2014-15 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Maribor

79 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Maribor

10.42 points above expected

79 points · 68.58 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Radomlje

12.00 points below expected

16 points · 28.00 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Maribor	36	24	7	5	79	74	32	+42	68.58	+10.42
2	Celje	36	20	10	6	70	58	31	+27	61.06	+8.94
3	Domzale	36	21	5	10	68	52	22	+30	63.07	+4.93
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	36	17	10	9	61	55	32	+23	60.56	+0.44
5	Zavrc	36	15	4	17	49	38	52	-14	46.15	+2.85
6	Rudar Velenje	36	12	10	14	46	44	43	+1	51.07	-5.07
7	Krka	36	11	7	18	40	38	54	-16	37.52	+2.48
8	Luka Koper	36	12	4	20	40	35	58	-23	43.40	-3.40
9	Gorica	36	10	7	19	37	40	46	-6	45.48	-8.48
10	Radomlje	36	4	4	28	16	21	85	-64	28.00	-12.00

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Maribor	79	68.58	+10.42
2	Celje	70	61.06	+8.94
3	Domzale	68	63.07	+4.93
4	Zavrc	49	46.15	+2.85
5	Krka	40	37.52	+2.48

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Radomlje	16	28.00	-12.00
2	Gorica	37	45.48	-8.48
3	Rudar Velenje	46	51.07	-5.07
4	Luka Koper	40	43.40	-3.40
5	Olimpija Ljubljana	61	60.56	+0.44

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Domzale	8	Jul 20 – Sep 13	1 in 404
2	Krka	4	May 2 – May 16	1 in 165
3	Maribor	8	Nov 9 – Mar 14	1 in 82
4	Celje	4	Aug 1 – Aug 24	1 in 52
5	Gorica	3	May 16 – May 30	1 in 42

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Radomlje	8	Jul 20 – Sep 13	1 in 301
2	Zavrc	5	Nov 8 – Mar 1	1 in 62
3	Krka	6	Aug 1 – Sep 13	1 in 51
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	2	Nov 29 – Dec 6	1 in 45
5	Gorica	4	Jul 20 – Aug 9	1 in 39

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celje	19	Aug 1 – Mar 4	1 in 2,661
2	Krka	5	Mar 14 – Apr 19	1 in 48
3	Rudar Velenje	7	Oct 4 – Nov 22	1 in 48
4	Domzale	10	Jul 20 – Sep 24	1 in 45
5	Olimpija Ljubljana	8	Jul 19 – Sep 20	1 in 45

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rudar Velenje	6	Feb 28 – Apr 4	1 in 66
2	Radomlje	9	Jul 20 – Sep 21	1 in 31
3	Maribor	3	Mar 22 – Apr 8	1 in 13
4	Krka	7	Aug 1 – Sep 21	1 in 13
5	Celje	4	Aug 30 – Sep 24	1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Maribor	1740	79	+39	13	10.5	+2.5
Celje	1615	70	-42	9	8.8	+0.2
Domzale	1646	68	+22	9	9.0	-0.0
Olimpija Ljubljana	1573	61	-43	6	8.0	-2.0
Zavrc	1424	49	-11	6	5.9	+0.1
Rudar Velenje	1511	46	-7	6	7.5	-1.5
Krka	1473	40	+63	12	5.9	+6.1
Luka Koper	1383	40	-68	1	5.1	-4.1
Gorica	1543	37	+70	9	6.5	+2.5
Radomlje	1237	16	-23	3	3.0	-0.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CEL	DOM	GOR	KRK	LK	MAR	OL	RAD	RV	ZAV
Celje	—	2-1-1 5.18	1-2-1 7.68	3-1-0 7.85	3-1-0 7.12	2-0-2 4.92	2-2-0 5.82	4-0-0 8.91	1-2-1 7.19	2-1-1 6.98
Domzale	1-1-2 6.02	—	4-0-0 6.97	3-0-1 8.34	3-0-1 7.52	2-1-1 4.75	1-1-2 5.83	4-0-0 9.28	2-2-0 6.66	1-0-3 7.42
Gorica	1-2-1 3.55	0-0-4 4.25	—	3-0-1 6.65	0-0-4 5.95	0-1-3 3.45	0-1-3 3.97	2-1-1 7.53	2-0-2 5.00	2-2-0 5.85
Krka	0-1-3 3.40	1-0-3 2.90	1-0-3 4.55	—	2-0-2 4.73	0-1-3 2.48	2-1-1 3.28	2-2-0 7.18	1-2-1 3.90	2-0-2 4.26
Luka Koper	0-1-3 4.12	1-0-3 3.70	4-0-0 5.25	2-0-2 6.48	—	0-1-3 2.98	1-1-2 3.78	2-0-2 7.29	1-1-2 4.85	1-0-3 5.56
Maribor	2-0-2 6.28	1-1-2 6.46	3-1-0 7.78	3-1-0 8.79	3-1-0 8.29	—	2-2-0 6.30	3-1-0 8.77	3-0-1 7.24	4-0-0 7.79
Olimpija Ljubljana	0-2-2 5.38	2-1-1 5.37	3-1-0 7.25	1-1-2 7.97	2-1-1 7.45	0-2-2 4.90	—	4-0-0 8.39	1-2-1 6.91	4-0-0 7.24
Radomlje	0-0-4 2.39	0-0-4 2.03	1-1-2 3.69	0-2-2 4.05	2-0-2 3.93	0-1-3 2.52	0-0-4 2.89	—	1-0-3 3.53	0-0-4 3.34
Rudar Velenje	1-2-1 4.02	0-2-2 4.55	2-0-2 6.20	1-2-1 7.32	2-1-1 6.35	1-0-3 3.97	1-2-1 4.29	3-0-1 7.71	—	1-1-2 6.27
Zavrc	1-1-2 4.24	3-0-1 3.81	0-2-2 5.35	2-0-2 6.95	3-0-1 5.64	0-0-4 3.46	0-0-4 3.97	4-0-0 7.88	2-1-1 4.93	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.91	+12.2
Allowed	0.83	-9.5
Differential	0.93	+5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.22%	8.33%	7.22%	4.44%	2.78%	0.28%	35.28%
1	8.33%	4.44%	8.33%	4.44%	1.39%	0.56%	27.50%
2	7.22%	8.33%	1.67%	2.50%	—	0.28%	20.00%
3	4.44%	4.44%	2.50%	0.56%	—	—	11.94%
4	2.78%	1.39%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
5+	0.28%	0.56%	0.28%	—	—	—	1.11%
Total	35.28%	27.50%	20.00%	11.94%	4.17%	1.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	1.26	+0.00
SD	1.26	1.26	1.94
CV	1.00	1.00	—
Max	7	7	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
1	8.33%	11.11%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	25.00%
2	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	44.44%	36.11%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	0.86	+0.75
SD	1.32	1.02	1.76
CV	0.82	1.18	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
2	16.67%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	61.11%	25.00%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	0.61	+0.83
SD	1.21	0.93	1.65
CV	0.83	1.53	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
1	2.78%	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	—	2.78%	33.33%
2	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	25.00%	27.78%	11.11%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.28	-0.17
SD	1.21	1.21	1.99
CV	1.09	0.95	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	33.33%
1	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	13.89%	—	—	36.11%
2	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	22.22%	25.00%	22.22%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.50	-0.44
SD	0.95	1.21	1.73
CV	0.90	0.80	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	36.11%
1	11.11%	2.78%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	36.11%
2	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	25.00%	30.56%	13.89%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.61	-0.64
SD	0.91	1.23	1.69
CV	0.94	0.76	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
2	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
4	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	38.89%	38.89%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.06	0.89	+1.17
SD	1.58	0.89	1.70
CV	0.77	1.00	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	25.00%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	2.78%	—	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	19.44%
2	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
4	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	47.22%	27.78%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	0.89	+0.64
SD	1.40	1.06	1.78
CV	0.92	1.20	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	55.56%
1	5.56%	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	30.56%
2	—	5.56%	—	8.33%	—	—	13.89%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	16.67%	22.22%	22.22%	19.44%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.58	2.36	-1.78
SD	0.73	1.53	1.73
CV	1.25	0.65	—
Max	2	6	+1
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	44.44%
1	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
2	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	30.56%	36.11%	19.44%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.19	+0.03
SD	1.49	1.09	1.78
CV	1.22	0.91	—
Max	7	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	38.89%
1	13.89%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	2.78%	19.44%
3	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	22.22%	25.00%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.44	-0.39
SD	1.09	1.50	1.92
CV	1.04	1.04	—
Max	4	7	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Maribor	1740	79	68.58	+10.42	88.0%	52	54	62	67	74	81	89
Domzale	1646	68	63.07	+4.93	78.0%	44	51	58	63	68	74	85
Celje	1615	70	61.06	+8.94	91.0%	43	48	56	60	65	73	80
Olimpija Ljubljana	1573	61	60.56	+0.44	57.0%	40	48	55	60	65	74	83
Gorica	1543	37	45.48	-8.48	11.0%	33	36	41	45	49	56	65
Rudar Velenje	1511	46	51.07	-5.07	30.0%	32	37	46	51	55	62	72
Krka	1473	40	37.52	+2.48	70.0%	23	25	32	36	43	50	59
Zavrc	1424	49	46.15	+2.85	63.0%	23	32	42	47	51	58	63
Luka Koper	1383	40	43.40	-3.40	33.0%	24	26	38	44	48	57	70
Radomlje	1237	16	28.00	-12.00	3.0%	14	17	23	28	32	39	44

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+5.56%

No Edge

43.33%18.89%37.78%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 19.32 Elo pts.

168 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.23 goals

Neutral

-2+0.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.9

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

52%

Maribor, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.25/gm

Runaway

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6 * Some Luck: 6 to 9 * Lucky: 9 to 12.01 * Wild Swing: 12.01 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.91 * Close: 0.91 to 1.37 * Off: 1.37 to 1.82 * Way Off: 1.82 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.93 points

Some Luck

07.5019

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.80

Pinpoint

01.142.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

91.00%

Celje

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

3.00%

Radomlje

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 144.19

2.31

Wide Separation

11.82.052.75

Interquartile Edge

73%

Wide Edge

50%63.5%72%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 94%

95%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

57%

Few

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

19%

Frequent

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.34

Notable Separation

00.310.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.96

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

-0.02

Weak Carryover

00.420.630.791

Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Upset-Prone

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Shaky Favorites

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.78

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.01

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.097

Well Within Noise

00.1260.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Maribor	52.00%	19.00%	18.00%	7.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Celje	14.00%	26.00%	21.00%	20.00%	10.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
Domzale	20.00%	27.00%	24.00%	18.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	13.00%	22.00%	25.00%	20.00%	14.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
Zavrc	—	—	3.00%	6.00%	20.00%	19.00%	20.00%	25.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Rudar Velenje	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	18.00%	27.00%	17.00%	17.00%	6.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Krka	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	10.00%	10.00%	18.00%	46.00%	13.00%
Luka Koper	—	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	19.00%	19.00%	22.00%	19.00%	6.00%
Gorica	—	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	11.00%	22.00%	28.00%	22.00%	8.00%	—
Radomlje	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%	17.00%	78.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Celje	100%	—	—
Domzale	100%	—	—
Gorica	92.00%	8.00%	—
Maribor	100%	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	100%	—	—
Rudar Velenje	94.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Zavrc	93.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Luka Koper	75.00%	19.00%	6.00%
Krka	41.00%	46.00%	13.00%
Radomlje	5.00%	17.00%	78.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2014-07-18	Zavrc	L 0-1	50.7	1475	1500	39.18%	20.04%	40.79%	-0.03	-11.4	0
2014-07-18	@ Celje	W 1-0	50.7	1500	1475	40.79%	20.04%	39.18%	+0.03	+11.4	3
2014-07-19	Krka	W 3-1	51.5	1490	1474	44.89%	20.00%	35.11%	+0.21	+17.0	3
2014-07-19	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	51.5	1474	1490	35.11%	20.00%	44.89%	-0.21	-17.0	0
2014-07-19	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	53.2	1567	1532	47.46%	19.94%	32.59%	+0.32	+9.8	3
2014-07-19	@ Maribor	L 0-1	53.2	1532	1567	32.59%	19.94%	47.46%	-0.32	-9.8	0
2014-07-20	Domzale	L 0-1	55.8	1541	1521	45.40%	19.99%	34.61%	+0.23	-12.9	0
2014-07-20	@ Gorica	W 1-0	55.8	1521	1541	34.61%	19.99%	45.40%	-0.23	+12.9	3
2014-07-20	Luka Koper	L 1-2	59.0	1508	1536	38.72%	20.03%	41.24%	-0.05	-10.6	0
2014-07-20	@ Radomlje	W 2-1	59.0	1536	1508	41.24%	20.03%	38.72%	+0.05	+10.6	3
2014-07-26	Radomlje	W 3-2	61.5	1576	1498	53.15%	19.72%	27.13%	+0.59	+7.5	6
2014-07-26	@ Maribor	L 2-3	61.5	1498	1576	27.13%	19.72%	53.15%	-0.59	-7.5	0
2014-07-26	Zavrc	L 0-2	51.0	1522	1512	44.25%	20.01%	35.74%	+0.18	-23.8	0
2014-07-26	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-0	51.0	1512	1522	35.74%	20.01%	44.25%	-0.18	+23.8	6
2014-07-27	Celje	W 1-0	48.2	1534	1464	52.12%	19.77%	28.11%	+0.54	+8.7	6
2014-07-27	@ Domzale	L 0-1	48.2	1464	1534	28.11%	19.77%	52.12%	-0.54	-8.7	0
2014-07-27	Gorica	W 2-1	59.3	1457	1528	32.92%	19.95%	47.13%	-0.31	+12.5	3
2014-07-27	@ Krka	L 1-2	59.3	1528	1457	47.13%	19.95%	32.92%	+0.31	-12.5	0
2014-08-01	Domzale	L 0-2	51.8	1535	1543	41.66%	20.03%	38.31%	+0.07	-22.6	6
2014-08-01	@ Zavrc	W 2-0	51.8	1543	1535	38.31%	20.03%	41.66%	-0.07	+22.6	9
2014-08-01	Krka	W 3-0	43.3	1455	1470	40.67%	20.04%	39.29%	+0.03	+31.3	3
2014-08-01	@ Celje	L 0-3	43.3	1470	1455	39.29%	20.04%	40.67%	-0.03	-31.3	3
2014-08-02	Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	57.8	1490	1499	41.52%	20.03%	38.44%	+0.06	-11.3	0
2014-08-02	@ Radomlje	W 2-1	57.8	1499	1490	38.44%	20.03%	41.52%	-0.06	+11.3	3
2014-08-03	Luka Koper	L 0-1	53.6	1515	1547	38.19%	20.03%	41.78%	-0.07	-11.2	0
2014-08-03	@ Gorica	W 1-0	53.6	1547	1515	41.78%	20.03%	38.19%	+0.07	+11.2	6
2014-08-09	Celje	L 0-2	53.7	1558	1486	52.28%	19.77%	27.95%	+0.54	-27.5	6
2014-08-09	@ Luka Koper	W 2-0	53.7	1486	1558	27.95%	19.77%	52.28%	-0.54	+27.5	6
2014-08-09	Domzale	L 0-1	53.1	1510	1566	34.91%	19.99%	45.10%	-0.22	-10.4	3
2014-08-09	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	53.1	1566	1510	45.10%	19.99%	34.91%	+0.22	+10.4	12
2014-08-09	Gorica	W 2-1	56.9	1584	1504	53.29%	19.72%	27.00%	+0.59	+7.9	9
2014-08-09	@ Maribor	L 1-2	56.9	1504	1584	27.00%	19.72%	53.29%	-0.59	-7.9	0
2014-08-10	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-4	50.3	1479	1507	38.76%	20.03%	41.20%	-0.05	-26.1	0
2014-08-10	@ Radomlje	W 4-1	50.3	1507	1479	41.20%	20.03%	38.76%	+0.05	+26.1	6
2014-08-10	Zavrc	L 2-3	58.6	1438	1513	32.42%	19.94%	47.64%	-0.33	-8.7	3
2014-08-10	@ Krka	W 3-2	58.6	1513	1438	47.64%	19.94%	32.42%	+0.33	+8.7	9
2014-08-15	Luka Koper	W 1-0	53.4	1521	1531	41.42%	20.03%	38.55%	+0.06	+11.3	12
2014-08-15	@ Zavrc	L 0-1	53.4	1531	1521	38.55%	20.03%	41.42%	-0.06	-11.3	6
2014-08-16	Krka	W 2-0	42.5	1576	1430	60.71%	19.16%	20.13%	+0.99	+12.2	15
2014-08-16	@ Domzale	L 0-2	42.5	1430	1576	20.13%	19.16%	60.71%	-0.99	-12.2	3
2014-08-16	Maribor	W 3-1	60.5	1514	1592	31.96%	19.92%	48.11%	-0.35	+22.1	9
2014-08-16	@ Celje	L 1-3	60.5	1592	1514	48.11%	19.92%	31.96%	+0.35	-22.1	9
2014-08-16	Rudar Velenje	W 2-0	47.5	1533	1500	47.31%	19.95%	32.74%	+0.31	+18.6	9
2014-08-16	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	47.5	1500	1533	32.74%	19.95%	47.31%	-0.31	-18.6	3
2014-08-17	Radomlje	W 4-0	41.1	1496	1453	48.66%	19.91%	31.44%	+0.37	+34.1	3
2014-08-17	@ Gorica	L 0-4	41.1	1453	1496	31.44%	19.91%	48.66%	-0.37	-34.1	0
2014-08-23	Krka	W 3-1	47.3	1481	1418	51.25%	19.81%	28.94%	+0.49	+14.5	6
2014-08-23	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-3	47.3	1418	1481	28.94%	19.81%	51.25%	-0.49	-14.5	3
2014-08-23	Gorica	D 0-0	63.9	1551	1530	45.68%	19.98%	34.34%	+0.24	-0.8	10
2014-08-23	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	63.9	1530	1551	34.34%	19.98%	45.68%	-0.24	+0.8	4
2014-08-23	Zavrc	W 3-0	47.5	1570	1533	47.82%	19.93%	32.25%	+0.34	+26.7	12
2014-08-23	@ Maribor	L 0-3	47.5	1533	1570	32.25%	19.93%	47.82%	-0.34	-26.6	12
2014-08-24	Celje	L 0-3	40.6	1419	1536	27.14%	19.72%	53.14%	-0.58	-23.0	0
2014-08-24	@ Radomlje	W 3-0	40.6	1536	1419	53.14%	19.72%	27.14%	+0.58	+23.0	12
2014-08-24	Domzale	L 0-1	53.6	1520	1588	33.18%	19.96%	46.86%	-0.29	-10.0	6
2014-08-24	@ Luka Koper	W 1-0	53.6	1588	1520	46.86%	19.96%	33.18%	+0.29	+10.0	18
2014-08-27	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	59.0	1510	1551	36.90%	20.02%	43.07%	-0.13	-10.2	6
2014-08-27	@ Luka Koper	W 2-1	59.0	1551	1510	43.07%	20.02%	36.90%	+0.13	+10.2	13
2014-08-29	Radomlje	W 2-1	49.1	1506	1396	56.86%	19.49%	23.65%	+0.77	+7.0	15
2014-08-29	@ Zavrc	L 1-2	49.1	1396	1506	23.65%	19.49%	56.86%	-0.77	-7.0	0
2014-08-30	Maribor	W 2-0	53.8	1598	1596	42.97%	20.02%	37.01%	+0.13	+20.5	21
2014-08-30	@ Domzale	L 0-2	53.8	1596	1598	37.01%	20.02%	42.97%	-0.13	-20.6	12
2014-08-30	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	65.1	1559	1561	42.48%	20.03%	37.49%	+0.10	-0.3	13
2014-08-30	@ Celje	D 0-0	65.1	1561	1559	37.49%	20.03%	42.48%	-0.10	+0.3	14
2014-08-31	Luka Koper	L 1-3	47.7	1403	1499	29.65%	19.84%	50.51%	-0.46	-14.8	3
2014-08-31	@ Krka	W 3-1	47.7	1499	1403	50.51%	19.84%	29.65%	+0.46	+14.8	9
2014-08-31	Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	61.0	1531	1496	47.61%	19.94%	32.45%	+0.33	-12.6	4
2014-08-31	@ Gorica	W 2-1	61.0	1496	1531	32.45%	19.94%	47.61%	-0.33	+12.6	9
2014-09-13	Celje	D 1-1	68.7	1518	1559	37.00%	20.02%	42.98%	-0.13	+0.4	5
2014-09-13	@ Gorica	D 1-1	68.7	1559	1518	42.98%	20.02%	37.00%	+0.13	-0.4	14
2014-09-13	Domzale	L 0-2	41.2	1389	1619	16.34%	18.64%	65.02%	-1.26	-10.0	0
2014-09-13	@ Radomlje	W 2-0	41.2	1619	1389	65.02%	18.64%	16.34%	+1.26	+10.0	24
2014-09-13	Luka Koper	L 2-3	64.1	1508	1514	41.89%	20.03%	38.08%	+0.08	-10.8	9
2014-09-13	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-2	64.1	1514	1508	38.08%	20.03%	41.89%	-0.08	+10.8	12
2014-09-13	Krka	W 2-0	39.7	1576	1388	64.69%	18.69%	16.62%	+1.23	+10.2	15
2014-09-13	@ Maribor	L 0-2	39.7	1388	1576	16.62%	18.69%	64.69%	-1.23	-10.2	3
2014-09-13	Zavrc	W 2-0	48.4	1561	1513	49.27%	19.89%	30.84%	+0.40	+17.7	17
2014-09-13	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	48.4	1513	1561	30.84%	19.89%	49.27%	-0.40	-17.7	15
2014-09-20	Maribor	L 1-2	59.9	1525	1586	34.16%	19.98%	45.86%	-0.25	-9.6	12
2014-09-20	@ Luka Koper	W 2-1	59.9	1586	1525	45.86%	19.98%	34.16%	+0.25	+9.6	18
2014-09-20	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	67.5	1629	1579	49.49%	19.88%	30.63%	+0.41	-1.3	25
2014-09-20	@ Domzale	D 0-0	67.5	1579	1629	30.63%	19.88%	49.49%	-0.41	+1.3	18
2014-09-20	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	68.0	1558	1497	50.93%	19.83%	29.24%	+0.48	-1.4	15
2014-09-20	@ Celje	D 1-1	68.0	1497	1558	29.24%	19.83%	50.93%	-0.48	+1.4	10
2014-09-21	Gorica	D 0-0	61.5	1495	1519	39.42%	20.04%	40.55%	-0.02	+0.1	16
2014-09-21	@ Zavrc	D 0-0	61.5	1519	1495	40.55%	20.04%	39.42%	+0.02	-0.1	6
2014-09-21	Radomlje	D 0-0	53.7	1378	1379	42.65%	20.03%	37.33%	+0.11	-0.4	4
2014-09-21	@ Krka	D 0-0	53.7	1379	1378	37.33%	20.03%	42.65%	-0.11	+0.4	1
2014-09-24	Celje	D 0-0	62.9	1496	1557	34.12%	19.98%	45.90%	-0.25	+0.8	17
2014-09-24	@ Zavrc	D 0-0	62.9	1557	1496	45.90%	19.98%	34.12%	+0.25	-0.8	16
2014-09-24	Maribor	L 0-1	52.1	1499	1596	29.57%	19.84%	50.59%	-0.46	-9.0	10
2014-09-24	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	52.1	1596	1499	50.59%	19.84%	29.57%	+0.46	+9.0	21
2014-09-24	Gorica	W 3-0	46.2	1627	1519	56.66%	19.51%	23.83%	+0.76	+20.6	28
2014-09-24	@ Domzale	L 0-3	46.2	1519	1627	23.83%	19.51%	56.66%	-0.76	-20.6	6
2014-09-24	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	62.6	1378	1580	18.56%	18.97%	62.47%	-1.09	+16.2	7
2014-09-24	@ Krka	L 1-2	62.6	1580	1378	62.47%	18.97%	18.56%	+1.09	-16.2	18
2014-09-24	Radomlje	L 1-2	59.6	1515	1379	59.68%	19.26%	21.06%	+0.93	-15.5	12
2014-09-24	@ Luka Koper	W 2-1	59.6	1379	1515	21.06%	19.26%	59.68%	-0.93	+15.5	4
2014-09-27	Domzale	W 2-0	57.8	1556	1648	30.22%	19.87%	49.91%	-0.43	+26.3	19
2014-09-27	@ Celje	L 0-2	57.8	1648	1556	49.91%	19.87%	30.22%	+0.43	-26.3	28
2014-09-27	Luka Koper	W 4-0	44.6	1564	1500	51.34%	19.81%	28.85%	+0.50	+31.7	21
2014-09-27	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-4	44.6	1500	1564	28.85%	19.81%	51.34%	-0.50	-31.7	12
2014-09-27	Maribor	D 0-0	61.2	1394	1605	17.91%	18.88%	63.20%	-1.14	+3.3	5
2014-09-27	@ Radomlje	D 0-0	61.2	1605	1394	63.20%	18.88%	17.91%	+1.14	-3.3	22
2014-09-28	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	50.2	1496	1490	43.67%	20.02%	36.32%	+0.15	+10.7	20
2014-09-28	@ Zavrc	L 0-1	50.2	1490	1496	36.32%	20.02%	43.67%	-0.15	-10.7	10
2014-09-29	Krka	W 2-1	49.0	1498	1394	56.16%	19.54%	24.30%	+0.74	+7.2	9
2014-09-29	@ Gorica	L 1-2	49.0	1394	1498	24.30%	19.54%	56.16%	-0.74	-7.2	7
2014-10-04	Gorica	W 1-0	51.6	1468	1505	37.44%	20.03%	42.53%	-0.11	+12.2	15
2014-10-04	@ Luka Koper	L 0-1	51.6	1505	1468	42.53%	20.03%	37.44%	+0.11	-12.2	9
2014-10-04	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 3-3	81.7	1601	1596	43.53%	20.02%	36.45%	+0.15	-0.3	23
2014-10-04	@ Maribor	D 3-3	81.7	1596	1601	36.45%	20.02%	43.53%	-0.15	+0.3	22
2014-10-04	Radomlje	W 2-0	40.1	1479	1398	53.43%	19.71%	26.86%	+0.60	+15.7	13
2014-10-04	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-2	40.1	1398	1479	26.86%	19.71%	53.43%	-0.60	-15.7	5
2014-10-04	Zavrc	L 1-3	63.8	1622	1507	57.31%	19.46%	23.23%	+0.80	-25.9	28
2014-10-04	@ Domzale	W 3-1	63.8	1507	1622	23.23%	19.46%	57.31%	-0.80	+25.9	23
2014-10-05	Celje	D 1-1	65.0	1387	1583	19.14%	19.04%	61.81%	-1.05	+2.8	8
2014-10-05	@ Krka	D 1-1	65.0	1583	1387	61.81%	19.04%	19.14%	+1.05	-2.8	20
2014-10-15	Luka Koper	D 1-1	68.2	1580	1480	55.61%	19.58%	24.81%	+0.71	-2.0	21
2014-10-15	@ Celje	D 1-1	68.2	1480	1580	24.81%	19.58%	55.61%	-0.71	+2.0	16
2014-10-15	Krka	W 2-0	39.5	1533	1389	60.43%	19.19%	20.39%	+0.97	+12.3	26
2014-10-15	@ Zavrc	L 0-2	39.5	1389	1533	20.39%	19.19%	60.43%	-0.97	-12.3	8
2014-10-15	Maribor	L 0-2	48.3	1493	1601	28.23%	19.78%	51.99%	-0.53	-16.4	9
2014-10-15	@ Gorica	W 2-0	48.3	1601	1493	51.99%	19.78%	28.23%	+0.53	+16.4	26
2014-10-15	Radomlje	W 4-0	36.7	1596	1382	66.96%	18.35%	14.69%	+1.39	+17.2	25
2014-10-15	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-4	36.7	1382	1596	14.69%	18.35%	66.96%	-1.39	-17.2	5
2014-10-15	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	69.2	1596	1495	55.78%	19.57%	24.65%	+0.72	-2.0	29
2014-10-15	@ Domzale	D 1-1	69.2	1495	1596	24.65%	19.57%	55.78%	-0.72	+2.0	14
2014-10-18	Celje	L 1-2	66.4	1618	1578	48.17%	19.92%	31.90%	+0.35	-12.8	26
2014-10-18	@ Maribor	W 2-1	66.4	1578	1618	31.90%	19.92%	48.17%	-0.35	+12.8	24
2014-10-18	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	64.9	1497	1613	27.24%	19.73%	53.03%	-0.58	+1.8	15
2014-10-18	@ Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	64.9	1613	1497	53.03%	19.73%	27.24%	+0.58	-1.8	26
2014-10-18	Zavrc	W 2-1	60.6	1482	1545	33.91%	19.97%	46.11%	-0.26	+12.3	19
2014-10-18	@ Luka Koper	L 1-2	60.6	1545	1482	46.11%	19.97%	33.91%	+0.26	-12.3	26
2014-10-19	Domzale	L 0-1	43.6	1377	1594	17.40%	18.81%	63.79%	-1.18	-5.6	8
2014-10-19	@ Krka	W 1-0	43.6	1594	1377	63.79%	18.81%	17.40%	+1.18	+5.6	32
2014-10-19	Gorica	L 0-3	37.2	1365	1477	27.79%	19.76%	52.45%	-0.55	-23.5	5
2014-10-19	@ Radomlje	W 3-0	37.2	1477	1365	52.45%	19.76%	27.79%	+0.55	+23.5	12
2014-10-25	Luka Koper	W 2-0	47.0	1599	1495	56.22%	19.54%	24.24%	+0.74	+14.4	35
2014-10-25	@ Domzale	L 0-2	47.0	1495	1599	24.24%	19.54%	56.22%	-0.74	-14.4	19
2014-10-25	Maribor	L 0-1	54.4	1533	1605	32.76%	19.95%	47.30%	-0.31	-9.9	26
2014-10-25	@ Zavrc	W 1-0	54.4	1605	1533	47.30%	19.95%	32.76%	+0.31	+9.8	29
2014-10-25	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	46.5	1500	1611	27.87%	19.76%	52.37%	-0.55	-23.5	12
2014-10-25	@ Gorica	W 3-0	46.5	1611	1500	52.37%	19.76%	27.87%	+0.55	+23.5	29
2014-10-25	Radomlje	W 5-0	34.6	1591	1341	69.75%	17.84%	12.41%	+1.60	+18.0	27
2014-10-25	@ Celje	L 0-5	34.6	1341	1591	12.41%	17.84%	69.75%	-1.60	-18.0	5
2014-10-26	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	61.4	1372	1498	26.04%	19.66%	54.30%	-0.64	+1.8	9
2014-10-26	@ Krka	D 1-1	61.4	1498	1372	54.30%	19.66%	26.04%	+0.64	-1.8	16
2014-10-31	Domzale	L 0-1	59.7	1615	1614	42.87%	20.02%	37.11%	+0.12	-12.3	29
2014-10-31	@ Maribor	W 1-0	59.7	1614	1615	37.11%	20.02%	42.87%	-0.12	+12.3	38
2014-11-02	Celje	L 1-3	63.5	1635	1609	46.38%	19.97%	33.65%	+0.27	-21.4	29
2014-11-02	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 3-1	63.5	1609	1635	33.65%	19.97%	46.38%	-0.27	+21.4	30
2014-11-02	Krka	W 1-0	41.9	1480	1373	56.45%	19.52%	24.02%	+0.75	+7.6	22
2014-11-02	@ Luka Koper	L 0-1	41.9	1373	1480	24.02%	19.52%	56.45%	-0.75	-7.6	9
2014-11-02	Gorica	W 1-0	49.2	1497	1477	45.52%	19.99%	34.49%	+0.23	+10.3	19
2014-11-02	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	49.2	1477	1497	34.49%	19.99%	45.52%	-0.23	-10.3	12
2014-11-02	Zavrc	L 1-2	45.9	1323	1523	18.82%	19.00%	62.18%	-1.08	-5.7	5
2014-11-02	@ Radomlje	W 2-1	45.9	1523	1323	62.18%	19.00%	18.82%	+1.08	+5.7	29
2014-11-08	Gorica	W 2-0	45.2	1630	1466	62.43%	18.97%	18.59%	+1.09	+11.3	33
2014-11-08	@ Celje	L 0-2	45.2	1466	1630	18.59%	18.97%	62.43%	-1.09	-11.3	12
2014-11-08	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	50.6	1529	1613	31.11%	19.90%	49.00%	-0.39	-17.8	29
2014-11-08	@ Zavrc	W 2-0	50.6	1613	1529	49.00%	19.90%	31.11%	+0.39	+17.8	32
2014-11-08	Rudar Velenje	L 1-3	54.1	1488	1507	39.99%	20.04%	39.97%	+0.00	-18.9	22
2014-11-08	@ Luka Koper	W 3-1	54.1	1507	1488	39.97%	20.04%	39.99%	+0.00	+18.9	22
2014-11-09	Maribor	L 1-3	45.5	1366	1602	15.84%	18.56%	65.60%	-1.30	-8.4	9
2014-11-09	@ Krka	W 3-1	45.5	1602	1366	65.60%	18.56%	15.84%	+1.30	+8.4	32
2014-11-09	Radomlje	W 3-0	34.0	1626	1318	73.80%	16.88%	9.32%	+1.95	+8.4	41
2014-11-09	@ Domzale	L 0-3	34.0	1318	1626	9.32%	16.88%	73.80%	-1.95	-8.4	5
2014-11-22	Celje	D 0-0	66.6	1526	1641	27.37%	19.74%	52.89%	-0.57	+1.8	23
2014-11-22	@ Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	66.6	1641	1526	52.89%	19.74%	27.37%	+0.57	-1.8	34
2014-11-22	Domzale	W 2-1	64.6	1631	1634	42.30%	20.03%	37.67%	+0.10	+10.4	35
2014-11-22	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	64.6	1634	1631	37.67%	20.03%	42.30%	-0.10	-10.4	41
2014-11-22	Luka Koper	W 4-0	42.4	1611	1469	60.27%	19.20%	20.53%	+0.96	+23.5	35
2014-11-22	@ Maribor	L 0-4	42.4	1469	1611	20.53%	19.20%	60.27%	-0.96	-23.5	22
2014-11-22	Zavrc	W 1-0	52.1	1455	1511	34.86%	19.99%	45.15%	-0.22	+12.8	15
2014-11-22	@ Gorica	L 0-1	52.1	1511	1455	45.15%	19.99%	34.86%	+0.22	-12.8	29
2014-11-23	Krka	L 0-2	38.8	1309	1357	35.95%	20.01%	44.04%	-0.17	-20.1	5
2014-11-23	@ Radomlje	W 2-0	38.8	1357	1309	44.04%	20.01%	35.95%	+0.17	+20.1	12
2014-11-29	Domzale	L 1-2	55.7	1468	1624	22.93%	19.43%	57.64%	-0.82	-6.8	15
2014-11-29	@ Gorica	W 2-1	55.7	1624	1468	57.64%	19.43%	22.93%	+0.82	+6.8	44
2014-11-29	Krka	L 1-2	67.0	1642	1377	70.86%	17.60%	11.53%	+1.69	-18.3	35
2014-11-29	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	67.0	1377	1642	11.53%	17.60%	70.86%	-1.69	+18.3	15
2014-11-29	Rudar Velenje	W 3-2	63.2	1634	1528	56.42%	19.52%	24.06%	+0.75	+6.8	38
2014-11-29	@ Maribor	L 2-3	63.2	1528	1634	24.06%	19.52%	56.42%	-0.75	-6.8	23
2014-11-29	Zavrc	W 3-0	44.9	1639	1498	60.19%	19.21%	20.60%	+0.96	+18.0	37
2014-11-29	@ Celje	L 0-3	44.9	1498	1639	20.60%	19.21%	60.19%	-0.96	-18.0	29
2014-11-30	Luka Koper	W 2-1	55.2	1289	1445	22.94%	19.43%	57.63%	-0.81	+15.0	8
2014-11-30	@ Radomlje	L 1-2	55.2	1445	1289	57.63%	19.43%	22.94%	+0.81	-15.0	22
2014-12-06	Celje	L 0-1	59.5	1631	1657	38.92%	20.04%	41.05%	-0.04	-11.3	44
2014-12-06	@ Domzale	W 1-0	59.5	1657	1631	41.05%	20.04%	38.92%	+0.04	+11.3	40
2014-12-06	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	65.9	1430	1623	19.39%	19.07%	61.54%	-1.04	+16.0	25
2014-12-06	@ Luka Koper	L 1-2	65.9	1623	1430	61.54%	19.07%	19.39%	+1.04	-16.0	35
2014-12-06	Radomlje	W 4-1	38.5	1641	1304	75.52%	16.38%	8.10%	+2.12	+6.1	41
2014-12-06	@ Maribor	L 1-4	38.5	1304	1641	8.10%	16.38%	75.52%	-2.12	-6.1	8
2014-12-06	Zavrc	W 7-2	46.7	1521	1480	48.31%	19.92%	31.77%	+0.36	+29.3	26
2014-12-06	@ Rudar Velenje	L 2-7	46.7	1480	1521	31.77%	19.92%	48.31%	-0.36	-29.4	29
2014-12-07	Gorica	L 0-2	41.6	1396	1461	33.60%	19.97%	46.43%	-0.27	-19.0	15
2014-12-07	@ Krka	W 2-0	41.6	1461	1396	46.43%	19.97%	33.60%	+0.27	+19.0	18
2015-02-28	Domzale	D 0-0	66.6	1550	1619	33.11%	19.96%	46.93%	-0.30	+1.0	27
2015-02-28	@ Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	66.6	1619	1550	46.93%	19.96%	33.11%	+0.30	-0.9	45
2015-02-28	Gorica	W 5-1	46.9	1647	1480	62.78%	18.93%	18.29%	+1.11	+17.6	44
2015-02-28	@ Maribor	L 1-5	46.9	1480	1647	18.29%	18.93%	62.78%	-1.11	-17.6	18
2015-02-28	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-4	32.8	1298	1607	11.19%	17.50%	71.30%	-1.73	-13.2	8
2015-02-28	@ Radomlje	W 4-0	32.8	1607	1298	71.30%	17.50%	11.19%	+1.73	+13.1	38
2015-03-01	Zavrc	W 3-0	42.8	1377	1451	32.45%	19.94%	47.61%	-0.33	+36.7	18
2015-03-01	@ Krka	L 0-3	42.8	1451	1377	47.61%	19.94%	32.45%	+0.33	-36.7	29
2015-03-04	Domzale	W 1-0	59.6	1414	1618	18.41%	18.95%	62.64%	-1.10	+17.2	32
2015-03-04	@ Zavrc	L 0-1	59.6	1618	1414	62.64%	18.95%	18.41%	+1.10	-17.2	45
2015-03-04	Luka Koper	L 1-2	55.9	1462	1446	44.98%	20.00%	35.02%	+0.21	-12.0	18
2015-03-04	@ Gorica	W 2-1	55.9	1446	1462	35.02%	20.00%	44.98%	-0.21	+12.0	28
2015-03-04	Krka	W 2-1	51.6	1669	1413	70.22%	17.74%	12.04%	+1.64	+3.7	43
2015-03-04	@ Celje	L 1-2	51.6	1413	1669	12.04%	17.74%	70.22%	-1.64	-3.7	18
2015-03-04	Maribor	L 0-1	58.7	1621	1665	36.47%	20.02%	43.51%	-0.15	-10.8	38
2015-03-04	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	58.7	1665	1621	43.51%	20.02%	36.47%	+0.15	+10.8	47
2015-03-04	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	54.3	1285	1551	13.76%	18.16%	68.08%	-1.47	+18.7	11
2015-03-04	@ Radomlje	L 0-1	54.3	1551	1285	68.08%	18.16%	13.76%	+1.47	-18.7	27
2015-03-07	Luka Koper	W 2-1	54.1	1431	1458	38.89%	20.04%	41.07%	-0.05	+11.2	35
2015-03-07	@ Zavrc	L 1-2	54.1	1458	1431	41.07%	20.04%	38.89%	+0.05	-11.2	28
2015-03-07	Krka	W 2-1	50.6	1601	1410	65.04%	18.64%	16.32%	+1.26	+5.0	48
2015-03-07	@ Domzale	L 1-2	50.6	1410	1601	16.32%	18.64%	65.04%	-1.26	-5.0	18
2015-03-07	Maribor	L 0-2	57.8	1673	1676	42.32%	20.03%	37.66%	+0.10	-22.9	43
2015-03-07	@ Celje	W 2-0	57.8	1676	1673	37.66%	20.03%	42.32%	-0.10	+22.9	50
2015-03-07	Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	65.9	1610	1533	52.96%	19.73%	27.31%	+0.58	-1.8	39
2015-03-07	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	65.9	1533	1610	27.31%	19.73%	52.96%	-0.58	+1.8	28
2015-03-08	Radomlje	D 0-0	53.9	1450	1304	60.74%	19.16%	20.10%	+0.99	-3.0	19
2015-03-08	@ Gorica	D 0-0	53.9	1304	1450	20.10%	19.16%	60.74%	-0.99	+3.0	12
2015-03-11	Celje	L 0-1	48.6	1447	1650	18.56%	18.97%	62.47%	-1.09	-6.0	28
2015-03-11	@ Luka Koper	W 1-0	48.6	1650	1447	62.47%	18.97%	18.56%	+1.09	+6.0	46
2015-03-14	Krka	D 0-0	58.9	1534	1405	58.98%	19.32%	21.70%	+0.89	-2.7	29
2015-03-14	@ Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	58.9	1405	1534	21.70%	19.32%	58.98%	-0.89	+2.7	19
2015-03-14	Gorica	W 3-1	49.7	1608	1447	62.14%	19.01%	18.85%	+1.07	+9.9	42
2015-03-14	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	49.7	1447	1608	18.85%	19.01%	62.14%	-1.07	-9.9	19
2015-03-14	Zavrc	W 2-1	53.5	1698	1443	70.25%	17.73%	12.01%	+1.64	+3.7	53
2015-03-14	@ Maribor	L 1-2	53.5	1443	1698	12.01%	17.73%	70.25%	-1.64	-3.7	35
2015-03-15	Celje	L 0-1	40.3	1307	1656	9.22%	16.84%	73.93%	-1.97	-3.0	12
2015-03-15	@ Radomlje	W 1-0	40.3	1656	1307	73.93%	16.84%	9.22%	+1.97	+3.0	49
2015-03-15	Domzale	W 1-0	59.0	1441	1606	22.02%	19.35%	58.63%	-0.87	+16.2	31
2015-03-15	@ Luka Koper	L 0-1	59.0	1606	1441	58.63%	19.35%	22.02%	+0.87	-16.2	48
2015-03-20	Radomlje	W 1-0	38.5	1439	1304	59.55%	19.27%	21.18%	+0.92	+6.8	38
2015-03-20	@ Zavrc	L 0-1	38.5	1304	1439	21.18%	19.27%	59.55%	-0.92	-6.8	12
2015-03-21	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	68.7	1659	1618	48.31%	19.92%	31.77%	+0.36	-1.2	50
2015-03-21	@ Celje	D 0-0	68.7	1618	1659	31.77%	19.92%	48.31%	-0.36	+1.1	43
2015-03-21	Rudar Velenje	W 3-0	48.1	1437	1532	29.91%	19.85%	50.24%	-0.45	+38.5	22
2015-03-21	@ Gorica	L 0-3	48.1	1532	1437	50.24%	19.85%	29.91%	+0.45	-38.5	29
2015-03-22	Luka Koper	W 3-0	42.8	1407	1457	35.68%	20.01%	44.31%	-0.18	+34.5	22
2015-03-22	@ Krka	L 0-3	42.8	1457	1407	44.31%	20.01%	35.68%	+0.18	-34.5	31
2015-03-22	Maribor	D 0-0	69.0	1590	1702	27.75%	19.76%	52.49%	-0.55	+1.8	49
2015-03-22	@ Domzale	D 0-0	69.0	1702	1590	52.49%	19.76%	27.75%	+0.55	-1.8	54
2015-04-03	Domzale	L 0-3	33.2	1297	1592	12.00%	17.73%	70.27%	-1.64	-10.8	12
2015-04-03	@ Radomlje	W 3-0	33.2	1592	1297	70.27%	17.73%	12.00%	+1.64	+10.8	52
2015-04-04	Celje	D 2-2	76.6	1476	1658	20.44%	19.19%	60.37%	-0.97	+2.0	23
2015-04-04	@ Gorica	D 2-2	76.6	1658	1476	60.37%	19.19%	20.44%	+0.97	-1.9	51
2015-04-04	Luka Koper	D 2-2	68.7	1493	1423	52.11%	19.77%	28.11%	+0.54	-1.1	30
2015-04-04	@ Rudar Velenje	D 2-2	68.7	1423	1493	28.11%	19.77%	52.11%	-0.54	+1.1	32
2015-04-04	Krka	D 2-2	77.3	1700	1442	70.44%	17.69%	11.86%	+1.66	-3.0	55
2015-04-04	@ Maribor	D 2-2	77.3	1442	1700	11.86%	17.69%	70.44%	-1.66	+3.0	23
2015-04-04	Zavrc	W 3-1	49.7	1619	1446	63.38%	18.86%	17.76%	+1.15	+9.4	46
2015-04-04	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	49.7	1446	1619	17.76%	18.86%	63.38%	-1.15	-9.4	38
2015-04-08	Maribor	D 0-0	69.3	1628	1697	33.13%	19.96%	46.92%	-0.30	+1.0	47
2015-04-08	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	69.3	1697	1628	46.92%	19.96%	33.13%	+0.30	-1.0	56
2015-04-10	Gorica	D 0-0	57.8	1436	1478	36.81%	20.02%	43.17%	-0.13	+0.4	39
2015-04-10	@ Zavrc	D 0-0	57.8	1478	1436	43.17%	20.02%	36.81%	+0.13	-0.4	24
2015-04-10	Rudar Velenje	L 1-3	65.8	1656	1492	62.43%	18.97%	18.60%	+1.09	-28.1	51
2015-04-10	@ Celje	W 3-1	65.8	1492	1656	18.60%	18.97%	62.43%	-1.09	+28.1	33
2015-04-11	Maribor	L 1-4	46.9	1424	1696	13.35%	18.06%	68.59%	-1.51	-10.1	32
2015-04-11	@ Luka Koper	W 4-1	46.9	1696	1424	68.59%	18.06%	13.35%	+1.51	+10.1	59
2015-04-11	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	58.6	1603	1629	38.90%	20.04%	41.06%	-0.04	-11.3	52
2015-04-11	@ Domzale	W 1-0	58.6	1629	1603	41.06%	20.04%	38.90%	+0.04	+11.3	50
2015-04-12	Radomlje	D 1-1	58.5	1445	1286	61.96%	19.03%	19.01%	+1.06	-2.8	24
2015-04-12	@ Krka	D 1-1	58.5	1286	1445	19.01%	19.03%	61.96%	-1.06	+2.8	13
2015-04-18	Celje	L 1-2	53.7	1437	1628	19.58%	19.10%	61.32%	-1.02	-5.9	39
2015-04-18	@ Zavrc	W 2-1	53.7	1628	1437	61.32%	19.10%	19.58%	+1.02	+5.9	54
2015-04-18	Maribor	W 2-0	61.4	1520	1707	19.99%	19.14%	60.87%	-1.00	+31.6	36
2015-04-18	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-2	61.4	1707	1520	60.87%	19.14%	19.99%	+1.00	-31.6	59
2015-04-18	Gorica	W 3-1	51.7	1591	1477	57.23%	19.46%	23.30%	+0.79	+12.0	55
2015-04-18	@ Domzale	L 1-3	51.7	1477	1591	23.30%	19.46%	57.23%	-0.79	-12.0	24
2015-04-18	Radomlje	W 2-0	34.9	1414	1289	58.45%	19.37%	22.18%	+0.86	+13.3	35
2015-04-18	@ Luka Koper	L 0-2	34.9	1289	1414	22.18%	19.37%	58.45%	-0.86	-13.3	13
2015-04-19	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	64.2	1442	1641	18.90%	19.01%	62.09%	-1.07	+3.2	25
2015-04-19	@ Krka	D 0-0	64.2	1641	1442	62.09%	19.01%	18.90%	+1.07	-3.2	51
2015-04-24	Maribor	L 1-6	35.5	1276	1675	7.20%	15.94%	76.86%	-2.27	-8.5	13
2015-04-24	@ Radomlje	W 6-1	35.5	1675	1276	76.86%	15.94%	7.20%	+2.27	+8.5	62
2015-04-24	Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	60.4	1431	1552	26.71%	19.70%	53.59%	-0.61	+1.9	40
2015-04-24	@ Zavrc	D 0-0	60.4	1552	1431	53.59%	19.70%	26.71%	+0.61	-1.9	37
2015-04-25	Domzale	D 0-0	68.0	1633	1603	46.90%	19.96%	33.14%	+0.30	-1.0	55
2015-04-25	@ Celje	D 0-0	68.0	1603	1633	33.14%	19.96%	46.90%	-0.30	+1.0	56
2015-04-25	Luka Koper	D 0-0	63.8	1638	1427	66.68%	18.39%	14.93%	+1.37	-3.9	52
2015-04-25	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	63.8	1427	1638	14.93%	18.39%	66.68%	-1.37	+3.9	36
2015-04-25	Krka	W 3-0	41.3	1465	1445	45.54%	19.99%	34.47%	+0.24	+28.1	27
2015-04-25	@ Gorica	L 0-3	41.3	1445	1465	34.47%	19.99%	45.54%	-0.24	-28.2	25
2015-04-29	Celje	L 0-4	40.4	1417	1632	17.49%	18.82%	63.69%	-1.17	-20.3	25
2015-04-29	@ Krka	W 4-0	40.4	1632	1417	63.69%	18.82%	17.49%	+1.17	+20.3	58
2015-04-29	Gorica	W 2-0	47.5	1431	1494	33.96%	19.98%	46.06%	-0.26	+24.6	39
2015-04-29	@ Luka Koper	L 0-2	47.5	1494	1431	46.06%	19.98%	33.96%	+0.26	-24.6	27
2015-04-29	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 4-1	56.7	1683	1634	49.50%	19.88%	30.62%	+0.41	+21.5	65
2015-04-29	@ Maribor	L 1-4	56.7	1634	1683	30.62%	19.88%	49.50%	-0.41	-21.5	52
2015-04-29	Radomlje	W 3-2	47.1	1550	1267	72.14%	17.31%	10.55%	+1.80	+3.1	40
2015-04-29	@ Rudar Velenje	L 2-3	47.1	1267	1550	10.55%	17.31%	72.14%	-1.80	-3.1	13
2015-04-29	Zavrc	L 2-3	70.7	1604	1433	63.20%	18.88%	17.91%	+1.14	-15.6	56
2015-04-29	@ Domzale	W 3-2	70.7	1433	1604	17.91%	18.88%	63.20%	-1.14	+15.6	43
2015-05-02	Luka Koper	W 3-2	58.9	1653	1456	65.54%	18.57%	15.89%	+1.29	+4.6	61
2015-05-02	@ Celje	L 2-3	58.9	1456	1653	15.89%	18.57%	65.54%	-1.29	-4.6	39
2015-05-02	Krka	L 0-1	49.5	1448	1397	49.69%	19.87%	30.44%	+0.42	-13.9	43
2015-05-02	@ Zavrc	W 1-0	49.5	1397	1448	30.44%	19.87%	49.69%	-0.42	+13.9	28
2015-05-02	Maribor	D 1-1	72.0	1469	1705	15.88%	18.57%	65.55%	-1.29	+3.3	28
2015-05-02	@ Gorica	D 1-1	72.0	1705	1469	65.55%	18.57%	15.88%	+1.29	-3.3	66
2015-05-02	Radomlje	W 3-1	39.1	1612	1264	76.17%	16.17%	7.66%	+2.19	+4.1	55
2015-05-02	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	39.1	1264	1612	7.66%	16.17%	76.17%	-2.19	-4.1	13
2015-05-02	Rudar Velenje	W 4-0	48.2	1589	1553	47.63%	19.94%	32.43%	+0.33	+35.0	59
2015-05-02	@ Domzale	L 0-4	48.2	1553	1589	32.43%	19.94%	47.63%	-0.33	-35.0	40
2015-05-06	Celje	W 4-1	57.3	1702	1657	48.77%	19.90%	31.32%	+0.38	+21.9	69
2015-05-06	@ Maribor	L 1-4	57.3	1657	1702	31.32%	19.90%	48.77%	-0.38	-21.9	61
2015-05-06	Domzale	W 3-2	70.7	1411	1624	17.70%	18.85%	63.45%	-1.15	+15.6	31
2015-05-06	@ Krka	L 2-3	70.7	1624	1411	63.45%	18.85%	17.70%	+1.15	-15.6	59
2015-05-06	Gorica	W 1-0	50.9	1260	1472	17.74%	18.86%	63.40%	-1.15	+17.4	16
2015-05-06	@ Radomlje	L 0-1	50.9	1472	1260	63.40%	18.86%	17.74%	+1.15	-17.4	28
2015-05-06	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-0	56.3	1518	1616	29.41%	19.83%	50.76%	-0.47	+26.7	43
2015-05-06	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-2	56.3	1616	1518	50.76%	19.83%	29.41%	+0.47	-26.7	55
2015-05-06	Zavrc	L 1-2	55.2	1451	1434	45.06%	19.99%	34.95%	+0.21	-12.1	39
2015-05-06	@ Luka Koper	W 2-1	55.2	1434	1451	34.95%	19.99%	45.06%	-0.21	+12.1	46
2015-05-09	Maribor	L 1-3	51.3	1446	1724	13.05%	17.99%	68.96%	-1.54	-7.0	46
2015-05-09	@ Zavrc	W 3-1	51.3	1724	1446	68.96%	17.99%	13.05%	+1.54	+7.0	72
2015-05-09	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	54.8	1455	1589	25.20%	19.61%	55.20%	-0.69	-7.4	28
2015-05-09	@ Gorica	W 2-1	54.8	1589	1455	55.20%	19.61%	25.20%	+0.69	+7.4	58
2015-05-09	Radomlje	W 3-2	48.5	1635	1277	76.72%	15.99%	7.29%	+2.25	+2.1	64
2015-05-09	@ Celje	L 2-3	48.5	1277	1635	7.29%	15.99%	76.72%	-2.25	-2.1	16
2015-05-10	Rudar Velenje	W 2-0	51.3	1426	1545	27.02%	19.72%	53.26%	-0.59	+27.9	34
2015-05-10	@ Krka	L 0-2	51.3	1545	1426	53.26%	19.72%	27.02%	+0.59	-27.9	43
2015-05-12	Luka Koper	W 3-0	41.1	1608	1439	62.97%	18.91%	18.12%	+1.12	+16.0	62
2015-05-12	@ Domzale	L 0-3	41.1	1439	1608	18.12%	18.91%	62.97%	-1.12	-16.0	39
2015-05-16	Celje	L 1-2	63.9	1597	1638	36.96%	20.02%	43.02%	-0.13	-10.3	58
2015-05-16	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	63.9	1638	1597	43.02%	20.02%	36.96%	+0.13	+10.3	67
2015-05-16	Domzale	W 1-0	55.6	1731	1624	56.43%	19.52%	24.05%	+0.75	+7.6	75
2015-05-16	@ Maribor	L 0-1	55.6	1624	1731	24.05%	19.52%	56.43%	-0.75	-7.6	62
2015-05-16	Krka	L 0-2	43.6	1423	1454	38.25%	20.03%	41.72%	-0.07	-21.1	39
2015-05-16	@ Luka Koper	W 2-0	43.6	1454	1423	41.72%	20.03%	38.25%	+0.07	+21.1	37
2015-05-16	Gorica	L 1-2	59.9	1517	1447	51.98%	19.78%	28.24%	+0.53	-13.7	43
2015-05-16	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	59.9	1447	1517	28.24%	19.78%	51.98%	-0.53	+13.7	31
2015-05-17	Zavrc	L 0-4	32.2	1275	1439	22.13%	19.36%	58.51%	-0.86	-25.1	16
2015-05-17	@ Radomlje	W 4-0	32.2	1439	1275	58.51%	19.36%	22.13%	+0.86	+25.1	49
2015-05-23	Maribor	L 1-3	52.6	1475	1738	13.99%	18.20%	67.81%	-1.45	-7.5	37
2015-05-23	@ Krka	W 3-1	52.6	1738	1475	67.81%	18.20%	13.99%	+1.45	+7.5	78
2015-05-23	Gorica	L 0-3	57.1	1648	1461	64.61%	18.70%	16.69%	+1.23	-48.6	67
2015-05-23	@ Celje	W 3-0	57.1	1461	1648	16.69%	18.70%	64.61%	-1.23	+48.6	34
2015-05-23	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	55.5	1464	1587	26.58%	19.69%	53.73%	-0.61	-7.8	49
2015-05-23	@ Zavrc	W 2-1	55.5	1587	1464	53.73%	19.69%	26.58%	+0.61	+7.8	61
2015-05-23	Radomlje	W 4-0	29.9	1616	1250	77.16%	15.84%	7.00%	+2.30	+8.1	65
2015-05-23	@ Domzale	L 0-4	29.9	1250	1616	7.00%	15.84%	77.16%	-2.30	-8.1	16
2015-05-23	Rudar Velenje	L 0-3	39.4	1402	1503	29.02%	19.82%	51.16%	-0.49	-24.4	39
2015-05-23	@ Luka Koper	W 3-0	39.4	1503	1402	51.16%	19.82%	29.02%	+0.49	+24.4	46
2015-05-30	Celje	L 1-3	56.6	1528	1599	32.77%	19.95%	47.28%	-0.31	-16.1	46
2015-05-30	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	56.6	1599	1528	47.28%	19.95%	32.77%	+0.31	+16.1	70
2015-05-30	Domzale	L 0-2	54.8	1594	1625	38.44%	20.03%	41.53%	-0.06	-21.2	61
2015-05-30	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-0	54.8	1625	1594	41.53%	20.03%	38.44%	+0.06	+21.2	68
2015-05-30	Luka Koper	D 0-0	66.5	1746	1377	77.27%	15.80%	6.93%	+2.31	-5.4	79
2015-05-30	@ Maribor	D 0-0	66.5	1377	1746	6.93%	15.80%	77.27%	-2.31	+5.4	40
2015-05-30	Krka	L 0-1	36.5	1242	1468	16.66%	18.69%	64.65%	-1.23	-5.4	16
2015-05-30	@ Radomlje	W 1-0	36.5	1468	1242	64.65%	18.69%	16.66%	+1.23	+5.4	40
2015-05-30	Zavrc	W 4-0	41.4	1510	1457	49.93%	19.87%	30.21%	+0.43	+33.0	37
2015-05-30	@ Gorica	L 0-4	41.4	1457	1510	30.21%	19.87%	49.93%	-0.43	-33.0	49

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2014-11-29	11.53%	Krka	1377	2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1642	1
2	2015-03-04	13.76%	@ Radomlje	1285	1	Rudar Velenje	1551	0
3	2015-05-23	16.69%	Gorica	1461	3	@ Celje	1648	0
4	2015-05-06	17.70%	@ Krka	1411	3	Domzale	1624	2
5	2015-05-06	17.74%	@ Radomlje	1260	1	Gorica	1472	0
6	2015-04-29	17.91%	Zavrc	1433	3	@ Domzale	1604	2
7	2015-03-04	18.41%	@ Zavrc	1414	1	Domzale	1618	0
8	2014-09-24	18.56%	@ Krka	1378	2	Olimpija Ljubljana	1580	1
9	2015-04-10	18.60%	Rudar Velenje	1492	3	@ Celje	1656	1
10	2014-12-06	19.39%	@ Luka Koper	1430	2	Olimpija Ljubljana	1623	1
11	2015-04-18	19.99%	@ Rudar Velenje	1520	2	Maribor	1707	0
12	2014-09-24	21.06%	Radomlje	1379	2	@ Luka Koper	1515	1
13	2015-03-15	22.02%	@ Luka Koper	1441	1	Domzale	1606	0
14	2014-11-30	22.94%	@ Radomlje	1289	2	Luka Koper	1445	1
15	2014-10-04	23.23%	Zavrc	1507	3	@ Domzale	1622	1
16	2015-05-10	27.02%	@ Krka	1426	2	Rudar Velenje	1545	0
17	2014-08-09	27.95%	Celje	1486	2	@ Luka Koper	1558	0
18	2015-05-16	28.24%	Gorica	1447	2	@ Rudar Velenje	1517	1
19	2015-05-06	29.41%	@ Rudar Velenje	1518	2	Olimpija Ljubljana	1616	0
20	2015-03-21	29.91%	@ Gorica	1437	3	Rudar Velenje	1532	0
21	2014-09-27	30.22%	@ Celje	1556	2	Domzale	1648	0
22	2015-05-02	30.44%	Krka	1397	1	@ Zavrc	1448	0
23	2014-10-18	31.90%	Celje	1578	2	@ Maribor	1618	1
24	2014-08-16	31.96%	@ Celje	1514	3	Maribor	1592	1
25	2014-08-31	32.45%	Rudar Velenje	1496	2	@ Gorica	1531	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-05-23	48.64	Gorica	3	1461	16.69%	@ Celje	0	1648	64.61%	18.70%
2	2015-03-21	38.48	@ Gorica	3	1437	29.91%	Rudar Velenje	0	1532	50.24%	19.85%
3	2015-03-01	36.71	@ Krka	3	1377	32.45%	Zavrc	0	1451	47.61%	19.94%
4	2015-05-02	34.97	@ Domzale	4	1589	47.63%	Rudar Velenje	0	1553	32.43%	19.94%
5	2015-03-22	34.54	@ Krka	3	1407	35.68%	Luka Koper	0	1457	44.31%	20.01%
6	2014-08-17	34.07	@ Gorica	4	1496	48.66%	Radomlje	0	1453	31.44%	19.91%
7	2015-05-30	32.95	@ Gorica	4	1510	49.93%	Zavrc	0	1457	30.21%	19.87%
8	2014-09-27	31.69	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1564	51.34%	Luka Koper	0	1500	28.85%	19.81%
9	2015-04-18	31.64	@ Rudar Velenje	2	1520	19.99%	Maribor	0	1707	60.87%	19.14%
10	2014-08-01	31.31	@ Celje	3	1455	40.67%	Krka	0	1470	39.29%	20.04%
11	2014-12-06	29.35	@ Rudar Velenje	7	1521	48.31%	Zavrc	2	1480	31.77%	19.92%
12	2015-04-25	28.15	@ Gorica	3	1465	45.54%	Krka	0	1445	34.47%	19.99%
13	2015-04-10	28.06	Rudar Velenje	3	1492	18.60%	@ Celje	1	1656	62.43%	18.97%
14	2015-05-10	27.93	@ Krka	2	1426	27.02%	Rudar Velenje	0	1545	53.26%	19.72%
15	2014-08-09	27.46	Celje	2	1486	27.95%	@ Luka Koper	0	1558	52.28%	19.77%
16	2015-05-06	26.74	@ Rudar Velenje	2	1518	29.41%	Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1616	50.76%	19.83%
17	2014-08-23	26.65	@ Maribor	3	1570	47.82%	Zavrc	0	1533	32.25%	19.93%
18	2014-09-27	26.35	@ Celje	2	1556	30.22%	Domzale	0	1648	49.91%	19.87%
19	2014-08-10	26.11	Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1507	41.20%	@ Radomlje	1	1479	38.76%	20.03%
20	2014-10-04	25.88	Zavrc	3	1507	23.23%	@ Domzale	1	1622	57.31%	19.46%
21	2015-05-17	25.14	Zavrc	4	1439	58.51%	@ Radomlje	0	1275	22.13%	19.36%
22	2015-04-29	24.57	@ Luka Koper	2	1431	33.96%	Gorica	0	1494	46.06%	19.98%
23	2015-05-23	24.38	Rudar Velenje	3	1503	51.16%	@ Luka Koper	0	1402	29.02%	19.82%
24	2014-07-26	23.75	Zavrc	2	1512	35.74%	@ Rudar Velenje	0	1522	44.25%	20.01%
25	2014-10-25	23.55	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1611	52.37%	@ Gorica	0	1500	27.87%	19.76%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-10-04	81.7	@ Maribor	3	1601	43.53%	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1596	36.45%	20.02%
2	2015-04-04	77.3	@ Maribor	2	1700	70.44%	Krka	2	1442	11.86%	17.69%
3	2015-04-04	76.6	@ Gorica	2	1476	20.44%	Celje	2	1658	60.37%	19.19%
4	2015-05-02	72.0	@ Gorica	1	1469	15.88%	Maribor	1	1705	65.55%	18.57%
5	2015-04-29	70.7	Zavrc	3	1433	17.91%	@ Domzale	2	1604	63.20%	18.88%
6	2015-05-06	70.7	@ Krka	3	1411	17.70%	Domzale	2	1624	63.45%	18.85%
7	2015-04-08	69.3	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1628	33.13%	Maribor	0	1697	46.92%	19.96%
8	2014-10-15	69.2	@ Domzale	1	1596	55.78%	Rudar Velenje	1	1495	24.65%	19.57%
9	2015-03-22	69.0	@ Domzale	0	1590	27.75%	Maribor	0	1702	52.49%	19.76%
10	2014-09-13	68.7	@ Gorica	1	1518	37.00%	Celje	1	1559	42.98%	20.02%
11	2015-03-21	68.7	@ Celje	0	1659	48.31%	Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1618	31.77%	19.92%
12	2015-04-04	68.7	@ Rudar Velenje	2	1493	52.11%	Luka Koper	2	1423	28.11%	19.77%
13	2014-10-15	68.2	@ Celje	1	1580	55.61%	Luka Koper	1	1480	24.81%	19.58%
14	2014-09-20	68.0	@ Celje	1	1558	50.93%	Rudar Velenje	1	1497	29.24%	19.83%
15	2015-04-25	68.0	@ Celje	0	1633	46.90%	Domzale	0	1603	33.14%	19.96%
16	2014-09-20	67.5	@ Domzale	0	1629	49.49%	Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1579	30.63%	19.88%
17	2014-11-29	67.0	Krka	2	1377	11.53%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1642	70.86%	17.60%
18	2014-11-22	66.6	@ Rudar Velenje	0	1526	27.37%	Celje	0	1641	52.89%	19.74%
19	2015-02-28	66.6	@ Rudar Velenje	0	1550	33.11%	Domzale	0	1619	46.93%	19.96%
20	2015-05-30	66.5	@ Maribor	0	1746	77.27%	Luka Koper	0	1377	6.93%	15.80%
21	2014-10-18	66.4	Celje	2	1578	31.90%	@ Maribor	1	1618	48.17%	19.92%
22	2014-12-06	65.9	@ Luka Koper	2	1430	19.39%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1623	61.54%	19.07%
23	2015-03-07	65.9	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1610	52.96%	Rudar Velenje	0	1533	27.31%	19.73%
24	2015-04-10	65.8	Rudar Velenje	3	1492	18.60%	@ Celje	1	1656	62.43%	18.97%
25	2014-08-30	65.1	@ Celje	0	1559	42.48%	Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1561	37.49%	20.03%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-05-23	29.9	@ Domzale	4	1616	77.16%	Radomlje	0	1250	7.00%	15.84%
2	2015-05-17	32.2	Zavrc	4	1439	58.51%	@ Radomlje	0	1275	22.13%	19.36%
3	2015-02-28	32.8	Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1607	71.30%	@ Radomlje	0	1298	11.19%	17.50%
4	2015-04-03	33.2	Domzale	3	1592	70.27%	@ Radomlje	0	1297	12.00%	17.73%
5	2014-11-09	34.0	@ Domzale	3	1626	73.80%	Radomlje	0	1318	9.32%	16.88%
6	2014-10-25	34.6	@ Celje	5	1591	69.75%	Radomlje	0	1341	12.41%	17.84%
7	2015-04-18	34.9	@ Luka Koper	2	1414	58.45%	Radomlje	0	1289	22.18%	19.37%
8	2015-04-24	35.5	Maribor	6	1675	76.86%	@ Radomlje	1	1276	7.20%	15.94%
9	2015-05-30	36.5	Krka	1	1468	64.65%	@ Radomlje	0	1242	16.66%	18.69%
10	2014-10-15	36.7	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1596	66.96%	Radomlje	0	1382	14.69%	18.35%
11	2014-10-19	37.2	Gorica	3	1477	52.45%	@ Radomlje	0	1365	27.79%	19.76%
12	2014-12-06	38.5	@ Maribor	4	1641	75.52%	Radomlje	1	1304	8.10%	16.38%
13	2015-03-20	38.5	@ Zavrc	1	1439	59.55%	Radomlje	0	1304	21.18%	19.27%
14	2014-11-23	38.8	Krka	2	1357	44.04%	@ Radomlje	0	1309	35.95%	20.01%
15	2015-05-02	39.1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1612	76.17%	Radomlje	1	1264	7.66%	16.17%
16	2015-05-23	39.4	Rudar Velenje	3	1503	51.16%	@ Luka Koper	0	1402	29.02%	19.82%
17	2014-10-15	39.5	@ Zavrc	2	1533	60.43%	Krka	0	1389	20.39%	19.19%
18	2014-09-13	39.7	@ Maribor	2	1576	64.69%	Krka	0	1388	16.62%	18.69%
19	2014-10-04	40.1	@ Rudar Velenje	2	1479	53.43%	Radomlje	0	1398	26.86%	19.71%
20	2015-03-15	40.3	Celje	1	1656	73.93%	@ Radomlje	0	1307	9.22%	16.84%
21	2015-04-29	40.4	Celje	4	1632	63.69%	@ Krka	0	1417	17.49%	18.82%
22	2014-08-24	40.6	Celje	3	1536	53.14%	@ Radomlje	0	1419	27.14%	19.72%
23	2014-08-17	41.1	@ Gorica	4	1496	48.66%	Radomlje	0	1453	31.44%	19.91%
24	2015-05-12	41.1	@ Domzale	3	1608	62.97%	Luka Koper	0	1439	18.12%	18.91%
25	2014-09-13	41.2	Domzale	2	1619	65.02%	@ Radomlje	0	1389	16.34%	18.64%