2014-15 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

92 points · 46th Title

Last Title: 2013-14

Relegated

St. Mirren

30 pts

Biggest Overachiever

St. Mirren

4.44 points above expected

30 points · 25.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aberdeen

4.54 points below expected

75 points · 79.54 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	25	4	4	79	70	17	+53	75.41	+3.59
2	Aberdeen	33	22	5	6	71	54	28	+26	58.22	+12.78
3	Inverness CT	33	17	7	9	58	46	34	+12	52.27	+5.73
4	Dundee United	33	15	4	14	49	53	49	+4	53.67	-4.67
5	St. Johnstone	33	14	6	13	48	29	32	-3	46.43	+1.57
6	Dundee	33	11	11	11	44	45	45	0	41.37	+2.63
7	Hamilton Academical	33	12	7	14	43	42	48	-6	44.34	-1.34
8	Partick Thistle	33	10	8	15	38	41	38	+3	41.54	-3.54
9	Kilmarnock	33	10	8	15	38	35	46	-11	37.56	+0.44
10	Ross County	33	10	7	16	37	39	56	-17	33.32	+3.68
11	Motherwell	33	9	4	20	31	33	57	-24	39.24	-8.24
12	St. Mirren	33	6	3	24	21	22	59	-37	32.17	-11.17

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	38	29	5	4	92	84	17	+67	90.25	+1.75
2	Aberdeen	38	23	6	9	75	57	33	+24	79.54	-4.54
3	Inverness CT	38	19	8	11	65	52	42	+10	64.41	+0.59
4	St. Johnstone	38	16	9	13	57	34	34	0	54.62	+2.38
5	Dundee United	38	17	5	16	56	58	56	+2	53.34	+2.66
6	Dundee	38	11	12	15	45	46	57	-11	48.96	-3.96
7	Hamilton Academical	38	15	8	15	53	50	53	-3	49.64	+3.36
8	Partick Thistle	38	12	10	16	46	48	44	+4	47.06	-1.06
9	Ross County	38	12	8	18	44	46	63	-17	45.59	-1.59
10	Kilmarnock	38	11	8	19	41	44	59	-15	43.94	-2.94
11	Motherwell	38	10	6	22	36	38	63	-25	38.21	-2.21
12	St. Mirren Relegated	38	9	3	26	30	30	66	-36	25.56	+4.44

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	St. Mirren	30	25.56	+4.44
2	Hamilton Academical	53	49.64	+3.36
3	Dundee United	56	53.34	+2.66
4	St. Johnstone	57	54.62	+2.38
5	Celtic	92	90.25	+1.75

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Aberdeen	75	79.54	-4.54
2	Dundee	45	48.96	-3.96
3	Kilmarnock	41	43.94	-2.94
4	Motherwell	36	38.21	-2.21
5	Ross County	44	45.59	-1.59

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aberdeen	8	Nov 23 – Jan 10	1 in 219
2	Ross County	4	Feb 14 – Mar 7	1 in 113
3	Hamilton Academical	4	Aug 13 – Aug 30	1 in 62
4	St. Johnstone	5	Nov 22 – Dec 27	1 in 58
5	Inverness CT	5	Jan 1 – Jan 24	1 in 29

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kilmarnock	7	Mar 21 – May 8	1 in 306
2	St. Johnstone	5	Sep 13 – Oct 18	1 in 161
3	Ross County	7	Aug 10 – Sep 20	1 in 134
4	Partick Thistle	4	Jan 30 – Feb 21	1 in 77
5	Motherwell	5	Sep 27 – Oct 31	1 in 76

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hamilton Academical	9	Aug 13 – Oct 17	1 in 360
2	Ross County	9	Feb 14 – Apr 13	1 in 350
3	Kilmarnock	7	Jan 24 – Mar 14	1 in 105
4	Aberdeen	13	Nov 23 – Feb 21	1 in 43
5	Dundee	8	Jan 4 – Feb 21	1 in 42

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hamilton Academical	13	Jan 12 – Apr 11	1 in 344
2	Inverness CT	9	Feb 21 – May 2	1 in 140
3	Dundee United	7	Feb 14 – Apr 8	1 in 101
4	Dundee	8	Nov 8 – Jan 4	1 in 43
5	St. Johnstone	6	Sep 13 – Oct 25	1 in 28

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	1888	92	+29	13	11.3	+1.7
Aberdeen	1681	75	-22	4	8.3	-4.3
Inverness CT	1612	65	+19	10	6.8	+3.2
St. Johnstone	1596	57	+28	9	5.9	+3.1
Dundee United	1562	56	+6	7	6.0	+1.0
Hamilton Academical	1486	53	+22	10	7.0	+3.0
Partick Thistle	1555	46	-12	8	9.0	-1.0
Dundee	1492	45	-45	1	4.9	-3.9
Ross County	1501	44	-3	7	7.5	-0.5
Kilmarnock	1456	41	-21	3	6.5	-3.5
Motherwell	1476	36	-12	5	7.3	-2.3
St. Mirren	1397	30	+26	9	4.8	+4.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DUN	DU	HA	IC	KIL	MOT	PT	RC	SJ	SM
Aberdeen	—	0-0-4 3.09	1-3-0 7.71	2-0-2 6.71	2-0-1 4.94	4-0-0 6.60	3-0-0 5.76	3-0-0 6.23	2-1-0 5.45	3-0-0 6.36	1-1-2 6.91	2-1-0 6.56
Celtic	4-0-0 8.15	—	3-1-0 9.37	3-0-1 8.71	2-0-1 6.76	2-1-1 8.70	3-0-0 7.09	2-1-0 7.15	3-0-0 7.02	2-1-0 7.37	2-1-1 8.88	3-0-0 7.40
Dundee	0-3-1 3.51	0-1-3 1.97	—	1-0-3 4.46	1-1-1 3.81	0-2-2 4.31	2-1-0 4.38	3-0-0 4.60	1-2-0 4.13	0-1-2 5.13	1-1-2 5.17	2-0-1 4.95
Dundee United	2-0-2 4.49	1-0-3 2.57	3-0-1 6.73	—	2-1-0 5.18	0-1-3 5.14	1-0-2 5.65	2-0-1 5.68	1-1-1 5.59	2-0-1 6.00	1-1-2 6.37	2-1-0 5.96
Hamilton Academical	1-0-2 3.46	1-0-2 1.72	1-1-1 4.58	0-1-2 3.22	—	0-0-3 3.59	1-2-1 6.39	3-0-1 5.96	1-2-1 5.66	2-1-1 6.49	2-1-0 3.66	3-0-1 6.58
Inverness CT	0-0-4 4.59	1-1-2 2.57	2-2-0 6.89	3-1-0 6.05	3-0-0 4.80	—	2-1-0 5.57	2-0-1 5.27	0-0-3 5.27	1-2-0 6.14	2-1-1 6.00	3-0-0 5.84
Kilmarnock	0-0-3 2.66	0-0-3 1.43	0-1-2 4.01	2-0-1 2.76	1-2-1 4.80	0-1-2 2.84	—	1-1-2 5.54	2-2-0 4.70	1-0-3 6.12	1-1-1 3.53	3-0-1 6.67
Motherwell	0-0-3 2.21	0-1-2 1.37	0-0-3 3.80	1-0-2 2.74	1-0-3 5.23	1-0-2 3.15	2-1-1 5.65	—	1-1-2 4.92	1-2-1 6.20	0-1-2 3.55	3-0-1 6.74
Partick Thistle	0-1-2 2.95	0-0-3 1.48	0-2-1 4.26	1-1-1 2.82	1-2-1 5.54	3-0-0 3.13	0-2-2 6.50	2-1-1 6.26	—	2-0-2 6.64	1-1-1 3.82	2-0-2 7.42
Ross County	0-0-3 2.09	0-1-2 1.18	2-1-0 3.26	1-0-2 2.43	1-1-2 4.70	0-2-1 2.29	3-0-1 5.07	1-2-1 4.99	2-0-2 4.55	—	1-0-2 3.28	1-1-2 6.29
St. Johnstone	2-1-1 4.29	1-1-2 2.42	2-1-1 6.02	2-1-1 4.82	0-1-2 4.73	1-1-2 5.18	1-1-1 4.87	2-1-0 4.85	1-1-1 4.57	2-0-1 5.12	—	2-0-1 5.62
St. Mirren	0-1-2 1.90	0-0-3 1.16	1-0-2 3.45	0-1-2 2.46	1-0-3 4.62	0-0-3 2.58	1-0-3 4.52	1-0-3 4.46	2-0-2 3.80	2-1-1 4.91	1-0-2 2.79	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.74	+10.7
Allowed	0.83	-10.6
Differential	0.94	+6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.95%	11.40%	6.14%	4.39%	1.97%	1.32%	29.17%
1	11.40%	10.96%	8.99%	2.63%	1.32%	0.22%	35.53%
2	6.14%	8.99%	3.07%	1.54%	0.22%	0.22%	20.18%
3	4.39%	2.63%	1.54%	1.32%	—	—	9.87%
4	1.97%	1.32%	0.22%	—	—	—	3.51%
5+	1.32%	0.22%	0.22%	—	—	—	1.75%
Total	29.17%	35.53%	20.18%	9.87%	3.51%	1.75%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.29	+0.00
SD	1.20	1.20	1.91
CV	0.93	0.93	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	10.53%	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	21.05%
1	18.42%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	31.58%
2	15.79%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	26.32%
3	10.53%	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	26.32%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	0.87	+0.63
SD	1.11	1.09	1.75
CV	0.74	1.26	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
1	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	23.68%
2	13.16%	15.79%	—	—	—	—	28.95%
3	10.53%	—	—	—	—	—	10.53%
4	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
5+	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
Total	57.89%	39.47%	2.63%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.21	0.45	+1.76
SD	1.60	0.55	1.79
CV	0.72	1.24	—
Max	6	2	+5
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	18.42%
1	13.16%	26.32%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	57.89%
2	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	10.53%
3	—	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	47.37%	15.79%	10.53%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.50	-0.29
SD	0.96	1.37	1.68
CV	0.80	0.91	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	26.32%
1	10.53%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	2.63%	31.58%
2	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	21.05%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	23.68%	28.95%	31.58%	13.16%	—	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.47	+0.05
SD	1.39	1.25	2.08
CV	0.91	0.85	—
Max	6	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	36.84%
1	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	23.68%
2	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	21.05%
3	5.26%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	5.26%	—	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	36.84%	21.05%	21.05%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.39	-0.08
SD	1.36	1.42	2.27
CV	1.03	1.02	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	13.16%	—	—	2.63%	2.63%	21.05%
1	13.16%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	36.84%
2	13.16%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
3	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	47.37%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.11	+0.26
SD	1.02	1.18	1.66
CV	0.75	1.07	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
1	5.26%	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	—	39.47%
2	5.26%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	28.95%	28.95%	15.79%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	1.55	-0.39
SD	1.03	1.16	1.57
CV	0.89	0.74	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	13.16%	13.16%	—	5.26%	2.63%	36.84%
1	10.53%	10.53%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	42.11%
2	—	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	18.42%	34.21%	23.68%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.66	-0.66
SD	1.14	1.30	1.99
CV	1.14	0.78	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	18.42%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	39.47%
1	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	26.32%
2	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	13.16%
3	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
4	5.26%	—	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	31.58%	36.84%	18.42%	10.53%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	1.16	+0.11
SD	1.39	1.08	1.98
CV	1.10	0.93	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	—	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	23.68%
1	7.89%	10.53%	21.05%	2.63%	—	—	42.11%
2	—	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
3	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	34.21%	31.58%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.66	-0.45
SD	0.93	1.24	1.81
CV	0.77	0.75	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	31.58%
1	21.05%	15.79%	10.53%	—	—	—	47.37%
2	10.53%	10.53%	—	—	—	—	21.05%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	39.47%	36.84%	18.42%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	0.89	+0.00
SD	0.73	0.89	1.34
CV	0.81	1.00	—
Max	2	3	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	23.68%	10.53%	15.79%	—	2.63%	52.63%
1	5.26%	2.63%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	23.68%
2	—	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.26%	44.74%	28.95%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.79	1.74	-0.95
SD	1.02	1.06	1.68
CV	1.29	0.61	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1888	92	75.41	+16.59	78.0%	61	63	72	76	79	84	91
Aberdeen	1681	75	58.22	+16.78	96.0%	38	47	52	58	64	69	75
Inverness CT	1612	65	52.27	+12.73	81.0%	36	40	48	52	57	62	69
St. Johnstone	1596	57	46.43	+10.57	63.0%	29	35	42	47	51	57	64
Dundee United	1562	56	53.67	+2.33	28.0%	33	39	48	54	59	65	78
Partick Thistle	1555	46	41.54	+4.46	38.0%	18	30	37	40	46	55	66
Ross County	1501	44	33.32	+10.68	72.0%	16	21	27	33	38	46	57
Dundee	1492	45	41.37	+3.63	72.0%	26	31	37	42	45	53	61
Hamilton Academical	1486	53	44.34	+8.66	43.0%	26	29	38	45	50	57	62
Motherwell	1476	36	39.24	-3.24	17.0%	24	28	33	40	44	50	54
Kilmarnock	1456	41	37.56	+3.44	55.0%	23	26	33	38	42	48	52
St. Mirren	1397	30	32.17	-2.17	6.0%	18	21	28	32	36	43	49

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+8.77%

No Edge

44.74%19.30%35.96%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 30.56 Elo pts.

180 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.32 goals

Neutral

-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.2

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

92%

Celtic, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.45/gm

Runaway

00.360.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.77 * Some Luck: 5.77 to 8.66 * Lucky: 8.66 to 11.55 * Wild Swing: 11.55 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.27 * Close: 1.27 to 1.9 * Off: 1.9 to 2.53 * Way Off: 2.53 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.62 * A Surprise: 0.62 to 0.99 * Several Surprises: 0.99 to 1.36 * Many Surprises: 1.36 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.20 points

Some Luck

07.2218

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.584

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

96.00%

Aberdeen

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

6.00%

St. Mirren

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

0 of 1

As Expected

00.61

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Top-Heavy

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 125.34

2.07

Moderate Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

63%

Even

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

94%

Strong Edge

50%92%100%

Close Games

Expected

63%

Very Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

19%

Occasional

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.34

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.75

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.48

Weak Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Very Upset-Prone

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Very Shaky

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.73

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.01

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.073

Well Within Noise

00.1120.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	92.00%	8.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	3.00%	44.00%	23.00%	14.00%	11.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Inverness CT	2.00%	14.00%	23.00%	25.00%	13.00%	13.00%	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—
St. Johnstone	1.00%	2.00%	9.00%	14.00%	17.00%	19.00%	15.00%	9.00%	5.00%	7.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Dundee United	2.00%	21.00%	28.00%	17.00%	13.00%	6.00%	4.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Dundee	—	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	6.00%	12.00%	27.00%	16.00%	14.00%	8.00%	4.00%	4.00%
Hamilton Academical	—	5.00%	9.00%	13.00%	7.00%	15.00%	12.00%	9.00%	12.00%	11.00%	3.00%	4.00%
Partick Thistle	—	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	15.00%	9.00%	9.00%	15.00%	13.00%	15.00%	9.00%	4.00%
Ross County	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	2.00%	11.00%	16.00%	14.00%	23.00%	26.00%
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	2.00%	7.00%	6.00%	11.00%	15.00%	11.00%	21.00%	15.00%	12.00%
Motherwell	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	10.00%	9.00%	11.00%	15.00%	12.00%	8.00%	17.00%	13.00%
St. Mirren	—	—	—	2.00%	—	3.00%	6.00%	2.00%	11.00%	13.00%	27.00%	36.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	99.27%	0.73%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	0.73%	99.25%	0.02%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Inverness CT	—	0.02%	98.22%	1.74%	0.02%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
St. Johnstone	—	—	1.22%	59.73%	32.20%	6.85%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee United	—	—	0.54%	33.73%	51.92%	13.81%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee	—	—	—	4.80%	15.86%	79.34%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hamilton Academical	—	—	—	—	—	—	60.28%	24.97%	11.56%	3.10%	0.09%	—
Partick Thistle	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.24%	37.79%	24.37%	12.77%	1.83%	—
Ross County	—	—	—	—	—	—	11.58%	23.52%	35.91%	24.97%	4.02%	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.87%	13.12%	25.17%	47.53%	9.31%	—
Motherwell	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.03%	0.60%	2.99%	11.63%	84.46%	0.29%
St. Mirren	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.29%	99.71%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Inverness CT	100%	—	—
St. Johnstone	97.00%	3.00%	—
Dundee United	97.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Dundee	93.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Partick Thistle	89.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Hamilton Academical	88.00%	7.00%	5.00%
Motherwell	73.00%	16.00%	11.00%
Kilmarnock	73.00%	15.00%	12.00%
Ross County	51.00%	22.00%	27.00%
St. Mirren	39.00%	23.00%	38.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Dundee	100%	—	—
Dundee United	100%	—	—
Hamilton Academical	99.91%	0.09%	—
Inverness CT	100%	—	—
Kilmarnock	90.69%	9.31%	—
Partick Thistle	98.17%	1.83%	—
Ross County	95.98%	4.02%	—
St. Johnstone	100%	—	—
Motherwell	15.25%	84.46%	0.29%
St. Mirren	—	0.29%	99.71%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2014-08-09	Inverness CT	L 0-2	47.4	1483	1568	32.31%	20.32%	47.37%	-0.30	-12.8	0
2014-08-09	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	47.4	1568	1483	47.37%	20.32%	32.31%	+0.30	+12.8	3
2014-08-09	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	65.1	1504	1495	45.31%	20.39%	34.30%	+0.22	-0.5	1
2014-08-09	@ Dundee	D 1-1	65.1	1495	1504	34.30%	20.39%	45.31%	-0.22	+0.5	1
2014-08-09	St. Mirren	W 1-0	49.9	1586	1507	54.42%	19.87%	25.71%	+0.61	+5.6	3
2014-08-09	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	49.9	1507	1586	25.71%	19.87%	54.42%	-0.61	-5.6	0
2014-08-10	Dundee United	L 0-3	54.4	1607	1585	47.17%	20.33%	32.50%	+0.30	-25.3	0
2014-08-10	@ Aberdeen	W 3-0	54.4	1585	1607	32.50%	20.33%	47.17%	-0.30	+25.3	3
2014-08-10	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	58.5	1504	1579	33.66%	20.37%	45.97%	-0.25	-6.6	0
2014-08-10	@ Ross County	W 2-1	58.5	1579	1504	45.97%	20.37%	33.66%	+0.25	+6.6	3
2014-08-13	Aberdeen	L 0-2	48.3	1496	1582	32.12%	20.31%	47.57%	-0.31	-12.7	1
2014-08-13	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	48.3	1582	1496	47.57%	20.31%	32.12%	+0.31	+12.7	3
2014-08-13	Celtic	L 0-3	48.5	1585	1782	20.11%	19.14%	60.75%	-0.92	-12.2	3
2014-08-13	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-0	48.5	1782	1585	60.75%	19.14%	20.11%	+0.92	+12.2	3
2014-08-13	Dundee	D 0-0	63.2	1581	1503	54.24%	19.89%	25.87%	+0.60	-1.4	4
2014-08-13	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	63.2	1503	1581	25.87%	19.89%	54.24%	-0.60	+1.4	2
2014-08-13	Hamilton Academical	L 0-2	49.2	1501	1471	48.26%	20.28%	31.46%	+0.34	-17.8	0
2014-08-13	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	49.2	1471	1501	31.46%	20.28%	48.26%	-0.34	+17.8	3
2014-08-13	Motherwell	W 1-0	55.3	1610	1591	46.70%	20.35%	32.95%	+0.28	+6.9	6
2014-08-13	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	55.3	1591	1610	32.95%	20.35%	46.70%	-0.28	-6.9	3
2014-08-13	Ross County	W 4-0	44.3	1500	1498	44.49%	20.41%	35.10%	+0.19	+26.0	3
2014-08-13	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-4	44.3	1498	1500	35.10%	20.41%	44.49%	-0.19	-26.0	0
2014-08-16	Dundee United	W 6-1	50.2	1794	1617	64.89%	18.43%	16.67%	+1.16	+13.6	6
2014-08-16	@ Celtic	L 1-6	50.2	1617	1794	16.67%	18.43%	64.89%	-1.16	-13.7	6
2014-08-16	Inverness CT	L 0-2	54.8	1585	1580	44.76%	20.41%	34.83%	+0.20	-16.7	3
2014-08-16	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	54.8	1580	1585	34.83%	20.41%	44.76%	-0.20	+16.7	7
2014-08-16	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	56.5	1472	1483	42.50%	20.45%	37.05%	+0.11	-8.0	0
2014-08-16	@ Ross County	W 2-1	56.5	1483	1472	37.05%	20.45%	42.50%	-0.11	+8.0	4
2014-08-16	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	66.3	1505	1526	41.07%	20.46%	38.46%	+0.05	-0.1	3
2014-08-16	@ Dundee	D 1-1	66.3	1526	1505	38.46%	20.46%	41.07%	-0.05	+0.1	4
2014-08-16	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	55.5	1488	1573	32.32%	20.32%	47.36%	-0.30	+9.3	6
2014-08-16	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	55.5	1573	1488	47.36%	20.32%	32.32%	+0.30	-9.3	3
2014-08-23	Aberdeen	W 1-0	56.3	1564	1595	39.72%	20.47%	39.81%	+0.00	+8.0	6
2014-08-23	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	56.3	1595	1564	39.81%	20.47%	39.72%	+0.00	-8.0	3
2014-08-23	Celtic	W 1-0	66.4	1596	1808	18.81%	18.90%	62.29%	-1.01	+11.9	10
2014-08-23	@ Inverness CT	L 0-1	66.4	1808	1596	62.29%	18.90%	18.81%	+1.01	-11.9	6
2014-08-23	Dundee	L 0-1	50.9	1483	1505	41.07%	20.46%	38.47%	+0.05	-8.2	0
2014-08-23	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	50.9	1505	1483	38.47%	20.46%	41.07%	-0.05	+8.2	6
2014-08-23	Hamilton Academical	L 1-2	60.7	1526	1498	48.03%	20.29%	31.68%	+0.33	-8.9	4
2014-08-23	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-1	60.7	1498	1526	31.68%	20.29%	48.03%	-0.33	+8.9	9
2014-08-23	Motherwell	W 2-0	51.9	1491	1568	33.37%	20.36%	46.27%	-0.26	+17.2	7
2014-08-23	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	51.9	1568	1491	46.27%	20.36%	33.37%	+0.26	-17.2	3
2014-08-23	Ross County	W 2-1	53.4	1604	1464	61.25%	19.06%	19.69%	+0.95	+4.1	9
2014-08-23	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	53.4	1464	1604	19.69%	19.06%	61.25%	-0.95	-4.1	0
2014-08-30	Dundee United	L 0-3	44.9	1475	1608	26.55%	19.95%	53.50%	-0.57	-15.7	0
2014-08-30	@ St. Mirren	W 3-0	44.9	1608	1475	53.50%	19.95%	26.55%	+0.57	+15.7	12
2014-08-30	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	46.8	1608	1508	56.90%	19.63%	23.48%	+0.73	+9.7	13
2014-08-30	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	46.8	1508	1608	23.48%	19.63%	56.90%	-0.73	-9.7	7
2014-08-30	Partick Thistle	W 2-0	47.5	1587	1518	53.21%	19.97%	26.81%	+0.56	+10.9	6
2014-08-30	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	47.5	1518	1587	26.81%	19.97%	53.21%	-0.56	-10.9	4
2014-08-30	Ross County	W 4-0	41.4	1506	1459	50.41%	20.17%	29.42%	+0.43	+22.4	12
2014-08-30	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-4	41.4	1459	1506	29.42%	20.17%	50.41%	-0.43	-22.4	0
2014-08-30	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	55.7	1551	1572	41.09%	20.46%	38.45%	+0.05	-8.2	3
2014-08-30	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	55.7	1572	1551	38.45%	20.46%	41.09%	-0.05	+8.2	9
2014-08-31	Celtic	D 1-1	74.2	1513	1796	13.57%	17.55%	68.88%	-1.41	+2.6	7
2014-08-31	@ Dundee	D 1-1	74.2	1796	1513	68.88%	17.55%	13.57%	+1.41	-2.6	7
2014-09-13	Aberdeen	W 2-1	58.3	1793	1598	66.61%	18.08%	15.31%	+1.26	+3.2	10
2014-09-13	@ Celtic	L 1-2	58.3	1598	1793	15.31%	18.08%	66.61%	-1.26	-3.2	6
2014-09-13	Dundee	L 0-1	58.2	1580	1516	52.65%	20.02%	27.34%	+0.53	-10.2	9
2014-09-13	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	58.2	1516	1580	27.34%	20.02%	52.65%	-0.53	+10.2	10
2014-09-13	Hamilton Academical	D 2-2	77.0	1623	1529	56.25%	19.70%	24.06%	+0.70	-1.1	13
2014-09-13	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	77.0	1529	1623	24.06%	19.70%	56.25%	-0.70	+1.1	13
2014-09-13	Inverness CT	W 3-1	61.9	1507	1618	29.04%	20.14%	50.82%	-0.45	+16.1	7
2014-09-13	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-3	61.9	1618	1507	50.82%	20.14%	29.04%	+0.45	-16.1	13
2014-09-13	Motherwell	L 1-2	53.5	1437	1542	29.75%	20.19%	50.06%	-0.42	-6.0	0
2014-09-13	@ Ross County	W 2-1	53.5	1542	1437	50.06%	20.19%	29.75%	+0.42	+6.0	6
2014-09-13	St. Mirren	W 2-1	52.9	1498	1459	49.37%	20.23%	30.40%	+0.39	+6.1	10
2014-09-13	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	52.9	1459	1498	30.40%	20.23%	49.37%	-0.39	-6.1	0
2014-09-19	St. Mirren	L 1-2	60.4	1523	1453	53.25%	19.97%	26.78%	+0.56	-9.7	7
2014-09-19	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-1	60.4	1453	1523	26.78%	19.97%	53.25%	-0.56	+9.7	3
2014-09-20	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	61.3	1530	1504	47.58%	20.31%	32.11%	+0.31	-0.8	14
2014-09-20	@ Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	61.3	1504	1530	32.11%	20.31%	47.58%	-0.31	+0.8	11
2014-09-20	Ross County	W 3-0	39.8	1595	1431	63.61%	18.67%	17.72%	+1.08	+10.8	9
2014-09-20	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	39.8	1431	1595	17.72%	18.67%	63.61%	-1.08	-10.8	0
2014-09-20	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	60.5	1602	1570	48.42%	20.27%	31.30%	+0.35	+6.2	16
2014-09-20	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	60.5	1570	1602	31.30%	20.27%	48.42%	-0.35	-6.2	9
2014-09-21	Dundee United	L 1-4	53.7	1526	1622	30.84%	20.25%	48.91%	-0.37	-15.1	10
2014-09-21	@ Dundee	W 4-1	53.7	1622	1526	48.91%	20.25%	30.84%	+0.37	+15.1	16
2014-09-21	Motherwell	D 1-1	74.7	1797	1548	71.01%	16.99%	12.00%	+1.55	-2.8	11
2014-09-21	@ Celtic	D 1-1	74.7	1548	1797	12.00%	16.99%	71.01%	-1.55	+2.8	7
2014-09-27	Celtic	L 1-2	55.0	1463	1794	10.85%	16.50%	72.65%	-1.67	-2.3	3
2014-09-27	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	55.0	1794	1463	72.65%	16.50%	10.85%	+1.67	+2.3	14
2014-09-27	Dundee	W 2-1	57.3	1420	1511	31.61%	20.29%	48.10%	-0.33	+8.9	3
2014-09-27	@ Ross County	L 1-2	57.3	1511	1420	48.10%	20.29%	31.61%	+0.33	-8.9	10
2014-09-27	Hamilton Academical	L 0-4	50.9	1551	1529	47.11%	20.33%	32.56%	+0.29	-33.1	7
2014-09-27	@ Motherwell	W 4-0	50.9	1529	1551	32.56%	20.33%	47.11%	-0.29	+33.1	17
2014-09-27	Inverness CT	W 3-2	68.2	1605	1608	43.71%	20.43%	35.86%	+0.15	+6.6	12
2014-09-27	@ Aberdeen	L 2-3	68.2	1608	1605	35.86%	20.43%	43.71%	-0.15	-6.6	16
2014-09-27	Partick Thistle	W 3-0	45.7	1505	1513	42.99%	20.44%	36.57%	+0.13	+20.6	14
2014-09-27	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-3	45.7	1513	1505	36.57%	20.44%	42.99%	-0.13	-20.6	7
2014-09-27	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	50.0	1637	1564	53.75%	19.93%	26.32%	+0.58	+10.7	19
2014-09-27	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	50.0	1564	1637	26.32%	19.93%	53.75%	-0.58	-10.7	9
2014-09-30	St. Mirren	D 2-2	74.7	1612	1461	62.40%	18.88%	18.72%	+1.01	-1.5	13
2014-09-30	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	74.7	1461	1612	18.72%	18.88%	62.40%	-1.01	+1.5	4
2014-10-03	Dundee United	W 2-0	57.2	1526	1648	27.72%	20.05%	52.23%	-0.51	+19.1	17
2014-10-03	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	57.2	1648	1526	52.23%	20.05%	27.72%	+0.51	-19.1	19
2014-10-04	Aberdeen	L 2-3	63.5	1502	1610	29.36%	20.16%	50.48%	-0.43	-5.6	10
2014-10-04	@ Dundee	W 3-2	63.5	1610	1502	50.48%	20.16%	29.36%	+0.43	+5.6	16
2014-10-04	Motherwell	W 3-1	54.5	1493	1518	40.48%	20.47%	39.05%	+0.03	+12.9	10
2014-10-04	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-3	54.5	1518	1493	39.05%	20.47%	40.48%	-0.03	-12.9	7
2014-10-04	St. Mirren	L 1-2	62.6	1553	1462	55.82%	19.74%	24.44%	+0.68	-10.1	9
2014-10-04	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	62.6	1462	1553	24.44%	19.74%	55.82%	-0.68	+10.1	7
2014-10-05	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	67.8	1796	1562	69.87%	17.30%	12.83%	+1.47	-13.2	14
2014-10-05	@ Celtic	W 1-0	67.8	1562	1796	12.83%	17.30%	69.87%	-1.47	+13.2	20
2014-10-05	Ross County	D 1-1	66.8	1602	1429	64.47%	18.51%	17.01%	+1.13	-2.2	17
2014-10-05	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	66.8	1429	1602	17.01%	18.51%	64.47%	-1.13	+2.2	4
2014-10-17	Aberdeen	W 3-0	52.6	1575	1616	38.33%	20.46%	41.21%	-0.06	+22.6	23
2014-10-17	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-3	52.6	1616	1575	41.21%	20.46%	38.33%	+0.06	-22.6	16
2014-10-18	Celtic	L 0-5	42.7	1431	1783	9.84%	16.02%	74.14%	-1.79	-9.6	4
2014-10-18	@ Ross County	W 5-0	42.7	1783	1431	74.14%	16.02%	9.84%	+1.79	+9.6	17
2014-10-18	Dundee	L 1-3	56.0	1505	1496	45.33%	20.39%	34.28%	+0.22	-14.6	7
2014-10-18	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	56.0	1496	1505	34.28%	20.39%	45.33%	-0.22	+14.6	13
2014-10-18	Inverness CT	L 0-1	49.7	1472	1599	27.19%	20.00%	52.80%	-0.54	-5.9	7
2014-10-18	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	49.7	1599	1472	52.80%	20.00%	27.19%	+0.54	+5.9	20
2014-10-18	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	61.8	1543	1545	43.84%	20.43%	35.73%	+0.16	-8.2	9
2014-10-18	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	61.8	1545	1543	35.73%	20.43%	43.84%	-0.16	+8.2	20
2014-10-18	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	49.7	1629	1505	59.51%	19.31%	21.18%	+0.86	+4.7	22
2014-10-18	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	49.7	1505	1629	21.18%	19.31%	59.51%	-0.86	-4.7	10
2014-10-24	Motherwell	W 1-0	48.8	1593	1491	57.20%	19.59%	23.21%	+0.74	+5.1	19
2014-10-24	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	48.8	1491	1593	23.21%	19.59%	57.20%	-0.74	-5.1	7
2014-10-25	Dundee United	W 1-0	58.1	1605	1634	40.04%	20.47%	39.49%	+0.01	+8.0	23
2014-10-25	@ Inverness CT	L 0-1	58.1	1634	1605	39.49%	20.47%	40.04%	-0.01	-8.0	22
2014-10-25	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	54.0	1511	1598	32.03%	20.31%	47.67%	-0.32	+17.6	16
2014-10-25	@ Dundee	L 0-2	54.0	1598	1511	47.67%	20.31%	32.03%	+0.32	-17.6	23
2014-10-25	Ross County	D 2-2	67.7	1466	1422	50.13%	20.18%	29.69%	+0.42	-0.7	8
2014-10-25	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	67.7	1422	1466	29.69%	20.18%	50.13%	-0.42	+0.7	5
2014-10-25	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	61.3	1501	1535	39.27%	20.47%	40.26%	-0.02	+0.0	11
2014-10-25	@ Partick Thistle	D 0-0	61.3	1535	1501	40.26%	20.47%	39.27%	+0.02	-0.0	10
2014-10-26	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	47.2	1793	1553	70.33%	17.17%	12.50%	+1.50	+5.3	20
2014-10-26	@ Celtic	L 0-2	47.2	1553	1793	12.50%	17.17%	70.33%	-1.50	-5.3	20
2014-10-31	Motherwell	W 2-1	54.9	1535	1485	50.70%	20.15%	29.15%	+0.44	+5.9	13
2014-10-31	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	54.9	1485	1535	29.15%	20.15%	50.70%	-0.44	-5.9	7
2014-11-01	Dundee	L 1-3	59.1	1548	1528	46.75%	20.34%	32.91%	+0.28	-15.0	20
2014-11-01	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	59.1	1528	1548	32.91%	20.34%	46.75%	-0.28	+15.0	19
2014-11-01	Inverness CT	W 1-0	52.4	1798	1613	65.62%	18.29%	16.09%	+1.20	+3.6	23
2014-11-01	@ Celtic	L 0-1	52.4	1613	1798	16.09%	18.29%	65.62%	-1.20	-3.6	23
2014-11-01	Partick Thistle	D 3-3	78.4	1580	1501	54.48%	19.87%	25.65%	+0.61	-0.8	24
2014-11-01	@ Hamilton Academical	D 3-3	78.4	1501	1580	25.65%	19.87%	54.48%	-0.61	+0.8	12
2014-11-01	St. Mirren	W 3-0	42.3	1626	1466	63.27%	18.73%	18.00%	+1.06	+11.0	25
2014-11-01	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	42.3	1466	1626	18.00%	18.73%	63.27%	-1.06	-11.0	8
2014-11-03	Aberdeen	L 0-1	46.1	1422	1599	21.99%	19.43%	58.58%	-0.81	-4.8	5
2014-11-03	@ Ross County	W 1-0	46.1	1599	1422	58.58%	19.43%	21.99%	+0.81	+4.9	22
2014-11-07	Dundee United	W 1-0	59.9	1480	1637	23.90%	19.68%	56.43%	-0.71	+10.8	10
2014-11-07	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	59.9	1637	1480	56.43%	19.68%	23.90%	+0.71	-10.8	25
2014-11-08	Hamilton Academical	W 4-2	61.6	1610	1580	48.17%	20.29%	31.55%	+0.34	+9.7	26
2014-11-08	@ Inverness CT	L 2-4	61.6	1580	1610	31.55%	20.29%	48.17%	-0.34	-9.7	24
2014-11-08	Partick Thistle	L 0-1	48.7	1455	1502	37.45%	20.46%	42.09%	-0.09	-7.7	8
2014-11-08	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	48.7	1502	1455	42.09%	20.46%	37.45%	+0.09	+7.7	15
2014-11-08	Ross County	L 0-3	49.5	1533	1417	58.60%	19.43%	21.97%	+0.81	-30.7	20
2014-11-08	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-0	49.5	1417	1533	21.97%	19.43%	58.60%	-0.81	+30.7	8
2014-11-08	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	68.2	1543	1541	44.49%	20.41%	35.10%	+0.19	-0.4	20
2014-11-08	@ Dundee	D 1-1	68.2	1541	1543	35.10%	20.41%	44.49%	-0.19	+0.4	14
2014-11-09	Celtic	L 1-2	60.1	1603	1801	19.97%	19.11%	60.92%	-0.93	-4.2	22
2014-11-09	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	60.1	1801	1603	60.92%	19.11%	19.97%	+0.93	+4.2	26
2014-11-22	Dundee	W 2-1	56.3	1806	1543	72.12%	16.66%	11.22%	+1.63	+2.4	29
2014-11-22	@ Celtic	L 1-2	56.3	1543	1806	11.22%	16.66%	72.12%	-1.63	-2.4	20
2014-11-22	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	52.8	1626	1502	59.55%	19.30%	21.15%	+0.86	+7.6	28
2014-11-22	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	52.8	1502	1626	21.15%	19.30%	59.55%	-0.86	-7.6	20
2014-11-22	Motherwell	W 3-1	52.1	1619	1490	60.07%	19.23%	20.70%	+0.89	+7.5	29
2014-11-22	@ Inverness CT	L 1-3	52.1	1490	1619	20.70%	19.23%	60.07%	-0.89	-7.5	10
2014-11-22	Ross County	W 2-1	52.1	1541	1448	56.05%	19.72%	24.24%	+0.69	+5.0	17
2014-11-22	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	52.1	1448	1541	24.24%	19.72%	56.05%	-0.69	-5.0	8
2014-11-22	St. Mirren	W 3-0	40.8	1570	1447	59.43%	19.32%	21.25%	+0.85	+12.9	27
2014-11-22	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-3	40.8	1447	1570	21.25%	19.32%	59.43%	-0.85	-12.9	8
2014-11-23	Aberdeen	L 0-1	52.4	1509	1599	31.68%	20.29%	48.03%	-0.33	-6.7	15
2014-11-23	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	52.4	1599	1509	48.03%	20.29%	31.68%	+0.33	+6.7	25
2014-12-03	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	48.6	1808	1503	75.16%	15.67%	9.17%	+1.87	+2.0	32
2014-12-03	@ Celtic	L 0-1	48.6	1503	1808	9.17%	15.67%	75.16%	-1.87	-2.0	15
2014-12-05	Dundee United	L 2-3	59.4	1443	1634	20.65%	19.23%	60.12%	-0.89	-4.1	8
2014-12-05	@ Ross County	W 3-2	59.4	1634	1443	60.12%	19.23%	20.65%	+0.89	+4.1	31
2014-12-06	Celtic	L 0-1	49.2	1483	1810	11.05%	16.59%	72.37%	-1.65	-2.5	10
2014-12-06	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	49.2	1810	1483	72.37%	16.59%	11.05%	+1.65	+2.5	35
2014-12-06	Hamilton Academical	W 3-0	49.9	1606	1583	47.25%	20.32%	32.43%	+0.30	+18.6	28
2014-12-06	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	49.9	1583	1606	32.43%	20.32%	47.25%	-0.30	-18.6	27
2014-12-06	Inverness CT	L 1-2	60.6	1541	1627	32.17%	20.31%	47.51%	-0.31	-6.4	20
2014-12-06	@ Dundee	W 2-1	60.6	1627	1541	47.51%	20.31%	32.17%	+0.31	+6.4	32
2014-12-06	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	64.9	1501	1494	44.95%	20.40%	34.64%	+0.20	-0.4	16
2014-12-06	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	64.9	1494	1501	34.64%	20.40%	44.95%	-0.20	+0.4	21
2014-12-06	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	46.9	1434	1546	28.98%	20.14%	50.88%	-0.45	-6.2	8
2014-12-06	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	46.9	1546	1434	50.88%	20.14%	28.98%	+0.45	+6.2	20
2014-12-13	Aberdeen	L 0-2	57.2	1638	1625	45.92%	20.37%	33.71%	+0.24	-17.0	31
2014-12-13	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	57.2	1625	1638	33.71%	20.37%	45.92%	-0.24	+17.0	31
2014-12-13	Dundee	W 2-1	58.4	1564	1534	48.17%	20.28%	31.54%	+0.34	+6.3	30
2014-12-13	@ Hamilton Academical	L 1-2	58.4	1534	1564	31.54%	20.28%	48.17%	-0.34	-6.3	20
2014-12-13	Partick Thistle	L 0-4	56.3	1633	1500	60.51%	19.17%	20.32%	+0.91	-41.4	32
2014-12-13	@ Inverness CT	W 4-0	56.3	1500	1633	20.32%	19.17%	60.51%	-0.91	+41.4	19
2014-12-13	Ross County	D 2-2	68.7	1480	1439	49.69%	20.21%	30.10%	+0.40	-0.6	11
2014-12-13	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	68.7	1439	1480	30.10%	20.21%	49.69%	-0.40	+0.6	9
2014-12-13	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	51.6	1495	1552	35.99%	20.43%	43.57%	-0.15	-7.4	21
2014-12-13	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	51.6	1552	1495	43.57%	20.43%	35.99%	+0.15	+7.4	23
2014-12-14	St. Mirren	W 4-1	46.5	1812	1428	79.98%	13.73%	6.29%	+2.31	+3.1	38
2014-12-14	@ Celtic	L 1-4	46.5	1428	1812	6.29%	13.73%	79.98%	-2.31	-3.1	8
2014-12-20	Dundee	D 1-1	67.7	1541	1528	45.95%	20.37%	33.68%	+0.25	-0.5	20
2014-12-20	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	67.7	1528	1541	33.68%	20.37%	45.95%	-0.25	+0.5	21
2014-12-20	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	47.3	1440	1570	26.77%	19.97%	53.27%	-0.56	-5.8	9
2014-12-20	@ Ross County	W 1-0	47.3	1570	1440	53.27%	19.97%	26.77%	+0.56	+5.8	33
2014-12-20	Inverness CT	W 1-0	56.2	1560	1592	39.53%	20.47%	40.00%	-0.01	+8.1	26
2014-12-20	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	56.2	1592	1560	40.00%	20.47%	39.53%	+0.01	-8.1	32
2014-12-20	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	48.6	1642	1487	62.69%	18.83%	18.48%	+1.03	+4.1	34
2014-12-20	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	48.6	1487	1642	18.48%	18.83%	62.69%	-1.03	-4.1	21
2014-12-20	Motherwell	L 0-1	46.5	1425	1480	36.33%	20.44%	43.23%	-0.14	-7.5	8
2014-12-20	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	46.5	1480	1425	43.23%	20.44%	36.33%	+0.14	+7.5	14
2014-12-21	Celtic	W 2-1	72.5	1621	1816	20.25%	19.16%	60.59%	-0.92	+10.9	34
2014-12-21	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	72.5	1816	1621	60.59%	19.16%	20.25%	+0.92	-10.9	38
2014-12-27	Dundee United	W 2-1	65.1	1568	1632	35.10%	20.41%	44.49%	-0.19	+8.3	29
2014-12-27	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	65.1	1632	1568	44.49%	20.41%	35.10%	+0.19	-8.3	34
2014-12-27	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	55.7	1483	1576	31.29%	20.27%	48.43%	-0.35	+9.5	24
2014-12-27	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	55.7	1576	1483	48.43%	20.27%	31.29%	+0.35	-9.5	33
2014-12-27	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	53.0	1487	1541	36.51%	20.44%	43.05%	-0.13	+8.6	17
2014-12-27	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	53.0	1541	1487	43.05%	20.44%	36.51%	+0.13	-8.6	20
2014-12-27	Ross County	D 0-0	69.0	1805	1434	79.21%	14.07%	6.72%	+2.24	-3.8	39
2014-12-27	@ Celtic	D 0-0	69.0	1434	1805	6.72%	14.07%	79.21%	-2.24	+3.8	10
2014-12-27	St. Mirren	L 1-3	57.5	1529	1417	58.13%	19.48%	22.39%	+0.79	-18.2	21
2014-12-27	@ Dundee	W 3-1	57.5	1417	1529	22.39%	19.48%	58.13%	-0.79	+18.2	11
2014-12-28	Aberdeen	L 0-1	56.6	1584	1646	35.37%	20.42%	44.22%	-0.17	-7.3	32
2014-12-28	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	56.6	1646	1584	44.22%	20.42%	35.37%	+0.17	+7.3	37
2015-01-01	Dundee	W 6-2	49.9	1623	1510	58.33%	19.46%	22.21%	+0.80	+12.4	37
2015-01-01	@ Dundee United	L 2-6	49.9	1510	1623	22.21%	19.46%	58.33%	-0.80	-12.4	21
2015-01-01	Inverness CT	L 1-3	50.5	1438	1576	25.88%	19.89%	54.23%	-0.60	-9.2	10
2015-01-01	@ Ross County	W 3-1	50.5	1576	1438	54.23%	19.89%	25.88%	+0.60	+9.2	35
2015-01-01	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	53.6	1436	1493	36.03%	20.43%	43.53%	-0.15	-7.0	11
2015-01-01	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	53.6	1493	1436	43.53%	20.43%	36.03%	+0.15	+7.0	27
2015-01-01	Motherwell	W 5-0	44.6	1567	1496	53.42%	19.96%	26.63%	+0.57	+25.4	36
2015-01-01	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-5	44.6	1496	1567	26.63%	19.96%	53.42%	-0.57	-25.4	17
2015-01-01	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	50.4	1653	1576	54.16%	19.89%	25.94%	+0.60	+10.6	40
2015-01-01	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	50.4	1576	1653	25.94%	19.89%	54.16%	-0.60	-10.6	29
2015-01-04	Aberdeen	L 0-2	46.3	1471	1664	20.41%	19.19%	60.40%	-0.91	-8.5	17
2015-01-04	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	46.3	1664	1471	60.40%	19.19%	20.41%	+0.91	+8.5	43
2015-01-04	Dundee United	D 2-2	77.2	1532	1636	30.01%	20.20%	49.78%	-0.41	+0.6	21
2015-01-04	@ Partick Thistle	D 2-2	77.2	1636	1532	49.78%	20.20%	30.01%	+0.41	-0.6	38
2015-01-04	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	56.5	1565	1592	40.31%	20.47%	39.23%	+0.02	-8.1	29
2015-01-04	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	56.5	1592	1565	39.23%	20.47%	40.31%	-0.02	+8.1	39
2015-01-04	Ross County	D 1-1	62.6	1498	1429	53.24%	19.97%	26.79%	+0.56	-1.2	22
2015-01-04	@ Dundee	D 1-1	62.6	1429	1498	26.79%	19.97%	53.24%	-0.56	+1.2	11
2015-01-04	St. Mirren	W 1-0	44.6	1586	1429	62.96%	18.79%	18.25%	+1.04	+4.1	38
2015-01-04	@ Inverness CT	L 0-1	44.6	1429	1586	18.25%	18.79%	62.96%	-1.04	-4.1	11
2015-01-05	Celtic	L 0-2	46.7	1500	1801	12.47%	17.16%	70.37%	-1.51	-5.3	27
2015-01-05	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	46.7	1801	1500	70.37%	17.16%	12.47%	+1.51	+5.3	42
2015-01-10	Aberdeen	L 0-2	43.5	1425	1672	15.96%	18.26%	65.78%	-1.21	-6.8	11
2015-01-10	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	43.5	1672	1425	65.78%	18.26%	15.96%	+1.21	+6.8	46
2015-01-10	Inverness CT	L 1-2	57.7	1494	1590	31.02%	20.26%	48.72%	-0.36	-6.2	27
2015-01-10	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	57.7	1590	1494	48.72%	20.26%	31.02%	+0.36	+6.2	41
2015-01-10	Motherwell	W 4-1	47.1	1497	1462	48.82%	20.25%	30.92%	+0.36	+15.1	25
2015-01-10	@ Dundee	L 1-4	47.1	1462	1497	30.92%	20.25%	48.82%	-0.36	-15.1	17
2015-01-12	Dundee United	L 2-3	69.6	1600	1635	39.16%	20.47%	40.37%	-0.02	-7.1	39
2015-01-12	@ Hamilton Academical	W 3-2	69.6	1635	1600	40.37%	20.47%	39.16%	+0.02	+7.1	41
2015-01-17	Celtic	L 0-2	50.0	1593	1806	18.68%	18.87%	62.45%	-1.02	-7.9	39
2015-01-17	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	50.0	1806	1593	62.45%	18.87%	18.68%	+1.02	+7.9	45
2015-01-17	Dundee	D 3-3	82.0	1679	1512	63.95%	18.61%	17.44%	+1.10	-1.3	47
2015-01-17	@ Aberdeen	D 3-3	82.0	1512	1679	17.44%	18.61%	63.95%	-1.10	+1.3	26
2015-01-17	Partick Thistle	W 2-0	48.8	1557	1533	47.41%	20.32%	32.27%	+0.31	+12.8	32
2015-01-17	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	48.8	1533	1557	32.27%	20.32%	47.41%	-0.31	-12.8	21
2015-01-17	St. Mirren	L 1-2	54.0	1430	1418	45.74%	20.38%	33.88%	+0.24	-8.5	11
2015-01-17	@ Ross County	W 2-1	54.0	1418	1430	33.88%	20.38%	45.74%	-0.24	+8.5	14
2015-01-20	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	51.0	1596	1570	47.62%	20.31%	32.07%	+0.31	+12.7	44
2015-01-20	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	51.0	1570	1596	32.07%	20.31%	47.62%	-0.31	-12.7	32
2015-01-21	Dundee United	D 1-1	68.1	1426	1642	18.44%	18.82%	62.74%	-1.03	+2.0	15
2015-01-21	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	68.1	1642	1426	62.74%	18.82%	18.44%	+1.03	-2.0	42
2015-01-21	Hamilton Academical	W 5-0	51.6	1520	1585	34.94%	20.41%	44.65%	-0.19	+38.9	24
2015-01-21	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-5	51.6	1585	1520	44.65%	20.41%	34.94%	+0.19	-38.9	39
2015-01-21	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	48.7	1513	1488	47.51%	20.31%	32.17%	+0.31	+6.8	29
2015-01-21	@ Dundee	L 0-1	48.7	1488	1513	32.17%	20.31%	47.51%	-0.31	-6.8	27
2015-01-21	Motherwell	W 4-0	41.6	1814	1447	79.01%	14.16%	6.84%	+2.21	+5.3	48
2015-01-21	@ Celtic	L 0-4	41.6	1447	1814	6.84%	14.16%	79.01%	-2.21	-5.3	17
2015-01-23	Aberdeen	D 1-1	72.3	1557	1678	27.98%	20.07%	51.95%	-0.50	+1.0	33
2015-01-23	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	72.3	1678	1557	51.95%	20.07%	27.98%	+0.50	-1.0	48
2015-01-24	Celtic	L 0-1	46.9	1421	1819	7.90%	14.90%	77.20%	-2.05	-1.7	11
2015-01-24	@ Ross County	W 1-0	46.9	1819	1421	77.20%	14.90%	7.90%	+2.05	+1.7	51
2015-01-24	Dundee	L 1-2	52.9	1428	1520	31.46%	20.28%	48.26%	-0.34	-6.2	15
2015-01-24	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	52.9	1520	1428	48.26%	20.28%	31.46%	+0.34	+6.2	32
2015-01-24	Inverness CT	L 0-2	51.7	1546	1609	35.34%	20.42%	44.24%	-0.18	-13.8	39
2015-01-24	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	51.7	1609	1546	44.24%	20.42%	35.34%	+0.18	+13.8	47
2015-01-24	Motherwell	W 3-1	49.1	1640	1442	66.88%	18.02%	15.10%	+1.28	+5.5	45
2015-01-24	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	49.1	1442	1640	15.10%	18.02%	66.88%	-1.28	-5.5	17
2015-01-24	Partick Thistle	D 2-2	73.1	1482	1559	33.27%	20.36%	46.38%	-0.26	+0.4	28
2015-01-24	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	73.1	1559	1482	46.38%	20.36%	33.27%	+0.26	-0.4	25
2015-01-30	St. Mirren	L 0-1	56.2	1559	1422	60.90%	19.11%	19.99%	+0.93	-11.6	25
2015-01-30	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	56.2	1422	1559	19.99%	19.11%	60.90%	-0.93	+11.6	18
2015-01-31	Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	67.3	1526	1533	43.21%	20.44%	36.35%	+0.13	-0.3	33
2015-01-31	@ Dundee	D 1-1	67.3	1533	1526	36.35%	20.44%	43.21%	-0.13	+0.3	40
2015-01-31	Ross County	D 1-1	67.4	1622	1419	67.26%	17.94%	14.81%	+1.30	-2.4	48
2015-01-31	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	67.4	1419	1622	14.81%	17.94%	67.26%	-1.30	+2.4	12
2015-01-31	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	65.0	1436	1558	27.74%	20.05%	52.21%	-0.51	+1.1	18
2015-01-31	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	65.0	1558	1436	52.21%	20.05%	27.74%	+0.51	-1.1	34
2015-02-07	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	60.6	1533	1482	50.92%	20.14%	28.94%	+0.45	-1.1	41
2015-02-07	@ Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	60.6	1482	1533	28.94%	20.14%	50.92%	-0.45	+1.1	29
2015-02-07	Ross County	W 4-0	39.8	1677	1422	71.51%	16.84%	11.65%	+1.59	+9.3	51
2015-02-07	@ Aberdeen	L 0-4	39.8	1422	1677	11.65%	16.84%	71.51%	-1.59	-9.3	12
2015-02-11	Celtic	L 0-3	46.3	1547	1821	14.14%	17.74%	68.12%	-1.36	-8.7	25
2015-02-11	@ Partick Thistle	W 3-0	46.3	1821	1547	68.12%	17.74%	14.14%	+1.36	+8.7	54
2015-02-14	Celtic	L 1-2	57.9	1557	1830	14.24%	17.77%	67.99%	-1.35	-3.0	34
2015-02-14	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	57.9	1830	1557	67.99%	17.77%	14.24%	+1.35	+3.0	57
2015-02-14	Dundee United	W 3-2	72.2	1483	1646	23.34%	19.61%	57.05%	-0.74	+9.8	32
2015-02-14	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-3	72.2	1646	1483	57.05%	19.61%	23.34%	+0.74	-9.8	45
2015-02-14	Inverness CT	L 1-2	53.4	1434	1620	21.05%	19.29%	59.66%	-0.87	-4.4	18
2015-02-14	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	53.4	1620	1434	59.66%	19.29%	21.05%	+0.87	+4.4	51
2015-02-14	Motherwell	W 3-2	57.4	1413	1437	40.63%	20.47%	38.90%	+0.03	+7.1	15
2015-02-14	@ Ross County	L 2-3	57.4	1437	1413	38.90%	20.47%	40.63%	-0.03	-7.1	18
2015-02-14	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	52.6	1526	1538	42.35%	20.45%	37.20%	+0.10	+7.6	36
2015-02-14	@ Dundee	L 0-1	52.6	1538	1526	37.20%	20.45%	42.35%	-0.10	-7.6	25
2015-02-15	Aberdeen	L 0-3	47.9	1532	1686	24.24%	19.72%	56.05%	-0.69	-14.5	41
2015-02-15	@ Hamilton Academical	W 3-0	47.9	1686	1532	56.05%	19.72%	24.24%	+0.69	+14.5	54
2015-02-21	Dundee	L 0-1	46.6	1430	1534	29.98%	20.20%	49.82%	-0.41	-6.4	18
2015-02-21	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	46.6	1534	1430	49.82%	20.20%	29.98%	+0.41	+6.4	39
2015-02-21	Kilmarnock	D 3-3	79.8	1624	1493	60.35%	19.19%	20.46%	+0.90	-1.1	52
2015-02-21	@ Inverness CT	D 3-3	79.8	1493	1624	20.46%	19.19%	60.35%	-0.90	+1.1	33
2015-02-21	Ross County	L 1-3	57.7	1531	1420	58.14%	19.48%	22.38%	+0.79	-18.2	25
2015-02-21	@ Partick Thistle	W 3-1	57.7	1420	1531	22.38%	19.48%	58.14%	-0.79	+18.2	18
2015-02-21	St. Johnstone	L 0-2	58.2	1636	1554	54.71%	19.84%	25.44%	+0.62	-19.9	45
2015-02-21	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	58.2	1554	1636	25.44%	19.84%	54.71%	-0.62	+19.9	37
2015-02-21	St. Mirren	W 3-0	40.6	1700	1429	72.74%	16.47%	10.79%	+1.68	+6.6	57
2015-02-21	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	40.6	1429	1700	10.79%	16.47%	72.74%	-1.68	-6.6	18
2015-02-22	Hamilton Academical	W 4-0	43.7	1833	1517	75.82%	15.43%	8.75%	+1.93	+6.9	60
2015-02-22	@ Celtic	L 0-4	43.7	1517	1833	8.75%	15.43%	75.82%	-1.93	-6.9	41
2015-02-24	Inverness CT	D 1-1	72.2	1616	1623	43.09%	20.44%	36.46%	+0.13	-0.3	46
2015-02-24	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	72.2	1623	1616	36.46%	20.44%	43.09%	-0.13	+0.3	53
2015-02-28	Dundee	W 1-0	53.0	1438	1540	30.16%	20.21%	49.63%	-0.40	+9.7	21
2015-02-28	@ Ross County	L 0-1	53.0	1540	1438	49.63%	20.21%	30.16%	+0.40	-9.7	39
2015-02-28	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	50.9	1423	1510	31.97%	20.30%	47.73%	-0.32	+9.3	21
2015-02-28	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	50.9	1510	1423	47.73%	20.30%	31.97%	+0.32	-9.3	41
2015-02-28	Inverness CT	W 2-1	65.1	1424	1623	19.82%	19.08%	61.10%	-0.94	+11.0	21
2015-02-28	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	65.1	1623	1424	61.10%	19.08%	19.82%	+0.94	-11.0	53
2015-02-28	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	62.6	1574	1494	54.55%	19.86%	25.59%	+0.62	-1.4	38
2015-02-28	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	62.6	1494	1574	25.59%	19.86%	54.55%	-0.62	+1.4	34
2015-02-28	Partick Thistle	L 0-2	57.2	1616	1513	57.22%	19.59%	23.19%	+0.74	-20.7	46
2015-02-28	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	57.2	1513	1616	23.19%	19.59%	57.22%	-0.74	+20.7	28
2015-03-01	Aberdeen	W 4-0	49.3	1840	1707	60.48%	19.17%	20.35%	+0.91	+16.1	63
2015-03-01	@ Celtic	L 0-4	49.3	1707	1840	20.35%	19.17%	60.48%	-0.91	-16.2	57
2015-03-04	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	69.1	1856	1573	73.61%	16.19%	10.19%	+1.75	-13.8	63
2015-03-04	@ Celtic	W 1-0	69.1	1573	1856	10.19%	16.19%	73.61%	-1.75	+13.8	41
2015-03-07	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	62.5	1435	1495	35.54%	20.42%	44.03%	-0.17	+0.4	22
2015-03-07	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	62.5	1495	1435	44.03%	20.42%	35.54%	+0.17	-0.3	35
2015-03-07	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	52.5	1448	1533	32.21%	20.31%	47.48%	-0.31	+9.3	24
2015-03-07	@ Ross County	L 0-1	52.5	1533	1448	47.48%	20.31%	32.21%	+0.31	-9.3	28
2015-03-13	Motherwell	W 2-1	52.2	1691	1435	71.60%	16.82%	11.59%	+1.59	+2.5	60
2015-03-13	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	52.2	1435	1691	11.59%	16.82%	71.60%	-1.59	-2.5	22
2015-03-14	Ross County	D 2-2	70.1	1501	1457	50.06%	20.19%	29.75%	+0.42	-0.7	42
2015-03-14	@ Hamilton Academical	D 2-2	70.1	1457	1501	29.75%	20.19%	50.06%	-0.42	+0.7	25
2015-03-14	St. Johnstone	W 3-0	51.3	1524	1587	35.29%	20.42%	44.29%	-0.18	+24.0	31
2015-03-14	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-3	51.3	1587	1524	44.29%	20.42%	35.29%	+0.18	-24.0	41
2015-03-14	St. Mirren	W 1-0	44.5	1495	1432	52.43%	20.03%	27.54%	+0.52	+5.9	38
2015-03-14	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	44.5	1432	1495	27.54%	20.03%	52.43%	-0.52	-5.9	21
2015-03-20	Hamilton Academical	W 4-0	44.9	1433	1500	34.57%	20.40%	45.03%	-0.21	+31.8	25
2015-03-20	@ Motherwell	L 0-4	44.9	1500	1433	45.03%	20.40%	34.57%	+0.21	-31.8	42
2015-03-21	Aberdeen	D 1-1	72.2	1530	1693	23.31%	19.61%	57.08%	-0.74	+1.5	40
2015-03-21	@ Dundee	D 1-1	72.2	1693	1530	57.08%	19.61%	23.31%	+0.74	-1.5	61
2015-03-21	Dundee United	W 3-0	45.9	1842	1595	70.92%	17.01%	12.07%	+1.55	+7.4	66
2015-03-21	@ Celtic	L 0-3	45.9	1595	1842	12.07%	17.01%	70.92%	-1.55	-7.4	46
2015-03-21	Inverness CT	W 1-0	57.8	1548	1612	35.04%	20.41%	44.55%	-0.19	+8.8	34
2015-03-21	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-1	57.8	1612	1548	44.55%	20.41%	35.04%	+0.19	-8.8	53
2015-03-21	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	56.4	1457	1501	37.93%	20.46%	41.61%	-0.07	+7.8	28
2015-03-21	@ Ross County	L 1-2	56.4	1501	1457	41.61%	20.46%	37.93%	+0.07	-7.9	38
2015-03-21	St. Mirren	W 2-0	41.1	1563	1426	60.86%	19.12%	20.02%	+0.93	+8.4	44
2015-03-21	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	41.1	1426	1563	20.02%	19.12%	60.86%	-0.93	-8.4	21
2015-04-03	Celtic	L 0-2	43.6	1418	1849	6.73%	14.07%	79.20%	-2.23	-2.7	21
2015-04-03	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	43.6	1849	1418	79.20%	14.07%	6.73%	+2.23	+2.7	69
2015-04-04	Dundee	D 1-1	69.9	1604	1532	53.53%	19.95%	26.52%	+0.57	-1.2	54
2015-04-04	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	69.9	1532	1604	26.52%	19.95%	53.53%	-0.57	+1.2	41
2015-04-04	Motherwell	L 1-2	58.2	1493	1464	48.00%	20.29%	31.71%	+0.33	-8.8	38
2015-04-04	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	58.2	1464	1493	31.71%	20.29%	48.00%	-0.33	+8.8	28
2015-04-04	Partick Thistle	D 0-0	67.7	1692	1557	60.71%	19.14%	20.15%	+0.92	-2.1	62
2015-04-04	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	67.7	1557	1692	20.15%	19.14%	60.71%	-0.92	+2.1	35
2015-04-04	Ross County	L 1-2	64.9	1588	1465	59.36%	19.33%	21.31%	+0.85	-10.7	46
2015-04-04	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	64.9	1465	1588	21.31%	19.33%	59.36%	-0.85	+10.7	31
2015-04-04	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	66.6	1469	1571	30.14%	20.21%	49.65%	-0.40	+0.8	43
2015-04-04	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	66.6	1571	1469	49.65%	20.21%	30.14%	+0.40	-0.9	45
2015-04-07	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	55.3	1476	1570	31.17%	20.27%	48.57%	-0.35	+9.5	34
2015-04-07	@ Ross County	L 0-1	55.3	1570	1476	48.57%	20.27%	31.17%	+0.35	-9.5	45
2015-04-07	St. Mirren	W 5-0	38.8	1473	1415	51.84%	20.07%	28.08%	+0.49	+26.6	31
2015-04-07	@ Motherwell	L 0-5	38.8	1415	1473	28.08%	20.07%	51.84%	-0.49	-26.6	21
2015-04-08	Dundee United	W 3-1	58.8	1533	1577	37.87%	20.46%	41.67%	-0.07	+13.6	44
2015-04-08	@ Dundee	L 1-3	58.8	1577	1533	41.67%	20.46%	37.87%	+0.07	-13.6	46
2015-04-08	Inverness CT	W 1-0	54.3	1690	1602	55.38%	19.78%	24.83%	+0.66	+5.4	65
2015-04-08	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	54.3	1602	1690	24.83%	19.78%	55.38%	-0.66	-5.4	54
2015-04-08	Partick Thistle	W 2-0	46.6	1852	1559	74.33%	15.95%	9.72%	+1.80	+4.1	72
2015-04-08	@ Celtic	L 0-2	46.6	1559	1852	9.72%	15.95%	74.33%	-1.80	-4.1	35
2015-04-11	Celtic	D 1-1	75.2	1597	1856	15.13%	18.03%	66.83%	-1.27	+2.4	55
2015-04-11	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	75.2	1856	1597	66.83%	18.03%	15.13%	+1.27	-2.4	73
2015-04-11	Dundee	W 1-0	52.9	1561	1547	46.02%	20.37%	33.61%	+0.25	+7.0	48
2015-04-11	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	52.9	1547	1561	33.61%	20.37%	46.02%	-0.25	-7.0	44
2015-04-11	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	47.3	1563	1469	56.16%	19.70%	24.14%	+0.69	+5.3	49
2015-04-11	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	47.3	1469	1563	24.14%	19.70%	56.16%	-0.69	-5.3	43
2015-04-11	Motherwell	W 2-0	46.3	1555	1500	51.44%	20.10%	28.46%	+0.48	+11.5	38
2015-04-11	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-2	46.3	1500	1555	28.46%	20.10%	51.44%	-0.48	-11.5	31
2015-04-12	Aberdeen	L 1-2	56.5	1484	1695	18.85%	18.91%	62.24%	-1.00	-4.0	38
2015-04-12	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	56.5	1695	1484	62.24%	18.91%	18.85%	+1.00	+4.0	68
2015-04-13	Ross County	L 0-3	38.9	1388	1486	30.78%	20.25%	48.97%	-0.37	-17.8	21
2015-04-13	@ St. Mirren	W 3-0	38.9	1486	1388	48.97%	20.25%	30.78%	+0.37	+17.8	37
2015-04-15	Kilmarnock	W 4-1	48.0	1854	1480	79.37%	14.00%	6.63%	+2.25	+3.3	76
2015-04-15	@ Celtic	L 1-4	48.0	1480	1854	6.63%	14.00%	79.37%	-2.25	-3.3	38
2015-04-18	Dundee United	W 1-0	52.5	1699	1569	60.24%	19.21%	20.55%	+0.90	+4.6	71
2015-04-18	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	52.5	1569	1699	20.55%	19.21%	60.24%	-0.90	-4.5	49
2015-04-22	Celtic	L 1-2	56.8	1540	1857	11.55%	16.80%	71.65%	-1.60	-2.4	44
2015-04-22	@ Dundee	W 2-1	56.8	1857	1540	71.65%	16.80%	11.55%	+1.60	+2.4	79
2015-05-05	Dundee United	W 2-1	60.4	1594	1567	47.75%	20.30%	31.94%	+0.32	+6.3	58
2015-05-05	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	60.4	1567	1594	31.94%	20.30%	47.75%	-0.32	-6.3	49

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2015-04-24	Motherwell	W 2-0	45.8	1464	1488	40.68%	20.47%	38.85%	+0.04	+14.9	3
2015-04-24	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-2	45.8	1488	1464	38.85%	20.47%	40.68%	-0.04	-14.9	0
2015-04-25	Aberdeen	L 1-2	62.5	1599	1704	29.90%	20.20%	49.90%	-0.41	-6.0	0
2015-04-25	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	62.5	1704	1599	49.90%	20.20%	29.90%	+0.41	+6.0	3
2015-04-25	Kilmarnock	W 4-1	49.3	1371	1477	29.64%	20.18%	50.18%	-0.42	+22.5	3
2015-04-25	@ St. Mirren	L 1-4	49.3	1477	1371	50.18%	20.18%	29.64%	+0.42	-22.5	0
2015-04-25	Partick Thistle	L 1-2	58.6	1503	1566	35.23%	20.42%	44.36%	-0.18	-6.9	0
2015-04-25	@ Ross County	W 2-1	58.6	1566	1503	44.36%	20.42%	35.23%	+0.18	+6.9	3
2015-04-25	St. Johnstone	L 0-2	51.6	1537	1568	39.79%	20.47%	39.74%	+0.00	-15.2	0
2015-04-25	@ Dundee	W 2-0	51.6	1568	1537	39.74%	20.47%	39.79%	+0.00	+15.2	3
2015-04-26	Celtic	L 0-3	46.2	1564	1860	12.79%	17.28%	69.92%	-1.48	-7.9	0
2015-04-26	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	46.2	1860	1564	69.92%	17.28%	12.79%	+1.48	+7.9	3
2015-05-01	Dundee	W 5-0	44.0	1867	1522	77.72%	14.69%	7.59%	+2.09	+7.3	6
2015-05-01	@ Celtic	L 0-5	44.0	1522	1867	7.59%	14.69%	77.72%	-2.09	-7.3	0
2015-05-02	Aberdeen	W 1-0	63.2	1556	1710	24.29%	19.72%	55.99%	-0.68	+10.8	3
2015-05-02	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	63.2	1710	1556	55.99%	19.72%	24.29%	+0.68	-10.8	3
2015-05-02	Hamilton Academical	L 2-3	60.6	1454	1479	40.61%	20.47%	38.92%	+0.03	-7.3	0
2015-05-02	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-2	60.6	1479	1454	38.92%	20.47%	40.61%	-0.03	+7.3	6
2015-05-02	Inverness CT	D 1-1	70.9	1583	1593	42.60%	20.45%	36.95%	+0.11	-0.2	4
2015-05-02	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	70.9	1593	1583	36.95%	20.45%	42.60%	-0.11	+0.2	1
2015-05-02	Ross County	D 1-1	64.0	1473	1496	40.85%	20.47%	38.69%	+0.04	-0.1	1
2015-05-02	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	64.0	1496	1473	38.69%	20.47%	40.85%	-0.04	+0.1	1
2015-05-02	St. Mirren	W 3-0	37.1	1573	1393	65.19%	18.37%	16.43%	+1.17	+10.1	6
2015-05-02	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-3	37.1	1393	1573	16.43%	18.37%	65.19%	-1.17	-10.1	3
2015-05-08	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	49.0	1473	1447	47.69%	20.31%	32.00%	+0.32	+11.0	4
2015-05-08	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	49.0	1447	1473	32.00%	20.31%	47.69%	-0.32	-11.0	0
2015-05-09	Dundee United	D 1-1	70.0	1582	1561	47.11%	20.33%	32.56%	+0.29	-0.6	5
2015-05-09	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	70.0	1561	1582	32.56%	20.33%	47.11%	-0.29	+0.6	4
2015-05-09	Inverness CT	L 0-1	52.8	1515	1600	32.28%	20.32%	47.40%	-0.30	-6.8	0
2015-05-09	@ Dundee	W 1-0	52.8	1600	1515	47.40%	20.32%	32.28%	+0.30	+6.8	4
2015-05-09	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	67.7	1486	1583	30.80%	20.25%	48.95%	-0.37	+0.8	7
2015-05-09	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	67.7	1583	1486	48.95%	20.25%	30.80%	+0.37	-0.8	7
2015-05-09	St. Mirren	L 1-2	58.4	1497	1383	58.40%	19.45%	22.15%	+0.80	-10.5	1
2015-05-09	@ Ross County	W 2-1	58.4	1383	1497	22.15%	19.45%	58.40%	-0.80	+10.5	6
2015-05-10	Celtic	L 0-1	55.1	1699	1875	22.03%	19.43%	58.54%	-0.81	-4.9	3
2015-05-10	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	55.1	1875	1699	58.54%	19.43%	22.03%	+0.81	+4.8	9
2015-05-15	Celtic	D 0-0	70.3	1582	1880	12.67%	17.24%	70.10%	-1.49	+3.0	6
2015-05-15	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	70.3	1880	1582	70.10%	17.24%	12.67%	+1.49	-3.0	10
2015-05-16	Aberdeen	D 1-1	71.8	1508	1694	21.06%	19.29%	59.65%	-0.87	+1.7	1
2015-05-16	@ Dundee	D 1-1	71.8	1694	1508	59.65%	19.29%	21.06%	+0.87	-1.7	4
2015-05-16	Dundee United	W 3-0	48.5	1607	1561	50.23%	20.18%	29.59%	+0.42	+17.3	7
2015-05-16	@ Inverness CT	L 0-3	48.5	1561	1607	29.59%	20.18%	50.23%	-0.42	-17.3	4
2015-05-16	Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	55.1	1486	1487	43.94%	20.43%	35.63%	+0.16	+6.9	4
2015-05-16	@ Ross County	L 1-2	55.1	1487	1486	35.63%	20.43%	43.94%	-0.16	-6.9	7
2015-05-16	Kilmarnock	L 1-4	58.3	1583	1436	61.90%	18.96%	19.14%	+0.99	-27.3	7
2015-05-16	@ Partick Thistle	W 4-1	58.3	1436	1583	19.14%	18.96%	61.90%	-0.99	+27.3	3
2015-05-16	Motherwell	W 2-1	55.6	1394	1484	31.58%	20.29%	48.14%	-0.34	+8.9	9
2015-05-16	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	55.6	1484	1394	48.14%	20.29%	31.58%	+0.34	-8.9	4
2015-05-23	Partick Thistle	D 0-0	61.1	1476	1555	33.00%	20.35%	46.66%	-0.27	+0.7	5
2015-05-23	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	61.1	1555	1476	46.66%	20.35%	33.00%	+0.27	-0.7	8
2015-05-23	Ross County	L 1-2	55.8	1463	1493	39.90%	20.47%	39.63%	+0.01	-7.6	3
2015-05-23	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	55.8	1493	1463	39.63%	20.47%	39.90%	-0.01	+7.6	7
2015-05-23	St. Mirren	W 1-0	42.5	1480	1402	54.25%	19.89%	25.87%	+0.60	+5.6	10
2015-05-23	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	42.5	1402	1480	25.87%	19.89%	54.25%	-0.60	-5.6	9
2015-05-24	Dundee	W 3-0	45.3	1544	1510	48.75%	20.26%	31.00%	+0.36	+17.9	7
2015-05-24	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	45.3	1510	1544	31.00%	20.26%	48.75%	-0.36	-17.9	1
2015-05-24	Inverness CT	W 5-0	46.4	1877	1624	71.35%	16.89%	11.76%	+1.58	+11.6	13
2015-05-24	@ Celtic	L 0-5	46.4	1624	1877	11.76%	16.89%	71.35%	-1.58	-11.6	7
2015-05-24	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	63.9	1692	1585	57.71%	19.53%	22.76%	+0.77	-11.1	4
2015-05-24	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	63.9	1585	1692	22.76%	19.53%	57.71%	-0.77	+11.1	9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2015-03-04	10.19%	St. Johnstone	1573	1	@ Celtic	1856	0
2	2014-10-05	12.83%	Hamilton Academical	1562	1	@ Celtic	1796	0
3	2014-08-23	18.81%	@ Inverness CT	1596	1	Celtic	1808	0
4	2015-05-16	19.14%	Kilmarnock	1436	4	@ Partick Thistle	1583	1
5	2015-02-28	19.82%	@ Motherwell	1424	2	Inverness CT	1623	1
6	2015-01-30	19.99%	St. Mirren	1422	1	@ Partick Thistle	1559	0
7	2014-12-21	20.25%	@ Dundee United	1621	2	Celtic	1816	1
8	2014-12-13	20.32%	Partick Thistle	1500	4	@ Inverness CT	1633	0
9	2015-04-04	21.31%	Ross County	1465	2	@ Dundee United	1588	1
10	2014-11-08	21.97%	Ross County	1417	3	@ Kilmarnock	1533	0
11	2015-05-09	22.15%	St. Mirren	1383	2	@ Ross County	1497	1
12	2015-02-21	22.38%	Ross County	1420	3	@ Partick Thistle	1531	1
13	2014-12-27	22.39%	St. Mirren	1417	3	@ Dundee	1529	1
14	2015-05-24	22.76%	St. Johnstone	1585	1	@ Aberdeen	1692	0
15	2015-02-28	23.19%	Partick Thistle	1513	2	@ Dundee United	1616	0
16	2015-02-14	23.34%	@ Kilmarnock	1483	3	Dundee United	1646	2
17	2014-11-07	23.90%	@ Motherwell	1480	1	Dundee United	1637	0
18	2015-05-02	24.29%	@ Dundee United	1556	1	Aberdeen	1710	0
19	2014-10-04	24.44%	St. Mirren	1462	2	@ St. Johnstone	1553	1
20	2015-02-21	25.44%	St. Johnstone	1554	2	@ Dundee United	1636	0
21	2014-09-19	26.78%	St. Mirren	1453	2	@ Partick Thistle	1523	1
22	2014-09-13	27.34%	Dundee	1516	1	@ St. Johnstone	1580	0
23	2014-10-03	27.72%	@ Kilmarnock	1526	2	Dundee United	1648	0
24	2014-09-13	29.04%	@ Partick Thistle	1507	3	Inverness CT	1618	1
25	2015-04-25	29.64%	@ St. Mirren	1371	4	Kilmarnock	1477	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-12-13	41.36	Partick Thistle	4	1500	20.32%	@ Inverness CT	0	1633	60.51%	19.17%
2	2015-01-21	38.94	@ Partick Thistle	5	1520	34.94%	Hamilton Academical	0	1585	44.65%	20.41%
3	2014-09-27	33.06	Hamilton Academical	4	1529	32.56%	@ Motherwell	0	1551	47.11%	20.33%
4	2015-03-20	31.82	@ Motherwell	4	1433	34.57%	Hamilton Academical	0	1500	45.03%	20.40%
5	2014-11-08	30.74	Ross County	3	1417	21.97%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1533	58.60%	19.43%
6	2015-05-16	27.27	Kilmarnock	4	1436	19.14%	@ Partick Thistle	1	1583	61.90%	18.96%
7	2015-04-07	26.57	@ Motherwell	5	1473	51.84%	St. Mirren	0	1415	28.08%	20.07%
8	2014-08-13	26.00	@ Partick Thistle	4	1500	44.49%	Ross County	0	1498	35.10%	20.41%
9	2015-01-01	25.37	@ Hamilton Academical	5	1567	53.42%	Motherwell	0	1496	26.63%	19.96%
10	2014-08-10	25.33	Dundee United	3	1585	32.50%	@ Aberdeen	0	1607	47.17%	20.33%
11	2015-03-14	24.02	@ Partick Thistle	3	1524	35.29%	St. Johnstone	0	1587	44.29%	20.42%
12	2014-10-17	22.64	@ Hamilton Academical	3	1575	38.33%	Aberdeen	0	1616	41.21%	20.46%
13	2015-04-25	22.54	@ St. Mirren	4	1371	29.64%	Kilmarnock	1	1477	50.18%	20.18%
14	2014-08-30	22.43	@ Hamilton Academical	4	1506	50.41%	Ross County	0	1459	29.42%	20.17%
15	2015-02-28	20.71	Partick Thistle	2	1513	23.19%	@ Dundee United	0	1616	57.22%	19.59%
16	2014-09-27	20.57	@ Kilmarnock	3	1505	42.99%	Partick Thistle	0	1513	36.57%	20.44%
17	2015-02-21	19.87	St. Johnstone	2	1554	25.44%	@ Dundee United	0	1636	54.71%	19.84%
18	2014-10-03	19.07	@ Kilmarnock	2	1526	27.72%	Dundee United	0	1648	52.23%	20.05%
19	2014-12-06	18.64	@ Aberdeen	3	1606	47.25%	Hamilton Academical	0	1583	32.43%	20.32%
20	2014-12-27	18.19	St. Mirren	3	1417	22.39%	@ Dundee	1	1529	58.13%	19.48%
21	2015-02-21	18.19	Ross County	3	1420	22.38%	@ Partick Thistle	1	1531	58.14%	19.48%
22	2015-05-24	17.95	@ Dundee United	3	1544	48.75%	Dundee	0	1510	31.00%	20.26%
23	2015-04-13	17.85	Ross County	3	1486	48.97%	@ St. Mirren	0	1388	30.78%	20.25%
24	2014-08-13	17.79	Hamilton Academical	2	1471	31.46%	@ St. Mirren	0	1501	48.26%	20.28%
25	2014-10-25	17.60	@ Dundee	2	1511	32.03%	Hamilton Academical	0	1598	47.67%	20.31%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-01-17	82.0	@ Aberdeen	3	1679	63.95%	Dundee	3	1512	17.44%	18.61%
2	2015-02-21	79.8	@ Inverness CT	3	1624	60.35%	Kilmarnock	3	1493	20.46%	19.19%
3	2014-11-01	78.4	@ Hamilton Academical	3	1580	54.48%	Partick Thistle	3	1501	25.65%	19.87%
4	2015-01-04	77.2	@ Partick Thistle	2	1532	30.01%	Dundee United	2	1636	49.78%	20.20%
5	2014-09-13	77.0	@ Dundee United	2	1623	56.25%	Hamilton Academical	2	1529	24.06%	19.70%
6	2015-04-11	75.2	@ Inverness CT	1	1597	15.13%	Celtic	1	1856	66.83%	18.03%
7	2014-09-21	74.7	@ Celtic	1	1797	71.01%	Motherwell	1	1548	12.00%	16.99%
8	2014-09-30	74.7	@ Aberdeen	2	1612	62.40%	St. Mirren	2	1461	18.72%	18.88%
9	2014-08-31	74.2	@ Dundee	1	1513	13.57%	Celtic	1	1796	68.88%	17.55%
10	2015-01-24	73.1	@ Kilmarnock	2	1482	33.27%	Partick Thistle	2	1559	46.38%	20.36%
11	2014-12-21	72.5	@ Dundee United	2	1621	20.25%	Celtic	1	1816	60.59%	19.16%
12	2015-01-23	72.3	@ St. Johnstone	1	1557	27.98%	Aberdeen	1	1678	51.95%	20.07%
13	2015-02-14	72.2	@ Kilmarnock	3	1483	23.34%	Dundee United	2	1646	57.05%	19.61%
14	2015-02-24	72.2	@ Dundee United	1	1616	43.09%	Inverness CT	1	1623	36.46%	20.44%
15	2015-03-21	72.2	@ Dundee	1	1530	23.31%	Aberdeen	1	1693	57.08%	19.61%
16	2015-05-16	71.8	@ Dundee	1	1508	21.06%	Aberdeen	1	1694	59.65%	19.29%
17	2015-05-02	70.9	@ St. Johnstone	1	1583	42.60%	Inverness CT	1	1593	36.95%	20.45%
18	2015-05-15	70.3	@ St. Johnstone	0	1582	12.67%	Celtic	0	1880	70.10%	17.24%
19	2015-03-14	70.1	@ Hamilton Academical	2	1501	50.06%	Ross County	2	1457	29.75%	20.19%
20	2015-05-09	70.0	@ St. Johnstone	1	1582	47.11%	Dundee United	1	1561	32.56%	20.33%
21	2015-04-04	69.9	@ Inverness CT	1	1604	53.53%	Dundee	1	1532	26.52%	19.95%
22	2015-01-12	69.6	Dundee United	3	1635	40.37%	@ Hamilton Academical	2	1600	39.16%	20.47%
23	2015-03-04	69.1	St. Johnstone	1	1573	10.19%	@ Celtic	0	1856	73.61%	16.19%
24	2014-12-27	69.0	@ Celtic	0	1805	79.21%	Ross County	0	1434	6.72%	14.07%
25	2014-12-13	68.7	@ Motherwell	2	1480	49.69%	Ross County	2	1439	30.10%	20.21%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-05-02	37.1	@ Partick Thistle	3	1573	65.19%	St. Mirren	0	1393	16.43%	18.37%
2	2015-04-07	38.8	@ Motherwell	5	1473	51.84%	St. Mirren	0	1415	28.08%	20.07%
3	2015-04-13	38.9	Ross County	3	1486	48.97%	@ St. Mirren	0	1388	30.78%	20.25%
4	2014-09-20	39.8	@ Aberdeen	3	1595	63.61%	Ross County	0	1431	17.72%	18.67%
5	2015-02-07	39.8	@ Aberdeen	4	1677	71.51%	Ross County	0	1422	11.65%	16.84%
6	2015-02-21	40.6	@ Aberdeen	3	1700	72.74%	St. Mirren	0	1429	10.79%	16.47%
7	2014-11-22	40.8	@ Hamilton Academical	3	1570	59.43%	St. Mirren	0	1447	21.25%	19.32%
8	2015-03-21	41.1	@ St. Johnstone	2	1563	60.86%	St. Mirren	0	1426	20.02%	19.12%
9	2014-08-30	41.4	@ Hamilton Academical	4	1506	50.41%	Ross County	0	1459	29.42%	20.17%
10	2015-01-21	41.6	@ Celtic	4	1814	79.01%	Motherwell	0	1447	6.84%	14.16%
11	2014-11-01	42.3	@ Dundee United	3	1626	63.27%	St. Mirren	0	1466	18.00%	18.73%
12	2015-05-23	42.5	@ Hamilton Academical	1	1480	54.25%	St. Mirren	0	1402	25.87%	19.89%
13	2014-10-18	42.7	Celtic	5	1783	74.14%	@ Ross County	0	1431	9.84%	16.02%
14	2015-01-10	43.5	Aberdeen	2	1672	65.78%	@ St. Mirren	0	1425	15.96%	18.26%
15	2015-04-03	43.6	Celtic	2	1849	79.20%	@ St. Mirren	0	1418	6.73%	14.07%
16	2015-02-22	43.7	@ Celtic	4	1833	75.82%	Hamilton Academical	0	1517	8.75%	15.43%
17	2015-05-01	44.0	@ Celtic	5	1867	77.72%	Dundee	0	1522	7.59%	14.69%
18	2014-08-13	44.3	@ Partick Thistle	4	1500	44.49%	Ross County	0	1498	35.10%	20.41%
19	2015-03-14	44.5	@ Kilmarnock	1	1495	52.43%	St. Mirren	0	1432	27.54%	20.03%
20	2015-01-01	44.6	@ Hamilton Academical	5	1567	53.42%	Motherwell	0	1496	26.63%	19.96%
21	2015-01-04	44.6	@ Inverness CT	1	1586	62.96%	St. Mirren	0	1429	18.25%	18.79%
22	2014-08-30	44.9	Dundee United	3	1608	53.50%	@ St. Mirren	0	1475	26.55%	19.95%
23	2015-03-20	44.9	@ Motherwell	4	1433	34.57%	Hamilton Academical	0	1500	45.03%	20.40%
24	2015-05-24	45.3	@ Dundee United	3	1544	48.75%	Dundee	0	1510	31.00%	20.26%
25	2014-09-27	45.7	@ Kilmarnock	3	1505	42.99%	Partick Thistle	0	1513	36.57%	20.44%