2025-26 Premiership Season

228 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Celtic

82 points · 56th Title

Last Title: 2024-25

Relegated

Livingston

21 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Celtic

4.15 points above expected

82 points · 77.85 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rangers

4.15 points below expected

72 points · 76.15 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Heart of Midlothian	33	21	7	5	70	59	29	+30	60.47	+9.53
2	Rangers	33	19	12	2	69	66	31	+35	63.38	+5.62
3	Celtic	33	21	4	8	67	59	35	+24	64.21	+2.79
4	Motherwell	33	14	12	7	54	53	30	+23	49.54	+4.46
5	Hibernian	33	13	12	8	51	51	37	+14	50.90	+0.10
6	Falkirk	33	13	7	13	46	45	48	-3	41.63	+4.37
7	Dundee United	33	9	13	11	40	44	53	-9	40.27	-0.27
8	Aberdeen	33	9	6	18	33	33	48	-15	37.84	-4.84
9	Dundee	33	8	9	16	33	34	53	-19	32.32	+0.68
10	St. Mirren	33	7	9	17	30	27	48	-21	36.30	-6.30
11	Kilmarnock	33	6	10	17	28	36	64	-28	35.52	-7.52
12	Livingston	33	1	13	19	16	35	66	-31	30.95	-14.95

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	38	26	4	8	82	73	41	+32	77.85	+4.15
2	Heart of Midlothian	38	24	8	6	80	68	35	+33	76.80	+3.20
3	Rangers	38	20	12	6	72	76	43	+33	76.15	-4.15
4	Motherwell	38	16	13	9	61	60	37	+23	60.07	+0.93
5	Hibernian	38	15	12	11	57	58	44	+14	56.85	+0.15
6	Falkirk	38	14	7	17	49	50	62	-12	50.26	-1.26
7	Dundee United	38	10	15	13	45	48	59	-11	48.21	-3.21
8	Dundee	38	11	9	18	42	42	61	-19	40.00	+2.00
9	Aberdeen	38	11	7	20	40	40	55	-15	40.21	-0.21
10	Kilmarnock	38	10	10	18	40	49	67	-18	36.61	+3.39
11	St. Mirren	38	8	10	20	34	30	55	-25	34.77	-0.77
12	Livingston Relegated	38	2	15	21	21	40	75	-35	21.03	-0.03

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Celtic	82	77.85	+4.15
2	Kilmarnock	40	36.61	+3.39
3	Heart of Midlothian	80	76.80	+3.20
4	Dundee	42	40.00	+2.00
5	Motherwell	61	60.07	+0.93

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rangers	72	76.15	-4.15
2	Dundee United	45	48.21	-3.21
3	Falkirk	49	50.26	-1.26
4	St. Mirren	34	34.77	-0.77
5	Aberdeen	40	40.21	-0.21

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Heart of Midlothian	6	Aug 30 – Oct 26	1 in 228
2	Celtic	7	Apr 5 – May 16	1 in 115
3	Kilmarnock	4	May 2 – May 17	1 in 45
4	Rangers	6	Dec 27 – Jan 25	1 in 38
5	Dundee	3	Dec 27 – Jan 3	1 in 36

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rangers	4	Apr 26 – May 13	1 in 252
2	Kilmarnock	6	Oct 18 – Nov 22	1 in 173
3	Hibernian	3	Apr 11 – May 3	1 in 30
4	Celtic	2	Oct 19 – Oct 26	1 in 22
5	Dundee United	4	Jan 3 – Feb 4	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	10	Oct 25 – Dec 20	1 in 63
2	Livingston	4	Feb 14 – Mar 14	1 in 40
3	Heart of Midlothian	12	Aug 4 – Nov 9	1 in 39
4	Rangers	16	Dec 27 – Apr 12	1 in 27
5	Aberdeen	7	Oct 29 – Dec 14	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Livingston	31	Aug 23 – Apr 11	1 in 4,046
2	Kilmarnock	16	Oct 18 – Jan 24	1 in 147
3	Heart of Midlothian	4	Nov 9 – Dec 3	1 in 32
4	Rangers	5	Aug 2 – Sep 13	1 in 30
5	Hibernian	6	Aug 10 – Oct 4	1 in 22

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	1803	82	+46	15	8.4	+6.6
Heart of Midlothian	1769	80	+13	10	7.7	+2.3
Rangers	1783	72	-35	3	8.5	-5.5
Motherwell	1683	61	+6	7	5.7	+1.3
Hibernian	1668	57	+1	6	6.1	-0.1
Falkirk	1559	49	-32	3	4.6	-1.6
Dundee United	1527	45	-27	5	7.8	-2.8
Dundee	1507	42	+3	9	7.0	+2.0
Kilmarnock	1564	40	+74	12	6.9	+5.1
Aberdeen	1505	40	-9	7	7.7	-0.7
St. Mirren	1463	34	-32	4	6.5	-2.5
Livingston	1409	21	-8	5	5.0	+0.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DUN	DU	FAL	HOM	HIB	KIL	LIV	MOT	RAN	SM
Aberdeen	—	0-0-3 2.13	2-0-2 5.91	1-2-1 5.24	0-1-2 4.04	1-0-2 2.27	1-0-2 2.87	3-0-1 6.13	2-2-0 6.31	0-1-2 3.18	0-0-3 1.83	1-1-2 5.87
Celtic	3-0-0 6.15	—	2-0-1 6.61	1-0-2 6.24	4-0-0 8.28	1-1-2 5.93	2-1-1 7.25	3-0-0 6.36	3-0-0 6.94	3-0-1 7.37	1-2-1 5.62	3-0-0 6.51
Dundee	2-0-2 4.97	1-0-2 1.74	—	1-1-2 4.82	1-0-2 3.07	0-0-3 1.78	0-1-2 2.72	1-2-1 4.79	2-2-0 6.24	1-1-1 2.92	0-1-2 1.89	2-1-1 4.97
Dundee United	1-2-1 5.66	2-0-1 2.05	2-1-1 6.08	—	1-1-1 3.79	0-1-2 2.77	0-2-1 2.79	0-2-2 6.23	2-2-0 7.22	0-1-2 3.05	0-2-1 2.18	2-1-1 5.98
Falkirk	2-1-0 4.12	0-0-4 2.78	2-0-1 5.11	1-1-1 4.39	—	0-0-4 2.88	1-1-2 4.59	3-0-0 4.79	1-1-1 4.66	3-1-0 4.42	0-2-2 3.32	1-0-2 4.72
Heart of Midlothian	2-0-1 6.00	2-1-1 4.96	3-0-0 6.57	2-1-0 5.46	4-0-0 8.16	—	3-0-1 6.70	1-1-1 5.90	2-1-0 6.17	1-3-0 6.85	3-0-1 5.03	1-1-1 6.17
Hibernian	2-0-1 5.33	1-1-2 3.70	2-1-0 5.50	1-2-0 5.42	2-1-1 6.30	1-0-3 4.20	—	2-1-0 5.90	1-2-0 5.97	0-2-2 5.85	1-1-2 4.19	2-1-0 5.32
Kilmarnock	1-0-3 4.78	0-0-3 1.95	1-2-1 6.10	2-2-0 4.66	0-0-3 3.39	1-1-1 2.38	0-1-2 2.35	—	2-2-0 6.31	0-1-2 3.18	0-0-3 2.03	3-1-0 5.21
Livingston	0-2-2 4.59	0-0-3 1.48	0-2-2 4.67	0-2-2 3.73	1-1-1 3.52	0-1-2 2.16	0-2-1 2.31	0-2-2 4.59	—	0-0-3 2.95	0-1-2 2.02	1-2-1 4.55
Motherwell	2-1-0 5.02	1-0-3 3.61	1-1-1 5.30	2-1-0 5.16	0-1-3 6.49	0-3-1 4.06	2-2-0 5.04	2-1-0 5.03	3-0-0 5.27	—	1-2-1 3.60	2-1-0 4.80
Rangers	3-0-0 6.52	1-2-1 5.27	2-1-0 6.45	1-2-0 6.11	2-2-0 7.65	1-0-3 5.87	2-1-1 6.73	3-0-0 6.28	2-1-0 6.30	1-2-1 7.35	—	2-1-0 6.05
St. Mirren	2-1-1 5.05	0-0-3 1.83	1-1-2 5.92	1-1-2 4.91	2-0-1 3.47	1-1-1 2.12	0-1-2 2.89	0-1-3 5.67	1-2-1 6.35	0-1-2 3.41	0-1-2 2.24	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.85	+12.1
Allowed	0.77	-13.0
Differential	0.94	+7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.02%	7.68%	7.24%	3.95%	1.54%	0.22%	27.63%
1	7.68%	10.09%	6.36%	4.17%	0.66%	0.44%	29.39%
2	7.24%	6.36%	7.89%	2.85%	0.66%	0.44%	25.44%
3	3.95%	4.17%	2.85%	1.75%	0.22%	0.22%	13.16%
4	1.54%	0.66%	0.66%	0.22%	—	—	3.07%
5+	0.22%	0.44%	0.44%	0.22%	—	—	1.32%
Total	27.63%	29.39%	25.44%	13.16%	3.07%	1.32%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.39	+0.00
SD	1.20	1.20	1.74
CV	0.86	0.86	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	26.32%	2.63%	—	—	42.11%
1	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	15.79%
3	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	26.32%	21.05%	36.84%	13.16%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.45	-0.39
SD	1.31	1.11	1.75
CV	1.25	0.77	—
Max	6	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	—	7.89%	—	—	—	13.16%
1	13.16%	—	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	26.32%
2	5.26%	15.79%	5.26%	—	—	—	26.32%
3	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	—	—	—	23.68%
4	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.21%	28.95%	31.58%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.92	1.08	+0.84
SD	1.22	0.94	1.64
CV	0.63	0.87	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	15.79%	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	—	39.47%
1	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	26.32%
2	2.63%	5.26%	10.53%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	2.63%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	28.95%	31.58%	15.79%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.61	-0.50
SD	1.11	1.13	1.64
CV	1.00	0.70	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	36.84%
1	—	15.79%	—	—	—	—	15.79%
2	7.89%	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	31.58%
3	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	28.95%	28.95%	15.79%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	1.55	-0.29
SD	1.13	1.16	1.64
CV	0.90	0.74	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	28.95%
1	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	34.21%
2	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	21.05%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	10.53%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	23.68%	31.58%	18.42%	18.42%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.63	-0.32
SD	1.23	1.46	1.90
CV	0.94	0.89	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.89%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
1	18.42%	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
2	10.53%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	36.84%
3	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.11%	36.84%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.79	0.92	+0.87
SD	0.96	1.05	1.40
CV	0.54	1.14	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	28.95%
1	—	7.89%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	18.42%
2	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	—	26.32%
3	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	23.68%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	36.84%	26.32%	5.26%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.16	+0.37
SD	1.22	1.00	1.55
CV	0.80	0.86	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	—	7.89%	5.26%	—	28.95%
1	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	10.53%	—	5.26%	34.21%
2	7.89%	—	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
3	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	21.05%	18.42%	23.68%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.76	-0.47
SD	1.16	1.48	2.08
CV	0.90	0.84	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	31.58%
1	—	13.16%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	—	34.21%
2	2.63%	—	18.42%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	31.58%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	23.68%	39.47%	15.79%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.97	-0.92
SD	0.87	1.26	1.38
CV	0.82	0.64	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	15.79%
1	5.26%	18.42%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
2	21.05%	2.63%	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	34.21%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	44.74%	28.95%	10.53%	15.79%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	0.97	+0.61
SD	1.13	1.10	1.57
CV	0.72	1.13	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
1	10.53%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	34.21%
2	5.26%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
3	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
4	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
Total	31.58%	31.58%	28.95%	7.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.13	+0.87
SD	1.47	0.96	1.51
CV	0.74	0.85	—
Max	6	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	15.79%	15.79%	5.26%	—	2.63%	47.37%
1	7.89%	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	31.58%
2	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
3	—	—	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	34.21%	23.68%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.79	1.45	-0.66
SD	0.91	1.22	1.51
CV	1.15	0.85	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1803	82	64.21	+17.79	70.0%	46	51	59	64	69	75	82
Rangers	1783	72	63.38	+8.62	78.0%	44	52	58	63	68	76	79
Heart of Midlothian	1769	80	60.47	+19.53	91.0%	39	49	56	61	66	72	74
Motherwell	1683	61	49.54	+11.46	83.0%	36	40	45	49	52	62	64
Hibernian	1668	57	50.90	+6.10	55.0%	36	37	47	51	55	64	71
Kilmarnock	1564	40	35.52	+4.48	15.0%	22	25	31	36	40	47	54
Falkirk	1559	49	41.63	+7.37	80.0%	25	30	37	42	45	51	62
Dundee United	1527	45	40.27	+4.73	51.0%	25	28	36	40	44	51	59
Dundee	1507	42	32.32	+9.68	54.0%	18	22	28	32	37	41	47
Aberdeen	1505	40	37.84	+2.16	25.0%	20	27	33	38	42	49	57
St. Mirren	1474	34	36.30	-2.30	19.0%	20	25	32	36	41	47	59
Livingston	1409	21	30.95	-9.95	1.0%	16	20	28	32	35	37	49

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+16.23%

Slight Edge

44.74%26.75%28.51%

Elo Value

Home Edge

178 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

056.89500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.39 goals

Neutral

-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.9

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

38%

Celtic, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.05/gm

Photo Finish

00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.37 * Some Luck: 5.37 to 8.05 * Lucky: 8.05 to 10.73 * Wild Swing: 10.73 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.13 * Close: 1.13 to 1.7 * Off: 1.7 to 2.27 * Way Off: 2.27 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.63 * A Surprise: 0.63 to 1.01 * Several Surprises: 1.01 to 1.39 * Many Surprises: 1.39 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.52 points

Some Luck

06.7117

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.83

Pinpoint

01.423

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

91.00%

Heart of Midlothian

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.00%

Livingston

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

0 of 1

As Expected

00.61

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 128.64

2.35

Wide Separation

11.852.12.353

Interquartile Edge

75%

Wide Edge

50%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 93%

91%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Frequent

0%61%100%

Blowouts

Expected

15%

Rare

0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.39

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.13

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.61

Some Carryover

00.550.781

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Chalky

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.04

Miscalibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.09

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.091

Well Within Noise

00.1120.25

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Partick Thistle 1

St. Mirren 1

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	38.00%	32.00%	19.00%	7.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	17.00%	34.00%	29.00%	13.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Rangers	42.00%	18.00%	29.00%	9.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	1.00%	5.00%	11.00%	28.00%	31.00%	13.00%	8.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	2.00%	9.00%	8.00%	32.00%	23.00%	13.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	—	—
Falkirk	—	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	14.00%	18.00%	24.00%	17.00%	9.00%	8.00%	2.00%	3.00%
Dundee United	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	11.00%	19.00%	16.00%	18.00%	12.00%	8.00%	9.00%	3.00%
Dundee	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	12.00%	9.00%	20.00%	26.00%	25.00%
Aberdeen	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	8.00%	10.00%	16.00%	14.00%	24.00%	7.00%	10.00%	8.00%
Kilmarnock	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	8.00%	15.00%	13.00%	11.00%	17.00%	10.00%	21.00%
St. Mirren	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	11.00%	11.00%	13.00%	18.00%	14.00%	18.00%	11.00%
Livingston	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	—	6.00%	12.00%	26.00%	25.00%	29.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	49.63%	30.50%	19.87%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	30.07%	36.50%	33.43%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	20.30%	33.00%	46.70%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	—	—	78.26%	21.13%	0.61%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	—	—	—	21.21%	73.24%	5.55%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Falkirk	—	—	—	0.53%	5.63%	93.84%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee United	—	—	—	—	—	—	93.05%	6.02%	0.88%	0.05%	—	—
Dundee	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.18%	42.46%	33.18%	16.26%	4.92%	—
Aberdeen	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.40%	39.77%	35.96%	15.96%	4.91%	—
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.28%	8.51%	20.40%	42.43%	28.38%	—
St. Mirren	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.09%	3.24%	9.58%	25.30%	61.74%	0.05%
Livingston	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.05%	99.95%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Celtic	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—	—
Hibernian	99.00%	1.00%	—
Motherwell	100%	—	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
Dundee United	91.00%	7.00%	2.00%
Falkirk	96.00%	1.00%	3.00%
Aberdeen	82.00%	12.00%	6.00%
St. Mirren	75.00%	12.00%	13.00%
Kilmarnock	71.00%	14.00%	15.00%
Dundee	53.00%	23.00%	24.00%
Livingston	33.00%	30.00%	37.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. With the league split already decided, contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Aberdeen	95.09%	4.91%	—
Dundee	95.08%	4.92%	—
Kilmarnock	71.62%	28.38%	—
St. Mirren	38.21%	61.74%	0.05%
Livingston	—	0.05%	99.95%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2025-08-02	Livingston	D 2-2	72.0	1566	1546	46.63%	27.64%	25.72%	+0.43	-0.8	1
2025-08-02	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	72.0	1546	1566	25.72%	27.64%	46.63%	-0.43	+0.8	1
2025-08-02	Rangers	D 1-1	69.9	1551	1714	23.10%	27.13%	49.77%	-0.59	+1.4	1
2025-08-02	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	69.9	1714	1551	49.77%	27.13%	23.10%	+0.59	-1.3	1
2025-08-03	St. Mirren	W 1-0	51.4	1775	1592	64.84%	22.38%	12.78%	+1.35	+3.6	3
2025-08-03	@ Celtic	L 0-1	51.4	1592	1775	12.78%	22.38%	64.84%	-1.35	-3.6	0
2025-08-03	Hibernian	L 1-2	61.2	1540	1631	31.42%	28.25%	40.33%	-0.19	-7.8	0
2025-08-03	@ Dundee	W 2-1	61.2	1631	1540	40.33%	28.25%	31.42%	+0.19	+7.8	3
2025-08-03	Dundee United	D 2-2	72.3	1552	1579	40.36%	28.25%	31.39%	+0.17	-0.3	1
2025-08-03	@ Falkirk	D 2-2	72.3	1579	1552	31.39%	28.25%	40.36%	-0.17	+0.3	1
2025-08-04	Aberdeen	W 2-0	48.8	1632	1565	52.47%	26.56%	20.97%	+0.70	+11.2	3
2025-08-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	48.8	1565	1632	20.97%	26.56%	52.47%	-0.70	-11.2	0
2025-08-09	Falkirk	W 3-1	54.6	1547	1552	43.36%	28.03%	28.61%	+0.29	+12.5	4
2025-08-09	@ Livingston	L 1-3	54.6	1552	1547	28.61%	28.03%	43.36%	-0.29	-12.5	1
2025-08-09	Dundee	D 1-1	70.9	1712	1532	64.53%	22.52%	12.95%	+1.33	-2.8	2
2025-08-09	@ Rangers	D 1-1	70.9	1532	1712	12.95%	22.52%	64.53%	-1.33	+2.8	1
2025-08-09	Motherwell	D 0-0	62.5	1588	1553	48.57%	27.34%	24.09%	+0.52	-1.4	1
2025-08-09	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	62.5	1553	1588	24.09%	27.34%	48.57%	-0.52	+1.4	2
2025-08-10	Celtic	L 0-2	49.6	1554	1778	17.65%	25.33%	57.02%	-0.94	-9.5	0
2025-08-10	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	49.6	1778	1554	57.02%	25.33%	17.65%	+0.94	+9.5	6
2025-08-10	Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	68.6	1579	1643	35.02%	28.37%	36.61%	-0.04	-8.0	1
2025-08-10	@ Dundee United	W 3-2	68.6	1643	1579	36.61%	28.37%	35.02%	+0.04	+8.0	6
2025-08-10	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	74.8	1639	1565	53.18%	26.39%	20.43%	+0.73	-1.3	4
2025-08-10	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	74.8	1565	1639	20.43%	26.39%	53.18%	-0.73	+1.3	2
2025-08-23	Livingston	W 3-0	44.2	1788	1559	69.01%	20.42%	10.58%	+1.60	+8.0	9
2025-08-23	@ Celtic	L 0-3	44.2	1559	1788	10.58%	20.42%	69.01%	-1.60	-8.0	4
2025-08-23	Motherwell	D 3-3	79.0	1651	1554	55.93%	25.65%	18.41%	+0.86	-1.2	7
2025-08-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 3-3	79.0	1554	1651	18.41%	25.65%	55.93%	-0.86	+1.2	3
2025-08-23	Dundee	D 0-0	61.3	1567	1535	48.10%	27.42%	24.48%	+0.50	-1.3	3
2025-08-23	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	61.3	1535	1567	24.48%	27.42%	48.10%	-0.50	+1.3	2
2025-08-24	Rangers	D 1-1	70.1	1587	1709	27.39%	27.89%	44.73%	-0.37	+0.9	2
2025-08-24	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	70.1	1709	1587	44.73%	27.89%	27.39%	+0.37	-0.9	3
2025-08-30	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	61.6	1551	1650	30.39%	28.19%	41.42%	-0.23	-7.6	4
2025-08-30	@ Livingston	W 2-1	61.6	1650	1551	41.42%	28.19%	30.39%	+0.23	+7.6	10
2025-08-30	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	72.1	1555	1565	42.64%	28.09%	29.27%	+0.26	-0.5	4
2025-08-30	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	72.1	1565	1555	29.27%	28.09%	42.64%	-0.26	+0.5	4
2025-08-31	Falkirk	L 0-1	56.8	1544	1539	44.68%	27.89%	27.43%	+0.35	-10.7	0
2025-08-31	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	56.8	1539	1544	27.43%	27.89%	44.68%	-0.35	+10.7	4
2025-08-31	Dundee United	L 0-2	52.4	1537	1571	39.27%	28.30%	32.42%	+0.13	-18.3	2
2025-08-31	@ Dundee	W 2-0	52.4	1571	1537	32.42%	28.30%	39.27%	-0.13	+18.3	4
2025-08-31	St. Mirren	D 1-1	69.2	1637	1587	50.40%	27.01%	22.60%	+0.60	-1.4	5
2025-08-31	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	69.2	1587	1637	22.60%	27.01%	50.40%	-0.60	+1.4	3
2025-08-31	Celtic	D 0-0	66.9	1709	1796	31.88%	28.28%	39.84%	-0.17	+0.4	4
2025-08-31	@ Rangers	D 0-0	66.9	1796	1709	39.84%	28.28%	31.88%	+0.17	-0.4	10
2025-09-13	Livingston	D 0-0	60.3	1534	1544	42.61%	28.10%	29.30%	+0.26	-0.7	1
2025-09-13	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	60.3	1544	1534	29.30%	28.10%	42.61%	-0.26	+0.7	5
2025-09-13	Motherwell	D 1-1	64.6	1518	1555	38.97%	28.32%	32.71%	+0.11	-0.3	3
2025-09-13	@ Dundee	D 1-1	64.6	1555	1518	32.71%	28.32%	38.97%	-0.11	+0.3	5
2025-09-13	St. Mirren	L 1-2	62.5	1550	1589	38.63%	28.33%	33.04%	+0.10	-9.0	4
2025-09-13	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	62.5	1589	1550	33.04%	28.33%	38.63%	-0.10	+9.0	6
2025-09-13	Dundee United	D 3-3	78.9	1636	1589	50.00%	27.09%	22.92%	+0.58	-0.8	6
2025-09-13	@ Hibernian	D 3-3	78.9	1589	1636	22.92%	27.09%	50.00%	-0.58	+0.8	5
2025-09-13	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	60.3	1709	1658	50.59%	26.97%	22.44%	+0.61	-22.3	4
2025-09-13	@ Rangers	W 2-0	60.3	1658	1709	22.44%	26.97%	50.59%	-0.61	+22.3	13
2025-09-14	Celtic	L 1-2	59.1	1566	1795	17.27%	25.15%	57.58%	-0.97	-4.6	4
2025-09-14	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	59.1	1795	1566	57.58%	25.15%	17.27%	+0.97	+4.6	13
2025-09-20	Livingston	W 3-2	63.0	1518	1545	40.36%	28.25%	31.39%	+0.17	+7.4	6
2025-09-20	@ Dundee	L 2-3	63.0	1545	1518	31.39%	28.25%	40.36%	-0.17	-7.4	5
2025-09-23	Aberdeen	W 2-0	47.2	1590	1533	51.29%	26.82%	21.89%	+0.64	+11.6	8
2025-09-23	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	47.2	1533	1590	21.89%	26.82%	51.29%	-0.64	-11.6	1
2025-09-23	Hibernian	D 2-2	73.6	1541	1635	30.95%	28.22%	40.83%	-0.21	+0.4	5
2025-09-23	@ Falkirk	D 2-2	73.6	1635	1541	40.83%	28.22%	30.95%	+0.21	-0.4	7
2025-09-27	Hibernian	D 0-0	68.2	1800	1635	63.11%	23.12%	13.77%	+1.25	-3.0	14
2025-09-27	@ Celtic	D 0-0	68.2	1635	1800	13.77%	23.12%	63.11%	-1.25	+3.0	8
2025-09-27	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	56.6	1602	1561	49.23%	27.23%	23.54%	+0.55	-21.8	8
2025-09-27	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	56.6	1561	1602	23.54%	27.23%	49.23%	-0.55	+21.8	7
2025-09-27	Falkirk	W 3-0	44.9	1680	1541	60.41%	24.18%	15.41%	+1.10	+12.1	16
2025-09-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	44.9	1541	1680	15.41%	24.18%	60.41%	-1.10	-12.1	5
2025-09-27	Aberdeen	W 2-0	46.5	1555	1521	48.40%	27.37%	24.23%	+0.51	+12.6	8
2025-09-27	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	46.5	1521	1555	24.23%	27.37%	48.40%	-0.51	-12.6	1
2025-09-27	Dundee	W 1-0	50.4	1598	1525	53.11%	26.41%	20.48%	+0.73	+5.8	9
2025-09-27	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	50.4	1525	1598	20.48%	26.41%	53.11%	-0.73	-5.8	6
2025-09-28	Rangers	L 1-2	60.0	1537	1687	24.43%	27.41%	48.16%	-0.52	-6.4	5
2025-09-28	@ Livingston	W 2-1	60.0	1687	1537	48.16%	27.41%	24.43%	+0.52	+6.4	7
2025-10-04	Livingston	D 1-1	66.3	1580	1531	50.28%	27.03%	22.69%	+0.59	-1.4	9
2025-10-04	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	66.3	1531	1580	22.69%	27.03%	50.28%	-0.59	+1.4	6
2025-10-04	Hibernian	W 1-0	55.2	1692	1638	50.93%	26.90%	22.17%	+0.62	+6.2	19
2025-10-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	55.2	1638	1692	22.17%	26.90%	50.93%	-0.62	-6.2	8
2025-10-04	St. Mirren	W 2-0	51.9	1583	1604	41.20%	28.20%	30.60%	+0.20	+15.2	10
2025-10-04	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	51.9	1604	1583	30.60%	28.20%	41.20%	-0.20	-15.2	9
2025-10-05	Dundee	W 4-0	44.5	1509	1520	42.53%	28.10%	29.37%	+0.26	+28.0	4
2025-10-05	@ Aberdeen	L 0-4	44.5	1520	1509	29.37%	28.10%	42.53%	-0.26	-28.0	6
2025-10-05	Motherwell	W 3-2	60.8	1797	1568	69.09%	20.37%	10.54%	+1.60	+2.6	17
2025-10-05	@ Celtic	L 2-3	60.8	1568	1797	10.54%	20.37%	69.09%	-1.60	-2.6	8
2025-10-05	Rangers	D 1-1	69.1	1529	1693	22.93%	27.09%	49.98%	-0.60	+1.4	6
2025-10-05	@ Falkirk	D 1-1	69.1	1693	1529	49.98%	27.09%	22.93%	+0.60	-1.4	8
2025-10-18	Livingston	W 4-0	44.8	1631	1532	56.16%	25.59%	18.25%	+0.88	+18.6	11
2025-10-18	@ Hibernian	L 0-4	44.8	1532	1631	18.25%	25.59%	56.16%	-0.88	-18.6	6
2025-10-18	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	51.8	1598	1698	30.22%	28.17%	41.61%	-0.24	-21.9	10
2025-10-18	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-0	51.8	1698	1598	41.61%	28.17%	30.22%	+0.24	+21.9	22
2025-10-18	Falkirk	L 1-2	63.8	1565	1531	48.50%	27.36%	24.14%	+0.51	-10.8	8
2025-10-18	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	63.8	1531	1565	24.14%	27.36%	48.50%	-0.51	+10.8	9
2025-10-18	Dundee United	D 2-2	76.4	1692	1578	57.72%	25.11%	17.18%	+0.95	-1.6	9
2025-10-18	@ Rangers	D 2-2	76.4	1578	1692	17.18%	25.11%	57.72%	-0.95	+1.6	10
2025-10-18	Aberdeen	L 0-1	59.7	1588	1537	50.63%	26.96%	22.41%	+0.61	-11.8	9
2025-10-18	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	59.7	1537	1588	22.41%	26.96%	50.63%	-0.61	+11.8	7
2025-10-19	Celtic	W 2-0	62.5	1492	1799	12.38%	22.07%	65.55%	-1.41	+27.6	9
2025-10-19	@ Dundee	L 0-2	62.5	1799	1492	65.55%	22.07%	12.38%	+1.41	-27.6	17
2025-10-25	St. Mirren	W 3-1	56.0	1580	1577	44.46%	27.92%	27.62%	+0.34	+12.2	13
2025-10-25	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	56.0	1577	1580	27.62%	27.92%	44.46%	-0.34	-12.2	9
2025-10-25	Dundee	W 2-1	55.8	1541	1519	46.90%	27.61%	25.49%	+0.44	+6.6	12
2025-10-25	@ Falkirk	L 1-2	55.8	1519	1541	25.49%	27.61%	46.90%	-0.44	-6.6	9
2025-10-25	Motherwell	L 1-2	60.2	1514	1554	38.39%	28.34%	33.28%	+0.09	-9.0	6
2025-10-25	@ Livingston	W 2-1	60.2	1554	1514	33.28%	28.34%	38.39%	-0.09	+9.0	11
2025-10-26	Hibernian	L 1-2	61.4	1548	1650	30.00%	28.16%	41.84%	-0.25	-7.5	7
2025-10-26	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	61.4	1650	1548	41.84%	28.16%	30.00%	+0.25	+7.5	14
2025-10-26	Celtic	W 3-1	62.5	1720	1772	36.79%	28.37%	34.84%	+0.03	+14.5	25
2025-10-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	62.5	1772	1720	34.84%	28.37%	36.79%	-0.03	-14.5	17
2025-10-26	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	54.4	1690	1576	57.77%	25.09%	17.14%	+0.96	+8.0	12
2025-10-26	@ Rangers	L 1-3	54.4	1576	1690	17.14%	25.09%	57.77%	-0.96	-8.0	10
2025-10-29	Falkirk	W 4-0	44.1	1757	1548	67.32%	21.24%	11.43%	+1.49	+11.4	20
2025-10-29	@ Celtic	L 0-4	44.1	1548	1757	11.43%	21.24%	67.32%	-1.49	-11.4	12
2025-10-29	Rangers	L 0-1	60.8	1658	1698	38.41%	28.33%	33.26%	+0.09	-9.5	14
2025-10-29	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	60.8	1698	1658	33.26%	28.33%	38.41%	-0.09	+9.5	15
2025-10-29	Aberdeen	L 0-1	58.5	1568	1541	47.58%	27.50%	24.92%	+0.47	-11.2	10
2025-10-29	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	58.5	1541	1568	24.92%	27.50%	47.58%	-0.47	+11.3	10
2025-10-29	Dundee United	W 2-0	51.5	1563	1592	40.05%	28.27%	31.68%	+0.16	+15.6	14
2025-10-29	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	51.5	1592	1563	31.68%	28.27%	40.05%	-0.16	-15.6	13
2025-10-29	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	76.3	1564	1734	22.32%	26.94%	50.74%	-0.64	+1.1	10
2025-10-29	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	76.3	1734	1564	50.74%	26.94%	22.32%	+0.64	-1.1	26
2025-11-01	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	55.1	1536	1557	41.19%	28.20%	30.61%	+0.20	+13.2	15
2025-11-01	@ Falkirk	L 1-3	55.1	1557	1536	30.61%	28.20%	41.19%	-0.20	-13.2	10
2025-11-01	Dundee	W 4-0	42.9	1733	1513	68.35%	20.74%	10.91%	+1.56	+10.8	29
2025-11-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	42.9	1513	1733	10.91%	20.74%	68.35%	-1.56	-10.8	9
2025-11-01	Hibernian	D 2-2	73.2	1505	1648	25.08%	27.53%	47.38%	-0.48	+0.8	7
2025-11-01	@ Livingston	D 2-2	73.2	1648	1505	47.38%	27.53%	25.08%	+0.48	-0.8	15
2025-11-08	Livingston	D 1-1	64.3	1550	1506	49.68%	27.14%	23.17%	+0.57	-1.4	16
2025-11-08	@ Falkirk	D 1-1	64.3	1506	1550	23.17%	27.14%	49.68%	-0.57	+1.4	8
2025-11-08	Hibernian	L 0-3	51.1	1565	1647	32.60%	28.31%	39.08%	-0.14	-23.2	10
2025-11-08	@ St. Mirren	W 3-0	51.1	1647	1565	39.08%	28.31%	32.60%	+0.14	+23.2	18
2025-11-09	Motherwell	D 1-1	66.5	1552	1579	40.35%	28.25%	31.40%	+0.17	-0.4	11
2025-11-09	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	66.5	1579	1552	31.40%	28.25%	40.35%	-0.17	+0.4	15
2025-11-09	Kilmarnock	W 4-0	43.8	1769	1544	68.71%	20.56%	10.72%	+1.58	+10.6	23
2025-11-09	@ Celtic	L 0-4	43.8	1544	1769	10.72%	20.56%	68.71%	-1.58	-10.6	10
2025-11-09	Rangers	L 0-3	46.3	1502	1708	19.12%	25.93%	54.95%	-0.84	-14.9	9
2025-11-09	@ Dundee	W 3-0	46.3	1708	1502	54.95%	25.93%	19.12%	+0.84	+14.9	18
2025-11-09	Dundee United	D 1-1	71.9	1744	1577	63.34%	23.02%	13.63%	+1.26	-2.7	30
2025-11-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.9	1577	1744	13.63%	23.02%	63.34%	-1.26	+2.7	14
2025-11-22	Falkirk	L 0-3	53.3	1579	1548	48.03%	27.43%	24.53%	+0.49	-31.1	14
2025-11-22	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	53.3	1548	1579	24.53%	27.43%	48.03%	-0.49	+31.1	19
2025-11-22	Dundee	W 2-0	44.1	1670	1487	64.88%	22.37%	12.76%	+1.35	+6.8	21
2025-11-22	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	44.1	1487	1670	12.76%	22.37%	64.88%	-1.35	-6.8	9
2025-11-22	Motherwell	L 1-3	57.9	1533	1579	37.62%	28.36%	34.02%	+0.06	-15.3	10
2025-11-22	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	57.9	1579	1533	34.02%	28.36%	37.62%	-0.06	+15.3	18
2025-11-22	Livingston	W 2-1	54.2	1722	1507	67.88%	20.97%	11.15%	+1.53	+2.9	21
2025-11-22	@ Rangers	L 1-2	54.2	1507	1722	11.15%	20.97%	67.88%	-1.53	-2.9	8
2025-11-22	Celtic	L 0-1	52.9	1542	1779	16.71%	24.88%	58.41%	-1.01	-4.8	10
2025-11-22	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	52.9	1779	1542	58.41%	24.88%	16.71%	+1.01	+4.8	26
2025-11-23	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	63.9	1552	1742	20.50%	26.41%	53.09%	-0.75	+12.3	14
2025-11-23	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	63.9	1742	1552	53.09%	26.41%	20.50%	+0.75	-12.3	30
2025-11-25	Hibernian	W 2-0	56.2	1595	1677	32.51%	28.31%	39.18%	-0.14	+18.2	21
2025-11-25	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	56.2	1677	1595	39.18%	28.31%	32.51%	+0.14	-18.2	21
2025-11-29	St. Mirren	W 3-1	53.9	1480	1538	36.00%	28.37%	35.63%	+0.00	+14.7	12
2025-11-29	@ Dundee	L 1-3	53.9	1538	1480	35.63%	28.37%	36.00%	+0.00	-14.7	10
2025-11-29	Dundee United	D 0-0	59.8	1518	1548	39.86%	28.28%	31.86%	+0.15	-0.4	11
2025-11-29	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	59.8	1548	1518	31.86%	28.28%	39.86%	-0.15	+0.4	15
2025-11-29	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	70.6	1613	1729	28.18%	27.98%	43.84%	-0.33	+0.8	22
2025-11-29	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	70.6	1729	1613	43.84%	27.98%	28.18%	+0.33	-0.8	31
2025-11-30	Celtic	L 1-2	63.4	1659	1784	27.11%	27.85%	45.04%	-0.38	-6.9	21
2025-11-30	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	63.4	1784	1659	45.04%	27.85%	27.11%	+0.38	+6.9	29
2025-11-30	Aberdeen	L 0-1	53.7	1504	1564	35.60%	28.37%	36.02%	-0.02	-9.0	8
2025-11-30	@ Livingston	W 1-0	53.7	1564	1504	36.02%	28.37%	35.60%	+0.02	+9.0	17
2025-11-30	Falkirk	D 0-0	66.8	1725	1579	61.18%	23.89%	14.93%	+1.14	-2.8	22
2025-11-30	@ Rangers	D 0-0	66.8	1579	1725	14.93%	23.89%	61.18%	-1.14	+2.8	20
2025-12-03	St. Mirren	D 3-3	75.5	1573	1523	50.46%	26.99%	22.55%	+0.60	-0.9	18
2025-12-03	@ Aberdeen	D 3-3	75.5	1523	1573	22.55%	26.99%	50.46%	-0.60	+0.9	11
2025-12-03	Dundee	W 1-0	47.5	1791	1495	74.68%	17.37%	7.94%	+1.98	+2.1	32
2025-12-03	@ Celtic	L 0-1	47.5	1495	1791	7.94%	17.37%	74.68%	-1.98	-2.1	12
2025-12-03	Rangers	D 2-2	75.9	1549	1723	21.95%	26.84%	51.21%	-0.66	+1.1	16
2025-12-03	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	75.9	1723	1549	51.21%	26.84%	21.95%	+0.66	-1.1	23
2025-12-03	Motherwell	D 0-0	63.6	1582	1614	39.66%	28.29%	32.05%	+0.14	-0.4	21
2025-12-03	@ Falkirk	D 0-0	63.6	1614	1582	32.05%	28.29%	39.66%	-0.14	+0.4	23
2025-12-03	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	71.4	1728	1518	67.45%	21.18%	11.37%	+1.50	-3.0	32
2025-12-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.4	1518	1728	11.37%	21.18%	67.45%	-1.50	+3.0	12
2025-12-06	Aberdeen	L 1-3	54.8	1493	1572	32.90%	28.32%	38.78%	-0.13	-13.9	12
2025-12-06	@ Dundee	W 3-1	54.8	1572	1493	38.78%	28.32%	32.90%	+0.13	+13.9	21
2025-12-06	Falkirk	W 3-0	47.4	1652	1582	52.84%	26.47%	20.68%	+0.71	+16.0	24
2025-12-06	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	47.4	1582	1652	20.68%	26.47%	52.84%	-0.71	-16.0	21
2025-12-06	Rangers	L 0-3	47.1	1521	1722	19.53%	26.08%	54.39%	-0.81	-15.2	12
2025-12-06	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-0	47.1	1722	1521	54.39%	26.08%	19.53%	+0.81	+15.2	26
2025-12-06	Livingston	W 3-0	42.6	1614	1495	58.36%	24.90%	16.74%	+0.99	+13.1	26
2025-12-06	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	42.6	1495	1614	16.74%	24.90%	58.36%	-0.99	-13.1	8
2025-12-06	Dundee United	W 2-0	48.8	1524	1550	40.44%	28.25%	31.32%	+0.17	+15.5	14
2025-12-06	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	48.8	1550	1524	31.32%	28.25%	40.44%	-0.17	-15.5	16
2025-12-07	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	71.0	1793	1725	52.55%	26.54%	20.90%	+0.70	-11.5	32
2025-12-07	@ Celtic	W 2-1	71.0	1725	1793	20.90%	26.54%	52.55%	-0.70	+11.5	35
2025-12-13	Motherwell	D 0-0	62.8	1534	1627	31.10%	28.23%	40.66%	-0.20	+0.5	17
2025-12-13	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	62.8	1627	1534	40.66%	28.23%	31.10%	+0.20	-0.5	27
2025-12-13	Dundee	D 2-2	66.4	1482	1479	44.39%	27.92%	27.68%	+0.34	-0.6	9
2025-12-13	@ Livingston	D 2-2	66.4	1479	1482	27.68%	27.92%	44.39%	-0.34	+0.6	13
2025-12-13	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	51.1	1566	1737	22.22%	26.91%	50.87%	-0.64	-11.7	21
2025-12-13	@ Falkirk	W 2-0	51.1	1737	1566	50.87%	26.91%	22.22%	+0.64	+11.7	38
2025-12-14	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	54.7	1586	1505	54.07%	26.17%	19.76%	+0.77	+5.3	24
2025-12-14	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	54.7	1505	1586	19.76%	26.17%	54.07%	-0.77	-5.3	12
2025-12-15	Hibernian	W 1-0	55.3	1737	1668	52.67%	26.51%	20.82%	+0.70	+5.9	29
2025-12-15	@ Rangers	L 0-1	55.3	1668	1737	20.82%	26.51%	52.67%	-0.70	-5.9	24
2025-12-17	Celtic	W 2-1	71.1	1535	1782	16.02%	24.52%	59.45%	-1.07	+12.8	20
2025-12-17	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	71.1	1782	1535	59.45%	24.52%	16.02%	+1.07	-12.8	32
2025-12-20	Hibernian	D 1-1	68.6	1548	1662	28.39%	28.00%	43.61%	-0.32	+0.8	21
2025-12-20	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	68.6	1662	1548	43.61%	28.00%	28.39%	+0.32	-0.7	25
2025-12-20	Falkirk	L 0-1	53.5	1500	1554	36.51%	28.37%	35.12%	+0.02	-9.2	12
2025-12-20	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	53.5	1554	1500	35.12%	28.37%	36.51%	-0.02	+9.2	24
2025-12-20	Dundee	W 1-0	47.4	1627	1479	61.30%	23.84%	14.85%	+1.15	+4.2	30
2025-12-20	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	47.4	1479	1627	14.85%	23.84%	61.30%	-1.15	-4.2	13
2025-12-20	Livingston	W 1-0	47.4	1539	1481	51.37%	26.81%	21.82%	+0.64	+6.1	17
2025-12-20	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	47.4	1481	1539	21.82%	26.81%	51.37%	-0.64	-6.1	9
2025-12-21	Aberdeen	W 3-1	53.5	1769	1591	64.30%	22.62%	13.08%	+1.31	+6.0	35
2025-12-21	@ Celtic	L 1-3	53.5	1591	1769	13.08%	22.62%	64.30%	-1.31	-6.0	24
2025-12-21	Rangers	W 2-1	63.7	1749	1743	44.80%	27.88%	27.32%	+0.35	+7.0	41
2025-12-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	63.7	1743	1749	27.32%	27.88%	44.80%	-0.35	-7.0	29
2025-12-27	Dundee United	D 1-1	66.9	1585	1548	48.82%	27.30%	23.88%	+0.53	-1.3	25
2025-12-27	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	66.9	1548	1585	23.88%	27.30%	48.82%	-0.53	+1.3	22
2025-12-27	Falkirk	W 1-0	53.9	1475	1563	31.77%	28.27%	39.96%	-0.17	+9.8	16
2025-12-27	@ Dundee	L 0-1	53.9	1563	1475	39.96%	28.27%	31.77%	+0.17	-9.8	24
2025-12-27	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-2	72.7	1661	1756	30.93%	28.22%	40.84%	-0.21	+8.9	28
2025-12-27	@ Hibernian	L 2-3	72.7	1756	1661	40.84%	28.22%	30.93%	+0.21	-8.9	41
2025-12-27	Celtic	L 2-4	55.9	1475	1775	12.81%	22.41%	64.78%	-1.36	-5.3	9
2025-12-27	@ Livingston	W 4-2	55.9	1775	1475	64.78%	22.41%	12.81%	+1.36	+5.3	38
2025-12-27	Motherwell	W 1-0	53.8	1736	1631	56.77%	25.40%	17.82%	+0.91	+5.1	32
2025-12-27	@ Rangers	L 0-1	53.8	1631	1736	17.82%	25.40%	56.77%	-0.91	-5.1	30
2025-12-27	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	59.1	1545	1491	50.94%	26.90%	22.17%	+0.62	-1.7	18
2025-12-27	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	59.1	1491	1545	22.17%	26.90%	50.94%	-0.62	+1.6	13
2025-12-30	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	53.9	1485	1493	42.98%	28.06%	28.96%	+0.28	+7.3	19
2025-12-30	@ Dundee	L 1-2	53.9	1493	1485	28.96%	28.06%	42.98%	-0.28	-7.3	13
2025-12-30	Aberdeen	W 2-0	49.3	1670	1584	54.69%	26.00%	19.31%	+0.80	+10.3	31
2025-12-30	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	49.3	1584	1670	19.31%	26.00%	54.69%	-0.80	-10.3	25
2025-12-30	Dundee United	L 1-3	53.2	1470	1550	32.87%	28.32%	38.81%	-0.13	-13.9	9
2025-12-30	@ Livingston	W 3-1	53.2	1550	1470	38.81%	28.32%	32.87%	+0.13	+13.9	25
2025-12-30	Celtic	W 2-0	60.2	1626	1780	23.91%	27.31%	48.79%	-0.55	+21.7	33
2025-12-30	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	60.2	1780	1626	48.79%	27.31%	23.91%	+0.55	-21.7	38
2025-12-30	St. Mirren	W 2-1	55.7	1741	1544	66.17%	21.78%	12.05%	+1.42	+3.2	35
2025-12-30	@ Rangers	L 1-2	55.7	1544	1741	12.05%	21.78%	66.17%	-1.42	-3.2	18
2026-01-03	Rangers	L 1-3	65.7	1759	1744	45.94%	27.74%	26.32%	+0.40	-17.9	38
2026-01-03	@ Celtic	W 3-1	65.7	1744	1759	26.32%	27.74%	45.94%	-0.40	+17.9	38
2026-01-03	Dundee	L 0-1	57.9	1563	1492	52.95%	26.45%	20.61%	+0.72	-12.3	25
2026-01-03	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	57.9	1492	1563	20.61%	26.45%	52.95%	-0.72	+12.3	22
2026-01-03	Aberdeen	W 1-0	54.1	1553	1574	41.21%	28.20%	30.59%	+0.20	+8.1	27
2026-01-03	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	54.1	1574	1553	30.59%	28.20%	41.21%	-0.20	-8.1	25
2026-01-03	Livingston	W 1-0	46.2	1747	1456	74.25%	17.62%	8.13%	+1.95	+2.1	44
2026-01-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	46.2	1456	1747	8.13%	17.62%	74.25%	-1.95	-2.1	9
2026-01-03	Hibernian	L 1-3	53.5	1485	1681	20.01%	26.25%	53.74%	-0.78	-9.2	13
2026-01-03	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	53.5	1681	1485	53.74%	26.25%	20.01%	+0.78	+9.3	34
2026-01-03	St. Mirren	W 2-0	47.2	1648	1540	57.05%	25.32%	17.63%	+0.92	+9.5	36
2026-01-03	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	47.2	1540	1648	17.63%	25.32%	57.05%	-0.92	-9.5	18
2026-01-06	Aberdeen	W 2-0	46.9	1762	1566	66.07%	21.83%	12.10%	+1.42	+6.4	41
2026-01-06	@ Rangers	L 0-2	46.9	1566	1762	12.10%	21.83%	66.07%	-1.42	-6.4	25
2026-01-10	Dundee United	W 4-0	44.5	1741	1551	65.46%	22.10%	12.43%	+1.38	+12.5	41
2026-01-10	@ Celtic	L 0-4	44.5	1551	1741	12.43%	22.10%	65.46%	-1.38	-12.5	25
2026-01-10	Motherwell	D 1-1	70.9	1690	1657	48.27%	27.39%	24.34%	+0.50	-1.2	35
2026-01-10	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	70.9	1657	1690	24.34%	27.39%	48.27%	-0.50	+1.2	37
2026-01-10	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	59.4	1454	1476	40.96%	28.22%	30.82%	+0.19	-0.5	10
2026-01-10	@ Livingston	D 1-1	59.4	1476	1454	30.82%	28.22%	40.96%	-0.19	+0.5	14
2026-01-10	Falkirk	L 0-2	52.0	1531	1561	39.82%	28.28%	31.90%	+0.15	-18.5	18
2026-01-10	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	52.0	1561	1531	31.90%	28.28%	39.82%	-0.15	+18.5	30
2026-01-11	Rangers	L 0-2	50.1	1559	1768	18.87%	25.84%	55.29%	-0.85	-10.1	25
2026-01-11	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	50.1	1768	1559	55.29%	25.84%	18.87%	+0.85	+10.1	44
2026-01-11	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	51.7	1505	1749	16.21%	24.62%	59.17%	-1.05	-4.6	22
2026-01-11	@ Dundee	W 1-0	51.7	1749	1505	59.17%	24.62%	16.21%	+1.05	+4.6	47
2026-01-14	Celtic	L 0-1	55.2	1580	1753	22.01%	26.86%	51.13%	-0.65	-6.2	30
2026-01-14	@ Falkirk	W 1-0	55.2	1753	1580	51.13%	26.86%	22.01%	+0.65	+6.2	44
2026-01-14	St. Mirren	W 2-0	44.8	1753	1512	70.13%	19.85%	10.03%	+1.67	+5.2	50
2026-01-14	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	44.8	1512	1753	10.03%	19.85%	70.13%	-1.67	-5.2	18
2026-01-21	St. Mirren	D 1-1	60.5	1453	1507	36.49%	28.37%	35.14%	+0.02	-0.1	11
2026-01-21	@ Livingston	D 1-1	60.5	1507	1453	35.14%	28.37%	36.49%	-0.02	+0.1	19
2026-01-24	Livingston	W 6-2	45.1	1549	1453	55.81%	25.69%	18.50%	+0.86	+13.3	28
2026-01-24	@ Aberdeen	L 2-6	45.1	1453	1549	18.50%	25.69%	55.81%	-0.86	-13.3	11
2026-01-24	Hibernian	W 4-1	60.4	1574	1689	28.34%	28.00%	43.66%	-0.33	+24.3	33
2026-01-24	@ Falkirk	L 1-4	60.4	1689	1574	43.66%	28.00%	28.34%	+0.33	-24.3	35
2026-01-24	Kilmarnock	W 4-0	41.4	1658	1477	64.71%	22.44%	12.85%	+1.34	+13.0	40
2026-01-24	@ Motherwell	L 0-4	41.4	1477	1658	12.85%	22.44%	64.71%	-1.34	-13.0	14
2026-01-25	Celtic	D 2-2	77.5	1759	1759	43.89%	27.98%	28.13%	+0.31	-0.6	51
2026-01-25	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	77.5	1759	1759	28.13%	27.98%	43.89%	-0.31	+0.6	45
2026-01-25	Dundee	W 3-0	42.1	1778	1500	73.25%	18.17%	8.57%	+1.88	+6.2	47
2026-01-25	@ Rangers	L 0-3	42.1	1500	1778	8.57%	18.17%	73.25%	-1.88	-6.2	22
2026-01-31	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	47.4	1539	1758	18.03%	25.49%	56.48%	-0.91	-14.1	25
2026-01-31	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	47.4	1758	1539	56.48%	25.49%	18.03%	+0.91	+14.1	54
2026-01-31	Aberdeen	W 3-0	48.1	1464	1563	30.33%	28.18%	41.49%	-0.24	+27.7	17
2026-01-31	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-3	48.1	1563	1464	41.49%	28.18%	30.33%	+0.24	-27.7	28
2026-01-31	Motherwell	L 0-2	44.9	1440	1671	17.13%	25.08%	57.79%	-0.98	-9.2	11
2026-01-31	@ Livingston	W 2-0	44.9	1671	1440	57.79%	25.08%	17.13%	+0.98	+9.2	43
2026-01-31	Dundee	D 0-0	57.6	1507	1494	45.80%	27.76%	26.44%	+0.40	-1.1	20
2026-01-31	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	57.6	1494	1507	26.44%	27.76%	45.80%	-0.40	+1.1	23
2026-02-01	Falkirk	W 2-0	48.1	1760	1598	62.79%	23.25%	13.96%	+1.23	+7.5	48
2026-02-01	@ Celtic	L 0-2	48.1	1598	1760	13.96%	23.25%	62.79%	-1.23	-7.5	33
2026-02-01	Rangers	D 0-0	66.8	1664	1785	27.72%	27.93%	44.36%	-0.35	+0.9	36
2026-02-01	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	66.8	1785	1664	44.36%	27.93%	27.72%	+0.35	-0.9	48
2026-02-03	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	65.4	1506	1772	14.78%	23.80%	61.42%	-1.17	+13.9	23
2026-02-03	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	65.4	1772	1506	61.42%	23.80%	14.78%	+1.17	-13.9	54
2026-02-04	Dundee United	W 3-2	60.7	1665	1525	60.63%	24.09%	15.27%	+1.11	+3.9	39
2026-02-04	@ Hibernian	L 2-3	60.7	1525	1665	15.27%	24.09%	60.63%	-1.11	-3.9	25
2026-02-04	Falkirk	L 1-2	53.6	1431	1590	23.34%	27.18%	49.47%	-0.58	-6.1	11
2026-02-04	@ Livingston	W 2-1	53.6	1590	1431	49.47%	27.18%	23.34%	+0.58	+6.1	36
2026-02-04	Kilmarnock	W 5-1	45.5	1784	1491	74.38%	17.54%	8.08%	+1.96	+6.3	51
2026-02-04	@ Rangers	L 1-5	45.5	1491	1784	8.08%	17.54%	74.38%	-1.96	-6.3	17
2026-02-10	Hibernian	W 1-0	54.8	1758	1669	55.02%	25.91%	19.06%	+0.82	+5.4	57
2026-02-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	54.8	1669	1758	19.06%	25.91%	55.02%	-0.82	-5.4	39
2026-02-11	Livingston	W 2-1	50.4	1767	1425	78.17%	15.33%	6.50%	+2.24	+1.5	51
2026-02-11	@ Celtic	L 1-2	50.4	1425	1767	6.50%	15.33%	78.17%	-2.24	-1.5	11
2026-02-11	Dundee	W 1-0	48.4	1597	1495	56.46%	25.50%	18.04%	+0.89	+5.2	39
2026-02-11	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	48.4	1495	1597	18.04%	25.50%	56.46%	-0.89	-5.1	23
2026-02-11	St. Mirren	W 4-3	63.9	1485	1520	39.15%	28.31%	32.55%	+0.12	+7.4	20
2026-02-11	@ Kilmarnock	L 3-4	63.9	1520	1485	32.55%	28.31%	39.15%	-0.12	-7.4	23
2026-02-11	Rangers	D 1-1	71.5	1680	1790	29.01%	28.07%	42.92%	-0.30	+0.7	44
2026-02-11	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	71.5	1790	1680	42.92%	28.07%	29.01%	+0.30	-0.7	52
2026-02-14	Livingston	D 2-2	65.1	1490	1423	52.42%	26.57%	21.01%	+0.69	-1.2	24
2026-02-14	@ Dundee	D 2-2	65.1	1423	1490	21.01%	26.57%	52.42%	-0.69	+1.2	12
2026-02-14	Dundee United	L 2-3	71.2	1602	1521	54.12%	26.15%	19.73%	+0.77	-11.2	39
2026-02-14	@ Falkirk	W 3-2	71.2	1521	1602	19.73%	26.15%	54.12%	-0.77	+11.2	28
2026-02-14	St. Mirren	W 2-0	45.5	1664	1513	61.68%	23.70%	14.63%	+1.17	+7.9	42
2026-02-14	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	45.5	1513	1664	14.63%	23.70%	61.68%	-1.17	-7.9	23
2026-02-15	Celtic	L 2-3	61.6	1492	1769	14.12%	23.36%	62.52%	-1.23	-3.6	20
2026-02-15	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-2	61.6	1769	1492	62.52%	23.36%	14.12%	+1.23	+3.6	54
2026-02-15	Aberdeen	W 2-0	46.6	1681	1535	61.20%	23.88%	14.92%	+1.14	+8.0	47
2026-02-15	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	46.6	1535	1681	14.92%	23.88%	61.20%	-1.14	-8.0	28
2026-02-15	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-2	63.5	1789	1764	47.35%	27.54%	25.11%	+0.46	+10.1	55
2026-02-15	@ Rangers	L 2-4	63.5	1764	1789	25.11%	27.54%	47.35%	-0.46	-10.1	57
2026-02-21	Dundee	L 2-3	66.2	1527	1488	48.97%	27.27%	23.75%	+0.53	-10.3	28
2026-02-21	@ Aberdeen	W 3-2	66.2	1488	1527	23.75%	27.27%	48.97%	-0.53	+10.3	27
2026-02-21	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	63.1	1532	1489	49.56%	27.17%	23.27%	+0.56	-1.3	29
2026-02-21	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	63.1	1489	1532	23.27%	27.17%	49.56%	-0.56	+1.3	21
2026-02-21	Falkirk	W 1-0	51.8	1754	1591	62.89%	23.21%	13.90%	+1.23	+4.0	60
2026-02-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	51.8	1591	1754	13.90%	23.21%	62.89%	-1.23	-4.0	39
2026-02-21	Motherwell	L 0-5	47.5	1505	1689	20.99%	26.57%	52.44%	-0.71	-26.1	23
2026-02-21	@ St. Mirren	W 5-0	47.5	1689	1505	52.44%	26.57%	20.99%	+0.71	+26.1	50
2026-02-22	Hibernian	L 1-2	71.5	1773	1672	56.37%	25.53%	18.11%	+0.89	-12.2	54
2026-02-22	@ Celtic	W 2-1	71.5	1672	1773	18.11%	25.53%	56.37%	-0.89	+12.2	45
2026-02-22	Rangers	D 2-2	77.4	1424	1799	9.35%	19.10%	71.55%	-1.79	+2.5	13
2026-02-22	@ Livingston	D 2-2	77.4	1799	1424	71.55%	19.10%	9.35%	+1.79	-2.5	56
2026-02-24	Aberdeen	D 0-0	59.3	1530	1517	45.84%	27.75%	26.41%	+0.40	-1.1	30
2026-02-24	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	59.3	1517	1530	26.41%	27.75%	45.84%	-0.40	+1.1	29
2026-02-28	Hibernian	D 3-3	78.2	1499	1684	20.92%	26.54%	52.54%	-0.72	+1.0	28
2026-02-28	@ Dundee	D 3-3	78.2	1684	1499	52.54%	26.54%	20.92%	+0.72	-1.0	46
2026-02-28	Kilmarnock	W 5-1	46.1	1587	1490	55.88%	25.67%	18.45%	+0.86	+15.7	42
2026-02-28	@ Falkirk	L 1-5	46.1	1490	1587	18.45%	25.67%	55.88%	-0.86	-15.7	21
2026-02-28	Aberdeen	W 1-0	48.8	1758	1518	70.03%	19.90%	10.07%	+1.67	+2.8	63
2026-02-28	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	48.8	1518	1758	10.07%	19.90%	70.03%	-1.67	-2.8	29
2026-02-28	St. Mirren	D 1-1	58.5	1427	1479	36.76%	28.37%	34.87%	+0.03	-0.1	14
2026-02-28	@ Livingston	D 1-1	58.5	1479	1427	34.87%	28.37%	36.76%	-0.03	+0.1	24
2026-02-28	Dundee United	W 2-0	46.0	1715	1529	65.11%	22.26%	12.63%	+1.36	+6.7	53
2026-02-28	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	46.0	1529	1715	12.63%	22.26%	65.11%	-1.36	-6.7	30
2026-03-01	Celtic	D 2-2	77.8	1797	1760	48.73%	27.32%	23.96%	+0.52	-0.9	57
2026-03-01	@ Rangers	D 2-2	77.8	1760	1797	23.96%	27.32%	48.73%	-0.52	+0.9	55
2026-03-03	St. Mirren	W 2-1	52.8	1523	1479	49.64%	27.15%	23.21%	+0.56	+6.1	33
2026-03-03	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	52.8	1479	1523	23.21%	27.15%	49.64%	-0.56	-6.1	24
2026-03-04	Celtic	L 1-2	57.6	1515	1761	16.05%	24.54%	59.41%	-1.06	-4.3	29
2026-03-04	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	57.6	1761	1515	59.41%	24.54%	16.05%	+1.06	+4.3	58
2026-03-07	Motherwell	W 2-1	69.1	1500	1722	17.81%	25.40%	56.79%	-0.93	+12.3	31
2026-03-07	@ Dundee	L 1-2	69.1	1722	1500	56.79%	25.40%	17.81%	+0.93	-12.3	53
2026-03-14	Falkirk	D 1-1	66.0	1511	1602	31.26%	28.24%	40.49%	-0.20	+0.4	30
2026-03-14	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	66.0	1602	1511	40.49%	28.24%	31.26%	+0.20	-0.5	43
2026-03-14	Motherwell	W 3-1	58.2	1766	1710	51.13%	26.86%	22.01%	+0.63	+10.1	61
2026-03-14	@ Celtic	L 1-3	58.2	1710	1766	22.01%	26.86%	51.13%	-0.63	-10.1	53
2026-03-14	Livingston	D 0-0	64.0	1683	1427	71.43%	19.17%	9.41%	+1.76	-3.8	47
2026-03-14	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	64.0	1427	1683	9.41%	19.17%	71.43%	-1.76	+3.8	15
2026-03-14	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	65.0	1474	1760	13.58%	22.99%	63.43%	-1.29	+14.3	24
2026-03-14	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	65.0	1760	1474	63.43%	22.99%	13.58%	+1.29	-14.3	63
2026-03-15	Dundee United	D 2-2	69.3	1512	1529	41.73%	28.16%	30.11%	+0.23	-0.4	32
2026-03-15	@ Dundee	D 2-2	69.3	1529	1512	30.11%	28.16%	41.73%	-0.23	+0.4	34
2026-03-15	Rangers	L 0-1	49.6	1473	1796	11.62%	21.41%	66.96%	-1.49	-3.2	24
2026-03-15	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	49.6	1796	1473	66.96%	21.41%	11.62%	+1.49	+3.2	60
2026-03-21	St. Mirren	L 1-2	65.5	1602	1470	59.75%	24.42%	15.83%	+1.06	-12.8	43
2026-03-21	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	65.5	1470	1602	15.83%	24.42%	59.75%	-1.06	+12.8	27
2026-03-21	Dundee	W 1-0	48.6	1746	1512	69.55%	20.14%	10.31%	+1.63	+2.8	66
2026-03-21	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	48.6	1512	1746	10.31%	20.14%	69.55%	-1.63	-2.8	32
2026-03-21	Livingston	W 2-0	39.9	1489	1430	51.41%	26.80%	21.79%	+0.65	+11.5	27
2026-03-21	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	39.9	1430	1489	21.79%	26.80%	51.41%	-0.65	-11.5	15
2026-03-21	Hibernian	D 0-0	66.5	1700	1679	46.70%	27.63%	25.66%	+0.43	-1.2	54
2026-03-21	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	66.5	1679	1700	25.66%	27.63%	46.70%	-0.43	+1.2	48
2026-03-21	Aberdeen	W 4-1	47.4	1799	1511	74.04%	17.73%	8.22%	+1.94	+5.0	63
2026-03-21	@ Rangers	L 1-4	47.4	1511	1799	8.22%	17.73%	74.04%	-1.94	-5.0	30
2026-03-22	Celtic	W 2-0	61.6	1529	1776	16.05%	24.54%	59.41%	-1.06	+25.5	37
2026-03-22	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	61.6	1776	1529	59.41%	24.54%	16.05%	+1.06	-25.5	61
2026-04-04	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	42.8	1680	1500	64.56%	22.51%	12.93%	+1.33	+10.0	51
2026-04-04	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	42.8	1500	1680	12.93%	22.51%	64.56%	-1.33	-10.0	27
2026-04-04	Falkirk	L 2-3	75.5	1698	1589	57.30%	25.24%	17.46%	+0.93	-11.8	54
2026-04-04	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	75.5	1589	1698	17.46%	25.24%	57.30%	-0.93	+11.7	46
2026-04-04	Dundee United	W 4-2	55.5	1804	1555	70.85%	19.47%	9.68%	+1.72	+3.8	66
2026-04-04	@ Rangers	L 2-4	55.5	1555	1804	9.68%	19.47%	70.85%	-1.72	-3.8	37
2026-04-04	Aberdeen	W 2-0	45.6	1482	1506	40.78%	28.23%	30.99%	+0.19	+15.3	30
2026-04-04	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	45.6	1506	1482	30.99%	28.23%	40.78%	-0.19	-15.4	30
2026-04-05	Celtic	L 1-2	57.5	1509	1750	16.40%	24.72%	58.87%	-1.04	-4.4	32
2026-04-05	@ Dundee	W 2-1	57.5	1750	1509	58.87%	24.72%	16.40%	+1.04	+4.4	64
2026-04-05	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	75.5	1419	1749	11.29%	21.11%	67.60%	-1.53	+2.3	16
2026-04-05	@ Livingston	D 2-2	75.5	1749	1419	67.60%	21.11%	11.29%	+1.53	-2.3	67
2026-04-11	Hibernian	W 2-0	58.3	1491	1690	19.64%	26.12%	54.24%	-0.80	+23.6	33
2026-04-11	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	58.3	1690	1491	54.24%	26.12%	19.64%	+0.80	-23.7	51
2026-04-11	St. Mirren	W 1-0	48.0	1755	1498	71.48%	19.13%	9.38%	+1.76	+2.5	67
2026-04-11	@ Celtic	L 0-1	48.0	1498	1755	9.38%	19.13%	71.48%	-1.76	-2.5	30
2026-04-11	Livingston	W 3-2	53.9	1551	1421	59.48%	24.51%	16.00%	+1.05	+4.1	40
2026-04-11	@ Dundee United	L 2-3	53.9	1421	1551	16.00%	24.51%	59.48%	-1.05	-4.1	16
2026-04-11	Motherwell	W 3-1	57.8	1747	1687	51.61%	26.75%	21.64%	+0.66	+9.9	70
2026-04-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	57.8	1687	1747	21.64%	26.75%	51.61%	-0.66	-9.9	54
2026-04-11	Dundee	D 2-2	67.6	1490	1504	42.06%	28.14%	29.80%	+0.24	-0.5	28
2026-04-11	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	67.6	1504	1490	29.80%	28.14%	42.06%	-0.24	+0.4	33
2026-04-12	Rangers	L 3-6	57.6	1601	1808	19.00%	25.89%	55.11%	-0.84	-10.0	46
2026-04-12	@ Falkirk	W 6-3	57.6	1808	1601	55.11%	25.89%	19.00%	+0.84	+10.0	69

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2026-04-25	Falkirk	W 3-1	53.7	1757	1591	63.22%	23.07%	13.70%	+1.25	+6.3	3
2026-04-25	@ Celtic	L 1-3	53.7	1591	1757	13.70%	23.07%	63.22%	-1.25	-6.3	0
2026-04-25	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	48.0	1514	1490	47.22%	27.56%	25.22%	+0.46	+6.9	3
2026-04-25	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	48.0	1490	1514	25.22%	27.56%	47.22%	-0.46	-6.9	0
2026-04-25	Livingston	L 0-2	49.1	1495	1417	53.78%	26.24%	19.98%	+0.76	-23.5	0
2026-04-25	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	49.1	1417	1495	19.98%	26.24%	53.78%	-0.76	+23.5	3
2026-04-26	Motherwell	L 2-3	77.7	1818	1677	60.68%	24.08%	15.24%	+1.11	-12.3	0
2026-04-26	@ Rangers	W 3-2	77.7	1677	1818	15.24%	24.08%	60.68%	-1.11	+12.3	3
2026-04-26	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	64.8	1667	1756	31.51%	28.26%	40.23%	-0.19	-7.8	0
2026-04-26	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	64.8	1756	1667	40.23%	28.26%	31.51%	+0.19	+7.8	3
2026-04-26	Dundee	W 3-0	43.3	1555	1505	50.43%	27.00%	22.57%	+0.60	+17.3	3
2026-04-26	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	43.3	1505	1555	22.57%	27.00%	50.43%	-0.60	-17.3	0
2026-05-01	Aberdeen	D 2-2	66.4	1441	1521	32.74%	28.32%	38.94%	-0.13	+0.2	4
2026-05-01	@ Livingston	D 2-2	66.4	1521	1441	38.94%	28.32%	32.74%	+0.13	-0.2	4
2026-05-02	Motherwell	W 1-0	60.9	1584	1689	29.61%	28.12%	42.27%	-0.27	+10.2	3
2026-05-02	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	60.9	1689	1584	42.27%	28.12%	29.61%	+0.27	-10.2	3
2026-05-02	St. Mirren	W 1-0	46.7	1488	1472	46.09%	27.72%	26.20%	+0.41	+7.2	3
2026-05-02	@ Dundee	L 0-1	46.7	1472	1488	26.20%	27.72%	46.09%	-0.41	-7.1	0
2026-05-02	Dundee United	W 3-0	48.8	1483	1572	31.56%	28.26%	40.18%	-0.18	+27.0	3
2026-05-02	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-3	48.8	1572	1483	40.18%	28.26%	31.56%	+0.18	-27.0	3
2026-05-03	Celtic	L 1-2	64.1	1659	1764	29.60%	28.12%	42.27%	-0.27	-7.4	0
2026-05-03	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	64.1	1764	1659	42.27%	28.12%	29.60%	+0.27	+7.4	6
2026-05-04	Rangers	W 2-1	65.9	1764	1806	38.29%	28.34%	33.37%	+0.09	+8.1	6
2026-05-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	65.9	1806	1764	33.37%	28.34%	38.29%	-0.09	-8.1	0
2026-05-09	Hibernian	L 1-3	60.7	1595	1651	36.09%	28.37%	35.53%	+0.00	-14.9	3
2026-05-09	@ Falkirk	W 3-1	60.7	1651	1595	35.53%	28.37%	36.09%	+0.00	+14.9	3
2026-05-09	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	71.3	1679	1772	31.03%	28.23%	40.74%	-0.21	+0.5	4
2026-05-09	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	71.3	1772	1679	40.74%	28.23%	31.03%	+0.21	-0.5	7
2026-05-09	Livingston	W 3-0	38.6	1495	1441	50.90%	26.91%	22.20%	+0.62	+17.0	6
2026-05-09	@ Dundee	L 0-3	38.6	1441	1495	22.20%	26.91%	50.90%	-0.62	-17.0	4
2026-05-09	Dundee United	W 2-0	48.5	1521	1545	40.69%	28.23%	31.08%	+0.18	+15.4	7
2026-05-09	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	48.5	1545	1521	31.08%	28.23%	40.69%	-0.18	-15.4	3
2026-05-09	Kilmarnock	L 0-3	45.1	1465	1510	37.75%	28.35%	33.89%	+0.07	-25.8	0
2026-05-09	@ St. Mirren	W 3-0	45.1	1510	1465	33.89%	28.35%	37.75%	-0.07	+25.8	6
2026-05-10	Rangers	W 3-1	61.7	1771	1798	40.36%	28.25%	31.39%	+0.17	+13.4	9
2026-05-10	@ Celtic	L 1-3	61.7	1798	1771	31.39%	28.25%	40.36%	-0.17	-13.4	0
2026-05-12	Livingston	D 0-0	56.5	1530	1424	56.94%	25.35%	17.71%	+0.91	-2.3	4
2026-05-12	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	56.5	1424	1530	17.71%	25.35%	56.94%	-0.91	+2.3	5
2026-05-12	St. Mirren	L 0-2	51.8	1536	1439	55.98%	25.64%	18.38%	+0.87	-24.3	7
2026-05-12	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	51.8	1439	1536	18.38%	25.64%	55.98%	-0.87	+24.3	3
2026-05-12	Dundee	W 3-1	51.7	1536	1512	47.12%	27.57%	25.31%	+0.45	+11.3	9
2026-05-12	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	51.7	1512	1536	25.31%	27.57%	47.12%	-0.45	-11.3	6
2026-05-13	Hibernian	L 1-2	71.9	1784	1666	58.21%	24.94%	16.84%	+0.98	-12.5	0
2026-05-13	@ Rangers	W 2-1	71.9	1666	1784	16.84%	24.94%	58.21%	-0.98	+12.5	6
2026-05-13	Falkirk	W 3-0	45.2	1772	1580	65.71%	21.99%	12.30%	+1.40	+9.5	10
2026-05-13	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	45.2	1580	1772	12.30%	21.99%	65.71%	-1.40	-9.5	3
2026-05-13	Celtic	L 2-3	69.5	1679	1784	29.56%	28.12%	42.32%	-0.27	-7.0	4
2026-05-13	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	69.5	1784	1679	42.32%	28.12%	29.56%	+0.27	+7.0	12
2026-05-16	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	60.2	1791	1781	45.32%	27.82%	26.86%	+0.38	+11.9	15
2026-05-16	@ Celtic	L 1-3	60.2	1781	1791	26.86%	27.82%	45.32%	-0.38	-11.9	10
2026-05-16	Rangers	L 2-5	56.3	1570	1772	19.50%	26.07%	54.43%	-0.81	-11.1	3
2026-05-16	@ Falkirk	W 5-2	56.3	1772	1570	54.43%	26.07%	19.50%	+0.81	+11.1	3
2026-05-16	Motherwell	L 0-1	62.5	1679	1672	44.87%	27.87%	27.26%	+0.36	-10.7	6
2026-05-16	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	62.5	1672	1679	27.26%	27.87%	44.87%	-0.36	+10.7	7
2026-05-17	Aberdeen	W 3-2	60.5	1500	1512	42.42%	28.11%	29.47%	+0.25	+7.0	9
2026-05-17	@ Dundee	L 2-3	60.5	1512	1500	29.47%	28.11%	42.42%	-0.25	-7.0	7
2026-05-17	Dundee United	D 1-1	61.6	1463	1528	35.00%	28.37%	36.63%	-0.04	+0.1	4
2026-05-17	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	61.6	1528	1463	36.63%	28.37%	35.00%	+0.04	-0.1	5
2026-05-17	Kilmarnock	L 1-4	47.0	1426	1547	27.63%	27.92%	44.45%	-0.36	-17.2	5
2026-05-17	@ Livingston	W 4-1	47.0	1547	1426	44.45%	27.92%	27.63%	+0.36	+17.2	12

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2026-05-21	St. Mirren	D 1-1	61.7	1518	1463	50.99%	26.89%	22.12%	+0.63	-1.5	0-0-1
2026-05-21	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	61.7	1463	1518	22.12%	26.89%	50.99%	-0.63	+1.5	0-0-1
2026-05-25	Partick Thistle	W 1-0		1465	1516	36.80%	28.37%	34.83%	+0.03	+8.9	1-0-1
2026-05-25	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1		1516	1465	34.83%	28.37%	36.80%	-0.03	-8.9	0-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2025-10-19	12.38%	@ Dundee	1492	2	Celtic	1799	0
2	2026-03-14	13.58%	@ Kilmarnock	1474	1	Heart of Midlothian	1760	0
3	2026-02-03	14.78%	@ St. Mirren	1506	1	Heart of Midlothian	1772	0
4	2026-04-26	15.24%	Motherwell	1677	3	@ Rangers	1818	2
5	2026-03-21	15.83%	St. Mirren	1470	2	@ Falkirk	1602	1
6	2025-12-17	16.02%	@ Dundee United	1535	2	Celtic	1782	1
7	2026-03-22	16.05%	@ Dundee United	1529	2	Celtic	1776	0
8	2026-05-13	16.84%	Hibernian	1666	2	@ Rangers	1784	1
9	2026-04-04	17.46%	Falkirk	1589	3	@ Motherwell	1698	2
10	2026-03-07	17.81%	@ Dundee	1500	2	Motherwell	1722	1
11	2026-02-22	18.11%	Hibernian	1672	2	@ Celtic	1773	1
12	2026-05-12	18.38%	St. Mirren	1439	2	@ Aberdeen	1536	0
13	2026-04-11	19.64%	@ Aberdeen	1491	2	Hibernian	1690	0
14	2026-02-14	19.73%	Dundee United	1521	3	@ Falkirk	1602	2
15	2026-04-25	19.98%	Livingston	1417	2	@ St. Mirren	1495	0
16	2025-11-23	20.50%	@ Aberdeen	1552	1	Heart of Midlothian	1742	0
17	2026-01-03	20.61%	Dundee	1492	1	@ Dundee United	1563	0
18	2025-12-07	20.90%	Heart of Midlothian	1725	2	@ Celtic	1793	1
19	2025-10-18	22.41%	Aberdeen	1537	1	@ St. Mirren	1588	0
20	2025-09-13	22.44%	Heart of Midlothian	1658	2	@ Rangers	1709	0
21	2025-09-27	23.54%	Kilmarnock	1561	2	@ Dundee United	1602	0
22	2026-02-21	23.75%	Dundee	1488	3	@ Aberdeen	1527	2
23	2025-12-30	23.91%	@ Motherwell	1626	2	Celtic	1780	0
24	2025-10-18	24.14%	Falkirk	1531	2	@ Motherwell	1565	1
25	2025-11-22	24.53%	Falkirk	1548	3	@ Dundee United	1579	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-11-22	31.07	Falkirk	3	1548	24.53%	@ Dundee United	0	1579	48.03%	27.43%
2	2025-10-05	27.97	@ Aberdeen	4	1509	42.53%	Dundee	0	1520	29.37%	28.10%
3	2026-01-31	27.67	@ Kilmarnock	3	1464	30.33%	Aberdeen	0	1563	41.49%	28.18%
4	2025-10-19	27.59	@ Dundee	2	1492	12.38%	Celtic	0	1799	65.55%	22.07%
5	2026-05-02	26.99	@ Kilmarnock	3	1483	31.56%	Dundee United	0	1572	40.18%	28.26%
6	2026-02-21	26.11	Motherwell	5	1689	52.44%	@ St. Mirren	0	1505	20.99%	26.57%
7	2026-05-09	25.78	Kilmarnock	3	1510	33.89%	@ St. Mirren	0	1465	37.75%	28.35%
8	2026-03-22	25.51	@ Dundee United	2	1529	16.05%	Celtic	0	1776	59.41%	24.54%
9	2026-05-12	24.28	St. Mirren	2	1439	18.38%	@ Aberdeen	0	1536	55.98%	25.64%
10	2026-01-24	24.27	@ Falkirk	4	1574	28.34%	Hibernian	1	1689	43.66%	28.00%
11	2026-04-11	23.65	@ Aberdeen	2	1491	19.64%	Hibernian	0	1690	54.24%	26.12%
12	2026-04-25	23.48	Livingston	2	1417	19.98%	@ St. Mirren	0	1495	53.78%	26.24%
13	2025-11-08	23.17	Hibernian	3	1647	39.08%	@ St. Mirren	0	1565	32.60%	28.31%
14	2025-09-13	22.32	Heart of Midlothian	2	1658	22.44%	@ Rangers	0	1709	50.59%	26.97%
15	2025-10-18	21.88	Heart of Midlothian	3	1698	41.61%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1598	30.22%	28.17%
16	2025-09-27	21.83	Kilmarnock	2	1561	23.54%	@ Dundee United	0	1602	49.23%	27.23%
17	2025-12-30	21.67	@ Motherwell	2	1626	23.91%	Celtic	0	1780	48.79%	27.31%
18	2025-10-18	18.63	@ Hibernian	4	1631	56.16%	Livingston	0	1532	18.25%	25.59%
19	2026-01-10	18.47	Falkirk	2	1561	31.90%	@ St. Mirren	0	1531	39.82%	28.28%
20	2025-08-31	18.27	Dundee United	2	1571	32.42%	@ Dundee	0	1537	39.27%	28.30%
21	2025-11-25	18.24	@ Motherwell	2	1595	32.51%	Hibernian	0	1677	39.18%	28.31%
22	2026-01-03	17.87	Rangers	3	1744	26.32%	@ Celtic	1	1759	45.94%	27.74%
23	2026-04-26	17.28	@ Dundee United	3	1555	50.43%	Dundee	0	1505	22.57%	27.00%
24	2026-05-17	17.22	Kilmarnock	4	1547	44.45%	@ Livingston	1	1426	27.63%	27.92%
25	2026-05-09	17.03	@ Dundee	3	1495	50.90%	Livingston	0	1441	22.20%	26.91%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-08-23	79.0	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1651	55.93%	Motherwell	3	1554	18.41%	25.65%
2	2025-09-13	78.9	@ Hibernian	3	1636	50.00%	Dundee United	3	1589	22.92%	27.09%
3	2026-02-28	78.2	@ Dundee	3	1499	20.92%	Hibernian	3	1684	52.54%	26.54%
4	2026-03-01	77.8	@ Rangers	2	1797	48.73%	Celtic	2	1760	23.96%	27.32%
5	2026-04-26	77.7	Motherwell	3	1677	15.24%	@ Rangers	2	1818	60.68%	24.08%
6	2026-01-25	77.5	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1759	43.89%	Celtic	2	1759	28.13%	27.98%
7	2026-02-22	77.4	@ Livingston	2	1424	9.35%	Rangers	2	1799	71.55%	19.10%
8	2025-10-18	76.4	@ Rangers	2	1692	57.72%	Dundee United	2	1578	17.18%	25.11%
9	2025-10-29	76.3	@ St. Mirren	2	1564	22.32%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1734	50.74%	26.94%
10	2025-12-03	75.9	@ Dundee United	2	1549	21.95%	Rangers	2	1723	51.21%	26.84%
11	2025-12-03	75.5	@ Aberdeen	3	1573	50.46%	St. Mirren	3	1523	22.55%	26.99%
12	2026-04-04	75.5	Falkirk	3	1589	17.46%	@ Motherwell	2	1698	57.30%	25.24%
13	2026-04-05	75.5	@ Livingston	2	1419	11.29%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1749	67.60%	21.11%
14	2025-08-10	74.8	@ Hibernian	2	1639	53.18%	Kilmarnock	2	1565	20.43%	26.39%
15	2025-09-23	73.6	@ Falkirk	2	1541	30.95%	Hibernian	2	1635	40.83%	28.22%
16	2025-11-01	73.2	@ Livingston	2	1505	25.08%	Hibernian	2	1648	47.38%	27.53%
17	2025-12-27	72.7	@ Hibernian	3	1661	30.93%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1756	40.84%	28.22%
18	2025-08-03	72.3	@ Falkirk	2	1552	40.36%	Dundee United	2	1579	31.39%	28.25%
19	2025-08-30	72.1	@ Motherwell	2	1555	42.64%	Kilmarnock	2	1565	29.27%	28.09%
20	2025-08-02	72.0	@ Kilmarnock	2	1566	46.63%	Livingston	2	1546	25.72%	27.64%
21	2025-11-09	71.9	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1744	63.34%	Dundee United	1	1577	13.63%	23.02%
22	2026-05-13	71.9	Hibernian	2	1666	16.84%	@ Rangers	1	1784	58.21%	24.94%
23	2026-02-11	71.5	@ Motherwell	1	1680	29.01%	Rangers	1	1790	42.92%	28.07%
24	2026-02-22	71.5	Hibernian	2	1672	18.11%	@ Celtic	1	1773	56.37%	25.53%
25	2025-12-03	71.4	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1728	67.45%	Kilmarnock	1	1518	11.37%	21.18%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2026-05-09	38.6	@ Dundee	3	1495	50.90%	Livingston	0	1441	22.20%	26.91%
2	2026-03-21	39.9	@ Kilmarnock	2	1489	51.41%	Livingston	0	1430	21.79%	26.80%
3	2026-01-24	41.4	@ Motherwell	4	1658	64.71%	Kilmarnock	0	1477	12.85%	22.44%
4	2026-01-25	42.1	@ Rangers	3	1778	73.25%	Dundee	0	1500	8.57%	18.17%
5	2025-12-06	42.6	@ Motherwell	3	1614	58.36%	Livingston	0	1495	16.74%	24.90%
6	2026-04-04	42.8	@ Hibernian	3	1680	64.56%	Kilmarnock	0	1500	12.93%	22.51%
7	2025-11-01	42.9	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1733	68.35%	Dundee	0	1513	10.91%	20.74%
8	2026-04-26	43.3	@ Dundee United	3	1555	50.43%	Dundee	0	1505	22.57%	27.00%
9	2025-11-09	43.8	@ Celtic	4	1769	68.71%	Kilmarnock	0	1544	10.72%	20.56%
10	2025-10-29	44.1	@ Celtic	4	1757	67.32%	Falkirk	0	1548	11.43%	21.24%
11	2025-11-22	44.1	@ Hibernian	2	1670	64.88%	Dundee	0	1487	12.76%	22.37%
12	2025-08-23	44.2	@ Celtic	3	1788	69.01%	Livingston	0	1559	10.58%	20.42%
13	2025-10-05	44.5	@ Aberdeen	4	1509	42.53%	Dundee	0	1520	29.37%	28.10%
14	2026-01-10	44.5	@ Celtic	4	1741	65.46%	Dundee United	0	1551	12.43%	22.10%
15	2025-10-18	44.8	@ Hibernian	4	1631	56.16%	Livingston	0	1532	18.25%	25.59%
16	2026-01-14	44.8	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1753	70.13%	St. Mirren	0	1512	10.03%	19.85%
17	2025-09-27	44.9	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1680	60.41%	Falkirk	0	1541	15.41%	24.18%
18	2026-01-31	44.9	Motherwell	2	1671	57.79%	@ Livingston	0	1440	17.13%	25.08%
19	2026-01-24	45.1	@ Aberdeen	6	1549	55.81%	Livingston	2	1453	18.50%	25.69%
20	2026-05-09	45.1	Kilmarnock	3	1510	33.89%	@ St. Mirren	0	1465	37.75%	28.35%
21	2026-05-13	45.2	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1772	65.71%	Falkirk	0	1580	12.30%	21.99%
22	2026-02-04	45.5	@ Rangers	5	1784	74.38%	Kilmarnock	1	1491	8.08%	17.54%
23	2026-02-14	45.5	@ Hibernian	2	1664	61.68%	St. Mirren	0	1513	14.63%	23.70%
24	2026-04-04	45.6	@ St. Mirren	2	1482	40.78%	Aberdeen	0	1506	30.99%	28.23%
25	2026-02-28	46.0	@ Motherwell	2	1715	65.11%	Dundee United	0	1529	12.63%	22.26%