2021-22 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

93 points · 52nd Title

Last Title: 2019-20

Relegated

Dundee

29 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Livingston

3.01 points above expected

49 points · 45.99 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ross County

3.91 points below expected

41 points · 44.91 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	26	4	3	82	78	19	+59	70.93	+11.07
2	Rangers	33	23	7	3	76	67	27	+40	73.44	+2.56
3	Heart of Midlothian	33	16	9	8	57	48	33	+15	50.70	+6.30
4	Dundee United	33	10	11	12	41	31	37	-6	38.77	+2.23
5	Ross County	33	10	10	13	40	45	52	-7	35.92	+4.08
6	Motherwell	33	10	10	13	40	38	50	-12	39.16	+0.84
7	Hibernian	33	9	11	13	38	31	37	-6	46.94	-8.94
8	Livingston	33	10	8	15	38	35	43	-8	40.38	-2.38
9	Aberdeen	33	9	9	15	36	38	42	-4	42.95	-6.95
10	St. Mirren	33	8	12	13	36	30	50	-20	38.28	-2.28
11	St. Johnstone	33	7	9	17	30	21	44	-23	34.99	-4.99
12	Dundee	33	5	10	18	25	29	57	-28	29.79	-4.79

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	38	29	6	3	93	92	22	+70	93.08	-0.08
2	Rangers	38	27	8	3	89	80	31	+49	86.25	+2.75
3	Heart of Midlothian	38	17	10	11	61	54	44	+10	63.82	-2.82
4	Dundee United	38	12	12	14	48	37	44	-7	45.46	+2.54
5	Motherwell	38	12	10	16	46	42	61	-19	43.89	+2.11
6	Ross County	38	10	11	17	41	47	61	-14	44.91	-3.91
7	Livingston	38	13	10	15	49	41	46	-5	45.99	+3.01
8	Hibernian	38	11	12	15	45	38	42	-4	45.90	-0.90
9	St. Mirren	38	10	14	14	44	33	51	-18	42.29	+1.71
10	Aberdeen	38	10	11	17	41	41	46	-5	43.69	-2.69
11	St. Johnstone	38	8	11	19	35	24	51	-27	36.20	-1.20
12	Dundee Relegated	38	6	11	21	29	34	64	-30	29.62	-0.62

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Livingston	49	45.99	+3.01
2	Rangers	89	86.25	+2.75
3	Dundee United	48	45.46	+2.54
4	Motherwell	46	43.89	+2.11
5	St. Mirren	44	42.29	+1.71

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ross County	41	44.91	-3.91
2	Heart of Midlothian	61	63.82	-2.82
3	Aberdeen	41	43.69	-2.69
4	St. Johnstone	35	36.20	-1.20
5	Hibernian	45	45.90	-0.90

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	8	Dec 26 – Feb 20	1 in 40
2	Rangers	9	Oct 31 – Dec 26	1 in 26
3	Dundee United	3	Oct 2 – Oct 23	1 in 25
4	St. Mirren	3	Sep 26 – Oct 16	1 in 24
5	Motherwell	3	Aug 21 – Sep 11	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	St. Johnstone	8	Nov 27 – Jan 18	1 in 415
2	Aberdeen	5	Sep 11 – Oct 16	1 in 242
3	Dundee United	6	Nov 30 – Jan 18	1 in 207
4	Hibernian	5	Oct 3 – Nov 24	1 in 169
5	Heart of Midlothian	3	Feb 6 – Feb 19	1 in 63

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	32	Sep 26 – May 14	1 in 94
2	Heart of Midlothian	11	Jul 31 – Oct 27	1 in 90
3	Dundee United	7	Sep 11 – Oct 27	1 in 44
4	Motherwell	6	Aug 8 – Sep 25	1 in 25
5	St. Mirren	6	Aug 29 – Oct 16	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	11	Jan 18 – Mar 19	1 in 65
2	St. Mirren	11	Oct 24 – Dec 26	1 in 44
3	Aberdeen	10	Jan 18 – Mar 5	1 in 39
4	St. Johnstone	10	Nov 6 – Jan 26	1 in 34
5	Dundee United	7	Nov 27 – Jan 18	1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	2080	93	+15	11	11.2	-0.2
Rangers	2042	89	+23	13	10.2	+2.8
Heart of Midlothian	1792	61	-24	4	6.6	-2.6
Livingston	1728	49	+21	11	8.2	+2.8
Dundee United	1699	48	+12	7	4.6	+2.4
Motherwell	1665	46	+5	6	3.7	+2.3
Hibernian	1707	45	+5	7	7.7	-0.7
St. Mirren	1654	44	+16	8	6.6	+1.4
Aberdeen	1679	41	-16	5	7.7	-2.7
Ross County	1679	41	-32	1	5.0	-4.0
St. Johnstone	1606	35	-26	5	6.1	-1.1
Dundee	1558	29	+0	4	4.5	-0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DUN	DU	HOM	HIB	LIV	MOT	RAN	RC	SJ	SM
Aberdeen	—	0-0-3 1.89	2-1-1 7.32	1-1-1 4.57	1-1-1 3.29	2-1-1 4.99	2-0-2 5.66	0-1-2 4.43	0-2-1 1.47	0-2-1 4.89	1-1-2 6.47	1-1-2 6.18
Celtic	3-0-0 6.41	—	3-0-0 7.22	2-2-0 9.12	3-0-1 8.04	2-1-0 6.29	1-1-1 6.54	4-0-0 9.01	2-1-1 5.47	4-0-0 9.30	3-0-0 7.16	2-1-0 6.95
Dundee	1-1-2 3.59	0-0-3 1.24	—	0-2-1 2.98	1-1-1 2.06	1-2-1 3.57	0-1-3 4.00	1-1-1 2.74	0-0-3 1.16	0-0-3 3.77	1-2-1 4.47	1-1-2 4.09
Dundee United	1-1-1 3.57	0-2-2 2.05	1-2-0 5.19	—	0-1-3 4.32	1-1-1 3.18	0-1-2 3.89	3-0-1 5.99	1-1-2 1.82	3-1-0 5.70	1-1-1 4.14	1-1-1 3.93
Heart of Midlothian	1-1-1 4.85	1-0-3 2.95	1-1-1 6.20	3-1-0 6.54	—	1-2-0 4.79	3-0-0 5.22	2-0-2 6.94	0-1-3 2.79	1-3-0 7.22	1-1-1 5.59	3-0-0 4.68
Hibernian	1-1-2 5.84	0-1-2 1.99	1-2-1 7.34	1-1-1 4.97	0-2-1 3.35	—	1-0-3 6.20	1-2-0 4.43	0-0-3 1.76	2-0-1 5.13	3-1-0 6.90	1-2-1 6.63
Livingston	2-0-2 5.17	1-1-1 1.78	3-1-0 6.90	2-1-0 4.25	0-0-3 2.93	3-0-1 4.67	—	0-1-2 4.38	0-0-3 1.50	1-2-0 4.37	1-1-2 6.31	0-3-1 5.78
Motherwell	2-1-0 3.70	0-0-4 2.15	1-1-1 5.43	1-0-3 4.85	2-0-2 3.93	0-2-1 3.70	2-1-0 3.76	—	0-2-2 1.99	2-0-2 5.67	1-1-1 4.11	1-2-0 4.28
Rangers	1-2-0 6.92	1-1-2 5.38	3-0-0 7.32	2-1-1 9.40	3-1-0 8.21	3-0-0 6.56	3-0-0 6.88	2-2-0 9.19	—	3-1-0 9.40	3-0-0 7.00	3-0-0 6.94
Ross County	1-2-0 3.27	0-0-4 1.90	3-0-0 4.37	0-1-3 5.14	0-3-1 3.68	1-0-2 3.03	0-2-1 3.76	2-0-2 5.19	0-1-3 1.82	—	2-1-0 4.32	1-1-1 4.02
St. Johnstone	2-1-1 4.39	0-0-3 1.28	1-2-1 6.39	1-1-1 4.01	1-1-1 2.61	0-1-3 3.99	2-1-1 4.58	1-1-1 4.03	0-0-3 1.41	0-1-2 3.81	—	0-2-2 5.32
St. Mirren	2-1-1 4.66	0-1-2 1.45	2-1-1 6.79	1-1-1 4.20	0-0-3 3.46	1-2-1 4.25	1-3-0 5.05	0-2-1 3.84	0-0-3 1.46	1-1-1 4.11	2-2-0 5.53	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.91	+9.6
Allowed	0.75	-14.1
Differential	0.95	+6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.77%	10.31%	6.36%	2.19%	1.10%	1.32%	30.04%
1	10.31%	13.60%	8.11%	2.85%	0.66%	0.22%	35.75%
2	6.36%	8.11%	4.82%	1.97%	0.88%	0.22%	22.37%
3	2.19%	2.85%	1.97%	0.44%	—	—	7.46%
4	1.10%	0.66%	0.88%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	1.32%	0.22%	0.22%	—	—	—	1.75%
Total	30.04%	35.75%	22.37%	7.46%	2.63%	1.75%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.23	+0.00
SD	1.19	1.19	1.77
CV	0.96	0.96	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	18.42%	7.89%	—	—	—	28.95%
1	7.89%	21.05%	13.16%	—	—	—	42.11%
2	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	23.68%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	52.63%	26.32%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.21	-0.13
SD	0.94	0.78	1.19
CV	0.87	0.64	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
1	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
2	13.16%	13.16%	—	—	—	—	26.32%
3	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	21.05%
4	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	10.53%	—	—	—	—	—	10.53%
Total	52.63%	36.84%	10.53%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.42	0.58	+1.84
SD	1.78	0.68	1.98
CV	0.74	1.18	—
Max	7	2	+7
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	18.42%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	44.74%
1	5.26%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
2	—	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	34.21%	26.32%	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	1.68	-0.79
SD	0.95	1.42	1.71
CV	1.06	0.84	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
1	15.79%	18.42%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	42.11%
2	2.63%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	23.68%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	42.11%	18.42%	7.89%	—	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.16	-0.18
SD	0.82	1.10	1.31
CV	0.84	0.95	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	2.63%	18.42%
1	5.26%	13.16%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	36.84%
2	21.05%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	34.21%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	36.84%	26.32%	28.95%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.16	+0.26
SD	1.06	1.20	1.72
CV	0.74	1.03	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.79%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	39.47%
1	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	10.53%	—	—	34.21%
2	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.84%	31.58%	15.79%	15.79%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.11	-0.11
SD	1.07	1.09	1.50
CV	1.07	0.98	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	31.58%
1	10.53%	15.79%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	42.11%
2	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
3	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	36.84%	26.32%	10.53%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.21	-0.13
SD	1.02	0.96	1.51
CV	0.95	0.80	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	28.95%
1	7.89%	15.79%	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	36.84%
2	10.53%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	34.21%	26.32%	10.53%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.61	-0.50
SD	0.92	1.46	1.90
CV	0.84	0.91	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
1	18.42%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	—	34.21%
2	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	5.26%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
4	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	42.11%	39.47%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.11	0.82	+1.29
SD	1.35	0.87	1.58
CV	0.64	1.06	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	26.32%
1	10.53%	15.79%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	42.11%
2	—	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	—	18.42%
3	—	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	21.05%	31.58%	23.68%	13.16%	10.53%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.61	-0.37
SD	1.13	1.26	1.67
CV	0.91	0.79	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.79%	15.79%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	50.00%
1	10.53%	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	39.47%
2	—	7.89%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	39.47%	21.05%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.63	1.34	-0.71
SD	0.75	1.38	1.64
CV	1.19	1.03	—
Max	3	7	+2
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.42%	7.89%	10.53%	—	2.63%	2.63%	42.11%
1	13.16%	10.53%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	34.21%
2	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	18.42%
3	—	—	5.26%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.21%	23.68%	31.58%	—	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.87	1.34	-0.47
SD	0.91	1.40	1.57
CV	1.04	1.04	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	2080	93	70.93	+22.07	95.0%	53	59	66	71	76	82	86
Rangers	2042	89	73.44	+15.56	66.0%	56	62	68	73	79	85	91
Heart of Midlothian	1792	61	50.70	+10.30	85.0%	37	39	46	51	56	63	68
Livingston	1728	49	40.38	+8.62	39.0%	26	29	36	39	45	53	61
Hibernian	1707	45	46.94	-1.94	15.0%	32	34	42	47	52	60	65
Dundee United	1699	48	38.77	+9.23	66.0%	21	27	33	38	44	51	55
Ross County	1679	41	35.92	+5.08	78.0%	21	25	32	35	40	45	54
Aberdeen	1679	41	42.95	-1.95	16.0%	29	32	39	43	47	55	59
Motherwell	1665	46	39.16	+6.84	60.0%	22	29	35	39	44	49	52
St. Mirren	1654	44	38.28	+5.72	37.0%	21	25	34	38	43	47	55
St. Johnstone	1606	35	34.99	+0.01	29.0%	20	25	30	35	39	45	57
Dundee	1558	29	29.79	-0.79	32.0%	15	19	24	29	34	41	44

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+13.60%

Slight Edge

42.98%27.63%29.39%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 47.53 Elo pts.

184 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.34 goals

Neutral

-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.0

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

43%

Celtic, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.11/gm

Tight Race

00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.53 * Some Luck: 5.53 to 8.3 * Lucky: 8.3 to 11.07 * Wild Swing: 11.07 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.32 * Close: 1.32 to 1.98 * Off: 1.98 to 2.64 * Way Off: 2.64 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.61 points

Some Luck

06.9217

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.83

01.654

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

95.00%

Celtic

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

15.00%

Hibernian

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

0 of 1

As Expected

00.51

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Top-Heavy

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 153.51

2.49

Wide Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

62%

Even

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

95%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

68%

Very Frequent

0%60%100%

Blowouts

Expected

11%

Rare

0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.57

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.40

Slight Separation

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.64

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.57

Some Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

15%

Solid Favorites

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.55

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.23

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.057

Well Within Noise

00.1150.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	43.00%	53.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	57.00%	42.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	4.00%	40.00%	29.00%	9.00%	9.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Dundee United	—	—	6.00%	12.00%	9.00%	9.00%	7.00%	13.00%	12.00%	12.00%	13.00%	7.00%
Motherwell	—	—	1.00%	7.00%	13.00%	12.00%	17.00%	13.00%	14.00%	7.00%	11.00%	5.00%
Ross County	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	14.00%	20.00%	18.00%	14.00%	11.00%
Livingston	—	—	6.00%	15.00%	7.00%	9.00%	17.00%	10.00%	14.00%	10.00%	11.00%	1.00%
Hibernian	—	1.00%	24.00%	20.00%	21.00%	11.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	—
St. Mirren	—	—	3.00%	4.00%	12.00%	12.00%	11.00%	19.00%	12.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%
Aberdeen	—	—	14.00%	7.00%	18.00%	22.00%	13.00%	6.00%	5.00%	11.00%	4.00%	—
St. Johnstone	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	13.00%	11.00%	17.00%	18.00%	19.00%
Dundee	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	9.00%	4.00%	6.00%	13.00%	17.00%	47.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	96.25%	3.75%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	3.75%	96.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee United	—	—	—	47.76%	32.44%	19.80%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	—	—	21.09%	33.54%	45.37%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ross County	—	—	—	31.15%	34.02%	34.83%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Livingston	—	—	—	—	—	—	43.31%	28.78%	18.98%	8.32%	0.61%	—
Hibernian	—	—	—	—	—	—	35.97%	33.69%	20.18%	9.31%	0.85%	—
St. Mirren	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.41%	15.16%	27.76%	42.60%	7.04%	0.03%
Aberdeen	—	—	—	—	—	—	13.26%	21.91%	30.68%	30.33%	3.80%	0.02%
St. Johnstone	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.05%	0.46%	2.40%	9.31%	81.50%	6.28%
Dundee	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.13%	6.20%	93.67%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	96.00%	4.00%	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
Hibernian	98.00%	—	2.00%
Livingston	92.00%	6.00%	2.00%
Motherwell	87.00%	8.00%	5.00%
Dundee United	83.00%	11.00%	6.00%
Ross County	77.00%	16.00%	7.00%
St. Mirren	75.00%	13.00%	12.00%
St. Johnstone	67.00%	19.00%	14.00%
Dundee	25.00%	23.00%	52.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Celtic	100%	—	—
Dundee United	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—	—
Hibernian	99.15%	0.85%	—
Livingston	99.39%	0.61%	—
Motherwell	100%	—	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
Ross County	100%	—	—
Aberdeen	96.18%	3.80%	0.02%
St. Mirren	92.93%	7.04%	0.03%
St. Johnstone	12.22%	81.50%	6.28%
Dundee	0.13%	6.20%	93.67%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2021-07-31	Celtic	W 2-1	72.0	1729	1911	19.84%	27.31%	52.85%	-0.73	+13.1	3
2021-07-31	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	72.0	1911	1729	52.85%	27.31%	19.84%	+0.73	-13.1	0
2021-07-31	Livingston	W 3-0	46.5	1961	1709	69.39%	20.86%	9.75%	+1.63	+8.4	3
2021-07-31	@ Rangers	L 0-3	46.5	1709	1961	9.75%	20.86%	69.39%	-1.63	-8.4	0
2021-07-31	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	65.4	1654	1710	34.17%	29.30%	36.52%	-0.04	+0.1	1
2021-07-31	@ Ross County	D 0-0	65.4	1710	1654	36.52%	29.30%	34.17%	+0.04	-0.1	1
2021-07-31	St. Mirren	D 2-2	76.3	1648	1698	34.99%	29.31%	35.70%	-0.01	+0.0	1
2021-07-31	@ Dundee	D 2-2	76.3	1698	1648	35.70%	29.31%	34.99%	+0.01	-0.0	1
2021-08-01	Dundee United	W 2-0	53.0	1738	1672	50.51%	27.84%	21.65%	+0.62	+13.1	3
2021-08-01	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	53.0	1672	1738	21.65%	27.84%	50.51%	-0.62	-13.1	0
2021-08-01	Hibernian	L 2-3	70.9	1693	1765	32.05%	29.25%	38.70%	-0.13	-8.5	0
2021-08-01	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	70.9	1765	1693	38.70%	29.25%	32.05%	+0.13	+8.5	3
2021-08-07	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	67.0	1698	1742	35.80%	29.31%	34.89%	+0.02	-9.7	1
2021-08-07	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	67.0	1742	1698	34.89%	29.31%	35.80%	-0.02	+9.7	6
2021-08-07	Rangers	W 1-0	68.5	1659	1970	11.36%	22.46%	66.18%	-1.43	+16.7	3
2021-08-07	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	68.5	1970	1659	66.18%	22.46%	11.36%	+1.43	-16.7	3
2021-08-08	Aberdeen	L 1-2	66.7	1701	1751	34.88%	29.31%	35.81%	-0.02	-9.5	0
2021-08-08	@ Livingston	W 2-1	66.7	1751	1701	35.81%	29.31%	34.88%	+0.02	+9.5	6
2021-08-08	Dundee	W 6-0	47.6	1897	1648	69.12%	21.00%	9.88%	+1.62	+16.4	3
2021-08-08	@ Celtic	L 0-6	47.6	1648	1897	9.88%	21.00%	69.12%	-1.62	-16.4	1
2021-08-08	Motherwell	D 1-1	70.9	1710	1685	45.33%	28.70%	25.97%	+0.39	-1.1	2
2021-08-08	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	70.9	1685	1710	25.97%	28.70%	45.33%	-0.39	+1.1	1
2021-08-08	Ross County	W 3-0	49.7	1773	1654	56.49%	26.30%	17.21%	+0.90	+15.5	6
2021-08-08	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	49.7	1654	1773	17.21%	26.30%	56.49%	-0.90	-15.5	1
2021-08-21	Motherwell	L 1-2	68.5	1691	1686	42.69%	28.99%	28.32%	+0.29	-11.1	0
2021-08-21	@ Livingston	W 2-1	68.5	1686	1691	28.32%	28.99%	42.69%	-0.29	+11.1	4
2021-08-21	St. Mirren	W 6-0	48.4	1914	1688	67.02%	22.06%	10.92%	+1.49	+18.4	6
2021-08-21	@ Celtic	L 0-6	48.4	1688	1914	10.92%	22.06%	67.02%	-1.49	-18.4	1
2021-08-22	Aberdeen	D 1-1	71.3	1752	1761	40.82%	29.14%	30.04%	+0.21	-0.6	7
2021-08-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.3	1761	1752	30.04%	29.14%	40.82%	-0.21	+0.6	7
2021-08-22	Dundee United	L 0-1	63.6	1709	1675	46.41%	28.56%	25.03%	+0.44	-12.5	2
2021-08-22	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	63.6	1675	1709	25.03%	28.56%	46.41%	-0.44	+12.5	6
2021-08-22	Hibernian	D 2-2	77.3	1632	1789	22.10%	27.96%	49.95%	-0.59	+1.2	2
2021-08-22	@ Dundee	D 2-2	77.3	1789	1632	49.95%	27.96%	22.10%	+0.59	-1.2	7
2021-08-22	Rangers	L 2-4	58.5	1639	1953	11.21%	22.33%	66.46%	-1.45	-5.3	1
2021-08-22	@ Ross County	W 4-2	58.5	1953	1639	66.46%	22.33%	11.21%	+1.45	+5.3	6
2021-08-28	Dundee	W 1-0	55.5	1697	1633	50.23%	27.90%	21.87%	+0.61	+7.0	7
2021-08-28	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	55.5	1633	1697	21.87%	27.90%	50.23%	-0.61	-7.0	2
2021-08-28	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	57.0	1688	1752	33.08%	29.28%	37.64%	-0.09	-18.3	6
2021-08-28	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	57.0	1752	1688	37.64%	29.28%	33.08%	+0.09	+18.3	10
2021-08-28	Livingston	W 2-0	51.9	1787	1680	55.26%	26.67%	18.08%	+0.84	+11.2	10
2021-08-28	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	51.9	1680	1787	18.08%	26.67%	55.26%	-0.84	-11.2	0
2021-08-29	Celtic	W 1-0	58.4	1958	1932	45.49%	28.68%	25.83%	+0.40	+8.1	9
2021-08-29	@ Rangers	L 0-1	58.4	1932	1958	25.83%	28.68%	45.49%	-0.40	-8.1	6
2021-08-29	Ross County	D 1-1	71.7	1761	1634	57.48%	25.98%	16.54%	+0.95	-2.5	8
2021-08-29	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	71.7	1634	1761	16.54%	25.98%	57.48%	-0.95	+2.5	2
2021-08-29	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	65.5	1670	1696	38.38%	29.26%	32.37%	+0.12	-0.4	2
2021-08-29	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	65.5	1696	1670	32.37%	29.26%	38.38%	-0.12	+0.4	3
2021-09-11	Aberdeen	W 2-0	58.2	1704	1759	34.30%	29.31%	36.40%	-0.04	+19.6	10
2021-09-11	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	58.2	1759	1704	36.40%	29.31%	34.30%	+0.04	-19.6	8
2021-09-11	Dundee United	D 0-0	65.3	1670	1670	42.01%	29.05%	28.94%	+0.26	-0.8	3
2021-09-11	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	65.3	1670	1670	28.94%	29.05%	42.01%	-0.26	+0.8	7
2021-09-11	Livingston	D 0-0	64.7	1626	1669	36.02%	29.31%	34.67%	+0.03	-0.1	3
2021-09-11	@ Dundee	D 0-0	64.7	1669	1626	34.67%	29.31%	36.02%	-0.03	+0.1	1
2021-09-11	Rangers	L 1-2	59.3	1697	1966	13.52%	24.20%	62.28%	-1.21	-4.2	3
2021-09-11	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	59.3	1966	1697	62.28%	24.20%	13.52%	+1.21	+4.2	12
2021-09-11	Ross County	W 3-0	45.5	1924	1636	72.35%	19.25%	8.40%	+1.83	+7.1	9
2021-09-11	@ Celtic	L 0-3	45.5	1636	1924	8.40%	19.25%	72.35%	-1.83	-7.1	2
2021-09-12	Hibernian	D 0-0	66.4	1770	1799	38.04%	29.27%	32.69%	+0.10	-0.3	11
2021-09-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	66.4	1799	1770	32.69%	29.27%	38.04%	-0.10	+0.3	11
2021-09-18	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	77.0	1629	1770	23.73%	28.32%	47.95%	-0.51	+1.0	3
2021-09-18	@ Ross County	D 2-2	77.0	1770	1629	47.95%	28.32%	23.73%	+0.51	-1.0	12
2021-09-18	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	64.3	1739	1692	48.12%	28.29%	23.59%	+0.51	-12.9	8
2021-09-18	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	64.3	1692	1739	23.59%	28.29%	48.12%	-0.51	+12.9	6
2021-09-18	St. Mirren	D 2-2	78.1	1799	1669	57.71%	25.91%	16.38%	+0.97	-1.8	12
2021-09-18	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	78.1	1669	1799	16.38%	25.91%	57.71%	-0.97	+1.8	4
2021-09-19	Celtic	W 1-0	67.7	1669	1931	13.96%	24.50%	61.54%	-1.17	+15.8	4
2021-09-19	@ Livingston	L 0-1	67.7	1931	1669	61.54%	24.50%	13.96%	+1.17	-15.8	9
2021-09-19	Dundee	W 1-0	55.8	1670	1626	47.83%	28.34%	23.83%	+0.50	+7.5	10
2021-09-19	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	55.8	1626	1670	23.83%	28.34%	47.83%	-0.50	-7.6	3
2021-09-19	Motherwell	D 1-1	74.1	1971	1724	68.92%	21.10%	9.98%	+1.60	-3.6	13
2021-09-19	@ Rangers	D 1-1	74.1	1724	1971	9.98%	21.10%	68.92%	-1.60	+3.6	11
2021-09-25	Livingston	W 3-0	51.0	1769	1685	52.58%	27.38%	20.04%	+0.72	+17.8	15
2021-09-25	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	51.0	1685	1769	20.04%	27.38%	52.58%	-0.72	-17.8	4
2021-09-25	Rangers	L 0-1	51.0	1618	1967	9.70%	20.80%	69.49%	-1.64	-3.1	3
2021-09-25	@ Dundee	W 1-0	51.0	1967	1618	69.49%	20.80%	9.70%	+1.64	+3.1	16
2021-09-25	Ross County	W 2-1	60.6	1727	1630	54.12%	26.98%	18.89%	+0.79	+5.8	14
2021-09-25	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	60.6	1630	1727	18.89%	26.98%	54.12%	-0.79	-5.8	3
2021-09-26	Aberdeen	W 3-2	71.9	1671	1726	34.18%	29.30%	36.52%	-0.04	+9.3	7
2021-09-26	@ St. Mirren	L 2-3	71.9	1726	1671	36.52%	29.30%	34.18%	+0.04	-9.3	8
2021-09-26	Dundee United	D 1-1	73.8	1915	1678	68.09%	21.52%	10.39%	+1.55	-3.6	10
2021-09-26	@ Celtic	D 1-1	73.8	1678	1915	10.39%	21.52%	68.09%	-1.55	+3.6	11
2021-09-26	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	55.6	1797	1705	53.48%	27.15%	19.37%	+0.76	+6.3	15
2021-09-26	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	55.6	1705	1797	19.37%	27.15%	53.48%	-0.76	-6.3	6
2021-10-02	Dundee	W 3-1	57.5	1699	1615	52.57%	27.38%	20.05%	+0.71	+10.6	9
2021-10-02	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-3	57.5	1615	1699	20.05%	27.38%	52.57%	-0.71	-10.6	3
2021-10-02	Motherwell	W 2-0	54.0	1786	1733	48.91%	28.15%	22.94%	+0.55	+13.8	18
2021-10-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	54.0	1733	1786	22.94%	28.15%	48.91%	-0.55	-13.8	14
2021-10-02	Ross County	W 1-0	55.5	1682	1624	49.41%	28.06%	22.53%	+0.57	+7.2	14
2021-10-02	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	55.5	1624	1682	22.53%	28.06%	49.41%	-0.57	-7.2	3
2021-10-02	St. Mirren	L 0-1	61.6	1667	1680	40.19%	29.17%	30.63%	+0.19	-11.2	4
2021-10-02	@ Livingston	W 1-0	61.6	1680	1667	30.63%	29.17%	40.19%	-0.19	+11.2	10
2021-10-03	Celtic	L 1-2	61.6	1717	1912	18.70%	26.91%	54.39%	-0.80	-5.8	8
2021-10-03	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	61.6	1912	1717	54.39%	26.91%	18.70%	+0.80	+5.8	13
2021-10-03	Hibernian	W 2-1	59.6	1970	1803	61.49%	24.52%	13.99%	+1.17	+4.3	19
2021-10-03	@ Rangers	L 1-2	59.6	1803	1970	13.99%	24.52%	61.49%	-1.17	-4.3	15
2021-10-16	Aberdeen	W 2-1	68.2	1605	1711	27.53%	28.91%	43.57%	-0.32	+11.2	6
2021-10-16	@ Dundee	L 1-2	68.2	1711	1605	43.57%	28.91%	27.53%	+0.32	-11.2	8
2021-10-16	Celtic	L 0-2	52.4	1719	1918	18.41%	26.80%	54.79%	-0.82	-11.4	14
2021-10-16	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	52.4	1918	1719	54.79%	26.80%	18.41%	+0.82	+11.4	16
2021-10-16	Dundee United	L 0-3	61.6	1799	1689	55.57%	26.57%	17.85%	+0.86	-39.8	15
2021-10-16	@ Hibernian	W 3-0	61.6	1689	1799	17.85%	26.57%	55.57%	-0.86	+39.8	17
2021-10-16	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	73.2	1974	1800	62.22%	24.22%	13.55%	+1.21	-3.0	20
2021-10-16	@ Rangers	D 1-1	73.2	1800	1974	13.55%	24.22%	62.22%	-1.21	+3.0	19
2021-10-16	Livingston	L 0-3	59.4	1710	1656	49.01%	28.13%	22.86%	+0.55	-35.9	9
2021-10-16	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-0	59.4	1656	1710	22.86%	28.13%	49.01%	-0.55	+35.9	7
2021-10-16	St. Mirren	L 2-3	69.6	1617	1691	31.63%	29.23%	39.14%	-0.15	-8.4	3
2021-10-16	@ Ross County	W 3-2	69.6	1691	1617	39.14%	29.23%	31.63%	+0.15	+8.4	13
2021-10-23	Dundee	D 1-1	72.6	1803	1616	63.49%	23.69%	12.82%	+1.28	-3.1	20
2021-10-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.6	1616	1803	12.82%	23.69%	63.49%	-1.28	+3.1	7
2021-10-23	Hibernian	W 1-0	61.4	1700	1759	33.70%	29.30%	37.00%	-0.06	+10.5	11
2021-10-23	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	61.4	1759	1700	37.00%	29.30%	33.70%	+0.06	-10.5	15
2021-10-23	Livingston	L 2-3	69.1	1609	1692	30.49%	29.17%	40.34%	-0.19	-8.2	3
2021-10-23	@ Ross County	W 3-2	69.1	1692	1609	40.34%	29.17%	30.49%	+0.19	+8.2	10
2021-10-23	Motherwell	W 2-1	64.0	1729	1708	44.75%	28.78%	26.48%	+0.37	+7.8	20
2021-10-23	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	64.0	1708	1729	26.48%	28.78%	44.75%	-0.37	-7.8	14
2021-10-23	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	47.9	1929	1674	69.62%	20.73%	9.64%	+1.65	+5.7	19
2021-10-23	@ Celtic	L 0-2	47.9	1674	1929	9.64%	20.73%	69.62%	-1.65	-5.7	9
2021-10-24	Rangers	L 1-2	59.3	1700	1971	13.41%	24.12%	62.47%	-1.22	-4.2	13
2021-10-24	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	59.3	1971	1700	62.47%	24.12%	13.41%	+1.22	+4.2	23
2021-10-27	Aberdeen	D 2-2	80.3	1976	1711	70.45%	20.29%	9.25%	+1.70	-2.8	24
2021-10-27	@ Rangers	D 2-2	80.3	1711	1976	9.25%	20.29%	70.45%	-1.70	+2.8	12
2021-10-27	Celtic	L 1-3	58.9	1749	1935	19.42%	27.17%	53.41%	-0.75	-10.3	15
2021-10-27	@ Hibernian	W 3-1	58.9	1935	1749	53.41%	27.17%	19.42%	+0.75	+10.3	22
2021-10-27	Dundee United	D 1-1	71.0	1700	1736	36.91%	29.30%	33.79%	+0.06	-0.2	11
2021-10-27	@ Livingston	D 1-1	71.0	1736	1700	33.79%	29.30%	36.91%	-0.06	+0.2	21
2021-10-27	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.4	1668	1800	24.65%	28.49%	46.86%	-0.46	+1.3	10
2021-10-27	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	71.4	1800	1668	46.86%	28.49%	24.65%	+0.46	-1.3	21
2021-10-27	Ross County	L 0-5	56.8	1619	1600	44.49%	28.81%	26.71%	+0.36	-53.4	7
2021-10-27	@ Dundee	W 5-0	56.8	1600	1619	26.71%	28.81%	44.49%	-0.36	+53.4	6
2021-10-27	St. Mirren	D 2-2	76.8	1700	1696	42.64%	28.99%	28.36%	+0.28	-0.6	15
2021-10-27	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	76.8	1696	1700	28.36%	28.99%	42.64%	-0.28	+0.6	14
2021-10-30	Dundee	L 0-1	64.8	1696	1566	57.77%	25.88%	16.34%	+0.97	-15.0	14
2021-10-30	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	64.8	1566	1696	16.34%	25.88%	57.77%	-0.97	+15.0	10
2021-10-30	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	68.7	1713	1799	30.17%	29.15%	40.68%	-0.21	+10.6	15
2021-10-30	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	68.7	1799	1713	40.68%	29.15%	30.17%	+0.21	-10.6	21
2021-10-30	Livingston	D 0-0	68.9	1945	1700	68.80%	21.16%	10.04%	+1.59	-4.0	23
2021-10-30	@ Celtic	D 0-0	68.9	1700	1945	10.04%	21.16%	68.80%	-1.59	+4.0	12
2021-10-30	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	64.7	1736	1669	50.60%	27.82%	21.58%	+0.62	-13.4	21
2021-10-30	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	64.7	1669	1736	21.58%	27.82%	50.60%	-0.62	+13.4	13
2021-10-31	Rangers	L 1-6	51.4	1700	1973	13.33%	24.07%	62.60%	-1.23	-16.0	15
2021-10-31	@ Motherwell	W 6-1	51.4	1973	1700	62.60%	24.07%	13.33%	+1.23	+16.0	27
2021-11-06	Dundee United	W 5-2	59.2	1788	1723	50.37%	27.87%	21.76%	+0.61	+14.0	24
2021-11-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-5	59.2	1723	1788	21.76%	27.87%	50.37%	-0.61	-14.0	21
2021-11-06	Motherwell	L 0-2	60.9	1724	1684	47.31%	28.42%	24.27%	+0.48	-24.0	15
2021-11-06	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	60.9	1684	1724	24.27%	28.42%	47.31%	-0.48	+24.0	18
2021-11-06	St. Mirren	D 0-0	65.5	1683	1681	42.23%	29.03%	28.74%	+0.27	-0.8	14
2021-11-06	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	65.5	1681	1683	28.74%	29.03%	42.23%	-0.27	+0.8	15
2021-11-07	Celtic	L 2-4	57.1	1581	1941	9.24%	20.27%	70.49%	-1.70	-4.2	10
2021-11-07	@ Dundee	W 4-2	57.1	1941	1581	70.49%	20.27%	9.24%	+1.70	+4.2	26
2021-11-07	Ross County	W 4-2	55.7	1989	1654	75.97%	17.15%	6.88%	+2.08	+3.0	30
2021-11-07	@ Rangers	L 2-4	55.7	1654	1989	6.88%	17.15%	75.97%	-2.08	-3.0	6
2021-11-20	Aberdeen	W 1-0	58.3	1709	1700	43.20%	28.94%	27.85%	+0.31	+8.5	24
2021-11-20	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	58.3	1700	1709	27.85%	28.94%	43.20%	-0.31	-8.6	15
2021-11-20	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	59.9	1708	1802	29.02%	29.06%	41.93%	-0.26	+21.8	21
2021-11-20	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	59.9	1802	1708	41.93%	29.06%	29.02%	+0.26	-21.8	24
2021-11-20	Livingston	D 1-1	70.7	1682	1704	39.02%	29.23%	31.75%	+0.14	-0.4	16
2021-11-20	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	70.7	1704	1682	31.75%	29.23%	39.02%	-0.14	+0.4	13
2021-11-24	Hibernian	W 1-0	62.1	1651	1738	29.90%	29.13%	40.97%	-0.22	+11.4	9
2021-11-24	@ Ross County	L 0-1	62.1	1738	1651	40.97%	29.13%	29.90%	+0.22	-11.4	15
2021-11-27	Dundee United	D 1-1	70.6	1662	1718	34.23%	29.31%	36.47%	-0.04	+0.1	10
2021-11-27	@ Ross County	D 1-1	70.6	1718	1662	36.47%	29.31%	34.23%	+0.04	-0.1	25
2021-11-27	Hibernian	L 1-2	66.8	1682	1727	35.71%	29.31%	34.98%	+0.01	-9.7	14
2021-11-27	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	66.8	1727	1682	34.98%	29.31%	35.71%	-0.01	+9.7	18
2021-11-27	Motherwell	W 3-0	58.9	1576	1730	22.45%	28.04%	49.51%	-0.57	+36.2	13
2021-11-27	@ Dundee	L 0-3	58.9	1730	1576	49.51%	28.04%	22.45%	+0.57	-36.2	21
2021-11-27	St. Mirren	W 2-0	52.2	1780	1682	54.30%	26.94%	18.77%	+0.80	+11.6	27
2021-11-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	52.2	1682	1780	18.77%	26.94%	54.30%	-0.80	-11.6	16
2021-11-28	Aberdeen	W 2-1	57.1	1945	1692	69.50%	20.80%	9.70%	+1.64	+2.9	29
2021-11-28	@ Celtic	L 1-2	57.1	1692	1945	9.70%	20.80%	69.50%	-1.64	-2.9	15
2021-11-28	Rangers	L 1-3	55.7	1704	1992	12.53%	23.46%	64.00%	-1.31	-6.7	13
2021-11-28	@ Livingston	W 3-1	55.7	1992	1704	64.00%	23.46%	12.53%	+1.31	+6.7	33
2021-11-30	Dundee United	W 1-0	59.6	1693	1717	38.67%	29.25%	32.08%	+0.13	+9.5	24
2021-11-30	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	59.6	1717	1693	32.08%	29.25%	38.67%	-0.13	-9.5	25
2021-12-01	Livingston	W 2-0	55.8	1689	1697	40.83%	29.14%	30.04%	+0.21	+17.1	18
2021-12-01	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	55.8	1697	1689	30.04%	29.14%	40.83%	-0.21	-17.1	13
2021-12-01	Rangers	L 0-1	53.6	1737	1998	13.99%	24.52%	61.48%	-1.17	-4.6	18
2021-12-01	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	53.6	1998	1737	61.48%	24.52%	13.99%	+1.17	+4.6	36
2021-12-01	Ross County	D 0-0	65.2	1670	1662	43.04%	28.96%	28.01%	+0.30	-0.9	17
2021-12-01	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	65.2	1662	1670	28.01%	28.96%	43.04%	-0.30	+0.9	11
2021-12-01	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	59.9	1613	1672	33.61%	29.29%	37.10%	-0.07	+10.6	16
2021-12-01	@ Dundee	L 0-1	59.9	1672	1613	37.10%	29.29%	33.61%	+0.07	-10.6	14
2021-12-02	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	53.9	1948	1792	60.43%	24.94%	14.64%	+1.11	+4.8	32
2021-12-02	@ Celtic	L 0-1	53.9	1792	1948	14.64%	24.94%	60.43%	-1.11	-4.8	27
2021-12-04	Dundee	W 3-0	43.5	2003	1623	79.14%	15.20%	5.66%	+2.33	+4.4	39
2021-12-04	@ Rangers	L 0-3	43.5	1623	2003	5.66%	15.20%	79.14%	-2.33	-4.4	16
2021-12-04	Motherwell	D 1-1	71.2	1732	1703	45.87%	28.63%	25.49%	+0.42	-1.1	19
2021-12-04	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	71.2	1703	1732	25.49%	28.63%	45.87%	-0.42	+1.1	25
2021-12-04	St. Mirren	W 4-1	57.3	1706	1669	46.84%	28.50%	24.67%	+0.46	+17.9	21
2021-12-04	@ Aberdeen	L 1-4	57.3	1669	1706	24.67%	28.50%	46.84%	-0.46	-17.9	17
2021-12-05	Celtic	L 0-3	49.4	1708	1953	15.03%	25.17%	59.79%	-1.07	-13.6	25
2021-12-05	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	49.4	1953	1708	59.79%	25.17%	15.03%	+1.07	+13.6	35
2021-12-05	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	58.5	1680	1787	27.50%	28.90%	43.60%	-0.32	-8.5	13
2021-12-05	@ Livingston	W 1-0	58.5	1787	1680	43.60%	28.90%	27.50%	+0.32	+8.5	30
2021-12-08	Hibernian	W 1-0	61.1	1672	1731	33.70%	29.30%	37.01%	-0.06	+10.5	16
2021-12-08	@ Livingston	L 0-1	61.1	1731	1672	37.01%	29.30%	33.70%	+0.06	-10.5	19
2021-12-11	Aberdeen	L 0-1	59.8	1662	1724	33.30%	29.29%	37.41%	-0.08	-9.8	14
2021-12-11	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	59.8	1724	1662	37.41%	29.29%	33.30%	+0.08	+9.8	24
2021-12-11	Dundee	W 3-2	66.6	1663	1619	47.83%	28.34%	23.83%	+0.50	+6.8	14
2021-12-11	@ Ross County	L 2-3	66.6	1619	1663	23.83%	28.34%	47.83%	-0.50	-6.8	16
2021-12-11	Hibernian	D 1-1	70.6	1651	1720	32.31%	29.26%	38.44%	-0.12	+0.3	18
2021-12-11	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	70.6	1720	1651	38.44%	29.26%	32.31%	+0.12	-0.3	20
2021-12-11	Livingston	L 0-1	62.8	1694	1682	43.63%	28.90%	27.47%	+0.32	-11.9	25
2021-12-11	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	62.8	1682	1694	27.47%	28.90%	43.63%	-0.32	+11.9	19
2021-12-12	Motherwell	W 1-0	50.9	1967	1704	70.25%	20.40%	9.35%	+1.69	+2.9	38
2021-12-12	@ Celtic	L 0-1	50.9	1704	1967	9.35%	20.40%	70.25%	-1.69	-2.9	25
2021-12-12	Rangers	L 0-2	52.1	1796	2007	17.35%	26.36%	56.29%	-0.89	-10.8	30
2021-12-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	52.1	2007	1796	56.29%	26.36%	17.35%	+0.89	+10.8	42
2021-12-14	Dundee	W 1-0	54.0	1720	1612	55.34%	26.64%	18.02%	+0.85	+5.9	23
2021-12-14	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	54.0	1612	1720	18.02%	26.64%	55.34%	-0.85	-5.9	16
2021-12-15	Celtic	L 1-2	58.4	1670	1969	11.93%	22.97%	65.10%	-1.37	-3.6	14
2021-12-15	@ Ross County	W 2-1	58.4	1969	1670	65.10%	22.97%	11.93%	+1.37	+3.6	41
2021-12-15	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	45.5	2018	1652	78.20%	15.79%	6.01%	+2.25	+3.2	45
2021-12-15	@ Rangers	L 0-2	45.5	1652	2018	6.01%	15.79%	78.20%	-2.25	-3.2	14
2021-12-18	Dundee United	W 1-0	49.1	2021	1682	76.26%	16.97%	6.77%	+2.10	+2.0	48
2021-12-18	@ Rangers	L 0-1	49.1	1682	2021	6.77%	16.97%	76.26%	-2.10	-2.0	25
2021-12-18	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	55.3	1606	1785	20.05%	27.38%	52.57%	-0.71	-6.5	16
2021-12-18	@ Dundee	W 1-0	55.3	1785	1606	52.57%	27.38%	20.05%	+0.71	+6.5	33
2021-12-18	Ross County	D 1-1	70.6	1694	1666	45.70%	28.66%	25.64%	+0.41	-1.1	20
2021-12-18	@ Livingston	D 1-1	70.6	1666	1694	25.64%	28.66%	45.70%	-0.41	+1.1	15
2021-12-18	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	53.1	1701	1649	48.80%	28.17%	23.03%	+0.54	+13.9	28
2021-12-18	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	53.1	1649	1701	23.03%	28.17%	48.80%	-0.54	-13.8	14
2021-12-22	Aberdeen	W 1-0	59.2	1726	1734	40.98%	29.13%	29.90%	+0.22	+9.0	26
2021-12-22	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	59.2	1734	1726	29.90%	29.13%	40.98%	-0.22	-9.0	24
2021-12-22	Celtic	D 0-0	68.7	1651	1973	10.87%	22.00%	67.13%	-1.49	+3.9	19
2021-12-22	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	68.7	1973	1651	67.13%	22.00%	10.87%	+1.49	-3.9	42
2021-12-22	Ross County	L 1-2	66.3	1635	1668	37.47%	29.29%	33.24%	+0.08	-10.0	14
2021-12-22	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	66.3	1668	1635	33.24%	29.29%	37.47%	-0.08	+10.0	18
2021-12-26	Celtic	L 1-3	54.1	1625	1969	9.88%	20.99%	69.12%	-1.62	-5.1	14
2021-12-26	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-1	54.1	1969	1625	69.12%	20.99%	9.88%	+1.62	+5.1	45
2021-12-26	Dundee	W 2-1	59.4	1724	1600	57.17%	26.08%	16.74%	+0.94	+5.2	27
2021-12-26	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	59.4	1600	1724	16.74%	26.08%	57.17%	-0.94	-5.2	16
2021-12-26	Hibernian	L 1-3	63.3	1680	1735	34.35%	29.31%	36.35%	-0.04	-16.3	25
2021-12-26	@ Dundee United	W 3-1	63.3	1735	1680	36.35%	29.31%	34.35%	+0.04	+16.3	29
2021-12-26	Livingston	W 2-1	63.8	1715	1693	44.91%	28.76%	26.33%	+0.38	+7.7	31
2021-12-26	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	63.8	1693	1715	26.33%	28.76%	44.91%	-0.38	-7.7	20
2021-12-26	Ross County	W 2-1	60.8	1791	1678	55.97%	26.46%	17.57%	+0.88	+5.4	36
2021-12-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	60.8	1678	1791	17.57%	26.46%	55.97%	-0.88	-5.5	18
2021-12-26	St. Mirren	W 2-0	45.4	2023	1655	78.33%	15.71%	5.96%	+2.26	+3.2	51
2021-12-26	@ Rangers	L 0-2	45.4	1655	2023	5.96%	15.71%	78.33%	-2.26	-3.2	19
2022-01-17	Hibernian	W 2-0	48.9	1974	1751	66.81%	22.16%	11.03%	+1.47	+6.7	48
2022-01-17	@ Celtic	L 0-2	48.9	1751	1974	11.03%	22.16%	66.81%	-1.47	-6.7	29
2022-01-18	Dundee	W 2-0	50.8	1685	1594	53.42%	27.17%	19.41%	+0.75	+11.9	23
2022-01-18	@ Livingston	L 0-2	50.8	1594	1685	19.41%	27.17%	53.42%	-0.75	-11.9	16
2022-01-18	Motherwell	W 3-1	63.6	1672	1723	34.91%	29.31%	35.78%	-0.02	+16.8	21
2022-01-18	@ Ross County	L 1-3	63.6	1723	1672	35.78%	29.31%	34.91%	+0.02	-16.8	31
2022-01-18	Rangers	D 1-1	73.5	1730	2027	12.05%	23.07%	64.87%	-1.36	+3.2	28
2022-01-18	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.5	2027	1730	64.87%	23.07%	12.05%	+1.36	-3.2	52
2022-01-18	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	49.5	1797	1620	62.50%	24.11%	13.39%	+1.22	+8.3	39
2022-01-18	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	49.5	1620	1797	13.39%	24.11%	62.50%	-1.22	-8.3	14
2022-01-18	St. Mirren	L 1-2	68.2	1664	1652	43.63%	28.90%	27.47%	+0.32	-11.2	25
2022-01-18	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	68.2	1652	1664	27.47%	28.90%	43.63%	-0.32	+11.2	22
2022-01-25	Aberdeen	W 1-0	61.5	1663	1733	32.27%	29.26%	38.48%	-0.12	+10.9	25
2022-01-25	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	61.5	1733	1663	38.48%	29.26%	32.27%	+0.12	-10.8	28
2022-01-26	Celtic	L 1-2	62.4	1805	1981	20.31%	27.46%	52.24%	-0.70	-6.2	39
2022-01-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	62.4	1981	1805	52.24%	27.46%	20.31%	+0.70	+6.2	51
2022-01-26	Dundee	D 0-0	63.1	1611	1582	45.86%	28.63%	25.51%	+0.42	-1.3	15
2022-01-26	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	63.1	1582	1611	25.51%	28.63%	45.86%	-0.42	+1.3	17
2022-01-26	Hibernian	D 0-0	66.0	1706	1745	36.60%	29.30%	34.10%	+0.05	-0.1	32
2022-01-26	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	66.0	1745	1706	34.10%	29.30%	36.60%	-0.05	+0.2	30
2022-01-26	Livingston	W 1-0	49.4	2023	1697	75.31%	17.54%	7.15%	+2.03	+2.1	55
2022-01-26	@ Rangers	L 0-1	49.4	1697	2023	7.15%	17.54%	75.31%	-2.03	-2.1	23
2022-01-26	Ross County	W 2-1	65.6	1653	1689	37.00%	29.30%	33.70%	+0.06	+9.3	28
2022-01-26	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	65.6	1689	1653	33.70%	29.30%	37.00%	-0.06	-9.3	21
2022-01-29	Dundee United	W 1-0	49.4	1987	1662	75.23%	17.59%	7.18%	+2.03	+2.1	54
2022-01-29	@ Celtic	L 0-1	49.4	1662	1987	7.18%	17.59%	75.23%	-2.03	-2.1	28
2022-01-29	Livingston	L 2-3	75.4	1745	1695	48.46%	28.23%	23.31%	+0.53	-11.6	30
2022-01-29	@ Hibernian	W 3-2	75.4	1695	1745	23.31%	28.23%	48.46%	-0.53	+11.6	26
2022-01-29	Motherwell	W 2-0	52.5	1799	1706	53.66%	27.11%	19.24%	+0.77	+11.8	42
2022-01-29	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	52.5	1706	1799	19.24%	27.11%	53.66%	-0.77	-11.8	32
2022-01-29	Rangers	D 3-3	83.7	1680	2026	9.82%	20.92%	69.26%	-1.62	+2.3	22
2022-01-29	@ Ross County	D 3-3	83.7	2026	1680	69.26%	20.92%	9.82%	+1.62	-2.3	56
2022-02-01	Aberdeen	D 1-1	70.8	1682	1722	36.39%	29.31%	34.30%	+0.04	-0.1	23
2022-02-01	@ Ross County	D 1-1	70.8	1722	1682	34.30%	29.31%	36.39%	-0.04	+0.1	29
2022-02-01	Dundee United	D 0-0	63.9	1584	1660	31.34%	29.21%	39.44%	-0.16	+0.5	18
2022-02-01	@ Dundee	D 0-0	63.9	1660	1584	39.44%	29.21%	31.34%	+0.16	-0.5	29
2022-02-01	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	66.3	1733	1811	31.20%	29.21%	39.60%	-0.16	+0.5	31
2022-02-01	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	66.3	1811	1733	39.60%	29.21%	31.20%	+0.16	-0.5	43
2022-02-01	Motherwell	D 1-1	70.5	1674	1694	39.30%	29.22%	31.48%	+0.15	-0.4	26
2022-02-01	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	70.5	1694	1674	31.48%	29.22%	39.30%	-0.15	+0.4	33
2022-02-01	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	70.8	1707	1610	54.05%	27.00%	18.95%	+0.78	-13.4	26
2022-02-01	@ Livingston	W 2-1	70.8	1610	1707	18.95%	27.00%	54.05%	-0.78	+13.4	18
2022-02-02	Rangers	W 3-0	56.3	1989	2023	37.30%	29.29%	33.41%	+0.07	+26.8	57
2022-02-02	@ Celtic	L 0-3	56.3	2023	1989	33.41%	29.29%	37.30%	-0.07	-26.8	56
2022-02-05	Aberdeen	W 2-1	65.9	1693	1722	38.02%	29.27%	32.71%	+0.10	+9.1	29
2022-02-05	@ Livingston	L 1-2	65.9	1722	1693	32.71%	29.27%	38.02%	-0.10	-9.1	29
2022-02-05	Dundee United	D 0-0	64.5	1624	1660	36.99%	29.30%	33.71%	+0.06	-0.2	19
2022-02-05	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	64.5	1660	1624	33.71%	29.30%	36.99%	-0.06	+0.2	30
2022-02-05	Ross County	L 1-2	63.0	1584	1682	28.63%	29.02%	42.35%	-0.27	-8.2	18
2022-02-05	@ Dundee	W 2-1	63.0	1682	1584	42.35%	29.02%	28.63%	+0.27	+8.2	26
2022-02-05	St. Mirren	L 0-1	64.5	1734	1674	49.73%	28.00%	22.27%	+0.58	-13.2	31
2022-02-05	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	64.5	1674	1734	22.27%	28.00%	49.73%	-0.58	+13.3	29
2022-02-06	Celtic	L 0-4	47.1	1694	2016	10.86%	21.99%	67.15%	-1.49	-12.5	33
2022-02-06	@ Motherwell	W 4-0	47.1	2016	1694	67.15%	21.99%	10.86%	+1.49	+12.5	60
2022-02-06	Heart of Midlothian	W 5-0	48.9	1996	1810	63.39%	23.73%	12.88%	+1.27	+18.6	59
2022-02-06	@ Rangers	L 0-5	48.9	1810	1996	12.88%	23.73%	63.39%	-1.27	-18.6	43
2022-02-09	Celtic	L 2-3	63.1	1713	2029	11.15%	22.27%	66.58%	-1.46	-3.2	29
2022-02-09	@ Aberdeen	W 3-2	63.1	2029	1713	66.58%	22.27%	11.15%	+1.46	+3.2	63
2022-02-09	Dundee	L 1-2	73.5	1792	1576	66.15%	22.48%	11.37%	+1.43	-15.8	43
2022-02-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	73.5	1576	1792	11.37%	22.48%	66.15%	-1.43	+15.8	21
2022-02-09	Hibernian	W 2-0	47.1	2015	1720	72.87%	18.96%	8.17%	+1.86	+4.7	62
2022-02-09	@ Rangers	L 0-2	47.1	1720	2015	8.17%	18.96%	72.87%	-1.86	-4.7	31
2022-02-09	Livingston	D 1-1	70.7	1690	1703	40.29%	29.17%	30.54%	+0.19	-0.5	27
2022-02-09	@ Ross County	D 1-1	70.7	1703	1690	30.54%	29.17%	40.29%	-0.19	+0.5	30
2022-02-09	Motherwell	W 2-0	55.9	1660	1682	38.97%	29.24%	31.80%	+0.14	+17.8	33
2022-02-09	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	55.9	1682	1660	31.80%	29.24%	38.97%	-0.14	-17.8	33
2022-02-09	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	61.3	1687	1623	50.18%	27.91%	21.91%	+0.61	+6.6	32
2022-02-09	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	61.3	1623	1687	21.91%	27.91%	50.18%	-0.61	-6.6	19
2022-02-15	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	70.8	1710	1617	53.65%	27.11%	19.24%	+0.77	-2.0	30
2022-02-15	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	70.8	1617	1710	19.24%	27.11%	53.65%	-0.77	+2.0	20
2022-02-19	Aberdeen	D 1-1	70.5	1664	1708	35.87%	29.31%	34.82%	+0.02	-0.0	34
2022-02-19	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	70.5	1708	1664	34.82%	29.31%	35.87%	-0.02	+0.1	31
2022-02-19	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	70.5	1619	1776	22.06%	27.95%	49.99%	-0.60	+12.5	23
2022-02-19	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	70.5	1776	1619	49.99%	27.95%	22.06%	+0.60	-12.5	43
2022-02-19	Ross County	W 2-0	54.5	1716	1689	45.49%	28.68%	25.83%	+0.40	+15.2	34
2022-02-19	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	54.5	1689	1716	25.83%	28.68%	45.49%	-0.40	-15.2	27
2022-02-19	St. Mirren	D 1-1	70.8	1703	1694	43.27%	28.94%	27.80%	+0.31	-0.9	31
2022-02-19	@ Livingston	D 1-1	70.8	1694	1703	27.80%	28.94%	43.27%	-0.31	+0.9	33
2022-02-20	Dundee	W 3-2	58.1	2032	1592	82.91%	12.77%	4.32%	+2.65	+1.0	66
2022-02-20	@ Celtic	L 2-3	58.1	1592	2032	4.32%	12.77%	82.91%	-2.65	-1.0	21
2022-02-20	Rangers	D 1-1	74.1	1678	2020	9.98%	21.10%	68.93%	-1.60	+3.6	34
2022-02-20	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	74.1	2020	1678	68.93%	21.10%	9.98%	+1.60	-3.6	63
2022-02-26	Dundee United	D 1-1	70.9	1708	1681	45.55%	28.68%	25.78%	+0.40	-1.1	32
2022-02-26	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	70.9	1681	1708	25.78%	28.68%	45.55%	-0.40	+1.1	35
2022-02-26	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	56.9	1695	1763	32.37%	29.26%	38.37%	-0.12	-18.0	33
2022-02-26	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	56.9	1763	1695	38.37%	29.26%	32.37%	+0.12	+18.0	46
2022-02-26	Livingston	L 0-4	52.1	1591	1702	26.95%	28.84%	44.22%	-0.35	-29.8	21
2022-02-26	@ Dundee	W 4-0	52.1	1702	1591	44.22%	28.84%	26.95%	+0.35	+29.8	34
2022-02-26	St. Johnstone	W 3-1	58.9	1674	1631	47.63%	28.37%	24.00%	+0.49	+12.4	30
2022-02-26	@ Ross County	L 1-3	58.9	1631	1674	24.00%	28.37%	47.63%	-0.49	-12.4	23
2022-02-27	Celtic	D 0-0	68.5	1731	2033	11.80%	22.86%	65.34%	-1.38	+3.7	35
2022-02-27	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	68.5	2033	1731	65.34%	22.86%	11.80%	+1.38	-3.7	67
2022-02-27	Motherwell	D 2-2	81.4	2016	1664	77.21%	16.40%	6.39%	+2.17	-3.2	64
2022-02-27	@ Rangers	D 2-2	81.4	1664	2016	6.39%	16.40%	77.21%	-2.17	+3.2	35
2022-03-02	Aberdeen	W 2-0	53.1	1781	1707	51.49%	27.63%	20.88%	+0.66	+12.7	49
2022-03-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	53.1	1707	1781	20.88%	27.63%	51.49%	-0.66	-12.7	32
2022-03-02	Dundee United	W 2-1	62.7	1732	1682	48.47%	28.23%	23.30%	+0.53	+7.0	37
2022-03-02	@ Livingston	L 1-2	62.7	1682	1732	23.30%	28.23%	48.47%	-0.53	-7.0	35
2022-03-02	Hibernian	D 0-0	65.2	1561	1735	20.50%	27.52%	51.98%	-0.69	+2.0	22
2022-03-02	@ Dundee	D 0-0	65.2	1735	1561	51.98%	27.52%	20.50%	+0.69	-2.0	36
2022-03-02	Rangers	L 0-1	50.0	1619	2013	8.02%	18.76%	73.22%	-1.89	-2.5	23
2022-03-02	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	50.0	2013	1619	73.22%	18.76%	8.02%	+1.89	+2.4	67
2022-03-02	Ross County	L 0-1	61.4	1667	1687	39.32%	29.22%	31.46%	+0.15	-11.0	35
2022-03-02	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	61.4	1687	1667	31.46%	29.22%	39.32%	-0.15	+11.0	33
2022-03-02	St. Mirren	W 2-0	45.8	2029	1676	77.26%	16.37%	6.37%	+2.18	+3.5	70
2022-03-02	@ Celtic	L 0-2	45.8	1676	2029	6.37%	16.37%	77.26%	-2.18	-3.5	33
2022-03-05	Aberdeen	W 1-0	49.5	2015	1694	74.94%	17.76%	7.30%	+2.01	+2.2	70
2022-03-05	@ Rangers	L 0-1	49.5	1694	2015	7.30%	17.76%	74.94%	-2.01	-2.2	32
2022-03-05	Dundee	D 1-1	69.1	1656	1563	53.67%	27.10%	19.23%	+0.77	-2.0	36
2022-03-05	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	69.1	1563	1656	19.23%	27.10%	53.67%	-0.77	+2.0	23
2022-03-05	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	77.3	1675	1794	26.12%	28.73%	45.16%	-0.39	+0.8	36
2022-03-05	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	77.3	1794	1675	45.16%	28.73%	26.12%	+0.39	-0.8	50
2022-03-05	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	66.2	1733	1616	56.21%	26.38%	17.40%	+0.89	-2.6	37
2022-03-05	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	66.2	1616	1733	17.40%	26.38%	56.21%	-0.89	+2.6	24
2022-03-05	St. Mirren	W 1-0	57.4	1698	1673	45.29%	28.71%	26.00%	+0.39	+8.1	36
2022-03-05	@ Ross County	L 0-1	57.4	1673	1698	26.00%	28.71%	45.29%	-0.39	-8.1	33
2022-03-06	Celtic	L 1-3	55.6	1739	2033	12.22%	23.21%	64.57%	-1.34	-6.5	37
2022-03-06	@ Livingston	W 3-1	55.6	2033	1739	64.57%	23.21%	12.22%	+1.34	+6.5	73
2022-03-09	St. Mirren	L 0-1	56.3	1565	1665	28.34%	28.99%	42.67%	-0.29	-8.7	23
2022-03-09	@ Dundee	W 1-0	56.3	1665	1565	42.67%	28.99%	28.34%	+0.29	+8.7	36
2022-03-19	Dundee United	L 1-2	68.0	1674	1676	41.65%	29.08%	29.27%	+0.24	-10.8	36
2022-03-19	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	68.0	1676	1674	29.27%	29.08%	41.65%	-0.24	+10.8	39
2022-03-19	Hibernian	W 3-1	63.2	1692	1730	36.70%	29.30%	34.00%	+0.05	+16.2	35
2022-03-19	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	63.2	1730	1692	34.00%	29.30%	36.70%	-0.05	-16.2	37
2022-03-19	Livingston	W 2-0	53.7	1793	1733	49.84%	27.98%	22.18%	+0.59	+13.4	53
2022-03-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	53.7	1733	1793	22.18%	27.98%	49.84%	-0.59	-13.4	37
2022-03-19	Motherwell	W 2-1	64.7	1619	1654	37.13%	29.29%	33.58%	+0.07	+9.3	27
2022-03-19	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	64.7	1654	1619	33.58%	29.29%	37.13%	-0.07	-9.3	36
2022-03-19	Ross County	W 4-0	44.6	2039	1706	75.86%	17.22%	6.93%	+2.07	+7.3	76
2022-03-19	@ Celtic	L 0-4	44.6	1706	2039	6.93%	17.22%	75.86%	-2.07	-7.3	36
2022-03-20	Rangers	L 1-2	54.4	1556	2017	6.01%	15.79%	78.20%	-2.25	-1.6	23
2022-03-20	@ Dundee	W 2-1	54.4	2017	1556	78.20%	15.79%	6.01%	+2.25	+1.6	73
2022-04-02	Aberdeen	D 2-2	75.6	1555	1708	22.42%	28.03%	49.55%	-0.58	+1.2	24
2022-04-02	@ Dundee	D 2-2	75.6	1708	1555	49.55%	28.03%	22.42%	+0.58	-1.2	36
2022-04-02	Dundee United	D 1-1	70.9	1714	1687	45.56%	28.67%	25.77%	+0.40	-1.1	38
2022-04-02	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	70.9	1687	1714	25.77%	28.67%	45.56%	-0.40	+1.1	40
2022-04-02	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.4	1698	1807	27.34%	28.88%	43.78%	-0.33	+0.9	37
2022-04-02	@ Ross County	D 1-1	71.4	1807	1698	43.78%	28.88%	27.34%	+0.33	-0.9	54
2022-04-02	Livingston	W 1-0	61.9	1628	1719	29.48%	29.09%	41.42%	-0.24	+11.5	30
2022-04-02	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	61.9	1719	1628	41.42%	29.09%	29.48%	+0.24	-11.5	37
2022-04-02	St. Mirren	W 4-2	64.9	1645	1663	39.55%	29.21%	31.24%	+0.16	+13.6	39
2022-04-02	@ Motherwell	L 2-4	64.9	1663	1645	31.24%	29.21%	39.55%	-0.16	-13.6	36
2022-04-03	Celtic	L 1-2	68.4	2019	2047	38.21%	29.27%	32.53%	+0.11	-10.2	73
2022-04-03	@ Rangers	W 2-1	68.4	2047	2019	32.53%	29.27%	38.21%	-0.11	+10.2	79
2022-04-09	Dundee	D 2-2	76.0	1688	1556	57.96%	25.82%	16.22%	+0.98	-1.9	41
2022-04-09	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	76.0	1556	1688	16.22%	25.82%	57.96%	-0.98	+1.9	25
2022-04-09	Hibernian	W 3-1	58.5	1806	1713	53.66%	27.11%	19.24%	+0.77	+10.2	57
2022-04-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	58.5	1713	1806	19.24%	27.11%	53.66%	-0.77	-10.2	38
2022-04-09	Motherwell	D 2-2	76.8	1708	1658	48.41%	28.24%	23.35%	+0.53	-1.1	38
2022-04-09	@ Livingston	D 2-2	76.8	1658	1708	23.35%	28.24%	48.41%	-0.53	+1.1	40
2022-04-09	Ross County	L 0-1	62.8	1707	1699	43.02%	28.96%	28.02%	+0.30	-11.8	36
2022-04-09	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	62.8	1699	1707	28.02%	28.96%	43.02%	-0.30	+11.8	40
2022-04-09	St. Johnstone	W 7-0	44.6	2057	1640	81.52%	13.68%	4.80%	+2.53	+8.0	82
2022-04-09	@ Celtic	L 0-7	44.6	1640	2057	4.80%	13.68%	81.52%	-2.53	-8.0	30
2022-04-10	Rangers	L 0-4	46.1	1649	2009	9.26%	20.30%	70.44%	-1.70	-10.4	36
2022-04-10	@ St. Mirren	W 4-0	46.1	2009	1649	70.44%	20.30%	9.26%	+1.70	+10.4	76

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2022-04-23	Hibernian	L 0-1	59.4	1639	1702	33.07%	29.28%	37.65%	-0.09	-9.7	0
2022-04-23	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	59.4	1702	1639	37.65%	29.28%	33.07%	+0.09	+9.7	3
2022-04-23	Livingston	L 1-2	68.1	1695	1707	40.44%	29.16%	30.40%	+0.20	-10.6	0
2022-04-23	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	68.1	1707	1695	30.40%	29.16%	40.44%	-0.20	+10.6	3
2022-04-23	Rangers	L 1-3	53.8	1660	2019	9.26%	20.30%	70.43%	-1.70	-4.7	0
2022-04-23	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	53.8	2019	1660	70.43%	20.30%	9.26%	+1.70	+4.7	3
2022-04-23	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	67.8	1558	1632	31.64%	29.23%	39.13%	-0.15	+0.4	1
2022-04-23	@ Dundee	D 1-1	67.8	1632	1558	39.13%	29.23%	31.64%	+0.15	-0.4	1
2022-04-24	Celtic	L 0-2	48.0	1711	2065	9.51%	20.58%	69.91%	-1.67	-5.6	0
2022-04-24	@ Ross County	W 2-0	48.0	2065	1711	69.91%	20.58%	9.51%	+1.67	+5.6	3
2022-04-24	Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	68.7	1686	1816	24.88%	28.53%	46.59%	-0.45	-7.0	0
2022-04-24	@ Dundee United	W 3-2	68.7	1816	1686	46.59%	28.53%	24.88%	+0.45	+7.0	3
2022-04-30	Dundee	W 1-0	52.1	1685	1558	57.34%	26.03%	16.63%	+0.95	+5.5	3
2022-04-30	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	52.1	1558	1685	16.63%	26.03%	57.34%	-0.95	-5.5	1
2022-04-30	Hibernian	W 1-0	58.5	1717	1712	42.69%	28.99%	28.32%	+0.29	+8.7	6
2022-04-30	@ Livingston	L 0-1	58.5	1712	1717	28.32%	28.99%	42.69%	-0.29	-8.7	3
2022-04-30	Motherwell	W 1-0	57.0	1679	1655	45.26%	28.71%	26.03%	+0.39	+8.1	3
2022-04-30	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	57.0	1655	1679	26.03%	28.71%	45.26%	-0.39	-8.1	0
2022-04-30	Ross County	D 0-0	67.2	1823	1706	56.37%	26.33%	17.29%	+0.90	-2.6	4
2022-04-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	67.2	1706	1823	17.29%	26.33%	56.37%	-0.90	+2.6	1
2022-04-30	St. Mirren	L 0-1	61.0	1631	1629	42.33%	29.02%	28.65%	+0.27	-11.7	1
2022-04-30	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	61.0	1629	1631	28.65%	29.02%	42.33%	-0.27	+11.7	3
2022-05-01	Rangers	D 1-1	72.0	2070	2024	48.05%	28.30%	23.65%	+0.51	-1.4	4
2022-05-01	@ Celtic	D 1-1	72.0	2024	2070	23.65%	28.30%	48.05%	-0.51	+1.4	4
2022-05-07	Aberdeen	D 1-1	70.8	1703	1690	43.81%	28.88%	27.31%	+0.33	-0.9	4
2022-05-07	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	70.8	1690	1703	27.31%	28.88%	43.81%	-0.33	+0.9	4
2022-05-07	Dundee	W 2-0	49.3	1641	1553	53.07%	27.26%	19.67%	+0.74	+12.1	6
2022-05-07	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	49.3	1553	1641	19.67%	27.26%	53.07%	-0.74	-12.1	1
2022-05-07	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-1	51.7	2069	1820	69.05%	21.03%	9.92%	+1.61	+7.2	7
2022-05-07	@ Celtic	L 1-4	51.7	1820	2069	9.92%	21.03%	69.05%	-1.61	-7.2	4
2022-05-07	Motherwell	L 0-1	64.2	1708	1647	49.92%	27.96%	22.12%	+0.59	-13.3	1
2022-05-07	@ Ross County	W 1-0	64.2	1647	1708	22.12%	27.96%	49.92%	-0.59	+13.3	3
2022-05-07	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	71.1	1726	1620	55.11%	26.71%	18.18%	+0.84	-2.2	7
2022-05-07	@ Livingston	D 1-1	71.1	1620	1726	18.18%	26.71%	55.11%	-0.84	+2.2	2
2022-05-08	Dundee United	W 2-0	46.1	2025	1687	76.20%	17.01%	6.79%	+2.10	+3.8	7
2022-05-08	@ Rangers	L 0-2	46.1	1687	2025	6.79%	17.01%	76.20%	-2.10	-3.8	3
2022-05-10	Hibernian	W 3-1	65.8	1540	1703	21.58%	27.82%	50.59%	-0.62	+22.0	4
2022-05-10	@ Dundee	L 1-3	65.8	1703	1540	50.59%	27.82%	21.58%	+0.62	-22.0	4
2022-05-11	Aberdeen	W 1-0	60.7	1622	1691	32.34%	29.26%	38.40%	-0.12	+10.8	5
2022-05-11	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	60.7	1691	1622	38.40%	29.26%	32.34%	+0.12	-10.8	4
2022-05-11	Celtic	D 1-1	74.8	1684	2076	8.07%	18.82%	73.11%	-1.88	+4.0	4
2022-05-11	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	74.8	2076	1684	73.11%	18.82%	8.07%	+1.88	-4.0	8
2022-05-11	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	70.8	1660	1813	22.44%	28.04%	49.52%	-0.58	+12.5	6
2022-05-11	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	70.8	1813	1660	49.52%	28.04%	22.44%	+0.58	-12.5	4
2022-05-11	Livingston	D 0-0	65.5	1653	1724	32.08%	29.25%	38.67%	-0.13	+0.4	7
2022-05-11	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	65.5	1724	1653	38.67%	29.25%	32.08%	+0.13	-0.4	8
2022-05-11	Ross County	W 4-1	49.6	2029	1695	75.92%	17.18%	6.90%	+2.08	+4.7	10
2022-05-11	@ Rangers	L 1-4	49.6	1695	2029	6.90%	17.18%	75.92%	-2.08	-4.7	1
2022-05-14	Dundee United	L 1-2	68.4	1690	1688	42.35%	29.02%	28.63%	+0.27	-11.0	1
2022-05-14	@ Ross County	W 2-1	68.4	1688	1690	28.63%	29.02%	42.35%	-0.27	+11.0	7
2022-05-14	Motherwell	W 6-0	44.5	2072	1672	80.44%	14.38%	5.19%	+2.43	+7.6	11
2022-05-14	@ Celtic	L 0-6	44.5	1672	2072	5.19%	14.38%	80.44%	-2.43	-7.6	6
2022-05-14	Rangers	L 1-3	57.4	1801	2034	15.82%	25.61%	58.57%	-1.01	-8.5	4
2022-05-14	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	57.4	2034	1801	58.57%	25.61%	15.82%	+1.01	+8.5	13
2022-05-15	Dundee	W 2-1	57.8	1723	1562	60.90%	24.75%	14.35%	+1.13	+4.5	11
2022-05-15	@ Livingston	L 1-2	57.8	1562	1723	14.35%	24.75%	60.90%	-1.13	-4.5	4
2022-05-15	St. Johnstone	W 4-0	51.2	1681	1633	48.24%	28.27%	23.49%	+0.52	+26.7	7
2022-05-15	@ Hibernian	L 0-4	51.2	1633	1681	23.49%	28.27%	48.24%	-0.52	-26.7	5
2022-05-15	St. Mirren	D 0-0	65.3	1680	1653	45.59%	28.67%	25.74%	+0.41	-1.2	5
2022-05-15	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	65.3	1653	1680	25.74%	28.67%	45.59%	-0.41	+1.2	8

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2021-08-07	11.36%	@ Dundee United	1659	1	Rangers	1970	0
2	2022-02-09	11.37%	Dundee	1576	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1792	1
3	2021-09-19	13.96%	@ Livingston	1669	1	Celtic	1931	0
4	2021-10-30	16.34%	Dundee	1566	1	@ St. Mirren	1696	0
5	2021-10-16	17.85%	Dundee United	1689	3	@ Hibernian	1799	0
6	2022-02-01	18.95%	St. Johnstone	1610	2	@ Livingston	1707	1
7	2021-07-31	19.84%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1729	2	Celtic	1911	1
8	2021-10-30	21.58%	St. Johnstone	1669	1	@ Dundee United	1736	0
9	2022-05-10	21.58%	@ Dundee	1540	3	Hibernian	1703	1
10	2022-02-19	22.06%	@ St. Johnstone	1619	2	Heart of Midlothian	1776	1
11	2022-05-07	22.12%	Motherwell	1647	1	@ Ross County	1708	0
12	2022-02-05	22.27%	St. Mirren	1674	1	@ Hibernian	1734	0
13	2022-05-11	22.44%	@ Motherwell	1660	2	Heart of Midlothian	1813	1
14	2021-11-27	22.45%	@ Dundee	1576	3	Motherwell	1730	0
15	2021-10-16	22.86%	Livingston	1656	3	@ St. Johnstone	1710	0
16	2022-01-29	23.31%	Livingston	1695	3	@ Hibernian	1745	2
17	2021-09-18	23.59%	St. Johnstone	1692	1	@ Aberdeen	1739	0
18	2021-11-06	24.27%	Motherwell	1684	2	@ Aberdeen	1724	0
19	2021-08-22	25.03%	Dundee United	1675	1	@ St. Johnstone	1709	0
20	2021-10-27	26.71%	Ross County	1600	5	@ Dundee	1619	0
21	2021-12-11	27.47%	Livingston	1682	1	@ Dundee United	1694	0
22	2022-01-18	27.47%	St. Mirren	1652	2	@ Dundee United	1664	1
23	2021-10-16	27.53%	@ Dundee	1605	2	Aberdeen	1711	1
24	2022-04-09	28.02%	Ross County	1699	1	@ Aberdeen	1707	0
25	2021-08-21	28.32%	Motherwell	1686	2	@ Livingston	1691	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-10-27	53.42	Ross County	5	1600	26.71%	@ Dundee	0	1619	44.49%	28.81%
2	2021-10-16	39.80	Dundee United	3	1689	17.85%	@ Hibernian	0	1799	55.57%	26.57%
3	2021-11-27	36.16	@ Dundee	3	1576	22.45%	Motherwell	0	1730	49.51%	28.04%
4	2021-10-16	35.86	Livingston	3	1656	22.86%	@ St. Johnstone	0	1710	49.01%	28.13%
5	2022-02-26	29.83	Livingston	4	1702	44.22%	@ Dundee	0	1591	26.95%	28.84%
6	2022-02-02	26.82	@ Celtic	3	1989	37.30%	Rangers	0	2023	33.41%	29.29%
7	2022-05-15	26.71	@ Hibernian	4	1681	48.24%	St. Johnstone	0	1633	23.49%	28.27%
8	2021-11-06	23.99	Motherwell	2	1684	24.27%	@ Aberdeen	0	1724	47.31%	28.42%
9	2022-05-10	21.95	@ Dundee	3	1540	21.58%	Hibernian	1	1703	50.59%	27.82%
10	2021-11-20	21.81	@ Motherwell	2	1708	29.02%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1802	41.93%	29.06%
11	2021-09-11	19.63	@ Motherwell	2	1704	34.30%	Aberdeen	0	1759	36.40%	29.31%
12	2022-02-06	18.58	@ Rangers	5	1996	63.39%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1810	12.88%	23.73%
13	2021-08-21	18.38	@ Celtic	6	1914	67.02%	St. Mirren	0	1688	10.92%	22.06%
14	2021-08-28	18.34	Heart of Midlothian	2	1752	37.64%	@ Dundee United	0	1688	33.08%	29.28%
15	2022-02-26	18.05	Heart of Midlothian	2	1763	38.37%	@ St. Mirren	0	1695	32.37%	29.26%
16	2021-12-04	17.94	@ Aberdeen	4	1706	46.84%	St. Mirren	1	1669	24.67%	28.50%
17	2021-09-25	17.84	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1769	52.58%	Livingston	0	1685	20.04%	27.38%
18	2022-02-09	17.82	@ Dundee United	2	1660	38.97%	Motherwell	0	1682	31.80%	29.24%
19	2021-12-01	17.09	@ Aberdeen	2	1689	40.83%	Livingston	0	1697	30.04%	29.14%
20	2022-01-18	16.80	@ Ross County	3	1672	34.91%	Motherwell	1	1723	35.78%	29.31%
21	2021-08-07	16.73	@ Dundee United	1	1659	11.36%	Rangers	0	1970	66.18%	22.46%
22	2021-08-08	16.38	@ Celtic	6	1897	69.12%	Dundee	0	1648	9.88%	21.00%
23	2021-12-26	16.31	Hibernian	3	1735	36.35%	@ Dundee United	1	1680	34.35%	29.31%
24	2022-03-19	16.20	@ Aberdeen	3	1692	36.70%	Hibernian	1	1730	34.00%	29.30%
25	2021-10-31	15.96	Rangers	6	1973	62.60%	@ Motherwell	1	1700	13.33%	24.07%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-01-29	83.7	@ Ross County	3	1680	9.82%	Rangers	3	2026	69.26%	20.92%
2	2022-02-27	81.4	@ Rangers	2	2016	77.21%	Motherwell	2	1664	6.39%	16.40%
3	2021-10-27	80.3	@ Rangers	2	1976	70.45%	Aberdeen	2	1711	9.25%	20.29%
4	2021-09-18	78.1	@ Hibernian	2	1799	57.71%	St. Mirren	2	1669	16.38%	25.91%
5	2021-08-22	77.3	@ Dundee	2	1632	22.10%	Hibernian	2	1789	49.95%	27.96%
6	2022-03-05	77.3	@ Dundee United	2	1675	26.12%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1794	45.16%	28.73%
7	2021-09-18	77.0	@ Ross County	2	1629	23.73%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1770	47.95%	28.32%
8	2021-10-27	76.8	@ Motherwell	2	1700	42.64%	St. Mirren	2	1696	28.36%	28.99%
9	2022-04-09	76.8	@ Livingston	2	1708	48.41%	Motherwell	2	1658	23.35%	28.24%
10	2021-07-31	76.3	@ Dundee	2	1648	34.99%	St. Mirren	2	1698	35.70%	29.31%
11	2022-04-09	76.0	@ Dundee United	2	1688	57.96%	Dundee	2	1556	16.22%	25.82%
12	2022-04-02	75.6	@ Dundee	2	1555	22.42%	Aberdeen	2	1708	49.55%	28.03%
13	2022-01-29	75.4	Livingston	3	1695	23.31%	@ Hibernian	2	1745	48.46%	28.23%
14	2022-05-11	74.8	@ Dundee United	1	1684	8.07%	Celtic	1	2076	73.11%	18.82%
15	2021-09-19	74.1	@ Rangers	1	1971	68.92%	Motherwell	1	1724	9.98%	21.10%
16	2022-02-20	74.1	@ Dundee United	1	1678	9.98%	Rangers	1	2020	68.93%	21.10%
17	2021-09-26	73.8	@ Celtic	1	1915	68.09%	Dundee United	1	1678	10.39%	21.52%
18	2022-01-18	73.5	@ Aberdeen	1	1730	12.05%	Rangers	1	2027	64.87%	23.07%
19	2022-02-09	73.5	Dundee	2	1576	11.37%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1792	66.15%	22.48%
20	2021-10-16	73.2	@ Rangers	1	1974	62.22%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1800	13.55%	24.22%
21	2021-10-23	72.6	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1803	63.49%	Dundee	1	1616	12.82%	23.69%
22	2021-07-31	72.0	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1729	19.84%	Celtic	1	1911	52.85%	27.31%
23	2022-05-01	72.0	@ Celtic	1	2070	48.05%	Rangers	1	2024	23.65%	28.30%
24	2021-09-26	71.9	@ St. Mirren	3	1671	34.18%	Aberdeen	2	1726	36.52%	29.30%
25	2021-08-29	71.7	@ Aberdeen	1	1761	57.48%	Ross County	1	1634	16.54%	25.98%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-12-04	43.5	@ Rangers	3	2003	79.14%	Dundee	0	1623	5.66%	15.20%
2	2022-05-14	44.5	@ Celtic	6	2072	80.44%	Motherwell	0	1672	5.19%	14.38%
3	2022-03-19	44.6	@ Celtic	4	2039	75.86%	Ross County	0	1706	6.93%	17.22%
4	2022-04-09	44.6	@ Celtic	7	2057	81.52%	St. Johnstone	0	1640	4.80%	13.68%
5	2021-12-26	45.4	@ Rangers	2	2023	78.33%	St. Mirren	0	1655	5.96%	15.71%
6	2021-09-11	45.5	@ Celtic	3	1924	72.35%	Ross County	0	1636	8.40%	19.25%
7	2021-12-15	45.5	@ Rangers	2	2018	78.20%	St. Johnstone	0	1652	6.01%	15.79%
8	2022-03-02	45.8	@ Celtic	2	2029	77.26%	St. Mirren	0	1676	6.37%	16.37%
9	2022-04-10	46.1	Rangers	4	2009	70.44%	@ St. Mirren	0	1649	9.26%	20.30%
10	2022-05-08	46.1	@ Rangers	2	2025	76.20%	Dundee United	0	1687	6.79%	17.01%
11	2021-07-31	46.5	@ Rangers	3	1961	69.39%	Livingston	0	1709	9.75%	20.86%
12	2022-02-06	47.1	Celtic	4	2016	67.15%	@ Motherwell	0	1694	10.86%	21.99%
13	2022-02-09	47.1	@ Rangers	2	2015	72.87%	Hibernian	0	1720	8.17%	18.96%
14	2021-08-08	47.6	@ Celtic	6	1897	69.12%	Dundee	0	1648	9.88%	21.00%
15	2021-10-23	47.9	@ Celtic	2	1929	69.62%	St. Johnstone	0	1674	9.64%	20.73%
16	2022-04-24	48.0	Celtic	2	2065	69.91%	@ Ross County	0	1711	9.51%	20.58%
17	2021-08-21	48.4	@ Celtic	6	1914	67.02%	St. Mirren	0	1688	10.92%	22.06%
18	2022-01-17	48.9	@ Celtic	2	1974	66.81%	Hibernian	0	1751	11.03%	22.16%
19	2022-02-06	48.9	@ Rangers	5	1996	63.39%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1810	12.88%	23.73%
20	2021-12-18	49.1	@ Rangers	1	2021	76.26%	Dundee United	0	1682	6.77%	16.97%
21	2022-05-07	49.3	@ St. Mirren	2	1641	53.07%	Dundee	0	1553	19.67%	27.26%
22	2021-12-05	49.4	Celtic	3	1953	59.79%	@ Dundee United	0	1708	15.03%	25.17%
23	2022-01-26	49.4	@ Rangers	1	2023	75.31%	Livingston	0	1697	7.15%	17.54%
24	2022-01-29	49.4	@ Celtic	1	1987	75.23%	Dundee United	0	1662	7.18%	17.59%
25	2022-01-18	49.5	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1797	62.50%	St. Johnstone	0	1620	13.39%	24.11%