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2019-20 Premiership Season

179 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

80 points · 51st Title

Last Title: 2018-19

Relegated

Heart of Midlothian

23 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Celtic

11.47 points above expected

80 points · 68.53 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Heart of Midlothian

11.71 points below expected

23 points · 34.71 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic Champion 30 26 2 2 80 89 19 +70 68.53 +11.47
2 Rangers 29 21 4 4 67 64 19 +45 63.08 +3.92
3 Motherwell 30 14 4 12 46 41 38 +3 41.71 +4.29
4 Aberdeen 30 12 9 9 45 40 36 +4 47.49 -2.49
5 Livingston 30 10 9 11 39 41 39 +2 36.74 +2.26
6 Hibernian 30 9 10 11 37 42 49 -7 44.65 -7.65
7 St. Johnstone 29 8 12 9 36 28 46 -18 29.81 +6.19
8 Kilmarnock 30 9 6 15 33 31 41 -10 44.02 -11.02
9 St. Mirren 30 7 8 15 29 24 41 -17 28.71 +0.29
10 Ross County 30 7 8 15 29 29 60 -31 29.93 -0.93
11 Hamilton Academical 30 6 9 15 27 30 50 -20 24.83 +2.17
12 Heart of Midlothian Relegated 30 4 11 15 23 31 52 -21 34.71 -11.71

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 80 68.53 +11.47
2 St. Johnstone 36 29.81 +6.19
3 Motherwell 46 41.71 +4.29
4 Rangers 67 63.08 +3.92
5 Livingston 39 36.74 +2.26

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Heart of Midlothian 23 34.71 -11.71
2 Kilmarnock 33 44.02 -11.02
3 Hibernian 37 44.65 -7.65
4 Aberdeen 45 47.49 -2.49
5 Ross County 29 29.93 -0.93

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hamilton Academical 2 Mar 4 – Mar 7 1 in 68
2 Celtic 11 Oct 19 – Dec 26 1 in 51
3 Livingston 4 Dec 29 – Feb 1 1 in 25
4 Motherwell 3 Aug 24 – Sep 14 1 in 22
5 Hibernian 3 Nov 9 – Nov 26 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kilmarnock 7 Dec 7 – Jan 25 1 in 1,026
2 Heart of Midlothian 5 Dec 7 – Dec 26 1 in 82
3 Hibernian 3 Aug 31 – Sep 22 1 in 25
4 Motherwell 3 Feb 1 – Feb 12 1 in 13
5 Livingston 3 Sep 14 – Sep 28 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Johnstone 7 Feb 1 – Mar 7 1 in 97
2 Hibernian 9 Sep 28 – Nov 30 1 in 50
3 Hamilton Academical 4 Feb 15 – Mar 7 1 in 48
4 Rangers 16 Sep 14 – Jan 22 1 in 21
5 Heart of Midlothian 4 Dec 29 – Feb 1 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 10 Aug 11 – Oct 30 1 in 140
2 Kilmarnock 9 Nov 30 – Jan 25 1 in 91
3 Heart of Midlothian 10 Nov 23 – Jan 22 1 in 35
4 Aberdeen 5 Dec 29 – Feb 5 1 in 26
5 Motherwell 6 Jan 25 – Feb 25 1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Celtic 1998 80 +14 13 11.8 +1.2
Rangers 1926 67 -20 7 11.5 -4.5
Motherwell 1696 46 -8 5 8.6 -3.6
Aberdeen 1749 45 +2 7 7.8 -0.8
Livingston 1693 39 -3 5 5.6 -0.6
Hibernian 1709 37 -9 7 8.0 -1.0
St. Johnstone 1631 36 +17 9 5.6 +3.4
Kilmarnock 1686 33 -8 4 5.7 -1.7
St. Mirren 1601 29 +7 7 4.8 +2.2
Ross County 1586 29 -13 4 4.3 -0.3
Hamilton Academical 1566 27 +17 8 4.0 +4.0
Heart of Midlothian 1622 23 +4 5 5.5 -0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL HA HOM HIB KIL LIV MOT RAN RC SJ SM
Aberdeen —
0-0-3
2.33
3-0-0
6.02
1-1-0
3.61
1-1-1
4.85
1-2-0
4.18
2-0-0
3.37
1-0-1
3.11
0-2-1
2.43
2-0-1
5.83
0-2-1
5.92
1-1-1
5.70
Celtic
3-0-0
5.98
 —
3-0-0
7.38
3-0-0
7.09
1-1-0
4.26
3-0-0
6.67
1-1-1
6.74
3-0-0
6.40
1-0-1
2.95
3-0-0
7.21
2-0-0
4.60
3-0-0
7.46
Hamilton Academical
0-0-3
2.29
0-0-3
1.18
 —
1-2-0
3.00
0-1-1
1.75
2-1-0
2.56
1-1-1
3.10
1-1-1
2.86
1-0-2
1.18
0-1-1
2.27
0-0-2
2.43
0-2-1
3.53
Heart of Midlothian
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-3
1.41
0-2-1
5.23
 —
2-0-1
2.96
0-0-3
3.53
0-2-0
2.74
0-1-2
3.70
1-1-1
1.73
0-2-0
2.88
0-1-2
4.39
1-1-1
4.50
Hibernian
1-1-1
3.35
0-1-1
1.31
1-1-0
3.76
1-0-2
5.28
 —
1-1-1
3.83
0-2-1
4.76
1-1-1
4.21
0-0-3
2.20
1-1-1
5.46
1-1-0
3.37
2-1-0
5.66
Kilmarnock
0-2-1
4.01
0-0-3
1.74
0-1-2
5.72
3-0-0
4.67
1-1-1
4.36
 —
1-0-1
3.40
0-0-2
3.03
1-0-2
2.41
1-1-1
5.45
1-1-1
5.12
1-0-1
3.68
Livingston
0-0-2
2.11
1-1-1
1.68
1-1-1
5.12
0-2-0
2.72
1-2-0
3.44
1-0-1
2.08
 —
1-1-1
4.07
0-0-3
1.87
2-0-1
4.60
1-1-1
4.56
2-1-0
5.20
Motherwell
1-0-1
2.36
0-0-3
1.96
1-1-1
5.40
2-1-0
4.51
1-1-1
3.98
2-0-0
2.43
1-1-1
4.12
 —
0-0-2
1.38
2-0-1
5.35
2-0-1
4.81
2-0-1
5.42
Rangers
1-2-0
5.86
1-0-1
2.51
2-0-1
7.37
1-1-1
6.69
3-0-0
6.12
2-0-1
5.91
3-0-0
6.51
2-0-0
4.18
 —
3-0-0
6.95
1-1-0
4.24
2-0-0
4.60
Ross County
1-0-2
2.45
0-0-3
1.31
1-1-0
3.20
0-2-0
2.58
1-1-1
2.78
1-1-1
2.80
1-0-2
3.61
1-0-2
2.88
0-0-3
1.52
 —
0-3-0
4.20
1-0-1
2.84
St. Johnstone
1-2-0
2.37
0-0-2
1.04
2-0-0
3.03
2-1-0
3.81
0-1-1
2.11
1-1-1
3.11
1-1-1
3.65
1-0-2
3.40
0-1-1
1.33
0-3-0
4.00
 —
0-2-1
4.13
St. Mirren
1-1-1
2.57
0-0-3
1.11
1-2-0
4.68
1-1-1
3.70
0-1-2
2.61
1-0-1
1.82
0-1-2
3.03
1-0-2
2.82
0-0-2
1.05
1-0-1
2.62
1-2-0
4.06
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.91 +8.8
Allowed 0.82 -12.5
Differential 0.96 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.94%8.38%4.75%3.63%1.96%1.96%29.61%
18.38%7.26%9.22%3.63%1.40%0.28%30.17%
24.75%9.22%8.38%1.12%0.28%0.56%24.30%
33.63%3.63%1.12%1.12%——9.50%
41.96%1.40%0.28%———3.63%
5+1.96%0.28%0.56%———2.79%
Total29.61%30.17%24.30%9.50%3.63%2.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.37 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 2.01
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 179

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%—3.33%3.33%3.33%30.00%
16.67%13.33%10.00%———30.00%
23.33%6.67%6.67%———16.67%
310.00%10.00%3.33%———23.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%40.00%20.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.20 +0.13
SD 1.15 1.21 1.89
CV 0.87 1.01 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.33%———3.33%
13.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
216.67%13.33%3.33%———33.33%
36.67%13.33%————20.00%
410.00%6.67%————16.67%
5+13.33%—3.33%———16.67%
Total50.00%36.67%13.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.97 0.63 +2.33
SD 1.59 0.72 1.95
CV 0.53 1.13 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%—3.33%—3.33%33.33%
16.67%6.67%6.67%10.00%3.33%—33.33%
23.33%10.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%—33.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%33.33%20.00%16.67%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.67 -0.67
SD 0.83 1.35 1.47
CV 0.83 0.81 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%16.67%6.67%3.33%—6.67%46.67%
1—13.33%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
2—6.67%6.67%10.00%——23.33%
3—3.33%—3.33%——6.67%
4———————
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total13.33%40.00%20.00%20.00%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.73 -0.70
SD 1.25 1.31 1.66
CV 1.21 0.76 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%—10.00%6.67%——20.00%
13.33%13.33%10.00%6.67%—3.33%36.67%
23.33%10.00%16.67%———30.00%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total16.67%30.00%36.67%13.33%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.63 -0.23
SD 1.04 1.25 1.89
CV 0.74 0.76 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%3.33%6.67%——36.67%
110.00%—13.33%10.00%——33.33%
23.33%6.67%10.00%———20.00%
33.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%26.67%30.00%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.37 -0.33
SD 1.00 1.07 1.47
CV 0.97 0.78 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%10.00%—3.33%—30.00%
16.67%6.67%13.33%3.33%——30.00%
26.67%6.67%10.00%———23.33%
33.33%——3.33%——6.67%
43.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
5+———————
Total30.00%23.33%36.67%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.30 +0.07
SD 1.27 1.09 1.74
CV 0.93 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%—26.67%
113.33%3.33%16.67%3.33%——36.67%
23.33%10.00%———3.33%16.67%
36.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total36.67%23.33%26.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.27 +0.10
SD 1.22 1.31 1.95
CV 0.89 1.04 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.45%3.45%3.45%———10.34%
117.24%3.45%6.90%———27.59%
210.34%13.79%6.90%———31.03%
33.45%6.90%————10.34%
46.90%—————6.90%
5+10.34%3.45%————13.79%
Total51.72%31.03%17.24%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.21 0.66 +1.55
SD 1.61 0.77 1.96
CV 0.73 1.17 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%3.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%36.67%
13.33%6.67%6.67%6.67%10.00%—33.33%
23.33%13.33%10.00%———26.67%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%23.33%20.00%16.67%16.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 2.00 -1.03
SD 0.89 1.58 2.06
CV 0.92 0.79 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.34%10.34%3.45%3.45%6.90%3.45%37.93%
117.24%13.79%——3.45%—34.48%
2—6.90%13.79%———20.69%
3——3.45%3.45%——6.90%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.59%31.03%20.69%6.90%10.34%3.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.59 -0.62
SD 0.94 1.64 1.92
CV 0.98 1.03 —
Max 3 7 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%—3.33%43.33%
113.33%3.33%20.00%———36.67%
23.33%6.67%3.33%——3.33%16.67%
3———3.33%——3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%23.33%30.00%6.67%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.37 -0.57
SD 0.85 1.38 1.45
CV 1.06 1.01 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1998 80 72.67 +7.33 93.0% 58 62 69 73 77 81 86
Rangers 1926 67 68.60 -1.60 40.0% 48 57 64 69 74 79 86
Aberdeen 1749 45 51.63 -6.63 15.0% 39 42 47 52 56 62 68
Hibernian 1709 37 48.79 -11.79 5.0% 30 36 45 48 53 60 67
Motherwell 1696 46 45.85 +0.15 54.0% 28 35 42 46 49 57 65
Livingston 1693 39 40.88 -1.88 45.0% 18 28 36 41 46 53 57
Kilmarnock 1686 33 48.16 -15.16 3.0% 28 39 43 48 51 60 68
St. Johnstone 1631 36 35.33 +0.67 61.0% 20 25 30 35 39 49 53
Heart of Midlothian 1622 23 38.85 -15.85 0.0% 24 27 33 39 43 51 56
St. Mirren 1601 29 32.85 -3.85 35.0% 18 22 28 33 38 44 46
Ross County 1586 29 34.07 -5.07 27.0% 17 22 29 34 39 45 50
Hamilton Academical 1566 27 28.97 -1.97 46.0% 12 19 25 29 34 39 48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+13.97%
Slight Edge
44.13%25.70%30.17%
Elo Value
Home Edge
155 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
048.84400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.37 goals
Neutral
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
66%
Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.43/gm
Runaway
00.260.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.19 * Some Luck: 5.19 to 7.79 * Lucky: 7.79 to 10.39 * Wild Swing: 10.39 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.14 * Close: 1.14 to 1.71 * Off: 1.71 to 2.27 * Way Off: 2.27 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.65 * A Surprise: 0.65 to 1.04 * Several Surprises: 1.04 to 1.43 * Many Surprises: 1.43 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.17 points
Some Luck
06.4916
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
01.423
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.55%
Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.30%
Heart of Midlothian
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 1
A Surprise
00.71

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 132.70
2.36
Wide Separation
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
64%
Even
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
92%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Very Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Occasional
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.34
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.65
Some Carryover
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Solid Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.16
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.086
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Celtic66.00%34.00%——————————
Rangers34.00%55.00%8.00%2.00%—1.00%——————
Motherwell—1.00%14.00%15.00%16.00%14.00%19.00%11.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%—
Aberdeen—3.00%33.00%29.00%19.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%————
Livingston—2.00%2.00%9.00%11.00%23.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%7.00%9.00%2.00%
Hibernian—3.00%21.00%19.00%20.00%16.00%12.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%——
St. Johnstone——1.00%2.00%6.00%4.00%6.00%16.00%12.00%22.00%17.00%14.00%
Kilmarnock—2.00%20.00%15.00%20.00%18.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
St. Mirren————2.00%2.00%11.00%13.00%15.00%16.00%17.00%24.00%
Ross County———1.00%1.00%5.00%9.00%15.00%18.00%19.00%14.00%18.00%
Hamilton Academical————1.00%—3.00%3.00%10.00%17.00%31.00%35.00%
Heart of Midlothian——1.00%8.00%4.00%10.00%13.00%15.00%20.00%13.00%10.00%6.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Direct relegation
Aberdeen 100% —
Celtic 100% —
Hibernian 100% —
Motherwell 100% —
Rangers 100% —
Kilmarnock 99.00% 1.00%
Livingston 98.00% 2.00%
Heart of Midlothian 94.00% 6.00%
St. Johnstone 86.00% 14.00%
Ross County 82.00% 18.00%
St. Mirren 76.00% 24.00%
Hamilton Academical 65.00% 35.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2019-08-03 Hamilton Academical W 3-049.4 1641 1577 51.63% 25.55% 22.82%+0.73 +12.9 3
2019-08-03 @ Ross County L 0-349.4 1577 1641 22.82% 25.55% 51.63%-0.73 -12.9 0
2019-08-03 Motherwell D 0-065.6 1650 1669 40.75% 27.12% 32.13%+0.20 -0.4 1
2019-08-03 @ Livingston D 0-065.6 1669 1650 32.13% 27.12% 40.75%-0.20 +0.4 1
2019-08-03 St. Johnstone W 7-048.2 1878 1658 68.82% 19.19% 11.99%+1.74 +14.6 3
2019-08-03 @ Celtic L 0-748.2 1658 1878 11.99% 19.19% 68.82%-1.74 -14.6 0
2019-08-03 St. Mirren W 1-053.6 1745 1618 59.13% 23.34% 17.53%+1.14 +3.7 3
2019-08-03 @ Hibernian L 0-153.6 1618 1745 17.53% 23.34% 59.13%-1.14 -3.7 0
2019-08-04 Heart of Midlothian W 3-266.9 1752 1680 52.67% 25.30% 22.03%+0.78 +4.1 3
2019-08-04 @ Aberdeen L 2-366.9 1680 1752 22.03% 25.30% 52.67%-0.78 -4.1 0
2019-08-04 Rangers L 1-265.5 1754 1841 31.09% 27.04% 41.87%-0.25 -5.8 0
2019-08-04 @ Kilmarnock W 2-165.5 1841 1754 41.87% 27.04% 31.09%+0.25 +5.8 3
2019-08-10 Celtic L 2-558.0 1669 1892 17.61% 23.39% 59.00%-1.13 -7.4 1
2019-08-10 @ Motherwell W 5-258.0 1892 1669 59.00% 23.39% 17.61%+1.13 +7.4 6
2019-08-10 Kilmarnock W 2-061.8 1564 1748 20.80% 24.86% 54.33%-0.87 +17.7 3
2019-08-10 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-261.8 1748 1564 54.33% 24.86% 20.80%+0.87 -17.7 0
2019-08-10 Livingston D 2-275.8 1643 1650 42.31% 27.00% 30.68%+0.27 -0.3 1
2019-08-10 @ St. Johnstone D 2-275.8 1650 1643 30.68% 27.00% 42.31%-0.27 +0.3 2
2019-08-10 Ross County D 0-065.8 1676 1654 46.18% 26.57% 27.25%+0.45 -0.8 1
2019-08-10 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-065.8 1654 1676 27.25% 26.57% 46.18%-0.45 +0.8 4
2019-08-11 Aberdeen W 1-063.9 1614 1756 24.76% 26.07% 49.17%-0.60 +8.7 3
2019-08-11 @ St. Mirren L 0-163.9 1756 1614 49.17% 26.07% 24.76%+0.60 -8.7 3
2019-08-11 Hibernian W 6-153.8 1847 1748 55.89% 24.41% 19.70%+0.95 +15.0 6
2019-08-11 @ Rangers L 1-653.8 1748 1847 19.70% 24.41% 55.89%-0.95 -15.0 3
2019-08-24 Aberdeen D 0-066.7 1730 1747 40.90% 27.11% 31.99%+0.21 -0.4 1
2019-08-24 @ Kilmarnock D 0-066.7 1747 1730 31.99% 27.11% 40.90%-0.21 +0.4 4
2019-08-24 Livingston L 1-462.8 1655 1650 43.87% 26.86% 29.28%+0.34 -18.3 4
2019-08-24 @ Ross County W 4-162.8 1650 1655 29.28% 26.86% 43.87%-0.34 +18.3 5
2019-08-24 Motherwell L 1-360.8 1582 1662 32.17% 27.12% 40.71%-0.20 -10.2 3
2019-08-24 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-160.8 1662 1582 40.71% 27.12% 32.17%+0.20 +10.2 4
2019-08-24 St. Johnstone D 2-277.4 1733 1643 54.88% 24.71% 20.41%+0.90 -1.0 4
2019-08-24 @ Hibernian D 2-277.4 1643 1733 20.41% 24.71% 54.88%-0.90 +1.0 2
2019-08-25 Heart of Midlothian W 3-154.7 1900 1675 69.29% 18.96% 11.75%+1.77 +3.8 9
2019-08-25 @ Celtic L 1-354.7 1675 1900 11.75% 18.96% 69.29%-1.77 -3.8 1
2019-08-25 Rangers L 0-153.8 1623 1862 16.49% 22.73% 60.78%-1.23 -3.4 3
2019-08-25 @ St. Mirren W 1-053.8 1862 1623 60.78% 22.73% 16.49%+1.23 +3.4 9
2019-08-31 Hamilton Academical D 2-275.8 1671 1572 55.90% 24.41% 19.69%+0.95 -1.1 2
2019-08-31 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-275.8 1572 1671 19.69% 24.41% 55.90%-0.95 +1.1 4
2019-08-31 Hibernian W 3-056.8 1672 1732 34.73% 27.23% 38.04%-0.08 +19.4 7
2019-08-31 @ Motherwell L 0-356.8 1732 1672 38.04% 27.23% 34.73%+0.08 -19.4 4
2019-08-31 Kilmarnock L 0-158.9 1644 1730 31.30% 27.06% 41.64%-0.24 -6.1 2
2019-08-31 @ St. Johnstone W 1-058.9 1730 1644 41.64% 27.06% 31.30%+0.24 +6.1 4
2019-08-31 Ross County W 3-049.9 1748 1637 57.31% 23.96% 18.73%+1.03 +10.7 7
2019-08-31 @ Aberdeen L 0-349.9 1637 1748 18.73% 23.96% 57.31%-1.03 -10.7 4
2019-08-31 St. Mirren W 2-161.2 1669 1619 49.84% 25.94% 24.23%+0.64 +4.7 8
2019-08-31 @ Livingston L 1-261.2 1619 1669 24.23% 25.94% 49.84%-0.64 -4.7 3
2019-09-01 Celtic L 0-259.3 1866 1904 37.91% 27.23% 34.85%+0.07 -13.3 9
2019-09-01 @ Rangers W 2-059.3 1904 1866 34.85% 27.23% 37.91%-0.07 +13.3 12
2019-09-14 Celtic L 0-150.7 1573 1917 10.77% 17.95% 71.28%-1.91 -2.1 4
2019-09-14 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-050.7 1917 1573 71.28% 17.95% 10.77%+1.91 +2.1 15
2019-09-14 Hibernian W 2-055.2 1736 1713 46.40% 26.54% 27.06%+0.47 +10.3 7
2019-09-14 @ Kilmarnock L 0-255.2 1713 1736 27.06% 26.54% 46.40%-0.47 -10.3 4
2019-09-14 Livingston W 3-156.0 1852 1673 64.71% 21.11% 14.18%+1.47 +4.8 12
2019-09-14 @ Rangers L 1-356.0 1673 1852 14.18% 21.11% 64.71%-1.47 -4.8 8
2019-09-14 Motherwell L 2-372.4 1670 1691 40.30% 27.14% 32.56%+0.18 -6.6 2
2019-09-14 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-272.4 1691 1670 32.56% 27.14% 40.30%-0.18 +6.6 10
2019-09-14 St. Johnstone D 1-172.0 1758 1638 58.40% 23.60% 18.00%+1.09 -1.6 8
2019-09-14 @ Aberdeen D 1-172.0 1638 1758 18.00% 23.60% 58.40%-1.09 +1.6 3
2019-09-14 St. Mirren W 2-162.0 1626 1614 44.82% 26.75% 28.43%+0.39 +5.4 7
2019-09-14 @ Ross County L 1-262.0 1614 1626 28.43% 26.75% 44.82%-0.39 -5.4 3
2019-09-21 Aberdeen L 0-256.5 1669 1757 31.03% 27.04% 41.94%-0.25 -11.5 8
2019-09-21 @ Livingston W 2-056.5 1757 1669 41.94% 27.04% 31.03%+0.25 +11.5 11
2019-09-21 Hamilton Academical D 0-063.4 1609 1571 48.37% 26.22% 25.42%+0.56 -1.0 4
2019-09-21 @ St. Mirren D 0-063.4 1571 1609 25.42% 26.22% 48.37%-0.56 +1.0 5
2019-09-21 Ross County L 1-269.9 1698 1631 51.98% 25.47% 22.55%+0.75 -8.5 10
2019-09-21 @ Motherwell W 2-169.9 1631 1698 22.55% 25.47% 51.98%-0.75 +8.5 10
2019-09-22 Heart of Midlothian L 1-269.4 1702 1663 48.51% 26.19% 25.30%+0.57 -8.1 4
2019-09-22 @ Hibernian W 2-169.4 1663 1702 25.30% 26.19% 48.51%-0.57 +8.1 5
2019-09-22 Kilmarnock W 3-156.4 1919 1746 64.09% 21.38% 14.53%+1.43 +4.9 18
2019-09-22 @ Celtic L 1-356.4 1746 1919 14.53% 21.38% 64.09%-1.43 -4.9 7
2019-09-22 Rangers L 0-449.8 1639 1857 18.05% 23.62% 58.33%-1.09 -13.5 3
2019-09-22 @ St. Johnstone W 4-049.8 1857 1639 58.33% 23.62% 18.05%+1.09 +13.5 15
2019-09-28 Aberdeen W 5-051.1 1870 1768 56.29% 24.29% 19.42%+0.98 +17.9 18
2019-09-28 @ Rangers L 0-551.1 1768 1870 19.42% 24.29% 56.29%-0.98 -17.9 11
2019-09-28 Celtic D 1-172.9 1694 1924 17.18% 23.14% 59.68%-1.17 +1.7 5
2019-09-28 @ Hibernian D 1-172.9 1924 1694 59.68% 23.14% 17.18%+1.17 -1.7 19
2019-09-28 Heart of Midlothian D 0-065.0 1608 1671 34.34% 27.22% 38.44%-0.09 +0.2 5
2019-09-28 @ St. Mirren D 0-065.0 1671 1608 38.44% 27.22% 34.34%+0.09 -0.2 6
2019-09-28 Livingston W 2-165.8 1572 1657 31.40% 27.07% 41.54%-0.23 +7.1 8
2019-09-28 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-265.8 1657 1572 41.54% 27.07% 31.40%+0.23 -7.1 8
2019-09-28 Motherwell L 0-159.3 1626 1689 34.32% 27.22% 38.46%-0.09 -6.6 3
2019-09-28 @ St. Johnstone W 1-059.3 1689 1626 38.46% 27.22% 34.32%+0.09 +6.6 13
2019-09-28 Ross County D 0-067.0 1741 1640 56.22% 24.31% 19.47%+0.97 -1.6 8
2019-09-28 @ Kilmarnock D 0-067.0 1640 1741 19.47% 24.31% 56.22%-0.97 +1.6 11
2019-10-05 Hibernian D 1-171.6 1750 1696 50.43% 25.82% 23.75%+0.67 -1.0 12
2019-10-05 @ Aberdeen D 1-171.6 1696 1750 23.75% 25.82% 50.43%-0.67 +1.0 6
2019-10-05 Kilmarnock L 0-159.9 1671 1740 33.60% 27.20% 39.20%-0.13 -6.5 6
2019-10-05 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-059.9 1740 1671 39.20% 27.20% 33.60%+0.13 +6.5 11
2019-10-05 St. Johnstone D 2-275.5 1641 1619 46.25% 26.56% 27.19%+0.46 -0.5 12
2019-10-05 @ Ross County D 2-275.5 1619 1641 27.19% 26.56% 46.25%-0.46 +0.5 4
2019-10-05 St. Mirren W 2-051.6 1696 1608 54.55% 24.80% 20.65%+0.88 +8.1 16
2019-10-05 @ Motherwell L 0-251.6 1608 1696 20.65% 24.80% 54.55%-0.88 -8.1 5
2019-10-06 Celtic W 2-065.2 1650 1922 14.42% 21.30% 64.28%-1.44 +20.3 11
2019-10-06 @ Livingston L 0-265.2 1922 1650 64.28% 21.30% 14.42%+1.44 -20.3 19
2019-10-06 Hamilton Academical W 5-044.5 1888 1579 76.72% 15.00% 8.29%+2.31 +6.8 21
2019-10-06 @ Rangers L 0-544.5 1579 1888 8.29% 15.00% 76.72%-2.31 -6.8 8
2019-10-19 Aberdeen L 0-356.8 1704 1749 36.88% 27.25% 35.88%+0.02 -19.0 16
2019-10-19 @ Motherwell W 3-056.8 1749 1704 35.88% 27.25% 36.88%-0.02 +19.0 15
2019-10-19 Hibernian D 1-169.7 1572 1697 26.61% 26.46% 46.93%-0.49 +0.8 9
2019-10-19 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-169.7 1697 1572 46.93% 26.46% 26.61%+0.49 -0.8 7
2019-10-19 Livingston W 2-161.5 1746 1670 53.15% 25.18% 21.67%+0.81 +4.2 14
2019-10-19 @ Kilmarnock L 1-261.5 1670 1746 21.67% 25.18% 53.15%-0.81 -4.2 11
2019-10-19 Ross County W 6-046.6 1902 1641 72.63% 17.24% 10.13%+2.00 +10.3 22
2019-10-19 @ Celtic L 0-646.6 1641 1902 10.13% 17.24% 72.63%-2.00 -10.3 12
2019-10-19 St. Johnstone W 2-054.5 1600 1620 40.52% 27.13% 32.34%+0.19 +11.9 8
2019-10-19 @ St. Mirren L 0-254.5 1620 1600 32.34% 27.13% 40.52%-0.19 -11.9 4
2019-10-20 Rangers D 1-172.8 1665 1895 17.12% 23.11% 59.78%-1.17 +1.7 7
2019-10-20 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-172.8 1895 1665 59.78% 23.11% 17.12%+1.17 -1.7 22
2019-10-26 Hamilton Academical W 3-265.0 1608 1573 47.96% 26.29% 25.75%+0.54 +4.7 7
2019-10-26 @ St. Johnstone L 2-365.0 1573 1608 25.75% 26.29% 47.96%-0.54 -4.7 9
2019-10-26 Heart of Midlothian D 0-065.8 1666 1666 43.21% 26.92% 29.87%+0.31 -0.5 12
2019-10-26 @ Livingston D 0-065.8 1666 1666 29.87% 26.92% 43.21%-0.31 +0.5 8
2019-10-26 Ross County D 2-276.7 1696 1631 51.89% 25.49% 22.62%+0.74 -0.8 8
2019-10-26 @ Hibernian D 2-276.7 1631 1696 22.62% 25.49% 51.89%-0.74 +0.8 13
2019-10-26 St. Mirren W 1-053.2 1751 1612 60.41% 22.87% 16.72%+1.21 +3.5 17
2019-10-26 @ Kilmarnock L 0-153.2 1612 1751 16.72% 22.87% 60.41%-1.21 -3.5 8
2019-10-27 Celtic L 0-452.8 1768 1912 24.55% 26.02% 49.43%-0.62 -18.0 15
2019-10-27 @ Aberdeen W 4-052.8 1912 1768 49.43% 26.02% 24.55%+0.62 +18.0 25
2019-10-27 Motherwell W 2-157.7 1893 1685 67.70% 19.74% 12.57%+1.66 +2.4 25
2019-10-27 @ Rangers L 1-257.7 1685 1893 12.57% 19.74% 67.70%-1.66 -2.4 16
2019-10-30 Aberdeen L 0-154.6 1568 1750 20.93% 24.91% 54.16%-0.86 -4.4 9
2019-10-30 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-054.6 1750 1568 54.16% 24.91% 20.93%+0.86 +4.4 18
2019-10-30 Heart of Midlothian W 1-059.7 1613 1667 35.60% 27.25% 37.16%-0.04 +7.0 10
2019-10-30 @ St. Johnstone L 0-159.7 1667 1613 37.16% 27.25% 35.60%+0.04 -7.0 8
2019-10-30 Kilmarnock W 2-167.6 1683 1754 33.22% 27.18% 39.60%-0.15 +6.9 19
2019-10-30 @ Motherwell L 1-267.6 1754 1683 39.60% 27.18% 33.22%+0.15 -6.9 17
2019-10-30 Livingston D 2-276.8 1696 1665 47.31% 26.40% 26.30%+0.51 -0.6 9
2019-10-30 @ Hibernian D 2-276.8 1665 1696 26.30% 26.40% 47.31%-0.51 +0.6 13
2019-10-30 Rangers L 0-448.4 1631 1896 14.89% 21.65% 63.46%-1.39 -11.0 13
2019-10-30 @ Ross County W 4-048.4 1896 1631 63.46% 21.65% 14.89%+1.39 +11.0 28
2019-10-30 St. Mirren W 2-046.2 1930 1609 77.71% 14.43% 7.86%+2.39 +2.7 28
2019-10-30 @ Celtic L 0-246.2 1609 1930 7.86% 14.43% 77.71%-2.39 -2.7 8
2019-11-02 Kilmarnock W 3-054.4 1755 1747 44.29% 26.81% 28.90%+0.36 +15.8 21
2019-11-02 @ Aberdeen L 0-354.4 1747 1755 28.90% 26.81% 44.29%-0.36 -15.8 17
2019-11-02 Livingston W 2-163.0 1689 1666 46.43% 26.53% 27.04%+0.47 +5.1 22
2019-11-02 @ Motherwell L 1-263.0 1666 1689 27.04% 26.53% 46.43%-0.47 -5.1 13
2019-11-02 Ross County D 2-273.8 1564 1620 35.30% 27.24% 37.46%-0.05 +0.1 10
2019-11-02 @ Hamilton Academical D 2-273.8 1620 1564 37.46% 27.24% 35.30%+0.05 -0.1 14
2019-11-09 Aberdeen L 1-359.7 1620 1770 23.93% 25.86% 50.21%-0.65 -8.0 14
2019-11-09 @ Ross County W 3-159.7 1770 1620 50.21% 25.86% 23.93%+0.65 +8.0 24
2019-11-09 Hamilton Academical D 2-277.5 1731 1564 63.52% 21.63% 14.86%+1.40 -1.5 18
2019-11-09 @ Kilmarnock D 2-277.5 1564 1731 14.86% 21.63% 63.52%-1.40 +1.5 11
2019-11-09 Hibernian L 1-459.6 1620 1695 32.70% 27.15% 40.14%-0.17 -14.7 10
2019-11-09 @ St. Johnstone W 4-159.6 1695 1620 40.14% 27.15% 32.70%+0.17 +14.6 12
2019-11-09 St. Mirren W 5-258.5 1660 1606 50.43% 25.82% 23.76%+0.67 +9.8 11
2019-11-09 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-558.5 1606 1660 23.76% 25.82% 50.43%-0.67 -9.8 8
2019-11-10 Motherwell W 2-048.5 1933 1695 70.56% 18.32% 11.12%+1.86 +4.2 31
2019-11-10 @ Celtic L 0-248.5 1695 1933 11.12% 18.32% 70.56%-1.86 -4.2 22
2019-11-10 Rangers L 0-251.1 1661 1907 16.06% 22.46% 61.48%-1.27 -6.3 13
2019-11-10 @ Livingston W 2-051.1 1907 1661 61.48% 22.46% 16.06%+1.27 +6.3 31
2019-11-23 Heart of Midlothian W 3-051.9 1730 1670 51.17% 25.65% 23.17%+0.70 +13.1 21
2019-11-23 @ Kilmarnock L 0-351.9 1670 1730 23.17% 25.65% 51.17%-0.70 -13.1 11
2019-11-23 Livingston W 4-045.2 1937 1655 74.50% 16.23% 9.27%+2.14 +6.3 34
2019-11-23 @ Celtic L 0-445.2 1655 1937 9.27% 16.23% 74.50%-2.14 -6.3 13
2019-11-23 Motherwell W 3-161.1 1710 1690 45.86% 26.61% 27.53%+0.44 +9.1 15
2019-11-23 @ Hibernian L 1-361.1 1690 1710 27.53% 26.61% 45.86%-0.44 -9.0 22
2019-11-23 Ross County W 2-162.5 1596 1612 41.01% 27.10% 31.89%+0.21 +5.9 11
2019-11-23 @ St. Mirren L 1-262.5 1612 1596 31.89% 27.10% 41.01%-0.21 -5.9 14
2019-11-24 Aberdeen D 1-171.4 1605 1778 21.69% 25.19% 53.12%-0.81 +1.2 11
2019-11-24 @ St. Johnstone D 1-171.4 1778 1605 53.12% 25.19% 21.69%+0.81 -1.2 25
2019-11-24 Rangers L 1-353.7 1565 1913 10.61% 17.77% 71.63%-1.93 -3.4 11
2019-11-24 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-153.7 1913 1565 71.63% 17.77% 10.61%+1.93 +3.4 34
2019-11-26 Hibernian L 1-262.8 1602 1719 27.54% 26.61% 45.85%-0.44 -5.2 11
2019-11-26 @ St. Mirren W 2-162.8 1719 1602 45.85% 26.61% 27.54%+0.44 +5.2 18
2019-11-30 Hamilton Academical D 0-064.5 1648 1562 54.39% 24.85% 20.77%+0.87 -1.5 14
2019-11-30 @ Livingston D 0-064.5 1562 1648 20.77% 24.85% 54.39%-0.87 +1.5 12
2019-11-30 Kilmarnock D 2-277.2 1724 1743 40.61% 27.13% 32.27%+0.19 -0.2 19
2019-11-30 @ Hibernian D 2-277.2 1743 1724 32.27% 27.13% 40.61%-0.19 +0.2 22
2019-11-30 St. Johnstone W 4-049.8 1681 1606 53.05% 25.21% 21.75%+0.80 +16.1 25
2019-11-30 @ Motherwell L 0-449.8 1606 1681 21.75% 25.21% 53.05%-0.80 -16.1 11
2019-11-30 St. Mirren W 2-157.6 1777 1597 64.89% 21.03% 14.08%+1.48 +2.7 28
2019-11-30 @ Aberdeen L 1-257.6 1597 1777 14.08% 21.03% 64.89%-1.48 -2.7 11
2019-12-01 Celtic L 1-451.9 1606 1944 11.07% 18.27% 70.66%-1.86 -5.1 14
2019-12-01 @ Ross County W 4-151.9 1944 1606 70.66% 18.27% 11.07%+1.86 +5.1 37
2019-12-01 Heart of Midlothian W 5-046.1 1917 1657 72.52% 17.30% 10.18%+1.99 +8.8 37
2019-12-01 @ Rangers L 0-546.1 1657 1917 10.18% 17.30% 72.52%-1.99 -8.8 11
2019-12-04 Hamilton Academical W 2-153.1 1949 1564 82.32% 11.73% 5.95%+2.80 +1.0 40
2019-12-04 @ Celtic L 1-253.1 1564 1949 5.95% 11.73% 82.32%-2.80 -1.0 12
2019-12-04 Hibernian W 2-168.6 1601 1724 26.90% 26.51% 46.59%-0.47 +7.8 17
2019-12-04 @ Ross County L 1-268.6 1724 1601 46.59% 26.51% 26.90%+0.47 -7.8 19
2019-12-04 Livingston D 1-170.0 1648 1647 43.41% 26.90% 29.68%+0.32 -0.5 12
2019-12-04 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-170.0 1647 1648 29.68% 26.90% 43.41%-0.32 +0.5 15
2019-12-04 Motherwell L 0-352.9 1594 1698 29.09% 26.83% 44.07%-0.35 -15.9 11
2019-12-04 @ St. Mirren W 3-052.9 1698 1594 44.07% 26.83% 29.09%+0.35 +15.9 28
2019-12-04 Rangers D 2-278.0 1780 1925 24.42% 25.99% 49.60%-0.62 +0.7 29
2019-12-04 @ Aberdeen D 2-278.0 1925 1780 49.60% 25.99% 24.42%+0.62 -0.7 38
2019-12-04 St. Johnstone D 0-067.2 1743 1590 62.00% 22.25% 15.75%+1.30 -2.1 23
2019-12-04 @ Kilmarnock D 0-067.2 1590 1743 15.75% 22.25% 62.00%-1.30 +2.1 12
2019-12-07 Aberdeen W 3-057.5 1716 1781 34.12% 27.21% 38.67%-0.10 +19.7 22
2019-12-07 @ Hibernian L 0-357.5 1781 1716 38.67% 27.21% 34.12%+0.10 -19.7 29
2019-12-07 Heart of Midlothian W 1-055.7 1713 1647 51.91% 25.48% 22.60%+0.74 +4.7 31
2019-12-07 @ Motherwell L 0-155.7 1647 1713 22.60% 25.48% 51.91%-0.74 -4.7 12
2019-12-07 Kilmarnock W 3-058.1 1647 1741 30.30% 26.97% 42.73%-0.29 +21.2 18
2019-12-07 @ Livingston L 0-358.1 1741 1647 42.73% 26.97% 30.30%+0.29 -21.2 23
2019-12-07 St. Mirren L 0-157.8 1563 1578 41.11% 27.10% 31.80%+0.22 -7.5 12
2019-12-07 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-057.8 1578 1563 31.80% 27.10% 41.11%-0.22 +7.5 14
2019-12-14 Hamilton Academical W 1-050.6 1761 1555 67.45% 19.85% 12.69%+1.65 +2.6 32
2019-12-14 @ Aberdeen L 0-150.6 1555 1761 12.69% 19.85% 67.45%-1.65 -2.6 12
2019-12-14 Kilmarnock W 1-062.5 1609 1720 28.24% 26.72% 45.04%-0.40 +8.1 20
2019-12-14 @ Ross County L 0-162.5 1720 1609 45.04% 26.72% 28.24%+0.40 -8.1 23
2019-12-14 Livingston D 3-379.2 1586 1669 31.70% 27.09% 41.21%-0.22 +0.2 15
2019-12-14 @ St. Mirren D 3-379.2 1669 1586 41.21% 27.09% 31.70%+0.22 -0.2 19
2019-12-14 St. Johnstone L 0-162.4 1643 1592 49.97% 25.91% 24.12%+0.64 -8.8 12
2019-12-14 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-062.4 1592 1643 24.12% 25.91% 49.97%-0.64 +8.8 15
2019-12-15 Hibernian W 2-049.2 1950 1735 68.25% 19.47% 12.28%+1.70 +4.7 43
2019-12-15 @ Celtic L 0-249.2 1735 1950 12.28% 19.47% 68.25%-1.70 -4.7 22
2019-12-15 Rangers L 0-252.6 1718 1925 18.90% 24.05% 57.06%-1.02 -7.4 31
2019-12-15 @ Motherwell W 2-052.6 1925 1718 57.06% 24.05% 18.90%+1.02 +7.4 41
2019-12-18 Celtic L 0-248.9 1634 1954 11.86% 19.07% 69.07%-1.75 -4.5 12
2019-12-18 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-048.9 1954 1634 69.07% 19.07% 11.86%+1.75 +4.5 46
2019-12-20 Rangers L 0-351.1 1731 1932 19.32% 24.24% 56.44%-0.98 -11.0 22
2019-12-20 @ Hibernian W 3-051.1 1932 1731 56.44% 24.24% 19.32%+0.98 +11.0 44
2019-12-21 Aberdeen W 2-158.2 1959 1764 66.38% 20.36% 13.26%+1.58 +2.5 49
2019-12-21 @ Celtic L 1-258.2 1764 1959 13.26% 20.36% 66.38%-1.58 -2.5 32
2019-12-21 Heart of Midlothian W 2-164.4 1552 1629 32.47% 27.14% 40.39%-0.18 +7.0 15
2019-12-21 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-264.4 1629 1552 40.39% 27.14% 32.47%+0.18 -7.0 12
2019-12-21 Motherwell L 0-162.8 1712 1711 43.42% 26.90% 29.68%+0.32 -7.8 23
2019-12-21 @ Kilmarnock W 1-062.8 1711 1712 29.68% 26.90% 43.42%-0.32 +7.8 34
2019-12-21 Ross County W 4-050.7 1668 1617 50.03% 25.90% 24.07%+0.65 +17.7 22
2019-12-21 @ Livingston L 0-450.7 1617 1668 24.07% 25.90% 50.03%-0.65 -17.7 20
2019-12-21 St. Mirren D 0-063.4 1601 1586 45.32% 26.69% 28.00%+0.41 -0.7 16
2019-12-21 @ St. Johnstone D 0-063.4 1586 1601 28.00% 26.69% 45.32%-0.41 +0.7 16
2019-12-26 Celtic L 1-255.7 1587 1961 9.48% 16.49% 74.03%-2.11 -1.7 16
2019-12-26 @ St. Mirren W 2-155.7 1961 1587 74.03% 16.49% 9.48%+2.11 +1.7 52
2019-12-26 Hibernian L 0-255.4 1622 1720 29.87% 26.92% 43.21%-0.31 -11.2 12
2019-12-26 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-055.4 1720 1622 43.21% 26.92% 29.87%+0.31 +11.2 25
2019-12-26 Kilmarnock W 1-051.2 1943 1704 70.62% 18.29% 11.09%+1.86 +2.2 47
2019-12-26 @ Rangers L 0-151.2 1704 1943 11.09% 18.29% 70.62%-1.86 -2.2 23
2019-12-26 Livingston W 2-161.7 1761 1686 53.03% 25.21% 21.76%+0.80 +4.3 35
2019-12-26 @ Aberdeen L 1-261.7 1686 1761 21.76% 25.21% 53.03%-0.80 -4.2 22
2019-12-26 Motherwell L 1-262.7 1600 1718 27.29% 26.57% 46.14%-0.45 -5.2 20
2019-12-26 @ Ross County W 2-162.7 1718 1600 46.14% 26.57% 27.29%+0.45 +5.2 37
2019-12-26 St. Johnstone L 0-157.3 1559 1600 37.53% 27.24% 35.23%+0.05 -7.0 15
2019-12-26 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-057.3 1600 1559 35.23% 27.24% 37.53%-0.05 +7.0 19
2019-12-29 Aberdeen D 1-171.2 1611 1765 23.55% 25.76% 50.69%-0.68 +1.0 13
2019-12-29 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-171.2 1765 1611 50.69% 25.76% 23.55%+0.68 -1.0 36
2019-12-29 Hamilton Academical L 1-271.6 1724 1552 63.93% 21.45% 14.62%+1.42 -10.1 37
2019-12-29 @ Motherwell W 2-171.6 1552 1724 14.62% 21.45% 63.93%-1.42 +10.1 18
2019-12-29 Hibernian W 2-058.1 1682 1731 36.33% 27.25% 36.42%+0.00 +13.0 25
2019-12-29 @ Livingston L 0-258.1 1731 1682 36.42% 27.25% 36.33%+0.00 -13.0 25
2019-12-29 Kilmarnock W 1-062.2 1585 1702 27.52% 26.61% 45.87%-0.44 +8.2 19
2019-12-29 @ St. Mirren L 0-162.2 1702 1585 45.87% 26.61% 27.52%+0.44 -8.2 23
2019-12-29 Rangers L 1-269.9 1963 1945 45.67% 26.64% 27.69%+0.43 -7.7 52
2019-12-29 @ Celtic W 2-169.9 1945 1963 27.69% 26.64% 45.67%-0.43 +7.7 50
2019-12-29 Ross County D 1-168.4 1607 1594 45.01% 26.72% 28.26%+0.40 -0.6 20
2019-12-29 @ St. Johnstone D 1-168.4 1594 1607 28.26% 26.72% 45.01%-0.40 +0.6 21
2020-01-22 Celtic L 1-356.7 1694 1955 15.05% 21.77% 63.18%-1.38 -5.1 23
2020-01-22 @ Kilmarnock W 3-156.7 1955 1694 63.18% 21.77% 15.05%+1.38 +5.1 55
2020-01-22 Hamilton Academical W 2-157.4 1718 1563 62.25% 22.15% 15.60%+1.32 +3.0 28
2020-01-22 @ Hibernian L 1-257.4 1563 1718 15.60% 22.15% 62.25%-1.32 -3.0 18
2020-01-22 Heart of Midlothian D 0-063.8 1595 1612 40.85% 27.11% 32.04%+0.20 -0.4 22
2020-01-22 @ Ross County D 0-063.8 1612 1595 32.04% 27.11% 40.85%-0.20 +0.4 14
2020-01-22 Motherwell L 0-164.8 1764 1714 49.98% 25.91% 24.11%+0.64 -8.8 36
2020-01-22 @ Aberdeen W 1-064.8 1714 1764 24.11% 25.91% 49.98%-0.64 +8.8 40
2020-01-22 St. Johnstone W 1-054.3 1695 1607 54.61% 24.78% 20.60%+0.88 +4.3 28
2020-01-22 @ Livingston L 0-154.3 1607 1695 20.60% 24.78% 54.61%-0.88 -4.3 20
2020-01-22 St. Mirren W 1-048.0 1953 1593 80.58% 12.77% 6.66%+2.64 +1.2 53
2020-01-22 @ Rangers L 0-148.0 1593 1953 6.66% 12.77% 80.58%-2.64 -1.2 19
2020-01-25 Hibernian D 0-066.6 1722 1721 43.45% 26.90% 29.65%+0.32 -0.6 41
2020-01-25 @ Motherwell D 0-066.6 1721 1722 29.65% 26.90% 43.45%-0.32 +0.6 29
2020-01-25 Kilmarnock W 2-166.8 1602 1688 31.27% 27.06% 41.67%-0.24 +7.2 23
2020-01-25 @ St. Johnstone L 1-266.8 1688 1602 41.67% 27.06% 31.27%+0.24 -7.2 23
2020-01-25 Livingston L 2-462.5 1559 1699 25.02% 26.13% 48.85%-0.59 -7.5 18
2020-01-25 @ Hamilton Academical W 4-262.5 1699 1559 48.85% 26.13% 25.02%+0.59 +7.5 31
2020-01-25 Ross County W 3-043.6 1960 1595 80.99% 12.52% 6.49%+2.68 +3.2 58
2020-01-25 @ Celtic L 0-343.6 1595 1960 6.49% 12.52% 80.99%-2.68 -3.2 22
2020-01-26 Aberdeen D 0-066.4 1592 1755 22.61% 25.48% 51.91%-0.74 +1.3 20
2020-01-26 @ St. Mirren D 0-066.4 1755 1592 51.91% 25.48% 22.61%+0.74 -1.3 37
2020-01-26 Rangers W 2-174.7 1613 1954 10.88% 18.07% 71.05%-1.89 +10.9 17
2020-01-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-274.7 1954 1613 71.05% 18.07% 10.88%+1.89 -10.9 53
2020-01-29 Celtic L 0-346.2 1609 1964 10.33% 17.46% 72.21%-1.97 -5.5 23
2020-01-29 @ St. Johnstone W 3-046.2 1964 1609 72.21% 17.46% 10.33%+1.97 +5.5 61
2020-01-29 Ross County W 2-045.5 1943 1591 79.99% 13.11% 6.90%+2.59 +2.3 56
2020-01-29 @ Rangers L 0-245.5 1591 1943 6.90% 13.11% 79.99%-2.59 -2.4 22
2020-02-01 Aberdeen D 0-069.1 1946 1754 66.00% 20.53% 13.47%+1.55 -2.4 57
2020-02-01 @ Rangers D 0-069.1 1754 1946 13.47% 20.53% 66.00%-1.55 +2.4 38
2020-02-01 Heart of Midlothian D 3-378.7 1604 1624 40.52% 27.13% 32.34%+0.19 -0.2 24
2020-02-01 @ St. Johnstone D 3-378.7 1624 1604 32.34% 27.13% 40.52%-0.19 +0.2 18
2020-02-01 Motherwell W 1-059.4 1706 1722 41.13% 27.09% 31.77%+0.22 +6.2 34
2020-02-01 @ Livingston L 0-159.4 1722 1706 31.77% 27.09% 41.13%-0.22 -6.2 41
2020-02-01 Ross County W 3-156.9 1681 1589 55.10% 24.64% 20.25%+0.91 +6.9 26
2020-02-01 @ Kilmarnock L 1-356.9 1589 1681 20.25% 24.64% 55.10%-0.91 -6.9 22
2020-02-01 St. Mirren D 2-277.2 1722 1593 59.30% 23.28% 17.42%+1.15 -1.2 30
2020-02-01 @ Hibernian D 2-277.2 1593 1722 17.42% 23.28% 59.30%-1.15 +1.2 21
2020-02-02 Celtic L 1-449.7 1552 1969 7.93% 14.53% 77.53%-2.38 -3.4 18
2020-02-02 @ Hamilton Academical W 4-149.7 1969 1552 77.53% 14.53% 7.93%+2.38 +3.4 64
2020-02-05 Celtic L 0-448.9 1716 1973 15.35% 21.98% 62.66%-1.34 -11.4 41
2020-02-05 @ Motherwell W 4-048.9 1973 1716 62.66% 21.98% 15.35%+1.34 +11.4 67
2020-02-05 Hamilton Academical D 1-167.1 1594 1549 49.35% 26.04% 24.62%+0.61 -0.9 22
2020-02-05 @ St. Mirren D 1-167.1 1549 1594 24.62% 26.04% 49.35%-0.61 +0.9 19
2020-02-05 Hibernian W 2-157.4 1943 1720 69.09% 19.06% 11.85%+1.76 +2.2 60
2020-02-05 @ Rangers L 1-257.4 1720 1943 11.85% 19.06% 69.09%-1.76 -2.2 30
2020-02-05 Kilmarnock L 2-370.1 1624 1688 34.18% 27.22% 38.60%-0.10 -5.9 18
2020-02-05 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-270.1 1688 1624 38.60% 27.22% 34.18%+0.10 +5.9 29
2020-02-05 Livingston W 2-060.1 1582 1713 26.00% 26.34% 47.66%-0.53 +15.9 25
2020-02-05 @ Ross County L 0-260.1 1713 1582 47.66% 26.34% 26.00%+0.53 -15.9 34
2020-02-05 St. Johnstone L 0-166.6 1757 1604 61.97% 22.26% 15.76%+1.30 -10.5 38
2020-02-05 @ Aberdeen W 1-066.6 1604 1757 15.76% 22.26% 61.97%-1.30 +10.5 27
2020-02-11 Aberdeen L 1-357.0 1550 1746 19.69% 24.41% 55.90%-0.95 -6.7 19
2020-02-11 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-157.0 1746 1550 55.90% 24.41% 19.69%+0.95 +6.7 41
2020-02-12 Heart of Midlothian W 5-043.6 1984 1618 81.00% 12.51% 6.48%+2.68 +5.1 70
2020-02-12 @ Celtic L 0-543.6 1618 1984 6.48% 12.51% 81.00%-2.68 -5.1 18
2020-02-12 Motherwell W 2-167.3 1614 1704 30.79% 27.01% 42.20%-0.27 +7.2 30
2020-02-12 @ St. Johnstone L 1-267.3 1704 1614 42.20% 27.01% 30.79%+0.27 -7.2 41
2020-02-12 Rangers W 2-173.4 1694 1945 15.71% 22.23% 62.07%-1.31 +9.9 32
2020-02-12 @ Kilmarnock L 1-273.4 1945 1694 62.07% 22.23% 15.71%+1.31 -9.9 60
2020-02-12 Ross County W 3-049.0 1718 1598 58.33% 23.62% 18.05%+1.09 +10.3 33
2020-02-12 @ Hibernian L 0-349.0 1598 1718 18.05% 23.62% 58.33%-1.09 -10.3 25
2020-02-12 St. Mirren W 2-159.3 1697 1593 56.42% 24.25% 19.33%+0.98 +3.8 37
2020-02-12 @ Livingston L 1-259.3 1593 1697 19.33% 24.25% 56.42%-0.98 -3.8 22
2020-02-15 Hamilton Academical D 2-273.6 1613 1543 52.41% 25.36% 22.22%+0.77 -0.9 19
2020-02-15 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-273.6 1543 1613 22.22% 25.36% 52.41%-0.77 +0.9 20
2020-02-15 St. Johnstone D 1-168.4 1588 1621 38.55% 27.22% 34.23%+0.10 -0.2 26
2020-02-15 @ Ross County D 1-168.4 1621 1588 34.23% 27.22% 38.55%-0.10 +0.1 31
2020-02-16 Celtic L 1-260.0 1753 1989 16.72% 22.87% 60.41%-1.21 -3.3 41
2020-02-16 @ Aberdeen W 2-160.0 1989 1753 60.41% 22.87% 16.72%+1.21 +3.3 73
2020-02-16 Hibernian L 1-267.6 1704 1728 39.85% 27.17% 32.98%+0.16 -6.9 32
2020-02-16 @ Kilmarnock W 2-167.6 1728 1704 32.98% 27.17% 39.85%-0.16 +6.9 36
2020-02-16 Livingston W 1-051.3 1936 1701 70.25% 18.48% 11.28%+1.83 +2.2 63
2020-02-16 @ Rangers L 0-151.3 1701 1936 11.28% 18.48% 70.25%-1.83 -2.2 37
2020-02-22 Livingston D 1-171.4 1735 1698 48.22% 26.24% 25.53%+0.55 -0.9 37
2020-02-22 @ Hibernian D 1-171.4 1698 1735 25.53% 26.24% 48.22%-0.55 +0.9 38
2020-02-22 Motherwell D 0-064.8 1544 1697 23.62% 25.78% 50.60%-0.67 +1.2 21
2020-02-22 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-064.8 1697 1544 50.60% 25.78% 23.62%+0.67 -1.2 42
2020-02-22 Ross County L 1-272.2 1750 1588 62.94% 21.87% 15.19%+1.36 -10.0 41
2020-02-22 @ Aberdeen W 2-172.2 1588 1750 15.19% 21.87% 62.94%-1.36 +10.0 29
2020-02-23 Kilmarnock W 3-153.0 1992 1697 75.57% 15.64% 8.79%+2.22 +2.7 76
2020-02-23 @ Celtic L 1-353.0 1697 1992 8.79% 15.64% 75.57%-2.22 -2.7 32
2020-02-23 Rangers D 2-279.9 1622 1938 12.06% 19.26% 68.68%-1.73 +1.7 32
2020-02-23 @ St. Johnstone D 2-279.9 1938 1622 68.68% 19.26% 12.06%+1.73 -1.7 64
2020-02-25 St. Mirren L 1-270.4 1696 1590 56.75% 24.14% 19.10%+1.00 -9.2 42
2020-02-25 @ Motherwell W 2-170.4 1590 1696 19.10% 24.14% 56.75%-1.00 +9.2 25
2020-03-03 Heart of Midlothian L 1-369.0 1734 1612 58.62% 23.52% 17.86%+1.11 -16.3 37
2020-03-03 @ Hibernian W 3-169.0 1612 1734 17.86% 23.52% 58.62%-1.11 +16.3 22
2020-03-04 Aberdeen D 2-277.0 1694 1740 36.89% 27.25% 35.86%+0.02 -0.0 33
2020-03-04 @ Kilmarnock D 2-277.0 1740 1694 35.86% 27.25% 36.89%-0.02 +0.0 42
2020-03-04 Celtic D 2-279.8 1699 1995 13.10% 20.22% 66.68%-1.60 +1.6 39
2020-03-04 @ Livingston D 2-279.8 1995 1699 66.68% 20.22% 13.10%+1.60 -1.6 77
2020-03-04 Hamilton Academical L 0-170.3 1936 1545 82.73% 11.48% 5.79%+2.84 -12.7 64
2020-03-04 @ Rangers W 1-070.3 1545 1936 5.79% 11.48% 82.73%-2.84 +12.7 24
2020-03-04 Ross County W 4-154.9 1687 1598 54.72% 24.75% 20.53%+0.89 +9.9 45
2020-03-04 @ Motherwell L 1-454.9 1598 1687 20.53% 24.75% 54.72%-0.89 -9.9 29
2020-03-04 St. Johnstone D 0-064.0 1599 1623 39.84% 27.17% 32.99%+0.16 -0.3 26
2020-03-04 @ St. Mirren D 0-064.0 1623 1599 32.99% 27.17% 39.84%-0.16 +0.3 33
2020-03-07 Hibernian W 3-161.3 1740 1718 46.17% 26.57% 27.26%+0.45 +9.0 45
2020-03-07 @ Aberdeen L 1-361.3 1718 1740 27.26% 26.57% 46.17%-0.45 -9.0 37
2020-03-07 Kilmarnock W 1-062.3 1558 1694 25.32% 26.20% 48.48%-0.57 +8.6 27
2020-03-07 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-162.3 1694 1558 48.48% 26.20% 25.32%+0.57 -8.6 33
2020-03-07 Livingston W 1-061.2 1624 1701 32.45% 27.14% 40.41%-0.18 +7.4 36
2020-03-07 @ St. Johnstone L 0-161.2 1701 1624 40.41% 27.14% 32.45%+0.18 -7.4 39
2020-03-07 Motherwell D 1-170.2 1628 1696 33.67% 27.20% 39.14%-0.12 +0.2 23
2020-03-07 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-170.2 1696 1628 39.14% 27.20% 33.67%+0.12 -0.2 46
2020-03-07 St. Mirren W 5-043.0 1993 1598 82.96% 11.34% 5.69%+2.87 +4.4 80
2020-03-07 @ Celtic L 0-543.0 1598 1993 5.69% 11.34% 82.96%-2.87 -4.4 26
2020-03-08 Rangers L 0-151.0 1588 1923 11.14% 18.34% 70.52%-1.85 -2.2 29
2020-03-08 @ Ross County W 1-051.0 1923 1588 70.52% 18.34% 11.14%+1.85 +2.2 67
2020-03-11 Heart of Midlothian W 1-057.8 1594 1629 38.44% 27.22% 34.34%+0.09 +6.6 29
2020-03-11 @ St. Mirren L 0-157.8 1629 1594 34.34% 27.22% 38.44%-0.09 -6.6 23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2020-03-04 5.79% Hamilton Academical 1545 1 @ Rangers 1936 0
2 2020-01-26 10.88% @ Heart of Midlothian 1613 2 Rangers 1954 1
3 2019-10-06 14.42% @ Livingston 1650 2 Celtic 1922 0
4 2019-12-29 14.62% Hamilton Academical 1552 2 @ Motherwell 1724 1
5 2020-02-22 15.19% Ross County 1588 2 @ Aberdeen 1750 1
6 2020-02-12 15.71% @ Kilmarnock 1694 2 Rangers 1945 1
7 2020-02-05 15.76% St. Johnstone 1604 1 @ Aberdeen 1757 0
8 2020-03-03 17.86% Heart of Midlothian 1612 3 @ Hibernian 1734 1
9 2020-02-25 19.10% St. Mirren 1590 2 @ Motherwell 1696 1
10 2019-08-10 20.80% @ Hamilton Academical 1564 2 Kilmarnock 1748 0
11 2019-09-21 22.55% Ross County 1631 2 @ Motherwell 1698 1
12 2020-01-22 24.11% Motherwell 1714 1 @ Aberdeen 1764 0
13 2019-12-14 24.12% St. Johnstone 1592 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1643 0
14 2019-08-11 24.76% @ St. Mirren 1614 1 Aberdeen 1756 0
15 2019-09-22 25.30% Heart of Midlothian 1663 2 @ Hibernian 1702 1
16 2020-03-07 25.32% @ Hamilton Academical 1558 1 Kilmarnock 1694 0
17 2020-02-05 26.00% @ Ross County 1582 2 Livingston 1713 0
18 2019-12-04 26.90% @ Ross County 1601 2 Hibernian 1724 1
19 2019-12-29 27.52% @ St. Mirren 1585 1 Kilmarnock 1702 0
20 2019-12-29 27.69% Rangers 1945 2 @ Celtic 1963 1
21 2019-12-14 28.24% @ Ross County 1609 1 Kilmarnock 1720 0
22 2019-08-24 29.28% Livingston 1650 4 @ Ross County 1655 1
23 2019-12-21 29.68% Motherwell 1711 1 @ Kilmarnock 1712 0
24 2019-12-07 30.30% @ Livingston 1647 3 Kilmarnock 1741 0
25 2020-02-12 30.79% @ St. Johnstone 1614 2 Motherwell 1704 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-12-07 21.22 @ Livingston 3 1647 30.30% Kilmarnock 0 1741 42.73% 26.97%
2 2019-10-06 20.29 @ Livingston 2 1650 14.42% Celtic 0 1922 64.28% 21.30%
3 2019-12-07 19.67 @ Hibernian 3 1716 34.12% Aberdeen 0 1781 38.67% 27.21%
4 2019-08-31 19.43 @ Motherwell 3 1672 34.73% Hibernian 0 1732 38.04% 27.23%
5 2019-10-19 18.98 Aberdeen 3 1749 35.88% @ Motherwell 0 1704 36.88% 27.25%
6 2019-08-24 18.27 Livingston 4 1650 29.28% @ Ross County 1 1655 43.87% 26.86%
7 2019-10-27 17.99 Celtic 4 1912 49.43% @ Aberdeen 0 1768 24.55% 26.02%
8 2019-09-28 17.88 @ Rangers 5 1870 56.29% Aberdeen 0 1768 19.42% 24.29%
9 2019-08-10 17.73 @ Hamilton Academical 2 1564 20.80% Kilmarnock 0 1748 54.33% 24.86%
10 2019-12-21 17.69 @ Livingston 4 1668 50.03% Ross County 0 1617 24.07% 25.90%
11 2020-03-03 16.33 Heart of Midlothian 3 1612 17.86% @ Hibernian 1 1734 58.62% 23.52%
12 2019-11-30 16.15 @ Motherwell 4 1681 53.05% St. Johnstone 0 1606 21.75% 25.21%
13 2020-02-05 15.93 @ Ross County 2 1582 26.00% Livingston 0 1713 47.66% 26.34%
14 2019-12-04 15.86 Motherwell 3 1698 44.07% @ St. Mirren 0 1594 29.09% 26.83%
15 2019-11-02 15.77 @ Aberdeen 3 1755 44.29% Kilmarnock 0 1747 28.90% 26.81%
16 2019-08-11 15.01 @ Rangers 6 1847 55.89% Hibernian 1 1748 19.70% 24.41%
17 2019-11-09 14.65 Hibernian 4 1695 40.14% @ St. Johnstone 1 1620 32.70% 27.15%
18 2019-08-03 14.61 @ Celtic 7 1878 68.82% St. Johnstone 0 1658 11.99% 19.19%
19 2019-09-22 13.49 Rangers 4 1857 58.33% @ St. Johnstone 0 1639 18.05% 23.62%
20 2019-09-01 13.35 Celtic 2 1904 34.85% @ Rangers 0 1866 37.91% 27.23%
21 2019-11-23 13.09 @ Kilmarnock 3 1730 51.17% Heart of Midlothian 0 1670 23.17% 25.65%
22 2019-12-29 12.96 @ Livingston 2 1682 36.33% Hibernian 0 1731 36.42% 27.25%
23 2019-08-03 12.92 @ Ross County 3 1641 51.63% Hamilton Academical 0 1577 22.82% 25.55%
24 2020-03-04 12.72 Hamilton Academical 1 1545 5.79% @ Rangers 0 1936 82.73% 11.48%
25 2019-10-19 11.86 @ St. Mirren 2 1600 40.52% St. Johnstone 0 1620 32.34% 27.13%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-02-23 79.9 @ St. Johnstone 2 1622 12.06% Rangers 2 1938 68.68% 19.26%
2 2020-03-04 79.8 @ Livingston 2 1699 13.10% Celtic 2 1995 66.68% 20.22%
3 2019-12-14 79.2 @ St. Mirren 3 1586 31.70% Livingston 3 1669 41.21% 27.09%
4 2020-02-01 78.7 @ St. Johnstone 3 1604 40.52% Heart of Midlothian 3 1624 32.34% 27.13%
5 2019-12-04 78.0 @ Aberdeen 2 1780 24.42% Rangers 2 1925 49.60% 25.99%
6 2019-11-09 77.5 @ Kilmarnock 2 1731 63.52% Hamilton Academical 2 1564 14.86% 21.63%
7 2019-08-24 77.4 @ Hibernian 2 1733 54.88% St. Johnstone 2 1643 20.41% 24.71%
8 2019-11-30 77.2 @ Hibernian 2 1724 40.61% Kilmarnock 2 1743 32.27% 27.13%
9 2020-02-01 77.2 @ Hibernian 2 1722 59.30% St. Mirren 2 1593 17.42% 23.28%
10 2020-03-04 77.0 @ Kilmarnock 2 1694 36.89% Aberdeen 2 1740 35.86% 27.25%
11 2019-10-30 76.8 @ Hibernian 2 1696 47.31% Livingston 2 1665 26.30% 26.40%
12 2019-10-26 76.7 @ Hibernian 2 1696 51.89% Ross County 2 1631 22.62% 25.49%
13 2019-08-10 75.8 @ St. Johnstone 2 1643 42.31% Livingston 2 1650 30.68% 27.00%
14 2019-08-31 75.8 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1671 55.90% Hamilton Academical 2 1572 19.69% 24.41%
15 2019-10-05 75.5 @ Ross County 2 1641 46.25% St. Johnstone 2 1619 27.19% 26.56%
16 2020-01-26 74.7 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1613 10.88% Rangers 1 1954 71.05% 18.07%
17 2019-11-02 73.8 @ Hamilton Academical 2 1564 35.30% Ross County 2 1620 37.46% 27.24%
18 2020-02-15 73.6 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1613 52.41% Hamilton Academical 2 1543 22.22% 25.36%
19 2020-02-12 73.4 @ Kilmarnock 2 1694 15.71% Rangers 1 1945 62.07% 22.23%
20 2019-09-28 72.9 @ Hibernian 1 1694 17.18% Celtic 1 1924 59.68% 23.14%
21 2019-10-20 72.8 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1665 17.12% Rangers 1 1895 59.78% 23.11%
22 2019-09-14 72.4 Motherwell 3 1691 32.56% @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1670 40.30% 27.14%
23 2020-02-22 72.2 Ross County 2 1588 15.19% @ Aberdeen 1 1750 62.94% 21.87%
24 2019-09-14 72.0 @ Aberdeen 1 1758 58.40% St. Johnstone 1 1638 18.00% 23.60%
25 2019-10-05 71.6 @ Aberdeen 1 1750 50.43% Hibernian 1 1696 23.75% 25.82%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-03-07 43.0 @ Celtic 5 1993 82.96% St. Mirren 0 1598 5.69% 11.34%
2 2020-01-25 43.6 @ Celtic 3 1960 80.99% Ross County 0 1595 6.49% 12.52%
3 2020-02-12 43.6 @ Celtic 5 1984 81.00% Heart of Midlothian 0 1618 6.48% 12.51%
4 2019-10-06 44.5 @ Rangers 5 1888 76.72% Hamilton Academical 0 1579 8.29% 15.00%
5 2019-11-23 45.2 @ Celtic 4 1937 74.50% Livingston 0 1655 9.27% 16.23%
6 2020-01-29 45.5 @ Rangers 2 1943 79.99% Ross County 0 1591 6.90% 13.11%
7 2019-12-01 46.1 @ Rangers 5 1917 72.52% Heart of Midlothian 0 1657 10.18% 17.30%
8 2019-10-30 46.2 @ Celtic 2 1930 77.71% St. Mirren 0 1609 7.86% 14.43%
9 2020-01-29 46.2 Celtic 3 1964 72.21% @ St. Johnstone 0 1609 10.33% 17.46%
10 2019-10-19 46.6 @ Celtic 6 1902 72.63% Ross County 0 1641 10.13% 17.24%
11 2020-01-22 48.0 @ Rangers 1 1953 80.58% St. Mirren 0 1593 6.66% 12.77%
12 2019-08-03 48.2 @ Celtic 7 1878 68.82% St. Johnstone 0 1658 11.99% 19.19%
13 2019-10-30 48.4 Rangers 4 1896 63.46% @ Ross County 0 1631 14.89% 21.65%
14 2019-11-10 48.5 @ Celtic 2 1933 70.56% Motherwell 0 1695 11.12% 18.32%
15 2019-12-18 48.9 Celtic 2 1954 69.07% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1634 11.86% 19.07%
16 2020-02-05 48.9 Celtic 4 1973 62.66% @ Motherwell 0 1716 15.35% 21.98%
17 2020-02-12 49.0 @ Hibernian 3 1718 58.33% Ross County 0 1598 18.05% 23.62%
18 2019-12-15 49.2 @ Celtic 2 1950 68.25% Hibernian 0 1735 12.28% 19.47%
19 2019-08-03 49.4 @ Ross County 3 1641 51.63% Hamilton Academical 0 1577 22.82% 25.55%
20 2020-02-02 49.7 Celtic 4 1969 77.53% @ Hamilton Academical 1 1552 7.93% 14.53%
21 2019-09-22 49.8 Rangers 4 1857 58.33% @ St. Johnstone 0 1639 18.05% 23.62%
22 2019-11-30 49.8 @ Motherwell 4 1681 53.05% St. Johnstone 0 1606 21.75% 25.21%
23 2019-08-31 49.9 @ Aberdeen 3 1748 57.31% Ross County 0 1637 18.73% 23.96%
24 2019-12-14 50.6 @ Aberdeen 1 1761 67.45% Hamilton Academical 0 1555 12.69% 19.85%
25 2019-09-14 50.7 Celtic 1 1917 71.28% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1573 10.77% 17.95%