Home / Leagues / Slovenia / Slovenian PrvaLiga / 2009-10
‹ ›

2009-10 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Luka Koper

73 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Luka Koper

12.16 points above expected

73 points · 60.84 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Interblock Ljubljana

13.60 points below expected

33 points · 46.60 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Luka Koper 36 21 10 5 73 59 35 +24 60.84 +12.16
2 Maribor 36 18 8 10 62 58 44 +14 56.10 +5.90
3 Gorica 36 16 7 13 55 74 60 +14 51.80 +3.20
4 Olimpija Ljubljana* 36 16 7 13 53 51 33 +18 53.46 -0.46
5 Celje 36 14 9 13 51 53 56 -3 47.94 +3.06
6 Nafta 36 14 7 15 49 51 53 -2 46.08 +2.92
7 Rudar Velenje 36 15 4 17 49 46 52 -6 48.90 +0.10
8 Domzale 36 12 9 15 45 51 59 -8 46.52 -1.52
9 Interblock Ljubljana 36 9 6 21 33 35 64 -29 46.60 -13.60
10 Drava Ptuj 36 7 9 20 30 34 56 -22 40.19 -10.19

* Point deductions: Olimpija Ljubljana (-2 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Luka Koper 73 60.84 +12.16
2 Maribor 62 56.10 +5.90
3 Gorica 55 51.80 +3.20
4 Celje 51 47.94 +3.06
5 Nafta 49 46.08 +2.92

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Interblock Ljubljana 33 46.60 -13.60
2 Drava Ptuj 30 40.19 -10.19
3 Domzale 45 46.52 -1.52
4 Olimpija Ljubljana 53 53.46 -0.46
5 Rudar Velenje 49 48.90 +0.10

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nafta 5 Nov 21 – Dec 9 1 in 197
2 Luka Koper 4 Jul 18 – Aug 8 1 in 42
3 Rudar Velenje 4 Jul 19 – Aug 9 1 in 29
4 Gorica 5 Apr 24 – May 16 1 in 27
5 Domzale 3 Mar 31 – Apr 10 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gorica 7 Aug 8 – Sep 23 1 in 788
2 Rudar Velenje 4 Oct 31 – Nov 28 1 in 100
3 Interblock Ljubljana 5 Mar 31 – Apr 24 1 in 37
4 Domzale 4 Jul 31 – Aug 23 1 in 28
5 Celje 3 Sep 12 – Sep 23 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gorica 8 Sep 27 – Nov 21 1 in 114
2 Luka Koper 15 Dec 2 – Apr 30 1 in 103
3 Nafta 7 Nov 21 – Mar 6 1 in 45
4 Maribor 9 Dec 6 – Mar 31 1 in 22
5 Domzale 5 Mar 31 – Apr 24 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Olimpija Ljubljana 9 Dec 2 – Mar 31 1 in 344
2 Gorica 12 Aug 8 – Oct 28 1 in 218
3 Maribor 6 Apr 3 – May 4 1 in 52
4 Luka Koper 4 Nov 7 – Dec 6 1 in 18
5 Domzale 6 Jul 17 – Aug 23 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Luka Koper 1454 73 -26 7 9.2 -2.2
Maribor 1419 62 +8 9 8.8 +0.2
Gorica 1420 55 +69 15 8.9 +6.1
Olimpija Ljubljana 1442 55 +27 12 8.5 +3.5
Celje 1324 51 -10 6 6.1 -0.1
Rudar Velenje 1282 49 +6 7 6.1 +0.9
Nafta 1331 49 -12 4 6.6 -2.6
Domzale 1328 45 +1 5 5.6 -0.6
Interblock Ljubljana 1176 33 -44 1 4.7 -3.7
Drava Ptuj 1224 30 -18 3 5.2 -2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CEL DOM DP GOR IL LK MAR NAF OL RV
Celje —
2-1-1
5.67
4-0-0
6.35
1-1-2
5.65
3-1-0
5.96
0-0-4
4.75
1-2-1
4.44
1-2-1
5.83
2-1-1
4.40
0-1-3
5.76
Domzale
1-1-2
5.44
 —
1-1-2
6.08
1-1-2
5.36
2-1-1
5.42
2-1-1
3.86
1-1-2
4.51
2-1-1
5.37
0-1-3
4.44
2-1-1
5.33
Drava Ptuj
0-0-4
4.76
2-1-1
5.02
 —
1-1-2
4.39
2-1-1
4.93
0-3-1
3.85
0-1-3
3.90
0-1-3
4.87
0-1-3
3.81
2-0-2
4.60
Gorica
2-1-1
5.46
2-1-1
5.74
2-1-1
6.73
 —
3-0-1
6.32
0-1-3
4.54
1-1-2
4.96
3-0-1
5.98
0-2-2
5.25
3-0-1
5.95
Interblock Ljubljana
0-1-3
5.15
1-1-2
5.69
1-1-2
6.18
1-0-3
4.81
 —
0-1-3
4.35
1-0-3
4.01
1-2-1
5.17
2-0-2
4.81
2-0-2
4.88
Luka Koper
4-0-0
6.37
1-1-2
7.27
1-3-0
7.29
3-1-0
6.58
3-1-0
6.78
 —
1-2-1
6.13
3-0-1
7.14
3-0-1
6.25
2-2-0
6.99
Maribor
1-2-1
6.69
2-1-1
6.61
3-1-0
7.24
2-1-1
6.14
3-0-1
7.14
1-2-1
4.98
 —
2-0-2
6.60
3-1-0
5.30
1-0-3
6.28
Nafta
1-2-1
5.27
1-1-2
5.74
3-1-0
6.25
1-0-3
5.13
1-2-1
5.95
1-0-3
3.99
2-0-2
4.52
 —
1-1-2
4.51
3-0-1
5.17
Olimpija Ljubljana
1-1-2
6.73
3-1-0
6.68
3-1-0
7.34
2-2-0
5.86
2-0-2
6.30
1-0-3
4.86
0-1-3
5.81
2-1-1
6.60
 —
2-0-2
6.33
Rudar Velenje
3-1-0
5.34
1-1-2
5.78
2-0-2
6.52
1-0-3
5.17
2-0-2
6.23
0-2-2
4.15
3-0-1
4.85
1-0-3
5.95
2-0-2
4.79
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.58 +8.2
Allowed 0.47 -8.2
Differential 0.85 +6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%9.44%5.00%1.94%0.56%0.83%22.78%
19.44%10.00%8.61%7.22%0.83%0.83%36.94%
25.00%8.61%5.00%2.50%1.11%0.28%22.50%
31.94%7.22%2.50%1.11%0.28%—13.06%
40.56%0.83%1.11%0.28%——2.78%
5+0.83%0.83%0.28%———1.94%
Total22.78%36.94%22.50%13.06%2.78%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.42 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.72
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%5.56%—25.00%
113.89%8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%—33.33%
22.78%5.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
32.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
4———————
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total25.00%30.56%19.44%13.89%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.56 -0.08
SD 1.32 1.32 1.96
CV 0.90 0.85 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
15.56%13.89%13.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%47.22%
28.33%8.33%8.33%5.56%——30.56%
3—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%30.56%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.64 -0.22
SD 0.84 1.22 1.51
CV 0.59 0.75 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%16.67%8.33%8.33%——41.67%
12.78%11.11%8.33%5.56%——27.78%
22.78%8.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%—25.00%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%38.89%22.22%16.67%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.56 -0.61
SD 0.95 1.13 1.44
CV 1.01 0.73 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——2.78%——2.78%5.56%
15.56%16.67%13.89%8.33%——44.44%
2—5.56%—8.33%——13.89%
35.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
4—5.56%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total13.89%36.11%25.00%22.22%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 1.67 +0.39
SD 1.43 1.15 2.06
CV 0.70 0.69 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%19.44%5.56%——5.56%38.89%
12.78%8.33%11.11%8.33%—5.56%36.11%
2—13.89%————13.89%
3—8.33%——2.78%—11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%50.00%16.67%8.33%2.78%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.78 -0.81
SD 1.00 1.53 1.83
CV 1.03 0.86 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%————11.11%
116.67%11.11%—11.11%——38.89%
25.56%19.44%8.33%———33.33%
3—8.33%2.78%———11.11%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total36.11%41.67%11.11%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.97 +0.67
SD 1.10 0.97 1.47
CV 0.67 1.00 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
116.67%8.33%13.89%2.78%——41.67%
28.33%2.78%5.56%———16.67%
3—11.11%8.33%5.56%——25.00%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%30.56%33.33%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.22 +0.39
SD 1.10 0.96 1.23
CV 0.68 0.79 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%8.33%———22.22%
18.33%5.56%5.56%13.89%——33.33%
25.56%11.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
3—11.11%————11.11%
4———————
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total19.44%36.11%25.00%16.67%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.47 -0.06
SD 1.13 1.08 1.53
CV 0.80 0.73 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%22.22%————27.78%
15.56%13.89%8.33%5.56%——33.33%
28.33%8.33%————16.67%
38.33%8.33%————16.67%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total30.56%52.78%11.11%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.92 +0.50
SD 1.30 0.81 1.65
CV 0.91 0.88 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%13.89%8.33%——30.56%
116.67%2.78%8.33%5.56%——33.33%
28.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%—2.78%22.22%
3—5.56%————5.56%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+———————
Total30.56%19.44%30.56%16.67%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.44 -0.17
SD 1.21 1.25 1.89
CV 0.95 0.87 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Luka Koper 1454 73 60.84 +12.16 93.0% 43 47 53 61 68 75 82
Olimpija Ljubljana 1442 53 53.46 -0.46 46.0% 38 41 48 54 58 63 77
Gorica 1420 55 51.80 +3.20 62.0% 32 36 46 52 58 65 74
Maribor 1419 62 56.10 +5.90 83.0% 35 40 52 57 61 68 79
Nafta 1331 49 46.08 +2.92 69.0% 27 35 40 46 50 60 64
Domzale 1328 45 46.52 -1.52 47.0% 23 34 41 46 52 61 65
Celje 1324 51 47.94 +3.06 69.0% 32 36 43 48 53 59 66
Rudar Velenje 1282 49 48.90 +0.10 54.0% 33 36 43 48 55 61 66
Drava Ptuj 1224 30 40.19 -10.19 8.0% 20 29 35 39 44 53 57
Interblock Ljubljana 1176 33 46.60 -13.60 5.0% 29 33 40 45 53 61 66

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.33%
No Edge
41.11%21.11%37.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 11.59 Elo pts.
195 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.09 goals
Neutral
-2+0.06+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.8
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
45%
Luka Koper, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.31/gm
Runaway
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.32 * Some Luck: 6.32 to 9.48 * Lucky: 9.48 to 12.64 * Wild Swing: 12.64 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.65 * Close: 1.65 to 2.48 * Off: 2.48 to 3.31 * Way Off: 3.31 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.08 points
Some Luck
07.9020
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
02.075
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
93.00%
Luka Koper
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
5.00%
Interblock Ljubljana
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 94.47
1.56
Coin-Flip Parity
11.82.052.75
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Even
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.21
Very Even
00.310.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.73
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.34
Weak Carryover
00.420.630.791
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
Very Upset-Prone
0%31%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Shaky
0%26%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.95
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.99
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.029
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Luka Koper45.00%21.00%8.00%4.00%11.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%——
Maribor18.00%23.00%24.00%10.00%7.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%
Gorica9.00%16.00%10.00%16.00%13.00%11.00%7.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%
Olimpija Ljubljana11.00%12.00%22.00%9.00%18.00%10.00%9.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%
Celje4.00%5.00%3.00%12.00%11.00%18.00%11.00%18.00%11.00%7.00%
Nafta2.00%4.00%4.00%11.00%6.00%20.00%16.00%10.00%13.00%14.00%
Rudar Velenje4.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%12.00%15.00%6.00%8.00%
Domzale2.00%4.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%12.00%18.00%15.00%16.00%8.00%
Interblock Ljubljana5.00%5.00%8.00%13.00%5.00%7.00%12.00%12.00%19.00%14.00%
Drava Ptuj——3.00%5.00%9.00%2.00%6.00%11.00%22.00%42.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Luka Koper 100% — —
Maribor 96.00% 3.00% 1.00%
Olimpija Ljubljana 94.00% 5.00% 1.00%
Gorica 90.00% 5.00% 5.00%
Celje 82.00% 11.00% 7.00%
Domzale 76.00% 16.00% 8.00%
Rudar Velenje 86.00% 6.00% 8.00%
Interblock Ljubljana 67.00% 19.00% 14.00%
Nafta 73.00% 13.00% 14.00%
Drava Ptuj 36.00% 22.00% 42.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2009-07-17 Drava Ptuj D 2-261.6 1350 1327 44.02% 22.31% 33.67%+0.18 -0.4 1
2009-07-17 @ Domzale D 2-261.6 1327 1350 33.67% 22.31% 44.02%-0.18 +0.4 1
2009-07-18 Celje W 1-041.8 1336 1343 39.79% 22.38% 37.83%+0.02 +9.2 3
2009-07-18 @ Luka Koper L 0-141.8 1343 1336 37.83% 22.38% 39.79%-0.02 -9.2 0
2009-07-18 Interblock Ljubljana L 1-345.0 1347 1340 41.83% 22.36% 35.81%+0.10 -16.3 0
2009-07-18 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 3-145.0 1340 1347 35.81% 22.36% 41.83%-0.10 +16.3 3
2009-07-18 Gorica L 0-143.2 1354 1350 41.36% 22.37% 36.27%+0.08 -9.9 0
2009-07-18 @ Maribor W 1-043.2 1350 1354 36.27% 22.37% 41.36%-0.08 +9.9 3
2009-07-19 Nafta W 2-036.3 1336 1317 43.55% 22.32% 34.13%+0.16 +16.1 3
2009-07-19 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-236.3 1317 1336 34.13% 22.32% 43.55%-0.16 -16.1 0
2009-07-25 Celje D 2-261.2 1300 1333 36.06% 22.37% 41.57%-0.11 +0.2 1
2009-07-25 @ Nafta D 2-261.2 1333 1300 41.57% 22.37% 36.06%+0.11 -0.2 1
2009-07-25 Domzale D 0-051.4 1356 1350 41.64% 22.37% 36.00%+0.09 -0.3 4
2009-07-25 @ Interblock Ljubljana D 0-051.4 1350 1356 36.00% 22.37% 41.64%-0.09 +0.3 2
2009-07-26 Luka Koper L 1-343.7 1327 1345 38.18% 22.39% 39.44%-0.03 -15.2 1
2009-07-26 @ Drava Ptuj W 3-143.7 1345 1327 39.44% 22.39% 38.18%+0.03 +15.2 6
2009-07-26 Maribor W 1-041.4 1353 1344 41.92% 22.36% 35.72%+0.10 +8.8 6
2009-07-26 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-141.4 1344 1353 35.72% 22.36% 41.92%-0.10 -8.8 0
2009-07-26 Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-249.7 1360 1331 44.76% 22.29% 32.95%+0.21 -10.0 3
2009-07-26 @ Gorica W 2-149.7 1331 1360 32.95% 22.29% 44.76%-0.21 +10.0 3
2009-07-31 Gorica L 1-442.0 1350 1350 40.79% 22.38% 36.84%+0.06 -22.6 2
2009-07-31 @ Domzale W 4-142.0 1350 1350 36.84% 22.38% 40.79%-0.06 +22.6 6
2009-07-31 Rudar Velenje L 0-142.1 1341 1361 37.83% 22.38% 39.78%-0.05 -9.2 3
2009-07-31 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-042.1 1361 1341 39.78% 22.38% 37.83%+0.05 +9.2 9
2009-08-01 Drava Ptuj W 1-040.3 1333 1312 43.73% 22.32% 33.96%+0.17 +8.5 4
2009-08-01 @ Celje L 0-140.3 1312 1333 33.96% 22.32% 43.73%-0.17 -8.5 1
2009-08-01 Interblock Ljubljana W 2-147.5 1360 1356 41.41% 22.37% 36.23%+0.08 +8.4 9
2009-08-01 @ Luka Koper L 1-247.5 1356 1360 36.23% 22.37% 41.41%-0.08 -8.4 4
2009-08-01 Nafta W 3-141.5 1335 1301 45.58% 22.26% 32.17%+0.24 +13.3 3
2009-08-01 @ Maribor L 1-341.5 1301 1335 32.17% 22.26% 45.58%-0.24 -13.3 1
2009-08-08 Drava Ptuj W 3-143.3 1287 1304 38.44% 22.39% 39.17%-0.02 +15.5 4
2009-08-08 @ Nafta L 1-343.3 1304 1287 39.17% 22.39% 38.44%+0.02 -15.5 1
2009-08-08 Luka Koper L 1-249.4 1372 1369 41.27% 22.37% 36.36%+0.08 -9.3 6
2009-08-08 @ Gorica W 2-149.4 1369 1372 36.36% 22.37% 41.27%-0.08 +9.3 12
2009-08-08 Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-040.8 1349 1332 43.13% 22.33% 34.53%+0.15 +8.6 6
2009-08-08 @ Maribor L 0-140.8 1332 1349 34.53% 22.33% 43.13%-0.15 -8.6 3
2009-08-09 Celje L 1-248.7 1347 1342 41.54% 22.37% 36.09%+0.09 -9.4 4
2009-08-09 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 2-148.7 1342 1347 36.09% 22.37% 41.54%-0.09 +9.4 7
2009-08-09 Domzale W 4-139.0 1371 1327 46.70% 22.21% 31.09%+0.28 +18.3 12
2009-08-09 @ Rudar Velenje L 1-439.0 1327 1371 31.09% 22.21% 46.70%-0.28 -18.2 2
2009-08-14 Maribor L 1-342.4 1309 1357 34.00% 22.32% 43.68%-0.19 -13.9 2
2009-08-14 @ Domzale W 3-142.4 1357 1309 43.68% 22.32% 34.00%+0.19 +13.9 9
2009-08-15 Gorica W 2-038.3 1351 1363 39.03% 22.39% 38.58%+0.00 +17.7 10
2009-08-15 @ Celje L 0-238.3 1363 1351 38.58% 22.39% 39.03%+0.00 -17.7 6
2009-08-15 Rudar Velenje D 2-262.9 1378 1389 39.22% 22.39% 38.40%+0.00 -0.0 13
2009-08-15 @ Luka Koper D 2-262.9 1389 1378 38.40% 22.39% 39.22%+0.00 +0.0 13
2009-08-16 Interblock Ljubljana D 1-155.1 1288 1338 33.75% 22.31% 43.93%-0.20 +0.5 2
2009-08-16 @ Drava Ptuj D 1-155.1 1338 1288 43.93% 22.31% 33.75%+0.20 -0.5 5
2009-08-16 Nafta W 2-036.0 1323 1303 43.59% 22.32% 34.09%+0.16 +16.0 6
2009-08-16 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-236.0 1303 1323 34.09% 22.32% 43.59%-0.16 -16.1 4
2009-08-22 Celje W 2-037.7 1389 1369 43.56% 22.32% 34.11%+0.16 +16.1 16
2009-08-22 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-237.7 1369 1389 34.11% 22.32% 43.56%-0.16 -16.1 10
2009-08-22 Drava Ptuj L 1-250.2 1345 1289 48.51% 22.11% 29.38%+0.35 -10.7 6
2009-08-22 @ Gorica W 2-150.2 1289 1345 29.38% 22.11% 48.51%-0.35 +10.7 5
2009-08-22 Interblock Ljubljana L 0-140.0 1287 1337 33.67% 22.31% 44.02%-0.20 -8.4 4
2009-08-22 @ Nafta W 1-040.0 1337 1287 44.02% 22.31% 33.67%+0.20 +8.4 8
2009-08-23 Domzale W 3-141.1 1339 1295 46.80% 22.20% 31.00%+0.28 +12.9 9
2009-08-23 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-341.1 1295 1339 31.00% 22.20% 46.80%-0.28 -12.9 2
2009-08-23 Luka Koper L 1-249.1 1371 1378 39.76% 22.38% 37.85%+0.02 -9.1 9
2009-08-23 @ Maribor W 2-149.1 1378 1371 37.85% 22.38% 39.76%-0.02 +9.1 16
2009-08-28 Nafta W 2-146.1 1282 1278 41.32% 22.37% 36.31%+0.08 +8.4 5
2009-08-28 @ Domzale L 1-246.1 1278 1282 36.31% 22.37% 41.32%-0.08 -8.4 4
2009-08-29 Maribor W 2-148.1 1353 1362 39.41% 22.39% 38.20%+0.01 +8.8 13
2009-08-29 @ Celje L 1-248.1 1362 1353 38.20% 22.39% 39.41%-0.01 -8.8 9
2009-08-29 Gorica W 3-142.9 1346 1335 42.31% 22.35% 35.33%+0.12 +14.3 11
2009-08-29 @ Interblock Ljubljana L 1-342.9 1335 1346 35.33% 22.35% 42.31%-0.12 -14.3 6
2009-08-29 Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-146.6 1387 1352 45.62% 22.25% 32.13%+0.24 +7.6 19
2009-08-29 @ Luka Koper L 1-246.6 1352 1387 32.13% 22.25% 45.62%-0.24 -7.6 9
2009-08-30 Rudar Velenje W 1-046.0 1299 1405 26.81% 21.91% 51.27%-0.48 +11.9 8
2009-08-30 @ Drava Ptuj L 0-146.0 1405 1299 51.27% 21.91% 26.81%+0.48 -11.9 16
2009-09-11 Luka Koper D 1-155.8 1291 1395 27.03% 21.93% 51.04%-0.47 +1.2 6
2009-09-11 @ Domzale D 1-155.8 1395 1291 51.04% 21.93% 27.03%+0.47 -1.2 20
2009-09-12 Celje W 4-248.5 1344 1362 38.30% 22.39% 39.31%-0.03 +13.9 12
2009-09-12 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 2-448.5 1362 1344 39.31% 22.39% 38.30%+0.03 -13.9 13
2009-09-12 Drava Ptuj D 2-261.5 1353 1311 46.58% 22.21% 31.20%+0.28 -0.6 10
2009-09-12 @ Maribor D 2-261.5 1311 1353 31.20% 22.21% 46.58%-0.28 +0.6 9
2009-09-12 Interblock Ljubljana W 2-146.9 1393 1360 45.32% 22.27% 32.41%+0.23 +7.7 19
2009-09-12 @ Rudar Velenje L 1-246.9 1360 1393 32.41% 22.27% 45.32%-0.23 -7.7 11
2009-09-12 Gorica W 2-148.6 1270 1320 33.68% 22.31% 44.01%-0.20 +9.8 7
2009-09-12 @ Nafta L 1-248.6 1320 1270 44.01% 22.31% 33.68%+0.20 -9.8 6
2009-09-19 Domzale L 2-355.5 1348 1292 48.33% 22.12% 29.55%+0.34 -10.1 13
2009-09-19 @ Celje W 3-255.5 1292 1348 29.55% 22.12% 48.33%-0.34 +10.1 9
2009-09-19 Maribor W 2-147.5 1352 1353 40.71% 22.38% 36.92%+0.06 +8.5 14
2009-09-19 @ Interblock Ljubljana L 1-247.5 1353 1352 36.92% 22.38% 40.71%-0.06 -8.5 10
2009-09-19 Nafta W 3-138.9 1394 1280 55.48% 21.49% 23.02%+0.64 +10.0 23
2009-09-19 @ Luka Koper L 1-338.9 1280 1394 23.02% 21.49% 55.48%-0.64 -10.0 7
2009-09-19 Rudar Velenje L 1-341.2 1311 1401 28.64% 22.06% 49.30%-0.40 -12.1 6
2009-09-19 @ Gorica W 3-141.2 1401 1311 49.30% 22.06% 28.64%+0.40 +12.1 22
2009-09-20 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-334.3 1312 1358 34.19% 22.33% 43.49%-0.18 -23.4 9
2009-09-20 @ Drava Ptuj W 3-034.3 1358 1312 43.49% 22.33% 34.19%+0.18 +23.4 15
2009-09-23 Domzale W 2-147.0 1288 1302 38.75% 22.39% 38.86%-0.01 +8.9 12
2009-09-23 @ Drava Ptuj L 1-247.0 1302 1288 38.86% 22.39% 38.75%+0.01 -8.9 9
2009-09-23 Luka Koper L 0-140.8 1338 1404 31.64% 22.23% 46.13%-0.28 -8.0 13
2009-09-23 @ Celje W 1-040.8 1404 1338 46.13% 22.23% 31.64%+0.28 +8.0 26
2009-09-23 Maribor L 2-351.4 1299 1344 34.33% 22.33% 43.34%-0.17 -7.7 6
2009-09-23 @ Gorica W 3-251.4 1344 1299 43.34% 22.33% 34.33%+0.17 +7.7 13
2009-09-23 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-142.7 1361 1382 37.79% 22.38% 39.82%-0.05 -9.2 14
2009-09-23 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 1-042.7 1382 1361 39.82% 22.38% 37.79%+0.05 +9.2 18
2009-09-23 Rudar Velenje W 5-248.7 1270 1413 22.82% 21.47% 55.72%-0.67 +25.6 10
2009-09-23 @ Nafta L 2-548.7 1413 1270 55.72% 21.47% 22.82%+0.67 -25.6 22
2009-09-26 Drava Ptuj D 0-051.7 1412 1297 55.55% 21.49% 22.96%+0.65 -1.9 27
2009-09-26 @ Luka Koper D 0-051.7 1297 1412 22.96% 21.49% 55.55%-0.65 +1.9 13
2009-09-26 Nafta D 2-261.1 1330 1295 45.49% 22.26% 32.25%+0.23 -0.5 14
2009-09-26 @ Celje D 2-261.1 1295 1330 32.25% 22.26% 45.49%-0.23 +0.5 11
2009-09-27 Interblock Ljubljana W 1-043.6 1293 1352 32.63% 22.27% 45.10%-0.24 +10.6 12
2009-09-27 @ Domzale L 0-143.6 1352 1293 45.10% 22.27% 32.63%+0.24 -10.6 14
2009-09-27 Gorica D 1-155.9 1391 1291 53.87% 21.67% 24.45%+0.57 -1.5 19
2009-09-27 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-155.9 1291 1391 24.45% 21.67% 53.87%-0.57 +1.5 7
2009-09-27 Rudar Velenje L 0-237.9 1352 1387 35.73% 22.36% 41.91%-0.12 -16.7 13
2009-09-27 @ Maribor W 2-037.9 1387 1352 41.91% 22.36% 35.73%+0.12 +16.7 25
2009-10-03 Domzale D 1-154.9 1292 1304 39.11% 22.39% 38.51%+0.00 -0.0 8
2009-10-03 @ Gorica D 1-154.9 1304 1292 38.51% 22.39% 39.11%+0.00 +0.0 13
2009-10-03 Luka Koper L 0-140.9 1341 1410 31.32% 22.22% 46.46%-0.29 -8.0 14
2009-10-03 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 1-040.9 1410 1341 46.46% 22.22% 31.32%+0.29 +8.0 30
2009-10-03 Maribor L 2-446.5 1296 1335 35.19% 22.35% 42.46%-0.14 -12.8 11
2009-10-03 @ Nafta W 4-246.5 1335 1296 42.46% 22.35% 35.19%+0.14 +12.8 16
2009-10-03 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-338.8 1404 1389 42.80% 22.34% 34.86%+0.13 -27.9 25
2009-10-03 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-038.8 1389 1404 34.86% 22.34% 42.80%-0.13 +27.9 22
2009-10-04 Celje L 0-140.9 1299 1329 36.49% 22.37% 41.14%-0.09 -9.0 13
2009-10-04 @ Drava Ptuj W 1-040.9 1329 1299 41.14% 22.37% 36.49%+0.09 +9.0 17
2009-10-17 Interblock Ljubljana W 3-143.1 1338 1333 41.43% 22.37% 36.20%+0.08 +14.6 20
2009-10-17 @ Celje L 1-343.1 1333 1338 36.20% 22.37% 41.43%-0.08 -14.6 14
2009-10-17 Maribor L 0-146.7 1417 1348 50.11% 22.00% 27.89%+0.41 -11.6 22
2009-10-17 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-046.7 1348 1417 27.89% 22.00% 50.11%-0.41 +11.6 19
2009-10-17 Gorica D 1-156.3 1418 1292 56.77% 21.33% 21.89%+0.70 -1.9 31
2009-10-17 @ Luka Koper D 1-156.3 1292 1418 21.89% 21.33% 56.77%-0.70 +1.8 9
2009-10-17 Rudar Velenje W 2-040.3 1304 1376 30.88% 22.20% 46.93%-0.31 +20.8 16
2009-10-17 @ Domzale L 0-240.3 1376 1304 46.93% 22.20% 30.88%+0.31 -20.8 25
2009-10-18 Nafta L 1-247.8 1290 1283 41.73% 22.36% 35.90%+0.10 -9.4 13
2009-10-18 @ Drava Ptuj W 2-147.8 1283 1290 35.90% 22.36% 41.73%-0.10 +9.4 14
2009-10-24 Celje D 1-155.3 1294 1353 32.64% 22.27% 45.08%-0.24 +0.6 10
2009-10-24 @ Gorica D 1-155.3 1353 1294 45.08% 22.27% 32.64%+0.24 -0.6 21
2009-10-24 Domzale L 1-249.8 1360 1325 45.59% 22.26% 32.16%+0.24 -10.1 19
2009-10-24 @ Maribor W 2-149.8 1325 1360 32.16% 22.26% 45.59%-0.24 +10.1 19
2009-10-24 Drava Ptuj W 2-144.9 1319 1281 46.00% 22.24% 31.76%+0.25 +7.6 17
2009-10-24 @ Interblock Ljubljana L 1-244.9 1281 1319 31.76% 22.24% 46.00%-0.25 -7.6 13
2009-10-24 Luka Koper D 2-263.1 1355 1416 32.36% 22.26% 45.38%-0.25 +0.5 26
2009-10-24 @ Rudar Velenje D 2-263.1 1416 1355 45.38% 22.26% 32.36%+0.25 -0.5 32
2009-10-24 Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-046.2 1293 1406 25.99% 21.84% 52.18%-0.52 +12.1 17
2009-10-24 @ Nafta L 0-146.2 1406 1293 52.18% 21.84% 25.99%+0.52 -12.1 22
2009-10-28 Maribor L 1-348.4 1415 1349 49.66% 22.03% 28.31%+0.40 -18.9 32
2009-10-28 @ Luka Koper W 3-148.4 1349 1415 28.31% 22.03% 49.66%-0.40 +18.9 22
2009-10-28 Nafta D 1-155.2 1326 1305 43.77% 22.32% 33.91%+0.17 -0.5 18
2009-10-28 @ Interblock Ljubljana D 1-155.2 1305 1326 33.91% 22.32% 43.77%-0.17 +0.5 18
2009-10-28 Gorica D 1-154.7 1273 1295 37.63% 22.38% 39.98%-0.05 +0.1 14
2009-10-28 @ Drava Ptuj D 1-154.7 1295 1273 39.98% 22.38% 37.63%+0.05 -0.1 11
2009-10-28 Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-246.5 1335 1394 32.59% 22.27% 45.14%-0.24 -7.7 19
2009-10-28 @ Domzale W 2-146.5 1394 1335 45.14% 22.27% 32.59%+0.24 +7.7 25
2009-10-28 Rudar Velenje L 0-436.6 1352 1356 40.21% 22.38% 37.41%+0.04 -34.7 21
2009-10-28 @ Celje W 4-036.6 1356 1352 37.41% 22.38% 40.21%-0.04 +34.7 29
2009-10-31 Celje D 3-365.9 1368 1317 47.75% 22.15% 30.10%+0.32 -0.5 23
2009-10-31 @ Maribor D 3-365.9 1317 1368 30.10% 22.15% 47.75%-0.32 +0.6 22
2009-10-31 Domzale D 2-261.2 1305 1327 37.60% 22.38% 40.01%-0.05 +0.1 19
2009-10-31 @ Nafta D 2-261.2 1327 1305 40.01% 22.38% 37.60%+0.05 -0.1 20
2009-10-31 Drava Ptuj L 0-340.4 1390 1273 55.88% 21.45% 22.68%+0.66 -35.1 29
2009-10-31 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-040.4 1273 1390 22.68% 21.45% 55.88%-0.66 +35.1 17
2009-10-31 Interblock Ljubljana W 4-356.1 1295 1326 36.35% 22.37% 41.28%-0.10 +8.6 14
2009-10-31 @ Gorica L 3-456.1 1326 1295 41.28% 22.37% 36.35%+0.10 -8.6 18
2009-10-31 Luka Koper L 0-144.9 1401 1396 41.45% 22.37% 36.19%+0.08 -9.9 25
2009-10-31 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-044.9 1396 1401 36.19% 22.37% 41.45%-0.08 +9.9 35
2009-11-07 Domzale L 0-146.5 1406 1327 51.36% 21.91% 26.73%+0.47 -11.9 35
2009-11-07 @ Luka Koper W 1-046.5 1327 1406 26.73% 21.91% 51.36%-0.47 +11.9 23
2009-11-07 Nafta W 3-142.8 1303 1305 40.50% 22.38% 37.12%+0.05 +14.9 17
2009-11-07 @ Gorica L 1-342.8 1305 1303 37.12% 22.38% 40.50%-0.05 -14.9 19
2009-11-07 Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-156.0 1318 1391 30.68% 22.19% 47.13%-0.32 +0.8 23
2009-11-07 @ Celje D 1-156.0 1391 1318 47.13% 22.19% 30.68%+0.32 -0.8 26
2009-11-07 Rudar Velenje W 3-144.9 1317 1355 35.33% 22.35% 42.32%-0.14 +16.5 21
2009-11-07 @ Interblock Ljubljana L 1-344.9 1355 1317 42.32% 22.35% 35.33%+0.14 -16.5 29
2009-11-08 Maribor L 0-236.0 1308 1368 32.50% 22.27% 45.24%-0.25 -15.4 17
2009-11-08 @ Drava Ptuj W 2-036.0 1368 1308 45.24% 22.27% 32.50%+0.25 +15.4 26
2009-11-21 Drava Ptuj W 3-031.4 1391 1293 53.60% 21.70% 24.70%+0.56 +17.8 29
2009-11-21 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-331.4 1293 1391 24.70% 21.70% 53.60%-0.56 -17.8 17
2009-11-21 Luka Koper W 3-147.6 1290 1394 27.00% 21.93% 51.07%-0.47 +19.3 22
2009-11-21 @ Nafta L 1-347.6 1394 1290 51.07% 21.93% 27.00%+0.47 -19.3 35
2009-11-21 Gorica L 0-337.0 1339 1318 43.63% 22.32% 34.05%+0.16 -28.4 29
2009-11-21 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-037.0 1318 1339 34.05% 22.32% 43.63%-0.16 +28.4 20
2009-11-22 Celje L 1-541.1 1339 1319 43.59% 22.32% 34.09%+0.16 -30.9 23
2009-11-22 @ Domzale W 5-141.1 1319 1339 34.09% 22.32% 43.59%-0.16 +30.8 26
2009-11-28 Drava Ptuj W 2-035.2 1308 1275 45.34% 22.26% 32.40%+0.23 +15.4 26
2009-11-28 @ Domzale L 0-235.2 1275 1308 32.40% 22.26% 45.34%-0.23 -15.4 17
2009-11-28 Interblock Ljubljana W 2-035.2 1408 1334 50.81% 21.95% 27.24%+0.44 +13.3 32
2009-11-28 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-235.2 1334 1408 27.24% 21.95% 50.81%-0.44 -13.3 21
2009-11-28 Nafta L 0-142.2 1311 1310 40.87% 22.38% 36.75%+0.06 -9.8 29
2009-11-28 @ Rudar Velenje W 1-042.2 1310 1311 36.75% 22.38% 40.87%-0.06 +9.8 25
2009-11-28 Gorica W 3-142.5 1383 1347 45.82% 22.25% 31.94%+0.25 +13.2 29
2009-11-28 @ Maribor L 1-342.5 1347 1383 31.94% 22.25% 45.82%-0.25 -13.2 20
2009-12-02 Drava Ptuj W 3-031.0 1350 1260 52.66% 21.79% 25.55%+0.52 +18.4 29
2009-12-02 @ Celje L 0-331.0 1260 1350 25.55% 21.79% 52.66%-0.52 -18.4 17
2009-12-02 Interblock Ljubljana D 0-051.4 1375 1320 48.26% 22.12% 29.62%+0.34 -1.1 36
2009-12-02 @ Luka Koper D 0-051.4 1320 1375 29.62% 22.12% 48.26%-0.34 +1.1 22
2009-12-02 Nafta L 1-251.8 1396 1319 51.07% 21.93% 27.00%+0.45 -11.2 29
2009-12-02 @ Maribor W 2-151.8 1319 1396 27.00% 21.93% 51.07%-0.45 +11.2 28
2009-12-02 Gorica L 2-353.1 1324 1333 39.33% 22.39% 38.29%+0.01 -8.5 26
2009-12-02 @ Domzale W 3-253.1 1333 1324 38.29% 22.39% 39.33%-0.01 +8.5 23
2009-12-02 Rudar Velenje L 0-147.6 1422 1301 56.31% 21.39% 22.30%+0.68 -12.9 32
2009-12-02 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-047.6 1301 1422 22.30% 21.39% 56.31%-0.68 +12.9 32
2009-12-05 Celje W 2-149.0 1331 1368 35.47% 22.36% 42.17%-0.13 +9.5 31
2009-12-05 @ Nafta L 1-249.0 1368 1331 42.17% 22.36% 35.47%+0.13 -9.5 29
2009-12-05 Domzale W 2-146.5 1321 1315 41.64% 22.37% 36.00%+0.09 +8.4 25
2009-12-05 @ Interblock Ljubljana L 1-246.5 1315 1321 36.00% 22.37% 41.64%-0.09 -8.4 26
2009-12-05 Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-156.7 1342 1409 31.54% 22.23% 46.24%-0.28 +0.7 24
2009-12-05 @ Gorica D 1-156.7 1409 1342 46.24% 22.23% 31.54%+0.28 -0.8 33
2009-12-06 Luka Koper D 1-155.2 1241 1374 23.86% 21.60% 54.53%-0.62 +1.6 18
2009-12-06 @ Drava Ptuj D 1-155.2 1374 1241 54.53% 21.60% 23.86%+0.62 -1.6 37
2009-12-06 Maribor L 0-235.8 1314 1385 30.92% 22.20% 46.88%-0.31 -14.8 32
2009-12-06 @ Rudar Velenje W 2-035.8 1385 1314 46.88% 22.20% 30.92%+0.31 +14.8 32
2009-12-09 Celje D 0-051.2 1330 1358 36.66% 22.37% 40.97%-0.09 +0.2 26
2009-12-09 @ Interblock Ljubljana D 0-051.2 1358 1330 40.97% 22.37% 36.66%+0.09 -0.2 30
2009-12-09 Domzale L 0-237.5 1299 1307 39.63% 22.39% 37.98%+0.02 -18.1 32
2009-12-09 @ Rudar Velenje W 2-037.5 1307 1299 37.98% 22.39% 39.63%-0.02 +18.1 29
2009-12-09 Drava Ptuj W 1-036.9 1340 1243 53.54% 21.71% 24.75%+0.56 +6.5 34
2009-12-09 @ Nafta L 0-136.9 1243 1340 24.75% 21.71% 53.54%-0.56 -6.5 18
2009-12-09 Luka Koper L 1-247.6 1343 1372 36.51% 22.37% 41.11%-0.09 -8.5 24
2009-12-09 @ Gorica W 2-147.6 1372 1343 41.11% 22.37% 36.51%+0.09 +8.5 40
2009-12-09 Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-149.7 1400 1408 39.61% 22.39% 38.01%+0.02 +8.8 35
2009-12-09 @ Maribor L 1-249.7 1408 1400 38.01% 22.39% 39.61%-0.02 -8.7 33
2009-12-12 Celje W 4-035.1 1381 1358 43.94% 22.31% 33.74%+0.18 +30.2 43
2009-12-12 @ Luka Koper L 0-435.1 1358 1381 33.74% 22.31% 43.94%-0.18 -30.2 30
2009-12-12 Interblock Ljubljana W 1-039.2 1409 1330 51.32% 21.91% 26.77%+0.46 +7.0 38
2009-12-12 @ Maribor L 0-139.2 1330 1409 26.77% 21.91% 51.32%-0.46 -7.0 26
2010-02-27 Interblock Ljubljana W 3-145.9 1236 1323 29.08% 22.09% 48.83%-0.38 +18.6 21
2010-02-27 @ Drava Ptuj L 1-345.9 1323 1236 48.83% 22.09% 29.08%+0.38 -18.6 26
2010-02-27 Maribor L 2-350.8 1325 1416 28.52% 22.05% 49.43%-0.41 -6.6 29
2010-02-27 @ Domzale W 3-250.8 1416 1325 49.43% 22.05% 28.52%+0.41 +6.6 41
2010-02-27 Gorica L 1-441.3 1328 1334 39.85% 22.38% 37.77%+0.03 -22.2 30
2010-02-27 @ Celje W 4-141.3 1334 1328 37.77% 22.38% 39.85%-0.03 +22.2 27
2010-02-27 Rudar Velenje W 2-142.4 1411 1281 57.36% 21.25% 21.39%+0.73 +5.4 46
2010-02-27 @ Luka Koper L 1-242.4 1281 1411 21.39% 21.25% 57.36%-0.73 -5.4 32
2010-02-28 Nafta D 0-052.1 1399 1347 47.97% 22.14% 29.89%+0.33 -1.0 34
2010-02-28 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 0-052.1 1347 1399 29.89% 22.14% 47.97%-0.33 +1.0 35
2010-03-06 Celje W 3-143.9 1275 1306 36.42% 22.37% 41.21%-0.10 +16.2 35
2010-03-06 @ Rudar Velenje L 1-343.9 1306 1275 41.21% 22.37% 36.42%+0.10 -16.2 30
2010-03-06 Domzale D 1-156.2 1398 1318 51.48% 21.90% 26.63%+0.47 -1.3 35
2010-03-06 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-156.2 1318 1398 26.63% 21.90% 51.48%-0.47 +1.3 30
2010-03-06 Drava Ptuj W 2-142.6 1356 1255 54.05% 21.65% 24.29%+0.58 +6.0 30
2010-03-06 @ Gorica L 1-242.6 1255 1356 24.29% 21.65% 54.05%-0.58 -6.0 21
2010-03-06 Interblock Ljubljana W 3-141.3 1348 1304 46.73% 22.21% 31.07%+0.28 +12.9 38
2010-03-06 @ Nafta L 1-341.3 1304 1348 31.07% 22.21% 46.73%-0.28 -12.9 26
2010-03-06 Luka Koper D 2-264.6 1422 1417 41.57% 22.37% 36.06%+0.09 -0.2 42
2010-03-06 @ Maribor D 2-264.6 1417 1422 36.06% 22.37% 41.57%-0.09 +0.2 47
2010-03-13 Celje L 1-348.6 1397 1290 54.75% 21.58% 23.67%+0.61 -20.6 35
2010-03-13 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 3-148.6 1290 1397 23.67% 21.58% 54.75%-0.61 +20.6 33
2010-03-13 Drava Ptuj W 3-246.2 1422 1249 61.83% 20.52% 17.65%+0.95 +4.3 45
2010-03-13 @ Maribor L 2-346.2 1249 1422 17.65% 20.52% 61.83%-0.95 -4.3 21
2010-03-13 Interblock Ljubljana L 1-247.6 1291 1291 40.75% 22.38% 36.87%+0.06 -9.2 35
2010-03-13 @ Rudar Velenje W 2-147.6 1291 1291 36.87% 22.38% 40.75%-0.06 +9.2 29
2010-03-13 Luka Koper L 0-139.5 1319 1417 27.78% 21.99% 50.22%-0.44 -7.2 30
2010-03-13 @ Domzale W 1-039.5 1417 1319 50.22% 21.99% 27.78%+0.44 +7.2 50
2010-03-14 Gorica L 0-143.2 1361 1363 40.47% 22.38% 37.15%+0.05 -9.8 38
2010-03-14 @ Nafta W 1-043.2 1363 1361 37.15% 22.38% 40.47%-0.05 +9.8 33
2010-03-20 Domzale W 1-041.1 1310 1312 40.46% 22.38% 37.16%+0.05 +9.1 36
2010-03-20 @ Celje L 0-141.1 1312 1310 37.16% 22.38% 40.46%-0.05 -9.1 30
2010-03-20 Maribor L 0-138.3 1301 1427 24.60% 21.69% 53.71%-0.59 -6.5 29
2010-03-20 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 1-038.3 1427 1301 53.71% 21.69% 24.60%+0.59 +6.5 48
2010-03-20 Olimpija Ljubljana D 0-050.8 1245 1376 23.96% 21.61% 54.42%-0.62 +1.8 22
2010-03-20 @ Drava Ptuj D 0-050.8 1376 1245 54.42% 21.61% 23.96%+0.62 -1.8 36
2010-03-20 Rudar Velenje W 2-143.4 1372 1282 52.68% 21.79% 25.53%+0.52 +6.3 36
2010-03-20 @ Gorica L 1-243.4 1282 1372 25.53% 21.79% 52.68%-0.52 -6.3 35
2010-03-21 Nafta W 2-035.9 1424 1351 50.59% 21.97% 27.44%+0.43 +13.4 53
2010-03-21 @ Luka Koper L 0-235.9 1351 1424 27.44% 21.97% 50.59%-0.43 -13.4 38
2010-03-27 Domzale W 2-148.6 1246 1303 32.86% 22.28% 44.85%-0.23 +10.0 25
2010-03-27 @ Drava Ptuj L 1-248.6 1303 1246 44.85% 22.28% 32.86%+0.23 -10.0 30
2010-03-27 Maribor D 3-368.0 1379 1433 33.16% 22.29% 44.55%-0.22 +0.4 37
2010-03-27 @ Gorica D 3-368.0 1433 1379 44.55% 22.29% 33.16%+0.22 -0.3 49
2010-03-27 Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-150.4 1294 1375 29.82% 22.14% 48.05%-0.35 +10.6 32
2010-03-27 @ Interblock Ljubljana L 1-250.4 1375 1294 48.05% 22.14% 29.82%+0.35 -10.6 36
2010-03-27 Rudar Velenje W 2-034.3 1337 1276 49.11% 22.07% 28.82%+0.37 +14.0 41
2010-03-27 @ Nafta L 0-234.3 1276 1337 28.82% 22.07% 49.11%-0.37 -14.0 35
2010-03-28 Luka Koper L 1-340.9 1319 1437 25.43% 21.78% 52.79%-0.55 -10.9 36
2010-03-28 @ Celje W 3-140.9 1437 1319 52.79% 21.78% 25.43%+0.55 +10.9 56
2010-03-31 Maribor L 0-234.4 1308 1433 24.76% 21.71% 53.53%-0.58 -12.3 36
2010-03-31 @ Celje W 2-034.4 1433 1308 53.53% 21.71% 24.76%+0.58 +12.3 52
2010-03-31 Nafta W 3-145.5 1293 1351 32.64% 22.27% 45.08%-0.24 +17.4 33
2010-03-31 @ Domzale L 1-345.5 1351 1293 45.08% 22.27% 32.64%+0.24 -17.4 41
2010-03-31 Gorica L 0-534.4 1305 1379 30.61% 22.18% 47.21%-0.32 -34.4 32
2010-03-31 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 5-034.4 1379 1305 47.21% 22.18% 30.61%+0.32 +34.4 40
2010-03-31 Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-040.5 1448 1364 51.96% 21.86% 26.18%+0.49 +6.9 59
2010-03-31 @ Luka Koper L 0-140.5 1364 1448 26.18% 21.86% 51.96%-0.49 -6.9 36
2010-03-31 Rudar Velenje L 0-141.3 1256 1262 39.97% 22.38% 37.65%+0.03 -9.7 25
2010-03-31 @ Drava Ptuj W 1-041.3 1262 1256 37.65% 22.38% 39.97%-0.03 +9.6 38
2010-04-03 Drava Ptuj D 1-156.7 1455 1247 65.15% 19.82% 15.04%+1.13 -2.8 60
2010-04-03 @ Luka Koper D 1-156.7 1247 1455 15.04% 19.82% 65.15%-1.13 +2.8 26
2010-04-03 Interblock Ljubljana W 2-144.7 1310 1270 46.29% 22.23% 31.49%+0.26 +7.5 36
2010-04-03 @ Domzale L 1-244.7 1270 1310 31.49% 22.23% 46.29%-0.26 -7.5 32
2010-04-03 Nafta W 3-253.7 1296 1334 35.37% 22.35% 42.27%-0.14 +9.0 39
2010-04-03 @ Celje L 2-353.7 1334 1296 42.27% 22.35% 35.37%+0.14 -9.0 41
2010-04-03 Gorica W 5-040.0 1357 1413 32.94% 22.29% 44.78%-0.23 +46.7 39
2010-04-03 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-540.0 1413 1357 44.78% 22.29% 32.94%+0.23 -46.6 40
2010-04-03 Rudar Velenje L 0-149.0 1445 1272 61.84% 20.52% 17.64%+0.95 -14.1 52
2010-04-03 @ Maribor W 1-049.0 1272 1445 17.64% 20.52% 61.84%-0.95 +14.1 41
2010-04-10 Celje L 0-139.4 1250 1305 33.01% 22.29% 44.70%-0.23 -8.3 26
2010-04-10 @ Drava Ptuj W 1-039.4 1305 1250 44.70% 22.29% 33.01%+0.23 +8.3 42
2010-04-10 Domzale L 2-355.7 1367 1318 47.44% 22.17% 30.39%+0.31 -9.9 40
2010-04-10 @ Gorica W 3-255.7 1318 1367 30.39% 22.17% 47.44%-0.31 +9.9 39
2010-04-10 Luka Koper L 0-530.7 1263 1452 18.54% 20.72% 60.74%-0.91 -22.1 32
2010-04-10 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 5-030.7 1452 1263 60.74% 20.72% 18.54%+0.91 +22.1 63
2010-04-10 Maribor W 3-148.7 1325 1431 26.80% 21.91% 51.28%-0.48 +19.4 44
2010-04-10 @ Nafta L 1-348.7 1431 1325 51.28% 21.91% 26.80%+0.48 -19.4 52
2010-04-10 Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-339.9 1286 1404 25.41% 21.78% 52.81%-0.55 -10.9 41
2010-04-10 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-139.9 1404 1286 52.81% 21.78% 25.41%+0.55 +10.9 42
2010-04-16 Maribor D 1-158.2 1415 1411 41.22% 22.37% 36.40%+0.08 -0.2 43
2010-04-16 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-158.2 1411 1415 36.40% 22.37% 41.22%-0.08 +0.2 53
2010-04-17 Interblock Ljubljana W 5-135.4 1313 1241 50.53% 21.97% 27.50%+0.43 +21.3 45
2010-04-17 @ Celje L 1-535.4 1241 1313 27.50% 21.97% 50.53%-0.43 -21.3 32
2010-04-17 Nafta D 0-050.4 1241 1344 27.11% 21.94% 50.95%-0.47 +1.4 27
2010-04-17 @ Drava Ptuj D 0-050.4 1344 1241 50.95% 21.94% 27.11%+0.47 -1.4 45
2010-04-17 Gorica W 3-250.8 1475 1357 55.94% 21.44% 22.62%+0.66 +5.4 66
2010-04-17 @ Luka Koper L 2-350.8 1357 1475 22.62% 21.44% 55.94%-0.66 -5.4 40
2010-04-17 Rudar Velenje D 1-155.0 1328 1275 48.03% 22.14% 29.84%+0.33 -0.9 40
2010-04-17 @ Domzale D 1-155.0 1275 1328 29.84% 22.14% 48.03%-0.33 +0.9 42
2010-04-24 Celje W 3-034.6 1351 1335 43.10% 22.34% 34.56%+0.15 +23.6 43
2010-04-24 @ Gorica L 0-334.6 1335 1351 34.56% 22.34% 43.10%-0.15 -23.6 45
2010-04-24 Domzale D 1-156.6 1412 1327 52.03% 21.85% 26.12%+0.49 -1.3 54
2010-04-24 @ Maribor D 1-156.6 1327 1412 26.12% 21.85% 52.03%-0.49 +1.3 41
2010-04-24 Drava Ptuj L 0-236.2 1219 1243 37.44% 22.38% 40.18%-0.06 -17.3 32
2010-04-24 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 2-036.2 1243 1219 40.18% 22.38% 37.44%+0.06 +17.3 30
2010-04-24 Luka Koper L 0-232.0 1276 1480 17.34% 20.45% 62.21%-0.99 -8.9 42
2010-04-24 @ Rudar Velenje W 2-032.0 1480 1276 62.21% 20.45% 17.34%+0.99 +8.9 69
2010-04-25 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-140.9 1343 1415 30.94% 22.20% 46.87%-0.31 -7.9 45
2010-04-25 @ Nafta W 1-040.9 1415 1343 46.87% 22.20% 30.94%+0.31 +7.9 46
2010-04-30 Maribor D 0-056.0 1489 1410 51.26% 21.91% 26.83%+0.46 -1.4 70
2010-04-30 @ Luka Koper D 0-056.0 1410 1489 26.83% 21.91% 51.26%-0.46 +1.4 55
2010-04-30 Nafta D 1-154.8 1202 1335 23.84% 21.60% 54.56%-0.62 +1.6 33
2010-04-30 @ Interblock Ljubljana D 1-154.8 1335 1202 54.56% 21.60% 23.84%+0.62 -1.6 46
2010-04-30 Gorica L 2-443.5 1260 1375 25.77% 21.81% 52.42%-0.53 -9.9 30
2010-04-30 @ Drava Ptuj W 4-243.5 1375 1260 52.42% 21.81% 25.77%+0.53 +9.9 46
2010-04-30 Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-245.5 1328 1422 28.17% 22.02% 49.81%-0.42 -6.9 41
2010-04-30 @ Domzale W 2-145.5 1422 1328 49.81% 22.02% 28.17%+0.42 +6.9 49
2010-04-30 Rudar Velenje D 0-050.3 1311 1267 46.86% 22.20% 30.95%+0.29 -0.9 46
2010-04-30 @ Celje D 0-050.3 1267 1311 30.95% 22.20% 46.86%-0.29 +0.9 43
2010-05-04 Celje D 1-156.4 1412 1310 54.06% 21.65% 24.28%+0.58 -1.6 56
2010-05-04 @ Maribor D 1-156.4 1310 1412 24.28% 21.65% 54.06%-0.58 +1.6 47
2010-05-05 Domzale W 2-036.6 1334 1321 42.45% 22.35% 35.20%+0.12 +16.5 49
2010-05-05 @ Nafta L 0-236.6 1321 1334 35.20% 22.35% 42.45%-0.12 -16.5 41
2010-05-05 Drava Ptuj W 4-245.6 1268 1250 43.22% 22.33% 34.44%+0.15 +12.5 46
2010-05-05 @ Rudar Velenje L 2-445.6 1250 1268 34.44% 22.33% 43.22%-0.15 -12.5 30
2010-05-05 Interblock Ljubljana W 6-131.7 1385 1204 62.59% 20.37% 17.03%+0.99 +16.9 49
2010-05-05 @ Gorica L 1-631.7 1204 1385 17.03% 20.37% 62.59%-0.99 -16.9 33
2010-05-05 Luka Koper W 3-151.1 1429 1487 32.67% 22.28% 45.05%-0.24 +17.4 52
2010-05-05 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-351.1 1487 1429 45.05% 22.28% 32.67%+0.24 -17.4 70
2010-05-11 Domzale L 1-351.6 1470 1305 61.01% 20.68% 18.31%+0.91 -22.7 70
2010-05-11 @ Luka Koper W 3-151.6 1305 1470 18.31% 20.68% 61.01%-0.91 +22.7 44
2010-05-11 Maribor L 0-135.8 1237 1410 20.00% 21.01% 58.99%-0.83 -5.4 30
2010-05-11 @ Drava Ptuj W 1-035.8 1410 1237 58.99% 21.01% 20.00%+0.83 +5.4 59
2010-05-11 Nafta W 3-142.3 1402 1350 47.84% 22.15% 30.01%+0.32 +12.5 52
2010-05-11 @ Gorica L 1-342.3 1350 1402 30.01% 22.15% 47.84%-0.32 -12.5 49
2010-05-11 Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-047.8 1312 1447 23.64% 21.57% 54.79%-0.63 +12.6 50
2010-05-11 @ Celje L 0-147.8 1447 1312 54.79% 21.57% 23.64%+0.63 -12.6 52
2010-05-11 Rudar Velenje L 0-137.6 1187 1280 28.26% 22.03% 49.71%-0.42 -7.3 33
2010-05-11 @ Interblock Ljubljana W 1-037.6 1280 1187 49.71% 22.03% 28.26%+0.42 +7.3 49
2010-05-16 Celje D 2-261.3 1328 1324 41.23% 22.37% 36.40%+0.08 -0.2 45
2010-05-16 @ Domzale D 2-261.3 1324 1328 36.40% 22.37% 41.23%-0.08 +0.2 51
2010-05-16 Drava Ptuj W 2-030.1 1434 1232 64.56% 19.95% 15.48%+1.09 +8.0 55
2010-05-16 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-230.1 1232 1434 15.48% 19.95% 64.56%-1.09 -8.0 30
2010-05-16 Interblock Ljubljana W 1-032.8 1416 1179 67.56% 19.20% 13.24%+1.27 +3.6 62
2010-05-16 @ Maribor L 0-132.8 1179 1416 13.24% 19.20% 67.56%-1.27 -3.6 33
2010-05-16 Luka Koper L 1-245.6 1337 1447 26.34% 21.87% 51.78%-0.50 -6.5 49
2010-05-16 @ Nafta W 2-145.6 1447 1337 51.78% 21.87% 26.34%+0.50 +6.5 73
2010-05-16 Gorica L 2-348.9 1287 1414 24.49% 21.68% 53.83%-0.59 -5.8 49
2010-05-16 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-248.9 1414 1287 53.83% 21.68% 24.49%+0.59 +5.8 55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2010-04-03 17.64% Rudar Velenje 1272 1 @ Maribor 1445 0
2 2010-05-11 18.31% Domzale 1305 3 @ Luka Koper 1470 1
3 2009-12-02 22.30% Rudar Velenje 1301 1 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1422 0
4 2009-10-31 22.68% Drava Ptuj 1273 3 @ Rudar Velenje 1390 0
5 2009-09-23 22.82% @ Nafta 1270 5 Rudar Velenje 1413 2
6 2010-05-11 23.64% @ Celje 1312 1 Olimpija Ljubljana 1447 0
7 2010-03-13 23.67% Celje 1290 3 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1397 1
8 2009-10-24 25.99% @ Nafta 1293 1 Olimpija Ljubljana 1406 0
9 2009-11-07 26.73% Domzale 1327 1 @ Luka Koper 1406 0
10 2010-04-10 26.80% @ Nafta 1325 3 Maribor 1431 1
11 2009-08-30 26.81% @ Drava Ptuj 1299 1 Rudar Velenje 1405 0
12 2009-11-21 27.00% @ Nafta 1290 3 Luka Koper 1394 1
13 2009-12-02 27.00% Nafta 1319 2 @ Maribor 1396 1
14 2009-10-17 27.89% Maribor 1348 1 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1417 0
15 2009-10-28 28.31% Maribor 1349 3 @ Luka Koper 1415 1
16 2010-02-27 29.08% @ Drava Ptuj 1236 3 Interblock Ljubljana 1323 1
17 2009-08-22 29.38% Drava Ptuj 1289 2 @ Gorica 1345 1
18 2009-09-19 29.55% Domzale 1292 3 @ Celje 1348 2
19 2010-03-27 29.82% @ Interblock Ljubljana 1294 2 Olimpija Ljubljana 1375 1
20 2010-04-10 30.39% Domzale 1318 3 @ Gorica 1367 2
21 2009-10-17 30.88% @ Domzale 1304 2 Rudar Velenje 1376 0
22 2009-10-24 32.16% Domzale 1325 2 @ Maribor 1360 1
23 2009-09-27 32.63% @ Domzale 1293 1 Interblock Ljubljana 1352 0
24 2010-03-31 32.64% @ Domzale 1293 3 Nafta 1351 1
25 2010-05-05 32.67% @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1429 3 Luka Koper 1487 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-04-03 46.65 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 5 1357 32.94% Gorica 0 1413 44.78% 22.29%
2 2009-10-31 35.12 Drava Ptuj 3 1273 22.68% @ Rudar Velenje 0 1390 55.88% 21.45%
3 2009-10-28 34.69 Rudar Velenje 4 1356 37.41% @ Celje 0 1352 40.21% 22.38%
4 2010-03-31 34.40 Gorica 5 1379 47.21% @ Interblock Ljubljana 0 1305 30.61% 22.18%
5 2009-11-22 30.85 Celje 5 1319 34.09% @ Domzale 1 1339 43.59% 22.32%
6 2009-12-12 30.22 @ Luka Koper 4 1381 43.94% Celje 0 1358 33.74% 22.31%
7 2009-11-21 28.36 Gorica 3 1318 34.05% @ Rudar Velenje 0 1339 43.63% 22.32%
8 2009-10-03 27.91 Olimpija Ljubljana 3 1389 34.86% @ Rudar Velenje 0 1404 42.80% 22.34%
9 2009-09-23 25.58 @ Nafta 5 1270 22.82% Rudar Velenje 2 1413 55.72% 21.47%
10 2010-04-24 23.58 @ Gorica 3 1351 43.10% Celje 0 1335 34.56% 22.34%
11 2009-09-20 23.38 Olimpija Ljubljana 3 1358 43.49% @ Drava Ptuj 0 1312 34.19% 22.33%
12 2010-05-11 22.69 Domzale 3 1305 18.31% @ Luka Koper 1 1470 61.01% 20.68%
13 2009-07-31 22.65 Gorica 4 1350 36.84% @ Domzale 1 1350 40.79% 22.38%
14 2010-02-27 22.24 Gorica 4 1334 37.77% @ Celje 1 1328 39.85% 22.38%
15 2010-04-10 22.15 Luka Koper 5 1452 60.74% @ Interblock Ljubljana 0 1263 18.54% 20.72%
16 2010-04-17 21.28 @ Celje 5 1313 50.53% Interblock Ljubljana 1 1241 27.50% 21.97%
17 2009-10-17 20.75 @ Domzale 2 1304 30.88% Rudar Velenje 0 1376 46.93% 22.20%
18 2010-03-13 20.57 Celje 3 1290 23.67% @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1397 54.75% 21.58%
19 2010-04-10 19.40 @ Nafta 3 1325 26.80% Maribor 1 1431 51.28% 21.91%
20 2009-11-21 19.33 @ Nafta 3 1290 27.00% Luka Koper 1 1394 51.07% 21.93%
21 2009-10-28 18.86 Maribor 3 1349 28.31% @ Luka Koper 1 1415 49.66% 22.03%
22 2010-02-27 18.59 @ Drava Ptuj 3 1236 29.08% Interblock Ljubljana 1 1323 48.83% 22.09%
23 2009-12-02 18.36 @ Celje 3 1350 52.66% Drava Ptuj 0 1260 25.55% 21.79%
24 2009-08-09 18.26 @ Rudar Velenje 4 1371 46.70% Domzale 1 1327 31.09% 22.21%
25 2009-12-09 18.08 Domzale 2 1307 37.98% @ Rudar Velenje 0 1299 39.63% 22.39%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-03-27 68.0 @ Gorica 3 1379 33.16% Maribor 3 1433 44.55% 22.29%
2 2009-10-31 65.9 @ Maribor 3 1368 47.75% Celje 3 1317 30.10% 22.15%
3 2010-03-06 64.6 @ Maribor 2 1422 41.57% Luka Koper 2 1417 36.06% 22.37%
4 2009-10-24 63.1 @ Rudar Velenje 2 1355 32.36% Luka Koper 2 1416 45.38% 22.26%
5 2009-08-15 62.9 @ Luka Koper 2 1378 39.22% Rudar Velenje 2 1389 38.40% 22.39%
6 2009-07-17 61.6 @ Domzale 2 1350 44.02% Drava Ptuj 2 1327 33.67% 22.31%
7 2009-09-12 61.5 @ Maribor 2 1353 46.58% Drava Ptuj 2 1311 31.20% 22.21%
8 2010-05-16 61.3 @ Domzale 2 1328 41.23% Celje 2 1324 36.40% 22.37%
9 2009-07-25 61.2 @ Nafta 2 1300 36.06% Celje 2 1333 41.57% 22.37%
10 2009-10-31 61.2 @ Nafta 2 1305 37.60% Domzale 2 1327 40.01% 22.38%
11 2009-09-26 61.1 @ Celje 2 1330 45.49% Nafta 2 1295 32.25% 22.26%
12 2010-04-16 58.2 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1415 41.22% Maribor 1 1411 36.40% 22.37%
13 2009-12-05 56.7 @ Gorica 1 1342 31.54% Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1409 46.24% 22.23%
14 2010-04-03 56.7 @ Luka Koper 1 1455 65.15% Drava Ptuj 1 1247 15.04% 19.82%
15 2010-04-24 56.6 @ Maribor 1 1412 52.03% Domzale 1 1327 26.12% 21.85%
16 2010-05-04 56.4 @ Maribor 1 1412 54.06% Celje 1 1310 24.28% 21.65%
17 2009-10-17 56.3 @ Luka Koper 1 1418 56.77% Gorica 1 1292 21.89% 21.33%
18 2010-03-06 56.2 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1398 51.48% Domzale 1 1318 26.63% 21.90%
19 2009-10-31 56.1 @ Gorica 4 1295 36.35% Interblock Ljubljana 3 1326 41.28% 22.37%
20 2009-11-07 56.0 @ Celje 1 1318 30.68% Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1391 47.13% 22.19%
21 2010-04-30 56.0 @ Luka Koper 0 1489 51.26% Maribor 0 1410 26.83% 21.91%
22 2009-09-27 55.9 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1391 53.87% Gorica 1 1291 24.45% 21.67%
23 2009-09-11 55.8 @ Domzale 1 1291 27.03% Luka Koper 1 1395 51.04% 21.93%
24 2010-04-10 55.7 Domzale 3 1318 30.39% @ Gorica 2 1367 47.44% 22.17%
25 2009-09-19 55.5 Domzale 3 1292 29.55% @ Celje 2 1348 48.33% 22.12%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-05-16 30.1 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1434 64.56% Drava Ptuj 0 1232 15.48% 19.95%
2 2010-04-10 30.7 Luka Koper 5 1452 60.74% @ Interblock Ljubljana 0 1263 18.54% 20.72%
3 2009-12-02 31.0 @ Celje 3 1350 52.66% Drava Ptuj 0 1260 25.55% 21.79%
4 2009-11-21 31.4 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 3 1391 53.60% Drava Ptuj 0 1293 24.70% 21.70%
5 2010-05-05 31.7 @ Gorica 6 1385 62.59% Interblock Ljubljana 1 1204 17.03% 20.37%
6 2010-04-24 32.0 Luka Koper 2 1480 62.21% @ Rudar Velenje 0 1276 17.34% 20.45%
7 2010-05-16 32.8 @ Maribor 1 1416 67.56% Interblock Ljubljana 0 1179 13.24% 19.20%
8 2009-09-20 34.3 Olimpija Ljubljana 3 1358 43.49% @ Drava Ptuj 0 1312 34.19% 22.33%
9 2010-03-27 34.3 @ Nafta 2 1337 49.11% Rudar Velenje 0 1276 28.82% 22.07%
10 2010-03-31 34.4 Maribor 2 1433 53.53% @ Celje 0 1308 24.76% 21.71%
11 2010-03-31 34.4 Gorica 5 1379 47.21% @ Interblock Ljubljana 0 1305 30.61% 22.18%
12 2010-04-24 34.6 @ Gorica 3 1351 43.10% Celje 0 1335 34.56% 22.34%
13 2009-12-12 35.1 @ Luka Koper 4 1381 43.94% Celje 0 1358 33.74% 22.31%
14 2009-11-28 35.2 @ Domzale 2 1308 45.34% Drava Ptuj 0 1275 32.40% 22.26%
15 2009-11-28 35.2 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1408 50.81% Interblock Ljubljana 0 1334 27.24% 21.95%
16 2010-04-17 35.4 @ Celje 5 1313 50.53% Interblock Ljubljana 1 1241 27.50% 21.97%
17 2009-12-06 35.8 Maribor 2 1385 46.88% @ Rudar Velenje 0 1314 30.92% 22.20%
18 2010-05-11 35.8 Maribor 1 1410 58.99% @ Drava Ptuj 0 1237 20.00% 21.01%
19 2010-03-21 35.9 @ Luka Koper 2 1424 50.59% Nafta 0 1351 27.44% 21.97%
20 2009-08-16 36.0 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1323 43.59% Nafta 0 1303 34.09% 22.32%
21 2009-11-08 36.0 Maribor 2 1368 45.24% @ Drava Ptuj 0 1308 32.50% 22.27%
22 2010-04-24 36.2 Drava Ptuj 2 1243 40.18% @ Interblock Ljubljana 0 1219 37.44% 22.38%
23 2009-07-19 36.3 @ Rudar Velenje 2 1336 43.55% Nafta 0 1317 34.13% 22.32%
24 2009-10-28 36.6 Rudar Velenje 4 1356 37.41% @ Celje 0 1352 40.21% 22.38%
25 2010-05-05 36.6 @ Nafta 2 1334 42.45% Domzale 0 1321 35.20% 22.35%