Home / Leagues / Slovenia / Slovenian PrvaLiga / 2005-06
‹ ›

2005-06 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Gorica

73 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Drava Ptuj

6.73 points above expected

54 points · 47.27 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rudar Velenje

11.91 points below expected

15 points · 26.91 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Gorica 36 21 10 5 73 75 30 +45 66.50 +6.50
2 Domzale 36 20 11 5 71 69 28 +41 67.37 +3.63
3 Anet Koper 36 16 9 11 57 49 39 +10 50.32 +6.68
4 Maribor 36 16 6 14 54 51 42 +9 56.38 -2.38
5 Drava Ptuj 36 15 9 12 54 50 46 +4 47.27 +6.73
6 Celje 36 15 4 17 49 48 59 -11 50.46 -1.46
7 Nafta 36 13 7 16 46 42 52 -10 41.19 +4.81
8 Primorje 36 11 10 15 43 43 50 -7 50.35 -7.35
9 Bela Krajina 36 7 13 16 34 35 61 -26 41.39 -7.39
10 Rudar Velenje 36 2 9 25 15 28 83 -55 26.91 -11.91

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Drava Ptuj 54 47.27 +6.73
2 Anet Koper 57 50.32 +6.68
3 Gorica 73 66.50 +6.50
4 Nafta 46 41.19 +4.81
5 Domzale 71 67.37 +3.63

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rudar Velenje 15 26.91 -11.91
2 Bela Krajina 34 41.39 -7.39
3 Primorje 43 50.35 -7.35
4 Maribor 54 56.38 -2.38
5 Celje 49 50.46 -1.46

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Anet Koper 5 Nov 19 – Mar 25 1 in 272
2 Drava Ptuj 5 Oct 26 – Mar 4 1 in 67
3 Nafta 3 Jul 30 – Aug 13 1 in 66
4 Maribor 5 Mar 25 – Apr 12 1 in 53
5 Celje 4 Apr 22 – May 2 1 in 53

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Maribor 4 Apr 15 – Apr 29 1 in 150
2 Celje 4 May 6 – May 20 1 in 27
3 Primorje 3 Nov 5 – Nov 26 1 in 15
4 Domzale 2 May 3 – May 6 1 in 15
5 Drava Ptuj 3 Sep 10 – Sep 21 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drava Ptuj 11 Apr 8 – May 20 1 in 344
2 Anet Koper 11 Nov 19 – Apr 22 1 in 267
3 Domzale 14 Jul 22 – Oct 26 1 in 45
4 Bela Krajina 5 Oct 15 – Nov 5 1 in 21
5 Maribor 6 Aug 14 – Sep 21 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Primorje 7 Mar 25 – Apr 22 1 in 45
2 Bela Krajina 9 Apr 12 – May 17 1 in 20
3 Rudar Velenje 16 Mar 25 – Jun 3 1 in 17
4 Drava Ptuj 7 Sep 10 – Oct 22 1 in 13
5 Domzale 3 Mar 18 – Mar 29 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Gorica 1704 73 +24 13 10.9 +2.1
Domzale 1653 71 +36 13 9.3 +3.7
Anet Koper 1576 57 +11 6 6.9 -0.9
Drava Ptuj 1563 54 +11 8 8.3 -0.3
Maribor 1538 54 -14 6 7.0 -1.0
Celje 1447 49 -52 1 5.9 -4.9
Nafta 1402 46 -2 7 6.0 +1.0
Primorje 1446 43 +7 6 5.0 +1.0
Bela Krajina 1379 34 -12 5 5.9 -0.9
Rudar Velenje 1245 15 -10 2 3.8 -1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AK BK CEL DOM DP GOR MAR NAF PRI RV
Anet Koper —
4-0-0
6.44
2-2-0
5.56
1-1-2
3.51
0-2-2
5.58
1-2-1
3.45
3-0-1
4.86
2-0-2
6.50
1-1-2
5.32
2-1-1
7.96
Bela Krajina
0-0-4
4.58
 —
3-0-1
4.43
0-1-3
2.86
1-1-2
4.92
0-2-2
3.17
0-3-1
4.02
1-2-1
5.46
1-1-2
4.51
1-3-0
7.54
Celje
0-2-2
5.45
1-0-3
6.60
 —
1-0-3
3.68
2-0-2
5.74
1-0-3
3.88
3-1-0
5.02
1-1-2
6.90
2-0-2
5.42
4-0-0
8.24
Domzale
2-1-1
7.56
3-1-0
8.24
3-0-1
7.35
 —
1-2-1
7.49
0-3-1
5.65
3-1-0
6.60
3-1-0
8.23
2-2-0
7.71
3-0-1
9.08
Drava Ptuj
2-2-0
5.41
2-1-1
6.08
2-0-2
5.27
1-2-1
3.58
 —
1-0-3
3.48
1-0-3
4.65
2-1-1
6.22
1-2-1
5.44
3-1-0
7.69
Gorica
1-2-1
7.60
2-2-0
7.91
3-0-1
7.15
1-3-0
5.33
3-0-1
7.58
 —
2-0-2
6.73
3-1-0
8.28
3-1-0
7.38
3-1-0
9.56
Maribor
1-0-3
6.15
1-3-0
7.03
0-1-3
6.01
0-1-3
4.43
3-0-1
6.35
2-0-2
4.29
 —
3-0-1
6.99
3-0-1
5.78
3-1-0
8.65
Nafta
2-0-2
4.53
1-2-1
5.54
2-1-1
4.12
0-1-3
2.88
1-1-2
4.81
0-1-3
2.84
1-0-3
4.04
 —
2-1-1
4.53
4-0-0
7.47
Primorje
2-1-1
5.66
2-1-1
6.49
2-0-2
5.58
0-2-2
3.35
1-2-1
5.58
0-1-3
3.68
1-0-3
5.24
1-1-2
6.46
 —
2-2-0
8.12
Rudar Velenje
1-1-2
3.16
0-3-1
3.52
0-0-4
2.87
1-0-3
2.20
0-1-3
3.38
0-1-3
1.76
0-1-3
2.54
0-0-4
3.57
0-2-2
2.97
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.91 +11.4
Allowed 0.94 -10.1
Differential 0.97 +5.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.22%7.78%8.61%3.33%1.94%1.11%30.00%
17.78%11.11%6.39%2.78%2.22%0.83%31.11%
28.61%6.39%5.00%1.39%1.11%0.28%22.78%
33.33%2.78%1.39%1.11%——8.61%
41.94%2.22%1.11%———5.28%
5+1.11%0.83%0.28%———2.22%
Total30.00%31.11%22.78%8.61%5.28%2.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.36 +0.00
SD 1.31 1.31 2.03
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%8.33%2.78%——25.00%
18.33%11.11%2.78%—2.78%—25.00%
219.44%8.33%8.33%2.78%——38.89%
35.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.11%33.33%19.44%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.08 +0.28
SD 0.99 1.08 1.60
CV 0.73 1.00 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%5.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%33.33%
111.11%19.44%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%47.22%
2——8.33%———8.33%
35.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%30.56%22.22%11.11%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.69 -0.72
SD 0.94 1.45 1.89
CV 0.97 0.86 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%33.33%
15.56%—8.33%8.33%2.78%—25.00%
211.11%11.11%2.78%———25.00%
3—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
4——8.33%———8.33%
5+———————
Total22.22%25.00%30.56%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.64 -0.31
SD 1.26 1.29 1.89
CV 0.95 0.79 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%—11.11%———19.44%
18.33%16.67%————25.00%
211.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
38.33%5.56%————13.89%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total44.44%36.11%16.67%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 0.78 +1.14
SD 1.68 0.83 2.07
CV 0.88 1.07 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
111.11%13.89%5.56%5.56%——36.11%
28.33%2.78%2.78%——2.78%16.67%
32.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total30.56%36.11%19.44%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.28 +0.11
SD 1.32 1.32 1.91
CV 0.95 1.04 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—5.56%———11.11%
1—19.44%5.56%—2.78%—27.78%
216.67%8.33%2.78%———27.78%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
411.11%5.56%2.78%———19.44%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total41.67%38.89%16.67%—2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 0.83 +1.25
SD 1.38 0.91 1.90
CV 0.66 1.09 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
111.11%5.56%13.89%—2.78%—33.33%
25.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
35.56%—5.56%———11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total33.33%27.78%30.56%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.17 +0.25
SD 1.32 1.06 1.79
CV 0.93 0.90 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%13.89%2.78%2.78%—38.89%
111.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%27.78%
25.56%8.33%—2.78%2.78%—19.44%
3—5.56%—2.78%——8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total30.56%30.56%16.67%11.11%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.44 -0.28
SD 1.28 1.40 1.98
CV 1.09 0.97 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%19.44%5.56%——41.67%
111.11%8.33%—2.78%2.78%—25.00%
25.56%5.56%11.11%—2.78%—25.00%
3———————
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
Total27.78%25.00%33.33%8.33%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.39 -0.19
SD 1.53 1.15 1.97
CV 1.28 0.83 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%—8.33%5.56%5.56%41.67%
1—11.11%16.67%5.56%2.78%2.78%38.89%
22.78%2.78%5.56%2.78%5.56%—19.44%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%27.78%22.22%16.67%13.89%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 2.31 -1.53
SD 0.76 1.77 1.93
CV 0.98 0.77 —
Max 2 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Gorica 1704 73 66.50 +6.50 79.0% 44 53 61 67 71 80 85
Domzale 1653 71 67.37 +3.63 71.0% 52 54 62 68 72 80 85
Anet Koper 1576 57 50.32 +6.68 84.0% 35 38 46 50 54 64 68
Drava Ptuj 1563 54 47.27 +6.73 84.0% 31 36 42 47 52 60 63
Maribor 1538 54 56.38 -2.38 39.0% 40 43 52 56 61 69 73
Celje 1447 49 50.46 -1.46 51.0% 25 39 45 49 55 63 70
Primorje 1446 43 50.35 -7.35 17.0% 32 37 45 50 56 62 65
Nafta 1402 46 41.19 +4.81 73.0% 23 29 35 40 47 55 67
Bela Krajina 1379 34 41.39 -7.39 16.0% 25 30 37 42 46 52 58
Rudar Velenje 1245 15 26.91 -11.91 1.0% 14 18 23 27 31 35 42

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+26.67%
Strong Edge
51.11%24.44%24.44%
Elo Value
Home Edge
178 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
094.94500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.49 goals
Neutral
-2+0.53+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
45%
Gorica, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Photo Finish
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.9 * Some Luck: 5.9 to 8.86 * Lucky: 8.86 to 11.81 * Wild Swing: 11.81 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.01 * Close: 1.01 to 1.52 * Off: 1.52 to 2.03 * Way Off: 2.03 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.53 points
Some Luck
07.3818
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.60
Off
01.273
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
84.00%
Anet Koper
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
1.00%
Rudar Velenje
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 137.82
2.14
Strong Separation
11.82.052.75
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
93%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Few
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Lopsided
00.310.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.01
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.62
Some Carryover
00.420.630.791
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.56
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.080
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Gorica45.00%32.00%14.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Domzale42.00%36.00%10.00%8.00%4.00%—————
Anet Koper1.00%2.00%12.00%18.00%23.00%19.00%9.00%12.00%4.00%—
Maribor6.00%18.00%27.00%23.00%7.00%5.00%10.00%2.00%2.00%—
Drava Ptuj2.00%2.00%8.00%7.00%17.00%17.00%23.00%18.00%5.00%1.00%
Celje3.00%6.00%13.00%15.00%12.00%21.00%12.00%12.00%6.00%—
Nafta1.00%—2.00%8.00%5.00%7.00%15.00%16.00%37.00%9.00%
Primorje—4.00%13.00%16.00%21.00%20.00%12.00%7.00%7.00%—
Bela Krajina——1.00%—10.00%10.00%18.00%29.00%29.00%3.00%
Rudar Velenje———————3.00%10.00%87.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Anet Koper 96.00% 4.00% —
Celje 94.00% 6.00% —
Domzale 100% — —
Gorica 100% — —
Maribor 98.00% 2.00% —
Primorje 93.00% 7.00% —
Drava Ptuj 94.00% 5.00% 1.00%
Bela Krajina 68.00% 29.00% 3.00%
Nafta 54.00% 37.00% 9.00%
Rudar Velenje 3.00% 10.00% 87.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2005-07-22 Nafta W 2-037.5 1543 1383 66.71% 20.93% 12.35%+1.43 +6.6 3
2005-07-22 @ Domzale L 0-237.5 1383 1543 12.35% 20.93% 66.71%-1.43 -6.6 0
2005-07-23 Primorje D 1-163.0 1481 1523 44.39% 25.68% 29.93%+0.30 -0.7 1
2005-07-23 @ Anet Koper D 1-163.0 1523 1481 29.93% 25.68% 44.39%-0.30 +0.7 1
2005-07-23 Rudar Velenje W 1-041.5 1502 1405 60.78% 22.92% 16.30%+1.08 +4.7 3
2005-07-23 @ Drava Ptuj L 0-141.5 1405 1502 16.30% 22.92% 60.78%-1.08 -4.7 0
2005-07-24 Bela Krajina W 4-041.4 1581 1477 61.44% 22.73% 15.83%+1.12 +16.2 3
2005-07-24 @ Gorica L 0-441.4 1477 1581 15.83% 22.73% 61.44%-1.12 -16.2 0
2005-07-24 Maribor D 0-060.8 1548 1510 54.44% 24.42% 21.14%+0.75 -2.0 1
2005-07-24 @ Celje D 0-060.8 1510 1548 21.14% 24.42% 54.44%-0.75 +2.0 1
2005-07-30 Celje W 2-157.7 1376 1546 27.27% 25.44% 47.29%-0.42 +10.7 3
2005-07-30 @ Nafta L 1-257.7 1546 1376 47.29% 25.44% 27.27%+0.42 -10.7 1
2005-07-30 Drava Ptuj W 2-045.9 1597 1507 60.01% 23.13% 16.85%+1.04 +9.1 6
2005-07-30 @ Gorica L 0-245.9 1507 1597 16.85% 23.13% 60.01%-1.04 -9.1 3
2005-07-30 Anet Koper L 1-261.9 1512 1480 53.68% 24.56% 21.76%+0.71 -11.9 1
2005-07-30 @ Maribor W 2-161.9 1480 1512 21.76% 24.56% 53.68%-0.71 +11.9 4
2005-07-31 Domzale L 0-844.2 1401 1550 29.74% 25.66% 44.60%-0.30 -54.6 0
2005-07-31 @ Rudar Velenje W 8-044.2 1550 1401 44.60% 25.66% 29.74%+0.30 +54.6 6
2005-07-31 Primorje W 1-050.1 1460 1524 41.52% 25.83% 32.65%+0.18 +8.5 3
2005-07-31 @ Bela Krajina L 0-150.1 1524 1460 32.65% 25.83% 41.52%-0.18 -8.5 1
2005-08-06 Nafta L 0-251.2 1492 1387 61.55% 22.70% 15.76%+1.12 -26.9 4
2005-08-06 @ Anet Koper W 2-051.2 1387 1492 15.76% 22.70% 61.55%-1.12 +26.9 6
2005-08-06 Gorica D 1-169.6 1604 1606 49.68% 25.17% 25.15%+0.53 -1.3 7
2005-08-06 @ Domzale D 1-169.6 1606 1604 25.15% 25.17% 49.68%-0.53 +1.3 7
2005-08-06 Rudar Velenje W 2-143.8 1535 1346 69.21% 19.92% 10.87%+1.60 +2.9 4
2005-08-06 @ Celje L 1-243.8 1346 1535 10.87% 19.92% 69.21%-1.60 -2.9 0
2005-08-07 Bela Krajina W 3-041.1 1498 1469 53.37% 24.61% 22.02%+0.70 +16.9 6
2005-08-07 @ Drava Ptuj L 0-341.1 1469 1498 22.02% 24.61% 53.37%-0.70 -16.9 3
2005-08-07 Maribor W 2-153.8 1515 1500 51.77% 24.87% 23.36%+0.62 +6.1 4
2005-08-07 @ Primorje L 1-253.8 1500 1515 23.36% 24.87% 51.77%-0.62 -6.1 1
2005-08-13 Anet Koper W 2-152.6 1343 1465 33.27% 25.86% 40.87%-0.15 +9.5 3
2005-08-13 @ Rudar Velenje L 1-252.6 1465 1343 40.87% 25.86% 33.27%+0.15 -9.5 4
2005-08-13 Primorje W 1-050.2 1414 1521 35.27% 25.91% 38.82%-0.07 +9.7 9
2005-08-13 @ Nafta L 0-150.2 1521 1414 38.82% 25.91% 35.27%+0.07 -9.7 4
2005-08-14 Celje W 2-156.3 1607 1538 57.84% 23.69% 18.47%+0.92 +5.0 10
2005-08-14 @ Gorica L 1-256.3 1538 1607 18.47% 23.69% 57.84%-0.92 -5.0 4
2005-08-14 Domzale D 1-166.9 1515 1603 38.02% 25.92% 36.06%+0.04 -0.1 7
2005-08-14 @ Drava Ptuj D 1-166.9 1603 1515 36.06% 25.92% 38.02%-0.04 +0.1 8
2005-08-14 Maribor D 2-266.7 1452 1494 44.50% 25.67% 29.83%+0.30 -0.6 4
2005-08-14 @ Bela Krajina D 2-266.7 1494 1452 29.83% 25.67% 44.50%-0.30 +0.5 2
2005-08-20 Bela Krajina W 4-040.0 1603 1452 65.95% 21.22% 12.83%+1.39 +13.1 11
2005-08-20 @ Domzale L 0-440.0 1452 1603 12.83% 21.22% 65.95%-1.39 -13.1 4
2005-08-20 Drava Ptuj W 2-046.4 1533 1515 52.11% 24.82% 23.07%+0.64 +12.1 7
2005-08-20 @ Celje L 0-246.4 1515 1533 23.07% 24.82% 52.11%-0.64 -12.1 7
2005-08-20 Nafta W 1-042.7 1494 1424 58.01% 23.65% 18.34%+0.93 +5.2 5
2005-08-20 @ Maribor L 0-142.7 1424 1494 18.34% 23.65% 58.01%-0.93 -5.2 9
2005-08-20 Gorica W 2-054.0 1456 1612 28.83% 25.59% 45.58%-0.35 +20.8 7
2005-08-20 @ Anet Koper L 0-254.0 1612 1456 45.58% 25.59% 28.83%+0.35 -20.8 10
2005-08-24 Rudar Velenje W 6-136.0 1512 1353 66.62% 20.97% 12.41%+1.43 +12.9 7
2005-08-24 @ Primorje L 1-636.0 1353 1512 12.41% 20.97% 66.62%-1.43 -12.9 3
2005-08-27 Anet Koper W 1-046.4 1503 1476 53.06% 24.67% 22.28%+0.68 +6.2 10
2005-08-27 @ Drava Ptuj L 0-146.4 1476 1503 22.28% 24.67% 53.06%-0.68 -6.2 7
2005-08-27 Maribor L 0-143.9 1340 1499 28.45% 25.56% 45.99%-0.36 -7.6 3
2005-08-27 @ Rudar Velenje W 1-043.9 1499 1340 45.99% 25.56% 28.45%+0.36 +7.6 8
2005-08-27 Primorje W 2-047.0 1591 1525 57.60% 23.75% 18.65%+0.91 +10.0 13
2005-08-27 @ Gorica L 0-247.0 1525 1591 18.65% 23.75% 57.60%-0.91 -10.0 7
2005-08-28 Nafta L 1-451.7 1439 1418 52.31% 24.79% 22.90%+0.65 -28.6 4
2005-08-28 @ Bela Krajina W 4-151.7 1418 1439 22.90% 24.79% 52.31%-0.65 +28.6 12
2005-08-29 Celje W 5-046.0 1616 1545 58.05% 23.64% 18.31%+0.93 +23.0 14
2005-08-29 @ Domzale L 0-546.0 1545 1616 18.31% 23.64% 58.05%-0.93 -23.0 7
2005-09-10 Bela Krajina L 0-351.3 1522 1410 62.29% 22.47% 15.24%+1.17 -39.4 7
2005-09-10 @ Celje W 3-051.3 1410 1522 15.24% 22.47% 62.29%-1.17 +39.4 7
2005-09-10 Domzale D 2-272.6 1470 1639 27.33% 25.44% 47.23%-0.42 +0.8 8
2005-09-10 @ Anet Koper D 2-272.6 1639 1470 47.23% 25.44% 27.33%+0.42 -0.8 15
2005-09-10 Drava Ptuj W 6-249.0 1515 1509 50.56% 25.05% 24.39%+0.57 +17.0 10
2005-09-10 @ Primorje L 2-649.0 1509 1515 24.39% 25.05% 50.56%-0.57 -17.0 10
2005-09-10 Rudar Velenje W 5-032.5 1447 1332 62.53% 22.39% 15.07%+1.18 +19.0 15
2005-09-10 @ Nafta L 0-532.5 1332 1447 15.07% 22.39% 62.53%-1.18 -19.0 3
2005-09-11 Gorica W 2-161.4 1507 1601 37.15% 25.92% 36.93%+0.00 +8.8 11
2005-09-11 @ Maribor L 1-261.4 1601 1507 36.93% 25.92% 37.15%+0.00 -8.8 13
2005-09-17 Anet Koper D 3-371.1 1483 1471 51.35% 24.94% 23.71%+0.60 -0.9 8
2005-09-17 @ Celje D 3-371.1 1471 1483 23.71% 24.94% 51.35%-0.60 +0.9 9
2005-09-17 Maribor L 0-350.3 1492 1516 46.81% 25.48% 27.70%+0.40 -30.9 10
2005-09-17 @ Drava Ptuj W 3-050.3 1516 1492 27.70% 25.48% 46.81%-0.40 +30.8 14
2005-09-17 Nafta W 2-043.3 1592 1466 63.63% 22.04% 14.33%+1.24 +7.7 16
2005-09-17 @ Gorica L 0-243.3 1466 1592 14.33% 22.04% 63.63%-1.24 -7.7 15
2005-09-18 Primorje W 3-045.4 1638 1532 61.74% 22.64% 15.62%+1.13 +12.2 18
2005-09-18 @ Domzale L 0-345.4 1532 1638 15.62% 22.64% 61.74%-1.13 -12.2 10
2005-09-18 Rudar Velenje W 1-036.6 1449 1313 64.56% 21.72% 13.72%+1.30 +3.9 10
2005-09-18 @ Bela Krajina L 0-136.6 1313 1449 13.72% 21.72% 64.56%-1.30 -3.9 3
2005-09-21 Bela Krajina W 2-150.3 1472 1453 52.12% 24.82% 23.06%+0.64 +6.0 12
2005-09-21 @ Anet Koper L 1-250.3 1453 1472 23.06% 24.82% 52.12%-0.64 -6.0 10
2005-09-21 Celje W 1-046.9 1519 1482 54.33% 24.44% 21.23%+0.74 +6.0 13
2005-09-21 @ Primorje L 0-146.9 1482 1519 21.23% 24.44% 54.33%-0.74 -6.0 8
2005-09-21 Domzale D 0-064.5 1547 1651 35.76% 25.92% 38.33%-0.05 +0.1 15
2005-09-21 @ Maribor D 0-064.5 1651 1547 38.33% 25.92% 35.76%+0.05 -0.1 19
2005-09-21 Drava Ptuj W 1-045.3 1458 1461 49.53% 25.19% 25.29%+0.52 +6.9 18
2005-09-21 @ Nafta L 0-145.3 1461 1458 25.29% 25.19% 49.53%-0.52 -6.9 10
2005-09-21 Gorica L 1-247.1 1309 1600 16.02% 22.81% 61.17%-1.10 -4.3 3
2005-09-21 @ Rudar Velenje W 2-147.1 1600 1309 61.17% 22.81% 16.02%+1.10 +4.3 19
2005-09-24 Celje L 0-255.6 1547 1476 58.04% 23.64% 18.31%+0.93 -25.5 15
2005-09-24 @ Maribor W 2-055.6 1476 1547 18.31% 23.64% 58.04%-0.93 +25.5 11
2005-09-24 Domzale L 0-152.4 1465 1651 25.50% 25.22% 49.29%-0.51 -7.0 18
2005-09-24 @ Nafta W 1-052.4 1651 1465 49.29% 25.22% 25.50%+0.51 +7.0 22
2005-09-24 Drava Ptuj D 0-051.1 1305 1454 29.73% 25.66% 44.61%-0.31 +0.8 4
2005-09-24 @ Rudar Velenje D 0-051.1 1454 1305 44.61% 25.66% 29.73%+0.31 -0.8 11
2005-09-25 Anet Koper W 2-043.7 1525 1478 55.49% 24.21% 20.30%+0.80 +10.8 16
2005-09-25 @ Primorje L 0-243.7 1478 1525 20.30% 24.21% 55.49%-0.80 -10.8 12
2005-09-25 Gorica D 1-164.8 1447 1604 28.74% 25.58% 45.68%-0.35 +0.9 11
2005-09-25 @ Bela Krajina D 1-164.8 1604 1447 45.68% 25.58% 28.74%+0.35 -0.9 20
2005-10-01 Nafta L 1-358.3 1502 1458 55.02% 24.31% 20.68%+0.78 -21.1 11
2005-10-01 @ Celje W 3-158.3 1458 1502 20.68% 24.31% 55.02%-0.78 +21.1 21
2005-10-01 Gorica L 1-354.7 1453 1604 29.59% 25.65% 44.76%-0.31 -12.9 11
2005-10-01 @ Drava Ptuj W 3-154.7 1604 1453 44.76% 25.65% 29.59%+0.31 +12.9 23
2005-10-02 Bela Krajina W 2-150.2 1536 1448 59.85% 23.18% 16.97%+1.03 +4.6 19
2005-10-02 @ Primorje L 1-250.2 1448 1536 16.97% 23.18% 59.85%-1.03 -4.6 11
2005-10-02 Maribor L 2-364.0 1467 1521 42.75% 25.78% 31.47%+0.23 -9.4 12
2005-10-02 @ Anet Koper W 3-264.0 1521 1467 31.47% 25.78% 42.75%-0.23 +9.4 18
2005-10-03 Rudar Velenje W 4-137.8 1658 1306 80.72% 14.03% 5.25%+2.51 +3.1 25
2005-10-03 @ Domzale L 1-437.8 1306 1658 5.25% 14.03% 80.72%-2.51 -3.1 4
2005-10-15 Celje L 0-141.9 1303 1480 26.32% 25.32% 48.35%-0.47 -7.2 4
2005-10-15 @ Rudar Velenje W 1-041.9 1480 1303 48.35% 25.32% 26.32%+0.47 +7.2 14
2005-10-15 Domzale D 1-170.6 1617 1661 44.15% 25.70% 30.16%+0.29 -0.7 24
2005-10-15 @ Gorica D 1-170.6 1661 1617 30.16% 25.70% 44.15%-0.29 +0.7 26
2005-10-15 Drava Ptuj D 1-158.9 1444 1440 50.26% 25.09% 24.65%+0.55 -1.3 12
2005-10-15 @ Bela Krajina D 1-158.9 1440 1444 24.65% 25.09% 50.26%-0.55 +1.3 12
2005-10-15 Anet Koper W 1-045.0 1479 1458 52.51% 24.76% 22.73%+0.66 +6.3 24
2005-10-15 @ Nafta L 0-145.0 1458 1479 22.73% 24.76% 52.51%-0.66 -6.3 12
2005-10-15 Primorje W 2-048.2 1531 1541 48.61% 25.30% 26.09%+0.48 +13.4 21
2005-10-15 @ Maribor L 0-248.2 1541 1531 26.09% 25.30% 48.61%-0.48 -13.4 19
2005-10-22 Bela Krajina D 1-163.2 1544 1442 61.26% 22.78% 15.96%+1.11 -2.5 22
2005-10-22 @ Maribor D 1-163.2 1442 1544 15.96% 22.78% 61.26%-1.11 +2.5 13
2005-10-22 Drava Ptuj W 1-045.3 1661 1442 71.66% 18.83% 9.51%+1.77 +2.6 29
2005-10-22 @ Domzale L 0-145.3 1442 1661 9.51% 18.83% 71.66%-1.77 -2.6 12
2005-10-22 Nafta W 2-044.2 1527 1486 54.82% 24.35% 20.84%+0.77 +11.1 22
2005-10-22 @ Primorje L 0-244.2 1486 1527 20.84% 24.35% 54.82%-0.77 -11.1 24
2005-10-22 Gorica W 2-162.7 1488 1616 32.44% 25.83% 41.73%-0.19 +9.7 17
2005-10-22 @ Celje L 1-262.7 1616 1488 41.73% 25.83% 32.44%+0.19 -9.7 24
2005-10-22 Rudar Velenje W 2-141.4 1451 1295 66.34% 21.08% 12.59%+1.41 +3.4 15
2005-10-22 @ Anet Koper L 1-241.4 1295 1451 12.59% 21.08% 66.34%-1.41 -3.4 4
2005-10-26 Celje W 1-048.1 1439 1497 42.21% 25.80% 31.98%+0.21 +8.4 15
2005-10-26 @ Drava Ptuj L 0-148.1 1497 1439 31.98% 25.80% 42.21%-0.21 -8.4 17
2005-10-26 Domzale D 1-167.0 1445 1664 21.98% 24.60% 53.41%-0.70 +1.7 14
2005-10-26 @ Bela Krajina D 1-167.0 1664 1445 53.41% 24.60% 21.98%+0.70 -1.7 30
2005-10-26 Anet Koper W 3-040.8 1606 1455 65.94% 21.22% 12.83%+1.39 +10.0 27
2005-10-26 @ Gorica L 0-340.8 1455 1606 12.83% 21.22% 65.94%-1.39 -10.0 15
2005-10-26 Maribor L 0-448.4 1475 1542 41.00% 25.85% 33.15%+0.16 -36.2 24
2005-10-26 @ Nafta W 4-048.4 1542 1475 33.15% 25.85% 41.00%-0.16 +36.2 25
2005-10-26 Primorje L 0-435.2 1292 1538 19.52% 24.00% 56.48%-0.85 -19.8 4
2005-10-26 @ Rudar Velenje W 4-035.2 1538 1292 56.48% 24.00% 19.52%+0.85 +19.8 25
2005-10-29 Bela Krajina D 1-158.9 1438 1446 48.88% 25.27% 25.86%+0.49 -1.2 25
2005-10-29 @ Nafta D 1-158.9 1446 1438 25.86% 25.27% 48.88%-0.49 +1.2 15
2005-10-29 Domzale W 3-270.9 1489 1662 26.84% 25.39% 47.77%-0.44 +10.2 20
2005-10-29 @ Celje L 2-370.9 1662 1489 47.77% 25.39% 26.84%+0.44 -10.2 30
2005-10-29 Drava Ptuj L 0-151.7 1445 1447 49.52% 25.19% 25.29%+0.52 -11.8 15
2005-10-29 @ Anet Koper W 1-051.7 1447 1445 25.29% 25.19% 49.52%-0.52 +11.8 18
2005-10-29 Gorica D 2-274.4 1558 1616 42.25% 25.80% 31.95%+0.21 -0.4 26
2005-10-29 @ Primorje D 2-274.4 1616 1558 31.95% 25.80% 42.25%-0.21 +0.4 28
2005-10-29 Rudar Velenje D 1-160.8 1578 1272 77.84% 15.68% 6.48%+2.25 -4.0 26
2005-10-29 @ Maribor D 1-160.8 1272 1578 6.48% 15.68% 77.84%-2.25 +4.0 5
2005-11-05 Celje W 1-048.2 1448 1499 43.12% 25.76% 31.13%+0.24 +8.2 18
2005-11-05 @ Bela Krajina L 0-148.2 1499 1448 31.13% 25.76% 43.12%-0.24 -8.2 20
2005-11-05 Anet Koper W 4-145.0 1652 1433 71.63% 18.85% 9.52%+1.77 +6.1 33
2005-11-05 @ Domzale L 1-445.0 1433 1652 9.52% 18.85% 71.63%-1.77 -6.1 15
2005-11-05 Nafta L 1-344.3 1276 1437 28.29% 25.54% 46.17%-0.37 -12.4 5
2005-11-05 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-144.3 1437 1276 46.17% 25.54% 28.29%+0.37 +12.4 28
2005-11-05 Primorje W 4-153.1 1459 1558 36.53% 25.92% 37.55%-0.02 +21.9 21
2005-11-05 @ Drava Ptuj L 1-453.1 1558 1459 37.55% 25.92% 36.53%+0.02 -21.9 26
2005-11-06 Maribor W 4-153.1 1617 1574 54.94% 24.32% 20.74%+0.77 +13.5 31
2005-11-06 @ Gorica L 1-453.1 1574 1617 20.74% 24.32% 54.94%-0.77 -13.5 26
2005-11-19 Anet Koper L 1-355.3 1456 1427 53.36% 24.61% 22.02%+0.70 -20.5 18
2005-11-19 @ Bela Krajina W 3-155.3 1427 1456 22.02% 24.61% 53.36%-0.70 +20.5 18
2005-11-19 Maribor W 2-157.2 1658 1560 60.83% 22.90% 16.26%+1.08 +4.4 36
2005-11-19 @ Domzale L 1-257.2 1560 1658 16.26% 22.90% 60.83%-1.08 -4.4 26
2005-11-19 Nafta W 3-255.2 1481 1450 53.66% 24.56% 21.78%+0.71 +5.5 24
2005-11-19 @ Drava Ptuj L 2-355.2 1450 1481 21.78% 24.56% 53.66%-0.71 -5.5 28
2005-11-19 Primorje W 2-048.0 1491 1536 44.04% 25.70% 30.26%+0.28 +15.2 23
2005-11-19 @ Celje L 0-248.0 1536 1491 30.26% 25.70% 44.04%-0.28 -15.1 26
2005-11-19 Rudar Velenje D 0-058.1 1630 1264 81.56% 13.53% 4.91%+2.59 -4.7 32
2005-11-19 @ Gorica D 0-058.1 1264 1630 4.91% 13.53% 81.56%-2.59 +4.7 6
2005-11-26 Bela Krajina W 5-039.5 1625 1435 69.29% 19.89% 10.82%+1.60 +13.4 35
2005-11-26 @ Gorica L 0-539.5 1435 1625 10.82% 19.89% 69.29%-1.60 -13.4 18
2005-11-26 Primorje W 1-049.9 1447 1521 40.10% 25.88% 34.01%+0.12 +8.8 21
2005-11-26 @ Anet Koper L 0-149.9 1521 1447 34.01% 25.88% 40.10%-0.12 -8.8 26
2006-03-04 Rudar Velenje W 2-140.0 1487 1269 71.54% 18.89% 9.57%+1.76 +2.5 27
2006-03-04 @ Drava Ptuj L 1-240.0 1269 1487 9.57% 18.89% 71.54%-1.76 -2.5 6
2006-03-08 Maribor W 1-052.4 1506 1556 43.36% 25.74% 30.90%+0.25 +8.2 26
2006-03-08 @ Celje L 0-152.4 1556 1506 30.90% 25.74% 43.36%-0.25 -8.2 26
2006-03-11 Bela Krajina D 0-050.0 1266 1422 28.92% 25.60% 45.48%-0.34 +0.9 7
2006-03-11 @ Rudar Velenje D 0-050.0 1422 1266 45.48% 25.60% 28.92%+0.34 -0.9 19
2006-03-11 Celje W 2-046.4 1456 1514 42.22% 25.80% 31.97%+0.21 +15.8 24
2006-03-11 @ Anet Koper L 0-246.4 1514 1456 31.97% 25.80% 42.22%-0.21 -15.8 26
2006-03-11 Domzale D 2-274.4 1512 1662 29.56% 25.65% 44.79%-0.31 +0.6 27
2006-03-11 @ Primorje D 2-274.4 1662 1512 44.79% 25.65% 29.56%+0.31 -0.6 37
2006-03-11 Drava Ptuj W 2-153.1 1548 1489 56.74% 23.94% 19.31%+0.86 +5.2 29
2006-03-11 @ Maribor L 1-253.1 1489 1548 19.31% 23.94% 56.74%-0.86 -5.2 27
2006-03-11 Gorica L 2-457.8 1444 1639 24.49% 25.07% 50.44%-0.56 -9.9 28
2006-03-11 @ Nafta W 4-257.8 1639 1444 50.44% 25.07% 24.49%+0.56 +9.9 38
2006-03-15 Nafta W 3-147.8 1662 1434 72.28% 18.54% 9.18%+1.81 +4.1 40
2006-03-15 @ Domzale L 1-347.8 1434 1662 9.18% 18.54% 72.28%-1.81 -4.1 28
2006-03-18 Celje D 0-055.6 1430 1498 40.82% 25.86% 33.32%+0.15 -0.4 29
2006-03-18 @ Nafta D 0-055.6 1498 1430 33.32% 25.86% 40.82%-0.15 +0.4 27
2006-03-18 Domzale W 2-054.8 1267 1666 9.95% 19.21% 70.84%-1.71 +30.1 10
2006-03-18 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-254.8 1666 1267 70.84% 19.21% 9.95%+1.71 -30.1 40
2006-03-18 Drava Ptuj W 4-042.2 1649 1484 67.12% 20.78% 12.11%+1.46 +12.3 41
2006-03-18 @ Gorica L 0-442.2 1484 1649 12.11% 20.78% 67.12%-1.46 -12.3 27
2006-03-18 Anet Koper L 0-158.8 1553 1472 59.13% 23.37% 17.50%+0.99 -13.8 29
2006-03-18 @ Maribor W 1-058.8 1472 1553 17.50% 23.37% 59.13%-0.99 +13.8 27
2006-03-18 Primorje L 0-149.7 1421 1512 37.51% 25.92% 36.57%+0.02 -9.5 19
2006-03-18 @ Bela Krajina W 1-049.7 1512 1421 36.57% 25.92% 37.51%-0.02 +9.5 30
2006-03-25 Bela Krajina L 0-153.2 1472 1411 56.91% 23.91% 19.19%+0.87 -13.3 27
2006-03-25 @ Drava Ptuj W 1-053.2 1411 1472 19.19% 23.91% 56.91%-0.87 +13.3 22
2006-03-25 Maribor L 0-352.5 1522 1539 47.68% 25.40% 26.93%+0.44 -31.3 30
2006-03-25 @ Primorje W 3-052.5 1539 1522 26.93% 25.40% 47.68%-0.44 +31.3 32
2006-03-25 Nafta W 2-040.2 1486 1430 56.43% 24.01% 19.56%+0.85 +10.5 30
2006-03-25 @ Anet Koper L 0-240.2 1430 1486 19.56% 24.01% 56.43%-0.85 -10.5 29
2006-03-25 Gorica D 1-171.0 1636 1661 46.69% 25.49% 27.82%+0.39 -1.0 41
2006-03-25 @ Domzale D 1-171.0 1661 1636 27.82% 25.49% 46.69%-0.39 +1.0 42
2006-03-25 Rudar Velenje W 4-242.4 1499 1297 70.24% 19.48% 10.28%+1.67 +4.2 30
2006-03-25 @ Celje L 2-442.4 1297 1499 10.28% 19.48% 70.24%-1.67 -4.2 10
2006-03-29 Celje W 2-045.7 1662 1503 66.60% 20.98% 12.42%+1.43 +6.7 45
2006-03-29 @ Gorica L 0-245.7 1503 1662 12.42% 20.98% 66.60%-1.43 -6.7 30
2006-03-29 Domzale D 1-166.3 1458 1635 26.46% 25.34% 48.20%-0.46 +1.1 28
2006-03-29 @ Drava Ptuj D 1-166.3 1635 1458 48.20% 25.34% 26.46%+0.46 -1.1 42
2006-03-29 Anet Koper D 2-262.3 1293 1496 23.58% 24.91% 51.51%-0.61 +1.1 11
2006-03-29 @ Rudar Velenje D 2-262.3 1496 1293 51.51% 24.91% 23.58%+0.61 -1.1 31
2006-03-29 Maribor L 0-149.7 1425 1571 30.14% 25.69% 44.17%-0.29 -8.0 22
2006-03-29 @ Bela Krajina W 1-049.7 1571 1425 44.17% 25.69% 30.14%+0.29 +8.0 35
2006-03-29 Primorje W 2-044.8 1419 1491 40.40% 25.87% 33.73%+0.13 +16.5 32
2006-03-29 @ Nafta L 0-244.8 1491 1419 33.73% 25.87% 40.40%-0.13 -16.5 30
2006-04-01 Bela Krajina W 2-149.2 1634 1417 71.47% 18.92% 9.61%+1.75 +2.5 45
2006-04-01 @ Domzale L 1-249.2 1417 1634 9.61% 18.92% 71.47%-1.75 -2.5 22
2006-04-01 Drava Ptuj W 3-148.1 1496 1459 54.29% 24.44% 21.26%+0.74 +9.8 33
2006-04-01 @ Celje L 1-348.1 1459 1496 21.26% 24.44% 54.29%-0.74 -9.8 28
2006-04-01 Nafta W 5-142.6 1579 1436 65.16% 21.51% 13.33%+1.34 +11.3 38
2006-04-01 @ Maribor L 1-542.6 1436 1579 13.33% 21.51% 65.16%-1.34 -11.3 32
2006-04-01 Gorica D 1-168.4 1495 1669 26.82% 25.39% 47.80%-0.44 +1.1 32
2006-04-01 @ Anet Koper D 1-168.4 1669 1495 47.80% 25.39% 26.82%+0.44 -1.1 46
2006-04-01 Rudar Velenje D 1-157.5 1474 1294 68.45% 20.24% 11.31%+1.55 -3.2 31
2006-04-01 @ Primorje D 1-157.5 1294 1474 11.31% 20.24% 68.45%-1.55 +3.2 12
2006-04-08 Celje W 2-154.4 1636 1506 63.99% 21.92% 14.09%+1.27 +3.8 48
2006-04-08 @ Domzale L 1-254.4 1506 1636 14.09% 21.92% 63.99%-1.27 -3.8 33
2006-04-08 Anet Koper D 1-160.8 1450 1496 43.83% 25.72% 30.45%+0.27 -0.7 29
2006-04-08 @ Drava Ptuj D 1-160.8 1496 1450 30.45% 25.72% 43.83%-0.27 +0.7 33
2006-04-08 Maribor L 2-351.4 1297 1590 15.89% 22.75% 61.35%-1.11 -4.1 12
2006-04-08 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-251.4 1590 1297 61.35% 22.75% 15.89%+1.11 +4.1 41
2006-04-08 Nafta W 3-038.3 1414 1424 48.57% 25.30% 26.13%+0.48 +19.5 25
2006-04-08 @ Bela Krajina L 0-338.3 1424 1414 26.13% 25.30% 48.57%-0.48 -19.5 32
2006-04-08 Primorje W 2-044.0 1667 1471 69.81% 19.67% 10.52%+1.64 +5.6 49
2006-04-08 @ Gorica L 0-244.0 1471 1667 10.52% 19.67% 69.81%-1.64 -5.6 31
2006-04-12 Bela Krajina W 2-040.5 1502 1434 57.82% 23.69% 18.48%+0.92 +9.9 36
2006-04-12 @ Celje L 0-240.5 1434 1502 18.48% 23.69% 57.82%-0.92 -9.9 25
2006-04-12 Domzale W 2-055.8 1497 1640 30.46% 25.72% 43.82%-0.27 +20.1 36
2006-04-12 @ Anet Koper L 0-255.8 1640 1497 43.82% 25.72% 30.46%+0.27 -20.1 48
2006-04-12 Drava Ptuj D 2-265.8 1465 1449 51.87% 24.86% 23.27%+0.63 -1.1 32
2006-04-12 @ Primorje D 2-265.8 1449 1465 23.27% 24.86% 51.87%-0.63 +1.1 30
2006-04-12 Gorica W 4-159.3 1594 1673 39.31% 25.90% 34.79%+0.09 +20.7 44
2006-04-12 @ Maribor L 1-459.3 1673 1594 34.79% 25.90% 39.31%-0.09 -20.7 49
2006-04-12 Rudar Velenje W 2-141.9 1405 1293 62.23% 22.49% 15.28%+1.16 +4.1 35
2006-04-12 @ Nafta L 1-241.9 1293 1405 15.28% 22.49% 62.23%-1.16 -4.1 12
2006-04-15 Anet Koper L 0-253.7 1512 1517 49.29% 25.21% 25.49%+0.51 -22.2 36
2006-04-15 @ Celje W 2-053.7 1517 1512 25.49% 25.21% 49.29%-0.51 +22.2 39
2006-04-15 Maribor W 3-267.9 1450 1615 27.87% 25.50% 46.64%-0.39 +10.0 33
2006-04-15 @ Drava Ptuj L 2-367.9 1615 1450 46.64% 25.50% 27.87%+0.39 -10.0 44
2006-04-15 Nafta D 1-167.4 1652 1409 73.47% 17.97% 8.56%+1.90 -3.6 50
2006-04-15 @ Gorica D 1-167.4 1409 1652 8.56% 17.97% 73.47%-1.90 +3.6 36
2006-04-15 Primorje W 2-043.4 1620 1464 66.33% 21.08% 12.59%+1.41 +6.8 51
2006-04-15 @ Domzale L 0-243.4 1464 1620 12.59% 21.08% 66.33%-1.41 -6.8 32
2006-04-15 Rudar Velenje D 1-156.1 1424 1289 64.42% 21.77% 13.81%+1.29 -2.8 26
2006-04-15 @ Bela Krajina D 1-156.1 1289 1424 13.81% 21.77% 64.42%-1.29 +2.8 13
2006-04-22 Bela Krajina W 2-039.9 1539 1421 62.85% 22.29% 14.86%+1.20 +8.0 42
2006-04-22 @ Anet Koper L 0-239.9 1421 1539 14.86% 22.29% 62.85%-1.20 -8.0 26
2006-04-22 Celje L 2-459.4 1458 1490 45.68% 25.58% 28.74%+0.35 -16.1 32
2006-04-22 @ Primorje W 4-259.4 1490 1458 28.74% 25.58% 45.68%-0.35 +16.1 39
2006-04-22 Domzale L 0-357.1 1605 1627 47.05% 25.46% 27.49%+0.41 -31.0 44
2006-04-22 @ Maribor W 3-057.1 1627 1605 27.49% 25.46% 47.05%-0.41 +31.0 54
2006-04-22 Drava Ptuj D 0-053.8 1413 1460 43.68% 25.72% 30.59%+0.27 -0.7 37
2006-04-22 @ Nafta D 0-053.8 1460 1413 30.59% 25.72% 43.68%-0.27 +0.7 34
2006-04-22 Gorica L 0-335.9 1292 1649 11.98% 20.70% 67.33%-1.47 -9.3 13
2006-04-22 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-035.9 1649 1292 67.33% 20.70% 11.98%+1.47 +9.3 53
2006-04-26 Celje L 1-266.1 1574 1506 57.68% 23.73% 18.59%+0.91 -12.7 44
2006-04-26 @ Maribor W 2-166.1 1506 1574 18.59% 23.73% 57.68%-0.91 +12.7 42
2006-04-26 Domzale D 0-061.3 1412 1658 19.56% 24.01% 56.43%-0.85 +2.2 38
2006-04-26 @ Nafta D 0-061.3 1658 1412 56.43% 24.01% 19.56%+0.85 -2.2 55
2006-04-26 Drava Ptuj L 1-344.0 1282 1461 26.25% 25.32% 48.43%-0.47 -11.7 13
2006-04-26 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-144.0 1461 1282 48.43% 25.32% 26.25%+0.47 +11.7 37
2006-04-26 Anet Koper W 1-052.0 1441 1547 35.51% 25.91% 38.58%-0.06 +9.7 35
2006-04-26 @ Primorje L 0-152.0 1547 1441 38.58% 25.91% 35.51%+0.06 -9.7 42
2006-04-26 Gorica D 1-166.0 1413 1658 19.62% 24.03% 56.35%-0.84 +2.0 27
2006-04-26 @ Bela Krajina D 1-166.0 1658 1413 56.35% 24.03% 19.62%+0.84 -2.0 54
2006-04-29 Bela Krajina D 2-264.4 1451 1415 54.20% 24.46% 21.34%+0.74 -1.3 36
2006-04-29 @ Primorje D 2-264.4 1415 1451 21.34% 24.46% 54.20%-0.74 +1.3 28
2006-04-29 Maribor W 2-049.7 1537 1561 46.87% 25.48% 27.65%+0.40 +14.1 45
2006-04-29 @ Anet Koper L 0-249.7 1561 1537 27.65% 25.48% 46.87%-0.40 -14.1 44
2006-04-29 Nafta W 2-147.8 1519 1414 61.54% 22.70% 15.76%+1.12 +4.2 45
2006-04-29 @ Celje L 1-247.8 1414 1519 15.76% 22.70% 61.54%-1.12 -4.2 38
2006-04-29 Gorica W 2-057.0 1473 1656 25.70% 25.24% 49.06%-0.50 +22.1 40
2006-04-29 @ Drava Ptuj L 0-257.0 1656 1473 49.06% 25.24% 25.70%+0.50 -22.1 54
2006-04-29 Rudar Velenje W 3-030.8 1656 1271 82.61% 12.89% 4.50%+2.70 +3.0 58
2006-04-29 @ Domzale L 0-330.8 1271 1656 4.50% 12.89% 82.61%-2.70 -3.0 13
2006-05-02 Celje L 2-446.1 1268 1523 18.74% 23.77% 57.49%-0.90 -7.8 13
2006-05-02 @ Rudar Velenje W 4-246.1 1523 1268 57.49% 23.77% 18.74%+0.90 +7.8 48
2006-05-02 Drava Ptuj L 1-548.0 1416 1495 39.39% 25.90% 34.71%+0.09 -29.3 28
2006-05-02 @ Bela Krajina W 5-148.0 1495 1416 34.71% 25.90% 39.39%-0.09 +29.3 43
2006-05-02 Anet Koper L 0-148.6 1410 1552 30.68% 25.73% 43.59%-0.26 -8.1 38
2006-05-02 @ Nafta W 1-048.6 1552 1410 43.59% 25.73% 30.68%+0.26 +8.1 48
2006-05-02 Primorje W 2-041.8 1547 1450 60.77% 22.92% 16.31%+1.08 +8.8 47
2006-05-02 @ Maribor L 0-241.8 1450 1547 16.31% 22.92% 60.77%-1.08 -8.8 36
2006-05-03 Domzale W 2-054.2 1634 1659 46.73% 25.49% 27.78%+0.40 +14.1 57
2006-05-03 @ Gorica L 0-254.2 1659 1634 27.78% 25.49% 46.73%-0.40 -14.1 58
2006-05-06 Bela Krajina D 0-057.6 1556 1387 67.47% 20.64% 11.89%+1.48 -3.5 48
2006-05-06 @ Maribor D 0-057.6 1387 1556 11.89% 20.64% 67.47%-1.48 +3.5 29
2006-05-06 Drava Ptuj L 0-261.4 1644 1524 63.07% 22.22% 14.71%+1.21 -27.4 58
2006-05-06 @ Domzale W 2-061.4 1524 1644 14.71% 22.22% 63.07%-1.21 +27.4 46
2006-05-06 Nafta D 0-053.3 1441 1402 54.55% 24.40% 21.05%+0.75 -2.0 37
2006-05-06 @ Primorje D 0-053.3 1402 1441 21.05% 24.40% 54.55%-0.75 +2.0 39
2006-05-06 Gorica L 0-451.6 1531 1648 33.92% 25.88% 40.20%-0.12 -31.4 48
2006-05-06 @ Celje W 4-051.6 1648 1531 40.20% 25.88% 33.92%+0.12 +31.4 60
2006-05-06 Rudar Velenje W 3-029.2 1560 1260 77.45% 15.89% 6.65%+2.22 +4.8 51
2006-05-06 @ Anet Koper L 0-329.2 1260 1560 6.65% 15.89% 77.45%-2.22 -4.8 13
2006-05-13 Celje W 4-148.5 1551 1500 55.97% 24.11% 19.92%+0.83 +13.0 49
2006-05-13 @ Drava Ptuj L 1-448.5 1500 1551 19.92% 24.11% 55.97%-0.83 -13.0 48
2006-05-13 Domzale L 0-147.1 1390 1617 21.28% 24.45% 54.27%-0.74 -6.0 29
2006-05-13 @ Bela Krajina W 1-047.1 1617 1390 54.27% 24.45% 21.28%+0.74 +6.0 61
2006-05-13 Anet Koper D 0-066.5 1680 1564 62.55% 22.39% 15.06%+1.18 -2.9 61
2006-05-13 @ Gorica D 0-066.5 1564 1680 15.06% 22.39% 62.55%-1.18 +2.9 52
2006-05-13 Maribor W 1-052.5 1404 1552 29.83% 25.67% 44.50%-0.30 +10.8 42
2006-05-13 @ Nafta L 0-152.5 1552 1404 44.50% 25.67% 29.83%+0.30 -10.8 48
2006-05-13 Primorje D 1-154.8 1255 1439 25.65% 25.24% 49.11%-0.50 +1.2 14
2006-05-13 @ Rudar Velenje D 1-154.8 1439 1255 49.11% 25.24% 25.65%+0.50 -1.2 38
2006-05-17 Bela Krajina D 3-366.5 1415 1384 53.50% 24.59% 21.91%+0.70 -1.0 43
2006-05-17 @ Nafta D 3-366.5 1384 1415 21.91% 24.59% 53.50%-0.70 +1.0 30
2006-05-17 Domzale L 1-357.1 1487 1623 31.35% 25.77% 42.88%-0.23 -13.5 48
2006-05-17 @ Celje W 3-157.1 1623 1487 42.88% 25.77% 31.35%+0.23 +13.5 64
2006-05-17 Drava Ptuj D 1-167.6 1567 1564 50.24% 25.09% 24.67%+0.55 -1.3 53
2006-05-17 @ Anet Koper D 1-167.6 1564 1567 24.67% 25.09% 50.24%-0.55 +1.3 50
2006-05-17 Gorica L 1-353.4 1438 1677 20.17% 24.18% 55.65%-0.81 -9.3 38
2006-05-17 @ Primorje W 3-153.4 1677 1438 55.65% 24.18% 20.17%+0.81 +9.3 64
2006-05-17 Rudar Velenje W 1-033.8 1541 1256 76.46% 16.43% 7.11%+2.14 +1.9 51
2006-05-17 @ Maribor L 0-133.8 1256 1541 7.11% 16.43% 76.46%-2.14 -1.9 14
2006-05-20 Celje W 3-149.7 1385 1473 38.09% 25.92% 36.00%+0.04 +15.0 33
2006-05-20 @ Bela Krajina L 1-349.7 1473 1385 36.00% 25.92% 38.09%-0.04 -15.0 48
2006-05-20 Anet Koper W 2-049.2 1637 1566 58.01% 23.65% 18.34%+0.93 +9.8 67
2006-05-20 @ Domzale L 0-249.2 1566 1637 18.34% 23.65% 58.01%-0.93 -9.8 53
2006-05-20 Maribor W 2-156.1 1686 1543 65.15% 21.52% 13.34%+1.34 +3.6 67
2006-05-20 @ Gorica L 1-256.1 1543 1686 13.34% 21.52% 65.15%-1.34 -3.6 51
2006-05-20 Nafta L 1-246.5 1254 1414 28.52% 25.56% 45.92%-0.36 -7.2 14
2006-05-20 @ Rudar Velenje W 2-146.5 1414 1254 45.92% 25.56% 28.52%+0.36 +7.2 46
2006-05-20 Primorje D 0-059.2 1566 1428 64.65% 21.69% 13.66%+1.31 -3.2 51
2006-05-20 @ Drava Ptuj D 0-059.2 1428 1566 13.66% 21.69% 64.65%-1.31 +3.2 39
2006-05-27 Bela Krajina D 2-260.0 1247 1400 29.23% 25.62% 45.14%-0.33 +0.6 15
2006-05-27 @ Rudar Velenje D 2-260.0 1400 1247 45.14% 25.62% 29.23%+0.33 -0.6 34
2006-05-27 Celje D 2-270.1 1556 1458 60.87% 22.89% 16.23%+1.09 -1.8 54
2006-05-27 @ Anet Koper D 2-270.1 1458 1556 16.23% 22.89% 60.87%-1.09 +1.8 49
2006-05-27 Domzale D 0-061.4 1432 1646 22.42% 24.70% 52.88%-0.67 +1.8 40
2006-05-27 @ Primorje D 0-061.4 1646 1432 52.88% 24.70% 22.42%+0.67 -1.8 68
2006-05-27 Drava Ptuj W 2-158.3 1540 1563 46.96% 25.47% 27.58%+0.41 +7.0 54
2006-05-27 @ Maribor L 1-258.3 1563 1540 27.58% 25.47% 46.96%-0.41 -7.0 51
2006-05-27 Gorica L 1-449.7 1421 1690 17.67% 23.43% 58.90%-0.98 -11.6 46
2006-05-27 @ Nafta W 4-149.7 1690 1421 58.90% 23.43% 17.67%+0.98 +11.6 70
2006-06-03 Anet Koper L 0-343.0 1400 1554 29.07% 25.61% 45.32%-0.34 -21.3 34
2006-06-03 @ Bela Krajina W 3-043.0 1554 1400 45.32% 25.61% 29.07%+0.34 +21.3 57
2006-06-03 Maribor W 2-048.1 1645 1547 60.85% 22.90% 16.25%+1.08 +8.8 71
2006-06-03 @ Domzale L 0-248.1 1547 1645 16.25% 22.90% 60.85%-1.08 -8.8 54
2006-06-03 Nafta W 2-039.2 1556 1409 65.49% 21.39% 13.12%+1.36 +7.0 54
2006-06-03 @ Drava Ptuj L 0-239.2 1409 1556 13.12% 21.39% 65.49%-1.36 -7.0 46
2006-06-03 Primorje L 0-152.6 1460 1433 53.07% 24.66% 22.26%+0.68 -12.5 49
2006-06-03 @ Celje W 1-052.6 1433 1460 22.26% 24.66% 53.07%-0.68 +12.5 43
2006-06-03 Rudar Velenje W 4-030.0 1701 1248 86.06% 10.70% 3.25%+3.08 +2.7 73
2006-06-03 @ Gorica L 0-430.0 1248 1701 3.25% 10.70% 86.06%-3.08 -2.7 15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2006-03-18 9.95% @ Rudar Velenje 1267 2 Domzale 1666 0
2 2006-05-06 14.71% Drava Ptuj 1524 2 @ Domzale 1644 0
3 2005-09-10 15.24% Bela Krajina 1410 3 @ Celje 1522 0
4 2005-08-06 15.76% Nafta 1387 2 @ Anet Koper 1492 0
5 2006-03-18 17.50% Anet Koper 1472 1 @ Maribor 1553 0
6 2005-09-24 18.31% Celje 1476 2 @ Maribor 1547 0
7 2006-04-26 18.59% Celje 1506 2 @ Maribor 1574 1
8 2006-03-25 19.19% Bela Krajina 1411 1 @ Drava Ptuj 1472 0
9 2005-10-01 20.68% Nafta 1458 3 @ Celje 1502 1
10 2005-07-30 21.76% Anet Koper 1480 2 @ Maribor 1512 1
11 2005-11-19 22.02% Anet Koper 1427 3 @ Bela Krajina 1456 1
12 2006-06-03 22.26% Primorje 1433 1 @ Celje 1460 0
13 2005-08-28 22.90% Nafta 1418 4 @ Bela Krajina 1439 1
14 2005-10-29 25.29% Drava Ptuj 1447 1 @ Anet Koper 1445 0
15 2006-04-15 25.49% Anet Koper 1517 2 @ Celje 1512 0
16 2006-04-29 25.70% @ Drava Ptuj 1473 2 Gorica 1656 0
17 2005-10-29 26.84% @ Celje 1489 3 Domzale 1662 2
18 2006-03-25 26.93% Maribor 1539 3 @ Primorje 1522 0
19 2005-07-30 27.27% @ Nafta 1376 2 Celje 1546 1
20 2006-04-22 27.49% Domzale 1627 3 @ Maribor 1605 0
21 2005-09-17 27.70% Maribor 1516 3 @ Drava Ptuj 1492 0
22 2006-04-15 27.87% @ Drava Ptuj 1450 3 Maribor 1615 2
23 2006-04-22 28.74% Celje 1490 4 @ Primorje 1458 2
24 2005-08-20 28.83% @ Anet Koper 1456 2 Gorica 1612 0
25 2006-05-13 29.83% @ Nafta 1404 1 Maribor 1552 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-07-31 54.56 Domzale 8 1550 44.60% @ Rudar Velenje 0 1401 29.74% 25.66%
2 2005-09-10 39.41 Bela Krajina 3 1410 15.24% @ Celje 0 1522 62.29% 22.47%
3 2005-10-26 36.23 Maribor 4 1542 33.15% @ Nafta 0 1475 41.00% 25.85%
4 2006-05-06 31.40 Gorica 4 1648 40.20% @ Celje 0 1531 33.92% 25.88%
5 2006-03-25 31.32 Maribor 3 1539 26.93% @ Primorje 0 1522 47.68% 25.40%
6 2006-04-22 30.98 Domzale 3 1627 27.49% @ Maribor 0 1605 47.05% 25.46%
7 2005-09-17 30.85 Maribor 3 1516 27.70% @ Drava Ptuj 0 1492 46.81% 25.48%
8 2006-03-18 30.13 @ Rudar Velenje 2 1267 9.95% Domzale 0 1666 70.84% 19.21%
9 2006-05-02 29.28 Drava Ptuj 5 1495 34.71% @ Bela Krajina 1 1416 39.39% 25.90%
10 2005-08-28 28.57 Nafta 4 1418 22.90% @ Bela Krajina 1 1439 52.31% 24.79%
11 2006-05-06 27.42 Drava Ptuj 2 1524 14.71% @ Domzale 0 1644 63.07% 22.22%
12 2005-08-06 26.85 Nafta 2 1387 15.76% @ Anet Koper 0 1492 61.55% 22.70%
13 2005-09-24 25.52 Celje 2 1476 18.31% @ Maribor 0 1547 58.04% 23.64%
14 2005-08-29 22.98 @ Domzale 5 1616 58.05% Celje 0 1545 18.31% 23.64%
15 2006-04-15 22.18 Anet Koper 2 1517 25.49% @ Celje 0 1512 49.29% 25.21%
16 2006-04-29 22.09 @ Drava Ptuj 2 1473 25.70% Gorica 0 1656 49.06% 25.24%
17 2005-11-05 21.88 @ Drava Ptuj 4 1459 36.53% Primorje 1 1558 37.55% 25.92%
18 2006-06-03 21.32 Anet Koper 3 1554 45.32% @ Bela Krajina 0 1400 29.07% 25.61%
19 2005-10-01 21.10 Nafta 3 1458 20.68% @ Celje 1 1502 55.02% 24.31%
20 2005-08-20 20.78 @ Anet Koper 2 1456 28.83% Gorica 0 1612 45.58% 25.59%
21 2006-04-12 20.66 @ Maribor 4 1594 39.31% Gorica 1 1673 34.79% 25.90%
22 2005-11-19 20.55 Anet Koper 3 1427 22.02% @ Bela Krajina 1 1456 53.36% 24.61%
23 2006-04-12 20.13 @ Anet Koper 2 1497 30.46% Domzale 0 1640 43.82% 25.72%
24 2005-10-26 19.79 Primorje 4 1538 56.48% @ Rudar Velenje 0 1292 19.52% 24.00%
25 2006-04-08 19.55 @ Bela Krajina 3 1414 48.57% Nafta 0 1424 26.13% 25.30%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-10-29 74.4 @ Primorje 2 1558 42.25% Gorica 2 1616 31.95% 25.80%
2 2006-03-11 74.4 @ Primorje 2 1512 29.56% Domzale 2 1662 44.79% 25.65%
3 2005-09-10 72.6 @ Anet Koper 2 1470 27.33% Domzale 2 1639 47.23% 25.44%
4 2005-09-17 71.1 @ Celje 3 1483 51.35% Anet Koper 3 1471 23.71% 24.94%
5 2006-03-25 71.0 @ Domzale 1 1636 46.69% Gorica 1 1661 27.82% 25.49%
6 2005-10-29 70.9 @ Celje 3 1489 26.84% Domzale 2 1662 47.77% 25.39%
7 2005-10-15 70.6 @ Gorica 1 1617 44.15% Domzale 1 1661 30.16% 25.70%
8 2006-05-27 70.1 @ Anet Koper 2 1556 60.87% Celje 2 1458 16.23% 22.89%
9 2005-08-06 69.6 @ Domzale 1 1604 49.68% Gorica 1 1606 25.15% 25.17%
10 2006-04-01 68.4 @ Anet Koper 1 1495 26.82% Gorica 1 1669 47.80% 25.39%
11 2006-04-15 67.9 @ Drava Ptuj 3 1450 27.87% Maribor 2 1615 46.64% 25.50%
12 2006-05-17 67.6 @ Anet Koper 1 1567 50.24% Drava Ptuj 1 1564 24.67% 25.09%
13 2006-04-15 67.4 @ Gorica 1 1652 73.47% Nafta 1 1409 8.56% 17.97%
14 2005-10-26 67.0 @ Bela Krajina 1 1445 21.98% Domzale 1 1664 53.41% 24.60%
15 2005-08-14 66.9 @ Drava Ptuj 1 1515 38.02% Domzale 1 1603 36.06% 25.92%
16 2005-08-14 66.7 @ Bela Krajina 2 1452 44.50% Maribor 2 1494 29.83% 25.67%
17 2006-05-13 66.5 @ Gorica 0 1680 62.55% Anet Koper 0 1564 15.06% 22.39%
18 2006-05-17 66.5 @ Nafta 3 1415 53.50% Bela Krajina 3 1384 21.91% 24.59%
19 2006-03-29 66.3 @ Drava Ptuj 1 1458 26.46% Domzale 1 1635 48.20% 25.34%
20 2006-04-26 66.1 Celje 2 1506 18.59% @ Maribor 1 1574 57.68% 23.73%
21 2006-04-26 66.0 @ Bela Krajina 1 1413 19.62% Gorica 1 1658 56.35% 24.03%
22 2006-04-12 65.8 @ Primorje 2 1465 51.87% Drava Ptuj 2 1449 23.27% 24.86%
23 2005-09-25 64.8 @ Bela Krajina 1 1447 28.74% Gorica 1 1604 45.68% 25.58%
24 2005-09-21 64.5 @ Maribor 0 1547 35.76% Domzale 0 1651 38.33% 25.92%
25 2006-04-29 64.4 @ Primorje 2 1451 54.20% Bela Krajina 2 1415 21.34% 24.46%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-05-06 29.2 @ Anet Koper 3 1560 77.45% Rudar Velenje 0 1260 6.65% 15.89%
2 2006-06-03 30.0 @ Gorica 4 1701 86.06% Rudar Velenje 0 1248 3.25% 10.70%
3 2006-04-29 30.8 @ Domzale 3 1656 82.61% Rudar Velenje 0 1271 4.50% 12.89%
4 2005-09-10 32.5 @ Nafta 5 1447 62.53% Rudar Velenje 0 1332 15.07% 22.39%
5 2006-05-17 33.8 @ Maribor 1 1541 76.46% Rudar Velenje 0 1256 7.11% 16.43%
6 2005-10-26 35.2 Primorje 4 1538 56.48% @ Rudar Velenje 0 1292 19.52% 24.00%
7 2006-04-22 35.9 Gorica 3 1649 67.33% @ Rudar Velenje 0 1292 11.98% 20.70%
8 2005-08-24 36.0 @ Primorje 6 1512 66.62% Rudar Velenje 1 1353 12.41% 20.97%
9 2005-09-18 36.6 @ Bela Krajina 1 1449 64.56% Rudar Velenje 0 1313 13.72% 21.72%
10 2005-07-22 37.5 @ Domzale 2 1543 66.71% Nafta 0 1383 12.35% 20.93%
11 2005-10-03 37.8 @ Domzale 4 1658 80.72% Rudar Velenje 1 1306 5.25% 14.03%
12 2006-04-08 38.3 @ Bela Krajina 3 1414 48.57% Nafta 0 1424 26.13% 25.30%
13 2006-06-03 39.2 @ Drava Ptuj 2 1556 65.49% Nafta 0 1409 13.12% 21.39%
14 2005-11-26 39.5 @ Gorica 5 1625 69.29% Bela Krajina 0 1435 10.82% 19.89%
15 2006-04-22 39.9 @ Anet Koper 2 1539 62.85% Bela Krajina 0 1421 14.86% 22.29%
16 2005-08-20 40.0 @ Domzale 4 1603 65.95% Bela Krajina 0 1452 12.83% 21.22%
17 2006-03-04 40.0 @ Drava Ptuj 2 1487 71.54% Rudar Velenje 1 1269 9.57% 18.89%
18 2006-03-25 40.2 @ Anet Koper 2 1486 56.43% Nafta 0 1430 19.56% 24.01%
19 2006-04-12 40.5 @ Celje 2 1502 57.82% Bela Krajina 0 1434 18.48% 23.69%
20 2005-10-26 40.8 @ Gorica 3 1606 65.94% Anet Koper 0 1455 12.83% 21.22%
21 2005-08-07 41.1 @ Drava Ptuj 3 1498 53.37% Bela Krajina 0 1469 22.02% 24.61%
22 2005-07-24 41.4 @ Gorica 4 1581 61.44% Bela Krajina 0 1477 15.83% 22.73%
23 2005-10-22 41.4 @ Anet Koper 2 1451 66.34% Rudar Velenje 1 1295 12.59% 21.08%
24 2005-07-23 41.5 @ Drava Ptuj 1 1502 60.78% Rudar Velenje 0 1405 16.30% 22.92%
25 2006-05-02 41.8 @ Maribor 2 1547 60.77% Primorje 0 1450 16.31% 22.92%