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2017-18 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

82 points · 49th Title

Last Title: 2016-17

Relegated

Ross County

29 pts

Partick Thistle · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Aberdeen

4.76 points above expected

73 points · 68.24 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hamilton Academical

4.07 points below expected

33 points · 37.07 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 33 22 9 2 75 64 21 +43 74.85 +0.15
2 Rangers 33 19 5 9 62 67 38 +29 59.64 +2.36
3 Aberdeen 33 19 5 9 62 50 36 +14 60.74 +1.26
4 Hibernian 33 16 11 6 59 49 35 +14 48.30 +10.70
5 Kilmarnock 33 15 10 8 55 45 39 +6 38.19 +16.81
6 Heart of Midlothian 33 11 13 9 46 35 30 +5 48.87 -2.87
7 Motherwell 33 10 8 15 38 36 43 -7 39.29 -1.29
8 St. Johnstone 33 10 8 15 38 32 47 -15 43.00 -5.00
9 Hamilton Academical 33 8 6 19 30 43 60 -17 37.08 -7.08
10 Dundee 33 8 6 19 30 31 53 -22 31.25 -1.25
11 Ross County 33 6 8 19 26 38 57 -19 34.52 -8.52
12 Partick Thistle 33 6 7 20 25 26 57 -31 31.34 -6.34
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic Champion 38 24 10 4 82 73 25 +48 85.23 -3.23
2 Aberdeen 38 22 7 9 73 56 37 +19 68.24 +4.76
3 Rangers 38 21 7 10 70 76 50 +26 69.51 +0.49
4 Hibernian 38 18 13 7 67 62 46 +16 65.29 +1.71
5 Kilmarnock 38 16 11 11 59 49 47 +2 60.19 -1.19
6 Heart of Midlothian 38 12 13 13 49 39 39 0 51.80 -2.80
7 Motherwell 38 13 9 16 48 43 49 -6 45.85 +2.15
8 St. Johnstone 38 12 10 16 46 42 53 -11 46.20 -0.20
9 Dundee 38 11 6 21 39 36 57 -21 35.83 +3.17
10 Hamilton Academical 38 9 6 23 33 47 68 -21 37.07 -4.07
11 Partick Thistle Relegated 38 8 9 21 33 31 61 -30 31.09 +1.91
12 Ross County Relegated 38 6 11 21 29 40 62 -22 32.14 -3.14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aberdeen 73 68.24 +4.76
2 Dundee 39 35.83 +3.17
3 Motherwell 48 45.85 +2.15
4 Partick Thistle 33 31.09 +1.91
5 Hibernian 67 65.29 +1.71

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hamilton Academical 33 37.07 -4.07
2 Celtic 82 85.23 -3.23
3 Ross County 29 32.14 -3.14
4 Heart of Midlothian 49 51.80 -2.80
5 Kilmarnock 59 60.19 -1.19

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kilmarnock 6 Mar 7 – Apr 14 1 in 123
2 Heart of Midlothian 3 Dec 9 – Dec 17 1 in 52
3 Dundee 2 Nov 24 – Dec 2 1 in 33
4 Motherwell 3 Aug 19 – Sep 9 1 in 28
5 Rangers 4 Nov 29 – Dec 13 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Johnstone 4 Dec 30 – Feb 6 1 in 85
2 Hamilton Academical 6 Sep 8 – Oct 21 1 in 78
3 Rangers 2 Nov 18 – Nov 24 1 in 58
4 Motherwell 4 Dec 2 – Dec 16 1 in 44
5 Dundee 5 Oct 14 – Nov 4 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kilmarnock 11 Feb 3 – Apr 14 1 in 224
2 Heart of Midlothian 11 Nov 19 – Jan 27 1 in 122
3 Hibernian 12 Jan 31 – May 5 1 in 119
4 Hamilton Academical 6 Oct 24 – Dec 2 1 in 52
5 Dundee 3 Sep 16 – Sep 30 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ross County 12 Nov 18 – Jan 31 1 in 47
2 Heart of Midlothian 6 Oct 24 – Dec 2 1 in 28
3 Motherwell 8 Nov 29 – Dec 30 1 in 26
4 St. Johnstone 7 Dec 23 – Feb 18 1 in 23
5 Hamilton Academical 8 Aug 26 – Oct 24 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Celtic 1845 82 +2 7 10.4 -3.4
Aberdeen 1702 73 +49 11 6.8 +4.2
Rangers 1694 70 -15 8 7.2 +0.8
Hibernian 1668 67 +14 8 6.8 +1.2
Kilmarnock 1584 59 -20 4 4.9 -0.9
Heart of Midlothian 1601 49 -30 3 5.3 -2.3
Motherwell 1492 48 +6 10 7.9 +2.1
St. Johnstone 1526 46 +26 8 8.3 -0.3
Dundee 1411 39 +16 9 6.1 +2.9
Partick Thistle 1383 33 +18 8 5.4 +2.6
Hamilton Academical 1412 33 -37 3 6.8 -3.8
Ross County 1423 29 -30 3 6.6 -3.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN HA HOM HIB KIL MOT PT RAN RC SJ
Aberdeen —
1-0-3
3.34
3-0-0
6.53
2-1-0
6.29
1-2-1
6.73
2-1-1
6.76
3-1-0
7.74
2-0-1
5.95
2-1-0
6.36
0-1-3
5.51
3-0-0
6.12
3-0-0
5.44
Celtic
3-0-1
7.69
—
2-1-0
7.52
3-0-0
7.15
3-0-1
8.83
1-2-1
8.78
1-2-1
9.56
1-2-0
7.04
3-0-0
7.28
3-1-0
7.68
3-0-0
7.35
1-2-0
6.89
Dundee
0-0-3
1.82
0-1-2
1.00
—
2-0-2
4.82
1-1-1
2.53
0-1-2
2.64
0-2-1
3.35
0-1-3
4.26
2-0-2
5.62
1-0-2
1.70
2-0-2
5.01
3-0-1
4.03
Hamilton Academical
0-1-2
2.03
0-0-3
1.30
2-0-2
6.14
—
0-1-2
3.54
1-1-1
2.84
0-1-2
3.34
2-0-2
4.93
1-1-2
6.44
1-0-2
2.26
2-1-1
5.75
0-0-4
4.66
Heart of Midlothian
1-2-1
4.25
1-0-3
2.31
1-1-1
5.74
2-1-0
4.69
—
1-1-2
5.33
1-1-2
6.63
1-1-1
4.97
1-2-0
5.43
0-1-3
4.09
1-2-0
5.09
2-1-0
4.95
Hibernian
1-1-2
4.23
1-2-1
2.36
2-1-0
5.63
1-1-1
5.42
2-1-1
5.63
—
2-2-0
6.86
2-1-0
4.76
3-0-0
5.59
2-1-1
4.33
2-1-0
5.44
0-2-1
4.56
Kilmarnock
0-1-3
3.32
1-2-1
1.71
1-2-0
4.88
2-1-0
4.90
2-1-1
4.35
0-2-2
4.12
—
2-0-1
3.84
3-0-0
4.76
2-1-1
3.08
1-1-1
4.66
2-0-1
3.68
Motherwell
1-0-2
2.33
0-2-1
1.38
3-1-0
6.72
2-0-2
6.03
1-1-1
3.28
0-1-2
3.46
1-0-2
4.38
—
2-1-1
6.54
0-1-2
2.41
2-1-1
5.68
1-1-2
5.02
Partick Thistle
0-1-2
1.97
0-0-3
1.19
2-0-2
5.34
2-1-1
4.53
0-2-1
2.83
0-0-3
2.68
0-0-3
3.49
1-1-2
4.43
—
0-1-2
2.16
1-2-1
4.95
2-1-1
3.72
Rangers
3-1-0
5.45
0-1-3
3.35
2-0-1
6.67
2-0-1
6.04
3-1-0
6.89
1-1-2
6.65
1-1-2
7.98
2-1-0
5.86
2-1-0
6.15
—
3-0-0
6.07
2-0-1
5.64
Ross County
0-0-3
2.18
0-0-3
1.14
2-0-2
5.97
1-1-2
5.21
0-2-1
3.15
0-1-2
2.81
1-1-1
3.58
1-1-2
5.29
1-2-1
6.01
0-0-3
2.23
—
0-3-1
4.18
St. Johnstone
0-0-3
2.81
0-2-1
1.52
1-0-3
6.98
4-0-0
6.31
0-1-2
3.29
1-2-0
3.68
1-0-2
4.56
2-1-1
5.96
1-1-2
7.28
1-0-2
2.64
1-3-0
6.80
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +10.5
Allowed 0.74 -12.6
Differential 0.94 +7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%8.11%7.46%3.51%1.32%0.22%28.51%
18.11%11.84%8.77%3.07%1.97%0.66%34.43%
27.46%8.77%4.39%1.75%0.22%—22.59%
33.51%3.07%1.75%—0.22%0.44%8.99%
41.32%1.97%0.22%0.22%——3.73%
5+0.22%0.66%—0.44%—0.44%1.75%
Total28.51%34.43%22.59%8.99%3.73%1.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.73
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%—13.16%7.89%——31.58%
115.79%5.26%2.63%———23.68%
210.53%7.89%2.63%———21.05%
37.89%5.26%————13.16%
4—5.26%2.63%2.63%——10.53%
5+———————
Total44.74%23.68%21.05%10.53%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 0.97 +0.50
SD 1.35 1.05 1.81
CV 0.92 1.08 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%5.26%——2.63%—21.05%
110.53%7.89%2.63%———21.05%
213.16%5.26%5.26%———23.68%
37.89%7.89%2.63%———18.42%
45.26%5.26%————10.53%
5+2.63%2.63%————5.26%
Total52.63%34.21%10.53%—2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 0.66 +1.26
SD 1.48 0.88 1.77
CV 0.77 1.34 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%18.42%5.26%2.63%5.26%—36.84%
15.26%10.53%13.16%2.63%5.26%—36.84%
25.26%13.16%—2.63%——21.05%
32.63%—2.63%———5.26%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.42%42.11%21.05%7.89%10.53%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.50 -0.55
SD 0.90 1.20 1.62
CV 0.95 0.80 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%10.53%5.26%7.89%——26.32%
1—5.26%23.68%5.26%5.26%—39.47%
27.89%2.63%7.89%———18.42%
32.63%7.89%2.63%——2.63%15.79%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.16%26.32%39.47%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.79 -0.55
SD 1.02 1.17 1.66
CV 0.83 0.65 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%5.26%7.89%———28.95%
110.53%18.42%10.53%7.89%2.63%—50.00%
25.26%7.89%————13.16%
35.26%—————5.26%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total39.47%31.58%18.42%7.89%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.03 +0.00
SD 0.94 1.08 1.54
CV 0.92 1.05 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%————10.53%
113.16%15.79%7.89%2.63%2.63%—42.11%
27.89%13.16%10.53%———31.58%
32.63%5.26%2.63%———10.53%
4———————
5+———2.63%—2.63%5.26%
Total28.95%39.47%21.05%5.26%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 1.21 +0.42
SD 1.15 1.17 1.22
CV 0.70 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%10.53%2.63%——23.68%
115.79%15.79%2.63%5.26%——39.47%
27.89%10.53%7.89%———26.32%
3——5.26%——2.63%7.89%
4———————
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total28.95%34.21%26.32%7.89%—2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.24 +0.05
SD 1.09 1.13 1.47
CV 0.84 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%13.16%7.89%———28.95%
17.89%10.53%5.26%2.63%2.63%5.26%34.21%
213.16%7.89%5.26%5.26%——31.58%
35.26%—————5.26%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.21%31.58%18.42%7.89%2.63%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.29 -0.16
SD 0.91 1.37 1.72
CV 0.80 1.07 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%15.79%10.53%10.53%2.63%—44.74%
17.89%15.79%7.89%2.63%—2.63%36.84%
22.63%5.26%2.63%———10.53%
3—2.63%2.63%—2.63%—7.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.79%39.47%23.68%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.61 -0.79
SD 0.93 1.22 1.54
CV 1.13 0.76 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%5.26%——2.63%15.79%
12.63%5.26%7.89%2.63%——18.42%
210.53%15.79%5.26%5.26%——36.84%
37.89%5.26%————13.16%
42.63%7.89%————10.53%
5+———2.63%—2.63%5.26%
Total28.95%36.84%18.42%10.53%—5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.32 +0.68
SD 1.38 1.30 1.88
CV 0.69 0.99 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%15.79%2.63%2.63%—36.84%
1—15.79%15.79%2.63%——34.21%
22.63%5.26%5.26%5.26%2.63%—21.05%
3——2.63%———2.63%
42.63%2.63%————5.26%
5+———————
Total13.16%31.58%39.47%10.53%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.63 -0.58
SD 1.09 1.02 1.54
CV 1.03 0.63 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%7.89%7.89%7.89%2.63%—36.84%
17.89%15.79%5.26%2.63%5.26%—36.84%
22.63%10.53%—2.63%——15.79%
3—2.63%————2.63%
42.63%2.63%————5.26%
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total23.68%42.11%13.16%13.16%7.89%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.39 -0.29
SD 1.25 1.22 1.92
CV 1.13 0.87 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1845 82 74.85 +7.15 53.0% 58 64 70 75 79 84 88
Aberdeen 1702 73 60.74 +12.26 59.0% 45 50 56 61 65 72 80
Rangers 1694 70 59.64 +10.36 64.0% 36 47 54 60 65 71 78
Hibernian 1668 67 48.30 +18.70 94.0% 31 37 44 48 52 60 66
Heart of Midlothian 1601 49 48.87 +0.13 45.0% 29 37 43 49 54 61 67
Kilmarnock 1584 59 38.19 +20.81 99.0% 19 25 33 38 43 52 57
St. Johnstone 1526 46 43.00 +3.00 27.0% 29 31 38 42 48 54 64
Motherwell 1492 48 39.29 +8.71 48.0% 19 26 35 39 44 51 60
Ross County 1423 29 34.52 -5.52 8.0% 21 24 31 35 38 45 51
Hamilton Academical 1412 33 37.08 -4.08 19.0% 23 28 31 37 41 48 54
Dundee 1411 39 31.25 +7.75 43.0% 19 22 26 31 35 41 46
Partick Thistle 1383 33 31.34 +1.66 16.0% 15 21 27 30 37 40 47

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.14%
No Edge
40.79%24.56%34.65%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 21.36 Elo pts.
237 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.19 goals
Neutral
-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.3
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
88%
Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.24/gm
Comfortable
00.290.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.49 * Some Luck: 5.49 to 8.24 * Lucky: 8.24 to 10.99 * Wild Swing: 10.99 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.11 * Close: 1.11 to 1.66 * Off: 1.66 to 2.22 * Way Off: 2.22 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.31 * A Surprise: 1.31 to 2.1 * Several Surprises: 2.1 to 2.88 * Many Surprises: 2.88 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.09 points
Some Luck
06.8717
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Close
01.383
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Kilmarnock
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
8.00%
Ross County
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
As Expected
01.32

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 143.02
2.17
Strong Separation
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
76%
Wide Edge
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
94%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Very Even
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.01
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.67
Strong Carryover
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.86
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.02
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.069
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Celtic88.00%10.00%2.00%—————————
Aberdeen7.00%43.00%31.00%12.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Rangers5.00%36.00%34.00%19.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%——1.00%——
Hibernian—5.00%9.00%28.00%23.00%10.00%14.00%6.00%4.00%—1.00%—
Kilmarnock——1.00%7.00%6.00%14.00%12.00%16.00%9.00%16.00%9.00%10.00%
Heart of Midlothian—3.00%18.00%18.00%24.00%19.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%——
Motherwell—2.00%—6.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%20.00%10.00%6.00%10.00%7.00%
St. Johnstone—1.00%5.00%4.00%16.00%24.00%18.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%2.00%3.00%
Dundee————1.00%2.00%5.00%12.00%7.00%19.00%23.00%31.00%
Hamilton Academical———5.00%8.00%9.00%12.00%12.00%20.00%12.00%14.00%8.00%
Partick Thistle————1.00%1.00%6.00%6.00%14.00%17.00%22.00%33.00%
Ross County———1.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%12.00%25.00%18.00%19.00%8.00%
Team123456789101112
Celtic99.96%0.04%——————————
Aberdeen0.02%38.22%41.14%18.84%1.78%———————
Rangers0.02%52.50%33.98%12.54%0.96%———————
Hibernian—8.92%22.32%56.77%11.98%0.01%——————
Kilmarnock—0.32%2.56%11.81%83.21%2.10%——————
Heart of Midlothian———0.04%2.07%97.89%——————
Motherwell——————50.33%45.47%3.83%0.36%0.01%—
St. Johnstone——————49.07%47.73%2.96%0.23%0.01%—
Dundee——————0.14%2.24%36.38%38.00%17.90%5.34%
Hamilton Academical——————0.46%4.43%46.73%33.06%12.13%3.19%
Partick Thistle———————0.06%3.54%11.18%33.55%51.67%
Ross County———————0.07%6.56%17.17%36.40%39.80%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
Aberdeen 100% — —
Celtic 100% — —
Heart of Midlothian 100% — —
Hibernian 99.00% 1.00% —
Rangers 100% — —
Kilmarnock 87.00% 11.00% 2.00%
St. Johnstone 93.00% 4.00% 3.00%
Hamilton Academical 82.00% 11.00% 7.00%
Motherwell 85.00% 8.00% 7.00%
Ross County 73.00% 15.00% 12.00%
Partick Thistle 37.00% 29.00% 34.00%
Dundee 44.00% 21.00% 35.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
Aberdeen 100% — —
Celtic 100% — —
Heart of Midlothian 100% — —
Hibernian 100% — —
Kilmarnock 100% — —
Motherwell 99.99% 0.01% —
Rangers 100% — —
St. Johnstone 99.99% 0.01% —
Hamilton Academical 84.68% 12.13% 3.19%
Dundee 76.76% 17.90% 5.34%
Ross County 23.80% 36.40% 39.80%
Partick Thistle 14.78% 33.55% 51.67%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2017-08-05 Heart of Midlothian W 4-150.7 1807 1562 67.27% 21.12% 11.60%+1.12 +8.6 3
2017-08-05 @ Celtic L 1-450.7 1562 1807 11.60% 21.12% 67.27%-1.12 -8.6 0
2017-08-05 Partick Thistle W 3-153.9 1544 1514 44.22% 25.84% 29.94%+0.22 +14.6 3
2017-08-05 @ Hibernian L 1-353.9 1514 1544 29.94% 25.84% 44.22%-0.22 -14.6 0
2017-08-05 Ross County L 1-254.5 1451 1527 29.59% 25.82% 44.59%-0.23 -8.4 0
2017-08-05 @ Dundee W 2-154.5 1527 1451 44.59% 25.82% 29.59%+0.23 +8.4 3
2017-08-05 St. Johnstone L 1-257.3 1490 1590 26.65% 25.56% 47.79%-0.33 -7.7 0
2017-08-05 @ Kilmarnock W 2-157.3 1590 1490 47.79% 25.56% 26.65%+0.33 +7.7 3
2017-08-06 Hamilton Academical W 2-045.3 1672 1484 62.16% 22.85% 14.98%+0.88 +9.2 3
2017-08-06 @ Aberdeen L 0-245.3 1484 1672 14.98% 22.85% 62.16%-0.88 -9.1 0
2017-08-06 Rangers L 1-256.1 1475 1625 21.40% 24.77% 53.83%-0.54 -6.4 0
2017-08-06 @ Motherwell W 2-156.1 1625 1475 53.83% 24.77% 21.40%+0.54 +6.4 3
2017-08-11 Celtic L 0-149.9 1499 1815 10.21% 20.18% 69.62%-1.24 -3.3 0
2017-08-11 @ Partick Thistle W 1-049.9 1815 1499 69.62% 20.18% 10.21%+1.24 +3.3 6
2017-08-12 Aberdeen L 1-259.5 1536 1681 21.92% 24.87% 53.22%-0.52 -6.5 3
2017-08-12 @ Ross County W 2-159.5 1681 1536 53.22% 24.87% 21.92%+0.52 +6.5 6
2017-08-12 Dundee W 3-040.5 1475 1443 44.42% 25.83% 29.75%+0.23 +24.4 3
2017-08-12 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-340.5 1443 1475 29.75% 25.83% 44.42%-0.23 -24.4 0
2017-08-12 Heart of Midlothian L 0-150.6 1482 1553 30.16% 25.86% 43.98%-0.21 -9.0 0
2017-08-12 @ Kilmarnock W 1-050.6 1553 1482 43.98% 25.86% 30.16%+0.21 +9.0 3
2017-08-12 Hibernian L 2-372.7 1632 1559 49.65% 25.36% 24.99%+0.40 -11.9 3
2017-08-12 @ Rangers W 3-272.7 1559 1632 24.99% 25.36% 49.65%-0.40 +11.9 6
2017-08-12 Motherwell W 4-147.7 1598 1468 56.24% 24.32% 19.44%+0.64 +14.3 6
2017-08-12 @ St. Johnstone L 1-447.7 1468 1598 19.44% 24.32% 56.24%-0.64 -14.4 0
2017-08-19 Celtic L 0-245.1 1473 1819 8.94% 19.17% 71.89%-1.37 -5.3 0
2017-08-19 @ Kilmarnock W 2-045.1 1819 1473 71.89% 19.17% 8.94%+1.37 +5.3 9
2017-08-19 Dundee W 2-151.7 1688 1419 69.26% 20.33% 10.41%+1.22 +3.1 9
2017-08-19 @ Aberdeen L 1-251.7 1419 1688 10.41% 20.33% 69.26%-1.22 -3.1 0
2017-08-19 Hamilton Academical L 1-360.1 1571 1500 49.48% 25.38% 25.14%+0.39 -21.6 6
2017-08-19 @ Hibernian W 3-160.1 1500 1571 25.14% 25.38% 49.48%-0.39 +21.6 6
2017-08-19 Heart of Midlothian D 0-064.5 1620 1562 47.73% 25.57% 26.70%+0.33 -1.3 4
2017-08-19 @ Rangers D 0-064.5 1562 1620 26.70% 25.57% 47.73%-0.33 +1.4 4
2017-08-19 Partick Thistle W 1-049.9 1612 1496 54.78% 24.60% 20.62%+0.58 +6.5 9
2017-08-19 @ St. Johnstone L 0-149.9 1496 1612 20.62% 24.60% 54.78%-0.58 -6.5 0
2017-08-19 Ross County W 2-049.2 1454 1529 29.70% 25.83% 44.47%-0.23 +22.9 3
2017-08-19 @ Motherwell L 0-249.2 1529 1454 44.47% 25.83% 29.70%+0.23 -22.8 3
2017-08-26 Aberdeen L 3-464.5 1489 1691 17.06% 23.63% 59.31%-0.76 -4.8 0
2017-08-26 @ Partick Thistle W 4-364.5 1691 1489 59.31% 23.63% 17.06%+0.76 +4.8 12
2017-08-26 Hamilton Academical D 2-269.4 1468 1521 32.49% 25.97% 41.53%-0.14 +0.4 1
2017-08-26 @ Kilmarnock D 2-269.4 1521 1468 41.53% 25.97% 32.49%+0.14 -0.4 7
2017-08-26 Heart of Midlothian W 2-161.7 1477 1564 28.27% 25.72% 46.01%-0.28 +11.8 6
2017-08-26 @ Motherwell L 1-261.7 1564 1477 46.01% 25.72% 28.27%+0.28 -11.8 4
2017-08-26 St. Johnstone D 1-173.8 1824 1619 63.81% 22.35% 13.84%+0.95 -3.1 10
2017-08-26 @ Celtic D 1-173.8 1619 1824 13.84% 22.35% 63.81%-0.95 +3.1 10
2017-08-27 Hibernian D 1-162.4 1416 1549 23.06% 25.07% 51.87%-0.47 +1.7 1
2017-08-27 @ Dundee D 1-162.4 1549 1416 51.87% 25.07% 23.06%+0.47 -1.7 7
2017-08-27 Rangers L 1-354.6 1506 1618 25.36% 25.41% 49.23%-0.38 -12.8 3
2017-08-27 @ Ross County W 3-154.6 1618 1506 49.23% 25.41% 25.36%+0.38 +12.8 7
2017-09-08 Celtic L 1-450.2 1521 1821 10.97% 20.71% 68.32%-1.17 -8.1 7
2017-09-08 @ Hamilton Academical W 4-150.2 1821 1521 68.32% 20.71% 10.97%+1.17 +8.1 13
2017-09-09 Aberdeen D 0-066.1 1552 1695 22.09% 24.90% 53.01%-0.51 +2.0 5
2017-09-09 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-066.1 1695 1552 53.01% 24.90% 22.09%+0.51 -2.0 13
2017-09-09 Dundee W 4-144.5 1631 1417 64.61% 22.08% 13.30%+0.99 +10.0 10
2017-09-09 @ Rangers L 1-444.5 1417 1631 13.30% 22.08% 64.61%-0.99 -10.0 1
2017-09-09 Hibernian D 1-169.3 1622 1548 49.84% 25.34% 24.82%+0.40 -1.5 11
2017-09-09 @ St. Johnstone D 1-169.3 1548 1622 24.82% 25.34% 49.84%-0.40 +1.5 8
2017-09-09 Kilmarnock W 2-044.2 1489 1468 42.88% 25.92% 31.20%+0.18 +17.4 9
2017-09-09 @ Motherwell L 0-244.2 1468 1489 31.20% 25.92% 42.88%-0.18 -17.4 1
2017-09-09 Partick Thistle D 1-162.6 1494 1485 41.28% 25.98% 32.74%+0.13 -0.5 4
2017-09-09 @ Ross County D 1-162.6 1485 1494 32.74% 25.98% 41.28%-0.13 +0.5 1
2017-09-15 Rangers D 2-274.6 1485 1641 20.88% 24.66% 54.46%-0.57 +1.5 2
2017-09-15 @ Partick Thistle D 2-274.6 1641 1485 54.46% 24.66% 20.88%+0.57 -1.5 11
2017-09-16 Heart of Midlothian L 1-259.2 1513 1554 34.15% 26.03% 39.83%-0.08 -9.3 7
2017-09-16 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-159.2 1554 1513 39.83% 26.03% 34.15%+0.08 +9.3 8
2017-09-16 Kilmarnock D 1-169.8 1693 1450 67.13% 21.18% 11.69%+1.11 -3.5 14
2017-09-16 @ Aberdeen D 1-169.8 1450 1693 11.69% 21.18% 67.13%-1.11 +3.5 2
2017-09-16 Motherwell D 2-271.9 1549 1506 45.86% 25.73% 28.41%+0.27 -0.7 9
2017-09-16 @ Hibernian D 2-271.9 1506 1549 28.41% 25.73% 45.86%-0.27 +0.7 10
2017-09-16 Ross County W 4-042.9 1829 1493 74.25% 18.03% 7.72%+1.50 +8.5 16
2017-09-16 @ Celtic L 0-442.9 1493 1829 7.72% 18.03% 74.25%-1.50 -8.5 4
2017-09-16 St. Johnstone W 3-270.2 1407 1620 16.18% 23.32% 60.49%-0.81 +14.1 4
2017-09-16 @ Dundee L 2-370.2 1620 1407 60.49% 23.32% 16.18%+0.81 -14.1 11
2017-09-23 Celtic L 0-250.5 1640 1837 17.34% 23.72% 58.94%-0.74 -10.5 11
2017-09-23 @ Rangers W 2-050.5 1837 1640 58.94% 23.72% 17.34%+0.74 +10.5 19
2017-09-23 Dundee D 1-159.1 1454 1421 44.48% 25.83% 29.69%+0.23 -0.8 3
2017-09-23 @ Kilmarnock D 1-159.1 1421 1454 29.69% 25.83% 44.48%-0.23 +0.8 5
2017-09-23 Hamilton Academical W 2-156.6 1606 1503 53.27% 24.86% 21.88%+0.52 +6.5 14
2017-09-23 @ St. Johnstone L 1-256.6 1503 1606 21.88% 24.86% 53.27%-0.52 -6.5 7
2017-09-23 Heart of Midlothian D 1-165.4 1487 1563 29.50% 25.81% 44.68%-0.23 +0.9 3
2017-09-23 @ Partick Thistle D 1-165.4 1563 1487 44.68% 25.81% 29.50%+0.23 -0.9 9
2017-09-23 Hibernian L 0-150.9 1485 1548 31.18% 25.92% 42.91%-0.18 -9.2 4
2017-09-23 @ Ross County W 1-050.9 1548 1485 42.91% 25.92% 31.18%+0.18 +9.2 12
2017-09-24 Aberdeen L 0-151.5 1507 1690 18.51% 24.07% 57.42%-0.68 -5.9 10
2017-09-24 @ Motherwell W 1-051.5 1690 1507 57.42% 24.07% 18.51%+0.68 +5.9 17
2017-09-29 Rangers L 1-451.0 1497 1629 23.20% 25.10% 51.71%-0.47 -16.8 7
2017-09-29 @ Hamilton Academical W 4-151.0 1629 1497 51.71% 25.10% 23.20%+0.47 +16.8 14
2017-09-30 Heart of Midlothian W 2-161.4 1422 1563 22.40% 24.96% 52.65%-0.50 +13.2 8
2017-09-30 @ Dundee L 1-261.4 1563 1422 52.65% 24.96% 22.40%+0.50 -13.2 9
2017-09-30 Hibernian D 2-280.8 1848 1558 70.94% 19.60% 9.46%+1.31 -2.9 20
2017-09-30 @ Celtic D 2-280.8 1558 1848 9.46% 19.60% 70.94%-1.31 +2.9 13
2017-09-30 Partick Thistle W 3-043.8 1501 1487 41.88% 25.96% 32.16%+0.15 +25.9 13
2017-09-30 @ Motherwell L 0-343.8 1487 1501 32.16% 25.96% 41.88%-0.15 -25.9 3
2017-09-30 Ross County L 0-244.9 1453 1475 36.84% 26.06% 37.11%+0.00 -19.7 3
2017-09-30 @ Kilmarnock W 2-044.9 1475 1453 37.11% 26.06% 36.84%+0.00 +19.8 7
2017-09-30 St. Johnstone W 3-049.7 1696 1613 50.93% 25.20% 23.87%+0.44 +20.4 20
2017-09-30 @ Aberdeen L 0-349.7 1613 1696 23.87% 25.20% 50.93%-0.44 -20.4 14
2017-10-13 Rangers L 0-351.4 1592 1646 32.50% 25.97% 41.52%-0.14 -26.1 14
2017-10-13 @ St. Johnstone W 3-051.4 1646 1592 41.52% 25.97% 32.50%+0.14 +26.1 17
2017-10-14 Aberdeen L 0-153.9 1560 1716 20.91% 24.66% 54.43%-0.57 -6.6 13
2017-10-14 @ Hibernian W 1-053.9 1716 1560 54.43% 24.66% 20.91%+0.57 +6.6 23
2017-10-14 Dundee W 1-046.6 1845 1435 79.04% 15.44% 5.52%+1.82 +1.6 23
2017-10-14 @ Celtic L 0-146.6 1435 1845 5.52% 15.44% 79.04%-1.82 -1.6 8
2017-10-14 Heart of Midlothian L 1-257.9 1495 1549 32.42% 25.97% 41.61%-0.14 -9.0 7
2017-10-14 @ Ross County W 2-157.9 1549 1495 41.61% 25.97% 32.42%+0.14 +9.0 12
2017-10-14 Kilmarnock L 0-245.9 1462 1433 43.89% 25.86% 30.25%+0.21 -22.6 3
2017-10-14 @ Partick Thistle W 2-045.9 1433 1462 30.25% 25.86% 43.89%-0.21 +22.6 6
2017-10-14 Motherwell L 1-256.8 1480 1527 33.42% 26.01% 40.57%-0.11 -9.2 7
2017-10-14 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-156.8 1527 1480 40.57% 26.01% 33.42%+0.11 +9.2 16
2017-10-21 Dundee W 2-152.0 1439 1434 40.74% 26.00% 33.26%+0.11 +9.1 6
2017-10-21 @ Partick Thistle L 1-252.0 1434 1439 33.26% 26.00% 40.74%-0.11 -9.2 8
2017-10-21 Hamilton Academical W 2-154.5 1486 1471 42.14% 25.95% 31.91%+0.15 +8.9 10
2017-10-21 @ Ross County L 1-254.5 1471 1486 31.91% 25.95% 42.14%-0.15 -8.9 7
2017-10-21 St. Johnstone W 1-055.2 1558 1566 38.89% 26.04% 35.07%+0.06 +10.1 15
2017-10-21 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-155.2 1566 1558 35.07% 26.04% 38.89%-0.06 -10.1 14
2017-10-24 Heart of Midlothian W 1-055.4 1554 1568 37.93% 26.05% 36.01%+0.03 +10.3 16
2017-10-24 @ Hibernian L 0-155.4 1568 1554 36.01% 26.05% 37.93%-0.03 -10.3 15
2017-10-24 Partick Thistle D 0-055.2 1462 1448 41.95% 25.96% 32.09%+0.15 -0.6 8
2017-10-24 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-055.2 1448 1462 32.09% 25.96% 41.95%-0.15 +0.6 7
2017-10-24 Ross County D 0-060.5 1556 1495 48.20% 25.52% 26.28%+0.35 -1.4 15
2017-10-24 @ St. Johnstone D 0-060.5 1495 1556 26.28% 25.52% 48.20%-0.35 +1.4 11
2017-10-25 Celtic L 0-351.3 1723 1847 24.09% 25.24% 50.68%-0.43 -20.5 23
2017-10-25 @ Aberdeen W 3-051.3 1847 1723 50.68% 25.24% 24.09%+0.43 +20.5 26
2017-10-25 Kilmarnock D 1-169.1 1672 1456 64.79% 22.02% 13.19%+1.00 -3.2 18
2017-10-25 @ Rangers D 1-169.1 1456 1672 13.19% 22.02% 64.79%-1.00 +3.2 7
2017-10-25 Motherwell L 0-146.3 1425 1536 25.44% 25.42% 49.14%-0.38 -7.8 8
2017-10-25 @ Dundee W 1-046.3 1536 1425 49.14% 25.42% 25.44%+0.38 +7.8 19
2017-10-28 Hamilton Academical L 1-348.7 1417 1461 33.71% 26.01% 40.28%-0.10 -16.0 8
2017-10-28 @ Dundee W 3-148.7 1461 1417 40.28% 26.01% 33.71%+0.10 +16.0 11
2017-10-28 Hibernian L 0-155.3 1544 1564 37.12% 26.06% 36.82%+0.00 -10.5 19
2017-10-28 @ Motherwell W 1-055.3 1564 1544 36.82% 26.06% 37.12%+0.00 +10.5 19
2017-10-28 Kilmarnock D 1-175.0 1867 1459 78.94% 15.50% 5.56%+1.81 -4.6 27
2017-10-28 @ Celtic D 1-175.0 1459 1867 5.56% 15.50% 78.94%-1.81 +4.6 8
2017-10-28 Rangers L 1-357.2 1558 1669 25.51% 25.43% 49.06%-0.38 -12.8 15
2017-10-28 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-157.2 1669 1558 49.06% 25.43% 25.51%+0.38 +12.8 21
2017-10-28 Ross County W 2-155.9 1702 1496 63.87% 22.33% 13.80%+0.96 +4.2 26
2017-10-28 @ Aberdeen L 1-255.9 1496 1702 13.80% 22.33% 63.87%-0.96 -4.2 11
2017-10-28 St. Johnstone W 1-054.8 1449 1555 26.03% 25.49% 48.48%-0.36 +13.0 10
2017-10-28 @ Partick Thistle L 0-154.8 1555 1449 48.48% 25.49% 26.03%+0.36 -13.0 15
2017-10-31 Hibernian L 0-343.5 1464 1575 25.50% 25.43% 49.08%-0.38 -21.5 8
2017-10-31 @ Kilmarnock W 3-043.5 1575 1464 49.08% 25.43% 25.50%+0.38 +21.5 22
2017-11-04 Aberdeen D 2-276.7 1477 1707 15.06% 22.89% 62.06%-0.88 +2.2 12
2017-11-04 @ Hamilton Academical D 2-276.7 1707 1477 62.06% 22.89% 15.06%+0.88 -2.2 27
2017-11-04 Celtic L 0-444.9 1542 1863 9.99% 20.02% 69.99%-1.26 -11.4 15
2017-11-04 @ St. Johnstone W 4-044.9 1863 1542 69.99% 20.02% 9.99%+1.26 +11.4 30
2017-11-04 Dundee W 2-149.7 1596 1401 62.90% 22.63% 14.47%+0.91 +4.4 25
2017-11-04 @ Hibernian L 1-249.7 1401 1596 14.47% 22.63% 62.90%-0.91 -4.4 8
2017-11-04 Motherwell W 3-264.7 1492 1533 34.21% 26.03% 39.77%-0.08 +9.9 14
2017-11-04 @ Ross County L 2-364.7 1533 1492 39.77% 26.03% 34.21%+0.08 -9.9 19
2017-11-04 Partick Thistle W 3-042.1 1682 1462 65.14% 21.90% 12.96%+1.02 +11.5 24
2017-11-04 @ Rangers L 0-342.1 1462 1682 12.96% 21.90% 65.14%-1.02 -11.5 10
2017-11-05 Kilmarnock L 1-261.7 1545 1442 53.28% 24.86% 21.86%+0.52 -13.3 15
2017-11-05 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-161.7 1442 1545 21.86% 24.86% 53.28%-0.52 +13.3 11
2017-11-18 Celtic L 0-149.2 1502 1874 7.96% 18.26% 73.78%-1.48 -2.5 14
2017-11-18 @ Ross County W 1-049.2 1874 1502 73.78% 18.26% 7.96%+1.48 +2.5 33
2017-11-18 Hamilton Academical L 0-260.4 1693 1480 64.57% 22.10% 13.33%+0.99 -31.5 24
2017-11-18 @ Rangers W 2-060.4 1480 1693 13.33% 22.10% 64.57%-0.99 +31.5 15
2017-11-18 Kilmarnock D 0-053.4 1396 1456 31.75% 25.94% 42.30%-0.16 +0.7 9
2017-11-18 @ Dundee D 0-053.4 1456 1396 42.30% 25.94% 31.75%+0.16 -0.7 12
2017-11-18 Motherwell L 0-261.0 1704 1523 61.54% 23.03% 15.42%+0.85 -30.2 27
2017-11-18 @ Aberdeen W 2-061.0 1523 1704 15.42% 23.03% 61.54%-0.85 +30.2 22
2017-11-18 St. Johnstone L 1-265.7 1601 1530 49.33% 25.40% 25.27%+0.39 -12.5 25
2017-11-18 @ Hibernian W 2-165.7 1530 1601 25.27% 25.40% 49.33%-0.39 +12.5 18
2017-11-19 Partick Thistle D 1-163.0 1532 1450 50.76% 25.22% 24.02%+0.43 -1.6 16
2017-11-19 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-163.0 1450 1532 24.02% 25.22% 50.76%-0.43 +1.6 11
2017-11-24 Rangers W 2-167.0 1397 1662 12.84% 21.84% 65.32%-1.03 +15.9 12
2017-11-24 @ Dundee L 1-267.0 1662 1397 65.32% 21.84% 12.84%+1.03 -15.9 24
2017-11-25 Hibernian D 1-167.1 1511 1588 29.47% 25.81% 44.72%-0.23 +0.9 16
2017-11-25 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-167.1 1588 1511 44.72% 25.81% 29.47%+0.23 -0.9 26
2017-11-25 Ross County D 0-059.6 1530 1500 44.23% 25.84% 29.93%+0.22 -0.9 17
2017-11-25 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-059.6 1500 1530 29.93% 25.84% 44.23%-0.22 +0.9 15
2017-11-26 Aberdeen L 1-351.2 1455 1674 15.74% 23.16% 61.11%-0.83 -8.3 12
2017-11-26 @ Kilmarnock W 3-151.2 1674 1455 61.11% 23.16% 15.74%+0.83 +8.3 30
2017-11-29 Aberdeen W 3-054.8 1646 1683 34.79% 26.04% 39.17%-0.06 +30.0 27
2017-11-29 @ Rangers L 0-354.8 1683 1646 39.17% 26.04% 34.79%+0.06 -30.0 30
2017-11-29 Celtic D 1-174.5 1554 1876 9.90% 19.95% 70.15%-1.27 +3.8 23
2017-11-29 @ Motherwell D 1-174.5 1876 1554 70.15% 19.95% 9.90%+1.27 -3.8 34
2017-12-02 Dundee L 0-248.5 1501 1413 51.48% 25.13% 23.39%+0.46 -25.8 15
2017-12-02 @ Ross County W 2-048.5 1413 1501 23.39% 25.13% 51.48%-0.46 +25.8 15
2017-12-02 Hamilton Academical D 1-165.0 1530 1512 42.46% 25.94% 31.61%+0.16 -0.6 18
2017-12-02 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-165.0 1512 1530 31.61% 25.94% 42.46%-0.16 +0.6 17
2017-12-02 Hibernian L 0-148.3 1452 1587 22.89% 25.04% 52.07%-0.48 -7.2 11
2017-12-02 @ Partick Thistle W 1-048.3 1587 1452 52.07% 25.04% 22.89%+0.48 +7.2 29
2017-12-02 Kilmarnock L 1-261.6 1543 1447 52.49% 24.98% 22.53%+0.50 -13.1 18
2017-12-02 @ St. Johnstone W 2-161.6 1447 1543 22.53% 24.98% 52.49%-0.50 +13.1 15
2017-12-02 Motherwell W 5-148.0 1873 1557 72.80% 18.74% 8.46%+1.42 +7.9 37
2017-12-02 @ Celtic L 1-548.0 1557 1873 8.46% 18.74% 72.80%-1.42 -7.9 23
2017-12-03 Rangers L 1-266.0 1652 1676 36.69% 26.06% 37.25%-0.01 -9.8 30
2017-12-03 @ Aberdeen W 2-166.0 1676 1652 37.25% 26.06% 36.69%+0.01 +9.8 30
2017-12-08 Aberdeen L 0-147.6 1439 1643 16.86% 23.56% 59.58%-0.77 -5.4 15
2017-12-08 @ Dundee W 1-047.6 1643 1439 59.58% 23.56% 16.86%+0.77 +5.4 33
2017-12-09 Motherwell W 1-054.2 1529 1549 37.09% 26.06% 36.85%+0.00 +10.5 21
2017-12-09 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-154.2 1549 1529 36.85% 26.06% 37.09%+0.00 -10.5 23
2017-12-09 Partick Thistle W 5-144.5 1460 1445 42.11% 25.95% 31.94%+0.15 +28.0 18
2017-12-09 @ Kilmarnock L 1-544.5 1445 1460 31.94% 25.95% 42.11%-0.15 -28.0 11
2017-12-09 Ross County W 2-154.8 1686 1475 64.33% 22.18% 13.50%+0.98 +4.1 33
2017-12-09 @ Rangers L 1-254.8 1475 1686 13.50% 22.18% 64.33%-0.98 -4.1 15
2017-12-09 St. Johnstone L 0-153.2 1512 1530 37.57% 26.06% 36.37%+0.02 -10.6 17
2017-12-09 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-053.2 1530 1512 36.37% 26.06% 37.57%-0.02 +10.6 21
2017-12-10 Celtic D 2-280.7 1594 1881 11.67% 21.16% 67.17%-1.12 +2.6 30
2017-12-10 @ Hibernian D 2-280.7 1881 1594 67.17% 21.16% 11.67%+1.12 -2.6 38
2017-12-12 Dundee W 2-041.6 1539 1433 53.64% 24.80% 21.57%+0.54 +12.8 24
2017-12-12 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-241.6 1433 1539 21.57% 24.80% 53.64%-0.54 -12.8 15
2017-12-12 Kilmarnock D 2-268.2 1471 1488 37.59% 26.06% 36.36%+0.02 -0.0 16
2017-12-12 @ Ross County D 2-268.2 1488 1471 36.36% 26.06% 37.59%-0.02 +0.0 19
2017-12-13 Aberdeen L 0-348.2 1540 1648 25.84% 25.47% 48.69%-0.36 -21.8 21
2017-12-13 @ St. Johnstone W 3-048.2 1648 1540 48.69% 25.47% 25.84%+0.36 +21.8 36
2017-12-13 Hamilton Academical W 3-150.9 1878 1502 76.95% 16.61% 6.44%+1.68 +3.2 41
2017-12-13 @ Celtic L 1-350.9 1502 1878 6.44% 16.61% 76.95%-1.68 -3.2 17
2017-12-13 Motherwell W 3-265.1 1417 1539 24.24% 25.26% 50.50%-0.43 +12.1 14
2017-12-13 @ Partick Thistle L 2-365.1 1539 1417 50.50% 25.26% 24.24%+0.43 -12.0 23
2017-12-13 Rangers L 1-262.6 1597 1690 27.57% 25.65% 46.78%-0.30 -7.9 30
2017-12-13 @ Hibernian W 2-162.6 1690 1597 46.78% 25.65% 27.57%+0.30 +7.9 36
2017-12-16 Hibernian W 4-154.4 1670 1589 50.63% 25.24% 24.13%+0.43 +17.3 39
2017-12-16 @ Aberdeen L 1-454.4 1589 1670 24.13% 25.24% 50.63%-0.43 -17.3 30
2017-12-16 Motherwell W 1-052.7 1488 1527 34.47% 26.03% 39.50%-0.07 +11.0 22
2017-12-16 @ Kilmarnock L 0-152.7 1527 1488 39.50% 26.03% 34.47%+0.07 -11.0 23
2017-12-16 Partick Thistle W 3-040.0 1420 1429 38.85% 26.04% 35.11%+0.06 +27.7 18
2017-12-16 @ Dundee L 0-340.0 1429 1420 35.11% 26.04% 38.85%-0.06 -27.7 14
2017-12-16 Ross County W 3-259.7 1499 1471 43.88% 25.86% 30.26%+0.21 +8.1 20
2017-12-16 @ Hamilton Academical L 2-359.7 1471 1499 30.26% 25.86% 43.88%-0.21 -8.1 16
2017-12-16 St. Johnstone L 1-367.1 1698 1519 61.35% 23.09% 15.56%+0.84 -26.1 36
2017-12-16 @ Rangers W 3-167.1 1519 1698 15.56% 23.09% 61.35%-0.84 +26.1 24
2017-12-17 Celtic W 4-063.2 1552 1881 9.64% 19.75% 70.61%-1.30 +64.2 27
2017-12-17 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-463.2 1881 1552 70.61% 19.75% 9.64%+1.30 -64.2 41
2017-12-20 Partick Thistle W 2-041.6 1817 1401 79.41% 15.22% 5.36%+1.84 +3.0 44
2017-12-20 @ Celtic L 0-241.6 1401 1817 5.36% 15.22% 79.41%-1.84 -3.0 14
2017-12-23 Aberdeen W 3-049.3 1820 1687 56.60% 24.25% 19.16%+0.65 +16.8 47
2017-12-23 @ Celtic L 0-349.3 1687 1820 19.16% 24.25% 56.60%-0.65 -16.8 39
2017-12-23 Dundee D 1-162.3 1516 1448 49.04% 25.43% 25.53%+0.38 -1.4 24
2017-12-23 @ Motherwell D 1-162.3 1448 1516 25.53% 25.43% 49.04%-0.38 +1.4 19
2017-12-23 Hamilton Academical W 1-051.4 1398 1507 25.72% 25.46% 48.82%-0.37 +13.1 17
2017-12-23 @ Partick Thistle L 0-151.4 1507 1398 48.82% 25.46% 25.72%+0.37 -13.1 20
2017-12-23 Heart of Midlothian D 0-063.9 1545 1616 30.13% 25.86% 44.01%-0.21 +0.9 25
2017-12-23 @ St. Johnstone D 0-063.9 1616 1545 44.01% 25.86% 30.13%+0.21 -0.9 28
2017-12-23 Rangers W 2-168.5 1499 1672 19.39% 24.31% 56.31%-0.64 +14.0 25
2017-12-23 @ Kilmarnock L 1-268.5 1672 1499 56.31% 24.31% 19.39%+0.64 -14.0 36
2017-12-23 Ross County W 2-153.8 1572 1463 53.99% 24.74% 21.27%+0.55 +6.3 33
2017-12-23 @ Hibernian L 1-253.8 1463 1572 21.27% 24.74% 53.99%-0.55 -6.3 16
2017-12-26 Celtic L 0-244.1 1449 1837 7.42% 17.72% 74.86%-1.54 -4.3 19
2017-12-26 @ Dundee W 2-044.1 1837 1449 74.86% 17.72% 7.42%+1.54 +4.3 50
2017-12-27 Hibernian D 0-064.7 1616 1578 45.13% 25.78% 29.09%+0.25 -1.0 29
2017-12-27 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-064.7 1578 1616 29.09% 25.78% 45.13%-0.25 +1.0 34
2017-12-27 Motherwell W 2-047.1 1658 1514 57.71% 24.01% 18.28%+0.69 +11.1 39
2017-12-27 @ Rangers L 0-247.1 1514 1658 18.28% 24.01% 57.71%-0.69 -11.1 24
2017-12-27 Partick Thistle W 1-044.9 1670 1411 68.48% 20.65% 10.87%+1.18 +3.5 42
2017-12-27 @ Aberdeen L 0-144.9 1411 1670 10.87% 20.65% 68.48%-1.18 -3.5 17
2017-12-27 St. Johnstone D 1-163.6 1456 1546 27.98% 25.69% 46.33%-0.29 +1.0 17
2017-12-27 @ Ross County D 1-163.6 1546 1456 46.33% 25.69% 27.98%+0.29 -1.0 26
2017-12-30 Dundee L 0-251.6 1544 1445 52.85% 24.93% 22.23%+0.51 -26.4 26
2017-12-30 @ St. Johnstone W 2-051.6 1445 1544 22.23% 24.93% 52.85%-0.51 +26.4 22
2017-12-30 Hamilton Academical L 1-355.1 1503 1494 41.37% 25.98% 32.65%+0.13 -18.7 24
2017-12-30 @ Motherwell W 3-155.1 1494 1503 32.65% 25.98% 41.37%-0.13 +18.7 23
2017-12-30 Heart of Midlothian D 0-066.5 1674 1615 47.97% 25.54% 26.49%+0.34 -1.4 43
2017-12-30 @ Aberdeen D 0-066.5 1615 1674 26.49% 25.54% 47.97%-0.34 +1.4 30
2017-12-30 Kilmarnock D 1-166.9 1579 1513 48.85% 25.45% 25.69%+0.37 -1.3 35
2017-12-30 @ Hibernian D 1-166.9 1513 1579 25.69% 25.45% 48.85%-0.37 +1.3 26
2017-12-30 Rangers D 0-068.8 1841 1669 60.68% 23.27% 16.05%+0.82 -3.1 51
2017-12-30 @ Celtic D 0-068.8 1669 1841 16.05% 23.27% 60.68%-0.82 +3.1 40
2017-12-30 Ross County W 2-044.1 1408 1457 33.03% 25.99% 40.98%-0.12 +21.4 20
2017-12-30 @ Partick Thistle L 0-244.1 1457 1408 40.98% 25.99% 33.03%+0.12 -21.4 17
2018-01-23 Celtic L 1-253.4 1429 1838 6.73% 16.96% 76.31%-1.63 -1.9 20
2018-01-23 @ Partick Thistle W 2-153.4 1838 1429 76.31% 16.96% 6.73%+1.63 +1.9 54
2018-01-24 Aberdeen W 2-055.3 1672 1672 39.91% 26.02% 34.07%+0.09 +18.6 43
2018-01-24 @ Rangers L 0-255.3 1672 1672 34.07% 26.02% 39.91%-0.09 -18.6 43
2018-01-24 Heart of Midlothian L 0-346.8 1512 1616 26.31% 25.52% 48.16%-0.35 -22.1 23
2018-01-24 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-046.8 1616 1512 48.16% 25.52% 26.31%+0.35 +22.1 33
2018-01-24 Hibernian L 0-149.8 1472 1578 26.01% 25.49% 48.50%-0.36 -8.0 22
2018-01-24 @ Dundee W 1-049.8 1578 1472 48.50% 25.49% 26.01%+0.36 +8.0 38
2018-01-24 Ross County W 2-041.8 1485 1436 46.63% 25.67% 27.70%+0.30 +15.8 27
2018-01-24 @ Motherwell L 0-241.8 1436 1485 27.70% 25.67% 46.63%-0.30 -15.8 17
2018-01-27 Dundee L 1-257.9 1490 1464 43.69% 25.87% 30.43%+0.20 -11.3 23
2018-01-27 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-157.9 1464 1490 30.43% 25.87% 43.69%-0.20 +11.3 25
2018-01-27 Hibernian W 1-051.3 1840 1586 68.05% 20.82% 11.13%+1.16 +3.6 57
2018-01-27 @ Celtic L 0-151.3 1586 1840 11.13% 20.82% 68.05%-1.16 -3.6 38
2018-01-27 Kilmarnock W 3-153.4 1654 1514 57.35% 24.09% 18.57%+0.68 +9.7 46
2018-01-27 @ Aberdeen L 1-353.4 1514 1654 18.57% 24.09% 57.35%-0.68 -9.7 26
2018-01-27 Motherwell D 1-168.8 1638 1501 57.10% 24.14% 18.76%+0.67 -2.3 34
2018-01-27 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-168.8 1501 1638 18.76% 24.14% 57.10%-0.67 +2.3 28
2018-01-27 Partick Thistle L 1-356.1 1518 1427 51.86% 25.07% 23.06%+0.47 -22.5 26
2018-01-27 @ St. Johnstone W 3-156.1 1427 1518 23.06% 25.07% 51.86%-0.47 +22.5 23
2018-01-28 Rangers L 1-252.9 1420 1690 12.52% 21.66% 65.82%-1.05 -3.8 17
2018-01-28 @ Ross County W 2-152.9 1690 1420 65.82% 21.66% 12.52%+1.05 +3.8 46
2018-01-30 Heart of Midlothian W 3-155.3 1843 1636 64.04% 22.27% 13.69%+0.97 +7.2 60
2018-01-30 @ Celtic L 1-355.3 1636 1843 13.69% 22.27% 64.04%-0.97 -7.2 34
2018-01-31 Aberdeen L 2-452.6 1416 1664 13.88% 22.36% 63.76%-0.95 -6.6 17
2018-01-31 @ Ross County W 4-252.6 1664 1416 63.76% 22.36% 13.88%+0.95 +6.6 49
2018-01-31 Motherwell W 2-156.7 1582 1503 50.46% 25.26% 24.28%+0.42 +7.1 41
2018-01-31 @ Hibernian L 1-256.7 1503 1582 24.28% 25.26% 50.46%-0.42 -7.1 28
2018-02-03 Celtic W 1-068.5 1504 1851 8.92% 19.15% 71.92%-1.37 +18.2 29
2018-02-03 @ Kilmarnock L 0-168.5 1851 1504 71.92% 19.15% 8.92%+1.37 -18.2 60
2018-02-03 Hamilton Academical W 3-043.1 1670 1479 62.50% 22.75% 14.74%+0.90 +13.1 52
2018-02-03 @ Aberdeen L 0-343.1 1479 1670 14.74% 22.75% 62.50%-0.90 -13.1 23
2018-02-03 Hibernian L 1-270.1 1694 1589 53.49% 24.82% 21.68%+0.53 -13.4 46
2018-02-03 @ Rangers W 2-170.1 1589 1694 21.68% 24.82% 53.49%-0.53 +13.4 44
2018-02-03 Partick Thistle D 1-161.5 1496 1450 46.28% 25.70% 28.02%+0.28 -1.0 29
2018-02-03 @ Motherwell D 1-161.5 1450 1496 28.02% 25.70% 46.28%-0.28 +1.1 24
2018-02-03 Ross County L 1-450.3 1475 1410 48.72% 25.47% 25.82%+0.36 -30.2 25
2018-02-03 @ Dundee W 4-150.3 1410 1475 25.82% 25.47% 48.72%-0.36 +30.2 20
2018-02-03 St. Johnstone W 1-049.9 1628 1496 56.62% 24.24% 19.14%+0.65 +6.1 37
2018-02-03 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-149.9 1496 1628 19.14% 24.24% 56.62%-0.65 -6.1 26
2018-02-06 Rangers L 0-244.6 1451 1681 14.99% 22.86% 62.16%-0.88 -9.2 24
2018-02-06 @ Partick Thistle W 2-044.6 1681 1451 62.16% 22.86% 14.99%+0.88 +9.2 49
2018-02-06 St. Johnstone W 2-045.9 1495 1489 40.76% 26.00% 33.24%+0.11 +18.3 32
2018-02-06 @ Motherwell L 0-245.9 1489 1495 33.24% 26.00% 40.76%-0.11 -18.3 26
2018-02-13 Dundee W 3-257.7 1523 1445 50.29% 25.28% 24.42%+0.42 +6.8 32
2018-02-13 @ Kilmarnock L 2-357.7 1445 1523 24.42% 25.28% 50.29%-0.42 -6.8 25
2018-02-17 Aberdeen W 2-057.9 1603 1683 29.04% 25.78% 45.18%-0.25 +23.1 47
2018-02-17 @ Hibernian L 0-257.9 1683 1603 45.18% 25.78% 29.04%+0.25 -23.2 52
2018-02-17 Dundee L 1-254.4 1441 1438 40.52% 26.01% 33.48%+0.11 -10.6 24
2018-02-17 @ Partick Thistle W 2-154.4 1438 1441 33.48% 26.01% 40.52%-0.11 +10.6 28
2018-02-17 Heart of Midlothian D 1-166.8 1440 1635 17.56% 23.79% 58.64%-0.73 +2.5 21
2018-02-17 @ Ross County D 1-166.8 1635 1440 58.64% 23.79% 17.56%+0.73 -2.5 38
2018-02-17 Kilmarnock L 0-153.2 1513 1529 37.69% 26.06% 36.25%+0.02 -10.6 32
2018-02-17 @ Motherwell W 1-053.2 1529 1513 36.25% 26.06% 37.69%-0.02 +10.7 35
2018-02-18 Rangers L 3-557.0 1466 1690 15.40% 23.03% 61.57%-0.85 -6.9 23
2018-02-18 @ Hamilton Academical W 5-357.0 1690 1466 61.57% 23.03% 15.40%+0.85 +6.9 52
2018-02-18 St. Johnstone D 0-069.2 1832 1471 75.99% 17.13% 6.88%+1.61 -4.9 61
2018-02-18 @ Celtic D 0-069.2 1471 1832 6.88% 17.13% 75.99%-1.61 +4.8 27
2018-02-24 Heart of Midlothian W 2-052.5 1697 1632 48.66% 25.47% 25.86%+0.36 +15.0 55
2018-02-24 @ Rangers L 0-252.5 1632 1697 25.86% 25.47% 48.66%-0.36 -15.0 38
2018-02-24 Hibernian D 2-275.4 1540 1626 28.40% 25.73% 45.87%-0.27 +0.7 36
2018-02-24 @ Kilmarnock D 2-275.4 1626 1540 45.87% 25.73% 28.40%+0.27 -0.7 48
2018-02-24 Motherwell L 0-148.2 1448 1502 32.46% 25.97% 41.57%-0.14 -9.5 28
2018-02-24 @ Dundee W 1-048.2 1502 1448 41.57% 25.97% 32.46%+0.14 +9.5 35
2018-02-24 Partick Thistle W 2-151.6 1459 1431 43.89% 25.86% 30.25%+0.21 +8.5 26
2018-02-24 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-251.6 1431 1459 30.25% 25.86% 43.89%-0.21 -8.5 24
2018-02-24 Ross County W 2-042.3 1476 1442 44.63% 25.82% 29.55%+0.23 +16.7 30
2018-02-24 @ St. Johnstone L 0-242.3 1442 1476 29.55% 25.82% 44.63%-0.23 -16.7 21
2018-02-25 Celtic L 0-251.5 1660 1828 19.85% 24.42% 55.73%-0.62 -11.9 52
2018-02-25 @ Aberdeen W 2-051.5 1828 1660 55.73% 24.42% 19.85%+0.62 +11.9 64
2018-02-27 Kilmarnock D 1-169.0 1617 1541 50.09% 25.31% 24.60%+0.41 -1.5 39
2018-02-27 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-169.0 1541 1617 24.60% 25.31% 50.09%-0.41 +1.5 37
2018-02-27 Rangers L 1-450.2 1493 1712 15.74% 23.16% 61.10%-0.83 -11.8 30
2018-02-27 @ St. Johnstone W 4-150.2 1712 1493 61.10% 23.16% 15.74%+0.83 +11.8 58
2018-03-07 St. Johnstone W 2-045.1 1542 1481 48.23% 25.52% 26.25%+0.35 +15.2 40
2018-03-07 @ Kilmarnock L 0-245.1 1481 1542 26.25% 25.52% 48.23%-0.35 -15.2 30
2018-03-09 Heart of Midlothian W 2-053.5 1625 1616 41.33% 25.98% 32.69%+0.13 +18.1 51
2018-03-09 @ Hibernian L 0-253.5 1616 1625 32.69% 25.98% 41.33%-0.13 -18.0 39
2018-03-10 Aberdeen D 0-061.9 1422 1648 15.29% 22.98% 61.73%-0.86 +3.2 25
2018-03-10 @ Partick Thistle D 0-061.9 1648 1422 61.73% 22.98% 15.29%+0.86 -3.2 53
2018-03-10 Motherwell W 2-047.8 1468 1512 33.74% 26.02% 40.24%-0.10 +21.1 29
2018-03-10 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-247.8 1512 1468 40.24% 26.02% 33.74%+0.10 -21.1 35
2018-03-10 Ross County W 3-256.5 1557 1426 56.51% 24.27% 19.23%+0.65 +5.5 43
2018-03-10 @ Kilmarnock L 2-356.5 1426 1557 19.23% 24.27% 56.51%-0.65 -5.5 21
2018-03-10 St. Johnstone L 0-442.0 1439 1466 36.20% 26.06% 37.75%-0.02 -37.0 28
2018-03-10 @ Dundee W 4-042.0 1466 1439 37.75% 26.06% 36.20%+0.02 +37.0 33
2018-03-11 Celtic L 2-368.8 1724 1839 24.95% 25.36% 49.70%-0.40 -6.9 58
2018-03-11 @ Rangers W 3-268.8 1839 1724 49.70% 25.36% 24.95%+0.40 +6.9 67
2018-03-16 Hibernian D 1-168.7 1503 1643 22.39% 24.96% 52.65%-0.50 +1.8 34
2018-03-16 @ St. Johnstone D 1-168.7 1643 1503 52.65% 24.96% 22.39%+0.50 -1.8 52
2018-03-17 Dundee W 1-044.1 1645 1402 67.13% 21.18% 11.69%+1.11 +3.8 56
2018-03-17 @ Aberdeen L 0-144.1 1402 1645 11.69% 21.18% 67.13%-1.11 -3.8 28
2018-03-17 Hamilton Academical D 2-266.5 1420 1489 30.54% 25.88% 43.58%-0.20 +0.5 22
2018-03-17 @ Ross County D 2-266.5 1489 1420 43.58% 25.88% 30.54%+0.20 -0.5 30
2018-03-17 Kilmarnock L 0-165.1 1717 1563 58.82% 23.75% 17.43%+0.74 -15.4 58
2018-03-17 @ Rangers W 1-065.1 1563 1717 17.43% 23.75% 58.82%-0.74 +15.4 46
2018-03-17 Partick Thistle W 3-039.4 1598 1426 60.65% 23.28% 16.07%+0.81 +14.2 42
2018-03-17 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-339.4 1426 1598 16.07% 23.28% 60.65%-0.81 -14.2 25
2018-03-18 Celtic D 0-069.1 1491 1846 8.56% 18.83% 72.62%-1.41 +4.5 36
2018-03-18 @ Motherwell D 0-069.1 1846 1491 72.62% 18.83% 8.56%+1.41 -4.5 68
2018-03-28 Hamilton Academical W 1-049.5 1505 1488 42.29% 25.94% 31.77%+0.16 +9.4 37
2018-03-28 @ St. Johnstone L 0-149.5 1488 1505 31.77% 25.94% 42.29%-0.16 -9.4 30
2018-03-31 Hamilton Academical W 2-044.9 1578 1479 52.88% 24.92% 22.20%+0.51 +13.2 49
2018-03-31 @ Kilmarnock L 0-244.9 1479 1578 22.20% 24.92% 52.88%-0.51 -13.2 30
2018-03-31 Partick Thistle W 2-040.8 1641 1411 66.02% 21.59% 12.39%+1.06 +7.5 55
2018-03-31 @ Hibernian L 0-240.8 1411 1641 12.39% 21.59% 66.02%-1.06 -7.5 25
2018-03-31 Rangers D 2-276.8 1495 1701 16.70% 23.51% 59.79%-0.78 +2.0 37
2018-03-31 @ Motherwell D 2-276.8 1701 1495 59.79% 23.51% 16.70%+0.78 -2.0 59
2018-03-31 Ross County W 3-040.4 1842 1421 79.72% 15.04% 5.23%+1.87 +4.2 71
2018-03-31 @ Celtic L 0-340.4 1421 1842 5.23% 15.04% 79.72%-1.87 -4.2 22
2018-03-31 St. Johnstone W 4-150.5 1649 1514 56.83% 24.20% 18.98%+0.66 +14.0 59
2018-03-31 @ Aberdeen L 1-450.5 1514 1649 18.98% 24.20% 56.83%-0.66 -14.0 37
2018-04-01 Heart of Midlothian D 1-164.6 1398 1612 16.15% 23.31% 60.54%-0.81 +2.7 29
2018-04-01 @ Dundee D 1-164.6 1612 1398 60.54% 23.31% 16.15%+0.81 -2.7 43
2018-04-03 Aberdeen L 0-247.4 1497 1663 20.03% 24.46% 55.51%-0.61 -12.0 37
2018-04-03 @ Motherwell W 2-047.4 1663 1497 55.51% 24.46% 20.03%+0.61 +12.0 62
2018-04-03 Hamilton Academical W 3-150.6 1649 1466 61.76% 22.97% 15.27%+0.86 +8.1 58
2018-04-03 @ Hibernian L 1-350.6 1466 1649 15.27% 22.97% 61.76%-0.86 -8.1 30
2018-04-03 Partick Thistle W 4-038.4 1416 1404 41.77% 25.97% 32.26%+0.14 +33.9 25
2018-04-03 @ Ross County L 0-438.4 1404 1416 32.26% 25.97% 41.77%-0.14 -33.9 25
2018-04-04 Dundee D 0-069.2 1846 1401 81.08% 14.23% 4.68%+1.97 -5.3 72
2018-04-04 @ Celtic D 0-069.2 1401 1846 4.68% 14.23% 81.08%-1.97 +5.3 30
2018-04-07 Aberdeen W 2-057.3 1609 1675 30.91% 25.90% 43.19%-0.19 +22.3 46
2018-04-07 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-257.3 1675 1609 43.19% 25.90% 30.91%+0.19 -22.3 62
2018-04-07 Dundee W 4-039.2 1699 1406 71.15% 19.51% 9.34%+1.33 +10.6 62
2018-04-07 @ Rangers L 0-439.2 1406 1699 9.34% 19.51% 71.15%-1.33 -10.6 30
2018-04-07 Hibernian D 1-168.0 1450 1657 16.66% 23.49% 59.85%-0.78 +2.6 26
2018-04-07 @ Ross County D 1-168.0 1657 1450 59.85% 23.49% 16.66%+0.78 -2.7 59
2018-04-07 Kilmarnock L 0-142.7 1370 1592 15.57% 23.09% 61.33%-0.84 -5.0 25
2018-04-07 @ Partick Thistle W 1-042.7 1592 1370 61.33% 23.09% 15.57%+0.84 +5.0 52
2018-04-07 Motherwell D 0-057.9 1500 1485 42.04% 25.95% 32.01%+0.15 -0.6 38
2018-04-07 @ St. Johnstone D 0-057.9 1485 1500 32.01% 25.95% 42.04%-0.15 +0.6 38
2018-04-08 Celtic L 1-254.4 1458 1841 7.56% 17.86% 74.58%-1.53 -2.2 30
2018-04-08 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-154.4 1841 1458 74.58% 17.86% 7.56%+1.53 +2.2 75
2018-04-14 Kilmarnock L 1-254.8 1455 1597 22.31% 24.94% 52.75%-0.51 -6.6 30
2018-04-14 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-154.8 1597 1455 52.75% 24.94% 22.31%+0.51 +6.6 55

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2018-04-21 Aberdeen L 0-253.9 1603 1652 33.08% 26.00% 40.93%-0.12 -18.2 0
2018-04-21 @ Kilmarnock W 2-053.9 1652 1603 40.93% 26.00% 33.08%+0.12 +18.2 3
2018-04-21 Celtic W 2-172.8 1654 1843 18.06% 23.94% 58.00%-0.71 +14.3 3
2018-04-21 @ Hibernian L 1-272.8 1843 1654 58.00% 23.94% 18.06%+0.71 -14.3 0
2018-04-21 Hamilton Academical W 2-154.1 1365 1449 28.64% 25.75% 45.61%-0.26 +11.7 3
2018-04-21 @ Partick Thistle L 1-254.1 1449 1365 45.61% 25.75% 28.64%+0.26 -11.7 0
2018-04-21 Motherwell D 0-056.2 1453 1486 35.34% 26.05% 38.62%-0.05 +0.2 1
2018-04-21 @ Ross County D 0-056.2 1486 1453 38.62% 26.05% 35.34%+0.05 -0.2 1
2018-04-21 St. Johnstone W 2-157.1 1396 1499 26.31% 25.52% 48.16%-0.35 +12.2 3
2018-04-21 @ Dundee L 1-257.1 1499 1396 48.16% 25.52% 26.31%+0.35 -12.2 0
2018-04-22 Heart of Midlothian W 2-162.2 1710 1631 50.37% 25.27% 24.35%+0.42 +7.1 3
2018-04-22 @ Rangers L 1-262.2 1631 1710 24.35% 25.27% 50.37%-0.42 -7.1 0
2018-04-27 Heart of Midlothian W 2-052.8 1671 1624 46.31% 25.69% 28.00%+0.29 +16.0 6
2018-04-27 @ Aberdeen L 0-252.8 1624 1671 28.00% 25.69% 46.31%-0.29 -16.0 0
2018-04-28 Dundee W 2-149.8 1486 1408 50.28% 25.29% 24.44%+0.42 +7.1 4
2018-04-28 @ Motherwell L 1-249.8 1408 1486 24.44% 25.29% 50.28%-0.42 -7.2 3
2018-04-28 Kilmarnock W 5-362.3 1669 1585 50.99% 25.19% 23.82%+0.44 +10.2 6
2018-04-28 @ Hibernian L 3-562.3 1585 1669 23.82% 25.19% 50.99%-0.44 -10.2 0
2018-04-28 Partick Thistle D 1-159.1 1487 1377 54.14% 24.71% 21.15%+0.56 -2.0 1
2018-04-28 @ St. Johnstone D 1-159.1 1377 1487 21.15% 24.71% 54.14%-0.56 +2.0 4
2018-04-28 Ross County W 2-043.5 1437 1453 37.71% 26.06% 36.23%+0.02 +19.5 3
2018-04-28 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-243.5 1453 1437 36.23% 26.06% 37.71%-0.02 -19.5 1
2018-04-29 Rangers W 5-051.1 1829 1717 54.25% 24.69% 21.05%+0.56 +29.4 3
2018-04-29 @ Celtic L 0-551.1 1717 1829 21.05% 24.69% 54.25%-0.56 -29.4 3
2018-05-04 Ross County D 1-157.4 1378 1434 32.28% 25.97% 41.75%-0.14 +0.5 5
2018-05-04 @ Partick Thistle D 1-157.4 1434 1378 41.75% 25.97% 32.28%+0.14 -0.5 2
2018-05-05 Hamilton Academical W 1-047.9 1401 1457 32.20% 25.96% 41.83%-0.15 +11.5 6
2018-05-05 @ Dundee L 0-147.9 1457 1401 41.83% 25.96% 32.20%+0.15 -11.5 3
2018-05-05 Hibernian D 0-067.2 1687 1679 41.10% 25.99% 32.91%+0.12 -0.5 7
2018-05-05 @ Aberdeen D 0-067.2 1679 1687 32.91% 25.99% 41.10%-0.12 +0.5 7
2018-05-05 Kilmarnock W 1-053.7 1688 1575 54.41% 24.67% 20.92%+0.57 +6.6 6
2018-05-05 @ Rangers L 0-153.7 1575 1688 20.92% 24.67% 54.41%-0.57 -6.6 0
2018-05-05 St. Johnstone L 1-549.9 1493 1485 41.10% 25.99% 32.91%+0.12 -33.9 4
2018-05-05 @ Motherwell W 5-149.9 1485 1493 32.91% 25.99% 41.10%-0.12 +33.9 4
2018-05-06 Celtic L 1-355.3 1608 1858 13.73% 22.29% 63.98%-0.96 -7.3 0
2018-05-06 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-155.3 1858 1608 63.98% 22.29% 13.73%+0.96 +7.3 6
2018-05-08 Dundee L 0-147.9 1433 1412 42.91% 25.92% 31.18%+0.18 -11.8 2
2018-05-08 @ Ross County W 1-047.9 1412 1433 31.18% 25.92% 42.91%-0.18 +11.8 9
2018-05-08 Motherwell L 0-143.5 1379 1459 29.12% 25.79% 45.09%-0.25 -8.8 5
2018-05-08 @ Partick Thistle W 1-043.5 1459 1379 45.09% 25.79% 29.12%+0.25 +8.8 7
2018-05-08 Rangers D 1-172.3 1686 1694 38.86% 26.04% 35.10%+0.06 -0.2 8
2018-05-08 @ Aberdeen D 1-172.3 1694 1686 35.10% 26.04% 38.86%-0.06 +0.2 7
2018-05-08 St. Johnstone L 1-254.1 1445 1519 29.86% 25.84% 44.31%-0.22 -8.4 3
2018-05-08 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-154.1 1519 1445 44.31% 25.84% 29.86%+0.22 +8.4 7
2018-05-09 Hibernian W 2-167.7 1601 1679 29.31% 25.80% 44.89%-0.24 +11.5 3
2018-05-09 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-267.7 1679 1601 44.89% 25.80% 29.31%+0.24 -11.5 7
2018-05-09 Kilmarnock D 0-069.7 1865 1568 71.45% 19.37% 9.18%+1.34 -4.4 7
2018-05-09 @ Celtic D 0-069.7 1568 1865 9.18% 19.37% 71.45%-1.34 +4.4 1
2018-05-12 Hamilton Academical W 3-040.0 1468 1437 44.28% 25.84% 29.88%+0.22 +24.4 10
2018-05-12 @ Motherwell L 0-340.0 1437 1468 29.88% 25.84% 44.28%-0.22 -24.5 3
2018-05-12 Partick Thistle L 0-147.9 1424 1370 47.26% 25.61% 27.13%+0.32 -12.7 9
2018-05-12 @ Dundee W 1-047.9 1370 1424 27.13% 25.61% 47.26%-0.32 +12.7 8
2018-05-12 Ross County D 1-161.9 1527 1421 53.62% 24.80% 21.58%+0.54 -1.9 8
2018-05-12 @ St. Johnstone D 1-161.9 1421 1527 21.58% 24.80% 53.62%-0.54 +1.9 3
2018-05-13 Aberdeen L 0-167.4 1861 1686 60.95% 23.20% 15.85%+0.83 -15.9 7
2018-05-13 @ Celtic W 1-067.4 1686 1861 15.85% 23.20% 60.95%-0.83 +15.9 11
2018-05-13 Heart of Midlothian W 1-058.2 1572 1613 34.34% 26.03% 39.63%-0.08 +11.1 4
2018-05-13 @ Kilmarnock L 0-158.2 1613 1572 39.63% 26.03% 34.34%+0.08 -11.1 3
2018-05-13 Rangers D 5-584.1 1668 1695 36.22% 26.06% 37.73%-0.02 +0.0 8
2018-05-13 @ Hibernian D 5-584.1 1695 1668 37.73% 26.06% 36.22%+0.02 -0.0 8

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2018-02-03 8.92% @ Kilmarnock 1504 1 Celtic 1851 0
2 2017-12-17 9.64% @ Heart of Midlothian 1552 4 Celtic 1881 0
3 2017-11-24 12.84% @ Dundee 1397 2 Rangers 1662 1
4 2017-11-18 13.33% Hamilton Academical 1480 2 @ Rangers 1693 0
5 2017-11-18 15.42% Motherwell 1523 2 @ Aberdeen 1704 0
6 2017-12-16 15.56% St. Johnstone 1519 3 @ Rangers 1698 1
7 2018-05-13 15.85% Aberdeen 1686 1 @ Celtic 1861 0
8 2017-09-16 16.18% @ Dundee 1407 3 St. Johnstone 1620 2
9 2018-03-17 17.43% Kilmarnock 1563 1 @ Rangers 1717 0
10 2018-04-21 18.06% @ Hibernian 1654 2 Celtic 1843 1
11 2017-12-23 19.39% @ Kilmarnock 1499 2 Rangers 1672 1
12 2018-02-03 21.68% Hibernian 1589 2 @ Rangers 1694 1
13 2017-11-05 21.86% Kilmarnock 1442 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1545 1
14 2017-12-30 22.23% Dundee 1445 2 @ St. Johnstone 1544 0
15 2017-09-30 22.40% @ Dundee 1422 2 Heart of Midlothian 1563 1
16 2017-12-02 22.53% Kilmarnock 1447 2 @ St. Johnstone 1543 1
17 2018-01-27 23.06% Partick Thistle 1427 3 @ St. Johnstone 1518 1
18 2017-12-02 23.39% Dundee 1413 2 @ Ross County 1501 0
19 2017-12-13 24.24% @ Partick Thistle 1417 3 Motherwell 1539 2
20 2017-08-12 24.99% Hibernian 1559 3 @ Rangers 1632 2
21 2017-08-19 25.14% Hamilton Academical 1500 3 @ Hibernian 1571 1
22 2017-11-18 25.27% St. Johnstone 1530 2 @ Hibernian 1601 1
23 2017-12-23 25.72% @ Partick Thistle 1398 1 Hamilton Academical 1507 0
24 2018-02-03 25.82% Ross County 1410 4 @ Dundee 1475 1
25 2017-10-28 26.03% @ Partick Thistle 1449 1 St. Johnstone 1555 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-12-17 64.21 @ Heart of Midlothian 4 1552 9.64% Celtic 0 1881 70.61% 19.75%
2 2018-03-10 36.99 St. Johnstone 4 1466 37.75% @ Dundee 0 1439 36.20% 26.06%
3 2018-05-05 33.93 St. Johnstone 5 1485 32.91% @ Motherwell 1 1493 41.10% 25.99%
4 2018-04-03 33.91 @ Ross County 4 1416 41.77% Partick Thistle 0 1404 32.26% 25.97%
5 2017-11-18 31.47 Hamilton Academical 2 1480 13.33% @ Rangers 0 1693 64.57% 22.10%
6 2017-11-18 30.20 Motherwell 2 1523 15.42% @ Aberdeen 0 1704 61.54% 23.03%
7 2018-02-03 30.18 Ross County 4 1410 25.82% @ Dundee 1 1475 48.72% 25.47%
8 2017-11-29 30.04 @ Rangers 3 1646 34.79% Aberdeen 0 1683 39.17% 26.04%
9 2018-04-29 29.41 @ Celtic 5 1829 54.25% Rangers 0 1717 21.05% 24.69%
10 2017-12-09 28.04 @ Kilmarnock 5 1460 42.11% Partick Thistle 1 1445 31.94% 25.95%
11 2017-12-16 27.68 @ Dundee 3 1420 38.85% Partick Thistle 0 1429 35.11% 26.04%
12 2017-12-30 26.42 Dundee 2 1445 22.23% @ St. Johnstone 0 1544 52.85% 24.93%
13 2017-10-13 26.11 Rangers 3 1646 41.52% @ St. Johnstone 0 1592 32.50% 25.97%
14 2017-12-16 26.08 St. Johnstone 3 1519 15.56% @ Rangers 1 1698 61.35% 23.09%
15 2017-09-30 25.89 @ Motherwell 3 1501 41.88% Partick Thistle 0 1487 32.16% 25.96%
16 2017-12-02 25.82 Dundee 2 1413 23.39% @ Ross County 0 1501 51.48% 25.13%
17 2018-05-12 24.46 @ Motherwell 3 1468 44.28% Hamilton Academical 0 1437 29.88% 25.84%
18 2017-08-12 24.37 @ Hamilton Academical 3 1475 44.42% Dundee 0 1443 29.75% 25.83%
19 2018-02-17 23.15 @ Hibernian 2 1603 29.04% Aberdeen 0 1683 45.18% 25.78%
20 2017-08-19 22.85 @ Motherwell 2 1454 29.70% Ross County 0 1529 44.47% 25.83%
21 2017-10-14 22.61 Kilmarnock 2 1433 30.25% @ Partick Thistle 0 1462 43.89% 25.86%
22 2018-01-27 22.51 Partick Thistle 3 1427 23.06% @ St. Johnstone 1 1518 51.86% 25.07%
23 2018-04-07 22.32 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1609 30.91% Aberdeen 0 1675 43.19% 25.90%
24 2018-01-24 22.08 Heart of Midlothian 3 1616 48.16% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1512 26.31% 25.52%
25 2017-12-13 21.75 Aberdeen 3 1648 48.69% @ St. Johnstone 0 1540 25.84% 25.47%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-05-13 84.1 @ Hibernian 5 1668 36.22% Rangers 5 1695 37.73% 26.06%
2 2017-09-30 80.8 @ Celtic 2 1848 70.94% Hibernian 2 1558 9.46% 19.60%
3 2017-12-10 80.7 @ Hibernian 2 1594 11.67% Celtic 2 1881 67.17% 21.16%
4 2018-03-31 76.8 @ Motherwell 2 1495 16.70% Rangers 2 1701 59.79% 23.51%
5 2017-11-04 76.7 @ Hamilton Academical 2 1477 15.06% Aberdeen 2 1707 62.06% 22.89%
6 2018-02-24 75.4 @ Kilmarnock 2 1540 28.40% Hibernian 2 1626 45.87% 25.73%
7 2017-10-28 75.0 @ Celtic 1 1867 78.94% Kilmarnock 1 1459 5.56% 15.50%
8 2017-09-15 74.6 @ Partick Thistle 2 1485 20.88% Rangers 2 1641 54.46% 24.66%
9 2017-11-29 74.5 @ Motherwell 1 1554 9.90% Celtic 1 1876 70.15% 19.95%
10 2017-08-26 73.8 @ Celtic 1 1824 63.81% St. Johnstone 1 1619 13.84% 22.35%
11 2018-04-21 72.8 @ Hibernian 2 1654 18.06% Celtic 1 1843 58.00% 23.94%
12 2017-08-12 72.7 Hibernian 3 1559 24.99% @ Rangers 2 1632 49.65% 25.36%
13 2018-05-08 72.3 @ Aberdeen 1 1686 38.86% Rangers 1 1694 35.10% 26.04%
14 2017-09-16 71.9 @ Hibernian 2 1549 45.86% Motherwell 2 1506 28.41% 25.73%
15 2017-09-16 70.2 @ Dundee 3 1407 16.18% St. Johnstone 2 1620 60.49% 23.32%
16 2018-02-03 70.1 Hibernian 2 1589 21.68% @ Rangers 1 1694 53.49% 24.82%
17 2017-09-16 69.8 @ Aberdeen 1 1693 67.13% Kilmarnock 1 1450 11.69% 21.18%
18 2018-05-09 69.7 @ Celtic 0 1865 71.45% Kilmarnock 0 1568 9.18% 19.37%
19 2017-08-26 69.4 @ Kilmarnock 2 1468 32.49% Hamilton Academical 2 1521 41.53% 25.97%
20 2017-09-09 69.3 @ St. Johnstone 1 1622 49.84% Hibernian 1 1548 24.82% 25.34%
21 2018-02-18 69.2 @ Celtic 0 1832 75.99% St. Johnstone 0 1471 6.88% 17.13%
22 2018-04-04 69.2 @ Celtic 0 1846 81.08% Dundee 0 1401 4.68% 14.23%
23 2017-10-25 69.1 @ Rangers 1 1672 64.79% Kilmarnock 1 1456 13.19% 22.02%
24 2018-03-18 69.1 @ Motherwell 0 1491 8.56% Celtic 0 1846 72.62% 18.83%
25 2018-02-27 69.0 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1617 50.09% Kilmarnock 1 1541 24.60% 25.31%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-04-03 38.4 @ Ross County 4 1416 41.77% Partick Thistle 0 1404 32.26% 25.97%
2 2018-04-07 39.2 @ Rangers 4 1699 71.15% Dundee 0 1406 9.34% 19.51%
3 2018-03-17 39.4 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1598 60.65% Partick Thistle 0 1426 16.07% 23.28%
4 2017-12-16 40.0 @ Dundee 3 1420 38.85% Partick Thistle 0 1429 35.11% 26.04%
5 2018-05-12 40.0 @ Motherwell 3 1468 44.28% Hamilton Academical 0 1437 29.88% 25.84%
6 2018-03-31 40.4 @ Celtic 3 1842 79.72% Ross County 0 1421 5.23% 15.04%
7 2017-08-12 40.5 @ Hamilton Academical 3 1475 44.42% Dundee 0 1443 29.75% 25.83%
8 2018-03-31 40.8 @ Hibernian 2 1641 66.02% Partick Thistle 0 1411 12.39% 21.59%
9 2017-12-12 41.6 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1539 53.64% Dundee 0 1433 21.57% 24.80%
10 2017-12-20 41.6 @ Celtic 2 1817 79.41% Partick Thistle 0 1401 5.36% 15.22%
11 2018-01-24 41.8 @ Motherwell 2 1485 46.63% Ross County 0 1436 27.70% 25.67%
12 2018-03-10 42.0 St. Johnstone 4 1466 37.75% @ Dundee 0 1439 36.20% 26.06%
13 2017-11-04 42.1 @ Rangers 3 1682 65.14% Partick Thistle 0 1462 12.96% 21.90%
14 2018-02-24 42.3 @ St. Johnstone 2 1476 44.63% Ross County 0 1442 29.55% 25.82%
15 2018-04-07 42.7 Kilmarnock 1 1592 61.33% @ Partick Thistle 0 1370 15.57% 23.09%
16 2017-09-16 42.9 @ Celtic 4 1829 74.25% Ross County 0 1493 7.72% 18.03%
17 2018-02-03 43.1 @ Aberdeen 3 1670 62.50% Hamilton Academical 0 1479 14.74% 22.75%
18 2017-10-31 43.5 Hibernian 3 1575 49.08% @ Kilmarnock 0 1464 25.50% 25.43%
19 2018-04-28 43.5 @ Hamilton Academical 2 1437 37.71% Ross County 0 1453 36.23% 26.06%
20 2018-05-08 43.5 Motherwell 1 1459 45.09% @ Partick Thistle 0 1379 29.12% 25.79%
21 2017-09-30 43.8 @ Motherwell 3 1501 41.88% Partick Thistle 0 1487 32.16% 25.96%
22 2017-12-26 44.1 Celtic 2 1837 74.86% @ Dundee 0 1449 7.42% 17.72%
23 2017-12-30 44.1 @ Partick Thistle 2 1408 33.03% Ross County 0 1457 40.98% 25.99%
24 2018-03-17 44.1 @ Aberdeen 1 1645 67.13% Dundee 0 1402 11.69% 21.18%
25 2017-09-09 44.2 @ Motherwell 2 1489 42.88% Kilmarnock 0 1468 31.20% 25.92%