.51	—	3-0-0 7.32	3-1-0 7.98	3-0-0 6.14	1-1-1 6.79	3-0-1 8.34	2-0-1 6.52	2-0-2 7.80	1-2-1 8.30	1-2-1 8.60	2-1-0 6.60
Dundee	0-1-3 3.77	0-0-3 1.22	—	0-1-2 2.22	3-0-1 3.44	1-1-2 3.75	0-1-2 2.68	1-2-1 3.69	0-1-2 2.60	0-1-2 3.04	0-1-2 2.95	2-0-2 4.31
Dundee United	1-2-0 4.86	0-1-3 2.96	2-1-0 5.98	—	1-0-2 4.64	1-1-1 5.21	1-2-1 5.70	1-1-1 4.75	2-0-2 5.53	1-2-1 6.32	0-3-1 6.43	1-1-1 4.98
Heart of Midlothian	1-2-1 5.45	0-0-3 2.10	1-0-3 7.38	2-0-1 3.37	—	0-3-1 6.16	0-2-1 4.28	1-0-3 5.59	1-1-1 3.84	1-2-0 4.28	2-1-0 4.36	2-0-2 6.21
Hibernian	0-2-2 5.09	1-1-1 1.61	2-1-1 7.01	1-1-1 2.87	1-3-0 4.52	—	0-1-2 3.72	2-2-0 4.74	1-0-2 3.10	0-0-3 3.78	2-0-1 3.89	3-1-0 5.37
Inverness CT	2-1-0 4.28	1-0-3 2.67	2-1-0 5.41	1-2-1 4.96	1-2-0 3.72	2-1-0 4.27	—	1-2-0 4.37	1-0-3 4.90	2-1-1 5.39	0-3-1 5.82	0-2-1 4.60
Kilmarnock	1-1-2 5.66	1-0-2 1.81	1-2-1 7.09	1-1-1 3.27	3-0-1 5.09	0-2-2 5.92	0-2-1 3.62	—	1-1-1 3.55	2-1-0 3.71	0-0-3 3.99	1-2-1 6.26
Motherwell	1-2-0 4.59	2-0-2 3.09	2-1-0 5.51	2-0-2 5.12	1-1-1 4.14	2-0-1 4.94	3-0-1 5.77	1-1-1 4.45	—	2-1-1 6.09	2-1-1 6.11	0-2-1 5.15
Ross County	2-1-0 4.05	1-2-1 2.70	2-1-0 5.00	1-2-1 4.38	0-2-1 3.72	3-0-0 4.22	1-1-2 5.26	0-1-2 4.29	1-1-2 4.59	—	1-2-1 5.42	1-1-1 4.09
St. Johnstone	1-0-2 4.21	1-2-1 2.47	2-1-0 5.11	1-3-0 4.26	0-1-2 3.63	1-0-2 4.10	1-3-0 4.84	3-0-0 4.00	1-1-2 4.58	1-2-1 5.24	—	2-1-0 4.53
St. Mirren	0-3-1 4.88	0-1-2 1.75	2-0-2 6.39	1-1-1 3.06	2-0-2 4.47	0-1-3 5.30	1-2-0 3.42	1-2-1 4.43	1-2-0 2.90	1-1-1 3.91	0-1-2 3.48	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.82	+6.7
Allowed	0.55	-10.0
Differential	0.94	+5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.09%	7.68%	4.82%	3.07%	1.54%	0.44%	27.63%
1	7.68%	13.16%	6.36%	4.17%	2.19%	0.22%	33.77%
2	4.82%	6.36%	7.02%	1.97%	0.44%	0.22%	20.83%
3	3.07%	4.17%	1.97%	1.32%	0.66%	—	11.18%
4	1.54%	2.19%	0.44%	0.66%	0.44%	0.22%	5.48%
5+	0.44%	0.22%	0.22%	—	0.22%	—	1.10%
Total	27.63%	33.77%	20.83%	11.18%	5.48%	1.10%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.37	+0.00
SD	1.22	1.22	1.70
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	21.05%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	39.47%
1	7.89%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	28.95%
2	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
3	—	5.26%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	10.53%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.84%	34.21%	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.13	-0.05
SD	1.12	1.19	1.41
CV	1.04	1.05	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
1	7.89%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
2	13.16%	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
5+	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	42.11%	31.58%	18.42%	7.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.42	0.92	+1.50
SD	1.59	0.97	1.98
CV	0.66	1.05	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	13.16%	13.16%	10.53%	—	2.63%	44.74%
1	7.89%	15.79%	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	39.47%
2	—	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	39.47%	18.42%	21.05%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.74	1.74	-1.00
SD	0.79	1.25	1.56
CV	1.08	0.72	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	5.26%	—	2.63%	7.89%	—	26.32%
1	10.53%	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	36.84%
2	—	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	2.63%	15.79%
3	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	18.42%
4	—	—	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	26.32%	18.42%	10.53%	13.16%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.63	-0.29
SD	1.15	1.55	1.81
CV	0.85	0.95	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	36.84%
1	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	7.89%	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
3	5.26%	—	—	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.21%	23.68%	26.32%	10.53%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.29	-0.24
SD	1.04	1.21	1.63
CV	0.99	0.94	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	7.89%	—	7.89%	—	—	26.32%
1	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	2.63%	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	31.58%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	31.58%	15.79%	21.05%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.37	-0.08
SD	1.04	1.20	1.58
CV	0.80	0.87	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
1	2.63%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	34.21%
2	—	7.89%	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	21.05%
3	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	13.16%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	36.84%	21.05%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.58	+0.11
SD	1.30	1.35	1.78
CV	0.77	0.85	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
1	5.26%	15.79%	15.79%	10.53%	2.63%	—	50.00%
2	7.89%	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	28.95%	26.32%	15.79%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.39	-0.03
SD	0.97	1.13	1.50
CV	0.71	0.81	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	31.58%
1	—	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
2	2.63%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	5.26%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	26.32%
4	—	7.89%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	15.79%	50.00%	23.68%	5.26%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	1.34	+0.42
SD	1.48	0.99	1.81
CV	0.84	0.74	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	26.32%
1	18.42%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	42.11%
2	2.63%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	18.42%
3	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	39.47%	21.05%	23.68%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.26	-0.03
SD	1.10	1.35	1.42
CV	0.89	1.07	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	26.32%
1	10.53%	21.05%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	36.84%
2	5.26%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
3	—	7.89%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	47.37%	21.05%	5.26%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.16	+0.03
SD	0.93	0.95	1.37
CV	0.78	0.82	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	31.58%
1	—	13.16%	13.16%	2.63%	5.26%	—	34.21%
2	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	—	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%
Total	21.05%	34.21%	23.68%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.58	-0.34
SD	1.22	1.31	1.55
CV	0.98	0.83	—
Max	5	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1784	79	71.09	+7.91	37.0%	53	57	67	72	76	80	84
Motherwell	1601	63	47.96	+15.04	87.0%	30	37	44	48	52	59	64
Dundee United	1560	47	50.77	-3.77	25.0%	33	39	44	50	56	66	67
Inverness CT	1548	54	44.45	+9.55	85.0%	28	32	40	44	49	56	60
St. Johnstone	1546	56	41.09	+14.91	81.0%	21	29	36	41	45	54	59
Ross County	1545	53	43.13	+9.87	61.0%	25	32	38	43	49	54	61
Heart of Midlothian	1525	44	46.43	-2.43	9.0%	29	35	41	46	51	59	64
Kilmarnock	1516	45	42.23	+2.77	56.0%	27	30	37	42	46	54	63
Aberdeen	1511	48	40.61	+7.39	56.0%	25	27	36	41	45	52	62
Hibernian	1504	51	39.38	+11.62	54.0%	21	25	35	40	43	53	64
St. Mirren	1478	41	37.94	+3.06	46.0%	16	26	33	37	42	51	54
Dundee	1400	30	28.21	+1.79	22.0%	16	20	24	27	33	39	44

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+10.09%

No Edge

39.04%32.02%28.95%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 35.17 Elo pts.

182 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.22 goals

Neutral

-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.1

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

96%

Celtic, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.42/gm

Runaway

00.400.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.7 * Some Luck: 5.7 to 8.55 * Lucky: 8.55 to 11.4 * Wild Swing: 11.4 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.63 * Close: 1.63 to 2.44 * Off: 2.44 to 3.25 * Way Off: 3.25 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.79 points

As Expected

07.1318

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.00

02.035

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

87.00%

Motherwell

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

9.00%

Heart of Midlothian

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

0 of 1

As Expected

00.31

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.12

Balanced

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 90.37

1.56

Coin-Flip Parity

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

59%

Even

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

90%

Even

50%86%100%

Close Games

Expected

66%

Very Frequent

0%62%100%

Blowouts

Expected

15%

Rare

0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.47

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.53

Weak Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Very Upset-Prone

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Very Shaky

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.91

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.66

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.050

Well Within Noise

00.1170.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	96.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	16.00%	22.00%	19.00%	13.00%	10.00%	6.00%	7.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—
St. Johnstone	—	2.00%	10.00%	9.00%	3.00%	15.00%	12.00%	12.00%	10.00%	8.00%	14.00%	5.00%
Inverness CT	1.00%	9.00%	6.00%	15.00%	15.00%	16.00%	11.00%	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Ross County	—	4.00%	11.00%	7.00%	15.00%	12.00%	12.00%	8.00%	10.00%	9.00%	10.00%	2.00%
Dundee United	2.00%	35.00%	13.00%	12.00%	8.00%	10.00%	5.00%	11.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Hibernian	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%	14.00%	8.00%	20.00%	11.00%	13.00%	8.00%
Aberdeen	—	4.00%	7.00%	7.00%	11.00%	10.00%	6.00%	18.00%	8.00%	13.00%	9.00%	7.00%
Kilmarnock	—	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	9.00%	17.00%	17.00%	13.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Heart of Midlothian	—	17.00%	7.00%	16.00%	15.00%	11.00%	10.00%	6.00%	11.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%
St. Mirren	—	2.00%	7.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	14.00%	6.00%	10.00%	22.00%	18.00%	9.00%
Dundee	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	9.00%	22.00%	63.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	84.91%	13.66%	1.36%	0.06%	0.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—
St. Johnstone	—	13.28%	65.42%	16.75%	4.11%	0.44%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Inverness CT	—	1.17%	11.29%	40.49%	30.20%	16.85%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ross County	—	0.27%	5.05%	21.50%	34.82%	38.36%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee United	—	0.37%	4.58%	19.90%	30.81%	44.34%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	—	—	—	—	—	—	39.88%	29.52%	19.56%	8.95%	2.09%	—
Aberdeen	—	—	—	—	—	—	29.50%	29.61%	25.55%	11.96%	3.38%	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	—	—	—	25.53%	28.14%	28.43%	14.27%	3.63%	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.01%	9.31%	17.44%	41.66%	27.58%	—
St. Mirren	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.08%	3.42%	9.02%	23.16%	63.30%	0.02%
Dundee	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.02%	99.98%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Celtic	100%	—
Dundee United	100%	—
Inverness CT	100%	—
Motherwell	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	99.00%	1.00%
Kilmarnock	97.00%	3.00%
Ross County	97.00%	3.00%
St. Johnstone	97.00%	3.00%
Hibernian	94.00%	6.00%
St. Mirren	93.00%	7.00%
Aberdeen	91.00%	9.00%
Dundee	32.00%	68.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—
Celtic	100%	—
Dundee United	100%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—
Hibernian	100%	—
Inverness CT	100%	—
Kilmarnock	100%	—
Motherwell	100%	—
Ross County	100%	—
St. Johnstone	100%	—
St. Mirren	99.98%	0.02%
Dundee	0.02%	99.98%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2012-08-04	Aberdeen	W 1-0	48.9	1742	1510	67.45%	20.97%	11.57%	+1.47	+1.8	3
2012-08-04	@ Celtic	L 0-1	48.9	1510	1742	11.57%	20.97%	67.45%	-1.47	-1.8	0
2012-08-04	Dundee	D 0-0	54.7	1504	1466	43.41%	32.64%	23.95%	+0.41	-0.6	1
2012-08-04	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	54.7	1466	1504	23.95%	32.64%	43.41%	-0.41	+0.6	1
2012-08-04	Inverness CT	D 2-2	66.3	1502	1520	35.48%	33.88%	30.64%	+0.09	-0.1	1
2012-08-04	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	66.3	1520	1502	30.64%	33.88%	35.48%	-0.09	+0.1	1
2012-08-04	Motherwell	D 0-0	58.7	1528	1563	33.05%	33.95%	32.99%	+0.00	-0.0	1
2012-08-04	@ Ross County	D 0-0	58.7	1563	1528	32.99%	33.95%	33.05%	+0.00	+0.0	1
2012-08-04	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	48.1	1563	1522	43.68%	32.57%	23.75%	+0.42	+7.3	3
2012-08-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	48.1	1522	1563	23.75%	32.57%	43.68%	-0.42	-7.3	0
2012-08-05	Hibernian	W 3-0	42.9	1618	1482	56.08%	27.64%	16.28%	+0.94	+7.4	3
2012-08-05	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	42.9	1482	1618	16.28%	27.64%	56.08%	-0.94	-7.4	0
2012-08-11	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	61.0	1520	1504	40.36%	33.30%	26.34%	+0.28	-0.4	2
2012-08-11	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	61.0	1504	1520	26.34%	33.30%	40.36%	-0.28	+0.4	2
2012-08-11	Ross County	D 0-0	56.8	1508	1528	35.24%	33.89%	30.87%	+0.08	-0.1	1
2012-08-11	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	56.8	1528	1508	30.87%	33.89%	35.24%	-0.08	+0.1	2
2012-08-11	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	63.2	1563	1515	44.67%	32.30%	23.02%	+0.46	-0.6	2
2012-08-11	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	63.2	1515	1563	23.02%	32.30%	44.67%	-0.46	+0.6	1
2012-08-11	St. Mirren	L 0-2	47.0	1466	1502	32.98%	33.95%	33.07%	+0.00	-9.3	1
2012-08-11	@ Dundee	W 2-0	47.0	1502	1466	33.07%	33.95%	32.98%	+0.00	+9.3	4
2012-08-12	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	61.8	1475	1570	25.37%	33.07%	41.56%	-0.33	+0.4	1
2012-08-12	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	61.8	1570	1475	41.56%	33.07%	25.37%	+0.33	-0.4	4
2012-08-18	Aberdeen	L 1-2	59.8	1516	1508	39.13%	33.50%	27.36%	+0.24	-5.2	1
2012-08-18	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	59.8	1508	1516	27.36%	33.50%	39.13%	-0.24	+5.2	4
2012-08-18	Celtic	D 1-1	69.6	1528	1744	15.71%	27.00%	57.29%	-0.99	+1.2	3
2012-08-18	@ Ross County	D 1-1	69.6	1744	1528	57.29%	27.00%	15.71%	+0.99	-1.2	4
2012-08-18	Hibernian	L 1-2	59.4	1511	1475	43.08%	32.72%	24.20%	+0.39	-5.6	4
2012-08-18	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	59.4	1475	1511	24.20%	32.72%	43.08%	-0.39	+5.6	4
2012-08-18	Inverness CT	D 2-2	69.2	1570	1520	44.97%	32.22%	22.81%	+0.47	-0.5	5
2012-08-18	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	69.2	1520	1570	22.81%	32.22%	44.97%	-0.47	+0.5	3
2012-08-18	Motherwell	L 1-2	58.7	1504	1562	29.87%	33.82%	36.31%	-0.13	-4.3	2
2012-08-18	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	58.7	1562	1504	36.31%	33.82%	29.87%	+0.13	+4.4	5
2012-08-19	Dundee	W 3-0	41.2	1625	1457	60.04%	25.47%	14.49%	+1.12	+6.4	6
2012-08-19	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	41.2	1457	1625	14.49%	25.47%	60.04%	-1.12	-6.4	1
2012-08-25	Celtic	L 2-4	57.7	1520	1742	15.34%	26.57%	58.09%	-1.03	-3.7	3
2012-08-25	@ Inverness CT	W 4-2	57.7	1742	1520	58.09%	26.57%	15.34%	+1.03	+3.7	7
2012-08-25	Dundee United	W 3-1	61.7	1500	1631	21.75%	31.74%	46.51%	-0.53	+10.3	5
2012-08-25	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	61.7	1631	1500	46.51%	31.74%	21.75%	+0.53	-10.3	6
2012-08-25	Ross County	L 0-1	49.3	1451	1529	27.31%	33.49%	39.20%	-0.24	-4.3	1
2012-08-25	@ Dundee	W 1-0	49.3	1529	1451	39.20%	33.49%	27.31%	+0.24	+4.3	6
2012-08-25	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	47.7	1481	1510	33.82%	33.94%	32.23%	+0.03	+9.2	7
2012-08-25	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	47.7	1510	1481	32.23%	33.94%	33.82%	-0.03	-9.2	1
2012-08-26	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	58.4	1513	1569	30.14%	33.84%	36.02%	-0.11	+0.2	5
2012-08-26	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	58.4	1569	1513	36.02%	33.84%	30.14%	+0.11	-0.2	6
2012-08-26	St. Mirren	D 1-1	63.2	1566	1506	46.45%	31.76%	21.79%	+0.53	-0.7	6
2012-08-26	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	63.2	1506	1566	21.79%	31.76%	46.45%	-0.53	+0.7	5
2012-09-01	Dundee United	D 0-0	60.2	1501	1621	22.84%	32.23%	44.93%	-0.47	+0.7	2
2012-09-01	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	60.2	1621	1501	44.93%	32.23%	22.84%	+0.47	-0.7	7
2012-09-01	Hibernian	D 2-2	76.9	1746	1490	70.07%	19.30%	10.63%	+1.60	-1.3	8
2012-09-01	@ Celtic	D 2-2	76.9	1490	1746	10.63%	19.30%	70.07%	-1.60	+1.3	8
2012-09-01	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	57.3	1533	1510	41.35%	33.11%	25.54%	+0.32	-0.5	7
2012-09-01	@ Ross County	D 0-0	57.3	1510	1533	25.54%	33.11%	41.35%	-0.32	+0.5	6
2012-09-01	St. Mirren	D 0-0	56.3	1513	1506	39.04%	33.51%	27.44%	+0.23	-0.3	6
2012-09-01	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	56.3	1506	1513	27.44%	33.51%	39.04%	-0.23	+0.3	6
2012-09-02	Dundee	L 0-1	57.3	1569	1446	54.48%	28.45%	17.07%	+0.87	-7.1	6
2012-09-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	57.3	1446	1569	17.07%	28.45%	54.48%	-0.87	+7.1	4
2012-09-02	Inverness CT	W 4-1	50.7	1566	1516	44.89%	32.24%	22.87%	+0.47	+8.7	9
2012-09-02	@ Motherwell	L 1-4	50.7	1516	1566	22.87%	32.24%	44.89%	-0.47	-8.7	3
2012-09-14	Ross County	D 0-0	61.6	1620	1533	49.96%	30.48%	19.56%	+0.68	-1.0	8
2012-09-14	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	61.6	1533	1620	19.56%	30.48%	49.96%	-0.68	+1.0	8
2012-09-15	Aberdeen	D 1-1	60.7	1508	1513	37.32%	33.73%	28.95%	+0.17	-0.2	4
2012-09-15	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	60.7	1513	1508	28.95%	33.73%	37.32%	-0.17	+0.2	7
2012-09-15	Celtic	W 2-1	70.2	1502	1745	14.25%	25.16%	60.59%	-1.14	+7.2	5
2012-09-15	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	70.2	1745	1502	60.59%	25.16%	14.25%	+1.14	-7.2	8
2012-09-15	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	51.6	1507	1562	30.23%	33.85%	35.92%	-0.11	+9.9	9
2012-09-15	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	51.6	1562	1507	35.92%	33.85%	30.23%	+0.11	-9.9	6
2012-09-15	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	56.6	1491	1510	35.31%	33.89%	30.80%	+0.09	+4.5	11
2012-09-15	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	56.6	1510	1491	30.80%	33.89%	35.31%	-0.09	-4.5	6
2012-09-15	Motherwell	L 1-2	54.7	1453	1574	22.73%	32.18%	45.09%	-0.47	-3.5	4
2012-09-15	@ Dundee	W 2-1	54.7	1574	1453	45.09%	32.18%	22.73%	+0.47	+3.5	12
2012-09-22	Dundee	W 2-0	42.2	1738	1450	73.34%	17.18%	9.47%	+1.78	+2.5	11
2012-09-22	@ Celtic	L 0-2	42.2	1450	1738	9.47%	17.18%	73.34%	-1.78	-2.5	4
2012-09-22	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	55.5	1619	1552	47.32%	31.47%	21.21%	+0.56	-17.4	8
2012-09-22	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	55.5	1552	1619	21.21%	31.47%	47.32%	-0.56	+17.4	9
2012-09-22	Inverness CT	D 2-2	65.6	1496	1508	36.36%	33.82%	29.82%	+0.13	-0.1	12
2012-09-22	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	65.6	1508	1496	29.82%	33.82%	36.36%	-0.13	+0.1	5
2012-09-22	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	61.1	1534	1509	41.54%	33.07%	25.38%	+0.33	-5.5	8
2012-09-22	@ Ross County	W 2-1	61.1	1509	1534	25.38%	33.07%	41.54%	-0.33	+5.5	8
2012-09-22	St. Mirren	W 3-1	53.6	1506	1516	36.56%	33.80%	29.64%	+0.14	+7.5	9
2012-09-22	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	53.6	1516	1506	29.64%	33.80%	36.56%	-0.14	-7.5	9
2012-09-23	Motherwell	D 3-3	72.6	1513	1578	28.99%	33.73%	37.27%	-0.16	+0.1	8
2012-09-23	@ Aberdeen	D 3-3	72.6	1578	1513	37.27%	33.73%	28.99%	+0.16	-0.1	13
2012-09-29	Celtic	L 0-2	51.3	1578	1740	19.23%	30.25%	50.53%	-0.70	-6.1	13
2012-09-29	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	51.3	1740	1578	50.53%	30.25%	19.23%	+0.70	+6.1	14
2012-09-29	Dundee United	W 4-0	52.3	1508	1602	25.49%	33.10%	41.42%	-0.33	+20.7	8
2012-09-29	@ Inverness CT	L 0-4	52.3	1602	1508	41.42%	33.10%	25.49%	+0.33	-20.7	8
2012-09-29	Hibernian	W 2-1	55.3	1513	1496	40.55%	33.27%	26.19%	+0.29	+4.0	11
2012-09-29	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	55.3	1496	1513	26.19%	33.27%	40.55%	-0.29	-4.0	12
2012-09-29	Kilmarnock	L 1-3	60.0	1569	1513	45.79%	31.97%	22.24%	+0.50	-10.2	9
2012-09-29	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	60.0	1513	1569	22.24%	31.97%	45.79%	-0.50	+10.1	12
2012-09-29	Ross County	W 5-4	66.7	1509	1528	35.27%	33.89%	30.84%	+0.09	+4.1	12
2012-09-29	@ St. Mirren	L 4-5	66.7	1528	1509	30.84%	33.89%	35.27%	-0.09	-4.1	8
2012-09-29	St. Johnstone	L 1-3	51.0	1447	1514	28.70%	33.70%	37.60%	-0.18	-7.3	4
2012-09-29	@ Dundee	W 3-1	51.0	1514	1447	37.60%	33.70%	28.70%	+0.18	+7.3	11
2012-10-05	Ross County	W 3-1	54.1	1528	1524	38.61%	33.58%	27.82%	+0.22	+7.2	11
2012-10-05	@ Inverness CT	L 1-3	54.1	1524	1528	27.82%	33.58%	38.61%	-0.22	-7.2	8
2012-10-06	Aberdeen	L 1-3	57.0	1524	1517	38.95%	33.53%	27.52%	+0.23	-9.0	12
2012-10-06	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	57.0	1517	1524	27.52%	33.53%	38.95%	-0.23	+9.0	14
2012-10-06	Dundee	W 3-0	40.1	1492	1440	45.20%	32.15%	22.65%	+0.48	+10.2	15
2012-10-06	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	40.1	1440	1492	22.65%	32.15%	45.20%	-0.48	-10.2	4
2012-10-06	St. Mirren	W 2-1	56.7	1522	1513	39.29%	33.48%	27.23%	+0.24	+4.1	14
2012-10-06	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	56.7	1513	1522	27.23%	33.48%	39.29%	-0.24	-4.1	12
2012-10-07	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	51.3	1746	1559	62.28%	24.16%	13.56%	+1.22	+2.2	17
2012-10-07	@ Celtic	L 0-1	51.3	1559	1746	13.56%	24.16%	62.28%	-1.22	-2.2	9
2012-10-19	Inverness CT	L 1-4	47.0	1430	1536	24.26%	32.74%	43.00%	-0.39	-9.1	4
2012-10-19	@ Dundee	W 4-1	47.0	1536	1430	43.00%	32.74%	24.26%	+0.39	+9.1	14
2012-10-20	Aberdeen	D 1-1	64.3	1581	1526	45.66%	32.01%	22.33%	+0.50	-0.6	9
2012-10-20	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	64.3	1526	1581	22.33%	32.01%	45.66%	-0.50	+0.7	15
2012-10-20	Celtic	L 0-5	46.3	1509	1748	14.43%	25.40%	60.17%	-1.12	-10.3	12
2012-10-20	@ St. Mirren	W 5-0	46.3	1748	1509	60.17%	25.40%	14.43%	+1.12	+10.3	20
2012-10-20	Hibernian	W 3-2	60.8	1517	1502	40.22%	33.33%	26.46%	+0.28	+3.8	11
2012-10-20	@ Ross County	L 2-3	60.8	1502	1517	26.46%	33.33%	40.22%	-0.28	-3.8	15
2012-10-20	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	56.8	1526	1515	39.64%	33.42%	26.94%	+0.26	+4.0	17
2012-10-20	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	56.8	1515	1526	26.94%	33.42%	39.64%	-0.26	-4.0	12
2012-10-21	Motherwell	W 1-0	55.5	1557	1572	35.97%	33.85%	30.18%	+0.11	+4.7	12
2012-10-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	55.5	1572	1557	30.18%	33.85%	35.97%	-0.11	-4.7	13
2012-10-26	Hibernian	L 0-4	52.1	1567	1498	47.55%	31.39%	21.06%	+0.57	-22.9	13
2012-10-26	@ Motherwell	W 4-0	52.1	1498	1567	21.06%	31.39%	47.55%	-0.57	+22.9	18
2012-10-27	Dundee	W 2-0	40.5	1527	1421	52.40%	29.43%	18.17%	+0.78	+5.7	18
2012-10-27	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	40.5	1421	1527	18.17%	29.43%	52.40%	-0.78	-5.7	4
2012-10-27	Dundee United	L 0-1	52.8	1499	1581	26.89%	33.41%	39.70%	-0.26	-4.3	12
2012-10-27	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	52.8	1581	1499	39.70%	33.41%	26.89%	+0.26	+4.3	12
2012-10-27	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	62.5	1759	1511	69.20%	19.86%	10.94%	+1.56	-15.6	20
2012-10-27	@ Celtic	W 2-0	62.5	1511	1759	10.94%	19.86%	69.20%	-1.56	+15.6	15
2012-10-27	Ross County	D 2-2	68.8	1562	1521	43.73%	32.56%	23.71%	+0.42	-0.4	13
2012-10-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	68.8	1521	1562	23.71%	32.56%	43.73%	-0.42	+0.4	12
2012-10-27	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	62.8	1545	1530	40.13%	33.34%	26.53%	+0.27	-0.4	15
2012-10-27	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	62.8	1530	1545	26.53%	33.34%	40.13%	-0.27	+0.4	18
2012-11-03	Aberdeen	W 2-1	58.2	1521	1533	36.45%	33.81%	29.74%	+0.13	+4.3	15
2012-11-03	@ Ross County	L 1-2	58.2	1533	1521	29.74%	33.81%	36.45%	-0.13	-4.3	18
2012-11-03	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	54.8	1415	1561	20.46%	31.05%	48.49%	-0.61	+6.5	7
2012-11-03	@ Dundee	L 0-1	54.8	1561	1415	48.49%	31.05%	20.46%	+0.61	-6.5	13
2012-11-03	Inverness CT	L 1-2	60.5	1526	1544	35.46%	33.88%	30.66%	+0.09	-4.9	15
2012-11-03	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	60.5	1544	1526	30.66%	33.88%	35.46%	-0.09	+4.9	18
2012-11-03	Motherwell	L 1-3	57.4	1530	1544	36.06%	33.84%	30.10%	+0.12	-8.6	18
2012-11-03	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-1	57.4	1544	1530	30.10%	33.84%	36.06%	-0.12	+8.6	16
2012-11-03	St. Mirren	W 2-1	55.2	1521	1494	41.76%	33.03%	25.21%	+0.34	+3.9	21
2012-11-03	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	55.2	1494	1521	25.21%	33.03%	41.76%	-0.34	-3.8	12
2012-11-04	Celtic	D 2-2	74.9	1585	1743	19.55%	30.47%	49.98%	-0.68	+0.6	13
2012-11-04	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	74.9	1743	1585	49.98%	30.47%	19.55%	+0.68	-0.6	21
2012-11-07	Dundee United	L 0-1	56.8	1553	1586	33.37%	33.95%	32.68%	+0.01	-5.0	16
2012-11-07	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	56.8	1586	1553	32.68%	33.95%	33.37%	-0.01	+5.0	16
2012-11-10	Aberdeen	L 1-4	51.8	1490	1528	32.65%	33.95%	33.40%	-0.01	-11.3	12
2012-11-10	@ St. Mirren	W 4-1	51.8	1528	1490	33.40%	33.95%	32.65%	+0.01	+11.3	21
2012-11-10	Dundee	D 1-1	60.4	1548	1421	54.96%	28.21%	16.83%	+0.89	-1.1	17
2012-11-10	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	60.4	1421	1548	16.83%	28.21%	54.96%	-0.89	+1.1	8
2012-11-10	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	63.7	1549	1555	37.23%	33.74%	29.03%	+0.16	-0.2	19
2012-11-10	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	63.7	1555	1549	29.03%	33.74%	37.23%	-0.16	+0.2	14
2012-11-10	Ross County	W 3-0	46.7	1521	1526	37.41%	33.72%	28.87%	+0.17	+12.4	18
2012-11-10	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-3	46.7	1526	1521	28.87%	33.72%	37.41%	-0.17	-12.4	15
2012-11-11	Dundee United	W 2-1	62.6	1525	1591	28.86%	33.72%	37.42%	-0.17	+5.1	24
2012-11-11	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	62.6	1591	1525	37.42%	33.72%	28.86%	+0.17	-5.1	16
2012-11-11	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	71.1	1742	1522	66.17%	21.78%	12.05%	+1.41	-1.6	22
2012-11-11	@ Celtic	D 1-1	71.1	1522	1742	12.05%	21.78%	66.17%	-1.41	+1.6	19
2012-11-16	Kilmarnock	D 3-3	74.0	1586	1534	45.24%	32.14%	22.62%	+0.48	-0.4	17
2012-11-16	@ Dundee United	D 3-3	74.0	1534	1586	22.62%	32.14%	45.24%	-0.48	+0.4	19
2012-11-17	Celtic	L 0-2	49.3	1540	1741	16.57%	27.95%	55.48%	-0.91	-5.2	21
2012-11-17	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	49.3	1741	1540	55.48%	27.95%	16.57%	+0.91	+5.2	25
2012-11-17	Hibernian	W 3-1	54.7	1422	1530	24.10%	32.69%	43.21%	-0.40	+9.7	11
2012-11-17	@ Dundee	L 1-3	54.7	1530	1422	43.21%	32.69%	24.10%	+0.40	-9.7	24
2012-11-17	Ross County	D 1-1	61.4	1523	1513	39.45%	33.45%	27.10%	+0.25	-0.3	20
2012-11-17	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	61.4	1513	1523	27.10%	33.45%	39.45%	-0.25	+0.3	16
2012-11-17	St. Mirren	W 1-0	48.5	1555	1479	48.46%	31.06%	20.48%	+0.61	+3.4	17
2012-11-17	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	48.5	1479	1555	20.48%	31.06%	48.46%	-0.61	-3.4	12
2012-11-18	Motherwell	L 1-5	55.0	1549	1547	38.36%	33.61%	28.03%	+0.21	-16.3	19
2012-11-18	@ Inverness CT	W 5-1	55.0	1547	1549	28.03%	33.61%	38.36%	-0.21	+16.3	20
2012-11-24	Aberdeen	L 0-1	54.8	1520	1534	36.00%	33.85%	30.15%	+0.11	-5.2	24
2012-11-24	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	54.8	1534	1520	30.15%	33.85%	36.00%	-0.11	+5.2	24
2012-11-24	Dundee	W 3-1	47.1	1476	1432	44.11%	32.46%	23.43%	+0.43	+6.3	15
2012-11-24	@ St. Mirren	L 1-3	47.1	1432	1476	23.43%	32.46%	44.11%	-0.43	-6.3	11
2012-11-24	Dundee United	L 1-2	59.2	1514	1585	28.17%	33.63%	38.20%	-0.20	-4.2	16
2012-11-24	@ Ross County	W 2-1	59.2	1585	1514	38.20%	33.63%	28.17%	+0.20	+4.2	20
2012-11-24	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	59.8	1563	1559	38.69%	33.56%	27.75%	+0.22	-0.3	21
2012-11-24	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	59.8	1559	1563	27.75%	33.56%	38.69%	-0.22	+0.3	18
2012-11-24	Inverness CT	L 0-1	65.9	1746	1533	65.34%	22.30%	12.36%	+1.37	-8.0	25
2012-11-24	@ Celtic	W 1-0	65.9	1533	1746	12.36%	22.30%	65.34%	-1.37	+8.0	22
2012-11-24	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	61.2	1534	1523	39.60%	33.43%	26.97%	+0.25	-5.3	19
2012-11-24	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	61.2	1523	1534	26.97%	33.43%	39.60%	-0.25	+5.3	23
2012-11-27	Inverness CT	L 2-3	66.5	1540	1541	37.92%	33.66%	28.42%	+0.19	-4.9	24
2012-11-27	@ Aberdeen	W 3-2	66.5	1541	1540	28.42%	33.66%	37.92%	-0.19	+4.9	25
2012-11-27	Motherwell	L 1-2	64.7	1589	1563	41.76%	33.03%	25.21%	+0.34	-5.5	20
2012-11-27	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	64.7	1563	1589	25.21%	33.03%	41.76%	-0.34	+5.5	24
2012-11-27	St. Mirren	D 0-0	55.4	1510	1482	41.90%	33.00%	25.10%	+0.35	-0.5	17
2012-11-27	@ Ross County	D 0-0	55.4	1482	1510	25.10%	33.00%	41.90%	-0.35	+0.5	16
2012-11-28	Celtic	L 0-4	48.3	1559	1738	18.01%	29.30%	52.69%	-0.79	-10.8	18
2012-11-28	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	48.3	1738	1559	52.69%	29.30%	18.01%	+0.79	+10.8	28
2012-11-28	Hibernian	L 0-1	55.4	1528	1515	39.94%	33.37%	26.69%	+0.27	-5.6	23
2012-11-28	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	55.4	1515	1528	26.69%	33.37%	39.94%	-0.27	+5.6	27
2012-12-08	Aberdeen	W 2-0	49.2	1548	1535	39.92%	33.38%	26.70%	+0.27	+8.0	21
2012-12-08	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	49.2	1535	1548	26.70%	33.38%	39.92%	-0.27	-8.0	24
2012-12-08	Celtic	L 1-3	54.1	1529	1749	15.47%	26.72%	57.82%	-1.02	-4.1	19
2012-12-08	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	54.1	1749	1529	57.82%	26.72%	15.47%	+1.02	+4.1	31
2012-12-08	Hibernian	W 3-0	46.2	1545	1520	41.56%	33.07%	25.37%	+0.33	+11.2	28
2012-12-08	@ Inverness CT	L 0-3	46.2	1520	1545	25.37%	33.07%	41.56%	-0.33	-11.2	27
2012-12-08	Ross County	W 3-2	61.1	1568	1509	46.22%	31.83%	21.94%	+0.52	+3.2	27
2012-12-08	@ Motherwell	L 2-3	61.1	1509	1568	21.94%	31.83%	46.22%	-0.52	-3.2	17
2012-12-08	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	60.1	1483	1523	32.32%	33.95%	33.73%	-0.03	+0.0	17
2012-12-08	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	60.1	1523	1483	33.73%	33.95%	32.32%	+0.03	-0.0	24
2012-12-09	Dundee United	L 0-3	41.6	1426	1584	19.55%	30.47%	49.98%	-0.68	-8.9	11
2012-12-09	@ Dundee	W 3-0	41.6	1584	1426	49.98%	30.47%	19.55%	+0.68	+9.0	23
2012-12-15	Dundee	D 1-1	58.1	1506	1417	50.14%	30.41%	19.45%	+0.68	-0.9	18
2012-12-15	@ Ross County	D 1-1	58.1	1417	1506	19.45%	30.41%	50.14%	-0.68	+0.9	12
2012-12-15	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	68.3	1523	1556	33.25%	33.95%	32.80%	+0.01	-0.0	25
2012-12-15	@ St. Johnstone	D 2-2	68.3	1556	1523	32.80%	33.95%	33.25%	-0.01	+0.0	22
2012-12-15	Inverness CT	D 4-4	76.5	1593	1557	43.08%	32.72%	24.20%	+0.39	-0.3	24
2012-12-15	@ Dundee United	D 4-4	76.5	1557	1593	24.20%	32.72%	43.08%	-0.39	+0.3	29
2012-12-15	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	51.6	1527	1525	38.37%	33.61%	28.02%	+0.21	-10.3	24
2012-12-15	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	51.6	1525	1527	28.02%	33.61%	38.37%	-0.21	+10.3	22
2012-12-15	Motherwell	L 2-3	64.0	1509	1572	29.32%	33.77%	36.91%	-0.15	-4.1	27
2012-12-15	@ Hibernian	W 3-2	64.0	1572	1509	36.91%	33.77%	29.32%	+0.15	+4.1	30
2012-12-15	St. Mirren	W 2-0	43.8	1753	1483	71.55%	18.34%	10.10%	+1.68	+2.7	34
2012-12-15	@ Celtic	L 0-2	43.8	1483	1753	10.10%	18.34%	71.55%	-1.68	-2.8	17
2012-12-21	Motherwell	W 2-1	61.6	1480	1576	25.33%	33.06%	41.61%	-0.33	+5.5	20
2012-12-21	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	61.6	1576	1480	41.61%	33.06%	25.33%	+0.33	-5.5	30
2012-12-22	Dundee	W 4-1	43.2	1557	1418	56.53%	27.40%	16.06%	+0.96	+6.1	32
2012-12-22	@ Inverness CT	L 1-4	43.2	1418	1557	16.06%	27.40%	56.53%	-0.96	-6.1	12
2012-12-22	Ross County	W 4-0	42.7	1756	1505	69.48%	19.68%	10.84%	+1.57	+5.7	37
2012-12-22	@ Celtic	L 0-4	42.7	1505	1756	10.84%	19.68%	69.48%	-1.57	-5.7	18
2012-12-22	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	48.4	1516	1523	37.19%	33.74%	29.07%	+0.16	+8.5	27
2012-12-22	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	48.4	1523	1516	29.07%	33.74%	37.19%	-0.16	-8.5	25
2012-12-23	Dundee United	W 2-1	62.4	1556	1592	32.86%	33.95%	33.19%	-0.01	+4.7	25
2012-12-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	62.4	1592	1556	33.19%	33.95%	32.86%	+0.01	-4.7	24
2012-12-23	Hibernian	D 1-1	61.7	1535	1505	42.21%	32.93%	24.86%	+0.36	-0.5	23
2012-12-23	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	61.7	1505	1535	24.86%	32.93%	42.21%	-0.36	+0.5	28
2012-12-26	Aberdeen	W 4-1	51.3	1570	1525	44.31%	32.40%	23.28%	+0.44	+8.8	33
2012-12-26	@ Motherwell	L 1-4	51.3	1525	1570	23.28%	32.40%	44.31%	-0.44	-8.8	27
2012-12-26	Celtic	L 0-2	42.1	1412	1761	9.77%	17.74%	72.48%	-1.73	-2.6	12
2012-12-26	@ Dundee	W 2-0	42.1	1761	1412	72.48%	17.74%	9.77%	+1.73	+2.6	40
2012-12-26	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	55.0	1534	1561	34.28%	33.93%	31.79%	+0.05	+4.8	26
2012-12-26	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	55.0	1561	1534	31.79%	33.93%	34.28%	-0.05	-4.8	25
2012-12-26	Ross County	L 0-1	53.7	1506	1499	38.96%	33.53%	27.52%	+0.23	-5.5	28
2012-12-26	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	53.7	1499	1506	27.52%	33.53%	38.96%	-0.23	+5.5	21
2012-12-26	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	64.3	1588	1514	48.16%	31.17%	20.67%	+0.60	-0.8	25
2012-12-26	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	64.3	1514	1588	20.67%	31.17%	48.16%	-0.60	+0.8	26
2012-12-26	St. Mirren	D 2-2	68.1	1563	1485	48.70%	30.97%	20.33%	+0.62	-0.6	33
2012-12-26	@ Inverness CT	D 2-2	68.1	1485	1563	20.33%	30.97%	48.70%	-0.62	+0.6	21
2012-12-29	Aberdeen	L 1-3	48.0	1409	1516	24.12%	32.70%	43.18%	-0.40	-6.4	12
2012-12-29	@ Dundee	W 3-1	48.0	1516	1409	43.18%	32.70%	24.12%	+0.40	+6.4	30
2012-12-29	Celtic	W 1-0	65.4	1500	1764	13.24%	23.69%	63.07%	-1.26	+7.8	31
2012-12-29	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	65.4	1764	1500	63.07%	23.69%	13.24%	+1.26	-7.8	40
2012-12-29	Inverness CT	D 0-0	58.2	1515	1563	31.26%	33.91%	34.83%	-0.07	+0.1	27
2012-12-29	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	58.2	1563	1515	34.83%	33.91%	31.26%	+0.07	-0.1	34
2012-12-29	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	70.0	1579	1539	43.58%	32.60%	23.82%	+0.41	-0.4	34
2012-12-29	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	70.0	1539	1579	23.82%	32.60%	43.58%	-0.41	+0.4	27
2012-12-30	St. Mirren	L 3-4	71.9	1587	1486	51.73%	29.73%	18.54%	+0.75	-5.9	25
2012-12-30	@ Dundee United	W 4-3	71.9	1486	1587	18.54%	29.73%	51.73%	-0.75	+5.9	24
2013-01-02	Dundee	W 1-0	42.9	1515	1403	53.16%	29.08%	17.76%	+0.81	+3.0	30
2013-01-02	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	42.9	1403	1515	17.76%	29.08%	53.16%	-0.81	-3.0	12
2013-01-02	Dundee United	D 2-2	69.2	1523	1581	29.82%	33.82%	36.37%	-0.13	+0.1	31
2013-01-02	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	69.2	1581	1523	36.37%	33.82%	29.82%	+0.13	-0.1	26
2013-01-02	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	61.1	1492	1540	31.25%	33.91%	34.84%	-0.07	+0.1	25
2013-01-02	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	61.1	1540	1492	34.84%	33.91%	31.25%	+0.07	-0.1	28
2013-01-02	Motherwell	W 1-0	51.9	1756	1579	61.19%	24.81%	14.00%	+1.17	+2.2	43
2013-01-02	@ Celtic	L 0-1	51.9	1579	1756	14.00%	24.81%	61.19%	-1.17	-2.2	34
2013-01-03	Hibernian	D 0-0	58.3	1556	1508	44.73%	32.29%	22.98%	+0.46	-0.7	26
2013-01-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	58.3	1508	1556	22.98%	32.29%	44.73%	-0.46	+0.7	32
2013-01-19	Aberdeen	W 3-0	46.2	1562	1523	43.57%	32.60%	23.83%	+0.41	+10.7	37
2013-01-19	@ Inverness CT	L 0-3	46.2	1523	1562	23.83%	32.60%	43.57%	-0.41	-10.7	31
2013-01-19	Dundee	D 1-1	58.0	1509	1400	52.72%	29.28%	17.99%	+0.79	-1.0	33
2013-01-19	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	58.0	1400	1509	17.99%	29.28%	52.72%	-0.79	+1.0	13
2013-01-19	Dundee United	L 2-3	66.2	1540	1581	32.13%	33.94%	33.93%	-0.03	-4.3	28
2013-01-19	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-2	66.2	1581	1540	33.93%	33.94%	32.13%	+0.03	+4.3	29
2013-01-19	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-1	50.2	1758	1555	64.17%	23.02%	12.81%	+1.31	+4.6	46
2013-01-19	@ Celtic	L 1-4	50.2	1555	1758	12.81%	23.02%	64.17%	-1.31	-4.6	26
2013-01-19	Ross County	L 1-4	52.0	1492	1505	36.23%	33.83%	29.94%	+0.12	-12.2	25
2013-01-19	@ St. Mirren	W 4-1	52.0	1505	1492	29.94%	33.83%	36.23%	-0.12	+12.2	24
2013-01-20	St. Johnstone	W 3-2	61.7	1576	1518	46.12%	31.87%	22.01%	+0.52	+3.3	37
2013-01-20	@ Motherwell	L 2-3	61.7	1518	1576	22.01%	31.87%	46.12%	-0.52	-3.3	30
2013-01-22	Dundee United	W 4-0	46.3	1763	1585	61.20%	24.80%	14.00%	+1.17	+8.0	49
2013-01-22	@ Celtic	L 0-4	46.3	1585	1763	14.00%	24.80%	61.20%	-1.17	-8.0	29
2013-01-26	Ross County	D 1-1	63.9	1577	1517	46.38%	31.78%	21.83%	+0.53	-0.7	30
2013-01-26	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	63.9	1517	1577	21.83%	31.78%	46.38%	-0.53	+0.7	25
2013-01-27	Hibernian	D 0-0	56.3	1512	1508	38.69%	33.56%	27.75%	+0.22	-0.3	32
2013-01-27	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	56.3	1508	1512	27.75%	33.56%	38.69%	-0.22	+0.3	34
2013-01-27	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	53.7	1401	1535	21.49%	31.62%	46.89%	-0.55	+0.8	14
2013-01-27	@ Dundee	D 0-0	53.7	1535	1401	46.89%	31.62%	21.49%	+0.55	-0.8	29
2013-01-30	Aberdeen	W 3-1	53.1	1515	1512	38.45%	33.60%	27.95%	+0.21	+7.2	33
2013-01-30	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-3	53.1	1512	1515	27.95%	33.60%	38.45%	-0.21	-7.2	32
2013-01-30	Dundee	W 1-0	42.7	1551	1401	57.78%	26.74%	15.49%	+1.02	+2.5	29
2013-01-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	42.7	1401	1551	15.49%	26.74%	57.78%	-1.02	-2.5	14
2013-01-30	Hibernian	W 1-0	50.9	1518	1508	39.42%	33.46%	27.13%	+0.25	+4.3	28
2013-01-30	@ Ross County	L 0-1	50.9	1508	1518	27.13%	33.46%	39.42%	-0.25	-4.3	34
2013-01-30	Inverness CT	W 2-1	61.4	1480	1573	25.60%	33.13%	41.27%	-0.32	+5.4	28
2013-01-30	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	61.4	1573	1480	41.27%	33.13%	25.60%	+0.32	-5.4	37
2013-01-30	Kilmarnock	W 4-1	48.9	1771	1534	67.96%	20.65%	11.39%	+1.50	+4.0	52
2013-01-30	@ Celtic	L 1-4	48.9	1534	1771	11.39%	20.65%	67.96%	-1.50	-4.0	29
2013-02-02	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	68.2	1522	1553	33.57%	33.95%	32.49%	+0.02	-0.0	29
2013-02-02	@ Ross County	D 2-2	68.2	1553	1522	32.49%	33.95%	33.57%	-0.02	+0.0	30
2013-02-08	Ross County	L 0-2	41.7	1399	1522	22.56%	32.11%	45.33%	-0.48	-7.0	14
2013-02-08	@ Dundee	W 2-0	41.7	1522	1399	45.33%	32.11%	22.56%	+0.48	+7.0	32
2013-02-09	Celtic	L 1-3	55.4	1568	1775	16.20%	27.55%	56.26%	-0.95	-4.4	37
2013-02-09	@ Inverness CT	W 3-1	55.4	1775	1568	56.26%	27.55%	16.20%	+0.95	+4.4	55
2013-02-09	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	55.8	1577	1553	41.32%	33.12%	25.56%	+0.32	+6.7	33
2013-02-09	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	55.8	1553	1577	25.56%	33.12%	41.32%	-0.32	-6.7	30
2013-02-09	Motherwell	W 2-0	52.7	1530	1580	31.07%	33.90%	35.03%	-0.08	+9.7	32
2013-02-09	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	52.7	1580	1530	35.03%	33.90%	31.07%	+0.08	-9.7	37
2013-02-09	St. Mirren	D 0-0	55.2	1505	1485	40.77%	33.23%	26.01%	+0.30	-0.4	33
2013-02-09	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	55.2	1485	1505	26.01%	33.23%	40.77%	-0.30	+0.5	29
2013-02-11	St. Johnstone	L 1-3	55.4	1504	1522	35.45%	33.88%	30.67%	+0.09	-8.5	34
2013-02-11	@ Hibernian	W 3-1	55.4	1522	1504	30.67%	33.88%	35.45%	-0.09	+8.5	36
2013-02-13	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	63.8	1563	1540	41.29%	33.12%	25.58%	+0.32	-0.4	38
2013-02-13	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	63.8	1540	1563	25.58%	33.12%	41.29%	-0.32	+0.4	33
2013-02-15	Dundee	W 1-0	42.1	1504	1392	53.15%	29.09%	17.76%	+0.81	+3.0	36
2013-02-15	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	42.1	1392	1504	17.76%	29.09%	53.15%	-0.81	-3.0	14
2013-02-16	Dundee United	W 6-2	51.4	1779	1583	63.36%	23.51%	13.13%	+1.27	+5.2	58
2013-02-16	@ Celtic	L 2-6	51.4	1583	1779	13.13%	23.51%	63.36%	-1.27	-5.2	33
2013-02-16	Hibernian	L 0-1	52.2	1486	1495	36.71%	33.79%	29.50%	+0.14	-5.3	29
2013-02-16	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	52.2	1495	1486	29.50%	33.79%	36.71%	-0.14	+5.3	37
2013-02-16	Inverness CT	W 3-0	49.1	1570	1563	39.04%	33.52%	27.45%	+0.23	+11.9	40
2013-02-16	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	49.1	1563	1570	27.45%	33.52%	39.04%	-0.23	-11.9	38
2013-02-16	Kilmarnock	L 0-3	51.1	1547	1541	38.89%	33.54%	27.57%	+0.23	-15.1	30
2013-02-16	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	51.1	1541	1547	27.57%	33.54%	38.89%	-0.23	+15.2	36
2013-02-16	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	52.6	1529	1530	37.85%	33.67%	28.48%	+0.19	+4.5	35
2013-02-16	@ Ross County	L 0-1	52.6	1530	1529	28.48%	33.67%	37.85%	-0.19	-4.5	36
2013-02-19	Celtic	D 1-1	71.1	1526	1785	13.48%	24.05%	62.47%	-1.23	+1.5	37
2013-02-19	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	71.1	1785	1526	62.47%	24.05%	13.48%	+1.23	-1.5	59
2013-02-19	Dundee United	L 0-1	58.8	1582	1578	38.57%	33.58%	27.85%	+0.21	-5.5	40
2013-02-19	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	58.8	1578	1582	27.85%	33.58%	38.57%	-0.21	+5.5	36
2013-02-23	Aberdeen	D 1-1	62.7	1556	1507	44.80%	32.27%	22.94%	+0.46	-0.6	37
2013-02-23	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	62.7	1507	1556	22.94%	32.27%	44.80%	-0.46	+0.6	37
2013-02-23	Inverness CT	L 2-3	65.8	1531	1551	35.27%	33.89%	30.84%	+0.09	-4.6	30
2013-02-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-2	65.8	1551	1531	30.84%	33.89%	35.27%	-0.09	+4.6	41
2013-02-23	Motherwell	W 3-0	50.5	1533	1576	31.92%	33.94%	34.14%	-0.04	+13.9	38
2013-02-23	@ Ross County	L 0-3	50.5	1576	1533	34.14%	33.94%	31.92%	+0.04	-13.9	40
2013-02-23	St. Mirren	W 1-0	48.7	1527	1480	44.56%	32.33%	23.10%	+0.45	+3.8	40
2013-02-23	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	48.7	1480	1527	23.10%	32.33%	44.56%	-0.45	-3.8	29
2013-02-24	Dundee	W 5-0	37.7	1783	1389	82.75%	11.06%	6.20%	+2.36	+3.4	62
2013-02-24	@ Celtic	L 0-5	37.7	1389	1783	6.20%	11.06%	82.75%	-2.36	-3.4	14
2013-02-24	Hibernian	D 2-2	69.4	1584	1500	49.40%	30.70%	19.90%	+0.65	-0.6	37
2013-02-24	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	69.4	1500	1584	19.90%	30.70%	49.40%	-0.65	+0.6	38
2013-02-26	Ross County	L 0-1	53.7	1508	1547	32.40%	33.95%	33.65%	-0.02	-4.9	37
2013-02-26	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	53.7	1547	1508	33.65%	33.95%	32.40%	+0.02	+4.9	41
2013-02-27	Celtic	W 2-1	71.2	1562	1787	15.24%	26.44%	58.32%	-1.04	+7.0	43
2013-02-27	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	71.2	1787	1562	58.32%	26.44%	15.24%	+1.04	-7.0	62
2013-02-27	Dundee United	D 0-0	60.2	1556	1583	34.14%	33.94%	31.92%	+0.04	-0.1	42
2013-02-27	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	60.2	1583	1556	31.92%	33.94%	34.14%	-0.04	+0.1	38
2013-02-27	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	49.0	1477	1527	30.91%	33.90%	35.19%	-0.08	+9.7	32
2013-02-27	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	49.0	1527	1477	35.19%	33.90%	30.91%	+0.08	-9.7	30
2013-02-27	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	67.5	1501	1555	30.40%	33.86%	35.74%	-0.10	+0.1	39
2013-02-27	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	67.5	1555	1501	35.74%	33.86%	30.40%	+0.10	-0.1	38
2013-02-27	St. Johnstone	D 2-2	63.2	1386	1531	20.55%	31.10%	48.35%	-0.61	+0.6	15
2013-02-27	@ Dundee	D 2-2	63.2	1531	1386	48.35%	31.10%	20.55%	+0.61	-0.6	41
2013-03-02	Inverness CT	D 0-0	59.3	1552	1555	37.56%	33.70%	28.73%	+0.17	-0.3	42
2013-03-02	@ Ross County	D 0-0	59.3	1555	1552	28.73%	33.70%	37.56%	-0.17	+0.3	43
2013-03-02	Motherwell	L 1-2	59.6	1517	1569	30.63%	33.88%	35.49%	-0.09	-4.4	30
2013-03-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	59.6	1569	1517	35.49%	33.88%	30.63%	+0.09	+4.4	46
2013-03-05	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	49.1	1513	1530	35.51%	33.88%	30.61%	+0.10	+8.9	33
2013-03-05	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	49.1	1530	1513	30.61%	33.88%	35.51%	-0.10	-8.9	41
2013-03-06	St. Mirren	W 2-1	55.2	1386	1486	24.85%	32.93%	42.22%	-0.36	+5.5	18
2013-03-06	@ Dundee	L 1-2	55.2	1486	1386	42.22%	32.93%	24.85%	+0.36	-5.5	32
2013-03-09	Celtic	W 3-2	76.1	1552	1780	15.04%	26.19%	58.76%	-1.06	+6.7	45
2013-03-09	@ Ross County	L 2-3	76.1	1780	1552	58.76%	26.19%	15.04%	+1.06	-6.6	62
2013-03-09	Dundee United	D 0-0	58.1	1481	1583	24.63%	32.86%	42.52%	-0.37	+0.5	33
2013-03-09	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	58.1	1583	1481	42.52%	32.86%	24.63%	+0.37	-0.5	39
2013-03-09	Inverness CT	D 1-1	59.1	1392	1556	19.08%	30.14%	50.78%	-0.71	+0.9	19
2013-03-09	@ Dundee	D 1-1	59.1	1556	1392	50.78%	30.14%	19.08%	+0.71	-0.9	44
2013-03-09	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	51.0	1522	1555	33.28%	33.95%	32.77%	+0.01	+9.3	44
2013-03-09	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	51.0	1555	1522	32.77%	33.95%	33.28%	-0.01	-9.3	38
2013-03-09	Motherwell	D 0-0	58.3	1503	1574	28.22%	33.64%	38.15%	-0.20	+0.3	38
2013-03-09	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	58.3	1574	1503	38.15%	33.64%	28.22%	+0.20	-0.3	47
2013-03-10	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	56.3	1501	1521	35.15%	33.90%	30.95%	+0.08	-0.1	40
2013-03-10	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	56.3	1521	1501	30.95%	33.90%	35.15%	-0.08	+0.1	34
2013-03-15	Hibernian	W 4-1	49.5	1574	1501	48.00%	31.23%	20.77%	+0.59	+8.0	50
2013-03-15	@ Motherwell	L 1-4	49.5	1501	1574	20.77%	31.23%	48.00%	-0.59	-8.0	40
2013-03-16	Aberdeen	W 4-3	61.1	1773	1503	71.51%	18.37%	10.12%	+1.68	+1.3	65
2013-03-16	@ Celtic	L 3-4	61.1	1503	1773	10.12%	18.37%	71.51%	-1.68	-1.3	38
2013-03-16	Ross County	W 2-1	59.9	1555	1558	37.54%	33.71%	28.76%	+0.17	+4.2	47
2013-03-16	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	59.9	1558	1555	28.76%	33.71%	37.54%	-0.17	-4.2	45
2013-03-17	Dundee	D 1-1	61.9	1582	1393	62.65%	23.94%	13.41%	+1.24	-1.5	40
2013-03-17	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	61.9	1393	1582	13.41%	23.94%	62.65%	-1.24	+1.5	20
2013-03-30	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	48.5	1502	1522	35.23%	33.89%	30.88%	+0.08	+8.9	41
2013-03-30	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	48.5	1522	1502	30.88%	33.89%	35.23%	-0.08	-8.9	34
2013-03-30	Inverness CT	L 1-2	57.9	1493	1559	28.84%	33.72%	37.45%	-0.17	-4.2	40
2013-03-30	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	57.9	1559	1493	37.45%	33.72%	28.84%	+0.17	+4.2	50
2013-03-30	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	57.2	1554	1546	39.25%	33.48%	27.27%	+0.24	-5.6	45
2013-03-30	@ Ross County	W 1-0	57.2	1546	1554	27.27%	33.48%	39.25%	-0.24	+5.6	41
2013-03-30	Motherwell	L 0-3	39.2	1394	1582	17.43%	28.79%	53.78%	-0.84	-8.0	20
2013-03-30	@ Dundee	W 3-0	39.2	1582	1394	53.78%	28.79%	17.43%	+0.84	+8.0	53
2013-03-31	Celtic	D 1-1	71.0	1481	1774	11.97%	21.64%	66.39%	-1.42	+1.6	34
2013-03-31	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	71.0	1774	1481	66.39%	21.64%	11.97%	+1.42	-1.6	66
2013-04-01	Dundee United	D 1-1	63.9	1531	1581	30.93%	33.90%	35.17%	-0.08	+0.1	45
2013-04-01	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	63.9	1581	1531	35.17%	33.90%	30.93%	+0.08	-0.1	41
2013-04-03	St. Mirren	D 1-1	61.9	1551	1483	47.45%	31.42%	21.13%	+0.57	-0.7	42
2013-04-03	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	61.9	1483	1551	21.13%	31.42%	47.45%	-0.57	+0.7	35
2013-04-05	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	59.1	1563	1531	42.57%	32.85%	24.59%	+0.37	-0.5	51
2013-04-05	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	59.1	1531	1563	24.59%	32.85%	42.57%	-0.37	+0.5	46
2013-04-06	Aberdeen	W 1-0	50.8	1581	1511	47.69%	31.34%	20.97%	+0.58	+3.5	44
2013-04-06	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	50.8	1511	1581	20.97%	31.34%	47.69%	-0.58	-3.5	41
2013-04-06	Dundee	L 1-2	60.4	1551	1386	59.63%	25.71%	14.66%	+1.10	-7.1	42
2013-04-06	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	60.4	1386	1551	14.66%	25.71%	59.63%	-1.10	+7.1	23
2013-04-06	Hibernian	W 3-0	41.8	1773	1489	72.94%	17.44%	9.61%	+1.76	+3.7	69
2013-04-06	@ Celtic	L 0-3	41.8	1489	1773	9.61%	17.44%	72.94%	-1.76	-3.7	40
2013-04-06	Ross County	W 4-2	59.9	1513	1549	32.91%	33.95%	33.14%	+0.00	+7.2	37
2013-04-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-4	59.9	1549	1513	33.14%	33.95%	32.91%	+0.00	-7.2	45
2013-04-06	St. Mirren	D 2-2	69.4	1589	1484	52.34%	29.46%	18.20%	+0.78	-0.7	54
2013-04-06	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	69.4	1484	1589	18.20%	29.46%	52.34%	-0.78	+0.7	36

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2013-04-19	Motherwell	L 1-3	60.8	1584	1589	37.43%	33.72%	28.85%	+0.17	-8.8	0
2013-04-19	@ Dundee United	W 3-1	60.8	1589	1584	28.85%	33.72%	37.43%	-0.17	+8.8	3
2013-04-20	Dundee	L 1-2	57.1	1484	1393	50.45%	30.28%	19.27%	+0.70	-6.3	0
2013-04-20	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	57.1	1393	1484	19.27%	30.28%	50.45%	-0.70	+6.3	3
2013-04-20	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	56.5	1543	1520	41.35%	33.11%	25.54%	+0.32	-5.8	0
2013-04-20	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	56.5	1520	1543	25.54%	33.11%	41.35%	-0.32	+5.8	3
2013-04-21	Inverness CT	W 4-1	50.1	1776	1563	65.37%	22.28%	12.35%	+1.37	+4.4	3
2013-04-21	@ Celtic	L 1-4	50.1	1563	1776	12.35%	22.28%	65.37%	-1.37	-4.4	0
2013-04-21	Ross County	D 2-2	68.1	1532	1541	36.65%	33.79%	29.56%	+0.14	-0.1	1
2013-04-21	@ St. Johnstone	D 2-2	68.1	1541	1532	29.56%	33.79%	36.65%	-0.14	+0.1	1
2013-04-22	Aberdeen	D 0-0	55.1	1485	1507	34.89%	33.91%	31.20%	+0.07	-0.1	1
2013-04-22	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	55.1	1507	1485	31.20%	33.91%	34.89%	-0.07	+0.1	1
2013-04-26	Dundee United	W 1-0	56.0	1542	1576	33.18%	33.95%	32.86%	+0.01	+4.9	4
2013-04-26	@ Ross County	L 0-1	56.0	1576	1542	32.86%	33.95%	33.18%	-0.01	-4.9	0
2013-04-27	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	52.4	1399	1526	22.24%	31.97%	45.78%	-0.50	+6.2	6
2013-04-27	@ Dundee	L 0-1	52.4	1526	1399	45.78%	31.97%	22.24%	+0.50	-6.2	3
2013-04-27	Inverness CT	W 1-0	54.8	1531	1558	34.20%	33.94%	31.86%	+0.05	+4.8	4
2013-04-27	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	54.8	1558	1531	31.86%	33.94%	34.20%	-0.05	-4.8	0
2013-04-27	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	53.4	1507	1538	33.72%	33.95%	32.34%	+0.03	+4.9	4
2013-04-27	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	53.4	1538	1507	32.34%	33.95%	33.72%	-0.03	-4.9	0
2013-04-27	St. Mirren	D 3-3	68.0	1485	1478	39.02%	33.52%	27.47%	+0.23	-0.2	2
2013-04-27	@ Hibernian	D 3-3	68.0	1478	1485	27.47%	33.52%	39.02%	-0.23	+0.2	1
2013-04-28	Celtic	W 3-1	67.3	1598	1781	17.73%	29.05%	53.22%	-0.81	+11.3	6
2013-04-28	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	67.3	1781	1598	53.22%	29.05%	17.73%	+0.81	-11.3	3
2013-05-04	Motherwell	W 4-3	71.2	1554	1609	30.23%	33.85%	35.91%	-0.11	+4.6	3
2013-05-04	@ Inverness CT	L 3-4	71.2	1609	1554	35.91%	33.85%	30.23%	+0.11	-4.6	6
2013-05-04	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	58.3	1571	1536	42.86%	32.78%	24.36%	+0.38	-5.9	0
2013-05-04	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	58.3	1536	1571	24.36%	32.78%	42.86%	-0.38	+5.9	7
2013-05-04	St. Mirren	W 3-0	43.0	1519	1478	43.79%	32.54%	23.67%	+0.42	+10.6	6
2013-05-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	43.0	1478	1519	23.67%	32.54%	43.79%	-0.42	-10.6	1
2013-05-05	Aberdeen	D 1-1	57.3	1406	1512	24.18%	32.72%	43.11%	-0.39	+0.5	7
2013-05-05	@ Dundee	D 1-1	57.3	1512	1406	43.11%	32.72%	24.18%	+0.39	-0.5	5
2013-05-05	Celtic	D 1-1	70.4	1546	1769	15.31%	26.52%	58.17%	-1.03	+1.3	5
2013-05-05	@ Ross County	D 1-1	70.4	1769	1546	58.17%	26.52%	15.31%	+1.03	-1.3	4
2013-05-11	Aberdeen	D 0-0	54.6	1468	1512	31.76%	33.93%	34.30%	-0.05	+0.1	2
2013-05-11	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	54.6	1512	1468	34.30%	33.93%	31.76%	+0.05	-0.1	6
2013-05-11	Dundee United	L 1-2	62.7	1558	1565	37.11%	33.75%	29.14%	+0.16	-5.0	3
2013-05-11	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	62.7	1565	1558	29.14%	33.75%	37.11%	-0.16	+5.0	3
2013-05-11	Kilmarnock	L 2-3	56.1	1406	1533	22.21%	31.96%	45.83%	-0.50	-3.3	7
2013-05-11	@ Dundee	W 3-2	56.1	1533	1406	45.83%	31.96%	22.21%	+0.50	+3.3	3
2013-05-11	St. Johnstone	W 4-0	44.3	1768	1542	66.77%	21.40%	11.83%	+1.44	+6.4	7
2013-05-11	@ Celtic	L 0-4	44.3	1542	1768	11.83%	21.40%	66.77%	-1.44	-6.5	7
2013-05-12	Hibernian	L 1-2	60.7	1530	1485	44.35%	32.39%	23.25%	+0.44	-5.7	6
2013-05-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	60.7	1485	1530	23.25%	32.39%	44.35%	-0.44	+5.7	5
2013-05-12	Ross County	W 2-0	49.5	1604	1548	45.86%	31.95%	22.19%	+0.51	+6.9	9
2013-05-12	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	49.5	1548	1604	22.19%	31.95%	45.86%	-0.51	-6.9	5
2013-05-15	Hibernian	L 1-3	57.7	1536	1490	44.39%	32.38%	23.23%	+0.44	-9.9	3
2013-05-15	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	57.7	1490	1536	23.23%	32.38%	44.39%	-0.44	+9.9	8
2013-05-18	Dundee	W 1-0	43.0	1500	1403	51.26%	29.93%	18.80%	+0.73	+3.1	11
2013-05-18	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	43.0	1403	1500	18.80%	29.93%	51.26%	-0.73	-3.1	7
2013-05-18	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	61.2	1512	1524	36.24%	33.83%	29.93%	+0.12	-0.2	7
2013-05-18	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	61.2	1524	1512	29.93%	33.83%	36.24%	-0.12	+0.2	7
2013-05-18	St. Mirren	L 1-3	56.9	1526	1468	46.12%	31.87%	22.01%	+0.52	-10.2	3
2013-05-18	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	56.9	1468	1526	22.01%	31.87%	46.12%	-0.52	+10.2	5
2013-05-19	Celtic	L 0-4	47.9	1570	1775	16.35%	27.71%	55.94%	-0.93	-9.7	3
2013-05-19	@ Dundee United	W 4-0	47.9	1775	1570	55.94%	27.71%	16.35%	+0.93	+9.7	10
2013-05-19	Inverness CT	W 1-0	54.3	1541	1553	36.31%	33.82%	29.87%	+0.13	+4.6	8
2013-05-19	@ Ross County	L 0-1	54.3	1553	1541	29.87%	33.82%	36.31%	-0.13	-4.6	3
2013-05-19	Motherwell	W 2-0	54.9	1536	1611	27.67%	33.55%	38.78%	-0.22	+10.4	10
2013-05-19	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	54.9	1611	1536	38.78%	33.55%	27.67%	+0.22	-10.4	9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2012-10-27	10.94%	Kilmarnock	1511	2	@ Celtic	1759	0
2	2012-11-24	12.36%	Inverness CT	1533	1	@ Celtic	1746	0
3	2012-12-29	13.24%	@ Hibernian	1500	1	Celtic	1764	0
4	2012-09-15	14.25%	@ St. Johnstone	1502	2	Celtic	1745	1
5	2013-04-06	14.66%	Dundee	1386	2	@ Kilmarnock	1551	1
6	2013-03-09	15.04%	@ Ross County	1552	3	Celtic	1780	2
7	2013-02-27	15.24%	@ Motherwell	1562	2	Celtic	1787	1
8	2012-09-02	17.07%	Dundee	1446	1	@ Heart of Midlothian	1569	0
9	2013-04-28	17.73%	@ Motherwell	1598	3	Celtic	1781	1
10	2012-12-30	18.54%	St. Mirren	1486	4	@ Dundee United	1587	3
11	2013-04-20	19.27%	Dundee	1393	2	@ St. Mirren	1484	1
12	2012-11-03	20.46%	@ Dundee	1415	1	Heart of Midlothian	1561	0
13	2012-10-26	21.06%	Hibernian	1498	4	@ Motherwell	1567	0
14	2012-09-22	21.21%	Heart of Midlothian	1552	3	@ Dundee United	1619	0
15	2012-08-25	21.75%	@ Kilmarnock	1500	3	Dundee United	1631	1
16	2013-05-18	22.01%	St. Mirren	1468	3	@ Kilmarnock	1526	1
17	2012-09-29	22.24%	Kilmarnock	1513	3	@ Heart of Midlothian	1569	1
18	2013-04-27	22.24%	@ Dundee	1399	1	Heart of Midlothian	1526	0
19	2013-05-15	23.23%	Hibernian	1490	3	@ Kilmarnock	1536	1
20	2013-05-12	23.25%	Hibernian	1485	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1530	1
21	2012-11-17	24.10%	@ Dundee	1422	3	Hibernian	1530	1
22	2012-08-18	24.20%	Hibernian	1475	2	@ St. Mirren	1511	1
23	2013-05-04	24.36%	St. Johnstone	1536	1	@ Dundee United	1571	0
24	2013-03-06	24.85%	@ Dundee	1386	2	St. Mirren	1486	1
25	2012-11-27	25.21%	Motherwell	1563	2	@ Dundee United	1589	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-10-26	22.86	Hibernian	4	1498	21.06%	@ Motherwell	0	1567	47.55%	31.39%
2	2012-09-29	20.69	@ Inverness CT	4	1508	25.49%	Dundee United	0	1602	41.42%	33.10%
3	2012-09-22	17.44	Heart of Midlothian	3	1552	21.21%	@ Dundee United	0	1619	47.32%	31.47%
4	2012-11-18	16.33	Motherwell	5	1547	28.03%	@ Inverness CT	1	1549	38.36%	33.61%
5	2012-10-27	15.61	Kilmarnock	2	1511	10.94%	@ Celtic	0	1759	69.20%	19.86%
6	2013-02-16	15.15	Kilmarnock	3	1541	27.57%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1547	38.89%	33.54%
7	2013-02-23	13.86	@ Ross County	3	1533	31.92%	Motherwell	0	1576	34.14%	33.94%
8	2012-11-10	12.36	@ Kilmarnock	3	1521	37.41%	Ross County	0	1526	28.87%	33.72%
9	2013-01-19	12.16	Ross County	4	1505	29.94%	@ St. Mirren	1	1492	36.23%	33.83%
10	2013-02-16	11.92	@ Motherwell	3	1570	39.04%	Inverness CT	0	1563	27.45%	33.52%
11	2012-11-10	11.34	Aberdeen	4	1528	33.40%	@ St. Mirren	1	1490	32.65%	33.95%
12	2013-04-28	11.33	@ Motherwell	3	1598	17.73%	Celtic	1	1781	53.22%	29.05%
13	2012-12-08	11.23	@ Inverness CT	3	1545	41.56%	Hibernian	0	1520	25.37%	33.07%
14	2012-11-28	10.77	Celtic	4	1738	52.69%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1559	18.01%	29.30%
15	2013-01-19	10.67	@ Inverness CT	3	1562	43.57%	Aberdeen	0	1523	23.83%	32.60%
16	2013-05-04	10.62	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1519	43.79%	St. Mirren	0	1478	23.67%	32.54%
17	2013-05-19	10.41	@ St. Johnstone	2	1536	27.67%	Motherwell	0	1611	38.78%	33.55%
18	2012-12-15	10.33	Kilmarnock	2	1525	28.02%	@ Aberdeen	0	1527	38.37%	33.61%
19	2012-10-20	10.30	Celtic	5	1748	60.17%	@ St. Mirren	0	1509	14.43%	25.40%
20	2012-08-25	10.27	@ Kilmarnock	3	1500	21.75%	Dundee United	1	1631	46.51%	31.74%
21	2012-10-06	10.24	@ Hibernian	3	1492	45.20%	Dundee	0	1440	22.65%	32.15%
22	2013-05-18	10.21	St. Mirren	3	1468	22.01%	@ Kilmarnock	1	1526	46.12%	31.87%
23	2012-09-29	10.15	Kilmarnock	3	1513	22.24%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1569	45.79%	31.97%
24	2013-05-15	9.93	Hibernian	3	1490	23.23%	@ Kilmarnock	1	1536	44.39%	32.38%
25	2012-09-15	9.87	@ St. Mirren	2	1507	30.23%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1562	35.92%	33.85%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-09-01	76.9	@ Celtic	2	1746	70.07%	Hibernian	2	1490	10.63%	19.30%
2	2012-12-15	76.5	@ Dundee United	4	1593	43.08%	Inverness CT	4	1557	24.20%	32.72%
3	2013-03-09	76.1	@ Ross County	3	1552	15.04%	Celtic	2	1780	58.76%	26.19%
4	2012-11-04	74.9	@ Dundee United	2	1585	19.55%	Celtic	2	1743	49.98%	30.47%
5	2012-11-16	74.0	@ Dundee United	3	1586	45.24%	Kilmarnock	3	1534	22.62%	32.14%
6	2012-09-23	72.6	@ Aberdeen	3	1513	28.99%	Motherwell	3	1578	37.27%	33.73%
7	2012-12-30	71.9	St. Mirren	4	1486	18.54%	@ Dundee United	3	1587	51.73%	29.73%
8	2013-02-27	71.2	@ Motherwell	2	1562	15.24%	Celtic	1	1787	58.32%	26.44%
9	2013-05-04	71.2	@ Inverness CT	4	1554	30.23%	Motherwell	3	1609	35.91%	33.85%
10	2012-11-11	71.1	@ Celtic	1	1742	66.17%	St. Johnstone	1	1522	12.05%	21.78%
11	2013-02-19	71.1	@ St. Johnstone	1	1526	13.48%	Celtic	1	1785	62.47%	24.05%
12	2013-03-31	71.0	@ St. Mirren	1	1481	11.97%	Celtic	1	1774	66.39%	21.64%
13	2013-05-05	70.4	@ Ross County	1	1546	15.31%	Celtic	1	1769	58.17%	26.52%
14	2012-09-15	70.2	@ St. Johnstone	2	1502	14.25%	Celtic	1	1745	60.59%	25.16%
15	2012-12-29	70.0	@ Motherwell	2	1579	43.58%	Kilmarnock	2	1539	23.82%	32.60%
16	2012-08-18	69.6	@ Ross County	1	1528	15.71%	Celtic	1	1744	57.29%	27.00%
17	2013-02-24	69.4	@ Dundee United	2	1584	49.40%	Hibernian	2	1500	19.90%	30.70%
18	2013-04-06	69.4	@ Motherwell	2	1589	52.34%	St. Mirren	2	1484	18.20%	29.46%
19	2012-08-18	69.2	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1570	44.97%	Inverness CT	2	1520	22.81%	32.22%
20	2013-01-02	69.2	@ Aberdeen	2	1523	29.82%	Dundee United	2	1581	36.37%	33.82%
21	2012-10-27	68.8	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1562	43.73%	Ross County	2	1521	23.71%	32.56%
22	2012-12-15	68.3	@ St. Johnstone	2	1523	33.25%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1556	32.80%	33.95%
23	2013-02-02	68.2	@ Ross County	2	1522	33.57%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1553	32.49%	33.95%
24	2012-12-26	68.1	@ Inverness CT	2	1563	48.70%	St. Mirren	2	1485	20.33%	30.97%
25	2013-04-21	68.1	@ St. Johnstone	2	1532	36.65%	Ross County	2	1541	29.56%	33.79%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-02-24	37.7	@ Celtic	5	1783	82.75%	Dundee	0	1389	6.20%	11.06%
2	2013-03-30	39.2	Motherwell	3	1582	53.78%	@ Dundee	0	1394	17.43%	28.79%
3	2012-10-06	40.1	@ Hibernian	3	1492	45.20%	Dundee	0	1440	22.65%	32.15%
4	2012-10-27	40.5	@ Aberdeen	2	1527	52.40%	Dundee	0	1421	18.17%	29.43%
5	2012-08-19	41.2	@ Dundee United	3	1625	60.04%	Dundee	0	1457	14.49%	25.47%
6	2012-12-09	41.6	Dundee United	3	1584	49.98%	@ Dundee	0	1426	19.55%	30.47%
7	2013-02-08	41.7	Ross County	2	1522	45.33%	@ Dundee	0	1399	22.56%	32.11%
8	2013-04-06	41.8	@ Celtic	3	1773	72.94%	Hibernian	0	1489	9.61%	17.44%
9	2012-12-26	42.1	Celtic	2	1761	72.48%	@ Dundee	0	1412	9.77%	17.74%
10	2013-02-15	42.1	@ Aberdeen	1	1504	53.15%	Dundee	0	1392	17.76%	29.09%
11	2012-09-22	42.2	@ Celtic	2	1738	73.34%	Dundee	0	1450	9.47%	17.18%
12	2012-12-22	42.7	@ Celtic	4	1756	69.48%	Ross County	0	1505	10.84%	19.68%
13	2013-01-30	42.7	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1551	57.78%	Dundee	0	1401	15.49%	26.74%
14	2012-08-05	42.9	@ Dundee United	3	1618	56.08%	Hibernian	0	1482	16.28%	27.64%
15	2013-01-02	42.9	@ St. Johnstone	1	1515	53.16%	Dundee	0	1403	17.76%	29.08%
16	2013-05-04	43.0	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1519	43.79%	St. Mirren	0	1478	23.67%	32.54%
17	2013-05-18	43.0	@ Hibernian	1	1500	51.26%	Dundee	0	1403	18.80%	29.93%
18	2012-12-22	43.2	@ Inverness CT	4	1557	56.53%	Dundee	1	1418	16.06%	27.40%
19	2012-12-15	43.8	@ Celtic	2	1753	71.55%	St. Mirren	0	1483	10.10%	18.34%
20	2013-05-11	44.3	@ Celtic	4	1768	66.77%	St. Johnstone	0	1542	11.83%	21.40%
21	2012-12-08	46.2	@ Inverness CT	3	1545	41.56%	Hibernian	0	1520	25.37%	33.07%
22	2013-01-19	46.2	@ Inverness CT	3	1562	43.57%	Aberdeen	0	1523	23.83%	32.60%
23	2012-10-20	46.3	Celtic	5	1748	60.17%	@ St. Mirren	0	1509	14.43%	25.40%
24	2013-01-22	46.3	@ Celtic	4	1763	61.20%	Dundee United	0	1585	14.00%	24.80%
25	2012-11-10	46.7	@ Kilmarnock	3	1521	37.41%	Ross County	0	1526	28.87%	33.72%