2002-03 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

176 games

Final

Champion

Maribor

62 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)

6.97 points above expected

54 points · 47.03 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rudar Velenje

10.43 points below expected

25 points · 35.43 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Maribor	31	18	8	5	62	57	32	+25	55.21	+6.79
2	Celje	31	15	10	6	55	57	38	+19	50.62	+4.38
3	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	31	14	12	5	54	54	32	+22	47.03	+6.97
4	Smartno	31	12	10	9	46	46	42	+4	40.74	+5.26
5	Koper	31	12	9	10	45	41	41	0	45.92	-0.92
6	Primorje	31	13	5	13	44	47	44	+3	47.32	-3.32
7	Dravograd	31	9	9	13	36	40	43	-3	38.63	-2.63
8	Gorica	31	7	13	11	34	34	43	-9	38.12	-4.12
9	NK Mura	31	9	7	15	34	38	48	-10	38.72	-4.72
10	Ljubljana*	31	9	6	16	30	41	66	-25	31.93	-1.93
11	Rudar Velenje	31	6	7	18	25	32	51	-19	35.43	-10.43
12	Korotan*	11	2	4	5	3	7	14	-7	0.04	+2.96

* Point deductions: Korotan (-7 pts), Ljubljana (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	54	47.03	+6.97
2	Maribor	62	55.21	+6.79
3	Smartno	46	40.74	+5.26
4	Celje	55	50.62	+4.38
5	Korotan	3	0.04	+2.96

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rudar Velenje	25	35.43	-10.43
2	NK Mura	34	38.72	-4.72
3	Gorica	34	38.12	-4.12
4	Primorje	44	47.32	-3.32
5	Dravograd	36	38.63	-2.63

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celje	8	Sep 22 – Nov 17	1 in 3,009
2	Maribor	8	Mar 22 – May 18	1 in 245
3	Primorje	4	Mar 23 – Apr 23	1 in 63
4	Rudar Velenje	2	Nov 16 – Nov 22	1 in 18
5	Koper	3	Jul 13 – Jul 27	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rudar Velenje	6	Mar 2 – Apr 12	1 in 140
2	Primorje	4	Sep 14 – Oct 6	1 in 109
3	Gorica	5	Nov 3 – Mar 2	1 in 98
4	Dravograd	4	Nov 17 – Mar 2	1 in 29
5	NK Mura	3	Jul 13 – Jul 28	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	13	Aug 11 – Nov 17	1 in 256
2	Celje	15	Sep 14 – Apr 6	1 in 204
3	Smartno	6	Aug 11 – Sep 22	1 in 27
4	Gorica	7	Jul 14 – Sep 1	1 in 22
5	Maribor	11	Mar 22 – Jun 1	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	7	Apr 18 – May 28	1 in 69
2	Rudar Velenje	13	Mar 2 – May 28	1 in 50
3	Maribor	5	Aug 18 – Sep 20	1 in 30
4	Gorica	8	Oct 20 – Mar 8	1 in 21
5	Primorje	5	Sep 1 – Oct 6	1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Maribor	1535	62	+31	13	8.9	+4.1
Celje	1473	55	-25	4	7.9	-3.9
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1466	54	+9	7	7.4	-0.4
Smartno	1405	46	+7	7	6.7	+0.3
Koper	1413	45	-8	5	6.4	-1.4
Primorje	1448	44	-7	4	7.8	-3.8
Dravograd	1374	36	+1	8	5.8	+2.2
NK Mura	1374	34	+11	10	7.0	+3.0
Gorica	1377	34	+21	9	6.3	+2.7
Ljubljana	1319	33	-25	3	4.9	-1.9
Rudar Velenje	1323	25	-15	4	5.5	-1.5
Korotan	1341	10	-11	5	6.1	-1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CEL	DRA	GOR	KOP	KOR	LJU	MAR	NM	OL(	PRI	RV	SMA
Celje	—	3-0-0 5.31	1-2-0 5.21	0-3-0 4.75	0-1-0 1.90	1-1-1 5.01	1-1-1 3.22	3-0-0 5.34	0-1-2 4.66	3-0-0 4.64	1-1-1 4.89	2-0-1 4.70
Dravograd	0-0-3 2.89	—	1-2-0 4.20	0-1-2 3.18	0-0-1 1.21	2-1-0 4.57	0-1-2 2.67	2-0-1 4.38	0-2-1 3.01	1-0-2 3.05	3-0-0 4.51	0-2-1 3.78
Gorica	0-2-1 3.00	0-2-1 3.95	—	2-0-1 3.78	1-0-0 1.88	2-1-0 4.59	1-0-2 2.75	0-2-1 4.42	0-1-2 3.64	0-2-1 3.68	0-3-0 3.94	1-0-2 3.67
Koper	0-3-0 3.40	2-1-0 4.98	1-0-2 4.36	—	1-0-0 1.37	2-0-1 5.26	1-0-2 3.24	1-1-1 4.38	0-2-1 4.30	1-1-1 3.74	2-0-1 5.20	1-1-1 4.87
Korotan	0-1-0 0.84	1-0-0 1.49	0-0-1 0.86	0-0-1 1.33	—	0-1-0 1.65	0-0-1 0.68	1-0-0 1.53	0-0-1 0.83	0-0-1 1.26	0-1-0 1.57	0-1-0 0.97
Ljubljana	1-1-1 3.17	0-1-2 3.58	0-1-2 3.55	1-0-2 2.93	0-1-0 1.06	—	1-0-2 2.82	2-0-1 3.46	0-1-2 3.01	1-0-2 2.97	2-0-1 4.28	1-1-1 3.82
Maribor	1-1-1 4.93	2-1-0 5.56	2-0-1 5.49	2-0-1 4.95	1-0-0 2.09	2-0-1 5.39	—	1-2-0 5.52	1-1-1 4.46	2-1-0 4.89	3-0-0 5.14	1-2-0 4.79
NK Mura	0-0-3 2.91	1-0-2 3.75	1-2-0 3.70	1-1-1 3.74	0-0-1 1.17	1-0-2 4.68	0-2-1 2.70	—	1-0-2 3.82	2-1-0 3.65	2-1-0 4.63	0-0-3 3.78
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	2-1-0 3.49	1-2-0 5.16	2-1-0 4.47	1-2-0 3.84	1-0-0 1.91	2-1-0 5.23	1-1-1 3.66	2-0-1 4.33	—	1-0-2 4.00	1-1-1 5.22	0-3-0 4.90
Primorje	0-0-3 3.55	2-0-1 5.11	1-2-0 4.44	1-1-1 4.40	1-0-0 1.43	2-0-1 5.23	0-1-2 3.27	0-1-2 4.47	2-0-1 4.15	—	2-0-1 5.28	2-0-1 4.28
Rudar Velenje	1-1-1 3.29	0-0-3 3.64	0-3-0 4.18	1-0-2 2.98	0-1-0 1.14	1-0-2 3.84	0-0-3 3.04	0-1-2 3.52	1-1-1 3.03	1-0-2 2.92	—	1-0-2 3.96
Smartno	1-0-2 3.43	1-2-0 4.38	2-0-1 4.52	1-1-1 3.27	0-1-0 1.75	1-1-1 4.30	0-2-1 3.38	3-0-0 4.36	0-3-0 3.26	1-0-2 3.86	2-0-1 4.16	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.93	+11.2
Allowed	0.01	+1.1
Differential	0.59	+7.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.52%	7.95%	4.26%	4.55%	1.70%	0.85%	27.84%
1	7.95%	11.36%	7.95%	3.98%	1.70%	0.57%	33.52%
2	4.26%	7.95%	4.55%	0.85%	0.57%	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	3.98%	0.85%	3.41%	0.85%	—	13.64%
4	1.70%	1.70%	0.57%	0.85%	—	—	4.83%
5+	0.85%	0.57%	—	—	—	0.57%	1.99%
Total	27.84%	33.52%	18.18%	13.64%	4.83%	1.99%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.40	1.40	+0.00
SD	1.28	1.28	1.84
CV	0.91	0.91	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 176

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.90%	3.23%	—	—	—	—	16.13%
1	6.45%	3.23%	6.45%	3.23%	6.45%	—	25.81%
2	3.23%	12.90%	6.45%	—	—	—	22.58%
3	9.68%	9.68%	—	9.68%	—	—	29.03%
4	3.23%	3.23%	—	—	—	—	6.45%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	35.48%	32.26%	12.90%	12.90%	6.45%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.84	1.23	+0.61
SD	1.21	1.26	1.71
CV	0.66	1.03	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.90%	12.90%	—	6.45%	—	3.23%	35.48%
1	6.45%	9.68%	9.68%	—	—	—	25.81%
2	3.23%	6.45%	6.45%	6.45%	—	—	22.58%
3	—	3.23%	—	—	3.23%	—	6.45%
4	3.23%	6.45%	—	—	—	—	9.68%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.81%	38.71%	16.13%	12.90%	3.23%	3.23%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.39	-0.10
SD	1.30	1.28	1.81
CV	1.00	0.92	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.90%	6.45%	9.68%	3.23%	—	3.23%	35.48%
1	3.23%	22.58%	6.45%	—	3.23%	—	35.48%
2	6.45%	3.23%	3.23%	—	—	—	12.90%
3	6.45%	—	3.23%	3.23%	3.23%	—	16.13%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	29.03%	32.26%	22.58%	6.45%	6.45%	3.23%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.10	1.39	-0.29
SD	1.08	1.33	1.70
CV	0.98	0.96	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.45%	6.45%	6.45%	9.68%	—	—	29.03%
1	16.13%	9.68%	9.68%	—	—	—	35.48%
2	—	6.45%	6.45%	—	—	—	12.90%
3	9.68%	—	3.23%	6.45%	—	—	19.35%
4	—	—	—	3.23%	—	—	3.23%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	32.26%	22.58%	25.81%	19.35%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.32	+0.00
SD	1.19	1.14	1.59
CV	0.90	0.86	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	18.18%	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	54.55%
1	—	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	45.45%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.64	1.27	-0.64
SD	0.81	1.27	1.69
CV	1.27	1.00	—
Max	2	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.45%	9.68%	6.45%	3.23%	3.23%	29.03%
1	—	9.68%	6.45%	3.23%	3.23%	6.45%	29.03%
2	3.23%	12.90%	9.68%	—	3.23%	—	29.03%
3	—	6.45%	—	—	—	—	6.45%
4	—	6.45%	—	—	—	—	6.45%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.23%	41.94%	25.81%	9.68%	9.68%	9.68%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	2.13	-0.81
SD	1.17	1.48	2.21
CV	0.88	0.69	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.90%	3.23%	3.23%	6.45%	—	—	25.81%
1	9.68%	3.23%	—	—	—	—	12.90%
2	19.35%	16.13%	—	3.23%	—	—	38.71%
3	3.23%	—	—	6.45%	—	—	9.68%
4	—	—	3.23%	—	—	—	3.23%
5+	3.23%	3.23%	—	—	—	3.23%	9.68%
Total	48.39%	25.81%	6.45%	16.13%	—	3.23%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.84	1.03	+0.81
SD	1.59	1.33	1.82
CV	0.87	1.29	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.45%	9.68%	3.23%	6.45%	3.23%	—	29.03%
1	9.68%	12.90%	12.90%	9.68%	—	—	45.16%
2	3.23%	3.23%	—	—	3.23%	—	9.68%
3	3.23%	—	3.23%	3.23%	—	—	9.68%
4	—	—	3.23%	—	—	—	3.23%
5+	3.23%	—	—	—	—	—	3.23%
Total	25.81%	25.81%	22.58%	19.35%	6.45%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.55	-0.32
SD	1.26	1.26	1.87
CV	1.03	0.81	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.68%	6.45%	3.23%	—	—	—	19.35%
1	9.68%	16.13%	3.23%	3.23%	—	—	32.26%
2	—	6.45%	9.68%	—	—	—	16.13%
3	9.68%	9.68%	—	3.23%	—	—	22.58%
4	3.23%	—	—	3.23%	—	—	6.45%
5+	—	3.23%	—	—	—	—	3.23%
Total	32.26%	41.94%	16.13%	9.68%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.74	1.03	+0.71
SD	1.37	0.95	1.55
CV	0.78	0.92	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.23%	6.45%	6.45%	3.23%	—	19.35%
1	16.13%	9.68%	9.68%	12.90%	—	—	48.39%
2	6.45%	3.23%	—	—	—	—	9.68%
3	—	3.23%	—	6.45%	—	—	9.68%
4	9.68%	—	—	—	—	—	9.68%
5+	3.23%	—	—	—	—	—	3.23%
Total	35.48%	19.35%	16.13%	25.81%	3.23%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	1.42	+0.10
SD	1.36	1.31	2.26
CV	0.90	0.92	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.45%	19.35%	3.23%	—	3.23%	—	32.26%
1	—	12.90%	16.13%	12.90%	3.23%	—	45.16%
2	—	9.68%	3.23%	—	—	—	12.90%
3	3.23%	3.23%	—	—	—	—	6.45%
4	—	—	—	3.23%	—	—	3.23%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.68%	45.16%	22.58%	16.13%	6.45%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.65	-0.61
SD	1.02	1.08	1.43
CV	0.98	0.66	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.68%	6.45%	3.23%	3.23%	3.23%	—	25.81%
1	12.90%	12.90%	6.45%	—	3.23%	—	35.48%
2	—	6.45%	6.45%	—	—	—	12.90%
3	6.45%	9.68%	—	—	3.23%	—	19.35%
4	—	3.23%	—	—	—	—	3.23%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	3.23%	3.23%
Total	29.03%	38.71%	16.13%	3.23%	9.68%	3.23%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.48	1.35	+0.13
SD	1.34	1.38	1.71
CV	0.90	1.02	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 31

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Maribor	1535	62	57.88	+4.12	72.0%	39	48	53	58	63	69	73
Celje	1473	55	53.29	+1.71	59.0%	35	41	49	53	58	63	69
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1466	54	49.70	+4.30	72.0%	34	37	45	50	56	59	69
Primorje	1448	44	49.99	-5.99	23.0%	30	36	45	50	54	61	70
Koper	1413	45	48.59	-3.59	36.0%	34	38	44	49	54	59	63
Smartno	1405	46	43.41	+2.59	70.0%	28	30	39	44	48	57	62
Gorica	1377	34	40.79	-6.79	15.0%	27	30	36	41	45	51	56
Dravograd	1374	36	41.30	-5.30	24.0%	21	29	37	40	45	53	64
NK Mura	1374	34	41.39	-7.39	15.0%	26	32	36	41	45	51	56
Korotan	1341	3	29.40	-26.40	0.0%	13	18	25	30	34	40	46
Rudar Velenje	1323	25	38.10	-13.10	3.0%	24	27	33	37	42	51	59
Ljubljana	1319	30	34.60	-4.60	26.0%	17	23	29	34	39	46	49

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+21.59%

Clear Edge

46.59%28.41%25.00%

Elo Value

Home Edge

148 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

076.21400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.56 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.52+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.5

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

46%

Maribor, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.24/gm

Comfortable

00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.26 * Some Luck: 5.26 to 7.89 * Lucky: 7.89 to 10.53 * Wild Swing: 10.53 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.41 * Close: 1.41 to 2.11 * Off: 2.11 to 2.82 * Way Off: 2.82 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.64 points

Some Luck

06.5816

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.764

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

87.47%

Maribor

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

4.72%

Korotan

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 66.11

2.28

Wide Separation

11.82.052.75

Interquartile Edge

62%

Even

50%63.5%72%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

78%

Even

50%79%100%

Close Games

Expected

64%

Very Frequent

0%58%100%

Blowouts

Expected

19%

Frequent

0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.62

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Very Even

00.310.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.88

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.58

Some Carryover

00.420.630.791

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

As Expected

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Shaky Favorites

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.96

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.15

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.038

Well Within Noise

00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Maribor	46.00%	17.00%	21.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Celje	23.00%	23.00%	20.00%	13.00%	9.00%	2.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	6.00%	21.00%	11.00%	17.00%	15.00%	10.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	—	—
Smartno	4.00%	3.00%	5.00%	10.00%	14.00%	14.00%	15.00%	9.00%	5.00%	9.00%	8.00%	4.00%
Koper	7.00%	14.00%	16.00%	14.00%	16.00%	8.00%	4.00%	10.00%	8.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
Primorje	10.00%	15.00%	16.00%	19.00%	11.00%	13.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Dravograd	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	14.00%	9.00%	13.00%	8.00%	18.00%	13.00%	8.00%	5.00%
Gorica	2.00%	—	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	10.00%	15.00%	20.00%	11.00%	14.00%	8.00%	5.00%
NK Mura	—	3.00%	2.00%	6.00%	4.00%	13.00%	21.00%	16.00%	14.00%	9.00%	7.00%	5.00%
Ljubljana	—	—	—	—	2.00%	6.00%	8.00%	11.00%	14.00%	17.00%	20.00%	22.00%
Rudar Velenje	—	3.00%	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	10.00%	6.00%	7.00%	18.00%	20.00%	20.00%	7.00%
Korotan	—	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	—	6.00%	4.00%	9.00%	26.00%	51.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Celje	100%	—
Maribor	100%	—
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	100%	—
Koper	98.00%	2.00%
Primorje	98.00%	2.00%
NK Mura	88.00%	12.00%
Smartno	88.00%	12.00%
Dravograd	87.00%	13.00%
Gorica	87.00%	13.00%
Rudar Velenje	73.00%	27.00%
Ljubljana	58.00%	42.00%
Korotan	23.00%	77.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2002-07-12	Smartno	D 2-2	60.1	1389	1375	48.00%	28.29%	23.71%	+0.61	-0.5	1
2002-07-12	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 2-2	60.1	1375	1389	23.71%	28.29%	48.00%	-0.61	+0.5	1
2002-07-13	Ljubljana	W 3-0	36.0	1378	1381	45.53%	28.92%	25.54%	+0.49	+11.5	3
2002-07-13	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-3	36.0	1381	1378	25.54%	28.92%	45.53%	-0.49	-11.5	0
2002-07-13	Maribor	D 3-3	67.6	1424	1493	36.32%	30.11%	33.57%	+0.05	-0.0	1
2002-07-13	@ Celje	D 3-3	67.6	1493	1424	33.57%	30.11%	36.32%	-0.05	+0.0	1
2002-07-13	NK Mura	W 1-0	41.7	1428	1399	50.02%	27.68%	22.30%	+0.72	+3.7	3
2002-07-13	@ Koper	L 0-1	41.7	1399	1428	22.30%	27.68%	50.02%	-0.72	-3.7	0
2002-07-14	Dravograd	D 0-0	50.5	1401	1364	50.94%	27.37%	21.68%	+0.76	-1.0	1
2002-07-14	@ Gorica	D 0-0	50.5	1364	1401	21.68%	27.37%	50.94%	-0.76	+1.0	1
2002-07-14	Primorje	L 0-1	45.0	1358	1457	32.15%	30.04%	37.81%	-0.15	-5.0	0
2002-07-14	@ Korotan	W 1-0	45.0	1457	1358	37.81%	30.04%	32.15%	+0.15	+5.0	3
2002-07-19	Celje	D 1-1	54.7	1370	1424	38.49%	30.00%	31.52%	+0.15	-0.2	1
2002-07-19	@ Ljubljana	D 1-1	54.7	1424	1370	31.52%	30.00%	38.49%	-0.15	+0.2	2
2002-07-20	Koper	L 0-1	53.7	1493	1432	54.06%	26.22%	19.72%	+0.93	-7.3	1
2002-07-20	@ Maribor	W 1-0	53.7	1432	1493	19.72%	26.22%	54.06%	-0.93	+7.3	6
2002-07-21	Korotan	D 1-1	54.1	1375	1353	49.01%	28.00%	22.99%	+0.66	-0.8	2
2002-07-21	@ Smartno	D 1-1	54.1	1353	1375	22.99%	28.00%	49.01%	-0.66	+0.8	1
2002-07-21	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 0-1	48.3	1395	1389	46.88%	28.59%	24.53%	+0.56	-6.6	0
2002-07-21	@ NK Mura	W 1-0	48.3	1389	1395	24.53%	28.59%	46.88%	-0.56	+6.6	4
2002-07-21	Primorje	W 4-0	41.0	1365	1462	32.48%	30.06%	37.46%	-0.14	+20.0	4
2002-07-21	@ Dravograd	L 0-4	41.0	1462	1365	37.46%	30.06%	32.48%	+0.14	-20.0	3
2002-07-21	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	55.1	1400	1389	47.53%	28.42%	24.05%	+0.59	-0.7	2
2002-07-21	@ Gorica	D 1-1	55.1	1389	1400	24.05%	28.42%	47.53%	-0.59	+0.7	4
2002-07-26	Maribor	L 0-1	47.2	1395	1486	33.29%	30.10%	36.61%	-0.10	-5.1	4
2002-07-26	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	W 1-0	47.2	1486	1395	36.61%	30.10%	33.29%	+0.10	+5.1	4
2002-07-27	Dravograd	L 0-1	48.1	1390	1385	46.63%	28.66%	24.71%	+0.55	-6.6	4
2002-07-27	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	48.1	1385	1390	24.71%	28.66%	46.63%	-0.55	+6.6	7
2002-07-27	Ljubljana	W 2-1	44.9	1439	1370	55.20%	25.75%	19.05%	+0.99	+3.0	9
2002-07-27	@ Koper	L 1-2	44.9	1370	1439	19.05%	25.75%	55.20%	-0.99	-3.0	1
2002-07-27	Gorica	D 2-2	61.5	1424	1400	49.31%	27.90%	22.78%	+0.68	-0.6	3
2002-07-27	@ Celje	D 2-2	61.5	1400	1424	22.78%	27.90%	49.31%	-0.68	+0.6	3
2002-07-28	NK Mura	W 2-0	39.1	1354	1388	41.22%	29.71%	29.07%	+0.28	+8.8	4
2002-07-28	@ Korotan	L 0-2	39.1	1388	1354	29.07%	29.71%	41.22%	-0.28	-8.8	0
2002-07-28	Smartno	W 4-0	34.0	1442	1374	54.89%	25.88%	19.23%	+0.97	+11.5	6
2002-07-28	@ Primorje	L 0-4	34.0	1374	1442	19.23%	25.88%	54.89%	-0.97	-11.5	2
2002-08-10	Celje	W 2-1	49.3	1383	1423	40.45%	29.81%	29.74%	+0.24	+4.5	7
2002-08-10	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	49.3	1423	1383	29.74%	29.81%	40.45%	-0.24	-4.5	3
2002-08-10	Koper	W 3-0	39.5	1400	1442	40.14%	29.84%	30.02%	+0.23	+13.0	6
2002-08-10	@ Gorica	L 0-3	39.5	1442	1400	30.02%	29.84%	40.14%	-0.23	-13.0	9
2002-08-10	Korotan	W 3-0	33.2	1491	1363	62.33%	22.37%	15.30%	+1.38	+6.8	7
2002-08-10	@ Maribor	L 0-3	33.2	1363	1491	15.30%	22.37%	62.33%	-1.38	-6.8	4
2002-08-11	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 0-1	46.8	1367	1390	42.78%	29.47%	27.75%	+0.36	-6.2	1
2002-08-11	@ Ljubljana	W 1-0	46.8	1390	1367	27.75%	29.47%	42.78%	-0.36	+6.1	7
2002-08-11	Primorje	W 3-0	40.6	1380	1453	35.67%	30.13%	34.20%	+0.02	+14.3	3
2002-08-11	@ NK Mura	L 0-3	40.6	1453	1380	34.20%	30.13%	35.67%	-0.02	-14.3	6
2002-08-11	Smartno	D 0-0	50.2	1392	1363	49.93%	27.71%	22.36%	+0.71	-0.9	8
2002-08-11	@ Dravograd	D 0-0	50.2	1363	1392	22.36%	27.71%	49.93%	-0.71	+0.9	3
2002-08-17	Dravograd	W 2-1	46.6	1419	1391	49.77%	27.76%	22.47%	+0.70	+3.5	6
2002-08-17	@ Celje	L 1-2	46.6	1391	1419	22.47%	27.76%	49.77%	-0.70	-3.5	8
2002-08-17	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	41.0	1429	1388	51.58%	27.15%	21.26%	+0.80	+3.5	12
2002-08-17	@ Koper	L 0-1	41.0	1388	1429	21.26%	27.15%	51.58%	-0.80	-3.5	7
2002-08-18	Ljubljana	D 1-1	53.6	1356	1360	45.37%	28.96%	25.67%	+0.48	-0.6	5
2002-08-18	@ Korotan	D 1-1	53.6	1360	1356	25.67%	28.96%	45.37%	-0.48	+0.6	2
2002-08-18	Maribor	D 1-1	58.8	1439	1498	37.81%	30.04%	32.14%	+0.12	-0.2	7
2002-08-18	@ Primorje	D 1-1	58.8	1498	1439	32.14%	30.04%	37.81%	-0.12	+0.2	8
2002-08-18	Gorica	D 1-1	55.2	1396	1413	43.70%	29.30%	26.99%	+0.40	-0.5	8
2002-08-18	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 1-1	55.2	1413	1396	26.99%	29.30%	43.70%	-0.40	+0.5	7
2002-08-18	NK Mura	W 1-0	42.6	1364	1394	41.85%	29.62%	28.53%	+0.31	+4.6	6
2002-08-18	@ Smartno	L 0-1	42.6	1394	1364	28.53%	29.62%	41.85%	-0.31	-4.6	3
2002-08-24	Koper	D 3-3	65.9	1422	1433	44.59%	29.13%	26.28%	+0.44	-0.3	7
2002-08-24	@ Celje	D 3-3	65.9	1433	1422	26.28%	29.13%	44.59%	-0.44	+0.3	13
2002-08-24	Korotan	W 2-1	44.5	1414	1355	53.76%	26.34%	19.90%	+0.91	+3.1	10
2002-08-24	@ Gorica	L 1-2	44.5	1355	1414	19.90%	26.34%	53.76%	-0.91	-3.1	5
2002-08-24	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 1-2	53.0	1384	1396	44.43%	29.16%	26.41%	+0.44	-6.0	7
2002-08-24	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	53.0	1396	1384	26.41%	29.16%	44.43%	-0.44	+6.0	11
2002-08-25	NK Mura	W 2-1	47.1	1388	1389	45.77%	28.87%	25.36%	+0.50	+3.9	11
2002-08-25	@ Dravograd	L 1-2	47.1	1389	1388	25.36%	28.87%	45.77%	-0.50	-3.9	3
2002-08-25	Primorje	L 0-4	39.7	1361	1439	35.09%	30.13%	34.78%	-0.01	-19.1	2
2002-08-25	@ Ljubljana	W 4-0	39.7	1439	1361	34.78%	30.13%	35.09%	+0.01	+19.1	10
2002-08-25	Smartno	D 0-0	54.5	1498	1368	62.46%	22.30%	15.24%	+1.39	-1.6	9
2002-08-25	@ Maribor	D 0-0	54.5	1368	1498	15.24%	22.30%	62.46%	-1.39	+1.6	7
2002-08-30	Celje	W 1-0	43.6	1402	1422	43.22%	29.39%	27.39%	+0.38	+4.4	14
2002-08-30	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 0-1	43.6	1422	1402	27.39%	29.39%	43.22%	-0.38	-4.4	7
2002-08-31	Dravograd	W 3-2	51.4	1433	1391	51.60%	27.15%	21.25%	+0.80	+3.2	16
2002-08-31	@ Koper	L 2-3	51.4	1391	1433	21.25%	27.15%	51.60%	-0.80	-3.2	11
2002-08-31	Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	49.3	1352	1378	42.41%	29.53%	28.06%	+0.34	-0.5	6
2002-08-31	@ Korotan	D 0-0	49.3	1378	1352	28.06%	29.53%	42.41%	-0.34	+0.5	8
2002-09-01	Ljubljana	D 2-2	59.4	1370	1342	49.79%	27.75%	22.45%	+0.70	-0.6	8
2002-09-01	@ Smartno	D 2-2	59.4	1342	1370	22.45%	27.75%	49.79%	-0.70	+0.6	3
2002-09-01	Maribor	D 0-0	52.6	1385	1496	30.60%	29.91%	39.49%	-0.23	+0.3	4
2002-09-01	@ NK Mura	D 0-0	52.6	1496	1385	39.49%	29.91%	30.60%	+0.23	-0.3	10
2002-09-01	Gorica	D 1-1	57.6	1458	1417	51.50%	27.18%	21.32%	+0.79	-0.9	11
2002-09-01	@ Primorje	D 1-1	57.6	1417	1458	21.32%	27.18%	51.50%	-0.79	+0.9	11
2002-09-14	Korotan	D 0-0	51.0	1418	1352	54.73%	25.94%	19.32%	+0.96	-1.2	8
2002-09-14	@ Celje	D 0-0	51.0	1352	1418	19.32%	25.94%	54.73%	-0.96	+1.2	7
2002-09-14	NK Mura	W 3-1	44.8	1343	1386	40.02%	29.85%	30.12%	+0.22	+7.8	6
2002-09-14	@ Ljubljana	L 1-3	44.8	1386	1343	30.12%	29.85%	40.02%	-0.22	-7.8	4
2002-09-14	Primorje	W 3-1	48.5	1379	1457	35.01%	30.13%	34.86%	-0.01	+8.7	11
2002-09-14	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-3	48.5	1457	1379	34.86%	30.13%	35.01%	+0.01	-8.7	11
2002-09-14	Smartno	L 1-2	54.8	1418	1369	52.44%	26.84%	20.72%	+0.84	-6.8	11
2002-09-14	@ Gorica	W 2-1	54.8	1369	1418	20.72%	26.84%	52.44%	-0.84	+6.8	11
2002-09-15	Maribor	D 0-0	52.7	1388	1496	31.00%	29.95%	39.05%	-0.21	+0.2	12
2002-09-15	@ Dravograd	D 0-0	52.7	1496	1388	39.05%	29.95%	31.00%	+0.21	-0.3	11
2002-09-15	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 0-0	52.2	1436	1406	50.09%	27.66%	22.25%	+0.72	-0.9	17
2002-09-15	@ Koper	D 0-0	52.2	1406	1436	22.25%	27.66%	50.09%	-0.72	+0.9	15
2002-09-20	Dravograd	W 3-0	35.9	1407	1389	48.53%	28.14%	23.33%	+0.64	+10.6	18
2002-09-20	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 0-3	35.9	1389	1407	23.33%	28.14%	48.53%	-0.64	-10.6	12
2002-09-20	Ljubljana	L 0-2	49.4	1496	1350	64.30%	21.32%	14.38%	+1.50	-15.7	11
2002-09-20	@ Maribor	W 2-0	49.4	1350	1496	14.38%	21.32%	64.30%	-1.50	+15.7	9
2002-09-21	Koper	L 0-1	45.1	1353	1436	34.36%	30.13%	35.51%	-0.04	-5.2	7
2002-09-21	@ Korotan	W 1-0	45.1	1436	1353	35.51%	30.13%	34.36%	+0.04	+5.3	20
2002-09-22	Celje	L 1-3	53.1	1448	1416	50.28%	27.60%	22.12%	+0.73	-11.3	11
2002-09-22	@ Primorje	W 3-1	53.1	1416	1448	22.12%	27.60%	50.28%	-0.73	+11.3	11
2002-09-22	Gorica	W 5-0	38.0	1378	1411	41.46%	29.68%	28.87%	+0.29	+20.4	7
2002-09-22	@ NK Mura	L 0-5	38.0	1411	1378	28.87%	29.68%	41.46%	-0.29	-20.4	11
2002-09-22	Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	44.0	1376	1387	44.49%	29.15%	26.36%	+0.44	+7.0	14
2002-09-22	@ Smartno	L 1-3	44.0	1387	1376	26.36%	29.15%	44.49%	-0.44	-7.0	11
2002-09-27	Korotan	W 4-0	32.8	1418	1348	55.24%	25.73%	19.02%	+0.99	+11.3	21
2002-09-27	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 0-4	32.8	1348	1418	19.02%	25.73%	55.24%	-0.99	-11.3	7
2002-09-28	Maribor	L 0-2	43.5	1391	1480	33.45%	30.11%	36.45%	-0.09	-9.7	11
2002-09-28	@ Gorica	W 2-0	43.5	1480	1391	36.45%	30.11%	33.45%	+0.09	+9.7	14
2002-09-28	NK Mura	D 1-1	54.6	1380	1398	43.55%	29.33%	27.12%	+0.39	-0.5	12
2002-09-28	@ Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	54.6	1398	1380	27.12%	29.33%	43.55%	-0.39	+0.5	8
2002-09-28	Primorje	W 3-0	38.6	1441	1437	46.55%	28.68%	24.77%	+0.54	+11.2	23
2002-09-28	@ Koper	L 0-3	38.6	1437	1441	24.77%	28.68%	46.55%	-0.54	-11.2	11
2002-09-28	Smartno	W 3-0	35.2	1428	1383	51.97%	27.01%	21.02%	+0.82	+9.6	14
2002-09-28	@ Celje	L 0-3	35.2	1383	1428	21.02%	27.01%	51.97%	-0.82	-9.6	14
2002-09-29	Ljubljana	W 1-0	40.6	1378	1366	47.63%	28.39%	23.97%	+0.60	+4.0	15
2002-09-29	@ Dravograd	L 0-1	40.6	1366	1378	23.97%	28.39%	47.63%	-0.60	-4.0	9
2002-10-05	Dravograd	W 2-1	47.9	1336	1382	39.66%	29.89%	30.45%	+0.21	+4.5	10
2002-10-05	@ Korotan	L 1-2	47.9	1382	1336	30.45%	29.89%	39.66%	-0.21	-4.5	15
2002-10-06	Celje	L 1-2	53.3	1399	1437	40.66%	29.78%	29.56%	+0.25	-5.6	8
2002-10-06	@ NK Mura	W 2-1	53.3	1437	1399	29.56%	29.78%	40.66%	-0.25	+5.6	17
2002-10-06	Koper	D 1-1	55.4	1374	1452	35.00%	30.13%	34.87%	-0.01	+0.0	15
2002-10-06	@ Smartno	D 1-1	55.4	1452	1374	34.87%	30.13%	35.00%	+0.01	+0.0	24
2002-10-06	Gorica	L 0-2	43.3	1362	1381	43.45%	29.35%	27.20%	+0.39	-11.7	9
2002-10-06	@ Ljubljana	W 2-0	43.3	1381	1362	27.20%	29.35%	43.45%	-0.39	+11.7	14
2002-10-06	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 1-3	51.8	1426	1429	45.57%	28.91%	25.52%	+0.49	-10.5	11
2002-10-06	@ Primorje	W 3-1	51.8	1429	1426	25.52%	28.91%	45.57%	-0.49	+10.5	24
2002-10-06	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	39.8	1490	1380	60.12%	23.49%	16.39%	+1.26	+2.7	17
2002-10-06	@ Maribor	L 0-1	39.8	1380	1490	16.39%	23.49%	60.12%	-1.26	-2.7	12
2002-10-18	Celje	L 0-3	48.3	1492	1443	52.56%	26.80%	20.64%	+0.85	-19.7	17
2002-10-18	@ Maribor	W 3-0	48.3	1443	1492	20.64%	26.80%	52.56%	-0.85	+19.7	20
2002-10-20	Koper	D 1-1	55.9	1393	1452	37.81%	30.04%	32.15%	+0.12	-0.2	9
2002-10-20	@ NK Mura	D 1-1	55.9	1452	1393	32.15%	30.04%	37.81%	-0.12	+0.2	25
2002-10-20	Gorica	D 0-0	50.0	1377	1393	43.94%	29.26%	26.80%	+0.41	-0.6	16
2002-10-20	@ Dravograd	D 0-0	50.0	1393	1377	26.80%	29.26%	43.94%	-0.41	+0.6	15
2002-10-20	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 0-0	50.7	1374	1440	36.77%	30.10%	33.13%	+0.07	-0.1	16
2002-10-20	@ Smartno	D 0-0	50.7	1440	1374	33.13%	30.10%	36.77%	-0.07	+0.1	25
2002-10-20	Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	44.1	1350	1377	42.33%	29.54%	28.13%	+0.33	+7.4	12
2002-10-20	@ Ljubljana	L 1-3	44.1	1377	1350	28.13%	29.54%	42.33%	-0.33	-7.4	12
2002-10-26	Maribor	L 1-2	56.7	1452	1473	43.21%	29.40%	27.40%	+0.38	-5.8	25
2002-10-26	@ Koper	W 2-1	56.7	1473	1452	27.40%	29.40%	43.21%	-0.38	+5.8	20
2002-10-26	Gorica	D 1-1	54.2	1370	1393	42.80%	29.47%	27.73%	+0.36	-0.4	13
2002-10-26	@ Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	54.2	1393	1370	27.73%	29.47%	42.80%	-0.36	+0.4	16
2002-10-27	Dravograd	W 1-0	40.5	1415	1377	51.15%	27.30%	21.55%	+0.77	+3.6	14
2002-10-27	@ Primorje	L 0-1	40.5	1377	1415	21.55%	27.30%	51.15%	-0.77	-3.6	16
2002-10-27	Ljubljana	W 3-1	40.7	1463	1358	59.54%	23.78%	16.68%	+1.22	+4.5	23
2002-10-27	@ Celje	L 1-3	40.7	1358	1463	16.68%	23.78%	59.54%	-1.22	-4.5	12
2002-10-27	NK Mura	W 3-1	43.2	1440	1393	52.23%	26.92%	20.85%	+0.83	+5.7	28
2002-10-27	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 1-3	43.2	1393	1440	20.85%	26.92%	52.23%	-0.83	-5.7	9
2002-11-02	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 0-3	47.5	1478	1445	50.45%	27.54%	22.01%	+0.74	-19.1	20
2002-11-02	@ Maribor	W 3-0	47.5	1445	1478	22.01%	27.54%	50.45%	-0.74	+19.1	31
2002-11-03	Celje	L 0-2	43.9	1394	1467	35.67%	30.13%	34.20%	+0.02	-10.2	16
2002-11-03	@ Gorica	W 2-0	43.9	1467	1394	34.20%	30.13%	35.67%	-0.02	+10.2	26
2002-11-03	Koper	W 2-1	51.4	1353	1446	32.94%	30.09%	36.97%	-0.11	+5.2	15
2002-11-03	@ Ljubljana	L 1-2	51.4	1446	1353	36.97%	30.09%	32.94%	+0.11	-5.2	25
2002-11-03	Primorje	W 1-0	43.9	1374	1419	39.72%	29.89%	30.39%	+0.21	+4.8	19
2002-11-03	@ Smartno	L 0-1	43.9	1419	1374	30.39%	29.89%	39.72%	-0.21	-4.8	14
2002-11-03	Rudar Velenje	W 2-0	37.5	1373	1369	46.55%	28.68%	24.77%	+0.54	+7.7	19
2002-11-03	@ Dravograd	L 0-2	37.5	1369	1373	24.77%	28.68%	46.55%	-0.54	-7.7	13
2002-11-08	Ljubljana	D 2-2	62.8	1464	1359	59.66%	23.72%	16.62%	+1.23	-1.0	32
2002-11-08	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 2-2	62.8	1359	1464	16.62%	23.72%	59.66%	-1.23	+1.0	16
2002-11-10	Dravograd	D 1-1	54.3	1378	1381	45.67%	28.89%	25.44%	+0.50	-0.6	20
2002-11-10	@ Smartno	D 1-1	54.3	1381	1378	25.44%	28.89%	45.67%	-0.50	+0.6	20
2002-11-10	Gorica	W 3-0	35.0	1441	1383	53.65%	26.38%	19.97%	+0.90	+9.1	28
2002-11-10	@ Koper	L 0-3	35.0	1383	1441	19.97%	26.38%	53.65%	-0.90	-9.1	16
2002-11-10	NK Mura	D 3-3	64.9	1414	1387	49.60%	27.82%	22.58%	+0.69	-0.5	15
2002-11-10	@ Primorje	D 3-3	64.9	1387	1414	22.58%	27.82%	49.60%	-0.69	+0.5	10
2002-11-10	Rudar Velenje	W 4-1	38.2	1477	1362	60.84%	23.13%	16.03%	+1.30	+6.0	29
2002-11-10	@ Celje	L 1-4	38.2	1362	1477	16.03%	23.13%	60.84%	-1.30	-6.0	13
2002-11-16	Koper	W 2-1	51.6	1356	1450	32.72%	30.08%	37.20%	-0.12	+5.2	16
2002-11-16	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	51.6	1450	1356	37.20%	30.08%	32.72%	+0.12	-5.2	28
2002-11-17	Celje	L 0-1	46.2	1382	1483	31.73%	30.01%	38.25%	-0.17	-5.0	20
2002-11-17	@ Dravograd	W 1-0	46.2	1483	1382	38.25%	30.01%	31.73%	+0.17	+5.0	32
2002-11-17	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 3-4	59.1	1374	1463	33.46%	30.11%	36.43%	-0.09	-4.5	16
2002-11-17	@ Gorica	W 4-3	59.1	1463	1374	36.43%	30.11%	33.46%	+0.09	+4.5	35
2002-11-17	Primorje	W 2-0	38.9	1459	1413	52.13%	26.96%	20.92%	+0.83	+6.6	23
2002-11-17	@ Maribor	L 0-2	38.9	1413	1459	20.92%	26.96%	52.13%	-0.83	-6.6	15
2002-11-17	Smartno	L 0-3	42.6	1388	1378	47.40%	28.46%	24.14%	+0.58	-18.2	10
2002-11-17	@ NK Mura	W 3-0	42.6	1378	1388	24.14%	28.46%	47.40%	-0.58	+18.2	23
2002-11-22	Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	57.0	1468	1361	59.80%	23.65%	16.55%	+1.24	-7.5	35
2002-11-22	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	W 2-1	57.0	1361	1468	16.55%	23.65%	59.80%	-1.24	+7.5	19
2002-11-24	Celje	D 0-0	54.4	1445	1488	39.98%	29.86%	30.16%	+0.22	-0.3	29
2002-11-24	@ Koper	D 0-0	54.4	1488	1445	30.16%	29.86%	39.98%	-0.22	+0.3	33
2002-11-24	Dravograd	W 3-2	51.7	1370	1377	45.08%	29.02%	25.89%	+0.47	+3.8	13
2002-11-24	@ NK Mura	L 2-3	51.7	1377	1370	25.89%	29.02%	45.08%	-0.47	-3.8	20
2002-11-24	Ljubljana	W 5-0	34.3	1407	1360	52.32%	26.89%	20.79%	+0.84	+15.3	18
2002-11-24	@ Primorje	L 0-5	34.3	1360	1407	20.79%	26.89%	52.32%	-0.84	-15.3	16
2002-11-24	Maribor	D 5-5	68.3	1396	1466	36.20%	30.11%	33.69%	+0.04	-0.0	24
2002-11-24	@ Smartno	D 5-5	68.3	1466	1396	33.69%	30.11%	36.20%	-0.04	+0.0	24
2002-11-30	Koper	L 3-4	59.3	1373	1445	35.93%	30.12%	33.95%	+0.03	-4.7	20
2002-11-30	@ Dravograd	W 4-3	59.3	1445	1373	33.95%	30.12%	35.93%	-0.03	+4.7	32
2002-11-30	NK Mura	D 0-0	53.1	1466	1373	58.02%	24.50%	17.48%	+1.14	-1.4	25
2002-11-30	@ Maribor	D 0-0	53.1	1373	1466	17.48%	24.50%	58.02%	-1.14	+1.4	14
2002-11-30	Primorje	L 0-1	46.5	1370	1422	38.71%	29.98%	31.31%	+0.16	-5.7	16
2002-11-30	@ Gorica	W 1-0	46.5	1422	1370	31.31%	29.98%	38.71%	-0.16	+5.7	21
2002-11-30	Smartno	W 4-1	42.7	1344	1396	38.82%	29.97%	31.21%	+0.17	+11.3	19
2002-11-30	@ Ljubljana	L 1-4	42.7	1396	1344	31.21%	29.97%	38.82%	-0.17	-11.3	24
2002-12-01	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 0-0	55.6	1489	1460	49.81%	27.75%	22.44%	+0.71	-0.9	34
2002-12-01	@ Celje	D 0-0	55.6	1460	1489	22.44%	27.75%	49.81%	-0.71	+0.9	36
2003-03-01	Koper	W 3-0	39.3	1461	1449	47.66%	28.39%	23.95%	+0.60	+10.8	39
2003-03-01	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 0-3	39.3	1449	1461	23.95%	28.39%	47.66%	-0.60	-10.8	32
2003-03-02	Dravograd	W 2-1	44.5	1465	1368	58.51%	24.27%	17.22%	+1.17	+2.7	28
2003-03-02	@ Maribor	L 1-2	44.5	1368	1465	17.22%	24.27%	58.51%	-1.17	-2.7	20
2003-03-02	Ljubljana	L 1-2	53.0	1375	1356	48.63%	28.11%	23.26%	+0.65	-6.4	14
2003-03-02	@ NK Mura	W 2-1	53.0	1356	1375	23.26%	28.11%	48.63%	-0.65	+6.4	22
2003-03-02	Gorica	W 1-0	40.4	1385	1364	48.79%	28.06%	23.15%	+0.65	+3.8	27
2003-03-02	@ Smartno	L 0-1	40.4	1364	1385	23.15%	28.06%	48.79%	-0.65	-3.8	16
2003-03-02	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	39.8	1428	1368	53.89%	26.28%	19.82%	+0.92	+3.3	24
2003-03-02	@ Primorje	L 0-1	39.8	1368	1428	19.82%	26.28%	53.89%	-0.92	-3.3	19
2003-03-08	NK Mura	D 1-1	53.8	1360	1368	44.90%	29.06%	26.04%	+0.46	-0.5	17
2003-03-08	@ Gorica	D 1-1	53.8	1368	1360	26.04%	29.06%	44.90%	-0.46	+0.5	15
2003-03-09	Maribor	L 0-2	41.7	1362	1467	31.29%	29.98%	38.73%	-0.20	-9.3	22
2003-03-09	@ Ljubljana	W 2-0	41.7	1467	1362	38.73%	29.98%	31.29%	+0.20	+9.3	31
2003-03-09	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 1-1	55.7	1365	1472	31.08%	29.96%	38.96%	-0.21	+0.2	21
2003-03-09	@ Dravograd	D 1-1	55.7	1472	1365	38.96%	29.96%	31.08%	+0.21	-0.2	40
2003-03-09	Primorje	W 3-1	45.5	1488	1431	53.51%	26.44%	20.06%	+0.90	+5.5	37
2003-03-09	@ Celje	L 1-3	45.5	1431	1488	20.06%	26.44%	53.51%	-0.90	-5.5	24
2003-03-09	Smartno	L 1-3	48.9	1365	1388	42.80%	29.47%	27.73%	+0.36	-10.0	19
2003-03-09	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	48.9	1388	1365	27.73%	29.47%	42.80%	-0.36	+10.1	30
2003-03-16	Celje	L 1-2	52.6	1398	1493	32.69%	30.08%	37.23%	-0.13	-4.8	30
2003-03-16	@ Smartno	W 2-1	52.6	1493	1398	37.23%	30.08%	32.69%	+0.13	+4.8	40
2003-03-16	Dravograd	L 1-4	46.0	1353	1366	44.26%	29.20%	26.55%	+0.43	-14.6	22
2003-03-16	@ Ljubljana	W 4-1	46.0	1366	1353	26.55%	29.20%	44.26%	-0.43	+14.6	24
2003-03-16	Koper	D 1-1	56.7	1426	1439	44.27%	29.19%	26.53%	+0.43	-0.5	25
2003-03-16	@ Primorje	D 1-1	56.7	1439	1426	26.53%	29.19%	44.27%	-0.43	+0.5	33
2003-03-16	Gorica	L 2-3	62.4	1476	1360	60.97%	23.07%	15.97%	+1.30	-7.2	31
2003-03-16	@ Maribor	W 3-2	62.4	1360	1476	15.97%	23.07%	60.97%	-1.30	+7.2	20
2003-03-16	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	40.2	1369	1355	47.92%	28.31%	23.76%	+0.61	+3.9	18
2003-03-16	@ NK Mura	L 0-1	40.2	1355	1369	23.76%	28.31%	47.92%	-0.61	-3.9	19
2003-03-22	Ljubljana	D 1-1	53.8	1367	1338	49.88%	27.73%	22.39%	+0.71	-0.8	21
2003-03-22	@ Gorica	D 1-1	53.8	1338	1367	22.39%	27.73%	49.88%	-0.71	+0.8	23
2003-03-22	Maribor	L 1-2	49.6	1351	1469	29.64%	29.79%	40.57%	-0.28	-4.4	19
2003-03-22	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	49.6	1469	1351	40.57%	29.79%	29.64%	+0.28	+4.5	34
2003-03-23	NK Mura	W 4-0	33.4	1498	1373	61.95%	22.56%	15.48%	+1.36	+9.0	43
2003-03-23	@ Celje	L 0-4	33.4	1373	1498	15.48%	22.56%	61.95%	-1.36	-9.0	18
2003-03-23	Primorje	L 1-3	54.5	1472	1425	52.25%	26.91%	20.84%	+0.83	-11.7	40
2003-03-23	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	W 3-1	54.5	1425	1472	20.84%	26.91%	52.25%	-0.83	+11.7	28
2003-03-23	Smartno	L 0-1	50.5	1439	1394	52.06%	26.98%	20.96%	+0.82	-7.1	33
2003-03-23	@ Koper	W 1-0	50.5	1394	1439	20.96%	26.98%	52.06%	-0.82	+7.1	33
2003-04-04	Ljubljana	W 5-1	35.6	1460	1339	61.52%	22.79%	15.69%	+1.34	+7.6	43
2003-04-04	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 1-5	35.6	1339	1460	15.69%	22.79%	61.52%	-1.34	-7.6	23
2003-04-06	Dravograd	W 1-0	39.7	1507	1380	62.16%	22.46%	15.38%	+1.37	+2.5	46
2003-04-06	@ Celje	L 0-1	39.7	1380	1507	15.38%	22.46%	62.16%	-1.37	-2.5	24
2003-04-06	Gorica	W 2-0	35.6	1474	1366	59.88%	23.61%	16.51%	+1.24	+5.1	37
2003-04-06	@ Maribor	L 0-2	35.6	1366	1474	16.51%	23.61%	59.88%	-1.24	-5.1	21
2003-04-06	NK Mura	W 3-1	42.1	1401	1364	50.95%	27.37%	21.68%	+0.76	+5.9	36
2003-04-06	@ Smartno	L 1-3	42.1	1364	1401	21.68%	27.37%	50.95%	-0.76	-5.9	18
2003-04-06	Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	43.7	1432	1347	57.13%	24.91%	17.96%	+1.09	+2.8	36
2003-04-06	@ Koper	L 1-2	43.7	1347	1432	17.96%	24.91%	57.13%	-1.09	-2.8	19
2003-04-12	Maribor	L 1-2	49.0	1344	1479	27.63%	29.44%	42.93%	-0.40	-4.2	19
2003-04-12	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	49.0	1479	1344	42.93%	29.44%	27.63%	+0.40	+4.2	40
2003-04-13	Celje	W 4-1	49.6	1331	1509	23.13%	28.06%	48.81%	-0.69	+15.7	26
2003-04-13	@ Ljubljana	L 1-4	49.6	1509	1331	48.81%	28.06%	23.13%	+0.69	-15.7	46
2003-04-13	Dravograd	W 1-0	40.2	1437	1378	53.85%	26.30%	19.85%	+0.92	+3.3	31
2003-04-13	@ Primorje	L 0-1	40.2	1378	1437	19.85%	26.30%	53.85%	-0.92	-3.3	24
2003-04-13	Koper	W 2-0	41.9	1358	1435	35.24%	30.13%	34.63%	+0.00	+10.0	21
2003-04-13	@ NK Mura	L 0-2	41.9	1435	1358	34.63%	30.13%	35.24%	+0.00	-10.0	36
2003-04-13	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 1-2	50.3	1361	1468	31.06%	29.96%	38.98%	-0.21	-4.6	21
2003-04-13	@ Gorica	W 2-1	50.3	1468	1361	38.98%	29.96%	31.06%	+0.21	+4.6	46
2003-04-18	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	57.5	1473	1340	62.88%	22.08%	15.04%	+1.41	-1.5	47
2003-04-18	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 1-1	57.5	1340	1473	15.04%	22.08%	62.88%	-1.41	+1.5	20
2003-04-19	Ljubljana	D 2-2	59.5	1374	1347	49.70%	27.78%	22.52%	+0.70	-0.6	25
2003-04-19	@ Dravograd	D 2-2	59.5	1347	1374	22.52%	27.78%	49.70%	-0.70	+0.6	27
2003-04-19	Gorica	D 0-0	54.2	1494	1356	63.41%	21.80%	14.79%	+1.44	-1.7	47
2003-04-19	@ Celje	D 0-0	54.2	1356	1494	14.79%	21.80%	63.41%	-1.44	+1.7	22
2003-04-19	NK Mura	W 4-2	45.1	1483	1368	60.76%	23.17%	16.07%	+1.29	+3.8	43
2003-04-19	@ Maribor	L 2-4	45.1	1368	1483	16.07%	23.17%	60.76%	-1.29	-3.8	21
2003-04-19	Primorje	L 1-2	53.8	1407	1440	41.38%	29.69%	28.93%	+0.29	-5.7	36
2003-04-19	@ Smartno	W 2-1	53.8	1440	1407	28.93%	29.69%	41.38%	-0.29	+5.7	34
2003-04-23	Celje	D 2-2	61.4	1341	1492	25.85%	29.01%	45.14%	-0.51	+0.4	21
2003-04-23	@ Rudar Velenje	D 2-2	61.4	1492	1341	45.14%	29.01%	25.85%	+0.51	-0.4	48
2003-04-23	Dravograd	W 3-0	35.1	1401	1374	49.69%	27.79%	22.52%	+0.70	+10.2	39
2003-04-23	@ Smartno	L 0-3	35.1	1374	1401	22.52%	27.79%	49.69%	-0.70	-10.2	25
2003-04-23	Koper	W 2-0	39.8	1446	1425	48.88%	28.04%	23.09%	+0.66	+7.2	37
2003-04-23	@ Primorje	L 0-2	39.8	1425	1446	23.09%	28.04%	48.88%	-0.66	-7.2	36
2003-04-23	Ljubljana	W 2-0	36.7	1358	1348	47.43%	28.45%	24.12%	+0.59	+7.5	25
2003-04-23	@ Gorica	L 0-2	36.7	1348	1358	24.12%	28.45%	47.43%	-0.59	-7.5	27
2003-04-23	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	W 1-0	47.6	1364	1471	31.08%	29.96%	38.96%	-0.21	+5.8	24
2003-04-23	@ NK Mura	L 0-1	47.6	1471	1364	38.96%	29.96%	31.08%	+0.21	-5.8	47
2003-04-26	Gorica	W 4-1	40.4	1364	1366	45.75%	28.87%	25.38%	+0.50	+9.6	28
2003-04-26	@ Dravograd	L 1-4	40.4	1366	1364	25.38%	28.87%	45.75%	-0.50	-9.6	25
2003-04-26	NK Mura	W 3-0	33.6	1492	1370	61.56%	22.77%	15.68%	+1.34	+7.0	51
2003-04-26	@ Celje	L 0-3	33.6	1370	1492	15.68%	22.77%	61.56%	-1.34	-7.0	24
2003-04-26	Primorje	W 2-0	41.6	1487	1453	50.55%	27.51%	21.94%	+0.74	+6.9	46
2003-04-26	@ Maribor	L 0-2	41.6	1453	1487	21.94%	27.51%	50.55%	-0.74	-6.9	37
2003-04-26	Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	45.6	1340	1342	45.84%	28.85%	25.31%	+0.51	+3.9	30
2003-04-26	@ Ljubljana	L 1-2	45.6	1342	1340	25.31%	28.85%	45.84%	-0.51	-3.9	21
2003-04-26	Smartno	W 1-0	42.7	1418	1411	46.87%	28.60%	24.53%	+0.56	+4.0	39
2003-04-26	@ Koper	L 0-1	42.7	1411	1418	24.53%	28.60%	46.87%	-0.56	-4.0	39
2003-05-03	Gorica	D 0-0	48.8	1338	1356	43.50%	29.34%	27.16%	+0.39	-0.5	22
2003-05-03	@ Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	48.8	1356	1338	27.16%	29.34%	43.50%	-0.39	+0.5	26
2003-05-04	Dravograd	D 2-2	61.2	1422	1373	52.46%	26.83%	20.70%	+0.84	-0.7	40
2003-05-04	@ Koper	D 2-2	61.2	1373	1422	20.70%	26.83%	52.46%	-0.84	+0.7	29
2003-05-04	Ljubljana	W 4-2	45.8	1363	1344	48.58%	28.13%	23.30%	+0.64	+5.6	27
2003-05-04	@ NK Mura	L 2-4	45.8	1344	1363	23.30%	28.13%	48.58%	-0.64	-5.6	30
2003-05-04	Maribor	L 0-2	44.6	1407	1494	33.83%	30.12%	36.05%	-0.07	-9.8	39
2003-05-04	@ Smartno	W 2-0	44.6	1494	1407	36.05%	30.12%	33.83%	+0.07	+9.8	49
2003-05-04	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	W 2-0	42.7	1446	1465	43.40%	29.36%	27.24%	+0.39	+8.3	40
2003-05-04	@ Primorje	L 0-2	42.7	1465	1446	27.24%	29.36%	43.40%	-0.39	-8.3	47
2003-05-09	Smartno	D 1-1	57.3	1457	1397	53.89%	26.28%	19.82%	+0.92	-1.0	48
2003-05-09	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 1-1	57.3	1397	1457	19.82%	26.28%	53.89%	-0.92	+1.0	40
2003-05-10	Primorje	W 2-1	50.3	1499	1455	51.90%	27.04%	21.06%	+0.81	+3.3	54
2003-05-10	@ Celje	L 1-2	50.3	1455	1499	21.06%	27.04%	51.90%	-0.81	-3.3	40
2003-05-11	Koper	W 1-0	42.6	1504	1421	56.81%	25.05%	18.14%	+1.07	+3.0	52
2003-05-11	@ Maribor	L 0-1	42.6	1421	1504	18.14%	25.05%	56.81%	-1.07	-3.0	40
2003-05-11	NK Mura	D 1-1	53.7	1356	1369	44.36%	29.18%	26.47%	+0.43	-0.5	27
2003-05-11	@ Gorica	D 1-1	53.7	1369	1356	26.47%	29.18%	44.36%	-0.43	+0.5	28
2003-05-11	Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	41.2	1374	1337	50.94%	27.38%	21.68%	+0.76	+5.9	32
2003-05-11	@ Dravograd	L 1-3	41.2	1337	1374	21.68%	27.38%	50.94%	-0.76	-5.9	22
2003-05-18	Celje	W 4-1	48.8	1398	1502	31.52%	30.00%	38.48%	-0.18	+13.2	43
2003-05-18	@ Smartno	L 1-4	48.8	1502	1398	38.48%	30.00%	31.52%	+0.18	-13.2	54
2003-05-18	Dravograd	W 5-0	34.4	1507	1380	62.16%	22.46%	15.38%	+1.37	+11.0	55
2003-05-18	@ Maribor	L 0-5	34.4	1380	1507	15.38%	22.46%	62.16%	-1.37	-11.0	32
2003-05-18	Ljubljana	L 1-2	56.2	1451	1338	60.49%	23.31%	16.20%	+1.28	-7.5	40
2003-05-18	@ Primorje	W 2-1	56.2	1338	1451	16.20%	23.31%	60.49%	-1.28	+7.5	33
2003-05-18	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 2-2	62.3	1418	1456	40.73%	29.77%	29.50%	+0.26	-0.2	41
2003-05-18	@ Koper	D 2-2	62.3	1456	1418	29.50%	29.77%	40.73%	-0.26	+0.2	49
2003-05-18	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	39.0	1369	1331	51.10%	27.32%	21.58%	+0.77	+3.6	31
2003-05-18	@ NK Mura	L 0-1	39.0	1331	1369	21.58%	27.32%	51.10%	-0.77	-3.6	22
2003-05-24	Primorje	D 3-3	64.2	1356	1444	33.66%	30.11%	36.23%	-0.08	+0.0	28
2003-05-24	@ Gorica	D 3-3	64.2	1444	1356	36.23%	30.11%	33.66%	+0.08	-0.0	41
2003-05-25	Koper	D 3-3	68.5	1489	1418	55.37%	25.68%	18.95%	+1.00	-0.7	55
2003-05-25	@ Celje	D 3-3	68.5	1418	1489	18.95%	25.68%	55.37%	-1.00	+0.7	42
2003-05-25	Maribor	D 3-3	69.6	1456	1518	37.43%	30.07%	32.50%	+0.10	-0.1	50
2003-05-25	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 3-3	69.6	1518	1456	32.50%	30.07%	37.43%	-0.10	+0.1	56
2003-05-25	NK Mura	W 2-1	46.5	1369	1373	45.48%	28.93%	25.59%	+0.49	+4.0	35
2003-05-25	@ Dravograd	L 1-2	46.5	1373	1369	25.59%	28.93%	45.48%	-0.49	-4.0	31
2003-05-25	Smartno	L 1-2	50.5	1346	1412	36.81%	30.09%	33.10%	+0.07	-5.2	33
2003-05-25	@ Ljubljana	W 2-1	50.5	1412	1346	33.10%	30.09%	36.81%	-0.07	+5.2	46
2003-05-28	Celje	W 2-1	52.9	1518	1488	49.99%	27.69%	22.32%	+0.71	+3.5	59
2003-05-28	@ Maribor	L 1-2	52.9	1488	1518	22.32%	27.69%	49.99%	-0.71	-3.5	55
2003-05-28	Dravograd	D 1-1	57.0	1456	1373	56.90%	25.01%	18.09%	+1.08	-1.2	51
2003-05-28	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 1-1	57.0	1373	1456	18.09%	25.01%	56.90%	-1.08	+1.2	36
2003-05-28	Ljubljana	W 3-0	32.8	1418	1341	56.17%	25.34%	18.50%	+1.04	+8.4	45
2003-05-28	@ Koper	L 0-3	32.8	1341	1418	18.50%	25.34%	56.17%	-1.04	-8.4	33
2003-05-28	Gorica	L 0-1	49.5	1417	1356	54.06%	26.22%	19.72%	+0.93	-7.3	46
2003-05-28	@ Smartno	W 1-0	49.5	1356	1417	19.72%	26.22%	54.06%	-0.93	+7.3	31
2003-05-28	Rudar Velenje	W 4-0	31.3	1444	1328	60.89%	23.11%	16.01%	+1.30	+9.3	44
2003-05-28	@ Primorje	L 0-4	31.3	1328	1444	16.01%	23.11%	60.89%	-1.30	-9.3	22
2003-05-31	Koper	W 3-0	39.2	1363	1427	37.14%	30.08%	32.78%	+0.09	+13.9	34
2003-05-31	@ Gorica	L 0-3	39.2	1427	1363	32.78%	30.08%	37.14%	-0.09	-13.9	45
2003-06-01	Maribor	L 1-6	39.8	1332	1521	22.16%	27.61%	50.23%	-0.76	-13.5	33
2003-06-01	@ Ljubljana	W 6-1	39.8	1521	1332	50.23%	27.61%	22.16%	+0.76	+13.5	62
2003-06-01	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 1-3	55.5	1485	1455	50.01%	27.68%	22.30%	+0.72	-11.3	55
2003-06-01	@ Celje	W 3-1	55.5	1455	1485	22.30%	27.68%	50.01%	-0.72	+11.3	54
2003-06-01	Primorje	W 2-1	51.6	1369	1453	34.15%	30.12%	35.72%	-0.05	+5.1	34
2003-06-01	@ NK Mura	L 1-2	51.6	1453	1369	35.72%	30.12%	34.15%	+0.05	-5.1	44
2003-06-01	Smartno	W 4-3	57.8	1318	1410	33.17%	30.10%	36.73%	-0.10	+4.8	25
2003-06-01	@ Rudar Velenje	L 3-4	57.8	1410	1318	36.73%	30.10%	33.17%	+0.10	-4.8	46

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2002-09-20	14.38%	Ljubljana	1350	2	@ Maribor	1496	0
2	2003-03-16	15.97%	Gorica	1360	3	@ Maribor	1476	2
3	2003-05-18	16.20%	Ljubljana	1338	2	@ Primorje	1451	1
4	2002-11-22	16.55%	Rudar Velenje	1361	2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1468	1
5	2002-07-20	19.72%	Koper	1432	1	@ Maribor	1493	0
6	2003-05-28	19.72%	Gorica	1356	1	@ Smartno	1417	0
7	2002-10-18	20.64%	Celje	1443	3	@ Maribor	1492	0
8	2002-09-14	20.72%	Smartno	1369	2	@ Gorica	1418	1
9	2003-03-23	20.84%	Primorje	1425	3	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1472	1
10	2003-03-23	20.96%	Smartno	1394	1	@ Koper	1439	0
11	2002-11-02	22.01%	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1445	3	@ Maribor	1478	0
12	2002-09-22	22.12%	Celje	1416	3	@ Primorje	1448	1
13	2003-06-01	22.30%	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1455	3	@ Celje	1485	1
14	2003-04-13	23.13%	@ Ljubljana	1331	4	Celje	1509	1
15	2003-03-02	23.26%	Ljubljana	1356	2	@ NK Mura	1375	1
16	2002-11-17	24.14%	Smartno	1378	3	@ NK Mura	1388	0
17	2002-07-21	24.53%	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1389	1	@ NK Mura	1395	0
18	2002-07-27	24.71%	Dravograd	1385	1	@ Rudar Velenje	1390	0
19	2002-10-06	25.52%	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1429	3	@ Primorje	1426	1
20	2002-08-24	26.41%	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1396	2	@ Rudar Velenje	1384	1
21	2003-03-16	26.55%	Dravograd	1366	4	@ Ljubljana	1353	1
22	2002-10-06	27.20%	Gorica	1381	2	@ Ljubljana	1362	0
23	2002-10-26	27.40%	Maribor	1473	2	@ Koper	1452	1
24	2003-03-09	27.73%	Smartno	1388	3	@ Rudar Velenje	1365	1
25	2002-08-11	27.75%	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1390	1	@ Ljubljana	1367	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2002-09-22	20.37	@ NK Mura	5	1378	41.46%	Gorica	0	1411	28.87%	29.68%
2	2002-07-21	19.98	@ Dravograd	4	1365	32.48%	Primorje	0	1462	37.46%	30.06%
3	2002-10-18	19.68	Celje	3	1443	20.64%	@ Maribor	0	1492	52.56%	26.80%
4	2002-11-02	19.08	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	3	1445	22.01%	@ Maribor	0	1478	50.45%	27.54%
5	2002-08-25	19.08	Primorje	4	1439	34.78%	@ Ljubljana	0	1361	35.09%	30.13%
6	2002-11-17	18.20	Smartno	3	1378	24.14%	@ NK Mura	0	1388	47.40%	28.46%
7	2002-09-20	15.71	Ljubljana	2	1350	14.38%	@ Maribor	0	1496	64.30%	21.32%
8	2003-04-13	15.70	@ Ljubljana	4	1331	23.13%	Celje	1	1509	48.81%	28.06%
9	2002-11-24	15.29	@ Primorje	5	1407	52.32%	Ljubljana	0	1360	20.79%	26.89%
10	2003-03-16	14.57	Dravograd	4	1366	26.55%	@ Ljubljana	1	1353	44.26%	29.20%
11	2002-08-11	14.34	@ NK Mura	3	1380	35.67%	Primorje	0	1453	34.20%	30.13%
12	2003-05-31	13.92	@ Gorica	3	1363	37.14%	Koper	0	1427	32.78%	30.08%
13	2003-06-01	13.46	Maribor	6	1521	50.23%	@ Ljubljana	1	1332	22.16%	27.61%
14	2003-05-18	13.15	@ Smartno	4	1398	31.52%	Celje	1	1502	38.48%	30.00%
15	2002-08-10	13.04	@ Gorica	3	1400	40.14%	Koper	0	1442	30.02%	29.84%
16	2002-10-06	11.74	Gorica	2	1381	27.20%	@ Ljubljana	0	1362	43.45%	29.35%
17	2003-03-23	11.68	Primorje	3	1425	20.84%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1	1472	52.25%	26.91%
18	2002-07-13	11.46	@ Rudar Velenje	3	1378	45.53%	Ljubljana	0	1381	25.54%	28.92%
19	2002-07-28	11.46	@ Primorje	4	1442	54.89%	Smartno	0	1374	19.23%	25.88%
20	2002-09-22	11.35	Celje	3	1416	22.12%	@ Primorje	1	1448	50.28%	27.60%
21	2002-09-27	11.33	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	4	1418	55.24%	Korotan	0	1348	19.02%	25.73%
22	2002-11-30	11.32	@ Ljubljana	4	1344	38.82%	Smartno	1	1396	31.21%	29.97%
23	2003-06-01	11.31	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	3	1455	22.30%	@ Celje	1	1485	50.01%	27.68%
24	2002-09-28	11.16	@ Koper	3	1441	46.55%	Primorje	0	1437	24.77%	28.68%
25	2003-05-18	10.99	@ Maribor	5	1507	62.16%	Dravograd	0	1380	15.38%	22.46%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-05-25	69.6	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	3	1456	37.43%	Maribor	3	1518	32.50%	30.07%
2	2003-05-25	68.5	@ Celje	3	1489	55.37%	Koper	3	1418	18.95%	25.68%
3	2002-11-24	68.3	@ Smartno	5	1396	36.20%	Maribor	5	1466	33.69%	30.11%
4	2002-07-13	67.6	@ Celje	3	1424	36.32%	Maribor	3	1493	33.57%	30.11%
5	2002-08-24	65.9	@ Celje	3	1422	44.59%	Koper	3	1433	26.28%	29.13%
6	2002-11-10	64.9	@ Primorje	3	1414	49.60%	NK Mura	3	1387	22.58%	27.82%
7	2003-05-24	64.2	@ Gorica	3	1356	33.66%	Primorje	3	1444	36.23%	30.11%
8	2002-11-08	62.8	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	2	1464	59.66%	Ljubljana	2	1359	16.62%	23.72%
9	2003-03-16	62.4	Gorica	3	1360	15.97%	@ Maribor	2	1476	60.97%	23.07%
10	2003-05-18	62.3	@ Koper	2	1418	40.73%	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	2	1456	29.50%	29.77%
11	2002-07-27	61.5	@ Celje	2	1424	49.31%	Gorica	2	1400	22.78%	27.90%
12	2003-04-23	61.4	@ Rudar Velenje	2	1341	25.85%	Celje	2	1492	45.14%	29.01%
13	2003-05-04	61.2	@ Koper	2	1422	52.46%	Dravograd	2	1373	20.70%	26.83%
14	2002-07-12	60.1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	2	1389	48.00%	Smartno	2	1375	23.71%	28.29%
15	2003-04-19	59.5	@ Dravograd	2	1374	49.70%	Ljubljana	2	1347	22.52%	27.78%
16	2002-09-01	59.4	@ Smartno	2	1370	49.79%	Ljubljana	2	1342	22.45%	27.75%
17	2002-11-30	59.3	Koper	4	1445	33.95%	@ Dravograd	3	1373	35.93%	30.12%
18	2002-11-17	59.1	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	4	1463	36.43%	@ Gorica	3	1374	33.46%	30.11%
19	2002-08-18	58.8	@ Primorje	1	1439	37.81%	Maribor	1	1498	32.14%	30.04%
20	2003-06-01	57.8	@ Rudar Velenje	4	1318	33.17%	Smartno	3	1410	36.73%	30.10%
21	2002-09-01	57.6	@ Primorje	1	1458	51.50%	Gorica	1	1417	21.32%	27.18%
22	2003-04-18	57.5	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1	1473	62.88%	Rudar Velenje	1	1340	15.04%	22.08%
23	2003-05-09	57.3	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1	1457	53.89%	Smartno	1	1397	19.82%	26.28%
24	2002-11-22	57.0	Rudar Velenje	2	1361	16.55%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1	1468	59.80%	23.65%
25	2003-05-28	57.0	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1	1456	56.90%	Dravograd	1	1373	18.09%	25.01%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-05-28	31.3	@ Primorje	4	1444	60.89%	Rudar Velenje	0	1328	16.01%	23.11%
2	2002-09-27	32.8	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	4	1418	55.24%	Korotan	0	1348	19.02%	25.73%
3	2003-05-28	32.8	@ Koper	3	1418	56.17%	Ljubljana	0	1341	18.50%	25.34%
4	2002-08-10	33.2	@ Maribor	3	1491	62.33%	Korotan	0	1363	15.30%	22.37%
5	2003-03-23	33.4	@ Celje	4	1498	61.95%	NK Mura	0	1373	15.48%	22.56%
6	2003-04-26	33.6	@ Celje	3	1492	61.56%	NK Mura	0	1370	15.68%	22.77%
7	2002-07-28	34.0	@ Primorje	4	1442	54.89%	Smartno	0	1374	19.23%	25.88%
8	2002-11-24	34.3	@ Primorje	5	1407	52.32%	Ljubljana	0	1360	20.79%	26.89%
9	2003-05-18	34.4	@ Maribor	5	1507	62.16%	Dravograd	0	1380	15.38%	22.46%
10	2002-11-10	35.0	@ Koper	3	1441	53.65%	Gorica	0	1383	19.97%	26.38%
11	2003-04-23	35.1	@ Smartno	3	1401	49.69%	Dravograd	0	1374	22.52%	27.79%
12	2002-09-28	35.2	@ Celje	3	1428	51.97%	Smartno	0	1383	21.02%	27.01%
13	2003-04-04	35.6	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	5	1460	61.52%	Ljubljana	1	1339	15.69%	22.79%
14	2003-04-06	35.6	@ Maribor	2	1474	59.88%	Gorica	0	1366	16.51%	23.61%
15	2002-09-20	35.9	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	3	1407	48.53%	Dravograd	0	1389	23.33%	28.14%
16	2002-07-13	36.0	@ Rudar Velenje	3	1378	45.53%	Ljubljana	0	1381	25.54%	28.92%
17	2003-04-23	36.7	@ Gorica	2	1358	47.43%	Ljubljana	0	1348	24.12%	28.45%
18	2002-11-03	37.5	@ Dravograd	2	1373	46.55%	Rudar Velenje	0	1369	24.77%	28.68%
19	2002-09-22	38.0	@ NK Mura	5	1378	41.46%	Gorica	0	1411	28.87%	29.68%
20	2002-11-10	38.2	@ Celje	4	1477	60.84%	Rudar Velenje	1	1362	16.03%	23.13%
21	2002-09-28	38.6	@ Koper	3	1441	46.55%	Primorje	0	1437	24.77%	28.68%
22	2002-11-17	38.9	@ Maribor	2	1459	52.13%	Primorje	0	1413	20.92%	26.96%
23	2003-05-18	39.0	@ NK Mura	1	1369	51.10%	Rudar Velenje	0	1331	21.58%	27.32%
24	2002-07-28	39.1	@ Korotan	2	1354	41.22%	NK Mura	0	1388	29.07%	29.71%
25	2003-05-31	39.2	@ Gorica	3	1363	37.14%	Koper	0	1427	32.78%	30.08%