2019-20 Premiership Season
179 games · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Celtic
80 points
Relegated
No relegation
Biggest Overachiever
Celtic
10.14 points above expected
80 points · 69.86 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Heart of Midlothian
10.92 points below expected
23 points · 33.92 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 80 | 89 | 19 | +70 | 69.9 | +10.14 |
| 2 | Rangers | 29 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 64 | 19 | +45 | 64.8 | +2.21 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 38 | +3 | 41.0 | +4.97 |
| 4 | Aberdeen | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 40 | 36 | +4 | 47.6 | -2.62 |
| 5 | Livingston | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 36.8 | +2.20 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 42.9 | -5.85 |
| 7 | St. Johnstone | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 30.0 | +6.02 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 43.8 | -10.76 |
| 9 | St. Mirren | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 28.3 | +0.70 |
| 10 | Ross County | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 30.4 | -1.41 |
| 11 | Hamilton Academical | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 25.5 | +1.53 |
| 12 | Heart of Midlothian | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 33.9 | -10.92 |
Going into Phase 2, the championship group kept its full Phase 1 points; the relegation group kept its full Phase 1 points. Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 1978 | 80 | 74.01 | +5.99 | 83.9% | 46 | 63 | 70 | 74 | 78 | 85 | 99 |
| Rangers | 1912 | 67 | 70.32 | -3.32 | 33.3% | 41 | 59 | 66 | 70 | 75 | 81 | 93 |
| Aberdeen | 1741 | 45 | 51.77 | -6.77 | 19.0% | 23 | 40 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 63 | 78 |
| Hibernian | 1702 | 37 | 47.00 | -10.00 | 9.1% | 19 | 35 | 42 | 47 | 52 | 59 | 72 |
| Motherwell | 1690 | 46 | 45.18 | +0.82 | 57.4% | 20 | 34 | 40 | 45 | 50 | 57 | 72 |
| Kilmarnock | 1683 | 33 | 47.91 | -14.91 | 2.2% | 22 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 53 | 60 | 74 |
| Livingston | 1682 | 39 | 40.95 | -1.95 | 42.3% | 14 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 72 |
| St. Johnstone | 1627 | 36 | 35.51 | +0.49 | 56.3% | 10 | 24 | 31 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 63 |
| Heart of Midlothian | 1618 | 23 | 38.07 | -15.07 | 1.4% | 12 | 27 | 33 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 67 |
| St. Mirren | 1595 | 29 | 32.45 | -3.45 | 34.1% | 12 | 22 | 28 | 32 | 37 | 44 | 60 |
| Ross County | 1585 | 29 | 34.56 | -5.56 | 23.4% | 12 | 23 | 30 | 34 | 39 | 46 | 64 |
| Hamilton Academical | 1565 | 27 | 29.62 | -2.62 | 38.6% | 5 | 19 | 25 | 29 | 34 | 41 | 61 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
Beat expectations
Fell short
Within expectations
| Team | ABE | CEL | HA | HOM | HIB | KIL | LIV | MOT | RAN | RC | SJ | SM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen | — |
0-0-3
2.39
|
3-0-0
5.98
|
1-1-0
3.57
|
1-1-1
4.80
|
1-2-0
4.10
|
2-0-0
3.36
|
1-0-1
3.06
|
0-2-1
2.45
|
2-0-1
5.77
|
0-2-1
5.86
|
1-1-1
5.68
|
| Celtic |
3-0-0
5.96
|
— |
3-0-0
7.57
|
3-0-0
7.25
|
1-1-0
4.29
|
3-0-0
6.73
|
1-1-1
6.86
|
3-0-0
6.41
|
1-0-1
2.89
|
3-0-0
7.38
|
2-0-0
4.67
|
3-0-0
7.72
|
| Hamilton Academical |
0-0-3
2.37
|
0-0-3
1.19
|
— |
1-2-0
3.05
|
0-1-1
1.80
|
2-1-0
2.61
|
1-1-1
3.19
|
1-1-1
2.89
|
1-0-2
1.17
|
0-1-1
2.27
|
0-0-2
2.42
|
0-2-1
3.56
|
| Heart of Midlothian |
0-1-1
1.90
|
0-0-3
1.42
|
0-2-1
5.14
|
— |
2-0-1
2.99
|
0-0-3
3.49
|
0-2-0
2.73
|
0-1-2
3.66
|
1-1-1
1.77
|
0-2-0
2.82
|
0-1-2
4.29
|
1-1-1
4.45
|
| Hibernian |
1-1-1
3.34
|
0-1-1
1.35
|
1-1-0
3.72
|
1-0-2
5.22
|
— |
1-1-1
3.76
|
0-2-1
4.74
|
1-1-1
4.12
|
0-0-3
2.22
|
1-1-1
5.37
|
1-1-0
3.30
|
2-1-0
5.63
|
| Kilmarnock |
0-2-1
4.00
|
0-0-3
1.80
|
0-1-2
5.67
|
3-0-0
4.64
|
1-1-1
4.36
|
— |
1-0-1
3.39
|
0-0-2
2.99
|
1-0-2
2.44
|
1-1-1
5.39
|
1-1-1
5.07
|
1-0-1
3.68
|
| Livingston |
0-0-2
2.09
|
1-1-1
1.71
|
1-1-1
4.97
|
0-2-0
2.68
|
1-2-0
3.40
|
1-0-1
2.06
|
— |
1-1-1
3.97
|
0-0-3
1.88
|
2-0-1
4.46
|
1-1-1
4.44
|
2-1-0
5.12
|
| Motherwell |
1-0-1
2.36
|
0-0-3
2.04
|
1-1-1
5.35
|
2-1-0
4.47
|
1-1-1
3.99
|
2-0-0
2.41
|
1-1-1
4.14
|
— |
0-0-2
1.42
|
2-0-1
5.28
|
2-0-1
4.73
|
2-0-1
5.40
|
| Rangers |
1-2-0
5.87
|
1-0-1
2.51
|
2-0-1
7.60
|
1-1-1
6.79
|
3-0-0
6.18
|
2-0-1
5.93
|
3-0-0
6.64
|
2-0-0
4.20
|
— |
3-0-0
7.08
|
1-1-0
4.26
|
2-0-0
4.71
|
| Ross County |
1-0-2
2.53
|
0-0-3
1.33
|
1-1-0
3.16
|
0-2-0
2.59
|
1-1-1
2.85
|
1-1-1
2.83
|
1-0-2
3.69
|
1-0-2
2.92
|
0-0-3
1.55
|
— |
0-3-0
4.17
|
1-0-1
2.86
|
| St. Johnstone |
1-2-0
2.45
|
0-0-2
1.07
|
2-0-0
3.00
|
2-1-0
3.83
|
0-1-1
2.14
|
1-1-1
3.13
|
1-1-1
3.71
|
1-0-2
3.41
|
0-1-1
1.37
|
0-3-0
3.94
|
— |
0-2-1
4.12
|
| St. Mirren |
1-1-1
2.61
|
0-0-3
1.08
|
1-2-0
4.58
|
1-1-1
3.68
|
0-1-2
2.65
|
1-0-1
1.82
|
0-1-2
3.07
|
1-0-2
2.83
|
0-0-2
1.04
|
1-0-1
2.55
|
1-2-0
3.99
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.94% | 8.38% | 4.75% | 3.63% | 1.96% | 1.96% | 29.61% |
| 1 | 8.38% | 7.26% | 9.22% | 3.63% | 1.40% | 0.28% | 30.17% |
| 2 | 4.75% | 9.22% | 8.38% | 1.12% | 0.28% | 0.56% | 24.30% |
| 3 | 3.63% | 3.63% | 1.12% | 1.12% | — | — | 9.50% |
| 4 | 1.96% | 1.40% | 0.28% | — | — | — | 3.63% |
| 5+ | 1.96% | 0.28% | 0.56% | — | — | — | 2.79% |
| Total | 29.61% | 30.17% | 24.30% | 9.50% | 3.63% | 2.79% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.37 |
| Mean allowed | 1.37 |
| StdDev scored | 1.29 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.29 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.74 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | -0.192 |
| Sample size (games) | 179 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | 10.00% | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 30.00% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 13.33% | 10.00% | — | — | — | 30.00% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 10.00% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 23.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 30.00% | 40.00% | 20.00% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 100% |
Aberdeen — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.33 |
| Mean allowed | 1.20 |
| StdDev scored | 1.15 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.21 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.53 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.270 |
| Games played | 30 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 1 | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 2 | 16.67% | 13.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | 6.67% | 13.33% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | 10.00% | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 5+ | 13.33% | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| Total | 50.00% | 36.67% | 13.33% | — | — | — | 100% |
Celtic — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.97 |
| Mean allowed | 0.63 |
| StdDev scored | 1.59 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.72 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.60 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.344 |
| Games played | 30 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | 16.67% | — | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | 33.33% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 10.00% | 13.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 33.33% | 20.00% | 16.67% | 6.67% | 3.33% | 100% |
Hamilton Academical — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.00 |
| Mean allowed | 1.67 |
| StdDev scored | 0.83 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.35 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.67 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.154 |
| Games played | 30 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.33% | 16.67% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | 6.67% | 46.67% |
| 1 | — | 13.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | — | 6.67% | 6.67% | 10.00% | — | — | 23.33% |
| 3 | — | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| Total | 13.33% | 40.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | 6.67% | 100% |
Heart of Midlothian — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.03 |
| Mean allowed | 1.73 |
| StdDev scored | 1.25 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.31 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.77 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.153 |
| Games played | 30 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.33% | — | 10.00% | 6.67% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 3.33% | 13.33% | 10.00% | 6.67% | — | 3.33% | 36.67% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 10.00% | 16.67% | — | — | — | 30.00% |
| 3 | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 4 | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 16.67% | 30.00% | 36.67% | 13.33% | — | 3.33% | 100% |
Hibernian — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.40 |
| Mean allowed | 1.63 |
| StdDev scored | 1.04 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.25 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.03 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.363 |
| Games played | 30 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | 16.67% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | 36.67% |
| 1 | 10.00% | — | 13.33% | 10.00% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 6.67% | 10.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.67% | 26.67% | 30.00% | 16.67% | — | — | 100% |
Kilmarnock — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.03 |
| Mean allowed | 1.37 |
| StdDev scored | 1.00 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.07 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.40 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.012 |
| Games played | 30 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | 6.67% | 10.00% | — | 3.33% | — | 30.00% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 13.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 30.00% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 10.00% | — | — | — | 23.33% |
| 3 | 3.33% | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 30.00% | 23.33% | 36.67% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | 100% |
Livingston — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.37 |
| Mean allowed | 1.30 |
| StdDev scored | 1.27 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.09 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.67 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.082 |
| Games played | 30 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | 3.33% | 6.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | 26.67% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 3.33% | 16.67% | 3.33% | — | — | 36.67% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 10.00% | — | — | — | 3.33% | 16.67% |
| 3 | 6.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 4 | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 36.67% | 23.33% | 26.67% | 6.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 100% |
Motherwell — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.37 |
| Mean allowed | 1.27 |
| StdDev scored | 1.22 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.31 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.63 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.193 |
| Games played | 30 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.45% | 3.45% | 3.45% | — | — | — | 10.34% |
| 1 | 17.24% | 3.45% | 6.90% | — | — | — | 27.59% |
| 2 | 10.34% | 13.79% | 6.90% | — | — | — | 31.03% |
| 3 | 3.45% | 6.90% | — | — | — | — | 10.34% |
| 4 | 6.90% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.90% |
| 5+ | 10.34% | 3.45% | — | — | — | — | 13.79% |
| Total | 51.72% | 31.03% | 17.24% | — | — | — | 100% |
Rangers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.21 |
| Mean allowed | 0.66 |
| StdDev scored | 1.61 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.77 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.86 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.257 |
| Games played | 29 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 10.00% | 6.67% | 3.33% | 36.67% |
| 1 | 3.33% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 10.00% | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 13.33% | 10.00% | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 3 | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 23.33% | 20.00% | 16.67% | 16.67% | 3.33% | 100% |
Ross County — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.97 |
| Mean allowed | 2.00 |
| StdDev scored | 0.89 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.58 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.97 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.344 |
| Games played | 30 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.34% | 10.34% | 3.45% | 3.45% | 6.90% | 3.45% | 37.93% |
| 1 | 17.24% | 13.79% | — | — | 3.45% | — | 34.48% |
| 2 | — | 6.90% | 13.79% | — | — | — | 20.69% |
| 3 | — | — | 3.45% | 3.45% | — | — | 6.90% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 27.59% | 31.03% | 20.69% | 6.90% | 10.34% | 3.45% | 100% |
St. Johnstone — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.97 |
| Mean allowed | 1.59 |
| StdDev scored | 0.94 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.64 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.55 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.033 |
| Games played | 29 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.67% | 13.33% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | 43.33% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 3.33% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 36.67% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | — | 3.33% | 16.67% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | 3.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 23.33% | 30.00% | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | 100% |
St. Mirren — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.80 |
| Mean allowed | 1.37 |
| StdDev scored | 0.85 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.38 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.17 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.213 |
| Games played | 30 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 80 | 69.9 | +10.14 |
| 2 | St. Johnstone | 36 | 30.0 | +6.02 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 46 | 41.0 | +4.97 |
| 4 | Rangers | 67 | 64.8 | +2.21 |
| 5 | Livingston | 39 | 36.8 | +2.20 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian | 23 | 33.9 | -10.92 |
| 2 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 43.8 | -10.76 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 37 | 42.9 | -5.85 |
| 4 | Aberdeen | 45 | 47.6 | -2.62 |
| 5 | Ross County | 29 | 30.4 | -1.41 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton Academical | 2 | Mar 4 – Mar 7 | 1 in 54 |
| 2 | Celtic | 11 | Oct 19 – Dec 26 | 1 in 32 |
| 3 | Livingston | 4 | Dec 29 – Feb 1 | 1 in 30 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 3 | Aug 24 – Sep 14 | 1 in 24 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 3 | Nov 9 – Nov 26 | 1 in 14 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 7 | Dec 7 – Jan 25 | 1 in 1,189 |
| 2 | Heart of Midlothian | 5 | Dec 7 – Dec 26 | 1 in 87 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 3 | Aug 31 – Sep 22 | 1 in 26 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 3 | Feb 1 – Feb 12 | 1 in 14 |
| 5 | Livingston | 3 | Sep 14 – Sep 28 | 1 in 12 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Johnstone | 7 | Feb 1 – Mar 7 | 1 in 94 |
| 2 | Hamilton Academical | 4 | Feb 15 – Mar 7 | 1 in 68 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 9 | Sep 28 – Nov 30 | 1 in 46 |
| 4 | Rangers | 16 | Sep 14 – Jan 22 | 1 in 26 |
| 5 | Heart of Midlothian | 4 | Dec 29 – Feb 1 | 1 in 21 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hibernian | 10 | Aug 11 – Oct 30 | 1 in 119 |
| 2 | Kilmarnock | 9 | Nov 30 – Jan 25 | 1 in 85 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian | 10 | Nov 23 – Jan 22 | 1 in 32 |
| 4 | Rangers | 2 | Feb 23 – Mar 4 | 1 in 31 |
| 5 | Aberdeen | 5 | Dec 29 – Feb 5 | 1 in 25 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
Across the phase-1 round-robin games, how each team's home/road split compared to the model's expected home advantage. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations of the first-phase round-robin games — that the team (row) finished at that position (column) when the league split. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top). Tighter title-race and relegation races show up here as wider color spread across multiple positions.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 66.31% | 31.90% | 1.55% | 0.21% | 0.02% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rangers | 33.13% | 61.82% | 4.18% | 0.72% | 0.09% | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — |
| Motherwell | 0.02% | 0.60% | 11.57% | 17.14% | 18.30% | 16.88% | 13.71% | 9.17% | 5.92% | 3.76% | 2.19% | 0.74% |
| Aberdeen | 0.34% | 3.34% | 39.91% | 22.74% | 14.59% | 8.80% | 4.90% | 2.66% | 1.58% | 0.66% | 0.38% | 0.10% |
| Livingston | 0.01% | 0.14% | 4.50% | 8.00% | 12.22% | 15.50% | 16.46% | 14.68% | 11.73% | 8.62% | 5.28% | 2.86% |
| Hibernian | 0.08% | 0.99% | 16.37% | 20.29% | 18.40% | 15.80% | 11.88% | 7.31% | 4.83% | 2.64% | 1.04% | 0.37% |
| St. Johnstone | — | 0.01% | 0.92% | 2.07% | 4.18% | 6.48% | 10.36% | 15.04% | 16.53% | 17.28% | 15.84% | 11.29% |
| Kilmarnock | 0.11% | 1.14% | 18.53% | 22.00% | 19.39% | 15.05% | 10.56% | 6.25% | 3.75% | 2.01% | 0.88% | 0.33% |
| St. Mirren | — | 0.01% | 0.24% | 0.87% | 1.79% | 3.71% | 6.00% | 10.63% | 13.99% | 18.27% | 22.76% | 21.73% |
| Ross County | — | 0.01% | 0.51% | 1.73% | 3.04% | 5.45% | 8.86% | 12.06% | 15.52% | 17.75% | 18.99% | 16.08% |
| Hamilton Academical | — | — | 0.10% | 0.33% | 0.87% | 1.95% | 3.76% | 5.97% | 10.38% | 15.01% | 21.56% | 40.07% |
| Heart of Midlothian | — | 0.04% | 1.62% | 3.90% | 7.11% | 10.34% | 13.49% | 16.22% | 15.77% | 14.00% | 11.08% | 6.43% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Elo Progression Through The Playoffs
How each team's Elo rating moved across the five second-phase round-robin games. Game 0 marks the starting Elo just before the first split-round game; games 1–5 show the post-game Elo after each fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.
No second-phase games yet.
Home-Field Advantage Edge
Across the second-phase split-round games (5 fixtures per team), how each team's home/road split compared to the model's expected home advantage. Same calculation as the First Phase HFA Edge, just over a much smaller sample — five-game splits don't average out luck the way the 33-game first phase does, so bar magnitudes here can be more extreme.
No data available.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations of the second-phase round-robin games — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Because the playoff sim conditions on the actual split, top-half teams can only finish in the championship round's positions and bottom-half teams can only finish in the relegation round's positions; the heatmap's block-diagonal pattern is the visual signature of that constraint.
No playoff sim data.
Points Required Per Position
For each final position, the empirical CDF of FULL-SEASON points across the playoff-sim iterations. Reading a curve at the 50% mark on the y-axis gives the median full-season points needed for that position given the actual phase-1 results. Curves for positions 1–6 (championship round) and 7–12 (relegation round) are visibly separated, reflecting how the split divides the title race from the relegation race.
No playoff-sim point distributions.
Points Totals in Context
Full-season actual points compared to four model perspectives. Use the buttons to switch between views. Dashed crosshairs at the league means split each plot into four quadrants. Sim mean and percentile use the playoff-sim distributions shifted by each team's phase-1 actual points.
No playoff-sim mean data.
No playoff-sim percentile data.
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 100% | — |
| Rangers | 100% | — |
| Aberdeen | 99.9% | 0.1% |
| Kilmarnock | 99.7% | 0.3% |
| Hibernian | 99.6% | 0.4% |
| Motherwell | 99.3% | 0.7% |
| Livingston | 97.1% | 2.9% |
| Heart of Midlothian | 93.6% | 6.4% |
| St. Johnstone | 88.7% | 11.3% |
| Ross County | 83.9% | 16.1% |
| St. Mirren | 78.3% | 21.7% |
| Hamilton Academical | 59.9% | 40.1% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-08-03 | St. Johnstone | W 7-0 | 1862 | 1654 | 71.6% | 14.2% | 14.2% | +13.9 | 3 |
| 2019-08-03 | @ Celtic | L 0-7 | 1654 | 1862 | 14.2% | 14.2% | 71.6% | -13.9 | 0 |
| 2019-08-03 | St. Mirren | W 1-0 | 1732 | 1611 | 59.5% | 21.8% | 18.7% | +3.4 | 3 |
| 2019-08-03 | @ Hibernian | L 0-1 | 1611 | 1732 | 18.7% | 21.8% | 59.5% | -3.4 | 0 |
| 2019-08-03 | Motherwell | D 0-0 | 1642 | 1667 | 38.2% | 30.2% | 31.5% | -0.2 | 1 |
| 2019-08-03 | @ Livingston | D 0-0 | 1667 | 1642 | 31.5% | 30.2% | 38.2% | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2019-08-03 | Hamilton Academical | W 3-0 | 1640 | 1579 | 50.9% | 26.4% | 22.7% | +11.7 | 3 |
| 2019-08-03 | @ Ross County | L 0-3 | 1579 | 1640 | 22.7% | 26.4% | 50.9% | -11.7 | 0 |
| 2019-08-04 | Heart of Midlothian | W 3-2 | 1742 | 1671 | 52.3% | 25.8% | 21.9% | +3.7 | 3 |
| 2019-08-04 | @ Aberdeen | L 2-3 | 1671 | 1742 | 21.9% | 25.8% | 52.3% | -3.7 | 0 |
| 2019-08-04 | Rangers | L 1-2 | 1744 | 1833 | 29.6% | 29.9% | 40.5% | -5.2 | 0 |
| 2019-08-04 | @ Kilmarnock | W 2-1 | 1833 | 1744 | 40.5% | 29.9% | 29.6% | +5.2 | 3 |
| 2019-08-10 | Kilmarnock | W 2-0 | 1567 | 1739 | 21.7% | 25.5% | 52.8% | +15.6 | 3 |
| 2019-08-10 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 0-2 | 1739 | 1567 | 52.8% | 25.5% | 21.7% | -15.6 | 0 |
| 2019-08-10 | Ross County | D 0-0 | 1667 | 1652 | 44.1% | 29.0% | 26.9% | -0.6 | 1 |
| 2019-08-10 | @ Heart of Midlothian | D 0-0 | 1652 | 1667 | 26.9% | 29.0% | 44.1% | +0.6 | 4 |
| 2019-08-10 | Celtic | L 2-5 | 1667 | 1876 | 19.2% | 22.6% | 58.2% | -7.0 | 1 |
| 2019-08-10 | @ Motherwell | W 5-2 | 1876 | 1667 | 58.2% | 22.6% | 19.2% | +7.0 | 6 |
| 2019-08-10 | Livingston | D 2-2 | 1640 | 1642 | 41.7% | 29.6% | 28.7% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2019-08-10 | @ St. Johnstone | D 2-2 | 1642 | 1640 | 28.7% | 29.6% | 41.7% | +0.3 | 2 |
| 2019-08-11 | Hibernian | W 6-1 | 1838 | 1735 | 56.9% | 23.3% | 19.8% | +13.3 | 6 |
| 2019-08-11 | @ Rangers | L 1-6 | 1735 | 1838 | 19.8% | 23.3% | 56.9% | -13.3 | 3 |
| 2019-08-11 | Aberdeen | W 1-0 | 1608 | 1746 | 24.5% | 27.8% | 47.8% | +7.7 | 3 |
| 2019-08-11 | @ St. Mirren | L 0-1 | 1746 | 1608 | 47.8% | 27.8% | 24.5% | -7.7 | 3 |
| 2019-08-24 | Motherwell | L 1-3 | 1583 | 1660 | 31.0% | 30.1% | 38.9% | -9.3 | 3 |
| 2019-08-24 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 3-1 | 1660 | 1583 | 38.9% | 30.1% | 31.0% | +9.3 | 4 |
| 2019-08-24 | St. Johnstone | D 2-2 | 1722 | 1640 | 53.9% | 24.9% | 21.1% | -0.9 | 4 |
| 2019-08-24 | @ Hibernian | D 2-2 | 1640 | 1722 | 21.1% | 24.9% | 53.9% | +0.8 | 2 |
| 2019-08-24 | Aberdeen | D 0-0 | 1724 | 1738 | 39.8% | 30.0% | 30.2% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2019-08-24 | @ Kilmarnock | D 0-0 | 1738 | 1724 | 30.2% | 30.0% | 39.8% | +0.3 | 4 |
| 2019-08-24 | Livingston | L 1-4 | 1653 | 1642 | 43.5% | 29.2% | 27.3% | -16.7 | 4 |
| 2019-08-24 | @ Ross County | W 4-1 | 1642 | 1653 | 27.3% | 29.2% | 43.5% | +16.7 | 5 |
| 2019-08-25 | Heart of Midlothian | W 3-1 | 1883 | 1667 | 72.6% | 13.5% | 13.9% | +3.6 | 9 |
| 2019-08-25 | @ Celtic | L 1-3 | 1667 | 1883 | 13.9% | 13.5% | 72.6% | -3.6 | 1 |
| 2019-08-25 | Rangers | L 0-1 | 1616 | 1851 | 17.7% | 20.3% | 61.9% | -3.1 | 3 |
| 2019-08-25 | @ St. Mirren | W 1-0 | 1851 | 1616 | 61.9% | 20.3% | 17.7% | +3.1 | 9 |
| 2019-08-31 | Ross County | W 3-0 | 1738 | 1636 | 56.8% | 23.4% | 19.8% | +10.0 | 7 |
| 2019-08-31 | @ Aberdeen | L 0-3 | 1636 | 1738 | 19.8% | 23.4% | 56.8% | -10.0 | 4 |
| 2019-08-31 | Hamilton Academical | D 2-2 | 1663 | 1573 | 55.0% | 24.4% | 20.6% | -0.9 | 2 |
| 2019-08-31 | @ Heart of Midlothian | D 2-2 | 1573 | 1663 | 20.6% | 24.4% | 55.0% | +0.9 | 4 |
| 2019-08-31 | St. Mirren | W 2-1 | 1659 | 1612 | 48.7% | 27.4% | 23.9% | +4.3 | 8 |
| 2019-08-31 | @ Livingston | L 1-2 | 1612 | 1659 | 23.9% | 27.4% | 48.7% | -4.3 | 3 |
| 2019-08-31 | Hibernian | W 3-0 | 1669 | 1721 | 34.4% | 30.4% | 35.2% | +17.0 | 7 |
| 2019-08-31 | @ Motherwell | L 0-3 | 1721 | 1669 | 35.2% | 30.4% | 34.4% | -17.0 | 4 |
| 2019-08-31 | Kilmarnock | L 0-1 | 1641 | 1723 | 30.3% | 30.0% | 39.7% | -5.6 | 2 |
| 2019-08-31 | @ St. Johnstone | W 1-0 | 1723 | 1641 | 39.7% | 30.0% | 30.3% | +5.6 | 4 |
| 2019-09-01 | Celtic | L 0-2 | 1854 | 1887 | 37.1% | 30.3% | 32.6% | -12.2 | 9 |
| 2019-09-01 | @ Rangers | W 2-0 | 1887 | 1854 | 32.6% | 30.3% | 37.1% | +12.2 | 12 |
| 2019-09-14 | St. Johnstone | D 1-1 | 1748 | 1635 | 58.4% | 22.5% | 19.1% | -1.4 | 8 |
| 2019-09-14 | @ Aberdeen | D 1-1 | 1635 | 1748 | 19.1% | 22.5% | 58.4% | +1.4 | 3 |
| 2019-09-14 | Celtic | L 0-1 | 1574 | 1899 | 13.4% | 12.7% | 74.0% | -2.1 | 4 |
| 2019-09-14 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 1-0 | 1899 | 1574 | 74.0% | 12.7% | 13.4% | +2.1 | 15 |
| 2019-09-14 | Motherwell | L 2-3 | 1662 | 1686 | 38.4% | 30.2% | 31.4% | -5.9 | 2 |
| 2019-09-14 | @ Heart of Midlothian | W 3-2 | 1686 | 1662 | 31.4% | 30.2% | 38.4% | +5.9 | 10 |
| 2019-09-14 | Hibernian | W 2-0 | 1729 | 1704 | 45.5% | 28.6% | 25.9% | +9.2 | 7 |
| 2019-09-14 | @ Kilmarnock | L 0-2 | 1704 | 1729 | 25.9% | 28.6% | 45.5% | -9.2 | 4 |
| 2019-09-14 | Livingston | W 3-1 | 1842 | 1663 | 67.7% | 16.7% | 15.6% | +4.3 | 12 |
| 2019-09-14 | @ Rangers | L 1-3 | 1663 | 1842 | 15.6% | 16.7% | 67.7% | -4.3 | 8 |
| 2019-09-14 | St. Mirren | W 2-1 | 1626 | 1608 | 44.5% | 28.9% | 26.6% | +4.7 | 7 |
| 2019-09-14 | @ Ross County | L 1-2 | 1608 | 1626 | 26.6% | 28.9% | 44.5% | -4.7 | 3 |
| 2019-09-21 | Aberdeen | L 0-2 | 1659 | 1747 | 29.6% | 29.9% | 40.5% | -10.3 | 8 |
| 2019-09-21 | @ Livingston | W 2-0 | 1747 | 1659 | 40.5% | 29.9% | 29.6% | +10.3 | 11 |
| 2019-09-21 | Ross County | L 1-2 | 1692 | 1631 | 50.9% | 26.4% | 22.7% | -7.6 | 10 |
| 2019-09-21 | @ Motherwell | W 2-1 | 1631 | 1692 | 22.7% | 26.4% | 50.9% | +7.6 | 10 |
| 2019-09-21 | Hamilton Academical | D 0-0 | 1603 | 1572 | 46.5% | 28.2% | 25.3% | -0.8 | 4 |
| 2019-09-21 | @ St. Mirren | D 0-0 | 1572 | 1603 | 25.3% | 28.2% | 46.5% | +0.8 | 5 |
| 2019-09-22 | Kilmarnock | W 3-1 | 1901 | 1738 | 65.5% | 18.1% | 16.4% | +4.6 | 18 |
| 2019-09-22 | @ Celtic | L 1-3 | 1738 | 1901 | 16.4% | 18.1% | 65.5% | -4.6 | 7 |
| 2019-09-22 | Heart of Midlothian | L 1-2 | 1695 | 1656 | 47.6% | 27.8% | 24.6% | -7.2 | 4 |
| 2019-09-22 | @ Hibernian | W 2-1 | 1656 | 1695 | 24.6% | 27.8% | 47.6% | +7.3 | 5 |
| 2019-09-22 | Rangers | L 0-4 | 1636 | 1846 | 19.2% | 22.6% | 58.3% | -12.5 | 3 |
| 2019-09-22 | @ St. Johnstone | W 4-0 | 1846 | 1636 | 58.3% | 22.6% | 19.2% | +12.5 | 15 |
| 2019-09-28 | Livingston | W 2-1 | 1573 | 1648 | 31.2% | 30.2% | 38.6% | +6.3 | 8 |
| 2019-09-28 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 1-2 | 1648 | 1573 | 38.6% | 30.2% | 31.2% | -6.3 | 8 |
| 2019-09-28 | Celtic | D 1-1 | 1688 | 1906 | 18.7% | 21.8% | 59.5% | +1.4 | 5 |
| 2019-09-28 | @ Hibernian | D 1-1 | 1906 | 1688 | 59.5% | 21.8% | 18.7% | -1.5 | 19 |
| 2019-09-28 | Ross County | D 0-0 | 1733 | 1638 | 55.8% | 24.0% | 20.3% | -1.4 | 8 |
| 2019-09-28 | @ Kilmarnock | D 0-0 | 1638 | 1733 | 20.3% | 24.0% | 55.8% | +1.4 | 11 |
| 2019-09-28 | Aberdeen | W 5-0 | 1859 | 1757 | 56.7% | 23.4% | 19.8% | +16.1 | 18 |
| 2019-09-28 | @ Rangers | L 0-5 | 1757 | 1859 | 19.8% | 23.4% | 56.7% | -16.1 | 11 |
| 2019-09-28 | Motherwell | L 0-1 | 1624 | 1685 | 33.1% | 30.4% | 36.5% | -6.0 | 3 |
| 2019-09-28 | @ St. Johnstone | W 1-0 | 1685 | 1624 | 36.5% | 30.4% | 33.1% | +6.0 | 13 |
| 2019-09-28 | Heart of Midlothian | D 0-0 | 1603 | 1663 | 33.1% | 30.4% | 36.5% | +0.1 | 5 |
| 2019-09-28 | @ St. Mirren | D 0-0 | 1663 | 1603 | 36.5% | 30.4% | 33.1% | -0.1 | 6 |
| 2019-10-05 | Hibernian | D 1-1 | 1741 | 1689 | 49.5% | 27.0% | 23.4% | -0.9 | 12 |
| 2019-10-05 | @ Aberdeen | D 1-1 | 1689 | 1741 | 23.4% | 27.0% | 49.5% | +0.9 | 6 |
| 2019-10-05 | Kilmarnock | L 0-1 | 1663 | 1732 | 32.0% | 30.3% | 37.7% | -5.8 | 6 |
| 2019-10-05 | @ Heart of Midlothian | W 1-0 | 1732 | 1663 | 37.7% | 30.3% | 32.0% | +5.8 | 11 |
| 2019-10-05 | St. Mirren | W 2-0 | 1691 | 1603 | 54.7% | 24.5% | 20.8% | +7.3 | 16 |
| 2019-10-05 | @ Motherwell | L 0-2 | 1603 | 1691 | 20.8% | 24.5% | 54.7% | -7.3 | 5 |
| 2019-10-05 | St. Johnstone | D 2-2 | 1640 | 1618 | 45.1% | 28.7% | 26.2% | -0.5 | 12 |
| 2019-10-05 | @ Ross County | D 2-2 | 1618 | 1640 | 26.2% | 28.7% | 45.1% | +0.5 | 4 |
| 2019-10-06 | Celtic | W 2-0 | 1642 | 1904 | 16.3% | 18.0% | 65.7% | +18.0 | 11 |
| 2019-10-06 | @ Livingston | L 0-2 | 1904 | 1642 | 65.7% | 18.0% | 16.3% | -18.0 | 19 |
| 2019-10-06 | Hamilton Academical | W 5-0 | 1875 | 1579 | 81.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | +6.6 | 21 |
| 2019-10-06 | @ Rangers | L 0-5 | 1579 | 1875 | 10.4% | 7.7% | 81.8% | -6.6 | 8 |
| 2019-10-19 | Ross County | W 6-0 | 1886 | 1639 | 76.4% | 11.1% | 12.5% | +10.0 | 22 |
| 2019-10-19 | @ Celtic | L 0-6 | 1639 | 1886 | 12.5% | 11.1% | 76.4% | -10.0 | 12 |
| 2019-10-19 | Hibernian | D 1-1 | 1573 | 1690 | 26.4% | 28.8% | 44.8% | +0.6 | 9 |
| 2019-10-19 | @ Hamilton Academical | D 1-1 | 1690 | 1573 | 44.8% | 28.8% | 26.4% | -0.6 | 7 |
| 2019-10-19 | Livingston | W 2-1 | 1738 | 1660 | 53.3% | 25.3% | 21.4% | +3.8 | 14 |
| 2019-10-19 | @ Kilmarnock | L 1-2 | 1660 | 1738 | 21.4% | 25.3% | 53.3% | -3.8 | 11 |
| 2019-10-19 | Aberdeen | L 0-3 | 1698 | 1740 | 35.7% | 30.4% | 33.9% | -17.2 | 16 |
| 2019-10-19 | @ Motherwell | W 3-0 | 1740 | 1698 | 33.9% | 30.4% | 35.7% | +17.2 | 15 |
| 2019-10-19 | St. Johnstone | W 2-0 | 1595 | 1618 | 38.5% | 30.2% | 31.3% | +10.8 | 8 |
| 2019-10-19 | @ St. Mirren | L 0-2 | 1618 | 1595 | 31.3% | 30.2% | 38.5% | -10.8 | 4 |
| 2019-10-20 | Rangers | D 1-1 | 1657 | 1882 | 18.4% | 21.3% | 60.3% | +1.5 | 7 |
| 2019-10-20 | @ Heart of Midlothian | D 1-1 | 1882 | 1657 | 60.3% | 21.3% | 18.4% | -1.5 | 22 |
| 2019-10-26 | Ross County | D 2-2 | 1689 | 1629 | 50.7% | 26.5% | 22.8% | -0.7 | 8 |
| 2019-10-26 | @ Hibernian | D 2-2 | 1629 | 1689 | 22.8% | 26.5% | 50.7% | +0.7 | 13 |
| 2019-10-26 | St. Mirren | W 1-0 | 1742 | 1606 | 61.6% | 20.6% | 17.9% | +3.2 | 17 |
| 2019-10-26 | @ Kilmarnock | L 0-1 | 1606 | 1742 | 17.9% | 20.6% | 61.6% | -3.2 | 8 |
| 2019-10-26 | Heart of Midlothian | D 0-0 | 1656 | 1659 | 41.5% | 29.7% | 28.8% | -0.5 | 12 |
| 2019-10-26 | @ Livingston | D 0-0 | 1659 | 1656 | 28.8% | 29.7% | 41.5% | +0.5 | 8 |
| 2019-10-26 | Hamilton Academical | W 3-2 | 1608 | 1573 | 46.9% | 28.1% | 25.0% | +4.2 | 7 |
| 2019-10-26 | @ St. Johnstone | L 2-3 | 1573 | 1608 | 25.0% | 28.1% | 46.9% | -4.2 | 9 |
| 2019-10-27 | Celtic | L 0-4 | 1757 | 1896 | 24.4% | 27.7% | 47.9% | -16.5 | 15 |
| 2019-10-27 | @ Aberdeen | W 4-0 | 1896 | 1757 | 47.9% | 27.7% | 24.4% | +16.5 | 25 |
| 2019-10-27 | Motherwell | W 2-1 | 1880 | 1681 | 70.4% | 14.9% | 14.7% | +2.2 | 25 |
| 2019-10-27 | @ Rangers | L 1-2 | 1681 | 1880 | 14.7% | 14.9% | 70.4% | -2.2 | 16 |
| 2019-10-30 | St. Mirren | W 2-0 | 1913 | 1603 | 83.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | +2.6 | 28 |
| 2019-10-30 | @ Celtic | L 0-2 | 1603 | 1913 | 9.9% | 6.9% | 83.2% | -2.6 | 8 |
| 2019-10-30 | Aberdeen | L 0-1 | 1569 | 1741 | 21.7% | 25.6% | 52.7% | -4.1 | 9 |
| 2019-10-30 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 1-0 | 1741 | 1569 | 52.7% | 25.6% | 21.7% | +4.1 | 18 |
| 2019-10-30 | Livingston | D 2-2 | 1689 | 1656 | 46.7% | 28.2% | 25.1% | -0.5 | 9 |
| 2019-10-30 | @ Hibernian | D 2-2 | 1656 | 1689 | 25.1% | 28.2% | 46.7% | +0.5 | 13 |
| 2019-10-30 | Kilmarnock | W 2-1 | 1678 | 1745 | 32.4% | 30.3% | 37.3% | +6.1 | 19 |
| 2019-10-30 | @ Motherwell | L 1-2 | 1745 | 1678 | 37.3% | 30.3% | 32.4% | -6.1 | 17 |
| 2019-10-30 | Rangers | L 0-4 | 1630 | 1882 | 16.9% | 18.9% | 64.3% | -10.5 | 13 |
| 2019-10-30 | @ Ross County | W 4-0 | 1882 | 1630 | 64.3% | 18.9% | 16.9% | +10.5 | 28 |
| 2019-10-30 | Heart of Midlothian | W 1-0 | 1612 | 1659 | 35.0% | 30.4% | 34.6% | +6.1 | 10 |
| 2019-10-30 | @ St. Johnstone | L 0-1 | 1659 | 1612 | 34.6% | 30.4% | 35.0% | -6.2 | 8 |
| 2019-11-02 | Kilmarnock | W 3-0 | 1745 | 1739 | 42.8% | 29.4% | 27.8% | +14.2 | 21 |
| 2019-11-02 | @ Aberdeen | L 0-3 | 1739 | 1745 | 27.8% | 29.4% | 42.8% | -14.2 | 17 |
| 2019-11-02 | Ross County | D 2-2 | 1565 | 1620 | 34.0% | 30.4% | 35.6% | +0.0 | 10 |
| 2019-11-02 | @ Hamilton Academical | D 2-2 | 1620 | 1565 | 35.6% | 30.4% | 34.0% | -0.0 | 14 |
| 2019-11-02 | Livingston | W 2-1 | 1684 | 1656 | 46.0% | 28.4% | 25.6% | +4.5 | 22 |
| 2019-11-02 | @ Motherwell | L 1-2 | 1656 | 1684 | 25.6% | 28.4% | 46.0% | -4.5 | 13 |
| 2019-11-09 | St. Mirren | W 5-2 | 1653 | 1600 | 49.6% | 27.0% | 23.4% | +8.8 | 11 |
| 2019-11-09 | @ Heart of Midlothian | L 2-5 | 1600 | 1653 | 23.4% | 27.0% | 49.6% | -8.8 | 8 |
| 2019-11-09 | Hamilton Academical | D 2-2 | 1724 | 1565 | 65.0% | 18.4% | 16.6% | -1.3 | 18 |
| 2019-11-09 | @ Kilmarnock | D 2-2 | 1565 | 1724 | 16.6% | 18.4% | 65.0% | +1.3 | 11 |
| 2019-11-09 | Aberdeen | L 1-3 | 1620 | 1759 | 24.3% | 27.7% | 48.0% | -7.5 | 14 |
| 2019-11-09 | @ Ross County | W 3-1 | 1759 | 1620 | 48.0% | 27.7% | 24.3% | +7.5 | 24 |
| 2019-11-09 | Hibernian | L 1-4 | 1618 | 1688 | 31.9% | 30.2% | 37.9% | -13.4 | 10 |
| 2019-11-09 | @ St. Johnstone | W 4-1 | 1688 | 1618 | 37.9% | 30.2% | 31.9% | +13.4 | 12 |
| 2019-11-10 | Motherwell | W 2-0 | 1915 | 1689 | 73.9% | 12.7% | 13.4% | +4.0 | 31 |
| 2019-11-10 | @ Celtic | L 0-2 | 1689 | 1915 | 13.4% | 12.7% | 73.9% | -4.0 | 22 |
| 2019-11-10 | Rangers | L 0-2 | 1652 | 1893 | 17.4% | 19.9% | 62.7% | -5.8 | 13 |
| 2019-11-10 | @ Livingston | W 2-0 | 1893 | 1652 | 62.7% | 19.9% | 17.4% | +5.8 | 31 |
| 2019-11-23 | Livingston | W 4-0 | 1919 | 1646 | 79.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | +6.0 | 34 |
| 2019-11-23 | @ Celtic | L 0-4 | 1646 | 1919 | 11.4% | 9.2% | 79.4% | -6.0 | 13 |
| 2019-11-23 | Motherwell | W 3-1 | 1701 | 1685 | 44.3% | 29.0% | 26.8% | +8.2 | 15 |
| 2019-11-23 | @ Hibernian | L 1-3 | 1685 | 1701 | 26.8% | 29.0% | 44.3% | -8.2 | 22 |
| 2019-11-23 | Heart of Midlothian | W 3-0 | 1723 | 1662 | 50.8% | 26.5% | 22.7% | +11.7 | 21 |
| 2019-11-23 | @ Kilmarnock | L 0-3 | 1662 | 1723 | 22.7% | 26.5% | 50.8% | -11.7 | 11 |
| 2019-11-23 | Ross County | W 2-1 | 1592 | 1612 | 38.9% | 30.1% | 31.0% | +5.4 | 11 |
| 2019-11-23 | @ St. Mirren | L 1-2 | 1612 | 1592 | 31.0% | 30.1% | 38.9% | -5.3 | 14 |
| 2019-11-24 | Rangers | L 1-3 | 1566 | 1899 | 13.1% | 12.0% | 74.9% | -3.3 | 11 |
| 2019-11-24 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 3-1 | 1899 | 1566 | 74.9% | 12.0% | 13.1% | +3.3 | 34 |
| 2019-11-24 | Aberdeen | D 1-1 | 1605 | 1767 | 22.4% | 26.2% | 51.3% | +1.0 | 11 |
| 2019-11-24 | @ St. Johnstone | D 1-1 | 1767 | 1605 | 51.3% | 26.2% | 22.4% | -1.0 | 25 |
| 2019-11-26 | Hibernian | L 1-2 | 1597 | 1710 | 26.9% | 29.0% | 44.1% | -4.8 | 11 |
| 2019-11-26 | @ St. Mirren | W 2-1 | 1710 | 1597 | 44.1% | 29.0% | 26.9% | +4.8 | 18 |
| 2019-11-30 | St. Mirren | W 2-1 | 1766 | 1592 | 66.9% | 17.2% | 15.9% | +2.5 | 28 |
| 2019-11-30 | @ Aberdeen | L 1-2 | 1592 | 1766 | 15.9% | 17.2% | 66.9% | -2.5 | 11 |
| 2019-11-30 | Kilmarnock | D 2-2 | 1714 | 1735 | 38.9% | 30.1% | 31.0% | -0.2 | 19 |
| 2019-11-30 | @ Hibernian | D 2-2 | 1735 | 1714 | 31.0% | 30.1% | 38.9% | +0.2 | 22 |
| 2019-11-30 | Hamilton Academical | D 0-0 | 1640 | 1563 | 53.1% | 25.3% | 21.5% | -1.2 | 14 |
| 2019-11-30 | @ Livingston | D 0-0 | 1563 | 1640 | 21.5% | 25.3% | 53.1% | +1.2 | 12 |
| 2019-11-30 | St. Johnstone | W 4-0 | 1677 | 1606 | 52.3% | 25.8% | 21.9% | +14.7 | 25 |
| 2019-11-30 | @ Motherwell | L 0-4 | 1606 | 1677 | 21.9% | 25.8% | 52.3% | -14.7 | 11 |
| 2019-12-01 | Heart of Midlothian | W 5-0 | 1902 | 1650 | 76.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | +8.2 | 37 |
| 2019-12-01 | @ Rangers | L 0-5 | 1650 | 1902 | 12.3% | 10.8% | 76.9% | -8.2 | 11 |
| 2019-12-01 | Celtic | L 1-4 | 1607 | 1925 | 13.7% | 13.2% | 73.2% | -5.0 | 14 |
| 2019-12-01 | @ Ross County | W 4-1 | 1925 | 1607 | 73.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | +5.0 | 37 |
| 2019-12-04 | Rangers | D 2-2 | 1768 | 1910 | 24.1% | 27.5% | 48.4% | +0.6 | 29 |
| 2019-12-04 | @ Aberdeen | D 2-2 | 1910 | 1768 | 48.4% | 27.5% | 24.1% | -0.6 | 38 |
| 2019-12-04 | Hamilton Academical | W 2-1 | 1930 | 1564 | 88.0% | 4.2% | 7.8% | +1.0 | 40 |
| 2019-12-04 | @ Celtic | L 1-2 | 1564 | 1930 | 7.8% | 4.2% | 88.0% | -1.0 | 12 |
| 2019-12-04 | Livingston | D 1-1 | 1642 | 1639 | 42.4% | 29.5% | 28.1% | -0.5 | 12 |
| 2019-12-04 | @ Heart of Midlothian | D 1-1 | 1639 | 1642 | 28.1% | 29.5% | 42.4% | +0.5 | 15 |
| 2019-12-04 | St. Johnstone | D 0-0 | 1735 | 1591 | 62.8% | 19.8% | 17.4% | -1.8 | 23 |
| 2019-12-04 | @ Kilmarnock | D 0-0 | 1591 | 1735 | 17.4% | 19.8% | 62.8% | +1.8 | 12 |
| 2019-12-04 | Hibernian | W 2-1 | 1602 | 1714 | 26.9% | 29.0% | 44.0% | +6.9 | 17 |
| 2019-12-04 | @ Ross County | L 1-2 | 1714 | 1602 | 44.0% | 29.0% | 26.9% | -6.9 | 19 |
| 2019-12-04 | Motherwell | L 0-3 | 1590 | 1692 | 28.0% | 29.4% | 42.5% | -14.3 | 11 |
| 2019-12-04 | @ St. Mirren | W 3-0 | 1692 | 1590 | 42.5% | 29.4% | 28.0% | +14.3 | 28 |
| 2019-12-07 | St. Mirren | L 0-1 | 1563 | 1575 | 40.2% | 29.9% | 29.9% | -6.8 | 12 |
| 2019-12-07 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 1-0 | 1575 | 1563 | 29.9% | 29.9% | 40.2% | +6.8 | 14 |
| 2019-12-07 | Aberdeen | W 3-0 | 1707 | 1769 | 33.0% | 30.3% | 36.6% | +17.5 | 22 |
| 2019-12-07 | @ Hibernian | L 0-3 | 1769 | 1707 | 36.6% | 30.3% | 33.0% | -17.5 | 29 |
| 2019-12-07 | Kilmarnock | W 3-0 | 1639 | 1733 | 28.9% | 29.7% | 41.4% | +19.1 | 18 |
| 2019-12-07 | @ Livingston | L 0-3 | 1733 | 1639 | 41.4% | 29.7% | 28.9% | -19.1 | 23 |
| 2019-12-07 | Heart of Midlothian | W 1-0 | 1706 | 1642 | 51.3% | 26.2% | 22.5% | +4.2 | 31 |
| 2019-12-07 | @ Motherwell | L 0-1 | 1642 | 1706 | 22.5% | 26.2% | 51.3% | -4.2 | 12 |
| 2019-12-14 | Hamilton Academical | W 1-0 | 1751 | 1556 | 69.8% | 15.3% | 14.9% | +2.4 | 32 |
| 2019-12-14 | @ Aberdeen | L 0-1 | 1556 | 1751 | 14.9% | 15.3% | 69.8% | -2.4 | 12 |
| 2019-12-14 | St. Johnstone | L 0-1 | 1637 | 1593 | 48.5% | 27.5% | 24.1% | -7.8 | 12 |
| 2019-12-14 | @ Heart of Midlothian | W 1-0 | 1593 | 1637 | 24.1% | 27.5% | 48.5% | +7.8 | 15 |
| 2019-12-14 | Kilmarnock | W 1-0 | 1609 | 1714 | 27.6% | 29.3% | 43.1% | +7.2 | 20 |
| 2019-12-14 | @ Ross County | L 0-1 | 1714 | 1609 | 43.1% | 29.3% | 27.6% | -7.2 | 23 |
| 2019-12-14 | Livingston | D 3-3 | 1582 | 1658 | 31.1% | 30.1% | 38.8% | +0.2 | 15 |
| 2019-12-14 | @ St. Mirren | D 3-3 | 1658 | 1582 | 38.8% | 30.1% | 31.1% | -0.2 | 19 |
| 2019-12-15 | Hibernian | W 2-0 | 1931 | 1725 | 71.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | +4.4 | 43 |
| 2019-12-15 | @ Celtic | L 0-2 | 1725 | 1931 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 71.3% | -4.3 | 22 |
| 2019-12-15 | Rangers | L 0-2 | 1710 | 1909 | 19.8% | 23.4% | 56.7% | -6.9 | 31 |
| 2019-12-15 | @ Motherwell | W 2-0 | 1909 | 1710 | 56.7% | 23.4% | 19.8% | +6.9 | 41 |
| 2019-12-18 | Celtic | L 0-2 | 1630 | 1936 | 14.2% | 14.2% | 71.5% | -4.3 | 12 |
| 2019-12-18 | @ Heart of Midlothian | W 2-0 | 1936 | 1630 | 71.5% | 14.2% | 14.2% | +4.3 | 46 |
| 2019-12-20 | Rangers | L 0-3 | 1720 | 1916 | 20.1% | 23.7% | 56.2% | -10.2 | 22 |
| 2019-12-20 | @ Hibernian | W 3-0 | 1916 | 1720 | 56.2% | 23.7% | 20.1% | +10.2 | 44 |
| 2019-12-21 | Aberdeen | W 2-1 | 1940 | 1754 | 68.6% | 16.1% | 15.3% | +2.4 | 49 |
| 2019-12-21 | @ Celtic | L 1-2 | 1754 | 1940 | 15.3% | 16.1% | 68.6% | -2.4 | 32 |
| 2019-12-21 | Heart of Midlothian | W 2-1 | 1554 | 1625 | 31.7% | 30.2% | 38.0% | +6.2 | 15 |
| 2019-12-21 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 1-2 | 1625 | 1554 | 38.0% | 30.2% | 31.7% | -6.2 | 12 |
| 2019-12-21 | Motherwell | L 0-1 | 1707 | 1703 | 42.4% | 29.4% | 28.1% | -7.1 | 23 |
| 2019-12-21 | @ Kilmarnock | W 1-0 | 1703 | 1707 | 28.1% | 29.4% | 42.4% | +7.1 | 34 |
| 2019-12-21 | Ross County | W 4-0 | 1658 | 1616 | 48.1% | 27.6% | 24.3% | +16.4 | 22 |
| 2019-12-21 | @ Livingston | L 0-4 | 1616 | 1658 | 24.3% | 27.6% | 48.1% | -16.4 | 20 |
| 2019-12-21 | St. Mirren | D 0-0 | 1600 | 1582 | 44.6% | 28.9% | 26.6% | -0.7 | 16 |
| 2019-12-21 | @ St. Johnstone | D 0-0 | 1582 | 1600 | 26.6% | 28.9% | 44.6% | +0.7 | 16 |
| 2019-12-26 | Livingston | W 2-1 | 1751 | 1675 | 53.1% | 25.3% | 21.5% | +3.8 | 35 |
| 2019-12-26 | @ Aberdeen | L 1-2 | 1675 | 1751 | 21.5% | 25.3% | 53.1% | -3.8 | 22 |
| 2019-12-26 | St. Johnstone | L 0-1 | 1560 | 1600 | 36.1% | 30.4% | 33.5% | -6.3 | 15 |
| 2019-12-26 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 1-0 | 1600 | 1560 | 33.5% | 30.4% | 36.1% | +6.3 | 19 |
| 2019-12-26 | Hibernian | L 0-2 | 1619 | 1710 | 29.3% | 29.8% | 40.9% | -10.2 | 12 |
| 2019-12-26 | @ Heart of Midlothian | W 2-0 | 1710 | 1619 | 40.9% | 29.8% | 29.3% | +10.2 | 25 |
| 2019-12-26 | Kilmarnock | W 1-0 | 1926 | 1700 | 73.9% | 12.7% | 13.4% | +2.1 | 47 |
| 2019-12-26 | @ Rangers | L 0-1 | 1700 | 1926 | 13.4% | 12.7% | 73.9% | -2.1 | 23 |
| 2019-12-26 | Motherwell | L 1-2 | 1599 | 1710 | 27.1% | 29.1% | 43.9% | -4.8 | 20 |
| 2019-12-26 | @ Ross County | W 2-1 | 1710 | 1599 | 43.9% | 29.1% | 27.1% | +4.8 | 37 |
| 2019-12-26 | Celtic | L 1-2 | 1583 | 1942 | 11.9% | 10.0% | 78.1% | -1.7 | 16 |
| 2019-12-26 | @ St. Mirren | W 2-1 | 1942 | 1583 | 78.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | +1.7 | 52 |
| 2019-12-29 | Rangers | L 1-2 | 1944 | 1929 | 44.2% | 29.0% | 26.8% | -6.9 | 52 |
| 2019-12-29 | @ Celtic | W 2-1 | 1929 | 1944 | 26.8% | 29.0% | 44.2% | +6.9 | 50 |
| 2019-12-29 | Aberdeen | D 1-1 | 1609 | 1755 | 23.7% | 27.3% | 49.0% | +0.9 | 13 |
| 2019-12-29 | @ Heart of Midlothian | D 1-1 | 1755 | 1609 | 49.0% | 27.3% | 23.7% | -0.9 | 36 |
| 2019-12-29 | Hibernian | W 2-0 | 1671 | 1721 | 34.7% | 30.4% | 34.9% | +11.7 | 25 |
| 2019-12-29 | @ Livingston | L 0-2 | 1721 | 1671 | 34.9% | 30.4% | 34.7% | -11.7 | 25 |
| 2019-12-29 | Hamilton Academical | L 1-2 | 1715 | 1554 | 65.2% | 18.3% | 16.5% | -9.0 | 37 |
| 2019-12-29 | @ Motherwell | W 2-1 | 1554 | 1715 | 16.5% | 18.3% | 65.2% | +9.0 | 18 |
| 2019-12-29 | Ross County | D 1-1 | 1606 | 1595 | 43.6% | 29.2% | 27.3% | -0.6 | 20 |
| 2019-12-29 | @ St. Johnstone | D 1-1 | 1595 | 1606 | 27.3% | 29.2% | 43.6% | +0.6 | 21 |
| 2019-12-29 | Kilmarnock | W 1-0 | 1581 | 1698 | 26.5% | 28.8% | 44.7% | +7.4 | 19 |
| 2019-12-29 | @ St. Mirren | L 0-1 | 1698 | 1581 | 44.7% | 28.8% | 26.5% | -7.4 | 23 |
| 2020-01-22 | Motherwell | L 0-1 | 1754 | 1706 | 48.9% | 27.3% | 23.8% | -7.8 | 36 |
| 2020-01-22 | @ Aberdeen | W 1-0 | 1706 | 1754 | 23.8% | 27.3% | 48.9% | +7.8 | 40 |
| 2020-01-22 | Hamilton Academical | W 2-1 | 1709 | 1563 | 63.1% | 19.6% | 17.3% | +2.9 | 28 |
| 2020-01-22 | @ Hibernian | L 1-2 | 1563 | 1709 | 17.3% | 19.6% | 63.1% | -2.9 | 18 |
| 2020-01-22 | Celtic | L 1-3 | 1690 | 1937 | 17.1% | 19.4% | 63.5% | -4.9 | 23 |
| 2020-01-22 | @ Kilmarnock | W 3-1 | 1937 | 1690 | 63.5% | 19.4% | 17.1% | +4.9 | 55 |
| 2020-01-22 | St. Johnstone | W 1-0 | 1682 | 1606 | 53.1% | 25.4% | 21.5% | +4.0 | 28 |
| 2020-01-22 | @ Livingston | L 0-1 | 1606 | 1682 | 21.5% | 25.4% | 53.1% | -4.0 | 20 |
| 2020-01-22 | St. Mirren | W 1-0 | 1935 | 1589 | 86.5% | 5.0% | 8.5% | +1.1 | 53 |
| 2020-01-22 | @ Rangers | L 0-1 | 1589 | 1935 | 8.5% | 5.0% | 86.5% | -1.2 | 19 |
| 2020-01-22 | Heart of Midlothian | D 0-0 | 1595 | 1610 | 39.8% | 30.0% | 30.2% | -0.4 | 22 |
| 2020-01-22 | @ Ross County | D 0-0 | 1610 | 1595 | 30.2% | 30.0% | 39.8% | +0.4 | 14 |
| 2020-01-25 | Ross County | W 3-0 | 1942 | 1595 | 86.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | +3.1 | 58 |
| 2020-01-25 | @ Celtic | L 0-3 | 1595 | 1942 | 8.4% | 5.0% | 86.6% | -3.1 | 22 |
| 2020-01-25 | Livingston | L 2-4 | 1560 | 1686 | 25.5% | 28.4% | 46.1% | -7.0 | 18 |
| 2020-01-25 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 4-2 | 1686 | 1560 | 46.1% | 28.4% | 25.5% | +7.0 | 31 |
| 2020-01-25 | Hibernian | D 0-0 | 1714 | 1712 | 42.2% | 29.5% | 28.2% | -0.5 | 41 |
| 2020-01-25 | @ Motherwell | D 0-0 | 1712 | 1714 | 28.2% | 29.5% | 42.2% | +0.5 | 29 |
| 2020-01-25 | Kilmarnock | W 2-1 | 1602 | 1686 | 30.1% | 30.0% | 39.9% | +6.4 | 23 |
| 2020-01-25 | @ St. Johnstone | L 1-2 | 1686 | 1602 | 39.9% | 30.0% | 30.1% | -6.4 | 23 |
| 2020-01-26 | Rangers | W 2-1 | 1610 | 1937 | 13.3% | 12.5% | 74.2% | +9.7 | 17 |
| 2020-01-26 | @ Heart of Midlothian | L 1-2 | 1937 | 1610 | 74.2% | 12.5% | 13.3% | -9.7 | 53 |
| 2020-01-26 | Aberdeen | D 0-0 | 1588 | 1746 | 22.7% | 26.4% | 50.9% | +1.1 | 20 |
| 2020-01-26 | @ St. Mirren | D 0-0 | 1746 | 1588 | 50.9% | 26.4% | 22.7% | -1.1 | 37 |
| 2020-01-29 | Ross County | W 2-0 | 1927 | 1592 | 85.6% | 5.5% | 8.9% | +2.3 | 56 |
| 2020-01-29 | @ Rangers | L 0-2 | 1592 | 1927 | 8.9% | 5.5% | 85.6% | -2.3 | 22 |
| 2020-01-29 | Celtic | L 0-3 | 1608 | 1945 | 12.8% | 11.7% | 75.5% | -5.4 | 23 |
| 2020-01-29 | @ St. Johnstone | W 3-0 | 1945 | 1608 | 75.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | +5.4 | 61 |
| 2020-02-01 | St. Mirren | D 2-2 | 1712 | 1589 | 59.9% | 21.6% | 18.5% | -1.1 | 30 |
| 2020-02-01 | @ Hibernian | D 2-2 | 1589 | 1712 | 18.5% | 21.6% | 59.9% | +1.1 | 21 |
| 2020-02-01 | Ross County | W 3-1 | 1679 | 1589 | 55.0% | 24.4% | 20.6% | +6.3 | 26 |
| 2020-02-01 | @ Kilmarnock | L 1-3 | 1589 | 1679 | 20.6% | 24.4% | 55.0% | -6.3 | 22 |
| 2020-02-01 | Motherwell | W 1-0 | 1693 | 1714 | 39.0% | 30.1% | 30.9% | +5.7 | 34 |
| 2020-02-01 | @ Livingston | L 0-1 | 1714 | 1693 | 30.9% | 30.1% | 39.0% | -5.7 | 41 |
| 2020-02-01 | Aberdeen | D 0-0 | 1929 | 1745 | 68.3% | 16.3% | 15.4% | -2.1 | 57 |
| 2020-02-01 | @ Rangers | D 0-0 | 1745 | 1929 | 15.4% | 16.3% | 68.3% | +2.1 | 38 |
| 2020-02-01 | Heart of Midlothian | D 3-3 | 1603 | 1620 | 39.4% | 30.1% | 30.6% | -0.2 | 24 |
| 2020-02-01 | @ St. Johnstone | D 3-3 | 1620 | 1603 | 30.6% | 30.1% | 39.4% | +0.2 | 18 |
| 2020-02-02 | Celtic | L 1-4 | 1553 | 1951 | 10.3% | 7.5% | 82.2% | -3.4 | 18 |
| 2020-02-02 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 4-1 | 1951 | 1553 | 82.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | +3.4 | 64 |
| 2020-02-05 | St. Johnstone | L 0-1 | 1747 | 1602 | 62.9% | 19.7% | 17.3% | -9.3 | 38 |
| 2020-02-05 | @ Aberdeen | W 1-0 | 1602 | 1747 | 17.3% | 19.7% | 62.9% | +9.3 | 27 |
| 2020-02-05 | Kilmarnock | L 2-3 | 1620 | 1685 | 32.5% | 30.3% | 37.2% | -5.3 | 18 |
| 2020-02-05 | @ Heart of Midlothian | W 3-2 | 1685 | 1620 | 37.2% | 30.3% | 32.5% | +5.2 | 29 |
| 2020-02-05 | Celtic | L 0-4 | 1708 | 1954 | 17.2% | 19.4% | 63.4% | -10.7 | 41 |
| 2020-02-05 | @ Motherwell | W 4-0 | 1954 | 1708 | 63.4% | 19.4% | 17.2% | +10.7 | 67 |
| 2020-02-05 | Hibernian | W 2-1 | 1927 | 1711 | 72.5% | 13.6% | 13.9% | +2.1 | 60 |
| 2020-02-05 | @ Rangers | L 1-2 | 1711 | 1927 | 13.9% | 13.6% | 72.5% | -2.1 | 30 |
| 2020-02-05 | Livingston | W 2-0 | 1583 | 1699 | 26.5% | 28.9% | 44.6% | +13.9 | 25 |
| 2020-02-05 | @ Ross County | L 0-2 | 1699 | 1583 | 44.6% | 28.9% | 26.5% | -13.9 | 34 |
| 2020-02-05 | Hamilton Academical | D 1-1 | 1590 | 1550 | 47.8% | 27.8% | 24.5% | -0.8 | 22 |
| 2020-02-05 | @ St. Mirren | D 1-1 | 1550 | 1590 | 24.5% | 27.8% | 47.8% | +0.8 | 19 |
| 2020-02-11 | Aberdeen | L 1-3 | 1550 | 1738 | 20.6% | 24.3% | 55.1% | -6.2 | 19 |
| 2020-02-11 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 3-1 | 1738 | 1550 | 55.1% | 24.3% | 20.6% | +6.2 | 41 |
| 2020-02-12 | Heart of Midlothian | W 5-0 | 1965 | 1615 | 86.8% | 4.9% | 8.3% | +5.0 | 70 |
| 2020-02-12 | @ Celtic | L 0-5 | 1615 | 1965 | 8.3% | 4.9% | 86.8% | -5.0 | 18 |
| 2020-02-12 | Ross County | W 3-0 | 1709 | 1597 | 58.2% | 22.6% | 19.2% | +9.6 | 33 |
| 2020-02-12 | @ Hibernian | L 0-3 | 1597 | 1709 | 19.2% | 22.6% | 58.2% | -9.6 | 25 |
| 2020-02-12 | Rangers | W 2-1 | 1691 | 1929 | 17.6% | 20.1% | 62.4% | +8.7 | 32 |
| 2020-02-12 | @ Kilmarnock | L 1-2 | 1929 | 1691 | 62.4% | 20.1% | 17.6% | -8.7 | 60 |
| 2020-02-12 | St. Mirren | W 2-1 | 1685 | 1589 | 56.0% | 23.8% | 20.2% | +3.5 | 37 |
| 2020-02-12 | @ Livingston | L 1-2 | 1589 | 1685 | 20.2% | 23.8% | 56.0% | -3.5 | 22 |
| 2020-02-12 | Motherwell | W 2-1 | 1612 | 1697 | 29.9% | 29.9% | 40.1% | +6.4 | 30 |
| 2020-02-12 | @ St. Johnstone | L 1-2 | 1697 | 1612 | 40.1% | 29.9% | 29.9% | -6.4 | 41 |
| 2020-02-15 | Hamilton Academical | D 2-2 | 1610 | 1544 | 51.5% | 26.2% | 22.4% | -0.8 | 19 |
| 2020-02-15 | @ Heart of Midlothian | D 2-2 | 1544 | 1610 | 22.4% | 26.2% | 51.5% | +0.8 | 20 |
| 2020-02-15 | St. Johnstone | D 1-1 | 1587 | 1618 | 37.4% | 30.3% | 32.3% | -0.2 | 26 |
| 2020-02-15 | @ Ross County | D 1-1 | 1618 | 1587 | 32.3% | 30.3% | 37.4% | +0.2 | 31 |
| 2020-02-16 | Celtic | L 1-2 | 1744 | 1970 | 18.3% | 21.2% | 60.5% | -3.1 | 41 |
| 2020-02-16 | @ Aberdeen | W 2-1 | 1970 | 1744 | 60.5% | 21.2% | 18.3% | +3.1 | 73 |
| 2020-02-16 | Hibernian | L 1-2 | 1699 | 1719 | 39.1% | 30.1% | 30.8% | -6.3 | 32 |
| 2020-02-16 | @ Kilmarnock | W 2-1 | 1719 | 1699 | 30.8% | 30.1% | 39.1% | +6.3 | 36 |
| 2020-02-16 | Livingston | W 1-0 | 1921 | 1689 | 74.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | +2.0 | 63 |
| 2020-02-16 | @ Rangers | L 0-1 | 1689 | 1921 | 13.2% | 12.3% | 74.5% | -2.0 | 37 |
| 2020-02-22 | Ross County | L 1-2 | 1741 | 1587 | 64.2% | 18.9% | 16.9% | -8.9 | 41 |
| 2020-02-22 | @ Aberdeen | W 2-1 | 1587 | 1741 | 16.9% | 18.9% | 64.2% | +8.9 | 29 |
| 2020-02-22 | Motherwell | D 0-0 | 1545 | 1691 | 23.8% | 27.3% | 48.9% | +1.0 | 21 |
| 2020-02-22 | @ Hamilton Academical | D 0-0 | 1691 | 1545 | 48.9% | 27.3% | 23.8% | -1.0 | 42 |
| 2020-02-22 | Livingston | D 1-1 | 1725 | 1687 | 47.5% | 27.9% | 24.6% | -0.8 | 37 |
| 2020-02-22 | @ Hibernian | D 1-1 | 1687 | 1725 | 24.6% | 27.9% | 47.5% | +0.8 | 38 |
| 2020-02-23 | Kilmarnock | W 3-1 | 1973 | 1693 | 80.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | +2.7 | 76 |
| 2020-02-23 | @ Celtic | L 1-3 | 1693 | 1973 | 11.1% | 8.8% | 80.1% | -2.6 | 32 |
| 2020-02-23 | Rangers | D 2-2 | 1618 | 1923 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 71.3% | +1.5 | 32 |
| 2020-02-23 | @ St. Johnstone | D 2-2 | 1923 | 1618 | 71.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | -1.5 | 64 |
| 2020-02-25 | St. Mirren | L 1-2 | 1690 | 1585 | 57.1% | 23.2% | 19.7% | -8.2 | 42 |
| 2020-02-25 | @ Motherwell | W 2-1 | 1585 | 1690 | 19.7% | 23.2% | 57.1% | +8.2 | 25 |
| 2020-03-03 | Heart of Midlothian | L 1-3 | 1724 | 1609 | 58.7% | 22.3% | 19.0% | -14.5 | 37 |
| 2020-03-03 | @ Hibernian | W 3-1 | 1609 | 1724 | 19.0% | 22.3% | 58.7% | +14.5 | 22 |
| 2020-03-04 | Aberdeen | D 2-2 | 1690 | 1732 | 35.8% | 30.4% | 33.8% | -0.0 | 33 |
| 2020-03-04 | @ Kilmarnock | D 2-2 | 1732 | 1690 | 33.8% | 30.4% | 35.8% | +0.0 | 42 |
| 2020-03-04 | Celtic | D 2-2 | 1688 | 1975 | 15.1% | 15.7% | 69.2% | +1.4 | 39 |
| 2020-03-04 | @ Livingston | D 2-2 | 1975 | 1688 | 69.2% | 15.7% | 15.1% | -1.4 | 77 |
| 2020-03-04 | Ross County | W 4-1 | 1681 | 1596 | 54.4% | 24.7% | 20.9% | +9.0 | 45 |
| 2020-03-04 | @ Motherwell | L 1-4 | 1596 | 1681 | 20.9% | 24.7% | 54.4% | -9.0 | 29 |
| 2020-03-04 | Hamilton Academical | L 0-1 | 1921 | 1546 | 88.7% | 3.8% | 7.4% | -11.3 | 64 |
| 2020-03-04 | @ Rangers | W 1-0 | 1546 | 1921 | 7.4% | 3.8% | 88.7% | +11.4 | 24 |
| 2020-03-04 | St. Johnstone | D 0-0 | 1594 | 1620 | 38.1% | 30.2% | 31.7% | -0.2 | 26 |
| 2020-03-04 | @ St. Mirren | D 0-0 | 1620 | 1594 | 31.7% | 30.2% | 38.1% | +0.2 | 33 |
| 2020-03-07 | Hibernian | W 3-1 | 1732 | 1710 | 45.2% | 28.7% | 26.1% | +8.0 | 45 |
| 2020-03-07 | @ Aberdeen | L 1-3 | 1710 | 1732 | 26.1% | 28.7% | 45.2% | -8.0 | 37 |
| 2020-03-07 | St. Mirren | W 5-0 | 1974 | 1593 | 89.1% | 3.6% | 7.3% | +4.2 | 80 |
| 2020-03-07 | @ Celtic | L 0-5 | 1593 | 1974 | 7.3% | 3.6% | 89.1% | -4.2 | 26 |
| 2020-03-07 | Kilmarnock | W 1-0 | 1557 | 1690 | 24.9% | 28.0% | 47.1% | +7.6 | 27 |
| 2020-03-07 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 0-1 | 1690 | 1557 | 47.1% | 28.0% | 24.9% | -7.6 | 33 |
| 2020-03-07 | Motherwell | D 1-1 | 1624 | 1690 | 32.3% | 30.3% | 37.4% | +0.2 | 23 |
| 2020-03-07 | @ Heart of Midlothian | D 1-1 | 1690 | 1624 | 37.4% | 30.3% | 32.3% | -0.2 | 46 |
| 2020-03-07 | Livingston | W 1-0 | 1620 | 1689 | 32.0% | 30.3% | 37.7% | +6.5 | 36 |
| 2020-03-07 | @ St. Johnstone | L 0-1 | 1689 | 1620 | 37.7% | 30.3% | 32.0% | -6.5 | 39 |
| 2020-03-08 | Rangers | L 0-1 | 1587 | 1910 | 13.5% | 12.8% | 73.7% | -2.1 | 29 |
| 2020-03-08 | @ Ross County | W 1-0 | 1910 | 1587 | 73.7% | 12.8% | 13.5% | +2.1 | 67 |
| 2020-03-11 | Heart of Midlothian | W 1-0 | 1589 | 1624 | 36.9% | 30.3% | 32.8% | +5.9 | 29 |
| 2020-03-11 | @ St. Mirren | L 0-1 | 1624 | 1589 | 32.8% | 30.3% | 36.9% | -5.9 | 23 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2020-03-04 | 7.45% | Hamilton Academical | 1546 | 1 | @ Rangers | 1921 | 0 |
| 2 | 2020-01-26 | 13.32% | @ Heart of Midlothian | 1610 | 2 | Rangers | 1937 | 1 |
| 3 | 2019-10-06 | 16.34% | @ Livingston | 1642 | 2 | Celtic | 1904 | 0 |
| 4 | 2019-12-29 | 16.51% | Hamilton Academical | 1554 | 2 | @ Motherwell | 1715 | 1 |
| 5 | 2020-02-22 | 16.87% | Ross County | 1587 | 2 | @ Aberdeen | 1741 | 1 |
| 6 | 2020-02-05 | 17.34% | St. Johnstone | 1602 | 1 | @ Aberdeen | 1747 | 0 |
| 7 | 2020-02-12 | 17.57% | @ Kilmarnock | 1691 | 2 | Rangers | 1929 | 1 |
| 8 | 2020-03-03 | 19.01% | Heart of Midlothian | 1609 | 3 | @ Hibernian | 1724 | 1 |
| 9 | 2020-02-25 | 19.67% | St. Mirren | 1585 | 2 | @ Motherwell | 1690 | 1 |
| 10 | 2019-08-10 | 21.69% | @ Hamilton Academical | 1567 | 2 | Kilmarnock | 1739 | 0 |
| 11 | 2019-09-21 | 22.68% | Ross County | 1631 | 2 | @ Motherwell | 1692 | 1 |
| 12 | 2020-01-22 | 23.76% | Motherwell | 1706 | 1 | @ Aberdeen | 1754 | 0 |
| 13 | 2019-12-14 | 24.05% | St. Johnstone | 1593 | 1 | @ Heart of Midlothian | 1637 | 0 |
| 14 | 2019-08-11 | 24.46% | @ St. Mirren | 1608 | 1 | Aberdeen | 1746 | 0 |
| 15 | 2019-09-22 | 24.60% | Heart of Midlothian | 1656 | 2 | @ Hibernian | 1695 | 1 |
| 16 | 2020-03-07 | 24.88% | @ Hamilton Academical | 1557 | 1 | Kilmarnock | 1690 | 0 |
| 17 | 2019-12-29 | 26.49% | @ St. Mirren | 1581 | 1 | Kilmarnock | 1698 | 0 |
| 18 | 2020-02-05 | 26.54% | @ Ross County | 1583 | 2 | Livingston | 1699 | 0 |
| 19 | 2019-12-29 | 26.84% | Rangers | 1929 | 2 | @ Celtic | 1944 | 1 |
| 20 | 2019-12-04 | 26.92% | @ Ross County | 1602 | 2 | Hibernian | 1714 | 1 |
| 21 | 2019-08-24 | 27.31% | Livingston | 1642 | 4 | @ Ross County | 1653 | 1 |
| 22 | 2019-12-14 | 27.64% | @ Ross County | 1609 | 1 | Kilmarnock | 1714 | 0 |
| 23 | 2019-12-21 | 28.09% | Motherwell | 1703 | 1 | @ Kilmarnock | 1707 | 0 |
| 24 | 2019-12-07 | 28.92% | @ Livingston | 1639 | 3 | Kilmarnock | 1733 | 0 |
| 25 | 2019-12-07 | 29.91% | St. Mirren | 1575 | 1 | @ Hamilton Academical | 1563 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2019-12-07 | 19.10 | @ Livingston | 3 | 1639 | 28.92% | Kilmarnock | 0 | 1733 | 41.38% | |
| 2 | 2019-10-06 | 18.01 | @ Livingston | 2 | 1642 | 16.34% | Celtic | 0 | 1904 | 65.68% | |
| 3 | 2019-12-07 | 17.53 | @ Hibernian | 3 | 1707 | 33.01% | Aberdeen | 0 | 1769 | 36.64% | |
| 4 | 2019-10-19 | 17.22 | Aberdeen | 3 | 1740 | 33.87% | @ Motherwell | 0 | 1698 | 35.73% | |
| 5 | 2019-08-31 | 17.05 | @ Motherwell | 3 | 1669 | 34.37% | Hibernian | 0 | 1721 | 35.22% | |
| 6 | 2019-08-24 | 16.69 | Livingston | 4 | 1642 | 27.31% | @ Ross County | 1 | 1653 | 43.51% | |
| 7 | 2019-10-27 | 16.48 | Celtic | 4 | 1896 | 47.94% | @ Aberdeen | 0 | 1757 | 24.37% | |
| 8 | 2019-12-21 | 16.42 | @ Livingston | 4 | 1658 | 48.10% | Ross County | 0 | 1616 | 24.27% | |
| 9 | 2019-09-28 | 16.12 | @ Rangers | 5 | 1859 | 56.74% | Aberdeen | 0 | 1757 | 19.84% | |
| 10 | 2019-08-10 | 15.61 | @ Hamilton Academical | 2 | 1567 | 21.69% | Kilmarnock | 0 | 1739 | 52.79% | |
| 11 | 2019-11-30 | 14.74 | @ Motherwell | 4 | 1677 | 52.32% | St. Johnstone | 0 | 1606 | 21.93% | |
| 12 | 2020-03-03 | 14.51 | Heart of Midlothian | 3 | 1609 | 19.01% | @ Hibernian | 1 | 1724 | 58.69% | |
| 13 | 2019-12-04 | 14.34 | Motherwell | 3 | 1692 | 42.53% | @ St. Mirren | 0 | 1590 | 28.04% | |
| 14 | 2019-11-02 | 14.25 | @ Aberdeen | 3 | 1745 | 42.82% | Kilmarnock | 0 | 1739 | 27.82% | |
| 15 | 2019-08-03 | 13.87 | @ Celtic | 7 | 1862 | 71.58% | St. Johnstone | 0 | 1654 | 14.25% | |
| 16 | 2020-02-05 | 13.86 | @ Ross County | 2 | 1583 | 26.54% | Livingston | 0 | 1699 | 44.59% | |
| 17 | 2019-11-09 | 13.39 | Hibernian | 4 | 1688 | 37.85% | @ St. Johnstone | 1 | 1618 | 31.90% | |
| 18 | 2019-08-11 | 13.29 | @ Rangers | 6 | 1838 | 56.88% | Hibernian | 1 | 1735 | 19.78% | |
| 19 | 2019-09-22 | 12.53 | Rangers | 4 | 1846 | 58.26% | @ St. Johnstone | 0 | 1636 | 19.19% | |
| 20 | 2019-09-01 | 12.18 | Celtic | 2 | 1887 | 32.55% | @ Rangers | 0 | 1854 | 37.14% | |
| 21 | 2019-11-23 | 11.73 | @ Kilmarnock | 3 | 1723 | 50.84% | Heart of Midlothian | 0 | 1662 | 22.70% | |
| 22 | 2019-08-03 | 11.71 | @ Ross County | 3 | 1640 | 50.92% | Hamilton Academical | 0 | 1579 | 22.66% | |
| 23 | 2019-12-29 | 11.67 | @ Livingston | 2 | 1671 | 34.66% | Hibernian | 0 | 1721 | 34.93% | |
| 24 | 2020-03-04 | 11.36 | Hamilton Academical | 1 | 1546 | 7.45% | @ Rangers | 0 | 1921 | 88.73% | |
| 25 | 2019-10-19 | 10.78 | @ St. Mirren | 2 | 1595 | 38.54% | St. Johnstone | 0 | 1618 | 31.28% | |