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2012-13 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Maribor

78 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Domzale

11.42 points above expected

60 points · 48.58 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aluminij

12.39 points below expected

30 points · 42.39 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Maribor 36 24 6 6 78 80 35 +45 73.33 +4.67
2 Olimpija Ljubljana 36 21 7 8 70 73 35 +38 63.65 +6.35
3 Domzale 36 17 9 10 60 42 34 +8 48.58 +11.42
4 Luka Koper 36 14 13 9 55 52 42 +10 56.61 -1.61
5 Celje 36 12 13 11 49 39 39 0 46.08 +2.92
6 Gorica 36 10 11 15 41 45 60 -15 44.38 -3.38
7 Rudar Velenje 36 11 7 18 40 42 59 -17 40.19 -0.19
8 Triglav 36 9 11 16 38 35 50 -15 36.10 +1.90
9 ND Mura 05 36 9 6 21 33 43 66 -23 43.14 -10.14
10 Aluminij 36 7 9 20 30 36 67 -31 42.39 -12.39

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Domzale 60 48.58 +11.42
2 Olimpija Ljubljana 70 63.65 +6.35
3 Maribor 78 73.33 +4.67
4 Celje 49 46.08 +2.92
5 Triglav 38 36.10 +1.90

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aluminij 30 42.39 -12.39
2 ND Mura 05 33 43.14 -10.14
3 Gorica 41 44.38 -3.38
4 Luka Koper 55 56.61 -1.61
5 Rudar Velenje 40 40.19 -0.19

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aluminij 4 Aug 4 – Aug 26 1 in 67
2 Olimpija Ljubljana 6 Sep 1 – Oct 6 1 in 56
3 Luka Koper 4 Oct 27 – Nov 10 1 in 49
4 Maribor 7 Aug 18 – Sep 30 1 in 44
5 Triglav 2 Sep 30 – Oct 7 1 in 37

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 ND Mura 05 6 Jul 22 – Aug 26 1 in 232
2 Luka Koper 3 Sep 26 – Oct 6 1 in 38
3 Maribor 2 Apr 17 – Apr 20 1 in 26
4 Gorica 4 Mar 30 – Apr 17 1 in 24
5 Aluminij 4 Oct 20 – Nov 11 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Domzale 6 Nov 28 – Apr 6 1 in 38
2 Gorica 6 Apr 21 – May 18 1 in 37
3 Celje 6 Jul 15 – Aug 18 1 in 23
4 Triglav 5 Apr 14 – Apr 28 1 in 17
5 Maribor 12 Jul 14 – Sep 30 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aluminij 14 Oct 20 – Apr 13 1 in 126
2 Luka Koper 8 Nov 18 – Apr 6 1 in 76
3 Gorica 7 Aug 26 – Oct 6 1 in 25
4 ND Mura 05 7 Jul 15 – Aug 26 1 in 21
5 Domzale 6 Apr 21 – May 14 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Maribor 1630 78 -10 8 10.5 -2.5
Olimpija Ljubljana 1600 70 +14 10 8.9 +1.1
Domzale 1468 60 +29 11 7.2 +3.8
Luka Koper 1494 55 -22 5 8.2 -3.2
Celje 1426 49 -5 5 5.8 -0.8
Gorica 1388 41 +2 8 6.6 +1.4
Rudar Velenje 1385 40 -20 3 5.5 -2.5
Triglav 1354 38 -9 5 5.5 -0.5
ND Mura 05 1391 33 +44 10 5.8 +4.2
Aluminij 1323 30 -24 2 4.6 -2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ALU CEL DOM GOR LK MAR NM0 OL RV TRI
Aluminij —
0-1-3
5.14
0-1-3
5.38
1-0-3
5.16
0-2-2
4.30
0-1-3
2.54
1-2-1
5.27
2-0-2
3.24
2-0-2
5.61
1-2-1
6.48
Celje
3-1-0
5.80
 —
2-2-0
5.19
0-3-1
5.43
1-1-2
4.32
2-0-2
2.73
2-1-1
5.53
0-2-2
3.46
1-2-1
5.84
1-1-2
6.54
Domzale
3-1-0
5.57
0-2-2
5.74
 —
3-0-1
5.76
1-1-2
4.57
1-2-1
2.78
2-1-1
6.16
2-0-2
3.73
3-0-1
6.16
2-2-0
6.62
Gorica
3-0-1
5.76
1-3-0
5.51
1-0-3
5.17
 —
1-2-1
4.41
0-0-4
2.98
2-1-1
5.23
1-2-1
3.47
1-1-2
5.97
0-2-2
6.47
Luka Koper
2-2-0
6.67
2-1-1
6.64
2-1-1
6.37
1-2-1
6.55
 —
1-1-2
3.63
3-0-1
7.07
1-1-2
4.45
2-2-0
7.01
0-3-1
7.60
Maribor
3-1-0
8.64
2-0-2
8.40
1-2-1
8.33
4-0-0
8.12
2-1-1
7.36
 —
4-0-0
8.23
2-2-0
6.62
3-0-1
8.78
3-0-1
8.96
ND Mura 05
1-2-1
5.65
1-1-2
5.40
1-1-2
4.78
1-1-2
5.68
1-0-3
3.92
0-0-4
2.89
 —
0-0-4
3.54
1-1-2
5.74
3-0-1
6.03
Olimpija Ljubljana
2-0-2
7.85
2-2-0
7.55
2-0-2
7.27
1-2-1
7.55
2-1-1
6.49
0-2-2
4.33
4-0-0
7.50
 —
4-0-0
7.52
4-0-0
8.31
Rudar Velenje
2-0-2
5.32
1-2-1
5.08
1-0-3
4.77
2-1-1
4.96
0-2-2
3.96
1-0-3
2.40
2-1-1
5.19
0-0-4
3.52
 —
2-1-1
5.90
Triglav
1-2-1
4.48
2-1-1
4.40
0-2-2
4.33
2-2-0
4.48
1-3-0
3.41
1-0-3
2.25
1-0-3
4.90
0-0-4
2.80
1-1-2
5.03
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.75 +9.0
Allowed 0.79 -10.7
Differential 0.98 +6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.78%8.61%4.44%3.33%3.06%0.28%27.50%
18.61%9.44%8.61%4.44%1.94%1.11%34.17%
24.44%8.61%8.33%1.11%——22.50%
33.33%4.44%1.11%——0.28%9.17%
43.06%1.94%————5.00%
5+0.28%1.11%—0.28%——1.67%
Total27.50%34.17%22.50%9.17%5.00%1.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.35 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.89
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%11.11%11.11%——36.11%
12.78%8.33%11.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%36.11%
22.78%8.33%8.33%———19.44%
32.78%2.78%———2.78%8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%25.00%30.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.86 -0.86
SD 0.96 1.36 1.68
CV 0.96 0.73 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.89%2.78%———33.33%
113.89%8.33%5.56%2.78%—2.78%33.33%
2—13.89%11.11%2.78%——27.78%
3—2.78%————2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total33.33%38.89%19.44%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.08 +0.00
SD 1.00 1.11 1.33
CV 0.92 1.02 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
113.89%13.89%5.56%———33.33%
28.33%16.67%2.78%———27.78%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total33.33%47.22%13.89%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.94 +0.22
SD 1.03 0.92 1.53
CV 0.88 0.98 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%8.33%—30.56%
12.78%11.11%11.11%5.56%—2.78%33.33%
28.33%—11.11%———19.44%
3—8.33%5.56%———13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%30.56%30.56%8.33%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.67 -0.42
SD 1.13 1.37 1.93
CV 0.90 0.82 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%—27.78%
111.11%13.89%2.78%—2.78%—30.56%
22.78%2.78%11.11%2.78%——19.44%
38.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+———————
Total36.11%30.56%19.44%8.33%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.17 +0.28
SD 1.27 1.18 1.88
CV 0.88 1.01 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%————8.33%
18.33%5.56%8.33%5.56%——27.78%
22.78%19.44%5.56%———27.78%
35.56%8.33%2.78%———16.67%
48.33%2.78%————11.11%
5+—8.33%————8.33%
Total30.56%47.22%16.67%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.22 0.97 +1.25
SD 1.48 0.84 1.81
CV 0.66 0.87 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%2.78%2.78%8.33%—22.22%
12.78%11.11%13.89%16.67%2.78%—47.22%
28.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%——22.22%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total16.67%27.78%22.22%22.22%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.83 -0.64
SD 0.95 1.28 1.94
CV 0.80 0.70 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
111.11%5.56%11.11%2.78%——30.56%
25.56%11.11%11.11%———27.78%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
48.33%5.56%————13.89%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total36.11%33.33%27.78%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 0.97 +1.06
SD 1.40 0.88 1.90
CV 0.69 0.90 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%8.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%38.89%
111.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
2—2.78%8.33%2.78%——13.89%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total22.22%30.56%22.22%13.89%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.64 -0.47
SD 1.30 1.36 2.08
CV 1.11 0.83 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%—36.11%
18.33%8.33%11.11%2.78%5.56%2.78%38.89%
25.56%5.56%8.33%———19.44%
3—2.78%————2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%30.56%22.22%5.56%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.39 -0.42
SD 0.97 1.36 1.71
CV 1.00 0.98 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Maribor 1630 78 73.33 +4.67 74.0% 57 63 69 73 79 84 87
Olimpija Ljubljana 1600 70 63.65 +6.35 81.0% 49 51 59 64 69 74 80
Luka Koper 1494 55 56.61 -1.61 40.0% 38 43 51 57 62 67 75
Domzale 1468 60 48.58 +11.42 94.0% 28 36 42 49 55 61 65
Celje 1426 49 46.08 +2.92 69.0% 24 36 40 47 51 57 65
ND Mura 05 1391 33 43.14 -10.14 8.0% 26 32 37 42 48 56 60
Gorica 1388 41 44.38 -3.38 37.0% 28 33 39 43 50 56 63
Rudar Velenje 1385 40 40.19 -0.19 50.0% 19 27 35 40 46 52 56
Triglav 1354 38 36.10 +1.90 64.0% 20 25 30 35 41 48 58
Aluminij 1323 30 42.39 -12.39 3.0% 24 32 38 42 47 52 64

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.11%
Slight Edge
42.78%25.56%31.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 38.76 Elo pts.
181 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.28 goals
Neutral
-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.6
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
77%
Maribor, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.22/gm
Comfortable
00.270.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.86 * Some Luck: 5.86 to 8.79 * Lucky: 8.79 to 11.71 * Wild Swing: 11.71 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.1 * Close: 1.1 to 1.65 * Off: 1.65 to 2.21 * Way Off: 2.21 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.89 points
Some Luck
07.3218
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.383
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
94.00%
Domzale
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
3.00%
Aluminij
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 102.36
2.04
Moderate Separation
11.82.052.75
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Clear Edge
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Slight Separation
00.310.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.93
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.42
Weak Carryover
00.420.630.791
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.72
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.86
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.067
Well Within Noise
00.1260.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Maribor77.00%20.00%3.00%———————
Olimpija Ljubljana18.00%49.00%22.00%9.00%2.00%—————
Domzale—6.00%18.00%20.00%15.00%13.00%5.00%12.00%5.00%6.00%
Luka Koper5.00%20.00%39.00%16.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%—2.00%—
Celje—1.00%6.00%14.00%20.00%13.00%19.00%17.00%7.00%3.00%
Gorica—2.00%6.00%10.00%17.00%15.00%10.00%14.00%18.00%8.00%
Rudar Velenje——1.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%13.00%16.00%15.00%21.00%
Triglav——1.00%1.00%9.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%24.00%41.00%
ND Mura 05—1.00%3.00%13.00%8.00%14.00%22.00%15.00%15.00%9.00%
Aluminij—1.00%1.00%8.00%7.00%22.00%18.00%17.00%14.00%12.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Luka Koper 98.00% 2.00% —
Maribor 100% — —
Olimpija Ljubljana 100% — —
Celje 90.00% 7.00% 3.00%
Domzale 89.00% 5.00% 6.00%
Gorica 74.00% 18.00% 8.00%
ND Mura 05 76.00% 15.00% 9.00%
Aluminij 74.00% 14.00% 12.00%
Rudar Velenje 64.00% 15.00% 21.00%
Triglav 35.00% 24.00% 41.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2012-07-14 Maribor L 1-351.4 1443 1558 26.56% 26.35% 47.09%-0.42 -9.3 0
2012-07-14 @ Gorica W 3-151.4 1558 1443 47.09% 26.35% 26.56%+0.42 +9.3 3
2012-07-15 Domzale L 1-258.5 1497 1400 54.52% 24.83% 20.65%+0.75 -9.4 0
2012-07-15 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-158.5 1400 1497 20.65% 24.83% 54.52%-0.75 +9.4 3
2012-07-15 Rudar Velenje D 1-158.7 1466 1425 47.50% 26.29% 26.22%+0.44 -0.9 1
2012-07-15 @ ND Mura 05 D 1-158.7 1425 1466 26.22% 26.29% 47.50%-0.44 +0.8 1
2012-07-15 Triglav W 1-040.0 1388 1337 48.84% 26.07% 25.09%+0.50 +5.4 3
2012-07-15 @ Celje L 0-140.0 1337 1388 25.09% 26.07% 48.84%-0.50 -5.4 0
2012-07-21 Luka Koper D 0-059.9 1567 1481 53.14% 25.18% 21.68%+0.69 -1.5 4
2012-07-21 @ Maribor D 0-059.9 1481 1567 21.68% 25.18% 53.14%-0.69 +1.5 1
2012-07-22 Aluminij W 1-048.6 1331 1465 24.57% 25.96% 49.48%-0.53 +9.2 3
2012-07-22 @ Triglav L 0-148.6 1465 1331 49.48% 25.96% 24.57%+0.53 -9.2 0
2012-07-22 Celje L 0-147.4 1409 1394 44.03% 26.73% 29.24%+0.30 -8.4 3
2012-07-22 @ Domzale W 1-047.4 1394 1409 29.24% 26.73% 44.03%-0.30 +8.4 6
2012-07-22 ND Mura 05 W 3-150.7 1433 1465 37.45% 27.10% 35.46%+0.04 +11.7 3
2012-07-22 @ Gorica L 1-350.7 1465 1433 35.46% 27.10% 37.45%-0.04 -11.6 1
2012-07-22 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-542.9 1426 1488 33.19% 27.03% 39.78%-0.13 -30.0 1
2012-07-22 @ Rudar Velenje W 5-042.9 1488 1426 39.78% 27.03% 33.19%+0.13 +30.0 3
2012-07-28 Rudar Velenje D 1-156.0 1402 1396 42.83% 26.84% 30.33%+0.25 -0.5 7
2012-07-28 @ Celje D 1-156.0 1396 1402 30.33% 26.84% 42.83%-0.25 +0.5 2
2012-07-28 Triglav D 0-052.8 1483 1340 59.66% 23.25% 17.10%+1.00 -2.0 2
2012-07-28 @ Luka Koper D 0-052.8 1340 1483 17.10% 23.25% 59.66%-1.00 +2.0 4
2012-07-29 Domzale L 0-150.1 1456 1401 49.34% 25.98% 24.68%+0.52 -9.2 0
2012-07-29 @ Aluminij W 1-050.1 1401 1456 24.68% 25.98% 49.34%-0.52 +9.2 6
2012-07-29 Maribor L 1-352.3 1453 1566 26.90% 26.41% 46.69%-0.41 -9.4 1
2012-07-29 @ ND Mura 05 W 3-152.3 1566 1453 46.69% 26.41% 26.90%+0.41 +9.4 7
2012-07-29 Gorica L 1-357.3 1518 1445 51.50% 25.55% 22.94%+0.62 -15.6 3
2012-07-29 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 3-157.3 1445 1518 22.94% 25.55% 51.50%-0.62 +15.6 6
2012-08-01 Luka Koper L 0-344.2 1447 1481 37.13% 27.10% 35.77%+0.03 -20.2 0
2012-08-01 @ Aluminij W 3-044.2 1481 1447 35.77% 27.10% 37.13%-0.03 +20.2 5
2012-08-04 Aluminij L 1-252.0 1396 1427 37.62% 27.09% 35.29%+0.05 -7.0 2
2012-08-04 @ Rudar Velenje W 2-152.0 1427 1396 35.29% 27.09% 37.62%-0.05 +7.0 3
2012-08-04 Celje D 1-157.9 1460 1402 49.77% 25.90% 24.33%+0.54 -1.0 7
2012-08-04 @ Gorica D 1-157.9 1402 1460 24.33% 25.90% 49.77%-0.54 +1.0 8
2012-08-04 Luka Koper L 0-146.1 1410 1501 29.42% 26.75% 43.84%-0.29 -6.2 6
2012-08-04 @ Domzale W 1-046.1 1501 1410 43.84% 26.75% 29.42%+0.29 +6.2 8
2012-08-04 Triglav W 1-038.8 1575 1342 68.85% 19.39% 11.75%+1.50 +2.5 10
2012-08-04 @ Maribor L 0-138.8 1342 1575 11.75% 19.39% 68.85%-1.50 -2.5 4
2012-08-05 Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-254.7 1444 1502 33.75% 27.05% 39.20%-0.11 -6.5 1
2012-08-05 @ ND Mura 05 W 2-154.7 1502 1444 39.20% 27.05% 33.75%+0.11 +6.5 6
2012-08-11 Maribor D 0-060.7 1508 1578 32.21% 26.98% 40.81%-0.17 +0.4 7
2012-08-11 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 0-060.7 1578 1508 40.81% 26.98% 32.21%+0.17 -0.4 11
2012-08-11 Rudar Velenje W 1-041.6 1507 1389 56.94% 24.14% 18.92%+0.87 +4.2 11
2012-08-11 @ Luka Koper L 0-141.6 1389 1507 18.92% 24.14% 56.94%-0.87 -4.2 2
2012-08-12 Domzale L 0-143.0 1340 1404 32.98% 27.02% 39.99%-0.14 -6.8 4
2012-08-12 @ Triglav W 1-043.0 1404 1340 39.99% 27.02% 32.98%+0.14 +6.8 9
2012-08-12 Gorica W 2-153.1 1434 1459 38.31% 27.08% 34.61%+0.07 +6.6 6
2012-08-12 @ Aluminij L 1-253.1 1459 1434 34.61% 27.08% 38.31%-0.07 -6.6 7
2012-08-12 ND Mura 05 W 1-046.0 1403 1438 37.00% 27.10% 35.90%+0.02 +7.2 11
2012-08-12 @ Celje L 0-146.0 1438 1403 35.90% 27.10% 37.00%-0.02 -7.2 1
2012-08-18 Celje D 2-266.3 1509 1410 54.70% 24.78% 20.52%+0.76 -1.1 8
2012-08-18 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 2-266.3 1410 1509 20.52% 24.78% 54.70%-0.76 +1.1 12
2012-08-18 Domzale W 2-149.3 1578 1410 62.32% 22.26% 15.42%+1.14 +3.2 14
2012-08-18 @ Maribor L 1-249.3 1410 1578 15.42% 22.26% 62.32%-1.14 -3.2 9
2012-08-18 Luka Koper W 2-047.9 1453 1511 33.66% 27.05% 39.29%-0.11 +14.5 10
2012-08-18 @ Gorica L 0-247.9 1511 1453 39.29% 27.05% 33.66%+0.11 -14.5 11
2012-08-18 Triglav W 1-039.9 1385 1333 48.85% 26.07% 25.08%+0.50 +5.4 5
2012-08-18 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-139.9 1333 1385 25.08% 26.07% 48.85%-0.50 -5.4 4
2012-08-19 Aluminij L 1-351.3 1430 1440 40.54% 26.99% 32.46%+0.16 -12.9 1
2012-08-19 @ ND Mura 05 W 3-151.3 1440 1430 32.46% 26.99% 40.54%-0.16 +12.9 9
2012-08-25 Maribor L 0-242.8 1411 1581 21.10% 24.98% 53.91%-0.72 -8.8 12
2012-08-25 @ Celje W 2-042.8 1581 1411 53.91% 24.98% 21.10%+0.72 +8.8 17
2012-08-25 Rudar Velenje W 2-039.6 1407 1390 44.25% 26.70% 29.05%+0.31 +11.6 12
2012-08-25 @ Domzale L 0-239.6 1390 1407 29.05% 26.70% 44.25%-0.31 -11.5 5
2012-08-26 Gorica W 2-154.8 1328 1467 24.00% 25.82% 50.18%-0.56 +8.8 7
2012-08-26 @ Triglav L 1-254.8 1467 1328 50.18% 25.82% 24.00%+0.56 -8.8 10
2012-08-26 ND Mura 05 W 4-144.1 1497 1417 52.35% 25.36% 22.29%+0.65 +11.3 14
2012-08-26 @ Luka Koper L 1-444.1 1417 1497 22.29% 25.36% 52.35%-0.65 -11.3 1
2012-08-26 Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-156.7 1453 1508 34.21% 27.07% 38.72%-0.09 +7.2 12
2012-08-26 @ Aluminij L 1-256.7 1508 1453 38.72% 27.07% 34.21%+0.09 -7.2 8
2012-09-01 Aluminij W 2-153.6 1402 1460 33.71% 27.05% 39.23%-0.11 +7.2 15
2012-09-01 @ Celje L 1-253.6 1460 1402 39.23% 27.05% 33.71%+0.11 -7.2 12
2012-09-01 Domzale L 1-256.2 1459 1419 47.32% 26.31% 26.37%+0.43 -8.4 10
2012-09-01 @ Gorica W 2-156.2 1419 1459 26.37% 26.31% 47.32%-0.43 +8.4 15
2012-09-01 Luka Koper W 4-151.0 1501 1508 40.87% 26.98% 32.16%+0.17 +15.3 11
2012-09-01 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-451.0 1508 1501 32.16% 26.98% 40.87%-0.17 -15.3 14
2012-09-01 Rudar Velenje W 4-036.1 1590 1379 66.74% 20.38% 12.88%+1.38 +10.0 20
2012-09-01 @ Maribor L 0-436.1 1379 1590 12.88% 20.38% 66.74%-1.38 -10.0 5
2012-09-02 Triglav W 2-145.6 1406 1337 51.12% 25.63% 23.25%+0.60 +4.8 4
2012-09-02 @ ND Mura 05 L 1-245.6 1337 1406 23.25% 25.63% 51.12%-0.60 -4.8 7
2012-09-15 Maribor L 1-547.9 1453 1600 23.31% 25.65% 51.04%-0.60 -15.2 12
2012-09-15 @ Aluminij W 5-147.9 1600 1453 51.04% 25.65% 23.31%+0.60 +15.2 23
2012-09-15 Gorica D 2-262.7 1369 1450 30.66% 26.87% 42.48%-0.24 +0.3 6
2012-09-15 @ Rudar Velenje D 2-262.7 1450 1369 42.48% 26.87% 30.66%+0.24 -0.4 11
2012-09-16 Celje W 1-043.1 1493 1409 52.85% 25.25% 21.90%+0.68 +4.8 17
2012-09-16 @ Luka Koper L 0-143.1 1409 1493 21.90% 25.25% 52.85%-0.68 -4.8 15
2012-09-16 ND Mura 05 L 0-245.1 1427 1411 44.15% 26.71% 29.14%+0.30 -15.9 15
2012-09-16 @ Domzale W 2-045.1 1411 1427 29.14% 26.71% 44.15%-0.30 +15.9 7
2012-09-16 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-335.7 1332 1516 19.87% 24.53% 55.60%-0.80 -12.0 7
2012-09-16 @ Triglav W 3-035.7 1516 1332 55.60% 24.53% 19.87%+0.80 +12.0 14
2012-09-22 Aluminij D 0-055.5 1498 1438 49.90% 25.88% 24.23%+0.54 -1.2 18
2012-09-22 @ Luka Koper D 0-055.5 1438 1498 24.23% 25.88% 49.90%-0.54 +1.2 13
2012-09-22 ND Mura 05 W 2-151.9 1369 1427 33.78% 27.06% 39.17%-0.10 +7.2 9
2012-09-22 @ Rudar Velenje L 1-251.9 1427 1369 39.17% 27.06% 33.78%+0.10 -7.2 7
2012-09-23 Celje D 0-049.8 1320 1405 30.23% 26.83% 42.94%-0.25 +0.5 8
2012-09-23 @ Triglav D 0-049.8 1405 1320 42.94% 26.83% 30.23%+0.25 -0.5 16
2012-09-23 Gorica W 4-041.1 1615 1450 62.08% 22.35% 15.57%+1.13 +12.3 26
2012-09-23 @ Maribor L 0-441.1 1450 1615 15.57% 22.35% 62.08%-1.13 -12.3 11
2012-09-23 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-242.9 1411 1528 26.43% 26.33% 47.24%-0.43 -10.7 15
2012-09-23 @ Domzale W 2-042.9 1528 1411 47.24% 26.33% 26.43%+0.43 +10.7 17
2012-09-26 Domzale D 0-051.3 1404 1400 42.42% 26.87% 30.71%+0.23 -0.5 17
2012-09-26 @ Celje D 0-051.3 1400 1404 30.71% 26.87% 42.42%-0.23 +0.5 16
2012-09-26 Maribor L 2-363.4 1497 1627 24.95% 26.04% 49.01%-0.51 -4.8 18
2012-09-26 @ Luka Koper W 3-263.4 1627 1497 49.01% 26.04% 24.95%+0.51 +4.8 29
2012-09-26 Gorica W 3-148.8 1420 1437 39.42% 27.05% 33.53%+0.12 +11.2 10
2012-09-26 @ ND Mura 05 L 1-348.8 1437 1420 33.53% 27.05% 39.42%-0.12 -11.2 11
2012-09-26 Rudar Velenje W 2-146.8 1539 1376 61.81% 22.46% 15.73%+1.11 +3.3 20
2012-09-26 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-246.8 1376 1539 15.73% 22.46% 61.81%-1.11 -3.3 9
2012-09-26 Triglav W 1-038.2 1439 1320 57.00% 24.12% 18.88%+0.87 +4.2 16
2012-09-26 @ Aluminij L 0-138.2 1320 1439 18.88% 24.12% 57.00%-0.87 -4.2 8
2012-09-30 Aluminij W 2-043.3 1401 1443 35.95% 27.10% 36.95%-0.02 +13.9 19
2012-09-30 @ Domzale L 0-243.3 1443 1401 36.95% 27.10% 35.95%+0.02 -13.9 16
2012-09-30 Celje W 1-044.3 1373 1403 37.64% 27.09% 35.27%+0.05 +7.1 12
2012-09-30 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-144.3 1403 1373 35.27% 27.09% 37.64%-0.05 -7.1 17
2012-09-30 Luka Koper W 4-045.0 1316 1492 20.59% 24.80% 54.60%-0.76 +35.8 11
2012-09-30 @ Triglav L 0-445.0 1492 1316 54.60% 24.80% 20.59%+0.76 -35.8 18
2012-09-30 ND Mura 05 W 1-045.0 1632 1431 65.78% 20.81% 13.40%+1.33 +2.9 32
2012-09-30 @ Maribor L 0-145.0 1431 1632 13.40% 20.81% 65.78%-1.33 -2.9 10
2012-09-30 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-147.1 1426 1542 26.56% 26.35% 47.09%-0.42 -5.7 11
2012-09-30 @ Gorica W 1-047.1 1542 1426 47.09% 26.35% 26.56%+0.42 +5.7 23
2012-10-06 Domzale L 1-256.1 1456 1415 47.48% 26.29% 26.23%+0.44 -8.4 18
2012-10-06 @ Luka Koper W 2-156.1 1415 1456 26.23% 26.29% 47.48%-0.44 +8.4 22
2012-10-06 Gorica D 0-051.5 1396 1421 38.52% 27.07% 34.40%+0.08 -0.2 18
2012-10-06 @ Celje D 0-051.5 1421 1396 34.40% 27.07% 38.52%-0.08 +0.2 12
2012-10-06 ND Mura 05 W 3-147.5 1548 1428 57.12% 24.08% 18.80%+0.88 +6.8 26
2012-10-06 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-347.5 1428 1548 18.80% 24.08% 57.12%-0.88 -6.8 10
2012-10-07 Maribor W 1-058.0 1352 1635 13.17% 20.63% 66.21%-1.35 +11.7 14
2012-10-07 @ Triglav L 0-158.0 1635 1352 66.21% 20.63% 13.17%+1.35 -11.7 32
2012-10-07 Rudar Velenje W 3-036.9 1429 1380 48.54% 26.12% 25.34%+0.49 +15.0 19
2012-10-07 @ Aluminij L 0-336.9 1380 1429 25.34% 26.12% 48.54%-0.49 -15.0 12
2012-10-20 Aluminij W 4-146.7 1421 1444 38.62% 27.07% 34.31%+0.08 +16.1 15
2012-10-20 @ Gorica L 1-446.7 1444 1421 34.31% 27.07% 38.62%-0.08 -16.1 19
2012-10-20 Luka Koper D 0-051.5 1365 1448 30.53% 26.86% 42.62%-0.24 +0.5 13
2012-10-20 @ Rudar Velenje D 0-051.5 1448 1365 42.62% 26.86% 30.53%+0.24 -0.5 19
2012-10-20 Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-053.0 1623 1554 51.01% 25.66% 23.34%+0.59 +5.1 35
2012-10-20 @ Maribor L 0-153.0 1554 1623 23.34% 25.66% 51.01%-0.59 -5.1 26
2012-10-20 Triglav W 2-146.8 1423 1364 49.87% 25.88% 24.24%+0.54 +5.0 25
2012-10-20 @ Domzale L 1-246.8 1364 1423 24.24% 25.88% 49.87%-0.54 -5.0 14
2012-10-21 Celje D 2-262.7 1421 1396 45.32% 26.58% 28.09%+0.35 -0.5 11
2012-10-21 @ ND Mura 05 D 2-262.7 1396 1421 28.09% 26.58% 45.32%-0.35 +0.5 19
2012-10-27 Gorica W 4-040.3 1447 1437 43.33% 26.79% 29.87%+0.27 +22.4 22
2012-10-27 @ Luka Koper L 0-440.3 1437 1447 29.87% 26.79% 43.33%-0.27 -22.4 15
2012-10-27 Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-250.9 1397 1549 22.70% 25.48% 51.81%-0.63 -4.7 19
2012-10-27 @ Celje W 2-150.9 1549 1397 51.81% 25.48% 22.70%+0.63 +4.7 29
2012-11-03 Aluminij W 3-039.6 1554 1428 57.80% 23.87% 18.33%+0.91 +11.2 32
2012-11-03 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-339.6 1428 1554 18.33% 23.87% 57.80%-0.91 -11.1 19
2012-11-03 Celje L 1-265.7 1628 1392 69.16% 19.24% 11.60%+1.52 -11.4 35
2012-11-03 @ Maribor W 2-165.7 1392 1628 11.60% 19.24% 69.16%-1.52 +11.4 22
2012-11-03 Domzale W 1-046.0 1366 1428 33.12% 27.03% 39.85%-0.13 +7.8 16
2012-11-03 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-146.0 1428 1366 39.85% 27.03% 33.12%+0.13 -7.8 25
2012-11-03 Triglav D 2-262.0 1414 1359 49.39% 25.97% 24.64%+0.52 -0.8 16
2012-11-03 @ Gorica D 2-262.0 1359 1414 24.64% 25.97% 49.39%-0.52 +0.8 15
2012-11-04 Luka Koper L 2-358.5 1420 1469 35.00% 27.09% 37.91%-0.06 -6.3 11
2012-11-04 @ ND Mura 05 W 3-258.5 1469 1420 37.91% 27.09% 35.00%+0.06 +6.3 25
2012-11-07 Celje L 1-253.7 1417 1403 43.83% 26.75% 29.43%+0.29 -7.9 19
2012-11-07 @ Aluminij W 2-153.7 1403 1417 29.43% 26.75% 43.83%-0.29 +7.9 25
2012-11-07 Gorica L 0-147.8 1420 1414 42.87% 26.83% 30.30%+0.25 -8.2 25
2012-11-07 @ Domzale W 1-047.8 1414 1420 30.30% 26.83% 42.87%-0.25 +8.2 19
2012-11-07 ND Mura 05 W 3-148.4 1359 1414 34.18% 27.07% 38.75%-0.09 +12.4 18
2012-11-07 @ Triglav L 1-348.4 1414 1359 38.75% 27.07% 34.18%+0.09 -12.4 11
2012-11-07 Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-051.9 1476 1565 29.65% 26.77% 43.58%-0.28 +15.7 28
2012-11-07 @ Luka Koper L 0-251.9 1565 1476 43.58% 26.77% 29.65%+0.28 -15.7 32
2012-11-10 Luka Koper L 0-146.2 1411 1491 30.81% 26.88% 42.31%-0.23 -6.4 25
2012-11-10 @ Celje W 1-046.2 1491 1411 42.31% 26.88% 30.81%+0.23 +6.4 31
2012-11-10 Triglav W 5-139.4 1549 1372 63.41% 21.82% 14.77%+1.20 +9.7 35
2012-11-10 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-539.4 1372 1549 14.77% 21.82% 63.41%-1.20 -9.7 18
2012-11-11 Aluminij W 2-149.5 1617 1409 66.42% 20.53% 13.05%+1.36 +2.7 38
2012-11-11 @ Maribor L 1-249.5 1409 1617 13.05% 20.53% 66.42%-1.36 -2.7 19
2012-11-11 Domzale L 1-252.6 1402 1412 40.47% 27.00% 32.53%+0.16 -7.4 11
2012-11-11 @ ND Mura 05 W 2-152.6 1412 1402 32.53% 27.00% 40.47%-0.16 +7.4 28
2012-11-11 Rudar Velenje L 0-443.3 1422 1373 48.44% 26.14% 25.42%+0.48 -32.5 19
2012-11-11 @ Gorica W 4-043.3 1373 1422 25.42% 26.14% 48.44%-0.48 +32.5 19
2012-11-17 Domzale L 1-262.4 1559 1420 59.33% 23.36% 17.31%+0.98 -10.1 35
2012-11-17 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-162.4 1420 1559 17.31% 23.36% 59.33%-0.98 +10.1 31
2012-11-17 Maribor L 1-642.6 1389 1620 16.39% 22.86% 60.75%-1.06 -13.3 19
2012-11-17 @ Gorica W 6-142.6 1620 1389 60.75% 22.86% 16.39%+1.06 +13.3 41
2012-11-17 Triglav L 1-253.6 1405 1362 47.70% 26.26% 26.05%+0.45 -8.4 25
2012-11-17 @ Celje W 2-153.6 1362 1405 26.05% 26.26% 47.70%-0.45 +8.5 21
2012-11-18 Luka Koper D 1-159.0 1407 1498 29.42% 26.75% 43.83%-0.29 +0.6 20
2012-11-18 @ Aluminij D 1-159.0 1498 1407 43.83% 26.75% 29.42%+0.29 -0.6 32
2012-11-18 Rudar Velenje W 4-038.9 1394 1406 40.32% 27.01% 32.67%+0.15 +24.0 14
2012-11-18 @ ND Mura 05 L 0-438.9 1406 1394 32.67% 27.01% 40.32%-0.15 -24.0 19
2012-11-21 ND Mura 05 L 0-243.8 1407 1418 40.37% 27.00% 32.62%+0.15 -14.8 20
2012-11-21 @ Aluminij W 2-043.8 1418 1407 32.62% 27.00% 40.37%-0.15 +14.8 17
2012-11-21 Rudar Velenje D 2-261.3 1371 1382 40.35% 27.00% 32.64%+0.15 -0.2 22
2012-11-21 @ Triglav D 2-261.3 1382 1371 32.64% 27.00% 40.35%-0.15 +0.2 20
2012-11-24 Celje L 1-254.6 1430 1396 46.46% 26.44% 27.10%+0.40 -8.3 31
2012-11-24 @ Domzale W 2-154.6 1396 1430 27.10% 26.44% 46.46%-0.40 +8.3 28
2012-11-24 ND Mura 05 W 2-043.0 1376 1433 33.89% 27.06% 39.05%-0.10 +14.5 22
2012-11-24 @ Gorica L 0-243.0 1433 1376 39.05% 27.06% 33.89%+0.10 -14.5 17
2012-11-25 Aluminij D 0-050.4 1370 1392 38.85% 27.07% 34.09%+0.09 -0.2 23
2012-11-25 @ Triglav D 0-050.4 1392 1370 34.09% 27.07% 38.85%-0.09 +0.2 21
2012-11-25 Luka Koper W 3-044.4 1633 1497 58.88% 23.51% 17.60%+0.96 +10.7 44
2012-11-25 @ Maribor L 0-344.4 1497 1633 17.60% 23.51% 58.88%-0.96 -10.7 32
2012-11-25 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-143.8 1382 1549 21.37% 25.07% 53.56%-0.71 -4.7 20
2012-11-25 @ Rudar Velenje W 1-043.8 1549 1382 53.56% 25.07% 21.37%+0.71 +4.7 38
2012-11-28 Maribor D 2-272.1 1421 1643 16.95% 23.17% 59.88%-1.01 +1.3 32
2012-11-28 @ Domzale D 2-272.1 1643 1421 59.88% 23.17% 16.95%+1.01 -1.4 45
2012-12-01 Domzale L 1-446.4 1393 1423 37.66% 27.09% 35.25%+0.05 -17.2 21
2012-12-01 @ Aluminij W 4-146.4 1423 1393 35.25% 27.09% 37.66%-0.05 +17.2 35
2012-12-01 Gorica D 2-267.9 1554 1391 61.88% 22.43% 15.69%+1.12 -1.5 39
2012-12-01 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 2-267.9 1391 1554 15.69% 22.43% 61.88%-1.12 +1.5 23
2012-12-01 Rudar Velenje D 1-155.7 1405 1377 45.65% 26.54% 27.80%+0.37 -0.7 29
2012-12-01 @ Celje D 1-155.7 1377 1405 27.80% 26.54% 45.65%-0.37 +0.7 21
2012-12-01 Triglav D 1-158.3 1487 1370 56.74% 24.20% 19.06%+0.86 -1.6 33
2012-12-01 @ Luka Koper D 1-158.3 1370 1487 19.06% 24.20% 56.74%-0.86 +1.6 24
2012-12-02 Maribor L 1-252.7 1419 1642 16.85% 23.11% 60.03%-1.02 -3.5 17
2012-12-02 @ ND Mura 05 W 2-152.7 1642 1419 60.03% 23.11% 16.85%+1.02 +3.5 48
2013-03-02 Celje D 0-051.1 1392 1404 40.28% 27.01% 32.71%+0.15 -0.3 24
2013-03-02 @ Gorica D 0-051.1 1404 1392 32.71% 27.01% 40.28%-0.15 +0.3 30
2013-03-02 Triglav W 4-141.8 1646 1372 72.56% 17.52% 9.92%+1.73 +4.8 51
2013-03-02 @ Maribor L 1-441.8 1372 1646 9.92% 17.52% 72.56%-1.73 -4.8 24
2013-03-03 Aluminij W 3-037.6 1378 1375 42.32% 26.88% 30.80%+0.23 +17.6 24
2013-03-03 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-337.6 1375 1378 30.80% 26.88% 42.32%-0.23 -17.6 21
2013-03-03 Luka Koper D 1-159.6 1440 1485 35.56% 27.10% 37.34%-0.03 +0.1 36
2013-03-03 @ Domzale D 1-159.6 1485 1440 37.34% 27.10% 35.56%+0.03 -0.1 34
2013-03-09 ND Mura 05 W 4-039.3 1404 1415 40.42% 27.00% 32.58%+0.15 +24.0 33
2013-03-09 @ Celje L 0-439.3 1415 1404 32.58% 27.00% 40.42%-0.15 -24.0 17
2013-03-10 Maribor D 1-168.9 1552 1650 28.60% 26.65% 44.75%-0.33 +0.6 40
2013-03-10 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-168.9 1650 1552 44.75% 26.65% 28.60%+0.33 -0.6 52
2013-03-10 Gorica L 1-347.5 1358 1392 37.12% 27.10% 35.78%+0.03 -12.0 21
2013-03-10 @ Aluminij W 3-147.5 1392 1358 35.78% 27.10% 37.12%-0.03 +12.0 27
2013-03-10 Rudar Velenje D 2-264.9 1485 1396 53.54% 25.08% 21.38%+0.71 -1.0 35
2013-03-10 @ Luka Koper D 2-264.9 1396 1485 21.38% 25.08% 53.54%-0.71 +1.0 25
2013-03-13 Maribor L 0-340.3 1397 1650 14.89% 21.91% 63.20%-1.18 -9.0 25
2013-03-13 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-040.3 1650 1397 63.20% 21.91% 14.89%+1.18 +9.0 55
2013-03-13 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-439.4 1391 1553 21.85% 25.23% 52.92%-0.68 -17.2 17
2013-03-13 @ ND Mura 05 W 4-039.4 1553 1391 52.92% 25.23% 21.85%+0.68 +17.2 43
2013-03-16 Celje W 3-147.6 1570 1428 59.59% 23.27% 17.14%+1.00 +6.2 46
2013-03-16 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-347.6 1428 1570 17.14% 23.27% 59.59%-1.00 -6.2 33
2013-03-16 Domzale L 1-365.3 1659 1440 67.49% 20.04% 12.47%+1.42 -19.4 55
2013-03-16 @ Maribor W 3-165.3 1440 1659 12.47% 20.04% 67.49%-1.42 +19.4 39
2013-03-16 Luka Koper D 1-158.4 1404 1484 30.82% 26.88% 42.30%-0.23 +0.5 28
2013-03-16 @ Gorica D 1-158.4 1484 1404 42.30% 26.88% 30.82%+0.23 -0.4 36
2013-03-17 Aluminij D 1-154.7 1374 1346 45.79% 26.53% 27.68%+0.37 -0.7 18
2013-03-17 @ ND Mura 05 D 1-154.7 1346 1374 27.68% 26.53% 45.79%-0.37 +0.7 22
2013-03-17 Triglav W 3-144.9 1388 1367 44.77% 26.65% 28.58%+0.33 +9.9 28
2013-03-17 @ Rudar Velenje L 1-344.9 1367 1388 28.58% 26.65% 44.77%-0.33 -9.9 24
2013-03-30 Aluminij D 0-051.0 1422 1346 51.87% 25.47% 22.66%+0.63 -1.3 34
2013-03-30 @ Celje D 0-051.0 1346 1422 22.66% 25.47% 51.87%-0.63 +1.3 23
2013-03-30 Domzale L 0-146.1 1404 1460 34.13% 27.07% 38.80%-0.09 -6.9 28
2013-03-30 @ Gorica W 1-046.1 1460 1404 38.80% 27.07% 34.13%+0.09 +6.9 42
2013-03-30 Luka Koper D 2-271.4 1576 1484 53.96% 24.97% 21.07%+0.73 -1.0 47
2013-03-30 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 2-271.4 1484 1576 21.07% 24.97% 53.96%-0.73 +1.0 37
2013-03-30 Rudar Velenje W 3-146.0 1639 1398 69.68% 18.99% 11.33%+1.55 +3.9 58
2013-03-30 @ Maribor L 1-346.0 1398 1639 11.33% 18.99% 69.68%-1.55 -3.9 28
2013-03-30 Triglav W 2-147.5 1373 1357 44.17% 26.71% 29.12%+0.30 +5.8 21
2013-03-30 @ ND Mura 05 L 1-247.5 1357 1373 29.12% 26.71% 44.17%-0.30 -5.8 24
2013-04-06 Celje L 0-151.9 1485 1421 50.40% 25.78% 23.82%+0.57 -9.4 37
2013-04-06 @ Luka Koper W 1-051.9 1421 1485 23.82% 25.78% 50.40%-0.57 +9.4 37
2013-04-06 Gorica W 1-043.5 1394 1397 41.41% 26.94% 31.65%+0.19 +6.5 31
2013-04-06 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-143.5 1397 1394 31.65% 26.94% 41.41%-0.19 -6.5 28
2013-04-06 ND Mura 05 D 1-157.7 1466 1379 53.30% 25.14% 21.56%+0.70 -1.3 43
2013-04-06 @ Domzale D 1-157.7 1379 1466 21.56% 25.14% 53.30%-0.70 +1.3 22
2013-04-07 Maribor L 1-247.9 1348 1643 12.50% 20.06% 67.44%-1.42 -2.5 23
2013-04-07 @ Aluminij W 2-147.9 1643 1348 67.44% 20.06% 12.50%+1.42 +2.6 61
2013-04-07 Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-442.2 1351 1575 16.81% 23.09% 60.10%-1.02 -8.6 24
2013-04-07 @ Triglav W 4-142.2 1575 1351 60.10% 23.09% 16.81%+1.02 +8.6 50
2013-04-13 Aluminij W 3-034.2 1475 1345 58.27% 23.72% 18.01%+0.93 +11.0 40
2013-04-13 @ Luka Koper L 0-334.2 1345 1475 18.01% 23.72% 58.27%-0.93 -11.0 23
2013-04-13 Gorica W 2-148.5 1646 1391 70.89% 18.39% 10.73%+1.62 +2.1 64
2013-04-13 @ Maribor L 1-248.5 1391 1646 10.73% 18.39% 70.89%-1.62 -2.1 28
2013-04-13 ND Mura 05 W 3-037.4 1400 1380 44.64% 26.66% 28.70%+0.32 +16.6 34
2013-04-13 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-337.4 1380 1400 28.70% 26.66% 44.64%-0.32 -16.6 22
2013-04-13 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-444.9 1465 1584 26.21% 26.29% 47.50%-0.44 -20.2 43
2013-04-13 @ Domzale W 4-044.9 1584 1465 47.50% 26.29% 26.21%+0.44 +20.1 53
2013-04-14 Celje W 1-046.5 1343 1430 29.90% 26.80% 43.30%-0.27 +8.3 27
2013-04-14 @ Triglav L 0-146.5 1430 1343 43.30% 26.80% 29.90%+0.27 -8.3 37
2013-04-17 Maribor W 2-166.0 1422 1648 16.65% 23.00% 60.34%-1.04 +10.2 40
2013-04-17 @ Celje L 1-266.0 1648 1422 60.34% 23.00% 16.65%+1.04 -10.2 64
2013-04-17 Gorica W 2-040.8 1351 1389 36.60% 27.10% 36.30%+0.01 +13.7 30
2013-04-17 @ Triglav L 0-240.8 1389 1351 36.30% 27.10% 36.60%-0.01 -13.7 28
2013-04-17 ND Mura 05 W 3-143.2 1486 1364 57.41% 23.99% 18.60%+0.89 +6.7 43
2013-04-17 @ Luka Koper L 1-343.2 1364 1486 18.60% 23.99% 57.41%-0.89 -6.7 22
2013-04-17 Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-052.9 1334 1604 13.90% 21.20% 64.90%-1.28 +21.7 26
2013-04-17 @ Aluminij L 0-252.9 1604 1334 64.90% 21.20% 13.90%+1.28 -21.7 53
2013-04-17 Rudar Velenje W 2-040.8 1445 1417 45.78% 26.53% 27.69%+0.37 +11.1 46
2013-04-17 @ Domzale L 0-240.8 1417 1445 27.69% 26.53% 45.78%-0.37 -11.1 34
2013-04-20 Maribor W 2-165.9 1493 1638 23.46% 25.69% 50.85%-0.59 +8.9 46
2013-04-20 @ Luka Koper L 1-265.9 1638 1493 50.85% 25.69% 23.46%+0.59 -8.9 64
2013-04-20 Rudar Velenje W 1-043.0 1582 1406 63.31% 21.86% 14.82%+1.19 +3.3 56
2013-04-20 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-143.0 1406 1582 14.82% 21.86% 63.31%-1.19 -3.3 34
2013-04-21 Domzale D 0-053.5 1432 1456 38.55% 27.07% 34.37%+0.08 -0.2 41
2013-04-21 @ Celje D 0-053.5 1456 1432 34.37% 27.07% 38.55%-0.08 +0.2 47
2013-04-21 Gorica D 1-154.7 1357 1375 39.42% 27.05% 33.53%+0.12 -0.2 23
2013-04-21 @ ND Mura 05 D 1-154.7 1375 1357 33.53% 27.05% 39.42%-0.12 +0.2 29
2013-04-21 Triglav D 2-260.8 1356 1365 40.73% 26.98% 32.29%+0.17 -0.2 27
2013-04-21 @ Aluminij D 2-260.8 1365 1356 32.29% 26.98% 40.73%-0.17 +0.2 31
2013-04-24 Domzale D 0-051.7 1365 1456 29.41% 26.75% 43.84%-0.29 +0.6 32
2013-04-24 @ Triglav D 0-051.7 1456 1365 43.84% 26.75% 29.41%+0.29 -0.6 48
2013-04-27 Aluminij D 1-156.9 1456 1356 54.81% 24.75% 20.44%+0.77 -1.4 49
2013-04-27 @ Domzale D 1-156.9 1356 1456 20.44% 24.75% 54.81%-0.77 +1.4 28
2013-04-27 Celje L 0-146.4 1402 1432 37.78% 27.09% 35.13%+0.05 -7.5 34
2013-04-27 @ Rudar Velenje W 1-046.4 1432 1402 35.13% 27.09% 37.78%-0.05 +7.5 44
2013-04-27 ND Mura 05 W 4-035.1 1629 1357 72.39% 17.61% 10.00%+1.72 +7.5 67
2013-04-27 @ Maribor L 0-435.1 1357 1629 10.00% 17.61% 72.39%-1.72 -7.5 23
2013-04-27 Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-161.9 1375 1586 17.79% 23.61% 58.60%-0.95 +1.7 30
2013-04-27 @ Gorica D 1-161.9 1586 1375 58.60% 23.61% 17.79%+0.95 -1.7 57
2013-04-28 Luka Koper D 1-158.1 1366 1502 24.34% 25.90% 49.75%-0.54 +1.0 33
2013-04-28 @ Triglav D 1-158.1 1502 1366 49.75% 25.90% 24.34%+0.54 -1.0 47
2013-05-04 Maribor L 1-249.1 1367 1636 13.90% 21.20% 64.90%-1.28 -2.9 33
2013-05-04 @ Triglav W 2-149.1 1636 1367 64.90% 21.20% 13.90%+1.28 +2.9 70
2013-05-04 Gorica L 2-360.6 1439 1377 50.22% 25.82% 23.97%+0.56 -8.4 44
2013-05-04 @ Celje W 3-260.6 1377 1439 23.97% 25.82% 50.22%-0.56 +8.4 33
2013-05-04 ND Mura 05 W 2-145.3 1584 1349 69.00% 19.32% 11.68%+1.51 +2.4 60
2013-05-04 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-245.3 1349 1584 11.68% 19.32% 69.00%-1.51 -2.3 23
2013-05-05 Rudar Velenje L 3-552.8 1357 1395 36.59% 27.10% 36.30%+0.01 -10.1 28
2013-05-05 @ Aluminij W 5-352.8 1395 1357 36.30% 27.10% 36.59%-0.01 +10.1 37
2013-05-08 Domzale W 3-041.4 1501 1454 48.18% 26.18% 25.64%+0.47 +15.1 50
2013-05-08 @ Luka Koper L 0-341.4 1454 1501 25.64% 26.18% 48.18%-0.47 -15.1 49
2013-05-11 Aluminij W 2-037.5 1385 1347 47.10% 26.35% 26.55%+0.43 +10.7 36
2013-05-11 @ Gorica L 0-237.5 1347 1385 26.55% 26.35% 47.10%-0.43 -10.7 28
2013-05-11 Celje W 1-046.5 1347 1431 30.33% 26.84% 42.83%-0.25 +8.2 26
2013-05-11 @ ND Mura 05 L 0-146.5 1431 1347 42.83% 26.84% 30.33%+0.25 -8.2 44
2013-05-11 Luka Koper L 1-446.1 1405 1516 27.10% 26.44% 46.47%-0.40 -13.4 37
2013-05-11 @ Rudar Velenje W 4-146.1 1516 1405 46.47% 26.44% 27.10%+0.40 +13.4 53
2013-05-11 Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-160.6 1639 1586 49.01% 26.04% 24.95%+0.51 +5.1 73
2013-05-11 @ Maribor L 1-260.6 1586 1639 24.95% 26.04% 49.01%-0.51 -5.1 60
2013-05-11 Triglav D 1-156.5 1439 1364 51.84% 25.48% 22.68%+0.63 -1.2 50
2013-05-11 @ Domzale D 1-156.5 1364 1439 22.68% 25.48% 51.84%-0.63 +1.2 34
2013-05-14 Maribor D 1-166.3 1438 1644 18.09% 23.76% 58.15%-0.93 +1.7 51
2013-05-14 @ Domzale D 1-166.3 1644 1438 58.15% 23.76% 18.09%+0.93 -1.7 74
2013-05-14 Gorica D 2-266.9 1529 1396 58.64% 23.60% 17.77%+0.95 -1.3 54
2013-05-14 @ Luka Koper D 2-266.9 1396 1529 17.77% 23.60% 58.64%-0.95 +1.3 37
2013-05-14 ND Mura 05 D 2-260.4 1336 1355 39.29% 27.05% 33.66%+0.11 -0.2 29
2013-05-14 @ Aluminij D 2-260.4 1355 1336 33.66% 27.05% 39.29%-0.11 +0.2 27
2013-05-14 Olimpija Ljubljana D 2-269.2 1423 1581 22.16% 25.32% 52.52%-0.66 +0.9 45
2013-05-14 @ Celje D 2-269.2 1581 1423 52.52% 25.32% 22.16%+0.66 -0.9 61
2013-05-14 Rudar Velenje W 2-040.6 1365 1392 38.17% 27.08% 34.74%+0.07 +13.2 37
2013-05-14 @ Triglav L 0-240.6 1392 1365 34.74% 27.08% 38.17%-0.07 -13.3 37
2013-05-18 Aluminij W 2-035.3 1580 1336 69.89% 18.89% 11.23%+1.56 +4.5 64
2013-05-18 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-235.3 1336 1580 11.23% 18.89% 69.89%-1.56 -4.5 29
2013-05-18 Celje W 5-143.5 1643 1424 67.52% 20.02% 12.45%+1.42 +8.0 77
2013-05-18 @ Maribor L 1-543.5 1424 1643 12.45% 20.02% 67.52%-1.42 -8.0 45
2013-05-18 Domzale L 0-144.6 1378 1440 33.31% 27.04% 39.66%-0.12 -6.8 37
2013-05-18 @ Rudar Velenje W 1-044.6 1440 1378 39.66% 27.04% 33.31%+0.12 +6.8 54
2013-05-18 Luka Koper W 3-047.2 1355 1528 20.87% 24.90% 54.23%-0.74 +27.3 30
2013-05-18 @ ND Mura 05 L 0-347.2 1528 1355 54.23% 24.90% 20.87%+0.74 -27.3 54
2013-05-18 Triglav D 0-050.8 1397 1378 44.56% 26.67% 28.76%+0.32 -0.7 38
2013-05-18 @ Gorica D 0-050.8 1378 1397 28.76% 26.67% 44.56%-0.32 +0.7 38
2013-05-22 Celje L 1-345.3 1332 1416 30.33% 26.84% 42.83%-0.25 -10.4 29
2013-05-22 @ Aluminij W 3-145.3 1416 1332 42.83% 26.84% 30.33%+0.25 +10.3 48
2013-05-22 Maribor W 3-162.4 1372 1651 13.38% 20.79% 65.83%-1.33 +19.0 40
2013-05-22 @ Rudar Velenje L 1-362.4 1651 1372 65.83% 20.79% 13.38%+1.33 -19.0 77
2013-05-22 Gorica W 3-037.7 1446 1397 48.60% 26.11% 25.29%+0.49 +15.0 57
2013-05-22 @ Domzale L 0-337.7 1397 1446 25.29% 26.11% 48.60%-0.49 -15.0 38
2013-05-22 ND Mura 05 L 0-242.7 1379 1383 41.40% 26.94% 31.65%+0.19 -15.1 38
2013-05-22 @ Triglav W 2-042.7 1383 1379 31.65% 26.94% 41.40%-0.19 +15.1 33
2013-05-22 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-152.7 1501 1585 30.32% 26.84% 42.84%-0.25 -6.3 54
2013-05-22 @ Luka Koper W 1-052.7 1585 1501 42.84% 26.84% 30.32%+0.25 +6.3 67
2013-05-26 Aluminij D 2-270.2 1632 1321 75.61% 15.88% 8.51%+1.93 -2.1 78
2013-05-26 @ Maribor D 2-270.2 1321 1632 8.51% 15.88% 75.61%-1.93 +2.1 30
2013-05-26 Domzale L 0-145.6 1398 1461 32.99% 27.02% 39.99%-0.14 -6.8 33
2013-05-26 @ ND Mura 05 W 1-045.6 1461 1398 39.99% 27.02% 32.99%+0.14 +6.8 60
2013-05-26 Luka Koper D 2-265.7 1426 1494 32.35% 26.99% 40.66%-0.16 +0.2 49
2013-05-26 @ Celje D 2-265.7 1494 1426 40.66% 26.99% 32.35%+0.16 -0.2 55
2013-05-26 Rudar Velenje W 3-254.7 1382 1391 40.70% 26.99% 32.32%+0.17 +5.9 41
2013-05-26 @ Gorica L 2-354.7 1391 1382 32.32% 26.99% 40.70%-0.17 -6.0 40
2013-05-26 Triglav W 4-035.2 1591 1364 68.33% 19.64% 12.03%+1.47 +9.3 70
2013-05-26 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-435.2 1364 1591 12.03% 19.64% 68.33%-1.47 -9.3 38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-11-03 11.60% Celje 1392 2 @ Maribor 1628 1
2 2013-03-16 12.47% Domzale 1440 3 @ Maribor 1659 1
3 2012-10-07 13.17% @ Triglav 1352 1 Maribor 1635 0
4 2013-05-22 13.38% @ Rudar Velenje 1372 3 Maribor 1651 1
5 2013-04-17 13.90% @ Aluminij 1334 2 Olimpija Ljubljana 1604 0
6 2013-04-17 16.65% @ Celje 1422 2 Maribor 1648 1
7 2012-11-17 17.31% Domzale 1420 2 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1559 1
8 2012-09-30 20.59% @ Triglav 1316 4 Luka Koper 1492 0
9 2012-07-15 20.65% Domzale 1400 2 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1497 1
10 2013-05-18 20.87% @ ND Mura 05 1355 3 Luka Koper 1528 0
11 2012-07-29 22.94% Gorica 1445 3 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1518 1
12 2013-04-20 23.46% @ Luka Koper 1493 2 Maribor 1638 1
13 2013-04-06 23.82% Celje 1421 1 @ Luka Koper 1485 0
14 2013-05-04 23.97% Gorica 1377 3 @ Celje 1439 2
15 2012-08-26 24.00% @ Triglav 1328 2 Gorica 1467 1
16 2012-07-22 24.57% @ Triglav 1331 1 Aluminij 1465 0
17 2012-07-29 24.68% Domzale 1401 1 @ Aluminij 1456 0
18 2012-11-11 25.42% Rudar Velenje 1373 4 @ Gorica 1422 0
19 2012-11-17 26.05% Triglav 1362 2 @ Celje 1405 1
20 2012-10-06 26.23% Domzale 1415 2 @ Luka Koper 1456 1
21 2012-09-01 26.37% Domzale 1419 2 @ Gorica 1459 1
22 2012-11-24 27.10% Celje 1396 2 @ Domzale 1430 1
23 2012-09-16 29.14% ND Mura 05 1411 2 @ Domzale 1427 0
24 2012-07-22 29.24% Celje 1394 1 @ Domzale 1409 0
25 2012-11-07 29.43% Celje 1403 2 @ Aluminij 1417 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-09-30 35.82 @ Triglav 4 1316 20.59% Luka Koper 0 1492 54.60% 24.80%
2 2012-11-11 32.46 Rudar Velenje 4 1373 25.42% @ Gorica 0 1422 48.44% 26.14%
3 2012-07-22 29.95 Olimpija Ljubljana 5 1488 39.78% @ Rudar Velenje 0 1426 33.19% 27.03%
4 2013-05-18 27.26 @ ND Mura 05 3 1355 20.87% Luka Koper 0 1528 54.23% 24.90%
5 2012-11-18 24.02 @ ND Mura 05 4 1394 40.32% Rudar Velenje 0 1406 32.67% 27.01%
6 2013-03-09 23.97 @ Celje 4 1404 40.42% ND Mura 05 0 1415 32.58% 27.00%
7 2012-10-27 22.41 @ Luka Koper 4 1447 43.33% Gorica 0 1437 29.87% 26.79%
8 2013-04-17 21.72 @ Aluminij 2 1334 13.90% Olimpija Ljubljana 0 1604 64.90% 21.20%
9 2012-08-01 20.22 Luka Koper 3 1481 35.77% @ Aluminij 0 1447 37.13% 27.10%
10 2013-04-13 20.15 Olimpija Ljubljana 4 1584 47.50% @ Domzale 0 1465 26.21% 26.29%
11 2013-03-16 19.38 Domzale 3 1440 12.47% @ Maribor 1 1659 67.49% 20.04%
12 2013-05-22 19.02 @ Rudar Velenje 3 1372 13.38% Maribor 1 1651 65.83% 20.79%
13 2013-03-03 17.57 @ Rudar Velenje 3 1378 42.32% Aluminij 0 1375 30.80% 26.88%
14 2012-12-01 17.22 Domzale 4 1423 35.25% @ Aluminij 1 1393 37.66% 27.09%
15 2013-03-13 17.20 Olimpija Ljubljana 4 1553 52.92% @ ND Mura 05 0 1391 21.85% 25.23%
16 2013-04-13 16.62 @ Rudar Velenje 3 1400 44.64% ND Mura 05 0 1380 28.70% 26.66%
17 2012-10-20 16.08 @ Gorica 4 1421 38.62% Aluminij 1 1444 34.31% 27.07%
18 2012-09-16 15.88 ND Mura 05 2 1411 29.14% @ Domzale 0 1427 44.15% 26.71%
19 2012-11-07 15.72 @ Luka Koper 2 1476 29.65% Olimpija Ljubljana 0 1565 43.58% 26.77%
20 2012-07-29 15.58 Gorica 3 1445 22.94% @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1518 51.50% 25.55%
21 2012-09-01 15.32 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 4 1501 40.87% Luka Koper 1 1508 32.16% 26.98%
22 2012-09-15 15.19 Maribor 5 1600 51.04% @ Aluminij 1 1453 23.31% 25.65%
23 2013-05-08 15.14 @ Luka Koper 3 1501 48.18% Domzale 0 1454 25.64% 26.18%
24 2013-05-22 15.11 ND Mura 05 2 1383 31.65% @ Triglav 0 1379 41.40% 26.94%
25 2012-10-07 14.99 @ Aluminij 3 1429 48.54% Rudar Velenje 0 1380 25.34% 26.12%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-11-28 72.1 @ Domzale 2 1421 16.95% Maribor 2 1643 59.88% 23.17%
2 2013-03-30 71.4 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1576 53.96% Luka Koper 2 1484 21.07% 24.97%
3 2013-05-26 70.2 @ Maribor 2 1632 75.61% Aluminij 2 1321 8.51% 15.88%
4 2013-05-14 69.2 @ Celje 2 1423 22.16% Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1581 52.52% 25.32%
5 2013-03-10 68.9 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1552 28.60% Maribor 1 1650 44.75% 26.65%
6 2012-12-01 67.9 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1554 61.88% Gorica 2 1391 15.69% 22.43%
7 2013-05-14 66.9 @ Luka Koper 2 1529 58.64% Gorica 2 1396 17.77% 23.60%
8 2012-08-18 66.3 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1509 54.70% Celje 2 1410 20.52% 24.78%
9 2013-05-14 66.3 @ Domzale 1 1438 18.09% Maribor 1 1644 58.15% 23.76%
10 2013-04-17 66.0 @ Celje 2 1422 16.65% Maribor 1 1648 60.34% 23.00%
11 2013-04-20 65.9 @ Luka Koper 2 1493 23.46% Maribor 1 1638 50.85% 25.69%
12 2012-11-03 65.7 Celje 2 1392 11.60% @ Maribor 1 1628 69.16% 19.24%
13 2013-05-26 65.7 @ Celje 2 1426 32.35% Luka Koper 2 1494 40.66% 26.99%
14 2013-03-16 65.3 Domzale 3 1440 12.47% @ Maribor 1 1659 67.49% 20.04%
15 2013-03-10 64.9 @ Luka Koper 2 1485 53.54% Rudar Velenje 2 1396 21.38% 25.08%
16 2012-09-26 63.4 Maribor 3 1627 49.01% @ Luka Koper 2 1497 24.95% 26.04%
17 2012-09-15 62.7 @ Rudar Velenje 2 1369 30.66% Gorica 2 1450 42.48% 26.87%
18 2012-10-21 62.7 @ ND Mura 05 2 1421 45.32% Celje 2 1396 28.09% 26.58%
19 2012-11-17 62.4 Domzale 2 1420 17.31% @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1559 59.33% 23.36%
20 2013-05-22 62.4 @ Rudar Velenje 3 1372 13.38% Maribor 1 1651 65.83% 20.79%
21 2012-11-03 62.0 @ Gorica 2 1414 49.39% Triglav 2 1359 24.64% 25.97%
22 2013-04-27 61.9 @ Gorica 1 1375 17.79% Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1586 58.60% 23.61%
23 2012-11-21 61.3 @ Triglav 2 1371 40.35% Rudar Velenje 2 1382 32.64% 27.00%
24 2013-04-21 60.8 @ Aluminij 2 1356 40.73% Triglav 2 1365 32.29% 26.98%
25 2012-08-11 60.7 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 0 1508 32.21% Maribor 0 1578 40.81% 26.98%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-04-13 34.2 @ Luka Koper 3 1475 58.27% Aluminij 0 1345 18.01% 23.72%
2 2013-04-27 35.1 @ Maribor 4 1629 72.39% ND Mura 05 0 1357 10.00% 17.61%
3 2013-05-26 35.2 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 4 1591 68.33% Triglav 0 1364 12.03% 19.64%
4 2013-05-18 35.3 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1580 69.89% Aluminij 0 1336 11.23% 18.89%
5 2012-09-16 35.7 Olimpija Ljubljana 3 1516 55.60% @ Triglav 0 1332 19.87% 24.53%
6 2012-09-01 36.1 @ Maribor 4 1590 66.74% Rudar Velenje 0 1379 12.88% 20.38%
7 2012-10-07 36.9 @ Aluminij 3 1429 48.54% Rudar Velenje 0 1380 25.34% 26.12%
8 2013-04-13 37.4 @ Rudar Velenje 3 1400 44.64% ND Mura 05 0 1380 28.70% 26.66%
9 2013-05-11 37.5 @ Gorica 2 1385 47.10% Aluminij 0 1347 26.55% 26.35%
10 2013-03-03 37.6 @ Rudar Velenje 3 1378 42.32% Aluminij 0 1375 30.80% 26.88%
11 2013-05-22 37.7 @ Domzale 3 1446 48.60% Gorica 0 1397 25.29% 26.11%
12 2012-09-26 38.2 @ Aluminij 1 1439 57.00% Triglav 0 1320 18.88% 24.12%
13 2012-08-04 38.8 @ Maribor 1 1575 68.85% Triglav 0 1342 11.75% 19.39%
14 2012-11-18 38.9 @ ND Mura 05 4 1394 40.32% Rudar Velenje 0 1406 32.67% 27.01%
15 2013-03-09 39.3 @ Celje 4 1404 40.42% ND Mura 05 0 1415 32.58% 27.00%
16 2012-11-10 39.4 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 5 1549 63.41% Triglav 1 1372 14.77% 21.82%
17 2013-03-13 39.4 Olimpija Ljubljana 4 1553 52.92% @ ND Mura 05 0 1391 21.85% 25.23%
18 2012-08-25 39.6 @ Domzale 2 1407 44.25% Rudar Velenje 0 1390 29.05% 26.70%
19 2012-11-03 39.6 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 3 1554 57.80% Aluminij 0 1428 18.33% 23.87%
20 2012-08-18 39.9 @ Rudar Velenje 1 1385 48.85% Triglav 0 1333 25.08% 26.07%
21 2012-07-15 40.0 @ Celje 1 1388 48.84% Triglav 0 1337 25.09% 26.07%
22 2012-10-27 40.3 @ Luka Koper 4 1447 43.33% Gorica 0 1437 29.87% 26.79%
23 2013-03-13 40.3 Maribor 3 1650 63.20% @ Rudar Velenje 0 1397 14.89% 21.91%
24 2013-05-14 40.6 @ Triglav 2 1365 38.17% Rudar Velenje 0 1392 34.74% 27.08%
25 2013-04-17 40.8 @ Triglav 2 1351 36.60% Gorica 0 1389 36.30% 27.10%