2013-14 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

99 points · 45th Title

Last Title: 2012-13

Relegated

Heart of Midlothian

23 pts

Hibernian · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Heart of Midlothian

3.68 points above expected

23 points · 19.32 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dundee United

2.22 points below expected

58 points · 60.22 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	28	4	1	88	82	16	+66	72.92	+15.08
2	Aberdeen	33	19	6	8	63	47	30	+17	50.59	+12.41
3	Motherwell	33	19	3	11	60	55	50	+5	50.07	+9.93
4	Dundee United	33	15	9	9	54	57	40	+17	51.51	+2.49
5	Inverness CT	33	15	7	11	52	40	35	+5	49.73	+2.27
6	St. Johnstone	33	14	6	13	48	41	34	+7	47.58	+0.42
7	Hibernian	33	8	10	15	34	29	44	-15	40.87	-6.87
8	Kilmarnock	33	9	6	18	33	41	57	-16	39.48	-6.48
9	Ross County	33	8	7	18	31	38	57	-19	39.10	-8.10
10	St. Mirren	33	8	7	18	31	34	55	-21	36.19	-5.19
11	Partick Thistle	33	6	12	15	30	37	57	-20	37.11	-7.11
12	Heart of Midlothian*	33	7	7	19	13	33	59	-26	20.06	-7.06

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	38	31	6	1	99	102	25	+77	99.24	-0.24
2	Motherwell	38	22	4	12	70	64	60	+4	69.04	+0.96
3	Aberdeen	38	20	8	10	68	53	38	+15	66.88	+1.12
4	Dundee United	38	16	10	12	58	65	50	+15	60.22	-2.22
5	Inverness CT	38	16	9	13	57	44	44	0	57.49	-0.49
6	St. Johnstone	38	15	8	15	53	48	42	+6	53.91	-0.91
7	Ross County	38	11	7	20	40	44	63	-19	41.15	-1.15
8	St. Mirren	38	10	9	19	39	39	58	-19	40.02	-1.02
9	Kilmarnock	38	11	6	21	39	45	66	-21	38.60	+0.40
10	Partick Thistle	38	8	14	16	38	47	65	-18	37.60	+0.40
11	Hibernian Relegated	38	8	11	19	35	31	51	-20	36.84	-1.84
12	Heart of Midlothian* Relegated	38	10	8	20	23	45	65	-20	19.32	+3.68

* Point deductions: Heart of Midlothian (-15 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Heart of Midlothian	23	19.32	+3.68
2	Aberdeen	68	66.88	+1.12
3	Motherwell	70	69.04	+0.96
4	Kilmarnock	39	38.60	+0.40
5	Partick Thistle	38	37.60	+0.40

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dundee United	58	60.22	-2.22
2	Hibernian	35	36.84	-1.84
3	Ross County	40	41.15	-1.15
4	St. Mirren	39	40.02	-1.02
5	St. Johnstone	53	53.91	-0.91

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	15	Nov 9 – Feb 22	1 in 266
2	Motherwell	6	Dec 14 – Jan 11	1 in 128
3	Heart of Midlothian	4	Apr 5 – May 4	1 in 64
4	Dundee United	5	Nov 9 – Dec 21	1 in 21
5	Aberdeen	4	Dec 29 – Jan 10	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hibernian	6	Mar 15 – Apr 27	1 in 183
2	Ross County	5	Dec 7 – Dec 29	1 in 50
3	Kilmarnock	4	Apr 5 – May 4	1 in 47
4	Dundee United	3	Dec 26 – Jan 1	1 in 44
5	Heart of Midlothian	4	Oct 5 – Nov 2	1 in 35

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	26	Aug 3 – Feb 22	1 in 79
2	Heart of Midlothian	6	Mar 30 – May 4	1 in 36
3	Aberdeen	9	Feb 25 – Apr 26	1 in 34
4	St. Mirren	5	Mar 29 – May 3	1 in 18
5	Inverness CT	6	Aug 3 – Sep 14	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hibernian	13	Feb 22 – May 10	1 in 238
2	Dundee United	7	Dec 26 – Feb 1	1 in 101
3	Kilmarnock	9	Aug 3 – Oct 5	1 in 34
4	Ross County	9	Oct 19 – Dec 29	1 in 27
5	Heart of Midlothian	10	Nov 23 – Jan 18	1 in 26

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	1869	99	+16	11	11.4	-0.4
Motherwell	1590	70	+3	10	6.0	+4.0
Aberdeen	1618	68	-2	5	6.6	-1.6
Dundee United	1584	58	-10	4	6.2	-2.2
Inverness CT	1562	57	-2	5	5.6	-0.6
St. Johnstone	1576	53	-6	5	6.0	-1.0
Ross County	1466	40	+0	9	6.8	+2.2
St. Mirren	1470	39	+11	8	7.4	+0.6
Kilmarnock	1453	39	-31	6	7.0	-1.0
Heart of Midlothian	1471	38	+40	10	7.1	+2.9
Partick Thistle	1458	38	+15	8	6.5	+1.5
Hibernian	1416	35	-35	1	6.8	-5.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DU	HOM	HIB	IC	KIL	MOT	PT	RC	SJ	SM
Aberdeen	—	1-0-3 2.83	3-1-0 5.48	0-1-2 5.20	3-0-0 5.01	2-1-1 5.68	3-0-0 5.18	1-1-2 5.68	2-0-1 4.91	1-1-1 5.30	2-2-0 5.99	2-1-0 5.39
Celtic	3-0-1 8.37	—	3-1-0 8.33	3-0-0 6.84	2-1-0 6.63	3-1-0 8.62	3-0-0 6.82	3-1-0 8.36	3-0-0 6.99	2-1-0 6.74	3-1-0 8.71	3-0-0 7.33
Dundee United	0-1-3 5.60	0-1-3 2.87	—	2-1-0 5.47	1-2-0 4.72	1-2-1 5.87	3-0-0 5.46	3-1-0 5.80	1-2-0 5.23	2-0-1 5.33	1-0-3 5.88	2-0-1 5.86
Heart of Midlothian	2-1-0 3.15	0-0-3 1.64	0-1-2 2.88	—	3-0-1 4.97	0-1-2 2.84	1-0-3 5.06	0-0-3 2.44	1-1-2 5.50	2-1-1 5.16	0-1-2 3.05	1-2-1 5.35
Hibernian	0-0-3 3.31	0-1-2 1.80	0-2-1 3.59	1-0-3 6.12	—	0-1-2 3.17	2-1-1 5.40	0-1-2 3.51	1-2-1 5.83	2-1-1 5.65	1-1-1 3.26	1-1-2 6.00
Inverness CT	1-1-2 5.40	0-1-3 2.61	1-2-1 5.20	2-1-0 5.50	2-1-0 5.16	—	2-0-1 4.95	1-0-3 5.35	1-1-1 5.58	2-0-1 5.23	3-0-1 5.69	1-2-0 5.34
Kilmarnock	0-0-3 3.14	0-0-3 1.64	0-0-3 2.87	3-0-1 6.02	1-1-2 5.68	1-0-2 3.37	—	1-0-2 3.20	1-2-1 5.98	2-1-1 5.65	0-1-2 3.57	2-1-1 5.73
Motherwell	2-1-1 5.41	0-1-3 2.82	0-1-3 5.28	3-0-0 5.92	2-1-0 4.80	3-0-1 5.72	2-0-1 5.13	—	3-0-0 5.48	3-0-0 5.27	2-0-2 5.73	2-0-1 5.25
Partick Thistle	1-0-2 3.42	0-0-3 1.50	0-2-1 3.11	2-1-1 5.58	1-2-1 5.24	1-1-1 2.75	1-2-1 5.10	0-0-3 2.86	—	1-2-1 5.34	0-2-1 2.99	1-2-1 5.68
Ross County	1-1-1 3.03	0-1-2 1.72	1-0-2 3.01	1-1-2 5.92	1-1-2 5.43	1-0-2 3.10	1-1-2 5.43	0-0-3 3.06	1-2-1 5.74	—	2-0-1 3.04	2-0-2 5.63
St. Johnstone	0-2-2 5.09	0-1-3 2.51	3-0-1 5.19	2-1-0 5.29	1-1-1 5.06	1-0-3 5.38	2-1-0 4.74	2-0-2 5.35	1-2-0 5.34	1-0-2 5.29	—	2-0-1 5.16
St. Mirren	0-1-2 2.94	0-0-3 1.21	1-0-2 2.50	1-2-1 5.74	2-1-1 5.09	0-2-1 2.99	1-1-2 5.34	1-0-2 3.07	1-2-1 5.40	2-0-2 5.45	1-0-2 3.16	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.76	+9.8
Allowed	0.64	-12.7
Differential	0.87	+6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.70%	8.77%	7.02%	3.29%	2.41%	0.88%	28.07%
1	8.77%	10.96%	8.77%	2.63%	1.54%	0.66%	33.33%
2	7.02%	8.77%	3.07%	1.10%	0.88%	0.44%	21.27%
3	3.29%	2.63%	1.10%	2.19%	0.66%	—	9.87%
4	2.41%	1.54%	0.88%	0.66%	—	—	5.48%
5+	0.88%	0.66%	0.44%	—	—	—	1.97%
Total	28.07%	33.33%	21.27%	9.87%	5.48%	1.97%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.38	+0.00
SD	1.26	1.26	1.91
CV	0.91	0.91	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
1	18.42%	13.16%	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	42.11%
2	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	26.32%
3	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	39.47%	39.47%	7.89%	10.53%	—	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.00	+0.39
SD	1.05	1.16	1.52
CV	0.76	1.16	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	15.79%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	26.32%
2	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	23.68%
3	10.53%	7.89%	—	5.26%	—	—	23.68%
4	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	15.79%
Total	55.26%	28.95%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.68	0.66	+2.03
SD	1.45	0.88	1.64
CV	0.54	1.34	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	1	0	-1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	26.32%
1	5.26%	15.79%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	—	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
3	—	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	18.42%	47.37%	21.05%	10.53%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.71	1.32	+0.39
SD	1.56	0.99	2.02
CV	0.91	0.75	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	21.05%	—	2.63%	—	34.21%
1	2.63%	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	5.26%	—	31.58%
2	5.26%	10.53%	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	23.68%
3	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	15.79%	28.95%	36.84%	5.26%	13.16%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.71	-0.53
SD	1.20	1.21	1.80
CV	1.02	0.71	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	18.42%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	—	50.00%
1	2.63%	13.16%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	23.68%
2	5.26%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	42.11%	21.05%	13.16%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.82	1.34	-0.53
SD	0.95	1.05	1.45
CV	1.17	0.78	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	5.26%	31.58%
1	13.16%	5.26%	13.16%	—	—	—	31.58%
2	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	26.32%
3	7.89%	—	—	—	2.63%	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	47.37%	18.42%	23.68%	—	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	1.16	+0.00
SD	1.00	1.52	2.00
CV	0.86	1.31	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	23.68%
1	5.26%	10.53%	23.68%	2.63%	2.63%	—	44.74%
2	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	26.32%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	26.32%	34.21%	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.74	-0.55
SD	0.98	1.33	1.86
CV	0.83	0.77	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	18.42%
1	18.42%	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	28.95%
2	5.26%	18.42%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	28.95%	26.32%	15.79%	21.05%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.58	+0.11
SD	1.28	1.45	2.17
CV	0.76	0.92	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	13.16%	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	28.95%
1	—	26.32%	5.26%	—	2.63%	5.26%	39.47%
2	2.63%	7.89%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	15.79%
3	—	5.26%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	10.53%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	55.26%	7.89%	10.53%	10.53%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.71	-0.47
SD	1.15	1.39	1.70
CV	0.93	0.81	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	23.68%
1	10.53%	7.89%	21.05%	2.63%	5.26%	—	47.37%
2	—	10.53%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	18.42%
3	5.26%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	26.32%	36.84%	7.89%	10.53%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	1.66	-0.50
SD	0.92	1.19	1.57
CV	0.79	0.72	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	36.84%
1	10.53%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	26.32%
2	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	15.79%
3	5.26%	2.63%	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	15.79%
4	5.26%	—	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.11%	28.95%	13.16%	7.89%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	1.11	+0.16
SD	1.27	1.27	1.92
CV	1.00	1.15	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	—	44.74%
1	2.63%	13.16%	10.53%	—	—	—	26.32%
2	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	31.58%	26.32%	15.79%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.53	-0.50
SD	1.20	1.16	1.77
CV	1.17	0.76	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1869	99	72.92	+26.08	100.0%	44	61	69	74	77	83	87
Aberdeen	1618	68	50.59	+17.41	95.0%	30	37	45	51	55	62	69
Motherwell	1590	70	50.07	+19.93	96.0%	29	39	46	50	54	60	64
Dundee United	1584	58	51.51	+6.49	63.0%	31	38	48	50	56	62	68
St. Johnstone	1576	53	47.58	+5.42	52.0%	28	35	42	47	53	59	65
Inverness CT	1562	57	49.73	+7.27	61.0%	31	37	44	50	55	62	65
Heart of Midlothian	1471	23	20.06	+2.94	15.0%	6	11	15	19	25	31	38
St. Mirren	1470	39	36.19	+2.81	24.0%	23	25	32	36	40	47	56
Ross County	1466	40	39.10	+0.90	15.0%	21	24	33	39	45	51	58
Partick Thistle	1458	38	37.11	+0.89	17.0%	13	26	32	37	42	49	53
Kilmarnock	1453	39	39.48	-0.48	17.0%	24	27	35	39	44	52	58
Hibernian	1416	35	40.87	-5.87	20.0%	23	29	36	41	45	52	62

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+11.40%

No Edge

44.74%21.93%33.33%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 39.79 Elo pts.

150 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.28 goals

Neutral

-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.1

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

95%

Celtic, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.76/gm

Runaway

00.381/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.77 * Some Luck: 5.77 to 8.65 * Lucky: 8.65 to 11.54 * Wild Swing: 11.54 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.32 * Close: 1.32 to 1.97 * Off: 1.97 to 2.63 * Way Off: 2.63 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.13 * A Surprise: 1.13 to 1.81 * Several Surprises: 1.81 to 2.49 * Many Surprises: 2.49 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

8.03 points

Some Luck

07.2118

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.17

Pinpoint

01.644

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Celtic

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

15.00%

Ross County

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 2

As Expected

01.12

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 118.99

2.49

Wide Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

68%

Clear Edge

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

92%

Clear Edge

50%91%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Occasional

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.27

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.72

Strong Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

25%

Upset-Prone

0%27%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Shaky Favorites

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.76

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.36

Very Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.056

Well Within Noise

00.1150.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	95.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	19.00%	12.00%	20.00%	18.00%	11.00%	12.00%	3.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	—
Aberdeen	1.00%	19.00%	24.00%	18.00%	11.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	2.00%	—	3.00%	—
Dundee United	3.00%	24.00%	16.00%	19.00%	20.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	—
Inverness CT	—	18.00%	19.00%	16.00%	11.00%	15.00%	3.00%	11.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
St. Johnstone	—	12.00%	18.00%	12.00%	10.00%	17.00%	6.00%	8.00%	12.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—
Ross County	—	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	15.00%	12.00%	18.00%	15.00%	13.00%	5.00%
St. Mirren	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	13.00%	17.00%	13.00%	34.00%	4.00%
Kilmarnock	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	8.00%	9.00%	17.00%	13.00%	13.00%	24.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Partick Thistle	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	12.00%	14.00%	13.00%	20.00%	21.00%	2.00%
Hibernian	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	5.00%	6.00%	16.00%	15.00%	14.00%	15.00%	16.00%	7.00%	1.00%
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	11.00%	86.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	69.72%	28.68%	1.60%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	—	29.49%	62.63%	7.36%	0.52%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee United	—	0.70%	6.86%	64.14%	23.88%	4.42%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Inverness CT	—	0.09%	1.79%	22.73%	56.87%	18.52%	—	—	—	—	—	—
St. Johnstone	—	—	0.04%	4.17%	18.73%	77.06%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ross County	—	—	—	—	—	—	44.76%	25.70%	16.01%	9.24%	4.29%	—
St. Mirren	—	—	—	—	—	—	27.06%	27.99%	20.90%	15.47%	8.58%	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	—	—	—	14.31%	20.79%	25.34%	22.52%	17.04%	—
Partick Thistle	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.22%	14.54%	21.24%	27.73%	28.27%	—
Hibernian	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.65%	10.98%	16.51%	25.04%	41.82%	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	100.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	97.00%	3.00%	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Dundee United	100%	—	—
Inverness CT	99.00%	1.00%	—
Motherwell	100%	—	—
St. Johnstone	99.00%	1.00%	—
Hibernian	91.00%	6.00%	3.00%
Kilmarnock	85.00%	12.00%	3.00%
Partick Thistle	74.00%	23.00%	3.00%
Ross County	83.00%	13.00%	4.00%
St. Mirren	68.00%	28.00%	4.00%
Heart of Midlothian	4.00%	13.00%	83.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Dundee United	100%	—	—
Hibernian	58.18%	41.82%	—
Inverness CT	100%	—	—
Kilmarnock	82.96%	17.04%	—
Motherwell	100%	—	—
Partick Thistle	71.73%	28.27%	—
Ross County	95.71%	4.29%	—
St. Johnstone	100%	—	—
St. Mirren	91.42%	8.58%	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2013-08-02	Dundee United	D 0-0	61.3	1506	1549	38.14%	23.26%	38.60%	-0.02	+0.0	1
2013-08-02	@ Partick Thistle	D 0-0	61.3	1549	1506	38.60%	23.26%	38.14%	+0.02	-0.0	1
2013-08-03	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	57.3	1520	1523	43.79%	23.15%	33.07%	+0.24	+6.4	3
2013-08-03	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	57.3	1523	1520	33.07%	23.15%	43.79%	-0.24	-6.4	0
2013-08-03	Ross County	W 2-1	57.1	1695	1540	62.73%	20.47%	16.80%	+1.30	+3.5	3
2013-08-03	@ Celtic	L 1-2	57.1	1540	1695	16.80%	20.47%	62.73%	-1.30	-3.5	0
2013-08-03	St. Mirren	W 3-0	44.1	1542	1500	49.75%	22.73%	27.52%	+0.54	+16.0	3
2013-08-03	@ Inverness CT	L 0-3	44.1	1500	1542	27.52%	22.73%	49.75%	-0.54	-16.0	0
2013-08-04	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	51.7	1540	1527	45.97%	23.03%	30.99%	+0.35	+6.5	3
2013-08-04	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	51.7	1527	1540	30.99%	23.03%	45.97%	-0.35	-6.5	0
2013-08-04	Motherwell	L 0-1	53.9	1514	1575	35.68%	23.23%	41.08%	-0.14	-7.2	0
2013-08-04	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	53.9	1575	1514	41.08%	23.23%	35.68%	+0.14	+7.2	3
2013-08-10	Inverness CT	L 0-1	56.7	1549	1558	43.03%	23.18%	33.79%	+0.21	-8.4	1
2013-08-10	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	56.7	1558	1549	33.79%	23.18%	43.03%	-0.21	+8.4	6
2013-08-10	Partick Thistle	L 1-4	55.6	1536	1506	48.27%	22.86%	28.87%	+0.47	-21.2	0
2013-08-10	@ Ross County	W 4-1	55.6	1506	1536	28.87%	22.86%	48.27%	-0.47	+21.2	4
2013-08-11	Aberdeen	L 1-3	61.7	1582	1526	51.58%	22.53%	25.89%	+0.64	-15.9	3
2013-08-11	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	61.7	1526	1582	25.89%	22.53%	51.58%	-0.64	+15.9	6
2013-08-11	Hibernian	W 1-0	50.2	1521	1507	46.08%	23.03%	30.89%	+0.36	+6.4	3
2013-08-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	50.2	1507	1521	30.89%	23.03%	46.08%	-0.36	-6.4	0
2013-08-11	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	61.6	1517	1547	39.98%	23.25%	36.76%	+0.06	-0.1	1
2013-08-11	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	61.6	1547	1517	36.76%	23.25%	39.98%	-0.06	+0.1	4
2013-08-16	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	66.1	1527	1527	44.22%	23.13%	32.65%	+0.27	-0.5	5
2013-08-16	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	66.1	1527	1527	32.65%	23.13%	44.22%	-0.27	+0.5	4
2013-08-17	Celtic	L 0-2	50.6	1542	1699	24.01%	22.25%	53.74%	-0.78	-9.8	6
2013-08-17	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	50.6	1699	1542	53.74%	22.25%	24.01%	+0.78	+9.8	6
2013-08-17	Dundee United	D 1-1	65.6	1501	1541	38.58%	23.26%	38.16%	+0.00	-0.0	1
2013-08-17	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	65.6	1541	1501	38.16%	23.26%	38.58%	+0.00	+0.0	2
2013-08-17	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	64.1	1484	1516	39.71%	23.26%	37.04%	+0.05	-0.1	1
2013-08-17	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	64.1	1516	1484	37.04%	23.26%	39.71%	-0.05	+0.1	2
2013-08-17	Motherwell	W 2-0	50.9	1566	1566	44.20%	23.13%	32.67%	+0.26	+12.7	9
2013-08-17	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	50.9	1566	1566	32.67%	23.13%	44.20%	-0.26	-12.7	3
2013-08-17	Ross County	W 4-0	44.8	1547	1515	48.48%	22.85%	28.67%	+0.48	+21.7	7
2013-08-17	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-4	44.8	1515	1547	28.67%	22.85%	48.48%	-0.48	-21.6	0
2013-08-24	Aberdeen	W 2-1	58.0	1528	1532	43.61%	23.15%	33.24%	+0.24	+6.4	7
2013-08-24	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	58.0	1532	1528	33.24%	23.15%	43.61%	-0.24	-6.4	6
2013-08-24	Hibernian	L 1-2	60.3	1516	1501	46.35%	23.01%	30.65%	+0.37	-8.4	2
2013-08-24	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	60.3	1501	1516	30.65%	23.01%	46.35%	-0.37	+8.4	4
2013-08-24	Inverness CT	D 2-2	78.7	1709	1579	60.07%	21.11%	18.82%	+1.13	-1.4	7
2013-08-24	@ Celtic	D 2-2	78.7	1579	1709	18.82%	21.11%	60.07%	-1.13	+1.3	10
2013-08-24	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	51.6	1554	1527	47.81%	22.90%	29.29%	+0.44	+6.2	6
2013-08-24	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	51.6	1527	1554	29.29%	22.90%	47.81%	-0.44	-6.2	5
2013-08-24	St. Johnstone	W 4-0	48.9	1541	1569	40.35%	23.25%	36.40%	+0.08	+26.2	5
2013-08-24	@ Dundee United	L 0-4	48.9	1569	1541	36.40%	23.25%	40.35%	-0.08	-26.3	7
2013-08-24	St. Mirren	W 3-0	43.0	1493	1484	45.50%	23.06%	31.44%	+0.33	+17.9	3
2013-08-24	@ Ross County	L 0-3	43.0	1484	1493	31.44%	23.06%	45.50%	-0.33	-17.9	1
2013-08-31	Celtic	L 0-1	55.2	1567	1707	25.78%	22.52%	51.71%	-0.67	-5.5	5
2013-08-31	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	55.2	1707	1567	51.71%	22.52%	25.78%	+0.67	+5.5	10
2013-08-31	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	48.5	1580	1534	50.30%	22.67%	27.02%	+0.57	+10.9	13
2013-08-31	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	48.5	1534	1580	27.02%	22.67%	50.30%	-0.57	-10.9	7
2013-08-31	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	56.0	1560	1508	51.03%	22.59%	26.37%	+0.61	+5.3	9
2013-08-31	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	56.0	1508	1560	26.37%	22.59%	51.03%	-0.61	-5.3	2
2013-08-31	Partick Thistle	L 1-2	56.3	1466	1521	36.51%	23.25%	40.24%	-0.10	-6.9	1
2013-08-31	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	56.3	1521	1466	40.24%	23.25%	36.51%	+0.10	+6.9	8
2013-08-31	Ross County	D 0-0	60.1	1509	1511	43.92%	23.14%	32.93%	+0.25	-0.5	5
2013-08-31	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	60.1	1511	1509	32.93%	23.14%	43.92%	-0.25	+0.5	4
2013-08-31	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	61.8	1526	1542	41.93%	23.21%	34.85%	+0.16	-0.3	7
2013-08-31	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	61.8	1542	1526	34.85%	23.21%	41.93%	-0.16	+0.3	8
2013-09-14	Aberdeen	L 0-3	49.7	1528	1526	44.52%	23.11%	32.37%	+0.28	-23.5	8
2013-09-14	@ Partick Thistle	W 3-0	49.7	1526	1528	32.37%	23.11%	44.52%	-0.28	+23.5	10
2013-09-14	Celtic	L 1-3	55.4	1523	1713	20.85%	21.63%	57.52%	-1.00	-7.5	7
2013-09-14	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	55.4	1713	1523	57.52%	21.63%	20.85%	+1.00	+7.5	13
2013-09-14	Hibernian	L 1-2	62.2	1543	1509	48.76%	22.82%	28.42%	+0.49	-8.8	8
2013-09-14	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	62.2	1509	1543	28.42%	22.82%	48.76%	-0.49	+8.7	8
2013-09-14	Inverness CT	L 1-2	58.7	1503	1591	31.96%	23.09%	44.94%	-0.32	-6.2	2
2013-09-14	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	58.7	1591	1503	44.94%	23.09%	31.96%	+0.32	+6.2	16
2013-09-14	Motherwell	L 0-1	49.7	1459	1565	29.75%	22.94%	47.30%	-0.44	-6.2	1
2013-09-14	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	49.7	1565	1459	47.30%	22.94%	29.75%	+0.44	+6.2	12
2013-09-15	Dundee United	L 2-4	60.3	1512	1562	37.19%	23.26%	39.55%	-0.07	-10.9	4
2013-09-15	@ Ross County	W 4-2	60.3	1562	1512	39.55%	23.26%	37.19%	+0.07	+10.9	8
2013-09-21	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	56.8	1501	1516	42.13%	23.21%	34.66%	+0.16	+6.7	7
2013-09-21	@ Ross County	L 1-2	56.8	1516	1501	34.66%	23.21%	42.13%	-0.16	-6.7	7
2013-09-21	Inverness CT	W 1-0	56.8	1549	1597	37.40%	23.26%	39.34%	-0.06	+7.8	13
2013-09-21	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	56.8	1597	1549	39.34%	23.26%	37.40%	+0.06	-7.8	16
2013-09-21	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	64.1	1504	1497	45.26%	23.07%	31.66%	+0.32	-0.6	9
2013-09-21	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	64.1	1497	1504	31.66%	23.07%	45.26%	-0.32	+0.6	3
2013-09-21	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	56.5	1720	1534	65.72%	19.63%	14.65%	+1.51	+3.1	16
2013-09-21	@ Celtic	L 1-2	56.5	1534	1720	14.65%	19.63%	65.72%	-1.51	-3.1	8
2013-09-21	St. Mirren	W 2-0	42.6	1517	1453	52.61%	22.41%	24.99%	+0.69	+10.1	11
2013-09-21	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	42.6	1453	1517	24.99%	22.41%	52.61%	-0.69	-10.2	1
2013-09-22	Motherwell	D 2-2	75.1	1573	1571	44.37%	23.12%	32.50%	+0.27	-0.4	9
2013-09-22	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	75.1	1571	1573	32.50%	23.12%	44.37%	-0.27	+0.4	13
2013-09-28	Celtic	L 2-5	53.6	1497	1723	17.73%	20.78%	61.48%	-1.24	-7.8	3
2013-09-28	@ Kilmarnock	W 5-2	53.6	1723	1497	61.48%	20.78%	17.73%	+1.24	+7.8	19
2013-09-28	Dundee United	D 0-0	62.3	1509	1572	35.37%	23.23%	41.41%	-0.15	+0.3	8
2013-09-28	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	62.3	1572	1509	41.41%	23.23%	35.37%	+0.15	-0.3	10
2013-09-28	Hibernian	W 3-0	45.9	1590	1528	52.31%	22.44%	25.25%	+0.68	+14.9	19
2013-09-28	@ Inverness CT	L 0-3	45.9	1528	1590	25.25%	22.44%	52.31%	-0.68	-14.9	11
2013-09-28	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	65.5	1531	1504	47.88%	22.90%	29.23%	+0.45	-0.8	9
2013-09-28	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	65.5	1504	1531	29.23%	22.90%	47.88%	-0.45	+0.8	10
2013-09-28	Ross County	W 3-1	52.7	1572	1508	52.57%	22.41%	25.02%	+0.69	+8.8	16
2013-09-28	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	52.7	1508	1572	25.02%	22.41%	52.57%	-0.69	-8.8	7
2013-09-30	Aberdeen	D 1-1	64.2	1443	1557	28.77%	22.86%	48.37%	-0.49	+0.8	2
2013-09-30	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	64.2	1557	1443	48.37%	22.86%	28.77%	+0.49	-0.8	14
2013-10-05	Aberdeen	W 1-0	54.2	1499	1556	36.14%	23.24%	40.62%	-0.12	+8.0	10
2013-10-05	@ Ross County	L 0-1	54.2	1556	1499	40.62%	23.24%	36.14%	+0.12	-8.0	14
2013-10-05	Inverness CT	W 4-0	51.6	1530	1604	33.80%	23.18%	43.02%	-0.23	+29.9	12
2013-10-05	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-4	51.6	1604	1530	43.02%	23.18%	33.80%	+0.23	-29.9	19
2013-10-05	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	48.8	1572	1489	54.80%	22.10%	23.11%	+0.82	+5.0	13
2013-10-05	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	48.8	1489	1572	23.11%	22.10%	54.80%	-0.82	-5.0	3
2013-10-05	Motherwell	W 2-0	49.1	1731	1581	62.24%	20.60%	17.16%	+1.27	+7.2	22
2013-10-05	@ Celtic	L 0-2	49.1	1581	1731	17.16%	20.60%	62.24%	-1.27	-7.2	16
2013-10-05	St. Mirren	L 0-2	50.3	1510	1444	52.79%	22.38%	24.83%	+0.70	-18.7	8
2013-10-05	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	50.3	1444	1510	24.83%	22.38%	52.79%	-0.70	+18.7	5
2013-10-07	Hibernian	L 0-1	53.5	1504	1513	43.07%	23.18%	33.75%	+0.21	-8.4	10
2013-10-07	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	53.5	1513	1504	33.75%	23.18%	43.07%	-0.21	+8.4	14
2013-10-19	Celtic	D 1-1	72.2	1521	1738	18.45%	21.00%	60.55%	-1.18	+1.8	15
2013-10-19	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	72.2	1738	1521	60.55%	21.00%	18.45%	+1.18	-1.9	23
2013-10-19	Dundee United	W 1-0	55.3	1548	1577	40.18%	23.25%	36.57%	+0.07	+7.4	17
2013-10-19	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	55.3	1577	1548	36.57%	23.25%	40.18%	-0.07	-7.4	13
2013-10-19	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	54.8	1573	1491	54.78%	22.10%	23.12%	+0.82	+4.7	19
2013-10-19	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	54.8	1491	1573	23.12%	22.10%	54.78%	-0.82	-4.7	8
2013-10-19	Ross County	W 2-0	46.9	1484	1507	41.07%	23.23%	35.69%	+0.11	+13.6	6
2013-10-19	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	46.9	1507	1484	35.69%	23.23%	41.07%	-0.11	-13.6	10
2013-10-19	St. Johnstone	W 4-3	68.3	1462	1560	30.79%	23.02%	46.19%	-0.39	+7.7	8
2013-10-19	@ St. Mirren	L 3-4	68.3	1560	1462	46.19%	23.02%	30.79%	+0.39	-7.7	12
2013-10-20	Partick Thistle	L 1-2	64.4	1575	1496	54.31%	22.17%	23.52%	+0.79	-9.6	19
2013-10-20	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	64.4	1496	1575	23.52%	22.17%	54.31%	-0.79	+9.6	13
2013-10-26	Aberdeen	L 0-2	51.2	1523	1555	39.66%	23.26%	37.08%	+0.05	-14.8	15
2013-10-26	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	51.2	1555	1523	37.08%	23.26%	39.66%	-0.05	+14.8	20
2013-10-26	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	45.2	1498	1486	45.82%	23.04%	31.14%	+0.34	+12.2	9
2013-10-26	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	45.2	1486	1498	31.14%	23.04%	45.82%	-0.34	-12.2	8
2013-10-26	St. Mirren	W 4-0	41.6	1570	1470	56.74%	21.77%	21.49%	+0.93	+16.8	16
2013-10-26	@ Dundee United	L 0-4	41.6	1470	1570	21.49%	21.77%	56.74%	-0.93	-16.8	8
2013-10-27	Celtic	L 1-2	57.5	1506	1737	17.38%	20.67%	61.96%	-1.27	-3.6	13
2013-10-27	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-1	57.5	1737	1506	61.96%	20.67%	17.38%	+1.27	+3.6	26
2013-10-27	Motherwell	W 2-0	51.9	1552	1578	40.60%	23.24%	36.15%	+0.09	+13.8	15
2013-10-27	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	51.9	1578	1552	36.15%	23.24%	40.60%	-0.09	-13.8	19
2013-11-02	Dundee United	D 1-1	73.3	1740	1586	62.56%	20.52%	16.93%	+1.29	-2.0	27
2013-11-02	@ Celtic	D 1-1	73.3	1586	1740	16.93%	20.52%	62.56%	-1.29	+2.0	17
2013-11-02	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	56.2	1565	1510	51.42%	22.55%	26.03%	+0.63	+5.3	22
2013-11-02	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	56.2	1510	1565	26.03%	22.55%	51.42%	-0.63	-5.3	9
2013-11-02	St. Johnstone	L 0-2	47.4	1474	1566	31.48%	23.06%	45.45%	-0.35	-12.3	8
2013-11-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	47.4	1566	1474	45.45%	23.06%	31.48%	+0.35	+12.3	18
2013-11-03	Hibernian	W 1-0	50.2	1564	1508	51.59%	22.53%	25.88%	+0.64	+5.6	22
2013-11-03	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	50.2	1508	1564	25.88%	22.53%	51.59%	-0.64	-5.6	15
2013-11-04	Partick Thistle	W 4-0	43.8	1570	1502	53.07%	22.34%	24.58%	+0.72	+19.0	23
2013-11-04	@ Aberdeen	L 0-4	43.8	1502	1570	24.58%	22.34%	53.07%	-0.72	-19.0	13
2013-11-09	Celtic	L 1-4	50.7	1493	1738	16.33%	20.30%	63.37%	-1.37	-8.4	10
2013-11-09	@ Ross County	W 4-1	50.7	1738	1493	63.37%	20.30%	16.33%	+1.37	+8.3	30
2013-11-09	Dundee United	L 0-4	51.9	1570	1588	41.65%	23.22%	35.13%	+0.14	-29.2	22
2013-11-09	@ Motherwell	W 4-0	51.9	1588	1570	35.13%	23.22%	41.65%	-0.14	+29.2	20
2013-11-09	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	61.8	1589	1462	59.85%	21.16%	18.99%	+1.12	-18.1	23
2013-11-09	@ Aberdeen	W 3-1	61.8	1462	1589	18.99%	21.16%	59.85%	-1.12	+18.1	11
2013-11-09	Inverness CT	L 0-2	49.6	1503	1570	34.72%	23.21%	42.07%	-0.19	-13.3	15
2013-11-09	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	49.6	1570	1503	42.07%	23.21%	34.72%	+0.19	+13.3	25
2013-11-09	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	52.5	1578	1505	53.71%	22.26%	24.03%	+0.76	+8.5	21
2013-11-09	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-3	52.5	1505	1578	24.03%	22.26%	53.71%	-0.76	-8.5	9
2013-11-09	St. Mirren	L 0-3	46.4	1483	1453	48.21%	22.87%	28.92%	+0.46	-25.2	13
2013-11-09	@ Partick Thistle	W 3-0	46.4	1453	1483	28.92%	22.87%	48.21%	-0.46	+25.2	11
2013-11-17	Ross County	W 2-1	54.5	1478	1485	43.35%	23.17%	33.49%	+0.22	+6.5	14
2013-11-17	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	54.5	1485	1478	33.49%	23.17%	43.35%	-0.22	-6.5	10
2013-11-23	Aberdeen	W 3-1	54.5	1747	1571	64.68%	19.94%	15.38%	+1.43	+5.6	33
2013-11-23	@ Celtic	L 1-3	54.5	1571	1747	15.38%	19.94%	64.68%	-1.43	-5.6	23
2013-11-23	Hibernian	D 0-0	58.4	1485	1489	43.63%	23.15%	33.22%	+0.24	-0.5	15
2013-11-23	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	58.4	1489	1485	33.22%	23.15%	43.63%	-0.24	+0.5	16
2013-11-23	Motherwell	L 0-2	49.3	1496	1541	37.95%	23.26%	38.79%	-0.03	-14.3	9
2013-11-23	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	49.3	1541	1496	38.79%	23.26%	37.95%	+0.03	+14.3	25
2013-11-23	Partick Thistle	W 4-1	46.5	1618	1458	63.15%	20.36%	16.49%	+1.33	+8.4	23
2013-11-23	@ Dundee United	L 1-4	46.5	1458	1618	16.49%	20.36%	63.15%	-1.33	-8.4	13
2013-11-23	Ross County	D 2-2	68.6	1480	1478	44.41%	23.12%	32.47%	+0.27	-0.4	12
2013-11-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	68.6	1478	1480	32.47%	23.12%	44.41%	-0.27	+0.4	11
2013-11-23	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	55.5	1584	1587	43.76%	23.15%	33.09%	+0.24	+6.8	28
2013-11-23	@ Inverness CT	L 0-1	55.5	1587	1584	33.09%	23.15%	43.76%	-0.24	-6.8	21
2013-12-06	Celtic	L 0-5	48.4	1555	1752	20.16%	21.47%	58.37%	-1.05	-19.5	25
2013-12-06	@ Motherwell	W 5-0	48.4	1752	1555	58.37%	21.47%	20.16%	+1.05	+19.5	36
2013-12-07	Aberdeen	L 0-2	55.3	1580	1566	46.19%	23.02%	30.79%	+0.36	-16.7	21
2013-12-07	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	55.3	1566	1580	30.79%	23.02%	46.19%	-0.36	+16.7	26
2013-12-07	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-1	47.9	1626	1479	61.83%	20.70%	17.47%	+1.24	+8.9	26
2013-12-07	@ Dundee United	L 1-4	47.9	1479	1626	17.47%	20.70%	61.83%	-1.24	-8.9	12
2013-12-07	Inverness CT	D 0-0	62.1	1484	1590	29.76%	22.94%	47.30%	-0.44	+0.8	16
2013-12-07	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	62.1	1590	1484	47.30%	22.94%	29.76%	+0.44	-0.8	29
2013-12-07	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	57.5	1479	1482	43.76%	23.15%	33.09%	+0.24	-8.0	11
2013-12-07	@ Ross County	W 2-1	57.5	1482	1479	33.09%	23.15%	43.76%	-0.24	+8.0	12
2013-12-07	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	62.0	1490	1449	49.58%	22.75%	27.67%	+0.53	-0.9	17
2013-12-07	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	62.0	1449	1490	27.67%	22.75%	49.58%	-0.53	+0.9	14
2013-12-14	Dundee United	L 1-4	51.4	1490	1635	25.26%	22.45%	52.29%	-0.70	-12.5	12
2013-12-14	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-1	51.4	1635	1490	52.29%	22.45%	25.26%	+0.70	+12.5	29
2013-12-14	Hibernian	W 1-0	48.3	1772	1489	73.83%	16.65%	9.53%	+2.15	+2.1	39
2013-12-14	@ Celtic	L 0-1	48.3	1489	1772	9.53%	16.65%	73.83%	-2.15	-2.0	17
2013-12-14	Inverness CT	L 0-2	47.0	1470	1590	28.17%	22.80%	49.03%	-0.53	-11.2	12
2013-12-14	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	47.0	1590	1470	49.03%	22.80%	28.17%	+0.53	+11.2	32
2013-12-14	Motherwell	L 1-2	56.6	1471	1535	35.10%	23.22%	41.68%	-0.17	-6.7	11
2013-12-14	@ Ross County	W 2-1	56.6	1535	1471	41.68%	23.22%	35.10%	+0.17	+6.7	28
2013-12-14	St. Mirren	W 2-0	45.1	1582	1485	56.46%	21.82%	21.72%	+0.91	+9.0	29
2013-12-14	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	45.1	1485	1582	21.72%	21.82%	56.46%	-0.91	-9.0	16
2013-12-21	Aberdeen	L 3-4	73.4	1601	1591	45.52%	23.06%	31.42%	+0.33	-7.6	32
2013-12-21	@ Inverness CT	W 4-3	73.4	1591	1601	31.42%	23.06%	45.52%	-0.33	+7.6	32
2013-12-21	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	43.7	1774	1459	76.14%	15.61%	8.26%	+2.36	+3.3	42
2013-12-21	@ Celtic	L 0-2	43.7	1459	1774	8.26%	15.61%	76.14%	-2.36	-3.3	12
2013-12-21	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	51.8	1477	1450	47.87%	22.90%	29.23%	+0.45	+5.8	15
2013-12-21	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	51.8	1450	1477	29.23%	22.90%	47.87%	-0.45	-5.8	14
2013-12-21	Ross County	W 1-0	47.3	1647	1464	65.44%	19.71%	14.85%	+1.49	+3.3	32
2013-12-21	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	47.3	1464	1647	14.85%	19.71%	65.44%	-1.49	-3.3	11
2013-12-21	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	61.2	1487	1563	33.51%	23.17%	43.32%	-0.24	+0.4	18
2013-12-21	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	61.2	1563	1487	43.32%	23.17%	33.51%	+0.24	-0.4	22
2013-12-21	St. Mirren	W 3-0	42.3	1542	1476	52.79%	22.38%	24.83%	+0.70	+14.7	31
2013-12-21	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	42.3	1476	1542	24.83%	22.38%	52.79%	-0.70	-14.7	16
2013-12-26	Celtic	L 0-1	53.5	1563	1777	18.71%	21.08%	60.21%	-1.16	-4.1	22
2013-12-26	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	53.5	1777	1563	60.21%	21.08%	18.71%	+1.16	+4.1	45
2013-12-26	Dundee United	W 4-1	60.4	1462	1651	20.88%	21.64%	57.48%	-0.99	+24.7	19
2013-12-26	@ St. Mirren	L 1-4	60.4	1651	1462	57.48%	21.64%	20.88%	+0.99	-24.7	32
2013-12-26	Hibernian	L 0-2	46.7	1461	1487	40.51%	23.24%	36.24%	+0.09	-15.0	11
2013-12-26	@ Ross County	W 2-0	46.7	1487	1461	36.24%	23.24%	40.51%	-0.09	+15.0	21
2013-12-26	Inverness CT	D 0-0	61.0	1445	1593	24.87%	22.39%	52.74%	-0.72	+1.3	15
2013-12-26	@ Partick Thistle	D 0-0	61.0	1593	1445	52.74%	22.39%	24.87%	+0.72	-1.3	33
2013-12-26	Kilmarnock	L 0-4	43.9	1456	1483	40.39%	23.25%	36.37%	+0.08	-28.5	12
2013-12-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	43.9	1483	1456	36.37%	23.25%	40.39%	-0.08	+28.5	18
2013-12-26	Motherwell	L 0-1	60.0	1599	1557	49.79%	22.73%	27.48%	+0.54	-9.4	32
2013-12-26	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	60.0	1557	1599	27.48%	22.73%	49.79%	-0.54	+9.4	34
2013-12-29	Celtic	L 0-1	54.6	1592	1781	20.86%	21.63%	57.51%	-1.00	-4.6	33
2013-12-29	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	54.6	1781	1592	57.51%	21.63%	20.86%	+1.00	+4.6	48
2013-12-29	Dundee United	W 3-0	53.0	1559	1626	34.76%	23.21%	42.03%	-0.18	+22.5	25
2013-12-29	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-3	53.0	1626	1559	42.03%	23.21%	34.76%	+0.18	-22.5	32
2013-12-29	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	61.2	1486	1427	51.94%	22.49%	25.57%	+0.66	-1.1	20
2013-12-29	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	61.2	1427	1486	25.57%	22.49%	51.94%	-0.66	+1.1	13
2013-12-29	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	45.1	1502	1512	42.91%	23.18%	33.91%	+0.20	+19.0	24
2013-12-29	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	45.1	1512	1502	33.91%	23.18%	42.91%	-0.20	-19.0	18
2013-12-29	Motherwell	L 1-5	46.7	1446	1566	28.01%	22.78%	49.21%	-0.54	-17.7	15
2013-12-29	@ Partick Thistle	W 5-1	46.7	1566	1446	49.21%	22.78%	28.01%	+0.54	+17.7	37
2013-12-29	Ross County	W 1-0	45.8	1589	1446	61.53%	20.77%	17.69%	+1.22	+3.9	35
2013-12-29	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	45.8	1446	1589	17.69%	20.77%	61.53%	-1.22	-3.9	11
2014-01-01	Aberdeen	L 1-2	65.7	1604	1593	45.61%	23.05%	31.33%	+0.33	-8.3	32
2014-01-01	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	65.7	1593	1604	31.33%	23.05%	45.61%	-0.33	+8.3	38
2014-01-01	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	45.9	1786	1428	79.02%	14.20%	6.78%	+2.65	+1.4	51
2014-01-01	@ Celtic	L 0-1	45.9	1428	1786	6.78%	14.20%	79.02%	-2.65	-1.4	15
2014-01-01	Ross County	L 1-2	64.7	1587	1442	61.71%	20.73%	17.56%	+1.23	-10.8	33
2014-01-01	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	64.7	1442	1587	17.56%	20.73%	61.71%	-1.23	+10.7	14
2014-01-01	St. Johnstone	W 4-0	49.2	1584	1581	44.60%	23.11%	32.29%	+0.28	+23.9	40
2014-01-01	@ Motherwell	L 0-4	49.2	1581	1584	32.29%	23.11%	44.60%	-0.28	-23.9	25
2014-01-02	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	50.2	1521	1429	55.97%	21.91%	22.12%	+0.88	+4.5	27
2014-01-02	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	50.2	1429	1521	22.12%	21.91%	55.97%	-0.88	-4.6	13
2014-01-02	St. Mirren	W 2-1	54.5	1493	1485	45.23%	23.08%	31.69%	+0.31	+6.2	21
2014-01-02	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	54.5	1485	1493	31.69%	23.08%	45.23%	-0.31	-6.2	20
2014-01-04	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	54.4	1452	1557	29.88%	22.95%	47.16%	-0.43	+9.0	17
2014-01-04	@ Ross County	L 0-1	54.4	1557	1452	47.16%	22.95%	29.88%	+0.43	-9.0	25
2014-01-05	Aberdeen	L 0-1	52.5	1499	1602	30.15%	22.97%	46.87%	-0.42	-6.3	21
2014-01-05	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	52.5	1602	1499	46.87%	22.97%	30.15%	+0.42	+6.3	41
2014-01-05	Celtic	L 0-4	44.0	1479	1787	12.35%	18.49%	69.17%	-1.79	-9.7	20
2014-01-05	@ St. Mirren	W 4-0	44.0	1787	1479	69.17%	18.49%	12.35%	+1.79	+9.7	54
2014-01-05	Hibernian	D 2-2	74.7	1595	1526	53.22%	22.32%	24.45%	+0.73	-0.9	33
2014-01-05	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	74.7	1526	1595	24.45%	22.32%	53.22%	-0.73	+0.9	28
2014-01-05	Partick Thistle	L 0-2	44.5	1424	1427	43.84%	23.14%	33.02%	+0.25	-16.0	13
2014-01-05	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	44.5	1427	1424	33.02%	23.14%	43.84%	-0.25	+16.0	18
2014-01-10	Hibernian	W 1-0	51.3	1608	1527	54.62%	22.12%	23.25%	+0.81	+5.0	44
2014-01-10	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	51.3	1527	1608	23.25%	22.12%	54.62%	-0.81	-5.0	28
2014-01-11	Motherwell	L 0-1	46.0	1408	1608	19.91%	21.40%	58.69%	-1.07	-4.4	13
2014-01-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	46.0	1608	1408	58.69%	21.40%	19.91%	+1.07	+4.4	43
2014-01-11	Ross County	D 3-3	70.6	1443	1462	41.61%	23.22%	35.17%	+0.14	-0.2	19
2014-01-11	@ Partick Thistle	D 3-3	70.6	1462	1443	35.17%	23.22%	41.61%	-0.14	+0.2	18
2014-01-11	St. Mirren	W 2-0	43.9	1548	1469	54.36%	22.16%	23.48%	+0.79	+9.6	28
2014-01-11	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	43.9	1469	1548	23.48%	22.16%	54.36%	-0.79	-9.6	20
2014-01-12	Dundee United	D 1-1	69.7	1576	1594	41.73%	23.22%	35.05%	+0.15	-0.3	34
2014-01-12	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	69.7	1594	1576	35.05%	23.22%	41.73%	-0.15	+0.3	34
2014-01-18	Dundee United	W 3-0	51.5	1462	1595	26.58%	22.62%	50.80%	-0.62	+26.3	21
2014-01-18	@ Ross County	L 0-3	51.5	1595	1462	50.80%	22.62%	26.58%	+0.62	-26.3	34
2014-01-18	Heart of Midlothian	D 3-3	73.4	1558	1404	62.61%	20.50%	16.89%	+1.29	-1.2	29
2014-01-18	@ St. Johnstone	D 3-3	73.4	1404	1558	16.89%	20.50%	62.61%	-1.29	+1.2	14
2014-01-18	Inverness CT	L 0-1	60.7	1613	1576	49.12%	22.79%	28.09%	+0.51	-9.3	44
2014-01-18	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	60.7	1576	1613	28.09%	22.79%	49.12%	-0.51	+9.3	37
2014-01-18	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	61.7	1443	1493	37.16%	23.26%	39.58%	-0.07	+0.1	20
2014-01-18	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	61.7	1493	1443	39.58%	23.26%	37.16%	+0.07	-0.1	22
2014-01-18	Motherwell	W 3-0	46.9	1797	1612	65.54%	19.68%	14.78%	+1.49	+9.0	57
2014-01-18	@ Celtic	L 0-3	46.9	1612	1797	14.78%	19.68%	65.54%	-1.49	-9.0	43
2014-01-18	St. Mirren	L 2-3	65.8	1522	1460	52.30%	22.45%	25.26%	+0.68	-8.8	28
2014-01-18	@ Hibernian	W 3-2	65.8	1460	1522	25.26%	22.45%	52.30%	-0.68	+8.8	23
2014-01-21	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	48.4	1443	1557	28.78%	22.86%	48.37%	-0.49	-6.1	20
2014-01-21	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	48.4	1557	1443	48.37%	22.86%	28.78%	+0.49	+6.1	32
2014-01-25	Aberdeen	D 2-2	76.7	1603	1604	44.18%	23.13%	32.69%	+0.26	-0.3	44
2014-01-25	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	76.7	1604	1603	32.69%	23.13%	44.18%	-0.26	+0.3	45
2014-01-25	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	58.1	1488	1405	54.86%	22.09%	23.06%	+0.82	-9.7	21
2014-01-25	@ Ross County	W 2-1	58.1	1405	1488	23.06%	22.09%	54.86%	-0.82	+9.7	17
2014-01-25	Inverness CT	W 2-0	53.0	1493	1586	31.36%	23.06%	45.58%	-0.35	+16.5	25
2014-01-25	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	53.0	1586	1493	45.58%	23.06%	31.36%	+0.35	-16.5	37
2014-01-25	Partick Thistle	D 0-0	56.0	1469	1437	48.50%	22.84%	28.65%	+0.48	-0.9	24
2014-01-25	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	56.0	1437	1469	28.65%	22.84%	48.50%	-0.48	+0.9	21
2014-01-26	Celtic	L 0-4	45.1	1513	1806	13.21%	18.94%	67.85%	-1.69	-10.4	28
2014-01-26	@ Hibernian	W 4-0	45.1	1806	1513	67.85%	18.94%	13.21%	+1.69	+10.4	60
2014-01-29	Kilmarnock	W 4-0	42.8	1816	1509	75.61%	15.85%	8.54%	+2.31	+6.5	63
2014-01-29	@ Celtic	L 0-4	42.8	1509	1816	8.54%	15.85%	75.61%	-2.31	-6.5	25
2014-01-29	St. Mirren	W 2-1	53.7	1415	1468	36.71%	23.25%	40.04%	-0.09	+7.4	20
2014-01-29	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	53.7	1468	1415	40.04%	23.25%	36.71%	+0.09	-7.4	24
2014-02-01	Dundee United	D 1-1	64.5	1438	1568	26.82%	22.65%	50.53%	-0.61	+1.0	22
2014-02-01	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	64.5	1568	1438	50.53%	22.65%	26.82%	+0.61	-1.0	35
2014-02-01	Ross County	D 2-2	69.5	1503	1478	47.49%	22.93%	29.58%	+0.43	-0.5	26
2014-02-01	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	69.5	1478	1503	29.58%	22.93%	47.49%	-0.43	+0.5	22
2014-02-02	St. Mirren	W 1-0	47.0	1823	1460	79.33%	14.04%	6.63%	+2.68	+1.4	66
2014-02-02	@ Celtic	L 0-1	47.0	1460	1823	6.63%	14.04%	79.33%	-2.68	-1.4	24
2014-02-15	Aberdeen	L 0-1	49.6	1459	1604	25.24%	22.44%	52.32%	-0.70	-5.4	24
2014-02-15	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	49.6	1604	1459	52.32%	22.44%	25.24%	+0.70	+5.4	48
2014-02-15	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	59.7	1569	1422	61.87%	20.69%	17.44%	+1.25	-2.2	38
2014-02-15	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	59.7	1422	1569	17.44%	20.69%	61.87%	-1.25	+2.2	21
2014-02-15	Kilmarnock	W 3-2	60.8	1567	1502	52.71%	22.39%	24.89%	+0.70	+4.8	38
2014-02-15	@ Dundee United	L 2-3	60.8	1502	1567	24.89%	22.39%	52.71%	-0.70	-4.8	26
2014-02-15	Partick Thistle	W 4-3	59.1	1603	1439	63.61%	20.24%	16.15%	+1.36	+3.1	47
2014-02-15	@ Motherwell	L 3-4	59.1	1439	1603	16.15%	20.24%	63.61%	-1.36	-3.1	22
2014-02-15	Ross County	W 2-1	53.9	1502	1479	47.40%	22.93%	29.67%	+0.42	+5.9	31
2014-02-15	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	53.9	1479	1502	29.67%	22.93%	47.40%	-0.42	-5.9	22
2014-02-16	St. Johnstone	W 3-0	44.8	1824	1563	72.16%	17.34%	10.50%	+2.01	+6.2	69
2014-02-16	@ Celtic	L 0-3	44.8	1563	1824	10.50%	17.34%	72.16%	-2.01	-6.2	32
2014-02-21	Motherwell	W 3-1	59.6	1572	1606	39.45%	23.26%	37.29%	+0.04	+12.2	41
2014-02-21	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	59.6	1606	1572	37.29%	23.26%	39.45%	-0.04	-12.2	47
2014-02-22	Aberdeen	W 3-1	60.6	1435	1609	22.29%	21.94%	55.76%	-0.89	+17.0	25
2014-02-22	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-3	60.6	1609	1435	55.76%	21.94%	22.29%	+0.89	-17.0	48
2014-02-22	Celtic	L 0-2	43.9	1424	1830	7.94%	15.33%	76.73%	-2.44	-3.2	21
2014-02-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	43.9	1830	1424	76.73%	15.33%	7.94%	+2.44	+3.1	72
2014-02-22	Hibernian	D 1-1	64.3	1497	1508	42.68%	23.19%	34.13%	+0.19	-0.3	27
2014-02-22	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	64.3	1508	1497	34.13%	23.19%	42.68%	-0.19	+0.4	32
2014-02-22	Inverness CT	L 0-1	57.1	1557	1567	42.79%	23.19%	34.02%	+0.20	-8.3	32
2014-02-22	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	57.1	1567	1557	34.02%	23.19%	42.79%	-0.20	+8.3	41
2014-02-22	St. Mirren	W 2-1	52.1	1473	1453	46.86%	22.97%	30.16%	+0.40	+6.0	25
2014-02-22	@ Ross County	L 1-2	52.1	1453	1473	30.16%	22.97%	46.86%	-0.40	-6.0	24
2014-02-25	Celtic	W 2-1	73.1	1592	1833	16.62%	20.41%	62.97%	-1.34	+11.0	51
2014-02-25	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	73.1	1833	1592	62.97%	20.41%	16.62%	+1.34	-10.9	72
2014-02-25	Inverness CT	L 0-3	45.6	1479	1575	30.96%	23.03%	46.01%	-0.38	-17.7	25
2014-02-25	@ Ross County	W 3-0	45.6	1575	1479	46.01%	23.03%	30.96%	+0.38	+17.7	44
2014-02-25	Motherwell	W 3-0	51.0	1548	1594	37.77%	23.26%	38.97%	-0.04	+21.2	35
2014-02-25	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-3	51.0	1594	1548	38.97%	23.26%	37.77%	+0.04	-21.2	47
2014-02-28	Dundee United	L 1-3	56.0	1509	1584	33.63%	23.17%	43.20%	-0.24	-11.3	32
2014-02-28	@ Hibernian	W 3-1	56.0	1584	1509	43.20%	23.17%	33.63%	+0.24	+11.3	44
2014-03-01	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-1	43.8	1573	1421	62.35%	20.57%	17.09%	+1.28	+8.7	50
2014-03-01	@ Motherwell	L 1-4	43.8	1421	1573	17.09%	20.57%	62.35%	-1.28	-8.7	21
2014-03-01	Inverness CT	W 5-0	46.0	1822	1593	69.57%	18.34%	12.09%	+1.80	+11.7	75
2014-03-01	@ Celtic	L 0-5	46.0	1593	1822	12.09%	18.34%	69.57%	-1.80	-11.7	44
2014-03-01	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	46.3	1447	1497	37.25%	23.26%	39.50%	-0.06	+14.7	27
2014-03-01	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	46.3	1497	1447	39.50%	23.26%	37.25%	+0.06	-14.7	27
2014-03-01	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	61.0	1461	1452	45.42%	23.06%	31.51%	+0.32	-0.6	26
2014-03-01	@ Ross County	D 1-1	61.0	1452	1461	31.51%	23.06%	45.42%	-0.32	+0.6	26
2014-03-01	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	54.1	1603	1569	48.76%	22.82%	28.42%	+0.49	+6.0	54
2014-03-01	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	54.1	1569	1603	28.42%	22.82%	48.76%	-0.49	-6.0	35
2014-03-08	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-2	49.7	1482	1412	53.27%	22.32%	24.41%	+0.73	+7.7	30
2014-03-08	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-4	49.7	1412	1482	24.41%	22.32%	53.27%	-0.73	-7.7	21
2014-03-08	Motherwell	D 3-3	76.9	1497	1581	32.52%	23.12%	44.36%	-0.29	+0.3	33
2014-03-08	@ Hibernian	D 3-3	76.9	1581	1497	44.36%	23.12%	32.52%	+0.29	-0.3	51
2014-03-12	Hibernian	D 0-0	62.5	1581	1498	54.89%	22.08%	23.03%	+0.82	-1.5	45
2014-03-12	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	62.5	1498	1581	23.03%	22.08%	54.89%	-0.82	+1.5	34
2014-03-12	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	59.7	1596	1563	48.54%	22.84%	28.62%	+0.48	-9.2	44
2014-03-12	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	59.7	1563	1596	28.62%	22.84%	48.54%	-0.48	+9.2	38
2014-03-14	Celtic	L 0-3	44.2	1490	1834	10.50%	17.34%	72.16%	-2.03	-6.2	30
2014-03-14	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-0	44.2	1834	1490	72.16%	17.34%	10.50%	+2.03	+6.2	78
2014-03-15	Hibernian	W 3-1	52.5	1453	1499	37.70%	23.26%	39.04%	-0.04	+12.6	29
2014-03-15	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-3	52.5	1499	1453	39.04%	23.26%	37.70%	+0.04	-12.7	34
2014-03-15	Ross County	L 0-1	58.1	1573	1461	58.14%	21.51%	20.35%	+1.01	-10.8	38
2014-03-15	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	58.1	1461	1573	20.35%	21.51%	58.14%	-1.01	+10.8	29
2014-03-15	St. Mirren	W 3-2	58.1	1586	1462	59.47%	21.24%	19.29%	+1.09	+3.8	47
2014-03-15	@ Dundee United	L 2-3	58.1	1462	1586	19.29%	21.24%	59.47%	-1.09	-3.8	27
2014-03-19	Inverness CT	W 2-0	51.6	1581	1580	44.43%	23.12%	32.45%	+0.28	+12.6	54
2014-03-19	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	51.6	1580	1581	32.45%	23.12%	44.43%	-0.28	-12.6	45
2014-03-21	Dundee United	L 1-2	51.5	1405	1590	21.20%	21.71%	57.09%	-0.97	-4.4	21
2014-03-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	51.5	1590	1405	57.09%	21.71%	21.20%	+0.97	+4.4	50
2014-03-22	Hibernian	W 2-0	45.1	1562	1487	53.91%	22.23%	23.86%	+0.77	+9.8	41
2014-03-22	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	45.1	1487	1562	23.86%	22.23%	53.91%	-0.77	-9.7	34
2014-03-22	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	54.3	1609	1484	59.64%	21.20%	19.15%	+1.10	+4.0	57
2014-03-22	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	54.3	1484	1609	19.15%	21.20%	59.64%	-1.10	-4.0	30
2014-03-22	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	47.1	1567	1466	56.95%	21.74%	21.31%	+0.94	+4.7	48
2014-03-22	@ Inverness CT	L 0-1	47.1	1466	1567	21.31%	21.74%	56.95%	-0.94	-4.7	29
2014-03-22	Ross County	W 2-1	53.5	1594	1472	59.27%	21.28%	19.45%	+1.08	+4.0	57
2014-03-22	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	53.5	1472	1594	19.45%	21.28%	59.27%	-1.08	-4.0	29
2014-03-22	St. Mirren	W 3-0	41.4	1840	1458	80.54%	13.41%	6.05%	+2.81	+3.4	81
2014-03-22	@ Celtic	L 0-3	41.4	1458	1840	6.05%	13.41%	80.54%	-2.81	-3.4	27
2014-03-25	Aberdeen	D 1-1	67.2	1467	1613	25.16%	22.43%	52.41%	-0.71	+1.2	30
2014-03-25	@ Ross County	D 1-1	67.2	1613	1467	52.41%	22.43%	25.16%	+0.71	-1.1	58
2014-03-25	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	49.4	1455	1572	28.48%	22.83%	48.69%	-0.51	-6.0	27
2014-03-25	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	49.4	1572	1455	48.69%	22.83%	28.48%	+0.51	+6.0	44
2014-03-26	Celtic	L 1-5	46.6	1461	1844	8.83%	16.09%	75.08%	-2.29	-5.6	29
2014-03-26	@ Partick Thistle	W 5-1	46.6	1844	1461	75.08%	16.09%	8.83%	+2.29	+5.6	84
2014-03-26	Inverness CT	W 2-1	60.2	1595	1572	47.31%	22.94%	29.75%	+0.42	+5.9	53
2014-03-26	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	60.2	1572	1595	29.75%	22.94%	47.31%	-0.42	-5.9	48
2014-03-29	Dundee United	D 1-1	70.7	1612	1600	45.82%	23.04%	31.14%	+0.34	-0.6	59
2014-03-29	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	70.7	1600	1612	31.14%	23.04%	45.82%	-0.34	+0.6	54
2014-03-29	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	65.7	1598	1480	58.83%	21.38%	19.80%	+1.05	-10.3	57
2014-03-29	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	65.7	1480	1598	19.80%	21.38%	58.83%	-1.05	+10.3	33
2014-03-29	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	65.9	1578	1455	59.26%	21.29%	19.46%	+1.08	-1.7	45
2014-03-29	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	65.9	1455	1578	19.46%	21.29%	59.26%	-1.08	+1.7	30
2014-03-29	Ross County	D 1-1	75.3	1849	1469	80.46%	13.45%	6.09%	+2.80	-3.3	85
2014-03-29	@ Celtic	D 1-1	75.3	1469	1849	6.09%	13.45%	80.46%	-2.80	+3.3	31
2014-03-29	St. Mirren	D 2-2	71.2	1566	1449	58.67%	21.41%	19.93%	+1.04	-1.2	49
2014-03-29	@ Inverness CT	D 2-2	71.2	1449	1566	19.93%	21.41%	58.67%	-1.04	+1.3	28
2014-03-30	Hibernian	W 2-0	45.2	1400	1477	33.50%	23.17%	43.34%	-0.25	+15.9	24
2014-03-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	45.2	1477	1400	43.34%	23.17%	33.50%	+0.25	-15.9	34
2014-04-01	Motherwell	L 1-2	63.3	1564	1588	41.01%	23.24%	35.76%	+0.11	-7.6	49
2014-04-01	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	63.3	1588	1564	35.76%	23.24%	41.01%	-0.11	+7.6	60
2014-04-02	Aberdeen	D 1-1	65.6	1416	1612	20.30%	21.50%	58.20%	-1.04	+1.6	25
2014-04-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	65.6	1612	1416	58.20%	21.50%	20.30%	+1.04	-1.6	60
2014-04-04	Inverness CT	L 1-2	56.6	1472	1557	32.40%	23.11%	44.48%	-0.30	-6.3	31
2014-04-04	@ Ross County	W 2-1	56.6	1557	1472	44.48%	23.11%	32.40%	+0.30	+6.3	52
2014-04-05	Celtic	L 0-2	49.8	1601	1846	16.33%	20.30%	63.37%	-1.37	-6.8	54
2014-04-05	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	49.8	1846	1601	63.37%	20.30%	16.33%	+1.37	+6.8	88
2014-04-05	Heart of Midlothian	L 2-4	56.8	1457	1418	49.47%	22.76%	27.77%	+0.53	-13.7	30
2014-04-05	@ Partick Thistle	W 4-2	56.8	1418	1457	27.77%	22.76%	49.47%	-0.53	+13.7	28
2014-04-05	Motherwell	W 3-2	68.2	1450	1595	25.27%	22.45%	52.28%	-0.70	+8.8	31
2014-04-05	@ St. Mirren	L 2-3	68.2	1595	1450	52.28%	22.45%	25.27%	+0.70	-8.8	60
2014-04-05	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	57.9	1490	1576	32.28%	23.11%	44.61%	-0.31	-6.3	33
2014-04-05	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	57.9	1576	1490	44.61%	23.11%	32.28%	+0.31	+6.3	48
2014-04-07	Aberdeen	L 0-2	46.3	1461	1610	24.83%	22.38%	52.79%	-0.73	-10.1	34
2014-04-07	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	46.3	1610	1461	52.79%	22.38%	24.83%	+0.73	+10.1	63

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2014-04-18	Aberdeen	D 0-0	65.3	1563	1620	36.20%	23.24%	40.55%	-0.11	+0.2	1
2014-04-18	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	65.3	1620	1563	40.55%	23.24%	36.20%	+0.11	-0.2	1
2014-04-19	Celtic	D 3-3	84.4	1586	1853	14.84%	19.71%	65.45%	-1.51	+1.4	1
2014-04-19	@ Motherwell	D 3-3	84.4	1853	1586	65.45%	19.71%	14.84%	+1.51	-1.4	1
2014-04-19	Dundee United	W 2-0	52.5	1582	1594	42.55%	23.19%	34.26%	+0.18	+13.2	3
2014-04-19	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	52.5	1594	1582	34.26%	23.19%	42.55%	-0.18	-13.2	0
2014-04-19	Hibernian	W 2-0	42.7	1459	1451	45.34%	23.07%	31.59%	+0.32	+12.4	3
2014-04-19	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	42.7	1451	1459	31.59%	23.07%	45.34%	-0.32	-12.4	0
2014-04-19	Partick Thistle	L 1-2	57.9	1484	1443	49.57%	22.75%	27.68%	+0.53	-8.9	0
2014-04-19	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	57.9	1443	1484	27.68%	22.75%	49.57%	-0.53	+8.9	3
2014-04-19	Ross County	W 2-0	44.0	1431	1466	39.42%	23.26%	37.32%	+0.04	+14.1	3
2014-04-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	44.0	1466	1431	37.32%	23.26%	39.42%	-0.04	-14.1	0
2014-04-25	St. Mirren	D 1-1	61.3	1452	1471	41.55%	23.22%	35.23%	+0.14	-0.3	4
2014-04-25	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	61.3	1471	1452	35.23%	23.22%	41.55%	-0.14	+0.2	4
2014-04-26	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	53.9	1452	1475	40.98%	23.24%	35.79%	+0.11	+6.8	3
2014-04-26	@ Ross County	L 1-2	53.9	1475	1452	35.79%	23.24%	40.98%	-0.11	-6.8	0
2014-04-26	Motherwell	W 5-1	53.6	1581	1588	43.30%	23.17%	33.54%	+0.22	+20.5	3
2014-04-26	@ Dundee United	L 1-5	53.6	1588	1581	33.54%	23.17%	43.30%	-0.22	-20.5	1
2014-04-26	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	70.8	1620	1595	47.52%	22.92%	29.55%	+0.43	-0.7	2
2014-04-26	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	70.8	1595	1620	29.55%	22.92%	47.52%	-0.43	+0.8	4
2014-04-27	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	54.7	1439	1446	43.25%	23.17%	33.58%	+0.22	-7.9	0
2014-04-27	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	54.7	1446	1439	33.58%	23.17%	43.25%	-0.22	+7.9	6
2014-04-27	Inverness CT	W 6-0	45.3	1851	1563	74.22%	16.47%	9.31%	+2.18	+10.4	4
2014-04-27	@ Celtic	L 0-6	45.3	1563	1851	9.31%	16.47%	74.22%	-2.18	-10.4	1
2014-05-03	Aberdeen	W 5-2	53.5	1862	1619	70.67%	17.93%	11.40%	+1.88	+5.0	7
2014-05-03	@ Celtic	L 2-5	53.5	1619	1862	11.40%	17.93%	70.67%	-1.88	-5.0	2
2014-05-03	Dundee United	D 1-1	69.3	1553	1602	37.36%	23.26%	39.38%	-0.06	+0.1	2
2014-05-03	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	69.3	1602	1553	39.38%	23.26%	37.36%	+0.06	-0.1	4
2014-05-03	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	59.9	1431	1452	41.23%	23.23%	35.54%	+0.12	-0.2	1
2014-05-03	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	59.9	1452	1431	35.54%	23.23%	41.23%	-0.12	+0.2	5
2014-05-03	Ross County	W 1-0	46.6	1472	1458	46.04%	23.03%	30.93%	+0.35	+6.5	7
2014-05-03	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	46.6	1458	1472	30.93%	23.03%	46.04%	-0.35	-6.4	3
2014-05-03	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	62.2	1567	1596	40.18%	23.25%	36.57%	+0.07	+6.9	4
2014-05-03	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	62.2	1596	1567	36.57%	23.25%	40.18%	-0.07	-7.0	4
2014-05-04	Kilmarnock	W 5-0	42.2	1453	1468	42.21%	23.20%	34.59%	+0.17	+31.1	9
2014-05-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-5	42.2	1468	1453	34.59%	23.20%	42.21%	-0.17	-31.1	0
2014-05-06	Aberdeen	L 1-3	62.0	1601	1614	42.47%	23.20%	34.34%	+0.18	-13.5	4
2014-05-06	@ Dundee United	W 3-1	62.0	1614	1601	34.34%	23.20%	42.47%	-0.18	+13.5	5
2014-05-06	Hibernian	W 1-0	44.7	1452	1430	47.13%	22.95%	29.92%	+0.41	+6.3	6
2014-05-06	@ Ross County	L 0-1	44.7	1430	1452	29.92%	22.95%	47.13%	-0.41	-6.3	1
2014-05-07	Celtic	D 3-3	84.6	1589	1867	14.12%	19.39%	66.49%	-1.59	+1.5	5
2014-05-07	@ St. Johnstone	D 3-3	84.6	1867	1589	66.49%	19.39%	14.12%	+1.59	-1.4	8
2014-05-07	Inverness CT	W 2-1	59.2	1574	1553	47.07%	22.96%	29.97%	+0.41	+5.9	7
2014-05-07	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	59.2	1553	1574	29.97%	22.96%	47.07%	-0.41	-5.9	2
2014-05-07	Partick Thistle	L 2-4	58.6	1485	1452	48.54%	22.84%	28.62%	+0.48	-13.5	9
2014-05-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-2	58.6	1452	1485	28.62%	22.84%	48.54%	-0.48	+13.5	8
2014-05-07	St. Mirren	W 1-0	48.4	1437	1478	38.40%	23.26%	38.34%	-0.01	+7.6	3
2014-05-07	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	48.4	1478	1437	38.34%	23.26%	38.40%	+0.01	-7.6	7
2014-05-10	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	61.9	1471	1471	44.15%	23.13%	32.72%	+0.26	-0.5	8
2014-05-10	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	61.9	1471	1471	32.72%	23.13%	44.15%	-0.26	+0.5	10
2014-05-10	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	47.8	1424	1444	41.38%	23.23%	35.39%	+0.13	-8.1	1
2014-05-10	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	47.8	1444	1424	35.39%	23.23%	41.38%	-0.13	+8.1	6
2014-05-10	Ross County	L 2-3	61.8	1466	1458	45.25%	23.07%	31.67%	+0.32	-7.8	8
2014-05-10	@ Partick Thistle	W 3-2	61.8	1458	1466	31.67%	23.07%	45.25%	-0.32	+7.8	9
2014-05-11	Dundee United	W 3-1	52.9	1865	1588	73.42%	16.82%	9.76%	+2.11	+3.4	11
2014-05-11	@ Celtic	L 1-3	52.9	1588	1865	9.76%	16.82%	73.42%	-2.11	-3.4	4
2014-05-11	Motherwell	L 0-1	61.4	1628	1580	50.51%	22.65%	26.84%	+0.58	-9.6	5
2014-05-11	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	61.4	1580	1628	26.84%	22.65%	50.51%	-0.58	+9.6	10
2014-05-11	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	52.8	1547	1591	38.10%	23.26%	38.64%	-0.02	+14.5	5
2014-05-11	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	52.8	1591	1547	38.64%	23.26%	38.10%	+0.02	-14.5	5

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2014-02-25	16.62%	@ Aberdeen	1592	2	Celtic	1833	1
2	2014-01-01	17.56%	Ross County	1442	2	@ Inverness CT	1587	1
3	2013-11-09	18.99%	Heart of Midlothian	1462	3	@ Aberdeen	1589	1
4	2014-03-29	19.80%	Kilmarnock	1480	2	@ Motherwell	1598	1
5	2014-03-15	20.35%	Ross County	1461	1	@ St. Johnstone	1573	0
6	2013-12-26	20.88%	@ St. Mirren	1462	4	Dundee United	1651	1
7	2014-02-22	22.29%	@ Partick Thistle	1435	3	Aberdeen	1609	1
8	2014-01-25	23.06%	Heart of Midlothian	1405	2	@ Ross County	1488	1
9	2013-10-20	23.52%	Partick Thistle	1496	2	@ Inverness CT	1575	1
10	2013-10-05	24.83%	St. Mirren	1444	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1510	0
11	2014-01-18	25.26%	St. Mirren	1460	3	@ Hibernian	1522	2
12	2014-04-05	25.27%	@ St. Mirren	1450	3	Motherwell	1595	2
13	2013-08-11	25.89%	Aberdeen	1526	3	@ Motherwell	1582	1
14	2014-01-18	26.58%	@ Ross County	1462	3	Dundee United	1595	0
15	2014-05-11	26.84%	Motherwell	1580	1	@ Aberdeen	1628	0
16	2013-12-26	27.48%	Motherwell	1557	1	@ Aberdeen	1599	0
17	2014-04-19	27.68%	Partick Thistle	1443	2	@ Kilmarnock	1484	1
18	2014-04-05	27.77%	Heart of Midlothian	1418	4	@ Partick Thistle	1457	2
19	2014-01-18	28.09%	Inverness CT	1576	1	@ Aberdeen	1613	0
20	2013-09-14	28.42%	Hibernian	1509	2	@ St. Johnstone	1543	1
21	2014-03-12	28.62%	St. Johnstone	1563	1	@ Dundee United	1596	0
22	2014-05-07	28.62%	Partick Thistle	1452	4	@ Heart of Midlothian	1485	2
23	2013-08-10	28.87%	Partick Thistle	1506	4	@ Ross County	1536	1
24	2013-11-09	28.92%	St. Mirren	1453	3	@ Partick Thistle	1483	0
25	2014-01-04	29.88%	@ Ross County	1452	1	St. Johnstone	1557	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-05-04	31.09	@ Heart of Midlothian	5	1453	42.21%	Kilmarnock	0	1468	34.59%	23.20%
2	2013-10-05	29.92	@ St. Johnstone	4	1530	33.80%	Inverness CT	0	1604	43.02%	23.18%
3	2013-11-09	29.16	Dundee United	4	1588	35.13%	@ Motherwell	0	1570	41.65%	23.22%
4	2013-12-26	28.45	Kilmarnock	4	1483	36.37%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1456	40.39%	23.25%
5	2014-01-18	26.31	@ Ross County	3	1462	26.58%	Dundee United	0	1595	50.80%	22.62%
6	2013-08-24	26.26	@ Dundee United	4	1541	40.35%	St. Johnstone	0	1569	36.40%	23.25%
7	2013-11-09	25.16	St. Mirren	3	1453	28.92%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1483	48.21%	22.87%
8	2013-12-26	24.73	@ St. Mirren	4	1462	20.88%	Dundee United	1	1651	57.48%	21.64%
9	2014-01-01	23.87	@ Motherwell	4	1584	44.60%	St. Johnstone	0	1581	32.29%	23.11%
10	2013-09-14	23.55	Aberdeen	3	1526	32.37%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1528	44.52%	23.11%
11	2013-12-29	22.48	@ St. Johnstone	3	1559	34.76%	Dundee United	0	1626	42.03%	23.21%
12	2013-08-17	21.66	@ St. Johnstone	4	1547	48.48%	Ross County	0	1515	28.67%	22.85%
13	2013-08-10	21.24	Partick Thistle	4	1506	28.87%	@ Ross County	1	1536	48.27%	22.86%
14	2014-02-25	21.18	@ St. Johnstone	3	1548	37.77%	Motherwell	0	1594	38.97%	23.26%
15	2014-04-26	20.51	@ Dundee United	5	1581	43.30%	Motherwell	1	1588	33.54%	23.17%
16	2013-12-06	19.55	Celtic	5	1752	58.37%	@ Motherwell	0	1555	20.16%	21.47%
17	2013-12-29	19.01	@ Hibernian	3	1502	42.91%	Kilmarnock	0	1512	33.91%	23.18%
18	2013-11-04	18.99	@ Aberdeen	4	1570	53.07%	Partick Thistle	0	1502	24.58%	22.34%
19	2013-10-05	18.73	St. Mirren	2	1444	24.83%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1510	52.79%	22.38%
20	2013-11-09	18.12	Heart of Midlothian	3	1462	18.99%	@ Aberdeen	1	1589	59.85%	21.16%
21	2013-08-24	17.88	@ Ross County	3	1493	45.50%	St. Mirren	0	1484	31.44%	23.06%
22	2013-12-29	17.70	Motherwell	5	1566	49.21%	@ Partick Thistle	1	1446	28.01%	22.78%
23	2014-02-25	17.67	Inverness CT	3	1575	46.01%	@ Ross County	0	1479	30.96%	23.03%
24	2014-02-22	17.02	@ Partick Thistle	3	1435	22.29%	Aberdeen	1	1609	55.76%	21.94%
25	2013-10-26	16.82	@ Dundee United	4	1570	56.74%	St. Mirren	0	1470	21.49%	21.77%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-05-07	84.6	@ St. Johnstone	3	1589	14.12%	Celtic	3	1867	66.49%	19.39%
2	2014-04-19	84.4	@ Motherwell	3	1586	14.84%	Celtic	3	1853	65.45%	19.71%
3	2013-08-24	78.7	@ Celtic	2	1709	60.07%	Inverness CT	2	1579	18.82%	21.11%
4	2014-03-08	76.9	@ Hibernian	3	1497	32.52%	Motherwell	3	1581	44.36%	23.12%
5	2014-01-25	76.7	@ Motherwell	2	1603	44.18%	Aberdeen	2	1604	32.69%	23.13%
6	2014-03-29	75.3	@ Celtic	1	1849	80.46%	Ross County	1	1469	6.09%	13.45%
7	2013-09-22	75.1	@ Dundee United	2	1573	44.37%	Motherwell	2	1571	32.50%	23.12%
8	2014-01-05	74.7	@ Dundee United	2	1595	53.22%	Hibernian	2	1526	24.45%	22.32%
9	2013-12-21	73.4	Aberdeen	4	1591	31.42%	@ Inverness CT	3	1601	45.52%	23.06%
10	2014-01-18	73.4	@ St. Johnstone	3	1558	62.61%	Heart of Midlothian	3	1404	16.89%	20.50%
11	2013-11-02	73.3	@ Celtic	1	1740	62.56%	Dundee United	1	1586	16.93%	20.52%
12	2014-02-25	73.1	@ Aberdeen	2	1592	16.62%	Celtic	1	1833	62.97%	20.41%
13	2013-10-19	72.2	@ Hibernian	1	1521	18.45%	Celtic	1	1738	60.55%	21.00%
14	2014-03-29	71.2	@ Inverness CT	2	1566	58.67%	St. Mirren	2	1449	19.93%	21.41%
15	2014-04-26	70.8	@ Aberdeen	1	1620	47.52%	St. Johnstone	1	1595	29.55%	22.92%
16	2014-03-29	70.7	@ Aberdeen	1	1612	45.82%	Dundee United	1	1600	31.14%	23.04%
17	2014-01-11	70.6	@ Partick Thistle	3	1443	41.61%	Ross County	3	1462	35.17%	23.22%
18	2014-01-12	69.7	@ Inverness CT	1	1576	41.73%	Dundee United	1	1594	35.05%	23.22%
19	2014-02-01	69.5	@ Kilmarnock	2	1503	47.49%	Ross County	2	1478	29.58%	22.93%
20	2014-05-03	69.3	@ Inverness CT	1	1553	37.36%	Dundee United	1	1602	39.38%	23.26%
21	2013-11-23	68.6	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1480	44.41%	Ross County	2	1478	32.47%	23.12%
22	2013-10-19	68.3	@ St. Mirren	4	1462	30.79%	St. Johnstone	3	1560	46.19%	23.02%
23	2014-04-05	68.2	@ St. Mirren	3	1450	25.27%	Motherwell	2	1595	52.28%	22.45%
24	2014-03-25	67.2	@ Ross County	1	1467	25.16%	Aberdeen	1	1613	52.41%	22.43%
25	2013-08-16	66.1	@ Partick Thistle	1	1527	44.22%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1527	32.65%	23.13%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-03-22	41.4	@ Celtic	3	1840	80.54%	St. Mirren	0	1458	6.05%	13.41%
2	2013-10-26	41.6	@ Dundee United	4	1570	56.74%	St. Mirren	0	1470	21.49%	21.77%
3	2014-05-04	42.2	@ Heart of Midlothian	5	1453	42.21%	Kilmarnock	0	1468	34.59%	23.20%
4	2013-12-21	42.3	@ Motherwell	3	1542	52.79%	St. Mirren	0	1476	24.83%	22.38%
5	2013-09-21	42.6	@ Hibernian	2	1517	52.61%	St. Mirren	0	1453	24.99%	22.41%
6	2014-04-19	42.7	@ St. Mirren	2	1459	45.34%	Hibernian	0	1451	31.59%	23.07%
7	2014-01-29	42.8	@ Celtic	4	1816	75.61%	Kilmarnock	0	1509	8.54%	15.85%
8	2013-08-24	43.0	@ Ross County	3	1493	45.50%	St. Mirren	0	1484	31.44%	23.06%
9	2013-12-21	43.7	@ Celtic	2	1774	76.14%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1459	8.26%	15.61%
10	2013-11-04	43.8	@ Aberdeen	4	1570	53.07%	Partick Thistle	0	1502	24.58%	22.34%
11	2014-03-01	43.8	@ Motherwell	4	1573	62.35%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1421	17.09%	20.57%
12	2013-12-26	43.9	Kilmarnock	4	1483	36.37%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1456	40.39%	23.25%
13	2014-01-11	43.9	@ St. Johnstone	2	1548	54.36%	St. Mirren	0	1469	23.48%	22.16%
14	2014-02-22	43.9	Celtic	2	1830	76.73%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1424	7.94%	15.33%
15	2014-01-05	44.0	Celtic	4	1787	69.17%	@ St. Mirren	0	1479	12.35%	18.49%
16	2014-04-19	44.0	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1431	39.42%	Ross County	0	1466	37.32%	23.26%
17	2013-08-03	44.1	@ Inverness CT	3	1542	49.75%	St. Mirren	0	1500	27.52%	22.73%
18	2014-03-14	44.2	Celtic	3	1834	72.16%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1490	10.50%	17.34%
19	2014-01-05	44.5	Partick Thistle	2	1427	33.02%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1424	43.84%	23.14%
20	2014-05-06	44.7	@ Ross County	1	1452	47.13%	Hibernian	0	1430	29.92%	22.95%
21	2013-08-17	44.8	@ St. Johnstone	4	1547	48.48%	Ross County	0	1515	28.67%	22.85%
22	2014-02-16	44.8	@ Celtic	3	1824	72.16%	St. Johnstone	0	1563	10.50%	17.34%
23	2013-12-14	45.1	@ Aberdeen	2	1582	56.46%	St. Mirren	0	1485	21.72%	21.82%
24	2013-12-29	45.1	@ Hibernian	3	1502	42.91%	Kilmarnock	0	1512	33.91%	23.18%
25	2014-01-26	45.1	Celtic	4	1806	67.85%	@ Hibernian	0	1513	13.21%	18.94%