2022-23 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

99 points · 53rd Title

Last Title: 2021-22

Relegated

Dundee United

31 pts

Biggest Overachiever

St. Johnstone

3.83 points above expected

43 points · 39.17 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celtic

4.59 points below expected

99 points · 103.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	30	2	1	92	103	25	+78	78.35	+13.65
2	Rangers	33	25	4	4	79	81	34	+47	71.73	+7.27
3	Aberdeen	33	17	2	14	53	52	52	0	43.49	+9.51
4	Heart of Midlothian	33	14	6	13	48	56	49	+7	51.64	-3.64
5	Hibernian	33	13	5	15	44	49	52	-3	43.44	+0.56
6	St. Mirren	33	12	8	13	44	38	49	-11	40.74	+3.26
7	Livingston	33	12	6	15	42	33	52	-19	43.14	-1.14
8	Motherwell	33	10	7	16	37	44	48	-4	40.27	-3.27
9	St. Johnstone	33	9	6	18	33	34	54	-20	35.95	-2.95
10	Dundee United	33	8	7	18	31	36	58	-22	37.44	-6.44
11	Kilmarnock	33	8	7	18	31	29	58	-29	36.86	-5.86
12	Ross County	33	7	6	20	27	28	52	-24	36.49	-9.49

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	38	32	3	3	99	114	34	+80	103.59	-4.59
2	Rangers	38	29	5	4	92	93	37	+56	89.26	+2.74
3	Aberdeen	38	18	3	17	57	56	60	-4	58.39	-1.39
4	Heart of Midlothian	38	15	9	14	54	63	57	+6	53.67	+0.33
5	Hibernian	38	15	7	16	52	57	59	-2	49.16	+2.84
6	St. Mirren	38	12	10	16	46	43	61	-18	48.47	-2.47
7	Motherwell	38	14	8	16	50	53	51	+2	50.30	-0.30
8	Livingston	38	13	7	18	46	36	60	-24	44.37	+1.63
9	St. Johnstone	38	12	7	19	43	41	59	-18	39.17	+3.83
10	Kilmarnock	38	11	7	20	40	37	62	-25	37.71	+2.29
11	Ross County	38	9	7	22	34	37	60	-23	37.49	-3.49
12	Dundee United Relegated	38	8	7	23	31	40	70	-30	34.17	-3.17

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	St. Johnstone	43	39.17	+3.83
2	Hibernian	52	49.16	+2.84
3	Rangers	92	89.26	+2.74
4	Kilmarnock	40	37.71	+2.29
5	Livingston	46	44.37	+1.63

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Celtic	99	103.59	-4.59
2	Ross County	34	37.49	-3.49
3	Dundee United	31	34.17	-3.17
4	St. Mirren	46	48.47	-2.47
5	Aberdeen	57	58.39	-1.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aberdeen	7	Feb 25 – Apr 23	1 in 1,245
2	St. Johnstone	3	Oct 21 – Nov 6	1 in 67
3	Celtic	12	Oct 1 – Dec 28	1 in 31
4	Rangers	10	Jan 8 – Apr 1	1 in 29
5	Dundee United	3	Apr 9 – Apr 22	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dundee United	6	Jan 29 – Mar 4	1 in 110
2	Heart of Midlothian	5	Mar 8 – Apr 15	1 in 101
3	St. Johnstone	6	Dec 24 – Jan 28	1 in 47
4	Hibernian	4	Nov 4 – Dec 15	1 in 29
5	Aberdeen	4	Dec 17 – Dec 28	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	St. Johnstone	6	Oct 21 – Dec 17	1 in 81
2	Aberdeen	7	Feb 25 – Apr 23	1 in 66
3	St. Mirren	6	Nov 9 – Jan 7	1 in 45
4	Motherwell	6	Apr 22 – May 28	1 in 36
5	Hibernian	7	Jan 8 – Mar 4	1 in 29

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	11	Nov 6 – Feb 4	1 in 184
2	Dundee United	11	Jan 8 – Apr 1	1 in 61
3	Celtic	3	May 13 – May 24	1 in 36
4	St. Johnstone	7	Feb 25 – Apr 22	1 in 27
5	Heart of Midlothian	5	Mar 8 – Apr 15	1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	1993	99	-25	7	11.1	-4.1
Rangers	1962	92	+28	13	10.7	+2.3
Aberdeen	1673	57	+0	4	5.4	-1.4
Heart of Midlothian	1690	54	+1	6	5.9	+0.1
Hibernian	1681	52	+16	8	5.2	+2.8
Motherwell	1662	50	+25	13	8.9	+4.1
Livingston	1572	46	-26	4	6.7	-2.7
St. Mirren	1611	46	-20	2	4.3	-2.3
St. Johnstone	1567	43	+13	10	6.6	+3.4
Kilmarnock	1596	40	+23	9	7.2	+1.8
Ross County	1573	34	+11	7	6.4	+0.6
Dundee United	1546	31	-46	0	6.6	-6.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DU	HOM	HIB	KIL	LIV	MOT	RAN	RC	SJ	SM
Aberdeen	—	0-0-4 1.62	2-0-1 4.51	2-0-2 4.58	1-1-2 5.60	2-0-1 5.22	2-0-1 4.32	2-0-1 4.67	1-0-3 2.33	1-2-0 4.63	3-0-0 4.52	2-0-2 6.59
Celtic	4-0-0 9.85	—	3-0-0 7.22	4-0-0 9.16	3-0-1 9.56	3-0-0 7.32	3-0-0 7.34	2-1-0 7.48	2-1-1 6.74	3-0-0 7.28	3-0-0 7.38	2-1-1 9.91
Dundee United	1-0-2 3.94	0-0-3 1.36	—	0-1-2 2.88	2-1-0 3.77	1-1-2 5.86	1-1-2 5.27	1-1-2 4.20	0-0-3 1.34	1-1-2 6.05	1-0-3 5.98	0-1-2 4.37
Heart of Midlothian	2-0-2 6.69	0-0-4 2.23	2-1-0 5.59	—	1-2-1 6.23	1-1-1 5.34	0-2-1 4.80	2-0-1 5.10	0-1-3 3.06	3-0-0 5.68	3-0-0 5.85	1-2-1 6.82
Hibernian	2-1-1 5.67	1-0-3 1.87	0-1-2 4.68	1-2-1 5.04	—	2-0-1 5.22	2-0-1 3.95	2-0-1 4.92	0-1-3 2.69	1-1-1 4.75	1-1-1 4.97	3-0-1 6.08
Kilmarnock	1-0-2 3.24	0-0-3 1.28	2-1-1 5.41	1-1-1 3.12	1-0-2 3.25	—	1-0-3 5.05	1-2-1 5.01	0-0-3 1.30	2-0-2 5.89	1-1-2 6.41	1-2-0 3.38
Livingston	1-0-2 4.12	0-0-3 1.25	2-1-1 6.00	1-2-0 3.65	1-0-2 4.50	3-0-1 6.22	—	0-2-2 5.46	0-1-2 1.99	2-0-2 6.46	3-0-1 6.29	0-1-2 4.04
Motherwell	1-0-2 3.78	0-1-2 1.14	2-1-1 7.09	1-0-2 3.35	1-0-2 3.54	1-2-1 6.26	2-2-0 5.81	—	0-0-3 1.70	3-1-0 6.19	1-1-2 6.42	2-0-1 3.77
Rangers	3-0-1 9.05	1-1-2 4.54	3-0-0 7.25	3-1-0 8.29	3-1-0 8.66	3-0-0 7.29	2-1-0 6.52	3-0-0 6.84	—	3-0-0 7.29	2-0-1 7.31	3-1-0 9.39
Ross County	0-2-1 3.82	0-0-3 1.31	2-1-1 5.21	0-0-3 2.79	1-1-1 3.71	2-0-2 5.38	2-0-2 4.81	0-1-3 5.08	0-0-3 1.30	—	1-2-1 5.77	1-0-2 3.63
St. Johnstone	0-0-3 3.93	0-0-3 1.22	3-0-1 5.29	0-0-3 2.63	1-1-1 3.49	2-1-1 4.86	1-0-3 4.98	2-1-1 4.86	1-0-2 1.28	1-2-1 5.50	—	1-2-0 4.10
St. Mirren	2-0-2 4.68	1-1-2 1.57	2-1-0 4.08	1-2-1 4.46	1-0-3 5.19	0-2-1 5.08	2-1-0 4.41	1-0-2 4.68	0-1-3 2.02	2-0-1 4.82	0-2-1 4.35	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.94	+8.3
Allowed	0.89	-19.1
Differential	0.96	+6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.07%	8.11%	7.02%	4.39%	2.63%	1.54%	26.75%
1	8.11%	9.65%	7.24%	3.51%	2.19%	0.66%	31.36%
2	7.02%	7.24%	4.39%	2.63%	0.88%	0.22%	22.37%
3	4.39%	3.51%	2.63%	0.44%	0.22%	—	11.18%
4	2.63%	2.19%	0.88%	0.22%	—	—	5.92%
5+	1.54%	0.66%	0.22%	—	—	—	2.41%
Total	26.75%	31.36%	22.37%	11.18%	5.92%	2.41%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.47	+0.00
SD	1.34	1.34	2.17
CV	0.91	0.91	—
Max	9	9	+9
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	5.26%	7.89%	26.32%
1	13.16%	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	34.21%
2	10.53%	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	—	18.42%
3	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	7.89%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	36.84%	23.68%	10.53%	13.16%	7.89%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.58	-0.11
SD	1.35	1.72	2.60
CV	0.92	1.09	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
1	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
2	15.79%	13.16%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	36.84%
3	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
4	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
5+	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
Total	42.11%	36.84%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.00	0.89	+2.11
SD	1.69	1.01	2.19
CV	0.56	1.13	—
Max	9	4	+9
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	34.21%
1	5.26%	10.53%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	39.47%
2	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	18.42%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	5.26%	—	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	28.95%	26.32%	15.79%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.84	-0.79
SD	1.06	1.69	2.26
CV	1.01	0.91	—
Max	4	9	+4
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	—	31.58%
1	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
2	—	7.89%	10.53%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	23.68%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	15.79%	36.84%	34.21%	7.89%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.66	1.50	+0.16
SD	1.55	1.03	2.10
CV	0.93	0.69	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	18.42%
1	13.16%	10.53%	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	47.37%
2	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	28.95%	26.32%	21.05%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.55	-0.05
SD	1.35	1.46	2.23
CV	0.90	0.94	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	13.16%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	39.47%
1	7.89%	7.89%	—	7.89%	5.26%	—	28.95%
2	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	26.32%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	34.21%	18.42%	15.79%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.63	-0.66
SD	0.94	1.34	1.79
CV	0.97	0.82	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	10.53%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	39.47%
1	10.53%	15.79%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	36.84%
2	5.26%	10.53%	—	—	—	—	15.79%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	36.84%	23.68%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	1.58	-0.63
SD	1.01	1.24	1.85
CV	1.07	0.79	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	15.79%
1	10.53%	15.79%	18.42%	2.63%	—	—	47.37%
2	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	28.95%	26.32%	28.95%	13.16%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.34	+0.05
SD	1.05	1.12	1.66
CV	0.76	0.84	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	5.26%
1	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
2	10.53%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
3	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	26.32%
4	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	42.11%	26.32%	26.32%	2.63%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.45	0.97	+1.47
SD	1.20	1.03	1.75
CV	0.49	1.05	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	15.79%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	39.47%
1	5.26%	10.53%	15.79%	5.26%	—	2.63%	39.47%
2	7.89%	—	—	—	—	—	7.89%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	28.95%	28.95%	10.53%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.58	-0.61
SD	1.08	1.41	1.95
CV	1.11	0.89	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	13.16%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	34.21%
1	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	28.95%
2	5.26%	15.79%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	31.58%
3	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	39.47%	21.05%	10.53%	10.53%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.55	-0.47
SD	0.94	1.22	1.59
CV	0.87	0.79	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	10.53%	5.26%	—	31.58%
1	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	—	2.63%	2.63%	34.21%
2	5.26%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	2.63%	23.68%
3	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	31.58%	15.79%	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.13	1.61	-0.47
SD	0.99	1.48	1.97
CV	0.88	0.92	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1993	99	78.35	+20.65	100.0%	62	69	75	78	82	87	90
Rangers	1962	92	71.73	+20.27	86.0%	56	59	67	72	76	84	89
Heart of Midlothian	1690	54	51.64	+2.36	37.0%	31	39	46	51	56	65	69
Hibernian	1681	52	43.44	+8.56	54.0%	21	31	39	43	48	56	63
Aberdeen	1673	57	43.49	+13.51	93.0%	28	33	39	43	48	54	59
Motherwell	1662	50	40.27	+9.73	36.0%	22	28	35	40	45	52	56
St. Mirren	1611	46	40.74	+5.26	72.0%	23	28	36	41	45	52	64
Kilmarnock	1596	40	36.86	+3.14	24.0%	24	27	32	37	41	46	60
Ross County	1573	34	36.49	-2.49	7.0%	22	27	31	36	40	49	62
Livingston	1572	46	43.14	+2.86	45.0%	28	31	38	43	48	55	61
St. Johnstone	1567	43	35.95	+7.05	38.0%	20	25	31	36	41	46	51
Dundee United	1546	31	37.44	-6.44	22.0%	23	25	32	37	42	48	53

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+21.05%

Clear Edge

51.75%17.54%30.70%

Elo Value

Home Edge

165 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

074.25500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.46 goals

Neutral

-2+0.45+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.5

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

77%

Celtic, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.18/gm

Comfortable

00.240.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.64 * Some Luck: 5.64 to 8.45 * Lucky: 8.45 to 11.27 * Wild Swing: 11.27 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.52 * Close: 1.52 to 2.28 * Off: 2.28 to 3.04 * Way Off: 3.04 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.74 * A Surprise: 0.74 to 1.18 * Several Surprises: 1.18 to 1.63 * Many Surprises: 1.63 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.71 points

Some Luck

07.0518

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.904

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Celtic

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

7.00%

Ross County

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 1

A Surprise

00.71

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Top-Heavy

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 147.29

2.48

Wide Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

63%

Even

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

94%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

54%

Some Drama

0%51%100%

Blowouts

Expected

23%

Frequent

0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.51

Highly Predictable

00.552

Matchup Imbalance

0.39

Slight Separation

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.07

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.51

Weak Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.

Probability calibration

0.23

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.29

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.060

Well Within Noise

00.1040.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	77.00%	22.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	23.00%	72.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	—	—	11.00%	18.00%	10.00%	14.00%	16.00%	12.00%	5.00%	7.00%	7.00%	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	5.00%	45.00%	20.00%	12.00%	8.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	3.00%	—	1.00%
Hibernian	—	—	14.00%	11.00%	18.00%	12.00%	12.00%	10.00%	7.00%	3.00%	9.00%	4.00%
St. Mirren	—	—	4.00%	12.00%	9.00%	11.00%	10.00%	14.00%	14.00%	10.00%	7.00%	9.00%
Motherwell	—	—	5.00%	11.00%	12.00%	15.00%	5.00%	17.00%	12.00%	8.00%	5.00%	10.00%
Livingston	—	—	10.00%	16.00%	16.00%	13.00%	9.00%	11.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%
St. Johnstone	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	12.00%	10.00%	7.00%	12.00%	14.00%	23.00%	17.00%
Kilmarnock	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	6.00%	14.00%	11.00%	15.00%	13.00%	13.00%	18.00%
Ross County	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	10.00%	14.00%	16.00%	16.00%	24.00%
Dundee United	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	9.00%	6.00%	14.00%	6.00%	12.00%	20.00%	14.00%	13.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	99.99%	0.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	0.01%	99.99%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	—	—	85.38%	13.75%	0.87%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	13.42%	65.55%	17.30%	3.73%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	—	—	0.73%	12.56%	49.65%	37.06%	—	—	—	—	—	—
St. Mirren	—	—	0.47%	8.14%	32.18%	59.21%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	—	—	—	—	—	88.95%	10.33%	0.64%	0.08%	—	—
Livingston	—	—	—	—	—	—	10.35%	68.26%	15.53%	4.56%	1.18%	0.12%
St. Johnstone	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.49%	11.20%	37.10%	26.90%	17.79%	6.52%
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.06%	5.29%	23.18%	30.03%	27.42%	14.02%
Ross County	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.15%	4.40%	19.10%	27.33%	31.85%	17.17%
Dundee United	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.52%	4.45%	11.10%	21.76%	62.17%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	91.00%	9.00%	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
Hibernian	89.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Livingston	88.00%	6.00%	6.00%
Motherwell	86.00%	8.00%	6.00%
St. Mirren	85.00%	9.00%	6.00%
Dundee United	71.00%	16.00%	13.00%
St. Johnstone	61.00%	20.00%	19.00%
Kilmarnock	68.00%	12.00%	20.00%
Ross County	61.00%	13.00%	26.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—	—
Hibernian	100%	—	—
Motherwell	100%	—	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
St. Mirren	100%	—	—
Livingston	98.70%	1.18%	0.12%
St. Johnstone	75.69%	17.79%	6.52%
Kilmarnock	58.56%	27.42%	14.02%
Ross County	50.98%	31.85%	17.17%
Dundee United	16.07%	21.76%	62.17%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2022-07-30	Dundee United	D 1-1	72.5	1633	1640	50.25%	18.37%	31.37%	+0.41	-0.6	1
2022-07-30	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	72.5	1640	1633	31.37%	18.37%	50.25%	-0.41	+0.6	1
2022-07-30	Hibernian	L 0-1	58.0	1574	1647	41.23%	18.61%	40.16%	+0.01	-6.3	0
2022-07-30	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	58.0	1647	1574	40.16%	18.61%	41.23%	-0.01	+6.3	3
2022-07-30	Rangers	L 1-2	60.8	1661	1877	23.36%	17.68%	58.96%	-0.86	-3.6	0
2022-07-30	@ Livingston	W 2-1	60.8	1877	1661	58.96%	17.68%	23.36%	+0.86	+3.6	3
2022-07-30	Ross County	W 2-1	59.1	1706	1626	60.81%	17.45%	21.73%	+0.94	+3.4	3
2022-07-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	59.1	1626	1706	21.73%	17.45%	60.81%	-0.94	-3.4	0
2022-07-31	Aberdeen	W 2-0	46.7	1914	1626	78.29%	13.35%	8.36%	+2.20	+2.6	3
2022-07-31	@ Celtic	L 0-2	46.7	1626	1914	8.36%	13.35%	78.29%	-2.20	-2.6	0
2022-07-31	Motherwell	L 0-1	60.7	1609	1616	50.23%	18.38%	31.39%	+0.41	-7.4	0
2022-07-31	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	60.7	1616	1609	31.39%	18.38%	50.23%	-0.41	+7.4	3
2022-08-06	Celtic	L 1-3	56.2	1623	1916	16.57%	16.46%	66.97%	-1.33	-4.5	0
2022-08-06	@ Ross County	W 3-1	56.2	1916	1623	66.97%	16.46%	16.57%	+1.33	+4.5	6
2022-08-06	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	47.4	1880	1632	75.67%	14.25%	10.08%	+1.96	+3.1	6
2022-08-06	@ Rangers	L 0-2	47.4	1632	1880	10.08%	14.25%	75.67%	-1.96	-3.1	1
2022-08-06	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	67.8	1623	1568	58.04%	17.78%	24.18%	+0.79	-8.0	3
2022-08-06	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	67.8	1568	1623	24.18%	17.78%	58.04%	-0.79	+8.0	3
2022-08-06	St. Mirren	W 4-1	54.8	1623	1601	54.03%	18.14%	27.83%	+0.59	+10.4	3
2022-08-06	@ Aberdeen	L 1-4	54.8	1601	1623	27.83%	18.14%	54.03%	-0.59	-10.4	0
2022-08-07	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	73.5	1653	1710	43.48%	18.59%	37.93%	+0.11	-0.2	4
2022-08-07	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	73.5	1710	1653	37.93%	18.59%	43.48%	-0.11	+0.2	4
2022-08-07	Livingston	L 0-1	61.6	1640	1657	49.02%	18.43%	32.55%	+0.35	-7.3	1
2022-08-07	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	61.6	1657	1640	32.55%	18.43%	49.02%	-0.35	+7.3	3
2022-08-13	Hibernian	W 2-1	61.4	1664	1653	52.68%	18.23%	29.09%	+0.52	+4.4	6
2022-08-13	@ Livingston	L 1-2	61.4	1653	1664	29.09%	18.23%	52.68%	-0.52	-4.4	4
2022-08-13	Motherwell	L 2-3	73.2	1634	1615	53.54%	18.17%	28.28%	+0.56	-7.0	3
2022-08-13	@ Aberdeen	W 3-2	73.2	1615	1634	28.28%	18.17%	53.54%	-0.56	+7.0	6
2022-08-13	Ross County	W 1-0	55.6	1591	1618	47.55%	18.49%	33.96%	+0.28	+5.3	3
2022-08-13	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	55.6	1618	1591	33.96%	18.49%	47.55%	-0.28	-5.3	0
2022-08-13	St. Johnstone	W 4-0	43.6	1883	1576	79.51%	12.89%	7.60%	+2.32	+4.4	9
2022-08-13	@ Rangers	L 0-4	43.6	1576	1883	7.60%	12.89%	79.51%	-2.32	-4.4	3
2022-08-14	Celtic	L 0-5	47.9	1629	1921	16.68%	16.49%	66.83%	-1.32	-12.3	1
2022-08-14	@ Kilmarnock	W 5-0	47.9	1921	1629	66.83%	16.49%	16.68%	+1.32	+12.3	9
2022-08-14	Dundee United	W 4-1	54.6	1710	1633	60.44%	17.50%	22.06%	+0.92	+8.4	7
2022-08-14	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	54.6	1633	1710	22.06%	17.50%	60.44%	-0.92	-8.4	1
2022-08-20	Aberdeen	L 0-1	58.3	1572	1627	43.69%	18.59%	37.72%	+0.12	-6.6	3
2022-08-20	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	58.3	1627	1572	37.72%	18.59%	43.69%	-0.12	+6.6	6
2022-08-20	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	55.0	1613	1616	50.73%	18.35%	30.92%	+0.43	+4.9	3
2022-08-20	@ Ross County	L 0-1	55.0	1616	1613	30.92%	18.35%	50.73%	-0.43	-4.9	1
2022-08-20	Livingston	W 1-0	57.8	1622	1669	44.97%	18.56%	36.47%	+0.17	+5.7	9
2022-08-20	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	57.8	1669	1622	36.47%	18.56%	44.97%	-0.17	-5.7	6
2022-08-20	Rangers	D 2-2	80.8	1648	1888	21.10%	17.35%	61.55%	-1.00	+1.1	5
2022-08-20	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	80.8	1888	1648	61.55%	17.35%	21.10%	+1.00	-1.0	10
2022-08-20	St. Mirren	L 0-3	57.3	1625	1596	54.83%	18.08%	27.10%	+0.62	-22.0	1
2022-08-20	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	57.3	1596	1625	27.10%	18.08%	54.83%	-0.62	+22.0	6
2022-08-21	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	48.4	1933	1718	73.21%	14.99%	11.80%	+1.75	+3.7	12
2022-08-21	@ Celtic	L 0-2	48.4	1718	1933	11.80%	14.99%	73.21%	-1.75	-3.7	7
2022-08-27	Hibernian	W 1-0	56.8	1618	1649	47.02%	18.51%	34.47%	+0.26	+5.4	9
2022-08-27	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	56.8	1649	1618	34.47%	18.51%	47.02%	-0.26	-5.4	5
2022-08-27	Livingston	W 5-0	52.1	1633	1663	47.24%	18.50%	34.26%	+0.27	+23.7	9
2022-08-27	@ Aberdeen	L 0-5	52.1	1663	1633	34.26%	18.50%	47.24%	-0.27	-23.7	6
2022-08-27	Motherwell	W 2-1	61.3	1612	1628	49.01%	18.43%	32.56%	+0.35	+4.9	4
2022-08-27	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	61.3	1628	1612	32.56%	18.43%	49.01%	-0.35	-4.9	9
2022-08-27	Ross County	W 4-0	44.5	1887	1618	77.08%	13.78%	9.14%	+2.08	+5.4	13
2022-08-27	@ Rangers	L 0-4	44.5	1618	1887	9.14%	13.78%	77.08%	-2.08	-5.4	3
2022-08-28	Celtic	L 0-9	48.2	1603	1937	13.77%	15.68%	70.54%	-1.58	-17.7	1
2022-08-28	@ Dundee United	W 9-0	48.2	1937	1603	70.54%	15.68%	13.77%	+1.58	+17.7	15
2022-08-28	St. Johnstone	W 3-2	61.8	1715	1565	67.77%	16.30%	15.93%	+1.36	+2.4	10
2022-08-28	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	61.8	1565	1715	15.93%	16.30%	67.77%	-1.36	-2.4	3
2022-09-03	Aberdeen	D 1-1	72.4	1612	1657	45.19%	18.56%	36.25%	+0.18	-0.3	4
2022-09-03	@ Ross County	D 1-1	72.4	1657	1612	36.25%	18.56%	45.19%	-0.18	+0.3	10
2022-09-03	Dundee United	D 0-0	67.0	1623	1585	56.00%	17.98%	26.02%	+0.68	-1.1	10
2022-09-03	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	67.0	1585	1623	26.02%	17.98%	56.00%	-0.68	+1.1	2
2022-09-03	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	59.8	1639	1717	40.49%	18.61%	40.91%	-0.02	+6.2	9
2022-09-03	@ Livingston	L 0-1	59.8	1717	1639	40.91%	18.61%	40.49%	+0.02	-6.2	10
2022-09-03	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	54.4	1644	1616	54.70%	18.09%	27.21%	+0.62	+4.4	8
2022-09-03	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	54.4	1616	1644	27.21%	18.09%	54.70%	-0.62	-4.4	4
2022-09-03	Rangers	W 4-0	50.4	1954	1892	58.82%	17.69%	23.49%	+0.83	+13.8	18
2022-09-03	@ Celtic	L 0-4	50.4	1892	1954	23.49%	17.69%	58.82%	-0.83	-13.8	13
2022-09-03	St. Mirren	W 3-0	51.8	1563	1624	42.87%	18.60%	38.53%	+0.08	+16.2	6
2022-09-03	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-3	51.8	1624	1563	38.53%	18.60%	42.87%	-0.08	-16.2	9
2022-09-17	Aberdeen	W 3-1	59.7	1648	1657	50.04%	18.39%	31.58%	+0.40	+8.2	11
2022-09-17	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	59.7	1657	1648	31.58%	18.39%	50.04%	-0.40	-8.2	10
2022-09-17	Dundee United	W 2-1	54.7	1878	1586	78.56%	13.25%	8.19%	+2.22	+1.3	16
2022-09-17	@ Rangers	L 1-2	54.7	1586	1878	8.19%	13.25%	78.56%	-2.22	-1.2	2
2022-09-17	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	54.1	1645	1612	55.42%	18.03%	26.55%	+0.65	+4.3	12
2022-09-17	@ Livingston	L 0-1	54.1	1612	1645	26.55%	18.03%	55.42%	-0.65	-4.3	4
2022-09-17	Ross County	D 0-0	66.5	1579	1612	46.73%	18.52%	34.75%	+0.25	-0.4	7
2022-09-17	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	66.5	1612	1579	34.75%	18.52%	46.73%	-0.25	+0.4	5
2022-09-18	Celtic	W 2-0	66.6	1607	1968	12.15%	15.12%	72.73%	-1.74	+19.6	12
2022-09-18	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	66.6	1968	1607	72.73%	15.12%	12.15%	+1.74	-19.6	18
2022-09-18	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	54.4	1622	1711	38.94%	18.60%	42.46%	-0.09	-16.4	10
2022-09-18	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	54.4	1711	1622	42.46%	18.60%	38.94%	+0.09	+16.4	13
2022-10-01	Hibernian	L 0-2	57.3	1613	1657	45.26%	18.56%	36.18%	+0.18	-12.8	5
2022-10-01	@ Ross County	W 2-0	57.3	1657	1613	36.18%	18.56%	45.26%	-0.18	+12.8	14
2022-10-01	Kilmarnock	W 4-1	54.7	1649	1608	56.38%	17.94%	25.68%	+0.70	+9.7	13
2022-10-01	@ Aberdeen	L 1-4	54.7	1608	1649	25.68%	17.94%	56.38%	-0.70	-9.7	4
2022-10-01	Livingston	W 2-1	62.2	1627	1650	48.16%	18.47%	33.37%	+0.31	+5.0	15
2022-10-01	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	62.2	1650	1627	33.37%	18.47%	48.16%	-0.31	-5.0	12
2022-10-01	Motherwell	W 2-1	54.1	1948	1606	81.52%	12.07%	6.41%	+2.53	+1.0	21
2022-10-01	@ Celtic	L 1-2	54.1	1606	1948	6.41%	12.07%	81.52%	-2.53	-1.0	10
2022-10-01	Rangers	L 0-4	52.5	1727	1879	30.47%	18.32%	51.20%	-0.47	-17.4	13
2022-10-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	52.5	1879	1727	51.20%	18.32%	30.47%	+0.47	+17.4	19
2022-10-01	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	65.4	1585	1578	52.06%	18.27%	29.67%	+0.49	-7.2	2
2022-10-01	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	65.4	1578	1585	29.67%	18.27%	52.06%	-0.49	+7.2	10
2022-10-04	Motherwell	L 0-5	55.4	1600	1605	50.55%	18.36%	31.09%	+0.42	-32.9	5
2022-10-04	@ Ross County	W 5-0	55.4	1605	1600	31.09%	18.36%	50.55%	-0.42	+32.9	13
2022-10-05	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	59.0	1598	1586	52.81%	18.22%	28.96%	+0.53	+4.4	7
2022-10-05	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	59.0	1586	1598	28.96%	18.22%	52.81%	-0.53	-4.4	10
2022-10-08	Aberdeen	W 4-0	53.1	1578	1659	40.01%	18.61%	41.39%	-0.04	+22.5	5
2022-10-08	@ Dundee United	L 0-4	53.1	1659	1578	41.39%	18.61%	40.01%	+0.04	-22.5	13
2022-10-08	Celtic	L 1-2	56.5	1581	1949	11.74%	14.96%	73.30%	-1.79	-1.8	10
2022-10-08	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	56.5	1949	1581	73.30%	14.96%	11.74%	+1.79	+1.8	24
2022-10-08	Motherwell	W 1-0	54.9	1669	1638	55.21%	18.04%	26.75%	+0.64	+4.3	17
2022-10-08	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	54.9	1638	1669	26.75%	18.04%	55.21%	-0.64	-4.3	13
2022-10-08	Ross County	L 0-1	63.3	1645	1567	60.57%	17.48%	21.95%	+0.92	-8.8	12
2022-10-08	@ Livingston	W 1-0	63.3	1567	1645	21.95%	17.48%	60.57%	-0.92	+8.8	8
2022-10-08	St. Mirren	W 4-0	44.6	1897	1632	76.82%	13.87%	9.31%	+2.06	+5.5	22
2022-10-08	@ Rangers	L 0-4	44.6	1632	1897	9.31%	13.87%	76.82%	-2.06	-5.5	15
2022-10-09	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	79.0	1602	1710	36.34%	18.56%	45.10%	-0.20	+0.2	8
2022-10-09	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	79.0	1710	1602	45.10%	18.56%	36.34%	+0.20	-0.2	14
2022-10-11	Hibernian	W 1-0	58.7	1600	1674	41.09%	18.61%	40.30%	+0.00	+6.2	8
2022-10-11	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	58.7	1674	1600	40.30%	18.61%	41.09%	+0.00	-6.2	17
2022-10-15	Dundee United	D 1-1	70.7	1576	1606	47.10%	18.51%	34.39%	+0.26	-0.4	9
2022-10-15	@ Ross County	D 1-1	70.7	1606	1576	34.39%	18.51%	47.10%	-0.26	+0.4	9
2022-10-15	Hibernian	W 6-1	47.5	1951	1668	78.04%	13.44%	8.52%	+2.17	+5.1	27
2022-10-15	@ Celtic	L 1-6	47.5	1668	1951	8.52%	13.44%	78.04%	-2.17	-5.1	17
2022-10-15	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	67.4	1626	1603	54.22%	18.12%	27.65%	+0.59	-1.0	16
2022-10-15	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	67.4	1603	1626	27.65%	18.12%	54.22%	-0.59	+1.0	9
2022-10-15	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	52.5	1636	1579	58.18%	17.76%	24.06%	+0.80	+3.9	15
2022-10-15	@ Livingston	L 0-1	52.5	1579	1636	24.06%	17.76%	58.18%	-0.80	-3.9	10
2022-10-16	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	56.8	1636	1709	41.13%	18.61%	40.26%	+0.01	+11.6	16
2022-10-16	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	56.8	1709	1636	40.26%	18.61%	41.13%	-0.01	-11.6	14
2022-10-16	Rangers	L 1-2	59.1	1633	1902	18.50%	16.89%	64.61%	-1.18	-2.9	13
2022-10-16	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	59.1	1902	1633	64.61%	16.89%	18.50%	+1.18	+2.9	25
2022-10-21	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	69.7	1662	1575	61.57%	17.35%	21.08%	+0.98	-8.4	17
2022-10-21	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	69.7	1575	1662	21.08%	17.35%	61.57%	-0.98	+8.4	13
2022-10-22	Aberdeen	L 1-2	66.9	1630	1648	48.91%	18.44%	32.66%	+0.35	-6.8	13
2022-10-22	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	66.9	1648	1630	32.66%	18.44%	48.91%	-0.35	+6.8	19
2022-10-22	Celtic	L 3-4	68.0	1698	1956	19.38%	17.06%	63.56%	-1.12	-2.8	14
2022-10-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-3	68.0	1956	1698	63.56%	17.06%	19.38%	+1.12	+2.8	30
2022-10-22	Dundee United	W 2-1	59.8	1625	1607	53.58%	18.17%	28.25%	+0.56	+4.3	19
2022-10-22	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	59.8	1607	1625	28.25%	18.17%	53.58%	-0.56	-4.3	9
2022-10-22	Livingston	D 1-1	75.8	1905	1640	76.84%	13.86%	9.30%	+2.06	-2.4	26
2022-10-22	@ Rangers	D 1-1	75.8	1640	1905	9.30%	13.86%	76.84%	-2.06	+2.4	16
2022-10-22	Ross County	W 1-0	52.7	1604	1575	54.80%	18.08%	27.13%	+0.62	+4.4	12
2022-10-22	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	52.7	1575	1604	27.13%	18.08%	54.80%	-0.62	-4.4	9
2022-10-29	Aberdeen	W 4-1	51.2	1903	1655	75.66%	14.25%	10.09%	+1.96	+3.8	29
2022-10-29	@ Rangers	L 1-4	51.2	1655	1903	10.09%	14.25%	75.66%	-1.96	-3.8	19
2022-10-29	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	55.0	1584	1608	47.98%	18.47%	33.54%	+0.30	+5.3	16
2022-10-29	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	55.0	1608	1584	33.54%	18.47%	47.98%	-0.30	-5.3	12
2022-10-29	Motherwell	L 0-1	60.2	1603	1624	48.41%	18.46%	33.14%	+0.32	-7.2	9
2022-10-29	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	60.2	1624	1603	33.14%	18.46%	48.41%	-0.32	+7.2	16
2022-10-29	St. Mirren	W 3-0	50.3	1654	1630	54.31%	18.12%	27.57%	+0.60	+12.2	20
2022-10-29	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	50.3	1630	1654	27.57%	18.12%	54.31%	-0.60	-12.2	19
2022-10-30	Celtic	L 0-3	47.7	1642	1959	14.90%	16.02%	69.08%	-1.47	-6.8	16
2022-10-30	@ Livingston	W 3-0	47.7	1959	1642	69.08%	16.02%	14.90%	+1.47	+6.8	33
2022-10-30	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	62.2	1571	1695	34.07%	18.49%	47.43%	-0.30	-5.1	9
2022-10-30	@ Ross County	W 2-1	62.2	1695	1571	47.43%	18.49%	34.07%	+0.30	+5.0	17
2022-11-04	Hibernian	W 4-1	57.7	1651	1666	49.17%	18.43%	32.41%	+0.36	+11.9	22
2022-11-04	@ Aberdeen	L 1-4	57.7	1666	1651	32.41%	18.43%	49.17%	-0.36	-11.8	20
2022-11-04	Livingston	L 2-3	71.1	1603	1636	46.81%	18.51%	34.68%	+0.25	-6.2	12
2022-11-04	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-2	71.1	1636	1603	34.68%	18.51%	46.81%	-0.25	+6.2	19
2022-11-05	Dundee United	W 4-2	55.6	1966	1595	82.99%	11.42%	5.59%	+2.70	+1.3	36
2022-11-05	@ Celtic	L 2-4	55.6	1595	1966	5.59%	11.42%	82.99%	-2.70	-1.3	9
2022-11-05	St. Mirren	W 3-2	67.0	1566	1617	44.20%	18.58%	37.22%	+0.14	+5.2	12
2022-11-05	@ Ross County	L 2-3	67.0	1617	1566	37.22%	18.58%	44.20%	-0.14	-5.2	19
2022-11-06	Motherwell	W 3-2	64.9	1700	1631	59.61%	17.60%	22.79%	+0.87	+3.4	20
2022-11-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	64.9	1631	1700	22.79%	17.60%	59.61%	-0.87	-3.3	16
2022-11-06	Rangers	W 2-1	73.9	1589	1907	14.84%	16.01%	69.15%	-1.48	+9.4	19
2022-11-06	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	73.9	1907	1589	69.15%	16.01%	14.84%	+1.48	-9.4	29
2022-11-08	Aberdeen	W 2-1	62.5	1642	1663	48.44%	18.46%	33.11%	+0.32	+4.9	22
2022-11-08	@ Livingston	L 1-2	62.5	1663	1642	33.11%	18.46%	48.44%	-0.32	-4.9	22
2022-11-08	Ross County	L 0-2	61.0	1654	1571	61.17%	17.41%	21.42%	+0.96	-16.7	20
2022-11-08	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	61.0	1571	1654	21.42%	17.41%	61.17%	-0.96	+16.7	15
2022-11-09	Celtic	L 1-2	57.3	1627	1967	13.40%	15.56%	71.04%	-1.61	-2.1	16
2022-11-09	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	57.3	1967	1627	71.04%	15.56%	13.40%	+1.61	+2.1	39
2022-11-09	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	51.6	1897	1703	71.57%	15.43%	13.00%	+1.63	+2.2	32
2022-11-09	@ Rangers	L 0-1	51.6	1703	1897	13.00%	15.43%	71.57%	-1.63	-2.2	20
2022-11-09	Kilmarnock	W 4-0	48.9	1594	1597	50.88%	18.34%	30.77%	+0.44	+17.5	12
2022-11-09	@ Dundee United	L 0-4	48.9	1597	1594	30.77%	18.34%	50.88%	-0.44	-17.5	12
2022-11-09	St. Johnstone	D 2-2	77.4	1612	1598	52.98%	18.21%	28.80%	+0.53	-0.6	20
2022-11-09	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	77.4	1598	1612	28.80%	18.21%	52.98%	-0.53	+0.6	20
2022-11-12	Dundee United	W 1-0	53.8	1658	1612	56.95%	17.89%	25.17%	+0.73	+4.1	25
2022-11-12	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	53.8	1612	1658	25.17%	17.89%	56.95%	-0.73	-4.1	12
2022-11-12	Hibernian	W 1-0	57.0	1579	1638	43.19%	18.59%	38.22%	+0.09	+5.9	15
2022-11-12	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	57.0	1638	1579	38.22%	18.59%	43.19%	-0.09	-5.9	20
2022-11-12	Livingston	D 1-1	73.6	1701	1647	57.93%	17.79%	24.28%	+0.78	-1.2	21
2022-11-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	73.6	1647	1701	24.28%	17.79%	57.93%	-0.78	+1.2	23
2022-11-12	Motherwell	D 1-1	71.6	1599	1625	47.70%	18.49%	33.81%	+0.29	-0.5	21
2022-11-12	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	71.6	1625	1599	33.81%	18.49%	47.70%	-0.29	+0.5	17
2022-11-12	Rangers	D 1-1	74.9	1612	1899	17.00%	16.56%	66.44%	-1.30	+1.7	21
2022-11-12	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	74.9	1899	1612	66.44%	16.56%	17.00%	+1.30	-1.8	33
2022-11-12	Ross County	W 2-1	53.5	1969	1588	83.54%	11.17%	5.30%	+2.77	+0.8	42
2022-11-12	@ Celtic	L 1-2	53.5	1588	1969	5.30%	11.17%	83.54%	-2.77	-0.8	15
2022-12-15	Hibernian	W 3-2	60.9	1898	1632	76.88%	13.85%	9.27%	+2.07	+1.4	36
2022-12-15	@ Rangers	L 2-3	60.9	1632	1898	9.27%	13.85%	76.88%	-2.07	-1.4	20
2022-12-17	Celtic	L 0-1	52.6	1662	1970	15.49%	16.19%	68.33%	-1.42	-2.6	25
2022-12-17	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	52.6	1970	1662	68.33%	16.19%	15.49%	+1.42	+2.6	45
2022-12-17	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	55.1	1700	1585	64.49%	16.91%	18.60%	+1.15	+5.1	24
2022-12-17	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	55.1	1585	1700	18.60%	16.91%	64.49%	-1.15	-5.0	15
2022-12-17	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	65.3	1587	1599	49.67%	18.40%	31.92%	+0.38	-6.9	15
2022-12-17	@ Ross County	W 2-1	65.3	1599	1587	31.92%	18.40%	49.67%	-0.38	+6.9	24
2022-12-20	Rangers	L 2-3	65.6	1659	1899	21.06%	17.35%	61.60%	-1.01	-3.1	25
2022-12-20	@ Aberdeen	W 3-2	65.6	1899	1659	61.60%	17.35%	21.06%	+1.01	+3.1	39
2022-12-21	Livingston	W 2-1	54.5	1973	1648	80.52%	12.48%	6.99%	+2.42	+1.1	48
2022-12-21	@ Celtic	L 1-2	54.5	1648	1973	6.99%	12.48%	80.52%	-2.42	-1.1	23
2022-12-23	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	77.4	1626	1580	56.93%	17.89%	25.18%	+0.73	-0.8	18
2022-12-23	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	77.4	1580	1626	25.18%	17.89%	56.93%	-0.73	+0.8	16
2022-12-23	Rangers	L 0-1	51.9	1580	1902	14.53%	15.92%	69.55%	-1.51	-2.4	15
2022-12-23	@ Ross County	W 1-0	51.9	1902	1580	69.55%	15.92%	14.53%	+1.51	+2.4	42
2022-12-24	Aberdeen	W 3-1	60.6	1613	1656	45.44%	18.55%	36.01%	+0.19	+9.2	24
2022-12-24	@ St. Mirren	L 1-3	60.6	1656	1613	36.01%	18.55%	45.44%	-0.19	-9.2	25
2022-12-24	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	79.0	1608	1705	37.66%	18.58%	43.76%	-0.14	+0.2	13
2022-12-24	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	79.0	1705	1608	43.76%	18.58%	37.66%	+0.14	-0.2	25
2022-12-24	Livingston	W 4-0	51.1	1630	1647	49.04%	18.43%	32.53%	+0.35	+18.4	23
2022-12-24	@ Hibernian	L 0-4	51.1	1647	1630	32.53%	18.43%	49.04%	-0.35	-18.4	23
2022-12-24	St. Johnstone	W 4-1	49.0	1974	1606	82.87%	11.47%	5.66%	+2.69	+2.1	51
2022-12-24	@ Celtic	L 1-4	49.0	1606	1974	5.66%	11.47%	82.87%	-2.69	-2.1	24
2022-12-28	Aberdeen	W 2-1	63.2	1581	1647	42.10%	18.60%	39.30%	+0.05	+5.7	19
2022-12-28	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	63.2	1647	1581	39.30%	18.60%	42.10%	-0.05	-5.7	25
2022-12-28	Celtic	L 0-4	46.9	1649	1976	14.21%	15.82%	69.97%	-1.53	-8.5	23
2022-12-28	@ Hibernian	W 4-0	46.9	1976	1649	69.97%	15.82%	14.21%	+1.53	+8.5	54
2022-12-28	Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	69.3	1603	1705	37.12%	18.58%	44.30%	-0.17	-5.2	24
2022-12-28	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-2	69.3	1705	1603	44.30%	18.58%	37.12%	+0.17	+5.2	28
2022-12-28	Motherwell	W 3-0	45.0	1905	1625	77.78%	13.53%	8.69%	+2.15	+3.9	45
2022-12-28	@ Rangers	L 0-3	45.0	1625	1905	8.69%	13.53%	77.78%	-2.15	-3.9	18
2022-12-28	Ross County	W 3-0	48.2	1608	1578	55.00%	18.06%	26.93%	+0.63	+11.9	16
2022-12-28	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	48.2	1578	1608	26.93%	18.06%	55.00%	-0.63	-11.9	15
2022-12-28	St. Mirren	D 1-1	72.2	1628	1623	51.96%	18.28%	29.76%	+0.49	-0.8	24
2022-12-28	@ Livingston	D 1-1	72.2	1623	1628	29.76%	18.28%	51.96%	-0.49	+0.7	25
2023-01-02	Celtic	D 2-2	80.7	1908	1984	40.75%	18.61%	40.64%	-0.01	+0.0	46
2023-01-02	@ Rangers	D 2-2	80.7	1984	1908	40.64%	18.61%	40.75%	+0.01	+0.0	55
2023-01-02	Dundee United	L 0-1	60.1	1598	1620	48.38%	18.46%	33.16%	+0.32	-7.2	24
2023-01-02	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	60.1	1620	1598	33.16%	18.46%	48.38%	-0.32	+7.2	19
2023-01-02	Hibernian	W 3-0	49.4	1710	1640	59.67%	17.59%	22.74%	+0.87	+10.2	31
2023-01-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	49.4	1640	1710	22.74%	17.59%	59.67%	-0.87	-10.2	23
2023-01-02	Motherwell	D 1-1	72.1	1628	1621	52.05%	18.27%	29.67%	+0.49	-0.8	25
2023-01-02	@ Livingston	D 1-1	72.1	1621	1628	29.67%	18.27%	52.05%	-0.49	+0.8	19
2023-01-02	Ross County	D 0-0	67.1	1641	1566	60.32%	17.51%	22.16%	+0.91	-1.5	26
2023-01-02	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	67.1	1566	1641	22.16%	17.51%	60.32%	-0.91	+1.5	16
2023-01-02	St. Mirren	D 0-0	66.9	1586	1623	46.23%	18.53%	35.24%	+0.23	-0.4	20
2023-01-02	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	66.9	1623	1586	35.24%	18.53%	46.23%	-0.23	+0.4	26
2023-01-07	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	73.3	1624	1720	37.79%	18.59%	43.62%	-0.14	+0.2	27
2023-01-07	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	73.3	1720	1624	43.62%	18.59%	37.79%	+0.14	-0.2	32
2023-01-07	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	45.0	1984	1586	84.34%	10.78%	4.87%	+2.87	+1.4	58
2023-01-07	@ Celtic	L 0-2	45.0	1586	1984	4.87%	10.78%	84.34%	-2.87	-1.4	20
2023-01-07	Livingston	L 0-2	55.3	1567	1627	43.04%	18.59%	38.36%	+0.09	-12.2	16
2023-01-07	@ Ross County	W 2-0	55.3	1627	1567	38.36%	18.59%	43.04%	-0.09	+12.2	28
2023-01-07	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	50.4	1640	1591	57.25%	17.86%	24.89%	+0.75	+7.7	29
2023-01-07	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	50.4	1591	1640	24.89%	17.86%	57.25%	-0.75	-7.7	24
2023-01-08	Hibernian	L 2-3	72.3	1622	1630	50.12%	18.38%	31.50%	+0.40	-6.6	19
2023-01-08	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	72.3	1630	1622	31.50%	18.38%	50.12%	-0.40	+6.6	26
2023-01-08	Rangers	L 0-2	50.4	1627	1908	17.47%	16.67%	65.86%	-1.26	-5.5	19
2023-01-08	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	50.4	1908	1627	65.86%	16.67%	17.47%	+1.26	+5.5	49
2023-01-13	St. Mirren	W 1-0	53.1	1720	1624	62.55%	17.21%	20.24%	+1.04	+3.3	35
2023-01-13	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	53.1	1624	1720	20.24%	17.21%	62.55%	-1.04	-3.4	27
2023-01-14	Dundee United	D 2-2	78.3	1637	1621	53.19%	18.20%	28.61%	+0.54	-0.6	27
2023-01-14	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	78.3	1621	1637	28.61%	18.20%	53.19%	-0.54	+0.6	20
2023-01-14	Livingston	L 2-4	66.3	1583	1639	43.62%	18.59%	37.79%	+0.11	-9.6	24
2023-01-14	@ St. Johnstone	W 4-2	66.3	1639	1583	37.79%	18.59%	43.62%	-0.11	+9.6	31
2023-01-14	Ross County	D 1-1	70.6	1615	1555	58.60%	17.72%	23.68%	+0.82	-1.2	20
2023-01-14	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	70.6	1555	1615	23.68%	17.72%	58.60%	-0.82	+1.2	17
2023-01-18	Aberdeen	W 5-0	49.0	1724	1648	60.37%	17.51%	22.12%	+0.91	+16.1	38
2023-01-18	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-5	49.0	1648	1724	22.12%	17.51%	60.37%	-0.91	-16.1	29
2023-01-18	Rangers	L 2-3	62.8	1584	1914	14.05%	15.77%	70.18%	-1.55	-2.1	20
2023-01-18	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-2	62.8	1914	1584	70.18%	15.77%	14.05%	+1.55	+2.1	52
2023-01-18	St. Mirren	W 4-0	43.0	1986	1621	82.71%	11.55%	5.74%	+2.67	+3.2	61
2023-01-18	@ Celtic	L 0-4	43.0	1621	1986	5.74%	11.55%	82.71%	-2.67	-3.2	27
2023-01-28	Aberdeen	W 6-0	50.8	1636	1631	51.82%	18.29%	29.90%	+0.48	+25.1	30
2023-01-28	@ Hibernian	L 0-6	50.8	1631	1636	29.90%	18.29%	51.82%	-0.48	-25.1	29
2023-01-28	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	49.1	1556	1582	47.70%	18.48%	33.81%	+0.29	+14.6	20
2023-01-28	@ Ross County	L 0-3	49.1	1582	1556	33.81%	18.48%	47.70%	-0.29	-14.6	20
2023-01-28	Motherwell	W 1-0	54.8	1617	1614	51.63%	18.30%	30.07%	+0.47	+4.8	30
2023-01-28	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	54.8	1614	1617	30.07%	18.30%	51.63%	-0.47	-4.8	20
2023-01-28	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	45.6	1916	1574	81.49%	12.08%	6.43%	+2.53	+1.9	55
2023-01-28	@ Rangers	L 0-2	45.6	1574	1916	6.43%	12.08%	81.49%	-2.53	-1.9	24
2023-01-29	Celtic	L 0-2	48.4	1622	1989	11.80%	14.99%	73.21%	-1.78	-3.7	20
2023-01-29	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	48.4	1989	1622	73.21%	14.99%	11.80%	+1.78	+3.7	64
2023-01-29	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	69.3	1649	1740	38.61%	18.60%	42.80%	-0.10	+0.2	32
2023-01-29	@ Livingston	D 0-0	69.3	1740	1649	42.80%	18.60%	38.61%	+0.10	-0.2	39
2023-01-31	Hibernian	D 1-1	71.7	1571	1661	38.65%	18.60%	42.75%	-0.10	+0.1	21
2023-01-31	@ Ross County	D 1-1	71.7	1661	1571	42.75%	18.60%	38.65%	+0.10	-0.1	31
2023-02-01	Dundee United	W 1-0	56.0	1568	1618	44.37%	18.57%	37.06%	+0.14	+5.7	23
2023-02-01	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	56.0	1618	1568	37.06%	18.57%	44.37%	-0.14	-5.7	20
2023-02-01	Livingston	W 3-0	44.0	1993	1649	81.58%	12.04%	6.38%	+2.54	+2.8	67
2023-02-01	@ Celtic	L 0-3	44.0	1649	1993	6.38%	12.04%	81.58%	-2.54	-2.8	32
2023-02-01	Rangers	L 0-3	52.2	1740	1918	27.38%	18.10%	54.51%	-0.63	-12.1	39
2023-02-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	52.2	1918	1740	54.51%	18.10%	27.38%	+0.63	+12.1	58
2023-02-01	St. Johnstone	L 0-2	58.6	1609	1572	55.89%	17.99%	26.13%	+0.68	-15.4	20
2023-02-01	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	58.6	1572	1609	26.13%	17.99%	55.89%	-0.68	+15.4	27
2023-02-01	St. Mirren	L 1-3	63.8	1606	1622	49.13%	18.43%	32.45%	+0.36	-11.9	29
2023-02-01	@ Aberdeen	W 3-1	63.8	1622	1606	32.45%	18.43%	49.13%	-0.36	+11.9	33
2023-02-04	Dundee United	W 3-1	55.8	1727	1612	64.45%	16.92%	18.63%	+1.15	+5.1	42
2023-02-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	55.8	1612	1727	18.63%	16.92%	64.45%	-1.15	-5.1	20
2023-02-04	Hibernian	L 0-1	61.1	1634	1661	47.60%	18.49%	33.91%	+0.29	-7.1	33
2023-02-04	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	61.1	1661	1634	33.91%	18.49%	47.60%	-0.29	+7.1	34
2023-02-04	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	55.4	1646	1574	59.98%	17.56%	22.46%	+0.89	+6.0	35
2023-02-04	@ Livingston	L 1-3	55.4	1574	1646	22.46%	17.56%	59.98%	-0.89	-6.0	23
2023-02-04	Motherwell	W 3-1	57.3	1595	1594	51.29%	18.32%	30.39%	+0.45	+7.9	32
2023-02-04	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	57.3	1594	1595	30.39%	18.32%	51.29%	-0.45	-7.9	20
2023-02-04	Ross County	W 2-1	53.7	1930	1571	82.41%	11.68%	5.91%	+2.63	+0.9	61
2023-02-04	@ Rangers	L 1-2	53.7	1571	1930	5.91%	11.68%	82.41%	-2.63	-0.9	21
2023-02-05	Celtic	L 1-4	51.1	1587	1995	9.73%	14.08%	76.19%	-2.03	-3.7	27
2023-02-05	@ St. Johnstone	W 4-1	51.1	1995	1587	76.19%	14.08%	9.73%	+2.03	+3.7	70
2023-02-15	St. Mirren	W 2-1	61.8	1586	1627	45.68%	18.55%	35.77%	+0.20	+5.3	23
2023-02-15	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	61.8	1627	1586	35.77%	18.55%	45.68%	-0.20	-5.3	33
2023-02-18	Aberdeen	W 4-0	42.5	1999	1602	84.26%	10.82%	4.92%	+2.86	+2.7	73
2023-02-18	@ Celtic	L 0-4	42.5	1602	1999	4.92%	10.82%	84.26%	-2.86	-2.7	32
2023-02-18	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	48.7	1668	1568	63.00%	17.15%	19.86%	+1.06	+6.2	37
2023-02-18	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	48.7	1568	1668	19.86%	17.15%	63.00%	-1.06	-6.2	23
2023-02-18	Rangers	L 0-3	48.8	1652	1931	17.70%	16.72%	65.58%	-1.24	-8.1	35
2023-02-18	@ Livingston	W 3-0	48.8	1931	1652	65.58%	16.72%	17.70%	+1.24	+8.1	64
2023-02-18	Ross County	W 1-0	52.1	1622	1570	57.61%	17.82%	24.57%	+0.77	+4.0	36
2023-02-18	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	52.1	1570	1622	24.57%	17.82%	57.61%	-0.77	-4.0	21
2023-02-18	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	66.7	1607	1584	54.23%	18.12%	27.65%	+0.60	-7.5	20
2023-02-18	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	66.7	1584	1607	27.65%	18.12%	54.23%	-0.60	+7.5	30
2023-02-19	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	59.4	1591	1732	31.86%	18.40%	49.74%	-0.41	+13.9	26
2023-02-19	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	59.4	1732	1591	49.74%	18.40%	31.86%	+0.41	-13.9	42
2023-02-25	Dundee United	W 4-0	49.6	1566	1600	46.64%	18.52%	34.84%	+0.24	+19.5	24
2023-02-25	@ Ross County	L 0-4	49.6	1600	1566	34.84%	18.52%	46.64%	-0.24	-19.5	20
2023-02-25	Livingston	W 1-0	56.9	1600	1644	45.20%	18.56%	36.24%	+0.18	+5.6	35
2023-02-25	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	56.9	1644	1600	36.24%	18.56%	45.20%	-0.18	-5.6	35
2023-02-25	Motherwell	D 1-1	70.3	1561	1605	45.30%	18.56%	36.15%	+0.19	-0.3	24
2023-02-25	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	70.3	1605	1561	36.15%	18.56%	45.30%	-0.19	+0.3	27
2023-02-25	St. Mirren	D 1-1	71.4	1591	1626	46.57%	18.52%	34.90%	+0.24	-0.4	31
2023-02-25	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	71.4	1626	1591	34.90%	18.52%	46.57%	-0.24	+0.4	37
2023-03-04	Aberdeen	L 1-3	62.5	1580	1605	47.89%	18.48%	33.63%	+0.30	-11.6	20
2023-03-04	@ Dundee United	W 3-1	62.5	1605	1580	33.63%	18.48%	47.89%	-0.30	+11.6	38
2023-03-04	Hibernian	L 1-4	61.9	1638	1674	46.39%	18.53%	35.08%	+0.23	-16.0	35
2023-03-04	@ Livingston	W 4-1	61.9	1674	1638	35.08%	18.53%	46.39%	-0.23	+16.0	40
2023-03-04	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	51.1	1939	1561	83.36%	11.25%	5.39%	+2.75	+1.4	67
2023-03-04	@ Rangers	L 1-3	51.1	1561	1939	5.39%	11.25%	83.36%	-2.75	-1.4	24
2023-03-04	Motherwell	L 0-2	56.8	1585	1605	48.56%	18.45%	32.99%	+0.33	-13.6	24
2023-03-04	@ Ross County	W 2-0	56.8	1605	1585	32.99%	18.45%	48.56%	-0.33	+13.6	30
2023-03-04	St. Johnstone	W 3-0	47.2	1719	1591	65.72%	16.70%	17.58%	+1.23	+8.0	45
2023-03-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	47.2	1591	1719	17.58%	16.70%	65.72%	-1.23	-8.0	31
2023-03-05	Celtic	L 1-5	49.9	1626	2002	11.33%	14.80%	73.87%	-1.83	-5.6	37
2023-03-05	@ St. Mirren	W 5-1	49.9	2002	1626	73.87%	14.80%	11.33%	+1.83	+5.6	76
2023-03-08	Dundee United	D 1-1	71.1	1622	1569	57.83%	17.80%	24.37%	+0.78	-1.2	36
2023-03-08	@ Livingston	D 1-1	71.1	1569	1622	24.37%	17.80%	57.83%	-0.78	+1.2	21
2023-03-08	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	53.1	2007	1727	77.86%	13.50%	8.63%	+2.16	+2.3	79
2023-03-08	@ Celtic	L 1-3	53.1	1727	2007	8.63%	13.50%	77.86%	-2.16	-2.3	45
2023-03-08	Rangers	L 1-4	55.2	1690	1940	20.12%	17.19%	62.69%	-1.07	-7.7	40
2023-03-08	@ Hibernian	W 4-1	55.2	1940	1690	62.69%	17.19%	20.12%	+1.07	+7.7	70
2023-03-18	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	56.3	1617	1724	36.32%	18.56%	45.12%	-0.20	+18.5	41
2023-03-18	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	56.3	1724	1617	45.12%	18.56%	36.32%	+0.20	-18.5	45
2023-03-18	Hibernian	W 3-1	52.3	2010	1683	80.66%	12.43%	6.91%	+2.44	+1.8	82
2023-03-18	@ Celtic	L 1-3	52.3	1683	2010	6.91%	12.43%	80.66%	-2.44	-1.8	40
2023-03-18	Rangers	L 2-4	59.5	1619	1948	14.07%	15.78%	70.16%	-1.55	-3.4	30
2023-03-18	@ Motherwell	W 4-2	59.5	1948	1619	70.16%	15.78%	14.07%	+1.55	+3.4	73
2023-03-18	Ross County	W 2-1	57.9	1621	1572	57.34%	17.85%	24.81%	+0.75	+3.8	39
2023-03-18	@ Livingston	L 1-2	57.9	1572	1621	24.81%	17.85%	57.34%	-0.75	-3.8	24
2023-03-18	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	69.6	1560	1583	48.13%	18.47%	33.40%	+0.31	-0.5	25
2023-03-18	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	69.6	1583	1560	33.40%	18.47%	48.13%	-0.31	+0.5	32
2023-03-18	St. Mirren	D 1-1	70.8	1570	1620	44.35%	18.57%	37.07%	+0.14	-0.2	22
2023-03-18	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	70.8	1620	1570	37.07%	18.57%	44.35%	-0.14	+0.2	38
2023-04-01	Aberdeen	L 0-1	58.8	1583	1635	44.11%	18.58%	37.31%	+0.13	-6.6	32
2023-04-01	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	58.8	1635	1583	37.31%	18.58%	44.11%	-0.13	+6.6	44
2023-04-01	Dundee United	W 2-0	45.1	1952	1570	83.55%	11.16%	5.29%	+2.77	+1.6	76
2023-04-01	@ Rangers	L 0-2	45.1	1570	1952	5.29%	11.16%	83.55%	-2.77	-1.6	22
2023-04-01	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	67.1	1559	1706	31.18%	18.36%	50.45%	-0.44	+7.0	28
2023-04-01	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	67.1	1706	1559	50.45%	18.36%	31.18%	+0.44	-7.0	45
2023-04-01	Livingston	W 3-0	50.8	1621	1625	50.62%	18.36%	31.02%	+0.42	+13.5	41
2023-04-01	@ St. Mirren	L 0-3	50.8	1625	1621	31.02%	18.36%	50.62%	-0.42	-13.5	39
2023-04-01	Motherwell	L 1-3	67.7	1681	1616	59.17%	17.65%	23.18%	+0.85	-14.0	40
2023-04-01	@ Hibernian	W 3-1	67.7	1616	1681	23.18%	17.65%	59.17%	-0.85	+14.0	33
2023-04-02	Celtic	L 0-2	46.7	1568	2012	8.22%	13.27%	78.51%	-2.24	-2.5	24
2023-04-02	@ Ross County	W 2-0	46.7	2012	1568	78.51%	13.27%	8.22%	+2.24	+2.5	85
2023-04-08	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	49.0	1642	1566	60.35%	17.51%	22.14%	+0.91	+6.9	47
2023-04-08	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	49.0	1566	1642	22.14%	17.51%	60.35%	-0.91	-6.9	28
2023-04-08	Livingston	W 3-0	49.8	1630	1612	53.50%	18.18%	28.33%	+0.56	+12.5	36
2023-04-08	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	49.8	1612	1630	28.33%	18.18%	53.50%	-0.56	-12.5	39
2023-04-08	Rangers	W 3-2	66.7	2014	1953	58.67%	17.71%	23.62%	+0.82	+3.5	88
2023-04-08	@ Celtic	L 2-3	66.7	1953	2014	23.62%	17.71%	58.67%	-0.82	-3.5	76
2023-04-08	Ross County	L 0-2	56.7	1577	1565	52.64%	18.24%	29.13%	+0.52	-14.6	32
2023-04-08	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	56.7	1565	1577	29.13%	18.24%	52.64%	-0.52	+14.6	27
2023-04-08	St. Mirren	L 0-2	62.0	1699	1634	59.08%	17.66%	23.26%	+0.84	-16.2	45
2023-04-08	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	62.0	1634	1699	23.26%	17.66%	59.08%	-0.84	+16.2	44
2023-04-09	Hibernian	W 2-1	64.7	1568	1667	37.52%	18.58%	43.89%	-0.15	+6.2	25
2023-04-09	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	64.7	1667	1568	43.89%	18.58%	37.52%	+0.15	-6.2	40
2023-04-14	Aberdeen	L 0-1	58.3	1580	1649	41.74%	18.60%	39.65%	+0.03	-6.3	27
2023-04-14	@ Ross County	W 1-0	58.3	1649	1580	39.65%	18.60%	41.74%	-0.03	+6.3	50
2023-04-15	Dundee United	L 1-2	68.7	1642	1574	59.43%	17.62%	22.95%	+0.86	-8.1	36
2023-04-15	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	68.7	1574	1642	22.95%	17.62%	59.43%	-0.86	+8.1	28
2023-04-15	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	57.4	1661	1683	48.28%	18.46%	33.25%	+0.32	+5.2	43
2023-04-15	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	57.4	1683	1661	33.25%	18.46%	48.28%	-0.32	-5.2	45
2023-04-15	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	49.2	1599	1562	55.87%	17.99%	26.14%	+0.68	+8.0	42
2023-04-15	@ Livingston	L 0-2	49.2	1562	1599	26.14%	17.99%	55.87%	-0.68	-8.0	32
2023-04-15	St. Mirren	W 5-2	53.1	1950	1650	79.01%	13.08%	7.91%	+2.27	+2.6	79
2023-04-15	@ Rangers	L 2-5	53.1	1650	1950	7.91%	13.08%	79.01%	-2.27	-2.6	44
2023-04-16	Celtic	L 1-4	50.1	1559	2018	7.66%	12.93%	79.42%	-2.33	-2.9	28
2023-04-16	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-1	50.1	2018	1559	79.42%	12.93%	7.66%	+2.33	+2.9	91
2023-04-22	Hibernian	D 1-1	71.5	1554	1666	35.72%	18.54%	45.74%	-0.23	+0.3	33
2023-04-22	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	71.5	1666	1554	45.74%	18.54%	35.72%	+0.23	-0.3	44
2023-04-22	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	60.8	1648	1556	62.03%	17.29%	20.68%	+1.01	-16.9	44
2023-04-22	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	60.8	1556	1648	20.68%	17.29%	62.03%	-1.01	+16.9	31
2023-04-22	Livingston	W 2-0	52.3	1583	1607	47.93%	18.48%	33.60%	+0.30	+10.0	31
2023-04-22	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	52.3	1607	1583	33.60%	18.48%	47.93%	-0.30	-10.0	42
2023-04-22	Motherwell	D 1-1	76.8	2020	1634	83.78%	11.05%	5.17%	+2.80	-2.8	92
2023-04-22	@ Celtic	D 1-1	76.8	1634	2020	5.17%	11.05%	83.78%	-2.80	+2.8	37
2023-04-22	Ross County	W 6-1	49.5	1677	1574	63.30%	17.10%	19.60%	+1.08	+11.9	48
2023-04-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-6	49.5	1574	1677	19.60%	17.10%	63.30%	-1.08	-11.9	27
2023-04-23	Rangers	W 2-0	65.4	1655	1952	16.30%	16.40%	67.30%	-1.35	+18.3	53
2023-04-23	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	65.4	1952	1655	67.30%	16.40%	16.30%	+1.35	-18.3	79

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2023-05-06	Dundee United	W 1-0	54.5	1554	1592	46.07%	18.54%	35.39%	+0.22	+5.5	3
2023-05-06	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	54.5	1592	1554	35.39%	18.54%	46.07%	-0.22	-5.5	0
2023-05-06	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	49.4	1637	1573	58.94%	17.68%	23.38%	+0.84	+7.2	3
2023-05-06	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	49.4	1573	1637	23.38%	17.68%	58.94%	-0.84	-7.2	0
2023-05-06	Livingston	W 2-0	51.9	1562	1597	46.47%	18.53%	35.01%	+0.24	+10.3	3
2023-05-06	@ Ross County	L 0-2	51.9	1597	1562	35.01%	18.53%	46.47%	-0.24	-10.3	0
2023-05-06	St. Mirren	W 2-1	60.2	1665	1631	55.56%	18.02%	26.43%	+0.66	+4.0	3
2023-05-06	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	60.2	1631	1665	26.43%	18.02%	55.56%	-0.66	-4.0	0
2023-05-07	Aberdeen	W 1-0	50.1	1934	1674	76.51%	13.97%	9.52%	+2.03	+1.6	3
2023-05-07	@ Rangers	L 0-1	50.1	1674	1934	9.52%	13.97%	76.51%	-2.03	-1.6	0
2023-05-07	Celtic	L 0-2	49.4	1689	2018	14.12%	15.79%	70.09%	-1.54	-4.4	0
2023-05-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	49.4	2018	1689	70.09%	15.79%	14.12%	+1.54	+4.4	3
2023-05-13	Celtic	W 3-0	56.9	1936	2022	39.22%	18.60%	42.18%	-0.07	+17.5	6
2023-05-13	@ Rangers	L 0-3	56.9	2022	1936	42.18%	18.60%	39.22%	+0.07	-17.5	3
2023-05-13	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	79.0	1627	1685	43.31%	18.59%	38.10%	+0.10	-0.1	1
2023-05-13	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	79.0	1685	1627	38.10%	18.59%	43.31%	-0.10	+0.1	1
2023-05-13	Hibernian	D 0-0	69.0	1672	1670	51.53%	18.31%	30.17%	+0.47	-0.8	1
2023-05-13	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	69.0	1670	1672	30.17%	18.31%	51.53%	-0.47	+0.8	4
2023-05-13	Livingston	W 2-0	51.2	1566	1587	48.46%	18.46%	33.09%	+0.33	+9.9	3
2023-05-13	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	51.2	1587	1566	33.09%	18.46%	48.46%	-0.33	-9.8	0
2023-05-13	Motherwell	L 0-2	54.4	1560	1644	39.57%	18.60%	41.82%	-0.06	-11.4	3
2023-05-13	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	54.4	1644	1560	41.82%	18.60%	39.57%	+0.06	+11.4	6
2023-05-13	Ross County	L 1-3	63.3	1587	1572	53.10%	18.20%	28.69%	+0.54	-12.7	0
2023-05-13	@ Dundee United	W 3-1	63.3	1572	1587	28.69%	18.20%	53.10%	-0.54	+12.7	6
2023-05-20	Aberdeen	W 2-1	61.7	1685	1671	52.96%	18.21%	28.82%	+0.53	+4.4	4
2023-05-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	61.7	1671	1685	28.82%	18.21%	52.96%	-0.53	-4.4	1
2023-05-20	Dundee United	W 2-1	58.5	1577	1574	51.56%	18.30%	30.13%	+0.47	+4.5	3
2023-05-20	@ Livingston	L 1-2	58.5	1574	1577	30.13%	18.30%	51.56%	-0.47	-4.5	0
2023-05-20	Ross County	W 1-0	52.5	1655	1585	59.74%	17.59%	22.67%	+0.88	+3.7	9
2023-05-20	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	52.5	1585	1655	22.67%	17.59%	59.74%	-0.88	-3.7	6
2023-05-20	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	59.5	1576	1548	54.70%	18.09%	27.22%	+0.62	-8.0	3
2023-05-20	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	59.5	1548	1576	27.22%	18.09%	54.70%	-0.62	+8.0	6
2023-05-20	St. Mirren	D 2-2	82.8	2005	1627	83.35%	11.25%	5.40%	+2.75	-2.1	4
2023-05-20	@ Celtic	D 2-2	82.8	1627	2005	5.40%	11.25%	83.35%	-2.75	+2.1	2
2023-05-21	Rangers	L 1-3	56.6	1670	1953	17.39%	16.65%	65.96%	-1.27	-4.7	4
2023-05-21	@ Hibernian	W 3-1	56.6	1953	1670	65.96%	16.65%	17.39%	+1.27	+4.7	9
2023-05-24	Celtic	W 4-2	76.6	1666	2002	13.57%	15.62%	70.81%	-1.60	+14.8	7
2023-05-24	@ Hibernian	L 2-4	76.6	2002	1666	70.81%	15.62%	13.57%	+1.60	-14.8	4
2023-05-24	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	82.0	1958	1689	77.05%	13.79%	9.16%	+2.08	-1.8	10
2023-05-24	@ Rangers	D 2-2	82.0	1689	1958	9.16%	13.79%	77.05%	-2.08	+1.8	5
2023-05-24	Kilmarnock	L 0-3	54.3	1570	1568	51.43%	18.31%	30.26%	+0.46	-20.7	0
2023-05-24	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	54.3	1568	1570	30.26%	18.31%	51.43%	-0.46	+20.7	6
2023-05-24	Motherwell	D 1-1	71.9	1582	1659	40.50%	18.61%	40.89%	-0.02	+0.0	4
2023-05-24	@ Livingston	D 1-1	71.9	1659	1582	40.89%	18.61%	40.50%	+0.02	-0.0	10
2023-05-24	St. Johnstone	D 3-3	79.9	1581	1556	54.35%	18.11%	27.53%	+0.60	-0.6	7
2023-05-24	@ Ross County	D 3-3	79.9	1556	1581	27.53%	18.11%	54.35%	-0.60	+0.6	7
2023-05-24	St. Mirren	W 3-0	49.9	1667	1629	55.98%	17.98%	26.05%	+0.68	+11.6	4
2023-05-24	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	49.9	1629	1667	26.05%	17.98%	55.98%	-0.68	-11.6	2
2023-05-27	Aberdeen	W 5-0	44.2	1988	1678	79.62%	12.85%	7.53%	+2.33	+5.4	7
2023-05-27	@ Celtic	L 0-5	44.2	1678	1988	7.53%	12.85%	79.62%	-2.33	-5.4	4
2023-05-27	Hibernian	D 1-1	73.6	1691	1680	52.58%	18.24%	29.18%	+0.52	-0.8	6
2023-05-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	73.6	1680	1691	29.18%	18.24%	52.58%	-0.52	+0.8	8
2023-05-27	Rangers	L 0-3	47.1	1617	1956	13.46%	15.58%	70.95%	-1.61	-6.1	2
2023-05-27	@ St. Mirren	W 3-0	47.1	1956	1617	70.95%	15.58%	13.46%	+1.61	+6.1	13
2023-05-28	Dundee United	W 3-2	61.7	1659	1549	63.97%	16.99%	19.04%	+1.12	+2.8	13
2023-05-28	@ Motherwell	L 2-3	61.7	1549	1659	19.04%	16.99%	63.97%	-1.12	-2.8	0
2023-05-28	Livingston	W 2-0	50.9	1557	1582	47.94%	18.48%	33.59%	+0.30	+10.0	10
2023-05-28	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-2	50.9	1582	1557	33.59%	18.48%	47.94%	-0.30	-10.0	4
2023-05-28	Ross County	W 3-1	56.5	1589	1581	52.25%	18.26%	29.49%	+0.50	+7.7	9
2023-05-28	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	56.5	1581	1589	29.49%	18.26%	52.25%	-0.50	-7.7	7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2022-09-18	12.15%	@ St. Mirren	1607	2	Celtic	1968	0
2	2023-05-24	13.57%	@ Hibernian	1666	4	Celtic	2002	2
3	2022-11-06	14.84%	@ St. Johnstone	1589	2	Rangers	1907	1
4	2023-04-23	16.30%	@ Aberdeen	1655	2	Rangers	1952	0
5	2023-04-22	20.68%	Kilmarnock	1556	2	@ St. Mirren	1648	0
6	2022-10-21	21.08%	St. Johnstone	1575	2	@ Hibernian	1662	1
7	2022-11-08	21.42%	Ross County	1571	2	@ Hibernian	1654	0
8	2022-10-08	21.95%	Ross County	1567	1	@ Livingston	1645	0
9	2023-04-15	22.95%	Dundee United	1574	2	@ Motherwell	1642	1
10	2023-04-01	23.18%	Motherwell	1616	3	@ Hibernian	1681	1
11	2023-04-08	23.26%	St. Mirren	1634	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1699	0
12	2022-08-06	24.18%	St. Johnstone	1568	2	@ Motherwell	1623	1
13	2023-02-01	26.13%	St. Johnstone	1572	2	@ Motherwell	1609	0
14	2022-08-20	27.10%	St. Mirren	1596	3	@ Dundee United	1625	0
15	2023-05-20	27.22%	St. Johnstone	1548	1	@ Kilmarnock	1576	0
16	2023-02-18	27.65%	St. Johnstone	1584	2	@ Dundee United	1607	1
17	2022-08-13	28.28%	Motherwell	1615	3	@ Aberdeen	1634	2
18	2023-05-13	28.69%	Ross County	1572	3	@ Dundee United	1587	1
19	2023-04-08	29.13%	Ross County	1565	2	@ St. Johnstone	1577	0
20	2022-10-01	29.67%	St. Johnstone	1578	2	@ Dundee United	1585	1
21	2023-05-24	30.26%	Kilmarnock	1568	3	@ Dundee United	1570	0
22	2022-10-04	31.09%	Motherwell	1605	5	@ Ross County	1600	0
23	2023-04-01	31.18%	@ Kilmarnock	1559	2	Heart of Midlothian	1706	1
24	2022-07-31	31.39%	Motherwell	1616	1	@ St. Mirren	1609	0
25	2023-01-08	31.50%	Hibernian	1630	3	@ Motherwell	1622	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-10-04	32.88	Motherwell	5	1605	31.09%	@ Ross County	0	1600	50.55%	18.36%
2	2023-01-28	25.06	@ Hibernian	6	1636	51.82%	Aberdeen	0	1631	29.90%	18.29%
3	2022-08-27	23.71	@ Aberdeen	5	1633	47.24%	Livingston	0	1663	34.26%	18.50%
4	2022-10-08	22.50	@ Dundee United	4	1578	40.01%	Aberdeen	0	1659	41.39%	18.61%
5	2022-08-20	21.97	St. Mirren	3	1596	27.10%	@ Dundee United	0	1625	54.83%	18.08%
6	2023-05-24	20.74	Kilmarnock	3	1568	30.26%	@ Dundee United	0	1570	51.43%	18.31%
7	2022-09-18	19.59	@ St. Mirren	2	1607	12.15%	Celtic	0	1968	72.73%	15.12%
8	2023-02-25	19.51	@ Ross County	4	1566	46.64%	Dundee United	0	1600	34.84%	18.52%
9	2023-03-18	18.51	@ Aberdeen	3	1617	36.32%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1724	45.12%	18.56%
10	2022-12-24	18.41	@ Hibernian	4	1630	49.04%	Livingston	0	1647	32.53%	18.43%
11	2023-04-23	18.27	@ Aberdeen	2	1655	16.30%	Rangers	0	1952	67.30%	16.40%
12	2022-08-28	17.70	Celtic	9	1937	70.54%	@ Dundee United	0	1603	13.77%	15.68%
13	2022-11-09	17.55	@ Dundee United	4	1594	50.88%	Kilmarnock	0	1597	30.77%	18.34%
14	2023-05-13	17.50	@ Rangers	3	1936	39.22%	Celtic	0	2022	42.18%	18.60%
15	2022-10-01	17.40	Rangers	4	1879	51.20%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1727	30.47%	18.32%
16	2023-04-22	16.94	Kilmarnock	2	1556	20.68%	@ St. Mirren	0	1648	62.03%	17.29%
17	2022-11-08	16.72	Ross County	2	1571	21.42%	@ Hibernian	0	1654	61.17%	17.41%
18	2022-09-18	16.39	Heart of Midlothian	3	1711	42.46%	@ Motherwell	0	1622	38.94%	18.60%
19	2022-09-03	16.25	@ St. Johnstone	3	1563	42.87%	St. Mirren	0	1624	38.53%	18.60%
20	2023-04-08	16.19	St. Mirren	2	1634	23.26%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1699	59.08%	17.66%
21	2023-01-18	16.08	@ Heart of Midlothian	5	1724	60.37%	Aberdeen	0	1648	22.12%	17.51%
22	2023-03-04	15.98	Hibernian	4	1674	35.08%	@ Livingston	1	1638	46.39%	18.53%
23	2023-02-01	15.39	St. Johnstone	2	1572	26.13%	@ Motherwell	0	1609	55.89%	17.99%
24	2023-05-24	14.82	@ Hibernian	4	1666	13.57%	Celtic	2	2002	70.81%	15.62%
25	2023-04-08	14.58	Ross County	2	1565	29.13%	@ St. Johnstone	0	1577	52.64%	18.24%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-05-20	82.8	@ Celtic	2	2005	83.35%	St. Mirren	2	1627	5.40%	11.25%
2	2023-05-24	82.0	@ Rangers	2	1958	77.05%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1689	9.16%	13.79%
3	2022-08-20	80.8	@ Hibernian	2	1648	21.10%	Rangers	2	1888	61.55%	17.35%
4	2023-01-02	80.7	@ Rangers	2	1908	40.75%	Celtic	2	1984	40.64%	18.61%
5	2023-05-24	79.9	@ Ross County	3	1581	54.35%	St. Johnstone	3	1556	27.53%	18.11%
6	2022-10-09	79.0	@ Kilmarnock	2	1602	36.34%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1710	45.10%	18.56%
7	2022-12-24	79.0	@ Dundee United	2	1608	37.66%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1705	43.76%	18.58%
8	2023-05-13	79.0	@ St. Mirren	2	1627	43.31%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1685	38.10%	18.59%
9	2023-01-14	78.3	@ Hibernian	2	1637	53.19%	Dundee United	2	1621	28.61%	18.20%
10	2022-11-09	77.4	@ St. Mirren	2	1612	52.98%	St. Johnstone	2	1598	28.80%	18.21%
11	2022-12-23	77.4	@ Motherwell	2	1626	56.93%	Kilmarnock	2	1580	25.18%	17.89%
12	2023-04-22	76.8	@ Celtic	1	2020	83.78%	Motherwell	1	1634	5.17%	11.05%
13	2023-05-24	76.6	@ Hibernian	4	1666	13.57%	Celtic	2	2002	70.81%	15.62%
14	2022-10-22	75.8	@ Rangers	1	1905	76.84%	Livingston	1	1640	9.30%	13.86%
15	2022-11-12	74.9	@ St. Mirren	1	1612	17.00%	Rangers	1	1899	66.44%	16.56%
16	2022-11-06	73.9	@ St. Johnstone	2	1589	14.84%	Rangers	1	1907	69.15%	16.01%
17	2022-11-12	73.6	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1701	57.93%	Livingston	1	1647	24.28%	17.79%
18	2023-05-27	73.6	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1691	52.58%	Hibernian	1	1680	29.18%	18.24%
19	2022-08-07	73.5	@ Hibernian	1	1653	43.48%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1710	37.93%	18.59%
20	2023-01-07	73.3	@ St. Mirren	1	1624	37.79%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1720	43.62%	18.59%
21	2022-08-13	73.2	Motherwell	3	1615	28.28%	@ Aberdeen	2	1634	53.54%	18.17%
22	2022-07-30	72.5	@ Kilmarnock	1	1633	50.25%	Dundee United	1	1640	31.37%	18.37%
23	2022-09-03	72.4	@ Ross County	1	1612	45.19%	Aberdeen	1	1657	36.25%	18.56%
24	2023-01-08	72.3	Hibernian	3	1630	31.50%	@ Motherwell	2	1622	50.12%	18.38%
25	2022-12-28	72.2	@ Livingston	1	1628	51.96%	St. Mirren	1	1623	29.76%	18.28%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-02-18	42.5	@ Celtic	4	1999	84.26%	Aberdeen	0	1602	4.92%	10.82%
2	2023-01-18	43.0	@ Celtic	4	1986	82.71%	St. Mirren	0	1621	5.74%	11.55%
3	2022-08-13	43.6	@ Rangers	4	1883	79.51%	St. Johnstone	0	1576	7.60%	12.89%
4	2023-02-01	44.0	@ Celtic	3	1993	81.58%	Livingston	0	1649	6.38%	12.04%
5	2023-05-27	44.2	@ Celtic	5	1988	79.62%	Aberdeen	0	1678	7.53%	12.85%
6	2022-08-27	44.5	@ Rangers	4	1887	77.08%	Ross County	0	1618	9.14%	13.78%
7	2022-10-08	44.6	@ Rangers	4	1897	76.82%	St. Mirren	0	1632	9.31%	13.87%
8	2022-12-28	45.0	@ Rangers	3	1905	77.78%	Motherwell	0	1625	8.69%	13.53%
9	2023-01-07	45.0	@ Celtic	2	1984	84.34%	Kilmarnock	0	1586	4.87%	10.78%
10	2023-04-01	45.1	@ Rangers	2	1952	83.55%	Dundee United	0	1570	5.29%	11.16%
11	2023-01-28	45.6	@ Rangers	2	1916	81.49%	St. Johnstone	0	1574	6.43%	12.08%
12	2022-07-31	46.7	@ Celtic	2	1914	78.29%	Aberdeen	0	1626	8.36%	13.35%
13	2023-04-02	46.7	Celtic	2	2012	78.51%	@ Ross County	0	1568	8.22%	13.27%
14	2022-12-28	46.9	Celtic	4	1976	69.97%	@ Hibernian	0	1649	14.21%	15.82%
15	2023-05-27	47.1	Rangers	3	1956	70.95%	@ St. Mirren	0	1617	13.46%	15.58%
16	2023-03-04	47.2	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1719	65.72%	St. Johnstone	0	1591	17.58%	16.70%
17	2022-08-06	47.4	@ Rangers	2	1880	75.67%	Kilmarnock	0	1632	10.08%	14.25%
18	2022-10-15	47.5	@ Celtic	6	1951	78.04%	Hibernian	1	1668	8.52%	13.44%
19	2022-10-30	47.7	Celtic	3	1959	69.08%	@ Livingston	0	1642	14.90%	16.02%
20	2022-08-14	47.9	Celtic	5	1921	66.83%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1629	16.68%	16.49%
21	2022-08-28	48.2	Celtic	9	1937	70.54%	@ Dundee United	0	1603	13.77%	15.68%
22	2022-12-28	48.2	@ Dundee United	3	1608	55.00%	Ross County	0	1578	26.93%	18.06%
23	2022-08-21	48.4	@ Celtic	2	1933	73.21%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1718	11.80%	14.99%
24	2023-01-29	48.4	Celtic	2	1989	73.21%	@ Dundee United	0	1622	11.80%	14.99%
25	2023-02-18	48.7	@ Hibernian	2	1668	63.00%	Kilmarnock	0	1568	19.86%	17.15%