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2003-04 Slovak First Football League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Zilina

64 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dukla Banska Bystrica

12.41 points above expected

64 points · 51.59 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Slovan Bratislava

15.00 points below expected

29 points · 44.00 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Zilina 36 17 13 6 64 62 35 +27 61.18 +2.82
2 Dukla Banska Bystrica 36 17 13 6 64 58 36 +22 51.59 +12.41
3 Ruzomberok 36 15 10 11 55 54 48 +6 49.08 +5.92
4 Spartak Trnava 36 15 8 13 53 47 47 0 51.93 +1.07
5 Laugaricio Trencin 36 13 9 14 48 37 43 -6 44.40 +3.60
6 Dubnica 36 12 10 14 46 41 42 -1 45.73 +0.27
7 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 36 12 9 15 45 38 44 -6 46.82 -1.82
8 Artmedia Petrzalka 36 10 14 12 44 43 44 -1 51.65 -7.65
9 Matador Puchov 36 10 9 17 39 34 54 -20 41.53 -2.53
10 Slovan Bratislava 36 6 11 19 29 37 58 -21 44.00 -15.00

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dukla Banska Bystrica 64 51.59 +12.41
2 Ruzomberok 55 49.08 +5.92
3 Laugaricio Trencin 48 44.40 +3.60
4 Zilina 64 61.18 +2.82
5 Spartak Trnava 53 51.93 +1.07

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Slovan Bratislava 29 44.00 -15.00
2 Artmedia Petrzalka 44 51.65 -7.65
3 Matador Puchov 39 41.53 -2.53
4 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 45 46.82 -1.82
5 Dubnica 46 45.73 +0.27

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spartak Trnava 5 Nov 16 – Mar 17 1 in 270
2 Zilina 6 Apr 10 – May 16 1 in 75
3 Artmedia Petrzalka 3 Nov 9 – Nov 30 1 in 18
4 Dubnica 2 Oct 18 – Oct 25 1 in 14
5 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 2 Oct 18 – Oct 25 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Slovan Bratislava 7 Apr 18 – May 22 1 in 480
2 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 5 Nov 8 – Mar 6 1 in 170
3 Spartak Trnava 4 Oct 19 – Nov 9 1 in 111
4 Laugaricio Trencin 3 Sep 13 – Sep 27 1 in 36
5 Matador Puchov 4 Nov 29 – Mar 17 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Laugaricio Trencin 10 Mar 23 – May 18 1 in 157
2 Matador Puchov 8 Apr 17 – May 25 1 in 118
3 Artmedia Petrzalka 9 Oct 26 – Mar 17 1 in 36
4 Zilina 13 Apr 3 – Jun 8 1 in 19
5 Spartak Trnava 7 Aug 16 – Oct 4 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Artmedia Petrzalka 10 Mar 20 – May 18 1 in 123
2 Zilina 6 Nov 15 – Mar 17 1 in 54
3 Slovan Bratislava 12 Apr 10 – Jun 8 1 in 41
4 Spartak Trnava 6 Apr 10 – May 16 1 in 32
5 Matador Puchov 7 Aug 31 – Oct 26 1 in 23

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Zilina 1695 64 +35 13 10.3 +2.7
Dukla Banska Bystrica 1606 64 +49 11 8.7 +2.3
Ruzomberok 1530 55 -10 7 6.0 +1.0
Spartak Trnava 1521 53 -13 9 7.0 +2.0
Laugaricio Trencin 1491 48 -21 4 5.7 -1.7
Dubnica 1499 46 -5 5 6.7 -1.7
Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 1477 45 -11 6 5.8 +0.2
Artmedia Petrzalka 1506 44 +19 9 6.6 +2.4
Matador Puchov 1421 39 -8 5 5.6 -0.6
Slovan Bratislava 1382 29 -34 1 5.6 -4.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AP DUB DBB ISB LT MP RUZ SB ST ZIL
Artmedia Petrzalka —
1-1-2
6.00
0-2-2
5.62
2-1-1
5.88
2-2-0
6.01
2-2-0
6.46
1-0-3
5.57
1-3-0
6.13
1-1-2
5.57
0-2-2
4.73
Dubnica
2-1-1
4.86
 —
2-0-2
4.88
1-2-1
5.40
0-1-3
5.57
1-1-2
5.83
1-1-2
5.14
2-1-1
5.32
3-0-1
4.95
0-3-1
3.62
Dukla Banska Bystrica
2-2-0
5.16
2-0-2
5.93
 —
3-1-0
5.92
1-3-0
5.97
3-1-0
6.51
2-1-1
5.62
2-2-0
5.90
2-1-1
5.42
0-2-2
4.47
Inter Slovnaft Bratislava
1-1-2
4.92
1-2-1
5.41
0-1-3
4.90
 —
3-0-1
5.58
2-1-1
5.74
0-1-3
5.21
2-1-1
5.85
2-0-2
4.77
1-2-1
3.97
Laugaricio Trencin
0-2-2
4.82
3-1-0
5.26
0-3-1
4.90
1-0-3
5.24
 —
1-1-2
5.77
1-2-1
4.88
3-0-1
5.35
2-0-2
4.71
2-0-2
3.84
Matador Puchov
0-2-2
4.39
2-1-1
5.02
0-1-3
4.39
1-1-2
5.06
2-1-1
5.10
 —
2-0-2
4.52
2-1-1
5.27
1-1-2
4.55
0-1-3
3.71
Ruzomberok
3-0-1
5.25
2-1-1
5.69
1-1-2
5.17
3-1-0
5.60
1-2-1
5.94
2-0-2
6.29
 —
2-1-1
6.02
0-3-1
5.16
1-1-2
4.28
Slovan Bratislava
0-3-1
4.73
1-1-2
5.48
0-2-2
4.92
1-1-2
4.95
1-0-3
5.52
1-1-2
5.55
1-1-2
4.86
 —
0-1-3
4.73
1-1-2
3.71
Spartak Trnava
2-1-1
5.26
1-0-3
5.87
1-1-2
5.40
2-0-2
6.07
2-0-2
6.14
2-1-1
6.32
1-3-0
5.68
3-1-0
6.12
 —
1-1-2
4.52
Zilina
2-2-0
6.10
1-3-0
7.25
2-2-0
6.36
1-2-1
6.91
2-0-2
7.04
3-1-0
7.26
2-1-1
6.56
2-1-1
7.29
2-1-1
6.34
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +9.8
Allowed 0.72 -12.8
Differential 0.90 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.89%5.28%5.00%1.11%0.56%31.94%
18.89%12.78%6.39%3.89%1.11%—33.06%
25.28%6.39%3.89%1.67%0.83%0.28%18.33%
35.00%3.89%1.67%1.67%—0.28%12.50%
41.11%1.11%0.83%———3.06%
5+0.56%—0.28%0.28%——1.11%
Total31.94%33.06%18.33%12.50%3.06%1.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.25 +0.00
SD 1.19 1.19 1.74
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
15.56%22.22%8.33%2.78%——38.89%
22.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%—2.78%19.44%
311.11%—2.78%———13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%33.33%25.00%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.22 -0.03
SD 1.01 1.15 1.56
CV 0.84 0.94 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%8.33%11.11%2.78%——38.89%
18.33%8.33%2.78%8.33%——27.78%
28.33%5.56%—5.56%——19.44%
32.78%2.78%—2.78%——8.33%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total36.11%30.56%13.89%19.44%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.17 -0.03
SD 1.20 1.13 1.61
CV 1.05 0.97 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%—8.33%2.78%2.78%—33.33%
18.33%13.89%————22.22%
22.78%11.11%2.78%—2.78%—19.44%
35.56%—5.56%———11.11%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+5.56%—2.78%———8.33%
Total44.44%25.00%22.22%2.78%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.00 +0.61
SD 1.66 1.15 2.06
CV 1.03 1.15 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%11.11%8.33%——41.67%
113.89%5.56%11.11%———30.56%
22.78%2.78%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
32.78%8.33%—2.78%——13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total33.33%27.78%25.00%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.22 -0.17
SD 1.17 1.12 1.63
CV 1.11 0.92 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%5.56%2.78%—2.78%36.11%
113.89%11.11%—8.33%2.78%—36.11%
28.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%8.33%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.11%36.11%8.33%13.89%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.19 -0.17
SD 1.00 1.31 1.75
CV 0.97 1.09 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%13.89%5.56%—41.67%
111.11%16.67%8.33%2.78%——38.89%
22.78%2.78%————5.56%
32.78%5.56%—2.78%——11.11%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total22.22%36.11%16.67%19.44%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.50 -0.56
SD 1.09 1.21 1.81
CV 1.16 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%—2.78%——16.67%
15.56%13.89%8.33%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
25.56%13.89%5.56%—2.78%—27.78%
38.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%38.89%19.44%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.33 +0.17
SD 1.00 1.15 1.54
CV 0.67 0.86 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%——2.78%—30.56%
12.78%13.89%11.11%8.33%5.56%—41.67%
28.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%——22.22%
3———2.78%—2.78%5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%36.11%13.89%16.67%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.61 -0.58
SD 0.88 1.38 1.36
CV 0.85 0.86 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%—11.11%—2.78%30.56%
116.67%8.33%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
25.56%5.56%11.11%———22.22%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total33.33%30.56%16.67%16.67%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.31 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.35 2.06
CV 0.98 1.03 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
12.78%13.89%8.33%———25.00%
25.56%8.33%5.56%———19.44%
311.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+———————
Total36.11%36.11%22.22%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.97 +0.75
SD 1.30 0.91 1.57
CV 0.76 0.94 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Zilina 1695 64 61.18 +2.82 69.0% 43 49 56 62 66 72 80
Dukla Banska Bystrica 1606 64 51.59 +12.41 95.0% 34 37 45 52 57 64 72
Ruzomberok 1530 55 49.08 +5.92 76.0% 33 38 44 48 55 60 70
Spartak Trnava 1521 53 51.93 +1.07 59.0% 33 38 47 51 57 64 69
Artmedia Petrzalka 1506 44 51.65 -7.65 16.0% 31 38 47 51 57 65 72
Dubnica 1499 46 45.73 +0.27 55.0% 30 34 41 46 50 57 60
Laugaricio Trencin 1491 48 44.40 +3.60 73.0% 27 33 40 44 49 56 58
Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 1477 45 46.82 -1.82 49.0% 34 36 41 46 52 60 66
Matador Puchov 1421 39 41.53 -2.53 41.0% 28 30 37 41 45 54 71
Slovan Bratislava 1382 29 44.00 -15.00 3.0% 27 31 38 45 50 55 61

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 23.5% * Clear Edge: 23.5% to 29.5% * Strong Edge: 29.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+28.33%
Clear Edge
49.44%29.44%21.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge
188 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0101.21500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.59 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.54+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.24 * Comfortable: 0.24 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
61%
Zilina, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.87 * Some Luck: 5.87 to 8.8 * Lucky: 8.8 to 11.73 * Wild Swing: 11.73 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.66 * Close: 1.66 to 2.48 * Off: 2.48 to 3.31 * Way Off: 3.31 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.10 points
Some Luck
07.3318
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.80
Close
02.075
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.00%
Dukla Banska Bystrica
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
3.00%
Slovan Bratislava
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Wide Separation: 2.1 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 64.5% * Slight Edge: 64.5% to 68.5% * Clear Edge: 68.5% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85.5% * Clear Edge: 85.5% to 89.5% * Strong Edge: 89.5% to 93.5% * Dominant: 93.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 62.5% * Frequent: 62.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 16% * Frequent: 16% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 88.11
1.41
Coin-Flip Parity
11.652.13
Interquartile Edge
57%
Even
50%64.5%73.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Clear Edge
50%84%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Frequent
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.36 * Slight Separation: 0.36 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18.5% * As Expected: 18.5% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Slight Separation
00.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.85
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
-0.26
Weak Carryover
00.380.521
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.01
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.00
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.065
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Zilina61.00%18.00%12.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%———
Dukla Banska Bystrica11.00%19.00%13.00%11.00%13.00%9.00%6.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%
Ruzomberok4.00%12.00%15.00%16.00%5.00%16.00%9.00%11.00%7.00%5.00%
Spartak Trnava7.00%23.00%9.00%13.00%21.00%7.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%
Laugaricio Trencin2.00%2.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%14.00%13.00%18.00%15.00%14.00%
Dubnica1.00%2.00%8.00%13.00%13.00%11.00%15.00%12.00%12.00%13.00%
Inter Slovnaft Bratislava5.00%5.00%9.00%11.00%8.00%13.00%11.00%17.00%11.00%10.00%
Artmedia Petrzalka8.00%15.00%18.00%11.00%12.00%15.00%7.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%
Matador Puchov1.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%7.00%6.00%13.00%15.00%24.00%27.00%
Slovan Bratislava—3.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%8.00%16.00%11.00%15.00%19.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Zilina 100% —
Dukla Banska Bystrica 97.00% 3.00%
Spartak Trnava 96.00% 4.00%
Artmedia Petrzalka 95.00% 5.00%
Ruzomberok 95.00% 5.00%
Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 90.00% 10.00%
Dubnica 87.00% 13.00%
Laugaricio Trencin 86.00% 14.00%
Slovan Bratislava 81.00% 19.00%
Matador Puchov 73.00% 27.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2003-07-19 Ruzomberok D 1-162.6 1521 1483 53.13% 28.19% 18.68%+0.74 -1.8 1
2003-07-19 @ Spartak Trnava D 1-162.6 1483 1521 18.68% 28.19% 53.13%-0.74 +1.8 1
2003-07-19 Slovan Bratislava D 0-057.7 1487 1536 42.09% 30.76% 27.16%+0.28 -0.8 1
2003-07-19 @ Dubnica D 0-057.7 1536 1487 27.16% 30.76% 42.09%-0.28 +0.8 1
2003-07-19 Laugaricio Trencin W 4-145.5 1491 1473 50.70% 28.96% 20.34%+0.63 +13.7 3
2003-07-19 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava L 1-445.5 1473 1491 20.34% 28.96% 50.70%-0.63 -13.7 0
2003-07-19 Zilina D 0-059.6 1487 1594 33.83% 31.24% 34.93%-0.03 +0.1 1
2003-07-19 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-059.6 1594 1487 34.93% 31.24% 33.83%+0.03 -0.1 1
2003-07-20 Matador Puchov W 3-042.8 1553 1503 54.50% 27.71% 17.79%+0.80 +14.3 3
2003-07-20 @ Artmedia Petrzalka L 0-342.8 1503 1553 17.79% 27.71% 54.50%-0.80 -14.3 0
2003-07-26 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-043.5 1486 1487 48.42% 29.57% 22.01%+0.54 +12.0 4
2003-07-26 @ Dubnica L 0-243.5 1487 1486 22.01% 29.57% 48.42%-0.54 -12.0 1
2003-07-26 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava W 2-044.8 1485 1505 45.94% 30.12% 23.93%+0.43 +12.8 4
2003-07-26 @ Ruzomberok L 0-244.8 1505 1485 23.93% 30.12% 45.94%-0.43 -12.8 3
2003-07-26 Artmedia Petrzalka D 2-273.6 1594 1567 51.88% 28.60% 19.52%+0.68 -1.2 2
2003-07-26 @ Zilina D 2-273.6 1567 1594 19.52% 28.60% 51.88%-0.68 +1.2 4
2003-07-26 Spartak Trnava W 3-044.0 1489 1519 44.65% 30.37% 24.99%+0.38 +19.3 3
2003-07-26 @ Matador Puchov L 0-344.0 1519 1489 24.99% 30.37% 44.65%-0.38 -19.3 1
2003-07-26 Laugaricio Trencin L 1-359.9 1537 1460 57.66% 26.47% 15.87%+0.95 -21.5 1
2003-07-26 @ Slovan Bratislava W 3-159.9 1460 1537 15.87% 26.47% 57.66%-0.95 +21.5 3
2003-08-02 Matador Puchov D 3-371.4 1492 1508 46.39% 30.03% 23.58%+0.45 -0.7 4
2003-08-02 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava D 3-371.4 1508 1492 23.58% 30.03% 46.39%-0.45 +0.7 4
2003-08-02 Ruzomberok W 3-150.1 1481 1497 46.41% 30.03% 23.56%+0.45 +11.0 6
2003-08-02 @ Laugaricio Trencin L 1-350.1 1497 1481 23.56% 30.03% 46.41%-0.45 -11.0 4
2003-08-02 Slovan Bratislava W 1-049.1 1475 1515 43.26% 30.59% 26.15%+0.32 +7.3 4
2003-08-02 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-149.1 1515 1475 26.15% 30.59% 43.26%-0.32 -7.3 1
2003-08-02 Zilina D 0-060.0 1500 1593 35.86% 31.22% 32.92%+0.04 -0.1 2
2003-08-02 @ Spartak Trnava D 0-060.0 1593 1500 32.92% 31.22% 35.86%-0.04 +0.1 3
2003-08-03 Dubnica W 2-044.4 1568 1498 56.89% 26.79% 16.32%+0.91 +9.0 7
2003-08-03 @ Artmedia Petrzalka L 0-244.4 1498 1568 16.32% 26.79% 56.89%-0.91 -9.0 4
2003-08-09 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava D 2-272.3 1593 1491 60.42% 25.24% 14.34%+1.08 -1.8 4
2003-08-09 @ Zilina D 2-272.3 1491 1593 14.34% 25.24% 60.42%-1.08 +1.8 5
2003-08-09 Artmedia Petrzalka W 5-255.9 1482 1577 35.63% 31.23% 33.14%+0.03 +17.4 7
2003-08-09 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 2-555.9 1577 1482 33.14% 31.23% 35.63%-0.03 -17.4 7
2003-08-09 Ruzomberok W 2-152.8 1508 1486 51.14% 28.83% 20.03%+0.65 +5.5 4
2003-08-09 @ Slovan Bratislava L 1-252.8 1486 1508 20.03% 28.83% 51.14%-0.65 -5.5 4
2003-08-09 Spartak Trnava W 2-153.7 1489 1499 47.18% 29.86% 22.96%+0.48 +6.2 7
2003-08-09 @ Dubnica L 1-253.7 1499 1489 22.96% 29.86% 47.18%-0.48 -6.2 2
2003-08-09 Laugaricio Trencin W 2-043.8 1509 1492 50.61% 28.98% 20.41%+0.63 +11.2 7
2003-08-09 @ Matador Puchov L 0-243.8 1492 1509 20.41% 28.98% 50.61%-0.63 -11.2 6
2003-08-16 Dubnica D 0-056.7 1493 1495 48.21% 29.62% 22.17%+0.53 -1.5 6
2003-08-16 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava D 0-056.7 1495 1493 22.17% 29.62% 48.21%-0.53 +1.5 8
2003-08-16 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 4-042.4 1493 1500 47.70% 29.74% 22.55%+0.51 +23.2 5
2003-08-16 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-442.4 1500 1493 22.55% 29.74% 47.70%-0.51 -23.2 7
2003-08-16 Zilina W 2-051.6 1481 1592 33.43% 31.23% 35.34%-0.05 +17.1 9
2003-08-16 @ Laugaricio Trencin L 0-251.6 1592 1481 35.34% 31.23% 33.43%+0.05 -17.2 4
2003-08-17 Matador Puchov W 2-155.3 1481 1520 43.40% 30.57% 26.03%+0.33 +6.9 7
2003-08-17 @ Ruzomberok L 1-255.3 1520 1481 26.03% 30.57% 43.40%-0.33 -6.9 7
2003-08-17 Slovan Bratislava D 1-165.3 1560 1513 54.17% 27.83% 18.00%+0.79 -1.9 8
2003-08-17 @ Artmedia Petrzalka D 1-165.3 1513 1560 18.00% 27.83% 54.17%-0.79 +1.9 5
2003-08-23 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava D 0-055.9 1476 1491 46.57% 29.99% 23.43%+0.46 -1.3 8
2003-08-23 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-055.9 1491 1476 23.43% 29.99% 46.57%-0.46 +1.3 7
2003-08-23 Matador Puchov L 0-157.0 1515 1513 48.73% 29.49% 21.77%+0.55 -11.5 5
2003-08-23 @ Slovan Bratislava W 1-057.0 1513 1515 21.77% 29.49% 48.73%-0.55 +11.6 10
2003-08-23 Laugaricio Trencin L 1-358.0 1497 1498 48.33% 29.59% 22.08%+0.53 -18.8 8
2003-08-23 @ Dubnica W 3-158.0 1498 1497 22.08% 29.59% 48.33%-0.53 +18.8 12
2003-08-24 Spartak Trnava D 2-271.1 1558 1516 53.59% 28.04% 18.38%+0.76 -1.4 9
2003-08-24 @ Artmedia Petrzalka D 2-271.1 1516 1558 18.38% 28.04% 53.59%-0.76 +1.4 6
2003-08-30 Dubnica D 3-370.4 1488 1478 49.74% 29.23% 21.03%+0.59 -0.9 8
2003-08-30 @ Ruzomberok D 3-370.4 1478 1488 21.03% 29.23% 49.74%-0.59 +0.9 9
2003-08-30 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 1-162.3 1517 1475 53.60% 28.03% 18.37%+0.76 -1.8 13
2003-08-30 @ Laugaricio Trencin D 1-162.3 1475 1517 18.37% 28.03% 53.60%-0.76 +1.8 9
2003-08-31 Artmedia Petrzalka W 2-048.8 1493 1557 40.03% 30.98% 28.99%+0.20 +14.9 10
2003-08-31 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava L 0-248.8 1557 1493 28.99% 30.98% 40.03%-0.20 -14.9 9
2003-08-31 Slovan Bratislava W 5-355.6 1518 1504 50.26% 29.08% 20.65%+0.61 +8.3 9
2003-08-31 @ Spartak Trnava L 3-555.6 1504 1518 20.65% 29.08% 50.26%-0.61 -8.3 5
2003-08-31 Zilina L 1-263.7 1525 1574 42.02% 30.76% 27.21%+0.28 -9.7 10
2003-08-31 @ Matador Puchov W 2-163.7 1574 1525 27.21% 30.76% 42.02%-0.28 +9.7 7
2003-09-05 Ruzomberok L 0-355.3 1584 1487 59.86% 25.50% 14.64%+1.06 -37.2 7
2003-09-05 @ Zilina W 3-055.3 1487 1584 14.64% 25.50% 59.86%-1.06 +37.2 11
2003-09-13 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava W 2-045.0 1526 1508 50.79% 28.93% 20.28%+0.64 +11.1 12
2003-09-13 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-245.0 1508 1526 20.28% 28.93% 50.79%-0.64 -11.1 10
2003-09-13 Matador Puchov W 3-151.5 1479 1515 43.79% 30.51% 25.70%+0.35 +11.8 12
2003-09-13 @ Dubnica L 1-351.5 1515 1479 25.70% 30.51% 43.79%-0.35 -11.8 10
2003-09-13 Laugaricio Trencin W 1-049.1 1542 1515 51.81% 28.62% 19.56%+0.68 +5.7 12
2003-09-13 @ Artmedia Petrzalka L 0-149.1 1515 1542 19.56% 28.62% 51.81%-0.68 -5.7 13
2003-09-13 Zilina W 2-157.4 1495 1547 41.74% 30.80% 27.46%+0.26 +7.2 8
2003-09-13 @ Slovan Bratislava L 1-257.4 1547 1495 27.46% 30.80% 41.74%-0.26 -7.2 7
2003-09-14 Ruzomberok W 4-255.8 1477 1524 42.32% 30.73% 26.96%+0.29 +10.9 12
2003-09-14 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 2-455.8 1524 1477 26.96% 30.73% 42.32%-0.29 -10.9 11
2003-09-20 Dubnica D 0-058.9 1540 1491 54.46% 27.73% 17.81%+0.80 -2.1 8
2003-09-20 @ Zilina D 0-058.9 1491 1540 17.81% 27.73% 54.46%-0.80 +2.1 13
2003-09-20 Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-156.0 1503 1488 50.45% 29.03% 20.52%+0.62 -11.9 10
2003-09-20 @ Matador Puchov W 1-056.0 1488 1503 20.52% 29.03% 50.45%-0.62 +11.9 15
2003-09-20 Artmedia Petrzalka W 2-157.3 1513 1547 44.06% 30.47% 25.47%+0.36 +6.8 14
2003-09-20 @ Ruzomberok L 1-257.3 1547 1513 25.47% 30.47% 44.06%-0.36 -6.7 12
2003-09-20 Slovan Bratislava D 0-057.1 1496 1502 47.74% 29.73% 22.53%+0.51 -1.4 11
2003-09-20 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava D 0-057.1 1502 1496 22.53% 29.73% 47.74%-0.51 +1.4 9
2003-09-21 Spartak Trnava L 0-156.8 1509 1537 44.90% 30.32% 24.78%+0.39 -10.8 13
2003-09-21 @ Laugaricio Trencin W 1-056.8 1537 1509 24.78% 30.32% 44.90%-0.39 +10.8 15
2003-09-27 Dubnica W 2-043.9 1504 1493 49.90% 29.19% 20.92%+0.60 +11.4 12
2003-09-27 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-243.9 1493 1504 20.92% 29.19% 49.90%-0.60 -11.5 13
2003-09-27 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava L 0-155.8 1498 1495 48.92% 29.45% 21.63%+0.56 -11.6 13
2003-09-27 @ Laugaricio Trencin W 1-055.8 1495 1498 21.63% 29.45% 48.92%-0.56 +11.6 14
2003-09-27 Spartak Trnava D 2-270.2 1520 1548 44.89% 30.32% 24.79%+0.39 -0.7 15
2003-09-27 @ Ruzomberok D 2-270.2 1548 1520 24.79% 30.32% 44.89%-0.39 +0.7 16
2003-09-28 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 4-253.9 1538 1500 53.15% 28.19% 18.67%+0.74 +8.0 11
2003-09-28 @ Zilina L 2-453.9 1500 1538 18.67% 28.19% 53.15%-0.74 -8.0 15
2003-09-28 Artmedia Petrzalka D 1-163.0 1492 1541 42.05% 30.76% 27.19%+0.28 -0.7 11
2003-09-28 @ Matador Puchov D 1-163.0 1541 1492 27.19% 30.76% 42.05%-0.28 +0.7 13
2003-10-04 Dubnica W 2-043.0 1492 1481 49.80% 29.21% 20.99%+0.59 +11.5 18
2003-10-04 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-243.0 1481 1492 20.99% 29.21% 49.80%-0.59 -11.5 13
2003-10-04 Matador Puchov W 2-153.1 1549 1491 55.48% 27.35% 17.17%+0.85 +4.8 19
2003-10-04 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-253.1 1491 1549 17.17% 27.35% 55.48%-0.85 -4.8 11
2003-10-04 Ruzomberok L 0-156.5 1507 1519 46.90% 29.92% 23.17%+0.47 -11.2 14
2003-10-04 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava W 1-056.5 1519 1507 23.17% 29.92% 46.90%-0.47 +11.2 18
2003-10-05 Slovan Bratislava W 2-155.0 1487 1515 44.82% 30.34% 24.84%+0.39 +6.6 16
2003-10-05 @ Laugaricio Trencin L 1-255.0 1515 1487 24.84% 30.34% 44.82%-0.39 -6.6 12
2003-10-05 Zilina L 1-361.3 1541 1546 47.98% 29.68% 22.34%+0.52 -18.7 13
2003-10-05 @ Artmedia Petrzalka W 3-161.3 1546 1541 22.34% 29.68% 47.98%-0.52 +18.6 14
2003-10-18 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-057.7 1509 1503 49.20% 29.37% 21.42%+0.57 -1.6 13
2003-10-18 @ Slovan Bratislava D 0-057.7 1503 1509 21.42% 29.37% 49.20%-0.57 +1.6 19
2003-10-18 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava L 0-349.5 1486 1495 47.31% 29.83% 22.86%+0.49 -30.9 11
2003-10-18 @ Matador Puchov W 3-049.5 1495 1486 22.86% 29.83% 47.31%-0.49 +30.9 17
2003-10-18 Artmedia Petrzalka W 2-155.6 1470 1523 41.54% 30.82% 27.64%+0.26 +7.2 16
2003-10-18 @ Dubnica L 1-255.6 1523 1470 27.64% 30.82% 41.54%-0.26 -7.2 13
2003-10-18 Laugaricio Trencin W 3-149.8 1530 1493 53.03% 28.23% 18.74%+0.74 +9.0 21
2003-10-18 @ Ruzomberok L 1-349.8 1493 1530 18.74% 28.23% 53.03%-0.74 -9.0 16
2003-10-19 Spartak Trnava W 3-046.3 1564 1553 49.85% 29.20% 20.95%+0.60 +16.7 17
2003-10-19 @ Zilina L 0-346.3 1553 1564 20.95% 29.20% 49.85%-0.60 -16.7 19
2003-10-25 Dubnica L 0-157.9 1537 1477 55.70% 27.26% 17.04%+0.86 -12.8 19
2003-10-25 @ Spartak Trnava W 1-057.9 1477 1537 17.04% 27.26% 55.70%-0.86 +12.8 19
2003-10-25 Slovan Bratislava D 0-059.3 1539 1507 52.46% 28.42% 19.12%+0.71 -1.9 22
2003-10-25 @ Ruzomberok D 0-059.3 1507 1539 19.12% 28.42% 52.46%-0.71 +1.9 14
2003-10-25 Zilina W 2-159.7 1526 1581 41.33% 30.85% 27.82%+0.25 +7.2 20
2003-10-25 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava L 1-259.7 1581 1526 27.82% 30.85% 41.33%-0.25 -7.2 17
2003-10-26 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-058.1 1516 1505 49.87% 29.19% 20.94%+0.60 -1.6 14
2003-10-26 @ Artmedia Petrzalka D 0-058.1 1505 1516 20.94% 29.19% 49.87%-0.60 +1.6 20
2003-10-26 Matador Puchov W 1-044.6 1484 1455 52.12% 28.53% 19.36%+0.69 +5.7 19
2003-10-26 @ Laugaricio Trencin L 0-144.6 1455 1484 19.36% 28.53% 52.12%-0.69 -5.7 11
2003-11-01 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava D 0-057.7 1490 1534 42.79% 30.66% 26.55%+0.31 -0.9 20
2003-11-01 @ Dubnica D 0-057.7 1534 1490 26.55% 30.66% 42.79%-0.31 +0.9 21
2003-11-01 Ruzomberok W 3-153.3 1449 1537 36.66% 31.20% 32.14%+0.07 +13.9 14
2003-11-01 @ Matador Puchov L 1-353.3 1537 1449 32.14% 31.20% 36.66%-0.07 -13.9 22
2003-11-01 Spartak Trnava W 3-044.4 1506 1524 46.25% 30.06% 23.69%+0.44 +18.5 23
2003-11-01 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-344.4 1524 1506 23.69% 30.06% 46.25%-0.44 -18.5 19
2003-11-01 Laugaricio Trencin W 3-149.6 1574 1490 58.38% 26.16% 15.46%+0.98 +7.4 20
2003-11-01 @ Zilina L 1-349.6 1490 1574 15.46% 26.16% 58.38%-0.98 -7.4 19
2003-11-02 Artmedia Petrzalka D 1-162.9 1509 1514 47.88% 29.70% 22.42%+0.51 -1.3 15
2003-11-02 @ Slovan Bratislava D 1-162.9 1514 1509 22.42% 29.70% 47.88%-0.51 +1.3 15
2003-11-08 Dubnica W 2-043.6 1483 1489 47.71% 29.74% 22.55%+0.51 +12.2 22
2003-11-08 @ Laugaricio Trencin L 0-243.6 1489 1483 22.55% 29.74% 47.71%-0.51 -12.2 20
2003-11-08 Dukla Banska Bystrica L 1-264.2 1534 1525 49.71% 29.24% 21.06%+0.59 -11.1 21
2003-11-08 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava W 2-164.2 1525 1534 21.06% 29.24% 49.71%-0.59 +11.1 26
2003-11-08 Slovan Bratislava W 1-048.6 1463 1508 42.70% 30.67% 26.63%+0.30 +7.4 17
2003-11-08 @ Matador Puchov L 0-148.6 1508 1463 26.63% 30.67% 42.70%-0.30 -7.4 15
2003-11-08 Zilina L 1-457.3 1524 1581 40.92% 30.89% 28.18%+0.23 -23.3 22
2003-11-08 @ Ruzomberok W 4-157.3 1581 1524 28.18% 30.89% 40.92%-0.23 +23.3 23
2003-11-09 Artmedia Petrzalka L 0-156.4 1506 1515 47.26% 29.84% 22.89%+0.49 -11.3 19
2003-11-09 @ Spartak Trnava W 1-056.4 1515 1506 22.89% 29.84% 47.26%-0.49 +11.3 18
2003-11-15 Matador Puchov D 1-166.6 1604 1471 63.72% 23.61% 12.66%+1.25 -2.7 24
2003-11-15 @ Zilina D 1-166.6 1471 1604 12.66% 23.61% 63.72%-1.25 +2.7 18
2003-11-15 Ruzomberok L 2-365.1 1477 1500 45.48% 30.21% 24.30%+0.41 -9.8 20
2003-11-15 @ Dubnica W 3-265.1 1500 1477 24.30% 30.21% 45.48%-0.41 +9.8 25
2003-11-16 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava W 3-044.3 1527 1523 48.90% 29.45% 21.65%+0.56 +17.1 21
2003-11-16 @ Artmedia Petrzalka L 0-344.3 1523 1527 21.65% 29.45% 48.90%-0.56 -17.1 21
2003-11-16 Spartak Trnava L 0-450.3 1500 1494 49.28% 29.35% 21.37%+0.57 -41.7 15
2003-11-16 @ Slovan Bratislava W 4-050.3 1494 1500 21.37% 29.35% 49.28%-0.57 +41.7 22
2003-11-22 Dubnica W 3-147.8 1474 1467 49.33% 29.34% 21.33%+0.57 +10.1 21
2003-11-22 @ Matador Puchov L 1-347.8 1467 1474 21.33% 29.34% 49.33%-0.57 -10.1 20
2003-11-22 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-047.1 1510 1536 45.17% 30.27% 24.56%+0.40 +13.1 28
2003-11-22 @ Ruzomberok L 0-247.1 1536 1510 24.56% 30.27% 45.17%-0.40 -13.1 26
2003-11-22 Spartak Trnava L 0-156.6 1506 1536 44.67% 30.36% 24.97%+0.38 -10.8 21
2003-11-22 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava W 1-056.6 1536 1506 24.97% 30.36% 44.67%-0.38 +10.8 25
2003-11-23 Slovan Bratislava D 3-375.7 1602 1459 64.68% 23.11% 12.21%+1.30 -1.8 25
2003-11-23 @ Zilina D 3-375.7 1459 1602 12.21% 23.11% 64.68%-1.30 +1.8 16
2003-11-29 Matador Puchov W 3-041.4 1523 1484 53.30% 28.14% 18.57%+0.75 +14.9 29
2003-11-29 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-341.4 1484 1523 18.57% 28.14% 53.30%-0.75 -14.9 21
2003-11-29 Zilina D 1-163.8 1457 1600 29.09% 30.99% 39.92%-0.22 +0.5 21
2003-11-29 @ Dubnica D 1-163.8 1600 1457 39.92% 30.99% 29.09%+0.22 -0.5 26
2003-11-30 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava W 1-047.7 1460 1495 43.96% 30.48% 25.56%+0.35 +7.2 19
2003-11-30 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-147.7 1495 1460 25.56% 30.48% 43.96%-0.35 -7.2 21
2003-11-30 Ruzomberok W 2-155.5 1544 1523 51.05% 28.85% 20.09%+0.65 +5.5 24
2003-11-30 @ Artmedia Petrzalka L 1-255.5 1523 1544 20.09% 28.85% 51.05%-0.65 -5.5 28
2004-02-21 Laugaricio Trencin W 5-042.7 1538 1495 53.72% 27.99% 18.29%+0.77 +23.6 32
2004-02-21 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-542.7 1495 1538 18.29% 27.99% 53.72%-0.77 -23.7 22
2004-03-06 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 3-047.5 1457 1561 34.37% 31.24% 34.39%-0.01 +24.4 24
2004-03-06 @ Dubnica L 0-347.5 1561 1457 34.39% 31.24% 34.37%+0.01 -24.4 32
2004-03-06 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava W 3-041.7 1518 1488 52.11% 28.53% 19.36%+0.69 +15.5 31
2004-03-06 @ Ruzomberok L 0-341.7 1488 1518 19.36% 28.53% 52.11%-0.69 -15.5 21
2004-03-06 Artmedia Petrzalka D 1-167.7 1599 1549 54.59% 27.68% 17.73%+0.81 -1.9 27
2004-03-06 @ Zilina D 1-167.7 1549 1599 17.73% 27.68% 54.59%-0.81 +1.9 25
2004-03-06 Spartak Trnava L 0-153.8 1469 1547 38.07% 31.13% 30.80%+0.12 -9.6 21
2004-03-06 @ Matador Puchov W 1-053.8 1547 1469 30.80% 31.13% 38.07%-0.12 +9.6 28
2004-03-06 Laugaricio Trencin W 2-042.3 1468 1471 48.04% 29.66% 22.30%+0.52 +12.1 22
2004-03-06 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-242.3 1471 1468 22.30% 29.66% 48.04%-0.52 -12.1 22
2004-03-10 Artmedia Petrzalka D 0-057.1 1459 1551 36.10% 31.22% 32.69%+0.05 -0.2 23
2004-03-10 @ Laugaricio Trencin D 0-057.1 1551 1459 32.69% 31.22% 36.10%-0.05 +0.2 26
2004-03-13 Matador Puchov W 1-044.9 1473 1459 50.21% 29.10% 20.69%+0.61 +6.0 24
2004-03-13 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava L 0-144.9 1459 1473 20.69% 29.10% 50.21%-0.61 -6.0 21
2004-03-13 Ruzomberok D 1-161.4 1459 1533 38.62% 31.10% 30.28%+0.14 -0.4 24
2004-03-13 @ Laugaricio Trencin D 1-161.4 1533 1459 30.28% 31.10% 38.62%-0.14 +0.4 32
2004-03-13 Slovan Bratislava D 1-163.4 1537 1480 55.40% 27.38% 17.22%+0.84 -2.0 33
2004-03-13 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica D 1-163.4 1480 1537 17.22% 27.38% 55.40%-0.84 +2.0 23
2004-03-14 Dubnica D 1-164.2 1551 1482 56.80% 26.83% 16.37%+0.91 -2.1 27
2004-03-14 @ Artmedia Petrzalka D 1-164.2 1482 1551 16.37% 26.83% 56.80%-0.91 +2.1 25
2004-03-14 Zilina W 2-160.6 1556 1597 43.14% 30.61% 26.25%+0.32 +6.9 31
2004-03-14 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-260.6 1597 1556 26.25% 30.61% 43.14%-0.32 -6.9 27
2004-03-16 Laugaricio Trencin W 1-044.9 1479 1459 51.01% 28.87% 20.12%+0.65 +5.9 27
2004-03-16 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava L 0-144.9 1459 1479 20.12% 28.87% 51.01%-0.65 -5.9 24
2004-03-17 Matador Puchov W 3-039.3 1549 1453 59.75% 25.55% 14.70%+1.05 +11.7 30
2004-03-17 @ Artmedia Petrzalka L 0-339.3 1453 1549 14.70% 25.55% 59.75%-1.05 -11.7 21
2004-03-17 Ruzomberok W 1-050.3 1563 1534 52.17% 28.51% 19.32%+0.70 +5.7 34
2004-03-17 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-150.3 1534 1563 19.32% 28.51% 52.17%-0.70 -5.7 32
2004-03-17 Slovan Bratislava W 4-146.1 1484 1482 48.78% 29.48% 21.74%+0.55 +14.5 28
2004-03-17 @ Dubnica L 1-446.1 1482 1484 21.74% 29.48% 48.78%-0.55 -14.5 23
2004-03-17 Zilina D 0-061.2 1535 1591 41.18% 30.87% 27.96%+0.24 -0.7 34
2004-03-17 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-061.2 1591 1535 27.96% 30.87% 41.18%-0.24 +0.7 28
2004-03-20 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava W 2-152.8 1591 1485 60.89% 25.02% 14.09%+1.11 +3.9 31
2004-03-20 @ Zilina L 1-252.8 1485 1591 14.09% 25.02% 60.89%-1.11 -3.9 27
2004-03-20 Artmedia Petrzalka W 1-052.4 1534 1561 45.06% 30.29% 24.64%+0.40 +7.0 37
2004-03-20 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-152.4 1561 1534 24.64% 30.29% 45.06%-0.40 -7.0 30
2004-03-20 Ruzomberok L 1-259.6 1467 1528 40.49% 30.94% 28.57%+0.22 -9.5 23
2004-03-20 @ Slovan Bratislava W 2-159.6 1528 1467 28.57% 30.94% 40.49%-0.22 +9.5 35
2004-03-20 Spartak Trnava W 1-053.2 1498 1569 39.13% 31.06% 29.81%+0.16 +8.1 31
2004-03-20 @ Dubnica L 0-153.2 1569 1498 29.81% 31.06% 39.13%-0.16 -8.1 34
2004-03-20 Laugaricio Trencin W 1-044.6 1441 1453 47.05% 29.89% 23.06%+0.48 +6.6 24
2004-03-20 @ Matador Puchov L 0-144.6 1453 1441 23.06% 29.89% 47.05%-0.48 -6.6 24
2004-03-23 Laugaricio Trencin L 0-158.7 1561 1446 61.75% 24.61% 13.65%+1.15 -13.9 34
2004-03-23 @ Spartak Trnava W 1-058.7 1446 1561 13.65% 24.61% 61.75%-1.15 +13.9 27
2004-03-27 Dubnica W 1-048.5 1481 1507 45.20% 30.27% 24.54%+0.40 +6.9 30
2004-03-27 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava L 0-148.5 1507 1481 24.54% 30.27% 45.20%-0.40 -7.0 31
2004-03-27 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 1-165.4 1547 1541 49.22% 29.37% 21.41%+0.57 -1.4 35
2004-03-27 @ Spartak Trnava D 1-165.4 1541 1547 21.41% 29.37% 49.22%-0.57 +1.4 38
2004-03-27 Matador Puchov W 3-038.8 1537 1448 59.01% 25.88% 15.10%+1.01 +12.1 38
2004-03-27 @ Ruzomberok L 0-338.8 1448 1537 15.10% 25.88% 59.01%-1.01 -12.1 24
2004-03-27 Zilina W 1-055.5 1460 1595 30.11% 31.08% 38.81%-0.18 +9.7 30
2004-03-27 @ Laugaricio Trencin L 0-155.5 1595 1460 38.81% 31.08% 30.11%+0.18 -9.7 31
2004-03-28 Slovan Bratislava D 1-163.8 1554 1458 59.76% 25.55% 14.69%+1.05 -2.4 31
2004-03-28 @ Artmedia Petrzalka D 1-163.8 1458 1554 14.69% 25.55% 59.76%-1.05 +2.4 24
2004-04-03 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava W 2-152.9 1543 1488 55.13% 27.48% 17.39%+0.83 +4.8 41
2004-04-03 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 1-252.9 1488 1543 17.39% 27.48% 55.13%-0.83 -4.8 30
2004-04-03 Matador Puchov W 2-039.8 1460 1436 51.51% 28.72% 19.78%+0.67 +10.9 27
2004-04-03 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-239.8 1436 1460 19.78% 28.72% 51.51%-0.67 -10.9 24
2004-04-03 Ruzomberok D 1-167.2 1585 1549 52.92% 28.27% 18.82%+0.73 -1.8 32
2004-04-03 @ Zilina D 1-167.2 1549 1585 18.82% 28.27% 52.92%-0.73 +1.8 39
2004-04-03 Laugaricio Trencin D 0-056.4 1500 1470 52.17% 28.51% 19.32%+0.70 -1.9 32
2004-04-03 @ Dubnica D 0-056.4 1470 1500 19.32% 28.51% 52.17%-0.70 +1.9 31
2004-04-04 Spartak Trnava L 0-256.1 1552 1546 49.26% 29.36% 21.38%+0.57 -22.0 31
2004-04-04 @ Artmedia Petrzalka W 2-056.1 1546 1552 21.38% 29.36% 49.26%-0.57 +22.0 38
2004-04-10 Dubnica L 0-159.1 1551 1498 54.97% 27.54% 17.49%+0.82 -12.7 39
2004-04-10 @ Ruzomberok W 1-059.1 1498 1551 17.49% 27.54% 54.97%-0.82 +12.7 35
2004-04-10 Artmedia Petrzalka D 0-057.3 1483 1530 42.40% 30.71% 26.88%+0.29 -0.9 31
2004-04-10 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava D 0-057.3 1530 1483 26.88% 30.71% 42.40%-0.29 +0.8 32
2004-04-10 Slovan Bratislava D 2-270.6 1567 1471 59.79% 25.53% 14.68%+1.05 -1.8 39
2004-04-10 @ Spartak Trnava D 2-270.6 1471 1567 14.68% 25.53% 59.79%-1.05 +1.8 28
2004-04-10 Zilina L 0-444.6 1425 1584 27.18% 30.76% 42.06%-0.31 -26.9 24
2004-04-10 @ Matador Puchov W 4-044.6 1584 1425 42.06% 30.76% 27.18%+0.31 +26.9 35
2004-04-11 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 1-162.4 1472 1547 38.39% 31.11% 30.50%+0.14 -0.4 32
2004-04-11 @ Laugaricio Trencin D 1-162.4 1547 1472 30.50% 31.11% 38.39%-0.14 +0.4 42
2004-04-17 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava L 1-361.9 1566 1482 58.38% 26.16% 15.46%+0.98 -21.8 39
2004-04-17 @ Spartak Trnava W 3-161.9 1482 1566 15.46% 26.16% 58.38%-0.98 +21.8 34
2004-04-17 Matador Puchov L 1-260.9 1510 1398 61.50% 24.73% 13.77%+1.14 -13.1 35
2004-04-17 @ Dubnica W 2-160.9 1398 1510 13.77% 24.73% 61.50%-1.14 +13.1 27
2004-04-17 Ruzomberok W 2-156.5 1548 1538 49.67% 29.25% 21.08%+0.59 +5.8 45
2004-04-17 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 1-256.5 1538 1548 21.08% 29.25% 49.67%-0.59 -5.8 39
2004-04-18 Laugaricio Trencin D 1-162.9 1530 1471 55.62% 27.29% 17.09%+0.85 -2.0 33
2004-04-18 @ Artmedia Petrzalka D 1-162.9 1471 1530 17.09% 27.29% 55.62%-0.85 +2.0 33
2004-04-18 Zilina L 2-364.5 1473 1611 29.76% 31.06% 39.18%-0.19 -7.2 28
2004-04-18 @ Slovan Bratislava W 3-264.5 1611 1473 39.18% 31.06% 29.76%+0.19 +7.2 38
2004-04-24 Dubnica W 3-150.2 1618 1497 62.36% 24.31% 13.34%+1.18 +6.3 41
2004-04-24 @ Zilina L 1-350.2 1497 1618 13.34% 24.31% 62.36%-1.18 -6.3 35
2004-04-24 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-055.4 1411 1554 29.17% 31.00% 39.83%-0.22 +0.6 28
2004-04-24 @ Matador Puchov D 0-055.4 1554 1411 39.83% 31.00% 29.17%+0.22 -0.6 46
2004-04-24 Artmedia Petrzalka W 2-155.9 1533 1528 49.04% 29.41% 21.54%+0.56 +5.9 42
2004-04-24 @ Ruzomberok L 1-255.9 1528 1533 21.54% 29.41% 49.04%-0.56 -5.9 33
2004-04-24 Slovan Bratislava W 3-147.7 1504 1466 53.18% 28.18% 18.64%+0.74 +8.9 37
2004-04-24 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava L 1-347.7 1466 1504 18.64% 28.18% 53.18%-0.74 -8.9 28
2004-04-24 Spartak Trnava W 3-046.0 1473 1544 39.10% 31.06% 29.84%+0.16 +22.1 36
2004-04-24 @ Laugaricio Trencin L 0-346.0 1544 1473 29.84% 31.06% 39.10%-0.16 -22.1 39
2004-05-01 Dubnica L 1-452.5 1457 1491 44.05% 30.47% 25.48%+0.36 -24.7 28
2004-05-01 @ Slovan Bratislava W 4-152.5 1491 1457 25.48% 30.47% 44.05%-0.36 +24.7 38
2004-05-01 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-047.7 1624 1553 56.98% 26.75% 16.26%+0.92 +9.0 44
2004-05-01 @ Zilina L 0-247.7 1553 1624 16.26% 26.75% 56.98%-0.92 -9.0 46
2004-05-01 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava W 2-045.4 1495 1513 46.28% 30.06% 23.66%+0.45 +12.7 39
2004-05-01 @ Laugaricio Trencin L 0-245.4 1513 1495 23.66% 30.06% 46.28%-0.45 -12.7 37
2004-05-01 Artmedia Petrzalka D 1-159.2 1412 1523 33.39% 31.23% 35.37%-0.05 +0.1 29
2004-05-01 @ Matador Puchov D 1-159.2 1523 1412 35.37% 31.23% 33.39%+0.05 -0.1 34
2004-05-01 Spartak Trnava D 2-270.3 1539 1522 50.58% 28.99% 20.43%+0.63 -1.1 43
2004-05-01 @ Ruzomberok D 2-270.3 1522 1539 20.43% 28.99% 50.58%-0.63 +1.2 40
2004-05-10 Ruzomberok D 1-163.2 1500 1537 43.65% 30.53% 25.82%+0.34 -0.9 38
2004-05-10 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava D 1-163.2 1537 1500 25.82% 30.53% 43.65%-0.34 +0.9 44
2004-05-11 Dubnica W 3-259.9 1544 1516 51.99% 28.57% 19.44%+0.69 +5.1 49
2004-05-11 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 2-359.9 1516 1544 19.44% 28.57% 51.99%-0.69 -5.1 38
2004-05-11 Matador Puchov D 1-161.1 1523 1412 61.38% 24.79% 13.83%+1.13 -2.5 41
2004-05-11 @ Spartak Trnava D 1-161.1 1412 1523 13.83% 24.79% 61.38%-1.13 +2.5 30
2004-05-11 Slovan Bratislava W 1-043.0 1508 1432 57.55% 26.52% 15.93%+0.94 +4.7 42
2004-05-11 @ Laugaricio Trencin L 0-143.0 1432 1508 15.93% 26.52% 57.55%-0.94 -4.7 28
2004-05-11 Zilina L 0-351.7 1522 1633 33.42% 31.23% 35.34%-0.05 -24.0 34
2004-05-11 @ Artmedia Petrzalka W 3-051.7 1633 1522 35.34% 31.23% 33.42%+0.05 +24.0 47
2004-05-15 Dukla Banska Bystrica L 2-361.3 1427 1549 31.89% 31.19% 36.92%-0.11 -7.6 28
2004-05-15 @ Slovan Bratislava W 3-261.3 1549 1427 36.92% 31.19% 31.89%+0.11 +7.6 52
2004-05-15 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava W 4-254.2 1414 1499 37.10% 31.18% 31.72%+0.09 +12.3 33
2004-05-15 @ Matador Puchov L 2-454.2 1499 1414 31.72% 31.18% 37.10%-0.09 -12.3 38
2004-05-15 Artmedia Petrzalka W 2-044.3 1511 1498 50.02% 29.15% 20.83%+0.60 +11.4 41
2004-05-15 @ Dubnica L 0-244.3 1498 1511 20.83% 29.15% 50.02%-0.60 -11.4 34
2004-05-15 Laugaricio Trencin D 0-059.3 1538 1513 51.65% 28.67% 19.67%+0.67 -1.8 45
2004-05-15 @ Ruzomberok D 0-059.3 1513 1538 19.67% 28.67% 51.65%-0.67 +1.8 43
2004-05-16 Spartak Trnava W 2-154.9 1657 1520 64.03% 23.46% 12.52%+1.27 +3.4 50
2004-05-16 @ Zilina L 1-254.9 1520 1657 12.52% 23.46% 64.03%-1.27 -3.4 41
2004-05-18 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-058.4 1487 1557 39.25% 31.05% 29.70%+0.17 -0.5 35
2004-05-18 @ Artmedia Petrzalka D 0-058.4 1557 1487 29.70% 31.05% 39.25%-0.17 +0.5 53
2004-05-18 Matador Puchov D 0-056.1 1515 1427 58.87% 25.95% 15.18%+1.01 -2.6 44
2004-05-18 @ Laugaricio Trencin D 0-056.1 1427 1515 15.18% 25.95% 58.87%-1.01 +2.6 34
2004-05-18 Slovan Bratislava W 2-148.1 1536 1420 61.96% 24.50% 13.54%+1.16 +3.7 48
2004-05-18 @ Ruzomberok L 1-248.1 1420 1536 13.54% 24.50% 61.96%-1.16 -3.7 28
2004-05-19 Dubnica W 3-044.2 1517 1522 47.88% 29.70% 22.42%+0.51 +17.7 44
2004-05-19 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-344.2 1522 1517 22.42% 29.70% 47.88%-0.51 -17.6 41
2004-05-19 Zilina D 1-166.9 1487 1660 25.48% 30.47% 44.06%-0.39 +0.9 39
2004-05-19 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava D 1-166.9 1660 1487 44.06% 30.47% 25.48%+0.39 -0.9 51
2004-05-22 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava W 2-043.5 1504 1488 50.57% 29.00% 20.43%+0.63 +11.2 44
2004-05-22 @ Dubnica L 0-243.5 1488 1504 20.43% 29.00% 50.57%-0.63 -11.2 39
2004-05-22 Artmedia Petrzalka L 1-255.9 1416 1487 39.12% 31.06% 29.82%+0.16 -9.2 28
2004-05-22 @ Slovan Bratislava W 2-155.9 1487 1416 29.82% 31.06% 39.12%-0.16 +9.2 38
2004-05-22 Ruzomberok W 1-051.3 1429 1540 33.38% 31.23% 35.38%-0.05 +9.1 37
2004-05-22 @ Matador Puchov L 0-151.3 1540 1429 35.38% 31.23% 33.38%+0.05 -9.1 48
2004-05-22 Spartak Trnava W 6-046.3 1557 1535 51.28% 28.79% 19.94%+0.66 +30.4 56
2004-05-22 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-646.3 1535 1557 19.94% 28.79% 51.28%-0.66 -30.5 44
2004-05-22 Laugaricio Trencin W 3-043.2 1660 1512 65.14% 22.87% 11.99%+1.32 +9.3 54
2004-05-22 @ Zilina L 0-343.2 1512 1660 11.99% 22.87% 65.14%-1.32 -9.3 44
2004-05-25 Dubnica W 1-049.1 1503 1516 46.86% 29.93% 23.20%+0.47 +6.6 47
2004-05-25 @ Laugaricio Trencin L 0-149.1 1516 1503 23.20% 29.93% 46.86%-0.47 -6.6 44
2004-05-25 Dukla Banska Bystrica L 1-260.1 1477 1588 33.37% 31.23% 35.40%-0.05 -8.2 39
2004-05-25 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava W 2-160.1 1588 1477 35.40% 31.23% 33.37%+0.05 +8.2 59
2004-05-25 Artmedia Petrzalka W 1-047.6 1504 1496 49.57% 29.28% 21.16%+0.58 +6.1 47
2004-05-25 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-147.6 1496 1504 21.16% 29.28% 49.57%-0.58 -6.1 38
2004-05-25 Slovan Bratislava D 1-157.2 1438 1407 52.37% 28.44% 19.18%+0.71 -1.7 38
2004-05-25 @ Matador Puchov D 1-157.2 1407 1438 19.18% 28.44% 52.37%-0.71 +1.7 29
2004-05-25 Zilina L 0-351.7 1531 1669 29.76% 31.06% 39.18%-0.19 -22.1 48
2004-05-25 @ Ruzomberok W 3-051.7 1669 1531 39.18% 31.06% 29.76%+0.19 +22.1 57
2004-06-01 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava W 3-040.2 1490 1468 51.15% 28.83% 20.03%+0.65 +16.0 41
2004-06-01 @ Artmedia Petrzalka L 0-340.2 1468 1490 20.03% 28.83% 51.15%-0.65 -16.0 39
2004-06-01 Matador Puchov W 2-040.9 1691 1437 75.05% 17.09% 7.87%+1.89 +3.8 60
2004-06-01 @ Zilina L 0-240.9 1437 1691 7.87% 17.09% 75.05%-1.89 -3.8 38
2004-06-01 Ruzomberok L 0-156.6 1509 1509 48.50% 29.55% 21.95%+0.54 -11.5 44
2004-06-01 @ Dubnica W 1-056.6 1509 1509 21.95% 29.55% 48.50%-0.54 +11.5 51
2004-06-01 Spartak Trnava L 0-149.3 1409 1510 34.68% 31.24% 34.08%+0.00 -9.0 29
2004-06-01 @ Slovan Bratislava W 1-049.3 1510 1409 34.08% 31.24% 34.68%+0.00 +9.0 50
2004-06-01 Laugaricio Trencin D 2-272.7 1596 1509 58.70% 26.02% 15.28%+1.00 -1.7 60
2004-06-01 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica D 2-272.7 1509 1596 15.28% 26.02% 58.70%-1.00 +1.7 48
2004-06-05 Dubnica D 1-159.1 1433 1497 39.94% 30.99% 29.07%+0.19 -0.5 39
2004-06-05 @ Matador Puchov D 1-159.1 1497 1433 29.07% 30.99% 39.94%-0.19 +0.5 45
2004-06-05 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 1-165.7 1520 1594 38.68% 31.09% 30.22%+0.15 -0.4 52
2004-06-05 @ Ruzomberok D 1-165.7 1594 1520 30.22% 31.09% 38.68%-0.15 +0.4 61
2004-06-05 Artmedia Petrzalka L 2-367.4 1511 1506 49.19% 29.38% 21.44%+0.57 -10.4 48
2004-06-05 @ Laugaricio Trencin W 3-267.4 1506 1511 21.44% 29.38% 49.19%-0.57 +10.4 44
2004-06-05 Slovan Bratislava W 1-042.4 1695 1400 78.35% 15.01% 6.65%+2.11 +1.6 63
2004-06-05 @ Zilina L 0-142.4 1400 1695 6.65% 15.01% 78.35%-2.11 -1.6 29
2004-06-05 Spartak Trnava W 1-049.6 1452 1519 39.60% 31.02% 29.38%+0.18 +8.0 42
2004-06-05 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava L 0-149.6 1519 1452 29.38% 31.02% 39.60%-0.18 -8.0 50
2004-06-08 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava L 1-351.3 1398 1460 40.25% 30.96% 28.78%+0.21 -16.3 29
2004-06-08 @ Slovan Bratislava W 3-151.3 1460 1398 28.78% 30.96% 40.25%-0.21 +16.3 45
2004-06-08 Matador Puchov W 4-038.0 1595 1432 66.61% 22.07% 11.32%+1.40 +11.3 64
2004-06-08 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-438.0 1432 1595 11.32% 22.07% 66.61%-1.40 -11.3 39
2004-06-08 Ruzomberok L 2-367.9 1516 1520 47.99% 29.68% 22.33%+0.52 -10.2 44
2004-06-08 @ Artmedia Petrzalka W 3-267.9 1520 1516 22.33% 29.68% 47.99%-0.52 +10.2 55
2004-06-08 Laugaricio Trencin W 3-150.3 1511 1501 49.85% 29.20% 20.95%+0.60 +9.9 53
2004-06-08 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-350.3 1501 1511 20.95% 29.20% 49.85%-0.60 -9.9 48
2004-06-08 Zilina D 0-063.3 1498 1696 22.87% 29.84% 47.29%-0.52 +1.4 46
2004-06-08 @ Dubnica D 0-063.3 1696 1498 47.29% 29.84% 22.87%+0.52 -1.4 64

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-03-23 13.65% Laugaricio Trencin 1446 1 @ Spartak Trnava 1561 0
2 2004-04-17 13.77% Matador Puchov 1398 2 @ Dubnica 1510 1
3 2003-09-05 14.64% Ruzomberok 1487 3 @ Zilina 1584 0
4 2004-04-17 15.46% Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 1482 3 @ Spartak Trnava 1566 1
5 2003-07-26 15.87% Laugaricio Trencin 1460 3 @ Slovan Bratislava 1537 1
6 2003-10-25 17.04% Dubnica 1477 1 @ Spartak Trnava 1537 0
7 2004-04-10 17.49% Dubnica 1498 1 @ Ruzomberok 1551 0
8 2003-09-20 20.52% Dukla Banska Bystrica 1488 1 @ Matador Puchov 1503 0
9 2003-11-08 21.06% Dukla Banska Bystrica 1525 2 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 1534 1
10 2003-11-16 21.37% Spartak Trnava 1494 4 @ Slovan Bratislava 1500 0
11 2004-04-04 21.38% Spartak Trnava 1546 2 @ Artmedia Petrzalka 1552 0
12 2004-06-05 21.44% Artmedia Petrzalka 1506 3 @ Laugaricio Trencin 1511 2
13 2003-09-27 21.63% Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 1495 1 @ Laugaricio Trencin 1498 0
14 2003-08-23 21.77% Matador Puchov 1513 1 @ Slovan Bratislava 1515 0
15 2004-06-01 21.95% Ruzomberok 1509 1 @ Dubnica 1509 0
16 2003-08-23 22.08% Laugaricio Trencin 1498 3 @ Dubnica 1497 1
17 2004-06-08 22.33% Ruzomberok 1520 3 @ Artmedia Petrzalka 1516 2
18 2003-10-05 22.34% Zilina 1546 3 @ Artmedia Petrzalka 1541 1
19 2003-10-18 22.86% Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 1495 3 @ Matador Puchov 1486 0
20 2003-11-09 22.89% Artmedia Petrzalka 1515 1 @ Spartak Trnava 1506 0
21 2003-10-04 23.17% Ruzomberok 1519 1 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 1507 0
22 2003-11-15 24.30% Ruzomberok 1500 3 @ Dubnica 1477 2
23 2003-09-21 24.78% Spartak Trnava 1537 1 @ Laugaricio Trencin 1509 0
24 2003-11-22 24.97% Spartak Trnava 1536 1 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 1506 0
25 2004-05-01 25.48% Dubnica 1491 4 @ Slovan Bratislava 1457 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-11-16 41.71 Spartak Trnava 4 1494 21.37% @ Slovan Bratislava 0 1500 49.28% 29.35%
2 2003-09-05 37.18 Ruzomberok 3 1487 14.64% @ Zilina 0 1584 59.86% 25.50%
3 2003-10-18 30.93 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 3 1495 22.86% @ Matador Puchov 0 1486 47.31% 29.83%
4 2004-05-22 30.45 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 6 1557 51.28% Spartak Trnava 0 1535 19.94% 28.79%
5 2004-04-10 26.93 Zilina 4 1584 42.06% @ Matador Puchov 0 1425 27.18% 30.76%
6 2004-05-01 24.68 Dubnica 4 1491 25.48% @ Slovan Bratislava 1 1457 44.05% 30.47%
7 2004-03-06 24.44 @ Dubnica 3 1457 34.37% Dukla Banska Bystrica 0 1561 34.39% 31.24%
8 2004-05-11 23.97 Zilina 3 1633 35.34% @ Artmedia Petrzalka 0 1522 33.42% 31.23%
9 2004-02-21 23.65 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 5 1538 53.72% Laugaricio Trencin 0 1495 18.29% 27.99%
10 2003-11-08 23.34 Zilina 4 1581 28.18% @ Ruzomberok 1 1524 40.92% 30.89%
11 2003-08-16 23.18 @ Spartak Trnava 4 1493 47.70% Dukla Banska Bystrica 0 1500 22.55% 29.74%
12 2004-04-24 22.11 @ Laugaricio Trencin 3 1473 39.10% Spartak Trnava 0 1544 29.84% 31.06%
13 2004-05-25 22.07 Zilina 3 1669 39.18% @ Ruzomberok 0 1531 29.76% 31.06%
14 2004-04-04 21.98 Spartak Trnava 2 1546 21.38% @ Artmedia Petrzalka 0 1552 49.26% 29.36%
15 2004-04-17 21.75 Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 3 1482 15.46% @ Spartak Trnava 1 1566 58.38% 26.16%
16 2003-07-26 21.54 Laugaricio Trencin 3 1460 15.87% @ Slovan Bratislava 1 1537 57.66% 26.47%
17 2003-07-26 19.30 @ Matador Puchov 3 1489 44.65% Spartak Trnava 0 1519 24.99% 30.37%
18 2003-08-23 18.75 Laugaricio Trencin 3 1498 22.08% @ Dubnica 1 1497 48.33% 29.59%
19 2003-10-05 18.65 Zilina 3 1546 22.34% @ Artmedia Petrzalka 1 1541 47.98% 29.68%
20 2003-11-01 18.49 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 3 1506 46.25% Spartak Trnava 0 1524 23.69% 30.06%
21 2004-05-19 17.66 @ Spartak Trnava 3 1517 47.88% Dubnica 0 1522 22.42% 29.70%
22 2003-08-09 17.39 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 5 1482 35.63% Artmedia Petrzalka 2 1577 33.14% 31.23%
23 2003-08-16 17.15 @ Laugaricio Trencin 2 1481 33.43% Zilina 0 1592 35.34% 31.23%
24 2003-11-16 17.14 @ Artmedia Petrzalka 3 1527 48.90% Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 0 1523 21.65% 29.45%
25 2003-10-19 16.65 @ Zilina 3 1564 49.85% Spartak Trnava 0 1553 20.95% 29.20%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-11-23 75.7 @ Zilina 3 1602 64.68% Slovan Bratislava 3 1459 12.21% 23.11%
2 2003-07-26 73.6 @ Zilina 2 1594 51.88% Artmedia Petrzalka 2 1567 19.52% 28.60%
3 2004-06-01 72.7 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 2 1596 58.70% Laugaricio Trencin 2 1509 15.28% 26.02%
4 2003-08-09 72.3 @ Zilina 2 1593 60.42% Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 2 1491 14.34% 25.24%
5 2003-08-02 71.4 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 3 1492 46.39% Matador Puchov 3 1508 23.58% 30.03%
6 2003-08-24 71.1 @ Artmedia Petrzalka 2 1558 53.59% Spartak Trnava 2 1516 18.38% 28.04%
7 2004-04-10 70.6 @ Spartak Trnava 2 1567 59.79% Slovan Bratislava 2 1471 14.68% 25.53%
8 2003-08-30 70.4 @ Ruzomberok 3 1488 49.74% Dubnica 3 1478 21.03% 29.23%
9 2004-05-01 70.3 @ Ruzomberok 2 1539 50.58% Spartak Trnava 2 1522 20.43% 28.99%
10 2003-09-27 70.2 @ Ruzomberok 2 1520 44.89% Spartak Trnava 2 1548 24.79% 30.32%
11 2004-06-08 67.9 Ruzomberok 3 1520 22.33% @ Artmedia Petrzalka 2 1516 47.99% 29.68%
12 2004-03-06 67.7 @ Zilina 1 1599 54.59% Artmedia Petrzalka 1 1549 17.73% 27.68%
13 2004-06-05 67.4 Artmedia Petrzalka 3 1506 21.44% @ Laugaricio Trencin 2 1511 49.19% 29.38%
14 2004-04-03 67.2 @ Zilina 1 1585 52.92% Ruzomberok 1 1549 18.82% 28.27%
15 2004-05-19 66.9 @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 1 1487 25.48% Zilina 1 1660 44.06% 30.47%
16 2003-11-15 66.6 @ Zilina 1 1604 63.72% Matador Puchov 1 1471 12.66% 23.61%
17 2004-06-05 65.7 @ Ruzomberok 1 1520 38.68% Dukla Banska Bystrica 1 1594 30.22% 31.09%
18 2004-03-27 65.4 @ Spartak Trnava 1 1547 49.22% Dukla Banska Bystrica 1 1541 21.41% 29.37%
19 2003-08-17 65.3 @ Artmedia Petrzalka 1 1560 54.17% Slovan Bratislava 1 1513 18.00% 27.83%
20 2003-11-15 65.1 Ruzomberok 3 1500 24.30% @ Dubnica 2 1477 45.48% 30.21%
21 2004-04-18 64.5 Zilina 3 1611 39.18% @ Slovan Bratislava 2 1473 29.76% 31.06%
22 2003-11-08 64.2 Dukla Banska Bystrica 2 1525 21.06% @ Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 1 1534 49.71% 29.24%
23 2004-03-14 64.2 @ Artmedia Petrzalka 1 1551 56.80% Dubnica 1 1482 16.37% 26.83%
24 2003-11-29 63.8 @ Dubnica 1 1457 29.09% Zilina 1 1600 39.92% 30.99%
25 2004-03-28 63.8 @ Artmedia Petrzalka 1 1554 59.76% Slovan Bratislava 1 1458 14.69% 25.55%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-06-08 38.0 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 4 1595 66.61% Matador Puchov 0 1432 11.32% 22.07%
2 2004-03-27 38.8 @ Ruzomberok 3 1537 59.01% Matador Puchov 0 1448 15.10% 25.88%
3 2004-03-17 39.3 @ Artmedia Petrzalka 3 1549 59.75% Matador Puchov 0 1453 14.70% 25.55%
4 2004-04-03 39.8 @ Slovan Bratislava 2 1460 51.51% Matador Puchov 0 1436 19.78% 28.72%
5 2004-06-01 40.2 @ Artmedia Petrzalka 3 1490 51.15% Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 0 1468 20.03% 28.83%
6 2004-06-01 40.9 @ Zilina 2 1691 75.05% Matador Puchov 0 1437 7.87% 17.09%
7 2003-11-29 41.4 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 3 1523 53.30% Matador Puchov 0 1484 18.57% 28.14%
8 2004-03-06 41.7 @ Ruzomberok 3 1518 52.11% Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 0 1488 19.36% 28.53%
9 2004-03-06 42.3 @ Slovan Bratislava 2 1468 48.04% Laugaricio Trencin 0 1471 22.30% 29.66%
10 2003-08-16 42.4 @ Spartak Trnava 4 1493 47.70% Dukla Banska Bystrica 0 1500 22.55% 29.74%
11 2004-06-05 42.4 @ Zilina 1 1695 78.35% Slovan Bratislava 0 1400 6.65% 15.01%
12 2004-02-21 42.7 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 5 1538 53.72% Laugaricio Trencin 0 1495 18.29% 27.99%
13 2003-07-20 42.8 @ Artmedia Petrzalka 3 1553 54.50% Matador Puchov 0 1503 17.79% 27.71%
14 2003-10-04 43.0 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 2 1492 49.80% Dubnica 0 1481 20.99% 29.21%
15 2004-05-11 43.0 @ Laugaricio Trencin 1 1508 57.55% Slovan Bratislava 0 1432 15.93% 26.52%
16 2004-05-22 43.2 @ Zilina 3 1660 65.14% Laugaricio Trencin 0 1512 11.99% 22.87%
17 2003-07-26 43.5 @ Dubnica 2 1486 48.42% Dukla Banska Bystrica 0 1487 22.01% 29.57%
18 2004-05-22 43.5 @ Dubnica 2 1504 50.57% Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 0 1488 20.43% 29.00%
19 2003-11-08 43.6 @ Laugaricio Trencin 2 1483 47.71% Dubnica 0 1489 22.55% 29.74%
20 2003-08-09 43.8 @ Matador Puchov 2 1509 50.61% Laugaricio Trencin 0 1492 20.41% 28.98%
21 2003-09-27 43.9 @ Slovan Bratislava 2 1504 49.90% Dubnica 0 1493 20.92% 29.19%
22 2003-07-26 44.0 @ Matador Puchov 3 1489 44.65% Spartak Trnava 0 1519 24.99% 30.37%
23 2004-05-19 44.2 @ Spartak Trnava 3 1517 47.88% Dubnica 0 1522 22.42% 29.70%
24 2003-11-16 44.3 @ Artmedia Petrzalka 3 1527 48.90% Inter Slovnaft Bratislava 0 1523 21.65% 29.45%
25 2004-05-15 44.3 @ Dubnica 2 1511 50.02% Artmedia Petrzalka 0 1498 20.83% 29.15%