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2020-21 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

102 points · 55th Title

Last Title: 2010-11

Relegated

Hamilton Academical

30 pts

Kilmarnock · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Ross County

4.44 points above expected

39 points · 34.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

St. Johnstone

3.57 points below expected

45 points · 48.57 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 33 28 5 0 89 78 10 +68 73.28 +15.72
2 Celtic 33 20 9 4 69 66 24 +42 72.13 -3.13
3 Hibernian 33 16 8 9 56 44 31 +13 50.91 +5.09
4 Aberdeen 33 13 10 10 49 32 31 +1 52.45 -3.45
5 Livingston 33 12 8 13 44 40 41 -1 43.99 +0.01
6 St. Johnstone 33 10 10 13 40 34 40 -6 36.07 +3.93
7 St. Mirren 33 10 10 13 40 30 38 -8 36.56 +3.44
8 Dundee United 33 9 12 12 39 29 43 -14 37.73 +1.27
9 Motherwell 33 9 8 16 35 32 51 -19 40.86 -5.86
10 Ross County 33 8 5 20 29 26 59 -33 31.12 -2.12
11 Kilmarnock 33 8 4 21 28 33 47 -14 41.42 -13.42
12 Hamilton Academical 33 6 9 18 27 31 60 -29 31.29 -4.29
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers Champion 38 32 6 0 102 92 13 +79 99.99 +2.01
2 Celtic 38 22 11 5 77 78 29 +49 78.85 -1.85
3 Hibernian 38 18 9 11 63 48 35 +13 61.99 +1.01
4 Aberdeen 38 15 11 12 56 36 38 -2 54.24 +1.76
5 St. Johnstone 38 11 12 15 45 36 46 -10 48.57 -3.57
6 Livingston 38 12 9 17 45 42 54 -12 45.01 -0.01
7 St. Mirren 38 11 12 15 45 37 45 -8 47.82 -2.82
8 Motherwell 38 12 9 17 45 39 55 -16 46.02 -1.02
9 Dundee United 38 10 14 14 44 32 50 -18 42.60 +1.40
10 Ross County 38 11 6 21 39 35 66 -31 34.56 +4.44
11 Kilmarnock Relegated 38 10 6 22 36 43 54 -11 34.98 +1.02
12 Hamilton Academical Relegated 38 7 9 22 30 34 67 -33 33.11 -3.11

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ross County 39 34.56 +4.44
2 Rangers 102 99.99 +2.01
3 Aberdeen 56 54.24 +1.76
4 Dundee United 44 42.60 +1.40
5 Kilmarnock 36 34.98 +1.02

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Johnstone 45 48.57 -3.57
2 Hamilton Academical 30 33.11 -3.11
3 St. Mirren 45 47.82 -2.82
4 Celtic 77 78.85 -1.85
5 Motherwell 45 46.02 -1.02

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rangers 15 Sep 27 – Jan 10 1 in 883
2 Livingston 6 Dec 5 – Jan 10 1 in 231
3 Ross County 3 May 1 – May 16 1 in 40
4 Aberdeen 4 Aug 20 – Sep 12 1 in 29
5 Motherwell 3 Apr 10 – May 1 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kilmarnock 8 Jan 16 – Feb 20 1 in 382
2 St. Mirren 6 Aug 29 – Oct 2 1 in 72
3 Hibernian 3 Dec 26 – Jan 2 1 in 44
4 Ross County 6 Nov 21 – Dec 26 1 in 29
5 St. Johnstone 4 Sep 12 – Oct 4 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Livingston 11 Dec 5 – Feb 2 1 in 351
2 Rangers 38 Aug 1 – May 15 1 in 317
3 St. Johnstone 6 Oct 17 – Dec 6 1 in 64
4 St. Mirren 5 Nov 6 – Dec 19 1 in 21
5 Hamilton Academical 3 Feb 7 – Feb 17 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 12 Nov 8 – Jan 23 1 in 129
2 Kilmarnock 10 Jan 16 – Mar 6 1 in 34
3 Celtic 4 Jan 2 – Jan 20 1 in 33
4 St. Johnstone 10 Nov 21 – Jan 12 1 in 32
5 Ross County 12 Sep 27 – Dec 26 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rangers 2073 102 +26 13 11.1 +1.9
Celtic 1985 77 +5 8 9.9 -1.9
Hibernian 1783 63 +4 7 6.0 +1.0
Aberdeen 1745 56 +1 7 5.4 +1.6
Motherwell 1678 45 +20 10 7.4 +2.6
St. Mirren 1684 45 -8 5 7.9 -2.9
St. Johnstone 1702 45 -4 5 4.6 +0.4
Livingston 1701 45 -31 1 4.6 -3.6
Dundee United 1648 44 -32 5 7.2 -2.2
Ross County 1622 39 +24 10 5.6 +4.4
Kilmarnock 1678 36 +19 8 7.2 +0.8
Hamilton Academical 1596 30 -23 3 5.9 -2.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU HA HIB KIL LIV MOT RAN RC SJ SM
Aberdeen —
0-2-2
2.62
0-2-1
5.42
1-2-0
5.92
2-0-2
5.36
3-0-0
5.03
2-1-1
6.05
1-1-1
5.23
0-0-4
2.77
2-0-1
5.94
3-1-0
6.95
1-2-0
5.48
Celtic
2-2-0
8.52
—
2-1-0
6.89
3-0-0
7.26
1-3-0
8.36
2-1-0
6.61
2-2-0
8.79
3-0-0
6.63
0-1-3
4.98
2-0-1
7.34
3-1-0
9.32
2-0-1
6.93
Dundee United
1-2-0
2.83
0-1-2
1.55
—
2-2-0
6.27
0-1-2
2.85
1-1-2
5.32
1-0-2
3.41
1-2-1
4.83
0-0-3
1.36
3-0-1
6.12
0-3-0
4.23
1-2-1
5.53
Hamilton Academical
0-2-1
2.37
0-0-3
1.26
0-2-2
4.68
—
0-0-3
2.36
1-0-3
4.07
1-0-2
3.01
3-0-1
4.20
0-1-2
1.23
1-0-3
5.47
0-2-1
3.55
1-2-1
4.43
Hibernian
2-0-2
5.58
0-3-1
2.75
2-1-0
5.40
3-0-0
5.94
—
3-0-0
4.51
2-1-1
6.28
1-1-1
5.07
0-1-3
2.63
1-1-1
6.05
1-1-2
6.95
3-0-0
5.36
Kilmarnock
0-0-3
3.20
0-1-2
1.78
2-1-1
5.62
3-0-1
6.91
0-0-3
3.70
—
1-0-2
3.88
2-0-2
5.17
0-0-3
1.68
1-2-1
6.58
0-0-3
4.79
1-2-1
5.85
Livingston
1-1-2
4.90
0-2-2
2.39
2-0-1
4.81
2-0-1
5.22
1-1-2
4.67
2-0-1
4.33
—
0-1-2
4.19
0-1-3
2.18
2-1-0
5.19
2-1-1
6.15
0-1-2
4.78
Motherwell
1-1-1
3.00
0-0-3
1.76
1-2-1
6.12
1-0-3
6.77
1-1-1
3.17
2-0-2
5.77
2-1-0
4.02
—
0-1-2
1.62
2-0-2
6.68
1-1-1
4.49
1-2-1
5.48
Rangers
4-0-0
8.37
3-1-0
5.97
3-0-0
7.13
2-1-0
7.30
3-1-0
8.52
3-0-0
6.74
3-1-0
9.05
2-1-0
6.81
—
3-0-0
7.41
3-1-0
9.47
3-0-0
7.01
Ross County
1-0-2
2.36
1-0-2
1.20
1-0-3
4.83
3-0-1
5.47
1-1-1
2.27
1-2-1
4.38
0-1-2
3.05
2-0-2
4.29
0-0-3
1.14
—
1-1-1
3.34
0-1-3
4.43
St. Johnstone
0-1-3
4.04
0-1-3
1.96
0-3-0
3.98
1-2-0
4.66
2-1-1
4.03
3-0-0
3.43
1-1-2
4.81
1-1-1
3.72
0-1-3
1.84
1-1-1
4.88
—
2-0-1
4.11
St. Mirren
0-2-1
2.78
1-0-2
1.52
1-2-1
5.41
1-2-1
6.54
0-0-3
2.89
1-2-1
5.10
2-1-0
3.43
1-2-1
5.47
0-0-3
1.46
3-1-0
6.54
1-0-2
4.10
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.85 +9.7
Allowed 0.89 -12.3
Differential 0.95 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.77%10.31%7.89%3.95%2.19%0.88%33.99%
110.31%11.40%7.24%1.32%1.54%0.66%32.46%
27.89%7.24%3.95%1.10%0.22%—20.39%
33.95%1.32%1.10%0.88%—0.22%7.46%
42.19%1.54%0.22%———3.95%
5+0.88%0.66%—0.22%——1.75%
Total33.99%32.46%20.39%7.46%3.95%1.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.21 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.93
CV 1.02 1.02 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.42%13.16%5.26%2.63%5.26%—44.74%
113.16%7.89%2.63%—2.63%—26.32%
210.53%10.53%————21.05%
32.63%——2.63%——5.26%
4——2.63%———2.63%
5+———————
Total44.74%31.58%10.53%5.26%7.89%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.00 -0.05
SD 1.06 1.23 1.66
CV 1.12 1.23 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%2.63%———15.79%
17.89%13.16%2.63%—2.63%—26.32%
210.53%7.89%5.26%———23.68%
310.53%—2.63%2.63%——15.79%
47.89%2.63%————10.53%
5+5.26%2.63%————7.89%
Total50.00%31.58%13.16%2.63%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 0.76 +1.29
SD 1.56 0.97 1.99
CV 0.76 1.27 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.42%5.26%7.89%5.26%5.26%—42.11%
17.89%13.16%7.89%—2.63%2.63%34.21%
25.26%10.53%5.26%———21.05%
32.63%—————2.63%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.21%28.95%21.05%5.26%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.84 1.32 -0.47
SD 0.86 1.36 1.70
CV 1.02 1.03 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%10.53%15.79%2.63%2.63%2.63%42.11%
15.26%15.79%13.16%——2.63%36.84%
22.63%5.26%—2.63%2.63%—13.16%
32.63%————2.63%5.26%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total18.42%34.21%28.95%5.26%5.26%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.76 -0.87
SD 1.01 1.67 1.98
CV 1.13 0.95 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%13.16%7.89%5.26%——34.21%
113.16%7.89%2.63%———23.68%
210.53%10.53%7.89%———28.95%
35.26%—2.63%———7.89%
42.63%2.63%————5.26%
5+———————
Total39.47%34.21%21.05%5.26%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 0.92 +0.34
SD 1.18 0.91 1.65
CV 0.93 0.99 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—21.05%21.05%—2.63%—44.74%
12.63%7.89%7.89%———18.42%
27.89%2.63%5.26%5.26%——21.05%
32.63%5.26%—2.63%——10.53%
42.63%2.63%————5.26%
5+———————
Total15.79%39.47%34.21%7.89%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.42 -0.29
SD 1.26 0.95 1.75
CV 1.11 0.67 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%7.89%5.26%5.26%—2.63%31.58%
12.63%7.89%13.16%5.26%2.63%—31.58%
213.16%10.53%5.26%2.63%——31.58%
32.63%2.63%————5.26%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.95%28.95%23.68%13.16%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.42 -0.32
SD 0.92 1.35 1.82
CV 0.84 0.95 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%10.53%5.26%10.53%——34.21%
110.53%10.53%5.26%2.63%7.89%2.63%39.47%
27.89%5.26%5.26%———18.42%
32.63%2.63%————5.26%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total31.58%28.95%15.79%13.16%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.45 -0.42
SD 1.00 1.41 1.93
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%—————2.63%
121.05%10.53%————31.58%
215.79%7.89%2.63%———26.32%
313.16%2.63%————15.79%
410.53%5.26%————15.79%
5+5.26%2.63%————7.89%
Total68.42%28.95%2.63%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 0.34 +2.08
SD 1.59 0.53 1.70
CV 0.66 1.56 —
Max 8 2 +8
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%15.79%2.63%5.26%5.26%39.47%
110.53%7.89%10.53%7.89%——36.84%
25.26%7.89%5.26%———18.42%
3——2.63%———2.63%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total18.42%26.32%34.21%10.53%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.74 -0.82
SD 0.97 1.33 1.90
CV 1.05 0.77 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%15.79%5.26%5.26%2.63%—39.47%
115.79%15.79%7.89%———39.47%
2—5.26%5.26%2.63%——13.16%
32.63%—2.63%———5.26%
4———————
5+———2.63%——2.63%
Total28.95%36.84%21.05%10.53%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.21 -0.26
SD 1.09 1.07 1.39
CV 1.15 0.88 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%13.16%2.63%7.89%2.63%—36.84%
113.16%18.42%13.16%———44.74%
25.26%2.63%————7.89%
3—2.63%2.63%2.63%——7.89%
4———————
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total28.95%39.47%18.42%10.53%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.18 -0.21
SD 1.10 1.06 1.56
CV 1.13 0.90 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rangers 2073 102 73.28 +28.72 99.0% 52 64 69 73 78 82 90
Celtic 1985 77 72.13 +4.87 36.0% 54 62 68 72 77 82 85
Hibernian 1783 63 50.91 +12.09 75.0% 32 36 45 51 56 63 70
Aberdeen 1745 56 52.45 +3.55 38.0% 35 40 46 52 58 63 66
St. Johnstone 1702 45 36.07 +8.93 70.0% 21 23 31 36 41 46 55
Livingston 1701 45 43.99 +1.01 51.0% 24 33 40 43 49 54 61
St. Mirren 1684 45 36.56 +8.44 65.0% 19 23 31 37 42 49 51
Motherwell 1678 45 40.86 +4.14 23.0% 27 31 37 40 45 52 70
Kilmarnock 1678 36 41.42 -5.42 4.0% 22 29 36 42 46 54 58
Dundee United 1648 44 37.73 +6.27 60.0% 19 23 34 38 42 49 56
Ross County 1622 39 31.12 +7.88 41.0% 13 20 26 31 36 43 49
Hamilton Academical 1596 30 31.29 -1.29 30.0% 17 21 27 31 36 42 47

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+2.19%
No Edge
38.60%25.00%36.40%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 7.62 Elo pts.
168 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.11 goals
Neutral
-2+0.05+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
56%
Rangers, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.66/gm
Runaway
00.191/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.64 * Some Luck: 5.64 to 8.46 * Lucky: 8.46 to 11.28 * Wild Swing: 11.28 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.22 * Close: 1.22 to 1.82 * Off: 1.82 to 2.43 * Way Off: 2.43 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.31 * A Surprise: 1.31 to 2.1 * Several Surprises: 2.1 to 2.88 * Many Surprises: 2.88 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.83 points
Some Luck
07.0518
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
01.524
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Rangers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Kilmarnock
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
As Expected
01.32

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 137.84
2.47
Wide Separation
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
63%
Even
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
93%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Very Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Occasional
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Very Even
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.01
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.85
Near-Lock
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.25
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.26
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.086
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Rangers56.00%40.00%3.00%1.00%————————
Celtic44.00%51.00%5.00%—————————
Hibernian—4.00%36.00%26.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%1.00%5.00%—1.00%—
Aberdeen—5.00%39.00%22.00%16.00%9.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%——
St. Johnstone———6.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%17.00%13.00%16.00%13.00%10.00%
Livingston——8.00%18.00%20.00%13.00%17.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%
St. Mirren——1.00%4.00%9.00%11.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%19.00%10.00%13.00%
Motherwell——3.00%8.00%15.00%11.00%16.00%12.00%17.00%12.00%4.00%2.00%
Dundee United——2.00%3.00%5.00%12.00%10.00%20.00%19.00%11.00%9.00%9.00%
Ross County————3.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%16.00%12.00%24.00%33.00%
Kilmarnock——3.00%12.00%12.00%17.00%17.00%11.00%5.00%12.00%10.00%1.00%
Hamilton Academical————2.00%6.00%2.00%12.00%10.00%11.00%26.00%31.00%
Team123456789101112
Rangers100.00%———————————
Celtic—100.00%——————————
Hibernian——97.14%2.86%————————
Aberdeen——2.82%88.21%8.77%0.20%——————
St. Johnstone——0.04%8.15%74.24%17.57%——————
Livingston———0.78%16.99%82.23%——————
St. Mirren——————63.57%28.28%8.02%0.13%——
Motherwell——————29.93%49.92%19.54%0.61%——
Dundee United——————6.49%21.21%63.36%7.74%1.12%0.08%
Ross County——————0.01%0.28%3.34%35.83%35.77%24.77%
Kilmarnock———————0.27%4.29%38.41%34.04%22.99%
Hamilton Academical———————0.04%1.45%17.28%29.07%52.16%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
Aberdeen 99.00% 1.00% —
Celtic 100% — —
Hibernian 98.00% 2.00% —
Livingston 97.00% 3.00% —
Rangers 100% — —
Motherwell 92.00% 7.00% 1.00%
Kilmarnock 85.00% 13.00% 2.00%
St. Johnstone 82.00% 9.00% 9.00%
St. Mirren 77.00% 14.00% 9.00%
Dundee United 83.00% 7.00% 10.00%
Hamilton Academical 45.00% 21.00% 34.00%
Ross County 42.00% 23.00% 35.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
Aberdeen 100% — —
Celtic 100% — —
Hibernian 100% — —
Livingston 100% — —
Motherwell 100% — —
Rangers 100% — —
St. Johnstone 100% — —
St. Mirren 100% — —
Dundee United 98.80% 1.12% 0.08%
Kilmarnock 42.97% 34.04% 22.99%
Ross County 39.46% 35.77% 24.77%
Hamilton Academical 18.77% 29.07% 52.16%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2020-08-01 Kilmarnock W 2-166.8 1744 1728 40.05% 26.44% 33.51%+0.14 +6.6 3
2020-08-01 @ Hibernian L 1-266.8 1728 1744 33.51% 26.44% 40.05%-0.14 -6.6 0
2020-08-01 Livingston W 1-063.5 1669 1734 29.12% 26.12% 44.75%-0.34 +8.7 3
2020-08-01 @ St. Mirren L 0-163.5 1734 1669 44.75% 26.12% 29.12%+0.34 -8.7 0
2020-08-01 Rangers L 0-157.2 1771 1897 22.39% 24.89% 52.71%-0.71 -5.0 0
2020-08-01 @ Aberdeen W 1-057.2 1897 1771 52.71% 24.89% 22.39%+0.71 +5.0 3
2020-08-01 St. Johnstone D 1-172.2 1687 1686 37.99% 26.50% 35.51%+0.05 -0.1 1
2020-08-01 @ Dundee United D 1-172.2 1686 1687 35.51% 26.50% 37.99%-0.05 +0.1 1
2020-08-02 Hamilton Academical W 5-150.1 1941 1648 71.37% 18.18% 10.44%+1.78 +6.7 3
2020-08-02 @ Celtic L 1-550.1 1648 1941 10.44% 18.18% 71.37%-1.78 -6.7 0
2020-08-03 Motherwell W 1-064.0 1655 1735 27.38% 25.91% 46.72%-0.43 +9.0 3
2020-08-03 @ Ross County L 0-164.0 1735 1655 46.72% 25.91% 27.38%+0.43 -9.0 0
2020-08-08 Dundee United L 0-163.2 1726 1687 43.31% 26.25% 30.44%+0.28 -8.5 0
2020-08-08 @ Motherwell W 1-063.2 1687 1726 30.44% 26.25% 43.31%-0.28 +8.5 4
2020-08-08 Hibernian L 1-461.3 1726 1750 34.31% 26.47% 39.22%-0.10 -16.4 0
2020-08-08 @ Livingston W 4-161.3 1750 1726 39.22% 26.47% 34.31%+0.10 +16.4 6
2020-08-08 Ross County L 0-159.7 1642 1664 34.65% 26.48% 38.86%-0.09 -7.2 0
2020-08-08 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-059.7 1664 1642 38.86% 26.48% 34.65%+0.09 +7.2 6
2020-08-09 Celtic D 1-174.7 1722 1947 14.73% 21.60% 63.68%-1.29 +2.2 1
2020-08-09 @ Kilmarnock D 1-174.7 1947 1722 63.68% 21.60% 14.73%+1.29 -2.2 4
2020-08-09 St. Mirren W 3-048.9 1902 1678 65.07% 21.04% 13.89%+1.38 +8.5 6
2020-08-09 @ Rangers L 0-348.9 1678 1902 13.89% 21.04% 65.07%-1.38 -8.5 3
2020-08-11 Hibernian L 0-158.9 1695 1767 28.29% 26.03% 45.68%-0.38 -6.1 4
2020-08-11 @ Dundee United W 1-058.9 1767 1695 45.68% 26.03% 28.29%+0.38 +6.1 9
2020-08-12 Kilmarnock D 2-278.5 1671 1724 30.64% 26.27% 43.09%-0.27 +0.4 7
2020-08-12 @ Ross County D 2-278.5 1724 1671 43.09% 26.27% 30.64%+0.27 -0.4 2
2020-08-12 Livingston D 2-278.6 1717 1709 38.98% 26.48% 34.54%+0.09 -0.1 1
2020-08-12 @ Motherwell D 2-278.6 1709 1717 34.54% 26.48% 38.98%-0.09 +0.1 1
2020-08-12 St. Johnstone W 3-048.9 1911 1686 65.15% 21.01% 13.84%+1.38 +8.5 9
2020-08-12 @ Rangers L 0-348.9 1686 1911 13.84% 21.01% 65.15%-1.38 -8.5 1
2020-08-15 Dundee United L 1-266.7 1672 1689 35.36% 26.50% 38.15%-0.06 -6.9 7
2020-08-15 @ Ross County W 2-166.7 1689 1672 38.15% 26.50% 35.36%+0.06 +6.8 7
2020-08-15 Motherwell D 0-067.8 1773 1717 45.61% 26.03% 28.35%+0.38 -0.8 10
2020-08-15 @ Hibernian D 0-067.8 1717 1773 28.35% 26.03% 45.61%-0.38 +0.8 2
2020-08-15 St. Johnstone L 1-269.6 1724 1677 44.30% 26.17% 29.54%+0.32 -8.1 2
2020-08-15 @ Kilmarnock W 2-169.6 1677 1724 29.54% 26.17% 44.30%-0.32 +8.1 4
2020-08-15 St. Mirren L 0-159.1 1634 1670 32.93% 26.42% 40.66%-0.16 -6.9 0
2020-08-15 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-059.1 1670 1634 40.66% 26.42% 32.93%+0.16 +6.9 6
2020-08-16 Rangers D 0-069.2 1709 1919 15.72% 22.19% 62.09%-1.20 +2.3 2
2020-08-16 @ Livingston D 0-069.2 1919 1709 62.09% 22.19% 15.72%+1.20 -2.3 10
2020-08-20 Aberdeen L 0-158.5 1685 1766 27.31% 25.90% 46.79%-0.43 -5.9 4
2020-08-20 @ St. Johnstone W 1-058.5 1766 1685 46.79% 25.90% 27.31%+0.43 +5.9 3
2020-08-22 Celtic L 0-153.2 1696 1945 13.33% 20.64% 66.03%-1.44 -3.0 7
2020-08-22 @ Dundee United W 1-053.2 1945 1696 66.03% 20.64% 13.33%+1.44 +3.0 7
2020-08-22 Hamilton Academical L 0-164.4 1718 1628 50.06% 25.41% 24.54%+0.58 -9.5 2
2020-08-22 @ Motherwell W 1-064.4 1628 1718 24.54% 25.41% 50.06%-0.58 +9.5 3
2020-08-22 Kilmarnock W 2-051.3 1917 1715 62.80% 21.93% 15.27%+1.24 +6.5 13
2020-08-22 @ Rangers L 0-251.3 1715 1917 15.27% 21.93% 62.80%-1.24 -6.5 2
2020-08-22 Ross County D 1-171.9 1676 1665 39.51% 26.46% 34.03%+0.11 -0.2 7
2020-08-22 @ St. Mirren D 1-171.9 1665 1676 34.03% 26.46% 39.51%-0.11 +0.2 8
2020-08-23 Hibernian L 0-158.0 1679 1772 25.89% 25.67% 48.44%-0.51 -5.7 4
2020-08-23 @ St. Johnstone W 1-058.0 1772 1679 48.44% 25.67% 25.89%+0.51 +5.7 13
2020-08-23 Livingston W 2-165.0 1771 1712 46.14% 25.98% 27.89%+0.40 +5.7 6
2020-08-23 @ Aberdeen L 1-265.0 1712 1771 27.89% 25.98% 46.14%-0.40 -5.7 2
2020-08-29 Dundee United W 4-055.3 1709 1693 40.11% 26.44% 33.45%+0.14 +24.9 5
2020-08-29 @ Kilmarnock L 0-455.3 1693 1709 33.45% 26.44% 40.11%-0.14 -25.0 7
2020-08-29 Rangers L 0-249.2 1637 1924 11.40% 19.08% 69.52%-1.66 -4.7 3
2020-08-29 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-049.2 1924 1637 69.52% 19.08% 11.40%+1.66 +4.7 16
2020-08-29 Ross County W 1-059.0 1706 1665 43.57% 26.23% 30.20%+0.29 +6.5 5
2020-08-29 @ Livingston L 0-159.0 1665 1706 30.20% 26.23% 43.57%-0.29 -6.5 8
2020-08-29 St. Mirren W 1-060.6 1674 1676 37.48% 26.50% 36.01%+0.03 +7.4 7
2020-08-29 @ St. Johnstone L 0-160.6 1676 1674 36.01% 26.50% 37.48%-0.03 -7.4 7
2020-08-30 Aberdeen L 0-162.2 1778 1777 37.94% 26.50% 35.56%+0.05 -7.7 13
2020-08-30 @ Hibernian W 1-062.2 1777 1778 35.56% 26.50% 37.94%-0.05 +7.7 9
2020-08-30 Motherwell W 3-048.5 1948 1708 66.59% 20.40% 13.01%+1.47 +8.0 10
2020-08-30 @ Celtic L 0-348.5 1708 1948 13.01% 20.40% 66.59%-1.47 -7.9 2
2020-09-12 Celtic L 0-547.2 1659 1956 10.89% 18.61% 70.51%-1.72 -10.5 8
2020-09-12 @ Ross County W 5-047.2 1956 1659 70.51% 18.61% 10.89%+1.72 +10.5 13
2020-09-12 Dundee United W 4-047.5 1928 1668 68.52% 19.54% 11.93%+1.59 +9.4 19
2020-09-12 @ Rangers L 0-447.5 1668 1928 11.93% 19.54% 68.52%-1.59 -9.4 7
2020-09-12 Hamilton Academical L 1-270.3 1712 1632 48.74% 25.62% 25.64%+0.52 -8.8 5
2020-09-12 @ Livingston W 2-170.3 1632 1712 25.64% 25.62% 48.74%-0.52 +8.8 6
2020-09-12 Hibernian L 0-353.1 1669 1770 24.97% 25.50% 49.54%-0.56 -15.1 7
2020-09-12 @ St. Mirren W 3-053.1 1770 1669 49.54% 25.50% 24.97%+0.56 +15.1 16
2020-09-12 Kilmarnock W 1-059.3 1785 1734 44.94% 26.11% 28.95%+0.35 +6.2 12
2020-09-12 @ Aberdeen L 0-159.3 1734 1785 28.95% 26.11% 44.94%-0.35 -6.2 5
2020-09-12 St. Johnstone W 1-059.9 1700 1681 40.56% 26.42% 33.02%+0.16 +6.9 5
2020-09-12 @ Motherwell L 0-159.9 1681 1700 33.02% 26.42% 40.56%-0.16 -6.9 7
2020-09-16 Celtic L 1-257.6 1654 1967 10.21% 17.96% 71.83%-1.81 -2.1 7
2020-09-16 @ St. Mirren W 2-157.6 1967 1654 71.83% 17.96% 10.21%+1.81 +2.1 16
2020-09-19 Hamilton Academical W 2-163.3 1728 1641 49.57% 25.49% 24.94%+0.56 +5.2 8
2020-09-19 @ Kilmarnock L 1-263.3 1641 1728 24.94% 25.49% 49.57%-0.56 -5.2 6
2020-09-19 Livingston W 3-263.5 1969 1704 68.96% 19.34% 11.70%+1.62 +2.3 19
2020-09-19 @ Celtic L 2-363.5 1704 1969 11.70% 19.34% 68.96%-1.62 -2.3 5
2020-09-19 Ross County L 0-161.9 1674 1648 41.54% 26.37% 32.09%+0.20 -8.2 7
2020-09-19 @ St. Johnstone W 1-061.9 1648 1674 32.09% 26.37% 41.54%-0.20 +8.2 11
2020-09-19 St. Mirren W 2-165.9 1659 1652 38.81% 26.48% 34.71%+0.09 +6.8 10
2020-09-19 @ Dundee United L 1-265.9 1652 1659 34.71% 26.48% 38.81%-0.09 -6.8 7
2020-09-20 Motherwell L 0-360.6 1791 1707 49.25% 25.54% 25.21%+0.54 -25.8 12
2020-09-20 @ Aberdeen W 3-060.6 1707 1791 25.21% 25.54% 49.25%-0.54 +25.8 8
2020-09-20 Rangers D 2-280.0 1785 1938 20.07% 24.17% 55.75%-0.86 +1.1 17
2020-09-20 @ Hibernian D 2-280.0 1938 1785 55.75% 24.17% 20.07%+0.86 -1.1 20
2020-09-26 Dundee United D 1-171.5 1636 1665 33.72% 26.45% 39.83%-0.13 +0.2 7
2020-09-26 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-171.5 1665 1636 39.83% 26.45% 33.72%+0.13 -0.2 11
2020-09-26 Kilmarnock L 0-157.7 1645 1733 26.44% 25.76% 47.80%-0.48 -5.8 7
2020-09-26 @ St. Mirren W 1-057.7 1733 1645 47.80% 25.76% 26.44%+0.48 +5.8 11
2020-09-26 St. Johnstone W 2-056.3 1701 1666 42.78% 26.29% 30.93%+0.25 +12.4 8
2020-09-26 @ Livingston L 0-256.3 1666 1701 30.93% 26.29% 42.78%-0.25 -12.4 7
2020-09-27 Aberdeen L 0-352.7 1656 1765 24.16% 25.33% 50.51%-0.60 -14.7 11
2020-09-27 @ Ross County W 3-052.7 1765 1656 50.51% 25.33% 24.16%+0.60 +14.7 15
2020-09-27 Hibernian W 3-050.3 1971 1786 61.00% 22.58% 16.42%+1.14 +10.2 22
2020-09-27 @ Celtic L 0-350.3 1786 1971 16.42% 22.58% 61.00%-1.14 -10.2 17
2020-09-27 Rangers L 1-553.2 1733 1937 16.15% 22.43% 61.41%-1.16 -10.9 8
2020-09-27 @ Motherwell W 5-153.2 1937 1733 61.41% 22.43% 16.15%+1.16 +10.9 23
2020-10-02 Hamilton Academical W 3-266.6 1776 1636 56.07% 24.09% 19.84%+0.88 +4.0 20
2020-10-02 @ Hibernian L 2-366.6 1636 1776 19.84% 24.09% 56.07%-0.88 -4.0 7
2020-10-02 Livingston L 1-265.5 1665 1714 31.16% 26.31% 42.53%-0.24 -6.2 11
2020-10-02 @ Dundee United W 2-165.5 1714 1665 42.53% 26.31% 31.16%+0.24 +6.2 11
2020-10-02 St. Mirren W 2-161.7 1780 1639 56.16% 24.06% 19.77%+0.88 +4.2 18
2020-10-02 @ Aberdeen L 1-261.7 1639 1780 19.77% 24.06% 56.16%-0.88 -4.2 7
2020-10-04 Celtic L 0-248.3 1654 1981 9.59% 17.32% 73.08%-1.90 -3.9 7
2020-10-04 @ St. Johnstone W 2-048.3 1981 1654 73.08% 17.32% 9.59%+1.90 +3.9 25
2020-10-04 Ross County W 2-048.3 1948 1642 72.56% 17.59% 9.85%+1.86 +4.0 26
2020-10-04 @ Rangers L 0-248.3 1642 1948 9.85% 17.59% 72.56%-1.86 -4.0 11
2020-10-17 Aberdeen D 0-067.9 1659 1784 22.53% 24.93% 52.53%-0.70 +1.4 12
2020-10-17 @ Dundee United D 0-067.9 1784 1659 52.53% 24.93% 22.53%+0.70 -1.4 19
2020-10-17 Hibernian D 0-067.9 1638 1780 20.93% 24.46% 54.61%-0.80 +1.6 12
2020-10-17 @ Ross County D 0-067.9 1780 1638 54.61% 24.46% 20.93%+0.80 -1.6 21
2020-10-17 Kilmarnock L 1-364.3 1720 1739 35.16% 26.49% 38.34%-0.07 -11.8 11
2020-10-17 @ Livingston W 3-164.3 1739 1720 38.34% 26.49% 35.16%+0.07 +11.8 14
2020-10-17 Rangers L 0-261.0 1985 1952 42.55% 26.31% 31.14%+0.24 -15.8 25
2020-10-17 @ Celtic W 2-061.0 1952 1985 31.14% 26.31% 42.55%-0.24 +15.8 29
2020-10-17 St. Johnstone L 3-567.5 1632 1650 35.33% 26.50% 38.17%-0.06 -10.0 7
2020-10-17 @ Hamilton Academical W 5-367.5 1650 1632 38.17% 26.50% 35.33%+0.06 +10.0 10
2020-10-20 Hamilton Academical W 4-261.4 1783 1622 58.40% 23.43% 18.18%+1.00 +6.0 22
2020-10-20 @ Aberdeen L 2-461.4 1622 1783 18.18% 23.43% 58.40%-1.00 -6.0 7
2020-10-24 Dundee United D 0-066.4 1660 1660 37.79% 26.50% 35.71%+0.04 -0.1 11
2020-10-24 @ St. Johnstone D 0-066.4 1660 1660 35.71% 26.50% 37.79%-0.04 +0.1 13
2020-10-24 Hibernian L 0-160.9 1750 1779 33.85% 26.46% 39.70%-0.12 -7.0 14
2020-10-24 @ Kilmarnock W 1-060.9 1779 1750 39.70% 26.46% 33.85%+0.12 +7.0 24
2020-10-24 Ross County W 4-052.3 1722 1639 49.13% 25.56% 25.31%+0.54 +20.0 11
2020-10-24 @ Motherwell L 0-452.3 1639 1722 25.31% 25.56% 49.13%-0.54 -20.0 12
2020-10-25 Celtic D 3-383.8 1789 1969 17.82% 23.27% 58.91%-1.03 +1.1 23
2020-10-25 @ Aberdeen D 3-383.8 1969 1789 58.91% 23.27% 17.82%+1.03 -1.1 26
2020-10-25 Livingston W 2-049.7 1967 1708 68.42% 19.59% 11.99%+1.59 +5.0 32
2020-10-25 @ Rangers L 0-249.7 1708 1967 11.99% 19.59% 68.42%-1.59 -5.0 11
2020-10-31 Motherwell L 0-257.3 1703 1742 32.40% 26.39% 41.21%-0.19 -12.8 11
2020-10-31 @ Livingston W 2-057.3 1742 1703 41.21% 26.39% 32.40%+0.19 +12.8 14
2020-10-31 Ross County W 2-164.1 1660 1619 43.59% 26.23% 30.18%+0.29 +6.1 16
2020-10-31 @ Dundee United L 1-264.1 1619 1660 30.18% 26.23% 43.59%-0.29 -6.1 12
2020-11-01 Rangers L 0-153.9 1743 1972 14.52% 21.46% 64.02%-1.31 -3.3 14
2020-11-01 @ Kilmarnock W 1-053.9 1972 1743 64.02% 21.46% 14.52%+1.31 +3.3 35
2020-11-06 Dundee United D 0-066.2 1635 1666 33.42% 26.44% 40.14%-0.14 +0.3 8
2020-11-06 @ St. Mirren D 0-066.2 1666 1635 40.14% 26.44% 33.42%+0.14 -0.3 17
2020-11-06 Hibernian W 2-058.6 1790 1786 38.43% 26.49% 35.07%+0.07 +13.6 26
2020-11-06 @ Aberdeen L 0-258.6 1786 1790 35.07% 26.49% 38.43%-0.07 -13.6 24
2020-11-06 Kilmarnock W 1-064.1 1660 1740 27.29% 25.89% 46.82%-0.43 +9.0 14
2020-11-06 @ St. Johnstone L 0-164.1 1740 1660 46.82% 25.89% 27.29%+0.43 -9.0 14
2020-11-06 Livingston D 1-171.6 1613 1690 27.68% 25.95% 46.37%-0.41 +0.8 13
2020-11-06 @ Ross County D 1-171.6 1690 1613 46.37% 25.95% 27.68%+0.41 -0.8 12
2020-11-08 Celtic L 1-454.8 1755 1968 15.51% 22.07% 62.42%-1.22 -8.1 14
2020-11-08 @ Motherwell W 4-154.8 1968 1755 62.42% 22.07% 15.51%+1.22 +8.1 29
2020-11-08 Hamilton Academical W 8-046.4 1976 1616 76.85% 15.31% 7.84%+2.18 +11.1 38
2020-11-08 @ Rangers L 0-846.4 1616 1976 7.84% 15.31% 76.85%-2.18 -11.1 7
2020-11-21 Celtic D 2-280.6 1772 1976 16.12% 22.42% 61.46%-1.17 +1.5 25
2020-11-21 @ Hibernian D 2-280.6 1976 1772 61.46% 22.42% 16.12%+1.17 -1.5 30
2020-11-21 Hamilton Academical W 2-163.2 1666 1605 46.28% 25.96% 27.77%+0.41 +5.7 20
2020-11-21 @ Dundee United L 1-263.2 1605 1666 27.77% 25.96% 46.28%-0.41 -5.7 7
2020-11-21 Motherwell D 1-172.7 1669 1747 27.56% 25.93% 46.51%-0.42 +0.8 15
2020-11-21 @ St. Johnstone D 1-172.7 1747 1669 46.51% 25.93% 27.56%+0.42 -0.8 15
2020-11-21 Ross County W 3-159.0 1731 1614 53.38% 24.75% 21.87%+0.74 +8.0 17
2020-11-21 @ Kilmarnock L 1-359.0 1614 1731 21.87% 24.75% 53.38%-0.74 -8.0 13
2020-11-21 St. Mirren L 0-163.0 1689 1635 45.36% 26.06% 28.58%+0.37 -8.8 12
2020-11-21 @ Livingston W 1-063.0 1635 1689 28.58% 26.06% 45.36%-0.37 +8.8 11
2020-11-22 Aberdeen W 4-050.0 1987 1804 60.86% 22.63% 16.52%+1.13 +13.4 41
2020-11-22 @ Rangers L 0-450.0 1804 1987 16.52% 22.63% 60.86%-1.13 -13.4 26
2020-11-24 St. Johnstone D 2-279.1 1774 1670 51.78% 25.09% 23.13%+0.66 -0.9 26
2020-11-24 @ Hibernian D 2-279.1 1670 1774 23.13% 25.09% 51.78%-0.66 +0.9 16
2020-11-25 Aberdeen D 1-173.4 1599 1790 17.06% 22.91% 60.03%-1.09 +1.9 8
2020-11-25 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-173.4 1790 1599 60.03% 22.91% 17.06%+1.09 -1.9 27
2020-12-05 Aberdeen D 1-173.2 1644 1788 20.79% 24.42% 54.79%-0.81 +1.5 12
2020-12-05 @ St. Mirren D 1-173.2 1788 1644 54.79% 24.42% 20.79%+0.81 -1.4 28
2020-12-05 Dundee United W 2-057.3 1681 1672 39.10% 26.48% 34.43%+0.10 +13.4 15
2020-12-05 @ Livingston L 0-257.3 1672 1681 34.43% 26.48% 39.10%-0.10 -13.4 20
2020-12-05 Hibernian L 0-356.4 1746 1773 34.07% 26.46% 39.47%-0.11 -19.4 15
2020-12-05 @ Motherwell W 3-056.4 1773 1746 39.47% 26.46% 34.07%+0.11 +19.4 29
2020-12-05 Kilmarnock W 1-065.3 1601 1739 21.37% 24.60% 54.03%-0.77 +10.2 11
2020-12-05 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-165.3 1739 1601 54.03% 24.60% 21.37%+0.77 -10.2 17
2020-12-06 Rangers L 0-444.6 1606 2000 7.20% 14.50% 78.30%-2.30 -5.2 13
2020-12-06 @ Ross County W 4-044.6 2000 1606 78.30% 14.50% 7.20%+2.30 +5.2 44
2020-12-06 St. Johnstone D 1-175.8 1975 1670 72.42% 17.66% 9.92%+1.85 -2.8 31
2020-12-06 @ Celtic D 1-175.8 1670 1975 9.92% 17.66% 72.42%-1.85 +2.8 17
2020-12-12 Hibernian L 0-449.7 1611 1792 17.81% 23.26% 58.93%-1.03 -14.4 11
2020-12-12 @ Hamilton Academical W 4-049.7 1792 1611 58.93% 23.26% 17.81%+1.03 +14.5 32
2020-12-12 Livingston L 1-266.6 1673 1694 34.88% 26.49% 38.64%-0.08 -6.8 17
2020-12-12 @ St. Johnstone W 2-166.6 1694 1673 38.64% 26.49% 34.88%+0.08 +6.8 18
2020-12-12 Ross County W 2-051.0 1787 1601 61.16% 22.52% 16.31%+1.15 +7.0 31
2020-12-12 @ Aberdeen L 0-251.0 1601 1787 16.31% 22.52% 61.16%-1.15 -7.0 13
2020-12-12 St. Mirren L 0-164.4 1727 1646 48.90% 25.60% 25.50%+0.53 -9.4 15
2020-12-12 @ Motherwell W 1-064.4 1646 1727 25.50% 25.60% 48.90%-0.53 +9.3 15
2020-12-13 Kilmarnock W 2-050.2 1972 1729 66.89% 20.27% 12.84%+1.49 +5.4 34
2020-12-13 @ Celtic L 0-250.2 1729 1972 12.84% 20.27% 66.89%-1.49 -5.4 17
2020-12-13 Rangers L 1-256.8 1658 2005 8.83% 16.48% 74.69%-2.02 -1.8 20
2020-12-13 @ Dundee United W 2-156.8 2005 1658 74.69% 16.48% 8.83%+2.02 +1.8 47
2020-12-19 Dundee United D 1-173.6 1807 1657 57.20% 23.78% 19.02%+0.94 -1.6 33
2020-12-19 @ Hibernian D 1-173.6 1657 1807 19.02% 23.78% 57.20%-0.94 +1.6 21
2020-12-19 Hamilton Academical L 0-255.7 1594 1597 37.38% 26.51% 36.12%+0.03 -14.3 13
2020-12-19 @ Ross County W 2-055.7 1597 1594 36.12% 26.51% 37.38%-0.03 +14.3 14
2020-12-19 Motherwell W 3-155.0 2007 1717 71.16% 18.29% 10.55%+1.77 +3.7 50
2020-12-19 @ Rangers L 1-355.0 1717 2007 10.55% 18.29% 71.16%-1.77 -3.7 15
2020-12-19 St. Johnstone W 3-271.8 1655 1666 36.18% 26.51% 37.31%-0.02 +6.8 18
2020-12-19 @ St. Mirren L 2-371.8 1666 1655 37.31% 26.51% 36.18%+0.02 -6.8 17
2020-12-20 Aberdeen L 0-256.3 1724 1794 28.47% 26.05% 45.48%-0.37 -11.6 17
2020-12-20 @ Kilmarnock W 2-056.3 1794 1724 45.48% 26.05% 28.47%+0.37 +11.6 34
2020-12-23 Aberdeen D 0-067.9 1714 1805 25.99% 25.69% 48.32%-0.50 +1.0 16
2020-12-23 @ Motherwell D 0-067.9 1805 1714 48.32% 25.69% 25.99%+0.50 -1.0 35
2020-12-23 Kilmarnock W 2-060.0 1658 1712 30.50% 26.26% 43.24%-0.27 +16.0 24
2020-12-23 @ Dundee United L 0-260.0 1712 1658 43.24% 26.26% 30.50%+0.27 -16.0 17
2020-12-23 Livingston L 0-254.2 1611 1701 26.25% 25.73% 48.02%-0.49 -10.8 14
2020-12-23 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-054.2 1701 1611 48.02% 25.73% 26.25%+0.49 +10.8 21
2020-12-23 Rangers L 0-346.0 1660 2011 8.67% 16.31% 75.02%-2.04 -5.0 17
2020-12-23 @ St. Johnstone W 3-046.0 2011 1660 75.02% 16.31% 8.67%+2.04 +5.0 53
2020-12-23 Ross County W 2-046.2 1977 1579 79.66% 13.72% 6.62%+2.41 +2.5 37
2020-12-23 @ Celtic L 0-246.2 1579 1977 6.62% 13.72% 79.66%-2.41 -2.5 13
2020-12-23 St. Mirren W 1-055.7 1805 1662 56.44% 23.99% 19.57%+0.90 +4.4 36
2020-12-23 @ Hibernian L 0-155.7 1662 1805 19.57% 23.99% 56.44%-0.90 -4.4 18
2020-12-26 Celtic L 0-345.2 1600 1980 7.68% 15.11% 77.22%-2.21 -4.3 14
2020-12-26 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-045.2 1980 1600 77.22% 15.11% 7.68%+2.21 +4.3 40
2020-12-26 Hibernian W 1-054.2 2016 1809 63.29% 21.75% 14.97%+1.27 +3.4 56
2020-12-26 @ Rangers L 0-154.2 1809 2016 14.97% 21.75% 63.29%-1.27 -3.4 36
2020-12-26 Livingston L 1-267.1 1696 1712 35.60% 26.50% 37.90%-0.05 -6.9 17
2020-12-26 @ Kilmarnock W 2-167.1 1712 1696 37.90% 26.50% 35.60%+0.05 +6.9 24
2020-12-26 Motherwell D 1-172.3 1674 1715 32.22% 26.38% 41.39%-0.19 +0.4 25
2020-12-26 @ Dundee United D 1-172.3 1715 1674 41.39% 26.38% 32.22%+0.19 -0.4 17
2020-12-26 St. Johnstone W 2-161.6 1804 1655 57.18% 23.78% 19.04%+0.93 +4.1 38
2020-12-26 @ Aberdeen L 1-261.6 1655 1804 19.04% 23.78% 57.18%-0.93 -4.1 17
2020-12-26 St. Mirren L 0-253.4 1577 1657 27.30% 25.89% 46.80%-0.43 -11.2 13
2020-12-26 @ Ross County W 2-053.4 1657 1577 46.80% 25.89% 27.30%+0.43 +11.2 21
2020-12-30 Dundee United W 3-046.7 1984 1675 72.87% 17.43% 9.70%+1.88 +5.7 43
2020-12-30 @ Celtic L 0-346.7 1675 1984 9.70% 17.43% 72.87%-1.88 -5.7 25
2020-12-30 Hamilton Academical D 0-065.5 1651 1596 45.41% 26.06% 28.54%+0.37 -0.8 18
2020-12-30 @ St. Johnstone D 0-065.5 1596 1651 28.54% 26.06% 45.41%-0.37 +0.8 15
2020-12-30 Kilmarnock L 0-259.8 1714 1689 41.39% 26.38% 32.23%+0.19 -15.4 17
2020-12-30 @ Motherwell W 2-059.8 1689 1714 32.23% 26.38% 41.39%-0.19 +15.4 20
2020-12-30 Rangers L 0-247.7 1668 2019 8.69% 16.32% 74.99%-2.04 -3.4 21
2020-12-30 @ St. Mirren W 2-047.7 2019 1668 74.99% 16.32% 8.69%+2.04 +3.4 59
2020-12-30 Ross County L 0-265.3 1806 1566 66.61% 20.39% 13.00%+1.47 -22.8 36
2020-12-30 @ Hibernian W 2-065.3 1566 1806 13.00% 20.39% 66.61%-1.47 +22.8 16
2021-01-02 Celtic W 1-060.4 2023 1990 42.45% 26.32% 31.24%+0.24 +6.6 62
2021-01-02 @ Rangers L 0-160.4 1990 2023 31.24% 26.32% 42.45%-0.24 -6.6 43
2021-01-02 Dundee United D 0-068.3 1808 1669 56.02% 24.10% 19.88%+0.87 -1.7 39
2021-01-02 @ Aberdeen D 0-068.3 1669 1808 19.88% 24.10% 56.02%-0.87 +1.7 26
2021-01-02 Livingston L 0-360.0 1783 1719 46.75% 25.90% 27.35%+0.43 -24.7 36
2021-01-02 @ Hibernian W 3-060.0 1719 1783 27.35% 25.90% 46.75%-0.43 +24.7 27
2021-01-02 Motherwell W 3-059.2 1597 1699 24.91% 25.48% 49.61%-0.56 +25.9 18
2021-01-02 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-359.2 1699 1597 49.61% 25.48% 24.91%+0.56 -25.9 17
2021-01-02 St. Johnstone D 1-170.6 1589 1650 29.56% 26.17% 44.27%-0.32 +0.6 17
2021-01-02 @ Ross County D 1-170.6 1650 1589 44.27% 26.17% 29.56%+0.32 -0.6 19
2021-01-02 St. Mirren D 1-172.2 1705 1665 43.38% 26.25% 30.37%+0.28 -0.5 21
2021-01-02 @ Kilmarnock D 1-172.2 1665 1705 30.37% 26.25% 43.38%-0.28 +0.5 22
2021-01-09 Hamilton Academical W 2-054.1 1704 1623 48.91% 25.60% 25.49%+0.53 +10.6 24
2021-01-09 @ Kilmarnock L 0-254.1 1623 1704 25.49% 25.60% 48.91%-0.53 -10.6 18
2021-01-09 Motherwell D 1-171.9 1666 1673 36.78% 26.51% 36.71%+0.00 -0.0 23
2021-01-09 @ St. Mirren D 1-171.9 1673 1666 36.71% 26.51% 36.78%+0.00 +0.0 18
2021-01-10 Rangers L 1-260.3 1807 2029 14.92% 21.72% 63.36%-1.28 -3.2 39
2021-01-10 @ Aberdeen W 2-160.3 2029 1807 63.36% 21.72% 14.92%+1.28 +3.2 65
2021-01-10 Ross County W 3-157.6 1743 1589 57.68% 23.64% 18.68%+0.96 +6.9 30
2021-01-10 @ Livingston L 1-357.6 1589 1743 18.68% 23.64% 57.68%-0.96 -6.9 17
2021-01-11 Hibernian D 1-174.9 1983 1758 65.12% 21.02% 13.86%+1.38 -2.2 44
2021-01-11 @ Celtic D 1-174.9 1758 1983 13.86% 21.02% 65.12%-1.38 +2.3 37
2021-01-12 St. Johnstone D 2-277.8 1671 1649 40.86% 26.41% 32.73%+0.17 -0.2 27
2021-01-12 @ Dundee United D 2-277.8 1649 1671 32.73% 26.41% 40.86%-0.17 +0.2 20
2021-01-16 Aberdeen W 4-168.1 1582 1804 15.00% 21.76% 63.24%-1.27 +26.8 20
2021-01-16 @ Ross County L 1-468.1 1804 1582 63.24% 21.76% 15.00%+1.27 -26.8 39
2021-01-16 Dundee United D 0-066.0 1612 1670 29.95% 26.21% 43.84%-0.30 +0.6 19
2021-01-16 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-066.0 1670 1612 43.84% 26.21% 29.95%+0.30 -0.6 28
2021-01-16 Kilmarnock W 2-056.5 1761 1715 44.28% 26.17% 29.55%+0.32 +12.0 40
2021-01-16 @ Hibernian L 0-256.5 1715 1761 29.55% 26.17% 44.28%-0.32 -11.9 24
2021-01-16 Livingston D 0-069.7 1981 1750 65.71% 20.77% 13.51%+1.42 -2.6 45
2021-01-16 @ Celtic D 0-069.7 1750 1981 13.51% 20.77% 65.71%-1.42 +2.6 31
2021-01-16 St. Mirren W 1-060.8 1649 1665 35.55% 26.50% 37.95%-0.05 +7.7 23
2021-01-16 @ St. Johnstone L 0-160.8 1665 1649 37.95% 26.50% 35.55%+0.05 -7.7 23
2021-01-17 Rangers D 1-176.4 1673 2032 8.37% 15.95% 75.69%-2.09 +3.0 19
2021-01-17 @ Motherwell D 1-176.4 2032 1673 75.69% 15.95% 8.37%+2.09 -3.0 66
2021-01-20 Celtic D 2-280.8 1753 1978 14.72% 21.59% 63.69%-1.30 +1.6 32
2021-01-20 @ Livingston D 2-280.8 1978 1753 63.69% 21.59% 14.72%+1.30 -1.6 46
2021-01-23 Motherwell W 2-054.3 1777 1676 51.40% 25.16% 23.43%+0.64 +9.8 42
2021-01-23 @ Aberdeen L 0-254.3 1676 1777 23.43% 25.16% 51.40%-0.64 -9.8 19
2021-01-23 Ross County W 5-044.1 2029 1609 81.19% 12.83% 5.98%+2.54 +5.2 69
2021-01-23 @ Rangers L 0-544.1 1609 2029 5.98% 12.83% 81.19%-2.54 -5.2 20
2021-01-27 Aberdeen D 0-067.9 1657 1787 22.15% 24.83% 53.03%-0.72 +1.5 24
2021-01-27 @ St. Johnstone D 0-067.9 1787 1657 53.03% 24.83% 22.15%+0.72 -1.5 43
2021-01-27 Hamilton Academical W 2-047.0 1977 1613 77.20% 15.12% 7.68%+2.21 +3.0 49
2021-01-27 @ Celtic L 0-247.0 1613 1977 7.68% 15.12% 77.20%-2.21 -3.0 19
2021-01-27 Kilmarnock W 2-056.2 1754 1703 45.03% 26.10% 28.87%+0.35 +11.7 35
2021-01-27 @ Livingston L 0-256.2 1703 1754 28.87% 26.10% 45.03%-0.35 -11.7 24
2021-01-27 Motherwell L 1-263.7 1604 1666 29.45% 26.16% 44.39%-0.32 -6.0 20
2021-01-27 @ Ross County W 2-163.7 1666 1604 44.39% 26.16% 29.45%+0.32 +6.0 22
2021-01-27 Rangers L 0-153.0 1773 2035 12.64% 20.12% 67.24%-1.51 -2.8 40
2021-01-27 @ Hibernian W 1-053.0 2035 1773 67.24% 20.12% 12.64%+1.51 +2.8 72
2021-01-27 St. Mirren L 1-560.0 1670 1658 39.53% 26.46% 34.00%+0.12 -23.6 28
2021-01-27 @ Dundee United W 5-160.0 1658 1670 34.00% 26.46% 39.53%-0.12 +23.6 26
2021-01-30 Aberdeen D 0-067.8 1766 1785 35.11% 26.49% 38.39%-0.07 +0.1 36
2021-01-30 @ Livingston D 0-067.8 1785 1766 38.39% 26.49% 35.11%+0.07 -0.1 44
2021-01-30 Hibernian L 0-253.8 1646 1770 22.70% 24.98% 52.32%-0.69 -9.6 28
2021-01-30 @ Dundee United W 2-053.8 1770 1646 52.32% 24.98% 22.70%+0.69 +9.6 43
2021-01-30 St. Johnstone L 2-373.6 1691 1659 42.39% 26.32% 31.29%+0.24 -7.5 24
2021-01-30 @ Kilmarnock W 3-273.6 1659 1691 31.29% 26.32% 42.39%-0.24 +7.5 27
2021-01-30 St. Mirren L 1-276.2 1980 1681 71.91% 17.92% 10.17%+1.82 -12.0 49
2021-01-30 @ Celtic W 2-176.2 1681 1980 10.17% 17.92% 71.91%-1.82 +12.0 29
2021-02-02 Celtic L 0-447.3 1683 1968 11.51% 19.18% 69.31%-1.64 -9.0 24
2021-02-02 @ Kilmarnock W 4-047.3 1968 1683 69.31% 19.18% 11.51%+1.64 +9.0 52
2021-02-02 Hibernian L 1-264.5 1693 1779 26.65% 25.79% 47.56%-0.47 -5.5 29
2021-02-02 @ St. Mirren W 2-164.5 1779 1693 47.56% 25.79% 26.65%+0.47 +5.5 46
2021-02-02 Livingston L 0-260.1 1785 1766 40.51% 26.43% 33.06%+0.16 -15.2 44
2021-02-02 @ Aberdeen W 2-060.1 1766 1785 33.06% 26.43% 40.51%-0.16 +15.2 39
2021-02-03 Dundee United W 2-164.7 1672 1637 42.81% 26.29% 30.90%+0.26 +6.2 25
2021-02-03 @ Motherwell L 1-264.7 1637 1672 30.90% 26.29% 42.81%-0.26 -6.2 28
2021-02-03 Ross County L 1-265.7 1610 1598 39.56% 26.46% 33.98%+0.12 -7.5 19
2021-02-03 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-165.7 1598 1610 33.98% 26.46% 39.56%-0.12 +7.5 23
2021-02-03 St. Johnstone W 1-049.8 2037 1666 77.75% 14.81% 7.44%+2.25 +1.5 75
2021-02-03 @ Rangers L 0-149.8 1666 2037 7.44% 14.81% 77.75%-2.25 -1.5 27
2021-02-06 Aberdeen W 2-058.1 1785 1770 39.98% 26.45% 33.57%+0.13 +13.2 49
2021-02-06 @ Hibernian L 0-258.1 1770 1785 33.57% 26.45% 39.98%-0.13 -13.2 44
2021-02-06 Dundee United L 0-255.7 1605 1630 34.28% 26.47% 39.25%-0.10 -13.4 23
2021-02-06 @ Ross County W 2-055.7 1630 1605 39.25% 26.47% 34.28%+0.10 +13.4 31
2021-02-06 Kilmarnock W 2-057.2 1688 1674 39.77% 26.45% 33.78%+0.13 +13.3 32
2021-02-06 @ St. Mirren L 0-257.2 1674 1688 33.78% 26.45% 39.77%-0.13 -13.2 24
2021-02-06 Motherwell W 2-157.6 1977 1678 71.93% 17.91% 10.16%+1.82 +2.1 55
2021-02-06 @ Celtic L 1-257.6 1678 1977 10.16% 17.91% 71.93%-1.82 -2.1 25
2021-02-06 St. Johnstone L 1-272.1 1781 1665 53.34% 24.76% 21.90%+0.74 -9.5 39
2021-02-06 @ Livingston W 2-172.1 1665 1781 21.90% 24.76% 53.34%-0.74 +9.5 30
2021-02-07 Rangers D 1-177.3 1602 2039 5.96% 12.80% 81.24%-2.55 +3.3 20
2021-02-07 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-177.3 2039 1602 81.24% 12.80% 5.96%+2.55 -3.3 76
2021-02-10 Celtic L 0-447.5 1701 1979 11.84% 19.46% 68.71%-1.60 -9.3 32
2021-02-10 @ St. Mirren W 4-047.5 1979 1701 68.71% 19.46% 11.84%+1.60 +9.3 58
2021-02-10 Motherwell L 0-160.4 1661 1676 35.71% 26.50% 37.79%-0.04 -7.3 24
2021-02-10 @ Kilmarnock W 1-060.4 1676 1661 37.79% 26.50% 35.71%+0.04 +7.3 28
2021-02-13 Hamilton Academical L 1-463.8 1683 1606 48.46% 25.67% 25.87%+0.51 -21.5 28
2021-02-13 @ Motherwell W 4-163.8 1606 1683 25.87% 25.67% 48.46%-0.51 +21.4 23
2021-02-13 Kilmarnock W 1-049.5 2036 1654 78.52% 14.38% 7.11%+2.31 +1.4 79
2021-02-13 @ Rangers L 0-149.5 1654 2036 7.11% 14.38% 78.52%-2.31 -1.4 24
2021-02-13 Livingston W 3-061.1 1644 1772 22.28% 24.86% 52.86%-0.72 +27.3 34
2021-02-13 @ Dundee United L 0-361.1 1772 1644 52.86% 24.86% 22.28%+0.72 -27.3 39
2021-02-13 St. Mirren D 0-067.6 1757 1692 46.78% 25.90% 27.32%+0.43 -0.9 45
2021-02-13 @ Aberdeen D 0-067.6 1692 1757 27.32% 25.90% 46.78%-0.43 +0.9 33
2021-02-14 Celtic L 1-257.6 1674 1988 10.15% 17.89% 71.95%-1.82 -2.1 30
2021-02-14 @ St. Johnstone W 2-157.6 1988 1674 71.95% 17.89% 10.15%+1.82 +2.1 61
2021-02-17 Aberdeen W 1-053.3 1990 1756 66.07% 20.63% 13.31%+1.44 +3.0 64
2021-02-17 @ Celtic L 0-153.3 1756 1990 13.31% 20.63% 66.07%-1.44 -3.0 45
2021-02-17 Hamilton Academical D 1-171.9 1693 1627 46.89% 25.88% 27.23%+0.43 -0.8 34
2021-02-17 @ St. Mirren D 1-171.9 1627 1693 27.23% 25.88% 46.89%-0.43 +0.8 24
2021-02-20 Hamilton Academical W 2-051.7 1798 1628 59.45% 23.10% 17.45%+1.06 +7.5 52
2021-02-20 @ Hibernian L 0-251.7 1628 1798 17.45% 23.10% 59.45%-1.06 -7.5 24
2021-02-20 Kilmarnock W 1-056.9 1753 1652 51.33% 25.17% 23.49%+0.64 +5.2 48
2021-02-20 @ Aberdeen L 0-156.9 1652 1753 23.49% 25.17% 51.33%-0.64 -5.2 24
2021-02-20 Livingston D 1-172.7 1692 1745 30.64% 26.27% 43.09%-0.27 +0.5 35
2021-02-20 @ St. Mirren D 1-172.7 1745 1692 43.09% 26.27% 30.64%+0.27 -0.5 40
2021-02-20 St. Johnstone L 0-356.0 1662 1672 36.40% 26.51% 37.09%-0.01 -20.4 28
2021-02-20 @ Motherwell W 3-056.0 1672 1662 37.09% 26.51% 36.40%+0.01 +20.3 33
2021-02-21 Celtic W 1-070.9 1592 1993 6.97% 14.20% 78.83%-2.34 +13.6 26
2021-02-21 @ Ross County L 0-170.9 1993 1592 78.83% 14.20% 6.97%+2.34 -13.6 64
2021-02-21 Dundee United W 4-150.3 2037 1671 77.35% 15.03% 7.62%+2.22 +3.6 82
2021-02-21 @ Rangers L 1-450.3 1671 2037 7.62% 15.03% 77.35%-2.22 -3.6 34
2021-02-24 Motherwell D 0-066.7 1692 1642 44.92% 26.11% 28.97%+0.35 -0.7 36
2021-02-24 @ St. Mirren D 0-066.7 1642 1692 28.97% 26.11% 44.92%-0.35 +0.7 29
2021-02-27 Aberdeen W 1-053.7 1980 1758 64.81% 21.15% 14.04%+1.36 +3.2 67
2021-02-27 @ Celtic L 0-153.7 1758 1980 14.04% 21.15% 64.81%-1.36 -3.2 48
2021-02-27 Dundee United D 1-171.6 1647 1668 34.94% 26.49% 38.57%-0.08 +0.1 25
2021-02-27 @ Kilmarnock D 1-171.6 1668 1647 38.57% 26.49% 34.94%+0.08 -0.1 35
2021-02-27 Motherwell L 0-264.3 1806 1642 58.69% 23.33% 17.97%+1.01 -20.5 52
2021-02-27 @ Hibernian W 2-064.3 1642 1806 17.97% 23.33% 58.69%-1.01 +20.5 32
2021-02-27 Ross County W 1-056.4 1692 1605 49.56% 25.49% 24.95%+0.56 +5.5 39
2021-02-27 @ St. Mirren L 0-156.4 1605 1692 24.95% 25.49% 49.56%-0.56 -5.5 26
2021-03-03 Rangers L 0-152.0 1744 2041 10.93% 18.65% 70.42%-1.72 -2.4 40
2021-03-03 @ Livingston W 1-052.0 2041 1744 70.42% 18.65% 10.93%+1.72 +2.4 85
2021-03-03 St. Johnstone D 1-171.7 1620 1692 28.28% 26.03% 45.69%-0.38 +0.7 25
2021-03-03 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-171.7 1692 1620 45.69% 26.03% 28.28%+0.38 -0.7 34
2021-03-06 Hamilton Academical D 0-067.6 1755 1621 55.34% 24.28% 20.38%+0.84 -1.7 49
2021-03-06 @ Aberdeen D 0-067.6 1621 1755 20.38% 24.28% 55.34%-0.84 +1.7 26
2021-03-06 Hibernian W 1-064.9 1692 1785 25.82% 25.66% 48.52%-0.51 +9.3 37
2021-03-06 @ St. Johnstone L 0-164.9 1785 1692 48.52% 25.66% 25.82%+0.51 -9.3 52
2021-03-06 Kilmarnock W 3-272.2 1600 1647 31.32% 26.32% 42.36%-0.24 +7.5 29
2021-03-06 @ Ross County L 2-372.2 1647 1600 42.36% 26.32% 31.32%+0.24 -7.5 25
2021-03-06 Livingston W 3-167.3 1663 1742 27.46% 25.92% 46.62%-0.42 +14.7 35
2021-03-06 @ Motherwell L 1-367.3 1742 1663 46.62% 25.92% 27.46%+0.42 -14.7 40
2021-03-06 St. Mirren W 3-045.8 2043 1697 75.81% 15.88% 8.31%+2.10 +4.7 88
2021-03-06 @ Rangers L 0-345.8 1697 2043 8.31% 15.88% 75.81%-2.10 -4.7 39
2021-03-07 Celtic D 0-070.6 1667 1983 10.10% 17.84% 72.06%-1.83 +3.1 36
2021-03-07 @ Dundee United D 0-070.6 1983 1667 72.06% 17.84% 10.10%+1.83 -3.1 68
2021-03-13 Hamilton Academical W 2-162.5 1727 1623 51.80% 25.08% 23.12%+0.66 +4.9 43
2021-03-13 @ Livingston L 1-262.5 1623 1727 23.12% 25.08% 51.80%-0.66 -4.9 26
2021-03-13 Hibernian L 1-261.0 1607 1776 18.76% 23.67% 57.56%-0.95 -4.0 29
2021-03-13 @ Ross County W 2-161.0 1776 1607 57.56% 23.67% 18.76%+0.95 +4.0 55
2021-03-20 Aberdeen W 1-064.3 1670 1753 27.01% 25.85% 47.13%-0.45 +9.1 39
2021-03-20 @ Dundee United L 0-164.3 1753 1670 47.13% 25.85% 27.01%+0.45 -9.1 49
2021-03-20 Hibernian D 1-173.0 1732 1780 31.25% 26.32% 42.43%-0.24 +0.5 44
2021-03-20 @ Livingston D 1-173.0 1780 1732 42.43% 26.32% 31.25%+0.24 -0.4 56
2021-03-20 Motherwell W 4-162.2 1640 1678 32.58% 26.40% 41.02%-0.18 +18.8 28
2021-03-20 @ Kilmarnock L 1-462.2 1678 1640 41.02% 26.40% 32.58%+0.18 -18.8 35
2021-03-20 Ross County W 1-056.0 1701 1603 50.98% 25.24% 23.78%+0.62 +5.3 40
2021-03-20 @ St. Johnstone L 0-156.0 1603 1701 23.78% 25.24% 50.98%-0.62 -5.3 29
2021-03-20 St. Mirren D 1-171.7 1618 1692 27.97% 25.99% 46.05%-0.40 +0.7 27
2021-03-20 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-171.7 1692 1618 46.05% 25.99% 27.97%+0.40 -0.7 40
2021-03-21 Rangers D 1-173.5 1980 2048 28.74% 26.08% 45.18%-0.36 +0.7 69
2021-03-21 @ Celtic D 1-173.5 2048 1980 45.18% 26.08% 28.74%+0.36 -0.7 89

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2021-04-10 Aberdeen L 0-160.2 1706 1744 32.55% 26.40% 41.05%-0.18 -6.8 0
2021-04-10 @ St. Johnstone W 1-060.2 1744 1706 41.05% 26.40% 32.55%+0.18 +6.8 3
2021-04-10 Dundee United L 0-158.0 1619 1680 29.62% 26.18% 44.21%-0.32 -6.3 0
2021-04-10 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-058.0 1680 1619 44.21% 26.18% 29.62%+0.32 +6.4 3
2021-04-10 Livingston W 6-048.7 1980 1732 67.37% 20.06% 12.57%+1.52 +14.6 3
2021-04-10 @ Celtic L 0-648.7 1732 1980 12.57% 20.06% 67.37%-1.52 -14.6 0
2021-04-10 Ross County D 2-277.0 1659 1598 46.21% 25.97% 27.82%+0.40 -0.5 1
2021-04-10 @ Kilmarnock D 2-277.0 1598 1659 27.82% 25.97% 46.21%-0.40 +0.6 1
2021-04-10 St. Mirren W 1-061.9 1659 1692 33.21% 26.43% 40.36%-0.15 +8.0 3
2021-04-10 @ Motherwell L 0-161.9 1692 1659 40.36% 26.43% 33.21%+0.15 -8.0 0
2021-04-11 Hibernian W 2-158.6 2047 1779 69.20% 19.23% 11.57%+1.64 +2.4 3
2021-04-11 @ Rangers L 1-258.6 1779 2047 11.57% 19.23% 69.20%-1.64 -2.4 0
2021-04-21 Celtic D 1-175.0 1751 1995 13.63% 20.86% 65.52%-1.40 +2.3 4
2021-04-21 @ Aberdeen D 1-175.0 1995 1751 65.52% 20.86% 13.63%+1.40 -2.3 4
2021-04-21 Dundee United W 3-057.1 1658 1686 33.91% 26.46% 39.63%-0.12 +21.7 4
2021-04-21 @ Kilmarnock L 0-357.1 1686 1658 39.63% 26.46% 33.91%+0.12 -21.7 3
2021-04-21 Livingston W 2-165.1 1777 1718 46.04% 25.99% 27.98%+0.40 +5.7 3
2021-04-21 @ Hibernian L 1-265.1 1718 1777 27.98% 25.99% 46.04%-0.40 -5.7 0
2021-04-21 Motherwell L 0-158.0 1612 1667 30.42% 26.25% 43.33%-0.28 -6.5 0
2021-04-21 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-058.0 1667 1612 43.33% 26.25% 30.42%+0.28 +6.5 6
2021-04-21 Rangers D 1-176.3 1699 2050 8.71% 16.35% 74.95%-2.03 +2.9 1
2021-04-21 @ St. Johnstone D 1-176.3 2050 1699 74.95% 16.35% 8.71%+2.03 -2.9 4
2021-04-21 St. Mirren L 1-360.0 1599 1684 26.75% 25.81% 47.44%-0.46 -9.5 1
2021-04-21 @ Ross County W 3-160.0 1684 1599 47.44% 25.81% 26.75%+0.46 +9.5 3
2021-05-01 Aberdeen L 1-266.3 1712 1753 32.11% 26.37% 41.52%-0.20 -6.4 0
2021-05-01 @ Livingston W 2-166.3 1753 1712 41.52% 26.37% 32.11%+0.20 +6.4 7
2021-05-01 Hamilton Academical L 1-270.0 1693 1606 49.70% 25.47% 24.83%+0.56 -8.9 3
2021-05-01 @ St. Mirren W 2-170.0 1606 1693 24.83% 25.47% 49.70%-0.56 +8.9 3
2021-05-01 Kilmarnock W 2-058.0 1673 1680 36.91% 26.51% 36.58%+0.01 +14.1 9
2021-05-01 @ Motherwell L 0-258.0 1680 1673 36.58% 26.51% 36.91%-0.01 -14.1 4
2021-05-01 Ross County L 0-259.9 1664 1589 48.12% 25.72% 26.16%+0.49 -17.4 3
2021-05-01 @ Dundee United W 2-059.9 1589 1664 26.16% 25.72% 48.12%-0.49 +17.4 4
2021-05-01 St. Johnstone L 0-165.0 1783 1702 48.80% 25.61% 25.59%+0.52 -9.3 3
2021-05-01 @ Hibernian W 1-065.0 1702 1783 25.59% 25.61% 48.80%-0.52 +9.3 4
2021-05-02 Celtic W 4-160.0 2047 1993 45.32% 26.07% 28.61%+0.37 +14.3 7
2021-05-02 @ Rangers L 1-460.0 1993 2047 28.61% 26.07% 45.32%-0.37 -14.2 4
2021-05-12 Hamilton Academical W 2-165.2 1607 1615 36.65% 26.51% 36.85%+0.00 +7.1 7
2021-05-12 @ Ross County L 1-265.2 1615 1607 36.85% 26.51% 36.65%+0.00 -7.1 3
2021-05-12 Hibernian L 0-161.5 1760 1773 35.88% 26.50% 37.61%-0.04 -7.3 7
2021-05-12 @ Aberdeen W 1-061.5 1773 1760 37.61% 26.50% 35.88%+0.04 +7.3 6
2021-05-12 Motherwell D 2-277.9 1647 1687 32.20% 26.38% 41.42%-0.20 +0.3 4
2021-05-12 @ Dundee United D 2-277.9 1687 1647 41.42% 26.38% 32.20%+0.20 -0.3 10
2021-05-12 Rangers L 0-346.0 1706 2061 8.52% 16.13% 75.35%-2.06 -4.9 0
2021-05-12 @ Livingston W 3-046.0 2061 1706 75.35% 16.13% 8.52%+2.06 +4.9 10
2021-05-12 St. Johnstone W 4-047.4 1979 1712 69.12% 19.27% 11.62%+1.63 +9.1 7
2021-05-12 @ Celtic L 0-447.4 1712 1979 11.62% 19.27% 69.12%-1.63 -9.1 4
2021-05-12 St. Mirren D 3-381.5 1666 1684 35.18% 26.49% 38.33%-0.07 +0.1 5
2021-05-12 @ Kilmarnock D 3-381.5 1684 1666 38.33% 26.49% 35.18%+0.07 -0.1 4
2021-05-15 Aberdeen W 4-046.3 2066 1752 73.19% 17.27% 9.54%+1.91 +7.3 13
2021-05-15 @ Rangers L 0-446.3 1752 2066 9.54% 17.27% 73.19%-1.91 -7.3 7
2021-05-15 Celtic D 0-069.3 1781 1988 15.92% 22.31% 61.77%-1.18 +2.2 7
2021-05-15 @ Hibernian D 0-069.3 1988 1781 61.77% 22.31% 15.92%+1.18 -2.2 8
2021-05-15 Livingston D 0-067.2 1702 1701 38.09% 26.50% 35.41%+0.06 -0.1 5
2021-05-15 @ St. Johnstone D 0-067.2 1701 1702 35.41% 26.50% 38.09%-0.06 +0.1 1
2021-05-16 Dundee United D 0-066.6 1684 1647 43.06% 26.27% 30.67%+0.27 -0.6 5
2021-05-16 @ St. Mirren D 0-066.6 1647 1684 30.67% 26.27% 43.06%-0.27 +0.5 5
2021-05-16 Kilmarnock L 0-254.9 1608 1666 29.97% 26.21% 43.82%-0.30 -12.1 3
2021-05-16 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-054.9 1666 1608 43.82% 26.21% 29.97%+0.30 +12.1 8
2021-05-16 Ross County L 1-269.6 1687 1614 47.91% 25.75% 26.34%+0.48 -8.7 10
2021-05-16 @ Motherwell W 2-169.6 1614 1687 26.34% 25.75% 47.91%-0.48 +8.7 10

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2021-02-21 6.97% @ Ross County 1592 1 Celtic 1993 0
2 2021-01-30 10.17% St. Mirren 1681 2 @ Celtic 1980 1
3 2020-12-30 13.00% Ross County 1566 2 @ Hibernian 1806 0
4 2021-01-16 15.00% @ Ross County 1582 4 Aberdeen 1804 1
5 2021-02-27 17.97% Motherwell 1642 2 @ Hibernian 1806 0
6 2020-12-05 21.37% @ Hamilton Academical 1601 1 Kilmarnock 1739 0
7 2021-02-06 21.90% St. Johnstone 1665 2 @ Livingston 1781 1
8 2021-02-13 22.28% @ Dundee United 1644 3 Livingston 1772 0
9 2020-08-22 24.54% Hamilton Academical 1628 1 @ Motherwell 1718 0
10 2021-05-01 24.83% Hamilton Academical 1606 2 @ St. Mirren 1693 1
11 2021-01-02 24.91% @ Hamilton Academical 1597 3 Motherwell 1699 0
12 2020-09-20 25.21% Motherwell 1707 3 @ Aberdeen 1791 0
13 2020-12-12 25.50% St. Mirren 1646 1 @ Motherwell 1727 0
14 2021-05-01 25.59% St. Johnstone 1702 1 @ Hibernian 1783 0
15 2020-09-12 25.64% Hamilton Academical 1632 2 @ Livingston 1712 1
16 2021-03-06 25.82% @ St. Johnstone 1692 1 Hibernian 1785 0
17 2021-02-13 25.87% Hamilton Academical 1606 4 @ Motherwell 1683 1
18 2021-05-01 26.16% Ross County 1589 2 @ Dundee United 1664 0
19 2021-05-16 26.34% Ross County 1614 2 @ Motherwell 1687 1
20 2021-03-20 27.01% @ Dundee United 1670 1 Aberdeen 1753 0
21 2020-11-06 27.29% @ St. Johnstone 1660 1 Kilmarnock 1740 0
22 2021-01-02 27.35% Livingston 1719 3 @ Hibernian 1783 0
23 2020-08-03 27.38% @ Ross County 1655 1 Motherwell 1735 0
24 2021-03-06 27.46% @ Motherwell 1663 3 Livingston 1742 1
25 2020-11-21 28.58% St. Mirren 1635 1 @ Livingston 1689 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-02-13 27.33 @ Dundee United 3 1644 22.28% Livingston 0 1772 52.86% 24.86%
2 2021-01-16 26.75 @ Ross County 4 1582 15.00% Aberdeen 1 1804 63.24% 21.76%
3 2021-01-02 25.92 @ Hamilton Academical 3 1597 24.91% Motherwell 0 1699 49.61% 25.48%
4 2020-09-20 25.77 Motherwell 3 1707 25.21% @ Aberdeen 0 1791 49.25% 25.54%
5 2020-08-29 24.95 @ Kilmarnock 4 1709 40.11% Dundee United 0 1693 33.45% 26.44%
6 2021-01-02 24.70 Livingston 3 1719 27.35% @ Hibernian 0 1783 46.75% 25.90%
7 2021-01-27 23.56 St. Mirren 5 1658 34.00% @ Dundee United 1 1670 39.53% 26.46%
8 2020-12-30 22.76 Ross County 2 1566 13.00% @ Hibernian 0 1806 66.61% 20.39%
9 2021-04-21 21.69 @ Kilmarnock 3 1658 33.91% Dundee United 0 1686 39.63% 26.46%
10 2021-02-13 21.45 Hamilton Academical 4 1606 25.87% @ Motherwell 1 1683 48.46% 25.67%
11 2021-02-27 20.54 Motherwell 2 1642 17.97% @ Hibernian 0 1806 58.69% 23.33%
12 2021-02-20 20.35 St. Johnstone 3 1672 37.09% @ Motherwell 0 1662 36.40% 26.51%
13 2020-10-24 19.95 @ Motherwell 4 1722 49.13% Ross County 0 1639 25.31% 25.56%
14 2020-12-05 19.37 Hibernian 3 1773 39.47% @ Motherwell 0 1746 34.07% 26.46%
15 2021-03-20 18.77 @ Kilmarnock 4 1640 32.58% Motherwell 1 1678 41.02% 26.40%
16 2021-05-01 17.41 Ross County 2 1589 26.16% @ Dundee United 0 1664 48.12% 25.72%
17 2020-08-08 16.43 Hibernian 4 1750 39.22% @ Livingston 1 1726 34.31% 26.47%
18 2020-12-23 15.97 @ Dundee United 2 1658 30.50% Kilmarnock 0 1712 43.24% 26.26%
19 2020-10-17 15.78 Rangers 2 1952 31.14% @ Celtic 0 1985 42.55% 26.31%
20 2020-12-30 15.44 Kilmarnock 2 1689 32.23% @ Motherwell 0 1714 41.39% 26.38%
21 2021-02-02 15.18 Livingston 2 1766 33.06% @ Aberdeen 0 1785 40.51% 26.43%
22 2020-09-12 15.09 Hibernian 3 1770 49.54% @ St. Mirren 0 1669 24.97% 25.50%
23 2021-03-06 14.69 @ Motherwell 3 1663 27.46% Livingston 1 1742 46.62% 25.92%
24 2020-09-27 14.68 Aberdeen 3 1765 50.51% @ Ross County 0 1656 24.16% 25.33%
25 2021-04-10 14.62 @ Celtic 6 1980 67.37% Livingston 0 1732 12.57% 20.06%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-10-25 83.8 @ Aberdeen 3 1789 17.82% Celtic 3 1969 58.91% 23.27%
2 2021-05-12 81.5 @ Kilmarnock 3 1666 35.18% St. Mirren 3 1684 38.33% 26.49%
3 2021-01-20 80.8 @ Livingston 2 1753 14.72% Celtic 2 1978 63.69% 21.59%
4 2020-11-21 80.6 @ Hibernian 2 1772 16.12% Celtic 2 1976 61.46% 22.42%
5 2020-09-20 80.0 @ Hibernian 2 1785 20.07% Rangers 2 1938 55.75% 24.17%
6 2020-11-24 79.1 @ Hibernian 2 1774 51.78% St. Johnstone 2 1670 23.13% 25.09%
7 2020-08-12 78.6 @ Motherwell 2 1717 38.98% Livingston 2 1709 34.54% 26.48%
8 2020-08-12 78.5 @ Ross County 2 1671 30.64% Kilmarnock 2 1724 43.09% 26.27%
9 2021-05-12 77.9 @ Dundee United 2 1647 32.20% Motherwell 2 1687 41.42% 26.38%
10 2021-01-12 77.8 @ Dundee United 2 1671 40.86% St. Johnstone 2 1649 32.73% 26.41%
11 2021-02-07 77.3 @ Hamilton Academical 1 1602 5.96% Rangers 1 2039 81.24% 12.80%
12 2021-04-10 77.0 @ Kilmarnock 2 1659 46.21% Ross County 2 1598 27.82% 25.97%
13 2021-01-17 76.4 @ Motherwell 1 1673 8.37% Rangers 1 2032 75.69% 15.95%
14 2021-04-21 76.3 @ St. Johnstone 1 1699 8.71% Rangers 1 2050 74.95% 16.35%
15 2021-01-30 76.2 St. Mirren 2 1681 10.17% @ Celtic 1 1980 71.91% 17.92%
16 2020-12-06 75.8 @ Celtic 1 1975 72.42% St. Johnstone 1 1670 9.92% 17.66%
17 2021-04-21 75.0 @ Aberdeen 1 1751 13.63% Celtic 1 1995 65.52% 20.86%
18 2021-01-11 74.9 @ Celtic 1 1983 65.12% Hibernian 1 1758 13.86% 21.02%
19 2020-08-09 74.7 @ Kilmarnock 1 1722 14.73% Celtic 1 1947 63.68% 21.60%
20 2020-12-19 73.6 @ Hibernian 1 1807 57.20% Dundee United 1 1657 19.02% 23.78%
21 2021-01-30 73.6 St. Johnstone 3 1659 31.29% @ Kilmarnock 2 1691 42.39% 26.32%
22 2021-03-21 73.5 @ Celtic 1 1980 28.74% Rangers 1 2048 45.18% 26.08%
23 2020-11-25 73.4 @ Hamilton Academical 1 1599 17.06% Aberdeen 1 1790 60.03% 22.91%
24 2020-12-05 73.2 @ St. Mirren 1 1644 20.79% Aberdeen 1 1788 54.79% 24.42%
25 2021-03-20 73.0 @ Livingston 1 1732 31.25% Hibernian 1 1780 42.43% 26.32%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-01-23 44.1 @ Rangers 5 2029 81.19% Ross County 0 1609 5.98% 12.83%
2 2020-12-06 44.6 Rangers 4 2000 78.30% @ Ross County 0 1606 7.20% 14.50%
3 2020-12-26 45.2 Celtic 3 1980 77.22% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1600 7.68% 15.11%
4 2021-03-06 45.8 @ Rangers 3 2043 75.81% St. Mirren 0 1697 8.31% 15.88%
5 2020-12-23 46.0 Rangers 3 2011 75.02% @ St. Johnstone 0 1660 8.67% 16.31%
6 2021-05-12 46.0 Rangers 3 2061 75.35% @ Livingston 0 1706 8.52% 16.13%
7 2020-12-23 46.2 @ Celtic 2 1977 79.66% Ross County 0 1579 6.62% 13.72%
8 2021-05-15 46.3 @ Rangers 4 2066 73.19% Aberdeen 0 1752 9.54% 17.27%
9 2020-11-08 46.4 @ Rangers 8 1976 76.85% Hamilton Academical 0 1616 7.84% 15.31%
10 2020-12-30 46.7 @ Celtic 3 1984 72.87% Dundee United 0 1675 9.70% 17.43%
11 2021-01-27 47.0 @ Celtic 2 1977 77.20% Hamilton Academical 0 1613 7.68% 15.12%
12 2020-09-12 47.2 Celtic 5 1956 70.51% @ Ross County 0 1659 10.89% 18.61%
13 2021-02-02 47.3 Celtic 4 1968 69.31% @ Kilmarnock 0 1683 11.51% 19.18%
14 2021-05-12 47.4 @ Celtic 4 1979 69.12% St. Johnstone 0 1712 11.62% 19.27%
15 2020-09-12 47.5 @ Rangers 4 1928 68.52% Dundee United 0 1668 11.93% 19.54%
16 2021-02-10 47.5 Celtic 4 1979 68.71% @ St. Mirren 0 1701 11.84% 19.46%
17 2020-12-30 47.7 Rangers 2 2019 74.99% @ St. Mirren 0 1668 8.69% 16.32%
18 2020-10-04 48.3 Celtic 2 1981 73.08% @ St. Johnstone 0 1654 9.59% 17.32%
19 2020-10-04 48.3 @ Rangers 2 1948 72.56% Ross County 0 1642 9.85% 17.59%
20 2020-08-30 48.5 @ Celtic 3 1948 66.59% Motherwell 0 1708 13.01% 20.40%
21 2021-04-10 48.7 @ Celtic 6 1980 67.37% Livingston 0 1732 12.57% 20.06%
22 2020-08-09 48.9 @ Rangers 3 1902 65.07% St. Mirren 0 1678 13.89% 21.04%
23 2020-08-12 48.9 @ Rangers 3 1911 65.15% St. Johnstone 0 1686 13.84% 21.01%
24 2020-08-29 49.2 Rangers 2 1924 69.52% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1637 11.40% 19.08%
25 2021-02-13 49.5 @ Rangers 1 2036 78.52% Kilmarnock 0 1654 7.11% 14.38%