2024-25 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

92 points · 55th Title

Last Title: 2023-24

Relegated

St. Johnstone

32 pts

Ross County · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

St. Mirren

4.23 points above expected

50 points · 45.77 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ross County

4.19 points below expected

37 points · 41.19 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	26	3	4	81	97	22	+75	76.54	+4.46
2	Rangers	33	20	6	7	66	68	35	+33	68.81	-2.81
3	Hibernian	33	14	11	8	53	54	41	+13	42.31	+10.69
4	Dundee United	33	14	8	11	50	41	40	+1	47.39	+2.61
5	Aberdeen	33	14	8	11	50	45	49	-4	46.64	+3.36
6	St. Mirren	33	12	5	16	41	45	54	-9	40.60	+0.40
7	Heart of Midlothian	33	11	7	15	40	43	44	-1	49.66	-9.66
8	Motherwell	33	11	6	16	39	37	56	-19	39.48	-0.48
9	Kilmarnock	33	9	8	16	35	38	58	-20	42.58	-7.58
10	Ross County	33	9	8	16	35	33	56	-23	32.00	+3.00
11	Dundee	33	9	7	17	34	50	71	-21	36.28	-2.28
12	St. Johnstone	33	8	5	20	29	33	58	-25	32.03	-3.03

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	38	29	5	4	92	112	26	+86	92.01	-0.01
2	Rangers	38	22	9	7	75	80	41	+39	75.40	-0.40
3	Hibernian	38	15	13	10	58	62	50	+12	59.72	-1.72
4	Dundee United	38	15	8	15	53	45	54	-9	55.45	-2.45
5	Aberdeen	38	15	8	15	53	48	61	-13	54.68	-1.68
6	St. Mirren	38	14	8	16	50	53	59	-6	45.77	+4.23
7	Heart of Midlothian	38	15	7	16	52	52	47	+5	49.62	+2.38
8	Motherwell	38	14	7	17	49	46	63	-17	45.50	+3.50
9	Kilmarnock	38	12	8	18	44	45	64	-19	42.57	+1.43
10	Dundee	38	11	8	19	41	57	77	-20	40.13	+0.87
11	Ross County Relegated	38	9	10	19	37	37	65	-28	41.19	-4.19
12	St. Johnstone Relegated	38	9	5	24	32	38	68	-30	34.75	-2.75

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	St. Mirren	50	45.77	+4.23
2	Motherwell	49	45.50	+3.50
3	Heart of Midlothian	52	49.62	+2.38
4	Kilmarnock	44	42.57	+1.43
5	Dundee	41	40.13	+0.87

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ross County	37	41.19	-4.19
2	St. Johnstone	32	34.75	-2.75
3	Dundee United	53	55.45	-2.45
4	Hibernian	58	59.72	-1.72
5	Aberdeen	53	54.68	-1.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aberdeen	7	Aug 5 – Oct 6	1 in 179
2	Hibernian	4	Dec 14 – Dec 29	1 in 72
3	St. Mirren	3	Dec 14 – Dec 26	1 in 32
4	Ross County	2	Jan 2 – Jan 5	1 in 26
5	Celtic	7	Aug 4 – Oct 6	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aberdeen	5	Dec 21 – Jan 5	1 in 344
2	Ross County	7	Mar 15 – May 10	1 in 142
3	Heart of Midlothian	5	Aug 10 – Sep 21	1 in 126
4	Motherwell	5	Jan 11 – Feb 22	1 in 54
5	Dundee	5	Feb 1 – Feb 26	1 in 30

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hibernian	17	Dec 14 – Apr 13	1 in 12,456
2	Aberdeen	11	Aug 5 – Nov 9	1 in 161
3	St. Mirren	6	Apr 12 – May 17	1 in 71
4	Ross County	4	Dec 26 – Jan 5	1 in 30
5	Kilmarnock	5	Sep 1 – Oct 20	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aberdeen	14	Nov 23 – Feb 1	1 in 2,244
2	Heart of Midlothian	8	Aug 3 – Oct 6	1 in 70
3	Hibernian	9	Sep 29 – Nov 26	1 in 43
4	Rangers	4	Apr 5 – May 4	1 in 29
5	Ross County	9	Mar 15 – May 18	1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	1958	92	+19	11	10.9	+0.1
Rangers	1855	75	+10	9	9.6	-0.6
Hibernian	1710	58	-3	5	6.4	-1.4
Dundee United	1623	53	-33	3	5.4	-2.4
Aberdeen	1600	53	-17	3	4.5	-1.5
Heart of Midlothian	1710	52	+15	12	9.7	+2.3
St. Mirren	1645	50	+24	9	5.2	+3.8
Motherwell	1576	49	+21	10	6.4	+3.6
Kilmarnock	1602	44	-1	9	7.9	+1.1
Dundee	1554	41	+12	7	6.1	+0.9
Ross County	1523	37	-21	2	5.7	-3.7
St. Johnstone	1501	32	-26	3	6.0	-3.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DUN	DU	HOM	HIB	KIL	MOT	RAN	RC	SJ	SM
Aberdeen	—	0-1-3 2.11	3-0-0 4.83	1-1-2 5.26	1-2-0 4.38	1-1-2 5.85	2-0-1 4.68	2-0-1 4.81	1-1-2 2.83	2-0-1 5.15	1-2-0 5.10	1-0-3 6.09
Celtic	3-1-0 9.23	—	2-1-0 7.48	3-1-0 9.13	3-0-0 6.72	3-0-1 9.23	3-0-0 7.00	3-0-0 7.04	1-1-2 6.93	3-0-0 7.45	2-0-1 7.46	3-1-0 9.35
Dundee	0-0-3 3.53	0-1-2 1.11	—	1-1-1 2.89	2-0-2 3.98	1-1-1 3.45	1-1-2 4.91	2-0-2 5.17	0-1-2 1.67	0-1-3 6.27	2-1-1 5.98	2-1-0 3.77
Dundee United	2-1-1 5.86	0-1-3 2.19	1-1-1 5.48	—	2-0-1 3.67	1-1-2 5.87	0-2-1 4.63	1-0-2 5.23	0-1-3 3.01	2-1-0 5.19	3-0-0 5.65	3-0-1 6.23
Heart of Midlothian	0-2-1 3.95	0-0-3 1.75	2-0-2 7.18	1-0-2 4.68	—	0-1-2 4.66	2-0-2 6.68	2-1-1 7.16	0-1-2 2.74	2-2-0 7.66	4-0-0 7.78	2-0-1 5.09
Hibernian	2-1-1 5.28	1-0-3 2.10	1-1-1 4.92	2-1-1 5.26	2-1-0 3.68	—	1-2-0 4.11	2-0-1 4.21	1-2-1 2.92	1-2-0 4.94	2-1-0 5.47	0-2-2 5.47
Kilmarnock	1-0-2 3.66	0-0-3 1.51	2-1-1 6.22	1-2-0 3.72	2-0-2 4.45	0-2-1 4.23	—	1-2-1 6.06	1-0-2 2.06	1-0-3 6.84	2-0-2 6.94	1-1-1 3.93
Motherwell	1-0-2 3.53	0-0-3 1.48	2-0-2 5.96	2-0-1 3.12	1-1-2 3.99	1-0-2 4.14	1-2-1 5.06	—	1-1-1 1.65	0-2-2 6.78	3-0-1 6.57	2-1-0 4.16
Rangers	2-1-1 8.42	2-1-1 4.20	2-1-0 6.81	3-1-0 8.22	2-1-0 5.64	1-2-1 8.32	2-0-1 6.37	1-1-1 6.84	—	3-0-0 7.27	3-0-0 7.16	1-1-2 8.82
Ross County	1-0-2 3.21	0-0-3 1.13	3-1-0 4.87	0-1-2 3.17	0-2-2 3.52	0-2-1 3.41	3-0-1 4.30	2-2-0 4.36	0-0-3 1.28	—	0-1-3 5.26	0-1-2 2.98
St. Johnstone	0-2-1 3.27	1-0-2 1.12	1-1-2 5.14	0-0-3 2.72	0-0-4 3.40	0-1-2 2.90	2-0-2 4.21	1-0-3 4.56	0-0-3 1.37	3-1-0 5.86	—	1-0-2 3.24
St. Mirren	3-0-1 5.03	0-1-3 2.01	0-1-2 4.58	1-0-3 4.89	1-0-2 3.27	2-2-0 5.64	1-1-1 4.41	0-1-2 4.18	2-1-1 2.47	2-1-0 5.37	2-0-1 5.11	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.88	+7.3
Allowed	0.85	-11.1
Differential	0.95	+4.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.39%	7.89%	5.26%	4.61%	1.75%	1.54%	25.44%
1	7.89%	8.77%	8.55%	4.39%	1.32%	0.88%	31.80%
2	5.26%	8.55%	5.70%	2.19%	0.44%	0.22%	22.37%
3	4.61%	4.39%	2.19%	2.19%	0.44%	—	13.82%
4	1.75%	1.32%	0.44%	0.44%	—	—	3.95%
5+	1.54%	0.88%	0.22%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	25.44%	31.80%	22.37%	13.82%	3.95%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.48	1.48	+0.00
SD	1.30	1.30	2.04
CV	0.88	0.88	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	—	28.95%
1	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	5.26%	34.21%
2	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	—	—	—	23.68%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	34.21%	23.68%	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	1.61	-0.34
SD	1.13	1.37	1.89
CV	0.90	0.85	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
1	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
2	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
3	18.42%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
4	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
5+	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	21.05%
Total	55.26%	28.95%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.95	0.68	+2.26
SD	1.63	0.93	2.05
CV	0.55	1.36	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	21.05%
1	5.26%	10.53%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	—	36.84%
2	5.26%	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	21.05%
3	—	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	13.16%
4	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	26.32%	36.84%	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	2.03	-0.53
SD	1.20	1.42	2.10
CV	0.80	0.70	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	23.68%
1	21.05%	10.53%	2.63%	10.53%	—	—	44.74%
2	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	28.95%	15.79%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.42	-0.24
SD	0.93	1.37	1.60
CV	0.78	0.96	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
1	7.89%	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	36.84%
2	5.26%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	28.95%	36.84%	18.42%	13.16%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.24	+0.13
SD	1.30	1.10	1.86
CV	0.95	0.89	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	18.42%
1	2.63%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	28.95%
2	7.89%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
3	5.26%	13.16%	—	5.26%	—	—	23.68%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	42.11%	15.79%	15.79%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.63	1.32	+0.32
SD	1.13	1.09	1.69
CV	0.69	0.83	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	15.79%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	34.21%
1	7.89%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	5.26%	28.95%
2	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	—	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	34.21%	15.79%	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.68	-0.50
SD	1.11	1.58	2.05
CV	0.94	0.94	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	—	31.58%
1	2.63%	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	—	28.95%
2	2.63%	21.05%	5.26%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	36.84%	21.05%	18.42%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.66	-0.45
SD	1.07	1.19	1.72
CV	0.88	0.72	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
1	13.16%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	28.95%
2	2.63%	5.26%	10.53%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
4	5.26%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
5+	5.26%	—	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	36.84%	26.32%	28.95%	7.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.11	1.08	+1.03
SD	1.54	1.00	1.98
CV	0.73	0.92	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	39.47%
1	5.26%	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	34.21%
2	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	34.21%	15.79%	18.42%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.71	-0.74
SD	1.00	1.49	2.00
CV	1.03	0.87	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	5.26%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	28.95%
1	10.53%	7.89%	21.05%	10.53%	—	—	50.00%
2	—	7.89%	—	5.26%	—	—	13.16%
3	5.26%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	21.05%	34.21%	21.05%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.79	-0.79
SD	0.87	1.30	1.73
CV	0.87	0.73	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	31.58%
1	2.63%	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	18.42%
2	5.26%	13.16%	13.16%	—	—	2.63%	34.21%
3	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	18.42%	31.58%	34.21%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.55	-0.16
SD	1.22	1.16	1.82
CV	0.87	0.74	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1958	92	76.54	+15.46	74.0%	63	66	71	77	82	86	89
Rangers	1855	75	68.81	+6.19	37.0%	55	59	64	69	73	80	84
Heart of Midlothian	1710	52	49.66	+2.34	11.0%	31	38	44	50	55	61	68
Hibernian	1710	58	42.31	+15.69	99.0%	20	33	38	43	47	51	56
St. Mirren	1645	50	40.60	+9.40	54.0%	19	27	35	41	46	52	57
Dundee United	1623	53	47.39	+5.61	71.0%	29	36	42	47	52	59	64
Kilmarnock	1602	44	42.58	+1.42	22.0%	22	30	36	43	48	55	60
Aberdeen	1600	53	46.64	+6.36	68.0%	32	34	42	46	53	57	60
Motherwell	1576	49	39.48	+9.52	56.0%	24	30	35	39	43	51	60
Dundee	1554	41	36.28	+4.72	41.0%	21	24	31	36	41	48	53
Ross County	1523	37	32.00	+5.00	70.0%	15	19	27	32	37	45	53
St. Johnstone	1501	32	32.03	-0.03	40.0%	17	21	27	31	36	42	60

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+15.79%

Slight Edge

47.37%21.05%31.58%

Elo Value

Home Edge

154 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

055.32400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.43 goals

Neutral

-2+0.36+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.5

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

80%

Celtic, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.45/gm

Runaway

00.260.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.63 * Some Luck: 5.63 to 8.45 * Lucky: 8.45 to 11.26 * Wild Swing: 11.26 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.28 * Close: 1.28 to 1.92 * Off: 1.92 to 2.56 * Way Off: 2.56 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.29 * A Surprise: 1.29 to 2.06 * Several Surprises: 2.06 to 2.84 * Many Surprises: 2.84 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.28 points

As Expected

07.0418

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

01.604

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.00%

Hibernian

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

11.00%

Heart of Midlothian

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

0 of 2

As Expected

01.32

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.15

Even

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 127.46

1.98

Moderate Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

70%

Clear Edge

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 93%

91%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

59%

Frequent

0%54%100%

Blowouts

Expected

21%

Frequent

0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.57

Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.38

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.58

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.77

Strong Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

25%

Very Upset-Prone

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Very Shaky

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.54

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.89

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.052

Well Within Noise

00.1090.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	80.00%	20.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	20.00%	77.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	—	—	6.00%	8.00%	15.00%	23.00%	12.00%	12.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	3.00%
Dundee United	—	1.00%	17.00%	20.00%	22.00%	8.00%	18.00%	7.00%	5.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%
Aberdeen	—	—	20.00%	16.00%	15.00%	16.00%	13.00%	5.00%	9.00%	6.00%	—	—
St. Mirren	—	—	5.00%	13.00%	8.00%	14.00%	10.00%	11.00%	13.00%	13.00%	8.00%	5.00%
Heart of Midlothian	—	2.00%	39.00%	13.00%	14.00%	10.00%	10.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Motherwell	—	—	4.00%	8.00%	4.00%	6.00%	10.00%	15.00%	24.00%	15.00%	12.00%	2.00%
Kilmarnock	—	—	5.00%	14.00%	15.00%	10.00%	13.00%	11.00%	6.00%	13.00%	6.00%	7.00%
Dundee	—	—	—	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	20.00%	11.00%	16.00%	13.00%	18.00%
Ross County	—	—	—	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	8.00%	11.00%	11.00%	27.00%	34.00%
St. Johnstone	—	—	1.00%	—	—	7.00%	4.00%	6.00%	9.00%	17.00%	26.00%	30.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	—	99.99%	0.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	—	0.01%	77.78%	17.71%	4.47%	0.03%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee United	—	—	13.85%	49.34%	36.15%	0.66%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	—	—	8.35%	32.76%	57.64%	1.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—
St. Mirren	—	—	0.01%	0.19%	1.74%	98.06%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	—	—	—	—	78.56%	15.82%	4.29%	1.12%	0.20%	0.01%
Motherwell	—	—	—	—	—	—	15.35%	49.00%	21.81%	10.63%	3.06%	0.15%
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.47%	19.94%	34.15%	25.45%	14.72%	2.27%
Dundee	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.85%	5.83%	15.91%	25.39%	42.08%	9.94%
Ross County	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.76%	9.29%	22.81%	33.55%	27.74%	4.85%
St. Johnstone	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.12%	1.03%	3.86%	12.20%	82.78%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	98.00%	2.00%	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Dundee United	99.00%	1.00%	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
Kilmarnock	90.00%	9.00%	1.00%
Hibernian	97.00%	—	3.00%
St. Mirren	89.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Motherwell	82.00%	12.00%	6.00%
Dundee	65.00%	20.00%	15.00%
St. Johnstone	38.00%	31.00%	31.00%
Ross County	42.00%	18.00%	40.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	100%	—	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Dundee United	100%	—	—
Hibernian	100%	—	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
St. Mirren	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	99.79%	0.20%	0.01%
Motherwell	96.79%	3.06%	0.15%
Kilmarnock	83.01%	14.72%	2.27%
Ross County	67.41%	27.74%	4.85%
Dundee	47.98%	42.08%	9.94%
St. Johnstone	5.02%	12.20%	82.78%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2024-08-03	Rangers	D 0-0	68.7	1709	1837	29.45%	21.93%	48.63%	-0.47	+0.8	1
2024-08-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	68.7	1837	1709	48.63%	21.93%	29.45%	+0.47	-0.8	1
2024-08-03	Ross County	D 0-0	64.2	1613	1525	57.84%	20.69%	21.46%	+0.93	-1.5	1
2024-08-03	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	64.2	1525	1613	21.46%	20.69%	57.84%	-0.93	+1.5	1
2024-08-04	Dundee	D 2-2	76.6	1646	1590	54.07%	21.31%	24.62%	+0.72	-0.8	1
2024-08-04	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	76.6	1590	1646	24.62%	21.31%	54.07%	-0.72	+0.8	1
2024-08-04	Hibernian	W 3-0	50.5	1623	1616	47.75%	22.00%	30.25%	+0.40	+14.6	3
2024-08-04	@ St. Mirren	L 0-3	50.5	1616	1623	30.25%	22.00%	47.75%	-0.40	-14.6	0
2024-08-04	Kilmarnock	W 4-0	45.8	1862	1651	70.02%	17.40%	12.58%	+1.72	+8.2	3
2024-08-04	@ Celtic	L 0-4	45.8	1651	1862	12.58%	17.40%	70.02%	-1.72	-8.2	0
2024-08-05	Aberdeen	L 1-2	61.1	1548	1637	34.37%	22.24%	43.39%	-0.22	-5.6	0
2024-08-05	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	61.1	1637	1548	43.39%	22.24%	34.37%	+0.22	+5.6	3
2024-08-10	Dundee United	D 1-1	69.0	1526	1645	30.50%	22.02%	47.48%	-0.41	+0.6	2
2024-08-10	@ Ross County	D 1-1	69.0	1645	1526	47.48%	22.02%	30.50%	+0.41	-0.6	2
2024-08-10	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	64.6	1591	1710	30.44%	22.01%	47.55%	-0.42	+12.6	4
2024-08-10	@ Dundee	L 1-3	64.6	1710	1591	47.55%	22.01%	30.44%	+0.42	-12.6	1
2024-08-10	Motherwell	W 2-1	56.1	1836	1612	71.23%	16.96%	11.81%	+1.82	+2.0	4
2024-08-10	@ Rangers	L 1-2	56.1	1612	1836	11.81%	16.96%	71.23%	-1.82	-2.0	1
2024-08-11	Celtic	L 0-2	49.6	1601	1870	16.09%	19.05%	64.86%	-1.39	-5.6	0
2024-08-11	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	49.6	1870	1601	64.86%	19.05%	16.09%	+1.39	+5.6	6
2024-08-11	St. Johnstone	L 0-3	57.6	1643	1542	59.27%	20.41%	20.32%	+1.02	-25.5	0
2024-08-11	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-0	57.6	1542	1643	20.32%	20.41%	59.27%	-1.02	+25.5	3
2024-08-11	St. Mirren	W 3-1	59.2	1642	1637	47.49%	22.02%	30.50%	+0.39	+8.8	6
2024-08-11	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	59.2	1637	1642	30.50%	22.02%	47.49%	-0.39	-8.8	3
2024-08-24	Dundee	D 2-2	75.6	1596	1603	45.81%	22.13%	32.06%	+0.31	-0.3	1
2024-08-24	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	75.6	1603	1596	32.06%	22.13%	45.81%	-0.31	+0.4	5
2024-08-24	Ross County	W 6-0	43.8	1839	1527	77.88%	14.13%	7.99%	+2.38	+7.3	7
2024-08-24	@ Rangers	L 0-6	43.8	1527	1839	7.99%	14.13%	77.88%	-2.38	-7.3	2
2024-08-24	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	49.3	1645	1567	56.55%	20.92%	22.52%	+0.86	+7.8	5
2024-08-24	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	49.3	1567	1645	22.52%	20.92%	56.55%	-0.86	-7.8	3
2024-08-25	Celtic	L 0-3	48.5	1629	1876	17.70%	19.64%	62.67%	-1.24	-9.0	3
2024-08-25	@ St. Mirren	W 3-0	48.5	1876	1629	62.67%	19.64%	17.70%	+1.24	+9.0	9
2024-08-25	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	63.4	1610	1698	34.54%	22.25%	43.21%	-0.21	+11.6	4
2024-08-25	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	63.4	1698	1610	43.21%	22.25%	34.54%	+0.21	-11.6	1
2024-08-25	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	51.9	1651	1618	51.21%	21.67%	27.12%	+0.58	+9.2	9
2024-08-25	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	51.9	1618	1651	27.12%	21.67%	51.21%	-0.58	-9.2	0
2024-08-31	Aberdeen	L 0-1	53.4	1519	1660	27.91%	21.77%	50.33%	-0.55	-5.0	2
2024-08-31	@ Ross County	W 1-0	53.4	1660	1519	50.33%	21.77%	27.91%	+0.55	+5.0	12
2024-08-31	Motherwell	L 1-2	62.2	1560	1621	38.20%	22.32%	39.48%	-0.04	-6.1	3
2024-08-31	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	62.2	1621	1560	39.48%	22.32%	38.20%	+0.04	+6.1	7
2024-08-31	St. Mirren	D 2-2	76.1	1603	1620	44.62%	22.19%	33.19%	+0.25	-0.3	6
2024-08-31	@ Dundee	D 2-2	76.1	1620	1603	33.19%	22.19%	44.62%	-0.25	+0.3	4
2024-09-01	Dundee United	L 0-1	63.1	1686	1653	51.21%	21.67%	27.12%	+0.58	-8.2	1
2024-09-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	63.1	1653	1686	27.12%	21.67%	51.21%	-0.58	+8.2	8
2024-09-01	Hibernian	D 1-1	69.8	1608	1595	48.59%	21.93%	29.48%	+0.44	-0.7	1
2024-09-01	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	69.8	1595	1608	29.48%	21.93%	48.59%	-0.44	+0.7	2
2024-09-01	Rangers	W 3-0	52.1	1885	1846	51.92%	21.59%	26.49%	+0.61	+13.1	12
2024-09-01	@ Celtic	L 0-3	52.1	1846	1885	26.49%	21.59%	51.92%	-0.61	-13.1	7
2024-09-14	Dundee	W 2-0	53.5	1514	1603	34.44%	22.24%	43.32%	-0.22	+13.4	5
2024-09-14	@ Ross County	L 0-2	53.5	1603	1514	43.32%	22.24%	34.44%	+0.22	-13.4	6
2024-09-14	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	48.1	1898	1678	70.84%	17.10%	12.06%	+1.79	+4.1	15
2024-09-14	@ Celtic	L 0-2	48.1	1678	1898	12.06%	17.10%	70.84%	-1.79	-4.1	1
2024-09-14	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	76.3	1620	1608	48.44%	21.94%	29.62%	+0.44	-0.5	5
2024-09-14	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	76.3	1608	1620	29.62%	21.94%	48.44%	-0.44	+0.5	2
2024-09-14	Motherwell	W 2-1	60.6	1665	1627	51.77%	21.61%	26.62%	+0.60	+4.5	15
2024-09-14	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	60.6	1627	1665	26.62%	21.61%	51.77%	-0.60	-4.5	7
2024-09-14	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	49.0	1596	1554	52.33%	21.54%	26.13%	+0.63	+8.9	5
2024-09-14	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	49.0	1554	1596	26.13%	21.54%	52.33%	-0.63	-8.9	3
2024-09-15	Rangers	L 0-1	55.9	1661	1833	24.48%	21.29%	54.23%	-0.76	-4.5	8
2024-09-15	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	55.9	1833	1661	54.23%	21.29%	24.48%	+0.76	+4.5	10
2024-09-21	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	64.4	1619	1674	39.26%	22.32%	38.42%	+0.01	+6.1	8
2024-09-21	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	64.4	1674	1619	38.42%	22.32%	39.26%	-0.01	-6.1	1
2024-09-21	St. Johnstone	D 3-3	76.1	1528	1545	44.53%	22.19%	33.28%	+0.25	-0.2	6
2024-09-21	@ Ross County	D 3-3	76.1	1545	1528	33.28%	22.19%	44.53%	-0.25	+0.2	4
2024-09-28	Aberdeen	L 1-2	63.0	1590	1670	35.61%	22.28%	42.11%	-0.16	-5.8	6
2024-09-28	@ Dundee	W 2-1	63.0	1670	1590	42.11%	22.28%	35.61%	+0.16	+5.8	18
2024-09-28	Celtic	L 0-6	45.9	1545	1902	10.90%	16.38%	72.72%	-1.96	-10.3	4
2024-09-28	@ St. Johnstone	W 6-0	45.9	1902	1545	72.72%	16.38%	10.90%	+1.96	+10.3	18
2024-09-28	Dundee United	D 3-3	81.0	1608	1656	40.15%	22.32%	37.53%	+0.05	-0.1	3
2024-09-28	@ Kilmarnock	D 3-3	81.0	1656	1608	37.53%	22.32%	40.15%	-0.05	+0.0	9
2024-09-28	Ross County	D 1-1	70.4	1668	1528	63.37%	19.46%	17.17%	+1.27	-1.7	2
2024-09-28	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	70.4	1528	1668	17.17%	19.46%	63.37%	-1.27	+1.7	7
2024-09-28	St. Mirren	W 2-1	61.5	1623	1626	46.46%	22.09%	31.45%	+0.34	+5.2	10
2024-09-28	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	61.5	1626	1623	31.45%	22.09%	46.46%	-0.34	-5.2	8
2024-09-29	Hibernian	W 1-0	50.4	1837	1605	71.87%	16.71%	11.42%	+1.87	+2.1	13
2024-09-29	@ Rangers	L 0-1	50.4	1605	1837	11.42%	16.71%	71.87%	-1.87	-2.1	5
2024-10-05	Dundee United	L 0-1	59.7	1620	1656	41.85%	22.29%	35.86%	+0.13	-6.9	8
2024-10-05	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	59.7	1656	1620	35.86%	22.29%	41.85%	-0.13	+6.9	12
2024-10-05	Kilmarnock	L 2-3	69.5	1584	1608	43.50%	22.24%	34.26%	+0.20	-6.4	6
2024-10-05	@ Dundee	W 3-2	69.5	1608	1584	34.26%	22.24%	43.50%	-0.20	+6.4	6
2024-10-05	Motherwell	L 1-2	64.8	1603	1628	43.35%	22.24%	34.40%	+0.19	-6.7	5
2024-10-05	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	64.8	1628	1603	34.40%	22.24%	43.35%	-0.19	+6.7	13
2024-10-06	Celtic	L 1-2	55.0	1529	1912	9.70%	15.54%	74.76%	-2.12	-1.6	7
2024-10-06	@ Ross County	W 2-1	55.0	1912	1529	74.76%	15.54%	9.70%	+2.12	+1.6	21
2024-10-06	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-2	67.7	1676	1666	48.13%	21.97%	29.91%	+0.42	+4.7	21
2024-10-06	@ Aberdeen	L 2-3	67.7	1666	1676	29.91%	21.97%	48.13%	-0.42	-4.7	2
2024-10-06	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	45.3	1839	1535	77.39%	14.36%	8.25%	+2.33	+2.7	16
2024-10-06	@ Rangers	L 0-2	45.3	1535	1839	8.25%	14.36%	77.39%	-2.33	-2.7	4
2024-10-19	Aberdeen	D 2-2	80.7	1914	1680	71.98%	16.67%	11.35%	+1.87	-1.7	22
2024-10-19	@ Celtic	D 2-2	80.7	1680	1914	11.35%	16.67%	71.98%	-1.87	+1.7	22
2024-10-19	Dundee	L 0-1	61.9	1635	1578	54.16%	21.30%	24.54%	+0.73	-8.6	13
2024-10-19	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	61.9	1578	1635	24.54%	21.30%	54.16%	-0.73	+8.6	9
2024-10-19	Hibernian	W 3-2	64.5	1663	1596	55.37%	21.12%	23.51%	+0.79	+3.8	15
2024-10-19	@ Dundee United	L 2-3	64.5	1596	1663	23.51%	21.12%	55.37%	-0.79	-3.8	5
2024-10-19	Ross County	W 3-0	45.7	1532	1528	47.38%	22.02%	30.59%	+0.39	+14.8	7
2024-10-19	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-3	45.7	1528	1532	30.59%	22.02%	47.38%	-0.39	-14.8	7
2024-10-19	St. Mirren	W 4-0	49.1	1661	1613	52.99%	21.46%	25.55%	+0.67	+16.5	5
2024-10-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	49.1	1613	1661	25.55%	21.46%	52.99%	-0.67	-16.5	8
2024-10-20	Rangers	W 1-0	66.3	1615	1842	19.30%	20.14%	60.57%	-1.12	+9.5	9
2024-10-20	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	66.3	1842	1615	60.57%	20.14%	19.30%	+1.12	-9.5	16
2024-10-26	Dundee United	W 1-0	56.7	1682	1667	48.81%	21.91%	29.28%	+0.46	+5.2	25
2024-10-26	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	56.7	1667	1682	29.28%	21.91%	48.81%	-0.46	-5.2	15
2024-10-26	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	63.4	1513	1624	31.50%	22.09%	46.40%	-0.36	+7.1	10
2024-10-26	@ Ross County	L 1-2	63.4	1624	1513	46.40%	22.09%	31.50%	+0.36	-7.1	9
2024-10-26	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	64.8	1586	1547	51.98%	21.59%	26.44%	+0.61	-7.8	9
2024-10-26	@ Dundee	W 2-1	64.8	1547	1586	26.44%	21.59%	51.98%	-0.61	+7.8	10
2024-10-27	Celtic	L 0-3	47.4	1626	1912	14.92%	18.57%	66.51%	-1.50	-7.6	13
2024-10-27	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	47.4	1912	1626	66.51%	18.57%	14.92%	+1.50	+7.6	25
2024-10-27	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.0	1592	1678	34.88%	22.26%	42.86%	-0.20	+0.3	6
2024-10-27	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	71.0	1678	1592	42.86%	22.26%	34.88%	+0.20	-0.3	6
2024-10-27	St. Mirren	W 2-1	55.8	1833	1597	72.13%	16.61%	11.26%	+1.89	+1.9	19
2024-10-27	@ Rangers	L 1-2	55.8	1597	1833	11.26%	16.61%	72.13%	-1.89	-1.9	8
2024-10-30	Dundee	W 2-0	45.2	1920	1578	79.87%	13.17%	6.96%	+2.57	+2.3	28
2024-10-30	@ Celtic	L 0-2	45.2	1578	1920	6.96%	13.17%	79.87%	-2.57	-2.2	9
2024-10-30	Hibernian	D 0-0	62.9	1520	1592	36.68%	22.31%	41.01%	-0.11	+0.2	11
2024-10-30	@ Ross County	D 0-0	62.9	1592	1520	41.01%	22.31%	36.68%	+0.11	-0.2	7
2024-10-30	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	68.9	1677	1617	54.54%	21.25%	24.22%	+0.75	-8.2	6
2024-10-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	68.9	1617	1677	24.22%	21.25%	54.54%	-0.75	+8.2	12
2024-10-30	Motherwell	L 1-2	68.2	1662	1619	52.45%	21.53%	26.02%	+0.64	-7.9	15
2024-10-30	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	68.2	1619	1662	26.02%	21.53%	52.45%	-0.64	+7.9	16
2024-10-30	Rangers	W 2-1	69.6	1687	1834	27.17%	21.68%	51.15%	-0.60	+7.7	28
2024-10-30	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	69.6	1834	1687	51.15%	21.68%	27.17%	+0.60	-7.7	19
2024-10-30	St. Johnstone	W 3-1	55.0	1595	1554	52.09%	21.57%	26.34%	+0.62	+7.7	11
2024-10-30	@ St. Mirren	L 1-3	55.0	1554	1595	26.34%	21.57%	52.09%	-0.62	-7.8	10
2024-11-02	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	60.5	1547	1669	30.10%	21.98%	47.91%	-0.43	-5.0	10
2024-11-02	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	60.5	1669	1547	47.91%	21.98%	30.10%	+0.43	+5.0	9
2024-11-02	Ross County	D 0-0	63.7	1603	1520	57.15%	20.82%	22.03%	+0.89	-1.4	12
2024-11-02	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	63.7	1520	1603	22.03%	20.82%	57.15%	-0.89	+1.4	12
2024-11-03	Dundee United	D 1-1	70.6	1592	1654	38.18%	22.32%	39.50%	-0.04	+0.0	8
2024-11-03	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	70.6	1654	1592	39.50%	22.32%	38.18%	+0.04	-0.0	16
2024-11-03	Kilmarnock	W 3-2	68.0	1576	1625	39.99%	22.32%	37.69%	+0.04	+5.7	12
2024-11-03	@ Dundee	L 2-3	68.0	1625	1576	37.69%	22.32%	39.99%	-0.04	-5.7	12
2024-11-09	Dundee	W 4-1	52.7	1695	1582	60.57%	20.13%	19.30%	+1.09	+8.2	31
2024-11-09	@ Aberdeen	L 1-4	52.7	1582	1695	19.30%	20.13%	60.57%	-1.09	-8.2	12
2024-11-09	Ross County	W 3-0	44.7	1654	1522	62.59%	19.66%	17.75%	+1.22	+9.0	19
2024-11-09	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	44.7	1522	1654	17.75%	19.66%	62.59%	-1.22	-9.0	12
2024-11-09	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	56.5	1626	1542	57.42%	20.77%	21.81%	+0.91	+3.8	19
2024-11-09	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	56.5	1542	1626	21.81%	20.77%	57.42%	-0.91	-3.8	10
2024-11-09	St. Mirren	L 1-2	64.7	1592	1601	45.61%	22.14%	32.25%	+0.30	-7.0	8
2024-11-09	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	64.7	1601	1592	32.25%	22.14%	45.61%	-0.30	+7.0	15
2024-11-10	Celtic	L 0-2	48.9	1619	1922	13.88%	18.08%	68.04%	-1.60	-4.8	12
2024-11-10	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	48.9	1922	1619	68.04%	18.08%	13.88%	+1.60	+4.8	31
2024-11-10	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	52.8	1827	1674	64.64%	19.11%	16.25%	+1.35	+3.0	22
2024-11-10	@ Rangers	L 0-1	52.8	1674	1827	16.25%	19.11%	64.64%	-1.35	-3.0	9
2024-11-23	Aberdeen	W 2-1	66.3	1608	1703	33.61%	22.21%	44.18%	-0.26	+6.8	18
2024-11-23	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	66.3	1703	1608	44.18%	22.21%	33.61%	+0.26	-6.8	31
2024-11-23	Celtic	L 1-4	53.8	1671	1927	17.05%	19.41%	63.54%	-1.30	-7.3	9
2024-11-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-1	53.8	1927	1671	63.54%	19.41%	17.05%	+1.30	+7.3	34
2024-11-23	Dundee United	D 1-1	73.9	1830	1663	66.02%	18.71%	15.27%	+1.44	-1.9	23
2024-11-23	@ Rangers	D 1-1	73.9	1663	1830	15.27%	18.71%	66.02%	-1.44	+1.9	20
2024-11-23	Hibernian	W 4-1	54.9	1574	1585	45.23%	22.16%	32.61%	+0.28	+13.1	15
2024-11-23	@ Dundee	L 1-4	54.9	1585	1574	32.61%	22.16%	45.23%	-0.28	-13.1	8
2024-11-23	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	57.0	1538	1615	36.08%	22.29%	41.63%	-0.14	+6.9	13
2024-11-23	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	57.0	1615	1538	41.63%	22.29%	36.08%	+0.14	-6.9	12
2024-11-23	Motherwell	W 2-1	63.9	1513	1630	30.70%	22.03%	47.27%	-0.40	+7.2	15
2024-11-23	@ Ross County	L 1-2	63.9	1630	1513	47.27%	22.03%	30.70%	+0.40	-7.2	19
2024-11-26	Aberdeen	D 3-3	81.2	1572	1696	29.89%	21.97%	48.14%	-0.45	+0.4	9
2024-11-26	@ Hibernian	D 3-3	81.2	1696	1572	48.14%	21.97%	29.89%	+0.45	-0.4	32
2024-11-30	Dundee	D 1-1	69.7	1608	1587	49.61%	21.84%	28.55%	+0.50	-0.7	13
2024-11-30	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	69.7	1587	1608	28.55%	21.84%	49.61%	-0.50	+0.8	16
2024-11-30	Hibernian	L 0-3	56.4	1623	1573	53.34%	21.41%	25.25%	+0.69	-23.3	19
2024-11-30	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	56.4	1573	1623	25.25%	21.41%	53.34%	-0.69	+23.3	12
2024-11-30	Ross County	W 5-0	41.8	1934	1520	84.15%	10.91%	4.94%	+3.05	+3.6	37
2024-11-30	@ Celtic	L 0-5	41.8	1520	1934	4.94%	10.91%	84.15%	-3.05	-3.6	15
2024-11-30	St. Mirren	W 2-0	51.5	1665	1615	53.25%	21.42%	25.32%	+0.68	+8.6	23
2024-11-30	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	51.5	1615	1665	25.32%	21.42%	53.25%	-0.68	-8.6	18
2024-12-01	Aberdeen	D 1-1	72.0	1664	1696	42.41%	22.27%	35.32%	+0.15	-0.2	10
2024-12-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	72.0	1696	1664	35.32%	22.27%	42.41%	-0.15	+0.2	33
2024-12-01	Rangers	L 0-1	51.7	1545	1828	15.14%	18.66%	66.20%	-1.48	-2.8	13
2024-12-01	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	51.7	1828	1545	66.20%	18.66%	15.14%	+1.48	+2.8	26
2024-12-04	Celtic	L 0-1	53.9	1696	1938	18.14%	19.78%	62.08%	-1.21	-3.4	33
2024-12-04	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	53.9	1938	1696	62.08%	19.78%	18.14%	+1.21	+3.4	40
2024-12-04	Kilmarnock	W 6-0	46.3	1831	1607	71.13%	16.99%	11.88%	+1.81	+11.3	29
2024-12-04	@ Rangers	L 0-6	46.3	1607	1831	11.88%	16.99%	71.13%	-1.81	-11.3	13
2024-12-04	Motherwell	W 4-1	55.6	1587	1600	45.15%	22.16%	32.69%	+0.28	+13.1	19
2024-12-04	@ Dundee	L 1-4	55.6	1600	1587	32.69%	22.16%	45.15%	-0.28	-13.1	19
2024-12-07	Dundee	W 2-0	50.8	1664	1601	54.86%	21.20%	23.94%	+0.77	+8.2	13
2024-12-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	50.8	1601	1664	23.94%	21.20%	54.86%	-0.77	-8.2	19
2024-12-07	Hibernian	W 3-0	43.3	1941	1596	80.11%	13.05%	6.84%	+2.60	+3.2	43
2024-12-07	@ Celtic	L 0-3	43.3	1596	1941	6.84%	13.05%	80.11%	-2.60	-3.2	12
2024-12-07	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	71.4	1674	1596	56.62%	20.91%	22.47%	+0.86	-1.2	24
2024-12-07	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	71.4	1596	1674	22.47%	20.91%	56.62%	-0.86	+1.2	14
2024-12-07	Motherwell	L 0-1	60.3	1606	1587	49.45%	21.85%	28.70%	+0.49	-8.0	18
2024-12-07	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	60.3	1587	1606	28.70%	21.85%	49.45%	-0.49	+8.0	22
2024-12-07	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	71.3	1693	1542	64.46%	19.16%	16.38%	+1.34	-1.8	34
2024-12-07	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	71.3	1542	1693	16.38%	19.16%	64.46%	-1.34	+1.8	14
2024-12-08	Rangers	L 0-3	45.4	1516	1842	12.54%	17.38%	70.08%	-1.75	-6.3	15
2024-12-08	@ Ross County	W 3-0	45.4	1842	1516	70.08%	17.38%	12.54%	+1.75	+6.3	32
2024-12-14	Dundee United	W 4-3	73.3	1595	1672	35.94%	22.29%	41.77%	-0.15	+6.0	25
2024-12-14	@ Motherwell	L 3-4	73.3	1672	1595	41.77%	22.29%	35.94%	+0.15	-6.0	24
2024-12-14	Ross County	W 3-1	52.1	1593	1510	57.17%	20.82%	22.02%	+0.89	+6.6	15
2024-12-14	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	52.1	1510	1593	22.02%	20.82%	57.17%	-0.89	-6.6	15
2024-12-14	St. Mirren	L 2-3	66.9	1544	1598	39.20%	22.32%	38.48%	+0.00	-5.9	14
2024-12-14	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-2	66.9	1598	1544	38.48%	22.32%	39.20%	+0.00	+5.9	21
2024-12-15	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	59.4	1597	1672	36.32%	22.30%	41.38%	-0.13	+6.9	17
2024-12-15	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	59.4	1672	1597	41.38%	22.30%	36.32%	+0.13	-6.9	13
2024-12-20	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	69.8	1601	1604	46.40%	22.09%	31.51%	+0.34	-0.5	26
2024-12-20	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	69.8	1604	1601	31.51%	22.09%	46.40%	-0.34	+0.5	18
2024-12-21	Dundee	W 1-0	49.8	1848	1592	73.76%	15.96%	10.28%	+2.02	+1.8	35
2024-12-21	@ Rangers	L 0-1	49.8	1592	1848	10.28%	15.96%	73.76%	-2.02	-1.9	19
2024-12-21	Hibernian	L 1-3	67.2	1691	1599	58.21%	20.62%	21.17%	+0.95	-15.0	34
2024-12-21	@ Aberdeen	W 3-1	67.2	1599	1691	21.17%	20.62%	58.21%	-0.95	+15.0	18
2024-12-21	St. Mirren	L 1-2	58.5	1503	1604	32.82%	22.17%	45.01%	-0.30	-5.4	15
2024-12-21	@ Ross County	W 2-1	58.5	1604	1503	45.01%	22.17%	32.82%	+0.30	+5.4	24
2024-12-22	Celtic	D 0-0	69.8	1666	1944	15.46%	18.80%	65.74%	-1.44	+2.1	25
2024-12-22	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	69.8	1944	1666	65.74%	18.80%	15.46%	+1.44	-2.1	44
2024-12-22	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	56.0	1665	1538	62.04%	19.79%	18.17%	+1.18	+3.2	16
2024-12-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	56.0	1538	1665	18.17%	19.79%	62.04%	-1.18	-3.2	14
2024-12-26	Aberdeen	W 4-0	54.0	1604	1676	36.77%	22.31%	40.92%	-0.11	+24.4	21
2024-12-26	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-4	54.0	1676	1604	40.92%	22.31%	36.77%	+0.11	-24.4	34
2024-12-26	Dundee United	L 1-2	59.8	1535	1668	28.76%	21.86%	49.38%	-0.51	-4.8	14
2024-12-26	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	59.8	1668	1535	49.38%	21.86%	28.76%	+0.51	+4.8	28
2024-12-26	Hibernian	L 1-2	68.6	1668	1614	53.76%	21.36%	24.88%	+0.71	-8.1	16
2024-12-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	68.6	1614	1668	24.88%	21.36%	53.76%	-0.71	+8.1	21
2024-12-26	Motherwell	W 4-0	42.9	1942	1600	79.91%	13.15%	6.94%	+2.58	+4.3	47
2024-12-26	@ Celtic	L 0-4	42.9	1600	1942	6.94%	13.15%	79.91%	-2.58	-4.3	26
2024-12-26	Rangers	W 2-1	72.1	1610	1850	18.24%	19.82%	61.94%	-1.20	+9.1	27
2024-12-26	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	72.1	1850	1610	61.94%	19.82%	18.24%	+1.20	-9.1	35
2024-12-26	Ross County	L 0-3	54.6	1591	1498	58.29%	20.61%	21.10%	+0.96	-25.2	19
2024-12-26	@ Dundee	W 3-0	54.6	1498	1591	21.10%	20.61%	58.29%	-0.96	+25.2	18
2024-12-29	Aberdeen	W 1-0	56.2	1673	1652	49.67%	21.83%	28.49%	+0.50	+5.1	31
2024-12-29	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	56.2	1652	1673	28.49%	21.83%	49.67%	-0.50	-5.1	34
2024-12-29	Dundee	L 1-2	66.7	1619	1565	53.71%	21.36%	24.92%	+0.71	-8.1	27
2024-12-29	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	66.7	1565	1619	24.92%	21.36%	53.71%	-0.71	+8.1	22
2024-12-29	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	75.3	1523	1660	28.37%	21.82%	49.81%	-0.53	+0.6	19
2024-12-29	@ Ross County	D 2-2	75.3	1660	1523	49.81%	21.82%	28.37%	+0.53	-0.6	17
2024-12-29	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	56.2	1622	1629	45.96%	22.12%	31.92%	+0.32	+5.6	24
2024-12-29	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	56.2	1629	1622	31.92%	22.12%	45.96%	-0.32	-5.6	21
2024-12-29	Rangers	D 2-2	79.3	1596	1841	17.87%	19.69%	62.44%	-1.23	+1.2	27
2024-12-29	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	79.3	1841	1596	62.44%	19.69%	17.87%	+1.23	-1.2	36
2024-12-29	St. Johnstone	W 4-0	41.4	1947	1530	84.27%	10.84%	4.89%	+3.06	+2.9	50
2024-12-29	@ Celtic	L 0-4	41.4	1530	1947	4.89%	10.84%	84.27%	-3.06	-2.9	14
2025-01-02	Celtic	W 3-0	58.2	1840	1949	31.69%	22.10%	46.21%	-0.35	+20.6	39
2025-01-02	@ Rangers	L 0-3	58.2	1949	1840	46.21%	22.10%	31.69%	+0.35	-20.6	50
2025-01-02	Dundee United	L 1-2	61.9	1573	1678	32.31%	22.14%	45.55%	-0.32	-5.3	22
2025-01-02	@ Dundee	W 2-1	61.9	1678	1573	45.55%	22.14%	32.31%	+0.32	+5.3	34
2025-01-02	Hibernian	D 1-1	68.6	1527	1628	32.84%	22.17%	44.99%	-0.29	+0.4	15
2025-01-02	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	68.6	1628	1527	44.99%	22.17%	32.84%	+0.29	-0.4	25
2025-01-02	Motherwell	W 1-0	53.7	1660	1597	54.79%	21.21%	24.00%	+0.76	+4.4	20
2025-01-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	53.7	1597	1660	24.00%	21.21%	54.79%	-0.76	-4.4	27
2025-01-02	Ross County	L 1-2	68.3	1647	1524	61.60%	19.90%	18.50%	+1.15	-9.1	34
2025-01-02	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	68.3	1524	1647	18.50%	19.90%	61.60%	-1.15	+9.1	22
2025-01-02	St. Mirren	W 2-0	52.2	1623	1611	48.46%	21.94%	29.60%	+0.44	+9.9	24
2025-01-02	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	52.2	1611	1623	29.60%	21.94%	48.46%	-0.44	-9.9	27
2025-01-05	Aberdeen	W 2-0	54.5	1593	1638	40.61%	22.31%	37.08%	+0.07	+11.9	30
2025-01-05	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	54.5	1638	1593	37.08%	22.31%	40.61%	-0.07	-11.9	34
2025-01-05	Dundee	L 1-3	58.1	1528	1568	41.21%	22.30%	36.49%	+0.10	-11.2	15
2025-01-05	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-1	58.1	1568	1528	36.49%	22.30%	41.21%	-0.10	+11.2	25
2025-01-05	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	62.7	1684	1664	49.44%	21.85%	28.71%	+0.49	-8.0	34
2025-01-05	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	62.7	1664	1684	28.71%	21.85%	49.44%	-0.49	+7.9	23
2025-01-05	Rangers	D 3-3	83.6	1627	1860	18.85%	20.00%	61.15%	-1.15	+1.0	26
2025-01-05	@ Hibernian	D 3-3	83.6	1860	1627	61.15%	20.00%	18.85%	+1.15	-1.0	40
2025-01-05	Ross County	L 0-1	62.1	1633	1533	59.14%	20.44%	20.42%	+1.01	-9.3	24
2025-01-05	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	62.1	1533	1633	20.42%	20.44%	59.14%	-1.01	+9.3	25
2025-01-05	St. Mirren	W 3-0	43.7	1929	1601	78.97%	13.61%	7.42%	+2.48	+3.5	53
2025-01-05	@ Celtic	L 0-3	43.7	1601	1929	7.42%	13.61%	78.97%	-2.48	-3.5	27
2025-01-08	Dundee United	W 2-0	47.3	1932	1676	73.83%	15.93%	10.24%	+2.02	+3.5	56
2025-01-08	@ Celtic	L 0-2	47.3	1676	1932	10.24%	15.93%	73.83%	-2.02	-3.5	34
2025-01-08	Motherwell	D 0-0	66.0	1624	1605	49.35%	21.86%	28.78%	+0.48	-0.8	25
2025-01-08	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	66.0	1605	1624	28.78%	21.86%	49.35%	-0.48	+0.8	31
2025-01-09	Rangers	D 1-1	73.6	1579	1859	15.33%	18.74%	65.92%	-1.46	+1.9	26
2025-01-09	@ Dundee	D 1-1	73.6	1859	1579	65.92%	18.74%	15.33%	+1.46	-1.9	41
2025-01-11	Celtic	L 1-4	49.9	1542	1936	9.25%	15.19%	75.56%	-2.19	-3.8	25
2025-01-11	@ Ross County	W 4-1	49.9	1936	1542	75.56%	15.19%	9.25%	+2.19	+3.8	59
2025-01-11	Dundee United	L 0-1	57.9	1597	1672	36.35%	22.30%	41.35%	-0.13	-6.2	27
2025-01-11	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	57.9	1672	1597	41.35%	22.30%	36.35%	+0.13	+6.2	37
2025-01-11	Motherwell	W 3-1	57.7	1628	1605	49.87%	21.81%	28.32%	+0.51	+8.2	29
2025-01-11	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	57.7	1605	1628	28.32%	21.81%	49.87%	-0.51	-8.2	31
2025-01-12	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	67.0	1626	1672	40.40%	22.32%	37.28%	+0.06	-0.1	35
2025-01-12	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	67.0	1672	1626	37.28%	22.32%	40.40%	-0.06	+0.1	24
2025-01-12	St. Johnstone	W 3-1	50.5	1857	1516	79.84%	13.18%	6.98%	+2.57	+2.0	44
2025-01-12	@ Rangers	L 1-3	50.5	1516	1857	6.98%	13.18%	79.84%	-2.57	-2.0	15
2025-01-14	Celtic	D 3-3	84.8	1581	1940	10.84%	16.34%	72.83%	-1.97	+1.5	27
2025-01-14	@ Dundee	D 3-3	84.8	1940	1581	72.83%	16.34%	10.84%	+1.97	-1.5	60
2025-01-15	Aberdeen	W 3-0	45.6	1859	1626	71.99%	16.67%	11.35%	+1.88	+5.6	47
2025-01-15	@ Rangers	L 0-3	45.6	1626	1859	11.35%	16.67%	71.99%	-1.88	-5.7	35
2025-01-25	Hibernian	D 1-1	69.1	1538	1637	33.16%	22.19%	44.65%	-0.28	+0.4	26
2025-01-25	@ Ross County	D 1-1	69.1	1637	1538	44.65%	22.19%	33.16%	+0.28	-0.4	30
2025-01-25	Kilmarnock	W 3-2	65.6	1672	1623	53.17%	21.44%	25.39%	+0.68	+4.1	27
2025-01-25	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	65.6	1623	1672	25.39%	21.44%	53.17%	-0.68	-4.1	25
2025-01-25	Motherwell	W 2-1	61.6	1514	1597	35.24%	22.27%	42.49%	-0.18	+6.6	18
2025-01-25	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	61.6	1597	1514	42.49%	22.27%	35.24%	+0.18	-6.6	31
2025-01-25	St. Mirren	L 0-3	56.0	1620	1591	50.59%	21.74%	27.67%	+0.54	-22.2	35
2025-01-25	@ Aberdeen	W 3-0	56.0	1591	1620	27.67%	21.74%	50.59%	-0.54	+22.2	30
2025-01-26	Rangers	L 1-3	58.5	1678	1865	23.00%	21.02%	55.97%	-0.85	-6.9	37
2025-01-26	@ Dundee United	W 3-1	58.5	1865	1678	55.97%	21.02%	23.00%	+0.85	+6.9	50
2025-02-01	Aberdeen	W 2-0	51.1	1636	1598	51.87%	21.60%	26.54%	+0.61	+9.0	33
2025-02-01	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	51.1	1598	1636	26.54%	21.60%	51.87%	-0.61	-9.0	35
2025-02-01	Dundee United	W 1-0	58.8	1619	1672	39.47%	22.32%	38.21%	+0.02	+6.5	28
2025-02-01	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	58.8	1672	1619	38.21%	22.32%	39.47%	-0.02	-6.5	37
2025-02-01	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-6	52.7	1583	1676	33.81%	22.22%	43.97%	-0.25	-30.7	27
2025-02-01	@ Dundee	W 6-0	52.7	1676	1583	43.97%	22.22%	33.81%	+0.25	+30.7	30
2025-02-01	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	61.0	1613	1521	58.29%	20.61%	21.10%	+0.96	-9.2	30
2025-02-01	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	61.0	1521	1613	21.10%	20.61%	58.29%	-0.96	+9.2	21
2025-02-02	Celtic	L 1-3	53.6	1591	1938	11.37%	16.68%	71.95%	-1.90	-3.4	31
2025-02-02	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	53.6	1938	1591	71.95%	16.68%	11.37%	+1.90	+3.4	63
2025-02-02	Ross County	W 4-0	42.6	1872	1539	79.32%	13.44%	7.24%	+2.52	+4.5	53
2025-02-02	@ Rangers	L 0-4	42.6	1539	1872	7.24%	13.44%	79.32%	-2.52	-4.5	26
2025-02-05	Dundee	W 6-0	43.0	1942	1552	82.78%	11.66%	5.56%	+2.88	+4.9	66
2025-02-05	@ Celtic	L 0-6	43.0	1552	1942	5.56%	11.66%	82.78%	-2.88	-4.9	27
2025-02-15	Aberdeen	L 1-2	61.9	1547	1589	41.08%	22.30%	36.62%	+0.09	-6.4	27
2025-02-15	@ Dundee	W 2-1	61.9	1589	1547	36.62%	22.30%	41.08%	-0.09	+6.4	38
2025-02-15	Dundee United	W 3-0	44.8	1946	1665	75.71%	15.13%	9.17%	+2.18	+4.5	69
2025-02-15	@ Celtic	L 0-3	44.8	1665	1946	9.17%	15.13%	75.71%	-2.18	-4.5	37
2025-02-15	Ross County	L 0-3	54.5	1587	1534	53.63%	21.37%	24.99%	+0.70	-23.4	31
2025-02-15	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	54.5	1534	1587	24.99%	21.37%	53.63%	-0.70	+23.4	29
2025-02-15	St. Johnstone	W 3-1	53.3	1625	1530	58.58%	20.55%	20.87%	+0.97	+6.3	31
2025-02-15	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	53.3	1530	1625	20.87%	20.55%	58.58%	-0.97	-6.3	21
2025-02-16	Hibernian	D 0-0	66.3	1604	1645	41.14%	22.30%	36.55%	+0.09	-0.2	31
2025-02-16	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	66.3	1645	1604	36.55%	22.30%	41.14%	-0.09	+0.2	34
2025-02-16	Rangers	L 1-3	59.2	1707	1876	24.73%	21.33%	53.93%	-0.74	-7.3	30
2025-02-16	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	59.2	1876	1707	53.93%	21.33%	24.73%	+0.74	+7.3	56
2025-02-22	Celtic	W 2-1	73.8	1645	1951	13.71%	18.00%	68.29%	-1.62	+9.9	37
2025-02-22	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	73.8	1951	1645	68.29%	18.00%	13.71%	+1.62	-9.9	69
2025-02-22	Dundee	W 3-1	54.4	1558	1541	49.08%	21.89%	29.03%	+0.47	+8.4	32
2025-02-22	@ Ross County	L 1-3	54.4	1541	1558	29.03%	21.89%	49.08%	-0.47	-8.4	27
2025-02-22	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	57.0	1595	1631	41.79%	22.29%	35.92%	+0.12	+6.1	41
2025-02-22	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	57.0	1631	1595	35.92%	22.29%	41.79%	-0.12	-6.1	31
2025-02-22	Motherwell	W 1-0	51.9	1661	1564	58.78%	20.51%	20.71%	+0.99	+3.8	40
2025-02-22	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	51.9	1564	1661	20.71%	20.51%	58.78%	-0.99	-3.8	31
2025-02-22	St. Mirren	L 0-2	66.4	1884	1604	75.57%	15.18%	9.24%	+2.17	-21.5	56
2025-02-22	@ Rangers	W 2-0	66.4	1604	1884	9.24%	15.18%	75.57%	-2.17	+21.5	34
2025-02-23	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	58.6	1524	1699	24.13%	21.23%	54.65%	-0.78	-4.1	21
2025-02-23	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	58.6	1699	1524	54.65%	21.23%	24.13%	+0.78	+4.1	33
2025-02-25	Aberdeen	W 5-1	47.2	1941	1601	79.75%	13.23%	7.02%	+2.56	+3.6	72
2025-02-25	@ Celtic	L 1-5	47.2	1601	1941	7.02%	13.23%	79.75%	-2.56	-3.6	41
2025-02-26	Dundee	W 2-1	56.4	1560	1532	50.47%	21.75%	27.77%	+0.54	+4.7	34
2025-02-26	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	56.4	1532	1560	27.77%	21.75%	50.47%	-0.54	-4.7	27
2025-02-26	Hibernian	L 1-3	64.9	1664	1655	48.03%	21.97%	30.00%	+0.42	-12.7	40
2025-02-26	@ Dundee United	W 3-1	64.9	1655	1664	30.00%	21.97%	48.03%	-0.42	+12.7	40
2025-02-26	Rangers	L 2-4	60.8	1625	1862	18.52%	19.90%	61.57%	-1.18	-5.0	31
2025-02-26	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-2	60.8	1862	1625	61.57%	19.90%	18.52%	+1.18	+5.0	59
2025-02-26	Ross County	W 1-0	53.7	1520	1566	40.39%	22.32%	37.30%	+0.06	+6.3	24
2025-02-26	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	53.7	1566	1520	37.30%	22.32%	40.39%	-0.06	-6.3	32
2025-02-26	St. Mirren	W 3-1	57.0	1704	1626	56.62%	20.91%	22.47%	+0.86	+6.7	36
2025-02-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	57.0	1626	1704	22.47%	20.91%	56.62%	-0.86	-6.7	34
2025-03-01	Celtic	L 2-5	54.7	1619	1945	12.54%	17.38%	70.08%	-1.75	-4.6	34
2025-03-01	@ St. Mirren	W 5-2	54.7	1945	1619	70.08%	17.38%	12.54%	+1.75	+4.6	75
2025-03-01	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	57.1	1560	1620	38.35%	22.32%	39.33%	-0.03	+6.6	35
2025-03-01	@ Ross County	L 0-1	57.1	1620	1560	39.33%	22.32%	38.35%	+0.03	-6.6	31
2025-03-01	Motherwell	L 1-2	74.9	1867	1565	77.23%	14.44%	8.33%	+2.32	-10.9	59
2025-03-01	@ Rangers	W 2-1	74.9	1565	1867	8.33%	14.44%	77.23%	-2.32	+10.9	37
2025-03-01	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	65.4	1528	1526	47.02%	22.05%	30.93%	+0.37	-0.6	28
2025-03-01	@ Dundee	D 1-1	65.4	1526	1528	30.93%	22.05%	47.02%	-0.37	+0.6	25
2025-03-02	Dundee United	D 2-2	76.5	1598	1652	39.27%	22.32%	38.40%	+0.01	-0.0	42
2025-03-02	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	76.5	1652	1598	38.40%	22.32%	39.27%	-0.01	+0.0	41
2025-03-02	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	64.8	1668	1710	40.98%	22.31%	36.72%	+0.09	+5.9	43
2025-03-02	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	64.8	1710	1668	36.72%	22.31%	40.98%	-0.09	-5.9	36
2025-03-15	Aberdeen	D 0-0	63.3	1527	1598	36.88%	22.31%	40.81%	-0.10	+0.1	26
2025-03-15	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	63.3	1598	1527	40.81%	22.31%	36.88%	+0.10	-0.1	43
2025-03-15	Hibernian	D 1-1	71.2	1614	1674	38.39%	22.32%	39.28%	-0.03	+0.0	32
2025-03-15	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	71.2	1674	1614	39.28%	22.32%	38.39%	+0.03	-0.0	44
2025-03-15	Ross County	W 2-0	48.4	1704	1566	63.18%	19.51%	17.32%	+1.25	+6.1	39
2025-03-15	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	48.4	1566	1704	17.32%	19.51%	63.18%	-1.25	-6.1	35
2025-03-15	St. Mirren	D 2-2	75.3	1576	1614	41.47%	22.30%	36.23%	+0.11	-0.1	38
2025-03-15	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	75.3	1614	1576	36.23%	22.30%	41.47%	-0.11	+0.1	35
2025-03-16	Dundee	L 2-4	70.1	1652	1527	61.80%	19.85%	18.35%	+1.17	-14.1	41
2025-03-16	@ Dundee United	W 4-2	70.1	1527	1652	18.35%	19.85%	61.80%	-1.17	+14.1	31
2025-03-16	Rangers	L 2-3	77.2	1949	1856	58.34%	20.60%	21.06%	+0.96	-8.2	75
2025-03-16	@ Celtic	W 3-2	77.2	1856	1949	21.06%	20.60%	58.34%	-0.96	+8.2	62
2025-03-29	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	46.1	1941	1710	71.71%	16.77%	11.52%	+1.85	+5.7	78
2025-03-29	@ Celtic	L 0-3	46.1	1710	1941	11.52%	16.77%	71.71%	-1.85	-5.7	39
2025-03-29	Kilmarnock	W 5-1	54.3	1614	1614	46.92%	22.06%	31.02%	+0.36	+16.3	38
2025-03-29	@ St. Mirren	L 1-5	54.3	1614	1614	31.02%	22.06%	46.92%	-0.36	-16.3	32
2025-03-29	Motherwell	W 4-1	53.9	1597	1575	49.73%	21.83%	28.44%	+0.50	+11.7	46
2025-03-29	@ Aberdeen	L 1-4	53.9	1575	1597	28.44%	21.83%	49.73%	-0.50	-11.7	38
2025-03-29	Rangers	L 3-4	64.6	1541	1864	12.67%	17.45%	69.88%	-1.74	-2.0	31
2025-03-29	@ Dundee	W 4-3	64.6	1864	1541	69.88%	17.45%	12.67%	+1.74	+2.0	65
2025-03-29	St. Johnstone	W 3-0	44.9	1674	1527	64.10%	19.26%	16.64%	+1.31	+8.4	47
2025-03-29	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	44.9	1527	1674	16.64%	19.26%	64.10%	-1.31	-8.4	26
2025-03-30	Dundee United	L 0-1	56.5	1560	1638	35.99%	22.29%	41.71%	-0.14	-6.2	35
2025-03-30	@ Ross County	W 1-0	56.5	1638	1560	41.71%	22.29%	35.99%	+0.14	+6.2	44
2025-04-05	Aberdeen	L 0-1	56.6	1554	1609	39.15%	22.32%	38.53%	+0.00	-6.6	35
2025-04-05	@ Ross County	W 1-0	56.6	1609	1554	38.53%	22.32%	39.15%	+0.00	+6.6	49
2025-04-05	Hibernian	L 0-2	65.1	1866	1682	67.65%	18.21%	14.15%	+1.55	-19.7	65
2025-04-05	@ Rangers	W 2-0	65.1	1682	1866	14.15%	18.21%	67.65%	-1.55	+19.7	50
2025-04-05	Motherwell	W 2-0	49.7	1597	1564	51.24%	21.67%	27.09%	+0.58	+9.2	35
2025-04-05	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	49.7	1564	1597	27.09%	21.67%	51.24%	-0.58	-9.2	38
2025-04-05	St. Mirren	W 2-0	55.1	1539	1631	34.05%	22.23%	43.72%	-0.24	+13.5	34
2025-04-05	@ Dundee	L 0-2	55.1	1631	1539	43.72%	22.23%	34.05%	+0.24	-13.5	38
2025-04-06	Celtic	W 1-0	69.7	1518	1947	7.91%	14.06%	78.03%	-2.42	+11.7	29
2025-04-06	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	69.7	1947	1518	78.03%	14.06%	7.91%	+2.42	-11.7	78
2025-04-06	Dundee United	L 0-1	64.1	1705	1644	54.61%	21.23%	24.16%	+0.75	-8.7	39
2025-04-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	64.1	1644	1705	24.16%	21.23%	54.61%	-0.75	+8.7	47
2025-04-12	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	66.5	1555	1696	27.84%	21.76%	50.40%	-0.56	+0.9	39
2025-04-12	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	66.5	1696	1555	50.40%	21.76%	27.84%	+0.56	-0.9	40
2025-04-12	Kilmarnock	W 5-1	47.4	1935	1607	79.00%	13.60%	7.40%	+2.49	+3.8	81
2025-04-12	@ Celtic	L 1-5	47.4	1607	1935	7.40%	13.60%	79.00%	-2.49	-3.8	35
2025-04-12	Ross County	W 3-2	62.4	1617	1548	55.65%	21.07%	23.28%	+0.81	+3.8	41
2025-04-12	@ St. Mirren	L 2-3	62.4	1548	1617	23.28%	21.07%	55.65%	-0.81	-3.8	35
2025-04-12	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	50.1	1652	1530	61.56%	19.91%	18.54%	+1.15	+3.4	50
2025-04-12	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	50.1	1530	1652	18.54%	19.91%	61.56%	-1.15	-3.4	29
2025-04-13	Dundee	W 4-0	45.4	1702	1553	64.33%	19.20%	16.47%	+1.33	+10.9	53
2025-04-13	@ Hibernian	L 0-4	45.4	1553	1702	16.47%	19.20%	64.33%	-1.33	-10.9	34
2025-04-13	Rangers	D 2-2	79.3	1616	1847	19.00%	20.05%	60.96%	-1.14	+1.2	50
2025-04-13	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	79.3	1847	1616	60.96%	20.05%	19.00%	+1.14	-1.2	66

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2025-04-26	Celtic	L 0-5	47.6	1656	1939	15.14%	18.66%	66.20%	-1.48	-12.4	0
2025-04-26	@ Dundee United	W 5-0	47.6	1939	1656	66.20%	18.66%	15.14%	+1.48	+12.3	3
2025-04-26	Dundee	L 0-1	64.9	1695	1542	64.72%	19.09%	16.19%	+1.35	-10.1	0
2025-04-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	64.9	1542	1695	16.19%	19.09%	64.72%	-1.35	+10.1	3
2025-04-26	Hibernian	W 1-0	61.1	1617	1713	33.45%	22.20%	44.35%	-0.26	+7.3	3
2025-04-26	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	61.1	1713	1617	44.35%	22.20%	33.45%	+0.26	-7.3	0
2025-04-26	Rangers	D 2-2	79.3	1621	1846	19.53%	20.20%	60.26%	-1.10	+1.1	1
2025-04-26	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	79.3	1846	1621	60.26%	20.20%	19.53%	+1.10	-1.1	1
2025-04-26	Ross County	W 2-0	48.3	1603	1544	54.38%	21.27%	24.35%	+0.74	+8.3	3
2025-04-26	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	48.3	1544	1603	24.35%	21.27%	54.38%	-0.74	-8.3	0
2025-04-26	St. Johnstone	W 3-2	61.4	1555	1527	50.62%	21.74%	27.64%	+0.55	+4.4	3
2025-04-26	@ Motherwell	L 2-3	61.4	1527	1555	27.64%	21.74%	50.62%	-0.55	-4.4	0
2025-05-03	Aberdeen	W 1-0	56.0	1622	1624	46.55%	22.08%	31.37%	+0.35	+5.5	4
2025-05-03	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	56.0	1624	1622	31.37%	22.08%	46.55%	-0.35	-5.5	3
2025-05-03	Dundee United	W 3-1	57.8	1706	1644	54.77%	21.21%	24.02%	+0.76	+7.2	3
2025-05-03	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	57.8	1644	1706	24.02%	21.21%	54.77%	-0.76	-7.1	0
2025-05-03	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	56.9	1535	1685	26.91%	21.65%	51.44%	-0.61	-7.9	0
2025-05-03	@ Ross County	W 3-1	56.9	1685	1535	51.44%	21.65%	26.91%	+0.61	+7.9	3
2025-05-03	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	51.3	1522	1611	34.40%	22.24%	43.35%	-0.22	-11.2	0
2025-05-03	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	51.3	1611	1522	43.35%	22.24%	34.40%	+0.22	+11.2	6
2025-05-03	Motherwell	L 1-2	62.5	1552	1560	45.73%	22.13%	32.14%	+0.31	-7.0	3
2025-05-03	@ Dundee	W 2-1	62.5	1560	1552	32.14%	22.13%	45.73%	-0.31	+7.0	6
2025-05-04	Celtic	D 1-1	73.3	1844	1951	32.08%	22.13%	45.80%	-0.33	+0.5	2
2025-05-04	@ Rangers	D 1-1	73.3	1951	1844	45.80%	22.13%	32.08%	+0.33	-0.5	4
2025-05-10	Dundee	W 3-2	62.2	1622	1545	56.58%	20.92%	22.50%	+0.86	+3.7	9
2025-05-10	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-3	62.2	1545	1622	22.50%	20.92%	56.58%	-0.86	-3.7	3
2025-05-10	Hibernian	W 3-1	53.8	1951	1713	72.31%	16.54%	11.15%	+1.90	+3.3	7
2025-05-10	@ Celtic	L 1-3	53.8	1713	1951	11.15%	16.54%	72.31%	-1.90	-3.3	3
2025-05-10	Motherwell	W 3-0	46.6	1693	1567	61.94%	19.82%	18.25%	+1.18	+9.2	6
2025-05-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	46.6	1567	1693	18.25%	19.82%	61.94%	-1.18	-9.2	6
2025-05-10	Ross County	W 2-1	56.2	1511	1528	44.57%	22.19%	33.24%	+0.25	+5.5	3
2025-05-10	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	56.2	1528	1511	33.24%	22.19%	44.57%	-0.25	-5.4	0
2025-05-10	St. Mirren	L 0-2	58.2	1636	1628	48.00%	21.98%	30.03%	+0.42	-14.6	0
2025-05-10	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	58.2	1628	1636	30.03%	21.98%	48.00%	-0.42	+14.6	7
2025-05-11	Aberdeen	W 4-0	45.2	1845	1619	71.36%	16.91%	11.73%	+1.83	+7.6	5
2025-05-11	@ Rangers	L 0-4	45.2	1619	1845	11.73%	16.91%	71.36%	-1.83	-7.7	3
2025-05-14	Celtic	L 1-5	49.7	1611	1954	11.61%	16.83%	71.56%	-1.86	-6.3	3
2025-05-14	@ Aberdeen	W 5-1	49.7	1954	1611	71.56%	16.83%	11.61%	+1.86	+6.3	10
2025-05-14	Dundee United	W 3-1	53.5	1853	1622	71.74%	16.76%	11.50%	+1.86	+3.4	8
2025-05-14	@ Rangers	L 1-3	53.5	1622	1853	11.50%	16.76%	71.74%	-1.86	-3.4	0
2025-05-14	Hibernian	D 2-2	77.9	1642	1710	37.38%	22.32%	40.30%	-0.08	+0.1	8
2025-05-14	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	77.9	1710	1642	40.30%	22.32%	37.38%	+0.08	-0.1	4
2025-05-14	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	52.5	1558	1626	37.24%	22.31%	40.45%	-0.08	+18.5	9
2025-05-14	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	52.5	1626	1558	40.45%	22.31%	37.24%	+0.08	-18.5	9
2025-05-14	Ross County	D 1-1	65.8	1541	1522	49.35%	21.86%	28.79%	+0.48	-0.7	4
2025-05-14	@ Dundee	D 1-1	65.8	1522	1541	28.79%	21.86%	49.35%	-0.48	+0.7	1
2025-05-14	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	54.6	1702	1516	67.80%	18.16%	14.04%	+1.56	+2.4	9
2025-05-14	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	54.6	1516	1702	14.04%	18.16%	67.80%	-1.56	-2.4	3
2025-05-17	Aberdeen	W 2-1	60.4	1618	1605	48.64%	21.92%	29.43%	+0.45	+4.9	3
2025-05-17	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	60.4	1605	1618	29.43%	21.92%	48.64%	-0.45	-4.9	3
2025-05-17	Rangers	D 2-2	79.1	1710	1856	27.26%	21.69%	51.05%	-0.59	+0.6	5
2025-05-17	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	79.1	1856	1710	51.05%	21.69%	27.26%	+0.59	-0.6	9
2025-05-17	St. Mirren	D 1-1	75.6	1960	1642	78.30%	13.93%	7.76%	+2.42	-2.7	11
2025-05-17	@ Celtic	D 1-1	75.6	1642	1960	7.76%	13.93%	78.30%	-2.42	+2.7	9
2025-05-18	Dundee	L 0-2	51.3	1514	1540	43.21%	22.25%	34.55%	+0.19	-13.4	3
2025-05-18	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	51.3	1540	1514	34.55%	22.25%	43.21%	-0.19	+13.4	7
2025-05-18	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	57.6	1608	1705	33.33%	22.20%	44.47%	-0.27	-5.8	9
2025-05-18	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	57.6	1705	1608	44.47%	22.20%	33.33%	+0.27	+5.8	12
2025-05-18	Motherwell	D 1-1	66.8	1523	1576	39.39%	22.32%	38.29%	+0.01	-0.0	2
2025-05-18	@ Ross County	D 1-1	66.8	1576	1523	38.29%	22.32%	39.39%	-0.01	+0.0	10

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2025-04-06	7.91%	@ St. Johnstone	1518	1	Celtic	1947	0
2	2025-03-01	8.33%	Motherwell	1565	2	@ Rangers	1867	1
3	2025-02-22	9.24%	St. Mirren	1604	2	@ Rangers	1884	0
4	2025-02-22	13.71%	@ Hibernian	1645	2	Celtic	1951	1
5	2025-04-05	14.15%	Hibernian	1682	2	@ Rangers	1866	0
6	2025-04-26	16.19%	Dundee	1542	1	@ Heart of Midlothian	1695	0
7	2024-12-26	18.24%	@ St. Mirren	1610	2	Rangers	1850	1
8	2025-03-16	18.35%	Dundee	1527	4	@ Dundee United	1652	2
9	2025-01-02	18.50%	Ross County	1524	2	@ Aberdeen	1647	1
10	2024-10-20	19.30%	@ Kilmarnock	1615	1	Rangers	1842	0
11	2024-08-11	20.32%	St. Johnstone	1542	3	@ Kilmarnock	1643	0
12	2025-01-05	20.42%	Ross County	1533	1	@ Kilmarnock	1633	0
13	2025-03-16	21.06%	Rangers	1856	3	@ Celtic	1949	2
14	2024-12-26	21.10%	Ross County	1498	3	@ Dundee	1591	0
15	2025-02-01	21.10%	St. Johnstone	1521	1	@ St. Mirren	1613	0
16	2024-12-21	21.17%	Hibernian	1599	3	@ Aberdeen	1691	1
17	2025-04-06	24.16%	Dundee United	1644	1	@ Heart of Midlothian	1705	0
18	2024-10-30	24.22%	Kilmarnock	1617	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1677	1
19	2024-10-19	24.54%	Dundee	1578	1	@ Motherwell	1635	0
20	2024-12-26	24.88%	Hibernian	1614	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1668	1
21	2024-12-29	24.92%	Dundee	1565	2	@ St. Mirren	1619	1
22	2025-02-15	24.99%	Ross County	1534	3	@ Motherwell	1587	0
23	2024-11-30	25.25%	Hibernian	1573	3	@ Motherwell	1623	0
24	2024-10-30	26.02%	Motherwell	1619	2	@ Dundee United	1662	1
25	2024-10-26	26.44%	St. Johnstone	1547	2	@ Dundee	1586	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-02-01	30.66	Heart of Midlothian	6	1676	43.97%	@ Dundee	0	1583	33.81%	22.22%
2	2024-08-11	25.53	St. Johnstone	3	1542	20.32%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1643	59.27%	20.41%
3	2024-12-26	25.16	Ross County	3	1498	21.10%	@ Dundee	0	1591	58.29%	20.61%
4	2024-12-26	24.36	@ Kilmarnock	4	1604	36.77%	Aberdeen	0	1676	40.92%	22.31%
5	2025-02-15	23.38	Ross County	3	1534	24.99%	@ Motherwell	0	1587	53.63%	21.37%
6	2024-11-30	23.27	Hibernian	3	1573	25.25%	@ Motherwell	0	1623	53.34%	21.41%
7	2025-01-25	22.22	St. Mirren	3	1591	27.67%	@ Aberdeen	0	1620	50.59%	21.74%
8	2025-02-22	21.54	St. Mirren	2	1604	9.24%	@ Rangers	0	1884	75.57%	15.18%
9	2025-01-02	20.59	@ Rangers	3	1840	31.69%	Celtic	0	1949	46.21%	22.10%
10	2025-04-05	19.73	Hibernian	2	1682	14.15%	@ Rangers	0	1866	67.65%	18.21%
11	2025-05-14	18.47	@ Motherwell	3	1558	37.24%	Kilmarnock	0	1626	40.45%	22.31%
12	2024-10-19	16.54	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1661	52.99%	St. Mirren	0	1613	25.55%	21.46%
13	2025-03-29	16.27	@ St. Mirren	5	1614	46.92%	Kilmarnock	1	1614	31.02%	22.06%
14	2024-12-21	14.98	Hibernian	3	1599	21.17%	@ Aberdeen	1	1691	58.21%	20.62%
15	2024-10-19	14.77	@ St. Johnstone	3	1532	47.38%	Ross County	0	1528	30.59%	22.02%
16	2024-08-04	14.63	@ St. Mirren	3	1623	47.75%	Hibernian	0	1616	30.25%	22.00%
17	2025-05-10	14.63	St. Mirren	2	1628	30.03%	@ Dundee United	0	1636	48.00%	21.98%
18	2025-03-16	14.13	Dundee	4	1527	18.35%	@ Dundee United	2	1652	61.80%	19.85%
19	2025-04-05	13.54	@ Dundee	2	1539	34.05%	St. Mirren	0	1631	43.72%	22.23%
20	2024-09-14	13.44	@ Ross County	2	1514	34.44%	Dundee	0	1603	43.32%	22.24%
21	2025-05-18	13.41	Dundee	2	1540	34.55%	@ St. Johnstone	0	1514	43.21%	22.25%
22	2024-12-04	13.15	@ Dundee	4	1587	45.15%	Motherwell	1	1600	32.69%	22.16%
23	2024-11-23	13.13	@ Dundee	4	1574	45.23%	Hibernian	1	1585	32.61%	22.16%
24	2024-09-01	13.07	@ Celtic	3	1885	51.92%	Rangers	0	1846	26.49%	21.59%
25	2025-02-26	12.68	Hibernian	3	1655	30.00%	@ Dundee United	1	1664	48.03%	21.97%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-01-14	84.8	@ Dundee	3	1581	10.84%	Celtic	3	1940	72.83%	16.34%
2	2025-01-05	83.6	@ Hibernian	3	1627	18.85%	Rangers	3	1860	61.15%	20.00%
3	2024-11-26	81.2	@ Hibernian	3	1572	29.89%	Aberdeen	3	1696	48.14%	21.97%
4	2024-09-28	81.0	@ Kilmarnock	3	1608	40.15%	Dundee United	3	1656	37.53%	22.32%
5	2024-10-19	80.7	@ Celtic	2	1914	71.98%	Aberdeen	2	1680	11.35%	16.67%
6	2024-12-29	79.3	@ Motherwell	2	1596	17.87%	Rangers	2	1841	62.44%	19.69%
7	2025-04-13	79.3	@ Aberdeen	2	1616	19.00%	Rangers	2	1847	60.96%	20.05%
8	2025-04-26	79.3	@ St. Mirren	2	1621	19.53%	Rangers	2	1846	60.26%	20.20%
9	2025-05-17	79.1	@ Hibernian	2	1710	27.26%	Rangers	2	1856	51.05%	21.69%
10	2025-05-14	77.9	@ St. Mirren	2	1642	37.38%	Hibernian	2	1710	40.30%	22.32%
11	2025-03-16	77.2	Rangers	3	1856	21.06%	@ Celtic	2	1949	58.34%	20.60%
12	2024-08-04	76.6	@ Dundee United	2	1646	54.07%	Dundee	2	1590	24.62%	21.31%
13	2025-03-02	76.5	@ Aberdeen	2	1598	39.27%	Dundee United	2	1652	38.40%	22.32%
14	2024-09-14	76.3	@ St. Mirren	2	1620	48.44%	Kilmarnock	2	1608	29.62%	21.94%
15	2024-08-31	76.1	@ Dundee	2	1603	44.62%	St. Mirren	2	1620	33.19%	22.19%
16	2024-09-21	76.1	@ Ross County	3	1528	44.53%	St. Johnstone	3	1545	33.28%	22.19%
17	2024-08-24	75.6	@ Hibernian	2	1596	45.81%	Dundee	2	1603	32.06%	22.13%
18	2025-05-17	75.6	@ Celtic	1	1960	78.30%	St. Mirren	1	1642	7.76%	13.93%
19	2024-12-29	75.3	@ Ross County	2	1523	28.37%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1660	49.81%	21.82%
20	2025-03-15	75.3	@ Motherwell	2	1576	41.47%	St. Mirren	2	1614	36.23%	22.30%
21	2025-03-01	74.9	Motherwell	2	1565	8.33%	@ Rangers	1	1867	77.23%	14.44%
22	2024-11-23	73.9	@ Rangers	1	1830	66.02%	Dundee United	1	1663	15.27%	18.71%
23	2025-02-22	73.8	@ Hibernian	2	1645	13.71%	Celtic	1	1951	68.29%	18.00%
24	2025-01-09	73.6	@ Dundee	1	1579	15.33%	Rangers	1	1859	65.92%	18.74%
25	2024-12-14	73.3	@ Motherwell	4	1595	35.94%	Dundee United	3	1672	41.77%	22.29%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-12-29	41.4	@ Celtic	4	1947	84.27%	St. Johnstone	0	1530	4.89%	10.84%
2	2024-11-30	41.8	@ Celtic	5	1934	84.15%	Ross County	0	1520	4.94%	10.91%
3	2025-02-02	42.6	@ Rangers	4	1872	79.32%	Ross County	0	1539	7.24%	13.44%
4	2024-12-26	42.9	@ Celtic	4	1942	79.91%	Motherwell	0	1600	6.94%	13.15%
5	2025-02-05	43.0	@ Celtic	6	1942	82.78%	Dundee	0	1552	5.56%	11.66%
6	2024-12-07	43.3	@ Celtic	3	1941	80.11%	Hibernian	0	1596	6.84%	13.05%
7	2025-01-05	43.7	@ Celtic	3	1929	78.97%	St. Mirren	0	1601	7.42%	13.61%
8	2024-08-24	43.8	@ Rangers	6	1839	77.88%	Ross County	0	1527	7.99%	14.13%
9	2024-11-09	44.7	@ Dundee United	3	1654	62.59%	Ross County	0	1522	17.75%	19.66%
10	2025-02-15	44.8	@ Celtic	3	1946	75.71%	Dundee United	0	1665	9.17%	15.13%
11	2025-03-29	44.9	@ Hibernian	3	1674	64.10%	St. Johnstone	0	1527	16.64%	19.26%
12	2024-10-30	45.2	@ Celtic	2	1920	79.87%	Dundee	0	1578	6.96%	13.17%
13	2025-05-11	45.2	@ Rangers	4	1845	71.36%	Aberdeen	0	1619	11.73%	16.91%
14	2024-10-06	45.3	@ Rangers	2	1839	77.39%	St. Johnstone	0	1535	8.25%	14.36%
15	2024-12-08	45.4	Rangers	3	1842	70.08%	@ Ross County	0	1516	12.54%	17.38%
16	2025-04-13	45.4	@ Hibernian	4	1702	64.33%	Dundee	0	1553	16.47%	19.20%
17	2025-01-15	45.6	@ Rangers	3	1859	71.99%	Aberdeen	0	1626	11.35%	16.67%
18	2024-10-19	45.7	@ St. Johnstone	3	1532	47.38%	Ross County	0	1528	30.59%	22.02%
19	2024-08-04	45.8	@ Celtic	4	1862	70.02%	Kilmarnock	0	1651	12.58%	17.40%
20	2024-09-28	45.9	Celtic	6	1902	72.72%	@ St. Johnstone	0	1545	10.90%	16.38%
21	2025-03-29	46.1	@ Celtic	3	1941	71.71%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1710	11.52%	16.77%
22	2024-12-04	46.3	@ Rangers	6	1831	71.13%	Kilmarnock	0	1607	11.88%	16.99%
23	2025-05-10	46.6	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1693	61.94%	Motherwell	0	1567	18.25%	19.82%
24	2025-02-25	47.2	@ Celtic	5	1941	79.75%	Aberdeen	1	1601	7.02%	13.23%
25	2025-01-08	47.3	@ Celtic	2	1932	73.83%	Dundee United	0	1676	10.24%	15.93%