2023-24 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

93 points · 54th Title

Last Title: 2022-23

Relegated

Livingston

25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Celtic

4.77 points above expected

93 points · 88.23 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dundee

3.21 points below expected

42 points · 45.21 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	24	6	3	78	80	26	+54	72.76	+5.24
2	Rangers	33	24	3	6	75	72	23	+49	71.34	+3.66
3	Heart of Midlothian	33	19	5	9	62	46	34	+12	51.70	+10.30
4	Kilmarnock	33	13	12	8	51	43	34	+9	42.60	+8.40
5	St. Mirren	33	12	7	14	43	38	43	-5	42.55	+0.45
6	Dundee	33	10	11	12	41	44	54	-10	39.68	+1.32
7	Hibernian	33	9	12	12	39	44	51	-7	45.11	-6.11
8	Motherwell	33	8	13	12	37	46	51	-5	41.87	-4.87
9	Aberdeen	33	8	11	14	35	35	49	-14	41.86	-6.86
10	St. Johnstone	33	7	10	16	31	24	46	-22	32.76	-1.76
11	Ross County	33	7	9	17	30	32	56	-24	31.32	-1.32
12	Livingston	33	3	9	21	18	22	59	-37	31.13	-13.13

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	38	29	6	3	93	95	30	+65	88.23	+4.77
2	Rangers	38	27	4	7	85	87	32	+55	85.08	-0.08
3	Heart of Midlothian	38	20	8	10	68	54	42	+12	68.86	-0.86
4	Kilmarnock	38	14	14	10	56	46	44	+2	56.59	-0.59
5	St. Mirren	38	13	8	17	47	46	52	-6	47.42	-0.42
6	Dundee	38	10	12	16	42	49	68	-19	45.21	-3.21
7	Aberdeen	38	12	12	14	48	48	52	-4	46.42	+1.58
8	Hibernian	38	11	13	14	46	52	59	-7	45.42	+0.58
9	Motherwell	38	10	13	15	43	56	59	-3	43.28	-0.28
10	St. Johnstone	38	8	11	19	35	29	54	-25	37.31	-2.31
11	Ross County	38	8	11	19	35	38	67	-29	35.71	-0.71
12	Livingston Relegated	38	5	10	23	25	29	70	-41	22.75	+2.25

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Celtic	93	88.23	+4.77
2	Livingston	25	22.75	+2.25
3	Aberdeen	48	46.42	+1.58
4	Hibernian	46	45.42	+0.58
5	Rangers	85	85.08	-0.08

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dundee	42	45.21	-3.21
2	St. Johnstone	35	37.31	-2.31
3	Heart of Midlothian	68	68.86	-0.86
4	Ross County	35	35.71	-0.71
5	Kilmarnock	56	56.59	-0.59

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Heart of Midlothian	6	Jan 2 – Feb 17	1 in 43
2	Aberdeen	4	Apr 27 – May 15	1 in 32
3	Rangers	9	Jan 2 – Feb 28	1 in 23
4	Celtic	6	Sep 3 – Oct 22	1 in 22
5	Motherwell	3	Aug 13 – Sep 3	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Livingston	7	Oct 21 – Dec 9	1 in 183
2	Celtic	2	Dec 10 – Dec 16	1 in 91
3	Hibernian	3	Aug 6 – Aug 26	1 in 46
4	Aberdeen	4	Feb 24 – Mar 13	1 in 46
5	Motherwell	4	Sep 16 – Oct 7	1 in 32

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Heart of Midlothian	10	Dec 16 – Feb 17	1 in 32
2	St. Mirren	7	Aug 6 – Sep 30	1 in 28
3	Aberdeen	9	Mar 16 – May 19	1 in 27
4	Kilmarnock	6	Dec 6 – Dec 30	1 in 23
5	Hibernian	6	Oct 28 – Dec 3	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	15	Sep 16 – Dec 24	1 in 476
2	Livingston	17	Oct 21 – Feb 7	1 in 109
3	Aberdeen	11	Jan 24 – Mar 13	1 in 73
4	Hibernian	8	Dec 16 – Feb 17	1 in 33
5	Rangers	3	Apr 7 – Apr 17	1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	1964	93	+36	15	10.6	+4.4
Rangers	1922	85	+5	10	9.9	+0.1
Heart of Midlothian	1751	68	+2	6	6.7	-0.7
Kilmarnock	1668	56	-14	5	5.3	-0.3
Aberdeen	1647	48	+59	13	8.2	+4.8
St. Mirren	1627	47	+3	4	4.6	-0.6
Hibernian	1616	46	-12	7	8.1	-1.1
Motherwell	1611	43	-12	6	8.3	-2.3
Dundee	1580	42	-31	1	4.3	-3.3
Ross County	1487	35	-23	5	5.4	-0.4
St. Johnstone	1522	35	-15	4	5.9	-1.9
Livingston	1468	25	+3	7	5.1	+1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DUN	HOM	HIB	KIL	LIV	MOT	RAN	RC	SJ	SM
Aberdeen	—	0-1-2 1.78	0-2-1 4.11	1-0-2 3.24	1-1-2 5.33	0-0-3 4.14	2-2-0 7.12	3-1-0 5.17	1-1-1 1.71	3-1-0 6.62	1-2-1 7.14	0-1-2 3.94
Celtic	2-1-0 6.58	—	4-0-0 9.29	2-0-2 8.46	2-1-0 6.68	2-1-1 9.19	3-0-0 7.29	2-1-0 6.80	3-1-0 5.59	3-0-0 7.28	2-1-0 7.42	4-0-0 9.42
Dundee	1-2-0 4.04	0-0-4 1.96	—	1-0-3 3.76	0-1-2 3.47	0-4-0 5.06	3-0-0 4.39	0-2-1 4.02	0-1-3 2.04	2-1-0 4.85	2-1-0 4.47	1-0-3 4.94
Heart of Midlothian	2-0-1 4.94	2-0-2 2.64	3-0-1 7.19	—	1-2-0 4.87	1-3-0 6.51	3-0-0 6.18	2-0-1 4.96	0-1-3 2.94	1-1-1 5.71	3-0-0 5.40	2-1-1 6.45
Hibernian	2-1-1 5.55	0-1-2 1.69	2-1-0 4.71	0-2-1 3.32	—	1-2-0 4.27	2-1-1 7.34	1-2-1 5.53	0-0-3 1.77	1-2-1 7.31	2-0-2 7.08	0-1-2 4.62
Kilmarnock	3-0-0 4.03	1-1-2 2.04	0-4-0 5.82	0-3-1 4.39	0-2-1 3.89	—	2-1-0 5.16	1-1-1 3.91	1-0-3 2.30	1-1-1 5.14	2-0-1 5.07	3-1-0 5.55
Livingston	0-2-2 3.82	0-0-3 1.22	0-0-3 3.78	0-0-3 2.13	1-1-2 3.61	0-1-2 3.03	—	1-0-3 4.05	0-0-3 1.28	1-2-1 5.01	1-3-0 5.05	1-1-1 3.22
Motherwell	0-1-3 5.71	0-1-2 1.61	1-2-0 4.13	1-0-2 3.23	1-2-1 5.36	1-1-1 4.25	3-0-1 6.87	—	1-0-2 1.54	2-1-1 6.58	0-3-1 6.50	0-2-1 4.25
Rangers	1-1-1 6.67	0-1-3 5.29	3-1-0 9.20	3-1-0 8.10	3-0-0 6.60	3-0-1 8.86	3-0-0 7.22	2-0-1 6.88	—	2-0-1 7.19	3-0-0 7.05	4-0-0 8.65
Ross County	0-1-3 4.29	0-0-3 1.23	0-1-2 3.33	1-1-1 2.54	1-2-1 3.64	1-1-1 3.06	1-2-1 5.86	1-1-2 4.32	1-0-2 1.31	—	1-1-2 5.50	1-1-1 3.37
St. Johnstone	1-2-1 3.79	0-1-2 1.12	0-1-2 3.69	0-0-3 2.81	2-0-2 3.85	1-0-2 3.11	0-3-1 5.83	1-3-0 4.41	0-0-3 1.41	2-1-1 5.38	—	1-0-2 2.95
St. Mirren	2-1-0 4.24	0-0-4 1.86	3-0-1 5.94	1-1-2 4.45	2-1-0 3.55	0-1-3 5.32	1-1-1 4.96	1-2-0 3.92	0-0-4 2.48	1-1-1 4.80	2-0-1 5.24	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.87	+9.5
Allowed	0.87	-14.3
Differential	0.97	+6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.58%	8.33%	6.58%	4.17%	1.32%	1.10%	28.07%
1	8.33%	10.09%	7.24%	3.29%	1.10%	0.66%	30.70%
2	6.58%	7.24%	7.89%	1.75%	0.66%	0.44%	24.56%
3	4.17%	3.29%	1.75%	2.19%	—	—	11.40%
4	1.32%	1.10%	0.66%	—	—	—	3.07%
5+	1.10%	0.66%	0.44%	—	—	—	2.19%
Total	28.07%	30.70%	24.56%	11.40%	3.07%	2.19%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.38	+0.00
SD	1.24	1.24	1.88
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	5.26%	18.42%	2.63%	—	2.63%	39.47%
1	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
2	—	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	15.79%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	26.32%	28.95%	34.21%	7.89%	—	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	1.37	-0.11
SD	1.41	1.22	2.02
CV	1.11	0.89	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
1	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
2	2.63%	15.79%	—	—	—	—	18.42%
3	21.05%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	39.47%
4	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	39.47%	44.74%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.50	0.79	+1.71
SD	1.56	0.78	1.81
CV	0.62	0.98	—
Max	7	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	—	2.63%	7.89%	—	2.63%	23.68%
1	10.53%	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	—	2.63%	36.84%
2	5.26%	5.26%	10.53%	7.89%	—	2.63%	31.58%
3	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
4	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	15.79%	23.68%	23.68%	—	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.79	-0.50
SD	1.04	1.65	1.98
CV	0.80	0.92	—
Max	4	7	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	21.05%
1	15.79%	5.26%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	18.42%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	34.21%
3	2.63%	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.11%	23.68%	23.68%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.11	+0.32
SD	1.03	1.25	1.63
CV	0.72	1.13	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	—	5.26%	5.26%	—	21.05%
1	5.26%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	28.95%
2	10.53%	5.26%	21.05%	5.26%	—	—	42.11%
3	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	21.05%	31.58%	13.16%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.55	-0.18
SD	0.91	1.25	1.74
CV	0.67	0.80	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	—	2.63%	21.05%
1	18.42%	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	47.37%
2	7.89%	5.26%	13.16%	—	—	—	26.32%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	36.84%	28.95%	23.68%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.16	+0.05
SD	0.99	1.22	1.49
CV	0.82	1.05	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	13.16%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	44.74%
1	2.63%	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	36.84%
2	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	15.79%
3	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	28.95%	18.42%	21.05%	10.53%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.76	1.84	-1.08
SD	0.82	1.39	1.55
CV	1.07	0.75	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	28.95%
1	2.63%	18.42%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
2	—	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	15.79%
3	—	5.26%	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	15.79%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	7.89%	50.00%	23.68%	15.79%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.55	-0.08
SD	1.41	0.95	1.71
CV	0.96	0.61	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
1	7.89%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
2	15.79%	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
3	10.53%	10.53%	—	5.26%	—	—	26.32%
4	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	47.37%	31.58%	10.53%	10.53%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.29	0.84	+1.45
SD	1.33	1.00	1.75
CV	0.58	1.19	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	15.79%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	44.74%
1	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	21.05%
2	2.63%	5.26%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	28.95%	34.21%	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.76	-0.76
SD	1.07	1.30	1.70
CV	1.07	0.74	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	18.42%	2.63%	2.63%	—	39.47%
1	10.53%	15.79%	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	44.74%
2	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	15.79%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	31.58%	34.21%	10.53%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.76	1.42	-0.66
SD	0.71	1.03	1.34
CV	0.94	0.72	—
Max	2	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	15.79%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	34.21%
1	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	—	26.32%
2	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	2.63%	26.32%
3	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	34.21%	23.68%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.37	-0.16
SD	1.12	1.22	1.84
CV	0.92	0.89	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1964	93	72.76	+20.24	84.0%	60	64	69	73	76	82	86
Rangers	1922	85	71.34	+13.66	78.0%	52	61	68	71	75	82	87
Heart of Midlothian	1751	68	51.70	+16.30	96.0%	32	40	46	52	57	62	69
Kilmarnock	1668	56	42.60	+13.40	92.0%	27	30	37	43	48	54	60
Aberdeen	1647	48	41.86	+6.14	16.0%	26	32	37	42	46	51	56
St. Mirren	1627	47	42.55	+4.45	56.0%	26	33	37	42	48	53	56
Hibernian	1616	46	45.11	+0.89	26.0%	31	35	39	44	51	56	62
Motherwell	1611	43	41.87	+1.13	30.0%	22	28	36	41	48	56	59
Dundee	1580	42	39.68	+2.32	64.0%	22	29	35	40	43	51	63
St. Johnstone	1522	35	32.76	+2.24	45.0%	18	23	28	32	38	42	48
Ross County	1487	35	31.32	+3.68	48.0%	18	21	28	31	35	42	52
Livingston	1468	25	31.13	-6.13	2.0%	18	20	25	31	37	43	48

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.72%

Slight Edge

42.98%26.75%30.26%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 44.43 Elo pts.

173 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.28 goals

Neutral

-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.0

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

58%

Celtic, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.21/gm

Comfortable

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.44 * Some Luck: 5.44 to 8.15 * Lucky: 8.15 to 10.87 * Wild Swing: 10.87 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.29 * Close: 1.29 to 1.93 * Off: 1.93 to 2.57 * Way Off: 2.57 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.56 * A Surprise: 0.56 to 0.9 * Several Surprises: 0.9 to 1.23 * Many Surprises: 1.23 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.47 points

Some Luck

06.7917

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.614

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

96.00%

Heart of Midlothian

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

2.00%

Livingston

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

0 of 1

As Expected

00.61

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 145.69

2.55

Wide Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

67%

Slight Edge

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

94%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Very Frequent

0%58%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Occasional

0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.56

Highly Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.40

Slight Separation

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.87

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.87

Near-Lock

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

16%

Solid Favorites

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.74

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.09

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.054

Well Within Noise

00.1120.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	58.00%	41.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	42.00%	53.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	5.00%	43.00%	23.00%	10.00%	11.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	10.00%	14.00%	13.00%	16.00%	10.00%	17.00%	6.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%
St. Mirren	—	—	10.00%	11.00%	14.00%	19.00%	11.00%	13.00%	11.00%	7.00%	4.00%	—
Dundee	—	1.00%	3.00%	8.00%	10.00%	13.00%	11.00%	9.00%	21.00%	13.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Aberdeen	—	—	4.00%	12.00%	14.00%	15.00%	19.00%	12.00%	8.00%	10.00%	2.00%	4.00%
Hibernian	—	—	14.00%	19.00%	17.00%	11.00%	11.00%	15.00%	6.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Motherwell	—	—	10.00%	10.00%	15.00%	8.00%	21.00%	8.00%	9.00%	10.00%	4.00%	5.00%
St. Johnstone	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	13.00%	14.00%	15.00%	27.00%	20.00%
Ross County	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	12.00%	20.00%	32.00%	23.00%
Livingston	—	—	—	—	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	12.00%	13.00%	16.00%	41.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	80.55%	19.45%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	19.45%	80.55%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	99.92%	0.08%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	0.08%	98.64%	1.28%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
St. Mirren	—	—	—	1.12%	71.67%	27.21%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee	—	—	—	0.16%	27.05%	72.79%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	—	—	—	—	—	—	52.90%	31.52%	14.03%	1.50%	0.05%	—
Hibernian	—	—	—	—	—	—	34.07%	39.67%	22.98%	3.02%	0.26%	—
Motherwell	—	—	—	—	—	—	12.61%	26.30%	50.54%	9.12%	1.43%	—
St. Johnstone	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.30%	1.94%	8.54%	56.81%	32.39%	0.02%
Ross County	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.12%	0.57%	3.91%	29.55%	65.78%	0.07%
Livingston	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.09%	99.91%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Celtic	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—	—
Hibernian	96.00%	4.00%	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
Kilmarnock	95.00%	3.00%	2.00%
St. Mirren	95.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Aberdeen	94.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Dundee	90.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Motherwell	94.00%	3.00%	3.00%
St. Johnstone	56.00%	29.00%	15.00%
Ross County	37.00%	35.00%	28.00%
Livingston	43.00%	13.00%	44.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	99.95%	0.05%	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Dundee	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—	—
Hibernian	99.74%	0.26%	—
Kilmarnock	100%	—	—
Motherwell	98.57%	1.43%	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
St. Mirren	100%	—	—
St. Johnstone	67.59%	32.39%	0.02%
Ross County	34.15%	65.78%	0.07%
Livingston	—	0.09%	99.91%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2023-08-05	Aberdeen	D 0-0	64.1	1577	1651	31.90%	28.27%	39.83%	-0.17	+0.4	1
2023-08-05	@ Livingston	D 0-0	64.1	1651	1577	39.83%	28.27%	31.90%	+0.17	-0.4	1
2023-08-05	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	53.7	1577	1665	30.13%	28.14%	41.72%	-0.25	-13.5	0
2023-08-05	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	53.7	1665	1577	41.72%	28.14%	30.13%	+0.25	+13.5	3
2023-08-05	Motherwell	D 1-1	68.8	1581	1643	33.52%	28.34%	38.14%	-0.10	+0.2	1
2023-08-05	@ Dundee	D 1-1	68.8	1643	1581	38.14%	28.34%	33.52%	+0.10	-0.2	1
2023-08-05	Rangers	W 1-0	67.1	1597	1852	14.84%	23.28%	61.88%	-1.22	+12.5	3
2023-08-05	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	67.1	1852	1597	61.88%	23.28%	14.84%	+1.22	-12.5	0
2023-08-05	Ross County	W 4-2	56.2	1873	1582	73.87%	17.38%	8.76%	+1.94	+3.0	3
2023-08-05	@ Celtic	L 2-4	56.2	1582	1873	8.76%	17.38%	73.87%	-1.94	-3.0	0
2023-08-06	St. Mirren	L 2-3	73.8	1658	1607	48.96%	27.17%	23.87%	+0.55	-9.3	0
2023-08-06	@ Hibernian	W 3-2	73.8	1607	1658	23.87%	27.17%	48.96%	-0.55	+9.3	3
2023-08-12	Dundee	W 2-1	60.3	1617	1581	47.06%	27.50%	25.44%	+0.46	+5.9	6
2023-08-12	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	60.3	1581	1617	25.44%	27.50%	47.06%	-0.46	-5.9	1
2023-08-12	Livingston	W 4-0	44.8	1839	1577	71.42%	18.72%	9.86%	+1.78	+8.5	3
2023-08-12	@ Rangers	L 0-4	44.8	1577	1839	9.86%	18.72%	71.42%	-1.78	-8.5	1
2023-08-12	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	50.6	1579	1563	44.54%	27.86%	27.60%	+0.35	+12.6	3
2023-08-12	@ Ross County	L 0-2	50.6	1563	1579	27.60%	27.86%	44.54%	-0.35	-12.6	0
2023-08-13	Celtic	L 1-3	57.1	1651	1876	16.80%	24.51%	58.69%	-1.05	-7.0	1
2023-08-13	@ Aberdeen	W 3-1	57.1	1876	1651	58.69%	24.51%	16.80%	+1.05	+7.0	6
2023-08-13	Hibernian	W 2-1	63.7	1643	1648	41.60%	28.15%	30.24%	+0.23	+6.8	4
2023-08-13	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	63.7	1648	1643	30.24%	28.15%	41.60%	-0.23	-6.8	0
2023-08-13	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	65.5	1678	1609	51.28%	26.68%	22.04%	+0.66	-1.5	4
2023-08-13	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	65.5	1609	1678	22.04%	26.68%	51.28%	-0.66	+1.5	4
2023-08-26	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	61.4	1650	1611	47.53%	27.43%	25.04%	+0.48	+5.8	7
2023-08-26	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	61.4	1611	1650	25.04%	27.43%	47.53%	-0.48	-5.8	4
2023-08-26	Livingston	L 2-3	73.5	1642	1569	51.76%	26.57%	21.67%	+0.68	-9.7	0
2023-08-26	@ Hibernian	W 3-2	73.5	1569	1642	21.67%	26.57%	51.76%	-0.68	+9.7	4
2023-08-26	Rangers	L 0-2	49.7	1592	1848	14.80%	23.26%	61.94%	-1.22	-7.1	3
2023-08-26	@ Ross County	W 2-0	49.7	1848	1592	61.94%	23.26%	14.80%	+1.22	+7.1	6
2023-08-26	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	70.2	1883	1550	77.23%	15.44%	7.33%	+2.19	-3.8	7
2023-08-26	@ Celtic	D 0-0	70.2	1550	1883	7.33%	15.44%	77.23%	-2.19	+3.8	1
2023-08-27	Aberdeen	D 2-2	75.6	1622	1644	39.34%	28.29%	32.37%	+0.13	-0.2	7
2023-08-27	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	75.6	1644	1622	32.37%	28.29%	39.34%	-0.13	+0.2	2
2023-08-27	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	61.1	1575	1677	28.46%	27.97%	43.57%	-0.33	+9.4	4
2023-08-27	@ Dundee	L 0-1	61.1	1677	1575	43.57%	27.97%	28.46%	+0.33	-9.5	4
2023-09-02	Dundee	D 2-2	72.8	1554	1585	38.07%	28.34%	33.59%	+0.08	-0.2	2
2023-09-02	@ St. Johnstone	D 2-2	72.8	1585	1554	33.59%	28.34%	38.07%	-0.08	+0.1	5
2023-09-02	Ross County	L 0-1	60.2	1605	1585	45.01%	27.80%	27.19%	+0.37	-9.7	4
2023-09-02	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	60.2	1585	1605	27.19%	27.80%	45.01%	-0.37	+9.7	6
2023-09-02	St. Mirren	D 1-1	68.3	1578	1622	36.16%	28.37%	35.47%	+0.00	-0.0	5
2023-09-02	@ Livingston	D 1-1	68.3	1622	1578	35.47%	28.37%	36.16%	+0.00	+0.0	8
2023-09-03	Celtic	L 0-1	62.3	1855	1879	38.90%	28.31%	32.79%	+0.12	-8.7	6
2023-09-03	@ Rangers	W 1-0	62.3	1879	1855	32.79%	28.31%	38.90%	-0.12	+8.7	10
2023-09-03	Hibernian	L 0-2	58.4	1644	1632	43.98%	27.92%	28.09%	+0.33	-17.9	2
2023-09-03	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	58.4	1632	1644	28.09%	27.92%	43.98%	-0.33	+17.9	3
2023-09-03	Motherwell	L 0-1	62.2	1667	1656	43.88%	27.94%	28.19%	+0.32	-9.5	4
2023-09-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	62.2	1656	1667	28.19%	27.94%	43.88%	-0.32	+9.5	10
2023-09-16	Aberdeen	W 2-0	52.9	1658	1626	46.55%	27.58%	25.86%	+0.44	+12.0	7
2023-09-16	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	52.9	1626	1658	25.86%	27.58%	46.55%	-0.44	-12.0	2
2023-09-16	Dundee	W 3-0	44.2	1888	1585	74.91%	16.78%	8.31%	+2.02	+5.3	13
2023-09-16	@ Celtic	L 0-3	44.2	1585	1888	8.31%	16.78%	74.91%	-2.02	-5.3	5
2023-09-16	Hibernian	D 2-2	75.2	1595	1650	34.63%	28.37%	37.01%	-0.06	+0.1	5
2023-09-16	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	75.2	1650	1595	37.01%	28.37%	34.63%	+0.06	-0.1	4
2023-09-16	Livingston	D 1-1	67.8	1595	1578	44.53%	27.86%	27.61%	+0.35	-0.8	7
2023-09-16	@ Ross County	D 1-1	67.8	1578	1595	27.61%	27.86%	44.53%	-0.35	+0.8	6
2023-09-16	Rangers	L 0-2	48.4	1554	1846	12.74%	21.64%	65.62%	-1.44	-6.0	2
2023-09-16	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	48.4	1846	1554	65.62%	21.64%	12.74%	+1.44	+6.0	9
2023-09-16	St. Mirren	L 0-1	62.8	1665	1622	48.03%	27.34%	24.63%	+0.51	-10.2	10
2023-09-16	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	62.8	1622	1665	24.63%	27.34%	48.03%	-0.51	+10.2	11
2023-09-23	Celtic	L 0-3	46.4	1579	1893	11.63%	20.62%	67.74%	-1.56	-7.9	6
2023-09-23	@ Livingston	W 3-0	46.4	1893	1579	67.74%	20.62%	11.63%	+1.56	+7.9	16
2023-09-23	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	59.3	1632	1670	37.09%	28.36%	34.55%	+0.04	+8.0	14
2023-09-23	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	59.3	1670	1632	34.55%	28.36%	37.09%	-0.04	-7.9	7
2023-09-23	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	73.8	1579	1595	40.12%	28.25%	31.63%	+0.17	-0.3	6
2023-09-23	@ Dundee	D 2-2	73.8	1595	1579	31.63%	28.25%	40.12%	-0.17	+0.3	6
2023-09-23	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	48.8	1650	1548	55.19%	25.65%	19.16%	+0.85	+9.2	7
2023-09-23	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	48.8	1548	1650	19.16%	25.65%	55.19%	-0.85	-9.2	2
2023-09-24	Motherwell	W 1-0	52.2	1852	1655	65.36%	21.76%	12.88%	+1.40	+3.2	12
2023-09-24	@ Rangers	L 0-1	52.2	1655	1852	12.88%	21.76%	65.36%	-1.40	-3.2	10
2023-09-24	Ross County	W 4-0	50.1	1614	1594	45.05%	27.80%	27.16%	+0.37	+23.7	5
2023-09-24	@ Aberdeen	L 0-4	50.1	1594	1614	27.16%	27.80%	45.05%	-0.37	-23.7	7
2023-09-30	Aberdeen	L 1-3	71.1	1855	1638	67.34%	20.82%	11.84%	+1.52	-21.8	12
2023-09-30	@ Rangers	W 3-1	71.1	1638	1855	11.84%	20.82%	67.34%	-1.52	+21.9	8
2023-09-30	Celtic	L 1-2	59.5	1652	1901	15.19%	23.52%	61.28%	-1.19	-3.6	10
2023-09-30	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	59.5	1901	1652	61.28%	23.52%	15.19%	+1.19	+3.6	19
2023-09-30	Dundee	D 0-0	64.8	1659	1579	52.60%	26.37%	21.04%	+0.72	-1.6	8
2023-09-30	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	64.8	1579	1659	21.04%	26.37%	52.60%	-0.72	+1.6	7
2023-09-30	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	56.6	1570	1662	29.70%	28.10%	42.20%	-0.27	-7.1	7
2023-09-30	@ Ross County	W 1-0	56.6	1662	1570	42.20%	28.10%	29.70%	+0.27	+7.1	10
2023-09-30	Livingston	D 1-1	65.8	1539	1571	37.78%	28.35%	33.87%	+0.07	-0.2	3
2023-09-30	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	65.8	1571	1539	33.87%	28.35%	37.78%	-0.07	+0.2	7
2023-09-30	St. Mirren	D 1-1	69.0	1596	1640	36.01%	28.37%	35.61%	+0.00	-0.0	7
2023-09-30	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	69.0	1640	1596	35.61%	28.37%	36.01%	+0.00	+0.0	15
2023-10-07	Hibernian	D 2-2	76.5	1669	1657	43.90%	27.93%	28.17%	+0.32	-0.5	11
2023-10-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	76.5	1657	1669	28.17%	27.93%	43.90%	-0.32	+0.5	9
2023-10-07	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	52.0	1905	1596	75.39%	16.51%	8.10%	+2.05	+3.0	22
2023-10-07	@ Celtic	L 1-3	52.0	1596	1905	8.10%	16.51%	75.39%	-2.05	-3.0	7
2023-10-07	Motherwell	W 2-0	56.3	1571	1648	31.60%	28.25%	40.15%	-0.19	+16.7	10
2023-10-07	@ Livingston	L 0-2	56.3	1648	1571	40.15%	28.25%	31.60%	+0.19	-16.7	10
2023-10-08	Rangers	L 0-3	50.2	1640	1833	19.24%	25.69%	55.07%	-0.86	-13.4	15
2023-10-08	@ St. Mirren	W 3-0	50.2	1833	1640	55.07%	25.69%	19.24%	+0.86	+13.4	15
2023-10-08	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	64.4	1660	1539	57.39%	24.96%	17.66%	+0.96	-2.1	9
2023-10-08	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	64.4	1539	1660	17.66%	24.96%	57.39%	-0.96	+2.1	4
2023-10-21	Hibernian	W 4-0	47.3	1847	1658	64.58%	22.12%	13.30%	+1.35	+12.0	18
2023-10-21	@ Rangers	L 0-4	47.3	1658	1847	13.30%	22.12%	64.58%	-1.35	-12.0	9
2023-10-21	Livingston	W 3-1	58.1	1593	1588	42.91%	28.04%	29.05%	+0.28	+11.4	10
2023-10-21	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	58.1	1588	1593	29.05%	28.04%	42.91%	-0.28	-11.4	10
2023-10-22	Celtic	L 1-4	54.2	1668	1908	15.83%	23.93%	60.24%	-1.13	-9.3	11
2023-10-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-1	54.2	1908	1668	60.24%	23.93%	15.83%	+1.13	+9.3	25
2023-10-24	Ross County	D 0-0	62.2	1581	1563	44.70%	27.84%	27.46%	+0.36	-0.8	8
2023-10-24	@ Dundee	D 0-0	62.2	1563	1581	27.46%	27.84%	44.70%	-0.36	+0.9	8
2023-10-28	Celtic	D 0-0	68.5	1646	1917	13.87%	22.57%	63.56%	-1.32	+2.7	10
2023-10-28	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	68.5	1917	1646	63.56%	22.57%	13.87%	+1.32	-2.7	26
2023-10-28	Dundee	L 0-2	55.3	1577	1580	41.88%	28.13%	29.99%	+0.24	-17.3	10
2023-10-28	@ Livingston	W 2-0	55.3	1580	1577	29.99%	28.13%	41.88%	-0.24	+17.3	11
2023-10-28	Ross County	D 3-3	78.6	1631	1564	51.10%	26.72%	22.18%	+0.65	-0.8	11
2023-10-28	@ Motherwell	D 3-3	78.6	1564	1631	22.18%	26.72%	51.10%	-0.65	+0.8	9
2023-10-28	St. Johnstone	W 4-0	46.7	1627	1541	53.37%	26.16%	20.46%	+0.76	+18.6	18
2023-10-28	@ St. Mirren	L 0-4	46.7	1541	1627	20.46%	26.16%	53.37%	-0.76	-18.6	4
2023-10-29	Aberdeen	W 2-0	56.1	1604	1658	34.75%	28.37%	36.88%	-0.05	+15.7	13
2023-10-29	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	56.1	1658	1604	36.88%	28.37%	34.75%	+0.05	-15.7	9
2023-10-29	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	58.1	1859	1659	65.64%	21.63%	12.73%	+1.42	+3.0	21
2023-10-29	@ Rangers	L 1-2	58.1	1659	1859	12.73%	21.63%	65.64%	-1.42	-3.0	11
2023-10-31	Ross County	D 2-2	75.3	1649	1565	53.06%	26.24%	20.69%	+0.74	-1.1	11
2023-10-31	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	75.3	1565	1649	20.69%	26.24%	53.06%	-0.74	+1.1	10
2023-11-01	Aberdeen	L 2-4	67.3	1631	1642	40.77%	28.21%	31.02%	+0.19	-13.1	11
2023-11-01	@ Motherwell	W 4-2	67.3	1642	1631	31.02%	28.21%	40.77%	-0.19	+13.1	12
2023-11-01	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	64.4	1522	1620	28.96%	28.03%	43.01%	-0.31	+8.8	7
2023-11-01	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	64.4	1620	1522	43.01%	28.03%	28.96%	+0.31	-8.8	13
2023-11-01	Livingston	W 1-0	52.6	1656	1560	54.59%	25.83%	19.58%	+0.82	+5.0	14
2023-11-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	52.6	1560	1656	19.58%	25.83%	54.59%	-0.82	-5.0	10
2023-11-01	Rangers	L 0-5	48.3	1597	1862	14.26%	22.87%	62.88%	-1.28	-15.9	11
2023-11-01	@ Dundee	W 5-0	48.3	1862	1597	62.88%	22.87%	14.26%	+1.28	+15.9	24
2023-11-01	St. Mirren	W 2-1	56.3	1914	1646	72.02%	18.40%	9.58%	+1.82	+2.2	29
2023-11-01	@ Celtic	L 1-2	56.3	1646	1914	9.58%	18.40%	72.02%	-1.82	-2.2	18
2023-11-04	Celtic	L 0-3	45.4	1566	1917	10.01%	18.90%	71.08%	-1.77	-6.6	10
2023-11-04	@ Ross County	W 3-0	45.4	1917	1566	71.08%	18.90%	10.01%	+1.77	+6.6	32
2023-11-04	Motherwell	W 1-0	56.8	1611	1618	41.39%	28.17%	30.44%	+0.22	+7.2	16
2023-11-04	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	56.8	1618	1611	30.44%	28.17%	41.39%	-0.22	-7.2	11
2023-11-05	Livingston	W 1-0	53.2	1581	1555	45.92%	27.68%	26.40%	+0.41	+6.5	14
2023-11-05	@ Dundee	L 0-1	53.2	1555	1581	26.40%	27.68%	45.92%	-0.41	-6.5	10
2023-11-07	Motherwell	D 2-2	72.9	1531	1610	31.26%	28.23%	40.51%	-0.20	+0.3	8
2023-11-07	@ St. Johnstone	D 2-2	72.9	1610	1531	40.51%	28.23%	31.26%	+0.20	-0.3	12
2023-11-08	Hibernian	D 2-2	76.0	1643	1647	41.77%	28.14%	30.09%	+0.23	-0.4	19
2023-11-08	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	76.0	1647	1643	30.09%	28.14%	41.77%	-0.23	+0.4	12
2023-11-11	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	64.9	1610	1661	35.12%	28.37%	36.51%	-0.04	-7.6	12
2023-11-11	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	64.9	1661	1610	36.51%	28.37%	35.12%	+0.04	+7.6	17
2023-11-11	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	56.0	1648	1618	46.30%	27.62%	26.08%	+0.43	+6.4	15
2023-11-11	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	56.0	1618	1648	26.08%	27.62%	46.30%	-0.43	-6.4	16
2023-11-11	Ross County	W 1-0	54.0	1531	1559	38.40%	28.33%	33.27%	+0.09	+7.7	11
2023-11-11	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	54.0	1559	1531	33.27%	28.33%	38.40%	-0.09	-7.7	10
2023-11-11	St. Mirren	W 4-0	53.8	1588	1643	34.52%	28.36%	37.11%	-0.06	+30.0	17
2023-11-11	@ Dundee	L 0-4	53.8	1643	1588	37.11%	28.36%	34.52%	+0.06	-29.9	19
2023-11-12	Aberdeen	W 6-0	46.7	1923	1655	71.96%	18.43%	9.61%	+1.81	+12.0	35
2023-11-12	@ Celtic	L 0-6	46.7	1655	1923	9.61%	18.43%	71.96%	-1.81	-12.0	12
2023-11-12	Rangers	L 0-2	47.5	1548	1878	10.91%	19.89%	69.20%	-1.65	-5.0	10
2023-11-12	@ Livingston	W 2-0	47.5	1878	1548	69.20%	19.89%	10.91%	+1.65	+5.0	27
2023-11-25	Hibernian	L 1-2	65.5	1618	1654	37.21%	28.36%	34.43%	+0.05	-7.9	17
2023-11-25	@ Dundee	W 2-1	65.5	1654	1618	34.43%	28.36%	37.21%	-0.05	+7.9	18
2023-11-25	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	62.5	1552	1612	33.86%	28.35%	37.79%	-0.09	+0.2	11
2023-11-25	@ Ross County	D 0-0	62.5	1612	1552	37.79%	28.35%	33.86%	+0.09	-0.2	17
2023-11-25	Livingston	W 1-0	52.1	1613	1543	51.42%	26.65%	21.93%	+0.66	+5.5	22
2023-11-25	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	52.1	1543	1613	21.93%	26.65%	51.42%	-0.66	-5.5	10
2023-11-25	Motherwell	D 1-1	75.4	1935	1602	77.24%	15.43%	7.33%	+2.19	-3.4	36
2023-11-25	@ Celtic	D 1-1	75.4	1602	1935	7.33%	15.43%	77.24%	-2.19	+3.4	13
2023-11-25	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	51.3	1669	1539	58.34%	24.63%	17.03%	+1.01	+4.3	20
2023-11-25	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	51.3	1539	1669	17.03%	24.63%	58.34%	-1.01	-4.3	11
2023-11-26	Rangers	D 1-1	72.9	1643	1883	15.80%	23.92%	60.28%	-1.13	+2.1	13
2023-11-26	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	72.9	1883	1643	60.28%	23.92%	15.80%	+1.13	-2.1	28
2023-11-28	St. Mirren	W 1-0	58.0	1552	1619	32.93%	28.32%	38.75%	-0.13	+8.6	14
2023-11-28	@ Ross County	L 0-1	58.0	1619	1552	38.75%	28.32%	32.93%	+0.13	-8.6	22
2023-12-02	Dundee	D 3-3	78.6	1606	1610	41.76%	28.14%	30.10%	+0.23	-0.3	14
2023-12-02	@ Motherwell	D 3-3	78.6	1610	1606	30.10%	28.14%	41.76%	-0.23	+0.3	18
2023-12-02	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	58.7	1611	1673	33.65%	28.34%	38.00%	-0.10	-7.8	17
2023-12-02	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	58.7	1673	1611	38.00%	28.34%	33.65%	+0.10	+7.8	23
2023-12-03	Aberdeen	W 2-0	53.8	1662	1645	44.62%	27.85%	27.53%	+0.36	+12.6	21
2023-12-03	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	53.8	1645	1662	27.53%	27.85%	44.62%	-0.36	-12.6	13
2023-12-03	Celtic	L 1-3	52.0	1535	1932	8.25%	16.71%	75.03%	-2.04	-3.1	11
2023-12-03	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-1	52.0	1932	1535	75.03%	16.71%	8.25%	+2.04	+3.1	39
2023-12-03	St. Mirren	W 2-0	46.9	1881	1610	72.18%	18.31%	9.51%	+1.83	+4.3	31
2023-12-03	@ Rangers	L 0-2	46.9	1610	1881	9.51%	18.31%	72.18%	-1.83	-4.3	22
2023-12-05	Motherwell	W 3-0	52.0	1560	1605	35.99%	28.37%	35.64%	+0.00	+22.3	17
2023-12-05	@ Ross County	L 0-3	52.0	1605	1560	35.64%	28.37%	35.99%	+0.00	-22.3	14
2023-12-06	Hibernian	W 4-1	50.9	1935	1675	71.27%	18.80%	9.93%	+1.77	+5.5	42
2023-12-06	@ Celtic	L 1-4	50.9	1675	1935	9.93%	18.80%	71.27%	-1.77	-5.5	21
2023-12-06	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	61.5	1632	1604	46.18%	27.64%	26.18%	+0.42	-9.9	13
2023-12-06	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	61.5	1604	1632	26.18%	27.64%	46.18%	-0.42	+9.9	20
2023-12-06	Rangers	L 0-1	55.1	1681	1885	18.36%	25.30%	56.35%	-0.93	-4.7	23
2023-12-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	55.1	1885	1681	56.35%	25.30%	18.36%	+0.93	+4.7	34
2023-12-06	St. Mirren	W 1-0	57.4	1532	1606	31.94%	28.27%	39.79%	-0.17	+8.8	14
2023-12-06	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	57.4	1606	1532	39.79%	28.27%	31.94%	+0.17	-8.8	22
2023-12-09	Dundee	W 3-1	52.8	1890	1610	72.93%	17.90%	9.17%	+1.88	+3.5	37
2023-12-09	@ Rangers	L 1-3	52.8	1610	1890	9.17%	17.90%	72.93%	-1.88	-3.6	18
2023-12-09	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	65.8	1623	1676	34.77%	28.37%	36.86%	-0.05	+7.9	16
2023-12-09	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	65.8	1676	1623	36.86%	28.37%	34.77%	+0.05	-7.8	23
2023-12-09	Hibernian	L 0-1	54.5	1538	1669	25.03%	27.42%	47.55%	-0.51	-6.2	10
2023-12-09	@ Livingston	W 1-0	54.5	1669	1538	47.55%	27.42%	25.03%	+0.51	+6.2	24
2023-12-09	Ross County	W 2-0	51.6	1597	1583	44.24%	27.90%	27.87%	+0.34	+12.7	25
2023-12-09	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	51.6	1583	1597	27.87%	27.90%	44.24%	-0.34	-12.7	17
2023-12-09	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	66.5	1583	1540	48.00%	27.35%	24.65%	+0.51	-1.1	15
2023-12-09	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	66.5	1540	1583	24.65%	27.35%	48.00%	-0.51	+1.1	15
2023-12-10	Celtic	W 2-1	74.5	1614	1940	11.04%	20.02%	68.94%	-1.64	+12.8	23
2023-12-10	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	74.5	1940	1614	68.94%	20.02%	11.04%	+1.64	-12.8	42
2023-12-16	Dundee	L 0-1	57.7	1570	1607	37.19%	28.36%	34.45%	+0.05	-8.4	17
2023-12-16	@ Ross County	W 1-0	57.7	1607	1570	34.45%	28.36%	37.19%	-0.05	+8.4	21
2023-12-16	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	65.8	1928	1668	71.19%	18.84%	9.97%	+1.76	-26.2	42
2023-12-16	@ Celtic	W 2-0	65.8	1668	1928	9.97%	18.84%	71.19%	-1.76	+26.2	26
2023-12-16	Hibernian	W 1-0	61.5	1541	1675	24.79%	27.37%	47.84%	-0.52	+10.2	18
2023-12-16	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	61.5	1675	1541	47.84%	27.37%	24.79%	+0.52	-10.2	24
2023-12-16	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	62.5	1531	1626	29.25%	28.06%	42.69%	-0.29	+0.7	11
2023-12-16	@ Livingston	D 0-0	62.5	1626	1531	42.69%	28.06%	29.25%	+0.29	-0.7	24
2023-12-16	Motherwell	D 0-0	63.5	1610	1582	46.01%	27.66%	26.32%	+0.42	-1.0	26
2023-12-16	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	63.5	1582	1610	26.32%	27.66%	46.01%	-0.42	+1.0	16
2023-12-20	Livingston	W 2-1	57.2	1630	1532	54.81%	25.76%	19.42%	+0.83	+4.7	19
2023-12-20	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	57.2	1532	1630	19.42%	25.76%	54.81%	-0.83	-4.7	11
2023-12-20	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	45.0	1893	1552	77.90%	15.04%	7.06%	+2.24	+3.0	40
2023-12-20	@ Rangers	L 0-2	45.0	1552	1893	7.06%	15.04%	77.90%	-2.24	-3.0	18
2023-12-23	Livingston	W 2-0	44.2	1901	1527	80.26%	13.62%	6.13%	+2.43	+2.5	45
2023-12-23	@ Celtic	L 0-2	44.2	1527	1901	6.13%	13.62%	80.26%	-2.43	-2.5	11
2023-12-23	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	58.2	1626	1549	52.28%	26.44%	21.28%	+0.70	+5.1	27
2023-12-23	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	58.2	1549	1626	21.28%	26.44%	52.28%	-0.70	-5.1	18
2023-12-23	St. Mirren	W 2-0	51.2	1694	1609	53.33%	26.18%	20.50%	+0.76	+9.8	29
2023-12-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	51.2	1609	1694	20.50%	26.18%	53.33%	-0.76	-9.8	26
2023-12-24	Rangers	L 0-2	48.2	1583	1896	11.69%	20.67%	67.64%	-1.56	-5.5	16
2023-12-24	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	48.2	1896	1583	67.64%	20.67%	11.69%	+1.56	+5.5	43
2023-12-26	Celtic	L 0-3	47.3	1615	1904	12.90%	21.78%	65.32%	-1.42	-8.9	21
2023-12-26	@ Dundee	W 3-0	47.3	1904	1615	65.32%	21.78%	12.90%	+1.42	+8.9	48
2023-12-27	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	60.6	1665	1704	36.83%	28.37%	34.80%	+0.03	-8.3	24
2023-12-27	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	60.6	1704	1665	34.80%	28.37%	36.83%	-0.03	+8.3	32
2023-12-27	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	59.1	1599	1631	37.85%	28.35%	33.80%	+0.07	-8.5	26
2023-12-27	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	59.1	1631	1599	33.80%	28.35%	37.85%	-0.07	+8.5	30
2023-12-27	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	59.6	1525	1544	39.71%	28.27%	32.01%	+0.15	-0.4	12
2023-12-27	@ Livingston	D 0-0	59.6	1544	1525	32.01%	28.27%	39.71%	-0.15	+0.4	19
2023-12-30	Dundee	D 2-2	75.5	1639	1606	46.76%	27.55%	25.69%	+0.45	-0.7	31
2023-12-30	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	75.5	1606	1639	25.69%	27.55%	46.76%	-0.45	+0.7	22
2023-12-30	Livingston	W 3-1	54.0	1578	1524	49.33%	27.10%	23.57%	+0.57	+9.6	19
2023-12-30	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	54.0	1524	1578	23.57%	27.10%	49.33%	-0.57	-9.6	12
2023-12-30	Rangers	W 2-1	65.0	1913	1902	43.84%	27.94%	28.22%	+0.32	+6.4	51
2023-12-30	@ Celtic	L 1-2	65.0	1902	1913	28.22%	27.94%	43.84%	-0.32	-6.4	43
2023-12-30	Ross County	D 2-2	77.1	1713	1562	60.66%	23.77%	15.57%	+1.13	-1.6	33
2023-12-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	77.1	1562	1713	15.57%	23.77%	60.66%	-1.13	+1.6	18
2023-12-30	St. Mirren	L 0-3	56.8	1635	1590	48.25%	27.30%	24.45%	+0.52	-28.0	19
2023-12-30	@ Aberdeen	W 3-0	56.8	1590	1635	24.45%	27.30%	48.25%	-0.52	+28.1	29
2024-01-02	Aberdeen	L 0-3	52.3	1563	1607	36.16%	28.37%	35.47%	+0.00	-22.5	18
2024-01-02	@ Ross County	W 3-0	52.3	1607	1563	35.47%	28.37%	36.16%	+0.00	+22.5	22
2024-01-02	Celtic	L 0-3	47.0	1618	1919	12.29%	21.24%	66.48%	-1.49	-8.4	29
2024-01-02	@ St. Mirren	W 3-0	47.0	1919	1618	66.48%	21.24%	12.29%	+1.49	+8.4	54
2024-01-02	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	58.4	1515	1711	18.99%	25.58%	55.43%	-0.88	-4.6	12
2024-01-02	@ Livingston	W 2-1	58.4	1711	1515	55.43%	25.58%	18.99%	+0.88	+4.6	36
2024-01-02	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	53.5	1895	1639	70.94%	18.98%	10.08%	+1.74	+4.0	46
2024-01-02	@ Rangers	L 1-3	53.5	1639	1895	10.08%	18.98%	70.94%	-1.74	-4.0	31
2024-01-02	Motherwell	D 2-2	75.7	1657	1587	51.36%	26.66%	21.98%	+0.66	-1.0	25
2024-01-02	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	75.7	1587	1657	21.98%	26.66%	51.36%	-0.66	+1.0	20
2024-01-23	Dundee	W 3-2	65.0	1716	1607	56.00%	25.41%	18.60%	+0.89	+4.2	39
2024-01-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	65.0	1607	1716	18.60%	25.41%	56.00%	-0.89	-4.2	22
2024-01-24	Aberdeen	D 1-1	67.7	1544	1630	30.45%	28.17%	41.38%	-0.24	+0.5	20
2024-01-24	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	67.7	1630	1544	41.38%	28.17%	30.45%	+0.24	-0.5	23
2024-01-24	Rangers	L 0-3	48.8	1656	1899	15.58%	23.77%	60.65%	-1.15	-10.9	25
2024-01-24	@ Hibernian	W 3-0	48.8	1899	1656	60.65%	23.77%	15.58%	+1.15	+10.9	49
2024-01-27	Aberdeen	W 2-0	51.5	1720	1629	53.91%	26.02%	20.07%	+0.78	+9.6	42
2024-01-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	51.5	1629	1720	20.07%	26.02%	53.91%	-0.78	-9.6	23
2024-01-27	Dundee	L 1-4	53.8	1510	1603	29.60%	28.09%	42.31%	-0.28	-16.3	12
2024-01-27	@ Livingston	W 4-1	53.8	1603	1510	42.31%	28.09%	29.60%	+0.28	+16.4	25
2024-01-27	Hibernian	D 2-2	75.9	1635	1645	40.89%	28.20%	30.91%	+0.20	-0.3	32
2024-01-27	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	75.9	1645	1635	30.91%	28.20%	40.89%	-0.20	+0.3	26
2024-01-27	Motherwell	D 1-1	66.5	1544	1588	36.14%	28.37%	35.48%	+0.00	-0.0	21
2024-01-27	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	66.5	1588	1544	35.48%	28.37%	36.14%	+0.00	+0.0	21
2024-01-27	Rangers	L 0-1	51.9	1610	1910	12.33%	21.28%	66.40%	-1.48	-3.1	29
2024-01-27	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	51.9	1910	1610	66.40%	21.28%	12.33%	+1.48	+3.1	52
2024-01-27	Ross County	W 1-0	47.3	1928	1541	81.13%	13.08%	5.79%	+2.50	+1.2	57
2024-01-27	@ Celtic	L 0-1	47.3	1541	1928	5.79%	13.08%	81.13%	-2.50	-1.2	18
2024-01-30	Dundee	D 1-1	69.1	1619	1619	42.39%	28.09%	29.53%	+0.26	-0.6	24
2024-01-30	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	69.1	1619	1619	29.53%	28.09%	42.39%	-0.26	+0.6	26
2024-01-30	Ross County	D 2-2	69.2	1494	1540	35.90%	28.37%	35.73%	-0.01	+0.0	13
2024-01-30	@ Livingston	D 2-2	69.2	1540	1494	35.73%	28.37%	35.90%	+0.01	+0.0	19
2024-02-03	Celtic	D 1-1	73.9	1619	1929	11.83%	20.81%	67.35%	-1.54	+2.7	25
2024-02-03	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	73.9	1929	1619	67.35%	20.81%	11.83%	+1.54	-2.7	58
2024-02-03	Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	68.6	1620	1729	27.47%	27.84%	44.69%	-0.38	-6.0	26
2024-02-03	@ Dundee	W 3-2	68.6	1729	1620	44.69%	27.84%	27.47%	+0.38	+6.0	45
2024-02-03	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	68.7	1588	1634	35.84%	28.37%	35.78%	-0.01	+0.0	22
2024-02-03	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	68.7	1634	1588	35.78%	28.37%	35.84%	+0.01	+0.0	33
2024-02-03	Livingston	W 3-0	41.4	1913	1494	83.22%	11.78%	5.01%	+2.69	+2.9	55
2024-02-03	@ Rangers	L 0-3	41.4	1494	1913	5.01%	11.78%	83.22%	-2.69	-2.9	13
2024-02-03	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	56.2	1540	1544	41.65%	28.15%	30.21%	+0.23	-9.1	19
2024-02-03	@ Ross County	W 1-0	56.2	1544	1540	30.21%	28.15%	41.65%	-0.23	+9.1	24
2024-02-03	St. Mirren	L 0-3	57.1	1645	1607	47.43%	27.44%	25.13%	+0.48	-27.7	26
2024-02-03	@ Hibernian	W 3-0	57.1	1607	1645	25.13%	27.44%	47.43%	-0.48	+27.7	32
2024-02-06	Aberdeen	W 2-1	55.6	1916	1622	74.18%	17.20%	8.62%	+1.96	+1.9	58
2024-02-06	@ Rangers	L 1-2	55.6	1622	1916	8.62%	17.20%	74.18%	-1.96	-1.9	25
2024-02-06	Ross County	W 5-0	47.0	1588	1530	49.92%	26.98%	23.10%	+0.59	+25.5	25
2024-02-06	@ Motherwell	L 0-5	47.0	1530	1588	23.10%	26.98%	49.92%	-0.59	-25.5	19
2024-02-07	Celtic	L 1-2	57.7	1618	1926	11.90%	20.88%	67.21%	-1.53	-2.8	26
2024-02-07	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	57.7	1926	1618	67.21%	20.88%	11.90%	+1.53	+2.8	61
2024-02-07	Dundee	W 2-0	52.8	1635	1614	45.17%	27.78%	27.05%	+0.38	+12.4	35
2024-02-07	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	52.8	1614	1635	27.05%	27.78%	45.17%	-0.38	-12.4	26
2024-02-07	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	54.1	1554	1735	20.18%	26.06%	53.76%	-0.80	-5.1	24
2024-02-07	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	54.1	1735	1554	53.76%	26.06%	20.18%	+0.80	+5.1	48
2024-02-07	Livingston	W 1-0	48.7	1634	1491	59.83%	24.09%	16.08%	+1.09	+4.1	36
2024-02-07	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	48.7	1491	1634	16.08%	24.09%	59.83%	-1.09	-4.1	13
2024-02-11	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	58.5	1601	1548	49.26%	27.11%	23.63%	+0.56	+5.6	29
2024-02-11	@ Dundee	L 1-2	58.5	1548	1601	23.63%	27.11%	49.26%	-0.56	-5.6	24
2024-02-14	Motherwell	D 3-3	79.0	1620	1614	43.12%	28.02%	28.87%	+0.29	-0.4	26
2024-02-14	@ Aberdeen	D 3-3	79.0	1614	1620	28.87%	28.02%	43.12%	-0.29	+0.4	26
2024-02-14	Ross County	W 3-1	49.5	1918	1505	82.83%	12.02%	5.15%	+2.65	+1.8	61
2024-02-14	@ Rangers	L 1-3	49.5	1505	1918	5.15%	12.02%	82.83%	-2.65	-1.8	19
2024-02-17	Hibernian	D 2-2	75.1	1619	1615	42.92%	28.04%	29.04%	+0.28	-0.5	27
2024-02-17	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	75.1	1615	1619	29.04%	28.04%	42.92%	-0.28	+0.5	27
2024-02-17	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	74.9	1929	1638	73.86%	17.38%	8.76%	+1.94	-3.2	62
2024-02-17	@ Celtic	D 1-1	74.9	1638	1929	8.76%	17.38%	73.86%	-1.94	+3.1	37
2024-02-17	Motherwell	W 2-0	50.3	1741	1614	57.98%	24.76%	17.27%	+0.99	+8.3	51
2024-02-17	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	50.3	1614	1741	17.27%	24.76%	57.98%	-0.99	-8.3	26
2024-02-17	Ross County	W 2-0	46.3	1607	1503	55.40%	25.59%	19.01%	+0.86	+9.1	32
2024-02-17	@ Dundee	L 0-2	46.3	1503	1607	19.01%	25.59%	55.40%	-0.86	-9.1	19
2024-02-17	St. Mirren	W 1-0	60.3	1487	1647	22.15%	26.71%	51.14%	-0.67	+10.7	16
2024-02-17	@ Livingston	L 0-1	60.3	1647	1487	51.14%	26.71%	22.15%	+0.67	-10.7	35
2024-02-18	Rangers	L 0-3	44.7	1543	1920	8.99%	17.67%	73.35%	-1.93	-5.8	24
2024-02-18	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-0	44.7	1920	1543	73.35%	17.67%	8.99%	+1.93	+5.8	64
2024-02-24	Aberdeen	W 2-0	52.9	1642	1619	45.38%	27.75%	26.87%	+0.39	+12.4	40
2024-02-24	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	52.9	1619	1642	26.87%	27.75%	45.38%	-0.39	-12.4	27
2024-02-24	Dundee	W 2-1	62.5	1615	1616	42.25%	28.10%	29.65%	+0.25	+6.7	30
2024-02-24	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	62.5	1616	1615	29.65%	28.10%	42.25%	-0.25	-6.7	32
2024-02-24	Heart of Midlothian	W 5-0	48.6	1925	1749	63.32%	22.67%	14.00%	+1.28	+15.6	67
2024-02-24	@ Rangers	L 0-5	48.6	1749	1925	14.00%	22.67%	63.32%	-1.28	-15.6	51
2024-02-24	Livingston	W 3-2	60.5	1494	1498	41.81%	28.14%	30.05%	+0.24	+6.4	22
2024-02-24	@ Ross County	L 2-3	60.5	1498	1494	30.05%	28.14%	41.81%	-0.24	-6.4	16
2024-02-24	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	48.3	1636	1537	54.91%	25.73%	19.36%	+0.83	+9.3	38
2024-02-24	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	48.3	1537	1636	19.36%	25.73%	54.91%	-0.83	-9.3	24
2024-02-25	Celtic	L 1-3	54.3	1606	1926	11.36%	20.35%	68.29%	-1.60	-4.6	26
2024-02-25	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	54.3	1926	1606	68.29%	20.35%	11.36%	+1.60	+4.6	65
2024-02-27	St. Mirren	D 1-1	67.3	1500	1646	23.61%	27.11%	49.28%	-0.58	+1.2	23
2024-02-27	@ Ross County	D 1-1	67.3	1646	1500	49.28%	27.11%	23.61%	+0.58	-1.2	39
2024-02-28	Dundee	W 7-1	46.8	1930	1609	76.35%	15.95%	7.70%	+2.12	+7.6	68
2024-02-28	@ Celtic	L 1-7	46.8	1609	1930	7.70%	15.95%	76.35%	-2.12	-7.6	32
2024-02-28	Hibernian	D 1-1	71.5	1733	1622	56.28%	25.32%	18.40%	+0.90	-1.8	52
2024-02-28	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.5	1622	1733	18.40%	25.32%	56.28%	-0.90	+1.8	31
2024-02-28	Motherwell	L 1-3	55.0	1491	1601	27.45%	27.84%	44.71%	-0.38	-10.9	16
2024-02-28	@ Livingston	W 3-1	55.0	1601	1491	44.71%	27.84%	27.45%	+0.38	+10.9	29
2024-02-28	Rangers	L 1-2	58.4	1654	1941	13.00%	21.86%	65.14%	-1.41	-3.1	40
2024-02-28	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	58.4	1941	1654	65.14%	21.86%	13.00%	+1.41	+3.1	70
2024-02-28	St. Johnstone	L 0-2	57.3	1606	1528	52.47%	26.40%	21.13%	+0.71	-20.7	27
2024-02-28	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	57.3	1528	1606	21.13%	26.40%	52.47%	-0.71	+20.7	27
2024-03-02	Aberdeen	W 2-1	60.1	1644	1586	50.01%	26.96%	23.03%	+0.60	+5.4	42
2024-03-02	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	60.1	1586	1644	23.03%	26.96%	50.01%	-0.60	-5.4	27
2024-03-02	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	75.4	1602	1651	35.36%	28.37%	36.27%	-0.03	+0.0	33
2024-03-02	@ Dundee	D 2-2	75.4	1651	1602	36.27%	28.37%	35.36%	+0.03	-0.0	41
2024-03-02	Livingston	D 1-1	63.5	1548	1480	51.18%	26.71%	22.12%	+0.65	-1.3	28
2024-03-02	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	63.5	1480	1548	22.12%	26.71%	51.18%	-0.65	+1.3	17
2024-03-02	Motherwell	L 1-2	75.7	1944	1612	77.17%	15.47%	7.36%	+2.18	-13.8	70
2024-03-02	@ Rangers	W 2-1	75.7	1612	1944	7.36%	15.47%	77.17%	-2.18	+13.8	32
2024-03-02	Ross County	W 2-0	46.2	1624	1502	57.52%	24.91%	17.56%	+0.97	+8.5	34
2024-03-02	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	46.2	1502	1624	17.56%	24.91%	57.52%	-0.97	-8.5	23
2024-03-03	Celtic	W 2-0	63.4	1731	1938	18.18%	25.21%	56.61%	-0.94	+22.0	55
2024-03-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	63.4	1938	1731	56.61%	25.21%	18.18%	+0.94	-22.0	68
2024-03-13	Aberdeen	W 1-0	54.6	1602	1580	45.18%	27.78%	27.04%	+0.38	+6.6	36
2024-03-13	@ Dundee	L 0-1	54.6	1580	1602	27.04%	27.78%	45.18%	-0.38	-6.6	27
2024-03-13	Hibernian	D 2-2	72.7	1493	1632	24.24%	27.26%	48.51%	-0.55	+0.8	24
2024-03-13	@ Ross County	D 2-2	72.7	1632	1493	48.51%	27.26%	24.24%	+0.55	-0.8	35
2024-03-16	Aberdeen	L 0-1	61.5	1626	1574	49.21%	27.12%	23.67%	+0.56	-10.4	32
2024-03-16	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	61.5	1574	1626	23.67%	27.12%	49.21%	-0.56	+10.4	30
2024-03-16	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	71.1	1494	1753	14.56%	23.09%	62.35%	-1.25	+11.9	27
2024-03-16	@ Ross County	L 1-2	71.1	1753	1494	62.35%	23.09%	14.56%	+1.25	-11.9	55
2024-03-16	Livingston	W 3-0	43.1	1631	1482	60.52%	23.82%	15.65%	+1.13	+10.9	38
2024-03-16	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	43.1	1482	1631	15.65%	23.82%	60.52%	-1.13	-10.9	17
2024-03-16	St. Johnstone	W 3-1	50.5	1916	1547	79.89%	13.84%	6.27%	+2.40	+2.2	71
2024-03-16	@ Celtic	L 1-3	50.5	1547	1916	6.27%	13.84%	79.89%	-2.40	-2.2	28
2024-03-16	St. Mirren	W 5-2	60.4	1651	1650	42.45%	28.08%	29.47%	+0.26	+14.1	44
2024-03-16	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-5	60.4	1650	1651	29.47%	28.08%	42.45%	-0.26	-14.1	42
2024-03-30	Dundee	L 1-2	61.9	1545	1608	33.41%	28.34%	38.26%	-0.11	-7.3	28
2024-03-30	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	61.9	1608	1545	38.26%	28.34%	33.41%	+0.11	+7.3	39
2024-03-30	Hibernian	W 3-1	52.7	1930	1642	73.65%	17.50%	8.85%	+1.93	+3.4	73
2024-03-30	@ Rangers	L 1-3	52.7	1642	1930	8.85%	17.50%	73.65%	-1.93	-3.4	38
2024-03-30	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	71.6	1742	1665	52.22%	26.46%	21.32%	+0.70	-1.4	56
2024-03-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.6	1665	1742	21.32%	26.46%	52.22%	-0.70	+1.4	45
2024-03-30	Ross County	W 2-1	55.7	1584	1506	52.43%	26.41%	21.17%	+0.71	+5.0	33
2024-03-30	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	55.7	1506	1584	21.17%	26.41%	52.43%	-0.71	-5.0	27
2024-03-30	St. Mirren	D 1-1	69.3	1616	1636	39.52%	28.28%	32.20%	+0.14	-0.3	33
2024-03-30	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	69.3	1636	1616	32.20%	28.28%	39.52%	-0.14	+0.3	43
2024-03-31	Celtic	L 0-3	42.6	1471	1918	6.66%	14.44%	78.90%	-2.34	-4.0	17
2024-03-31	@ Livingston	W 3-0	42.6	1918	1471	78.90%	14.44%	6.66%	+2.34	+4.0	74
2024-04-06	Aberdeen	D 0-0	59.4	1467	1589	26.03%	27.61%	46.35%	-0.45	+1.0	18
2024-04-06	@ Livingston	D 0-0	59.4	1589	1467	46.35%	27.61%	26.03%	+0.45	-1.0	34
2024-04-06	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	63.9	1636	1740	28.17%	27.93%	43.90%	-0.35	-6.4	43
2024-04-06	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	63.9	1740	1636	43.90%	27.93%	28.17%	+0.35	+6.4	59
2024-04-06	Motherwell	L 2-3	71.5	1615	1615	42.33%	28.09%	29.58%	+0.26	-8.3	39
2024-04-06	@ Dundee	W 3-2	71.5	1615	1615	29.58%	28.09%	42.33%	-0.26	+8.3	36
2024-04-06	Ross County	W 1-0	49.2	1666	1501	62.19%	23.15%	14.66%	+1.22	+3.7	48
2024-04-06	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	49.2	1501	1666	14.66%	23.15%	62.19%	-1.22	-3.7	27
2024-04-06	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	68.2	1639	1538	55.16%	25.66%	19.18%	+0.85	-10.8	38
2024-04-06	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	68.2	1538	1639	19.18%	25.66%	55.16%	-0.85	+10.8	31
2024-04-07	Celtic	D 3-3	81.9	1934	1922	43.88%	27.94%	28.18%	+0.32	-0.4	74
2024-04-07	@ Rangers	D 3-3	81.9	1922	1934	28.18%	27.94%	43.88%	-0.32	+0.4	75
2024-04-13	Dundee	D 0-0	63.4	1588	1607	39.68%	28.28%	32.04%	+0.15	-0.4	35
2024-04-13	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	63.4	1607	1588	32.04%	28.28%	39.68%	-0.15	+0.4	40
2024-04-13	Hibernian	D 1-1	69.3	1624	1628	41.68%	28.15%	30.17%	+0.23	-0.5	37
2024-04-13	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	69.3	1628	1624	30.17%	28.15%	41.68%	-0.23	+0.5	39
2024-04-13	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	51.9	1548	1670	26.11%	27.63%	46.26%	-0.45	-12.1	31
2024-04-13	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	51.9	1670	1548	46.26%	27.63%	26.11%	+0.45	+12.1	51
2024-04-13	Livingston	W 4-2	53.7	1747	1468	72.87%	17.93%	9.20%	+1.87	+3.2	62
2024-04-13	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-4	53.7	1468	1747	9.20%	17.93%	72.87%	-1.87	-3.2	18
2024-04-13	St. Mirren	W 3-0	44.7	1923	1630	74.06%	17.26%	8.67%	+1.96	+5.6	78
2024-04-13	@ Celtic	L 0-3	44.7	1630	1923	8.67%	17.26%	74.06%	-1.96	-5.6	43
2024-04-14	Rangers	W 3-2	80.5	1497	1933	6.99%	14.94%	78.08%	-2.27	+13.2	30
2024-04-14	@ Ross County	L 2-3	80.5	1933	1497	78.08%	14.94%	6.99%	+2.27	-13.2	74
2024-04-17	Rangers	D 0-0	69.0	1608	1920	11.71%	20.69%	67.60%	-1.55	+3.0	41
2024-04-17	@ Dundee	D 0-0	69.0	1920	1608	67.60%	20.69%	11.71%	+1.55	-3.0	75

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2024-04-27	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	66.3	1682	1750	32.83%	28.31%	38.86%	-0.13	+0.3	1
2024-04-27	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	66.3	1750	1682	38.86%	28.31%	32.83%	+0.13	-0.3	1
2024-04-27	Hibernian	L 1-3	57.9	1536	1629	29.58%	28.09%	42.33%	-0.28	-11.5	0
2024-04-27	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-1	57.9	1629	1536	42.33%	28.09%	29.58%	+0.28	+11.6	3
2024-04-27	Motherwell	W 1-0	57.6	1588	1623	37.38%	28.36%	34.26%	+0.05	+7.9	3
2024-04-27	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	57.6	1623	1588	34.26%	28.36%	37.38%	-0.05	-7.9	0
2024-04-27	Ross County	W 2-0	47.3	1465	1510	35.89%	28.37%	35.74%	-0.01	+15.4	3
2024-04-27	@ Livingston	L 0-2	47.3	1510	1465	35.74%	28.37%	35.89%	+0.01	-15.4	0
2024-04-28	Celtic	L 1-2	57.4	1611	1928	11.47%	20.46%	68.07%	-1.58	-2.7	0
2024-04-28	@ Dundee	W 2-1	57.4	1928	1611	68.07%	20.46%	11.47%	+1.58	+2.7	3
2024-04-28	Rangers	L 1-2	58.1	1624	1917	12.69%	21.60%	65.71%	-1.44	-3.0	0
2024-04-28	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	58.1	1917	1624	65.71%	21.60%	12.69%	+1.44	+3.0	3
2024-05-04	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	48.0	1931	1749	63.81%	22.46%	13.73%	+1.31	+9.5	6
2024-05-04	@ Celtic	L 0-3	48.0	1749	1931	13.73%	22.46%	63.81%	-1.31	-9.5	1
2024-05-04	Hibernian	W 2-1	65.8	1495	1640	23.60%	27.11%	49.30%	-0.59	+9.8	3
2024-05-04	@ Ross County	L 1-2	65.8	1640	1495	49.30%	27.11%	23.60%	+0.59	-9.8	3
2024-05-04	Livingston	W 4-1	48.2	1615	1480	58.96%	24.41%	16.63%	+1.04	+9.8	3
2024-05-04	@ Motherwell	L 1-4	48.2	1480	1615	16.63%	24.41%	58.96%	-1.04	-9.8	3
2024-05-04	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	51.0	1596	1525	51.54%	26.62%	21.84%	+0.67	+5.5	6
2024-05-04	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	51.0	1525	1596	21.84%	26.62%	51.54%	-0.67	-5.5	0
2024-05-04	St. Mirren	L 1-3	62.7	1608	1621	40.49%	28.23%	31.28%	+0.18	-14.6	0
2024-05-04	@ Dundee	W 3-1	62.7	1621	1608	31.28%	28.23%	40.49%	-0.18	+14.6	3
2024-05-05	Kilmarnock	W 4-1	51.5	1920	1682	69.22%	19.88%	10.90%	+1.63	+6.2	6
2024-05-05	@ Rangers	L 1-4	51.5	1682	1920	10.90%	19.88%	69.22%	-1.63	-6.2	1
2024-05-11	Dundee	W 3-0	47.7	1740	1593	60.19%	23.95%	15.86%	+1.11	+11.1	4
2024-05-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	47.7	1593	1740	15.86%	23.95%	60.19%	-1.11	-11.1	0
2024-05-11	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	60.0	1636	1676	36.61%	28.37%	35.02%	+0.02	-8.3	3
2024-05-11	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	60.0	1676	1636	35.02%	28.37%	36.61%	-0.02	+8.3	4
2024-05-11	Motherwell	L 1-5	51.7	1505	1625	26.28%	27.66%	46.06%	-0.44	-19.2	3
2024-05-11	@ Ross County	W 5-1	51.7	1625	1505	46.06%	27.66%	26.28%	+0.44	+19.2	6
2024-05-11	Rangers	W 2-1	64.9	1940	1926	44.24%	27.90%	27.87%	+0.34	+6.4	9
2024-05-11	@ Celtic	L 1-2	64.9	1926	1940	27.87%	27.90%	44.24%	-0.34	-6.4	6
2024-05-11	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	57.1	1470	1519	35.40%	28.37%	36.22%	-0.03	+7.8	6
2024-05-11	@ Livingston	L 1-2	57.1	1519	1470	36.22%	28.37%	35.40%	+0.03	-7.8	0
2024-05-12	Aberdeen	L 0-4	56.3	1630	1601	46.23%	27.63%	26.13%	+0.43	-35.4	3
2024-05-12	@ Hibernian	W 4-0	56.3	1601	1630	26.13%	27.63%	46.23%	-0.43	+35.4	9
2024-05-14	Dundee	W 5-2	51.3	1920	1582	77.60%	15.22%	7.18%	+2.21	+3.2	9
2024-05-14	@ Rangers	L 2-5	51.3	1582	1920	7.18%	15.22%	77.60%	-2.21	-3.2	0
2024-05-15	Celtic	L 0-5	48.8	1685	1947	14.41%	22.98%	62.62%	-1.26	-16.1	4
2024-05-15	@ Kilmarnock	W 5-0	48.8	1947	1685	62.62%	22.98%	14.41%	+1.26	+16.1	12
2024-05-15	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	77.1	1627	1751	25.91%	27.59%	46.50%	-0.46	+0.7	4
2024-05-15	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	77.1	1751	1627	46.50%	27.59%	25.91%	+0.46	-0.7	5
2024-05-15	Livingston	W 5-1	46.6	1637	1478	61.48%	23.45%	15.08%	+1.18	+11.4	12
2024-05-15	@ Aberdeen	L 1-5	46.6	1478	1637	15.08%	23.45%	61.48%	-1.18	-11.4	6
2024-05-15	Motherwell	W 3-0	53.8	1595	1644	35.38%	28.37%	36.25%	-0.03	+22.5	6
2024-05-15	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	53.8	1644	1595	36.25%	28.37%	35.38%	+0.03	-22.5	6
2024-05-15	Ross County	D 1-1	62.0	1511	1486	45.80%	27.69%	26.50%	+0.41	-0.9	1
2024-05-15	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	62.0	1486	1511	26.50%	27.69%	45.80%	-0.41	+0.9	4
2024-05-18	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	69.3	1579	1668	29.96%	28.13%	41.92%	-0.26	+0.5	1
2024-05-18	@ Dundee	D 1-1	69.3	1668	1579	41.92%	28.13%	29.96%	+0.26	-0.5	5
2024-05-18	Rangers	D 3-3	82.3	1750	1923	20.98%	26.35%	52.67%	-0.74	+0.9	6
2024-05-18	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 3-3	82.3	1923	1750	52.67%	26.35%	20.98%	+0.74	-0.9	10
2024-05-18	St. Mirren	W 3-2	59.9	1963	1628	77.39%	15.34%	7.27%	+2.20	+1.5	15
2024-05-18	@ Celtic	L 2-3	59.9	1628	1963	7.27%	15.34%	77.39%	-2.20	-1.5	4
2024-05-19	Aberdeen	D 2-2	73.2	1486	1648	22.00%	26.67%	51.33%	-0.68	+1.0	5
2024-05-19	@ Ross County	D 2-2	73.2	1648	1486	51.33%	26.67%	22.00%	+0.68	-1.0	13
2024-05-19	Hibernian	D 1-1	65.4	1466	1618	23.02%	26.96%	50.02%	-0.62	+1.2	7
2024-05-19	@ Livingston	D 1-1	65.4	1618	1466	50.02%	26.96%	23.02%	+0.62	-1.2	7
2024-05-19	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	67.2	1622	1511	56.27%	25.32%	18.41%	+0.90	-11.0	6
2024-05-19	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	67.2	1511	1622	18.41%	25.32%	56.27%	-0.90	+11.0	4

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2024-04-14	6.99%	@ Ross County	1497	3	Rangers	1933	2
2	2024-03-02	7.36%	Motherwell	1612	2	@ Rangers	1944	1
3	2023-12-16	9.97%	Heart of Midlothian	1668	2	@ Celtic	1928	0
4	2023-12-10	11.04%	@ Kilmarnock	1614	2	Celtic	1940	1
5	2023-09-30	11.84%	Aberdeen	1638	3	@ Rangers	1855	1
6	2024-03-16	14.56%	@ Ross County	1494	2	Heart of Midlothian	1753	1
7	2023-08-05	14.84%	@ Kilmarnock	1597	1	Rangers	1852	0
8	2024-03-03	18.18%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1731	2	Celtic	1938	0
9	2024-05-19	18.41%	St. Johnstone	1511	2	@ Motherwell	1622	1
10	2024-04-06	19.18%	St. Johnstone	1538	2	@ Hibernian	1639	1
11	2024-02-28	21.13%	St. Johnstone	1528	2	@ Aberdeen	1606	0
12	2023-08-26	21.67%	Livingston	1569	3	@ Hibernian	1642	2
13	2024-02-17	22.15%	@ Livingston	1487	1	St. Mirren	1647	0
14	2024-05-04	23.60%	@ Ross County	1495	2	Hibernian	1640	1
15	2024-03-16	23.67%	Aberdeen	1574	1	@ Motherwell	1626	0
16	2023-08-06	23.87%	St. Mirren	1607	3	@ Hibernian	1658	2
17	2023-12-30	24.45%	St. Mirren	1590	3	@ Aberdeen	1635	0
18	2023-09-16	24.63%	St. Mirren	1622	1	@ Motherwell	1665	0
19	2023-12-16	24.79%	@ St. Johnstone	1541	1	Hibernian	1675	0
20	2024-02-03	25.13%	St. Mirren	1607	3	@ Hibernian	1645	0
21	2024-05-12	26.13%	Aberdeen	1601	4	@ Hibernian	1630	0
22	2023-12-06	26.18%	Kilmarnock	1604	1	@ Aberdeen	1632	0
23	2023-09-02	27.19%	Ross County	1585	1	@ Kilmarnock	1605	0
24	2023-09-03	28.09%	Hibernian	1632	2	@ Aberdeen	1644	0
25	2023-09-03	28.19%	Motherwell	1656	1	@ Heart of Midlothian	1667	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-05-12	35.42	Aberdeen	4	1601	26.13%	@ Hibernian	0	1630	46.23%	27.63%
2	2023-11-11	29.95	@ Dundee	4	1588	34.52%	St. Mirren	0	1643	37.11%	28.36%
3	2023-12-30	28.06	St. Mirren	3	1590	24.45%	@ Aberdeen	0	1635	48.25%	27.30%
4	2024-02-03	27.67	St. Mirren	3	1607	25.13%	@ Hibernian	0	1645	47.43%	27.44%
5	2023-12-16	26.24	Heart of Midlothian	2	1668	9.97%	@ Celtic	0	1928	71.19%	18.84%
6	2024-02-06	25.50	@ Motherwell	5	1588	49.92%	Ross County	0	1530	23.10%	26.98%
7	2023-09-24	23.68	@ Aberdeen	4	1614	45.05%	Ross County	0	1594	27.16%	27.80%
8	2024-05-15	22.54	@ Hibernian	3	1595	35.38%	Motherwell	0	1644	36.25%	28.37%
9	2024-01-02	22.49	Aberdeen	3	1607	35.47%	@ Ross County	0	1563	36.16%	28.37%
10	2023-12-05	22.26	@ Ross County	3	1560	35.99%	Motherwell	0	1605	35.64%	28.37%
11	2024-03-03	22.01	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1731	18.18%	Celtic	0	1938	56.61%	25.21%
12	2023-09-30	21.85	Aberdeen	3	1638	11.84%	@ Rangers	1	1855	67.34%	20.82%
13	2024-02-28	20.69	St. Johnstone	2	1528	21.13%	@ Aberdeen	0	1606	52.47%	26.40%
14	2024-05-11	19.21	Motherwell	5	1625	46.06%	@ Ross County	1	1505	26.28%	27.66%
15	2023-10-28	18.57	@ St. Mirren	4	1627	53.37%	St. Johnstone	0	1541	20.46%	26.16%
16	2023-09-03	17.95	Hibernian	2	1632	28.09%	@ Aberdeen	0	1644	43.98%	27.92%
17	2023-10-28	17.28	Dundee	2	1580	29.99%	@ Livingston	0	1577	41.88%	28.13%
18	2023-10-07	16.73	@ Livingston	2	1571	31.60%	Motherwell	0	1648	40.15%	28.25%
19	2024-01-27	16.36	Dundee	4	1603	42.31%	@ Livingston	1	1510	29.60%	28.09%
20	2024-05-15	16.11	Celtic	5	1947	62.62%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1685	14.41%	22.98%
21	2023-11-01	15.93	Rangers	5	1862	62.88%	@ Dundee	0	1597	14.26%	22.87%
22	2023-10-29	15.71	@ Kilmarnock	2	1604	34.75%	Aberdeen	0	1658	36.88%	28.37%
23	2024-02-24	15.62	@ Rangers	5	1925	63.32%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1749	14.00%	22.67%
24	2024-04-27	15.36	@ Livingston	2	1465	35.89%	Ross County	0	1510	35.74%	28.37%
25	2024-05-04	14.58	St. Mirren	3	1621	31.28%	@ Dundee	1	1608	40.49%	28.23%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-05-18	82.3	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1750	20.98%	Rangers	3	1923	52.67%	26.35%
2	2024-04-07	81.9	@ Rangers	3	1934	43.88%	Celtic	3	1922	28.18%	27.94%
3	2024-04-14	80.5	@ Ross County	3	1497	6.99%	Rangers	2	1933	78.08%	14.94%
4	2024-02-14	79.0	@ Aberdeen	3	1620	43.12%	Motherwell	3	1614	28.87%	28.02%
5	2023-10-28	78.6	@ Motherwell	3	1631	51.10%	Ross County	3	1564	22.18%	26.72%
6	2023-12-02	78.6	@ Motherwell	3	1606	41.76%	Dundee	3	1610	30.10%	28.14%
7	2023-12-30	77.1	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1713	60.66%	Ross County	2	1562	15.57%	23.77%
8	2024-05-15	77.1	@ St. Mirren	2	1627	25.91%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1751	46.50%	27.59%
9	2023-10-07	76.5	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1669	43.90%	Hibernian	2	1657	28.17%	27.93%
10	2023-11-08	76.0	@ St. Mirren	2	1643	41.77%	Hibernian	2	1647	30.09%	28.14%
11	2024-01-27	75.9	@ Kilmarnock	2	1635	40.89%	Hibernian	2	1645	30.91%	28.20%
12	2024-01-02	75.7	@ Hibernian	2	1657	51.36%	Motherwell	2	1587	21.98%	26.66%
13	2024-03-02	75.7	Motherwell	2	1612	7.36%	@ Rangers	1	1944	77.17%	15.47%
14	2023-08-27	75.6	@ St. Mirren	2	1622	39.34%	Aberdeen	2	1644	32.37%	28.29%
15	2023-12-30	75.5	@ Kilmarnock	2	1639	46.76%	Dundee	2	1606	25.69%	27.55%
16	2023-11-25	75.4	@ Celtic	1	1935	77.24%	Motherwell	1	1602	7.33%	15.43%
17	2024-03-02	75.4	@ Dundee	2	1602	35.36%	Kilmarnock	2	1651	36.27%	28.37%
18	2023-10-31	75.3	@ Hibernian	2	1649	53.06%	Ross County	2	1565	20.69%	26.24%
19	2023-09-16	75.2	@ Kilmarnock	2	1595	34.63%	Hibernian	2	1650	37.01%	28.37%
20	2024-02-17	75.1	@ Aberdeen	2	1619	42.92%	Hibernian	2	1615	29.04%	28.04%
21	2024-02-17	74.9	@ Celtic	1	1929	73.86%	Kilmarnock	1	1638	8.76%	17.38%
22	2023-12-10	74.5	@ Kilmarnock	2	1614	11.04%	Celtic	1	1940	68.94%	20.02%
23	2024-02-03	73.9	@ Aberdeen	1	1619	11.83%	Celtic	1	1929	67.35%	20.81%
24	2023-08-06	73.8	St. Mirren	3	1607	23.87%	@ Hibernian	2	1658	48.96%	27.17%
25	2023-09-23	73.8	@ Dundee	2	1579	40.12%	Kilmarnock	2	1595	31.63%	28.25%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-02-03	41.4	@ Rangers	3	1913	83.22%	Livingston	0	1494	5.01%	11.78%
2	2024-03-31	42.6	Celtic	3	1918	78.90%	@ Livingston	0	1471	6.66%	14.44%
3	2024-03-16	43.1	@ Hibernian	3	1631	60.52%	Livingston	0	1482	15.65%	23.82%
4	2023-09-16	44.2	@ Celtic	3	1888	74.91%	Dundee	0	1585	8.31%	16.78%
5	2023-12-23	44.2	@ Celtic	2	1901	80.26%	Livingston	0	1527	6.13%	13.62%
6	2024-02-18	44.7	Rangers	3	1920	73.35%	@ St. Johnstone	0	1543	8.99%	17.67%
7	2024-04-13	44.7	@ Celtic	3	1923	74.06%	St. Mirren	0	1630	8.67%	17.26%
8	2023-08-12	44.8	@ Rangers	4	1839	71.42%	Livingston	0	1577	9.86%	18.72%
9	2023-12-20	45.0	@ Rangers	2	1893	77.90%	St. Johnstone	0	1552	7.06%	15.04%
10	2023-11-04	45.4	Celtic	3	1917	71.08%	@ Ross County	0	1566	10.01%	18.90%
11	2024-03-02	46.2	@ Hibernian	2	1624	57.52%	Ross County	0	1502	17.56%	24.91%
12	2024-02-17	46.3	@ Dundee	2	1607	55.40%	Ross County	0	1503	19.01%	25.59%
13	2023-09-23	46.4	Celtic	3	1893	67.74%	@ Livingston	0	1579	11.63%	20.62%
14	2024-05-15	46.6	@ Aberdeen	5	1637	61.48%	Livingston	1	1478	15.08%	23.45%
15	2023-10-28	46.7	@ St. Mirren	4	1627	53.37%	St. Johnstone	0	1541	20.46%	26.16%
16	2023-11-12	46.7	@ Celtic	6	1923	71.96%	Aberdeen	0	1655	9.61%	18.43%
17	2024-02-28	46.8	@ Celtic	7	1930	76.35%	Dundee	1	1609	7.70%	15.95%
18	2023-12-03	46.9	@ Rangers	2	1881	72.18%	St. Mirren	0	1610	9.51%	18.31%
19	2024-01-02	47.0	Celtic	3	1919	66.48%	@ St. Mirren	0	1618	12.29%	21.24%
20	2024-02-06	47.0	@ Motherwell	5	1588	49.92%	Ross County	0	1530	23.10%	26.98%
21	2023-10-21	47.3	@ Rangers	4	1847	64.58%	Hibernian	0	1658	13.30%	22.12%
22	2023-12-26	47.3	Celtic	3	1904	65.32%	@ Dundee	0	1615	12.90%	21.78%
23	2024-01-27	47.3	@ Celtic	1	1928	81.13%	Ross County	0	1541	5.79%	13.08%
24	2024-04-27	47.3	@ Livingston	2	1465	35.89%	Ross County	0	1510	35.74%	28.37%
25	2023-11-12	47.5	Rangers	2	1878	69.20%	@ Livingston	0	1548	10.91%	19.89%