2008-09 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Maribor

63 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rudar Velenje

8.40 points above expected

55 points · 46.60 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Domzale

6.94 points below expected

50 points · 56.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Maribor	36	17	12	7	63	62	44	+18	58.53	+4.47
2	Gorica	36	17	5	14	56	60	55	+5	49.80	+6.20
3	Rudar Velenje	36	16	7	13	55	44	39	+5	46.60	+8.40
4	Celje	36	15	8	13	53	48	39	+9	52.09	+0.91
5	Domzale	36	12	14	10	50	44	40	+4	56.94	-6.94
6	Interblock Ljubljana	36	13	8	15	47	52	51	+1	48.45	-1.45
7	Nafta	36	11	10	15	43	36	52	-16	46.54	-3.54
8	Luka Koper	36	10	12	14	42	39	47	-8	46.95	-4.95
9	Drava Ptuj	36	12	6	18	42	47	53	-6	42.00	+0.00
10	Primorje	36	9	14	13	41	36	48	-12	45.55	-4.55

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rudar Velenje	55	46.60	+8.40
2	Gorica	56	49.80	+6.20
3	Maribor	63	58.53	+4.47
4	Celje	53	52.09	+0.91
5	Drava Ptuj	42	42.00	+0.00

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Domzale	50	56.94	-6.94
2	Luka Koper	42	46.95	-4.95
3	Primorje	41	45.55	-4.55
4	Nafta	43	46.54	-3.54
5	Interblock Ljubljana	47	48.45	-1.45

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Drava Ptuj	7	Apr 11 – May 16	1 in 9,339
2	Interblock Ljubljana	5	Sep 24 – Oct 26	1 in 130
3	Celje	4	Sep 27 – Oct 26	1 in 97
4	Gorica	4	May 6 – May 20	1 in 77
5	Rudar Velenje	3	Feb 20 – Mar 7	1 in 38

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celje	5	May 6 – May 23	1 in 265
2	Domzale	4	Sep 27 – Oct 26	1 in 174
3	Gorica	4	Aug 1 – Aug 24	1 in 83
4	Interblock Ljubljana	4	Aug 4 – Aug 24	1 in 60
5	Drava Ptuj	5	Mar 7 – Apr 8	1 in 48

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Maribor	12	Aug 16 – Nov 8	1 in 91
2	Drava Ptuj	7	Apr 11 – May 16	1 in 79
3	Gorica	6	Mar 14 – Apr 18	1 in 20
4	Primorje	5	May 6 – May 23	1 in 18
5	Celje	5	Sep 24 – Oct 26	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Drava Ptuj	18	Sep 27 – Apr 8	1 in 629
2	Nafta	10	Feb 28 – May 2	1 in 54
3	Primorje	8	Aug 30 – Oct 26	1 in 45
4	Domzale	7	Sep 21 – Oct 31	1 in 41
5	Celje	8	Aug 2 – Sep 24	1 in 37

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Maribor	1434	63	-26	4	8.1	-4.1
Gorica	1420	56	+34	12	6.8	+5.2
Rudar Velenje	1372	55	-5	6	7.6	-1.6
Celje	1390	53	-40	0	7.1	-7.1
Domzale	1414	50	+1	8	8.0	+0.0
Interblock Ljubljana	1380	47	+0	7	6.4	+0.6
Nafta	1303	43	-14	4	5.9	-1.9
Drava Ptuj	1339	42	+15	10	6.5	+3.5
Luka Koper	1369	42	+8	7	6.3	+0.7
Primorje	1346	41	+26	11	5.7	+5.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CEL	DOM	DP	GOR	IL	LK	MAR	NAF	PRI	RV
Celje	—	2-1-1 4.83	3-0-1 6.22	1-0-3 5.72	1-2-1 5.83	1-0-3 6.11	0-2-2 4.85	2-1-1 5.87	2-1-1 6.16	3-1-0 5.89
Domzale	1-1-2 6.13	—	1-2-1 7.11	2-0-2 6.27	3-1-0 6.19	2-2-0 6.71	1-1-2 5.35	0-3-1 6.65	1-3-0 6.58	1-1-2 6.57
Drava Ptuj	1-0-3 4.74	1-2-1 3.87	—	2-1-1 4.70	2-0-2 4.84	2-0-2 5.19	1-1-2 4.02	2-0-2 5.04	0-2-2 5.17	1-0-3 5.15
Gorica	3-0-1 5.20	2-0-2 4.67	1-1-2 6.24	—	1-2-1 5.66	3-0-1 5.82	2-1-1 4.56	3-0-1 5.64	2-1-1 5.96	0-0-4 6.09
Interblock Ljubljana	1-2-1 5.09	0-1-3 4.79	2-0-2 6.09	1-2-1 5.28	—	1-1-2 5.83	2-0-2 4.48	2-1-1 5.61	3-1-0 5.60	1-0-3 5.88
Luka Koper	3-0-1 4.84	0-2-2 4.24	2-0-2 5.74	1-0-3 5.11	2-1-1 5.10	—	0-3-1 4.50	1-2-1 5.40	1-2-1 5.57	0-2-2 5.47
Maribor	2-2-0 6.09	2-1-1 5.60	2-1-1 6.98	1-1-2 6.39	2-0-2 6.47	1-3-0 6.46	—	2-1-1 6.66	1-3-0 6.84	4-0-0 6.67
Nafta	1-1-2 5.09	1-3-0 4.29	2-0-2 5.89	1-0-3 5.33	1-1-2 5.30	1-2-1 5.53	1-1-2 4.28	—	3-0-1 5.59	0-2-2 5.33
Primorje	1-1-2 4.78	0-3-1 4.36	2-2-0 5.76	1-1-2 4.96	0-1-3 5.35	1-2-1 5.35	0-3-1 4.13	1-0-3 5.35	—	3-1-0 5.27
Rudar Velenje	0-1-3 5.05	2-1-1 4.41	3-0-1 5.78	4-0-0 4.87	3-0-1 5.05	2-2-0 5.47	0-0-4 4.30	2-2-0 5.59	0-1-3 5.68	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.63	+6.5
Allowed	0.16	-4.9
Differential	0.86	+6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.44%	8.89%	7.22%	2.78%	0.56%	0.28%	29.17%
1	8.89%	9.44%	8.61%	3.06%	2.22%	0.56%	32.78%
2	7.22%	8.61%	4.44%	1.94%	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	3.06%	1.94%	3.33%	0.28%	0.28%	11.67%
4	0.56%	2.22%	—	0.28%	—	—	3.06%
5+	0.28%	0.56%	—	0.28%	—	—	1.11%
Total	29.17%	32.78%	22.22%	11.67%	3.06%	1.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.30	1.30	+0.00
SD	1.16	1.16	1.63
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
2	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
3	5.56%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	25.00%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.08	+0.25
SD	1.10	0.97	1.42
CV	0.82	0.89	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	38.89%
1	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
2	13.89%	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	16.67%	22.22%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.11	+0.11
SD	1.17	1.17	1.53
CV	0.96	1.05	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	16.67%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	38.89%
1	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
2	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
Total	13.89%	44.44%	25.00%	13.89%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.47	-0.17
SD	1.41	1.00	1.75
CV	1.08	0.68	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	22.22%
2	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
3	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	22.22%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	36.11%	22.22%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	1.53	+0.14
SD	1.12	1.34	1.64
CV	0.67	0.88	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	2.78%	11.11%	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	22.22%	33.33%	30.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.42	+0.03
SD	1.34	1.11	1.99
CV	0.93	0.78	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	30.56%
1	5.56%	19.44%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	44.44%
2	—	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	41.67%	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.31	-0.22
SD	1.00	1.19	1.53
CV	0.92	0.91	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
1	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
2	2.78%	19.44%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	52.78%	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.72	1.22	+0.50
SD	1.39	1.05	1.58
CV	0.80	0.86	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	27.78%
1	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	—	50.00%
2	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	22.22%	16.67%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.44	-0.44
SD	0.83	1.46	1.75
CV	0.83	1.01	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	36.11%
1	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	—	8.33%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	25.00%	19.44%	19.44%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.33	-0.33
SD	0.99	1.22	1.43
CV	0.99	0.91	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	22.22%	8.33%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	52.78%
2	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	38.89%	22.22%	33.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.08	+0.14
SD	1.02	1.05	1.51
CV	0.83	0.97	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Maribor	1434	63	58.53	+4.47	74.0%	36	44	54	59	64	71	79
Gorica	1420	56	49.80	+6.20	80.0%	29	38	45	49	55	62	68
Domzale	1414	50	56.94	-6.94	13.0%	32	44	53	57	61	68	80
Celje	1390	53	52.09	+0.91	57.0%	38	39	45	52	58	66	75
Interblock Ljubljana	1380	47	48.45	-1.45	40.0%	32	36	43	49	54	59	62
Rudar Velenje	1372	55	46.60	+8.40	88.0%	29	33	41	47	52	60	73
Luka Koper	1369	42	46.95	-4.95	30.0%	32	37	42	46	51	58	66
Primorje	1346	41	45.55	-4.55	29.0%	30	32	40	45	50	60	65
Drava Ptuj	1339	42	42.00	+0.00	53.0%	23	32	37	42	46	53	58
Nafta	1303	43	46.54	-3.54	30.0%	26	33	42	46	51	59	65

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+25.56%

Strong Edge

49.44%26.67%23.89%

Elo Value

Home Edge

239 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

090.80600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.49 goals

Neutral

-2+0.38+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.2

Wide Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

37%

Maribor, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.19/gm

Comfortable

00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.05 * Some Luck: 6.05 to 9.08 * Lucky: 9.08 to 12.11 * Wild Swing: 12.11 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.73 * Close: 1.73 to 2.6 * Off: 2.6 to 3.47 * Way Off: 3.47 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.87 points

As Expected

07.5719

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.60

Pinpoint

02.175

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

88.00%

Rudar Velenje

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

13.00%

Domzale

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.

Gini Index

0.08

Balanced

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 40.35

0.95

Coin-Flip Parity

11.82.052.75

Interquartile Edge

58%

Even

50%63.5%72%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

68%

Even

50%68%100%

Close Games

Expected

66%

Very Frequent

0%64%100%

Blowouts

Expected

13%

Rare

0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.32

Slight Separation

00.310.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.41

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.01

Weak Carryover

00.420.630.791

Upset Rate

Expected

25%

Very Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

25%

Very Shaky

0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.49

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.26

Overconfident

0.03187481.001.96813

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.045

Well Within Noise

00.1110.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Maribor	37.00%	24.00%	12.00%	10.00%	6.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	—	3.00%
Gorica	10.00%	6.00%	12.00%	11.00%	11.00%	12.00%	11.00%	12.00%	7.00%	8.00%
Rudar Velenje	2.00%	5.00%	9.00%	12.00%	9.00%	13.00%	11.00%	12.00%	17.00%	10.00%
Celje	15.00%	14.00%	14.00%	11.00%	9.00%	10.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	4.00%
Domzale	26.00%	21.00%	22.00%	15.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—
Interblock Ljubljana	3.00%	10.00%	9.00%	14.00%	16.00%	11.00%	10.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%
Nafta	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	13.00%	11.00%	13.00%	12.00%	11.00%	15.00%	12.00%
Luka Koper	—	10.00%	4.00%	7.00%	16.00%	12.00%	12.00%	18.00%	13.00%	8.00%
Drava Ptuj	—	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	5.00%	11.00%	22.00%	15.00%	13.00%	27.00%
Primorje	3.00%	4.00%	10.00%	5.00%	11.00%	11.00%	10.00%	14.00%	16.00%	16.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Domzale	98.00%	2.00%	—
Maribor	97.00%	—	3.00%
Celje	87.00%	9.00%	4.00%
Gorica	85.00%	7.00%	8.00%
Luka Koper	79.00%	13.00%	8.00%
Rudar Velenje	73.00%	17.00%	10.00%
Interblock Ljubljana	80.00%	8.00%	12.00%
Nafta	73.00%	15.00%	12.00%
Primorje	68.00%	16.00%	16.00%
Drava Ptuj	60.00%	13.00%	27.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2008-07-19	Drava Ptuj	W 2-0	35.6	1355	1356	48.26%	26.90%	24.84%	+0.37	+8.4	3
2008-07-19	@ Nafta	L 0-2	35.6	1356	1355	24.84%	26.90%	48.26%	-0.37	-8.4	0
2008-07-19	Primorje	W 2-0	35.8	1439	1388	55.03%	24.93%	20.05%	+0.59	+6.8	3
2008-07-19	@ Domzale	L 0-2	35.8	1388	1439	20.05%	24.93%	55.03%	-0.59	-6.8	0
2008-07-19	Rudar Velenje	W 2-0	33.9	1356	1324	52.53%	25.75%	21.72%	+0.51	+7.4	3
2008-07-19	@ Celje	L 0-2	33.9	1324	1356	21.72%	25.75%	52.53%	-0.51	-7.4	0
2008-07-20	Interblock Ljubljana	D 2-2	61.9	1390	1371	51.01%	26.20%	22.79%	+0.46	-0.7	1
2008-07-20	@ Gorica	D 2-2	61.9	1371	1390	22.79%	26.20%	51.01%	-0.46	+0.7	1
2008-07-20	Luka Koper	W 3-2	51.9	1392	1396	47.94%	26.97%	25.09%	+0.36	+4.0	3
2008-07-20	@ Maribor	L 2-3	51.9	1396	1392	25.09%	26.97%	47.94%	-0.36	-4.0	0
2008-07-26	Maribor	L 1-2	49.7	1317	1396	37.56%	28.27%	34.17%	+0.05	-5.8	0
2008-07-26	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	49.7	1396	1317	34.17%	28.27%	37.56%	-0.05	+5.8	6
2008-07-26	Nafta	D 2-2	63.7	1446	1363	58.86%	23.46%	17.69%	+0.73	-1.0	4
2008-07-26	@ Domzale	D 2-2	63.7	1363	1446	17.69%	23.46%	58.86%	-0.73	+1.0	4
2008-07-26	Gorica	L 1-3	49.7	1392	1390	48.79%	26.77%	24.44%	+0.39	-12.2	0
2008-07-26	@ Luka Koper	W 3-1	49.7	1390	1392	24.44%	26.77%	48.79%	-0.39	+12.2	4
2008-07-27	Celje	L 0-2	42.2	1348	1363	46.44%	27.28%	26.28%	+0.32	-13.5	0
2008-07-27	@ Drava Ptuj	W 2-0	42.2	1363	1348	26.28%	27.28%	46.44%	-0.32	+13.6	6
2008-07-27	Interblock Ljubljana	D 1-1	55.8	1381	1372	49.69%	26.55%	23.76%	+0.42	-0.9	1
2008-07-27	@ Primorje	D 1-1	55.8	1372	1381	23.76%	26.55%	49.69%	-0.42	+0.9	2
2008-08-01	Rudar Velenje	L 0-2	44.9	1402	1311	59.78%	23.07%	17.15%	+0.76	-16.5	4
2008-08-01	@ Gorica	W 2-0	44.9	1311	1402	17.15%	23.07%	59.78%	-0.76	+16.5	3
2008-08-02	Domzale	D 0-0	52.0	1377	1445	39.12%	28.20%	32.68%	+0.10	-0.2	7
2008-08-02	@ Celje	D 0-0	52.0	1445	1377	32.68%	28.20%	39.12%	-0.10	+0.2	5
2008-08-02	Drava Ptuj	D 1-1	56.3	1402	1334	57.03%	24.19%	18.78%	+0.66	-1.3	7
2008-08-02	@ Maribor	D 1-1	56.3	1334	1402	18.78%	24.19%	57.03%	-0.66	+1.3	1
2008-08-02	Primorje	W 1-0	40.8	1364	1380	46.33%	27.30%	26.37%	+0.31	+4.7	7
2008-08-02	@ Nafta	L 0-1	40.8	1380	1364	26.37%	27.30%	46.33%	-0.31	-4.7	1
2008-08-04	Luka Koper	L 1-2	52.9	1373	1380	47.51%	27.06%	25.43%	+0.35	-6.9	2
2008-08-04	@ Interblock Ljubljana	W 2-1	52.9	1380	1373	25.43%	27.06%	47.51%	-0.35	+6.9	3
2008-08-09	Celje	W 1-0	40.5	1369	1376	47.44%	27.08%	25.48%	+0.35	+4.5	10
2008-08-09	@ Nafta	L 0-1	40.5	1376	1369	25.48%	27.08%	47.44%	-0.35	-4.5	7
2008-08-09	Interblock Ljubljana	W 2-0	36.8	1328	1366	43.35%	27.79%	28.86%	+0.22	+9.5	6
2008-08-09	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-2	36.8	1366	1328	28.86%	27.79%	43.35%	-0.22	-9.5	2
2008-08-10	Luka Koper	W 2-0	36.8	1375	1387	46.96%	27.18%	25.86%	+0.33	+8.7	4
2008-08-10	@ Primorje	L 0-2	36.8	1387	1375	25.86%	27.18%	46.96%	-0.33	-8.7	3
2008-08-10	Maribor	W 1-0	40.7	1445	1400	54.19%	25.22%	20.59%	+0.57	+3.7	8
2008-08-10	@ Domzale	L 0-1	40.7	1400	1445	20.59%	25.22%	54.19%	-0.57	-3.7	7
2008-08-10	Gorica	W 5-1	39.4	1336	1385	41.69%	27.99%	30.32%	+0.17	+15.6	4
2008-08-10	@ Drava Ptuj	L 1-5	39.4	1385	1336	30.32%	27.99%	41.69%	-0.17	-15.6	4
2008-08-16	Nafta	W 4-1	38.5	1397	1373	51.55%	26.05%	22.41%	+0.48	+9.3	10
2008-08-16	@ Maribor	L 1-4	38.5	1373	1397	22.41%	26.05%	51.55%	-0.48	-9.3	10
2008-08-16	Primorje	D 2-2	61.5	1372	1384	46.86%	27.20%	25.94%	+0.33	-0.5	8
2008-08-16	@ Celje	D 2-2	61.5	1384	1372	25.94%	27.20%	46.86%	-0.33	+0.5	5
2008-08-16	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	55.6	1378	1337	53.74%	25.37%	20.89%	+0.55	-1.1	4
2008-08-16	@ Luka Koper	D 1-1	55.6	1337	1378	20.89%	25.37%	53.74%	-0.55	+1.1	7
2008-08-17	Domzale	L 0-2	41.8	1370	1449	37.58%	28.27%	34.16%	+0.05	-11.5	4
2008-08-17	@ Gorica	W 2-0	41.8	1449	1370	34.16%	28.27%	37.58%	-0.05	+11.6	11
2008-08-17	Drava Ptuj	L 1-2	52.6	1356	1351	49.14%	26.69%	24.17%	+0.40	-7.1	2
2008-08-17	@ Interblock Ljubljana	W 2-1	52.6	1351	1356	24.17%	26.69%	49.14%	-0.40	+7.1	7
2008-08-23	Maribor	D 3-3	65.5	1371	1406	43.79%	27.73%	28.48%	+0.23	-0.3	9
2008-08-23	@ Celje	D 3-3	65.5	1406	1371	28.48%	27.73%	43.79%	-0.23	+0.3	11
2008-08-24	Interblock Ljubljana	W 4-0	31.2	1460	1349	62.15%	22.01%	15.84%	+0.84	+10.1	14
2008-08-24	@ Domzale	L 0-4	31.2	1349	1460	15.84%	22.01%	62.15%	-0.84	-10.1	2
2008-08-24	Luka Koper	W 2-1	46.5	1358	1377	45.97%	27.37%	26.66%	+0.30	+4.4	10
2008-08-24	@ Drava Ptuj	L 1-2	46.5	1377	1358	26.66%	27.37%	45.97%	-0.30	-4.4	4
2008-08-24	Gorica	W 1-0	39.6	1364	1358	49.22%	26.67%	24.11%	+0.40	+4.3	13
2008-08-24	@ Nafta	L 0-1	39.6	1358	1364	24.11%	26.67%	49.22%	-0.40	-4.3	4
2008-08-24	Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	39.7	1385	1338	54.41%	25.14%	20.45%	+0.57	+6.0	8
2008-08-24	@ Primorje	L 1-3	39.7	1338	1385	20.45%	25.14%	54.41%	-0.57	-6.0	7
2008-08-29	Celje	W 2-1	46.3	1354	1371	46.18%	27.33%	26.49%	+0.31	+4.4	7
2008-08-29	@ Gorica	L 1-2	46.3	1371	1354	26.49%	27.33%	46.18%	-0.31	-4.4	9
2008-08-30	Domzale	D 1-1	57.3	1373	1470	34.87%	28.29%	36.84%	-0.03	+0.1	5
2008-08-30	@ Luka Koper	D 1-1	57.3	1470	1373	36.84%	28.29%	34.87%	+0.03	-0.1	15
2008-08-30	Drava Ptuj	W 3-0	34.5	1332	1363	44.38%	27.64%	27.98%	+0.25	+13.4	10
2008-08-30	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-3	34.5	1363	1332	27.98%	27.64%	44.38%	-0.25	-13.4	10
2008-08-30	Primorje	D 3-3	66.3	1406	1391	50.55%	26.33%	23.13%	+0.45	-0.6	12
2008-08-30	@ Maribor	D 3-3	66.3	1391	1406	23.13%	26.33%	50.55%	-0.45	+0.6	9
2008-09-01	Nafta	W 3-1	42.4	1339	1368	44.54%	27.61%	27.84%	+0.26	+8.0	5
2008-09-01	@ Interblock Ljubljana	L 1-3	42.4	1368	1339	27.84%	27.61%	44.54%	-0.26	-8.0	13
2008-09-13	Interblock Ljubljana	D 0-0	50.6	1367	1347	51.05%	26.19%	22.76%	+0.46	-1.0	10
2008-09-13	@ Celje	D 0-0	50.6	1347	1367	22.76%	26.19%	51.05%	-0.46	+1.0	6
2008-09-13	Luka Koper	W 2-0	36.3	1360	1373	46.82%	27.21%	25.97%	+0.33	+8.7	16
2008-09-13	@ Nafta	L 0-2	36.3	1373	1360	25.97%	27.21%	46.82%	-0.33	-8.7	5
2008-09-13	Gorica	W 4-3	51.9	1406	1358	54.57%	25.09%	20.34%	+0.58	+3.2	15
2008-09-13	@ Maribor	L 3-4	51.9	1358	1406	20.34%	25.09%	54.57%	-0.58	-3.2	7
2008-09-14	Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	42.8	1470	1346	63.65%	21.30%	15.04%	+0.90	+2.5	18
2008-09-14	@ Domzale	L 1-2	42.8	1346	1470	15.04%	21.30%	63.65%	-0.90	-2.5	10
2008-09-20	Celje	W 1-0	40.0	1364	1366	48.25%	26.90%	24.85%	+0.37	+4.4	8
2008-09-20	@ Luka Koper	L 0-1	40.0	1366	1364	24.85%	26.90%	48.25%	-0.37	-4.4	10
2008-09-20	Maribor	L 1-2	51.1	1348	1409	40.11%	28.13%	31.76%	+0.12	-6.1	6
2008-09-20	@ Interblock Ljubljana	W 2-1	51.1	1409	1348	31.76%	28.13%	40.11%	-0.12	+6.1	18
2008-09-20	Nafta	D 0-0	50.1	1343	1369	45.03%	27.54%	27.43%	+0.27	-0.6	11
2008-09-20	@ Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	50.1	1369	1343	27.43%	27.54%	45.03%	-0.27	+0.6	17
2008-09-20	Primorje	W 2-1	47.4	1355	1391	43.60%	27.76%	28.64%	+0.23	+4.7	10
2008-09-20	@ Gorica	L 1-2	47.4	1391	1355	28.64%	27.76%	43.60%	-0.23	-4.7	9
2008-09-21	Domzale	W 3-0	40.7	1349	1473	31.39%	28.10%	40.51%	-0.14	+17.7	13
2008-09-21	@ Drava Ptuj	L 0-3	40.7	1473	1349	40.51%	28.10%	31.39%	+0.14	-17.7	18
2008-09-24	Celje	D 2-2	60.6	1343	1361	45.99%	27.37%	26.64%	+0.30	-0.5	12
2008-09-24	@ Rudar Velenje	D 2-2	60.6	1361	1343	26.64%	27.37%	45.99%	-0.30	+0.5	11
2008-09-24	Domzale	D 3-3	66.8	1386	1455	39.04%	28.20%	32.75%	+0.09	-0.1	10
2008-09-24	@ Primorje	D 3-3	66.8	1455	1386	32.75%	28.20%	39.04%	-0.09	+0.1	19
2008-09-24	Maribor	D 1-1	56.0	1368	1415	42.11%	27.94%	29.94%	+0.18	-0.4	9
2008-09-24	@ Luka Koper	D 1-1	56.0	1415	1368	29.94%	27.94%	42.11%	-0.18	+0.4	19
2008-09-24	Nafta	W 1-0	40.2	1367	1370	48.14%	26.92%	24.93%	+0.37	+4.5	16
2008-09-24	@ Drava Ptuj	L 0-1	40.2	1370	1367	24.93%	26.92%	48.14%	-0.37	-4.5	17
2008-09-24	Gorica	W 2-0	36.1	1342	1360	46.09%	27.35%	26.57%	+0.30	+8.9	9
2008-09-24	@ Interblock Ljubljana	L 0-2	36.1	1360	1342	26.57%	27.35%	46.09%	-0.30	-8.9	10
2008-09-27	Domzale	W 1-0	45.5	1365	1455	35.97%	28.29%	35.74%	+0.00	+5.9	20
2008-09-27	@ Nafta	L 0-1	45.5	1455	1365	35.74%	28.29%	35.97%	+0.00	-5.9	19
2008-09-27	Drava Ptuj	W 1-0	40.4	1362	1371	47.17%	27.13%	25.69%	+0.34	+4.6	14
2008-09-27	@ Celje	L 0-1	40.4	1371	1362	25.69%	27.13%	47.17%	-0.34	-4.6	16
2008-09-27	Luka Koper	W 2-0	36.3	1351	1368	46.20%	27.33%	26.47%	+0.31	+8.8	13
2008-09-27	@ Gorica	L 0-2	36.3	1368	1351	26.47%	27.33%	46.20%	-0.31	-8.8	9
2008-09-27	Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	43.3	1415	1342	57.73%	23.91%	18.35%	+0.69	+3.1	22
2008-09-27	@ Maribor	L 1-2	43.3	1342	1415	18.35%	23.91%	57.73%	-0.69	-3.1	12
2008-09-28	Primorje	W 2-0	37.3	1351	1386	43.68%	27.75%	28.58%	+0.23	+9.4	12
2008-09-28	@ Interblock Ljubljana	L 0-2	37.3	1386	1351	28.58%	27.75%	43.68%	-0.23	-9.4	10
2008-10-04	Celje	L 1-2	56.6	1449	1366	58.88%	23.45%	17.67%	+0.73	-8.2	19
2008-10-04	@ Domzale	W 2-1	56.6	1366	1449	17.67%	23.45%	58.88%	-0.73	+8.2	17
2008-10-04	Interblock Ljubljana	L 1-4	45.7	1359	1360	48.33%	26.88%	24.79%	+0.38	-17.1	9
2008-10-04	@ Luka Koper	W 4-1	45.7	1360	1359	24.79%	26.88%	48.33%	-0.38	+17.1	15
2008-10-04	Maribor	L 0-4	40.2	1367	1419	41.42%	28.02%	30.56%	+0.16	-23.6	16
2008-10-04	@ Drava Ptuj	W 4-0	40.2	1419	1367	30.56%	28.02%	41.42%	-0.16	+23.6	25
2008-10-04	Gorica	W 2-1	46.0	1339	1360	45.69%	27.42%	26.89%	+0.29	+4.5	15
2008-10-04	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	46.0	1360	1339	26.89%	27.42%	45.69%	-0.29	-4.5	13
2008-10-05	Nafta	L 1-2	53.3	1377	1371	49.26%	26.66%	24.08%	+0.40	-7.1	10
2008-10-05	@ Primorje	W 2-1	53.3	1371	1377	24.08%	26.66%	49.26%	-0.40	+7.1	23
2008-10-12	Drava Ptuj	D 0-0	50.6	1370	1343	51.93%	25.93%	22.14%	+0.49	-1.1	11
2008-10-12	@ Primorje	D 0-0	50.6	1343	1370	22.14%	25.93%	51.93%	-0.49	+1.1	17
2008-10-17	Drava Ptuj	W 1-0	39.1	1355	1344	49.91%	26.50%	23.60%	+0.43	+4.2	16
2008-10-17	@ Gorica	L 0-1	39.1	1344	1355	23.60%	26.50%	49.91%	-0.43	-4.2	17
2008-10-17	Nafta	W 2-1	46.2	1374	1378	47.99%	26.96%	25.06%	+0.36	+4.2	20
2008-10-17	@ Celje	L 1-2	46.2	1378	1374	25.06%	26.96%	47.99%	-0.36	-4.2	23
2008-10-18	Domzale	W 3-0	37.2	1442	1441	48.63%	26.81%	24.56%	+0.38	+12.0	28
2008-10-18	@ Maribor	L 0-3	37.2	1441	1442	24.56%	26.81%	48.63%	-0.38	-12.0	19
2008-10-18	Primorje	D 1-1	54.9	1342	1369	44.88%	27.56%	27.56%	+0.27	-0.6	10
2008-10-18	@ Luka Koper	D 1-1	54.9	1369	1342	27.56%	27.56%	44.88%	-0.27	+0.6	12
2008-10-18	Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	44.2	1377	1344	52.86%	25.65%	21.49%	+0.52	+3.7	18
2008-10-18	@ Interblock Ljubljana	L 1-2	44.2	1344	1377	21.49%	25.65%	52.86%	-0.52	-3.7	15
2008-10-25	Luka Koper	W 5-1	37.0	1340	1341	48.27%	26.90%	24.84%	+0.37	+13.2	18
2008-10-25	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-5	37.0	1341	1340	24.84%	26.90%	48.27%	-0.37	-13.2	10
2008-10-25	Maribor	D 1-1	56.9	1374	1454	37.36%	28.27%	34.37%	+0.04	-0.1	24
2008-10-25	@ Nafta	D 1-1	56.9	1454	1374	34.37%	28.27%	37.36%	-0.04	+0.1	29
2008-10-26	Celje	L 1-4	45.9	1369	1379	47.23%	27.12%	25.65%	+0.34	-16.8	12
2008-10-26	@ Primorje	W 4-1	45.9	1379	1369	25.65%	27.12%	47.23%	-0.34	+16.8	23
2008-10-26	Interblock Ljubljana	L 1-2	51.3	1340	1381	42.94%	27.84%	29.22%	+0.21	-6.4	17
2008-10-26	@ Drava Ptuj	W 2-1	51.3	1381	1340	29.22%	27.84%	42.94%	-0.21	+6.4	21
2008-10-26	Gorica	L 2-3	60.7	1429	1360	57.26%	24.10%	18.64%	+0.67	-7.6	19
2008-10-26	@ Domzale	W 3-2	60.7	1360	1429	18.64%	24.10%	57.26%	-0.67	+7.6	19
2008-10-31	Celje	W 2-1	46.0	1454	1395	55.98%	24.59%	19.44%	+0.63	+3.3	32
2008-10-31	@ Maribor	L 1-2	46.0	1395	1454	19.44%	24.59%	55.98%	-0.63	-3.3	23
2008-10-31	Domzale	D 0-0	51.9	1387	1421	43.88%	27.72%	28.40%	+0.24	-0.6	22
2008-10-31	@ Interblock Ljubljana	D 0-0	51.9	1421	1387	28.40%	27.72%	43.88%	-0.24	+0.5	20
2008-10-31	Drava Ptuj	W 3-1	40.9	1328	1334	47.73%	27.01%	25.25%	+0.36	+7.3	13
2008-10-31	@ Luka Koper	L 1-3	40.9	1334	1328	25.25%	27.01%	47.73%	-0.36	-7.3	17
2008-10-31	Nafta	W 3-1	42.0	1367	1374	47.59%	27.04%	25.36%	+0.35	+7.4	22
2008-10-31	@ Gorica	L 1-3	42.0	1374	1367	25.36%	27.04%	47.59%	-0.35	-7.4	24
2008-10-31	Primorje	L 0-1	46.8	1353	1352	48.56%	26.83%	24.61%	+0.38	-7.4	18
2008-10-31	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	46.8	1352	1353	24.61%	26.83%	48.56%	-0.38	+7.5	15
2008-11-08	Interblock Ljubljana	W 3-0	34.9	1366	1387	45.74%	27.41%	26.85%	+0.29	+13.0	27
2008-11-08	@ Nafta	L 0-3	34.9	1387	1366	26.85%	27.41%	45.74%	-0.29	-13.0	22
2008-11-08	Luka Koper	W 3-1	38.8	1422	1336	59.29%	23.28%	17.44%	+0.74	+5.1	23
2008-11-08	@ Domzale	L 1-3	38.8	1336	1422	17.44%	23.28%	59.29%	-0.74	-5.1	13
2008-11-08	Maribor	D 0-0	51.9	1360	1458	34.87%	28.29%	36.85%	-0.03	+0.1	16
2008-11-08	@ Primorje	D 0-0	51.9	1458	1360	36.85%	28.29%	34.87%	+0.03	-0.1	33
2008-11-08	Gorica	W 3-2	50.6	1392	1375	50.78%	26.26%	22.96%	+0.45	+3.7	26
2008-11-08	@ Celje	L 2-3	50.6	1375	1392	22.96%	26.26%	50.78%	-0.45	-3.7	22
2008-11-09	Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	45.7	1326	1346	45.91%	27.38%	26.71%	+0.30	-7.1	17
2008-11-09	@ Drava Ptuj	W 1-0	45.7	1346	1326	26.71%	27.38%	45.91%	-0.30	+7.1	21
2008-11-15	Celje	D 1-1	55.9	1374	1396	45.53%	27.45%	27.02%	+0.29	-0.6	23
2008-11-15	@ Interblock Ljubljana	D 1-1	55.9	1396	1374	27.02%	27.45%	45.53%	-0.29	+0.6	27
2008-11-15	Domzale	W 1-0	43.9	1353	1427	38.22%	28.24%	33.54%	+0.07	+5.6	24
2008-11-15	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	43.9	1427	1353	33.54%	28.24%	38.22%	-0.07	-5.6	23
2008-11-15	Maribor	W 2-0	41.4	1371	1458	36.44%	28.29%	35.27%	+0.02	+11.0	25
2008-11-15	@ Gorica	L 0-2	41.4	1458	1371	35.27%	28.29%	36.44%	-0.02	-11.0	33
2008-11-15	Nafta	D 1-1	54.7	1330	1379	41.80%	27.98%	30.22%	+0.18	-0.4	14
2008-11-15	@ Luka Koper	D 1-1	54.7	1379	1330	30.22%	27.98%	41.80%	-0.18	+0.4	28
2008-11-16	Primorje	D 1-1	54.4	1319	1360	42.97%	27.84%	29.19%	+0.21	-0.4	18
2008-11-16	@ Drava Ptuj	D 1-1	54.4	1360	1319	29.19%	27.84%	42.97%	-0.21	+0.4	17
2008-11-22	Interblock Ljubljana	W 4-1	37.7	1446	1373	57.72%	23.92%	18.36%	+0.69	+7.7	36
2008-11-22	@ Maribor	L 1-4	37.7	1373	1446	18.36%	23.92%	57.72%	-0.69	-7.7	23
2008-11-22	Luka Koper	W 2-1	43.1	1396	1330	56.89%	24.24%	18.87%	+0.66	+3.2	30
2008-11-22	@ Celje	L 1-2	43.1	1330	1396	18.87%	24.24%	56.89%	-0.66	-3.2	14
2008-11-22	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	55.7	1380	1358	51.27%	26.13%	22.61%	+0.47	-1.0	29
2008-11-22	@ Nafta	D 1-1	55.7	1358	1380	22.61%	26.13%	51.27%	-0.47	+0.9	25
2008-11-23	Drava Ptuj	D 0-0	52.1	1421	1319	61.17%	22.46%	16.37%	+0.81	-1.7	24
2008-11-23	@ Domzale	D 0-0	52.1	1319	1421	16.37%	22.46%	61.17%	-0.81	+1.7	19
2008-11-23	Gorica	L 1-3	48.2	1360	1382	45.60%	27.44%	26.97%	+0.29	-11.6	17
2008-11-23	@ Primorje	W 3-1	48.2	1382	1360	26.97%	27.44%	45.60%	-0.29	+11.6	28
2008-11-29	Drava Ptuj	W 1-0	37.3	1379	1321	55.89%	24.62%	19.49%	+0.62	+3.5	32
2008-11-29	@ Nafta	L 0-1	37.3	1321	1379	19.49%	24.62%	55.89%	-0.62	-3.5	19
2008-11-29	Interblock Ljubljana	D 1-1	56.2	1393	1366	52.10%	25.88%	22.02%	+0.50	-1.0	29
2008-11-29	@ Gorica	D 1-1	56.2	1366	1393	22.02%	25.88%	52.10%	-0.50	+1.0	24
2008-11-29	Luka Koper	D 0-0	53.2	1454	1327	63.97%	21.15%	14.88%	+0.91	-1.9	37
2008-11-29	@ Maribor	D 0-0	53.2	1327	1454	14.88%	21.15%	63.97%	-0.91	+1.9	15
2008-11-30	Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	44.6	1400	1359	53.67%	25.39%	20.94%	+0.55	+3.6	33
2008-11-30	@ Celje	L 1-2	44.6	1359	1400	20.94%	25.39%	53.67%	-0.55	-3.6	25
2008-12-03	Primorje	D 0-0	52.1	1420	1349	57.44%	24.03%	18.53%	+0.68	-1.5	25
2008-12-03	@ Domzale	D 0-0	52.1	1349	1420	18.53%	24.03%	57.44%	-0.68	+1.5	18
2008-12-06	Maribor	L 1-2	50.7	1356	1452	35.04%	28.29%	36.67%	-0.02	-5.5	25
2008-12-06	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	50.7	1452	1356	36.67%	28.29%	35.04%	+0.02	+5.5	40
2008-12-06	Gorica	W 3-1	44.1	1329	1392	39.73%	28.16%	32.11%	+0.11	+8.9	18
2008-12-06	@ Luka Koper	L 1-3	44.1	1392	1329	32.11%	28.16%	39.73%	-0.11	-8.9	29
2008-12-07	Celje	L 0-2	39.6	1317	1403	36.53%	28.29%	35.18%	+0.02	-11.3	19
2008-12-07	@ Drava Ptuj	W 2-0	39.6	1403	1317	35.18%	28.29%	36.53%	-0.02	+11.3	36
2008-12-07	Interblock Ljubljana	L 0-3	40.2	1350	1367	46.29%	27.31%	26.40%	+0.31	-19.6	18
2008-12-07	@ Primorje	W 3-0	40.2	1367	1350	26.40%	27.31%	46.29%	-0.31	+19.6	27
2008-12-07	Nafta	D 2-2	62.9	1418	1382	53.12%	25.57%	21.31%	+0.53	-0.8	26
2008-12-07	@ Domzale	D 2-2	62.9	1382	1418	21.31%	25.57%	53.12%	-0.53	+0.8	33
2009-02-20	Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	48.1	1384	1350	52.78%	25.67%	21.54%	+0.52	-8.0	29
2009-02-20	@ Gorica	W 1-0	48.1	1350	1384	21.54%	25.67%	52.78%	-0.52	+8.0	28
2009-02-21	Drava Ptuj	W 2-1	40.8	1458	1306	66.67%	19.81%	13.53%	+1.01	+2.2	43
2009-02-21	@ Maribor	L 1-2	40.8	1306	1458	13.53%	19.81%	66.67%	-1.01	-2.2	19
2009-02-21	Luka Koper	D 1-1	55.8	1386	1338	54.71%	25.04%	20.25%	+0.58	-1.2	28
2009-02-21	@ Interblock Ljubljana	D 1-1	55.8	1338	1386	20.25%	25.04%	54.71%	-0.58	+1.2	19
2009-02-21	Primorje	W 2-0	33.5	1383	1331	55.19%	24.87%	19.94%	+0.60	+6.8	36
2009-02-21	@ Nafta	L 0-2	33.5	1331	1383	19.94%	24.87%	55.19%	-0.60	-6.8	18
2009-02-22	Domzale	L 0-1	49.1	1415	1417	48.09%	26.94%	24.97%	+0.37	-7.4	36
2009-02-22	@ Celje	W 1-0	49.1	1417	1415	24.97%	26.94%	48.09%	-0.37	+7.4	29
2009-02-28	Celje	D 0-0	51.7	1390	1407	46.18%	27.33%	26.49%	+0.31	-0.7	37
2009-02-28	@ Nafta	D 0-0	51.7	1407	1390	26.49%	27.33%	46.18%	-0.31	+0.7	37
2009-02-28	Interblock Ljubljana	W 2-1	46.9	1358	1385	44.86%	27.56%	27.57%	+0.27	+4.6	31
2009-02-28	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	46.9	1385	1358	27.57%	27.56%	44.86%	-0.27	-4.6	28
2009-03-01	Luka Koper	D 0-0	49.6	1324	1339	46.47%	27.27%	26.25%	+0.32	-0.7	19
2009-03-01	@ Primorje	D 0-0	49.6	1339	1324	26.25%	27.27%	46.47%	-0.32	+0.7	20
2009-03-01	Maribor	D 3-3	68.2	1425	1460	43.72%	27.74%	28.54%	+0.23	-0.3	30
2009-03-01	@ Domzale	D 3-3	68.2	1460	1425	28.54%	27.74%	43.72%	-0.23	+0.3	44
2009-03-01	Gorica	D 2-2	60.1	1304	1376	38.55%	28.23%	33.22%	+0.08	-0.1	20
2009-03-01	@ Drava Ptuj	D 2-2	60.1	1376	1304	33.22%	28.23%	38.55%	-0.08	+0.1	30
2009-03-07	Domzale	L 2-3	57.4	1376	1425	41.82%	27.98%	30.20%	+0.18	-5.9	30
2009-03-07	@ Gorica	W 3-2	57.4	1425	1376	30.20%	27.98%	41.82%	-0.18	+5.9	33
2009-03-07	Drava Ptuj	W 3-2	47.1	1381	1303	58.18%	23.73%	18.08%	+0.70	+2.9	31
2009-03-07	@ Interblock Ljubljana	L 2-3	47.1	1303	1381	18.08%	23.73%	58.18%	-0.70	-2.9	20
2009-03-07	Nafta	W 3-1	41.4	1460	1389	57.46%	24.02%	18.52%	+0.68	+5.5	47
2009-03-07	@ Maribor	L 1-3	41.4	1389	1460	18.52%	24.02%	57.46%	-0.68	-5.5	37
2009-03-07	Primorje	W 3-0	30.6	1408	1323	59.09%	23.36%	17.55%	+0.73	+8.7	40
2009-03-07	@ Celje	L 0-3	30.6	1323	1408	17.55%	23.36%	59.09%	-0.73	-8.7	19
2009-03-07	Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	46.0	1340	1363	45.36%	27.48%	27.16%	+0.28	-7.1	20
2009-03-07	@ Luka Koper	W 1-0	46.0	1363	1340	27.16%	27.48%	45.36%	-0.28	+7.1	34
2009-03-14	Interblock Ljubljana	W 2-0	35.6	1430	1383	54.52%	25.11%	20.38%	+0.58	+7.0	36
2009-03-14	@ Domzale	L 0-2	35.6	1383	1430	20.38%	25.11%	54.52%	-0.58	-7.0	31
2009-03-14	Maribor	D 1-1	58.6	1416	1466	41.77%	27.98%	30.25%	+0.17	-0.4	41
2009-03-14	@ Celje	D 1-1	58.6	1466	1416	30.25%	27.98%	41.77%	-0.17	+0.4	48
2009-03-14	Gorica	L 1-4	46.7	1384	1370	50.32%	26.39%	23.30%	+0.44	-17.7	37
2009-03-14	@ Nafta	W 4-1	46.7	1370	1384	23.30%	26.39%	50.32%	-0.44	+17.7	33
2009-03-15	Luka Koper	L 1-2	50.6	1301	1333	44.16%	27.67%	28.17%	+0.25	-6.5	20
2009-03-15	@ Drava Ptuj	W 2-1	50.6	1333	1301	28.17%	27.67%	44.16%	-0.25	+6.5	23
2009-03-15	Rudar Velenje	W 2-0	37.4	1314	1370	40.90%	28.07%	31.03%	+0.15	+10.0	22
2009-03-15	@ Primorje	L 0-2	37.4	1370	1314	31.03%	28.07%	40.90%	-0.15	-10.0	34
2009-03-21	Celje	W 1-0	42.5	1387	1416	44.61%	27.60%	27.79%	+0.26	+4.9	36
2009-03-21	@ Gorica	L 0-1	42.5	1416	1387	27.79%	27.60%	44.61%	-0.26	-4.9	41
2009-03-21	Domzale	D 0-0	51.0	1339	1437	34.78%	28.28%	36.94%	-0.03	+0.1	24
2009-03-21	@ Luka Koper	D 0-0	51.0	1437	1339	36.94%	28.28%	34.78%	+0.03	-0.1	37
2009-03-21	Drava Ptuj	W 3-2	47.2	1360	1294	56.83%	24.27%	18.91%	+0.65	+3.1	37
2009-03-21	@ Rudar Velenje	L 2-3	47.2	1294	1360	18.91%	24.27%	56.83%	-0.65	-3.0	20
2009-03-21	Nafta	W 5-0	34.6	1376	1366	49.85%	26.51%	23.64%	+0.42	+18.7	34
2009-03-21	@ Interblock Ljubljana	L 0-5	34.6	1366	1376	23.64%	26.51%	49.85%	-0.42	-18.7	37
2009-03-21	Primorje	W 2-0	31.8	1466	1324	65.55%	20.37%	14.08%	+0.97	+4.6	51
2009-03-21	@ Maribor	L 0-2	31.8	1324	1466	14.08%	20.37%	65.55%	-0.97	-4.6	22
2009-04-04	Interblock Ljubljana	W 1-0	40.8	1411	1395	50.58%	26.32%	23.10%	+0.45	+4.2	44
2009-04-04	@ Celje	L 0-1	40.8	1395	1411	23.10%	26.32%	50.58%	-0.45	-4.2	34
2009-04-04	Luka Koper	D 1-1	54.9	1347	1339	49.56%	26.58%	23.85%	+0.41	-0.8	38
2009-04-04	@ Nafta	D 1-1	54.9	1339	1347	23.85%	26.58%	49.56%	-0.41	+0.8	25
2009-04-04	Gorica	D 0-0	54.5	1471	1392	58.34%	23.67%	17.99%	+0.71	-1.5	52
2009-04-04	@ Maribor	D 0-0	54.5	1392	1471	17.99%	23.67%	58.34%	-0.71	+1.5	37
2009-04-04	Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	50.3	1437	1363	57.87%	23.86%	18.27%	+0.69	-8.5	37
2009-04-04	@ Domzale	W 1-0	50.3	1363	1437	18.27%	23.86%	57.87%	-0.69	+8.5	40
2009-04-05	Drava Ptuj	W 1-0	37.5	1320	1291	52.23%	25.84%	21.92%	+0.50	+4.0	25
2009-04-05	@ Primorje	L 0-1	37.5	1291	1320	21.92%	25.84%	52.23%	-0.50	-4.0	20
2009-04-08	Celje	W 3-2	54.2	1340	1415	38.06%	28.25%	33.69%	+0.06	+5.1	28
2009-04-08	@ Luka Koper	L 2-3	54.2	1415	1340	33.69%	28.25%	38.06%	-0.06	-5.1	44
2009-04-08	Domzale	L 0-2	37.2	1287	1429	29.10%	27.83%	43.08%	-0.21	-9.5	20
2009-04-08	@ Drava Ptuj	W 2-0	37.2	1429	1287	43.08%	27.83%	29.10%	+0.21	+9.5	40
2009-04-08	Maribor	W 4-1	44.8	1391	1469	37.67%	28.26%	34.06%	+0.05	+13.2	37
2009-04-08	@ Interblock Ljubljana	L 1-4	44.8	1469	1391	34.06%	28.26%	37.67%	-0.05	-13.2	52
2009-04-08	Nafta	W 2-0	34.6	1371	1347	51.73%	25.99%	22.28%	+0.48	+7.6	43
2009-04-08	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-2	34.6	1347	1371	22.28%	25.99%	51.73%	-0.48	-7.6	38
2009-04-08	Primorje	D 3-3	65.5	1394	1324	57.34%	24.07%	18.59%	+0.67	-0.8	38
2009-04-08	@ Gorica	D 3-3	65.5	1324	1394	18.59%	24.07%	57.34%	-0.67	+0.8	26
2009-04-11	Celje	L 0-1	47.2	1379	1410	44.25%	27.66%	28.09%	+0.25	-6.9	43
2009-04-11	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	47.2	1410	1379	28.09%	27.66%	44.25%	-0.25	+6.9	47
2009-04-11	Domzale	D 0-0	50.8	1325	1438	32.67%	28.20%	39.13%	-0.10	+0.2	27
2009-04-11	@ Primorje	D 0-0	50.8	1438	1325	39.13%	28.20%	32.67%	+0.10	-0.2	41
2009-04-11	Maribor	D 0-0	51.5	1345	1456	33.04%	28.22%	38.74%	-0.08	+0.2	29
2009-04-11	@ Luka Koper	D 0-0	51.5	1456	1345	38.74%	28.22%	33.04%	+0.08	-0.2	53
2009-04-11	Nafta	W 4-1	40.0	1277	1339	40.04%	28.14%	31.82%	+0.12	+12.5	23
2009-04-11	@ Drava Ptuj	L 1-4	40.0	1339	1277	31.82%	28.14%	40.04%	-0.12	-12.5	38
2009-04-11	Gorica	L 1-2	54.4	1404	1393	49.95%	26.48%	23.57%	+0.43	-7.2	37
2009-04-11	@ Interblock Ljubljana	W 2-1	54.4	1393	1404	23.57%	26.48%	49.95%	-0.43	+7.2	41
2009-04-18	Domzale	D 0-0	50.8	1326	1438	32.94%	28.21%	38.84%	-0.09	+0.2	39
2009-04-18	@ Nafta	D 0-0	50.8	1438	1326	38.84%	28.21%	32.94%	+0.09	-0.2	42
2009-04-18	Drava Ptuj	L 1-3	51.3	1417	1290	63.97%	21.15%	14.88%	+0.91	-15.0	47
2009-04-18	@ Celje	W 3-1	51.3	1290	1417	14.88%	21.15%	63.97%	-0.91	+15.0	26
2009-04-18	Luka Koper	W 1-0	38.1	1400	1345	55.50%	24.76%	19.74%	+0.61	+3.6	44
2009-04-18	@ Gorica	L 0-1	38.1	1345	1400	19.74%	24.76%	55.50%	-0.61	-3.6	29
2009-04-18	Rudar Velenje	W 4-1	37.6	1456	1372	58.97%	23.41%	17.62%	+0.73	+7.3	56
2009-04-18	@ Maribor	L 1-4	37.6	1372	1456	17.62%	23.41%	58.97%	-0.73	-7.3	43
2009-04-20	Primorje	W 3-1	38.7	1397	1325	57.60%	23.97%	18.44%	+0.68	+5.4	40
2009-04-20	@ Interblock Ljubljana	L 1-3	38.7	1325	1397	18.44%	23.97%	57.60%	-0.68	-5.4	27
2009-04-25	Celje	L 0-3	44.2	1438	1402	53.09%	25.58%	21.33%	+0.53	-21.9	42
2009-04-25	@ Domzale	W 3-0	44.2	1402	1438	21.33%	25.58%	53.09%	-0.53	+21.9	50
2009-04-25	Interblock Ljubljana	W 3-0	36.5	1342	1402	40.13%	28.13%	31.74%	+0.13	+14.8	32
2009-04-25	@ Luka Koper	L 0-3	36.5	1402	1342	31.74%	28.13%	40.13%	-0.13	-14.8	40
2009-04-25	Gorica	W 1-0	42.2	1365	1404	43.19%	27.81%	29.00%	+0.22	+5.0	46
2009-04-25	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	42.2	1404	1365	29.00%	27.81%	43.19%	-0.22	-5.0	44
2009-04-26	Maribor	W 2-1	52.7	1305	1463	27.19%	27.49%	45.32%	-0.28	+6.7	29
2009-04-26	@ Drava Ptuj	L 1-2	52.7	1463	1305	45.32%	27.49%	27.19%	+0.28	-6.7	56
2009-04-26	Nafta	W 1-0	39.2	1319	1327	47.52%	27.06%	25.42%	+0.35	+4.5	30
2009-04-26	@ Primorje	L 0-1	39.2	1327	1319	25.42%	27.06%	47.52%	-0.35	-4.5	39
2009-05-02	Domzale	W 2-1	47.3	1456	1416	53.70%	25.38%	20.92%	+0.55	+3.6	59
2009-05-02	@ Maribor	L 1-2	47.3	1416	1456	20.92%	25.38%	53.70%	-0.55	-3.6	42
2009-05-02	Drava Ptuj	L 3-5	55.9	1399	1312	59.36%	23.24%	17.39%	+0.74	-12.0	44
2009-05-02	@ Gorica	W 5-3	55.9	1312	1399	17.39%	23.24%	59.36%	-0.74	+12.0	32
2009-05-02	Nafta	W 2-0	32.2	1424	1322	61.11%	22.49%	16.41%	+0.81	+5.5	53
2009-05-02	@ Celje	L 0-2	32.2	1322	1424	16.41%	22.49%	61.11%	-0.81	-5.5	39
2009-05-02	Primorje	W 1-0	38.0	1356	1324	52.70%	25.70%	21.60%	+0.52	+3.9	35
2009-05-02	@ Luka Koper	L 0-1	38.0	1324	1356	21.60%	25.70%	52.70%	-0.52	-3.9	30
2009-05-02	Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	48.1	1388	1370	50.82%	26.25%	22.93%	+0.45	-7.7	40
2009-05-02	@ Interblock Ljubljana	W 1-0	48.1	1370	1388	22.93%	26.25%	50.82%	-0.45	+7.7	49
2009-05-06	Celje	W 2-0	40.7	1320	1430	33.22%	28.23%	38.55%	-0.08	+11.8	33
2009-05-06	@ Primorje	L 0-2	40.7	1430	1320	38.55%	28.23%	33.22%	+0.08	-11.8	53
2009-05-06	Interblock Ljubljana	W 2-1	47.6	1324	1380	40.78%	28.08%	31.14%	+0.14	+5.0	35
2009-05-06	@ Drava Ptuj	L 1-2	47.6	1380	1324	31.14%	28.08%	40.78%	-0.14	-5.0	40
2009-05-06	Luka Koper	D 0-0	50.9	1378	1360	50.72%	26.28%	23.00%	+0.45	-1.0	50
2009-05-06	@ Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	50.9	1360	1378	23.00%	26.28%	50.72%	-0.45	+1.0	36
2009-05-06	Maribor	W 1-0	46.7	1317	1460	28.89%	27.80%	43.31%	-0.22	+6.8	42
2009-05-06	@ Nafta	L 0-1	46.7	1460	1317	43.31%	27.80%	28.89%	+0.22	-6.8	59
2009-05-06	Gorica	L 0-2	45.0	1412	1387	51.83%	25.96%	22.21%	+0.49	-14.8	42
2009-05-06	@ Domzale	W 2-0	45.0	1387	1412	22.21%	25.96%	51.83%	-0.49	+14.8	47
2009-05-09	Celje	W 1-0	41.8	1453	1418	53.06%	25.59%	21.36%	+0.53	+3.9	62
2009-05-09	@ Maribor	L 0-1	41.8	1418	1453	21.36%	25.59%	53.06%	-0.53	-3.9	53
2009-05-09	Drava Ptuj	L 1-2	53.2	1361	1329	52.71%	25.70%	21.59%	+0.52	-7.5	36
2009-05-09	@ Luka Koper	W 2-1	53.2	1329	1361	21.59%	25.70%	52.71%	-0.52	+7.5	38
2009-05-09	Nafta	W 2-1	42.6	1402	1323	58.31%	23.68%	18.01%	+0.71	+3.1	50
2009-05-09	@ Gorica	L 1-2	42.6	1323	1402	18.01%	23.68%	58.31%	-0.71	-3.1	42
2009-05-09	Primorje	D 1-1	55.6	1376	1332	54.23%	25.20%	20.57%	+0.57	-1.1	51
2009-05-09	@ Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	55.6	1332	1376	20.57%	25.20%	54.23%	-0.57	+1.1	34
2009-05-11	Domzale	L 0-2	42.9	1375	1398	45.42%	27.47%	27.11%	+0.28	-13.3	40
2009-05-11	@ Interblock Ljubljana	W 2-0	42.9	1398	1375	27.11%	27.47%	45.42%	-0.28	+13.3	45
2009-05-16	Interblock Ljubljana	D 3-3	63.9	1320	1362	42.87%	27.85%	29.28%	+0.21	-0.3	43
2009-05-16	@ Nafta	D 3-3	63.9	1362	1320	29.28%	27.85%	42.87%	-0.21	+0.3	41
2009-05-16	Luka Koper	W 1-0	38.4	1411	1354	55.76%	24.66%	19.57%	+0.62	+3.5	48
2009-05-16	@ Domzale	L 0-1	38.4	1354	1411	19.57%	24.66%	55.76%	-0.62	-3.5	36
2009-05-16	Gorica	L 1-2	54.8	1414	1405	49.72%	26.54%	23.73%	+0.42	-7.2	53
2009-05-16	@ Celje	W 2-1	54.8	1405	1414	23.73%	26.54%	49.72%	-0.42	+7.2	53
2009-05-16	Rudar Velenje	W 2-0	37.1	1336	1375	43.17%	27.81%	29.01%	+0.22	+9.5	41
2009-05-16	@ Drava Ptuj	L 0-2	37.1	1375	1336	29.01%	27.81%	43.17%	-0.22	-9.5	51
2009-05-17	Maribor	D 1-1	56.1	1333	1457	31.30%	28.09%	40.61%	-0.14	+0.3	35
2009-05-17	@ Primorje	D 1-1	56.1	1457	1333	40.61%	28.09%	31.30%	+0.14	-0.3	63
2009-05-20	Celje	W 2-0	38.3	1362	1407	42.36%	27.92%	29.73%	+0.19	+9.7	44
2009-05-20	@ Interblock Ljubljana	L 0-2	38.3	1407	1362	29.73%	27.92%	42.36%	-0.19	-9.7	53
2009-05-20	Domzale	D 2-2	61.7	1366	1415	41.84%	27.97%	30.19%	+0.18	-0.3	52
2009-05-20	@ Rudar Velenje	D 2-2	61.7	1415	1366	30.19%	27.97%	41.84%	-0.18	+0.3	49
2009-05-20	Maribor	W 3-0	38.7	1412	1457	42.34%	27.92%	29.74%	+0.19	+14.1	56
2009-05-20	@ Gorica	L 0-3	38.7	1457	1412	29.74%	27.92%	42.34%	-0.19	-14.1	63
2009-05-20	Nafta	W 3-0	31.8	1350	1320	52.42%	25.79%	21.80%	+0.51	+10.8	39
2009-05-20	@ Luka Koper	L 0-3	31.8	1320	1350	21.80%	25.79%	52.42%	-0.51	-10.8	43
2009-05-20	Primorje	L 0-1	46.8	1346	1333	50.12%	26.44%	23.44%	+0.43	-7.6	41
2009-05-20	@ Drava Ptuj	W 1-0	46.8	1333	1346	23.44%	26.44%	50.12%	-0.43	+7.6	38
2009-05-23	Drava Ptuj	D 2-2	62.5	1415	1338	58.14%	23.75%	18.11%	+0.70	-1.0	50
2009-05-23	@ Domzale	D 2-2	62.5	1338	1415	18.11%	23.75%	58.14%	-0.70	+1.0	42
2009-05-23	Interblock Ljubljana	L 0-1	50.6	1443	1372	57.47%	24.02%	18.51%	+0.68	-8.5	63
2009-05-23	@ Maribor	W 1-0	50.6	1372	1443	18.51%	24.02%	57.47%	-0.68	+8.5	47
2009-05-23	Luka Koper	L 1-2	54.3	1397	1361	53.13%	25.56%	21.30%	+0.53	-7.5	53
2009-05-23	@ Celje	W 2-1	54.3	1361	1397	21.30%	25.56%	53.13%	-0.53	+7.5	42
2009-05-23	Gorica	W 2-1	49.8	1341	1426	36.70%	28.29%	35.02%	+0.02	+5.5	41
2009-05-23	@ Primorje	L 1-2	49.8	1426	1341	35.02%	28.29%	36.70%	-0.02	-5.5	56
2009-05-23	Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	44.4	1309	1366	40.77%	28.08%	31.15%	+0.14	-6.5	43
2009-05-23	@ Nafta	W 1-0	44.4	1366	1309	31.15%	28.08%	40.77%	-0.14	+6.5	55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2009-04-18	14.88%	Drava Ptuj	1290	3	@ Celje	1417	1
2	2008-08-01	17.15%	Rudar Velenje	1311	2	@ Gorica	1402	0
3	2009-05-02	17.39%	Drava Ptuj	1312	5	@ Gorica	1399	3
4	2008-10-04	17.67%	Celje	1366	2	@ Domzale	1449	1
5	2009-04-04	18.27%	Rudar Velenje	1363	1	@ Domzale	1437	0
6	2009-05-23	18.51%	Interblock Ljubljana	1372	1	@ Maribor	1443	0
7	2008-10-26	18.64%	Gorica	1360	3	@ Domzale	1429	2
8	2009-05-23	21.30%	Luka Koper	1361	2	@ Celje	1397	1
9	2009-04-25	21.33%	Celje	1402	3	@ Domzale	1438	0
10	2009-02-20	21.54%	Rudar Velenje	1350	1	@ Gorica	1384	0
11	2009-05-09	21.59%	Drava Ptuj	1329	2	@ Luka Koper	1361	1
12	2009-05-06	22.21%	Gorica	1387	2	@ Domzale	1412	0
13	2009-05-02	22.93%	Rudar Velenje	1370	1	@ Interblock Ljubljana	1388	0
14	2009-03-14	23.30%	Gorica	1370	4	@ Nafta	1384	1
15	2009-05-20	23.44%	Primorje	1333	1	@ Drava Ptuj	1346	0
16	2009-04-11	23.57%	Gorica	1393	2	@ Interblock Ljubljana	1404	1
17	2009-05-16	23.73%	Gorica	1405	2	@ Celje	1414	1
18	2008-10-05	24.08%	Nafta	1371	2	@ Primorje	1377	1
19	2008-08-17	24.17%	Drava Ptuj	1351	2	@ Interblock Ljubljana	1356	1
20	2008-07-26	24.44%	Gorica	1390	3	@ Luka Koper	1392	1
21	2008-10-31	24.61%	Primorje	1352	1	@ Rudar Velenje	1353	0
22	2008-10-04	24.79%	Interblock Ljubljana	1360	4	@ Luka Koper	1359	1
23	2009-02-22	24.97%	Domzale	1417	1	@ Celje	1415	0
24	2008-08-04	25.43%	Luka Koper	1380	2	@ Interblock Ljubljana	1373	1
25	2008-10-26	25.65%	Celje	1379	4	@ Primorje	1369	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2008-10-04	23.56	Maribor	4	1419	30.56%	@ Drava Ptuj	0	1367	41.42%	28.02%
2	2009-04-25	21.88	Celje	3	1402	21.33%	@ Domzale	0	1438	53.09%	25.58%
3	2008-12-07	19.64	Interblock Ljubljana	3	1367	26.40%	@ Primorje	0	1350	46.29%	27.31%
4	2009-03-21	18.72	@ Interblock Ljubljana	5	1376	49.85%	Nafta	0	1366	23.64%	26.51%
5	2008-09-21	17.74	@ Drava Ptuj	3	1349	31.39%	Domzale	0	1473	40.51%	28.10%
6	2009-03-14	17.68	Gorica	4	1370	23.30%	@ Nafta	1	1384	50.32%	26.39%
7	2008-10-04	17.13	Interblock Ljubljana	4	1360	24.79%	@ Luka Koper	1	1359	48.33%	26.88%
8	2008-10-26	16.83	Celje	4	1379	25.65%	@ Primorje	1	1369	47.23%	27.12%
9	2008-08-01	16.52	Rudar Velenje	2	1311	17.15%	@ Gorica	0	1402	59.78%	23.07%
10	2008-08-10	15.58	@ Drava Ptuj	5	1336	41.69%	Gorica	1	1385	30.32%	27.99%
11	2009-04-18	15.05	Drava Ptuj	3	1290	14.88%	@ Celje	1	1417	63.97%	21.15%
12	2009-04-25	14.82	@ Luka Koper	3	1342	40.13%	Interblock Ljubljana	0	1402	31.74%	28.13%
13	2009-05-06	14.78	Gorica	2	1387	22.21%	@ Domzale	0	1412	51.83%	25.96%
14	2009-05-20	14.10	@ Gorica	3	1412	42.34%	Maribor	0	1457	29.74%	27.92%
15	2008-07-27	13.56	Celje	2	1363	26.28%	@ Drava Ptuj	0	1348	46.44%	27.28%
16	2008-08-30	13.42	@ Rudar Velenje	3	1332	44.38%	Drava Ptuj	0	1363	27.98%	27.64%
17	2009-05-11	13.32	Domzale	2	1398	27.11%	@ Interblock Ljubljana	0	1375	45.42%	27.47%
18	2008-10-25	13.22	@ Rudar Velenje	5	1340	48.27%	Luka Koper	1	1341	24.84%	26.90%
19	2009-04-08	13.18	@ Interblock Ljubljana	4	1391	37.67%	Maribor	1	1469	34.06%	28.26%
20	2008-11-08	12.98	@ Nafta	3	1366	45.74%	Interblock Ljubljana	0	1387	26.85%	27.41%
21	2009-04-11	12.52	@ Drava Ptuj	4	1277	40.04%	Nafta	1	1339	31.82%	28.14%
22	2008-07-26	12.20	Gorica	3	1390	24.44%	@ Luka Koper	1	1392	48.79%	26.77%
23	2009-05-02	12.03	Drava Ptuj	5	1312	17.39%	@ Gorica	3	1399	59.36%	23.24%
24	2008-10-18	12.02	@ Maribor	3	1442	48.63%	Domzale	0	1441	24.56%	26.81%
25	2009-05-06	11.77	@ Primorje	2	1320	33.22%	Celje	0	1430	38.55%	28.23%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-03-01	68.2	@ Domzale	3	1425	43.72%	Maribor	3	1460	28.54%	27.74%
2	2008-09-24	66.8	@ Primorje	3	1386	39.04%	Domzale	3	1455	32.75%	28.20%
3	2008-08-30	66.3	@ Maribor	3	1406	50.55%	Primorje	3	1391	23.13%	26.33%
4	2008-08-23	65.5	@ Celje	3	1371	43.79%	Maribor	3	1406	28.48%	27.73%
5	2009-04-08	65.5	@ Gorica	3	1394	57.34%	Primorje	3	1324	18.59%	24.07%
6	2009-05-16	63.9	@ Nafta	3	1320	42.87%	Interblock Ljubljana	3	1362	29.28%	27.85%
7	2008-07-26	63.7	@ Domzale	2	1446	58.86%	Nafta	2	1363	17.69%	23.46%
8	2008-12-07	62.9	@ Domzale	2	1418	53.12%	Nafta	2	1382	21.31%	25.57%
9	2009-05-23	62.5	@ Domzale	2	1415	58.14%	Drava Ptuj	2	1338	18.11%	23.75%
10	2008-07-20	61.9	@ Gorica	2	1390	51.01%	Interblock Ljubljana	2	1371	22.79%	26.20%
11	2009-05-20	61.7	@ Rudar Velenje	2	1366	41.84%	Domzale	2	1415	30.19%	27.97%
12	2008-08-16	61.5	@ Celje	2	1372	46.86%	Primorje	2	1384	25.94%	27.20%
13	2008-10-26	60.7	Gorica	3	1360	18.64%	@ Domzale	2	1429	57.26%	24.10%
14	2008-09-24	60.6	@ Rudar Velenje	2	1343	45.99%	Celje	2	1361	26.64%	27.37%
15	2009-03-01	60.1	@ Drava Ptuj	2	1304	38.55%	Gorica	2	1376	33.22%	28.23%
16	2009-03-14	58.6	@ Celje	1	1416	41.77%	Maribor	1	1466	30.25%	27.98%
17	2009-03-07	57.4	Domzale	3	1425	30.20%	@ Gorica	2	1376	41.82%	27.98%
18	2008-08-30	57.3	@ Luka Koper	1	1373	34.87%	Domzale	1	1470	36.84%	28.29%
19	2008-10-25	56.9	@ Nafta	1	1374	37.36%	Maribor	1	1454	34.37%	28.27%
20	2008-10-04	56.6	Celje	2	1366	17.67%	@ Domzale	1	1449	58.88%	23.45%
21	2008-08-02	56.3	@ Maribor	1	1402	57.03%	Drava Ptuj	1	1334	18.78%	24.19%
22	2008-11-29	56.2	@ Gorica	1	1393	52.10%	Interblock Ljubljana	1	1366	22.02%	25.88%
23	2009-05-17	56.1	@ Primorje	1	1333	31.30%	Maribor	1	1457	40.61%	28.09%
24	2008-09-24	56.0	@ Luka Koper	1	1368	42.11%	Maribor	1	1415	29.94%	27.94%
25	2008-11-15	55.9	@ Interblock Ljubljana	1	1374	45.53%	Celje	1	1396	27.02%	27.45%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-03-07	30.6	@ Celje	3	1408	59.09%	Primorje	0	1323	17.55%	23.36%
2	2008-08-24	31.2	@ Domzale	4	1460	62.15%	Interblock Ljubljana	0	1349	15.84%	22.01%
3	2009-03-21	31.8	@ Maribor	2	1466	65.55%	Primorje	0	1324	14.08%	20.37%
4	2009-05-20	31.8	@ Luka Koper	3	1350	52.42%	Nafta	0	1320	21.80%	25.79%
5	2009-05-02	32.2	@ Celje	2	1424	61.11%	Nafta	0	1322	16.41%	22.49%
6	2009-02-21	33.5	@ Nafta	2	1383	55.19%	Primorje	0	1331	19.94%	24.87%
7	2008-07-19	33.9	@ Celje	2	1356	52.53%	Rudar Velenje	0	1324	21.72%	25.75%
8	2008-08-30	34.5	@ Rudar Velenje	3	1332	44.38%	Drava Ptuj	0	1363	27.98%	27.64%
9	2009-03-21	34.6	@ Interblock Ljubljana	5	1376	49.85%	Nafta	0	1366	23.64%	26.51%
10	2009-04-08	34.6	@ Rudar Velenje	2	1371	51.73%	Nafta	0	1347	22.28%	25.99%
11	2008-11-08	34.9	@ Nafta	3	1366	45.74%	Interblock Ljubljana	0	1387	26.85%	27.41%
12	2008-07-19	35.6	@ Nafta	2	1355	48.26%	Drava Ptuj	0	1356	24.84%	26.90%
13	2009-03-14	35.6	@ Domzale	2	1430	54.52%	Interblock Ljubljana	0	1383	20.38%	25.11%
14	2008-07-19	35.8	@ Domzale	2	1439	55.03%	Primorje	0	1388	20.05%	24.93%
15	2008-09-24	36.1	@ Interblock Ljubljana	2	1342	46.09%	Gorica	0	1360	26.57%	27.35%
16	2008-09-13	36.3	@ Nafta	2	1360	46.82%	Luka Koper	0	1373	25.97%	27.21%
17	2008-09-27	36.3	@ Gorica	2	1351	46.20%	Luka Koper	0	1368	26.47%	27.33%
18	2009-04-25	36.5	@ Luka Koper	3	1342	40.13%	Interblock Ljubljana	0	1402	31.74%	28.13%
19	2008-08-09	36.8	@ Rudar Velenje	2	1328	43.35%	Interblock Ljubljana	0	1366	28.86%	27.79%
20	2008-08-10	36.8	@ Primorje	2	1375	46.96%	Luka Koper	0	1387	25.86%	27.18%
21	2008-10-25	37.0	@ Rudar Velenje	5	1340	48.27%	Luka Koper	1	1341	24.84%	26.90%
22	2009-05-16	37.1	@ Drava Ptuj	2	1336	43.17%	Rudar Velenje	0	1375	29.01%	27.81%
23	2008-10-18	37.2	@ Maribor	3	1442	48.63%	Domzale	0	1441	24.56%	26.81%
24	2009-04-08	37.2	Domzale	2	1429	43.08%	@ Drava Ptuj	0	1287	29.10%	27.83%
25	2008-09-28	37.3	@ Interblock Ljubljana	2	1351	43.68%	Primorje	0	1386	28.58%	27.75%