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2007-08 Serbian SuperLiga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Partizan

80 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Partizan

14.45 points above expected

80 points · 65.55 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bezanija

16.28 points below expected

19 points · 35.28 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Partizan 33 24 8 1 80 63 23 +40 65.55 +14.45
2 Red Star Belgrade 33 21 12 0 75 65 22 +43 66.10 +8.90
3 Vojvodina 33 18 8 7 62 53 33 +20 58.76 +3.24
4 Borac Cacak 33 12 10 11 46 29 33 -4 42.03 +3.97
5 Napredak 33 11 8 14 41 25 33 -8 34.96 +6.04
6 Cukaricki 33 10 10 13 40 31 32 -1 43.83 -3.83
7 Mladost Lucani 33 8 14 11 38 32 41 -9 39.91 -1.91
8 Hajduk Rodic 33 8 13 12 37 25 31 -6 41.88 -4.88
9 Smederevo 33 10 6 17 36 33 44 -11 35.84 +0.16
10 OFK Beograd 33 9 9 15 36 31 45 -14 39.14 -3.14
11 Banat Zrenjanin 33 6 10 17 28 34 57 -23 35.69 -7.69
12 Bezanija 33 5 4 24 19 31 58 -27 35.28 -16.28

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Partizan 80 65.55 +14.45
2 Red Star Belgrade 75 66.10 +8.90
3 Napredak 41 34.96 +6.04
4 Borac Cacak 46 42.03 +3.97
5 Vojvodina 62 58.76 +3.24

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bezanija 19 35.28 -16.28
2 Banat Zrenjanin 28 35.69 -7.69
3 Hajduk Rodic 37 41.88 -4.88
4 Cukaricki 40 43.83 -3.83
5 OFK Beograd 36 39.14 -3.14

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Smederevo 3 Dec 12 – Mar 1 1 in 101
2 Borac Cacak 3 Sep 22 – Oct 6 1 in 32
3 Partizan 8 Apr 20 – May 25 1 in 27
4 Bezanija 2 Dec 15 – Mar 2 1 in 26
5 Vojvodina 6 Apr 26 – May 17 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bezanija 7 Sep 23 – Nov 3 1 in 287
2 Cukaricki 6 Apr 12 – May 10 1 in 209
3 OFK Beograd 4 Dec 8 – Mar 2 1 in 68
4 Vojvodina 2 Mar 22 – Mar 29 1 in 27
5 Napredak 4 Aug 26 – Sep 22 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Red Star Belgrade 33 Aug 11 – May 25 1 in 320
2 Vojvodina 16 Aug 19 – Dec 15 1 in 128
3 Partizan 17 Aug 11 – Dec 15 1 in 36
4 Napredak 7 Apr 5 – May 10 1 in 36
5 Hajduk Rodic 8 Apr 5 – May 14 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 OFK Beograd 13 Nov 10 – Apr 12 1 in 76
2 Banat Zrenjanin 13 Mar 22 – May 25 1 in 44
3 Bezanija 11 Apr 2 – May 25 1 in 26
4 Hajduk Rodic 9 Sep 29 – Dec 2 1 in 25
5 Cukaricki 7 Apr 5 – May 10 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Partizan 1813 80 +27 15 11.3 +3.7
Red Star Belgrade 1850 75 +6 13 11.9 +1.1
Vojvodina 1667 62 -3 12 10.4 +1.6
Borac Cacak 1529 46 +40 12 8.1 +3.9
Napredak 1540 41 +34 9 7.1 +1.9
Cukaricki 1514 40 -1 6 6.9 -0.9
Mladost Lucani 1484 38 -9 6 5.4 +0.6
Hajduk Rodic 1546 37 +42 8 5.3 +2.7
OFK Beograd 1464 36 +29 4 3.4 +0.6
Smederevo 1469 36 -10 3 3.9 -0.9
Banat Zrenjanin 1351 28 -72 0 3.2 -3.2
Bezanija 1359 19 -83 0 5.0 -5.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BZ BEZ BC CUK HR ML NAP OB PAR RSB SME VOJ
Banat Zrenjanin —
1-1-1
4.16
1-1-1
3.40
0-0-3
3.40
0-2-1
3.49
0-3-0
4.13
1-0-2
4.34
2-0-1
3.66
0-0-3
1.78
0-1-2
1.64
1-1-1
3.72
0-1-2
2.18
Bezanija
1-1-1
3.95
—
0-0-3
3.33
1-0-2
3.28
1-0-2
3.34
0-1-2
3.42
1-0-2
3.91
0-1-2
3.88
0-1-2
1.55
0-0-3
1.70
1-0-2
4.14
0-0-3
2.03
Borac Cacak
1-1-1
4.71
3-0-0
4.79
—
1-2-0
4.47
1-2-0
3.88
1-0-2
4.06
1-2-0
5.08
1-1-1
4.27
0-1-2
1.98
0-1-2
2.21
2-0-1
4.88
1-0-2
2.66
Cukaricki
3-0-0
4.72
2-0-1
4.87
0-2-1
3.65
—
0-2-1
4.43
2-0-1
4.50
1-1-1
4.72
1-1-1
4.36
0-1-2
2.50
0-1-2
2.07
0-1-2
4.51
1-1-1
2.71
Hajduk Rodic
1-2-0
4.64
2-0-1
4.77
0-2-1
4.22
1-2-0
3.71
—
0-3-0
4.60
2-0-1
4.69
1-1-1
4.26
0-0-3
1.82
0-2-1
1.86
1-1-1
4.51
0-0-3
2.58
Mladost Lucani
0-3-0
3.98
2-1-0
4.70
2-0-1
4.04
1-0-2
3.60
0-3-0
3.50
—
1-2-0
4.74
1-2-0
4.36
0-0-3
1.88
0-2-1
1.75
1-1-1
4.61
0-0-3
2.36
Napredak
2-0-1
3.77
2-0-1
4.20
0-2-1
3.04
1-1-1
3.39
1-0-2
3.43
0-2-1
3.37
—
2-1-0
4.13
0-0-3
1.81
0-1-2
1.35
2-1-0
3.92
1-0-2
2.33
OFK Beograd
1-0-2
4.46
2-1-0
4.26
1-1-1
3.87
1-1-1
3.75
1-1-1
3.86
0-2-1
3.75
0-1-2
4.03
—
0-0-3
2.39
0-0-3
1.83
2-0-1
3.97
1-2-0
2.80
Partizan
3-0-0
6.51
2-1-0
6.75
2-1-0
6.23
2-1-0
5.68
3-0-0
6.42
3-0-0
6.37
3-0-0
6.43
3-0-0
5.82
—
0-2-1
4.38
2-1-0
6.46
1-2-0
4.45
Red Star Belgrade
2-1-0
6.66
3-0-0
6.58
2-1-0
5.98
2-1-0
6.15
1-2-0
6.38
1-2-0
6.52
2-1-0
6.99
3-0-0
6.51
1-2-0
3.73
—
3-0-0
6.58
1-2-0
5.18
Smederevo
1-1-1
4.40
2-0-1
3.97
1-0-2
3.26
2-1-0
3.61
1-1-1
3.60
1-1-1
3.50
0-1-2
4.19
1-0-2
4.13
0-1-2
1.79
0-0-3
1.70
—
1-0-2
2.19
Vojvodina
2-1-0
6.05
3-0-0
6.17
2-0-1
5.49
1-1-1
5.43
3-0-0
5.59
3-0-0
5.81
2-0-1
5.86
0-2-1
5.35
0-2-1
3.67
0-2-1
2.96
2-0-1
5.99
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +11.4
Allowed 0.70 -13.2
Differential 0.97 +8.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.10%12.63%8.08%1.26%0.76%0.51%33.33%
112.63%12.63%6.06%2.53%1.52%0.51%35.86%
28.08%6.06%4.55%0.76%0.51%0.51%20.45%
31.26%2.53%0.76%1.01%0.25%—5.81%
40.76%1.52%0.51%0.25%——3.03%
5+0.51%0.51%0.51%———1.52%
Total33.33%35.86%20.45%5.81%3.03%1.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.14 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.60
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%9.09%—3.03%—33.33%
13.03%9.09%12.12%6.06%3.03%—33.33%
26.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%30.30%
3———3.03%——3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%27.27%27.27%12.12%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.73 -0.70
SD 0.88 1.44 1.47
CV 0.86 0.83 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%24.24%12.12%6.06%——45.45%
13.03%—18.18%3.03%6.06%—30.30%
26.06%3.03%6.06%3.03%——18.18%
3———3.03%——3.03%
4———————
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total12.12%27.27%39.39%15.15%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.76 -0.82
SD 1.25 1.06 1.53
CV 1.33 0.60 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%9.09%9.09%—3.03%3.03%45.45%
112.12%9.09%6.06%———27.27%
212.12%9.09%——3.03%—24.24%
3———————
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total45.45%30.30%15.15%—6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.00 -0.12
SD 0.99 1.30 1.71
CV 1.13 1.30 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%18.18%9.09%3.03%——42.42%
16.06%15.15%6.06%3.03%——30.30%
29.09%6.06%3.03%———18.18%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%42.42%18.18%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 0.97 -0.03
SD 1.00 0.88 1.49
CV 1.06 0.91 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%6.06%———42.42%
112.12%18.18%6.06%3.03%3.03%—42.42%
26.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%42.42%15.15%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 0.94 -0.18
SD 0.79 0.97 1.18
CV 1.05 1.03 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%—45.45%
16.06%12.12%3.03%—3.03%—24.24%
2—6.06%12.12%———18.18%
36.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%30.30%30.30%3.03%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.24 -0.27
SD 1.07 1.12 1.57
CV 1.11 0.90 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%18.18%——3.03%45.45%
121.21%15.15%3.03%3.03%——42.42%
26.06%—————6.06%
3—3.03%————3.03%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total39.39%33.33%21.21%3.03%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 1.00 -0.24
SD 0.94 1.12 1.70
CV 1.24 1.12 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%15.15%3.03%——36.36%
16.06%15.15%6.06%6.06%—3.03%36.36%
29.09%9.09%6.06%———24.24%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%39.39%27.27%9.09%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.36 -0.42
SD 0.86 1.11 1.52
CV 0.92 0.82 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%—————3.03%
130.30%12.12%——3.03%—45.45%
215.15%3.03%6.06%———24.24%
33.03%9.09%—3.03%——15.15%
43.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total54.55%30.30%9.09%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 0.70 +1.21
SD 1.18 0.98 1.34
CV 0.62 1.41 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%—————6.06%
121.21%21.21%————42.42%
218.18%3.03%9.09%———30.30%
3———————
43.03%6.06%—3.03%——12.12%
5+3.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
Total51.52%33.33%12.12%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 0.67 +1.30
SD 1.42 0.82 1.38
CV 0.72 1.22 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%24.24%3.03%———33.33%
115.15%9.09%9.09%6.06%——39.39%
23.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%—3.03%21.21%
3——3.03%—3.03%—6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%42.42%18.18%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.33 -0.33
SD 0.90 1.22 1.16
CV 0.90 0.91 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%3.03%———21.21%
115.15%15.15%3.03%——3.03%36.36%
26.06%12.12%————18.18%
3—6.06%3.03%3.03%——12.12%
4—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total30.30%51.52%12.12%3.03%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.00 +0.61
SD 1.37 1.03 1.64
CV 0.85 1.03 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Red Star Belgrade 1850 75 66.10 +8.90 89.0% 41 53 61 65 72 79 88
Partizan 1813 80 65.55 +14.45 99.0% 47 55 61 66 70 77 81
Vojvodina 1667 62 58.76 +3.24 71.0% 33 46 54 58 63 71 78
Hajduk Rodic 1546 37 41.88 -4.88 28.0% 28 32 37 41 46 53 61
Napredak 1540 41 34.96 +6.04 86.0% 17 22 31 34 39 46 62
Borac Cacak 1529 46 42.03 +3.97 75.0% 26 32 38 42 46 52 60
Cukaricki 1514 40 43.83 -3.83 35.0% 29 31 39 44 49 53 64
Mladost Lucani 1484 38 39.91 -1.91 41.0% 26 30 36 40 44 50 54
Smederevo 1469 36 35.84 +0.16 50.0% 20 25 30 36 40 47 60
OFK Beograd 1464 36 39.14 -3.14 34.0% 21 29 34 39 43 50 58
Bezanija 1359 19 35.28 -16.28 1.0% 16 24 30 36 39 46 49
Banat Zrenjanin 1351 28 35.69 -7.69 19.0% 21 25 31 35 41 47 51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 16.5% * Slight Edge: 16.5% to 24% * Clear Edge: 24% to 34.5% * Strong Edge: 34.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.14%
No Edge
42.93%28.28%28.79%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 49.46 Elo pts.
211 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.34 goals
Neutral
-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.17 * Tight Race: 0.17 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.41 * Runaway: 0.41 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
41%
Partizan, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Photo Finish
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.51 * Some Luck: 5.51 to 8.27 * Lucky: 8.27 to 11.02 * Wild Swing: 11.02 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.45 * Close: 1.45 to 2.18 * Off: 2.18 to 2.91 * Way Off: 2.91 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.78 points
Some Luck
06.8917
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.824
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Partizan
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Bezanija
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.18 * Even: 0.18 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.22 * Lopsided: 0.22 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2 * Moderate Separation: 2 to 2.2 * Strong Separation: 2.2 to 2.4 * Wide Separation: 2.4 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67.5% * Clear Edge: 67.5% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 94.5% * Clear Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Strong Edge: 96.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 60% * Some Drama: 60% to 63% * Frequent: 63% to 66% * Very Frequent: 66% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 16% * Frequent: 16% to 18% * Very Frequent: 18% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.180.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 156.28
2.47
Wide Separation
122.22.42.75
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%65%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
95%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.45 * Notable Separation: 0.45 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.48 * Some Carryover: 0.48 to 0.58 * Strong Carryover: 0.58 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 18% * Very Shaky: 18% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.26
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.43
Weak Carryover
00.480.71
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.94
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.31
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.050
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Partizan41.00%42.00%15.00%2.00%————————
Red Star Belgrade48.00%34.00%15.00%2.00%—1.00%——————
Vojvodina10.00%23.00%52.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%———1.00%—
Borac Cacak——3.00%13.00%23.00%13.00%11.00%14.00%9.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%
Napredak—1.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%15.00%13.00%25.00%16.00%
Cukaricki——6.00%22.00%19.00%16.00%9.00%12.00%3.00%8.00%2.00%3.00%
Mladost Lucani———13.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%22.00%7.00%16.00%8.00%3.00%
Hajduk Rodic——4.00%17.00%17.00%10.00%14.00%8.00%18.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%
Smederevo——3.00%2.00%6.00%7.00%14.00%16.00%7.00%9.00%14.00%22.00%
OFK Beograd1.00%——9.00%8.00%16.00%14.00%9.00%17.00%7.00%7.00%12.00%
Banat Zrenjanin——1.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%16.00%3.00%11.00%15.00%20.00%20.00%
Bezanija———4.00%5.00%12.00%3.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%16.00%21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Partizan 100% — —
Red Star Belgrade 100% — —
Vojvodina 99.00% — 1.00%
Borac Cacak 86.00% 9.00% 5.00%
Cukaricki 87.00% 8.00% 5.00%
Hajduk Rodic 88.00% 7.00% 5.00%
Mladost Lucani 73.00% 16.00% 11.00%
OFK Beograd 74.00% 7.00% 19.00%
Smederevo 55.00% 9.00% 36.00%
Bezanija 47.00% 16.00% 37.00%
Banat Zrenjanin 45.00% 15.00% 40.00%
Napredak 46.00% 13.00% 41.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-08-11 Cukaricki D 0-064.0 1647 1530 55.89% 27.70% 16.41%+0.79 -3.9 1
2007-08-11 @ Red Star Belgrade D 0-064.0 1530 1647 16.41% 27.70% 55.89%-0.79 +3.9 1
2007-08-11 Mladost Lucani D 0-058.0 1494 1518 38.83% 29.93% 31.23%+0.12 -0.7 1
2007-08-11 @ Smederevo D 0-058.0 1518 1494 31.23% 29.93% 38.83%-0.12 +0.7 1
2007-08-11 Napredak W 2-045.1 1579 1486 53.44% 28.27% 18.29%+0.68 +17.2 3
2007-08-11 @ Hajduk Rodic L 0-245.1 1486 1579 18.29% 28.27% 53.44%-0.68 -17.2 0
2007-08-11 OFK Beograd L 1-263.8 1551 1550 42.26% 29.76% 27.98%+0.24 -16.4 0
2007-08-11 @ Bezanija W 2-163.8 1550 1551 27.98% 29.76% 42.26%-0.24 +16.4 3
2007-08-11 Partizan L 0-161.8 1622 1599 45.16% 29.53% 25.31%+0.34 -18.3 0
2007-08-11 @ Vojvodina W 1-061.8 1599 1622 25.31% 29.53% 45.16%-0.34 +18.3 3
2007-08-17 Borac Cacak W 2-047.2 1567 1517 48.40% 29.15% 22.46%+0.47 +20.4 6
2007-08-17 @ OFK Beograd L 0-247.2 1517 1567 22.46% 29.15% 48.40%-0.47 -20.4 0
2007-08-18 Bezanija W 1-052.8 1468 1535 32.91% 29.98% 37.11%-0.08 +15.7 3
2007-08-18 @ Napredak L 0-152.8 1535 1468 37.11% 29.98% 32.91%+0.08 -15.7 0
2007-08-18 Hajduk Rodic D 0-061.6 1519 1597 31.36% 29.94% 38.70%-0.13 +0.7 2
2007-08-18 @ Mladost Lucani D 0-061.6 1597 1519 38.70% 29.94% 31.36%+0.13 -0.7 4
2007-08-18 Partizan L 0-350.2 1534 1617 30.64% 29.91% 39.45%-0.16 -37.6 1
2007-08-18 @ Cukaricki W 3-050.2 1617 1534 39.45% 29.91% 30.64%+0.16 +37.6 6
2007-08-18 Smederevo W 1-049.5 1644 1493 59.11% 26.79% 14.11%+0.95 +7.2 4
2007-08-18 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-149.5 1493 1644 14.11% 26.79% 59.11%-0.95 -7.2 1
2007-08-19 Vojvodina D 1-166.3 1495 1604 27.34% 29.72% 42.94%-0.28 +1.3 1
2007-08-19 @ Banat Zrenjanin D 1-166.3 1604 1495 42.94% 29.72% 27.34%+0.28 -1.3 1
2007-08-25 Cukaricki W 1-049.7 1486 1496 40.76% 29.85% 29.39%+0.19 +13.3 4
2007-08-25 @ Smederevo L 0-149.7 1496 1486 29.39% 29.85% 40.76%-0.19 -13.3 1
2007-08-25 Mladost Lucani D 0-059.0 1519 1520 42.04% 29.78% 28.18%+0.23 -1.3 1
2007-08-25 @ Bezanija D 0-059.0 1520 1519 28.18% 29.78% 42.04%-0.23 +1.3 3
2007-08-26 Banat Zrenjanin W 4-254.9 1655 1496 59.89% 26.53% 13.58%+0.99 +10.1 9
2007-08-26 @ Partizan L 2-454.9 1496 1655 13.58% 26.53% 59.89%-0.99 -10.1 1
2007-08-26 Napredak W 1-048.7 1497 1484 43.81% 29.65% 26.54%+0.29 +12.3 3
2007-08-26 @ Borac Cacak L 0-148.7 1484 1497 26.54% 29.65% 43.81%-0.29 -12.3 3
2007-08-26 OFK Beograd D 1-168.9 1602 1587 44.17% 29.62% 26.21%+0.31 -1.5 2
2007-08-26 @ Vojvodina D 1-168.9 1587 1602 26.21% 29.62% 44.17%-0.31 +1.5 7
2007-09-01 Banat Zrenjanin W 2-154.8 1483 1486 41.79% 29.79% 28.41%+0.22 +12.2 4
2007-09-01 @ Cukaricki L 1-254.8 1486 1483 28.41% 29.79% 41.79%-0.22 -12.2 1
2007-09-01 Bezanija W 2-047.1 1651 1518 57.46% 27.28% 15.26%+0.86 +14.6 7
2007-09-01 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-247.1 1518 1651 15.26% 27.28% 57.46%-0.86 -14.6 1
2007-09-01 Borac Cacak W 1-050.6 1521 1509 43.72% 29.66% 26.62%+0.29 +12.4 6
2007-09-01 @ Mladost Lucani L 0-150.6 1509 1521 26.62% 29.66% 43.72%-0.29 -12.4 3
2007-09-01 Hajduk Rodic W 1-057.3 1499 1596 28.88% 29.82% 41.30%-0.22 +17.0 7
2007-09-01 @ Smederevo L 0-157.3 1596 1499 41.30% 29.82% 28.88%+0.22 -17.0 4
2007-09-02 Partizan L 0-158.4 1588 1665 31.54% 29.94% 38.52%-0.13 -14.0 7
2007-09-02 @ OFK Beograd W 1-058.4 1665 1588 38.52% 29.94% 31.54%+0.13 +14.0 12
2007-09-02 Vojvodina L 0-151.5 1472 1601 24.97% 29.49% 45.54%-0.38 -11.8 3
2007-09-02 @ Napredak W 1-051.5 1601 1472 45.54% 29.49% 24.97%+0.38 +11.8 5
2007-09-09 Banat Zrenjanin D 0-056.5 1497 1474 45.15% 29.53% 25.32%+0.34 -1.8 4
2007-09-09 @ Borac Cacak D 0-056.5 1474 1497 25.32% 29.53% 45.15%-0.34 +1.8 2
2007-09-15 Cukaricki D 1-165.9 1579 1495 52.32% 28.50% 19.19%+0.63 -2.9 5
2007-09-15 @ Hajduk Rodic D 1-165.9 1495 1579 19.19% 28.50% 52.32%-0.63 +2.9 5
2007-09-15 Mladost Lucani W 2-158.0 1613 1533 51.85% 28.59% 19.56%+0.61 +9.1 8
2007-09-15 @ Vojvodina L 1-258.0 1533 1613 19.56% 28.59% 51.85%-0.61 -9.1 6
2007-09-15 OFK Beograd W 2-161.8 1475 1574 28.58% 29.80% 41.62%-0.23 +16.2 5
2007-09-15 @ Banat Zrenjanin L 1-261.8 1574 1475 41.62% 29.80% 28.58%+0.23 -16.2 7
2007-09-15 Red Star Belgrade D 0-063.2 1495 1665 20.66% 28.82% 50.51%-0.57 +2.9 5
2007-09-15 @ Borac Cacak D 0-063.2 1665 1495 50.51% 28.82% 20.66%+0.57 -2.9 8
2007-09-15 Smederevo W 2-047.3 1503 1516 40.35% 29.87% 29.78%+0.17 +25.4 4
2007-09-15 @ Bezanija L 0-247.3 1516 1503 29.78% 29.87% 40.35%-0.17 -25.4 7
2007-09-16 Napredak W 3-149.7 1679 1460 65.10% 24.55% 10.35%+1.27 +8.6 15
2007-09-16 @ Partizan L 1-349.7 1460 1679 10.35% 24.55% 65.10%-1.27 -8.6 3
2007-09-22 Banat Zrenjanin L 0-246.6 1451 1492 36.62% 29.98% 33.40%+0.04 -29.4 3
2007-09-22 @ Napredak W 2-046.6 1492 1451 33.40% 29.98% 36.62%-0.04 +29.4 8
2007-09-22 Borac Cacak L 0-153.5 1491 1498 41.27% 29.83% 28.91%+0.20 -17.0 7
2007-09-22 @ Smederevo W 1-053.5 1498 1491 28.91% 29.83% 41.27%-0.20 +17.0 8
2007-09-22 OFK Beograd L 0-249.9 1498 1558 33.79% 29.99% 36.22%-0.05 -27.8 5
2007-09-22 @ Cukaricki W 2-049.9 1558 1498 36.22% 29.99% 33.79%+0.05 +27.8 10
2007-09-22 Partizan L 1-453.3 1524 1687 21.38% 28.96% 49.66%-0.54 -24.0 6
2007-09-22 @ Mladost Lucani W 4-153.3 1687 1524 49.66% 28.96% 21.38%+0.54 +24.0 18
2007-09-23 Bezanija W 1-051.8 1576 1528 48.19% 29.17% 22.63%+0.46 +10.9 8
2007-09-23 @ Hajduk Rodic L 0-151.8 1528 1576 22.63% 29.17% 48.19%-0.46 -10.9 4
2007-09-23 Vojvodina D 1-170.8 1662 1622 47.34% 29.29% 23.38%+0.43 -2.0 9
2007-09-23 @ Red Star Belgrade D 1-170.8 1622 1662 23.38% 29.29% 47.34%-0.43 +2.0 9
2007-09-29 Cukaricki L 1-261.3 1517 1470 48.10% 29.19% 22.71%+0.46 -18.2 4
2007-09-29 @ Bezanija W 2-161.3 1470 1517 22.71% 29.19% 48.10%-0.46 +18.2 8
2007-09-29 Hajduk Rodic W 2-052.7 1515 1587 32.09% 29.96% 37.95%-0.11 +30.2 11
2007-09-29 @ Borac Cacak L 0-252.7 1587 1515 37.95% 29.96% 32.09%+0.11 -30.2 8
2007-09-29 Mladost Lucani D 0-058.4 1521 1500 44.86% 29.56% 25.59%+0.33 -1.8 9
2007-09-29 @ Banat Zrenjanin D 0-058.4 1500 1521 25.59% 29.56% 44.86%-0.33 +1.8 7
2007-09-29 Napredak D 1-164.1 1586 1422 60.38% 26.37% 13.25%+1.01 -4.3 11
2007-09-29 @ OFK Beograd D 1-164.1 1422 1586 13.25% 26.37% 60.38%-1.01 +4.3 4
2007-09-29 Red Star Belgrade D 2-277.6 1711 1660 48.58% 29.12% 22.30%+0.48 -1.7 19
2007-09-29 @ Partizan D 2-277.6 1660 1711 22.30% 29.12% 48.58%-0.48 +1.7 10
2007-09-29 Smederevo W 2-154.3 1624 1474 59.06% 26.80% 14.14%+0.94 +6.8 12
2007-09-29 @ Vojvodina L 1-254.3 1474 1624 14.14% 26.80% 59.06%-0.94 -6.8 7
2007-10-06 Borac Cacak L 1-259.9 1499 1545 35.85% 29.99% 34.15%+0.02 -14.5 4
2007-10-06 @ Bezanija W 2-159.9 1545 1499 34.15% 29.99% 35.85%-0.02 +14.5 14
2007-10-06 Napredak D 0-054.7 1489 1426 49.92% 28.92% 21.16%+0.53 -2.8 9
2007-10-06 @ Cukaricki D 0-054.7 1426 1489 21.16% 28.92% 49.92%-0.53 +2.8 5
2007-10-06 OFK Beograd D 2-271.5 1502 1582 31.08% 29.93% 38.99%-0.14 +0.5 8
2007-10-06 @ Mladost Lucani D 2-271.5 1582 1502 38.99% 29.93% 31.08%+0.14 -0.5 12
2007-10-06 Partizan D 1-169.4 1467 1710 14.82% 27.10% 58.08%-0.91 +3.9 8
2007-10-06 @ Smederevo D 1-169.4 1710 1467 58.08% 27.10% 14.82%+0.91 -3.9 20
2007-10-06 Vojvodina L 1-263.1 1557 1631 31.88% 29.95% 38.17%-0.12 -13.3 8
2007-10-06 @ Hajduk Rodic W 2-163.1 1631 1557 38.17% 29.95% 31.88%+0.12 +13.3 15
2007-10-07 Banat Zrenjanin W 2-047.1 1662 1519 58.41% 27.00% 14.59%+0.91 +14.0 13
2007-10-07 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-247.1 1519 1662 14.59% 27.00% 58.41%-0.91 -14.0 9
2007-10-20 Cukaricki D 1-164.8 1559 1486 51.19% 28.71% 20.11%+0.58 -2.7 15
2007-10-20 @ Borac Cacak D 1-164.8 1486 1559 20.11% 28.71% 51.19%-0.58 +2.7 10
2007-10-20 Mladost Lucani L 0-148.6 1429 1502 31.93% 29.95% 38.11%-0.11 -14.2 5
2007-10-20 @ Napredak W 1-048.6 1502 1429 38.11% 29.95% 31.93%+0.11 +14.1 11
2007-10-20 Smederevo L 2-365.1 1505 1471 46.52% 29.38% 24.10%+0.40 -16.8 9
2007-10-20 @ Banat Zrenjanin W 3-265.1 1471 1505 24.10% 29.38% 46.52%-0.40 +16.8 11
2007-10-21 Bezanija W 3-151.0 1644 1485 59.93% 26.52% 13.55%+0.99 +11.3 18
2007-10-21 @ Vojvodina L 1-351.0 1485 1644 13.55% 26.52% 59.93%-0.99 -11.3 4
2007-10-21 Hajduk Rodic W 2-157.8 1706 1544 60.22% 26.42% 13.35%+1.00 +6.4 23
2007-10-21 @ Partizan L 1-257.8 1544 1706 13.35% 26.42% 60.22%-1.00 -6.4 8
2007-10-21 Red Star Belgrade L 0-253.9 1581 1676 29.10% 29.84% 41.06%-0.22 -24.9 12
2007-10-21 @ OFK Beograd W 2-053.9 1676 1581 41.06% 29.84% 29.10%+0.22 +24.9 16
2007-10-27 Banat Zrenjanin D 0-058.7 1537 1488 48.30% 29.16% 22.54%+0.46 -2.4 9
2007-10-27 @ Hajduk Rodic D 0-058.7 1488 1537 22.54% 29.16% 48.30%-0.46 +2.4 10
2007-10-27 Mladost Lucani W 2-047.4 1489 1517 38.33% 29.95% 31.72%+0.10 +26.5 13
2007-10-27 @ Cukaricki L 0-247.4 1517 1489 31.72% 29.95% 38.33%-0.10 -26.5 11
2007-10-27 OFK Beograd L 0-153.0 1488 1556 32.62% 29.97% 37.41%-0.09 -14.4 11
2007-10-27 @ Smederevo W 1-053.0 1556 1488 37.41% 29.97% 32.62%+0.09 +14.4 15
2007-10-27 Partizan L 0-247.4 1474 1712 15.08% 27.20% 57.71%-0.90 -14.5 4
2007-10-27 @ Bezanija W 2-047.4 1712 1474 57.71% 27.20% 15.08%+0.90 +14.5 26
2007-10-28 Napredak D 1-169.2 1701 1415 70.25% 22.07% 7.69%+1.59 -5.8 17
2007-10-28 @ Red Star Belgrade D 1-169.2 1415 1701 7.69% 22.07% 70.25%-1.59 +5.9 6
2007-10-28 Vojvodina L 2-461.9 1557 1655 28.63% 29.81% 41.56%-0.23 -19.1 15
2007-10-28 @ Borac Cacak W 4-261.9 1655 1557 41.56% 29.81% 28.63%+0.23 +19.1 21
2007-10-31 Bezanija W 2-152.8 1491 1459 46.24% 29.41% 24.34%+0.38 +10.9 13
2007-10-31 @ Banat Zrenjanin L 1-252.8 1459 1491 24.34% 29.41% 46.24%-0.38 -10.9 4
2007-10-31 Borac Cacak D 0-066.4 1727 1538 62.61% 25.57% 11.83%+1.13 -5.2 27
2007-10-31 @ Partizan D 0-066.4 1538 1727 11.83% 25.57% 62.61%-1.13 +5.2 16
2007-10-31 Cukaricki D 0-064.6 1674 1515 59.93% 26.52% 13.55%+0.99 -4.7 22
2007-10-31 @ Vojvodina D 0-064.6 1515 1674 13.55% 26.52% 59.93%-0.99 +4.7 14
2007-10-31 Hajduk Rodic W 3-154.2 1571 1535 46.77% 29.35% 23.87%+0.41 +18.6 18
2007-10-31 @ OFK Beograd L 1-354.2 1535 1571 23.87% 29.35% 46.77%-0.41 -18.6 9
2007-10-31 Red Star Belgrade D 1-169.3 1490 1695 17.61% 28.08% 54.31%-0.74 +3.2 12
2007-10-31 @ Mladost Lucani D 1-169.3 1695 1490 54.31% 28.08% 17.61%+0.74 -3.2 18
2007-10-31 Smederevo W 3-150.3 1421 1474 34.82% 30.00% 35.19%-0.02 +24.7 9
2007-10-31 @ Napredak L 1-350.3 1474 1421 35.19% 30.00% 34.82%+0.02 -24.7 11
2007-11-03 Bezanija W 1-046.5 1589 1448 58.23% 27.05% 14.72%+0.90 +7.5 21
2007-11-03 @ OFK Beograd L 0-146.5 1448 1589 14.72% 27.05% 58.23%-0.90 -7.5 4
2007-11-03 Borac Cacak W 2-159.2 1502 1543 36.50% 29.99% 33.52%+0.04 +13.8 16
2007-11-03 @ Banat Zrenjanin L 1-259.2 1543 1502 33.52% 29.99% 36.50%-0.04 -13.8 16
2007-11-03 Hajduk Rodic W 1-051.4 1445 1516 32.32% 29.96% 37.72%-0.10 +15.9 12
2007-11-03 @ Napredak L 0-151.4 1516 1445 37.72% 29.96% 32.32%+0.10 -15.9 9
2007-11-03 Red Star Belgrade L 0-154.0 1520 1692 20.51% 28.79% 50.69%-0.58 -10.0 14
2007-11-03 @ Cukaricki W 1-054.0 1692 1520 50.69% 28.79% 20.51%+0.58 +10.0 21
2007-11-03 Smederevo W 3-256.7 1493 1449 47.80% 29.23% 22.97%+0.44 +9.9 15
2007-11-03 @ Mladost Lucani L 2-356.7 1449 1493 22.97% 29.23% 47.80%-0.44 -9.9 11
2007-11-04 Vojvodina D 3-381.0 1722 1670 48.69% 29.11% 22.20%+0.48 -1.4 28
2007-11-04 @ Partizan D 3-381.0 1670 1722 22.20% 29.11% 48.69%-0.48 +1.4 23
2007-11-10 Banat Zrenjanin W 1-050.7 1671 1516 59.59% 26.63% 13.78%+0.97 +7.0 26
2007-11-10 @ Vojvodina L 0-150.7 1516 1671 13.78% 26.63% 59.59%-0.97 -7.0 16
2007-11-10 Cukaricki D 1-171.2 1720 1510 64.40% 24.85% 10.75%+1.23 -5.0 29
2007-11-10 @ Partizan D 1-171.2 1510 1720 10.75% 24.85% 64.40%-1.23 +5.0 15
2007-11-10 Mladost Lucani D 2-268.7 1500 1503 41.75% 29.80% 28.45%+0.22 -0.8 10
2007-11-10 @ Hajduk Rodic D 2-268.7 1503 1500 28.45% 29.80% 41.75%-0.22 +0.8 16
2007-11-10 Napredak W 2-153.2 1441 1461 39.35% 29.92% 30.74%+0.14 +13.0 7
2007-11-10 @ Bezanija L 1-253.2 1461 1441 30.74% 29.92% 39.35%-0.14 -13.0 12
2007-11-10 OFK Beograd W 2-053.3 1529 1597 32.71% 29.97% 37.31%-0.09 +29.8 19
2007-11-10 @ Borac Cacak L 0-253.3 1597 1529 37.31% 29.97% 32.71%+0.09 -29.8 21
2007-11-11 Red Star Belgrade L 2-550.5 1439 1702 13.49% 26.49% 60.01%-1.01 -13.8 11
2007-11-11 @ Smederevo W 5-250.5 1702 1439 60.01% 26.49% 13.49%+1.01 +13.8 24
2007-11-28 Red Star Belgrade L 0-248.7 1499 1716 16.71% 27.80% 55.49%-0.79 -15.9 10
2007-11-28 @ Hajduk Rodic W 2-048.7 1716 1499 55.49% 27.80% 16.71%+0.79 +15.9 27
2007-12-01 Bezanija W 3-040.7 1504 1454 48.50% 29.13% 22.37%+0.47 +29.6 19
2007-12-01 @ Mladost Lucani L 0-340.7 1454 1504 22.37% 29.13% 48.50%-0.47 -29.6 7
2007-12-01 Borac Cacak D 0-057.8 1448 1559 27.18% 29.70% 43.12%-0.29 +1.5 13
2007-12-01 @ Napredak D 0-057.8 1559 1448 43.12% 29.70% 27.18%+0.29 -1.5 20
2007-12-01 Partizan L 0-249.2 1508 1715 17.49% 28.04% 54.47%-0.74 -16.5 16
2007-12-01 @ Banat Zrenjanin W 2-049.2 1715 1508 54.47% 28.04% 17.49%+0.74 +16.5 32
2007-12-01 Smederevo D 2-266.7 1515 1425 52.97% 28.37% 18.66%+0.66 -2.2 16
2007-12-01 @ Cukaricki D 2-266.7 1425 1515 18.66% 28.37% 52.97%-0.66 +2.2 12
2007-12-02 Hajduk Rodic D 1-171.3 1732 1483 67.42% 23.49% 9.09%+1.41 -5.4 28
2007-12-02 @ Red Star Belgrade D 1-171.3 1483 1732 9.09% 23.49% 67.42%-1.41 +5.4 11
2007-12-02 Vojvodina D 0-064.8 1567 1678 27.09% 29.70% 43.21%-0.29 +1.5 22
2007-12-02 @ OFK Beograd D 0-064.8 1678 1567 43.21% 29.70% 27.09%+0.29 -1.5 27
2007-12-08 Cukaricki L 1-355.4 1492 1513 39.37% 29.91% 30.72%+0.14 -26.8 16
2007-12-08 @ Banat Zrenjanin W 3-155.4 1513 1492 30.72% 29.91% 39.37%-0.14 +26.8 19
2007-12-08 Mladost Lucani W 2-048.4 1557 1534 45.24% 29.52% 25.24%+0.35 +22.4 23
2007-12-08 @ Borac Cacak L 0-248.4 1534 1557 25.24% 29.52% 45.24%-0.35 -22.4 19
2007-12-08 Napredak W 2-043.4 1677 1450 65.73% 24.28% 10.00%+1.31 +9.5 30
2007-12-08 @ Vojvodina L 0-243.4 1450 1677 10.00% 24.28% 65.73%-1.31 -9.5 13
2007-12-08 OFK Beograd W 5-150.2 1732 1568 60.31% 26.40% 13.30%+1.01 +20.3 35
2007-12-08 @ Partizan L 1-550.2 1568 1732 13.30% 26.40% 60.31%-1.01 -20.3 22
2007-12-08 Smederevo W 3-146.5 1489 1427 49.82% 28.94% 21.25%+0.53 +16.9 14
2007-12-08 @ Hajduk Rodic L 1-346.5 1427 1489 21.25% 28.94% 49.82%-0.53 -16.9 12
2007-12-09 Red Star Belgrade L 0-148.6 1424 1726 11.31% 25.23% 63.46%-1.20 -5.8 7
2007-12-09 @ Bezanija W 1-048.6 1726 1424 63.46% 25.23% 11.31%+1.20 +5.8 31
2007-12-12 Banat Zrenjanin L 0-253.4 1548 1465 52.26% 28.51% 19.23%+0.63 -39.0 22
2007-12-12 @ OFK Beograd W 2-053.4 1465 1548 19.23% 28.51% 52.26%-0.63 +39.0 19
2007-12-12 Bezanija W 2-150.5 1410 1418 41.10% 29.83% 29.06%+0.20 +12.5 15
2007-12-12 @ Smederevo L 1-250.5 1418 1410 29.06% 29.83% 41.10%-0.20 -12.5 7
2007-12-12 Borac Cacak W 4-047.4 1732 1580 59.29% 26.73% 13.98%+0.96 +25.5 34
2007-12-12 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-447.4 1580 1732 13.98% 26.73% 59.29%-0.96 -25.5 23
2007-12-12 Hajduk Rodic D 1-164.6 1539 1506 46.46% 29.39% 24.15%+0.39 -1.9 20
2007-12-12 @ Cukaricki D 1-164.6 1506 1539 24.15% 29.39% 46.46%-0.39 +1.9 15
2007-12-12 Partizan L 0-245.6 1440 1752 10.84% 24.91% 64.25%-1.24 -10.4 13
2007-12-12 @ Napredak W 2-045.6 1752 1440 64.25% 24.91% 10.84%+1.24 +10.4 38
2007-12-12 Vojvodina L 0-153.5 1511 1686 20.25% 28.74% 51.02%-0.59 -10.0 19
2007-12-12 @ Mladost Lucani W 1-053.5 1686 1511 51.02% 28.74% 20.25%+0.59 +9.9 33
2007-12-15 Cukaricki L 0-349.1 1509 1537 38.30% 29.95% 31.75%+0.10 -44.1 22
2007-12-15 @ OFK Beograd W 3-049.1 1537 1509 31.75% 29.95% 38.30%-0.10 +44.1 23
2007-12-15 Hajduk Rodic W 1-050.9 1406 1508 28.23% 29.78% 41.99%-0.25 +17.3 10
2007-12-15 @ Bezanija L 0-150.9 1508 1406 41.99% 29.78% 28.23%+0.25 -17.3 15
2007-12-15 Mladost Lucani W 4-044.0 1762 1501 68.40% 23.01% 8.58%+1.47 +15.3 41
2007-12-15 @ Partizan L 0-444.0 1501 1762 8.58% 23.01% 68.40%-1.47 -15.3 19
2007-12-15 Napredak L 0-154.1 1504 1430 51.27% 28.69% 20.04%+0.59 -20.3 19
2007-12-15 @ Banat Zrenjanin W 1-054.1 1430 1504 20.04% 28.69% 51.27%-0.59 +20.3 16
2007-12-15 Red Star Belgrade D 1-172.1 1696 1758 33.58% 29.99% 36.43%-0.06 +0.2 34
2007-12-15 @ Vojvodina D 1-172.1 1758 1696 36.43% 29.99% 33.58%+0.06 -0.2 35
2007-12-15 Smederevo L 0-253.2 1554 1423 57.28% 27.33% 15.40%+0.86 -42.2 23
2007-12-15 @ Borac Cacak W 2-053.2 1423 1554 15.40% 27.33% 57.28%-0.86 +42.2 18
2008-03-01 Partizan W 4-159.4 1757 1778 39.40% 29.91% 30.69%+0.14 +31.7 38
2008-03-01 @ Red Star Belgrade L 1-459.4 1778 1757 30.69% 29.91% 39.40%-0.14 -31.7 41
2008-03-01 Vojvodina W 1-063.3 1465 1696 15.62% 27.41% 56.97%-0.86 +22.3 21
2008-03-01 @ Smederevo L 0-163.3 1696 1465 56.97% 27.41% 15.62%+0.86 -22.3 34
2008-03-02 Banat Zrenjanin D 1-161.6 1486 1484 42.43% 29.75% 27.82%+0.24 -1.2 20
2008-03-02 @ Mladost Lucani D 1-161.6 1484 1486 27.82% 29.75% 42.43%-0.24 +1.2 20
2008-03-02 Bezanija L 0-254.8 1582 1423 59.86% 26.54% 13.59%+0.98 -43.8 23
2008-03-02 @ Cukaricki W 2-054.8 1423 1582 13.59% 26.54% 59.86%-0.98 +43.8 13
2008-03-02 Borac Cacak D 0-057.6 1490 1512 39.22% 29.92% 30.86%+0.13 -0.7 16
2008-03-02 @ Hajduk Rodic D 0-057.6 1512 1490 30.86% 29.92% 39.22%-0.13 +0.8 24
2008-03-02 OFK Beograd W 2-043.6 1450 1465 40.15% 29.88% 29.97%+0.16 +25.5 19
2008-03-02 @ Napredak L 0-243.6 1465 1450 29.97% 29.88% 40.15%-0.16 -25.5 22
2008-03-08 Bezanija W 4-146.4 1513 1467 47.96% 29.21% 22.84%+0.45 +25.3 27
2008-03-08 @ Borac Cacak L 1-446.4 1467 1513 22.84% 29.21% 47.96%-0.45 -25.3 13
2008-03-08 Cukaricki L 0-248.3 1476 1538 33.51% 29.99% 36.51%-0.06 -27.6 19
2008-03-08 @ Napredak W 2-048.3 1538 1476 36.51% 29.99% 33.51%+0.06 +27.6 26
2008-03-08 Mladost Lucani D 1-159.9 1440 1485 35.93% 29.99% 34.08%+0.02 -0.1 23
2008-03-08 @ OFK Beograd D 1-159.9 1485 1440 34.08% 29.99% 35.93%-0.02 +0.1 21
2008-03-08 Red Star Belgrade D 2-277.6 1485 1789 11.21% 25.17% 63.62%-1.21 +3.6 21
2008-03-08 @ Banat Zrenjanin D 2-277.6 1789 1485 63.62% 25.17% 11.21%+1.21 -3.6 39
2008-03-08 Smederevo W 1-049.1 1746 1487 68.21% 23.11% 8.68%+1.46 +4.3 44
2008-03-08 @ Partizan L 0-149.1 1487 1746 8.68% 23.11% 68.21%-1.46 -4.3 21
2008-03-09 Hajduk Rodic W 1-049.4 1674 1490 62.19% 25.73% 12.09%+1.11 +6.2 37
2008-03-09 @ Vojvodina L 0-149.4 1490 1674 12.09% 25.73% 62.19%-1.11 -6.2 16
2008-03-15 Banat Zrenjanin L 0-152.9 1483 1489 41.42% 29.82% 28.77%+0.21 -17.1 21
2008-03-15 @ Smederevo W 1-052.9 1489 1483 28.77% 29.82% 41.42%-0.21 +17.1 24
2008-03-15 Borac Cacak D 0-061.3 1565 1538 45.68% 29.47% 24.85%+0.36 -1.9 27
2008-03-15 @ Cukaricki D 0-061.3 1538 1565 24.85% 29.47% 45.68%-0.36 +1.9 28
2008-03-15 Napredak D 1-160.4 1485 1448 46.85% 29.34% 23.80%+0.41 -1.9 22
2008-03-15 @ Mladost Lucani D 1-160.4 1448 1485 23.80% 29.34% 46.85%-0.41 +1.9 20
2008-03-15 OFK Beograd W 2-043.3 1785 1439 74.34% 19.76% 5.91%+1.87 +5.2 42
2008-03-15 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-243.3 1439 1785 5.91% 19.76% 74.34%-1.87 -5.2 23
2008-03-15 Partizan L 0-151.5 1483 1750 13.27% 26.38% 60.35%-1.03 -6.8 16
2008-03-15 @ Hajduk Rodic W 1-051.5 1750 1483 60.35% 26.38% 13.27%+1.03 +6.8 47
2008-03-15 Vojvodina L 0-149.5 1442 1680 15.10% 27.21% 57.69%-0.90 -7.7 13
2008-03-15 @ Bezanija W 1-049.5 1680 1442 57.69% 27.21% 15.10%+0.90 +7.7 40
2008-03-22 Bezanija W 2-043.0 1757 1434 72.82% 20.65% 6.53%+1.76 +5.9 50
2008-03-22 @ Partizan L 0-243.0 1434 1757 6.53% 20.65% 72.82%-1.76 -5.9 13
2008-03-22 Borac Cacak L 1-271.2 1688 1540 58.87% 26.86% 14.27%+0.93 -21.6 40
2008-03-22 @ Vojvodina W 2-171.2 1540 1688 14.27% 26.86% 58.87%-0.93 +21.6 31
2008-03-22 Cukaricki W 2-161.0 1483 1563 30.98% 29.92% 39.10%-0.15 +15.4 25
2008-03-22 @ Mladost Lucani L 1-261.0 1563 1483 39.10% 29.92% 30.98%+0.15 -15.4 27
2008-03-22 Hajduk Rodic L 1-260.5 1506 1477 45.89% 29.45% 24.66%+0.37 -17.5 24
2008-03-22 @ Banat Zrenjanin W 2-160.5 1477 1506 24.66% 29.45% 45.89%-0.37 +17.5 19
2008-03-22 Red Star Belgrade L 0-149.8 1450 1791 9.52% 23.88% 66.59%-1.38 -4.8 20
2008-03-22 @ Napredak W 1-049.8 1791 1450 66.59% 23.88% 9.52%+1.38 +4.8 45
2008-03-23 Smederevo L 1-255.3 1434 1466 37.82% 29.96% 32.22%+0.08 -15.0 23
2008-03-23 @ OFK Beograd W 2-155.3 1466 1434 32.22% 29.96% 37.82%-0.08 +15.0 24
2008-03-29 Banat Zrenjanin W 6-248.3 1428 1488 33.78% 29.99% 36.23%-0.05 +39.1 16
2008-03-29 @ Bezanija L 2-648.3 1488 1428 36.23% 29.99% 33.78%+0.05 -39.1 24
2008-03-29 Mladost Lucani D 2-279.0 1796 1498 71.03% 21.65% 7.32%+1.64 -4.4 46
2008-03-29 @ Red Star Belgrade D 2-279.0 1498 1796 7.32% 21.65% 71.03%-1.64 +4.4 26
2008-03-29 Napredak D 1-160.2 1481 1445 46.74% 29.36% 23.91%+0.40 -1.9 25
2008-03-29 @ Smederevo D 1-160.2 1445 1481 23.91% 29.36% 46.74%-0.40 +1.9 21
2008-03-29 OFK Beograd W 1-044.0 1494 1419 51.36% 28.68% 19.97%+0.59 +9.8 22
2008-03-29 @ Hajduk Rodic L 0-144.0 1419 1494 19.97% 28.68% 51.36%-0.59 -9.8 23
2008-03-29 Vojvodina W 1-061.3 1548 1666 26.23% 29.62% 44.15%-0.33 +18.0 30
2008-03-29 @ Cukaricki L 0-161.3 1666 1548 44.15% 29.62% 26.23%+0.33 -18.0 40
2008-03-30 Partizan L 0-154.8 1562 1763 17.93% 28.17% 53.91%-0.72 -9.0 31
2008-03-30 @ Borac Cacak W 1-054.8 1763 1562 53.91% 28.17% 17.93%+0.72 +9.0 53
2008-04-02 Banat Zrenjanin W 2-042.5 1566 1449 55.84% 27.71% 16.45%+0.79 +15.6 33
2008-04-02 @ Cukaricki L 0-242.5 1449 1566 16.45% 27.71% 55.84%-0.79 -15.6 24
2008-04-02 Bezanija D 2-278.2 1772 1467 71.56% 21.36% 7.08%+1.68 -4.5 54
2008-04-02 @ Partizan D 2-278.2 1467 1772 7.08% 21.36% 71.56%-1.68 +4.5 17
2008-04-02 Hajduk Rodic W 4-149.2 1648 1504 58.54% 26.96% 14.50%+0.92 +17.1 43
2008-04-02 @ Vojvodina L 1-449.2 1504 1648 14.50% 26.96% 58.54%-0.92 -17.1 22
2008-04-02 Napredak W 5-042.6 1791 1447 74.20% 19.84% 5.96%+1.86 +12.4 49
2008-04-02 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-542.6 1447 1791 5.96% 19.84% 74.20%-1.86 -12.4 21
2008-04-02 OFK Beograd D 0-057.0 1553 1409 58.44% 26.99% 14.57%+0.91 -4.4 32
2008-04-02 @ Borac Cacak D 0-057.0 1409 1553 14.57% 26.99% 58.44%-0.91 +4.4 24
2008-04-02 Smederevo L 0-154.3 1503 1479 45.22% 29.52% 25.26%+0.35 -18.3 26
2008-04-02 @ Mladost Lucani W 1-054.3 1479 1503 25.26% 29.52% 45.22%-0.35 +18.3 28
2008-04-05 Borac Cacak D 1-164.0 1487 1548 33.61% 29.99% 36.40%-0.06 +0.2 23
2008-04-05 @ Hajduk Rodic D 1-164.0 1548 1487 36.40% 29.99% 33.61%+0.06 -0.2 33
2008-04-05 Cukaricki D 1-162.9 1414 1582 20.93% 28.88% 50.19%-0.56 +2.5 25
2008-04-05 @ OFK Beograd D 1-162.9 1582 1414 50.19% 28.88% 20.93%+0.56 -2.5 34
2008-04-05 Mladost Lucani D 2-265.5 1433 1484 35.07% 30.00% 34.93%-0.01 -0.0 25
2008-04-05 @ Banat Zrenjanin D 2-265.5 1484 1433 34.93% 30.00% 35.07%+0.01 +0.0 27
2008-04-05 Red Star Belgrade D 1-172.4 1767 1803 37.21% 29.98% 32.81%+0.06 -0.4 55
2008-04-05 @ Partizan D 1-172.4 1803 1767 32.81% 29.98% 37.21%-0.06 +0.3 50
2008-04-05 Smederevo L 1-258.0 1472 1497 38.65% 29.94% 31.41%+0.11 -15.3 17
2008-04-05 @ Bezanija W 2-158.0 1497 1472 31.41% 29.94% 38.65%-0.11 +15.3 31
2008-04-05 Vojvodina W 1-061.4 1435 1665 15.66% 27.43% 56.91%-0.86 +22.2 24
2008-04-05 @ Napredak L 0-161.4 1665 1435 56.91% 27.43% 15.66%+0.86 -22.2 43
2008-04-12 Banat Zrenjanin D 1-161.1 1513 1433 51.84% 28.59% 19.57%+0.61 -2.8 32
2008-04-12 @ Smederevo D 1-161.1 1433 1513 19.57% 28.59% 51.84%-0.61 +2.8 26
2008-04-12 Bezanija W 4-146.7 1804 1456 74.43% 19.70% 5.87%+1.88 +6.4 53
2008-04-12 @ Red Star Belgrade L 1-446.7 1456 1804 5.87% 19.70% 74.43%-1.88 -6.4 17
2008-04-12 Hajduk Rodic L 0-159.4 1579 1487 53.23% 28.31% 18.46%+0.67 -21.0 34
2008-04-12 @ Cukaricki W 1-059.4 1487 1579 18.46% 28.31% 53.23%-0.67 +21.0 26
2008-04-12 Napredak D 1-163.4 1548 1457 53.13% 28.33% 18.54%+0.67 -3.0 34
2008-04-12 @ Borac Cacak D 1-163.4 1457 1548 18.54% 28.33% 53.13%-0.67 +3.0 25
2008-04-12 OFK Beograd W 3-145.7 1484 1416 50.58% 28.81% 20.61%+0.56 +16.5 30
2008-04-12 @ Mladost Lucani L 1-345.7 1416 1484 20.61% 28.81% 50.58%-0.56 -16.5 25
2008-04-12 Partizan D 1-172.0 1643 1767 25.57% 29.55% 44.88%-0.35 +1.6 44
2008-04-12 @ Vojvodina D 1-172.0 1767 1643 44.88% 29.55% 25.57%+0.35 -1.6 56
2008-04-19 Banat Zrenjanin D 3-367.9 1450 1436 43.96% 29.64% 26.40%+0.30 -0.9 18
2008-04-19 @ Bezanija D 3-367.9 1436 1450 26.40% 29.64% 43.96%-0.30 +0.9 27
2008-04-19 Cukaricki W 2-050.8 1460 1558 28.70% 29.81% 41.48%-0.23 +32.2 28
2008-04-19 @ Napredak L 0-250.8 1558 1460 41.48% 29.81% 28.70%+0.23 -32.2 34
2008-04-19 Mladost Lucani D 0-057.9 1508 1501 43.11% 29.70% 27.19%+0.27 -1.5 27
2008-04-19 @ Hajduk Rodic D 0-057.9 1501 1508 27.19% 29.70% 43.11%-0.27 +1.5 31
2008-04-19 Smederevo W 2-157.1 1400 1510 27.22% 29.71% 43.08%-0.29 +16.6 28
2008-04-19 @ OFK Beograd L 1-257.1 1510 1400 43.08% 29.71% 27.22%+0.29 -16.6 32
2008-04-19 Vojvodina W 5-151.4 1810 1645 60.51% 26.33% 13.17%+1.02 +20.1 56
2008-04-19 @ Red Star Belgrade L 1-551.4 1645 1810 13.17% 26.33% 60.51%-1.02 -20.1 44
2008-04-20 Borac Cacak W 1-051.2 1765 1545 65.23% 24.50% 10.28%+1.28 +5.2 59
2008-04-20 @ Partizan L 0-151.2 1545 1765 10.28% 24.50% 65.23%-1.28 -5.2 34
2008-04-26 Bezanija W 3-257.5 1625 1449 61.41% 26.01% 12.58%+1.07 +5.8 47
2008-04-26 @ Vojvodina L 2-357.5 1449 1625 12.58% 26.01% 61.41%-1.07 -5.8 18
2008-04-26 Hajduk Rodic D 0-057.5 1493 1507 40.35% 29.87% 29.78%+0.17 -1.0 33
2008-04-26 @ Smederevo D 0-057.5 1507 1493 29.78% 29.87% 40.35%-0.17 +1.0 28
2008-04-26 Napredak D 0-057.4 1502 1492 43.48% 29.68% 26.85%+0.28 -1.5 32
2008-04-26 @ Mladost Lucani D 0-057.4 1492 1502 26.85% 29.68% 43.48%-0.28 +1.5 29
2008-04-26 OFK Beograd L 1-255.9 1437 1416 44.84% 29.56% 25.60%+0.33 -17.1 27
2008-04-26 @ Banat Zrenjanin W 2-155.9 1416 1437 25.60% 29.56% 44.84%-0.33 +17.1 31
2008-04-26 Partizan L 0-153.1 1526 1771 14.67% 27.03% 58.30%-0.93 -7.5 34
2008-04-26 @ Cukaricki W 1-053.1 1771 1526 58.30% 27.03% 14.67%+0.93 +7.5 62
2008-04-26 Red Star Belgrade L 0-248.8 1540 1830 11.92% 25.63% 62.45%-1.14 -11.5 34
2008-04-26 @ Borac Cacak W 2-048.8 1830 1540 62.45% 25.63% 11.92%+1.14 +11.5 59
2008-04-30 Banat Zrenjanin D 0-055.3 1508 1420 52.77% 28.41% 18.82%+0.65 -3.3 29
2008-04-30 @ Hajduk Rodic D 0-055.3 1420 1508 18.82% 28.41% 52.77%-0.65 +3.3 28
2008-04-30 Borac Cacak W 5-046.8 1630 1528 54.31% 28.08% 17.61%+0.72 +38.9 50
2008-04-30 @ Vojvodina L 0-546.8 1528 1630 17.61% 28.08% 54.31%-0.72 -38.9 34
2008-04-30 Cukaricki W 1-049.4 1842 1518 72.84% 20.64% 6.53%+1.77 +3.1 62
2008-04-30 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-149.4 1518 1842 6.53% 20.64% 72.84%-1.77 -3.1 34
2008-04-30 Mladost Lucani W 2-045.6 1778 1501 69.60% 22.41% 7.99%+1.55 +7.4 65
2008-04-30 @ Partizan L 0-245.6 1501 1778 7.99% 22.41% 69.60%-1.55 -7.4 32
2008-04-30 OFK Beograd D 2-264.3 1443 1434 43.44% 29.68% 26.88%+0.28 -1.0 19
2008-04-30 @ Bezanija D 2-264.3 1434 1443 26.88% 29.68% 43.44%-0.28 +1.0 32
2008-04-30 Smederevo W 1-049.3 1494 1492 42.35% 29.76% 27.89%+0.24 +12.8 32
2008-04-30 @ Napredak L 0-149.3 1492 1494 27.89% 29.76% 42.35%-0.24 -12.8 33
2008-05-03 Bezanija W 2-041.8 1489 1442 48.11% 29.19% 22.71%+0.46 +20.6 37
2008-05-03 @ Borac Cacak L 0-241.8 1442 1489 22.71% 29.19% 48.11%-0.46 -20.6 19
2008-05-03 Napredak L 0-442.5 1423 1507 30.60% 29.91% 39.49%-0.16 -49.1 28
2008-05-03 @ Banat Zrenjanin W 4-042.5 1507 1423 39.49% 29.91% 30.60%+0.16 +49.1 35
2008-05-03 Partizan L 0-151.0 1480 1786 11.11% 25.10% 63.79%-1.22 -5.7 33
2008-05-03 @ Smederevo W 1-051.0 1786 1480 63.79% 25.10% 11.11%+1.22 +5.7 68
2008-05-03 Red Star Belgrade L 0-150.9 1493 1845 9.08% 23.49% 67.43%-1.43 -4.6 32
2008-05-03 @ Mladost Lucani W 1-050.9 1845 1493 67.43% 23.49% 9.08%+1.43 +4.6 65
2008-05-03 Vojvodina L 1-355.9 1515 1669 22.29% 29.12% 48.58%-0.50 -17.6 34
2008-05-03 @ Cukaricki W 3-155.9 1669 1515 48.58% 29.12% 22.29%+0.50 +17.6 53
2008-05-04 Hajduk Rodic D 1-160.5 1435 1504 32.44% 29.97% 37.59%-0.10 +0.4 33
2008-05-04 @ OFK Beograd D 1-160.5 1504 1435 37.59% 29.97% 32.44%+0.10 -0.4 30
2008-05-10 Banat Zrenjanin W 3-146.4 1791 1374 78.68% 17.03% 4.30%+2.21 +3.1 71
2008-05-10 @ Partizan L 1-346.4 1374 1791 4.30% 17.03% 78.68%-2.21 -3.1 28
2008-05-10 Cukaricki W 2-155.7 1510 1498 43.77% 29.65% 26.58%+0.29 +11.6 40
2008-05-10 @ Borac Cacak L 1-255.7 1498 1510 26.58% 29.65% 43.77%-0.29 -11.6 34
2008-05-10 Hajduk Rodic L 0-148.0 1422 1504 30.76% 29.92% 39.33%-0.15 -13.8 19
2008-05-10 @ Bezanija W 1-048.0 1504 1422 39.33% 29.92% 30.76%+0.15 +13.8 33
2008-05-10 Mladost Lucani W 2-045.5 1687 1489 63.37% 25.27% 11.36%+1.17 +10.9 56
2008-05-10 @ Vojvodina L 0-245.5 1489 1687 11.36% 25.27% 63.37%-1.17 -10.9 32
2008-05-10 OFK Beograd W 1-045.3 1556 1435 56.22% 27.61% 16.16%+0.81 +8.2 38
2008-05-10 @ Napredak L 0-145.3 1435 1556 16.16% 27.61% 56.22%-0.81 -8.2 33
2008-05-10 Smederevo W 4-360.8 1849 1474 76.21% 18.61% 5.18%+2.01 +2.1 68
2008-05-10 @ Red Star Belgrade L 3-460.8 1474 1849 5.18% 18.61% 76.21%-2.01 -2.1 33
2008-05-14 Bezanija W 1-043.3 1486 1408 51.70% 28.61% 19.69%+0.60 +9.7 37
2008-05-14 @ Cukaricki L 0-143.3 1408 1486 19.69% 28.61% 51.70%-0.60 -9.7 19
2008-05-14 Borac Cacak W 2-157.7 1478 1522 36.12% 29.99% 33.89%+0.03 +13.9 35
2008-05-14 @ Mladost Lucani L 1-257.7 1522 1478 33.89% 29.99% 36.12%-0.03 -13.9 40
2008-05-14 Napredak W 2-050.9 1518 1564 35.77% 29.99% 34.24%+0.02 +28.0 36
2008-05-14 @ Hajduk Rodic L 0-250.9 1564 1518 34.24% 29.99% 35.77%-0.02 -28.0 38
2008-05-14 Partizan L 1-350.7 1427 1794 8.46% 22.89% 68.65%-1.51 -6.9 33
2008-05-14 @ OFK Beograd W 3-150.7 1794 1427 68.65% 22.89% 8.46%+1.51 +6.9 74
2008-05-14 Red Star Belgrade L 1-252.5 1371 1852 5.14% 18.54% 76.32%-2.04 -2.2 28
2008-05-14 @ Banat Zrenjanin W 2-152.5 1852 1371 76.32% 18.54% 5.14%+2.04 +2.2 71
2008-05-14 Vojvodina L 1-257.2 1472 1698 15.99% 27.55% 56.46%-0.84 -7.6 33
2008-05-14 @ Smederevo W 2-157.2 1698 1472 56.46% 27.55% 15.99%+0.84 +7.6 59
2008-05-17 Banat Zrenjanin W 4-142.2 1705 1369 73.72% 20.12% 6.16%+1.83 +6.7 62
2008-05-17 @ Vojvodina L 1-442.2 1369 1705 6.16% 20.12% 73.72%-1.83 -6.7 28
2008-05-17 Hajduk Rodic W 1-050.8 1801 1546 67.98% 23.22% 8.80%+1.44 +4.4 77
2008-05-17 @ Partizan L 0-150.8 1546 1801 8.80% 23.22% 67.98%-1.44 -4.4 36
2008-05-17 Mladost Lucani W 3-043.6 1496 1492 42.67% 29.74% 27.59%+0.25 +34.8 40
2008-05-17 @ Cukaricki L 0-343.6 1492 1496 27.59% 29.74% 42.67%-0.25 -34.8 35
2008-05-17 Napredak L 0-146.2 1398 1536 24.04% 29.38% 46.58%-0.42 -11.4 19
2008-05-17 @ Bezanija W 1-046.2 1536 1398 46.58% 29.38% 24.04%+0.42 +11.4 41
2008-05-17 OFK Beograd W 1-046.4 1854 1420 79.61% 16.40% 3.98%+2.29 +1.7 74
2008-05-17 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-146.4 1420 1854 3.98% 16.40% 79.61%-2.29 -1.7 33
2008-05-17 Smederevo W 1-047.2 1508 1464 47.69% 29.24% 23.07%+0.44 +11.1 43
2008-05-17 @ Borac Cacak L 0-147.2 1464 1508 23.07% 29.24% 47.69%-0.44 -11.1 33
2008-05-25 Bezanija W 3-036.4 1457 1387 50.81% 28.77% 20.41%+0.57 +27.4 38
2008-05-25 @ Mladost Lucani L 0-336.4 1387 1457 20.41% 28.77% 50.81%-0.57 -27.4 19
2008-05-25 Borac Cacak L 0-143.7 1362 1519 22.03% 29.08% 48.89%-0.51 -10.7 28
2008-05-25 @ Banat Zrenjanin W 1-043.7 1519 1362 48.89% 29.08% 22.03%+0.51 +10.7 46
2008-05-25 Cukaricki W 1-052.5 1453 1531 31.39% 29.94% 38.67%-0.13 +16.2 36
2008-05-25 @ Smederevo L 0-152.5 1531 1453 38.67% 29.94% 31.39%+0.13 -16.2 40
2008-05-25 Partizan L 0-153.4 1547 1806 13.79% 26.64% 59.58%-0.99 -7.0 41
2008-05-25 @ Napredak W 1-053.4 1806 1547 59.58% 26.64% 13.79%+0.99 +7.0 80
2008-05-25 Red Star Belgrade D 1-173.3 1541 1855 10.72% 24.82% 64.46%-1.25 +5.0 37
2008-05-25 @ Hajduk Rodic D 1-173.3 1855 1541 64.46% 24.82% 10.72%+1.25 -5.0 75
2008-05-25 Vojvodina W 2-059.7 1418 1712 11.73% 25.51% 62.76%-1.16 +45.6 36
2008-05-25 @ OFK Beograd L 0-259.7 1712 1418 62.76% 25.51% 11.73%+1.16 -45.6 62

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2008-05-25 11.73% @ OFK Beograd 1418 2 Vojvodina 1712 0
2 2008-03-02 13.59% Bezanija 1423 2 @ Cukaricki 1582 0
3 2008-03-22 14.27% Borac Cacak 1540 2 @ Vojvodina 1688 1
4 2007-12-15 15.40% Smederevo 1423 2 @ Borac Cacak 1554 0
5 2008-03-01 15.62% @ Smederevo 1465 1 Vojvodina 1696 0
6 2008-04-05 15.66% @ Napredak 1435 1 Vojvodina 1665 0
7 2008-04-12 18.46% Hajduk Rodic 1487 1 @ Cukaricki 1579 0
8 2007-12-12 19.23% Banat Zrenjanin 1465 2 @ OFK Beograd 1548 0
9 2007-12-15 20.04% Napredak 1430 1 @ Banat Zrenjanin 1504 0
10 2007-09-29 22.71% Cukaricki 1470 2 @ Bezanija 1517 1
11 2007-10-20 24.10% Smederevo 1471 3 @ Banat Zrenjanin 1505 2
12 2008-03-22 24.66% Hajduk Rodic 1477 2 @ Banat Zrenjanin 1506 1
13 2008-04-02 25.26% Smederevo 1479 1 @ Mladost Lucani 1503 0
14 2007-08-11 25.31% Partizan 1599 1 @ Vojvodina 1622 0
15 2008-04-26 25.60% OFK Beograd 1416 2 @ Banat Zrenjanin 1437 1
16 2008-03-29 26.23% @ Cukaricki 1548 1 Vojvodina 1666 0
17 2008-04-19 27.22% @ OFK Beograd 1400 2 Smederevo 1510 1
18 2007-08-11 27.98% OFK Beograd 1550 2 @ Bezanija 1551 1
19 2007-12-15 28.23% @ Bezanija 1406 1 Hajduk Rodic 1508 0
20 2007-09-15 28.58% @ Banat Zrenjanin 1475 2 OFK Beograd 1574 1
21 2008-04-19 28.70% @ Napredak 1460 2 Cukaricki 1558 0
22 2008-03-15 28.77% Banat Zrenjanin 1489 1 @ Smederevo 1483 0
23 2007-09-01 28.88% @ Smederevo 1499 1 Hajduk Rodic 1596 0
24 2007-09-22 28.91% Borac Cacak 1498 1 @ Smederevo 1491 0
25 2007-12-08 30.72% Cukaricki 1513 3 @ Banat Zrenjanin 1492 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-05-03 49.06 Napredak 4 1507 39.49% @ Banat Zrenjanin 0 1423 30.60% 29.91%
2 2008-05-25 45.63 @ OFK Beograd 2 1418 11.73% Vojvodina 0 1712 62.76% 25.51%
3 2007-12-15 44.10 Cukaricki 3 1537 31.75% @ OFK Beograd 0 1509 38.30% 29.95%
4 2008-03-02 43.84 Bezanija 2 1423 13.59% @ Cukaricki 0 1582 59.86% 26.54%
5 2007-12-15 42.20 Smederevo 2 1423 15.40% @ Borac Cacak 0 1554 57.28% 27.33%
6 2008-03-29 39.13 @ Bezanija 6 1428 33.78% Banat Zrenjanin 2 1488 36.23% 29.99%
7 2007-12-12 38.97 Banat Zrenjanin 2 1465 19.23% @ OFK Beograd 0 1548 52.26% 28.51%
8 2008-04-30 38.92 @ Vojvodina 5 1630 54.31% Borac Cacak 0 1528 17.61% 28.08%
9 2007-08-18 37.60 Partizan 3 1617 39.45% @ Cukaricki 0 1534 30.64% 29.91%
10 2008-05-17 34.80 @ Cukaricki 3 1496 42.67% Mladost Lucani 0 1492 27.59% 29.74%
11 2008-04-19 32.25 @ Napredak 2 1460 28.70% Cukaricki 0 1558 41.48% 29.81%
12 2008-03-01 31.74 @ Red Star Belgrade 4 1757 39.40% Partizan 1 1778 30.69% 29.91%
13 2007-09-29 30.16 @ Borac Cacak 2 1515 32.09% Hajduk Rodic 0 1587 37.95% 29.96%
14 2007-11-10 29.79 @ Borac Cacak 2 1529 32.71% OFK Beograd 0 1597 37.31% 29.97%
15 2007-12-01 29.56 @ Mladost Lucani 3 1504 48.50% Bezanija 0 1454 22.37% 29.13%
16 2007-09-22 29.39 Banat Zrenjanin 2 1492 33.40% @ Napredak 0 1451 36.62% 29.98%
17 2008-05-14 28.03 @ Hajduk Rodic 2 1518 35.77% Napredak 0 1564 34.24% 29.99%
18 2007-09-22 27.77 OFK Beograd 2 1558 36.22% @ Cukaricki 0 1498 33.79% 29.99%
19 2008-03-08 27.61 Cukaricki 2 1538 36.51% @ Napredak 0 1476 33.51% 29.99%
20 2008-05-25 27.43 @ Mladost Lucani 3 1457 50.81% Bezanija 0 1387 20.41% 28.77%
21 2007-12-08 26.84 Cukaricki 3 1513 30.72% @ Banat Zrenjanin 1 1492 39.37% 29.91%
22 2007-10-27 26.54 @ Cukaricki 2 1489 38.33% Mladost Lucani 0 1517 31.72% 29.95%
23 2007-12-12 25.51 @ Red Star Belgrade 4 1732 59.29% Borac Cacak 0 1580 13.98% 26.73%
24 2008-03-02 25.47 @ Napredak 2 1450 40.15% OFK Beograd 0 1465 29.97% 29.88%
25 2007-09-15 25.36 @ Bezanija 2 1503 40.35% Smederevo 0 1516 29.78% 29.87%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-11-04 81.0 @ Partizan 3 1722 48.69% Vojvodina 3 1670 22.20% 29.11%
2 2008-03-29 79.0 @ Red Star Belgrade 2 1796 71.03% Mladost Lucani 2 1498 7.32% 21.65%
3 2008-04-02 78.2 @ Partizan 2 1772 71.56% Bezanija 2 1467 7.08% 21.36%
4 2007-09-29 77.6 @ Partizan 2 1711 48.58% Red Star Belgrade 2 1660 22.30% 29.12%
5 2008-03-08 77.6 @ Banat Zrenjanin 2 1485 11.21% Red Star Belgrade 2 1789 63.62% 25.17%
6 2008-05-25 73.3 @ Hajduk Rodic 1 1541 10.72% Red Star Belgrade 1 1855 64.46% 24.82%
7 2008-04-05 72.4 @ Partizan 1 1767 37.21% Red Star Belgrade 1 1803 32.81% 29.98%
8 2007-12-15 72.1 @ Vojvodina 1 1696 33.58% Red Star Belgrade 1 1758 36.43% 29.99%
9 2008-04-12 72.0 @ Vojvodina 1 1643 25.57% Partizan 1 1767 44.88% 29.55%
10 2007-10-06 71.5 @ Mladost Lucani 2 1502 31.08% OFK Beograd 2 1582 38.99% 29.93%
11 2007-12-02 71.3 @ Red Star Belgrade 1 1732 67.42% Hajduk Rodic 1 1483 9.09% 23.49%
12 2007-11-10 71.2 @ Partizan 1 1720 64.40% Cukaricki 1 1510 10.75% 24.85%
13 2008-03-22 71.2 Borac Cacak 2 1540 14.27% @ Vojvodina 1 1688 58.87% 26.86%
14 2007-09-23 70.8 @ Red Star Belgrade 1 1662 47.34% Vojvodina 1 1622 23.38% 29.29%
15 2007-10-06 69.4 @ Smederevo 1 1467 14.82% Partizan 1 1710 58.08% 27.10%
16 2007-10-31 69.3 @ Mladost Lucani 1 1490 17.61% Red Star Belgrade 1 1695 54.31% 28.08%
17 2007-10-28 69.2 @ Red Star Belgrade 1 1701 70.25% Napredak 1 1415 7.69% 22.07%
18 2007-08-26 68.9 @ Vojvodina 1 1602 44.17% OFK Beograd 1 1587 26.21% 29.62%
19 2007-11-10 68.7 @ Hajduk Rodic 2 1500 41.75% Mladost Lucani 2 1503 28.45% 29.80%
20 2008-04-19 67.9 @ Bezanija 3 1450 43.96% Banat Zrenjanin 3 1436 26.40% 29.64%
21 2007-12-01 66.7 @ Cukaricki 2 1515 52.97% Smederevo 2 1425 18.66% 28.37%
22 2007-10-31 66.4 @ Partizan 0 1727 62.61% Borac Cacak 0 1538 11.83% 25.57%
23 2007-08-19 66.3 @ Banat Zrenjanin 1 1495 27.34% Vojvodina 1 1604 42.94% 29.72%
24 2007-09-15 65.9 @ Hajduk Rodic 1 1579 52.32% Cukaricki 1 1495 19.19% 28.50%
25 2008-04-05 65.5 @ Banat Zrenjanin 2 1433 35.07% Mladost Lucani 2 1484 34.93% 30.00%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-05-25 36.4 @ Mladost Lucani 3 1457 50.81% Bezanija 0 1387 20.41% 28.77%
2 2007-12-01 40.7 @ Mladost Lucani 3 1504 48.50% Bezanija 0 1454 22.37% 29.13%
3 2008-05-03 41.8 @ Borac Cacak 2 1489 48.11% Bezanija 0 1442 22.71% 29.19%
4 2008-05-17 42.2 @ Vojvodina 4 1705 73.72% Banat Zrenjanin 1 1369 6.16% 20.12%
5 2008-04-02 42.5 @ Cukaricki 2 1566 55.84% Banat Zrenjanin 0 1449 16.45% 27.71%
6 2008-05-03 42.5 Napredak 4 1507 39.49% @ Banat Zrenjanin 0 1423 30.60% 29.91%
7 2008-04-02 42.6 @ Red Star Belgrade 5 1791 74.20% Napredak 0 1447 5.96% 19.84%
8 2008-03-22 43.0 @ Partizan 2 1757 72.82% Bezanija 0 1434 6.53% 20.65%
9 2008-03-15 43.3 @ Red Star Belgrade 2 1785 74.34% OFK Beograd 0 1439 5.91% 19.76%
10 2008-05-14 43.3 @ Cukaricki 1 1486 51.70% Bezanija 0 1408 19.69% 28.61%
11 2007-12-08 43.4 @ Vojvodina 2 1677 65.73% Napredak 0 1450 10.00% 24.28%
12 2008-03-02 43.6 @ Napredak 2 1450 40.15% OFK Beograd 0 1465 29.97% 29.88%
13 2008-05-17 43.6 @ Cukaricki 3 1496 42.67% Mladost Lucani 0 1492 27.59% 29.74%
14 2008-05-25 43.7 Borac Cacak 1 1519 48.89% @ Banat Zrenjanin 0 1362 22.03% 29.08%
15 2007-12-15 44.0 @ Partizan 4 1762 68.40% Mladost Lucani 0 1501 8.58% 23.01%
16 2008-03-29 44.0 @ Hajduk Rodic 1 1494 51.36% OFK Beograd 0 1419 19.97% 28.68%
17 2007-08-11 45.1 @ Hajduk Rodic 2 1579 53.44% Napredak 0 1486 18.29% 28.27%
18 2008-05-10 45.3 @ Napredak 1 1556 56.22% OFK Beograd 0 1435 16.16% 27.61%
19 2008-05-10 45.5 @ Vojvodina 2 1687 63.37% Mladost Lucani 0 1489 11.36% 25.27%
20 2007-12-12 45.6 Partizan 2 1752 64.25% @ Napredak 0 1440 10.84% 24.91%
21 2008-04-30 45.6 @ Partizan 2 1778 69.60% Mladost Lucani 0 1501 7.99% 22.41%
22 2008-04-12 45.7 @ Mladost Lucani 3 1484 50.58% OFK Beograd 1 1416 20.61% 28.81%
23 2008-05-17 46.2 Napredak 1 1536 46.58% @ Bezanija 0 1398 24.04% 29.38%
24 2008-03-08 46.4 @ Borac Cacak 4 1513 47.96% Bezanija 1 1467 22.84% 29.21%
25 2008-05-10 46.4 @ Partizan 3 1791 78.68% Banat Zrenjanin 1 1374 4.30% 17.03%