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2011-12 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Maribor

85 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Maribor

15.06 points above expected

85 points · 69.94 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Domzale

10.23 points below expected

40 points · 50.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Maribor 36 26 7 3 85 88 35 +53 69.94 +15.06
2 Olimpija Ljubljana 36 19 8 9 65 60 38 +22 58.46 +6.54
3 ND Mura 05 36 18 5 13 59 52 46 +6 52.10 +6.90
4 Luka Koper 36 16 10 10 58 48 35 +13 53.61 +4.39
5 Gorica 36 14 11 11 53 49 37 +12 53.80 -0.80
6 Rudar Velenje 36 11 10 15 43 55 54 +1 50.69 -7.69
7 Domzale 36 11 7 18 40 39 52 -13 50.23 -10.23
8 Celje 36 9 10 17 37 44 56 -12 43.54 -6.54
9 Triglav 36 9 6 21 33 22 67 -45 29.70 +3.30
10 Nafta 36 5 10 21 25 34 71 -37 35.15 -10.15

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Maribor 85 69.94 +15.06
2 ND Mura 05 59 52.10 +6.90
3 Olimpija Ljubljana 65 58.46 +6.54
4 Luka Koper 58 53.61 +4.39
5 Triglav 33 29.70 +3.30

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Domzale 40 50.23 -10.23
2 Nafta 25 35.15 -10.15
3 Rudar Velenje 43 50.69 -7.69
4 Celje 37 43.54 -6.54
5 Gorica 53 53.80 -0.80

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Triglav 3 May 12 – May 20 1 in 301
2 ND Mura 05 6 Nov 20 – Mar 11 1 in 161
3 Gorica 4 Aug 6 – Aug 28 1 in 68
4 Olimpija Ljubljana 3 Aug 14 – Aug 28 1 in 21
5 Maribor 7 Apr 7 – May 17 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 ND Mura 05 4 Jul 31 – Aug 21 1 in 106
2 Domzale 4 Nov 5 – Nov 26 1 in 70
3 Triglav 7 Sep 28 – Nov 19 1 in 47
4 Nafta 6 Apr 3 – May 5 1 in 38
5 Celje 4 Mar 25 – Apr 7 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Luka Koper 12 Mar 10 – May 12 1 in 74
2 ND Mura 05 8 Aug 28 – Oct 16 1 in 49
3 Rudar Velenje 9 Aug 20 – Oct 22 1 in 45
4 Triglav 3 May 12 – May 20 1 in 21
5 Maribor 14 Mar 10 – May 20 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nafta 18 Nov 23 – May 20 1 in 145
2 Luka Koper 7 Jul 17 – Aug 27 1 in 32
3 Triglav 14 Sep 11 – Dec 4 1 in 32
4 ND Mura 05 6 Jul 23 – Aug 28 1 in 28
5 Gorica 5 Apr 14 – May 12 1 in 24

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Maribor 1614 85 +19 13 10.4 +2.6
Olimpija Ljubljana 1496 65 +27 10 8.4 +1.6
ND Mura 05 1441 59 +10 9 7.9 +1.1
Luka Koper 1468 58 +7 10 8.7 +1.3
Gorica 1395 53 -19 5 8.7 -3.7
Rudar Velenje 1358 43 -33 4 6.9 -2.9
Domzale 1316 40 -3 4 5.1 -1.1
Celje 1289 37 -17 4 6.2 -2.2
Triglav 1225 33 +44 10 3.1 +6.9
Nafta 1182 25 -35 1 4.1 -3.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CEL DOM GOR LK MAR NM0 NAF OL RV TRI
Celje —
2-0-2
4.85
0-2-2
4.71
2-1-1
4.50
0-0-4
2.81
0-0-4
4.58
2-2-0
6.36
1-2-1
3.76
0-3-1
4.68
2-0-2
7.29
Domzale
2-0-2
6.17
 —
1-1-2
4.87
1-1-2
5.06
0-1-3
3.41
2-1-1
5.06
2-1-1
7.13
0-0-4
4.26
1-1-2
5.52
2-1-1
7.52
Gorica
2-2-0
6.32
2-1-1
6.17
 —
2-1-1
5.35
0-2-2
3.64
1-1-2
5.33
3-1-0
7.59
2-0-2
4.83
1-1-2
5.97
1-2-1
8.26
Luka Koper
1-1-2
6.53
2-1-1
5.98
1-1-2
5.67
 —
0-3-1
3.46
1-1-2
5.49
3-1-0
7.20
2-1-1
4.96
3-1-0
5.64
3-0-1
8.04
Maribor
4-0-0
8.33
3-1-0
7.70
2-2-0
7.42
1-3-0
7.61
 —
4-0-0
7.42
3-0-1
8.60
2-1-1
7.06
4-0-0
7.38
3-0-1
9.15
ND Mura 05
4-0-0
6.45
1-1-2
5.97
2-1-1
5.69
2-1-1
5.52
0-0-4
3.65
 —
2-1-1
7.27
2-0-2
4.52
2-1-1
5.55
3-0-1
8.03
Nafta
0-2-2
4.66
1-1-2
3.92
0-1-3
3.48
0-1-3
3.88
1-0-3
2.57
1-1-2
3.79
 —
0-2-2
3.53
1-1-2
3.74
1-1-2
6.22
Olimpija Ljubljana
1-2-1
7.29
4-0-0
6.79
2-0-2
6.19
1-1-2
6.06
1-1-2
3.98
2-0-2
6.50
2-2-0
7.56
 —
3-1-0
6.08
3-1-0
8.40
Rudar Velenje
1-3-0
6.34
2-1-1
5.49
2-1-1
5.04
0-1-3
5.38
0-0-4
3.68
1-1-2
5.46
2-1-1
7.32
0-1-3
4.93
 —
3-1-0
7.58
Triglav
2-0-2
3.77
1-1-2
3.55
1-2-1
2.87
1-0-3
3.09
1-0-3
2.11
1-0-3
3.08
2-1-1
4.80
0-1-3
2.75
0-1-3
3.51
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +9.1
Allowed 0.77 -11.8
Differential 0.91 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%7.50%6.39%3.89%1.11%1.67%28.89%
17.50%11.11%8.89%3.89%1.39%0.28%33.06%
26.39%8.89%3.33%1.67%0.56%0.56%21.39%
33.89%3.89%1.67%0.56%0.56%—10.56%
41.11%1.39%0.56%0.56%——3.61%
5+1.67%0.28%0.56%———2.50%
Total28.89%33.06%21.39%10.56%3.61%2.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.36 +0.00
SD 1.31 1.31 2.01
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%5.56%—30.56%
12.78%13.89%11.11%5.56%——33.33%
28.33%2.78%—5.56%—2.78%19.44%
38.33%2.78%—2.78%2.78%—16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%25.00%16.67%16.67%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.56 -0.33
SD 1.07 1.44 1.82
CV 0.88 0.93 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%8.33%5.56%—2.78%33.33%
15.56%11.11%16.67%2.78%2.78%—38.89%
211.11%5.56%—2.78%——19.44%
32.78%—————2.78%
42.78%——2.78%——5.56%
5+———————
Total30.56%25.00%25.00%13.89%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.44 -0.36
SD 1.08 1.38 1.93
CV 1.00 0.96 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
12.78%13.89%11.11%———27.78%
25.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+———————
Total27.78%47.22%19.44%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.03 +0.33
SD 1.25 0.84 1.51
CV 0.92 0.82 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%2.78%—2.78%—27.78%
111.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%—33.33%
28.33%8.33%5.56%———22.22%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%38.89%13.89%2.78%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.97 +0.36
SD 1.17 1.08 1.73
CV 0.88 1.11 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—2.78%———8.33%
12.78%5.56%2.78%—2.78%—13.89%
211.11%22.22%8.33%———41.67%
35.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+8.33%—2.78%———11.11%
Total33.33%41.67%22.22%—2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.44 0.97 +1.47
SD 1.68 0.91 2.08
CV 0.69 0.94 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%2.78%——2.78%19.44%
116.67%5.56%2.78%16.67%——41.67%
25.56%11.11%2.78%———19.44%
38.33%2.78%——2.78%—13.89%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%27.78%11.11%16.67%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.28 +0.17
SD 1.13 1.45 1.98
CV 0.78 1.13 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%11.11%5.56%—5.56%30.56%
12.78%19.44%19.44%5.56%2.78%—50.00%
25.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%—2.78%16.67%
3———————
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total13.89%25.00%36.11%13.89%2.78%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.97 -1.03
SD 0.86 1.50 1.83
CV 0.91 0.76 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
113.89%8.33%8.33%———30.56%
25.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
32.78%13.89%2.78%———19.44%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%38.89%19.44%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.06 +0.61
SD 1.33 1.01 1.69
CV 0.80 0.96 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
18.33%13.89%8.33%5.56%2.78%—38.89%
2—2.78%5.56%—2.78%—11.11%
32.78%—5.56%2.78%——11.11%
4———————
5+5.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
Total22.22%30.56%27.78%13.89%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.50 +0.03
SD 1.63 1.16 2.10
CV 1.07 0.77 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%19.44%13.89%2.78%5.56%61.11%
18.33%8.33%2.78%——2.78%22.22%
22.78%11.11%————13.89%
3———————
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%30.56%22.22%16.67%2.78%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.61 1.86 -1.25
SD 0.93 1.71 2.10
CV 1.53 0.92 —
Max 4 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Maribor 1614 85 69.94 +15.06 99.0% 53 58 65 70 75 81 91
Olimpija Ljubljana 1496 65 58.46 +6.54 86.0% 37 46 54 58 63 69 77
Luka Koper 1468 58 53.61 +4.39 76.0% 38 43 48 54 58 65 71
ND Mura 05 1441 59 52.10 +6.90 82.0% 34 39 47 51 58 65 71
Gorica 1395 53 53.80 -0.80 51.0% 33 40 49 53 59 67 70
Rudar Velenje 1358 43 50.69 -7.69 21.0% 35 38 46 51 56 63 70
Domzale 1316 40 50.23 -10.23 8.0% 34 36 45 51 55 61 67
Celje 1289 37 43.54 -6.54 23.0% 24 32 38 43 48 55 58
Triglav 1225 33 29.70 +3.30 71.0% 11 19 25 30 34 41 47
Nafta 1182 25 35.15 -10.15 9.0% 21 25 30 35 39 46 55

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+1.11%
No Edge
38.89%23.33%37.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 3.86 Elo pts.
144 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.11 goals
Neutral
-2+0.03+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
74%
Maribor, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.56/gm
Runaway
00.240.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.78 * Some Luck: 5.78 to 8.67 * Lucky: 8.67 to 11.56 * Wild Swing: 11.56 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.06 * Close: 1.06 to 1.59 * Off: 1.59 to 2.12 * Way Off: 2.12 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.11 points
Some Luck
07.2218
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Pinpoint
01.323
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.00%
Maribor
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
8.00%
Domzale
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 131.57
2.22
Wide Separation
11.82.052.75
Interquartile Edge
72%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Dominant
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Occasional
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Slight Separation
00.310.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.29
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.75
Strong Carryover
00.420.630.791
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.98
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.090
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Maribor74.00%15.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%—————
Olimpija Ljubljana10.00%31.00%21.00%10.00%14.00%7.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—
ND Mura 053.00%12.00%14.00%16.00%16.00%16.00%9.00%10.00%4.00%—
Luka Koper4.00%13.00%16.00%17.00%13.00%17.00%13.00%5.00%2.00%—
Gorica6.00%12.00%18.00%17.00%15.00%15.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%—
Rudar Velenje2.00%9.00%9.00%19.00%14.00%14.00%17.00%10.00%5.00%1.00%
Domzale1.00%7.00%10.00%15.00%16.00%21.00%16.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%
Celje—1.00%4.00%3.00%10.00%8.00%23.00%33.00%14.00%4.00%
Triglav————1.00%—2.00%9.00%24.00%64.00%
Nafta———1.00%—2.00%7.00%18.00%42.00%30.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Gorica 96.00% 4.00% —
Luka Koper 98.00% 2.00% —
Maribor 100% — —
ND Mura 05 96.00% 4.00% —
Olimpija Ljubljana 99.00% 1.00% —
Domzale 95.00% 4.00% 1.00%
Rudar Velenje 94.00% 5.00% 1.00%
Celje 82.00% 14.00% 4.00%
Nafta 28.00% 42.00% 30.00%
Triglav 12.00% 24.00% 64.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2011-07-16 Gorica W 2-145.7 1467 1340 54.85% 23.35% 21.80%+0.91 +5.2 3
2011-07-16 @ Maribor L 1-245.7 1340 1467 21.80% 23.35% 54.85%-0.91 -5.2 0
2011-07-17 Celje L 0-342.8 1411 1326 49.74% 24.09% 26.16%+0.62 -29.3 0
2011-07-17 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 3-042.8 1326 1411 26.16% 24.09% 49.74%-0.62 +29.3 3
2011-07-17 Domzale L 0-240.4 1372 1414 32.38% 24.63% 43.00%-0.27 -14.4 0
2011-07-17 @ Rudar Velenje W 2-040.4 1414 1372 43.00% 24.63% 32.38%+0.27 +14.4 3
2011-07-17 Luka Koper W 1-045.6 1413 1413 38.13% 24.75% 37.12%+0.02 +8.5 3
2011-07-17 @ ND Mura 05 L 0-145.6 1413 1413 37.12% 24.75% 38.13%-0.02 -8.5 0
2011-07-17 Nafta W 2-146.9 1327 1300 41.94% 24.67% 33.39%+0.21 +7.4 3
2011-07-17 @ Triglav L 1-246.9 1300 1327 33.39% 24.67% 41.94%-0.21 -7.3 0
2011-07-23 Maribor L 1-243.4 1293 1472 17.96% 22.33% 59.72%-1.22 -4.3 0
2011-07-23 @ Nafta W 2-143.4 1472 1293 59.72% 22.33% 17.96%+1.22 +4.3 6
2011-07-23 ND Mura 05 D 1-155.8 1335 1421 26.89% 24.18% 48.93%-0.58 +1.0 1
2011-07-23 @ Gorica D 1-155.8 1421 1335 48.93% 24.18% 26.89%+0.58 -1.0 4
2011-07-23 Triglav W 5-037.4 1358 1334 41.51% 24.69% 33.81%+0.19 +34.7 3
2011-07-23 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-537.4 1334 1358 33.81% 24.69% 41.51%-0.19 -34.7 3
2011-07-24 Celje W 1-041.7 1428 1355 48.17% 24.26% 27.57%+0.54 +6.7 6
2011-07-24 @ Domzale L 0-141.7 1355 1428 27.57% 24.26% 48.17%-0.54 -6.7 3
2011-07-24 Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-156.2 1405 1382 41.37% 24.69% 33.94%+0.18 -0.3 1
2011-07-24 @ Luka Koper D 1-156.2 1382 1405 33.94% 24.69% 41.37%-0.18 +0.3 1
2011-07-30 Luka Koper W 2-043.5 1349 1404 30.62% 24.52% 44.85%-0.36 +18.5 6
2011-07-30 @ Celje L 0-243.5 1404 1349 44.85% 24.52% 30.62%+0.36 -18.5 1
2011-07-30 Rudar Velenje W 2-148.9 1477 1392 49.61% 24.11% 26.29%+0.61 +6.1 9
2011-07-30 @ Maribor L 1-248.9 1392 1477 26.29% 24.11% 49.61%-0.61 -6.1 3
2011-07-31 Domzale L 0-433.6 1299 1435 21.76% 23.34% 54.90%-0.92 -19.5 3
2011-07-31 @ Triglav W 4-033.6 1435 1299 54.90% 23.34% 21.76%+0.92 +19.5 9
2011-07-31 Nafta L 0-245.6 1420 1289 55.31% 23.27% 21.42%+0.94 -22.1 4
2011-07-31 @ ND Mura 05 W 2-045.6 1289 1420 21.42% 23.27% 55.31%-0.94 +22.1 3
2011-07-31 Gorica W 2-147.1 1382 1336 44.72% 24.53% 30.75%+0.35 +6.9 4
2011-07-31 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-247.1 1336 1382 30.75% 24.53% 44.72%-0.35 -6.9 1
2011-08-06 Celje W 2-042.0 1329 1367 32.83% 24.65% 42.52%-0.24 +17.7 4
2011-08-06 @ Gorica L 0-242.0 1367 1329 42.52% 24.65% 32.83%+0.24 -17.7 6
2011-08-06 Luka Koper D 1-157.6 1455 1386 47.64% 24.31% 28.05%+0.51 -0.9 10
2011-08-06 @ Domzale D 1-157.6 1386 1455 28.05% 24.31% 47.64%-0.51 +0.9 2
2011-08-06 Maribor L 0-234.2 1280 1483 16.20% 21.70% 62.10%-1.39 -7.8 3
2011-08-06 @ Triglav W 2-034.2 1483 1280 62.10% 21.70% 16.20%+1.39 +7.8 12
2011-08-06 ND Mura 05 W 1-045.2 1386 1398 36.52% 24.74% 38.74%-0.05 +8.7 6
2011-08-06 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-145.2 1398 1386 38.74% 24.74% 36.52%+0.05 -8.7 4
2011-08-07 Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-154.9 1311 1389 27.81% 24.28% 47.90%-0.52 +0.9 4
2011-08-07 @ Nafta D 1-154.9 1389 1311 47.90% 24.28% 27.81%+0.52 -0.9 5
2011-08-12 Nafta D 1-154.3 1349 1312 43.49% 24.60% 31.90%+0.29 -0.5 7
2011-08-12 @ Celje D 1-154.3 1312 1349 31.90% 24.60% 43.49%-0.29 +0.5 5
2011-08-13 Domzale D 0-056.2 1490 1454 43.35% 24.61% 32.04%+0.28 -0.6 13
2011-08-13 @ Maribor D 0-056.2 1454 1490 32.04% 24.61% 43.35%-0.28 +0.6 11
2011-08-13 Gorica L 0-440.6 1387 1346 43.82% 24.59% 31.59%+0.31 -34.4 2
2011-08-13 @ Luka Koper W 4-040.6 1346 1387 31.59% 24.59% 43.82%-0.31 +34.4 7
2011-08-14 Rudar Velenje W 3-147.9 1388 1395 37.21% 24.75% 38.04%-0.02 +14.1 8
2011-08-14 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-347.9 1395 1388 38.04% 24.75% 37.21%+0.02 -14.1 6
2011-08-14 Triglav L 0-147.4 1389 1272 53.64% 23.56% 22.81%+0.84 -11.4 4
2011-08-14 @ ND Mura 05 W 1-047.4 1272 1389 22.81% 23.56% 53.64%-0.84 +11.4 6
2011-08-19 Luka Koper D 0-049.8 1312 1352 32.63% 24.64% 42.73%-0.25 +0.5 6
2011-08-19 @ Nafta D 0-049.8 1352 1312 42.73% 24.64% 32.63%+0.25 -0.5 3
2011-08-20 Celje D 3-364.8 1381 1349 42.70% 24.64% 32.66%+0.25 -0.3 7
2011-08-20 @ Rudar Velenje D 3-364.8 1349 1381 32.66% 24.64% 42.70%-0.25 +0.3 8
2011-08-20 Gorica L 0-344.4 1454 1381 48.23% 24.25% 27.52%+0.54 -28.5 11
2011-08-20 @ Domzale W 3-044.4 1381 1454 27.52% 24.25% 48.23%-0.54 +28.5 10
2011-08-21 ND Mura 05 W 6-038.1 1490 1378 53.03% 23.65% 23.31%+0.81 +30.4 16
2011-08-21 @ Maribor L 0-638.1 1378 1490 23.31% 23.65% 53.03%-0.81 -30.4 4
2011-08-21 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-138.7 1284 1402 23.40% 23.67% 52.93%-0.80 -5.8 6
2011-08-21 @ Triglav W 1-038.7 1402 1284 52.93% 23.67% 23.40%+0.80 +5.8 11
2011-08-27 Rudar Velenje D 1-155.2 1352 1381 34.10% 24.69% 41.21%-0.18 +0.3 4
2011-08-27 @ Luka Koper D 1-155.2 1381 1352 41.21% 24.69% 34.10%+0.18 -0.3 8
2011-08-27 Triglav L 1-251.2 1349 1278 47.98% 24.28% 27.74%+0.52 -9.8 8
2011-08-27 @ Celje W 2-151.2 1278 1349 27.74% 24.28% 47.98%-0.52 +9.8 9
2011-08-28 Domzale D 1-156.1 1347 1426 27.86% 24.29% 47.86%-0.52 +0.9 5
2011-08-28 @ ND Mura 05 D 1-156.1 1426 1347 47.86% 24.29% 27.86%+0.52 -0.9 12
2011-08-28 Maribor W 4-153.4 1408 1520 24.11% 23.79% 52.10%-0.75 +25.7 14
2011-08-28 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-453.4 1520 1408 52.10% 23.79% 24.11%+0.75 -25.7 16
2011-08-28 Nafta W 2-145.2 1409 1313 51.17% 23.92% 24.91%+0.70 +5.8 13
2011-08-28 @ Gorica L 1-245.2 1313 1409 24.91% 23.92% 51.17%-0.70 -5.8 6
2011-09-10 Celje W 5-243.0 1494 1339 57.95% 22.74% 19.31%+1.11 +9.8 19
2011-09-10 @ Maribor L 2-543.0 1339 1494 19.31% 22.74% 57.95%-1.11 -9.8 8
2011-09-10 Nafta W 2-144.6 1425 1307 53.73% 23.54% 22.73%+0.85 +5.3 15
2011-09-10 @ Domzale L 1-244.6 1307 1425 22.73% 23.54% 53.73%-0.85 -5.4 6
2011-09-10 Gorica W 1-046.4 1380 1415 33.33% 24.67% 42.00%-0.22 +9.3 11
2011-09-10 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-146.4 1415 1380 42.00% 24.67% 33.33%+0.22 -9.3 13
2011-09-11 Luka Koper L 0-335.6 1288 1352 29.51% 24.44% 46.05%-0.42 -19.4 9
2011-09-11 @ Triglav W 3-035.6 1352 1288 46.05% 24.44% 29.51%+0.42 +19.4 7
2011-09-11 Olimpija Ljubljana W 4-254.8 1348 1434 27.00% 24.19% 48.80%-0.57 +15.4 8
2011-09-11 @ ND Mura 05 L 2-454.8 1434 1348 48.80% 24.19% 27.00%+0.57 -15.4 14
2011-09-17 Domzale W 3-149.7 1419 1430 36.53% 24.74% 38.73%-0.05 +14.3 17
2011-09-17 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-349.7 1430 1419 38.73% 24.74% 36.53%+0.05 -14.3 15
2011-09-17 ND Mura 05 L 0-142.1 1330 1364 33.42% 24.67% 41.91%-0.21 -7.8 8
2011-09-17 @ Celje W 1-042.1 1364 1330 41.91% 24.67% 33.42%+0.21 +7.8 11
2011-09-17 Rudar Velenje L 1-245.4 1302 1390 26.70% 24.16% 49.14%-0.59 -6.1 6
2011-09-17 @ Nafta W 2-145.4 1390 1302 49.14% 24.16% 26.70%+0.59 +6.1 14
2011-09-17 Triglav D 0-050.3 1406 1268 56.02% 23.13% 20.84%+0.99 -1.9 14
2011-09-17 @ Gorica D 0-050.3 1268 1406 20.84% 23.13% 56.02%-0.99 +1.9 10
2011-09-18 Maribor D 2-264.6 1371 1504 22.01% 23.40% 54.59%-0.90 +1.2 8
2011-09-18 @ Luka Koper D 2-264.6 1504 1371 54.59% 23.40% 22.01%+0.90 -1.2 20
2011-09-20 Rudar Velenje L 2-357.1 1416 1396 41.01% 24.70% 34.28%+0.17 -8.2 15
2011-09-20 @ Domzale W 3-257.1 1396 1416 34.28% 24.70% 41.01%-0.17 +8.2 17
2011-09-21 Maribor D 1-159.7 1404 1503 25.48% 24.00% 50.52%-0.66 +1.2 15
2011-09-21 @ Gorica D 1-159.7 1503 1404 50.52% 24.00% 25.48%+0.66 -1.2 21
2011-09-21 ND Mura 05 D 0-050.8 1373 1372 38.32% 24.75% 36.94%+0.03 -0.1 9
2011-09-21 @ Luka Koper D 0-050.8 1372 1373 36.94% 24.75% 38.32%-0.03 +0.1 12
2011-09-21 Olimpija Ljubljana D 0-051.3 1322 1433 24.22% 23.81% 51.98%-0.75 +1.5 9
2011-09-21 @ Celje D 0-051.3 1433 1322 51.98% 23.81% 24.22%+0.75 -1.5 18
2011-09-21 Triglav W 1-041.0 1295 1270 41.77% 24.68% 33.56%+0.20 +7.8 9
2011-09-21 @ Nafta L 0-141.0 1270 1295 33.56% 24.68% 41.77%-0.20 -7.8 10
2011-09-24 Domzale W 3-042.4 1323 1408 27.14% 24.21% 48.64%-0.56 +28.7 12
2011-09-24 @ Celje L 0-342.4 1408 1323 48.64% 24.21% 27.14%+0.56 -28.7 15
2011-09-24 Luka Koper W 3-145.6 1431 1372 46.34% 24.42% 29.25%+0.44 +11.5 21
2011-09-24 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-345.6 1372 1431 29.25% 24.42% 46.34%-0.44 -11.5 9
2011-09-25 Nafta L 0-249.0 1502 1303 62.47% 21.59% 15.94%+1.41 -24.6 21
2011-09-25 @ Maribor W 2-049.0 1303 1502 15.94% 21.59% 62.47%-1.41 +24.6 12
2011-09-25 Gorica W 1-045.9 1372 1405 33.50% 24.67% 41.83%-0.21 +9.3 15
2011-09-25 @ ND Mura 05 L 0-145.9 1405 1372 41.83% 24.67% 33.50%+0.21 -9.3 15
2011-09-25 Rudar Velenje D 0-050.2 1262 1404 21.18% 23.21% 55.61%-0.96 +1.9 11
2011-09-25 @ Triglav D 0-050.2 1404 1262 55.61% 23.21% 21.18%+0.96 -1.9 18
2011-09-27 Celje L 1-249.7 1361 1352 39.45% 24.73% 35.81%+0.09 -8.4 9
2011-09-27 @ Luka Koper W 2-149.7 1352 1361 35.81% 24.73% 39.45%-0.09 +8.4 15
2011-09-28 ND Mura 05 D 2-260.7 1328 1381 30.93% 24.55% 44.52%-0.34 +0.5 13
2011-09-28 @ Nafta D 2-260.7 1381 1328 44.52% 24.55% 30.93%+0.34 -0.5 16
2011-09-28 Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-153.5 1396 1443 31.72% 24.59% 43.69%-0.30 +9.1 18
2011-09-28 @ Gorica L 1-253.5 1443 1396 43.69% 24.59% 31.72%+0.30 -9.0 21
2011-09-28 Triglav W 2-035.3 1379 1264 53.37% 23.60% 23.03%+0.83 +10.8 18
2011-09-28 @ Domzale L 0-235.3 1264 1379 23.03% 23.60% 53.37%-0.83 -10.8 11
2011-10-01 Domzale W 2-151.0 1353 1390 33.02% 24.66% 42.33%-0.23 +8.8 12
2011-10-01 @ Luka Koper L 1-251.0 1390 1353 42.33% 24.66% 33.02%+0.23 -8.8 18
2011-10-01 Nafta D 1-156.0 1434 1328 52.25% 23.77% 23.98%+0.76 -1.3 22
2011-10-01 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-156.0 1328 1434 23.98% 23.77% 52.25%-0.76 +1.3 14
2011-10-02 Gorica L 1-248.3 1360 1405 32.04% 24.61% 43.35%-0.28 -7.1 15
2011-10-02 @ Celje W 2-148.3 1405 1360 43.35% 24.61% 32.04%+0.28 +7.1 21
2011-10-02 Rudar Velenje D 0-051.5 1380 1402 35.10% 24.72% 40.17%-0.12 +0.2 17
2011-10-02 @ ND Mura 05 D 0-051.5 1402 1380 40.17% 24.72% 35.10%+0.12 -0.3 19
2011-10-02 Triglav W 2-032.9 1477 1253 64.91% 20.84% 14.25%+1.59 +6.8 24
2011-10-02 @ Maribor L 0-232.9 1253 1477 14.25% 20.84% 64.91%-1.59 -6.8 11
2011-10-15 Celje L 0-239.6 1330 1353 34.83% 24.72% 40.45%-0.14 -15.2 14
2011-10-15 @ Nafta W 2-039.6 1353 1330 40.45% 24.72% 34.83%+0.14 +15.2 18
2011-10-15 Luka Koper W 4-142.8 1412 1361 45.22% 24.50% 30.28%+0.38 +16.7 24
2011-10-15 @ Gorica L 1-442.8 1361 1412 30.28% 24.50% 45.22%-0.38 -16.7 12
2011-10-15 Maribor L 1-443.3 1381 1484 25.03% 23.93% 51.04%-0.69 -14.2 18
2011-10-15 @ Domzale W 4-143.3 1484 1381 51.04% 23.93% 25.03%+0.69 +14.2 27
2011-10-15 Olimpija Ljubljana D 2-263.1 1402 1432 33.90% 24.69% 41.41%-0.19 +0.2 20
2011-10-15 @ Rudar Velenje D 2-263.1 1432 1402 41.41% 24.69% 33.90%+0.19 -0.2 23
2011-10-16 ND Mura 05 L 1-243.1 1246 1381 21.89% 23.37% 54.74%-0.91 -5.2 11
2011-10-16 @ Triglav W 2-143.1 1381 1246 54.74% 23.37% 21.89%+0.91 +5.2 20
2011-10-22 Domzale L 0-343.1 1429 1367 46.75% 24.39% 28.86%+0.46 -27.8 24
2011-10-22 @ Gorica W 3-043.1 1367 1429 28.86% 24.39% 46.75%-0.46 +27.8 21
2011-10-22 Rudar Velenje L 2-354.0 1368 1402 33.48% 24.67% 41.85%-0.21 -7.0 18
2011-10-22 @ Celje W 3-254.0 1402 1368 41.85% 24.67% 33.48%+0.21 +7.0 23
2011-10-22 Triglav W 1-035.9 1432 1241 61.70% 21.81% 16.49%+1.36 +4.2 26
2011-10-22 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-135.9 1241 1432 16.49% 21.81% 61.70%-1.36 -4.2 11
2011-10-23 Maribor L 1-346.0 1386 1498 24.05% 23.78% 52.17%-0.76 -9.7 20
2011-10-23 @ ND Mura 05 W 3-146.0 1498 1386 52.17% 23.78% 24.05%+0.76 +9.7 30
2011-10-23 Nafta W 4-142.0 1345 1314 42.47% 24.65% 32.88%+0.24 +17.8 15
2011-10-23 @ Luka Koper L 1-442.0 1314 1345 32.88% 24.65% 42.47%-0.24 -17.8 14
2011-10-29 Luka Koper L 0-146.7 1409 1363 44.68% 24.54% 30.78%+0.35 -9.8 23
2011-10-29 @ Rudar Velenje W 1-046.7 1363 1409 30.78% 24.54% 44.68%-0.35 +9.8 18
2011-10-29 Gorica L 2-350.0 1297 1401 24.92% 23.92% 51.16%-0.70 -5.5 14
2011-10-29 @ Nafta W 3-250.0 1401 1297 51.16% 23.92% 24.92%+0.70 +5.5 27
2011-10-29 ND Mura 05 W 2-149.2 1394 1376 40.78% 24.71% 34.51%+0.15 +7.5 24
2011-10-29 @ Domzale L 1-249.2 1376 1394 34.51% 24.71% 40.78%-0.15 -7.6 20
2011-10-30 Celje L 0-137.7 1237 1362 22.84% 23.56% 53.60%-0.84 -5.7 11
2011-10-30 @ Triglav W 1-037.7 1362 1237 53.60% 23.56% 22.84%+0.84 +5.7 21
2011-10-30 Olimpija Ljubljana D 2-266.7 1508 1436 48.03% 24.27% 27.70%+0.53 -0.7 31
2011-10-30 @ Maribor D 2-266.7 1436 1508 27.70% 24.27% 48.03%-0.53 +0.7 27
2011-11-05 Domzale W 2-152.9 1291 1402 24.23% 23.81% 51.97%-0.75 +10.5 17
2011-11-05 @ Nafta L 1-252.9 1402 1291 51.97% 23.81% 24.23%+0.75 -10.5 24
2011-11-05 Rudar Velenje D 2-262.4 1406 1399 39.19% 24.74% 36.08%+0.08 -0.1 28
2011-11-05 @ Gorica D 2-262.4 1399 1406 36.08% 24.74% 39.19%-0.08 +0.1 24
2011-11-05 Triglav W 3-032.2 1372 1231 56.39% 23.06% 20.54%+1.01 +14.2 21
2011-11-05 @ Luka Koper L 0-332.2 1231 1372 20.54% 23.06% 56.39%-1.01 -14.2 11
2011-11-06 Maribor L 2-352.5 1367 1507 21.32% 23.25% 55.43%-0.95 -4.8 21
2011-11-06 @ Celje W 3-252.5 1507 1367 55.43% 23.25% 21.32%+0.95 +4.8 34
2011-11-06 ND Mura 05 W 3-145.3 1437 1369 47.59% 24.31% 28.09%+0.50 +11.1 30
2011-11-06 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-345.3 1369 1437 28.09% 24.31% 47.59%-0.50 -11.1 20
2011-11-12 Maribor L 0-339.3 1399 1512 24.03% 23.78% 52.20%-0.76 -16.3 24
2011-11-12 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-039.3 1512 1399 52.20% 23.78% 24.03%+0.76 +16.3 37
2011-11-19 Luka Koper W 2-148.3 1529 1387 56.51% 23.04% 20.45%+1.02 +4.9 40
2011-11-19 @ Maribor L 1-248.3 1387 1529 20.45% 23.04% 56.51%-1.02 -4.9 21
2011-11-19 Nafta L 2-453.4 1383 1302 49.28% 24.14% 26.58%+0.60 -15.5 24
2011-11-19 @ Rudar Velenje W 4-253.4 1302 1383 26.58% 24.14% 49.28%-0.60 +15.5 20
2011-11-19 Gorica L 0-232.9 1217 1406 17.20% 22.07% 60.73%-1.29 -8.3 11
2011-11-19 @ Triglav W 2-032.9 1406 1217 60.73% 22.07% 17.20%+1.29 +8.3 31
2011-11-19 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-144.0 1392 1448 30.48% 24.52% 45.00%-0.37 -7.3 24
2011-11-19 @ Domzale W 1-044.0 1448 1392 45.00% 24.52% 30.48%+0.37 +7.3 33
2011-11-20 Celje W 4-038.6 1357 1362 37.47% 24.75% 37.78%-0.01 +30.7 23
2011-11-20 @ ND Mura 05 L 0-438.6 1362 1357 37.78% 24.75% 37.47%+0.01 -30.7 21
2011-11-23 Celje D 0-052.0 1455 1332 54.41% 23.43% 22.16%+0.89 -1.7 34
2011-11-23 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 0-052.0 1332 1455 22.16% 23.43% 54.41%-0.89 +1.7 22
2011-11-23 Domzale W 6-040.5 1368 1384 35.82% 24.73% 39.45%-0.09 +46.4 27
2011-11-23 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-640.5 1384 1368 39.45% 24.73% 35.82%+0.09 -46.4 24
2011-11-23 Luka Koper W 1-044.1 1388 1382 39.11% 24.74% 36.15%+0.07 +8.3 26
2011-11-23 @ ND Mura 05 L 0-144.1 1382 1388 36.15% 24.74% 39.11%-0.07 -8.3 21
2011-11-23 Nafta D 1-153.7 1209 1317 24.51% 23.85% 51.63%-0.73 +1.3 12
2011-11-23 @ Triglav D 1-153.7 1317 1209 51.63% 23.85% 24.51%+0.73 -1.3 21
2011-11-23 Gorica W 2-150.3 1533 1415 53.85% 23.52% 22.63%+0.85 +5.3 43
2011-11-23 @ Maribor L 1-250.3 1415 1533 22.63% 23.52% 53.85%-0.85 -5.3 31
2011-11-26 Celje L 0-240.6 1338 1333 38.81% 24.74% 36.45%+0.06 -16.5 24
2011-11-26 @ Domzale W 2-040.6 1333 1338 36.45% 24.74% 38.81%-0.06 +16.5 25
2011-11-26 Maribor L 0-334.0 1316 1539 14.81% 21.11% 64.08%-1.53 -10.3 21
2011-11-26 @ Nafta W 3-034.0 1539 1316 64.08% 21.11% 14.81%+1.53 +10.3 46
2011-11-26 ND Mura 05 L 1-251.6 1409 1396 40.00% 24.73% 35.28%+0.12 -8.4 31
2011-11-26 @ Gorica W 2-151.6 1396 1409 35.28% 24.73% 40.00%-0.12 +8.5 29
2011-11-26 Triglav W 3-030.4 1414 1210 62.98% 21.44% 15.58%+1.45 +10.9 30
2011-11-26 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-330.4 1210 1414 15.58% 21.44% 62.98%-1.45 -10.9 12
2011-11-27 Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-046.0 1373 1454 27.61% 24.26% 48.13%-0.53 +19.6 24
2011-11-27 @ Luka Koper L 0-246.0 1454 1373 48.13% 24.26% 27.61%+0.53 -19.6 34
2011-12-04 Domzale D 1-153.7 1199 1321 23.08% 23.61% 53.31%-0.82 +1.4 13
2011-12-04 @ Triglav D 1-153.7 1321 1199 53.31% 23.61% 23.08%+0.82 -1.4 25
2011-12-04 Luka Koper L 0-437.3 1350 1393 32.23% 24.62% 43.15%-0.27 -27.2 25
2011-12-04 @ Celje W 4-037.3 1393 1350 43.15% 24.62% 32.23%+0.27 +27.2 27
2011-12-04 Nafta W 2-036.6 1405 1305 51.51% 23.87% 24.62%+0.72 +11.5 32
2011-12-04 @ ND Mura 05 L 0-236.6 1305 1405 24.62% 23.87% 51.51%-0.72 -11.5 21
2011-12-04 Gorica L 1-253.1 1434 1401 42.87% 24.63% 32.50%+0.26 -8.9 34
2011-12-04 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-153.1 1401 1434 32.50% 24.63% 42.87%-0.26 +8.9 34
2011-12-04 Rudar Velenje W 1-045.5 1549 1425 54.46% 23.42% 22.12%+0.89 +5.5 49
2011-12-04 @ Maribor L 0-145.5 1425 1549 22.12% 23.42% 54.46%-0.89 -5.5 30
2012-03-03 Celje D 1-155.4 1410 1323 49.95% 24.07% 25.98%+0.63 -1.1 35
2012-03-03 @ Gorica D 1-155.4 1323 1410 25.98% 24.07% 49.95%-0.63 +1.1 26
2012-03-03 Luka Koper W 1-047.7 1320 1420 25.36% 23.98% 50.66%-0.67 +10.9 28
2012-03-03 @ Domzale L 0-147.7 1420 1320 50.66% 23.98% 25.36%+0.67 -10.9 27
2012-03-03 ND Mura 05 L 1-251.9 1419 1416 38.62% 24.74% 36.64%+0.05 -8.2 30
2012-03-03 @ Rudar Velenje W 2-151.9 1416 1419 36.64% 24.74% 38.62%-0.05 +8.2 35
2012-03-03 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-634.4 1294 1425 22.18% 23.43% 54.38%-0.89 -29.1 21
2012-03-03 @ Nafta W 6-034.4 1425 1294 54.38% 23.43% 22.18%+0.89 +29.1 37
2012-03-04 Maribor W 2-158.6 1201 1555 8.29% 16.74% 74.97%-2.44 +14.2 16
2012-03-04 @ Triglav L 1-258.6 1555 1201 74.97% 16.74% 8.29%+2.44 -14.2 49
2012-03-10 Domzale W 2-144.8 1540 1331 63.54% 21.27% 15.19%+1.49 +3.6 52
2012-03-10 @ Maribor L 1-244.8 1331 1540 15.19% 21.27% 63.54%-1.49 -3.7 28
2012-03-10 Nafta D 1-153.8 1324 1265 46.35% 24.42% 29.23%+0.44 -0.8 27
2012-03-10 @ Celje D 1-153.8 1265 1324 29.23% 24.42% 46.35%-0.44 +0.8 22
2012-03-10 Gorica D 0-052.3 1409 1409 38.28% 24.75% 36.97%+0.03 -0.1 28
2012-03-10 @ Luka Koper D 0-052.3 1409 1409 36.97% 24.75% 38.28%-0.03 +0.1 36
2012-03-11 Rudar Velenje W 2-150.5 1454 1411 44.20% 24.56% 31.23%+0.33 +7.0 40
2012-03-11 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-250.5 1411 1454 31.23% 24.56% 44.20%-0.33 -7.0 30
2012-03-11 Triglav W 2-032.2 1425 1215 63.54% 21.28% 15.19%+1.49 +7.3 38
2012-03-11 @ ND Mura 05 L 0-232.2 1215 1425 15.19% 21.28% 63.54%-1.49 -7.3 16
2012-03-17 Celje D 1-155.3 1404 1323 49.22% 24.15% 26.63%+0.59 -1.1 31
2012-03-17 @ Rudar Velenje D 1-155.3 1323 1404 26.63% 24.15% 49.22%-0.59 +1.1 28
2012-03-17 Luka Koper L 1-243.2 1266 1409 21.02% 23.18% 55.80%-0.97 -5.0 22
2012-03-17 @ Nafta W 2-143.2 1409 1266 55.80% 23.18% 21.02%+0.97 +5.0 31
2012-03-17 Gorica L 1-246.3 1327 1409 27.47% 24.25% 48.28%-0.54 -6.3 28
2012-03-17 @ Domzale W 2-146.3 1409 1327 48.28% 24.25% 27.47%+0.54 +6.3 39
2012-03-17 ND Mura 05 W 3-148.9 1544 1432 53.05% 23.65% 23.30%+0.81 +9.5 55
2012-03-17 @ Maribor L 1-348.9 1432 1544 23.30% 23.65% 53.05%-0.81 -9.5 38
2012-03-18 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-231.5 1208 1461 12.95% 20.16% 66.89%-1.74 -6.2 16
2012-03-18 @ Triglav W 2-031.5 1461 1208 66.89% 20.16% 12.95%+1.74 +6.2 43
2012-03-20 Rudar Velenje W 3-147.9 1414 1403 39.76% 24.73% 35.51%+0.10 +13.4 34
2012-03-20 @ Luka Koper L 1-347.9 1403 1414 35.51% 24.73% 39.76%-0.10 -13.4 31
2012-03-21 Domzale L 3-461.3 1422 1321 51.78% 23.83% 24.39%+0.73 -9.7 38
2012-03-21 @ ND Mura 05 W 4-361.3 1321 1422 24.39% 23.83% 51.78%-0.73 +9.7 31
2012-03-21 Maribor L 1-254.5 1467 1554 26.94% 24.19% 48.87%-0.57 -6.2 43
2012-03-21 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-154.5 1554 1467 48.87% 24.19% 26.94%+0.57 +6.2 58
2012-03-21 Nafta W 3-140.0 1415 1261 57.85% 22.76% 19.39%+1.10 +8.0 42
2012-03-21 @ Gorica L 1-340.0 1261 1415 19.39% 22.76% 57.85%-1.10 -8.0 22
2012-03-21 Triglav W 3-032.5 1324 1202 54.30% 23.45% 22.26%+0.88 +15.2 31
2012-03-21 @ Celje L 0-332.5 1202 1324 22.26% 23.45% 54.30%-0.88 -15.2 16
2012-03-24 Nafta D 0-049.3 1330 1253 48.79% 24.20% 27.01%+0.57 -1.1 32
2012-03-24 @ Domzale D 0-049.3 1253 1330 27.01% 24.20% 48.79%-0.57 +1.1 23
2012-03-24 Gorica W 1-046.7 1390 1423 33.55% 24.68% 41.78%-0.20 +9.3 34
2012-03-24 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-146.7 1423 1390 41.78% 24.68% 33.55%+0.20 -9.3 42
2012-03-25 Celje W 3-142.8 1560 1339 64.55% 20.96% 14.49%+1.56 +6.0 61
2012-03-25 @ Maribor L 1-342.8 1339 1560 14.49% 20.96% 64.55%-1.56 -6.0 31
2012-03-25 Luka Koper L 0-231.3 1186 1428 13.66% 20.55% 65.79%-1.65 -6.5 16
2012-03-25 @ Triglav W 2-031.3 1428 1186 65.79% 20.55% 13.66%+1.65 +6.5 37
2012-03-25 Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-049.0 1413 1461 31.53% 24.58% 43.89%-0.31 +9.6 41
2012-03-25 @ ND Mura 05 L 0-149.0 1461 1413 43.89% 24.58% 31.53%+0.31 -9.6 43
2012-03-31 Domzale W 2-037.0 1452 1329 54.24% 23.46% 22.30%+0.88 +10.5 46
2012-03-31 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-237.0 1329 1452 22.30% 23.46% 54.24%-0.88 -10.5 32
2012-03-31 ND Mura 05 L 1-343.7 1333 1422 26.61% 24.15% 49.24%-0.59 -10.6 31
2012-03-31 @ Celje W 3-143.7 1422 1333 49.24% 24.15% 26.61%+0.59 +10.6 44
2012-03-31 Rudar Velenje D 1-154.7 1254 1399 20.86% 23.14% 56.00%-0.98 +1.7 24
2012-03-31 @ Nafta D 1-154.7 1399 1254 56.00% 23.14% 20.86%+0.98 -1.7 35
2012-03-31 Triglav D 1-155.0 1414 1180 65.82% 20.54% 13.64%+1.66 -2.6 43
2012-03-31 @ Gorica D 1-155.0 1180 1414 13.64% 20.54% 65.82%-1.66 +2.6 17
2012-04-01 Maribor D 2-269.0 1434 1566 22.14% 23.42% 54.43%-0.89 +1.2 38
2012-04-01 @ Luka Koper D 2-269.0 1566 1434 54.43% 23.42% 22.14%+0.89 -1.2 62
2012-04-03 Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-245.1 1323 1462 21.41% 23.27% 55.32%-0.94 -5.1 31
2012-04-03 @ Celje W 2-145.1 1462 1323 55.32% 23.27% 21.41%+0.94 +5.1 49
2012-04-03 Triglav L 1-250.4 1256 1182 48.21% 24.25% 27.54%+0.54 -9.8 24
2012-04-03 @ Nafta W 2-150.4 1182 1256 27.54% 24.25% 48.21%-0.54 +9.8 20
2012-04-04 Maribor D 0-057.9 1411 1565 20.12% 22.95% 56.93%-1.04 +2.0 44
2012-04-04 @ Gorica D 0-057.9 1565 1411 56.93% 22.95% 20.12%+1.04 -2.0 63
2012-04-04 ND Mura 05 W 3-149.6 1435 1433 38.50% 24.75% 36.75%+0.04 +13.7 41
2012-04-04 @ Luka Koper L 1-349.6 1433 1435 36.75% 24.75% 38.50%-0.04 -13.7 44
2012-04-04 Rudar Velenje D 1-155.1 1319 1397 27.82% 24.28% 47.90%-0.52 +0.9 33
2012-04-04 @ Domzale D 1-155.1 1397 1319 47.90% 24.28% 27.82%+0.52 -0.9 36
2012-04-07 Domzale L 0-240.0 1318 1320 37.89% 24.75% 37.36%+0.01 -16.2 31
2012-04-07 @ Celje W 2-040.0 1320 1318 37.36% 24.75% 37.89%-0.01 +16.2 36
2012-04-07 Luka Koper L 0-149.4 1467 1449 40.76% 24.71% 34.53%+0.15 -9.1 49
2012-04-07 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-049.4 1449 1467 34.53% 24.71% 40.76%-0.15 +9.1 44
2012-04-07 Nafta W 6-030.6 1563 1246 72.78% 17.77% 9.45%+2.23 +12.2 66
2012-04-07 @ Maribor L 0-630.6 1246 1563 9.45% 17.77% 72.78%-2.23 -12.2 24
2012-04-07 Gorica L 0-146.4 1419 1413 39.07% 24.74% 36.19%+0.07 -8.8 44
2012-04-07 @ ND Mura 05 W 1-046.4 1413 1419 36.19% 24.74% 39.07%-0.07 +8.8 47
2012-04-07 Rudar Velenje L 1-533.8 1192 1396 16.09% 21.65% 62.26%-1.40 -12.2 20
2012-04-07 @ Triglav W 5-133.8 1396 1192 62.26% 21.65% 16.09%+1.40 +12.2 39
2012-04-14 Celje D 0-051.7 1458 1302 58.11% 22.70% 19.19%+1.12 -2.1 45
2012-04-14 @ Luka Koper D 0-051.7 1302 1458 19.19% 22.70% 58.11%-1.12 +2.1 32
2012-04-14 Maribor L 0-241.9 1409 1575 19.03% 22.66% 58.31%-1.13 -9.1 39
2012-04-14 @ Rudar Velenje W 2-041.9 1575 1409 58.31% 22.66% 19.03%+1.13 +9.1 69
2012-04-14 ND Mura 05 L 0-331.6 1234 1410 18.15% 22.39% 59.47%-1.21 -12.6 24
2012-04-14 @ Nafta W 3-031.6 1410 1234 59.47% 22.39% 18.15%+1.21 +12.6 47
2012-04-14 Olimpija Ljubljana L 2-356.6 1422 1458 33.13% 24.66% 42.21%-0.23 -6.9 47
2012-04-14 @ Gorica W 3-256.6 1458 1422 42.21% 24.66% 33.13%+0.23 +6.9 52
2012-04-14 Triglav L 0-147.6 1336 1180 58.05% 22.71% 19.23%+1.11 -12.2 36
2012-04-14 @ Domzale W 1-047.6 1180 1336 19.23% 22.71% 58.05%-1.11 +12.2 23
2012-04-20 Nafta W 1-034.5 1465 1221 66.74% 20.22% 13.04%+1.73 +3.3 55
2012-04-20 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-134.5 1221 1465 13.04% 20.22% 66.74%-1.73 -3.3 24
2012-04-21 Domzale W 2-145.0 1456 1324 55.40% 23.25% 21.35%+0.95 +5.0 48
2012-04-21 @ Luka Koper L 1-245.0 1324 1456 21.35% 23.25% 55.40%-0.95 -5.0 36
2012-04-22 Gorica D 0-050.7 1304 1415 24.19% 23.80% 52.01%-0.75 +1.5 33
2012-04-22 @ Celje D 0-050.7 1415 1304 52.01% 23.80% 24.19%+0.75 -1.5 48
2012-04-22 Rudar Velenje W 1-044.6 1423 1400 41.52% 24.69% 33.80%+0.19 +7.9 50
2012-04-22 @ ND Mura 05 L 0-144.6 1400 1423 33.80% 24.69% 41.52%-0.19 -7.9 39
2012-04-22 Triglav W 8-029.1 1584 1192 78.11% 15.15% 6.75%+2.76 +11.0 72
2012-04-22 @ Maribor L 0-829.1 1192 1584 6.75% 15.15% 78.11%-2.76 -11.0 23
2012-04-25 Triglav D 0-051.4 1468 1181 70.42% 18.79% 10.78%+2.03 -3.4 56
2012-04-25 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 0-051.4 1181 1468 10.78% 18.79% 70.42%-2.03 +3.4 24
2012-04-27 Celje L 1-341.6 1218 1305 26.77% 24.17% 49.06%-0.58 -10.7 24
2012-04-27 @ Nafta W 3-141.6 1305 1218 49.06% 24.17% 26.77%+0.58 +10.7 36
2012-04-27 Maribor L 0-236.2 1319 1595 11.71% 19.42% 68.86%-1.90 -5.6 36
2012-04-27 @ Domzale W 2-036.2 1595 1319 68.86% 19.42% 11.71%+1.90 +5.6 75
2012-04-28 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-339.1 1392 1465 28.45% 24.35% 47.21%-0.48 -18.8 39
2012-04-28 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-039.1 1465 1392 47.21% 24.35% 28.45%+0.48 +18.8 59
2012-04-29 Luka Koper L 0-145.3 1413 1461 31.64% 24.59% 43.77%-0.30 -7.5 48
2012-04-29 @ Gorica W 1-045.3 1461 1413 43.77% 24.59% 31.64%+0.30 +7.5 51
2012-04-29 ND Mura 05 L 0-329.4 1185 1431 13.36% 20.39% 66.26%-1.69 -9.3 24
2012-04-29 @ Triglav W 3-029.4 1431 1185 66.26% 20.39% 13.36%+1.69 +9.3 53
2012-05-05 Nafta W 2-031.1 1468 1207 68.28% 19.65% 12.07%+1.85 +5.8 54
2012-05-05 @ Luka Koper L 0-231.1 1207 1468 12.07% 19.65% 68.28%-1.85 -5.8 24
2012-05-06 Domzale D 0-050.6 1406 1313 50.69% 23.98% 25.33%+0.67 -1.3 49
2012-05-06 @ Gorica D 0-050.6 1313 1406 25.33% 23.98% 50.69%-0.67 +1.3 37
2012-05-06 Maribor L 1-350.0 1440 1600 19.55% 22.80% 57.65%-1.09 -8.1 53
2012-05-06 @ ND Mura 05 W 3-150.0 1600 1440 57.65% 22.80% 19.55%+1.09 +8.1 78
2012-05-06 Rudar Velenje D 1-154.7 1316 1373 30.43% 24.51% 45.06%-0.37 +0.7 37
2012-05-06 @ Celje D 1-154.7 1373 1316 45.06% 24.51% 30.43%+0.37 -0.7 40
2012-05-12 Celje W 4-360.2 1175 1316 21.23% 23.23% 55.54%-0.96 +10.3 27
2012-05-12 @ Triglav L 3-460.2 1316 1175 55.54% 23.23% 21.23%+0.96 -10.3 37
2012-05-12 Luka Koper L 0-142.4 1372 1474 25.17% 23.95% 50.88%-0.68 -6.2 40
2012-05-12 @ Rudar Velenje W 1-042.4 1474 1372 50.88% 23.95% 25.17%+0.68 +6.2 57
2012-05-12 Gorica D 1-154.7 1201 1405 16.15% 21.68% 62.18%-1.39 +2.3 25
2012-05-12 @ Nafta D 1-154.7 1405 1201 62.18% 21.68% 16.15%+1.39 -2.3 50
2012-05-12 ND Mura 05 L 1-245.1 1314 1432 23.52% 23.69% 52.80%-0.79 -5.5 37
2012-05-12 @ Domzale W 2-145.1 1432 1314 52.80% 23.69% 23.52%+0.79 +5.5 56
2012-05-12 Olimpija Ljubljana W 3-260.4 1608 1484 54.53% 23.41% 22.06%+0.90 +4.9 81
2012-05-12 @ Maribor L 2-360.4 1484 1608 22.06% 23.41% 54.53%-0.90 -4.9 59
2012-05-17 Domzale L 0-235.1 1203 1309 24.80% 23.90% 51.31%-0.71 -11.5 25
2012-05-17 @ Nafta W 2-035.1 1309 1203 51.31% 23.90% 24.80%+0.71 +11.5 40
2012-05-17 Maribor L 1-244.0 1306 1613 10.21% 18.37% 71.42%-2.11 -2.4 37
2012-05-17 @ Celje W 2-144.0 1613 1306 71.42% 18.37% 10.21%+2.11 +2.4 84
2012-05-17 ND Mura 05 W 3-149.5 1479 1438 43.94% 24.58% 31.49%+0.31 +12.2 62
2012-05-17 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-349.5 1438 1479 31.49% 24.58% 43.94%-0.31 -12.2 56
2012-05-17 Rudar Velenje W 4-143.3 1402 1366 43.28% 24.61% 32.10%+0.28 +17.5 53
2012-05-17 @ Gorica L 1-443.3 1366 1402 32.10% 24.61% 43.28%-0.28 -17.5 40
2012-05-17 Triglav L 0-151.2 1480 1186 71.05% 18.53% 10.42%+2.08 -14.5 57
2012-05-17 @ Luka Koper W 1-051.2 1186 1480 10.42% 18.53% 71.05%-2.08 +14.5 30
2012-05-20 Celje W 3-034.3 1426 1304 54.18% 23.47% 22.35%+0.87 +15.3 59
2012-05-20 @ ND Mura 05 L 0-334.3 1304 1426 22.35% 23.47% 54.18%-0.87 -15.3 37
2012-05-20 Luka Koper D 1-166.4 1616 1466 57.38% 22.86% 19.76%+1.07 -1.8 85
2012-05-20 @ Maribor D 1-166.4 1466 1616 19.76% 22.86% 57.38%-1.07 +1.8 58
2012-05-20 Nafta W 5-239.1 1349 1192 58.12% 22.70% 19.18%+1.12 +9.7 43
2012-05-20 @ Rudar Velenje L 2-539.1 1192 1349 19.18% 22.70% 58.12%-1.12 -9.7 25
2012-05-20 Gorica W 2-046.6 1200 1420 15.03% 21.20% 63.77%-1.50 +25.0 33
2012-05-20 @ Triglav L 0-246.6 1420 1200 63.77% 21.20% 15.03%+1.50 -25.0 53
2012-05-20 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-139.1 1320 1491 18.67% 22.55% 58.78%-1.16 -4.7 40
2012-05-20 @ Domzale W 1-039.1 1491 1320 58.78% 22.55% 18.67%+1.16 +4.7 65

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-03-04 8.29% @ Triglav 1201 2 Maribor 1555 1
2 2012-05-17 10.42% Triglav 1186 1 @ Luka Koper 1480 0
3 2012-05-20 15.03% @ Triglav 1200 2 Gorica 1420 0
4 2011-09-25 15.94% Nafta 1303 2 @ Maribor 1502 0
5 2012-04-14 19.23% Triglav 1180 1 @ Domzale 1336 0
6 2012-05-12 21.23% @ Triglav 1175 4 Celje 1316 3
7 2011-07-31 21.42% Nafta 1289 2 @ ND Mura 05 1420 0
8 2011-08-14 22.81% Triglav 1272 1 @ ND Mura 05 1389 0
9 2011-08-28 24.11% @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1408 4 Maribor 1520 1
10 2011-11-05 24.23% @ Nafta 1291 2 Domzale 1402 1
11 2012-03-21 24.39% Domzale 1321 4 @ ND Mura 05 1422 3
12 2012-03-03 25.36% @ Domzale 1320 1 Luka Koper 1420 0
13 2011-07-17 26.16% Celje 1326 3 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1411 0
14 2011-11-19 26.58% Nafta 1302 4 @ Rudar Velenje 1383 2
15 2011-09-11 27.00% @ ND Mura 05 1348 4 Olimpija Ljubljana 1434 2
16 2011-09-24 27.14% @ Celje 1323 3 Domzale 1408 0
17 2011-08-20 27.52% Gorica 1381 3 @ Domzale 1454 0
18 2012-04-03 27.54% Triglav 1182 2 @ Nafta 1256 1
19 2011-11-27 27.61% @ Luka Koper 1373 2 Olimpija Ljubljana 1454 0
20 2011-08-27 27.74% Triglav 1278 2 @ Celje 1349 1
21 2011-10-22 28.86% Domzale 1367 3 @ Gorica 1429 0
22 2011-07-30 30.62% @ Celje 1349 2 Luka Koper 1404 0
23 2011-10-29 30.78% Luka Koper 1363 1 @ Rudar Velenje 1409 0
24 2012-03-25 31.53% @ ND Mura 05 1413 1 Olimpija Ljubljana 1461 0
25 2011-08-13 31.59% Gorica 1346 4 @ Luka Koper 1387 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-11-23 46.41 @ Rudar Velenje 6 1368 35.82% Domzale 0 1384 39.45% 24.73%
2 2011-07-23 34.74 @ Rudar Velenje 5 1358 41.51% Triglav 0 1334 33.81% 24.69%
3 2011-08-13 34.45 Gorica 4 1346 31.59% @ Luka Koper 0 1387 43.82% 24.59%
4 2011-11-20 30.68 @ ND Mura 05 4 1357 37.47% Celje 0 1362 37.78% 24.75%
5 2011-08-21 30.37 @ Maribor 6 1490 53.03% ND Mura 05 0 1378 23.31% 23.65%
6 2011-07-17 29.29 Celje 3 1326 26.16% @ Olimpija Ljubljana 0 1411 49.74% 24.09%
7 2012-03-03 29.06 Olimpija Ljubljana 6 1425 54.38% @ Nafta 0 1294 22.18% 23.43%
8 2011-09-24 28.74 @ Celje 3 1323 27.14% Domzale 0 1408 48.64% 24.21%
9 2011-08-20 28.53 Gorica 3 1381 27.52% @ Domzale 0 1454 48.23% 24.25%
10 2011-10-22 27.80 Domzale 3 1367 28.86% @ Gorica 0 1429 46.75% 24.39%
11 2011-12-04 27.15 Luka Koper 4 1393 43.15% @ Celje 0 1350 32.23% 24.62%
12 2011-08-28 25.70 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 4 1408 24.11% Maribor 1 1520 52.10% 23.79%
13 2012-05-20 25.02 @ Triglav 2 1200 15.03% Gorica 0 1420 63.77% 21.20%
14 2011-09-25 24.58 Nafta 2 1303 15.94% @ Maribor 0 1502 62.47% 21.59%
15 2011-07-31 22.10 Nafta 2 1289 21.42% @ ND Mura 05 0 1420 55.31% 23.27%
16 2011-11-27 19.61 @ Luka Koper 2 1373 27.61% Olimpija Ljubljana 0 1454 48.13% 24.26%
17 2011-07-31 19.52 Domzale 4 1435 54.90% @ Triglav 0 1299 21.76% 23.34%
18 2011-09-11 19.37 Luka Koper 3 1352 46.05% @ Triglav 0 1288 29.51% 24.44%
19 2012-04-28 18.80 Olimpija Ljubljana 3 1465 47.21% @ Rudar Velenje 0 1392 28.45% 24.35%
20 2011-07-30 18.50 @ Celje 2 1349 30.62% Luka Koper 0 1404 44.85% 24.52%
21 2011-10-23 17.81 @ Luka Koper 4 1345 42.47% Nafta 1 1314 32.88% 24.65%
22 2011-08-06 17.72 @ Gorica 2 1329 32.83% Celje 0 1367 42.52% 24.65%
23 2012-05-17 17.47 @ Gorica 4 1402 43.28% Rudar Velenje 1 1366 32.10% 24.61%
24 2011-10-15 16.67 @ Gorica 4 1412 45.22% Luka Koper 1 1361 30.28% 24.50%
25 2011-11-26 16.51 Celje 2 1333 36.45% @ Domzale 0 1338 38.81% 24.74%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-04-01 69.0 @ Luka Koper 2 1434 22.14% Maribor 2 1566 54.43% 23.42%
2 2011-10-30 66.7 @ Maribor 2 1508 48.03% Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1436 27.70% 24.27%
3 2012-05-20 66.4 @ Maribor 1 1616 57.38% Luka Koper 1 1466 19.76% 22.86%
4 2011-08-20 64.8 @ Rudar Velenje 3 1381 42.70% Celje 3 1349 32.66% 24.64%
5 2011-09-18 64.6 @ Luka Koper 2 1371 22.01% Maribor 2 1504 54.59% 23.40%
6 2011-10-15 63.1 @ Rudar Velenje 2 1402 33.90% Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1432 41.41% 24.69%
7 2011-11-05 62.4 @ Gorica 2 1406 39.19% Rudar Velenje 2 1399 36.08% 24.74%
8 2012-03-21 61.3 Domzale 4 1321 24.39% @ ND Mura 05 3 1422 51.78% 23.83%
9 2011-09-28 60.7 @ Nafta 2 1328 30.93% ND Mura 05 2 1381 44.52% 24.55%
10 2012-05-12 60.4 @ Maribor 3 1608 54.53% Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1484 22.06% 23.41%
11 2012-05-12 60.2 @ Triglav 4 1175 21.23% Celje 3 1316 55.54% 23.23%
12 2011-09-21 59.7 @ Gorica 1 1404 25.48% Maribor 1 1503 50.52% 24.00%
13 2012-03-04 58.6 @ Triglav 2 1201 8.29% Maribor 1 1555 74.97% 16.74%
14 2012-04-04 57.9 @ Gorica 0 1411 20.12% Maribor 0 1565 56.93% 22.95%
15 2011-08-06 57.6 @ Domzale 1 1455 47.64% Luka Koper 1 1386 28.05% 24.31%
16 2011-09-20 57.1 Rudar Velenje 3 1396 34.28% @ Domzale 2 1416 41.01% 24.70%
17 2012-04-14 56.6 Olimpija Ljubljana 3 1458 42.21% @ Gorica 2 1422 33.13% 24.66%
18 2011-07-24 56.2 @ Luka Koper 1 1405 41.37% Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1382 33.94% 24.69%
19 2011-08-13 56.2 @ Maribor 0 1490 43.35% Domzale 0 1454 32.04% 24.61%
20 2011-08-28 56.1 @ ND Mura 05 1 1347 27.86% Domzale 1 1426 47.86% 24.29%
21 2011-10-01 56.0 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1434 52.25% Nafta 1 1328 23.98% 23.77%
22 2011-07-23 55.8 @ Gorica 1 1335 26.89% ND Mura 05 1 1421 48.93% 24.18%
23 2012-03-03 55.4 @ Gorica 1 1410 49.95% Celje 1 1323 25.98% 24.07%
24 2012-03-17 55.3 @ Rudar Velenje 1 1404 49.22% Celje 1 1323 26.63% 24.15%
25 2011-08-27 55.2 @ Luka Koper 1 1352 34.10% Rudar Velenje 1 1381 41.21% 24.69%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-04-22 29.1 @ Maribor 8 1584 78.11% Triglav 0 1192 6.75% 15.15%
2 2012-04-29 29.4 ND Mura 05 3 1431 66.26% @ Triglav 0 1185 13.36% 20.39%
3 2011-11-26 30.4 @ Rudar Velenje 3 1414 62.98% Triglav 0 1210 15.58% 21.44%
4 2012-04-07 30.6 @ Maribor 6 1563 72.78% Nafta 0 1246 9.45% 17.77%
5 2012-05-05 31.1 @ Luka Koper 2 1468 68.28% Nafta 0 1207 12.07% 19.65%
6 2012-03-25 31.3 Luka Koper 2 1428 65.79% @ Triglav 0 1186 13.66% 20.55%
7 2012-03-18 31.5 Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1461 66.89% @ Triglav 0 1208 12.95% 20.16%
8 2012-04-14 31.6 ND Mura 05 3 1410 59.47% @ Nafta 0 1234 18.15% 22.39%
9 2011-11-05 32.2 @ Luka Koper 3 1372 56.39% Triglav 0 1231 20.54% 23.06%
10 2012-03-11 32.2 @ ND Mura 05 2 1425 63.54% Triglav 0 1215 15.19% 21.28%
11 2012-03-21 32.5 @ Celje 3 1324 54.30% Triglav 0 1202 22.26% 23.45%
12 2011-10-02 32.9 @ Maribor 2 1477 64.91% Triglav 0 1253 14.25% 20.84%
13 2011-11-19 32.9 Gorica 2 1406 60.73% @ Triglav 0 1217 17.20% 22.07%
14 2011-07-31 33.6 Domzale 4 1435 54.90% @ Triglav 0 1299 21.76% 23.34%
15 2012-04-07 33.8 Rudar Velenje 5 1396 62.26% @ Triglav 1 1192 16.09% 21.65%
16 2011-11-26 34.0 Maribor 3 1539 64.08% @ Nafta 0 1316 14.81% 21.11%
17 2011-08-06 34.2 Maribor 2 1483 62.10% @ Triglav 0 1280 16.20% 21.70%
18 2012-05-20 34.3 @ ND Mura 05 3 1426 54.18% Celje 0 1304 22.35% 23.47%
19 2012-03-03 34.4 Olimpija Ljubljana 6 1425 54.38% @ Nafta 0 1294 22.18% 23.43%
20 2012-04-20 34.5 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1465 66.74% Nafta 0 1221 13.04% 20.22%
21 2012-05-17 35.1 Domzale 2 1309 51.31% @ Nafta 0 1203 24.80% 23.90%
22 2011-09-28 35.3 @ Domzale 2 1379 53.37% Triglav 0 1264 23.03% 23.60%
23 2011-09-11 35.6 Luka Koper 3 1352 46.05% @ Triglav 0 1288 29.51% 24.44%
24 2011-10-22 35.9 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1432 61.70% Triglav 0 1241 16.49% 21.81%
25 2012-04-27 36.2 Maribor 2 1595 68.86% @ Domzale 0 1319 11.71% 19.42%