2010-11 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Maribor

75 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Domzale

11.42 points above expected

67 points · 55.58 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Primorje

8.31 points below expected

31 points · 39.31 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Maribor	36	21	12	3	75	65	25	+40	65.18	+9.82
2	Domzale	36	20	7	9	67	57	35	+22	55.58	+11.42
3	Luka Koper	36	17	9	10	60	57	43	+14	57.74	+2.26
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	36	15	10	11	55	59	43	+16	54.90	+0.10
5	Gorica	36	13	9	14	48	42	53	-11	47.37	+0.63
6	Rudar Velenje	36	12	10	14	46	58	50	+8	47.40	-1.40
7	Triglav	36	10	9	17	39	38	59	-21	40.13	-1.13
8	Celje	36	9	10	17	37	41	55	-14	42.34	-5.34
9	Nafta	36	10	7	19	37	47	67	-20	45.06	-8.06
10	Primorje	36	8	7	21	31	40	74	-34	39.31	-8.31

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Domzale	67	55.58	+11.42
2	Maribor	75	65.18	+9.82
3	Luka Koper	60	57.74	+2.26
4	Gorica	48	47.37	+0.63
5	Olimpija Ljubljana	55	54.90	+0.10

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Primorje	31	39.31	-8.31
2	Nafta	37	45.06	-8.06
3	Celje	37	42.34	-5.34
4	Rudar Velenje	46	47.40	-1.40
5	Triglav	39	40.13	-1.13

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Domzale	5	Aug 14 – Sep 22	1 in 73
2	Rudar Velenje	4	Mar 16 – Apr 5	1 in 48
3	Luka Koper	4	Nov 13 – Feb 26	1 in 36
4	Gorica	3	Apr 5 – Apr 16	1 in 25
5	Maribor	4	Aug 1 – Aug 29	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Nafta	5	Nov 20 – Mar 12	1 in 156
2	Primorje	4	Oct 23 – Nov 6	1 in 75
3	Luka Koper	4	Aug 29 – Sep 22	1 in 73
4	Triglav	5	Apr 2 – Apr 22	1 in 41
5	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	Aug 22 – Sep 10	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Maribor	20	Jul 18 – Feb 26	1 in 349
2	Olimpija Ljubljana	15	Nov 20 – May 7	1 in 179
3	Luka Koper	11	Apr 2 – May 21	1 in 48
4	Rudar Velenje	6	Oct 23 – Feb 22	1 in 25
5	Triglav	4	May 11 – May 29	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Nafta	12	Sep 26 – Mar 12	1 in 330
2	Olimpija Ljubljana	7	Jul 18 – Sep 10	1 in 41
3	Maribor	4	May 4 – May 14	1 in 26
4	Triglav	10	Mar 16 – May 8	1 in 21
5	Primorje	10	Mar 6 – Apr 30	1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Maribor	1504	75	+7	9	9.9	-0.9
Domzale	1421	67	+19	9	7.6	+1.4
Luka Koper	1419	60	+1	8	8.0	-0.0
Olimpija Ljubljana	1414	55	-32	6	9.2	-3.2
Gorica	1300	48	+7	8	6.6	+1.4
Rudar Velenje	1349	46	-8	5	8.3	-3.3
Triglav	1276	39	+47	10	5.2	+4.8
Nafta	1227	37	-29	5	5.0	-0.0
Celje	1270	37	-17	2	5.5	-3.5
Primorje	1178	31	+5	6	3.6	+2.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CEL	DOM	GOR	LK	MAR	NAF	OL	PRI	RV	TRI
Celje	—	0-1-3 4.39	2-2-0 5.01	1-0-3 4.13	0-1-3 3.20	1-2-1 5.28	0-1-3 4.33	2-0-2 6.05	2-0-2 5.18	1-3-0 5.70
Domzale	3-1-0 6.61	—	3-0-1 6.36	1-0-3 5.50	0-2-2 4.44	2-1-1 6.38	3-1-0 5.55	2-2-0 6.92	2-0-2 6.46	4-0-0 6.98
Gorica	0-2-2 5.95	1-0-3 4.61	—	0-3-1 4.60	1-0-3 3.96	3-0-1 5.77	0-2-2 4.97	4-0-0 6.56	2-2-0 5.22	2-0-2 6.19
Luka Koper	3-0-1 6.87	3-0-1 5.45	1-3-0 6.37	—	1-1-2 4.23	2-0-2 6.88	3-0-1 5.32	2-1-1 7.00	2-1-1 6.50	0-3-1 7.10
Maribor	3-1-0 7.87	2-2-0 6.54	3-0-1 7.06	2-1-1 6.77	—	2-1-1 7.55	1-3-0 6.76	2-2-0 8.53	3-1-0 7.25	3-1-0 7.59
Nafta	1-2-1 5.68	1-1-2 4.61	1-0-3 5.19	2-0-2 4.13	1-1-2 3.50	—	1-0-3 4.54	2-0-2 6.19	0-2-2 5.02	1-1-2 6.04
Olimpija Ljubljana	3-1-0 6.68	0-1-3 5.41	2-2-0 6.01	1-0-3 5.63	0-3-1 4.22	3-0-1 6.45	—	2-1-1 7.49	1-2-1 6.40	3-0-1 6.92
Primorje	2-0-2 4.94	0-2-2 4.12	0-0-4 4.43	1-1-2 4.02	0-2-2 2.62	2-0-2 4.77	1-1-2 3.58	—	1-1-2 4.97	1-0-3 5.30
Rudar Velenje	2-0-2 5.78	2-0-2 4.52	0-2-2 5.74	1-1-2 4.47	0-1-3 3.77	2-2-0 5.97	1-2-1 4.57	2-1-1 6.03	—	2-1-1 6.04
Triglav	0-3-1 5.27	0-0-4 4.01	2-0-2 4.77	1-3-0 3.91	0-1-3 3.46	2-1-1 4.92	1-0-3 4.10	3-0-1 5.67	1-1-2 4.93	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.71	+12.4
Allowed	0.93	-9.5
Differential	0.91	+5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	8.33%	5.83%	3.06%	1.11%	1.67%	30.00%
1	8.33%	8.33%	5.83%	4.72%	2.22%	0.56%	30.00%
2	5.83%	5.83%	5.00%	2.78%	1.11%	—	20.56%
3	3.06%	4.72%	2.78%	1.67%	—	0.28%	12.50%
4	1.11%	2.22%	1.11%	—	—	—	4.44%
5+	1.67%	0.56%	—	0.28%	—	—	2.50%
Total	30.00%	30.00%	20.56%	12.50%	4.44%	2.50%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.40	1.40	+0.00
SD	1.33	1.33	1.95
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	41.67%
1	8.33%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	33.33%	13.89%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.53	-0.39
SD	1.27	1.54	1.82
CV	1.11	1.01	—
Max	5	7	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
2	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	47.22%	19.44%	22.22%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	0.97	+0.61
SD	1.18	1.08	1.52
CV	0.75	1.11	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	38.89%
1	11.11%	5.56%	—	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	36.11%	22.22%	16.67%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.47	-0.31
SD	1.21	1.28	1.79
CV	1.03	0.87	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	25.00%
1	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
2	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
Total	30.56%	36.11%	19.44%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.19	+0.39
SD	1.48	1.09	1.79
CV	0.94	0.91	—
Max	7	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
1	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	19.44%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	36.11%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	50.00%	33.33%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.81	0.69	+1.11
SD	1.43	0.82	1.67
CV	0.79	1.18	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	—	30.56%
1	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	30.56%
2	—	8.33%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	25.00%	27.78%	16.67%	13.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.86	-0.56
SD	1.19	1.29	1.83
CV	0.91	0.69	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
1	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	30.56%
2	2.78%	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	33.33%	30.56%	25.00%	8.33%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.19	+0.44
SD	1.46	1.17	2.03
CV	0.89	0.98	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	—	5.56%	36.11%
1	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	11.11%	—	36.11%
2	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	16.67%	22.22%	25.00%	19.44%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	2.06	-0.94
SD	1.21	1.51	2.06
CV	1.09	0.73	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	—	30.56%
1	2.78%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	27.78%
2	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
3	—	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	19.44%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	22.22%	41.67%	19.44%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.39	+0.22
SD	1.59	1.20	2.02
CV	0.99	0.87	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	8.33%	33.33%
1	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	41.67%
2	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	22.22%	16.67%	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.64	-0.58
SD	1.04	1.64	2.14
CV	0.99	1.00	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Maribor	1504	75	65.18	+9.82	89.0%	43	50	59	65	71	78	83
Domzale	1421	67	55.58	+11.42	94.0%	37	41	50	55	61	68	75
Luka Koper	1419	60	57.74	+2.26	64.0%	37	46	52	58	63	68	73
Olimpija Ljubljana	1414	55	54.90	+0.10	56.0%	37	42	50	54	61	66	74
Rudar Velenje	1349	46	47.40	-1.40	43.0%	30	34	43	47	52	58	72
Gorica	1300	48	47.37	+0.63	54.0%	28	34	42	47	52	58	65
Triglav	1276	39	40.13	-1.13	49.0%	21	29	34	40	44	53	62
Celje	1270	37	42.34	-5.34	30.0%	24	28	36	41	48	55	70
Nafta	1227	37	45.06	-8.06	15.0%	25	30	40	45	50	55	65
Primorje	1178	31	39.31	-8.31	12.0%	23	28	35	39	44	49	53

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+17.22%

Clear Edge

46.11%25.00%28.89%

Elo Value

Home Edge

165 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

060.44500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.37 goals

Neutral

-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.7

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

57%

Maribor, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.22/gm

Comfortable

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.07 * Some Luck: 6.07 to 9.11 * Lucky: 9.11 to 12.14 * Wild Swing: 12.14 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.28 * Close: 1.28 to 1.92 * Off: 1.92 to 2.56 * Way Off: 2.56 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.31 points

Some Luck

07.5919

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.80

Pinpoint

01.604

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

94.00%

Domzale

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

12.00%

Primorje

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Even

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 102.50

1.83

Moderate Separation

11.82.052.75

Interquartile Edge

70%

Clear Edge

50%63.5%72%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

87%

Clear Edge

50%87%100%

Close Games

Expected

59%

Some Drama

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Occasional

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.29

Very Even

00.310.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.66

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.41

Weak Carryover

00.420.630.791

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.08

Borderline

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.15

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.117

Well Within Noise

00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Maribor	57.00%	23.00%	9.00%	6.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Domzale	11.00%	23.00%	20.00%	11.00%	13.00%	9.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Luka Koper	16.00%	29.00%	22.00%	11.00%	13.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	11.00%	15.00%	21.00%	26.00%	10.00%	5.00%	8.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—
Gorica	1.00%	5.00%	10.00%	11.00%	15.00%	12.00%	21.00%	11.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Rudar Velenje	2.00%	1.00%	7.00%	13.00%	21.00%	19.00%	13.00%	13.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Triglav	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	11.00%	7.00%	25.00%	22.00%	27.00%
Celje	—	2.00%	6.00%	9.00%	9.00%	9.00%	11.00%	14.00%	21.00%	19.00%
Nafta	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	15.00%	18.00%	18.00%	12.00%	15.00%	11.00%
Primorje	—	—	—	4.00%	2.00%	10.00%	14.00%	18.00%	20.00%	32.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Luka Koper	99.00%	1.00%	—
Maribor	100%	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	97.00%	3.00%	—
Domzale	96.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Rudar Velenje	89.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Gorica	86.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Nafta	74.00%	15.00%	11.00%
Celje	60.00%	21.00%	19.00%
Triglav	51.00%	22.00%	27.00%
Primorje	48.00%	20.00%	32.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2010-07-16	Primorje	W 4-1	38.8	1371	1322	51.50%	25.17%	23.32%	+0.66	+12.3	3
2010-07-16	@ Luka Koper	L 1-4	38.8	1322	1371	23.32%	25.17%	51.50%	-0.66	-12.3	0
2010-07-17	Domzale	L 0-1	45.4	1312	1313	44.98%	26.11%	28.91%	+0.36	-9.0	0
2010-07-17	@ Celje	W 1-0	45.4	1313	1312	28.91%	26.11%	44.98%	-0.36	+9.0	3
2010-07-18	Nafta	W 1-0	39.3	1359	1315	50.87%	25.29%	23.84%	+0.63	+5.5	3
2010-07-18	@ Gorica	L 0-1	39.3	1315	1359	23.84%	25.29%	50.87%	-0.63	-5.5	0
2010-07-18	Rudar Velenje	L 1-3	50.6	1374	1292	55.47%	24.30%	20.24%	+0.86	-17.5	0
2010-07-18	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 3-1	50.6	1292	1374	20.24%	24.30%	55.47%	-0.86	+17.5	3
2010-07-18	Triglav	W 5-0	35.0	1357	1341	47.22%	25.86%	26.92%	+0.46	+26.6	3
2010-07-18	@ Maribor	L 0-5	35.0	1341	1357	26.92%	25.86%	47.22%	-0.46	-26.6	0
2010-07-24	Celje	D 1-1	53.7	1315	1303	46.73%	25.92%	27.35%	+0.44	-0.8	1
2010-07-24	@ Triglav	D 1-1	53.7	1303	1315	27.35%	25.92%	46.73%	-0.44	+0.8	1
2010-07-24	Luka Koper	W 2-0	40.7	1322	1383	36.66%	26.51%	36.83%	+0.00	+14.5	6
2010-07-24	@ Domzale	L 0-2	40.7	1383	1322	36.83%	26.51%	36.66%	+0.00	-14.5	3
2010-07-24	Primorje	W 2-1	45.7	1310	1310	45.17%	26.09%	28.74%	+0.36	+6.0	3
2010-07-24	@ Nafta	L 1-2	45.7	1310	1310	28.74%	26.09%	45.17%	-0.36	-6.0	0
2010-07-25	Maribor	D 0-0	50.0	1310	1383	34.86%	26.49%	38.66%	-0.08	+0.2	4
2010-07-25	@ Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	50.0	1383	1310	38.66%	26.49%	34.86%	+0.08	-0.2	4
2010-07-25	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	60.3	1364	1357	46.19%	25.98%	27.83%	+0.41	-0.6	4
2010-07-25	@ Gorica	D 2-2	60.3	1357	1364	27.83%	25.98%	46.19%	-0.41	+0.6	1
2010-07-31	Domzale	D 0-0	49.4	1304	1337	40.60%	26.42%	32.97%	+0.16	-0.4	1
2010-07-31	@ Primorje	D 0-0	49.4	1337	1304	32.97%	26.42%	40.60%	-0.16	+0.3	7
2010-07-31	Rudar Velenje	W 5-1	38.6	1304	1310	44.38%	26.17%	29.45%	+0.33	+19.4	4
2010-07-31	@ Celje	L 1-5	38.6	1310	1304	29.45%	26.17%	44.38%	-0.33	-19.4	4
2010-07-31	Triglav	D 1-1	54.6	1369	1314	52.24%	25.03%	22.73%	+0.70	-1.3	4
2010-07-31	@ Luka Koper	D 1-1	54.6	1314	1369	22.73%	25.03%	52.24%	-0.70	+1.3	2
2010-08-01	Gorica	W 3-1	43.4	1383	1364	47.72%	25.79%	26.49%	+0.48	+9.7	7
2010-08-01	@ Maribor	L 1-3	43.4	1364	1383	26.49%	25.79%	47.72%	-0.48	-9.7	4
2010-08-02	Nafta	L 0-1	47.3	1357	1316	50.60%	25.34%	24.06%	+0.62	-9.9	1
2010-08-02	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	47.3	1316	1357	24.06%	25.34%	50.60%	-0.62	+9.9	6
2010-08-07	Celje	D 3-3	63.7	1354	1323	49.23%	25.57%	25.20%	+0.55	-0.6	5
2010-08-07	@ Gorica	D 3-3	63.7	1323	1354	25.20%	25.57%	49.23%	-0.55	+0.6	5
2010-08-07	Domzale	W 3-2	51.5	1325	1337	43.57%	26.24%	30.19%	+0.29	+5.9	9
2010-08-07	@ Nafta	L 2-3	51.5	1337	1325	30.19%	26.24%	43.57%	-0.29	-5.9	7
2010-08-07	Luka Koper	W 2-1	49.3	1290	1368	34.36%	26.47%	39.16%	-0.10	+7.6	7
2010-08-07	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	49.3	1368	1290	39.16%	26.47%	34.36%	+0.10	-7.6	4
2010-08-08	Primorje	W 3-2	50.1	1315	1303	46.74%	25.92%	27.34%	+0.44	+5.5	5
2010-08-08	@ Triglav	L 2-3	50.1	1303	1315	27.34%	25.92%	46.74%	-0.44	-5.5	1
2010-08-14	Nafta	W 3-1	41.5	1393	1331	53.01%	24.87%	22.12%	+0.74	+8.3	10
2010-08-14	@ Maribor	L 1-3	41.5	1331	1393	22.12%	24.87%	53.01%	-0.74	-8.3	9
2010-08-14	Gorica	W 1-0	41.2	1360	1354	46.05%	26.00%	27.95%	+0.41	+6.2	7
2010-08-14	@ Luka Koper	L 0-1	41.2	1354	1360	27.95%	26.00%	46.05%	-0.41	-6.2	5
2010-08-14	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	54.1	1324	1348	41.94%	26.35%	31.71%	+0.22	-0.4	6
2010-08-14	@ Celje	D 1-1	54.1	1348	1324	31.71%	26.35%	41.94%	-0.22	+0.4	2
2010-08-14	Triglav	W 3-0	34.9	1331	1321	46.62%	25.93%	27.45%	+0.43	+16.8	10
2010-08-14	@ Domzale	L 0-3	34.9	1321	1331	27.45%	25.93%	46.62%	-0.43	-16.8	5
2010-08-15	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	53.5	1298	1298	45.17%	26.09%	28.74%	+0.36	-0.7	2
2010-08-15	@ Primorje	D 1-1	53.5	1298	1298	28.74%	26.09%	45.17%	-0.36	+0.7	8
2010-08-21	Domzale	L 0-1	43.7	1299	1348	38.30%	26.49%	35.20%	+0.07	-7.9	8
2010-08-21	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	43.7	1348	1299	35.20%	26.49%	38.30%	-0.07	+7.9	13
2010-08-21	Primorje	W 3-2	48.9	1347	1297	51.63%	25.15%	23.22%	+0.67	+4.8	8
2010-08-21	@ Gorica	L 2-3	48.9	1297	1347	23.22%	25.15%	51.63%	-0.67	-4.8	2
2010-08-21	Triglav	W 2-1	45.0	1323	1304	47.73%	25.79%	26.48%	+0.48	+5.6	12
2010-08-21	@ Nafta	L 1-2	45.0	1304	1323	26.48%	25.79%	47.73%	-0.48	-5.6	5
2010-08-22	Celje	W 2-0	35.5	1401	1323	54.95%	24.42%	20.62%	+0.84	+9.0	13
2010-08-22	@ Maribor	L 0-2	35.5	1323	1401	20.62%	24.42%	54.95%	-0.84	-9.0	6
2010-08-22	Luka Koper	L 1-2	51.0	1348	1366	42.69%	26.30%	31.01%	+0.25	-8.1	2
2010-08-22	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	51.0	1366	1348	31.01%	26.30%	42.69%	-0.25	+8.1	10
2010-08-28	Nafta	L 2-4	51.2	1314	1329	43.23%	26.26%	30.50%	+0.28	-12.7	6
2010-08-28	@ Celje	W 4-2	51.2	1329	1314	30.50%	26.26%	43.23%	-0.28	+12.7	15
2010-08-28	Gorica	W 1-0	41.3	1356	1352	45.73%	26.03%	28.24%	+0.39	+6.3	16
2010-08-28	@ Domzale	L 0-1	41.3	1352	1356	28.24%	26.03%	45.73%	-0.39	-6.3	8
2010-08-29	Maribor	L 0-1	46.3	1374	1410	40.26%	26.44%	33.30%	+0.15	-8.2	10
2010-08-29	@ Luka Koper	W 1-0	46.3	1410	1374	33.30%	26.44%	40.26%	-0.15	+8.2	16
2010-08-29	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 5-1	40.4	1292	1340	38.61%	26.49%	34.90%	+0.08	+22.1	5
2010-08-29	@ Primorje	L 1-5	40.4	1340	1292	34.90%	26.49%	38.61%	-0.08	-22.1	2
2010-08-29	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	40.0	1298	1291	46.17%	25.98%	27.84%	+0.41	+6.2	8
2010-08-29	@ Triglav	L 0-1	40.0	1291	1298	27.84%	25.98%	46.17%	-0.41	-6.2	8
2010-09-10	Domzale	L 0-1	44.3	1318	1362	39.00%	26.48%	34.52%	+0.10	-8.0	2
2010-09-10	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	44.3	1362	1318	34.52%	26.48%	39.00%	-0.10	+8.0	19
2010-09-10	Rudar Velenje	D 3-3	63.4	1341	1284	52.46%	24.98%	22.56%	+0.71	-0.8	16
2010-09-10	@ Nafta	D 3-3	63.4	1284	1341	22.56%	24.98%	52.46%	-0.71	+0.8	9
2010-09-11	Luka Koper	W 2-1	48.8	1302	1366	36.16%	26.51%	37.34%	-0.02	+7.3	9
2010-09-11	@ Celje	L 1-2	48.8	1366	1302	37.34%	26.51%	36.16%	+0.02	-7.3	10
2010-09-11	Primorje	D 1-1	55.7	1418	1314	57.93%	23.63%	18.44%	+0.99	-1.8	17
2010-09-11	@ Maribor	D 1-1	55.7	1314	1418	18.44%	23.63%	57.93%	-0.99	+1.8	6
2010-09-11	Triglav	W 2-1	44.4	1346	1304	50.55%	25.35%	24.10%	+0.62	+5.2	11
2010-09-11	@ Gorica	L 1-2	44.4	1304	1346	24.10%	25.35%	50.55%	-0.62	-5.2	8
2010-09-18	Nafta	L 0-3	41.5	1359	1341	47.59%	25.81%	26.60%	+0.48	-25.8	10
2010-09-18	@ Luka Koper	W 3-0	41.5	1341	1359	26.60%	25.81%	47.59%	-0.48	+25.8	19
2010-09-18	Gorica	L 1-2	48.1	1285	1351	36.00%	26.50%	37.50%	-0.03	-7.1	9
2010-09-18	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	48.1	1351	1285	37.50%	26.50%	36.00%	+0.03	+7.1	14
2010-09-19	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-5	39.3	1299	1310	43.75%	26.22%	30.03%	+0.30	-38.8	8
2010-09-19	@ Triglav	W 5-0	39.3	1310	1299	30.03%	26.22%	43.75%	-0.30	+38.8	5
2010-09-22	Celje	W 1-0	38.7	1370	1309	53.01%	24.87%	22.12%	+0.74	+5.1	22
2010-09-22	@ Domzale	L 0-1	38.7	1309	1370	22.12%	24.87%	53.01%	-0.74	-5.1	9
2010-09-22	Luka Koper	W 3-1	43.6	1316	1333	42.89%	26.29%	30.82%	+0.26	+11.0	9
2010-09-22	@ Primorje	L 1-3	43.6	1333	1316	30.82%	26.29%	42.89%	-0.26	-11.0	10
2010-09-22	Maribor	D 2-2	59.9	1260	1417	24.73%	25.48%	49.79%	-0.58	+0.8	9
2010-09-22	@ Triglav	D 2-2	59.9	1417	1260	49.79%	25.48%	24.73%	+0.58	-0.8	18
2010-09-22	Gorica	W 3-0	35.9	1366	1358	46.28%	25.97%	27.75%	+0.42	+17.0	22
2010-09-22	@ Nafta	L 0-3	35.9	1358	1366	27.75%	25.97%	46.28%	-0.42	-16.9	14
2010-09-22	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	53.6	1278	1348	35.34%	26.50%	38.17%	-0.06	+0.1	10
2010-09-22	@ Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	53.6	1348	1278	38.17%	26.50%	35.34%	+0.06	-0.1	6
2010-09-25	Domzale	W 2-0	40.3	1322	1376	37.75%	26.50%	35.75%	+0.04	+14.2	13
2010-09-25	@ Luka Koper	L 0-2	40.3	1376	1322	35.75%	26.50%	37.75%	-0.04	-14.2	22
2010-09-25	Gorica	D 0-0	50.1	1348	1341	46.14%	25.99%	27.87%	+0.41	-0.9	7
2010-09-25	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	50.1	1341	1348	27.87%	25.99%	46.14%	-0.41	+0.8	15
2010-09-25	Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	38.5	1416	1278	61.56%	22.46%	15.98%	+1.20	+6.1	21
2010-09-25	@ Maribor	L 1-3	38.5	1278	1416	15.98%	22.46%	61.56%	-1.20	-6.1	10
2010-09-25	Triglav	D 1-1	53.6	1304	1261	50.70%	25.32%	23.98%	+0.62	-1.1	10
2010-09-25	@ Celje	D 1-1	53.6	1261	1304	23.98%	25.32%	50.70%	-0.62	+1.1	10
2010-09-26	Nafta	W 4-2	49.9	1327	1383	37.37%	26.51%	36.12%	+0.03	+11.1	12
2010-09-26	@ Primorje	L 2-4	49.9	1383	1327	36.12%	26.51%	37.37%	-0.03	-11.1	22
2010-09-29	Maribor	L 0-1	44.4	1348	1422	34.76%	26.49%	38.75%	-0.08	-7.4	7
2010-09-29	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	44.4	1422	1348	38.75%	26.49%	34.76%	+0.08	+7.4	24
2010-10-02	Celje	W 3-2	51.6	1272	1303	40.99%	26.41%	32.60%	+0.18	+6.3	13
2010-10-02	@ Rudar Velenje	L 2-3	51.6	1303	1272	32.60%	26.41%	40.99%	-0.18	-6.3	10
2010-10-02	Maribor	L 0-2	40.6	1342	1429	33.00%	26.42%	40.58%	-0.16	-13.4	15
2010-10-02	@ Gorica	W 2-0	40.6	1429	1342	40.58%	26.42%	33.00%	+0.16	+13.4	27
2010-10-02	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-3	57.6	1372	1340	49.37%	25.55%	25.08%	+0.56	-8.7	22
2010-10-02	@ Nafta	W 3-2	57.6	1340	1372	25.08%	25.55%	49.37%	-0.56	+8.7	10
2010-10-02	Primorje	W 4-1	39.9	1361	1338	48.21%	25.72%	26.07%	+0.50	+13.6	25
2010-10-02	@ Domzale	L 1-4	39.9	1338	1361	26.07%	25.72%	48.21%	-0.50	-13.6	12
2010-10-03	Luka Koper	D 0-0	49.1	1262	1336	34.83%	26.49%	38.68%	-0.08	+0.2	11
2010-10-03	@ Triglav	D 0-0	49.1	1336	1262	38.68%	26.49%	34.83%	+0.08	-0.2	14
2010-10-09	Maribor	L 0-1	45.7	1375	1443	35.69%	26.50%	37.81%	-0.04	-7.5	25
2010-10-09	@ Domzale	W 1-0	45.7	1443	1375	37.81%	26.50%	35.69%	+0.04	+7.5	30
2010-10-10	Celje	W 2-0	36.1	1325	1296	48.89%	25.62%	25.49%	+0.54	+10.9	15
2010-10-10	@ Primorje	L 0-2	36.1	1296	1325	25.49%	25.62%	48.89%	-0.54	-10.9	10
2010-10-16	Nafta	D 1-1	55.0	1367	1364	45.69%	26.04%	28.27%	+0.39	-0.7	26
2010-10-16	@ Domzale	D 1-1	55.0	1364	1367	28.27%	26.04%	45.69%	-0.39	+0.7	23
2010-10-16	Gorica	W 1-0	42.2	1286	1329	39.23%	26.47%	34.30%	+0.11	+7.3	13
2010-10-16	@ Celje	L 0-1	42.2	1329	1286	34.30%	26.47%	39.23%	-0.11	-7.3	15
2010-10-16	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	52.6	1450	1349	57.65%	23.71%	18.64%	+0.98	-1.9	31
2010-10-16	@ Maribor	D 0-0	52.6	1349	1450	18.64%	23.71%	57.65%	-0.98	+1.9	11
2010-10-16	Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	43.5	1336	1278	52.55%	24.97%	22.48%	+0.71	+4.9	17
2010-10-16	@ Luka Koper	L 1-2	43.5	1278	1336	22.48%	24.97%	52.55%	-0.71	-4.9	13
2010-10-23	Celje	W 1-0	38.5	1351	1293	52.57%	24.96%	22.46%	+0.72	+5.2	14
2010-10-23	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	38.5	1293	1351	22.46%	24.96%	52.57%	-0.72	-5.2	13
2010-10-23	Luka Koper	D 2-2	59.4	1321	1341	42.50%	26.32%	31.19%	+0.25	-0.3	16
2010-10-23	@ Gorica	D 2-2	59.4	1341	1321	31.19%	26.32%	42.50%	-0.25	+0.3	18
2010-10-23	Maribor	L 0-2	41.6	1364	1448	33.44%	26.44%	40.11%	-0.14	-13.5	23
2010-10-23	@ Nafta	W 2-0	41.6	1448	1364	40.11%	26.44%	33.44%	+0.14	+13.5	34
2010-10-23	Primorje	W 3-1	45.2	1274	1336	36.52%	26.51%	36.98%	-0.01	+12.6	16
2010-10-23	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-3	45.2	1336	1274	36.98%	26.51%	36.52%	+0.01	-12.6	15
2010-10-24	Domzale	L 1-3	43.4	1263	1367	30.81%	26.29%	42.90%	-0.26	-11.0	11
2010-10-24	@ Triglav	W 3-1	43.4	1367	1263	42.90%	26.29%	30.81%	+0.26	+11.0	29
2010-10-27	Triglav	L 0-3	42.0	1323	1252	54.20%	24.60%	21.19%	+0.80	-28.7	15
2010-10-27	@ Primorje	W 3-0	42.0	1252	1323	21.19%	24.60%	54.20%	-0.80	+28.7	14
2010-10-30	Maribor	L 0-4	34.0	1288	1462	22.91%	25.07%	52.02%	-0.69	-18.8	13
2010-10-30	@ Celje	W 4-0	34.0	1462	1288	52.02%	25.07%	22.91%	+0.69	+18.8	37
2010-10-30	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-0	38.6	1341	1356	43.21%	26.27%	30.53%	+0.28	+12.6	21
2010-10-30	@ Luka Koper	L 0-2	38.6	1356	1341	30.53%	26.27%	43.21%	-0.28	-12.6	14
2010-10-31	Nafta	W 2-0	40.3	1280	1351	35.31%	26.50%	38.19%	-0.06	+14.9	17
2010-10-31	@ Triglav	L 0-2	40.3	1351	1280	38.19%	26.50%	35.31%	+0.06	-14.9	23
2010-10-31	Gorica	L 0-2	41.1	1294	1321	41.53%	26.38%	32.09%	+0.20	-15.9	15
2010-10-31	@ Primorje	W 2-0	41.1	1321	1294	32.09%	26.38%	41.53%	-0.20	+15.9	19
2010-10-31	Rudar Velenje	L 2-3	58.7	1378	1286	56.52%	24.02%	19.46%	+0.92	-9.7	29
2010-10-31	@ Domzale	W 3-2	58.7	1286	1378	19.46%	24.02%	56.52%	-0.92	+9.7	19
2010-11-06	Celje	D 2-2	59.4	1336	1269	53.67%	24.73%	21.61%	+0.77	-1.0	24
2010-11-06	@ Nafta	D 2-2	59.4	1269	1336	21.61%	24.73%	53.67%	-0.77	+1.0	14
2010-11-06	Domzale	L 0-3	39.7	1337	1368	40.92%	26.41%	32.67%	+0.18	-22.8	19
2010-11-06	@ Gorica	W 3-0	39.7	1368	1337	32.67%	26.41%	40.92%	-0.18	+22.8	32
2010-11-06	Luka Koper	W 2-0	36.1	1481	1354	60.41%	22.85%	16.74%	+1.13	+7.4	40
2010-11-06	@ Maribor	L 0-2	36.1	1354	1481	16.74%	22.85%	60.41%	-1.13	-7.4	21
2010-11-06	Primorje	W 3-0	32.6	1343	1278	53.42%	24.78%	21.80%	+0.76	+13.8	17
2010-11-06	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	32.6	1278	1343	21.80%	24.78%	53.42%	-0.76	-13.8	15
2010-11-06	Triglav	W 5-0	34.6	1296	1295	45.28%	26.08%	28.64%	+0.37	+28.0	22
2010-11-06	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-5	34.6	1295	1296	28.64%	26.08%	45.28%	-0.37	-28.0	17
2010-11-13	Celje	W 7-3	38.0	1347	1270	54.82%	24.46%	20.73%	+0.83	+11.1	24
2010-11-13	@ Luka Koper	L 3-7	38.0	1270	1347	20.73%	24.46%	54.82%	-0.83	-11.1	14
2010-11-13	Nafta	D 0-0	49.7	1324	1335	43.71%	26.23%	30.07%	+0.30	-0.6	23
2010-11-13	@ Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	49.7	1335	1324	30.07%	26.23%	43.71%	-0.30	+0.6	25
2010-11-14	Maribor	D 0-0	51.7	1265	1488	18.56%	23.67%	57.77%	-0.99	+1.9	16
2010-11-14	@ Primorje	D 0-0	51.7	1488	1265	57.77%	23.67%	18.56%	+0.99	-1.9	41
2010-11-14	Gorica	W 2-0	38.9	1267	1314	38.69%	26.49%	34.83%	+0.08	+13.9	20
2010-11-14	@ Triglav	L 0-2	38.9	1314	1267	34.83%	26.49%	38.69%	-0.08	-13.9	19
2010-11-14	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	45.9	1391	1357	49.58%	25.51%	24.91%	+0.57	+5.3	35
2010-11-14	@ Domzale	L 1-2	45.9	1357	1391	24.91%	25.51%	49.58%	-0.57	-5.3	17
2010-11-20	Domzale	D 1-1	59.1	1486	1396	56.36%	24.07%	19.58%	+0.91	-1.6	42
2010-11-20	@ Maribor	D 1-1	59.1	1396	1486	19.58%	24.07%	56.36%	-0.91	+1.6	36
2010-11-20	Luka Koper	L 0-2	42.1	1335	1358	42.14%	26.34%	31.52%	+0.23	-16.1	25
2010-11-20	@ Nafta	W 2-0	42.1	1358	1335	31.52%	26.34%	42.14%	-0.23	+16.1	27
2010-11-20	Primorje	W 3-0	34.9	1259	1267	44.13%	26.19%	29.67%	+0.32	+17.9	17
2010-11-20	@ Celje	L 0-3	34.9	1267	1259	29.67%	26.19%	44.13%	-0.32	-17.9	16
2010-11-20	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	53.7	1300	1323	42.02%	26.35%	31.64%	+0.23	-0.4	20
2010-11-20	@ Gorica	D 1-1	53.7	1323	1300	31.64%	26.35%	42.02%	-0.23	+0.4	24
2010-11-20	Triglav	W 1-0	37.9	1352	1281	54.11%	24.63%	21.27%	+0.79	+4.9	20
2010-11-20	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	37.9	1281	1352	21.27%	24.63%	54.11%	-0.79	-4.9	20
2010-11-27	Nafta	W 1-0	41.3	1300	1319	42.50%	26.32%	31.18%	+0.25	+6.8	23
2010-11-27	@ Gorica	L 0-1	41.3	1319	1300	31.18%	26.32%	42.50%	-0.25	-6.8	25
2010-11-27	Primorje	W 2-1	41.2	1374	1249	60.24%	22.91%	16.85%	+1.12	+3.7	30
2010-11-27	@ Luka Koper	L 1-2	41.2	1249	1374	16.85%	22.91%	60.24%	-1.12	-3.7	16
2010-11-27	Triglav	W 3-1	37.4	1484	1276	68.47%	19.67%	11.86%	+1.62	+4.4	45
2010-11-27	@ Maribor	L 1-3	37.4	1276	1484	11.86%	19.67%	68.47%	-1.62	-4.4	20
2011-02-20	Domzale	D 0-0	49.9	1277	1398	28.71%	26.09%	45.20%	-0.37	+0.8	18
2011-02-20	@ Celje	D 0-0	49.9	1398	1277	45.20%	26.09%	28.71%	+0.37	-0.8	37
2011-02-22	Rudar Velenje	D 2-2	59.9	1357	1324	49.48%	25.53%	24.99%	+0.56	-0.8	21
2011-02-22	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	59.9	1324	1357	24.99%	25.53%	49.48%	-0.56	+0.8	25
2011-02-26	Luka Koper	L 1-2	53.3	1397	1377	47.75%	25.79%	26.46%	+0.48	-8.9	37
2011-02-26	@ Domzale	W 2-1	53.3	1377	1397	26.46%	25.79%	47.75%	-0.48	+8.9	33
2011-02-26	Maribor	L 2-4	47.7	1324	1489	23.89%	25.30%	50.81%	-0.63	-8.0	25
2011-02-26	@ Rudar Velenje	W 4-2	47.7	1489	1324	50.81%	25.30%	23.89%	+0.63	+8.0	48
2011-02-26	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	46.0	1306	1356	38.32%	26.49%	35.18%	+0.07	-13.0	23
2011-02-26	@ Gorica	W 3-1	46.0	1356	1306	35.18%	26.49%	38.32%	-0.07	+13.0	24
2011-02-26	Primorje	L 1-2	52.4	1313	1245	53.74%	24.71%	21.55%	+0.77	-9.8	25
2011-02-26	@ Nafta	W 2-1	52.4	1245	1313	21.55%	24.71%	53.74%	-0.77	+9.8	19
2011-02-27	Celje	D 0-0	48.9	1272	1277	44.41%	26.17%	29.43%	+0.33	-0.7	21
2011-02-27	@ Triglav	D 0-0	48.9	1277	1272	29.43%	26.17%	44.41%	-0.33	+0.7	19
2011-03-05	Nafta	W 2-0	35.2	1369	1303	53.57%	24.75%	21.68%	+0.77	+9.4	27
2011-03-05	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	35.2	1303	1369	21.68%	24.75%	53.57%	-0.77	-9.5	25
2011-03-05	Gorica	L 1-2	58.0	1497	1294	68.02%	19.88%	12.11%	+1.59	-11.9	48
2011-03-05	@ Maribor	W 2-1	58.0	1294	1497	12.11%	19.88%	68.02%	-1.59	+11.9	26
2011-03-05	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	41.9	1278	1317	39.90%	26.45%	33.65%	+0.13	+7.2	22
2011-03-05	@ Celje	L 0-1	41.9	1317	1278	33.65%	26.45%	39.90%	-0.13	-7.2	25
2011-03-05	Triglav	L 0-1	49.1	1386	1271	59.18%	23.25%	17.57%	+1.06	-11.3	33
2011-03-05	@ Luka Koper	W 1-0	49.1	1271	1386	17.57%	23.25%	59.18%	-1.06	+11.3	24
2011-03-06	Domzale	D 0-0	49.6	1255	1388	27.26%	25.91%	46.83%	-0.44	+0.9	20
2011-03-06	@ Primorje	D 0-0	49.6	1388	1255	46.83%	25.91%	27.26%	+0.44	-0.9	38
2011-03-12	Celje	D 1-1	53.6	1305	1285	47.82%	25.78%	26.40%	+0.49	-0.9	27
2011-03-12	@ Gorica	D 1-1	53.6	1285	1305	26.40%	25.78%	47.82%	-0.49	+0.9	23
2011-03-12	Domzale	L 2-3	52.3	1293	1387	32.13%	26.38%	41.49%	-0.20	-6.2	25
2011-03-12	@ Nafta	W 3-2	52.3	1387	1293	41.49%	26.38%	32.13%	+0.20	+6.2	41
2011-03-12	Luka Koper	L 0-1	43.4	1309	1375	35.98%	26.50%	37.51%	-0.03	-7.6	25
2011-03-12	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	43.4	1375	1309	37.51%	26.50%	35.98%	+0.03	+7.6	36
2011-03-12	Maribor	D 0-0	53.5	1378	1485	30.48%	26.26%	43.25%	-0.28	+0.6	28
2011-03-12	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	53.5	1485	1378	43.25%	26.26%	30.48%	+0.28	-0.6	49
2011-03-13	Primorje	W 2-0	35.7	1282	1256	48.68%	25.65%	25.67%	+0.53	+10.9	27
2011-03-13	@ Triglav	L 0-2	35.7	1256	1282	25.67%	25.65%	48.68%	-0.53	-10.9	20
2011-03-16	Nafta	L 0-1	52.3	1484	1287	67.45%	20.13%	12.42%	+1.56	-12.5	49
2011-03-16	@ Maribor	W 1-0	52.3	1287	1484	12.42%	20.13%	67.45%	-1.56	+12.5	28
2011-03-16	Gorica	D 2-2	60.3	1383	1304	54.99%	24.41%	20.59%	+0.84	-1.1	37
2011-03-16	@ Luka Koper	D 2-2	60.3	1304	1383	20.59%	24.41%	54.99%	-0.84	+1.1	28
2011-03-16	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	44.2	1286	1379	32.30%	26.39%	41.31%	-0.19	-11.4	23
2011-03-16	@ Celje	W 3-1	44.2	1379	1286	41.31%	26.39%	32.30%	+0.19	+11.4	31
2011-03-16	Rudar Velenje	L 0-6	37.8	1245	1302	37.24%	26.51%	36.25%	+0.02	-40.7	20
2011-03-16	@ Primorje	W 6-0	37.8	1302	1245	36.25%	26.51%	37.24%	-0.02	+40.7	28
2011-03-16	Triglav	W 3-1	39.6	1393	1293	57.50%	23.75%	18.75%	+0.97	+7.1	44
2011-03-16	@ Domzale	L 1-3	39.6	1293	1393	18.75%	23.75%	57.50%	-0.97	-7.1	27
2011-03-19	Celje	W 2-0	32.1	1472	1275	67.42%	20.14%	12.44%	+1.56	+5.4	52
2011-03-19	@ Maribor	L 0-2	32.1	1275	1472	12.44%	20.14%	67.42%	-1.56	-5.4	23
2011-03-19	Domzale	W 3-1	46.5	1342	1401	37.08%	26.51%	36.41%	+0.01	+12.5	31
2011-03-19	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-3	46.5	1401	1342	36.41%	26.51%	37.08%	-0.01	-12.5	44
2011-03-19	Luka Koper	W 4-0	36.1	1390	1382	46.34%	25.96%	27.69%	+0.42	+22.1	34
2011-03-19	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-4	36.1	1382	1390	27.69%	25.96%	46.34%	-0.42	-22.1	37
2011-03-19	Primorje	W 4-1	35.7	1306	1204	57.66%	23.70%	18.63%	+0.98	+10.0	31
2011-03-19	@ Gorica	L 1-4	35.7	1204	1306	18.63%	23.70%	57.66%	-0.98	-10.0	20
2011-03-19	Triglav	D 1-1	53.5	1300	1286	46.96%	25.89%	27.15%	+0.45	-0.8	29
2011-03-19	@ Nafta	D 1-1	53.5	1286	1300	27.15%	25.89%	46.96%	-0.45	+0.8	28
2011-04-01	Nafta	W 3-0	36.0	1270	1299	41.17%	26.40%	32.43%	+0.19	+19.2	26
2011-04-01	@ Celje	L 0-3	36.0	1299	1270	32.43%	26.40%	41.17%	-0.19	-19.2	29
2011-04-01	Gorica	W 2-0	35.4	1388	1316	54.31%	24.58%	21.11%	+0.80	+9.2	47
2011-04-01	@ Domzale	L 0-2	35.4	1316	1388	21.11%	24.58%	54.31%	-0.80	-9.2	31
2011-04-02	Maribor	W 3-0	43.4	1359	1477	29.11%	26.13%	44.76%	-0.35	+24.5	40
2011-04-02	@ Luka Koper	L 0-3	43.4	1477	1359	44.76%	26.13%	29.11%	+0.35	-24.5	52
2011-04-02	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	59.7	1194	1412	18.96%	23.83%	57.21%	-0.95	+1.3	21
2011-04-02	@ Primorje	D 2-2	59.7	1412	1194	57.21%	23.83%	18.96%	+0.95	-1.3	35
2011-04-02	Rudar Velenje	L 1-4	42.4	1287	1355	35.68%	26.50%	37.82%	-0.05	-17.4	28
2011-04-02	@ Triglav	W 4-1	42.4	1355	1287	37.82%	26.50%	35.68%	+0.05	+17.4	34
2011-04-05	Domzale	D 0-0	52.2	1411	1397	47.02%	25.88%	27.10%	+0.45	-0.9	36
2011-04-05	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	52.2	1397	1411	27.10%	25.88%	47.02%	-0.45	+0.9	48
2011-04-05	Primorje	W 2-0	29.2	1453	1195	72.77%	17.60%	9.63%	+1.92	+4.0	55
2011-04-05	@ Maribor	L 0-2	29.2	1195	1453	9.63%	17.60%	72.77%	-1.92	-4.0	21
2011-04-05	Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	47.1	1280	1372	32.29%	26.39%	41.32%	-0.19	-6.6	29
2011-04-05	@ Nafta	W 2-1	47.1	1372	1280	41.32%	26.39%	32.29%	+0.19	+6.6	37
2011-04-05	Triglav	W 1-0	38.8	1306	1270	49.97%	25.45%	24.58%	+0.59	+5.6	34
2011-04-05	@ Gorica	L 0-1	38.8	1270	1306	24.58%	25.45%	49.97%	-0.59	-5.6	28
2011-04-06	Luka Koper	L 0-3	36.6	1289	1384	31.95%	26.37%	41.68%	-0.21	-19.0	26
2011-04-06	@ Celje	W 3-0	36.6	1384	1289	41.68%	26.37%	31.95%	+0.21	+19.0	43
2011-04-09	Celje	L 0-1	41.5	1191	1270	34.21%	26.47%	39.32%	-0.11	-7.3	21
2011-04-09	@ Primorje	W 1-0	41.5	1270	1191	39.32%	26.47%	34.21%	+0.11	+7.3	29
2011-04-09	Maribor	D 2-2	63.0	1398	1457	37.02%	26.51%	36.47%	+0.01	-0.0	49
2011-04-09	@ Domzale	D 2-2	63.0	1457	1398	36.47%	26.51%	37.02%	-0.01	+0.0	56
2011-04-09	Nafta	W 4-1	35.9	1403	1273	60.74%	22.74%	16.52%	+1.15	+8.9	46
2011-04-09	@ Luka Koper	L 1-4	35.9	1273	1403	16.52%	22.74%	60.74%	-1.15	-8.9	29
2011-04-09	Gorica	L 0-1	48.3	1379	1312	53.65%	24.73%	21.62%	+0.77	-10.4	37
2011-04-09	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	48.3	1312	1379	21.62%	24.73%	53.65%	-0.77	+10.4	37
2011-04-10	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-4	39.5	1264	1410	25.82%	25.68%	48.50%	-0.52	-13.5	28
2011-04-10	@ Triglav	W 4-1	39.5	1410	1264	48.50%	25.68%	25.82%	+0.52	+13.5	39
2011-04-15	Celje	W 2-0	33.4	1398	1277	59.81%	23.05%	17.14%	+1.10	+7.5	52
2011-04-15	@ Domzale	L 0-2	33.4	1277	1398	17.14%	23.05%	59.81%	-1.10	-7.5	29
2011-04-16	Luka Koper	D 1-1	54.3	1184	1412	18.21%	23.53%	58.26%	-1.01	+1.8	22
2011-04-16	@ Primorje	D 1-1	54.3	1412	1184	58.26%	23.53%	18.21%	+1.01	-1.8	47
2011-04-16	Gorica	L 1-4	42.4	1264	1322	37.05%	26.51%	36.44%	+0.01	-17.9	29
2011-04-16	@ Nafta	W 4-1	42.4	1322	1264	36.44%	26.51%	37.05%	-0.01	+17.9	40
2011-04-16	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	47.8	1368	1424	37.50%	26.50%	36.00%	+0.03	-12.8	37
2011-04-16	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	47.8	1424	1368	36.00%	26.50%	37.50%	-0.03	+12.8	42
2011-04-17	Maribor	L 1-2	43.4	1251	1457	19.98%	24.21%	55.82%	-0.88	-4.4	28
2011-04-17	@ Triglav	W 2-1	43.4	1457	1251	55.82%	24.21%	19.98%	+0.88	+4.4	59
2011-04-22	Gorica	W 1-0	39.0	1436	1340	57.05%	23.88%	19.07%	+0.95	+4.4	45
2011-04-22	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	39.0	1340	1436	19.07%	23.88%	57.05%	-0.95	-4.4	40
2011-04-22	Triglav	W 2-0	35.7	1269	1246	48.25%	25.72%	26.04%	+0.51	+11.1	32
2011-04-22	@ Celje	L 0-2	35.7	1246	1269	26.04%	25.72%	48.25%	-0.51	-11.1	28
2011-04-23	Domzale	W 3-1	45.4	1410	1406	45.75%	26.03%	28.21%	+0.39	+10.2	50
2011-04-23	@ Luka Koper	L 1-3	45.4	1406	1410	28.21%	26.03%	45.75%	-0.39	-10.2	52
2011-04-23	Nafta	L 1-4	41.7	1186	1246	36.74%	26.51%	36.75%	+0.00	-17.8	22
2011-04-23	@ Primorje	W 4-1	41.7	1246	1186	36.75%	26.51%	36.74%	+0.00	+17.8	32
2011-04-23	Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	44.8	1461	1356	58.09%	23.58%	18.33%	+1.00	+4.0	62
2011-04-23	@ Maribor	L 1-2	44.8	1356	1461	18.33%	23.58%	58.09%	-1.00	-4.0	37
2011-04-30	Celje	W 1-0	37.9	1352	1281	54.16%	24.61%	21.22%	+0.80	+4.9	40
2011-04-30	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	37.9	1281	1352	21.22%	24.61%	54.16%	-0.80	-4.9	32
2011-04-30	Luka Koper	D 0-0	50.1	1235	1420	21.85%	24.80%	53.35%	-0.75	+1.5	29
2011-04-30	@ Triglav	D 0-0	50.1	1420	1235	53.35%	24.80%	21.85%	+0.75	-1.5	51
2011-04-30	Maribor	L 0-6	37.8	1336	1465	27.73%	25.97%	46.30%	-0.42	-32.4	40
2011-04-30	@ Gorica	W 6-0	37.8	1465	1336	46.30%	25.97%	27.73%	+0.42	+32.4	65
2011-04-30	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	44.4	1264	1441	22.65%	25.01%	52.34%	-0.70	-4.9	32
2011-04-30	@ Nafta	W 2-1	44.4	1441	1264	52.34%	25.01%	22.65%	+0.70	+4.9	48
2011-04-30	Primorje	W 1-0	32.6	1395	1168	70.20%	18.87%	10.94%	+1.74	+2.5	55
2011-04-30	@ Domzale	L 0-1	32.6	1168	1395	10.94%	18.87%	70.20%	-1.74	-2.5	22
2011-05-03	Gorica	W 3-1	43.5	1276	1303	41.37%	26.39%	32.24%	+0.20	+11.4	35
2011-05-03	@ Celje	L 1-3	43.5	1303	1276	32.24%	26.39%	41.37%	-0.20	-11.4	40
2011-05-04	Nafta	W 3-2	46.0	1398	1259	61.68%	22.42%	15.90%	+1.20	+3.3	58
2011-05-04	@ Domzale	L 2-3	46.0	1259	1398	15.90%	22.42%	61.68%	-1.20	-3.3	32
2011-05-04	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	66.2	1498	1446	51.83%	25.11%	23.06%	+0.68	-0.9	66
2011-05-04	@ Maribor	D 2-2	66.2	1446	1498	23.06%	25.11%	51.83%	-0.68	+0.9	49
2011-05-04	Rudar Velenje	D 3-3	65.4	1419	1357	53.09%	24.85%	22.06%	+0.74	-0.8	52
2011-05-04	@ Luka Koper	D 3-3	65.4	1357	1419	22.06%	24.85%	53.09%	-0.74	+0.8	41
2011-05-04	Triglav	W 1-0	42.6	1166	1237	35.23%	26.49%	38.27%	-0.06	+7.9	25
2011-05-04	@ Primorje	L 0-1	42.6	1237	1166	38.27%	26.49%	35.23%	+0.06	-7.9	29
2011-05-07	Celje	W 3-1	38.4	1447	1287	63.81%	21.63%	14.56%	+1.33	+5.5	52
2011-05-07	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	38.4	1287	1447	14.56%	21.63%	63.81%	-1.33	-5.5	35
2011-05-07	Luka Koper	D 0-0	50.3	1292	1418	28.14%	26.02%	45.84%	-0.40	+0.8	41
2011-05-07	@ Gorica	D 0-0	50.3	1418	1292	45.84%	26.02%	28.14%	+0.40	-0.8	53
2011-05-07	Maribor	D 1-1	56.2	1256	1497	17.23%	23.09%	59.68%	-1.09	+1.9	33
2011-05-07	@ Nafta	D 1-1	56.2	1497	1256	59.68%	23.09%	17.23%	+1.09	-1.9	67
2011-05-07	Primorje	L 0-1	49.6	1357	1173	66.19%	20.67%	13.14%	+1.48	-12.4	41
2011-05-07	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	49.6	1173	1357	13.14%	20.67%	66.19%	-1.48	+12.4	28
2011-05-08	Domzale	L 2-4	44.7	1229	1401	23.07%	25.11%	51.82%	-0.68	-7.7	29
2011-05-08	@ Triglav	W 4-2	44.7	1401	1229	51.82%	25.11%	23.07%	+0.68	+7.7	61
2011-05-10	Maribor	D 0-0	52.0	1282	1495	19.38%	23.99%	56.62%	-0.92	+1.8	36
2011-05-10	@ Celje	D 0-0	52.0	1495	1282	56.62%	23.99%	19.38%	+0.92	-1.8	68
2011-05-11	Nafta	W 4-0	35.3	1221	1258	40.13%	26.44%	33.43%	+0.14	+25.6	32
2011-05-11	@ Triglav	L 0-4	35.3	1258	1221	33.43%	26.44%	40.13%	-0.14	-25.6	33
2011-05-11	Gorica	L 2-3	50.5	1186	1293	30.43%	26.26%	43.31%	-0.28	-6.0	28
2011-05-11	@ Primorje	W 3-2	50.5	1293	1186	43.31%	26.26%	30.43%	+0.28	+6.0	44
2011-05-11	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	51.5	1417	1452	40.35%	26.43%	33.22%	+0.15	+6.7	56
2011-05-11	@ Luka Koper	L 1-2	51.5	1452	1417	33.22%	26.43%	40.35%	-0.15	-6.7	52
2011-05-11	Rudar Velenje	W 2-0	36.4	1409	1345	53.30%	24.81%	21.89%	+0.75	+9.5	64
2011-05-11	@ Domzale	L 0-2	36.4	1345	1409	21.89%	24.81%	53.30%	-0.75	-9.5	41
2011-05-14	Celje	D 0-0	48.7	1232	1283	38.06%	26.50%	35.45%	+0.06	-0.1	34
2011-05-14	@ Nafta	D 0-0	48.7	1283	1232	35.45%	26.50%	38.06%	-0.06	+0.1	37
2011-05-14	Domzale	W 2-1	51.6	1299	1418	28.88%	26.11%	45.01%	-0.36	+8.5	47
2011-05-14	@ Gorica	L 1-2	51.6	1418	1299	45.01%	26.11%	28.88%	+0.36	-8.5	64
2011-05-14	Luka Koper	D 1-1	60.0	1493	1424	53.92%	24.67%	21.41%	+0.78	-1.4	69
2011-05-14	@ Maribor	D 1-1	60.0	1424	1493	21.41%	24.67%	53.92%	-0.78	+1.4	57
2011-05-14	Primorje	W 5-0	26.4	1445	1180	73.45%	17.25%	9.30%	+1.97	+9.0	55
2011-05-14	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-5	26.4	1180	1445	9.30%	17.25%	73.45%	-1.97	-9.0	28
2011-05-14	Triglav	D 0-0	49.7	1336	1247	56.24%	24.10%	19.67%	+0.90	-1.8	42
2011-05-14	@ Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	49.7	1247	1336	19.67%	24.10%	56.24%	-0.90	+1.8	33
2011-05-21	Celje	W 1-0	36.4	1425	1283	61.99%	22.31%	15.70%	+1.22	+3.7	60
2011-05-21	@ Luka Koper	L 0-1	36.4	1283	1425	15.70%	22.31%	61.99%	-1.22	-3.7	37
2011-05-21	Maribor	L 1-2	39.3	1171	1491	12.30%	20.03%	67.68%	-1.57	-2.7	28
2011-05-21	@ Primorje	W 2-1	39.3	1491	1171	67.68%	20.03%	12.30%	+1.57	+2.6	72
2011-05-21	Nafta	W 4-0	30.4	1334	1232	57.69%	23.70%	18.61%	+0.98	+15.5	45
2011-05-21	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-4	30.4	1232	1334	18.61%	23.70%	57.69%	-0.98	-15.5	34
2011-05-21	Gorica	W 1-0	42.6	1248	1307	36.97%	26.51%	36.53%	+0.01	+7.7	36
2011-05-21	@ Triglav	L 0-1	42.6	1307	1248	36.53%	26.51%	36.97%	-0.01	-7.6	47
2011-05-21	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 3-0	41.2	1410	1454	39.03%	26.48%	34.49%	+0.10	+20.1	67
2011-05-21	@ Domzale	L 0-3	41.2	1454	1410	34.49%	26.48%	39.03%	-0.10	-20.1	55
2011-05-29	Domzale	W 2-0	40.9	1494	1430	53.31%	24.80%	21.88%	+0.75	+9.5	75
2011-05-29	@ Maribor	L 0-2	40.9	1430	1494	21.88%	24.80%	53.31%	-0.75	-9.5	67
2011-05-29	Luka Koper	W 2-1	53.6	1216	1429	19.44%	24.02%	56.54%	-0.92	+10.2	37
2011-05-29	@ Nafta	L 1-2	53.6	1429	1216	56.54%	24.02%	19.44%	+0.92	-10.2	60
2011-05-29	Primorje	L 2-3	58.0	1280	1168	58.77%	23.38%	17.85%	+1.04	-10.0	37
2011-05-29	@ Celje	W 3-2	58.0	1168	1280	17.85%	23.38%	58.77%	-1.04	+10.0	31
2011-05-29	Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	49.5	1300	1349	38.30%	26.49%	35.21%	+0.07	-0.1	48
2011-05-29	@ Gorica	D 0-0	49.5	1349	1300	35.21%	26.49%	38.30%	-0.07	+0.1	46
2011-05-29	Triglav	L 1-3	52.9	1434	1256	65.65%	20.90%	13.46%	+1.44	-20.1	55
2011-05-29	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 3-1	52.9	1256	1434	13.46%	20.90%	65.65%	-1.44	+20.0	39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2011-03-05	12.11%	Gorica	1294	2	@ Maribor	1497	1
2	2011-03-16	12.42%	Nafta	1287	1	@ Maribor	1484	0
3	2011-05-07	13.14%	Primorje	1173	1	@ Rudar Velenje	1357	0
4	2011-05-29	13.46%	Triglav	1256	3	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1434	1
5	2011-03-05	17.57%	Triglav	1271	1	@ Luka Koper	1386	0
6	2011-05-29	17.85%	Primorje	1168	3	@ Celje	1280	2
7	2011-05-29	19.44%	@ Nafta	1216	2	Luka Koper	1429	1
8	2010-10-31	19.46%	Rudar Velenje	1286	3	@ Domzale	1378	2
9	2010-07-18	20.24%	Rudar Velenje	1292	3	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1374	1
10	2010-10-27	21.19%	Triglav	1252	3	@ Primorje	1323	0
11	2011-02-26	21.55%	Primorje	1245	2	@ Nafta	1313	1
12	2011-04-09	21.62%	Gorica	1312	1	@ Rudar Velenje	1379	0
13	2010-08-02	24.06%	Nafta	1316	1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1357	0
14	2010-10-02	25.08%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1340	3	@ Nafta	1372	2
15	2011-02-26	26.46%	Luka Koper	1377	2	@ Domzale	1397	1
16	2010-09-18	26.60%	Nafta	1341	3	@ Luka Koper	1359	0
17	2011-05-14	28.88%	@ Gorica	1299	2	Domzale	1418	1
18	2010-07-17	28.91%	Domzale	1313	1	@ Celje	1312	0
19	2011-04-02	29.11%	@ Luka Koper	1359	3	Maribor	1477	0
20	2010-09-19	30.03%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1310	5	@ Triglav	1299	0
21	2010-08-28	30.50%	Nafta	1329	4	@ Celje	1314	2
22	2010-08-22	31.01%	Luka Koper	1366	2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1348	1
23	2010-11-20	31.52%	Luka Koper	1358	2	@ Nafta	1335	0
24	2010-10-31	32.09%	Gorica	1321	2	@ Primorje	1294	0
25	2010-11-06	32.67%	Domzale	1368	3	@ Gorica	1337	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-03-16	40.69	Rudar Velenje	6	1302	36.25%	@ Primorje	0	1245	37.24%	26.51%
2	2010-09-19	38.76	Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1310	30.03%	@ Triglav	0	1299	43.75%	26.22%
3	2011-04-30	32.41	Maribor	6	1465	46.30%	@ Gorica	0	1336	27.73%	25.97%
4	2010-10-27	28.70	Triglav	3	1252	21.19%	@ Primorje	0	1323	54.20%	24.60%
5	2010-11-06	28.01	@ Rudar Velenje	5	1296	45.28%	Triglav	0	1295	28.64%	26.08%
6	2010-07-18	26.63	@ Maribor	5	1357	47.22%	Triglav	0	1341	26.92%	25.86%
7	2010-09-18	25.76	Nafta	3	1341	26.60%	@ Luka Koper	0	1359	47.59%	25.81%
8	2011-05-11	25.64	@ Triglav	4	1221	40.13%	Nafta	0	1258	33.43%	26.44%
9	2011-04-02	24.50	@ Luka Koper	3	1359	29.11%	Maribor	0	1477	44.76%	26.13%
10	2010-11-06	22.84	Domzale	3	1368	32.67%	@ Gorica	0	1337	40.92%	26.41%
11	2011-03-19	22.11	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1390	46.34%	Luka Koper	0	1382	27.69%	25.96%
12	2010-08-29	22.07	@ Primorje	5	1292	38.61%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1340	34.90%	26.49%
13	2011-05-21	20.09	@ Domzale	3	1410	39.03%	Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1454	34.49%	26.48%
14	2011-05-29	20.05	Triglav	3	1256	13.46%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1434	65.65%	20.90%
15	2010-07-31	19.37	@ Celje	5	1304	44.38%	Rudar Velenje	1	1310	29.45%	26.17%
16	2011-04-01	19.18	@ Celje	3	1270	41.17%	Nafta	0	1299	32.43%	26.40%
17	2011-04-06	18.96	Luka Koper	3	1384	41.68%	@ Celje	0	1289	31.95%	26.37%
18	2010-10-30	18.82	Maribor	4	1462	52.02%	@ Celje	0	1288	22.91%	25.07%
19	2010-11-20	17.90	@ Celje	3	1259	44.13%	Primorje	0	1267	29.67%	26.19%
20	2011-04-16	17.87	Gorica	4	1322	36.44%	@ Nafta	1	1264	37.05%	26.51%
21	2011-04-23	17.76	Nafta	4	1246	36.75%	@ Primorje	1	1186	36.74%	26.51%
22	2010-07-18	17.45	Rudar Velenje	3	1292	20.24%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1374	55.47%	24.30%
23	2011-04-02	17.38	Rudar Velenje	4	1355	37.82%	@ Triglav	1	1287	35.68%	26.50%
24	2010-09-22	16.95	@ Nafta	3	1366	46.28%	Gorica	0	1358	27.75%	25.97%
25	2010-08-14	16.80	@ Domzale	3	1331	46.62%	Triglav	0	1321	27.45%	25.93%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-05-04	66.2	@ Maribor	2	1498	51.83%	Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1446	23.06%	25.11%
2	2011-05-04	65.4	@ Luka Koper	3	1419	53.09%	Rudar Velenje	3	1357	22.06%	24.85%
3	2010-08-07	63.7	@ Gorica	3	1354	49.23%	Celje	3	1323	25.20%	25.57%
4	2010-09-10	63.4	@ Nafta	3	1341	52.46%	Rudar Velenje	3	1284	22.56%	24.98%
5	2011-04-09	63.0	@ Domzale	2	1398	37.02%	Maribor	2	1457	36.47%	26.51%
6	2010-07-25	60.3	@ Gorica	2	1364	46.19%	Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1357	27.83%	25.98%
7	2011-03-16	60.3	@ Luka Koper	2	1383	54.99%	Gorica	2	1304	20.59%	24.41%
8	2011-05-14	60.0	@ Maribor	1	1493	53.92%	Luka Koper	1	1424	21.41%	24.67%
9	2010-09-22	59.9	@ Triglav	2	1260	24.73%	Maribor	2	1417	49.79%	25.48%
10	2011-02-22	59.9	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1357	49.48%	Rudar Velenje	2	1324	24.99%	25.53%
11	2011-04-02	59.7	@ Primorje	2	1194	18.96%	Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1412	57.21%	23.83%
12	2010-10-23	59.4	@ Gorica	2	1321	42.50%	Luka Koper	2	1341	31.19%	26.32%
13	2010-11-06	59.4	@ Nafta	2	1336	53.67%	Celje	2	1269	21.61%	24.73%
14	2010-11-20	59.1	@ Maribor	1	1486	56.36%	Domzale	1	1396	19.58%	24.07%
15	2010-10-31	58.7	Rudar Velenje	3	1286	19.46%	@ Domzale	2	1378	56.52%	24.02%
16	2011-03-05	58.0	Gorica	2	1294	12.11%	@ Maribor	1	1497	68.02%	19.88%
17	2011-05-29	58.0	Primorje	3	1168	17.85%	@ Celje	2	1280	58.77%	23.38%
18	2010-10-02	57.6	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1340	25.08%	@ Nafta	2	1372	49.37%	25.55%
19	2011-05-07	56.2	@ Nafta	1	1256	17.23%	Maribor	1	1497	59.68%	23.09%
20	2010-09-11	55.7	@ Maribor	1	1418	57.93%	Primorje	1	1314	18.44%	23.63%
21	2010-10-16	55.0	@ Domzale	1	1367	45.69%	Nafta	1	1364	28.27%	26.04%
22	2010-07-31	54.6	@ Luka Koper	1	1369	52.24%	Triglav	1	1314	22.73%	25.03%
23	2011-04-16	54.3	@ Primorje	1	1184	18.21%	Luka Koper	1	1412	58.26%	23.53%
24	2010-08-14	54.1	@ Celje	1	1324	41.94%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1348	31.71%	26.35%
25	2010-07-24	53.7	@ Triglav	1	1315	46.73%	Celje	1	1303	27.35%	25.92%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-05-14	26.4	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1445	73.45%	Primorje	0	1180	9.30%	17.25%
2	2011-04-05	29.2	@ Maribor	2	1453	72.77%	Primorje	0	1195	9.63%	17.60%
3	2011-05-21	30.4	@ Rudar Velenje	4	1334	57.69%	Nafta	0	1232	18.61%	23.70%
4	2011-03-19	32.1	@ Maribor	2	1472	67.42%	Celje	0	1275	12.44%	20.14%
5	2010-11-06	32.6	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1343	53.42%	Primorje	0	1278	21.80%	24.78%
6	2011-04-30	32.6	@ Domzale	1	1395	70.20%	Primorje	0	1168	10.94%	18.87%
7	2011-04-15	33.4	@ Domzale	2	1398	59.81%	Celje	0	1277	17.14%	23.05%
8	2010-10-30	34.0	Maribor	4	1462	52.02%	@ Celje	0	1288	22.91%	25.07%
9	2010-11-06	34.6	@ Rudar Velenje	5	1296	45.28%	Triglav	0	1295	28.64%	26.08%
10	2010-08-14	34.9	@ Domzale	3	1331	46.62%	Triglav	0	1321	27.45%	25.93%
11	2010-11-20	34.9	@ Celje	3	1259	44.13%	Primorje	0	1267	29.67%	26.19%
12	2010-07-18	35.0	@ Maribor	5	1357	47.22%	Triglav	0	1341	26.92%	25.86%
13	2011-03-05	35.2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1369	53.57%	Nafta	0	1303	21.68%	24.75%
14	2011-05-11	35.3	@ Triglav	4	1221	40.13%	Nafta	0	1258	33.43%	26.44%
15	2011-04-01	35.4	@ Domzale	2	1388	54.31%	Gorica	0	1316	21.11%	24.58%
16	2010-08-22	35.5	@ Maribor	2	1401	54.95%	Celje	0	1323	20.62%	24.42%
17	2011-03-13	35.7	@ Triglav	2	1282	48.68%	Primorje	0	1256	25.67%	25.65%
18	2011-03-19	35.7	@ Gorica	4	1306	57.66%	Primorje	1	1204	18.63%	23.70%
19	2011-04-22	35.7	@ Celje	2	1269	48.25%	Triglav	0	1246	26.04%	25.72%
20	2010-09-22	35.9	@ Nafta	3	1366	46.28%	Gorica	0	1358	27.75%	25.97%
21	2011-04-09	35.9	@ Luka Koper	4	1403	60.74%	Nafta	1	1273	16.52%	22.74%
22	2011-04-01	36.0	@ Celje	3	1270	41.17%	Nafta	0	1299	32.43%	26.40%
23	2010-10-10	36.1	@ Primorje	2	1325	48.89%	Celje	0	1296	25.49%	25.62%
24	2010-11-06	36.1	@ Maribor	2	1481	60.41%	Luka Koper	0	1354	16.74%	22.85%
25	2011-03-19	36.1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1390	46.34%	Luka Koper	0	1382	27.69%	25.96%