2013-14 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Maribor

77 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Luka Koper

12.74 points above expected

69 points · 56.26 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Triglav

9.60 points below expected

26 points · 35.60 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Maribor	36	24	5	7	77	78	31	+47	69.27	+7.73
2	Luka Koper	36	21	6	9	69	52	36	+16	56.26	+12.74
3	Rudar Velenje	36	18	9	9	63	55	33	+22	54.39	+8.61
4	Gorica	36	16	10	10	58	60	32	+28	55.97	+2.03
5	Zavrc	36	16	5	15	53	58	63	-5	47.56	+5.44
6	Domzale	36	10	15	11	45	47	36	+11	52.95	-7.95
7	Olimpija Ljubljana	36	12	6	18	42	38	56	-18	50.63	-8.63
8	Celje	36	10	7	19	37	30	58	-28	41.19	-4.19
9	Krka	36	8	7	21	31	31	64	-33	36.80	-5.80
10	Triglav	36	6	8	22	26	34	74	-40	35.60	-9.60

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Luka Koper	69	56.26	+12.74
2	Rudar Velenje	63	54.39	+8.61
3	Maribor	77	69.27	+7.73
4	Zavrc	53	47.56	+5.44
5	Gorica	58	55.97	+2.03

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Triglav	26	35.60	-9.60
2	Olimpija Ljubljana	42	50.63	-8.63
3	Domzale	45	52.95	-7.95
4	Krka	31	36.80	-5.80
5	Celje	37	41.19	-4.19

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rudar Velenje	5	Apr 19 – May 7	1 in 55
2	Celje	3	Oct 19 – Nov 2	1 in 52
3	Maribor	6	Jul 12 – Aug 24	1 in 34
4	Triglav	2	Oct 26 – Nov 3	1 in 32
5	Krka	2	Sep 25 – Sep 28	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Olimpija Ljubljana	5	Apr 27 – May 13	1 in 114
2	Triglav	6	Jul 28 – Aug 31	1 in 66
3	Zavrc	4	Mar 9 – Mar 30	1 in 54
4	Krka	5	Aug 10 – Sep 21	1 in 46
5	Maribor	2	Oct 27 – Nov 3	1 in 43

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rudar Velenje	7	Sep 25 – Nov 3	1 in 35
2	Zavrc	6	Aug 10 – Sep 22	1 in 27
3	Triglav	4	Oct 26 – Nov 26	1 in 21
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	5	Mar 15 – Apr 12	1 in 17
5	Celje	4	Oct 19 – Nov 10	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Domzale	8	Apr 23 – May 25	1 in 134
2	Celje	8	Nov 10 – Mar 29	1 in 19
3	Triglav	8	Jul 14 – Aug 31	1 in 17
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	6	Mar 22 – Apr 19	1 in 17
5	Zavrc	6	Mar 9 – Apr 12	1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Maribor	1649	77	+27	13	10.4	+2.6
Luka Koper	1555	69	+32	13	8.1	+4.9
Rudar Velenje	1537	63	-10	7	8.3	-1.3
Gorica	1557	58	-2	6	7.8	-1.8
Zavrc	1438	53	+1	7	6.7	+0.3
Domzale	1501	45	-7	4	6.7	-2.7
Olimpija Ljubljana	1400	42	-19	6	6.5	-0.5
Celje	1356	37	-3	7	5.1	+1.9
Krka	1341	31	-2	4	5.1	-1.1
Triglav	1304	26	-17	3	4.8	-1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CEL	DOM	GOR	KRK	LK	MAR	OL	RV	TRI	ZAV
Celje	—	0-2-2 4.62	0-0-4 4.00	3-1-0 6.22	0-1-3 4.13	1-1-2 2.83	2-1-1 4.38	0-0-4 4.56	3-1-0 6.44	1-0-3 4.95
Domzale	2-2-0 6.49	—	1-3-0 5.39	2-1-1 7.34	1-1-2 5.26	0-1-3 3.83	1-1-2 6.11	0-2-2 5.53	2-1-1 7.42	1-3-0 6.28
Gorica	4-0-0 7.12	0-3-1 5.70	—	2-1-1 7.41	1-0-3 5.60	0-1-3 4.23	2-2-0 6.32	0-2-2 5.90	3-1-0 7.28	4-0-0 6.08
Krka	0-1-3 4.87	1-1-2 3.80	1-1-2 3.75	—	0-0-4 3.76	0-0-4 2.66	3-0-1 3.99	1-2-1 3.48	1-2-1 5.73	1-0-3 4.29
Luka Koper	3-1-0 6.98	2-1-1 5.83	3-0-1 5.49	4-0-0 7.37	—	1-1-2 4.16	0-1-3 6.08	3-0-1 5.71	3-1-0 7.69	2-1-1 6.53
Maribor	2-1-1 8.36	3-1-0 7.30	3-1-0 6.88	4-0-0 8.56	2-1-1 6.95	—	3-0-1 7.69	2-1-1 7.12	3-0-1 8.89	2-0-2 7.50
Olimpija Ljubljana	1-1-2 6.73	2-1-1 5.01	0-2-2 4.79	1-0-3 7.13	3-1-0 5.01	1-0-3 3.46	—	1-0-3 5.72	1-1-2 7.40	2-0-2 5.61
Rudar Velenje	4-0-0 6.57	2-2-0 5.56	2-2-0 5.19	1-2-1 7.69	1-0-3 5.38	1-1-2 4.00	3-0-1 5.38	—	3-1-0 7.44	1-1-2 6.37
Triglav	0-1-3 4.66	1-1-2 3.72	0-1-3 3.88	1-2-1 5.35	0-1-3 3.48	1-0-3 2.38	2-1-1 3.74	0-1-3 3.69	—	1-0-3 4.05
Zavrc	3-0-1 6.14	0-3-1 4.81	0-0-4 5.02	3-0-1 6.82	1-1-2 4.56	2-0-2 3.64	2-0-2 5.47	2-1-1 4.73	3-0-1 7.08	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.81	+9.8
Allowed	0.68	-8.5
Differential	0.87	+5.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	4.72%	5.28%	2.22%	0.83%	29.72%
1	10.00%	10.00%	8.33%	2.78%	0.56%	1.39%	33.06%
2	4.72%	8.33%	5.00%	1.67%	0.28%	0.28%	20.28%
3	5.28%	2.78%	1.67%	—	0.56%	0.28%	10.56%
4	2.22%	0.56%	0.28%	0.56%	—	—	3.61%
5+	0.83%	1.39%	0.28%	0.28%	—	—	2.78%
Total	29.72%	33.06%	20.28%	10.56%	3.61%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.34	+0.00
SD	1.28	1.28	1.96
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	44.44%
1	13.89%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	27.78%
2	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	19.44%	25.00%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.83	1.61	-0.78
SD	0.85	1.48	1.84
CV	1.01	0.92	—
Max	2	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
1	—	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%	13.89%
4	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	33.33%	13.89%	8.33%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.00	+0.31
SD	1.33	1.17	1.74
CV	1.02	1.17	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
1	11.11%	19.44%	16.67%	—	—	—	47.22%
2	11.11%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	38.89%	36.11%	22.22%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	0.89	+0.78
SD	1.37	0.85	1.77
CV	0.82	0.96	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	44.44%
1	11.11%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	2.78%	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	27.78%	22.22%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	1.78	-0.92
SD	0.96	1.49	1.92
CV	1.12	0.84	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
1	16.67%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	33.33%
2	5.56%	19.44%	5.56%	—	—	—	30.56%
3	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	50.00%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.00	+0.44
SD	1.00	1.17	1.68
CV	0.69	1.17	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
1	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	30.56%
3	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
4	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
Total	44.44%	33.33%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.17	0.86	+1.31
SD	1.58	0.99	1.89
CV	0.73	1.15	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	13.89%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	44.44%
1	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	16.67%
3	—	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	22.22%	30.56%	27.78%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.56	-0.50
SD	1.24	1.27	1.86
CV	1.18	0.82	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
1	13.89%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
2	2.78%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
3	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	38.89%	38.89%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	0.92	+0.61
SD	1.42	0.94	1.71
CV	0.93	1.02	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.89%	8.33%	13.89%	—	—	36.11%
1	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	8.33%	44.44%
2	—	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	8.33%	30.56%	30.56%	19.44%	2.78%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	2.06	-1.11
SD	1.04	1.39	1.79
CV	1.10	0.68	—
Max	5	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	—	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	—	19.44%
1	5.56%	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	16.67%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	25.00%
3	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	16.67%	30.56%	22.22%	22.22%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.75	-0.14
SD	1.27	1.23	2.02
CV	0.79	0.70	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Maribor	1649	77	69.27	+7.73	84.0%	49	56	63	68	75	83	94
Gorica	1557	58	55.97	+2.03	67.0%	37	46	51	56	61	67	71
Luka Koper	1555	69	56.26	+12.74	93.0%	31	44	51	56	61	70	79
Rudar Velenje	1537	63	54.39	+8.61	84.0%	33	41	49	54	59	69	78
Domzale	1501	45	52.95	-7.95	21.0%	37	41	46	53	58	66	72
Zavrc	1438	53	47.56	+5.44	81.0%	21	34	43	47	52	61	67
Olimpija Ljubljana	1400	42	50.63	-8.63	19.0%	33	38	45	51	57	62	68
Celje	1356	37	41.19	-4.19	26.0%	24	28	37	42	46	52	59
Krka	1341	31	36.80	-5.80	24.0%	15	25	32	37	41	50	59
Triglav	1304	26	35.60	-9.60	15.0%	19	23	30	36	41	47	58

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.78%

Slight Edge

45.56%21.67%32.78%

Elo Value

Home Edge

134 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

044.64400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.35 goals

Neutral

-2+0.33+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.2

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

65%

Maribor, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.22/gm

Comfortable

00.240.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.25 * Some Luck: 6.25 to 9.37 * Lucky: 9.37 to 12.5 * Wild Swing: 12.5 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.17 * Close: 1.17 to 1.75 * Off: 1.75 to 2.33 * Way Off: 2.33 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.82 points

Some Luck

07.8120

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.60

Pinpoint

01.463

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

93.00%

Luka Koper

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

15.00%

Triglav

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 113.08

2.08

Strong Separation

11.82.052.75

Interquartile Edge

74%

Wide Edge

50%63.5%72%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

88%

Clear Edge

50%89%100%

Close Games

Expected

63%

Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

21%

Very Frequent

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Very Even

00.310.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.96

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.58

Some Carryover

00.420.630.791

Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Upset-Prone

0%27%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Very Shaky

0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.22

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.05

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.082

Well Within Noise

00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Maribor	65.00%	26.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Luka Koper	9.00%	20.00%	19.00%	17.00%	16.00%	9.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Rudar Velenje	8.00%	15.00%	18.00%	8.00%	16.00%	17.00%	8.00%	8.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Gorica	9.00%	12.00%	25.00%	22.00%	17.00%	7.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%
Zavrc	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	17.00%	16.00%	21.00%	17.00%	5.00%	5.00%
Domzale	4.00%	13.00%	12.00%	23.00%	14.00%	15.00%	8.00%	8.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Olimpija Ljubljana	3.00%	8.00%	14.00%	14.00%	12.00%	18.00%	12.00%	14.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Celje	—	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	10.00%	23.00%	21.00%	21.00%	14.00%
Krka	—	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	5.00%	11.00%	12.00%	37.00%	32.00%
Triglav	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	8.00%	16.00%	29.00%	42.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Maribor	100%	—	—
Gorica	99.00%	—	1.00%
Luka Koper	96.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Rudar Velenje	98.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Domzale	97.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Olimpija Ljubljana	95.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Zavrc	90.00%	5.00%	5.00%
Celje	65.00%	21.00%	14.00%
Krka	31.00%	37.00%	32.00%
Triglav	29.00%	29.00%	42.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2013-07-12	Zavrc	W 2-1	52.2	1528	1460	53.63%	21.99%	24.38%	+0.84	+4.7	3
2013-07-12	@ Maribor	L 1-2	52.2	1460	1528	24.38%	21.99%	53.63%	-0.84	-4.7	0
2013-07-13	Krka	W 2-1	49.6	1478	1422	52.09%	22.19%	25.71%	+0.75	+4.9	3
2013-07-13	@ Luka Koper	L 1-2	49.6	1422	1478	25.71%	22.19%	52.09%	-0.75	-4.9	0
2013-07-13	Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	60.4	1521	1438	55.30%	21.74%	22.96%	+0.94	-9.2	0
2013-07-13	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	60.4	1438	1521	22.96%	21.74%	55.30%	-0.94	+9.2	3
2013-07-14	Gorica	L 0-1	48.3	1429	1440	43.25%	22.89%	33.86%	+0.25	-7.9	0
2013-07-14	@ Triglav	W 1-0	48.3	1440	1429	33.86%	22.89%	43.25%	-0.25	+7.9	3
2013-07-20	Celje	W 2-1	52.0	1455	1454	45.01%	22.81%	32.18%	+0.34	+5.9	3
2013-07-20	@ Zavrc	L 1-2	52.0	1454	1455	32.18%	22.81%	45.01%	-0.34	-5.9	0
2013-07-20	Maribor	L 0-3	44.0	1448	1533	32.92%	22.85%	44.23%	-0.30	-17.5	3
2013-07-20	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-0	44.0	1533	1448	44.23%	22.85%	32.92%	+0.30	+17.5	6
2013-07-20	Gorica	D 1-1	59.2	1418	1448	40.58%	22.96%	36.45%	+0.11	-0.1	1
2013-07-20	@ Krka	D 1-1	59.2	1448	1418	36.45%	22.96%	40.58%	-0.11	+0.2	4
2013-07-20	Triglav	D 2-2	66.0	1468	1421	51.02%	22.32%	26.66%	+0.68	-0.7	1
2013-07-20	@ Domzale	D 2-2	66.0	1421	1468	26.66%	22.32%	51.02%	-0.68	+0.7	1
2013-07-21	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	63.7	1483	1512	40.82%	22.96%	36.22%	+0.12	-0.2	4
2013-07-21	@ Luka Koper	D 1-1	63.7	1512	1483	36.22%	22.96%	40.82%	-0.12	+0.2	1
2013-07-27	Domzale	L 1-2	55.2	1448	1467	42.10%	22.93%	34.97%	+0.19	-7.3	4
2013-07-27	@ Gorica	W 2-1	55.2	1467	1448	34.97%	22.93%	42.10%	-0.19	+7.3	4
2013-07-27	Luka Koper	W 6-1	45.7	1550	1483	53.51%	22.01%	24.48%	+0.83	+18.1	9
2013-07-27	@ Maribor	L 1-6	45.7	1483	1550	24.48%	22.01%	53.51%	-0.83	-18.1	4
2013-07-27	Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	49.7	1448	1430	47.15%	22.67%	30.17%	+0.46	-8.5	0
2013-07-27	@ Celje	W 1-0	49.7	1430	1448	30.17%	22.67%	47.15%	-0.46	+8.5	6
2013-07-28	Krka	W 5-0	38.3	1512	1417	56.70%	21.50%	21.80%	+1.03	+19.7	4
2013-07-28	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-5	38.3	1417	1512	21.80%	21.50%	56.70%	-1.03	-19.7	1
2013-07-28	Zavrc	L 1-2	53.3	1421	1461	39.23%	22.98%	37.80%	+0.04	-6.9	1
2013-07-28	@ Triglav	W 2-1	53.3	1461	1421	37.80%	22.98%	39.23%	-0.04	+6.9	6
2013-07-31	Domzale	D 0-0	56.1	1439	1475	39.84%	22.97%	37.18%	+0.07	-0.1	1
2013-07-31	@ Celje	D 0-0	56.1	1475	1439	37.18%	22.97%	39.84%	-0.07	+0.1	5
2013-08-02	Gorica	L 0-2	48.0	1468	1441	48.46%	22.57%	28.96%	+0.54	-16.4	6
2013-08-02	@ Zavrc	W 2-0	48.0	1441	1468	28.96%	22.57%	48.46%	-0.54	+16.4	7
2013-08-03	Celje	D 1-1	60.6	1465	1439	48.25%	22.59%	29.16%	+0.52	-0.7	5
2013-08-03	@ Luka Koper	D 1-1	60.6	1439	1465	29.16%	22.59%	48.25%	-0.52	+0.8	2
2013-08-03	Domzale	W 3-0	43.3	1398	1475	34.01%	22.90%	43.09%	-0.24	+21.6	4
2013-08-03	@ Krka	L 0-3	43.3	1475	1398	43.09%	22.90%	34.01%	+0.24	-21.6	5
2013-08-03	Triglav	W 3-0	38.5	1439	1415	48.04%	22.61%	29.35%	+0.51	+15.9	9
2013-08-03	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-3	38.5	1415	1439	29.35%	22.61%	48.04%	-0.51	-15.9	1
2013-08-10	Luka Koper	L 0-3	40.8	1399	1464	35.57%	22.95%	41.48%	-0.15	-18.6	1
2013-08-10	@ Triglav	W 3-0	40.8	1464	1399	41.48%	22.95%	35.57%	+0.15	+18.6	8
2013-08-10	Krka	W 3-0	38.7	1568	1419	62.62%	20.22%	17.16%	+1.44	+9.8	12
2013-08-10	@ Maribor	L 0-3	38.7	1419	1568	17.16%	20.22%	62.62%	-1.44	-9.8	4
2013-08-10	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-3	59.3	1440	1532	32.07%	22.80%	45.12%	-0.35	-5.6	2
2013-08-10	@ Celje	W 3-2	59.3	1532	1440	45.12%	22.80%	32.07%	+0.35	+5.6	7
2013-08-10	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	60.8	1457	1455	45.11%	22.80%	32.08%	+0.35	-0.5	8
2013-08-10	@ Gorica	D 1-1	60.8	1455	1457	32.08%	22.80%	45.11%	-0.35	+0.5	10
2013-08-10	Zavrc	D 1-1	60.5	1453	1452	44.99%	22.81%	32.20%	+0.34	-0.5	6
2013-08-10	@ Domzale	D 1-1	60.5	1452	1453	32.20%	22.81%	44.99%	-0.34	+0.5	7
2013-08-16	Celje	W 5-1	43.2	1578	1434	62.08%	20.36%	17.56%	+1.40	+10.9	15
2013-08-16	@ Maribor	L 1-5	43.2	1434	1578	17.56%	20.36%	62.08%	-1.40	-10.9	2
2013-08-17	Domzale	W 3-1	49.0	1455	1453	45.14%	22.80%	32.06%	+0.35	+10.2	13
2013-08-17	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-3	49.0	1453	1455	32.06%	22.80%	45.14%	-0.35	-10.2	6
2013-08-17	Gorica	W 2-1	52.0	1483	1456	48.31%	22.58%	29.10%	+0.53	+5.4	11
2013-08-17	@ Luka Koper	L 1-2	52.0	1456	1483	29.10%	22.58%	48.31%	-0.53	-5.4	8
2013-08-17	Zavrc	L 3-4	60.2	1410	1452	38.81%	22.98%	38.21%	+0.02	-6.3	4
2013-08-17	@ Krka	W 4-3	60.2	1452	1410	38.21%	22.98%	38.81%	-0.02	+6.3	10
2013-08-18	Triglav	W 3-1	43.8	1537	1380	63.41%	20.01%	16.58%	+1.50	+5.6	10
2013-08-18	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	43.8	1380	1537	16.58%	20.01%	63.41%	-1.50	-5.6	1
2013-08-24	Luka Koper	L 0-1	48.9	1442	1488	38.35%	22.98%	38.67%	-0.01	-7.2	6
2013-08-24	@ Domzale	W 1-0	48.9	1488	1442	38.67%	22.98%	38.35%	+0.01	+7.2	14
2013-08-24	Krka	W 2-0	40.0	1423	1403	47.52%	22.65%	29.84%	+0.48	+11.1	5
2013-08-24	@ Celje	L 0-2	40.0	1403	1423	29.84%	22.65%	47.52%	-0.48	-11.1	4
2013-08-24	Maribor	L 0-1	43.7	1374	1589	19.05%	20.82%	60.13%	-1.26	-3.9	1
2013-08-24	@ Triglav	W 1-0	43.7	1589	1374	60.13%	20.82%	19.05%	+1.26	+3.9	18
2013-08-24	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 4-1	53.2	1451	1543	32.07%	22.80%	45.13%	-0.35	+18.9	11
2013-08-24	@ Gorica	L 1-4	53.2	1543	1451	45.13%	22.80%	32.07%	+0.35	-18.9	10
2013-08-24	Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	52.8	1458	1465	43.85%	22.87%	33.29%	+0.28	+6.1	13
2013-08-24	@ Zavrc	L 1-2	52.8	1465	1458	33.29%	22.87%	43.85%	-0.28	-6.1	13
2013-08-31	Domzale	L 0-3	49.7	1524	1435	56.04%	21.62%	22.34%	+0.99	-27.0	10
2013-08-31	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 3-0	49.7	1435	1524	22.34%	21.62%	56.04%	-0.99	+27.0	9
2013-08-31	Gorica	D 1-1	66.9	1593	1470	59.89%	20.87%	19.24%	+1.25	-1.7	19
2013-08-31	@ Maribor	D 1-1	66.9	1470	1593	19.24%	20.87%	59.89%	-1.25	+1.7	12
2013-08-31	Triglav	W 1-0	40.9	1434	1370	53.10%	22.06%	24.84%	+0.81	+5.0	8
2013-08-31	@ Celje	L 0-1	40.9	1370	1434	24.84%	22.06%	53.10%	-0.81	-5.0	1
2013-08-31	Zavrc	D 1-1	62.5	1495	1464	48.91%	22.53%	28.56%	+0.56	-0.8	15
2013-08-31	@ Luka Koper	D 1-1	62.5	1464	1495	28.56%	22.53%	48.91%	-0.56	+0.8	14
2013-09-13	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	55.2	1465	1497	40.38%	22.97%	36.65%	+0.10	+6.5	17
2013-09-13	@ Zavrc	L 1-2	55.2	1497	1465	36.65%	22.97%	40.38%	-0.10	-6.5	10
2013-09-14	Celje	W 2-0	42.0	1472	1440	49.07%	22.52%	28.41%	+0.57	+10.6	15
2013-09-14	@ Gorica	L 0-2	42.0	1440	1472	28.41%	22.52%	49.07%	-0.57	-10.7	8
2013-09-14	Luka Koper	W 1-0	49.4	1459	1495	39.85%	22.97%	37.18%	+0.07	+7.0	16
2013-09-14	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	49.4	1495	1459	37.18%	22.97%	39.85%	-0.07	-7.0	15
2013-09-14	Maribor	L 0-1	50.0	1462	1591	27.50%	22.42%	50.08%	-0.63	-5.5	9
2013-09-14	@ Domzale	W 1-0	50.0	1591	1462	50.08%	22.42%	27.50%	+0.63	+5.5	22
2013-09-15	Krka	W 1-0	43.5	1365	1392	41.08%	22.95%	35.96%	+0.13	+6.8	4
2013-09-15	@ Triglav	L 0-1	43.5	1392	1365	35.96%	22.95%	41.08%	-0.13	-6.8	4
2013-09-21	Celje	W 4-0	38.9	1457	1429	48.52%	22.57%	28.92%	+0.54	+20.5	12
2013-09-21	@ Domzale	L 0-4	38.9	1429	1457	28.92%	22.57%	48.52%	-0.54	-20.5	8
2013-09-21	Luka Koper	L 0-1	44.7	1385	1487	30.73%	22.72%	46.55%	-0.43	-6.0	4
2013-09-21	@ Krka	W 1-0	44.7	1487	1385	46.55%	22.72%	30.73%	+0.43	+6.0	18
2013-09-21	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	56.5	1466	1490	41.44%	22.95%	35.61%	+0.15	-7.2	16
2013-09-21	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	56.5	1490	1466	35.61%	22.95%	41.44%	-0.15	+7.2	13
2013-09-21	Triglav	W 3-1	43.3	1482	1372	58.45%	21.17%	20.38%	+1.15	+6.9	18
2013-09-21	@ Gorica	L 1-3	43.3	1372	1482	20.38%	21.17%	58.45%	-1.15	-6.8	4
2013-09-22	Maribor	W 1-0	57.2	1472	1597	27.98%	22.47%	49.55%	-0.60	+8.9	20
2013-09-22	@ Zavrc	L 0-1	57.2	1597	1472	49.55%	22.47%	27.98%	+0.60	-8.8	22
2013-09-25	Domzale	L 0-3	38.3	1365	1477	29.56%	22.62%	47.81%	-0.50	-16.0	4
2013-09-25	@ Triglav	W 3-0	38.3	1477	1365	47.81%	22.62%	29.56%	+0.50	+16.0	15
2013-09-25	Luka Koper	W 1-0	49.1	1498	1494	45.34%	22.79%	31.87%	+0.36	+6.2	16
2013-09-25	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	49.1	1494	1498	31.87%	22.79%	45.34%	-0.36	-6.2	18
2013-09-25	Krka	L 1-2	58.1	1489	1379	58.44%	21.17%	20.38%	+1.15	-9.6	18
2013-09-25	@ Gorica	W 2-1	58.1	1379	1489	20.38%	21.17%	58.44%	-1.15	+9.6	7
2013-09-25	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	66.3	1588	1459	60.52%	20.73%	18.75%	+1.29	-1.7	23
2013-09-25	@ Maribor	D 1-1	66.3	1459	1588	18.75%	20.73%	60.52%	-1.29	+1.7	17
2013-09-25	Zavrc	W 2-1	54.4	1408	1481	34.64%	22.92%	42.44%	-0.21	+7.3	11
2013-09-25	@ Celje	L 1-2	54.4	1481	1408	42.44%	22.92%	34.64%	+0.21	-7.3	20
2013-09-28	Celje	W 1-0	43.5	1461	1416	50.74%	22.35%	26.91%	+0.67	+5.4	20
2013-09-28	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	43.5	1416	1461	26.91%	22.35%	50.74%	-0.67	-5.4	11
2013-09-28	Maribor	W 2-1	62.1	1487	1586	31.15%	22.75%	46.11%	-0.40	+7.9	21
2013-09-28	@ Luka Koper	L 1-2	62.1	1586	1487	46.11%	22.75%	31.15%	+0.40	-7.9	23
2013-09-28	Gorica	D 1-1	63.0	1493	1479	46.65%	22.71%	30.64%	+0.43	-0.6	16
2013-09-28	@ Domzale	D 1-1	63.0	1479	1493	30.64%	22.71%	46.65%	-0.43	+0.6	19
2013-09-28	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	50.5	1389	1504	29.18%	22.59%	48.22%	-0.52	+8.7	10
2013-09-28	@ Krka	L 0-1	50.5	1504	1389	48.22%	22.59%	29.18%	+0.52	-8.7	16
2013-09-28	Triglav	W 2-1	45.0	1473	1349	59.97%	20.85%	19.17%	+1.25	+3.7	23
2013-09-28	@ Zavrc	L 1-2	45.0	1349	1473	19.17%	20.85%	59.97%	-1.25	-3.7	4
2013-10-02	Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	54.5	1398	1466	35.14%	22.93%	41.92%	-0.18	+0.3	11
2013-10-02	@ Krka	D 0-0	54.5	1466	1398	41.92%	22.93%	35.14%	+0.18	-0.3	21
2013-10-05	Luka Koper	L 0-3	41.3	1410	1495	32.96%	22.85%	44.18%	-0.30	-17.5	11
2013-10-05	@ Celje	W 3-0	41.3	1495	1410	44.18%	22.85%	32.96%	+0.30	+17.5	24
2013-10-05	Krka	W 4-0	36.6	1493	1398	56.74%	21.50%	21.76%	+1.04	+16.0	19
2013-10-05	@ Domzale	L 0-4	36.6	1398	1493	21.76%	21.50%	56.74%	-1.04	-16.0	11
2013-10-05	Zavrc	W 4-0	42.3	1480	1477	45.20%	22.80%	32.00%	+0.35	+22.3	22
2013-10-05	@ Gorica	L 0-4	42.3	1477	1480	32.00%	22.80%	45.20%	-0.35	-22.3	23
2013-10-06	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-0	46.0	1578	1495	55.42%	21.72%	22.86%	+0.95	+8.8	26
2013-10-06	@ Maribor	L 0-2	46.0	1495	1578	22.86%	21.72%	55.42%	-0.95	-8.8	16
2013-10-06	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	58.0	1346	1466	28.55%	22.53%	48.92%	-0.56	+0.8	5
2013-10-06	@ Triglav	D 1-1	58.0	1466	1346	48.92%	22.53%	28.55%	+0.56	-0.8	22
2013-10-18	Domzale	D 2-2	68.4	1455	1509	37.21%	22.97%	39.81%	-0.07	+0.1	24
2013-10-18	@ Zavrc	D 2-2	68.4	1509	1455	39.81%	22.97%	37.21%	+0.07	-0.1	20
2013-10-19	Celje	L 0-2	49.1	1486	1393	56.59%	21.52%	21.89%	+1.03	-18.7	16
2013-10-19	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-0	49.1	1393	1486	21.89%	21.52%	56.59%	-1.03	+18.7	14
2013-10-19	Maribor	L 0-5	39.0	1382	1587	19.84%	21.03%	59.13%	-1.20	-18.1	11
2013-10-19	@ Krka	W 5-0	39.0	1587	1382	59.13%	21.03%	19.84%	+1.20	+18.1	29
2013-10-19	Gorica	W 2-1	55.7	1465	1502	39.56%	22.98%	37.46%	+0.05	+6.7	25
2013-10-19	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	55.7	1502	1465	37.46%	22.98%	39.56%	-0.05	-6.6	22
2013-10-19	Triglav	W 2-0	35.8	1513	1347	64.30%	19.77%	15.93%	+1.57	+6.2	27
2013-10-19	@ Luka Koper	L 0-2	35.8	1347	1513	15.93%	19.77%	64.30%	-1.57	-6.2	5
2013-10-25	Krka	W 3-0	35.2	1455	1364	56.32%	21.57%	22.11%	+1.01	+12.4	27
2013-10-25	@ Zavrc	L 0-3	35.2	1364	1455	22.11%	21.57%	56.32%	-1.01	-12.4	11
2013-10-26	Luka Koper	W 3-0	46.0	1496	1519	41.57%	22.94%	35.49%	+0.16	+18.5	25
2013-10-26	@ Gorica	L 0-3	46.0	1519	1496	35.49%	22.94%	41.57%	-0.16	-18.5	27
2013-10-26	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	48.6	1340	1468	27.72%	22.44%	49.83%	-0.61	+8.9	8
2013-10-26	@ Triglav	L 0-1	48.6	1468	1340	49.83%	22.44%	27.72%	+0.61	-8.9	16
2013-10-26	Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	58.6	1508	1472	49.68%	22.46%	27.86%	+0.61	-1.0	21
2013-10-26	@ Domzale	D 0-0	58.6	1472	1508	27.86%	22.46%	49.68%	-0.61	+1.0	26
2013-10-27	Maribor	W 1-0	57.4	1412	1605	20.87%	21.29%	57.84%	-1.11	+10.1	17
2013-10-27	@ Celje	L 0-1	57.4	1605	1412	57.84%	21.29%	20.87%	+1.11	-10.1	29
2013-11-02	Celje	L 0-1	43.5	1351	1422	34.91%	22.93%	42.17%	-0.19	-6.7	11
2013-11-02	@ Krka	W 1-0	43.5	1422	1351	42.17%	22.93%	34.91%	+0.19	+6.7	20
2013-11-02	Domzale	W 1-0	50.2	1500	1507	43.81%	22.87%	33.32%	+0.28	+6.4	30
2013-11-02	@ Luka Koper	L 0-1	50.2	1507	1500	33.32%	22.87%	43.81%	-0.28	-6.4	21
2013-11-02	Gorica	D 2-2	68.8	1459	1514	36.95%	22.97%	40.08%	-0.08	+0.1	17
2013-11-02	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	68.8	1514	1459	40.08%	22.97%	36.95%	+0.08	-0.1	26
2013-11-03	Triglav	L 1-2	63.4	1595	1349	71.45%	17.36%	11.18%	+2.16	-11.5	29
2013-11-03	@ Maribor	W 2-1	63.4	1349	1595	11.18%	17.36%	71.45%	-2.16	+11.5	11
2013-11-03	Zavrc	W 3-0	42.1	1473	1467	45.53%	22.78%	31.69%	+0.37	+16.9	29
2013-11-03	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-3	42.1	1467	1473	31.69%	22.78%	45.53%	-0.37	-16.9	27
2013-11-08	Luka Koper	W 1-0	50.4	1450	1507	36.83%	22.97%	40.20%	-0.09	+7.5	30
2013-11-08	@ Zavrc	L 0-1	50.4	1507	1450	40.20%	22.97%	36.83%	+0.09	-7.5	30
2013-11-09	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	59.1	1501	1459	50.40%	22.39%	27.22%	+0.65	-8.5	21
2013-11-09	@ Domzale	W 2-1	59.1	1459	1501	27.22%	22.39%	50.40%	-0.65	+8.5	20
2013-11-10	Celje	D 2-2	63.2	1361	1428	35.26%	22.94%	41.80%	-0.17	+0.2	12
2013-11-10	@ Triglav	D 2-2	63.2	1428	1361	41.80%	22.94%	35.26%	+0.17	-0.2	21
2013-11-10	Maribor	L 1-2	59.7	1514	1584	35.02%	22.93%	42.05%	-0.19	-6.3	26
2013-11-10	@ Gorica	W 2-1	59.7	1584	1514	42.05%	22.93%	35.02%	+0.19	+6.3	32
2013-11-12	Krka	L 0-1	52.3	1490	1345	62.18%	20.33%	17.49%	+1.41	-10.8	29
2013-11-12	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	52.3	1345	1490	17.49%	20.33%	62.18%	-1.41	+10.8	14
2013-11-23	Domzale	W 5-3	57.1	1590	1493	57.05%	21.44%	21.51%	+1.06	+6.1	35
2013-11-23	@ Maribor	L 3-5	57.1	1493	1590	21.51%	21.44%	57.05%	-1.06	-6.1	21
2013-11-23	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	48.0	1499	1479	47.56%	22.64%	29.80%	+0.48	+5.9	33
2013-11-23	@ Luka Koper	L 0-1	48.0	1479	1499	29.80%	22.64%	47.56%	-0.48	-5.9	29
2013-11-23	Zavrc	W 3-2	57.3	1467	1458	46.07%	22.75%	31.18%	+0.40	+5.5	23
2013-11-23	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-3	57.3	1458	1467	31.18%	22.75%	46.07%	-0.40	-5.5	30
2013-11-26	Gorica	L 0-1	47.7	1428	1508	33.65%	22.88%	43.46%	-0.26	-6.5	21
2013-11-26	@ Celje	W 1-0	47.7	1508	1428	43.46%	22.88%	33.65%	+0.26	+6.5	29
2013-11-26	Triglav	D 2-2	61.9	1355	1361	44.06%	22.86%	33.08%	+0.29	-0.3	15
2013-11-26	@ Krka	D 2-2	61.9	1361	1355	33.08%	22.86%	44.06%	-0.29	+0.3	13
2013-11-30	Krka	W 2-1	45.2	1505	1355	62.70%	20.20%	17.10%	+1.45	+3.3	36
2013-11-30	@ Luka Koper	L 1-2	45.2	1355	1505	17.10%	20.20%	62.70%	-1.45	-3.3	15
2013-12-01	Gorica	L 1-5	41.1	1361	1514	24.84%	22.06%	53.09%	-0.81	-15.0	13
2013-12-01	@ Triglav	W 5-1	41.1	1514	1361	53.09%	22.06%	24.84%	+0.81	+15.0	32
2013-12-01	Rudar Velenje	L 0-3	46.2	1473	1473	44.75%	22.82%	32.42%	+0.33	-22.3	23
2013-12-01	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 3-0	46.2	1473	1473	32.42%	22.82%	44.75%	-0.33	+22.3	32
2013-12-01	Zavrc	L 3-4	73.0	1596	1452	62.06%	20.36%	17.57%	+1.40	-9.4	35
2013-12-01	@ Maribor	W 4-3	73.0	1452	1596	17.57%	20.36%	62.06%	-1.40	+9.4	33
2013-12-03	Domzale	D 0-0	55.9	1422	1486	35.67%	22.95%	41.38%	-0.15	+0.2	22
2013-12-03	@ Celje	D 0-0	55.9	1486	1422	41.38%	22.95%	35.67%	+0.15	-0.2	22
2013-12-06	Celje	W 3-0	38.8	1462	1422	50.07%	22.42%	27.51%	+0.63	+15.0	36
2013-12-06	@ Zavrc	L 0-3	38.8	1422	1462	27.51%	22.42%	50.07%	-0.63	-15.0	22
2013-12-07	Maribor	L 0-1	52.5	1495	1587	32.10%	22.81%	45.10%	-0.35	-6.2	32
2013-12-07	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	52.5	1587	1495	45.10%	22.81%	32.10%	+0.35	+6.2	38
2013-12-07	Gorica	L 0-1	42.1	1352	1529	22.39%	21.63%	55.99%	-0.99	-4.6	15
2013-12-07	@ Krka	W 1-0	42.1	1529	1352	55.99%	21.63%	22.39%	+0.99	+4.6	35
2013-12-07	Triglav	W 4-1	39.0	1486	1346	61.69%	20.45%	17.86%	+1.37	+8.5	25
2013-12-07	@ Domzale	L 1-4	39.0	1346	1486	17.86%	20.45%	61.69%	-1.37	-8.6	13
2013-12-08	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	53.9	1509	1450	52.38%	22.16%	25.46%	+0.76	-9.3	36
2013-12-08	@ Luka Koper	W 1-0	53.9	1450	1509	25.46%	22.16%	52.38%	-0.76	+9.3	26
2014-03-02	Maribor	L 0-3	44.7	1460	1593	27.03%	22.36%	50.61%	-0.66	-14.8	26
2014-03-02	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 3-0	44.7	1593	1460	50.61%	22.36%	27.03%	+0.66	+14.8	41
2014-03-08	Domzale	D 1-1	65.1	1534	1495	49.98%	22.43%	27.59%	+0.62	-0.9	36
2014-03-08	@ Gorica	D 1-1	65.1	1495	1534	27.59%	22.43%	49.98%	-0.62	+0.9	26
2014-03-08	Luka Koper	D 2-2	74.1	1608	1499	58.29%	21.20%	20.50%	+1.14	-1.2	42
2014-03-08	@ Maribor	D 2-2	74.1	1499	1608	20.50%	21.20%	58.29%	-1.14	+1.2	37
2014-03-08	Krka	L 0-1	50.1	1445	1347	57.07%	21.44%	21.50%	+1.06	-10.0	26
2014-03-08	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	50.1	1347	1445	21.50%	21.44%	57.07%	-1.06	+10.0	18
2014-03-08	Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	51.9	1407	1489	33.34%	22.87%	43.80%	-0.28	-6.1	22
2014-03-08	@ Celje	W 2-1	51.9	1489	1407	43.80%	22.87%	33.34%	+0.28	+6.1	35
2014-03-09	Zavrc	W 3-1	51.9	1338	1477	26.36%	22.28%	51.36%	-0.70	+14.9	16
2014-03-09	@ Triglav	L 1-3	51.9	1477	1338	51.36%	22.28%	26.36%	+0.70	-14.9	36
2014-03-14	Gorica	L 1-3	53.0	1462	1533	34.80%	22.92%	42.28%	-0.20	-10.9	36
2014-03-14	@ Zavrc	W 3-1	53.0	1533	1462	42.28%	22.92%	34.80%	+0.20	+10.9	39
2014-03-15	Celje	W 2-1	48.0	1500	1401	57.29%	21.40%	21.31%	+1.07	+4.1	40
2014-03-15	@ Luka Koper	L 1-2	48.0	1401	1500	21.31%	21.40%	57.29%	-1.07	-4.1	22
2014-03-15	Maribor	W 2-0	54.6	1435	1607	22.94%	21.74%	55.32%	-0.95	+18.4	29
2014-03-15	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	54.6	1607	1435	55.32%	21.74%	22.94%	+0.95	-18.4	42
2014-03-15	Triglav	W 6-1	36.7	1495	1352	61.94%	20.39%	17.67%	+1.39	+13.4	38
2014-03-15	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-6	36.7	1352	1495	17.67%	20.39%	61.94%	-1.39	-13.4	16
2014-03-16	Domzale	L 0-2	39.5	1357	1496	26.45%	22.29%	51.26%	-0.70	-10.0	18
2014-03-16	@ Krka	W 2-0	39.5	1496	1357	51.26%	22.29%	26.45%	+0.70	+10.0	29
2014-03-22	Krka	W 3-1	42.1	1588	1347	71.05%	17.52%	11.43%	+2.12	+3.8	45
2014-03-22	@ Maribor	L 1-3	42.1	1347	1588	11.43%	17.52%	71.05%	-2.12	-3.8	18
2014-03-22	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	54.1	1397	1453	36.82%	22.97%	40.21%	-0.09	+0.1	23
2014-03-22	@ Celje	D 0-0	54.1	1453	1397	40.21%	22.97%	36.82%	+0.09	-0.1	30
2014-03-22	Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	61.3	1544	1508	49.52%	22.47%	28.01%	+0.60	-0.9	40
2014-03-22	@ Gorica	D 0-0	61.3	1508	1544	28.01%	22.47%	49.52%	-0.60	+0.9	39
2014-03-22	Zavrc	W 3-0	40.8	1506	1451	51.95%	22.21%	25.84%	+0.74	+14.3	32
2014-03-22	@ Domzale	L 0-3	40.8	1451	1506	25.84%	22.21%	51.95%	-0.74	-14.3	36
2014-03-29	Celje	D 2-2	70.6	1592	1397	67.06%	18.93%	14.01%	+1.78	-1.7	46
2014-03-29	@ Maribor	D 2-2	70.6	1397	1592	14.01%	18.93%	67.06%	-1.78	+1.7	24
2014-03-29	Domzale	W 3-1	53.9	1509	1520	43.33%	22.89%	33.78%	+0.25	+10.6	42
2014-03-29	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-3	53.9	1520	1509	33.78%	22.89%	43.33%	-0.25	-10.6	32
2014-03-29	Gorica	W 1-0	53.0	1505	1543	39.40%	22.98%	37.62%	+0.05	+7.1	43
2014-03-29	@ Luka Koper	L 0-1	53.0	1543	1505	37.62%	22.98%	39.40%	-0.05	-7.1	40
2014-03-29	Triglav	D 1-1	57.9	1453	1339	58.89%	21.08%	20.02%	+1.18	-1.6	31
2014-03-29	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	57.9	1339	1453	20.02%	21.08%	58.89%	-1.18	+1.6	17
2014-03-30	Zavrc	W 2-1	52.4	1343	1437	31.86%	22.79%	45.34%	-0.36	+7.8	21
2014-03-30	@ Krka	L 1-2	52.4	1437	1343	45.34%	22.79%	31.86%	+0.36	-7.8	36
2014-04-02	Luka Koper	D 2-2	65.1	1341	1512	23.03%	21.75%	55.22%	-0.94	+1.0	18
2014-04-02	@ Triglav	D 2-2	65.1	1512	1341	55.22%	21.75%	23.03%	+0.94	-1.0	44
2014-04-05	Luka Koper	W 3-1	53.2	1509	1511	44.61%	22.83%	32.56%	+0.32	+10.3	35
2014-04-05	@ Domzale	L 1-3	53.2	1511	1509	32.56%	22.83%	44.61%	-0.32	-10.3	44
2014-04-05	Krka	W 2-1	46.1	1398	1351	51.03%	22.32%	26.65%	+0.68	+5.0	27
2014-04-05	@ Celje	L 1-2	46.1	1351	1398	26.65%	22.32%	51.03%	-0.68	-5.0	21
2014-04-05	Maribor	L 0-2	38.4	1342	1590	16.41%	19.95%	63.65%	-1.52	-6.4	18
2014-04-05	@ Triglav	W 2-0	38.4	1590	1342	63.65%	19.95%	16.41%	+1.52	+6.4	49
2014-04-05	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	59.1	1536	1451	55.54%	21.70%	22.76%	+0.96	-1.5	41
2014-04-05	@ Gorica	D 0-0	59.1	1451	1536	22.76%	21.70%	55.54%	-0.96	+1.5	32
2014-04-05	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	62.1	1429	1520	32.17%	22.81%	45.02%	-0.34	+0.5	37
2014-04-05	@ Zavrc	D 1-1	62.1	1520	1429	45.02%	22.81%	32.17%	+0.34	-0.5	43
2014-04-12	Domzale	D 0-0	58.2	1453	1520	35.41%	22.94%	41.65%	-0.16	+0.3	33
2014-04-12	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	58.2	1520	1453	41.65%	22.94%	35.41%	+0.16	-0.3	36
2014-04-12	Gorica	W 2-0	48.6	1597	1534	52.91%	22.09%	25.00%	+0.80	+9.5	52
2014-04-12	@ Maribor	L 0-2	48.6	1534	1597	25.00%	22.09%	52.91%	-0.80	-9.5	41
2014-04-12	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	59.6	1346	1519	22.79%	21.71%	55.50%	-0.96	+1.3	22
2014-04-12	@ Krka	D 1-1	59.6	1519	1346	55.50%	21.71%	22.79%	+0.96	-1.3	44
2014-04-12	Triglav	W 2-0	36.3	1404	1335	53.62%	21.99%	24.39%	+0.84	+9.3	30
2014-04-12	@ Celje	L 0-2	36.3	1335	1404	24.39%	21.99%	53.62%	-0.84	-9.3	18
2014-04-12	Zavrc	W 2-1	50.0	1500	1429	53.93%	21.95%	24.12%	+0.86	+4.6	47
2014-04-12	@ Luka Koper	L 1-2	50.0	1429	1500	24.12%	21.95%	53.93%	-0.86	-4.6	37
2014-04-16	Celje	W 5-0	38.0	1525	1413	58.68%	21.13%	20.19%	+1.16	+18.4	44
2014-04-16	@ Gorica	L 0-5	38.0	1413	1525	20.19%	21.13%	58.68%	-1.16	-18.4	30
2014-04-16	Luka Koper	L 0-2	51.6	1518	1505	46.58%	22.72%	30.70%	+0.43	-15.9	44
2014-04-16	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-0	51.6	1505	1518	30.70%	22.72%	46.58%	-0.43	+15.8	50
2014-04-16	Krka	D 1-1	55.5	1326	1347	41.80%	22.94%	35.26%	+0.17	-0.2	19
2014-04-16	@ Triglav	D 1-1	55.5	1347	1326	35.26%	22.94%	41.80%	-0.17	+0.2	23
2014-04-16	Maribor	L 1-2	59.8	1519	1606	32.69%	22.84%	44.48%	-0.31	-6.0	36
2014-04-16	@ Domzale	W 2-1	59.8	1606	1519	44.48%	22.84%	32.69%	+0.31	+6.0	55
2014-04-16	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 3-1	49.3	1425	1453	40.84%	22.96%	36.20%	+0.12	+11.2	40
2014-04-16	@ Zavrc	L 1-3	49.3	1453	1425	36.20%	22.96%	40.84%	-0.12	-11.2	33
2014-04-19	Celje	W 2-0	38.8	1513	1395	59.43%	20.97%	19.60%	+1.22	+7.6	39
2014-04-19	@ Domzale	L 0-2	38.8	1395	1513	19.60%	20.97%	59.43%	-1.22	-7.6	30
2014-04-19	Luka Koper	L 0-3	36.8	1348	1521	22.81%	21.71%	55.47%	-0.96	-12.8	23
2014-04-19	@ Krka	W 3-0	36.8	1521	1348	55.47%	21.71%	22.81%	+0.96	+12.8	53
2014-04-19	Maribor	L 0-4	42.5	1436	1612	22.51%	21.65%	55.84%	-0.98	-16.5	40
2014-04-19	@ Zavrc	W 4-0	42.5	1612	1436	55.84%	21.65%	22.51%	+0.98	+16.5	58
2014-04-19	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 4-0	39.6	1502	1442	52.65%	22.12%	25.23%	+0.78	+18.2	47
2014-04-19	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-4	39.6	1442	1502	25.23%	22.12%	52.65%	-0.78	-18.2	33
2014-04-19	Triglav	D 1-1	60.8	1543	1326	69.05%	18.26%	12.69%	+1.95	-2.4	45
2014-04-19	@ Gorica	D 1-1	60.8	1326	1543	12.69%	18.26%	69.05%	-1.95	+2.4	20
2014-04-23	Domzale	W 1-0	51.7	1328	1521	20.94%	21.31%	57.76%	-1.10	+10.1	23
2014-04-23	@ Triglav	L 0-1	51.7	1521	1328	57.76%	21.31%	20.94%	+1.10	-10.1	39
2014-04-23	Luka Koper	W 1-0	52.5	1424	1534	29.79%	22.64%	47.56%	-0.48	+8.6	36
2014-04-23	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	52.5	1534	1424	47.56%	22.64%	29.79%	+0.48	-8.5	53
2014-04-23	Krka	W 1-0	38.3	1541	1335	68.03%	18.61%	13.36%	+1.86	+2.8	48
2014-04-23	@ Gorica	L 0-1	38.3	1335	1541	13.36%	18.61%	68.03%	-1.86	-2.8	23
2014-04-23	Rudar Velenje	L 0-2	58.9	1629	1521	58.27%	21.21%	20.53%	+1.14	-19.2	58
2014-04-23	@ Maribor	W 2-0	58.9	1521	1629	20.53%	21.21%	58.27%	-1.14	+19.2	50
2014-04-23	Zavrc	L 0-3	40.7	1387	1420	40.21%	22.97%	36.82%	+0.09	-20.4	30
2014-04-23	@ Celje	W 3-0	40.7	1420	1387	36.82%	22.97%	40.21%	-0.09	+20.4	43
2014-04-26	Celje	W 1-0	40.2	1540	1366	65.00%	19.57%	15.43%	+1.62	+3.2	53
2014-04-26	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	40.2	1366	1540	15.43%	19.57%	65.00%	-1.62	-3.2	30
2014-04-26	Maribor	L 0-1	54.5	1525	1610	33.00%	22.85%	44.14%	-0.30	-6.4	53
2014-04-26	@ Luka Koper	W 1-0	54.5	1610	1525	44.14%	22.85%	33.00%	+0.30	+6.4	61
2014-04-26	Gorica	D 1-1	65.9	1511	1544	40.22%	22.97%	36.81%	+0.09	-0.1	40
2014-04-26	@ Domzale	D 1-1	65.9	1544	1511	36.81%	22.97%	40.22%	-0.09	+0.1	49
2014-04-26	Triglav	W 5-1	37.3	1440	1338	57.55%	21.35%	21.10%	+1.09	+12.9	46
2014-04-26	@ Zavrc	L 1-5	37.3	1338	1440	21.10%	21.35%	57.55%	-1.09	-12.9	23
2014-04-27	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	46.7	1332	1432	31.00%	22.74%	46.26%	-0.41	+8.3	26
2014-04-27	@ Krka	L 0-1	46.7	1432	1332	46.26%	22.74%	31.00%	+0.41	-8.4	36
2014-05-03	Luka Koper	L 2-3	53.7	1363	1519	24.62%	22.03%	53.36%	-0.82	-4.5	30
2014-05-03	@ Celje	W 3-2	53.7	1519	1363	53.36%	22.03%	24.62%	+0.82	+4.5	56
2014-05-03	Krka	D 0-0	55.1	1511	1341	64.71%	19.65%	15.64%	+1.60	-2.3	41
2014-05-03	@ Domzale	D 0-0	55.1	1341	1511	15.64%	19.65%	64.71%	-1.60	+2.3	27
2014-05-03	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-0	41.4	1616	1424	66.76%	19.03%	14.21%	+1.76	+5.5	64
2014-05-03	@ Maribor	L 0-2	41.4	1424	1616	14.21%	19.03%	66.76%	-1.76	-5.5	36
2014-05-03	Zavrc	W 4-0	40.5	1544	1453	56.28%	21.58%	22.14%	+1.01	+16.2	52
2014-05-03	@ Gorica	L 0-4	40.5	1453	1544	22.14%	21.58%	56.28%	-1.01	-16.2	46
2014-05-04	Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	40.4	1325	1543	18.79%	20.74%	60.46%	-1.29	-3.9	23
2014-05-04	@ Triglav	W 1-0	40.4	1543	1325	60.46%	20.74%	18.79%	+1.29	+3.9	56
2014-05-07	Celje	L 0-1	48.6	1418	1359	52.56%	22.13%	25.30%	+0.78	-9.3	36
2014-05-07	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	48.6	1359	1418	25.30%	22.13%	52.56%	-0.78	+9.3	33
2014-05-07	Domzale	D 0-0	57.2	1437	1508	34.72%	22.92%	42.36%	-0.20	+0.3	47
2014-05-07	@ Zavrc	D 0-0	57.2	1508	1437	42.36%	22.92%	34.72%	+0.20	-0.3	42
2014-05-07	Maribor	L 0-4	36.2	1343	1622	14.37%	19.10%	66.52%	-1.74	-10.6	27
2014-05-07	@ Krka	W 4-0	36.2	1622	1343	66.52%	19.10%	14.37%	+1.74	+10.7	67
2014-05-07	Gorica	W 3-2	64.8	1547	1560	42.98%	22.90%	34.12%	+0.23	+5.9	59
2014-05-07	@ Rudar Velenje	L 2-3	64.8	1560	1547	34.12%	22.90%	42.98%	-0.23	-5.9	52
2014-05-07	Triglav	W 3-0	32.4	1523	1321	67.65%	18.74%	13.61%	+1.83	+7.7	59
2014-05-07	@ Luka Koper	L 0-3	32.4	1321	1523	13.61%	18.74%	67.65%	-1.83	-7.7	23
2014-05-10	Luka Koper	L 0-1	57.3	1554	1531	47.93%	22.62%	29.46%	+0.51	-8.6	52
2014-05-10	@ Gorica	W 1-0	57.3	1531	1554	29.46%	22.62%	47.93%	-0.51	+8.6	62
2014-05-10	Krka	W 2-1	44.4	1437	1332	57.89%	21.28%	20.83%	+1.11	+4.0	50
2014-05-10	@ Zavrc	L 1-2	44.4	1332	1437	20.83%	21.28%	57.89%	-1.11	-4.1	27
2014-05-10	Maribor	L 0-4	38.0	1368	1632	15.33%	19.52%	65.14%	-1.63	-11.4	33
2014-05-10	@ Celje	W 4-0	38.0	1632	1368	65.14%	19.52%	15.33%	+1.63	+11.4	70
2014-05-10	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 5-2	48.4	1314	1409	31.59%	22.78%	45.63%	-0.38	+16.5	26
2014-05-10	@ Triglav	L 2-5	48.4	1409	1314	45.63%	22.78%	31.59%	+0.38	-16.5	36
2014-05-10	Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	61.5	1508	1553	38.52%	22.98%	38.50%	+0.00	+0.0	43
2014-05-10	@ Domzale	D 0-0	61.5	1553	1508	38.50%	22.98%	38.52%	+0.00	+0.0	60
2014-05-13	Domzale	D 1-1	65.8	1539	1508	48.96%	22.53%	28.51%	+0.56	-0.8	63
2014-05-13	@ Luka Koper	D 1-1	65.8	1508	1539	28.51%	22.53%	48.96%	-0.56	+0.8	44
2014-05-13	Gorica	L 0-2	41.7	1393	1546	24.87%	22.07%	53.06%	-0.81	-9.5	36
2014-05-13	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-0	41.7	1546	1393	53.06%	22.07%	24.87%	+0.81	+9.5	55
2014-05-13	Triglav	W 2-1	44.8	1644	1330	76.58%	15.16%	8.26%	+2.66	+1.5	73
2014-05-13	@ Maribor	L 1-2	44.8	1330	1644	8.26%	15.16%	76.58%	-2.66	-1.5	26
2014-05-13	Zavrc	L 2-3	67.6	1553	1441	58.64%	21.13%	20.23%	+1.16	-9.2	60
2014-05-13	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-2	67.6	1441	1553	20.23%	21.13%	58.64%	-1.16	+9.2	53
2014-05-14	Celje	D 2-2	61.5	1328	1357	40.80%	22.96%	36.24%	+0.12	-0.1	28
2014-05-14	@ Krka	D 2-2	61.5	1357	1328	36.24%	22.96%	40.80%	-0.12	+0.1	34
2014-05-17	Celje	L 0-1	43.9	1329	1357	40.86%	22.96%	36.19%	+0.12	-7.5	26
2014-05-17	@ Triglav	W 1-0	43.9	1357	1329	36.19%	22.96%	40.86%	-0.12	+7.6	37
2014-05-17	Luka Koper	L 1-2	55.0	1450	1539	32.51%	22.83%	44.66%	-0.32	-6.0	53
2014-05-17	@ Zavrc	W 2-1	55.0	1539	1450	44.66%	22.83%	32.51%	+0.32	+6.0	66
2014-05-17	Krka	W 4-2	44.5	1544	1328	68.88%	18.32%	12.80%	+1.94	+3.9	63
2014-05-17	@ Rudar Velenje	L 2-4	44.5	1328	1544	12.80%	18.32%	68.88%	-1.94	-3.9	28
2014-05-17	Maribor	L 1-2	61.7	1555	1645	32.28%	22.82%	44.90%	-0.34	-5.9	55
2014-05-17	@ Gorica	W 2-1	61.7	1645	1555	44.90%	22.82%	32.28%	+0.34	+5.9	76
2014-05-17	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	59.2	1509	1383	60.19%	20.80%	19.00%	+1.27	-9.9	44
2014-05-17	@ Domzale	W 2-1	59.2	1383	1509	19.00%	20.80%	60.19%	-1.27	+9.9	39
2014-05-25	Domzale	D 0-0	65.2	1651	1499	62.89%	20.15%	16.96%	+1.46	-2.1	77
2014-05-25	@ Maribor	D 0-0	65.2	1499	1651	16.96%	20.15%	62.89%	-1.46	+2.1	45
2014-05-25	Gorica	L 0-2	39.8	1364	1549	21.70%	21.48%	56.82%	-1.04	-8.4	37
2014-05-25	@ Celje	W 2-0	39.8	1549	1364	56.82%	21.48%	21.70%	+1.04	+8.4	58
2014-05-25	Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	55.8	1545	1547	44.40%	22.84%	32.76%	+0.31	+10.4	69
2014-05-25	@ Luka Koper	L 1-3	55.8	1547	1545	32.76%	22.84%	44.40%	-0.31	-10.4	63
2014-05-25	Triglav	W 3-0	35.7	1324	1321	45.21%	22.80%	31.99%	+0.35	+17.1	31
2014-05-25	@ Krka	L 0-3	35.7	1321	1324	31.99%	22.80%	45.21%	-0.35	-17.1	26
2014-05-25	Zavrc	W 3-2	57.2	1393	1444	37.54%	22.98%	39.48%	-0.05	+6.6	42
2014-05-25	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-3	57.2	1444	1393	39.48%	22.98%	37.54%	+0.05	-6.6	53

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2013-11-03	11.18%	Triglav	1349	2	@ Maribor	1595	1
2	2013-11-12	17.49%	Krka	1345	1	@ Rudar Velenje	1490	0
3	2013-12-01	17.57%	Zavrc	1452	4	@ Maribor	1596	3
4	2014-05-17	19.00%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1383	2	@ Domzale	1509	1
5	2014-05-13	20.23%	Zavrc	1441	3	@ Rudar Velenje	1553	2
6	2013-09-25	20.38%	Krka	1379	2	@ Gorica	1489	1
7	2014-04-23	20.53%	Rudar Velenje	1521	2	@ Maribor	1629	0
8	2013-10-27	20.87%	@ Celje	1412	1	Maribor	1605	0
9	2014-04-23	20.94%	@ Triglav	1328	1	Domzale	1521	0
10	2014-03-08	21.50%	Krka	1347	1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1445	0
11	2013-10-19	21.89%	Celje	1393	2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1486	0
12	2013-08-31	22.34%	Domzale	1435	3	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1524	0
13	2014-03-15	22.94%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1435	2	Maribor	1607	0
14	2013-07-13	22.96%	Rudar Velenje	1438	2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1521	1
15	2014-05-07	25.30%	Celje	1359	1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1418	0
16	2013-12-08	25.46%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1450	1	@ Luka Koper	1509	0
17	2014-03-09	26.36%	@ Triglav	1338	3	Zavrc	1477	1
18	2013-11-09	27.22%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1459	2	@ Domzale	1501	1
19	2013-10-26	27.72%	@ Triglav	1340	1	Olimpija Ljubljana	1468	0
20	2013-09-22	27.98%	@ Zavrc	1472	1	Maribor	1597	0
21	2013-08-02	28.96%	Gorica	1441	2	@ Zavrc	1468	0
22	2013-09-28	29.18%	@ Krka	1389	1	Olimpija Ljubljana	1504	0
23	2014-05-10	29.46%	Luka Koper	1531	1	@ Gorica	1554	0
24	2014-04-23	29.79%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1424	1	Luka Koper	1534	0
25	2013-07-27	30.17%	Rudar Velenje	1430	1	@ Celje	1448	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-08-31	26.98	Domzale	3	1435	22.34%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1524	56.04%	21.62%
2	2013-10-05	22.29	@ Gorica	4	1480	45.20%	Zavrc	0	1477	32.00%	22.80%
3	2013-12-01	22.26	Rudar Velenje	3	1473	32.42%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1473	44.75%	22.82%
4	2013-08-03	21.59	@ Krka	3	1398	34.01%	Domzale	0	1475	43.09%	22.90%
5	2013-09-21	20.50	@ Domzale	4	1457	48.52%	Celje	0	1429	28.92%	22.57%
6	2014-04-23	20.43	Zavrc	3	1420	36.82%	@ Celje	0	1387	40.21%	22.97%
7	2013-07-28	19.72	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1512	56.70%	Krka	0	1417	21.80%	21.50%
8	2014-04-23	19.23	Rudar Velenje	2	1521	20.53%	@ Maribor	0	1629	58.27%	21.21%
9	2013-08-24	18.91	@ Gorica	4	1451	32.07%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1543	45.13%	22.80%
10	2013-10-19	18.74	Celje	2	1393	21.89%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1486	56.59%	21.52%
11	2013-08-10	18.58	Luka Koper	3	1464	41.48%	@ Triglav	0	1399	35.57%	22.95%
12	2013-10-26	18.53	@ Gorica	3	1496	41.57%	Luka Koper	0	1519	35.49%	22.94%
13	2014-03-15	18.37	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1435	22.94%	Maribor	0	1607	55.32%	21.74%
14	2014-04-16	18.37	@ Gorica	5	1525	58.68%	Celje	0	1413	20.19%	21.13%
15	2014-04-19	18.24	@ Rudar Velenje	4	1502	52.65%	Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1442	25.23%	22.12%
16	2013-07-27	18.13	@ Maribor	6	1550	53.51%	Luka Koper	1	1483	24.48%	22.01%
17	2013-10-19	18.06	Maribor	5	1587	59.13%	@ Krka	0	1382	19.84%	21.03%
18	2013-10-05	17.48	Luka Koper	3	1495	44.18%	@ Celje	0	1410	32.96%	22.85%
19	2013-07-20	17.46	Maribor	3	1533	44.23%	@ Rudar Velenje	0	1448	32.92%	22.85%
20	2014-05-25	17.06	@ Krka	3	1324	45.21%	Triglav	0	1321	31.99%	22.80%
21	2013-11-03	16.93	@ Rudar Velenje	3	1473	45.53%	Zavrc	0	1467	31.69%	22.78%
22	2014-05-10	16.53	@ Triglav	5	1314	31.59%	Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1409	45.63%	22.78%
23	2014-04-19	16.48	Maribor	4	1612	55.84%	@ Zavrc	0	1436	22.51%	21.65%
24	2013-08-02	16.39	Gorica	2	1441	28.96%	@ Zavrc	0	1468	48.46%	22.57%
25	2014-05-03	16.23	@ Gorica	4	1544	56.28%	Zavrc	0	1453	22.14%	21.58%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-03-08	74.1	@ Maribor	2	1608	58.29%	Luka Koper	2	1499	20.50%	21.20%
2	2013-12-01	73.0	Zavrc	4	1452	17.57%	@ Maribor	3	1596	62.06%	20.36%
3	2014-03-29	70.6	@ Maribor	2	1592	67.06%	Celje	2	1397	14.01%	18.93%
4	2013-11-02	68.8	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1459	36.95%	Gorica	2	1514	40.08%	22.97%
5	2013-10-18	68.4	@ Zavrc	2	1455	37.21%	Domzale	2	1509	39.81%	22.97%
6	2014-05-13	67.6	Zavrc	3	1441	20.23%	@ Rudar Velenje	2	1553	58.64%	21.13%
7	2013-08-31	66.9	@ Maribor	1	1593	59.89%	Gorica	1	1470	19.24%	20.87%
8	2013-09-25	66.3	@ Maribor	1	1588	60.52%	Rudar Velenje	1	1459	18.75%	20.73%
9	2013-07-20	66.0	@ Domzale	2	1468	51.02%	Triglav	2	1421	26.66%	22.32%
10	2014-04-26	65.9	@ Domzale	1	1511	40.22%	Gorica	1	1544	36.81%	22.97%
11	2014-05-13	65.8	@ Luka Koper	1	1539	48.96%	Domzale	1	1508	28.51%	22.53%
12	2014-05-25	65.2	@ Maribor	0	1651	62.89%	Domzale	0	1499	16.96%	20.15%
13	2014-03-08	65.1	@ Gorica	1	1534	49.98%	Domzale	1	1495	27.59%	22.43%
14	2014-04-02	65.1	@ Triglav	2	1341	23.03%	Luka Koper	2	1512	55.22%	21.75%
15	2014-05-07	64.8	@ Rudar Velenje	3	1547	42.98%	Gorica	2	1560	34.12%	22.90%
16	2013-07-21	63.7	@ Luka Koper	1	1483	40.82%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1512	36.22%	22.96%
17	2013-11-03	63.4	Triglav	2	1349	11.18%	@ Maribor	1	1595	71.45%	17.36%
18	2013-11-10	63.2	@ Triglav	2	1361	35.26%	Celje	2	1428	41.80%	22.94%
19	2013-09-28	63.0	@ Domzale	1	1493	46.65%	Gorica	1	1479	30.64%	22.71%
20	2013-08-31	62.5	@ Luka Koper	1	1495	48.91%	Zavrc	1	1464	28.56%	22.53%
21	2013-09-28	62.1	@ Luka Koper	2	1487	31.15%	Maribor	1	1586	46.11%	22.75%
22	2014-04-05	62.1	@ Zavrc	1	1429	32.17%	Rudar Velenje	1	1520	45.02%	22.81%
23	2013-11-26	61.9	@ Krka	2	1355	44.06%	Triglav	2	1361	33.08%	22.86%
24	2014-05-17	61.7	Maribor	2	1645	44.90%	@ Gorica	1	1555	32.28%	22.82%
25	2014-05-10	61.5	@ Domzale	0	1508	38.52%	Rudar Velenje	0	1553	38.50%	22.98%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-05-07	32.4	@ Luka Koper	3	1523	67.65%	Triglav	0	1321	13.61%	18.74%
2	2013-10-25	35.2	@ Zavrc	3	1455	56.32%	Krka	0	1364	22.11%	21.57%
3	2014-05-25	35.7	@ Krka	3	1324	45.21%	Triglav	0	1321	31.99%	22.80%
4	2013-10-19	35.8	@ Luka Koper	2	1513	64.30%	Triglav	0	1347	15.93%	19.77%
5	2014-05-07	36.2	Maribor	4	1622	66.52%	@ Krka	0	1343	14.37%	19.10%
6	2014-04-12	36.3	@ Celje	2	1404	53.62%	Triglav	0	1335	24.39%	21.99%
7	2013-10-05	36.6	@ Domzale	4	1493	56.74%	Krka	0	1398	21.76%	21.50%
8	2014-03-15	36.7	@ Rudar Velenje	6	1495	61.94%	Triglav	1	1352	17.67%	20.39%
9	2014-04-19	36.8	Luka Koper	3	1521	55.47%	@ Krka	0	1348	22.81%	21.71%
10	2014-04-26	37.3	@ Zavrc	5	1440	57.55%	Triglav	1	1338	21.10%	21.35%
11	2014-04-16	38.0	@ Gorica	5	1525	58.68%	Celje	0	1413	20.19%	21.13%
12	2014-05-10	38.0	Maribor	4	1632	65.14%	@ Celje	0	1368	15.33%	19.52%
13	2013-07-28	38.3	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1512	56.70%	Krka	0	1417	21.80%	21.50%
14	2013-09-25	38.3	Domzale	3	1477	47.81%	@ Triglav	0	1365	29.56%	22.62%
15	2014-04-23	38.3	@ Gorica	1	1541	68.03%	Krka	0	1335	13.36%	18.61%
16	2014-04-05	38.4	Maribor	2	1590	63.65%	@ Triglav	0	1342	16.41%	19.95%
17	2013-08-03	38.5	@ Rudar Velenje	3	1439	48.04%	Triglav	0	1415	29.35%	22.61%
18	2013-08-10	38.7	@ Maribor	3	1568	62.62%	Krka	0	1419	17.16%	20.22%
19	2013-12-06	38.8	@ Zavrc	3	1462	50.07%	Celje	0	1422	27.51%	22.42%
20	2014-04-19	38.8	@ Domzale	2	1513	59.43%	Celje	0	1395	19.60%	20.97%
21	2013-09-21	38.9	@ Domzale	4	1457	48.52%	Celje	0	1429	28.92%	22.57%
22	2013-10-19	39.0	Maribor	5	1587	59.13%	@ Krka	0	1382	19.84%	21.03%
23	2013-12-07	39.0	@ Domzale	4	1486	61.69%	Triglav	1	1346	17.86%	20.45%
24	2014-03-16	39.5	Domzale	2	1496	51.26%	@ Krka	0	1357	26.45%	22.29%
25	2014-04-19	39.6	@ Rudar Velenje	4	1502	52.65%	Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1442	25.23%	22.12%