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2008-09 Serbian SuperLiga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Partizan

80 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Partizan

8.14 points above expected

80 points · 71.86 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Red Star Belgrade

7.76 points below expected

59 points · 66.76 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Partizan 33 25 5 3 80 63 15 +48 71.86 +8.14
2 Vojvodina 33 18 7 8 61 43 25 +18 57.84 +3.16
3 Red Star Belgrade 33 17 8 8 59 59 32 +27 66.76 -7.76
4 Javor 33 13 14 6 53 39 27 +12 47.19 +5.81
5 Borac Cacak 33 9 13 11 40 28 32 -4 40.46 -0.46
6 Napredak 33 10 8 15 38 28 37 -9 40.54 -2.54
7 Hajduk Rodic 33 9 11 13 38 23 34 -11 41.65 -3.65
8 FK Rad 33 7 15 11 36 24 35 -11 39.57 -3.57
9 Cukaricki 33 9 8 16 35 30 36 -6 37.68 -2.68
10 Jagodina 33 10 4 19 34 28 47 -19 36.77 -2.77
11 OFK Beograd 33 8 9 16 33 28 54 -26 35.70 -2.70
12 Banat Zrenjanin 33 7 10 16 31 21 40 -19 29.13 +1.87

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Partizan 80 71.86 +8.14
2 Javor 53 47.19 +5.81
3 Vojvodina 61 57.84 +3.16
4 Banat Zrenjanin 31 29.13 +1.87
5 Borac Cacak 40 40.46 -0.46

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Red Star Belgrade 59 66.76 -7.76
2 Hajduk Rodic 38 41.65 -3.65
3 FK Rad 36 39.57 -3.57
4 Jagodina 34 36.77 -2.77
5 OFK Beograd 33 35.70 -2.70

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Partizan 11 Mar 7 – May 3 1 in 116
2 Vojvodina 4 Nov 15 – Dec 6 1 in 18
3 Cukaricki 3 Dec 10 – Mar 7 1 in 17
4 Napredak 2 Mar 14 – Mar 18 1 in 11
5 OFK Beograd 2 Sep 13 – Sep 20 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cukaricki 7 Oct 29 – Dec 7 1 in 1,121
2 OFK Beograd 5 Apr 8 – Apr 26 1 in 51
3 FK Rad 4 Aug 23 – Sep 21 1 in 37
4 Red Star Belgrade 2 Apr 18 – Apr 22 1 in 24
5 Jagodina 4 Nov 29 – Feb 28 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FK Rad 7 Mar 14 – Apr 18 1 in 67
2 Borac Cacak 6 Nov 30 – Mar 14 1 in 21
3 Javor 7 Apr 22 – May 30 1 in 14
4 OFK Beograd 5 Sep 13 – Oct 18 1 in 13
5 Vojvodina 8 Apr 18 – May 30 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Borac Cacak 9 Aug 17 – Oct 26 1 in 83
2 FK Rad 9 Aug 17 – Oct 25 1 in 62
3 Hajduk Rodic 7 Mar 1 – Apr 8 1 in 40
4 Vojvodina 5 Dec 10 – Mar 18 1 in 40
5 Partizan 4 Nov 30 – Feb 28 1 in 39

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Partizan 1809 80 +5 12 11.4 +0.6
Red Star Belgrade 1724 59 +16 11 10.5 +0.5
Vojvodina 1638 58 +7 9 9.7 -0.7
Javor 1577 53 +12 9 9.2 -0.2
Borac Cacak 1512 40 +1 7 6.6 +0.4
Napredak 1508 38 -1 5 5.6 -0.6
Hajduk Rodic 1491 38 -14 4 4.7 -0.7
Cukaricki 1483 35 -3 5 5.7 -0.7
Jagodina 1442 34 -15 3 4.4 -1.4
OFK Beograd 1409 33 -3 5 4.7 +0.3
FK Rad 1493 33 -11 4 5.0 -1.0
Banat Zrenjanin 1387 31 -1 5 4.7 +0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BZ BC CUK FR HR JAG JAV NAP OB PAR RSB VOJ
Banat Zrenjanin —
1-1-1
2.56
0-2-1
3.37
0-3-0
3.30
2-1-0
2.97
1-0-2
3.56
1-1-1
2.21
1-1-1
3.25
1-0-2
3.17
0-0-3
1.09
0-1-2
1.18
0-0-3
1.75
Borac Cacak
1-1-1
5.67
—
1-2-0
3.95
1-1-1
3.99
0-1-2
3.75
2-1-0
4.76
0-3-0
3.33
0-2-1
4.60
2-1-0
5.10
1-0-2
1.94
1-0-2
1.92
0-1-2
3.17
Cukaricki
1-2-0
4.77
0-2-1
4.18
—
1-0-2
4.40
2-0-1
4.08
3-0-0
3.92
0-1-2
3.12
0-1-2
3.73
1-0-2
4.12
1-0-2
1.82
0-1-2
1.79
0-1-2
2.95
FK Rad
0-3-0
4.85
1-1-1
4.14
2-0-1
3.73
—
0-2-1
4.18
0-1-2
3.97
0-2-1
3.35
1-1-1
4.31
1-2-0
4.11
0-1-2
1.89
0-1-2
1.77
2-1-0
2.84
Hajduk Rodic
0-1-2
5.21
2-1-0
4.37
1-0-2
4.04
1-2-0
3.95
—
1-1-1
4.90
0-2-1
3.38
3-0-0
4.53
0-2-1
4.35
0-1-2
1.93
1-0-2
1.98
0-1-2
3.14
Jagodina
2-0-1
4.58
0-1-2
3.40
0-0-3
4.22
2-1-0
4.17
1-1-1
3.26
—
1-0-2
3.47
1-1-1
3.41
2-0-1
4.59
1-0-2
1.36
0-0-3
2.10
0-0-3
2.35
Javor
1-1-1
6.09
0-3-0
4.83
2-1-0
5.04
1-2-0
4.84
1-2-0
4.77
2-0-1
4.68
—
1-1-1
4.31
2-1-0
4.86
0-1-2
1.84
2-1-0
2.61
1-1-1
2.87
Napredak
1-1-1
4.91
1-2-0
3.54
2-1-0
4.41
1-1-1
3.83
0-0-3
3.61
1-1-1
4.75
1-1-1
3.82
—
2-0-1
4.86
0-0-3
1.60
0-1-2
2.27
1-0-2
2.39
OFK Beograd
2-0-1
4.98
0-1-2
3.10
2-0-1
4.02
0-2-1
4.00
1-2-0
3.79
1-0-2
3.55
0-1-2
3.30
1-0-2
3.33
—
0-0-3
1.39
0-2-1
1.87
1-1-1
2.08
Partizan
3-0-0
7.51
2-0-1
6.40
2-0-1
6.56
2-1-0
6.48
2-1-0
6.42
2-0-1
7.16
2-1-0
6.55
3-0-0
6.84
3-0-0
7.13
—
2-1-0
4.84
2-1-0
5.16
Red Star Belgrade
2-1-0
7.38
2-0-1
6.43
2-1-0
6.61
2-1-0
6.63
2-0-1
6.37
3-0-0
6.21
0-1-2
5.63
2-1-0
6.01
1-2-0
6.48
0-1-2
3.32
—
1-0-2
5.59
Vojvodina
3-0-0
6.65
2-1-0
5.01
2-1-0
5.22
0-1-2
5.36
2-1-0
5.01
3-0-0
5.94
1-1-1
5.31
2-0-1
5.86
1-1-1
6.26
0-1-2
3.01
2-0-1
2.62
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +10.1
Allowed 0.70 -12.5
Differential 0.95 +6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%12.37%8.59%2.53%0.51%—35.10%
112.37%13.13%7.07%1.26%1.01%1.26%36.11%
28.59%7.07%3.54%0.51%0.25%—19.95%
32.53%1.26%0.51%———4.29%
40.51%1.01%0.25%—0.51%—2.27%
5+—1.26%———1.01%2.27%
Total35.10%36.11%19.95%4.29%2.27%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.04 +0.00
SD 1.09 1.09 1.57
CV 1.06 1.06 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%12.12%15.15%9.09%——54.55%
19.09%12.12%9.09%—3.03%—33.33%
26.06%3.03%————9.09%
3———————
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total33.33%27.27%27.27%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 1.21 -0.58
SD 0.90 1.11 1.46
CV 1.41 0.92 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%15.15%———33.33%
112.12%21.21%9.09%———42.42%
26.06%9.09%6.06%———21.21%
3———————
4———————
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total30.30%36.36%30.30%——3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 0.94 -0.12
SD 0.81 0.86 1.11
CV 0.99 0.92 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%21.21%15.15%———54.55%
13.03%—6.06%3.03%——12.12%
23.03%12.12%3.03%———18.18%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4—3.03%——3.03%—6.06%
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total27.27%39.39%24.24%3.03%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.06 -0.18
SD 1.29 1.03 1.40
CV 1.47 0.97 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%9.09%3.03%——36.36%
112.12%27.27%6.06%——3.03%48.48%
26.06%—3.03%3.03%——12.12%
3———————
4———————
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total33.33%36.36%18.18%6.06%—6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 1.03 -0.33
SD 0.73 1.19 1.27
CV 1.04 1.15 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%9.09%9.09%——42.42%
115.15%18.18%12.12%———45.45%
26.06%6.06%————12.12%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%33.33%21.21%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 1.03 -0.33
SD 0.68 0.98 1.34
CV 0.98 0.95 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%21.21%6.06%6.06%——39.39%
19.09%6.06%15.15%—6.06%3.03%39.39%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%36.36%24.24%6.06%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.42 -0.58
SD 0.83 1.28 1.58
CV 0.98 0.90 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%3.03%———24.24%
115.15%24.24%—3.03%——42.42%
26.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.39%45.45%9.09%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 0.82 +0.36
SD 0.92 0.85 1.19
CV 0.78 1.03 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%24.24%3.03%—6.06%—42.42%
112.12%9.09%9.09%3.03%——33.33%
29.09%6.06%6.06%———21.21%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%42.42%18.18%3.03%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.12 -0.27
SD 0.87 1.08 1.48
CV 1.03 0.97 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%12.12%3.03%——33.33%
112.12%15.15%6.06%3.03%3.03%9.09%48.48%
26.06%6.06%3.03%—3.03%—18.18%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%30.30%21.21%6.06%6.06%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.64 -0.79
SD 0.71 1.64 1.75
CV 0.84 1.00 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%————9.09%
121.21%9.09%3.03%———33.33%
224.24%6.06%3.03%———33.33%
39.09%3.03%————12.12%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+—6.06%————6.06%
Total60.61%33.33%6.06%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 0.45 +1.45
SD 1.28 0.62 1.39
CV 0.67 1.36 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%12.12%———27.27%
1—9.09%3.03%———12.12%
212.12%12.12%9.09%———33.33%
39.09%3.03%3.03%———15.15%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+—6.06%————6.06%
Total30.30%42.42%27.27%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 0.97 +0.82
SD 1.47 0.77 1.83
CV 0.82 0.79 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%3.03%———24.24%
127.27%6.06%6.06%3.03%——42.42%
29.09%6.06%3.03%———18.18%
33.03%—————3.03%
4—3.03%——3.03%—6.06%
5+—3.03%———3.03%6.06%
Total48.48%30.30%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.73 +0.55
SD 1.40 1.04 1.48
CV 1.10 1.43 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Partizan 1809 80 71.86 +8.14 89.0% 56 61 68 72 75 82 93
Red Star Belgrade 1724 59 66.76 -7.76 11.0% 46 56 62 67 71 75 85
Vojvodina 1638 61 57.84 +3.16 68.0% 43 46 52 57 63 70 76
Javor 1577 53 47.19 +5.81 83.0% 30 34 43 47 52 61 71
Borac Cacak 1512 40 40.46 -0.46 54.0% 28 31 37 40 43 50 61
Napredak 1508 38 40.54 -2.54 41.0% 22 29 36 40 45 50 59
FK Rad 1493 36 39.57 -3.57 36.0% 24 29 34 39 45 51 54
Hajduk Rodic 1491 38 41.65 -3.65 31.0% 27 32 37 41 46 52 59
Cukaricki 1483 35 37.68 -2.68 39.0% 23 27 33 37 42 48 57
Jagodina 1442 34 36.77 -2.77 31.0% 21 24 32 37 41 47 50
OFK Beograd 1409 33 35.70 -2.70 37.0% 19 23 31 36 40 45 56
Banat Zrenjanin 1387 31 29.13 +1.87 71.0% 13 19 26 29 32 39 49

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 16.5% * Slight Edge: 16.5% to 24% * Clear Edge: 24% to 34.5% * Strong Edge: 34.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.25%
Clear Edge
48.48%28.28%23.23%
Elo Value
Home Edge
206 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
089.68600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.45 goals
Neutral
-2+0.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.17 * Tight Race: 0.17 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.41 * Runaway: 0.41 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
69%
Partizan, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.58/gm
Runaway
00.240.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.36 * Some Luck: 5.36 to 8.04 * Lucky: 8.04 to 10.72 * Wild Swing: 10.72 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.25 * Close: 1.25 to 1.88 * Off: 1.88 to 2.51 * Way Off: 2.51 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.32 points
As Expected
06.7017
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.50
Pinpoint
01.574
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
89.00%
Partizan
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
11.00%
Red Star Belgrade
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.18 * Even: 0.18 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.22 * Lopsided: 0.22 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2 * Moderate Separation: 2 to 2.2 * Strong Separation: 2.2 to 2.4 * Wide Separation: 2.4 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67.5% * Clear Edge: 67.5% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 94.5% * Clear Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Strong Edge: 96.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 60% * Some Drama: 60% to 63% * Frequent: 63% to 66% * Very Frequent: 66% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 16% * Frequent: 16% to 18% * Very Frequent: 18% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Balanced
00.180.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 126.77
2.04
Moderate Separation
122.22.42.75
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%65%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Even
50%93%100%
Close Games
Expected
69%
Very Frequent
0%66%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Rare
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.45 * Notable Separation: 0.45 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.48 * Some Carryover: 0.48 to 0.58 * Strong Carryover: 0.58 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 18% * Very Shaky: 18% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Slight Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.41
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.92
Near-Lock
00.480.71
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Very Shaky
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.73
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.98
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.062
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Partizan69.00%27.00%4.00%—————————
Vojvodina6.00%17.00%58.00%13.00%5.00%—1.00%—————
Red Star Belgrade25.00%53.00%18.00%4.00%————————
Javor—2.00%7.00%42.00%11.00%13.00%8.00%6.00%7.00%1.00%3.00%—
Borac Cacak—1.00%2.00%5.00%12.00%17.00%14.00%21.00%8.00%10.00%6.00%4.00%
Napredak——4.00%7.00%16.00%15.00%11.00%16.00%11.00%9.00%9.00%2.00%
Hajduk Rodic——2.00%10.00%22.00%5.00%17.00%16.00%14.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%
FK Rad——3.00%7.00%13.00%15.00%8.00%13.00%14.00%9.00%13.00%5.00%
Cukaricki———8.00%5.00%16.00%13.00%7.00%9.00%25.00%14.00%3.00%
Jagodina———2.00%12.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%16.00%12.00%15.00%13.00%
OFK Beograd——1.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%14.00%9.00%11.00%19.00%18.00%14.00%
Banat Zrenjanin——1.00%——1.00%3.00%3.00%10.00%7.00%19.00%56.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Javor 100% —
Partizan 100% —
Red Star Belgrade 100% —
Vojvodina 100% —
Napredak 98.00% 2.00%
Cukaricki 97.00% 3.00%
Hajduk Rodic 97.00% 3.00%
Borac Cacak 96.00% 4.00%
FK Rad 95.00% 5.00%
Jagodina 87.00% 13.00%
OFK Beograd 86.00% 14.00%
Banat Zrenjanin 44.00% 56.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2008-08-16 Hajduk Rodic L 0-156.7 1515 1520 46.83% 28.91% 24.25%+0.41 -8.4 0
2008-08-16 @ Napredak W 1-056.7 1520 1515 24.25% 28.91% 46.83%-0.41 +8.4 3
2008-08-16 Jagodina W 1-047.4 1460 1485 44.09% 29.49% 26.43%+0.31 +5.5 3
2008-08-16 @ OFK Beograd L 0-147.4 1485 1460 26.43% 29.49% 44.09%-0.31 -5.5 0
2008-08-17 Banat Zrenjanin W 1-041.4 1714 1382 82.28% 11.36% 6.37%+2.05 +1.1 3
2008-08-17 @ Partizan L 0-141.4 1382 1714 6.37% 11.36% 82.28%-2.05 -1.1 0
2008-08-17 Cukaricki D 0-058.1 1508 1498 48.73% 28.43% 22.84%+0.48 -1.1 1
2008-08-17 @ Borac Cacak D 0-058.1 1498 1508 22.84% 28.43% 48.73%-0.48 +1.1 1
2008-08-17 Javor D 0-059.0 1514 1519 46.78% 28.93% 24.29%+0.41 -1.0 1
2008-08-17 @ FK Rad D 0-059.0 1519 1514 24.29% 28.93% 46.78%-0.41 +1.0 1
2008-08-17 Red Star Belgrade W 2-059.2 1610 1748 28.51% 29.87% 41.62%-0.24 +14.5 3
2008-08-17 @ Vojvodina L 0-259.2 1748 1610 41.62% 29.87% 28.51%+0.24 -14.5 0
2008-08-22 Borac Cacak D 1-162.8 1480 1507 43.81% 29.54% 26.65%+0.30 -0.6 1
2008-08-22 @ Jagodina D 1-162.8 1507 1480 26.65% 29.54% 43.81%-0.30 +0.6 2
2008-08-22 Napredak W 3-150.4 1716 1507 71.55% 17.89% 10.56%+1.45 +3.4 6
2008-08-22 @ Partizan L 1-350.4 1507 1716 10.56% 17.89% 71.55%-1.45 -3.4 0
2008-08-23 FK Rad W 2-155.9 1499 1513 45.55% 29.20% 25.25%+0.37 +5.0 4
2008-08-23 @ Cukaricki L 1-255.9 1513 1499 25.25% 29.20% 45.55%-0.37 -5.0 1
2008-08-23 OFK Beograd D 0-058.4 1528 1466 55.41% 26.15% 18.43%+0.74 -1.6 4
2008-08-23 @ Hajduk Rodic D 0-058.4 1466 1528 18.43% 26.15% 55.41%-0.74 +1.6 4
2008-08-23 Red Star Belgrade D 0-064.5 1381 1734 12.15% 20.05% 67.79%-1.28 +2.5 1
2008-08-23 @ Banat Zrenjanin D 0-064.5 1734 1381 67.79% 20.05% 12.15%+1.28 -2.5 1
2008-08-23 Vojvodina W 1-057.7 1520 1624 32.89% 30.28% 36.83%-0.07 +7.0 4
2008-08-23 @ Javor L 0-157.7 1624 1520 36.83% 30.28% 32.89%+0.07 -7.1 3
2008-08-30 Banat Zrenjanin W 2-036.3 1504 1383 62.20% 23.05% 14.75%+1.02 +5.8 3
2008-08-30 @ Napredak L 0-236.3 1383 1504 14.75% 23.05% 62.20%-1.02 -5.9 1
2008-08-30 Jagodina L 0-155.8 1508 1479 51.21% 27.69% 21.11%+0.58 -9.0 1
2008-08-30 @ FK Rad W 1-055.8 1479 1508 21.11% 27.69% 51.21%-0.58 +9.0 4
2008-08-31 Cukaricki W 2-155.0 1617 1504 61.39% 23.46% 15.15%+0.99 +3.0 6
2008-08-31 @ Vojvodina L 1-255.0 1504 1617 15.15% 23.46% 61.39%-0.99 -3.0 4
2008-08-31 Hajduk Rodic D 0-058.9 1507 1527 44.80% 29.35% 25.85%+0.34 -0.8 3
2008-08-31 @ Borac Cacak D 0-058.9 1527 1507 25.85% 29.35% 44.80%-0.34 +0.8 5
2008-08-31 Javor L 0-263.3 1731 1527 71.14% 18.13% 10.73%+1.43 -21.6 1
2008-08-31 @ Red Star Belgrade W 2-063.3 1527 1731 10.73% 18.13% 71.14%-1.43 +21.6 7
2008-08-31 Partizan L 0-346.5 1467 1719 17.89% 25.78% 56.33%-0.79 -10.5 4
2008-08-31 @ OFK Beograd W 3-046.5 1719 1467 56.33% 25.78% 17.89%+0.79 +10.5 9
2008-09-13 Borac Cacak W 2-044.2 1729 1506 72.97% 17.05% 9.98%+1.52 +3.6 12
2008-09-13 @ Partizan L 0-244.2 1506 1729 9.98% 17.05% 72.97%-1.52 -3.6 3
2008-09-13 FK Rad W 2-044.6 1528 1499 51.16% 27.70% 21.14%+0.57 +8.6 8
2008-09-13 @ Hajduk Rodic L 0-244.6 1499 1528 21.14% 27.70% 51.16%-0.57 -8.6 1
2008-09-13 Javor W 2-048.8 1377 1548 24.83% 29.09% 46.08%-0.40 +15.7 4
2008-09-13 @ Banat Zrenjanin L 0-248.8 1548 1377 46.08% 29.09% 24.83%+0.40 -15.7 7
2008-09-13 OFK Beograd L 0-155.6 1510 1457 54.19% 26.63% 19.18%+0.69 -9.4 3
2008-09-13 @ Napredak W 1-055.6 1457 1510 19.18% 26.63% 54.19%-0.69 +9.4 7
2008-09-14 Red Star Belgrade D 2-276.5 1501 1710 21.25% 27.75% 51.00%-0.58 +0.8 5
2008-09-14 @ Cukaricki D 2-276.5 1710 1501 51.00% 27.75% 21.25%+0.58 -0.8 2
2008-09-14 Vojvodina L 0-154.2 1488 1620 29.26% 29.98% 40.76%-0.21 -6.0 4
2008-09-14 @ Jagodina W 1-054.2 1620 1488 40.76% 29.98% 29.26%+0.21 +6.0 9
2008-09-20 Banat Zrenjanin W 1-040.8 1466 1393 56.67% 25.63% 17.69%+0.79 +3.8 10
2008-09-20 @ OFK Beograd L 0-140.8 1393 1466 17.69% 25.63% 56.67%-0.79 -3.8 4
2008-09-20 Cukaricki D 0-059.5 1533 1502 51.47% 27.60% 20.93%+0.59 -1.3 8
2008-09-20 @ Javor D 0-059.5 1502 1533 20.93% 27.60% 51.47%-0.59 +1.3 6
2008-09-20 Hajduk Rodic W 2-046.8 1626 1536 58.69% 24.74% 16.56%+0.87 +6.7 12
2008-09-20 @ Vojvodina L 0-246.8 1536 1626 16.56% 24.74% 58.69%-0.87 -6.7 8
2008-09-20 Jagodina W 3-041.6 1709 1482 73.32% 16.84% 9.84%+1.54 +5.1 5
2008-09-20 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-341.6 1482 1709 9.84% 16.84% 73.32%-1.54 -5.2 4
2008-09-21 Napredak D 2-269.8 1503 1500 47.78% 28.68% 23.54%+0.45 -0.7 4
2008-09-21 @ Borac Cacak D 2-269.8 1500 1503 23.54% 28.68% 47.78%-0.45 +0.7 4
2008-09-21 Partizan L 0-347.7 1490 1733 18.53% 26.22% 55.25%-0.74 -10.9 1
2008-09-21 @ FK Rad W 3-047.7 1733 1490 55.25% 26.22% 18.53%+0.74 +10.9 15
2008-09-27 Cukaricki D 0-053.6 1389 1503 31.64% 30.21% 38.15%-0.12 +0.3 5
2008-09-27 @ Banat Zrenjanin D 0-053.6 1503 1389 38.15% 30.21% 31.64%+0.12 -0.3 7
2008-09-27 FK Rad D 1-163.1 1501 1479 50.22% 28.00% 21.78%+0.54 -1.1 5
2008-09-27 @ Napredak D 1-163.1 1479 1501 21.78% 28.00% 50.22%-0.54 +1.1 2
2008-09-27 Javor W 3-262.1 1477 1531 39.97% 30.06% 29.96%+0.17 +5.4 7
2008-09-27 @ Jagodina L 2-362.1 1531 1477 29.96% 30.06% 39.97%-0.17 -5.4 8
2008-09-27 Red Star Belgrade L 1-262.0 1530 1714 23.50% 28.67% 47.84%-0.46 -4.7 8
2008-09-27 @ Hajduk Rodic W 2-162.0 1714 1530 47.84% 28.67% 23.50%+0.46 +4.7 8
2008-09-27 Vojvodina W 1-053.2 1744 1633 61.13% 23.59% 15.28%+0.97 +3.2 18
2008-09-27 @ Partizan L 0-153.2 1633 1744 15.28% 23.59% 61.13%-0.97 -3.2 12
2008-09-28 Borac Cacak D 1-162.3 1470 1502 43.11% 29.65% 27.23%+0.28 -0.6 11
2008-09-28 @ OFK Beograd D 1-162.3 1502 1470 27.23% 29.65% 43.11%-0.28 +0.6 5
2008-10-04 Hajduk Rodic D 1-165.5 1526 1525 47.60% 28.73% 23.67%+0.44 -0.9 9
2008-10-04 @ Javor D 1-165.5 1525 1526 23.67% 28.73% 47.60%-0.44 +0.9 9
2008-10-04 Jagodina W 4-146.4 1503 1482 50.11% 28.03% 21.86%+0.53 +10.8 10
2008-10-04 @ Cukaricki L 1-446.4 1482 1503 21.86% 28.03% 50.11%-0.53 -10.8 7
2008-10-04 Napredak W 1-048.1 1630 1500 63.28% 22.50% 14.22%+1.07 +3.0 15
2008-10-04 @ Vojvodina L 0-148.1 1500 1630 14.22% 22.50% 63.28%-1.07 -3.0 5
2008-10-05 OFK Beograd D 0-056.1 1481 1469 48.89% 28.38% 22.72%+0.49 -1.1 3
2008-10-05 @ FK Rad D 0-056.1 1469 1481 22.72% 28.38% 48.89%-0.49 +1.1 12
2008-10-05 Partizan L 0-260.4 1719 1747 43.57% 29.58% 26.85%+0.30 -15.0 8
2008-10-05 @ Red Star Belgrade W 2-060.4 1747 1719 26.85% 29.58% 43.57%-0.30 +15.0 21
2008-10-07 Banat Zrenjanin L 1-260.8 1503 1390 61.37% 23.47% 15.16%+0.98 -9.8 5
2008-10-07 @ Borac Cacak W 2-160.8 1390 1503 15.16% 23.47% 61.37%-0.98 +9.8 8
2008-10-18 Cukaricki W 1-049.4 1526 1514 49.02% 28.35% 22.63%+0.49 +4.8 12
2008-10-18 @ Hajduk Rodic L 0-149.4 1514 1526 22.63% 28.35% 49.02%-0.49 -4.8 10
2008-10-18 FK Rad D 1-162.7 1493 1479 49.20% 28.30% 22.50%+0.50 -1.0 6
2008-10-18 @ Borac Cacak D 1-162.7 1479 1493 22.50% 28.30% 49.20%-0.50 +1.0 4
2008-10-18 Jagodina L 1-255.0 1399 1471 37.49% 30.25% 32.26%+0.09 -6.7 8
2008-10-18 @ Banat Zrenjanin W 2-155.0 1471 1399 32.26% 30.25% 37.49%-0.09 +6.7 10
2008-10-18 Javor D 2-281.3 1762 1525 74.30% 16.25% 9.45%+1.59 -1.9 22
2008-10-18 @ Partizan D 2-281.3 1525 1762 9.45% 16.25% 74.30%-1.59 +1.9 10
2008-10-18 Vojvodina W 2-165.1 1471 1633 25.79% 29.34% 44.87%-0.35 +7.7 15
2008-10-18 @ OFK Beograd L 1-265.1 1633 1471 44.87% 29.34% 25.79%+0.35 -7.7 15
2008-10-19 Red Star Belgrade L 1-260.3 1497 1703 21.41% 27.83% 50.76%-0.57 -4.3 5
2008-10-19 @ Napredak W 2-160.3 1703 1497 50.76% 27.83% 21.41%+0.57 +4.3 11
2008-10-25 Banat Zrenjanin D 1-160.3 1480 1393 58.43% 24.86% 16.71%+0.86 -1.7 5
2008-10-25 @ FK Rad D 1-160.3 1393 1480 16.71% 24.86% 58.43%-0.86 +1.7 9
2008-10-25 Hajduk Rodic W 1-050.9 1478 1531 40.30% 30.03% 29.67%+0.18 +6.0 13
2008-10-25 @ Jagodina L 0-150.9 1531 1478 29.67% 30.03% 40.30%-0.18 -6.0 12
2008-10-25 Napredak W 2-154.3 1527 1492 51.92% 27.45% 20.63%+0.60 +4.2 13
2008-10-25 @ Javor L 1-254.3 1492 1527 20.63% 27.45% 51.92%-0.60 -4.2 5
2008-10-25 OFK Beograd W 5-144.5 1708 1478 73.59% 16.68% 9.73%+1.55 +5.5 14
2008-10-25 @ Red Star Belgrade L 1-544.5 1478 1708 9.73% 16.68% 73.59%-1.55 -5.5 15
2008-10-26 Borac Cacak W 1-047.7 1625 1492 63.62% 22.32% 14.06%+1.08 +2.9 18
2008-10-26 @ Vojvodina L 0-147.7 1492 1625 14.06% 22.32% 63.62%-1.08 -2.9 6
2008-10-26 Partizan W 1-064.9 1509 1760 17.89% 25.78% 56.33%-0.79 +9.7 13
2008-10-26 @ Cukaricki L 0-164.9 1760 1509 56.33% 25.78% 17.89%+0.79 -9.7 22
2008-10-29 Cukaricki W 2-046.2 1488 1519 43.35% 29.62% 27.03%+0.29 +10.6 8
2008-10-29 @ Napredak L 0-246.2 1519 1488 27.03% 29.62% 43.35%-0.29 -10.6 13
2008-10-29 Hajduk Rodic W 1-050.8 1394 1524 29.51% 30.01% 40.48%-0.20 +7.6 12
2008-10-29 @ Banat Zrenjanin L 0-150.8 1524 1394 40.48% 30.01% 29.51%+0.20 -7.6 12
2008-10-29 Jagodina W 2-043.0 1751 1484 76.95% 14.65% 8.41%+1.73 +2.9 25
2008-10-29 @ Partizan L 0-243.0 1484 1751 8.41% 14.65% 76.95%-1.73 -2.9 13
2008-10-29 Javor L 0-153.6 1473 1531 39.42% 30.11% 30.46%+0.15 -7.4 15
2008-10-29 @ OFK Beograd W 1-053.6 1531 1473 30.46% 30.11% 39.42%-0.15 +7.4 16
2008-10-29 Red Star Belgrade W 1-063.0 1489 1713 19.93% 27.08% 52.99%-0.65 +9.3 9
2008-10-29 @ Borac Cacak L 0-163.0 1713 1489 52.99% 27.08% 19.93%+0.65 -9.3 14
2008-10-29 Vojvodina W 1-058.2 1479 1628 27.25% 29.66% 43.10%-0.29 +7.9 8
2008-10-29 @ FK Rad L 0-158.2 1628 1479 43.10% 29.66% 27.25%+0.29 -7.9 18
2008-11-01 Banat Zrenjanin W 2-038.1 1620 1402 72.50% 17.33% 10.17%+1.49 +3.7 21
2008-11-01 @ Vojvodina L 0-238.1 1402 1620 10.17% 17.33% 72.50%-1.49 -3.7 12
2008-11-01 Borac Cacak D 2-271.5 1539 1498 52.65% 27.20% 20.15%+0.63 -0.9 17
2008-11-01 @ Javor D 2-271.5 1498 1539 20.15% 27.20% 52.65%-0.63 +0.9 10
2008-11-01 FK Rad W 2-043.4 1704 1487 72.42% 17.37% 10.21%+1.49 +3.7 17
2008-11-01 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-243.4 1487 1704 10.21% 17.37% 72.42%-1.49 -3.7 8
2008-11-01 Napredak W 1-048.4 1481 1499 45.10% 29.29% 25.60%+0.35 +5.4 16
2008-11-01 @ Jagodina L 0-148.4 1499 1481 25.60% 29.29% 45.10%-0.35 -5.4 8
2008-11-01 OFK Beograd L 0-155.6 1508 1465 52.92% 27.10% 19.98%+0.64 -9.3 13
2008-11-01 @ Cukaricki W 1-055.6 1465 1508 19.98% 27.10% 52.92%-0.64 +9.3 18
2008-11-01 Partizan D 1-171.9 1517 1754 18.98% 26.51% 54.50%-0.71 +1.4 13
2008-11-01 @ Hajduk Rodic D 1-171.9 1754 1517 54.50% 26.51% 18.98%+0.71 -1.4 26
2008-11-08 Borac Cacak L 0-155.4 1499 1499 47.37% 28.78% 23.85%+0.43 -8.5 13
2008-11-08 @ Cukaricki W 1-055.4 1499 1499 23.85% 28.78% 47.37%-0.43 +8.5 13
2008-11-08 FK Rad W 1-047.1 1538 1483 54.43% 26.54% 19.03%+0.70 +4.1 20
2008-11-08 @ Javor L 0-147.1 1483 1538 19.03% 26.54% 54.43%-0.70 -4.1 8
2008-11-08 Napredak W 1-047.9 1518 1493 50.68% 27.85% 21.47%+0.56 +4.6 16
2008-11-08 @ Hajduk Rodic L 0-147.9 1493 1518 21.47% 27.85% 50.68%-0.56 -4.6 8
2008-11-08 OFK Beograd W 2-042.9 1487 1475 49.03% 28.34% 22.62%+0.49 +9.1 19
2008-11-08 @ Jagodina L 0-242.9 1475 1487 22.62% 28.34% 49.03%-0.49 -9.1 18
2008-11-08 Vojvodina W 3-156.1 1708 1624 57.99% 25.06% 16.95%+0.84 +5.9 20
2008-11-08 @ Red Star Belgrade L 1-356.1 1624 1708 16.95% 25.06% 57.99%-0.84 -5.9 21
2008-11-09 Partizan L 0-243.7 1398 1752 12.10% 19.99% 67.91%-1.28 -4.6 12
2008-11-09 @ Banat Zrenjanin W 2-043.7 1752 1398 67.91% 19.99% 12.10%+1.28 +4.6 29
2008-11-15 Banat Zrenjanin W 2-148.6 1714 1394 81.35% 11.93% 6.71%+1.99 +1.1 23
2008-11-15 @ Red Star Belgrade L 1-248.6 1394 1714 6.71% 11.93% 81.35%-1.99 -1.1 12
2008-11-15 Hajduk Rodic W 2-046.7 1465 1523 39.57% 30.10% 30.33%+0.16 +11.6 21
2008-11-15 @ OFK Beograd L 0-246.7 1523 1465 30.33% 30.10% 39.57%-0.16 -11.6 16
2008-11-15 Jagodina W 2-154.6 1508 1496 48.98% 28.36% 22.66%+0.49 +4.6 16
2008-11-15 @ Borac Cacak L 1-254.6 1496 1508 22.66% 28.36% 48.98%-0.49 -4.6 19
2008-11-15 Javor W 1-050.9 1618 1542 57.01% 25.49% 17.50%+0.80 +3.8 24
2008-11-15 @ Vojvodina L 0-150.9 1542 1618 17.50% 25.49% 57.01%-0.80 -3.8 20
2008-11-15 Partizan L 0-447.3 1489 1757 16.78% 24.93% 58.29%-0.86 -12.9 8
2008-11-15 @ Napredak W 4-047.3 1757 1489 58.29% 24.93% 16.78%+0.86 +12.9 32
2008-11-16 Cukaricki FW53.9 1479 1490 45.94% 29.12% 24.95%+0.38 +0.0 11
2008-11-16 @ FK Rad FL53.9 1490 1479 24.95% 29.12% 45.94%-0.38 +0.0 13
2008-11-22 Borac Cacak W 2-045.7 1511 1512 47.32% 28.80% 23.88%+0.43 +9.6 19
2008-11-22 @ Hajduk Rodic L 0-245.7 1512 1511 23.88% 28.80% 47.32%-0.43 -9.6 16
2008-11-22 Napredak D 0-052.8 1392 1476 35.86% 30.30% 33.83%+0.03 -0.1 13
2008-11-22 @ Banat Zrenjanin D 0-052.8 1476 1392 33.83% 30.30% 35.86%-0.03 +0.1 9
2008-11-23 FK Rad D 0-056.8 1491 1479 49.06% 28.34% 22.60%+0.50 -1.1 20
2008-11-23 @ Jagodina D 0-056.8 1479 1491 22.60% 28.34% 49.06%-0.50 +1.1 12
2008-11-23 OFK Beograd W 5-144.1 1770 1477 79.17% 13.28% 7.55%+1.85 +4.0 35
2008-11-23 @ Partizan L 1-544.1 1477 1770 7.55% 13.28% 79.17%-1.85 -4.0 21
2008-11-23 Red Star Belgrade D 1-170.9 1538 1715 24.25% 28.91% 46.84%-0.42 +0.9 21
2008-11-23 @ Javor D 1-170.9 1715 1538 46.84% 28.91% 24.25%+0.42 -0.8 24
2008-11-23 Vojvodina L 0-154.4 1490 1622 29.37% 29.99% 40.64%-0.20 -6.0 13
2008-11-23 @ Cukaricki W 1-054.4 1622 1490 40.64% 29.99% 29.37%+0.20 +6.0 27
2008-11-29 Banat Zrenjanin W 3-035.4 1539 1392 65.11% 21.53% 13.36%+1.15 +7.6 24
2008-11-29 @ Javor L 0-335.4 1392 1539 13.36% 21.53% 65.11%-1.15 -7.5 13
2008-11-29 Cukaricki W 2-043.2 1714 1484 73.62% 16.66% 9.72%+1.55 +3.5 27
2008-11-29 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-243.2 1484 1714 9.72% 16.66% 73.62%-1.55 -3.5 13
2008-11-29 Jagodina W 3-042.3 1628 1490 64.09% 22.07% 13.83%+1.10 +7.9 30
2008-11-29 @ Vojvodina L 0-342.3 1490 1628 13.83% 22.07% 64.09%-1.10 -7.9 20
2008-11-29 Napredak L 0-249.9 1473 1476 47.04% 28.86% 24.10%+0.42 -16.0 21
2008-11-29 @ OFK Beograd W 2-049.9 1476 1473 24.10% 28.86% 47.04%-0.42 +16.0 12
2008-11-30 Hajduk Rodic D 1-163.3 1480 1521 41.89% 29.84% 28.27%+0.24 -0.5 13
2008-11-30 @ FK Rad D 1-163.3 1521 1480 28.27% 29.84% 41.89%-0.24 +0.5 20
2008-11-30 Partizan W 1-065.4 1503 1774 16.59% 24.76% 58.65%-0.88 +10.0 19
2008-11-30 @ Borac Cacak L 0-165.4 1774 1503 58.65% 24.76% 16.59%+0.88 -10.0 35
2008-12-06 Borac Cacak D 1-163.6 1492 1513 44.66% 29.38% 25.96%+0.33 -0.7 13
2008-12-06 @ Napredak D 1-163.6 1513 1492 25.96% 29.38% 44.66%-0.33 +0.7 20
2008-12-06 FK Rad D 1-175.3 1764 1480 78.46% 13.72% 7.82%+1.81 -2.8 36
2008-12-06 @ Partizan D 1-175.3 1480 1764 7.82% 13.72% 78.46%-1.81 +2.8 14
2008-12-06 OFK Beograd W 4-251.5 1385 1457 37.47% 30.25% 32.28%+0.08 +9.4 16
2008-12-06 @ Banat Zrenjanin L 2-451.5 1457 1385 32.28% 30.25% 37.47%-0.08 -9.4 21
2008-12-06 Red Star Belgrade L 1-452.1 1482 1717 19.09% 26.58% 54.33%-0.71 -9.5 20
2008-12-06 @ Jagodina W 4-152.1 1717 1482 54.33% 26.58% 19.09%+0.71 +9.5 30
2008-12-06 Vojvodina L 1-263.0 1521 1635 31.61% 30.21% 38.18%-0.12 -6.0 20
2008-12-06 @ Hajduk Rodic W 2-163.0 1635 1521 38.18% 30.21% 31.61%+0.12 +6.0 33
2008-12-07 Javor L 1-356.6 1481 1546 38.39% 30.19% 31.41%+0.12 -11.9 13
2008-12-07 @ Cukaricki W 3-156.6 1546 1481 31.41% 30.19% 38.39%-0.12 +11.9 27
2008-12-10 Banat Zrenjanin W 3-035.6 1469 1394 56.86% 25.56% 17.59%+0.80 +10.4 16
2008-12-10 @ Cukaricki L 0-335.6 1394 1469 17.59% 25.56% 56.86%-0.80 -10.4 16
2008-12-10 Hajduk Rodic L 1-273.2 1727 1515 71.85% 17.71% 10.44%+1.46 -10.9 30
2008-12-10 @ Red Star Belgrade W 2-173.2 1515 1727 10.44% 17.71% 71.85%-1.46 +10.9 23
2008-12-10 Jagodina W 2-152.9 1558 1473 58.16% 24.98% 16.86%+0.85 +3.4 30
2008-12-10 @ Javor L 1-252.9 1473 1558 16.86% 24.98% 58.16%-0.85 -3.4 20
2008-12-10 Napredak W 2-044.1 1482 1491 46.24% 29.05% 24.71%+0.39 +9.9 17
2008-12-10 @ FK Rad L 0-244.1 1491 1482 24.71% 29.05% 46.24%-0.39 -9.8 13
2008-12-10 OFK Beograd W 2-151.0 1513 1448 55.77% 26.01% 18.22%+0.75 +3.7 23
2008-12-10 @ Borac Cacak L 1-251.0 1448 1513 18.22% 26.01% 55.77%-0.75 -3.7 21
2008-12-10 Partizan D 0-066.5 1641 1761 30.89% 30.15% 38.96%-0.14 +0.3 34
2008-12-10 @ Vojvodina D 0-066.5 1761 1641 38.96% 30.15% 30.89%+0.14 -0.3 37
2009-02-28 Borac Cacak D 0-053.9 1384 1517 29.14% 29.96% 40.90%-0.21 +0.5 17
2009-02-28 @ Banat Zrenjanin D 0-053.9 1517 1384 40.90% 29.96% 29.14%+0.21 -0.5 24
2009-02-28 Cukaricki L 1-259.8 1469 1479 46.13% 29.07% 24.79%+0.39 -7.9 20
2009-02-28 @ Jagodina W 2-159.8 1479 1469 24.79% 29.07% 46.13%-0.39 +7.9 19
2009-02-28 FK Rad D 1-160.9 1444 1492 40.88% 29.97% 29.16%+0.20 -0.4 22
2009-02-28 @ OFK Beograd D 1-160.9 1492 1444 29.16% 29.97% 40.88%-0.20 +0.4 18
2009-02-28 Red Star Belgrade D 1-173.6 1760 1716 53.15% 27.02% 19.83%+0.65 -1.3 38
2009-02-28 @ Partizan D 1-173.6 1716 1760 19.83% 27.02% 53.15%-0.65 +1.3 31
2009-02-28 Vojvodina W 2-165.7 1481 1642 25.99% 29.39% 44.62%-0.34 +7.7 16
2009-02-28 @ Napredak L 1-265.7 1642 1481 44.62% 29.39% 25.99%+0.34 -7.7 34
2009-03-01 Javor D 1-166.5 1526 1562 42.65% 29.73% 27.62%+0.26 -0.5 24
2009-03-01 @ Hajduk Rodic D 1-166.5 1562 1526 27.62% 29.73% 42.65%-0.26 +0.6 31
2009-03-07 Banat Zrenjanin W 2-036.6 1462 1384 57.17% 25.42% 17.41%+0.81 +7.1 23
2009-03-07 @ Jagodina L 0-236.6 1384 1462 17.41% 25.42% 57.17%-0.81 -7.0 17
2009-03-07 Hajduk Rodic W 2-157.0 1487 1526 42.18% 29.80% 28.02%+0.25 +5.5 22
2009-03-07 @ Cukaricki L 1-257.0 1526 1487 28.02% 29.80% 42.18%-0.25 -5.5 24
2009-03-07 Napredak W 4-042.0 1717 1489 73.47% 16.75% 9.78%+1.54 +6.7 34
2009-03-07 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-442.0 1489 1717 9.78% 16.75% 73.47%-1.54 -6.7 16
2009-03-07 Partizan L 0-156.1 1562 1759 22.30% 28.21% 49.48%-0.52 -4.8 31
2009-03-07 @ Javor W 1-056.1 1759 1562 49.48% 28.21% 22.30%+0.52 +4.8 41
2009-03-08 Borac Cacak L 0-251.4 1493 1517 44.21% 29.47% 26.33%+0.32 -15.2 18
2009-03-08 @ FK Rad W 2-051.4 1517 1493 26.33% 29.47% 44.21%-0.32 +15.2 27
2009-03-08 OFK Beograd D 1-169.4 1634 1444 69.74% 18.94% 11.32%+1.36 -2.3 35
2009-03-08 @ Vojvodina D 1-169.4 1444 1634 11.32% 18.94% 69.74%-1.36 +2.3 23
2009-03-14 Cukaricki W 2-043.2 1764 1492 77.40% 14.37% 8.23%+1.75 +2.8 44
2009-03-14 @ Partizan L 0-243.2 1492 1764 8.23% 14.37% 77.40%-1.75 -2.8 22
2009-03-14 FK Rad D 1-158.2 1377 1477 33.50% 30.30% 36.21%-0.05 +0.1 18
2009-03-14 @ Banat Zrenjanin D 1-158.2 1477 1377 36.21% 30.30% 33.50%+0.05 -0.1 19
2009-03-14 Jagodina D 0-058.0 1520 1469 54.06% 26.68% 19.25%+0.69 -1.5 25
2009-03-14 @ Hajduk Rodic D 0-058.0 1469 1520 19.25% 26.68% 54.06%-0.69 +1.5 24
2009-03-14 Javor W 3-155.4 1482 1558 37.07% 30.27% 32.66%+0.07 +10.6 19
2009-03-14 @ Napredak L 1-355.4 1558 1482 32.66% 30.27% 37.07%-0.07 -10.6 31
2009-03-14 Red Star Belgrade D 2-276.6 1446 1724 16.13% 24.37% 59.49%-0.91 +1.3 24
2009-03-14 @ OFK Beograd D 2-276.6 1724 1446 59.49% 24.37% 16.13%+0.91 -1.3 35
2009-03-14 Vojvodina D 1-168.6 1532 1632 33.53% 30.30% 36.17%-0.05 +0.1 28
2009-03-14 @ Borac Cacak D 1-168.6 1632 1532 36.17% 30.30% 33.53%+0.05 -0.1 36
2009-03-18 Banat Zrenjanin D 1-162.0 1519 1377 64.55% 21.83% 13.62%+1.12 -2.0 26
2009-03-18 @ Hajduk Rodic D 1-162.0 1377 1519 13.62% 21.83% 64.55%-1.12 +2.0 19
2009-03-18 Borac Cacak W 2-045.5 1723 1532 69.78% 18.92% 11.30%+1.36 +4.2 38
2009-03-18 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-245.5 1532 1723 11.30% 18.92% 69.78%-1.36 -4.2 28
2009-03-18 FK Rad L 0-162.6 1632 1477 65.95% 21.08% 12.97%+1.18 -10.9 36
2009-03-18 @ Vojvodina W 1-062.6 1477 1632 12.97% 21.08% 65.95%-1.18 +10.9 22
2009-03-18 Napredak L 0-154.7 1490 1493 46.98% 28.88% 24.14%+0.42 -8.4 22
2009-03-18 @ Cukaricki W 1-054.7 1493 1490 24.14% 28.88% 46.98%-0.42 +8.5 22
2009-03-18 OFK Beograd W 1-044.5 1547 1447 59.82% 24.22% 15.96%+0.92 +3.4 34
2009-03-18 @ Javor L 0-144.5 1447 1547 15.96% 24.22% 59.82%-0.92 -3.4 24
2009-03-18 Partizan L 0-151.2 1470 1767 15.03% 23.34% 61.63%-1.00 -3.2 24
2009-03-18 @ Jagodina W 1-051.2 1767 1470 61.63% 23.34% 15.03%+1.00 +3.2 47
2009-03-21 Cukaricki W 2-043.5 1444 1481 42.38% 29.77% 27.85%+0.25 +10.9 27
2009-03-21 @ OFK Beograd L 0-243.5 1481 1444 27.85% 29.77% 42.38%-0.25 -10.9 22
2009-03-21 Hajduk Rodic W 3-042.6 1770 1517 75.78% 15.36% 8.86%+1.66 +4.5 50
2009-03-21 @ Partizan L 0-342.6 1517 1770 8.86% 15.36% 75.78%-1.66 -4.5 26
2009-03-21 Jagodina D 1-162.8 1501 1467 51.91% 27.45% 20.64%+0.60 -1.2 23
2009-03-21 @ Napredak D 1-162.8 1467 1501 20.64% 27.45% 51.91%-0.60 +1.2 25
2009-03-21 Javor D 1-166.2 1528 1550 44.39% 29.43% 26.17%+0.33 -0.7 29
2009-03-21 @ Borac Cacak D 1-166.2 1550 1528 26.17% 29.43% 44.39%-0.33 +0.7 35
2009-03-21 Vojvodina L 0-146.1 1379 1621 18.63% 26.28% 55.09%-0.74 -4.0 19
2009-03-21 @ Banat Zrenjanin W 1-046.1 1621 1379 55.09% 26.28% 18.63%+0.74 +4.0 39
2009-03-22 Red Star Belgrade D 0-065.2 1488 1727 18.81% 26.40% 54.78%-0.72 +1.6 23
2009-03-22 @ FK Rad D 0-065.2 1727 1488 54.78% 26.40% 18.81%+0.72 -1.6 39
2009-04-04 Banat Zrenjanin W 1-041.7 1774 1375 86.67% 8.61% 4.71%+2.37 +0.8 53
2009-04-04 @ Partizan L 0-141.7 1375 1774 4.71% 8.61% 86.67%-2.37 -0.8 19
2009-04-04 Cukaricki W 2-152.6 1725 1470 75.95% 15.25% 8.80%+1.67 +1.5 42
2009-04-04 @ Red Star Belgrade L 1-252.6 1470 1725 8.80% 15.25% 75.95%-1.67 -1.5 22
2009-04-04 FK Rad D 1-165.9 1551 1490 55.23% 26.23% 18.54%+0.73 -1.4 36
2009-04-04 @ Javor D 1-165.9 1490 1551 18.54% 26.23% 55.23%-0.73 +1.4 24
2009-04-04 Hajduk Rodic D 0-056.2 1455 1512 39.55% 30.10% 30.34%+0.16 -0.4 28
2009-04-04 @ OFK Beograd D 0-056.2 1512 1455 30.34% 30.10% 39.55%-0.16 +0.4 27
2009-04-04 Jagodina W 1-046.0 1527 1468 54.94% 26.34% 18.72%+0.72 +4.0 32
2009-04-04 @ Borac Cacak L 0-146.0 1468 1527 18.72% 26.34% 54.94%-0.72 -4.0 25
2009-04-04 Napredak W 1-048.2 1625 1500 62.65% 22.82% 14.52%+1.04 +3.0 42
2009-04-04 @ Vojvodina L 0-148.2 1500 1625 14.52% 22.82% 62.65%-1.04 -3.0 23
2009-04-08 Borac Cacak W 1-050.8 1491 1531 42.03% 29.82% 28.15%+0.24 +5.8 27
2009-04-08 @ FK Rad L 0-150.8 1531 1491 28.15% 29.82% 42.03%-0.24 -5.8 32
2009-04-08 Hajduk Rodic W 1-050.1 1375 1513 28.55% 29.88% 41.56%-0.23 +7.7 22
2009-04-08 @ Banat Zrenjanin L 0-150.1 1513 1375 41.56% 29.88% 28.55%+0.23 -7.7 27
2009-04-08 Javor D 0-059.2 1497 1550 40.29% 30.03% 29.68%+0.18 -0.4 24
2009-04-08 @ Napredak D 0-059.2 1550 1497 29.68% 30.03% 40.29%-0.18 +0.4 37
2009-04-08 OFK Beograd W 2-041.4 1464 1454 48.73% 28.43% 22.84%+0.48 +9.2 28
2009-04-08 @ Jagodina L 0-241.4 1454 1464 22.84% 28.43% 48.73%-0.48 -9.2 28
2009-04-08 Red Star Belgrade W 2-052.5 1775 1727 53.63% 26.84% 19.53%+0.67 +7.9 56
2009-04-08 @ Partizan L 0-252.5 1727 1775 19.53% 26.84% 53.63%-0.67 -7.9 42
2009-04-08 Vojvodina D 4-476.9 1469 1628 26.13% 29.42% 44.44%-0.34 +0.4 23
2009-04-08 @ Cukaricki D 4-476.9 1628 1469 44.44% 29.42% 26.13%+0.34 -0.4 43
2009-04-11 Banat Zrenjanin W 3-036.3 1719 1382 82.58% 11.17% 6.25%+2.07 +2.9 45
2009-04-11 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-336.3 1382 1719 6.25% 11.17% 82.58%-2.07 -2.9 22
2009-04-11 Cukaricki W 2-042.4 1550 1469 57.60% 25.23% 17.17%+0.83 +6.9 40
2009-04-11 @ Javor L 0-242.4 1469 1550 17.17% 25.23% 57.60%-0.83 -7.0 23
2009-04-11 FK Rad L 0-248.0 1445 1497 40.35% 30.02% 29.62%+0.18 -14.2 28
2009-04-11 @ OFK Beograd W 2-048.0 1497 1445 29.62% 30.02% 40.35%-0.18 +14.2 30
2009-04-11 Napredak L 1-263.6 1525 1497 51.13% 27.71% 21.16%+0.57 -8.5 32
2009-04-11 @ Borac Cacak W 2-163.6 1497 1525 21.16% 27.71% 51.13%-0.57 +8.5 27
2009-04-12 Jagodina W 1-046.3 1505 1473 51.54% 27.58% 20.88%+0.59 +4.5 30
2009-04-12 @ Hajduk Rodic L 0-146.3 1473 1505 20.88% 27.58% 51.54%-0.59 -4.5 28
2009-04-12 Partizan L 0-254.9 1627 1783 26.49% 29.50% 44.01%-0.32 -10.4 43
2009-04-12 @ Vojvodina W 2-054.9 1783 1627 44.01% 29.50% 26.49%+0.32 +10.4 59
2009-04-18 Borac Cacak D 0-056.6 1462 1517 39.99% 30.06% 29.95%+0.17 -0.4 24
2009-04-18 @ Cukaricki D 0-056.6 1517 1462 29.95% 30.06% 39.99%-0.17 +0.4 33
2009-04-18 Hajduk Rodic D 1-164.4 1511 1509 47.67% 28.71% 23.62%+0.44 -0.9 31
2009-04-18 @ FK Rad D 1-164.4 1509 1511 23.62% 28.71% 47.67%-0.44 +0.9 31
2009-04-18 Jagodina W 2-043.3 1379 1469 35.02% 30.31% 34.67%+0.00 +12.8 25
2009-04-18 @ Banat Zrenjanin L 0-243.3 1469 1379 34.67% 30.31% 35.02%+0.00 -12.8 28
2009-04-18 Javor W 1-049.0 1794 1557 74.26% 16.27% 9.47%+1.58 +1.8 62
2009-04-18 @ Partizan L 0-149.0 1557 1794 9.47% 16.27% 74.26%-1.58 -1.8 40
2009-04-18 OFK Beograd W 1-043.2 1505 1431 56.83% 25.57% 17.60%+0.80 +3.8 30
2009-04-18 @ Napredak L 0-143.2 1431 1505 17.60% 25.57% 56.83%-0.80 -3.8 28
2009-04-18 Vojvodina L 0-166.5 1722 1617 60.44% 23.92% 15.64%+0.94 -10.2 45
2009-04-18 @ Red Star Belgrade W 1-066.5 1617 1722 15.64% 23.92% 60.44%-0.94 +10.2 46
2009-04-22 Banat Zrenjanin W 4-140.5 1627 1392 74.11% 16.36% 9.52%+1.58 +4.2 49
2009-04-22 @ Vojvodina L 1-440.5 1392 1627 9.52% 16.36% 74.11%-1.58 -4.2 25
2009-04-22 Cukaricki L 1-352.8 1427 1462 42.74% 29.71% 27.54%+0.27 -12.8 28
2009-04-22 @ OFK Beograd W 3-152.8 1462 1427 27.54% 29.71% 42.74%-0.27 +12.8 27
2009-04-22 FK Rad W 2-155.9 1456 1510 40.02% 30.06% 29.92%+0.17 +5.7 31
2009-04-22 @ Jagodina L 1-255.9 1510 1456 29.92% 30.06% 40.02%-0.17 -5.7 31
2009-04-22 Napredak W 1-049.1 1510 1509 47.60% 28.73% 23.67%+0.44 +5.0 34
2009-04-22 @ Hajduk Rodic L 0-149.1 1509 1510 23.67% 28.73% 47.60%-0.44 -5.0 30
2009-04-22 Red Star Belgrade W 1-062.3 1555 1712 26.40% 29.48% 44.11%-0.32 +8.1 43
2009-04-22 @ Javor L 0-162.3 1712 1555 44.11% 29.48% 26.40%+0.32 -8.1 45
2009-04-23 Partizan L 0-249.4 1517 1795 16.13% 24.37% 59.51%-0.92 -6.5 33
2009-04-23 @ Borac Cacak W 2-049.4 1795 1517 59.51% 24.37% 16.13%+0.92 +6.5 65
2009-04-25 FK Rad D 0-053.6 1388 1505 31.26% 30.18% 38.56%-0.13 +0.3 26
2009-04-25 @ Banat Zrenjanin D 0-053.6 1505 1388 38.56% 30.18% 31.26%+0.13 -0.3 32
2009-04-25 Hajduk Rodic W 2-046.1 1475 1515 41.92% 29.83% 28.25%+0.24 +11.0 30
2009-04-25 @ Cukaricki L 0-246.1 1515 1475 28.25% 29.83% 41.92%-0.24 -11.0 34
2009-04-25 Javor D 0-064.9 1631 1563 56.07% 25.88% 18.04%+0.77 -1.7 50
2009-04-25 @ Vojvodina D 0-064.9 1563 1631 18.04% 25.88% 56.07%-0.77 +1.7 44
2009-04-26 Borac Cacak W 2-044.7 1704 1511 70.00% 18.79% 11.21%+1.37 +4.2 48
2009-04-26 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-244.7 1511 1704 11.21% 18.79% 70.00%-1.37 -4.2 33
2009-04-26 Jagodina W 1-045.5 1504 1462 52.88% 27.12% 20.00%+0.64 +4.3 33
2009-04-26 @ Napredak L 0-145.5 1462 1504 20.00% 27.12% 52.88%-0.64 -4.3 31
2009-04-26 OFK Beograd W 4-142.9 1802 1414 85.98% 9.05% 4.97%+2.32 +1.9 68
2009-04-26 @ Partizan L 1-442.9 1414 1802 4.97% 9.05% 85.98%-2.32 -1.9 28
2009-05-02 Vojvodina FL59.4 1506 1630 30.40% 30.11% 39.49%-0.16 +0.0 33
2009-05-02 @ Borac Cacak FW59.4 1630 1506 39.49% 30.11% 30.40%+0.16 +0.0 53
2009-05-02 Banat Zrenjanin D 1-164.6 1565 1388 68.32% 19.76% 11.93%+1.29 -2.3 45
2009-05-02 @ Javor D 1-164.6 1388 1565 11.93% 19.76% 68.32%-1.29 +2.3 27
2009-05-02 Cukaricki L 1-259.0 1457 1486 43.65% 29.57% 26.79%+0.30 -7.5 31
2009-05-02 @ Jagodina W 2-159.0 1486 1457 26.79% 29.57% 43.65%-0.30 +7.5 33
2009-05-02 Red Star Belgrade D 1-169.4 1412 1708 15.10% 23.41% 61.49%-1.00 +1.9 29
2009-05-02 @ OFK Beograd D 1-169.4 1708 1412 61.49% 23.41% 15.10%+1.00 -1.8 49
2009-05-03 Napredak L 0-155.8 1504 1508 46.89% 28.90% 24.21%+0.42 -8.4 32
2009-05-03 @ FK Rad W 1-055.8 1508 1504 24.21% 28.90% 46.89%-0.42 +8.4 36
2009-05-03 Partizan L 1-258.8 1504 1804 14.88% 23.18% 61.94%-1.02 -3.0 34
2009-05-03 @ Hajduk Rodic W 2-158.8 1804 1504 61.94% 23.18% 14.88%+1.02 +3.0 71
2009-05-09 Borac Cacak D 1-166.8 1563 1506 54.61% 26.47% 18.92%+0.71 -1.4 46
2009-05-09 @ Javor D 1-166.8 1506 1563 18.92% 26.47% 54.61%-0.71 +1.4 34
2009-05-09 FK Rad L 0-155.0 1493 1496 47.08% 28.85% 24.07%+0.42 -8.5 33
2009-05-09 @ Cukaricki W 1-055.0 1496 1493 24.07% 28.85% 47.08%-0.42 +8.5 35
2009-05-09 Hajduk Rodic W 3-042.6 1706 1501 71.16% 18.11% 10.72%+1.43 +5.7 52
2009-05-09 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-342.6 1501 1706 10.72% 18.11% 71.16%-1.43 -5.7 34
2009-05-09 OFK Beograd W 6-140.0 1630 1414 72.24% 17.48% 10.28%+1.48 +7.3 56
2009-05-09 @ Vojvodina L 1-640.0 1414 1630 10.28% 17.48% 72.24%-1.48 -7.3 29
2009-05-10 Jagodina L 1-274.9 1807 1450 83.99% 10.29% 5.72%+2.17 -11.9 71
2009-05-10 @ Partizan W 2-174.9 1450 1807 5.72% 10.29% 83.99%-2.17 +11.9 34
2009-05-10 Napredak W 1-050.3 1391 1517 30.01% 30.07% 39.92%-0.18 +7.5 30
2009-05-10 @ Banat Zrenjanin L 0-150.3 1517 1391 39.92% 30.07% 30.01%+0.18 -7.5 36
2009-05-16 Banat Zrenjanin W 2-037.3 1508 1398 61.00% 23.65% 15.35%+0.97 +6.1 37
2009-05-16 @ Borac Cacak L 0-237.3 1398 1508 15.35% 23.65% 61.00%-0.97 -6.1 30
2009-05-16 Cukaricki D 0-057.9 1509 1485 50.64% 27.86% 21.49%+0.55 -1.2 37
2009-05-16 @ Napredak D 0-057.9 1485 1509 21.49% 27.86% 50.64%-0.55 +1.2 34
2009-05-16 Partizan L 1-550.4 1504 1795 15.39% 23.69% 60.93%-0.97 -9.7 35
2009-05-16 @ FK Rad W 5-150.4 1795 1504 60.93% 23.69% 15.39%+0.97 +9.7 74
2009-05-16 Red Star Belgrade L 1-549.5 1462 1712 18.01% 25.86% 56.13%-0.78 -11.6 34
2009-05-16 @ Jagodina W 5-149.5 1712 1462 56.13% 25.86% 18.01%+0.78 +11.6 55
2009-05-17 Vojvodina D 0-062.1 1496 1637 28.17% 29.82% 42.01%-0.25 +0.6 35
2009-05-17 @ Hajduk Rodic D 0-062.1 1637 1496 42.01% 29.82% 28.17%+0.25 -0.6 57
2009-05-21 Javor D 1-162.2 1407 1561 26.66% 29.54% 43.80%-0.31 +0.6 30
2009-05-21 @ OFK Beograd D 1-162.2 1561 1407 43.80% 29.54% 26.66%+0.31 -0.6 47
2009-05-23 Napredak W 2-153.6 1805 1508 79.49% 13.09% 7.43%+1.87 +1.2 77
2009-05-23 @ Partizan L 1-253.6 1508 1805 7.43% 13.09% 79.49%-1.87 -1.2 37
2009-05-24 Cukaricki D 0-053.1 1392 1486 34.35% 30.31% 35.34%-0.02 +0.0 31
2009-05-24 @ Banat Zrenjanin D 0-053.1 1486 1392 35.34% 30.31% 34.35%+0.02 -0.0 35
2009-05-24 FK Rad W 3-258.5 1723 1495 73.51% 16.72% 9.77%+1.55 +1.7 58
2009-05-24 @ Red Star Belgrade L 2-358.5 1495 1723 9.77% 16.72% 73.51%-1.55 -1.7 35
2009-05-24 Hajduk Rodic W 3-042.8 1561 1496 55.61% 26.07% 18.32%+0.75 +10.8 50
2009-05-24 @ Javor L 0-342.8 1496 1561 18.32% 26.07% 55.61%-0.75 -10.8 35
2009-05-24 Jagodina W 1-045.0 1636 1450 69.30% 19.20% 11.50%+1.34 +2.3 60
2009-05-24 @ Vojvodina L 0-145.0 1450 1636 11.50% 19.20% 69.30%-1.34 -2.3 34
2009-05-24 OFK Beograd W 2-148.1 1514 1408 60.60% 23.85% 15.56%+0.95 +3.1 40
2009-05-24 @ Borac Cacak L 1-248.1 1408 1514 15.56% 23.85% 60.60%-0.95 -3.1 30
2009-05-30 Banat Zrenjanin W 2-148.0 1404 1392 49.09% 28.33% 22.58%+0.50 +4.5 33
2009-05-30 @ OFK Beograd L 1-248.0 1392 1404 22.58% 28.33% 49.09%-0.50 -4.6 31
2009-05-30 Borac Cacak W 2-156.3 1485 1517 43.16% 29.65% 27.19%+0.28 +5.3 38
2009-05-30 @ Hajduk Rodic L 1-256.3 1517 1485 27.19% 29.65% 43.16%-0.28 -5.3 40
2009-05-30 Javor L 1-258.0 1448 1571 30.38% 30.11% 39.52%-0.16 -5.8 34
2009-05-30 @ Jagodina W 2-158.0 1571 1448 39.52% 30.11% 30.38%+0.16 +5.8 53
2009-05-30 Partizan L 0-151.3 1486 1806 13.77% 22.00% 64.24%-1.12 -2.9 35
2009-05-30 @ Cukaricki W 1-051.3 1806 1486 64.24% 22.00% 13.77%+1.12 +2.9 80
2009-05-30 Red Star Belgrade D 2-277.1 1507 1725 20.45% 27.35% 52.20%-0.62 +0.9 38
2009-05-30 @ Napredak D 2-277.1 1725 1507 52.20% 27.35% 20.45%+0.62 -0.9 59
2009-05-30 Vojvodina D 2-273.9 1493 1639 27.63% 29.73% 42.64%-0.27 +0.4 36
2009-05-30 @ FK Rad D 2-273.9 1639 1493 42.64% 29.73% 27.63%+0.27 -0.4 61

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-05-10 5.72% Jagodina 1450 2 @ Partizan 1807 1
2 2008-12-10 10.44% Hajduk Rodic 1515 2 @ Red Star Belgrade 1727 1
3 2008-08-31 10.73% Javor 1527 2 @ Red Star Belgrade 1731 0
4 2009-03-18 12.97% FK Rad 1477 1 @ Vojvodina 1632 0
5 2008-10-07 15.16% Banat Zrenjanin 1390 2 @ Borac Cacak 1503 1
6 2009-04-18 15.64% Vojvodina 1617 1 @ Red Star Belgrade 1722 0
7 2008-11-30 16.59% @ Borac Cacak 1503 1 Partizan 1774 0
8 2008-10-26 17.89% @ Cukaricki 1509 1 Partizan 1760 0
9 2008-09-13 19.18% OFK Beograd 1457 1 @ Napredak 1510 0
10 2008-10-29 19.93% @ Borac Cacak 1489 1 Red Star Belgrade 1713 0
11 2008-11-01 19.98% OFK Beograd 1465 1 @ Cukaricki 1508 0
12 2008-08-30 21.11% Jagodina 1479 1 @ FK Rad 1508 0
13 2009-04-11 21.16% Napredak 1497 2 @ Borac Cacak 1525 1
14 2008-11-08 23.85% Borac Cacak 1499 1 @ Cukaricki 1499 0
15 2009-05-09 24.07% FK Rad 1496 1 @ Cukaricki 1493 0
16 2008-11-29 24.10% Napredak 1476 2 @ OFK Beograd 1473 0
17 2009-03-18 24.14% Napredak 1493 1 @ Cukaricki 1490 0
18 2009-05-03 24.21% Napredak 1508 1 @ FK Rad 1504 0
19 2008-08-16 24.25% Hajduk Rodic 1520 1 @ Napredak 1515 0
20 2009-02-28 24.79% Cukaricki 1479 2 @ Jagodina 1469 1
21 2008-09-13 24.83% @ Banat Zrenjanin 1377 2 Javor 1548 0
22 2008-10-18 25.79% @ OFK Beograd 1471 2 Vojvodina 1633 1
23 2009-02-28 25.99% @ Napredak 1481 2 Vojvodina 1642 1
24 2009-03-08 26.33% Borac Cacak 1517 2 @ FK Rad 1493 0
25 2009-04-22 26.40% @ Javor 1555 1 Red Star Belgrade 1712 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-08-31 21.63 Javor 2 1527 10.73% @ Red Star Belgrade 0 1731 71.14% 18.13%
2 2008-11-29 15.96 Napredak 2 1476 24.10% @ OFK Beograd 0 1473 47.04% 28.86%
3 2008-09-13 15.71 @ Banat Zrenjanin 2 1377 24.83% Javor 0 1548 46.08% 29.09%
4 2009-03-08 15.22 Borac Cacak 2 1517 26.33% @ FK Rad 0 1493 44.21% 29.47%
5 2008-10-05 15.05 Partizan 2 1747 26.85% @ Red Star Belgrade 0 1719 43.57% 29.58%
6 2008-08-17 14.54 @ Vojvodina 2 1610 28.51% Red Star Belgrade 0 1748 41.62% 29.87%
7 2009-04-11 14.22 FK Rad 2 1497 29.62% @ OFK Beograd 0 1445 40.35% 30.02%
8 2008-11-15 12.87 Partizan 4 1757 58.29% @ Napredak 0 1489 16.78% 24.93%
9 2009-04-22 12.85 Cukaricki 3 1462 27.54% @ OFK Beograd 1 1427 42.74% 29.71%
10 2009-04-18 12.75 @ Banat Zrenjanin 2 1379 35.02% Jagodina 0 1469 34.67% 30.31%
11 2009-05-10 11.89 Jagodina 2 1450 5.72% @ Partizan 1 1807 83.99% 10.29%
12 2008-12-07 11.87 Javor 3 1546 31.41% @ Cukaricki 1 1481 38.39% 30.19%
13 2008-11-15 11.58 @ OFK Beograd 2 1465 39.57% Hajduk Rodic 0 1523 30.33% 30.10%
14 2009-05-16 11.56 Red Star Belgrade 5 1712 56.13% @ Jagodina 1 1462 18.01% 25.86%
15 2009-04-25 10.97 @ Cukaricki 2 1475 41.92% Hajduk Rodic 0 1515 28.25% 29.83%
16 2008-09-21 10.94 Partizan 3 1733 55.25% @ FK Rad 0 1490 18.53% 26.22%
17 2009-03-18 10.91 FK Rad 1 1477 12.97% @ Vojvodina 0 1632 65.95% 21.08%
18 2008-12-10 10.89 Hajduk Rodic 2 1515 10.44% @ Red Star Belgrade 1 1727 71.85% 17.71%
19 2009-03-21 10.85 @ OFK Beograd 2 1444 42.38% Cukaricki 0 1481 27.85% 29.77%
20 2008-10-04 10.83 @ Cukaricki 4 1503 50.11% Jagodina 1 1482 21.86% 28.03%
21 2009-05-24 10.80 @ Javor 3 1561 55.61% Hajduk Rodic 0 1496 18.32% 26.07%
22 2008-10-29 10.60 @ Napredak 2 1488 43.35% Cukaricki 0 1519 27.03% 29.62%
23 2009-03-14 10.59 @ Napredak 3 1482 37.07% Javor 1 1558 32.66% 30.27%
24 2008-08-31 10.54 Partizan 3 1719 56.33% @ OFK Beograd 0 1467 17.89% 25.78%
25 2009-04-12 10.42 Partizan 2 1783 44.01% @ Vojvodina 0 1627 26.49% 29.50%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-10-18 81.3 @ Partizan 2 1762 74.30% Javor 2 1525 9.45% 16.25%
2 2009-05-30 77.1 @ Napredak 2 1507 20.45% Red Star Belgrade 2 1725 52.20% 27.35%
3 2009-04-08 76.9 @ Cukaricki 4 1469 26.13% Vojvodina 4 1628 44.44% 29.42%
4 2009-03-14 76.6 @ OFK Beograd 2 1446 16.13% Red Star Belgrade 2 1724 59.49% 24.37%
5 2008-09-14 76.5 @ Cukaricki 2 1501 21.25% Red Star Belgrade 2 1710 51.00% 27.75%
6 2008-12-06 75.3 @ Partizan 1 1764 78.46% FK Rad 1 1480 7.82% 13.72%
7 2009-05-10 74.9 Jagodina 2 1450 5.72% @ Partizan 1 1807 83.99% 10.29%
8 2009-05-30 73.9 @ FK Rad 2 1493 27.63% Vojvodina 2 1639 42.64% 29.73%
9 2009-02-28 73.6 @ Partizan 1 1760 53.15% Red Star Belgrade 1 1716 19.83% 27.02%
10 2008-12-10 73.2 Hajduk Rodic 2 1515 10.44% @ Red Star Belgrade 1 1727 71.85% 17.71%
11 2008-11-01 71.9 @ Hajduk Rodic 1 1517 18.98% Partizan 1 1754 54.50% 26.51%
12 2008-11-01 71.5 @ Javor 2 1539 52.65% Borac Cacak 2 1498 20.15% 27.20%
13 2008-11-23 70.9 @ Javor 1 1538 24.25% Red Star Belgrade 1 1715 46.84% 28.91%
14 2008-09-21 69.8 @ Borac Cacak 2 1503 47.78% Napredak 2 1500 23.54% 28.68%
15 2009-03-08 69.4 @ Vojvodina 1 1634 69.74% OFK Beograd 1 1444 11.32% 18.94%
16 2009-05-02 69.4 @ OFK Beograd 1 1412 15.10% Red Star Belgrade 1 1708 61.49% 23.41%
17 2009-03-14 68.6 @ Borac Cacak 1 1532 33.53% Vojvodina 1 1632 36.17% 30.30%
18 2009-05-09 66.8 @ Javor 1 1563 54.61% Borac Cacak 1 1506 18.92% 26.47%
19 2008-12-10 66.5 @ Vojvodina 0 1641 30.89% Partizan 0 1761 38.96% 30.15%
20 2009-03-01 66.5 @ Hajduk Rodic 1 1526 42.65% Javor 1 1562 27.62% 29.73%
21 2009-04-18 66.5 Vojvodina 1 1617 15.64% @ Red Star Belgrade 0 1722 60.44% 23.92%
22 2009-03-21 66.2 @ Borac Cacak 1 1528 44.39% Javor 1 1550 26.17% 29.43%
23 2009-04-04 65.9 @ Javor 1 1551 55.23% FK Rad 1 1490 18.54% 26.23%
24 2009-02-28 65.7 @ Napredak 2 1481 25.99% Vojvodina 1 1642 44.62% 29.39%
25 2008-10-04 65.5 @ Javor 1 1526 47.60% Hajduk Rodic 1 1525 23.67% 28.73%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-11-29 35.4 @ Javor 3 1539 65.11% Banat Zrenjanin 0 1392 13.36% 21.53%
2 2008-12-10 35.6 @ Cukaricki 3 1469 56.86% Banat Zrenjanin 0 1394 17.59% 25.56%
3 2008-08-30 36.3 @ Napredak 2 1504 62.20% Banat Zrenjanin 0 1383 14.75% 23.05%
4 2009-04-11 36.3 @ Red Star Belgrade 3 1719 82.58% Banat Zrenjanin 0 1382 6.25% 11.17%
5 2009-03-07 36.6 @ Jagodina 2 1462 57.17% Banat Zrenjanin 0 1384 17.41% 25.42%
6 2009-05-16 37.3 @ Borac Cacak 2 1508 61.00% Banat Zrenjanin 0 1398 15.35% 23.65%
7 2008-11-01 38.1 @ Vojvodina 2 1620 72.50% Banat Zrenjanin 0 1402 10.17% 17.33%
8 2009-05-09 40.0 @ Vojvodina 6 1630 72.24% OFK Beograd 1 1414 10.28% 17.48%
9 2009-04-22 40.5 @ Vojvodina 4 1627 74.11% Banat Zrenjanin 1 1392 9.52% 16.36%
10 2008-09-20 40.8 @ OFK Beograd 1 1466 56.67% Banat Zrenjanin 0 1393 17.69% 25.63%
11 2008-08-17 41.4 @ Partizan 1 1714 82.28% Banat Zrenjanin 0 1382 6.37% 11.36%
12 2009-04-08 41.4 @ Jagodina 2 1464 48.73% OFK Beograd 0 1454 22.84% 28.43%
13 2008-09-20 41.6 @ Red Star Belgrade 3 1709 73.32% Jagodina 0 1482 9.84% 16.84%
14 2009-04-04 41.7 @ Partizan 1 1774 86.67% Banat Zrenjanin 0 1375 4.71% 8.61%
15 2009-03-07 42.0 @ Red Star Belgrade 4 1717 73.47% Napredak 0 1489 9.78% 16.75%
16 2008-11-29 42.3 @ Vojvodina 3 1628 64.09% Jagodina 0 1490 13.83% 22.07%
17 2009-04-11 42.4 @ Javor 2 1550 57.60% Cukaricki 0 1469 17.17% 25.23%
18 2009-03-21 42.6 @ Partizan 3 1770 75.78% Hajduk Rodic 0 1517 8.86% 15.36%
19 2009-05-09 42.6 @ Red Star Belgrade 3 1706 71.16% Hajduk Rodic 0 1501 10.72% 18.11%
20 2009-05-24 42.8 @ Javor 3 1561 55.61% Hajduk Rodic 0 1496 18.32% 26.07%
21 2008-11-08 42.9 @ Jagodina 2 1487 49.03% OFK Beograd 0 1475 22.62% 28.34%
22 2009-04-26 42.9 @ Partizan 4 1802 85.98% OFK Beograd 1 1414 4.97% 9.05%
23 2008-10-29 43.0 @ Partizan 2 1751 76.95% Jagodina 0 1484 8.41% 14.65%
24 2008-11-29 43.2 @ Red Star Belgrade 2 1714 73.62% Cukaricki 0 1484 9.72% 16.66%
25 2009-03-14 43.2 @ Partizan 2 1764 77.40% Cukaricki 0 1492 8.23% 14.37%