2015-16 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

86 points · 47th Title

Last Title: 2014-15

Relegated

Dundee United

28 pts

Biggest Overachiever

St. Johnstone

6.38 points above expected

56 points · 49.62 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aberdeen

5.16 points below expected

71 points · 76.16 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	23	7	3	76	78	25	+53	74.49	+1.51
2	Aberdeen	33	21	5	7	68	56	36	+20	58.88	+9.12
3	Heart of Midlothian	33	17	9	7	60	54	33	+21	53.26	+6.74
4	Motherwell	33	13	5	15	44	41	49	-8	36.29	+7.71
5	St. Johnstone	33	12	7	14	43	48	51	-3	48.22	-5.22
6	Ross County	33	13	4	16	43	48	55	-7	41.08	+1.92
7	Dundee	33	9	14	10	41	48	49	-1	40.27	+0.73
8	Partick Thistle	33	11	8	14	41	32	39	-7	42.24	-1.24
9	Inverness CT	33	10	10	13	40	40	43	-3	46.28	-6.28
10	Hamilton Academical	33	9	9	15	36	36	55	-19	39.14	-3.14
11	Kilmarnock	33	8	8	17	32	33	54	-21	31.18	+0.82
12	Dundee United*	33	6	6	21	21	33	58	-25	34.75	-13.75

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	38	26	8	4	86	93	31	+62	87.22	-1.22
2	Aberdeen	38	22	5	11	71	62	48	+14	76.16	-5.16
3	Heart of Midlothian	38	18	11	9	65	59	40	+19	67.53	-2.53
4	St. Johnstone	38	16	8	14	56	58	55	+3	49.62	+6.38
5	Inverness CT	38	14	10	14	52	54	48	+6	49.53	+2.47
6	Motherwell	38	15	5	18	50	47	63	-16	47.69	+2.31
7	Dundee	38	11	15	12	48	53	57	-4	48.71	-0.71
8	Ross County	38	14	6	18	48	55	61	-6	47.59	+0.41
9	Partick Thistle	38	12	10	16	46	41	50	-9	47.58	-1.58
10	Hamilton Academical	38	11	10	17	43	42	63	-21	42.07	+0.93
11	Kilmarnock	38	9	9	20	36	41	64	-23	37.53	-1.53
12	Dundee United* Relegated	38	8	7	23	28	45	70	-25	27.04	+0.96

* Point deductions: Dundee United (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	St. Johnstone	56	49.62	+6.38
2	Inverness CT	52	49.53	+2.47
3	Motherwell	50	47.69	+2.31
4	Dundee United	28	27.04	+0.96
5	Hamilton Academical	43	42.07	+0.93

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Aberdeen	71	76.16	-5.16
2	Heart of Midlothian	65	67.53	-2.53
3	Partick Thistle	46	47.58	-1.58
4	Kilmarnock	36	37.53	-1.53
5	Celtic	86	87.22	-1.22

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	5	Feb 27 – Apr 2	1 in 425
2	Aberdeen	8	Aug 2 – Sep 20	1 in 326
3	Heart of Midlothian	5	Aug 2 – Aug 22	1 in 50
4	Partick Thistle	4	Nov 21 – Dec 19	1 in 44
5	Hamilton Academical	3	Aug 15 – Aug 29	1 in 39

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Partick Thistle	5	Aug 22 – Sep 26	1 in 71
2	Aberdeen	3	Sep 26 – Oct 16	1 in 64
3	Hamilton Academical	4	Dec 12 – Dec 30	1 in 50
4	Dundee United	4	Aug 15 – Sep 12	1 in 47
5	Heart of Midlothian	3	Aug 29 – Sep 20	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	5	Nov 28 – Jan 2	1 in 58
2	Aberdeen	12	Nov 7 – Feb 6	1 in 47
3	Partick Thistle	6	Nov 7 – Dec 30	1 in 25
4	Dundee	5	Jan 30 – Mar 2	1 in 23
5	Heart of Midlothian	8	Sep 26 – Nov 28	1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dundee United	10	Aug 11 – Oct 25	1 in 62
2	Partick Thistle	9	Aug 1 – Sep 26	1 in 46
3	Dundee	8	Oct 17 – Dec 12	1 in 29
4	Aberdeen	5	Sep 26 – Oct 31	1 in 27
5	St. Johnstone	7	Dec 13 – Feb 12	1 in 26

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	1825	86	+5	10	11.2	-1.2
Aberdeen	1596	71	-56	3	8.0	-5.0
Heart of Midlothian	1615	65	-8	5	7.3	-2.3
St. Johnstone	1573	56	+42	13	5.9	+7.1
Inverness CT	1586	52	+34	12	8.8	+3.2
Motherwell	1484	50	-4	6	4.7	+1.3
Dundee	1501	48	-17	7	7.8	-0.8
Ross County	1501	48	+21	5	4.6	+0.4
Partick Thistle	1503	46	-9	5	7.4	-2.4
Hamilton Academical	1440	43	-11	7	5.9	+1.1
Kilmarnock	1428	36	+0	4	5.7	-1.7
Dundee United	1452	31	+3	7	5.8	+1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DUN	DU	HA	HOM	IC	KIL	MOT	PT	RC	SJ
Aberdeen	—	2-0-2 3.17	3-0-0 5.66	3-0-0 5.61	2-1-0 5.91	2-0-2 6.24	0-1-2 5.38	3-0-0 6.41	2-1-1 7.88	2-1-0 5.59	2-0-2 7.38	1-1-2 7.20
Celtic	2-0-2 7.97	—	1-2-0 6.98	3-0-0 7.06	2-1-0 7.15	2-2-0 8.42	3-0-0 6.63	1-2-0 7.41	3-0-1 9.64	3-0-0 6.80	3-1-0 9.40	3-0-1 8.75
Dundee	0-0-3 2.67	0-2-1 1.52	—	2-2-0 6.13	1-1-2 6.15	0-1-2 3.10	0-3-1 4.80	1-2-1 6.58	1-1-1 4.73	3-1-0 5.36	1-1-1 4.13	2-1-0 3.40
Dundee United	0-0-3 2.72	0-0-3 1.45	0-2-2 4.92	—	0-1-3 5.62	1-0-2 2.60	1-2-1 4.09	2-1-1 6.01	1-0-2 4.29	0-1-3 4.87	2-0-1 3.52	1-0-2 2.98
Hamilton Academical	0-1-2 2.44	0-1-2 1.37	2-1-1 4.90	3-1-0 5.42	—	1-1-1 2.88	2-0-2 4.14	2-0-2 6.39	1-1-1 4.22	0-3-1 4.86	0-0-3 3.79	0-1-2 3.27
Heart of Midlothian	2-0-2 4.80	0-2-2 2.77	2-1-0 5.21	2-0-1 5.74	1-1-1 5.44	—	1-1-1 4.86	1-2-0 6.13	2-1-1 7.49	3-0-0 5.18	3-1-0 6.86	1-2-1 6.28
Inverness CT	2-1-0 2.93	0-0-3 1.81	1-3-0 6.24	1-2-1 6.98	2-0-2 6.93	1-1-1 3.43	—	2-0-2 7.49	1-0-2 5.14	1-2-1 6.32	3-0-0 4.42	0-1-2 4.07
Kilmarnock	0-0-3 2.00	0-2-1 1.17	1-2-1 4.47	1-1-2 5.03	2-0-2 4.66	0-2-1 2.24	2-0-2 3.61	—	1-0-2 3.69	0-2-2 4.36	0-0-3 3.27	2-0-1 2.62
Motherwell	1-1-2 3.25	1-0-3 1.75	1-1-1 3.55	2-0-1 3.98	1-1-1 4.05	1-1-2 3.61	2-0-1 3.16	2-0-1 4.59	—	2-0-1 3.56	1-1-2 4.83	1-0-3 4.09
Partick Thistle	0-1-2 2.73	0-0-3 1.66	0-1-3 5.67	3-1-0 6.17	1-3-0 6.19	0-0-3 3.12	1-2-1 4.72	2-2-0 6.70	1-0-2 4.73	—	1-0-2 4.11	3-0-0 3.49
Ross County	2-0-2 3.72	0-1-3 1.95	1-1-1 4.15	1-0-2 4.77	3-0-0 4.49	0-1-3 4.20	0-0-3 3.86	3-0-0 5.03	2-1-1 6.21	2-0-1 4.17	—	0-2-2 4.56
St. Johnstone	2-1-1 3.88	1-0-3 2.48	0-1-2 4.89	2-0-1 5.33	2-1-0 5.02	1-2-1 4.77	2-1-0 4.20	1-0-2 5.71	3-0-1 6.98	0-0-3 4.80	2-2-0 6.48	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.79	+9.7
Allowed	0.81	-12.5
Differential	0.89	+6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.58%	7.89%	5.70%	2.85%	1.97%	0.88%	25.88%
1	7.89%	9.65%	10.09%	3.73%	1.10%	0.66%	33.11%
2	5.70%	10.09%	5.26%	1.54%	0.88%	0.66%	24.12%
3	2.85%	3.73%	1.54%	1.32%	0.66%	—	10.09%
4	1.97%	1.10%	0.88%	0.66%	—	—	4.61%
5+	0.88%	0.66%	0.66%	—	—	—	2.19%
Total	25.88%	33.11%	24.12%	10.09%	4.61%	2.19%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.43	1.43	+0.00
SD	1.28	1.28	1.92
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	8	8	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	13.16%
1	13.16%	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	36.84%
2	13.16%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
3	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.21%	31.58%	15.79%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.63	1.26	+0.37
SD	1.10	1.29	1.85
CV	0.67	1.02	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	—	—	—	—	—	10.53%
1	7.89%	5.26%	10.53%	—	—	—	23.68%
2	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	5.26%	18.42%	2.63%	—	—	—	26.32%
4	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
Total	39.47%	39.47%	21.05%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.45	0.82	+1.63
SD	1.84	0.77	2.01
CV	0.75	0.94	—
Max	8	2	+7
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	2.63%	26.32%
1	2.63%	21.05%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	34.21%
2	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	—	—	2.63%	26.32%
3	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
4	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	18.42%	42.11%	26.32%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.50	-0.11
SD	1.28	1.33	1.90
CV	0.92	0.89	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	31.58%
1	5.26%	5.26%	21.05%	5.26%	2.63%	—	39.47%
2	2.63%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	2.63%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	13.16%	23.68%	39.47%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.84	-0.66
SD	1.20	1.17	1.79
CV	1.02	0.64	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	34.21%
1	10.53%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	36.84%
2	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	15.79%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	31.58%	18.42%	7.89%	13.16%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.66	-0.55
SD	1.09	1.70	1.97
CV	0.98	1.02	—
Max	4	8	+4
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
1	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	31.58%
2	10.53%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
3	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	44.74%	21.05%	18.42%	15.79%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.05	+0.50
SD	1.31	1.14	1.77
CV	0.84	1.08	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
1	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
2	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	26.32%
3	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	42.11%	21.05%	10.53%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.26	+0.16
SD	1.24	1.03	1.64
CV	0.88	0.82	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	—	7.89%	—	36.84%
1	2.63%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	2.63%	26.32%
2	5.26%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	31.58%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	31.58%	26.32%	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.68	-0.61
SD	1.02	1.44	1.85
CV	0.95	0.85	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	5.26%	23.68%
1	13.16%	5.26%	18.42%	2.63%	2.63%	—	42.11%
2	2.63%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	34.21%	31.58%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.66	-0.42
SD	0.97	1.51	2.06
CV	0.78	0.91	—
Max	3	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	36.84%
1	10.53%	5.26%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	31.58%	28.95%	23.68%	7.89%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.32	-0.24
SD	1.12	1.23	1.57
CV	1.04	0.94	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	26.32%
1	5.26%	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	7.89%	7.89%	—	5.26%	—	2.63%	23.68%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	5.26%	—	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	21.05%	31.58%	21.05%	21.05%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.61	-0.16
SD	1.29	1.26	1.99
CV	0.89	0.79	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	21.05%
1	7.89%	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	36.84%
2	—	18.42%	2.63%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	13.16%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	18.42%	39.47%	26.32%	10.53%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.45	+0.08
SD	1.27	1.08	1.67
CV	0.83	0.75	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1825	86	74.49	+11.51	63.0%	55	65	70	75	78	84	88
Heart of Midlothian	1615	65	53.26	+11.74	85.0%	38	41	47	53	58	64	75
Aberdeen	1596	71	58.88	+12.12	89.0%	43	46	54	58	64	70	80
Inverness CT	1586	52	46.28	+5.72	21.0%	24	32	41	48	52	58	63
St. Johnstone	1573	56	48.22	+7.78	26.0%	34	36	43	49	52	58	64
Partick Thistle	1503	46	42.24	+3.76	44.0%	26	30	37	43	47	51	56
Ross County	1501	48	41.08	+6.92	62.0%	24	29	36	41	46	52	59
Dundee	1501	48	40.27	+7.73	57.0%	25	27	35	40	45	53	61
Motherwell	1484	50	36.29	+13.71	89.0%	16	23	32	36	41	48	58
Dundee United	1452	28	34.75	-6.75	1.0%	20	23	30	35	38	46	54
Hamilton Academical	1440	43	39.14	+3.86	32.0%	16	28	35	39	43	49	61
Kilmarnock	1428	36	31.18	+4.82	64.0%	16	20	27	30	35	43	54

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+4.39%

No Edge

40.79%22.81%36.40%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 15.25 Elo pts.

198 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.16 goals

Neutral

-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.2

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

91%

Celtic, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.39/gm

Runaway

00.350.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.71 * Some Luck: 5.71 to 8.57 * Lucky: 8.57 to 11.43 * Wild Swing: 11.43 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.3 * Close: 1.3 to 1.95 * Off: 1.95 to 2.6 * Way Off: 2.6 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.54 * A Surprise: 0.54 to 0.86 * Several Surprises: 0.86 to 1.19 * Many Surprises: 1.19 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.21 points

Some Luck

07.1418

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.624

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

89.00%

Aberdeen

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.00%

Dundee United

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 1

Several Surprises

00.51

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Even

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 110.37

1.90

Moderate Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

64%

Even

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

90%

Even

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

63%

Very Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

16%

Rare

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.33

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.78

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.73

Strong Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Very Upset-Prone

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Very Shaky

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.56

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.95

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.088

Well Within Noise

00.1150.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	91.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	8.00%	50.00%	18.00%	11.00%	9.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	1.00%	24.00%	31.00%	14.00%	14.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—	4.00%	—	—	—
St. Johnstone	—	7.00%	20.00%	22.00%	15.00%	10.00%	13.00%	7.00%	5.00%	—	1.00%	—
Inverness CT	—	5.00%	15.00%	27.00%	8.00%	14.00%	9.00%	4.00%	7.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%
Motherwell	—	2.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	9.00%	12.00%	11.00%	14.00%	23.00%	13.00%	13.00%
Dundee	—	2.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	13.00%	9.00%	8.00%	14.00%	16.00%	10.00%	6.00%
Ross County	—	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	15.00%	9.00%	15.00%	15.00%	12.00%	13.00%	8.00%	4.00%
Partick Thistle	—	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	15.00%	20.00%	14.00%	13.00%	8.00%	11.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Hamilton Academical	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	8.00%	9.00%	14.00%	24.00%	12.00%	14.00%	9.00%	6.00%
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	23.00%	45.00%
Dundee United	—	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	11.00%	14.00%	12.00%	25.00%	22.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	99.57%	0.43%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	0.43%	97.40%	2.17%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	2.17%	97.83%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
St. Johnstone	—	—	—	56.10%	29.11%	14.79%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Inverness CT	—	—	—	—	—	—	48.91%	30.21%	17.69%	3.08%	0.11%	—
Motherwell	—	—	—	23.68%	37.86%	38.46%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee	—	—	—	—	—	—	31.56%	36.32%	26.67%	5.23%	0.22%	—
Ross County	—	—	—	20.22%	33.03%	46.75%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Partick Thistle	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.63%	29.58%	41.58%	9.64%	0.57%	—
Hamilton Academical	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.89%	3.72%	12.78%	68.00%	14.61%	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.17%	1.28%	14.05%	83.92%	0.57%
Dundee United	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.57%	99.43%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—	—
St. Johnstone	97.00%	3.00%	—
Inverness CT	97.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Partick Thistle	93.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Dundee	87.00%	7.00%	6.00%
Hamilton Academical	84.00%	10.00%	6.00%
Ross County	86.00%	8.00%	6.00%
Motherwell	67.00%	22.00%	11.00%
Dundee United	55.00%	22.00%	23.00%
Kilmarnock	34.00%	20.00%	46.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Dundee	99.78%	0.22%	—
Hamilton Academical	85.39%	14.61%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—	—
Inverness CT	99.89%	0.11%	—
Motherwell	100%	—	—
Partick Thistle	99.43%	0.57%	—
Ross County	100%	—	—
St. Johnstone	100%	—	—
Kilmarnock	15.51%	83.92%	0.57%
Dundee United	—	0.57%	99.43%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2015-08-01	Dundee	L 0-4	43.2	1463	1486	36.84%	24.19%	38.98%	-0.04	-22.0	0
2015-08-01	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-0	43.2	1486	1463	38.98%	24.19%	36.84%	+0.04	+21.9	3
2015-08-01	Motherwell	L 0-1	56.6	1565	1476	52.11%	23.05%	24.83%	+0.53	-8.1	0
2015-08-01	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	56.6	1476	1565	24.83%	23.05%	52.11%	-0.53	+8.1	3
2015-08-01	Partick Thistle	D 0-0	59.0	1482	1528	33.62%	24.09%	42.29%	-0.16	+0.3	1
2015-08-01	@ Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	59.0	1528	1482	42.29%	24.09%	33.62%	+0.16	-0.3	1
2015-08-01	Ross County	W 2-0	45.1	1761	1491	71.20%	17.22%	11.57%	+1.43	+3.8	3
2015-08-01	@ Celtic	L 0-2	45.1	1491	1761	11.57%	17.22%	71.20%	-1.43	-3.9	0
2015-08-02	Aberdeen	L 0-1	53.4	1532	1612	29.38%	23.76%	46.86%	-0.32	-5.1	0
2015-08-02	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	53.4	1612	1532	46.86%	23.76%	29.38%	+0.32	+5.1	3
2015-08-02	St. Johnstone	W 4-3	67.6	1554	1555	40.02%	24.17%	35.81%	+0.07	+5.2	3
2015-08-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 3-4	67.6	1555	1554	35.81%	24.17%	40.02%	-0.07	-5.2	0
2015-08-08	Dundee United	L 0-2	47.0	1484	1527	34.05%	24.11%	41.84%	-0.14	-10.9	3
2015-08-08	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	47.0	1527	1484	41.84%	24.11%	34.05%	+0.14	+10.9	3
2015-08-08	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	45.7	1488	1482	40.88%	24.15%	34.97%	+0.11	+11.1	3
2015-08-08	@ Ross County	L 0-2	45.7	1482	1488	34.97%	24.15%	40.88%	-0.11	-11.1	1
2015-08-08	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	57.5	1508	1559	32.93%	24.05%	43.01%	-0.18	-5.3	3
2015-08-08	@ Dundee	W 2-1	57.5	1559	1508	43.01%	24.05%	32.93%	+0.18	+5.3	6
2015-08-08	Inverness CT	D 1-1	66.9	1549	1557	38.96%	24.19%	36.86%	+0.04	-0.1	1
2015-08-08	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	66.9	1557	1549	36.86%	24.19%	38.96%	-0.04	+0.1	1
2015-08-09	Celtic	L 0-2	47.5	1528	1765	15.11%	19.59%	65.29%	-1.12	-5.2	1
2015-08-09	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-0	47.5	1765	1528	65.29%	19.59%	15.11%	+1.12	+5.2	6
2015-08-09	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	42.6	1617	1441	62.03%	20.69%	17.28%	+0.96	+5.9	6
2015-08-09	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	42.6	1441	1617	17.28%	20.69%	62.03%	-0.96	-5.9	0
2015-08-11	Dundee	D 2-2	70.4	1538	1503	44.98%	23.92%	31.10%	+0.25	-0.3	4
2015-08-11	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	70.4	1503	1538	31.10%	23.92%	44.98%	-0.25	+0.4	4
2015-08-11	Ross County	D 1-1	65.0	1549	1499	47.08%	23.73%	29.19%	+0.33	-0.6	2
2015-08-11	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	65.0	1499	1549	29.19%	23.73%	47.08%	-0.33	+0.6	4
2015-08-12	Celtic	D 2-2	77.8	1436	1770	9.98%	15.88%	74.14%	-1.61	+1.8	1
2015-08-12	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	77.8	1770	1436	74.14%	15.88%	9.98%	+1.61	-1.8	7
2015-08-12	Motherwell	W 2-0	44.8	1565	1473	52.37%	23.01%	24.62%	+0.54	+8.3	9
2015-08-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	44.8	1473	1565	24.62%	23.01%	52.37%	-0.54	-8.3	3
2015-08-12	Partick Thistle	D 0-0	61.6	1557	1522	44.97%	23.92%	31.10%	+0.25	-0.5	2
2015-08-12	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	61.6	1522	1557	31.10%	23.92%	44.97%	-0.25	+0.5	2
2015-08-15	Aberdeen	L 1-2	54.1	1465	1623	21.18%	22.14%	56.68%	-0.72	-3.6	3
2015-08-15	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	54.1	1623	1465	56.68%	22.14%	21.18%	+0.72	+3.6	9
2015-08-15	Dundee United	W 4-0	47.8	1471	1538	30.96%	23.91%	45.12%	-0.26	+25.7	4
2015-08-15	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-4	47.8	1538	1471	45.12%	23.91%	30.96%	+0.26	-25.7	4
2015-08-15	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	56.8	1499	1573	30.08%	23.83%	46.08%	-0.29	-4.9	4
2015-08-15	@ Ross County	W 2-1	56.8	1573	1499	46.08%	23.83%	30.08%	+0.29	+4.9	12
2015-08-15	Inverness CT	W 4-2	57.4	1768	1557	65.75%	19.43%	14.82%	+1.14	+3.9	10
2015-08-15	@ Celtic	L 2-4	57.4	1557	1768	14.82%	19.43%	65.75%	-1.14	-3.9	2
2015-08-15	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	67.6	1523	1437	51.62%	23.13%	25.24%	+0.51	-0.7	3
2015-08-15	@ Partick Thistle	D 2-2	67.6	1437	1523	25.24%	23.13%	51.62%	-0.51	+0.7	2
2015-08-15	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	59.8	1503	1549	33.70%	24.09%	42.21%	-0.15	+6.4	7
2015-08-15	@ Dundee	L 1-2	59.8	1549	1503	42.21%	24.09%	33.70%	+0.15	-6.4	2
2015-08-22	Celtic	L 1-3	52.4	1512	1772	13.70%	18.74%	67.55%	-1.23	-4.0	4
2015-08-22	@ Dundee United	W 3-1	52.4	1772	1512	67.55%	18.74%	13.70%	+1.23	+4.0	13
2015-08-22	Dundee	W 2-0	47.2	1626	1510	55.43%	22.42%	22.15%	+0.66	+7.5	12
2015-08-22	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	47.2	1510	1626	22.15%	22.42%	55.43%	-0.66	-7.5	7
2015-08-22	Hamilton Academical	L 0-2	52.4	1553	1497	47.84%	23.65%	28.51%	+0.36	-14.2	2
2015-08-22	@ Inverness CT	W 2-0	52.4	1497	1553	28.51%	23.65%	47.84%	-0.36	+14.2	7
2015-08-22	Motherwell	W 2-1	52.8	1542	1461	51.05%	23.23%	25.72%	+0.49	+4.3	5
2015-08-22	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	52.8	1461	1542	25.72%	23.23%	51.05%	-0.49	-4.3	3
2015-08-22	Partick Thistle	W 3-0	46.3	1578	1522	47.77%	23.66%	28.57%	+0.36	+13.7	15
2015-08-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	46.3	1522	1578	28.57%	23.66%	47.77%	-0.36	-13.7	3
2015-08-22	Ross County	L 0-4	41.1	1438	1494	32.27%	24.01%	43.72%	-0.21	-19.8	2
2015-08-22	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-0	41.1	1494	1438	43.72%	24.01%	32.27%	+0.21	+19.8	7
2015-08-29	Aberdeen	L 0-2	48.2	1508	1634	24.28%	22.94%	52.78%	-0.55	-8.2	3
2015-08-29	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-0	48.2	1634	1508	52.78%	22.94%	24.28%	+0.55	+8.2	15
2015-08-29	Dundee United	W 2-1	56.5	1514	1508	41.00%	24.14%	34.86%	+0.11	+5.5	10
2015-08-29	@ Ross County	L 1-2	56.5	1508	1514	34.86%	24.14%	41.00%	-0.11	-5.5	4
2015-08-29	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-2	68.0	1511	1592	29.22%	23.74%	47.04%	-0.33	+6.7	10
2015-08-29	@ Hamilton Academical	L 2-3	68.0	1592	1511	47.04%	23.74%	29.22%	+0.33	-6.7	15
2015-08-29	Inverness CT	D 1-1	64.6	1502	1539	34.90%	24.14%	40.96%	-0.11	+0.2	8
2015-08-29	@ Dundee	D 1-1	64.6	1539	1502	40.96%	24.14%	34.90%	+0.11	-0.2	3
2015-08-29	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	44.5	1457	1418	45.48%	23.88%	30.64%	+0.27	+5.3	6
2015-08-29	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	44.5	1418	1457	30.64%	23.88%	45.48%	-0.27	-5.3	2
2015-08-29	St. Johnstone	W 3-1	52.9	1776	1547	67.52%	18.76%	13.72%	+1.23	+4.0	16
2015-08-29	@ Celtic	L 1-3	52.9	1547	1776	13.72%	18.76%	67.52%	-1.23	-4.0	5
2015-09-11	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	53.4	1538	1585	33.57%	24.09%	42.34%	-0.16	+12.9	6
2015-09-11	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	53.4	1585	1538	42.34%	24.09%	33.57%	+0.16	-12.9	15
2015-09-12	Celtic	W 2-1	70.3	1642	1780	23.00%	22.64%	54.36%	-0.62	+7.9	18
2015-09-12	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	70.3	1780	1642	54.36%	22.64%	23.00%	+0.62	-7.9	16
2015-09-12	Dundee	L 0-1	51.8	1500	1502	39.81%	24.17%	36.02%	+0.07	-6.5	3
2015-09-12	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	51.8	1502	1500	36.02%	24.17%	39.81%	-0.07	+6.5	11
2015-09-12	Hamilton Academical	W 4-1	51.3	1543	1518	43.61%	24.02%	32.37%	+0.20	+12.8	8
2015-09-12	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-4	51.3	1518	1543	32.37%	24.02%	43.61%	-0.20	-12.8	10
2015-09-12	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	57.4	1502	1413	52.10%	23.06%	24.85%	+0.53	-7.6	4
2015-09-12	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	57.4	1413	1502	24.85%	23.06%	52.10%	-0.53	+7.6	5
2015-09-12	Ross County	D 1-1	62.5	1462	1520	32.13%	24.00%	43.87%	-0.21	+0.4	7
2015-09-12	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	62.5	1520	1462	43.87%	24.00%	32.13%	+0.21	-0.4	11
2015-09-15	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	50.1	1650	1505	58.75%	21.63%	19.62%	+0.81	+3.6	21
2015-09-15	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	50.1	1505	1650	19.62%	21.63%	58.75%	-0.81	-3.6	10
2015-09-19	Inverness CT	D 1-1	64.9	1495	1551	32.21%	24.01%	43.78%	-0.21	+0.4	5
2015-09-19	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	64.9	1551	1495	43.78%	24.01%	32.21%	+0.21	-0.4	7
2015-09-19	Motherwell	W 1-0	47.5	1501	1463	45.45%	23.89%	30.66%	+0.27	+5.3	13
2015-09-19	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	47.5	1463	1501	30.66%	23.89%	45.45%	-0.27	-5.3	7
2015-09-19	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	49.9	1519	1494	43.68%	24.02%	32.31%	+0.21	+5.5	14
2015-09-19	@ Ross County	L 0-1	49.9	1494	1519	32.31%	24.02%	43.68%	-0.21	-5.5	3
2015-09-19	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	60.1	1421	1555	23.32%	22.72%	53.95%	-0.60	+7.9	8
2015-09-19	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	60.1	1555	1421	53.95%	22.72%	23.32%	+0.60	-7.9	8
2015-09-20	Aberdeen	L 1-3	57.6	1572	1653	29.16%	23.73%	47.11%	-0.33	-8.3	15
2015-09-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	57.6	1653	1572	47.11%	23.73%	29.16%	+0.33	+8.3	24
2015-09-20	Dundee	W 6-0	44.8	1772	1509	70.67%	17.46%	11.87%	+1.40	+11.0	19
2015-09-20	@ Celtic	L 0-6	44.8	1509	1772	11.87%	17.46%	70.67%	-1.40	-11.0	11
2015-09-26	Aberdeen	W 2-1	66.9	1551	1662	25.81%	23.24%	50.95%	-0.48	+7.5	10
2015-09-26	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	66.9	1662	1551	50.95%	23.24%	25.81%	+0.48	-7.5	24
2015-09-26	Dundee United	W 2-1	55.3	1548	1495	47.34%	23.71%	28.95%	+0.34	+4.8	11
2015-09-26	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	55.3	1495	1548	28.95%	23.71%	47.34%	-0.34	-4.8	5
2015-09-26	Hamilton Academical	L 1-2	51.6	1428	1506	29.55%	23.78%	46.67%	-0.32	-4.9	8
2015-09-26	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	51.6	1506	1428	46.67%	23.78%	29.55%	+0.32	+4.8	16
2015-09-26	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	68.7	1783	1564	66.55%	19.13%	14.32%	+1.18	-2.1	20
2015-09-26	@ Celtic	D 0-0	68.7	1564	1783	14.32%	19.13%	66.55%	-1.18	+2.1	16
2015-09-26	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	55.3	1457	1488	35.69%	24.17%	40.14%	-0.08	+6.2	10
2015-09-26	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	55.3	1488	1457	40.14%	24.17%	35.69%	+0.08	-6.2	3
2015-09-26	Ross County	D 3-3	73.6	1498	1525	36.22%	24.18%	39.60%	-0.06	+0.1	12
2015-09-26	@ Dundee	D 3-3	73.6	1525	1498	39.60%	24.18%	36.22%	+0.06	-0.1	15
2015-10-03	Dundee United	W 3-0	44.4	1482	1490	38.93%	24.19%	36.89%	+0.04	+16.8	6
2015-10-03	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-3	44.4	1490	1482	36.89%	24.19%	38.93%	-0.04	-16.8	5
2015-10-03	Inverness CT	L 1-2	58.8	1525	1558	35.30%	24.16%	40.54%	-0.09	-5.6	15
2015-10-03	@ Ross County	W 2-1	58.8	1558	1525	40.54%	24.16%	35.30%	+0.09	+5.6	13
2015-10-03	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	63.5	1566	1424	58.43%	21.71%	19.86%	+0.79	-1.4	17
2015-10-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	63.5	1424	1566	19.86%	21.71%	58.43%	-0.79	+1.4	9
2015-10-03	Motherwell	W 2-1	53.1	1498	1464	44.88%	23.93%	31.19%	+0.25	+5.1	15
2015-10-03	@ Dundee	L 1-2	53.1	1464	1498	31.19%	23.93%	44.88%	-0.25	-5.1	10
2015-10-03	St. Johnstone	L 1-5	60.1	1654	1552	53.66%	22.78%	23.56%	+0.59	-24.8	24
2015-10-03	@ Aberdeen	W 5-1	60.1	1552	1654	23.56%	22.78%	53.66%	-0.59	+24.8	14
2015-10-04	Celtic	L 1-2	55.4	1511	1781	13.16%	18.39%	68.45%	-1.28	-2.2	16
2015-10-04	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	55.4	1781	1511	68.45%	18.39%	13.16%	+1.28	+2.2	23
2015-10-16	Aberdeen	W 2-0	56.4	1519	1629	25.86%	23.25%	50.89%	-0.48	+15.0	18
2015-10-16	@ Ross County	L 0-2	56.4	1629	1519	50.89%	23.25%	25.86%	+0.48	-15.0	24
2015-10-17	Celtic	L 0-1	47.7	1458	1783	10.40%	16.25%	73.35%	-1.56	-1.8	10
2015-10-17	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	47.7	1783	1458	73.35%	16.25%	10.40%	+1.56	+1.8	26
2015-10-17	Dundee	D 1-1	63.6	1509	1503	40.96%	24.14%	34.90%	+0.11	-0.2	17
2015-10-17	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	63.6	1503	1509	34.90%	24.14%	40.96%	-0.11	+0.2	16
2015-10-17	Inverness CT	W 2-0	51.8	1425	1564	22.90%	22.62%	54.48%	-0.62	+15.9	12
2015-10-17	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	51.8	1564	1425	54.48%	22.62%	22.90%	+0.62	-15.9	13
2015-10-17	Partick Thistle	L 1-2	62.9	1577	1499	50.69%	23.28%	26.03%	+0.47	-7.5	14
2015-10-17	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	62.9	1499	1577	26.03%	23.28%	50.69%	-0.47	+7.5	9
2015-10-18	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	49.4	1473	1565	28.00%	23.58%	48.42%	-0.38	-4.9	5
2015-10-18	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	49.4	1565	1473	48.42%	23.58%	28.00%	+0.38	+4.9	20
2015-10-24	Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	63.7	1506	1509	39.73%	24.18%	36.10%	+0.06	-0.1	10
2015-10-24	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	63.7	1509	1506	36.10%	24.18%	39.73%	-0.06	+0.1	18
2015-10-24	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	57.6	1503	1441	48.63%	23.56%	27.81%	+0.39	-7.2	16
2015-10-24	@ Dundee	W 2-1	57.6	1441	1503	27.81%	23.56%	48.63%	-0.39	+7.2	15
2015-10-24	Motherwell	D 1-1	66.6	1614	1457	60.16%	21.24%	18.60%	+0.87	-1.5	25
2015-10-24	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	66.6	1457	1614	18.60%	21.24%	60.16%	-0.87	+1.5	11
2015-10-24	Ross County	W 2-0	49.3	1569	1534	45.01%	23.92%	31.07%	+0.25	+10.1	23
2015-10-24	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	49.3	1534	1569	31.07%	23.92%	45.01%	-0.25	-10.1	18
2015-10-24	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	55.0	1548	1570	37.03%	24.19%	38.78%	-0.03	-6.2	13
2015-10-24	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	55.0	1570	1548	38.78%	24.19%	37.03%	+0.03	+6.2	17
2015-10-25	Dundee United	W 5-0	42.2	1785	1468	75.18%	15.38%	9.44%	+1.67	+7.1	29
2015-10-25	@ Celtic	L 0-5	42.2	1468	1785	9.44%	15.38%	75.18%	-1.67	-7.1	5
2015-10-31	Aberdeen	W 3-1	55.2	1792	1613	62.46%	20.55%	16.99%	+0.98	+5.0	32
2015-10-31	@ Celtic	L 1-3	55.2	1613	1792	16.99%	20.55%	62.46%	-0.98	-5.0	25
2015-10-31	Dundee	D 1-1	64.6	1542	1496	46.49%	23.79%	29.72%	+0.31	-0.6	14
2015-10-31	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	64.6	1496	1542	29.72%	23.79%	46.49%	-0.31	+0.6	17
2015-10-31	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	46.0	1506	1580	30.12%	23.83%	46.04%	-0.29	-18.7	10
2015-10-31	@ Partick Thistle	W 4-0	46.0	1580	1506	46.04%	23.83%	30.12%	+0.29	+18.7	26
2015-10-31	Motherwell	L 0-1	48.0	1448	1458	38.64%	24.19%	37.17%	+0.03	-6.4	15
2015-10-31	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	48.0	1458	1448	37.17%	24.19%	38.64%	-0.03	+6.4	14
2015-10-31	Ross County	W 1-0	52.5	1461	1524	31.45%	23.95%	44.60%	-0.24	+7.1	8
2015-10-31	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	52.5	1524	1461	44.60%	23.95%	31.45%	+0.24	-7.1	18
2015-10-31	St. Johnstone	L 2-4	58.3	1509	1576	30.95%	23.91%	45.14%	-0.26	-7.8	18
2015-10-31	@ Hamilton Academical	W 4-2	58.3	1576	1509	45.14%	23.91%	30.95%	+0.26	+7.8	20
2015-11-07	Dundee United	W 2-0	44.5	1608	1468	58.10%	21.80%	20.10%	+0.78	+6.9	28
2015-11-07	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	44.5	1468	1608	20.10%	21.80%	58.10%	-0.78	-6.9	8
2015-11-07	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	46.8	1598	1501	53.07%	22.89%	24.04%	+0.57	+8.1	29
2015-11-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	46.8	1501	1598	24.04%	22.89%	53.07%	-0.57	-8.1	18
2015-11-07	Inverness CT	L 1-3	51.1	1464	1542	29.68%	23.79%	46.53%	-0.31	-8.4	14
2015-11-07	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	51.1	1542	1464	46.53%	23.79%	29.68%	+0.31	+8.4	17
2015-11-07	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	51.4	1584	1442	58.38%	21.73%	19.90%	+0.79	+3.4	23
2015-11-07	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	51.4	1442	1584	19.90%	21.73%	58.38%	-0.79	-3.4	15
2015-11-07	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	62.5	1496	1488	41.35%	24.13%	34.51%	+0.12	-0.2	18
2015-11-07	@ Dundee	D 1-1	62.5	1488	1496	34.51%	24.13%	41.35%	-0.12	+0.2	11
2015-11-08	Celtic	L 1-4	49.6	1517	1797	12.59%	17.99%	69.43%	-1.34	-5.2	18
2015-11-08	@ Ross County	W 4-1	49.6	1797	1517	69.43%	17.99%	12.59%	+1.34	+5.2	35
2015-11-21	Dundee	D 1-1	67.3	1606	1496	54.66%	22.58%	22.76%	+0.63	-1.1	30
2015-11-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	67.3	1496	1606	22.76%	22.58%	54.66%	-0.63	+1.1	19
2015-11-21	Inverness CT	W 2-1	59.9	1488	1550	31.52%	23.96%	44.52%	-0.24	+6.7	14
2015-11-21	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-2	59.9	1550	1488	44.52%	23.96%	31.52%	+0.24	-6.7	17
2015-11-21	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	69.0	1802	1438	78.80%	13.54%	7.66%	+1.91	-2.9	36
2015-11-21	@ Celtic	D 0-0	69.0	1438	1802	7.66%	13.54%	78.80%	-1.91	+2.9	16
2015-11-21	Motherwell	W 3-0	41.6	1512	1456	47.76%	23.66%	28.57%	+0.36	+13.7	21
2015-11-21	@ Ross County	L 0-3	41.6	1456	1512	28.57%	23.66%	47.76%	-0.36	-13.7	14
2015-11-21	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	53.9	1462	1587	24.27%	22.94%	52.79%	-0.56	-4.1	8
2015-11-21	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	53.9	1587	1462	52.79%	22.94%	24.27%	+0.56	+4.1	26
2015-11-22	Aberdeen	D 1-1	67.3	1493	1615	24.64%	23.02%	52.34%	-0.54	+1.0	19
2015-11-22	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	67.3	1615	1493	52.34%	23.02%	24.64%	+0.54	-1.0	29
2015-11-27	Dundee	D 1-1	66.7	1591	1497	52.64%	22.96%	24.39%	+0.55	-1.0	27
2015-11-27	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	66.7	1497	1591	24.39%	22.96%	52.64%	-0.55	+1.0	20
2015-11-28	Hamilton Academical	L 1-2	53.9	1457	1494	34.91%	24.14%	40.95%	-0.11	-5.5	8
2015-11-28	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	53.9	1494	1457	40.95%	24.14%	34.91%	+0.11	+5.5	22
2015-11-28	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	71.2	1442	1605	20.71%	22.00%	57.30%	-0.74	+1.0	15
2015-11-28	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	71.2	1605	1442	57.30%	22.00%	20.71%	+0.74	-1.0	31
2015-11-28	Partick Thistle	L 2-5	49.5	1441	1494	32.67%	24.04%	43.29%	-0.19	-11.2	16
2015-11-28	@ Kilmarnock	W 5-2	49.5	1494	1441	43.29%	24.04%	32.67%	+0.19	+11.2	17
2015-11-28	Ross County	W 3-1	54.0	1614	1525	51.98%	23.08%	24.94%	+0.52	+7.3	32
2015-11-28	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	54.0	1525	1614	24.94%	23.08%	51.98%	-0.52	-7.3	21
2015-11-29	Celtic	L 1-3	53.2	1543	1800	13.94%	18.89%	67.17%	-1.21	-4.1	17
2015-11-29	@ Inverness CT	W 3-1	53.2	1800	1543	67.17%	18.89%	13.94%	+1.21	+4.1	39
2015-12-05	Aberdeen	L 0-2	47.6	1498	1621	24.54%	22.99%	52.47%	-0.54	-8.3	20
2015-12-05	@ Dundee	W 2-0	47.6	1621	1498	52.47%	22.99%	24.54%	+0.54	+8.3	35
2015-12-05	Dundee United	D 1-1	58.9	1430	1452	36.95%	24.19%	38.87%	-0.03	+0.1	17
2015-12-05	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	58.9	1452	1430	38.87%	24.19%	36.95%	+0.03	-0.1	9
2015-12-05	St. Johnstone	L 2-3	63.2	1518	1590	30.31%	23.85%	45.84%	-0.29	-4.7	21
2015-12-05	@ Ross County	W 3-2	63.2	1590	1518	45.84%	23.85%	30.31%	+0.29	+4.7	30
2015-12-12	Dundee	W 3-1	52.3	1443	1490	33.53%	24.09%	42.38%	-0.16	+11.2	18
2015-12-12	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	52.3	1490	1443	42.38%	24.09%	33.53%	+0.16	-11.2	20
2015-12-12	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	56.5	1629	1604	43.61%	24.02%	32.37%	+0.20	+5.5	38
2015-12-12	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	56.5	1604	1629	32.37%	24.02%	43.61%	-0.20	-5.5	31
2015-12-12	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	50.5	1539	1430	54.53%	22.61%	22.86%	+0.63	+3.9	20
2015-12-12	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	50.5	1430	1539	22.86%	22.61%	54.53%	-0.63	-3.9	17
2015-12-12	Partick Thistle	L 0-1	47.9	1452	1506	32.61%	24.03%	43.36%	-0.19	-5.6	9
2015-12-12	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	47.9	1506	1452	43.36%	24.03%	32.61%	+0.19	+5.6	20
2015-12-12	Ross County	L 1-3	54.0	1500	1514	38.09%	24.19%	37.72%	+0.01	-10.3	22
2015-12-12	@ Hamilton Academical	W 3-1	54.0	1514	1500	37.72%	24.19%	38.09%	-0.01	+10.3	24
2015-12-13	Celtic	L 0-3	47.4	1595	1804	17.05%	20.58%	62.37%	-0.98	-8.5	30
2015-12-13	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-0	47.4	1804	1595	62.37%	20.58%	17.05%	+0.98	+8.5	42
2015-12-19	Aberdeen	L 0-4	40.3	1426	1635	17.05%	20.58%	62.37%	-0.98	-11.1	17
2015-12-19	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-0	40.3	1635	1426	62.37%	20.58%	17.05%	+0.98	+11.1	41
2015-12-19	Dundee United	D 2-2	68.8	1543	1446	53.02%	22.90%	24.08%	+0.56	-0.8	21
2015-12-19	@ Inverness CT	D 2-2	68.8	1446	1543	24.08%	22.90%	53.02%	-0.56	+0.8	10
2015-12-19	Hamilton Academical	W 4-0	44.0	1479	1489	38.60%	24.19%	37.21%	+0.02	+22.1	23
2015-12-19	@ Dundee	L 0-4	44.0	1489	1479	37.21%	24.19%	38.60%	-0.02	-22.1	22
2015-12-19	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	64.6	1586	1599	38.30%	24.19%	37.51%	+0.01	-0.0	31
2015-12-19	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	64.6	1599	1586	37.51%	24.19%	38.30%	-0.01	+0.0	32
2015-12-19	Motherwell	L 1-2	73.2	1812	1454	78.33%	13.79%	7.88%	+1.88	-10.6	42
2015-12-19	@ Celtic	W 2-1	73.2	1454	1812	7.88%	13.79%	78.33%	-1.88	+10.6	21
2015-12-19	Ross County	W 1-0	52.3	1511	1524	38.28%	24.19%	37.52%	+0.01	+6.2	23
2015-12-19	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-1	52.3	1524	1511	37.52%	24.19%	38.28%	-0.01	-6.2	24
2015-12-26	Dundee	W 5-2	52.8	1518	1501	42.42%	24.08%	33.49%	+0.16	+11.4	27
2015-12-26	@ Ross County	L 2-5	52.8	1501	1518	33.49%	24.08%	42.42%	-0.16	-11.4	23
2015-12-26	Inverness CT	D 2-2	75.3	1646	1542	53.89%	22.73%	23.38%	+0.60	-0.8	42
2015-12-26	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	75.3	1542	1646	23.38%	22.73%	53.89%	-0.60	+0.8	22
2015-12-26	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	49.6	1467	1415	47.28%	23.71%	29.00%	+0.34	-7.5	22
2015-12-26	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	49.6	1415	1467	29.00%	23.71%	47.28%	-0.34	+7.5	20
2015-12-27	Celtic	D 2-2	78.9	1599	1802	17.50%	20.78%	61.72%	-0.94	+1.2	33
2015-12-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	78.9	1802	1599	61.72%	20.78%	17.50%	+0.94	-1.2	43
2015-12-29	Kilmarnock	W 3-2	55.0	1529	1423	54.21%	22.67%	23.12%	+0.61	+3.7	30
2015-12-29	@ Ross County	L 2-3	55.0	1423	1529	23.12%	22.67%	54.21%	-0.61	-3.7	20
2015-12-30	Dundee United	W 3-2	56.9	1600	1447	59.62%	21.39%	18.98%	+0.85	+3.1	36
2015-12-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	56.9	1447	1600	18.98%	21.39%	59.62%	-0.85	-3.1	10
2015-12-30	Inverness CT	L 3-4	61.6	1460	1543	28.91%	23.70%	47.38%	-0.34	-4.4	22
2015-12-30	@ Hamilton Academical	W 4-3	61.6	1543	1460	47.38%	23.70%	28.91%	+0.34	+4.4	25
2015-12-30	Partick Thistle	D 0-0	64.7	1645	1517	56.76%	22.12%	21.12%	+0.72	-1.4	43
2015-12-30	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	64.7	1517	1645	21.12%	22.12%	56.76%	-0.72	+1.4	24
2015-12-30	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	53.6	1465	1586	24.70%	23.03%	52.27%	-0.53	+15.3	24
2015-12-30	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	53.6	1586	1465	52.27%	23.03%	24.70%	+0.53	-15.3	31
2016-01-02	Dundee United	W 2-1	51.6	1490	1444	46.42%	23.80%	29.78%	+0.31	+4.9	26
2016-01-02	@ Dundee	L 1-2	51.6	1444	1490	29.78%	23.80%	46.42%	-0.31	-4.9	10
2016-01-02	Hamilton Academical	D 3-3	70.4	1480	1455	43.61%	24.02%	32.37%	+0.20	-0.2	25
2016-01-02	@ Motherwell	D 3-3	70.4	1455	1480	32.37%	24.02%	43.61%	-0.20	+0.2	23
2016-01-02	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	70.5	1419	1603	18.92%	21.37%	59.71%	-0.85	+1.1	21
2016-01-02	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	70.5	1603	1419	59.71%	21.37%	18.92%	+0.85	-1.1	37
2016-01-02	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	49.1	1800	1519	72.26%	16.75%	10.99%	+1.50	+1.9	46
2016-01-02	@ Celtic	L 0-1	49.1	1519	1800	10.99%	16.75%	72.26%	-1.50	-1.9	24
2016-01-02	Ross County	W 2-0	49.4	1547	1533	42.18%	24.10%	33.73%	+0.15	+10.8	28
2016-01-02	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	49.4	1533	1547	33.73%	24.10%	42.18%	-0.15	-10.8	30
2016-01-15	Celtic	L 1-4	46.4	1439	1802	8.80%	14.75%	76.45%	-1.75	-3.5	10
2016-01-15	@ Dundee United	W 4-1	46.4	1802	1439	76.45%	14.75%	8.80%	+1.75	+3.4	49
2016-01-16	Dundee	L 2-4	59.3	1517	1495	43.23%	24.04%	32.72%	+0.19	-10.2	24
2016-01-16	@ Partick Thistle	W 4-2	59.3	1495	1517	32.72%	24.04%	43.23%	-0.19	+10.2	29
2016-01-16	Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	60.1	1571	1456	55.29%	22.45%	22.26%	+0.66	-1.3	32
2016-01-16	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	60.1	1456	1571	22.26%	22.45%	55.29%	-0.66	+1.3	24
2016-01-16	Inverness CT	W 2-1	60.3	1420	1558	22.98%	22.64%	54.39%	-0.62	+7.9	24
2016-01-16	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	60.3	1558	1420	54.39%	22.64%	22.98%	+0.62	-7.9	28
2016-01-16	Motherwell	W 6-0	44.3	1602	1480	56.06%	22.28%	21.66%	+0.69	+20.5	40
2016-01-16	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-6	44.3	1480	1602	21.66%	22.28%	56.06%	-0.69	-20.5	25
2016-01-17	Aberdeen	L 2-3	62.9	1522	1644	24.62%	23.01%	52.37%	-0.54	-3.9	30
2016-01-17	@ Ross County	W 3-2	62.9	1644	1522	52.37%	23.01%	24.62%	+0.54	+3.9	46
2016-01-19	Hamilton Academical	W 8-1	44.1	1806	1457	77.68%	14.13%	8.19%	+1.84	+6.8	52
2016-01-19	@ Celtic	L 1-8	44.1	1457	1806	8.19%	14.13%	77.68%	-1.84	-6.8	24
2016-01-22	Dundee	W 1-0	50.1	1648	1505	58.51%	21.69%	19.80%	+0.80	+3.6	49
2016-01-22	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	50.1	1505	1648	19.80%	21.69%	58.51%	-0.80	-3.6	29
2016-01-23	Kilmarnock	W 5-1	43.6	1436	1428	41.19%	24.14%	34.67%	+0.12	+17.5	13
2016-01-23	@ Dundee United	L 1-5	43.6	1428	1436	34.67%	24.14%	41.19%	-0.12	-17.5	24
2016-01-23	Partick Thistle	D 0-0	60.8	1550	1507	46.14%	23.83%	30.03%	+0.30	-0.6	29
2016-01-23	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	60.8	1507	1550	30.03%	23.83%	46.14%	-0.30	+0.6	25
2016-01-23	Ross County	L 1-2	53.9	1460	1518	32.02%	24.00%	43.99%	-0.22	-5.2	25
2016-01-23	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	53.9	1518	1460	43.99%	24.00%	32.02%	+0.22	+5.2	33
2016-01-23	St. Johnstone	W 3-1	53.1	1813	1570	68.79%	18.25%	12.96%	+1.30	+3.8	55
2016-01-23	@ Celtic	L 1-3	53.1	1570	1813	12.96%	18.25%	68.79%	-1.30	-3.8	32
2016-01-24	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	62.0	1450	1623	19.88%	21.72%	58.39%	-0.79	+1.5	25
2016-01-24	@ Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	62.0	1623	1450	58.39%	21.72%	19.88%	+0.79	-1.5	41
2016-01-30	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	45.3	1410	1452	34.29%	24.12%	41.59%	-0.13	-5.8	24
2016-01-30	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	45.3	1452	1410	41.59%	24.12%	34.29%	+0.13	+5.8	28
2016-01-30	Motherwell	D 2-2	67.3	1501	1454	46.55%	23.79%	29.67%	+0.31	-0.4	30
2016-01-30	@ Dundee	D 2-2	67.3	1454	1501	29.67%	23.79%	46.55%	-0.31	+0.4	26
2016-02-02	Motherwell	W 1-0	46.9	1507	1455	47.33%	23.71%	28.96%	+0.34	+5.1	28
2016-02-02	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-1	46.9	1455	1507	28.96%	23.71%	47.33%	-0.34	-5.1	26
2016-02-03	Celtic	W 2-1	71.2	1651	1816	20.54%	21.94%	57.52%	-0.75	+8.3	52
2016-02-03	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	71.2	1816	1651	57.52%	21.94%	20.54%	+0.75	-8.3	55
2016-02-06	Aberdeen	L 3-4	68.0	1566	1660	27.69%	23.54%	48.77%	-0.40	-4.3	32
2016-02-06	@ St. Johnstone	W 4-3	68.0	1660	1566	48.77%	23.54%	27.69%	+0.40	+4.2	55
2016-02-10	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	47.2	1523	1621	27.23%	23.48%	49.29%	-0.42	-13.2	33
2016-02-10	@ Ross County	W 3-0	47.2	1621	1523	49.29%	23.48%	27.23%	+0.42	+13.2	44
2016-02-12	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	51.9	1501	1562	31.68%	23.97%	44.35%	-0.23	+13.4	33
2016-02-12	@ Dundee	L 0-2	51.9	1562	1501	44.35%	23.97%	31.68%	+0.23	-13.4	32
2016-02-13	Dundee United	D 0-0	55.4	1457	1453	40.69%	24.15%	35.16%	+0.10	-0.2	29
2016-02-13	@ Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	55.4	1453	1457	35.16%	24.15%	40.69%	-0.10	+0.2	14
2016-02-13	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	45.2	1450	1405	46.36%	23.80%	29.83%	+0.30	-13.9	26
2016-02-13	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	45.2	1405	1450	29.83%	23.80%	46.36%	-0.30	+13.9	27
2016-02-13	Ross County	W 2-0	45.3	1808	1510	73.66%	16.11%	10.23%	+1.58	+3.3	58
2016-02-13	@ Celtic	L 0-2	45.3	1510	1808	10.23%	16.11%	73.66%	-1.58	-3.4	33
2016-02-15	Aberdeen	W 3-1	63.8	1550	1664	25.44%	23.17%	51.39%	-0.50	+13.1	32
2016-02-15	@ Inverness CT	L 1-3	63.8	1664	1550	51.39%	23.17%	25.44%	+0.50	-13.1	55
2016-02-16	Motherwell	L 0-3	43.1	1453	1436	42.53%	24.08%	33.39%	+0.16	-18.8	14
2016-02-16	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	43.1	1436	1453	33.39%	24.08%	42.53%	-0.16	+18.8	29
2016-02-20	Dundee	D 0-0	56.3	1418	1514	27.49%	23.51%	49.00%	-0.40	+0.8	28
2016-02-20	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	56.3	1514	1418	49.00%	23.51%	27.49%	+0.40	-0.8	34
2016-02-20	Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	52.5	1507	1457	46.94%	23.75%	29.32%	+0.33	+4.8	36
2016-02-20	@ Ross County	L 1-2	52.5	1457	1507	29.32%	23.75%	46.94%	-0.33	-4.8	29
2016-02-20	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	65.2	1434	1634	17.73%	20.88%	61.39%	-0.93	+8.8	17
2016-02-20	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	65.2	1634	1434	61.39%	20.88%	17.73%	+0.93	-8.8	44
2016-02-20	Inverness CT	W 3-0	45.2	1811	1563	69.31%	18.03%	12.65%	+1.33	+6.2	61
2016-02-20	@ Celtic	L 0-3	45.2	1563	1811	12.65%	18.03%	69.31%	-1.33	-6.2	32
2016-02-20	Motherwell	W 2-1	52.3	1548	1455	52.62%	22.97%	24.41%	+0.55	+4.1	35
2016-02-20	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	52.3	1455	1548	24.41%	22.97%	52.62%	-0.55	-4.1	29
2016-02-23	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	51.2	1512	1552	34.45%	24.13%	41.42%	-0.12	+12.7	31
2016-02-23	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-2	51.2	1552	1512	41.42%	24.13%	34.45%	+0.12	-12.7	35
2016-02-26	Celtic	D 1-1	73.6	1452	1818	8.72%	14.67%	76.61%	-1.76	+2.5	30
2016-02-26	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	73.6	1818	1452	76.61%	14.67%	8.72%	+1.76	-2.5	62
2016-02-27	Dundee United	L 0-3	47.3	1511	1443	49.40%	23.46%	27.14%	+0.42	-21.2	36
2016-02-27	@ Ross County	W 3-0	47.3	1443	1511	27.14%	23.46%	49.40%	-0.42	+21.2	20
2016-02-27	Inverness CT	D 1-1	65.7	1513	1557	33.97%	24.11%	41.92%	-0.14	+0.3	35
2016-02-27	@ Dundee	D 1-1	65.7	1557	1513	41.92%	24.11%	33.97%	+0.14	-0.3	33
2016-02-27	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	44.6	1625	1419	65.23%	19.61%	15.15%	+1.12	+2.8	47
2016-02-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	44.6	1419	1625	15.15%	19.61%	65.23%	-1.12	-2.7	28
2016-02-27	Partick Thistle	W 3-1	54.9	1451	1525	29.99%	23.82%	46.19%	-0.30	+12.0	32
2016-02-27	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	54.9	1525	1451	46.19%	23.82%	29.99%	+0.30	-12.0	31
2016-02-27	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	69.7	1651	1540	54.78%	22.56%	22.66%	+0.64	-1.1	56
2016-02-27	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	69.7	1540	1651	22.66%	22.56%	54.78%	-0.64	+1.1	36
2016-03-01	Inverness CT	W 2-0	50.1	1628	1556	49.86%	23.40%	26.74%	+0.44	+8.9	50
2016-03-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	50.1	1556	1628	26.74%	23.40%	49.86%	-0.44	-8.9	33
2016-03-01	Ross County	L 0-2	41.9	1416	1490	30.08%	23.83%	46.09%	-0.29	-9.8	28
2016-03-01	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	41.9	1490	1416	46.09%	23.83%	30.08%	+0.29	+9.8	39
2016-03-02	Aberdeen	L 0-1	48.6	1464	1650	18.84%	21.34%	59.82%	-0.86	-3.4	20
2016-03-02	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	48.6	1650	1464	59.82%	21.34%	18.84%	+0.86	+3.4	59
2016-03-02	Dundee	D 0-0	69.5	1815	1513	73.96%	15.97%	10.08%	+1.60	-2.6	63
2016-03-02	@ Celtic	D 0-0	69.5	1513	1815	10.08%	15.97%	73.96%	-1.60	+2.6	36
2016-03-02	Partick Thistle	L 1-2	60.4	1541	1513	43.97%	24.00%	32.03%	+0.22	-6.6	36
2016-03-02	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	60.4	1513	1541	32.03%	24.00%	43.97%	-0.22	+6.6	34
2016-03-05	Motherwell	L 0-1	48.4	1455	1463	38.97%	24.19%	36.84%	+0.04	-6.4	30
2016-03-05	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	48.4	1463	1455	36.84%	24.19%	38.97%	-0.04	+6.4	35
2016-03-05	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	51.1	1637	1520	55.51%	22.40%	22.08%	+0.67	+4.0	53
2016-03-05	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	51.1	1520	1637	22.08%	22.40%	55.51%	-0.67	-4.0	34
2016-03-08	Aberdeen	L 1-2	57.3	1516	1653	23.07%	22.66%	54.27%	-0.62	-3.9	34
2016-03-08	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-1	57.3	1653	1516	54.27%	22.66%	23.07%	+0.62	+3.9	62
2016-03-09	Inverness CT	W 1-0	54.0	1534	1547	38.19%	24.19%	37.62%	+0.01	+6.2	39
2016-03-09	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	54.0	1547	1534	37.62%	24.19%	38.19%	-0.01	-6.2	33
2016-03-11	Dundee United	W 2-1	53.0	1469	1461	41.21%	24.14%	34.66%	+0.12	+5.5	38
2016-03-11	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	53.0	1461	1469	34.66%	24.14%	41.21%	-0.12	-5.5	20
2016-03-12	Celtic	L 1-2	55.0	1512	1812	11.54%	17.20%	71.26%	-1.44	-1.9	34
2016-03-12	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-1	55.0	1812	1512	71.26%	17.20%	11.54%	+1.44	+1.9	66
2016-03-12	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	54.8	1541	1448	52.54%	22.98%	24.48%	+0.55	-8.2	33
2016-03-12	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	54.8	1448	1541	24.48%	22.98%	52.54%	-0.55	+8.2	33
2016-03-12	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	52.0	1516	1641	24.32%	22.95%	52.74%	-0.55	-4.3	36
2016-03-12	@ Dundee	W 1-0	52.0	1641	1516	52.74%	22.95%	24.32%	+0.55	+4.3	56
2016-03-12	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	49.5	1657	1407	69.49%	17.96%	12.55%	+1.34	+2.1	65
2016-03-12	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	49.5	1407	1657	12.55%	17.96%	69.49%	-1.34	-2.1	28
2016-03-16	Ross County	D 1-1	64.7	1540	1500	45.70%	23.86%	30.43%	+0.28	-0.5	40
2016-03-16	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	64.7	1500	1540	30.43%	23.86%	45.70%	-0.28	+0.5	40
2016-03-19	Aberdeen	W 2-1	66.9	1474	1659	18.89%	21.36%	59.76%	-0.85	+8.6	41
2016-03-19	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	66.9	1659	1474	59.76%	21.36%	18.89%	+0.85	-8.6	65
2016-03-19	Celtic	L 0-1	45.3	1405	1814	7.15%	12.98%	79.87%	-1.99	-1.2	28
2016-03-19	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	45.3	1814	1405	79.87%	12.98%	7.15%	+1.99	+1.2	69
2016-03-19	Inverness CT	L 0-3	46.2	1501	1533	35.47%	24.16%	40.37%	-0.09	-16.3	40
2016-03-19	@ Ross County	W 3-0	46.2	1533	1501	40.37%	24.16%	35.47%	+0.09	+16.3	36
2016-03-19	Partick Thistle	L 1-2	53.7	1457	1510	32.65%	24.04%	43.31%	-0.19	-5.3	33
2016-03-19	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	53.7	1510	1457	43.31%	24.04%	32.65%	+0.19	+5.3	37
2016-03-19	St. Johnstone	L 0-3	56.1	1645	1540	54.09%	22.69%	23.21%	+0.61	-22.9	56
2016-03-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	56.1	1540	1645	23.21%	22.69%	54.09%	-0.61	+22.9	43
2016-03-20	Dundee	D 2-2	67.6	1456	1512	32.30%	24.01%	43.69%	-0.21	+0.3	21
2016-03-20	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	67.6	1512	1456	43.69%	24.01%	32.30%	+0.21	-0.3	37
2016-04-02	Dundee United	L 0-1	56.3	1563	1456	54.28%	22.66%	23.07%	+0.62	-8.4	43
2016-04-02	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	56.3	1456	1563	23.07%	22.66%	54.28%	-0.62	+8.4	24
2016-04-02	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	54.9	1816	1622	63.91%	20.08%	16.02%	+1.05	+4.7	72
2016-04-02	@ Celtic	L 1-3	54.9	1622	1816	16.02%	20.08%	63.91%	-1.05	-4.7	56
2016-04-02	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	56.1	1515	1403	54.86%	22.54%	22.60%	+0.64	-1.3	38
2016-04-02	@ Partick Thistle	D 0-0	56.1	1403	1515	22.60%	22.54%	54.86%	-0.64	+1.3	29
2016-04-02	Motherwell	L 1-2	61.0	1549	1483	49.16%	23.49%	27.35%	+0.41	-7.3	36
2016-04-02	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	61.0	1483	1549	27.35%	23.49%	49.16%	-0.41	+7.3	44
2016-04-02	Ross County	W 5-2	51.5	1511	1484	43.90%	24.00%	32.10%	+0.21	+11.0	40
2016-04-02	@ Dundee	L 2-5	51.5	1484	1511	32.10%	24.00%	43.90%	-0.21	-11.0	40
2016-04-03	Hamilton Academical	W 3-0	41.4	1651	1451	64.55%	19.86%	15.59%	+1.08	+7.7	68
2016-04-03	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	41.4	1451	1651	15.59%	19.86%	64.55%	-1.08	-7.7	33
2016-04-05	Celtic	D 0-0	69.2	1522	1820	11.68%	17.31%	71.02%	-1.42	+2.4	41
2016-04-05	@ Dundee	D 0-0	69.2	1820	1522	71.02%	17.31%	11.68%	+1.42	-2.4	73
2016-04-05	Dundee United	W 1-0	47.6	1514	1464	46.96%	23.75%	29.29%	+0.33	+5.1	41
2016-04-05	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-1	47.6	1464	1514	29.29%	23.75%	46.96%	-0.33	-5.1	24
2016-04-08	Aberdeen	W 2-1	65.4	1618	1658	34.36%	24.12%	41.52%	-0.13	+6.3	59
2016-04-08	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	65.4	1658	1618	41.52%	24.12%	34.36%	+0.13	-6.3	68
2016-04-09	Celtic	L 1-2	54.1	1490	1818	10.28%	16.15%	73.57%	-1.57	-1.7	44
2016-04-09	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	54.1	1818	1490	73.57%	16.15%	10.28%	+1.57	+1.7	76
2016-04-09	Dundee	W 2-1	58.0	1444	1525	29.15%	23.73%	47.12%	-0.33	+7.0	36
2016-04-09	@ Hamilton Academical	L 1-2	58.0	1525	1444	47.12%	23.73%	29.15%	+0.33	-7.0	41
2016-04-09	Inverness CT	L 0-2	45.0	1459	1542	28.96%	23.71%	47.34%	-0.34	-9.5	24
2016-04-09	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	45.0	1542	1459	47.34%	23.71%	28.96%	+0.34	+9.6	39
2016-04-09	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	52.1	1473	1519	33.66%	24.09%	42.25%	-0.15	+6.8	43
2016-04-09	@ Ross County	L 0-1	52.1	1519	1473	42.25%	24.09%	33.66%	+0.15	-6.8	41
2016-04-09	St. Johnstone	W 3-0	49.0	1405	1554	21.90%	22.35%	55.75%	-0.68	+23.5	32
2016-04-09	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-3	49.0	1554	1405	55.75%	22.35%	21.90%	+0.68	-23.5	43
2016-04-12	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	64.5	1552	1624	30.24%	23.85%	45.91%	-0.29	+0.6	40
2016-04-12	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	64.5	1624	1552	45.91%	23.85%	30.24%	+0.29	-0.6	60

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2016-04-22	Aberdeen	W 3-0	55.6	1531	1652	24.72%	23.03%	52.25%	-0.53	+22.2	3
2016-04-22	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-3	55.6	1652	1531	52.25%	23.03%	24.72%	+0.53	-22.2	0
2016-04-23	Dundee	L 1-2	58.1	1512	1518	39.28%	24.18%	36.53%	+0.05	-6.1	0
2016-04-23	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-1	58.1	1518	1512	36.53%	24.18%	39.28%	-0.05	+6.1	3
2016-04-23	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	59.5	1489	1623	23.33%	22.72%	53.95%	-0.60	+8.3	3
2016-04-23	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	59.5	1623	1489	53.95%	22.72%	23.33%	+0.60	-8.4	0
2016-04-24	Hamilton Academical	L 1-3	50.5	1450	1451	39.95%	24.17%	35.88%	+0.07	-10.7	0
2016-04-24	@ Dundee United	W 3-1	50.5	1451	1450	35.88%	24.17%	39.95%	-0.07	+10.7	3
2016-04-24	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	47.2	1552	1428	56.32%	22.22%	21.45%	+0.70	+6.3	3
2016-04-24	@ Inverness CT	L 1-3	47.2	1428	1552	21.45%	22.22%	56.32%	-0.70	-6.3	0
2016-04-24	Ross County	D 1-1	74.1	1820	1480	76.97%	14.49%	8.54%	+1.79	-2.5	1
2016-04-24	@ Celtic	D 1-1	74.1	1480	1820	8.54%	14.49%	76.97%	-1.79	+2.5	1
2016-04-30	Celtic	L 1-3	55.6	1615	1817	17.56%	20.81%	61.63%	-0.94	-5.2	0
2016-04-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	55.6	1817	1615	61.63%	20.81%	17.56%	+0.94	+5.2	4
2016-04-30	Inverness CT	L 1-4	51.6	1506	1559	32.78%	24.05%	43.17%	-0.19	-12.9	0
2016-04-30	@ Partick Thistle	W 4-1	51.6	1559	1506	43.17%	24.05%	32.78%	+0.19	+12.9	6
2016-04-30	Kilmarnock	L 0-4	43.4	1461	1422	45.57%	23.88%	30.55%	+0.28	-25.9	3
2016-04-30	@ Hamilton Academical	W 4-0	43.4	1422	1461	30.55%	23.88%	45.57%	-0.28	+25.9	3
2016-04-30	Motherwell	W 4-1	49.4	1630	1497	57.32%	21.99%	20.69%	+0.75	+8.7	3
2016-04-30	@ Aberdeen	L 1-4	49.4	1497	1630	20.69%	21.99%	57.32%	-0.75	-8.7	3
2016-04-30	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	50.1	1483	1553	30.46%	23.87%	45.67%	-0.28	-5.3	1
2016-04-30	@ Ross County	W 1-0	50.1	1553	1483	45.67%	23.87%	30.46%	+0.28	+5.3	6
2016-05-02	Dundee United	W 2-1	51.1	1524	1439	51.56%	23.15%	25.30%	+0.51	+4.3	6
2016-05-02	@ Dundee	L 1-2	51.1	1439	1524	25.30%	23.15%	51.56%	-0.51	-4.2	0
2016-05-06	Dundee United	L 2-3	67.2	1572	1435	57.80%	21.87%	20.33%	+0.77	-7.9	6
2016-05-06	@ Inverness CT	W 3-2	67.2	1435	1572	20.33%	21.87%	57.80%	-0.77	+7.9	3
2016-05-07	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	53.8	1528	1435	52.55%	22.98%	24.47%	+0.55	-8.2	6
2016-05-07	@ Dundee	W 1-0	53.8	1435	1528	24.47%	22.98%	52.55%	-0.55	+8.2	6
2016-05-07	Partick Thistle	L 0-2	44.3	1448	1493	33.70%	24.10%	42.20%	-0.15	-10.8	3
2016-05-07	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	44.3	1493	1448	42.20%	24.10%	33.70%	+0.15	+10.8	3
2016-05-07	Ross County	D 1-1	66.9	1610	1477	57.31%	21.99%	20.70%	+0.75	-1.3	1
2016-05-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	66.9	1477	1610	20.70%	21.99%	57.31%	-0.75	+1.3	2
2016-05-07	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	56.0	1488	1558	30.53%	23.87%	45.60%	-0.28	-5.0	3
2016-05-07	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	56.0	1558	1488	45.60%	23.87%	30.53%	+0.28	+5.0	9
2016-05-08	Aberdeen	W 3-2	63.6	1822	1638	62.95%	20.39%	16.66%	+1.00	+2.7	7
2016-05-08	@ Celtic	L 2-3	63.6	1638	1822	16.66%	20.39%	62.95%	-1.00	-2.7	3
2016-05-10	Partick Thistle	D 3-3	70.8	1443	1504	31.62%	23.97%	44.42%	-0.23	+0.3	4
2016-05-10	@ Dundee United	D 3-3	70.8	1504	1443	44.42%	23.97%	31.62%	+0.23	-0.3	4
2016-05-11	Celtic	W 2-1	72.9	1563	1825	13.63%	18.70%	67.67%	-1.24	+9.5	12
2016-05-11	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	72.9	1825	1563	67.67%	18.70%	13.63%	+1.24	-9.5	7
2016-05-11	Inverness CT	L 0-1	47.1	1443	1564	24.81%	23.05%	52.14%	-0.53	-4.4	6
2016-05-11	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	47.1	1564	1443	52.14%	23.05%	24.81%	+0.53	+4.4	9
2016-05-11	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	61.8	1520	1437	51.31%	23.18%	25.50%	+0.50	-0.9	7
2016-05-11	@ Dundee	D 1-1	61.8	1437	1520	25.50%	23.18%	51.31%	-0.50	+0.9	4
2016-05-11	Motherwell	L 1-3	52.5	1479	1483	39.40%	24.18%	36.42%	+0.05	-10.5	2
2016-05-11	@ Ross County	W 3-1	52.5	1483	1479	36.42%	24.18%	39.40%	-0.05	+10.6	6
2016-05-12	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	60.1	1636	1609	43.89%	24.00%	32.11%	+0.21	-7.0	3
2016-05-12	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	60.1	1609	1636	32.11%	24.00%	43.89%	-0.21	+7.0	4
2016-05-14	Dundee	W 4-0	45.8	1568	1519	46.86%	23.76%	29.39%	+0.32	+18.3	12
2016-05-14	@ Inverness CT	L 0-4	45.8	1519	1568	29.39%	23.76%	46.86%	-0.32	-18.3	7
2016-05-14	Dundee United	L 2-4	53.6	1438	1443	39.37%	24.18%	36.44%	+0.05	-9.4	4
2016-05-14	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-2	53.6	1443	1438	36.44%	24.18%	39.37%	-0.05	+9.4	7
2016-05-14	Hamilton Academical	D 2-2	66.9	1504	1439	48.95%	23.52%	27.53%	+0.40	-0.5	5
2016-05-14	@ Partick Thistle	D 2-2	66.9	1439	1504	27.53%	23.52%	48.95%	-0.40	+0.5	7
2016-05-15	Motherwell	W 7-0	44.3	1815	1494	75.57%	15.19%	9.24%	+1.70	+9.6	10
2016-05-15	@ Celtic	L 0-7	44.3	1494	1815	9.24%	15.19%	75.57%	-1.70	-9.6	6
2016-05-15	Ross County	L 0-4	54.7	1629	1468	60.47%	21.16%	18.38%	+0.89	-32.9	3
2016-05-15	@ Aberdeen	W 4-0	54.7	1468	1629	18.38%	21.16%	60.47%	-0.89	+32.9	5
2016-05-15	St. Johnstone	D 2-2	75.0	1616	1573	46.02%	23.84%	30.15%	+0.29	-0.4	5
2016-05-15	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	75.0	1573	1616	30.15%	23.84%	46.02%	-0.29	+0.4	13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2015-12-19	7.88%	Motherwell	1454	2	@ Celtic	1812	1
2	2016-05-11	13.63%	@ St. Johnstone	1563	2	Celtic	1825	1
3	2016-02-20	17.73%	@ Dundee United	1434	2	Heart of Midlothian	1634	1
4	2016-05-15	18.38%	Ross County	1468	4	@ Aberdeen	1629	0
5	2016-03-19	18.89%	@ Motherwell	1474	2	Aberdeen	1659	1
6	2016-05-06	20.33%	Dundee United	1435	3	@ Inverness CT	1572	2
7	2016-02-03	20.54%	@ Aberdeen	1651	2	Celtic	1816	1
8	2016-04-09	21.90%	@ Kilmarnock	1405	3	St. Johnstone	1554	0
9	2015-10-17	22.90%	@ Kilmarnock	1425	2	Inverness CT	1564	0
10	2016-01-16	22.98%	@ Kilmarnock	1420	2	Inverness CT	1558	1
11	2015-09-12	23.00%	@ Aberdeen	1642	2	Celtic	1780	1
12	2016-04-02	23.07%	Dundee United	1456	1	@ St. Johnstone	1563	0
13	2016-03-19	23.21%	St. Johnstone	1540	3	@ Heart of Midlothian	1645	0
14	2015-09-19	23.32%	@ Kilmarnock	1421	2	St. Johnstone	1555	1
15	2016-04-23	23.33%	@ Motherwell	1489	1	Heart of Midlothian	1623	0
16	2015-10-03	23.56%	St. Johnstone	1552	5	@ Aberdeen	1654	1
17	2016-05-07	24.47%	Hamilton Academical	1435	1	@ Dundee	1528	0
18	2016-03-12	24.48%	Hamilton Academical	1448	1	@ Inverness CT	1541	0
19	2015-12-30	24.70%	@ Motherwell	1465	2	St. Johnstone	1586	0
20	2016-04-22	24.72%	@ St. Johnstone	1531	3	Aberdeen	1652	0
21	2015-08-01	24.83%	Motherwell	1476	1	@ Inverness CT	1565	0
22	2015-09-12	24.85%	Kilmarnock	1413	2	@ Dundee United	1502	1
23	2016-02-15	25.44%	@ Inverness CT	1550	3	Aberdeen	1664	1
24	2015-09-26	25.81%	@ Inverness CT	1551	2	Aberdeen	1662	1
25	2015-10-16	25.86%	@ Ross County	1519	2	Aberdeen	1629	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2016-05-15	32.92	Ross County	4	1468	18.38%	@ Aberdeen	0	1629	60.47%	21.16%
2	2016-04-30	25.94	Kilmarnock	4	1422	30.55%	@ Hamilton Academical	0	1461	45.57%	23.88%
3	2015-08-15	25.73	@ Hamilton Academical	4	1471	30.96%	Dundee United	0	1538	45.12%	23.91%
4	2015-10-03	24.78	St. Johnstone	5	1552	23.56%	@ Aberdeen	1	1654	53.66%	22.78%
5	2016-04-09	23.51	@ Kilmarnock	3	1405	21.90%	St. Johnstone	0	1554	55.75%	22.35%
6	2016-03-19	22.91	St. Johnstone	3	1540	23.21%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1645	54.09%	22.69%
7	2016-04-22	22.25	@ St. Johnstone	3	1531	24.72%	Aberdeen	0	1652	52.25%	23.03%
8	2015-12-19	22.12	@ Dundee	4	1479	38.60%	Hamilton Academical	0	1489	37.21%	24.19%
9	2015-08-01	21.96	Dundee	4	1486	38.98%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1463	36.84%	24.19%
10	2016-02-27	21.22	Dundee United	3	1443	27.14%	@ Ross County	0	1511	49.40%	23.46%
11	2016-01-16	20.51	@ Heart of Midlothian	6	1602	56.06%	Motherwell	0	1480	21.66%	22.28%
12	2015-08-22	19.79	Ross County	4	1494	43.72%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1438	32.27%	24.01%
13	2016-02-16	18.78	Motherwell	3	1436	33.39%	@ Dundee United	0	1453	42.53%	24.08%
14	2015-10-31	18.72	Heart of Midlothian	4	1580	46.04%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1506	30.12%	23.83%
15	2016-05-14	18.34	@ Inverness CT	4	1568	46.86%	Dundee	0	1519	29.39%	23.76%
16	2016-01-23	17.46	@ Dundee United	5	1436	41.19%	Kilmarnock	1	1428	34.67%	24.14%
17	2015-10-03	16.82	@ Partick Thistle	3	1482	38.93%	Dundee United	0	1490	36.89%	24.19%
18	2016-03-19	16.33	Inverness CT	3	1533	40.37%	@ Ross County	0	1501	35.47%	24.16%
19	2015-10-17	15.87	@ Kilmarnock	2	1425	22.90%	Inverness CT	0	1564	54.48%	22.62%
20	2015-12-30	15.32	@ Motherwell	2	1465	24.70%	St. Johnstone	0	1586	52.27%	23.03%
21	2015-10-16	14.98	@ Ross County	2	1519	25.86%	Aberdeen	0	1629	50.89%	23.25%
22	2015-08-22	14.23	Hamilton Academical	2	1497	28.51%	@ Inverness CT	0	1553	47.84%	23.65%
23	2016-02-13	13.87	Kilmarnock	2	1405	29.83%	@ Motherwell	0	1450	46.36%	23.80%
24	2015-11-21	13.72	@ Ross County	3	1512	47.76%	Motherwell	0	1456	28.57%	23.66%
25	2015-08-22	13.71	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1578	47.77%	Partick Thistle	0	1522	28.57%	23.66%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-12-27	78.9	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1599	17.50%	Celtic	2	1802	61.72%	20.78%
2	2015-08-12	77.8	@ Kilmarnock	2	1436	9.98%	Celtic	2	1770	74.14%	15.88%
3	2015-12-26	75.3	@ Aberdeen	2	1646	53.89%	Inverness CT	2	1542	23.38%	22.73%
4	2016-05-15	75.0	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1616	46.02%	St. Johnstone	2	1573	30.15%	23.84%
5	2016-04-24	74.1	@ Celtic	1	1820	76.97%	Ross County	1	1480	8.54%	14.49%
6	2015-09-26	73.6	@ Dundee	3	1498	36.22%	Ross County	3	1525	39.60%	24.18%
7	2016-02-26	73.6	@ Hamilton Academical	1	1452	8.72%	Celtic	1	1818	76.61%	14.67%
8	2015-12-19	73.2	Motherwell	2	1454	7.88%	@ Celtic	1	1812	78.33%	13.79%
9	2016-05-11	72.9	@ St. Johnstone	2	1563	13.63%	Celtic	1	1825	67.67%	18.70%
10	2015-11-28	71.2	@ Motherwell	2	1442	20.71%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1605	57.30%	22.00%
11	2016-02-03	71.2	@ Aberdeen	2	1651	20.54%	Celtic	1	1816	57.52%	21.94%
12	2016-05-10	70.8	@ Dundee United	3	1443	31.62%	Partick Thistle	3	1504	44.42%	23.97%
13	2016-01-02	70.5	@ Kilmarnock	2	1419	18.92%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1603	59.71%	21.37%
14	2015-08-11	70.4	@ Dundee United	2	1538	44.98%	Dundee	2	1503	31.10%	23.92%
15	2016-01-02	70.4	@ Motherwell	3	1480	43.61%	Hamilton Academical	3	1455	32.37%	24.02%
16	2015-09-12	70.3	@ Aberdeen	2	1642	23.00%	Celtic	1	1780	54.36%	22.64%
17	2016-02-27	69.7	@ Aberdeen	1	1651	54.78%	St. Johnstone	1	1540	22.66%	22.56%
18	2016-03-02	69.5	@ Celtic	0	1815	73.96%	Dundee	0	1513	10.08%	15.97%
19	2016-04-05	69.2	@ Dundee	0	1522	11.68%	Celtic	0	1820	71.02%	17.31%
20	2015-11-21	69.0	@ Celtic	0	1802	78.80%	Kilmarnock	0	1438	7.66%	13.54%
21	2015-12-19	68.8	@ Inverness CT	2	1543	53.02%	Dundee United	2	1446	24.08%	22.90%
22	2015-09-26	68.7	@ Celtic	0	1783	66.55%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1564	14.32%	19.13%
23	2015-08-29	68.0	@ Hamilton Academical	3	1511	29.22%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1592	47.04%	23.74%
24	2016-02-06	68.0	Aberdeen	4	1660	48.77%	@ St. Johnstone	3	1566	27.69%	23.54%
25	2015-08-02	67.6	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1554	40.02%	St. Johnstone	3	1555	35.81%	24.17%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-12-19	40.3	Aberdeen	4	1635	62.37%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1426	17.05%	20.58%
2	2015-08-22	41.1	Ross County	4	1494	43.72%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1438	32.27%	24.01%
3	2016-04-03	41.4	@ Aberdeen	3	1651	64.55%	Hamilton Academical	0	1451	15.59%	19.86%
4	2015-11-21	41.6	@ Ross County	3	1512	47.76%	Motherwell	0	1456	28.57%	23.66%
5	2016-03-01	41.9	Ross County	2	1490	46.09%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1416	30.08%	23.83%
6	2015-10-25	42.2	@ Celtic	5	1785	75.18%	Dundee United	0	1468	9.44%	15.38%
7	2015-08-09	42.6	@ Aberdeen	2	1617	62.03%	Kilmarnock	0	1441	17.28%	20.69%
8	2016-02-16	43.1	Motherwell	3	1436	33.39%	@ Dundee United	0	1453	42.53%	24.08%
9	2015-08-01	43.2	Dundee	4	1486	38.98%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1463	36.84%	24.19%
10	2016-04-30	43.4	Kilmarnock	4	1422	30.55%	@ Hamilton Academical	0	1461	45.57%	23.88%
11	2016-01-23	43.6	@ Dundee United	5	1436	41.19%	Kilmarnock	1	1428	34.67%	24.14%
12	2015-12-19	44.0	@ Dundee	4	1479	38.60%	Hamilton Academical	0	1489	37.21%	24.19%
13	2016-01-19	44.1	@ Celtic	8	1806	77.68%	Hamilton Academical	1	1457	8.19%	14.13%
14	2016-01-16	44.3	@ Heart of Midlothian	6	1602	56.06%	Motherwell	0	1480	21.66%	22.28%
15	2016-05-07	44.3	Partick Thistle	2	1493	42.20%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1448	33.70%	24.10%
16	2016-05-15	44.3	@ Celtic	7	1815	75.57%	Motherwell	0	1494	9.24%	15.19%
17	2015-10-03	44.4	@ Partick Thistle	3	1482	38.93%	Dundee United	0	1490	36.89%	24.19%
18	2015-08-29	44.5	@ Motherwell	1	1457	45.48%	Kilmarnock	0	1418	30.64%	23.88%
19	2015-11-07	44.5	@ Aberdeen	2	1608	58.10%	Dundee United	0	1468	20.10%	21.80%
20	2016-02-27	44.6	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1625	65.23%	Kilmarnock	0	1419	15.15%	19.61%
21	2015-08-12	44.8	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1565	52.37%	Motherwell	0	1473	24.62%	23.01%
22	2015-09-20	44.8	@ Celtic	6	1772	70.67%	Dundee	0	1509	11.87%	17.46%
23	2016-04-09	45.0	Inverness CT	2	1542	47.34%	@ Dundee United	0	1459	28.96%	23.71%
24	2015-08-01	45.1	@ Celtic	2	1761	71.20%	Ross County	0	1491	11.57%	17.22%
25	2016-02-13	45.2	Kilmarnock	2	1405	29.83%	@ Motherwell	0	1450	46.36%	23.80%