2018-19 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

87 points · 50th Title

Last Title: 2017-18

Relegated

Dundee

21 pts

Biggest Overachiever

St. Mirren

5.05 points above expected

32 points · 26.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Livingston

6.41 points below expected

44 points · 50.41 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	24	5	4	77	71	17	+54	71.80	+5.20
2	Rangers	33	19	9	5	66	73	24	+49	61.39	+4.61
3	Kilmarnock	33	16	10	7	58	46	28	+18	52.95	+5.05
4	Aberdeen	33	17	7	9	58	52	37	+15	56.33	+1.67
5	Hibernian	33	14	10	9	52	49	34	+15	55.32	-3.32
6	Heart of Midlothian	33	15	5	13	50	38	41	-3	49.86	+0.14
7	St. Johnstone	33	13	5	15	44	32	44	-12	43.12	+0.88
8	Motherwell	33	13	4	16	43	37	47	-10	38.90	+4.10
9	Livingston	33	11	9	13	42	35	33	+2	38.70	+3.30
10	Hamilton Academical	33	7	4	22	25	21	69	-48	27.08	-2.08
11	St. Mirren	33	5	6	22	21	24	61	-37	31.27	-10.27
12	Dundee	33	4	6	23	18	25	68	-43	27.64	-9.64

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	38	27	6	5	87	77	20	+57	87.18	-0.18
2	Rangers	38	23	9	6	78	82	27	+55	74.59	+3.41
3	Kilmarnock	38	19	10	9	67	50	31	+19	64.13	+2.87
4	Aberdeen	38	20	7	11	67	57	44	+13	64.28	+2.72
5	Hibernian	38	14	12	12	54	51	39	+12	58.33	-4.33
6	Heart of Midlothian	38	15	6	17	51	42	50	-8	54.40	-3.40
7	St. Johnstone	38	15	7	16	52	38	48	-10	52.27	-0.27
8	Motherwell	38	15	6	17	51	46	56	-10	51.75	-0.75
9	Livingston	38	11	11	16	44	42	44	-2	50.41	-6.41
10	Hamilton Academical	38	9	6	23	33	28	75	-47	30.26	+2.74
11	St. Mirren	38	8	8	22	32	34	66	-32	26.95	+5.05
12	Dundee Relegated	38	5	6	27	21	31	78	-47	23.19	-2.19

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	St. Mirren	32	26.95	+5.05
2	Rangers	78	74.59	+3.41
3	Kilmarnock	67	64.13	+2.87
4	Hamilton Academical	33	30.26	+2.74
5	Aberdeen	67	64.28	+2.72

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Livingston	44	50.41	-6.41
2	Hibernian	54	58.33	-4.33
3	Heart of Midlothian	51	54.40	-3.40
4	Dundee	21	23.19	-2.19
5	Motherwell	51	51.75	-0.75

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	6	Dec 29 – Feb 17	1 in 221
2	St. Johnstone	5	Oct 20 – Nov 10	1 in 144
3	Heart of Midlothian	5	Aug 4 – Sep 15	1 in 78
4	Rangers	6	Apr 3 – May 12	1 in 37
5	Livingston	3	Aug 25 – Sep 15	1 in 29

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dundee	10	Feb 22 – May 4	1 in 182
2	St. Mirren	7	Sep 22 – Nov 3	1 in 94
3	Heart of Midlothian	4	Nov 3 – Dec 2	1 in 49
4	St. Johnstone	4	Jan 26 – Feb 6	1 in 22
5	Livingston	4	Dec 29 – Feb 2	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Livingston	8	Aug 11 – Oct 20	1 in 168
2	St. Johnstone	8	Oct 20 – Dec 8	1 in 93
3	Hibernian	10	Feb 16 – Apr 28	1 in 45
4	St. Mirren	6	Apr 6 – May 18	1 in 39
5	Dundee	4	Nov 10 – Dec 9	1 in 30

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hibernian	7	Oct 20 – Dec 5	1 in 139
2	Kilmarnock	6	Jan 26 – Mar 2	1 in 52
3	St. Mirren	12	Aug 12 – Nov 10	1 in 51
4	Livingston	8	Dec 22 – Feb 16	1 in 35
5	Aberdeen	4	Feb 27 – Mar 30	1 in 23

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	1886	87	+0	10	10.0	+0.0
Rangers	1829	78	+23	12	8.9	+3.1
Kilmarnock	1705	67	+10	9	6.2	+2.8
Aberdeen	1702	67	+0	9	6.1	+2.9
Hibernian	1691	54	-16	2	6.5	-4.5
St. Johnstone	1564	52	+1	8	8.6	-0.6
Motherwell	1578	51	-6	8	8.9	-0.9
Heart of Midlothian	1594	51	-16	1	4.2	-3.2
Livingston	1539	44	-29	2	8.0	-6.0
Hamilton Academical	1446	33	+15	8	5.3	+2.7
St. Mirren	1493	32	+31	11	6.1	+4.9
Dundee	1417	21	-12	3	5.0	-2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DUN	HA	HOM	HIB	KIL	LIV	MOT	RAN	SJ	SM
Aberdeen	—	0-1-3 3.30	3-0-0 6.45	2-0-1 6.83	2-0-2 6.66	3-1-0 5.41	2-1-1 6.16	2-1-0 5.69	2-0-1 5.87	1-1-2 4.72	1-1-1 5.25	2-1-0 6.52
Celtic	3-1-0 7.91	—	3-0-0 7.54	3-0-0 7.49	3-0-1 8.55	2-1-1 8.00	3-0-1 8.20	1-2-0 7.15	2-1-0 7.09	2-0-2 7.02	3-0-0 6.55	2-1-0 7.28
Dundee	0-0-3 1.99	0-0-3 1.06	—	2-1-1 5.26	1-0-2 2.33	0-1-2 2.02	0-1-2 2.19	2-1-1 3.52	0-0-4 4.05	0-1-2 1.52	0-0-4 3.44	0-1-3 4.88
Hamilton Academical	1-0-2 1.66	0-0-3 1.10	1-1-2 5.88	—	1-0-2 2.61	0-0-3 1.88	0-2-1 1.92	1-1-2 4.13	1-1-2 3.92	0-0-3 1.62	2-0-2 3.97	2-1-1 5.01
Heart of Midlothian	2-0-2 4.49	1-0-3 2.72	2-0-1 6.09	2-0-1 5.78	—	1-2-1 4.44	2-0-2 5.15	0-2-1 5.47	2-0-1 5.04	0-0-4 3.72	2-1-0 4.84	1-1-1 6.09
Hibernian	0-1-3 5.72	1-1-2 3.20	2-1-0 6.42	3-0-0 6.58	1-2-1 6.71	—	1-1-2 5.97	1-1-1 5.57	2-0-1 5.72	0-3-1 4.28	1-1-1 5.35	2-1-0 6.15
Kilmarnock	1-1-2 4.99	1-0-3 3.03	2-1-0 6.24	1-2-0 6.54	2-0-2 5.99	2-1-1 5.16	—	1-1-1 5.44	2-1-0 5.60	2-2-0 4.02	2-1-0 5.18	3-0-0 6.06
Livingston	0-1-2 2.70	0-2-1 1.38	1-1-2 7.66	2-1-1 7.02	1-2-0 2.91	1-1-1 2.81	1-1-1 2.94	—	1-1-2 5.19	1-0-2 2.41	1-1-2 5.24	2-0-2 6.50
Motherwell	1-0-2 2.52	0-1-2 1.43	4-0-0 7.12	2-1-1 7.25	1-0-2 3.32	1-0-2 2.67	0-1-2 2.77	2-1-1 5.94	—	0-1-2 2.36	2-0-2 5.34	2-1-1 6.90
Rangers	2-1-1 6.43	2-0-2 4.14	2-1-0 6.99	3-0-0 6.88	4-0-0 7.46	1-3-0 6.87	0-2-2 7.14	2-0-1 6.00	2-1-0 6.05	—	2-1-0 5.98	3-0-0 6.62
St. Johnstone	1-1-1 3.11	0-0-3 1.91	4-0-0 7.75	2-0-2 7.20	0-1-2 3.52	1-1-1 3.02	0-1-2 3.19	2-1-1 5.90	2-0-2 5.80	0-1-2 2.42	—	3-1-0 7.10
St. Mirren	0-1-2 1.94	0-1-2 1.28	3-1-0 6.26	1-1-2 6.12	1-1-1 2.32	0-1-2 2.27	0-0-3 2.35	2-0-2 4.66	1-1-2 4.26	0-0-3 1.85	0-1-3 4.06	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.84	+10.5
Allowed	0.88	-10.0
Differential	0.93	+5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.02%	10.31%	7.68%	4.39%	1.54%	1.54%	32.46%
1	10.31%	10.53%	7.68%	2.63%	1.10%	0.88%	33.11%
2	7.68%	7.68%	2.19%	0.88%	0.66%	—	19.08%
3	4.39%	2.63%	0.88%	0.88%	0.44%	—	9.21%
4	1.54%	1.10%	0.66%	0.44%	—	—	3.73%
5+	1.54%	0.88%	—	—	—	—	2.41%
Total	32.46%	33.11%	19.08%	9.21%	3.73%	2.41%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.27	+0.00
SD	1.27	1.27	2.00
CV	1.00	1.00	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	2.63%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	23.68%
1	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	28.95%
2	7.89%	15.79%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	28.95%
3	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	13.16%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	31.58%	36.84%	21.05%	5.26%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.16	+0.34
SD	1.22	1.10	1.71
CV	0.82	0.95	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	23.68%
1	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	21.05%
2	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	18.42%
3	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	15.79%
4	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
5+	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
Total	63.16%	23.68%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.03	0.53	+1.50
SD	1.72	0.80	1.89
CV	0.85	1.51	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	18.42%	10.53%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	50.00%
1	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	26.32%
2	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	18.42%
3	—	—	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	31.58%	23.68%	15.79%	13.16%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.82	2.05	-1.24
SD	1.01	1.39	1.81
CV	1.24	0.68	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	10.53%	13.16%	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	50.00%
1	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	34.21%
2	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	28.95%	18.42%	15.79%	10.53%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.74	1.97	-1.24
SD	0.92	1.60	2.17
CV	1.25	0.81	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	5.26%	28.95%
1	15.79%	5.26%	18.42%	5.26%	—	—	44.74%
2	5.26%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	28.95%	26.32%	7.89%	—	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.32	-0.21
SD	1.03	1.30	1.86
CV	0.94	0.99	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
1	5.26%	15.79%	7.89%	—	—	—	28.95%
2	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	31.58%	42.11%	21.05%	2.63%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.03	+0.32
SD	1.34	0.94	1.66
CV	1.00	0.92	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	13.16%	—	—	—	—	26.32%
1	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	2.63%	31.58%
2	10.53%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
3	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	42.11%	44.74%	7.89%	2.63%	—	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	0.82	+0.50
SD	1.12	1.01	1.50
CV	0.85	1.24	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.79%	13.16%	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	39.47%
1	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	31.58%
2	7.89%	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	—	15.79%
3	—	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	36.84%	31.58%	10.53%	21.05%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.16	-0.05
SD	1.25	1.15	1.75
CV	1.13	0.99	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	18.42%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	36.84%
1	7.89%	10.53%	—	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	28.95%
2	2.63%	10.53%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
3	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
4	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	42.11%	10.53%	18.42%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.47	-0.26
SD	1.21	1.45	2.01
CV	1.00	0.98	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
1	7.89%	15.79%	7.89%	—	—	—	31.58%
2	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	15.79%
3	10.53%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
4	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
5+	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	44.74%	42.11%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.16	0.71	+1.45
SD	1.65	0.77	1.87
CV	0.77	1.08	—
Max	7	3	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	—	18.42%	2.63%	—	2.63%	28.95%
1	18.42%	10.53%	13.16%	2.63%	—	2.63%	47.37%
2	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.11%	13.16%	34.21%	5.26%	—	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.26	-0.26
SD	0.87	1.43	1.97
CV	0.87	1.13	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	10.53%	15.79%	2.63%	5.26%	—	36.84%
1	5.26%	13.16%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	42.11%
2	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	15.79%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	31.58%	34.21%	10.53%	10.53%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	1.74	-0.84
SD	0.86	1.16	1.59
CV	0.96	0.67	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1886	87	71.80	+15.20	77.0%	56	60	68	71	76	82	87
Rangers	1829	78	61.39	+16.61	78.0%	46	49	57	62	66	72	83
Kilmarnock	1705	67	52.95	+14.05	72.0%	34	39	48	53	59	66	74
Aberdeen	1702	67	56.33	+10.67	65.0%	39	44	52	56	62	69	73
Hibernian	1691	54	55.32	-1.32	34.0%	31	43	51	56	60	68	74
Heart of Midlothian	1594	51	49.86	+1.14	50.0%	29	38	44	50	55	64	71
Motherwell	1578	51	38.90	+12.10	77.0%	23	26	34	39	43	50	58
St. Johnstone	1564	52	43.12	+8.88	53.0%	26	30	38	44	48	53	59
Livingston	1539	44	38.70	+5.30	69.0%	16	24	34	38	43	50	61
St. Mirren	1493	32	31.27	+0.73	9.0%	14	19	26	31	36	44	54
Hamilton Academical	1446	33	27.08	+5.92	41.0%	10	17	23	27	31	37	42
Dundee	1417	21	27.64	-6.64	6.0%	13	17	23	28	32	38	43

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+11.84%

No Edge

45.61%20.61%33.77%

Elo Value

Home Edge

149 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

041.34400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.40 goals

Neutral

-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.6

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

77%

Celtic, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.24/gm

Comfortable

00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.78 * Some Luck: 5.78 to 8.68 * Lucky: 8.68 to 11.57 * Wild Swing: 11.57 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.98 * Close: 0.98 to 1.47 * Off: 1.47 to 1.96 * Way Off: 1.96 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.58 * A Surprise: 0.58 to 0.93 * Several Surprises: 0.93 to 1.28 * Many Surprises: 1.28 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.15 points

As Expected

07.2318

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.67

Pinpoint

01.232.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

78.00%

Rangers

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

6.00%

Dundee

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 1

Several Surprises

00.61

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 144.51

2.33

Strong Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

72%

Clear Edge

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

93%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

59%

Frequent

0%55%100%

Blowouts

Expected

19%

Occasional

0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.55

Highly Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.41

Slight Separation

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.55

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.92

Near-Lock

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.37

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.25

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.053

Well Within Noise

00.1110.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	77.00%	19.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	12.00%	40.00%	19.00%	11.00%	12.00%	6.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Kilmarnock	4.00%	10.00%	15.00%	16.00%	26.00%	8.00%	10.00%	8.00%	3.00%	—	—	—
Aberdeen	2.00%	16.00%	28.00%	21.00%	19.00%	9.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	5.00%	10.00%	21.00%	25.00%	15.00%	12.00%	7.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	3.00%	12.00%	15.00%	12.00%	27.00%	14.00%	9.00%	7.00%	1.00%	—	—
St. Johnstone	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	9.00%	19.00%	28.00%	19.00%	12.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Motherwell	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	9.00%	18.00%	25.00%	20.00%	16.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Livingston	—	2.00%	—	3.00%	5.00%	8.00%	14.00%	21.00%	27.00%	8.00%	10.00%	2.00%
Hamilton Academical	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	10.00%	20.00%	29.00%	38.00%
St. Mirren	—	—	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	16.00%	28.00%	25.00%	20.00%
Dundee	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	4.00%	22.00%	31.00%	36.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	99.91%	0.09%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	0.09%	97.73%	2.09%	0.09%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Kilmarnock	—	1.09%	50.04%	40.84%	7.68%	0.35%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	—	1.09%	44.90%	45.97%	7.65%	0.39%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	—	—	2.74%	11.53%	68.27%	17.46%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	0.23%	1.57%	16.40%	81.80%	—	—	—	—	—	—
St. Johnstone	—	—	—	—	—	—	46.39%	32.18%	21.43%	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	—	—	—	—	—	35.35%	36.75%	27.90%	—	—	—
Livingston	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.26%	31.07%	50.67%	—	—	—
Hamilton Academical	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	75.82%	21.82%	2.36%
St. Mirren	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.91%	61.68%	17.41%
Dundee	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.27%	16.50%	80.23%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—	—
Hibernian	100%	—	—
Kilmarnock	100%	—	—
Motherwell	93.00%	7.00%	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
St. Johnstone	98.00%	2.00%	—
Livingston	91.00%	6.00%	3.00%
St. Mirren	58.00%	18.00%	24.00%
Dundee	34.00%	35.00%	31.00%
Hamilton Academical	26.00%	32.00%	42.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—	—
Hibernian	100%	—	—
Kilmarnock	100%	—	—
Livingston	100%	—	—
Motherwell	100%	—	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
St. Johnstone	100%	—	—
Hamilton Academical	75.82%	21.82%	2.36%
St. Mirren	20.91%	61.68%	17.41%
Dundee	3.27%	16.50%	80.23%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2018-08-04	Dundee	W 2-1	56.4	1560	1506	52.09%	21.17%	26.75%	+0.64	+4.4	3
2018-08-04	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	56.4	1506	1560	26.75%	21.17%	52.09%	-0.64	-4.4	0
2018-08-04	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	54.3	1515	1640	28.05%	21.32%	50.63%	-0.57	-11.3	0
2018-08-04	@ Hamilton Academical	W 4-1	54.3	1640	1515	50.63%	21.32%	28.05%	+0.57	+11.3	3
2018-08-04	Livingston	W 3-1	52.8	1821	1522	76.00%	14.87%	9.13%	+2.29	+2.6	3
2018-08-04	@ Celtic	L 1-3	52.8	1522	1821	9.13%	14.87%	76.00%	-2.29	-2.6	0
2018-08-04	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	52.5	1627	1587	50.28%	21.35%	28.37%	+0.55	+9.3	3
2018-08-04	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	52.5	1587	1627	28.37%	21.35%	50.28%	-0.55	-9.3	0
2018-08-05	Motherwell	W 3-0	48.5	1687	1564	60.10%	19.91%	20.00%	+1.10	+9.8	3
2018-08-05	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	48.5	1564	1687	20.00%	19.91%	60.10%	-1.10	-9.8	0
2018-08-05	Rangers	D 1-1	73.9	1711	1706	45.48%	21.70%	32.82%	+0.31	-0.4	1
2018-08-05	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.9	1706	1711	32.82%	21.70%	45.48%	-0.31	+0.4	1
2018-08-11	Aberdeen	L 0-1	52.1	1501	1710	19.67%	19.82%	60.51%	-1.13	-3.5	0
2018-08-11	@ Dundee	W 1-0	52.1	1710	1501	60.51%	19.82%	19.67%	+1.13	+3.5	4
2018-08-11	Celtic	W 1-0	66.2	1652	1824	23.02%	20.58%	56.40%	-0.88	+8.7	6
2018-08-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	66.2	1824	1652	56.40%	20.58%	23.02%	+0.88	-8.7	3
2018-08-11	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	57.7	1555	1503	51.69%	21.21%	27.10%	+0.62	-8.1	0
2018-08-11	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	57.7	1503	1555	27.10%	21.21%	51.69%	-0.62	+8.1	3
2018-08-11	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	65.1	1520	1636	29.13%	21.43%	49.44%	-0.51	+0.8	1
2018-08-11	@ Livingston	D 0-0	65.1	1636	1520	49.44%	21.43%	29.13%	+0.51	-0.8	4
2018-08-12	Hibernian	D 1-1	72.6	1577	1697	28.78%	21.40%	49.83%	-0.53	+0.7	1
2018-08-12	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	72.6	1697	1577	49.83%	21.40%	28.78%	+0.53	-0.7	4
2018-08-12	St. Mirren	W 2-0	50.0	1707	1564	62.23%	19.44%	18.33%	+1.24	+6.2	4
2018-08-12	@ Rangers	L 0-2	50.0	1564	1707	18.33%	19.44%	62.23%	-1.24	-6.2	3
2018-08-25	Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.8	1696	1714	42.45%	21.82%	35.73%	+0.16	-0.2	5
2018-08-25	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	73.8	1714	1696	35.73%	21.82%	42.45%	-0.16	+0.2	5
2018-08-25	Dundee	W 1-0	49.9	1578	1498	55.29%	20.75%	23.96%	+0.82	+4.2	4
2018-08-25	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	49.9	1498	1578	23.96%	20.75%	55.29%	-0.82	-4.2	0
2018-08-25	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	60.7	1635	1660	41.42%	21.84%	36.74%	+0.11	-6.7	4
2018-08-25	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	60.7	1660	1635	36.74%	21.84%	41.42%	-0.11	+6.7	9
2018-08-25	Livingston	L 0-2	55.2	1558	1521	49.94%	21.38%	28.67%	+0.53	-14.8	3
2018-08-25	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	55.2	1521	1558	28.67%	21.38%	49.94%	-0.53	+14.8	4
2018-08-26	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	49.2	1815	1511	76.34%	14.72%	8.93%	+2.32	+1.5	6
2018-08-26	@ Celtic	L 0-1	49.2	1511	1815	8.93%	14.72%	76.34%	-2.32	-1.5	3
2018-08-26	Rangers	D 3-3	82.2	1547	1713	23.62%	20.69%	55.69%	-0.84	+0.7	1
2018-08-26	@ Motherwell	D 3-3	82.2	1713	1547	55.69%	20.69%	23.62%	+0.84	-0.7	5
2018-09-01	Hibernian	W 2-1	69.4	1535	1696	24.23%	20.80%	54.97%	-0.80	+8.0	7
2018-09-01	@ Livingston	L 1-2	69.4	1696	1535	54.97%	20.80%	24.23%	+0.80	-8.0	5
2018-09-01	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	62.5	1714	1629	55.85%	20.67%	23.48%	+0.85	-16.3	5
2018-09-01	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	62.5	1629	1714	23.48%	20.67%	55.85%	-0.85	+16.3	7
2018-09-01	Motherwell	L 1-3	56.2	1493	1547	37.29%	21.85%	40.86%	-0.08	-10.1	0
2018-09-01	@ Dundee	W 3-1	56.2	1547	1493	40.86%	21.85%	37.29%	+0.08	+10.1	4
2018-09-01	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	59.9	1510	1582	34.73%	21.79%	43.49%	-0.21	-5.5	3
2018-09-01	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	59.9	1582	1510	43.49%	21.79%	34.73%	+0.21	+5.5	7
2018-09-01	St. Mirren	W 4-1	52.8	1667	1543	60.22%	19.88%	19.90%	+1.11	+8.3	12
2018-09-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	52.8	1543	1667	19.90%	19.88%	60.22%	-1.11	-8.3	3
2018-09-02	Rangers	W 1-0	55.9	1817	1712	58.10%	20.29%	21.61%	+0.98	+3.9	9
2018-09-02	@ Celtic	L 0-1	55.9	1712	1817	21.61%	20.29%	58.10%	-0.98	-3.9	5
2018-09-14	Celtic	D 0-0	69.6	1535	1821	14.05%	17.82%	68.13%	-1.65	+2.2	4
2018-09-14	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	69.6	1821	1535	68.13%	17.82%	14.05%	+1.65	-2.2	10
2018-09-15	Aberdeen	D 1-1	72.7	1588	1698	29.94%	21.50%	48.55%	-0.46	+0.6	8
2018-09-15	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	72.7	1698	1588	48.55%	21.50%	29.94%	+0.46	-0.6	6
2018-09-15	Dundee	W 4-0	43.7	1708	1483	70.10%	17.17%	12.73%	+1.79	+8.1	8
2018-09-15	@ Rangers	L 0-4	43.7	1483	1708	12.73%	17.17%	70.10%	-1.79	-8.1	0
2018-09-15	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	50.4	1543	1504	50.12%	21.37%	28.51%	+0.54	+4.9	10
2018-09-15	@ Livingston	L 0-1	50.4	1504	1543	28.51%	21.37%	50.12%	-0.54	-5.0	3
2018-09-15	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	55.8	1557	1675	28.95%	21.41%	49.64%	-0.52	-5.0	4
2018-09-15	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	55.8	1675	1557	49.64%	21.41%	28.95%	+0.52	+5.0	15
2018-09-15	Kilmarnock	W 3-2	68.0	1688	1645	50.61%	21.32%	28.06%	+0.57	+4.4	8
2018-09-15	@ Hibernian	L 2-3	68.0	1645	1688	28.06%	21.32%	50.61%	-0.57	-4.4	7
2018-09-22	Hibernian	L 0-3	46.3	1475	1692	18.99%	19.64%	61.37%	-1.18	-9.4	0
2018-09-22	@ Dundee	W 3-0	46.3	1692	1475	61.37%	19.64%	18.99%	+1.18	+9.4	11
2018-09-22	Livingston	D 0-0	67.3	1680	1548	61.12%	19.69%	19.19%	+1.17	-1.7	16
2018-09-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	67.3	1548	1680	19.19%	19.69%	61.12%	-1.17	+1.7	11
2018-09-22	Motherwell	W 1-0	52.3	1697	1552	62.45%	19.39%	18.16%	+1.25	+3.3	9
2018-09-22	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	52.3	1552	1697	18.16%	19.39%	62.45%	-1.25	-3.3	4
2018-09-22	St. Mirren	W 3-0	48.7	1499	1537	39.57%	21.86%	38.57%	+0.02	+17.4	6
2018-09-22	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-3	48.7	1537	1499	38.57%	21.86%	39.57%	-0.02	-17.4	4
2018-09-23	Celtic	W 2-1	72.3	1641	1818	22.50%	20.48%	57.03%	-0.92	+8.3	10
2018-09-23	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	72.3	1818	1641	57.03%	20.48%	22.50%	+0.92	-8.3	10
2018-09-23	St. Johnstone	W 5-1	52.2	1717	1589	60.70%	19.78%	19.52%	+1.14	+10.5	11
2018-09-23	@ Rangers	L 1-5	52.2	1589	1717	19.52%	19.78%	60.70%	-1.14	-10.5	8
2018-09-29	Aberdeen	W 1-0	55.6	1810	1700	58.71%	20.18%	21.11%	+1.02	+3.8	13
2018-09-29	@ Celtic	L 0-1	55.6	1700	1810	21.11%	20.18%	58.71%	-1.02	-3.8	9
2018-09-29	Dundee	L 0-2	52.2	1517	1466	51.67%	21.21%	27.12%	+0.62	-15.2	6
2018-09-29	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	52.2	1466	1517	27.12%	21.21%	51.67%	-0.62	+15.2	3
2018-09-29	Hibernian	L 0-1	53.2	1520	1702	22.14%	20.41%	57.45%	-0.94	-4.0	4
2018-09-29	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	53.2	1702	1520	57.45%	20.41%	22.14%	+0.94	+4.0	14
2018-09-29	Motherwell	W 3-1	56.0	1649	1549	57.57%	20.39%	22.05%	+0.95	+6.4	13
2018-09-29	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	56.0	1549	1649	22.05%	20.39%	57.57%	-0.95	-6.4	4
2018-09-29	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	59.8	1679	1578	57.64%	20.37%	21.99%	+0.96	+3.7	19
2018-09-29	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	59.8	1578	1679	21.99%	20.37%	57.64%	-0.96	-3.7	8
2018-09-30	Rangers	W 1-0	64.7	1550	1727	22.58%	20.49%	56.93%	-0.91	+8.8	14
2018-09-30	@ Livingston	L 0-1	64.7	1727	1550	56.93%	20.49%	22.58%	+0.91	-8.8	11
2018-10-06	Hamilton Academical	W 6-0	45.1	1705	1502	68.22%	17.79%	13.99%	+1.65	+13.2	17
2018-10-06	@ Hibernian	L 0-6	45.1	1502	1705	13.99%	17.79%	68.22%	-1.65	-13.2	6
2018-10-06	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	57.4	1481	1655	22.84%	20.55%	56.61%	-0.90	-3.8	3
2018-10-06	@ Dundee	W 2-1	57.4	1655	1481	56.61%	20.55%	22.84%	+0.90	+3.8	16
2018-10-06	Livingston	D 1-1	68.3	1543	1559	42.64%	21.81%	35.54%	+0.17	-0.2	5
2018-10-06	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	68.3	1559	1543	35.54%	21.81%	42.64%	-0.17	+0.2	15
2018-10-06	St. Mirren	W 4-1	51.1	1696	1516	66.03%	18.46%	15.52%	+1.49	+6.5	12
2018-10-06	@ Aberdeen	L 1-4	51.1	1516	1696	15.52%	18.46%	66.03%	-1.49	-6.5	4
2018-10-07	Celtic	L 0-6	48.9	1574	1814	17.21%	19.08%	63.72%	-1.34	-16.2	8
2018-10-07	@ St. Johnstone	W 6-0	48.9	1814	1574	63.72%	19.08%	17.21%	+1.34	+16.2	16
2018-10-07	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	61.1	1718	1682	49.74%	21.40%	28.86%	+0.52	+8.2	14
2018-10-07	@ Rangers	L 1-3	61.1	1682	1718	28.86%	21.40%	49.74%	-0.52	-8.2	19
2018-10-20	Aberdeen	W 2-1	66.3	1674	1703	40.87%	21.85%	37.28%	+0.08	+5.8	22
2018-10-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	66.3	1703	1674	37.28%	21.85%	40.87%	-0.08	-5.8	12
2018-10-20	Dundee	W 4-0	43.3	1559	1477	55.46%	20.73%	23.81%	+0.83	+15.1	18
2018-10-20	@ Livingston	L 0-4	43.3	1477	1559	23.81%	20.73%	55.46%	-0.83	-15.1	3
2018-10-20	Hibernian	W 4-2	62.7	1830	1719	58.89%	20.15%	20.96%	+1.03	+5.5	19
2018-10-20	@ Celtic	L 2-4	62.7	1719	1830	20.96%	20.15%	58.89%	-1.03	-5.5	17
2018-10-20	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	59.1	1510	1659	25.37%	20.98%	53.66%	-0.73	-4.2	4
2018-10-20	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	59.1	1659	1510	53.66%	20.98%	25.37%	+0.73	+4.2	19
2018-10-20	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	56.6	1542	1558	42.72%	21.81%	35.47%	+0.17	-6.9	5
2018-10-20	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	56.6	1558	1542	35.47%	21.81%	42.72%	-0.17	+6.9	11
2018-10-21	Rangers	L 1-4	51.9	1488	1726	17.33%	19.12%	63.55%	-1.32	-7.2	6
2018-10-21	@ Hamilton Academical	W 4-1	51.9	1726	1488	63.55%	19.12%	17.33%	+1.32	+7.2	17
2018-10-23	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	45.6	1462	1680	18.92%	19.62%	61.46%	-1.19	-9.3	3
2018-10-23	@ Dundee	W 3-0	45.6	1680	1462	61.46%	19.62%	18.92%	+1.19	+9.3	25
2018-10-27	Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	70.7	1663	1481	66.20%	18.41%	15.40%	+1.51	-1.9	20
2018-10-27	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	70.7	1481	1663	15.40%	18.41%	66.20%	-1.51	+1.9	7
2018-10-27	St. Mirren	W 2-0	47.7	1565	1505	52.75%	21.09%	26.16%	+0.68	+8.7	14
2018-10-27	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	47.7	1505	1565	26.16%	21.09%	52.75%	-0.68	-8.7	4
2018-10-31	Celtic	L 0-5	43.8	1453	1836	9.08%	14.84%	76.08%	-2.30	-6.9	3
2018-10-31	@ Dundee	W 5-0	43.8	1836	1453	76.08%	14.84%	9.08%	+2.30	+6.9	22
2018-10-31	Hamilton Academical	W 3-0	44.3	1697	1483	69.12%	17.50%	13.38%	+1.72	+6.6	15
2018-10-31	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	44.3	1483	1697	13.38%	17.50%	69.12%	-1.72	-6.6	7
2018-10-31	Hibernian	D 0-0	68.8	1689	1713	41.56%	21.84%	36.60%	+0.12	-0.2	26
2018-10-31	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	68.8	1713	1689	36.60%	21.84%	41.56%	-0.12	+0.2	18
2018-10-31	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	74.0	1734	1662	54.29%	20.89%	24.82%	+0.76	-1.0	18
2018-10-31	@ Rangers	D 1-1	74.0	1662	1734	24.82%	20.89%	54.29%	-0.76	+1.0	21
2018-10-31	Motherwell	L 0-2	50.6	1497	1535	39.43%	21.86%	38.71%	+0.02	-12.2	4
2018-10-31	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	50.6	1535	1497	38.71%	21.86%	39.43%	-0.02	+12.2	8
2018-10-31	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	58.7	1574	1574	44.98%	21.72%	33.29%	+0.28	-7.2	18
2018-10-31	@ Livingston	W 1-0	58.7	1574	1574	33.29%	21.72%	44.98%	-0.28	+7.2	17
2018-11-03	Dundee	W 1-0	46.1	1548	1446	57.79%	20.35%	21.86%	+0.96	+3.9	11
2018-11-03	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	46.1	1446	1548	21.86%	20.35%	57.79%	-0.96	-3.9	3
2018-11-03	Heart of Midlothian	W 5-0	49.3	1843	1689	63.38%	19.16%	17.46%	+1.31	+13.9	25
2018-11-03	@ Celtic	L 0-5	49.3	1689	1843	17.46%	19.16%	63.38%	-1.31	-13.9	26
2018-11-03	Livingston	W 1-0	55.6	1477	1567	32.35%	21.67%	45.98%	-0.33	+7.3	10
2018-11-03	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	55.6	1567	1477	45.98%	21.67%	32.35%	+0.33	-7.3	18
2018-11-03	Rangers	L 0-2	48.3	1484	1733	16.57%	18.86%	64.57%	-1.39	-5.6	4
2018-11-03	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	48.3	1733	1484	64.57%	18.86%	16.57%	+1.39	+5.6	21
2018-11-03	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	65.9	1713	1581	61.18%	19.68%	19.14%	+1.17	-9.4	18
2018-11-03	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	65.9	1581	1713	19.14%	19.68%	61.18%	-1.17	+9.4	20
2018-11-04	Aberdeen	L 1-2	66.7	1663	1704	39.11%	21.86%	39.03%	+0.00	-6.0	21
2018-11-04	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	66.7	1704	1663	39.03%	21.86%	39.11%	+0.00	+6.1	18
2018-11-09	Hibernian	W 1-0	59.1	1710	1704	45.69%	21.69%	32.62%	+0.32	+5.5	21
2018-11-09	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	59.1	1704	1710	32.62%	21.69%	45.69%	-0.32	-5.5	18
2018-11-10	Hamilton Academical	W 4-0	43.8	1590	1484	58.30%	20.25%	21.44%	+0.99	+13.7	23
2018-11-10	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-4	43.8	1484	1590	21.44%	20.25%	58.30%	-0.99	-13.7	10
2018-11-10	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	62.8	1675	1657	47.44%	21.58%	30.98%	+0.40	-7.5	26
2018-11-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	62.8	1657	1675	30.98%	21.58%	47.44%	-0.40	+7.5	24
2018-11-10	St. Mirren	D 1-1	61.8	1442	1479	39.70%	21.86%	38.44%	+0.03	-0.0	4
2018-11-10	@ Dundee	D 1-1	61.8	1479	1442	38.44%	21.86%	39.70%	-0.03	+0.0	5
2018-11-11	Celtic	D 0-0	70.2	1560	1857	13.37%	17.50%	69.14%	-1.72	+2.3	19
2018-11-11	@ Livingston	D 0-0	70.2	1857	1560	69.14%	17.50%	13.37%	+1.72	-2.3	26
2018-11-11	Motherwell	W 7-1	48.4	1738	1552	66.62%	18.28%	15.10%	+1.54	+11.7	24
2018-11-11	@ Rangers	L 1-7	48.4	1552	1738	15.10%	18.28%	66.62%	-1.54	-11.8	11
2018-11-24	Aberdeen	W 3-0	59.8	1540	1715	22.74%	20.53%	56.74%	-0.90	+24.0	14
2018-11-24	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	59.8	1715	1540	56.74%	20.53%	22.74%	+0.90	-24.0	21
2018-11-24	Celtic	L 0-3	44.7	1470	1854	9.03%	14.80%	76.17%	-2.31	-4.3	10
2018-11-24	@ Hamilton Academical	W 3-0	44.7	1854	1470	76.17%	14.80%	9.03%	+2.31	+4.3	29
2018-11-24	Dundee	D 2-2	77.2	1698	1442	72.73%	16.21%	11.06%	+2.01	-1.7	19
2018-11-24	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	77.2	1442	1698	11.06%	16.21%	72.73%	-2.01	+1.7	5
2018-11-24	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	59.5	1479	1668	21.46%	20.26%	58.28%	-0.99	+16.9	8
2018-11-24	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	59.5	1668	1479	58.28%	20.26%	21.46%	+0.99	-16.9	26
2018-11-24	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	67.4	1604	1664	36.42%	21.83%	41.75%	-0.13	+0.2	24
2018-11-24	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	67.4	1664	1604	41.75%	21.83%	36.42%	+0.13	-0.2	25
2018-11-24	Livingston	W 3-0	47.4	1750	1562	66.74%	18.25%	15.01%	+1.54	+7.4	27
2018-11-24	@ Rangers	L 0-3	47.4	1562	1750	15.01%	18.25%	66.74%	-1.54	-7.4	19
2018-12-01	Hamilton Academical	L 1-3	56.7	1496	1466	48.95%	21.47%	29.58%	+0.48	-12.6	8
2018-12-01	@ St. Mirren	W 3-1	56.7	1466	1496	29.58%	21.47%	48.95%	-0.48	+12.6	13
2018-12-01	Hibernian	W 3-0	55.8	1664	1697	40.29%	21.85%	37.86%	+0.06	+17.1	28
2018-12-01	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-3	55.8	1697	1664	37.86%	21.85%	40.29%	-0.06	-17.1	19
2018-12-01	Motherwell	W 2-0	52.1	1555	1564	43.63%	21.78%	34.59%	+0.22	+11.0	22
2018-12-01	@ Livingston	L 0-2	52.1	1564	1555	34.59%	21.78%	43.63%	-0.22	-11.0	14
2018-12-02	Rangers	L 1-2	64.3	1651	1757	30.31%	21.53%	48.15%	-0.44	-4.9	26
2018-12-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	64.3	1757	1651	48.15%	21.53%	30.31%	+0.44	+4.9	30
2018-12-05	Aberdeen	L 0-1	65.5	1762	1691	54.17%	20.91%	24.93%	+0.76	-8.4	30
2018-12-05	@ Rangers	W 1-0	65.5	1691	1762	24.93%	20.91%	54.17%	-0.76	+8.4	24
2018-12-05	Celtic	D 1-1	75.2	1553	1859	12.85%	17.23%	69.91%	-1.78	+2.1	15
2018-12-05	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	75.2	1859	1553	69.91%	17.23%	12.85%	+1.78	-2.1	30
2018-12-05	Hamilton Academical	W 4-0	43.7	1444	1478	40.00%	21.86%	38.14%	+0.04	+22.5	8
2018-12-05	@ Dundee	L 0-4	43.7	1478	1444	38.14%	21.86%	40.00%	-0.04	-22.5	13
2018-12-05	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	78.0	1604	1646	39.02%	21.86%	39.12%	+0.00	+0.0	25
2018-12-05	@ St. Johnstone	D 2-2	78.0	1646	1604	39.12%	21.86%	39.02%	+0.00	+0.0	27
2018-12-05	Livingston	W 2-0	50.5	1681	1566	59.31%	20.06%	20.62%	+1.06	+7.0	31
2018-12-05	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	50.5	1566	1681	20.62%	20.06%	59.31%	-1.06	-7.0	22
2018-12-05	St. Mirren	D 2-2	77.3	1680	1483	67.53%	18.01%	14.46%	+1.60	-1.5	20
2018-12-05	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	77.3	1483	1680	14.46%	18.01%	67.53%	-1.60	+1.5	9
2018-12-08	Hibernian	L 0-1	49.7	1456	1678	18.57%	19.51%	61.92%	-1.22	-3.4	13
2018-12-08	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	49.7	1678	1456	61.92%	19.51%	18.57%	+1.22	+3.3	23
2018-12-08	Kilmarnock	W 5-1	52.4	1856	1688	64.86%	18.78%	16.36%	+1.41	+8.8	33
2018-12-08	@ Celtic	L 1-5	52.4	1688	1856	16.36%	18.78%	64.86%	-1.41	-8.8	31
2018-12-08	Motherwell	W 1-0	53.1	1646	1555	56.52%	20.56%	22.92%	+0.89	+4.1	30
2018-12-08	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	53.1	1555	1646	22.92%	20.56%	56.52%	-0.89	-4.1	15
2018-12-08	St. Johnstone	L 0-2	62.4	1700	1604	57.06%	20.47%	22.47%	+0.92	-16.6	24
2018-12-08	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	62.4	1604	1700	22.47%	20.47%	57.06%	-0.92	+16.6	28
2018-12-08	St. Mirren	W 3-1	52.3	1559	1485	54.51%	20.86%	24.63%	+0.78	+7.1	25
2018-12-08	@ Livingston	L 1-3	52.3	1485	1559	24.63%	20.86%	54.51%	-0.78	-7.1	9
2018-12-09	Rangers	D 1-1	72.7	1466	1754	13.91%	17.76%	68.33%	-1.66	+2.0	9
2018-12-09	@ Dundee	D 1-1	72.7	1754	1466	68.33%	17.76%	13.91%	+1.66	-2.0	31
2018-12-11	Livingston	W 3-2	64.2	1683	1566	59.52%	20.02%	20.46%	+1.07	+3.3	27
2018-12-11	@ Aberdeen	L 2-3	64.2	1566	1683	20.46%	20.02%	59.52%	-1.07	-3.3	25
2018-12-14	Heart of Midlothian	W 5-0	55.5	1562	1650	32.74%	21.70%	45.56%	-0.31	+32.0	28
2018-12-14	@ Livingston	L 0-5	55.5	1650	1562	45.56%	21.70%	32.74%	+0.31	-32.0	30
2018-12-15	Aberdeen	L 1-2	57.0	1478	1686	19.69%	19.83%	60.48%	-1.13	-3.3	9
2018-12-15	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	57.0	1686	1478	60.48%	19.83%	19.69%	+1.13	+3.3	30
2018-12-15	Dundee	W 3-1	51.4	1679	1468	68.86%	17.59%	13.55%	+1.70	+4.0	34
2018-12-15	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	51.4	1468	1679	13.55%	17.59%	68.86%	-1.70	-4.0	9
2018-12-15	Motherwell	L 1-2	67.8	1621	1551	54.01%	20.93%	25.06%	+0.75	-7.9	28
2018-12-15	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	67.8	1551	1621	25.06%	20.93%	54.01%	-0.75	+7.9	18
2018-12-16	Celtic	W 2-0	64.1	1681	1865	21.94%	20.36%	57.70%	-0.96	+16.8	26
2018-12-16	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	64.1	1865	1681	57.70%	20.36%	21.94%	+0.96	-16.8	33
2018-12-16	Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	47.3	1752	1453	76.01%	14.87%	9.12%	+2.29	+1.6	34
2018-12-16	@ Rangers	L 0-1	47.3	1453	1752	9.12%	14.87%	76.01%	-2.29	-1.6	13
2018-12-18	Dundee	W 5-1	46.4	1690	1464	70.13%	17.16%	12.71%	+1.80	+6.8	33
2018-12-18	@ Aberdeen	L 1-5	46.4	1464	1690	12.71%	17.16%	70.13%	-1.80	-6.8	9
2018-12-19	Motherwell	W 3-0	45.7	1848	1559	75.29%	15.18%	9.53%	+2.23	+4.5	36
2018-12-19	@ Celtic	L 0-3	45.7	1559	1848	9.53%	15.18%	75.29%	-2.23	-4.5	18
2018-12-19	Rangers	D 0-0	69.1	1698	1753	37.10%	21.84%	41.06%	-0.09	+0.2	27
2018-12-19	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	69.1	1753	1698	41.06%	21.84%	37.10%	+0.09	-0.2	35
2018-12-22	Dundee	W 3-0	42.7	1853	1457	82.30%	11.86%	5.84%	+2.94	+2.6	39
2018-12-22	@ Celtic	L 0-3	42.7	1457	1853	5.84%	11.86%	82.30%	-2.94	-2.6	9
2018-12-22	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	52.7	1696	1618	55.06%	20.79%	24.16%	+0.81	+8.1	36
2018-12-22	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	52.7	1618	1696	24.16%	20.79%	55.06%	-0.81	-8.1	30
2018-12-22	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	70.1	1451	1683	17.78%	19.27%	62.95%	-1.28	+1.6	14
2018-12-22	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	70.1	1683	1451	62.95%	19.27%	17.78%	+1.28	-1.7	35
2018-12-22	Livingston	D 1-1	73.2	1698	1594	58.03%	20.30%	21.67%	+0.98	-1.3	28
2018-12-22	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	73.2	1594	1698	21.67%	20.30%	58.03%	-0.98	+1.3	29
2018-12-22	St. Mirren	L 0-1	57.5	1554	1474	55.24%	20.76%	24.00%	+0.82	-8.6	18
2018-12-22	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	57.5	1474	1554	24.00%	20.76%	55.24%	-0.82	+8.6	12
2018-12-23	Rangers	L 1-2	62.7	1613	1753	26.36%	21.12%	52.52%	-0.67	-4.4	28
2018-12-23	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	62.7	1753	1613	52.52%	21.12%	26.36%	+0.67	+4.4	38
2018-12-26	Celtic	L 3-4	70.6	1704	1856	25.21%	20.95%	53.84%	-0.74	-3.9	36
2018-12-26	@ Aberdeen	W 4-3	70.6	1856	1704	53.84%	20.95%	25.21%	+0.74	+3.9	42
2018-12-26	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	44.2	1610	1453	63.74%	19.07%	17.19%	+1.34	+5.9	33
2018-12-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	44.2	1453	1610	17.19%	19.07%	63.74%	-1.34	-5.8	14
2018-12-26	Hibernian	D 1-1	74.3	1758	1697	52.87%	21.07%	26.05%	+0.69	-1.0	39
2018-12-26	@ Rangers	D 1-1	74.3	1697	1758	26.05%	21.07%	52.87%	-0.69	+0.9	29
2018-12-26	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	55.0	1546	1681	26.89%	21.18%	51.93%	-0.64	-4.7	18
2018-12-26	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	55.0	1681	1546	51.93%	21.18%	26.89%	+0.64	+4.7	38
2018-12-26	Livingston	D 0-0	61.8	1455	1596	26.30%	21.11%	52.59%	-0.67	+1.0	10
2018-12-26	@ Dundee	D 0-0	61.8	1596	1455	52.59%	21.11%	26.30%	+0.67	-1.0	30
2018-12-26	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	51.8	1483	1608	28.04%	21.32%	50.64%	-0.57	-4.9	12
2018-12-26	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	51.8	1608	1483	50.64%	21.32%	28.04%	+0.57	+4.9	31
2018-12-29	Aberdeen	L 1-2	63.3	1595	1701	30.41%	21.54%	48.05%	-0.43	-4.9	30
2018-12-29	@ Livingston	W 2-1	63.3	1701	1595	48.05%	21.54%	30.41%	+0.43	+4.9	39
2018-12-29	Celtic	W 1-0	64.2	1757	1859	30.80%	21.57%	47.63%	-0.41	+7.5	42
2018-12-29	@ Rangers	L 0-1	64.2	1859	1757	47.63%	21.57%	30.80%	+0.41	-7.5	42
2018-12-29	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	64.8	1698	1616	55.52%	20.72%	23.77%	+0.83	-8.6	29
2018-12-29	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	64.8	1616	1698	23.77%	20.72%	55.52%	-0.83	+8.6	36
2018-12-29	Motherwell	L 1-2	55.2	1447	1541	31.87%	21.64%	46.48%	-0.36	-5.1	14
2018-12-29	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	55.2	1541	1447	46.48%	21.64%	31.87%	+0.36	+5.1	21
2018-12-29	St. Johnstone	L 0-2	47.1	1456	1613	24.53%	20.85%	54.63%	-0.78	-8.2	10
2018-12-29	@ Dundee	W 2-0	47.1	1613	1456	54.63%	20.85%	24.53%	+0.78	+8.2	34
2018-12-29	St. Mirren	W 2-1	54.5	1686	1478	68.61%	17.67%	13.72%	+1.68	+2.3	41
2018-12-29	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	54.5	1478	1686	13.72%	17.67%	68.61%	-1.68	-2.3	12
2019-01-23	Aberdeen	L 0-3	44.4	1442	1706	15.47%	18.43%	66.10%	-1.50	-7.6	14
2019-01-23	@ Hamilton Academical	W 3-0	44.4	1706	1442	66.10%	18.43%	15.47%	+1.50	+7.6	42
2019-01-23	Dundee	L 1-2	67.5	1624	1448	65.67%	18.56%	15.77%	+1.47	-9.4	36
2019-01-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	67.5	1448	1624	15.77%	18.56%	65.67%	-1.47	+9.4	13
2019-01-23	Hibernian	W 1-0	62.9	1546	1689	26.06%	21.07%	52.87%	-0.69	+8.2	24
2019-01-23	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	62.9	1689	1546	52.87%	21.07%	26.06%	+0.69	-8.2	29
2019-01-23	Livingston	W 1-0	55.5	1622	1590	49.18%	21.45%	29.37%	+0.49	+5.1	37
2019-01-23	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	55.5	1590	1622	29.37%	21.45%	49.18%	-0.49	-5.1	30
2019-01-23	Rangers	W 2-1	68.7	1688	1764	34.28%	21.77%	43.95%	-0.23	+6.6	44
2019-01-23	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	68.7	1764	1688	43.95%	21.77%	34.28%	+0.23	-6.6	42
2019-01-23	St. Mirren	W 4-0	42.6	1852	1476	81.16%	12.45%	6.39%	+2.81	+3.8	45
2019-01-23	@ Celtic	L 0-4	42.6	1476	1852	6.39%	12.45%	81.16%	-2.81	-3.8	12
2019-01-26	Hamilton Academical	W 3-0	42.0	1856	1434	83.76%	11.09%	5.16%	+3.12	+2.3	48
2019-01-26	@ Celtic	L 0-3	42.0	1434	1856	5.16%	11.09%	83.76%	-3.12	-2.3	14
2019-01-26	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	68.9	1713	1695	47.36%	21.59%	31.05%	+0.40	-0.6	43
2019-01-26	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	68.9	1695	1713	31.05%	21.59%	47.36%	-0.40	+0.6	45
2019-01-26	Motherwell	L 0-1	50.0	1457	1554	31.47%	21.62%	46.91%	-0.38	-5.4	13
2019-01-26	@ Dundee	W 1-0	50.0	1554	1457	46.91%	21.62%	31.47%	+0.38	+5.4	27
2019-01-26	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	55.2	1615	1627	43.27%	21.79%	34.94%	+0.20	+11.1	39
2019-01-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	55.2	1627	1615	34.94%	21.79%	43.27%	-0.20	-11.1	37
2019-01-27	Hibernian	L 1-3	54.0	1472	1681	19.63%	19.81%	60.55%	-1.13	-5.8	12
2019-01-27	@ St. Mirren	W 3-1	54.0	1681	1472	60.55%	19.81%	19.63%	+1.13	+5.8	32
2019-01-27	Rangers	L 0-3	50.8	1585	1758	22.98%	20.57%	56.45%	-0.89	-11.2	30
2019-01-27	@ Livingston	W 3-0	50.8	1758	1585	56.45%	20.57%	22.98%	+0.89	+11.2	45
2019-01-30	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	49.0	1858	1616	71.57%	16.65%	11.78%	+1.91	+4.0	51
2019-01-30	@ Celtic	L 0-2	49.0	1616	1858	11.78%	16.65%	71.57%	-1.91	-4.0	37
2019-02-01	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	70.5	1696	1626	54.01%	20.93%	25.06%	+0.75	-7.9	45
2019-02-01	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	70.5	1626	1696	25.06%	20.93%	54.01%	-0.75	+7.9	42
2019-02-02	Aberdeen	L 1-2	67.6	1687	1713	41.32%	21.84%	36.84%	+0.11	-6.3	32
2019-02-02	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	67.6	1713	1687	36.84%	21.84%	41.32%	-0.11	+6.3	46
2019-02-02	Dundee	D 1-1	60.6	1432	1452	42.14%	21.82%	36.04%	+0.14	-0.2	15
2019-02-02	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	60.6	1452	1432	36.04%	21.82%	42.14%	-0.14	+0.2	14
2019-02-02	Livingston	W 3-0	50.9	1560	1574	42.99%	21.80%	35.21%	+0.19	+16.2	30
2019-02-02	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	50.9	1574	1560	35.21%	21.80%	42.99%	-0.19	-16.2	30
2019-02-02	St. Mirren	W 4-0	42.7	1769	1466	76.27%	14.76%	8.98%	+2.32	+5.6	48
2019-02-02	@ Rangers	L 0-4	42.7	1466	1769	8.98%	14.76%	76.27%	-2.32	-5.6	12
2019-02-03	Celtic	L 0-2	51.0	1612	1862	16.41%	18.80%	64.79%	-1.41	-5.6	37
2019-02-03	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	51.0	1862	1612	64.79%	18.80%	16.41%	+1.41	+5.6	54
2019-02-06	Hibernian	W 2-0	50.7	1868	1681	66.64%	18.28%	15.08%	+1.54	+5.1	57
2019-02-06	@ Celtic	L 0-2	50.7	1681	1868	15.08%	18.28%	66.64%	-1.54	-5.1	32
2019-02-06	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	76.3	1452	1688	17.48%	19.17%	63.35%	-1.31	+1.2	15
2019-02-06	@ Dundee	D 2-2	76.3	1688	1452	63.35%	19.17%	17.48%	+1.31	-1.3	46
2019-02-06	Livingston	D 0-0	66.2	1634	1557	54.82%	20.82%	24.36%	+0.79	-1.2	43
2019-02-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	66.2	1557	1634	24.36%	20.82%	54.82%	-0.79	+1.2	31
2019-02-06	Motherwell	L 1-2	56.2	1460	1576	29.24%	21.44%	49.31%	-0.50	-4.8	12
2019-02-06	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	56.2	1576	1460	49.31%	21.44%	29.24%	+0.50	+4.8	33
2019-02-06	Rangers	L 2-4	67.8	1719	1774	37.05%	21.84%	41.11%	-0.10	-9.0	46
2019-02-06	@ Aberdeen	W 4-2	67.8	1774	1719	41.11%	21.84%	37.05%	+0.10	+9.0	51
2019-02-06	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	64.2	1432	1606	22.82%	20.54%	56.63%	-0.90	+8.3	18
2019-02-06	@ Hamilton Academical	L 1-2	64.2	1606	1432	56.63%	20.54%	22.82%	+0.90	-8.2	37
2019-02-16	Dundee	L 1-2	63.6	1559	1453	58.21%	20.27%	21.52%	+0.99	-8.5	31
2019-02-16	@ Livingston	W 2-1	63.6	1453	1559	21.52%	20.27%	58.21%	-0.99	+8.5	18
2019-02-16	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	43.7	1676	1440	71.01%	16.85%	12.14%	+1.87	+4.1	35
2019-02-16	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	43.7	1440	1676	12.14%	16.85%	71.01%	-1.87	-4.1	18
2019-02-16	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	69.7	1783	1598	66.52%	18.31%	15.17%	+1.53	-2.1	52
2019-02-16	@ Rangers	D 0-0	69.7	1598	1783	15.17%	18.31%	66.52%	-1.53	+2.1	38
2019-02-16	St. Mirren	D 2-2	77.9	1710	1456	72.53%	16.28%	11.18%	+1.99	-1.7	47
2019-02-16	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	77.9	1456	1710	11.18%	16.28%	72.53%	-1.99	+1.7	13
2019-02-17	Celtic	L 0-1	56.0	1687	1873	21.72%	20.32%	57.97%	-0.97	-3.9	46
2019-02-17	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	56.0	1873	1687	57.97%	20.32%	21.72%	+0.97	+3.9	60
2019-02-17	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	65.0	1581	1633	37.56%	21.85%	40.59%	-0.07	+6.2	36
2019-02-17	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	65.0	1633	1581	40.59%	21.85%	37.56%	+0.07	-6.2	43
2019-02-22	Hibernian	L 2-4	57.1	1461	1680	18.90%	19.61%	61.49%	-1.19	-5.0	18
2019-02-22	@ Dundee	W 4-2	57.1	1680	1461	61.49%	19.61%	18.90%	+1.19	+5.0	38
2019-02-23	Aberdeen	L 0-2	54.7	1600	1708	30.12%	21.52%	48.36%	-0.45	-9.8	38
2019-02-23	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	54.7	1708	1600	48.36%	21.52%	30.12%	+0.45	+9.8	50
2019-02-23	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	62.5	1550	1683	27.24%	21.23%	51.53%	-0.61	+8.1	34
2019-02-23	@ Livingston	L 0-1	62.5	1683	1550	51.53%	21.23%	27.24%	+0.61	-8.1	46
2019-02-23	St. Mirren	D 1-1	68.7	1626	1457	64.92%	18.76%	16.32%	+1.42	-1.8	44
2019-02-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	68.7	1457	1626	16.32%	18.76%	64.92%	-1.42	+1.8	14
2019-02-24	Motherwell	W 4-1	51.1	1877	1587	75.30%	15.17%	9.53%	+2.23	+3.8	63
2019-02-24	@ Celtic	L 1-4	51.1	1587	1877	9.53%	15.17%	75.30%	-2.23	-3.8	36
2019-02-24	Rangers	L 0-5	43.4	1436	1781	10.75%	16.01%	73.23%	-2.05	-8.4	18
2019-02-24	@ Hamilton Academical	W 5-0	43.4	1781	1436	73.23%	16.01%	10.75%	+2.05	+8.4	55
2019-02-27	Celtic	L 1-2	59.6	1625	1880	16.03%	18.65%	65.32%	-1.44	-2.7	44
2019-02-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	59.6	1880	1625	65.32%	18.65%	16.03%	+1.44	+2.7	66
2019-02-27	Dundee	W 4-0	42.3	1790	1457	78.39%	13.80%	7.81%	+2.52	+4.8	58
2019-02-27	@ Rangers	L 0-4	42.3	1457	1790	7.81%	13.80%	78.39%	-2.52	-4.8	18
2019-02-27	Hamilton Academical	L 0-2	63.1	1718	1427	75.37%	15.14%	9.49%	+2.24	-21.1	50
2019-02-27	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	63.1	1427	1718	9.49%	15.14%	75.37%	-2.24	+21.1	21
2019-02-27	Hibernian	L 1-2	63.4	1590	1685	31.85%	21.64%	46.51%	-0.36	-5.1	38
2019-02-27	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	63.4	1685	1590	46.51%	21.64%	31.85%	+0.36	+5.1	41
2019-03-02	Livingston	W 1-0	54.9	1459	1558	31.27%	21.60%	47.12%	-0.39	+7.5	17
2019-03-02	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	54.9	1558	1459	47.12%	21.60%	31.27%	+0.39	-7.5	34
2019-03-02	Motherwell	D 0-0	67.6	1675	1583	56.60%	20.55%	22.85%	+0.89	-1.4	47
2019-03-02	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	67.6	1583	1675	22.85%	20.55%	56.60%	-0.89	+1.4	37
2019-03-08	Rangers	D 1-1	74.3	1690	1794	30.55%	21.55%	47.89%	-0.43	+0.6	42
2019-03-08	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	74.3	1794	1690	47.89%	21.55%	30.55%	+0.43	-0.6	59
2019-03-09	Aberdeen	D 0-0	70.5	1883	1697	66.58%	18.30%	15.13%	+1.53	-2.1	67
2019-03-09	@ Celtic	D 0-0	70.5	1697	1883	15.13%	18.30%	66.58%	-1.53	+2.1	51
2019-03-09	Hamilton Academical	W 3-0	41.9	1584	1448	61.55%	19.59%	18.85%	+1.19	+9.3	40
2019-03-09	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	41.9	1448	1584	18.85%	19.59%	61.55%	-1.19	-9.3	21
2019-03-09	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	49.5	1452	1622	23.26%	20.62%	56.12%	-0.87	-4.1	18
2019-03-09	@ Dundee	W 1-0	49.5	1622	1452	56.12%	20.62%	23.26%	+0.87	+4.1	47
2019-03-09	St. Johnstone	W 3-1	59.7	1551	1585	40.08%	21.86%	38.06%	+0.05	+10.3	37
2019-03-09	@ Livingston	L 1-3	59.7	1585	1551	38.06%	21.86%	40.08%	-0.05	-10.2	38
2019-03-11	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	50.4	1467	1673	19.87%	19.87%	60.26%	-1.11	-3.6	17
2019-03-11	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	50.4	1673	1467	60.26%	19.87%	19.87%	+1.11	+3.6	50
2019-03-16	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	59.6	1439	1626	21.64%	20.30%	58.06%	-0.98	+9.0	24
2019-03-16	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	59.6	1626	1439	58.06%	20.30%	21.64%	+0.98	-9.0	47
2019-03-16	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	74.7	1794	1677	59.48%	20.03%	20.48%	+1.07	-1.4	60
2019-03-16	@ Rangers	D 1-1	74.7	1677	1794	20.48%	20.03%	59.48%	-1.07	+1.4	51
2019-03-16	Livingston	D 1-1	72.9	1699	1561	61.77%	19.55%	18.69%	+1.21	-1.6	52
2019-03-16	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	72.9	1561	1699	18.69%	19.55%	61.77%	-1.21	+1.6	38
2019-03-16	Motherwell	W 2-0	51.7	1690	1594	57.18%	20.45%	22.37%	+0.93	+7.5	45
2019-03-16	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	51.7	1594	1690	22.37%	20.45%	57.18%	-0.93	-7.5	40
2019-03-17	Celtic	L 0-1	48.2	1448	1881	7.20%	13.25%	79.55%	-2.64	-1.2	18
2019-03-17	@ Dundee	W 1-0	48.2	1881	1448	79.55%	13.25%	7.20%	+2.64	+1.2	70
2019-03-27	St. Mirren	W 1-0	47.4	1575	1463	58.90%	20.14%	20.96%	+1.03	+3.8	41
2019-03-27	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	47.4	1463	1575	20.96%	20.14%	58.90%	-1.03	-3.8	17
2019-03-29	Hibernian	L 1-2	61.6	1563	1698	26.94%	21.19%	51.87%	-0.63	-4.5	38
2019-03-29	@ Livingston	W 2-1	61.6	1698	1563	51.87%	21.19%	26.94%	+0.63	+4.5	48
2019-03-30	Aberdeen	W 2-1	67.8	1617	1697	33.67%	21.74%	44.59%	-0.26	+6.7	50
2019-03-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	67.8	1697	1617	44.59%	21.74%	33.67%	+0.26	-6.7	52
2019-03-30	Dundee	W 2-1	52.2	1459	1446	46.67%	21.63%	31.70%	+0.37	+5.1	20
2019-03-30	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	52.2	1446	1459	31.70%	21.63%	46.67%	-0.37	-5.1	18
2019-03-30	Hamilton Academical	W 5-0	41.9	1678	1448	70.54%	17.02%	12.44%	+1.83	+9.8	54
2019-03-30	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-5	41.9	1448	1678	12.44%	17.02%	70.54%	-1.83	-9.8	24
2019-03-30	St. Johnstone	W 3-0	50.9	1586	1578	45.96%	21.67%	32.36%	+0.33	+15.1	43
2019-03-30	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	50.9	1578	1586	32.36%	21.67%	45.96%	-0.33	-15.1	41
2019-03-31	Rangers	W 2-1	62.6	1882	1792	56.40%	20.58%	23.02%	+0.88	+3.9	73
2019-03-31	@ Celtic	L 1-2	62.6	1792	1882	23.02%	20.58%	56.40%	-0.88	-3.9	60
2019-04-03	Celtic	L 0-2	46.0	1464	1886	7.61%	13.61%	78.78%	-2.56	-2.4	20
2019-04-03	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	46.0	1886	1464	78.78%	13.61%	7.61%	+2.56	+2.4	76
2019-04-03	Dundee	W 2-0	43.1	1563	1441	60.05%	19.92%	20.03%	+1.10	+6.8	44
2019-04-03	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	43.1	1441	1563	20.03%	19.92%	60.05%	-1.10	-6.8	18
2019-04-03	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	42.9	1558	1438	59.80%	19.97%	20.23%	+1.09	+6.9	41
2019-04-03	@ Livingston	L 0-2	42.9	1438	1558	20.23%	19.97%	59.80%	-1.09	-6.8	24
2019-04-03	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	49.0	1789	1624	64.50%	18.88%	16.63%	+1.39	+8.2	63
2019-04-03	@ Rangers	L 0-3	49.0	1624	1789	16.63%	18.88%	64.50%	-1.39	-8.2	50
2019-04-03	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	68.8	1702	1688	46.84%	21.62%	31.54%	+0.37	-0.6	49
2019-04-03	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	68.8	1688	1702	31.54%	21.62%	46.84%	-0.37	+0.6	55
2019-04-03	Motherwell	W 3-1	58.1	1691	1601	56.35%	20.59%	23.06%	+0.88	+6.7	55
2019-04-03	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	58.1	1601	1691	23.06%	20.59%	56.35%	-0.88	-6.7	43
2019-04-06	Aberdeen	L 0-2	45.8	1434	1697	15.53%	18.46%	66.01%	-1.49	-5.3	18
2019-04-06	@ Dundee	W 2-0	45.8	1697	1434	66.01%	18.46%	15.53%	+1.49	+5.3	58
2019-04-06	Hibernian	L 1-2	64.3	1616	1702	32.92%	21.71%	45.37%	-0.30	-5.3	50
2019-04-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	64.3	1702	1616	45.37%	21.71%	32.92%	+0.30	+5.3	52
2019-04-06	Livingston	D 0-0	71.4	1888	1565	77.74%	14.10%	8.16%	+2.46	-2.9	77
2019-04-06	@ Celtic	D 0-0	71.4	1565	1888	8.16%	14.10%	77.74%	-2.46	+2.9	42
2019-04-06	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	50.6	1689	1570	59.66%	20.00%	20.35%	+1.08	+6.9	58
2019-04-06	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	50.6	1570	1689	20.35%	20.00%	59.66%	-1.08	-6.9	44
2019-04-06	St. Mirren	D 1-1	60.9	1431	1462	40.61%	21.85%	37.54%	+0.07	-0.1	25
2019-04-06	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	60.9	1462	1431	37.54%	21.85%	40.61%	-0.07	+0.1	21
2019-04-07	Rangers	L 0-3	50.2	1595	1797	20.26%	19.98%	59.76%	-1.08	-10.0	43
2019-04-07	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	50.2	1797	1595	59.76%	19.98%	20.26%	+1.08	+10.0	66

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2019-04-20	Aberdeen	L 0-1	62.4	1696	1703	43.91%	21.77%	34.32%	+0.23	-7.0	0
2019-04-20	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	62.4	1703	1696	34.32%	21.77%	43.91%	-0.23	+7.0	3
2019-04-20	Dundee	W 2-0	42.3	1563	1429	61.34%	19.64%	19.02%	+1.18	+6.5	3
2019-04-20	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	42.3	1429	1563	19.02%	19.64%	61.34%	-1.18	-6.5	0
2019-04-20	Motherwell	D 1-1	65.6	1431	1585	24.98%	20.92%	54.11%	-0.75	+1.0	1
2019-04-20	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	65.6	1585	1431	54.11%	20.92%	24.98%	+0.75	-1.0	1
2019-04-20	Rangers	L 1-3	58.4	1610	1807	20.77%	20.10%	59.13%	-1.04	-6.1	0
2019-04-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	58.4	1807	1610	59.13%	20.10%	20.77%	+1.04	+6.1	3
2019-04-20	St. Mirren	L 1-3	61.7	1568	1462	58.23%	20.27%	21.50%	+0.99	-14.7	0
2019-04-20	@ Livingston	W 3-1	61.7	1462	1568	21.50%	20.27%	58.23%	-0.99	+14.7	3
2019-04-21	Celtic	D 0-0	69.9	1707	1886	22.42%	20.46%	57.12%	-0.92	+1.4	1
2019-04-21	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	69.9	1886	1707	57.12%	20.46%	22.42%	+0.92	-1.4	1
2019-04-27	Dundee	W 4-3	58.1	1584	1423	64.11%	18.98%	16.91%	+1.36	+2.7	4
2019-04-27	@ Motherwell	L 3-4	58.1	1423	1584	16.91%	18.98%	64.11%	-1.36	-2.7	0
2019-04-27	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	53.2	1884	1689	67.47%	18.03%	14.51%	+1.60	+2.6	4
2019-04-27	@ Celtic	L 0-1	53.2	1689	1884	14.51%	18.03%	67.47%	-1.60	-2.6	0
2019-04-27	Livingston	D 3-3	74.0	1432	1553	28.61%	21.38%	50.01%	-0.54	+0.5	2
2019-04-27	@ Hamilton Academical	D 3-3	74.0	1553	1432	50.01%	21.38%	28.61%	+0.54	-0.5	1
2019-04-27	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	66.5	1477	1570	32.03%	21.65%	46.32%	-0.35	+0.5	4
2019-04-27	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	66.5	1570	1477	46.32%	21.65%	32.03%	+0.35	-0.5	4
2019-04-28	Aberdeen	W 2-0	53.2	1813	1710	57.93%	20.32%	21.75%	+0.97	+7.3	6
2019-04-28	@ Rangers	L 0-2	53.2	1710	1813	21.75%	20.32%	57.93%	-0.97	-7.3	3
2019-04-28	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	73.4	1708	1604	58.05%	20.30%	21.65%	+0.98	-1.3	2
2019-04-28	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	73.4	1604	1708	21.65%	20.30%	58.05%	-0.98	+1.3	1
2019-05-04	Celtic	L 0-3	51.6	1702	1887	21.87%	20.35%	57.78%	-0.96	-10.7	3
2019-05-04	@ Aberdeen	W 3-0	51.6	1887	1702	57.78%	20.35%	21.87%	+0.96	+10.7	7
2019-05-04	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	48.1	1420	1433	43.14%	21.80%	35.06%	+0.19	-6.9	0
2019-05-04	@ Dundee	W 1-0	48.1	1433	1420	35.06%	21.80%	43.14%	-0.19	+6.9	5
2019-05-04	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	58.3	1606	1686	33.67%	21.74%	44.59%	-0.26	-5.7	1
2019-05-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	58.3	1686	1606	44.59%	21.74%	33.67%	+0.26	+5.7	3
2019-05-04	Livingston	D 1-1	69.0	1569	1553	47.16%	21.60%	31.24%	+0.39	-0.5	5
2019-05-04	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	69.0	1553	1569	31.24%	21.60%	47.16%	-0.39	+0.5	2
2019-05-04	St. Mirren	D 1-1	67.5	1586	1477	58.61%	20.20%	21.20%	+1.01	-1.3	5
2019-05-04	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	67.5	1477	1586	21.20%	20.20%	58.61%	-1.01	+1.3	5
2019-05-05	Hibernian	W 1-0	55.6	1820	1707	59.06%	20.11%	20.83%	+1.04	+3.7	9
2019-05-05	@ Rangers	L 0-1	55.6	1707	1820	20.83%	20.11%	59.06%	-1.04	-3.7	2
2019-05-10	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	60.6	1692	1600	56.64%	20.54%	22.82%	+0.90	+3.8	6
2019-05-10	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	60.6	1600	1692	22.82%	20.54%	56.64%	-0.90	-3.8	1
2019-05-11	Dundee	L 0-1	56.9	1553	1413	61.98%	19.50%	18.52%	+1.22	-9.5	2
2019-05-11	@ Livingston	W 1-0	56.9	1413	1553	18.52%	19.50%	61.98%	-1.22	+9.5	3
2019-05-11	Hibernian	W 1-0	59.7	1692	1703	43.28%	21.79%	34.93%	+0.20	+5.9	6
2019-05-11	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	59.7	1703	1692	34.93%	21.79%	43.28%	-0.20	-5.9	2
2019-05-11	Motherwell	W 2-0	53.4	1569	1585	42.65%	21.81%	35.54%	+0.17	+11.2	8
2019-05-11	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	53.4	1585	1569	35.54%	21.81%	42.65%	-0.17	-11.2	5
2019-05-12	Celtic	W 2-0	60.5	1824	1898	34.56%	21.78%	43.66%	-0.22	+13.2	12
2019-05-12	@ Rangers	L 0-2	60.5	1898	1824	43.66%	21.78%	34.56%	+0.22	-13.2	7
2019-05-13	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	43.0	1479	1440	50.10%	21.37%	28.53%	+0.54	+9.4	8
2019-05-13	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	43.0	1440	1479	28.53%	21.37%	50.10%	-0.54	-9.3	5
2019-05-18	Livingston	W 3-2	64.2	1574	1544	48.94%	21.47%	29.59%	+0.48	+4.6	8
2019-05-18	@ Motherwell	L 2-3	64.2	1544	1574	29.59%	21.47%	48.94%	-0.48	-4.6	2
2019-05-18	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	53.8	1430	1580	25.38%	20.98%	53.64%	-0.73	+15.7	8
2019-05-18	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-2	53.8	1580	1430	53.64%	20.98%	25.38%	+0.73	-15.7	8
2019-05-18	St. Mirren	L 2-3	58.7	1423	1488	35.70%	21.82%	42.48%	-0.16	-5.3	3
2019-05-18	@ Dundee	W 3-2	58.7	1488	1423	42.48%	21.82%	35.70%	+0.16	+5.3	11
2019-05-19	Aberdeen	L 1-2	68.7	1697	1696	45.16%	21.72%	33.12%	+0.29	-6.8	2
2019-05-19	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	68.7	1696	1697	33.12%	21.72%	45.16%	-0.29	+6.8	9
2019-05-19	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	56.6	1884	1596	75.20%	15.22%	9.59%	+2.22	+1.6	10
2019-05-19	@ Celtic	L 1-2	56.6	1596	1884	9.59%	15.22%	75.20%	-2.22	-1.6	1
2019-05-19	Rangers	W 2-1	71.3	1697	1837	26.46%	21.13%	52.41%	-0.66	+7.7	9
2019-05-19	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	71.3	1837	1697	52.41%	21.13%	26.46%	+0.66	-7.7	12

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2019-02-27	9.49%	Hamilton Academical	1427	2	@ Aberdeen	1718	0
2	2019-01-23	15.77%	Dundee	1448	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1624	1
3	2019-05-11	18.52%	Dundee	1413	1	@ Livingston	1553	0
4	2018-11-03	19.14%	St. Johnstone	1581	1	@ Hibernian	1713	0
5	2018-11-24	21.46%	@ St. Mirren	1479	2	Heart of Midlothian	1668	0
6	2019-04-20	21.50%	St. Mirren	1462	3	@ Livingston	1568	1
7	2019-02-16	21.52%	Dundee	1453	2	@ Livingston	1559	1
8	2019-03-16	21.64%	@ Hamilton Academical	1439	1	Heart of Midlothian	1626	0
9	2018-12-16	21.94%	@ Hibernian	1681	2	Celtic	1865	0
10	2018-12-08	22.47%	St. Johnstone	1604	2	@ Aberdeen	1700	0
11	2018-09-23	22.50%	@ Kilmarnock	1641	2	Celtic	1818	1
12	2018-09-30	22.58%	@ Livingston	1550	1	Rangers	1727	0
13	2018-11-24	22.74%	@ Motherwell	1540	3	Aberdeen	1715	0
14	2019-02-06	22.82%	@ Hamilton Academical	1432	2	St. Johnstone	1606	1
15	2018-08-11	23.02%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1652	1	Celtic	1824	0
16	2018-09-01	23.48%	Kilmarnock	1629	2	@ Aberdeen	1714	0
17	2018-12-29	23.77%	Heart of Midlothian	1616	1	@ Hibernian	1698	0
18	2018-12-22	24.00%	St. Mirren	1474	1	@ Motherwell	1554	0
19	2018-09-01	24.23%	@ Livingston	1535	2	Hibernian	1696	1
20	2018-12-05	24.93%	Aberdeen	1691	1	@ Rangers	1762	0
21	2018-12-15	25.06%	Motherwell	1551	2	@ St. Johnstone	1621	1
22	2019-02-01	25.06%	Heart of Midlothian	1626	2	@ Kilmarnock	1696	1
23	2019-05-18	25.38%	@ Hamilton Academical	1430	2	St. Johnstone	1580	0
24	2019-01-23	26.06%	@ Motherwell	1546	1	Hibernian	1689	0
25	2019-05-19	26.46%	@ Kilmarnock	1697	2	Rangers	1837	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2018-12-14	32.00	@ Livingston	5	1562	32.74%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1650	45.56%	21.70%
2	2018-11-24	24.02	@ Motherwell	3	1540	22.74%	Aberdeen	0	1715	56.74%	20.53%
3	2018-12-05	22.51	@ Dundee	4	1444	40.00%	Hamilton Academical	0	1478	38.14%	21.86%
4	2019-02-27	21.06	Hamilton Academical	2	1427	9.49%	@ Aberdeen	0	1718	75.37%	15.14%
5	2018-09-22	17.39	@ Hamilton Academical	3	1499	39.57%	St. Mirren	0	1537	38.57%	21.86%
6	2018-12-01	17.14	@ Kilmarnock	3	1664	40.29%	Hibernian	0	1697	37.86%	21.85%
7	2018-11-24	16.94	@ St. Mirren	2	1479	21.46%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1668	58.28%	20.26%
8	2018-12-16	16.79	@ Hibernian	2	1681	21.94%	Celtic	0	1865	57.70%	20.36%
9	2018-12-08	16.62	St. Johnstone	2	1604	22.47%	@ Aberdeen	0	1700	57.06%	20.47%
10	2018-09-01	16.31	Kilmarnock	2	1629	23.48%	@ Aberdeen	0	1714	55.85%	20.67%
11	2018-10-07	16.25	Celtic	6	1814	63.72%	@ St. Johnstone	0	1574	17.21%	19.08%
12	2019-02-02	16.17	@ Motherwell	3	1560	42.99%	Livingston	0	1574	35.21%	21.80%
13	2019-05-18	15.73	@ Hamilton Academical	2	1430	25.38%	St. Johnstone	0	1580	53.64%	20.98%
14	2018-09-29	15.23	Dundee	2	1466	27.12%	@ Hamilton Academical	0	1517	51.67%	21.21%
15	2018-10-20	15.13	@ Livingston	4	1559	55.46%	Dundee	0	1477	23.81%	20.73%
16	2019-03-30	15.09	@ Motherwell	3	1586	45.96%	St. Johnstone	0	1578	32.36%	21.67%
17	2018-08-25	14.79	Livingston	2	1521	28.67%	@ St. Mirren	0	1558	49.94%	21.38%
18	2019-04-20	14.66	St. Mirren	3	1462	21.50%	@ Livingston	1	1568	58.23%	20.27%
19	2018-11-03	13.89	@ Celtic	5	1843	63.38%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1689	17.46%	19.16%
20	2018-11-10	13.74	@ St. Johnstone	4	1590	58.30%	Hamilton Academical	0	1484	21.44%	20.25%
21	2019-05-12	13.21	@ Rangers	2	1824	34.56%	Celtic	0	1898	43.66%	21.78%
22	2018-10-06	13.17	@ Hibernian	6	1705	68.22%	Hamilton Academical	0	1502	13.99%	17.79%
23	2018-12-01	12.59	Hamilton Academical	3	1466	29.58%	@ St. Mirren	1	1496	48.95%	21.47%
24	2018-10-31	12.18	Motherwell	2	1535	38.71%	@ St. Mirren	0	1497	39.43%	21.86%
25	2018-11-11	11.75	@ Rangers	7	1738	66.62%	Motherwell	1	1552	15.10%	18.28%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2018-08-26	82.2	@ Motherwell	3	1547	23.62%	Rangers	3	1713	55.69%	20.69%
2	2018-12-05	78.0	@ St. Johnstone	2	1604	39.02%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1646	39.12%	21.86%
3	2019-02-16	77.9	@ Aberdeen	2	1710	72.53%	St. Mirren	2	1456	11.18%	16.28%
4	2018-12-05	77.3	@ Hibernian	2	1680	67.53%	St. Mirren	2	1483	14.46%	18.01%
5	2018-11-24	77.2	@ Hibernian	2	1698	72.73%	Dundee	2	1442	11.06%	16.21%
6	2019-02-06	76.3	@ Dundee	2	1452	17.48%	Kilmarnock	2	1688	63.35%	19.17%
7	2018-12-05	75.2	@ Motherwell	1	1553	12.85%	Celtic	1	1859	69.91%	17.23%
8	2019-03-16	74.7	@ Rangers	1	1794	59.48%	Kilmarnock	1	1677	20.48%	20.03%
9	2018-12-26	74.3	@ Rangers	1	1758	52.87%	Hibernian	1	1697	26.05%	21.07%
10	2019-03-08	74.3	@ Hibernian	1	1690	30.55%	Rangers	1	1794	47.89%	21.55%
11	2018-10-31	74.0	@ Rangers	1	1734	54.29%	Kilmarnock	1	1662	24.82%	20.89%
12	2019-04-27	74.0	@ Hamilton Academical	3	1432	28.61%	Livingston	3	1553	50.01%	21.38%
13	2018-08-05	73.9	@ Aberdeen	1	1711	45.48%	Rangers	1	1706	32.82%	21.70%
14	2018-08-25	73.8	@ Hibernian	1	1696	42.45%	Aberdeen	1	1714	35.73%	21.82%
15	2019-04-28	73.4	@ Hibernian	1	1708	58.05%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1604	21.65%	20.30%
16	2018-12-22	73.2	@ Hibernian	1	1698	58.03%	Livingston	1	1594	21.67%	20.30%
17	2019-03-16	72.9	@ Aberdeen	1	1699	61.77%	Livingston	1	1561	18.69%	19.55%
18	2018-09-15	72.7	@ St. Johnstone	1	1588	29.94%	Aberdeen	1	1698	48.55%	21.50%
19	2018-12-09	72.7	@ Dundee	1	1466	13.91%	Rangers	1	1754	68.33%	17.76%
20	2018-08-12	72.6	@ St. Johnstone	1	1577	28.78%	Hibernian	1	1697	49.83%	21.40%
21	2018-09-23	72.3	@ Kilmarnock	2	1641	22.50%	Celtic	1	1818	57.03%	20.48%
22	2019-04-06	71.4	@ Celtic	0	1888	77.74%	Livingston	0	1565	8.16%	14.10%
23	2019-05-19	71.3	@ Kilmarnock	2	1697	26.46%	Rangers	1	1837	52.41%	21.13%
24	2018-10-27	70.7	@ Kilmarnock	1	1663	66.20%	Hamilton Academical	1	1481	15.40%	18.41%
25	2018-12-26	70.6	Celtic	4	1856	53.84%	@ Aberdeen	3	1704	25.21%	20.95%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2019-03-09	41.9	@ Motherwell	3	1584	61.55%	Hamilton Academical	0	1448	18.85%	19.59%
2	2019-03-30	41.9	@ Kilmarnock	5	1678	70.54%	Hamilton Academical	0	1448	12.44%	17.02%
3	2019-01-26	42.0	@ Celtic	3	1856	83.76%	Hamilton Academical	0	1434	5.16%	11.09%
4	2019-02-27	42.3	@ Rangers	4	1790	78.39%	Dundee	0	1457	7.81%	13.80%
5	2019-04-20	42.3	@ St. Johnstone	2	1563	61.34%	Dundee	0	1429	19.02%	19.64%
6	2019-01-23	42.6	@ Celtic	4	1852	81.16%	St. Mirren	0	1476	6.39%	12.45%
7	2018-12-22	42.7	@ Celtic	3	1853	82.30%	Dundee	0	1457	5.84%	11.86%
8	2019-02-02	42.7	@ Rangers	4	1769	76.27%	St. Mirren	0	1466	8.98%	14.76%
9	2019-04-03	42.9	@ Livingston	2	1558	59.80%	Hamilton Academical	0	1438	20.23%	19.97%
10	2019-05-13	43.0	@ St. Mirren	2	1479	50.10%	Hamilton Academical	0	1440	28.53%	21.37%
11	2019-04-03	43.1	@ St. Johnstone	2	1563	60.05%	Dundee	0	1441	20.03%	19.92%
12	2018-10-20	43.3	@ Livingston	4	1559	55.46%	Dundee	0	1477	23.81%	20.73%
13	2019-02-24	43.4	Rangers	5	1781	73.23%	@ Hamilton Academical	0	1436	10.75%	16.01%
14	2018-09-15	43.7	@ Rangers	4	1708	70.10%	Dundee	0	1483	12.73%	17.17%
15	2018-12-05	43.7	@ Dundee	4	1444	40.00%	Hamilton Academical	0	1478	38.14%	21.86%
16	2019-02-16	43.7	@ Hibernian	2	1676	71.01%	Hamilton Academical	0	1440	12.14%	16.85%
17	2018-10-31	43.8	Celtic	5	1836	76.08%	@ Dundee	0	1453	9.08%	14.84%
18	2018-11-10	43.8	@ St. Johnstone	4	1590	58.30%	Hamilton Academical	0	1484	21.44%	20.25%
19	2018-12-26	44.2	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1610	63.74%	Hamilton Academical	0	1453	17.19%	19.07%
20	2018-10-31	44.3	@ Aberdeen	3	1697	69.12%	Hamilton Academical	0	1483	13.38%	17.50%
21	2019-01-23	44.4	Aberdeen	3	1706	66.10%	@ Hamilton Academical	0	1442	15.47%	18.43%
22	2018-11-24	44.7	Celtic	3	1854	76.17%	@ Hamilton Academical	0	1470	9.03%	14.80%
23	2018-10-06	45.1	@ Hibernian	6	1705	68.22%	Hamilton Academical	0	1502	13.99%	17.79%
24	2018-10-23	45.6	Heart of Midlothian	3	1680	61.46%	@ Dundee	0	1462	18.92%	19.62%
25	2018-12-19	45.7	@ Celtic	3	1848	75.29%	Motherwell	0	1559	9.53%	15.18%