2003-04 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

192 games

Final

Champion

Gorica

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gorica

7.75 points above expected

42 points · 34.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Drava Ptuj

11.59 points below expected

15 points · 26.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Gorica	22	12	6	4	42	46	21	+25	34.25	+7.75
2	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	22	12	5	5	41	42	27	+15	34.94	+6.06
3	Maribor	22	12	5	5	41	29	23	+6	36.05	+4.95
4	Primorje	22	10	8	4	38	49	25	+24	35.34	+2.66
5	Anet Koper	22	10	7	5	37	28	17	+11	33.17	+3.83
6	NK Mura	22	10	4	8	34	41	41	0	28.47	+5.53
7	Celje	22	8	4	10	28	43	36	+7	33.55	-5.55
8	Smartno	22	6	8	8	26	27	35	-8	30.48	-4.48
9	Domzale	22	7	3	12	24	26	42	-16	24.27	-0.27
10	Ljubljana	22	5	4	13	19	22	44	-22	21.20	-2.20
11	Dravograd	22	5	4	13	19	24	47	-23	24.66	-5.66
12	Drava Ptuj	22	3	6	13	15	23	42	-19	26.59	-11.59

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Ljubljana	10	7	2	1	23	16	9	+7	30.73	-7.73
2	Domzale	10	4	5	1	17	21	11	+10	36.88	-19.88
3	NK Mura	10	4	3	3	15	12	13	-1	45.01	-30.01
4	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	10	4	2	4	14	13	12	+1	55.14	-41.14
5	Gorica	10	3	5	2	14	9	8	+1	56.60	-42.60
6	Smartno	10	4	2	4	14	16	13	+3	40.76	-26.76
7	Maribor	10	3	4	3	13	12	11	+1	55.09	-42.09
8	Anet Koper	10	3	4	3	13	13	14	-1	50.09	-37.09
9	Drava Ptuj	10	4	1	5	13	11	18	-7	28.22	-15.22
10	Celje	10	3	2	5	11	18	16	+2	46.08	-35.08
11	Primorje	10	2	4	4	10	10	11	-1	53.29	-43.29
12	Dravograd	10	2	0	8	6	11	26	-15	30.74	-24.74

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Gorica	42	34.25	+7.75
2	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	41	34.94	+6.06
3	NK Mura	34	28.47	+5.53
4	Maribor	41	36.05	+4.95
5	Anet Koper	37	33.17	+3.83

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Drava Ptuj	15	26.59	-11.59
2	Dravograd	19	24.66	-5.66
3	Celje	28	33.55	-5.55
4	Smartno	26	30.48	-4.48
5	Ljubljana	19	21.20	-2.20

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ljubljana	4	Nov 23 – Mar 21	1 in 589
2	Gorica	5	Aug 8 – Sep 13	1 in 86
3	Maribor	3	Jul 26 – Aug 10	1 in 14
4	NK Mura	3	Sep 14 – Sep 28	1 in 13
5	Anet Koper	2	Aug 10 – Aug 13	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Drava Ptuj	6	Nov 5 – Mar 21	1 in 76
2	Domzale	4	Aug 13 – Aug 31	1 in 25
3	Maribor	2	Nov 9 – Nov 23	1 in 24
4	Ljubljana	4	Jul 22 – Aug 8	1 in 18
5	Smartno	3	Nov 29 – Mar 21	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ljubljana	6	Nov 5 – Mar 21	1 in 121
2	Anet Koper	7	Aug 10 – Sep 21	1 in 23
3	Gorica	7	Jul 26 – Sep 13	1 in 19
4	NK Mura	6	Sep 14 – Oct 26	1 in 18
5	Maribor	7	Sep 21 – Nov 5	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Drava Ptuj	10	Aug 10 – Oct 26	1 in 62
2	Primorje	5	Nov 2 – Nov 29	1 in 30
3	Ljubljana	11	Aug 24 – Nov 9	1 in 24
4	Celje	4	Mar 14 – Apr 4	1 in 23
5	Smartno	6	Sep 14 – Oct 26	1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Gorica	1513	56	-7	5	7.1	-2.1
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1505	55	+6	7	6.5	+0.5
Maribor	1500	54	+2	6	6.8	-0.8
Anet Koper	1473	50	+5	7	6.8	+0.2
NK Mura	1440	49	+11	10	5.9	+4.1
Primorje	1508	48	-17	5	7.9	-2.9
Ljubljana	1367	42	+7	10	7.4	+2.6
Domzale	1390	41	+12	8	7.2	+0.8
Smartno	1385	40	-5	7	7.0	+0.0
Celje	1435	39	-21	4	8.4	-4.4
Drava Ptuj	1318	28	+11	7	5.9	+1.1
Dravograd	1260	25	-5	6	5.3	+0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AK	CEL	DOM	DP	DRA	GOR	LJU	MAR	NM	OL(	PRI	SMA
Anet Koper	—	1-1-0 2.64	2-0-0 3.32	1-1-0 3.39	2-0-0 3.23	1-1-0 2.55	2-0-0 3.50	0-0-2 2.53	1-1-0 3.20	0-1-1 2.70	0-0-2 2.49	0-2-0 3.15
Celje	0-1-1 2.84	—	1-1-0 3.54	2-0-0 3.14	0-0-2 3.69	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-1 3.87	0-0-2 2.73	1-0-1 3.09	0-1-1 2.69	0-1-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.98
Domzale	0-0-2 2.18	0-1-1 1.97	—	2-0-0 2.34	2-0-0 2.65	0-0-2 1.82	0-1-1 3.10	0-0-2 1.75	0-0-2 2.21	1-0-1 1.75	0-1-1 1.79	2-0-0 2.30
Drava Ptuj	0-1-1 2.12	0-0-2 2.33	0-0-2 3.15	—	2-0-0 2.87	0-0-2 2.07	1-1-0 3.19	0-1-1 2.19	0-0-2 2.74	0-0-2 2.12	0-1-1 1.73	0-2-0 2.46
Dravograd	0-0-2 2.29	2-0-0 1.84	0-0-2 2.84	0-0-2 2.60	—	0-1-1 1.63	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 1.65	0-1-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.15	0-2-0 1.71	0-0-2 2.37
Gorica	0-1-1 2.92	0-0-2 2.68	2-0-0 3.69	2-0-0 3.44	1-1-0 3.90	—	1-1-0 3.75	1-0-1 2.80	1-1-0 2.86	2-0-0 2.49	1-1-0 2.50	1-1-0 2.81
Ljubljana	0-0-2 1.99	1-0-1 1.65	1-1-0 2.39	0-1-1 2.28	1-0-1 2.49	0-1-1 1.75	—	1-0-1 1.56	1-0-1 2.12	0-1-1 1.60	0-0-2 1.91	0-0-2 1.97
Maribor	2-0-0 2.95	2-0-0 2.74	2-0-0 3.76	1-1-0 3.28	1-0-1 3.87	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 3.97	—	1-1-0 3.20	0-1-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.58	0-1-1 3.26
NK Mura	0-1-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.38	2-0-0 3.28	2-0-0 2.75	1-1-0 2.95	0-1-1 2.62	1-0-1 3.39	0-1-1 2.29	—	0-0-2 2.29	1-0-1 1.98	2-0-0 2.48
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1-1-0 2.78	1-1-0 2.79	1-0-1 3.77	2-0-0 3.36	1-0-1 3.35	0-0-2 3.00	1-1-0 3.94	1-1-0 2.55	2-0-0 3.20	—	1-0-1 2.50	1-1-0 3.21
Primorje	2-0-0 2.99	1-1-0 2.95	1-1-0 3.71	1-1-0 3.79	0-2-0 3.80	0-1-1 2.98	2-0-0 3.65	0-1-1 2.89	1-0-1 3.53	1-0-1 2.98	—	1-1-0 3.15
Smartno	0-2-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.50	0-0-2 3.20	0-2-0 3.02	2-0-0 3.14	0-1-1 2.66	2-0-0 3.51	1-1-0 2.23	0-0-2 2.98	0-1-1 2.29	0-1-1 2.32	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.50	+6.8
Allowed	0.74	-8.2
Differential	0.83	+5.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	6.77%	2.86%	4.43%	1.30%	1.04%	25.78%
1	6.77%	9.90%	8.59%	4.43%	2.08%	1.56%	33.33%
2	2.86%	8.59%	5.73%	2.60%	0.78%	0.26%	20.83%
3	4.43%	4.43%	2.60%	0.52%	0.52%	—	12.50%
4	1.30%	2.08%	0.78%	0.52%	—	—	4.69%
5+	1.04%	1.56%	0.26%	—	—	—	2.86%
Total	25.78%	33.33%	20.83%	12.50%	4.69%	2.86%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.46	1.46	+0.00
SD	1.31	1.31	1.96
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	28.12%
1	15.62%	15.62%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	37.50%
2	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	3.12%	18.75%
3	9.38%	—	—	—	—	—	9.38%
4	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.75%	31.25%	15.62%	6.25%	—	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	0.97	+0.31
SD	1.17	1.18	1.69
CV	0.91	1.22	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
1	—	3.12%	18.75%	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
2	—	6.25%	9.38%	9.38%	3.12%	—	28.12%
3	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
Total	12.50%	34.38%	34.38%	15.62%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	1.62	+0.28
SD	1.51	1.01	2.00
CV	0.79	0.62	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	12.50%	—	9.38%	—	3.12%	31.25%
1	—	12.50%	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	28.12%
2	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
3	3.12%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	40.62%	15.62%	15.62%	3.12%	6.25%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.66	-0.19
SD	1.46	1.47	2.38
CV	0.99	0.89	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	9.38%	3.12%	15.62%	—	3.12%	43.75%
1	3.12%	9.38%	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	25.00%
2	3.12%	—	—	6.25%	3.12%	—	12.50%
3	—	12.50%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	18.75%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	31.25%	9.38%	28.12%	9.38%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.88	-0.81
SD	1.16	1.43	1.82
CV	1.09	0.76	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.38%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	25.00%
1	3.12%	6.25%	9.38%	15.62%	9.38%	6.25%	50.00%
2	—	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	—	15.62%
3	—	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	9.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.12%	31.25%	25.00%	21.88%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	2.28	-1.19
SD	0.89	1.30	1.75
CV	0.82	0.57	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	21.88%
1	9.38%	15.62%	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	34.38%
2	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
3	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
4	—	—	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
Total	40.62%	34.38%	21.88%	—	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.72	0.91	+0.81
SD	1.59	0.96	1.91
CV	0.93	1.06	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	6.25%	—	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	28.12%
1	6.25%	9.38%	3.12%	12.50%	3.12%	—	34.38%
2	—	21.88%	—	6.25%	—	—	28.12%
3	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.88%	40.62%	3.12%	21.88%	9.38%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.66	-0.47
SD	0.97	1.45	1.97
CV	0.81	0.88	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	18.75%
1	21.88%	9.38%	15.62%	—	—	3.12%	50.00%
2	—	15.62%	3.12%	—	—	—	18.75%
3	3.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	37.50%	34.38%	21.88%	3.12%	—	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.06	+0.22
SD	0.99	1.24	1.48
CV	0.77	1.17	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	9.38%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
1	9.38%	6.25%	9.38%	—	3.12%	3.12%	31.25%
2	—	9.38%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	21.88%
3	3.12%	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	21.88%
4	3.12%	—	—	3.12%	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	34.38%	25.00%	9.38%	9.38%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.66	1.69	-0.03
SD	1.21	1.42	1.96
CV	0.73	0.84	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	21.88%
1	9.38%	6.25%	9.38%	—	—	3.12%	28.12%
2	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	28.12%
3	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
4	6.25%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	12.50%
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	31.25%	37.50%	18.75%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.72	1.22	+0.50
SD	1.49	1.24	2.00
CV	0.86	1.02	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.62%	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
1	3.12%	9.38%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
3	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	12.50%
4	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
5+	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	40.62%	15.62%	37.50%	3.12%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.84	1.12	+0.72
SD	1.65	1.10	1.90
CV	0.89	0.98	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	6.25%	—	3.12%	28.12%
1	—	15.62%	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
2	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	21.88%
3	3.12%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	15.62%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.88%	34.38%	21.88%	18.75%	—	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.50	-0.16
SD	1.15	1.22	1.78
CV	0.86	0.81	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Gorica	1513	42	34.25	+7.75	95.0%	21	25	30	35	39	42	48
Primorje	1508	38	35.34	+2.66	63.0%	17	25	31	36	40	45	47
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1505	41	34.94	+6.06	85.0%	21	24	32	35	38	45	51
Maribor	1500	41	36.05	+4.95	83.0%	25	27	32	36	39	45	48
Anet Koper	1473	37	33.17	+3.83	75.0%	21	23	29	33	37	42	45
NK Mura	1440	34	28.47	+5.53	84.0%	14	18	23	29	32	38	43
Celje	1435	28	33.55	-5.55	19.0%	18	22	29	33	38	45	58
Domzale	1390	24	24.27	-0.27	56.0%	10	15	21	24	27	33	38
Smartno	1385	26	30.48	-4.48	26.0%	17	21	26	30	34	41	45
Ljubljana	1367	19	21.20	-2.20	41.0%	8	10	17	21	25	31	33
Drava Ptuj	1318	15	26.59	-11.59	1.0%	15	16	22	27	31	36	40
Dravograd	1260	19	24.66	-5.66	20.0%	7	13	20	25	29	34	41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+22.40%

Clear Edge

48.44%25.52%26.04%

Elo Value

Home Edge

159 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

079.15400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.49 goals

Neutral

-2+0.50+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.

Title-Race Openness

6.5

Wide Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

15%

Gorica, 4th of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.05/gm

Photo Finish

00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.73 * Some Luck: 4.73 to 7.1 * Lucky: 7.1 to 9.47 * Wild Swing: 9.47 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.83 * Close: 1.83 to 2.75 * Off: 2.75 to 3.67 * Way Off: 3.67 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.74 points

Some Luck

05.9215

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.83

Pinpoint

02.295

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

95.00%

Gorica

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.00%

Drava Ptuj

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Top-Heavy

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 81.14

1.58

Coin-Flip Parity

11.82.052.75

Interquartile Edge

71%

Clear Edge

50%63.5%72%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

77%

Even

50%83%100%

Close Games

Expected

62%

Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

21%

Very Frequent

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.62

Hard to Predict

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.32

Slight Separation

00.310.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.98

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.46

Some Carryover

00.420.630.791

Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Very Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Very Shaky

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

1.00

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.78

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.058

Well Within Noise

00.1190.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Gorica	15.00%	17.00%	10.00%	12.00%	11.00%	11.00%	8.00%	10.00%	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	16.00%	15.00%	15.00%	16.00%	13.00%	9.00%	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—
Maribor	18.00%	16.00%	16.00%	12.00%	13.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	—	—	—
Primorje	23.00%	17.00%	9.00%	12.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—
Anet Koper	8.00%	12.00%	16.00%	14.00%	11.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	1.00%	5.00%	1.00%
NK Mura	4.00%	2.00%	6.00%	4.00%	8.00%	13.00%	14.00%	12.00%	9.00%	13.00%	9.00%	6.00%
Celje	8.00%	12.00%	20.00%	6.00%	9.00%	13.00%	10.00%	7.00%	8.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Smartno	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	15.00%	10.00%	9.00%	15.00%	11.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Domzale	—	—	—	7.00%	2.00%	5.00%	8.00%	8.00%	14.00%	16.00%	20.00%	20.00%
Ljubljana	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	3.00%	9.00%	11.00%	28.00%	36.00%
Dravograd	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	11.00%	13.00%	10.00%	19.00%	10.00%	24.00%
Drava Ptuj	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	11.00%	3.00%	12.00%	15.00%	11.00%	14.00%	16.00%	10.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff final	Lost relegation playoff
Maribor	100%	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	100%	—	—
Primorje	99.00%	1.00%	—
Anet Koper	96.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Celje	96.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Gorica	99.00%	—	1.00%
Smartno	90.00%	7.00%	3.00%
NK Mura	87.00%	8.00%	5.00%
Drava Ptuj	84.00%	8.00%	8.00%
Domzale	63.00%	21.00%	16.00%
Dravograd	55.00%	18.00%	27.00%
Ljubljana	31.00%	31.00%	38.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff final	Lost relegation playoff
Anet Koper	100%	—	—
Gorica	100%	—	—
Maribor	100%	—	—
NK Mura	100%	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	100%	—	—
Primorje	100%	—	—
Celje	99.83%	0.14%	0.03%
Smartno	97.95%	1.69%	0.36%
Domzale	89.70%	8.09%	2.21%
Ljubljana	46.85%	29.91%	23.24%
Dravograd	43.47%	32.26%	24.27%
Drava Ptuj	22.20%	27.91%	49.89%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2003-07-20	Domzale	L 0-2	47.7	1439	1377	55.14%	24.56%	20.30%	+0.89	-18.2	0
2003-07-20	@ Drava Ptuj	W 2-0	47.7	1377	1439	20.30%	24.56%	55.14%	-0.89	+18.2	3
2003-07-20	Dravograd	W 3-1	45.0	1409	1410	47.27%	26.26%	26.47%	+0.49	+8.9	3
2003-07-20	@ NK Mura	L 1-3	45.0	1410	1409	26.47%	26.26%	47.27%	-0.49	-8.9	0
2003-07-20	Maribor	W 6-1	44.5	1449	1478	43.52%	26.73%	29.75%	+0.31	+21.9	3
2003-07-20	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 1-6	44.5	1478	1449	29.75%	26.73%	43.52%	-0.31	-21.8	0
2003-07-20	Gorica	W 2-1	47.2	1451	1410	52.62%	25.21%	22.16%	+0.75	+4.4	3
2003-07-20	@ Celje	L 1-2	47.2	1410	1451	22.16%	25.21%	52.62%	-0.75	-4.4	0
2003-07-20	Smartno	W 3-2	53.0	1440	1421	49.78%	25.83%	24.39%	+0.61	+4.5	3
2003-07-20	@ Primorje	L 2-3	53.0	1421	1440	24.39%	25.83%	49.78%	-0.61	-4.5	0
2003-07-22	Ljubljana	W 1-0	40.9	1425	1385	52.49%	25.24%	22.26%	+0.75	+4.7	3
2003-07-22	@ Anet Koper	L 0-1	40.9	1385	1425	22.26%	25.24%	52.49%	-0.75	-4.7	0
2003-07-26	Drava Ptuj	W 4-1	42.7	1456	1421	51.98%	25.36%	22.66%	+0.72	+11.0	3
2003-07-26	@ Maribor	L 1-4	42.7	1421	1456	22.66%	25.36%	51.98%	-0.72	-11.0	0
2003-07-26	Smartno	W 3-1	45.5	1406	1417	45.98%	26.45%	27.57%	+0.43	+9.2	3
2003-07-26	@ Gorica	L 1-3	45.5	1417	1406	27.57%	26.45%	45.98%	-0.43	-9.2	0
2003-07-27	NK Mura	W 3-2	52.7	1456	1418	52.23%	25.30%	22.46%	+0.73	+4.2	6
2003-07-27	@ Celje	L 2-3	52.7	1418	1456	22.46%	25.30%	52.23%	-0.73	-4.2	3
2003-07-27	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	W 1-0	47.0	1401	1471	37.82%	27.05%	35.13%	+0.06	+6.8	3
2003-07-27	@ Dravograd	L 0-1	47.0	1471	1401	35.13%	27.05%	37.82%	-0.06	-6.8	3
2003-07-27	Primorje	L 0-4	40.8	1380	1444	38.60%	27.04%	34.37%	+0.09	-26.1	0
2003-07-27	@ Ljubljana	W 4-0	40.8	1444	1380	34.37%	27.04%	38.60%	-0.09	+26.1	6
2003-08-02	Celje	D 2-2	64.5	1464	1460	47.99%	26.15%	25.87%	+0.52	-0.6	4
2003-08-02	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 2-2	64.5	1460	1464	25.87%	26.15%	47.99%	-0.52	+0.6	7
2003-08-02	Maribor	L 0-1	49.9	1429	1467	42.25%	26.84%	30.91%	+0.26	-7.8	3
2003-08-02	@ Anet Koper	W 1-0	49.9	1467	1429	30.91%	26.84%	42.25%	-0.26	+7.8	6
2003-08-03	Domzale	W 6-0	36.2	1470	1395	56.67%	24.10%	19.22%	+0.97	+21.4	9
2003-08-03	@ Primorje	L 0-6	36.2	1395	1470	19.22%	24.10%	56.67%	-0.97	-21.4	3
2003-08-03	Dravograd	W 3-1	44.8	1410	1408	47.63%	26.21%	26.17%	+0.51	+8.8	3
2003-08-03	@ Drava Ptuj	L 1-3	44.8	1408	1410	26.17%	26.21%	47.63%	-0.51	-8.8	3
2003-08-03	Ljubljana	W 3-1	41.7	1408	1354	54.19%	24.82%	20.99%	+0.84	+7.2	3
2003-08-03	@ Smartno	L 1-3	41.7	1354	1408	20.99%	24.82%	54.19%	-0.84	-7.2	0
2003-08-03	Gorica	D 2-2	61.6	1414	1415	47.23%	26.27%	26.50%	+0.49	-0.6	4
2003-08-03	@ NK Mura	D 2-2	61.6	1415	1414	26.50%	26.27%	47.23%	-0.49	+0.6	4
2003-08-08	Ljubljana	W 5-0	33.2	1416	1347	56.02%	24.30%	19.68%	+0.93	+18.4	7
2003-08-08	@ Gorica	L 0-5	33.2	1347	1416	19.68%	24.30%	56.02%	-0.93	-18.4	0
2003-08-09	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 0-4	42.8	1413	1464	40.55%	26.95%	32.50%	+0.18	-27.1	4
2003-08-09	@ NK Mura	W 4-0	42.8	1464	1413	32.50%	26.95%	40.55%	-0.18	+27.1	7
2003-08-09	Smartno	W 2-1	48.6	1374	1415	41.89%	26.87%	31.24%	+0.24	+5.9	6
2003-08-09	@ Domzale	L 1-2	48.6	1415	1374	31.24%	26.87%	41.89%	-0.24	-5.9	3
2003-08-10	Drava Ptuj	W 3-1	45.0	1461	1419	52.77%	25.18%	22.06%	+0.76	+7.6	10
2003-08-10	@ Celje	L 1-3	45.0	1419	1461	22.06%	25.18%	52.77%	-0.76	-7.6	3
2003-08-10	Anet Koper	L 0-1	48.3	1399	1421	44.48%	26.63%	28.89%	+0.36	-8.1	3
2003-08-10	@ Dravograd	W 1-0	48.3	1421	1399	28.89%	26.63%	44.48%	-0.36	+8.1	6
2003-08-10	Primorje	W 2-1	53.0	1475	1492	45.24%	26.54%	28.22%	+0.39	+5.4	9
2003-08-10	@ Maribor	L 1-2	53.0	1492	1475	28.22%	26.54%	45.24%	-0.39	-5.4	9
2003-08-13	Anet Koper	L 0-3	41.8	1380	1430	40.68%	26.95%	32.37%	+0.19	-20.8	6
2003-08-13	@ Domzale	W 3-0	41.8	1430	1380	32.37%	26.95%	40.68%	-0.19	+20.8	9
2003-08-17	Celje	D 0-0	54.8	1450	1468	45.03%	26.57%	28.40%	+0.38	-0.7	10
2003-08-17	@ Anet Koper	D 0-0	54.8	1468	1450	28.40%	26.57%	45.03%	-0.38	+0.7	11
2003-08-17	Domzale	W 3-0	36.4	1328	1359	43.26%	26.75%	29.98%	+0.30	+16.5	3
2003-08-17	@ Ljubljana	L 0-3	36.4	1359	1328	29.98%	26.75%	43.26%	-0.30	-16.5	6
2003-08-17	Dravograd	D 2-2	63.8	1486	1391	58.97%	23.36%	17.67%	+1.09	-1.2	10
2003-08-17	@ Primorje	D 2-2	63.8	1391	1486	17.67%	23.36%	58.97%	-1.09	+1.2	4
2003-08-17	Maribor	D 0-0	53.7	1409	1481	37.55%	27.06%	35.39%	+0.05	-0.1	4
2003-08-17	@ Smartno	D 0-0	53.7	1481	1409	35.39%	27.06%	37.55%	-0.05	+0.1	10
2003-08-17	Gorica	L 0-3	48.6	1491	1434	54.51%	24.73%	20.76%	+0.85	-26.2	7
2003-08-17	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	W 3-0	48.6	1434	1491	20.76%	24.73%	54.51%	-0.85	+26.2	10
2003-08-17	NK Mura	L 2-3	59.2	1411	1386	50.62%	25.66%	23.72%	+0.65	-8.1	3
2003-08-17	@ Drava Ptuj	W 3-2	59.2	1386	1411	23.72%	25.66%	50.62%	-0.65	+8.1	7
2003-08-22	Drava Ptuj	W 1-0	41.7	1465	1403	55.12%	24.56%	20.32%	+0.88	+4.3	10
2003-08-22	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 0-1	41.7	1403	1465	20.32%	24.56%	55.12%	-0.88	-4.3	3
2003-08-23	Domzale	W 3-0	32.9	1461	1343	61.48%	22.44%	16.08%	+1.24	+9.3	13
2003-08-23	@ Gorica	L 0-3	32.9	1343	1461	16.08%	22.44%	61.48%	-1.24	-9.3	6
2003-08-24	Anet Koper	L 0-1	47.6	1394	1450	39.86%	26.99%	33.15%	+0.15	-7.5	7
2003-08-24	@ NK Mura	W 1-0	47.6	1450	1394	33.15%	26.99%	39.86%	-0.15	+7.5	13
2003-08-24	Ljubljana	W 2-1	43.0	1481	1345	63.41%	21.67%	14.92%	+1.35	+3.0	13
2003-08-24	@ Maribor	L 1-2	43.0	1345	1481	14.92%	21.67%	63.41%	-1.35	-3.0	3
2003-08-24	Primorje	L 2-4	59.0	1469	1485	45.28%	26.54%	28.18%	+0.40	-12.0	11
2003-08-24	@ Celje	W 4-2	59.0	1485	1469	28.18%	26.54%	45.28%	-0.40	+12.0	13
2003-08-24	Smartno	L 1-4	47.8	1393	1409	45.22%	26.54%	28.23%	+0.39	-19.0	4
2003-08-24	@ Dravograd	W 4-1	47.8	1409	1393	28.23%	26.54%	45.22%	-0.39	+19.0	7
2003-08-30	NK Mura	W 4-0	34.6	1497	1387	60.66%	22.75%	16.59%	+1.19	+12.6	16
2003-08-30	@ Primorje	L 0-4	34.6	1387	1497	16.59%	22.75%	60.66%	-1.19	-12.6	7
2003-08-31	Celje	W 2-0	42.6	1428	1457	43.55%	26.73%	29.73%	+0.32	+11.3	10
2003-08-31	@ Smartno	L 0-2	42.6	1457	1428	29.73%	26.73%	43.55%	-0.32	-11.3	11
2003-08-31	Dravograd	L 1-3	48.1	1342	1374	43.16%	26.76%	30.08%	+0.30	-13.0	3
2003-08-31	@ Ljubljana	W 3-1	48.1	1374	1342	30.08%	26.76%	43.16%	-0.30	+13.0	7
2003-08-31	Maribor	L 0-1	43.0	1333	1484	27.24%	26.39%	46.37%	-0.45	-5.6	6
2003-08-31	@ Domzale	W 1-0	43.0	1484	1333	46.37%	26.39%	27.24%	+0.45	+5.6	16
2003-08-31	Gorica	L 2-4	54.0	1399	1470	37.61%	27.06%	35.34%	+0.05	-10.4	3
2003-08-31	@ Drava Ptuj	W 4-2	54.0	1470	1399	35.34%	27.06%	37.61%	-0.05	+10.4	16
2003-08-31	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 1-1	59.2	1457	1469	45.86%	26.46%	27.68%	+0.42	-0.7	14
2003-08-31	@ Anet Koper	D 1-1	59.2	1469	1457	27.68%	26.46%	45.86%	-0.42	+0.7	11
2003-09-12	Ljubljana	W 3-1	39.8	1446	1329	61.37%	22.49%	16.15%	+1.23	+5.6	14
2003-09-12	@ Celje	L 1-3	39.8	1329	1446	16.15%	22.49%	61.37%	-1.23	-5.6	3
2003-09-12	Primorje	W 1-0	49.4	1470	1510	42.00%	26.86%	31.14%	+0.25	+6.2	14
2003-09-12	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 0-1	49.4	1510	1470	31.14%	26.86%	42.00%	-0.25	-6.2	16
2003-09-13	Domzale	L 1-5	46.9	1386	1328	54.77%	24.66%	20.57%	+0.87	-28.7	7
2003-09-13	@ Dravograd	W 5-1	46.9	1328	1386	20.57%	24.66%	54.77%	-0.87	+28.7	9
2003-09-13	Maribor	W 2-0	44.7	1480	1489	46.23%	26.41%	27.36%	+0.44	+10.5	19
2003-09-13	@ Gorica	L 0-2	44.7	1489	1480	27.36%	26.41%	46.23%	-0.44	-10.5	16
2003-09-14	Anet Koper	D 1-1	56.5	1388	1456	38.04%	27.05%	34.91%	+0.07	-0.1	4
2003-09-14	@ Drava Ptuj	D 1-1	56.5	1456	1388	34.91%	27.05%	38.04%	-0.07	+0.1	15
2003-09-14	Smartno	W 3-1	47.5	1374	1439	38.48%	27.04%	34.48%	+0.09	+11.0	10
2003-09-14	@ NK Mura	L 1-3	47.5	1439	1374	34.48%	27.04%	38.48%	-0.09	-11.0	10
2003-09-20	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 1-1	58.3	1428	1476	40.99%	26.93%	32.08%	+0.20	-0.3	11
2003-09-20	@ Smartno	D 1-1	58.3	1476	1428	32.08%	26.93%	40.99%	-0.20	+0.3	15
2003-09-21	Celje	L 1-5	43.2	1357	1451	34.27%	27.03%	38.69%	-0.10	-19.9	9
2003-09-21	@ Domzale	W 5-1	43.2	1451	1357	38.69%	27.03%	34.27%	+0.10	+19.9	17
2003-09-21	Drava Ptuj	D 0-0	55.2	1503	1388	61.21%	22.54%	16.24%	+1.22	-2.0	17
2003-09-21	@ Primorje	D 0-0	55.2	1388	1503	16.24%	22.54%	61.21%	-1.22	+2.1	5
2003-09-21	Dravograd	W 1-0	38.8	1479	1358	61.82%	22.31%	15.87%	+1.26	+3.4	19
2003-09-21	@ Maribor	L 0-1	38.8	1358	1479	15.87%	22.31%	61.82%	-1.26	-3.4	7
2003-09-21	Gorica	W 2-0	44.9	1456	1491	42.79%	26.80%	30.41%	+0.28	+11.5	18
2003-09-21	@ Anet Koper	L 0-2	44.9	1491	1456	30.41%	26.80%	42.79%	-0.28	-11.5	19
2003-09-21	NK Mura	L 0-4	38.7	1323	1385	38.94%	27.03%	34.04%	+0.11	-26.2	3
2003-09-21	@ Ljubljana	W 4-0	38.7	1385	1323	34.04%	27.03%	38.94%	-0.11	+26.2	13
2003-09-27	Dravograd	D 1-1	57.6	1479	1354	62.24%	22.15%	15.61%	+1.28	-1.9	20
2003-09-27	@ Gorica	D 1-1	57.6	1354	1479	15.61%	22.15%	62.24%	-1.28	+1.9	8
2003-09-27	Primorje	L 0-2	49.5	1468	1501	42.92%	26.79%	30.29%	+0.29	-14.9	18
2003-09-27	@ Anet Koper	W 2-0	49.5	1501	1468	30.29%	26.79%	42.92%	-0.29	+14.9	20
2003-09-28	Domzale	W 3-1	40.7	1411	1337	56.67%	24.11%	19.23%	+0.97	+6.7	16
2003-09-28	@ NK Mura	L 1-3	40.7	1337	1411	19.23%	24.11%	56.67%	-0.97	-6.7	9
2003-09-28	Ljubljana	D 0-0	52.9	1476	1297	67.74%	19.75%	12.51%	+1.62	-2.5	16
2003-09-28	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 0-0	52.9	1297	1476	12.51%	19.75%	67.74%	-1.62	+2.5	4
2003-09-28	Maribor	L 1-2	57.8	1471	1482	45.96%	26.45%	27.59%	+0.43	-7.9	17
2003-09-28	@ Celje	W 2-1	57.8	1482	1471	27.59%	26.45%	45.96%	-0.43	+7.9	22
2003-09-28	Smartno	D 0-0	51.8	1390	1428	42.30%	26.84%	30.86%	+0.26	-0.5	6
2003-09-28	@ Drava Ptuj	D 0-0	51.8	1428	1390	30.86%	26.84%	42.30%	-0.26	+0.5	12
2003-10-04	Gorica	D 2-2	67.3	1516	1477	52.37%	25.27%	22.36%	+0.74	-0.9	21
2003-10-04	@ Primorje	D 2-2	67.3	1477	1516	22.36%	25.27%	52.37%	-0.74	+0.9	21
2003-10-05	Celje	W 2-1	52.1	1356	1463	32.62%	26.96%	40.42%	-0.17	+7.1	11
2003-10-05	@ Dravograd	L 1-2	52.1	1463	1356	40.42%	26.96%	32.62%	+0.17	-7.1	17
2003-10-05	Drava Ptuj	D 0-0	49.4	1300	1390	34.92%	27.05%	38.03%	-0.07	+0.1	5
2003-10-05	@ Ljubljana	D 0-0	49.4	1390	1300	38.03%	27.05%	34.92%	+0.07	-0.1	7
2003-10-05	Anet Koper	D 0-0	53.6	1429	1453	44.14%	26.67%	29.19%	+0.34	-0.6	13
2003-10-05	@ Smartno	D 0-0	53.6	1453	1429	29.19%	26.67%	44.14%	-0.34	+0.6	19
2003-10-05	NK Mura	D 3-3	68.7	1490	1418	56.34%	24.21%	19.46%	+0.95	-0.9	23
2003-10-05	@ Maribor	D 3-3	68.7	1418	1490	19.46%	24.21%	56.34%	-0.95	+0.9	17
2003-10-05	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	W 2-1	53.1	1330	1474	28.02%	26.51%	45.46%	-0.40	+7.8	12
2003-10-05	@ Domzale	L 1-2	53.1	1474	1330	45.46%	26.51%	28.02%	+0.40	-7.8	16
2003-10-18	Celje	L 1-4	53.0	1478	1456	50.29%	25.73%	23.99%	+0.64	-20.7	21
2003-10-18	@ Gorica	W 4-1	53.0	1456	1478	23.99%	25.73%	50.29%	-0.64	+20.7	20
2003-10-18	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 0-0	56.4	1489	1466	50.43%	25.70%	23.87%	+0.64	-1.1	24
2003-10-18	@ Maribor	D 0-0	56.4	1466	1489	23.87%	25.70%	50.43%	-0.64	+1.1	17
2003-10-19	Drava Ptuj	W 3-2	52.9	1338	1390	40.37%	26.96%	32.67%	+0.17	+5.8	15
2003-10-19	@ Domzale	L 2-3	52.9	1390	1338	32.67%	26.96%	40.37%	-0.17	-5.8	7
2003-10-19	Anet Koper	L 1-4	41.3	1300	1454	26.82%	26.32%	46.85%	-0.47	-12.7	5
2003-10-19	@ Ljubljana	W 4-1	41.3	1454	1300	46.85%	26.32%	26.82%	+0.47	+12.7	22
2003-10-19	NK Mura	D 2-2	60.3	1363	1419	39.84%	26.99%	33.17%	+0.15	-0.2	12
2003-10-19	@ Dravograd	D 2-2	60.3	1419	1363	33.17%	26.99%	39.84%	-0.15	+0.2	18
2003-10-19	Primorje	D 1-1	59.6	1428	1515	35.28%	27.06%	37.67%	-0.05	+0.1	14
2003-10-19	@ Smartno	D 1-1	59.6	1515	1428	37.67%	27.06%	35.28%	+0.05	-0.1	22
2003-10-25	Domzale	W 2-1	43.0	1466	1344	62.02%	22.23%	15.75%	+1.27	+3.1	25
2003-10-25	@ Anet Koper	L 1-2	43.0	1344	1466	15.75%	22.23%	62.02%	-1.27	-3.1	15
2003-10-26	Celje	W 3-2	57.2	1419	1477	39.53%	27.00%	33.47%	+0.13	+5.9	21
2003-10-26	@ NK Mura	L 2-3	57.2	1477	1419	33.47%	27.00%	39.53%	-0.13	-5.9	20
2003-10-26	Ljubljana	W 3-0	29.6	1515	1287	72.32%	17.47%	10.21%	+1.93	+5.6	25
2003-10-26	@ Primorje	L 0-3	29.6	1287	1515	10.21%	17.47%	72.32%	-1.93	-5.6	5
2003-10-26	Maribor	D 1-1	57.3	1384	1488	32.99%	26.98%	40.03%	-0.16	+0.2	8
2003-10-26	@ Drava Ptuj	D 1-1	57.3	1488	1384	40.03%	26.98%	32.99%	+0.16	-0.3	25
2003-10-26	Gorica	D 0-0	53.7	1428	1458	43.44%	26.74%	29.82%	+0.31	-0.6	15
2003-10-26	@ Smartno	D 0-0	53.7	1458	1428	29.82%	26.74%	43.44%	-0.31	+0.6	22
2003-10-29	Dravograd	W 4-0	33.3	1467	1363	59.93%	23.02%	17.05%	+1.15	+12.9	20
2003-10-29	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 0-4	33.3	1363	1467	17.05%	23.02%	59.93%	-1.15	-12.9	12
2003-10-31	Anet Koper	W 1-0	46.3	1488	1470	49.77%	25.83%	24.40%	+0.61	+5.1	28
2003-10-31	@ Maribor	L 0-1	46.3	1470	1488	24.40%	25.83%	49.77%	-0.61	-5.1	25
2003-11-02	Drava Ptuj	L 1-3	48.4	1350	1384	42.88%	26.79%	30.33%	+0.29	-12.9	12
2003-11-02	@ Dravograd	W 3-1	48.4	1384	1350	30.33%	26.79%	42.88%	-0.29	+12.9	11
2003-11-02	NK Mura	W 6-1	40.6	1458	1425	51.66%	25.43%	22.90%	+0.71	+17.5	25
2003-11-02	@ Gorica	L 1-6	40.6	1425	1458	22.90%	25.43%	51.66%	-0.71	-17.5	21
2003-11-02	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 1-2	57.7	1471	1480	46.25%	26.41%	27.34%	+0.44	-7.9	20
2003-11-02	@ Celje	W 2-1	57.7	1480	1471	27.34%	26.41%	46.25%	-0.44	+7.9	23
2003-11-02	Primorje	D 0-0	53.3	1340	1521	23.98%	25.73%	50.29%	-0.64	+1.1	16
2003-11-02	@ Domzale	D 0-0	53.3	1521	1340	50.29%	25.73%	23.98%	+0.64	-1.1	26
2003-11-02	Smartno	L 2-3	51.0	1281	1427	27.74%	26.47%	45.79%	-0.42	-5.1	5
2003-11-02	@ Ljubljana	W 3-2	51.0	1427	1281	45.79%	26.47%	27.74%	+0.42	+5.1	18
2003-11-05	Celje	L 0-3	42.4	1397	1463	38.33%	27.04%	34.63%	+0.08	-19.9	11
2003-11-05	@ Drava Ptuj	W 3-0	42.4	1463	1397	34.63%	27.04%	38.33%	-0.08	+19.9	23
2003-11-05	Domzale	L 2-3	60.5	1432	1342	58.52%	23.51%	17.97%	+1.07	-9.1	18
2003-11-05	@ Smartno	W 3-2	60.5	1342	1432	17.97%	23.51%	58.52%	-1.07	+9.1	19
2003-11-05	Dravograd	W 3-0	32.6	1464	1337	62.46%	22.06%	15.48%	+1.30	+9.0	28
2003-11-05	@ Anet Koper	L 0-3	32.6	1337	1464	15.48%	22.06%	62.46%	-1.30	-9.0	12
2003-11-05	Maribor	D 0-0	58.6	1520	1493	50.89%	25.60%	23.50%	+0.67	-1.2	27
2003-11-05	@ Primorje	D 0-0	58.6	1493	1520	23.50%	25.60%	50.89%	-0.67	+1.2	29
2003-11-05	Gorica	D 1-1	55.0	1276	1476	22.15%	25.21%	52.64%	-0.76	+1.2	6
2003-11-05	@ Ljubljana	D 1-1	55.0	1476	1276	52.64%	25.21%	22.15%	+0.76	-1.2	26
2003-11-05	NK Mura	W 2-1	46.8	1488	1407	57.30%	23.91%	18.79%	+1.00	+3.8	26
2003-11-05	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 1-2	46.8	1407	1488	18.79%	23.91%	57.30%	-1.00	-3.8	21
2003-11-09	Drava Ptuj	W 1-0	40.8	1404	1377	50.85%	25.61%	23.54%	+0.66	+4.9	24
2003-11-09	@ NK Mura	L 0-1	40.8	1377	1404	23.54%	25.61%	50.85%	-0.66	-4.9	11
2003-11-09	Anet Koper	L 0-1	53.6	1483	1473	48.66%	26.03%	25.30%	+0.56	-8.7	23
2003-11-09	@ Celje	W 1-0	53.6	1473	1483	25.30%	26.03%	48.66%	-0.56	+8.7	31
2003-11-09	Ljubljana	D 1-1	53.7	1351	1278	56.47%	24.17%	19.37%	+0.96	-1.5	20
2003-11-09	@ Domzale	D 1-1	53.7	1278	1351	19.37%	24.17%	56.47%	-0.96	+1.5	7
2003-11-09	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	W 5-1	46.2	1475	1491	45.16%	26.55%	28.29%	+0.39	+17.1	29
2003-11-09	@ Gorica	L 1-5	46.2	1491	1475	28.29%	26.55%	45.16%	-0.39	-17.2	26
2003-11-09	Primorje	D 1-1	57.0	1328	1519	23.04%	25.47%	51.49%	-0.70	+1.1	13
2003-11-09	@ Dravograd	D 1-1	57.0	1519	1328	51.49%	25.47%	23.04%	+0.70	-1.1	28
2003-11-09	Smartno	L 1-2	58.9	1494	1423	56.17%	24.26%	19.57%	+0.94	-9.3	29
2003-11-09	@ Maribor	W 2-1	58.9	1423	1494	19.57%	24.26%	56.17%	-0.94	+9.3	21
2003-11-23	Celje	D 2-2	67.3	1517	1474	52.91%	25.14%	21.95%	+0.77	-0.9	29
2003-11-23	@ Primorje	D 2-2	67.3	1474	1517	21.95%	25.14%	52.91%	-0.77	+0.9	24
2003-11-23	Dravograd	W 2-1	42.7	1433	1330	59.87%	23.04%	17.09%	+1.14	+3.4	24
2003-11-23	@ Smartno	L 1-2	42.7	1330	1433	17.09%	23.04%	59.87%	-1.14	-3.4	13
2003-11-23	Maribor	W 2-1	54.2	1279	1485	21.57%	25.02%	53.41%	-0.79	+8.9	10
2003-11-23	@ Ljubljana	L 1-2	54.2	1485	1279	53.41%	25.02%	21.57%	+0.79	-8.9	29
2003-11-23	Gorica	L 0-1	43.9	1349	1492	28.14%	26.53%	45.33%	-0.40	-5.7	20
2003-11-23	@ Domzale	W 1-0	43.9	1492	1349	45.33%	26.53%	28.14%	+0.40	+5.7	32
2003-11-23	NK Mura	D 1-1	58.7	1482	1409	56.52%	24.15%	19.33%	+0.96	-1.5	32
2003-11-23	@ Anet Koper	D 1-1	58.7	1409	1482	19.33%	24.15%	56.52%	-0.96	+1.5	25
2003-11-23	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 3-4	58.7	1372	1474	33.25%	26.99%	39.75%	-0.14	-5.7	11
2003-11-23	@ Drava Ptuj	W 4-3	58.7	1474	1372	39.75%	26.99%	33.25%	+0.14	+5.7	29
2003-11-28	Anet Koper	W 2-1	52.1	1480	1481	47.34%	26.25%	26.41%	+0.49	+5.1	32
2003-11-28	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 1-2	52.1	1481	1480	26.41%	26.25%	47.34%	-0.49	-5.1	32
2003-11-29	Drava Ptuj	W 3-0	34.0	1497	1366	62.88%	21.89%	15.23%	+1.32	+8.8	35
2003-11-29	@ Gorica	L 0-3	34.0	1366	1497	15.23%	21.89%	62.88%	-1.32	-8.8	11
2003-11-29	Ljubljana	L 1-3	49.4	1326	1288	52.29%	25.29%	22.42%	+0.74	-15.1	13
2003-11-29	@ Dravograd	W 3-1	49.4	1288	1326	22.42%	25.29%	52.29%	-0.74	+15.1	13
2003-11-29	Primorje	W 4-3	63.3	1410	1517	32.69%	26.97%	40.35%	-0.17	+6.6	28
2003-11-29	@ NK Mura	L 3-4	63.3	1517	1410	40.35%	26.97%	32.69%	+0.17	-6.6	29
2003-11-29	Smartno	W 5-0	38.2	1475	1436	52.39%	25.27%	22.34%	+0.74	+20.7	27
2003-11-29	@ Celje	L 0-5	38.2	1436	1475	22.34%	25.27%	52.39%	-0.74	-20.7	24
2003-11-30	Domzale	W 1-0	38.0	1476	1343	63.03%	21.83%	15.14%	+1.33	+3.2	32
2003-11-30	@ Maribor	L 0-1	38.0	1343	1476	15.14%	21.83%	63.03%	-1.33	-3.2	20
2004-03-06	Gorica	W 1-0	49.1	1479	1506	43.77%	26.70%	29.52%	+0.33	+6.0	35
2004-03-06	@ Maribor	L 0-1	49.1	1506	1479	29.52%	26.70%	43.77%	-0.33	-6.0	35
2004-03-07	Drava Ptuj	W 3-0	33.6	1476	1358	61.48%	22.44%	16.08%	+1.24	+9.3	35
2004-03-07	@ Anet Koper	L 0-3	33.6	1358	1476	16.08%	22.44%	61.48%	-1.24	-9.3	11
2004-03-07	NK Mura	L 0-3	44.1	1415	1417	47.24%	26.27%	26.49%	+0.49	-23.3	24
2004-03-07	@ Smartno	W 3-0	44.1	1417	1415	26.49%	26.27%	47.24%	-0.49	+23.3	31
2004-03-14	Celje	W 2-1	54.6	1303	1496	22.78%	25.40%	51.83%	-0.71	+8.7	16
2004-03-14	@ Ljubljana	L 1-2	54.6	1496	1303	51.83%	25.40%	22.78%	+0.71	-8.7	27
2004-03-14	Dravograd	W 3-0	33.6	1340	1311	51.16%	25.54%	23.29%	+0.68	+13.4	23
2004-03-14	@ Domzale	L 0-3	33.6	1311	1340	23.29%	25.54%	51.16%	-0.68	-13.4	13
2004-03-14	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	W 4-2	53.8	1510	1485	50.61%	25.66%	23.73%	+0.65	+7.2	32
2004-03-14	@ Primorje	L 2-4	53.8	1485	1510	23.73%	25.66%	50.61%	-0.65	-7.2	32
2004-03-20	Anet Koper	D 0-0	57.4	1500	1485	49.42%	25.90%	24.69%	+0.59	-1.1	36
2004-03-20	@ Gorica	D 0-0	57.4	1485	1500	24.69%	25.90%	49.42%	-0.59	+1.1	36
2004-03-21	Domzale	D 1-1	57.9	1487	1354	63.16%	21.78%	15.07%	+1.34	-2.0	28
2004-03-21	@ Celje	D 1-1	57.9	1354	1487	15.07%	21.78%	63.16%	-1.34	+2.0	24
2004-03-21	Ljubljana	L 0-1	50.9	1440	1312	62.60%	22.00%	15.40%	+1.30	-10.7	31
2004-03-21	@ NK Mura	W 1-0	50.9	1312	1440	15.40%	22.00%	62.60%	-1.30	+10.7	19
2004-03-21	Maribor	W 2-1	54.0	1298	1485	23.31%	25.55%	51.14%	-0.68	+8.6	16
2004-03-21	@ Dravograd	L 1-2	54.0	1485	1298	51.14%	25.55%	23.31%	+0.68	-8.6	35
2004-03-21	Primorje	L 0-1	43.5	1348	1517	25.20%	26.01%	48.79%	-0.56	-5.2	11
2004-03-21	@ Drava Ptuj	W 1-0	43.5	1517	1348	48.79%	26.01%	25.20%	+0.56	+5.2	35
2004-03-21	Smartno	W 3-0	35.7	1478	1392	57.95%	23.70%	18.35%	+1.04	+10.7	35
2004-03-21	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 0-3	35.7	1392	1478	18.35%	23.70%	57.95%	-1.04	-10.7	24
2004-03-28	Celje	W 3-0	42.3	1476	1485	46.25%	26.41%	27.34%	+0.44	+15.3	38
2004-03-28	@ Maribor	L 0-3	42.3	1485	1476	27.34%	26.41%	46.25%	-0.44	-15.3	28
2004-03-28	Drava Ptuj	D 1-1	54.5	1381	1343	52.29%	25.29%	22.42%	+0.74	-1.2	25
2004-03-28	@ Smartno	D 1-1	54.5	1343	1381	22.42%	25.29%	52.29%	-0.74	+1.2	12
2004-03-28	Anet Koper	W 5-2	50.3	1522	1486	52.08%	25.34%	22.58%	+0.73	+9.5	38
2004-03-28	@ Primorje	L 2-5	50.3	1486	1522	22.58%	25.34%	52.08%	-0.73	-9.5	36
2004-03-28	Gorica	L 0-1	41.0	1306	1499	22.76%	25.39%	51.84%	-0.71	-4.8	16
2004-03-28	@ Dravograd	W 1-0	41.0	1499	1306	51.84%	25.39%	22.76%	+0.71	+4.8	39
2004-03-28	NK Mura	L 0-1	45.4	1356	1429	37.24%	27.06%	35.70%	+0.03	-7.1	24
2004-03-28	@ Domzale	W 1-0	45.4	1429	1356	35.70%	27.06%	37.24%	-0.03	+7.1	34
2004-03-28	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 0-1	42.2	1322	1489	25.49%	26.07%	48.44%	-0.55	-5.3	19
2004-03-28	@ Ljubljana	W 1-0	42.2	1489	1322	48.44%	26.07%	25.49%	+0.55	+5.3	38
2004-04-04	Domzale	W 4-1	38.0	1494	1348	64.39%	21.26%	14.35%	+1.41	+7.0	41
2004-04-04	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 1-4	38.0	1348	1494	14.35%	21.26%	64.39%	-1.41	-7.0	24
2004-04-04	Dravograd	L 2-3	61.9	1470	1301	66.70%	20.24%	13.06%	+1.55	-10.1	28
2004-04-04	@ Celje	W 3-2	61.9	1301	1470	13.06%	20.24%	66.70%	-1.55	+10.1	19
2004-04-04	Ljubljana	W 3-2	48.9	1344	1317	50.91%	25.60%	23.49%	+0.67	+4.4	15
2004-04-04	@ Drava Ptuj	L 2-3	48.9	1317	1344	23.49%	25.60%	50.91%	-0.67	-4.4	19
2004-04-04	Maribor	L 1-2	55.2	1436	1492	39.88%	26.99%	33.13%	+0.15	-7.0	34
2004-04-04	@ NK Mura	W 2-1	55.2	1492	1436	33.13%	26.99%	39.88%	-0.15	+7.0	41
2004-04-04	Primorje	W 2-1	56.0	1504	1532	43.67%	26.72%	29.61%	+0.32	+5.6	42
2004-04-04	@ Gorica	L 1-2	56.0	1532	1504	29.61%	26.72%	43.67%	-0.32	-5.6	38
2004-04-04	Smartno	D 1-1	57.9	1476	1380	59.11%	23.31%	17.58%	+1.10	-1.7	37
2004-04-04	@ Anet Koper	D 1-1	57.9	1380	1476	17.58%	23.31%	59.11%	-1.10	+1.7	26

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2004-04-09	Drava Ptuj	L 0-1	51.7	1460	1349	60.75%	22.72%	16.53%	+1.20	-10.5	0
2004-04-09	@ Celje	W 1-0	51.7	1349	1460	16.53%	22.72%	60.75%	-1.20	+10.5	3
2004-04-09	Anet Koper	D 2-2	66.5	1501	1475	50.78%	25.63%	23.60%	+0.66	-0.8	1
2004-04-09	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 2-2	66.5	1475	1501	23.60%	25.63%	50.78%	-0.66	+0.8	1
2004-04-10	Dravograd	W 2-0	34.7	1382	1312	56.14%	24.27%	19.59%	+0.94	+7.8	3
2004-04-10	@ Smartno	L 0-2	34.7	1312	1382	19.59%	24.27%	56.14%	-0.94	-7.8	0
2004-04-10	Ljubljana	D 0-0	49.5	1341	1313	51.11%	25.56%	23.34%	+0.68	-1.2	1
2004-04-10	@ Domzale	D 0-0	49.5	1313	1341	23.34%	25.56%	51.11%	-0.68	+1.2	1
2004-04-10	NK Mura	D 0-0	56.4	1510	1429	57.29%	23.91%	18.80%	+1.00	-1.7	1
2004-04-10	@ Gorica	D 0-0	56.4	1429	1510	18.80%	23.91%	57.29%	-1.00	+1.7	1
2004-04-10	Primorje	D 1-1	62.7	1499	1526	43.72%	26.71%	29.57%	+0.32	-0.5	1
2004-04-10	@ Maribor	D 1-1	62.7	1526	1499	29.57%	26.71%	43.72%	-0.32	+0.5	1
2004-04-14	Domzale	L 0-2	41.8	1304	1340	42.49%	26.82%	30.69%	+0.27	-14.8	0
2004-04-14	@ Dravograd	W 2-0	41.8	1340	1304	30.69%	26.82%	42.49%	-0.27	+14.8	4
2004-04-14	Ljubljana	L 0-3	42.7	1359	1314	53.14%	25.08%	21.77%	+0.78	-25.7	3
2004-04-14	@ Drava Ptuj	W 3-0	42.7	1314	1359	21.77%	25.08%	53.14%	-0.78	+25.7	4
2004-04-14	Maribor	W 1-0	48.5	1476	1498	44.40%	26.64%	28.97%	+0.35	+5.9	4
2004-04-14	@ Anet Koper	L 0-1	48.5	1498	1476	28.97%	26.64%	44.40%	-0.35	-5.9	1
2004-04-14	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	W 1-0	48.6	1508	1500	48.44%	26.07%	25.49%	+0.55	+5.3	4
2004-04-14	@ Gorica	L 0-1	48.6	1500	1508	25.49%	26.07%	48.44%	-0.55	-5.3	1
2004-04-14	Primorje	W 1-0	51.0	1431	1527	34.14%	27.03%	38.83%	-0.10	+7.3	4
2004-04-14	@ NK Mura	L 0-1	51.0	1527	1431	38.83%	27.03%	34.14%	+0.10	-7.3	1
2004-04-14	Smartno	W 2-1	45.9	1449	1390	54.89%	24.63%	20.48%	+0.87	+4.1	3
2004-04-14	@ Celje	L 1-2	45.9	1390	1449	20.48%	24.63%	54.89%	-0.87	-4.1	3
2004-04-18	Celje	D 2-2	60.9	1355	1453	33.77%	27.02%	39.21%	-0.12	+0.2	5
2004-04-18	@ Domzale	D 2-2	60.9	1453	1355	39.21%	27.02%	33.77%	+0.12	-0.2	4
2004-04-18	Drava Ptuj	W 3-0	33.6	1386	1333	53.99%	24.87%	21.14%	+0.82	+12.2	6
2004-04-18	@ Smartno	L 0-3	33.6	1333	1386	21.14%	24.87%	53.99%	-0.82	-12.2	3
2004-04-18	Dravograd	W 2-1	42.8	1340	1289	53.82%	24.91%	21.27%	+0.82	+4.2	7
2004-04-18	@ Ljubljana	L 1-2	42.8	1289	1340	21.27%	24.91%	53.82%	-0.82	-4.2	0
2004-04-18	Anet Koper	W 3-0	42.0	1519	1481	52.28%	25.29%	22.43%	+0.74	+12.9	4
2004-04-18	@ Primorje	L 0-3	42.0	1481	1519	22.43%	25.29%	52.28%	-0.74	-12.9	4
2004-04-18	Gorica	L 1-2	59.3	1492	1513	44.65%	26.61%	28.74%	+0.37	-7.7	1
2004-04-18	@ Maribor	W 2-1	59.3	1513	1492	28.74%	26.61%	44.65%	-0.37	+7.7	7
2004-04-18	NK Mura	W 2-1	49.0	1495	1438	54.49%	24.74%	20.77%	+0.85	+4.2	4
2004-04-18	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 1-2	49.0	1438	1495	20.77%	24.74%	54.49%	-0.85	-4.1	4
2004-04-24	Ljubljana	L 1-2	56.4	1453	1344	60.56%	22.79%	16.65%	+1.18	-9.8	4
2004-04-24	@ Celje	W 2-1	56.4	1344	1453	16.65%	22.79%	60.56%	-1.18	+9.8	10
2004-04-24	Maribor	L 1-2	59.7	1499	1485	49.27%	25.92%	24.80%	+0.59	-8.3	4
2004-04-24	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	W 2-1	59.7	1485	1499	24.80%	25.92%	49.27%	-0.59	+8.3	4
2004-04-24	Primorje	D 0-0	59.8	1521	1532	45.88%	26.46%	27.66%	+0.42	-0.8	8
2004-04-24	@ Gorica	D 0-0	59.8	1532	1521	27.66%	26.46%	45.88%	-0.42	+0.8	5
2004-04-25	Domzale	D 1-1	55.0	1398	1355	52.83%	25.16%	22.01%	+0.76	-1.2	7
2004-04-25	@ Smartno	D 1-1	55.0	1355	1398	22.01%	25.16%	52.83%	-0.76	+1.2	6
2004-04-25	Dravograd	W 3-1	40.4	1321	1285	52.08%	25.34%	22.58%	+0.73	+7.8	6
2004-04-25	@ Drava Ptuj	L 1-3	40.4	1285	1321	22.58%	25.34%	52.08%	-0.73	-7.7	0
2004-04-25	Anet Koper	D 2-2	63.6	1434	1468	42.82%	26.79%	30.39%	+0.28	-0.3	5
2004-04-25	@ NK Mura	D 2-2	63.6	1468	1434	30.39%	26.79%	42.82%	-0.28	+0.3	5
2004-05-01	Smartno	W 1-0	43.0	1354	1397	41.62%	26.89%	31.49%	+0.23	+6.3	13
2004-05-01	@ Ljubljana	L 0-1	43.0	1397	1354	31.49%	26.89%	41.62%	-0.23	-6.3	7
2004-05-02	Drava Ptuj	W 5-0	33.6	1356	1329	50.95%	25.59%	23.46%	+0.67	+21.6	9
2004-05-02	@ Domzale	L 0-5	33.6	1329	1356	23.46%	25.59%	50.95%	-0.67	-21.6	6
2004-05-02	Gorica	D 1-1	61.3	1469	1520	40.45%	26.96%	32.59%	+0.18	-0.3	6
2004-05-02	@ Anet Koper	D 1-1	61.3	1520	1469	32.59%	26.96%	40.45%	-0.18	+0.3	9
2004-05-02	NK Mura	W 1-0	43.7	1493	1434	54.81%	24.65%	20.54%	+0.87	+4.3	7
2004-05-02	@ Maribor	L 0-1	43.7	1434	1493	20.54%	24.65%	54.81%	-0.87	-4.4	5
2004-05-02	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 1-2	62.1	1533	1491	52.83%	25.16%	22.01%	+0.76	-8.8	5
2004-05-02	@ Primorje	W 2-1	62.1	1491	1533	22.01%	25.16%	52.83%	-0.76	+8.8	7
2004-05-05	Celje	L 1-4	40.2	1277	1443	25.45%	26.06%	48.48%	-0.55	-12.2	0
2004-05-05	@ Dravograd	W 4-1	40.2	1443	1277	48.48%	26.06%	25.45%	+0.55	+12.2	7
2004-05-08	Maribor	D 2-2	68.3	1524	1497	50.90%	25.60%	23.50%	+0.67	-0.8	6
2004-05-08	@ Primorje	D 2-2	68.3	1497	1524	23.50%	25.60%	50.90%	-0.67	+0.8	8
2004-05-08	Gorica	D 1-1	59.9	1430	1520	34.83%	27.05%	38.12%	-0.07	+0.1	6
2004-05-08	@ NK Mura	D 1-1	59.9	1520	1430	38.12%	27.05%	34.83%	+0.07	-0.1	10
2004-05-08	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	W 2-0	45.5	1469	1499	43.28%	26.75%	29.97%	+0.30	+11.4	9
2004-05-08	@ Anet Koper	L 0-2	45.5	1499	1469	29.97%	26.75%	43.28%	-0.30	-11.3	7
2004-05-08	Smartno	W 2-1	50.1	1265	1390	30.21%	26.78%	43.01%	-0.29	+7.5	3
2004-05-08	@ Dravograd	L 1-2	50.1	1390	1265	43.01%	26.78%	30.21%	+0.29	-7.5	7
2004-05-09	Celje	D 0-0	50.7	1307	1456	27.48%	26.43%	46.09%	-0.43	+0.8	7
2004-05-09	@ Drava Ptuj	D 0-0	50.7	1456	1307	46.09%	26.43%	27.48%	+0.43	-0.8	8
2004-05-09	Domzale	D 1-1	54.3	1360	1378	45.02%	26.57%	28.41%	+0.38	-0.6	14
2004-05-09	@ Ljubljana	D 1-1	54.3	1378	1360	28.41%	26.57%	45.02%	-0.38	+0.6	10
2004-05-11	Gorica	W 2-1	55.1	1488	1520	43.09%	26.77%	30.14%	+0.30	+5.7	10
2004-05-11	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 1-2	55.1	1520	1488	30.14%	26.77%	43.09%	-0.30	-5.7	10
2004-05-12	Celje	W 3-2	56.1	1383	1455	37.51%	27.06%	35.44%	+0.05	+6.1	10
2004-05-12	@ Smartno	L 2-3	56.1	1455	1383	35.44%	27.06%	37.51%	-0.05	-6.1	8
2004-05-12	Drava Ptuj	W 2-1	43.1	1359	1308	53.89%	24.90%	21.22%	+0.82	+4.2	17
2004-05-12	@ Ljubljana	L 1-2	43.1	1308	1359	21.22%	24.90%	53.89%	-0.82	-4.2	7
2004-05-12	Dravograd	W 4-1	35.9	1379	1272	60.24%	22.91%	16.85%	+1.17	+8.2	13
2004-05-12	@ Domzale	L 1-4	35.9	1272	1379	16.85%	22.91%	60.24%	-1.17	-8.3	3
2004-05-12	Anet Koper	W 3-1	49.3	1498	1480	49.78%	25.83%	24.40%	+0.61	+8.3	11
2004-05-12	@ Maribor	L 1-3	49.3	1480	1498	24.40%	25.83%	49.78%	-0.61	-8.3	9
2004-05-12	NK Mura	L 1-2	60.7	1524	1430	58.84%	23.40%	17.76%	+1.09	-9.6	6
2004-05-12	@ Primorje	W 2-1	60.7	1430	1524	17.76%	23.40%	58.84%	-1.09	+9.6	9
2004-05-15	Domzale	L 1-3	53.5	1449	1387	55.14%	24.56%	20.31%	+0.89	-15.8	8
2004-05-15	@ Celje	W 3-1	53.5	1387	1449	20.31%	24.56%	55.14%	-0.89	+15.8	16
2004-05-15	Maribor	D 1-1	62.8	1514	1506	48.48%	26.06%	25.46%	+0.55	-0.9	11
2004-05-15	@ Gorica	D 1-1	62.8	1506	1514	25.46%	26.06%	48.48%	-0.55	+0.9	12
2004-05-15	Primorje	D 0-0	57.2	1472	1514	41.68%	26.88%	31.43%	+0.23	-0.4	10
2004-05-15	@ Anet Koper	D 0-0	57.2	1514	1472	31.43%	26.88%	41.68%	-0.23	+0.4	7
2004-05-16	Ljubljana	L 1-2	47.1	1264	1364	33.60%	27.01%	39.39%	-0.13	-6.2	3
2004-05-16	@ Dravograd	W 2-1	47.1	1364	1264	39.39%	27.01%	33.60%	+0.13	+6.2	20
2004-05-16	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	W 2-1	53.3	1439	1494	40.00%	26.98%	33.02%	+0.16	+6.1	12
2004-05-16	@ NK Mura	L 1-2	53.3	1494	1439	33.02%	26.98%	40.00%	-0.16	-6.1	10
2004-05-16	Smartno	W 2-0	40.9	1304	1389	35.62%	27.06%	37.32%	-0.04	+13.4	10
2004-05-16	@ Drava Ptuj	L 0-2	40.9	1389	1304	37.32%	27.06%	35.62%	+0.04	-13.4	10
2004-05-21	Celje	W 2-1	49.8	1370	1433	38.77%	27.03%	34.20%	+0.10	+6.3	23
2004-05-21	@ Ljubljana	L 1-2	49.8	1433	1370	34.20%	27.03%	38.77%	-0.10	-6.3	8
2004-05-21	Smartno	D 2-2	60.7	1403	1376	50.91%	25.60%	23.49%	+0.67	-0.8	17
2004-05-21	@ Domzale	D 2-2	60.7	1376	1403	23.49%	25.60%	50.91%	-0.67	+0.8	11
2004-05-23	Drava Ptuj	W 3-1	44.1	1258	1317	39.28%	27.01%	33.71%	+0.12	+10.8	6
2004-05-23	@ Dravograd	L 1-3	44.1	1317	1258	33.71%	27.01%	39.28%	-0.12	-10.8	10
2004-05-23	Gorica	W 2-0	46.5	1514	1514	47.52%	26.22%	26.26%	+0.50	+10.2	10
2004-05-23	@ Primorje	L 0-2	46.5	1514	1514	26.26%	26.22%	47.52%	-0.50	-10.2	11
2004-05-23	NK Mura	W 4-1	44.3	1471	1445	50.73%	25.64%	23.63%	+0.66	+11.4	13
2004-05-23	@ Anet Koper	L 1-4	44.3	1445	1471	23.63%	25.64%	50.73%	-0.66	-11.4	12
2004-05-23	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	D 0-0	57.9	1507	1488	49.96%	25.79%	24.24%	+0.62	-1.1	13
2004-05-23	@ Maribor	D 0-0	57.9	1488	1507	24.24%	25.79%	49.96%	-0.62	+1.1	11
2004-05-30	Domzale	W 3-1	46.8	1307	1402	34.18%	27.03%	38.79%	-0.10	+11.9	13
2004-05-30	@ Drava Ptuj	L 1-3	46.8	1402	1307	38.79%	27.03%	34.18%	+0.10	-11.9	17
2004-05-30	Dravograd	W 5-1	33.1	1427	1269	65.67%	20.70%	13.63%	+1.49	+8.5	11
2004-05-30	@ Celje	L 1-5	33.1	1269	1427	13.63%	20.70%	65.67%	-1.49	-8.5	6
2004-05-30	Anet Koper	W 2-0	44.2	1503	1483	50.11%	25.76%	24.13%	+0.63	+9.5	14
2004-05-30	@ Gorica	L 0-2	44.2	1483	1503	24.13%	25.76%	50.11%	-0.63	-9.5	13
2004-05-30	Ljubljana	W 3-1	43.5	1376	1376	47.46%	26.23%	26.31%	+0.50	+8.8	14
2004-05-30	@ Smartno	L 1-3	43.5	1376	1376	26.31%	26.23%	47.46%	-0.50	-8.8	23
2004-05-30	Maribor	W 2-1	54.3	1434	1506	37.48%	27.06%	35.46%	+0.04	+6.5	15
2004-05-30	@ NK Mura	L 1-2	54.3	1506	1434	35.46%	27.06%	37.48%	-0.04	-6.5	13
2004-05-30	Primorje	W 3-0	45.3	1489	1525	42.59%	26.81%	30.60%	+0.27	+16.8	14
2004-05-30	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	L 0-3	45.3	1525	1489	30.60%	26.81%	42.59%	-0.27	-16.8	10

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2004-04-04	13.06%	Dravograd	1301	3	@ Celje	1470	2
2	2004-03-21	15.40%	Ljubljana	1312	1	@ NK Mura	1440	0
3	2004-04-09	16.53%	Drava Ptuj	1349	1	@ Celje	1460	0
4	2004-04-24	16.65%	Ljubljana	1344	2	@ Celje	1453	1
5	2004-05-12	17.76%	NK Mura	1430	2	@ Primorje	1524	1
6	2003-11-05	17.97%	Domzale	1342	3	@ Smartno	1432	2
7	2003-11-09	19.57%	Smartno	1423	2	@ Maribor	1494	1
8	2003-07-20	20.30%	Domzale	1377	2	@ Drava Ptuj	1439	0
9	2004-05-15	20.31%	Domzale	1387	3	@ Celje	1449	1
10	2003-09-13	20.57%	Domzale	1328	5	@ Dravograd	1386	1
11	2003-08-17	20.76%	Gorica	1434	3	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1491	0
12	2003-11-23	21.57%	@ Ljubljana	1279	2	Maribor	1485	1
13	2004-04-14	21.77%	Ljubljana	1314	3	@ Drava Ptuj	1359	0
14	2004-05-02	22.01%	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1491	2	@ Primorje	1533	1
15	2003-11-29	22.42%	Ljubljana	1288	3	@ Dravograd	1326	1
16	2004-03-14	22.78%	@ Ljubljana	1303	2	Celje	1496	1
17	2004-03-21	23.31%	@ Dravograd	1298	2	Maribor	1485	1
18	2003-08-17	23.72%	NK Mura	1386	3	@ Drava Ptuj	1411	2
19	2003-10-18	23.99%	Celje	1456	4	@ Gorica	1478	1
20	2004-04-24	24.80%	Maribor	1485	2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1499	1
21	2003-11-09	25.30%	Anet Koper	1473	1	@ Celje	1483	0
22	2004-03-07	26.49%	NK Mura	1417	3	@ Smartno	1415	0
23	2003-11-02	27.34%	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1480	2	@ Celje	1471	1
24	2003-09-28	27.59%	Maribor	1482	2	@ Celje	1471	1
25	2003-10-05	28.02%	@ Domzale	1330	2	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1474	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-09-13	28.69	Domzale	5	1328	20.57%	@ Dravograd	1	1386	54.77%	24.66%
2	2003-08-09	27.06	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	4	1464	32.50%	@ NK Mura	0	1413	40.55%	26.95%
3	2003-08-17	26.25	Gorica	3	1434	20.76%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	0	1491	54.51%	24.73%
4	2003-09-21	26.24	NK Mura	4	1385	34.04%	@ Ljubljana	0	1323	38.94%	27.03%
5	2003-07-27	26.07	Primorje	4	1444	34.37%	@ Ljubljana	0	1380	38.60%	27.04%
6	2004-04-14	25.71	Ljubljana	3	1314	21.77%	@ Drava Ptuj	0	1359	53.14%	25.08%
7	2004-03-07	23.35	NK Mura	3	1417	26.49%	@ Smartno	0	1415	47.24%	26.27%
8	2003-07-20	21.85	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	6	1449	43.52%	Maribor	1	1478	29.75%	26.73%
9	2004-05-02	21.64	@ Domzale	5	1356	50.95%	Drava Ptuj	0	1329	23.46%	25.59%
10	2003-08-03	21.36	@ Primorje	6	1470	56.67%	Domzale	0	1395	19.22%	24.10%
11	2003-08-13	20.76	Anet Koper	3	1430	32.37%	@ Domzale	0	1380	40.68%	26.95%
12	2003-11-29	20.72	@ Celje	5	1475	52.39%	Smartno	0	1436	22.34%	25.27%
13	2003-10-18	20.71	Celje	4	1456	23.99%	@ Gorica	1	1478	50.29%	25.73%
14	2003-09-21	19.90	Celje	5	1451	38.69%	@ Domzale	1	1357	34.27%	27.03%
15	2003-11-05	19.85	Celje	3	1463	34.63%	@ Drava Ptuj	0	1397	38.33%	27.04%
16	2003-08-24	19.02	Smartno	4	1409	28.23%	@ Dravograd	1	1393	45.22%	26.54%
17	2003-08-08	18.40	@ Gorica	5	1416	56.02%	Ljubljana	0	1347	19.68%	24.30%
18	2003-07-20	18.25	Domzale	2	1377	20.30%	@ Drava Ptuj	0	1439	55.14%	24.56%
19	2003-11-02	17.54	@ Gorica	6	1458	51.66%	NK Mura	1	1425	22.90%	25.43%
20	2003-11-09	17.15	@ Gorica	5	1475	45.16%	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1	1491	28.29%	26.55%
21	2004-05-30	16.76	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	3	1489	42.59%	Primorje	0	1525	30.60%	26.81%
22	2003-08-17	16.50	@ Ljubljana	3	1328	43.26%	Domzale	0	1359	29.98%	26.75%
23	2004-05-15	15.80	Domzale	3	1387	20.31%	@ Celje	1	1449	55.14%	24.56%
24	2004-03-28	15.32	@ Maribor	3	1476	46.25%	Celje	0	1485	27.34%	26.41%
25	2003-11-29	15.13	Ljubljana	3	1288	22.42%	@ Dravograd	1	1326	52.29%	25.29%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-10-05	68.7	@ Maribor	3	1490	56.34%	NK Mura	3	1418	19.46%	24.21%
2	2004-05-08	68.3	@ Primorje	2	1524	50.90%	Maribor	2	1497	23.50%	25.60%
3	2003-10-04	67.3	@ Primorje	2	1516	52.37%	Gorica	2	1477	22.36%	25.27%
4	2003-11-23	67.3	@ Primorje	2	1517	52.91%	Celje	2	1474	21.95%	25.14%
5	2004-04-09	66.5	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	2	1501	50.78%	Anet Koper	2	1475	23.60%	25.63%
6	2003-08-02	64.5	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	2	1464	47.99%	Celje	2	1460	25.87%	26.15%
7	2003-08-17	63.8	@ Primorje	2	1486	58.97%	Dravograd	2	1391	17.67%	23.36%
8	2004-04-25	63.6	@ NK Mura	2	1434	42.82%	Anet Koper	2	1468	30.39%	26.79%
9	2003-11-29	63.3	@ NK Mura	4	1410	32.69%	Primorje	3	1517	40.35%	26.97%
10	2004-05-15	62.8	@ Gorica	1	1514	48.48%	Maribor	1	1506	25.46%	26.06%
11	2004-04-10	62.7	@ Maribor	1	1499	43.72%	Primorje	1	1526	29.57%	26.71%
12	2004-05-02	62.1	Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	2	1491	22.01%	@ Primorje	1	1533	52.83%	25.16%
13	2004-04-04	61.9	Dravograd	3	1301	13.06%	@ Celje	2	1470	66.70%	20.24%
14	2003-08-03	61.6	@ NK Mura	2	1414	47.23%	Gorica	2	1415	26.50%	26.27%
15	2004-05-02	61.3	@ Anet Koper	1	1469	40.45%	Gorica	1	1520	32.59%	26.96%
16	2004-04-18	60.9	@ Domzale	2	1355	33.77%	Celje	2	1453	39.21%	27.02%
17	2004-05-12	60.7	NK Mura	2	1430	17.76%	@ Primorje	1	1524	58.84%	23.40%
18	2004-05-21	60.7	@ Domzale	2	1403	50.91%	Smartno	2	1376	23.49%	25.60%
19	2003-11-05	60.5	Domzale	3	1342	17.97%	@ Smartno	2	1432	58.52%	23.51%
20	2003-10-19	60.3	@ Dravograd	2	1363	39.84%	NK Mura	2	1419	33.17%	26.99%
21	2004-05-08	59.9	@ NK Mura	1	1430	34.83%	Gorica	1	1520	38.12%	27.05%
22	2004-04-24	59.8	@ Gorica	0	1521	45.88%	Primorje	0	1532	27.66%	26.46%
23	2004-04-24	59.7	Maribor	2	1485	24.80%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	1	1499	49.27%	25.92%
24	2003-10-19	59.6	@ Smartno	1	1428	35.28%	Primorje	1	1515	37.67%	27.06%
25	2004-04-18	59.3	Gorica	2	1513	28.74%	@ Maribor	1	1492	44.65%	26.61%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-10-26	29.6	@ Primorje	3	1515	72.32%	Ljubljana	0	1287	10.21%	17.47%
2	2003-11-05	32.6	@ Anet Koper	3	1464	62.46%	Dravograd	0	1337	15.48%	22.06%
3	2003-08-23	32.9	@ Gorica	3	1461	61.48%	Domzale	0	1343	16.08%	22.44%
4	2004-05-30	33.1	@ Celje	5	1427	65.67%	Dravograd	1	1269	13.63%	20.70%
5	2003-08-08	33.2	@ Gorica	5	1416	56.02%	Ljubljana	0	1347	19.68%	24.30%
6	2003-10-29	33.3	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	4	1467	59.93%	Dravograd	0	1363	17.05%	23.02%
7	2004-03-07	33.6	@ Anet Koper	3	1476	61.48%	Drava Ptuj	0	1358	16.08%	22.44%
8	2004-03-14	33.6	@ Domzale	3	1340	51.16%	Dravograd	0	1311	23.29%	25.54%
9	2004-04-18	33.6	@ Smartno	3	1386	53.99%	Drava Ptuj	0	1333	21.14%	24.87%
10	2004-05-02	33.6	@ Domzale	5	1356	50.95%	Drava Ptuj	0	1329	23.46%	25.59%
11	2003-11-29	34.0	@ Gorica	3	1497	62.88%	Drava Ptuj	0	1366	15.23%	21.89%
12	2003-08-30	34.6	@ Primorje	4	1497	60.66%	NK Mura	0	1387	16.59%	22.75%
13	2004-04-10	34.7	@ Smartno	2	1382	56.14%	Dravograd	0	1312	19.59%	24.27%
14	2004-03-21	35.7	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	3	1478	57.95%	Smartno	0	1392	18.35%	23.70%
15	2004-05-12	35.9	@ Domzale	4	1379	60.24%	Dravograd	1	1272	16.85%	22.91%
16	2003-08-03	36.2	@ Primorje	6	1470	56.67%	Domzale	0	1395	19.22%	24.10%
17	2003-08-17	36.4	@ Ljubljana	3	1328	43.26%	Domzale	0	1359	29.98%	26.75%
18	2003-11-30	38.0	@ Maribor	1	1476	63.03%	Domzale	0	1343	15.14%	21.83%
19	2004-04-04	38.0	@ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)	4	1494	64.39%	Domzale	1	1348	14.35%	21.26%
20	2003-11-29	38.2	@ Celje	5	1475	52.39%	Smartno	0	1436	22.34%	25.27%
21	2003-09-21	38.7	NK Mura	4	1385	34.04%	@ Ljubljana	0	1323	38.94%	27.03%
22	2003-09-21	38.8	@ Maribor	1	1479	61.82%	Dravograd	0	1358	15.87%	22.31%
23	2003-09-12	39.8	@ Celje	3	1446	61.37%	Ljubljana	1	1329	16.15%	22.49%
24	2004-05-05	40.2	Celje	4	1443	48.48%	@ Dravograd	1	1277	25.45%	26.06%
25	2004-04-25	40.4	@ Drava Ptuj	3	1321	52.08%	Dravograd	1	1285	22.58%	25.34%