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2006-07 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Domzale

75 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Primorje

9.07 points above expected

55 points · 45.93 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Interblock Ljubljana

10.95 points below expected

26 points · 36.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Domzale 36 21 12 3 75 64 29 +35 67.52 +7.48
2 Gorica 36 17 7 12 58 66 63 +3 61.70 -3.70
3 Maribor 36 15 12 9 57 64 50 +14 55.26 +1.74
4 Primorje 36 15 10 11 55 52 47 +5 45.93 +9.07
5 Drava Ptuj 36 15 10 11 55 61 52 +9 50.42 +4.58
6 Nafta 36 12 9 15 45 45 59 -14 40.61 +4.39
7 Anet Koper 36 10 15 11 45 51 46 +5 51.81 -6.81
8 Celje 36 11 12 13 45 54 51 +3 43.66 +1.34
9 Interblock Ljubljana 36 5 11 20 26 34 68 -34 36.95 -10.95
10 Bela Krajina 36 5 10 21 25 38 64 -26 34.82 -9.82

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Primorje 55 45.93 +9.07
2 Domzale 75 67.52 +7.48
3 Drava Ptuj 55 50.42 +4.58
4 Nafta 45 40.61 +4.39
5 Maribor 57 55.26 +1.74

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Interblock Ljubljana 26 36.95 -10.95
2 Bela Krajina 25 34.82 -9.82
3 Anet Koper 45 51.81 -6.81
4 Gorica 58 61.70 -3.70
5 Celje 45 43.66 +1.34

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drava Ptuj 5 May 2 – May 19 1 in 85
2 Nafta 3 Sep 23 – Oct 1 1 in 42
3 Gorica 4 Mar 31 – Apr 11 1 in 26
4 Primorje 3 Jul 30 – Aug 12 1 in 23
5 Celje 2 Oct 14 – Oct 18 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bela Krajina 8 Apr 21 – May 26 1 in 452
2 Drava Ptuj 3 Mar 17 – Apr 4 1 in 55
3 Interblock Ljubljana 5 Apr 4 – Apr 22 1 in 44
4 Anet Koper 3 Apr 4 – Apr 11 1 in 37
5 Gorica 2 Oct 18 – Oct 21 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Domzale 27 Jul 30 – Apr 11 1 in 471
2 Maribor 13 Sep 17 – Mar 3 1 in 123
3 Nafta 8 Sep 13 – Oct 21 1 in 51
4 Celje 6 Apr 4 – Apr 28 1 in 44
5 Drava Ptuj 8 Oct 21 – Mar 11 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Anet Koper 9 Aug 5 – Sep 23 1 in 95
2 Bela Krajina 14 Sep 17 – Mar 11 1 in 46
3 Drava Ptuj 7 Sep 13 – Oct 18 1 in 44
4 Gorica 5 Sep 27 – Oct 21 1 in 24
5 Domzale 4 Apr 15 – May 2 1 in 22

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Domzale 1624 75 +29 13 9.9 +3.1
Gorica 1519 58 -44 6 8.9 -2.9
Maribor 1528 57 +11 7 7.6 -0.6
Drava Ptuj 1497 55 +26 12 7.4 +4.6
Primorje 1462 55 -5 7 5.2 +1.8
Anet Koper 1511 45 +37 9 6.3 +2.7
Celje 1461 45 +11 8 7.7 +0.3
Nafta 1395 45 -14 4 5.3 -1.3
Interblock Ljubljana 1348 26 -7 5 4.4 +0.6
Bela Krajina 1323 25 -45 0 5.2 -5.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AK BK CEL DOM DP GOR IL MAR NAF PRI
Anet Koper —
2-2-0
7.10
2-1-1
6.44
0-2-2
3.82
1-0-3
5.48
1-1-2
4.32
2-2-0
6.93
1-3-0
5.13
1-2-1
6.58
0-2-2
6.04
Bela Krajina
0-2-2
3.78
—
0-1-3
4.68
1-0-3
2.61
1-0-3
3.62
1-1-2
2.95
0-2-2
5.26
1-1-2
3.61
1-1-2
4.74
0-2-2
4.09
Celje
1-1-2
4.36
3-1-0
6.14
—
0-2-2
3.12
0-3-1
4.45
1-1-2
3.43
2-2-0
6.03
1-1-2
4.22
0-1-3
5.54
3-0-1
4.75
Domzale
2-2-0
7.05
3-0-1
8.50
2-2-0
7.87
—
2-2-0
7.24
2-1-1
6.00
2-2-0
8.68
2-1-1
6.88
3-1-0
8.10
3-1-0
7.47
Drava Ptuj
3-0-1
5.28
3-0-1
7.27
1-3-0
6.34
0-2-2
3.65
—
2-0-2
4.23
2-0-2
7.21
0-3-1
5.18
3-1-0
6.36
1-1-2
5.82
Gorica
2-1-1
6.48
2-1-1
8.07
2-1-1
7.49
1-1-2
4.77
2-0-2
6.57
—
3-1-0
8.08
1-1-2
6.42
2-0-2
7.64
2-1-1
6.79
Interblock Ljubljana
0-2-2
3.90
2-2-0
5.50
0-2-2
4.79
0-2-2
2.47
2-0-2
3.68
0-1-3
2.93
—
0-0-4
3.61
1-1-2
4.76
0-1-3
4.49
Maribor
0-3-1
5.62
2-1-1
7.27
2-1-1
6.60
1-1-2
3.96
1-3-0
5.59
2-1-1
4.39
4-0-0
7.31
—
2-1-1
6.67
1-1-2
6.16
Nafta
1-2-1
4.24
2-1-1
6.03
3-1-0
5.23
0-1-3
2.92
0-1-3
4.47
2-0-2
3.31
2-1-1
5.99
1-1-2
4.15
—
1-1-2
4.81
Primorje
2-2-0
4.73
2-2-0
6.74
1-0-3
6.03
0-1-3
3.46
2-1-1
4.94
1-1-2
4.03
3-1-0
6.35
2-1-1
4.63
2-1-1
5.95
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +12.1
Allowed 0.61 -10.4
Differential 0.89 +7.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.22%5.28%6.39%2.78%1.39%0.56%23.61%
15.28%15.56%6.11%5.56%1.67%0.83%35.00%
26.39%6.11%6.11%2.78%0.83%0.56%22.78%
32.78%5.56%2.78%1.11%——12.22%
41.39%1.67%0.83%——0.28%4.17%
5+0.56%0.83%0.56%—0.28%—2.22%
Total23.61%35.00%22.78%12.22%4.17%2.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.28 1.87
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%5.56%———19.44%
15.56%19.44%16.67%———41.67%
22.78%8.33%13.89%2.78%——27.78%
3—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total16.67%41.67%38.89%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.28 +0.14
SD 1.30 0.78 1.42
CV 0.91 0.61 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%41.67%
12.78%11.11%13.89%———27.78%
2—5.56%11.11%2.78%5.56%—25.00%
3———————
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total8.33%38.89%33.33%8.33%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.78 -0.72
SD 1.29 1.17 1.77
CV 1.22 0.66 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%11.11%———25.00%
12.78%13.89%5.56%11.11%2.78%—36.11%
28.33%—5.56%2.78%——16.67%
3—5.56%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%25.00%27.78%16.67%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.42 +0.08
SD 1.36 1.16 1.86
CV 0.91 0.82 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%2.78%2.78%———19.44%
111.11%16.67%———2.78%30.56%
25.56%11.11%2.78%———19.44%
38.33%8.33%2.78%———19.44%
45.56%2.78%————8.33%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total44.44%41.67%11.11%——2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 0.81 +0.97
SD 1.44 1.12 1.76
CV 0.81 1.39 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%11.11%———22.22%
12.78%19.44%5.56%——2.78%30.56%
22.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
35.56%13.89%—2.78%——22.22%
4——5.56%———5.56%
5+————2.78%—2.78%
Total13.89%50.00%25.00%5.56%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.44 +0.25
SD 1.43 1.18 1.71
CV 0.84 0.82 —
Max 6 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%5.56%—2.78%—16.67%
15.56%11.11%—8.33%5.56%2.78%33.33%
25.56%11.11%—2.78%——19.44%
32.78%5.56%8.33%2.78%——19.44%
4—2.78%———2.78%5.56%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total22.22%36.11%13.89%13.89%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.75 +0.08
SD 1.46 1.70 2.32
CV 0.80 0.97 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%2.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%36.11%
15.56%13.89%2.78%8.33%2.78%—33.33%
28.33%—11.11%8.33%2.78%—30.56%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%25.00%16.67%27.78%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.89 -0.94
SD 0.83 1.39 1.66
CV 0.87 0.74 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%——2.78%——5.56%
12.78%25.00%5.56%8.33%5.56%—47.22%
211.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%——25.00%
35.56%2.78%5.56%———13.89%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total25.00%36.11%19.44%13.89%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.39 +0.39
SD 1.22 1.18 1.86
CV 0.69 0.85 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%5.56%8.33%2.78%—25.00%
18.33%13.89%8.33%8.33%——38.89%
28.33%5.56%5.56%——5.56%25.00%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%30.56%19.44%16.67%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.64 -0.39
SD 1.02 1.55 1.98
CV 0.82 0.95 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—11.11%—2.78%—25.00%
15.56%11.11%2.78%11.11%——30.56%
211.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
32.78%8.33%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total33.33%25.00%22.22%16.67%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.31 +0.14
SD 1.16 1.19 1.76
CV 0.80 0.91 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Domzale 1624 75 67.52 +7.48 91.0% 49 55 64 68 71 77 88
Maribor 1528 57 55.26 +1.74 60.0% 40 40 51 55 60 69 75
Gorica 1519 58 61.70 -3.70 32.0% 44 50 56 62 67 74 78
Anet Koper 1511 45 51.81 -6.81 16.0% 32 38 47 52 56 64 81
Drava Ptuj 1497 55 50.42 +4.58 77.0% 29 38 46 51 55 60 69
Primorje 1462 55 45.93 +9.07 92.0% 27 34 41 46 51 57 59
Celje 1461 45 43.66 +1.34 58.0% 27 32 37 44 48 55 65
Nafta 1395 45 40.61 +4.39 75.0% 21 28 36 41 45 52 58
Interblock Ljubljana 1348 26 36.95 -10.95 5.0% 20 25 33 37 41 48 56
Bela Krajina 1323 25 34.82 -9.82 9.0% 17 22 30 35 40 45 57

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.78%
Clear Edge
43.89%30.00%26.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge
217 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
062.43600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.32 goals
Neutral
-2+0.29+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
61%
Domzale, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.47/gm
Runaway
00.200.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.85 * Some Luck: 5.85 to 8.78 * Lucky: 8.78 to 11.7 * Wild Swing: 11.7 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.03 * Close: 1.03 to 1.54 * Off: 1.54 to 2.06 * Way Off: 2.06 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.77 points
Some Luck
07.3218
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.283
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
92.00%
Primorje
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
5.00%
Interblock Ljubljana
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 90.60
1.97
Moderate Separation
11.82.052.75
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Even
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Few
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Slight Separation
00.310.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.94
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.71
Strong Carryover
00.420.630.791
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.69
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.07
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.053
Well Within Noise
00.1300.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Domzale61.00%25.00%10.00%2.00%2.00%—————
Gorica24.00%40.00%15.00%13.00%6.00%—1.00%1.00%——
Maribor13.00%15.00%26.00%16.00%7.00%11.00%5.00%6.00%1.00%—
Primorje—1.00%8.00%13.00%21.00%18.00%15.00%11.00%9.00%4.00%
Drava Ptuj1.00%6.00%17.00%24.00%18.00%11.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%
Nafta——1.00%4.00%6.00%17.00%18.00%23.00%16.00%15.00%
Anet Koper1.00%11.00%17.00%19.00%21.00%14.00%11.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%
Celje—2.00%4.00%8.00%14.00%19.00%15.00%16.00%15.00%7.00%
Interblock Ljubljana——1.00%—3.00%9.00%10.00%15.00%27.00%35.00%
Bela Krajina——1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%14.00%18.00%26.00%37.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Domzale 100% — —
Gorica 100% — —
Maribor 99.00% 1.00% —
Anet Koper 97.00% 2.00% 1.00%
Drava Ptuj 95.00% 4.00% 1.00%
Primorje 87.00% 9.00% 4.00%
Celje 78.00% 15.00% 7.00%
Nafta 69.00% 16.00% 15.00%
Interblock Ljubljana 38.00% 27.00% 35.00%
Bela Krajina 37.00% 26.00% 37.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2006-07-29 Drava Ptuj W 1-048.9 1479 1494 40.88% 31.29% 27.83%+0.22 +5.0 3
2006-07-29 @ Maribor L 0-148.9 1494 1479 27.83% 31.29% 40.88%-0.22 -5.0 0
2006-07-29 Gorica D 0-057.0 1420 1588 21.86% 29.36% 48.78%-0.49 +1.0 1
2006-07-29 @ Celje D 0-057.0 1588 1420 48.78% 29.36% 21.86%+0.49 -1.0 1
2006-07-30 Bela Krajina W 1-040.1 1556 1379 65.38% 21.44% 13.18%+1.11 +2.3 3
2006-07-30 @ Domzale L 0-140.1 1379 1556 13.18% 21.44% 65.38%-1.11 -2.3 0
2006-07-30 Nafta W 1-042.1 1420 1392 46.73% 30.00% 23.28%+0.42 +4.3 3
2006-07-30 @ Primorje L 0-142.1 1392 1420 23.28% 30.00% 46.73%-0.42 -4.3 0
2006-07-31 Interblock Ljubljana W 3-146.4 1503 1435 52.06% 28.16% 19.78%+0.60 +6.1 3
2006-07-31 @ Anet Koper L 1-346.4 1435 1503 19.78% 28.16% 52.06%-0.60 -6.1 0
2006-08-04 Domzale L 1-350.2 1421 1559 24.78% 30.54% 44.68%-0.35 -7.5 1
2006-08-04 @ Celje W 3-150.2 1559 1421 44.68% 30.54% 24.78%+0.35 +7.5 6
2006-08-05 Anet Koper W 2-155.2 1489 1509 40.13% 31.40% 28.47%+0.20 +4.8 3
2006-08-05 @ Drava Ptuj L 1-255.2 1509 1489 28.47% 31.40% 40.13%-0.20 -4.8 3
2006-08-05 Primorje L 0-443.6 1429 1424 43.54% 30.80% 25.66%+0.31 -24.7 0
2006-08-05 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 4-043.6 1424 1429 25.66% 30.80% 43.54%-0.31 +24.7 6
2006-08-06 Maribor W 2-154.1 1376 1484 28.09% 31.34% 40.57%-0.21 +6.2 3
2006-08-06 @ Bela Krajina L 1-254.1 1484 1376 40.57% 31.34% 28.09%+0.21 -6.2 3
2006-08-06 Nafta W 2-037.5 1587 1388 67.78% 20.02% 12.20%+1.21 +4.0 4
2006-08-06 @ Gorica L 0-237.5 1388 1587 12.20% 20.02% 67.78%-1.21 -4.0 0
2006-08-12 Bela Krajina D 2-263.8 1504 1383 58.78% 25.08% 16.15%+0.85 -1.1 4
2006-08-12 @ Anet Koper D 2-263.8 1383 1504 16.15% 25.08% 58.78%-0.85 +1.1 4
2006-08-12 Drava Ptuj W 1-049.0 1449 1494 36.64% 31.74% 31.62%+0.08 +5.5 9
2006-08-12 @ Primorje L 0-149.0 1494 1449 31.62% 31.74% 36.64%-0.08 -5.5 3
2006-08-12 Interblock Ljubljana D 2-259.3 1384 1404 40.14% 31.40% 28.46%+0.20 -0.3 1
2006-08-12 @ Nafta D 2-259.3 1404 1384 28.46% 31.40% 40.14%-0.20 +0.3 1
2006-08-13 Celje W 2-039.4 1478 1414 51.56% 28.36% 20.08%+0.58 +7.1 6
2006-08-13 @ Maribor L 0-239.4 1414 1478 20.08% 28.36% 51.56%-0.58 -7.1 1
2006-08-13 Gorica W 1-055.6 1566 1591 39.45% 31.49% 29.06%+0.17 +5.2 9
2006-08-13 @ Domzale L 0-155.6 1591 1566 29.06% 31.49% 39.45%-0.17 -5.2 4
2006-08-19 Interblock Ljubljana W 5-036.8 1586 1404 65.82% 21.18% 13.00%+1.13 +10.1 7
2006-08-19 @ Gorica L 0-536.8 1404 1586 13.00% 21.18% 65.82%-1.13 -10.1 1
2006-08-19 Anet Koper D 1-157.0 1407 1503 29.49% 31.55% 38.97%-0.16 +0.3 2
2006-08-19 @ Celje D 1-157.0 1503 1407 38.97% 31.55% 29.49%+0.16 -0.3 5
2006-08-19 Maribor W 3-150.1 1571 1485 54.37% 27.18% 18.44%+0.69 +5.6 12
2006-08-19 @ Domzale L 1-350.1 1485 1571 18.44% 27.18% 54.37%-0.69 -5.7 6
2006-08-19 Nafta W 3-035.3 1488 1384 56.66% 26.12% 17.21%+0.77 +8.8 6
2006-08-19 @ Drava Ptuj L 0-335.3 1384 1488 17.21% 26.12% 56.66%-0.77 -8.8 1
2006-08-20 Primorje D 2-260.4 1384 1455 32.88% 31.80% 35.32%-0.04 +0.0 5
2006-08-20 @ Bela Krajina D 2-260.4 1455 1384 35.32% 31.80% 32.88%+0.04 -0.1 10
2006-08-26 Bela Krajina W 1-042.4 1375 1384 41.72% 31.15% 27.12%+0.25 +4.9 4
2006-08-26 @ Nafta L 0-142.4 1384 1375 27.12% 31.15% 41.72%-0.25 -4.9 5
2006-08-26 Drava Ptuj L 0-146.3 1394 1497 28.70% 31.44% 39.86%-0.19 -5.1 1
2006-08-26 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 1-046.3 1497 1394 39.86% 31.44% 28.70%+0.19 +5.1 9
2006-08-27 Celje W 2-039.2 1455 1407 49.38% 29.16% 21.46%+0.51 +7.6 13
2006-08-27 @ Primorje L 0-239.2 1407 1455 21.46% 29.16% 49.38%-0.51 -7.6 2
2006-08-27 Domzale D 1-163.1 1503 1577 32.43% 31.78% 35.78%-0.05 +0.1 6
2006-08-27 @ Anet Koper D 1-163.1 1577 1503 35.78% 31.78% 32.43%+0.05 -0.1 13
2006-08-27 Gorica D 1-163.2 1480 1596 27.08% 31.14% 41.78%-0.25 +0.5 7
2006-08-27 @ Maribor D 1-163.2 1596 1480 41.78% 31.14% 27.08%+0.25 -0.5 8
2006-08-30 Drava Ptuj W 3-259.4 1596 1502 55.28% 26.78% 17.95%+0.72 +3.0 11
2006-08-30 @ Gorica L 2-359.4 1502 1596 17.95% 26.78% 55.28%-0.72 -3.0 9
2006-08-30 Interblock Ljubljana L 0-146.9 1379 1389 41.50% 31.19% 27.31%+0.24 -6.7 5
2006-08-30 @ Bela Krajina W 1-046.9 1389 1379 27.31% 31.19% 41.50%-0.24 +6.7 4
2006-08-30 Anet Koper D 1-159.7 1480 1503 39.73% 31.45% 28.82%+0.18 -0.3 8
2006-08-30 @ Maribor D 1-159.7 1503 1480 28.82% 31.45% 39.73%-0.18 +0.3 7
2006-08-30 Nafta L 1-253.3 1399 1380 45.61% 30.30% 24.09%+0.38 -6.8 2
2006-08-30 @ Celje W 2-153.3 1380 1399 24.09% 30.30% 45.61%-0.38 +6.7 7
2006-08-30 Primorje W 3-148.4 1577 1462 57.94% 25.50% 16.56%+0.82 +5.0 16
2006-08-30 @ Domzale L 1-348.4 1462 1577 16.56% 25.50% 57.94%-0.82 -5.0 13
2006-09-08 Celje L 2-454.1 1396 1393 43.37% 30.83% 25.79%+0.30 -10.1 4
2006-09-08 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 4-254.1 1393 1396 25.79% 30.83% 43.37%-0.30 +10.1 5
2006-09-09 Bela Krajina W 4-246.1 1499 1372 59.43% 24.74% 15.83%+0.87 +4.3 12
2006-09-09 @ Drava Ptuj L 2-446.1 1372 1499 15.83% 24.74% 59.43%-0.87 -4.3 5
2006-09-09 Domzale L 1-250.5 1387 1582 19.60% 28.04% 52.36%-0.61 -3.5 7
2006-09-09 @ Nafta W 2-150.5 1582 1387 52.36% 28.04% 19.60%+0.61 +3.5 19
2006-09-09 Gorica D 1-163.9 1503 1599 29.64% 31.56% 38.80%-0.15 +0.3 8
2006-09-09 @ Anet Koper D 1-163.9 1599 1503 38.80% 31.56% 29.64%+0.15 -0.3 12
2006-09-10 Maribor W 3-258.2 1457 1480 39.79% 31.45% 28.77%+0.18 +4.6 16
2006-09-10 @ Primorje L 2-358.2 1480 1457 28.77% 31.45% 39.79%-0.18 -4.6 8
2006-09-13 Bela Krajina L 1-457.3 1598 1368 71.13% 17.98% 10.89%+1.35 -22.6 12
2006-09-13 @ Gorica W 4-157.3 1368 1598 10.89% 17.98% 71.13%-1.35 +22.6 8
2006-09-13 Drava Ptuj D 3-366.6 1403 1504 28.96% 31.47% 39.57%-0.18 +0.2 6
2006-09-13 @ Celje D 3-366.6 1504 1403 39.57% 31.47% 28.96%+0.18 -0.2 13
2006-09-13 Interblock Ljubljana W 1-040.7 1586 1386 67.84% 19.98% 12.18%+1.21 +2.1 22
2006-09-13 @ Domzale L 0-140.7 1386 1586 12.18% 19.98% 67.84%-1.21 -2.1 4
2006-09-13 Nafta L 1-354.0 1475 1383 55.09% 26.86% 18.05%+0.71 -13.4 8
2006-09-13 @ Maribor W 3-154.0 1383 1475 18.05% 26.86% 55.09%-0.71 +13.4 10
2006-09-13 Primorje D 0-055.4 1504 1462 48.62% 29.41% 21.97%+0.48 -1.0 9
2006-09-13 @ Anet Koper D 0-055.4 1462 1504 21.97% 29.41% 48.62%-0.48 +1.0 17
2006-09-16 Domzale D 1-163.5 1503 1588 31.07% 31.70% 37.23%-0.10 +0.2 14
2006-09-16 @ Drava Ptuj D 1-163.5 1588 1503 37.23% 31.70% 31.07%+0.10 -0.2 23
2006-09-16 Anet Koper D 1-156.7 1397 1503 28.31% 31.38% 40.31%-0.20 +0.4 11
2006-09-16 @ Nafta D 1-156.7 1503 1397 40.31% 31.38% 28.31%+0.20 -0.4 10
2006-09-17 Celje D 1-153.9 1391 1403 41.21% 31.24% 27.55%+0.23 -0.4 9
2006-09-17 @ Bela Krajina D 1-153.9 1403 1391 27.55% 31.24% 41.21%-0.23 +0.4 7
2006-09-17 Maribor L 0-242.6 1384 1462 31.91% 31.76% 36.33%-0.07 -10.5 4
2006-09-17 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 2-042.6 1462 1384 36.33% 31.76% 31.91%+0.07 +10.5 11
2006-09-17 Gorica D 3-371.5 1463 1576 27.49% 31.23% 41.29%-0.23 +0.3 18
2006-09-17 @ Primorje D 3-371.5 1576 1463 41.29% 31.23% 27.49%+0.23 -0.3 13
2006-09-23 Celje W 2-038.5 1575 1403 64.74% 21.81% 13.45%+1.08 +4.5 16
2006-09-23 @ Gorica L 0-238.5 1403 1575 13.45% 21.81% 64.74%-1.08 -4.5 7
2006-09-23 Anet Koper D 2-261.7 1373 1502 25.67% 30.80% 43.52%-0.31 +0.4 5
2006-09-23 @ Interblock Ljubljana D 2-261.7 1502 1373 43.52% 30.80% 25.67%+0.31 -0.4 11
2006-09-23 Maribor D 1-159.9 1503 1472 47.22% 29.85% 22.93%+0.43 -0.8 15
2006-09-23 @ Drava Ptuj D 1-159.9 1472 1503 22.93% 29.85% 47.22%-0.43 +0.8 12
2006-09-23 Primorje W 2-043.9 1397 1463 33.58% 31.81% 34.61%-0.02 +11.1 14
2006-09-23 @ Nafta L 0-243.9 1463 1397 34.61% 31.81% 33.58%+0.02 -11.1 18
2006-09-24 Domzale L 1-250.7 1390 1587 19.45% 27.93% 52.62%-0.62 -3.4 9
2006-09-24 @ Bela Krajina W 2-150.7 1587 1390 52.62% 27.93% 19.45%+0.62 +3.4 26
2006-09-27 Bela Krajina W 3-035.6 1473 1387 54.38% 27.18% 18.44%+0.69 +9.5 15
2006-09-27 @ Maribor L 0-335.6 1387 1473 18.44% 27.18% 54.38%-0.69 -9.5 9
2006-09-27 Celje D 0-059.0 1591 1399 66.98% 20.49% 12.52%+1.17 -2.1 27
2006-09-27 @ Domzale D 0-059.0 1399 1591 12.52% 20.49% 66.98%-1.17 +2.1 8
2006-09-27 Drava Ptuj W 1-049.5 1502 1503 42.82% 30.95% 26.23%+0.28 +4.8 14
2006-09-27 @ Anet Koper L 0-149.5 1503 1502 26.23% 30.95% 42.82%-0.28 -4.8 15
2006-09-27 Interblock Ljubljana W 3-142.6 1452 1374 53.37% 27.62% 19.01%+0.65 +5.8 21
2006-09-27 @ Primorje L 1-342.6 1374 1452 19.01% 27.62% 53.37%-0.65 -5.8 5
2006-09-27 Gorica W 2-051.9 1408 1580 21.51% 29.18% 49.31%-0.51 +14.3 17
2006-09-27 @ Nafta L 0-251.9 1580 1408 49.31% 29.18% 21.51%+0.51 -14.3 16
2006-09-30 Domzale D 0-061.3 1566 1589 39.71% 31.46% 28.83%+0.18 -0.4 17
2006-09-30 @ Gorica D 0-061.3 1589 1566 28.83% 31.46% 39.71%-0.18 +0.4 28
2006-09-30 Maribor L 1-349.2 1401 1482 31.45% 31.73% 36.82%-0.09 -9.0 8
2006-09-30 @ Celje W 3-149.2 1482 1401 36.82% 31.73% 31.45%+0.09 +9.0 18
2006-09-30 Primorje L 0-250.5 1498 1458 48.38% 29.49% 22.13%+0.47 -14.1 15
2006-09-30 @ Drava Ptuj W 2-050.5 1458 1498 22.13% 29.49% 48.38%-0.47 +14.1 24
2006-10-01 Anet Koper D 2-262.0 1377 1507 25.63% 30.79% 43.58%-0.31 +0.4 10
2006-10-01 @ Bela Krajina D 2-262.0 1507 1377 43.58% 30.79% 25.63%+0.31 -0.4 15
2006-10-01 Nafta L 1-445.4 1368 1422 35.23% 31.80% 32.98%+0.04 -13.7 5
2006-10-01 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 4-145.4 1422 1368 32.98% 31.80% 35.23%-0.04 +13.7 20
2006-10-14 Bela Krajina W 2-037.0 1472 1378 55.39% 26.72% 17.89%+0.72 +6.3 27
2006-10-14 @ Primorje L 0-237.0 1378 1472 17.89% 26.72% 55.39%-0.72 -6.3 10
2006-10-14 Celje L 0-250.1 1506 1392 57.87% 25.54% 16.60%+0.81 -16.1 15
2006-10-14 @ Anet Koper W 2-050.1 1392 1506 16.60% 25.54% 57.87%-0.81 +16.1 11
2006-10-14 Domzale D 1-163.2 1491 1589 29.33% 31.52% 39.15%-0.16 +0.3 19
2006-10-14 @ Maribor D 1-163.2 1589 1491 39.15% 31.52% 29.33%+0.16 -0.3 29
2006-10-14 Drava Ptuj D 1-157.3 1436 1484 36.20% 31.76% 32.04%+0.07 -0.1 21
2006-10-14 @ Nafta D 1-157.3 1484 1436 32.04% 31.76% 36.20%-0.07 +0.1 16
2006-10-15 Gorica D 1-158.7 1354 1565 18.43% 27.17% 54.39%-0.69 +1.2 6
2006-10-15 @ Interblock Ljubljana D 1-158.7 1565 1354 54.39% 27.17% 18.43%+0.69 -1.2 18
2006-10-18 Interblock Ljubljana L 0-248.6 1484 1355 59.62% 24.64% 15.74%+0.88 -16.4 16
2006-10-18 @ Drava Ptuj W 2-048.6 1355 1484 15.74% 24.64% 59.62%-0.88 +16.4 9
2006-10-18 Anet Koper W 3-258.6 1589 1490 55.94% 26.47% 17.59%+0.74 +3.0 32
2006-10-18 @ Domzale L 2-358.6 1490 1589 17.59% 26.47% 55.94%-0.74 -3.0 15
2006-10-18 Maribor L 1-458.1 1564 1492 52.61% 27.93% 19.45%+0.62 -18.4 18
2006-10-18 @ Gorica W 4-158.1 1492 1564 19.45% 27.93% 52.61%-0.62 +18.4 22
2006-10-18 Nafta D 0-049.8 1371 1436 33.77% 31.81% 34.41%-0.01 +0.0 11
2006-10-18 @ Bela Krajina D 0-049.8 1436 1371 34.41% 31.81% 33.77%+0.01 -0.0 22
2006-10-18 Primorje W 2-044.8 1408 1478 33.00% 31.80% 35.20%-0.04 +11.2 14
2006-10-18 @ Celje L 0-244.8 1478 1408 35.20% 31.80% 33.00%+0.04 -11.2 27
2006-10-21 Celje W 2-148.8 1436 1419 45.23% 30.40% 24.37%+0.36 +4.2 25
2006-10-21 @ Nafta L 1-248.8 1419 1436 24.37% 30.40% 45.23%-0.36 -4.2 14
2006-10-21 Maribor D 2-265.8 1487 1510 39.75% 31.45% 28.80%+0.18 -0.2 16
2006-10-21 @ Anet Koper D 2-265.8 1510 1487 28.80% 31.45% 39.75%-0.18 +0.2 23
2006-10-21 Gorica W 3-155.2 1468 1546 31.88% 31.76% 36.36%-0.07 +9.9 19
2006-10-21 @ Drava Ptuj L 1-355.2 1546 1468 36.36% 31.76% 31.88%+0.07 -9.9 18
2006-10-22 Bela Krajina D 1-153.0 1372 1371 43.00% 30.91% 26.09%+0.29 -0.5 10
2006-10-22 @ Interblock Ljubljana D 1-153.0 1371 1372 26.09% 30.91% 43.00%-0.29 +0.5 12
2006-10-22 Domzale L 0-248.1 1467 1592 26.15% 30.93% 42.93%-0.29 -9.0 27
2006-10-22 @ Primorje W 2-048.1 1592 1467 42.93% 30.93% 26.15%+0.29 +9.0 35
2006-10-28 Nafta W 6-244.8 1601 1440 63.41% 22.57% 14.02%+1.03 +6.4 38
2006-10-28 @ Domzale L 2-644.8 1440 1601 14.02% 22.57% 63.41%-1.03 -6.4 25
2006-10-28 Primorje W 2-042.6 1510 1458 49.99% 28.94% 21.07%+0.53 +7.5 26
2006-10-28 @ Maribor L 0-242.6 1458 1510 21.07% 28.94% 49.99%-0.53 -7.5 27
2006-10-29 Drava Ptuj L 2-451.2 1372 1477 28.37% 31.38% 40.25%-0.20 -7.4 12
2006-10-29 @ Bela Krajina W 4-251.2 1477 1372 40.25% 31.38% 28.37%+0.20 +7.4 22
2006-10-29 Interblock Ljubljana D 1-154.3 1415 1371 48.88% 29.33% 21.79%+0.49 -0.9 15
2006-10-29 @ Celje D 1-154.3 1371 1415 21.79% 29.33% 48.88%-0.49 +0.9 11
2006-10-29 Anet Koper W 1-048.1 1536 1487 49.55% 29.10% 21.35%+0.51 +4.0 21
2006-10-29 @ Gorica L 0-148.1 1487 1536 21.35% 29.10% 49.55%-0.51 -4.0 16
2006-11-04 Celje D 2-263.3 1485 1414 52.40% 28.02% 19.58%+0.61 -0.8 23
2006-11-04 @ Drava Ptuj D 2-263.3 1414 1485 19.58% 28.02% 52.40%-0.61 +0.8 16
2006-11-04 Maribor D 1-158.4 1434 1518 31.11% 31.71% 37.18%-0.10 +0.2 26
2006-11-04 @ Nafta D 1-158.4 1518 1434 37.18% 31.71% 31.11%+0.10 -0.2 27
2006-11-05 Domzale D 2-266.8 1372 1607 16.85% 25.78% 57.37%-0.80 +1.0 12
2006-11-05 @ Interblock Ljubljana D 2-266.8 1607 1372 57.37% 25.78% 16.85%+0.80 -1.0 39
2006-11-05 Anet Koper D 0-053.6 1451 1483 38.39% 31.60% 30.00%+0.14 -0.3 28
2006-11-05 @ Primorje D 0-053.6 1483 1451 30.00% 31.60% 38.39%-0.14 +0.3 17
2006-11-05 Gorica D 1-157.6 1364 1540 21.21% 29.02% 49.77%-0.52 +0.9 13
2006-11-05 @ Bela Krajina D 1-157.6 1540 1364 49.77% 29.02% 21.21%+0.52 -0.9 22
2006-11-10 Drava Ptuj D 1-165.5 1606 1484 58.83% 25.05% 16.13%+0.85 -1.5 40
2006-11-10 @ Domzale D 1-165.5 1484 1606 16.13% 25.05% 58.83%-0.85 +1.5 24
2006-11-11 Bela Krajina W 5-035.3 1415 1365 49.64% 29.07% 21.29%+0.52 +17.6 19
2006-11-11 @ Celje L 0-535.3 1365 1415 21.29% 29.07% 49.64%-0.52 -17.6 13
2006-11-11 Interblock Ljubljana W 3-250.1 1518 1373 61.51% 23.62% 14.86%+0.95 +2.4 30
2006-11-11 @ Maribor L 2-350.1 1373 1518 14.86% 23.62% 61.51%-0.95 -2.4 12
2006-11-11 Nafta D 2-263.6 1483 1434 49.60% 29.08% 21.32%+0.52 -0.7 18
2006-11-11 @ Anet Koper D 2-263.6 1434 1483 21.32% 29.08% 49.60%-0.52 +0.7 27
2006-11-11 Primorje W 3-147.5 1539 1450 54.68% 27.05% 18.27%+0.70 +5.6 25
2006-11-11 @ Gorica L 1-347.5 1450 1539 18.27% 27.05% 54.68%-0.70 -5.6 28
2006-11-18 Bela Krajina W 1-038.2 1605 1348 73.82% 16.32% 9.86%+1.47 +1.6 43
2006-11-18 @ Domzale L 0-138.2 1348 1605 9.86% 16.32% 73.82%-1.47 -1.6 13
2006-11-18 Drava Ptuj D 1-161.0 1520 1486 47.63% 29.73% 22.64%+0.45 -0.8 31
2006-11-18 @ Maribor D 1-161.0 1486 1520 22.64% 29.73% 47.63%-0.45 +0.8 25
2006-11-18 Interblock Ljubljana D 1-157.0 1483 1371 57.57% 25.68% 16.75%+0.80 -1.4 19
2006-11-18 @ Anet Koper D 1-157.0 1371 1483 16.75% 25.68% 57.57%-0.80 +1.4 13
2006-11-18 Gorica L 1-351.1 1433 1544 27.61% 31.25% 41.14%-0.23 -8.1 19
2006-11-18 @ Celje W 3-151.1 1544 1433 41.14% 31.25% 27.61%+0.23 +8.1 28
2006-11-19 Nafta W 3-039.2 1445 1435 44.32% 30.62% 25.06%+0.33 +12.6 31
2006-11-19 @ Primorje L 0-339.2 1435 1445 25.06% 30.62% 44.32%-0.33 -12.6 27
2006-11-25 Domzale L 1-447.8 1424 1606 20.67% 28.72% 50.61%-0.55 -9.0 19
2006-11-25 @ Celje W 4-147.8 1606 1424 50.61% 28.72% 20.67%+0.55 +9.0 46
2006-11-25 Anet Koper W 2-153.0 1486 1481 43.65% 30.77% 25.57%+0.31 +4.4 28
2006-11-25 @ Drava Ptuj L 1-253.0 1481 1486 25.57% 30.77% 43.65%-0.31 -4.4 19
2006-11-25 Nafta W 2-148.4 1553 1422 59.86% 24.51% 15.63%+0.89 +2.7 31
2006-11-25 @ Gorica L 1-248.4 1422 1553 15.63% 24.51% 59.86%-0.89 -2.7 27
2006-11-25 Primorje D 0-050.4 1372 1457 30.94% 31.69% 37.36%-0.11 +0.2 14
2006-11-25 @ Interblock Ljubljana D 0-050.4 1457 1372 37.36% 31.69% 30.94%+0.11 -0.2 32
2006-11-26 Maribor D 1-156.4 1346 1519 21.42% 29.13% 49.45%-0.51 +0.9 14
2006-11-26 @ Bela Krajina D 1-156.4 1519 1346 49.45% 29.13% 21.42%+0.51 -0.9 32
2007-03-03 Bela Krajina W 2-143.6 1477 1347 59.74% 24.57% 15.68%+0.89 +2.7 22
2007-03-03 @ Anet Koper L 1-243.6 1347 1477 15.68% 24.57% 59.74%-0.89 -2.7 14
2007-03-03 Celje D 2-265.0 1518 1415 56.45% 26.23% 17.32%+0.76 -1.0 33
2007-03-03 @ Maribor D 2-265.0 1415 1518 17.32% 26.23% 56.45%-0.76 +1.0 20
2007-03-03 Interblock Ljubljana W 3-143.0 1419 1372 49.30% 29.18% 21.51%+0.50 +6.6 30
2007-03-03 @ Nafta L 1-343.0 1372 1419 21.51% 29.18% 49.30%-0.50 -6.6 14
2007-03-03 Gorica W 4-046.7 1615 1555 50.99% 28.58% 20.44%+0.56 +13.8 49
2007-03-03 @ Domzale L 0-446.7 1555 1615 20.44% 28.58% 50.99%-0.56 -13.8 31
2007-03-04 Drava Ptuj L 1-353.3 1457 1491 38.21% 31.62% 30.17%+0.13 -10.3 32
2007-03-04 @ Primorje W 3-153.3 1491 1457 30.17% 31.62% 38.21%-0.13 +10.3 31
2007-03-10 Interblock Ljubljana W 3-249.6 1542 1366 65.17% 21.56% 13.27%+1.10 +2.1 34
2007-03-10 @ Gorica L 2-349.6 1366 1542 13.27% 21.56% 65.17%-1.10 -2.1 14
2007-03-10 Anet Koper L 2-358.5 1416 1479 34.01% 31.81% 34.18%+0.00 -5.2 20
2007-03-10 @ Celje W 3-258.5 1479 1416 34.18% 31.81% 34.01%+0.00 +5.2 25
2007-03-11 Maribor W 3-044.4 1629 1517 57.56% 25.69% 16.75%+0.80 +8.5 52
2007-03-11 @ Domzale L 0-344.4 1517 1629 16.75% 25.69% 57.56%-0.80 -8.5 33
2007-03-11 Nafta W 3-145.8 1501 1426 52.95% 27.79% 19.25%+0.63 +5.9 34
2007-03-11 @ Drava Ptuj L 1-345.8 1426 1501 19.25% 27.79% 52.95%-0.63 -5.9 30
2007-03-11 Primorje D 0-049.5 1344 1447 28.75% 31.44% 39.81%-0.18 +0.4 15
2007-03-11 @ Bela Krajina D 0-049.5 1447 1344 39.81% 31.44% 28.75%+0.18 -0.4 33
2007-03-17 Bela Krajina L 1-254.5 1420 1345 52.98% 27.78% 19.24%+0.64 -7.5 30
2007-03-17 @ Nafta W 2-154.5 1345 1420 19.24% 27.78% 52.98%-0.64 +7.5 18
2007-03-17 Domzale D 1-165.0 1485 1638 23.25% 29.99% 46.77%-0.42 +0.8 26
2007-03-17 @ Anet Koper D 1-165.0 1638 1485 46.77% 29.99% 23.25%+0.42 -0.8 53
2007-03-17 Drava Ptuj W 2-047.0 1364 1507 24.19% 30.34% 45.47%-0.37 +13.5 17
2007-03-17 @ Interblock Ljubljana L 0-247.0 1507 1364 45.47% 30.34% 24.19%+0.37 -13.5 34
2007-03-18 Celje L 2-360.8 1446 1411 47.73% 29.70% 22.57%+0.45 -6.6 33
2007-03-18 @ Primorje W 3-260.8 1411 1446 22.57% 29.70% 47.73%-0.45 +6.6 23
2007-03-18 Gorica W 3-263.0 1509 1544 38.02% 31.64% 30.34%+0.13 +4.8 36
2007-03-18 @ Maribor L 2-363.0 1544 1509 30.34% 31.64% 38.02%-0.13 -4.8 34
2007-03-31 Drava Ptuj W 2-153.8 1539 1493 49.09% 29.25% 21.65%+0.50 +3.8 37
2007-03-31 @ Gorica L 1-253.8 1493 1539 21.65% 29.25% 49.09%-0.50 -3.8 34
2007-03-31 Anet Koper D 0-056.5 1513 1485 46.78% 29.98% 23.24%+0.42 -0.9 37
2007-03-31 @ Maribor D 0-056.5 1485 1513 23.24% 29.98% 46.78%-0.42 +0.8 27
2007-03-31 Nafta L 0-148.9 1418 1412 43.68% 30.77% 25.55%+0.31 -6.9 23
2007-03-31 @ Celje W 1-048.9 1412 1418 25.55% 30.77% 43.68%-0.31 +6.9 33
2007-03-31 Primorje D 1-166.5 1637 1440 67.53% 20.17% 12.30%+1.20 -1.9 54
2007-03-31 @ Domzale D 1-166.5 1440 1637 12.30% 20.17% 67.53%-1.20 +1.9 34
2007-04-01 Interblock Ljubljana D 2-258.2 1352 1377 39.47% 31.49% 29.04%+0.17 -0.2 19
2007-04-01 @ Bela Krajina D 2-258.2 1377 1352 29.04% 31.49% 39.47%-0.17 +0.2 18
2007-04-04 Bela Krajina L 1-650.0 1490 1352 60.70% 24.06% 15.24%+0.92 -32.2 34
2007-04-04 @ Drava Ptuj W 6-150.0 1352 1490 15.24% 24.06% 60.70%-0.92 +32.2 22
2007-04-04 Celje L 0-146.5 1377 1411 38.21% 31.62% 30.17%+0.13 -6.3 18
2007-04-04 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 1-046.5 1411 1377 30.17% 31.62% 38.21%-0.13 +6.3 26
2007-04-04 Domzale D 0-059.5 1419 1635 18.14% 26.94% 54.93%-0.71 +1.4 34
2007-04-04 @ Nafta D 0-059.5 1635 1419 54.93% 26.94% 18.14%+0.71 -1.4 55
2007-04-04 Maribor W 3-152.8 1442 1513 32.89% 31.80% 35.32%-0.04 +9.7 37
2007-04-04 @ Primorje L 1-352.8 1513 1442 35.32% 31.80% 32.89%+0.04 -9.7 37
2007-04-04 Gorica L 1-258.5 1486 1543 34.95% 31.81% 33.25%+0.03 -5.6 27
2007-04-04 @ Anet Koper W 2-158.5 1543 1486 33.25% 31.81% 34.95%-0.03 +5.6 40
2007-04-07 Bela Krajina W 3-250.8 1548 1384 63.81% 22.34% 13.85%+1.04 +2.2 43
2007-04-07 @ Gorica L 2-350.8 1384 1548 13.85% 22.34% 63.81%-1.04 -2.2 22
2007-04-07 Drava Ptuj D 0-051.6 1417 1457 37.28% 31.70% 31.02%+0.10 -0.2 27
2007-04-07 @ Celje D 0-051.6 1457 1417 31.02% 31.70% 37.28%-0.10 +0.2 35
2007-04-07 Interblock Ljubljana W 3-034.6 1633 1371 74.37% 15.98% 9.65%+1.50 +4.2 58
2007-04-07 @ Domzale L 0-334.6 1371 1633 9.65% 15.98% 74.37%-1.50 -4.2 18
2007-04-07 Nafta W 6-243.4 1503 1421 53.86% 27.41% 18.73%+0.67 +8.9 40
2007-04-07 @ Maribor L 2-643.4 1421 1503 18.73% 27.41% 53.86%-0.67 -8.9 34
2007-04-07 Primorje L 0-249.3 1481 1451 46.93% 29.94% 23.13%+0.42 -13.8 27
2007-04-07 @ Anet Koper W 2-049.3 1451 1481 23.13% 29.94% 46.93%-0.42 +13.8 40
2007-04-11 Celje L 0-243.3 1382 1417 38.02% 31.64% 30.34%+0.13 -11.8 22
2007-04-11 @ Bela Krajina W 2-043.3 1417 1382 30.34% 31.64% 38.02%-0.13 +11.8 30
2007-04-11 Domzale L 1-255.7 1458 1638 20.82% 28.80% 50.38%-0.54 -3.7 35
2007-04-11 @ Drava Ptuj W 2-155.7 1638 1458 50.38% 28.80% 20.82%+0.54 +3.7 61
2007-04-11 Anet Koper W 1-047.3 1412 1467 35.15% 31.80% 33.04%+0.03 +5.7 37
2007-04-11 @ Nafta L 0-147.3 1467 1412 33.04% 31.80% 35.15%-0.03 -5.7 27
2007-04-11 Maribor L 1-249.4 1367 1512 24.01% 30.28% 45.71%-0.38 -4.2 18
2007-04-11 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 2-149.4 1512 1367 45.71% 30.28% 24.01%+0.38 +4.2 43
2007-04-11 Gorica L 1-256.7 1465 1551 30.93% 31.69% 37.38%-0.11 -5.1 40
2007-04-11 @ Primorje W 2-156.7 1551 1465 37.38% 31.69% 30.93%+0.11 +5.1 46
2007-04-14 Celje L 1-359.0 1556 1429 59.40% 24.75% 15.85%+0.87 -14.2 46
2007-04-14 @ Gorica W 3-159.0 1429 1556 15.85% 24.75% 59.40%-0.87 +14.2 33
2007-04-14 Primorje D 1-156.0 1418 1460 36.95% 31.72% 31.33%+0.09 -0.2 38
2007-04-14 @ Nafta D 1-156.0 1460 1418 31.33% 31.72% 36.95%-0.09 +0.2 41
2007-04-15 Domzale W 1-058.2 1370 1641 14.76% 23.50% 61.74%-0.96 +8.9 25
2007-04-15 @ Bela Krajina L 0-158.2 1641 1370 61.74% 23.50% 14.76%+0.96 -8.9 61
2007-04-15 Anet Koper L 0-144.6 1363 1461 29.22% 31.51% 39.27%-0.17 -5.2 18
2007-04-15 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 1-044.6 1461 1363 39.27% 31.51% 29.22%+0.17 +5.2 30
2007-04-15 Maribor D 1-159.1 1454 1516 34.14% 31.81% 34.04%+0.00 -0.0 36
2007-04-15 @ Drava Ptuj D 1-159.1 1516 1454 34.04% 31.81% 34.14%+0.00 +0.0 44
2007-04-21 Bela Krajina W 2-145.4 1516 1379 60.61% 24.11% 15.28%+0.92 +2.6 47
2007-04-21 @ Maribor L 1-245.4 1379 1516 15.28% 24.11% 60.61%-0.92 -2.6 25
2007-04-21 Celje D 0-062.1 1632 1443 66.70% 20.66% 12.64%+1.16 -2.1 62
2007-04-21 @ Domzale D 0-062.1 1443 1632 12.64% 20.66% 66.70%-1.16 +2.1 34
2007-04-21 Drava Ptuj L 1-257.0 1466 1454 44.66% 30.54% 24.80%+0.35 -6.6 30
2007-04-21 @ Anet Koper W 2-157.0 1454 1466 24.80% 30.54% 44.66%-0.35 +6.6 39
2007-04-21 Gorica W 2-049.4 1417 1541 26.22% 30.95% 42.83%-0.28 +12.9 41
2007-04-21 @ Nafta L 0-249.4 1541 1417 42.83% 30.95% 26.22%+0.28 -12.9 46
2007-04-22 Interblock Ljubljana W 3-249.6 1460 1357 56.46% 26.22% 17.32%+0.76 +2.9 44
2007-04-22 @ Primorje L 2-349.6 1357 1460 17.32% 26.22% 56.46%-0.76 -2.9 18
2007-04-27 Nafta W 2-042.4 1354 1430 32.22% 31.77% 36.01%-0.06 +11.4 21
2007-04-27 @ Interblock Ljubljana L 0-242.4 1430 1354 36.01% 31.77% 32.22%+0.06 -11.4 41
2007-04-28 Domzale W 6-156.5 1529 1630 28.83% 31.46% 39.71%-0.18 +23.6 49
2007-04-28 @ Gorica L 1-656.5 1630 1529 39.71% 31.46% 28.83%+0.18 -23.6 62
2007-04-28 Maribor W 4-150.7 1445 1519 32.52% 31.78% 35.70%-0.05 +13.8 37
2007-04-28 @ Celje L 1-450.7 1519 1445 35.70% 31.78% 32.52%+0.05 -13.8 47
2007-04-29 Anet Koper L 1-250.8 1376 1460 31.20% 31.71% 37.09%-0.10 -5.2 25
2007-04-29 @ Bela Krajina W 2-150.8 1460 1376 37.09% 31.71% 31.20%+0.10 +5.1 33
2007-04-29 Primorje D 1-157.7 1461 1463 42.58% 30.99% 26.42%+0.28 -0.5 40
2007-04-29 @ Drava Ptuj D 1-157.7 1463 1461 26.42% 30.99% 42.58%-0.28 +0.5 45
2007-05-02 Bela Krajina W 2-145.3 1464 1371 55.14% 26.84% 18.02%+0.71 +3.2 48
2007-05-02 @ Primorje L 1-245.3 1371 1464 18.02% 26.84% 55.14%-0.71 -3.2 25
2007-05-02 Celje W 2-042.8 1465 1459 43.77% 30.75% 25.48%+0.32 +8.8 36
2007-05-02 @ Anet Koper L 0-242.8 1459 1465 25.48% 30.75% 43.77%-0.32 -8.8 37
2007-05-02 Domzale W 2-054.1 1505 1607 28.81% 31.45% 39.74%-0.18 +12.2 50
2007-05-02 @ Maribor L 0-254.1 1607 1505 39.74% 31.45% 28.81%+0.18 -12.2 62
2007-05-02 Drava Ptuj L 1-350.7 1419 1460 37.14% 31.71% 31.15%+0.10 -10.1 41
2007-05-02 @ Nafta W 3-150.7 1460 1419 31.15% 31.71% 37.14%-0.10 +10.1 43
2007-05-02 Gorica L 0-338.4 1366 1552 20.31% 28.50% 51.20%-0.57 -10.5 21
2007-05-02 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 3-038.4 1552 1366 51.20% 28.50% 20.31%+0.57 +10.5 52
2007-05-05 Anet Koper W 2-152.3 1595 1474 58.68% 25.13% 16.20%+0.85 +2.8 65
2007-05-05 @ Domzale L 1-252.3 1474 1595 16.20% 25.13% 58.68%-0.85 -2.8 36
2007-05-05 Maribor W 4-150.0 1563 1517 49.12% 29.25% 21.64%+0.50 +9.4 55
2007-05-05 @ Gorica L 1-450.0 1517 1563 21.64% 29.25% 49.12%-0.50 -9.4 50
2007-05-05 Primorje W 3-149.1 1450 1467 40.60% 31.33% 28.06%+0.21 +8.2 40
2007-05-05 @ Celje L 1-349.1 1467 1450 28.06% 31.33% 40.60%-0.21 -8.2 48
2007-05-06 Interblock Ljubljana W 3-033.6 1470 1355 57.93% 25.50% 16.57%+0.82 +8.4 46
2007-05-06 @ Drava Ptuj L 0-333.6 1355 1470 16.57% 25.50% 57.93%-0.82 -8.4 21
2007-05-06 Nafta L 0-340.5 1368 1409 37.21% 31.70% 31.08%+0.10 -16.9 25
2007-05-06 @ Bela Krajina W 3-040.5 1409 1368 31.08% 31.70% 37.21%-0.10 +16.9 44
2007-05-12 Bela Krajina W 1-041.3 1347 1351 42.34% 31.04% 26.62%+0.27 +4.8 24
2007-05-12 @ Interblock Ljubljana L 0-141.3 1351 1347 26.62% 31.04% 42.34%-0.27 -4.8 25
2007-05-12 Celje D 1-156.2 1426 1458 38.36% 31.61% 30.03%+0.14 -0.3 45
2007-05-12 @ Nafta D 1-156.2 1458 1426 30.03% 31.61% 38.36%-0.14 +0.3 41
2007-05-12 Maribor W 2-155.2 1471 1508 37.78% 31.66% 30.56%+0.12 +5.1 39
2007-05-12 @ Anet Koper L 1-255.2 1508 1471 30.56% 31.66% 37.78%-0.12 -5.1 50
2007-05-13 Domzale L 0-444.9 1459 1597 24.64% 30.49% 44.86%-0.35 -16.3 48
2007-05-13 @ Primorje W 4-044.9 1597 1459 44.86% 30.49% 24.64%+0.35 +16.3 68
2007-05-13 Gorica W 6-463.9 1479 1572 29.88% 31.59% 38.53%-0.14 +8.4 49
2007-05-13 @ Drava Ptuj L 4-663.9 1572 1479 38.53% 31.59% 29.88%+0.14 -8.4 55
2007-05-16 Drava Ptuj L 0-239.7 1346 1487 24.47% 30.44% 45.10%-0.36 -8.5 25
2007-05-16 @ Bela Krajina W 2-039.7 1487 1346 45.10% 30.44% 24.47%+0.36 +8.5 52
2007-05-16 Interblock Ljubljana D 1-155.9 1459 1352 56.95% 25.99% 17.06%+0.78 -1.3 42
2007-05-16 @ Celje D 1-155.9 1352 1459 17.06% 25.99% 56.95%-0.78 +1.4 25
2007-05-16 Anet Koper L 1-755.7 1564 1476 54.54% 27.11% 18.35%+0.69 -35.3 55
2007-05-16 @ Gorica W 7-155.7 1476 1564 18.35% 27.11% 54.54%-0.69 +35.3 42
2007-05-16 Nafta W 3-038.2 1614 1425 66.56% 20.74% 12.69%+1.16 +6.1 71
2007-05-16 @ Domzale L 0-338.2 1425 1614 12.69% 20.74% 66.56%-1.16 -6.1 45
2007-05-16 Primorje D 1-159.2 1503 1442 51.04% 28.56% 20.41%+0.57 -1.0 51
2007-05-16 @ Maribor D 1-159.2 1442 1503 20.41% 28.56% 51.04%-0.57 +1.0 49
2007-05-19 Celje W 3-148.1 1496 1457 48.14% 29.57% 22.29%+0.46 +6.8 55
2007-05-19 @ Drava Ptuj L 1-348.1 1457 1496 22.29% 29.57% 48.14%-0.46 -6.8 42
2007-05-19 Domzale D 0-057.4 1353 1620 15.01% 23.80% 61.20%-0.94 +1.8 26
2007-05-19 @ Interblock Ljubljana D 0-057.4 1620 1353 61.20% 23.80% 15.01%+0.94 -1.8 72
2007-05-19 Anet Koper W 2-155.7 1443 1511 33.31% 31.81% 34.89%-0.03 +5.6 52
2007-05-19 @ Primorje L 1-255.7 1511 1443 34.89% 31.81% 33.31%+0.03 -5.6 42
2007-05-19 Maribor L 0-442.4 1419 1502 31.35% 31.72% 36.93%-0.09 -19.6 45
2007-05-19 @ Nafta W 4-042.4 1502 1419 36.93% 31.72% 31.35%+0.09 +19.6 54
2007-05-19 Gorica L 0-142.0 1338 1528 19.99% 28.29% 51.72%-0.59 -3.8 25
2007-05-19 @ Bela Krajina W 1-042.0 1528 1338 51.72% 28.29% 19.99%+0.59 +3.8 58
2007-05-26 Bela Krajina W 4-032.2 1450 1334 58.12% 25.41% 16.47%+0.82 +10.9 45
2007-05-26 @ Celje L 0-432.2 1334 1450 16.47% 25.41% 58.12%-0.82 -10.9 25
2007-05-26 Drava Ptuj W 2-045.6 1618 1502 58.05% 25.45% 16.51%+0.82 +5.8 75
2007-05-26 @ Domzale L 0-245.6 1502 1618 16.51% 25.45% 58.05%-0.82 -5.8 55
2007-05-26 Interblock Ljubljana W 3-033.2 1521 1355 64.06% 22.20% 13.74%+1.05 +6.7 57
2007-05-26 @ Maribor L 0-333.2 1355 1521 13.74% 22.20% 64.06%-1.05 -6.7 26
2007-05-26 Nafta W 3-143.9 1506 1400 56.84% 26.04% 17.12%+0.78 +5.2 45
2007-05-26 @ Anet Koper L 1-343.9 1400 1506 17.12% 26.04% 56.84%-0.78 -5.2 45
2007-05-26 Primorje L 1-358.0 1532 1449 53.98% 27.36% 18.66%+0.67 -13.2 58
2007-05-26 @ Gorica W 3-158.0 1449 1532 18.66% 27.36% 53.98%-0.67 +13.2 55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2006-09-13 10.89% Bela Krajina 1368 4 @ Gorica 1598 1
2 2007-04-15 14.76% @ Bela Krajina 1370 1 Domzale 1641 0
3 2007-04-04 15.24% Bela Krajina 1352 6 @ Drava Ptuj 1490 1
4 2006-10-18 15.74% Interblock Ljubljana 1355 2 @ Drava Ptuj 1484 0
5 2007-04-14 15.85% Celje 1429 3 @ Gorica 1556 1
6 2006-10-14 16.60% Celje 1392 2 @ Anet Koper 1506 0
7 2006-09-13 18.05% Nafta 1383 3 @ Maribor 1475 1
8 2007-05-16 18.35% Anet Koper 1476 7 @ Gorica 1564 1
9 2007-05-26 18.66% Primorje 1449 3 @ Gorica 1532 1
10 2007-03-17 19.24% Bela Krajina 1345 2 @ Nafta 1420 1
11 2006-10-18 19.45% Maribor 1492 4 @ Gorica 1564 1
12 2006-09-27 21.51% @ Nafta 1408 2 Gorica 1580 0
13 2006-09-30 22.13% Primorje 1458 2 @ Drava Ptuj 1498 0
14 2007-03-18 22.57% Celje 1411 3 @ Primorje 1446 2
15 2007-04-07 23.13% Primorje 1451 2 @ Anet Koper 1481 0
16 2006-08-30 24.09% Nafta 1380 2 @ Celje 1399 1
17 2007-03-17 24.19% @ Interblock Ljubljana 1364 2 Drava Ptuj 1507 0
18 2007-04-21 24.80% Drava Ptuj 1454 2 @ Anet Koper 1466 1
19 2007-03-31 25.55% Nafta 1412 1 @ Celje 1418 0
20 2006-08-05 25.66% Primorje 1424 4 @ Interblock Ljubljana 1429 0
21 2006-09-08 25.79% Celje 1393 4 @ Interblock Ljubljana 1396 2
22 2007-04-21 26.22% @ Nafta 1417 2 Gorica 1541 0
23 2006-08-30 27.31% Interblock Ljubljana 1389 1 @ Bela Krajina 1379 0
24 2006-08-06 28.09% @ Bela Krajina 1376 2 Maribor 1484 1
25 2007-05-02 28.81% @ Maribor 1505 2 Domzale 1607 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-05-16 35.29 Anet Koper 7 1476 18.35% @ Gorica 1 1564 54.54% 27.11%
2 2007-04-04 32.21 Bela Krajina 6 1352 15.24% @ Drava Ptuj 1 1490 60.70% 24.06%
3 2006-08-05 24.72 Primorje 4 1424 25.66% @ Interblock Ljubljana 0 1429 43.54% 30.80%
4 2007-04-28 23.59 @ Gorica 6 1529 28.83% Domzale 1 1630 39.71% 31.46%
5 2006-09-13 22.63 Bela Krajina 4 1368 10.89% @ Gorica 1 1598 71.13% 17.98%
6 2007-05-19 19.59 Maribor 4 1502 36.93% @ Nafta 0 1419 31.35% 31.72%
7 2006-10-18 18.36 Maribor 4 1492 19.45% @ Gorica 1 1564 52.61% 27.93%
8 2006-11-11 17.62 @ Celje 5 1415 49.64% Bela Krajina 0 1365 21.29% 29.07%
9 2007-05-06 16.90 Nafta 3 1409 31.08% @ Bela Krajina 0 1368 37.21% 31.70%
10 2006-10-18 16.42 Interblock Ljubljana 2 1355 15.74% @ Drava Ptuj 0 1484 59.62% 24.64%
11 2007-05-13 16.27 Domzale 4 1597 44.86% @ Primorje 0 1459 24.64% 30.49%
12 2006-10-14 16.08 Celje 2 1392 16.60% @ Anet Koper 0 1506 57.87% 25.54%
13 2006-09-27 14.29 @ Nafta 2 1408 21.51% Gorica 0 1580 49.31% 29.18%
14 2007-04-14 14.18 Celje 3 1429 15.85% @ Gorica 1 1556 59.40% 24.75%
15 2006-09-30 14.09 Primorje 2 1458 22.13% @ Drava Ptuj 0 1498 48.38% 29.49%
16 2007-04-28 13.84 @ Celje 4 1445 32.52% Maribor 1 1519 35.70% 31.78%
17 2007-04-07 13.77 Primorje 2 1451 23.13% @ Anet Koper 0 1481 46.93% 29.94%
18 2007-03-03 13.75 @ Domzale 4 1615 50.99% Gorica 0 1555 20.44% 28.58%
19 2006-10-01 13.71 Nafta 4 1422 32.98% @ Interblock Ljubljana 1 1368 35.23% 31.80%
20 2007-03-17 13.45 @ Interblock Ljubljana 2 1364 24.19% Drava Ptuj 0 1507 45.47% 30.34%
21 2006-09-13 13.44 Nafta 3 1383 18.05% @ Maribor 1 1475 55.09% 26.86%
22 2007-05-26 13.24 Primorje 3 1449 18.66% @ Gorica 1 1532 53.98% 27.36%
23 2007-04-21 12.87 @ Nafta 2 1417 26.22% Gorica 0 1541 42.83% 30.95%
24 2006-11-19 12.63 @ Primorje 3 1445 44.32% Nafta 0 1435 25.06% 30.62%
25 2007-05-02 12.19 @ Maribor 2 1505 28.81% Domzale 0 1607 39.74% 31.45%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-09-17 71.5 @ Primorje 3 1463 27.49% Gorica 3 1576 41.29% 31.23%
2 2006-11-05 66.8 @ Interblock Ljubljana 2 1372 16.85% Domzale 2 1607 57.37% 25.78%
3 2006-09-13 66.6 @ Celje 3 1403 28.96% Drava Ptuj 3 1504 39.57% 31.47%
4 2007-03-31 66.5 @ Domzale 1 1637 67.53% Primorje 1 1440 12.30% 20.17%
5 2006-10-21 65.8 @ Anet Koper 2 1487 39.75% Maribor 2 1510 28.80% 31.45%
6 2006-11-10 65.5 @ Domzale 1 1606 58.83% Drava Ptuj 1 1484 16.13% 25.05%
7 2007-03-03 65.0 @ Maribor 2 1518 56.45% Celje 2 1415 17.32% 26.23%
8 2007-03-17 65.0 @ Anet Koper 1 1485 23.25% Domzale 1 1638 46.77% 29.99%
9 2006-09-09 63.9 @ Anet Koper 1 1503 29.64% Gorica 1 1599 38.80% 31.56%
10 2007-05-13 63.9 @ Drava Ptuj 6 1479 29.88% Gorica 4 1572 38.53% 31.59%
11 2006-08-12 63.8 @ Anet Koper 2 1504 58.78% Bela Krajina 2 1383 16.15% 25.08%
12 2006-11-11 63.6 @ Anet Koper 2 1483 49.60% Nafta 2 1434 21.32% 29.08%
13 2006-09-16 63.5 @ Drava Ptuj 1 1503 31.07% Domzale 1 1588 37.23% 31.70%
14 2006-11-04 63.3 @ Drava Ptuj 2 1485 52.40% Celje 2 1414 19.58% 28.02%
15 2006-08-27 63.2 @ Maribor 1 1480 27.08% Gorica 1 1596 41.78% 31.14%
16 2006-10-14 63.2 @ Maribor 1 1491 29.33% Domzale 1 1589 39.15% 31.52%
17 2006-08-27 63.1 @ Anet Koper 1 1503 32.43% Domzale 1 1577 35.78% 31.78%
18 2007-03-18 63.0 @ Maribor 3 1509 38.02% Gorica 2 1544 30.34% 31.64%
19 2007-04-21 62.1 @ Domzale 0 1632 66.70% Celje 0 1443 12.64% 20.66%
20 2006-10-01 62.0 @ Bela Krajina 2 1377 25.63% Anet Koper 2 1507 43.58% 30.79%
21 2006-09-23 61.7 @ Interblock Ljubljana 2 1373 25.67% Anet Koper 2 1502 43.52% 30.80%
22 2006-09-30 61.3 @ Gorica 0 1566 39.71% Domzale 0 1589 28.83% 31.46%
23 2006-11-18 61.0 @ Maribor 1 1520 47.63% Drava Ptuj 1 1486 22.64% 29.73%
24 2007-03-18 60.8 Celje 3 1411 22.57% @ Primorje 2 1446 47.73% 29.70%
25 2006-08-20 60.4 @ Bela Krajina 2 1384 32.88% Primorje 2 1455 35.32% 31.80%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-05-26 32.2 @ Celje 4 1450 58.12% Bela Krajina 0 1334 16.47% 25.41%
2 2007-05-26 33.2 @ Maribor 3 1521 64.06% Interblock Ljubljana 0 1355 13.74% 22.20%
3 2007-05-06 33.6 @ Drava Ptuj 3 1470 57.93% Interblock Ljubljana 0 1355 16.57% 25.50%
4 2007-04-07 34.6 @ Domzale 3 1633 74.37% Interblock Ljubljana 0 1371 9.65% 15.98%
5 2006-08-19 35.3 @ Drava Ptuj 3 1488 56.66% Nafta 0 1384 17.21% 26.12%
6 2006-11-11 35.3 @ Celje 5 1415 49.64% Bela Krajina 0 1365 21.29% 29.07%
7 2006-09-27 35.6 @ Maribor 3 1473 54.38% Bela Krajina 0 1387 18.44% 27.18%
8 2006-08-19 36.8 @ Gorica 5 1586 65.82% Interblock Ljubljana 0 1404 13.00% 21.18%
9 2006-10-14 37.0 @ Primorje 2 1472 55.39% Bela Krajina 0 1378 17.89% 26.72%
10 2006-08-06 37.5 @ Gorica 2 1587 67.78% Nafta 0 1388 12.20% 20.02%
11 2006-11-18 38.2 @ Domzale 1 1605 73.82% Bela Krajina 0 1348 9.86% 16.32%
12 2007-05-16 38.2 @ Domzale 3 1614 66.56% Nafta 0 1425 12.69% 20.74%
13 2007-05-02 38.4 Gorica 3 1552 51.20% @ Interblock Ljubljana 0 1366 20.31% 28.50%
14 2006-09-23 38.5 @ Gorica 2 1575 64.74% Celje 0 1403 13.45% 21.81%
15 2006-08-27 39.2 @ Primorje 2 1455 49.38% Celje 0 1407 21.46% 29.16%
16 2006-11-19 39.2 @ Primorje 3 1445 44.32% Nafta 0 1435 25.06% 30.62%
17 2006-08-13 39.4 @ Maribor 2 1478 51.56% Celje 0 1414 20.08% 28.36%
18 2007-05-16 39.7 Drava Ptuj 2 1487 45.10% @ Bela Krajina 0 1346 24.47% 30.44%
19 2006-07-30 40.1 @ Domzale 1 1556 65.38% Bela Krajina 0 1379 13.18% 21.44%
20 2007-05-06 40.5 Nafta 3 1409 31.08% @ Bela Krajina 0 1368 37.21% 31.70%
21 2006-09-13 40.7 @ Domzale 1 1586 67.84% Interblock Ljubljana 0 1386 12.18% 19.98%
22 2007-05-12 41.3 @ Interblock Ljubljana 1 1347 42.34% Bela Krajina 0 1351 26.62% 31.04%
23 2007-05-19 42.0 Gorica 1 1528 51.72% @ Bela Krajina 0 1338 19.99% 28.29%
24 2006-07-30 42.1 @ Primorje 1 1420 46.73% Nafta 0 1392 23.28% 30.00%
25 2006-08-26 42.4 @ Nafta 1 1375 41.72% Bela Krajina 0 1384 27.12% 31.15%