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2002-03 Slovak First Football League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Zilina

70 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Petrzalka

14.28 points above expected

67 points · 52.72 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

VSS Kosice

10.11 points below expected

30 points · 40.11 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Zilina 36 21 7 8 70 69 31 +38 62.65 +7.35
2 Petrzalka 36 20 7 9 67 49 32 +17 52.72 +14.28
3 Slovan Bratislava 36 19 6 11 63 60 42 +18 60.39 +2.61
4 Spartak Trnava 36 15 11 10 56 55 47 +8 49.53 +6.47
5 Puchov 36 14 8 14 50 46 47 -1 54.90 -4.90
6 Dubnica 36 12 7 17 43 41 52 -11 46.02 -3.02
7 Inter Bratislava 36 12 7 17 43 48 58 -10 48.03 -5.03
8 Ruzomberok 36 12 6 18 42 45 60 -15 44.54 -2.54
9 Trencin 36 11 5 20 38 48 69 -21 43.44 -5.44
10 VSS Kosice 36 6 12 18 30 41 64 -23 40.11 -10.11

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Petrzalka 67 52.72 +14.28
2 Zilina 70 62.65 +7.35
3 Spartak Trnava 56 49.53 +6.47
4 Slovan Bratislava 63 60.39 +2.61
5 Ruzomberok 42 44.54 -2.54

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 VSS Kosice 30 40.11 -10.11
2 Trencin 38 43.44 -5.44
3 Inter Bratislava 43 48.03 -5.03
4 Puchov 50 54.90 -4.90
5 Dubnica 43 46.02 -3.02

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Slovan Bratislava 7 Aug 24 – Oct 19 1 in 277
2 Trencin 3 Nov 17 – Mar 1 1 in 40
3 Petrzalka 5 May 21 – Jun 17 1 in 25
4 Zilina 5 May 17 – Jun 14 1 in 21
5 Spartak Trnava 3 May 31 – Jun 17 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ruzomberok 7 Aug 3 – Sep 21 1 in 1,769
2 VSS Kosice 9 Oct 5 – Mar 8 1 in 1,247
3 Inter Bratislava 4 Nov 17 – Mar 8 1 in 47
4 Slovan Bratislava 3 May 31 – Jun 17 1 in 22
5 Trencin 4 May 3 – May 21 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VSS Kosice 9 Jul 13 – Sep 14 1 in 235
2 Petrzalka 7 Oct 27 – Mar 9 1 in 18
3 Zilina 8 Nov 16 – Apr 5 1 in 16
4 Slovan Bratislava 7 Aug 24 – Oct 19 1 in 16
5 Spartak Trnava 6 Jul 13 – Aug 17 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VSS Kosice 12 Sep 21 – Mar 12 1 in 192
2 Ruzomberok 7 Aug 3 – Sep 21 1 in 51
3 Inter Bratislava 7 Nov 17 – Mar 23 1 in 24
4 Slovan Bratislava 4 Apr 20 – May 3 1 in 18
5 Puchov 4 Apr 26 – May 17 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Zilina 1706 70 +50 13 9.6 +3.4
Petrzalka 1623 67 +38 15 9.4 +5.6
Slovan Bratislava 1581 63 -48 3 8.5 -5.5
Spartak Trnava 1545 56 +48 10 5.7 +4.3
Puchov 1504 50 -34 6 7.4 -1.4
Dubnica 1463 43 -3 7 6.1 +0.9
Inter Bratislava 1472 43 -26 4 6.0 -2.0
Ruzomberok 1453 42 -18 4 5.9 -1.9
Trencin 1428 38 +1 5 6.3 -1.3
VSS Kosice 1377 30 -9 4 4.9 -0.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team DUB IB PET PUC RUZ SB ST TRE VK ZIL
Dubnica —
3-0-1
5.05
0-1-3
4.50
1-0-3
4.82
1-1-2
5.49
3-0-1
3.87
1-1-2
5.12
1-1-2
5.86
1-2-1
6.13
1-1-2
3.81
Inter Bratislava
1-0-3
6.08
 —
1-0-3
4.92
1-3-0
4.86
1-0-3
5.89
1-1-2
4.10
1-1-2
5.34
2-0-2
6.28
2-2-0
6.23
2-0-2
3.99
Petrzalka
3-1-0
6.63
3-0-1
6.24
 —
3-0-1
5.64
3-0-1
6.24
1-1-2
4.81
1-3-0
5.92
2-0-2
6.87
3-1-0
6.60
1-1-2
4.60
Puchov
3-0-1
6.32
0-3-1
6.28
1-0-3
5.49
 —
1-0-3
6.42
2-1-1
5.02
1-1-2
5.87
3-0-1
6.88
2-2-0
7.05
1-1-2
4.97
Ruzomberok
2-1-1
5.63
3-0-1
5.25
1-0-3
4.92
3-0-1
4.74
 —
0-2-2
4.15
0-1-3
5.12
2-0-2
6.12
1-1-2
6.40
0-1-3
3.75
Slovan Bratislava
1-0-3
7.28
2-1-1
7.05
2-1-1
6.34
1-1-2
6.12
2-2-0
7.01
 —
3-0-1
6.64
4-0-0
7.25
3-0-1
7.59
1-1-2
5.18
Spartak Trnava
2-1-1
6.02
2-1-1
5.80
0-3-1
5.22
2-1-1
5.28
3-1-0
6.02
1-0-3
4.50
 —
1-2-1
6.00
2-1-1
6.65
2-1-1
4.18
Trencin
2-1-1
5.27
2-0-2
4.84
2-0-2
4.30
1-0-3
4.26
2-0-2
5.01
0-0-4
3.91
1-2-1
5.13
 —
1-2-1
5.96
0-0-4
4.12
VSS Kosice
1-2-1
5.02
0-2-2
4.91
0-1-3
4.56
0-2-2
4.12
2-1-1
4.75
1-0-3
3.61
1-1-2
4.49
1-2-1
5.18
 —
0-1-3
3.32
Zilina
2-1-1
7.37
2-0-2
7.17
2-1-1
6.54
2-1-1
6.17
3-1-0
7.45
2-1-1
5.96
1-1-2
6.99
4-0-0
7.06
3-1-0
7.88
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.64 +12.1
Allowed 0.90 -9.8
Differential 0.94 +6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.89%8.89%7.50%3.06%1.11%0.56%25.00%
18.89%8.33%10.56%3.33%0.83%0.83%32.78%
27.50%10.56%7.22%1.11%0.56%0.56%27.50%
33.06%3.33%1.11%1.67%0.56%—9.72%
41.11%0.83%0.56%0.56%——3.06%
5+0.56%0.83%0.56%———1.94%
Total25.00%32.78%27.50%9.72%3.06%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.77
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%19.44%5.56%——38.89%
111.11%2.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
22.78%8.33%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
32.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%19.44%36.11%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.44 -0.31
SD 1.22 1.13 1.79
CV 1.07 0.78 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%5.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%30.56%
15.56%11.11%13.89%5.56%——36.11%
211.11%2.78%2.78%———16.67%
3—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
Total19.44%30.56%27.78%16.67%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.61 -0.28
SD 1.37 1.23 2.05
CV 1.03 0.76 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%2.78%———16.67%
122.22%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%—44.44%
28.33%13.89%5.56%———27.78%
38.33%—————8.33%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total44.44%30.56%19.44%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 0.89 +0.47
SD 0.96 1.01 1.42
CV 0.71 1.13 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%5.56%—2.78%—22.22%
15.56%13.89%11.11%5.56%2.78%—38.89%
211.11%16.67%5.56%———33.33%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total19.44%47.22%22.22%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.31 -0.03
SD 1.03 1.04 1.63
CV 0.81 0.79 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%30.56%
18.33%5.56%11.11%5.56%—2.78%33.33%
25.56%8.33%5.56%———19.44%
38.33%——2.78%2.78%—13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%25.00%25.00%13.89%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.67 -0.42
SD 1.13 1.43 2.05
CV 0.90 0.86 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
113.89%8.33%11.11%———33.33%
28.33%16.67%5.56%2.78%—2.78%36.11%
35.56%5.56%——2.78%—13.89%
4———————
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total30.56%38.89%22.22%2.78%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.17 +0.50
SD 1.29 1.16 1.58
CV 0.77 0.99 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—11.11%———16.67%
15.56%13.89%13.89%——2.78%36.11%
28.33%11.11%11.11%———30.56%
32.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
42.78%——2.78%——5.56%
5+———————
Total25.00%30.56%38.89%2.78%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.31 +0.22
SD 1.08 1.06 1.59
CV 0.71 0.82 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%13.89%5.56%2.78%—33.33%
1—2.78%13.89%——2.78%19.44%
25.56%11.11%8.33%—5.56%—30.56%
3—8.33%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total5.56%33.33%38.89%11.11%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.92 -0.58
SD 1.17 1.13 1.70
CV 0.88 0.59 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
15.56%11.11%11.11%8.33%——36.11%
25.56%5.56%13.89%2.78%—2.78%30.56%
3———5.56%——5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.89%30.56%30.56%22.22%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.78 -0.64
SD 0.90 1.33 1.42
CV 0.79 0.75 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%————19.44%
111.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
28.33%11.11%8.33%2.78%——30.56%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
48.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total38.89%41.67%13.89%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 0.86 +1.06
SD 1.48 0.87 1.77
CV 0.77 1.01 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Zilina 1706 70 62.65 +7.35 89.0% 44 51 58 63 67 73 80
Petrzalka 1623 67 52.72 +14.28 99.0% 35 39 48 52 59 67 70
Slovan Bratislava 1581 63 60.39 +2.61 64.0% 40 46 54 60 66 76 79
Spartak Trnava 1545 56 49.53 +6.47 81.0% 32 35 44 50 55 60 68
Puchov 1504 50 54.90 -4.90 34.0% 37 41 50 53 61 72 80
Inter Bratislava 1472 43 48.03 -5.03 23.0% 31 36 45 48 52 57 68
Dubnica 1463 43 46.02 -3.02 46.0% 25 32 40 45 52 59 70
Ruzomberok 1453 42 44.54 -2.54 42.0% 29 33 38 45 51 58 62
Trencin 1428 38 43.44 -5.44 27.0% 21 33 38 42 49 55 61
VSS Kosice 1377 30 40.11 -10.11 7.0% 19 29 34 40 46 55 58

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 23.5% * Clear Edge: 23.5% to 29.5% * Strong Edge: 29.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+33.33%
Strong Edge
56.11%21.11%22.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge
177 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0120.41500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.70 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.68+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.24 * Comfortable: 0.24 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Zilina, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Photo Finish
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.26 * Some Luck: 6.26 to 9.38 * Lucky: 9.38 to 12.51 * Wild Swing: 12.51 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.42 * Close: 1.42 to 2.13 * Off: 2.13 to 2.84 * Way Off: 2.84 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.09 points
Some Luck
07.8220
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.774
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.00%
Petrzalka
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
7.00%
VSS Kosice
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Wide Separation: 2.1 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 64.5% * Slight Edge: 64.5% to 68.5% * Clear Edge: 68.5% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85.5% * Clear Edge: 85.5% to 89.5% * Strong Edge: 89.5% to 93.5% * Dominant: 93.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 62.5% * Frequent: 62.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 16% * Frequent: 16% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 99.11
1.65
Coin-Flip Parity
11.652.13
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%64.5%73.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Clear Edge
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.36 * Slight Separation: 0.36 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18.5% * As Expected: 18.5% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Slight Separation
00.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.86
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.35
Weak Carryover
00.380.521
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.72
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.08
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.047
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Zilina42.00%29.00%14.00%10.00%3.00%—2.00%———
Petrzalka8.00%13.00%16.00%16.00%15.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%
Slovan Bratislava30.00%24.00%19.00%13.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
Spartak Trnava6.00%5.00%11.00%9.00%19.00%15.00%12.00%10.00%5.00%8.00%
Puchov13.00%18.00%11.00%11.00%16.00%13.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%—
Dubnica1.00%5.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%19.00%14.00%13.00%
Inter Bratislava—2.00%7.00%18.00%11.00%14.00%21.00%15.00%9.00%3.00%
Ruzomberok—3.00%5.00%6.00%11.00%15.00%9.00%16.00%14.00%21.00%
Trencin—1.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%12.00%12.00%14.00%26.00%18.00%
VSS Kosice——2.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%22.00%35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Puchov 100% —
Slovan Bratislava 100% —
Zilina 100% —
Petrzalka 98.00% 2.00%
Inter Bratislava 97.00% 3.00%
Spartak Trnava 92.00% 8.00%
Dubnica 87.00% 13.00%
Trencin 82.00% 18.00%
Ruzomberok 79.00% 21.00%
VSS Kosice 65.00% 35.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-07-12 Inter Bratislava W 2-045.9 1495 1553 47.45% 22.17% 30.38%+0.35 +15.0 3
2002-07-12 @ Dubnica L 0-245.9 1553 1495 30.38% 22.17% 47.45%-0.35 -15.0 0
2002-07-13 Petrzalka D 1-162.4 1448 1508 47.22% 22.19% 30.60%+0.34 -0.9 1
2002-07-13 @ VSS Kosice D 1-162.4 1508 1448 30.60% 22.19% 47.22%-0.34 +0.9 1
2002-07-13 Puchov W 2-155.2 1551 1548 55.00% 21.57% 23.43%+0.70 +6.0 3
2002-07-13 @ Zilina L 1-255.2 1548 1551 23.43% 21.57% 55.00%-0.70 -6.0 0
2002-07-13 Ruzomberok D 1-166.2 1531 1523 55.54% 21.51% 22.95%+0.72 -1.8 1
2002-07-13 @ Slovan Bratislava D 1-166.2 1523 1531 22.95% 21.51% 55.54%-0.72 +1.8 1
2002-07-13 Trencin W 3-041.0 1479 1515 50.33% 22.00% 27.67%+0.48 +20.2 3
2002-07-13 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-341.0 1515 1479 27.67% 22.00% 50.33%-0.48 -20.2 0
2002-07-20 Ruzomberok L 0-254.0 1538 1525 56.12% 21.44% 22.43%+0.75 -25.0 0
2002-07-20 @ Inter Bratislava W 2-054.0 1525 1538 22.43% 21.44% 56.12%-0.75 +25.0 4
2002-07-20 Slovan Bratislava W 2-153.8 1542 1529 56.20% 21.43% 22.37%+0.76 +5.8 3
2002-07-20 @ Puchov L 1-253.8 1529 1542 22.37% 21.43% 56.20%-0.76 -5.8 1
2002-07-20 VSS Kosice L 0-155.3 1510 1447 61.39% 20.65% 17.96%+1.04 -14.4 3
2002-07-20 @ Dubnica W 1-055.3 1447 1510 17.96% 20.65% 61.39%-1.04 +14.4 4
2002-07-20 Zilina L 1-260.7 1495 1557 46.85% 22.20% 30.94%+0.33 -10.7 0
2002-07-20 @ Trencin W 2-160.7 1557 1495 30.94% 22.20% 46.85%-0.33 +10.7 6
2002-07-21 Spartak Trnava D 1-164.6 1509 1499 55.73% 21.49% 22.78%+0.73 -1.8 2
2002-07-21 @ Petrzalka D 1-164.6 1499 1509 22.78% 21.49% 55.73%-0.73 +1.8 4
2002-07-27 Dubnica W 2-041.7 1501 1495 55.36% 21.53% 23.11%+0.72 +11.9 7
2002-07-27 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-241.7 1495 1501 23.11% 21.53% 55.36%-0.72 -11.9 3
2002-07-27 Inter Bratislava D 3-373.3 1462 1513 48.38% 22.12% 29.50%+0.39 -0.6 5
2002-07-27 @ VSS Kosice D 3-373.3 1513 1462 29.50% 22.12% 48.38%-0.39 +0.6 1
2002-07-27 Petrzalka W 1-046.7 1568 1507 61.25% 20.67% 18.08%+1.03 +5.1 9
2002-07-27 @ Zilina L 0-146.7 1507 1568 18.08% 20.67% 61.25%-1.03 -5.1 2
2002-07-27 Puchov W 4-148.8 1550 1548 54.87% 21.59% 23.55%+0.69 +14.8 7
2002-07-27 @ Ruzomberok L 1-448.8 1548 1550 23.55% 21.59% 54.87%-0.69 -14.8 3
2002-07-27 Trencin W 2-041.0 1523 1484 59.00% 21.05% 19.96%+0.90 +10.5 4
2002-07-27 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-241.0 1484 1523 19.96% 21.05% 59.00%-0.90 -10.5 0
2002-08-03 Puchov W 2-044.4 1513 1533 52.28% 21.84% 25.88%+0.57 +13.1 4
2002-08-03 @ Inter Bratislava L 0-244.4 1533 1513 25.88% 21.84% 52.28%-0.57 -13.2 3
2002-08-03 Ruzomberok W 4-364.7 1474 1565 42.97% 22.34% 34.69%+0.17 +7.8 3
2002-08-03 @ Trencin L 3-464.7 1565 1474 34.69% 22.34% 42.97%-0.17 -7.8 7
2002-08-03 Spartak Trnava D 2-269.2 1461 1513 48.21% 22.13% 29.65%+0.39 -0.7 6
2002-08-03 @ VSS Kosice D 2-269.2 1513 1461 29.65% 22.13% 48.21%-0.39 +0.7 8
2002-08-03 Zilina W 1-051.4 1483 1573 43.17% 22.34% 34.50%+0.17 +8.9 6
2002-08-03 @ Dubnica L 0-151.4 1573 1483 34.50% 22.34% 43.17%-0.17 -8.9 9
2002-08-04 Slovan Bratislava D 1-165.4 1502 1533 50.84% 21.96% 27.20%+0.50 -1.2 3
2002-08-04 @ Petrzalka D 1-165.4 1533 1502 27.20% 21.96% 50.84%-0.50 +1.2 5
2002-08-10 Dubnica W 2-151.3 1535 1492 59.37% 20.99% 19.64%+0.92 +5.1 8
2002-08-10 @ Slovan Bratislava L 1-251.3 1492 1535 19.64% 20.99% 59.37%-0.92 -5.2 6
2002-08-10 Inter Bratislava W 2-153.6 1514 1526 53.20% 21.76% 25.05%+0.61 +6.4 11
2002-08-10 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-253.6 1526 1514 25.05% 21.76% 53.20%-0.61 -6.4 4
2002-08-10 Petrzalka L 1-264.7 1557 1501 60.78% 20.76% 18.47%+1.00 -13.4 7
2002-08-10 @ Ruzomberok W 2-164.7 1501 1557 18.47% 20.76% 60.78%-1.00 +13.4 6
2002-08-10 Trencin W 2-150.5 1520 1481 58.96% 21.05% 19.99%+0.90 +5.2 6
2002-08-10 @ Puchov L 1-250.5 1481 1520 19.99% 21.05% 58.96%-0.90 -5.2 3
2002-08-10 VSS Kosice D 2-271.8 1564 1460 65.30% 19.84% 14.86%+1.27 -2.1 10
2002-08-10 @ Zilina D 2-271.8 1460 1564 14.86% 19.84% 65.30%-1.27 +2.1 7
2002-08-17 Ruzomberok W 5-044.0 1487 1543 47.66% 22.16% 30.18%+0.36 +35.0 9
2002-08-17 @ Dubnica L 0-544.0 1543 1487 30.18% 22.16% 47.66%-0.36 -35.0 7
2002-08-17 Slovan Bratislava W 1-048.9 1462 1540 44.84% 22.29% 32.88%+0.24 +8.5 10
2002-08-17 @ VSS Kosice L 0-148.9 1540 1462 32.88% 22.29% 44.84%-0.24 -8.5 8
2002-08-17 Trencin W 1-044.3 1520 1476 59.50% 20.97% 19.53%+0.93 +5.4 7
2002-08-17 @ Inter Bratislava L 0-144.3 1476 1520 19.53% 20.97% 59.50%-0.93 -5.4 3
2002-08-17 Zilina W 3-152.7 1520 1562 49.57% 22.05% 28.38%+0.45 +12.3 14
2002-08-17 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-352.7 1562 1520 28.38% 22.05% 49.57%-0.45 -12.3 10
2002-08-18 Puchov L 1-262.1 1514 1525 53.34% 21.74% 24.91%+0.62 -11.9 6
2002-08-18 @ Petrzalka W 2-162.1 1525 1514 24.91% 21.74% 53.34%-0.62 +11.9 9
2002-08-24 Dubnica W 2-043.7 1537 1522 56.39% 21.41% 22.20%+0.77 +11.5 12
2002-08-24 @ Puchov L 0-243.7 1522 1537 22.20% 21.41% 56.39%-0.77 -11.5 9
2002-08-24 Inter Bratislava W 5-042.7 1550 1525 57.41% 21.28% 21.32%+0.82 +25.9 13
2002-08-24 @ Zilina L 0-542.7 1525 1550 21.32% 21.28% 57.41%-0.82 -25.9 7
2002-08-24 Petrzalka W 2-042.1 1471 1502 50.86% 21.96% 27.18%+0.50 +13.7 6
2002-08-24 @ Trencin L 0-242.1 1502 1471 27.18% 21.96% 50.86%-0.50 -13.7 6
2002-08-24 Spartak Trnava W 2-154.1 1531 1533 54.51% 21.63% 23.86%+0.67 +6.1 11
2002-08-24 @ Slovan Bratislava L 1-254.1 1533 1531 23.86% 21.63% 54.51%-0.67 -6.1 14
2002-08-24 VSS Kosice L 0-251.6 1508 1471 58.83% 21.07% 20.09%+0.89 -26.1 7
2002-08-24 @ Ruzomberok W 2-051.6 1471 1508 20.09% 21.07% 58.83%-0.89 +26.1 13
2002-08-31 Petrzalka W 4-144.5 1499 1488 55.92% 21.47% 22.61%+0.74 +14.3 10
2002-08-31 @ Inter Bratislava L 1-444.5 1488 1499 22.61% 21.47% 55.92%-0.74 -14.3 6
2002-08-31 Ruzomberok W 1-044.8 1526 1482 59.54% 20.96% 19.50%+0.93 +5.4 17
2002-08-31 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-144.8 1482 1526 19.50% 20.96% 59.54%-0.93 -5.4 7
2002-08-31 Slovan Bratislava L 0-160.3 1576 1537 58.90% 21.06% 20.04%+0.90 -13.8 13
2002-08-31 @ Zilina W 1-060.3 1537 1576 20.04% 21.06% 58.90%-0.90 +13.8 14
2002-08-31 Trencin W 1-044.8 1511 1484 57.61% 21.25% 21.14%+0.83 +5.8 12
2002-08-31 @ Dubnica L 0-144.8 1484 1511 21.14% 21.25% 57.61%-0.83 -5.8 6
2002-09-01 Puchov D 1-165.8 1497 1549 48.28% 22.13% 29.59%+0.39 -1.0 14
2002-09-01 @ VSS Kosice D 1-165.8 1549 1497 29.59% 22.13% 48.28%-0.39 +1.0 13
2002-09-14 Inter Bratislava W 3-041.1 1551 1514 58.85% 21.07% 20.08%+0.89 +15.3 17
2002-09-14 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-341.1 1514 1551 20.08% 21.07% 58.85%-0.89 -15.3 10
2002-09-14 Spartak Trnava D 0-062.6 1550 1532 56.68% 21.37% 21.95%+0.78 -2.1 14
2002-09-14 @ Puchov D 0-062.6 1532 1550 21.95% 21.37% 56.68%-0.78 +2.1 18
2002-09-14 VSS Kosice L 1-259.5 1479 1496 52.58% 21.82% 25.60%+0.58 -11.8 6
2002-09-14 @ Trencin W 2-159.5 1496 1479 25.60% 21.82% 52.58%-0.58 +11.8 17
2002-09-14 Zilina L 1-355.8 1477 1562 43.83% 22.32% 33.85%+0.20 -17.5 7
2002-09-14 @ Ruzomberok W 3-155.8 1562 1477 33.85% 22.32% 43.83%-0.20 +17.5 16
2002-09-15 Dubnica W 3-041.1 1474 1516 49.49% 22.06% 28.45%+0.44 +20.7 9
2002-09-15 @ Petrzalka L 0-341.1 1516 1474 28.45% 22.06% 49.49%-0.44 -20.7 12
2002-09-21 Dubnica W 2-041.7 1498 1496 54.99% 21.57% 23.44%+0.70 +12.1 13
2002-09-21 @ Inter Bratislava L 0-241.7 1496 1498 23.44% 21.57% 54.99%-0.70 -12.1 12
2002-09-21 Slovan Bratislava L 0-152.2 1459 1567 40.70% 22.38% 36.92%+0.07 -10.1 7
2002-09-21 @ Ruzomberok W 1-052.2 1567 1459 36.92% 22.38% 40.70%-0.07 +10.1 20
2002-09-21 Spartak Trnava D 1-164.1 1467 1534 46.22% 22.23% 31.55%+0.30 -0.8 7
2002-09-21 @ Trencin D 1-164.1 1534 1467 31.55% 22.23% 46.22%-0.30 +0.8 19
2002-09-21 VSS Kosice W 2-152.3 1495 1508 53.12% 21.77% 25.11%+0.61 +6.4 12
2002-09-21 @ Petrzalka L 1-252.3 1508 1495 25.11% 21.77% 53.12%-0.61 -6.4 17
2002-09-21 Zilina W 1-051.5 1548 1579 50.84% 21.96% 27.20%+0.50 +7.3 17
2002-09-21 @ Puchov L 0-151.5 1579 1548 27.20% 21.96% 50.84%-0.50 -7.3 16
2002-09-28 Dubnica D 1-163.7 1501 1484 56.69% 21.37% 21.94%+0.78 -1.9 18
2002-09-28 @ VSS Kosice D 1-163.7 1484 1501 21.94% 21.37% 56.69%-0.78 +1.9 13
2002-09-28 Inter Bratislava W 3-040.7 1449 1511 47.03% 22.20% 30.78%+0.34 +22.1 10
2002-09-28 @ Ruzomberok L 0-340.7 1511 1449 30.78% 22.20% 47.03%-0.34 -22.1 13
2002-09-28 Petrzalka D 2-271.8 1535 1501 58.42% 21.13% 20.45%+0.87 -1.6 20
2002-09-28 @ Spartak Trnava D 2-271.8 1501 1535 20.45% 21.13% 58.42%-0.87 +1.6 13
2002-09-28 Puchov W 3-152.0 1577 1555 57.14% 21.31% 21.55%+0.81 +9.7 23
2002-09-28 @ Slovan Bratislava L 1-352.0 1555 1577 21.55% 21.31% 57.14%-0.81 -9.7 17
2002-09-28 Trencin W 4-038.0 1572 1466 65.49% 19.79% 14.72%+1.28 +14.8 19
2002-09-28 @ Zilina L 0-438.0 1466 1572 14.72% 19.79% 65.49%-1.28 -14.8 7
2002-10-05 Slovan Bratislava L 0-247.5 1451 1586 36.70% 22.38% 40.92%-0.08 -17.5 7
2002-10-05 @ Trencin W 2-047.5 1586 1451 40.92% 22.38% 36.70%+0.08 +17.5 26
2002-10-05 Spartak Trnava D 0-060.1 1485 1533 48.79% 22.10% 29.11%+0.41 -1.2 14
2002-10-05 @ Dubnica D 0-060.1 1533 1485 29.11% 22.10% 48.79%-0.41 +1.2 21
2002-10-05 VSS Kosice W 2-151.6 1488 1500 53.35% 21.74% 24.90%+0.62 +6.4 16
2002-10-05 @ Inter Bratislava L 1-251.6 1500 1488 24.90% 21.74% 53.35%-0.62 -6.4 18
2002-10-06 Ruzomberok W 5-142.2 1545 1471 62.50% 20.44% 17.06%+1.10 +14.3 20
2002-10-06 @ Puchov L 1-542.2 1471 1545 17.06% 20.44% 62.50%-1.10 -14.3 10
2002-10-06 Zilina D 0-062.6 1503 1587 43.94% 22.31% 33.74%+0.21 -0.6 14
2002-10-06 @ Petrzalka D 0-062.6 1587 1503 33.74% 22.31% 43.94%-0.21 +0.6 20
2002-10-19 Dubnica W 4-144.8 1587 1484 65.23% 19.86% 14.92%+1.27 +9.7 23
2002-10-19 @ Zilina L 1-444.8 1484 1587 14.92% 19.86% 65.23%-1.27 -9.7 14
2002-10-19 Inter Bratislava D 1-166.5 1559 1495 61.61% 20.61% 17.78%+1.05 -2.4 21
2002-10-19 @ Puchov D 1-166.5 1495 1559 17.78% 20.61% 61.61%-1.05 +2.4 17
2002-10-19 Petrzalka W 2-152.4 1604 1502 65.11% 19.88% 15.00%+1.26 +4.0 29
2002-10-19 @ Slovan Bratislava L 1-252.4 1502 1604 15.00% 19.88% 65.11%-1.26 -4.0 14
2002-10-19 Trencin W 2-147.0 1457 1434 57.33% 21.29% 21.39%+0.82 +5.6 13
2002-10-19 @ Ruzomberok L 1-247.0 1434 1457 21.39% 21.29% 57.33%-0.82 -5.6 7
2002-10-19 VSS Kosice W 2-041.7 1534 1493 59.23% 21.01% 19.76%+0.92 +10.3 24
2002-10-19 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-241.7 1493 1534 19.76% 21.01% 59.23%-0.92 -10.4 18
2002-10-26 Puchov W 2-046.6 1428 1557 37.60% 22.38% 40.02%-0.05 +18.8 10
2002-10-26 @ Trencin L 0-246.6 1557 1428 40.02% 22.38% 37.60%+0.05 -18.8 21
2002-10-26 Slovan Bratislava W 2-160.0 1475 1608 36.98% 22.38% 40.65%-0.07 +9.5 17
2002-10-26 @ Dubnica L 1-260.0 1608 1475 40.65% 22.38% 36.98%+0.07 -9.5 29
2002-10-26 Spartak Trnava W 5-147.2 1497 1545 48.82% 22.10% 29.08%+0.41 +23.0 20
2002-10-26 @ Inter Bratislava L 1-547.2 1545 1497 29.08% 22.10% 48.82%-0.41 -23.0 24
2002-10-26 Zilina L 0-249.9 1483 1597 39.69% 22.39% 37.92%+0.03 -18.6 18
2002-10-26 @ VSS Kosice W 2-049.9 1597 1483 37.92% 22.39% 39.69%-0.03 +18.6 26
2002-10-27 Ruzomberok W 1-043.3 1498 1463 58.62% 21.10% 20.28%+0.88 +5.6 17
2002-10-27 @ Petrzalka L 0-143.3 1463 1498 20.28% 21.10% 58.62%-0.88 -5.6 13
2002-11-02 Dubnica W 2-040.8 1457 1484 51.42% 21.91% 26.67%+0.53 +13.5 16
2002-11-02 @ Ruzomberok L 0-240.8 1484 1457 26.67% 21.91% 51.42%-0.53 -13.5 17
2002-11-02 Inter Bratislava W 2-153.3 1447 1520 45.39% 22.27% 32.34%+0.27 +7.9 13
2002-11-02 @ Trencin L 1-253.3 1520 1447 32.34% 22.27% 45.39%-0.27 -7.9 20
2002-11-02 Petrzalka L 1-263.6 1538 1504 58.50% 21.12% 20.38%+0.88 -13.0 21
2002-11-02 @ Puchov W 2-163.6 1504 1538 20.38% 21.12% 58.50%-0.88 +13.0 20
2002-11-02 Spartak Trnava L 0-162.4 1616 1522 64.40% 20.04% 15.55%+1.21 -15.0 26
2002-11-02 @ Zilina W 1-062.4 1522 1616 15.55% 20.04% 64.40%-1.21 +15.0 27
2002-11-02 VSS Kosice W 7-242.7 1598 1464 67.91% 19.17% 12.91%+1.44 +11.1 32
2002-11-02 @ Slovan Bratislava L 2-742.7 1464 1598 12.91% 19.17% 67.91%-1.44 -11.1 18
2002-11-09 Puchov L 0-249.3 1471 1525 47.90% 22.15% 29.95%+0.37 -21.7 17
2002-11-09 @ Dubnica W 2-049.3 1525 1471 29.95% 22.15% 47.90%-0.37 +21.7 24
2002-11-09 Ruzomberok L 0-151.8 1453 1471 52.57% 21.82% 25.61%+0.58 -12.5 18
2002-11-09 @ VSS Kosice W 1-051.8 1471 1453 25.61% 21.82% 52.57%-0.58 +12.5 19
2002-11-09 Zilina W 3-264.5 1512 1601 43.34% 22.33% 34.33%+0.18 +7.9 23
2002-11-09 @ Inter Bratislava L 2-364.5 1601 1512 34.33% 22.33% 43.34%-0.18 -7.9 26
2002-11-10 Slovan Bratislava L 1-263.4 1537 1610 45.48% 22.26% 32.25%+0.27 -10.4 27
2002-11-10 @ Spartak Trnava W 2-163.4 1610 1537 32.25% 22.26% 45.48%-0.27 +10.4 35
2002-11-10 Trencin W 4-249.1 1517 1455 61.36% 20.65% 17.98%+1.03 +7.4 23
2002-11-10 @ Petrzalka L 2-449.1 1455 1517 17.98% 20.65% 61.36%-1.03 -7.3 13
2002-11-16 Spartak Trnava D 1-164.4 1483 1526 49.36% 22.06% 28.58%+0.44 -1.1 20
2002-11-16 @ Ruzomberok D 1-164.4 1526 1483 28.58% 22.06% 49.36%-0.44 +1.1 28
2002-11-16 VSS Kosice W 1-042.2 1547 1441 65.53% 19.78% 14.68%+1.28 +4.1 27
2002-11-16 @ Puchov L 0-142.2 1441 1547 14.68% 19.78% 65.53%-1.28 -4.1 18
2002-11-16 Zilina D 2-277.1 1620 1593 57.72% 21.23% 21.04%+0.84 -1.5 36
2002-11-16 @ Slovan Bratislava D 2-277.1 1593 1620 21.04% 21.23% 57.72%-0.84 +1.5 27
2002-11-17 Dubnica W 3-144.5 1447 1449 54.49% 21.63% 23.88%+0.67 +10.6 16
2002-11-17 @ Trencin L 1-344.5 1449 1447 23.88% 21.63% 54.49%-0.67 -10.6 17
2002-11-17 Inter Bratislava W 1-047.4 1524 1520 55.12% 21.56% 23.32%+0.70 +6.4 26
2002-11-17 @ Petrzalka L 0-147.4 1520 1524 23.32% 21.56% 55.12%-0.70 -6.4 23
2002-11-23 Petrzalka D 0-058.2 1438 1531 42.80% 22.34% 34.86%+0.16 -0.5 18
2002-11-23 @ Dubnica D 0-058.2 1531 1438 34.86% 22.34% 42.80%-0.16 +0.5 27
2002-11-23 Puchov W 2-155.4 1528 1551 51.84% 21.88% 26.28%+0.55 +6.7 31
2002-11-23 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-255.4 1551 1528 26.28% 21.88% 51.84%-0.55 -6.7 27
2002-11-23 Ruzomberok W 4-039.2 1594 1482 66.04% 19.66% 14.30%+1.32 +14.4 30
2002-11-23 @ Zilina L 0-439.2 1482 1594 14.30% 19.66% 66.04%-1.32 -14.4 20
2002-11-23 Trencin L 2-361.9 1436 1458 52.08% 21.86% 26.06%+0.56 -11.1 18
2002-11-23 @ VSS Kosice W 3-261.9 1458 1436 26.06% 21.86% 52.08%-0.56 +11.1 19
2002-11-24 Slovan Bratislava L 1-358.2 1514 1618 41.06% 22.37% 36.57%+0.09 -16.6 23
2002-11-24 @ Inter Bratislava W 3-158.2 1618 1514 36.57% 22.37% 41.06%-0.09 +16.6 39
2003-03-01 Inter Bratislava W 3-039.8 1438 1497 47.26% 22.18% 30.55%+0.35 +22.0 21
2003-03-01 @ Dubnica L 0-339.8 1497 1438 30.55% 22.18% 47.26%-0.35 -22.0 23
2003-03-01 Petrzalka L 0-343.7 1425 1531 40.92% 22.38% 36.71%+0.08 -27.7 18
2003-03-01 @ VSS Kosice W 3-043.7 1531 1425 36.71% 22.38% 40.92%-0.08 +27.7 30
2003-03-01 Ruzomberok W 3-038.8 1635 1468 70.54% 18.39% 11.07%+1.63 +8.5 42
2003-03-01 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-338.8 1468 1635 11.07% 18.39% 70.54%-1.63 -8.5 20
2003-03-01 Trencin L 1-262.9 1534 1469 61.66% 20.60% 17.74%+1.05 -13.6 31
2003-03-01 @ Spartak Trnava W 2-162.9 1469 1534 17.74% 20.60% 61.66%-1.05 +13.6 22
2003-03-02 Puchov D 1-169.7 1609 1544 61.58% 20.61% 17.81%+1.05 -2.4 31
2003-03-02 @ Zilina D 1-169.7 1544 1609 17.81% 20.61% 61.58%-1.05 +2.4 28
2003-03-08 Ruzomberok L 0-153.2 1475 1459 56.51% 21.39% 22.10%+0.77 -13.3 23
2003-03-08 @ Inter Bratislava W 1-053.2 1459 1475 22.10% 21.39% 56.51%-0.77 +13.3 23
2003-03-08 Slovan Bratislava W 2-161.6 1547 1644 42.18% 22.36% 35.46%+0.13 +8.5 31
2003-03-08 @ Puchov L 1-261.6 1644 1547 35.46% 22.36% 42.18%-0.13 -8.5 42
2003-03-08 VSS Kosice W 1-039.0 1460 1398 61.37% 20.65% 17.98%+1.03 +5.0 24
2003-03-08 @ Dubnica L 0-139.0 1398 1460 17.98% 20.65% 61.37%-1.03 -5.0 18
2003-03-09 Spartak Trnava W 2-043.6 1559 1521 58.90% 21.06% 20.04%+0.90 +10.5 33
2003-03-09 @ Petrzalka L 0-243.6 1521 1559 20.04% 21.06% 58.90%-0.90 -10.5 31
2003-03-09 Zilina L 1-551.7 1483 1606 38.36% 22.39% 39.25%-0.02 -28.7 22
2003-03-09 @ Trencin W 5-151.7 1606 1483 39.25% 22.39% 38.36%+0.02 +28.7 34
2003-03-12 Dubnica W 3-254.7 1510 1465 59.65% 20.94% 19.40%+0.94 +4.8 34
2003-03-12 @ Spartak Trnava L 2-354.7 1465 1510 19.40% 20.94% 59.65%-0.94 -4.8 24
2003-03-12 Inter Bratislava D 0-054.4 1393 1462 45.94% 22.24% 31.82%+0.29 -0.8 19
2003-03-12 @ VSS Kosice D 0-054.4 1462 1393 31.82% 22.24% 45.94%-0.29 +0.8 24
2003-03-12 Petrzalka W 1-050.2 1635 1569 61.73% 20.59% 17.69%+1.05 +4.9 37
2003-03-12 @ Zilina L 0-150.2 1569 1635 17.69% 20.59% 61.73%-1.05 -5.0 33
2003-03-12 Puchov W 2-155.9 1472 1555 44.08% 22.31% 33.60%+0.21 +8.2 26
2003-03-12 @ Ruzomberok L 1-255.9 1555 1472 33.60% 22.31% 44.08%-0.21 -8.2 31
2003-03-12 Trencin W 1-044.0 1635 1454 71.55% 18.06% 10.39%+1.71 +2.9 45
2003-03-12 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-144.0 1454 1635 10.39% 18.06% 71.55%-1.71 -2.9 22
2003-03-15 Ruzomberok W 2-150.3 1451 1481 51.11% 21.94% 26.95%+0.52 +6.8 25
2003-03-15 @ Trencin L 1-250.3 1481 1451 26.95% 21.94% 51.11%-0.52 -6.8 26
2003-03-15 Spartak Trnava W 2-043.5 1392 1515 38.41% 22.39% 39.20%-0.02 +18.5 22
2003-03-15 @ VSS Kosice L 0-243.5 1515 1392 39.20% 22.39% 38.41%+0.02 -18.5 34
2003-03-15 Zilina D 0-063.0 1460 1640 30.74% 22.19% 47.06%-0.34 +1.0 25
2003-03-15 @ Dubnica D 0-063.0 1640 1460 47.06% 22.19% 30.74%+0.34 -0.9 38
2003-03-16 Puchov D 1-164.4 1463 1547 43.88% 22.32% 33.81%+0.20 -0.5 25
2003-03-16 @ Inter Bratislava D 1-164.4 1547 1463 33.81% 22.32% 43.88%-0.20 +0.5 32
2003-03-16 Slovan Bratislava W 2-051.2 1564 1638 45.35% 22.27% 32.38%+0.26 +15.8 36
2003-03-16 @ Petrzalka L 0-251.2 1638 1564 32.38% 22.27% 45.35%-0.26 -15.9 45
2003-03-22 Dubnica L 0-161.9 1622 1461 70.06% 18.54% 11.40%+1.59 -16.2 45
2003-03-22 @ Slovan Bratislava W 1-061.9 1461 1622 11.40% 18.54% 70.06%-1.59 +16.2 28
2003-03-22 Petrzalka W 2-157.8 1474 1580 40.82% 22.38% 36.80%+0.08 +8.8 29
2003-03-22 @ Ruzomberok L 1-257.8 1580 1474 36.80% 22.38% 40.82%-0.08 -8.8 36
2003-03-22 Trencin W 2-039.4 1548 1458 64.03% 20.13% 15.85%+1.19 +8.4 35
2003-03-22 @ Puchov L 0-239.4 1458 1548 15.85% 20.13% 64.03%-1.19 -8.4 25
2003-03-22 VSS Kosice W 3-035.7 1639 1410 74.86% 16.83% 8.31%+1.98 +6.3 41
2003-03-22 @ Zilina L 0-335.7 1410 1639 8.31% 16.83% 74.86%-1.98 -6.3 22
2003-03-23 Inter Bratislava W 2-149.0 1496 1462 58.49% 21.12% 20.39%+0.88 +5.3 37
2003-03-23 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-249.0 1462 1496 20.39% 21.12% 58.49%-0.88 -5.3 25
2003-04-05 Slovan Bratislava L 0-147.7 1404 1606 28.05% 22.03% 49.92%-0.46 -7.5 22
2003-04-05 @ VSS Kosice W 1-047.7 1606 1404 49.92% 22.03% 28.05%+0.46 +7.5 48
2003-04-05 Trencin W 2-038.4 1457 1450 55.51% 21.51% 22.97%+0.72 +11.9 28
2003-04-05 @ Inter Bratislava L 0-238.4 1450 1457 22.97% 21.51% 55.51%-0.72 -11.9 25
2003-04-05 Zilina D 1-169.0 1502 1645 35.57% 22.36% 42.08%-0.13 +0.3 38
2003-04-05 @ Spartak Trnava D 1-169.0 1645 1502 42.08% 22.36% 35.57%+0.13 -0.3 42
2003-04-06 Puchov W 1-049.8 1571 1556 56.39% 21.41% 22.20%+0.77 +6.1 39
2003-04-06 @ Petrzalka L 0-149.8 1556 1571 22.20% 21.41% 56.39%-0.77 -6.1 35
2003-04-06 Ruzomberok D 3-372.9 1477 1483 54.02% 21.68% 24.30%+0.65 -1.0 29
2003-04-06 @ Dubnica D 3-372.9 1483 1477 24.30% 21.68% 54.02%-0.65 +1.0 30
2003-04-12 Dubnica W 2-150.3 1550 1476 62.52% 20.44% 17.04%+1.10 +4.5 38
2003-04-12 @ Puchov L 1-250.3 1476 1550 17.04% 20.44% 62.52%-1.10 -4.5 29
2003-04-12 Inter Bratislava L 0-163.1 1645 1469 71.19% 18.18% 10.63%+1.68 -16.4 42
2003-04-12 @ Zilina W 1-063.1 1469 1645 10.63% 18.18% 71.19%-1.68 +16.4 31
2003-04-12 Petrzalka W 3-154.3 1438 1577 36.08% 22.37% 41.56%-0.11 +16.7 28
2003-04-12 @ Trencin L 1-354.3 1577 1438 41.56% 22.37% 36.08%+0.11 -16.7 39
2003-04-12 Spartak Trnava W 2-152.4 1613 1502 65.95% 19.68% 14.36%+1.31 +3.8 51
2003-04-12 @ Slovan Bratislava L 1-252.4 1502 1613 14.36% 19.68% 65.95%-1.31 -3.8 38
2003-04-13 VSS Kosice D 2-266.6 1484 1396 63.78% 20.18% 16.04%+1.18 -2.0 31
2003-04-13 @ Ruzomberok D 2-266.6 1396 1484 16.04% 20.18% 63.78%-1.18 +2.0 23
2003-04-19 Petrzalka L 0-154.2 1485 1561 45.11% 22.28% 32.61%+0.25 -11.0 31
2003-04-19 @ Inter Bratislava W 1-054.2 1561 1485 32.61% 22.28% 45.11%-0.25 +11.0 42
2003-04-19 Puchov D 1-162.3 1398 1555 33.84% 22.32% 43.84%-0.20 +0.5 24
2003-04-19 @ VSS Kosice D 1-162.3 1555 1398 43.84% 22.32% 33.84%+0.20 -0.5 39
2003-04-19 Ruzomberok W 2-040.7 1498 1482 56.57% 21.39% 22.04%+0.78 +11.4 41
2003-04-19 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-240.7 1482 1498 22.04% 21.39% 56.57%-0.78 -11.4 31
2003-04-19 Trencin L 1-258.8 1472 1454 56.63% 21.38% 22.00%+0.78 -12.6 29
2003-04-19 @ Dubnica W 2-158.8 1454 1472 22.00% 21.38% 56.63%-0.78 +12.6 31
2003-04-20 Slovan Bratislava W 1-052.8 1628 1617 55.96% 21.46% 22.58%+0.75 +6.2 45
2003-04-20 @ Zilina L 0-152.8 1617 1628 22.58% 21.46% 55.96%-0.75 -6.2 51
2003-04-23 Dubnica W 2-039.7 1572 1459 66.08% 19.65% 14.27%+1.32 +7.6 45
2003-04-23 @ Petrzalka L 0-239.7 1459 1572 14.27% 19.65% 66.08%-1.32 -7.6 29
2003-04-23 Inter Bratislava D 1-168.1 1611 1474 68.12% 19.12% 12.77%+1.46 -3.2 52
2003-04-23 @ Slovan Bratislava D 1-168.1 1474 1611 12.77% 19.12% 68.12%-1.46 +3.2 32
2003-04-23 Spartak Trnava W 2-042.9 1554 1510 59.55% 20.96% 19.49%+0.93 +10.2 42
2003-04-23 @ Puchov L 0-242.9 1510 1554 19.49% 20.96% 59.55%-0.93 -10.2 41
2003-04-23 VSS Kosice D 2-266.0 1467 1399 61.95% 20.55% 17.50%+1.07 -1.8 32
2003-04-23 @ Trencin D 2-266.0 1399 1467 17.50% 20.55% 61.95%-1.07 +1.8 25
2003-04-23 Zilina L 1-258.3 1470 1635 32.73% 22.28% 44.99%-0.25 -8.0 31
2003-04-23 @ Ruzomberok W 2-158.3 1635 1470 44.99% 22.28% 32.73%+0.25 +8.0 48
2003-04-26 Dubnica L 1-259.1 1477 1451 57.59% 21.25% 21.16%+0.83 -12.8 32
2003-04-26 @ Inter Bratislava W 2-159.1 1451 1477 21.16% 21.25% 57.59%-0.83 +12.8 32
2003-04-26 Slovan Bratislava D 0-061.9 1462 1608 35.26% 22.35% 42.39%-0.14 +0.4 32
2003-04-26 @ Ruzomberok D 0-061.9 1608 1462 42.39% 22.35% 35.26%+0.14 -0.4 53
2003-04-26 Spartak Trnava D 2-268.9 1465 1500 50.50% 21.99% 27.52%+0.49 -0.9 33
2003-04-26 @ Trencin D 2-268.9 1500 1465 27.52% 21.99% 50.50%-0.49 +0.9 42
2003-04-26 Zilina L 0-158.9 1564 1643 44.71% 22.29% 33.00%+0.24 -10.9 42
2003-04-26 @ Puchov W 1-058.9 1643 1564 33.00% 22.29% 44.71%-0.24 +10.9 51
2003-04-27 VSS Kosice W 1-040.1 1579 1401 71.36% 18.12% 10.52%+1.69 +3.0 48
2003-04-27 @ Petrzalka L 0-140.1 1401 1579 10.52% 18.12% 71.36%-1.69 -3.0 25
2003-05-03 Dubnica D 2-265.4 1398 1464 46.34% 22.23% 31.43%+0.31 -0.6 26
2003-05-03 @ VSS Kosice D 2-265.4 1464 1398 31.43% 22.23% 46.34%-0.31 +0.6 33
2003-05-03 Inter Bratislava L 0-248.6 1463 1465 54.42% 21.64% 23.94%+0.67 -24.3 32
2003-05-03 @ Ruzomberok W 2-048.6 1465 1463 23.94% 21.64% 54.42%-0.67 +24.3 35
2003-05-03 Petrzalka D 2-273.1 1500 1582 44.25% 22.31% 33.44%+0.22 -0.4 43
2003-05-03 @ Spartak Trnava D 2-273.1 1582 1500 33.44% 22.31% 44.25%-0.22 +0.4 49
2003-05-03 Puchov D 2-276.0 1607 1553 60.55% 20.80% 18.65%+0.99 -1.7 54
2003-05-03 @ Slovan Bratislava D 2-276.0 1553 1607 18.65% 20.80% 60.55%-0.99 +1.7 43
2003-05-03 Trencin W 4-251.1 1653 1464 72.15% 17.85% 10.00%+1.75 +4.1 54
2003-05-03 @ Zilina L 2-451.1 1464 1653 10.00% 17.85% 72.15%-1.75 -4.1 33
2003-05-10 Spartak Trnava W 2-151.7 1465 1500 50.39% 21.99% 27.62%+0.48 +7.0 36
2003-05-10 @ Dubnica L 1-251.7 1500 1465 27.62% 21.99% 50.39%-0.48 -7.0 43
2003-05-10 VSS Kosice W 3-141.3 1489 1397 64.19% 20.09% 15.72%+1.20 +7.2 38
2003-05-10 @ Inter Bratislava L 1-341.3 1397 1489 15.72% 20.09% 64.19%-1.20 -7.2 26
2003-05-11 Ruzomberok L 0-157.8 1555 1438 66.45% 19.56% 13.99%+1.34 -15.5 43
2003-05-11 @ Puchov W 1-057.8 1438 1555 13.99% 19.56% 66.45%-1.34 +15.5 35
2003-05-11 Slovan Bratislava L 0-248.1 1460 1606 35.28% 22.35% 42.37%-0.14 -17.0 33
2003-05-11 @ Trencin W 2-048.1 1606 1460 42.37% 22.35% 35.28%+0.14 +17.0 57
2003-05-11 Zilina W 2-161.7 1583 1658 45.17% 22.27% 32.55%+0.26 +8.0 52
2003-05-11 @ Petrzalka L 1-261.7 1658 1583 32.55% 22.27% 45.17%-0.26 -8.0 54
2003-05-17 Dubnica W 2-041.3 1650 1472 71.32% 18.13% 10.54%+1.69 +5.6 57
2003-05-17 @ Zilina L 0-241.3 1472 1650 10.54% 18.13% 71.32%-1.69 -5.6 36
2003-05-17 Inter Bratislava D 2-271.9 1540 1496 59.47% 20.97% 19.56%+0.93 -1.6 44
2003-05-17 @ Puchov D 2-271.9 1496 1540 19.56% 20.97% 59.47%-0.93 +1.7 39
2003-05-17 Trencin W 3-035.9 1454 1443 55.87% 21.47% 22.66%+0.74 +17.0 38
2003-05-17 @ Ruzomberok L 0-335.9 1443 1454 22.66% 21.47% 55.87%-0.74 -17.0 33
2003-05-17 VSS Kosice W 2-144.4 1493 1390 65.23% 19.86% 14.92%+1.27 +4.0 46
2003-05-17 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-244.4 1390 1493 14.92% 19.86% 65.23%-1.27 -4.0 26
2003-05-18 Petrzalka W 1-051.5 1623 1591 58.26% 21.16% 20.59%+0.86 +5.7 60
2003-05-18 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-151.5 1591 1623 20.59% 21.16% 58.26%-0.86 -5.7 52
2003-05-21 Puchov L 1-255.5 1426 1538 40.04% 22.38% 37.58%+0.05 -9.4 33
2003-05-21 @ Trencin W 2-155.5 1538 1426 37.58% 22.38% 40.04%-0.05 +9.4 47
2003-05-21 Ruzomberok W 3-038.5 1585 1471 66.21% 19.62% 14.17%+1.33 +10.9 55
2003-05-21 @ Petrzalka L 0-338.5 1471 1585 14.17% 19.62% 66.21%-1.33 -11.0 38
2003-05-21 Slovan Bratislava W 3-267.0 1466 1628 33.04% 22.29% 44.67%-0.24 +9.7 39
2003-05-21 @ Dubnica L 2-367.0 1628 1466 44.67% 22.29% 33.04%+0.24 -9.7 60
2003-05-21 Spartak Trnava D 1-164.0 1498 1497 54.75% 21.60% 23.65%+0.69 -1.7 40
2003-05-21 @ Inter Bratislava D 1-164.0 1497 1498 23.65% 21.60% 54.75%-0.69 +1.7 47
2003-05-21 Zilina L 1-348.7 1386 1655 20.94% 21.22% 57.84%-0.84 -9.4 26
2003-05-21 @ VSS Kosice W 3-148.7 1655 1386 57.84% 21.22% 20.94%+0.84 +9.5 60
2003-05-24 Dubnica W 3-038.1 1460 1476 52.74% 21.80% 25.45%+0.59 +18.8 41
2003-05-24 @ Ruzomberok L 0-338.1 1476 1460 25.45% 21.80% 52.74%-0.59 -18.8 39
2003-05-24 Inter Bratislava W 3-148.0 1417 1496 44.59% 22.29% 33.12%+0.23 +14.0 36
2003-05-24 @ Trencin L 1-348.0 1496 1417 33.12% 22.29% 44.59%-0.23 -14.0 40
2003-05-24 Petrzalka L 0-158.4 1547 1596 48.70% 22.10% 29.19%+0.41 -11.7 47
2003-05-24 @ Puchov W 1-058.4 1596 1547 29.19% 22.10% 48.70%-0.41 +11.7 58
2003-05-24 VSS Kosice W 2-145.2 1619 1377 75.71% 16.48% 7.81%+2.05 +2.0 63
2003-05-24 @ Slovan Bratislava L 1-245.2 1377 1619 7.81% 16.48% 75.71%-2.05 -2.0 26
2003-05-25 Spartak Trnava W 2-042.7 1665 1499 70.43% 18.43% 11.15%+1.62 +5.9 63
2003-05-25 @ Zilina L 0-242.7 1499 1665 11.15% 18.43% 70.43%-1.62 -5.9 47
2003-05-31 Puchov W 3-150.9 1457 1536 44.68% 22.29% 33.03%+0.24 +14.0 42
2003-05-31 @ Dubnica L 1-350.9 1536 1457 33.03% 22.29% 44.68%-0.24 -14.0 47
2003-05-31 Ruzomberok W 2-150.7 1375 1479 41.15% 22.37% 36.47%+0.09 +8.7 29
2003-05-31 @ VSS Kosice L 1-250.7 1479 1375 36.47% 22.37% 41.15%-0.09 -8.7 41
2003-05-31 Slovan Bratislava W 4-368.8 1493 1621 37.74% 22.38% 39.87%-0.04 +8.7 50
2003-05-31 @ Spartak Trnava L 3-468.8 1621 1493 39.87% 22.38% 37.74%+0.04 -8.7 63
2003-05-31 Trencin W 1-042.3 1607 1431 71.23% 18.16% 10.60%+1.68 +3.0 61
2003-05-31 @ Petrzalka L 0-142.3 1431 1607 10.60% 18.16% 71.23%-1.68 -3.0 36
2003-05-31 Zilina L 0-447.0 1482 1671 29.68% 22.14% 48.19%-0.39 -28.0 40
2003-05-31 @ Inter Bratislava W 4-047.0 1671 1482 48.19% 22.14% 29.68%+0.39 +28.0 66
2003-06-14 Dubnica D 2-266.6 1428 1471 49.37% 22.06% 28.57%+0.44 -0.8 37
2003-06-14 @ Trencin D 2-266.6 1471 1428 28.57% 22.06% 49.37%-0.44 +0.8 43
2003-06-14 Inter Bratislava W 2-149.6 1610 1454 69.69% 18.66% 11.66%+1.57 +3.1 64
2003-06-14 @ Petrzalka L 1-249.6 1454 1610 11.66% 18.66% 69.69%-1.57 -3.1 40
2003-06-14 Spartak Trnava L 1-355.3 1470 1501 50.85% 21.96% 27.19%+0.50 -19.8 41
2003-06-14 @ Ruzomberok W 3-155.3 1501 1470 27.19% 21.96% 50.85%-0.50 +19.8 53
2003-06-14 VSS Kosice W 3-140.6 1522 1383 68.25% 19.08% 12.67%+1.47 +5.8 50
2003-06-14 @ Puchov L 1-340.6 1383 1522 12.67% 19.08% 68.25%-1.47 -5.8 29
2003-06-14 Zilina L 1-266.1 1612 1699 43.58% 22.32% 34.09%+0.19 -10.0 63
2003-06-14 @ Slovan Bratislava W 2-166.1 1699 1612 34.09% 22.32% 43.58%-0.19 +10.0 69
2003-06-17 Petrzalka L 0-152.8 1472 1614 35.80% 22.36% 41.84%-0.12 -9.1 43
2003-06-17 @ Dubnica W 1-052.8 1614 1472 41.84% 22.36% 35.80%+0.12 +9.1 67
2003-06-17 Puchov W 4-041.9 1521 1528 53.92% 21.69% 24.39%+0.65 +23.7 56
2003-06-17 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-441.9 1528 1521 24.39% 21.69% 53.92%-0.65 -23.7 50
2003-06-17 Ruzomberok D 2-277.4 1709 1450 76.74% 16.04% 7.22%+2.15 -3.0 70
2003-06-17 @ Zilina D 2-277.4 1450 1709 7.22% 16.04% 76.74%-2.15 +3.0 42
2003-06-17 Slovan Bratislava W 5-256.0 1451 1602 34.54% 22.34% 43.13%-0.17 +21.1 43
2003-06-17 @ Inter Bratislava L 2-556.0 1602 1451 43.13% 22.34% 34.54%+0.17 -21.1 63
2003-06-17 Trencin D 3-368.0 1378 1427 48.57% 22.11% 29.32%+0.40 -0.6 30
2003-06-17 @ VSS Kosice D 3-368.0 1427 1378 29.32% 22.11% 48.57%-0.40 +0.6 38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2003-04-12 10.63% Inter Bratislava 1469 1 @ Zilina 1645 0
2 2003-03-22 11.40% Dubnica 1461 1 @ Slovan Bratislava 1622 0
3 2003-05-11 13.99% Ruzomberok 1438 1 @ Puchov 1555 0
4 2002-11-02 15.55% Spartak Trnava 1522 1 @ Zilina 1616 0
5 2003-03-01 17.74% Trencin 1469 2 @ Spartak Trnava 1534 1
6 2002-07-20 17.96% VSS Kosice 1447 1 @ Dubnica 1510 0
7 2002-08-10 18.47% Petrzalka 1501 2 @ Ruzomberok 1557 1
8 2002-08-31 20.04% Slovan Bratislava 1537 1 @ Zilina 1576 0
9 2002-08-24 20.09% VSS Kosice 1471 2 @ Ruzomberok 1508 0
10 2002-11-02 20.38% Petrzalka 1504 2 @ Puchov 1538 1
11 2003-04-26 21.16% Dubnica 1451 2 @ Inter Bratislava 1477 1
12 2003-04-19 22.00% Trencin 1454 2 @ Dubnica 1472 1
13 2003-03-08 22.10% Ruzomberok 1459 1 @ Inter Bratislava 1475 0
14 2002-07-20 22.43% Ruzomberok 1525 2 @ Inter Bratislava 1538 0
15 2003-05-03 23.94% Inter Bratislava 1465 2 @ Ruzomberok 1463 0
16 2002-08-18 24.91% Puchov 1525 2 @ Petrzalka 1514 1
17 2002-09-14 25.60% VSS Kosice 1496 2 @ Trencin 1479 1
18 2002-11-09 25.61% Ruzomberok 1471 1 @ VSS Kosice 1453 0
19 2002-11-23 26.06% Trencin 1458 3 @ VSS Kosice 1436 2
20 2003-06-14 27.19% Spartak Trnava 1501 3 @ Ruzomberok 1470 1
21 2003-05-24 29.19% Petrzalka 1596 1 @ Puchov 1547 0
22 2002-11-09 29.95% Puchov 1525 2 @ Dubnica 1471 0
23 2002-07-20 30.94% Zilina 1557 2 @ Trencin 1495 1
24 2002-11-10 32.25% Slovan Bratislava 1610 2 @ Spartak Trnava 1537 1
25 2003-04-19 32.61% Petrzalka 1561 1 @ Inter Bratislava 1485 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-08-17 35.01 @ Dubnica 5 1487 47.66% Ruzomberok 0 1543 30.18% 22.16%
2 2003-03-09 28.69 Zilina 5 1606 39.25% @ Trencin 1 1483 38.36% 22.39%
3 2003-05-31 28.01 Zilina 4 1671 48.19% @ Inter Bratislava 0 1482 29.68% 22.14%
4 2003-03-01 27.71 Petrzalka 3 1531 36.71% @ VSS Kosice 0 1425 40.92% 22.38%
5 2002-08-24 26.09 VSS Kosice 2 1471 20.09% @ Ruzomberok 0 1508 58.83% 21.07%
6 2002-08-24 25.94 @ Zilina 5 1550 57.41% Inter Bratislava 0 1525 21.32% 21.28%
7 2002-07-20 25.00 Ruzomberok 2 1525 22.43% @ Inter Bratislava 0 1538 56.12% 21.44%
8 2003-05-03 24.30 Inter Bratislava 2 1465 23.94% @ Ruzomberok 0 1463 54.42% 21.64%
9 2003-06-17 23.72 @ Spartak Trnava 4 1521 53.92% Puchov 0 1528 24.39% 21.69%
10 2002-10-26 22.96 @ Inter Bratislava 5 1497 48.82% Spartak Trnava 1 1545 29.08% 22.10%
11 2002-09-28 22.09 @ Ruzomberok 3 1449 47.03% Inter Bratislava 0 1511 30.78% 22.20%
12 2003-03-01 21.96 @ Dubnica 3 1438 47.26% Inter Bratislava 0 1497 30.55% 22.18%
13 2002-11-09 21.73 Puchov 2 1525 29.95% @ Dubnica 0 1471 47.90% 22.15%
14 2003-06-17 21.11 @ Inter Bratislava 5 1451 34.54% Slovan Bratislava 2 1602 43.13% 22.34%
15 2002-09-15 20.70 @ Petrzalka 3 1474 49.49% Dubnica 0 1516 28.45% 22.06%
16 2002-07-13 20.22 @ Spartak Trnava 3 1479 50.33% Trencin 0 1515 27.67% 22.00%
17 2003-06-14 19.82 Spartak Trnava 3 1501 27.19% @ Ruzomberok 1 1470 50.85% 21.96%
18 2003-05-24 18.84 @ Ruzomberok 3 1460 52.74% Dubnica 0 1476 25.45% 21.80%
19 2002-10-26 18.75 @ Trencin 2 1428 37.60% Puchov 0 1557 40.02% 22.38%
20 2002-10-26 18.63 Zilina 2 1597 37.92% @ VSS Kosice 0 1483 39.69% 22.39%
21 2003-03-15 18.45 @ VSS Kosice 2 1392 38.41% Spartak Trnava 0 1515 39.20% 22.39%
22 2002-10-05 17.53 Slovan Bratislava 2 1586 40.92% @ Trencin 0 1451 36.70% 22.38%
23 2002-09-14 17.47 Zilina 3 1562 33.85% @ Ruzomberok 1 1477 43.83% 22.32%
24 2003-05-17 17.02 @ Ruzomberok 3 1454 55.87% Trencin 0 1443 22.66% 21.47%
25 2003-05-11 16.98 Slovan Bratislava 2 1606 42.37% @ Trencin 0 1460 35.28% 22.35%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-06-17 77.4 @ Zilina 2 1709 76.74% Ruzomberok 2 1450 7.22% 16.04%
2 2002-11-16 77.1 @ Slovan Bratislava 2 1620 57.72% Zilina 2 1593 21.04% 21.23%
3 2003-05-03 76.0 @ Slovan Bratislava 2 1607 60.55% Puchov 2 1553 18.65% 20.80%
4 2002-07-27 73.3 @ VSS Kosice 3 1462 48.38% Inter Bratislava 3 1513 29.50% 22.12%
5 2003-05-03 73.1 @ Spartak Trnava 2 1500 44.25% Petrzalka 2 1582 33.44% 22.31%
6 2003-04-06 72.9 @ Dubnica 3 1477 54.02% Ruzomberok 3 1483 24.30% 21.68%
7 2003-05-17 71.9 @ Puchov 2 1540 59.47% Inter Bratislava 2 1496 19.56% 20.97%
8 2002-08-10 71.8 @ Zilina 2 1564 65.30% VSS Kosice 2 1460 14.86% 19.84%
9 2002-09-28 71.8 @ Spartak Trnava 2 1535 58.42% Petrzalka 2 1501 20.45% 21.13%
10 2003-03-02 69.7 @ Zilina 1 1609 61.58% Puchov 1 1544 17.81% 20.61%
11 2002-08-03 69.2 @ VSS Kosice 2 1461 48.21% Spartak Trnava 2 1513 29.65% 22.13%
12 2003-04-05 69.0 @ Spartak Trnava 1 1502 35.57% Zilina 1 1645 42.08% 22.36%
13 2003-04-26 68.9 @ Trencin 2 1465 50.50% Spartak Trnava 2 1500 27.52% 21.99%
14 2003-05-31 68.8 @ Spartak Trnava 4 1493 37.74% Slovan Bratislava 3 1621 39.87% 22.38%
15 2003-04-23 68.1 @ Slovan Bratislava 1 1611 68.12% Inter Bratislava 1 1474 12.77% 19.12%
16 2003-06-17 68.0 @ VSS Kosice 3 1378 48.57% Trencin 3 1427 29.32% 22.11%
17 2003-05-21 67.0 @ Dubnica 3 1466 33.04% Slovan Bratislava 2 1628 44.67% 22.29%
18 2003-04-13 66.6 @ Ruzomberok 2 1484 63.78% VSS Kosice 2 1396 16.04% 20.18%
19 2003-06-14 66.6 @ Trencin 2 1428 49.37% Dubnica 2 1471 28.57% 22.06%
20 2002-10-19 66.5 @ Puchov 1 1559 61.61% Inter Bratislava 1 1495 17.78% 20.61%
21 2002-07-13 66.2 @ Slovan Bratislava 1 1531 55.54% Ruzomberok 1 1523 22.95% 21.51%
22 2003-06-14 66.1 Zilina 2 1699 34.09% @ Slovan Bratislava 1 1612 43.58% 22.32%
23 2003-04-23 66.0 @ Trencin 2 1467 61.95% VSS Kosice 2 1399 17.50% 20.55%
24 2002-09-01 65.8 @ VSS Kosice 1 1497 48.28% Puchov 1 1549 29.59% 22.13%
25 2002-08-04 65.4 @ Petrzalka 1 1502 50.84% Slovan Bratislava 1 1533 27.20% 21.96%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-03-22 35.7 @ Zilina 3 1639 74.86% VSS Kosice 0 1410 8.31% 16.83%
2 2003-05-17 35.9 @ Ruzomberok 3 1454 55.87% Trencin 0 1443 22.66% 21.47%
3 2002-09-28 38.0 @ Zilina 4 1572 65.49% Trencin 0 1466 14.72% 19.79%
4 2003-05-24 38.1 @ Ruzomberok 3 1460 52.74% Dubnica 0 1476 25.45% 21.80%
5 2003-04-05 38.4 @ Inter Bratislava 2 1457 55.51% Trencin 0 1450 22.97% 21.51%
6 2003-05-21 38.5 @ Petrzalka 3 1585 66.21% Ruzomberok 0 1471 14.17% 19.62%
7 2003-03-01 38.8 @ Slovan Bratislava 3 1635 70.54% Ruzomberok 0 1468 11.07% 18.39%
8 2003-03-08 39.0 @ Dubnica 1 1460 61.37% VSS Kosice 0 1398 17.98% 20.65%
9 2002-11-23 39.2 @ Zilina 4 1594 66.04% Ruzomberok 0 1482 14.30% 19.66%
10 2003-03-22 39.4 @ Puchov 2 1548 64.03% Trencin 0 1458 15.85% 20.13%
11 2003-04-23 39.7 @ Petrzalka 2 1572 66.08% Dubnica 0 1459 14.27% 19.65%
12 2003-03-01 39.8 @ Dubnica 3 1438 47.26% Inter Bratislava 0 1497 30.55% 22.18%
13 2003-04-27 40.1 @ Petrzalka 1 1579 71.36% VSS Kosice 0 1401 10.52% 18.12%
14 2003-06-14 40.6 @ Puchov 3 1522 68.25% VSS Kosice 1 1383 12.67% 19.08%
15 2002-09-28 40.7 @ Ruzomberok 3 1449 47.03% Inter Bratislava 0 1511 30.78% 22.20%
16 2003-04-19 40.7 @ Spartak Trnava 2 1498 56.57% Ruzomberok 0 1482 22.04% 21.39%
17 2002-11-02 40.8 @ Ruzomberok 2 1457 51.42% Dubnica 0 1484 26.67% 21.91%
18 2002-07-13 41.0 @ Spartak Trnava 3 1479 50.33% Trencin 0 1515 27.67% 22.00%
19 2002-07-27 41.0 @ Slovan Bratislava 2 1523 59.00% Trencin 0 1484 19.96% 21.05%
20 2002-09-14 41.1 @ Slovan Bratislava 3 1551 58.85% Inter Bratislava 0 1514 20.08% 21.07%
21 2002-09-15 41.1 @ Petrzalka 3 1474 49.49% Dubnica 0 1516 28.45% 22.06%
22 2003-05-10 41.3 @ Inter Bratislava 3 1489 64.19% VSS Kosice 1 1397 15.72% 20.09%
23 2003-05-17 41.3 @ Zilina 2 1650 71.32% Dubnica 0 1472 10.54% 18.13%
24 2002-07-27 41.7 @ Spartak Trnava 2 1501 55.36% Dubnica 0 1495 23.11% 21.53%
25 2002-09-21 41.7 @ Inter Bratislava 2 1498 54.99% Dubnica 0 1496 23.44% 21.57%