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2004-05 Slovak First Football League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Artmedia Bratislava

72 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Artmedia Bratislava

17.38 points above expected

72 points · 54.62 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rimavska Sobota

11.19 points below expected

32 points · 43.19 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Artmedia Bratislava 36 20 12 4 72 64 28 +36 54.62 +17.38
2 Zilina 36 19 8 9 65 73 34 +39 67.06 -2.06
3 Dukla Banska Bystrica 36 13 13 10 52 45 38 +7 54.48 -2.48
4 Dubnica 36 13 12 11 51 42 43 -1 50.22 +0.78
5 Spartak Trnava 36 12 10 14 46 39 37 +2 47.97 -1.97
6 Matador Puchov 36 12 10 14 46 31 43 -12 41.27 +4.73
7 Ruzomberok 36 11 10 15 43 50 57 -7 48.33 -5.33
8 AS Trencin 36 12 7 17 43 36 50 -14 44.15 -1.15
9 Inter Bratislava 36 9 11 16 38 37 60 -23 38.09 -0.09
10 Rimavska Sobota 36 7 11 18 32 30 57 -27 43.19 -11.19

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Artmedia Bratislava 72 54.62 +17.38
2 Matador Puchov 46 41.27 +4.73
3 Dubnica 51 50.22 +0.78
4 Inter Bratislava 38 38.09 -0.09
5 AS Trencin 43 44.15 -1.15

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rimavska Sobota 32 43.19 -11.19
2 Ruzomberok 43 48.33 -5.33
3 Dukla Banska Bystrica 52 54.48 -2.48
4 Zilina 65 67.06 -2.06
5 Spartak Trnava 46 47.97 -1.97

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ruzomberok 3 Sep 11 – Sep 26 1 in 43
2 Matador Puchov 3 Oct 16 – Oct 26 1 in 37
3 Artmedia Bratislava 4 May 17 – May 29 1 in 35
4 Spartak Trnava 3 May 14 – May 21 1 in 17
5 Inter Bratislava 2 Mar 15 – Mar 19 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inter Bratislava 7 Jul 25 – Sep 18 1 in 467
2 Rimavska Sobota 7 May 10 – Jun 12 1 in 161
3 Dukla Banska Bystrica 3 Oct 12 – Oct 24 1 in 44
4 Ruzomberok 4 Apr 5 – Apr 17 1 in 43
5 Spartak Trnava 4 Aug 8 – Aug 29 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Artmedia Bratislava 24 Oct 27 – Jun 15 1 in 4,908
2 Ruzomberok 9 Aug 7 – Oct 16 1 in 69
3 Dubnica 10 Jul 24 – Oct 12 1 in 61
4 Inter Bratislava 5 Oct 17 – Nov 6 1 in 57
5 Spartak Trnava 8 Oct 23 – Mar 16 1 in 56

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ruzomberok 11 Apr 5 – May 17 1 in 184
2 Dukla Banska Bystrica 9 Sep 19 – Nov 6 1 in 163
3 Spartak Trnava 10 Aug 8 – Oct 16 1 in 49
4 Rimavska Sobota 11 Oct 23 – Apr 9 1 in 45
5 Inter Bratislava 10 Jul 25 – Oct 12 1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Artmedia Bratislava 1586 72 +36 13 9.6 +3.4
Zilina 1613 65 +21 12 10.4 +1.6
Dukla Banska Bystrica 1505 52 +12 10 7.7 +2.3
Dubnica 1440 51 -27 3 5.6 -2.6
Spartak Trnava 1478 46 +7 10 8.2 +1.8
Matador Puchov 1397 46 -20 2 5.0 -3.0
Ruzomberok 1431 43 +32 7 5.3 +1.7
AS Trencin 1376 43 -19 6 5.4 +0.6
Inter Bratislava 1377 38 -14 7 6.0 +1.0
Rimavska Sobota 1368 32 -28 1 5.1 -4.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT AB DUB DBB IB MP RS RUZ ST ZIL
AS Trencin —
1-0-3
4.35
0-3-1
4.88
1-1-2
4.39
2-0-2
6.19
1-0-3
5.83
2-0-2
5.41
1-1-2
4.89
2-1-1
4.97
2-1-1
3.10
Artmedia Bratislava
3-0-1
6.59
 —
2-2-0
5.82
2-2-0
5.10
3-1-0
6.99
3-1-0
6.84
3-1-0
6.55
1-2-1
6.25
2-1-1
6.02
1-2-1
4.28
Dubnica
1-3-0
5.96
0-2-2
5.02
 —
1-1-2
4.99
1-2-1
6.88
3-1-0
6.27
2-1-1
6.37
3-0-1
5.72
1-0-3
5.80
1-2-1
3.87
Dukla Banska Bystrica
2-1-1
6.48
0-2-2
5.73
2-1-1
5.84
 —
2-0-2
7.22
1-3-0
6.96
3-1-0
6.72
1-3-0
6.08
1-1-2
6.21
1-1-2
4.49
Inter Bratislava
2-0-2
4.69
0-1-3
3.90
1-2-1
4.04
2-0-2
3.75
 —
1-1-2
5.09
2-1-1
4.60
1-1-2
4.33
0-4-0
4.29
0-1-3
2.74
Matador Puchov
3-0-1
5.05
0-1-3
4.08
0-1-3
4.57
0-3-1
3.96
2-1-1
5.73
 —
1-3-0
5.36
2-1-1
4.46
2-0-2
4.75
2-0-2
3.01
Rimavska Sobota
2-0-2
5.41
0-1-3
4.37
1-1-2
4.50
0-1-3
4.18
1-1-2
6.25
0-3-1
5.46
 —
2-1-1
4.88
1-2-1
4.82
0-1-3
3.29
Ruzomberok
2-1-1
5.95
1-2-1
4.59
1-0-3
5.12
0-3-1
4.78
2-1-1
6.55
1-1-2
6.43
1-1-2
5.98
 —
2-1-1
5.67
1-0-3
3.84
Spartak Trnava
1-1-2
5.86
1-1-2
4.80
3-0-1
5.07
2-1-1
4.66
0-4-0
6.57
2-0-2
6.12
1-2-1
6.06
1-1-2
5.21
 —
1-0-3
3.48
Zilina
1-1-2
7.90
1-2-1
6.61
1-2-1
7.04
2-1-1
6.39
3-1-0
8.36
2-0-2
8.03
3-1-0
7.69
3-0-1
7.10
3-0-1
7.47
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +7.3
Allowed 0.77 -9.7
Differential 0.93 +5.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%11.39%4.72%3.89%0.83%1.11%31.94%
111.39%13.33%6.39%2.78%0.56%1.39%35.83%
24.72%6.39%5.00%1.39%0.83%—18.33%
33.89%2.78%1.39%0.56%—0.28%8.89%
40.83%0.56%0.83%———2.22%
5+1.11%1.39%—0.28%——2.78%
Total31.94%35.83%18.33%8.89%2.22%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.24 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.88
CV 1.04 1.04 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%19.44%8.33%5.56%2.78%—38.89%
18.33%13.89%8.33%——2.78%33.33%
25.56%11.11%2.78%———19.44%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%44.44%25.00%5.56%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.39 -0.39
SD 1.04 1.23 1.73
CV 1.04 0.88 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%————16.67%
119.44%19.44%2.78%——2.78%44.44%
25.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
3—13.89%————13.89%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—8.33%————8.33%
Total38.89%52.78%5.56%——2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 0.78 +1.00
SD 1.73 0.93 1.87
CV 0.97 1.19 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%2.78%8.33%—2.78%33.33%
18.33%16.67%—5.56%——30.56%
211.11%5.56%8.33%———25.00%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total33.33%36.11%13.89%13.89%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.19 -0.03
SD 1.08 1.21 1.84
CV 0.93 1.02 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%5.56%5.56%—2.78%—33.33%
18.33%11.11%8.33%2.78%——30.56%
25.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
35.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%27.78%25.00%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.06 +0.19
SD 1.20 1.07 1.53
CV 0.96 1.01 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%5.56%——2.78%27.78%
111.11%13.89%8.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%47.22%
25.56%5.56%8.33%———19.44%
3—2.78%———2.78%5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%33.33%22.22%5.56%5.56%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.67 -0.64
SD 0.84 1.72 1.79
CV 0.82 1.03 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%—41.67%
116.67%13.89%2.78%2.78%—2.78%38.89%
22.78%8.33%————11.11%
32.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%38.89%13.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.19 -0.33
SD 0.93 1.33 1.62
CV 1.08 1.11 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%19.44%8.33%11.11%—2.78%50.00%
15.56%16.67%———2.78%25.00%
22.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%—16.67%
35.56%——2.78%——8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%41.67%11.11%16.67%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.58 -0.75
SD 1.00 1.56 1.90
CV 1.20 0.98 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%5.56%11.11%—2.78%33.33%
12.78%5.56%11.11%2.78%——22.22%
25.56%11.11%11.11%5.56%——33.33%
32.78%—————2.78%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total25.00%22.22%30.56%19.44%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.58 -0.19
SD 1.44 1.32 2.19
CV 1.04 0.83 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%2.78%———25.00%
119.44%13.89%16.67%2.78%——52.78%
22.78%—2.78%2.78%2.78%—11.11%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%30.56%22.22%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.03 +0.06
SD 0.91 1.06 1.31
CV 0.84 1.03 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%————19.44%
113.89%8.33%5.56%5.56%——33.33%
2—5.56%5.56%—2.78%—13.89%
311.11%—2.78%———13.89%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+8.33%2.78%—2.78%——13.89%
Total44.44%30.56%13.89%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 0.94 +1.08
SD 1.86 1.09 2.16
CV 0.92 1.16 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Zilina 1613 65 67.06 -2.06 34.0% 46 55 62 67 72 78 84
Artmedia Bratislava 1586 72 54.62 +17.38 98.0% 37 42 50 54 60 66 75
Dukla Banska Bystrica 1505 52 54.48 -2.48 43.0% 33 41 49 54 59 68 74
Spartak Trnava 1478 46 47.97 -1.97 44.0% 31 37 43 48 52 59 67
Dubnica 1440 51 50.22 +0.78 55.0% 32 39 45 50 55 61 70
Ruzomberok 1431 43 48.33 -5.33 28.0% 31 35 43 49 54 60 69
Matador Puchov 1397 46 41.27 +4.73 74.0% 20 29 36 41 47 54 57
Inter Bratislava 1377 38 38.09 -0.09 56.0% 23 27 32 37 43 53 57
AS Trencin 1376 43 44.15 -1.15 47.0% 29 34 39 44 49 55 61
Rimavska Sobota 1368 32 43.19 -11.19 9.0% 26 30 37 43 48 57 63

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 23.5% * Clear Edge: 23.5% to 29.5% * Strong Edge: 29.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+26.67%
Clear Edge
48.89%28.89%22.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge
148 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
094.94400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.66 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.64+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.24 * Comfortable: 0.24 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.7
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
5%
Artmedia Bratislava, 3rd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Tight Race
00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.95 * Some Luck: 5.95 to 8.93 * Lucky: 8.93 to 11.9 * Wild Swing: 11.9 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.34 * Close: 1.34 to 2.01 * Off: 2.01 to 2.68 * Way Off: 2.68 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.03 points
Some Luck
07.4419
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Pinpoint
01.674
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
98.00%
Artmedia Bratislava
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
9.00%
Rimavska Sobota
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Wide Separation: 2.1 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 64.5% * Slight Edge: 64.5% to 68.5% * Clear Edge: 68.5% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85.5% * Clear Edge: 85.5% to 89.5% * Strong Edge: 89.5% to 93.5% * Dominant: 93.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 62.5% * Frequent: 62.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 16% * Frequent: 16% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 87.68
1.56
Coin-Flip Parity
11.652.13
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%64.5%73.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Even
50%84%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.36 * Slight Separation: 0.36 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18.5% * As Expected: 18.5% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Very Even
00.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.86
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.31
Weak Carryover
00.380.521
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.82
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.84
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.064
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Artmedia Bratislava5.00%29.00%15.00%18.00%12.00%10.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%
Zilina75.00%17.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%—————
Dukla Banska Bystrica13.00%21.00%18.00%12.00%16.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%
Dubnica2.00%14.00%18.00%15.00%9.00%14.00%13.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%
Spartak Trnava2.00%6.00%9.00%14.00%20.00%13.00%14.00%13.00%5.00%4.00%
Matador Puchov—1.00%3.00%8.00%10.00%6.00%12.00%20.00%20.00%20.00%
Ruzomberok2.00%8.00%15.00%10.00%14.00%17.00%12.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%
AS Trencin—1.00%10.00%8.00%11.00%10.00%14.00%18.00%21.00%7.00%
Inter Bratislava——5.00%5.00%1.00%8.00%7.00%11.00%18.00%45.00%
Rimavska Sobota1.00%3.00%3.00%7.00%6.00%13.00%20.00%13.00%20.00%14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Zilina 100% —
Artmedia Bratislava 99.00% 1.00%
Dukla Banska Bystrica 99.00% 1.00%
Dubnica 97.00% 3.00%
Spartak Trnava 96.00% 4.00%
Ruzomberok 95.00% 5.00%
AS Trencin 93.00% 7.00%
Rimavska Sobota 86.00% 14.00%
Matador Puchov 80.00% 20.00%
Inter Bratislava 55.00% 45.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2004-07-24 Matador Puchov W 2-038.4 1441 1395 53.61% 27.15% 19.24%+0.95 +8.3 3
2004-07-24 @ Dubnica L 0-238.4 1395 1441 19.24% 27.15% 53.61%-0.95 -8.3 0
2004-07-24 AS Trencin W 2-149.1 1503 1435 56.35% 26.07% 17.59%+1.10 +3.8 3
2004-07-24 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 1-249.1 1435 1503 17.59% 26.07% 56.35%-1.10 -3.8 0
2004-07-25 Inter Bratislava W 2-148.8 1445 1427 50.17% 28.31% 21.51%+0.76 +4.6 3
2004-07-25 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 1-248.8 1427 1445 21.51% 28.31% 50.17%-0.76 -4.6 0
2004-07-25 Ruzomberok W 2-042.5 1457 1458 47.71% 29.00% 23.28%+0.64 +9.9 3
2004-07-25 @ Rimavska Sobota L 0-242.5 1458 1457 23.28% 29.00% 47.71%-0.64 -9.9 0
2004-07-31 Dubnica L 0-249.2 1448 1449 47.66% 29.02% 23.32%+0.63 -17.0 0
2004-07-31 @ Ruzomberok W 2-049.2 1449 1448 23.32% 29.02% 47.66%-0.63 +17.0 6
2004-07-31 Artmedia Bratislava W 5-143.2 1558 1450 61.04% 23.92% 15.04%+1.37 +10.1 3
2004-07-31 @ Zilina L 1-543.2 1450 1558 15.04% 23.92% 61.04%-1.37 -10.1 3
2004-07-31 Rimavska Sobota W 1-046.3 1431 1467 42.99% 29.98% 27.03%+0.40 +5.9 3
2004-07-31 @ AS Trencin L 0-146.3 1467 1431 27.03% 29.98% 42.99%-0.40 -5.9 3
2004-08-01 Dukla Banska Bystrica L 1-450.3 1422 1507 36.22% 30.62% 33.16%+0.07 -17.0 0
2004-08-01 @ Inter Bratislava W 4-150.3 1507 1422 33.16% 30.62% 36.22%-0.07 +17.0 6
2004-08-01 Matador Puchov W 3-143.2 1452 1387 56.00% 26.21% 17.79%+1.08 +6.6 3
2004-08-01 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-343.2 1387 1452 17.79% 26.21% 56.00%-1.08 -6.6 0
2004-08-07 Inter Bratislava W 1-041.8 1461 1405 54.84% 26.68% 18.48%+1.02 +4.2 6
2004-08-07 @ Rimavska Sobota L 0-141.8 1405 1461 18.48% 26.68% 54.84%-1.02 -4.2 0
2004-08-07 Ruzomberok L 0-148.1 1380 1431 40.97% 30.27% 28.76%+0.30 -8.0 0
2004-08-07 @ Matador Puchov W 1-048.1 1431 1380 28.76% 30.27% 40.97%-0.30 +8.0 3
2004-08-07 AS Trencin D 1-158.7 1466 1437 51.57% 27.87% 20.56%+0.84 -1.3 7
2004-08-07 @ Dubnica D 1-158.7 1437 1466 20.56% 27.87% 51.57%-0.84 +1.3 4
2004-08-07 Zilina D 1-164.8 1524 1568 41.81% 30.16% 28.03%+0.34 -0.5 7
2004-08-07 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica D 1-164.8 1568 1524 28.03% 30.16% 41.81%-0.34 +0.5 4
2004-08-08 Spartak Trnava W 3-148.1 1440 1459 45.28% 29.56% 25.15%+0.51 +9.1 6
2004-08-08 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 1-348.1 1459 1440 25.15% 29.56% 45.28%-0.51 -9.2 3
2004-08-14 Spartak Trnava W 2-150.3 1569 1450 62.26% 23.31% 14.44%+1.44 +3.0 7
2004-08-14 @ Zilina L 1-250.3 1450 1569 14.44% 23.31% 62.26%-1.44 -3.0 3
2004-08-21 Dubnica L 0-149.1 1401 1465 39.14% 30.45% 30.41%+0.21 -7.8 0
2004-08-21 @ Inter Bratislava W 1-049.1 1465 1401 30.41% 30.45% 39.14%-0.21 +7.8 10
2004-08-21 Matador Puchov L 0-151.4 1438 1372 56.08% 26.18% 17.74%+1.08 -10.2 4
2004-08-21 @ AS Trencin W 1-051.4 1372 1438 17.74% 26.18% 56.08%-1.08 +10.2 3
2004-08-21 Rimavska Sobota W 3-041.2 1572 1465 60.84% 24.02% 15.15%+1.36 +9.3 10
2004-08-21 @ Zilina L 0-341.2 1465 1572 15.15% 24.02% 60.84%-1.36 -9.3 6
2004-08-21 Ruzomberok L 1-257.5 1447 1439 48.81% 28.71% 22.48%+0.69 -8.7 3
2004-08-21 @ Spartak Trnava W 2-157.5 1439 1447 22.48% 28.71% 48.81%-0.69 +8.7 6
2004-08-22 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-155.9 1449 1523 37.65% 30.56% 31.79%+0.14 +6.3 9
2004-08-22 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 1-255.9 1523 1449 31.79% 30.56% 37.65%-0.14 -6.3 7
2004-08-28 Inter Bratislava W 2-147.5 1382 1393 46.38% 29.33% 24.30%+0.57 +5.1 6
2004-08-28 @ Matador Puchov L 1-247.5 1393 1382 24.30% 29.33% 46.38%-0.57 -5.1 0
2004-08-28 AS Trencin D 1-157.7 1448 1428 50.36% 28.26% 21.38%+0.77 -1.2 7
2004-08-28 @ Ruzomberok D 1-157.7 1428 1448 21.38% 28.26% 50.36%-0.77 +1.2 5
2004-08-28 Zilina W 3-157.5 1473 1581 32.78% 30.61% 36.61%-0.09 +12.1 13
2004-08-28 @ Dubnica L 1-357.5 1581 1473 36.61% 30.61% 32.78%+0.09 -12.1 10
2004-08-29 Artmedia Bratislava L 0-152.7 1456 1455 47.91% 28.95% 23.14%+0.65 -9.0 6
2004-08-29 @ Rimavska Sobota W 1-052.7 1455 1456 23.14% 28.95% 47.91%-0.65 +9.0 12
2004-08-29 Spartak Trnava W 4-249.9 1517 1438 57.62% 25.52% 16.86%+1.17 +5.6 10
2004-08-29 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 2-449.9 1438 1517 16.86% 25.52% 57.62%-1.17 -5.6 3
2004-09-11 Matador Puchov W 3-035.8 1569 1388 68.93% 19.67% 11.40%+1.86 +6.6 13
2004-09-11 @ Zilina L 0-335.8 1388 1569 11.40% 19.67% 68.93%-1.86 -6.6 6
2004-09-11 Rimavska Sobota W 3-039.8 1522 1447 57.23% 25.69% 17.08%+1.15 +10.7 13
2004-09-11 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-339.8 1447 1522 17.08% 25.69% 57.23%-1.15 -10.7 6
2004-09-11 Ruzomberok L 1-546.8 1388 1446 39.91% 30.38% 29.71%+0.25 -23.5 0
2004-09-11 @ Inter Bratislava W 5-146.8 1446 1388 29.71% 30.38% 39.91%-0.25 +23.5 10
2004-09-11 AS Trencin D 1-157.1 1432 1429 48.23% 28.87% 22.90%+0.66 -1.0 4
2004-09-11 @ Spartak Trnava D 1-157.1 1429 1432 22.90% 28.87% 48.23%-0.66 +1.0 6
2004-09-12 Dubnica D 1-159.8 1464 1485 45.09% 29.60% 25.30%+0.50 -0.8 13
2004-09-12 @ Artmedia Bratislava D 1-159.8 1485 1464 25.30% 29.60% 45.09%-0.50 +0.8 14
2004-09-18 Inter Bratislava W 2-036.7 1430 1365 56.03% 26.20% 17.77%+1.08 +7.7 9
2004-09-18 @ AS Trencin L 0-236.7 1365 1430 17.77% 26.20% 56.03%-1.08 -7.7 0
2004-09-18 Artmedia Bratislava L 0-147.7 1381 1463 36.47% 30.61% 32.91%+0.08 -7.4 6
2004-09-18 @ Matador Puchov W 1-047.7 1463 1381 32.91% 30.61% 36.47%-0.08 +7.4 16
2004-09-18 Spartak Trnava D 0-052.6 1436 1431 48.45% 28.81% 22.74%+0.67 -1.2 7
2004-09-18 @ Rimavska Sobota D 0-052.6 1431 1436 22.74% 28.81% 48.45%-0.67 +1.2 5
2004-09-18 Zilina W 2-160.0 1470 1576 33.17% 30.62% 36.21%-0.07 +6.9 13
2004-09-18 @ Ruzomberok L 1-260.0 1576 1470 36.21% 30.62% 33.17%+0.07 -6.9 13
2004-09-19 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 2-267.6 1485 1533 41.40% 30.21% 28.38%+0.32 -0.4 15
2004-09-19 @ Dubnica D 2-267.6 1533 1485 28.38% 30.21% 41.40%-0.32 +0.4 14
2004-09-25 Dubnica D 1-158.6 1435 1485 41.04% 30.26% 28.70%+0.30 -0.5 8
2004-09-25 @ Rimavska Sobota D 1-158.6 1485 1435 28.70% 30.26% 41.04%-0.30 +0.5 16
2004-09-25 Inter Bratislava D 0-051.5 1432 1357 57.22% 25.69% 17.09%+1.15 -1.9 6
2004-09-25 @ Spartak Trnava D 0-051.5 1357 1432 17.09% 25.69% 57.22%-1.15 +1.9 1
2004-09-25 Matador Puchov D 1-160.9 1533 1374 66.69% 20.94% 12.37%+1.72 -2.3 15
2004-09-25 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica D 1-160.9 1374 1533 12.37% 20.94% 66.69%-1.72 +2.3 7
2004-09-25 AS Trencin D 2-269.4 1569 1438 63.57% 22.63% 13.80%+1.52 -1.6 14
2004-09-25 @ Zilina D 2-269.4 1438 1569 13.80% 22.63% 63.57%-1.52 +1.6 10
2004-09-26 Ruzomberok L 1-259.2 1471 1477 47.02% 29.18% 23.81%+0.60 -8.4 16
2004-09-26 @ Artmedia Bratislava W 2-159.2 1477 1471 23.81% 29.18% 47.02%-0.60 +8.4 16
2004-10-02 Rimavska Sobota W 2-041.9 1376 1435 39.85% 30.39% 29.76%+0.24 +12.0 10
2004-10-02 @ Matador Puchov L 0-241.9 1435 1376 29.76% 30.39% 39.85%-0.24 -12.0 8
2004-10-02 Spartak Trnava W 2-040.4 1486 1431 54.77% 26.71% 18.52%+1.01 +8.0 19
2004-10-02 @ Dubnica L 0-240.4 1431 1486 18.52% 26.71% 54.77%-1.01 -8.0 6
2004-10-02 Zilina L 1-445.0 1359 1567 21.51% 28.31% 50.17%-0.76 -11.3 1
2004-10-02 @ Inter Bratislava W 4-145.0 1567 1359 50.17% 28.31% 21.51%+0.76 +11.3 17
2004-10-03 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 2-267.5 1485 1531 41.64% 30.18% 28.18%+0.33 -0.4 17
2004-10-03 @ Ruzomberok D 2-267.5 1531 1485 28.18% 30.18% 41.64%-0.33 +0.4 16
2004-10-03 Artmedia Bratislava W 1-045.9 1439 1462 44.74% 29.67% 25.58%+0.48 +5.7 13
2004-10-03 @ AS Trencin L 0-145.9 1462 1439 25.58% 29.67% 44.74%-0.48 -5.7 16
2004-10-12 Dubnica L 1-253.3 1388 1494 33.17% 30.62% 36.21%-0.07 -6.5 10
2004-10-12 @ Matador Puchov W 2-153.3 1494 1388 36.21% 30.62% 33.17%+0.07 +6.5 22
2004-10-12 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 3-261.3 1445 1531 35.91% 30.63% 33.47%+0.06 +6.2 16
2004-10-12 @ AS Trencin L 2-361.3 1531 1445 33.47% 30.63% 35.91%-0.06 -6.2 16
2004-10-12 Artmedia Bratislava L 1-348.1 1348 1457 32.69% 30.60% 36.71%-0.10 -11.2 1
2004-10-12 @ Inter Bratislava W 3-148.1 1457 1348 36.71% 30.60% 32.69%+0.10 +11.2 19
2004-10-12 Rimavska Sobota W 4-248.9 1485 1422 55.67% 26.35% 17.98%+1.06 +6.0 20
2004-10-12 @ Ruzomberok L 2-448.9 1422 1485 17.98% 26.35% 55.67%-1.06 -6.0 8
2004-10-12 Zilina L 0-149.9 1423 1578 26.82% 29.94% 43.24%-0.41 -5.9 6
2004-10-12 @ Spartak Trnava W 1-049.9 1578 1423 43.24% 29.94% 26.82%+0.41 +5.9 20
2004-10-16 Ruzomberok L 0-351.1 1500 1491 49.01% 28.65% 22.34%+0.70 -25.2 22
2004-10-16 @ Dubnica W 3-051.1 1491 1500 22.34% 28.65% 49.01%-0.70 +25.2 23
2004-10-16 Spartak Trnava W 3-253.7 1381 1417 43.09% 29.97% 26.94%+0.40 +5.3 13
2004-10-16 @ Matador Puchov L 2-353.7 1417 1381 26.94% 29.97% 43.09%-0.40 -5.3 6
2004-10-16 AS Trencin W 2-150.8 1416 1451 43.16% 29.96% 26.89%+0.41 +5.6 11
2004-10-16 @ Rimavska Sobota L 1-250.8 1451 1416 26.89% 29.96% 43.16%-0.41 -5.6 16
2004-10-17 Inter Bratislava L 1-260.2 1525 1336 69.68% 19.23% 11.08%+1.91 -11.2 16
2004-10-17 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-160.2 1336 1525 11.08% 19.23% 69.68%-1.91 +11.3 4
2004-10-17 Zilina D 1-163.3 1468 1584 31.71% 30.55% 37.74%-0.14 +0.2 20
2004-10-17 @ Artmedia Bratislava D 1-163.3 1584 1468 37.74% 30.55% 31.71%+0.14 -0.2 21
2004-10-23 Dubnica L 0-446.9 1446 1475 43.92% 29.83% 26.26%+0.44 -30.3 16
2004-10-23 @ AS Trencin W 4-046.9 1475 1446 26.26% 29.83% 43.92%-0.44 +30.3 25
2004-10-23 Artmedia Bratislava W 1-046.6 1411 1468 40.11% 30.36% 29.52%+0.26 +6.3 9
2004-10-23 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-146.6 1468 1411 29.52% 30.36% 40.11%-0.26 -6.3 20
2004-10-23 Matador Puchov L 1-260.6 1516 1387 63.41% 22.71% 13.88%+1.51 -10.6 23
2004-10-23 @ Ruzomberok W 2-160.6 1387 1516 13.88% 22.71% 63.41%-1.51 +10.5 16
2004-10-23 Rimavska Sobota D 2-259.8 1348 1422 37.63% 30.56% 31.81%+0.14 -0.2 5
2004-10-23 @ Inter Bratislava D 2-259.8 1422 1348 31.81% 30.56% 37.63%-0.14 +0.2 12
2004-10-24 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 4-044.2 1584 1514 56.59% 25.97% 17.45%+1.11 +14.2 24
2004-10-24 @ Zilina L 0-444.2 1514 1584 17.45% 25.97% 56.59%-1.11 -14.2 16
2004-10-26 Inter Bratislava D 2-264.6 1505 1348 66.46% 21.07% 12.47%+1.70 -1.7 26
2004-10-26 @ Dubnica D 2-264.6 1348 1505 12.47% 21.07% 66.46%-1.70 +1.7 6
2004-10-26 Spartak Trnava D 2-265.7 1506 1418 58.68% 25.04% 16.28%+1.23 -1.3 24
2004-10-26 @ Ruzomberok D 2-265.7 1418 1506 16.28% 25.04% 58.68%-1.23 +1.3 10
2004-10-26 AS Trencin W 2-148.6 1397 1415 45.42% 29.54% 25.05%+0.52 +5.3 19
2004-10-26 @ Matador Puchov L 1-248.6 1415 1397 25.05% 29.54% 45.42%-0.52 -5.3 16
2004-10-27 Artmedia Bratislava D 0-056.1 1500 1462 52.66% 27.49% 19.84%+0.90 -1.5 17
2004-10-27 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-056.1 1462 1500 19.84% 27.49% 52.66%-0.90 +1.5 21
2004-10-27 Zilina D 0-057.8 1422 1598 24.61% 29.42% 45.98%-0.55 +1.0 13
2004-10-27 @ Rimavska Sobota D 0-057.8 1598 1422 45.98% 29.42% 24.61%+0.55 -1.0 25
2004-10-30 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-045.8 1419 1498 36.95% 30.59% 32.46%+0.11 +12.8 13
2004-10-30 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-245.8 1498 1419 32.46% 30.59% 36.95%-0.11 -12.9 17
2004-10-30 Matador Puchov D 0-049.4 1349 1403 40.60% 30.31% 29.09%+0.28 -0.5 7
2004-10-30 @ Inter Bratislava D 0-049.4 1403 1349 29.09% 30.31% 40.60%-0.28 +0.5 20
2004-10-30 Ruzomberok W 3-044.6 1410 1504 34.79% 30.64% 34.56%+0.01 +19.5 19
2004-10-30 @ AS Trencin L 0-344.6 1504 1410 34.56% 30.64% 34.79%-0.01 -19.5 24
2004-10-31 Dubnica D 2-272.2 1597 1503 59.39% 24.71% 15.90%+1.27 -1.4 26
2004-10-31 @ Zilina D 2-272.2 1503 1597 15.90% 24.71% 59.39%-1.27 +1.4 27
2004-10-31 Rimavska Sobota W 7-140.1 1463 1423 52.94% 27.40% 19.67%+0.91 +19.4 24
2004-10-31 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 1-740.1 1423 1463 19.67% 27.40% 52.94%-0.91 -19.4 13
2004-11-06 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 1-157.4 1404 1485 36.59% 30.61% 32.80%+0.09 -0.2 14
2004-11-06 @ Rimavska Sobota D 1-157.4 1485 1404 32.80% 30.61% 36.59%-0.09 +0.2 18
2004-11-06 Inter Bratislava D 2-263.7 1485 1349 64.13% 22.33% 13.54%+1.56 -1.6 25
2004-11-06 @ Ruzomberok D 2-263.7 1349 1485 13.54% 22.33% 64.13%-1.56 +1.6 8
2004-11-06 Artmedia Bratislava D 1-161.6 1505 1483 50.67% 28.16% 21.17%+0.79 -1.2 28
2004-11-06 @ Dubnica D 1-161.6 1483 1505 21.17% 28.16% 50.67%-0.79 +1.2 25
2004-11-06 Zilina W 1-055.9 1403 1596 22.92% 28.87% 48.21%-0.66 +9.1 23
2004-11-06 @ Matador Puchov L 0-155.9 1596 1403 48.21% 28.87% 22.92%+0.66 -9.1 26
2004-11-07 Spartak Trnava L 0-151.0 1430 1432 47.51% 29.05% 23.44%+0.62 -9.0 19
2004-11-07 @ AS Trencin W 1-051.0 1432 1430 23.44% 29.05% 47.51%-0.62 +9.0 16
2004-11-13 Dubnica W 3-044.1 1485 1504 45.41% 29.54% 25.05%+0.52 +15.3 21
2004-11-13 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-344.1 1504 1485 25.05% 29.54% 45.41%-0.52 -15.3 28
2004-11-13 Rimavska Sobota D 1-157.0 1441 1404 52.59% 27.52% 19.89%+0.89 -1.3 17
2004-11-13 @ Spartak Trnava D 1-157.0 1404 1441 19.89% 27.52% 52.59%-0.89 +1.3 15
2004-11-13 Ruzomberok W 6-042.9 1587 1483 60.52% 24.17% 15.31%+1.34 +18.1 29
2004-11-13 @ Zilina L 0-642.9 1483 1587 15.31% 24.17% 60.52%-1.34 -18.1 25
2004-11-13 AS Trencin L 1-252.0 1350 1421 38.21% 30.52% 31.26%+0.17 -7.2 8
2004-11-13 @ Inter Bratislava W 2-152.0 1421 1350 31.26% 30.52% 38.21%-0.17 +7.2 22
2004-11-14 Matador Puchov W 4-036.9 1484 1412 56.79% 25.88% 17.33%+1.12 +14.1 28
2004-11-14 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 0-436.9 1412 1484 17.33% 25.88% 56.79%-1.12 -14.1 23
2004-11-20 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-053.0 1398 1501 33.56% 30.63% 35.81%-0.05 +0.1 24
2004-11-20 @ Matador Puchov D 0-053.0 1501 1398 35.81% 30.63% 33.56%+0.05 -0.1 22
2004-11-20 Artmedia Bratislava D 1-160.2 1465 1498 43.40% 29.92% 26.68%+0.42 -0.6 26
2004-11-20 @ Ruzomberok D 1-160.2 1498 1465 26.68% 29.92% 43.40%-0.42 +0.7 29
2004-11-20 Rimavska Sobota W 2-038.7 1488 1405 58.16% 25.28% 16.56%+1.20 +7.1 31
2004-11-20 @ Dubnica L 0-238.7 1405 1488 16.56% 25.28% 58.16%-1.20 -7.1 15
2004-11-20 Spartak Trnava D 1-154.6 1343 1440 34.47% 30.64% 34.89%-0.01 +0.0 9
2004-11-20 @ Inter Bratislava D 1-154.6 1440 1343 34.89% 30.64% 34.47%+0.01 -0.0 18
2004-11-20 Zilina W 4-262.8 1428 1605 24.49% 29.38% 46.12%-0.55 +12.8 25
2004-11-20 @ AS Trencin L 2-462.8 1605 1428 46.12% 29.38% 24.49%+0.55 -12.8 29
2004-11-23 Dubnica W 3-043.7 1440 1495 40.23% 30.35% 29.42%+0.26 +17.4 21
2004-11-23 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-343.7 1495 1440 29.42% 30.35% 40.23%-0.26 -17.4 31
2004-11-23 Inter Bratislava D 1-163.4 1592 1343 75.43% 15.80% 8.77%+2.32 -2.8 30
2004-11-23 @ Zilina D 1-163.4 1343 1592 8.77% 15.80% 75.43%-2.32 +2.8 10
2004-11-23 Matador Puchov D 1-155.4 1398 1398 47.78% 28.99% 23.23%+0.64 -1.0 16
2004-11-23 @ Rimavska Sobota D 1-155.4 1398 1398 23.23% 28.99% 47.78%-0.64 +1.0 25
2004-11-23 Ruzomberok D 0-056.2 1501 1464 52.46% 27.57% 19.98%+0.89 -1.5 23
2004-11-23 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-056.2 1464 1501 19.98% 27.57% 52.46%-0.89 +1.5 27
2004-11-23 AS Trencin W 1-044.1 1499 1441 55.14% 26.56% 18.30%+1.03 +4.2 32
2004-11-23 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 0-144.1 1441 1499 18.30% 26.56% 55.14%-1.03 -4.2 25
2005-03-15 Inter Bratislava L 0-149.7 1397 1346 54.27% 26.90% 18.83%+0.98 -10.0 16
2005-03-15 @ Rimavska Sobota W 1-049.7 1346 1397 18.83% 26.90% 54.27%-0.98 +10.0 13
2005-03-15 AS Trencin D 0-054.5 1478 1436 53.12% 27.33% 19.55%+0.92 -1.5 32
2005-03-15 @ Dubnica D 0-054.5 1436 1478 19.55% 27.33% 53.12%-0.92 +1.5 26
2005-03-16 Spartak Trnava D 0-056.2 1503 1457 53.66% 27.13% 19.21%+0.95 -1.6 33
2005-03-16 @ Artmedia Bratislava D 0-056.2 1457 1503 19.21% 27.13% 53.66%-0.95 +1.6 22
2005-03-16 Zilina W 1-055.4 1499 1589 35.38% 30.64% 33.98%+0.03 +7.0 26
2005-03-16 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-155.4 1589 1499 33.98% 30.64% 35.38%-0.03 -7.0 30
2005-03-19 Dubnica W 3-150.5 1356 1477 31.14% 30.52% 38.34%-0.17 +12.5 16
2005-03-19 @ Inter Bratislava L 1-350.5 1477 1356 38.34% 30.52% 31.14%+0.17 -12.5 32
2005-03-19 Matador Puchov W 2-038.6 1438 1399 52.79% 27.45% 19.76%+0.90 +8.5 29
2005-03-19 @ AS Trencin L 0-238.6 1399 1438 19.76% 27.45% 52.79%-0.90 -8.5 25
2005-03-19 Rimavska Sobota W 5-035.7 1582 1387 70.35% 18.85% 10.81%+1.96 +10.0 33
2005-03-19 @ Zilina L 0-535.7 1387 1582 10.81% 18.85% 70.35%-1.96 -10.0 16
2005-03-19 Ruzomberok L 1-258.3 1458 1466 46.83% 29.22% 23.95%+0.59 -8.4 22
2005-03-19 @ Spartak Trnava W 2-158.3 1466 1458 23.95% 29.22% 46.83%-0.59 +8.4 30
2005-03-20 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 3-151.5 1501 1506 47.16% 29.14% 23.70%+0.61 +8.7 36
2005-03-20 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 1-351.5 1506 1501 23.70% 29.14% 47.16%-0.61 -8.7 26
2005-04-02 Inter Bratislava W 1-040.5 1391 1368 50.67% 28.16% 21.17%+0.79 +4.8 28
2005-04-02 @ Matador Puchov L 0-140.5 1368 1391 21.17% 28.16% 50.67%-0.79 -4.8 16
2005-04-02 Artmedia Bratislava D 1-157.4 1377 1510 29.54% 30.36% 40.10%-0.26 +0.4 17
2005-04-02 @ Rimavska Sobota D 1-157.4 1510 1377 40.10% 30.36% 29.54%+0.26 -0.4 37
2005-04-02 AS Trencin W 2-041.6 1474 1446 51.39% 27.93% 20.68%+0.83 +8.9 33
2005-04-02 @ Ruzomberok L 0-241.6 1446 1474 20.68% 27.93% 51.39%-0.83 -8.9 29
2005-04-02 Zilina D 0-058.8 1464 1592 30.16% 30.43% 39.41%-0.22 +0.4 33
2005-04-02 @ Dubnica D 0-058.8 1592 1464 39.41% 30.43% 30.16%+0.22 -0.4 34
2005-04-03 Spartak Trnava D 0-055.8 1498 1450 53.84% 27.06% 19.09%+0.96 -1.6 27
2005-04-03 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-055.8 1450 1498 19.09% 27.06% 53.84%-0.96 +1.6 23
2005-04-05 Ruzomberok W 1-047.9 1395 1483 35.70% 30.63% 33.67%+0.05 +7.0 31
2005-04-05 @ Matador Puchov L 0-147.9 1483 1395 33.67% 30.63% 35.70%-0.05 -7.0 33
2005-04-09 Matador Puchov L 0-159.3 1592 1402 69.75% 19.19% 11.05%+1.92 -12.0 34
2005-04-09 @ Zilina W 1-059.3 1402 1592 11.05% 19.19% 69.75%-1.92 +11.9 34
2005-04-09 Rimavska Sobota W 3-249.9 1496 1377 62.21% 23.33% 14.46%+1.44 +2.9 30
2005-04-09 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 2-349.9 1377 1496 14.46% 23.33% 62.21%-1.44 -2.9 17
2005-04-09 Ruzomberok W 2-153.3 1364 1476 32.21% 30.58% 37.21%-0.12 +7.1 19
2005-04-09 @ Inter Bratislava L 1-253.3 1476 1364 37.21% 30.58% 32.21%+0.12 -7.1 33
2005-04-09 AS Trencin L 1-257.8 1452 1438 49.64% 28.47% 21.88%+0.74 -8.8 23
2005-04-09 @ Spartak Trnava W 2-157.8 1438 1452 21.88% 28.47% 49.64%-0.74 +8.8 32
2005-04-10 Dubnica W 1-045.8 1510 1464 53.56% 27.17% 19.27%+0.95 +4.4 40
2005-04-10 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 0-145.8 1464 1510 19.27% 27.17% 53.56%-0.95 -4.4 33
2005-04-12 Spartak Trnava W 2-150.8 1374 1443 38.46% 30.51% 31.03%+0.18 +6.2 20
2005-04-12 @ Rimavska Sobota L 1-250.8 1443 1374 31.03% 30.51% 38.46%-0.18 -6.2 23
2005-04-12 Zilina L 2-363.7 1469 1580 32.47% 30.59% 36.94%-0.11 -6.1 33
2005-04-12 @ Ruzomberok W 3-263.7 1580 1469 36.94% 30.59% 32.47%+0.11 +6.1 37
2005-04-13 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 1-048.5 1460 1499 42.60% 30.05% 27.36%+0.38 +6.0 36
2005-04-13 @ Dubnica L 0-148.5 1499 1460 27.36% 30.05% 42.60%-0.38 -6.0 30
2005-04-13 Inter Bratislava L 0-151.8 1446 1371 57.26% 25.68% 17.07%+1.15 -10.4 32
2005-04-13 @ AS Trencin W 1-051.8 1371 1446 17.07% 25.68% 57.26%-1.15 +10.4 22
2005-04-13 Artmedia Bratislava D 1-158.7 1414 1514 34.00% 30.64% 35.36%-0.03 +0.0 35
2005-04-13 @ Matador Puchov D 1-158.7 1514 1414 35.36% 30.64% 34.00%+0.03 -0.0 41
2005-04-16 Dubnica W 1-046.8 1381 1466 36.06% 30.62% 33.32%+0.06 +6.9 23
2005-04-16 @ Rimavska Sobota L 0-146.8 1466 1381 33.32% 30.62% 36.06%-0.06 -6.9 36
2005-04-16 Matador Puchov W 2-039.3 1493 1414 57.59% 25.53% 16.88%+1.17 +7.2 33
2005-04-16 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-239.3 1414 1493 16.88% 25.53% 57.59%-1.17 -7.2 35
2005-04-16 AS Trencin W 1-044.0 1586 1436 65.64% 21.52% 12.84%+1.65 +2.8 40
2005-04-16 @ Zilina L 0-144.0 1436 1586 12.84% 21.52% 65.64%-1.65 -2.8 32
2005-04-17 Inter Bratislava D 1-156.6 1437 1381 54.85% 26.68% 18.48%+1.02 -1.5 24
2005-04-17 @ Spartak Trnava D 1-156.6 1381 1437 18.48% 26.68% 54.85%-1.02 +1.5 23
2005-04-17 Ruzomberok W 3-148.2 1514 1463 54.26% 26.90% 18.83%+0.98 +7.0 44
2005-04-17 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 1-348.2 1463 1514 18.83% 26.90% 54.26%-0.98 -7.0 33
2005-04-23 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-055.1 1456 1500 41.88% 30.15% 27.97%+0.34 -0.6 34
2005-04-23 @ Ruzomberok D 0-055.1 1500 1456 27.97% 30.15% 41.88%-0.34 +0.6 34
2005-04-23 Rimavska Sobota D 1-155.6 1407 1388 50.34% 28.26% 21.40%+0.77 -1.2 36
2005-04-23 @ Matador Puchov D 1-155.6 1388 1407 21.40% 28.26% 50.34%-0.77 +1.2 24
2005-04-23 Spartak Trnava L 0-152.8 1459 1435 50.89% 28.09% 21.02%+0.80 -9.5 36
2005-04-23 @ Dubnica W 1-052.8 1435 1459 21.02% 28.09% 50.89%-0.80 +9.5 27
2005-04-23 Zilina L 0-146.8 1383 1589 21.69% 28.39% 49.93%-0.75 -4.9 23
2005-04-23 @ Inter Bratislava W 1-046.8 1589 1383 49.93% 28.39% 21.69%+0.75 +4.9 43
2005-04-24 Artmedia Bratislava L 0-151.0 1433 1521 35.71% 30.63% 33.66%+0.05 -7.3 32
2005-04-24 @ AS Trencin W 1-051.0 1521 1433 33.66% 30.63% 35.71%-0.05 +7.3 47
2005-04-26 Matador Puchov D 1-157.4 1450 1406 53.37% 27.24% 19.39%+0.93 -1.4 37
2005-04-26 @ Dubnica D 1-157.4 1406 1450 19.39% 27.24% 53.37%-0.93 +1.4 37
2005-04-26 Ruzomberok W 3-041.2 1389 1455 38.72% 30.49% 30.79%+0.19 +18.0 27
2005-04-26 @ Rimavska Sobota L 0-341.2 1455 1389 30.79% 30.49% 38.72%-0.19 -18.0 34
2005-04-26 Spartak Trnava W 1-044.6 1594 1445 65.54% 21.57% 12.89%+1.65 +2.8 46
2005-04-26 @ Zilina L 0-144.6 1445 1594 12.89% 21.57% 65.54%-1.65 -2.8 27
2005-04-27 Inter Bratislava W 3-142.3 1528 1378 65.71% 21.48% 12.81%+1.66 +4.6 50
2005-04-27 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 1-342.3 1378 1528 12.81% 21.48% 65.71%-1.66 -4.6 23
2005-04-27 AS Trencin D 1-160.1 1501 1426 57.15% 25.73% 17.13%+1.14 -1.7 35
2005-04-27 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica D 1-160.1 1426 1501 17.13% 25.73% 57.15%-1.14 +1.7 33
2005-04-30 Dubnica L 0-149.6 1407 1448 42.32% 30.09% 27.59%+0.37 -8.2 37
2005-04-30 @ Matador Puchov W 1-049.6 1448 1407 27.59% 30.09% 42.32%-0.37 +8.2 40
2005-04-30 Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-150.7 1428 1499 38.04% 30.53% 31.42%+0.16 -7.6 33
2005-04-30 @ AS Trencin W 1-050.7 1499 1428 31.42% 30.53% 38.04%-0.16 +7.6 38
2005-04-30 Artmedia Bratislava D 1-158.2 1373 1533 26.37% 29.85% 43.78%-0.44 +0.7 24
2005-04-30 @ Inter Bratislava D 1-158.2 1533 1373 43.78% 29.85% 26.37%+0.44 -0.7 51
2005-04-30 Rimavska Sobota D 0-052.2 1437 1407 51.76% 27.80% 20.43%+0.85 -1.4 35
2005-04-30 @ Ruzomberok D 0-052.2 1407 1437 20.43% 27.80% 51.76%-0.85 +1.4 28
2005-05-01 Zilina W 3-158.7 1442 1596 26.95% 29.97% 43.08%-0.40 +13.6 30
2005-05-01 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-358.7 1596 1442 43.08% 29.97% 26.95%+0.40 -13.6 46
2005-05-03 Inter Bratislava W 2-036.6 1507 1374 63.79% 22.51% 13.70%+1.54 +5.7 41
2005-05-03 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-236.6 1374 1507 13.70% 22.51% 63.79%-1.54 -5.7 24
2005-05-03 Ruzomberok W 3-254.0 1456 1436 50.45% 28.23% 21.32%+0.78 +4.3 43
2005-05-03 @ Dubnica L 2-354.0 1436 1456 21.32% 28.23% 50.45%-0.78 -4.3 35
2005-05-03 AS Trencin W 3-038.6 1408 1420 46.25% 29.35% 24.39%+0.56 +14.9 31
2005-05-03 @ Rimavska Sobota L 0-338.6 1420 1408 24.39% 29.35% 46.25%-0.56 -15.0 33
2005-05-04 Spartak Trnava W 1-045.8 1399 1455 40.16% 30.36% 29.48%+0.26 +6.4 40
2005-05-04 @ Matador Puchov L 0-145.8 1455 1399 29.48% 30.36% 40.16%-0.26 -6.3 30
2005-05-04 Zilina D 0-060.8 1532 1583 40.95% 30.27% 28.78%+0.30 -0.5 52
2005-05-04 @ Artmedia Bratislava D 0-060.8 1583 1532 28.78% 30.27% 40.95%-0.30 +0.5 47
2005-05-10 Dubnica D 1-156.8 1405 1461 40.25% 30.35% 29.40%+0.26 -0.4 34
2005-05-10 @ AS Trencin D 1-156.8 1461 1405 29.40% 30.35% 40.25%-0.26 +0.4 44
2005-05-10 Matador Puchov D 0-052.0 1432 1405 51.20% 27.99% 20.81%+0.82 -1.4 36
2005-05-10 @ Ruzomberok D 0-052.0 1405 1432 20.81% 27.99% 51.20%-0.82 +1.4 41
2005-05-10 Rimavska Sobota W 1-044.2 1368 1423 40.35% 30.34% 29.31%+0.27 +6.3 27
2005-05-10 @ Inter Bratislava L 0-144.2 1423 1368 29.31% 30.34% 40.35%-0.27 -6.3 31
2005-05-11 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-154.7 1583 1512 56.70% 25.92% 17.38%+1.12 +3.7 50
2005-05-11 @ Zilina L 1-254.7 1512 1583 17.38% 25.92% 56.70%-1.12 -3.7 41
2005-05-11 Artmedia Bratislava L 0-152.3 1449 1532 36.47% 30.61% 32.91%+0.08 -7.4 30
2005-05-11 @ Spartak Trnava W 1-052.3 1532 1449 32.91% 30.61% 36.47%-0.08 +7.4 55
2005-05-14 Inter Bratislava D 0-052.8 1461 1374 58.56% 25.09% 16.34%+1.23 -2.0 45
2005-05-14 @ Dubnica D 0-052.8 1374 1461 16.34% 25.09% 58.56%-1.23 +2.0 28
2005-05-14 Artmedia Bratislava D 0-058.6 1509 1539 43.75% 29.86% 26.39%+0.44 -0.8 42
2005-05-14 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-058.6 1539 1509 26.39% 29.86% 43.75%-0.44 +0.8 56
2005-05-14 Spartak Trnava L 0-346.4 1430 1442 46.30% 29.34% 24.35%+0.56 -24.1 36
2005-05-14 @ Ruzomberok W 3-046.4 1442 1430 24.35% 29.34% 46.30%-0.56 +24.1 33
2005-05-14 AS Trencin W 3-037.6 1407 1405 48.10% 28.90% 22.99%+0.66 +14.2 44
2005-05-14 @ Matador Puchov L 0-337.6 1405 1407 22.99% 28.90% 48.10%-0.66 -14.2 34
2005-05-14 Zilina L 0-344.7 1417 1587 25.21% 29.58% 45.22%-0.51 -15.4 31
2005-05-14 @ Rimavska Sobota W 3-044.7 1587 1417 45.22% 29.58% 25.21%+0.51 +15.4 53
2005-05-17 Dubnica L 1-254.9 1406 1459 40.63% 30.31% 29.06%+0.28 -7.5 36
2005-05-17 @ Ruzomberok W 2-154.9 1459 1406 29.06% 30.31% 40.63%-0.28 +7.5 48
2005-05-17 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-046.9 1376 1508 29.73% 30.39% 39.88%-0.25 +14.9 31
2005-05-17 @ Inter Bratislava L 0-246.9 1508 1376 39.88% 30.39% 29.73%+0.25 -14.9 42
2005-05-17 Artmedia Bratislava L 0-162.3 1602 1540 55.71% 26.33% 17.96%+1.06 -10.2 53
2005-05-17 @ Zilina W 1-062.3 1540 1602 17.96% 26.33% 55.71%-1.06 +10.2 59
2005-05-17 Matador Puchov W 1-042.8 1466 1421 53.53% 27.18% 19.29%+0.94 +4.4 36
2005-05-17 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-142.8 1421 1466 19.29% 27.18% 53.53%-0.94 -4.4 44
2005-05-17 Rimavska Sobota W 1-042.4 1390 1401 46.36% 29.33% 24.31%+0.57 +5.4 37
2005-05-17 @ AS Trencin L 0-142.4 1401 1390 24.31% 29.33% 46.36%-0.57 -5.4 31
2005-05-21 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 1-048.0 1470 1493 44.80% 29.66% 25.54%+0.49 +5.7 39
2005-05-21 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-148.0 1493 1470 25.54% 29.66% 44.80%-0.49 -5.7 42
2005-05-21 Matador Puchov W 1-043.3 1391 1417 44.43% 29.73% 25.84%+0.47 +5.7 34
2005-05-21 @ Inter Bratislava L 0-143.3 1417 1391 25.84% 29.73% 44.43%-0.47 -5.7 44
2005-05-21 Ruzomberok L 0-246.4 1396 1399 47.45% 29.07% 23.48%+0.62 -16.9 37
2005-05-21 @ AS Trencin W 2-046.4 1399 1396 23.48% 29.07% 47.45%-0.62 +16.9 39
2005-05-22 Dubnica W 5-041.2 1592 1467 62.99% 22.93% 14.08%+1.49 +13.8 56
2005-05-22 @ Zilina L 0-541.2 1467 1592 14.08% 22.93% 62.99%-1.49 -13.8 48
2005-05-22 Rimavska Sobota W 2-038.1 1550 1396 66.07% 21.28% 12.65%+1.68 +5.2 62
2005-05-22 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 0-238.1 1396 1550 12.65% 21.28% 66.07%-1.68 -5.2 31
2005-05-24 Inter Bratislava W 6-037.4 1416 1397 50.23% 28.30% 21.48%+0.77 +25.6 42
2005-05-24 @ Ruzomberok L 0-637.4 1397 1416 21.48% 28.30% 50.23%-0.77 -25.6 34
2005-05-24 Spartak Trnava W 2-153.0 1379 1476 34.37% 30.64% 34.99%-0.01 +6.8 40
2005-05-24 @ AS Trencin L 1-253.0 1476 1379 34.99% 30.64% 34.37%+0.01 -6.8 39
2005-05-25 Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-148.1 1391 1487 34.45% 30.64% 34.91%-0.01 -7.1 31
2005-05-25 @ Rimavska Sobota W 1-048.1 1487 1391 34.91% 30.64% 34.45%+0.01 +7.1 45
2005-05-25 Artmedia Bratislava L 0-249.5 1453 1555 33.65% 30.63% 35.72%-0.05 -13.2 48
2005-05-25 @ Dubnica W 2-049.5 1555 1453 35.72% 30.63% 33.65%+0.05 +13.2 65
2005-05-25 Zilina L 0-148.9 1411 1606 22.70% 28.79% 48.51%-0.68 -5.1 44
2005-05-25 @ Matador Puchov W 1-048.9 1606 1411 48.51% 28.79% 22.70%+0.68 +5.1 59
2005-05-29 Dubnica W 3-146.5 1494 1440 54.73% 26.72% 18.55%+1.01 +6.9 48
2005-05-29 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 1-346.5 1440 1494 18.55% 26.72% 54.73%-1.01 -6.9 48
2005-05-29 Matador Puchov W 6-139.3 1568 1406 66.98% 20.78% 12.25%+1.74 +9.6 68
2005-05-29 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 1-639.3 1406 1568 12.25% 20.78% 66.98%-1.74 -9.7 44
2005-05-29 Rimavska Sobota W 1-040.3 1469 1384 58.42% 25.16% 16.42%+1.22 +3.7 42
2005-05-29 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-140.3 1384 1469 16.42% 25.16% 58.42%-1.22 -3.7 31
2005-05-29 Ruzomberok W 3-039.7 1611 1441 67.77% 20.33% 11.90%+1.79 +7.0 62
2005-05-29 @ Zilina L 0-339.7 1441 1611 11.90% 20.33% 67.77%-1.79 -7.0 42
2005-05-29 AS Trencin W 2-038.9 1371 1386 45.92% 29.43% 24.65%+0.54 +10.4 37
2005-05-29 @ Inter Bratislava L 0-238.9 1386 1371 24.65% 29.43% 45.92%-0.54 -10.4 40
2005-06-12 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-053.0 1396 1501 33.23% 30.62% 36.15%-0.07 +0.1 45
2005-06-12 @ Matador Puchov D 0-053.0 1501 1396 36.15% 30.62% 33.23%+0.07 -0.1 49
2005-06-12 Artmedia Bratislava D 2-267.4 1434 1578 28.22% 30.19% 41.59%-0.33 +0.4 43
2005-06-12 @ Ruzomberok D 2-267.4 1578 1434 41.59% 30.19% 28.22%+0.33 -0.4 69
2005-06-12 Rimavska Sobota W 3-035.7 1433 1380 54.51% 26.81% 18.68%+1.00 +11.7 51
2005-06-12 @ Dubnica L 0-335.7 1380 1433 18.68% 26.81% 54.51%-1.00 -11.7 31
2005-06-12 Spartak Trnava D 1-156.4 1382 1473 35.22% 30.64% 34.14%+0.03 -0.0 38
2005-06-12 @ Inter Bratislava D 1-156.4 1473 1382 34.14% 30.64% 35.22%-0.03 +0.0 43
2005-06-12 Zilina W 2-162.5 1375 1618 18.67% 26.80% 54.53%-1.00 +9.4 43
2005-06-12 @ AS Trencin L 1-262.5 1618 1375 54.53% 26.80% 18.67%+1.00 -9.4 62
2005-06-15 Dubnica W 1-044.4 1473 1445 51.48% 27.90% 20.62%+0.83 +4.7 46
2005-06-15 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-144.4 1445 1473 20.62% 27.90% 51.48%-0.83 -4.7 51
2005-06-15 Inter Bratislava W 7-340.9 1609 1382 73.43% 17.01% 9.56%+2.17 +4.5 65
2005-06-15 @ Zilina L 3-740.9 1382 1609 9.56% 17.01% 73.43%-2.17 -4.5 38
2005-06-15 Matador Puchov D 3-363.5 1368 1396 44.08% 29.80% 26.12%+0.45 -0.4 32
2005-06-15 @ Rimavska Sobota D 3-363.5 1396 1368 26.12% 29.80% 44.08%-0.45 +0.4 46
2005-06-15 Ruzomberok W 2-149.1 1501 1435 56.18% 26.14% 17.68%+1.09 +3.8 52
2005-06-15 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 1-249.1 1435 1501 17.68% 26.14% 56.18%-1.09 -3.8 43
2005-06-15 AS Trencin W 6-137.9 1578 1385 70.09% 18.99% 10.91%+1.94 +8.3 72
2005-06-15 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 1-637.9 1385 1578 10.91% 18.99% 70.09%-1.94 -8.4 43

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2005-04-09 11.05% Matador Puchov 1402 1 @ Zilina 1592 0
2 2004-10-17 11.08% Inter Bratislava 1336 2 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 1525 1
3 2004-10-23 13.88% Matador Puchov 1387 2 @ Ruzomberok 1516 1
4 2005-04-13 17.07% Inter Bratislava 1371 1 @ AS Trencin 1446 0
5 2004-08-21 17.74% Matador Puchov 1372 1 @ AS Trencin 1438 0
6 2005-05-17 17.96% Artmedia Bratislava 1540 1 @ Zilina 1602 0
7 2005-06-12 18.67% @ AS Trencin 1375 2 Zilina 1618 1
8 2005-03-15 18.83% Inter Bratislava 1346 1 @ Rimavska Sobota 1397 0
9 2005-04-23 21.02% Spartak Trnava 1435 1 @ Dubnica 1459 0
10 2005-04-09 21.88% AS Trencin 1438 2 @ Spartak Trnava 1452 1
11 2004-10-16 22.34% Ruzomberok 1491 3 @ Dubnica 1500 0
12 2004-08-21 22.48% Ruzomberok 1439 2 @ Spartak Trnava 1447 1
13 2004-11-06 22.92% @ Matador Puchov 1403 1 Zilina 1596 0
14 2004-08-29 23.14% Artmedia Bratislava 1455 1 @ Rimavska Sobota 1456 0
15 2004-07-31 23.32% Dubnica 1449 2 @ Ruzomberok 1448 0
16 2004-11-07 23.44% Spartak Trnava 1432 1 @ AS Trencin 1430 0
17 2005-05-21 23.48% Ruzomberok 1399 2 @ AS Trencin 1396 0
18 2004-09-26 23.81% Ruzomberok 1477 2 @ Artmedia Bratislava 1471 1
19 2005-03-19 23.95% Ruzomberok 1466 2 @ Spartak Trnava 1458 1
20 2005-05-14 24.35% Spartak Trnava 1442 3 @ Ruzomberok 1430 0
21 2004-11-20 24.49% @ AS Trencin 1428 4 Zilina 1605 2
22 2004-10-23 26.26% Dubnica 1475 4 @ AS Trencin 1446 0
23 2005-05-01 26.95% @ Spartak Trnava 1442 3 Zilina 1596 1
24 2005-04-30 27.59% Dubnica 1448 1 @ Matador Puchov 1407 0
25 2004-08-07 28.76% Ruzomberok 1431 1 @ Matador Puchov 1380 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-10-23 30.30 Dubnica 4 1475 26.26% @ AS Trencin 0 1446 43.92% 29.83%
2 2005-05-24 25.57 @ Ruzomberok 6 1416 50.23% Inter Bratislava 0 1397 21.48% 28.30%
3 2004-10-16 25.23 Ruzomberok 3 1491 22.34% @ Dubnica 0 1500 49.01% 28.65%
4 2005-05-14 24.15 Spartak Trnava 3 1442 24.35% @ Ruzomberok 0 1430 46.30% 29.34%
5 2004-09-11 23.51 Ruzomberok 5 1446 29.71% @ Inter Bratislava 1 1388 39.91% 30.38%
6 2004-10-30 19.49 @ AS Trencin 3 1410 34.79% Ruzomberok 0 1504 34.56% 30.64%
7 2004-10-31 19.41 @ Artmedia Bratislava 7 1463 52.94% Rimavska Sobota 1 1423 19.67% 27.40%
8 2004-11-13 18.06 @ Zilina 6 1587 60.52% Ruzomberok 0 1483 15.31% 24.17%
9 2005-04-26 17.95 @ Rimavska Sobota 3 1389 38.72% Ruzomberok 0 1455 30.79% 30.49%
10 2004-11-23 17.35 @ Spartak Trnava 3 1440 40.23% Dubnica 0 1495 29.42% 30.35%
11 2004-07-31 17.00 Dubnica 2 1449 23.32% @ Ruzomberok 0 1448 47.66% 29.02%
12 2004-08-01 16.98 Dukla Banska Bystrica 4 1507 33.16% @ Inter Bratislava 1 1422 36.22% 30.62%
13 2005-05-21 16.94 Ruzomberok 2 1399 23.48% @ AS Trencin 0 1396 47.45% 29.07%
14 2005-05-14 15.37 Zilina 3 1587 45.22% @ Rimavska Sobota 0 1417 25.21% 29.58%
15 2004-11-13 15.29 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 3 1485 45.41% Dubnica 0 1504 25.05% 29.54%
16 2005-05-03 14.95 @ Rimavska Sobota 3 1408 46.25% AS Trencin 0 1420 24.39% 29.35%
17 2005-05-17 14.87 @ Inter Bratislava 2 1376 29.73% Dukla Banska Bystrica 0 1508 39.88% 30.39%
18 2004-10-24 14.24 @ Zilina 4 1584 56.59% Dukla Banska Bystrica 0 1514 17.45% 25.97%
19 2005-05-14 14.21 @ Matador Puchov 3 1407 48.10% AS Trencin 0 1405 22.99% 28.90%
20 2004-11-14 14.14 @ Artmedia Bratislava 4 1484 56.79% Matador Puchov 0 1412 17.33% 25.88%
21 2005-05-22 13.80 @ Zilina 5 1592 62.99% Dubnica 0 1467 14.08% 22.93%
22 2005-05-01 13.63 @ Spartak Trnava 3 1442 26.95% Zilina 1 1596 43.08% 29.97%
23 2005-05-25 13.18 Artmedia Bratislava 2 1555 35.72% @ Dubnica 0 1453 33.65% 30.63%
24 2004-10-30 12.85 @ Spartak Trnava 2 1419 36.95% Dukla Banska Bystrica 0 1498 32.46% 30.59%
25 2004-11-20 12.84 @ AS Trencin 4 1428 24.49% Zilina 2 1605 46.12% 29.38%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-10-31 72.2 @ Zilina 2 1597 59.39% Dubnica 2 1503 15.90% 24.71%
2 2004-09-25 69.4 @ Zilina 2 1569 63.57% AS Trencin 2 1438 13.80% 22.63%
3 2004-09-19 67.6 @ Dubnica 2 1485 41.40% Dukla Banska Bystrica 2 1533 28.38% 30.21%
4 2004-10-03 67.5 @ Ruzomberok 2 1485 41.64% Dukla Banska Bystrica 2 1531 28.18% 30.18%
5 2005-06-12 67.4 @ Ruzomberok 2 1434 28.22% Artmedia Bratislava 2 1578 41.59% 30.19%
6 2004-10-26 65.7 @ Ruzomberok 2 1506 58.68% Spartak Trnava 2 1418 16.28% 25.04%
7 2004-08-07 64.8 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 1 1524 41.81% Zilina 1 1568 28.03% 30.16%
8 2004-10-26 64.6 @ Dubnica 2 1505 66.46% Inter Bratislava 2 1348 12.47% 21.07%
9 2004-11-06 63.7 @ Ruzomberok 2 1485 64.13% Inter Bratislava 2 1349 13.54% 22.33%
10 2005-04-12 63.7 Zilina 3 1580 36.94% @ Ruzomberok 2 1469 32.47% 30.59%
11 2005-06-15 63.5 @ Rimavska Sobota 3 1368 44.08% Matador Puchov 3 1396 26.12% 29.80%
12 2004-11-23 63.4 @ Zilina 1 1592 75.43% Inter Bratislava 1 1343 8.77% 15.80%
13 2004-10-17 63.3 @ Artmedia Bratislava 1 1468 31.71% Zilina 1 1584 37.74% 30.55%
14 2004-11-20 62.8 @ AS Trencin 4 1428 24.49% Zilina 2 1605 46.12% 29.38%
15 2005-06-12 62.5 @ AS Trencin 2 1375 18.67% Zilina 1 1618 54.53% 26.80%
16 2005-05-17 62.3 Artmedia Bratislava 1 1540 17.96% @ Zilina 0 1602 55.71% 26.33%
17 2004-11-06 61.6 @ Dubnica 1 1505 50.67% Artmedia Bratislava 1 1483 21.17% 28.16%
18 2004-10-12 61.3 @ AS Trencin 3 1445 35.91% Dukla Banska Bystrica 2 1531 33.47% 30.63%
19 2004-09-25 60.9 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 1 1533 66.69% Matador Puchov 1 1374 12.37% 20.94%
20 2005-05-04 60.8 @ Artmedia Bratislava 0 1532 40.95% Zilina 0 1583 28.78% 30.27%
21 2004-10-23 60.6 Matador Puchov 2 1387 13.88% @ Ruzomberok 1 1516 63.41% 22.71%
22 2004-10-17 60.2 Inter Bratislava 2 1336 11.08% @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 1 1525 69.68% 19.23%
23 2004-11-20 60.2 @ Ruzomberok 1 1465 43.40% Artmedia Bratislava 1 1498 26.68% 29.92%
24 2005-04-27 60.1 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 1 1501 57.15% AS Trencin 1 1426 17.13% 25.73%
25 2004-09-18 60.0 @ Ruzomberok 2 1470 33.17% Zilina 1 1576 36.21% 30.62%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-03-19 35.7 @ Zilina 5 1582 70.35% Rimavska Sobota 0 1387 10.81% 18.85%
2 2005-06-12 35.7 @ Dubnica 3 1433 54.51% Rimavska Sobota 0 1380 18.68% 26.81%
3 2004-09-11 35.8 @ Zilina 3 1569 68.93% Matador Puchov 0 1388 11.40% 19.67%
4 2005-05-03 36.6 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 2 1507 63.79% Inter Bratislava 0 1374 13.70% 22.51%
5 2004-09-18 36.7 @ AS Trencin 2 1430 56.03% Inter Bratislava 0 1365 17.77% 26.20%
6 2004-11-14 36.9 @ Artmedia Bratislava 4 1484 56.79% Matador Puchov 0 1412 17.33% 25.88%
7 2005-05-24 37.4 @ Ruzomberok 6 1416 50.23% Inter Bratislava 0 1397 21.48% 28.30%
8 2005-05-14 37.6 @ Matador Puchov 3 1407 48.10% AS Trencin 0 1405 22.99% 28.90%
9 2005-06-15 37.9 @ Artmedia Bratislava 6 1578 70.09% AS Trencin 1 1385 10.91% 18.99%
10 2005-05-22 38.1 @ Artmedia Bratislava 2 1550 66.07% Rimavska Sobota 0 1396 12.65% 21.28%
11 2004-07-24 38.4 @ Dubnica 2 1441 53.61% Matador Puchov 0 1395 19.24% 27.15%
12 2005-03-19 38.6 @ AS Trencin 2 1438 52.79% Matador Puchov 0 1399 19.76% 27.45%
13 2005-05-03 38.6 @ Rimavska Sobota 3 1408 46.25% AS Trencin 0 1420 24.39% 29.35%
14 2004-11-20 38.7 @ Dubnica 2 1488 58.16% Rimavska Sobota 0 1405 16.56% 25.28%
15 2005-05-29 38.9 @ Inter Bratislava 2 1371 45.92% AS Trencin 0 1386 24.65% 29.43%
16 2005-04-16 39.3 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 2 1493 57.59% Matador Puchov 0 1414 16.88% 25.53%
17 2005-05-29 39.3 @ Artmedia Bratislava 6 1568 66.98% Matador Puchov 1 1406 12.25% 20.78%
18 2005-05-29 39.7 @ Zilina 3 1611 67.77% Ruzomberok 0 1441 11.90% 20.33%
19 2004-09-11 39.8 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 3 1522 57.23% Rimavska Sobota 0 1447 17.08% 25.69%
20 2004-10-31 40.1 @ Artmedia Bratislava 7 1463 52.94% Rimavska Sobota 1 1423 19.67% 27.40%
21 2005-05-29 40.3 @ Spartak Trnava 1 1469 58.42% Rimavska Sobota 0 1384 16.42% 25.16%
22 2004-10-02 40.4 @ Dubnica 2 1486 54.77% Spartak Trnava 0 1431 18.52% 26.71%
23 2005-04-02 40.5 @ Matador Puchov 1 1391 50.67% Inter Bratislava 0 1368 21.17% 28.16%
24 2005-06-15 40.9 @ Zilina 7 1609 73.43% Inter Bratislava 3 1382 9.56% 17.01%
25 2004-08-21 41.2 @ Zilina 3 1572 60.84% Rimavska Sobota 0 1465 15.15% 24.02%