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2005-06 Slovak First Football League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Ruzomberok

80 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ruzomberok

19.44 points above expected

80 points · 60.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dukla Banska Bystrica

7.05 points below expected

42 points · 49.05 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ruzomberok 36 26 2 8 80 65 28 +37 60.56 +19.44
2 Artmedia Bratislava 36 23 5 8 74 58 33 +25 64.37 +9.63
3 Spartak Trnava 36 21 5 10 68 57 31 +26 64.65 +3.35
4 Zilina 36 18 6 12 60 69 44 +25 63.85 -3.85
5 Nitra 36 12 9 15 45 42 48 -6 50.58 -5.58
6 AS Trencin 36 11 9 16 42 31 49 -18 42.19 -0.19
7 Dukla Banska Bystrica 36 12 6 18 42 36 43 -7 49.05 -7.05
8 Dubnica 36 10 10 16 40 41 55 -14 43.13 -3.13
9 Inter Bratislava 36 7 9 20 30 28 61 -33 36.06 -6.06
10 Matador Puchov 36 7 5 24 26 29 64 -35 32.10 -6.10

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ruzomberok 80 60.56 +19.44
2 Artmedia Bratislava 74 64.37 +9.63
3 Spartak Trnava 68 64.65 +3.35
4 AS Trencin 42 42.19 -0.19
5 Dubnica 40 43.13 -3.13

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dukla Banska Bystrica 42 49.05 -7.05
2 Matador Puchov 26 32.10 -6.10
3 Inter Bratislava 30 36.06 -6.06
4 Nitra 45 50.58 -5.58
5 Zilina 60 63.85 -3.85

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ruzomberok 6 Apr 22 – May 16 1 in 66
2 Spartak Trnava 4 Jul 17 – Aug 6 1 in 33
3 Artmedia Bratislava 6 Nov 19 – Mar 26 1 in 20
4 AS Trencin 3 Sep 17 – Sep 24 1 in 16
5 Nitra 3 Oct 22 – Nov 5 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dukla Banska Bystrica 4 Oct 29 – Nov 19 1 in 44
2 Inter Bratislava 6 Oct 15 – Nov 19 1 in 39
3 Matador Puchov 5 Jul 23 – Aug 14 1 in 33
4 Dubnica 4 Aug 20 – Sep 17 1 in 21
5 Nitra 3 Jul 30 – Aug 12 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dubnica 7 Nov 5 – Mar 11 1 in 66
2 Inter Bratislava 4 May 13 – May 27 1 in 61
3 Dukla Banska Bystrica 6 Apr 22 – May 16 1 in 38
4 Artmedia Bratislava 12 Nov 6 – Apr 15 1 in 23
5 Ruzomberok 9 Apr 22 – May 31 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inter Bratislava 15 Aug 20 – Nov 30 1 in 217
2 Dubnica 11 Jul 31 – Oct 1 1 in 174
3 Dukla Banska Bystrica 8 Oct 29 – Mar 14 1 in 52
4 Zilina 5 Apr 1 – Apr 22 1 in 49
5 Spartak Trnava 4 Apr 25 – May 13 1 in 48

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ruzomberok 1725 80 +75 13 8.9 +4.1
Artmedia Bratislava 1652 74 -39 9 9.9 -0.9
Spartak Trnava 1630 68 +0 8 9.9 -1.9
Zilina 1668 60 +6 8 9.7 -1.7
Nitra 1465 45 -15 5 7.9 -2.9
Dukla Banska Bystrica 1468 42 -17 5 5.4 -0.4
AS Trencin 1432 42 -45 3 4.8 -1.8
Dubnica 1475 40 -16 3 5.3 -2.3
Inter Bratislava 1364 30 +45 8 3.5 +4.5
Matador Puchov 1358 26 +7 6 5.1 +0.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT AB DUB DBB IB MP NIT RUZ ST ZIL
AS Trencin —
1-1-2
3.14
1-2-1
5.57
2-1-1
4.89
1-2-1
6.71
0-1-3
7.10
1-1-2
5.29
2-0-2
3.41
1-1-2
3.64
2-0-2
3.12
Artmedia Bratislava
2-1-1
8.13
 —
3-1-0
7.76
2-1-1
7.35
4-0-0
8.76
4-0-0
8.73
2-1-1
6.98
2-0-2
6.06
2-0-2
5.87
2-1-1
5.70
Dubnica
1-2-1
5.66
0-1-3
3.49
 —
2-1-1
5.40
3-1-0
6.75
2-1-1
6.86
1-2-1
5.09
1-1-2
3.43
0-0-4
3.87
0-1-3
3.59
Dukla Banska Bystrica
1-1-2
6.34
1-1-2
3.90
1-1-2
5.83
 —
2-1-1
7.37
4-0-0
7.70
3-0-1
5.57
0-0-4
4.28
0-1-3
4.22
0-1-3
4.31
Inter Bratislava
1-2-1
4.53
0-0-4
2.56
0-1-3
4.49
1-1-2
3.87
 —
2-1-1
5.64
1-0-3
3.90
1-0-3
3.44
1-2-1
2.82
0-2-2
2.41
Matador Puchov
3-1-0
4.14
0-0-4
2.57
1-1-2
4.38
0-0-4
3.55
1-1-2
5.59
 —
1-2-1
3.63
0-0-4
3.04
0-0-4
2.54
1-0-3
2.91
Nitra
2-1-1
5.94
1-1-2
4.27
1-2-1
6.14
1-0-3
5.66
3-0-1
7.34
1-2-1
7.63
 —
0-1-3
4.70
2-1-1
3.80
1-1-2
4.15
Ruzomberok
2-0-2
7.86
2-0-2
5.17
2-1-1
7.82
4-0-0
6.96
3-0-1
7.83
4-0-0
8.25
3-1-0
6.53
 —
2-0-2
5.10
4-0-0
4.96
Spartak Trnava
2-1-1
7.61
2-0-2
5.36
4-0-0
7.39
3-1-0
7.02
1-2-1
8.48
4-0-0
8.76
1-1-2
7.45
2-0-2
6.13
 —
2-0-2
5.40
Zilina
2-0-2
8.15
1-1-2
5.54
3-1-0
7.66
3-1-0
6.93
2-2-0
8.90
3-0-1
8.39
2-1-1
7.09
0-0-4
6.27
2-0-2
5.83
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +10.9
Allowed 0.91 -14.4
Differential 0.95 +6.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%9.44%9.17%3.89%0.83%0.56%29.44%
19.44%9.44%8.89%4.44%1.39%0.56%34.17%
29.17%8.89%3.33%0.83%0.28%0.56%23.06%
33.89%4.44%0.83%———9.17%
40.83%1.39%0.28%———2.50%
5+0.56%0.56%0.56%———1.67%
Total29.44%34.17%23.06%9.17%2.50%1.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.17 1.17 1.84
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%2.78%11.11%—2.78%36.11%
111.11%13.89%11.11%8.33%——44.44%
25.56%11.11%————16.67%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%36.11%13.89%19.44%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.36 -0.50
SD 0.80 1.25 1.65
CV 0.93 0.92 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%2.78%5.56%——19.44%
113.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
216.67%16.67%2.78%———36.11%
32.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total36.11%44.44%11.11%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.92 +0.69
SD 1.34 0.91 1.74
CV 0.83 0.99 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%8.33%5.56%——33.33%
12.78%13.89%2.78%2.78%8.33%—30.56%
25.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
35.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%36.11%19.44%11.11%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.53 -0.39
SD 1.02 1.28 1.69
CV 0.89 0.84 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%16.67%16.67%—2.78%2.78%47.22%
15.56%5.56%8.33%———19.44%
213.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total33.33%30.56%27.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.19 -0.19
SD 1.15 1.19 1.91
CV 1.15 1.00 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%8.33%11.11%2.78%—41.67%
15.56%13.89%13.89%2.78%—2.78%38.89%
25.56%8.33%2.78%——2.78%19.44%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%33.33%25.00%13.89%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 1.69 -0.92
SD 0.76 1.51 1.73
CV 0.98 0.89 —
Max 2 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%19.44%—2.78%—38.89%
15.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%—2.78%47.22%
2—8.33%————8.33%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%36.11%25.00%22.22%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.78 -0.97
SD 0.82 1.17 1.54
CV 1.02 0.66 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%25.00%2.78%——36.11%
111.11%11.11%8.33%———30.56%
22.78%5.56%8.33%2.78%——19.44%
32.78%8.33%————11.11%
4———————
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total22.22%27.78%44.44%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.33 -0.17
SD 1.21 0.89 1.59
CV 1.03 0.67 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%5.56%2.78%——13.89%
116.67%2.78%8.33%———27.78%
219.44%8.33%2.78%———30.56%
38.33%11.11%2.78%———22.22%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total47.22%30.56%19.44%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 0.78 +1.03
SD 1.19 0.87 1.68
CV 0.66 1.11 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%————16.67%
113.89%5.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
213.89%11.11%2.78%———27.78%
38.33%2.78%————11.11%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+———————
Total44.44%36.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.86 +0.72
SD 1.16 1.02 1.68
CV 0.73 1.18 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
18.33%8.33%19.44%—2.78%—38.89%
28.33%8.33%5.56%——2.78%25.00%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
45.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
5+2.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
Total30.56%30.56%33.33%—2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.22 +0.69
SD 1.46 1.15 2.00
CV 0.76 0.94 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ruzomberok 1725 80 60.56 +19.44 100.0% 40 46 56 61 65 74 76
Zilina 1668 60 63.85 -3.85 29.0% 47 52 59 64 68 74 84
Artmedia Bratislava 1652 74 64.37 +9.63 92.0% 45 50 60 65 69 75 83
Spartak Trnava 1630 68 64.65 +3.35 67.0% 45 50 59 65 70 78 81
Dubnica 1475 40 43.13 -3.13 36.0% 25 30 39 43 48 55 65
Dukla Banska Bystrica 1468 42 49.05 -7.05 23.0% 24 35 43 50 55 63 71
Nitra 1465 45 50.58 -5.58 24.0% 31 38 46 50 55 64 69
AS Trencin 1432 42 42.19 -0.19 57.0% 28 30 36 41 48 55 72
Inter Bratislava 1364 30 36.06 -6.06 19.0% 20 23 32 36 41 47 56
Matador Puchov 1358 26 32.10 -6.10 19.0% 19 21 28 31 37 42 47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 23.5% * Clear Edge: 23.5% to 29.5% * Strong Edge: 29.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.44%
Slight Edge
50.56%18.33%31.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge
191 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
068.43500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.37 goals
Neutral
-2+0.36+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.24 * Comfortable: 0.24 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.9
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
19%
Ruzomberok, 3rd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.15 * Some Luck: 6.15 to 9.23 * Lucky: 9.23 to 12.3 * Wild Swing: 12.3 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1 * Close: 1 to 1.49 * Off: 1.49 to 1.99 * Way Off: 1.99 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.13 points
Some Luck
07.6919
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
01.242.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
100.00%
Ruzomberok
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
19.00%
Inter Bratislava
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Wide Separation: 2.1 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 64.5% * Slight Edge: 64.5% to 68.5% * Clear Edge: 68.5% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85.5% * Clear Edge: 85.5% to 89.5% * Strong Edge: 89.5% to 93.5% * Dominant: 93.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 62.5% * Frequent: 62.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 16% * Frequent: 16% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 132.95
2.27
Wide Separation
11.652.13
Interquartile Edge
77%
Wide Edge
50%64.5%73.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Clear Edge
50%93%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Few
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.36 * Slight Separation: 0.36 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18.5% * As Expected: 18.5% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Slight Separation
00.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.08
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.52
Strong Carryover
00.380.521
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.96
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.08
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.040
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Ruzomberok19.00%18.00%24.00%18.00%10.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%—
Artmedia Bratislava33.00%21.00%20.00%17.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%———
Spartak Trnava27.00%26.00%17.00%17.00%6.00%6.00%—1.00%——
Zilina19.00%23.00%26.00%20.00%7.00%4.00%—1.00%——
Nitra—8.00%5.00%8.00%29.00%24.00%12.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%
AS Trencin1.00%—1.00%4.00%6.00%17.00%23.00%20.00%16.00%12.00%
Dukla Banska Bystrica1.00%2.00%6.00%11.00%27.00%21.00%13.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%
Dubnica—2.00%1.00%4.00%9.00%15.00%29.00%25.00%10.00%5.00%
Inter Bratislava———1.00%1.00%5.00%14.00%15.00%38.00%26.00%
Matador Puchov——————6.00%17.00%26.00%51.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Artmedia Bratislava 100% —
Ruzomberok 100% —
Spartak Trnava 100% —
Zilina 100% —
Nitra 99.00% 1.00%
Dubnica 95.00% 5.00%
Dukla Banska Bystrica 95.00% 5.00%
AS Trencin 88.00% 12.00%
Inter Bratislava 74.00% 26.00%
Matador Puchov 49.00% 51.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2005-07-16 Inter Bratislava L 1-260.7 1504 1473 53.64% 19.12% 27.24%+0.52 -12.8 0
2005-07-16 @ Ruzomberok W 2-160.7 1473 1504 27.24% 19.12% 53.64%-0.52 +12.8 3
2005-07-16 AS Trencin W 2-042.7 1544 1472 58.41% 18.81% 22.79%+0.74 +12.3 3
2005-07-16 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-242.7 1472 1544 22.79% 18.81% 58.41%-0.74 -12.3 0
2005-07-17 Nitra L 2-563.3 1608 1525 59.68% 18.70% 21.62%+0.80 -30.0 0
2005-07-17 @ Zilina W 5-263.3 1525 1608 21.62% 18.70% 59.68%-0.80 +30.0 3
2005-07-17 Spartak Trnava L 0-256.7 1590 1530 57.09% 18.91% 24.00%+0.68 -27.1 0
2005-07-17 @ Artmedia Bratislava W 2-056.7 1530 1590 24.00% 18.91% 57.09%-0.68 +27.1 3
2005-07-23 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-049.2 1486 1556 40.01% 19.44% 40.55%-0.01 +20.2 6
2005-07-23 @ Inter Bratislava L 0-249.2 1556 1486 40.55% 19.44% 40.01%+0.01 -20.1 3
2005-07-23 Artmedia Bratislava W 1-052.8 1555 1563 48.59% 19.32% 32.08%+0.31 +8.8 6
2005-07-23 @ Nitra L 0-152.8 1563 1555 32.08% 19.32% 48.59%-0.31 -8.8 0
2005-07-23 Ruzomberok W 2-044.1 1557 1492 57.66% 18.86% 23.47%+0.70 +12.7 6
2005-07-23 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-244.1 1492 1557 23.47% 18.86% 57.66%-0.70 -12.7 0
2005-07-23 Zilina L 1-550.0 1481 1578 36.26% 19.41% 44.32%-0.15 -29.1 0
2005-07-23 @ Matador Puchov W 5-150.0 1578 1481 44.32% 19.41% 36.26%+0.15 +29.1 3
2005-07-26 Dubnica L 0-246.6 1452 1507 42.24% 19.44% 38.33%+0.07 -20.8 0
2005-07-26 @ Matador Puchov W 2-046.6 1507 1452 38.33% 19.44% 42.24%-0.07 +20.8 3
2005-07-29 Inter Bratislava W 2-045.3 1460 1506 43.38% 19.43% 37.20%+0.11 +18.8 3
2005-07-29 @ AS Trencin L 0-245.3 1506 1460 37.20% 19.43% 43.38%-0.11 -18.8 6
2005-07-30 Nitra W 2-049.8 1479 1563 37.99% 19.43% 42.57%-0.08 +21.0 3
2005-07-30 @ Ruzomberok L 0-249.8 1563 1479 42.57% 19.43% 37.99%+0.08 -21.0 6
2005-07-30 Matador Puchov W 2-040.0 1554 1432 63.59% 18.29% 18.12%+1.00 +10.0 3
2005-07-30 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 0-240.0 1432 1554 18.12% 18.29% 63.59%-1.00 -10.0 0
2005-07-30 Spartak Trnava L 0-156.4 1536 1570 45.22% 19.40% 35.38%+0.18 -11.7 3
2005-07-30 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica W 1-056.4 1570 1536 35.38% 19.40% 45.22%-0.18 +11.7 9
2005-07-31 Dubnica W 3-044.5 1607 1528 59.21% 18.74% 22.05%+0.78 +17.4 6
2005-07-31 @ Zilina L 0-344.5 1528 1607 22.05% 18.74% 59.21%-0.78 -17.4 3
2005-08-06 Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-351.4 1542 1525 52.00% 19.20% 28.80%+0.45 -36.2 6
2005-08-06 @ Nitra W 3-051.4 1525 1542 28.80% 19.20% 52.00%-0.45 +36.2 6
2005-08-06 Inter Bratislava D 1-166.0 1511 1487 52.66% 19.17% 28.17%+0.48 -1.4 4
2005-08-06 @ Dubnica D 1-166.0 1487 1511 28.17% 19.17% 52.66%-0.48 +1.4 7
2005-08-06 Artmedia Bratislava L 1-268.6 1625 1564 57.12% 18.90% 23.98%+0.68 -13.6 6
2005-08-06 @ Zilina W 2-168.6 1564 1625 23.98% 18.90% 57.12%-0.68 +13.6 6
2005-08-06 Ruzomberok L 0-244.3 1422 1500 38.88% 19.44% 41.69%-0.05 -19.5 0
2005-08-06 @ Matador Puchov W 2-044.3 1500 1422 41.69% 19.44% 38.88%+0.05 +19.5 6
2005-08-06 AS Trencin W 1-047.0 1581 1478 61.66% 18.51% 19.83%+0.90 +5.8 12
2005-08-06 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-147.0 1478 1581 19.83% 18.51% 61.66%-0.90 -5.8 3
2005-08-09 AS Trencin D 1-165.5 1509 1473 54.31% 19.08% 26.61%+0.55 -1.6 5
2005-08-09 @ Dubnica D 1-165.5 1473 1509 26.61% 19.08% 54.31%-0.55 +1.6 4
2005-08-12 Nitra W 2-155.4 1474 1506 45.41% 19.40% 35.19%+0.19 +9.0 7
2005-08-12 @ AS Trencin L 1-255.4 1506 1474 35.19% 19.40% 45.41%-0.19 -9.0 6
2005-08-13 Spartak Trnava W 1-055.2 1489 1587 36.08% 19.41% 44.51%-0.16 +11.5 10
2005-08-13 @ Inter Bratislava L 0-155.2 1587 1489 44.51% 19.41% 36.08%+0.16 -11.5 12
2005-08-14 Dubnica D 2-275.8 1578 1508 58.20% 18.82% 22.97%+0.73 -1.5 7
2005-08-14 @ Artmedia Bratislava D 2-275.8 1508 1578 22.97% 18.82% 58.20%-0.73 +1.5 6
2005-08-14 Matador Puchov W 3-144.7 1561 1402 66.84% 17.84% 15.32%+1.19 +7.4 9
2005-08-14 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 1-344.7 1402 1561 15.32% 17.84% 66.84%-1.19 -7.4 0
2005-08-14 Zilina W 2-053.1 1519 1611 36.94% 19.42% 43.64%-0.12 +21.4 9
2005-08-14 @ Ruzomberok L 0-253.1 1611 1519 43.64% 19.42% 36.94%+0.12 -21.4 6
2005-08-19 Ruzomberok W 2-157.6 1576 1541 54.19% 19.09% 26.72%+0.55 +7.1 10
2005-08-19 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 1-257.6 1541 1576 26.72% 19.09% 54.19%-0.55 -7.1 9
2005-08-20 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-049.2 1590 1568 52.50% 19.18% 28.33%+0.47 +14.9 9
2005-08-20 @ Zilina L 0-249.2 1568 1590 28.33% 19.18% 52.50%-0.47 -14.9 9
2005-08-20 Inter Bratislava W 2-044.7 1497 1500 49.31% 19.30% 31.39%+0.34 +16.3 9
2005-08-20 @ Nitra L 0-244.7 1500 1497 31.39% 19.30% 49.31%-0.34 -16.3 10
2005-08-20 Spartak Trnava L 0-348.7 1509 1576 40.56% 19.44% 40.00%+0.01 -29.2 6
2005-08-20 @ Dubnica W 3-048.7 1576 1509 40.00% 19.44% 40.56%-0.01 +29.3 15
2005-08-20 AS Trencin W 2-154.2 1395 1483 37.44% 19.43% 43.13%-0.10 +10.6 3
2005-08-20 @ Matador Puchov L 1-254.2 1483 1395 43.13% 19.43% 37.44%+0.10 -10.6 7
2005-08-27 Dubnica W 1-046.9 1534 1480 56.33% 18.96% 24.71%+0.64 +7.0 12
2005-08-27 @ Ruzomberok L 0-146.9 1480 1534 24.71% 18.96% 56.33%-0.64 -7.0 6
2005-08-27 Nitra W 2-045.7 1605 1514 60.46% 18.63% 20.92%+0.84 +11.4 18
2005-08-27 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-245.7 1514 1605 20.92% 18.63% 60.46%-0.84 -11.4 9
2005-08-27 Artmedia Bratislava W 3-048.6 1553 1583 45.66% 19.39% 34.95%+0.20 +25.9 12
2005-08-27 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-348.6 1583 1553 34.95% 19.39% 45.66%-0.20 -25.9 10
2005-08-27 Matador Puchov D 1-162.3 1484 1405 59.13% 18.75% 22.13%+0.77 -2.2 11
2005-08-27 @ Inter Bratislava D 1-162.3 1405 1484 22.13% 18.75% 59.13%-0.77 +2.2 4
2005-08-28 Zilina L 0-151.3 1473 1605 31.57% 19.31% 49.12%-0.34 -8.7 7
2005-08-28 @ AS Trencin W 1-051.3 1605 1473 49.12% 19.31% 31.57%+0.34 +8.7 12
2005-09-09 AS Trencin W 3-040.2 1557 1464 60.70% 18.60% 20.69%+0.85 +16.4 13
2005-09-09 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 0-340.2 1464 1557 20.69% 18.60% 60.70%-0.85 -16.4 7
2005-09-10 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-050.5 1541 1579 44.52% 19.41% 36.06%+0.16 +18.3 15
2005-09-10 @ Ruzomberok L 0-250.5 1579 1541 36.06% 19.41% 44.52%-0.16 -18.3 12
2005-09-10 Inter Bratislava W 5-249.2 1614 1482 64.44% 18.18% 17.37%+1.05 +10.2 15
2005-09-10 @ Zilina L 2-549.2 1482 1614 17.37% 18.18% 64.44%-1.05 -10.2 11
2005-09-10 Nitra L 0-151.9 1473 1502 45.78% 19.39% 34.82%+0.21 -11.8 6
2005-09-10 @ Dubnica W 1-051.9 1502 1473 34.82% 19.39% 45.78%-0.21 +11.8 12
2005-09-10 Spartak Trnava L 1-349.5 1407 1616 22.81% 18.81% 58.38%-0.74 -10.7 4
2005-09-10 @ Matador Puchov W 3-149.5 1616 1407 58.38% 18.81% 22.81%+0.74 +10.7 21
2005-09-17 Dubnica W 4-145.3 1561 1461 61.33% 18.54% 20.12%+0.88 +13.5 15
2005-09-17 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 1-445.3 1461 1561 20.12% 18.54% 61.33%-0.88 -13.5 6
2005-09-17 Artmedia Bratislava L 1-257.9 1472 1574 35.53% 19.40% 45.06%-0.18 -9.0 11
2005-09-17 @ Inter Bratislava W 2-157.9 1574 1472 45.06% 19.40% 35.53%+0.18 +9.0 16
2005-09-17 Matador Puchov W 3-144.0 1514 1397 63.06% 18.35% 18.59%+0.97 +8.9 15
2005-09-17 @ Nitra L 1-344.0 1397 1514 18.59% 18.35% 63.06%-0.97 -8.9 4
2005-09-17 Ruzomberok W 1-053.2 1447 1559 34.29% 19.38% 46.33%-0.23 +11.9 10
2005-09-17 @ AS Trencin L 0-153.2 1559 1447 46.33% 19.38% 34.29%+0.23 -11.9 15
2005-09-17 Zilina W 4-155.2 1627 1624 50.13% 19.27% 30.60%+0.38 +19.5 24
2005-09-17 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-455.2 1624 1627 30.60% 19.27% 50.13%-0.38 -19.5 15
2005-09-20 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-160.8 1459 1574 33.83% 19.37% 46.79%-0.24 +11.4 13
2005-09-20 @ AS Trencin L 1-260.8 1574 1459 46.79% 19.37% 33.83%+0.24 -11.3 15
2005-09-20 Artmedia Bratislava L 1-366.0 1646 1583 57.45% 18.88% 23.67%+0.69 -23.6 24
2005-09-20 @ Spartak Trnava W 3-166.0 1583 1646 23.67% 18.88% 57.45%-0.69 +23.6 19
2005-09-20 Matador Puchov D 1-160.7 1447 1388 57.00% 18.91% 24.09%+0.67 -1.9 7
2005-09-20 @ Dubnica D 1-160.7 1388 1447 24.09% 18.91% 57.00%-0.67 +1.9 5
2005-09-20 Ruzomberok L 0-345.2 1463 1547 38.01% 19.43% 42.56%-0.08 -27.8 11
2005-09-20 @ Inter Bratislava W 3-045.2 1547 1463 42.56% 19.43% 38.01%+0.08 +27.8 18
2005-09-20 Zilina L 0-251.4 1523 1604 38.43% 19.44% 42.13%-0.07 -19.3 15
2005-09-20 @ Nitra W 2-051.4 1604 1523 42.13% 19.44% 38.43%+0.07 +19.3 18
2005-09-24 Dubnica W 2-040.7 1471 1446 52.91% 19.16% 27.93%+0.49 +14.8 16
2005-09-24 @ AS Trencin L 0-240.7 1446 1471 27.93% 19.16% 52.91%-0.49 -14.8 7
2005-09-24 Inter Bratislava W 1-043.9 1563 1435 64.10% 18.23% 17.67%+1.03 +5.2 18
2005-09-24 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-143.9 1435 1563 17.67% 18.23% 64.10%-1.03 -5.2 11
2005-09-24 Matador Puchov L 1-267.0 1624 1390 72.58% 16.73% 10.69%+1.58 -17.0 18
2005-09-24 @ Zilina W 2-167.0 1390 1624 10.69% 16.73% 72.58%-1.58 +17.0 8
2005-09-24 Spartak Trnava W 4-156.3 1575 1623 43.17% 19.43% 37.40%+0.11 +23.1 21
2005-09-24 @ Ruzomberok L 1-456.3 1623 1575 37.40% 19.43% 43.17%-0.11 -23.1 24
2005-09-25 Nitra D 1-170.2 1607 1504 61.67% 18.51% 19.83%+0.90 -2.5 20
2005-09-25 @ Artmedia Bratislava D 1-170.2 1504 1607 19.83% 18.51% 61.67%-0.90 +2.5 16
2005-10-01 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 1-052.7 1600 1568 53.71% 19.12% 27.17%+0.53 +7.6 27
2005-10-01 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-152.7 1568 1600 27.17% 19.12% 53.71%-0.53 -7.6 18
2005-10-01 Ruzomberok D 2-276.3 1506 1598 36.97% 19.42% 43.60%-0.12 +0.3 17
2005-10-01 @ Nitra D 2-276.3 1598 1506 43.60% 19.42% 36.97%+0.12 -0.3 22
2005-10-01 AS Trencin D 0-057.7 1430 1485 42.09% 19.44% 38.48%+0.07 -0.2 12
2005-10-01 @ Inter Bratislava D 0-057.7 1485 1430 38.48% 19.44% 42.09%-0.07 +0.2 17
2005-10-01 Zilina L 2-454.8 1431 1606 26.36% 19.07% 54.58%-0.56 -10.9 7
2005-10-01 @ Dubnica W 4-254.8 1606 1431 54.58% 19.07% 26.36%+0.56 +10.9 21
2005-10-02 Artmedia Bratislava L 1-253.0 1407 1604 24.01% 18.91% 57.09%-0.68 -6.5 8
2005-10-02 @ Matador Puchov W 2-153.0 1604 1407 57.09% 18.91% 24.01%+0.68 +6.5 23
2005-10-15 Dubnica L 0-343.5 1429 1420 50.95% 19.24% 29.81%+0.41 -35.5 12
2005-10-15 @ Inter Bratislava W 3-043.5 1420 1429 29.81% 19.24% 50.95%-0.41 +35.5 10
2005-10-15 Nitra W 2-045.2 1560 1506 56.38% 18.96% 24.67%+0.64 +13.2 21
2005-10-15 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-245.2 1506 1560 24.67% 18.96% 56.38%-0.64 -13.2 17
2005-10-15 Matador Puchov W 3-145.1 1598 1400 69.95% 17.30% 12.75%+1.39 +6.2 25
2005-10-15 @ Ruzomberok L 1-345.1 1400 1598 12.75% 17.30% 69.95%-1.39 -6.2 8
2005-10-15 Spartak Trnava D 0-064.2 1486 1607 32.94% 19.35% 47.71%-0.28 +0.9 18
2005-10-15 @ AS Trencin D 0-064.2 1607 1486 47.71% 19.35% 32.94%+0.28 -0.9 28
2005-10-16 Zilina D 1-173.0 1611 1617 48.82% 19.32% 31.86%+0.32 -1.0 24
2005-10-16 @ Artmedia Bratislava D 1-173.0 1617 1611 31.86% 19.32% 48.82%-0.32 +1.0 22
2005-10-22 Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-145.6 1394 1574 25.93% 19.04% 55.02%-0.58 -7.3 8
2005-10-22 @ Matador Puchov W 1-045.6 1574 1394 55.02% 19.04% 25.93%+0.58 +7.3 24
2005-10-22 Inter Bratislava W 3-036.3 1606 1394 71.10% 17.06% 11.84%+1.47 +9.6 31
2005-10-22 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-336.3 1394 1606 11.84% 17.06% 71.10%-1.47 -9.6 12
2005-10-22 Artmedia Bratislava L 0-246.4 1455 1610 28.86% 19.20% 51.93%-0.45 -15.2 10
2005-10-22 @ Dubnica W 2-046.4 1610 1455 51.93% 19.20% 28.86%+0.45 +15.2 27
2005-10-22 Ruzomberok L 0-161.3 1618 1604 51.58% 19.22% 29.20%+0.44 -13.1 22
2005-10-22 @ Zilina W 1-061.3 1604 1618 29.20% 19.22% 51.58%-0.44 +13.1 28
2005-10-22 AS Trencin W 3-150.2 1493 1487 50.55% 19.26% 30.19%+0.39 +13.7 20
2005-10-22 @ Nitra L 1-350.2 1487 1493 30.19% 19.26% 50.55%-0.39 -13.7 18
2005-10-28 Artmedia Bratislava W 1-055.9 1617 1625 48.67% 19.32% 32.00%+0.32 +8.8 31
2005-10-28 @ Ruzomberok L 0-155.9 1625 1617 32.00% 19.32% 48.67%-0.32 -8.8 27
2005-10-29 Dubnica W 2-151.3 1616 1440 68.28% 17.61% 14.11%+1.28 +3.9 34
2005-10-29 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-251.3 1440 1616 14.11% 17.61% 68.28%-1.28 -3.9 10
2005-10-29 Nitra L 1-251.5 1384 1507 32.84% 19.35% 47.81%-0.28 -8.5 12
2005-10-29 @ Inter Bratislava W 2-151.5 1507 1384 47.81% 19.35% 32.84%+0.28 +8.5 23
2005-10-29 Matador Puchov D 1-161.4 1473 1387 59.91% 18.68% 21.42%+0.81 -2.3 19
2005-10-29 @ AS Trencin D 1-161.4 1387 1473 21.42% 18.68% 59.91%-0.81 +2.3 9
2005-10-29 Zilina L 0-453.2 1581 1605 46.49% 19.38% 34.13%+0.23 -42.8 24
2005-10-29 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica W 4-053.2 1605 1581 34.13% 19.38% 46.49%-0.23 +42.8 25
2005-11-05 Inter Bratislava W 3-035.1 1389 1376 51.44% 19.22% 29.34%+0.43 +22.4 12
2005-11-05 @ Matador Puchov L 0-335.1 1376 1389 29.34% 19.22% 51.44%-0.43 -22.4 12
2005-11-05 Ruzomberok W 3-052.4 1436 1626 24.84% 18.97% 56.19%-0.63 +38.8 13
2005-11-05 @ Dubnica L 0-352.4 1626 1436 56.19% 18.97% 24.84%+0.63 -38.8 31
2005-11-05 Spartak Trnava W 3-160.3 1515 1620 35.19% 19.40% 45.42%-0.19 +19.2 26
2005-11-05 @ Nitra L 1-360.3 1620 1515 45.42% 19.40% 35.19%+0.19 -19.2 34
2005-11-05 AS Trencin L 1-269.7 1648 1471 68.40% 17.58% 14.02%+1.29 -16.1 25
2005-11-05 @ Zilina W 2-169.7 1471 1648 14.02% 17.58% 68.40%-1.29 +16.1 22
2005-11-06 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-047.1 1616 1538 59.02% 18.76% 22.22%+0.77 +12.1 30
2005-11-06 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 0-247.1 1538 1616 22.22% 18.76% 59.02%-0.77 -12.1 24
2005-11-08 Dubnica D 0-061.3 1534 1475 56.96% 18.92% 24.12%+0.67 -2.2 27
2005-11-08 @ Nitra D 0-061.3 1475 1534 24.12% 18.92% 56.96%-0.67 +2.2 14
2005-11-08 Matador Puchov W 4-037.1 1601 1412 69.35% 17.41% 13.24%+1.35 +14.1 37
2005-11-08 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-437.1 1412 1601 13.24% 17.41% 69.35%-1.35 -14.0 12
2005-11-08 Zilina L 0-437.3 1353 1632 16.59% 18.06% 65.35%-1.10 -17.5 12
2005-11-08 @ Inter Bratislava W 4-037.3 1632 1353 65.35% 18.06% 16.59%+1.10 +17.5 28
2005-11-09 Artmedia Bratislava D 1-170.2 1487 1628 30.44% 19.27% 50.29%-0.38 +1.1 23
2005-11-09 @ AS Trencin D 1-170.2 1628 1487 50.29% 19.27% 30.44%+0.38 -1.1 31
2005-11-09 Ruzomberok L 0-251.9 1526 1587 41.39% 19.44% 39.17%+0.04 -20.5 24
2005-11-09 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-051.9 1587 1526 39.17% 19.44% 41.39%-0.04 +20.5 34
2005-11-19 Dubnica L 1-349.2 1398 1477 38.66% 19.44% 41.90%-0.06 -16.8 12
2005-11-19 @ Matador Puchov W 3-149.2 1477 1398 41.90% 19.44% 38.66%+0.06 +16.8 17
2005-11-19 Inter Bratislava W 3-141.5 1607 1336 75.01% 16.09% 8.90%+1.78 +4.3 37
2005-11-19 @ Ruzomberok L 1-341.5 1336 1607 8.90% 16.09% 75.01%-1.78 -4.3 12
2005-11-19 Nitra W 2-156.7 1649 1532 63.06% 18.35% 18.59%+0.97 +5.1 31
2005-11-19 @ Zilina L 1-256.7 1532 1649 18.59% 18.35% 63.06%-0.97 -5.1 27
2005-11-19 Spartak Trnava W 2-161.5 1627 1615 51.26% 19.23% 29.51%+0.42 +7.7 34
2005-11-19 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 1-261.5 1615 1627 29.51% 19.23% 51.26%-0.42 -7.7 37
2005-11-19 AS Trencin L 0-154.4 1506 1488 51.99% 19.20% 28.81%+0.45 -13.2 24
2005-11-19 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica W 1-054.4 1488 1506 28.81% 19.20% 51.99%-0.45 +13.2 26
2005-11-26 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 1-160.3 1332 1492 28.08% 19.16% 52.76%-0.48 +1.4 13
2005-11-26 @ Inter Bratislava D 1-160.3 1492 1332 52.76% 19.16% 28.08%+0.48 -1.4 25
2005-11-26 Ruzomberok W 2-161.7 1607 1612 49.14% 19.31% 31.56%+0.34 +8.2 40
2005-11-26 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-261.7 1612 1607 31.56% 19.31% 49.14%-0.34 -8.2 37
2005-11-26 AS Trencin D 1-165.9 1494 1501 48.79% 19.32% 31.89%+0.32 -1.0 18
2005-11-26 @ Dubnica D 1-165.9 1501 1494 31.89% 19.32% 48.79%-0.32 +1.0 27
2005-11-26 Zilina L 0-145.1 1381 1654 16.96% 18.12% 64.92%-1.08 -5.0 12
2005-11-26 @ Matador Puchov W 1-045.1 1654 1381 64.92% 18.12% 16.96%+1.08 +5.0 34
2005-11-27 Artmedia Bratislava L 0-251.3 1527 1635 34.82% 19.39% 45.79%-0.21 -17.8 27
2005-11-27 @ Nitra W 2-051.3 1635 1527 45.79% 19.39% 34.82%+0.21 +17.8 37
2005-11-30 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 1-047.7 1493 1491 49.98% 19.28% 30.74%+0.37 +8.5 21
2005-11-30 @ Dubnica L 0-147.7 1491 1493 30.74% 19.28% 49.98%-0.37 -8.5 25
2005-11-30 Inter Bratislava W 7-136.2 1652 1333 77.75% 15.23% 7.02%+2.03 +8.9 40
2005-11-30 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 1-736.2 1333 1652 7.02% 15.23% 77.75%-2.03 -8.9 13
2005-11-30 Nitra D 0-056.8 1376 1509 31.41% 19.30% 49.28%-0.34 +1.1 13
2005-11-30 @ Matador Puchov D 0-056.8 1509 1376 49.28% 19.30% 31.41%+0.34 -1.1 28
2005-11-30 Spartak Trnava W 1-054.4 1659 1615 55.20% 19.03% 25.77%+0.59 +7.3 37
2005-11-30 @ Zilina L 0-154.4 1615 1659 25.77% 19.03% 55.20%-0.59 -7.3 40
2005-11-30 AS Trencin W 1-048.6 1603 1502 61.49% 18.52% 19.98%+0.89 +5.8 40
2005-11-30 @ Ruzomberok L 0-148.6 1502 1603 19.98% 18.52% 61.49%-0.89 -5.8 27
2006-03-04 Dubnica D 0-066.9 1667 1502 67.40% 17.75% 14.85%+1.23 -3.6 38
2006-03-04 @ Zilina D 0-066.9 1502 1667 14.85% 17.75% 67.40%-1.23 +3.6 22
2006-03-04 Inter Bratislava L 1-259.5 1496 1324 67.97% 17.66% 14.37%+1.26 -16.0 27
2006-03-04 @ AS Trencin W 2-159.5 1324 1496 14.37% 17.66% 67.97%-1.26 +16.0 16
2006-03-04 Nitra W 2-045.3 1609 1508 61.46% 18.53% 20.01%+0.89 +11.0 43
2006-03-04 @ Ruzomberok L 0-245.3 1508 1609 20.01% 18.53% 61.46%-0.89 -11.0 28
2006-03-11 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-153.5 1497 1483 51.60% 19.22% 29.19%+0.44 +7.7 31
2006-03-11 @ Nitra L 1-253.5 1483 1497 29.19% 19.22% 51.60%-0.44 -7.7 25
2006-03-11 Inter Bratislava W 2-144.3 1505 1340 67.38% 17.76% 14.86%+1.22 +4.1 25
2006-03-11 @ Dubnica L 1-244.3 1340 1505 14.86% 17.76% 67.38%-1.22 -4.2 16
2006-03-11 AS Trencin W 3-041.6 1608 1480 64.08% 18.23% 17.69%+1.03 +14.2 43
2006-03-11 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-341.6 1480 1608 17.69% 18.23% 64.08%-1.03 -14.2 27
2006-03-14 Spartak Trnava L 1-257.9 1475 1622 29.68% 19.24% 51.08%-0.41 -7.8 25
2006-03-14 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-157.9 1622 1475 51.08% 19.24% 29.68%+0.41 +7.8 46
2006-03-18 Nitra D 1-165.0 1466 1505 44.47% 19.41% 36.11%+0.16 -0.5 28
2006-03-18 @ AS Trencin D 1-165.0 1505 1466 36.11% 19.41% 44.47%-0.16 +0.5 32
2006-03-18 Matador Puchov W 2-036.3 1467 1377 60.35% 18.64% 21.02%+0.83 +11.5 28
2006-03-18 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-236.3 1377 1467 21.02% 18.64% 60.35%-0.83 -11.5 13
2006-03-18 Spartak Trnava D 2-271.8 1336 1630 15.42% 17.86% 66.72%-1.18 +2.3 17
2006-03-18 @ Inter Bratislava D 2-271.8 1630 1336 66.72% 17.86% 15.42%+1.18 -2.3 47
2006-03-18 Zilina W 2-164.4 1620 1663 43.89% 19.42% 36.69%+0.13 +9.3 46
2006-03-18 @ Ruzomberok L 1-264.4 1663 1620 36.69% 19.42% 43.89%-0.13 -9.3 38
2006-03-19 Dubnica W 3-260.8 1661 1509 66.27% 17.93% 15.80%+1.16 +4.2 43
2006-03-19 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 2-360.8 1509 1661 15.80% 17.93% 66.27%-1.16 -4.2 25
2006-03-22 Matador Puchov W 1-041.4 1666 1365 76.69% 15.58% 7.72%+1.93 +2.3 46
2006-03-22 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 0-141.4 1365 1666 7.72% 15.58% 76.69%-1.93 -2.3 13
2006-03-25 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 2-043.8 1654 1479 68.24% 17.61% 14.15%+1.28 +7.9 41
2006-03-25 @ Zilina L 0-243.8 1479 1654 14.15% 17.61% 68.24%-1.28 -7.9 28
2006-03-25 Inter Bratislava W 1-037.7 1505 1338 67.54% 17.73% 14.73%+1.23 +4.4 35
2006-03-25 @ Nitra L 0-137.7 1338 1505 14.73% 17.73% 67.54%-1.23 -4.4 17
2006-03-25 Spartak Trnava L 0-249.9 1505 1628 32.83% 19.35% 47.83%-0.28 -16.9 25
2006-03-25 @ Dubnica W 2-049.9 1628 1505 47.83% 19.35% 32.83%+0.28 +16.9 50
2006-03-25 AS Trencin W 2-153.4 1363 1466 35.51% 19.40% 45.08%-0.18 +11.0 16
2006-03-25 @ Matador Puchov L 1-253.4 1466 1363 45.08% 19.40% 35.51%+0.18 -11.0 28
2006-03-26 Ruzomberok W 2-051.3 1668 1629 54.51% 19.07% 26.41%+0.56 +14.1 49
2006-03-26 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 0-251.3 1629 1668 26.41% 19.07% 54.51%-0.56 -14.1 46
2006-04-01 Dubnica W 3-150.6 1615 1488 64.02% 18.24% 17.75%+1.03 +8.5 49
2006-04-01 @ Ruzomberok L 1-350.6 1488 1615 17.75% 18.24% 64.02%-1.03 -8.5 25
2006-04-01 Nitra L 0-163.3 1645 1510 64.75% 18.14% 17.11%+1.07 -16.2 50
2006-04-01 @ Spartak Trnava W 1-063.3 1510 1645 17.11% 18.14% 64.75%-1.07 +16.2 38
2006-04-01 Artmedia Bratislava D 0-066.2 1471 1682 22.57% 18.79% 58.65%-0.75 +2.4 29
2006-04-01 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-066.2 1682 1471 58.65% 18.79% 22.57%+0.75 -2.4 50
2006-04-01 Matador Puchov W 2-148.4 1334 1374 44.30% 19.42% 36.29%+0.15 +9.2 20
2006-04-01 @ Inter Bratislava L 1-248.4 1374 1334 36.29% 19.42% 44.30%-0.15 -9.2 16
2006-04-01 Zilina W 2-166.9 1455 1662 22.97% 18.82% 58.21%-0.73 +13.8 31
2006-04-01 @ AS Trencin L 1-266.9 1662 1455 58.21% 18.82% 22.97%+0.73 -13.8 41
2006-04-04 Artmedia Bratislava L 0-161.1 1648 1679 45.49% 19.40% 35.11%+0.19 -11.8 41
2006-04-04 @ Zilina W 1-061.1 1679 1648 35.11% 19.40% 45.49%-0.19 +11.8 53
2006-04-04 Ruzomberok L 0-240.2 1365 1624 18.16% 18.30% 63.54%-1.00 -10.0 16
2006-04-04 @ Matador Puchov W 2-040.2 1624 1365 63.54% 18.30% 18.16%+1.00 +10.0 52
2006-04-08 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 1-047.0 1634 1473 67.04% 17.81% 15.15%+1.20 +4.5 55
2006-04-08 @ Ruzomberok L 0-147.0 1473 1634 15.15% 17.81% 67.04%-1.20 -4.5 29
2006-04-08 Inter Bratislava D 1-166.4 1636 1343 76.29% 15.71% 8.00%+1.90 -4.3 42
2006-04-08 @ Zilina D 1-166.4 1343 1636 8.00% 15.71% 76.29%-1.90 +4.3 21
2006-04-08 Nitra W 2-156.9 1480 1526 43.45% 19.43% 37.13%+0.12 +9.4 28
2006-04-08 @ Dubnica L 1-256.9 1526 1480 37.13% 19.43% 43.45%-0.12 -9.4 38
2006-04-08 Spartak Trnava L 0-239.5 1355 1628 16.98% 18.12% 64.90%-1.08 -9.4 16
2006-04-08 @ Matador Puchov W 2-039.5 1628 1355 64.90% 18.12% 16.98%+1.08 +9.4 53
2006-04-09 AS Trencin W 3-149.9 1691 1468 71.83% 16.90% 11.27%+1.53 +5.5 56
2006-04-09 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 1-349.9 1468 1691 11.27% 16.90% 71.83%-1.53 -5.5 31
2006-04-15 Dubnica L 2-363.4 1469 1489 46.98% 19.37% 33.65%+0.25 -10.8 29
2006-04-15 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica W 3-263.4 1489 1469 33.65% 19.37% 46.98%-0.25 +10.8 31
2006-04-15 Artmedia Bratislava L 1-250.0 1348 1697 11.86% 17.07% 71.08%-1.47 -3.3 21
2006-04-15 @ Inter Bratislava W 2-150.0 1697 1348 71.08% 17.07% 11.86%+1.47 +3.3 59
2006-04-15 Matador Puchov D 1-161.8 1517 1345 67.88% 17.67% 14.44%+1.26 -3.3 39
2006-04-15 @ Nitra D 1-161.8 1345 1517 14.44% 17.67% 67.88%-1.26 +3.3 17
2006-04-15 Ruzomberok W 1-059.0 1463 1638 26.38% 19.07% 54.55%-0.56 +13.8 34
2006-04-15 @ AS Trencin L 0-159.0 1638 1463 54.55% 19.07% 26.38%+0.56 -13.8 55
2006-04-15 Zilina W 2-162.2 1638 1632 50.48% 19.26% 30.26%+0.39 +7.9 56
2006-04-15 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-262.2 1632 1638 30.26% 19.26% 50.48%-0.39 -7.9 42
2006-04-22 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-058.5 1477 1458 52.14% 19.19% 28.67%+0.46 -1.5 35
2006-04-22 @ AS Trencin D 0-058.5 1458 1477 28.67% 19.19% 52.14%-0.46 +1.5 30
2006-04-22 Artmedia Bratislava W 1-059.2 1646 1700 42.31% 19.44% 38.26%+0.07 +10.2 59
2006-04-22 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-159.2 1700 1646 38.26% 19.44% 42.31%-0.07 -10.2 59
2006-04-22 Matador Puchov L 0-153.4 1500 1349 66.20% 17.94% 15.87%+1.15 -16.6 31
2006-04-22 @ Dubnica W 1-053.4 1349 1500 15.87% 17.94% 66.20%-1.15 +16.6 20
2006-04-22 Ruzomberok L 0-142.4 1344 1625 16.44% 18.04% 65.52%-1.11 -4.8 21
2006-04-22 @ Inter Bratislava W 1-042.4 1625 1344 65.52% 18.04% 16.44%+1.11 +4.9 58
2006-04-22 Zilina D 2-277.3 1513 1624 34.38% 19.38% 46.24%-0.22 +0.5 40
2006-04-22 @ Nitra D 2-277.3 1624 1513 46.24% 19.38% 34.38%+0.22 -0.5 43
2006-04-25 Dubnica L 1-258.6 1475 1483 48.64% 19.32% 32.03%+0.32 -11.7 35
2006-04-25 @ AS Trencin W 2-158.6 1483 1475 32.03% 19.32% 48.64%-0.32 +11.7 34
2006-04-25 Inter Bratislava W 2-144.3 1459 1339 63.33% 18.32% 18.35%+0.99 +5.1 33
2006-04-25 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 1-244.3 1339 1459 18.35% 18.32% 63.33%-0.99 -5.1 21
2006-04-25 Nitra W 2-045.6 1690 1514 68.29% 17.60% 14.10%+1.28 +7.9 62
2006-04-25 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 0-245.6 1514 1690 14.10% 17.60% 68.29%-1.28 -7.9 40
2006-04-25 Matador Puchov W 3-143.5 1624 1365 74.20% 16.32% 9.49%+1.71 +4.6 46
2006-04-25 @ Zilina L 1-343.5 1365 1624 9.49% 16.32% 74.20%-1.71 -4.6 20
2006-04-25 Spartak Trnava W 2-163.8 1629 1656 46.17% 19.38% 34.44%+0.22 +8.8 61
2006-04-25 @ Ruzomberok L 1-263.8 1656 1629 34.44% 19.38% 46.17%-0.22 -8.8 59
2006-04-29 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 1-170.6 1647 1464 68.84% 17.51% 13.66%+1.32 -3.4 60
2006-04-29 @ Spartak Trnava D 1-170.6 1464 1647 13.66% 17.51% 68.84%-1.32 +3.4 34
2006-04-29 Artmedia Bratislava L 1-347.2 1361 1698 12.57% 17.25% 70.18%-1.41 -6.1 20
2006-04-29 @ Matador Puchov W 3-147.2 1698 1361 70.18% 17.25% 12.57%+1.41 +6.1 65
2006-04-29 Ruzomberok L 2-365.2 1506 1638 31.56% 19.31% 49.13%-0.34 -7.8 40
2006-04-29 @ Nitra W 3-265.2 1638 1506 49.13% 19.31% 31.56%+0.34 +7.8 64
2006-04-29 AS Trencin D 0-054.5 1334 1463 31.97% 19.32% 48.71%-0.32 +1.1 22
2006-04-29 @ Inter Bratislava D 0-054.5 1463 1334 48.71% 19.32% 31.97%+0.32 -1.1 36
2006-04-29 Zilina L 1-452.5 1495 1628 31.48% 19.30% 49.22%-0.34 -20.0 34
2006-04-29 @ Dubnica W 4-152.5 1628 1495 49.22% 19.30% 31.48%+0.34 +20.0 49
2006-05-03 Dubnica L 0-238.5 1335 1475 30.64% 19.28% 50.08%-0.37 -16.0 22
2006-05-03 @ Inter Bratislava W 2-038.5 1475 1335 50.08% 19.28% 30.64%+0.37 +16.0 37
2006-05-03 Nitra W 2-044.7 1468 1498 45.64% 19.39% 34.96%+0.20 +17.8 37
2006-05-03 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-244.7 1498 1468 34.96% 19.39% 45.64%-0.20 -17.8 40
2006-05-03 Matador Puchov W 3-143.3 1646 1355 76.20% 15.74% 8.06%+1.89 +3.9 67
2006-05-03 @ Ruzomberok L 1-343.3 1355 1646 8.06% 15.74% 76.20%-1.89 -3.9 20
2006-05-03 Spartak Trnava W 1-059.3 1462 1644 25.72% 19.03% 55.25%-0.59 +14.0 39
2006-05-03 @ AS Trencin L 0-159.3 1644 1462 55.25% 19.03% 25.72%+0.59 -14.0 60
2006-05-03 Zilina L 1-271.0 1704 1648 56.54% 18.94% 24.51%+0.65 -13.5 65
2006-05-03 @ Artmedia Bratislava W 2-171.0 1648 1704 24.51% 18.94% 56.54%-0.65 +13.4 52
2006-05-13 Dukla Banska Bystrica L 0-239.3 1351 1486 31.26% 19.30% 49.45%-0.35 -16.2 20
2006-05-13 @ Matador Puchov W 2-039.3 1486 1351 49.45% 19.30% 31.26%+0.35 +16.2 40
2006-05-13 Inter Bratislava D 0-060.2 1630 1319 77.26% 15.40% 7.34%+1.99 -4.9 61
2006-05-13 @ Spartak Trnava D 0-060.2 1319 1630 7.34% 15.40% 77.26%-1.99 +4.9 23
2006-05-13 Artmedia Bratislava L 0-152.0 1491 1690 23.79% 18.89% 57.32%-0.69 -6.8 37
2006-05-13 @ Dubnica W 1-052.0 1690 1491 57.32% 18.89% 23.79%+0.69 +6.8 68
2006-05-13 Ruzomberok L 1-269.1 1662 1650 51.22% 19.23% 29.55%+0.42 -12.3 52
2006-05-13 @ Zilina W 2-169.1 1650 1662 29.55% 19.23% 51.22%-0.42 +12.3 70
2006-05-13 AS Trencin W 3-040.9 1480 1476 50.22% 19.27% 30.51%+0.38 +23.1 43
2006-05-13 @ Nitra L 0-340.9 1476 1480 30.51% 19.27% 50.22%-0.38 -23.1 39
2006-05-16 Dubnica W 4-147.2 1625 1484 65.26% 18.07% 16.66%+1.10 +11.3 64
2006-05-16 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-447.2 1484 1625 16.66% 18.07% 65.26%-1.10 -11.3 37
2006-05-16 Nitra W 2-046.2 1324 1503 25.97% 19.04% 54.98%-0.58 +26.2 26
2006-05-16 @ Inter Bratislava L 0-246.2 1503 1324 54.98% 19.04% 25.97%+0.58 -26.2 43
2006-05-16 Artmedia Bratislava W 3-052.8 1662 1697 45.02% 19.40% 35.58%+0.18 +26.3 73
2006-05-16 @ Ruzomberok L 0-352.8 1697 1662 35.58% 19.40% 45.02%-0.18 -26.3 68
2006-05-16 Matador Puchov L 1-354.0 1453 1334 63.21% 18.33% 18.45%+0.98 -25.9 39
2006-05-16 @ AS Trencin W 3-154.0 1334 1453 18.45% 18.33% 63.21%-0.98 +25.9 23
2006-05-16 Zilina D 2-277.7 1502 1649 29.67% 19.24% 51.09%-0.41 +0.9 41
2006-05-16 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica D 2-277.7 1649 1502 51.09% 19.24% 29.67%+0.41 -0.9 53
2006-05-23 Dukla Banska Bystrica W 1-048.7 1671 1503 67.64% 17.71% 14.65%+1.24 +4.3 71
2006-05-23 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 0-148.7 1503 1671 14.65% 17.71% 67.64%-1.24 -4.3 41
2006-05-23 Inter Bratislava L 0-146.4 1360 1350 50.99% 19.24% 29.76%+0.41 -13.0 23
2006-05-23 @ Matador Puchov W 1-046.4 1350 1360 29.76% 19.24% 50.99%-0.41 +13.0 29
2006-05-23 Ruzomberok D 1-171.7 1473 1689 22.13% 18.75% 59.13%-0.77 +2.2 38
2006-05-23 @ Dubnica D 1-171.7 1689 1473 59.13% 18.75% 22.13%+0.77 -2.2 74
2006-05-23 Spartak Trnava D 1-170.1 1477 1636 28.28% 19.17% 52.55%-0.48 +1.4 44
2006-05-23 @ Nitra D 1-170.1 1636 1477 52.55% 19.17% 28.28%+0.48 -1.4 65
2006-05-23 AS Trencin W 5-039.4 1648 1427 71.71% 16.93% 11.36%+1.52 +14.9 56
2006-05-23 @ Zilina L 0-539.4 1427 1648 11.36% 16.93% 71.71%-1.52 -14.9 39
2006-05-27 Dubnica D 2-270.9 1479 1475 50.16% 19.27% 30.56%+0.38 -0.8 45
2006-05-27 @ Nitra D 2-270.9 1475 1479 30.56% 19.27% 50.16%-0.38 +0.8 39
2006-05-27 Artmedia Bratislava W 3-163.9 1412 1675 17.85% 18.25% 63.89%-1.02 +26.2 42
2006-05-27 @ AS Trencin L 1-363.9 1675 1412 63.89% 18.25% 17.85%+1.02 -26.2 71
2006-05-27 Matador Puchov W 1-039.8 1635 1347 75.97% 15.81% 8.22%+1.87 +2.4 68
2006-05-27 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-139.8 1347 1635 8.22% 15.81% 75.97%-1.87 -2.4 23
2006-05-27 Ruzomberok L 0-547.3 1498 1686 25.00% 18.98% 56.02%-0.63 -31.3 41
2006-05-27 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica W 5-047.3 1686 1498 56.02% 18.98% 25.00%+0.63 +31.3 77
2006-05-27 Zilina D 1-167.5 1363 1663 15.00% 17.78% 67.21%-1.21 +3.2 30
2006-05-27 @ Inter Bratislava D 1-167.5 1663 1363 67.21% 17.78% 15.00%+1.21 -3.2 57
2006-05-31 Dukla Banska Bystrica D 0-058.8 1476 1467 50.86% 19.25% 29.89%+0.41 -1.4 40
2006-05-31 @ Dubnica D 0-058.8 1467 1476 29.89% 19.25% 50.86%-0.41 +1.3 42
2006-05-31 Inter Bratislava W 1-041.1 1649 1367 75.67% 15.90% 8.43%+1.84 +2.5 74
2006-05-31 @ Artmedia Bratislava L 0-141.1 1367 1649 8.43% 15.90% 75.67%-1.84 -2.5 30
2006-05-31 Nitra W 1-048.0 1345 1478 31.52% 19.31% 49.18%-0.34 +12.6 26
2006-05-31 @ Matador Puchov L 0-148.0 1478 1345 49.18% 19.31% 31.52%+0.34 -12.6 45
2006-05-31 Spartak Trnava W 2-162.0 1660 1637 52.63% 19.17% 28.20%+0.48 +7.5 60
2006-05-31 @ Zilina L 1-262.0 1637 1660 28.20% 19.17% 52.63%-0.48 -7.4 68
2006-05-31 AS Trencin W 3-040.2 1718 1439 75.47% 15.96% 8.57%+1.82 +6.9 80
2006-05-31 @ Ruzomberok L 0-340.2 1439 1718 8.57% 15.96% 75.47%-1.82 -6.9 42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2005-09-24 10.69% Matador Puchov 1390 2 @ Zilina 1624 1
2 2005-11-05 14.02% AS Trencin 1471 2 @ Zilina 1648 1
3 2006-03-04 14.37% Inter Bratislava 1324 2 @ AS Trencin 1496 1
4 2006-04-22 15.87% Matador Puchov 1349 1 @ Dubnica 1500 0
5 2006-04-01 17.11% Nitra 1510 1 @ Spartak Trnava 1645 0
6 2006-05-27 17.85% @ AS Trencin 1412 3 Artmedia Bratislava 1675 1
7 2006-05-16 18.45% Matador Puchov 1334 3 @ AS Trencin 1453 1
8 2005-07-17 21.62% Nitra 1525 5 @ Zilina 1608 2
9 2006-04-01 22.97% @ AS Trencin 1455 2 Zilina 1662 1
10 2005-09-20 23.67% Artmedia Bratislava 1583 3 @ Spartak Trnava 1646 1
11 2005-08-06 23.98% Artmedia Bratislava 1564 2 @ Zilina 1625 1
12 2005-07-17 24.00% Spartak Trnava 1530 2 @ Artmedia Bratislava 1590 0
13 2006-05-03 24.51% Zilina 1648 2 @ Artmedia Bratislava 1704 1
14 2005-11-05 24.84% @ Dubnica 1436 3 Ruzomberok 1626 0
15 2006-05-03 25.72% @ AS Trencin 1462 1 Spartak Trnava 1644 0
16 2006-05-16 25.97% @ Inter Bratislava 1324 2 Nitra 1503 0
17 2006-04-15 26.38% @ AS Trencin 1463 1 Ruzomberok 1638 0
18 2005-07-16 27.24% Inter Bratislava 1473 2 @ Ruzomberok 1504 1
19 2005-08-06 28.80% Dukla Banska Bystrica 1525 3 @ Nitra 1542 0
20 2005-11-19 28.81% AS Trencin 1488 1 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 1506 0
21 2005-10-22 29.20% Ruzomberok 1604 1 @ Zilina 1618 0
22 2006-05-13 29.55% Ruzomberok 1650 2 @ Zilina 1662 1
23 2006-05-23 29.76% Inter Bratislava 1350 1 @ Matador Puchov 1360 0
24 2005-10-15 29.81% Dubnica 1420 3 @ Inter Bratislava 1429 0
25 2006-05-31 31.52% @ Matador Puchov 1345 1 Nitra 1478 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-10-29 42.83 Zilina 4 1605 34.13% @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 0 1581 46.49% 19.38%
2 2005-11-05 38.83 @ Dubnica 3 1436 24.84% Ruzomberok 0 1626 56.19% 18.97%
3 2005-08-06 36.18 Dukla Banska Bystrica 3 1525 28.80% @ Nitra 0 1542 52.00% 19.20%
4 2005-10-15 35.52 Dubnica 3 1420 29.81% @ Inter Bratislava 0 1429 50.95% 19.24%
5 2006-05-27 31.34 Ruzomberok 5 1686 56.02% @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 0 1498 25.00% 18.98%
6 2005-07-17 30.01 Nitra 5 1525 21.62% @ Zilina 2 1608 59.68% 18.70%
7 2005-08-20 29.26 Spartak Trnava 3 1576 40.00% @ Dubnica 0 1509 40.56% 19.44%
8 2005-07-23 29.09 Zilina 5 1578 44.32% @ Matador Puchov 1 1481 36.26% 19.41%
9 2005-09-20 27.76 Ruzomberok 3 1547 42.56% @ Inter Bratislava 0 1463 38.01% 19.43%
10 2005-07-17 27.14 Spartak Trnava 2 1530 24.00% @ Artmedia Bratislava 0 1590 57.09% 18.91%
11 2006-05-16 26.30 @ Ruzomberok 3 1662 45.02% Artmedia Bratislava 0 1697 35.58% 19.40%
12 2006-05-16 26.21 @ Inter Bratislava 2 1324 25.97% Nitra 0 1503 54.98% 19.04%
13 2006-05-27 26.16 @ AS Trencin 3 1412 17.85% Artmedia Bratislava 1 1675 63.89% 18.25%
14 2005-08-27 25.91 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 3 1553 45.66% Artmedia Bratislava 0 1583 34.95% 19.39%
15 2006-05-16 25.89 Matador Puchov 3 1334 18.45% @ AS Trencin 1 1453 63.21% 18.33%
16 2005-09-20 23.64 Artmedia Bratislava 3 1583 23.67% @ Spartak Trnava 1 1646 57.45% 18.88%
17 2006-05-13 23.13 @ Nitra 3 1480 50.22% AS Trencin 0 1476 30.51% 19.27%
18 2005-09-24 23.11 @ Ruzomberok 4 1575 43.17% Spartak Trnava 1 1623 37.40% 19.43%
19 2005-11-05 22.37 @ Matador Puchov 3 1389 51.44% Inter Bratislava 0 1376 29.34% 19.22%
20 2005-08-14 21.40 @ Ruzomberok 2 1519 36.94% Zilina 0 1611 43.64% 19.42%
21 2005-07-30 20.96 @ Ruzomberok 2 1479 37.99% Nitra 0 1563 42.57% 19.43%
22 2005-07-26 20.82 Dubnica 2 1507 38.33% @ Matador Puchov 0 1452 42.24% 19.44%
23 2005-11-09 20.48 Ruzomberok 2 1587 39.17% @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 0 1526 41.39% 19.44%
24 2005-07-23 20.15 @ Inter Bratislava 2 1486 40.01% Dukla Banska Bystrica 0 1556 40.55% 19.44%
25 2006-04-29 20.03 Zilina 4 1628 49.22% @ Dubnica 1 1495 31.48% 19.30%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-05-16 77.7 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 2 1502 29.67% Zilina 2 1649 51.09% 19.24%
2 2006-04-22 77.3 @ Nitra 2 1513 34.38% Zilina 2 1624 46.24% 19.38%
3 2005-10-01 76.3 @ Nitra 2 1506 36.97% Ruzomberok 2 1598 43.60% 19.42%
4 2005-08-14 75.8 @ Artmedia Bratislava 2 1578 58.20% Dubnica 2 1508 22.97% 18.82%
5 2005-10-16 73.0 @ Artmedia Bratislava 1 1611 48.82% Zilina 1 1617 31.86% 19.32%
6 2006-03-18 71.8 @ Inter Bratislava 2 1336 15.42% Spartak Trnava 2 1630 66.72% 17.86%
7 2006-05-23 71.7 @ Dubnica 1 1473 22.13% Ruzomberok 1 1689 59.13% 18.75%
8 2006-05-03 71.0 Zilina 2 1648 24.51% @ Artmedia Bratislava 1 1704 56.54% 18.94%
9 2006-05-27 70.9 @ Nitra 2 1479 50.16% Dubnica 2 1475 30.56% 19.27%
10 2006-04-29 70.6 @ Spartak Trnava 1 1647 68.84% Dukla Banska Bystrica 1 1464 13.66% 17.51%
11 2005-09-25 70.2 @ Artmedia Bratislava 1 1607 61.67% Nitra 1 1504 19.83% 18.51%
12 2005-11-09 70.2 @ AS Trencin 1 1487 30.44% Artmedia Bratislava 1 1628 50.29% 19.27%
13 2006-05-23 70.1 @ Nitra 1 1477 28.28% Spartak Trnava 1 1636 52.55% 19.17%
14 2005-11-05 69.7 AS Trencin 2 1471 14.02% @ Zilina 1 1648 68.40% 17.58%
15 2006-05-13 69.1 Ruzomberok 2 1650 29.55% @ Zilina 1 1662 51.22% 19.23%
16 2005-08-06 68.6 Artmedia Bratislava 2 1564 23.98% @ Zilina 1 1625 57.12% 18.90%
17 2006-05-27 67.5 @ Inter Bratislava 1 1363 15.00% Zilina 1 1663 67.21% 17.78%
18 2005-09-24 67.0 Matador Puchov 2 1390 10.69% @ Zilina 1 1624 72.58% 16.73%
19 2006-03-04 66.9 @ Zilina 0 1667 67.40% Dubnica 0 1502 14.85% 17.75%
20 2006-04-01 66.9 @ AS Trencin 2 1455 22.97% Zilina 1 1662 58.21% 18.82%
21 2006-04-08 66.4 @ Zilina 1 1636 76.29% Inter Bratislava 1 1343 8.00% 15.71%
22 2006-04-01 66.2 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 0 1471 22.57% Artmedia Bratislava 0 1682 58.65% 18.79%
23 2005-08-06 66.0 @ Dubnica 1 1511 52.66% Inter Bratislava 1 1487 28.17% 19.17%
24 2005-09-20 66.0 Artmedia Bratislava 3 1583 23.67% @ Spartak Trnava 1 1646 57.45% 18.88%
25 2005-11-26 65.9 @ Dubnica 1 1494 48.79% AS Trencin 1 1501 31.89% 19.32%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-11-05 35.1 @ Matador Puchov 3 1389 51.44% Inter Bratislava 0 1376 29.34% 19.22%
2 2005-11-30 36.2 @ Artmedia Bratislava 7 1652 77.75% Inter Bratislava 1 1333 7.02% 15.23%
3 2005-10-22 36.3 @ Spartak Trnava 3 1606 71.10% Inter Bratislava 0 1394 11.84% 17.06%
4 2006-03-18 36.3 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 2 1467 60.35% Matador Puchov 0 1377 21.02% 18.64%
5 2005-11-08 37.1 @ Spartak Trnava 4 1601 69.35% Matador Puchov 0 1412 13.24% 17.41%
6 2005-11-08 37.3 Zilina 4 1632 65.35% @ Inter Bratislava 0 1353 16.59% 18.06%
7 2006-03-25 37.7 @ Nitra 1 1505 67.54% Inter Bratislava 0 1338 14.73% 17.73%
8 2006-05-03 38.5 Dubnica 2 1475 50.08% @ Inter Bratislava 0 1335 30.64% 19.28%
9 2006-05-13 39.3 Dukla Banska Bystrica 2 1486 49.45% @ Matador Puchov 0 1351 31.26% 19.30%
10 2006-05-23 39.4 @ Zilina 5 1648 71.71% AS Trencin 0 1427 11.36% 16.93%
11 2006-04-08 39.5 Spartak Trnava 2 1628 64.90% @ Matador Puchov 0 1355 16.98% 18.12%
12 2006-05-27 39.8 @ Spartak Trnava 1 1635 75.97% Matador Puchov 0 1347 8.22% 15.81%
13 2005-07-30 40.0 @ Artmedia Bratislava 2 1554 63.59% Matador Puchov 0 1432 18.12% 18.29%
14 2005-09-09 40.2 @ Artmedia Bratislava 3 1557 60.70% AS Trencin 0 1464 20.69% 18.60%
15 2006-04-04 40.2 Ruzomberok 2 1624 63.54% @ Matador Puchov 0 1365 18.16% 18.30%
16 2006-05-31 40.2 @ Ruzomberok 3 1718 75.47% AS Trencin 0 1439 8.57% 15.96%
17 2005-09-24 40.7 @ AS Trencin 2 1471 52.91% Dubnica 0 1446 27.93% 19.16%
18 2006-05-13 40.9 @ Nitra 3 1480 50.22% AS Trencin 0 1476 30.51% 19.27%
19 2006-05-31 41.1 @ Artmedia Bratislava 1 1649 75.67% Inter Bratislava 0 1367 8.43% 15.90%
20 2006-03-22 41.4 @ Artmedia Bratislava 1 1666 76.69% Matador Puchov 0 1365 7.72% 15.58%
21 2005-11-19 41.5 @ Ruzomberok 3 1607 75.01% Inter Bratislava 1 1336 8.90% 16.09%
22 2006-03-11 41.6 @ Spartak Trnava 3 1608 64.08% AS Trencin 0 1480 17.69% 18.23%
23 2006-04-22 42.4 Ruzomberok 1 1625 65.52% @ Inter Bratislava 0 1344 16.44% 18.04%
24 2005-07-16 42.7 @ Dukla Banska Bystrica 2 1544 58.41% AS Trencin 0 1472 22.79% 18.81%
25 2006-05-03 43.3 @ Ruzomberok 3 1646 76.20% Matador Puchov 1 1355 8.06% 15.74%