2016-17 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

106 points · 48th Title

Last Title: 2015-16

Relegated

Inverness CT

34 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Ross County

3.81 points above expected

46 points · 42.19 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Heart of Midlothian

4.48 points below expected

46 points · 50.48 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	29	4	0	91	87	22	+65	76.77	+14.23
2	Aberdeen	33	21	4	8	67	63	28	+35	58.13	+8.87
3	Rangers	33	16	10	7	58	48	34	+14	50.00	+8.00
4	St. Johnstone	33	14	7	12	49	44	40	+4	47.96	+1.04
5	Heart of Midlothian	33	12	9	12	45	51	43	+8	53.83	-8.83
6	Partick Thistle	33	10	11	12	41	35	38	-3	41.40	-0.40
7	Kilmarnock	33	7	14	12	35	30	49	-19	32.60	+2.40
8	Ross County	33	7	12	14	33	37	54	-17	37.70	-4.70
9	Hamilton Academical	33	6	14	13	32	30	48	-18	33.76	-1.76
10	Motherwell	33	8	8	17	32	38	61	-23	35.02	-3.02
11	Dundee	33	8	6	19	30	33	53	-20	38.18	-8.18
12	Inverness CT	33	4	13	16	25	36	62	-26	40.23	-15.23

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	38	34	4	0	106	106	25	+81	102.32	+3.68
2	Aberdeen	38	24	4	10	76	74	35	+39	74.81	+1.19
3	Rangers	38	19	10	9	67	56	44	+12	64.92	+2.08
4	St. Johnstone	38	17	7	14	58	50	46	+4	54.27	+3.73
5	Heart of Midlothian	38	12	10	16	46	55	52	+3	50.48	-4.48
6	Partick Thistle	38	10	12	16	42	38	54	-16	45.59	-3.59
7	Ross County	38	11	13	14	46	48	58	-10	42.19	+3.81
8	Kilmarnock	38	9	14	15	41	36	56	-20	40.34	+0.66
9	Motherwell	38	10	8	20	38	46	69	-23	38.43	-0.43
10	Dundee	38	10	7	21	37	38	62	-24	38.46	-1.46
11	Hamilton Academical	38	7	14	17	35	37	56	-19	37.06	-2.06
12	Inverness CT Relegated	38	7	13	18	34	44	71	-27	31.49	+2.51

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ross County	46	42.19	+3.81
2	St. Johnstone	58	54.27	+3.73
3	Celtic	106	102.32	+3.68
4	Inverness CT	34	31.49	+2.51
5	Rangers	67	64.92	+2.08

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Heart of Midlothian	46	50.48	-4.48
2	Partick Thistle	42	45.59	-3.59
3	Hamilton Academical	35	37.06	-2.06
4	Dundee	37	38.46	-1.46
5	Motherwell	38	38.43	-0.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	22	Sep 24 – Mar 1	1 in 1,816
2	Rangers	4	Dec 3 – Dec 24	1 in 32
3	Partick Thistle	3	Feb 18 – Mar 1	1 in 27
4	Aberdeen	4	Sep 18 – Oct 15	1 in 19
5	Motherwell	2	May 13 – May 16	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dundee	7	Mar 1 – Apr 15	1 in 228
2	Inverness CT	4	Nov 5 – Dec 3	1 in 24
3	Rangers	2	Feb 19 – Feb 24	1 in 17
4	Heart of Midlothian	4	May 7 – May 21	1 in 13
5	Partick Thistle	4	May 7 – May 21	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	38	Aug 7 – May 21	1 in 75
2	Ross County	8	Apr 4 – May 20	1 in 72
3	Partick Thistle	8	Feb 18 – Apr 8	1 in 58
4	Hamilton Academical	5	Nov 5 – Dec 10	1 in 17
5	Inverness CT	5	Aug 27 – Oct 1	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Inverness CT	14	Oct 29 – Feb 18	1 in 310
2	Dundee	10	Aug 13 – Oct 26	1 in 59
3	Hamilton Academical	12	Oct 29 – Jan 28	1 in 38
4	Partick Thistle	8	Aug 20 – Oct 22	1 in 36
5	Ross County	10	Aug 27 – Nov 6	1 in 30

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	1939	106	+37	15	11.4	+3.6
Aberdeen	1721	76	+15	9	7.4	+1.6
Rangers	1663	67	+0	9	6.9	+2.1
St. Johnstone	1610	58	+25	9	5.9	+3.1
Ross County	1518	46	+50	13	7.8	+5.2
Heart of Midlothian	1569	46	-25	1	5.2	-4.2
Partick Thistle	1499	42	-53	1	4.5	-3.5
Kilmarnock	1465	41	-11	6	7.5	-1.5
Motherwell	1440	38	+2	6	6.4	-0.4
Dundee	1407	37	-33	7	6.6	+0.4
Hamilton Academical	1452	35	-11	3	6.7	-3.7
Inverness CT	1441	34	+4	9	6.0	+3.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DUN	HA	HOM	IC	KIL	MOT	PT	RAN	RC	SJ
Aberdeen	—	0-0-4 2.88	3-0-0 5.47	1-0-2 6.15	3-1-0 6.11	2-1-0 5.49	3-0-0 5.95	3-0-0 6.29	4-0-0 7.21	2-0-2 6.36	2-0-1 6.02	1-2-1 6.64
Celtic	4-0-0 8.18	—	3-0-0 7.10	3-0-0 7.45	4-0-0 8.71	2-1-0 6.81	3-0-0 7.34	3-0-0 7.25	3-1-0 9.65	3-1-0 8.64	2-1-0 7.26	4-0-0 8.84
Dundee	0-0-3 2.78	0-0-3 1.36	—	1-1-2 5.78	1-0-2 2.53	1-1-2 5.42	1-2-1 5.87	3-1-0 5.49	0-0-3 4.04	1-0-2 3.32	1-2-1 5.34	1-0-2 3.01
Hamilton Academical	2-0-1 2.15	0-0-3 1.08	2-1-1 5.16	—	0-1-2 2.47	1-2-1 4.87	0-2-2 5.81	0-2-2 5.35	0-2-1 3.62	0-1-2 2.64	1-2-1 4.81	1-1-1 2.80
Heart of Midlothian	0-1-3 4.83	0-0-4 2.45	2-0-1 5.72	2-1-0 5.79	—	1-2-0 5.21	1-1-1 5.73	3-0-0 5.43	1-2-1 6.97	2-0-2 5.40	0-2-1 5.80	0-1-3 5.62
Inverness CT	0-1-2 2.78	0-1-2 1.59	2-1-1 5.51	1-2-1 6.07	0-2-1 3.02	—	0-3-1 5.79	2-0-2 5.84	0-2-1 3.81	1-0-2 3.26	0-1-3 5.70	1-0-2 3.51
Kilmarnock	0-0-3 2.33	0-0-3 1.16	1-2-1 5.07	2-2-0 5.12	1-1-1 2.53	1-3-0 5.16	—	0-1-3 5.69	0-3-0 3.41	0-2-1 2.88	2-0-2 4.95	2-0-1 2.49
Motherwell	0-0-3 2.03	0-0-3 1.23	0-1-3 5.43	2-2-0 5.57	0-0-3 2.80	2-0-2 5.09	3-1-0 5.24	—	1-1-1 3.39	0-1-2 2.63	2-1-1 5.09	0-1-2 3.08
Partick Thistle	0-0-4 3.77	0-1-3 1.66	3-0-0 4.15	1-2-0 4.58	1-2-1 4.00	1-2-0 4.39	0-3-0 4.79	1-1-1 4.83	—	0-0-4 4.21	2-1-0 4.55	1-0-3 4.57
Rangers	2-0-2 4.58	0-1-3 2.49	2-0-1 4.89	2-1-0 5.61	2-0-2 5.54	2-0-1 4.96	1-2-0 5.34	2-1-0 5.62	4-0-0 6.74	—	0-3-0 5.42	2-2-0 5.80
Ross County	1-0-2 2.27	0-1-2 1.23	1-2-1 5.59	1-2-1 6.13	1-2-0 2.46	3-1-0 5.23	2-0-2 5.98	1-1-2 5.84	0-1-2 3.65	0-3-0 2.82	—	1-0-2 3.07
St. Johnstone	1-2-1 4.31	0-0-4 2.32	2-0-1 5.21	1-1-1 5.43	3-1-0 5.30	2-0-1 4.69	1-0-2 5.77	2-1-0 5.14	3-0-1 6.37	0-2-2 5.13	2-0-1 5.15	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.91	+10.2
Allowed	0.87	-15.1
Differential	0.97	+6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.14%	7.24%	6.80%	2.85%	2.19%	0.88%	26.10%
1	7.24%	14.91%	9.21%	2.41%	1.10%	1.32%	36.18%
2	6.80%	9.21%	3.51%	1.75%	0.88%	0.44%	22.59%
3	2.85%	2.41%	1.75%	0.88%	0.22%	—	8.11%
4	2.19%	1.10%	0.88%	0.22%	—	—	4.39%
5+	0.88%	1.32%	0.44%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	26.10%	36.18%	22.59%	8.11%	4.39%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.38	+0.00
SD	1.27	1.27	1.95
CV	0.92	0.92	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
1	10.53%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	23.68%
2	5.26%	21.05%	—	—	—	—	26.32%
3	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
4	5.26%	—	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
Total	36.84%	44.74%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	0.92	+1.03
SD	1.89	0.97	2.27
CV	0.97	1.05	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	18.42%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	23.68%
2	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
4	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
5+	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
Total	50.00%	36.84%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.79	0.66	+2.13
SD	1.49	0.78	1.47
CV	0.53	1.19	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	1	0	+0

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	10.53%	18.42%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	42.11%
1	5.26%	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
2	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
3	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	15.79%	31.58%	39.47%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.63	-0.63
SD	1.19	1.30	1.96
CV	1.19	0.80	—
Max	5	7	+4
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	—	31.58%
1	10.53%	26.32%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	50.00%
2	2.63%	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	10.53%
3	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	34.21%	21.05%	13.16%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.47	-0.50
SD	0.94	1.22	1.66
CV	0.97	0.83	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	13.16%	13.16%	—	2.63%	2.63%	39.47%
1	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	15.79%
2	5.26%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
3	5.26%	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	—	15.79%
4	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	26.32%	31.58%	28.95%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.37	+0.08
SD	1.48	1.20	2.10
CV	1.02	0.87	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	10.53%	5.26%	—	28.95%
1	—	23.68%	7.89%	2.63%	—	2.63%	36.84%
2	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.89%	42.11%	18.42%	21.05%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	1.87	-0.71
SD	0.97	1.23	1.69
CV	0.84	0.66	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	31.58%
1	2.63%	21.05%	10.53%	5.26%	—	5.26%	44.74%
2	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	36.84%	18.42%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	1.47	-0.53
SD	0.80	1.47	1.74
CV	0.85	0.99	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	34.21%
1	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	31.58%
2	2.63%	10.53%	—	5.26%	—	2.63%	21.05%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	5.26%
4	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	36.84%	23.68%	18.42%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.82	-0.61
SD	1.21	1.45	1.78
CV	1.00	0.80	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	13.16%	—	—	5.26%	31.58%
1	5.26%	18.42%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	39.47%
2	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	26.32%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	34.21%	34.21%	—	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.42	-0.42
SD	0.84	1.33	1.80
CV	0.84	0.93	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
1	7.89%	21.05%	13.16%	—	2.63%	5.26%	50.00%
2	10.53%	21.05%	—	—	—	—	31.58%
3	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	42.11%	18.42%	—	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.16	+0.32
SD	0.86	1.26	1.71
CV	0.58	1.09	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	23.68%
1	5.26%	21.05%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	44.74%
2	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
3	—	—	7.89%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	34.21%	31.58%	7.89%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	1.53	-0.26
SD	1.08	1.13	1.59
CV	0.86	0.74	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
1	15.79%	10.53%	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	39.47%
2	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	34.21%
3	7.89%	—	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	39.47%	28.95%	15.79%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.21	+0.11
SD	0.87	1.38	1.64
CV	0.66	1.14	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1939	106	76.77	+29.23	100.0%	59	66	73	77	81	86	90
Aberdeen	1721	76	58.13	+17.87	92.0%	43	46	53	58	63	69	78
Rangers	1663	67	50.00	+17.00	84.0%	28	36	46	50	54	61	72
St. Johnstone	1610	58	47.96	+10.04	56.0%	31	34	43	48	53	60	63
Heart of Midlothian	1569	46	53.83	-7.83	10.0%	34	42	49	54	58	65	71
Ross County	1518	46	37.70	+8.30	31.0%	20	27	33	37	43	47	60
Partick Thistle	1499	42	41.40	+0.60	56.0%	27	30	36	41	46	54	58
Kilmarnock	1465	41	32.60	+8.40	67.0%	15	22	28	33	38	44	50
Hamilton Academical	1452	35	33.76	+1.24	51.0%	19	23	29	32	38	46	54
Inverness CT	1441	34	40.23	-6.23	1.0%	23	28	35	40	45	52	59
Motherwell	1440	38	35.02	+2.98	33.0%	17	23	30	37	40	43	52
Dundee	1407	37	38.18	-1.18	6.0%	24	29	34	38	42	49	54

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+7.89%

No Edge

41.23%25.44%33.33%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 27.49 Elo pts.

157 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.18 goals

Neutral

-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.1

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

94%

Celtic, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.79/gm

Runaway

00.411.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.6 * Some Luck: 5.6 to 8.41 * Lucky: 8.41 to 11.21 * Wild Swing: 11.21 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.25 * Close: 1.25 to 1.87 * Off: 1.87 to 2.49 * Way Off: 2.49 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.71 * A Surprise: 0.71 to 1.14 * Several Surprises: 1.14 to 1.56 * Many Surprises: 1.56 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.95 points

Some Luck

07.0118

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.50

01.564

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Celtic

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.00%

Inverness CT

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 1

A Surprise

00.71

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 141.22

2.65

Wide Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

71%

Clear Edge

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 94%

94%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

62%

Very Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Occasional

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.57

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.34

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.40

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.58

Some Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Upset-Prone

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

15%

Solid Favorites

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.24

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.28

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.090

Well Within Noise

00.1130.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	94.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	4.00%	48.00%	28.00%	12.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	—	16.00%	20.00%	21.00%	21.00%	9.00%	3.00%	2.00%	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
St. Johnstone	—	7.00%	14.00%	23.00%	22.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Heart of Midlothian	2.00%	22.00%	27.00%	25.00%	10.00%	9.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—
Partick Thistle	—	1.00%	5.00%	9.00%	6.00%	17.00%	21.00%	10.00%	5.00%	13.00%	10.00%	3.00%
Ross County	—	1.00%	—	—	11.00%	8.00%	14.00%	13.00%	20.00%	11.00%	11.00%	11.00%
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	—	3.00%	8.00%	7.00%	10.00%	10.00%	11.00%	22.00%	29.00%
Motherwell	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	15.00%	15.00%	12.00%	14.00%	13.00%	22.00%
Dundee	—	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	13.00%	14.00%	15.00%	14.00%	23.00%	10.00%	4.00%
Hamilton Academical	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	4.00%	8.00%	15.00%	13.00%	24.00%	21.00%
Inverness CT	—	—	4.00%	5.00%	11.00%	14.00%	11.00%	17.00%	12.00%	12.00%	5.00%	9.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	—	99.25%	0.75%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	—	0.75%	98.64%	0.61%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
St. Johnstone	—	—	0.61%	80.92%	17.54%	0.93%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	—	17.44%	71.11%	11.45%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Partick Thistle	—	—	—	1.03%	11.35%	87.62%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ross County	—	—	—	—	—	—	51.61%	24.46%	13.90%	6.92%	2.97%	0.14%
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	—	—	—	24.52%	29.33%	22.67%	14.35%	8.03%	1.10%
Motherwell	—	—	—	—	—	—	10.16%	17.92%	23.49%	24.72%	20.14%	3.57%
Dundee	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.41%	17.41%	22.18%	25.71%	21.51%	3.78%
Hamilton Academical	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.26%	10.54%	16.16%	23.81%	36.12%	9.11%
Inverness CT	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.04%	0.34%	1.60%	4.49%	11.23%	82.30%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
St. Johnstone	99.00%	1.00%	—
Partick Thistle	94.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Dundee	84.00%	9.00%	7.00%
Inverness CT	82.00%	10.00%	8.00%
Ross County	78.00%	9.00%	13.00%
Motherwell	57.00%	25.00%	18.00%
Hamilton Academical	56.00%	20.00%	24.00%
Kilmarnock	50.00%	21.00%	29.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—	—
Partick Thistle	100%	—	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
St. Johnstone	100%	—	—
Ross County	96.89%	2.97%	0.14%
Kilmarnock	90.87%	8.03%	1.10%
Motherwell	76.29%	20.14%	3.57%
Dundee	74.71%	21.51%	3.78%
Hamilton Academical	54.77%	36.12%	9.11%
Inverness CT	6.47%	11.23%	82.30%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2016-08-06	Dundee	L 1-3	57.5	1528	1528	40.39%	26.90%	32.71%	+0.17	-16.2	0
2016-08-06	@ Ross County	W 3-1	57.5	1528	1528	32.71%	26.90%	40.39%	-0.17	+16.2	3
2016-08-06	Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	64.1	1561	1485	50.44%	25.91%	23.64%	+0.66	-1.4	1
2016-08-06	@ Rangers	D 1-1	64.1	1485	1561	23.64%	25.91%	50.44%	-0.66	+1.4	1
2016-08-06	Inverness CT	W 2-0	53.6	1529	1584	32.60%	26.89%	40.51%	-0.18	+18.7	3
2016-08-06	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-2	53.6	1584	1529	40.51%	26.89%	32.60%	+0.18	-18.7	0
2016-08-06	Motherwell	L 1-2	56.7	1480	1514	35.68%	26.97%	37.35%	-0.04	-8.5	0
2016-08-06	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	56.7	1514	1480	37.35%	26.97%	35.68%	+0.04	+8.5	3
2016-08-07	Aberdeen	D 0-0	62.9	1575	1589	38.43%	26.96%	34.62%	+0.09	-0.2	1
2016-08-07	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	62.9	1589	1575	34.62%	26.96%	38.43%	-0.09	+0.2	1
2016-08-07	Celtic	L 1-2	61.1	1604	1750	22.16%	25.60%	52.25%	-0.76	-5.8	0
2016-08-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	61.1	1750	1604	52.25%	25.60%	22.16%	+0.76	+5.8	3
2016-08-13	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	63.5	1589	1598	39.12%	26.94%	33.94%	+0.12	-0.3	2
2016-08-13	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	63.5	1598	1589	33.94%	26.94%	39.12%	-0.12	+0.3	1
2016-08-13	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	57.3	1486	1472	42.37%	26.80%	30.83%	+0.27	-9.7	1
2016-08-13	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	57.3	1472	1486	30.83%	26.80%	42.37%	-0.27	+9.7	3
2016-08-13	Rangers	L 1-2	61.3	1544	1559	38.22%	26.96%	34.82%	+0.08	-9.0	3
2016-08-13	@ Dundee	W 2-1	61.3	1559	1544	34.82%	26.96%	38.22%	-0.08	+9.0	4
2016-08-13	Ross County	L 2-3	68.2	1566	1511	47.69%	26.31%	26.01%	+0.52	-10.1	0
2016-08-13	@ Inverness CT	W 3-2	68.2	1511	1566	26.01%	26.31%	47.69%	-0.52	+10.1	3
2016-08-13	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	59.6	1522	1574	33.07%	26.91%	40.02%	-0.16	-8.0	3
2016-08-13	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	59.6	1574	1522	40.02%	26.91%	33.07%	+0.16	+8.0	4
2016-08-19	Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	62.8	1535	1476	48.25%	26.24%	25.52%	+0.55	-1.2	4
2016-08-19	@ Dundee	D 1-1	62.8	1476	1535	25.52%	26.24%	48.25%	-0.55	+1.2	2
2016-08-20	Celtic	L 2-4	61.0	1582	1756	19.66%	24.93%	55.41%	-0.93	-8.1	4
2016-08-20	@ St. Johnstone	W 4-2	61.0	1756	1582	55.41%	24.93%	19.66%	+0.93	+8.1	6
2016-08-20	Inverness CT	W 5-1	52.5	1598	1555	46.24%	26.48%	27.28%	+0.45	+21.9	4
2016-08-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-5	52.5	1555	1598	27.28%	26.48%	46.24%	-0.45	-21.9	0
2016-08-20	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	45.7	1521	1482	45.82%	26.52%	27.66%	+0.43	+14.0	6
2016-08-20	@ Ross County	L 0-2	45.7	1482	1521	27.66%	26.52%	45.82%	-0.43	-14.0	3
2016-08-20	Motherwell	W 2-1	56.8	1568	1514	47.68%	26.31%	26.01%	+0.52	+6.7	7
2016-08-20	@ Rangers	L 1-2	56.8	1514	1568	26.01%	26.31%	47.68%	-0.52	-6.7	3
2016-08-20	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	59.0	1589	1547	46.02%	26.50%	27.48%	+0.44	+7.0	5
2016-08-20	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	59.0	1547	1589	27.48%	26.50%	46.02%	-0.44	-7.0	3
2016-08-26	Rangers	D 1-1	63.9	1468	1575	26.20%	26.33%	47.47%	-0.51	+1.1	4
2016-08-26	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	63.9	1575	1468	47.47%	26.33%	26.20%	+0.51	-1.1	8
2016-08-27	Aberdeen	W 4-1	53.2	1764	1596	60.76%	23.43%	15.81%	+1.25	+10.4	9
2016-08-27	@ Celtic	L 1-4	53.2	1596	1764	15.81%	23.43%	60.76%	-1.25	-10.4	5
2016-08-27	Dundee	D 0-0	59.0	1508	1534	36.70%	26.97%	36.33%	+0.01	-0.0	4
2016-08-27	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	59.0	1534	1508	36.33%	26.97%	36.70%	-0.01	+0.0	5
2016-08-27	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	60.3	1540	1620	29.45%	26.70%	43.85%	-0.34	-7.4	3
2016-08-27	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-1	60.3	1620	1540	43.85%	26.70%	29.45%	+0.34	+7.4	7
2016-08-27	Ross County	W 1-0	53.2	1478	1535	32.29%	26.88%	40.83%	-0.19	+10.0	5
2016-08-27	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	53.2	1535	1478	40.83%	26.88%	32.29%	+0.19	-10.0	6
2016-08-27	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	61.6	1533	1574	34.62%	26.96%	38.43%	-0.09	+9.0	3
2016-08-27	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	61.6	1574	1533	38.43%	26.96%	34.62%	+0.09	-9.0	4
2016-09-10	Hamilton Academical	W 3-1	52.0	1628	1488	57.82%	24.31%	17.87%	+1.07	+8.3	10
2016-09-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	52.0	1488	1628	17.87%	24.31%	57.82%	-1.07	-8.3	5
2016-09-10	Inverness CT	D 1-1	66.7	1585	1542	46.21%	26.48%	27.31%	+0.45	-0.9	6
2016-09-10	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	66.7	1542	1585	27.31%	26.48%	46.21%	-0.45	+0.9	4
2016-09-10	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	62.5	1534	1469	49.07%	26.12%	24.80%	+0.59	-1.2	6
2016-09-10	@ Dundee	D 1-1	62.5	1469	1534	24.80%	26.12%	49.07%	-0.59	+1.2	5
2016-09-10	Motherwell	D 1-1	63.4	1525	1508	42.89%	26.77%	30.35%	+0.29	-0.6	7
2016-09-10	@ Ross County	D 1-1	63.4	1508	1525	30.35%	26.77%	42.89%	-0.29	+0.6	5
2016-09-10	Rangers	W 5-1	50.6	1774	1574	63.91%	22.33%	13.76%	+1.46	+11.6	12
2016-09-10	@ Celtic	L 1-5	50.6	1574	1774	13.76%	22.33%	63.91%	-1.46	-11.6	8
2016-09-10	St. Johnstone	L 0-2	51.7	1533	1565	35.81%	26.97%	37.22%	-0.03	-17.1	3
2016-09-10	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-0	51.7	1565	1533	37.22%	26.97%	35.81%	+0.03	+17.1	7
2016-09-17	Hamilton Academical	W 4-2	55.3	1508	1479	44.38%	26.65%	28.96%	+0.36	+11.3	8
2016-09-17	@ Motherwell	L 2-4	55.3	1479	1508	28.96%	26.65%	44.38%	-0.36	-11.2	5
2016-09-17	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	59.3	1582	1636	32.89%	26.91%	40.21%	-0.17	+9.9	10
2016-09-17	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	59.3	1636	1582	40.21%	26.91%	32.89%	+0.17	-9.9	10
2016-09-17	Partick Thistle	D 2-2	67.5	1470	1516	33.91%	26.94%	39.15%	-0.12	+0.2	6
2016-09-17	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	67.5	1516	1470	39.15%	26.94%	33.91%	+0.12	-0.2	4
2016-09-17	Ross County	D 0-0	60.7	1562	1525	45.52%	26.55%	27.93%	+0.42	-1.0	9
2016-09-17	@ Rangers	D 0-0	60.7	1525	1562	27.93%	26.55%	45.52%	-0.42	+1.0	8
2016-09-18	Aberdeen	L 1-3	57.4	1533	1584	33.13%	26.91%	39.96%	-0.15	-14.0	6
2016-09-18	@ Dundee	W 3-1	57.4	1584	1533	39.96%	26.91%	33.13%	+0.15	+14.0	9
2016-09-18	Celtic	D 2-2	77.7	1543	1786	14.55%	22.78%	62.68%	-1.37	+2.0	5
2016-09-18	@ Inverness CT	D 2-2	77.7	1786	1543	62.68%	22.78%	14.55%	+1.37	-1.9	13
2016-09-24	Dundee	W 3-1	54.4	1545	1519	44.09%	26.68%	29.24%	+0.35	+12.7	8
2016-09-24	@ Inverness CT	L 1-3	54.4	1519	1545	29.24%	26.68%	44.09%	-0.35	-12.7	6
2016-09-24	Kilmarnock	W 6-1	45.7	1784	1470	73.66%	17.91%	8.43%	+2.18	+8.2	16
2016-09-24	@ Celtic	L 1-6	45.7	1470	1784	8.43%	17.91%	73.66%	-2.18	-8.2	6
2016-09-24	Motherwell	D 1-1	63.5	1516	1519	39.89%	26.92%	33.19%	+0.15	-0.3	5
2016-09-24	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	63.5	1519	1516	33.19%	26.92%	39.89%	-0.15	+0.3	9
2016-09-24	Ross County	D 0-0	63.1	1626	1526	53.33%	25.38%	21.28%	+0.82	-1.9	11
2016-09-24	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	63.1	1526	1626	21.28%	25.38%	53.33%	-0.82	+1.9	9
2016-09-25	Rangers	W 2-1	59.8	1598	1561	45.43%	26.56%	28.01%	+0.41	+7.1	12
2016-09-25	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	59.8	1561	1598	28.01%	26.56%	45.43%	-0.41	-7.1	9
2016-09-25	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	64.6	1468	1592	24.35%	26.04%	49.61%	-0.62	+1.3	6
2016-09-25	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	64.6	1592	1468	49.61%	26.04%	24.35%	+0.62	-1.3	11
2016-09-30	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	56.1	1520	1624	26.54%	26.38%	47.08%	-0.49	-11.7	9
2016-09-30	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	56.1	1624	1520	47.08%	26.38%	26.54%	+0.49	+11.7	14
2016-10-01	Aberdeen	L 0-4	44.2	1462	1605	22.41%	25.65%	51.94%	-0.74	-22.3	6
2016-10-01	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-0	44.2	1605	1462	51.94%	25.65%	22.41%	+0.74	+22.3	15
2016-10-01	Celtic	L 0-1	50.4	1506	1792	12.04%	21.18%	66.79%	-1.65	-3.4	6
2016-10-01	@ Dundee	W 1-0	50.4	1792	1506	66.79%	21.18%	12.04%	+1.65	+3.4	19
2016-10-01	Inverness CT	D 1-1	63.3	1469	1558	28.38%	26.60%	45.03%	-0.39	+0.8	7
2016-10-01	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	63.3	1558	1469	45.03%	26.60%	28.38%	+0.39	-0.8	9
2016-10-01	Partick Thistle	W 2-0	48.2	1554	1515	45.71%	26.53%	27.76%	+0.42	+14.0	12
2016-10-01	@ Rangers	L 0-2	48.2	1515	1554	27.76%	26.53%	45.71%	-0.42	-14.0	5
2016-10-01	St. Johnstone	L 0-2	51.1	1528	1591	31.58%	26.84%	41.58%	-0.23	-15.5	9
2016-10-01	@ Ross County	W 2-0	51.1	1591	1528	41.58%	26.84%	31.58%	+0.23	+15.5	14
2016-10-14	Rangers	L 0-1	56.5	1557	1568	38.85%	26.95%	34.21%	+0.10	-9.6	9
2016-10-14	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	56.5	1568	1557	34.21%	26.95%	38.85%	-0.10	+9.6	15
2016-10-15	Dundee	W 2-0	47.0	1636	1503	57.08%	24.51%	18.41%	+1.03	+9.8	17
2016-10-15	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	47.0	1503	1636	18.41%	24.51%	57.08%	-1.03	-9.8	6
2016-10-15	Hamilton Academical	D 2-2	67.0	1501	1470	44.69%	26.63%	28.69%	+0.38	-0.6	6
2016-10-15	@ Partick Thistle	D 2-2	67.0	1470	1501	28.69%	26.63%	44.69%	-0.38	+0.6	8
2016-10-15	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	59.4	1607	1440	60.63%	23.47%	15.90%	+1.24	-13.8	14
2016-10-15	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	59.4	1440	1607	15.90%	23.47%	60.63%	-1.24	+13.9	9
2016-10-15	Motherwell	W 2-0	46.0	1796	1508	71.59%	18.97%	9.45%	+2.01	+4.9	22
2016-10-15	@ Celtic	L 0-2	46.0	1508	1796	9.45%	18.97%	71.59%	-2.01	-4.9	9
2016-10-15	Ross County	W 4-0	45.6	1628	1512	55.08%	25.00%	19.91%	+0.91	+20.1	18
2016-10-15	@ Aberdeen	L 0-4	45.6	1512	1628	19.91%	25.00%	55.08%	-0.91	-20.1	9
2016-10-22	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	62.6	1548	1453	52.62%	25.53%	21.86%	+0.78	-1.6	10
2016-10-22	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	62.6	1453	1548	21.86%	25.53%	52.62%	-0.78	+1.6	10
2016-10-22	Ross County	D 1-1	61.9	1501	1492	41.62%	26.84%	31.54%	+0.23	-0.5	7
2016-10-22	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	61.9	1492	1501	31.54%	26.84%	41.62%	-0.23	+0.5	10
2016-10-23	Dundee	W 2-1	55.2	1593	1493	53.30%	25.39%	21.31%	+0.81	+5.6	17
2016-10-23	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	55.2	1493	1593	21.31%	25.39%	53.30%	-0.81	-5.6	6
2016-10-25	Aberdeen	W 1-0	60.8	1471	1648	19.35%	24.83%	55.82%	-0.96	+12.9	11
2016-10-25	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	60.8	1648	1471	55.82%	24.83%	19.35%	+0.96	-12.9	18
2016-10-26	Celtic	L 0-4	44.7	1493	1800	10.97%	20.34%	68.69%	-1.79	-10.9	10
2016-10-26	@ Ross County	W 4-0	44.7	1800	1493	68.69%	20.34%	10.97%	+1.79	+10.9	25
2016-10-26	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	57.5	1455	1646	18.22%	24.44%	57.34%	-1.04	+24.9	13
2016-10-26	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	57.5	1646	1455	57.34%	24.44%	18.22%	+1.04	-24.9	17
2016-10-26	Inverness CT	L 0-3	47.8	1503	1546	34.35%	26.95%	38.70%	-0.10	-24.0	9
2016-10-26	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	47.8	1546	1503	38.70%	26.95%	34.35%	+0.10	+24.0	13
2016-10-26	Partick Thistle	L 0-2	48.6	1487	1500	38.57%	26.95%	34.48%	+0.09	-18.0	6
2016-10-26	@ Dundee	W 2-0	48.6	1500	1487	34.48%	26.95%	38.57%	-0.09	+18.0	10
2016-10-26	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	67.9	1578	1598	37.54%	26.97%	35.50%	+0.05	-0.1	16
2016-10-26	@ Rangers	D 1-1	67.9	1598	1578	35.50%	26.97%	37.54%	-0.05	+0.1	18
2016-10-29	Celtic	L 0-1	55.0	1635	1811	19.38%	24.84%	55.78%	-0.95	-5.5	18
2016-10-29	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	55.0	1811	1635	55.78%	24.84%	19.38%	+0.95	+5.5	28
2016-10-29	Dundee	L 0-1	51.4	1484	1469	42.42%	26.80%	30.78%	+0.27	-10.3	11
2016-10-29	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	51.4	1469	1484	30.78%	26.80%	42.42%	-0.27	+10.3	9
2016-10-29	Heart of Midlothian	D 3-3	78.0	1570	1621	33.25%	26.92%	39.83%	-0.15	+0.2	14
2016-10-29	@ Inverness CT	D 3-3	78.0	1621	1570	39.83%	26.92%	33.25%	+0.15	-0.2	18
2016-10-29	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	43.8	1578	1480	53.06%	25.44%	21.50%	+0.80	+16.4	19
2016-10-29	@ Rangers	L 0-3	43.8	1480	1578	21.50%	25.44%	53.06%	-0.80	-16.5	13
2016-10-29	Partick Thistle	L 1-2	65.2	1598	1518	50.94%	25.83%	23.23%	+0.69	-11.3	18
2016-10-29	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	65.2	1518	1598	23.23%	25.83%	50.94%	-0.69	+11.3	13
2016-10-29	Ross County	W 4-1	49.3	1479	1482	40.06%	26.91%	33.03%	+0.16	+19.7	12
2016-10-29	@ Motherwell	L 1-4	49.3	1482	1479	33.03%	26.91%	40.06%	-0.16	-19.7	10
2016-11-04	Aberdeen	L 1-2	59.5	1530	1629	27.08%	26.45%	46.47%	-0.46	-6.9	13
2016-11-04	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-1	59.5	1629	1530	46.47%	26.45%	27.08%	+0.46	+6.9	21
2016-11-05	Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	55.1	1463	1473	39.04%	26.94%	34.02%	+0.11	-0.3	14
2016-11-05	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	55.1	1473	1463	34.02%	26.94%	39.04%	-0.11	+0.3	12
2016-11-05	Inverness CT	W 3-0	46.1	1817	1570	68.14%	20.59%	11.27%	+1.75	+8.6	31
2016-11-05	@ Celtic	L 0-3	46.1	1570	1817	11.27%	20.59%	68.14%	-1.75	-8.6	14
2016-11-05	Motherwell	W 2-0	47.3	1479	1499	37.66%	26.97%	35.37%	+0.05	+16.9	12
2016-11-05	@ Dundee	L 0-2	47.3	1499	1479	35.37%	26.97%	37.66%	-0.05	-16.9	12
2016-11-05	St. Johnstone	D 2-2	74.6	1621	1587	44.98%	26.60%	28.42%	+0.39	-0.6	19
2016-11-05	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	74.6	1587	1621	28.42%	26.60%	44.98%	-0.39	+0.6	19
2016-11-06	Rangers	D 1-1	64.5	1462	1594	23.52%	25.89%	50.59%	-0.67	+1.4	11
2016-11-06	@ Ross County	D 1-1	64.5	1594	1462	50.59%	25.89%	23.52%	+0.67	-1.4	20
2016-11-18	Celtic	L 0-1	48.4	1463	1825	8.68%	18.17%	73.15%	-2.14	-2.3	14
2016-11-18	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	48.4	1825	1463	73.15%	18.17%	8.68%	+2.14	+2.3	34
2016-11-19	Aberdeen	L 1-3	58.6	1562	1636	30.14%	26.75%	43.11%	-0.30	-13.0	14
2016-11-19	@ Inverness CT	W 3-1	58.6	1636	1562	43.11%	26.75%	30.14%	+0.30	+13.0	24
2016-11-19	Dundee	W 1-0	49.8	1593	1496	52.91%	25.47%	21.62%	+0.79	+6.0	23
2016-11-19	@ Rangers	L 0-1	49.8	1496	1593	21.62%	25.47%	52.91%	-0.79	-6.0	12
2016-11-19	Partick Thistle	W 2-0	49.2	1482	1523	34.63%	26.96%	38.41%	-0.08	+18.0	15
2016-11-19	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	49.2	1523	1482	38.41%	26.96%	34.63%	+0.08	-18.0	13
2016-11-19	Ross County	L 2-4	65.3	1588	1463	56.09%	24.76%	19.15%	+0.97	-18.9	19
2016-11-19	@ St. Johnstone	W 4-2	65.3	1463	1588	19.15%	24.76%	56.09%	-0.97	+18.9	14
2016-11-21	Heart of Midlothian	D 3-3	75.6	1474	1620	22.11%	25.59%	52.30%	-0.76	+1.0	13
2016-11-21	@ Hamilton Academical	D 3-3	75.6	1620	1474	52.30%	25.59%	22.11%	+0.76	-1.0	20
2016-11-26	Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	60.6	1482	1475	41.50%	26.85%	31.66%	+0.23	-0.5	15
2016-11-26	@ Ross County	D 1-1	60.6	1475	1482	31.66%	26.85%	41.50%	-0.23	+0.5	14
2016-11-26	Inverness CT	W 2-1	59.9	1490	1549	32.23%	26.88%	40.89%	-0.20	+9.4	15
2016-11-26	@ Dundee	L 1-2	59.9	1549	1490	40.89%	26.88%	32.23%	+0.20	-9.4	14
2016-11-26	Motherwell	W 3-0	45.1	1619	1500	55.51%	24.90%	19.59%	+0.94	+15.1	23
2016-11-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	45.1	1500	1619	19.59%	24.90%	55.51%	-0.94	-15.1	15
2016-11-26	Rangers	L 1-2	58.1	1505	1599	27.72%	26.53%	45.76%	-0.43	-7.0	13
2016-11-26	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-1	58.1	1599	1505	45.76%	26.53%	27.72%	+0.43	+7.0	26
2016-11-30	Rangers	W 2-0	53.3	1634	1606	44.28%	26.66%	29.06%	+0.36	+14.6	26
2016-11-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	53.3	1606	1634	29.06%	26.66%	44.28%	-0.36	-14.6	26
2016-12-03	Aberdeen	W 2-1	65.6	1591	1649	32.32%	26.88%	40.80%	-0.19	+9.4	29
2016-12-03	@ Rangers	L 1-2	65.6	1649	1591	40.80%	26.88%	32.32%	+0.19	-9.4	24
2016-12-03	Celtic	L 3-4	62.6	1485	1828	9.43%	18.95%	71.62%	-2.02	-2.2	15
2016-12-03	@ Motherwell	W 4-3	62.6	1828	1485	71.62%	18.95%	9.43%	+2.02	+2.2	37
2016-12-03	Dundee	W 2-0	47.4	1461	1500	34.91%	26.96%	38.13%	-0.07	+17.9	17
2016-12-03	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	47.4	1500	1461	38.13%	26.96%	34.91%	+0.07	-17.9	15
2016-12-03	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	73.1	1482	1649	20.22%	25.09%	54.69%	-0.89	+1.4	16
2016-12-03	@ Ross County	D 2-2	73.1	1649	1482	54.69%	25.09%	20.22%	+0.89	-1.3	27
2016-12-03	Inverness CT	W 3-0	48.1	1569	1539	44.47%	26.65%	28.88%	+0.36	+21.1	22
2016-12-03	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-3	48.1	1539	1569	28.88%	26.65%	44.47%	-0.36	-21.0	14
2016-12-03	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	61.1	1475	1498	37.21%	26.97%	35.82%	+0.03	-0.1	15
2016-12-03	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	61.1	1498	1475	35.82%	26.97%	37.21%	-0.03	+0.1	14
2016-12-06	Kilmarnock	W 5-1	47.3	1640	1479	60.01%	23.67%	16.32%	+1.20	+13.8	27
2016-12-06	@ Aberdeen	L 1-5	47.3	1479	1640	16.32%	23.67%	60.01%	-1.20	-13.8	17
2016-12-09	Celtic	L 1-4	49.9	1498	1830	9.88%	19.37%	70.75%	-1.95	-6.2	14
2016-12-09	@ Partick Thistle	W 4-1	49.9	1830	1498	70.75%	19.37%	9.88%	+1.95	+6.3	40
2016-12-10	Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	62.0	1518	1475	46.27%	26.47%	27.26%	+0.45	-1.0	15
2016-12-10	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	62.0	1475	1518	27.26%	26.47%	46.27%	-0.45	+1.0	16
2016-12-10	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	56.5	1601	1647	33.83%	26.94%	39.24%	-0.12	+18.3	32
2016-12-10	@ Rangers	L 0-2	56.5	1647	1601	39.24%	26.94%	33.83%	+0.12	-18.3	27
2016-12-10	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	55.6	1483	1465	42.84%	26.77%	30.39%	+0.29	-0.7	16
2016-12-10	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	55.6	1465	1483	30.39%	26.77%	42.84%	-0.29	+0.7	18
2016-12-10	Ross County	D 0-0	56.2	1482	1483	40.22%	26.90%	32.87%	+0.17	-0.4	16
2016-12-10	@ Dundee	D 0-0	56.2	1483	1482	32.87%	26.90%	40.22%	-0.17	+0.4	17
2016-12-10	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	64.9	1654	1590	48.89%	26.15%	24.96%	+0.58	-1.4	28
2016-12-10	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	64.9	1590	1654	24.96%	26.15%	48.89%	-0.58	+1.4	23
2016-12-13	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	47.5	1836	1476	77.08%	16.04%	6.88%	+2.48	+1.8	43
2016-12-13	@ Celtic	L 0-1	47.5	1476	1836	6.88%	16.04%	77.08%	-2.48	-1.8	16
2016-12-16	Rangers	L 1-2	55.8	1474	1619	22.26%	25.62%	52.12%	-0.75	-5.8	16
2016-12-16	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	55.8	1619	1474	52.12%	25.62%	22.26%	+0.75	+5.8	35
2016-12-17	Aberdeen	W 2-1	66.8	1484	1652	20.07%	25.05%	54.88%	-0.90	+12.0	20
2016-12-17	@ Ross County	L 1-2	66.8	1652	1484	54.88%	25.05%	20.07%	+0.90	-12.0	28
2016-12-17	Dundee	W 2-1	53.4	1838	1481	76.82%	16.19%	6.99%	+2.45	+1.7	46
2016-12-17	@ Celtic	L 1-2	53.4	1481	1838	6.99%	16.19%	76.82%	-2.45	-1.7	16
2016-12-17	Inverness CT	D 1-1	61.5	1466	1517	33.14%	26.91%	39.94%	-0.15	+0.3	19
2016-12-17	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	61.5	1517	1466	39.94%	26.91%	33.14%	+0.15	-0.3	16
2016-12-17	Motherwell	D 1-1	65.3	1591	1482	54.40%	25.16%	20.44%	+0.87	-1.8	24
2016-12-17	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	65.3	1482	1591	20.44%	25.16%	54.40%	-0.87	+1.8	17
2016-12-17	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	67.1	1629	1491	57.55%	24.38%	18.07%	+1.06	-2.1	28
2016-12-17	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	67.1	1491	1629	18.07%	24.38%	57.55%	-1.06	+2.1	15
2016-12-20	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	48.1	1840	1494	76.07%	16.61%	7.32%	+2.39	+1.9	49
2016-12-20	@ Celtic	L 0-1	48.1	1494	1840	7.32%	16.61%	76.07%	-2.39	-1.9	15
2016-12-23	Aberdeen	L 1-3	53.5	1484	1640	21.16%	25.35%	53.49%	-0.82	-9.7	17
2016-12-23	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	53.5	1640	1484	53.49%	25.35%	21.16%	+0.82	+9.7	31
2016-12-23	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-2	70.4	1480	1627	22.03%	25.57%	52.41%	-0.77	+10.9	19
2016-12-23	@ Dundee	L 2-3	70.4	1627	1480	52.41%	25.57%	22.03%	+0.77	-11.0	28
2016-12-23	Partick Thistle	L 1-3	55.1	1496	1492	40.96%	26.87%	32.16%	+0.20	-16.3	20
2016-12-23	@ Ross County	W 3-1	55.1	1492	1496	32.16%	26.87%	40.96%	-0.20	+16.3	18
2016-12-23	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	49.6	1466	1590	24.43%	26.06%	49.51%	-0.61	-6.7	19
2016-12-23	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	49.6	1590	1466	49.51%	26.06%	24.43%	+0.61	+6.7	27
2016-12-24	Celtic	L 0-3	43.6	1468	1842	8.27%	17.72%	74.01%	-2.21	-6.0	16
2016-12-24	@ Hamilton Academical	W 3-0	43.6	1842	1468	74.01%	17.72%	8.27%	+2.21	+6.0	52
2016-12-24	Inverness CT	W 1-0	51.0	1625	1517	54.24%	25.19%	20.57%	+0.87	+5.8	38
2016-12-24	@ Rangers	L 0-1	51.0	1517	1625	20.57%	25.19%	54.24%	-0.87	-5.8	16
2016-12-27	Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	53.3	1650	1462	62.69%	22.77%	14.54%	+1.37	+3.9	34
2016-12-27	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	53.3	1462	1650	14.54%	22.77%	62.69%	-1.37	-3.9	16
2016-12-27	Kilmarnock	W 4-0	42.2	1616	1459	59.59%	23.80%	16.62%	+1.18	+16.9	31
2016-12-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	42.2	1459	1616	16.62%	23.80%	59.59%	-1.18	-16.9	19
2016-12-28	Dundee	W 2-0	46.5	1508	1491	42.82%	26.77%	30.41%	+0.29	+15.1	21
2016-12-28	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-2	46.5	1491	1508	30.41%	26.77%	42.82%	-0.29	-15.1	19
2016-12-28	Motherwell	L 1-2	59.2	1511	1474	45.47%	26.55%	27.97%	+0.41	-10.2	16
2016-12-28	@ Inverness CT	W 2-1	59.2	1474	1511	27.97%	26.55%	45.47%	-0.41	+10.2	20
2016-12-28	Rangers	D 1-1	69.0	1596	1631	35.51%	26.97%	37.52%	-0.04	+0.1	28
2016-12-28	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	69.0	1631	1596	37.52%	26.97%	35.51%	+0.04	-0.1	39
2016-12-28	Ross County	W 2-0	44.5	1848	1479	77.64%	15.72%	6.64%	+2.53	+3.2	55
2016-12-28	@ Celtic	L 0-2	44.5	1479	1848	6.64%	15.72%	77.64%	-2.53	-3.2	20
2016-12-30	Aberdeen	L 0-1	59.7	1633	1654	37.48%	26.97%	35.55%	+0.04	-9.4	31
2016-12-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	59.7	1654	1633	35.55%	26.97%	37.48%	-0.04	+9.4	37
2016-12-31	Celtic	L 1-2	59.4	1631	1851	16.02%	23.53%	60.46%	-1.23	-4.3	39
2016-12-31	@ Rangers	W 2-1	59.4	1851	1631	60.46%	23.53%	16.02%	+1.23	+4.3	58
2016-12-31	Inverness CT	W 3-2	61.3	1476	1501	36.89%	26.97%	36.14%	+0.02	+8.2	23
2016-12-31	@ Ross County	L 2-3	61.3	1501	1476	36.14%	26.97%	36.89%	-0.02	-8.2	16
2016-12-31	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	56.5	1523	1442	51.01%	25.82%	23.17%	+0.69	-1.6	22
2016-12-31	@ Partick Thistle	D 0-0	56.5	1442	1523	23.17%	25.82%	51.01%	-0.69	+1.6	20
2016-12-31	Motherwell	D 1-1	60.0	1458	1484	36.75%	26.97%	36.28%	+0.01	-0.0	17
2016-12-31	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	60.0	1484	1458	36.28%	26.97%	36.75%	-0.01	+0.0	21
2016-12-31	St. Johnstone	W 3-0	52.8	1476	1596	24.73%	26.11%	49.16%	-0.60	+31.8	22
2016-12-31	@ Dundee	L 0-3	52.8	1596	1476	49.16%	26.11%	24.73%	+0.60	-31.8	28
2017-01-25	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	50.0	1855	1565	71.84%	18.84%	9.32%	+2.03	+2.5	61
2017-01-25	@ Celtic	L 0-1	50.0	1565	1855	9.32%	18.84%	71.84%	-2.03	-2.5	28
2017-01-27	Dundee	W 3-0	45.4	1663	1507	59.48%	23.83%	16.69%	+1.17	+13.0	40
2017-01-27	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	45.4	1507	1663	16.69%	23.83%	59.48%	-1.17	-13.0	22
2017-01-28	Hamilton Academical	W 3-0	42.2	1562	1458	53.74%	25.30%	20.96%	+0.84	+16.1	31
2017-01-28	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-3	42.2	1458	1562	20.96%	25.30%	53.74%	-0.84	-16.1	17
2017-01-28	Partick Thistle	D 0-0	58.0	1493	1522	36.33%	26.97%	36.70%	-0.01	+0.0	17
2017-01-28	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	58.0	1522	1493	36.70%	26.97%	36.33%	+0.01	-0.0	23
2017-01-28	Rangers	L 0-2	47.8	1484	1626	22.54%	25.68%	51.78%	-0.73	-11.8	21
2017-01-28	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	47.8	1626	1484	51.78%	25.68%	22.54%	+0.73	+11.8	42
2017-01-28	Ross County	W 3-2	60.2	1444	1484	34.71%	26.96%	38.33%	-0.08	+8.5	23
2017-01-28	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-3	60.2	1484	1444	38.33%	26.96%	34.71%	+0.08	-8.5	23
2017-01-29	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	46.7	1858	1624	67.04%	21.07%	11.89%	+1.67	+11.9	64
2017-01-29	@ Celtic	L 0-4	46.7	1624	1858	11.89%	21.07%	67.04%	-1.67	-11.9	31
2017-01-31	Inverness CT	W 3-0	45.2	1442	1493	33.29%	26.92%	39.79%	-0.15	+26.8	20
2017-01-31	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-3	45.2	1493	1442	39.79%	26.92%	33.29%	+0.15	-26.8	17
2017-01-31	Motherwell	L 1-2	56.5	1476	1472	40.86%	26.88%	32.26%	+0.20	-9.4	23
2017-01-31	@ Ross County	W 2-1	56.5	1472	1476	32.26%	26.88%	40.86%	-0.20	+9.4	24
2017-02-01	Aberdeen	W 1-0	53.1	1870	1676	63.27%	22.56%	14.17%	+1.41	+4.0	67
2017-02-01	@ Celtic	L 0-1	53.1	1676	1870	14.17%	22.56%	63.27%	-1.41	-4.0	40
2017-02-01	Rangers	W 4-1	59.1	1612	1638	36.67%	26.97%	36.36%	+0.01	+21.1	34
2017-02-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	59.1	1638	1612	36.36%	26.97%	36.67%	-0.01	-21.2	42
2017-02-01	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	53.8	1521	1578	32.47%	26.89%	40.64%	-0.19	-8.4	23
2017-02-01	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	53.8	1578	1521	40.64%	26.89%	32.47%	+0.19	+8.4	34
2017-02-04	Dundee	D 2-2	66.5	1466	1494	36.39%	26.97%	36.64%	-0.01	+0.0	18
2017-02-04	@ Inverness CT	D 2-2	66.5	1494	1466	36.64%	26.97%	36.39%	+0.01	+0.0	23
2017-02-04	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	45.8	1482	1633	21.68%	25.48%	52.84%	-0.79	-16.6	24
2017-02-04	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	45.8	1633	1482	52.84%	25.48%	21.68%	+0.79	+16.6	37
2017-02-04	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	59.3	1469	1452	42.71%	26.78%	30.51%	+0.28	-0.6	21
2017-02-04	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	59.3	1452	1469	30.51%	26.78%	42.71%	-0.28	+0.6	24
2017-02-04	Partick Thistle	W 2-0	47.4	1672	1513	59.81%	23.73%	16.46%	+1.19	+8.8	43
2017-02-04	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	47.4	1513	1672	16.46%	23.73%	59.81%	-1.19	-8.8	23
2017-02-04	Ross County	D 1-1	66.0	1617	1466	58.95%	23.99%	17.06%	+1.14	-2.2	43
2017-02-04	@ Rangers	D 1-1	66.0	1466	1617	17.06%	23.99%	58.95%	-1.14	+2.2	24
2017-02-05	Celtic	L 2-5	54.6	1587	1874	11.99%	21.14%	66.87%	-1.66	-6.7	34
2017-02-05	@ St. Johnstone	W 5-2	54.6	1874	1587	66.87%	21.14%	11.99%	+1.66	+6.7	70
2017-02-11	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	60.3	1494	1453	46.01%	26.50%	27.49%	+0.44	-0.9	24
2017-02-11	@ Dundee	D 1-1	60.3	1453	1494	27.49%	26.50%	46.01%	-0.44	+0.9	25
2017-02-15	Motherwell	W 7-2	46.7	1681	1465	65.36%	21.76%	12.88%	+1.55	+11.1	46
2017-02-15	@ Aberdeen	L 2-7	46.7	1465	1681	12.88%	21.76%	65.36%	-1.55	-11.1	24
2017-02-18	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	44.8	1504	1468	45.29%	26.57%	28.14%	+0.40	+14.2	26
2017-02-18	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-2	44.8	1468	1504	28.14%	26.57%	45.29%	-0.40	-14.2	21
2017-02-18	Inverness CT	D 1-1	67.4	1649	1466	62.28%	22.92%	14.80%	+1.35	-2.6	38
2017-02-18	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	67.4	1466	1649	14.80%	22.92%	62.28%	-1.35	+2.6	19
2017-02-18	Motherwell	W 2-0	43.5	1880	1454	81.38%	13.51%	5.12%	+2.90	+2.4	73
2017-02-18	@ Celtic	L 0-2	43.5	1454	1880	5.12%	13.51%	81.38%	-2.90	-2.4	24
2017-02-18	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	55.5	1468	1580	25.76%	26.27%	47.96%	-0.54	-6.6	24
2017-02-18	@ Ross County	W 2-1	55.5	1580	1468	47.96%	26.27%	25.76%	+0.54	+6.6	37
2017-02-19	Aberdeen	L 1-2	54.4	1454	1692	14.83%	22.93%	62.24%	-1.35	-4.0	25
2017-02-19	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	54.4	1692	1454	62.24%	22.93%	14.83%	+1.35	+4.0	49
2017-02-19	Rangers	W 2-1	64.5	1493	1615	24.67%	26.10%	49.24%	-0.60	+11.0	27
2017-02-19	@ Dundee	L 1-2	64.5	1615	1493	49.24%	26.10%	24.67%	+0.60	-10.9	43
2017-02-24	Rangers	W 2-1	63.8	1468	1604	23.22%	25.83%	50.96%	-0.69	+11.3	22
2017-02-24	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	63.8	1604	1468	50.96%	25.83%	23.22%	+0.69	-11.3	43
2017-02-25	Dundee	L 1-5	47.5	1452	1504	33.02%	26.91%	40.07%	-0.16	-25.4	24
2017-02-25	@ Motherwell	W 5-1	47.5	1504	1452	40.07%	26.91%	33.02%	+0.16	+25.4	30
2017-02-25	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	43.4	1883	1454	81.51%	13.43%	5.06%	+2.91	+2.3	76
2017-02-25	@ Celtic	L 0-2	43.4	1454	1883	5.06%	13.43%	81.51%	-2.91	-2.3	21
2017-02-25	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	57.7	1518	1647	23.92%	25.97%	50.11%	-0.64	+22.2	29
2017-02-25	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-2	57.7	1647	1518	50.11%	25.97%	23.92%	+0.64	-22.2	38
2017-02-25	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	55.3	1586	1450	57.41%	24.42%	18.17%	+1.05	-24.9	37
2017-02-25	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	55.3	1450	1586	18.17%	24.42%	57.41%	-1.05	+24.9	28
2017-02-25	Ross County	W 1-0	47.6	1696	1462	67.04%	21.07%	11.89%	+1.67	+3.3	52
2017-02-25	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	47.6	1462	1696	11.89%	21.07%	67.04%	-1.67	-3.3	24
2017-02-28	Aberdeen	W 1-0	63.3	1452	1699	14.24%	22.60%	63.16%	-1.41	+14.3	24
2017-02-28	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	63.3	1699	1452	63.16%	22.60%	14.24%	+1.41	-14.3	52
2017-03-01	Celtic	L 0-4	43.2	1480	1885	7.19%	16.44%	76.37%	-2.41	-6.7	22
2017-03-01	@ Inverness CT	W 4-0	43.2	1885	1480	76.37%	16.44%	7.19%	+2.41	+6.7	79
2017-03-01	Partick Thistle	L 0-1	54.7	1530	1541	38.88%	26.95%	34.18%	+0.11	-9.6	30
2017-03-01	@ Dundee	W 1-0	54.7	1541	1530	34.18%	26.95%	38.88%	-0.11	+9.6	32
2017-03-01	Ross County	L 0-1	60.6	1625	1459	60.54%	23.50%	15.96%	+1.24	-13.8	38
2017-03-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	60.6	1459	1625	15.96%	23.50%	60.54%	-1.24	+13.8	27
2017-03-01	St. Johnstone	W 3-2	65.0	1593	1561	44.66%	26.63%	28.71%	+0.37	+6.9	46
2017-03-01	@ Rangers	L 2-3	65.0	1561	1593	28.71%	26.63%	44.66%	-0.37	-6.9	37
2017-03-04	Motherwell	L 1-2	56.6	1475	1426	46.96%	26.40%	26.64%	+0.49	-10.5	28
2017-03-04	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	56.6	1426	1475	26.64%	26.40%	46.96%	-0.49	+10.5	27
2017-03-11	Dundee	W 2-0	48.6	1555	1520	45.12%	26.59%	28.29%	+0.40	+14.3	40
2017-03-11	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	48.6	1520	1555	28.29%	26.59%	45.12%	-0.40	-14.3	30
2017-03-11	Hamilton Academical	W 4-0	42.6	1611	1466	58.29%	24.18%	17.53%	+1.10	+17.8	41
2017-03-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	42.6	1466	1611	17.53%	24.18%	58.29%	-1.10	-17.8	24
2017-03-11	Inverness CT	D 1-1	63.3	1550	1473	50.58%	25.89%	23.53%	+0.67	-1.4	33
2017-03-11	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	63.3	1473	1550	23.53%	25.89%	50.58%	-0.67	+1.4	23
2017-03-11	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	56.3	1472	1464	41.52%	26.85%	31.64%	+0.23	-9.5	27
2017-03-11	@ Ross County	W 2-1	56.3	1464	1472	31.64%	26.85%	41.52%	-0.23	+9.5	31
2017-03-11	Motherwell	W 1-0	46.2	1685	1437	68.27%	20.53%	11.20%	+1.76	+3.1	55
2017-03-11	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	46.2	1437	1685	11.20%	20.53%	68.27%	-1.76	-3.1	27
2017-03-12	Rangers	D 1-1	74.1	1892	1599	71.98%	18.77%	9.25%	+2.04	-3.4	80
2017-03-12	@ Celtic	D 1-1	74.1	1599	1892	9.25%	18.77%	71.98%	-2.04	+3.4	47
2017-03-18	Hamilton Academical	W 4-0	41.4	1603	1448	59.33%	23.88%	16.80%	+1.16	+17.1	50
2017-03-18	@ Rangers	L 0-4	41.4	1448	1603	16.80%	23.88%	59.33%	-1.16	-17.1	24
2017-03-18	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	53.2	1688	1629	48.37%	26.22%	25.41%	+0.56	+13.1	58
2017-03-18	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	53.2	1629	1688	25.41%	26.22%	48.37%	-0.56	-13.1	41
2017-03-18	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	63.0	1474	1549	30.09%	26.75%	43.17%	-0.30	+0.6	32
2017-03-18	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	63.0	1549	1474	43.17%	26.75%	30.09%	+0.30	-0.6	34
2017-03-18	Ross County	D 1-1	59.9	1474	1463	42.03%	26.82%	31.15%	+0.25	-0.5	24
2017-03-18	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	59.9	1463	1474	31.15%	26.82%	42.03%	-0.25	+0.5	28
2017-03-18	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	52.9	1434	1569	23.24%	25.83%	50.93%	-0.69	-6.1	27
2017-03-18	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	52.9	1569	1434	50.93%	25.83%	23.24%	+0.69	+6.1	43
2017-03-19	Celtic	L 1-2	54.7	1506	1888	7.94%	17.35%	74.70%	-2.27	-2.0	30
2017-03-19	@ Dundee	W 2-1	54.7	1888	1506	74.70%	17.35%	7.94%	+2.27	+2.0	83
2017-03-31	Aberdeen	L 0-7	48.1	1504	1701	17.70%	24.25%	58.05%	-1.09	-30.4	30
2017-03-31	@ Dundee	W 7-0	48.1	1701	1504	58.05%	24.25%	17.70%	+1.09	+30.4	61
2017-04-01	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	60.2	1474	1475	40.32%	26.90%	32.78%	+0.17	-0.4	25
2017-04-01	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	60.2	1475	1474	32.78%	26.90%	40.32%	-0.17	+0.4	33
2017-04-01	Motherwell	D 1-1	65.2	1620	1428	63.13%	22.61%	14.25%	+1.40	-2.7	51
2017-04-01	@ Rangers	D 1-1	65.2	1428	1620	14.25%	22.61%	63.13%	-1.40	+2.7	28
2017-04-01	Ross County	W 2-1	53.1	1548	1463	51.51%	25.73%	22.76%	+0.72	+6.0	37
2017-04-01	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-2	53.1	1463	1548	22.76%	25.73%	51.51%	-0.72	-5.9	28
2017-04-01	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	55.9	1431	1575	22.40%	25.65%	51.95%	-0.74	+12.2	27
2017-04-01	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	55.9	1575	1431	51.95%	25.65%	22.40%	+0.74	-12.1	43
2017-04-02	Celtic	L 0-5	47.6	1616	1890	12.65%	21.61%	65.75%	-1.58	-15.7	41
2017-04-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 5-0	47.6	1890	1616	65.75%	21.61%	12.65%	+1.58	+15.7	86
2017-04-04	Dundee	W 2-1	54.1	1457	1473	38.15%	26.96%	34.89%	+0.07	+8.4	31
2017-04-04	@ Ross County	L 1-2	54.1	1473	1457	34.89%	26.96%	38.15%	-0.07	-8.4	30
2017-04-04	Inverness CT	W 1-0	48.1	1732	1474	69.14%	20.14%	10.73%	+1.82	+3.0	64
2017-04-04	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	48.1	1474	1732	10.73%	20.14%	69.14%	-1.82	-3.0	25
2017-04-05	Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	53.0	1430	1444	38.56%	26.95%	34.48%	+0.09	-0.2	29
2017-04-05	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	53.0	1444	1430	34.48%	26.95%	38.56%	-0.09	+0.2	28
2017-04-05	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	57.3	1563	1600	35.16%	26.96%	37.88%	-0.06	+9.4	46
2017-04-05	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	57.3	1600	1563	37.88%	26.96%	35.16%	+0.06	-9.4	41
2017-04-05	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	74.7	1906	1554	76.48%	16.38%	7.14%	+2.42	-3.8	87
2017-04-05	@ Celtic	D 1-1	74.7	1554	1906	7.14%	16.38%	76.48%	-2.42	+3.8	38
2017-04-05	Rangers	D 0-0	61.2	1475	1617	22.52%	25.68%	51.80%	-0.73	+1.7	34
2017-04-05	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	61.2	1617	1475	51.80%	25.68%	22.52%	+0.73	-1.7	52
2017-04-08	Dundee	W 1-0	47.6	1590	1465	56.20%	24.74%	19.07%	+0.98	+5.4	44
2017-04-08	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	47.6	1465	1590	19.07%	24.74%	56.20%	-0.98	-5.4	30
2017-04-08	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	49.7	1902	1477	81.34%	13.53%	5.13%	+2.90	+2.1	90
2017-04-08	@ Celtic	L 1-3	49.7	1477	1902	5.13%	13.53%	81.34%	-2.90	-2.1	34
2017-04-08	Motherwell	W 1-0	45.0	1558	1430	56.47%	24.67%	18.86%	+0.99	+5.3	41
2017-04-08	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-1	45.0	1430	1558	18.86%	24.67%	56.47%	-0.99	-5.3	29
2017-04-08	Ross County	D 1-1	58.9	1444	1466	37.30%	26.97%	35.73%	+0.03	-0.1	29
2017-04-08	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	58.9	1466	1444	35.73%	26.97%	37.30%	-0.03	+0.1	32
2017-04-08	St. Johnstone	L 0-3	45.2	1471	1572	26.86%	26.42%	46.72%	-0.47	-19.9	25
2017-04-08	@ Inverness CT	W 3-0	45.2	1572	1471	46.72%	26.42%	26.86%	+0.47	+19.9	49
2017-04-09	Rangers	L 0-3	60.4	1735	1616	55.49%	24.91%	19.60%	+0.94	-35.2	64
2017-04-09	@ Aberdeen	W 3-0	60.4	1616	1735	19.60%	24.91%	55.49%	-0.94	+35.2	55
2017-04-14	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	60.3	1475	1596	24.69%	26.10%	49.21%	-0.60	+1.4	35
2017-04-14	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	60.3	1596	1475	49.21%	26.10%	24.69%	+0.60	-1.4	45
2017-04-15	Aberdeen	L 1-2	61.8	1592	1699	26.21%	26.34%	47.45%	-0.51	-6.7	49
2017-04-15	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	61.8	1699	1592	47.45%	26.34%	26.21%	+0.51	+6.7	67
2017-04-15	Hamilton Academical	L 0-2	46.7	1460	1444	42.63%	26.78%	30.59%	+0.28	-19.5	30
2017-04-15	@ Dundee	W 2-0	46.7	1444	1460	30.59%	26.78%	42.63%	-0.28	+19.5	32
2017-04-15	Inverness CT	W 4-2	53.7	1425	1451	36.74%	26.97%	36.28%	+0.01	+13.4	32
2017-04-15	@ Motherwell	L 2-4	53.7	1451	1425	36.28%	26.97%	36.74%	-0.01	-13.4	25
2017-04-15	Partick Thistle	W 2-0	50.5	1651	1563	51.81%	25.68%	22.51%	+0.73	+11.8	58
2017-04-15	@ Rangers	L 0-2	50.5	1563	1651	22.51%	25.68%	51.81%	-0.73	-11.8	41
2017-04-16	Celtic	D 2-2	80.4	1466	1904	6.20%	15.13%	78.66%	-2.63	+2.9	33
2017-04-16	@ Ross County	D 2-2	80.4	1904	1466	78.66%	15.13%	6.20%	+2.63	-2.9	91

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2017-04-28	Inverness CT	W 4-0	40.5	1469	1437	44.71%	26.62%	28.67%	+0.38	+27.3	3
2017-04-28	@ Ross County	L 0-4	40.5	1437	1469	28.67%	26.62%	44.71%	-0.38	-27.3	0
2017-04-29	Celtic	L 1-5	52.2	1663	1901	14.77%	22.90%	62.33%	-1.35	-12.5	0
2017-04-29	@ Rangers	W 5-1	52.2	1901	1663	62.33%	22.90%	14.77%	+1.35	+12.5	3
2017-04-29	Dundee	L 2-3	59.1	1438	1440	40.14%	26.91%	32.96%	+0.16	-8.8	0
2017-04-29	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	59.1	1440	1438	32.96%	26.91%	40.14%	-0.16	+8.8	3
2017-04-29	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	46.8	1463	1476	38.60%	26.95%	34.44%	+0.09	-18.1	0
2017-04-29	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	46.8	1476	1463	34.44%	26.95%	38.60%	-0.09	+18.0	3
2017-04-29	Partick Thistle	D 2-2	73.1	1594	1552	46.22%	26.48%	27.30%	+0.45	-0.7	1
2017-04-29	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	73.1	1552	1594	27.30%	26.48%	46.22%	-0.45	+0.7	1
2017-04-29	St. Johnstone	L 0-2	61.5	1706	1585	55.68%	24.86%	19.46%	+0.95	-24.3	0
2017-04-29	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	61.5	1585	1706	19.46%	24.86%	55.68%	-0.95	+24.3	3
2017-05-06	Dundee	L 0-1	52.2	1494	1449	46.51%	26.45%	27.05%	+0.46	-11.1	3
2017-05-06	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	52.2	1449	1494	27.05%	26.45%	46.51%	-0.46	+11.1	6
2017-05-06	Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	52.5	1410	1445	35.43%	26.97%	37.60%	-0.05	+8.8	3
2017-05-06	@ Inverness CT	L 1-2	52.5	1445	1410	37.60%	26.97%	35.43%	+0.05	-8.8	0
2017-05-06	Ross County	L 0-1	47.1	1429	1496	31.14%	26.82%	42.05%	-0.25	-8.1	0
2017-05-06	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	47.1	1496	1429	42.05%	26.82%	31.14%	+0.25	+8.2	6
2017-05-06	St. Johnstone	W 4-1	50.5	1914	1610	72.92%	18.29%	8.79%	+2.12	+5.5	6
2017-05-06	@ Celtic	L 1-4	50.5	1610	1914	8.79%	18.29%	72.92%	-2.12	-5.5	3
2017-05-07	Aberdeen	L 1-2	62.4	1594	1682	28.45%	26.60%	44.95%	-0.39	-7.2	1
2017-05-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	62.4	1682	1594	44.95%	26.60%	28.45%	+0.39	+7.2	3
2017-05-07	Rangers	L 1-2	60.6	1552	1650	27.31%	26.48%	46.21%	-0.45	-6.9	1
2017-05-07	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-1	60.6	1650	1552	46.21%	26.48%	27.31%	+0.45	+6.9	3
2017-05-12	Celtic	L 1-3	56.6	1689	1919	15.33%	23.19%	61.48%	-1.30	-7.1	3
2017-05-12	@ Aberdeen	W 3-1	56.6	1919	1689	61.48%	23.19%	15.33%	+1.30	+7.1	9
2017-05-13	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	60.4	1657	1587	49.74%	26.02%	24.24%	+0.63	+6.3	6
2017-05-13	@ Rangers	L 1-2	60.4	1587	1657	24.24%	26.02%	49.74%	-0.63	-6.3	1
2017-05-13	Inverness CT	W 2-1	49.9	1483	1419	48.95%	26.14%	24.91%	+0.59	+6.4	6
2017-05-13	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	49.9	1419	1483	24.91%	26.14%	48.95%	-0.59	-6.4	3
2017-05-13	Motherwell	L 0-1	48.3	1436	1421	42.49%	26.79%	30.71%	+0.27	-10.3	0
2017-05-13	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	48.3	1421	1436	30.71%	26.79%	42.49%	-0.27	+10.3	3
2017-05-13	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	53.0	1604	1545	48.29%	26.23%	25.48%	+0.55	+6.9	6
2017-05-13	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	53.0	1545	1604	25.48%	26.23%	48.29%	-0.55	-7.0	1
2017-05-13	Ross County	D 1-1	60.8	1460	1504	34.16%	26.95%	38.90%	-0.11	+0.2	7
2017-05-13	@ Dundee	D 1-1	60.8	1504	1460	38.90%	26.95%	34.16%	+0.11	-0.2	7
2017-05-16	Hamilton Academical	W 3-2	55.5	1504	1426	50.68%	25.87%	23.44%	+0.67	+5.8	10
2017-05-16	@ Ross County	L 2-3	55.5	1426	1504	23.44%	25.87%	50.68%	-0.67	-5.8	0
2017-05-16	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	52.7	1432	1489	32.30%	26.88%	40.82%	-0.19	+16.3	6
2017-05-16	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	52.7	1489	1432	40.82%	26.88%	32.30%	+0.19	-16.3	6
2017-05-17	Aberdeen	L 1-2	66.1	1663	1682	37.78%	26.97%	35.26%	+0.06	-8.9	6
2017-05-17	@ Rangers	W 2-1	66.1	1682	1663	35.26%	26.97%	37.78%	-0.06	+8.9	6
2017-05-17	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	55.2	1611	1580	44.65%	26.63%	28.72%	+0.37	+7.7	9
2017-05-17	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	55.2	1580	1611	28.72%	26.63%	44.65%	-0.37	-7.7	1
2017-05-17	Inverness CT	L 0-2	46.9	1460	1412	46.87%	26.41%	26.72%	+0.48	-21.0	7
2017-05-17	@ Dundee	W 2-0	46.9	1412	1460	26.72%	26.41%	46.87%	-0.48	+21.0	6
2017-05-18	Celtic	L 0-5	44.7	1538	1927	7.75%	17.13%	75.12%	-2.30	-9.0	1
2017-05-18	@ Partick Thistle	W 5-0	44.7	1927	1538	75.12%	17.13%	7.75%	+2.30	+9.0	12
2017-05-20	Dundee	W 4-0	41.1	1420	1439	37.71%	26.97%	35.32%	+0.05	+32.1	3
2017-05-20	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-4	41.1	1439	1420	35.32%	26.97%	37.71%	-0.05	-32.1	7
2017-05-20	Motherwell	W 3-2	57.5	1433	1448	38.39%	26.96%	34.65%	+0.08	+7.9	9
2017-05-20	@ Inverness CT	L 2-3	57.5	1448	1433	34.65%	26.96%	38.39%	-0.08	-7.9	6
2017-05-20	Ross County	L 1-2	56.1	1473	1510	35.20%	26.97%	37.84%	-0.06	-8.4	6
2017-05-20	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	56.1	1510	1473	37.84%	26.97%	35.20%	+0.06	+8.4	13
2017-05-21	Aberdeen	L 0-6	49.0	1529	1691	20.71%	25.23%	54.06%	-0.86	-30.4	1
2017-05-21	@ Partick Thistle	W 6-0	49.0	1691	1529	54.06%	25.23%	20.71%	+0.86	+30.4	9
2017-05-21	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	45.8	1936	1573	77.26%	15.94%	6.80%	+2.50	+3.3	15
2017-05-21	@ Celtic	L 0-2	45.8	1573	1936	6.80%	15.94%	77.26%	-2.50	-3.3	1
2017-05-21	Rangers	L 1-2	64.5	1619	1654	35.37%	26.97%	37.67%	-0.05	-8.5	9
2017-05-21	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	64.5	1654	1619	37.67%	26.97%	35.37%	+0.05	+8.5	9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2017-02-28	14.24%	@ Hamilton Academical	1452	1	Aberdeen	1699	0
2	2016-10-15	15.90%	Kilmarnock	1440	1	@ St. Johnstone	1607	0
3	2017-03-01	15.96%	Ross County	1459	1	@ Heart of Midlothian	1625	0
4	2017-02-25	18.17%	Kilmarnock	1450	2	@ St. Johnstone	1586	0
5	2016-10-26	18.22%	@ Kilmarnock	1455	2	Heart of Midlothian	1646	0
6	2016-11-19	19.15%	Ross County	1463	4	@ St. Johnstone	1588	2
7	2016-10-25	19.35%	@ Hamilton Academical	1471	1	Aberdeen	1648	0
8	2017-04-29	19.46%	St. Johnstone	1585	2	@ Aberdeen	1706	0
9	2017-04-09	19.60%	Rangers	1616	3	@ Aberdeen	1735	0
10	2016-12-17	20.07%	@ Ross County	1484	2	Aberdeen	1652	1
11	2016-12-23	22.03%	@ Dundee	1480	3	Heart of Midlothian	1627	2
12	2017-04-01	22.40%	@ Hamilton Academical	1431	1	St. Johnstone	1575	0
13	2017-02-24	23.22%	@ Inverness CT	1468	2	Rangers	1604	1
14	2016-10-29	23.23%	Partick Thistle	1518	2	@ St. Johnstone	1598	1
15	2017-02-25	23.92%	@ Partick Thistle	1518	2	Heart of Midlothian	1647	0
16	2017-02-19	24.67%	@ Dundee	1493	2	Rangers	1615	1
17	2016-12-31	24.73%	@ Dundee	1476	3	St. Johnstone	1596	0
18	2016-08-13	26.01%	Ross County	1511	3	@ Inverness CT	1566	2
19	2017-03-04	26.64%	Motherwell	1426	2	@ Kilmarnock	1475	1
20	2017-05-17	26.72%	Inverness CT	1412	2	@ Dundee	1460	0
21	2017-05-06	27.05%	Dundee	1449	1	@ Kilmarnock	1494	0
22	2016-12-28	27.97%	Motherwell	1474	2	@ Inverness CT	1511	1
23	2017-04-15	30.59%	Hamilton Academical	1444	2	@ Dundee	1460	0
24	2017-05-13	30.71%	Motherwell	1421	1	@ Hamilton Academical	1436	0
25	2016-10-29	30.78%	Dundee	1469	1	@ Hamilton Academical	1484	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2017-04-09	35.18	Rangers	3	1616	19.60%	@ Aberdeen	0	1735	55.49%	24.91%
2	2017-05-20	32.08	@ Hamilton Academical	4	1420	37.71%	Dundee	0	1439	35.32%	26.97%
3	2016-12-31	31.76	@ Dundee	3	1476	24.73%	St. Johnstone	0	1596	49.16%	26.11%
4	2017-03-31	30.44	Aberdeen	7	1701	58.05%	@ Dundee	0	1504	17.70%	24.25%
5	2017-05-21	30.43	Aberdeen	6	1691	54.06%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1529	20.71%	25.23%
6	2017-04-28	27.35	@ Ross County	4	1469	44.71%	Inverness CT	0	1437	28.67%	26.62%
7	2017-01-31	26.82	@ Hamilton Academical	3	1442	33.29%	Inverness CT	0	1493	39.79%	26.92%
8	2017-02-25	25.42	Dundee	5	1504	40.07%	@ Motherwell	1	1452	33.02%	26.91%
9	2017-02-25	24.93	Kilmarnock	2	1450	18.17%	@ St. Johnstone	0	1586	57.41%	24.42%
10	2016-10-26	24.91	@ Kilmarnock	2	1455	18.22%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1646	57.34%	24.44%
11	2017-04-29	24.29	St. Johnstone	2	1585	19.46%	@ Aberdeen	0	1706	55.68%	24.86%
12	2016-10-26	24.05	Inverness CT	3	1546	38.70%	@ Motherwell	0	1503	34.35%	26.95%
13	2016-10-01	22.28	Aberdeen	4	1605	51.94%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1462	22.41%	25.65%
14	2017-02-25	22.22	@ Partick Thistle	2	1518	23.92%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1647	50.11%	25.97%
15	2016-08-20	21.91	@ Heart of Midlothian	5	1598	46.24%	Inverness CT	1	1555	27.28%	26.48%
16	2017-02-01	21.15	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1612	36.67%	Rangers	1	1638	36.36%	26.97%
17	2016-12-03	21.06	@ St. Johnstone	3	1569	44.47%	Inverness CT	0	1539	28.88%	26.65%
18	2017-05-17	21.02	Inverness CT	2	1412	26.72%	@ Dundee	0	1460	46.87%	26.41%
19	2016-10-15	20.06	@ Aberdeen	4	1628	55.08%	Ross County	0	1512	19.91%	25.00%
20	2017-04-08	19.86	St. Johnstone	3	1572	46.72%	@ Inverness CT	0	1471	26.86%	26.42%
21	2016-10-29	19.70	@ Motherwell	4	1479	40.06%	Ross County	1	1482	33.03%	26.91%
22	2017-04-15	19.48	Hamilton Academical	2	1444	30.59%	@ Dundee	0	1460	42.63%	26.78%
23	2016-11-19	18.94	Ross County	4	1463	19.15%	@ St. Johnstone	2	1588	56.09%	24.76%
24	2016-08-06	18.72	@ Partick Thistle	2	1529	32.60%	Inverness CT	0	1584	40.51%	26.89%
25	2016-12-10	18.27	@ Rangers	2	1601	33.83%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1647	39.24%	26.94%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2017-04-16	80.4	@ Ross County	2	1466	6.20%	Celtic	2	1904	78.66%	15.13%
2	2016-10-29	78.0	@ Inverness CT	3	1570	33.25%	Heart of Midlothian	3	1621	39.83%	26.92%
3	2016-09-18	77.7	@ Inverness CT	2	1543	14.55%	Celtic	2	1786	62.68%	22.78%
4	2016-11-21	75.6	@ Hamilton Academical	3	1474	22.11%	Heart of Midlothian	3	1620	52.30%	25.59%
5	2017-04-05	74.7	@ Celtic	1	1906	76.48%	Partick Thistle	1	1554	7.14%	16.38%
6	2016-11-05	74.6	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1621	44.98%	St. Johnstone	2	1587	28.42%	26.60%
7	2017-03-12	74.1	@ Celtic	1	1892	71.98%	Rangers	1	1599	9.25%	18.77%
8	2016-12-03	73.1	@ Ross County	2	1482	20.22%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1649	54.69%	25.09%
9	2017-04-29	73.1	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1594	46.22%	Partick Thistle	2	1552	27.30%	26.48%
10	2016-12-23	70.4	@ Dundee	3	1480	22.03%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1627	52.41%	25.57%
11	2016-12-28	69.0	@ St. Johnstone	1	1596	35.51%	Rangers	1	1631	37.52%	26.97%
12	2016-08-13	68.2	Ross County	3	1511	26.01%	@ Inverness CT	2	1566	47.69%	26.31%
13	2016-10-26	67.9	@ Rangers	1	1578	37.54%	St. Johnstone	1	1598	35.50%	26.97%
14	2016-09-17	67.5	@ Kilmarnock	2	1470	33.91%	Partick Thistle	2	1516	39.15%	26.94%
15	2017-02-18	67.4	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1649	62.28%	Inverness CT	1	1466	14.80%	22.92%
16	2016-12-17	67.1	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1629	57.55%	Partick Thistle	1	1491	18.07%	24.38%
17	2016-10-15	67.0	@ Partick Thistle	2	1501	44.69%	Hamilton Academical	2	1470	28.69%	26.63%
18	2016-12-17	66.8	@ Ross County	2	1484	20.07%	Aberdeen	1	1652	54.88%	25.05%
19	2016-09-10	66.7	@ Aberdeen	1	1585	46.21%	Inverness CT	1	1542	27.31%	26.48%
20	2017-02-04	66.5	@ Inverness CT	2	1466	36.39%	Dundee	2	1494	36.64%	26.97%
21	2017-05-17	66.1	Aberdeen	2	1682	35.26%	@ Rangers	1	1663	37.78%	26.97%
22	2017-02-04	66.0	@ Rangers	1	1617	58.95%	Ross County	1	1466	17.06%	23.99%
23	2016-12-03	65.6	@ Rangers	2	1591	32.32%	Aberdeen	1	1649	40.80%	26.88%
24	2016-11-19	65.3	Ross County	4	1463	19.15%	@ St. Johnstone	2	1588	56.09%	24.76%
25	2016-12-17	65.3	@ St. Johnstone	1	1591	54.40%	Motherwell	1	1482	20.44%	25.16%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2017-04-28	40.5	@ Ross County	4	1469	44.71%	Inverness CT	0	1437	28.67%	26.62%
2	2017-05-20	41.1	@ Hamilton Academical	4	1420	37.71%	Dundee	0	1439	35.32%	26.97%
3	2017-03-18	41.4	@ Rangers	4	1603	59.33%	Hamilton Academical	0	1448	16.80%	23.88%
4	2016-12-27	42.2	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1616	59.59%	Kilmarnock	0	1459	16.62%	23.80%
5	2017-01-28	42.2	@ St. Johnstone	3	1562	53.74%	Hamilton Academical	0	1458	20.96%	25.30%
6	2017-03-11	42.6	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1611	58.29%	Hamilton Academical	0	1466	17.53%	24.18%
7	2017-03-01	43.2	Celtic	4	1885	76.37%	@ Inverness CT	0	1480	7.19%	16.44%
8	2017-02-25	43.4	@ Celtic	2	1883	81.51%	Hamilton Academical	0	1454	5.06%	13.43%
9	2017-02-18	43.5	@ Celtic	2	1880	81.38%	Motherwell	0	1454	5.12%	13.51%
10	2016-12-24	43.6	Celtic	3	1842	74.01%	@ Hamilton Academical	0	1468	8.27%	17.72%
11	2016-10-29	43.8	@ Rangers	3	1578	53.06%	Kilmarnock	0	1480	21.50%	25.44%
12	2016-10-01	44.2	Aberdeen	4	1605	51.94%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1462	22.41%	25.65%
13	2016-12-28	44.5	@ Celtic	2	1848	77.64%	Ross County	0	1479	6.64%	15.72%
14	2016-10-26	44.7	Celtic	4	1800	68.69%	@ Ross County	0	1493	10.97%	20.34%
15	2017-05-18	44.7	Celtic	5	1927	75.12%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1538	7.75%	17.13%
16	2017-02-18	44.8	@ Partick Thistle	2	1504	45.29%	Hamilton Academical	0	1468	28.14%	26.57%
17	2017-04-08	45.0	@ Partick Thistle	1	1558	56.47%	Motherwell	0	1430	18.86%	24.67%
18	2016-11-26	45.1	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1619	55.51%	Motherwell	0	1500	19.59%	24.90%
19	2017-01-31	45.2	@ Hamilton Academical	3	1442	33.29%	Inverness CT	0	1493	39.79%	26.92%
20	2017-04-08	45.2	St. Johnstone	3	1572	46.72%	@ Inverness CT	0	1471	26.86%	26.42%
21	2017-01-27	45.4	@ Aberdeen	3	1663	59.48%	Dundee	0	1507	16.69%	23.83%
22	2016-10-15	45.6	@ Aberdeen	4	1628	55.08%	Ross County	0	1512	19.91%	25.00%
23	2016-08-20	45.7	@ Ross County	2	1521	45.82%	Kilmarnock	0	1482	27.66%	26.52%
24	2016-09-24	45.7	@ Celtic	6	1784	73.66%	Kilmarnock	1	1470	8.43%	17.91%
25	2017-02-04	45.8	Heart of Midlothian	3	1633	52.84%	@ Motherwell	0	1482	21.68%	25.48%